Iran: Political Economy of an Islamic State b Tahir Amin * Spring 1984 INTRODUCTION Political and economic developments in the post revolutionary Iran present a special dilemma to outside observers in general and to social scientists in particular as many developments do not seem to fit theusual political and economic categories with which the social scientists are normally familiar. As a result, most analysts of contemporary Iran, approaching the reality from the rigidly preconceived conceptual lenses, tend to grossly distort the actual picture. The contemporary situation in Iran is usually portrayed as one of utter chaos and turmoil with little or no hope for any progress in the future.’ It is seen as ruled by “empty- headkid”, “conservative”, “brutal,” and “incompetent” mullahs who are bent upon destroying any signs of progress and civilization. Even the moderate analysts who seem to be less preoccupied with their biases and more cognizant of the new realities, appear to dismiss any long-term consequences of the current changes taking place in contemporary Iran.2 My major objective in the following pages is to develop an alternative image of the same reality. I argue here that slowly and gradually, a new political and economic order is emerging in Iran, whose broad objectives and outlines are clear. A major distinguishing characteristic of this T a h i r Amin is a lecturer in the International Relations Department at the Qaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad ( P a k i i ) and is currently completing his Ph.D. at the Deparhnent cif Political Science at M.I.T. in Cambridge, Mass. He is the author of Z”mhk&l Deelara- tion (1980) and qfghanistan Crisis (1982). ‘A commonly accepted image typically reads as follows: “Iran’s emnomy is a shambles, its political system still wracked by divisiveness and violence. Civil war, territorial disintegration and Soviet penetration are constant possibilities.” See Marvin Zonis, “Iran: A Theory of Revolution from Accounts of the Revolution.” Wortd Politics. p. 588. Also see Terence Smith, “Iran: Five Years of Fanaticism.” The New York Tiwm Magazine, February 12,1984; and Shaul Bakhash, “Iran, Five Years Later, Divided and in Conflict.” The New York Times Magazine, February 12,1984. Theda Skocpol, “Rentier State and Sh’ia Islam in the Iranian Revolution.” Theoly and Society 11, #3 (May 1982). 41 order is its public welfarist orientation with special attention to the lower-middle and lower classes. And this order has the potential of so fundamentally transforming the political scene in Iran in the long run where the old issues and the old actors are most likely to be irrelevant to the new type of politics. Once successful, the political implications of this order will have a much wider effect on the Muslim world than commonly assumed. This paper has four sections. The first section deals with the ideology of the Islamic republic. Examining the ideas of the leading revolutionary thinkers, we shall try to establish a criteria against which the regime’s political and economic performance is to be assessed. The second section of the paper describes the nature of key political and economic institutions established in the aftermath of the revolution and their mode of functioning. The third part of the paper is concerned with the economic performance of the regime over the past five years. We shall assess its performance in two ways: (a) in light of the criteria established in the first part of the paper and (b) a brief comparison of the Islamic Republic’s five year performance with the prerevolutionary Iran’s last five-year plan (1973-1978). The final section of the paper summarizes the major conclusions of this study and also attempts to project a likely future scenario. IDEOLOGY Briefly surveying the thoughts of Imam Khomeini, Ayatullah Mahmood Taleqani, Imam Sadr, and Bani Sadr, we shall elucidate the criteria for assessing the performance of an Islamic Republic. Khomeini Imam Khomeini, in his book Islamic Government, provides a vision of an Islamic society. In his view, Islam is a complete code of life and “there is not a single topic in human life for which Islam has not provided instruction and established a norm”3 Islamic government may therefore, be defined as the “rule of divine law over men”. Recognizing tfie ambiguity of the principle of Vilayeti-faqih (Governance of Jurisprudence) as is generally understood, he thinks that rule by the religious scholars is logically self-evident from the nature of detailed instructions given by Islam and the practice of the holy prophet, Muhammad (Peace be upon him). He asserts:4 . . . the true rulers are thefuqaha themselves, and rulership ought officially to be theirs, to apply to them, not.to those who are obliged to follow the guidance of the fuqaha on account of their own ignorance of the law. 3Ayatullah Khomeini, Islamic Government. Translated by Hamid Algar. Y b i d , p. 34. 42