Daily Situation Report on Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Iran 
                  March 15, 2020 

National Committee on 
COVID-19 Epidemiology 
 
Ministry of Health and Medical 
Education, IR Iran 

 

 
Total lab-confirmed cases 
13,938 
 

Total associated deaths 
724 
 

Total recovered cases 
4,590 
 

New cases 
1,209 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Top 3 Provinces Based on Recovery Rate* 

 Markazi (1st) 

 Semnan (2nd) 

 Kordestan (3rd)  

 
Age Groups with Highest Recovery Rate* 

 40-49 years (1st) 

 30-40 years (2nd)   

Deaths Recovered  

  Age (Year) 

65.5 51    Mean 

67 50    Median  

3 < 1    Minimum 

97 91    Maximum 

  Gender  

59% 58%    Male 

41% 42%    Female 

 
Based on available data, we considered patients with death outcome, as well as those 
admitted to ICU or under mechanical ventilation as more severe cases. The information 
in this chart is based on hospitalized cases, and outpatients are not included in this 
calculation. Inclusion of outpatients and asymptomatic cases would decrease the 
proportion of severe-to-mild cases. 

 

The way recovered cases Referred to the hospital Percent*  

   Ambulance 12.5 

   Outpatient visit 87.5 

Hospital Ward  

   Critical care units 6 

   General  94 

Respiratory Distress 8 

Low GCS 2 

The above table shows that about 12% of recovered cases initially 
needed to be transferred to the hospital by ambulance, and so, probably 
had relatively severe disease. It is hoped that the severity of the primary 
symptoms may not necessarily mean a poor prognosis in all cases in 
Iran. In fact, despite severe initial symptoms, there may be the chance 
for recovery. It should be acknowledged that some of the hospital 
transferred by ambulance might be due to panic attack associated with 
the onset of the COVID-19 symptoms. While this proportion might be 
negligible, it is believed that stress and anxiety itself can compromise 
immune system and result in poor prognosis. The chance of recovery 
seems quite low for those with low GCS.  

§ The values presented here does not intend to be used for causal inference, so, none of them are adjusted for potential confounders.  
*Recovery rate: total recovered/total lab-confirmed cases; ICU: Intensive Care Unit. GCS: Glasgow Coma Scale 
Source: National Committee on COVID-19 Epidemiology, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, IR Iran 

 

0

500

1,000

1,500

1
9

-F
e

b

2
0

-F
e

b

2
1

-F
e

b

2
2

-F
e

b

2
3

-F
e

b

2
4

-F
e

b

2
5

-F
e

b

2
6

-F
e

b

2
7

-F
e

b

2
8

-F
e

b

2
9

-F
e

b

1
-M

a
r

2
-M

a
r

3
-M

a
r

4
-M

a
r

5
-M

a
r

6
-M

a
r

7
-M

a
r

8
-M

a
r

9
-M

a
r

1
0

-M
a

r

1
1

-M
a

r

1
2

-M
a

r

1
3

-M
a

r

1
4

-M
a

r

N
u

m
b

e
r

Confirmed  Cases and Associated deaths

Confirmed Cases Associated Deaths

Severe, 
13.7

Mild, 86.3

Proportion of more severe forms of the disease to total 
confirmed cases