30 American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) ISSN (Print) 2313-4410, ISSN (Online) 2313-4402 © Global Society of Scientific Research and Researchers http://asrjetsjournal.org/ The Analysis of Factors Influence Catfish Seed (Clarias Gariepenus) Production in Wonogiri District Moedjtahid Djoko Pramonoa, Minar Ferichanib, Endang Siti Rahayuc aPostgraduate Agribusines College Student, Sebelas Maret University, Surakarta, Indonesia b,cFaculty of Agriculture, Sebelas Maret University, Surakarta, Indonesia aEmail : mujtahidpramono@gmail.com bEmail: newminar_jomint@yahoo.co.id cEmail: buendang@yahoo.co.id Abstract This research aimed to: (1) analysis the cost and income of Catfish hatchery farm in Wonogiri District. (2) analysis the influence factors of Catfish hatchery production in Wonogiri District. (3) analysis the efficiency level of feed production, natural food, and labour. The basic method of the research is description analysis method and the conduct of the research is using a census method. This research had conducted in the district of Wonogiri which consists of 45 respondents, analyzed data included hatchery income, R/C ratio, elasticity, efficiency, and multiple linier regression test. The result of the research showed that the relation between factors and hatchery of African Catfish production showed in multiple linier regression model, they are : LnP = 7.472 - 0.047LnX1 + 0.312LnX2 + 0.388LnX3 + 0.304LnX4 + 0.136LnX5 + 0.016LnX6 + 0.108LnD1 + 0.058LnD2. The result of the analysis showed the number of brood stock, feed, natural food, labour, hatchery technology and counseling which were significant influenced in Catfish hatchery production, meanwhile the land area and hatchery process were not really influences to the Catfish hatchery production. The result of the research had obtained the income of Catfish hatchery with the price of Per rupiahs. 2.369.533,-, value of R/C ratio was 2,67, feed production value, natural food, and labour were >1 which showed inefficient, the elasticity value of all independent variable was elastic. Keywords: Income; efficiency production; the Factors of Hatchery Production. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Corresponding author. http://asrjetsjournal.org/ American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 31 1. Introduction African catfish (Clarias gariepenus) is a freshwater fish that has been grown commercially by the people of Indonesia. In addition, to maintain the species, cultivation activities need to be improved in order to meet market demand and the nutritional needs of the community, especially accompanied by high levels of domestic consumption of African catfish which make their business opportunities more open starting from hatchery operations, enlargement to the processing business. According to Susanto in [19], to support the successful cultivation of fish, one of the decisive factors is available for qualified good seed quality, quantity, or continuity. Seeds are available in large quantities but low quality will only burden the farmers enlargement because the result is not balanced with the quantity of feed that has been given. While the seeds have good quality, a limited number will not increase business production enlargement, because there will be a shortage of seeds that quite serious. The problems of African catfish hatchery yield in traditional way are the quality of African catfish hatchery production is not maximized and it is still lacking. This study aims to (1) determine the costs and farm income African catfish hatchery in Wonogiri district, (2) determine the factors that influence the production of African catfish seed in Wonogiri district, (3) determine the efficiency level of production feed, natural feed and labor factors. Hatchery is the initial activity in aquaculture. Without this seeding activity, other activities such as nursery and enlargement will not materialize. It is because the seeds used from nursery activities and grown from hatchery, an outline of hatchery activities include: maintenance of the parent, the parent is ready for spawn, spawning and larval treatment [8]. Land or pool maintenance to be provided by the fish farmer, in addition to soil the land, the water conditions must also be abundant. The location to be used must meet the technical requirements, such as the discharge of water is available and it is not contaminated by waste and easily obtained [20]. Techniques can be done naturally spawning and intensive, but farmers do more spawning in natural and semi-intensive. This is done to save the production costs [20]. Feed is a factor of production whose value can reach 60% of the cost production [10]. Therefore, the feed which has been used must be taken into the quality account and the amount of usage in order to achieve optimal efficiency for the growth of catfish seeds. The terms of good natural food is to have a high nutritional value, easy to obtain, easy to process, easy to digest, non-toxic and the prices are relatively cheap. Natural feed silk worm is most preferred by freshwater fish. Silk worm is very good for the growth of freshwater fish because of its high protein content. The nutritional content of silk worms is 54.72% protein, 13.77% fat, 22.25% carbohydrate [5]. When the application technology adjusted for stage activities, so the application of appropriate technology can be applied starting from the management of the parent, eggs, larvae and seeds [18]. Costs in farming activities are intended to generate high income for the farming activity. By removing the costs, the farmers expect the highest revenue through high production level. Suratiyah in [21] states, costs and revenues are influenced by two factors: internal - external and management factors. American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 32 2. Material and Method The research was conducted in Wonogiri Regency, Central Java Province from March until July 2016. This research method is using a description method of analysis. The research technique used is the method of census data collection method when all elements of the population investigated one by one. In this study, a population that is taken by the researchers was all African catfish farmers in Wonogiri totaling 45 people. Primary data used in this study consisted of: a. Fish farmers revenue and costs production of African catfish hatchery operations consist of the feed cost, natural feed costs, labor costs and other costs that are used in one cycles production of African catfish hatchery. b. Data socioeconomic factors in African catfish farmers consist of education, the respondent's age, education level, work’s experience and hatchery technology usage. 2.1 Farming Systems Analysis The income level of catfish hatchery farming can be expressed in a mathematical equation as follows: TR = Yi x Pi Pd = TR - TC Information : TR = Total Revenue of African Catfish Farmers (Per rupiahs) Yi = Production of Catfish Seed (per head) Pi = Price of Catfish Seed (Per rupiahs/head) Pd = Revenue of African Catfish Farmers (Per rupiahs) TC = Total Cost (expense) (Per rupiahs) 2.2 Efficiency Analysis of Farming System (R/C Ratio) Analysis of R/C ratio can be used as descriptive farming efficiency. To determine the feasibility of African catfish hatchery, the mathematical formula used as follows: American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 33 Information : TR = Total Revenue (receipts) African Catfish Farmers (Per rupiahs) TC = Total Cost (incurred) African Catfish Farmers (Per rupiahs) 2.3 Factor Production Analysis The procedure of analysis in this study is using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation regression model for catfish hatchery production factors. Estimation is using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method that has been done by testing each parameter by calculating the value of the t statistic and the F statistic. To perform multiple linear, the analysis used computer assistance with E views program. The model of the equation as follows: Ln P = lnβ0 + β1lnX1 +β2lnX2 + β3lnX3 + β4lnX4 +β5lnX5 + β6lnX6 + β7lnD1+ β8lnD2 +µ Where : β0 is a constant, β 1, β 2, β 3, β 4, β 5, and β6 is intercept / coefficient, P : Production Of Catfish Hatchery (per head) X1 : Land Area (m2) X2 : Brood stock (per set) X3 : Feed (kg) X4 : Natural Food (per can) X5 : Number of Labor (hours) X6 : Farmers Experience (years) D1 : Figures Technology (Dummy variables using Induced Breeding Technology = 1 Do not use = 0) American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 34 D2 : Extension (Dummy variables obtain counseling = 1, not getting counseling = 0) µ : Error Term 1) Regression Model Test a. The coefficient of determination (R2) b. Test F (F-test) c. Test t (t-test) 2) Classical Assumption Test a. Normality Test b. Heteroscedasticity Test c. Multicolinearity Test d. Autocorrelation Test 2.4 Efficiency Production Analysis To assess whether the use of production factors has achieved economic efficiency or not, the ratio between the value of marginal production and the price of each factor of production with the following formula are using the formula as follows: NPMx1 Pxi Information : NPMxi = Marginal Product Value for production factors xi PXI = Price Production Factors xi In this research, the factors of production in African catfish hatcheries has been analyzed, they are feed, the natural food and labor production factors. So that the value of their production efficiency can be seen. 2.5 Analysis of Elasticity Production Elasticity calculations production can be obtained by the formula: MPPi American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 35 Bi = ----------- APPi By transforming the function of Cobb-Douglass then the regression coefficient (bi) become the elasticity of production. Where: bi <1, means the proportion of input-i addition is beyond proportion addition production. bi =1, means the proportion of input-i addition is equal same with proportion addition production. bi> 1, means the proportion of input-i addition will make proportion addition production more bigger 3. Result 3.1 Characteristics of Catfish Farmers Characteristics of fish farmers is an overview of the background and circumstances which related to African catfish hatchery operations in Wonogiri that are shown in Table 1 Table 1: Characteristics of Catfish Farmers in Wonogiri District No Description Survey Results 1 The number of African Catfish Farmers (people) 45 2 Education of African catfish Farmers a. Not completed primary school (person) 0 b. Junior high school (person) 1 c. Senior high school (person) 36 d. College (Person) 8 3 The average age of African Catfish Farmers (years) 44,87 4 Average number of family members (person) 3 5 Average experience as catfish Farmers (years) 4,7 6 Average land owned (M2) 108,47 Source: Primary Data Analysis, 2016 American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 36 The number of respondents African catfish farmers as many as 45 people. Inadequate number of fish farmers in Wonogiri district due to the geography and limited water resources, it affects the level of productivity of African catfish hatchery operations. In addition, market ability and continuity production is not maximized so farmers relatively not continuous in producing African catfish seed. The average age of African catfish farmers in productive age is about average age of 44.87 years. Productive age population is the population classified by age 15-64 years. According to Rasyaf in [13], that the age between 20-55 years is an age that is still productive, while below 20 years is an age that has not been productive and can be categorized as school age while the age of 55 years productivity level has passed the optimum point and going downhill in line with age. 3.2 Farming Systems analysis Cost of African catfish hatcheries farming in Wonogiri district includes the cost of feed, natural feed, labor, cost of electricity used and the cost of other expenses incurred by farmers African catfish farmers in the districts of Wonogiri Table 2: The cost of production and farmers' income of African catfish farmers Description Value - Average Total Cost of Production (Per rupiahs) - Average feed cost (Per rupiahs) - Averagenatural feed cost (Per rupiahs) - Average labor costs (Per rupiahs) - Average larva production (per head) Prices of larva (Per rupiahs) Average Total Revenue (Per rupiahs) Average Revenue (Per rupiahs) 1.359.956 698.888 398.666 105.777 33.904 110 3.729.489 2.369.533 Source: Primary Data Analysis, 2016 The largest cost in African catfish hatchery business is the feed cost (both natural feed or from the manufacturer). The average feed costs incurred by farmers of African catfish is 698 888, - rupiahs for the cost of feed manufacturers, while natural feed (in the form of silk worms) is 398 666, -rupiahs. Afrianto and Liviawati in [2] the cost of feed used for intensive cultivation which may reach 60% of the total cost of production, American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 37 therefore feeding in the number, frequency and composition must be precisely and efficiently to the growth and survival of fish awake [22]. The avarege income of African catfish farmers is. 3,729,489, - rupiahs per cycle. The average production cost is 1,359,956, - rupiahs and the average of African catfish farmers income is 2,369,533, - rupiahs per period. 3.3 Farming Efficiency Analysis Based on the research, to determine the magnitude of R / C ratio, it depends on the costs incurred and the results obtained. The following table is the result of the analysis of the costs used to determine the amount of efficiencies farming African catfish hatcheries. Table 3: Costs and Income of African catfish hatchery farm in Wonogiri district No Description Farming costs 1 Average Cost of Production (Per rupiahs) 1.359.956 2 The average seed production (per head) 33.904 3 Prices of seeds per head (Per rupiahs) 110 4 Total Revenue(Per rupiahs) 3.729.489 Source: Primary Data Analysis, 2016 The above table shows the value of R/C ratio of 2.74, it means any use of the input 1, - rupiahs with the costs ratio and revenues is 2.74 per unit and per period production. 3.4 Regression Analysis Factors of African Catfish Hatchery Production In estimating the influence of factors production to the production of African catfish seed, this research used Ordinary Least Square (OLS) that has been done by testing each parameter by calculating the value of the t statistic and the F statistic. Regression test is done by the aid of analysis software Eviews 9.0 program. From the test results, it obtained the general equation of the model functions as follows: LnP = 7.472 - 0.047LnX1 + 0.312LnX2 + 0.388LnX3 + 0.304LnX4 + 0.136LnX5 + 0.016LnX6 + 0.108LnD1 + 0.058LnD2 3.5 The coefficient of determination (R2) The coefficient of determination (R2) essentially measures how far the ability of the model to explain variations in the dependent variable [9]. The coefficient of determination is between zero and one. R2 value is small, it means the ability of the independent variables in explaining the variation of the dependent variable is very limited. In this research, the value of R2 (adjusted R-square) of 0.978, which means 97.8 percent of the variation variable seed production can be explained by the variation of the independent variables included in the model, American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 38 while the remaining 2.2% is explained by the variation of other variables not included in the model. Table 4: The Influence of Regression Analysis Factors in African Catfish Seed Production (Clarias gariepenus) in Wonogiri Regency. Sample: 1 45 Included observations: 45 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. P (Production) 7.472995 0.261443 28.58368 0.0000*** LX1 (land area) -0.047232 0.030986 -1.524310 0.1362ns LX2 (broodstock) 0.312600 0.056922 5.491715 0.0000*** LX3 (Feed) 0.388333 0.079467 4.886747 0.0000*** LX4 (Natural Feed) 0.304969 0.089571 3.404767 0.0016** LX5 (Labour) 0.136062 0.052426 2.595335 0.0136** LX6 (Experience Farmers) 0.016431 0.036942 0.444794 0.6591ns D1(Dummy Tehnologi) 0.108746 0.032308 3.365897 0.0018** D2 (Dummy Counceling) 0.058580 0.026389 2.219910 0.0328** R-squared 0.978462 Mean dependent var 10.34527 Adjusted R-squared 0.973676 S.D. dependent var 0.408753 S.E. of regression 0.066319 Akaike info criterion -2.411825 Sum squared resid 0.158335 Schwarz criterion -2.050492 Log likelihood 63.26605 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.277123 F-statistic 204.4342 Durbin-Watson stat 2.023207 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Source: Primary Data Analysis, 2016 Information : ns =non significant 3.6 Test F F-test analysis tool (Table 4) obtained calculated F value of 204.43 with a significance probability of 0.000, is greater than the value of F table 1.39 at α level of 0.05. It shows that all independent variables simultaneously significantly influence the dependent variable at α level of 0.05 or 95% confidence. 3.7 t-Test The t-test used to test the independent variables individually to see whether the independent variables American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 39 individually significant effect on the dependent variable. The t test used is two-sided test, if the t-count value that is greater or smaller than the value of the t-table (-1.68 or 1.68) used (in α 95%), then H0 accepted which means that the independent variable are not exhibited significantly different from zero at α 5%, meaning that the independent variables did not significantly affect the dependent variable on α 95%. Conversely, if the t-count acquired smaller or larger than t-table on α 5% (-1.68 or 1.68), then H0 rejected, which shows that independent variables were significantly different from zero at α 5% means that the independent variable influence significant on the dependent variable on α 5%. T test results of this research variable land area (X1) and experience farmers (X6) did not significantly affect the results of African catfish fish seed production as indicated by the probability value of 0.1362 and 0.6591, while for a number of parents (X2) , the amount of feed (X3), natural feed (X4), labor (X5), the use of technology (D1) and extension (D2) showed highly significant probability values, respectively X2 = 0.0000, X3 = 0.0000, X4 = 0.0016, 0.0136 X5, D1 = D2 = 0.0018 and 0.0328. 3.8 Classical Assumption Test 1. Normality Test Normality test is done in testing by using E views application, (see the residual of the equation with the Jarque- Bera), it is said to have a normal distribution when the value of the Jarque-Bera significantly above 5% and it is not normally distributed if the value of the Jarque-Bera significantly below 5%. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.10 Series: Residuals Sample 1 45 Observations 45 Mean 3.77e-15 Median 0.012301 Maximum 0.110526 Minimum -0.139754 Std. Dev. 0.059988 Skewness -0.303400 Kurtosis 2.471777 Jarque-Bera 1.213547 Probability 0.545107 Figure 1: Graph Normality Test Results Based on Figure 1 shows that the value of JB's equation models were observed to have significant value 1.213 above 0,05, thus, it can be concluded that the model equations were observed to have normal distribution. American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 28, No 1, pp 30-48 40 2. Multicoloniarity Multicoloniarity is a situation where one or more independent variables can be expressed as a linear combination of other free variable. As a result of this kind of relationship can be perfect or imperfect, i.e. by correlating between the explanatory variables, when the correlation is large then it showed signs of multicoloniarity. To determine whether there is multicoloniarity or not, then this research used the method which proposed by Klein L.R. Klein. This method compares r2 Xi, Xj (correlation between each independent variable) with a value R2y Xi, Xj, ...., Xn (coefficient) of the results of OLS regression models. The provisions used to determine the presence or absence of multicoloniarity is; if R2y Xi, Xj, ... .., Xn> r2 Xi, Xj then there is no problem multicoloniarity. If all the coefficient of determination from a simple regression model between the independent variable values is smaller than the coefficient of determination of the OLS model, then it means there is no problem with multicollinearity in the use of estimation OLS model. The test results multicollinearity can be seen below: Table 5: Klein Test Results Nilai R-square Keterangan R2y 0.978462 r2x1 0.825918 R2y > r2x1 r2x2 0.818911 R2y > r2x2 r2x3 0.859422 R2y > r2x3 r2x4 0.812302 R2y > r2x4 r2x5 0.832219 R2y > r2x5 r2x6 0.693682 R2y > r2x6 r2D1 0.620775 R2y > r2D1 r2D2 0.389807 R2y > r2D2 Source: Primary Data Analysis, 2016 3. Heterokedasticity Test (White Test) A good regression model is not going on heteroskedasticity. To determine whether there is heteroskedasticity situation or not, it can be seen in the value of the coefficient α2 above. If the value of the coefficient α2 is not significant (t