id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
ajase-4116	1	1	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	2	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	3	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	1	4	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	5	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	6	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	1	7	american	american	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	8	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	1	10	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	1	11	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	1	13	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	15	ajase	ajase	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	17	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	1	18	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	19	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	20	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	21	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	1	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	1	23	context	context	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	1	25	changing	change	VERB
ajase-4116	1	26	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	27	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	1	28	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	29	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	30	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	31	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	1	32	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	33	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	1	34	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	35	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	36	technique	technique	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	37	sahil	sahil	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	38	ojha1	ojha1	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	39	*	*	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	40	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	41	lila	lila	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	42	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	43	karki1	karki1	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	44	volume	volume	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	45	4	4	NUM
ajase-4116	1	46	issue	issue	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	47	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	1	48	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	49	year	year	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	50	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	1	51	issn	issn	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	52	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	53	2992	2992	NUM
ajase-4116	1	54	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	55	927x	927x	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	56	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	57	online	online	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	58	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	59	doi	doi	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	60	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	61	https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v4i1.4116	https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v4i1.4116	X
ajase-4116	1	62	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	63	article	article	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	64	information	information	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	65	abstract	abstract	ADV
ajase-4116	1	66	received	receive	VERB
ajase-4116	1	67	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	68	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	69	30	30	NUM
ajase-4116	1	70	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	71	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	1	72	accepted	accept	VERB
ajase-4116	1	73	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	74	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	75	02	02	NUM
ajase-4116	1	76	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	77	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	1	78	published	publish	VERB
ajase-4116	1	79	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	80	february	february	PROPN
ajase-4116	1	81	07	07	NUM
ajase-4116	1	82	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	83	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	1	84	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	1	85	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	86	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	87	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	88	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	1	89	influenced	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	1	90	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	1	91	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	92	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	93	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	94	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	95	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	1	96	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	97	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	98	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	99	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	100	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	101	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	102	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	103	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	104	geopolitical	geopolitical	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	105	situations	situation	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	106	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	107	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	1	108	government	government	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	109	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	110	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	1	111	leading	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	1	112	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	1	113	continuous	continuous	ADJ
ajase-4116	1	114	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	115	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	1	116	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	117	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	1	118	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	2	1	there	there	PRON
ajase-4116	2	2	is	be	VERB
ajase-4116	2	3	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	2	4	need	need	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	5	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	2	6	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	2	7	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-4116	2	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	10	that	that	PRON
ajase-4116	2	11	accurately	accurately	ADV
ajase-4116	2	12	captures	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	2	13	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	2	14	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	2	16	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	17	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	2	18	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	2	19	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	20	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	21	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	2	22	support	support	VERB
ajase-4116	2	23	informed	informed	ADJ
ajase-4116	2	24	decisionmaking	decisionmaking	NOUN
ajase-4116	2	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	3	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	3	2	objective	objective	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	3	4	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	3	5	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	3	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	3	8	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	3	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	3	10	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	3	11	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	3	12	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	13	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	3	14	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	15	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	3	16	adopting	adopt	VERB
ajase-4116	3	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	3	18	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	19	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	20	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	3	21	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	3	22	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	3	23	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	3	24	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	3	25	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	3	26	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	3	27	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	3	28	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	3	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	4	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	4	2	original	original	ADJ
ajase-4116	4	3	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	4	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	4	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	8	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	4	9	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	4	11	transformed	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	4	12	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	4	13	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
ajase-4116	4	14	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	4	15	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	4	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	4	18	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	4	20	improve	improve	VERB
ajase-4116	4	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	22	precision	precision	NOUN
ajase-4116	4	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	5	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	5	2	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	5	3	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	5	4	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	5	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	5	6	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	5	7	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	5	8	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	5	9	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	5	10	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	5	11	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
ajase-4116	5	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	5	13	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	5	14	before	before	ADP
ajase-4116	5	15	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ajase-4116	5	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	1	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	6	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	6	3	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	4	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	5	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	6	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	7	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	6	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	6	9	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	11	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	12	package	package	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	6	14	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	15	4.3.3	4.3.3	NUM
ajase-4116	6	16	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	6	17	windows	window	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	19	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	6	20	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	6	21	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	6	22	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	6	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	6	24	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	6	25	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	6	26	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	6	27	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	28	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	6	29	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	6	30	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	6	31	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	32	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	6	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	7	1	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-4116	7	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	3	validated	validate	VERB
ajase-4116	7	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	7	5	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	6	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	7	7	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	8	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	7	9	visualizing	visualize	VERB
ajase-4116	7	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	7	11	acf	acf	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	7	13	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	14	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	7	16	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	7	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	7	18	ljung	ljung	ADJ
ajase-4116	7	19	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	7	20	box	box	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	21	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	7	23	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-4116	7	24	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	7	25	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	7	26	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	27	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	7	28	white	white	ADJ
ajase-4116	7	29	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-4116	7	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	8	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	8	2	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	3	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	8	4	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	8	5	steady	steady	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	6	rise	rise	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	7	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	8	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	8	9	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	10	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	12	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	8	13	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	14	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	8	15	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	8	16	198.51	198.51	NUM
ajase-4116	8	17	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	8	18	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	19	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	20	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	8	21	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	8	22	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	8	23	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	8	24	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	8	25	201.36	201.36	NUM
ajase-4116	8	26	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	8	27	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	28	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	29	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	8	30	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	8	31	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	8	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	8	33	peaking	peak	VERB
ajase-4116	8	34	at	at	ADP
ajase-4116	8	35	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	8	36	203.62	203.62	NUM
ajase-4116	8	37	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	8	38	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	8	39	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	8	40	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	8	41	august	august	PROPN
ajase-4116	8	42	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	8	43	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	9	1	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	9	2	projections	projection	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	3	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	9	4	help	help	VERB
ajase-4116	9	5	farmers	farmer	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	9	7	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	9	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	9	10	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	9	11	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ajase-4116	9	12	stakeholders	stakeholder	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	13	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	9	14	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
ajase-4116	9	15	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	9	16	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	17	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	9	19	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	9	20	informed	informed	ADJ
ajase-4116	9	21	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	22	amidst	amidst	ADP
ajase-4116	9	23	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	9	24	uncertainties	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-4116	9	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	10	1	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	10	2	research	research	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	3	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	10	4	integrate	integrate	VERB
ajase-4116	10	5	external	external	ADJ
ajase-4116	10	6	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	10	8	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	10	9	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	10	10	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	11	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	10	13	geopolitical	geopolitical	ADJ
ajase-4116	10	14	events	event	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	10	16	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	10	17	enhanced	enhance	VERB
ajase-4116	10	18	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ajase-4116	10	19	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	10	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	2	informed	inform	VERB
ajase-4116	11	3	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	5	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	8	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	11	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	12	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	11	13	department	department	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	14	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	11	15	agriculture	agriculture	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	17	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	19	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	11	20	resource	resource	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	21	sciences	sciences	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	23	school	school	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	11	25	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	11	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	11	27	natural	natural	ADJ
ajase-4116	11	28	sciences	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	30	university	university	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	31	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	11	32	maryland	maryland	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	33	eastern	eastern	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	34	shore	shore	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	35	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	36	umes	ume	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	37	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	39	princess	princess	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	40	anne	anne	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	42	md	md	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	43	21853	21853	NUM
ajase-4116	11	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	45	usa	usa	PROPN
ajase-4116	11	46	*	*	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	47	corresponding	correspond	VERB
ajase-4116	11	48	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	49	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	11	50	e	e	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	51	-	-	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	52	mail	mail	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	53	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	11	54	sojha@umes.edu	sojha@umes.edu	PRON
ajase-4116	11	55	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	56	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	57	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	11	58	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	11	59	staple	staple	ADJ
ajase-4116	11	60	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	61	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	11	62	billions	billion	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	63	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	11	64	people	people	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	65	worldwide	worldwide	ADV
ajase-4116	11	66	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	11	67	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	11	68	considered	consider	VERB
ajase-4116	11	69	one	one	NUM
ajase-4116	11	70	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	11	71	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	11	72	most	most	ADV
ajase-4116	11	73	important	important	ADJ
ajase-4116	11	74	crops	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	75	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	11	76	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	11	77	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	11	78	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	12	1	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	2	belongs	belong	VERB
ajase-4116	12	3	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	12	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	12	5	genus	genus	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	6	triticum	triticum	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	12	8	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	12	9	primarily	primarily	ADV
ajase-4116	12	10	cultivated	cultivate	VERB
ajase-4116	12	11	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	12	12	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	12	13	seeds	seed	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	12	15	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	12	16	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	12	17	processed	process	VERB
ajase-4116	12	18	into	into	ADP
ajase-4116	12	19	flour	flour	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	12	21	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	12	22	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	12	23	various	various	ADJ
ajase-4116	12	24	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	25	products	product	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	12	27	including	include	VERB
ajase-4116	12	28	bread	bread	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	12	30	pasta	pasta	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	12	32	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	12	33	pastries	pastry	NOUN
ajase-4116	12	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	13	1	triticum	triticum	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	2	aestivum	aestivum	PROPN
ajase-4116	13	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	13	4	commonly	commonly	ADV
ajase-4116	13	5	known	know	VERB
ajase-4116	13	6	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	13	7	bread	bread	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	13	10	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	13	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	13	12	most	most	ADV
ajase-4116	13	13	widely	widely	ADV
ajase-4116	13	14	grown	grow	VERB
ajase-4116	13	15	species	specie	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	16	worldwide	worldwide	ADV
ajase-4116	13	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	13	18	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-4116	13	19	triticum	triticum	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	20	durum	durum	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	21	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	13	22	primarily	primarily	ADV
ajase-4116	13	23	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	13	24	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	13	25	pasta	pasta	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	26	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	13	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	14	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	14	2	domestication	domestication	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	14	4	use	use	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	14	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	7	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	14	8	closely	closely	ADV
ajase-4116	14	9	linked	link	VERB
ajase-4116	14	10	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	14	11	human	human	ADJ
ajase-4116	14	12	efforts	effort	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	13	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	14	14	ensure	ensure	VERB
ajase-4116	14	15	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	16	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	14	18	gain	gain	VERB
ajase-4116	14	19	control	control	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	20	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	14	21	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	14	22	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	23	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	14	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	15	1	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	2	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	15	3	grown	grow	VERB
ajase-4116	15	4	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	15	5	all	all	DET
ajase-4116	15	6	geographical	geographical	ADJ
ajase-4116	15	7	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	8	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	15	9	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	15	10	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	15	11	high	high	ADJ
ajase-4116	15	12	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	13	potential	potential	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	15	15	adaptability	adaptability	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	16	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	15	17	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	15	18	wide	wide	ADJ
ajase-4116	15	19	range	range	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	20	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	15	21	climates	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	22	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	15	23	geren	geren	NOUN
ajase-4116	15	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	15	25	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-4116	15	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	15	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	1	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	16	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	16	3	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-4116	16	4	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	16	5	24	24	NUM
ajase-4116	16	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	7	china	china	PROPN
ajase-4116	16	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	16	10	european	european	PROPN
ajase-4116	16	11	union	union	PROPN
ajase-4116	16	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	16	14	india	india	PROPN
ajase-4116	16	15	currently	currently	ADV
ajase-4116	16	16	lead	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	16	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	16	18	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	16	19	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	16	20	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	16	21	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	22	usda	usda	NOUN
ajase-4116	16	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	16	24	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajase-4116	16	25	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	16	26	service	service	NOUN
ajase-4116	16	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	17	1	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	17	2	n.d	n.d	PROPN
ajase-4116	17	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	17	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	17	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	18	1	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	18	2	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	3	has	have	AUX
ajase-4116	18	4	been	be	AUX
ajase-4116	18	5	considered	consider	VERB
ajase-4116	18	6	risky	risky	ADJ
ajase-4116	18	7	since	since	SCONJ
ajase-4116	18	8	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	9	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	18	10	affected	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	18	11	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	18	12	extraneous	extraneous	ADJ
ajase-4116	18	13	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	14	beyond	beyond	ADP
ajase-4116	18	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	18	16	producers	producer	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	17	’	’	PART
ajase-4116	18	18	control	control	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	18	20	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	18	21	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	18	22	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	23	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	18	25	pest	pest	VERB
ajase-4116	18	26	infestations	infestation	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	18	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	18	29	disease	disease	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	30	outbreaks	outbreak	NOUN
ajase-4116	18	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	19	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
ajase-4116	19	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	19	3	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	4	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	19	6	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	7	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	8	during	during	ADP
ajase-4116	19	9	harvest	harvest	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	19	11	unknown	unknown	ADJ
ajase-4116	19	12	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	19	13	farmers	farmer	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	14	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	19	15	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	16	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	19	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	20	1	greater	great	ADJ
ajase-4116	20	2	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	3	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	4	makes	make	VERB
ajase-4116	20	5	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	20	6	harder	hard	ADJ
ajase-4116	20	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	20	8	predict	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	20	9	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	20	10	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	20	12	creates	create	VERB
ajase-4116	20	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	14	regarding	regard	VERB
ajase-4116	20	15	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	20	16	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	17	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	20	19	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	20	20	profitability	profitability	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	21	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	20	22	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	20	24	drugova	drugova	X
ajase-4116	20	25	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	20	26	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	20	27	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	20	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	20	29	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	20	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	20	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	21	1	traditional	traditional	ADJ
ajase-4116	21	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	3	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	4	fail	fail	VERB
ajase-4116	21	5	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	21	6	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	21	7	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	21	8	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	21	10	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	21	12	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	21	14	limiting	limit	VERB
ajase-4116	21	15	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	21	16	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	17	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	21	18	decision	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	19	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	21	20	making	making	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	21	amidst	amidst	ADP
ajase-4116	21	22	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-4116	21	23	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	24	conditions	condition	NOUN
ajase-4116	21	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	22	1	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-4116	22	2	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	3	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	4	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	22	5	focused	focus	VERB
ajase-4116	22	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	22	7	regional	regional	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	8	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	22	9	national	national	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	10	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	22	14	there	there	PRON
ajase-4116	22	15	is	be	VERB
ajase-4116	22	16	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	22	17	need	need	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	18	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	22	19	develop	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	22	20	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	22	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	22	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	23	capable	capable	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	22	25	capturing	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	22	26	complexities	complexity	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	27	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	22	28	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	29	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	30	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	22	32	providing	provide	VERB
ajase-4116	22	33	reliable	reliable	ADJ
ajase-4116	22	34	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	35	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	36	that	that	PRON
ajase-4116	22	37	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	22	38	support	support	VERB
ajase-4116	22	39	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	22	40	decision	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	41	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	22	42	making	make	VERB
ajase-4116	22	43	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	22	44	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	23	1	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	23	2	leveraging	leverage	VERB
ajase-4116	23	3	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	4	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	5	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	23	7	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	23	8	rigorous	rigorous	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	10	selection	selection	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	11	criteria	criterion	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	23	13	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	23	14	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	15	aimed	aim	VERB
ajase-4116	23	16	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	23	17	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	23	18	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	19	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	20	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	21	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	23	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	23	23	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	24	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	25	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	26	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	23	27	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	23	29	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	23	31	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	32	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	23	33	provide	provide	VERB
ajase-4116	23	34	short	short	ADJ
ajase-4116	23	35	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	23	36	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	37	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	38	projections	projection	NOUN
ajase-4116	23	39	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	24	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	24	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	3	will	will	AUX
ajase-4116	24	4	contribute	contribute	VERB
ajase-4116	24	5	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	24	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	24	7	existing	exist	VERB
ajase-4116	24	8	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	9	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	24	10	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	24	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	13	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	24	14	delivering	deliver	VERB
ajase-4116	24	15	valuable	valuable	ADJ
ajase-4116	24	16	insights	insight	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	17	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	24	18	stakeholders	stakeholder	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	19	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	24	20	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	24	21	informed	informed	ADJ
ajase-4116	24	22	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	23	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	24	25	manage	manage	VERB
ajase-4116	24	26	risks	risk	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	27	associated	associate	VERB
ajase-4116	24	28	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	24	29	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	30	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	31	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	24	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	25	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	25	2	findings	finding	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	3	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	25	4	expected	expect	VERB
ajase-4116	25	5	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	25	6	have	have	VERB
ajase-4116	25	7	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	25	8	implications	implication	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	9	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	25	10	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	25	11	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	12	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	13	planning	planning	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	25	15	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	25	17	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	25	18	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	25	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	26	1	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	2	review	review	VERB
ajase-4116	26	3	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	26	4	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	5	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	6	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	8	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	26	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	26	10	second	second	ADV
ajase-4116	26	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	26	12	largest	large	ADJ
ajase-4116	26	13	grain	grain	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	14	produced	produce	VERB
ajase-4116	26	15	worldwide	worldwide	ADV
ajase-4116	26	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	26	17	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	18	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	26	19	cultivated	cultivate	VERB
ajase-4116	26	20	area	area	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	26	22	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	23	volume	volume	NOUN
ajase-4116	26	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	27	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	27	2	202223	202223	NUM
ajase-4116	27	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	27	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	27	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	6	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	7	reached	reach	VERB
ajase-4116	27	8	just	just	ADV
ajase-4116	27	9	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	27	10	789	789	NUM
ajase-4116	27	11	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	27	12	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	27	13	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	27	15	marking	mark	VERB
ajase-4116	27	16	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	27	17	increase	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	18	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	27	19	approximately	approximately	ADV
ajase-4116	27	20	nine	nine	NUM
ajase-4116	27	21	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	27	22	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	27	23	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	24	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	27	25	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	27	26	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-4116	27	27	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	27	28	22	22	NUM
ajase-4116	27	29	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	30	level	level	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	31	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	27	32	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	27	33	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	27	34	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	27	35	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	28	2	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-4116	28	3	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	28	4	24	24	NUM
ajase-4116	28	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	6	china	china	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	7	produced	produce	VERB
ajase-4116	28	8	136.59	136.59	NUM
ajase-4116	28	9	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	28	10	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	28	11	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	28	14	european	european	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	15	union	union	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	16	134.94	134.94	NUM
ajase-4116	28	17	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	28	18	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	28	19	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	28	22	india	india	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	23	110.55	110.55	NUM
ajase-4116	28	24	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	28	25	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	28	26	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	28	collectively	collectively	ADV
ajase-4116	28	29	accounting	account	VERB
ajase-4116	28	30	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	28	31	48	48	NUM
ajase-4116	28	32	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	33	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	28	34	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	28	35	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	36	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	37	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	38	usda	usda	NOUN
ajase-4116	28	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	28	40	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	41	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	42	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	28	43	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	28	44	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	28	45	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	29	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	29	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	29	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	30	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	30	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	31	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	31	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	32	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	32	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	33	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	33	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	33	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	33	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	33	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	33	6	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajase-4116	33	7	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	33	8	service	service	NOUN
ajase-4116	33	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	33	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	33	11	n.d	n.d	PROPN
ajase-4116	33	12	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	33	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	33	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	34	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	34	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	34	3	united	united	PROPN
ajase-4116	34	4	states	states	PROPN
ajase-4116	34	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	34	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	34	7	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	34	8	produced	produce	VERB
ajase-4116	34	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	34	10	almost	almost	ADV
ajase-4116	34	11	every	every	PRON
ajase-4116	34	12	state	state	NOUN
ajase-4116	34	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	34	14	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	34	15	north	north	PROPN
ajase-4116	34	16	dakota	dakota	PROPN
ajase-4116	34	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	34	18	kansas	kansas	PROPN
ajase-4116	34	19	leading	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	34	20	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	34	21	output	output	NOUN
ajase-4116	34	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	35	1	many	many	ADJ
ajase-4116	35	2	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	35	3	nations	nation	NOUN
ajase-4116	35	4	heavily	heavily	ADV
ajase-4116	35	5	rely	rely	VERB
ajase-4116	35	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	35	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	35	8	imports	import	NOUN
ajase-4116	35	9	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	35	10	ukraine	ukraine	NOUN
ajase-4116	35	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	35	12	russia	russia	PROPN
ajase-4116	35	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	36	1	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	36	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	36	3	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	36	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	36	5	armenia	armenia	PROPN
ajase-4116	36	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	36	7	mongolia	mongolia	PROPN
ajase-4116	36	8	imported	import	VERB
ajase-4116	36	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	36	10	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	36	11	russia	russia	PROPN
ajase-4116	36	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	37	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
ajase-4116	37	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	37	3	laos	laos	PROPN
ajase-4116	37	4	exhibited	exhibit	VERB
ajase-4116	37	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	37	6	highest	high	ADJ
ajase-4116	37	7	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ajase-4116	37	8	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	37	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	37	10	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	37	11	ukraine	ukraine	PROPN
ajase-4116	37	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	37	13	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	37	14	98	98	NUM
ajase-4116	37	15	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	37	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	37	17	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	37	18	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	37	19	coming	come	VERB
ajase-4116	37	20	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	37	21	ukraine	ukraine	NOUN
ajase-4116	37	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	38	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	38	2	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	38	3	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	38	4	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	38	5	has	have	AUX
ajase-4116	38	6	experienced	experience	VERB
ajase-4116	38	7	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	38	8	growth	growth	NOUN
ajase-4116	38	9	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	38	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	38	11	past	past	ADJ
ajase-4116	38	12	decade	decade	NOUN
ajase-4116	38	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	1	since	since	SCONJ
ajase-4116	39	2	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	39	3	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	39	4	15	15	NUM
ajase-4116	39	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	6	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	39	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	8	export	export	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	9	volume	volume	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	10	has	have	AUX
ajase-4116	39	11	expanded	expand	VERB
ajase-4116	39	12	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	39	13	about	about	ADV
ajase-4116	39	14	33.6	33.6	NUM
ajase-4116	39	15	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	17	reaching	reach	VERB
ajase-4116	39	18	more	more	ADJ
ajase-4116	39	19	than	than	ADP
ajase-4116	39	20	216	216	NUM
ajase-4116	39	21	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	39	22	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	39	23	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	24	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	39	25	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	39	26	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	39	27	23	23	NUM
ajase-4116	39	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	29	shahbandeh	shahbandeh	NOUN
ajase-4116	39	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	31	2024b	2024b	NUM
ajase-4116	39	32	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	39	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	1	figure	figure	VERB
ajase-4116	40	2	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	40	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	40	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	6	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	40	8	export	export	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	9	volume	volume	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	40	12	million	million	NUM
ajase-4116	40	13	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	40	14	tons	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	16	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	40	17	2014/15	2014/15	NUM
ajase-4116	40	18	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	40	19	2022/23	2022/23	NUM
ajase-4116	40	20	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	21	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	22	shahbandeh	shahbandeh	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	24	2024a	2024a	NUM
ajase-4116	40	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	40	27	shahbandeh	shahbandeh	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	29	2024b	2024b	NUM
ajase-4116	40	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	31	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	32	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	40	33	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	34	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	35	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	40	36	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	37	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	38	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	40	39	price	price	VERB
ajase-4116	40	40	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	40	41	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	42	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	40	43	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	44	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	46	including	include	VERB
ajase-4116	40	47	rising	rise	VERB
ajase-4116	40	48	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	40	49	temperatures	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	50	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	40	51	continuous	continuous	ADJ
ajase-4116	40	52	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	53	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	40	54	precipitation	precipitation	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	55	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	56	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	40	57	impacted	impact	VERB
ajase-4116	40	58	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	40	59	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	60	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	40	61	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	62	howard	howard	PROPN
ajase-4116	40	63	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	40	64	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	40	65	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	40	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	67	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	40	68	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	40	69	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	41	1	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	41	2	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	41	3	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	41	4	examined	examine	VERB
ajase-4116	41	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	41	6	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	41	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	41	8	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	41	9	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	41	10	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	41	11	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	41	12	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	41	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	42	1	rosenzweig	rosenzweig	PROPN
ajase-4116	42	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	42	3	parry	parry	PROPN
ajase-4116	42	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	42	5	1994	1994	NUM
ajase-4116	42	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	42	7	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajase-4116	42	8	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	42	9	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	42	10	assessment	assessment	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	11	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	42	12	study	study	VERB
ajase-4116	42	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	42	14	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	15	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	42	16	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	17	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	42	18	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	19	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	20	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	42	22	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	42	23	concluded	conclude	VERB
ajase-4116	42	24	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	42	25	doubling	double	VERB
ajase-4116	42	26	atmospheric	atmospheric	ADJ
ajase-4116	42	27	carbon	carbon	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	28	dioxide	dioxide	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	29	concentration	concentration	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	30	would	would	AUX
ajase-4116	42	31	likely	likely	ADV
ajase-4116	42	32	result	result	VERB
ajase-4116	42	33	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	42	34	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	42	35	modest	modest	ADJ
ajase-4116	42	36	decline	decline	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	37	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	42	38	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	42	39	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	40	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	42	42	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	42	43	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	42	44	nations	nation	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	45	bearing	bear	VERB
ajase-4116	42	46	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	42	47	greater	great	ADJ
ajase-4116	42	48	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	42	49	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	1	tol	tol	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	2	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	3	2002	2002	NUM
ajase-4116	43	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	5	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ajase-4116	43	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	43	7	broader	broad	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	8	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	43	10	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	11	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	12	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	43	13	agriculture	agriculture	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	14	as	as	ADV
ajase-4116	43	15	well	well	ADV
ajase-4116	43	16	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	43	17	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	18	sectors	sector	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	43	20	found	find	VERB
ajase-4116	43	21	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	43	22	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	43	23	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	43	24	°	°	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	25	c	c	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	26	rise	rise	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	27	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	43	28	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	29	mean	mean	PROPN
ajase-4116	43	30	surface	surface	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	31	temperature	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	32	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	43	33	yield	yield	VERB
ajase-4116	43	34	net	net	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	35	positive	positive	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	36	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	37	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	43	38	china	china	PROPN
ajase-4116	43	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	40	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	43	41	middle	middle	PROPN
ajase-4116	43	42	east	east	PROPN
ajase-4116	43	43	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	44	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	43	45	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	43	46	organization	organization	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	47	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	43	48	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	49	co	co	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	50	-	-	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	51	operation	operation	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	52	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	43	53	development	development	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	54	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	55	oecd	oecd	PROPN
ajase-4116	43	56	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	57	member	member	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	58	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	59	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	43	60	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-4116	43	61	negatively	negatively	ADV
ajase-4116	43	62	impact	impact	VERB
ajase-4116	43	63	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	43	64	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	43	65	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	44	1	dhakhwa	dhakhwa	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	44	3	campbell	campbell	PROPN
ajase-4116	44	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	44	5	1998	1998	NUM
ajase-4116	44	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	44	7	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajase-4116	44	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	44	9	influence	influence	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	10	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	44	11	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	44	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	44	14	differential	differential	ADJ
ajase-4116	44	15	warming	warming	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	44	17	day	day	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	44	19	night	night	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	20	temperatures	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	21	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	44	22	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	23	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	44	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	45	1	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	45	2	findings	finding	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	3	suggested	suggest	VERB
ajase-4116	45	4	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	45	5	potential	potential	ADJ
ajase-4116	45	6	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	7	damage	damage	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	8	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	45	9	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	45	10	less	less	ADV
ajase-4116	45	11	severe	severe	ADJ
ajase-4116	45	12	under	under	ADP
ajase-4116	45	13	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ajase-4116	45	14	day	day	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	15	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	45	16	night	night	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	17	warming	warming	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	18	than	than	ADP
ajase-4116	45	19	uniform	uniform	ADJ
ajase-4116	45	20	warming	warming	NOUN
ajase-4116	45	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	1	kang	kang	PROPN
ajase-4116	46	2	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	46	3	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	46	4	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	46	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	6	2009	2009	NUM
ajase-4116	46	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	8	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajase-4116	46	9	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	46	10	thorough	thorough	ADJ
ajase-4116	46	11	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	12	review	review	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	13	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	46	14	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	15	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	16	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	17	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	46	18	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	19	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	21	water	water	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	22	productivity	productivity	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	46	25	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	46	27	water	water	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	28	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	30	concluding	conclude	VERB
ajase-4116	46	31	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	46	32	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	33	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	34	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	46	35	increase	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	46	36	water	water	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	37	availability	availability	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	38	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	46	39	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	46	40	areas	area	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	46	42	enhancing	enhance	VERB
ajase-4116	46	43	water	water	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	44	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	45	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	46	46	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	47	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	48	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-4116	46	49	potentially	potentially	ADV
ajase-4116	46	50	causing	cause	VERB
ajase-4116	46	51	environmental	environmental	ADJ
ajase-4116	46	52	degradation	degradation	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	53	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	46	54	expanded	expand	VERB
ajase-4116	46	55	irrigation	irrigation	NOUN
ajase-4116	46	56	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	47	1	they	they	PRON
ajase-4116	47	2	highlighted	highlight	VERB
ajase-4116	47	3	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	47	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	47	5	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	47	7	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	8	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	9	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	47	10	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	11	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	12	vary	vary	VERB
ajase-4116	47	13	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	47	14	location	location	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	47	16	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	47	17	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	47	18	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	19	seeing	see	VERB
ajase-4116	47	20	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	47	21	increase	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	22	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	47	23	output	output	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	47	25	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-4116	47	26	others	other	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	27	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	47	28	see	see	VERB
ajase-4116	47	29	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	47	30	decrease	decrease	NOUN
ajase-4116	47	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	48	1	expanding	expand	VERB
ajase-4116	48	2	irrigated	irrigated	ADJ
ajase-4116	48	3	farmland	farmland	NOUN
ajase-4116	48	4	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	48	5	increase	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	48	6	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	48	7	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	48	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	48	9	though	though	SCONJ
ajase-4116	48	10	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	48	11	might	might	AUX
ajase-4116	48	12	degrade	degrade	VERB
ajase-4116	48	13	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	48	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	48	15	environmental	environmental	ADJ
ajase-4116	48	16	quality	quality	NOUN
ajase-4116	48	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	49	1	tack	tack	NOUN
ajase-4116	49	2	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	49	3	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	49	4	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	50	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	50	2	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	50	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	50	4	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajase-4116	50	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	50	6	effect	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	50	8	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	9	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	50	10	kansas	kansas	PROPN
ajase-4116	50	11	wheat	wheat	PROPN
ajase-4116	50	12	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	13	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	50	14	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	15	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	50	16	1985	1985	NUM
ajase-4116	50	17	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	50	18	2013	2013	NUM
ajase-4116	50	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	50	20	finding	find	VERB
ajase-4116	50	21	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	50	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	50	23	main	main	ADJ
ajase-4116	50	24	drivers	driver	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	25	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	50	26	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	27	reduction	reduction	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	28	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	50	29	fall	fall	VERB
ajase-4116	50	30	freezes	freeze	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	50	32	spring	spring	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	33	heat	heat	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	34	waves	wave	NOUN
ajase-4116	50	35	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	51	1	lobell	lobell	PROPN
ajase-4116	51	2	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	51	3	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	51	4	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	52	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	52	2	2011	2011	NUM
ajase-4116	52	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	52	4	reviewed	review	VERB
ajase-4116	52	5	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	6	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	52	8	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	52	9	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	10	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	11	since	since	SCONJ
ajase-4116	52	12	1980	1980	NUM
ajase-4116	52	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	52	14	noting	note	VERB
ajase-4116	52	15	declines	decline	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	52	17	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	52	18	maize	maize	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	52	20	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	21	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	22	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	52	23	3.8	3.8	NUM
ajase-4116	52	24	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	25	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	52	26	5.5	5.5	NUM
ajase-4116	52	27	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	52	29	respectively	respectively	ADV
ajase-4116	52	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	52	31	relative	relative	ADJ
ajase-4116	52	32	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	52	33	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	52	34	scenario	scenario	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	35	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	52	36	no	no	DET
ajase-4116	52	37	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	38	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	52	39	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	53	1	however	however	ADV
ajase-4116	53	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	53	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	53	4	united	united	PROPN
ajase-4116	53	5	states	states	PROPN
ajase-4116	53	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	53	7	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	53	8	exception	exception	NOUN
ajase-4116	53	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	53	10	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	53	11	findings	finding	NOUN
ajase-4116	53	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	54	1	deschênes	deschêne	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	54	3	greenstone	greenstone	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	54	5	2011	2011	NUM
ajase-4116	54	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	54	7	developed	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	54	8	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	54	9	new	new	ADJ
ajase-4116	54	10	approach	approach	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	11	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	54	12	studying	study	VERB
ajase-4116	54	13	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	14	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	15	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	16	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	54	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	54	18	u.s	u.s	PROPN
ajase-4116	54	19	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	54	20	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	54	21	sector	sector	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	54	23	leveraging	leverage	VERB
ajase-4116	54	24	annual	annual	ADJ
ajase-4116	54	25	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	26	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	54	27	temperature	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	54	29	precipitation	precipitation	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	30	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	54	31	assess	assess	VERB
ajase-4116	54	32	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	33	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	54	34	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	54	35	profits	profit	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	36	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	54	37	county	county	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	38	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	54	39	level	level	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	40	panel	panel	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	41	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	54	42	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	55	1	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	55	2	findings	finding	NOUN
ajase-4116	55	3	suggested	suggest	VERB
ajase-4116	55	4	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	55	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	55	6	overall	overall	ADJ
ajase-4116	55	7	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	55	8	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	55	9	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	55	10	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	55	11	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	55	12	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	55	13	profits	profit	NOUN
ajase-4116	55	14	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	55	15	minimal	minimal	ADJ
ajase-4116	55	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	56	1	however	however	ADV
ajase-4116	56	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	56	3	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	4	varied	varied	ADJ
ajase-4116	56	5	across	across	ADP
ajase-4116	56	6	states	state	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	56	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	56	9	predicted	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	56	10	temperature	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	56	12	precipitation	precipitation	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	13	increases	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	14	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	56	15	unlikely	unlikely	ADJ
ajase-4116	56	16	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	56	17	affect	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	56	18	major	major	ADJ
ajase-4116	56	19	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	20	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	21	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	56	22	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	56	23	corn	corn	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	56	25	soybeans	soybean	NOUN
ajase-4116	56	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	57	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	57	2	anticipated	anticipate	VERB
ajase-4116	57	3	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	57	5	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	6	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	7	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	57	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	9	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	57	11	expected	expect	VERB
ajase-4116	57	12	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	57	13	influence	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	57	14	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	15	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	57	17	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	57	18	markets	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	57	19	significantly	significantly	ADV
ajase-4116	57	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	58	1	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	58	2	2050	2050	NUM
ajase-4116	58	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	58	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	58	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	6	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	7	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	58	8	rise	rise	VERB
ajase-4116	58	9	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	58	10	7	7	NUM
ajase-4116	58	11	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	58	12	18	18	NUM
ajase-4116	58	13	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	58	15	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	58	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	58	17	potential	potential	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	18	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	58	19	even	even	ADV
ajase-4116	58	20	larger	large	ADJ
ajase-4116	58	21	increases	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	22	under	under	ADP
ajase-4116	58	23	extreme	extreme	ADJ
ajase-4116	58	24	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	25	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
ajase-4116	58	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	59	1	shifts	shift	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	2	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	59	3	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	59	4	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	5	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	6	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	59	7	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	59	8	likely	likely	ADJ
ajase-4116	59	9	as	as	SCONJ
ajase-4116	59	10	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	11	capacities	capacity	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	12	change	change	VERB
ajase-4116	59	13	across	across	ADP
ajase-4116	59	14	different	different	ADJ
ajase-4116	59	15	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-4116	59	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	59	17	steen	steen	PROPN
ajase-4116	59	18	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	59	19	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	59	20	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	59	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	59	22	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-4116	59	23	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	59	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	60	1	increased	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	60	2	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	3	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	4	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	60	5	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	60	6	anticipated	anticipate	VERB
ajase-4116	60	7	as	as	SCONJ
ajase-4116	60	8	more	more	ADV
ajase-4116	60	9	frequent	frequent	ADJ
ajase-4116	60	10	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	11	disruptions	disruption	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	12	occur	occur	VERB
ajase-4116	60	13	due	due	ADJ
ajase-4116	60	14	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	60	15	extreme	extreme	ADJ
ajase-4116	60	16	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	17	events	event	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	18	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	60	19	song	song	NOUN
ajase-4116	60	20	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	60	21	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	60	22	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	60	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	60	24	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	60	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	60	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	1	net	net	ADJ
ajase-4116	61	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	3	imports	import	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	4	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	61	5	projected	project	VERB
ajase-4116	61	6	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	61	7	grow	grow	VERB
ajase-4116	61	8	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	61	9	many	many	ADJ
ajase-4116	61	10	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	61	11	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	13	exacerbating	exacerbate	VERB
ajase-4116	61	14	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	15	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	16	concerns	concern	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	18	particularly	particularly	ADV
ajase-4116	61	19	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	61	20	import	import	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	21	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	22	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajase-4116	61	23	nations	nation	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	24	across	across	ADP
ajase-4116	61	25	africa	africa	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	61	27	asia	asia	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	29	habib	habib	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	30	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	31	ur	ur	INTJ
ajase-4116	61	32	-	-	NOUN
ajase-4116	61	33	rahman	rahman	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	34	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	35	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	36	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	61	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	38	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	61	39	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	61	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	62	1	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	2	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	3	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	62	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	62	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	62	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	7	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	8	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	62	9	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-4116	62	10	interplay	interplay	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	11	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	62	12	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	62	14	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	15	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	16	influences	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	62	17	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	18	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	62	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	63	1	enghiad	enghiad	NOUN
ajase-4116	63	2	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	63	3	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	63	4	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	64	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	64	2	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	64	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	64	4	reported	report	VERB
ajase-4116	64	5	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	64	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	64	7	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	64	8	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	64	9	significantly	significantly	ADV
ajase-4116	64	10	affected	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	64	11	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	64	12	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	64	13	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	64	14	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	64	15	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	64	16	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	64	17	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	64	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	65	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	65	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	65	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	66	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	66	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	67	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	67	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	68	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	68	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	69	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	69	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	69	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	69	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	69	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	69	6	conditions	condition	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	69	8	pest	pest	VERB
ajase-4116	69	9	outbreaks	outbreak	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	69	11	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	12	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	69	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	69	15	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	69	16	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	17	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	69	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	70	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	70	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	70	3	noted	note	VERB
ajase-4116	70	4	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	70	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	70	6	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	70	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	70	8	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	70	9	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	70	10	sensitive	sensitive	ADJ
ajase-4116	70	11	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	70	12	supply	supply	VERB
ajase-4116	70	13	shocks	shock	NOUN
ajase-4116	70	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	70	15	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	70	16	relatively	relatively	ADV
ajase-4116	70	17	inelastic	inelastic	ADJ
ajase-4116	70	18	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	70	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	71	1	they	they	PRON
ajase-4116	71	2	indicated	indicate	VERB
ajase-4116	71	3	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	71	4	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	5	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	71	6	susceptible	susceptible	ADJ
ajase-4116	71	7	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	71	8	temperature	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	9	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	71	11	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	71	12	potential	potential	ADJ
ajase-4116	71	13	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	14	reductions	reduction	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	15	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	71	16	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	71	17	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	71	18	warming	warming	NOUN
ajase-4116	71	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	72	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	72	2	instance	instance	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	72	4	drought	drought	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	72	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	72	7	major	major	ADJ
ajase-4116	72	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	72	10	producing	produce	VERB
ajase-4116	72	11	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	12	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	72	13	lead	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	72	14	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	72	15	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	16	shortages	shortage	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	72	18	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	19	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-4116	72	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	73	1	rising	rise	VERB
ajase-4116	73	2	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	73	3	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	4	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	5	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	73	6	led	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	73	7	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	73	8	higher	high	ADJ
ajase-4116	73	9	import	import	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	10	costs	cost	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	73	12	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	73	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	73	14	turn	turn	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	15	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	73	16	driven	drive	VERB
ajase-4116	73	17	up	up	ADP
ajase-4116	73	18	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	73	19	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	20	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	73	21	foods	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	22	heavily	heavily	ADV
ajase-4116	73	23	reliant	reliant	ADJ
ajase-4116	73	24	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	73	25	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	26	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	73	27	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	73	28	ingredient	ingredient	NOUN
ajase-4116	73	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	74	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	74	2	numerous	numerous	ADJ
ajase-4116	74	3	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	74	4	nations	nation	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	74	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	74	8	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	74	9	foods	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	10	comprise	comprise	VERB
ajase-4116	74	11	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	74	12	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	74	13	portion	portion	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	14	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	74	15	household	household	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	16	diets	diet	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	74	18	so	so	SCONJ
ajase-4116	74	19	increases	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	20	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	74	21	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	22	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	23	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	74	24	significantly	significantly	ADV
ajase-4116	74	25	impact	impact	VERB
ajase-4116	74	26	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	27	costs	cost	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	74	29	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	74	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	1	algieri	algieri	PROPN
ajase-4116	75	2	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	3	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	75	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	6	jebabli	jebabli	PROPN
ajase-4116	75	7	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	75	8	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	75	9	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	75	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	11	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	75	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	75	15	sadorsky	sadorsky	ADJ
ajase-4116	75	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	17	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	75	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	75	19	argued	argue	VERB
ajase-4116	75	20	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	75	21	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	75	22	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	75	23	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	75	24	one	one	NUM
ajase-4116	75	25	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	75	26	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	75	27	key	key	ADJ
ajase-4116	75	28	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	75	29	impacting	impact	VERB
ajase-4116	75	30	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	75	31	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	75	32	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	75	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	76	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	76	2	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	3	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	4	influences	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	76	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	6	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	7	directly	directly	ADV
ajase-4116	76	8	through	through	ADP
ajase-4116	76	9	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	76	11	related	relate	VERB
ajase-4116	76	12	costs	cost	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	76	14	indirectly	indirectly	ADV
ajase-4116	76	15	through	through	ADP
ajase-4116	76	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	76	17	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	18	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	76	19	biofuels	biofuel	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	76	21	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	76	22	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	76	23	lead	lead	VERB
ajase-4116	76	24	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	76	25	substitution	substitution	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	26	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	76	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	77	1	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	2	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	77	3	fertilizer	fertilizer	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	77	5	farm	farm	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	6	machinery	machinery	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	77	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	77	9	transportation	transportation	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	77	11	all	all	PRON
ajase-4116	77	12	affected	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	77	13	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	77	14	crude	crude	ADJ
ajase-4116	77	15	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	16	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	77	18	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	77	19	influence	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	77	20	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	21	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	22	costs	cost	NOUN
ajase-4116	77	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	1	baffes	baffe	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	78	3	haniotis	haniotis	PROPN
ajase-4116	78	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	5	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	78	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	7	reported	report	VERB
ajase-4116	78	8	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	78	9	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	78	10	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	11	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	12	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	78	13	high	high	ADJ
ajase-4116	78	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	15	farmers	farmer	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	16	diverted	divert	VERB
ajase-4116	78	17	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	78	18	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	78	19	resources	resource	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	21	like	like	ADP
ajase-4116	78	22	land	land	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	24	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	78	25	energy	energy	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	26	crops	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	28	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	78	29	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	78	30	corn	corn	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	32	instead	instead	ADV
ajase-4116	78	33	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	78	34	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	78	36	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	78	37	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	78	38	higher	high	ADJ
ajase-4116	78	39	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	40	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	78	41	biofuels	biofuel	NOUN
ajase-4116	78	42	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	79	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	79	2	competition	competition	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	79	4	land	land	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	5	reduced	reduce	VERB
ajase-4116	79	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	7	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	79	9	contributing	contribute	VERB
ajase-4116	79	10	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	79	11	both	both	DET
ajase-4116	79	12	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	79	14	upward	upward	ADJ
ajase-4116	79	15	pressure	pressure	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	16	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	79	17	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	18	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	79	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	79	20	chen	chen	PROPN
ajase-4116	79	21	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	79	22	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	79	23	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	79	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	79	25	2010	2010	NUM
ajase-4116	79	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	79	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	80	1	government	government	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	2	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	80	4	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	80	5	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	80	6	export	export	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	7	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	8	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	80	9	subsidies	subsidy	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	80	11	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	80	12	affect	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	80	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	80	14	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	15	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	16	chain	chain	NOUN
ajase-4116	80	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	81	1	anderson	anderson	PROPN
ajase-4116	81	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	81	3	nelgen	nelgen	PROPN
ajase-4116	81	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	81	5	2012	2012	NUM
ajase-4116	81	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	81	7	concluded	conclude	VERB
ajase-4116	81	8	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	81	9	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	10	insulation	insulation	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	11	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	81	13	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajase-4116	81	14	markets	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	15	had	have	AUX
ajase-4116	81	16	spillover	spillover	VERB
ajase-4116	81	17	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	18	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	81	19	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	81	20	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	81	22	potentially	potentially	ADV
ajase-4116	81	23	intensifying	intensify	VERB
ajase-4116	81	24	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	25	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	81	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	82	1	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	2	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	3	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	82	4	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	5	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	82	7	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	82	8	associated	associate	VERB
ajase-4116	82	9	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	82	10	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	82	12	side	side	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	13	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	82	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	83	1	population	population	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	2	growth	growth	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	83	4	changing	change	VERB
ajase-4116	83	5	dietary	dietary	ADJ
ajase-4116	83	6	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	7	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	83	8	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	83	9	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	10	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	83	11	increase	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	83	12	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	13	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	83	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	84	2	rising	rise	VERB
ajase-4116	84	3	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	84	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	5	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	84	6	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	84	7	met	meet	VERB
ajase-4116	84	8	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	84	9	corresponding	correspond	VERB
ajase-4116	84	10	increases	increase	NOUN
ajase-4116	84	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	84	12	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	84	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	14	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	84	15	contribute	contribute	VERB
ajase-4116	84	16	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	84	17	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	84	18	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	84	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	20	godfray	godfray	X
ajase-4116	84	21	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	84	22	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	84	23	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	84	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	25	2010	2010	NUM
ajase-4116	84	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	84	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	85	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	85	2	growth	growth	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	85	4	urbanization	urbanization	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	85	6	emerging	emerge	VERB
ajase-4116	85	7	economies	economy	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	8	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	85	9	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	85	10	increase	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	85	11	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	12	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	13	as	as	SCONJ
ajase-4116	85	14	consumers	consumer	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	15	shift	shift	VERB
ajase-4116	85	16	towards	towards	ADP
ajase-4116	85	17	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	18	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	85	19	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	85	20	products	product	NOUN
ajase-4116	85	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	86	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	86	2	trend	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	3	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	86	4	pressure	pressure	VERB
ajase-4116	86	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	86	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	7	supplies	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	86	9	influence	influence	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	10	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	86	12	alexandratos	alexandrato	NOUN
ajase-4116	86	13	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	86	14	bruinsma	bruinsma	PROPN
ajase-4116	86	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	86	16	2012	2012	NUM
ajase-4116	86	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	86	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	87	1	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	87	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	87	4	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	87	5	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	87	6	food	food	ADJ
ajase-4116	87	7	purposes	purpose	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	87	9	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	87	10	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	87	11	biofuel	biofuel	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	12	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	87	14	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	87	15	create	create	VERB
ajase-4116	87	16	additional	additional	ADJ
ajase-4116	87	17	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	18	pressure	pressure	NOUN
ajase-4116	87	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	88	1	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	2	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	88	3	biofuel	biofuel	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	4	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	5	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	88	6	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	7	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	8	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	88	9	indirectly	indirectly	ADV
ajase-4116	88	10	affect	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	88	11	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	12	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	88	14	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	88	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	88	16	headey	headey	PROPN
ajase-4116	88	17	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	88	18	fan	fan	PROPN
ajase-4116	88	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	88	20	2008	2008	NUM
ajase-4116	88	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	88	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	1	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	89	3	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	89	5	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	6	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	7	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	89	8	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	9	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	89	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	13	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	14	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	89	15	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	17	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	19	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	20	has	have	AUX
ajase-4116	89	21	emerged	emerge	VERB
ajase-4116	89	22	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	89	23	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	89	24	effective	effective	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	25	tool	tool	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	26	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	89	27	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	28	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	29	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	30	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	32	including	include	VERB
ajase-4116	89	33	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	89	34	commodities	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	35	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	89	36	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	37	jadhav	jadhav	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	38	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	39	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	40	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	89	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	42	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	89	43	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	89	44	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	90	2	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	3	incorporates	incorporate	VERB
ajase-4116	90	4	three	three	NUM
ajase-4116	90	5	key	key	ADJ
ajase-4116	90	6	components	component	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	8	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	10	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	13	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	90	14	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	90	15	achieve	achieve	VERB
ajase-4116	90	16	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	18	i	i	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	90	22	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	90	23	averages	average	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	24	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	25	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	90	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	90	27	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	28	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	90	29	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	90	30	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	90	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	1	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	2	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	3	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	91	4	been	be	AUX
ajase-4116	91	5	popularly	popularly	ADV
ajase-4116	91	6	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	91	7	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	91	8	various	various	ADJ
ajase-4116	91	9	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	91	10	contexts	context	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	11	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	91	12	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	91	13	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	91	14	flexibility	flexibility	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	91	16	ability	ability	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	17	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	91	18	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	91	19	complex	complex	ADJ
ajase-4116	91	20	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	22	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	24	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	91	27	irregular	irregular	ADJ
ajase-4116	91	28	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	29	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	91	30	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	91	31	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	32	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	33	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	34	iqbal	iqbal	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	35	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	36	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	37	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	91	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	39	2005	2005	NUM
ajase-4116	91	40	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	91	41	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	1	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	92	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	92	3	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	4	exhibited	exhibit	VERB
ajase-4116	92	5	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	6	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	92	9	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	10	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	11	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	12	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	92	13	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	15	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	17	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	19	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	92	20	extension	extension	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	21	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	92	22	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	92	23	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	92	25	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	92	26	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	92	27	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	92	28	precise	precise	ADJ
ajase-4116	92	29	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	92	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	93	1	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	93	2	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	93	3	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	93	4	demonstrated	demonstrate	VERB
ajase-4116	93	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	93	6	effectiveness	effectiveness	NOUN
ajase-4116	93	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	93	8	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	93	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	93	10	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	93	11	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	93	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	93	13	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	93	14	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	93	15	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	93	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	94	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	94	2	instance	instance	NOUN
ajase-4116	94	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	94	4	jadhav	jadhav	PROPN
ajase-4116	94	5	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	94	6	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	94	7	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	95	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	2	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	95	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	4	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	95	5	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	6	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	95	8	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	95	9	paddy	paddy	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	11	ragi	ragi	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	95	14	maize	maize	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	15	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	95	17	karnataka	karnataka	PROPN
ajase-4116	95	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	19	india	india	PROPN
ajase-4116	95	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	95	21	demonstrating	demonstrate	VERB
ajase-4116	95	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	95	23	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	24	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	95	25	power	power	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	26	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	95	27	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	95	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	96	1	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	96	2	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	3	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	4	extends	extend	VERB
ajase-4116	96	5	beyond	beyond	ADP
ajase-4116	96	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	8	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	96	9	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	96	10	areas	area	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	11	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	96	12	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	96	13	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	96	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	1	ahmadzai	ahmadzai	PROPN
ajase-4116	97	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	97	3	eliw	eliw	PROPN
ajase-4116	97	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	5	2020	2020	NUM
ajase-4116	97	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	7	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	97	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	97	9	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	97	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	11	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	97	12	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	97	13	various	various	ADJ
ajase-4116	97	14	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	97	15	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	16	related	relate	VERB
ajase-4116	97	17	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	97	18	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	19	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	20	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	97	21	afghanistan	afghanistan	PROPN
ajase-4116	97	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	23	including	include	VERB
ajase-4116	97	24	area	area	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	25	under	under	ADP
ajase-4116	97	26	cultivation	cultivation	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	28	productivity	productivity	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	97	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	97	31	consumption	consumption	NOUN
ajase-4116	97	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	98	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	98	2	broader	broad	ADJ
ajase-4116	98	3	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	4	highlighted	highlight	VERB
ajase-4116	98	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	98	6	versatility	versatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	98	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	98	9	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	98	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	98	12	addressing	address	VERB
ajase-4116	98	13	various	various	ADJ
ajase-4116	98	14	aspects	aspect	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	15	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	98	16	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	98	17	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	98	19	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	20	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	98	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	99	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	99	2	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	99	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	99	4	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	5	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	6	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	99	7	widely	widely	ADV
ajase-4116	99	8	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	99	9	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	10	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	99	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	12	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	13	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	99	14	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	99	15	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	99	16	effectiveness	effectiveness	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	17	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	99	18	capturing	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	99	19	temporal	temporal	ADJ
ajase-4116	99	20	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	21	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	99	22	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	99	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	100	1	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	100	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	100	3	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	100	5	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	6	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	7	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	100	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	9	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	11	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	100	12	particularly	particularly	ADV
ajase-4116	100	13	useful	useful	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	14	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	100	15	predicting	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	100	16	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	17	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	100	19	as	as	SCONJ
ajase-4116	100	20	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	100	21	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	100	22	handle	handle	VERB
ajase-4116	100	23	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	24	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	25	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	26	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	100	28	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	100	29	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	100	30	common	common	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	31	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	100	32	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	33	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	34	influenced	influence	VERB
ajase-4116	100	35	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	100	36	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	100	38	external	external	ADJ
ajase-4116	100	39	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	40	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	100	41	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	101	1	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	2	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	101	3	presents	present	VERB
ajase-4116	101	4	various	various	ADJ
ajase-4116	101	5	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	101	7	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	8	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	9	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	101	10	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	101	11	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	101	12	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	13	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	101	14	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	101	15	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	16	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	17	across	across	ADP
ajase-4116	101	18	different	different	ADJ
ajase-4116	101	19	geographical	geographical	ADJ
ajase-4116	101	20	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-4116	101	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	1	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	2	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	102	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	4	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	5	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	7	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	102	8	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	102	10	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	11	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	12	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	13	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	14	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	102	15	contributors	contributor	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	16	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	17	sarima(0,1,1)(0,1,1)12	sarima(0,1,1)(0,1,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	18	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	19	darekar	darekar	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	20	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	102	21	reddy	reddy	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	23	2018	2018	NUM
ajase-4116	102	24	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	25	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	26	arima(1,1,1	arima(1,1,1	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	27	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	29	sharma	sharma	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	31	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	102	32	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	34	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	35	novković	novković	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	36	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	37	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	38	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	40	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	102	41	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	42	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	43	arima(1,2,1	arima(1,2,1	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	44	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	45	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	46	du	du	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	47	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	48	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	102	49	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	50	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	51	arima(1,1,0	arima(1,1,0	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	52	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	53	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	54	kumar	kumar	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	55	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	56	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	102	57	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	58	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	102	59	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	60	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	61	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	62	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	63	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	102	64	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	102	65	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	66	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	67	have	have	AUX
ajase-4116	102	68	shown	show	VERB
ajase-4116	102	69	reliability	reliability	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	70	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	102	71	short	short	ADJ
ajase-4116	102	72	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	73	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	74	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	75	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	102	76	especially	especially	ADV
ajase-4116	102	77	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	102	78	underlying	underlying	ADJ
ajase-4116	102	79	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	80	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	102	81	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	102	82	stable	stable	ADJ
ajase-4116	102	83	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	103	1	however	however	ADV
ajase-4116	103	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	103	3	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	103	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	103	5	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	103	6	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	103	7	might	might	AUX
ajase-4116	103	8	face	face	VERB
ajase-4116	103	9	limitations	limitation	NOUN
ajase-4116	103	10	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	103	11	predicting	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	103	12	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	103	13	under	under	ADP
ajase-4116	103	14	highly	highly	ADV
ajase-4116	103	15	volatile	volatile	ADJ
ajase-4116	103	16	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	103	17	unexpected	unexpected	ADJ
ajase-4116	103	18	conditions	condition	NOUN
ajase-4116	103	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	104	2	that	that	DET
ajase-4116	104	3	condition	condition	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	5	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	104	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	7	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	9	like	like	ADP
ajase-4116	104	10	machine	machine	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	11	learning	learning	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	12	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	13	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	104	14	hybrid	hybrid	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	15	approaches	approach	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	17	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ajase-4116	104	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	19	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	104	20	combined	combine	VERB
ajase-4116	104	21	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	104	22	neural	neural	ADJ
ajase-4116	104	23	networks	network	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	24	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	26	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	104	27	improve	improve	VERB
ajase-4116	104	28	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	29	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	104	30	capturing	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	104	31	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	104	32	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	104	33	linear	linear	ADJ
ajase-4116	104	34	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	35	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	104	36	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	104	37	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	38	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	39	mahapatra	mahapatra	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	40	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	104	41	dash	dash	NOUN
ajase-4116	104	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	43	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	104	44	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	104	45	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	105	1	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	105	2	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	105	3	4	4	NUM
ajase-4116	105	4	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	105	5	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	105	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	106	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	106	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	106	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	107	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	107	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	108	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	108	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	109	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	109	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	110	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	110	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	110	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	110	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	110	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	110	6	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	7	implications	implication	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	8	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	110	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	10	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	12	sharma	sharma	PROPN
ajase-4116	110	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	110	14	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	110	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	110	16	stated	state	VERB
ajase-4116	110	17	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	110	18	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	20	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	110	21	essential	essential	ADJ
ajase-4116	110	22	for	for	SCONJ
ajase-4116	110	23	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	24	participants	participant	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	25	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	110	26	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	110	27	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	110	29	marketingrelated	marketingrelate	VERB
ajase-4116	110	30	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	110	32	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	110	33	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	34	managing	manage	VERB
ajase-4116	110	35	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	36	programs	program	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	110	38	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ajase-4116	110	39	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	40	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	41	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	110	42	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajase-4116	110	43	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	110	44	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	110	45	events	event	NOUN
ajase-4116	110	46	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	111	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	111	2	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	111	3	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	111	4	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	111	5	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	111	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	111	7	rajasthan	rajasthan	PROPN
ajase-4116	111	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	111	9	india	india	PROPN
ajase-4116	111	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	111	11	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	111	12	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	111	13	arima(1,1,1	arima(1,1,1	NOUN
ajase-4116	111	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	111	15	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	111	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	112	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	112	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	3	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	112	4	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	5	implication	implication	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	6	highlighted	highlight	VERB
ajase-4116	112	7	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	112	8	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ajase-4116	112	9	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	11	enhanced	enhance	VERB
ajase-4116	112	12	planning	planning	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	112	14	development	development	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	112	16	empowering	empower	VERB
ajase-4116	112	17	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	18	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	112	19	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
ajase-4116	112	20	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	21	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	22	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	112	24	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	112	25	informed	informed	ADJ
ajase-4116	112	26	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	112	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	113	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	113	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	3	capability	capability	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	4	aided	aid	VERB
ajase-4116	113	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	113	6	formulating	formulate	VERB
ajase-4116	113	7	effective	effective	ADJ
ajase-4116	113	8	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	9	related	relate	VERB
ajase-4116	113	10	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	113	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	12	structures	structure	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	113	14	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	15	levels	level	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	113	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	113	18	consumption	consumption	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	19	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	113	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	114	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
ajase-4116	114	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	114	3	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	114	4	supported	support	VERB
ajase-4116	114	5	strategic	strategic	ADJ
ajase-4116	114	6	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	7	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	114	8	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	114	9	relations	relation	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	114	11	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-4116	114	12	governments	government	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	13	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	114	14	adjust	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	114	15	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	16	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	114	18	maintain	maintain	VERB
ajase-4116	114	19	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	20	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	114	22	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	114	23	respond	respond	VERB
ajase-4116	114	24	proactively	proactively	ADV
ajase-4116	114	25	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	114	26	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	114	27	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	28	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	114	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	115	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	115	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	115	3	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	115	4	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	115	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	7	allows	allow	VERB
ajase-4116	115	8	governments	government	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	9	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	115	10	proactively	proactively	ADV
ajase-4116	115	11	address	address	VERB
ajase-4116	115	12	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	13	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	14	concerns	concern	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	15	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	115	16	managing	manage	VERB
ajase-4116	115	17	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	115	19	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	20	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	115	22	particularly	particularly	ADV
ajase-4116	115	23	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	115	24	wheatimport	wheatimport	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	25	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	115	26	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajase-4116	115	27	nations	nation	NOUN
ajase-4116	115	28	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	116	1	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ajase-4116	116	2	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	4	enable	enable	VERB
ajase-4116	116	5	effective	effective	ADJ
ajase-4116	116	6	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	7	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	8	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	116	10	helping	help	VERB
ajase-4116	116	11	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	12	plan	plan	VERB
ajase-4116	116	13	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	116	14	imports	import	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	15	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	116	16	exports	export	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	17	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	116	18	maintain	maintain	VERB
ajase-4116	116	19	stable	stable	ADJ
ajase-4116	116	20	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajase-4116	116	21	markets	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	116	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	117	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	2	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	117	3	informs	inform	VERB
ajase-4116	117	4	subsidy	subsidy	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	117	6	support	support	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	7	programs	program	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	8	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	117	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	10	producers	producer	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	117	12	enhancing	enhance	VERB
ajase-4116	117	13	income	income	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	14	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	117	16	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	117	17	productivity	productivity	NOUN
ajase-4116	117	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
ajase-4116	118	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	3	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	118	4	aids	aid	VERB
ajase-4116	118	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	118	6	understanding	understand	VERB
ajase-4116	118	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	118	8	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	118	9	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	10	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	118	11	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	118	12	events	event	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	14	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	118	15	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	118	16	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	17	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	18	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	118	19	geopolitical	geopolitical	ADJ
ajase-4116	118	20	disruptions	disruption	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	22	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	118	23	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	24	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	26	enabling	enable	VERB
ajase-4116	118	27	better	well	ADJ
ajase-4116	118	28	resource	resource	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	29	allocation	allocation	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	118	31	risk	risk	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	32	management	management	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	33	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	118	34	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
ajase-4116	118	35	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	36	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	118	37	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	38	bentley	bentley	PROPN
ajase-4116	118	39	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	118	40	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	118	41	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	118	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	43	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	118	44	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	118	45	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	119	1	materials	material	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	119	3	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	119	5	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	119	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	7	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	119	9	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	119	10	seasonally	seasonally	ADV
ajase-4116	119	11	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	119	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	119	13	measured	measure	VERB
ajase-4116	119	14	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	119	15	u.s	u.s	PROPN
ajase-4116	119	16	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	119	17	dollars	dollar	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	18	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	119	19	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	119	20	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	119	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	119	22	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	119	23	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	119	24	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	119	25	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	119	26	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	119	27	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	119	28	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	119	29	made	make	VERB
ajase-4116	119	30	publicly	publicly	ADV
ajase-4116	119	31	available	available	ADJ
ajase-4116	119	32	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	119	33	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	119	34	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	119	35	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-4116	119	36	fund	fund	NOUN
ajase-4116	120	1	[	[	X
ajase-4116	120	2	pwheamtusdm	pwheamtusdm	X
ajase-4116	120	3	]	]	X
ajase-4116	120	4	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	121	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	121	3	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	4	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	121	5	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	121	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	121	7	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	121	8	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	121	10	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	12	secondary	secondary	ADJ
ajase-4116	121	13	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	14	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	121	15	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	16	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	121	17	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	121	18	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	19	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	121	20	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	121	21	retrieved	retrieve	VERB
ajase-4116	121	22	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	121	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	121	24	federal	federal	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	25	reserve	reserve	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	26	economic	economic	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	27	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	29	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	31	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	32	https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/	https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	33	pwheamtusdm	pwheamtusdm	NOUN
ajase-4116	121	34	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	35	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	121	36	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	121	37	15	15	NUM
ajase-4116	121	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	121	39	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	121	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	122	2	data	data	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	4	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	122	5	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajase-4116	122	6	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	122	7	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	8	4.3.3	4.3.3	NUM
ajase-4116	122	9	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	122	10	windows	window	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	12	opensource	opensource	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	13	software	software	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	14	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	122	15	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajase-4116	122	16	computing	computing	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	122	18	graphics	graphic	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	20	provided	provide	VERB
ajase-4116	122	21	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	122	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	122	23	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	24	foundation	foundation	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	25	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	122	26	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajase-4116	122	27	computing	computing	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	29	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	122	30	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	122	31	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	32	tseries	tserie	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	33	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	34	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	122	35	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	36	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	37	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	122	38	packages	package	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	39	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	122	40	estimate	estimate	VERB
ajase-4116	122	41	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	42	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	43	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	122	44	fit	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	122	45	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	122	46	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	47	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	122	48	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	123	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	123	2	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	123	3	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	123	4	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	123	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	123	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	123	7	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	123	8	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	123	9	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	123	10	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	123	11	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	123	12	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	123	13	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	123	14	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	123	15	183.75	183.75	NUM
ajase-4116	123	16	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	123	17	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	123	18	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	123	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	123	20	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	123	21	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	123	22	standard	standard	ADJ
ajase-4116	123	23	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ajase-4116	123	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	123	25	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	123	26	68.22	68.22	NUM
ajase-4116	123	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	124	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	124	2	dataset	dataset	NOUN
ajase-4116	124	3	exhibited	exhibit	VERB
ajase-4116	124	4	considerable	considerable	ADJ
ajase-4116	124	5	dispersion	dispersion	NOUN
ajase-4116	124	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	124	7	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	124	8	affected	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	124	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	124	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	124	11	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	124	12	fit	fit	NOUN
ajase-4116	124	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	125	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
ajase-4116	125	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	125	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	125	4	original	original	ADJ
ajase-4116	125	5	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	125	6	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	125	7	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	125	8	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	125	9	transformed	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	125	10	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	125	11	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
ajase-4116	125	12	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	125	13	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	125	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	125	15	enhance	enhance	VERB
ajase-4116	125	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	125	17	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	125	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	126	1	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	126	2	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	126	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	126	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	126	5	a	a	NOUN
ajase-4116	126	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	126	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	127	1	histogram	histogram	NOUN
ajase-4116	127	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	127	3	original	original	ADJ
ajase-4116	127	4	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	127	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	127	6	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	127	7	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	127	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	127	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	1	histogram	histogram	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	128	3	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	5	transformed	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	128	6	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	7	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	9	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	10	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	128	11	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	12	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	128	13	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	128	14	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	128	15	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	128	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	17	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	128	18	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	128	19	b	b	PROPN
ajase-4116	128	20	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	21	descriptions	description	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	22	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	128	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	24	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	26	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	27	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	128	28	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	128	29	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	30	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	128	32	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	33	uses	use	VERB
ajase-4116	128	34	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	128	35	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	36	steps	step	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	37	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	128	38	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	128	39	variable	variable	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	40	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	128	41	predict	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	128	42	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	128	43	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	128	44	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	128	45	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	129	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	129	2	general	general	ADJ
ajase-4116	129	3	form	form	NOUN
ajase-4116	129	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	129	5	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	129	6	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	129	7	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	129	8	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	129	9	expressed	express	VERB
ajase-4116	129	10	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	129	11	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	129	12	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	129	13	σ	σ	PROPN
ajase-4116	129	14	+	+	PROPN
ajase-4116	129	15	ϕ1	ϕ1	PROPN
ajase-4116	129	16	x(t-1	x(t-1	PROPN
ajase-4116	129	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	1	+	+	CCONJ
ajase-4116	130	2	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	4	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	130	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	6	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	130	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	8	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	9	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	11	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	12	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	130	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	14	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	15	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	16	at	at	ADP
ajase-4116	130	17	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	18	t	t	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	20	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	130	21	t	t	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	22	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	130	23	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	130	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	25	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	130	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	27	..	..	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	29	n	n	CCONJ
ajase-4116	130	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	32	σ	σ	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	33	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	34	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	130	35	constant	constant	ADJ
ajase-4116	130	36	centered	center	VERB
ajase-4116	130	37	around	around	ADP
ajase-4116	130	38	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	39	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	40	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	41	ϕ	ϕ	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	42	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	43	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	44	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	45	that	that	PRON
ajase-4116	130	46	represent	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	130	47	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	48	influence	influence	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	49	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	130	50	past	past	ADJ
ajase-4116	130	51	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	52	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	130	53	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	55	xt-1	xt-1	PROPN
ajase-4116	130	56	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	57	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	58	lagged	lag	VERB
ajase-4116	130	59	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	60	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	130	61	one	one	NUM
ajase-4116	130	62	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	63	period	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	64	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	130	65	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	130	66	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	67	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	68	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	130	69	random	random	ADJ
ajase-4116	130	70	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	71	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	130	72	that	that	PRON
ajase-4116	130	73	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	130	74	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ajase-4116	130	75	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	1	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	131	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	131	3	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	4	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	5	has	have	VERB
ajase-4116	131	6	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	131	7	zero	zero	NUM
ajase-4116	131	8	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	131	10	constant	constant	ADJ
ajase-4116	131	11	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	12	σ2	σ2	PROPN
ajase-4116	131	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	14	white	white	ADJ
ajase-4116	131	15	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	18	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	131	19	follows	follow	VERB
ajase-4116	131	20	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	131	21	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	131	22	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	23	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	24	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	131	25	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	131	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	27	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	131	28	ar(1	ar(1	PROPN
ajase-4116	131	29	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	131	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	132	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	132	3	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	132	6	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	132	8	x	x	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	9	at	at	ADP
ajase-4116	132	10	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	11	t	t	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	12	depends	depend	VERB
ajase-4116	132	13	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	132	14	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	132	15	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	132	16	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	17	plus	plus	CCONJ
ajase-4116	132	18	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	132	19	random	random	ADJ
ajase-4116	132	20	shock	shock	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	21	at	at	ADP
ajase-4116	132	22	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	23	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	24	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	132	25	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	132	26	second	second	ADJ
ajase-4116	132	27	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	28	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	29	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	132	30	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	32	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	132	33	ar(2	ar(2	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	34	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	36	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	132	37	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	132	38	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	132	39	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	132	40	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	41	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	42	+	+	CCONJ
ajase-4116	132	43	ϕ1	ϕ1	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	44	x(t-1	x(t-1	PROPN
ajase-4116	132	45	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	133	1	+	+	ADP
ajase-4116	133	2	ϕ2	ϕ2	ADV
ajase-4116	133	3	x(t-2)+et	x(t-2)+et	PROPN
ajase-4116	133	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	133	5	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	133	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	133	7	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	133	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	133	9	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	133	10	now	now	ADV
ajase-4116	133	11	depends	depend	VERB
ajase-4116	133	12	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	133	13	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	133	14	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	133	15	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	133	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	133	17	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	133	18	two	two	NUM
ajase-4116	133	19	periods	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	133	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	133	21	centered	center	VERB
ajase-4116	133	22	around	around	ADP
ajase-4116	133	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	133	24	mean	mean	ADJ
ajase-4116	133	25	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	133	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	134	1	generally	generally	ADV
ajase-4116	134	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	134	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	134	4	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	134	5	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	6	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	134	8	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	9	p	p	X
ajase-4116	134	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	134	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	134	12	current	current	ADJ
ajase-4116	134	13	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	14	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	134	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	134	16	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	17	depend	depend	VERB
ajase-4116	134	18	linearly	linearly	ADV
ajase-4116	134	19	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	134	20	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	134	21	past	past	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	22	p	p	PROPN
ajase-4116	134	23	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	134	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	134	25	expressed	express	VERB
ajase-4116	134	26	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	134	27	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	134	28	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	134	29	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	134	30	+	+	CCONJ
ajase-4116	134	31	ϕ1	ϕ1	PROPN
ajase-4116	134	32	x(t-1	x(t-1	PROPN
ajase-4116	134	33	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	1	+	+	ADV
ajase-4116	135	2	ϕ2	ϕ2	ADV
ajase-4116	135	3	x(t-2)+	x(t-2)+	ADJ
ajase-4116	135	4	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	5	+ϕp	+ϕp	PRON
ajase-4116	135	6	x(t	x(t	PROPN
ajase-4116	135	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	8	p)+et	p)+et	X
ajase-4116	135	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	10	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	135	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	12	here	here	ADV
ajase-4116	135	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	14	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	135	15	represents	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	135	16	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	135	17	ar(p	ar(p	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	19	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	21	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	135	22	each	each	DET
ajase-4116	135	23	ϕ	ϕ	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	24	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	25	represents	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	135	26	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	135	27	influence	influence	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	28	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	135	29	previous	previous	ADJ
ajase-4116	135	30	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	31	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	135	32	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	135	33	current	current	ADJ
ajase-4116	135	34	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	135	35	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	36	gujarati	gujarati	PROPN
ajase-4116	135	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	38	2003	2003	NUM
ajase-4116	135	39	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	135	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	1	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	136	2	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	136	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	4	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	6	models	model	VERB
ajase-4116	136	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	136	8	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	136	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	136	10	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	11	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	136	12	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	136	13	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	136	14	generated	generate	VERB
ajase-4116	136	15	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	136	16	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	136	17	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	136	18	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	136	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	20	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	22	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	136	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	24	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	136	25	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	136	26	formulated	formulate	VERB
ajase-4116	136	27	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	136	28	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	136	29	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	30	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	31	5	5	NUM
ajase-4116	136	32	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	136	33	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	136	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	137	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	137	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	137	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	138	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	138	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	139	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	139	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	140	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	140	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	141	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	141	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	141	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	141	6	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	141	7	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	141	8	+	+	PROPN
ajase-4116	141	9	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	11	θ1	θ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	12	e(t-1	e(t-1	PROPN
ajase-4116	141	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	15	4	4	X
ajase-4116	141	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	17	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	141	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	19	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	141	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	141	21	θ1	θ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	22	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	141	23	constants	constant	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	141	25	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	141	26	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	27	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	141	28	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	141	29	white	white	ADJ
ajase-4116	141	30	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	31	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	32	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	141	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	142	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	142	3	case	case	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	5	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	142	6	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	142	7	defined	define	VERB
ajase-4116	142	8	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	142	9	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	142	10	constant	constant	ADJ
ajase-4116	142	11	plus	plus	CCONJ
ajase-4116	142	12	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	142	13	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	142	14	average	average	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	15	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	142	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	142	17	current	current	ADJ
ajase-4116	142	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	142	19	prior	prior	ADJ
ajase-4116	142	20	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	21	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	23	indicating	indicate	VERB
ajase-4116	142	24	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	142	25	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	142	26	follows	follow	VERB
ajase-4116	142	27	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	142	28	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	142	29	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	30	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	31	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	142	32	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	142	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	34	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	142	35	ma(1	ma(1	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	36	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	142	37	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	142	38	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	143	1	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	143	2	x	x	PRON
ajase-4116	143	3	follows	follow	VERB
ajase-4116	143	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	143	5	expression	expression	NOUN
ajase-4116	143	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	143	7	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	143	8	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	144	1	+	+	PROPN
ajase-4116	144	2	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	4	θ1	θ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	5	e(t-1)-θ2	e(t-1)-θ2	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	6	e(t-2	e(t-2	PROPN
ajase-4116	144	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	9	5	5	X
ajase-4116	144	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	11	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	144	12	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	144	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	144	14	second	second	ADJ
ajase-4116	144	15	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	16	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	17	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	144	18	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	144	19	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	144	20	ma(2	ma(2	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	144	22	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	144	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	1	more	more	ADV
ajase-4116	145	2	generally	generally	ADV
ajase-4116	145	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	4	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	145	5	any	any	DET
ajase-4116	145	6	positive	positive	ADJ
ajase-4116	145	7	integer	integer	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	8	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	145	11	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	12	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	13	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	145	14	represented	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	145	15	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	145	16	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	17	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	18	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	19	+	+	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	20	et	et	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	21	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	22	θ1	θ1	ADJ
ajase-4116	145	23	e(t-1)-θ2	e(t-1)-θ2	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	24	e(t-2)-	e(t-2)-	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	25	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	26	-θq	-θq	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	27	e(t	e(t	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	29	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	31	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	32	6	6	NUM
ajase-4116	145	33	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	34	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	145	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	36	xt	xt	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	37	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	145	38	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	145	39	ma(q	ma(q	ADJ
ajase-4116	145	40	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	41	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	43	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	145	44	linear	linear	ADJ
ajase-4116	145	45	combination	combination	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	46	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	145	47	white	white	ADJ
ajase-4116	145	48	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	49	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	50	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	145	51	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	52	gujarati	gujarati	PROPN
ajase-4116	145	53	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	54	2003	2003	NUM
ajase-4116	145	55	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	145	56	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	1	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	2	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	146	3	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	5	arma	arma	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	7	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	146	9	arma	arma	PROPN
ajase-4116	146	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	11	combines	combine	VERB
ajase-4116	146	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	14	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	146	17	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	146	18	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	20	ma	ma	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	22	components	component	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	146	24	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-4116	146	25	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	146	26	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	146	27	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	146	28	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	146	29	behavior	behavior	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	30	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	146	31	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	146	32	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	33	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	34	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	146	35	predict	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	146	36	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	37	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	38	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	146	39	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	146	40	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	146	41	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	147	2	most	most	ADV
ajase-4116	147	3	general	general	ADJ
ajase-4116	147	4	arma	arma	PROPN
ajase-4116	147	5	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	6	has	have	VERB
ajase-4116	147	7	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	147	8	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	147	10	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	147	12	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	147	14	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	147	15	created	create	VERB
ajase-4116	147	16	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	147	17	combining	combine	VERB
ajase-4116	147	18	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	147	19	equations	equation	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	20	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	147	21	ar(p	ar(p	NUM
ajase-4116	147	22	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	147	24	ma(q	ma(q	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	26	processes	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	147	27	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	28	gujarati	gujarati	PROPN
ajase-4116	147	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	30	2003	2003	NUM
ajase-4116	147	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	147	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	1	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	148	2	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	148	3	expressed	express	VERB
ajase-4116	148	4	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	148	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	6	xt=	xt=	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	7	δ+ϕ1	δ+ϕ1	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	8	x(t-1)+ϕ2	x(t-1)+ϕ2	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	9	x(t-2)+	x(t-2)+	NUM
ajase-4116	148	10	…	…	X
ajase-4116	148	11	+ϕp	+ϕp	PRON
ajase-4116	148	12	x(t	x(t	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	13	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	14	p)+et	p)+et	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	15	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	16	θ1	θ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	17	e(t-1)-θ2	e(t-1)-θ2	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	18	e(t-2)-	e(t-2)-	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	19	…	…	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	20	θq	θq	ADV
ajase-4116	148	21	e(t	e(t	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	22	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	23	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	24	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	26	7	7	NUM
ajase-4116	148	27	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	28	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-4116	148	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	30	δ	δ	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	32	ϕ1	ϕ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	33	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	34	ϕp	ϕp	INTJ
ajase-4116	148	35	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	148	36	θ1	θ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	37	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	148	38	θq	θq	PROPN
ajase-4116	148	39	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	148	40	fixed	fix	VERB
ajase-4116	148	41	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	148	42	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	149	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	149	2	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	149	3	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	149	4	called	call	VERB
ajase-4116	149	5	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	149	6	mixed	mixed	ADJ
ajase-4116	149	7	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	149	8	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	149	9	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	149	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	149	11	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	149	12	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	149	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	149	14	p	p	X
ajase-4116	149	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	149	16	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	149	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	149	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	1	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	2	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	3	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	150	4	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	6	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	8	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	9	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	12	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	150	13	known	know	VERB
ajase-4116	150	14	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	150	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	150	16	box	box	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	17	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	18	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	19	methodology	methodology	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	20	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	21	montgomery	montgomery	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	22	et	et	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	23	al	al	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	24	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	26	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	150	27	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	150	29	combines	combine	VERB
ajase-4116	150	30	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	150	31	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	32	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	150	33	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	150	34	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	35	components	component	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	36	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	150	37	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	150	38	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	150	39	transform	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	150	40	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	41	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	42	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	43	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	44	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	150	45	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	46	into	into	ADP
ajase-4116	150	47	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	150	48	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	150	49	form	form	NOUN
ajase-4116	150	50	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	151	1	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	2	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	151	3	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	4	generally	generally	ADV
ajase-4116	151	5	assume	assume	VERB
ajase-4116	151	6	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	151	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	151	8	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	9	involved	involve	VERB
ajase-4116	151	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	151	11	weakly	weakly	ADV
ajase-4116	151	12	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	151	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	151	14	meaning	mean	VERB
ajase-4116	151	15	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	151	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	151	17	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	18	has	have	VERB
ajase-4116	151	19	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	151	20	constant	constant	ADJ
ajase-4116	151	21	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	22	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	151	23	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	151	25	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	151	26	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	151	27	covariance	covariance	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	28	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	151	29	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	151	30	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	151	31	invariant	invariant	ADJ
ajase-4116	151	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	1	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	152	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	152	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	4	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	6	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	152	7	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	152	8	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	152	9	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	10	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	12	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	152	13	already	already	ADV
ajase-4116	152	14	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	152	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	16	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	152	17	constant	constant	ADJ
ajase-4116	152	18	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	152	20	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	23	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	152	24	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	152	25	arma(p	arma(p	PROPN
ajase-4116	152	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	27	q	q	ADJ
ajase-4116	152	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	152	29	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	152	30	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	152	31	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	152	32	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	152	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	1	however	however	ADV
ajase-4116	153	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	3	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	153	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	153	5	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	6	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	153	7	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	153	8	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	153	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	10	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	153	11	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	153	12	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	153	13	made	make	VERB
ajase-4116	153	14	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	153	15	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	153	16	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	153	17	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	153	18	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	19	times	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	153	22	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	153	23	arima(p	arima(p	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	25	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	27	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	153	29	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	153	30	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	153	31	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	153	32	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	153	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	154	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	154	3	context	context	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	5	•	•	ADP
ajase-4116	154	6	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	7	represents	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	154	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	154	9	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	10	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	154	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	154	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	154	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	14	ar	ar	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	16	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	18	•	•	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	19	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	20	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	154	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	154	22	number	number	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	23	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	154	24	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	26	i	i	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	27	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	28	needed	need	VERB
ajase-4116	154	29	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	154	30	achieve	achieve	VERB
ajase-4116	154	31	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	33	•	•	PRON
ajase-4116	154	34	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	35	indicates	indicate	VERB
ajase-4116	154	36	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	154	37	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	38	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	154	39	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	154	40	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	154	41	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	154	42	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	43	ma	ma	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	44	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	154	45	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	154	46	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	155	1	according	accord	VERB
ajase-4116	155	2	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	155	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	155	4	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ajase-4116	155	5	framework	framework	NOUN
ajase-4116	155	6	provided	provide	VERB
ajase-4116	155	7	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	155	8	box	box	PROPN
ajase-4116	155	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	155	10	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ajase-4116	155	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	155	12	both	both	DET
ajase-4116	155	13	ar	ar	PROPN
ajase-4116	155	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	155	15	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	155	16	processes	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	155	17	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	155	18	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	155	19	utilized	utilize	VERB
ajase-4116	155	20	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	155	21	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	155	22	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	155	23	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	155	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	156	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	156	2	box	box	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	156	4	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ajase-4116	156	5	method	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	6	fits	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	156	7	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	156	8	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	10	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	156	11	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	156	12	given	give	VERB
ajase-4116	156	13	dataset	dataset	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	14	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	156	15	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ajase-4116	156	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	156	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	157	1	materials	material	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	157	3	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	157	5	box	box	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	157	7	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	8	approach	approach	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	9	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	157	10	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	11	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	157	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	15	consists	consist	VERB
ajase-4116	157	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	157	17	three	three	NUM
ajase-4116	157	18	main	main	ADJ
ajase-4116	157	19	steps	step	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	20	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	157	21	identification	identification	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	157	23	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	157	25	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
ajase-4116	157	26	checking	checking	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	157	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	157	29	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	157	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	158	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	158	3	identification	identification	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	4	stage	stage	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	6	initial	initial	ADJ
ajase-4116	158	7	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	8	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	158	9	chosen	choose	VERB
ajase-4116	158	10	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	158	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	158	12	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	13	p	p	X
ajase-4116	158	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	15	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	158	18	q.	q.	PROPN
ajase-4116	158	19	initial	initial	ADJ
ajase-4116	158	20	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	21	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	158	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	158	23	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	24	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	25	ϕ1	ϕ1	NOUN
ajase-4116	158	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	27	ϕ2	ϕ2	ADV
ajase-4116	158	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	29	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	31	ϕp	ϕp	PROPN
ajase-4116	158	32	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	33	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	158	34	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	35	θ1	θ1	PROPN
ajase-4116	158	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	37	θ2	θ2	PROPN
ajase-4116	158	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	39	…	…	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	40	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	41	θq	θq	ADP
ajase-4116	158	42	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	158	43	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	158	44	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	158	45	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajase-4116	158	46	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	159	1	next	next	ADV
ajase-4116	159	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	159	3	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
ajase-4116	159	4	checks	check	NOUN
ajase-4116	159	5	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	159	6	performed	perform	VERB
ajase-4116	159	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	159	8	assess	assess	VERB
ajase-4116	159	9	how	how	SCONJ
ajase-4116	159	10	well	well	ADV
ajase-4116	159	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	159	12	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	159	13	fits	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	159	14	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	159	15	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	159	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	160	1	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	160	2	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	160	3	checks	check	NOUN
ajase-4116	160	4	indicate	indicate	VERB
ajase-4116	160	5	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	160	6	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	160	7	different	different	ADJ
ajase-4116	160	8	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	160	9	might	might	AUX
ajase-4116	160	10	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	160	11	more	more	ADV
ajase-4116	160	12	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajase-4116	160	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	160	14	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	160	15	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	160	16	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	160	17	repeated	repeat	VERB
ajase-4116	160	18	until	until	SCONJ
ajase-4116	160	19	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	160	20	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
ajase-4116	160	21	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	160	22	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	160	23	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	160	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	161	1	finally	finally	ADV
ajase-4116	161	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	161	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	4	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	161	5	generated	generate	VERB
ajase-4116	161	6	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	161	7	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	161	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	161	9	final	final	ADJ
ajase-4116	161	10	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	11	selected	select	VERB
ajase-4116	161	12	during	during	ADP
ajase-4116	161	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	161	14	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	15	process	process	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	161	17	confirmed	confirm	VERB
ajase-4116	161	18	through	through	ADP
ajase-4116	161	19	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	20	selection	selection	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	21	criteria	criterion	NOUN
ajase-4116	161	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	162	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	162	2	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	162	3	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	162	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	162	6	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	162	7	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	8	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	162	9	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	10	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	162	11	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	12	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	162	13	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	162	14	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	162	15	select	select	VERB
ajase-4116	162	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	162	17	most	most	ADV
ajase-4116	162	18	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajase-4116	162	19	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	162	21	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	162	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	162	23	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	162	25	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	26	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	162	27	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	162	28	that	that	DET
ajase-4116	162	29	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	162	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	163	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	163	2	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	163	3	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	4	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	163	5	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	163	7	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	8	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	163	9	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	163	10	powerful	powerful	ADJ
ajase-4116	163	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	163	12	versatile	versatile	ADJ
ajase-4116	163	13	tool	tool	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	14	widely	widely	ADV
ajase-4116	163	15	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	163	16	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	163	17	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	18	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	163	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	163	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	164	1	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	164	2	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	164	3	part	part	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	164	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	164	6	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	164	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	8	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	164	9	package	package	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	10	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	164	11	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	164	13	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	164	14	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	164	15	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	164	16	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	164	17	automatically	automatically	ADV
ajase-4116	164	18	identify	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	164	19	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	164	20	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	164	21	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	164	22	fitting	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	164	23	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	24	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	25	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	164	26	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	164	27	given	give	VERB
ajase-4116	164	28	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	29	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	30	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	31	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	164	32	advanced	advanced	ADJ
ajase-4116	164	33	algorithms	algorithm	NOUN
ajase-4116	164	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	165	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	165	2	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	165	3	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	165	4	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	165	5	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	165	6	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	165	7	checks	check	NOUN
ajase-4116	165	8	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	165	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	165	10	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ajase-4116	165	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	165	12	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	165	13	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	165	14	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	165	15	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	165	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	166	1	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	166	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	166	3	data	data	NOUN
ajase-4116	166	4	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	166	5	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	166	6	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	166	7	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	166	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	166	9	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	166	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	166	11	d	d	X
ajase-4116	166	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	166	13	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	166	14	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	166	15	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	166	16	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	166	17	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	166	18	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	166	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	167	1	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajase-4116	167	2	tests	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	167	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	167	4	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	167	5	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	167	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	167	7	adf	adf	PROPN
ajase-4116	167	8	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	167	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	167	10	determine	determine	VERB
ajase-4116	167	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	167	12	number	number	NOUN
ajase-4116	167	13	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	167	14	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	167	15	required	require	VERB
ajase-4116	167	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	168	1	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	168	2	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	168	3	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	168	4	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	168	5	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	168	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	168	7	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
ajase-4116	168	8	detects	detect	VERB
ajase-4116	168	9	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	168	10	components	component	NOUN
ajase-4116	168	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	168	12	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	168	13	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	168	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	1	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	169	2	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	169	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	169	5	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	169	6	selects	select	VERB
ajase-4116	169	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	169	8	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	169	9	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	169	10	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	169	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	12	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	169	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	169	15	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	169	16	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	169	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	18	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	169	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	169	20	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	169	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	170	2	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	170	3	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	170	6	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	7	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	170	8	determines	determine	VERB
ajase-4116	170	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	170	10	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	11	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	170	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ajase-4116	170	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	14	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	17	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	170	18	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	19	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	20	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	22	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	170	23	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	170	24	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	25	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	170	29	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	170	30	period	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	31	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	32	m	m	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	33	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	170	34	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	35	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	170	36	addition	addition	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	37	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	170	38	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	170	39	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	170	40	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	170	41	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	171	1	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	171	2	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ajase-4116	171	3	different	different	ADJ
ajase-4116	171	4	combinations	combination	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	171	6	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	171	7	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	8	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	171	9	information	information	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	10	criteria	criterion	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	171	12	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	171	13	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	171	14	aic	aic	PROPN
ajase-4116	171	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	171	16	bic	bic	PROPN
ajase-4116	171	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	171	18	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	171	19	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	20	provided	provide	VERB
ajase-4116	171	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	171	22	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	171	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	171	24	fitting	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	171	25	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	26	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	171	27	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	171	28	given	give	VERB
ajase-4116	171	29	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	171	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	172	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	172	2	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	172	3	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	172	4	selected	select	VERB
ajase-4116	172	5	so	so	SCONJ
ajase-4116	172	6	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	172	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	172	8	aic	aic	PROPN
ajase-4116	172	9	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	172	10	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	172	11	minimal	minimal	ADJ
ajase-4116	172	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	173	1	once	once	ADV
ajase-4116	173	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	173	3	best	good	ADJ
ajase-4116	173	4	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	173	5	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	173	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	173	7	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	173	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	173	9	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	173	10	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	173	11	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	173	12	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	173	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	173	14	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	173	15	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	173	16	estimate	estimate	VERB
ajase-4116	173	17	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	173	18	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	173	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	174	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	174	2	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	174	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	174	4	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	174	5	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	174	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	174	7	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	174	8	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	174	9	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	174	10	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	174	11	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	174	12	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	174	13	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	174	14	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	174	15	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	174	16	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	174	17	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	174	18	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	174	19	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	174	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	175	1	results	result	NOUN
ajase-4116	175	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	175	3	discussion	discussion	VERB
ajase-4116	175	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	175	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	175	6	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	175	7	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	175	8	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	175	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	175	10	extracted	extract	VERB
ajase-4116	175	11	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	175	12	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	175	13	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	175	14	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	175	15	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	175	16	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	175	17	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	175	18	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	175	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	176	1	so	so	ADV
ajase-4116	176	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	176	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	176	4	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	176	5	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	176	6	converted	convert	VERB
ajase-4116	176	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	176	8	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	176	9	them	they	PRON
ajase-4116	176	10	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	176	11	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	176	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	176	13	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	176	14	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	176	15	further	further	ADJ
ajase-4116	176	16	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	176	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	177	2	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	3	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	177	4	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	177	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	177	7	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	8	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	9	transformed	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	177	10	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	12	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	13	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	177	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	177	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	177	17	lag	lag	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	18	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	20	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	21	4	4	NUM
ajase-4116	177	22	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	177	23	showed	show	VERB
ajase-4116	177	24	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	177	25	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	26	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	177	27	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	177	28	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	29	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	177	30	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	177	31	period	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	177	32	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	177	33	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	177	34	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	177	35	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	177	36	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	177	37	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	177	38	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	1	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	178	2	variations	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	3	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	178	4	apparent	apparent	ADJ
ajase-4116	178	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	178	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	178	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	9	possibly	possibly	ADV
ajase-4116	178	10	due	due	ADP
ajase-4116	178	11	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	178	12	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	13	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	15	harvest	harvest	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	16	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	178	19	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	20	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	21	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	22	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	23	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	178	24	demand	demand	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	25	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	178	26	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	27	forces	force	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	178	29	during	during	ADP
ajase-4116	178	30	those	those	DET
ajase-4116	178	31	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	32	periods	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	178	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	179	1	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	179	2	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	179	3	6	6	NUM
ajase-4116	179	4	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	179	5	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	179	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	180	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	180	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	180	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	181	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	181	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	182	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	182	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	183	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	183	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	184	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	184	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	184	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	184	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	184	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	8	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	184	9	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	184	10	tested	test	VERB
ajase-4116	184	11	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	184	12	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	13	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	184	14	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	184	15	adf	adf	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	16	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	184	19	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	184	20	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	184	21	found	find	VERB
ajase-4116	184	22	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	184	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	184	24	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	25	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	184	26	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	184	27	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	184	28	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	29	dickey	dickey	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	30	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	31	fuller	full	ADJ
ajase-4116	184	32	statistic	statistic	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	33	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	184	34	-2.8432	-2.8432	PROPN
ajase-4116	184	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	36	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	37	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	38	value=0.2212	value=0.2212	NOUN
ajase-4116	184	39	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	184	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	185	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	185	2	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	185	3	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	185	4	considered	consider	VERB
ajase-4116	185	5	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	185	6	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	185	7	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	185	8	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-4116	185	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	185	10	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	185	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	185	12	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	185	13	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	185	14	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	185	15	adf	adf	PROPN
ajase-4116	185	16	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	185	17	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	185	18	greater	great	ADJ
ajase-4116	185	19	than	than	ADP
ajase-4116	185	20	0.05	0.05	NUM
ajase-4116	185	21	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	185	22	null	null	ADJ
ajase-4116	185	23	hypotheses	hypothesis	NOUN
ajase-4116	185	24	accepted	accept	VERB
ajase-4116	185	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	185	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	186	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	186	2	acf	acf	NOUN
ajase-4116	186	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	186	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	186	5	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	186	6	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	186	7	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	186	8	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	186	9	visualized	visualize	VERB
ajase-4116	186	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	187	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	187	2	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	187	3	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	187	5	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	6	5a	5a	NUM
ajase-4116	187	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	187	8	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	187	9	showed	show	VERB
ajase-4116	187	10	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	187	11	gradual	gradual	ADJ
ajase-4116	187	12	decay	decay	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	13	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	187	14	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	15	lags	lag	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	16	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-4116	187	17	never	never	ADV
ajase-4116	187	18	cut	cut	VERB
ajase-4116	187	19	off	off	ADP
ajase-4116	187	20	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	187	21	zero	zero	NUM
ajase-4116	187	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	187	23	suggesting	suggest	VERB
ajase-4116	187	24	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	187	25	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	187	26	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	27	must	must	AUX
ajase-4116	187	28	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	187	29	made	make	VERB
ajase-4116	187	30	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	187	31	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	187	32	further	further	ADJ
ajase-4116	187	33	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	187	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	1	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	2	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	188	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	4	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	5	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	6	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	188	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	188	9	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	188	10	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	188	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	12	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	188	13	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	15	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	188	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	17	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	188	18	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	19	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	188	20	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	188	21	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	22	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	188	23	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	24	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	25	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	26	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	188	27	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	28	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	188	29	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	188	30	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	31	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	33	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	188	34	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	35	4	4	NUM
ajase-4116	188	36	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	37	lagged	lag	VERB
ajase-4116	188	38	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	39	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	188	40	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	188	41	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	188	42	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	188	43	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	44	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	188	45	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	46	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	47	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	188	48	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	49	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	188	50	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	51	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	188	52	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	188	53	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	54	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	188	55	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	56	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	57	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	58	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	188	59	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	60	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	188	61	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	188	62	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	63	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	188	64	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	65	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	188	66	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	67	5	5	NUM
ajase-4116	188	68	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	69	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	70	a	a	NOUN
ajase-4116	188	71	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	188	72	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	1	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	189	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	189	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	189	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	189	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	189	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	189	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	189	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	189	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	189	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	12	before	before	ADP
ajase-4116	189	13	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	189	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	189	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	17	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	189	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	189	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	190	1	pacf	pacf	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	190	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	190	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	190	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	190	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	190	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	190	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	190	12	before	before	ADP
ajase-4116	190	13	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	190	14	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	15	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	190	16	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	17	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	190	18	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	190	19	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	190	20	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	190	21	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	22	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	190	24	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	190	25	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	190	26	b	b	X
ajase-4116	190	27	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	28	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	29	7	7	NUM
ajase-4116	190	30	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	190	31	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	190	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	191	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	191	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	191	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	192	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	192	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	193	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	193	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	194	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	194	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	195	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	195	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	195	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	195	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	195	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	8	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	195	9	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	195	10	decomposed	decompose	VERB
ajase-4116	195	11	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	195	12	separate	separate	VERB
ajase-4116	195	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	195	14	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	195	15	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	17	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	195	20	random	random	ADJ
ajase-4116	195	21	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	22	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	195	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	195	24	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	26	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	195	27	6	6	NUM
ajase-4116	195	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	195	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	196	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	196	2	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	3	exhibited	exhibit	VERB
ajase-4116	196	4	similar	similar	ADJ
ajase-4116	196	5	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	196	6	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	7	over	over	ADP
ajase-4116	196	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	196	9	periods	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	196	11	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	196	12	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	196	13	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	196	14	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	196	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	196	16	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	17	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	196	18	improve	improve	VERB
ajase-4116	196	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	20	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	196	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	197	2	adf	adf	PROPN
ajase-4116	197	3	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	197	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	197	6	seasonally	seasonally	ADV
ajase-4116	197	7	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	197	8	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	9	yielded	yield	VERB
ajase-4116	197	10	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	197	11	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	12	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	197	13	-2.8726	-2.8726	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	15	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	16	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	17	value=0.2088	value=0.2088	NUM
ajase-4116	197	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	19	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	20	thus	thus	ADV
ajase-4116	197	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	22	we	we	PRON
ajase-4116	197	23	failed	fail	VERB
ajase-4116	197	24	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	197	25	reject	reject	VERB
ajase-4116	197	26	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	197	27	null	null	ADJ
ajase-4116	197	28	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	197	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	197	31	it	it	PRON
ajase-4116	197	32	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	197	33	concluded	conclude	VERB
ajase-4116	197	34	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	197	35	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	197	36	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	197	37	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	197	38	still	still	ADV
ajase-4116	197	39	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	197	40	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	197	41	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	1	figure	figure	VERB
ajase-4116	198	2	6	6	NUM
ajase-4116	198	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	4	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	198	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	198	7	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	198	8	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	198	10	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	12	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	198	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	14	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	15	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	16	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	17	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	18	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	198	19	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	20	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	198	21	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	198	22	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	198	23	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	198	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	198	25	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	198	26	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	198	27	seasonally	seasonally	ADV
ajase-4116	198	28	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	198	29	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	30	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	198	31	then	then	ADV
ajase-4116	198	32	differenced	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	198	33	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	198	34	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	198	35	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	198	36	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	198	37	stationary	stationary	VERB
ajase-4116	198	38	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	199	1	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	199	2	each	each	DET
ajase-4116	199	3	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	199	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	199	6	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	199	8	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	9	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	199	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	199	11	adf	adf	PROPN
ajase-4116	199	12	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	199	13	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajase-4116	199	14	along	along	ADP
ajase-4116	199	15	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	199	16	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	199	17	corresponding	correspond	VERB
ajase-4116	199	18	acf	acf	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	199	20	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	21	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	22	until	until	SCONJ
ajase-4116	199	23	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	199	24	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	199	25	became	become	VERB
ajase-4116	199	26	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	199	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	1	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	200	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	200	3	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	200	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	5	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	6	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	200	9	dickey	dickey	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	11	fuller	full	ADJ
ajase-4116	200	12	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	13	statistic	statistic	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	14	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	15	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	200	16	-7.5652	-7.5652	X
ajase-4116	200	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	18	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	19	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	20	value=0.01	value=0.01	NOUN
ajase-4116	200	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	200	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	201	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	201	2	null	null	ADJ
ajase-4116	201	3	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ajase-4116	201	4	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	201	5	rejected	reject	VERB
ajase-4116	201	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	201	7	confirmed	confirm	VERB
ajase-4116	201	8	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	201	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	201	10	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	201	11	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	201	12	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-4116	201	13	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	201	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	201	15	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	201	16	=	=	NOUN
ajase-4116	201	17	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	201	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	201	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	1	however	however	ADV
ajase-4116	202	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	3	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	202	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	202	5	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	202	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	202	7	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	8	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	202	10	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	202	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	12	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	13	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	14	[	[	X
ajase-4116	202	15	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	16	7	7	NUM
ajase-4116	202	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	18	a	a	PRON
ajase-4116	202	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	202	20	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	22	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	24	there	there	PRON
ajase-4116	202	25	were	be	VERB
ajase-4116	202	26	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	202	27	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	202	28	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	202	30	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	202	31	suggested	suggest	VERB
ajase-4116	202	32	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	202	33	there	there	PRON
ajase-4116	202	34	might	might	AUX
ajase-4116	202	35	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	202	36	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	202	37	structures	structure	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	38	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	202	39	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	40	that	that	PRON
ajase-4116	202	41	needed	need	VERB
ajase-4116	202	42	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	202	43	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	202	44	accounted	account	VERB
ajase-4116	202	45	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	202	46	before	before	ADP
ajase-4116	202	47	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ajase-4116	202	48	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	203	1	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	203	2	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	203	3	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	203	4	attempted	attempt	VERB
ajase-4116	203	5	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	203	6	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	203	7	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	203	8	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	203	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	203	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	203	11	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	203	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	204	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	204	2	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	204	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	204	4	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	204	5	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	204	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	204	7	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	204	8	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	204	9	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	1	[	[	X
ajase-4116	205	2	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	3	8	8	NUM
ajase-4116	205	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	5	a	a	PRON
ajase-4116	205	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	205	7	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	9	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	10	showed	show	VERB
ajase-4116	205	11	numerous	numerous	ADJ
ajase-4116	205	12	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	14	suggesting	suggest	VERB
ajase-4116	205	15	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	205	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	205	17	sarima	sarima	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	18	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	20	p	p	X
ajase-4116	205	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	22	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	24	q)(p	q)(p	ADV
ajase-4116	205	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	26	d	d	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	28	q	q	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	29	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	205	30	[	[	X
ajase-4116	205	31	m	m	X
ajase-4116	205	32	]	]	X
ajase-4116	205	33	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	205	34	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	205	35	more	more	ADV
ajase-4116	205	36	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajase-4116	205	37	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	205	38	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	205	39	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	205	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	206	1	figure	figure	VERB
ajase-4116	206	2	7	7	NUM
ajase-4116	206	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	206	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	206	5	a	a	NOUN
ajase-4116	206	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	206	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	1	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	207	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	207	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	207	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	207	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	207	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	207	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	12	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	207	13	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	207	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	15	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	16	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	207	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	20	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	207	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	207	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	1	pacf	pacf	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	208	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	208	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	208	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	208	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	208	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	12	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	208	13	first	first	ADJ
ajase-4116	208	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	15	order	order	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	16	differencing	difference	VERB
ajase-4116	208	17	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	18	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	19	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	20	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	208	21	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	22	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	208	23	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	208	24	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	25	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	208	27	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	208	28	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	208	29	b	b	X
ajase-4116	208	30	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	31	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	32	8	8	NUM
ajase-4116	208	33	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	208	34	am	am	NOUN
ajase-4116	208	35	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	209	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	209	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	209	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	210	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	210	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	211	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	211	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	212	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	212	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	213	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	213	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	213	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	213	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	213	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	213	6	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	213	7	8	8	NUM
ajase-4116	213	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	213	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	213	10	a	a	NOUN
ajase-4116	213	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	213	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	1	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	214	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	214	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	214	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	214	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	214	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	214	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	214	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	214	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	214	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	12	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	214	13	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	214	14	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	214	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	214	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	18	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	214	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	214	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	215	1	pacf	pacf	PROPN
ajase-4116	215	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	215	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	215	5	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	215	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	7	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	215	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	215	10	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	215	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	215	12	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	215	13	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	215	14	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	15	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	16	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	215	17	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	18	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	215	19	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	20	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	215	21	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	215	22	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	215	23	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	215	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	215	25	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	215	26	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	215	27	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	28	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	215	29	manual	manual	ADJ
ajase-4116	215	30	choice	choice	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	31	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	215	32	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	215	33	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	34	through	through	ADP
ajase-4116	215	35	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-4116	215	36	observation	observation	NOUN
ajase-4116	215	37	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	215	38	somewhat	somewhat	ADV
ajase-4116	215	39	arbitrary	arbitrary	ADJ
ajase-4116	215	40	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	216	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
ajase-4116	216	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	216	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	216	4	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	216	5	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	6	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	216	7	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	8	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	216	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	216	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	11	package	package	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	216	13	r	r	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	14	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	216	15	employed	employ	VERB
ajase-4116	216	16	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	216	17	estimate	estimate	VERB
ajase-4116	216	18	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	216	19	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	216	20	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	216	21	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	216	22	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	216	24	generate	generate	VERB
ajase-4116	216	25	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	216	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	216	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	217	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	2	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	217	3	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	4	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	217	5	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	6	accounts	account	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	7	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	217	8	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	9	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	217	11	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	217	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	14	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	217	16	sets	set	VERB
ajase-4116	217	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	18	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	19	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	20	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	217	21	generate	generate	VERB
ajase-4116	217	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	24	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	217	25	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	217	26	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	217	27	aic	aic	PROPN
ajase-4116	217	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	217	29	bic	bic	PROPN
ajase-4116	217	30	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	217	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	218	2	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	4	transformed	transform	VERB
ajase-4116	218	5	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	6	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	218	7	modeled	model	VERB
ajase-4116	218	8	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	218	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	218	10	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	11	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	12	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	13	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	15	resulting	result	VERB
ajase-4116	218	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	218	17	sarima(0,1,1	sarima(0,1,1	PROPN
ajase-4116	218	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	20	0,0,1)12	0,0,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	218	21	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	218	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	218	23	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	218	24	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	218	25	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	218	26	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	27	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	218	28	our	our	PRON
ajase-4116	218	29	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	218	30	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	218	31	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	218	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	219	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	219	2	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	3	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	219	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	219	6	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	219	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	219	8	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	219	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-4116	219	11	presented	present	VERB
ajase-4116	219	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	219	13	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	14	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	219	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	219	16	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	17	2	2	NUM
ajase-4116	219	18	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	219	19	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	20	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	21	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	219	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	219	23	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	219	24	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	25	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	26	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	219	27	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	219	28	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ajase-4116	219	29	ma1	ma1	PROPN
ajase-4116	219	30	sma1	sma1	PROPN
ajase-4116	219	31	0.2523	0.2523	PROPN
ajase-4116	219	32	-0.1042	-0.1042	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	1	s.e	s.e	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	2	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	3	0.0487	0.0487	NUM
ajase-4116	220	4	0.0514	0.0514	NUM
ajase-4116	220	5	log	log	NOUN
ajase-4116	220	6	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ajase-4116	220	7	548.66	548.66	NUM
ajase-4116	220	8	aic	aic	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	9	-1091.32	-1091.32	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	10	rmse	rmse	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	11	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	220	12	0.0648	0.0648	NUM
ajase-4116	220	13	mae	mae	PROPN
ajase-4116	220	14	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	220	15	0.0487	0.0487	NUM
ajase-4116	220	16	me	i	PRON
ajase-4116	220	17	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	220	18	0.0004	0.0004	NUM
ajase-4116	220	19	note	note	NOUN
ajase-4116	220	20	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	221	1	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	222	1	=	=	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	2	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	222	3	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	5	sma	sma	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	6	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	222	7	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	8	moving	move	VERB
ajase-4116	222	9	average	average	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	11	s.e	s.e	PROPN
ajase-4116	222	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	13	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	222	14	standard	standard	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	15	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	17	aic	aic	PROPN
ajase-4116	222	18	=	=	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	19	akaike	akaike	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	20	information	information	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	21	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	23	rmse	rmse	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	24	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	222	25	root	root	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	26	mean	mean	VERB
ajase-4116	222	27	square	square	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	28	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	30	mae	mae	PROPN
ajase-4116	222	31	=	=	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	32	mean	mean	VERB
ajase-4116	222	33	absolute	absolute	ADJ
ajase-4116	222	34	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	222	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	222	36	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	222	37	me	i	PRON
ajase-4116	223	1	=	=	SYM
ajase-4116	223	2	mean	mean	VERB
ajase-4116	223	3	error	error	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	4	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	223	6	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	7	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	223	8	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	9	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	223	10	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	223	11	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	223	12	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	223	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	223	14	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	223	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	223	16	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	223	17	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	223	18	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	19	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	223	20	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	21	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	223	22	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	223	23	next	next	ADJ
ajase-4116	223	24	year	year	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	223	26	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	223	27	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	223	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	223	29	october	october	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	30	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	223	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	223	32	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	223	33	attempted	attempt	VERB
ajase-4116	223	34	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	223	35	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	223	36	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	223	37	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	223	38	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	224	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	224	2	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	224	3	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	224	5	generated	generate	VERB
ajase-4116	224	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	224	7	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	224	8	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
ajase-4116	224	9	scale	scale	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	224	11	was	be	AUX
ajase-4116	224	12	converted	convert	VERB
ajase-4116	224	13	back	back	ADV
ajase-4116	224	14	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	224	15	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	224	16	original	original	ADJ
ajase-4116	224	17	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	18	scale	scale	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	19	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	224	20	applying	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	224	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	224	22	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ajase-4116	224	23	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	24	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	224	25	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	224	26	logged	logged	ADJ
ajase-4116	224	27	values	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	28	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	224	29	convenient	convenient	ADJ
ajase-4116	224	30	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
ajase-4116	224	31	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	225	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	225	2	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	225	3	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	225	4	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	225	6	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	7	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajase-4116	225	8	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	225	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	225	10	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	11	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	12	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	225	13	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	225	14	95	95	NUM
ajase-4116	225	15	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	16	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	17	interval	interval	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	18	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	225	19	presented	present	VERB
ajase-4116	225	20	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	225	21	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	225	22	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	225	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	1	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	226	2	visual	visual	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	3	representation	representation	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	226	5	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	226	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	7	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	226	8	presented	present	VERB
ajase-4116	226	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	226	10	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	11	9	9	NUM
ajase-4116	226	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	13	table	table	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	14	3	3	NUM
ajase-4116	226	15	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	226	17	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	226	18	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	19	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	20	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	21	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	226	22	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	24	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	25	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	226	26	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	27	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	226	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	29	year	year	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	30	month	month	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	31	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	226	32	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	33	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	34	us$	us$	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	35	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	226	36	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	37	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	38	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	226	39	lower	low	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	40	95	95	NUM
ajase-4116	226	41	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	42	ci	ci	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	43	upper	upper	ADJ
ajase-4116	226	44	95	95	NUM
ajase-4116	226	45	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	46	ci	ci	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	47	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	226	48	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	49	198.51	198.51	NUM
ajase-4116	226	50	174.74	174.74	NUM
ajase-4116	226	51	225.50	225.50	NUM
ajase-4116	226	52	december	december	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	53	197.37	197.37	NUM
ajase-4116	226	54	160.89	160.89	NUM
ajase-4116	226	55	242.12	242.12	NUM
ajase-4116	226	56	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	226	57	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	58	197.71	197.71	NUM
ajase-4116	226	59	152.55	152.55	NUM
ajase-4116	226	60	256.25	256.25	NUM
ajase-4116	226	61	february	february	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	62	198.25	198.25	NUM
ajase-4116	226	63	146.20	146.20	NUM
ajase-4116	226	64	268.83	268.83	NUM
ajase-4116	226	65	march	march	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	66	199.09	199.09	NUM
ajase-4116	226	67	141.16	141.16	NUM
ajase-4116	226	68	280.80	280.80	NUM
ajase-4116	226	69	april	april	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	70	199.40	199.40	NUM
ajase-4116	226	71	136.48	136.48	NUM
ajase-4116	226	72	291.33	291.33	NUM
ajase-4116	226	73	may	may	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	74	197.66	197.66	NUM
ajase-4116	226	75	130.99	130.99	NUM
ajase-4116	226	76	298.25	298.25	NUM
ajase-4116	226	77	june	june	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	78	199.95	199.95	NUM
ajase-4116	226	79	128.61	128.61	NUM
ajase-4116	226	80	310.86	310.86	NUM
ajase-4116	226	81	july	july	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	82	202.40	202.40	NUM
ajase-4116	226	83	126.59	126.59	NUM
ajase-4116	226	84	323.61	323.61	NUM
ajase-4116	226	85	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	86	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	87	9	9	NUM
ajase-4116	226	88	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	226	89	am	am	NOUN
ajase-4116	226	90	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	227	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	227	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	227	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	228	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	228	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	229	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	229	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	230	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	230	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	231	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	231	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	231	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	231	6	august	august	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	7	203.62	203.62	NUM
ajase-4116	231	8	124.04	124.04	NUM
ajase-4116	231	9	334.28	334.28	NUM
ajase-4116	231	10	september	september	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	11	202.21	202.21	NUM
ajase-4116	231	12	120.12	120.12	NUM
ajase-4116	231	13	340.39	340.39	NUM
ajase-4116	231	14	october	october	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	15	201.36	201.36	NUM
ajase-4116	231	16	116.79	116.79	NUM
ajase-4116	231	17	347.17	347.17	NUM
ajase-4116	231	18	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	19	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	20	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	21	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	231	22	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	23	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	231	24	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	231	25	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	26	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	28	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	231	29	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	30	9	9	NUM
ajase-4116	231	31	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	32	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	231	33	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	231	34	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	231	35	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	36	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	37	logged	log	VERB
ajase-4116	231	38	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	39	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	231	40	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	41	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	231	42	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	43	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	231	44	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	231	45	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	46	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	231	47	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	231	48	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	231	49	95	95	NUM
ajase-4116	231	50	%	%	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	51	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	52	interval	interval	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	53	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	54	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	55	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	56	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	231	57	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	58	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	231	59	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	231	60	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	61	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	231	62	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	63	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	231	64	after	after	ADP
ajase-4116	231	65	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	231	66	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	231	67	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-4116	231	68	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	231	69	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	70	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	231	71	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	72	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	231	73	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-4116	231	74	diagnostics	diagnostic	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	75	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	231	76	performed	perform	VERB
ajase-4116	231	77	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	231	78	assess	assess	VERB
ajase-4116	231	79	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	231	80	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	81	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	231	82	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajase-4116	231	83	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	232	2	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-4116	232	3	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	232	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	232	6	best	well	ADV
ajase-4116	232	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	8	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	232	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	11	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	12	10a	10a	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	14	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
ajase-4116	232	15	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	232	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	232	17	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	18	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	232	19	random	random	ADJ
ajase-4116	232	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	21	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	232	22	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	232	23	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	232	25	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	232	26	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	232	27	0.0004	0.0004	NUM
ajase-4116	232	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	232	29	0.0042	0.0042	NUM
ajase-4116	232	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	232	31	respectively	respectively	ADV
ajase-4116	232	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	233	1	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	233	2	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	233	3	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	233	4	mean	mean	NOUN
ajase-4116	233	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	233	6	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-4116	233	7	close	close	ADJ
ajase-4116	233	8	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	233	9	zero	zero	NUM
ajase-4116	233	10	confirmed	confirm	VERB
ajase-4116	233	11	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	233	12	well	well	ADV
ajase-4116	233	13	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	233	14	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	233	15	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	233	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	234	1	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	234	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	234	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	234	4	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	234	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	234	6	pacf	pacf	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	7	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	8	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	234	9	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	234	10	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	11	showed	show	VERB
ajase-4116	234	12	no	no	DET
ajase-4116	234	13	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	234	14	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	15	among	among	ADP
ajase-4116	234	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	234	17	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	18	[	[	X
ajase-4116	234	19	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	20	10	10	NUM
ajase-4116	234	21	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	234	22	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	234	24	c	c	NOUN
ajase-4116	234	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	234	26	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-4116	234	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	235	1	hence	hence	ADV
ajase-4116	235	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	235	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	235	4	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	235	5	were	be	AUX
ajase-4116	235	6	white	white	ADJ
ajase-4116	235	7	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-4116	235	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	236	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ajase-4116	236	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	236	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	236	4	ljung	ljung	ADJ
ajase-4116	236	5	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	236	6	box	box	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	7	test	test	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	8	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	236	9	yielded	yield	VERB
ajase-4116	236	10	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	236	11	p	p	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	12	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	236	13	value	value	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	14	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	236	15	0.3918	0.3918	NUM
ajase-4116	236	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	236	17	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-4116	236	18	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-4116	236	19	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	236	20	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	21	exhibited	exhibit	VERB
ajase-4116	236	22	no	no	DET
ajase-4116	236	23	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-4116	236	24	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-4116	236	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	237	1	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	237	2	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	237	3	c	c	X
ajase-4116	237	4	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-4116	237	5	10	10	NUM
ajase-4116	237	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	237	7	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	237	8	a	a	NOUN
ajase-4116	237	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	237	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	238	1	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-4116	238	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	238	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	238	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	238	5	fitted	fit	VERB
ajase-4116	238	6	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	238	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	238	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	238	9	b	b	NOUN
ajase-4116	238	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	238	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	239	1	acf	acf	PROPN
ajase-4116	239	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	239	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	239	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	239	5	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	239	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	239	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	239	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	239	9	c	c	NOUN
ajase-4116	239	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	239	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	240	1	pacf	pacf	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	2	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-4116	240	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	240	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	240	5	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-4116	240	6	source	source	NOUN
ajase-4116	240	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	240	8	author	author	NOUN
ajase-4116	240	9	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	240	10	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-4116	240	11	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	240	12	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	240	13	fred	fred	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	14	data	data	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	240	16	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	240	17	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	18	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	19	10	10	NUM
ajase-4116	240	20	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	240	21	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	240	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	241	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	241	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	241	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	242	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	242	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	243	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	243	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	244	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	244	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	245	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	245	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	245	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	245	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	245	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	245	6	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	7	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	245	8	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	9	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	245	10	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	245	11	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	12	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	245	13	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	245	14	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	15	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	16	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	245	17	january	january	PROPN
ajase-4116	245	18	1990	1990	NUM
ajase-4116	245	19	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	245	20	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	245	21	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	245	22	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	245	23	model	model	VERB
ajase-4116	245	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	245	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	26	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	245	27	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	245	28	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	245	29	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	245	30	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	245	31	october	october	PROPN
ajase-4116	245	32	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	245	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	246	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	3	identified	identify	VERB
ajase-4116	246	4	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	sarima(0,1,1)(0,0,1)12	PROPN
ajase-4116	246	5	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	246	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	246	7	bestfitted	bestfitte	VERB
ajase-4116	246	8	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	9	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	246	10	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	246	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	246	12	‘	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	13	auto.arima	auto.arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	14	’	'	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	15	function	function	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	246	17	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	246	18	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	246	19	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	20	predicted	predict	VERB
ajase-4116	246	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	246	22	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	246	23	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	24	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	246	25	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	26	solely	solely	ADV
ajase-4116	246	27	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	246	28	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	246	29	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	246	30	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	32	without	without	ADP
ajase-4116	246	33	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
ajase-4116	246	34	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
ajase-4116	246	35	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	246	36	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	37	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	246	38	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	246	39	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	40	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	42	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	43	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	45	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	246	47	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	246	48	government	government	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	49	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	246	50	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	247	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	247	2	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	247	3	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	247	4	increased	increase	VERB
ajase-4116	247	5	steadily	steadily	ADV
ajase-4116	247	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	247	7	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	247	8	some	some	DET
ajase-4116	247	9	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	247	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	247	11	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	247	12	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	247	13	198.51	198.51	NUM
ajase-4116	247	14	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	247	15	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	247	16	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	247	17	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	247	18	november	november	PROPN
ajase-4116	247	19	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-4116	247	20	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	247	21	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	247	22	peak	peak	NOUN
ajase-4116	247	23	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	247	24	$	$	SYM
ajase-4116	247	25	203.62	203.62	NUM
ajase-4116	247	26	per	per	ADP
ajase-4116	247	27	metric	metric	ADJ
ajase-4116	247	28	ton	ton	NOUN
ajase-4116	247	29	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	247	30	august	august	PROPN
ajase-4116	247	31	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	247	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	248	1	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	248	2	projections	projection	NOUN
ajase-4116	248	3	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	248	4	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	248	5	useful	useful	ADJ
ajase-4116	248	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	248	7	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-4116	248	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	248	9	farmers	farmer	NOUN
ajase-4116	248	10	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	248	11	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	248	12	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	248	13	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	248	14	beforehand	beforehand	ADV
ajase-4116	248	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	249	1	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	2	can	can	AUX
ajase-4116	249	3	also	also	ADV
ajase-4116	249	4	use	use	VERB
ajase-4116	249	5	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	249	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	7	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	249	8	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
ajase-4116	249	9	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	249	10	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	11	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	249	13	make	make	VERB
ajase-4116	249	14	informed	informed	ADJ
ajase-4116	249	15	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	16	at	at	ADP
ajase-4116	249	17	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	249	18	national	national	ADJ
ajase-4116	249	19	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	249	20	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	249	21	levels	level	NOUN
ajase-4116	249	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	250	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
ajase-4116	250	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	250	3	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	250	5	importing	import	VERB
ajase-4116	250	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	250	7	exporting	export	VERB
ajase-4116	250	8	countries	country	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	9	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	250	10	use	use	VERB
ajase-4116	250	11	these	these	DET
ajase-4116	250	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	13	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	250	14	adjust	adjust	VERB
ajase-4116	250	15	their	their	PRON
ajase-4116	250	16	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	17	policies	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	18	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	250	19	deal	deal	VERB
ajase-4116	250	20	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	250	21	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	22	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	250	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	251	1	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	251	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	251	3	has	have	VERB
ajase-4116	251	4	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	251	5	limitations	limitation	NOUN
ajase-4116	251	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	252	1	first	first	ADV
ajase-4116	252	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	252	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	252	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	5	presented	present	VERB
ajase-4116	252	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	252	7	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	252	8	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	9	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	252	10	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	252	11	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	252	12	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	252	13	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	14	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	252	15	linearity	linearity	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	252	17	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	252	18	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	252	19	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	252	20	represent	represent	VERB
ajase-4116	252	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	252	22	non	non	ADJ
ajase-4116	252	23	-	-	ADJ
ajase-4116	252	24	linear	linear	ADJ
ajase-4116	252	25	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	26	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	252	27	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	252	28	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	29	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	252	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	253	1	second	second	ADV
ajase-4116	253	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	253	3	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	253	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-4116	253	5	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	253	6	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	253	7	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	253	8	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-4116	253	9	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-4116	253	10	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	253	11	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	253	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	253	13	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	253	14	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	253	15	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	253	16	hold	hold	VERB
ajase-4116	253	17	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	253	18	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-4116	253	19	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	253	20	conditions	condition	NOUN
ajase-4116	253	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	254	1	third	third	ADJ
ajase-4116	254	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	254	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	254	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	254	5	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	254	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	8	could	could	AUX
ajase-4116	254	9	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	254	10	affected	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	254	11	by	by	ADP
ajase-4116	254	12	several	several	ADJ
ajase-4116	254	13	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	254	14	factors	factor	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	254	16	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	254	17	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	254	18	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	19	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	254	21	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	22	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	254	23	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	24	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	254	26	which	which	PRON
ajase-4116	254	27	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	254	28	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	254	29	did	do	AUX
ajase-4116	254	30	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	254	31	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	254	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	255	1	fourth	fourth	ADJ
ajase-4116	255	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	255	3	results	result	VERB
ajase-4116	255	4	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	255	5	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	255	6	single	single	ADJ
ajase-4116	255	7	study	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	255	8	like	like	ADP
ajase-4116	255	9	this	this	PRON
ajase-4116	255	10	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	255	11	not	not	PART
ajase-4116	255	12	be	be	AUX
ajase-4116	255	13	fully	fully	ADV
ajase-4116	255	14	generalized	generalize	VERB
ajase-4116	255	15	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	255	16	other	other	ADJ
ajase-4116	255	17	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	255	18	contexts	context	NOUN
ajase-4116	255	19	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-4116	255	20	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	255	21	periods	period	NOUN
ajase-4116	255	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	256	1	fifth	fifth	ADJ
ajase-4116	256	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	256	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	4	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	256	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	6	like	like	ADP
ajase-4116	256	7	this	this	PRON
ajase-4116	256	8	is	be	AUX
ajase-4116	256	9	only	only	ADV
ajase-4116	256	10	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajase-4116	256	11	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	256	12	short	short	ADJ
ajase-4116	256	13	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	256	14	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	256	17	might	might	AUX
ajase-4116	256	18	result	result	VERB
ajase-4116	256	19	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	256	20	inaccurate	inaccurate	ADJ
ajase-4116	256	21	results	result	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	22	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-4116	256	23	used	use	VERB
ajase-4116	256	24	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	256	25	long	long	ADJ
ajase-4116	256	26	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	256	27	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	256	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	257	1	future	future	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	2	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	3	should	should	AUX
ajase-4116	257	4	consider	consider	VERB
ajase-4116	257	5	developing	develop	VERB
ajase-4116	257	6	more	more	ADV
ajase-4116	257	7	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	9	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	257	11	such	such	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	12	as	as	ADP
ajase-4116	257	13	hybrid	hybrid	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	14	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	15	capable	capable	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	257	17	capturing	capture	VERB
ajase-4116	257	18	complex	complex	ADJ
ajase-4116	257	19	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	20	phenomena	phenomena	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	21	affecting	affect	VERB
ajase-4116	257	22	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	23	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	257	24	globally	globally	ADV
ajase-4116	257	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	258	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ajase-4116	258	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	258	3	researchers	researcher	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	4	should	should	AUX
ajase-4116	258	5	cross	cross	VERB
ajase-4116	258	6	-	-	VERB
ajase-4116	258	7	validate	validate	VERB
ajase-4116	258	8	this	this	DET
ajase-4116	258	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	10	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	258	11	findings	finding	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	12	across	across	ADP
ajase-4116	258	13	different	different	ADJ
ajase-4116	258	14	geographical	geographical	ADJ
ajase-4116	258	15	locations	location	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	258	17	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	18	spans	span	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	19	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	258	20	improve	improve	VERB
ajase-4116	258	21	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	258	22	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	23	’s	’s	PART
ajase-4116	258	24	external	external	ADJ
ajase-4116	258	25	validity	validity	NOUN
ajase-4116	258	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	1	references	reference	NOUN
ajase-4116	259	2	alexandratos	alexandrato	NOUN
ajase-4116	259	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	4	n.	n.	NOUN
ajase-4116	259	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	259	7	bruinsma	bruinsma	PROPN
ajase-4116	259	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	9	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	259	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	11	2012	2012	NUM
ajase-4116	259	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	13	june	june	PROPN
ajase-4116	259	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	259	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	260	1	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	260	2	agriculture	agriculture	PROPN
ajase-4116	260	3	towards	towards	ADP
ajase-4116	260	4	2030/2050	2030/2050	NUM
ajase-4116	260	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	260	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	260	7	2012	2012	NUM
ajase-4116	260	8	revision	revision	NOUN
ajase-4116	260	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	260	10	esa	esa	PROPN
ajase-4116	260	11	working	working	PROPN
ajase-4116	260	12	paper	paper	NOUN
ajase-4116	260	13	no	no	INTJ
ajase-4116	260	14	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	261	1	12	12	NUM
ajase-4116	261	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	261	3	03	03	NUM
ajase-4116	261	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	261	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	262	1	https://doi	https://doi	PROPN
ajase-4116	262	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	262	3	org/10.22004	org/10.22004	PROPN
ajase-4116	262	4	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	262	5	ag.econ.288998	ag.econ.288998	PRON
ajase-4116	262	6	algieri	algieri	PROPN
ajase-4116	262	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	262	8	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	262	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	262	10	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	262	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	262	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	263	1	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	263	2	roller	roller	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	3	coaster	coaster	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	4	ride	ride	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	263	6	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	263	7	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-4116	263	8	investigation	investigation	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	263	10	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	263	11	main	main	ADJ
ajase-4116	263	12	drivers	driver	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	13	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	263	14	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	15	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	263	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	264	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	264	2	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	3	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	4	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	264	6	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	264	7	implications	implication	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	8	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	264	9	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	10	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	264	12	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-4116	264	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	264	14	pp	pp	ADJ
ajase-4116	264	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	265	1	207–237	207–237	NUM
ajase-4116	265	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	265	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	266	1	springer	springer	NOUN
ajase-4116	266	2	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	266	3	publishing	publishing	NOUN
ajase-4116	266	4	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	1	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_10	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_10	PROPN
ajase-4116	267	2	anderson	anderson	PROPN
ajase-4116	267	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	4	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	267	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	267	7	nelgen	nelgen	PROPN
ajase-4116	267	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	9	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	267	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	11	2012	2012	NUM
ajase-4116	267	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	267	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	268	1	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-4116	268	2	barrier	barrier	NOUN
ajase-4116	268	3	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	268	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	268	5	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	268	6	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	268	7	stabilization	stabilization	NOUN
ajase-4116	268	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	269	1	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	269	2	development	development	PROPN
ajase-4116	269	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	269	4	40(1	40(1	NOUN
ajase-4116	269	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	269	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	269	7	36–48	36–48	NUM
ajase-4116	269	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	270	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j	https://doi.org/10.1016/j	NOUN
ajase-4116	270	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	1	worlddev.2011.05.018	worlddev.2011.05.018	VERB
ajase-4116	271	2	baffes	baffes	PROPN
ajase-4116	271	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	271	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	271	7	haniotis	haniotis	PROPN
ajase-4116	271	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	9	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	271	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	11	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	271	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	271	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	272	1	what	what	PRON
ajase-4116	272	2	explains	explain	VERB
ajase-4116	272	3	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	272	4	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	272	5	movements	movement	NOUN
ajase-4116	272	6	?	?	PUNCT
ajase-4116	273	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ajase-4116	273	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	273	3	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	273	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	273	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	273	6	67(3	67(3	NUM
ajase-4116	273	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	273	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	273	9	706–721	706–721	NUM
ajase-4116	273	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	1	https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12172	https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12172	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	2	bentley	bentley	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	4	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	7	donovan	donovan	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	9	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	11	sonder	sonder	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	13	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	15	baudron	baudron	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	17	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	19	lewis	lewis	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	21	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	22	m.	m.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	24	voss	voss	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	26	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	28	rutsaert	rutsaert	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	30	p.	p.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	32	poole	poole	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	34	n.	n.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	36	kamoun	kamoun	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	38	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	40	saunders	saunders	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	42	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	43	g.	g.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	44	o.	o.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	46	hodson	hodson	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	47	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	48	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	49	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	50	hughes	hughes	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	52	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	53	p.	p.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	55	negra	negra	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	56	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	57	c.	c.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	58	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	59	ibba	ibba	ADJ
ajase-4116	274	60	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	61	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	62	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	63	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	64	snapp	snapp	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	65	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	66	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	67	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	68	sida	sida	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	69	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	70	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	71	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	72	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	73	jaleta	jaleta	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	74	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	75	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	76	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	77	tesfaye	tesfaye	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	78	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	79	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	80	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	81	becker	becker	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	82	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	83	reshef	reshef	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	84	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	85	i.	i.	NOUN
ajase-4116	274	86	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	87	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	274	88	govaerts	govaerts	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	89	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	90	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	274	91	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	92	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	274	93	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	274	94	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	275	1	nearto	nearto	ADJ
ajase-4116	275	2	long	long	ADJ
ajase-4116	275	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	275	4	term	term	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	5	measures	measure	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	6	to	to	PART
ajase-4116	275	7	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
ajase-4116	275	8	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	275	9	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	10	supplies	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	275	12	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	13	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	275	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	276	1	nature	nature	NOUN
ajase-4116	276	2	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	276	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	276	4	3(7	3(7	NUM
ajase-4116	276	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	276	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	276	7	483–486	483–486	NUM
ajase-4116	276	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	1	https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00559-y	https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-022-00559-y	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	2	chen	chen	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	4	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	5	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	7	kuo	kuo	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	9	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	10	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	12	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	277	13	chen	chen	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	15	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	16	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	277	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	18	2010	2010	NUM
ajase-4116	277	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	277	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	278	1	modeling	model	VERB
ajase-4116	278	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	278	3	relationship	relationship	NOUN
ajase-4116	278	4	between	between	ADP
ajase-4116	278	5	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	278	6	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	278	7	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	278	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	278	9	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	278	10	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	278	11	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	278	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	279	1	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	279	2	energy	energy	NOUN
ajase-4116	279	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	279	4	87(8	87(8	NUM
ajase-4116	279	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	279	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	279	7	2517–2525	2517–2525	NUM
ajase-4116	279	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	280	1	https://doi	https://doi	X
ajase-4116	280	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	1	org/10.1016	org/10.1016	PROPN
ajase-4116	281	2	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	281	3	j.apenergy.2010.02.020	j.apenergy.2010.02.020	PROPN
ajase-4116	281	4	deschênes	deschêne	NOUN
ajase-4116	281	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	6	o.	o.	PROPN
ajase-4116	281	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	8	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	281	9	greenstone	greenstone	NOUN
ajase-4116	281	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	11	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	281	12	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	13	2011	2011	NUM
ajase-4116	281	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	281	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	282	1	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	2	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	282	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	282	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	282	7	adaptation	adaptation	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	282	9	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	10	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	282	11	annual	annual	ADJ
ajase-4116	282	12	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	282	14	weather	weather	NOUN
ajase-4116	282	15	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	282	16	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	282	17	us	us	PROPN
ajase-4116	282	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	283	1	american	american	ADJ
ajase-4116	283	2	economic	economic	PROPN
ajase-4116	283	3	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	283	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	283	5	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-4116	283	6	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	283	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	283	8	3(4	3(4	NUM
ajase-4116	283	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	283	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	283	11	152–185	152–185	NUM
ajase-4116	283	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	1	https://doi	https://doi	NOUN
ajase-4116	284	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	3	org/10.1257	org/10.1257	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	4	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	284	5	app.3.4.152	app.3.4.152	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	6	dhakhwa	dhakhwa	NOUN
ajase-4116	284	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	8	g.	g.	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	9	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	11	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	284	12	campbell	campbell	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	14	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	15	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	284	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	17	1998	1998	NUM
ajase-4116	284	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	284	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	285	1	potential	potential	ADJ
ajase-4116	285	2	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	285	4	differential	differential	ADJ
ajase-4116	285	5	day	day	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	285	7	night	night	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	8	warming	warming	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	285	10	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	285	11	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	12	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	13	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	285	14	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	15	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	285	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	286	1	climatic	climatic	ADJ
ajase-4116	286	2	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	286	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	286	4	40(3/4	40(3/4	NUM
ajase-4116	286	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	286	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	286	7	647–667	647–667	NUM
ajase-4116	286	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	287	1	https://doi	https://doi	PROPN
ajase-4116	287	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	1	org/10.1023	org/10.1023	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	2	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	288	3	a:1005339800665	a:1005339800665	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	4	drugova	drugova	X
ajase-4116	288	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	6	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	8	pozo	pozo	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	10	v.	v.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	11	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	13	curtis	curtis	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	15	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	16	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	18	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	288	19	fortenbery	fortenbery	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	21	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	22	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	288	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	24	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	288	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	288	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	289	1	organic	organic	ADJ
ajase-4116	289	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	289	3	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	289	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	289	5	premium	premium	ADJ
ajase-4116	289	6	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-4116	289	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	290	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ajase-4116	290	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	290	3	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	290	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	290	5	resource	resource	NOUN
ajase-4116	290	6	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	290	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	290	8	44(3	44(3	NOUN
ajase-4116	290	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	290	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	290	11	551–570	551–570	NUM
ajase-4116	290	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	290	13	https://doi.org/10.2307/26797575	https://doi.org/10.2307/26797575	PUNCT
ajase-4116	291	1	du	du	PROPN
ajase-4116	291	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	291	3	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	291	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	291	5	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	291	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	291	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	292	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	292	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	292	3	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	292	4	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-4116	292	5	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	292	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	292	7	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	292	8	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	292	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	293	1	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
ajase-4116	293	2	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ajase-4116	293	3	system	system	NOUN
ajase-4116	293	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	293	5	college	college	NOUN
ajase-4116	293	6	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajase-4116	293	7	language	language	NOUN
ajase-4116	293	8	cloud	cloud	NOUN
ajase-4116	293	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	293	10	2(4	2(4	NUM
ajase-4116	293	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	293	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	293	13	239	239	NUM
ajase-4116	293	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	1	enghiad	enghiad	NOUN
ajase-4116	294	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	3	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	5	ufer	ufer	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	7	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	9	countryman	countryman	NOUN
ajase-4116	294	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	11	a.	a.	NOUN
ajase-4116	294	12	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	294	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	14	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	294	15	thilmany	thilmany	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	17	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	18	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	294	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	20	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	294	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	294	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	295	1	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	295	2	overview	overview	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	295	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	295	5	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	6	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	7	fundamentals	fundamental	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	8	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	295	9	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	295	10	era	era	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	11	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	295	12	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	13	concerns	concern	NOUN
ajase-4116	295	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	296	1	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	296	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ajase-4116	296	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	296	4	agronomy	agronomy	NOUN
ajase-4116	296	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	296	6	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	296	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	296	8	1–15	1–15	NUM
ajase-4116	296	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	297	1	https://	https://	PROPN
ajase-4116	297	2	doi.org/10.1155/2017/3931897	doi.org/10.1155/2017/3931897	PROPN
ajase-4116	297	3	geren	geren	PROPN
ajase-4116	297	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	297	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	297	6	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	297	7	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-4116	297	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	297	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	298	1	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	298	2	importance	importance	NOUN
ajase-4116	298	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	298	4	history	history	NOUN
ajase-4116	298	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	298	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	298	7	adaptation	adaptation	NOUN
ajase-4116	298	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	1	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ajase-4116	299	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	299	3	practical	practical	ADJ
ajase-4116	299	4	new	new	ADJ
ajase-4116	299	5	approach	approach	NOUN
ajase-4116	299	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	299	7	cereal	cereal	NOUN
ajase-4116	299	8	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	299	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	299	10	technology	technology	NOUN
ajase-4116	299	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	12	3	3	X
ajase-4116	299	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	14	godfray	godfray	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	16	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	17	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	18	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	20	beddington	beddington	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	22	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	23	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	25	crute	crute	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	27	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	28	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	30	haddad	haddad	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	32	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	34	lawrence	lawrence	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	36	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	38	muir	muir	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	40	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	41	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	43	pretty	pretty	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	45	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	47	robinson	robinson	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	48	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	49	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	50	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	51	thomas	thomas	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	52	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	53	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	54	m.	m.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	55	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	56	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	299	57	toulmin	toulmin	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	58	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	59	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	299	60	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	61	2010	2010	NUM
ajase-4116	299	62	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	299	63	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	300	1	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	300	2	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	300	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	300	4	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	300	5	challenge	challenge	NOUN
ajase-4116	300	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	300	7	feeding	feed	VERB
ajase-4116	300	8	9	9	NUM
ajase-4116	300	9	billion	billion	NUM
ajase-4116	300	10	people	people	NOUN
ajase-4116	300	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	301	1	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	301	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	301	3	327(5967	327(5967	NUM
ajase-4116	301	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	301	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	301	6	812–818	812–818	NUM
ajase-4116	301	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	302	1	https://doi.org/10.1126/	https://doi.org/10.1126/	PROPN
ajase-4116	302	2	science.1185383	science.1185383	PROPN
ajase-4116	302	3	gujarati	gujarati	PROPN
ajase-4116	302	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	302	5	n.	n.	PROPN
ajase-4116	302	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	302	7	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	302	8	2003	2003	NUM
ajase-4116	302	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	302	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	303	1	basic	basic	ADJ
ajase-4116	303	2	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ajase-4116	303	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	304	1	mcgraw	mcgraw	PROPN
ajase-4116	304	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	304	3	hill	hill	PROPN
ajase-4116	304	4	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	1	habib	habib	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	3	ur	ur	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	5	rahman	rahman	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	7	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	305	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	9	ahmad	ahmad	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	11	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	13	raza	raza	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	15	a.	a.	NOUN
ajase-4116	305	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	17	hasnain	hasnain	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	19	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	305	20	u.	u.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	22	alharby	alharby	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	24	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	25	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	27	alzahrani	alzahrani	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	29	y.	y.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	30	m.	m.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	32	bamagoos	bamagoos	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	34	a.	a.	NOUN
ajase-4116	305	35	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	305	37	hakeem	hakeem	PROPN
ajase-4116	305	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	1	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	2	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	4	ahmad	ahmad	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	6	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	8	nasim	nasim	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	10	w.	w.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	12	ali	ali	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	14	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	16	mansour	mansour	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	18	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	20	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	306	21	el	el	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	22	sabagh	sabagh	PROPN
ajase-4116	306	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	24	a.	a.	NOUN
ajase-4116	306	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	26	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	306	27	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	306	28	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	307	1	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	307	3	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	4	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	5	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	307	6	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	307	7	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	8	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-4116	307	9	issues	issue	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	307	11	challenges	challenge	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	307	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	307	14	opportunities	opportunity	NOUN
ajase-4116	307	15	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	307	16	asia	asia	PROPN
ajase-4116	307	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	308	1	frontiers	frontier	NOUN
ajase-4116	308	2	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	308	3	plant	plant	NOUN
ajase-4116	308	4	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	308	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	308	6	13	13	NUM
ajase-4116	308	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	1	https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548	https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2022.925548	PROPN
ajase-4116	309	2	headey	headey	PROPN
ajase-4116	309	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	309	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	309	7	fan	fan	PROPN
ajase-4116	309	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	9	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	309	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	11	2008	2008	NUM
ajase-4116	309	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	309	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	310	1	anatomy	anatomy	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	310	3	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	310	4	crisis	crisis	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	310	6	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	310	7	causes	cause	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	310	9	consequences	consequence	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	10	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	310	11	surging	surge	VERB
ajase-4116	310	12	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	13	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	310	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	311	1	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	311	2	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	311	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	311	4	39(s1	39(s1	NUM
ajase-4116	311	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	311	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	311	7	375–391	375–391	NUM
ajase-4116	311	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	1	https://doi	https://doi	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	3	org/10.1111	org/10.1111	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	4	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	312	5	j.1574	j.1574	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	7	0862.2008.00345.x	0862.2008.00345.x	NOUN
ajase-4116	312	8	howard	howard	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	12	cakan	cakan	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	14	e.	e.	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	16	upadhyaya	upadhyaya	PROPN
ajase-4116	312	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	312	18	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	313	1	p.	p.	PROPN
ajase-4116	313	2	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	313	3	2016	2016	NUM
ajase-4116	313	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	313	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	314	1	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	314	2	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	314	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	314	4	its	its	PRON
ajase-4116	314	5	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	314	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	314	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	314	8	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	314	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	314	10	kansas	kansas	PROPN
ajase-4116	314	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	315	1	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	315	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	315	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	315	4	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	315	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	315	6	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	315	7	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	315	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	315	9	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-4116	315	10	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-4116	315	11	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	315	12	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-4116	315	13	am	be	AUX
ajase-4116	315	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	316	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	316	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-4116	316	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	317	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-4116	317	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	318	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-4116	318	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	319	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-4116	319	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	320	1	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	320	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	320	3	11	11	NUM
ajase-4116	320	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	320	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-4116	320	6	4(2	4(2	NUM
ajase-4116	320	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	320	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	320	9	1	1	NUM
ajase-4116	320	10	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	320	11	10	10	NUM
ajase-4116	320	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	321	1	www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4	www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4	PROPN
ajase-4116	321	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	1	no2.pp1.pdf	no2.pp1.pdf	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	2	iqbal	iqbal	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	4	n.	n.	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	6	bakhsh	bakhsh	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	8	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	10	maqbool	maqbool	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	12	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	14	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	322	15	ahmad	ahmad	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	17	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	18	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	322	19	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	20	2005	2005	NUM
ajase-4116	322	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	322	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	323	1	use	use	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	323	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	323	4	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	323	5	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	6	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	323	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	9	area	area	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	323	11	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	323	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	323	13	pakistan	pakistan	PROPN
ajase-4116	323	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	324	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	324	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	324	3	agriculture	agriculture	NOUN
ajase-4116	324	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	324	5	social	social	ADJ
ajase-4116	324	6	sciences	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	324	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	324	8	1(2	1(2	NUM
ajase-4116	324	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	324	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	324	11	120–122	120–122	NUM
ajase-4116	324	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	1	jadhav	jadhav	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	3	v.	v.	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	5	chinnappa	chinnappa	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	7	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	8	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	10	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	325	11	gaddi	gaddi	NOUN
ajase-4116	325	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	13	g.	g.	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	14	m.	m.	PROPN
ajase-4116	325	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	16	2017	2017	NUM
ajase-4116	325	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	325	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	326	1	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	326	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	326	3	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	326	4	model	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	326	5	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	326	6	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-4116	326	7	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	326	8	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	326	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	327	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ajase-4116	327	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	327	3	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	327	4	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	327	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	327	6	technology	technology	NOUN
ajase-4116	327	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	327	8	19(5	19(5	NUM
ajase-4116	327	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	327	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	327	11	981	981	NUM
ajase-4116	327	12	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	327	13	992	992	NUM
ajase-4116	327	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	1	jebabli	jebabli	PROPN
ajase-4116	328	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	3	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-4116	328	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	5	arouri	arouri	PROPN
ajase-4116	328	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	7	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	328	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	9	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	328	10	teulon	teulon	PROPN
ajase-4116	328	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	12	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-4116	328	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	14	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	328	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	328	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	329	1	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	329	2	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	329	3	effects	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	329	5	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	6	stock	stock	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	7	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	329	9	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	10	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	11	shocks	shock	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	12	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	329	13	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	14	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	15	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	329	16	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	329	17	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-4116	329	18	investigation	investigation	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	19	based	base	VERB
ajase-4116	329	20	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	329	21	tvp	tvp	ADJ
ajase-4116	329	22	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	329	23	var	var	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	24	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	25	with	with	ADP
ajase-4116	329	26	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
ajase-4116	329	27	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	329	28	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	330	1	energy	energy	NOUN
ajase-4116	330	2	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	330	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	330	4	45	45	NUM
ajase-4116	330	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	330	6	66–98	66–98	NUM
ajase-4116	330	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.06.008	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.06.008	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	2	kang	kang	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	4	y.	y.	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	6	khan	khan	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	8	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	10	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	331	11	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	331	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	13	x.	x.	NOUN
ajase-4116	331	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	15	2009	2009	NUM
ajase-4116	331	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	331	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	332	1	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	2	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	3	impacts	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	4	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	332	5	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	6	yield	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	332	8	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	9	water	water	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	10	productivity	productivity	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	332	12	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	13	security	security	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	14	–	–	PUNCT
ajase-4116	332	15	a	a	DET
ajase-4116	332	16	review	review	NOUN
ajase-4116	332	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	333	1	progress	progress	NOUN
ajase-4116	333	2	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	333	3	natural	natural	ADJ
ajase-4116	333	4	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	333	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	333	6	19(12	19(12	NUM
ajase-4116	333	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	333	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	333	9	1665–1674	1665–1674	NUM
ajase-4116	333	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	334	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j	https://doi.org/10.1016/j	NOUN
ajase-4116	334	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	1	pnsc.2009.08.001	pnsc.2009.08.001	VERB
ajase-4116	335	2	karim	karim	PROPN
ajase-4116	335	3	ahmadzai	ahmadzai	PROPN
ajase-4116	335	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	5	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	335	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	7	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	335	8	eliw	eliw	PROPN
ajase-4116	335	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	10	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	335	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	12	2020	2020	NUM
ajase-4116	335	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	335	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	336	1	using	use	VERB
ajase-4116	336	2	arima	arima	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	3	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	4	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	336	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	336	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	336	8	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	336	10	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	11	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	336	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	336	13	afghanistan	afghanistan	PROPN
ajase-4116	336	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	337	1	asian	asian	ADJ
ajase-4116	337	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	337	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	337	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	337	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	337	6	business	business	NOUN
ajase-4116	337	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	337	8	accounting	accounting	NOUN
ajase-4116	337	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	337	10	1–21	1–21	PROPN
ajase-4116	337	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	1	https://doi.org/10.9734/	https://doi.org/10.9734/	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	2	ajeba/2019	ajeba/2019	X
ajase-4116	338	3	/	/	SYM
ajase-4116	338	4	v13i430180	v13i430180	ADP
ajase-4116	338	5	lobell	lobell	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	7	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	8	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	10	schlenker	schlenker	NOUN
ajase-4116	338	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	12	w.	w.	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	14	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	338	15	costa	costa	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	16	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	17	roberts	roberts	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	19	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	338	20	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	21	2011	2011	NUM
ajase-4116	338	22	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	338	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	339	1	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	339	2	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-4116	339	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	339	4	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	339	5	crop	crop	NOUN
ajase-4116	339	6	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	339	7	since	since	SCONJ
ajase-4116	339	8	1980	1980	NUM
ajase-4116	339	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	340	1	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	340	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	340	3	333(6042	333(6042	NUM
ajase-4116	340	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	340	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	340	6	616–620	616–620	NUM
ajase-4116	340	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	1	mahapatra	mahapatra	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	3	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	4	k.	k.	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	341	7	dash	dash	NOUN
ajase-4116	341	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	9	dr	dr	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	10	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	11	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	341	12	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	13	2019	2019	NUM
ajase-4116	341	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	341	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	342	1	application	application	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	342	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	4	series	series	PROPN
ajase-4116	342	5	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	6	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	342	7	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	342	10	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	342	11	commodities	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	342	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	343	1	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	343	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	343	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	343	4	agriculture	agriculture	NOUN
ajase-4116	343	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	343	6	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	343	7	science	science	NOUN
ajase-4116	343	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	343	9	1(3	1(3	NUM
ajase-4116	343	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	343	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	343	12	27–29	27–29	NUM
ajase-4116	343	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	344	1	https://doi	https://doi	PROPN
ajase-4116	344	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	1	org/10.33545/2664844x.2019.v1.i3a.23	org/10.33545/2664844x.2019.v1.i3a.23	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	2	montgomery	montgomery	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	7	jennings	jennings	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	9	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	10	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	12	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	345	13	kulahci	kulahci	PROPN
ajase-4116	345	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	15	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	345	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	17	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	345	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	345	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	346	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ajase-4116	346	2	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	346	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-4116	346	4	series	series	NOUN
ajase-4116	346	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-4116	346	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	346	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-4116	346	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	347	1	john	john	PROPN
ajase-4116	347	2	wiley	wiley	PROPN
ajase-4116	347	3	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	347	4	sons	son	NOUN
ajase-4116	347	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	1	rosenzweig	rosenzweig	PROPN
ajase-4116	348	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	3	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	348	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	5	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	348	6	parry	parry	PROPN
ajase-4116	348	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	8	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	348	9	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	348	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	11	1994	1994	NUM
ajase-4116	348	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	348	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	349	1	potential	potential	ADJ
ajase-4116	349	2	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	349	4	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	5	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	349	7	world	world	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	8	food	food	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	9	supply	supply	NOUN
ajase-4116	349	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	350	1	nature	nature	NOUN
ajase-4116	350	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	350	3	367(6459	367(6459	NOUN
ajase-4116	350	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	350	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	350	6	133–138	133–138	NUM
ajase-4116	350	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	351	1	https://doi.org/10.1038/367133a0	https://doi.org/10.1038/367133a0	PROPN
ajase-4116	351	2	sadorsky	sadorsky	NOUN
ajase-4116	351	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	351	4	p.	p.	NOUN
ajase-4116	351	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	351	6	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-4116	351	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	351	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	352	1	modeling	model	VERB
ajase-4116	352	2	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	352	4	correlations	correlation	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	5	between	between	ADP
ajase-4116	352	6	emerging	emerge	VERB
ajase-4116	352	7	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	8	stock	stock	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	9	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	352	11	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	352	12	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	13	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	352	14	copper	copper	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	352	16	oil	oil	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	352	18	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	352	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	353	1	energy	energy	NOUN
ajase-4116	353	2	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	353	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	353	4	43	43	NUM
ajase-4116	353	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	353	6	72–81	72–81	NUM
ajase-4116	353	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	354	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.02.014	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2014.02.014	PROPN
ajase-4116	354	2	sharma	sharma	PROPN
ajase-4116	354	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	354	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	354	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	354	6	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	354	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	354	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	355	1	applicability	applicability	NOUN
ajase-4116	355	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	355	3	arima	arima	PROPN
ajase-4116	355	4	models	model	NOUN
ajase-4116	355	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	355	6	wholesale	wholesale	ADJ
ajase-4116	355	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	355	8	market	market	NOUN
ajase-4116	355	9	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	355	10	rajasthan	rajasthan	PROPN
ajase-4116	355	11	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	355	12	an	an	DET
ajase-4116	355	13	investigation	investigation	NOUN
ajase-4116	355	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	356	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	356	2	affairs	affair	NOUN
ajase-4116	356	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	356	4	60(4	60(4	NUM
ajase-4116	356	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	356	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	356	7	687–691	687–691	NUM
ajase-4116	356	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	1	song	song	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	3	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	5	huang	huang	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	7	x.	x.	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	9	les	les	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	11	o.	o.	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	13	ma	ma	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	15	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	17	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	357	18	liu	liu	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	20	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	357	21	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	22	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-4116	357	23	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	357	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	358	1	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	358	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-4116	358	3	impact	impact	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	358	5	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	6	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	7	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	358	8	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	358	10	maize	maize	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	11	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-4116	358	13	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	358	14	north	north	NOUN
ajase-4116	358	15	china	china	PROPN
ajase-4116	358	16	plain	plain	PROPN
ajase-4116	358	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	359	1	international	international	ADJ
ajase-4116	359	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-4116	359	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	359	4	environmental	environmental	ADJ
ajase-4116	359	5	research	research	NOUN
ajase-4116	359	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	359	7	public	public	ADJ
ajase-4116	359	8	health	health	NOUN
ajase-4116	359	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	359	10	19(9	19(9	NUM
ajase-4116	359	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	359	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	359	13	5707	5707	NUM
ajase-4116	359	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	360	1	https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19095707	https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19095707	NOUN
ajase-4116	360	2	shahbandeh	shahbandeh	NOUN
ajase-4116	360	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	360	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	360	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	360	6	2024a	2024a	NUM
ajase-4116	360	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	360	8	june	june	PROPN
ajase-4116	360	9	18	18	NUM
ajase-4116	360	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	360	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	361	1	global	global	ADJ
ajase-4116	361	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	361	3	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	361	4	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	361	5	1990/1991	1990/1991	NUM
ajase-4116	361	6	to	to	ADP
ajase-4116	361	7	2023/2024	2023/2024	NUM
ajase-4116	361	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	361	9	statista	statista	NOUN
ajase-4116	361	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	362	1	https://www	https://www	PROPN
ajase-4116	362	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	363	1	statista.com/statistics/267268/production-of-wheatworldwide-since-1990/	statista.com/statistics/267268/production-of-wheatworldwide-since-1990/	PROPN
ajase-4116	363	2	shahbandeh	shahbandeh	PROPN
ajase-4116	363	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	363	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	363	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	363	6	2024b	2024b	NUM
ajase-4116	363	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	363	8	may	may	AUX
ajase-4116	363	9	22	22	NUM
ajase-4116	363	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	363	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	364	1	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	364	2	export	export	NOUN
ajase-4116	364	3	volume	volume	NOUN
ajase-4116	364	4	worldwide	worldwide	ADV
ajase-4116	364	5	from	from	ADP
ajase-4116	364	6	2014/15	2014/15	NUM
ajase-4116	364	7	-	-	SYM
ajase-4116	364	8	2023/24	2023/24	NUM
ajase-4116	364	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	364	10	statista	statista	NOUN
ajase-4116	364	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	1	https://	https://	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	2	www.statista.com/statistics/737926/wheat-exportvolume-worldwide/	www.statista.com/statistics/737926/wheat-exportvolume-worldwide/	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	3	steen	steen	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	5	m.	m.	NOUN
ajase-4116	365	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	7	bergland	bergland	NOUN
ajase-4116	365	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	9	o.	o.	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	11	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	365	12	gjølberg	gjølberg	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	14	o.	o.	PROPN
ajase-4116	365	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	16	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-4116	365	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	365	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	366	1	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	2	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	366	4	grain	grain	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	5	price	price	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	6	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-4116	366	8	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-4116	366	9	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	10	for	for	ADP
ajase-4116	366	11	corn	corn	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	366	13	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	366	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	367	1	1971–2019	1971–2019	NUM
ajase-4116	367	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	368	1	commodities	commodity	NOUN
ajase-4116	368	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	368	3	2(1	2(1	NUM
ajase-4116	368	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	368	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	368	6	1–12	1–12	NOUN
ajase-4116	368	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	1	https://doi.org/10.3390/commodities2010001	https://doi.org/10.3390/commodities2010001	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	2	tack	tack	NOUN
ajase-4116	369	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	6	barkley	barkley	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	8	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	10	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-4116	369	11	nalley	nalley	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	13	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	14	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-4116	369	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	16	2015	2015	NUM
ajase-4116	369	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	369	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	370	1	effect	effect	NOUN
ajase-4116	370	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	370	3	warming	warm	VERB
ajase-4116	370	4	temperatures	temperature	NOUN
ajase-4116	370	5	on	on	ADP
ajase-4116	370	6	us	us	PROPN
ajase-4116	370	7	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	370	8	yields	yield	NOUN
ajase-4116	370	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	371	1	proceedings	proceeding	NOUN
ajase-4116	371	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	371	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	371	4	national	national	PROPN
ajase-4116	371	5	academy	academy	PROPN
ajase-4116	371	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	371	7	sciences	sciences	PROPN
ajase-4116	371	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	371	9	112(22	112(22	NUM
ajase-4116	371	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	371	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	371	12	6931–6936	6931–6936	NOUN
ajase-4116	371	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	372	1	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1415181112	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1415181112	PROPN
ajase-4116	372	2	tol	tol	PROPN
ajase-4116	372	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	372	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-4116	372	5	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-4116	372	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-4116	372	7	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	372	8	2002	2002	NUM
ajase-4116	372	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	372	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	373	1	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	373	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	373	3	the	the	DET
ajase-4116	373	4	damage	damage	NOUN
ajase-4116	373	5	costs	cost	NOUN
ajase-4116	373	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	373	7	climate	climate	NOUN
ajase-4116	373	8	change	change	NOUN
ajase-4116	373	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	373	10	part	part	PROPN
ajase-4116	373	11	ii	ii	PROPN
ajase-4116	373	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	374	1	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-4116	374	2	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajase-4116	374	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	375	1	environmental	environmental	ADJ
ajase-4116	375	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-4116	375	3	resource	resource	NOUN
ajase-4116	375	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-4116	375	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	375	6	21(2	21(2	NUM
ajase-4116	375	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	375	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	375	9	135–160	135–160	NUM
ajase-4116	375	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	376	1	https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1014539414591	https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1014539414591	PROPN
ajase-4116	376	2	usda	usda	PROPN
ajase-4116	376	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-4116	376	4	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajase-4116	376	5	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
ajase-4116	376	6	service	service	NOUN
ajase-4116	376	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	377	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-4116	377	2	n.d	n.d	PROPN
ajase-4116	377	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	377	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-4116	377	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	378	1	production	production	NOUN
ajase-4116	378	2	wheat	wheat	NOUN
ajase-4116	378	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	379	1	u.s	u.s	PROPN
ajase-4116	379	2	.	.	PROPN
ajase-4116	379	3	department	department	PROPN
ajase-4116	379	4	of	of	ADP
ajase-4116	379	5	agriculture	agriculture	PROPN
ajase-4116	379	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	380	1	https://fas	https://fas	NOUN
ajase-4116	380	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-4116	381	1	usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0410000	usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0410000	PROPN