138 American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) ISSN (Print) 2313-4410, ISSN (Online) 2313-4402 Β© Global Society of Scientific Research and Researchers http://asrjetsjournal.org/ New Bayesian Lasso Composite Quantile Regression Fadel Hamid Hadi Alhusseini* Department of Statistics and Economic Informatics, University of Craiova, Romania University of Al-Qadiseya , Iraq Email: fadhelfadhel222@yahoo.com Abstract In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian lasso inference scheme for variable selection in composite quantile regression model (C Quantile Reg). The suggested approach is to construct a hierarchical structure within the Gibbs sampling under the assumption that the residual term comes from skew Laplace distribution (asymmetric Laplace distribution) and assign scale mixture uniform (SMU) as prior distributions on the coefficients of composite quantile regression model. Our proposed method was compared to some other existing methods by testing the performance of these methods through simulation studies and real data examples. Keywords: New Bayesian Lasso; Posterior distributions; composite Quantile regression; Scale mixture of uniform. 1. Introduction Since the seminal pioneering work of [11], quantile regression (Q Reg) has become more and more popular in numerous fields of science, for instance, the microarray study [25], agricultural economics [10], ecological studies [8], growth chart [26], etc. In addition, the quantile regression has good properties and it is a suitable regression model to non-normal errors, as quantile regression is more robust compared to ordinary least-square (OLS) regression [12]. QReg is more flexible, thus, it offers an extensive coverage of the response variable and its covariates correlations QReg operates without an assumption about the random error, providing greater statistical efficiency than traditional regression models when the error is non-normal. So far, QReg has proven to be an enhanced model of the conventional regression model. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Corresponding author. http://asrjetsjournal.org/ American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 139 The linear quantile regression model assumes that the response variable π’šπ’šπ’Šπ’Š written as 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 = π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ + π‘₯π‘₯π‘–π‘–π‘‡π‘‡π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ + 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … ,𝑛𝑛 (1) where 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 [𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … . .𝑛𝑛] is response variable πœƒπœƒ is level quantile, and πœƒπœƒ belongs to the open interval (0,1). πœƒπœƒ ∈ (0,1) π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ is the intercept. π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ is vector of unknown parameters π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇 is vector of covariates 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 is the random error term with πœƒπœƒ-th quantile equal to zero The parameters π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ and π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ to the quantile regression model are estimated by solving the following equation: οΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒ 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ,π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ π‘šπ‘šπ‘–π‘–π‘›π‘› (𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯π‘–π‘–π‘‡π‘‡π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ) (2) where πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒ(𝑒𝑒) is the check (loss) function πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒ(𝑒𝑒) = οΏ½ πœƒπœƒπ‘’π‘’ 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 β‰₯ 0 βˆ’(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒ)𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 < 0 (3) Since equation (2) is not differentiable at the origin, there is no exact form of the solution for equation (2) [15]. The minimization of equation (2) can be achieved by a linear programming algorithm [13]. A Bayesian approach enables the exact estimation of quantile regression parameters. One important thing in building a regression model is the selection of the active covariates. The selection process aims to increase the prediction accuracy and to get high interpretation [4]. Recently, there has been considerable attention on regression models that include all covariates and use informative priors to shrink inactive regression coefficients toward zero exactly, for instance, the Lasso method [23], the adaptive Lasso, proposed by [26], dantzig selector [7], Lasso QReg [17] and adaptive Lasso QReg [28]. A comprehensive account of these and other recent methods can be found in the work of [24]. Similarly, from a Bayesian framework, [20] proposed Bayesian Lasso for traditional linear regression models by specifying scale mixture of normal (SMN) prior distributions. Reference [21] proposed Bayesian adaptive Lasso by using different shrinkage parameters. In later approaches, Reference [18] suggested Bayesian Lasso QReg and [4] proposed Bayesian adaptive Lasso Qreg. Some further extensions of the Lasso Qreg models have also been suggested by [5,1,27,29,2], among others. All aforementioned methods were focused on a single quantile level and scale mixture of normal (SMN) priors. [30,6].; proposed methods that focused on composite quantile regression model. [9] proposed a Bayesian approach of composite quantile regression by using scale mixture of normal (SMN) priors. In this paper our proposed method develops a American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 140 Bayesian approach for regularization in linear composite QReg by assigning the scale mixture of uniform (SMU) formulation of the Laplace density. This approach was provided by [19]. In other word, in this paper, we propose a new formulation for Bayesian lasso composite QReg by using the scale mixture of uniform (SMU) formulation. The following sections of this paper are arranged in the following order: section 2 presents New Bayesian lasso composite QReg. In section 3, we perform simulation studies. In section 4, we show a real data example, and the conclusions and recommendations are included in section 5. 2. New Bayesian Lasso Composite QReg 2.1. Bayesian Composite QReg The quantile regression model is focused on modeling the relationship between the response variable and a set of covariates by single quantile level. From known, there are infinite quantile regression lines within πœƒπœƒ ∈ (0,1) or 0 < πœƒπœƒ1,πœƒπœƒ2, … . .πœƒπœƒπ»π» < 1 where H represents different quantiles. But choosing the informative quantile line is challenging and to overcome this problem, the information is used over all quantile lines. [30] introduced the mathematical formula to composite quantile regression model, as follows: π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ1 ,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ2 , … … ,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒβ„Ž ,𝛽𝛽 = οΏ½οΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ1 ,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ2 ,……,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒβ„Ž 𝑀𝑀𝑖𝑖𝑛𝑛 βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽) (4) where β„Ž = 1,2, … . ,𝐻𝐻 π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘›π‘›π‘Žπ‘Ž 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … … ,𝑛𝑛 Hence, the check(loss) function of composite different quantiles takes the following form: πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑒𝑒) = οΏ½ πœƒπœƒβ„Žπ‘’π‘’ 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 β‰₯ 0 βˆ’(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 < 0 (5) The equation (4) is also not differentiable at 0, and the minimization of (4) can be achieved by a linear programming algorithm [14]. It is possible to estimate the parameters of composite quantile regression by using a Bayesian approach through a new Gibbs sampler and this is our proposed method to posterior distributions. [28] noted that the random error of quantile is close to asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD). 𝑖𝑖𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴(𝑒𝑒|πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) = πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) 𝜎𝜎 expοΏ½πœŽπœŽβˆ’1πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑒𝑒)οΏ½ βˆ’βˆž < π‘₯π‘₯ < ∞ (6) The function of asymmetric Laplace distribution with a scale parameter equal to 1 is American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 141 𝑖𝑖𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴(𝑒𝑒|𝜎𝜎,πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) = πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) expοΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑒𝑒)οΏ½ βˆ’βˆž < π‘₯π‘₯ < ∞ (7) With mean 𝐸𝐸(𝑒𝑒) = (1βˆ’2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž ) πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1βˆ’πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) and the variance π‘£π‘£π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘£π‘£ (𝑒𝑒) = οΏ½1βˆ’2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž βˆ’2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž 2οΏ½ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1βˆ’πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) The joint distribution of response variable = (𝑦𝑦1,𝑦𝑦2, … … ,𝑦𝑦𝑛𝑛)𝑇𝑇 , given 𝑋𝑋 = (π‘₯π‘₯1, π‘₯π‘₯2, … . , π‘₯π‘₯𝑛𝑛)𝑇𝑇 , 𝛼𝛼 = οΏ½π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ1 ,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ2 , … … ,π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒβ„ŽοΏ½ 𝑇𝑇 and 𝛽𝛽 = (𝛽𝛽1,𝛽𝛽2, … . .π›½π›½π‘˜π‘˜)𝑇𝑇 for composite quantile regression is: 𝑖𝑖𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴(𝑦𝑦|𝑋𝑋,𝛼𝛼,𝛽𝛽) = οΏ½πœƒπœƒβ„Žπ‘›π‘›(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Žπ‘›π‘›) expοΏ½οΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑦𝑦 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽) 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 οΏ½ 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 (8) Hence, maximizing the likelihood function of response variable 𝑦𝑦 in equation (8) is equivalent to minimizing equation (4). It is very difficult to use the likelihood function of response variable 𝑦𝑦 directly, because of the mixture of H components. Following [9], we employ a cluster assignment matrix 𝐢𝐢 with its (𝑖𝑖, β„Ž)π‘‘π‘‘β„Ž element, πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž taking two values: one (πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž = 1) if π‘–π‘–π‘–π‘–β„Ž subject belongs to the β„Ž π‘–π‘–β„Ž cluster, or zero (πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž = 0) if the element πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž is treated like missing value. Therefore, our likelihood takes the following form: 𝑖𝑖𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴(𝑦𝑦|𝑋𝑋,𝛼𝛼,𝛽𝛽) = οΏ½οΏ½οΏ½πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž) expοΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒβ„Ž(𝑦𝑦 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽)οΏ½οΏ½ πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 (9) Recently, [16] reformulated the distribution of the (ALD) as a mixture of normal distributions (SMN). More specifically, the random error is equal to 𝑒𝑒 = 𝜁𝜁1β„Žπ‘§π‘§π‘–π‘– + 𝜁𝜁2β„ŽοΏ½π‘§π‘§π‘–π‘– πœ–πœ–, where 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖~𝐸𝐸π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸[πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)] and πœ–πœ– is distributed standard normal distribution, πœ–πœ–~𝑁𝑁(0,1). Therefore, the random error 𝑒𝑒 is distributed normal distribution with mean ((1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 and variance (2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖), 𝑒𝑒~𝑁𝑁(οΏ½(1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 , 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖� . As a result, the response variable 𝑦𝑦 is distributed normal distribution with mean (π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž + π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽 + (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖) and variance (2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖). ,𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖|π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž,𝛽𝛽, 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖~𝑁𝑁(π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž + π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽 + (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 , 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖). According to the formulation of [16], our Bayesian composite quantile regression can be written as: 𝑖𝑖(𝑦𝑦|𝑋𝑋, 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 ,𝛽𝛽,π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž ,𝐢𝐢) = οΏ½οΏ½ 1 οΏ½4πœ‹πœ‹π‘§π‘§π‘–π‘– οΏ½ πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Žπ‘›π‘› 𝑖𝑖=1 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸 οΏ½βˆ’ 1 2 οΏ½οΏ½ πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž(𝑦𝑦 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽 βˆ’ (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖) 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 οΏ½ (10) Under the of formulation equation (10), the composite quantile regression coefficients have good features for constructing a good and efficient Gibbs sampler algorithm. 2.2. New Bayesian Lasso Composite QReg (new B C QReg) [23] proposed a new method of estimation and variables selection in linear regression model, known as lasso (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) . In the same context [23] mentioned Bayesian lasso in linear regression model is possible under assigned Laplace distribution as priors for the 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗. [12] proposed lasso American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 142 quantile regression that takes the following formula: οΏ½πœŒπœŒπœƒπœƒ 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 ,π›½π›½πœƒπœƒ π‘šπ‘šπ‘–π‘–π‘›π‘› (𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όπœƒπœƒ βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽) + πœ†πœ†οΏ½|𝛽𝛽|οΏ½ (11) where πœ†πœ†(πœ†πœ† β‰₯ 0) is the tuning parameter. [18] suggested Bayesian Lasso for linear quantile regression model by assigning Laplace prior for the 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗.The probability density function takes the specification of the form: πΈπΈοΏ½π›½π›½π‘—π‘—οΏ½πœ†πœ†οΏ½ = πœ†πœ† 2 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸[βˆ’πœ†πœ†|𝛽𝛽|] (12) It is difficult to use equation (12) directly in the estimation of the model parameters. Therefore, most researchers in the field of Bayesian lasso regression models use the transformation Laplace distribution to the scale mixture normal. The works of [20]; [17]; [4] and [9] are relevant. In this paper, we develop an alternative hierarchical Bayesian model by using a new lasso technique. According to the proposal of [19] the Laplace prior distribution on coefficients (Ξ²j) can be written as: πœ†πœ† 2 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸[βˆ’πœ†πœ†|𝛽𝛽|] = οΏ½ 1 2𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 πœ†πœ†2 Ξ“(2) 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗2βˆ’1 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯πΈπΈοΏ½βˆ’πœ†πœ†π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—οΏ½ π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘—π‘— (13) . 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗>|𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗| = οΏ½ πœ†πœ†2 2 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯πΈπΈοΏ½βˆ’πœ†πœ†π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—οΏ½ π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘—π‘— . 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗>|𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗| where Ξ“(2) = (2 βˆ’ 1)! = 1 = πœ†πœ† 2 2 οΏ½ π‘’π‘’π‘’π‘’π‘’π‘’οΏ½βˆ’πœ†πœ†π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—οΏ½ βˆ’πœ†πœ† οΏ½ |𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗| ∞ = πœ†πœ† 2 2 �𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒{βˆ’πœ†πœ†βˆž} βˆ’πœ†πœ† + 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒{βˆ’πœ†πœ†|𝛽𝛽|} βˆ’πœ†πœ† οΏ½ = πœ†πœ†2 2 οΏ½0 + 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒{βˆ’πœ†πœ†|𝛽𝛽|} βˆ’πœ†πœ† οΏ½ = πœ†πœ† 2 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸[βˆ’πœ†πœ†|𝛽𝛽|] where sj is a mixing variable. Our Bayesian hierarchical model can be formulated as below after assigning Gamma priors on πœ†πœ†. 𝑖𝑖(𝑦𝑦|𝑋𝑋, 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 ,𝛽𝛽,π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž,𝐢𝐢) = οΏ½οΏ½ 1 οΏ½4πœ‹πœ‹π‘§π‘§π‘–π‘– οΏ½ πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Žπ‘›π‘› 𝑖𝑖=1 𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸 οΏ½βˆ’ 1 2 οΏ½οΏ½ πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž(𝑦𝑦 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽 βˆ’ (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖) 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 οΏ½ 𝐸𝐸(π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž) ∝ 1 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖~𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸{πœƒπœƒβ„Ž(1 βˆ’ πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)}, American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 143 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗|𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗~π‘ˆπ‘ˆπ‘›π‘›π‘–π‘–π‘–π‘–π‘ˆπ‘ˆπ‘£π‘£π‘ˆπ‘ˆ οΏ½βˆ’π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘— , 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗�, 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗|πœ†πœ† ~πΊπΊπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ˆπ‘ˆπ‘ˆπ‘ˆπ‘Žπ‘Ž(2, πœ†πœ†) , (14) πœ†πœ†~πœ†πœ†π‘Žπ‘Žβˆ’1𝑒𝑒π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸(βˆ’π‘π‘πœ†πœ†) . where π‘Žπ‘Ž, 𝑏𝑏 are hyperparameter. 2.2.1. Posterior Computation Inference The Bayesian theory is used for the conditional posterior distribution for the parameters of the model by combining two different sources of information. The first source is the likelihood function of response variable 𝑦𝑦 in equation (10) and the second source is a set of prior distributions to model parameters in equation (14). The Bayesian hierarchical in (10) and (14) produces posterior distributions οΏ½π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž,𝛽𝛽, 𝑧𝑧 = (𝑧𝑧1, 𝑧𝑧2, … . , 𝑧𝑧𝑛𝑛)𝑇𝑇 , 𝑠𝑠 = (𝑠𝑠1, 𝑠𝑠2, … . , 𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑒)𝑇𝑇 , πœ†πœ† π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘›π‘›π‘Žπ‘Ž 𝐢𝐢�. A simple and efficient Gibbs sampler algorithm is as follows: - Updating 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 -the full conditional distribution of each 𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 foe 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … … 𝑛𝑛, 𝐼𝐼𝑛𝑛𝑣𝑣𝐺𝐺(𝛿𝛿𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇 ,πœ‘πœ‘π‘–π‘–π‘‡π‘‡) , where πœ‘πœ‘π‘‡π‘‡ = βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Ž 𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 2 and 𝛿𝛿𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇 = οΏ½ βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Žπ»π» β„Ž=1 2 βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Ž (𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽)2𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 2 = οΏ½ βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Žπ»π» β„Ž=1 βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Ž (𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽)2𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 οΏ½ - Updating π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž - the full conditional distribution of each π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž foe β„Ž = 1,2, … …𝐻𝐻, 𝑖𝑖𝑠𝑠 𝑁𝑁(π›Όπ›ΌοΏ½β„Ž,πœŽπœŽοΏ½β„Ž2), π›Όπ›ΌοΏ½β„Ž = οΏ½πœŽπœŽοΏ½β„Ž 2 βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Ž [𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽 βˆ’ (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖) 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 οΏ½ οΏ½, πœŽπœŽοΏ½β„Ž2 = οΏ½βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Ž 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 οΏ½ βˆ’1 - Updating 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗 - the full conditional distribution of each 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗 for 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … … π‘˜π‘˜, 𝑖𝑖𝑠𝑠 𝑁𝑁(𝛽𝛽�𝑗𝑗 ,πœŽπœŽοΏ½π‘—π‘—2), where: 𝛽𝛽�𝑗𝑗 = οΏ½ πœŽπœŽοΏ½π‘—π‘—2 βˆ‘ βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Žπ‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗�𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž βˆ’ (1 βˆ’ 2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 βˆ’ βˆ‘ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗𝑙𝑙≠𝑗𝑗 𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗�𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 οΏ½ οΏ½ 𝐼𝐼�|𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗| ≀ 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗� and πœŽπœŽοΏ½π‘—π‘—2 = οΏ½ βˆ‘ βˆ‘ π‘π‘π‘–π‘–β„Žπ‘’π‘’π‘–π‘–π‘—π‘— 2𝐻𝐻 β„Ž=1 𝑛𝑛 𝑖𝑖=1 2𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 + π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—βˆ’1οΏ½ βˆ’1 . Updating 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 -the full conditional distribution of 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 is a left-truncated exponential distribution given by American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 144 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗~𝐸𝐸π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸(πœ†πœ†)𝐼𝐼�𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 > |𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗|οΏ½ . for 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … … π‘˜π‘˜,. Updating 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 can be done by using inversion method [19] as follows: 1-Update π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—βˆ— from 𝐸𝐸π‘₯π‘₯𝐸𝐸(πœ†πœ†) 2- Set 𝑠𝑠𝑗𝑗 = π‘ π‘ π‘—π‘—βˆ— + |𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗|. Updating πœ†πœ†π‘—π‘— - the full conditional distribution of each πœ†πœ†π‘—π‘— for 𝑗𝑗 = 1,2, … … π‘˜π‘˜,.is Gamma οΏ½π‘Žπ‘Ž + 2π‘˜π‘˜, 𝑏𝑏 + βˆ‘ |𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗|π‘˜π‘˜ 𝑗𝑗=1 οΏ½. Updating 𝐢𝐢 - the full conditional distribution of each 𝐢𝐢𝑖𝑖 = (𝐢𝐢𝑖𝑖1,𝐢𝐢𝑖𝑖2, ,πΆπΆπ‘–π‘–β„Ž)𝑇𝑇 is multinomial distribution with οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½πΈβ„Ž = exp ⎝ ⎜ βŽ›βˆ’οΏ½π‘¦π‘¦π‘–π‘–βˆ’π›Όπ›Όβ„Žβˆ’π‘’π‘’π‘–π‘– π‘‡π‘‡π›½π›½βˆ’(1βˆ’2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖� 2 4𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 οΏ½ ⎠ ⎟ ⎞ βˆ‘ exp ⎝ ⎜ βŽ›βˆ’οΏ½π‘¦π‘¦π‘–π‘–βˆ’π›Όπ›Όβ„Žβˆ’π‘’π‘’π‘–π‘– π‘‡π‘‡π›½π›½βˆ’(1βˆ’2πœƒπœƒβ„Ž)𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖� 2 4𝑧𝑧𝑖𝑖 οΏ½ ⎠ ⎟ βŽžπ‘€π‘€ π‘šπ‘š=1 After updating the model parameters as illustrated above, an efficient Gibbs sampler results for building (MCMC) algorithm for parameters estimation [π›Όπ›Όβ„Ž,𝛽𝛽, 𝑧𝑧, 𝑠𝑠, πœ†πœ† π‘Žπ‘Žπ‘›π‘›π‘Žπ‘Ž 𝐢𝐢]. Our algorithm is run for 11000 iterations. The first 1000 iterations were discarded as burn-in. 3. Simulation studies In this section, the behavior of our proposed method is assessed by simulation studies. To evaluate our method, a comparison is performed, using a set of methods: Bayesian Lasso quantile regression proposed by [18] and classical frequentist approach using the R function rq() in the R package quantreg. The methods are assessed based on two criteria - median of mean absolute deviations (MMAD), where MMAD = median mean οΏ½οΏ½π‘₯π‘₯π‘–π‘–π‘‡π‘‡π›½π›½πΈπΈπ‘ π‘ π‘‘π‘‘π‘–π‘–π‘šπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘‘π‘’π‘’πΈπΈ βˆ’ π‘₯π‘₯𝑖𝑖𝑇𝑇𝛽𝛽𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒��, and standard deviation (SD) of the MADs. In this approach, we chose a set 𝐻𝐻 = 3 (three quantile levels, as follows: πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 is the low quantile level, πœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 is the middle quantile level and πœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 is the high quantile level) for each simulation study. The error terms generated from four distributions are standard normal distribution 𝑁𝑁(0,1), πœ’πœ’(3) 2 distribution with three degrees of freedom mixture normal distribution 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖~ 1 2 𝑁𝑁 (0,1) + 1 2 𝑁𝑁(1,1) and mixture Laplace distribution 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖~ 1 2 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘ŽπΈπΈπΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘’π‘’ (0,1) + 1 2 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘ŽπΈπΈπΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘’π‘’(1,1). Our algorithm is run 11000 iterations and the first 1000 are discarded as the burn-in. To assess the performance of our proposed method, we used three approaches. 3.1 The First Approach American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 145 In this section, the simulated study is done with a very sparse case. This is clear from true parameters values, 𝛽𝛽 = (1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0)𝑇𝑇. Therefore, the true model becomes as follows: 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 = 0 + π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 + 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 , 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … … . .100 We simulate eight covariates ( π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯2𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯3𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯4𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯5𝑖𝑖 ,π‘₯π‘₯6𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯7𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯8𝑖𝑖) from a multivariate normal distribution 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁8(πœ‡πœ‡, Ξ£), where πœ‡πœ‡ is mean vector πœ‡πœ‡ πœ–πœ– 𝑅𝑅𝑛𝑛 and Ξ£ is covariance matrix with (Σ𝑒𝑒)𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗 = (2βˆ’1)|π‘–π‘–βˆ’π‘—π‘—| . 3.2 The Second Approach The simulated study is done with a very dense case. This is obvious from true parameters values 𝛽𝛽 = (0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85, 0.85)𝑇𝑇. Therefore, the true model becomes as follows: 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 = 0.85π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯2𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯3𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯4𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯5𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯6𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯7𝑖𝑖 + 0.85π‘₯π‘₯7𝑖𝑖 + 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 , 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … … . .100 We simulated eight covariates (π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯2𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯3𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯4𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯5𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯6𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯7𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯8𝑖𝑖) from a multivariate normal distribution 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁8(πœ‡πœ‡, Ξ£), where πœ‡πœ‡ is mean vector πœ‡πœ‡ πœ–πœ– 𝑅𝑅𝑛𝑛 and Ξ£ is covariance matrix with (Σ𝑒𝑒)𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗 = (2βˆ’1)|π‘–π‘–βˆ’π‘—π‘—| . 3.3 The Third Approach The simulated study is done with group structures. This is obvious from true parameters values 𝛽𝛽 = [(0,0,0), (2,2,2), (0,0,0), (2,2,2), (0,0,0)]𝑇𝑇. Therefore, the true model takes the formula below: 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖 = 2π‘₯π‘₯4𝑖𝑖 + 2π‘₯π‘₯5𝑖𝑖 + 2π‘₯π‘₯6𝑖𝑖 + 2π‘₯π‘₯10𝑖𝑖 + 2π‘₯π‘₯11𝑖𝑖 + 2π‘₯π‘₯12𝑖𝑖 + 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 , 𝑖𝑖 = 1,2, … … . .100 where the covariates are simulated. π‘₯π‘₯1𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯2𝑖𝑖 ,π‘₯π‘₯3𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯4𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯5𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯6𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯7𝑖𝑖 , π‘₯π‘₯8𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯9𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯10𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯11𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯12𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯13𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯14𝑖𝑖,π‘₯π‘₯15𝑖𝑖) according to a multivariate Gaussian distribution 𝑋𝑋~𝑁𝑁15(πœ‡πœ‡, Ξ£), where πœ‡πœ‡ is mean vector πœ‡πœ‡ πœ–πœ– 𝑅𝑅𝑛𝑛 and Ξ£ is covariance matrix with (Σ𝑒𝑒)𝑖𝑖𝑗𝑗 = (2βˆ’1)|π‘–π‘–βˆ’π‘—π‘—| . Table 1 shows the results of (MMAD) and (SD) averaged over 100 independent simulations for the three methods under comparison, via three quantile levels. The method proposed (the New Lasso CQ Reg) displays better results than the rq and πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ 𝑁𝑁 methods, as can be seen in Table 1. In case of MMAD, for all considered distributions, the values are much smaller when New Lasso CQ Reg in employed, compared to rq and πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ 𝑁𝑁 methods. In case of SD, the values are also smaller than for the other two methods, for different distributions. Taking into consideration these aspects, the New Lasso CQ Reg has superior performance compared to the other two American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 146 methods under test. Table 1: Summary of MMAD and 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 values. The results are averaged over one hundred simulated data set for the methods under comparison. Error distributions Methods 𝑁𝑁(0,1) πœ’πœ’(3) 2 Normal mixture Laplace mixture First approach π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.929 (0.870) 2.776(0.345) 2.513 (0.663) 2.067(1.013) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 2.160(0.588) 3.154(0.264) 2.614 (0.566) 2.218(0.891) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 2.513(0.661) 3.744(0.428) 2.959 (0.510) 2.678(0.772) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.411(0.599) 2.113(0.343) 1.847 (0.483) 1.476(0.821) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 1.932(0.606) 2.933(0.375) 2.434 (0.474) 2.031(0.781) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 2.415 (0.626) 3.653(0.414) 2.889 (0.442) 2.483 (0.758) New Lasso CQ Reg 0.902(0.200) 0.560(0.174) 0.715 (0.215) 0.741(0.310) Second approach π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.698 (0.171) 2.520(0.338) 2.018 (0.384) 2.007(0.156) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 1.959 (0.258) 2.987 (0.409) 2.375 (0.295) 2.329 (0.161) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 2.256 (0.268) 3.681 (0.948) 2.724 (0.432) 2.741 (0.301) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.264 (0.216) 1.858 (0.932) 1.546 (0.337) 1.431 (0.186) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 1.736 (0.258) 2.754 (0.287) 2.104 (0.318) 2.057 (0.235) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 2.142 (0.309) 3.560 (0.437) 2.592 (0.408) 2.647 (0.331) New Lasso CQ Reg 0.765 (0.106) 0.703 (0.122) 0.621 (0.124) 0.596 (0.331) Third approach π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 0.930 (0.841) 3.446 (0.410) 2.752(1.071) 2.813(0.689) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 0.876 (0.667) 4.005 (0.425) 3.200 (1.020) 3.209(0.508) π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 0.837 (0.777) 4.845 (0.504) 3.927 (0.758) 3.777(0.631) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 0.851(0.769) 2.623 (0.357) 2.090 (1.020) 2.221(0.522) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 0.885(0.704) 3.594 (0.361) 2.923 (0.959) 2.981(0.551) πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 0.869(0.686) 4.707 (0.411) 3.851 (0.814) 3.719(0.683) New Lasso CQ Reg 0.373(0.420) 1.089 (0.307) 1.496 (0.268) 1.157(0.352) The standard deviations of the MAD are mentioned in parentheses. The Table 2 provides additional criteria that represent the parameters estimation in direct way. As can be observed in the table, the parameters estimation through our proposed method (New Lasso CQ Reg) was very close to true parameters comparison with rq and πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ 𝑁𝑁 methods. Therefore, the proposed method (New Lasso CQ Reg) has performed better than rq and πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ 𝑁𝑁 methods. American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 147 Table 2: Posterior means for simulation of the first approach via three quantile levels and four error distribution; the results are averaged over 100 simulations Error distribution Method 𝜷𝜷�𝟏𝟏 𝜷𝜷�𝟐𝟐 πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ‘πŸ‘ πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ’πŸ’ πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ“πŸ“ πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ”πŸ” πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ•πŸ• πœ·πœ·οΏ½πŸ–πŸ– 𝑡𝑡(𝟎𝟎,𝟏𝟏) True parameters 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 -0.882 1.807 -0.384 -0.157 0.878 0.192 0.237 0.340 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 -1.035 2.320 -0.717 -0.613 1.392 0.043 0.253 0.331 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 -2.135 3.572 -1.852 -0.402 1.707 0.130 0.377 0.114 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 -0.686 1.790 -0.481 0.105 0.978 0.238 0.475 0.366 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 -1.301 2.535 -1.061 -0.184 1.414 0.116 0.444 0.387 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 -2.230 3.333 -1.952 -0.186 1.642 0.374 0.126 0.464 New Lasso CQ Reg 0.970 0.017 0.002 0.121 0.009 0.003 0.044 0.145 𝝌𝝌(πŸ‘πŸ‘) 𝟐𝟐 True parameters 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.377 0.465 0.469 -0.784 1.954 1.366 -0.135 0.361 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 1.358 0.096 1.747 -2.080 1.971 1.936 -0.207 1.341 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 0.148 0.129 2.381 -1.942 3.008 2.265 -0.887 1.119 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 2.105 -0.021 0.992 -1.269 1.646 1.081 -0.307 0.662 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 1.383 0.009 1.663 -1.821 2.398 1.724 -0.637 0.987 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 0.198 0.322 2.366 -2.179 2.764 2.410 -1.041 1.075 New Lasso CQ Reg 1.242 0.065 0.285 0.342 0.183 0.283 0.218 0.327 Mixture Normal True parameters 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 1.275 0.288 0.290 -0.137 0.752 -0.234 1.014 -0.769 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 2.012 0.682 -0.410 0.283 1.378 -0.732 1.921 -1.356 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 1.539 1.335 -0.182 -0.472 1.582 -1.698 3.037 -1.573 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 2.489 0.631 -0.109 -0.083 0.856 -0.755 1.353 -0.901 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 2.116 0.885 -0.346 -0.036 1.271 -1.055 2.029 -1.186 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 1.715 1.286 -0.348 -0.234 1.579 -1.448 2.762 -1.413 New Lasso CQ Reg 1.244 0.121 0.026 0.238 0.131 0.160 0.234 0.070 Mixture Laplace True parameters 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 5.050 0.120 -1.650 1.393 0.807 0.301 -1.553 0.523 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ2 = 0.55 5.046 -0.100 -1.558 2.040 0.929 -0.172 -1.443 0.450 π‘£π‘£π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπœƒπœƒ3 = 0.85 5.554 -0.689 -0.967 2.502 0.951 -0.694 -1.950 0.669 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.25 5.265 -0.373 -0.609 1.167 -0.146 -0.971 -0.971 0.393 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.55 5.285 -0.584 -0.924 1.858 0.740 -0.288 -1.447 0.489 πΏπΏπ‘Žπ‘Žπ‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ˆπ‘ˆ π‘π‘πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.85 5.346 -0.846 -0.999 2.426 0.943 -0.608 -1.941 0.618 New B Lasso CQ Reg 0.159 0.110 0.464 0.322 0.037 0.191 0.350 0.120 American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 148 Figure 1 provides a clear vision about table 2. Figure 1: Bar chart summarizing the parameters of the studied methods close to true parameters American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 149 4. Real data example In this section, we apply the three methods to prostate cancer data, first analysed by [22]. It was also analyzed using the model selection in quantile regression model by [3]. These data exist within "bayesQR" package in R. The sample size of prostate cancer data was of 97 observations, the response variable is the level of prostate antigen referred to as (lpsa) and there are eight covariates. These covariates are π‘₯π‘₯1 logarithm of cancer amount, referred to as (lcavol), π‘₯π‘₯2 logarithm of the weight of prostate, referred to as (lweight), π‘₯π‘₯3 age , π‘₯π‘₯4 logarithm of the volume of benign enlargement of the prostate, referred to as (lbph), π‘₯π‘₯5 seminal vesicle invasion, referred to as (svi), π‘₯π‘₯6 logarithm of Capsular penetration in prostate cancer, referred to as (lcp ), π‘₯π‘₯7 Gleason score, referred to as (gleason) and π‘₯π‘₯8 percentage of Gleason scores 4 or 5, referred to as (pgg45). We applied a new Bayesian lasso composite quantile regression (New B Lasso CQ Reg) to the prostate cancer data and considered H=5 so that πœƒπœƒβ„Ž = [0.16 , 0.33, 0.50 , 0.66 ,0.83] π‘€π‘€β„Žπ‘’π‘’π‘£π‘£π‘’π‘’ β„Ž = 1,2,3,4,5) 𝑣𝑣𝑒𝑒𝑠𝑠𝐸𝐸𝑒𝑒𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑣𝑣𝑒𝑒𝐿𝐿𝑦𝑦 . Modeling the relationship between response variable and the covariates via the three methods is summarized in Table 3. Table 3: Parameter estimates via the three methods in the comparison rq 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑡𝑡 New B Lasso CQ Reg Variables πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.16 πœƒπœƒ2 = 0.33 πœƒπœƒ3 = 0.50 πœƒπœƒ4 = 0.66 πœƒπœƒ5 = 0.83 πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.16 πœƒπœƒ2 = 0.33 πœƒπœƒ3 = 0.50 πœƒπœƒ4 = 0.66 πœƒπœƒ5 = 0.83 M=5 Intercept -0.521 -0.152 -0.057 0.170 0.519 -0.800 -0.305 -0.0003 0.291 0.763 0.459 lcavol 0.742 0.607 0.543 0.513 0.633 0.648 0.607 0.571 0.563 0.559 0.241 lweight 0.273 0.270 0.238 0.156 -0.007 0.227 0.245 0.219 0.185 0.162 0.155 age -0.059 -0.169 -0.172 -0.133 -0.037 -0.093 -0.122 -0.140 -0.139 -0.119 0.152 lbph 0.042 0.182 0.201 0.182 0.183 0.144 0.164 0.168 0.153 0.121 0.208 svi 0.341 0.243 0.286 0.259 0.309 0.211 0.261 0.292 0.308 0.335 0.252 lcp -0.349 -0.176 -0.158 -0.087 -0.112 -0.258 -0.223 -0.164 -0.101 -0.024 0.308 gleason -0.041 0.046 0.127 0.032 -0.073 -0.023 0.005 0.032 0.040 0.041 0.114 pgg45 0.318 0.153 0.099 0.115 0.085 0.214 0.195 0.147 0.106 0.071 0.108 The parameter estimates in Table 3 are used to calculate the mean square error (MSE), as shown in table 4. American Scientific Research Journal for Engineering, Technology, and Sciences (ASRJETS) (2017) Volume 29, No 1, pp 138-152 150 Table 4: Mean square error (MSE) for the three methods Methods πœƒπœƒ1 = 0.16 πœƒπœƒ2 = 0.33 πœƒπœƒ3 = 0.50 πœƒπœƒ4 = 0.66 πœƒπœƒ5 = 0.83 rq 9.487 7.401 6.912 5.820 5.358 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑡𝑡 11.247 8.234 6.618 5.252 5.412 New B Lasso CQ Reg 5.077 Table 4 shows the value of (MSE) with our proposed method (New B Lasso CQ Reg). This value is 5.077. Table 4 also indicates the results of (MSE) for the rq and 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑡𝑡 methods. The (MSE) calculated by our proposed method (New B Lasso CQ Reg) is much smaller than the (MSE) calculated by rq and 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑡𝑡 methods. This indicates that our proposed method performs better than the rq and 𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑡𝑡 methods for all selected quantile levels. 5. 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