id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
ajbmeb-230	1	1	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	3	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	1	4	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	5	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	7	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	1	9	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	10	issn	issn	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	11	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	12	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	13	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	14	2832	2832	NUM
ajbmeb-230	1	15	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	1	16	8078	8078	NUM
ajbmeb-230	1	17	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	18	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	1	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	20	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	1	21	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	22	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	24	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	1	25	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	26	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	1	27	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	28	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	29	|	|	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	30	12	12	NUM
ajbmeb-230	1	31	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	32	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajbmeb-230	1	33	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	1	34	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	35	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	36	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	1	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	1	38	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	1	39	dinar	dinar	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	40	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	1	41	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	1	42	us	us	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	43	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	44	applied	apply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	1	45	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	46	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	1	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	1	48	secondary	secondary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	1	49	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	1	50	ibrahim	ibrahim	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	51	sakran	sakran	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	52	abdullah	abdullah	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	53	business	business	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	54	administration	administration	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	55	department	department	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	56	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	57	imam	imam	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	58	al	al	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	59	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	60	kadhum	kadhum	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	61	college	college	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	62	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	63	baghdad	baghdad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	64	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	1	65	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	1	66	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	2	1	ibrahim.skran@alkadhum-col.edu.iq	ibrahim.skran@alkadhum-col.edu.iq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	2	hasanain	hasanain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	2	3	hamed	hamed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	4	ahmed	ahmed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	5	business	business	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	6	administration	administration	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	7	department	department	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	2	9	imam	imam	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	10	al	al	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	2	12	kadhum	kadhum	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	13	college	college	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	2	15	baghdad	baghdad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	2	17	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	2	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	1	ha2.iraq2.19782@gmail.com	ha2.iraq2.19782@gmail.com	X
ajbmeb-230	3	2	abbas	abbas	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	3	fadel	fadel	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	4	kreah	kreah	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	5	business	business	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	6	administration	administration	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	7	department	department	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	9	imam	imam	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	10	al	al	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	11	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	12	kadhum	kadhum	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	13	college	college	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	15	baghdad	baghdad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	17	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	18	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	19	abbasf@alkadhum-col.edu.iq	abbasf@alkadhum-col.edu.iq	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	20	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	21	b	b	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	22	s	s	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	23	t	t	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	24	r	r	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	25	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	26	c	c	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	27	t	t	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	28	k	k	X
ajbmeb-230	3	29	e	e	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	30	y	y	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	31	w	w	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	32	o	o	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	33	r	r	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	34	d	d	X
ajbmeb-230	3	35	s	s	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	36	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	37	special	special	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	38	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	39	experienced	experience	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	40	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	41	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	42	have	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	43	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	44	great	great	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	45	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	46	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	48	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	49	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	50	determining	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	51	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	52	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	53	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	55	so	so	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	3	56	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	57	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	3	58	necessary	necessary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	59	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	3	60	develop	develop	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	61	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	62	scientific	scientific	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	63	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	64	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	65	determines	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	66	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	67	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	68	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	69	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	70	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	71	bank	bank	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	72	toward	toward	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	74	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	75	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	76	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	3	77	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	3	78	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	79	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	3	80	what	what	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	81	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	82	noticed	notice	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	83	after	after	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	84	2020	2020	NUM
ajbmeb-230	3	85	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	3	86	turned	turn	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	87	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	88	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	89	open	open	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	90	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	91	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	3	92	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	93	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	94	bank	bank	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	95	followed	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	96	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	97	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	98	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	3	99	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
ajbmeb-230	3	100	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	101	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	102	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	103	because	because	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	3	104	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	105	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	3	106	great	great	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	107	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	108	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	109	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	110	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	111	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	112	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	3	113	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	3	114	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	3	115	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	3	116	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	1	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	4	2	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	3	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	4	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	4	5	prepared	prepare	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	6	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	4	7	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	8	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	9	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	10	towards	towards	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	11	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	12	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	13	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	14	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	15	estimating	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	16	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	17	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	18	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	19	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	20	experienced	experience	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	21	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	23	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	24	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	25	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	26	decline	decline	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	28	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	4	31	rise	rise	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	32	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	33	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	34	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	36	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	37	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	38	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	39	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	4	40	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	41	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	42	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	43	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	44	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	45	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	46	causes	cause	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	47	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	48	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	49	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	50	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	51	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	52	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	53	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	4	54	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	55	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	4	56	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	57	cases	case	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	58	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	59	transition	transition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	60	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	61	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	4	62	case	case	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	63	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	64	another	another	PRON
ajbmeb-230	4	65	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	4	66	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	4	67	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	68	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	4	69	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	4	70	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	4	71	predict	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	4	72	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	73	state	state	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	74	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	75	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	76	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	77	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	78	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	79	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	4	80	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	4	81	future	future	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	4	82	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	1	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	2	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	3	consists	consist	VERB
ajbmeb-230	5	4	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	5	5	two	two	NUM
ajbmeb-230	5	6	main	main	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	5	7	parts	part	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	9	namely	namely	ADV
ajbmeb-230	5	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	11	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	5	12	side	side	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	14	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	5	15	contains	contain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	5	16	definitions	definition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	5	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	20	basis	basis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	21	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	5	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	23	existing	exist	VERB
ajbmeb-230	5	24	applied	applied	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	5	25	side	side	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	27	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	5	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	29	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	5	30	side	side	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	31	contains	contain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	5	32	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	33	definition	definition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	34	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	5	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	36	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	37	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	39	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	5	40	objectives	objective	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	5	42	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	5	43	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	5	44	factors	factor	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	5	45	affecting	affect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	5	46	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	5	47	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	1	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	2	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	7	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	8	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	10	tariffs	tariff	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	12	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	13	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	14	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	15	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	16	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	17	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	18	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	20	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	6	22	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	23	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	24	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	6	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	26	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	27	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	29	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	6	30	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	31	a	a	PRON
ajbmeb-230	6	32	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	33	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	34	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	6	35	13	13	NUM
ajbmeb-230	6	36	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	37	practical	practical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	38	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	40	includes	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	6	41	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	42	collection	collection	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	43	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	44	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	46	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	6	47	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	6	48	represented	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	6	49	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	50	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	51	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	52	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	53	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	54	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	55	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	56	dinar	dinar	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	57	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	58	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	59	us	us	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	6	60	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	61	issued	issue	VERB
ajbmeb-230	6	62	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	63	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	64	secondary	secondary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	65	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	67	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	68	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	69	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	6	70	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	6	71	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	6	72	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	73	secondary	secondary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	6	74	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	75	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	76	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	6	77	struggling	struggle	VERB
ajbmeb-230	6	78	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	6	79	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	6	80	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	7	1	1introduction	1introduction	NUM
ajbmeb-230	7	2	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	7	3	after	after	ADP
ajbmeb-230	7	4	2020	2020	NUM
ajbmeb-230	7	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	7	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	7	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	7	8	bank	bank	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	9	developed	develop	VERB
ajbmeb-230	7	10	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	11	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	12	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	7	13	raise	raise	VERB
ajbmeb-230	7	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	15	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	16	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	7	18	has	have	AUX
ajbmeb-230	7	19	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	20	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	21	reached	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	7	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	23	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	24	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	7	25	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	26	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	27	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	7	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	7	29	long	long	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	7	30	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	7	31	?	?	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	1	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	2	extent	extent	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	3	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	8	4	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	8	5	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	6	policy	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	7	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	8	8	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	8	9	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	10	purely	purely	ADV
ajbmeb-230	8	11	statistically	statistically	ADV
ajbmeb-230	8	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	13	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	14	calculating	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	15	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	16	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	18	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	19	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	20	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	23	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	24	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	25	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	26	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	27	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	28	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	8	29	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	8	30	very	very	ADV
ajbmeb-230	8	31	important	important	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	33	so	so	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	8	34	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	35	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	36	shows	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	38	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	39	framework	framework	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	40	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	41	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	42	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	43	as	as	ADV
ajbmeb-230	8	44	well	well	ADV
ajbmeb-230	8	45	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	46	predicting	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	47	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	8	48	reaching	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	49	real	real	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	50	results	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	51	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	8	52	providing	provide	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	53	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	54	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	8	55	serve	serve	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	56	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	57	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	58	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	59	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	60	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	61	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	62	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	63	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	64	seeks	seek	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	65	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	8	66	achieve	achieve	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	67	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	68	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	69	estimate	estimate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	70	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	71	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	72	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	73	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	74	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	75	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	76	depending	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	77	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	78	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	79	current	current	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	80	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	81	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	82	predicting	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	83	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	84	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	85	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	86	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	87	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	88	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	89	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	90	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	91	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	92	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	93	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	94	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	95	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	96	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	97	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	98	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	8	99	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	100	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	101	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	102	reaching	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	103	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	104	state	state	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	105	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	106	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	107	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	108	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	109	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	110	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	111	begins	begin	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	112	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	8	113	1there	1there	NUM
ajbmeb-230	8	114	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	8	115	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	116	significance	significance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	117	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	8	118	predict	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	119	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	120	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	121	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	122	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	123	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	124	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	125	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	126	us	us	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	8	127	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	128	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	129	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	130	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	8	131	dinar	dinar	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	8	132	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	8	133	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	8	134	coming	come	VERB
ajbmeb-230	8	135	years	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	8	136	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	9	1	2there	2there	NUM
ajbmeb-230	9	2	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	9	3	no	no	DET
ajbmeb-230	9	4	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	9	5	significance	significance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	6	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	9	7	predict	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	9	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	9	9	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	10	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	9	11	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	12	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	13	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	9	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	9	15	us	us	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	9	16	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	17	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	9	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	9	19	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	9	20	dinar	dinar	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	9	21	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	9	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	9	23	coming	come	VERB
ajbmeb-230	9	24	years	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	9	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	10	1	2the	2the	DET
ajbmeb-230	10	2	concept	concept	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	3	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	10	4	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	5	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	10	7	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	8	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	9	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	10	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	10	11	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	10	12	element	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	13	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	10	14	international	international	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	10	15	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	10	16	economies	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	10	18	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	10	19	such	such	DET
ajbmeb-230	10	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	10	21	polar	polar	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	10	22	element	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	10	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	11	1	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	11	2	modern	modern	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	11	3	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	11	4	thought	thought	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	11	6	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	11	7	11	11	NUM
ajbmeb-230	11	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	11	9	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	11	10	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	11	11	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	11	12	great	great	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	11	13	importance	importance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	14	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	11	15	adjusting	adjust	VERB
ajbmeb-230	11	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	11	17	adjusting	adjust	VERB
ajbmeb-230	11	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	11	19	balance	balance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	20	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	11	21	payments	payment	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	22	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	11	23	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	11	24	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	11	26	especially	especially	ADV
ajbmeb-230	11	27	developing	develop	VERB
ajbmeb-230	11	28	countries	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	11	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	12	1	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	12	2	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	12	3	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	12	4	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	5	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	12	6	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	12	7	many	many	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	12	8	definitions	definition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	12	10	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	12	11	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	12	12	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	13	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	14	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	12	15	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	12	16	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	17	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	12	18	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	12	19	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	12	20	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	21	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	12	22	national	national	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	12	23	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	12	24	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	12	25	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	12	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	13	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	13	2	1	1	X
ajbmeb-230	13	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	13	4	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	13	5	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	6	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	7	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	13	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	13	9	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	10	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	13	11	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	13	12	units	unit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	13	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	13	14	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	13	15	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	13	16	unit	unit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	13	18	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	13	19	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	13	20	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	13	21	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	13	22	exchanged	exchange	VERB
ajbmeb-230	13	23	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	13	24	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	13	25	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	13	26	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	13	27	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	2	2	2	X
ajbmeb-230	14	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	4	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	5	device	device	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	6	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	14	7	links	link	VERB
ajbmeb-230	14	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	9	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	10	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	11	commodities	commodity	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	12	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	14	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	14	15	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	16	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	14	17	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	14	18	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	19	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	21	world	world	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	22	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	14	24	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	25	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	14	26	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	27	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	28	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	30	linked	link	VERB
ajbmeb-230	14	31	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	32	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	33	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	34	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	35	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	36	12)(3	12)(3	NUM
ajbmeb-230	14	37	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	38	3exchange	3exchange	NUM
ajbmeb-230	14	39	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	40	objectives	objective	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	41	resistance	resistance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	42	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	43	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	44	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	14	45	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	46	improvement	improvement	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	47	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	48	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	49	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	50	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	51	leads	lead	VERB
ajbmeb-230	14	52	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	53	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	54	decrease	decrease	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	55	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	56	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	57	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	58	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	59	imported	import	VERB
ajbmeb-230	14	60	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	61	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	14	62	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	63	improvement	improvement	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	64	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	65	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	14	66	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	67	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	68	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	69	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	14	70	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	14	71	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	15	1	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	15	2	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	15	3	short	short	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	15	4	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	5	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	15	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	15	7	reduction	reduction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	8	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	15	9	import	import	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	10	costs	cost	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	11	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	15	12	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	15	13	positive	positive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	15	14	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	15	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	15	16	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	15	17	decline	decline	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	18	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	15	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	15	20	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	21	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	15	22	imported	import	VERB
ajbmeb-230	15	23	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	15	24	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	2	4	4	X
ajbmeb-230	16	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	4	resource	resource	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	5	allocation	allocation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	7	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	8	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	9	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	10	shifts	shift	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	11	resources	resource	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	12	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	16	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	14	international	international	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	15	export	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	16	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	17	oriented	orient	VERB
ajbmeb-230	16	18	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	19	sector.13	sector.13	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	20	income	income	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	21	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	22	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	23	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	24	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	25	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	26	plays	play	VERB
ajbmeb-230	16	27	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	28	important	important	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	29	role	role	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	30	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	16	31	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	32	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	33	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	16	34	income	income	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	35	between	between	ADP
ajbmeb-230	16	36	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	37	groups	group	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	38	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	16	39	sectors	sector	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	40	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	16	41	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	42	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	43	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	16	44	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	16	45	traditional	traditional	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	46	export	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	47	sector	sector	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	48	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	49	raw	raw	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	50	materials	material	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	51	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	16	52	agriculture	agriculture	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	16	53	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	16	54	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	16	55	high	high	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	16	56	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	17	1	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	2	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	3	result	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	4	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	6	decrease	decrease	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	7	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	9	real	real	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	17	10	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	11	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	17	13	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	17	14	makes	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	17	15	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	17	16	profitable	profitable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	17	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	17	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	17	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	20	profit	profit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	21	accrues	accrue	VERB
ajbmeb-230	17	22	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	23	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	24	owners	owner	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	25	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	26	capital	capital	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	27	while	while	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	17	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	17	29	purchasing	purchasing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	30	power	power	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	31	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	17	32	workers	worker	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	17	33	decreases	decrease	VERB
ajbmeb-230	17	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	1	conversely	conversely	ADV
ajbmeb-230	18	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	3	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	18	4	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	18	5	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	6	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	7	falls	fall	VERB
ajbmeb-230	18	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	9	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	18	10	leads	lead	VERB
ajbmeb-230	18	11	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	18	12	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	18	13	increase	increase	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	14	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	18	15	purchasing	purchase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	18	16	power	power	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	17	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	18	5	5	NUM
ajbmeb-230	18	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	20	american	american	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	18	21	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	18	22	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	18	23	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	24	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	26	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	27	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	18	28	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	29	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	30	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	18	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	32	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	18	33	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	18	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	18	35	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	18	36	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	37	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	18	38	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	18	39	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	1	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	19	2	14	14	NUM
ajbmeb-230	19	3	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	4	development	development	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	5	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	6	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	7	industries	industry	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	10	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	11	bank	bank	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	12	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	19	13	depreciate	depreciate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	15	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	16	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	17	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	18	order	order	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	19	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	19	20	encourage	encourage	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	21	national	national	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	22	industry	industry	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	23	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	24	14	14	NUM
ajbmeb-230	19	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	27	but	but	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	29	devaluation	devaluation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	30	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	31	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	32	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	33	bank	bank	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	34	protects	protect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	36	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	37	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	38	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	39	external	external	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	40	competition	competition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	41	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	42	encourages	encourage	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	43	exports	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	44	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	45	6	6	NUM
ajbmeb-230	19	46	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	47	4factors	4factor	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	48	affecting	affect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	49	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	50	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	51	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	52	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	53	relative	relative	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	54	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	55	levels	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	56	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	57	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	58	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	59	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	60	theory	theory	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	61	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	62	purchasing	purchase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	63	power	power	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	64	parity	parity	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	65	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	66	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	67	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	68	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	69	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	70	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	71	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	72	rise	rise	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	73	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	74	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	75	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	76	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	77	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	78	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	79	decreases	decrease	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	80	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	81	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	82	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	83	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	84	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	85	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	86	national	national	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	87	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	88	tends	tend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	89	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	19	90	decline	decline	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	91	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	92	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	19	93	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	19	94	possible	possible	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	95	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	19	96	continue	continue	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	97	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	19	98	sell	sell	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	99	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	100	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	101	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	102	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	103	good	good	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	104	way	way	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	105	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	106	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	107	vice	vice	ADV
ajbmeb-230	19	108	versa	versa	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	109	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	110	8)	8)	NUM
ajbmeb-230	19	111	5tariffs	5tariffs	NUM
ajbmeb-230	19	112	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	113	quotas	quota	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	114	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	115	tariffs	tariff	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	116	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	117	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ajbmeb-230	19	118	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	119	taxes	taxis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	120	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	121	imported	import	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	122	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	123	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	124	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	125	quotas	quota	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	126	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	127	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	128	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	129	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	130	illiteracy	illiteracy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	131	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	132	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	133	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	19	134	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	19	135	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	19	136	imported	import	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	137	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	138	affect	affect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	139	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	19	140	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	141	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	142	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	19	143	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	19	144	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	19	145	increases	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	19	146	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	147	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	19	148	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	19	149	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	19	150	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	1	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	2	9	9	X
ajbmeb-230	20	3	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	4	6preference	6preference	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	5	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	6	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	7	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	8	over	over	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	9	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	10	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	11	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	12	increasing	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	13	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	14	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	15	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	16	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	17	's	's	PART
ajbmeb-230	20	18	exports	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	19	causes	cause	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	20	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	20	21	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	22	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	20	23	appreciate	appreciate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	24	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	25	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	26	long	long	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	27	run	run	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	29	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	30	increased	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	31	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	32	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	33	imports	import	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	34	causes	cause	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	36	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	37	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	38	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	39	national	national	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	40	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	41	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	20	42	depreciate	depreciate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	43	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	44	10	10	NUM
ajbmeb-230	20	45	)	)	SYM
ajbmeb-230	20	46	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	20	47	types	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	48	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	49	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	50	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	51	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	52	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	20	53	are	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	54	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	55	types	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	56	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	57	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	58	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	59	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	60	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	61	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	62	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	63	17	17	NUM
ajbmeb-230	20	64	)	)	SYM
ajbmeb-230	20	65	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	20	66	nominal	nominal	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	67	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	68	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	69	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	70	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	20	71	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	72	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	73	measure	measure	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	74	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	75	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	76	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	77	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	78	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	20	79	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	80	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	20	81	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	82	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	83	exchanged	exchange	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	84	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	85	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	86	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	87	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	88	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	89	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	90	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	91	another	another	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	92	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	93	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	94	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	95	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	96	exchanged	exchange	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	97	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	98	bought	buy	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	99	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	100	selling	sell	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	101	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	102	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	103	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	104	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	105	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	106	between	between	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	107	each	each	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	108	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	109	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	110	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	111	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	112	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	113	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	114	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	115	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	116	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	117	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	118	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	119	determined	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	120	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	121	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	122	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	123	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	124	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	125	supply	supply	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	126	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	127	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	128	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	129	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	130	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	131	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	132	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	133	moment	moment	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	134	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	135	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	136	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	137	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	138	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	139	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	20	140	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	141	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	142	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	143	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	144	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	20	145	change	change	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	146	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	147	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	148	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	149	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	150	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	151	demand	demand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	152	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	153	supply	supply	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	154	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	155	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	20	156	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	157	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	158	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	159	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	160	system	system	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	161	adopted	adopt	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	162	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	163	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	164	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	165	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	20	166	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	167	rise	rise	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	168	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	169	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	170	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	171	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	172	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	20	173	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	174	affects	affect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	20	175	privileges	privilege	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	176	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	20	177	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	20	178	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	20	179	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	21	1	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	21	2	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	3	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	4	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	5	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	21	6	divided	divide	VERB
ajbmeb-230	21	7	into	into	ADP
ajbmeb-230	21	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	21	9	official	official	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	10	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	11	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	21	13	i.e.	i.e.	X
ajbmeb-230	21	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	21	15	applicable	applicable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	16	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	21	17	official	official	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	18	current	current	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	19	exchanges	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	21	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	21	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	21	23	parallel	parallel	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	24	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	25	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	21	27	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	21	28	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	21	29	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	21	30	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	31	applicable	applicable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	32	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	21	33	parallel	parallel	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	21	34	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	21	35	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	22	1	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	22	2	means	mean	VERB
ajbmeb-230	22	3	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	22	4	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	22	5	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	22	6	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	22	7	more	more	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	22	8	than	than	ADP
ajbmeb-230	22	9	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	22	10	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	22	11	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	22	12	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	22	13	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	22	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	22	15	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	22	16	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	22	17	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	22	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	22	19	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	22	20	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	22	21	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	22	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	22	23	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	22	24	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	22	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	1	2real	2real	NUM
ajbmeb-230	23	2	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	6	real	real	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	7	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	8	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	9	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	23	10	express	express	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	11	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	12	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	13	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	14	units	unit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	15	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	16	foreign	foreign	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	17	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	18	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	19	seek	seek	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	20	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	23	21	buy	buy	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	22	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	23	23	unit	unit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	24	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	25	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	26	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	23	29	thus	thus	ADV
ajbmeb-230	23	30	measures	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	31	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	32	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	23	33	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	34	benefits	benefit	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	35	economic	economic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	36	operators	operator	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	37	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	38	making	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	39	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	40	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	42	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	43	example	example	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	45	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	46	rise	rise	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	47	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	48	export	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	49	incomes	income	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	50	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	51	conjunction	conjunction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	52	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	53	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	54	high	high	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	55	costs	cost	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	56	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	57	producing	produce	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	58	exported	export	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	59	materials	material	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	60	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	61	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	62	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	63	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	64	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	65	pushes	push	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	66	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	23	67	think	think	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	68	about	about	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	69	increasing	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	70	exports	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	71	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	72	but	but	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	23	73	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	74	rise	rise	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	75	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	76	returns	return	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	77	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	78	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	79	did	do	AUX
ajbmeb-230	23	80	not	not	PART
ajbmeb-230	23	81	lead	lead	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	82	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	83	any	any	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	84	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	85	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	86	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	87	profits	profit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	88	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	89	exporters	exporter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	90	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	23	91	although	although	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	23	92	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	23	93	nominal	nominal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	94	incomes	income	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	95	increased	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	23	96	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	23	97	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	23	98	high	high	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	23	99	percentage	percentage	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	23	100	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	24	1	3effective	3effective	NUM
ajbmeb-230	24	2	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	24	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	6	effective	effective	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	7	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	8	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	9	expresses	express	VERB
ajbmeb-230	24	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	11	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	12	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	24	13	measures	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	24	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	15	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	16	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	17	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	19	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	20	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	21	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	22	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	24	23	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	24	relative	relative	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	25	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	26	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	27	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	28	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	29	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	30	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	31	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	32	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	33	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	24	35	so	so	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	24	36	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	37	effective	effective	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	38	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	39	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	40	index	index	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	41	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	24	42	equal	equal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	43	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	44	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	45	average	average	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	46	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	47	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	48	binary	binary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	49	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	50	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	24	52	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	24	53	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	24	54	indicates	indicate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	24	55	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	56	extent	extent	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	57	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	24	58	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	24	59	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	60	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	61	's	's	PART
ajbmeb-230	24	62	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	63	has	have	AUX
ajbmeb-230	24	64	improved	improve	VERB
ajbmeb-230	24	65	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	24	66	evolved	evolve	VERB
ajbmeb-230	24	67	relative	relative	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	68	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	69	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	24	70	group	group	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	71	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	24	72	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	24	73	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	24	74	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	1	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	2	actual	actual	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	3	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	4	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	5	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	6	vary	vary	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	7	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	8	terms	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	9	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	10	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	25	11	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	12	given	give	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	14	possibility	possibility	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	15	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	16	different	different	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	17	factors	factor	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	18	such	such	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	19	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	21	base	base	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	22	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	25	23	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	25	24	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	25	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	26	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	27	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	28	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	29	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	30	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	31	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	32	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	25	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	34	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	25	35	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	25	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	37	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	25	38	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	39	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	40	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	41	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	42	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	25	43	15	15	NUM
ajbmeb-230	25	44	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	45	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	48	list	list	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	49	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	50	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	51	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	52	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	53	client	client	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	54	countries	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	55	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	56	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	57	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	58	weights	weight	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	59	adopted	adopt	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	60	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	61	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	62	composition	composition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	63	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	64	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	65	basket	basket	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	67	if	if	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	68	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	69	goal	goal	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	70	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	71	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	72	index	index	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	73	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	74	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	75	measure	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	76	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	77	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	78	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	79	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	80	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	81	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	82	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	83	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	84	export	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	85	returns	return	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	86	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	87	bilateral	bilateral	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	88	exports	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	89	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	90	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	91	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	92	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	93	determine	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	94	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	95	weights	weight	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	96	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	97	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	98	index	index	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	99	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	100	but	but	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	101	if	if	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	102	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	103	goal	goal	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	104	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	105	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	106	measure	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	107	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	108	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	109	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	110	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	111	balance	balance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	112	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	113	payments	payment	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	114	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	115	bilateral	bilateral	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	25	116	imports	import	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	117	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	118	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	119	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	120	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	121	determine	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	122	weights	weight	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	123	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	124	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	125	if	if	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	126	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	127	goal	goal	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	128	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	129	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	130	measure	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	131	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	132	export	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	133	returns	return	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	134	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	135	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	136	commodity	commodity	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	137	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	25	138	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	139	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	140	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	141	goods	good	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	142	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	143	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	144	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	145	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	146	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	147	world	world	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	148	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	25	149	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	150	shares	share	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	151	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	152	competing	compete	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	153	countries	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	154	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	155	world	world	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	156	exports	export	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	157	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	158	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	25	159	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	160	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	25	161	form	form	VERB
ajbmeb-230	25	162	weights	weight	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	163	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	25	164	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	25	165	index	index	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	25	166	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	26	1	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	26	2	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	26	3	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	26	4	base	base	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	5	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	26	7	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	26	8	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	9	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	26	10	chosen	choose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	26	11	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	26	12	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	26	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	26	14	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	15	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	26	16	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	26	17	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	18	concerned	concern	VERB
ajbmeb-230	26	19	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	26	20	close	close	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	26	21	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	26	22	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	26	23	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	27	1	4equilibrium	4equilibrium	NUM
ajbmeb-230	27	2	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	27	5	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	27	6	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	27	7	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	27	8	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	9	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	27	10	leads	lead	VERB
ajbmeb-230	27	11	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	27	12	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	27	13	sustainable	sustainable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	27	14	balance	balance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	15	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	27	16	payments	payment	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	17	balance	balance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	18	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	27	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	27	20	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	21	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	27	22	growing	grow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	27	23	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	27	24	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	27	25	normal	normal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	27	26	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	27	27	sufficient	sufficient	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	27	28	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	27	29	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	1	5	5	NUM
ajbmeb-230	28	2	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	3	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	4	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	6	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	7	15	15	X
ajbmeb-230	28	8	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	10	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	11	series	series	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	28	12	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	13	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	14	set	set	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	15	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	16	observations	observation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	17	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	18	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	19	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	28	20	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	21	collected	collect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	28	22	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	23	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	24	particular	particular	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	25	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	26	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	27	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	28	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	29	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	30	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	32	often	often	ADV
ajbmeb-230	28	33	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	34	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	35	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	36	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	37	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	38	equal	equal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	39	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	40	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	41	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	43	month	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	45	day	day	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	47	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	48	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	49	details	detail	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	50	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	51	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	52	nature	nature	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	53	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	54	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	55	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	56	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	57	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	28	58	purpose	purpose	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	59	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	60	consists	consist	VERB
ajbmeb-230	28	61	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	62	two	two	NUM
ajbmeb-230	28	63	variables	variable	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	64	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	65	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	28	66	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	67	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	28	68	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	69	independent	independent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	70	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	71	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	28	72	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	74	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	75	variable	variable	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	76	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	28	77	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	78	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	79	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	80	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	81	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	82	variable	variable	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	83	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	28	84	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	28	85	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	28	86	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	87	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	88	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	28	89	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	28	90	studied	studied	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	28	91	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	28	92	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	1	5	5	NUM
ajbmeb-230	29	2	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	29	3	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	29	4	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	5	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	6	elements	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	8	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	9	work	work	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	10	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	11	researchers	researcher	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	12	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	13	focused	focus	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	14	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	15	analyzing	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	16	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	17	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	18	into	into	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	19	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	29	20	elements	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	22	studying	study	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	23	each	each	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	24	element	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	25	separately	separately	ADV
ajbmeb-230	29	26	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	29	27	identify	identify	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	28	how	how	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	29	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	30	element	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	31	changes	change	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	32	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	33	terms	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	34	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	35	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	29	36	nature	nature	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	38	amount	amount	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	40	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	41	direction	direction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	43	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	44	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	29	45	elements	element	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	46	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	47	compounds	compound	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	48	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	49	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	50	classified	classify	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	51	into	into	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	52	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	53	following	following	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	54	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	55	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	56	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	57	secular	secular	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	58	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	59	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	60	t	t	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	29	61	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	62	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	63	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	64	appear	appear	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	65	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	66	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	29	67	is	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	68	instability	instability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	69	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	70	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	71	over	over	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	72	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	73	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	74	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	75	change	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	76	may	may	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	77	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	78	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	79	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	80	population	population	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	81	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	82	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	83	country	country	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	84	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	85	gdp	gdp	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	86	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	87	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	88	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	89	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	90	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	91	profits	profit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	92	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	29	93	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	94	companies	company	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	95	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	96	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	97	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	98	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	99	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	100	two	two	NUM
ajbmeb-230	29	101	types	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	102	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	103	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	104	first	first	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	105	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	106	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	107	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	108	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	109	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	110	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	111	increasing	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	112	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	113	i.e.	i.e.	X
ajbmeb-230	29	114	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	115	positive	positive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	116	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	117	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	29	118	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	119	second	second	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	120	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	121	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	29	122	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	123	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	124	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	29	125	decreasing	decrease	VERB
ajbmeb-230	29	126	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	127	i.e.	i.e.	X
ajbmeb-230	29	128	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	29	129	negative	negative	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	29	130	direction	direction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	29	131	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	1	b	b	X
ajbmeb-230	30	2	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	3	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	4	variations	variation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	6	s	s	X
ajbmeb-230	30	7	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	8	they	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	30	9	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	30	10	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	11	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	30	12	appear	appear	VERB
ajbmeb-230	30	13	identically	identically	ADV
ajbmeb-230	30	14	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	15	specific	specific	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	16	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	18	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	30	20	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	21	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	22	passengers	passenger	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	23	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	24	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	30	25	lines	line	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	26	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	27	transport	transport	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	30	29	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	30	30	sale	sale	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	31	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	32	clothes	clothe	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	33	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	34	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	35	times	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	36	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	30	38	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	39	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	30	40	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	30	41	situation	situation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	42	appears	appear	VERB
ajbmeb-230	30	43	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	44	many	many	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	45	applications	application	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	46	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	30	47	apply	apply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	30	48	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	30	49	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	50	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	52	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	30	53	economic	economic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	55	environmental	environmental	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	56	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	57	commercial	commercial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	58	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	59	military	military	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	60	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	30	61	medical	medical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	30	62	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	30	63	others	other	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	30	64	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	31	1	c	c	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	31	2	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	1	cyclical	cyclical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	2	variations	variation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	3	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	4	c	c	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	5	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	6	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	7	some	some	DET
ajbmeb-230	32	8	cases	case	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	10	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	11	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	12	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	32	13	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	14	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	15	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	32	16	different	different	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	32	18	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	32	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	32	20	result	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	21	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	22	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	23	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	24	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	25	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	26	such	such	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	27	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	28	sales	sale	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	29	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	30	phones	phone	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	31	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	32	cars	car	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	34	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	32	35	others	other	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	32	38	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	32	39	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	32	40	distinguished	distinguish	VERB
ajbmeb-230	32	41	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	42	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	43	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	44	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	32	45	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	46	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	47	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	32	48	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	49	equal	equal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	50	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	32	52	while	while	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	32	53	periodic	periodic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	54	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	55	occur	occur	VERB
ajbmeb-230	32	56	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	32	57	different	different	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	32	58	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	32	59	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	1	d	d	X
ajbmeb-230	33	2	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	3	irregular	irregular	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	4	variations	variation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	6	i	i	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	7	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	8	they	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	9	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	33	10	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	11	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	12	occur	occur	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	13	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	14	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	15	result	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	16	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	17	sudden	sudden	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	18	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	33	19	unexpected	unexpected	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	20	events	event	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	22	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	23	result	result	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	24	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	25	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	26	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	27	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	28	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	29	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	30	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	31	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	32	different	different	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	33	manner	manner	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	35	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	36	requires	require	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	37	studying	study	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	38	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	33	39	analyzing	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	40	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	41	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	43	such	such	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	44	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	45	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	46	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	47	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	48	occurred	occur	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	49	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	50	global	global	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	51	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	52	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	53	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	54	result	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	55	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	56	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	57	russian	russian	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	58	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	59	ukrainian	ukrainian	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	60	war	war	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	61	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	33	62	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	33	63	has	have	AUX
ajbmeb-230	33	64	become	become	VERB
ajbmeb-230	33	65	clear	clear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	66	consequences	consequence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	67	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	33	68	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	33	69	global	global	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	33	70	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	33	71	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	1	6steps	6step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	2	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	34	3	build	build	VERB
ajbmeb-230	34	4	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	34	5	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	6	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	8	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	9	16	16	NUM
ajbmeb-230	34	10	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	11	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	34	12	are	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	34	13	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	34	14	steps	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	15	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	34	16	building	build	VERB
ajbmeb-230	34	17	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	34	18	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	34	19	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	34	20	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	22	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	34	23	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	24	american	american	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	34	25	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	34	26	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	34	27	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	28	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	30	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	34	32	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	33	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	34	34	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	34	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	36	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	34	37	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	34	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	34	39	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	34	40	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	1	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	2	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	3	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	4	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	35	5	16	16	NUM
ajbmeb-230	35	6	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	7	a.form	a.form	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	8	determination	determination	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	9	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	35	10	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	35	11	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	35	12	done	do	VERB
ajbmeb-230	35	13	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	15	graph	graph	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	16	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	17	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	18	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	19	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	20	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	21	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	22	particular	particular	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	23	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	24	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	35	25	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	26	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	27	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	29	behavior	behavior	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	30	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	31	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	32	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	33	accurately	accurately	ADV
ajbmeb-230	35	34	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	36	drawing	drawing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	35	38	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	35	39	choose	choose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	35	40	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	41	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	42	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	43	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	44	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	45	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	46	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	47	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	48	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	35	49	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	35	50	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	35	51	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	52	experience	experience	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	53	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	35	54	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	55	previous	previous	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	56	studies	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	57	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	58	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	59	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	35	60	hand	hand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	61	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	35	62	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	63	use	use	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	64	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	65	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	66	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	67	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	68	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	69	measures	measure	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	70	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	71	comparison	comparison	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	72	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	35	73	comparison	comparison	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	74	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	35	75	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	35	76	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	35	77	hand	hand	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	35	78	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	36	1	b.	b.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	36	2	model	model	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	36	3	estimation	estimation	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	36	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	36	5	here	here	ADV
ajbmeb-230	36	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	36	7	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	8	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	36	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	36	10	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	11	specified	specify	VERB
ajbmeb-230	36	12	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	36	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	36	14	first	first	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	36	15	stage	stage	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	16	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	36	17	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	36	18	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	36	19	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	36	20	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	21	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	36	22	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	36	23	methods	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	24	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	36	25	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	36	26	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	37	1	cthe	cthe	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	37	2	validity	validity	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	3	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	4	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	5	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	7	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	37	9	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	10	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	11	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	37	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	14	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	15	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	16	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	17	taken	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	18	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	19	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	20	special	special	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	37	21	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	22	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	23	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	24	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	25	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	26	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	27	taking	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	29	errors	error	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	30	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	31	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	32	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	33	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	34	examining	examine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	35	them	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	36	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	37	37	see	see	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	38	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	39	extent	extent	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	40	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	37	41	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	42	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	43	data	data	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	44	matches	match	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	45	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	46	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	47	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	48	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	49	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	50	chosen	choose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	51	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	52	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	53	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	54	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	55	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	56	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	57	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	58	passed	pass	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	59	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	37	60	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	61	decision	decision	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	62	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	63	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	64	made	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	65	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	37	66	adopt	adopt	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	67	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	68	choose	choose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	69	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	70	definitively	definitively	ADV
ajbmeb-230	37	71	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	72	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	74	event	event	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	75	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	76	failure	failure	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	77	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	37	78	pass	pass	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	79	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	80	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	81	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	37	82	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	37	83	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	84	completed	complete	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	85	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	37	86	determine	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	87	another	another	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	88	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	37	89	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	90	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	37	91	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	92	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	37	93	process	process	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	94	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	37	95	done	do	VERB
ajbmeb-230	37	96	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	37	97	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	37	98	second	second	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	37	99	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	37	100	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	38	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	38	2	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	3	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	4	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	38	7	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	8	final	final	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	9	chosen	choose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	10	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	11	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	38	12	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	13	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	38	14	calculate	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	15	future	future	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	16	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	17	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	19	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	20	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	22	errors	error	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	23	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	38	24	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	38	25	own	own	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	26	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	27	units	unit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	38	29	provided	provide	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	30	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	38	31	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	32	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	33	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	38	34	located	locate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	35	within	within	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	36	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	37	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	38	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	39	limit	limit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	40	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	41	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	42	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	43	error	error	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	44	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	45	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	38	46	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	38	47	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	38	48	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	49	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	38	50	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	51	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	38	52	make	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	38	53	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	38	54	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	38	55	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	1	7types	7types	NUM
ajbmeb-230	39	2	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	6	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	7	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	8	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	39	9	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	39	10	divided	divide	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	11	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	12	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	13	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	39	14	predict	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	15	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	16	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	17	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	18	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	19	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	20	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	21	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	22	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	23	extent	extent	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	24	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	25	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	26	calculating	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	27	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	28	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	29	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	30	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	39	31	often	often	ADV
ajbmeb-230	39	32	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	33	two	two	NUM
ajbmeb-230	39	34	types	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	35	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	36	ashort	ashort	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	37	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	38	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	39	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	40	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	41	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	42	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	43	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	44	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	45	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	46	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	39	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	48	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	49	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	50	future	future	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	51	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	52	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	39	53	very	very	ADV
ajbmeb-230	39	54	short	short	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	55	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	56	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	39	57	ranges	range	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	58	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	59	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	39	60	uses	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	61	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	62	series	series	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	39	63	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	64	represented	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	65	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	66	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	39	67	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	68	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	69	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	70	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	71	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	72	self	self	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	73	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	74	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	75	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	76	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	77	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	78	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	79	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	80	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	81	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	82	mixed	mixed	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	39	83	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	84	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	85	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	86	two	two	NUM
ajbmeb-230	39	87	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	88	previously	previously	ADV
ajbmeb-230	39	89	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	90	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	39	91	these	these	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	92	three	three	NUM
ajbmeb-230	39	93	types	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	94	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	95	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	96	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	39	97	called	call	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	98	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	39	99	box	box	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	100	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	39	101	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	39	102	linear	linear	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	39	103	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	104	represented	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	39	105	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	39	106	arma	arma	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	39	107	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	39	108	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	1	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	2	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	3	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	40	4	characterized	characterize	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	5	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	6	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	7	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	8	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	9	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	10	important	important	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	12	effective	effective	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	13	role	role	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	14	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	15	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	16	process	process	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	18	making	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	20	necessary	necessary	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	21	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	22	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	23	policies	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	24	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	25	applying	apply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	26	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	27	particular	particular	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	28	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	29	due	due	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	30	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	31	keeping	keep	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	32	up	up	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	33	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	34	such	such	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	35	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	36	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	38	conditions	condition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	39	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	40	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	41	studied	study	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	42	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	43	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	44	simulating	simulate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	45	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	40	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	47	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	48	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	40	49	are	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	50	also	also	ADV
ajbmeb-230	40	51	other	other	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	52	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	53	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	40	54	use	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	55	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	56	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	57	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	58	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	59	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	60	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	40	61	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	62	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	63	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	64	self	self	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	65	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	66	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	67	vector	vector	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	68	var	var	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	69	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	70	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	71	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	72	non	non	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	73	-	-	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	74	linear	linear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	75	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	76	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	77	such	such	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	40	78	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	40	79	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	40	80	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	81	armax	armax	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	82	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	83	arch	arch	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	84	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	40	85	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	40	86	others	other	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	40	87	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	1	b.	b.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	41	2	long	long	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	3	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	4	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	7	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	41	8	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	9	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	11	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	41	12	many	many	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	13	future	future	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	14	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	15	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	16	their	their	PRON
ajbmeb-230	41	17	ranges	range	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	18	so	so	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	41	19	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	41	20	they	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	41	21	take	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	41	22	long	long	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	24	term	term	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	25	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	26	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	27	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	29	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	41	30	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	41	31	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	41	32	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	41	33	calculating	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	41	34	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	35	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	36	linear	linear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	37	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	38	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	39	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	40	simple	simple	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	41	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	41	42	multiple	multiple	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	43	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	45	as	as	ADV
ajbmeb-230	41	46	well	well	ADV
ajbmeb-230	41	47	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	48	some	some	DET
ajbmeb-230	41	49	standard	standard	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	41	50	models	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	51	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	41	52	calculate	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	41	53	growth	growth	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	54	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	55	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	56	population	population	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	57	size	size	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	58	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	41	59	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	41	60	example	example	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	41	61	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	42	1	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	2	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	3	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	4	advantages	advantage	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	5	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	6	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	7	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	8	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	9	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	42	11	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	12	does	do	AUX
ajbmeb-230	42	13	not	not	PART
ajbmeb-230	42	14	keep	keep	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	15	pace	pace	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	16	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	17	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	18	continuity	continuity	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	19	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	21	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	22	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	23	occur	occur	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	24	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	25	me	i	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	26	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	27	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	28	studied	study	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	29	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	30	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	31	sense	sense	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	32	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	33	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	34	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	42	35	inaccurate	inaccurate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	42	36	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	37	ineffective	ineffective	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	42	38	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	39	calculating	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	40	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	41	future	future	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	42	42	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	43	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	44	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	45	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	46	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	47	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	48	moves	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	49	away	away	ADV
ajbmeb-230	42	50	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	51	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	52	circumstance	circumstance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	53	experienced	experience	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	54	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	55	that	that	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	56	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	57	because	because	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	58	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	59	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	60	length	length	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	61	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	62	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	63	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	42	64	periods	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	65	so	so	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	66	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	67	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	68	affects	affect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	69	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	70	variation	variation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	71	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	72	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	73	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	74	line	line	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	75	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	42	76	causes	cause	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	77	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	42	78	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	79	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	42	80	increase	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	42	81	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	82	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	83	lack	lack	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	84	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	85	effectiveness	effectiveness	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	86	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	87	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	88	work	work	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	89	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	42	90	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	42	91	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	42	92	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	43	1	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	43	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	43	3	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	4	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	5	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	43	7	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	43	9	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	10	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	11	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	43	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	43	13	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	43	14	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	43	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	43	16	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	43	17	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	18	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	43	19	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	20	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	21	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	43	22	17	17	NUM
ajbmeb-230	43	23	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	24	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	25	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	43	26	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	43	27	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	43	29	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	43	30	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	31	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	32	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	33	has	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	43	34	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	43	35	important	important	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	43	36	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	43	37	significant	significant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	43	38	role	role	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	39	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	40	drawing	draw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	43	41	up	up	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	42	longterm	longterm	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	43	43	strategic	strategic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	43	44	plans	plan	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	45	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	43	46	making	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	43	47	decisions	decision	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	43	48	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	43	49	them	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	43	50	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	1	8	8	NUM
ajbmeb-230	44	2	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	3	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	4	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	6	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	7	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	8	are	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	9	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	10	ways	way	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	11	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	12	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	13	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	14	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	15	series	series	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	44	16	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	17	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	18	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	19	depending	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	20	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	21	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	22	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	23	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	24	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	25	specified	specify	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	26	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	27	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	28	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	29	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	30	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	31	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	32	research	research	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	33	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	34	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	35	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	36	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	37	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	38	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	39	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	40	estimating	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	41	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	42	equation	equation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	43	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	44	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	45	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	46	direction	direction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	47	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	48	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	49	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	50	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	51	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	52	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	53	measured	measure	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	54	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	55	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	56	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	57	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	58	occur	occur	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	59	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	60	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	61	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	62	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	63	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	64	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	65	long	long	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	66	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	67	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	68	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	69	vehicle	vehicle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	70	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	71	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	44	72	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	74	most	most	ADV
ajbmeb-230	44	75	important	important	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	76	components	component	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	77	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	78	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	79	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	80	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	81	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	82	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	83	depends	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	84	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	85	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	86	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	87	calculating	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	88	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	89	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	90	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	91	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	92	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	93	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	94	vehicle	vehicle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	95	may	may	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	96	increase	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	97	directly	directly	ADV
ajbmeb-230	44	98	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	99	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	100	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	101	inversely	inversely	ADV
ajbmeb-230	44	102	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	103	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	104	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	105	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	106	compound	compound	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	107	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	108	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	109	linear	linear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	110	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	111	non	non	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	112	-	-	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	113	linear	linear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	114	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	115	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	116	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	117	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	118	purpose	purpose	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	119	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	120	estimating	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	121	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	122	compound	compound	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	123	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	124	are	be	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	125	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	126	methods	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	127	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	128	including	include	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	129	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	130	15	15	NUM
ajbmeb-230	44	131	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	132	amethod	amethod	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	133	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	134	booting	booting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	135	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	136	drawing	draw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	137	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	138	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	139	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	140	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	141	drawing	drawing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	142	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	143	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	44	144	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	145	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	146	primitive	primitive	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	147	methods	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	148	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	44	149	determine	determine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	150	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	151	shape	shape	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	152	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	153	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	154	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	155	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	156	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	157	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	158	gives	give	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	159	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	160	simplified	simplified	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	161	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	162	quick	quick	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	163	picture	picture	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	164	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	165	that	that	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	166	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	167	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	44	168	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	169	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	170	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	171	depends	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	172	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	173	drawing	draw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	174	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	175	diffusion	diffusion	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	176	form	form	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	177	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	178	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	179	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	180	under	under	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	181	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	182	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	183	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	44	184	trying	try	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	185	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	44	186	draw	draw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	187	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	188	straight	straight	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	189	line	line	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	190	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	191	approaches	approach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	192	most	most	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	193	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	194	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	195	points	point	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	196	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	197	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	198	diffuse	diffuse	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	199	shape	shape	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	200	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	201	because	because	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	202	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	203	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	204	fact	fact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	205	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	206	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	207	drawing	drawing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	208	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	209	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	210	line	line	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	211	varies	vary	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	212	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	213	person	person	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	214	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	44	215	person	person	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	216	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	217	attempt	attempt	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	218	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	44	219	reconcile	reconcile	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	220	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	221	graph	graph	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	222	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	44	223	difficult	difficult	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	44	224	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	44	225	depends	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	44	226	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	227	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	228	experience	experience	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	229	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	44	230	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	44	231	researcher	researcher	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	44	232	himself	himself	PRON
ajbmeb-230	44	233	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	45	1	bsemi	bsemi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	45	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	45	3	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	45	4	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	45	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	45	6	if	if	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	45	7	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	45	8	assume	assume	VERB
ajbmeb-230	45	9	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	45	10	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	45	11	have	have	VERB
ajbmeb-230	45	12	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	45	13	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	45	14	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	45	15	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	45	16	represented	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	45	17	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	45	18	y1	y1	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	45	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	45	20	y2	y2	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	45	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	45	22	.....	.....	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	46	1	yn	yn	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	2	size	size	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	3	n	n	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	4	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	46	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	46	6	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	46	7	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	8	vehicle	vehicle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	9	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	46	10	not	not	PART
ajbmeb-230	46	11	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	46	12	represented	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	46	13	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	46	14	follows	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	46	15	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	46	16	�	�	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	17	̂	̂	VERB
ajbmeb-230	46	18	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	19	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	46	20	α	α	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	21	+	+	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	22	bt	bt	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	23	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	46	24	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	46	25	α	α	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	26	b	b	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	27	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	28	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	46	29	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	46	30	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	46	31	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	46	32	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	46	33	public	public	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	46	34	linear	linear	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	46	35	machines	machine	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	1	c	c	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	2	least	least	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	3	squares	square	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	4	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	5	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	6	l	l	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	7	s	s	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	8	m	m	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	9	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	11	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	12	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	13	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	14	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	15	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	16	likened	liken	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	17	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	18	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	19	simple	simple	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	20	linear	linear	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	21	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	22	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	23	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	47	24	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	47	25	contains	contain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	26	yt	yt	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	27	represents	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	29	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	30	variable	variable	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	47	32	t	t	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	33	represents	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	34	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	35	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	47	36	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	37	considered	consider	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	38	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	39	illustrative	illustrative	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	40	variable	variable	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	41	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	47	42	therefore	therefore	ADV
ajbmeb-230	47	43	�	�	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	44	̂	̂	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	45	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	46	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	47	47	α	α	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	48	+	+	X
ajbmeb-230	47	49	bt	bt	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	50	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	47	51	obtain	obtain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	52	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	53	estimators	estimator	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	54	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	55	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	56	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	57	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	58	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	59	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	60	direction	direction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	61	vehicle	vehicle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	62	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	63	they	they	PRON
ajbmeb-230	47	64	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	65	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	66	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	67	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	68	equation	equation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	69	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	70	b	b	X
ajbmeb-230	47	71	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	47	72	∑	∑	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	73	𝑦𝑡𝑡−𝑛	𝑦𝑡𝑡−𝑛	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	74	�	�	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	75	̅	̅	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	76	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	77	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	78	̅	̅	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	79	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	80	∑	∑	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	81	𝑡2−	𝑡2−	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	82	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	83	∑	∑	PART
ajbmeb-230	47	84	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	85	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	86	2	2	NUM
ajbmeb-230	47	87	𝑛	𝑛	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	88	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	47	89	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	90	α	α	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	47	91	=	=	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	92	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	93	̅	̅	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	94	�	�	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	95	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	96	bt	bt	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	97	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	47	98	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	99	α	α	X
ajbmeb-230	47	100	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	101	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	102	constant	constant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	103	limit	limit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	104	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	105	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	106	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	107	equation	equation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	108	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	109	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	110	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	111	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	112	compound	compound	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	113	represents	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	114	b	b	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	115	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	116	represents	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	117	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	118	slope	slope	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	119	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	120	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	121	component	component	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	122	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	123	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	124	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	125	direction	direction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	126	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	127	applying	apply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	128	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	47	129	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	130	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	131	previous	previous	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	132	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	133	methods	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	134	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	47	135	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	47	136	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	137	possible	possible	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	47	138	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	47	139	predict	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	47	140	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	141	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	142	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	143	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	47	144	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	145	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	47	146	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	147	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	47	148	under	under	ADP
ajbmeb-230	47	149	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	47	150	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	1	dmoving	dmove	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	2	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	48	3	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	5	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	48	6	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	48	7	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	8	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	9	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	11	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	12	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	48	13	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	14	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	15	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	48	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	17	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	48	18	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	48	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	20	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	48	21	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	22	a	a	PRON
ajbmeb-230	48	23	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	24	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	25	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	48	26	18	18	NUM
ajbmeb-230	48	27	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	29	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	30	media	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	31	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	32	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	48	33	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	48	34	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	36	introductory	introductory	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	48	37	methods	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	38	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	39	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	48	40	estimate	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	41	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	42	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	48	43	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	48	45	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	48	46	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	48	47	based	base	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	48	mainly	mainly	ADV
ajbmeb-230	48	49	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	50	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	51	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	52	neighborhood	neighborhood	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	53	points	point	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	54	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	55	assessment	assessment	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	56	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	57	taking	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	58	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	59	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	48	60	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	61	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	48	62	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	48	63	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	48	64	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	48	65	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	48	66	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	48	67	predicted	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	48	68	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	1	1simple	1simple	NUM
ajbmeb-230	49	2	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	3	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	4	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	5	kma	kma	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	6	):	):	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	7	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	8	simple	simple	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	9	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	10	media	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	11	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	12	relies	rely	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	13	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	14	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	15	odd	odd	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	16	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	18	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	19	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	20	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	21	k	k	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	22	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	23	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	49	24	calculate	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	25	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	26	averages	average	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	27	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	29	resulting	result	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	30	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	31	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	49	32	represent	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	33	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	34	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	35	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	36	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	37	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	38	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	39	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	40	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	41	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	42	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	49	43	mediates	mediate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	44	those	those	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	45	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	47	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	49	48	m	m	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	49	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	50	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	51	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	52	follows	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	53	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	54	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	55	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	56	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	57	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	58	tt	tt	X
ajbmeb-230	49	59	=	=	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	60	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	49	61	𝐾	𝐾	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	62	∑	∑	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	63	𝑦𝑡+𝑗	𝑦𝑡+𝑗	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	64	𝑚	𝑚	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	65	𝑗=−𝑚	𝑗=−𝑚	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	66	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	67	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	68	m	m	X
ajbmeb-230	49	69	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	49	70	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	71	𝑘+1	𝑘+1	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	72	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	73	2	2	NUM
ajbmeb-230	49	74	since	since	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	75	m	m	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	76	represents	represent	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	77	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	78	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	79	preceding	precede	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	80	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	81	ti	ti	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	82	viewing	viewing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	83	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	84	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	49	85	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	49	86	lose	lose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	87	m	m	PRON
ajbmeb-230	49	88	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	89	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	90	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	91	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	92	beginning	beginning	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	93	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	94	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	95	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	96	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	97	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	49	98	similarly	similarly	ADV
ajbmeb-230	49	99	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	100	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	49	101	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	49	102	lose	lose	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	103	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	104	same	same	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	49	105	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	106	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	107	m	m	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	108	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	109	yam	yam	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	110	at	at	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	111	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	112	end	end	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	113	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	114	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	115	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	116	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	117	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	118	denoted	denote	VERB
ajbmeb-230	49	119	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	49	120	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	49	121	symbol	symbol	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	49	122	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	123	kma	kma	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	49	124	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	49	125	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	1	2centered	2centered	NUM
ajbmeb-230	50	2	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	3	average	average	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	4	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	5	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	7	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	8	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	9	media	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	10	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	11	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	12	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	13	when	when	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	50	14	k	k	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	50	15	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	16	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	17	even	even	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	18	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	19	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	50	21	since	since	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	50	22	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	23	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	24	media	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	25	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	26	needs	need	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	27	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	50	28	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	29	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	30	power	power	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	31	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	32	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	50	33	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	34	middle	middle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	35	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	50	36	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	37	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	38	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	50	39	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	40	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	41	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	50	42	calculate	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	43	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	44	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	45	medium	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	47	so	so	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	50	48	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	49	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	50	average	average	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	51	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	52	calculated	calculate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	53	multiple	multiple	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	54	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	50	55	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	56	number	number	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	57	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	50	58	even	even	ADV
ajbmeb-230	50	59	observations	observation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	60	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	50	61	become	become	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	62	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	63	process	process	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	64	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	65	2kma	2kma	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	66	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	50	67	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	50	68	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	69	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	70	average	average	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	71	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	50	72	made	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	74	previous	previous	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	75	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	76	media	medium	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	77	extracted	extract	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	78	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	50	79	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	80	second	second	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	81	degree	degree	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	82	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	50	83	get	get	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	84	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	50	85	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	50	86	moving	move	VERB
ajbmeb-230	50	87	averages	average	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	50	88	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	51	1	exclude	exclude	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	2	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	3	effect	effect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	4	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	6	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	51	7	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	8	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	10	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	11	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	12	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	13	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	14	series	series	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	51	15	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	51	16	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	17	process	process	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	18	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	19	excluding	exclude	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	21	effect	effect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	22	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	23	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	24	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	51	25	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	51	27	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	51	28	depending	depend	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	29	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	30	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	31	type	type	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	32	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	33	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	34	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	51	35	collective	collective	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	51	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	51	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	38	effect	effect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	39	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	40	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	41	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	51	42	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	43	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	51	44	excluded	exclude	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	45	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	46	subtracting	subtract	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	48	estimated	estimate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	51	49	values	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	50	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	51	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	52	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	53	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	51	54	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	51	55	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	56	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	51	57	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	51	58	i.e.	i.e.	ADV
ajbmeb-230	51	59	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	1	𝑦𝑡	𝑦𝑡	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	2	𝑇𝑡	𝑇𝑡	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	3	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	52	4	𝑆𝑡	𝑆𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	5	+	+	NUM
ajbmeb-230	52	6	𝐶𝑡	𝐶𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	7	+	+	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	52	8	𝑒𝑡	𝑒𝑡	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	9	if	if	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	52	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	11	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	12	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	52	13	multiplicational	multiplicational	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	52	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	15	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	16	effect	effect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	19	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	52	20	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	21	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	52	22	excluded	exclude	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	23	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	24	dividing	divide	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	25	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	26	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	27	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	28	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	29	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	30	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	31	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	32	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	33	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	34	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	35	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	52	36	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	38	i.e.	i.e.	X
ajbmeb-230	52	39	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	40	𝑦𝑡	𝑦𝑡	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	41	𝑇𝑡	𝑇𝑡	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	42	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	52	43	𝑆𝑡	𝑆𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	44	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	45	𝐶𝑡	𝐶𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	46	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	47	𝑒𝑡	𝑒𝑡	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	48	3applied	3applied	NUM
ajbmeb-230	52	49	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	50	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	51	adata	adata	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	52	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	53	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	54	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	55	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	52	56	obtained	obtain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	57	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	58	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	59	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	52	60	bureau	bureau	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	61	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	62	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	63	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	64	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	52	65	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	66	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	67	consisted	consist	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	68	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	69	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	70	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	71	according	accord	VERB
ajbmeb-230	52	72	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	73	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	74	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	52	75	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	76	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	77	al	al	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	78	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	79	kifah	kifah	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	52	80	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	81	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	82	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	52	83	over	over	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	84	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	85	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	86	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	87	twelve	twelve	NUM
ajbmeb-230	52	88	months	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	89	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	52	90	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	52	91	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	52	92	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	52	93	2021	2021	NUM
ajbmeb-230	52	94	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	53	1	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	53	2	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	53	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	53	4	selling	sell	VERB
ajbmeb-230	53	5	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	53	6	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	53	7	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	53	8	2021	2021	NUM
ajbmeb-230	53	9	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	53	10	alkifah	alkifah	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	53	11	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	53	12	no	no	INTJ
ajbmeb-230	53	13	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	54	1	month	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	2	selling	selling	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	3	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	4	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	54	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	54	6	struggle	struggle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	7	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	8	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	9	january	january	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	10	1437	1437	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	11	2	2	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	12	february	february	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	13	1446	1446	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	14	3	3	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	15	march	march	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	16	1445	1445	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	17	4	4	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	18	april	april	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	19	1469	1469	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	20	5	5	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	21	may	may	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	22	1481	1481	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	23	6	6	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	24	june	june	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	25	1488	1488	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	26	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	27	july	july	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	28	1470	1470	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	29	8	8	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	30	august	august	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	31	1470	1470	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	32	9	9	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	33	september	september	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	34	1469	1469	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	35	10	10	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	36	october	october	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	37	1469	1469	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	38	11	11	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	39	november	november	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	40	1475	1475	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	41	12	12	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	42	december	december	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	43	1475	1475	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	44	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	45	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	46	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	54	47	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	48	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	49	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	54	50	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	51	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	54	52	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	53	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	54	54	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	55	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	54	56	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	57	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	54	58	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	54	59	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	54	60	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	1	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	2	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	3	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	4	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	55	5	19	19	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	6	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	7	banalysis	banalysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	8	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	10	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	11	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	12	analyzed	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	13	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	14	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	15	gertl	gertl	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	16	program	program	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	17	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	18	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	19	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	20	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	21	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	22	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	24	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	25	several	several	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	26	steps	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	27	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	28	used	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	29	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	30	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	31	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	32	follows	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	33	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	34	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	35	first	first	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	36	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	37	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	38	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	39	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	40	working	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	41	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	42	drawing	draw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	43	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	44	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	45	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	55	46	know	know	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	47	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	48	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	49	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	50	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	51	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	52	series	series	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	53	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	54	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	55	shown	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	56	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	57	follows	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	58	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	59	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	60	second	second	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	61	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	62	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	63	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	64	work	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	65	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	55	66	take	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	67	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	68	first	first	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	69	difference	difference	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	70	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	71	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	72	purpose	purpose	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	73	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	74	stabilizing	stabilize	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	75	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	76	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	77	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	78	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	55	79	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	80	redraw	redraw	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	81	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	82	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	83	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	84	shown	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	85	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	86	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	87	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	88	form	form	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	89	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	90	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	91	third	third	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	92	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	93	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	94	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	95	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	96	working	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	97	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	98	analyzing	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	99	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	100	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	101	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	102	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	103	least	least	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	104	squares	square	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	105	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	106	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	107	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	108	shown	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	109	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	110	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	111	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	112	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	113	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	114	american	american	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	115	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	55	116	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	117	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	118	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	119	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	120	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	121	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	122	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	123	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	124	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	125	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	126	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	55	127	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	55	128	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	129	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	130	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	131	a	a	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	132	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	133	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	134	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	55	135	20	20	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	136	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	137	through	through	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	138	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	139	above	above	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	140	results	result	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	141	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	142	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	143	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	144	clear	clear	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	145	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	146	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	147	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	148	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	149	suitable	suitable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	150	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	151	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	152	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	153	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	154	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	155	calculated	calculated	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	156	f	f	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	55	157	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	158	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	159	appeared	appear	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	160	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	161	7.365424	7.365424	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	162	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	163	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	164	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	165	significance	significance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	166	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	167	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	168	0.021786	0.021786	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	169	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	170	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	171	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	172	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	55	173	less	less	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	55	174	than	than	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	175	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	176	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	177	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	178	significance	significance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	179	0.05	0.05	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	180	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	181	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	182	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	183	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	184	also	also	ADV
ajbmeb-230	55	185	showed	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	186	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	187	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	188	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	189	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	190	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	191	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	192	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	193	determination	determination	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	194	r	r	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	195	2	2	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	196	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	55	197	0.42	0.42	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	198	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	55	199	meaning	mean	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	200	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	55	201	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	55	202	explained	explain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	55	203	42	42	NUM
ajbmeb-230	55	204	%	%	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	205	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	206	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	55	207	changes	change	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	208	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	55	209	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	210	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	211	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	55	212	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	56	1	as	as	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	2	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	3	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	4	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	5	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	7	linear	linear	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	56	8	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	9	model	model	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	56	11	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	13	showed	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	56	14	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	56	15	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	16	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	17	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	18	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	19	marginal	marginal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	56	20	slope	slope	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	21	had	have	AUX
ajbmeb-230	56	22	reached	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	56	23	2.78322	2.78322	NUM
ajbmeb-230	56	24	b	b	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	25	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	56	26	=	=	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	56	27	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	28	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	29	significant	significant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	56	30	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	31	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	56	32	0.0218	0.0218	NUM
ajbmeb-230	56	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	56	34	while	while	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	56	35	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	56	36	fixed	fix	VERB
ajbmeb-230	56	37	limit	limit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	38	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	56	39	b.	b.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	56	40	0	0	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	57	1	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	57	2	1448.08	1448.08	NUM
ajbmeb-230	57	3	with	with	ADP
ajbmeb-230	57	4	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	57	5	significant	significant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	57	6	level	level	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	57	7	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	57	8	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
ajbmeb-230	57	9	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	1	fourth	fourth	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	58	2	step	step	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	3	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	4	we	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	58	5	are	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	58	6	working	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	58	7	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	8	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajbmeb-230	58	9	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	10	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	58	11	next	next	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	58	12	24	24	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	13	months	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	14	as	as	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	58	15	shown	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	58	16	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	17	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	58	18	following	follow	VERB
ajbmeb-230	58	19	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	20	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	58	21	figure	figure	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	22	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	23	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	24	3	3	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	25	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	27	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	28	usd	usd	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	58	29	/	/	SYM
ajbmeb-230	58	30	usd	usd	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	31	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	32	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	33	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	34	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	58	35	year	year	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	36	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	37	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	58	38	2023	2023	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	39	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	58	40	95	95	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	41	%	%	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	42	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	43	intervals	interval	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	58	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	45	t(10	t(10	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	58	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	47	0.025	0.025	NUM
ajbmeb-230	58	48	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	58	49	=	=	SYM
ajbmeb-230	59	1	2.228	2.228	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	2	obs	obs	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	3	x1	x1	DET
ajbmeb-230	59	4	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	5	std	std	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	6	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	7	error	error	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	8	95	95	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	9	%	%	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	10	interval	interval	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	11	2022:01	2022:01	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	12	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	13	1484.26	1484.26	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	14	14.4001	14.4001	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	15	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	16	1452.17	1452.17	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	18	1516.34	1516.34	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	19	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	20	2022:02	2022:02	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	21	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	22	1487.04	1487.04	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	23	14.9026	14.9026	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	24	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	25	1453.84	1453.84	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	27	1520.25	1520.25	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	29	2022:03	2022:03	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	30	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	31	1489.82	1489.82	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	32	15.4568	15.4568	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	33	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	34	1455.38	1455.38	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	36	1524.26	1524.26	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	37	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	38	2022:04	2022:04	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	39	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	40	1492.61	1492.61	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	41	16.0575	16.0575	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	42	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	43	1456.83	1456.83	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	45	1528.39	1528.39	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	46	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	47	2022:05	2022:05	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	48	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	49	1495.39	1495.39	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	50	16.6997	16.6997	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	51	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	52	1458.18	1458.18	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	53	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	54	1532.60	1532.60	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	55	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	56	2022:06	2022:06	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	57	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	58	1498.17	1498.17	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	59	17.3786	17.3786	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	60	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	61	1459.45	1459.45	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	62	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	63	1536.90	1536.90	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	64	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	65	2022:07	2022:07	ADV
ajbmeb-230	59	66	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	67	1500.96	1500.96	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	68	18.0903	18.0903	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	69	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	70	1460.65	1460.65	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	71	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	72	1541.26	1541.26	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	73	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	74	2022:08	2022:08	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	75	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	76	1503.74	1503.74	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	77	18.8309	18.8309	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	78	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	79	1461.78	1461.78	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	80	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	81	1545.70	1545.70	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	82	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	83	2022:09	2022:09	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	84	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	85	1506.52	1506.52	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	86	19.5972	19.5972	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	87	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	88	1462.86	1462.86	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	89	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	90	1550.19	1550.19	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	91	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	92	2022:10	2022:10	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	93	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	94	1509.31	1509.31	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	95	20.3863	20.3863	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	96	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	97	1463.88	1463.88	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	98	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	99	1554.73	1554.73	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	100	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	101	2022:11	2022:11	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	102	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	103	1512.09	1512.09	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	104	21.1957	21.1957	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	105	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	106	1464.86	1464.86	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	107	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	108	1559.32	1559.32	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	109	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	110	2022:12	2022:12	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	111	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	112	1514.87	1514.87	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	113	22.0230	22.0230	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	114	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	115	1465.80	1465.80	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	116	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	117	1563.94	1563.94	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	118	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	119	2023:01	2023:01	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	120	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	121	1517.66	1517.66	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	122	22.8665	22.8665	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	123	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	124	1466.71	1466.71	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	125	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	126	1568.61	1568.61	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	127	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	128	2023:02	2023:02	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	129	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	130	1520.44	1520.44	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	131	23.7243	23.7243	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	132	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	133	1467.58	1467.58	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	134	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	135	1573.30	1573.30	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	136	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	137	2023:03	2023:03	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	138	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	139	1523.22	1523.22	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	140	24.5949	24.5949	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	141	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	142	1468.42	1468.42	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	143	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	144	1578.02	1578.02	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	145	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	146	2023:04	2023:04	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	147	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	148	1526.01	1526.01	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	149	25.4771	25.4771	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	150	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	151	1469.24	1469.24	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	152	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	153	1582.77	1582.77	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	154	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	155	2023:05	2023:05	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	156	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	157	1528.79	1528.79	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	158	26.3696	26.3696	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	159	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	160	1470.03	1470.03	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	161	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	162	1587.54	1587.54	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	163	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	164	2023:06	2023:06	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	165	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	166	1531.57	1531.57	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	167	27.2715	27.2715	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	168	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	169	1470.81	1470.81	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	170	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	171	1592.34	1592.34	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	172	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	173	2023:07	2023:07	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	174	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	175	1534.36	1534.36	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	176	28.1819	28.1819	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	177	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	178	1471.56	1471.56	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	179	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	180	1597.15	1597.15	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	181	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	182	2023:08	2023:08	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	183	undefined	undefine	VERB
ajbmeb-230	59	184	1537.14	1537.14	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	185	29.0999	29.0999	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	186	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	187	1472.30	1472.30	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	188	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	189	1601.98	1601.98	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	190	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	191	2023:09	2023:09	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	192	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	193	1539.92	1539.92	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	194	30.0248	30.0248	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	195	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	196	1473.02	1473.02	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	197	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	198	1606.82	1606.82	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	199	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	200	2023:10	2023:10	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	201	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	202	1542.71	1542.71	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	203	30.9562	30.9562	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	204	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	205	1473.73	1473.73	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	206	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	207	1611.68	1611.68	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	208	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	209	2023:11	2023:11	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	210	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	211	1545.49	1545.49	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	212	31.8933	31.8933	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	213	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	214	1474.43	1474.43	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	215	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	216	1616.55	1616.55	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	217	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	218	2023:12	2023:12	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	219	undefined	undefined	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	220	1548.27	1548.27	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	221	32.8356	32.8356	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	222	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	223	1475.11	1475.11	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	224	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	225	1621.43	1621.43	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	226	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	227	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	228	2	2	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	229	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	230	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	231	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	59	232	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	233	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	59	234	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	59	235	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	236	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	237	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	238	std	std	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	59	239	.	.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	240	error	error	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	241	t	t	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	59	242	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	243	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	244	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	245	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	246	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	247	const	const	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	248	1448.08	1448.08	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	249	7.54769	7.54769	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	250	191.9	191.9	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	251	<	<	X
ajbmeb-230	59	252	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	253	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	254	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	255	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	59	256	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	59	257	2.78322	2.78322	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	258	1.02553	1.02553	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	259	2.714	2.714	NUM
ajbmeb-230	59	260	0.0218	0.0218	NUM
ajbmeb-230	60	1	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	60	2	*	*	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	60	3	mean	mean	VERB
ajbmeb-230	60	4	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	60	5	var	var	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	60	6	1466.167	1466.167	NUM
ajbmeb-230	60	7	s.d	s.d	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	60	8	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	1	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	2	var	var	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	3	15.40858	15.40858	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	4	sum	sum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	5	squared	square	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	6	resid	resid	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	7	1503.946	1503.946	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	8	s.e	s.e	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	9	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	10	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	11	regression	regression	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	12	12.26355	12.26355	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	13	r	r	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	14	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	15	squared	square	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	16	0.424143	0.424143	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	17	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	18	r	r	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	19	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	20	squared	square	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	21	0.366557	0.366557	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	22	f(1	f(1	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	24	10	10	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	25	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	26	7.365424	7.365424	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	27	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	28	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	29	value(f	value(f	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	30	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	31	0.021786	0.021786	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	32	log	log	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	33	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	34	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	35	−46.01291	−46.01291	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	36	akaike	akaike	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	37	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	38	96.02582	96.02582	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	39	schwarz	schwarz	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	40	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	41	96.99563	96.99563	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	42	hannan	hannan	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	43	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	44	quinn	quinn	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	45	95.66676	95.66676	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	46	rho	rho	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	47	0.577355	0.577355	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	48	durbin	durbin	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	49	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	50	watson	watson	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	51	0.721891	0.721891	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	52	american	american	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	53	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	54	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	55	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	56	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	57	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	58	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	59	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	60	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	61	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	62	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	63	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	64	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	65	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	67	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	68	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	69	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	70	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	71	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	72	|	|	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	73	21	21	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	74	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	75	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	76	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	77	table	table	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	78	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	79	figure	figure	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	80	above	above	ADV
ajbmeb-230	61	81	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	82	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	83	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	84	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	85	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	86	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	87	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	88	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	89	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	90	dinar	dinar	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	91	have	have	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	92	been	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	93	predicted	predict	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	94	until	until	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	95	2023	2023	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	96	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	97	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	98	twelfth	twelfth	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	99	month	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	100	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	101	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	61	102	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	103	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	104	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	61	105	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	106	expected	expect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	107	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	108	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	109	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	110	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	111	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	112	1548.27	1548.27	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	113	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	114	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	115	one	one	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	116	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	117	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	118	reach	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	119	its	its	PRON
ajbmeb-230	61	120	current	current	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	121	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	122	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	123	1475	1475	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	124	against	against	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	125	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	126	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	127	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	128	that	that	ADV
ajbmeb-230	61	129	is	is	ADV
ajbmeb-230	61	130	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	131	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	61	132	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	133	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	134	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	135	increase	increase	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	136	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	137	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	138	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	139	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	140	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	141	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	142	current	current	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	143	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	144	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	145	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	146	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	147	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	148	2023	2023	NUM
ajbmeb-230	61	149	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	150	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	151	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	152	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	153	increase	increase	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	154	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	155	work	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	156	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	61	157	increase	increase	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	158	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	159	prices	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	160	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	161	materials	material	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	162	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	61	163	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	164	markets	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	165	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	61	166	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	61	167	requires	require	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	168	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	169	central	central	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	170	bank	bank	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	171	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	172	ministry	ministry	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	61	173	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	61	174	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	175	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	61	176	work	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	177	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	61	178	maintain	maintain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	179	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	61	180	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	181	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	182	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	61	183	certain	certain	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	184	fiscal	fiscal	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	61	185	policies	policy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	61	186	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	1	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	2	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	3	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	4	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	5	after	after	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	6	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	7	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	8	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	9	collected	collect	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	10	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	11	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	12	stability	stability	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	13	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	14	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	15	conducted	conduct	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	16	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	17	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	19	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	20	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	21	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	22	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	23	found	find	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	24	unstable	unstable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	26	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	62	27	work	work	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	28	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	29	done	do	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	30	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	62	31	make	make	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	32	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	33	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	34	stable	stable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	35	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	36	taking	take	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	37	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	38	first	first	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	39	difference	difference	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	40	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	41	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	62	42	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	43	logarithm	logarithm	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	44	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	45	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	47	where	where	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	48	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	49	test	test	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	50	results	result	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	51	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	52	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	53	second	second	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	54	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	55	were	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	56	stable	stable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	57	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	58	then	then	ADV
ajbmeb-230	62	59	work	work	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	60	was	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	61	done	do	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	62	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	62	63	analyze	analyze	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	64	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	65	data	datum	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	66	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	67	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	68	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	69	trend	trend	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	70	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	71	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	72	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	73	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	74	showed	show	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	75	that	that	SCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	76	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	77	rates	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	78	can	can	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	79	reach	reach	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	80	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	81	2023	2023	NUM
ajbmeb-230	62	82	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	83	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	84	twelfth	twelfth	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	85	month	month	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	86	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	87	it	it	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	88	to	to	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	89	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	90	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	91	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	92	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	93	1548.27	1548.27	NUM
ajbmeb-230	62	94	dinars	dinar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	95	per	per	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	96	us	we	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	97	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	98	that	that	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	99	is	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	100	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	101	there	there	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	102	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	103	be	be	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	104	an	an	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	105	increase	increase	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	106	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	107	75	75	NUM
ajbmeb-230	62	108	dinars	dinar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	109	per	per	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	110	dollar	dollar	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	111	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	112	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	113	this	this	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	114	indicates	indicate	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	115	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	116	significant	significant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	117	increase	increase	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	118	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	119	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	120	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	121	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	122	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	123	currency	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	124	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	125	which	which	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	126	will	will	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	127	cause	cause	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	128	significant	significant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	129	losses	loss	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	130	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	131	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	132	local	local	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	133	market	market	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	134	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	135	direct	direct	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	136	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	137	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	138	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	139	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	140	citizen	citizen	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	141	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	62	142	who	who	PRON
ajbmeb-230	62	143	must	must	AUX
ajbmeb-230	62	144	work	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	145	by	by	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	146	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	147	competent	competent	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	148	authorities	authority	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	149	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	62	150	reduce	reduce	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	151	this	this	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	152	price	price	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	153	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	62	154	work	work	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	155	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	62	156	sell	sell	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	157	currencies	currency	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	158	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	62	159	higher	high	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	160	amounts	amount	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	161	to	to	PART
ajbmeb-230	62	162	maintain	maintain	VERB
ajbmeb-230	62	163	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	62	164	current	current	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	62	165	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	166	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	62	167	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	63	1	references	reference	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	63	2	1berk	1berk	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	63	3	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	1	jonathan	jonathan	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	3	peter	peter	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	4	demarzo	demarzo	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	5	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	64	6	jarrad	jarrad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	7	harford	harford	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	9	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	10	fundamentals	fundamental	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	64	11	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	64	12	corporate	corporate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	64	13	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	64	14	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	16	2th	2th	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	17	ed	ed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	18	pearson	pearson	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	19	education	education	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	20	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	21	p.	p.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	64	22	cm	cm	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	64	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	64	24	2012	2012	NUM
ajbmeb-230	64	25	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	1	2brealey	2brealey	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	3	richard	richard	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	4	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	65	5	meyers	meyers	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	7	stewart	stewart	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	8	c.	c.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	9	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	10	principles	principle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	11	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	65	12	corporate	corporate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	65	13	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	15	7th	7th	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	65	16	ed	ed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	17	mcgraw	mcgraw	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	18	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	19	hil	hil	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	20	companies	company	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	21	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	22	2003	2003	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	23	american	american	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	24	journal	journal	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	25	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	65	26	business	business	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	27	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	29	economics	economic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	65	31	banking	banking	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	32	volume	volume	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	33	7	7	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	34	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	35	dec	dec	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	36	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	37	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	38	2022	2022	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	39	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	40	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	65	41	g	g	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	42	e	e	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	43	|	|	ADV
ajbmeb-230	65	44	22	22	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	45	www.americanjournal.org	www.americanjournal.org	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	46	3brealey	3brealey	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	47	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	48	richard	richard	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	49	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	65	50	meyers	meyers	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	52	stewart	stewart	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	53	c.	c.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	55	principles	principle	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	56	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	65	57	corporate	corporate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	65	58	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	59	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	60	7th	7th	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	65	61	ed	ed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	62	mcgraw	mcgraw	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	63	–	–	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	64	hil	hil	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	65	65	companies	company	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	65	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	65	67	2003	2003	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	68	4brigham	4brigham	NUM
ajbmeb-230	65	69	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	1	eugene	eugene	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	2	f	f	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	4	joel	joel	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	6	houston	houston	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	7	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	8	2009	2009	NUM
ajbmeb-230	66	9	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	10	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	11	fundamentals	fundamental	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	12	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	66	13	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	66	14	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	15	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	16	12th	12th	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	17	ed	ed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	19	south	south	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	66	20	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	21	western	western	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	66	22	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	23	u.s.a	u.s.a	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	24	5damodaran	5damodaran	NUM
ajbmeb-230	66	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	26	aswath	aswath	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	27	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	28	2008	2008	NUM
ajbmeb-230	66	29	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	30	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	31	applied	apply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	66	32	corporate	corporate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	66	33	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	34	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	35	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	36	3th	3th	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	37	edition	edition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	38	john	john	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	39	wiley	wiley	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	40	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	66	41	sons	sons	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	42	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	43	inc	inc	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	44	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	46	6ehrhardt	6ehrhardt	NUM
ajbmeb-230	66	47	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	48	m.	m.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	66	49	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	66	50	brigham	brigham	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	52	e.	e.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	66	53	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	54	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	55	2003	2003	NUM
ajbmeb-230	66	56	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	66	57	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	1	“	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	2	corporate	corporate	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	67	3	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	67	4	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	67	5	focused	focused	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	67	6	approach	approach	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	67	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	8	”	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	9	1st	1st	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	67	10	edition	edition	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	67	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	12	mason	mason	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	67	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	67	14	thomson	thomson	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	67	15	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	68	1	7ehrhardt	7ehrhardt	NUM
ajbmeb-230	68	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	1	michael	michael	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	2	c.	c.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	3	brigham	brigham	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	4	eugene	eugene	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	5	f	f	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	7	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	69	8	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	9	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	10	theory	theory	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	11	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	69	12	practice	practice	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	14	southwestern	southwestern	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	16	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	69	17	part	part	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	18	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	69	19	cengage	cengage	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	20	learning	learning	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	21	13th	13th	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	22	ed	ed	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	24	2012	2012	NUM
ajbmeb-230	69	25	8ehrhardt	8ehrhardt	NUM
ajbmeb-230	69	26	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	27	michael	michael	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	28	c.	c.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	29	brigham	brigham	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	30	eugene	eugene	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	31	f	f	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	33	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	69	34	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	35	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	36	theory	theory	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	37	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	69	38	practice	practice	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	39	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	40	southwestern	southwestern	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	42	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	69	43	part	part	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	44	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	69	45	cenga	cenga	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	69	46	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	47	ge	ge	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	48	learning	learn	VERB
ajbmeb-230	69	49	12th	12th	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	69	50	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	69	51	2008	2008	NUM
ajbmeb-230	69	52	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	1	9ehrhardt	9ehrhardt	NUM
ajbmeb-230	70	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	3	michael	michael	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	5	brigham	brigham	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	6	eugene	eugene	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	7	f	f	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	9	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	70	10	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	11	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	12	theory	theory	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	13	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	70	14	practice	practice	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	15	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	16	southwestern	southwestern	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	17	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	18	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	70	19	part	part	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	20	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	70	21	cengage	cengage	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	22	learning	learning	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	23	13th	13th	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	24	ed	ed	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	25	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	26	2012	2012	NUM
ajbmeb-230	70	27	10fisman	10fisman	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	29	raymond	raymond	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	30	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	70	31	inessa	inessa	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	70	32	love	love	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	33	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	34	2011	2011	NUM
ajbmeb-230	70	35	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	37	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	38	trade	trade	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	39	credit	credit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	40	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	41	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	70	42	intermediary	intermediary	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	43	development	development	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	44	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	45	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	70	46	industry	industry	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	47	growth	growth	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	48	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	49	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	50	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	70	51	journal	journal	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	52	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	70	53	finance	finance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	54	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	70	55	vol	vol	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	70	56	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	71	1	lviii	lviii	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	71	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	71	3	no	no	INTJ
ajbmeb-230	71	4	.	.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	71	5	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	71	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	71	7	feb	feb	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	71	8	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	72	1	11fredrik	11fredrik	NUM
ajbmeb-230	72	2	weissenrieder	weissenrieder	ADV
ajbmeb-230	72	3	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	72	4	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	72	5	based	base	VERB
ajbmeb-230	72	6	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	72	7	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	72	8	economic	economic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	72	9	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	72	10	added	add	VERB
ajbmeb-230	72	11	or	or	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	72	12	cash	cash	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	72	13	value	value	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	72	14	added	add	VERB
ajbmeb-230	72	15	?	?	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	1	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	2	december	december	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	73	3	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	73	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	5	1997	1997	NUM
ajbmeb-230	73	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	7	fwc	fwc	X
ajbmeb-230	73	8	ab	ab	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	73	9	study	study	VERB
ajbmeb-230	73	10	no	no	DET
ajbmeb-230	73	11	3	3	NUM
ajbmeb-230	73	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	13	1999	1999	NUM
ajbmeb-230	73	14	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	73	15	p:115	p:115	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	73	16	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	1	12garcía	12garcía	NUM
ajbmeb-230	74	2	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	3	teruel	teruel	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	74	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	74	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	74	7	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	8	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	74	9	martínez	martínez	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	74	10	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	11	solano	solano	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	74	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	13	p.	p.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	74	14	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	15	2010	2010	NUM
ajbmeb-230	74	16	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	74	17	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	75	1	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	75	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	75	3	perspective	perspective	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	75	4	on	on	ADP
ajbmeb-230	75	5	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	75	6	determinants	determinant	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	75	7	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	75	8	accounts	account	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	75	9	payable	payable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	75	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	76	1	rev	rev	VERB
ajbmeb-230	76	2	quant	quant	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	76	3	finan	finan	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	76	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	76	5	acc	acc	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	76	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	76	7	34	34	NUM
ajbmeb-230	76	8	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	76	9	439–457	439–457	NUM
ajbmeb-230	76	10	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	1	doi	doi	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	2	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	3	1007	1007	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	4	/	/	SYM
ajbmeb-230	77	5	s11156	s11156	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	6	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	7	009	009	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	8	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	9	0124	0124	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	10	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	77	11	0	0	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	12	13hill	13hill	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	13	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	14	matthew	matthew	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	15	d.	d.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	16	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	17	kelly	kelly	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	18	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	19	g.	g.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	20	wayne	wayne	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	77	22	lockhart	lockhart	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	23	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	24	g.	g.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	25	brandon	brandon	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	26	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	27	2016	2016	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	28	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	29	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	30	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	31	shareholder	shareholder	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	32	returns	return	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	33	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	77	34	supplying	supply	VERB
ajbmeb-230	77	35	trade	trade	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	36	credit	credit	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	37	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	38	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	39	financial	financial	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	77	40	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	41	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	42	vol	vol	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	43	.	.	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	77	44	41	41	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	45	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	46	no	no	INTJ
ajbmeb-230	77	47	.	.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	48	1	1	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	49	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	50	spring	spring	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	77	51	2016	2016	NUM
ajbmeb-230	77	52	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	53	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	77	54	pp	pp	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	77	55	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	78	1	255	255	NUM
ajbmeb-230	78	2	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	78	3	280	280	NUM
ajbmeb-230	78	4	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	1	14hung	14hung	NUM
ajbmeb-230	79	2	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	3	chih	chih	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	4	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	5	young	young	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	6	&	&	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	79	7	li	li	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	8	-	-	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	9	han	han	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	10	kao	kao	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	11	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	12	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	13	2011	2011	NUM
ajbmeb-230	79	14	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	15	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	16	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	17	style	style	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	18	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	79	19	accounts	account	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	20	receivable	receivable	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	79	21	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	79	22	performance	performance	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	23	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	79	24	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	79	25	firms	firm	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	26	:	:	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	27	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	28	from	from	ADP
ajbmeb-230	79	29	taiwan	taiwan	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	79	30	electronics	electronic	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	31	industry	industry	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	32	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	34	management	management	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	35	review	review	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	36	vol	vol	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	79	37	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	79	38	30	30	NUM
ajbmeb-230	80	1	p	p	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	80	2	143	143	NUM
ajbmeb-230	80	3	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	80	4	148	148	NUM
ajbmeb-230	80	5	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	1	15manaf	15manaf	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	2	youssef	youssef	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	3	hammoud	hammoud	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	5	ahlam	ahlam	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	6	ahmed	ahme	VERB
ajbmeb-230	81	7	gomaa	gomaa	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	8	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	81	9	firas	firas	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	10	ahmed	ahmed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	11	mohamed	mohamed	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	12	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	13	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	14	2019	2019	NUM
ajbmeb-230	81	15	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	16	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	17	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	81	18	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	81	19	time	time	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	81	20	series	series	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	21	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	22	al	al	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	23	-	-	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	24	daad	daad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	25	library	library	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	81	26	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	81	27	publishing	publishing	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	81	28	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	81	29	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	81	30	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	31	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	32	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	81	33	baghdad	baghdad	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	81	34	.	.	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	1	16sahara	16sahara	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	2	hussein	hussein	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	3	zain	zain	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	4	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	5	2018	2018	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	6	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	7	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	8	using	use	VERB
ajbmeb-230	82	9	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	10	arima	arima	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	11	method	method	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	12	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	13	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ajbmeb-230	82	14	money	money	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	15	supply	supply	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	16	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	17	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	18	iraqi	iraqi	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	82	19	economy	economy	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	20	"	"	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	21	gulf	gulf	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	22	economics	economics	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	23	magazine	magazine	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	24	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	25	vol	vol	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	26	35	35	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	27	17wali	17wali	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	28	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	29	sabreen	sabreen	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	30	adnan	adnan	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	31	and	and	CCONJ
ajbmeb-230	82	32	kazem	kazem	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	33	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	34	iman	iman	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	35	alaa	alaa	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	36	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	37	2020	2020	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	38	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	39	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	40	impact	impact	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	41	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	42	exchange	exchange	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	43	rate	rate	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	44	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	45	in	in	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	46	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	47	general	general	ADJ
ajbmeb-230	82	48	budget	budget	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	49	of	of	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	50	iraq	iraq	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	51	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	52	a	a	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	53	case	case	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	54	study	study	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	55	for	for	ADP
ajbmeb-230	82	56	the	the	DET
ajbmeb-230	82	57	period	period	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	58	(	(	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	59	2004	2004	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	60	-	-	SYM
ajbmeb-230	82	61	2018	2018	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	62	)	)	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	63	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	64	hammurabi	hammurabi	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	65	magazine	magazine	PROPN
ajbmeb-230	82	66	,	,	PUNCT
ajbmeb-230	82	67	no	no	INTJ
ajbmeb-230	82	68	.	.	NOUN
ajbmeb-230	82	69	35	35	NUM
ajbmeb-230	82	70	.	.	PUNCT