id sid tid token lemma pos ajis02-411 1 1 forecasting forecasting NOUN ajis02-411 1 2 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 1 3 using use VERB ajis02-411 1 4 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 1 5 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 1 6 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 1 7 an an DET ajis02-411 1 8 application application NOUN ajis02-411 1 9 to to ADP ajis02-411 1 10 us us PROPN ajis02-411 1 11 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 1 12 joanna joanna PROPN ajis02-411 1 13 r. r. PROPN ajis02-411 1 14 baker baker PROPN ajis02-411 1 15 department department PROPN ajis02-411 1 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 1 17 information information NOUN ajis02-411 1 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 1 19 decision decision NOUN ajis02-411 1 20 sciences sciences PROPN ajis02-411 1 21 james james PROPN ajis02-411 1 22 madison madison PROPN ajis02-411 1 23 university university PROPN ajis02-411 1 24 harrisonburg harrisonburg PROPN ajis02-411 1 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 1 26 virginia virginia PROPN ajis02-411 1 27 22807 22807 NUM ajis02-411 1 28 usa usa PROPN ajis02-411 1 29 pamela pamela PROPN ajis02-411 1 30 k. k. PROPN ajis02-411 1 31 lattimore lattimore PROPN ajis02-411 1 32 * * PROPN ajis02-411 1 33 national national PROPN ajis02-411 1 34 institute institute PROPN ajis02-411 1 35 of of ADP ajis02-411 1 36 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 1 37 us us PROPN ajis02-411 1 38 department department PROPN ajis02-411 1 39 of of ADP ajis02-411 1 40 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 1 41 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 1 42 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 1 43 20531 20531 NUM ajis02-411 1 44 usa usa PROPN ajis02-411 1 45 abstract abstract ADJ ajis02-411 1 46 a a DET ajis02-411 1 47 systems system NOUN ajis02-411 1 48 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 1 49 to to ADP ajis02-411 1 50 modeling model VERB ajis02-411 1 51 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 1 52 which which PRON ajis02-411 1 53 incorporates incorporate VERB ajis02-411 1 54 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 1 55 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 1 56 is be AUX ajis02-411 1 57 applied apply VERB ajis02-411 1 58 to to ADP ajis02-411 1 59 the the DET ajis02-411 1 60 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 1 61 of of ADP ajis02-411 1 62 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 1 63 population population NOUN ajis02-411 1 64 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 1 65 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 2 1 the the DET ajis02-411 2 2 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 2 3 models model VERB ajis02-411 2 4 the the DET ajis02-411 2 5 flow flow NOUN ajis02-411 2 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 2 7 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 2 8 through through ADP ajis02-411 2 9 the the DET ajis02-411 2 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 2 11 system system NOUN ajis02-411 2 12 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 2 13 differs differ VERB ajis02-411 2 14 from from ADP ajis02-411 2 15 earlier early ADJ ajis02-411 2 16 approaches approach NOUN ajis02-411 2 17 by by ADP ajis02-411 2 18 exploiting exploit VERB ajis02-411 2 19 the the DET ajis02-411 2 20 differences difference NOUN ajis02-411 2 21 in in ADP ajis02-411 2 22 the the DET ajis02-411 2 23 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 2 24 hazard hazard NOUN ajis02-411 2 25 rates rate NOUN ajis02-411 2 26 of of ADP ajis02-411 2 27 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 2 28 in in ADP ajis02-411 2 29 the the DET ajis02-411 2 30 general general ADJ ajis02-411 2 31 population population NOUN ajis02-411 2 32 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 2 33 those those PRON ajis02-411 2 34 who who PRON ajis02-411 2 35 have have AUX ajis02-411 2 36 previously previously ADV ajis02-411 2 37 been be AUX ajis02-411 2 38 incarcerated incarcerate VERB ajis02-411 2 39 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 2 40 explicitly explicitly ADV ajis02-411 2 41 considering consider VERB ajis02-411 2 42 the the DET ajis02-411 2 43 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 2 44 of of ADP ajis02-411 2 45 constrained constrained ADJ ajis02-411 2 46 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 2 47 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 2 48 on on ADP ajis02-411 2 49 release release NOUN ajis02-411 2 50 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 2 51 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 2 52 future future ADJ ajis02-411 2 53 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 2 54 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 3 1 the the DET ajis02-411 3 2 methodology methodology NOUN ajis02-411 3 3 capitalizes capitalize VERB ajis02-411 3 4 on on ADP ajis02-411 3 5 the the DET ajis02-411 3 6 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 3 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 3 8 recursion recursion NOUN ajis02-411 3 9 in in ADP ajis02-411 3 10 the the DET ajis02-411 3 11 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 3 12 population population NOUN ajis02-411 3 13 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 3 14 reduces reduce VERB ajis02-411 3 15 the the DET ajis02-411 3 16 amount amount NOUN ajis02-411 3 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 3 18 complexity complexity NOUN ajis02-411 3 19 of of ADP ajis02-411 3 20 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 3 21 required require VERB ajis02-411 3 22 for for ADP ajis02-411 3 23 long long ADJ ajis02-411 3 24 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 3 25 term term NOUN ajis02-411 3 26 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 3 27 .. .. PUNCT ajis02-411 3 28 first first ADJ ajis02-411 3 29 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 3 30 time time NOUN ajis02-411 3 31 arrivals arrival NOUN ajis02-411 3 32 to to ADP ajis02-411 3 33 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 3 34 are be AUX ajis02-411 3 35 modeled model VERB ajis02-411 3 36 as as ADP ajis02-411 3 37 a a DET ajis02-411 3 38 poisson poisson NOUN ajis02-411 3 39 process process NOUN ajis02-411 3 40 arising arise VERB ajis02-411 3 41 from from ADP ajis02-411 3 42 the the DET ajis02-411 3 43 general general ADJ ajis02-411 3 44 population population NOUN ajis02-411 3 45 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 3 46 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 3 47 arrivals arrival NOUN ajis02-411 3 48 are be AUX ajis02-411 3 49 modeled model VERB ajis02-411 3 50 using use VERB ajis02-411 3 51 a a DET ajis02-411 3 52 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 3 53 model model NOUN ajis02-411 3 54 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 3 55 where where SCONJ ajis02-411 3 56 the the DET ajis02-411 3 57 reincarceradon reincarceradon NOUN ajis02-411 3 58 hazard hazard NOUN ajis02-411 3 59 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 3 60 is be AUX ajis02-411 3 61 a a DET ajis02-411 3 62 function function NOUN ajis02-411 3 63 of of ADP ajis02-411 3 64 age age NOUN ajis02-411 3 65 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 3 66 race race NOUN ajis02-411 3 67 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 4 1 the the DET ajis02-411 4 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 4 3 is be AUX ajis02-411 4 4 demonstrated demonstrate VERB ajis02-411 4 5 for for ADP ajis02-411 4 6 the the DET ajis02-411 4 7 state state NOUN ajis02-411 4 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 4 9 north north PROPN ajis02-411 4 10 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 4 11 located locate VERB ajis02-411 4 12 in in ADP ajis02-411 4 13 the the DET ajis02-411 4 14 southeastern southeastern ADJ ajis02-411 4 15 region region NOUN ajis02-411 4 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 4 17 the the DET ajis02-411 4 18 united united PROPN ajis02-411 4 19 states states PROPN ajis02-411 4 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 5 1 the the DET ajis02-411 5 2 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 5 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 5 4 limited limited ADJ ajis02-411 5 5 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 5 6 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 5 7 on on ADP ajis02-411 5 8 the the DET ajis02-411 5 9 mean mean NOUN ajis02-411 5 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 5 11 the the DET ajis02-411 5 12 time time NOUN ajis02-411 5 13 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 5 14 served serve VERB ajis02-411 5 15 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 5 16 is be AUX ajis02-411 5 17 shown show VERB ajis02-411 5 18 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 6 1 the the DET ajis02-411 6 2 results result NOUN ajis02-411 6 3 demonstrate demonstrate VERB ajis02-411 6 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 6 5 an an DET ajis02-411 6 6 early early ADJ ajis02-411 6 7 release release NOUN ajis02-411 6 8 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 6 9 will will AUX ajis02-411 6 10 generate generate VERB ajis02-411 6 11 an an DET ajis02-411 6 12 increase increase NOUN ajis02-411 6 13 in in ADP ajis02-411 6 14 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 6 15 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 6 16 through through ADP ajis02-411 6 17 the the DET ajis02-411 6 18 return return NOUN ajis02-411 6 19 to to ADP ajis02-411 6 20 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 6 21 of of ADP ajis02-411 6 22 former former ADJ ajis02-411 6 23 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 6 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 7 1 further far ADV ajis02-411 7 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 7 3 the the DET ajis02-411 7 4 results result NOUN ajis02-411 7 5 show show VERB ajis02-411 7 6 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 7 7 a a DET ajis02-411 7 8 systems system NOUN ajis02-411 7 9 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 7 10 to to ADP ajis02-411 7 11 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 7 12 of of ADP ajis02-411 7 13 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 7 14 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 7 15 which which PRON ajis02-411 7 16 includes include VERB ajis02-411 7 17 the the DET ajis02-411 7 18 non non ADJ ajis02-411 7 19 - - ADJ ajis02-411 7 20 linear linear ADJ ajis02-411 7 21 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 7 22 of of ADP ajis02-411 7 23 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 7 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 7 25 i.e. i.e. X ajis02-411 7 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 7 27 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 7 28 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 7 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 7 30 has have VERB ajis02-411 7 31 a a DET ajis02-411 7 32 significant significant ADJ ajis02-411 7 33 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 7 34 on on ADP ajis02-411 7 35 the the DET ajis02-411 7 36 accuracy accuracy NOUN ajis02-411 7 37 of of ADP ajis02-411 7 38 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 7 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 8 1 introduction introduction NOUN ajis02-411 8 2 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 8 3 crowding crowd VERB ajis02-411 8 4 is be AUX ajis02-411 8 5 one one NUM ajis02-411 8 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 8 7 the the DET ajis02-411 8 8 most most ADV ajis02-411 8 9 serious serious ADJ ajis02-411 8 10 domestic domestic ADJ ajis02-411 8 11 issues issue NOUN ajis02-411 8 12 currently currently ADV ajis02-411 8 13 being be AUX ajis02-411 8 14 faced face VERB ajis02-411 8 15 by by ADP ajis02-411 8 16 the the DET ajis02-411 8 17 united united PROPN ajis02-411 8 18 states states PROPN ajis02-411 8 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 9 1 between between ADP ajis02-411 9 2 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 9 3 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 9 4 1988 1988 NUM ajis02-411 9 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 9 6 the the DET ajis02-411 9 7 number number NOUN ajis02-411 9 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 9 9 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 9 10 in in ADP ajis02-411 9 11 state state NOUN ajis02-411 9 12 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 9 13 federal federal ADJ ajis02-411 9 14 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 9 15 increased increase VERB ajis02-411 9 16 more more ADJ ajis02-411 9 17 than than ADP ajis02-411 9 18 90 90 NUM ajis02-411 9 19 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 9 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 9 21 from from ADP ajis02-411 9 22 329,821 329,821 NUM ajis02-411 9 23 to to ADP ajis02-411 9 24 627,402 627,402 NUM ajis02-411 9 25 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 9 26 us us PROPN ajis02-411 9 27 department department PROPN ajis02-411 9 28 of of ADP ajis02-411 9 29 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 9 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 9 31 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 9 32 of of ADP ajis02-411 9 33 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 9 34 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 9 35 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 9 36 1989 1989 NUM ajis02-411 9 37 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 9 38 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 10 1 at at ADP ajis02-411 10 2 the the DET ajis02-411 10 3 end end NOUN ajis02-411 10 4 of of ADP ajis02-411 10 5 1992,43 1992,43 NUM ajis02-411 10 6 state state NOUN ajis02-411 10 7 jurisdictions jurisdiction NOUN ajis02-411 10 8 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 10 9 the the DET ajis02-411 10 10 federal federal ADJ ajis02-411 10 11 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 10 12 system system NOUN ajis02-411 10 13 were be AUX ajis02-411 10 14 operating operate VERB ajis02-411 10 15 at at ADP ajis02-411 10 16 100 100 NUM ajis02-411 10 17 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 10 18 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 10 19 more more ADJ ajis02-411 10 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 10 21 their their PRON ajis02-411 10 22 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 10 23 capacities capacity NOUN ajis02-411 10 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 10 25 us us PROPN ajis02-411 10 26 department department PROPN ajis02-411 10 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 10 28 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 10 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 10 30 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 10 31 of of ADP ajis02-411 10 32 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 10 33 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 10 34 1993 1993 NUM ajis02-411 10 35 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 10 36 p. p. NOUN ajis02-411 10 37 6 6 NUM ajis02-411 10 38 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 10 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 11 1 recently recently ADV ajis02-411 11 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 11 3 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 11 4 get get VERB ajis02-411 11 5 tough tough ADJ ajis02-411 11 6 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 11 7 sentencing sentencing NOUN ajis02-411 11 8 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 11 9 — — PUNCT ajis02-411 11 10 including include VERB ajis02-411 11 11 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 11 12 three three NUM ajis02-411 11 13 strikes strike NOUN ajis02-411 11 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 11 15 you you PRON ajis02-411 11 16 're be AUX ajis02-411 11 17 out out ADP ajis02-411 11 18 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 11 19 provisions provision NOUN ajis02-411 11 20 have have AUX ajis02-411 11 21 been be AUX ajis02-411 11 22 enacted enact VERB ajis02-411 11 23 in in ADP ajis02-411 11 24 several several ADJ ajis02-411 11 25 states state NOUN ajis02-411 11 26 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 12 1 these these DET ajis02-411 12 2 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 12 3 imply imply VERB ajis02-411 12 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 12 5 if if SCONJ ajis02-411 12 6 an an DET ajis02-411 12 7 offender offender NOUN ajis02-411 12 8 is be AUX ajis02-411 12 9 found find VERB ajis02-411 12 10 guilt guilt NOUN ajis02-411 12 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 12 12 a a DET ajis02-411 12 13 violent violent ADJ ajis02-411 12 14 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 12 15 three three NUM ajis02-411 12 16 times time NOUN ajis02-411 12 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 12 18 they they PRON ajis02-411 12 19 will will AUX ajis02-411 12 20 receive receive VERB ajis02-411 12 21 a a DET ajis02-411 12 22 mandatory mandatory ADJ ajis02-411 12 23 sentence sentence NOUN ajis02-411 12 24 of of ADP ajis02-411 12 25 life life NOUN ajis02-411 12 26 imprisonment imprisonment NOUN ajis02-411 12 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 13 1 such such ADJ ajis02-411 13 2 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 13 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 13 4 although although SCONJ ajis02-411 13 5 popular popular ADJ ajis02-411 13 6 with with ADP ajis02-411 13 7 a a DET ajis02-411 13 8 voters voter NOUN ajis02-411 13 9 frustrated frustrate VERB ajis02-411 13 10 by by ADP ajis02-411 13 11 the the DET ajis02-411 13 12 escalating escalate VERB ajis02-411 13 13 nature nature NOUN ajis02-411 13 14 of of ADP ajis02-411 13 15 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 13 16 in in ADP ajis02-411 13 17 the the DET ajis02-411 13 18 us us PROPN ajis02-411 13 19 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 13 20 will will AUX ajis02-411 13 21 only only ADV ajis02-411 13 22 exacerbate exacerbate VERB ajis02-411 13 23 the the DET ajis02-411 13 24 current current ADJ ajis02-411 13 25 crowding crowd VERB ajis02-411 13 26 situation situation NOUN ajis02-411 13 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 14 1 for for ADP ajis02-411 14 2 example example NOUN ajis02-411 14 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 4 the the DET ajis02-411 14 5 state state NOUN ajis02-411 14 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 7 california california PROPN ajis02-411 14 8 's 's PART ajis02-411 14 9 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 14 10 population population NOUN ajis02-411 14 11 was be AUX ajis02-411 14 12 115,534 115,534 NUM ajis02-411 14 13 on on ADP ajis02-411 14 14 june june PROPN ajis02-411 14 15 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 14 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 17 1993 1993 NUM ajis02-411 14 18 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 14 19 us us PROPN ajis02-411 14 20 department department PROPN ajis02-411 14 21 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 22 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 14 23 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 24 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 14 25 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 26 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 14 27 statistics statistics PROPN ajis02-411 14 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 29 press press NOUN ajis02-411 14 30 release release NOUN ajis02-411 14 31 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 32 october october PROPN ajis02-411 14 33 3,1993 3,1993 NUM ajis02-411 14 34 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 14 35 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 14 36 the the DET ajis02-411 14 37 california california PROPN ajis02-411 14 38 department department PROPN ajis02-411 14 39 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 40 corrections correction NOUN ajis02-411 14 41 estimates estimate VERB ajis02-411 14 42 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 14 43 recently recently ADV ajis02-411 14 44 enacted enact VERB ajis02-411 14 45 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 14 46 three three NUM ajis02-411 14 47 strikes strike NOUN ajis02-411 14 48 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 14 49 legislation legislation NOUN ajis02-411 14 50 will will AUX ajis02-411 14 51 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 14 52 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 14 53 by by ADP ajis02-411 14 54 81,628 81,628 NUM ajis02-411 14 55 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 14 56 by by ADP ajis02-411 14 57 the the DET ajis02-411 14 58 turn turn NOUN ajis02-411 14 59 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 60 the the DET ajis02-411 14 61 century century NOUN ajis02-411 14 62 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 14 63 california california PROPN ajis02-411 14 64 department department PROPN ajis02-411 14 65 of of ADP ajis02-411 14 66 corrections correction NOUN ajis02-411 14 67 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 14 68 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 14 69 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 14 70 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 15 1 the the DET ajis02-411 15 2 current current ADJ ajis02-411 15 3 crowding crowd VERB ajis02-411 15 4 conditions condition NOUN ajis02-411 15 5 in in ADP ajis02-411 15 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 15 7 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 15 8 are be AUX ajis02-411 15 9 due due ADJ ajis02-411 15 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 15 11 in in ADP ajis02-411 15 12 part part NOUN ajis02-411 15 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 15 14 to to ADP ajis02-411 15 15 a a DET ajis02-411 15 16 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 15 17 to to PART ajis02-411 15 18 predict predict VERB ajis02-411 15 19 the the DET ajis02-411 15 20 long long ADJ ajis02-411 15 21 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 15 22 term term NOUN ajis02-411 15 23 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 15 24 for for ADP ajis02-411 15 25 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 15 26 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 15 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 16 1 while while SCONJ ajis02-411 16 2 adequate adequate ADJ ajis02-411 16 3 one one NUM ajis02-411 16 4 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 16 5 year year NOUN ajis02-411 16 6 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 16 7 hence hence ADV ajis02-411 16 8 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 16 9 are be AUX ajis02-411 16 10 possible possible ADJ ajis02-411 16 11 with with ADP ajis02-411 16 12 simple simple ADJ ajis02-411 16 13 tools tool NOUN ajis02-411 16 14 such such ADJ ajis02-411 16 15 as as ADP ajis02-411 16 16 moving move VERB ajis02-411 16 17 averages average NOUN ajis02-411 16 18 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 16 19 other other ADJ ajis02-411 16 20 linear linear ADJ ajis02-411 16 21 models model NOUN ajis02-411 16 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 16 23 long long ADJ ajis02-411 16 24 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 16 25 term term NOUN ajis02-411 16 26 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 16 27 are be AUX ajis02-411 16 28 difficult difficult ADJ ajis02-411 16 29 to to PART ajis02-411 16 30 obtain obtain VERB ajis02-411 16 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 17 1 this this PRON ajis02-411 17 2 is be AUX ajis02-411 17 3 due due ADJ ajis02-411 17 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 17 5 in in ADP ajis02-411 17 6 part part NOUN ajis02-411 17 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 17 8 to to ADP ajis02-411 17 9 the the DET ajis02-411 17 10 nature nature NOUN ajis02-411 17 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 17 12 the the DET ajis02-411 17 13 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 17 14 population population NOUN ajis02-411 17 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 18 1 specifically specifically ADV ajis02-411 18 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 3 a a DET ajis02-411 18 4 recent recent ADJ ajis02-411 18 5 survey survey NOUN ajis02-411 18 6 showed show VERB ajis02-411 18 7 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 18 8 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 18 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 10 those those PRON ajis02-411 18 11 returning return VERB ajis02-411 18 12 to to ADP ajis02-411 18 13 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 18 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 15 comprise comprise VERB ajis02-411 18 16 about about ADP ajis02-411 18 17 half half NOUN ajis02-411 18 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 18 19 all all DET ajis02-411 18 20 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 18 21 in in ADP ajis02-411 18 22 this this DET ajis02-411 18 23 country country NOUN ajis02-411 18 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 18 25 beck beck NOUN ajis02-411 18 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 27 etal etal NOUN ajis02-411 18 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 29 1993 1993 NUM ajis02-411 18 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 18 31 p.l p.l PROPN ajis02-411 18 32 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 18 33 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 18 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 19 1 the the DET ajis02-411 19 2 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 19 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 19 4 this this DET ajis02-411 19 5 subgroup subgroup NOUN ajis02-411 19 6 on on ADP ajis02-411 19 7 the the DET ajis02-411 19 8 flow flow NOUN ajis02-411 19 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 19 10 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 19 11 through through ADP ajis02-411 19 12 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 19 13 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 19 14 on on ADP ajis02-411 19 15 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 19 16 is be AUX ajis02-411 19 17 synergistic synergistic ADJ ajis02-411 19 18 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 20 1 that that PRON ajis02-411 20 2 is is ADV ajis02-411 20 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 20 4 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 20 5 are be AUX ajis02-411 20 6 more more ADV ajis02-411 20 7 likely likely ADJ ajis02-411 20 8 to to PART ajis02-411 20 9 receive receive VERB ajis02-411 20 10 longer long ADJ ajis02-411 20 11 sentences sentence NOUN ajis02-411 20 12 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 20 13 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 20 14 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 20 15 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 20 16 for for ADP ajis02-411 20 17 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 20 18 beds bed NOUN ajis02-411 20 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 21 1 the the DET ajis02-411 21 2 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 21 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 21 4 insufficient insufficient ADJ ajis02-411 21 5 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 21 6 also also ADV ajis02-411 21 7 has have VERB ajis02-411 21 8 a a DET ajis02-411 21 9 synergistic synergistic ADJ ajis02-411 21 10 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 21 11 with with ADP ajis02-411 21 12 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 21 13 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 21 14 see see VERB ajis02-411 21 15 lattimore lattimore PROPN ajis02-411 21 16 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 21 17 baker baker PROPN ajis02-411 21 18 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 21 19 1992 1992 NUM ajis02-411 21 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 21 21 for for ADP ajis02-411 21 22 a a DET ajis02-411 21 23 discussion discussion NOUN ajis02-411 21 24 of of ADP ajis02-411 21 25 this this DET ajis02-411 21 26 point point NOUN ajis02-411 21 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 21 28 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 21 29 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 22 1 for for ADP ajis02-411 22 2 example example NOUN ajis02-411 22 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 22 4 if if SCONJ ajis02-411 22 5 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 22 6 is be AUX ajis02-411 22 7 limited limited ADJ ajis02-411 22 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 22 9 then then ADV ajis02-411 22 10 one one NUM ajis02-411 22 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 22 12 the the DET ajis02-411 22 13 few few ADJ ajis02-411 22 14 options option NOUN ajis02-411 22 15 open open ADJ ajis02-411 22 16 to to ADP ajis02-411 22 17 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 22 18 administrators administrator NOUN ajis02-411 22 19 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 22 20 assuming assume VERB ajis02-411 22 21 a a DET ajis02-411 22 22 lack lack NOUN ajis02-411 22 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 22 24 concern concern NOUN ajis02-411 22 25 about about ADP ajis02-411 22 26 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 22 27 conditions condition NOUN ajis02-411 22 28 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 22 29 is be AUX ajis02-411 22 30 to to PART ajis02-411 22 31 release release VERB ajis02-411 22 32 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 22 33 earlier early ADV ajis02-411 22 34 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 22 35 hence hence ADV ajis02-411 22 36 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 22 37 are be AUX ajis02-411 22 38 free free ADJ ajis02-411 22 39 sooner soon ADV ajis02-411 22 40 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 22 41 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 22 42 available available ADJ ajis02-411 22 43 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 22 44 to to PART ajis02-411 22 45 commit commit VERB ajis02-411 22 46 a a DET ajis02-411 22 47 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 22 48 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 22 49 be be AUX ajis02-411 22 50 reincarcerated reincarcerate VERB ajis02-411 22 51 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 22 52 the the DET ajis02-411 22 53 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 22 54 revolving revolve VERB ajis02-411 22 55 door door NOUN ajis02-411 22 56 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 22 57 of of ADP ajis02-411 22 58 the the DET ajis02-411 22 59 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 22 60 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 22 61 system system NOUN ajis02-411 22 62 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 23 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 23 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 23 3 the the DET ajis02-411 23 4 non non NOUN ajis02-411 23 5 - - NOUN ajis02-411 23 6 linearity linearity NOUN ajis02-411 23 7 in in ADP ajis02-411 23 8 the the DET ajis02-411 23 9 long long ADJ ajis02-411 23 10 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 23 11 term term NOUN ajis02-411 23 12 input input NOUN ajis02-411 23 13 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 23 14 output output NOUN ajis02-411 23 15 process process NOUN ajis02-411 23 16 which which PRON ajis02-411 23 17 characterizes characterize VERB ajis02-411 23 18 the the DET ajis02-411 23 19 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 23 20 system system NOUN ajis02-411 23 21 has have AUX ajis02-411 23 22 made make VERB ajis02-411 23 23 traditional traditional ADJ ajis02-411 23 24 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 23 25 techniques technique NOUN ajis02-411 23 26 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 23 27 traditional traditional ADJ ajis02-411 23 28 * * ADJ ajis02-411 23 29 points point NOUN ajis02-411 23 30 of of ADP ajis02-411 23 31 view view NOUN ajis02-411 23 32 are be AUX ajis02-411 23 33 those those PRON ajis02-411 23 34 of of ADP ajis02-411 23 35 the the DET ajis02-411 23 36 author author NOUN ajis02-411 23 37 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 23 38 do do AUX ajis02-411 23 39 not not PART ajis02-411 23 40 necessarily necessarily ADV ajis02-411 23 41 represent represent VERB ajis02-411 23 42 the the DET ajis02-411 23 43 official official ADJ ajis02-411 23 44 position position NOUN ajis02-411 23 45 of of ADP ajis02-411 23 46 the the DET ajis02-411 23 47 us us PROPN ajis02-411 23 48 department department PROPN ajis02-411 23 49 of of ADP ajis02-411 23 50 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 23 51 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 23 52 the the DET ajis02-411 23 53 national national PROPN ajis02-411 23 54 institute institute PROPN ajis02-411 23 55 of of ADP ajis02-411 23 56 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 23 57 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 24 1 ajis ajis AUX ajis02-411 24 2 linear linear VERB ajis02-411 24 3 approaches approach NOUN ajis02-411 24 4 inadequate inadequate ADJ ajis02-411 24 5 for for ADP ajis02-411 24 6 accurate accurate ADJ ajis02-411 24 7 forecasting forecasting NOUN ajis02-411 24 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 24 9 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 24 10 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 25 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 25 2 succinctly succinctly ADV ajis02-411 25 3 stated state VERB ajis02-411 25 4 by by ADP ajis02-411 25 5 macdonald macdonald PROPN ajis02-411 25 6 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 25 7 1989 1989 NUM ajis02-411 25 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 25 9 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 25 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 25 11 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 25 12 reality reality NOUN ajis02-411 25 13 has have AUX ajis02-411 25 14 had have VERB ajis02-411 25 15 a a DET ajis02-411 25 16 habit habit NOUN ajis02-411 25 17 of of ADP ajis02-411 25 18 outstripping outstrip VERB ajis02-411 25 19 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 25 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 25 21 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 26 1 determining determine VERB ajis02-411 26 2 the the DET ajis02-411 26 3 future future ADJ ajis02-411 26 4 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 26 5 needs need VERB ajis02-411 26 6 for for ADP ajis02-411 26 7 institutions institution NOUN ajis02-411 26 8 in in ADP ajis02-411 26 9 which which PRON ajis02-411 26 10 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 26 11 is be AUX ajis02-411 26 12 characterized characterize VERB ajis02-411 26 13 by by ADP ajis02-411 26 14 input input NOUN ajis02-411 26 15 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 26 16 output output NOUN ajis02-411 26 17 processes process NOUN ajis02-411 26 18 that that PRON ajis02-411 26 19 are be AUX ajis02-411 26 20 stochastic stochastic ADJ ajis02-411 26 21 in in ADP ajis02-411 26 22 nature nature NOUN ajis02-411 26 23 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 26 24 driven drive VERB ajis02-411 26 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 26 26 wholly wholly ADV ajis02-411 26 27 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 26 28 in in ADP ajis02-411 26 29 part part NOUN ajis02-411 26 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 26 31 by by ADP ajis02-411 26 32 a a DET ajis02-411 26 33 population population NOUN ajis02-411 26 34 demographics demographic NOUN ajis02-411 26 35 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 26 36 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 26 37 subject subject ADJ ajis02-411 26 38 to to ADP ajis02-411 26 39 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 26 40 intervention intervention NOUN ajis02-411 26 41 is be AUX ajis02-411 26 42 a a DET ajis02-411 26 43 difficult difficult ADJ ajis02-411 26 44 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 26 45 for for ADP ajis02-411 26 46 planners planner NOUN ajis02-411 26 47 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 27 1 in in ADP ajis02-411 27 2 addition addition NOUN ajis02-411 27 3 to to ADP ajis02-411 27 4 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 27 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 27 6 other other ADJ ajis02-411 27 7 systems system NOUN ajis02-411 27 8 which which PRON ajis02-411 27 9 share share VERB ajis02-411 27 10 some some PRON ajis02-411 27 11 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 27 12 all all PRON ajis02-411 27 13 of of ADP ajis02-411 27 14 these these DET ajis02-411 27 15 characteristics characteristic NOUN ajis02-411 27 16 include include VERB ajis02-411 27 17 hospitals hospital NOUN ajis02-411 27 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 27 19 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 27 20 to to ADP ajis02-411 27 21 a a DET ajis02-411 27 22 lesser less ADJ ajis02-411 27 23 extent extent NOUN ajis02-411 27 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 27 25 school school NOUN ajis02-411 27 26 systems system NOUN ajis02-411 27 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 28 1 traditional traditional ADJ ajis02-411 28 2 approaches approach NOUN ajis02-411 28 3 to to ADP ajis02-411 28 4 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 28 5 future future ADJ ajis02-411 28 6 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 28 7 for for ADP ajis02-411 28 8 these these DET ajis02-411 28 9 types type NOUN ajis02-411 28 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 28 11 systems system NOUN ajis02-411 28 12 include include VERB ajis02-411 28 13 time time NOUN ajis02-411 28 14 series series PROPN ajis02-411 28 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 28 16 econometric econometric ADJ ajis02-411 28 17 models model NOUN ajis02-411 28 18 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 28 19 simulation simulation NOUN ajis02-411 28 20 studies study NOUN ajis02-411 28 21 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 28 22 stochastic stochastic ADJ ajis02-411 28 23 techniques technique NOUN ajis02-411 28 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 28 25 e.g. e.g. ADV ajis02-411 28 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 28 27 see see VERB ajis02-411 28 28 rhodes rhode NOUN ajis02-411 28 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 28 30 1990 1990 NUM ajis02-411 28 31 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 28 32 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 29 1 generally generally ADV ajis02-411 29 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 29 3 these these DET ajis02-411 29 4 approaches approach NOUN ajis02-411 29 5 require require VERB ajis02-411 29 6 accurate accurate ADJ ajis02-411 29 7 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 29 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 29 9 the the DET ajis02-411 29 10 input input NOUN ajis02-411 29 11 population population NOUN ajis02-411 29 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 29 13 disaggregated disaggregate VERB ajis02-411 29 14 on on ADP ajis02-411 29 15 the the DET ajis02-411 29 16 basis basis NOUN ajis02-411 29 17 of of ADP ajis02-411 29 18 historical historical ADJ ajis02-411 29 19 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 29 20 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 29 21 a a DET ajis02-411 29 22 priori priori ADJ ajis02-411 29 23 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 29 24 concerning concern VERB ajis02-411 29 25 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 29 26 in in ADP ajis02-411 29 27 population population NOUN ajis02-411 29 28 demographics demographic NOUN ajis02-411 29 29 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 29 30 trends trend NOUN ajis02-411 29 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 30 1 for for ADP ajis02-411 30 2 example example NOUN ajis02-411 30 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 30 4 a a DET ajis02-411 30 5 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 30 6 population population NOUN ajis02-411 30 7 at at ADP ajis02-411 30 8 time time NOUN ajis02-411 30 9 t t PROPN ajis02-411 30 10 may may AUX ajis02-411 30 11 be be AUX ajis02-411 30 12 represented represent VERB ajis02-411 30 13 as as ADP ajis02-411 30 14 a a DET ajis02-411 30 15 mapping mapping NOUN ajis02-411 30 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 30 17 the the DET ajis02-411 30 18 general general ADJ ajis02-411 30 19 population population NOUN ajis02-411 30 20 at at ADP ajis02-411 30 21 time time NOUN ajis02-411 30 22 t t PROPN ajis02-411 31 1 i i PRON ajis02-411 31 2 onto onto ADP ajis02-411 31 3 the the DET ajis02-411 31 4 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 31 5 population population NOUN ajis02-411 31 6 at at ADP ajis02-411 31 7 time time NOUN ajis02-411 31 8 t. t. PROPN ajis02-411 31 9 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 31 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 31 11 the the DET ajis02-411 31 12 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 31 13 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 31 14 generating generate VERB ajis02-411 31 15 population population NOUN ajis02-411 31 16 is be AUX ajis02-411 31 17 exogenous exogenous ADJ ajis02-411 31 18 to to ADP ajis02-411 31 19 the the DET ajis02-411 31 20 model model NOUN ajis02-411 31 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 31 22 making make VERB ajis02-411 31 23 predictions prediction NOUN ajis02-411 31 24 dependent dependent ADJ ajis02-411 31 25 on on ADP ajis02-411 31 26 accurate accurate ADJ ajis02-411 31 27 characterization characterization NOUN ajis02-411 31 28 of of ADP ajis02-411 31 29 the the DET ajis02-411 31 30 input input NOUN ajis02-411 31 31 process process NOUN ajis02-411 31 32 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 32 1 these these DET ajis02-411 32 2 models model NOUN ajis02-411 32 3 ignore ignore VERB ajis02-411 32 4 the the DET ajis02-411 32 5 endogenous endogenous ADJ ajis02-411 32 6 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 32 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 32 8 the the DET ajis02-411 32 9 process process NOUN ajis02-411 32 10 on on ADP ajis02-411 32 11 the the DET ajis02-411 32 12 future future ADJ ajis02-411 32 13 intake intake ADJ ajis02-411 32 14 population population NOUN ajis02-411 32 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 32 16 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 32 17 the the DET ajis02-411 32 18 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 32 19 of of ADP ajis02-411 32 20 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 32 21 initiatives initiative NOUN ajis02-411 32 22 on on ADP ajis02-411 32 23 future future ADJ ajis02-411 32 24 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 32 25 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 33 1 we we PRON ajis02-411 33 2 develop develop VERB ajis02-411 33 3 an an DET ajis02-411 33 4 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 33 5 to to ADP ajis02-411 33 6 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 33 7 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 33 8 for for ADP ajis02-411 33 9 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 33 10 which which PRON ajis02-411 33 11 explicitly explicitly ADV ajis02-411 33 12 considers consider VERB ajis02-411 33 13 the the DET ajis02-411 33 14 feedback feedback NOUN ajis02-411 33 15 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 33 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 33 17 the the DET ajis02-411 33 18 output output NOUN ajis02-411 33 19 process process NOUN ajis02-411 33 20 on on ADP ajis02-411 33 21 the the DET ajis02-411 33 22 input input NOUN ajis02-411 33 23 process process NOUN ajis02-411 33 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 34 1 we we PRON ajis02-411 34 2 apply apply VERB ajis02-411 34 3 the the DET ajis02-411 34 4 methodology methodology NOUN ajis02-411 34 5 to to ADP ajis02-411 34 6 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 34 7 population population NOUN ajis02-411 34 8 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 34 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 34 10 extending extend VERB ajis02-411 34 11 some some DET ajis02-411 34 12 earlier early ADJ ajis02-411 34 13 work work NOUN ajis02-411 34 14 of of ADP ajis02-411 34 15 blumstein blumstein PROPN ajis02-411 34 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 34 17 cohen cohen PROPN ajis02-411 34 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 34 19 miller miller PROPN ajis02-411 34 20 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 34 21 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 34 22 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 34 23 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 34 24 barnett barnett PROPN ajis02-411 34 25 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 34 26 1987 1987 NUM ajis02-411 34 27 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 34 28 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 35 1 our our PRON ajis02-411 35 2 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 35 3 explicitly explicitly ADV ajis02-411 35 4 includes include VERB ajis02-411 35 5 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 35 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 35 7 incorporating incorporate VERB ajis02-411 35 8 the the DET ajis02-411 35 9 techniques technique NOUN ajis02-411 35 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 35 11 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 35 12 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 35 13 into into ADP ajis02-411 35 14 the the DET ajis02-411 35 15 stochastic stochastic ADJ ajis02-411 35 16 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 35 17 approaches approach NOUN ajis02-411 35 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 35 19 blumstein blumstein PROPN ajis02-411 35 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 35 21 cohen cohen PROPN ajis02-411 35 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 35 23 miller miller PROPN ajis02-411 35 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 35 25 bcm bcm PROPN ajis02-411 35 26 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 35 27 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 35 28 bamett bamett NOUN ajis02-411 35 29 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 36 1 the the DET ajis02-411 36 2 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 36 3 population population PROPN ajis02-411 36 4 projection projection PROPN ajis02-411 36 5 model model NOUN ajis02-411 36 6 developed develop VERB ajis02-411 36 7 herein herein NOUN ajis02-411 36 8 assumes assume VERB ajis02-411 36 9 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 36 10 the the DET ajis02-411 36 11 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 36 12 intake intake NOUN ajis02-411 36 13 population population NOUN ajis02-411 36 14 is be AUX ajis02-411 36 15 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 36 16 from from ADP ajis02-411 36 17 two two NUM ajis02-411 36 18 distinct distinct ADJ ajis02-411 36 19 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 36 20 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 36 21 the the DET ajis02-411 36 22 general general ADJ ajis02-411 36 23 population population NOUN ajis02-411 36 24 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 36 25 the the DET ajis02-411 36 26 population population NOUN ajis02-411 36 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 36 28 former former ADJ ajis02-411 36 29 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 36 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 37 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 37 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 37 3 intake intake NOUN ajis02-411 37 4 is be AUX ajis02-411 37 5 comprised comprise VERB ajis02-411 37 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 37 7 those those PRON ajis02-411 37 8 coming come VERB ajis02-411 37 9 to to ADP ajis02-411 37 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 37 11 for for ADP ajis02-411 37 12 the the DET ajis02-411 37 13 first first ADJ ajis02-411 37 14 time time NOUN ajis02-411 37 15 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 37 16 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 37 17 first first ADJ ajis02-411 37 18 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 37 19 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 37 20 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 37 21 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 37 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 37 23 those those PRON ajis02-411 37 24 returning return VERB ajis02-411 37 25 to to ADP ajis02-411 37 26 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 37 27 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 37 28 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 37 29 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 37 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 38 1 secondly secondly ADV ajis02-411 38 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 38 3 our our PRON ajis02-411 38 4 model model NOUN ajis02-411 38 5 explicitly explicitly ADV ajis02-411 38 6 considers consider VERB ajis02-411 38 7 the the DET ajis02-411 38 8 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 38 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 38 10 limited limited ADJ ajis02-411 38 11 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 38 12 on on ADP ajis02-411 38 13 service service NOUN ajis02-411 38 14 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 38 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 38 16 current current ADJ ajis02-411 38 17 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 38 18 population population NOUN ajis02-411 38 19 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 38 20 future future ADJ ajis02-411 38 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 38 22 population population NOUN ajis02-411 38 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 39 1 although although SCONJ ajis02-411 39 2 our our PRON ajis02-411 39 3 model model NOUN ajis02-411 39 4 is be AUX ajis02-411 39 5 not not PART ajis02-411 39 6 limited limit VERB ajis02-411 39 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 39 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 39 9 application application NOUN ajis02-411 39 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 39 11 indeed indeed ADV ajis02-411 39 12 the the DET ajis02-411 39 13 generalization generalization NOUN ajis02-411 39 14 to to PART ajis02-411 39 15 demand demand VERB ajis02-411 39 16 for for ADP ajis02-411 39 17 hospital hospital NOUN ajis02-411 39 18 beds bed NOUN ajis02-411 39 19 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 39 20 for for ADP ajis02-411 39 21 example example NOUN ajis02-411 39 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 39 23 is be AUX ajis02-411 39 24 conceptually conceptually ADV ajis02-411 39 25 straightforward straightforward ADJ ajis02-411 39 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 39 27 the the DET ajis02-411 39 28 application application NOUN ajis02-411 39 29 allows allow VERB ajis02-411 39 30 us we PRON ajis02-411 39 31 to to PART ajis02-411 39 32 call call VERB ajis02-411 39 33 upon upon SCONJ ajis02-411 39 34 the the DET ajis02-411 39 35 theoretical theoretical ADJ ajis02-411 39 36 work work NOUN ajis02-411 39 37 of of ADP ajis02-411 39 38 bamett bamett NOUN ajis02-411 39 39 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 39 40 bcm bcm NOUN ajis02-411 39 41 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 39 42 address address NOUN ajis02-411 39 43 a a DET ajis02-411 39 44 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 39 45 which which PRON ajis02-411 39 46 is be AUX ajis02-411 39 47 of of ADP ajis02-411 39 48 increasing increase VERB ajis02-411 39 49 public public ADJ ajis02-411 39 50 concern concern NOUN ajis02-411 39 51 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 39 52 namely namely ADV ajis02-411 39 53 the the DET ajis02-411 39 54 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 39 55 of of ADP ajis02-411 39 56 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 39 57 crowding crowd VERB ajis02-411 39 58 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 40 1 the the DET ajis02-411 40 2 state state NOUN ajis02-411 40 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 40 4 north north PROPN ajis02-411 40 5 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 40 6 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 40 7 system system NOUN ajis02-411 40 8 will will AUX ajis02-411 40 9 be be AUX ajis02-411 40 10 used use VERB ajis02-411 40 11 to to PART ajis02-411 40 12 demonstrate demonstrate VERB ajis02-411 40 13 the the DET ajis02-411 40 14 model model NOUN ajis02-411 40 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 41 1 the the DET ajis02-411 41 2 system system NOUN ajis02-411 41 3 selected select VERB ajis02-411 41 4 has have VERB ajis02-411 41 5 particular particular ADJ ajis02-411 41 6 relevance relevance NOUN ajis02-411 41 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 41 8 the the DET ajis02-411 41 9 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 41 10 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 41 11 as as ADP ajis02-411 41 12 in in ADP ajis02-411 41 13 1986 1986 NUM ajis02-411 41 14 the the DET ajis02-411 41 15 state state NOUN ajis02-411 41 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 41 17 north north PROPN ajis02-411 41 18 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 41 19 instituted institute VERB ajis02-411 41 20 a a DET ajis02-411 41 21 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 41 22 ceiling ceiling NOUN ajis02-411 41 23 in in ADP ajis02-411 41 24 response response NOUN ajis02-411 41 25 to to ADP ajis02-411 41 26 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 41 27 overcrowding overcrowding NOUN ajis02-411 41 28 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 41 29 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 41 30 provides provide VERB ajis02-411 41 31 an an DET ajis02-411 41 32 opportunity opportunity NOUN ajis02-411 41 33 for for ADP ajis02-411 41 34 a a DET ajis02-411 41 35 model model NOUN ajis02-411 41 36 such such ADJ ajis02-411 41 37 as as ADP ajis02-411 41 38 ours our NOUN ajis02-411 41 39 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 41 40 which which PRON ajis02-411 41 41 considers consider VERB ajis02-411 41 42 the the DET ajis02-411 41 43 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 41 44 of of ADP ajis02-411 41 45 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 41 46 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 41 47 on on ADP ajis02-411 41 48 the the DET ajis02-411 41 49 population population NOUN ajis02-411 41 50 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 41 51 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 41 52 to to PART ajis02-411 41 53 be be AUX ajis02-411 41 54 validated validate VERB ajis02-411 41 55 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 42 1 the the DET ajis02-411 42 2 next next ADJ ajis02-411 42 3 section section NOUN ajis02-411 42 4 briefly briefly NOUN ajis02-411 42 5 examines examine VERB ajis02-411 42 6 the the DET ajis02-411 42 7 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 42 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 42 9 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 42 10 overcrowding overcrowding NOUN ajis02-411 42 11 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 42 12 reviews review VERB ajis02-411 42 13 research research NOUN ajis02-411 42 14 in in ADP ajis02-411 42 15 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 42 16 population population NOUN ajis02-411 42 17 project project NOUN ajis02-411 42 18 subsequent subsequent ADJ ajis02-411 42 19 sections section NOUN ajis02-411 42 20 present present VERB ajis02-411 42 21 the the DET ajis02-411 42 22 proposed propose VERB ajis02-411 42 23 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 42 24 model model NOUN ajis02-411 42 25 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 42 26 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 42 27 formulation formulation NOUN ajis02-411 42 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 42 29 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 42 30 the the DET ajis02-411 42 31 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 42 32 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 42 33 estimation estimation NOUN ajis02-411 42 34 technique technique NOUN ajis02-411 42 35 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 43 1 demonstration demonstration NOUN ajis02-411 43 2 of of ADP ajis02-411 43 3 the the DET ajis02-411 43 4 model model NOUN ajis02-411 43 5 for for ADP ajis02-411 43 6 the the DET ajis02-411 43 7 state state NOUN ajis02-411 43 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 43 9 north north PROPN ajis02-411 43 10 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 43 11 under under ADP ajis02-411 43 12 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 43 13 of of ADP ajis02-411 43 14 unconstrained unconstrained ADJ ajis02-411 43 15 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 43 16 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 43 17 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 43 18 is be AUX ajis02-411 43 19 presented present VERB ajis02-411 43 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 44 1 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 44 2 population population NOUN ajis02-411 44 3 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 44 4 methods method NOUN ajis02-411 44 5 used use VERB ajis02-411 44 6 to to PART ajis02-411 44 7 predict predict VERB ajis02-411 44 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 44 9 population population NOUN ajis02-411 44 10 include include VERB ajis02-411 44 11 a a DET ajis02-411 44 12 variety variety NOUN ajis02-411 44 13 of of ADP ajis02-411 44 14 models model NOUN ajis02-411 44 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 44 16 ranging range VERB ajis02-411 44 17 from from ADP ajis02-411 44 18 simple simple ADJ ajis02-411 44 19 linear linear ADJ ajis02-411 44 20 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 44 21 to to ADP ajis02-411 44 22 microsimulation microsimulation NOUN ajis02-411 44 23 models model NOUN ajis02-411 44 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 44 25 us us PROPN ajis02-411 44 26 general general ADJ ajis02-411 44 27 accounting accounting PROPN ajis02-411 44 28 office office NOUN ajis02-411 44 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 44 30 1984 1984 NUM ajis02-411 44 31 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 44 32 see see VERB ajis02-411 44 33 also also ADV ajis02-411 44 34 rhodes rhode NOUN ajis02-411 44 35 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 44 36 1990 1990 NUM ajis02-411 44 37 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 44 38 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 45 1 one one NUM ajis02-411 45 2 of of ADP ajis02-411 45 3 the the DET ajis02-411 45 4 first first ADJ ajis02-411 45 5 probabilistic probabilistic ADJ ajis02-411 45 6 models model NOUN ajis02-411 45 7 for for ADP ajis02-411 45 8 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 45 9 inmate inmate NOUN ajis02-411 45 10 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 45 11 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 45 12 parolee parolee PROPN ajis02-411 45 13 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 45 14 population population NOUN ajis02-411 45 15 was be AUX ajis02-411 45 16 developed develop VERB ajis02-411 45 17 by by ADP ajis02-411 45 18 stollmack stollmack NOUN ajis02-411 45 19 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 45 20 1973 1973 NUM ajis02-411 45 21 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 45 22 who who PRON ajis02-411 45 23 derived derive VERB ajis02-411 45 24 a a DET ajis02-411 45 25 model model NOUN ajis02-411 45 26 from from ADP ajis02-411 45 27 deterministic deterministic ADJ ajis02-411 45 28 differential differential ADJ ajis02-411 45 29 equations equation NOUN ajis02-411 45 30 representative representative NOUN ajis02-411 45 31 of of ADP ajis02-411 45 32 the the DET ajis02-411 45 33 correctional correctional ADJ ajis02-411 45 34 system system NOUN ajis02-411 45 35 input input NOUN ajis02-411 45 36 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 45 37 output output NOUN ajis02-411 45 38 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 45 39 i.e. i.e. X ajis02-411 45 40 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 45 41 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 45 42 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 45 43 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 45 44 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 45 45 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 46 1 the the DET ajis02-411 46 2 system system NOUN ajis02-411 46 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 46 4 differential differential ADJ ajis02-411 46 5 equations equation NOUN ajis02-411 46 6 was be AUX ajis02-411 46 7 shown show VERB ajis02-411 46 8 to to PART ajis02-411 46 9 yield yield VERB ajis02-411 46 10 a a DET ajis02-411 46 11 model model NOUN ajis02-411 46 12 identical identical ADJ ajis02-411 46 13 to to ADP ajis02-411 46 14 an an DET ajis02-411 46 15 infinite infinite ADJ ajis02-411 46 16 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 46 17 server server NOUN ajis02-411 46 18 queuing queuing NOUN ajis02-411 46 19 system system NOUN ajis02-411 46 20 with with ADP ajis02-411 46 21 exponential exponential ADJ ajis02-411 46 22 service service NOUN ajis02-411 46 23 times time NOUN ajis02-411 46 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 47 1 he he PRON ajis02-411 47 2 developed develop VERB ajis02-411 47 3 the the DET ajis02-411 47 4 model model NOUN ajis02-411 47 5 for for ADP ajis02-411 47 6 the the DET ajis02-411 47 7 case case NOUN ajis02-411 47 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 47 9 a a DET ajis02-411 47 10 general general ADJ ajis02-411 47 11 service service NOUN ajis02-411 47 12 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 47 13 time time NOUN ajis02-411 47 14 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 47 15 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 47 16 m m NOUN ajis02-411 47 17 / / SYM ajis02-411 47 18 gl/ gl/ VERB ajis02-411 47 19 ° ° NOUN ajis02-411 47 20 ° ° NUM ajis02-411 47 21 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 47 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 47 23 projected project VERB ajis02-411 47 24 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 47 25 for for ADP ajis02-411 47 26 the the DET ajis02-411 47 27 district district PROPN ajis02-411 47 28 of of ADP ajis02-411 47 29 columbia columbia PROPN ajis02-411 47 30 jails jails PROPN ajis02-411 47 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 48 1 the the DET ajis02-411 48 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 48 3 included include VERB ajis02-411 48 4 a a DET ajis02-411 48 5 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 48 6 intake intake NOUN ajis02-411 48 7 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 48 8 commitment commitment NOUN ajis02-411 48 9 rate.y rate.y PROPN ajis02-411 48 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 11 an an DET ajis02-411 48 12 exponential exponential ADJ ajis02-411 48 13 service service NOUN ajis02-411 48 14 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 48 15 with with ADP ajis02-411 48 16 service service NOUN ajis02-411 48 17 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 48 18 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 19 u u NOUN ajis02-411 48 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 48 23 associated associate VERB ajis02-411 48 24 service service NOUN ajis02-411 48 25 time time NOUN ajis02-411 48 26 s. s. PROPN ajis02-411 48 27 prison prison PROPN ajis02-411 48 28 population population NOUN ajis02-411 48 29 at at ADP ajis02-411 48 30 time time NOUN ajis02-411 48 31 t t PROPN ajis02-411 48 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 33 p p X ajis02-411 48 34 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 35 was be AUX ajis02-411 48 36 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 48 37 recursively recursively ADV ajis02-411 48 38 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 48 39 by by ADP ajis02-411 48 40 the the DET ajis02-411 48 41 following follow VERB ajis02-411 48 42 summation summation NOUN ajis02-411 48 43 of of ADP ajis02-411 48 44 retention retention NOUN ajis02-411 48 45 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 48 46 intake intake NOUN ajis02-411 48 47 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 48 48 p^p^-^+y p^p^-^+y PROPN ajis02-411 48 49 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 48 50 s s NOUN ajis02-411 48 51 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 48 52 o- > X ajis02-411 85 15 o o NOUN ajis02-411 85 16 7 7 X ajis02-411 85 17 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 85 18 •ssi.i •ssi.i NOUN ajis02-411 85 19 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 85 20 o o PROPN ajis02-411 85 21 september september PROPN ajis02-411 85 22 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 85 23 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 85 24 from from ADP ajis02-411 85 25 the the DET ajis02-411 85 26 released release VERB ajis02-411 85 27 population population NOUN ajis02-411 85 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 85 29 r r NOUN ajis02-411 85 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 85 31 arrive arrive VERB ajis02-411 85 32 via via ADP ajis02-411 85 33 a a DET ajis02-411 85 34 split split ADJ ajis02-411 85 35 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 85 36 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 85 37 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 85 38 model model NOUN ajis02-411 85 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 86 1 the the DET ajis02-411 86 2 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 86 3 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 86 4 function function NOUN ajis02-411 86 5 was be AUX ajis02-411 86 6 chosen choose VERB ajis02-411 86 7 because because SCONJ ajis02-411 86 8 the the DET ajis02-411 86 9 hazard hazard NOUN ajis02-411 86 10 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 86 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 86 12 this this DET ajis02-411 86 13 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 86 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 86 15 which which PRON ajis02-411 86 16 increases increase VERB ajis02-411 86 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 86 18 then then ADV ajis02-411 86 19 decreases decrease VERB ajis02-411 86 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 86 21 is be AUX ajis02-411 86 22 consistent consistent ADJ ajis02-411 86 23 with with ADP ajis02-411 86 24 observed observe VERB ajis02-411 86 25 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 86 26 patterns pattern NOUN ajis02-411 86 27 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 86 28 see see VERB ajis02-411 86 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 86 30 for for ADP ajis02-411 86 31 example example NOUN ajis02-411 86 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 86 33 schmidt schmidt PROPN ajis02-411 86 34 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 86 35 witte witte NOUN ajis02-411 86 36 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 86 37 1988 1988 NUM ajis02-411 86 38 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 86 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 87 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 87 2 the the DET ajis02-411 87 3 hazard hazard NOUN ajis02-411 87 4 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 87 5 associated associate VERB ajis02-411 87 6 with with ADP ajis02-411 87 7 the the DET ajis02-411 87 8 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 87 9 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 87 10 is be AUX ajis02-411 87 11 not not PART ajis02-411 87 12 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 87 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 87 14 the the DET ajis02-411 87 15 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 87 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 87 17 returning return VERB ajis02-411 87 18 to to ADP ajis02-411 87 19 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 87 20 at at ADP ajis02-411 87 21 time time NOUN ajis02-411 87 22 t t PROPN ajis02-411 87 23 is be AUX ajis02-411 87 24 conditional conditional ADJ ajis02-411 87 25 on on ADP ajis02-411 87 26 the the DET ajis02-411 87 27 time time NOUN ajis02-411 87 28 since since SCONJ ajis02-411 87 29 release release NOUN ajis02-411 87 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 88 1 specifically specifically ADV ajis02-411 88 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 3 the the DET ajis02-411 88 4 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 88 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 88 6 returning return VERB ajis02-411 88 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 88 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 88 9 in in ADP ajis02-411 88 10 period period NOUN ajis02-411 88 11 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 88 12 / / SYM ajis02-411 88 13 l l NOUN ajis02-411 88 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 15 t t PROPN ajis02-411 88 16 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 88 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 18 given give VERB ajis02-411 88 19 release release NOUN ajis02-411 88 20 in in ADP ajis02-411 88 21 period period NOUN ajis02-411 88 22 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 88 23 i-1 i-1 NUM ajis02-411 88 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 25 i i PRON ajis02-411 88 26 ] ] X ajis02-411 88 27 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 28 i i PRON ajis02-411 88 29 < < X ajis02-411 88 30 t t PROPN ajis02-411 88 31 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 32 is be AUX ajis02-411 88 33 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 88 34 where where SCONJ ajis02-411 88 35 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 88 36 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 88 37 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 88 38 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 88 39 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 88 40 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 41 \i \i ADJ ajis02-411 88 42 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 88 43 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 88 44 a a PRON ajis02-411 88 45 are be AUX ajis02-411 88 46 maximum maximum ADJ ajis02-411 88 47 likelihood likelihood NOUN ajis02-411 88 48 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 88 49 of of ADP ajis02-411 88 50 the the DET ajis02-411 88 51 split split ADJ ajis02-411 88 52 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 88 53 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 88 54 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 88 55 model model NOUN ajis02-411 88 56 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 89 1 the the DET ajis02-411 89 2 splitting splitting NOUN ajis02-411 89 3 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 89 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 89 5 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 89 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 89 7 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 89 8 splits split VERB ajis02-411 89 9 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 89 10 the the DET ajis02-411 89 11 released release VERB ajis02-411 89 12 population population NOUN ajis02-411 89 13 into into ADP ajis02-411 89 14 two two NUM ajis02-411 89 15 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 89 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 89 17 those those PRON ajis02-411 89 18 who who PRON ajis02-411 89 19 will will AUX ajis02-411 89 20 eventually eventually ADV ajis02-411 89 21 recidivate recidivate VERB ajis02-411 89 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 89 23 those those PRON ajis02-411 89 24 who who PRON ajis02-411 89 25 will will AUX ajis02-411 89 26 not not PART ajis02-411 89 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 90 1 inclusion inclusion NOUN ajis02-411 90 2 of of ADP ajis02-411 90 3 this this DET ajis02-411 90 4 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 90 5 adapts adapt VERB ajis02-411 90 6 the the DET ajis02-411 90 7 more more ADV ajis02-411 90 8 familiar familiar ADJ ajis02-411 90 9 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 90 10 model model NOUN ajis02-411 90 11 to to ADP ajis02-411 90 12 the the DET ajis02-411 90 13 situation situation NOUN ajis02-411 90 14 in in ADP ajis02-411 90 15 which which PRON ajis02-411 90 16 not not PART ajis02-411 90 17 all all DET ajis02-411 90 18 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 90 19 ultimately ultimately ADV ajis02-411 90 20 fail fail VERB ajis02-411 90 21 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 90 22 allows allow VERB ajis02-411 90 23 explicit explicit ADJ ajis02-411 90 24 consideration consideration NOUN ajis02-411 90 25 of of ADP ajis02-411 90 26 the the DET ajis02-411 90 27 career career NOUN ajis02-411 90 28 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 90 29 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 90 30 chronic chronic ADJ ajis02-411 90 31 offender offender NOUN ajis02-411 90 32 paradigm paradigm NOUN ajis02-411 90 33 since since SCONJ ajis02-411 90 34 desistance desistance NOUN ajis02-411 90 35 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 90 36 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 90 37 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 90 38 retirement retirement NOUN ajis02-411 90 39 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 90 40 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 90 41 is be AUX ajis02-411 90 42 accommodated accommodate VERB ajis02-411 90 43 by by ADP ajis02-411 90 44 this this DET ajis02-411 90 45 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 90 46 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 91 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 91 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 3 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 91 4 in in ADP ajis02-411 91 5 period period NOUN ajis02-411 91 6 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 91 7 t t PROPN ajis02-411 91 8 l l PROPN ajis02-411 91 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 10 t t PROPN ajis02-411 91 11 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 91 12 from from ADP ajis02-411 91 13 the the DET ajis02-411 91 14 released release VERB ajis02-411 91 15 population population NOUN ajis02-411 91 16 are be AUX ajis02-411 91 17 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 91 18 < < X ajis02-411 91 19 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 91 20 > > PUNCT ajis02-411 91 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 22 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 91 23 i i NOUN ajis02-411 91 24 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 91 25 -r,_u -r,_u PUNCT ajis02-411 91 26 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 91 27 6 6 NUM ajis02-411 91 28 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 91 29 1=1 1=1 NUM ajis02-411 91 30 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 91 31 can can AUX ajis02-411 91 32 be be AUX ajis02-411 91 33 seen see VERB ajis02-411 91 34 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 35 the the DET ajis02-411 91 36 number number NOUN ajis02-411 91 37 of of ADP ajis02-411 91 38 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 91 39 from from ADP ajis02-411 91 40 the the DET ajis02-411 91 41 released release VERB ajis02-411 91 42 population population NOUN ajis02-411 91 43 is be AUX ajis02-411 91 44 a a DET ajis02-411 91 45 function function NOUN ajis02-411 91 46 not not PART ajis02-411 91 47 only only ADV ajis02-411 91 48 of of ADP ajis02-411 91 49 the the DET ajis02-411 91 50 total total ADJ ajis02-411 91 51 number number NOUN ajis02-411 91 52 of of ADP ajis02-411 91 53 released release VERB ajis02-411 91 54 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 91 55 at at ADP ajis02-411 91 56 risk risk NOUN ajis02-411 91 57 in in ADP ajis02-411 91 58 the the DET ajis02-411 91 59 period period NOUN ajis02-411 91 60 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 91 61 t t PROPN ajis02-411 91 62 -1 -1 PROPN ajis02-411 91 63 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 64 t t PROPN ajis02-411 91 65 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 91 66 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 91 67 but but CCONJ ajis02-411 91 68 also also ADV ajis02-411 91 69 of of ADP ajis02-411 91 70 the the DET ajis02-411 91 71 time time NOUN ajis02-411 91 72 since since SCONJ ajis02-411 91 73 their their PRON ajis02-411 91 74 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 91 75 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 92 1 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 92 2 from from ADP ajis02-411 92 3 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 92 4 are be AUX ajis02-411 92 5 assumed assume VERB ajis02-411 92 6 to to PART ajis02-411 92 7 follow follow VERB ajis02-411 92 8 a a DET ajis02-411 92 9 negative negative ADJ ajis02-411 92 10 exponential exponential ADJ ajis02-411 92 11 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 92 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 92 13 where where SCONJ ajis02-411 92 14 sentence sentence NOUN ajis02-411 92 15 length length NOUN ajis02-411 92 16 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 92 17 service service NOUN ajis02-411 92 18 time time NOUN ajis02-411 92 19 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 92 20 is be AUX ajis02-411 92 21 dependent dependent ADJ ajis02-411 92 22 upon upon SCONJ ajis02-411 92 23 whether whether SCONJ ajis02-411 92 24 the the DET ajis02-411 92 25 inmate inmate NOUN ajis02-411 92 26 is be AUX ajis02-411 92 27 a a DET ajis02-411 92 28 first first ADJ ajis02-411 92 29 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 92 30 timer timer NOUN ajis02-411 92 31 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 92 32 a a DET ajis02-411 92 33 recidivist recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 92 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 93 1 these these DET ajis02-411 93 2 distributions distribution NOUN ajis02-411 93 3 have have AUX ajis02-411 93 4 means mean VERB ajis02-411 93 5 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 93 6 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 93 7 = = SYM ajis02-411 93 8 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 93 9 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 93 10 * * NUM ajis02-411 93 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 93 12 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 93 13 for for ADP ajis02-411 93 14 first first ADJ ajis02-411 93 15 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 93 16 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 93 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 93 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 93 19 tf tf NUM ajis02-411 93 20 =( =( ADJ ajis02-411 93 21 5^ 5^ PROPN ajis02-411 93 22 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 93 23 for for ADP ajis02-411 93 24 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 93 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 93 26 where where SCONJ ajis02-411 93 27 sf sf PROPN ajis02-411 93 28 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 93 29 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 93 30 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 93 31 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 93 32 are be AUX ajis02-411 93 33 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 93 34 of of ADP ajis02-411 93 35 the the DET ajis02-411 93 36 mean mean ADJ ajis02-411 93 37 time time NOUN ajis02-411 93 38 served serve VERB ajis02-411 93 39 for for ADP ajis02-411 93 40 first first ADJ ajis02-411 93 41 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 93 42 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 93 43 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 93 44 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 93 45 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 93 46 respectively respectively ADV ajis02-411 93 47 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 94 1 the the DET ajis02-411 94 2 general general ADJ ajis02-411 94 3 model model NOUN ajis02-411 94 4 for for ADP ajis02-411 94 5 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 94 6 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 94 7 population population NOUN ajis02-411 94 8 at at ADP ajis02-411 94 9 time time NOUN ajis02-411 94 10 t t PROPN ajis02-411 94 11 is be AUX ajis02-411 94 12 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 94 13 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 94 14 p p X ajis02-411 94 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 94 16 = = PUNCT ajis02-411 94 17 /£ /£ NOUN ajis02-411 94 18 •*- •*- PRON ajis02-411 94 19 '' '' PUNCT ajis02-411 94 20 + + CCONJ ajis02-411 94 21 / / SYM ajis02-411 94 22 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 94 23 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 95 1 -e -e X ajis02-411 95 2 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 95 3 + + NOUN ajis02-411 95 4 c c NOUN ajis02-411 95 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 95 6 vsf-(i-*the vsf-(i-*the ADJ ajis02-411 95 7 number number NOUN ajis02-411 95 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 95 9 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 95 10 in in ADP ajis02-411 95 11 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 95 12 at at ADP ajis02-411 95 13 time time NOUN ajis02-411 95 14 / / PUNCT ajis02-411 95 15 is be AUX ajis02-411 95 16 the the DET ajis02-411 95 17 sum sum NOUN ajis02-411 95 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 95 19 those those PRON ajis02-411 95 20 admitted admit VERB ajis02-411 95 21 prior prior ADV ajis02-411 95 22 to to ADP ajis02-411 95 23 time time NOUN ajis02-411 95 24 t t PROPN ajis02-411 95 25 who who PRON ajis02-411 95 26 have have AUX ajis02-411 95 27 not not PART ajis02-411 95 28 been be AUX ajis02-411 95 29 released release VERB ajis02-411 95 30 by by ADP ajis02-411 95 31 t t PROPN ajis02-411 95 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 95 33 plus plus CCONJ ajis02-411 95 34 those those PRON ajis02-411 95 35 admitted admit VERB ajis02-411 95 36 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 95 37 not not PART ajis02-411 95 38 released release VERB ajis02-411 95 39 between between ADP ajis02-411 95 40 t t PROPN ajis02-411 95 41 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 95 42 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 95 43 t. t. NOUN ajis02-411 95 44 iteration iteration NOUN ajis02-411 95 45 of of ADP ajis02-411 95 46 this this DET ajis02-411 95 47 model model NOUN ajis02-411 95 48 produces produce VERB ajis02-411 95 49 subsequent subsequent ADJ ajis02-411 95 50 population population NOUN ajis02-411 95 51 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 95 52 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 96 1 it it PRON ajis02-411 96 2 should should AUX ajis02-411 96 3 be be AUX ajis02-411 96 4 noted note VERB ajis02-411 96 5 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 96 6 the the DET ajis02-411 96 7 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 96 8 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 96 9 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 96 10 is be AUX ajis02-411 96 11 not not PART ajis02-411 96 12 necessarily necessarily ADV ajis02-411 96 13 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 96 14 over over ADP ajis02-411 96 15 time time NOUN ajis02-411 96 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 96 17 but but CCONJ ajis02-411 96 18 instead instead ADV ajis02-411 96 19 is be AUX ajis02-411 96 20 a a DET ajis02-411 96 21 function function NOUN ajis02-411 96 22 of of ADP ajis02-411 96 23 the the DET ajis02-411 96 24 number number NOUN ajis02-411 96 25 of of ADP ajis02-411 96 26 released release VERB ajis02-411 96 27 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 96 28 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 96 29 the the DET ajis02-411 96 30 timing timing NOUN ajis02-411 96 31 of of ADP ajis02-411 96 32 their their PRON ajis02-411 96 33 release release NOUN ajis02-411 96 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 97 1 note note VERB ajis02-411 97 2 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 97 3 a a DET ajis02-411 97 4 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 97 5 overall overall ADJ ajis02-411 97 6 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 97 7 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 97 8 implies imply VERB ajis02-411 97 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 97 10 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 97 11 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 97 12 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 97 13 * * ADJ ajis02-411 97 14 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 97 15 -u -u PUNCT ajis02-411 97 16 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 97 17 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 97 18 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 97 19 « « PUNCT ajis02-411 97 20 = = NOUN ajis02-411 97 21 * * NOUN ajis02-411 97 22 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 97 23 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 97 24 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 97 25 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 97 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 97 27 + + X ajis02-411 97 28 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 97 29 > > SYM ajis02-411 97 30 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 97 31 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 97 32 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 97 33 / / SYM ajis02-411 97 34 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 97 35 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 97 36 /u /u PUNCT ajis02-411 97 37 / / SYM ajis02-411 97 38 n n CCONJ ajis02-411 97 39 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 97 40 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 97 41 8) 8) NUM ajis02-411 97 42 i i NOUN ajis02-411 98 1 = = NOUN ajis02-411 98 2 i i PRON ajis02-411 98 3 1=1 1=1 NUM ajis02-411 98 4 there there PRON ajis02-411 98 5 is be VERB ajis02-411 98 6 no no DET ajis02-411 98 7 reason reason NOUN ajis02-411 98 8 to to PART ajis02-411 98 9 assume assume VERB ajis02-411 98 10 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 98 11 this this DET ajis02-411 98 12 equality equality NOUN ajis02-411 98 13 will will AUX ajis02-411 98 14 hold hold VERB ajis02-411 98 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 98 16 particularly particularly ADV ajis02-411 98 17 in in ADP ajis02-411 98 18 times time NOUN ajis02-411 98 19 of of ADP ajis02-411 98 20 large large ADJ ajis02-411 98 21 demographic demographic ADJ ajis02-411 98 22 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 98 23 in in ADP ajis02-411 98 24 the the DET ajis02-411 98 25 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 98 26 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 99 1 the the DET ajis02-411 99 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 99 3 presented present VERB ajis02-411 99 4 in in ADP ajis02-411 99 5 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 99 6 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 99 7 7 7 X ajis02-411 99 8 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 99 9 assumes assume VERB ajis02-411 99 10 only only ADV ajis02-411 99 11 two two NUM ajis02-411 99 12 homogeneous homogeneous ADJ ajis02-411 99 13 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 99 14 from from ADP ajis02-411 99 15 which which PRON ajis02-411 99 16 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 99 17 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 99 18 are be AUX ajis02-411 99 19 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 99 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 100 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 100 2 propensity propensity NOUN ajis02-411 100 3 to to ADP ajis02-411 100 4 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 100 5 varies varie NOUN ajis02-411 100 6 by by ADP ajis02-411 100 7 age age NOUN ajis02-411 100 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 100 9 race race NOUN ajis02-411 100 10 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 100 11 sex sex NOUN ajis02-411 100 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 100 13 improvements improvement NOUN ajis02-411 100 14 in in ADP ajis02-411 100 15 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 100 16 can can AUX ajis02-411 100 17 be be AUX ajis02-411 100 18 achieved achieve VERB ajis02-411 100 19 by by ADP ajis02-411 100 20 estimating estimate VERB ajis02-411 100 21 the the DET ajis02-411 100 22 model model NOUN ajis02-411 100 23 for for ADP ajis02-411 100 24 specific specific ADJ ajis02-411 100 25 demographically demographically ADV ajis02-411 100 26 homogeneous homogeneous ADJ ajis02-411 100 27 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 100 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 100 29 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 100 30 suggested suggest VERB ajis02-411 100 31 by by ADP ajis02-411 100 32 stollmack stollmack NOUN ajis02-411 100 33 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 100 34 1973 1973 NUM ajis02-411 100 35 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 100 36 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 100 37 incorporated incorporate VERB ajis02-411 100 38 into into ADP ajis02-411 100 39 the the DET ajis02-411 100 40 models model NOUN ajis02-411 100 41 of of ADP ajis02-411 100 42 bcm bcm NOUN ajis02-411 100 43 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 100 44 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 100 45 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 100 46 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 100 47 barnett barnett PROPN ajis02-411 100 48 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 100 49 1987 1987 NUM ajis02-411 100 50 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 100 51 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 101 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 101 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 101 3 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 101 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 101 5 7 7 X ajis02-411 101 6 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 101 7 will will AUX ajis02-411 101 8 be be AUX ajis02-411 101 9 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 101 10 for for ADP ajis02-411 101 11 age age NOUN ajis02-411 101 12 / / SYM ajis02-411 101 13 race race NOUN ajis02-411 101 14 / / SYM ajis02-411 101 15 sex sex NOUN ajis02-411 101 16 specific specific ADJ ajis02-411 101 17 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 101 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 101 19 the the DET ajis02-411 101 20 total total NOUN ajis02-411 101 21 p p NOUN ajis02-411 101 22 will will AUX ajis02-411 101 23 be be AUX ajis02-411 101 24 found find VERB ajis02-411 101 25 by by ADP ajis02-411 101 26 summing sum VERB ajis02-411 101 27 over over ADP ajis02-411 101 28 the the DET ajis02-411 101 29 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 101 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 102 1 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 102 2 different different ADJ ajis02-411 102 3 age age NOUN ajis02-411 102 4 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 102 5 are be AUX ajis02-411 102 6 considered consider VERB ajis02-411 102 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 102 8 a a DET ajis02-411 102 9 small small ADJ ajis02-411 102 10 complication complication NOUN ajis02-411 102 11 arises arise VERB ajis02-411 102 12 with with ADP ajis02-411 102 13 respect respect NOUN ajis02-411 102 14 to to ADP ajis02-411 102 15 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 102 16 aging age VERB ajis02-411 102 17 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 102 18 the the DET ajis02-411 102 19 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 102 20 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 102 21 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 103 1 specifically specifically ADV ajis02-411 103 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 103 3 the the DET ajis02-411 103 4 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 103 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 103 6 returning return VERB ajis02-411 103 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 103 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 103 9 is be AUX ajis02-411 103 10 a a DET ajis02-411 103 11 function function NOUN ajis02-411 103 12 of of ADP ajis02-411 103 13 age age NOUN ajis02-411 103 14 at at ADP ajis02-411 103 15 release release NOUN ajis02-411 103 16 from from ADP ajis02-411 103 17 the the DET ajis02-411 103 18 last last ADJ ajis02-411 103 19 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 103 20 to to ADP ajis02-411 103 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 103 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 104 1 by by ADP ajis02-411 104 2 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 104 3 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 4 6 6 NUM ajis02-411 104 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 104 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 7 the the DET ajis02-411 104 8 number number NOUN ajis02-411 104 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 104 10 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 104 11 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 104 12 of of ADP ajis02-411 104 13 age age NOUN ajis02-411 104 14 class class NOUN ajis02-411 104 15 a a PRON ajis02-411 104 16 in in ADP ajis02-411 104 17 period period NOUN ajis02-411 104 18 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 19 t t PROPN ajis02-411 104 20 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 104 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 22 t t PROPN ajis02-411 104 23 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 104 24 is be AUX ajis02-411 104 25 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 104 26 6 6 NUM ajis02-411 104 27 ajis ajis NOUN ajis02-411 104 28 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 29 9 9 NUM ajis02-411 104 30 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 104 31 where where SCONJ ajis02-411 104 32 < < X ajis02-411 104 33 j j X ajis02-411 104 34 > > X ajis02-411 104 35 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 104 36 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 37 / / SYM ajis02-411 104 38 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 39 a a PRON ajis02-411 104 40 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 104 41 is be AUX ajis02-411 104 42 the the DET ajis02-411 104 43 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 104 44 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 104 45 a a DET ajis02-411 104 46 member member NOUN ajis02-411 104 47 of of ADP ajis02-411 104 48 age age NOUN ajis02-411 104 49 class class NOUN ajis02-411 104 50 a a PRON ajis02-411 104 51 at at ADP ajis02-411 104 52 the the DET ajis02-411 104 53 previous previous ADJ ajis02-411 104 54 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 104 55 returns return NOUN ajis02-411 104 56 to to ADP ajis02-411 104 57 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 104 58 in in ADP ajis02-411 104 59 period period NOUN ajis02-411 104 60 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 61 ti ti X ajis02-411 104 62 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 63 t t PROPN ajis02-411 104 64 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 104 65 given give VERB ajis02-411 104 66 release release NOUN ajis02-411 104 67 in in ADP ajis02-411 104 68 period period NOUN ajis02-411 104 69 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 70 i i PRON ajis02-411 104 71 / / SYM ajis02-411 104 72 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 73 i i PRON ajis02-411 104 74 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 104 75 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 104 76 r. r. PROPN ajis02-411 104 77 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 78 a a NOUN ajis02-411 104 79 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 104 80 is be AUX ajis02-411 104 81 the the DET ajis02-411 104 82 number number NOUN ajis02-411 104 83 of of ADP ajis02-411 104 84 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 104 85 who who PRON ajis02-411 104 86 were be AUX ajis02-411 104 87 in in ADP ajis02-411 104 88 age age NOUN ajis02-411 104 89 class class NOUN ajis02-411 104 90 a a PRON ajis02-411 104 91 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 104 92 admitted admit VERB ajis02-411 104 93 prior prior ADV ajis02-411 104 94 to to ADP ajis02-411 104 95 release release NOUN ajis02-411 104 96 in in ADP ajis02-411 104 97 period period NOUN ajis02-411 104 98 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 104 99 i i NOUN ajis02-411 104 100 / / SYM ajis02-411 104 101 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 104 102 / / PUNCT ajis02-411 104 103 ] ] X ajis02-411 104 104 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 105 1 however however ADV ajis02-411 105 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 105 3 some some PRON ajis02-411 105 4 of of ADP ajis02-411 105 5 the the DET ajis02-411 105 6 r. r. PROPN ajis02-411 105 7 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 106 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 106 2 a a X ajis02-411 106 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 106 4 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 106 5 will will AUX ajis02-411 106 6 have have AUX ajis02-411 106 7 aged age VERB ajis02-411 106 8 into into ADP ajis02-411 106 9 an an DET ajis02-411 106 10 older old ADJ ajis02-411 106 11 class class NOUN ajis02-411 106 12 prior prior ADV ajis02-411 106 13 to to ADP ajis02-411 106 14 this this DET ajis02-411 106 15 new new ADJ ajis02-411 106 16 commitment commitment NOUN ajis02-411 106 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 106 18 some some DET ajis02-411 106 19 members member NOUN ajis02-411 106 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 106 21 younger young ADJ ajis02-411 106 22 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 106 23 will will AUX ajis02-411 106 24 have have AUX ajis02-411 106 25 aged age VERB ajis02-411 106 26 into into ADP ajis02-411 106 27 class class NOUN ajis02-411 106 28 a. a. NOUN ajis02-411 106 29 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 106 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 106 31 aging aging NOUN ajis02-411 106 32 of of ADP ajis02-411 106 33 the the DET ajis02-411 106 34 commitment commitment NOUN ajis02-411 106 35 population population NOUN ajis02-411 106 36 is be AUX ajis02-411 106 37 necessary necessary ADJ ajis02-411 106 38 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 107 1 finally finally ADV ajis02-411 107 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 107 3 the the DET ajis02-411 107 4 model model NOUN ajis02-411 107 5 presented present VERB ajis02-411 107 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 107 7 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 107 8 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 107 9 7 7 X ajis02-411 107 10 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 107 11 assumes assume VERB ajis02-411 107 12 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 107 13 pt pt X ajis02-411 107 14 < < X ajis02-411 107 15 pf pf PROPN ajis02-411 107 16 ° ° PROPN ajis02-411 107 17 p p NOUN ajis02-411 107 18 for for ADP ajis02-411 107 19 all all PRON ajis02-411 107 20 /. /. PUNCT ajis02-411 108 1 rather rather ADV ajis02-411 108 2 than than ADP ajis02-411 108 3 population population NOUN ajis02-411 108 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 108 5 this this DET ajis02-411 108 6 model model NOUN ajis02-411 108 7 actually actually ADV ajis02-411 108 8 predicts predict VERB ajis02-411 108 9 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 108 10 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 108 11 what what PRON ajis02-411 108 12 stollmack stollmack NOUN ajis02-411 108 13 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 108 14 1973 1973 NUM ajis02-411 108 15 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 108 16 referred refer VERB ajis02-411 108 17 to to ADP ajis02-411 108 18 as as ADP ajis02-411 108 19 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 108 20 population population NOUN ajis02-411 108 21 pressure pressure NOUN ajis02-411 108 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 108 23 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 109 1 imposition imposition NOUN ajis02-411 109 2 of of ADP ajis02-411 109 3 a a DET ajis02-411 109 4 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 109 5 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 109 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 7 e.g. e.g. ADV ajis02-411 109 8 p^af p^af NOUN ajis02-411 109 9 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 109 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 11 can can AUX ajis02-411 109 12 be be AUX ajis02-411 109 13 operationalized operationalize VERB ajis02-411 109 14 by by ADP ajis02-411 109 15 assuming assume VERB ajis02-411 109 16 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 109 17 the the DET ajis02-411 109 18 s s NOUN ajis02-411 109 19 will will AUX ajis02-411 109 20 be be AUX ajis02-411 109 21 reduced reduce VERB ajis02-411 109 22 as as ADP ajis02-411 109 23 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 109 24 are be AUX ajis02-411 109 25 released release VERB ajis02-411 109 26 early early ADV ajis02-411 109 27 to to PART ajis02-411 109 28 meet meet VERB ajis02-411 109 29 the the DET ajis02-411 109 30 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 109 31 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 109 32 under under ADP ajis02-411 109 33 a a DET ajis02-411 109 34 status status NOUN ajis02-411 109 35 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 109 36 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 109 37 assumption assumption NOUN ajis02-411 109 38 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 109 39 meaning mean VERB ajis02-411 109 40 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 109 41 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 109 42 incarcerated incarcerate VERB ajis02-411 109 43 at at ADP ajis02-411 109 44 time time NOUN ajis02-411 109 45 f f PROPN ajis02-411 109 46 = = SYM ajis02-411 109 47 0 0 PROPN ajis02-411 109 48 will will AUX ajis02-411 109 49 serve serve VERB ajis02-411 109 50 the the DET ajis02-411 109 51 same same ADJ ajis02-411 109 52 sentence sentence NOUN ajis02-411 109 53 as as ADP ajis02-411 109 54 those those PRON ajis02-411 109 55 imprisoned imprison VERB ajis02-411 109 56 in in ADP ajis02-411 109 57 t t PROPN ajis02-411 109 58 = = SYM ajis02-411 109 59 t t PROPN ajis02-411 109 60 + + CCONJ ajis02-411 109 61 n n CCONJ ajis02-411 109 62 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 109 63 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 109 64 given give VERB ajis02-411 109 65 that that PRON ajis02-411 109 66 p p NOUN ajis02-411 109 67 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 109 68 c c PROPN ajis02-411 109 69 are be AUX ajis02-411 109 70 known know VERB ajis02-411 109 71 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 72 the the DET ajis02-411 109 73 number number NOUN ajis02-411 109 74 of of ADP ajis02-411 109 75 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 109 76 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 109 77 from from ADP ajis02-411 109 78 each each DET ajis02-411 109 79 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 109 80 population population NOUN ajis02-411 109 81 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 109 82 required require VERB ajis02-411 109 83 in in ADP ajis02-411 109 84 the the DET ajis02-411 109 85 interval interval NOUN ajis02-411 109 86 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 109 87 t t PROPN ajis02-411 109 88 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 109 89 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 90 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 109 91 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 109 92 is be AUX ajis02-411 109 93 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 109 94 * * ADJ ajis02-411 109 95 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 96 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 109 97 „ „ NOUN ajis02-411 109 98 = = SYM ajis02-411 109 99 p,- p,- NOUN ajis02-411 109 100 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 109 101 • • X ajis02-411 109 102 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 109 103 i i PRON ajis02-411 109 104 o o NOUN ajis02-411 110 1 + + CCONJ ajis02-411 110 2 c,- c,- NOUN ajis02-411 110 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 5 • • X ajis02-411 110 6 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 110 7 i i PRON ajis02-411 110 8 t t PROPN ajis02-411 110 9 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 110 10 • • NOUN ajis02-411 110 11 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 110 12 i i PRON ajis02-411 110 13 o o NOUN ajis02-411 110 14 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 110 15 the the DET ajis02-411 110 16 number number NOUN ajis02-411 110 17 of of ADP ajis02-411 110 18 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 110 19 required require VERB ajis02-411 110 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 21 however however ADV ajis02-411 110 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 23 is be AUX ajis02-411 110 24 cr cr NOUN ajis02-411 110 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 26 = = NOUN ajis02-411 110 27 * * NOUN ajis02-411 110 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 110 29 .,+ .,+ NOUN ajis02-411 111 1 ̂ ̂ PROPN ajis02-411 111 2 t t NOUN ajis02-411 111 3 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 111 4 given give VERB ajis02-411 111 5 that that DET ajis02-411 111 6 r^ap r^ap NOUN ajis02-411 111 7 is be AUX ajis02-411 111 8 known know VERB ajis02-411 111 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 111 10 the the DET ajis02-411 111 11 following follow VERB ajis02-411 111 12 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 111 13 identifies identify VERB ajis02-411 111 14 t t PROPN ajis02-411 111 15 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 111 16 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 111 17 the the DET ajis02-411 111 18 time time NOUN ajis02-411 111 19 served serve VERB ajis02-411 111 20 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 111 21 required require VERB ajis02-411 111 22 to to PART ajis02-411 111 23 satisfy satisfy VERB ajis02-411 111 24 the the DET ajis02-411 111 25 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 111 26 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 111 27 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 111 28 a a DET ajis02-411 111 29 search search NOUN ajis02-411 111 30 routine routine NOUN ajis02-411 111 31 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 111 32 bisection bisection NOUN ajis02-411 111 33 method method NOUN ajis02-411 111 34 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 111 35 was be AUX ajis02-411 111 36 used use VERB ajis02-411 111 37 to to PART ajis02-411 111 38 identify identify VERB ajis02-411 111 39 t t PROPN ajis02-411 111 40 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 111 41 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 112 1 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 112 2 p p PROPN ajis02-411 112 3 ap ap PROPN ajis02-411 112 4 > > X ajis02-411 112 5 p p X ajis02-411 112 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 112 7 status status NOUN ajis02-411 112 8 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 112 9 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 112 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 112 11 population population NOUN ajis02-411 112 12 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 112 13 are be AUX ajis02-411 112 14 obtained obtain VERB ajis02-411 112 15 from from ADP ajis02-411 112 16 equation equation NOUN ajis02-411 112 17 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 112 18 7 7 NUM ajis02-411 112 19 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 112 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 112 21 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 112 22 providing provide VERB ajis02-411 112 23 an an DET ajis02-411 112 24 upper upper ADJ ajis02-411 112 25 bound bind VERB ajis02-411 112 26 on on ADP ajis02-411 112 27 expected expected ADJ ajis02-411 112 28 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 112 29 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 113 1 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 113 2 p p PROPN ajis02-411 113 3 ap ap PROPN ajis02-411 113 4 < < X ajis02-411 113 5 p p X ajis02-411 113 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 113 7 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 113 8 p p PRON ajis02-411 113 9 ap ap PROPN ajis02-411 113 10 is be AUX ajis02-411 113 11 known know VERB ajis02-411 113 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 113 13 the the DET ajis02-411 113 14 new new ADJ ajis02-411 113 15 service service NOUN ajis02-411 113 16 times time NOUN ajis02-411 113 17 needed need VERB ajis02-411 113 18 to to PART ajis02-411 113 19 meet meet VERB ajis02-411 113 20 available available ADJ ajis02-411 113 21 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 113 22 can can AUX ajis02-411 113 23 be be AUX ajis02-411 113 24 obtained obtain VERB ajis02-411 113 25 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 114 1 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 114 2 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 114 3 estimation estimation NOUN ajis02-411 114 4 methods method NOUN ajis02-411 114 5 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 114 6 were be AUX ajis02-411 114 7 obtained obtain VERB ajis02-411 114 8 for for ADP ajis02-411 114 9 the the DET ajis02-411 114 10 state state NOUN ajis02-411 114 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 114 12 north north PROPN ajis02-411 114 13 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 114 14 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 115 1 population population NOUN ajis02-411 115 2 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 115 3 by by ADP ajis02-411 115 4 age age NOUN ajis02-411 115 5 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 115 6 race race NOUN ajis02-411 115 7 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 115 8 were be AUX ajis02-411 115 9 provided provide VERB ajis02-411 115 10 by by ADP ajis02-411 115 11 the the DET ajis02-411 115 12 north north PROPN ajis02-411 115 13 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 115 14 office office PROPN ajis02-411 115 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 115 16 budget budget NOUN ajis02-411 115 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 115 18 management management NOUN ajis02-411 115 19 for for ADP ajis02-411 115 20 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 115 21 through through ADP ajis02-411 115 22 the the DET ajis02-411 115 23 year year NOUN ajis02-411 115 24 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 115 25 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 116 1 the the DET ajis02-411 116 2 north north PROPN ajis02-411 116 3 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 116 4 department department PROPN ajis02-411 116 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 116 6 correction correction NOUN ajis02-411 116 7 provided provide VERB ajis02-411 116 8 information information NOUN ajis02-411 116 9 on on ADP ajis02-411 116 10 the the DET ajis02-411 116 11 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 116 12 of of ADP ajis02-411 116 13 first first ADJ ajis02-411 116 14 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 116 15 time time NOUN ajis02-411 116 16 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 116 17 by by ADP ajis02-411 116 18 age age NOUN ajis02-411 116 19 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 116 20 race race NOUN ajis02-411 116 21 group group NOUN ajis02-411 116 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 116 23 average average ADJ ajis02-411 116 24 annual annual ADJ ajis02-411 116 25 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 116 26 population population NOUN ajis02-411 116 27 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 116 28 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 116 29 through through ADP ajis02-411 116 30 1988 1988 NUM ajis02-411 116 31 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 116 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 116 33 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 116 34 the the DET ajis02-411 116 35 number number NOUN ajis02-411 116 36 of of ADP ajis02-411 116 37 releasees releasees PROPN ajis02-411 116 38 in in ADP ajis02-411 116 39 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 116 40 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 117 1 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 117 2 to to PART ajis02-411 117 3 estimate estimate VERB ajis02-411 117 4 the the DET ajis02-411 117 5 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 117 6 models model NOUN ajis02-411 117 7 were be AUX ajis02-411 117 8 obtained obtain VERB ajis02-411 117 9 from from ADP ajis02-411 117 10 the the DET ajis02-411 117 11 inter inter ADJ ajis02-411 117 12 - - ADJ ajis02-411 117 13 university university ADJ ajis02-411 117 14 consortium consortium NOUN ajis02-411 117 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 117 16 political political ADJ ajis02-411 117 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 117 18 social social ADJ ajis02-411 117 19 research research NOUN ajis02-411 117 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 118 1 these these DET ajis02-411 118 2 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 118 3 comprise comprise VERB ajis02-411 118 4 the the DET ajis02-411 118 5 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 118 6 north north PROPN ajis02-411 118 7 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 118 8 release release PROPN ajis02-411 118 9 cohort cohort NOUN ajis02-411 118 10 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 118 11 set set VERB ajis02-411 118 12 described describe VERB ajis02-411 118 13 in in ADP ajis02-411 118 14 schmidt schmidt PROPN ajis02-411 118 15 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 118 16 witte witte NOUN ajis02-411 118 17 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 118 18 1988 1988 NUM ajis02-411 118 19 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 118 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 119 1 this this DET ajis02-411 119 2 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 119 3 set set NOUN ajis02-411 119 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 119 5 henceforth henceforth ADV ajis02-411 119 6 referred refer VERB ajis02-411 119 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 119 8 as as ADP ajis02-411 119 9 the the DET ajis02-411 119 10 s&w s&w PROPN ajis02-411 119 11 sample sample NOUN ajis02-411 119 12 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 119 13 contains contain VERB ajis02-411 119 14 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 119 15 information information NOUN ajis02-411 119 16 for for ADP ajis02-411 119 17 9,549 9,549 NUM ajis02-411 119 18 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 119 19 released release VERB ajis02-411 119 20 from from ADP ajis02-411 119 21 north north PROPN ajis02-411 119 22 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 119 23 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 119 24 between between ADP ajis02-411 119 25 july july PROPN ajis02-411 119 26 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 119 27 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 119 28 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 119 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 119 30 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 119 31 june june PROPN ajis02-411 119 32 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 119 33 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 119 34 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 119 35 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 120 1 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 120 2 will will AUX ajis02-411 120 3 be be AUX ajis02-411 120 4 made make VERB ajis02-411 120 5 for for ADP ajis02-411 120 6 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 120 7 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 120 8 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 120 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 120 10 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 120 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 121 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 121 2 male male ADJ ajis02-411 121 3 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 121 4 comprise comprise VERB ajis02-411 121 5 about about ADP ajis02-411 121 6 % % NOUN ajis02-411 121 7 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 121 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 121 9 the the DET ajis02-411 121 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 121 11 population population NOUN ajis02-411 121 12 in in ADP ajis02-411 121 13 north north PROPN ajis02-411 121 14 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 121 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 121 16 forecasts forecast NOUN ajis02-411 121 17 will will AUX ajis02-411 121 18 be be AUX ajis02-411 121 19 made make VERB ajis02-411 121 20 only only ADV ajis02-411 121 21 for for ADP ajis02-411 121 22 males male NOUN ajis02-411 121 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 122 1 specifically specifically ADV ajis02-411 122 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 122 3 first first ADJ ajis02-411 122 4 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 122 5 timer timer NOUN ajis02-411 122 6 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 122 7 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 122 8 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 122 9 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 122 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 122 11 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 122 12 will will AUX ajis02-411 122 13 be be AUX ajis02-411 122 14 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 122 15 by by ADP ajis02-411 122 16 race race NOUN ajis02-411 122 17 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 122 18 white white ADJ ajis02-411 122 19 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 122 20 non non ADJ ajis02-411 122 21 - - ADJ ajis02-411 122 22 white white ADJ ajis02-411 122 23 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 122 24 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 122 25 age age NOUN ajis02-411 122 26 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 123 1 seven seven NUM ajis02-411 123 2 age age NOUN ajis02-411 123 3 categories category NOUN ajis02-411 123 4 will will AUX ajis02-411 123 5 be be AUX ajis02-411 123 6 used use VERB ajis02-411 123 7 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 123 8 [ [ X ajis02-411 123 9 15,20 15,20 NUM ajis02-411 123 10 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 123 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 123 12 [ [ X ajis02-411 123 13 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 123 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 123 15 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 123 16 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 123 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 123 18 ... ... PUNCT ajis02-411 123 19 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 124 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 124 2 40,45 40,45 NOUN ajis02-411 124 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 124 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 124 5 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 124 6 [ [ X ajis02-411 124 7 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 124 8 + + NOUN ajis02-411 124 9 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 124 10 years year NOUN ajis02-411 124 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 125 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 125 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 125 3 we we PRON ajis02-411 125 4 have have VERB ajis02-411 125 5 14 14 NUM ajis02-411 125 6 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 125 7 for for ADP ajis02-411 125 8 each each PRON ajis02-411 125 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 125 10 our our PRON ajis02-411 125 11 two two NUM ajis02-411 125 12 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 125 13 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 126 1 the the DET ajis02-411 126 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 126 3 was be AUX ajis02-411 126 4 initialized initialize VERB ajis02-411 126 5 using use VERB ajis02-411 126 6 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 126 7 for for ADP ajis02-411 126 8 the the DET ajis02-411 126 9 year year NOUN ajis02-411 126 10 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 126 11 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 126 12 t t NOUN ajis02-411 126 13 = = SYM ajis02-411 126 14 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 126 15 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 126 16 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 126 17 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 126 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 126 19 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 126 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 126 21 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 126 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 126 23 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 126 24 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 126 25 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 126 26 were be AUX ajis02-411 126 27 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 126 28 for for ADP ajis02-411 126 29 the the DET ajis02-411 126 30 years year NOUN ajis02-411 126 31 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 126 32 through through ADP ajis02-411 126 33 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 126 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 127 1 the the DET ajis02-411 127 2 average average ADJ ajis02-411 127 3 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 127 4 male male ADJ ajis02-411 127 5 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 127 6 population population NOUN ajis02-411 127 7 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 127 8 /^ /^ PUNCT ajis02-411 127 9 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 127 10 was be AUX ajis02-411 127 11 13,489 13,489 NUM ajis02-411 127 12 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 128 1 to to PART ajis02-411 128 2 properly properly ADV ajis02-411 128 3 initialize initialize VERB ajis02-411 128 4 the the DET ajis02-411 128 5 model model NOUN ajis02-411 128 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 128 7 the the DET ajis02-411 128 8 population population NOUN ajis02-411 128 9 was be AUX ajis02-411 128 10 disaggregated disaggregate VERB ajis02-411 128 11 by by ADP ajis02-411 128 12 age age NOUN ajis02-411 128 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 128 14 race race NOUN ajis02-411 128 15 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 128 16 previous previous ADJ ajis02-411 128 17 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 128 18 status status NOUN ajis02-411 128 19 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 128 20 first first ADJ ajis02-411 128 21 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 128 22 timerversus timerversus NOUN ajis02-411 128 23 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 128 24 recidivist recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 128 25 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 128 26 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 128 27 shown show VERB ajis02-411 128 28 in in ADP ajis02-411 128 29 table table NOUN ajis02-411 128 30 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 128 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 129 1 the the DET ajis02-411 129 2 number number NOUN ajis02-411 129 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 129 4 males male NOUN ajis02-411 129 5 released release VERB ajis02-411 129 6 from from ADP ajis02-411 129 7 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 129 8 in in ADP ajis02-411 129 9 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 129 10 was be AUX ajis02-411 129 11 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 129 12 to to PART ajis02-411 129 13 be be AUX ajis02-411 129 14 8,919 8,919 NUM ajis02-411 129 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 130 1 this this DET ajis02-411 130 2 total total NOUN ajis02-411 130 3 was be AUX ajis02-411 130 4 disaggregated disaggregate VERB ajis02-411 130 5 into into ADP ajis02-411 130 6 age age NOUN ajis02-411 130 7 / / SYM ajis02-411 130 8 race race NOUN ajis02-411 130 9 categories category NOUN ajis02-411 130 10 using use VERB ajis02-411 130 11 the the DET ajis02-411 130 12 age age NOUN ajis02-411 130 13 / / SYM ajis02-411 130 14 race race NOUN ajis02-411 130 15 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 130 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 130 17 the the DET ajis02-411 130 18 s&w s&w PROPN ajis02-411 130 19 sample sample NOUN ajis02-411 130 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 131 1 this this DET ajis02-411 131 2 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 131 3 is be AUX ajis02-411 131 4 also also ADV ajis02-411 131 5 included include VERB ajis02-411 131 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 131 7 table table NOUN ajis02-411 131 8 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 131 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 132 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 132 2 this this DET ajis02-411 132 3 release release NOUN ajis02-411 132 4 cohort cohort NOUN ajis02-411 132 5 represents represent VERB ajis02-411 132 6 only only ADV ajis02-411 132 7 a a DET ajis02-411 132 8 fraction fraction NOUN ajis02-411 132 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 132 10 the the DET ajis02-411 132 11 total total ADJ ajis02-411 132 12 number number NOUN ajis02-411 132 13 of of ADP ajis02-411 132 14 previously previously ADV ajis02-411 132 15 incarcerated incarcerate VERB ajis02-411 132 16 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 132 17 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 132 18 on on ADP ajis02-411 132 19 the the DET ajis02-411 132 20 street street NOUN ajis02-411 132 21 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 132 22 in in ADP ajis02-411 132 23 north north PROPN ajis02-411 132 24 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 132 25 in in ADP ajis02-411 132 26 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 132 27 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 132 28 it it PRON ajis02-411 132 29 was be AUX ajis02-411 132 30 necessary necessary ADJ ajis02-411 132 31 to to PART ajis02-411 132 32 estimate estimate VERB ajis02-411 132 33 a a DET ajis02-411 132 34 larger large ADJ ajis02-411 132 35 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 132 36 more more ADV ajis02-411 132 37 accurate accurate ADJ ajis02-411 132 38 / / PUNCT ajis02-411 132 39 ? ? PUNCT ajis02-411 132 40 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 133 1 the the DET ajis02-411 133 2 number number NOUN ajis02-411 133 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 133 4 male male ADJ ajis02-411 133 5 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 133 6 released release VERB ajis02-411 133 7 for for ADP ajis02-411 133 8 1959 1959 NUM ajis02-411 133 9 through through ADP ajis02-411 133 10 1978 1978 NUM ajis02-411 133 11 were be AUX ajis02-411 133 12 developed develop VERB ajis02-411 133 13 using use VERB ajis02-411 133 14 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 133 15 from from ADP ajis02-411 133 16 volumes volume NOUN ajis02-411 133 17 of of ADP ajis02-411 133 18 the the DET ajis02-411 133 19 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 133 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 133 21 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 133 22 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 133 23 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 133 24 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 133 25 us us PROPN ajis02-411 133 26 department department PROPN ajis02-411 133 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 133 28 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 133 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 30 1975 1975 NUM ajis02-411 133 31 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 32 ' ' NUM ajis02-411 133 33 976 976 NUM ajis02-411 133 34 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 35 1977 1977 NUM ajis02-411 133 36 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 37 1978 1978 NUM ajis02-411 133 38 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 39 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 133 40 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 133 41 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 133 42 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 133 43 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 134 1 the the DET ajis02-411 134 2 number number NOUN ajis02-411 134 3 who who PRON ajis02-411 134 4 were be AUX ajis02-411 134 5 still still ADV ajis02-411 134 6 on on ADP ajis02-411 134 7 the the DET ajis02-411 134 8 street street NOUN ajis02-411 134 9 at at ADP ajis02-411 134 10 t t PROPN ajis02-411 134 11 = = SYM ajis02-411 134 12 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 134 13 were be AUX ajis02-411 134 14 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 134 15 as as ADP ajis02-411 134 16 r,./ r,./ PROPN ajis02-411 134 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 134 18 times time VERB ajis02-411 134 19 one one NUM ajis02-411 134 20 minus minus ADP ajis02-411 134 21 the the DET ajis02-411 134 22 cdf cdf PROPN ajis02-411 134 23 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 134 24 at at ADP ajis02-411 134 25 t t PROPN ajis02-411 134 26 2 2 NUM ajis02-411 134 27 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 134 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 134 29 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 134 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 134 31 .... .... PUNCT ajis02-411 134 32 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 134 33 years year NOUN ajis02-411 134 34 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 134 35 of of ADP ajis02-411 134 36 the the DET ajis02-411 134 37 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 134 38 split split ADJ ajis02-411 134 39 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 134 40 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 134 41 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 134 42 model model NOUN ajis02-411 134 43 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 134 44 see see VERB ajis02-411 134 45 september september PROPN ajis02-411 134 46 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 134 47 table table NOUN ajis02-411 134 48 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 134 49 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 134 50 initial initial ADJ ajis02-411 134 51 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 134 52 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 134 53 releasee releasee VERB ajis02-411 134 54 age age NOUN ajis02-411 134 55 / / SYM ajis02-411 134 56 race race NOUN ajis02-411 134 57 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 134 58 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 134 59 % % INTJ ajis02-411 134 60 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 134 61 age age NOUN ajis02-411 135 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 135 2 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 135 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 135 4 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 135 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 136 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 136 2 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 136 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 136 4 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 136 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 137 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 137 2 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 137 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 137 4 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 137 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 138 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 138 2 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 138 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 138 4 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 138 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 139 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 139 2 35,40 35,40 NUM ajis02-411 139 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 139 4 [ [ X ajis02-411 139 5 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 139 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 139 7 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 139 8 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 140 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 140 2 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 140 3 + + NOUN ajis02-411 140 4 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 140 5 total total ADJ ajis02-411 140 6 first first ADJ ajis02-411 140 7 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 140 8 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 140 9 white white ADJ ajis02-411 140 10 9.38 9.38 NUM ajis02-411 140 11 9.38 9.38 NUM ajis02-411 140 12 3.84 3.84 NUM ajis02-411 140 13 2.32 2.32 NUM ajis02-411 140 14 1.37 1.37 NUM ajis02-411 140 15 0.92 0.92 NUM ajis02-411 140 16 1.50 1.50 NUM ajis02-411 140 17 28.71 28.71 NUM ajis02-411 140 18 non non ADJ ajis02-411 140 19 - - ADJ ajis02-411 140 20 white white ADJ ajis02-411 140 21 7.38 7.38 NUM ajis02-411 140 22 8.15 8.15 NUM ajis02-411 140 23 4.80 4.80 NUM ajis02-411 140 24 2.33 2.33 NUM ajis02-411 140 25 1.04 1.04 NUM ajis02-411 140 26 0.8 0.8 NUM ajis02-411 140 27 0.95 0.95 NUM ajis02-411 140 28 25.48 25.48 NUM ajis02-411 140 29 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 140 30 white white ADJ ajis02-411 140 31 2.12 2.12 NUM ajis02-411 140 32 5.20 5.20 NUM ajis02-411 140 33 3.87 3.87 NUM ajis02-411 140 34 3.46 3.46 NUM ajis02-411 140 35 2.63 2.63 NUM ajis02-411 140 36 1.92 1.92 NUM ajis02-411 140 37 3.40 3.40 NUM ajis02-411 140 38 22.60 22.60 NUM ajis02-411 140 39 nonwhite nonwhite NOUN ajis02-411 140 40 1.77 1.77 NUM ajis02-411 140 41 5.32 5.32 NUM ajis02-411 140 42 5.45 5.45 NUM ajis02-411 140 43 3.96 3.96 NUM ajis02-411 140 44 2.41 2.41 NUM ajis02-411 140 45 1.48 1.48 NUM ajis02-411 140 46 2.81 2.81 NUM ajis02-411 140 47 23.20 23.20 NUM ajis02-411 140 48 releasees releasee NOUN ajis02-411 140 49 white white ADJ ajis02-411 140 50 14.04 14.04 NUM ajis02-411 140 51 13.70 13.70 NUM ajis02-411 140 52 7.20 7.20 NUM ajis02-411 140 53 5.35 5.35 NUM ajis02-411 140 54 3.66 3.66 NUM ajis02-411 140 55 2.84 2.84 NUM ajis02-411 140 56 4.5 4.5 NUM ajis02-411 140 57 51.31 51.31 NUM ajis02-411 140 58 nonwhite nonwhite NOUN ajis02-411 140 59 11.65 11.65 NUM ajis02-411 140 60 13.49 13.49 NUM ajis02-411 140 61 9.39 9.39 NUM ajis02-411 140 62 5.36 5.36 NUM ajis02-411 140 63 3.31 3.31 NUM ajis02-411 140 64 2.05 2.05 NUM ajis02-411 140 65 3.44 3.44 NUM ajis02-411 140 66 48.69 48.69 NUM ajis02-411 140 67 lattimore lattimore NOUN ajis02-411 140 68 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 140 69 baker baker PROPN ajis02-411 140 70 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 140 71 1992 1992 NUM ajis02-411 140 72 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 140 73 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 141 1 this this DET ajis02-411 141 2 iterative iterative NOUN ajis02-411 141 3 process process NOUN ajis02-411 141 4 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 141 5 an an PRON ajis02-411 141 6 / / PUNCT ajis02-411 141 7 ? ? PUNCT ajis02-411 142 1 of of ADP ajis02-411 142 2 114,012 114,012 NUM ajis02-411 142 3 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 143 1 recall recall VERB ajis02-411 143 2 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 143 3 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 143 4 in in ADP ajis02-411 143 5 each each DET ajis02-411 143 6 period period NOUN ajis02-411 143 7 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 143 8 / / SYM ajis02-411 143 9 / / SYM ajis02-411 143 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 143 11 / / SYM ajis02-411 143 12 ] ] PUNCT ajis02-411 143 13 derive derive ADJ ajis02-411 143 14 from from ADP ajis02-411 143 15 two two NUM ajis02-411 143 16 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 143 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 143 18 the the DET ajis02-411 143 19 general general ADJ ajis02-411 143 20 population population NOUN ajis02-411 143 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 143 22 ^v ^v PROPN ajis02-411 143 23 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 143 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 143 25 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 143 26 the the DET ajis02-411 143 27 releasee releasee NOUN ajis02-411 143 28 population population NOUN ajis02-411 143 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 143 30 r r NOUN ajis02-411 143 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 144 1 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 144 2 from from ADP ajis02-411 144 3 n n NUM ajis02-411 144 4 were be AUX ajis02-411 144 5 assumed assume VERB ajis02-411 144 6 to to PART ajis02-411 144 7 be be AUX ajis02-411 144 8 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 144 9 by by ADP ajis02-411 144 10 the the DET ajis02-411 144 11 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 144 12 § § PROPN ajis02-411 144 13 f f PROPN ajis02-411 144 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 144 15 the the DET ajis02-411 144 16 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 144 17 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 144 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 144 19 first first ADJ ajis02-411 144 20 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 144 21 time time NOUN ajis02-411 144 22 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 144 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 145 1 < < X ajis02-411 145 2 j)f(a j)f(a PROPN ajis02-411 145 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 145 4 r r NOUN ajis02-411 145 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 145 6 was be AUX ajis02-411 145 7 calculated calculate VERB ajis02-411 145 8 from from ADP ajis02-411 145 9 information information NOUN ajis02-411 145 10 provided provide VERB ajis02-411 145 11 by by ADP ajis02-411 145 12 the the DET ajis02-411 145 13 north north PROPN ajis02-411 145 14 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 145 15 department department PROPN ajis02-411 145 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 145 17 corrections correction NOUN ajis02-411 145 18 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 145 19 see see VERB ajis02-411 145 20 table table NOUN ajis02-411 145 21 2 2 NUM ajis02-411 145 22 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 145 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 146 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 146 2 can can AUX ajis02-411 146 3 be be AUX ajis02-411 146 4 seen see VERB ajis02-411 146 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 146 6 the the DET ajis02-411 146 7 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 146 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 146 9 a a DET ajis02-411 146 10 first first ADJ ajis02-411 146 11 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 146 12 time time NOUN ajis02-411 146 13 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 146 14 increases increase NOUN ajis02-411 146 15 from from ADP ajis02-411 146 16 the the DET ajis02-411 146 17 youngest young ADJ ajis02-411 146 18 to to ADP ajis02-411 146 19 the the DET ajis02-411 146 20 next next ADJ ajis02-411 146 21 youngest young ADJ ajis02-411 146 22 class class NOUN ajis02-411 146 23 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 146 24 then then ADV ajis02-411 146 25 decreases decrease VERB ajis02-411 146 26 with with ADP ajis02-411 146 27 age age NOUN ajis02-411 146 28 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 147 1 this this DET ajis02-411 147 2 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 147 3 over over ADP ajis02-411 147 4 age age NOUN ajis02-411 147 5 is be AUX ajis02-411 147 6 due due ADJ ajis02-411 147 7 to to ADP ajis02-411 147 8 two two NUM ajis02-411 147 9 factors factor NOUN ajis02-411 147 10 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 148 1 firstly firstly ADV ajis02-411 148 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 148 3 younger young ADJ ajis02-411 148 4 adult adult NOUN ajis02-411 148 5 males male NOUN ajis02-411 148 6 are be AUX ajis02-411 148 7 more more ADV ajis02-411 148 8 likely likely ADJ ajis02-411 148 9 to to PART ajis02-411 148 10 commit commit VERB ajis02-411 148 11 crimes crime NOUN ajis02-411 148 12 than than ADP ajis02-411 148 13 older old ADJ ajis02-411 148 14 males male NOUN ajis02-411 148 15 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 148 16 secondly secondly ADV ajis02-411 148 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 148 18 those those PRON ajis02-411 148 19 admitted admit VERB ajis02-411 148 20 to to ADP ajis02-411 148 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 148 22 at at ADP ajis02-411 148 23 older old ADJ ajis02-411 148 24 ages age NOUN ajis02-411 148 25 are be AUX ajis02-411 148 26 more more ADV ajis02-411 148 27 likely likely ADJ ajis02-411 148 28 to to PART ajis02-411 148 29 be be AUX ajis02-411 148 30 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 148 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 149 1 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 149 2 from from ADP ajis02-411 149 3 the the DET ajis02-411 149 4 general general ADJ ajis02-411 149 5 population population NOUN ajis02-411 149 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 149 7 ct ct PROPN ajis02-411 149 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 149 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 149 10 were be AUX ajis02-411 149 11 obtained obtain VERB ajis02-411 149 12 by by ADP ajis02-411 149 13 multiplying multiply VERB ajis02-411 149 14 < < X ajis02-411 149 15 j)f j)f X ajis02-411 149 16 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 149 17 a a DET ajis02-411 149 18 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 149 19 r r NOUN ajis02-411 149 20 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 149 21 by by ADP ajis02-411 149 22 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 149 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 149 24 the the DET ajis02-411 149 25 general general ADJ ajis02-411 149 26 population population NOUN ajis02-411 149 27 by by ADP ajis02-411 149 28 age age NOUN ajis02-411 149 29 / / SYM ajis02-411 149 30 race race NOUN ajis02-411 149 31 for for ADP ajis02-411 149 32 the the DET ajis02-411 149 33 years year NOUN ajis02-411 149 34 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 149 35 through through ADP ajis02-411 149 36 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 149 37 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 150 1 to to PART ajis02-411 150 2 estimate estimate VERB ajis02-411 150 3 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 150 4 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 150 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 150 6 it it PRON ajis02-411 150 7 was be AUX ajis02-411 150 8 necessary necessary ADJ ajis02-411 150 9 to to PART ajis02-411 150 10 develop develop VERB ajis02-411 150 11 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 150 12 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 150 13 for for ADP ajis02-411 150 14 the the DET ajis02-411 150 15 split split ADJ ajis02-411 150 16 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 150 17 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 150 18 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 150 19 models model NOUN ajis02-411 150 20 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 150 21 see see VERB ajis02-411 150 22 equations equation NOUN ajis02-411 150 23 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 150 24 - - SYM ajis02-411 150 25 7 7 NUM ajis02-411 150 26 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 150 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 151 1 the the DET ajis02-411 151 2 s&w s&w PROPN ajis02-411 151 3 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 151 4 were be AUX ajis02-411 151 5 used use VERB ajis02-411 151 6 to to PART ajis02-411 151 7 generate generate VERB ajis02-411 151 8 maximum maximum ADJ ajis02-411 151 9 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 151 10 likelihood likelihood NOUN ajis02-411 151 11 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 151 12 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 151 13 for for ADP ajis02-411 151 14 each each PRON ajis02-411 151 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 151 16 the the DET ajis02-411 151 17 fourteen fourteen NUM ajis02-411 151 18 age age NOUN ajis02-411 151 19 / / SYM ajis02-411 151 20 race race NOUN ajis02-411 151 21 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 151 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 152 1 the the DET ajis02-411 152 2 actual actual ADJ ajis02-411 152 3 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 152 4 estimated estimated ADJ ajis02-411 152 5 numbers number NOUN ajis02-411 152 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 152 7 failures failure NOUN ajis02-411 152 8 for for ADP ajis02-411 152 9 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 152 10 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 152 11 to-20 to-20 NUM ajis02-411 152 12 year year NOUN ajis02-411 152 13 old old ADJ ajis02-411 152 14 white white ADJ ajis02-411 152 15 males male NOUN ajis02-411 152 16 are be AUX ajis02-411 152 17 shown show VERB ajis02-411 152 18 in in ADP ajis02-411 152 19 figure figure NOUN ajis02-411 152 20 2 2 NUM ajis02-411 152 21 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 153 1 the the DET ajis02-411 153 2 results result NOUN ajis02-411 153 3 for for ADP ajis02-411 153 4 the the DET ajis02-411 153 5 other other ADJ ajis02-411 153 6 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 153 7 are be AUX ajis02-411 153 8 similar similar ADJ ajis02-411 153 9 suggesting suggest VERB ajis02-411 153 10 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 153 11 the the DET ajis02-411 153 12 models model NOUN ajis02-411 153 13 provide provide VERB ajis02-411 153 14 good good ADJ ajis02-411 153 15 fit fit NOUN ajis02-411 153 16 to to ADP ajis02-411 153 17 the the DET ajis02-411 153 18 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 153 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 154 1 the the DET ajis02-411 154 2 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 154 3 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 154 4 are be AUX ajis02-411 154 5 shown show VERB ajis02-411 154 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 154 7 table table NOUN ajis02-411 154 8 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 154 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 155 1 the the DET ajis02-411 155 2 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 155 3 imply imply VERB ajis02-411 155 4 a a DET ajis02-411 155 5 range range NOUN ajis02-411 155 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 155 7 mean mean ADJ ajis02-411 155 8 time time NOUN ajis02-411 155 9 to to ADP ajis02-411 155 10 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 155 11 from from ADP ajis02-411 155 12 22.2 22.2 NUM ajis02-411 155 13 months month NOUN ajis02-411 155 14 for for ADP ajis02-411 155 15 the the DET ajis02-411 155 16 youngest young ADJ ajis02-411 155 17 white white ADJ ajis02-411 155 18 group group NOUN ajis02-411 155 19 to to ADP ajis02-411 155 20 124.5 124.5 NUM ajis02-411 155 21 months month NOUN ajis02-411 155 22 for for ADP ajis02-411 155 23 the the DET ajis02-411 155 24 [ [ X ajis02-411 155 25 35,40 35,40 NUM ajis02-411 155 26 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 155 27 non non ADJ ajis02-411 155 28 - - ADJ ajis02-411 155 29 white white ADJ ajis02-411 155 30 group group NOUN ajis02-411 155 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 156 1 table table NOUN ajis02-411 156 2 2 2 NUM ajis02-411 156 3 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 156 4 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 156 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 156 6 first first ADJ ajis02-411 156 7 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 8 time time NOUN ajis02-411 156 9 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 156 10 by by ADP ajis02-411 156 11 age age NOUN ajis02-411 156 12 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 156 13 race race NOUN ajis02-411 156 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 156 15 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 156 16 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 156 17 ° ° ADP ajis02-411 156 18 ' ' CCONJ ajis02-411 156 19 r r NOUN ajis02-411 156 20 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 156 21 age age NOUN ajis02-411 156 22 group group NOUN ajis02-411 156 23 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 156 24 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 25 to-20 to-20 NUM ajis02-411 156 26 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 27 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 156 28 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 29 to-25 to-25 NUM ajis02-411 156 30 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 31 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 156 32 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 33 to-30 to-30 NUM ajis02-411 156 34 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 35 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 156 36 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 37 to-35 to-35 NUM ajis02-411 156 38 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 39 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 156 40 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 41 to-40 to-40 NUM ajis02-411 156 42 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 43 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 156 44 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 156 45 to-45 to-45 NUM ajis02-411 156 46 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 47 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 156 48 + + NUM ajis02-411 156 49 years year NOUN ajis02-411 156 50 white white ADJ ajis02-411 156 51 0.0039 0.0039 NUM ajis02-411 157 1 0.0040 0.0040 NUM ajis02-411 157 2 0.0028 0.0028 NUM ajis02-411 157 3 0.0016 0.0016 NUM ajis02-411 157 4 0.0014 0.0014 NUM ajis02-411 157 5 0.0010 0.0010 NUM ajis02-411 157 6 0.0003 0.0003 NUM ajis02-411 157 7 non non ADJ ajis02-411 157 8 - - ADJ ajis02-411 157 9 white white ADJ ajis02-411 157 10 0.0129 0.0129 NUM ajis02-411 157 11 0.0143 0.0143 NUM ajis02-411 157 12 0.0141 0.0141 NUM ajis02-411 157 13 0.0107 0.0107 NUM ajis02-411 157 14 0.0058 0.0058 NUM ajis02-411 157 15 0.0040 0.0040 NUM ajis02-411 157 16 0.0008 0.0008 NUM ajis02-411 157 17 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 157 18 previously previously ADV ajis02-411 157 19 noted note VERB ajis02-411 157 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 157 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 157 22 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 157 23 are be AUX ajis02-411 157 24 assumed assume VERB ajis02-411 157 25 to to PART ajis02-411 157 26 follow follow VERB ajis02-411 157 27 a a DET ajis02-411 157 28 negative negative ADJ ajis02-411 157 29 exponential exponential ADJ ajis02-411 157 30 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 157 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 158 1 the the DET ajis02-411 158 2 mean mean NOUN ajis02-411 158 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 158 4 this this DET ajis02-411 158 5 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 158 6 is be AUX ajis02-411 158 7 the the DET ajis02-411 158 8 inverse inverse NOUN ajis02-411 158 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 158 10 the the DET ajis02-411 158 11 mean mean ADJ ajis02-411 158 12 time time NOUN ajis02-411 158 13 served serve VERB ajis02-411 158 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 158 15 s. s. PROPN ajis02-411 158 16 these these DET ajis02-411 158 17 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 158 18 were be AUX ajis02-411 158 19 acquired acquire VERB ajis02-411 158 20 from from ADP ajis02-411 158 21 the the DET ajis02-411 158 22 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 158 23 release release NOUN ajis02-411 158 24 cohort cohort NOUN ajis02-411 158 25 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 158 26 set set NOUN ajis02-411 158 27 s s VERB ajis02-411 158 28 was be AUX ajis02-411 158 29 found find VERB ajis02-411 158 30 to to PART ajis02-411 158 31 be be AUX ajis02-411 158 32 significantly significantly ADV ajis02-411 158 33 different different ADJ ajis02-411 158 34 for for ADP ajis02-411 158 35 each each DET ajis02-411 158 36 age age NOUN ajis02-411 158 37 group group NOUN ajis02-411 158 38 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 158 39 further far ADV ajis02-411 158 40 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 158 41 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 158 42 served serve VERB ajis02-411 158 43 longer long ADJ ajis02-411 158 44 sentences sentence NOUN ajis02-411 158 45 than than ADP ajis02-411 158 46 first first ADJ ajis02-411 158 47 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 158 48 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 159 1 race race NOUN ajis02-411 159 2 was be AUX ajis02-411 159 3 not not PART ajis02-411 159 4 a a DET ajis02-411 159 5 factor factor NOUN ajis02-411 159 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 159 7 the the DET ajis02-411 159 8 average average ADJ ajis02-411 159 9 time time NOUN ajis02-411 159 10 served serve VERB ajis02-411 159 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 160 1 s s X ajis02-411 160 2 by by ADP ajis02-411 160 3 age age NOUN ajis02-411 160 4 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 160 5 first first ADJ ajis02-411 160 6 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 160 7 timer timer NOUN ajis02-411 160 8 versus versus ADP ajis02-411 160 9 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 160 10 status status NOUN ajis02-411 160 11 are be AUX ajis02-411 160 12 shown show VERB ajis02-411 160 13 in in ADP ajis02-411 160 14 table table NOUN ajis02-411 160 15 4 4 NUM ajis02-411 160 16 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 161 1 ajis ajis ADV ajis02-411 161 2 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 161 3 q q PROPN ajis02-411 161 4 c c PROPN ajis02-411 161 5 cd cd PROPN ajis02-411 161 6 to to ADP ajis02-411 161 7 • • PROPN ajis02-411 161 8 ^ ^ SYM ajis02-411 161 9 o o NOUN ajis02-411 161 10 ? ? PUNCT ajis02-411 161 11 t t PROPN ajis02-411 161 12 ® ® NOUN ajis02-411 161 13 9 9 NUM ajis02-411 161 14 3to 3to NOUN ajis02-411 161 15 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 161 16 oq oq PROPN ajis02-411 161 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 161 18 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 161 19 < < X ajis02-411 161 20 q q NOUN ajis02-411 161 21 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 161 22 cd cd NOUN ajis02-411 161 23 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 161 24 fi fi NOUN ajis02-411 161 25 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 161 26 q. q. PROPN ajis02-411 161 27 is be AUX ajis02-411 161 28 m m VERB ajis02-411 161 29 y y PROPN ajis02-411 161 30 xa*o xa*o PROPN ajis02-411 161 31 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 161 32 « « PUNCT ajis02-411 161 33 § § PROPN ajis02-411 161 34 ff ff NOUN ajis02-411 161 35 2 2 NUM ajis02-411 161 36 cd cd NOUN ajis02-411 161 37 sl sl NOUN ajis02-411 161 38 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 161 39 ' ' PART ajis02-411 161 40 cd cd NOUN ajis02-411 161 41 o o NOUN ajis02-411 161 42 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 161 43 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 161 44 fi fi NOUN ajis02-411 161 45 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 161 46 cd cd PROPN ajis02-411 161 47 fi fi NOUN ajis02-411 161 48 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 161 49 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 161 50 ' ' SYM ajis02-411 161 51 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 161 52 to to ADP ajis02-411 161 53 # # NOUN ajis02-411 161 54 reincarcerations reincarceration NOUN ajis02-411 161 55 -»• -»• NOUN ajis02-411 161 56 -̂ -̂ PUNCT ajis02-411 161 57 n3 n3 PROPN ajis02-411 161 58 isj isj PROPN ajis02-411 161 59 co co PROPN ajis02-411 161 60 w w PROPN ajis02-411 161 61 o o PROPN ajis02-411 161 62 c c NOUN ajis02-411 161 63 n n NOUN ajis02-411 161 64 o o NOUN ajis02-411 161 65 c c NOUN ajis02-411 161 66 n n PRON ajis02-411 161 67 o o NOUN ajis02-411 161 68 c c NOUN ajis02-411 161 69 n n PRON ajis02-411 161 70 o o NOUN ajis02-411 161 71 t t NOUN ajis02-411 161 72 n n CCONJ ajis02-411 161 73 q)o q)o AUX ajis02-411 161 74 _ _ PUNCT ajis02-411 161 75 tt tt PROPN ajis02-411 161 76 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 162 1 _ _ PUNCT ajis02-411 162 2 ̂x ̂x NOUN ajis02-411 162 3 en en X ajis02-411 162 4 en en ADP ajis02-411 162 5 september september PROPN ajis02-411 162 6 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 162 7 9 9 NUM ajis02-411 162 8 table table NOUN ajis02-411 162 9 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 162 10 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 162 11 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 162 12 model model NOUN ajis02-411 162 13 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 162 14 estimates estimate VERB ajis02-411 162 15 race race VERB ajis02-411 162 16 white white ADJ ajis02-411 162 17 non non ADJ ajis02-411 162 18 - - ADJ ajis02-411 162 19 white white ADJ ajis02-411 162 20 age age NOUN ajis02-411 162 21 [ [ X ajis02-411 162 22 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 162 23 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 162 24 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 162 25 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 163 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 163 2 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 163 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 163 4 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 163 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 164 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 164 2 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 164 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 164 4 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 164 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 165 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 165 2 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 165 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 165 4 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 165 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 166 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 166 2 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 166 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 166 4 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 166 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 167 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 167 2 40,45 40,45 NOUN ajis02-411 167 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 168 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 168 2 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 168 3 + + NOUN ajis02-411 168 4 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 169 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 169 2 15,20 15,20 NUM ajis02-411 169 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 169 4 [ [ X ajis02-411 169 5 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 169 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 169 7 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 169 8 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 170 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 170 2 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 170 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 170 4 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 170 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 171 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 171 2 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 171 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 171 4 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 171 5 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 172 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 172 2 35,40 35,40 NUM ajis02-411 172 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 172 4 [ [ X ajis02-411 172 5 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 172 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 172 7 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 172 8 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 173 1 [ [ X ajis02-411 173 2 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 173 3 + + ADJ ajis02-411 173 4 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 173 5 number number NOUN ajis02-411 173 6 1204 1204 NUM ajis02-411 173 7 1195 1195 NUM ajis02-411 173 8 628 628 NUM ajis02-411 173 9 481 481 NUM ajis02-411 173 10 331 331 NUM ajis02-411 173 11 246 246 NUM ajis02-411 173 12 427 427 NUM ajis02-411 173 13 999 999 NUM ajis02-411 173 14 1203 1203 NUM ajis02-411 173 15 839 839 NUM ajis02-411 173 16 494 494 NUM ajis02-411 173 17 309 309 NUM ajis02-411 173 18 190 190 NUM ajis02-411 173 19 320 320 NUM ajis02-411 173 20 failures failure NOUN ajis02-411 173 21 529 529 NUM ajis02-411 173 22 370 370 NUM ajis02-411 173 23 197 197 NUM ajis02-411 173 24 151 151 NUM ajis02-411 173 25 100 100 NUM ajis02-411 173 26 84 84 NUM ajis02-411 173 27 105 105 NUM ajis02-411 173 28 525 525 NUM ajis02-411 173 29 525 525 NUM ajis02-411 173 30 327 327 NUM ajis02-411 173 31 157 157 NUM ajis02-411 173 32 99 99 NUM ajis02-411 173 33 65 65 NUM ajis02-411 173 34 92 92 NUM ajis02-411 173 35 8 8 NUM ajis02-411 173 36 0.481 0.481 NUM ajis02-411 173 37 0.390 0.390 NUM ajis02-411 173 38 0.480 0.480 NUM ajis02-411 173 39 0.462 0.462 NUM ajis02-411 173 40 0.356 0.356 NUM ajis02-411 173 41 0.557 0.557 NUM ajis02-411 173 42 0.289 0.289 NUM ajis02-411 173 43 0.631 0.631 NUM ajis02-411 173 44 0.551 0.551 NUM ajis02-411 173 45 0.478 0.478 NUM ajis02-411 173 46 0.533 0.533 NUM ajis02-411 173 47 0.564 0.564 NUM ajis02-411 173 48 0.411 0.411 NUM ajis02-411 173 49 0.335 0.335 NUM ajis02-411 173 50 n n CCONJ ajis02-411 173 51 2.68 2.68 NUM ajis02-411 173 52 3.04 3.04 NUM ajis02-411 173 53 3.42 3.42 NUM ajis02-411 173 54 3.25 3.25 NUM ajis02-411 173 55 2.84 2.84 NUM ajis02-411 173 56 3.47 3.47 NUM ajis02-411 173 57 2.55 2.55 NUM ajis02-411 173 58 2.88 2.88 NUM ajis02-411 173 59 3.03 3.03 NUM ajis02-411 173 60 2.96 2.96 NUM ajis02-411 173 61 3.56 3.56 NUM ajis02-411 173 62 3.68 3.68 NUM ajis02-411 173 63 2.88 2.88 NUM ajis02-411 173 64 2.71 2.71 NUM ajis02-411 173 65 a a DET ajis02-411 173 66 0.927 0.927 NUM ajis02-411 173 67 .090 .090 NUM ajis02-411 173 68 .318 .318 NUM ajis02-411 173 69 .479 .479 NUM ajis02-411 173 70 .072 .072 NUM ajis02-411 173 71 .643 .643 NUM ajis02-411 173 72 .338 .338 NUM ajis02-411 173 73 .095 .095 NUM ajis02-411 173 74 .114 .114 NUM ajis02-411 173 75 .093 .093 NUM ajis02-411 173 76 .523 .523 NUM ajis02-411 173 77 .513 .513 NUM ajis02-411 173 78 .083 .083 NUM ajis02-411 173 79 .136 .136 NUM ajis02-411 174 1 note note NOUN ajis02-411 174 2 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 174 3 values value NOUN ajis02-411 174 4 are be AUX ajis02-411 174 5 maximum maximum ADJ ajis02-411 174 6 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 174 7 likelihood likelihood NOUN ajis02-411 174 8 parameter parameter NOUN ajis02-411 174 9 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 174 10 for for ADP ajis02-411 174 11 split split ADJ ajis02-411 174 12 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 174 13 lognormal lognormal ADJ ajis02-411 174 14 failure failure NOUN ajis02-411 174 15 models model NOUN ajis02-411 174 16 estimated estimate VERB ajis02-411 174 17 using use VERB ajis02-411 174 18 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 174 19 north north PROPN ajis02-411 174 20 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 174 21 data data PROPN ajis02-411 174 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 175 1 table table NOUN ajis02-411 175 2 4 4 NUM ajis02-411 175 3 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 175 4 mean mean VERB ajis02-411 175 5 time time NOUN ajis02-411 175 6 served serve VERB ajis02-411 175 7 by by ADP ajis02-411 175 8 age age NOUN ajis02-411 175 9 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 175 10 status status NOUN ajis02-411 175 11 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 175 12 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 13 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 175 14 age age NOUN ajis02-411 175 15 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 175 16 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 17 to-20 to-20 NUM ajis02-411 175 18 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 19 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 175 20 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 21 to-25 to-25 NUM ajis02-411 175 22 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 23 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 175 24 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 25 to-30 to-30 NUM ajis02-411 175 26 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 27 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 175 28 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 29 to-35 to-35 NUM ajis02-411 175 30 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 31 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 175 32 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 33 to-40 to-40 NUM ajis02-411 175 34 years year NOUN ajis02-411 175 35 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 175 36 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 175 37 to-45 to-45 NUM ajis02-411 175 38 years year NOUN ajis02-411 176 1 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 176 2 + + NUM ajis02-411 176 3 years year NOUN ajis02-411 176 4 first first ADJ ajis02-411 176 5 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 176 6 timers timer NOUN ajis02-411 176 7 .5 .5 NUM ajis02-411 177 1 .4 .4 NUM ajis02-411 178 1 .2 .2 NUM ajis02-411 178 2 .1 .1 NUM ajis02-411 178 3 .0 .0 NUM ajis02-411 179 1 .0 .0 NUM ajis02-411 179 2 .0 .0 NUM ajis02-411 179 3 recidivists recidivist VERB ajis02-411 179 4 2.6 2.6 NUM ajis02-411 179 5 2.4 2.4 NUM ajis02-411 179 6 2.0 2.0 NUM ajis02-411 179 7 1.8 1.8 NUM ajis02-411 179 8 1.8 1.8 NUM ajis02-411 179 9 1.3 1.3 NUM ajis02-411 179 10 1.3 1.3 NUM ajis02-411 179 11 results result NOUN ajis02-411 179 12 for for ADP ajis02-411 179 13 north north PROPN ajis02-411 179 14 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 179 15 we we PRON ajis02-411 179 16 initially initially ADV ajis02-411 179 17 estimate estimate VERB ajis02-411 179 18 north north PROPN ajis02-411 179 19 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 179 20 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 179 21 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 179 22 for for ADP ajis02-411 179 23 the the DET ajis02-411 179 24 years year NOUN ajis02-411 179 25 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 179 26 through through ADP ajis02-411 179 27 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 179 28 under under ADP ajis02-411 179 29 the the DET ajis02-411 179 30 following follow VERB ajis02-411 179 31 status status NOUN ajis02-411 179 32 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 179 33 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 179 34 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 179 35 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 179 36 1 1 X ajis02-411 179 37 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 179 38 the the DET ajis02-411 179 39 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 179 40 of of ADP ajis02-411 179 41 a a DET ajis02-411 179 42 first first ADJ ajis02-411 179 43 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 179 44 time time NOUN ajis02-411 179 45 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 179 46 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 179 47 by by ADP ajis02-411 179 48 age age NOUN ajis02-411 179 49 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 179 50 race race NOUN ajis02-411 179 51 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 179 52 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 179 53 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 179 54 | | ADV ajis02-411 179 55 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 179 56 f f NOUN ajis02-411 179 57 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 179 58 is be AUX ajis02-411 179 59 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 179 60 over over ADP ajis02-411 179 61 the the DET ajis02-411 179 62 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 179 63 period period NOUN ajis02-411 179 64 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 180 1 2 2 X ajis02-411 180 2 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 180 3 the the DET ajis02-411 180 4 probability probability NOUN ajis02-411 180 5 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 180 6 of of ADP ajis02-411 180 7 a a DET ajis02-411 180 8 return return NOUN ajis02-411 180 9 to to ADP ajis02-411 180 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 180 11 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 180 12 by by ADP ajis02-411 180 13 age age NOUN ajis02-411 180 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 180 15 race race NOUN ajis02-411 180 16 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 180 17 is be AUX ajis02-411 180 18 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 180 19 over over ADP ajis02-411 180 20 the the DET ajis02-411 180 21 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 180 22 period period NOUN ajis02-411 180 23 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 180 24 over over ADP ajis02-411 180 25 the the DET ajis02-411 180 26 period period NOUN ajis02-411 180 27 in in ADP ajis02-411 180 28 which which PRON ajis02-411 180 29 the the DET ajis02-411 180 30 initial initial ADJ ajis02-411 180 31 released release VERB ajis02-411 180 32 population population NOUN ajis02-411 180 33 was be AUX ajis02-411 180 34 generated generate VERB ajis02-411 180 35 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 181 1 3 3 X ajis02-411 181 2 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 181 3 s s PART ajis02-411 181 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 181 5 by by ADP ajis02-411 181 6 age age NOUN ajis02-411 181 7 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 181 8 prior prior ADJ ajis02-411 181 9 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 181 10 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 181 11 status status NOUN ajis02-411 181 12 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 181 13 is be AUX ajis02-411 181 14 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 181 15 over over ADP ajis02-411 181 16 the the DET ajis02-411 181 17 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 181 18 horizon horizon NOUN ajis02-411 181 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 182 1 4 4 X ajis02-411 182 2 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 182 3 the the DET ajis02-411 182 4 distribution distribution NOUN ajis02-411 182 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 182 6 intra intra ADJ ajis02-411 182 7 - - ADJ ajis02-411 182 8 class class ADJ ajis02-411 182 9 age age NOUN ajis02-411 182 10 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 182 11 at at ADP ajis02-411 182 12 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 182 13 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 182 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 182 15 in in ADP ajis02-411 182 16 other other ADJ ajis02-411 182 17 words word NOUN ajis02-411 182 18 the the DET ajis02-411 182 19 proportion proportion NOUN ajis02-411 182 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 182 21 each each DET ajis02-411 182 22 class class NOUN ajis02-411 182 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 182 24 each each DET ajis02-411 182 25 age age NOUN ajis02-411 182 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 182 27 is be AUX ajis02-411 182 28 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 182 29 over over ADP ajis02-411 182 30 the the DET ajis02-411 182 31 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 182 32 horizon horizon NOUN ajis02-411 182 33 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 183 1 5 5 X ajis02-411 183 2 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 183 3 these these DET ajis02-411 183 4 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 183 5 imply imply VERB ajis02-411 183 6 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 183 7 there there PRON ajis02-411 183 8 will will AUX ajis02-411 183 9 be be AUX ajis02-411 183 10 no no DET ajis02-411 183 11 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 183 12 in in ADP ajis02-411 183 13 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 183 14 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 183 15 system system NOUN ajis02-411 183 16 efficiency efficiency NOUN ajis02-411 183 17 or or CCONJ ajis02-411 183 18 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 183 19 nor nor CCONJ ajis02-411 183 20 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 183 21 in in ADP ajis02-411 183 22 the the DET ajis02-411 183 23 propensity propensity NOUN ajis02-411 183 24 of of ADP ajis02-411 183 25 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 183 26 to to PART ajis02-411 183 27 commit commit VERB ajis02-411 183 28 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 183 29 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 183 30 enter enter VERB ajis02-411 183 31 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 183 32 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 184 1 the the DET ajis02-411 184 2 next next ADJ ajis02-411 184 3 subsection subsection NOUN ajis02-411 184 4 presents present VERB ajis02-411 184 5 results result NOUN ajis02-411 184 6 under under ADP ajis02-411 184 7 the the DET ajis02-411 184 8 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 184 9 presented present VERB ajis02-411 184 10 above above ADV ajis02-411 184 11 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 184 12 subsequently subsequently ADV ajis02-411 184 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 184 14 results result NOUN ajis02-411 184 15 are be AUX ajis02-411 184 16 presented present VERB ajis02-411 184 17 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 184 18 assumptions assumption NOUN ajis02-411 184 19 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 184 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 184 21 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 184 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 184 23 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 184 24 are be AUX ajis02-411 184 25 relaxed relax VERB ajis02-411 184 26 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 185 1 status status NOUN ajis02-411 185 2 quo quo PROPN ajis02-411 185 3 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 185 4 figure figure VERB ajis02-411 185 5 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 185 6 shows show VERB ajis02-411 185 7 the the DET ajis02-411 185 8 projected project VERB ajis02-411 185 9 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 185 10 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 185 11 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 185 12 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 185 13 for for ADP ajis02-411 185 14 the the DET ajis02-411 185 15 years year NOUN ajis02-411 185 16 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 185 17 through through ADP ajis02-411 185 18 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 185 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 186 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 186 2 can can AUX ajis02-411 186 3 be be AUX ajis02-411 186 4 seen see VERB ajis02-411 186 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 186 6 both both PRON ajis02-411 186 7 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 186 8 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 186 9 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 186 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 186 11 population population NOUN ajis02-411 186 12 are be AUX ajis02-411 186 13 projected project VERB ajis02-411 186 14 to to PART ajis02-411 186 15 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 186 16 until until ADP ajis02-411 186 17 about about ADP ajis02-411 186 18 1995 1995 NUM ajis02-411 186 19 after after ADP ajis02-411 186 20 which which PRON ajis02-411 186 21 they they PRON ajis02-411 186 22 stabilize stabilize VERB ajis02-411 186 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 187 1 the the DET ajis02-411 187 2 male male ADJ ajis02-411 187 3 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 187 4 population population NOUN ajis02-411 187 5 is be AUX ajis02-411 187 6 projected project VERB ajis02-411 187 7 to to PART ajis02-411 187 8 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 187 9 by by ADP ajis02-411 187 10 about about ADV ajis02-411 187 11 39 39 NUM ajis02-411 187 12 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 187 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 187 14 from from ADP ajis02-411 187 15 15,177 15,177 NUM ajis02-411 187 16 in in ADP ajis02-411 187 17 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 187 18 to to ADP ajis02-411 187 19 21,117 21,117 NUM ajis02-411 187 20 in in ADP ajis02-411 187 21 the the DET ajis02-411 187 22 year year NOUN ajis02-411 187 23 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 187 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 188 1 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 188 2 are be AUX ajis02-411 188 3 projected project VERB ajis02-411 188 4 to to PART ajis02-411 188 5 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 188 6 from from ADP ajis02-411 188 7 10,400 10,400 NUM ajis02-411 188 8 to to ADP ajis02-411 188 9 13,800 13,800 NUM ajis02-411 188 10 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 189 1 for for ADP ajis02-411 189 2 the the DET ajis02-411 189 3 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 189 4 period period NOUN ajis02-411 189 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 189 6 the the DET ajis02-411 189 7 general general ADJ ajis02-411 189 8 population population NOUN ajis02-411 189 9 in in ADP ajis02-411 189 10 north north PROPN ajis02-411 189 11 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 189 12 is be AUX ajis02-411 189 13 also also ADV ajis02-411 189 14 projected project VERB ajis02-411 189 15 to to PART ajis02-411 189 16 grow grow VERB ajis02-411 189 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 189 18 but but CCONJ ajis02-411 189 19 the the DET ajis02-411 189 20 general general ADJ ajis02-411 189 21 population population NOUN ajis02-411 189 22 growth growth NOUN ajis02-411 189 23 is be AUX ajis02-411 189 24 less less ADJ ajis02-411 189 25 than than ADP ajis02-411 189 26 that that PRON ajis02-411 189 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 189 28 the the DET ajis02-411 189 29 projected project VERB ajis02-411 189 30 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 189 31 population population NOUN ajis02-411 189 32 growth growth NOUN ajis02-411 189 33 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 190 1 10 10 NUM ajis02-411 190 2 ajis ajis ADV ajis02-411 190 3 the the DET ajis02-411 190 4 growth growth NOUN ajis02-411 190 5 in in ADP ajis02-411 190 6 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 190 7 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 190 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 190 9 population population NOUN ajis02-411 190 10 is be AUX ajis02-411 190 11 largely largely ADV ajis02-411 190 12 attributable attributable ADJ ajis02-411 190 13 to to ADP ajis02-411 190 14 increasing increase VERB ajis02-411 190 15 numbers number NOUN ajis02-411 190 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 190 17 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 190 18 entering enter VERB ajis02-411 190 19 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 190 20 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 190 21 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 190 22 staying stay VERB ajis02-411 190 23 for for ADP ajis02-411 190 24 longer long ADJ ajis02-411 190 25 periods period NOUN ajis02-411 190 26 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 190 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 191 1 first first ADJ ajis02-411 191 2 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 191 3 time time NOUN ajis02-411 191 4 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 191 5 remain remain VERB ajis02-411 191 6 between between ADP ajis02-411 191 7 about about ADV ajis02-411 191 8 7,000 7,000 NUM ajis02-411 191 9 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 191 10 7,500 7,500 NUM ajis02-411 191 11 throughout throughout ADP ajis02-411 191 12 the the DET ajis02-411 191 13 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 191 14 period period NOUN ajis02-411 191 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 192 1 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 192 2 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 192 3 increase increase NOUN ajis02-411 192 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 192 5 however however ADV ajis02-411 192 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 192 7 from from ADP ajis02-411 192 8 about about ADP ajis02-411 192 9 3,500 3,500 NUM ajis02-411 192 10 in in ADP ajis02-411 192 11 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 192 12 to to ADP ajis02-411 192 13 more more ADJ ajis02-411 192 14 than than ADP ajis02-411 192 15 6,200 6,200 NUM ajis02-411 192 16 in in ADP ajis02-411 192 17 the the DET ajis02-411 192 18 year year NOUN ajis02-411 192 19 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 192 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 193 1 the the DET ajis02-411 193 2 increase increase NOUN ajis02-411 193 3 in in ADP ajis02-411 193 4 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 193 5 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 193 6 is be AUX ajis02-411 193 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 193 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 193 9 course course NOUN ajis02-411 193 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 193 11 attributable attributable ADJ ajis02-411 193 12 to to ADP ajis02-411 193 13 increases increase NOUN ajis02-411 193 14 in in ADP ajis02-411 193 15 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 193 16 over over ADP ajis02-411 193 17 the the DET ajis02-411 193 18 planning planning NOUN ajis02-411 193 19 horizon horizon NOUN ajis02-411 193 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 194 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 194 2 the the DET ajis02-411 194 3 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 194 4 population population NOUN ajis02-411 194 5 grows grow VERB ajis02-411 194 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 194 7 the the DET ajis02-411 194 8 number number NOUN ajis02-411 194 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 194 10 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 194 11 also also ADV ajis02-411 194 12 grows grow VERB ajis02-411 194 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 194 14 generating generate VERB ajis02-411 194 15 a a DET ajis02-411 194 16 larger large ADJ ajis02-411 194 17 population population NOUN ajis02-411 194 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 194 19 potential potential ADJ ajis02-411 194 20 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 194 21 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 195 1 indeed indeed ADV ajis02-411 195 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 195 3 over over ADP ajis02-411 195 4 the the DET ajis02-411 195 5 21 21 NUM ajis02-411 195 6 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 195 7 year year NOUN ajis02-411 195 8 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 195 9 horizon horizon NOUN ajis02-411 195 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 195 11 annual annual ADJ ajis02-411 195 12 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 195 13 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 195 14 43 43 NUM ajis02-411 195 15 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 195 16 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 195 17 from from ADP ajis02-411 195 18 9,613 9,613 NUM ajis02-411 195 19 in in ADP ajis02-411 195 20 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 195 21 to to ADP ajis02-411 195 22 13,741 13,741 NUM ajis02-411 195 23 in in ADP ajis02-411 195 24 the the DET ajis02-411 195 25 year year NOUN ajis02-411 195 26 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 195 27 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 195 28 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 196 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 196 2 was be AUX ajis02-411 196 3 noted note VERB ajis02-411 196 4 in in ADP ajis02-411 196 5 the the DET ajis02-411 196 6 previous previous ADJ ajis02-411 196 7 section section NOUN ajis02-411 196 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 196 9 the the DET ajis02-411 196 10 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 196 11 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 196 12 by by ADP ajis02-411 196 13 age age NOUN ajis02-411 196 14 / / SYM ajis02-411 196 15 race race NOUN ajis02-411 196 16 group group NOUN ajis02-411 196 17 may may AUX ajis02-411 196 18 change change VERB ajis02-411 196 19 over over ADP ajis02-411 196 20 the the DET ajis02-411 196 21 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 196 22 horizon horizon NOUN ajis02-411 196 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 197 1 the the DET ajis02-411 197 2 data datum NOUN ajis02-411 197 3 show show VERB ajis02-411 197 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 197 5 there there PRON ajis02-411 197 6 is be VERB ajis02-411 197 7 considerable considerable ADJ ajis02-411 197 8 growth growth NOUN ajis02-411 197 9 in in ADP ajis02-411 197 10 the the DET ajis02-411 197 11 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 197 12 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 197 13 for for ADP ajis02-411 197 14 the the DET ajis02-411 197 15 older old ADJ ajis02-411 197 16 age age NOUN ajis02-411 197 17 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 197 18 over over ADP ajis02-411 197 19 the the DET ajis02-411 197 20 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 197 21 period period NOUN ajis02-411 197 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 197 23 suggesting suggest VERB ajis02-411 197 24 an an DET ajis02-411 197 25 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 197 26 aging aging NOUN ajis02-411 197 27 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 197 28 of of ADP ajis02-411 197 29 the the DET ajis02-411 197 30 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 197 31 population population NOUN ajis02-411 197 32 over over ADP ajis02-411 197 33 time time NOUN ajis02-411 197 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 198 1 table table NOUN ajis02-411 198 2 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 198 3 shows show VERB ajis02-411 198 4 the the DET ajis02-411 198 5 projected project VERB ajis02-411 198 6 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 198 7 in in ADP ajis02-411 198 8 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 198 9 rates rate NOUN ajis02-411 198 10 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 198 11 per per ADP ajis02-411 198 12 100,000 100,000 NUM ajis02-411 198 13 population population NOUN ajis02-411 198 14 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 198 15 between between ADP ajis02-411 198 16 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 198 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 198 18 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 198 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 199 1 the the DET ajis02-411 199 2 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 199 3 rates rate NOUN ajis02-411 199 4 for for ADP ajis02-411 199 5 the the DET ajis02-411 199 6 youngest young ADJ ajis02-411 199 7 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 199 8 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 199 9 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 10 to-20 to-20 NUM ajis02-411 199 11 years year NOUN ajis02-411 199 12 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 199 13 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 199 14 are be AUX ajis02-411 199 15 relatively relatively ADV ajis02-411 199 16 stable stable ADJ ajis02-411 199 17 primarily primarily ADV ajis02-411 199 18 due due ADP ajis02-411 199 19 to to ADP ajis02-411 199 20 the the DET ajis02-411 199 21 high high ADJ ajis02-411 199 22 proportion proportion NOUN ajis02-411 199 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 199 24 first first ADJ ajis02-411 199 25 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 26 time time NOUN ajis02-411 199 27 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 199 28 in in ADP ajis02-411 199 29 this this DET ajis02-411 199 30 class class NOUN ajis02-411 199 31 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 199 32 88 88 NUM ajis02-411 199 33 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 199 34 in in ADP ajis02-411 199 35 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 199 36 ; ; PUNCT ajis02-411 199 37 85 85 NUM ajis02-411 199 38 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 199 39 in in ADP ajis02-411 199 40 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 199 41 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 199 42 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 199 43 the the DET ajis02-411 199 44 assumption assumption NOUN ajis02-411 199 45 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 199 46 < < X ajis02-411 199 47 |)f |)f PRON ajis02-411 199 48 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 199 49 a a DET ajis02-411 199 50 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 199 51 r r NOUN ajis02-411 199 52 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 199 53 is be AUX ajis02-411 199 54 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 199 55 over over ADP ajis02-411 199 56 t. t. PROPN ajis02-411 199 57 the the DET ajis02-411 199 58 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 199 59 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 199 60 rates rate NOUN ajis02-411 199 61 for for ADP ajis02-411 199 62 older old ADJ ajis02-411 199 63 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 199 64 increase increase VERB ajis02-411 199 65 substantially substantially ADV ajis02-411 199 66 over over ADP ajis02-411 199 67 time time NOUN ajis02-411 199 68 — — PUNCT ajis02-411 199 69 for for ADP ajis02-411 199 70 example example NOUN ajis02-411 199 71 22 22 NUM ajis02-411 199 72 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 199 73 for for ADP ajis02-411 199 74 the the DET ajis02-411 199 75 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 199 76 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 77 to-45 to-45 NUM ajis02-411 199 78 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 79 year year NOUN ajis02-411 199 80 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 81 old old ADJ ajis02-411 199 82 white white ADJ ajis02-411 199 83 group group NOUN ajis02-411 199 84 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 199 85 47 47 NUM ajis02-411 199 86 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 199 87 for for ADP ajis02-411 199 88 the the DET ajis02-411 199 89 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 199 90 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 91 to-40year to-40year NOUN ajis02-411 199 92 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 199 93 old old ADJ ajis02-411 199 94 nonwhite nonwhite NOUN ajis02-411 199 95 group group NOUN ajis02-411 199 96 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 200 1 table table NOUN ajis02-411 200 2 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 200 3 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 200 4 percentage percentage NOUN ajis02-411 200 5 change change NOUN ajis02-411 200 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 200 7 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 200 8 admission admission NOUN ajis02-411 200 9 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 200 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 200 11 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 200 12 2000 2000 NUM ajis02-411 200 13 age age NOUN ajis02-411 200 14 group group NOUN ajis02-411 200 15 15 15 NUM ajis02-411 200 16 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 17 to-20 to-20 NUM ajis02-411 200 18 years year NOUN ajis02-411 200 19 20 20 NUM ajis02-411 200 20 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 21 to-25 to-25 NUM ajis02-411 200 22 years year NOUN ajis02-411 200 23 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 200 24 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 25 to-30 to-30 NUM ajis02-411 200 26 years year NOUN ajis02-411 200 27 30 30 NUM ajis02-411 200 28 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 29 to-35 to-35 NUM ajis02-411 200 30 years year NOUN ajis02-411 200 31 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 200 32 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 33 to-40 to-40 NUM ajis02-411 200 34 years year NOUN ajis02-411 200 35 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 200 36 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 200 37 to-45 to-45 NUM ajis02-411 200 38 years year NOUN ajis02-411 201 1 45 45 NUM ajis02-411 201 2 + + NUM ajis02-411 201 3 years year NOUN ajis02-411 201 4 percentage percentage NOUN ajis02-411 201 5 change change NOUN ajis02-411 201 6 white white ADJ ajis02-411 201 7 -0.02 -0.02 PROPN ajis02-411 201 8 -0.03 -0.03 NUM ajis02-411 201 9 0.05 0.05 NUM ajis02-411 201 10 0.18 0.18 NUM ajis02-411 201 11 0.22 0.22 NUM ajis02-411 201 12 0.15 0.15 NUM ajis02-411 201 13 0.2 0.2 NUM ajis02-411 201 14 nonwhite nonwhite NOUN ajis02-411 201 15 0.04 0.04 NUM ajis02-411 201 16 0.13 0.13 NUM ajis02-411 201 17 0.27 0.27 NUM ajis02-411 201 18 0.39 0.39 NUM ajis02-411 201 19 0.47 0.47 NUM ajis02-411 201 20 0.42 0.42 NUM ajis02-411 201 21 0.75 0.75 NUM ajis02-411 201 22 the the DET ajis02-411 201 23 estimations estimation NOUN ajis02-411 201 24 in in ADP ajis02-411 201 25 this this DET ajis02-411 201 26 section section NOUN ajis02-411 201 27 assume assume VERB ajis02-411 201 28 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 201 29 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 201 30 is be AUX ajis02-411 201 31 unlimited unlimited ADJ ajis02-411 201 32 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 201 33 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 201 34 f f PROPN ajis02-411 201 35 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 201 36 t t PROPN ajis02-411 201 37 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 201 38 remain remain VERB ajis02-411 201 39 the the DET ajis02-411 201 40 same same ADJ ajis02-411 201 41 as as ADP ajis02-411 201 42 that that PRON ajis02-411 201 43 served serve VERB ajis02-411 201 44 by by ADP ajis02-411 201 45 the the DET ajis02-411 201 46 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 201 47 release release NOUN ajis02-411 201 48 cohort cohort NOUN ajis02-411 201 49 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 202 1 in in ADP ajis02-411 202 2 the the DET ajis02-411 202 3 next next ADJ ajis02-411 202 4 section section NOUN ajis02-411 202 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 202 6 we we PRON ajis02-411 202 7 modify modify VERB ajis02-411 202 8 our our PRON ajis02-411 202 9 model model NOUN ajis02-411 202 10 to to PART ajis02-411 202 11 allow allow VERB ajis02-411 202 12 for for ADP ajis02-411 202 13 the the DET ajis02-411 202 14 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 202 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 202 16 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 202 17 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 202 18 on on ADP ajis02-411 202 19 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 202 20 population population NOUN ajis02-411 202 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 202 22 mean mean VERB ajis02-411 202 23 time time NOUN ajis02-411 202 24 served serve VERB ajis02-411 202 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 202 26 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 202 27 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 202 28 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 202 29 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 202 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 203 1 subsequently subsequently ADV ajis02-411 203 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 203 3 we we PRON ajis02-411 203 4 consider consider VERB ajis02-411 203 5 the the DET ajis02-411 203 6 effects effect NOUN ajis02-411 203 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 203 8 potential potential ADJ ajis02-411 203 9 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 203 10 in in ADP ajis02-411 203 11 sentencing sentencing NOUN ajis02-411 203 12 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 203 13 in in ADP ajis02-411 203 14 a a DET ajis02-411 203 15 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 203 16 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 203 17 unconstrained unconstrained ADJ ajis02-411 203 18 environment environment NOUN ajis02-411 203 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 204 1 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 204 2 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 204 3 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 204 4 after after ADP ajis02-411 204 5 a a DET ajis02-411 204 6 brief brief ADJ ajis02-411 204 7 turndown turndown NOUN ajis02-411 204 8 in in ADP ajis02-411 204 9 1982 1982 NUM ajis02-411 204 10 through through ADP ajis02-411 204 11 1984 1984 NUM ajis02-411 204 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 204 13 north north PROPN ajis02-411 204 14 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 204 15 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 204 16 population population NOUN ajis02-411 204 17 grew grow VERB ajis02-411 204 18 rapidly rapidly ADV ajis02-411 204 19 until until ADP ajis02-411 204 20 1986 1986 NUM ajis02-411 204 21 after after ADP ajis02-411 204 22 which which PRON ajis02-411 204 23 it it PRON ajis02-411 204 24 held hold VERB ajis02-411 204 25 steady steady ADJ ajis02-411 204 26 at at ADP ajis02-411 204 27 just just ADV ajis02-411 204 28 under under ADP ajis02-411 204 29 17,000 17,000 NUM ajis02-411 204 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 205 1 there there PRON ajis02-411 205 2 is be VERB ajis02-411 205 3 a a DET ajis02-411 205 4 simple simple ADJ ajis02-411 205 5 explanation explanation NOUN ajis02-411 205 6 for for ADP ajis02-411 205 7 the the DET ajis02-411 205 8 relatively relatively ADV ajis02-411 205 9 constant constant ADJ ajis02-411 205 10 number number NOUN ajis02-411 205 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 205 12 north north PROPN ajis02-411 205 13 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 205 14 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 205 15 over over ADP ajis02-411 205 16 the the DET ajis02-411 205 17 last last ADJ ajis02-411 205 18 three three NUM ajis02-411 205 19 years year NOUN ajis02-411 205 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 206 1 in in ADP ajis02-411 206 2 1986 1986 NUM ajis02-411 206 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 206 4 the the DET ajis02-411 206 5 north north PROPN ajis02-411 206 6 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 206 7 state state NOUN ajis02-411 206 8 legislature legislature NOUN ajis02-411 206 9 imposed impose VERB ajis02-411 206 10 a a DET ajis02-411 206 11 three three NUM ajis02-411 206 12 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 206 13 year year NOUN ajis02-411 206 14 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 206 15 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 206 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 206 17 18,000 18,000 NUM ajis02-411 206 18 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 206 19 male male ADJ ajis02-411 206 20 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 206 21 female female ADJ ajis02-411 206 22 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 206 23 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 206 24 on on ADP ajis02-411 206 25 north north PROPN ajis02-411 206 26 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 206 27 's 's PART ajis02-411 206 28 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 206 29 population population NOUN ajis02-411 206 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 207 1 the the DET ajis02-411 207 2 north north PROPN ajis02-411 207 3 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 207 4 department department PROPN ajis02-411 207 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 207 6 correction correction NOUN ajis02-411 207 7 administers administer VERB ajis02-411 207 8 this this DET ajis02-411 207 9 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 207 10 by by ADP ajis02-411 207 11 the the DET ajis02-411 207 12 early early ADJ ajis02-411 207 13 release release NOUN ajis02-411 207 14 of of ADP ajis02-411 207 15 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 207 16 when when SCONJ ajis02-411 207 17 the the DET ajis02-411 207 18 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 207 19 population population NOUN ajis02-411 207 20 reaches reach VERB ajis02-411 207 21 17,460 17,460 NUM ajis02-411 207 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 208 1 about about ADV ajis02-411 208 2 94.3 94.3 NUM ajis02-411 208 3 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 208 4 of of ADP ajis02-411 208 5 north north PROPN ajis02-411 208 6 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 208 7 's 's PART ajis02-411 208 8 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 208 9 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 208 10 is be AUX ajis02-411 208 11 available available ADJ ajis02-411 208 12 for for ADP ajis02-411 208 13 male male ADJ ajis02-411 208 14 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 208 15 implying imply VERB ajis02-411 208 16 a a DET ajis02-411 208 17 maximum maximum ADJ ajis02-411 208 18 allowable allowable ADJ ajis02-411 208 19 male male ADJ ajis02-411 208 20 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 208 21 population population NOUN ajis02-411 208 22 of of ADP ajis02-411 208 23 16,465 16,465 NUM ajis02-411 208 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 209 1 this this DET ajis02-411 209 2 legislated legislate VERB ajis02-411 209 3 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 209 4 of of ADP ajis02-411 209 5 course course NOUN ajis02-411 209 6 mirrored mirror VERB ajis02-411 209 7 available available ADJ ajis02-411 209 8 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 209 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 210 1 if if SCONJ ajis02-411 210 2 the the DET ajis02-411 210 3 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 210 4 population population NOUN ajis02-411 210 5 at at ADP ajis02-411 210 6 time time NOUN ajis02-411 210 7 t t PROPN ajis02-411 210 8 exceeds exceed VERB ajis02-411 210 9 the the DET ajis02-411 210 10 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 210 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 210 12 pt pt NOUN ajis02-411 210 13 cap cap NOUN ajis02-411 210 14 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 210 15 additional additional ADJ ajis02-411 210 16 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 210 17 are be AUX ajis02-411 210 18 required require VERB ajis02-411 210 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 211 1 these these DET ajis02-411 211 2 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 211 3 early early ADJ ajis02-411 211 4 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 211 5 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 211 6 reduce reduce VERB ajis02-411 211 7 s s PRON ajis02-411 211 8 for for ADP ajis02-411 211 9 the the DET ajis02-411 211 10 aggregate aggregate ADJ ajis02-411 211 11 population population NOUN ajis02-411 211 12 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 212 1 we we PRON ajis02-411 212 2 initially initially ADV ajis02-411 212 3 assume assume VERB ajis02-411 212 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 212 5 these these DET ajis02-411 212 6 additional additional ADJ ajis02-411 212 7 releases release NOUN ajis02-411 212 8 are be AUX ajis02-411 212 9 distributed distribute VERB ajis02-411 212 10 proportionally proportionally ADV ajis02-411 212 11 across across ADP ajis02-411 212 12 the the DET ajis02-411 212 13 28 28 NUM ajis02-411 212 14 age age NOUN ajis02-411 212 15 / / SYM ajis02-411 212 16 race race NOUN ajis02-411 212 17 / / SYM ajis02-411 212 18 prior prior ADJ ajis02-411 212 19 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 212 20 incarceration incarceration NOUN ajis02-411 212 21 classes class NOUN ajis02-411 212 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 213 1 we we PRON ajis02-411 213 2 then then ADV ajis02-411 213 3 examine examine VERB ajis02-411 213 4 how how SCONJ ajis02-411 213 5 the the DET ajis02-411 213 6 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 213 7 ceiling ceiling NOUN ajis02-411 213 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 213 9 16,465 16,465 NUM ajis02-411 213 10 affects affect NOUN ajis02-411 213 11 mean mean VERB ajis02-411 213 12 time time NOUN ajis02-411 213 13 served serve VERB ajis02-411 213 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 213 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 213 16 subsequently subsequently ADV ajis02-411 213 17 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 213 18 the the DET ajis02-411 213 19 distributions distribution NOUN ajis02-411 213 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 213 21 returns return NOUN ajis02-411 213 22 to to ADP ajis02-411 213 23 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 213 24 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 214 1 the the DET ajis02-411 214 2 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 214 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 214 4 the the DET ajis02-411 214 5 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 214 6 ceiling ceiling NOUN ajis02-411 214 7 on on ADP ajis02-411 214 8 mean mean ADJ ajis02-411 214 9 time time NOUN ajis02-411 214 10 served serve VERB ajis02-411 214 11 was be AUX ajis02-411 214 12 modeled model VERB ajis02-411 214 13 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 215 1 results result NOUN ajis02-411 215 2 are be AUX ajis02-411 215 3 shown show VERB ajis02-411 215 4 in in ADP ajis02-411 215 5 figures figure NOUN ajis02-411 215 6 4 4 NUM ajis02-411 215 7 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 215 8 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 215 9 . . X ajis02-411 215 10 figure figure VERB ajis02-411 215 11 4 4 NUM ajis02-411 215 12 shows show NOUN ajis02-411 215 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 215 14 for for ADP ajis02-411 215 15 the the DET ajis02-411 215 16 youngest young ADJ ajis02-411 215 17 age age NOUN ajis02-411 215 18 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 215 19 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 215 20 the the DET ajis02-411 215 21 change change NOUN ajis02-411 215 22 in in ADP ajis02-411 215 23 the the DET ajis02-411 215 24 time time NOUN ajis02-411 215 25 served serve VERB ajis02-411 215 26 means mean NOUN ajis02-411 215 27 required require VERB ajis02-411 215 28 to to PART ajis02-411 215 29 achieve achieve VERB ajis02-411 215 30 the the DET ajis02-411 215 31 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 215 32 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 215 33 these these PRON ajis02-411 215 34 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 215 35 the the DET ajis02-411 215 36 results result NOUN ajis02-411 215 37 for for ADP ajis02-411 215 38 the the DET ajis02-411 215 39 other other ADJ ajis02-411 215 40 groups group NOUN ajis02-411 215 41 suggest suggest VERB ajis02-411 215 42 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 215 43 other other ADJ ajis02-411 215 44 things thing NOUN ajis02-411 215 45 equal equal ADJ ajis02-411 215 46 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 215 47 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 215 48 a a DET ajis02-411 215 49 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 215 50 steady steady ADJ ajis02-411 215 51 state state NOUN ajis02-411 215 52 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 215 53 is be AUX ajis02-411 215 54 achieved achieve VERB ajis02-411 215 55 fairly fairly ADV ajis02-411 215 56 quickly quickly ADV ajis02-411 215 57 under under ADP ajis02-411 215 58 the the DET ajis02-411 215 59 constrained constrain VERB ajis02-411 215 60 status status NOUN ajis02-411 215 61 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 215 62 conditions condition NOUN ajis02-411 215 63 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 216 1 the the DET ajis02-411 216 2 status status NOUN ajis02-411 216 3 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 216 4 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 216 5 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 216 6 steady steady ADJ ajis02-411 216 7 state state NOUN ajis02-411 216 8 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 216 9 means mean NOUN ajis02-411 216 10 are be AUX ajis02-411 216 11 shown show VERB ajis02-411 216 12 in in ADP ajis02-411 216 13 figure figure NOUN ajis02-411 216 14 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 216 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 217 1 these these DET ajis02-411 217 2 results result NOUN ajis02-411 217 3 suggest suggest VERB ajis02-411 217 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 217 5 a a DET ajis02-411 217 6 decrease decrease NOUN ajis02-411 217 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 217 8 about about ADV ajis02-411 217 9 25 25 NUM ajis02-411 217 10 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 217 11 in in ADP ajis02-411 217 12 the the DET ajis02-411 217 13 means mean NOUN ajis02-411 217 14 of of ADP ajis02-411 217 15 the the DET ajis02-411 217 16 time time NOUN ajis02-411 217 17 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 217 18 served serve VERB ajis02-411 217 19 distributions distribution NOUN ajis02-411 217 20 would would AUX ajis02-411 217 21 be be AUX ajis02-411 217 22 required require VERB ajis02-411 217 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 218 1 although although SCONJ ajis02-411 218 2 strictly strictly ADV ajis02-411 218 3 comparable comparable ADJ ajis02-411 218 4 figures figure NOUN ajis02-411 218 5 are be AUX ajis02-411 218 6 not not PART ajis02-411 218 7 available available ADJ ajis02-411 218 8 from from ADP ajis02-411 218 9 north north PROPN ajis02-411 218 10 carolina carolina PROPN ajis02-411 218 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 218 12 between between ADP ajis02-411 218 13 1983 1983 NUM ajis02-411 218 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 218 15 1989 1989 NUM ajis02-411 218 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 218 17 the the DET ajis02-411 218 18 average average ADJ ajis02-411 218 19 time time NOUN ajis02-411 218 20 served serve VERB ajis02-411 218 21 by by ADP ajis02-411 218 22 released release VERB ajis02-411 218 23 felons felon NOUN ajis02-411 218 24 dropped drop VERB ajis02-411 218 25 by by ADP ajis02-411 218 26 12.8 12.8 NUM ajis02-411 218 27 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 218 28 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 218 29 from from ADP ajis02-411 218 30 1.95 1.95 NUM ajis02-411 218 31 years year NOUN ajis02-411 218 32 to to ADP ajis02-411 218 33 1.7 1.7 NUM ajis02-411 218 34 years year NOUN ajis02-411 218 35 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 218 36 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 218 37 while while SCONJ ajis02-411 218 38 the the DET ajis02-411 218 39 average average ADJ ajis02-411 218 40 sentence sentence NOUN ajis02-411 218 41 length length NOUN ajis02-411 218 42 of of ADP ajis02-411 218 43 those those PRON ajis02-411 218 44 admitted admit VERB ajis02-411 218 45 has have AUX ajis02-411 218 46 increased increase VERB ajis02-411 218 47 by by ADP ajis02-411 218 48 15.3 15.3 NUM ajis02-411 218 49 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 218 50 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 218 51 from from ADP ajis02-411 218 52 6.0 6.0 NUM ajis02-411 218 53 to to PART ajis02-411 218 54 7.2 7.2 NUM ajis02-411 218 55 years year NOUN ajis02-411 218 56 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 218 57 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 219 1 the the DET ajis02-411 219 2 average average ADJ ajis02-411 219 3 time time NOUN ajis02-411 219 4 served serve VERB ajis02-411 219 5 by by ADP ajis02-411 219 6 misdemeanants misdemeanant NOUN ajis02-411 219 7 dropped drop VERB ajis02-411 219 8 by by ADP ajis02-411 219 9 more more ADJ ajis02-411 219 10 than than ADP ajis02-411 219 11 40 40 NUM ajis02-411 219 12 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 219 13 during during ADP ajis02-411 219 14 the the DET ajis02-411 219 15 same same ADJ ajis02-411 219 16 period period NOUN ajis02-411 219 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 220 1 12 12 NUM ajis02-411 220 2 ajis ajis ADV ajis02-411 220 3 a a DET ajis02-411 220 4 decreasing decrease VERB ajis02-411 220 5 mean mean NOUN ajis02-411 220 6 service service NOUN ajis02-411 220 7 time time NOUN ajis02-411 220 8 has have VERB ajis02-411 220 9 the the DET ajis02-411 220 10 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 220 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 220 12 increasing increase VERB ajis02-411 220 13 the the DET ajis02-411 220 14 releasee releasee NOUN ajis02-411 220 15 pool pool NOUN ajis02-411 220 16 r r NOUN ajis02-411 220 17 thereby thereby ADV ajis02-411 220 18 increasing increase VERB ajis02-411 220 19 the the DET ajis02-411 220 20 number number NOUN ajis02-411 220 21 of of ADP ajis02-411 220 22 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 220 23 over over ADP ajis02-411 220 24 the the DET ajis02-411 220 25 status status NOUN ajis02-411 220 26 quo quo NOUN ajis02-411 220 27 model model NOUN ajis02-411 220 28 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 220 29 assuming assume VERB ajis02-411 220 30 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 220 31 behavior behavior NOUN ajis02-411 220 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 220 33 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 220 34 measured measure VERB ajis02-411 220 35 by by ADP ajis02-411 220 36 the the DET ajis02-411 220 37 parameters parameter NOUN ajis02-411 220 38 of of ADP ajis02-411 220 39 the the DET ajis02-411 220 40 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 220 41 model model NOUN ajis02-411 220 42 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 220 43 does do AUX ajis02-411 220 44 not not PART ajis02-411 220 45 change change VERB ajis02-411 220 46 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 220 47 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 221 1 the the DET ajis02-411 221 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 221 3 predicts predict VERB ajis02-411 221 4 an an DET ajis02-411 221 5 additional additional ADJ ajis02-411 221 6 3,530 3,530 NUM ajis02-411 221 7 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 221 8 due due ADP ajis02-411 221 9 to to ADP ajis02-411 221 10 the the DET ajis02-411 221 11 early early ADJ ajis02-411 221 12 release release NOUN ajis02-411 221 13 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 221 14 engendered engender VERB ajis02-411 221 15 by by ADP ajis02-411 221 16 the the DET ajis02-411 221 17 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 221 18 constraint constraint NOUN ajis02-411 221 19 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 222 1 as as SCONJ ajis02-411 222 2 the the DET ajis02-411 222 3 model model NOUN ajis02-411 222 4 is be AUX ajis02-411 222 5 structured structure VERB ajis02-411 222 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 222 7 these these DET ajis02-411 222 8 additional additional ADJ ajis02-411 222 9 commitments commitment NOUN ajis02-411 222 10 are be AUX ajis02-411 222 11 due due ADJ ajis02-411 222 12 entirely entirely ADV ajis02-411 222 13 to to ADP ajis02-411 222 14 the the DET ajis02-411 222 15 younger young ADJ ajis02-411 222 16 ages age NOUN ajis02-411 222 17 of of ADP ajis02-411 222 18 release release NOUN ajis02-411 222 19 of of ADP ajis02-411 222 20 the the DET ajis02-411 222 21 offenders offender NOUN ajis02-411 222 22 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 223 1 a a DET ajis02-411 223 2 second second ADJ ajis02-411 223 3 factor factor NOUN ajis02-411 223 4 which which PRON ajis02-411 223 5 could could AUX ajis02-411 223 6 affect affect VERB ajis02-411 223 7 the the DET ajis02-411 223 8 rate rate NOUN ajis02-411 223 9 of of ADP ajis02-411 223 10 recidivist recidivist ADJ ajis02-411 223 11 returns return NOUN ajis02-411 223 12 is be AUX ajis02-411 223 13 a a DET ajis02-411 223 14 reduction reduction NOUN ajis02-411 223 15 in in ADP ajis02-411 223 16 the the DET ajis02-411 223 17 deterrent deterrent NOUN ajis02-411 223 18 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 223 19 that that PRON ajis02-411 223 20 could could AUX ajis02-411 223 21 result result VERB ajis02-411 223 22 from from ADP ajis02-411 223 23 reduced reduced ADJ ajis02-411 223 24 punishment punishment NOUN ajis02-411 223 25 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 224 1 conclusions conclusion NOUN ajis02-411 224 2 a a DET ajis02-411 224 3 model model NOUN ajis02-411 224 4 which which PRON ajis02-411 224 5 accurately accurately ADV ajis02-411 224 6 predicts predict VERB ajis02-411 224 7 future future ADJ ajis02-411 224 8 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 224 9 for for ADP ajis02-411 224 10 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 224 11 beds bed NOUN ajis02-411 224 12 is be AUX ajis02-411 224 13 important important ADJ ajis02-411 224 14 however however ADV ajis02-411 224 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 224 16 most most ADJ ajis02-411 224 17 models model NOUN ajis02-411 224 18 which which PRON ajis02-411 224 19 have have AUX ajis02-411 224 20 attempted attempt VERB ajis02-411 224 21 this this DET ajis02-411 224 22 task task NOUN ajis02-411 224 23 have have AUX ajis02-411 224 24 offered offer VERB ajis02-411 224 25 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 224 26 which which PRON ajis02-411 224 27 ignore ignore VERB ajis02-411 224 28 the the DET ajis02-411 224 29 fact fact NOUN ajis02-411 224 30 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 224 31 there there PRON ajis02-411 224 32 is be VERB ajis02-411 224 33 not not PART ajis02-411 224 34 enough enough ADJ ajis02-411 224 35 space space NOUN ajis02-411 224 36 to to ADP ajis02-411 224 37 house house NOUN ajis02-411 224 38 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 224 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 225 1 thus thus ADV ajis02-411 225 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 225 3 these these DET ajis02-411 225 4 models model NOUN ajis02-411 225 5 are be AUX ajis02-411 225 6 not not PART ajis02-411 225 7 only only ADV ajis02-411 225 8 unrealistic unrealistic ADJ ajis02-411 225 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 225 10 but but CCONJ ajis02-411 225 11 limited limit VERB ajis02-411 225 12 in in SCONJ ajis02-411 225 13 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 225 14 they they PRON ajis02-411 225 15 fail fail VERB ajis02-411 225 16 to to PART ajis02-411 225 17 take take VERB ajis02-411 225 18 into into ADP ajis02-411 225 19 account account NOUN ajis02-411 225 20 the the DET ajis02-411 225 21 synergistic synergistic ADJ ajis02-411 225 22 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 225 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 225 24 early early ADJ ajis02-411 225 25 release release NOUN ajis02-411 225 26 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 225 27 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 225 28 instituted institute VERB ajis02-411 225 29 in in ADP ajis02-411 225 30 response response NOUN ajis02-411 225 31 to to ADP ajis02-411 225 32 overcrowding overcrowding NOUN ajis02-411 225 33 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 225 34 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 225 35 the the DET ajis02-411 225 36 intake intake ADJ ajis02-411 225 37 process process NOUN ajis02-411 225 38 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 226 1 recall recall VERB ajis02-411 226 2 that that PRON ajis02-411 226 3 close close ADJ ajis02-411 226 4 to to PART ajis02-411 226 5 fifty fifty NUM ajis02-411 226 6 percent percent NOUN ajis02-411 226 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 226 8 the the DET ajis02-411 226 9 inmate inmate NOUN ajis02-411 226 10 population population NOUN ajis02-411 226 11 are be AUX ajis02-411 226 12 recidivists recidivist NOUN ajis02-411 226 13 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 227 1 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 227 2 a a DET ajis02-411 227 3 large large ADJ ajis02-411 227 4 percentage percentage NOUN ajis02-411 227 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 227 6 these these DET ajis02-411 227 7 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 227 8 are be AUX ajis02-411 227 9 in in ADP ajis02-411 227 10 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 227 11 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 227 12 prone prone ADJ ajis02-411 227 13 ages age NOUN ajis02-411 227 14 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 228 1 early early ADJ ajis02-411 228 2 release release NOUN ajis02-411 228 3 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 228 4 therefore therefore ADV ajis02-411 228 5 tend tend VERB ajis02-411 228 6 to to PART ajis02-411 228 7 place place VERB ajis02-411 228 8 highly highly ADV ajis02-411 228 9 active active ADJ ajis02-411 228 10 individuals individual NOUN ajis02-411 228 11 on on ADP ajis02-411 228 12 the the DET ajis02-411 228 13 street street NOUN ajis02-411 228 14 earlier early ADV ajis02-411 228 15 allowing allow VERB ajis02-411 228 16 them they PRON ajis02-411 228 17 more more ADJ ajis02-411 228 18 time time NOUN ajis02-411 228 19 to to PART ajis02-411 228 20 recidivate recidivate VERB ajis02-411 228 21 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 229 1 in in ADP ajis02-411 229 2 other other ADJ ajis02-411 229 3 words word NOUN ajis02-411 229 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 229 5 the the DET ajis02-411 229 6 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 229 7 revolving revolve VERB ajis02-411 229 8 door door NOUN ajis02-411 229 9 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 229 10 spins spin VERB ajis02-411 229 11 faster fast ADV ajis02-411 229 12 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 230 1 underlying underlie VERB ajis02-411 230 2 any any DET ajis02-411 230 3 discassion discassion NOUN ajis02-411 230 4 of of ADP ajis02-411 230 5 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 230 6 needs need NOUN ajis02-411 230 7 is be AUX ajis02-411 230 8 the the DET ajis02-411 230 9 issue issue NOUN ajis02-411 230 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 230 11 what what PRON ajis02-411 230 12 constitutes constitute VERB ajis02-411 230 13 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 230 14 optimal optimal ADJ ajis02-411 230 15 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 230 16 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 230 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 231 1 fiscal fiscal ADJ ajis02-411 231 2 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 231 3 humanitarian humanitarian ADJ ajis02-411 231 4 issues issue NOUN ajis02-411 231 5 not not PART ajis02-411 231 6 withstanding withstand VERB ajis02-411 231 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 231 8 the the DET ajis02-411 231 9 question question NOUN ajis02-411 231 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 231 11 how how SCONJ ajis02-411 231 12 many many ADJ ajis02-411 231 13 beds bed NOUN ajis02-411 231 14 are be AUX ajis02-411 231 15 needed need VERB ajis02-411 231 16 must must AUX ajis02-411 231 17 consider consider VERB ajis02-411 231 18 the the DET ajis02-411 231 19 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 231 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 231 21 current current ADJ ajis02-411 231 22 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 231 23 future future ADJ ajis02-411 231 24 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 231 25 on on ADP ajis02-411 231 26 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 231 27 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 232 1 population population NOUN ajis02-411 232 2 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 232 3 models model NOUN ajis02-411 232 4 which which PRON ajis02-411 232 5 view view VERB ajis02-411 232 6 the the DET ajis02-411 232 7 system system NOUN ajis02-411 232 8 as as ADP ajis02-411 232 9 being be AUX ajis02-411 232 10 incapacitated incapacitate VERB ajis02-411 232 11 provide provide VERB ajis02-411 232 12 an an DET ajis02-411 232 13 upper upper ADJ ajis02-411 232 14 bound bind VERB ajis02-411 232 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 232 16 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 232 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 233 1 practically practically ADV ajis02-411 233 2 speaking speak VERB ajis02-411 233 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 233 4 no no DET ajis02-411 233 5 jurisdiction jurisdiction NOUN ajis02-411 233 6 is be AUX ajis02-411 233 7 likely likely ADJ ajis02-411 233 8 to to PART ajis02-411 233 9 build build VERB ajis02-411 233 10 enough enough ADJ ajis02-411 233 11 prisons prison NOUN ajis02-411 233 12 to to PART ajis02-411 233 13 house house VERB ajis02-411 233 14 all all DET ajis02-411 233 15 projected project VERB ajis02-411 233 16 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 233 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 234 1 because because SCONJ ajis02-411 234 2 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 234 3 will will AUX ajis02-411 234 4 never never ADV ajis02-411 234 5 meet meet VERB ajis02-411 234 6 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 234 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 234 8 the the DET ajis02-411 234 9 problem problem NOUN ajis02-411 234 10 becomes become VERB ajis02-411 234 11 one one NUM ajis02-411 234 12 of of ADP ajis02-411 234 13 determining determine VERB ajis02-411 234 14 what what DET ajis02-411 234 15 level level NOUN ajis02-411 234 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 234 17 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 234 18 is be AUX ajis02-411 234 19 acceptable acceptable ADJ ajis02-411 234 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 235 1 results result NOUN ajis02-411 235 2 here here ADV ajis02-411 235 3 suggest suggest VERB ajis02-411 235 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 235 5 this this DET ajis02-411 235 6 question question NOUN ajis02-411 235 7 can can AUX ajis02-411 235 8 not not PART ajis02-411 235 9 be be AUX ajis02-411 235 10 answered answer VERB ajis02-411 235 11 completely completely ADV ajis02-411 235 12 unless unless SCONJ ajis02-411 235 13 the the DET ajis02-411 235 14 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 235 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 235 16 reduced reduced ADJ ajis02-411 235 17 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 235 18 on on ADP ajis02-411 235 19 future future ADJ ajis02-411 235 20 demands demand NOUN ajis02-411 235 21 is be AUX ajis02-411 235 22 addressed address VERB ajis02-411 235 23 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 236 1 also also ADV ajis02-411 236 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 236 3 if if SCONJ ajis02-411 236 4 there there PRON ajis02-411 236 5 is be VERB ajis02-411 236 6 a a DET ajis02-411 236 7 deterrent deterrent NOUN ajis02-411 236 8 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 236 9 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 236 10 it it PRON ajis02-411 236 11 is be AUX ajis02-411 236 12 inversely inversely ADV ajis02-411 236 13 related relate VERB ajis02-411 236 14 to to ADP ajis02-411 236 15 time time NOUN ajis02-411 236 16 served serve VERB ajis02-411 236 17 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 236 18 ceteris ceteris NOUN ajis02-411 236 19 paribus paribus NOUN ajis02-411 236 20 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 236 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 236 22 one one PRON ajis02-411 236 23 could could AUX ajis02-411 236 24 also also ADV ajis02-411 236 25 see see VERB ajis02-411 236 26 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 236 27 in in ADP ajis02-411 236 28 the the DET ajis02-411 236 29 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 236 30 model model NOUN ajis02-411 236 31 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 237 1 for for ADP ajis02-411 237 2 example example NOUN ajis02-411 237 3 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 237 4 if if SCONJ ajis02-411 237 5 serving serve VERB ajis02-411 237 6 18 18 NUM ajis02-411 237 7 months month NOUN ajis02-411 237 8 is be AUX ajis02-411 237 9 more more ADJ ajis02-411 237 10 of of ADP ajis02-411 237 11 a a DET ajis02-411 237 12 deterrent deterrent NOUN ajis02-411 237 13 to to ADP ajis02-411 237 14 future future ADJ ajis02-411 237 15 criminality criminality NOUN ajis02-411 237 16 than than ADP ajis02-411 237 17 serving serve VERB ajis02-411 237 18 six six NUM ajis02-411 237 19 months month NOUN ajis02-411 237 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 237 21 then then ADV ajis02-411 237 22 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 237 23 constraints constraint NOUN ajis02-411 237 24 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 237 25 resulting result VERB ajis02-411 237 26 early early ADJ ajis02-411 237 27 release release NOUN ajis02-411 237 28 policies policy NOUN ajis02-411 237 29 may may AUX ajis02-411 237 30 have have VERB ajis02-411 237 31 an an DET ajis02-411 237 32 even even ADV ajis02-411 237 33 more more ADV ajis02-411 237 34 dramatic dramatic ADJ ajis02-411 237 35 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 237 36 on on ADP ajis02-411 237 37 future future ADJ ajis02-411 237 38 admissions admission NOUN ajis02-411 237 39 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 238 1 in in ADP ajis02-411 238 2 this this DET ajis02-411 238 3 paper paper NOUN ajis02-411 238 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 238 5 we we PRON ajis02-411 238 6 developed develop VERB ajis02-411 238 7 a a DET ajis02-411 238 8 stochastic stochastic ADJ ajis02-411 238 9 model model NOUN ajis02-411 238 10 for for ADP ajis02-411 238 11 an an DET ajis02-411 238 12 input input NOUN ajis02-411 238 13 / / SYM ajis02-411 238 14 output output NOUN ajis02-411 238 15 process process NOUN ajis02-411 238 16 which which PRON ajis02-411 238 17 exploits exploit VERB ajis02-411 238 18 the the DET ajis02-411 238 19 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 238 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 238 21 outputs output NOUN ajis02-411 238 22 on on ADP ajis02-411 238 23 the the DET ajis02-411 238 24 input input NOUN ajis02-411 238 25 process process NOUN ajis02-411 238 26 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 239 1 the the DET ajis02-411 239 2 model model NOUN ajis02-411 239 3 is be AUX ajis02-411 239 4 the the DET ajis02-411 239 5 first first ADJ ajis02-411 239 6 to to PART ajis02-411 239 7 model model VERB ajis02-411 239 8 the the DET ajis02-411 239 9 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 239 10 system system NOUN ajis02-411 239 11 from from ADP ajis02-411 239 12 the the DET ajis02-411 239 13 vantage vantage NOUN ajis02-411 239 14 point point NOUN ajis02-411 239 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 239 16 interrelated interrelated ADJ ajis02-411 239 17 system system NOUN ajis02-411 239 18 in in ADP ajis02-411 239 19 which which PRON ajis02-411 239 20 the the DET ajis02-411 239 21 outputs output NOUN ajis02-411 239 22 reenter reenter NOUN ajis02-411 239 23 as as ADP ajis02-411 239 24 inputs input NOUN ajis02-411 239 25 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 240 1 this this DET ajis02-411 240 2 approach approach NOUN ajis02-411 240 3 is be AUX ajis02-411 240 4 a a DET ajis02-411 240 5 dramatic dramatic ADJ ajis02-411 240 6 change change NOUN ajis02-411 240 7 from from ADP ajis02-411 240 8 linear linear PROPN ajis02-411 240 9 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 240 10 models model NOUN ajis02-411 240 11 which which PRON ajis02-411 240 12 view view VERB ajis02-411 240 13 inputs input NOUN ajis02-411 240 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 240 15 outputs output NOUN ajis02-411 240 16 to to PART ajis02-411 240 17 be be AUX ajis02-411 240 18 linear linear ADJ ajis02-411 240 19 in in ADP ajis02-411 240 20 nature nature NOUN ajis02-411 240 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 240 22 to to ADP ajis02-411 240 23 one one NUM ajis02-411 240 24 in in ADP ajis02-411 240 25 which which PRON ajis02-411 240 26 the the DET ajis02-411 240 27 control control NOUN ajis02-411 240 28 of of ADP ajis02-411 240 29 the the DET ajis02-411 240 30 system system NOUN ajis02-411 240 31 requires require VERB ajis02-411 240 32 modeling modeling NOUN ajis02-411 240 33 of of ADP ajis02-411 240 34 the the DET ajis02-411 240 35 non non ADJ ajis02-411 240 36 - - ADJ ajis02-411 240 37 linear linear ADJ ajis02-411 240 38 properties property NOUN ajis02-411 240 39 of of ADP ajis02-411 240 40 the the DET ajis02-411 240 41 population population NOUN ajis02-411 240 42 flow flow NOUN ajis02-411 240 43 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 241 1 results result NOUN ajis02-411 241 2 reported report VERB ajis02-411 241 3 suggest suggest VERB ajis02-411 241 4 that that SCONJ ajis02-411 241 5 a a DET ajis02-411 241 6 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 241 7 population population NOUN ajis02-411 241 8 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 241 9 model model NOUN ajis02-411 241 10 which which PRON ajis02-411 241 11 includes include VERB ajis02-411 241 12 the the DET ajis02-411 241 13 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 241 14 of of ADP ajis02-411 241 15 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 241 16 on on ADP ajis02-411 241 17 future future ADJ ajis02-411 241 18 demand demand NOUN ajis02-411 241 19 provides provide VERB ajis02-411 241 20 a a DET ajis02-411 241 21 good good ADJ ajis02-411 241 22 forecast forecast NOUN ajis02-411 241 23 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 241 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 241 25 more more ADV ajis02-411 241 26 importantly importantly ADV ajis02-411 241 27 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 241 28 allows allow VERB ajis02-411 241 29 for for ADP ajis02-411 241 30 consideration consideration NOUN ajis02-411 241 31 of of ADP ajis02-411 241 32 the the DET ajis02-411 241 33 effect effect NOUN ajis02-411 241 34 of of ADP ajis02-411 241 35 policy policy NOUN ajis02-411 241 36 changes change NOUN ajis02-411 241 37 on on ADP ajis02-411 241 38 the the DET ajis02-411 241 39 input input NOUN ajis02-411 241 40 / / SYM ajis02-411 241 41 output output NOUN ajis02-411 241 42 process process NOUN ajis02-411 241 43 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 242 1 september september PROPN ajis02-411 242 2 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 242 3 13 13 NUM ajis02-411 242 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 242 5 q q NOUN ajis02-411 242 6 c c NOUN ajis02-411 242 7 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 242 8 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 242 9 tj tj NOUN ajis02-411 242 10 ft ft PROPN ajis02-411 242 11 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 242 12 o o NOUN ajis02-411 242 13 i- i- X ajis02-411 242 14 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 242 15 li li PROPN ajis02-411 242 16 > > X ajis02-411 242 17 •go •go PROPN ajis02-411 242 18 os os PROPN ajis02-411 242 19 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 242 20 j5 j5 PROPN ajis02-411 242 21 . . PROPN ajis02-411 242 22 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 242 23 o o PROPN ajis02-411 242 24 cd cd PROPN ajis02-411 242 25 fi fi NOUN ajis02-411 242 26 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 242 27 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 242 28 h h NOUN ajis02-411 242 29 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 242 30 d d NOUN ajis02-411 242 31 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 242 32 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 242 33 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 242 34 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 243 1 o o NOUN ajis02-411 243 2 cd cd PROPN ajis02-411 243 3 c c PROPN ajis02-411 243 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 243 5 d d X ajis02-411 243 6 cn cn PROPN ajis02-411 243 7 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 243 8 •o •o ADP ajis02-411 243 9 q q X ajis02-411 243 10 > > X ajis02-411 243 11 o o X ajis02-411 243 12 o o X ajis02-411 243 13 q q NOUN ajis02-411 243 14 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 243 15 t3 t3 PROPN ajis02-411 243 16 q q NOUN ajis02-411 243 17 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 243 18 o o NOUN ajis02-411 244 1 o o NOUN ajis02-411 244 2 o o NOUN ajis02-411 244 3 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 244 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 244 5 / / SYM ajis02-411 244 6 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 244 7 r r NOUN ajis02-411 244 8 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 244 9 hs hs INTJ ajis02-411 244 10 3 3 PROPN ajis02-411 244 11 ' ' PUNCT ajis02-411 244 12 r+ r+ NOUN ajis02-411 244 13 o o NOUN ajis02-411 244 14 3 3 NUM ajis02-411 244 15 < < X ajis02-411 244 16 d d X ajis02-411 244 17 co co X ajis02-411 244 18 o o NOUN ajis02-411 244 19 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 244 20 d d X ajis02-411 244 21 q. q. NOUN ajis02-411 244 22 0 0 NUM ajis02-411 244 23 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 245 1 d d X ajis02-411 245 2 -n -n X ajis02-411 245 3 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 4 d d X ajis02-411 245 5 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 6 d d X ajis02-411 245 7 o o X ajis02-411 245 8 > > X ajis02-411 245 9 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 10 d d X ajis02-411 245 11 o o X ajis02-411 245 12 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 13 d d X ajis02-411 245 14 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 15 q q PROPN ajis02-411 245 16 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 245 17 d d NOUN ajis02-411 245 18 o o X ajis02-411 245 19 o o X ajis02-411 246 1 c c X ajis02-411 246 2 o o NOUN ajis02-411 246 3 t t PROPN ajis02-411 246 4 10 10 NUM ajis02-411 246 5 j j PROPN ajis02-411 246 6 01 01 NUM ajis02-411 246 7 w w NOUN ajis02-411 246 8 ^ ^ PUNCT ajis02-411 246 9 o o NOUN ajis02-411 246 10 v1 v1 PROPN ajis02-411 246 11 o o NOUN ajis02-411 246 12 ? ? PUNCT ajis02-411 247 1 * * PUNCT ajis02-411 247 2 ? ? PUNCT ajis02-411 248 1 5 5 NUM ajis02-411 248 2 ° ° NUM ajis02-411 248 3 september september PROPN ajis02-411 248 4 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 248 5 references reference NOUN ajis02-411 248 6 barnett barnett PROPN ajis02-411 248 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 248 8 a. a. NOUN ajis02-411 248 9 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 248 10 1987 1987 NUM ajis02-411 248 11 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 248 12 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 249 1 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 249 2 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 249 3 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 249 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 249 5 a a DET ajis02-411 249 6 projection projection NOUN ajis02-411 249 7 model model NOUN ajis02-411 249 8 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 249 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 10 operations operation NOUN ajis02-411 249 11 research research NOUN ajis02-411 249 12 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 13 vol vol NOUN ajis02-411 249 14 35 35 NUM ajis02-411 249 15 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 16 pp pp ADV ajis02-411 249 17 18 18 NUM ajis02-411 249 18 - - SYM ajis02-411 249 19 34 34 NUM ajis02-411 249 20 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 249 21 beck beck PROPN ajis02-411 249 22 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 23 a. a. NOUN ajis02-411 249 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 25 gilliard gilliard PROPN ajis02-411 249 26 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 27 d. d. PROPN ajis02-411 249 28 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 29 greenfield greenfield NOUN ajis02-411 249 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 31 l. l. PROPN ajis02-411 249 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 33 harlow harlow PROPN ajis02-411 249 34 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 35 c. c. NOUN ajis02-411 249 36 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 37 heater heater NOUN ajis02-411 249 38 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 39 t. t. PROPN ajis02-411 249 40 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 41 jankowski jankowski PROPN ajis02-411 249 42 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 43 l. l. PROPN ajis02-411 249 44 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 45 snell snell PROPN ajis02-411 249 46 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 47 t. t. PROPN ajis02-411 249 48 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 49 stephan stephan PROPN ajis02-411 249 50 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 51 j. j. PROPN ajis02-411 249 52 & & CCONJ ajis02-411 249 53 morton morton PROPN ajis02-411 249 54 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 55 d. d. PROPN ajis02-411 249 56 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 249 57 1993 1993 NUM ajis02-411 249 58 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 249 59 survey survey NOUN ajis02-411 249 60 of of ADP ajis02-411 249 61 state state NOUN ajis02-411 249 62 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 249 63 inmates inmate NOUN ajis02-411 249 64 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 249 65 1991 1991 NUM ajis02-411 249 66 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 250 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 250 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 250 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 250 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 250 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 250 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 250 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 250 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 250 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 250 10 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 250 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 250 12 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 250 13 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 250 14 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 251 1 blumstein blumstein PROPN ajis02-411 251 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 3 a. a. PROPN ajis02-411 251 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 5 cohen cohen PROPN ajis02-411 251 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 7 j. j. PROPN ajis02-411 251 8 & & CCONJ ajis02-411 251 9 gooding gooding PROPN ajis02-411 251 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 11 w. w. PROPN ajis02-411 251 12 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 251 13 1983 1983 NUM ajis02-411 251 14 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 251 15 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 251 16 the the DET ajis02-411 251 17 influence influence NOUN ajis02-411 251 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 251 19 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 251 20 on on ADP ajis02-411 251 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 251 22 population population NOUN ajis02-411 251 23 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 251 24 a a DET ajis02-411 251 25 critical critical ADJ ajis02-411 251 26 review review NOUN ajis02-411 251 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 251 28 some some DET ajis02-411 251 29 recent recent ADJ ajis02-411 251 30 evidence evidence NOUN ajis02-411 251 31 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 251 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 33 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 251 34 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 251 35 delinquency delinquency NOUN ajis02-411 251 36 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 37 vol vol NOUN ajis02-411 251 38 29 29 NUM ajis02-411 251 39 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 251 40 pp pp ADV ajis02-411 251 41 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 251 42 - - SYM ajis02-411 251 43 51 51 NUM ajis02-411 251 44 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 252 1 blumstein blumstein PROPN ajis02-411 252 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 3 a. a. PROPN ajis02-411 252 4 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 5 cohen cohen PROPN ajis02-411 252 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 7 j. j. PROPN ajis02-411 252 8 & & CCONJ ajis02-411 252 9 miller miller PROPN ajis02-411 252 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 11 h.d h.d PROPN ajis02-411 252 12 . . PROPN ajis02-411 252 13 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 252 14 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 252 15 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 252 16 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 252 17 demographically demographically ADV ajis02-411 252 18 disaggregated disaggregate VERB ajis02-411 252 19 projections projection NOUN ajis02-411 252 20 of of ADP ajis02-411 252 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 252 22 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 252 23 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 252 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 25 journal journal NOUN ajis02-411 252 26 of of ADP ajis02-411 252 27 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 252 28 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 252 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 30 vol vol NOUN ajis02-411 252 31 8 8 NUM ajis02-411 252 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 252 33 pp pp ADV ajis02-411 252 34 1 1 NUM ajis02-411 252 35 - - SYM ajis02-411 252 36 26 26 NUM ajis02-411 252 37 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 253 1 california california PROPN ajis02-411 253 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 253 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 253 4 corrections correction NOUN ajis02-411 253 5 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 253 6 1994 1994 NUM ajis02-411 253 7 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 253 8 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 253 9 population population NOUN ajis02-411 253 10 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 253 11 fiscal fiscal ADJ ajis02-411 253 12 estimates estimate NOUN ajis02-411 253 13 of of ADP ajis02-411 253 14 the the DET ajis02-411 253 15 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 253 16 three three NUM ajis02-411 253 17 strikes strike NOUN ajis02-411 253 18 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 253 19 initiative initiative NOUN ajis02-411 253 20 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 253 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 253 22 sacramento sacramento PROPN ajis02-411 253 23 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 253 24 california california PROPN ajis02-411 253 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 253 26 february february PROPN ajis02-411 253 27 28 28 NUM ajis02-411 253 28 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 254 1 lattimore lattimore PROPN ajis02-411 254 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 254 3 p. p. PROPN ajis02-411 254 4 k. k. PROPN ajis02-411 254 5 & & CCONJ ajis02-411 254 6 baker baker PROPN ajis02-411 254 7 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 254 8 j.r j.r PROPN ajis02-411 254 9 . . PROPN ajis02-411 254 10 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 254 11 1992 1992 NUM ajis02-411 254 12 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 254 13 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 254 14 the the DET ajis02-411 254 15 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 254 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 254 17 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 254 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 254 19 capacity capacity NOUN ajis02-411 254 20 on on ADP ajis02-411 254 21 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 254 22 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 254 23 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 254 24 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 254 25 journal journal NOUN ajis02-411 254 26 of of ADP ajis02-411 254 27 quantitative quantitative ADJ ajis02-411 254 28 criminology criminology NOUN ajis02-411 254 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 254 30 vol vol NOUN ajis02-411 254 31 8 8 NUM ajis02-411 254 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 254 33 pp pp ADV ajis02-411 254 34 189 189 NUM ajis02-411 254 35 - - SYM ajis02-411 254 36 215 215 NUM ajis02-411 254 37 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 255 1 rhodes rhode NOUN ajis02-411 255 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 255 3 w. w. PROPN ajis02-411 255 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 255 5 1990 1990 NUM ajis02-411 255 6 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 255 7 .models .model NOUN ajis02-411 255 8 of of ADP ajis02-411 255 9 the the DET ajis02-411 255 10 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 255 11 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 255 12 system system NOUN ajis02-411 255 13 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 255 14 a a DET ajis02-411 255 15 review review NOUN ajis02-411 255 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 255 17 existing exist VERB ajis02-411 255 18 impact impact NOUN ajis02-411 255 19 models model NOUN ajis02-411 255 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 255 21 us us PROPN ajis02-411 255 22 department department PROPN ajis02-411 255 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 255 24 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 255 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 255 26 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 255 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 255 28 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 255 29 statistics statistics PROPN ajis02-411 255 30 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 255 31 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 255 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 255 33 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 255 34 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 256 1 schmidt schmidt PROPN ajis02-411 256 2 p p PROPN ajis02-411 256 3 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 256 4 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 256 5 witte witte NOUN ajis02-411 256 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 256 7 a.d a.d PROPN ajis02-411 256 8 . . PROPN ajis02-411 256 9 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 256 10 1988 1988 NUM ajis02-411 256 11 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 256 12 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 256 13 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 256 14 using use VERB ajis02-411 256 15 survival survival NOUN ajis02-411 256 16 models model NOUN ajis02-411 256 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 257 1 new new PROPN ajis02-411 257 2 york york PROPN ajis02-411 257 3 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 257 4 springer springer NOUN ajis02-411 257 5 - - PUNCT ajis02-411 257 6 verlag verlag PROPN ajis02-411 257 7 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 258 1 stollmack stollmack PROPN ajis02-411 258 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 3 s. s. PROPN ajis02-411 258 4 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 258 5 1973 1973 NUM ajis02-411 258 6 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 258 7 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 258 8 predicting predict VERB ajis02-411 258 9 inmate inmate NOUN ajis02-411 258 10 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 258 11 from from ADP ajis02-411 258 12 arrest arrest NOUN ajis02-411 258 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 14 court court NOUN ajis02-411 258 15 disposition disposition NOUN ajis02-411 258 16 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 17 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 258 18 recidivism recidivism NOUN ajis02-411 258 19 rates rate NOUN ajis02-411 258 20 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 258 21 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 22 journal journal NOUN ajis02-411 258 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 258 24 research research NOUN ajis02-411 258 25 in in ADP ajis02-411 258 26 crime crime NOUN ajis02-411 258 27 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 258 28 delinquency delinquency NOUN ajis02-411 258 29 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 30 vol vol NOUN ajis02-411 258 31 10 10 NUM ajis02-411 258 32 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 258 33 pp pp ADV ajis02-411 258 34 141 141 NUM ajis02-411 258 35 - - SYM ajis02-411 258 36 162 162 NUM ajis02-411 258 37 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 259 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 259 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 259 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 259 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 259 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 259 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 259 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 259 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 259 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 259 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 259 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 260 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 260 2 1975 1975 NUM ajis02-411 260 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 260 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 260 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 260 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 260 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 260 8 statistics--1974 statistics--1974 PROPN ajis02-411 260 9 . . PROPN ajis02-411 260 10 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 260 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 260 12 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 260 13 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 260 14 us us PROPN ajis02-411 260 15 department department PROPN ajis02-411 260 16 of of ADP ajis02-411 260 17 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 260 18 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 261 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 261 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 261 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 261 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 261 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 261 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 261 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 261 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 261 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 261 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 261 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 262 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 262 2 1976 1976 NUM ajis02-411 262 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 262 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 262 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 262 6 criminal criminal PROPN ajis02-411 262 7 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 262 8 statistics-1975 statistics-1975 PROPN ajis02-411 262 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 263 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 263 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 263 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 263 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 263 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 263 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 263 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 263 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 263 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 264 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 264 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 264 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 264 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 264 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 264 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 264 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 264 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 264 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 264 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 264 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 265 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 265 2 1977 1977 NUM ajis02-411 265 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 265 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 265 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 265 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 265 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 265 8 statistics-1976 statistics-1976 NOUN ajis02-411 265 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 266 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 266 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 266 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 266 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 266 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 266 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 266 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 266 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 266 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 267 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 267 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 267 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 267 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 267 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 267 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 267 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 267 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 267 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 267 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 267 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 268 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 268 2 1978 1978 NUM ajis02-411 268 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 268 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 268 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 268 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 268 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 268 8 statistics-1977 statistics-1977 PROPN ajis02-411 268 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 269 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 269 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 269 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 269 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 269 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 269 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 269 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 269 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 269 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 270 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 270 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 270 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 270 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 270 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 270 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 270 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 270 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 270 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 270 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 270 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 271 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 271 2 1979 1979 NUM ajis02-411 271 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 271 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 271 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 271 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 271 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 271 8 statistics-1978 statistics-1978 NOUN ajis02-411 271 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 272 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 272 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 272 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 272 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 272 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 272 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 272 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 272 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 272 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 273 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 273 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 273 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 273 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 273 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 273 6 us us PROPN ajis02-411 273 7 law law NOUN ajis02-411 273 8 enforcement enforcement NOUN ajis02-411 273 9 assistance assistance NOUN ajis02-411 273 10 administration administration NOUN ajis02-411 273 11 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 274 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 274 2 1980 1980 NUM ajis02-411 274 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 274 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 274 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 274 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 274 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 274 8 statistics-1979 statistics-1979 ADJ ajis02-411 274 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 275 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 275 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 275 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 275 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 275 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 275 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 275 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 275 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 275 9 us us PROPN ajis02-411 275 10 department department PROPN ajis02-411 275 11 of of ADP ajis02-411 275 12 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 275 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 275 14 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 275 15 of of ADP ajis02-411 275 16 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 275 17 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 275 18 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 276 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 276 2 1981 1981 NUM ajis02-411 276 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 276 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 276 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 276 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 276 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 276 8 statistics-1980 statistics-1980 NOUN ajis02-411 276 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 277 1 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 277 2 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 277 3 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 277 4 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 277 5 us us PROPN ajis02-411 277 6 department department PROPN ajis02-411 277 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 277 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 277 9 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 278 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 278 2 department department PROPN ajis02-411 278 3 of of ADP ajis02-411 278 4 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 278 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 278 6 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 278 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 278 8 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 278 9 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 278 10 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 279 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 279 2 1982 1982 NUM ajis02-411 279 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 279 4 sourcebook sourcebook NOUN ajis02-411 279 5 of of ADP ajis02-411 279 6 criminal criminal ADJ ajis02-411 279 7 justice justice NOUN ajis02-411 279 8 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 279 9 — — PUNCT ajis02-411 279 10 1981 1981 NUM ajis02-411 279 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 279 12 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 279 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 279 14 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 279 15 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 279 16 us us PROPN ajis02-411 279 17 department department PROPN ajis02-411 279 18 of of ADP ajis02-411 279 19 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 279 20 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 279 21 us us PROPN ajis02-411 279 22 department department PROPN ajis02-411 279 23 of of ADP ajis02-411 279 24 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 279 25 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 279 26 bureau bureau PROPN ajis02-411 279 27 of of ADP ajis02-411 279 28 justice justice PROPN ajis02-411 279 29 statistics statistic NOUN ajis02-411 279 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 280 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 280 2 1993 1993 NUM ajis02-411 280 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 280 4 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 280 5 prisoners prisoner NOUN ajis02-411 280 6 in in ADP ajis02-411 280 7 1992 1992 NUM ajis02-411 280 8 " " PUNCT ajis02-411 280 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 280 10 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 280 11 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 280 12 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 280 13 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 280 14 may may AUX ajis02-411 280 15 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 281 1 us us PROPN ajis02-411 281 2 general general ADJ ajis02-411 281 3 accounting accounting PROPN ajis02-411 281 4 office office NOUN ajis02-411 281 5 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 282 1 ( ( PUNCT ajis02-411 282 2 1984 1984 NUM ajis02-411 282 3 ) ) PUNCT ajis02-411 282 4 federal federal ADJ ajis02-411 282 5 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 282 6 district district NOUN ajis02-411 282 7 of of ADP ajis02-411 282 8 columbia columbia PROPN ajis02-411 282 9 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 282 10 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 282 11 states state VERB ajis02-411 282 12 future future ADJ ajis02-411 282 13 prison prison NOUN ajis02-411 282 14 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 282 15 correctional correctional ADJ ajis02-411 282 16 institute institute NOUN ajis02-411 282 17 populations population NOUN ajis02-411 282 18 and and CCONJ ajis02-411 282 19 capacities capacity NOUN ajis02-411 282 20 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 282 21 report report NOUN ajis02-411 282 22 to to ADP ajis02-411 282 23 the the DET ajis02-411 282 24 honorable honorable ADJ ajis02-411 282 25 arlen arlen PROPN ajis02-411 282 26 specter specter NOUN ajis02-411 282 27 united united PROPN ajis02-411 282 28 states states PROPN ajis02-411 282 29 senate senate PROPN ajis02-411 282 30 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 283 1 gao gao PROPN ajis02-411 283 2 / / SYM ajis02-411 283 3 ggd-84 ggd-84 PROPN ajis02-411 283 4 - - NOUN ajis02-411 283 5 56 56 NUM ajis02-411 283 6 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 283 7 february february PROPN ajis02-411 283 8 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 283 9 washington washington PROPN ajis02-411 283 10 , , PUNCT ajis02-411 283 11 dc dc PROPN ajis02-411 283 12 : : PUNCT ajis02-411 283 13 us us PROPN ajis02-411 283 14 general general ADJ ajis02-411 283 15 accounting accounting PROPN ajis02-411 283 16 office office NOUN ajis02-411 283 17 . . PUNCT ajis02-411 284 1 16 16 NUM ajis02-411 285 1 ajis ajis ADV