id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
ajase-5752	1	1	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	2	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	3	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	1	4	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	5	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	6	10	10	NUM
ajase-5752	1	7	8	8	NUM
ajase-5752	1	8	american	american	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	9	journal	journal	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	10	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	1	11	applied	apply	VERB
ajase-5752	1	12	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	1	14	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	16	ajase	ajase	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	18	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	1	19	key	key	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	20	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	21	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	22	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	1	23	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	24	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	1	25	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	1	26	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	27	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	28	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	1	29	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	30	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	1	31	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	32	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	33	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	34	chinton	chinton	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	35	emmanuel1	emmanuel1	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	36	*	*	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	38	donkoh	donkoh	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	39	kojo	kojo	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	40	isaac2	isaac2	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	42	acquah	acquah	VERB
ajase-5752	1	43	oware	oware	ADJ
ajase-5752	1	44	nana	nana	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	45	emmanuel3	emmanuel3	PROPN
ajase-5752	1	46	volume	volume	VERB
ajase-5752	1	47	4	4	NUM
ajase-5752	1	48	issue	issue	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	49	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	1	50	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	1	51	year	year	NOUN
ajase-5752	1	52	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	2	1	issn	issn	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	2	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	3	2992	2992	NUM
ajase-5752	2	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	5	927x	927x	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	6	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	7	online	online	ADJ
ajase-5752	2	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	9	doi	doi	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	10	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	11	https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v4i1.5752	https://doi.org/10.54536/ajase.v4i1.5752	X
ajase-5752	2	12	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	13	article	article	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	14	information	information	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	15	abstract	abstract	ADV
ajase-5752	2	16	received	receive	VERB
ajase-5752	2	17	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	18	july	july	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	19	20	20	NUM
ajase-5752	2	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	21	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	2	22	accepted	accept	VERB
ajase-5752	2	23	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	24	august	august	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	25	22	22	NUM
ajase-5752	2	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	27	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	2	28	published	publish	VERB
ajase-5752	2	29	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	30	september	september	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	31	29	29	NUM
ajase-5752	2	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	33	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	2	34	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	2	35	paper	paper	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	36	presents	present	VERB
ajase-5752	2	37	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	2	38	six	six	NUM
ajase-5752	2	39	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	40	month	month	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	41	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	42	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	43	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	44	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	2	45	three	three	NUM
ajase-5752	2	46	key	key	ADJ
ajase-5752	2	47	ghanaian	ghanaian	ADJ
ajase-5752	2	48	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	2	49	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	50	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	51	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	2	52	usd	usd	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	53	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	2	54	ghs	ghs	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	55	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	56	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	57	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	58	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	2	59	consumer	consumer	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	60	price	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	61	index	index	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	62	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	63	cpi	cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	2	64	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	65	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	2	66	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	2	67	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	2	68	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	69	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	70	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	71	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	2	72	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	2	73	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	3	1	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	3	2	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	3	4	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	3	5	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	6	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	7	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	8	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	3	10	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	3	12	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	3	14	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	3	15	utilized	utilize	VERB
ajase-5752	3	16	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	3	17	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-5752	3	18	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-5752	3	19	interrelationships	interrelationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	20	among	among	ADP
ajase-5752	3	21	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	3	22	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-5752	3	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	4	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	4	2	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	4	3	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	4	4	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	4	5	incorporated	incorporate	VERB
ajase-5752	4	6	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	4	7	quantify	quantify	VERB
ajase-5752	4	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	4	9	under	under	ADP
ajase-5752	4	10	minimal	minimal	ADJ
ajase-5752	4	11	distributional	distributional	ADJ
ajase-5752	4	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ajase-5752	4	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	5	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	5	2	results	result	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	5	4	moderate	moderate	ADJ
ajase-5752	5	5	currency	currency	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	6	depreciation	depreciation	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	5	8	persistent	persistent	ADJ
ajase-5752	5	9	inflationary	inflationary	ADJ
ajase-5752	5	10	trends	trend	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	5	12	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	5	14	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajase-5752	5	15	interest	interest	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	16	rates	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	17	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	5	18	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	5	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	20	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	5	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	1	keywords	keyword	VERB
ajase-5752	6	2	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	3	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	5	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	6	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	9	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	11	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	13	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	14	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	16	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	17	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	18	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	6	19	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	20	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	6	21	department	department	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	22	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	6	23	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	25	university	university	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	26	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	6	27	cape	cape	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	28	coast	coast	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	30	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	31	2	2	NUM
ajase-5752	6	32	financial	financial	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	33	engineering	engineering	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	35	worldquant	worldquant	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	36	university	university	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	39	usa	usa	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	40	3	3	NUM
ajase-5752	6	41	department	department	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	42	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	6	43	economics	economic	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	44	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	6	45	finance	finance	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	47	youngstown	youngstown	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	48	state	state	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	49	university	university	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	50	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	51	usa	usa	PROPN
ajase-5752	6	52	*	*	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	53	corresponding	correspond	VERB
ajase-5752	6	54	author	author	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	55	’s	’s	PART
ajase-5752	6	56	e	e	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	57	-	-	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	58	mail	mail	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	59	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	6	60	emmanuelchinton7@gmail.com	emmanuelchinton7@gmail.com	X
ajase-5752	6	61	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	62	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	6	63	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	64	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	65	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	6	66	essential	essential	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	67	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	6	68	effective	effective	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	69	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	70	design	design	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	71	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	6	72	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-5752	6	73	planning	planning	NOUN
ajase-5752	6	74	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	1	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	7	2	study	study	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	3	employs	employ	VERB
ajase-5752	7	4	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	7	5	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	7	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	7	8	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	9	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	10	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	11	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	12	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	13	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	15	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	17	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	7	18	analyze	analyze	VERB
ajase-5752	7	19	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	7	20	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	21	term	term	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	22	movements	movement	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	23	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	7	24	three	three	NUM
ajase-5752	7	25	critical	critical	ADJ
ajase-5752	7	26	ghanaian	ghanaian	ADJ
ajase-5752	7	27	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	7	28	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	29	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	30	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	7	31	usd/	usd/	PROPN
ajase-5752	7	32	ghs	ghs	PROPN
ajase-5752	7	33	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	34	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	36	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	7	37	consumer	consumer	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	38	price	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	39	index	index	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	40	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	41	cpi	cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	7	42	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	43	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	7	44	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	7	45	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	7	46	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	47	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	48	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	49	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	7	50	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	7	51	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	8	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	8	2	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	8	4	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	5	framework	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	6	captures	capture	VERB
ajase-5752	8	7	both	both	DET
ajase-5752	8	8	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	8	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	8	10	run	run	VERB
ajase-5752	8	11	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	8	13	evolving	evolve	VERB
ajase-5752	8	14	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	8	15	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	8	16	term	term	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	17	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ajase-5752	8	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	9	1	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	9	2	account	account	VERB
ajase-5752	9	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	9	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	9	7	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	9	8	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	9	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	9	11	utilized	utilize	VERB
ajase-5752	9	12	which	which	PRON
ajase-5752	9	13	offer	offer	VERB
ajase-5752	9	14	valid	valid	ADJ
ajase-5752	9	15	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	16	without	without	ADP
ajase-5752	9	17	assuming	assume	VERB
ajase-5752	9	18	specific	specific	ADJ
ajase-5752	9	19	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	20	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ajase-5752	9	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	1	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	2	review	review	VERB
ajase-5752	10	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	5	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	10	6	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	7	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	8	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	10	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	12	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	10	13	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	10	14	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	15	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	10	17	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	10	18	among	among	ADP
ajase-5752	10	19	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	21	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	10	22	cedi	cedi	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	23	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	10	24	us$	us$	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	25	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	27	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	28	rates	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	30	money	money	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	32	output	output	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	34	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	10	35	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	36	prices	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	37	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	10	38	well	well	ADV
ajase-5752	10	39	known	known	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	40	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	10	41	be	be	AUX
ajase-5752	10	42	non	non	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	43	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	44	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	45	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	10	46	evolving	evolve	VERB
ajase-5752	10	47	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	10	48	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	49	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	50	equilibria	equilibrium	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	51	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	10	52	shifting	shift	VERB
ajase-5752	10	53	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	10	54	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	55	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	56	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	57	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	58	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	59	regime	regime	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	60	shifts	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	61	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	62	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	63	price	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	64	cycles	cycle	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	65	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	66	imf	imf	PROPN
ajase-5752	10	67	programs	program	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	68	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	69	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	10	70	disinflation	disinflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	71	episodes	episode	NOUN
ajase-5752	10	72	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	10	73	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	1	standard	standard	ADJ
ajase-5752	11	2	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	5	invariant	invariant	ADJ
ajase-5752	11	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	7	var	var	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	8	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	11	9	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	10	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	11	on	on	ADP
ajase-5752	11	12	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	11	13	capture	capture	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	14	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	15	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	11	16	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	17	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	18	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	19	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-5752	11	20	assume	assume	VERB
ajase-5752	11	21	fixed	fixed	ADJ
ajase-5752	11	22	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	11	24	which	which	PRON
ajase-5752	11	25	can	can	AUX
ajase-5752	11	26	miss	miss	VERB
ajase-5752	11	27	structural	structural	ADJ
ajase-5752	11	28	drifts	drift	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	29	that	that	PRON
ajase-5752	11	30	matter	matter	VERB
ajase-5752	11	31	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	11	32	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	33	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	11	34	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	35	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajase-5752	11	36	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	12	1	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	12	2	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	12	3	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	12	5	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	12	6	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	7	framework	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	8	lets	let	VERB
ajase-5752	12	9	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	12	10	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	11	accommodate	accommodate	VERB
ajase-5752	12	12	gradual	gradual	ADJ
ajase-5752	12	13	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	14	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	12	15	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	16	speeds	speed	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	17	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	12	18	even	even	ADV
ajase-5752	12	19	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	12	20	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	21	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	22	itself	itself	PRON
ajase-5752	12	23	exactly	exactly	ADV
ajase-5752	12	24	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	12	25	type	type	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	26	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	12	27	flexibility	flexibility	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	28	needed	need	VERB
ajase-5752	12	29	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	12	30	an	an	DET
ajase-5752	12	31	economy	economy	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	32	that	that	PRON
ajase-5752	12	33	has	have	AUX
ajase-5752	12	34	seen	see	VERB
ajase-5752	12	35	alternating	alternate	VERB
ajase-5752	12	36	easing	ease	VERB
ajase-5752	12	37	cycles	cycle	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	38	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	12	39	large	large	ADJ
ajase-5752	12	40	disinflation	disinflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	12	41	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	12	42	2024–2025	2024–2025	NUM
ajase-5752	12	43	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	1	core	core	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	2	advances	advance	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	3	on	on	ADP
ajase-5752	13	4	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	5	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	6	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	13	7	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	13	9	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	10	early	early	ADJ
ajase-5752	13	11	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	12	showed	show	VERB
ajase-5752	13	13	how	how	SCONJ
ajase-5752	13	14	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	15	can	can	AUX
ajase-5752	13	16	evolve	evolve	VERB
ajase-5752	13	17	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	13	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	13	19	proposed	propose	VERB
ajase-5752	13	20	tests	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	21	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	13	22	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	24	invariance	invariance	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	25	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	13	26	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	13	27	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	13	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	29	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	30	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	31	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	32	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	13	33	rank	rank	NOUN
ajase-5752	13	34	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	13	35	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	1	bierens	bierens	PROPN
ajase-5752	14	2	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	14	3	martins	martin	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	5	2009/2010	2009/2010	NUM
ajase-5752	14	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	7	formalize	formalize	VERB
ajase-5752	14	8	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	14	9	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	11	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	14	12	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	13	setup	setup	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	14	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-5752	14	15	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	14	16	cointegrating	cointegrate	VERB
ajase-5752	14	17	relationship	relationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	18	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	19	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	14	20	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	21	they	they	PRON
ajase-5752	14	22	derive	derive	VERB
ajase-5752	14	23	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	14	24	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	25	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	26	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	27	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	28	against	against	ADP
ajase-5752	14	29	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	30	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	14	31	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	14	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	15	1	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	15	2	line	line	NOUN
ajase-5752	15	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	15	4	work	work	NOUN
ajase-5752	15	5	motivates	motivate	VERB
ajase-5752	15	6	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-5752	15	7	βt	βt	VERB
ajase-5752	15	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	15	9	even	even	ADV
ajase-5752	15	10	αt	αt	VERB
ajase-5752	15	11	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	15	12	drift	drift	VERB
ajase-5752	15	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	15	14	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	15	15	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	15	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	1	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	16	2	cautionary	cautionary	ADJ
ajase-5752	16	3	strand	strand	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	4	highlights	highlight	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	5	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	6	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	16	7	state	state	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	8	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	9	space/	space/	NUM
ajase-5752	16	10	kalman	kalman	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	11	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	12	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	16	13	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	15	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	16	16	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	17	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	18	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-5752	16	19	not	not	PART
ajase-5752	16	20	handled	handle	VERB
ajase-5752	16	21	carefully	carefully	ADV
ajase-5752	16	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	23	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	16	24	kalman	kalman	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	25	filter	filter	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	26	can	can	AUX
ajase-5752	16	27	absorb	absorb	VERB
ajase-5752	16	28	unit	unit	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	29	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	30	root	root	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	31	behavior	behavior	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	32	into	into	ADP
ajase-5752	16	33	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	16	34	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	35	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	36	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	16	37	state	state	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	38	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	16	39	spuriously	spuriously	ADV
ajase-5752	16	40	“	"	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	41	find	find	VERB
ajase-5752	16	42	”	"	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	43	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	44	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	45	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	16	46	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	47	between	between	ADP
ajase-5752	16	48	unrelated	unrelated	ADJ
ajase-5752	16	49	i(1	i(1	PROPN
ajase-5752	16	50	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	16	51	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	16	52	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	17	1	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-5752	17	2	procedures	procedure	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	17	4	bootstrap	bootstrap	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	5	testing	testing	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	6	frameworks	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	7	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	17	8	proposed	propose	VERB
ajase-5752	17	9	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	17	10	distinguish	distinguish	VERB
ajase-5752	17	11	no	no	DET
ajase-5752	17	12	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	13	vs.	vs.	ADP
ajase-5752	17	14	fixed	fix	VERB
ajase-5752	17	15	vs.	vs.	ADP
ajase-5752	17	16	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	17	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	17	18	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	17	19	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	17	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	18	1	this	this	PRON
ajase-5752	18	2	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	18	3	highly	highly	ADV
ajase-5752	18	4	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ajase-5752	18	5	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-5752	18	6	one	one	NUM
ajase-5752	18	7	estimates	estimate	VERB
ajase-5752	18	8	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	18	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	18	10	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	18	11	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	18	12	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	18	13	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	18	14	state	state	NOUN
ajase-5752	18	15	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	18	16	space	space	NOUN
ajase-5752	18	17	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	18	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	1	recent	recent	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	2	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	3	theory	theory	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	4	pushes	push	VERB
ajase-5752	19	5	further	far	ADV
ajase-5752	19	6	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	19	7	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	19	8	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	10	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	19	11	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	12	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	13	gao	gao	PROPN
ajase-5752	19	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	15	peng	peng	PROPN
ajase-5752	19	16	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	19	17	yan	yan	PROPN
ajase-5752	19	18	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	19	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-5752	19	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	21	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	19	22	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	23	develop	develop	VERB
ajase-5752	19	24	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	19	25	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	26	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	27	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	19	28	granger	granger	PROPN
ajase-5752	19	29	representation	representation	PROPN
ajase-5752	19	30	theorem	theorem	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	32	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	33	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	19	34	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	35	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	19	36	both	both	DET
ajase-5752	19	37	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	38	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	39	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	40	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	19	41	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	19	42	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	43	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	44	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	46	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	19	47	singular	singular	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	48	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	49	value	value	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	50	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	51	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	52	rank	rank	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	53	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	55	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	19	56	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	57	tests	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	58	providing	provide	VERB
ajase-5752	19	59	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	19	60	principled	principled	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	61	toolkit	toolkit	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	62	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	19	63	build	build	VERB
ajase-5752	19	64	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	19	65	validate	validate	VERB
ajase-5752	19	66	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	67	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	68	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	69	without	without	ADP
ajase-5752	19	70	resorting	resort	VERB
ajase-5752	19	71	solely	solely	ADV
ajase-5752	19	72	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	19	73	ad	ad	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	74	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	19	75	hoc	hoc	ADJ
ajase-5752	19	76	filters	filter	NOUN
ajase-5752	19	77	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	1	related	relate	VERB
ajase-5752	20	2	strands	strand	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	3	include	include	VERB
ajase-5752	20	4	threshold	threshold	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	5	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	20	6	smooth	smooth	ADJ
ajase-5752	20	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	8	transition	transition	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	9	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	10	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	11	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	20	12	handle	handle	VERB
ajase-5752	20	13	nonlinear	nonlinear	ADJ
ajase-5752	20	14	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	20	17	applications	application	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	18	showing	show	VERB
ajase-5752	20	19	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-5752	20	20	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-5752	20	21	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	20	22	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	24	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	25	materially	materially	ADV
ajase-5752	20	26	changes	change	VERB
ajase-5752	20	27	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	28	about	about	ADP
ajase-5752	20	29	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	20	30	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	20	31	run	run	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	32	relations	relation	NOUN
ajase-5752	20	33	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	21	1	these	these	PRON
ajase-5752	21	2	reinforce	reinforce	VERB
ajase-5752	21	3	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	21	4	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-5752	21	5	gains	gain	NOUN
ajase-5752	21	6	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	21	7	flexible	flexible	ADJ
ajase-5752	21	8	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	21	9	structures	structure	NOUN
ajase-5752	21	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	22	1	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-5752	22	2	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-5752	22	3	10	10	NUM
ajase-5752	22	4	9	9	NUM
ajase-5752	22	5	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-5752	22	6	am	am	NOUN
ajase-5752	22	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	23	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	23	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-5752	23	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-5752	24	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-5752	24	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	25	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-5752	25	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-5752	26	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	3	108	108	NUM
ajase-5752	26	4	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	26	5	111	111	NUM
ajase-5752	26	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	7	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	26	8	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	9	strategies	strategy	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	10	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	26	11	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	12	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	13	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	14	three	three	NUM
ajase-5752	26	15	broad	broad	ADJ
ajase-5752	26	16	routes	route	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	17	appear	appear	VERB
ajase-5752	26	18	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	26	19	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	26	20	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	21	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	22	state	state	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	24	space	space	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	25	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	26	26	kalman	kalman	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	27	tvp	tvp	PROPN
ajase-5752	26	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	29	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	30	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	31	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	26	32	tvp	tvp	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	33	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	34	vars	var	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	35	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	26	36	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	37	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	38	flexible	flexible	ADJ
ajase-5752	26	39	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-5752	26	40	require	require	VERB
ajase-5752	26	41	care	care	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	42	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	26	43	avoid	avoid	VERB
ajase-5752	26	44	spurious	spurious	ADJ
ajase-5752	26	45	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	46	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	26	47	bootstrap	bootstrap	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	48	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	26	49	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-5752	26	50	testing	testing	NOUN
ajase-5752	26	51	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	26	52	recommended	recommend	VERB
ajase-5752	26	53	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	1	nonparametric	nonparametric	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	2	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	27	3	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	27	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	5	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	27	6	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	7	treat	treat	VERB
ajase-5752	27	8	α(τ	α(τ	NUM
ajase-5752	27	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	11	π(τ	π(τ	PROPN
ajase-5752	27	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	13	as	as	ADP
ajase-5752	27	14	smooth	smooth	ADJ
ajase-5752	27	15	functions	function	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	27	17	rescaled	rescaled	ADJ
ajase-5752	27	18	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	19	τ	τ	PROPN
ajase-5752	27	20	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	27	21	associated	associated	ADJ
ajase-5752	27	22	theory	theory	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	23	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	27	24	rank	rank	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	26	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	27	29	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	30	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	27	31	this	this	PRON
ajase-5752	27	32	avoids	avoid	VERB
ajase-5752	27	33	some	some	DET
ajase-5752	27	34	kalman	kalman	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	35	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	36	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	27	37	aligns	align	VERB
ajase-5752	27	38	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	27	39	gradual	gradual	ADJ
ajase-5752	27	40	ghanaian	ghanaian	ADJ
ajase-5752	27	41	regime	regime	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	42	shifts	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	27	43	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	1	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	2	tvp	tvp	PROPN
ajase-5752	28	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	4	var	var	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	5	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	28	6	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	7	frameworks	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	28	10	sparsity	sparsity	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	11	priors	prior	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	12	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	13	common	common	ADJ
ajase-5752	28	14	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	28	15	macro	macro	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	16	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	17	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-5752	28	18	much	much	ADJ
ajase-5752	28	19	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	28	20	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	28	21	work	work	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	22	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	28	23	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	28	24	tvpvars	tvpvar	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	26	ideas	idea	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	27	translate	translate	VERB
ajase-5752	28	28	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	28	29	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	30	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	31	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	32	on	on	ADP
ajase-5752	28	33	timevariation	timevariation	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	35	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
ajase-5752	28	36	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	37	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	39	though	though	SCONJ
ajase-5752	28	40	dedicated	dedicated	ADJ
ajase-5752	28	41	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	42	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	43	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	28	44	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	45	software	software	NOUN
ajase-5752	28	46	remains	remain	VERB
ajase-5752	28	47	less	less	ADV
ajase-5752	28	48	standard	standard	ADJ
ajase-5752	28	49	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	29	1	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	2	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	3	classical	classical	ADJ
ajase-5752	29	4	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	6	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	7	rely	rely	VERB
ajase-5752	29	8	on	on	ADP
ajase-5752	29	9	parametric	parametric	ADJ
ajase-5752	29	10	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	29	12	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ajase-5752	29	13	errors	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	29	15	correct	correct	ADJ
ajase-5752	29	16	specification	specification	NOUN
ajase-5752	29	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	29	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	30	1	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	30	2	volatile	volatile	ADJ
ajase-5752	30	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	30	4	shifting	shift	VERB
ajase-5752	30	5	environments	environment	NOUN
ajase-5752	30	6	like	like	ADP
ajase-5752	30	7	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	30	8	’s	’s	PART
ajase-5752	30	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	30	10	distributionfree	distributionfree	NOUN
ajase-5752	30	11	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	30	12	quantification	quantification	NOUN
ajase-5752	30	13	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	30	14	attractive	attractive	ADJ
ajase-5752	30	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	31	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	2	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	31	4	cp	cp	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	31	6	provides	provide	VERB
ajase-5752	31	7	finite	finite	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	8	-	-	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	9	sample	sample	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	31	11	model	model	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	12	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	13	agnostic	agnostic	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	14	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	15	sets	set	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	16	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	31	17	marginal	marginal	ADJ
ajase-5752	31	18	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	19	guarantees	guarantee	NOUN
ajase-5752	31	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	32	1	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	32	2	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	3	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	32	5	adaptive	adaptive	ADJ
ajase-5752	32	6	conformal	conformal	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	7	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	32	9	aci	aci	PROPN
ajase-5752	32	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	32	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	32	12	related	relate	VERB
ajase-5752	32	13	online	online	ADJ
ajase-5752	32	14	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	15	adjust	adjust	VERB
ajase-5752	32	16	interval	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	17	widths	width	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	18	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	32	19	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	20	shift	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	32	22	non	non	ADJ
ajase-5752	32	23	-	-	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	24	exchangeability	exchangeability	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	32	26	which	which	PRON
ajase-5752	32	27	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	32	28	precisely	precisely	ADV
ajase-5752	32	29	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	32	30	challenges	challenge	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	31	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	32	32	macro	macro	ADJ
ajase-5752	32	33	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	34	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	32	35	evolving	evolve	VERB
ajase-5752	32	36	regimes	regime	NOUN
ajase-5752	32	37	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	33	1	key	key	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	2	extensions	extension	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	3	handle	handle	VERB
ajase-5752	33	4	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	5	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	6	step	step	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	33	8	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	9	timeseries	timeserie	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	10	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	33	11	crucial	crucial	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	12	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-5752	33	13	producing	produce	VERB
ajase-5752	33	14	joint	joint	ADJ
ajase-5752	33	15	paths	path	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	16	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	33	17	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	33	19	fx	fx	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	33	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	33	22	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	23	rates	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	24	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	33	25	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-5752	33	26	reporting	report	VERB
ajase-5752	33	27	horizon	horizon	PROPN
ajase-5752	33	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	33	29	h	h	PROPN
ajase-5752	33	30	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	31	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	33	32	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	33	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	33	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	34	1	recent	recent	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	2	work	work	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	3	develops	develop	VERB
ajase-5752	34	4	online	online	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	5	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	34	6	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	7	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	8	step	step	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	9	cp	cp	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	10	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	34	11	provable	provable	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	12	properties	property	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	34	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	34	15	multivariate	multivariate	VERB
ajase-5752	34	16	cp	cp	PROPN
ajase-5752	34	17	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	34	18	form	form	VERB
ajase-5752	34	19	valid	valid	ADJ
ajase-5752	34	20	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	21	regions	region	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	22	across	across	ADP
ajase-5752	34	23	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	34	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	1	an	an	DET
ajase-5752	35	2	alternative	alternative	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	4	enbpi	enbpi	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
ajase-5752	35	7	batch	batch	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	8	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	9	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	12	uses	use	VERB
ajase-5752	35	13	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
ajase-5752	35	14	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	15	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	35	16	deliver	deliver	VERB
ajase-5752	35	17	approximately	approximately	ADV
ajase-5752	35	18	valid	valid	ADJ
ajase-5752	35	19	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	20	under	under	ADP
ajase-5752	35	21	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	22	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	35	23	shift	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	24	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	25	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-5752	35	26	often	often	ADV
ajase-5752	35	27	paired	pair	VERB
ajase-5752	35	28	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	35	29	ml	ml	PROPN
ajase-5752	35	30	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	35	32	it	it	PRON
ajase-5752	35	33	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	35	34	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	35	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	35	36	agnostic	agnostic	ADJ
ajase-5752	35	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	35	38	can	can	AUX
ajase-5752	35	39	calibrate	calibrate	VERB
ajase-5752	35	40	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	35	41	residuals	residual	VERB
ajase-5752	35	42	too	too	ADV
ajase-5752	35	43	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	1	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	3	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	36	5	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	36	6	pipeline	pipeline	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	7	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	36	8	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	36	9	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	36	10	literature	literature	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	11	jointly	jointly	ADV
ajase-5752	36	12	suggests	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	36	13	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	14	specify	specify	VERB
ajase-5752	36	15	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	36	16	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	36	17	macro	macro	ADJ
ajase-5752	36	18	system	system	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	19	[	[	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	20	pt	pt	X
ajase-5752	36	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	22	et	et	PROPN
ajase-5752	36	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	24	it	it	PRON
ajase-5752	36	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	26	yt	yt	PROPN
ajase-5752	36	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	28	mt	mt	PROPN
ajase-5752	36	29	]	]	X
ajase-5752	36	30	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	32	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	33	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	35	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	36	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	38	output	output	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	39	proxy	proxy	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	40	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	41	money	money	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	42	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	43	optionally	optionally	ADV
ajase-5752	36	44	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	45	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	36	46	terms	term	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	47	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	48	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	36	49	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	50	trade	trade	NOUN
ajase-5752	36	51	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	36	52	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	1	estimate	estimate	VERB
ajase-5752	37	2	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	37	4	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	5	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	6	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	7	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	37	8	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	37	9	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	37	10	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	12	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	37	13	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	15	gao	gao	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	16	–	–	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	17	peng	peng	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	18	–	–	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	19	yan	yan	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	20	framework	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	22	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	37	23	carefully	carefully	ADV
ajase-5752	37	24	designed	design	VERB
ajase-5752	37	25	state	state	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	26	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	27	space	space	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	28	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	29	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	30	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	31	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	37	32	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-5752	37	33	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	34	testing	testing	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	35	/	/	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	36	bootstrapping	bootstrappe	VERB
ajase-5752	37	37	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	37	38	guard	guard	VERB
ajase-5752	37	39	against	against	ADP
ajase-5752	37	40	spurious	spurious	ADJ
ajase-5752	37	41	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	42	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	43	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	44	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	45	eroğlu	eroğlu	NOUN
ajase-5752	37	46	et	et	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	47	al	al	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	48	.	.	PROPN
ajase-5752	37	49	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	50	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	37	51	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	37	52	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	1	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	38	2	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	3	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	4	step	step	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	5	paths	path	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	6	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	38	7	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	38	8	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	9	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	10	vec	vec	PROPN
ajase-5752	38	11	wrap	wrap	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	13	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	38	14	cp	cp	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	15	use	use	VERB
ajase-5752	38	16	online	online	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	17	aci	aci	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	18	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	19	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	38	20	variants	variant	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	21	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	22	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	38	23	oneand	oneand	CCONJ
ajase-5752	38	24	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	25	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	26	step	step	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	27	horizons	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	28	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	29	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	38	30	multiple	multiple	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	31	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	32	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	38	33	horizons	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	35	apply	apply	VERB
ajase-5752	38	36	recent	recent	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	37	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	38	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	38	39	multistep	multistep	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	40	conformal	conformal	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	41	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	42	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	38	43	obtain	obtain	VERB
ajase-5752	38	44	valid	valid	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	45	joint	joint	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	46	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	38	47	per	per	ADP
ajase-5752	38	48	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	38	49	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	50	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	51	that	that	PRON
ajase-5752	38	52	adapt	adapt	VERB
ajase-5752	38	53	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	38	54	regime	regime	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	55	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	56	particularly	particularly	ADV
ajase-5752	38	57	important	important	ADJ
ajase-5752	38	58	around	around	ADP
ajase-5752	38	59	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	60	turning	turning	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	61	points	point	NOUN
ajase-5752	38	62	documented	document	VERB
ajase-5752	38	63	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	38	64	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	38	65	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	38	66	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	38	67	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	1	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ajase-5752	39	2	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	39	4	gaps	gap	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	5	relative	relative	ADJ
ajase-5752	39	6	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	39	7	fixed	fix	VERB
ajase-5752	39	8	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	9	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	10	vecms	vecms	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	11	used	use	VERB
ajase-5752	39	12	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	39	13	many	many	ADJ
ajase-5752	39	14	country	country	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	15	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	17	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	39	18	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	19	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	20	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	21	should	should	AUX
ajase-5752	39	22	improve	improve	VERB
ajase-5752	39	23	calibration	calibration	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	24	during	during	ADP
ajase-5752	39	25	regime	regime	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	26	shifts	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	27	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	39	28	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	29	shocks	shock	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	39	32	better	well	ADJ
ajase-5752	39	33	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-5752	39	34	changing	change	VERB
ajase-5752	39	35	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	36	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	39	37	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	38	speeds	speed	NOUN
ajase-5752	39	39	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	40	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	2	layers	layer	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	3	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	40	4	complementary	complementary	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	5	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	40	6	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	7	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	40	9	they	they	PRON
ajase-5752	40	10	provide	provide	VERB
ajase-5752	40	11	finite	finite	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	12	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	13	sample	sample	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	14	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	15	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	16	without	without	ADP
ajase-5752	40	17	re	re	VERB
ajase-5752	40	18	-	-	VERB
ajase-5752	40	19	specifying	specify	VERB
ajase-5752	40	20	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	40	21	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	22	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	40	23	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	40	25	remain	remain	VERB
ajase-5752	40	26	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	27	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	40	28	mild	mild	ADJ
ajase-5752	40	29	misspecification	misspecification	NOUN
ajase-5752	40	30	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	41	1	gap	gap	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	2	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	41	3	few	few	ADJ
ajase-5752	41	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	41	5	if	if	SCONJ
ajase-5752	41	6	any	any	PRON
ajase-5752	41	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	41	8	studies	study	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	9	combine	combine	VERB
ajase-5752	41	10	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	41	12	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	13	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	41	14	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	41	15	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	16	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	41	17	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	41	18	practice	practice	NOUN
ajase-5752	41	19	especially	especially	ADV
ajase-5752	41	20	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	41	21	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	41	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	42	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	42	2	emerging	emerge	VERB
ajase-5752	42	3	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	42	4	-	-	NOUN
ajase-5752	42	5	step	step	NOUN
ajase-5752	42	6	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	42	7	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ajase-5752	42	8	cp	cp	PROPN
ajase-5752	42	9	literature	literature	PROPN
ajase-5752	42	10	now	now	ADV
ajase-5752	42	11	makes	make	VERB
ajase-5752	42	12	this	this	PRON
ajase-5752	42	13	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ajase-5752	42	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	42	15	methodologically	methodologically	ADV
ajase-5752	42	16	justified	justify	VERB
ajase-5752	42	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	43	1	materials	material	NOUN
ajase-5752	43	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	43	3	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	43	4	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	43	5	description	description	NOUN
ajase-5752	43	6	monthly	monthly	ADJ
ajase-5752	43	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	43	8	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	43	9	january	january	PROPN
ajase-5752	43	10	2014	2014	NUM
ajase-5752	43	11	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	43	12	june	june	PROPN
ajase-5752	43	13	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	43	14	were	be	AUX
ajase-5752	43	15	compiled	compile	VERB
ajase-5752	43	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	44	1	cpi	cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	44	2	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	3	were	be	AUX
ajase-5752	44	4	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajase-5752	44	5	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	44	6	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	44	7	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	44	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajase-5752	44	9	service	service	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	44	11	while	while	SCONJ
ajase-5752	44	12	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	13	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	44	15	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	16	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	17	were	be	AUX
ajase-5752	44	18	sourced	source	VERB
ajase-5752	44	19	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	44	20	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	44	21	bank	bank	NOUN
ajase-5752	44	22	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	44	23	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	44	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	1	all	all	DET
ajase-5752	45	2	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	3	were	be	AUX
ajase-5752	45	4	tested	test	VERB
ajase-5752	45	5	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	45	6	unit	unit	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	7	roots	root	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	8	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	45	9	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	45	10	augmented	augment	VERB
ajase-5752	45	11	dickey	dickey	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	12	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	13	fuller	full	ADJ
ajase-5752	45	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	15	adf	adf	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	17	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	45	19	found	find	VERB
ajase-5752	45	20	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	45	21	be	be	AUX
ajase-5752	45	22	integrated	integrate	VERB
ajase-5752	45	23	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	45	24	order	order	NOUN
ajase-5752	45	25	one	one	NUM
ajase-5752	45	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	27	i(1	i(1	PROPN
ajase-5752	45	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	45	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	46	1	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	46	2	was	be	AUX
ajase-5752	46	3	verified	verify	VERB
ajase-5752	46	4	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	46	5	johansen	johansen	PROPN
ajase-5752	46	6	’s	’s	PART
ajase-5752	46	7	method	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	46	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	46	9	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-5752	46	10	at	at	ADP
ajase-5752	46	11	least	least	ADV
ajase-5752	46	12	one	one	NUM
ajase-5752	46	13	cointegrating	cointegrate	VERB
ajase-5752	46	14	relationship	relationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	46	15	among	among	ADP
ajase-5752	46	16	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	46	17	variables	variable	NOUN
ajase-5752	46	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	2	adf	adf	PROPN
ajase-5752	47	3	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	4	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	47	5	based	base	VERB
ajase-5752	47	6	on	on	ADP
ajase-5752	47	7	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	8	following	follow	VERB
ajase-5752	47	9	regression	regression	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	10	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	12	1	1	X
ajase-5752	47	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	14	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	15	johansen	johansen	PROPN
ajase-5752	47	16	cointegration	cointegration	PROPN
ajase-5752	47	17	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	18	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	47	19	derived	derive	VERB
ajase-5752	47	20	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	47	21	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	22	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	23	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	24	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	25	var	var	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	26	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	27	representation	representation	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	28	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	29	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	30	2	2	X
ajase-5752	47	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	47	32	where	where	SCONJ
ajase-5752	47	33	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	34	rank	rank	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	35	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	47	36	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	37	matrix	matrix	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	38	π	π	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	39	determines	determine	VERB
ajase-5752	47	40	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	47	41	number	number	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	42	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	47	43	cointegrating	cointegrate	VERB
ajase-5752	47	44	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	47	45	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	48	1	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	48	2	specification	specification	PROPN
ajase-5752	48	3	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	48	4	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	48	5	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	48	6	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	48	7	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	48	8	was	be	AUX
ajase-5752	48	9	implemented	implement	VERB
ajase-5752	48	10	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	48	11	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	48	12	rolling	rolling	ADJ
ajase-5752	48	13	window	window	NOUN
ajase-5752	48	14	approach	approach	NOUN
ajase-5752	48	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	49	1	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	49	2	technique	technique	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	3	allows	allow	VERB
ajase-5752	49	4	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	5	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	6	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	49	7	evolve	evolve	VERB
ajase-5752	49	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	49	9	accommodating	accommodate	VERB
ajase-5752	49	10	structural	structural	ADJ
ajase-5752	49	11	breaks	break	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	49	13	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	49	15	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	49	16	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ajase-5752	49	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	50	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	50	2	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	3	captures	capture	VERB
ajase-5752	50	4	both	both	PRON
ajase-5752	50	5	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	6	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	7	mechanisms	mechanism	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	50	9	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	50	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	50	11	term	term	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	12	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
ajase-5752	50	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	51	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-5752	51	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	51	3	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	51	4	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	51	5	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	51	6	six	six	NUM
ajase-5752	51	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	51	8	month	month	NOUN
ajase-5752	51	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	51	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	51	11	was	be	AUX
ajase-5752	51	12	selected	select	VERB
ajase-5752	51	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	52	1	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	52	2	quantify	quantify	VERB
ajase-5752	52	3	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-5752	52	4	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-5752	52	5	11	11	NUM
ajase-5752	52	6	0	0	NUM
ajase-5752	53	1	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-5752	53	2	am	am	NOUN
ajase-5752	53	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	54	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	54	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-5752	54	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-5752	55	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-5752	55	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	56	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-5752	56	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	57	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-5752	57	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	58	1	108	108	NUM
ajase-5752	58	2	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	58	3	111	111	NUM
ajase-5752	58	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	58	5	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	58	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	7	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	58	9	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	58	10	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	11	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	12	were	be	AUX
ajase-5752	58	13	constructed	construct	VERB
ajase-5752	58	14	using	use	VERB
ajase-5752	58	15	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-5752	58	16	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	58	17	based	base	VERB
ajase-5752	58	18	nonconformity	nonconformity	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	19	scores	score	NOUN
ajase-5752	58	20	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	59	1	these	these	DET
ajase-5752	59	2	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	59	3	maintain	maintain	VERB
ajase-5752	59	4	valid	valid	ADJ
ajase-5752	59	5	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ajase-5752	59	6	under	under	ADP
ajase-5752	59	7	mild	mild	ADJ
ajase-5752	59	8	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ajase-5752	59	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	59	10	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	59	11	robust	robust	ADJ
ajase-5752	59	12	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	59	13	model	model	VERB
ajase-5752	59	14	misspecification	misspecification	NOUN
ajase-5752	59	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	60	1	gradient	gradient	ADJ
ajase-5752	60	2	boosting	boost	VERB
ajase-5752	60	3	regression	regression	NOUN
ajase-5752	60	4	was	be	AUX
ajase-5752	60	5	employed	employ	VERB
ajase-5752	60	6	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	60	7	generate	generate	VERB
ajase-5752	60	8	point	point	NOUN
ajase-5752	60	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	60	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	1	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	61	2	method	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	3	builds	build	VERB
ajase-5752	61	4	an	an	DET
ajase-5752	61	5	ensemble	ensemble	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	6	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	61	7	decision	decision	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	8	trees	tree	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	9	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	61	10	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	61	11	forward	forward	ADJ
ajase-5752	61	12	stage	stage	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	13	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	14	wise	wise	ADJ
ajase-5752	61	15	fashion	fashion	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	17	minimizing	minimize	VERB
ajase-5752	61	18	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	61	19	loss	loss	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	20	function	function	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	21	by	by	ADP
ajase-5752	61	22	iteratively	iteratively	ADV
ajase-5752	61	23	fitting	fitting	ADJ
ajase-5752	61	24	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	25	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	26	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	27	3	3	X
ajase-5752	61	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	29	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	30	4	4	NUM
ajase-5752	61	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	32	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	33	5	5	X
ajase-5752	61	34	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	35	results	result	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	36	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	61	37	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	38	table	table	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	39	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	61	40	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	61	41	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	42	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	61	43	90	90	NUM
ajase-5752	61	44	%	%	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	45	conformal	conformal	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	46	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	47	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	48	date	date	VERB
ajase-5752	61	49	usd	usd	NOUN
ajase-5752	61	50	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	61	51	ghs	gh	NOUN
ajase-5752	62	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	62	2	pi	pi	X
ajase-5752	62	3	]	]	X
ajase-5752	62	4	cpi	cpi	NOUN
ajase-5752	63	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	63	2	pi	pi	X
ajase-5752	63	3	]	]	X
ajase-5752	63	4	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	63	5	[	[	X
ajase-5752	63	6	pi	pi	X
ajase-5752	63	7	]	]	X
ajase-5752	63	8	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	63	9	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	63	10	07	07	NUM
ajase-5752	63	11	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	63	12	31	31	NUM
ajase-5752	63	13	10.4600	10.4600	NUM
ajase-5752	64	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	64	2	10.12	10.12	NUM
ajase-5752	64	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	64	4	10.90	10.90	NUM
ajase-5752	64	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	64	6	258.87	258.87	NUM
ajase-5752	64	7	[	[	X
ajase-5752	64	8	254.09	254.09	NUM
ajase-5752	64	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	64	10	261.07	261.07	NUM
ajase-5752	64	11	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	64	12	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	65	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	65	2	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	65	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	65	4	28.05	28.05	NUM
ajase-5752	65	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	65	6	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	65	7	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	65	8	08	08	NUM
ajase-5752	65	9	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	65	10	31	31	NUM
ajase-5752	65	11	10.5900	10.5900	NUM
ajase-5752	66	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	66	2	10.19	10.19	NUM
ajase-5752	66	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	66	4	10.93	10.93	NUM
ajase-5752	66	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	66	6	261.36	261.36	NUM
ajase-5752	66	7	[	[	X
ajase-5752	66	8	260.11	260.11	NUM
ajase-5752	66	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	66	10	262.67	262.67	NUM
ajase-5752	66	11	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	66	12	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	67	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	67	2	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	67	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	67	4	28.01	28.01	NUM
ajase-5752	67	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	67	6	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	67	7	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	67	8	09	09	NUM
ajase-5752	67	9	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	67	10	30	30	NUM
ajase-5752	67	11	10.7100	10.7100	NUM
ajase-5752	68	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	68	2	10.42	10.42	NUM
ajase-5752	68	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	68	4	11.07	11.07	NUM
ajase-5752	68	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	68	6	264.56	264.56	NUM
ajase-5752	68	7	[	[	X
ajase-5752	68	8	262.61	262.61	NUM
ajase-5752	68	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	68	10	265.19	265.19	NUM
ajase-5752	68	11	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	68	12	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	69	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	69	2	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	69	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	69	4	28.01	28.01	NUM
ajase-5752	69	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	69	6	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	69	7	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	69	8	10	10	NUM
ajase-5752	69	9	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	69	10	31	31	NUM
ajase-5752	69	11	10.8400	10.8400	NUM
ajase-5752	70	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	70	2	10.55	10.55	NUM
ajase-5752	70	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	70	4	11.21	11.21	NUM
ajase-5752	70	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	70	6	268.25	268.25	NUM
ajase-5752	71	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	71	2	265.82	265.82	NUM
ajase-5752	71	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	71	4	268.43	268.43	NUM
ajase-5752	71	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	71	6	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	71	7	[	[	X
ajase-5752	71	8	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	71	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	71	10	28.01	28.01	NUM
ajase-5752	71	11	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	71	12	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	71	13	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	71	14	11	11	NUM
ajase-5752	71	15	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	71	16	30	30	NUM
ajase-5752	71	17	10.9700	10.9700	NUM
ajase-5752	72	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	72	2	10.67	10.67	NUM
ajase-5752	72	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	72	4	11.35	11.35	NUM
ajase-5752	72	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	73	1	272.09	272.09	NUM
ajase-5752	74	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	74	2	269.53	269.53	NUM
ajase-5752	74	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	74	4	272.18	272.18	NUM
ajase-5752	74	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	74	6	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	75	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	75	2	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	75	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	75	4	28.01	28.01	NUM
ajase-5752	75	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	75	6	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	75	7	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	75	8	12	12	NUM
ajase-5752	75	9	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	75	10	31	31	NUM
ajase-5752	75	11	11.1000	11.1000	NUM
ajase-5752	76	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	76	2	10.80	10.80	NUM
ajase-5752	76	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	76	4	11.48	11.48	NUM
ajase-5752	76	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	77	1	275.99	275.99	NUM
ajase-5752	77	2	[	[	X
ajase-5752	77	3	273.39	273.39	NUM
ajase-5752	77	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	77	5	276.08	276.08	NUM
ajase-5752	77	6	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	77	7	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	78	1	[	[	X
ajase-5752	78	2	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	78	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	4	28.01	28.01	NUM
ajase-5752	78	5	]	]	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	6	source	source	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	8	authors	author	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	9	computation	computation	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	78	11	projections	projection	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	12	figure	figure	VERB
ajase-5752	78	13	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	78	14	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	15	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-5752	78	16	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	17	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	78	18	ln	ln	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	19	cpi	cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	21	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	78	24	ln	ln	ADJ
ajase-5752	78	25	usdghs	usdgh	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	26	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	27	july	july	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	28	–	–	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	29	december	december	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	30	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	78	31	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	32	figure	figure	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	33	2	2	NUM
ajase-5752	78	34	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	35	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	36	function	function	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	37	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	38	acf	acf	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	39	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	78	40	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	41	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	78	42	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	43	pa	pa	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	44	ge	ge	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	45	11	11	NUM
ajase-5752	78	46	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	78	47	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	https://journals.e-palli.com/home/index.php/ajase	PROPN
ajase-5752	78	48	am	am	NOUN
ajase-5752	78	49	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	79	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	79	2	appl	appl	PROPN
ajase-5752	79	3	.	.	PROPN
ajase-5752	80	1	stat	stat	PROPN
ajase-5752	80	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	81	1	econ	econ	PROPN
ajase-5752	81	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	82	1	4(1	4(1	X
ajase-5752	82	2	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	82	3	108	108	NUM
ajase-5752	82	4	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	82	5	111	111	NUM
ajase-5752	82	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	82	7	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	82	8	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-5752	82	9	plot	plot	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	10	observations	observation	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	11	•	•	PRON
ajase-5752	82	12	ln_cpi	ln_cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	82	13	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	82	14	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	15	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	82	16	centered	center	VERB
ajase-5752	82	17	around	around	ADP
ajase-5752	82	18	zero	zero	NUM
ajase-5752	82	19	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	82	20	low	low	ADJ
ajase-5752	82	21	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	22	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-5752	82	23	show	show	VERB
ajase-5752	82	24	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	82	25	slight	slight	ADJ
ajase-5752	82	26	increase	increase	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	27	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	82	28	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-5752	82	29	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	82	30	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	82	31	onward	onward	ADV
ajase-5752	82	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	83	1	•	•	NUM
ajase-5752	83	2	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	83	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	83	4	high	high	ADJ
ajase-5752	83	5	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-5752	83	6	variance	variance	NOUN
ajase-5752	83	7	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	83	8	frequent	frequent	ADJ
ajase-5752	83	9	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	83	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	83	11	suggesting	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	83	12	potential	potential	ADJ
ajase-5752	83	13	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ajase-5752	83	14	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	83	15	structural	structural	ADJ
ajase-5752	83	16	breaks	break	NOUN
ajase-5752	83	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	84	1	•	•	NUM
ajase-5752	84	2	ln_usdghs	ln_usdgh	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	84	4	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	5	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	84	6	mostly	mostly	ADV
ajase-5752	84	7	stable	stable	ADJ
ajase-5752	84	8	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	84	9	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	84	11	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	84	12	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	84	13	few	few	ADJ
ajase-5752	84	14	sharp	sharp	ADJ
ajase-5752	84	15	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	16	between	between	ADP
ajase-5752	84	17	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	84	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	84	19	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-5752	84	20	likely	likely	ADV
ajase-5752	84	21	reflecting	reflect	VERB
ajase-5752	84	22	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	23	during	during	ADP
ajase-5752	84	24	that	that	DET
ajase-5752	84	25	period	period	NOUN
ajase-5752	84	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	85	1	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	2	function	function	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	85	4	acf	acf	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	85	6	observations	observation	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	7	•	•	X
ajase-5752	85	8	ln_cpi	ln_cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	85	9	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	10	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	85	11	all	all	DET
ajase-5752	85	12	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	13	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	85	14	within	within	ADP
ajase-5752	85	15	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	85	16	95	95	NUM
ajase-5752	85	17	%	%	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	18	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	19	bands	band	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	20	across	across	ADP
ajase-5752	85	21	lags	lag	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	22	0	0	NUM
ajase-5752	85	23	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	85	24	10	10	NUM
ajase-5752	85	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	85	26	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-5752	85	27	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	85	28	absence	absence	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	29	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	85	30	significant	significant	ADJ
ajase-5752	85	31	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-5752	85	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	86	1	•	•	NUM
ajase-5752	86	2	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	3	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	86	5	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	86	6	visible	visible	ADJ
ajase-5752	86	7	spike	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	8	at	at	ADP
ajase-5752	86	9	lag	lag	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	10	2	2	NUM
ajase-5752	86	11	exceeds	exceed	VERB
ajase-5752	86	12	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	86	13	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	14	bounds	bound	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	86	16	indicating	indicate	VERB
ajase-5752	86	17	residual	residual	ADJ
ajase-5752	86	18	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-5752	86	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	87	1	•	•	NUM
ajase-5752	87	2	ln_usdghs	ln_usdgh	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	3	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	87	5	all	all	DET
ajase-5752	87	6	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	7	remain	remain	VERB
ajase-5752	87	8	within	within	ADP
ajase-5752	87	9	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	87	10	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	11	bounds	bound	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	87	13	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-5752	87	14	white	white	ADJ
ajase-5752	87	15	noise	noise	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	16	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	87	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	88	1	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	2	usd	usd	PROPN
ajase-5752	88	3	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	88	4	ghs	ghs	PROPN
ajase-5752	88	5	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	6	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	7	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	88	8	forecasted	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	88	9	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	10	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	11	path	path	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	12	indicates	indicate	VERB
ajase-5752	88	13	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	88	14	gradual	gradual	ADJ
ajase-5752	88	15	depreciation	depreciation	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	16	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	88	17	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	88	18	ghanaian	ghanaian	ADJ
ajase-5752	88	19	cedi	cedi	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	88	21	rising	rise	VERB
ajase-5752	88	22	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	88	23	10.46	10.46	NUM
ajase-5752	88	24	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	88	25	11.10	11.10	NUM
ajase-5752	88	26	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	88	27	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	88	28	six	six	NUM
ajase-5752	88	29	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	88	30	month	month	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	31	period	period	NOUN
ajase-5752	88	32	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	89	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	89	2	widening	widen	VERB
ajase-5752	89	3	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	4	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	5	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	89	6	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	7	reflect	reflect	VERB
ajase-5752	89	8	increasing	increase	VERB
ajase-5752	89	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	10	as	as	SCONJ
ajase-5752	89	11	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	89	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	13	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	89	14	extends	extend	VERB
ajase-5752	89	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	90	1	consumer	consumer	NOUN
ajase-5752	90	2	price	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	90	3	index	index	NOUN
ajase-5752	90	4	cpi	cpi	NOUN
ajase-5752	90	5	is	be	AUX
ajase-5752	90	6	projected	project	VERB
ajase-5752	90	7	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	90	8	increase	increase	VERB
ajase-5752	90	9	gradually	gradually	ADV
ajase-5752	90	10	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	90	11	258.87	258.87	NUM
ajase-5752	90	12	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	90	13	275.99	275.99	NUM
ajase-5752	90	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	90	15	suggesting	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	90	16	continued	continue	VERB
ajase-5752	90	17	inflationary	inflationary	ADJ
ajase-5752	90	18	pressure	pressure	NOUN
ajase-5752	90	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	91	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	91	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	3	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	4	remain	remain	VERB
ajase-5752	91	5	tight	tight	ADJ
ajase-5752	91	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	91	7	indicating	indicate	VERB
ajase-5752	91	8	strong	strong	ADJ
ajase-5752	91	9	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	10	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	91	12	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	91	13	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	14	trajectory	trajectory	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	15	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	91	16	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	91	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	91	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	92	1	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	92	2	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	4	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	92	5	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	6	remains	remain	VERB
ajase-5752	92	7	effectively	effectively	ADV
ajase-5752	92	8	stable	stable	ADJ
ajase-5752	92	9	at	at	ADP
ajase-5752	92	10	around	around	ADP
ajase-5752	92	11	28.00	28.00	NUM
ajase-5752	92	12	%	%	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	13	across	across	ADP
ajase-5752	92	14	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	92	15	entire	entire	ADJ
ajase-5752	92	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	17	window	window	NOUN
ajase-5752	92	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	93	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	93	2	extremely	extremely	ADV
ajase-5752	93	3	narrow	narrow	ADJ
ajase-5752	93	4	interval	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	5	bounds	bound	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	6	suggest	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	93	7	little	little	ADJ
ajase-5752	93	8	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	93	11	high	high	ADJ
ajase-5752	93	12	temporal	temporal	ADJ
ajase-5752	93	13	persistence	persistence	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	14	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	93	15	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	93	16	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	93	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	94	1	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	94	2	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
ajase-5752	94	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	94	4	deployment	deployment	NOUN
ajase-5752	94	5	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	94	6	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	94	7	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajase-5752	94	8	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajase-5752	94	9	value	value	VERB
ajase-5752	94	10	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	94	11	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
ajase-5752	94	12	plots	plot	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	1	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	95	2	we	we	PRON
ajase-5752	95	3	observed	observe	VERB
ajase-5752	95	4	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-5752	95	5	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	95	6	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	7	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	8	residuals	residual	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	9	show	show	VERB
ajase-5752	95	10	strong	strong	ADJ
ajase-5752	95	11	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	95	13	large	large	ADJ
ajase-5752	95	14	spikes	spike	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	15	especially	especially	ADV
ajase-5752	95	16	after	after	ADP
ajase-5752	95	17	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	95	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	95	19	confirming	confirm	VERB
ajase-5752	95	20	that	that	SCONJ
ajase-5752	95	21	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	95	22	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	23	does	do	AUX
ajase-5752	95	24	not	not	PART
ajase-5752	95	25	capture	capture	VERB
ajase-5752	95	26	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	27	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ajase-5752	95	28	well	well	ADV
ajase-5752	95	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	96	1	this	this	PRON
ajase-5752	96	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	96	3	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	96	4	presence	presence	NOUN
ajase-5752	96	5	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	96	6	possible	possible	ADJ
ajase-5752	96	7	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ajase-5752	96	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	96	9	structural	structural	ADJ
ajase-5752	96	10	breaks	break	NOUN
ajase-5752	96	11	after	after	ADP
ajase-5752	96	12	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	96	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	96	14	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	96	15	insufficient	insufficient	ADJ
ajase-5752	96	16	lags	lag	NOUN
ajase-5752	96	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	97	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
ajase-5752	97	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	97	3	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	97	4	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	5	can	can	AUX
ajase-5752	97	6	be	be	AUX
ajase-5752	97	7	deployed	deploy	VERB
ajase-5752	97	8	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	97	9	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	97	10	only	only	ADV
ajase-5752	97	11	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	97	12	consumer	consumer	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	13	price	price	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	14	index	index	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	97	16	cpi	cpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	97	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	97	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	97	19	usd	usd	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	20	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	97	21	ghs	gh	NOUN
ajase-5752	97	22	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	98	1	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	98	2	long	long	ADV
ajase-5752	98	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	98	4	run	run	VERB
ajase-5752	98	5	links	link	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	6	look	look	VERB
ajase-5752	98	7	usable	usable	ADJ
ajase-5752	98	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	98	9	but	but	CCONJ
ajase-5752	98	10	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	11	short	short	ADJ
ajase-5752	98	12	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	98	13	term	term	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	15	may	may	AUX
ajase-5752	98	16	not	not	PART
ajase-5752	98	17	be	be	AUX
ajase-5752	98	18	reliable	reliable	ADJ
ajase-5752	98	19	unless	unless	SCONJ
ajase-5752	98	20	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	98	21	mpr	mpr	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	22	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
ajase-5752	98	23	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	98	24	fixed	fix	VERB
ajase-5752	98	25	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	98	26	improved	improve	VERB
ajase-5752	98	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	99	1	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	2	this	this	DET
ajase-5752	99	3	study	study	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	4	utilizes	utilize	VERB
ajase-5752	99	5	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	99	6	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	99	8	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	99	9	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	10	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	99	11	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	99	12	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	13	to	to	PART
ajase-5752	99	14	forecast	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	99	15	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	99	16	’s	’s	PART
ajase-5752	99	17	key	key	ADJ
ajase-5752	99	18	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ajase-5752	99	19	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	20	over	over	ADP
ajase-5752	99	21	a	a	DET
ajase-5752	99	22	six	six	NUM
ajase-5752	99	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	99	24	month	month	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajase-5752	99	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	100	1	results	result	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	2	suggest	suggest	VERB
ajase-5752	100	3	moderate	moderate	ADJ
ajase-5752	100	4	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	5	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	6	depreciation	depreciation	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	100	8	persistent	persistent	ADJ
ajase-5752	100	9	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	100	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	100	12	stability	stability	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	13	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	100	14	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajase-5752	100	15	interest	interest	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	16	rates	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	100	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	101	1	these	these	DET
ajase-5752	101	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	3	are	be	AUX
ajase-5752	101	4	grounded	ground	VERB
ajase-5752	101	5	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	101	6	historical	historical	ADJ
ajase-5752	101	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	8	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	9	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	101	10	subject	subject	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	11	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	101	12	limitations	limitation	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	13	arising	arise	VERB
ajase-5752	101	14	from	from	ADP
ajase-5752	101	15	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	16	shocks	shock	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	17	or	or	CCONJ
ajase-5752	101	18	structural	structural	ADJ
ajase-5752	101	19	changes	change	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	20	outside	outside	ADP
ajase-5752	101	21	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	101	22	model	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	23	’s	’s	PART
ajase-5752	101	24	framework	framework	NOUN
ajase-5752	101	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	1	references	reference	NOUN
ajase-5752	102	2	angelopoulos	angelopoulo	NOUN
ajase-5752	102	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	4	a.	a.	NOUN
ajase-5752	102	5	n.	n.	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	7	candès	candès	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	9	e.	e.	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	11	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	102	12	tibshirani	tibshirani	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	14	r.	r.	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	15	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	102	16	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	17	2023	2023	NUM
ajase-5752	102	18	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	102	19	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	103	1	conformal	conformal	NOUN
ajase-5752	103	2	pid	pid	NOUN
ajase-5752	103	3	control	control	NOUN
ajase-5752	103	4	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	103	5	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	103	6	series	series	PROPN
ajase-5752	103	7	prediction	prediction	PROPN
ajase-5752	103	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	104	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	104	2	online	online	INTJ
ajase-5752	104	3	cp	cp	INTJ
ajase-5752	104	4	that	that	PRON
ajase-5752	104	5	adapts	adapt	VERB
ajase-5752	104	6	to	to	ADP
ajase-5752	104	7	trend	trend	NOUN
ajase-5752	104	8	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	104	9	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
ajase-5752	104	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	104	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	1	bierens	bierens	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	3	h.	h.	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	105	7	martins	martins	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	9	l.	l.	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	10	f.	f.	PROPN
ajase-5752	105	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	12	2010	2010	NUM
ajase-5752	105	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	105	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	106	1	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	106	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	106	3	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	106	4	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	106	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	107	1	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ajase-5752	107	2	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	107	3	et	et	PROPN
ajase-5752	107	4	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	108	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	108	2	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ajase-5752	108	3	timevarying	timevarye	VERB
ajase-5752	108	4	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	108	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	108	6	lr	lr	NOUN
ajase-5752	108	7	test	test	NOUN
ajase-5752	108	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	108	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	1	eroğlu	eroğlu	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	3	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	4	a.	a.	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	6	miller	miller	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	9	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	11	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	109	12	yiğit	yiğit	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	14	t.	t.	PROPN
ajase-5752	109	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	16	2022	2022	NUM
ajase-5752	109	17	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	109	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	110	1	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	110	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	110	3	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	110	4	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	110	5	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	110	6	the	the	DET
ajase-5752	110	7	kalman	kalman	PROPN
ajase-5752	110	8	filter	filter	PROPN
ajase-5752	110	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	111	1	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ajase-5752	111	2	reviews	review	NOUN
ajase-5752	111	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	111	4	41(1	41(1	NUM
ajase-5752	111	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	111	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	111	7	1	1	NUM
ajase-5752	111	8	-	-	SYM
ajase-5752	111	9	21	21	NUM
ajase-5752	111	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	1	gao	gao	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	3	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	5	peng	peng	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	7	b.	b.	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	9	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	112	10	yan	yan	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	12	y.	y.	PROPN
ajase-5752	112	13	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	14	2023/2025	2023/2025	NUM
ajase-5752	112	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	112	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	113	1	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	113	3	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	113	4	vector	vector	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	5	error	error	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	113	7	correction	correction	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	8	models	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	9	:	:	PUNCT
ajase-5752	113	10	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	113	12	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	113	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	114	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	114	2	tv	tv	NOUN
ajase-5752	114	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	114	4	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	114	5	theory	theory	NOUN
ajase-5752	114	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	114	7	methods	method	NOUN
ajase-5752	114	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	114	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	115	1	gibbs	gibbs	PROPN
ajase-5752	115	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	115	3	i.	i.	PROPN
ajase-5752	115	4	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	115	5	candès	candès	PROPN
ajase-5752	115	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	115	7	e.	e.	PROPN
ajase-5752	115	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	115	9	2021/2024	2021/2024	NUM
ajase-5752	115	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	115	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	116	1	adaptive	adaptive	ADJ
ajase-5752	116	2	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	116	3	inference	inference	NOUN
ajase-5752	116	4	under	under	ADP
ajase-5752	116	5	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajase-5752	116	6	shift	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	116	7	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	117	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	117	2	online	online	INTJ
ajase-5752	117	3	cp	cp	INTJ
ajase-5752	117	4	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	117	5	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajase-5752	117	6	shift	shift	NOUN
ajase-5752	117	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	117	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	118	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-5752	118	2	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	118	3	machine	machine	NOUN
ajase-5752	118	4	learning	learn	VERB
ajase-5752	118	5	research	research	PROPN
ajase-5752	118	6	hallberg	hallberg	PROPN
ajase-5752	118	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	118	8	szabadváry	szabadváry	PROPN
ajase-5752	118	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	118	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ajase-5752	118	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	118	12	2024	2024	NUM
ajase-5752	118	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	118	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	119	1	adaptive	adaptive	PROPN
ajase-5752	119	2	ci	ci	PROPN
ajase-5752	119	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	119	4	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	119	5	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	119	6	step	step	ADJ
ajase-5752	119	7	ts	ts	ADP
ajase-5752	119	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	119	9	online	online	ADJ
ajase-5752	119	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	119	11	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	120	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	120	2	h	h	NOUN
ajase-5752	120	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	120	4	step	step	NOUN
ajase-5752	120	5	cp	cp	NOUN
ajase-5752	120	6	with	with	ADP
ajase-5752	120	7	guarantees	guarantee	NOUN
ajase-5752	120	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	120	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	121	1	hansen	hansen	PROPN
ajase-5752	121	2	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	121	3	seo	seo	PROPN
ajase-5752	121	4	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	121	5	smooth	smooth	ADJ
ajase-5752	121	6	/	/	SYM
ajase-5752	121	7	threshold	threshold	NOUN
ajase-5752	121	8	vecm	vecm	NOUN
ajase-5752	121	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	121	10	overview	overview	NOUN
ajase-5752	121	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	121	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	122	1	kdi	kdi	PROPN
ajase-5752	122	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-5752	122	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	122	4	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-5752	122	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	122	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	123	1	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	123	3	varying	vary	VERB
ajase-5752	123	4	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	5	models	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	6	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	123	7	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	8	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	123	10	ppp	ppp	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajase-5752	123	12	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajase-5752	123	13	models	model	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	14	pass	pass	VERB
ajase-5752	123	15	when	when	SCONJ
ajase-5752	123	16	allowing	allow	VERB
ajase-5752	123	17	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	18	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	123	19	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	123	20	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	123	21	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	124	1	kdi	kdi	PROPN
ajase-5752	124	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajase-5752	124	3	of	of	ADP
ajase-5752	124	4	economic	economic	ADJ
ajase-5752	124	5	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	124	6	kopetzki	kopetzki	PROPN
ajase-5752	124	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	124	8	s.	s.	PROPN
ajase-5752	124	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	124	10	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	124	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	124	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	125	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	125	2	multistep	multistep	NOUN
ajase-5752	125	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	125	4	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ajase-5752	125	5	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ajase-5752	125	6	ts	ts	ADP
ajase-5752	125	7	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajase-5752	125	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	126	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	126	2	joint	joint	ADJ
ajase-5752	126	3	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ajase-5752	126	4	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	126	5	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	126	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	127	1	reuters	reuter	NOUN
ajase-5752	127	2	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	127	3	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	127	4	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	127	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	128	1	ghana	ghana	PROPN
ajase-5752	128	2	policy	policy	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	4	moves	move	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	128	6	hike	hike	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	7	;	;	PUNCT
ajase-5752	128	8	record	record	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	9	cut	cut	NOUN
ajase-5752	128	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	128	11	in	in	ADP
ajase-5752	128	12	2025	2025	NUM
ajase-5752	128	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	2	motivation	motivation	NOUN
ajase-5752	129	3	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	129	4	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	129	5	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	6	variation	variation	NOUN
ajase-5752	129	7	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	8	stankevičiūtė	stankevičiūtė	NOUN
ajase-5752	129	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	10	g.	g.	PROPN
ajase-5752	129	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	12	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-5752	129	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	129	14	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	130	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	130	2	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	130	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	130	4	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	130	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajase-5752	130	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	131	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	131	2	multi	multi	ADJ
ajase-5752	131	3	-	-	ADJ
ajase-5752	131	4	horizon	horizon	ADJ
ajase-5752	131	5	cp	cp	INTJ
ajase-5752	131	6	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	131	7	ts	ts	PROPN
ajase-5752	131	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	131	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	1	xu	xu	PROPN
ajase-5752	132	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	3	c.	c.	PROPN
ajase-5752	132	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	5	&	&	CCONJ
ajase-5752	132	6	xie	xie	PROPN
ajase-5752	132	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	8	y.	y.	PROPN
ajase-5752	132	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	10	2021	2021	NUM
ajase-5752	132	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	132	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	133	1	conformal	conformal	ADJ
ajase-5752	133	2	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajase-5752	133	3	interval	interval	NOUN
ajase-5752	133	4	for	for	ADP
ajase-5752	133	5	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajase-5752	133	6	time	time	NOUN
ajase-5752	133	7	-	-	PUNCT
ajase-5752	133	8	series	series	NOUN
ajase-5752	133	9	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	133	10	enbpi	enbpi	PROPN
ajase-5752	133	11	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	133	12	.	.	PUNCT
ajase-5752	134	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajase-5752	134	2	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
ajase-5752	134	3	cp	cp	PROPN
ajase-5752	134	4	under	under	ADP
ajase-5752	134	5	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ajase-5752	134	6	)	)	PUNCT
ajase-5752	134	7	.	.	PUNCT