id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
aps-84	1	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	1	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	1	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	1	4	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	1	5	|	|	ADV
aps-84	1	6	volume	volume	NOUN
aps-84	1	7	5	5	NUM
aps-84	1	8	|	|	ADV
aps-84	1	9	issue	issue	VERB
aps-84	1	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	1	11	|	|	NOUN
aps-84	1	12	pages	page	VERB
aps-84	1	13	77	77	NUM
aps-84	1	14	-	-	SYM
aps-84	1	15	100	100	NUM
aps-84	1	16	©	©	PROPN
aps-84	1	17	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	1	18	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	1	19	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	1	20	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	1	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	2	1	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	2	2	under	under	ADP
aps-84	2	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	2	4	creative	creative	ADJ
aps-84	2	5	commons	common	NOUN
aps-84	2	6	attribution	attribution	NOUN
aps-84	2	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	2	8	noncommercial	noncommercial	ADJ
aps-84	2	9	licence	licence	NOUN
aps-84	2	10	3.0	3.0	NUM
aps-84	2	11	australia	australia	NOUN
aps-84	2	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	2	13	cc	cc	NOUN
aps-84	2	14	by	by	ADP
aps-84	2	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	2	16	nc	nc	PROPN
aps-84	2	17	3.0	3.0	NUM
aps-84	2	18	au	au	NOUN
aps-84	2	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	2	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	3	1	journal	journal	PROPN
aps-84	3	2	website	website	NOUN
aps-84	3	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	3	4	www.australianpopulationstudies.org	www.australianpopulationstudies.org	PROPN
aps-84	3	5	introductory	introductory	PROPN
aps-84	3	6	guide	guide	VERB
aps-84	3	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	3	8	brief	brief	ADJ
aps-84	3	9	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	3	10	to	to	ADP
aps-84	3	11	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	3	12	a	a	DET
aps-84	3	13	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	3	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	3	15	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	3	16	tom	tom	PROPN
aps-84	3	17	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	3	18	*	*	PROPN
aps-84	3	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	3	20	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	3	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	3	22	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
aps-84	3	23	philip	philip	PROPN
aps-84	3	24	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	3	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	3	26	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	3	27	of	of	ADP
aps-84	3	28	leeds	leed	NOUN
aps-84	3	29	*	*	PUNCT
aps-84	3	30	corresponding	correspond	VERB
aps-84	3	31	author	author	NOUN
aps-84	3	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	4	1	email	email	NOUN
aps-84	4	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	4	3	wilson.t1@unimelb.edu.au	wilson.t1@unimelb.edu.au	PROPN
aps-84	4	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	5	1	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
aps-84	5	2	school	school	PROPN
aps-84	5	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	5	4	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	5	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	5	6	global	global	ADJ
aps-84	5	7	health	health	NOUN
aps-84	5	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	5	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	5	10	university	university	NOUN
aps-84	5	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	5	12	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
aps-84	5	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	5	14	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
aps-84	5	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	5	16	vic	vic	PROPN
aps-84	5	17	3010	3010	NUM
aps-84	5	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	5	19	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	5	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	6	1	paper	paper	PROPN
aps-84	6	2	received	receive	VERB
aps-84	6	3	10	10	NUM
aps-84	6	4	february	february	NOUN
aps-84	6	5	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	6	6	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	6	7	accepted	accept	VERB
aps-84	6	8	23	23	NUM
aps-84	6	9	march	march	NOUN
aps-84	6	10	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	6	11	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	6	12	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	6	13	31	31	NUM
aps-84	6	14	may	may	PROPN
aps-84	6	15	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	6	16	abstract	abstract	ADJ
aps-84	6	17	background	background	NOUN
aps-84	6	18	there	there	PRON
aps-84	6	19	are	be	VERB
aps-84	6	20	surprisingly	surprisingly	ADV
aps-84	6	21	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	6	22	resources	resource	NOUN
aps-84	6	23	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	6	24	which	which	PRON
aps-84	6	25	offer	offer	VERB
aps-84	6	26	an	an	DET
aps-84	6	27	introductory	introductory	ADJ
aps-84	6	28	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	6	29	to	to	ADP
aps-84	6	30	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	6	31	a	a	DET
aps-84	6	32	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	6	33	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	6	34	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	6	35	using	use	VERB
aps-84	6	36	a	a	DET
aps-84	6	37	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	6	38	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	6	39	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	6	40	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	6	41	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	7	1	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	7	2	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	7	3	textbooks	textbook	NOUN
aps-84	7	4	cover	cover	NOUN
aps-84	7	5	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	7	6	quite	quite	ADV
aps-84	7	7	briefly	briefly	ADV
aps-84	7	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	7	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	7	10	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	7	11	academic	academic	ADJ
aps-84	7	12	papers	paper	NOUN
aps-84	7	13	on	on	ADP
aps-84	7	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	7	15	focus	focus	VERB
aps-84	7	16	on	on	ADP
aps-84	7	17	advanced	advanced	ADJ
aps-84	7	18	technical	technical	ADJ
aps-84	7	19	issues	issue	NOUN
aps-84	7	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	8	1	aims	aim	VERB
aps-84	8	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	8	3	aim	aim	NOUN
aps-84	8	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	8	5	this	this	DET
aps-84	8	6	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	8	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	8	8	to	to	PART
aps-84	8	9	provide	provide	VERB
aps-84	8	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	8	11	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	8	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	8	13	accessible	accessible	ADJ
aps-84	8	14	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	8	15	to	to	ADP
aps-84	8	16	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	8	17	a	a	DET
aps-84	8	18	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	8	19	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	8	20	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	8	21	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	8	22	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	8	23	using	use	VERB
aps-84	8	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	8	25	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	8	26	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	8	27	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	8	28	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	8	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	9	1	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	9	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	9	3	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	9	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	9	5	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	9	6	describes	describe	VERB
aps-84	9	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	9	8	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	9	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	9	10	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	9	11	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	9	12	from	from	ADP
aps-84	9	13	a	a	DET
aps-84	9	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	9	15	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	9	16	perspective	perspective	NOUN
aps-84	9	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	9	18	presents	present	VERB
aps-84	9	19	all	all	DET
aps-84	9	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	9	21	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	9	22	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	9	23	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	9	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	9	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	9	26	covers	cover	VERB
aps-84	9	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	9	28	key	key	ADJ
aps-84	9	29	steps	step	NOUN
aps-84	9	30	which	which	PRON
aps-84	9	31	form	form	VERB
aps-84	9	32	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	9	33	of	of	ADP
aps-84	9	34	the	the	DET
aps-84	9	35	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	9	36	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	9	37	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	9	38	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	9	39	from	from	ADP
aps-84	9	40	gathering	gather	VERB
aps-84	9	41	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	9	42	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	9	43	to	to	ADP
aps-84	9	44	validating	validate	VERB
aps-84	9	45	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	9	46	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	10	1	an	an	DET
aps-84	10	2	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	10	3	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	10	4	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	10	5	implements	implement	VERB
aps-84	10	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	10	7	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	10	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	10	9	contains	contain	VERB
aps-84	10	10	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	10	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	10	12	for	for	ADP
aps-84	10	13	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	10	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	11	1	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
aps-84	11	2	calculating	calculate	VERB
aps-84	11	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	11	4	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	11	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	11	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	11	7	using	use	VERB
aps-84	11	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	11	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	11	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	11	11	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	11	12	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	11	13	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	11	14	fairly	fairly	ADV
aps-84	11	15	simple	simple	ADJ
aps-84	11	16	algebra	algebra	NOUN
aps-84	11	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	11	18	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	11	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	11	20	broader	broad	ADJ
aps-84	11	21	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	11	22	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	11	23	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	11	24	is	be	AUX
aps-84	11	25	more	more	ADV
aps-84	11	26	complex	complex	ADJ
aps-84	11	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	11	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	11	29	requires	require	VERB
aps-84	11	30	careful	careful	ADJ
aps-84	11	31	consideration	consideration	NOUN
aps-84	11	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	11	33	judgement	judgement	NOUN
aps-84	11	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	12	1	key	key	ADJ
aps-84	12	2	words	word	NOUN
aps-84	12	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	12	4	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	12	5	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	12	6	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	12	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	12	8	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	12	9	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	12	10	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	12	11	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	12	12	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	12	13	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	13	1	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	13	2	http://www.australianpopulationstudies.org/	http://www.australianpopulationstudies.org/	PRON
aps-84	13	3	mailto:wilson.t1@unimelb.edu.au	mailto:wilson.t1@unimelb.edu.au	PROPN
aps-84	13	4	78	78	NUM
aps-84	13	5	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	13	6	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	13	7	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	13	8	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	13	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	13	10	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	13	11	5	5	NUM
aps-84	13	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	13	13	1	1	NUM
aps-84	13	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	13	15	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	13	16	1	1	NUM
aps-84	13	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	14	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
aps-84	14	2	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	14	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	14	4	offices	office	NOUN
aps-84	14	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	14	6	some	some	DET
aps-84	14	7	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	14	8	agencies	agency	NOUN
aps-84	14	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	14	10	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	14	11	as	as	ADP
aps-84	14	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	14	13	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	14	14	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	14	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	14	16	produce	produce	VERB
aps-84	14	17	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	14	18	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	14	19	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	14	20	on	on	ADP
aps-84	14	21	a	a	DET
aps-84	14	22	regular	regular	ADJ
aps-84	14	23	basis	basis	NOUN
aps-84	14	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	15	1	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	15	2	are	be	AUX
aps-84	15	3	used	use	VERB
aps-84	15	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	15	5	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	15	6	purposes	purpose	NOUN
aps-84	15	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	15	8	including	include	VERB
aps-84	15	9	calculating	calculate	VERB
aps-84	15	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	15	11	amount	amount	NOUN
aps-84	15	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	15	13	additional	additional	ADJ
aps-84	15	14	housing	housing	NOUN
aps-84	15	15	needed	need	VERB
aps-84	15	16	in	in	ADP
aps-84	15	17	coming	coming	ADJ
aps-84	15	18	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	15	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	15	20	estimating	estimate	VERB
aps-84	15	21	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	15	22	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	15	23	care	care	NOUN
aps-84	15	24	demand	demand	NOUN
aps-84	15	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	15	26	assessing	assess	VERB
aps-84	15	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	15	28	fiscal	fiscal	ADJ
aps-84	15	29	implications	implication	NOUN
aps-84	15	30	for	for	ADP
aps-84	15	31	government	government	NOUN
aps-84	15	32	of	of	ADP
aps-84	15	33	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	15	34	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	15	35	growth	growth	NOUN
aps-84	15	36	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	15	37	ageing	ageing	NOUN
aps-84	15	38	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	15	39	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	15	40	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	15	41	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	15	42	government	government	NOUN
aps-84	15	43	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	15	44	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	15	45	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	15	46	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	15	47	contributing	contribute	VERB
aps-84	15	48	to	to	ADP
aps-84	15	49	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	15	50	debates	debate	NOUN
aps-84	15	51	about	about	ADP
aps-84	15	52	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	15	53	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	15	54	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	16	1	researchers	researcher	NOUN
aps-84	16	2	also	also	ADV
aps-84	16	3	produce	produce	VERB
aps-84	16	4	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	16	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	16	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	16	7	from	from	ADP
aps-84	16	8	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	16	9	to	to	ADP
aps-84	16	10	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	16	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	16	12	order	order	NOUN
aps-84	16	13	to	to	PART
aps-84	16	14	understand	understand	VERB
aps-84	16	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	16	16	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	16	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	16	18	explore	explore	VERB
aps-84	16	19	alternative	alternative	ADJ
aps-84	16	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	16	21	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
aps-84	16	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	16	23	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	16	24	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
aps-84	16	25	methodological	methodological	ADJ
aps-84	16	26	refinements	refinement	NOUN
aps-84	16	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	16	28	among	among	ADP
aps-84	16	29	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	16	30	reasons	reason	NOUN
aps-84	16	31	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	16	32	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	16	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	16	34	lomax	lomax	PROPN
aps-84	16	35	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	16	36	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	16	37	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	16	38	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	16	39	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	16	40	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	16	41	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	16	42	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	16	43	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	16	44	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	16	45	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	16	46	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	17	1	surprisingly	surprisingly	ADV
aps-84	17	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	17	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	17	4	guidance	guidance	NOUN
aps-84	17	5	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	17	6	on	on	ADP
aps-84	17	7	how	how	SCONJ
aps-84	17	8	to	to	PART
aps-84	17	9	create	create	VERB
aps-84	17	10	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	17	11	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	17	12	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	17	13	is	be	AUX
aps-84	17	14	quite	quite	ADV
aps-84	17	15	limited	limited	ADJ
aps-84	17	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	18	1	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	18	2	academic	academic	ADJ
aps-84	18	3	papers	paper	NOUN
aps-84	18	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	18	5	books	book	NOUN
aps-84	18	6	on	on	ADP
aps-84	18	7	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	18	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	18	9	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	18	10	would	would	AUX
aps-84	18	11	be	be	AUX
aps-84	18	12	expected	expect	VERB
aps-84	18	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	18	14	report	report	VERB
aps-84	18	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	18	16	latest	late	ADJ
aps-84	18	17	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	18	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	18	19	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	18	20	focus	focus	VERB
aps-84	18	21	on	on	ADP
aps-84	18	22	advanced	advanced	ADJ
aps-84	18	23	technical	technical	ADJ
aps-84	18	24	aspects	aspect	NOUN
aps-84	18	25	of	of	ADP
aps-84	18	26	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	18	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	19	1	there	there	PRON
aps-84	19	2	are	be	VERB
aps-84	19	3	relatively	relatively	ADV
aps-84	19	4	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	19	5	handbooks	handbook	NOUN
aps-84	19	6	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	19	7	websites	website	NOUN
aps-84	19	8	which	which	PRON
aps-84	19	9	provide	provide	VERB
aps-84	19	10	introductory	introductory	ADJ
aps-84	19	11	advice	advice	NOUN
aps-84	19	12	on	on	ADP
aps-84	19	13	how	how	SCONJ
aps-84	19	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	19	15	create	create	VERB
aps-84	19	16	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	19	17	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	19	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	20	1	examples	example	NOUN
aps-84	20	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	20	3	resources	resource	NOUN
aps-84	20	4	which	which	PRON
aps-84	20	5	provide	provide	VERB
aps-84	20	6	guidance	guidance	NOUN
aps-84	20	7	include	include	VERB
aps-84	20	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	20	9	manual	manual	NOUN
aps-84	20	10	on	on	ADP
aps-84	20	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	20	12	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	20	13	by	by	ADP
aps-84	20	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	20	15	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	20	16	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	20	17	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	20	18	1989	1989	NUM
aps-84	20	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	20	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	20	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	20	22	unfpa	unfpa	PROPN
aps-84	20	23	/	/	SYM
aps-84	20	24	iussp	iussp	VERB
aps-84	20	25	web	web	NOUN
aps-84	20	26	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	20	27	based	base	VERB
aps-84	20	28	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	20	29	course	course	NOUN
aps-84	20	30	which	which	PRON
aps-84	20	31	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	20	32	a	a	DET
aps-84	20	33	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	20	34	on	on	ADP
aps-84	20	35	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	20	36	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	20	37	timaeus	timaeus	NOUN
aps-84	20	38	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	20	39	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	20	40	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	20	41	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	20	42	manuals	manual	NOUN
aps-84	20	43	for	for	ADP
aps-84	20	44	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	20	45	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	20	46	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	20	47	software	software	NOUN
aps-84	20	48	products	product	NOUN
aps-84	20	49	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	20	50	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	20	51	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	20	52	shorter	short	ADJ
aps-84	20	53	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	20	54	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	20	55	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	20	56	1995	1995	NUM
aps-84	20	57	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	20	58	stover	stover	NOUN
aps-84	20	59	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	20	60	kirmeyer	kirmeyer	NOUN
aps-84	20	61	2007	2007	NUM
aps-84	20	62	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	20	63	us	us	PROPN
aps-84	20	64	census	census	PROPN
aps-84	20	65	bureau	bureau	PROPN
aps-84	20	66	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	20	67	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	20	68	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	20	69	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	20	70	the	the	DET
aps-84	20	71	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
aps-84	20	72	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	20	73	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	20	74	by	by	ADP
aps-84	20	75	smith	smith	PROPN
aps-84	20	76	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	20	77	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	20	78	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	21	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	21	2	2013	2013	NUM
aps-84	21	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	21	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	21	5	a	a	DET
aps-84	21	6	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	21	7	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	21	8	for	for	ADP
aps-84	21	9	subnational	subnational	ADJ
aps-84	21	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	21	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	22	1	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	22	2	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	22	3	textbooks	textbook	NOUN
aps-84	22	4	do	do	AUX
aps-84	22	5	include	include	VERB
aps-84	22	6	a	a	DET
aps-84	22	7	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	22	8	on	on	ADP
aps-84	22	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	22	10	principal	principal	ADJ
aps-84	22	11	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	22	12	used	use	VERB
aps-84	22	13	to	to	PART
aps-84	22	14	create	create	VERB
aps-84	22	15	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	22	16	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	22	17	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	22	18	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	22	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	22	20	cohortcomponent	cohortcomponent	NOUN
aps-84	22	21	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	22	22	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	22	23	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	22	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	22	25	description	description	NOUN
aps-84	22	26	is	be	AUX
aps-84	22	27	often	often	ADV
aps-84	22	28	brief	brief	ADJ
aps-84	22	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	23	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	23	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	23	3	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	23	4	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	23	5	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	23	6	only	only	ADV
aps-84	23	7	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	23	8	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	23	9	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	23	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	23	11	which	which	PRON
aps-84	23	12	has	have	VERB
aps-84	23	13	some	some	DET
aps-84	23	14	limitations	limitation	NOUN
aps-84	23	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	23	16	rather	rather	ADV
aps-84	23	17	than	than	ADP
aps-84	23	18	separate	separate	ADJ
aps-84	23	19	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	23	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	23	21	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	23	22	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	23	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	24	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	24	2	aim	aim	NOUN
aps-84	24	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	24	4	this	this	DET
aps-84	24	5	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	24	6	is	be	AUX
aps-84	24	7	to	to	PART
aps-84	24	8	present	present	VERB
aps-84	24	9	a	a	DET
aps-84	24	10	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	24	11	practical	practical	ADJ
aps-84	24	12	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	24	13	to	to	ADP
aps-84	24	14	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	24	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	24	16	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	24	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	24	18	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	24	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	25	1	our	our	PRON
aps-84	25	2	goal	goal	NOUN
aps-84	25	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	25	4	to	to	PART
aps-84	25	5	offer	offer	VERB
aps-84	25	6	an	an	DET
aps-84	25	7	accessible	accessible	ADJ
aps-84	25	8	introduction	introduction	NOUN
aps-84	25	9	to	to	ADP
aps-84	25	10	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	25	11	modelling	modelling	NOUN
aps-84	25	12	which	which	PRON
aps-84	25	13	avoids	avoid	VERB
aps-84	25	14	complex	complex	ADJ
aps-84	25	15	algebra	algebra	NOUN
aps-84	25	16	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	25	17	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	25	18	sufficient	sufficient	ADJ
aps-84	25	19	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
aps-84	25	20	detail	detail	NOUN
aps-84	25	21	so	so	SCONJ
aps-84	25	22	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	25	23	readers	reader	NOUN
aps-84	25	24	can	can	AUX
aps-84	25	25	produce	produce	VERB
aps-84	25	26	their	their	PRON
aps-84	25	27	own	own	ADJ
aps-84	25	28	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	25	29	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	25	30	desired	desire	VERB
aps-84	25	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	26	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	26	2	present	present	VERB
aps-84	26	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	26	4	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	26	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	26	6	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	26	7	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	26	8	from	from	ADP
aps-84	26	9	a	a	DET
aps-84	26	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	26	11	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	26	12	perspective	perspective	NOUN
aps-84	26	13	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	26	14	it	it	PRON
aps-84	26	15	offers	offer	VERB
aps-84	26	16	an	an	DET
aps-84	26	17	intuitive	intuitive	ADJ
aps-84	26	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	26	19	transparent	transparent	ADJ
aps-84	26	20	way	way	NOUN
aps-84	26	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	26	22	expressing	express	VERB
aps-84	26	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	26	24	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	26	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	27	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	27	2	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	27	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	27	4	based	base	VERB
aps-84	27	5	on	on	ADP
aps-84	27	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	27	7	well	well	ADV
aps-84	27	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	27	9	known	know	VERB
aps-84	27	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	27	11	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	27	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	27	13	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	27	14	balancing	balance	VERB
aps-84	27	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	27	16	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	27	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	27	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	27	19	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	27	20	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	27	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	27	22	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	27	23	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	27	24	of	of	ADP
aps-84	27	25	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	27	26	as	as	ADP
aps-84	27	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	27	28	product	product	NOUN
aps-84	27	29	of	of	ADP
aps-84	27	30	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
aps-84	27	31	/	/	SYM
aps-84	27	32	exposure	exposure	NOUN
aps-84	27	33	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	27	34	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	27	35	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	27	36	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	27	37	at	at	ADP
aps-84	27	38	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	27	39	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	27	40	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	28	1	our	our	PRON
aps-84	28	2	description	description	NOUN
aps-84	28	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	28	4	less	less	ADV
aps-84	28	5	directly	directly	ADV
aps-84	28	6	connected	connect	VERB
aps-84	28	7	to	to	ADP
aps-84	28	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	28	9	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	28	10	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	28	11	than	than	ADP
aps-84	28	12	some	some	DET
aps-84	28	13	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	28	14	presentations	presentation	NOUN
aps-84	28	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	28	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	28	17	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	28	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	28	19	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	28	20	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	28	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	28	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	28	23	we	we	PRON
aps-84	28	24	do	do	AUX
aps-84	28	25	not	not	PART
aps-84	28	26	express	express	VERB
aps-84	28	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	28	28	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	28	29	in	in	ADP
aps-84	28	30	matrix	matrix	NOUN
aps-84	28	31	algebra	algebra	NOUN
aps-84	28	32	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	28	33	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	28	34	researchers	researcher	NOUN
aps-84	28	35	do1	do1	VERB
aps-84	28	36	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	29	1	our	our	PRON
aps-84	29	2	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	29	3	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	29	4	also	also	ADV
aps-84	29	5	differ	differ	VERB
aps-84	29	6	somewhat	somewhat	ADV
aps-84	29	7	from	from	ADP
aps-84	29	8	those	those	PRON
aps-84	29	9	used	use	VERB
aps-84	29	10	by	by	ADP
aps-84	29	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	29	12	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	29	13	bureau	bureau	NOUN
aps-84	29	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	29	15	statistics	statistic	NOUN
aps-84	29	16	for	for	ADP
aps-84	29	17	their	their	PRON
aps-84	29	18	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	29	19	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	29	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	29	21	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	29	22	1999	1999	NUM
aps-84	29	23	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	29	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	30	1	primarily	primarily	ADV
aps-84	30	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	30	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	30	4	description	description	NOUN
aps-84	30	5	in	in	ADP
aps-84	30	6	this	this	DET
aps-84	30	7	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	30	8	is	be	AUX
aps-84	30	9	most	most	ADV
aps-84	30	10	relevant	relevant	ADJ
aps-84	30	11	to	to	ADP
aps-84	30	12	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	30	13	with	with	ADP
aps-84	30	14	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	30	15	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	30	16	systems	system	NOUN
aps-84	30	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	30	18	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	30	19	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	30	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	30	21	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	30	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	31	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	31	2	begin	begin	VERB
aps-84	31	3	with	with	ADP
aps-84	31	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	31	5	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	31	6	preliminary	preliminary	ADJ
aps-84	31	7	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	31	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	31	9	concepts	concept	NOUN
aps-84	31	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	31	11	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	31	12	2	2	NUM
aps-84	31	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	31	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	31	15	then	then	ADV
aps-84	31	16	give	give	VERB
aps-84	31	17	an	an	DET
aps-84	31	18	overview	overview	NOUN
aps-84	31	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	31	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	31	21	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	31	22	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	31	23	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	31	24	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	31	25	3	3	NUM
aps-84	31	26	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	31	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	32	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	32	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	32	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	32	4	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	32	5	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	32	6	forms	form	VERB
aps-84	32	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	32	8	focus	focus	NOUN
aps-84	32	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	32	10	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	32	11	4	4	NUM
aps-84	32	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	32	13	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	32	14	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	32	15	5	5	NUM
aps-84	32	16	covers	cover	VERB
aps-84	32	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	32	18	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	32	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	32	20	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	32	21	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	32	22	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	32	23	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	32	24	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	32	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	33	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	33	2	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	33	3	6	6	NUM
aps-84	33	4	we	we	PRON
aps-84	33	5	briefly	briefly	ADV
aps-84	33	6	describe	describe	VERB
aps-84	33	7	how	how	SCONJ
aps-84	33	8	projection	projection	ADJ
aps-84	33	9	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	33	10	can	can	AUX
aps-84	33	11	be	be	AUX
aps-84	33	12	checked	check	VERB
aps-84	33	13	for	for	ADP
aps-84	33	14	plausibility	plausibility	NOUN
aps-84	33	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	33	16	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	33	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	33	18	before	before	SCONJ
aps-84	33	19	a	a	DET
aps-84	33	20	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	33	21	1	1	NUM
aps-84	33	22	readers	reader	NOUN
aps-84	33	23	interested	interested	ADJ
aps-84	33	24	in	in	ADP
aps-84	33	25	matrix	matrix	NOUN
aps-84	33	26	arrangements	arrangement	NOUN
aps-84	33	27	of	of	ADP
aps-84	33	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	33	29	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	33	30	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	33	31	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	33	32	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	33	33	are	be	AUX
aps-84	33	34	recommended	recommend	VERB
aps-84	33	35	to	to	PART
aps-84	33	36	consult	consult	VERB
aps-84	33	37	keyfitz	keyfitz	PROPN
aps-84	33	38	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	33	39	caswell	caswell	PROPN
aps-84	33	40	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	33	41	2005	2005	NUM
aps-84	33	42	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	33	43	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	33	44	3	3	NUM
aps-84	33	45	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	33	46	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	33	47	rogers	roger	NOUN
aps-84	33	48	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	33	49	1995	1995	NUM
aps-84	33	50	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	33	51	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	33	52	3	3	NUM
aps-84	33	53	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	33	54	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	34	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	34	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	34	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	34	4	5	5	NUM
aps-84	34	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	34	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	34	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	34	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	34	9	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	34	10	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	34	11	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	34	12	79	79	NUM
aps-84	34	13	concluding	concluding	NOUN
aps-84	34	14	remarks	remark	NOUN
aps-84	34	15	are	be	AUX
aps-84	34	16	given	give	VERB
aps-84	34	17	in	in	ADP
aps-84	34	18	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	34	19	7	7	NUM
aps-84	34	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	35	1	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	35	2	this	this	DET
aps-84	35	3	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	35	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	35	5	an	an	DET
aps-84	35	6	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	35	7	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	35	8	which	which	PRON
aps-84	35	9	incorporates	incorporate	VERB
aps-84	35	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	35	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	35	12	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	35	13	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	35	14	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	35	15	for	for	ADP
aps-84	35	16	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	35	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	35	18	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	35	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	35	20	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	35	21	with	with	ADP
aps-84	35	22	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	35	23	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	35	24	for	for	ADP
aps-84	35	25	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	35	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	36	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	36	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	36	3	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	36	4	from	from	ADP
aps-84	36	5	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	NOUN
aps-84	36	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	37	1	2	2	X
aps-84	37	2	.	.	X
aps-84	37	3	preliminaries	preliminary	NOUN
aps-84	37	4	before	before	ADP
aps-84	37	5	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	37	6	any	any	DET
aps-84	37	7	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	37	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	37	9	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	37	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	37	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	38	1	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	38	2	it	it	PRON
aps-84	38	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	38	4	very	very	ADV
aps-84	38	5	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	38	6	to	to	PART
aps-84	38	7	have	have	VERB
aps-84	38	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	38	9	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	38	10	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
aps-84	38	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	38	12	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	38	13	•	•	NOUN
aps-84	38	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	38	15	terminology	terminology	NOUN
aps-84	38	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	38	17	•	•	NUM
aps-84	38	18	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	38	19	tables	table	NOUN
aps-84	38	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	38	21	•	•	ADP
aps-84	38	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	38	23	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	38	24	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	38	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	38	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	38	27	•	•	NUM
aps-84	38	28	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	38	29	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	38	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	39	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	39	2	also	also	ADV
aps-84	39	3	assume	assume	VERB
aps-84	39	4	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
aps-84	39	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	39	6	basic	basic	ADJ
aps-84	39	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	39	8	concepts	concept	NOUN
aps-84	39	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	39	10	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	39	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	39	12	which	which	PRON
aps-84	39	13	are	be	AUX
aps-84	39	14	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	39	15	covered	cover	VERB
aps-84	39	16	in	in	ADP
aps-84	39	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	39	18	initial	initial	ADJ
aps-84	39	19	chapters	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	39	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	39	21	introductory	introductory	ADJ
aps-84	39	22	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	39	23	textbooks	textbook	NOUN
aps-84	39	24	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	39	25	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	39	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	39	27	preston	preston	PROPN
aps-84	39	28	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	39	29	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	39	30	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	39	31	2001	2001	NUM
aps-84	39	32	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	39	33	rowland	rowland	PROPN
aps-84	39	34	2003	2003	NUM
aps-84	39	35	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	39	36	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	40	1	2.1	2.1	NUM
aps-84	40	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	41	1	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	41	2	terminology	terminology	NOUN
aps-84	41	3	box	box	NOUN
aps-84	41	4	1	1	NUM
aps-84	41	5	defines	define	NOUN
aps-84	41	6	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	41	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	41	8	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	41	9	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	41	10	used	use	VERB
aps-84	41	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	41	12	this	this	DET
aps-84	41	13	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	41	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	42	1	box	box	PROPN
aps-84	42	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	42	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	42	4	definitions	definition	NOUN
aps-84	42	5	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	42	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	42	7	off	off	NOUN
aps-84	42	8	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	42	9	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	42	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	42	11	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	42	12	from	from	ADP
aps-84	42	13	which	which	PRON
aps-84	42	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	42	15	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	42	16	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	42	17	jump	jump	VERB
aps-84	42	18	off	off	ADP
aps-84	42	19	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	42	20	into	into	ADP
aps-84	42	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	42	22	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	42	23	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	42	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	43	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	43	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	43	3	sometimes	sometimes	ADV
aps-84	43	4	also	also	ADV
aps-84	43	5	known	know	VERB
aps-84	43	6	as	as	ADP
aps-84	43	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	43	8	launch	launch	NOUN
aps-84	43	9	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	43	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	44	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	44	2	estimate	estimate	VERB
aps-84	44	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	44	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	44	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	44	6	for	for	ADP
aps-84	44	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	44	8	past	past	ADJ
aps-84	44	9	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	44	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	44	11	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	44	12	based	base	VERB
aps-84	44	13	on	on	ADP
aps-84	44	14	information	information	NOUN
aps-84	44	15	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	44	16	for	for	ADP
aps-84	44	17	that	that	DET
aps-84	44	18	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	44	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	45	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	45	2	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	45	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	45	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	45	5	calculation	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	45	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	45	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	45	8	beyond	beyond	ADP
aps-84	45	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	45	10	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	45	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	45	12	off	off	ADP
aps-84	45	13	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	45	14	based	base	VERB
aps-84	45	15	on	on	ADP
aps-84	45	16	selected	select	VERB
aps-84	45	17	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	45	18	about	about	ADP
aps-84	45	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	45	20	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	45	21	drivers	driver	NOUN
aps-84	45	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	45	23	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	45	24	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	45	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	45	26	commonly	commonly	ADV
aps-84	45	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	45	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	45	29	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	45	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	45	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	45	32	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	45	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	45	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	46	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	46	2	forecast	forecast	PROPN
aps-84	46	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	46	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	46	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	46	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	46	7	regarded	regard	VERB
aps-84	46	8	as	as	ADP
aps-84	46	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	46	10	most	most	ADV
aps-84	46	11	likely	likely	ADJ
aps-84	46	12	outcome	outcome	NOUN
aps-84	46	13	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	46	14	a	a	DET
aps-84	46	15	prediction	prediction	NOUN
aps-84	46	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	47	1	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	47	2	horizon	horizon	PROPN
aps-84	47	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	47	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	47	5	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	47	6	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	47	7	between	between	ADP
aps-84	47	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	47	9	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	47	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	47	11	off	off	NOUN
aps-84	47	12	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	47	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	47	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	47	15	final	final	ADJ
aps-84	47	16	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	47	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	47	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	47	19	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	47	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	48	1	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	48	2	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	48	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	48	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	48	5	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	48	6	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	48	7	between	between	ADP
aps-84	48	8	each	each	DET
aps-84	48	9	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	48	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	48	11	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	48	12	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	48	13	1	1	NUM
aps-84	48	14	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	48	15	5	5	NUM
aps-84	48	16	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	48	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	48	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	49	1	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	49	2	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	49	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	49	4	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	49	5	inputs	input	NOUN
aps-84	49	6	to	to	ADP
aps-84	49	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	49	8	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	49	9	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	49	10	which	which	PRON
aps-84	49	11	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	49	12	include	include	VERB
aps-84	49	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	49	14	assumed	assumed	ADJ
aps-84	49	15	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	49	16	paths	path	NOUN
aps-84	49	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	49	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	49	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	49	20	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	49	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	49	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	49	23	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	49	24	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	49	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	49	26	sometimes	sometimes	ADV
aps-84	49	27	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	49	28	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	49	29	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	49	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	50	1	more	more	ADV
aps-84	50	2	broadly	broadly	ADV
aps-84	50	3	defined	define	VERB
aps-84	50	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	50	5	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	50	6	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	50	7	also	also	ADV
aps-84	50	8	implicitly	implicitly	ADV
aps-84	50	9	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	50	10	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
aps-84	50	11	include	include	VERB
aps-84	50	12	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
aps-84	50	13	elements	element	NOUN
aps-84	50	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	50	15	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	50	16	as	as	ADP
aps-84	50	17	expectations	expectation	NOUN
aps-84	50	18	about	about	ADP
aps-84	50	19	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	50	20	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	50	21	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	50	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	51	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	51	2	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	51	3	at	at	ADP
aps-84	51	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	51	5	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	51	6	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	51	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	51	8	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	51	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	51	10	person	person	NOUN
aps-84	51	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	51	12	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	51	13	lived	live	VERB
aps-84	51	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	51	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	51	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	51	17	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	51	18	by	by	ADP
aps-84	51	19	a	a	DET
aps-84	51	20	particular	particular	ADJ
aps-84	51	21	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	51	22	exposed	expose	VERB
aps-84	51	23	to	to	ADP
aps-84	51	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	51	25	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	51	26	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	51	27	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	51	28	of	of	ADP
aps-84	51	29	a	a	DET
aps-84	51	30	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	51	31	event	event	NOUN
aps-84	51	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	52	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	52	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	52	3	often	often	ADV
aps-84	52	4	approximated	approximate	VERB
aps-84	52	5	as	as	ADP
aps-84	52	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	52	7	mean	mean	NOUN
aps-84	52	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	52	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	52	10	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	52	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	52	12	end	end	VERB
aps-84	52	13	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	52	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	52	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	52	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	52	17	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	52	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	53	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	53	2	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
aps-84	53	3	/	/	SYM
aps-84	53	4	exposure	exposure	NOUN
aps-84	53	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	53	6	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	53	7	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	53	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	53	9	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	53	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	53	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	53	12	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	53	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	53	14	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	53	15	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	53	16	occurring	occurring	AUX
aps-84	53	17	divided	divide	VERB
aps-84	53	18	by	by	ADP
aps-84	53	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	53	20	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	53	21	exposed	expose	VERB
aps-84	53	22	to	to	ADP
aps-84	53	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	53	24	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	53	25	of	of	ADP
aps-84	53	26	that	that	DET
aps-84	53	27	event	event	NOUN
aps-84	53	28	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	53	29	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	53	30	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	53	31	at	at	ADP
aps-84	53	32	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	53	33	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	53	34	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	53	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	54	1	source	source	NOUN
aps-84	54	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	54	3	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	54	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	54	5	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	54	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	54	7	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	54	8	authors	author	NOUN
aps-84	54	9	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	54	10	definitions	definition	NOUN
aps-84	54	11	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	VERB
aps-84	54	12	80	80	NUM
aps-84	54	13	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	54	14	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	54	15	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	54	16	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	54	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	54	18	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	54	19	5	5	NUM
aps-84	54	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	54	21	1	1	NUM
aps-84	54	22	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	54	23	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	54	24	2.2	2.2	NUM
aps-84	54	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	55	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	55	2	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	55	3	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	55	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	55	5	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	55	6	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	55	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	55	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	55	9	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	55	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	55	11	a	a	DET
aps-84	55	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	55	13	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	55	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	55	15	experience	experience	NOUN
aps-84	55	16	over	over	ADP
aps-84	55	17	its	its	PRON
aps-84	55	18	lifetime	lifetime	NOUN
aps-84	55	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	55	20	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	55	21	it	it	PRON
aps-84	55	22	is	be	AUX
aps-84	55	23	often	often	ADV
aps-84	55	24	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	55	25	for	for	ADP
aps-84	55	26	a	a	DET
aps-84	55	27	particular	particular	ADJ
aps-84	55	28	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	55	29	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	55	30	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	55	31	of	of	ADP
aps-84	55	32	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	55	33	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	55	34	therefore	therefore	ADV
aps-84	55	35	describes	describe	VERB
aps-84	55	36	a	a	DET
aps-84	55	37	synthetic	synthetic	ADJ
aps-84	55	38	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	55	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	56	1	although	although	SCONJ
aps-84	56	2	we	we	PRON
aps-84	56	3	do	do	AUX
aps-84	56	4	not	not	PART
aps-84	56	5	make	make	VERB
aps-84	56	6	extensive	extensive	ADJ
aps-84	56	7	use	use	NOUN
aps-84	56	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	56	9	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	56	10	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	56	11	measures	measure	NOUN
aps-84	56	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	56	13	this	this	DET
aps-84	56	14	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	56	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	56	16	it	it	PRON
aps-84	56	17	is	be	AUX
aps-84	56	18	helpful	helpful	ADJ
aps-84	56	19	to	to	PART
aps-84	56	20	understand	understand	VERB
aps-84	56	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	56	22	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	56	23	behind	behind	ADV
aps-84	56	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	56	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	56	26	meaning	meaning	NOUN
aps-84	56	27	of	of	ADP
aps-84	56	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	56	29	nlx	nlx	PROPN
aps-84	56	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	56	31	the	the	DET
aps-84	56	32	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	56	33	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	56	34	stationary	stationary	ADJ
aps-84	56	35	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	56	36	for	for	ADP
aps-84	56	37	each	each	DET
aps-84	56	38	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	56	39	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	56	40	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	57	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	57	2	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	57	3	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	57	4	notation	notation	NOUN
aps-84	57	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	57	6	𝑥	𝑥	PROPN
aps-84	57	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	57	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	57	9	exact	exact	ADJ
aps-84	57	10	starting	start	VERB
aps-84	57	11	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	57	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	57	13	an	an	DET
aps-84	57	14	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	57	15	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	57	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	57	17	𝑛	𝑛	PROPN
aps-84	57	18	is	be	AUX
aps-84	57	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	57	20	width	width	NOUN
aps-84	57	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	57	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	57	23	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	57	24	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	57	25	in	in	ADP
aps-84	57	26	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	57	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	58	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	58	2	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	58	3	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	58	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	58	5	covered	cover	VERB
aps-84	58	6	comprehensively	comprehensively	ADV
aps-84	58	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	58	8	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	58	9	textbooks	textbook	NOUN
aps-84	58	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	58	11	so	so	ADV
aps-84	58	12	is	be	AUX
aps-84	58	13	not	not	PART
aps-84	58	14	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	58	15	here	here	ADV
aps-84	58	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	59	1	readers	reader	NOUN
aps-84	59	2	unfamiliar	unfamiliar	ADJ
aps-84	59	3	with	with	ADP
aps-84	59	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	59	5	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	59	6	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	59	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	59	8	recommended	recommend	VERB
aps-84	59	9	to	to	PART
aps-84	59	10	consult	consult	VERB
aps-84	59	11	an	an	DET
aps-84	59	12	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
aps-84	59	13	source	source	NOUN
aps-84	59	14	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	59	15	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	59	16	kinter	kinter	NOUN
aps-84	59	17	2004	2004	NUM
aps-84	59	18	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	59	19	preston	preston	PROPN
aps-84	59	20	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	59	21	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	59	22	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	59	23	2001	2001	NUM
aps-84	59	24	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	59	25	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	59	26	3	3	NUM
aps-84	59	27	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	59	28	rowland	rowland	PROPN
aps-84	59	29	2003	2003	NUM
aps-84	59	30	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	59	31	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	59	32	8	8	NUM
aps-84	59	33	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	59	34	sloggett	sloggett	NOUN
aps-84	59	35	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	59	36	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	59	37	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	60	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	60	2	return	return	VERB
aps-84	60	3	to	to	ADP
aps-84	60	4	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	60	5	tables	table	NOUN
aps-84	60	6	in	in	ADP
aps-84	60	7	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	60	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	60	9	on	on	ADP
aps-84	60	10	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	60	11	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	60	12	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	60	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	61	1	2.3	2.3	NUM
aps-84	61	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	62	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	62	2	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	62	3	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	62	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	62	5	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	62	6	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	62	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	62	8	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	62	9	plan	plan	NOUN
aps-84	62	10	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	62	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	62	12	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	62	13	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	62	14	consists	consist	VERB
aps-84	62	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	62	16	a	a	DET
aps-84	62	17	graph	graph	NOUN
aps-84	62	18	with	with	ADP
aps-84	62	19	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	62	20	increasing	increase	VERB
aps-84	62	21	up	up	ADP
aps-84	62	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	62	23	vertical	vertical	ADJ
aps-84	62	24	axis	axis	NOUN
aps-84	62	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	62	26	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	62	27	progressing	progress	VERB
aps-84	62	28	along	along	ADP
aps-84	62	29	the	the	DET
aps-84	62	30	horizontal	horizontal	ADJ
aps-84	62	31	axis	axis	NOUN
aps-84	62	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	63	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	63	2	provides	provide	VERB
aps-84	63	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	63	4	very	very	ADV
aps-84	63	5	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	63	6	way	way	NOUN
aps-84	63	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	63	8	precisely	precisely	ADV
aps-84	63	9	locating	locate	VERB
aps-84	63	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	63	11	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	63	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	63	13	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	63	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	63	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	63	16	extent	extent	NOUN
aps-84	63	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	63	18	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	63	19	stocks	stock	NOUN
aps-84	63	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	63	21	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	63	22	in	in	ADP
aps-84	63	23	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	63	24	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	63	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	63	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	63	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	63	28	more	more	ADV
aps-84	63	29	generally	generally	ADV
aps-84	63	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	63	31	any	any	DET
aps-84	63	32	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	63	33	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	63	34	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	63	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	64	1	longer	long	ADJ
aps-84	64	2	discussions	discussion	NOUN
aps-84	64	3	on	on	ADP
aps-84	64	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	64	5	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	64	6	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	64	7	can	can	AUX
aps-84	64	8	be	be	AUX
aps-84	64	9	found	find	VERB
aps-84	64	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	64	11	calot	calot	NOUN
aps-84	64	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	64	13	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	64	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	64	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	64	16	pressat	pressat	VERB
aps-84	64	17	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	64	18	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	64	19	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	64	20	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	64	21	2	2	NUM
aps-84	64	22	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	64	23	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	64	24	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	64	25	rau	rau	PROPN
aps-84	64	26	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	64	27	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	64	28	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	64	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	65	1	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	65	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	65	3	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	65	4	some	some	DET
aps-84	65	5	key	key	ADJ
aps-84	65	6	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	65	7	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	65	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	66	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	66	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	66	3	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	66	4	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	66	5	is	be	AUX
aps-84	66	6	used	use	VERB
aps-84	66	7	to	to	PART
aps-84	66	8	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	66	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	66	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	66	11	history	history	NOUN
aps-84	66	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	66	13	just	just	ADV
aps-84	66	14	a	a	DET
aps-84	66	15	handful	handful	NOUN
aps-84	66	16	of	of	ADP
aps-84	66	17	individuals	individual	NOUN
aps-84	66	18	then	then	ADV
aps-84	66	19	individual	individual	ADJ
aps-84	66	20	lifelines	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	66	21	can	can	AUX
aps-84	66	22	be	be	AUX
aps-84	66	23	drawn	draw	VERB
aps-84	66	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	66	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	66	26	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	66	27	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	66	28	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	66	29	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	66	30	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	66	31	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	66	32	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	66	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	66	34	giving	give	VERB
aps-84	66	35	birth	birth	NOUN
aps-84	66	36	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	66	37	marked	mark	VERB
aps-84	66	38	at	at	ADP
aps-84	66	39	points	point	NOUN
aps-84	66	40	on	on	ADP
aps-84	66	41	those	those	DET
aps-84	66	42	lines	line	NOUN
aps-84	66	43	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	66	44	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	66	45	1	1	NUM
aps-84	66	46	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	66	47	upper	upper	ADJ
aps-84	66	48	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	66	49	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	66	50	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	67	1	an	an	DET
aps-84	67	2	individual	individual	NOUN
aps-84	67	3	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	67	4	lifeline	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	67	5	starts	start	VERB
aps-84	67	6	on	on	ADP
aps-84	67	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	67	8	horizontal	horizontal	ADJ
aps-84	67	9	axis	axis	NOUN
aps-84	67	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	67	11	proceeds	proceed	VERB
aps-84	67	12	at	at	ADP
aps-84	67	13	a	a	DET
aps-84	67	14	45º	45º	PROPN
aps-84	67	15	angle	angle	NOUN
aps-84	67	16	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	67	17	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	67	18	each	each	DET
aps-84	67	19	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	67	20	passes	pass	VERB
aps-84	67	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	67	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	67	23	person	person	NOUN
aps-84	67	24	ages	age	VERB
aps-84	67	25	by	by	ADP
aps-84	67	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	67	27	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	67	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	68	1	symbols	symbol	NOUN
aps-84	68	2	are	be	AUX
aps-84	68	3	placed	place	VERB
aps-84	68	4	on	on	ADP
aps-84	68	5	lifelines	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	68	6	to	to	PART
aps-84	68	7	denote	denote	VERB
aps-84	68	8	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	68	9	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	68	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	68	11	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	68	12	as	as	ADP
aps-84	68	13	giving	give	VERB
aps-84	68	14	birth	birth	NOUN
aps-84	68	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	68	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	68	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	68	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	68	19	eventually	eventually	ADV
aps-84	68	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	68	21	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	68	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	69	1	however	however	ADV
aps-84	69	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	69	3	once	once	SCONJ
aps-84	69	4	there	there	PRON
aps-84	69	5	are	be	VERB
aps-84	69	6	more	more	ADJ
aps-84	69	7	than	than	ADP
aps-84	69	8	just	just	ADV
aps-84	69	9	a	a	DET
aps-84	69	10	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	69	11	lifelines	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	69	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	69	13	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	69	14	becomes	become	VERB
aps-84	69	15	cluttered	cluttered	ADJ
aps-84	69	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	69	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	69	18	it	it	PRON
aps-84	69	19	becomes	become	VERB
aps-84	69	20	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	69	21	to	to	PART
aps-84	69	22	use	use	VERB
aps-84	69	23	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	69	24	lines	line	NOUN
aps-84	69	25	to	to	PART
aps-84	69	26	denote	denote	VERB
aps-84	69	27	all	all	DET
aps-84	69	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	69	29	lifelines	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	69	30	crossing	cross	VERB
aps-84	69	31	a	a	DET
aps-84	69	32	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	69	33	in	in	ADP
aps-84	69	34	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	69	35	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	69	36	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	69	37	exact	exact	ADJ
aps-84	69	38	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	69	39	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	69	40	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	69	41	shapes	shape	NOUN
aps-84	69	42	to	to	PART
aps-84	69	43	represent	represent	VERB
aps-84	69	44	all	all	DET
aps-84	69	45	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	69	46	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	69	47	occurring	occur	VERB
aps-84	69	48	within	within	ADP
aps-84	69	49	a	a	DET
aps-84	69	50	particular	particular	ADJ
aps-84	69	51	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	69	52	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	69	53	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	69	54	space	space	NOUN
aps-84	69	55	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	70	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	70	2	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	70	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	70	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	70	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	70	6	lower	low	ADJ
aps-84	70	7	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	70	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	70	9	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	70	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	70	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	70	12	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	70	13	vertical	vertical	ADJ
aps-84	70	14	lines	line	NOUN
aps-84	70	15	represent	represent	VERB
aps-84	70	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	70	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	70	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	70	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	70	20	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	70	21	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	70	22	1	1	NUM
aps-84	70	23	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	70	24	old	old	ADJ
aps-84	70	25	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	70	26	birthday	birthday	NOUN
aps-84	70	27	at	at	ADP
aps-84	70	28	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	70	29	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	70	30	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	70	31	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	70	32	2	2	NUM
aps-84	70	33	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	70	34	at	at	ADP
aps-84	70	35	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	70	36	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	70	37	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	70	38	1	1	X
aps-84	70	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	71	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	71	2	parallelogram	parallelogram	NOUN
aps-84	71	3	shaded	shade	VERB
aps-84	71	4	grey	grey	PROPN
aps-84	71	5	defines	define	VERB
aps-84	71	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	71	7	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	71	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	71	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	71	10	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	71	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	71	12	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	71	13	space	space	NOUN
aps-84	71	14	which	which	PRON
aps-84	71	15	refers	refer	VERB
aps-84	71	16	to	to	ADP
aps-84	71	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	71	18	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	71	19	experienced	experience	VERB
aps-84	71	20	by	by	ADP
aps-84	71	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	71	22	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	71	23	over	over	ADP
aps-84	71	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	71	25	one	one	NUM
aps-84	71	26	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	71	27	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	71	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	72	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	72	2	shaded	shaded	ADJ
aps-84	72	3	square	square	NOUN
aps-84	72	4	depicts	depict	VERB
aps-84	72	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	72	6	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	72	7	defined	define	VERB
aps-84	72	8	by	by	ADP
aps-84	72	9	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	72	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	72	11	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	72	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	73	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	73	2	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	73	3	lines	line	NOUN
aps-84	73	4	at	at	ADP
aps-84	73	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	73	6	left	left	ADJ
aps-84	73	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	73	8	right	right	ADJ
aps-84	73	9	sides	side	NOUN
aps-84	73	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	73	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	73	12	square	square	ADJ
aps-84	73	13	represent	represent	VERB
aps-84	73	14	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	73	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	73	16	that	that	DET
aps-84	73	17	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	73	18	at	at	ADP
aps-84	73	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	73	20	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	73	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	73	22	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	73	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	73	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	73	25	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	73	26	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	73	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	74	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	74	2	horizontal	horizontal	PROPN
aps-84	74	3	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	74	4	blue	blue	ADJ
aps-84	74	5	line	line	NOUN
aps-84	74	6	denotes	denote	NOUN
aps-84	74	7	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	74	8	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	74	9	during	during	ADP
aps-84	74	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	74	11	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	74	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	74	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	74	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	74	15	shaded	shade	VERB
aps-84	74	16	triangle	triangle	NOUN
aps-84	74	17	is	be	AUX
aps-84	74	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	74	19	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	74	20	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	74	21	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	74	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	74	23	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	74	24	space	space	NOUN
aps-84	74	25	representing	represent	VERB
aps-84	74	26	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	74	27	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	74	28	occurring	occur	VERB
aps-84	74	29	to	to	ADP
aps-84	74	30	this	this	DET
aps-84	74	31	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	74	32	of	of	ADP
aps-84	74	33	newly	newly	ADV
aps-84	74	34	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	74	35	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	74	36	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	74	37	in	in	ADP
aps-84	74	38	that	that	DET
aps-84	74	39	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	74	40	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	75	1	2.4	2.4	NUM
aps-84	75	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	76	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	76	2	accounting	account	VERB
aps-84	76	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	76	4	accounts	account	NOUN
aps-84	76	5	connect	connect	VERB
aps-84	76	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	76	7	stocks	stock	NOUN
aps-84	76	8	at	at	ADP
aps-84	76	9	two	two	NUM
aps-84	76	10	points	point	NOUN
aps-84	76	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	76	12	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	76	13	with	with	ADP
aps-84	76	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	76	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	76	16	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	76	17	which	which	PRON
aps-84	76	18	add	add	VERB
aps-84	76	19	to	to	ADP
aps-84	76	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	76	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	76	22	deplete	deplete	NOUN
aps-84	76	23	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	76	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	76	25	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	76	26	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	76	27	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	76	28	1985	1985	NUM
aps-84	76	29	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	76	30	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	76	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	76	32	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	76	33	1986	1986	NUM
aps-84	76	34	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	76	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	77	1	at	at	ADP
aps-84	77	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	77	3	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	77	4	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	77	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	77	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	77	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	77	8	at	at	ADP
aps-84	77	9	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	77	10	𝑡	𝑡	ADP
aps-84	77	11	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	77	12	1	1	NUM
aps-84	77	13	equals	equal	VERB
aps-84	77	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	77	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	77	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	77	17	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	77	18	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	77	19	plus	plus	CCONJ
aps-84	77	20	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	77	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	77	22	minus	minus	CCONJ
aps-84	77	23	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	77	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	77	25	plus	plus	CCONJ
aps-84	77	26	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	77	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	77	28	minus	minus	CCONJ
aps-84	77	29	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	77	30	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	77	31	𝑃(𝑡	𝑃(𝑡	X
aps-84	77	32	+	+	NUM
aps-84	77	33	1	1	X
aps-84	77	34	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	77	35	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	77	36	𝑃(𝑡	𝑃(𝑡	NUM
aps-84	77	37	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	78	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	79	1	𝐵(𝑡	𝐵(𝑡	X
aps-84	79	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	79	3	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	79	4	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	79	5	1	1	NUM
aps-84	79	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	79	7	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	80	1	𝐷(𝑡	𝐷(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	80	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	80	3	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	80	4	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	80	5	1	1	NUM
aps-84	80	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	80	7	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	80	8	𝐼(𝑡	𝐼(𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	80	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	80	10	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	80	11	+	+	PROPN
aps-84	80	12	1	1	NUM
aps-84	80	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	80	14	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	81	1	𝐸(𝑡	𝐸(𝑡	ADP
aps-84	81	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	81	3	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	81	4	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	81	5	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	81	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	81	8	1	1	X
aps-84	81	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	81	10	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	81	11	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	12	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	81	13	5	5	NUM
aps-84	81	14	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	81	15	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	16	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	81	17	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	81	18	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	81	19	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	81	20	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	81	21	81	81	NUM
aps-84	81	22	3	3	NUM
aps-84	81	23	2	2	NUM
aps-84	81	24			NOUN
aps-84	81	25	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	81	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	27	0	0	NUM
aps-84	81	28	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	81	29	→	→	SYM
aps-84	81	30	3	3	NUM
aps-84	81	31	2	2	NUM
aps-84	81	32			NOUN
aps-84	81	33	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	81	34	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	35	0	0	NUM
aps-84	81	36	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	81	37	→	→	SYM
aps-84	81	38	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	81	39	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	40	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	81	41	the	the	DET
aps-84	81	42	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	81	43	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	81	44	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	81	45	location	location	NOUN
aps-84	81	46	of	of	ADP
aps-84	81	47	lifelines	lifeline	NOUN
aps-84	81	48	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	81	49	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	81	50	stocks	stock	NOUN
aps-84	81	51	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	81	52	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	81	53	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	81	54	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	81	55	𝑃	𝑃	NOUN
aps-84	81	56	=	=	SYM
aps-84	81	57	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	58	𝑡	𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	81	59	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	81	60	a	a	DET
aps-84	81	61	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	81	62	in	in	ADP
aps-84	81	63	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	81	64	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	81	65	+	+	X
aps-84	81	66	1=	1=	X
aps-84	81	67	a	a	DET
aps-84	81	68	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	81	69	in	in	ADP
aps-84	81	70	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	81	71	one	one	NUM
aps-84	81	72	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	81	73	later	later	ADV
aps-84	81	74	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	81	75	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	81	76	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	81	77	+	+	X
aps-84	81	78	1=	1=	NUM
aps-84	81	79	the	the	DET
aps-84	81	80	one	one	NUM
aps-84	81	81	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	81	82	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	81	83	starting	start	VERB
aps-84	81	84	at	at	ADP
aps-84	81	85	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	81	86	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	81	87	ending	end	VERB
aps-84	81	88	at	at	ADP
aps-84	81	89	t+1	t+1	PROPN
aps-84	81	90	𝐵	𝐵	NOUN
aps-84	81	91	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	81	92	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	81	93	𝐷	𝐷	NOUN
aps-84	81	94	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	81	95	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	81	96	𝐼	𝐼	ADP
aps-84	81	97	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	81	98	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	81	99	𝐸	𝐸	NOUN
aps-84	81	100	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	81	101	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	81	102	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	81	103	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	81	104	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	81	105	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	81	106	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	81	107	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	81	108	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	81	109	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	81	110	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	81	111	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	81	112	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	81	113	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	81	114	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	81	115	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	116	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	117	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	81	118	t+1	t+1	PROPN
aps-84	81	119	births	birth	VERB
aps-84	81	120	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	121	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	122	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	123	82	82	PROPN
aps-84	81	124	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	81	125	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	81	126	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	81	127	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	81	128	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	81	129	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	81	130	5	5	NUM
aps-84	81	131	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	81	132	1	1	NUM
aps-84	81	133	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	81	134	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	82	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	82	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	82	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	82	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	82	5	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	82	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	82	7	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	82	8	balancing	balancing	NOUN
aps-84	82	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	82	10	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	82	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	82	12	a	a	DET
aps-84	82	13	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	82	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	82	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	83	1	strictly	strictly	ADV
aps-84	83	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	83	3	it	it	PRON
aps-84	83	4	refers	refer	VERB
aps-84	83	5	to	to	ADP
aps-84	83	6	what	what	PRON
aps-84	83	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	83	8	known	know	VERB
aps-84	83	9	as	as	ADP
aps-84	83	10	movement	movement	NOUN
aps-84	83	11	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	83	12	accounts	account	VERB
aps-84	83	13	in	in	ADP
aps-84	83	14	which	which	PRON
aps-84	83	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	83	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	83	17	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	83	18	are	be	AUX
aps-84	83	19	counts	count	NOUN
aps-84	83	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	83	21	moves	move	NOUN
aps-84	83	22	across	across	ADP
aps-84	83	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	83	24	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	83	25	border	border	NOUN
aps-84	83	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	84	1	an	an	DET
aps-84	84	2	alternative	alternative	ADJ
aps-84	84	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	84	4	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	84	5	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	84	6	in	in	ADP
aps-84	84	7	which	which	PRON
aps-84	84	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	84	9	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	84	10	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	84	11	refer	refer	VERB
aps-84	84	12	to	to	ADP
aps-84	84	13	counts	count	NOUN
aps-84	84	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	84	15	migrants	migrant	NOUN
aps-84	84	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	84	17	not	not	PART
aps-84	84	18	moves	move	NOUN
aps-84	84	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	84	20	uses	use	VERB
aps-84	84	21	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	84	22	on	on	ADP
aps-84	84	23	people	people	NOUN
aps-84	84	24	living	live	VERB
aps-84	84	25	in	in	ADP
aps-84	84	26	different	different	ADJ
aps-84	84	27	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	84	28	at	at	ADP
aps-84	84	29	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	84	30	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	84	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	84	32	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	84	33	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	84	34	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	84	35	1	1	NUM
aps-84	84	36	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	84	37	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	84	38	measured	measure	VERB
aps-84	84	39	by	by	ADP
aps-84	84	40	a	a	DET
aps-84	84	41	census	census	NOUN
aps-84	84	42	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	84	43	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	85	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	85	2	transition	transition	NOUN
aps-84	85	3	accounts	account	NOUN
aps-84	85	4	perspective	perspective	NOUN
aps-84	85	5	is	be	AUX
aps-84	85	6	more	more	ADV
aps-84	85	7	complex	complex	ADJ
aps-84	85	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	85	9	is	be	AUX
aps-84	85	10	not	not	PART
aps-84	85	11	considered	consider	VERB
aps-84	85	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	85	13	this	this	DET
aps-84	85	14	paper2	paper2	NOUN
aps-84	85	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	86	1	as	as	ADP
aps-84	86	2	an	an	DET
aps-84	86	3	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	86	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	86	5	consider	consider	VERB
aps-84	86	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	86	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	86	8	accounts	account	VERB
aps-84	86	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	86	10	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	86	11	over	over	ADP
aps-84	86	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	86	13	12	12	NUM
aps-84	86	14	month	month	NOUN
aps-84	86	15	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	86	16	from	from	ADP
aps-84	86	17	mid2019	mid2019	NOUN
aps-84	86	18	to	to	ADP
aps-84	86	19	mid-2020	mid-2020	X
aps-84	86	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	86	21	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	86	22	2020a	2020a	NOUN
aps-84	86	23	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	86	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	87	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	87	2	start	start	VERB
aps-84	87	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	87	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	87	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	87	6	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	87	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	87	8	𝑃(𝑡	𝑃(𝑡	ADV
aps-84	87	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	87	10	was	be	AUX
aps-84	87	11	25,365,745	25,365,745	NUM
aps-84	87	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	87	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	87	14	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	87	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	87	16	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	87	17	304,101	304,101	NUM
aps-84	87	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	87	19	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	87	20	166,974	166,974	NUM
aps-84	87	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	87	22	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	87	23	486,757	486,757	NUM
aps-84	87	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	87	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	87	26	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	87	27	302,588	302,588	NUM
aps-84	87	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	88	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	88	2	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	88	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	88	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	88	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	88	6	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	88	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	88	8	𝑃(𝑡	𝑃(𝑡	X
aps-84	88	9	+	+	NUM
aps-84	88	10	1	1	X
aps-84	88	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	88	12	was	be	AUX
aps-84	88	13	therefore	therefore	ADV
aps-84	88	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	88	15	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	88	16	25,365,745	25,365,745	NUM
aps-84	88	17	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	88	18	304,101	304,101	NUM
aps-84	88	19	−	−	NUM
aps-84	88	20	166,974	166,974	NUM
aps-84	88	21	+	+	NUM
aps-84	88	22	486,757	486,757	NUM
aps-84	88	23	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	88	24	302,588	302,588	NUM
aps-84	88	25	=	=	SYM
aps-84	88	26	25,687,041	25,687,041	NUM
aps-84	88	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	89	1	3	3	X
aps-84	89	2	.	.	X
aps-84	89	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	89	4	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	89	5	for	for	ADP
aps-84	89	6	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	89	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	89	8	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	89	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	89	10	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	89	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	89	12	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	89	13	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	89	14	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	89	15	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	89	16	a	a	DET
aps-84	89	17	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	89	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	89	19	steps	step	NOUN
aps-84	89	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	21	starting	start	VERB
aps-84	89	22	with	with	ADP
aps-84	89	23	gathering	gather	VERB
aps-84	89	24	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	89	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	26	checking	check	VERB
aps-84	89	27	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	89	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	89	29	making	make	VERB
aps-84	89	30	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
aps-84	89	31	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	89	32	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	89	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	34	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	89	35	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	89	36	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	89	37	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	38	entering	enter	VERB
aps-84	89	39	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	89	40	into	into	ADP
aps-84	89	41	your	your	PRON
aps-84	89	42	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	89	43	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	89	44	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	45	calculating	calculate	VERB
aps-84	89	46	the	the	DET
aps-84	89	47	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	89	48	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	89	49	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	89	50	then	then	ADV
aps-84	89	51	checking	check	VERB
aps-84	89	52	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	89	53	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	90	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	90	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	90	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	90	4	obtain	obtain	VERB
aps-84	90	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	90	6	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	90	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	90	8	off	off	ADP
aps-84	90	9	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	90	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	90	11	all	all	DET
aps-84	90	12	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	90	13	needed	need	VERB
aps-84	90	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	90	15	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	90	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	90	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	90	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	90	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	90	20	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	90	21	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	90	22	all	all	DET
aps-84	90	23	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	90	24	begin	begin	VERB
aps-84	90	25	with	with	ADP
aps-84	90	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	90	27	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	90	28	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	90	29	off	off	ADP
aps-84	90	30	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	90	31	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	90	32	which	which	PRON
aps-84	90	33	is	be	AUX
aps-84	90	34	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	90	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	90	36	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	90	37	up	up	ADP
aps-84	90	38	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	90	39	to	to	ADP
aps-84	90	40	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	90	41	date	date	NOUN
aps-84	90	42	set	set	NOUN
aps-84	90	43	of	of	ADP
aps-84	90	44	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	90	45	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	90	46	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	90	47	by	by	ADP
aps-84	90	48	the	the	DET
aps-84	90	49	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	90	50	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	90	51	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	90	52	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	91	1	at	at	ADP
aps-84	91	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	91	3	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	91	4	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	91	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	91	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	91	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	91	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	91	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	91	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	91	11	are	be	AUX
aps-84	91	12	often	often	ADV
aps-84	91	13	created	create	VERB
aps-84	91	14	by	by	ADP
aps-84	91	15	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	91	16	which	which	PRON
aps-84	91	17	work	work	VERB
aps-84	91	18	best	well	ADV
aps-84	91	19	with	with	ADP
aps-84	91	20	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	91	21	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	91	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	91	23	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	91	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	92	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	92	2	extent	extent	NOUN
aps-84	92	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	92	4	historical	historical	ADJ
aps-84	92	5	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	92	6	series	series	PROPN
aps-84	92	7	required	require	VERB
aps-84	92	8	will	will	AUX
aps-84	92	9	depend	depend	VERB
aps-84	92	10	on	on	ADP
aps-84	92	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	92	12	precise	precise	ADJ
aps-84	92	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	92	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	92	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	92	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	92	17	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	92	18	chosen	choose	VERB
aps-84	92	19	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	92	20	discussed	discuss	VERB
aps-84	92	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	92	22	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	92	23	5	5	NUM
aps-84	92	24	later	later	ADV
aps-84	92	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	92	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	93	1	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	93	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	93	3	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	93	4	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	93	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	93	6	also	also	ADV
aps-84	93	7	ideally	ideally	ADV
aps-84	93	8	obtained	obtain	VERB
aps-84	93	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	93	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	93	11	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	93	12	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	93	13	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	93	14	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	93	15	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	93	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	93	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	93	18	very	very	ADV
aps-84	93	19	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	93	20	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	93	21	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	93	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	93	23	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	93	24	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	93	25	for	for	ADP
aps-84	93	26	several	several	ADJ
aps-84	93	27	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	93	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	93	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	93	30	by	by	ADP
aps-84	93	31	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	93	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	93	33	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	93	34	for	for	ADP
aps-84	93	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	93	36	most	most	ADV
aps-84	93	37	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	93	38	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	93	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	94	1	all	all	DET
aps-84	94	2	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	94	3	begin	begin	VERB
aps-84	94	4	with	with	ADP
aps-84	94	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	94	6	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
aps-84	94	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	94	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	94	9	which	which	PRON
aps-84	94	10	is	be	AUX
aps-84	94	11	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	94	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	94	13	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	94	14	up	up	ADP
aps-84	94	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	94	16	to	to	ADP
aps-84	94	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	94	18	date	date	NOUN
aps-84	94	19	set	set	NOUN
aps-84	94	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	94	21	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	94	22	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	94	23	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	94	24	by	by	ADP
aps-84	94	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	94	26	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	94	27	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	94	28	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	94	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	95	1	at	at	ADP
aps-84	95	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	95	3	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	95	4	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	95	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	95	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	95	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	95	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	95	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	95	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	95	11	are	be	AUX
aps-84	95	12	often	often	ADV
aps-84	95	13	created	create	VERB
aps-84	95	14	by	by	ADP
aps-84	95	15	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	95	16	which	which	PRON
aps-84	95	17	work	work	VERB
aps-84	95	18	best	well	ADV
aps-84	95	19	with	with	ADP
aps-84	95	20	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	95	21	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	95	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	95	23	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	95	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	96	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	96	2	extent	extent	NOUN
aps-84	96	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	96	4	historical	historical	ADJ
aps-84	96	5	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	96	6	series	series	PROPN
aps-84	96	7	required	require	VERB
aps-84	96	8	will	will	AUX
aps-84	96	9	depend	depend	VERB
aps-84	96	10	on	on	ADP
aps-84	96	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	96	12	precise	precise	ADJ
aps-84	96	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	96	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	96	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	96	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	96	17	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	96	18	chosen	choose	VERB
aps-84	96	19	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	96	20	discussed	discuss	VERB
aps-84	96	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	96	22	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	96	23	5	5	NUM
aps-84	96	24	later	later	ADV
aps-84	96	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	96	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	97	1	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	97	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	97	3	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	97	4	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	97	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	97	6	also	also	ADV
aps-84	97	7	ideally	ideally	ADV
aps-84	97	8	obtained	obtain	VERB
aps-84	97	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	97	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	97	11	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	97	12	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	97	13	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	97	14	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	97	15	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	97	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	97	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	97	18	very	very	ADV
aps-84	97	19	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	97	20	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	97	21	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	97	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	97	23	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	97	24	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	97	25	for	for	ADP
aps-84	97	26	several	several	ADJ
aps-84	97	27	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	97	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	97	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	97	30	by	by	ADP
aps-84	97	31	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	97	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	97	33	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	97	34	for	for	ADP
aps-84	97	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	97	36	most	most	ADV
aps-84	97	37	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	97	38	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	97	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	98	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	98	2	2	2	NUM
aps-84	98	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	98	4	check	check	VERB
aps-84	98	5	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	98	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	98	7	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	98	8	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	98	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	98	10	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	98	11	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	98	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	98	13	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	98	14	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	98	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	98	16	accounts	account	NOUN
aps-84	98	17	are	be	AUX
aps-84	98	18	consistent	consistent	ADJ
aps-84	98	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	98	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	98	21	carry	carry	VERB
aps-84	98	22	out	out	ADP
aps-84	98	23	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
aps-84	98	24	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	98	25	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	98	26	past	past	NOUN
aps-84	98	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	98	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	98	29	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	98	30	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	98	31	by	by	ADP
aps-84	98	32	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	98	33	are	be	AUX
aps-84	98	34	usefully	usefully	ADV
aps-84	98	35	graphed	graph	VERB
aps-84	98	36	to	to	PART
aps-84	98	37	check	check	VERB
aps-84	98	38	for	for	ADP
aps-84	98	39	any	any	DET
aps-84	98	40	obvious	obvious	ADJ
aps-84	98	41	data	data	NOUN
aps-84	98	42	problems	problem	NOUN
aps-84	98	43	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	99	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	99	2	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	99	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	99	4	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	99	5	which	which	PRON
aps-84	99	6	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	99	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	99	8	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	99	9	may	may	AUX
aps-84	99	10	also	also	ADV
aps-84	99	11	have	have	VERB
aps-84	99	12	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	99	13	notes	note	NOUN
aps-84	99	14	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	99	15	reports	report	NOUN
aps-84	99	16	on	on	ADP
aps-84	99	17	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	99	18	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	99	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	100	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	100	2	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	100	3	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	100	4	with	with	ADP
aps-84	100	5	well	well	ADV
aps-84	100	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	100	7	developed	develop	VERB
aps-84	100	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	100	9	systems	system	NOUN
aps-84	100	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	100	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	100	12	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	100	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	100	14	coverage	coverage	NOUN
aps-84	100	15	2	2	NUM
aps-84	100	16	interested	interested	ADJ
aps-84	100	17	readers	reader	NOUN
aps-84	100	18	are	be	AUX
aps-84	100	19	recommended	recommend	VERB
aps-84	100	20	to	to	PART
aps-84	100	21	consult	consult	VERB
aps-84	100	22	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	100	23	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	100	24	1986	1986	NUM
aps-84	100	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	100	26	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	100	27	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	100	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	100	29	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	100	30	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	100	31	1977	1977	NUM
aps-84	100	32	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	100	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	101	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	101	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	101	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	101	4	5	5	NUM
aps-84	101	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	101	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	101	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	101	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	101	9	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	101	10	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	101	11	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	101	12	83	83	NUM
aps-84	101	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	101	14	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	101	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	101	16	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	101	17	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	101	18	are	be	AUX
aps-84	101	19	normally	normally	ADV
aps-84	101	20	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	101	21	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	101	22	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	101	23	not	not	PART
aps-84	101	24	perfect	perfect	ADJ
aps-84	101	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	101	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	102	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	102	2	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	102	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	102	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	102	5	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	102	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	102	7	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	102	8	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	102	9	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	102	10	is	be	AUX
aps-84	102	11	very	very	ADV
aps-84	102	12	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	102	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	102	14	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	102	15	in	in	ADP
aps-84	102	16	some	some	DET
aps-84	102	17	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	102	18	it	it	PRON
aps-84	102	19	is	be	AUX
aps-84	102	20	less	less	ADV
aps-84	102	21	reliable	reliable	ADJ
aps-84	102	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	103	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	103	2	high	high	ADJ
aps-84	103	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	103	4	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	103	5	check	check	NOUN
aps-84	103	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	103	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	103	8	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	103	9	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	103	10	can	can	AUX
aps-84	103	11	be	be	AUX
aps-84	103	12	made	make	VERB
aps-84	103	13	by	by	ADP
aps-84	103	14	comparing	compare	VERB
aps-84	103	15	past	past	ADJ
aps-84	103	16	•	•	ADV
aps-84	103	17	recorded	record	VERB
aps-84	103	18	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	103	19	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	103	20	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	103	21	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	103	22	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	103	23	as	as	ADP
aps-84	103	24	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	103	25	minus	minus	CCONJ
aps-84	103	26	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	103	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	103	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	103	29	with	with	ADP
aps-84	103	30	•	•	NUM
aps-84	103	31	residual	residual	ADJ
aps-84	103	32	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	103	33	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	103	34	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	103	35	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	103	36	as	as	ADP
aps-84	103	37	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	103	38	growth	growth	NOUN
aps-84	103	39	minus	minus	CCONJ
aps-84	103	40	recorded	record	VERB
aps-84	103	41	natural	natural	ADJ
aps-84	103	42	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	103	43	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	103	44	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	104	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	104	2	more	more	ADV
aps-84	104	3	detailed	detailed	ADJ
aps-84	104	4	check	check	NOUN
aps-84	104	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	104	6	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	104	7	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	104	8	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	104	9	comparing	compare	VERB
aps-84	104	10	residual	residual	ADJ
aps-84	104	11	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	104	12	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	104	13	with	with	ADP
aps-84	104	14	recorded	record	VERB
aps-84	104	15	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	104	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	104	17	by	by	ADP
aps-84	104	18	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	104	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	104	20	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	104	21	for	for	ADP
aps-84	104	22	a	a	DET
aps-84	104	23	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	104	24	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	104	25	to	to	PART
aps-84	104	26	ensure	ensure	VERB
aps-84	104	27	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	104	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	104	29	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	104	30	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	104	31	of	of	ADP
aps-84	104	32	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	104	33	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	104	34	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	104	35	are	be	AUX
aps-84	104	36	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	104	37	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	105	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	105	2	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	105	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	105	4	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	105	5	•	•	NOUN
aps-84	105	6	recorded	record	VERB
aps-84	105	7	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	105	8	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	105	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	105	10	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	105	11	minus	minus	CCONJ
aps-84	105	12	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	105	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	105	14	equal	equal	ADJ
aps-84	105	15	•	•	ADJ
aps-84	105	16	residual	residual	ADJ
aps-84	105	17	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	105	18	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	105	19	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	105	20	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	105	21	as	as	ADP
aps-84	105	22	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	105	23	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	105	24	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	105	25	plus	plus	CCONJ
aps-84	105	26	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	105	27	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	105	28	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	105	29	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	105	30	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	105	31	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	106	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	106	2	there	there	PRON
aps-84	106	3	are	be	VERB
aps-84	106	4	large	large	ADJ
aps-84	106	5	discrepancies	discrepancy	NOUN
aps-84	106	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	106	7	then	then	ADV
aps-84	106	8	there	there	PRON
aps-84	106	9	is	be	VERB
aps-84	106	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	106	11	problem	problem	NOUN
aps-84	106	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	107	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	107	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	107	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	107	4	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	107	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	107	6	deemed	deem	VERB
aps-84	107	7	more	more	ADV
aps-84	107	8	reliable	reliable	ADJ
aps-84	107	9	than	than	ADP
aps-84	107	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	107	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	107	12	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	107	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	107	14	then	then	ADV
aps-84	107	15	either	either	CCONJ
aps-84	107	16	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	107	17	both	both	PRON
aps-84	107	18	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	107	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	107	20	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	107	21	values	value	NOUN
aps-84	107	22	should	should	AUX
aps-84	107	23	be	be	AUX
aps-84	107	24	adjusted	adjust	VERB
aps-84	107	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	108	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	108	2	3	3	NUM
aps-84	108	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	108	4	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	108	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	108	6	on	on	ADP
aps-84	108	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	108	8	expected	expect	VERB
aps-84	108	9	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	108	10	direction	direction	NOUN
aps-84	108	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	108	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	108	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	108	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	108	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	108	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	108	17	once	once	SCONJ
aps-84	108	18	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	108	19	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	108	20	checks	check	NOUN
aps-84	108	21	have	have	AUX
aps-84	108	22	been	be	AUX
aps-84	108	23	completed	complete	VERB
aps-84	108	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	108	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	108	26	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	108	27	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
aps-84	108	28	made	make	VERB
aps-84	108	29	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	108	30	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	108	31	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	108	32	then	then	ADV
aps-84	108	33	assumptions	assumption	VERB
aps-84	108	34	on	on	ADP
aps-84	108	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	108	36	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	108	37	of	of	ADP
aps-84	108	38	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	108	39	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	108	40	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	108	41	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	108	42	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	108	43	can	can	AUX
aps-84	108	44	be	be	AUX
aps-84	108	45	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	108	46	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	109	1	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	109	2	5	5	NUM
aps-84	109	3	provides	provide	VERB
aps-84	109	4	an	an	DET
aps-84	109	5	overview	overview	NOUN
aps-84	109	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	109	7	various	various	ADJ
aps-84	109	8	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	109	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	109	10	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	109	11	which	which	PRON
aps-84	109	12	can	can	AUX
aps-84	109	13	be	be	AUX
aps-84	109	14	used	use	VERB
aps-84	109	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	110	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	110	2	4	4	NUM
aps-84	110	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	110	4	enter	enter	VERB
aps-84	110	5	all	all	DET
aps-84	110	6	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	110	7	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	110	8	into	into	ADP
aps-84	110	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	110	10	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	110	11	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	110	12	/	/	SYM
aps-84	110	13	spreadsheet	spreadsheet	NOUN
aps-84	110	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	110	15	next	next	ADJ
aps-84	110	16	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	110	17	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	110	18	loading	load	VERB
aps-84	110	19	all	all	DET
aps-84	110	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	110	21	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	110	22	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	110	23	into	into	ADP
aps-84	110	24	computer	computer	NOUN
aps-84	110	25	code	code	NOUN
aps-84	110	26	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	110	27	a	a	DET
aps-84	110	28	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	110	29	for	for	ADP
aps-84	110	30	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	110	31	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	110	32	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	110	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	111	1	even	even	ADV
aps-84	111	2	with	with	ADP
aps-84	111	3	highly	highly	ADV
aps-84	111	4	automated	automate	VERB
aps-84	111	5	processes	process	NOUN
aps-84	111	6	there	there	ADV
aps-84	111	7	is	be	VERB
aps-84	111	8	still	still	ADV
aps-84	111	9	potential	potential	ADJ
aps-84	111	10	for	for	SCONJ
aps-84	111	11	errors	error	NOUN
aps-84	111	12	to	to	PART
aps-84	111	13	creep	creep	VERB
aps-84	111	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	111	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	111	16	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	111	17	using	use	VERB
aps-84	111	18	old	old	ADJ
aps-84	111	19	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	111	20	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	111	21	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	111	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	111	23	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	111	24	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	111	25	being	be	AUX
aps-84	111	26	mixed	mix	VERB
aps-84	111	27	up	up	ADP
aps-84	111	28	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	111	29	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	111	30	so	so	CCONJ
aps-84	111	31	it	it	PRON
aps-84	111	32	is	be	AUX
aps-84	111	33	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	111	34	to	to	PART
aps-84	111	35	double	double	VERB
aps-84	111	36	check	check	VERB
aps-84	111	37	all	all	DET
aps-84	111	38	the	the	DET
aps-84	111	39	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	111	40	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	111	41	has	have	AUX
aps-84	111	42	been	be	AUX
aps-84	111	43	entered	enter	VERB
aps-84	111	44	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	111	45	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	111	46	entered	enter	VERB
aps-84	111	47	in	in	ADP
aps-84	111	48	the	the	DET
aps-84	111	49	correct	correct	ADJ
aps-84	111	50	locations	location	NOUN
aps-84	111	51	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	112	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	112	2	5	5	NUM
aps-84	112	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	112	4	calculate	calculate	VERB
aps-84	112	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	112	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	112	7	then	then	ADV
aps-84	112	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	112	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	112	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	112	11	are	be	AUX
aps-84	112	12	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	112	13	using	use	VERB
aps-84	112	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	112	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	112	16	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	112	17	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	112	18	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	112	19	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	112	20	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	112	21	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	112	22	next	next	ADV
aps-84	112	23	in	in	ADP
aps-84	112	24	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	112	25	4	4	NUM
aps-84	112	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	113	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	113	2	excel	excel	PROPN
aps-84	113	3	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	113	4	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	113	5	this	this	DET
aps-84	113	6	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	113	7	can	can	AUX
aps-84	113	8	be	be	AUX
aps-84	113	9	used	use	VERB
aps-84	113	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	113	11	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	113	12	you	you	PRON
aps-84	113	13	may	may	AUX
aps-84	113	14	wish	wish	VERB
aps-84	113	15	to	to	PART
aps-84	113	16	write	write	VERB
aps-84	113	17	your	your	PRON
aps-84	113	18	own	own	ADJ
aps-84	113	19	code	code	NOUN
aps-84	113	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	114	1	step	step	NOUN
aps-84	114	2	6	6	NUM
aps-84	114	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	114	4	check	check	VERB
aps-84	114	5	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	114	6	for	for	ADP
aps-84	114	7	plausibility	plausibility	NOUN
aps-84	114	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	114	9	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	114	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	114	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	114	12	revise	revise	VERB
aps-84	114	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	114	14	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	114	15	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	114	16	an	an	DET
aps-84	114	17	important	important	ADJ
aps-84	114	18	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	114	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	114	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	114	21	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	114	22	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	114	23	is	be	AUX
aps-84	114	24	checking	check	VERB
aps-84	114	25	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	114	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	114	27	output	output	NOUN
aps-84	114	28	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	114	29	are	be	AUX
aps-84	114	30	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	114	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	114	32	internally	internally	ADV
aps-84	114	33	consistent	consistent	ADJ
aps-84	114	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	115	1	unfortunately	unfortunately	ADV
aps-84	115	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	115	3	it	it	PRON
aps-84	115	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	115	5	quite	quite	ADV
aps-84	115	6	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	115	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	115	8	even	even	ADV
aps-84	115	9	with	with	ADP
aps-84	115	10	carefully	carefully	ADV
aps-84	115	11	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	115	12	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	115	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	115	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	115	15	for	for	ADP
aps-84	115	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	115	17	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	115	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	115	19	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	115	20	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	115	21	to	to	PART
aps-84	115	22	generate	generate	VERB
aps-84	115	23	implausible	implausible	ADJ
aps-84	115	24	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	115	25	suboptimal	suboptimal	ADJ
aps-84	115	26	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
aps-84	115	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	116	1	these	these	DET
aps-84	116	2	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
aps-84	116	3	can	can	AUX
aps-84	116	4	be	be	AUX
aps-84	116	5	caused	cause	VERB
aps-84	116	6	by	by	ADP
aps-84	116	7	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	116	8	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	116	9	issues	issue	NOUN
aps-84	116	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	116	11	random	random	ADJ
aps-84	116	12	noise	noise	NOUN
aps-84	116	13	in	in	ADP
aps-84	116	14	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	116	15	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	116	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	116	17	errors	error	NOUN
aps-84	116	18	in	in	ADP
aps-84	116	19	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	116	20	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	116	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	116	22	mistakes	mistake	NOUN
aps-84	116	23	in	in	ADP
aps-84	116	24	loading	loading	NOUN
aps-84	116	25	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	116	26	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	116	27	into	into	ADP
aps-84	116	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	116	29	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	116	30	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	116	31	/	/	SYM
aps-84	116	32	spreadsheet	spreadsheet	PROPN
aps-84	116	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	116	34	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	116	35	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	116	36	coding	code	VERB
aps-84	116	37	errors	error	NOUN
aps-84	116	38	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	116	39	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	116	40	the	the	DET
aps-84	116	41	lack	lack	NOUN
aps-84	116	42	of	of	ADP
aps-84	116	43	mechanisms	mechanism	NOUN
aps-84	116	44	in	in	ADP
aps-84	116	45	the	the	DET
aps-84	116	46	cohortcomponent	cohortcomponent	NOUN
aps-84	116	47	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	116	48	to	to	PART
aps-84	116	49	maintain	maintain	VERB
aps-84	116	50	sensible	sensible	ADJ
aps-84	116	51	relationships	relationship	NOUN
aps-84	116	52	between	between	ADP
aps-84	116	53	certain	certain	ADJ
aps-84	116	54	aspects	aspect	NOUN
aps-84	116	55	of	of	ADP
aps-84	116	56	the	the	DET
aps-84	116	57	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	116	58	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	117	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	117	2	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	117	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	117	4	it	it	PRON
aps-84	117	5	might	might	AUX
aps-84	117	6	be	be	AUX
aps-84	117	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	117	8	case	case	NOUN
aps-84	117	9	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	117	10	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	117	11	ratios	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	117	12	become	become	VERB
aps-84	117	13	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
aps-84	117	14	unlikely	unlikely	ADJ
aps-84	117	15	over	over	ADP
aps-84	117	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	117	17	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	117	18	horizon	horizon	NOUN
aps-84	117	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	118	1	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	118	2	6	6	NUM
aps-84	118	3	covers	cover	VERB
aps-84	118	4	some	some	PRON
aps-84	118	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	118	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	118	7	key	key	ADJ
aps-84	118	8	checks	check	NOUN
aps-84	118	9	which	which	PRON
aps-84	118	10	should	should	AUX
aps-84	118	11	be	be	AUX
aps-84	118	12	made	make	VERB
aps-84	118	13	to	to	ADP
aps-84	118	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	118	15	output	output	NOUN
aps-84	118	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	119	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	119	2	further	further	ADJ
aps-84	119	3	check	check	NOUN
aps-84	119	4	on	on	ADP
aps-84	119	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	119	6	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	119	7	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	119	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	119	9	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	119	10	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	119	11	can	can	AUX
aps-84	119	12	be	be	AUX
aps-84	119	13	made	make	VERB
aps-84	119	14	by	by	ADP
aps-84	119	15	creating	create	VERB
aps-84	119	16	a	a	DET
aps-84	119	17	test	test	NOUN
aps-84	119	18	run	run	NOUN
aps-84	119	19	set	set	VERB
aps-84	119	20	84	84	NUM
aps-84	119	21	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	119	22	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	119	23	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	119	24	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	119	25	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	119	26	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	119	27	5	5	NUM
aps-84	119	28	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	119	29	1	1	NUM
aps-84	119	30	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	119	31	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	119	32	of	of	ADP
aps-84	119	33	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	119	34	from	from	ADP
aps-84	119	35	a	a	DET
aps-84	119	36	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	119	37	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	119	38	ago	ago	ADV
aps-84	119	39	up	up	ADP
aps-84	119	40	to	to	ADP
aps-84	119	41	the	the	DET
aps-84	119	42	latest	late	ADJ
aps-84	119	43	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	119	44	estimate	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	119	45	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	119	46	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	119	47	comparing	compare	VERB
aps-84	119	48	the	the	DET
aps-84	119	49	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	119	50	projected	projected	ADJ
aps-84	119	51	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	119	52	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	119	53	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	119	54	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	119	55	with	with	ADP
aps-84	119	56	recorded	recorded	ADJ
aps-84	119	57	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	119	58	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	120	1	4	4	X
aps-84	120	2	.	.	X
aps-84	120	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	120	4	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	120	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	120	6	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	120	7	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	120	8	4.1	4.1	NUM
aps-84	120	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	121	1	overview	overview	VERB
aps-84	121	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	121	3	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	121	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	121	5	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	121	6	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	121	7	projects	project	VERB
aps-84	121	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	121	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	121	10	broken	break	VERB
aps-84	121	11	down	down	ADP
aps-84	121	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	121	13	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	121	14	by	by	ADP
aps-84	121	15	adding	add	VERB
aps-84	121	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	121	17	subtracting	subtract	VERB
aps-84	121	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	121	19	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	121	20	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	121	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	121	22	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	121	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	122	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	122	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	122	3	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	122	4	also	also	ADV
aps-84	122	5	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
aps-84	122	6	by	by	ADP
aps-84	122	7	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	122	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	123	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	123	2	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	123	3	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	123	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	123	5	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	123	6	2	2	NUM
aps-84	123	7	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	123	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	123	9	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	123	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	123	11	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	123	12	spaces	space	NOUN
aps-84	123	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	123	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	123	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	123	16	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	123	17	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	123	18	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	123	19	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	123	20	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	123	21	which	which	PRON
aps-84	123	22	lies	lie	VERB
aps-84	123	23	at	at	ADP
aps-84	123	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	123	25	heart	heart	NOUN
aps-84	123	26	of	of	ADP
aps-84	123	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	123	28	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	123	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	124	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	124	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	124	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	124	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	124	5	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	124	6	at	at	ADP
aps-84	124	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	124	8	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	124	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	124	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	124	11	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	124	12	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	124	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	124	14	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	124	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	124	16	is	be	AUX
aps-84	124	17	depleted	deplete	VERB
aps-84	124	18	by	by	ADP
aps-84	124	19	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	124	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	124	21	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	124	22	during	during	ADP
aps-84	124	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	124	24	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	124	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	124	26	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	124	27	supplemented	supplement	VERB
aps-84	124	28	by	by	ADP
aps-84	124	29	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	124	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	125	1	after	after	ADP
aps-84	125	2	taking	take	VERB
aps-84	125	3	into	into	ADP
aps-84	125	4	account	account	NOUN
aps-84	125	5	these	these	DET
aps-84	125	6	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	125	7	changes	change	NOUN
aps-84	125	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	125	9	we	we	PRON
aps-84	125	10	have	have	VERB
aps-84	125	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	125	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	13	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	14	size	size	NOUN
aps-84	125	15	at	at	ADP
aps-84	125	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	125	17	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	125	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	125	20	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	125	21	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	125	23	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	125	24	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	125	25	1	1	NUM
aps-84	125	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	125	27	final	final	ADJ
aps-84	125	28	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	29	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	125	30	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	125	31	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	125	32	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	33	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	34	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	35	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	36	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	37	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	125	38	101	101	NUM
aps-84	125	39	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	125	40	start	start	VERB
aps-84	125	41	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	42	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	43	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	44	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	45	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	46	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	125	47	100	100	NUM
aps-84	125	48	+	+	NUM
aps-84	125	49	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	125	50	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	125	51	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	125	52			SYM
aps-84	125	53	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	125	54	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	125	55	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	125	56	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	57	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	125	58	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	125	59	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	60	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	61	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	62	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	63	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	64	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	65	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	125	66	a+1	a+1	PRON
aps-84	125	67	start	start	VERB
aps-84	125	68	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	69	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	70	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	71	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	72	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	73	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	74	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	125	75	a	a	DET
aps-84	125	76	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	125	77	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	125	78	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	125	79	immigration	immigration	PROPN
aps-84	125	80	first	first	ADJ
aps-84	125	81	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	82	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	125	83	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	125	84	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	85	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	86	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	87	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	125	88	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	89	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	90	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	125	91	0	0	NUM
aps-84	125	92	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	125	93	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	125	94	→	→	SYM
aps-84	125	95	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	125	96	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	125	97	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	125	98	figure	figure	VERB
aps-84	125	99	2	2	NUM
aps-84	125	100	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	125	101	defining	define	VERB
aps-84	125	102	features	feature	NOUN
aps-84	125	103	of	of	ADP
aps-84	125	104	the	the	DET
aps-84	125	105	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	125	106	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	125	107	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	125	108	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	125	109	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	125	110	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	125	111	notes	note	NOUN
aps-84	125	112	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	126	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	126	2	stocks	stock	NOUN
aps-84	126	3	are	be	AUX
aps-84	126	4	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	126	5	by	by	ADP
aps-84	126	6	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	126	7	black	black	ADJ
aps-84	126	8	lines	line	NOUN
aps-84	126	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	126	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	126	11	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	126	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	126	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	126	14	thick	thick	ADJ
aps-84	126	15	blue	blue	ADJ
aps-84	126	16	line	line	NOUN
aps-84	126	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	127	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	127	2	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	127	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	127	4	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	127	5	extent	extent	NOUN
aps-84	127	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	127	7	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	127	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	127	9	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	127	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	127	11	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	127	12	for	for	ADP
aps-84	127	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	127	14	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	127	15	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	127	16	is	be	AUX
aps-84	127	17	depicted	depict	VERB
aps-84	127	18	by	by	ADP
aps-84	127	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	127	20	grey	grey	PROPN
aps-84	127	21	shaded	shade	VERB
aps-84	127	22	areas	area	NOUN
aps-84	127	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	128	1	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	128	2	∞	∞	PROPN
aps-84	128	3	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	128	4	t+1	t+1	X
aps-84	128	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	128	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	128	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	128	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	128	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	128	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	128	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	128	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	128	13	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	128	14	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	128	15	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	128	16	85	85	NUM
aps-84	128	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	128	18	middle	middle	ADJ
aps-84	128	19	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	128	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	128	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	128	22	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	128	23	shows	show	VERB
aps-84	128	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	128	25	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	128	26	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	128	27	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	128	28	spaces	space	NOUN
aps-84	128	29	of	of	ADP
aps-84	128	30	stocks	stock	NOUN
aps-84	128	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	128	32	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	128	33	for	for	ADP
aps-84	128	34	all	all	DET
aps-84	128	35	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	128	36	except	except	SCONJ
aps-84	128	37	the	the	DET
aps-84	128	38	very	very	ADV
aps-84	128	39	oldest	old	ADJ
aps-84	128	40	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	128	41	youngest	young	ADJ
aps-84	128	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	129	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	129	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	129	3	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	129	4	𝑎	𝑎	X
aps-84	129	5	at	at	ADP
aps-84	129	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	129	7	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	129	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	129	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	129	10	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	129	11	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	129	12	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	129	13	to	to	PART
aps-84	129	14	become	become	VERB
aps-84	129	15	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	129	16	𝑎	𝑎	PRON
aps-84	129	17	+	+	NUM
aps-84	129	18	1	1	NUM
aps-84	129	19	by	by	ADP
aps-84	129	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	129	21	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	129	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	129	23	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	129	24	during	during	ADP
aps-84	129	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	129	26	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	129	27	experiences	experience	NOUN
aps-84	129	28	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	129	29	losses	loss	NOUN
aps-84	129	30	through	through	ADP
aps-84	129	31	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	129	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	129	33	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	129	34	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	129	35	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	129	36	gains	gain	NOUN
aps-84	129	37	from	from	ADP
aps-84	129	38	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	129	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	130	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	2	lower	low	ADJ
aps-84	130	3	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	130	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	130	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	6	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	130	7	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	130	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	9	newlyborn	newlyborn	ADJ
aps-84	130	10	infant	infant	NOUN
aps-84	130	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	130	12	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	130	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	14	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	130	15	starting	starting	NOUN
aps-84	130	16	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	130	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	130	18	is	be	AUX
aps-84	130	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	20	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	130	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	130	22	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	130	23	which	which	PRON
aps-84	130	24	occur	occur	VERB
aps-84	130	25	during	during	ADP
aps-84	130	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	130	27	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	130	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	131	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	131	2	upper	upper	ADJ
aps-84	131	3	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	131	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	131	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	131	6	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	131	7	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	131	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	131	9	slightly	slightly	ADV
aps-84	131	10	different	different	ADJ
aps-84	131	11	situation	situation	NOUN
aps-84	131	12	at	at	ADP
aps-84	131	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	131	14	highest	high	ADJ
aps-84	131	15	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	131	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	132	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	132	2	elongated	elongate	VERB
aps-84	132	3	extent	extent	NOUN
aps-84	132	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	132	5	this	this	DET
aps-84	132	6	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	132	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	132	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	132	9	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	132	10	indicates	indicate	VERB
aps-84	132	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	132	12	absence	absence	NOUN
aps-84	132	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	132	14	an	an	DET
aps-84	132	15	upper	upper	ADJ
aps-84	132	16	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	132	17	limit	limit	NOUN
aps-84	132	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	133	1	so	so	ADV
aps-84	133	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	133	3	for	for	ADP
aps-84	133	4	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	133	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	133	6	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	133	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	8	oldest	old	ADJ
aps-84	133	9	open	open	ADJ
aps-84	133	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	133	11	ended	end	VERB
aps-84	133	12	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	133	13	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	133	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	133	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	16	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	133	17	is	be	AUX
aps-84	133	18	100	100	NUM
aps-84	133	19	+	+	ADJ
aps-84	133	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	133	21	then	then	ADV
aps-84	133	22	this	this	DET
aps-84	133	23	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	133	24	of	of	ADP
aps-84	133	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	26	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	133	27	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	133	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	29	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	133	30	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	133	31	100	100	NUM
aps-84	133	32	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	133	33	at	at	ADP
aps-84	133	34	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	133	35	𝑡	𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	133	36	ageing	age	VERB
aps-84	133	37	to	to	PART
aps-84	133	38	become	become	VERB
aps-84	133	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	40	101	101	NUM
aps-84	133	41	+	+	NUM
aps-84	133	42	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	133	43	at	at	ADP
aps-84	133	44	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	133	45	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	133	46	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	133	47	1	1	X
aps-84	133	48	.	.	X
aps-84	133	49	there	there	PRON
aps-84	133	50	are	be	VERB
aps-84	133	51	three	three	NUM
aps-84	133	52	main	main	ADJ
aps-84	133	53	stages	stage	NOUN
aps-84	133	54	to	to	ADP
aps-84	133	55	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	56	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	133	57	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	133	58	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	133	59	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	133	60	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	133	61	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	133	62	•	•	NUM
aps-84	133	63	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	133	64	1	1	NUM
aps-84	133	65	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	133	66	project	project	NOUN
aps-84	133	67	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	133	68	already	already	ADV
aps-84	133	69	alive	alive	ADJ
aps-84	133	70	at	at	ADP
aps-84	133	71	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	72	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	133	73	of	of	ADP
aps-84	133	74	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	75	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	133	76	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	133	77	•	•	NOUN
aps-84	133	78	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	133	79	2	2	NUM
aps-84	133	80	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	133	81	project	project	VERB
aps-84	133	82	the	the	DET
aps-84	133	83	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	133	84	of	of	ADP
aps-84	133	85	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	133	86	•	•	ADP
aps-84	133	87	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	133	88	3	3	NUM
aps-84	133	89	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	133	90	project	project	VERB
aps-84	133	91	newly	newly	ADV
aps-84	133	92	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	133	93	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	133	94	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	133	95	to	to	ADP
aps-84	133	96	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	133	97	0	0	NUM
aps-84	134	1	at	at	ADP
aps-84	134	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	134	3	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	134	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	134	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	134	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	134	7	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	134	8	which	which	PRON
aps-84	134	9	we	we	PRON
aps-84	134	10	describe	describe	VERB
aps-84	134	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	134	12	turn	turn	NOUN
aps-84	134	13	below	below	ADV
aps-84	134	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	135	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
aps-84	135	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	135	3	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	135	4	1	1	NUM
aps-84	135	5	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	135	6	project	project	VERB
aps-84	135	7	existing	exist	VERB
aps-84	135	8	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	135	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	135	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	135	11	first	first	ADJ
aps-84	135	12	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	135	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	135	14	all	all	DET
aps-84	135	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	135	16	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	135	17	alive	alive	ADJ
aps-84	135	18	at	at	ADP
aps-84	135	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	135	20	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	135	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	135	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	135	23	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	135	24	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	135	25	are	be	AUX
aps-84	135	26	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	135	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	136	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	136	2	refers	refer	VERB
aps-84	136	3	to	to	ADP
aps-84	136	4	all	all	DET
aps-84	136	5	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	136	6	except	except	SCONJ
aps-84	136	7	for	for	ADP
aps-84	136	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	136	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	136	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	136	11	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	136	12	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	136	13	during	during	ADP
aps-84	136	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	136	15	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	136	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	137	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	137	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	137	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	137	4	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	137	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	137	6	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	137	7	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	137	8	may	may	AUX
aps-84	137	9	be	be	AUX
aps-84	137	10	written	write	VERB
aps-84	137	11	as	as	ADP
aps-84	137	12	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	137	13	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	X
aps-84	137	14	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	137	15	1	1	X
aps-84	137	16	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	137	17	=	=	SYM
aps-84	137	18	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	137	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	137	20	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	137	21	𝐷𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐷𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	138	1	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	138	2	𝐸𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐸𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	139	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	139	2	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	139	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	139	4	2	2	NUM
aps-84	139	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	139	6	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	139	7	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	139	8	𝑠	𝑠	X
aps-84	139	9	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	139	10	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	139	11	𝑎	𝑎	NOUN
aps-84	139	12	=	=	SYM
aps-84	139	13	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	139	14	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	139	15	𝑎	𝑎	X
aps-84	139	16	+	+	NUM
aps-84	139	17	1	1	NUM
aps-84	139	18	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	139	19	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	139	20	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	139	21	one	one	NUM
aps-84	139	22	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	139	23	older	old	ADJ
aps-84	139	24	than	than	ADP
aps-84	139	25	𝑎	𝑎	PRON
aps-84	139	26	𝑎	𝑎	NOUN
aps-84	139	27	→	→	SYM
aps-84	139	28	𝑎	𝑎	PROPN
aps-84	139	29	+	+	NUM
aps-84	139	30	1	1	NUM
aps-84	139	31	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	139	32	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	33	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	139	34	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	139	35	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	139	36	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	139	37	𝑎	𝑎	X
aps-84	139	38	at	at	ADP
aps-84	139	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	40	start	start	NOUN
aps-84	139	41	of	of	ADP
aps-84	139	42	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	43	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	139	44	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	139	45	which	which	DET
aps-84	139	46	shifts	shift	NOUN
aps-84	139	47	to	to	PART
aps-84	139	48	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	139	49	𝑎	𝑎	PROPN
aps-84	139	50	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	139	51	1	1	NUM
aps-84	139	52	by	by	ADP
aps-84	139	53	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	54	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	139	55	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	139	56	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	139	57	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	139	58	by	by	ADP
aps-84	139	59	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	60	shaded	shaded	ADJ
aps-84	139	61	parallelogram	parallelogram	NOUN
aps-84	139	62	in	in	ADP
aps-84	139	63	the	the	DET
aps-84	139	64	middle	middle	NOUN
aps-84	139	65	of	of	ADP
aps-84	139	66	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	139	67	2	2	NUM
aps-84	139	68	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	139	69	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	140	1	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	140	2	labels	label	VERB
aps-84	140	3	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	140	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	140	5	𝑡	𝑡	X
aps-84	140	6	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	140	7	1	1	NUM
aps-84	140	8	have	have	AUX
aps-84	140	9	been	be	AUX
aps-84	140	10	omitted	omit	VERB
aps-84	140	11	from	from	ADP
aps-84	140	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	140	13	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	140	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	140	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	140	16	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	140	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	140	18	avoid	avoid	VERB
aps-84	140	19	clutter	clutter	NOUN
aps-84	140	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	141	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	141	2	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	141	3	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	141	4	above	above	ADV
aps-84	141	5	is	be	AUX
aps-84	141	6	converted	convert	VERB
aps-84	141	7	to	to	ADP
aps-84	141	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	141	9	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	141	10	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	141	11	by	by	ADP
aps-84	141	12	substituting	substitute	VERB
aps-84	141	13	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	141	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	141	15	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	141	16	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	141	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	141	18	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
aps-84	141	19	/	/	SYM
aps-84	141	20	exposure	exposure	NOUN
aps-84	141	21	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	141	22	multiplied	multiply	VERB
aps-84	141	23	by	by	ADP
aps-84	141	24	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	141	25	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	141	26	at	at	ADP
aps-84	141	27	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	141	28	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	141	29	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	141	30	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	141	31	1984	1984	NUM
aps-84	141	32	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	141	33	willekens	willeken	NOUN
aps-84	141	34	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	141	35	drewe	drewe	PROPN
aps-84	141	36	1984	1984	NUM
aps-84	141	37	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	141	38	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	141	39	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	141	40	1	1	X
aps-84	141	41	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	1	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	142	2	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	AUX
aps-84	142	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	4	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	142	5	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	PROPN
aps-84	142	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	142	7	2	2	NUM
aps-84	142	8	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	142	9	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	142	10	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	11	+	+	NUM
aps-84	142	12	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	142	13	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	142	14	1	1	NUM
aps-84	142	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	16	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	17	−𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	−𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NUM
aps-84	142	18	1	1	NUM
aps-84	142	19	2	2	NUM
aps-84	142	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	142	21	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	142	22	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	23	+	+	NUM
aps-84	142	24	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	142	25	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	142	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	142	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	142	28	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	143	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	143	2	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	143	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	143	4	3	3	NUM
aps-84	143	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	143	6	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	143	7	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	143	8	𝑑	𝑑	PROPN
aps-84	143	9	=	=	VERB
aps-84	143	10	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	143	11	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	143	12	𝑒	𝑒	PROPN
aps-84	143	13	=	=	VERB
aps-84	143	14	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	143	15	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	143	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	144	1	86	86	NUM
aps-84	144	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	144	3	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	144	4	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	144	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	144	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	144	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	144	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	144	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	144	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	144	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	144	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	144	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	144	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	144	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	144	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	144	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	144	18	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	144	19	is	be	AUX
aps-84	144	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	144	21	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	144	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	144	23	person	person	NOUN
aps-84	144	24	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	144	25	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	144	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	144	27	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	144	28	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	144	29	is	be	AUX
aps-84	144	30	exposed	expose	VERB
aps-84	144	31	to	to	ADP
aps-84	144	32	the	the	DET
aps-84	144	33	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	144	34	of	of	ADP
aps-84	144	35	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	144	36	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	144	37	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	144	38	over	over	ADP
aps-84	144	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	144	40	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	144	41	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	144	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	145	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	145	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	145	3	approximated	approximate	VERB
aps-84	145	4	by	by	ADP
aps-84	145	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	145	6	mean	mean	NOUN
aps-84	145	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	145	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	145	9	startand	startand	NOUN
aps-84	145	10	end	end	VERB
aps-84	145	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	145	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	145	13	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	145	14	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	145	15	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	145	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	146	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	146	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	146	3	moment	moment	NOUN
aps-84	146	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	146	5	we	we	PRON
aps-84	146	6	leave	leave	VERB
aps-84	146	7	aside	aside	ADV
aps-84	146	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	146	9	issue	issue	NOUN
aps-84	146	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	146	11	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	146	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	146	13	various	various	ADJ
aps-84	146	14	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	146	15	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	146	16	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	146	17	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	146	18	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	146	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	146	20	return	return	VERB
aps-84	146	21	to	to	ADP
aps-84	146	22	this	this	PRON
aps-84	146	23	in	in	ADP
aps-84	146	24	section	section	NOUN
aps-84	146	25	5	5	NUM
aps-84	146	26	on	on	ADP
aps-84	146	27	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	146	28	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	146	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	146	30	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	146	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	147	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	147	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	147	3	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	147	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	147	5	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	147	6	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	147	7	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	147	8	here	here	ADV
aps-84	147	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	147	10	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	147	11	is	be	AUX
aps-84	147	12	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	147	13	directly	directly	ADV
aps-84	147	14	as	as	ADP
aps-84	147	15	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	147	16	numbers3	numbers3	ADP
aps-84	147	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	148	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	148	2	would	would	AUX
aps-84	148	3	be	be	AUX
aps-84	148	4	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	148	5	in	in	ADP
aps-84	148	6	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	148	7	to	to	PART
aps-84	148	8	project	project	VERB
aps-84	148	9	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	148	10	as	as	ADP
aps-84	148	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	12	product	product	NOUN
aps-84	148	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	148	14	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	148	15	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	148	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	148	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	18	rest	rest	NOUN
aps-84	148	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	148	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	21	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	148	22	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	148	23	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	148	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	148	25	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	148	26	we	we	PRON
aps-84	148	27	would	would	AUX
aps-84	148	28	then	then	ADV
aps-84	148	29	have	have	VERB
aps-84	148	30	to	to	PART
aps-84	148	31	include	include	VERB
aps-84	148	32	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	33	rest	rest	NOUN
aps-84	148	34	of	of	ADP
aps-84	148	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	36	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	148	37	in	in	ADP
aps-84	148	38	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	39	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	148	40	to	to	PART
aps-84	148	41	calculate	calculate	VERB
aps-84	148	42	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	43	required	require	VERB
aps-84	148	44	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	148	45	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	148	46	at	at	ADP
aps-84	148	47	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	148	48	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	148	49	for	for	ADP
aps-84	148	50	sending	send	VERB
aps-84	148	51	migrants	migrant	NOUN
aps-84	148	52	to	to	ADP
aps-84	148	53	the	the	DET
aps-84	148	54	country	country	NOUN
aps-84	148	55	we	we	PRON
aps-84	148	56	are	be	AUX
aps-84	148	57	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	148	58	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	148	59	for	for	ADP
aps-84	148	60	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	149	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	149	2	any	any	DET
aps-84	149	3	case	case	NOUN
aps-84	149	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	149	5	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	149	6	to	to	ADP
aps-84	149	7	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	149	8	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	149	9	is	be	AUX
aps-84	149	10	strongly	strongly	ADV
aps-84	149	11	shaped	shape	VERB
aps-84	149	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	149	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	149	14	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	149	15	policies	policy	NOUN
aps-84	149	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	149	17	regulations	regulation	NOUN
aps-84	149	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	149	19	that	that	DET
aps-84	149	20	country	country	NOUN
aps-84	149	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	150	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	150	2	this	this	DET
aps-84	150	3	reason	reason	NOUN
aps-84	150	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	150	5	it	it	PRON
aps-84	150	6	is	be	AUX
aps-84	150	7	often	often	ADV
aps-84	150	8	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	150	9	directly	directly	ADV
aps-84	150	10	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	150	11	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	150	12	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	150	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	151	1	some	some	DET
aps-84	151	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	151	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	151	4	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	151	5	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	151	6	use	use	VERB
aps-84	151	7	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	151	8	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	151	9	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	151	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	151	11	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	151	12	we	we	PRON
aps-84	151	13	advise	advise	VERB
aps-84	151	14	against	against	ADP
aps-84	151	15	this	this	PRON
aps-84	151	16	wherever	wherever	SCONJ
aps-84	151	17	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	151	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	152	1	see	see	VERB
aps-84	152	2	box	box	PROPN
aps-84	152	3	2	2	NUM
aps-84	152	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	152	5	a	a	DET
aps-84	152	6	brief	brief	ADJ
aps-84	152	7	note	note	NOUN
aps-84	152	8	on	on	ADP
aps-84	152	9	this	this	DET
aps-84	152	10	issue	issue	NOUN
aps-84	152	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	153	1	by	by	ADP
aps-84	153	2	re	re	VERB
aps-84	153	3	-	-	VERB
aps-84	153	4	arranging	arrange	VERB
aps-84	153	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	153	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	153	7	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	153	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	153	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	153	10	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	153	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	153	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	153	13	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	153	14	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	153	15	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	153	16	can	can	AUX
aps-84	153	17	be	be	AUX
aps-84	153	18	removed	remove	VERB
aps-84	153	19	from	from	ADP
aps-84	153	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	153	21	right	right	ADJ
aps-84	153	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	153	23	hand	hand	NOUN
aps-84	153	24	side	side	NOUN
aps-84	153	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	153	26	willekens	willeken	NOUN
aps-84	153	27	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	153	28	drewe	drewe	PROPN
aps-84	153	29	1984	1984	NUM
aps-84	153	30	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	153	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	154	1	first	first	ADV
aps-84	154	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	154	3	multiplying	multiply	VERB
aps-84	154	4	out	out	ADP
aps-84	154	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	154	6	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	154	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	154	8	brackets	bracket	NOUN
aps-84	154	9	gives	give	VERB
aps-84	154	10	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	154	11	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	12	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	154	13	1	1	X
aps-84	154	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	15	=	=	SYM
aps-84	154	16	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	18	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	154	19	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	20	2	2	NUM
aps-84	154	21	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	154	22	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	23	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	24	−	−	NUM
aps-84	154	25	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	26	2	2	NUM
aps-84	154	27	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	154	28	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	29	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	154	30	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	31	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	32	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	154	33	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	34	2	2	NUM
aps-84	154	35	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	ADP
aps-84	154	36	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	37	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	38	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	154	39	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	40	2	2	NUM
aps-84	154	41	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	154	42	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	154	43	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	154	44	1	1	NUM
aps-84	154	45	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	154	46	+	+	NUM
aps-84	154	47	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	154	48	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	155	1	then	then	ADV
aps-84	155	2	those	those	DET
aps-84	155	3	terms	term	NOUN
aps-84	155	4	involving	involve	VERB
aps-84	155	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	155	6	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	155	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	155	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	155	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	155	10	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	155	11	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	155	12	are	be	AUX
aps-84	155	13	all	all	PRON
aps-84	155	14	moved	move	VERB
aps-84	155	15	to	to	ADP
aps-84	155	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	155	17	left	left	ADJ
aps-84	155	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	155	19	hand	hand	NOUN
aps-84	155	20	side	side	NOUN
aps-84	155	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	155	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	155	23	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	155	24	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	155	25	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	X
aps-84	155	26	+	+	X
aps-84	155	27	1	1	X
aps-84	155	28	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	29	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	155	30	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	31	2	2	NUM
aps-84	155	32	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	155	33	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	155	34	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	155	35	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	36	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	37	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	155	38	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	39	2	2	NUM
aps-84	155	40	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	155	41	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	155	42	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	155	43	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	44	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	45	=	=	SYM
aps-84	155	46	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	155	47	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	48	−	−	NOUN
aps-84	155	49	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	50	2	2	NUM
aps-84	155	51	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	155	52	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	155	53	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	54	−	−	NUM
aps-84	155	55	1	1	NUM
aps-84	155	56	2	2	NUM
aps-84	155	57	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	ADP
aps-84	155	58	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	155	59	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	155	60	+	+	NUM
aps-84	155	61	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	155	62	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	156	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	156	2	can	can	AUX
aps-84	156	3	be	be	AUX
aps-84	156	4	simplified	simplify	VERB
aps-84	156	5	to	to	PART
aps-84	156	6	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	156	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	156	8	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	9	+	+	SYM
aps-84	156	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	11	2	2	NUM
aps-84	156	12	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	156	13	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	156	14	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	15	2	2	NUM
aps-84	156	16	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	156	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	156	18	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	156	19	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	156	20	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	21	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	156	22	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	156	23	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	156	24	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	25	−	−	NUM
aps-84	156	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	27	2	2	NUM
aps-84	156	28	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	156	29	−	−	ADP
aps-84	156	30	1	1	NUM
aps-84	156	31	2	2	NUM
aps-84	156	32	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	156	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	156	34	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	156	35	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	157	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	157	2	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	PUNCT
aps-84	157	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	157	4	then	then	ADV
aps-84	157	5	re	re	VERB
aps-84	157	6	-	-	VERB
aps-84	157	7	arranged	arranged	ADJ
aps-84	157	8	so	so	SCONJ
aps-84	157	9	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	157	10	just	just	ADV
aps-84	157	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	157	12	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	157	13	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	157	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	157	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	157	16	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	157	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	157	18	remains	remain	VERB
aps-84	157	19	on	on	ADP
aps-84	157	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	157	21	left	left	ADJ
aps-84	157	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	157	23	hand	hand	NOUN
aps-84	157	24	side	side	NOUN
aps-84	157	25	of	of	ADP
aps-84	157	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	157	27	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	157	28	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	157	29	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎+1(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	157	30	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	157	31	1	1	X
aps-84	157	32	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	157	33	=	=	SYM
aps-84	158	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	158	2	1−	1−	NUM
aps-84	158	3	1	1	NUM
aps-84	158	4	2	2	NUM
aps-84	158	5	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1−1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1−1	NUM
aps-84	158	6	2	2	NUM
aps-84	158	7	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	158	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	158	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	158	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	158	11	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	158	12	1	1	NUM
aps-84	158	13	2	2	NUM
aps-84	158	14	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	158	15	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	158	16	1	1	NUM
aps-84	158	17	2	2	NUM
aps-84	158	18	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	158	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	158	20	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	158	21	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	159	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	159	2	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝐼𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	159	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	159	4	1	1	NUM
aps-84	159	5	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	159	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	159	7	2	2	NUM
aps-84	159	8	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	159	9	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	159	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	159	11	2	2	NUM
aps-84	159	12	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑒𝑠,𝑎→𝑎+1	NOUN
aps-84	159	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	159	14	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	159	15	4	4	NUM
aps-84	159	16	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	159	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	159	18	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	159	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	159	20	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	159	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	159	22	we	we	PRON
aps-84	159	23	use	use	VERB
aps-84	159	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	159	25	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	159	26	of	of	ADP
aps-84	159	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	159	28	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	159	29	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	159	30	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	159	31	45	45	NUM
aps-84	159	32	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	159	33	in	in	ADP
aps-84	159	34	mid-2019	mid-2019	NOUN
aps-84	159	35	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	159	36	46	46	NUM
aps-84	159	37	in	in	ADP
aps-84	159	38	mid-2020	mid-2020	NOUN
aps-84	159	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	160	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	160	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	160	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	160	5	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	160	6	was	be	AUX
aps-84	160	7	164,940	164,940	NUM
aps-84	160	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	160	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	10	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	160	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	160	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	160	13	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	160	14	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	160	15	0.001127	0.001127	NUM
aps-84	160	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	160	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	18	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	160	19	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	160	20	0.005916	0.005916	NUM
aps-84	160	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	160	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	160	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	24	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	160	25	flow	flow	NOUN
aps-84	160	26	1,693.3	1,693.3	NUM
aps-84	160	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	160	28	then	then	ADV
aps-84	160	29	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	30	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	160	31	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	160	32	in	in	ADP
aps-84	160	33	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	160	34	is	be	AUX
aps-84	160	35	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	160	36	3	3	NUM
aps-84	160	37	alternative	alternative	ADJ
aps-84	160	38	ways	way	NOUN
aps-84	160	39	of	of	ADP
aps-84	160	40	handling	handle	VERB
aps-84	160	41	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	160	42	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	160	43	in	in	ADP
aps-84	160	44	the	the	DET
aps-84	160	45	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	160	46	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	160	47	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	160	48	are	be	AUX
aps-84	160	49	often	often	ADV
aps-84	160	50	applied	apply	VERB
aps-84	160	51	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	161	1	see	see	VERB
aps-84	161	2	also	also	ADV
aps-84	161	3	bijak	bijak	PROPN
aps-84	161	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	161	5	2012	2012	NUM
aps-84	161	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	161	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	161	8	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	161	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	161	10	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	161	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	161	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	161	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	161	14	vandresse	vandresse	ADJ
aps-84	161	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	161	16	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	161	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	161	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	162	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	162	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	162	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	162	4	5	5	NUM
aps-84	162	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	162	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	162	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	162	9	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	162	10	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	162	11	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	162	12	87	87	NUM
aps-84	162	13	=	=	SYM
aps-84	162	14	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	162	15	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	16	−	−	NUM
aps-84	162	17	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	18	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	19	0.001127	0.001127	NUM
aps-84	162	20	−	−	NUM
aps-84	162	21	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	22	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	23	0.005916	0.005916	NUM
aps-84	162	24	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	162	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	162	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	27	+	+	SYM
aps-84	162	28	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	29	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	30	0.001127	0.001127	NUM
aps-84	162	31	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	162	32	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	33	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	34	0.005916	0.005916	NUM
aps-84	162	35	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	162	36	164,940	164,940	NUM
aps-84	162	37	+	+	NUM
aps-84	162	38	1,693.3	1,693.3	NUM
aps-84	162	39	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	162	40	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	41	+	+	SYM
aps-84	162	42	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	43	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	44	0.001127	0.001127	NUM
aps-84	162	45	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	162	46	1	1	NUM
aps-84	162	47	2	2	NUM
aps-84	162	48	0.005916	0.005916	NUM
aps-84	162	49	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	162	50	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	163	1	165,469.84	165,469.84	NUM
aps-84	163	2	4.3	4.3	NUM
aps-84	163	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	164	1	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	164	2	2	2	NUM
aps-84	164	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	164	4	project	project	VERB
aps-84	164	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	164	6	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	164	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	164	8	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	164	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	164	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	164	11	second	second	ADJ
aps-84	164	12	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	164	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	164	14	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	164	15	are	be	AUX
aps-84	164	16	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	164	17	as	as	ADP
aps-84	164	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	164	19	product	product	NOUN
aps-84	164	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	164	21	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	164	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	164	23	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	164	24	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	164	25	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	164	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	164	27	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	164	28	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	164	29	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	164	30	at	at	ADP
aps-84	164	31	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	164	32	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	164	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	164	34	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	164	35	then	then	ADV
aps-84	164	36	summed	sum	VERB
aps-84	164	37	over	over	ADP
aps-84	164	38	all	all	DET
aps-84	164	39	childbearing	childbeare	VERB
aps-84	164	40	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	164	41	groups	group	NOUN
aps-84	164	42	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	164	43	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	164	44	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	164	45	15	15	NUM
aps-84	164	46	to	to	ADP
aps-84	164	47	49	49	NUM
aps-84	164	48	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	164	49	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	165	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	165	2	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	165	3	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	165	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	165	5	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	165	6	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	165	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	165	8	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	165	9	as	as	ADP
aps-84	165	10	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	165	11	𝐵	𝐵	NOUN
aps-84	165	12	=	=	SYM
aps-84	165	13	∑	∑	PUNCT
aps-84	165	14	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	165	15	𝑏𝑎	𝑏𝑎	NOUN
aps-84	165	16	1	1	NUM
aps-84	165	17	2	2	NUM
aps-84	165	18	[	[	X
aps-84	165	19	𝑃𝑓,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑓,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	165	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	165	21	+	+	NUM
aps-84	165	22	𝑃𝑓,𝑎(𝑡	𝑃𝑓,𝑎(𝑡	NOUN
aps-84	165	23	+	+	X
aps-84	165	24	1)])𝑎	1)])𝑎	NUM
aps-84	165	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	165	26	5	5	NUM
aps-84	165	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	165	28	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	165	29	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	165	30	𝑏	𝑏	NOUN
aps-84	165	31	=	=	SYM
aps-84	165	32	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	165	33	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	165	34	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	165	35	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	165	36	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	165	37	𝑓	𝑓	PRON
aps-84	165	38	=	=	SYM
aps-84	165	39	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	165	40	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	165	41	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	166	1	note	note	VERB
aps-84	166	2	how	how	SCONJ
aps-84	166	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	166	4	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	166	5	make	make	VERB
aps-84	166	6	use	use	NOUN
aps-84	166	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	166	8	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	166	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	166	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	166	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	166	12	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	166	13	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	166	14	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	166	15	which	which	PRON
aps-84	166	16	were	be	AUX
aps-84	166	17	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	166	18	in	in	ADP
aps-84	166	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	166	20	first	first	ADJ
aps-84	166	21	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	166	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	167	1	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	167	2	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	167	3	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	167	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	167	5	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	167	6	are	be	AUX
aps-84	167	7	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	167	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	167	9	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	167	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	167	11	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	167	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	167	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	167	14	shaded	shaded	ADJ
aps-84	167	15	square	square	NOUN
aps-84	167	16	in	in	ADP
aps-84	167	17	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	167	18	1	1	NUM
aps-84	167	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	167	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	167	21	not	not	PART
aps-84	167	22	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	167	23	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	167	24	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	167	25	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	167	26	this	this	PRON
aps-84	167	27	is	be	AUX
aps-84	167	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	167	29	form	form	NOUN
aps-84	167	30	in	in	ADP
aps-84	167	31	which	which	PRON
aps-84	167	32	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	167	33	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	167	34	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	167	35	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	167	36	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	167	37	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	167	38	statistics	statistic	NOUN
aps-84	167	39	are	be	AUX
aps-84	167	40	often	often	ADV
aps-84	167	41	provided5	provided5	VERB
aps-84	167	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	168	1	as	as	ADP
aps-84	168	2	an	an	DET
aps-84	168	3	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	168	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	168	5	consider	consider	VERB
aps-84	168	6	females	female	NOUN
aps-84	168	7	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	168	8	30	30	NUM
aps-84	168	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	169	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	169	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	169	3	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	169	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	169	5	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	169	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	169	7	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	169	8	for	for	ADP
aps-84	169	9	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	169	10	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	169	11	30	30	NUM
aps-84	169	12	is	be	AUX
aps-84	169	13	0.112436	0.112436	NUM
aps-84	169	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	169	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	169	16	startand	startand	NOUN
aps-84	169	17	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	169	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	169	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	169	20	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	169	21	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	169	22	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	169	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	169	24	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	169	25	aged	age	VERB
aps-84	169	26	30	30	NUM
aps-84	169	27	are	be	AUX
aps-84	169	28	193,557	193,557	NUM
aps-84	169	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	169	30	198,656	198,656	NUM
aps-84	169	31	respectively	respectively	ADV
aps-84	169	32	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	169	33	then	then	ADV
aps-84	169	34	the	the	DET
aps-84	169	35	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	169	36	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	169	37	of	of	ADP
aps-84	169	38	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	169	39	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	169	40	to	to	ADP
aps-84	169	41	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	169	42	in	in	ADP
aps-84	169	43	this	this	DET
aps-84	169	44	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	169	45	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	169	46	is	be	AUX
aps-84	169	47	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	169	48	=	=	SYM
aps-84	169	49	0.112436	0.112436	NUM
aps-84	169	50	1	1	NUM
aps-84	169	51	2	2	NUM
aps-84	169	52	[	[	SYM
aps-84	169	53	193,557	193,557	NUM
aps-84	169	54	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	169	55	198,656	198,656	NUM
aps-84	169	56	]	]	X
aps-84	169	57	=	=	SYM
aps-84	169	58	22,049.4	22,049.4	NOUN
aps-84	169	59	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	169	60	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	169	61	from	from	ADP
aps-84	169	62	each	each	DET
aps-84	169	63	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	169	64	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	169	65	of	of	ADP
aps-84	169	66	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	169	67	are	be	AUX
aps-84	169	68	summed	sum	VERB
aps-84	169	69	to	to	PART
aps-84	169	70	obtain	obtain	VERB
aps-84	169	71	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	169	72	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	169	73	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	169	74	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	169	75	they	they	PRON
aps-84	169	76	are	be	AUX
aps-84	169	77	then	then	ADV
aps-84	169	78	divided	divide	VERB
aps-84	169	79	into	into	ADP
aps-84	169	80	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	169	81	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	169	82	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	169	83	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	169	84	using	use	VERB
aps-84	169	85	the	the	DET
aps-84	169	86	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	169	87	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	169	88	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	169	89	at	at	ADP
aps-84	169	90	birth	birth	NOUN
aps-84	169	91	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	170	1	𝐵𝑓	𝐵𝑓	PROPN
aps-84	170	2	=	=	SYM
aps-84	170	3	𝐵	𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	4	100	100	NUM
aps-84	170	5	100	100	NUM
aps-84	170	6	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	170	7	𝑆𝑅𝐵	𝑆𝑅𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	8	𝐵𝑚	𝐵𝑚	PROPN
aps-84	170	9	=	=	SYM
aps-84	170	10	𝐵	𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	11	𝑆𝑅𝐵	𝑆𝑅𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	12	100	100	NUM
aps-84	170	13	+	+	NUM
aps-84	170	14	𝑆𝑅𝐵	𝑆𝑅𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	15	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	170	16	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	170	17	𝑆𝑅𝐵	𝑆𝑅𝐵	PROPN
aps-84	170	18	=	=	SYM
aps-84	170	19	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	170	20	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	170	21	at	at	ADP
aps-84	170	22	birth	birth	NOUN
aps-84	170	23	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	170	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	170	25	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	170	26	of	of	ADP
aps-84	170	27	males	male	NOUN
aps-84	170	28	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	170	29	for	for	ADP
aps-84	170	30	every	every	DET
aps-84	170	31	100	100	NUM
aps-84	170	32	females	female	NOUN
aps-84	170	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	171	1	typically	typically	ADV
aps-84	171	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	171	3	this	this	PRON
aps-84	171	4	lies	lie	VERB
aps-84	171	5	between	between	ADP
aps-84	171	6	103	103	NUM
aps-84	171	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	171	8	107	107	NUM
aps-84	171	9	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	171	10	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	171	11	per	per	ADP
aps-84	171	12	100	100	NUM
aps-84	171	13	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	171	14	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	171	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	171	16	with	with	ADP
aps-84	171	17	a	a	DET
aps-84	171	18	mean	mean	NOUN
aps-84	171	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	171	20	about	about	ADV
aps-84	171	21	105	105	NUM
aps-84	171	22	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	171	23	ritchie	ritchie	PROPN
aps-84	171	24	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	171	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	171	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	172	1	4	4	NUM
aps-84	172	2	in	in	ADP
aps-84	172	3	reality	reality	NOUN
aps-84	172	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	172	5	there	there	PRON
aps-84	172	6	can	can	AUX
aps-84	172	7	not	not	PART
aps-84	172	8	be	be	AUX
aps-84	172	9	fractional	fractional	ADJ
aps-84	172	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	172	11	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	172	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	172	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	172	14	course	course	NOUN
aps-84	172	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	173	1	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	173	2	during	during	ADP
aps-84	173	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	173	4	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	173	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	173	6	fractions	fraction	NOUN
aps-84	173	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	173	8	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	173	9	retained	retain	VERB
aps-84	173	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	173	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	173	12	rounding	round	VERB
aps-84	173	13	applied	apply	VERB
aps-84	173	14	to	to	ADP
aps-84	173	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	173	16	final	final	ADJ
aps-84	173	17	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	173	18	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	173	19	at	at	ADP
aps-84	173	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	173	21	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	173	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	173	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	173	24	calculation	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	173	25	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	173	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	174	1	5	5	NUM
aps-84	174	2	it	it	PRON
aps-84	174	3	would	would	AUX
aps-84	174	4	be	be	AUX
aps-84	174	5	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	174	6	to	to	PART
aps-84	174	7	project	project	VERB
aps-84	174	8	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	174	9	using	use	VERB
aps-84	174	10	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	174	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	174	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	174	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	174	14	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	174	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	174	16	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	174	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	174	18	at	at	ADP
aps-84	174	19	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	174	20	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	174	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	174	22	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	174	23	it	it	PRON
aps-84	174	24	is	be	AUX
aps-84	174	25	n’t	not	PART
aps-84	174	26	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	174	27	for	for	ADP
aps-84	174	28	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	174	29	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	174	30	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	174	31	of	of	ADP
aps-84	174	32	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	174	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	175	1	88	88	NUM
aps-84	175	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	175	3	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	175	4	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	175	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	175	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	175	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	175	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	175	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	175	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	175	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	175	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	175	13	as	as	ADP
aps-84	175	14	an	an	DET
aps-84	175	15	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	175	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	175	17	assume	assume	VERB
aps-84	175	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	175	19	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	175	20	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	175	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	175	22	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	175	23	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	175	24	is	be	AUX
aps-84	175	25	304,365	304,365	NUM
aps-84	175	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	175	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	175	28	srb	srb	NOUN
aps-84	175	29	is	be	AUX
aps-84	175	30	105.7	105.7	NUM
aps-84	175	31	males	male	NOUN
aps-84	175	32	per	per	ADP
aps-84	175	33	100	100	NUM
aps-84	175	34	females	female	NOUN
aps-84	175	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	176	1	then	then	ADV
aps-84	176	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	176	3	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	176	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	176	5	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	176	6	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	176	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	176	8	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	176	9	=	=	SYM
aps-84	177	1	304,365	304,365	NUM
aps-84	177	2	100	100	NUM
aps-84	177	3	100	100	NUM
aps-84	177	4	+	+	NUM
aps-84	177	5	105.7	105.7	NUM
aps-84	177	6	=	=	SYM
aps-84	177	7	147,965.5	147,965.5	NUM
aps-84	177	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	177	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	177	10	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	177	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	177	12	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	177	13	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	177	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	178	1	=	=	SYM
aps-84	178	2	304,365	304,365	NUM
aps-84	178	3	105.7	105.7	NUM
aps-84	178	4	100	100	NUM
aps-84	178	5	+	+	SYM
aps-84	178	6	105.7	105.7	NUM
aps-84	178	7	=	=	SYM
aps-84	178	8	156,399.5	156,399.5	NUM
aps-84	178	9	4.4	4.4	NUM
aps-84	178	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	179	1	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	179	2	3	3	NUM
aps-84	179	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	179	4	project	project	VERB
aps-84	179	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	6	infant	infant	NOUN
aps-84	179	7	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	179	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	9	third	third	ADJ
aps-84	179	10	stage	stage	NOUN
aps-84	179	11	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	179	12	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	179	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	14	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	179	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	179	16	newly	newly	ADV
aps-84	179	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	179	18	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	179	19	babies	baby	NOUN
aps-84	179	20	forwards	forward	VERB
aps-84	179	21	to	to	PART
aps-84	179	22	obtain	obtain	VERB
aps-84	179	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	24	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	179	25	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	179	26	0	0	NUM
aps-84	179	27	at	at	ADP
aps-84	179	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	29	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	179	30	of	of	ADP
aps-84	179	31	the	the	DET
aps-84	179	32	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	179	33	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	179	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	180	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	180	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	180	3	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	180	4	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	180	5	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	180	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	180	7	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	180	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	180	9	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	180	10	as	as	ADP
aps-84	180	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	180	12	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	180	13	initial	initial	ADJ
aps-84	180	14	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	180	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	180	16	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	180	17	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	PUNCT
aps-84	181	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	181	2	1	1	X
aps-84	181	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	181	4	=	=	SYM
aps-84	182	1	𝐵𝑠	𝐵𝑠	PROPN
aps-84	182	2	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	182	3	𝐷𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐷𝑠,𝑏→0	ADJ
aps-84	182	4	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	182	5	𝐸𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐸𝑠,𝑏→0	ADV
aps-84	182	6	+	+	X
aps-84	182	7	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	ADJ
aps-84	182	8	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	182	9	6	6	NUM
aps-84	182	10	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	183	1	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	183	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	183	3	𝑏	𝑏	PROPN
aps-84	183	4	→	→	SYM
aps-84	183	5	0	0	NUM
aps-84	183	6	=	=	NOUN
aps-84	183	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	183	8	infant	infant	NOUN
aps-84	183	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	183	10	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	183	11	during	during	ADP
aps-84	183	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	183	13	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	183	14	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	183	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	183	16	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	183	17	0	0	NUM
aps-84	183	18	at	at	ADP
aps-84	183	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	183	20	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	183	21	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	183	22	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	183	23	by	by	ADP
aps-84	183	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	183	25	shaded	shaded	ADJ
aps-84	183	26	triangle	triangle	NOUN
aps-84	183	27	at	at	ADP
aps-84	183	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	183	29	bottom	bottom	NOUN
aps-84	183	30	of	of	ADP
aps-84	183	31	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	183	32	2	2	NUM
aps-84	183	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	183	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	184	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	184	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	184	3	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	184	4	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	184	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	184	6	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	184	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	184	8	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	184	9	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	184	10	are	be	AUX
aps-84	184	11	replaced	replace	VERB
aps-84	184	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	184	13	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	184	14	multiplied	multiply	VERB
aps-84	184	15	by	by	ADP
aps-84	184	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	184	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	184	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	184	19	at	at	ADP
aps-84	184	20	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	184	21	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	184	22	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	184	23	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	PUNCT
aps-84	185	1	+	+	X
aps-84	185	2	1	1	X
aps-84	185	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	185	4	=	=	SYM
aps-84	186	1	𝐵𝑠	𝐵𝑠	PROPN
aps-84	186	2	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	186	3	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	186	4	1	1	NUM
aps-84	186	5	2	2	NUM
aps-84	186	6	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	NUM
aps-84	186	7	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	186	8	1	1	X
aps-84	186	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	186	10	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	187	1	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	ADJ
aps-84	187	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	187	3	2	2	NUM
aps-84	187	4	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	NUM
aps-84	187	5	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	187	6	1	1	X
aps-84	187	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	187	8	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	187	9	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	X
aps-84	187	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	187	11	7	7	X
aps-84	187	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	187	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	187	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	187	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	187	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	187	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	187	18	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	187	19	is	be	AUX
aps-84	187	20	approximated	approximate	VERB
aps-84	187	21	as	as	ADP
aps-84	187	22	half	half	DET
aps-84	187	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	187	24	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	187	25	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	187	26	of	of	ADP
aps-84	187	27	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	187	28	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	187	29	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	187	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	188	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	188	2	provides	provide	VERB
aps-84	188	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	188	4	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	188	5	estimate	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	188	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	8	person	person	NOUN
aps-84	188	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	188	10	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	188	11	lived	live	VERB
aps-84	188	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	188	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	14	newly	newly	ADV
aps-84	188	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	188	16	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	188	17	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	188	18	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	188	19	there	there	PRON
aps-84	188	20	is	be	VERB
aps-84	188	21	low	low	ADJ
aps-84	188	22	infant	infant	NOUN
aps-84	188	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	188	24	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	188	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	26	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	188	27	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	188	28	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	29	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	188	30	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	188	31	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	188	32	consists	consist	VERB
aps-84	188	33	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	34	nearly	nearly	ADV
aps-84	188	35	all	all	DET
aps-84	188	36	members	member	NOUN
aps-84	188	37	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	38	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	39	new	new	ADJ
aps-84	188	40	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	188	41	who	who	PRON
aps-84	188	42	were	be	AUX
aps-84	188	43	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	188	44	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	188	45	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	188	46	they	they	PRON
aps-84	188	47	were	be	AUX
aps-84	188	48	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	188	49	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	50	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	51	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	188	52	for	for	ADP
aps-84	188	53	an	an	DET
aps-84	188	54	average	average	NOUN
aps-84	188	55	of	of	ADP
aps-84	188	56	half	half	DET
aps-84	188	57	the	the	DET
aps-84	188	58	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	188	59	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	188	60	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	189	1	with	with	ADP
aps-84	189	2	re	re	VERB
aps-84	189	3	-	-	VERB
aps-84	189	4	arranging	arranging	ADJ
aps-84	189	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	189	6	this	this	DET
aps-84	189	7	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	189	8	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	189	9	can	can	AUX
aps-84	189	10	be	be	AUX
aps-84	189	11	simplified	simplify	VERB
aps-84	189	12	to	to	PART
aps-84	189	13	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	189	14	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	PUNCT
aps-84	189	15	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	189	16	1	1	X
aps-84	189	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	189	18	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	189	19	1	1	NUM
aps-84	189	20	2	2	NUM
aps-84	189	21	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	189	22	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	ADJ
aps-84	189	23	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	189	24	1	1	X
aps-84	189	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	189	26	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	189	27	1	1	NUM
aps-84	189	28	2	2	NUM
aps-84	189	29	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	ADJ
aps-84	189	30	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	ADJ
aps-84	190	1	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	190	2	1	1	X
aps-84	190	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	190	4	=	=	SYM
aps-84	191	1	𝐵𝑠	𝐵𝑠	PROPN
aps-84	191	2	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	191	3	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	PROPN
aps-84	191	4	then	then	ADV
aps-84	191	5	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	191	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	191	7	1	1	NUM
aps-84	191	8	+	+	SYM
aps-84	191	9	1	1	NUM
aps-84	191	10	2	2	NUM
aps-84	191	11	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	191	12	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	191	13	1	1	NUM
aps-84	191	14	2	2	NUM
aps-84	191	15	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0)𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0)𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	VERB
aps-84	191	16	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	191	17	1	1	X
aps-84	191	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	191	19	=	=	SYM
aps-84	192	1	𝐵𝑠	𝐵𝑠	PROPN
aps-84	192	2	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	192	3	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	PROPN
aps-84	192	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	192	5	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	192	6	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,0(𝑡	PUNCT
aps-84	192	7	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	192	8	1	1	X
aps-84	192	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	192	10	=	=	SYM
aps-84	192	11	1	1	NUM
aps-84	192	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	192	13	1	1	NUM
aps-84	192	14	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	192	15	1	1	NUM
aps-84	192	16	2	2	NUM
aps-84	192	17	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	192	18	+	+	ADJ
aps-84	192	19	1	1	NUM
aps-84	192	20	2	2	NUM
aps-84	192	21	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	192	22	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	193	1	𝐵𝑠	𝐵𝑠	PROPN
aps-84	193	2	+	+	NUM
aps-84	193	3	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	𝐼𝑠,𝑏→0	PROPN
aps-84	193	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	193	5	1	1	NUM
aps-84	193	6	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	193	7	1	1	NUM
aps-84	193	8	2	2	NUM
aps-84	193	9	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑑𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	193	10	+	+	ADJ
aps-84	193	11	1	1	NUM
aps-84	193	12	2	2	NUM
aps-84	193	13	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	𝑒𝑠,𝑏→0	NOUN
aps-84	193	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	193	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	193	16	8)	8)	NUM
aps-84	193	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	193	18	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
aps-84	193	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	193	20	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	193	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	193	22	we	we	PRON
aps-84	193	23	take	take	VERB
aps-84	193	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	193	25	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	193	26	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	193	27	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	193	28	during	during	ADP
aps-84	193	29	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	193	30	-	-	SYM
aps-84	193	31	20	20	NUM
aps-84	193	32	which	which	PRON
aps-84	193	33	ends	end	VERB
aps-84	193	34	the	the	DET
aps-84	193	35	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	193	36	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	193	37	in	in	ADP
aps-84	193	38	mid-2020	mid-2020	NOUN
aps-84	193	39	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	193	40	0	0	NUM
aps-84	193	41	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	194	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	194	2	there	there	PRON
aps-84	194	3	are	be	VERB
aps-84	194	4	147,965.5	147,965.5	NUM
aps-84	194	5	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	194	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	194	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	194	8	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	194	9	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	194	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	194	11	0.005207	0.005207	NUM
aps-84	194	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	194	13	an	an	DET
aps-84	194	14	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	194	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	194	16	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	194	17	5	5	NUM
aps-84	194	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	194	19	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	194	21	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	194	22	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	194	23	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	194	24	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	194	25	89	89	NUM
aps-84	194	26	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	194	27	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	194	28	of	of	ADP
aps-84	194	29	0.012508	0.012508	NUM
aps-84	194	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	194	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	194	32	an	an	DET
aps-84	194	33	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	194	34	flow	flow	NOUN
aps-84	194	35	of	of	ADP
aps-84	194	36	1,865.8	1,865.8	NUM
aps-84	194	37	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	194	38	then	then	ADV
aps-84	194	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	194	40	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	194	41	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	194	42	of	of	ADP
aps-84	194	43	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	194	44	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	194	45	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	194	46	aged	aged	ADJ
aps-84	194	47	0	0	NUM
aps-84	194	48	is	be	AUX
aps-84	194	49	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	194	50	=	=	SYM
aps-84	194	51	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	52	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	194	53	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	54	+	+	SYM
aps-84	194	55	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	56	2	2	NUM
aps-84	194	57	0.005207	0.005207	NUM
aps-84	194	58	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	194	59	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	60	2	2	NUM
aps-84	194	61	0.012508	0.012508	NUM
aps-84	194	62	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	194	63	147,965.5	147,965.5	NUM
aps-84	194	64	+	+	SYM
aps-84	194	65	1,865.8	1,865.8	NUM
aps-84	194	66	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	194	67	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	68	+	+	SYM
aps-84	194	69	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	70	2	2	NUM
aps-84	194	71	0.005207	0.005207	NUM
aps-84	194	72	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	194	73	1	1	NUM
aps-84	194	74	2	2	NUM
aps-84	194	75	0.012508	0.012508	NUM
aps-84	194	76	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	194	77	=	=	SYM
aps-84	195	1	148,515.8	148,515.8	NUM
aps-84	195	2	4.5	4.5	NUM
aps-84	195	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	196	1	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	196	2	for	for	ADP
aps-84	196	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	196	4	next	next	ADJ
aps-84	196	5	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	196	6	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	196	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	196	8	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	196	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	196	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	196	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	196	12	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	196	13	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	196	14	then	then	ADV
aps-84	196	15	become	become	VERB
aps-84	196	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	196	17	start	start	VERB
aps-84	196	18	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	196	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	196	20	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	196	21	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	196	22	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	196	23	for	for	ADP
aps-84	196	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	196	25	next	next	ADJ
aps-84	196	26	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	196	27	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	196	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	197	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	197	2	requires	require	VERB
aps-84	197	3	summing	sum	VERB
aps-84	197	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	197	5	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	197	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	197	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	197	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	197	9	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	197	10	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	197	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	197	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	197	13	two	two	NUM
aps-84	197	14	oldest	old	ADJ
aps-84	197	15	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	197	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	198	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	198	2	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	198	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	198	4	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	198	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	198	6	oldest	old	ADJ
aps-84	198	7	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	198	8	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	198	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	198	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	198	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	198	12	output	output	NOUN
aps-84	198	13	is	be	AUX
aps-84	198	14	100	100	NUM
aps-84	198	15	+	+	ADJ
aps-84	198	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	198	17	then	then	ADV
aps-84	198	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	198	19	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	198	20	end	end	VERB
aps-84	198	21	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	198	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	198	23	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	198	24	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	198	25	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	198	26	at	at	ADP
aps-84	198	27	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	198	28	100	100	NUM
aps-84	198	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	198	30	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	198	31	101	101	NUM
aps-84	198	32	+	+	NUM
aps-84	198	33	must	must	AUX
aps-84	198	34	be	be	AUX
aps-84	198	35	summed	sum	VERB
aps-84	198	36	to	to	PART
aps-84	198	37	obtain	obtain	VERB
aps-84	198	38	the	the	DET
aps-84	198	39	100	100	NUM
aps-84	198	40	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	198	41	start	start	VERB
aps-84	198	42	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	198	43	of	of	ADP
aps-84	198	44	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	198	45	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	198	46	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	198	47	for	for	ADP
aps-84	198	48	the	the	DET
aps-84	198	49	next	next	ADJ
aps-84	198	50	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	198	51	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	198	52	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	199	1	𝑃𝑠,100+(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,100+(𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	199	2	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	199	3	1	1	NUM
aps-84	199	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	199	5	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	200	1	𝑃𝑠,100(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,100(𝑡	ADJ
aps-84	200	2	+	+	NUM
aps-84	200	3	1	1	X
aps-84	200	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	200	5	+	+	PROPN
aps-84	200	6	𝑃𝑠,101+(𝑡	𝑃𝑠,101+(𝑡	PROPN
aps-84	200	7	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	200	8	1	1	NUM
aps-84	200	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	200	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	200	11	9	9	X
aps-84	200	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	200	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	200	14	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	200	15	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	200	16	are	be	AUX
aps-84	200	17	then	then	ADV
aps-84	200	18	repeated	repeat	VERB
aps-84	200	19	for	for	ADP
aps-84	200	20	as	as	ADV
aps-84	200	21	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	200	22	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	200	23	ahead	ahead	ADV
aps-84	200	24	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	200	25	required	require	VERB
aps-84	200	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	201	1	box	box	PROPN
aps-84	201	2	2	2	NUM
aps-84	201	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	201	4	why	why	SCONJ
aps-84	201	5	is	be	AUX
aps-84	201	6	it	it	PRON
aps-84	201	7	best	good	ADJ
aps-84	201	8	to	to	PART
aps-84	201	9	avoid	avoid	VERB
aps-84	201	10	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	201	11	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	201	12	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	201	13	as	as	ADP
aps-84	201	14	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	201	15	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	201	16	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	202	1	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	202	2	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	202	3	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	202	4	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	202	5	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	202	6	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	202	7	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	202	8	is	be	AUX
aps-84	202	9	appealing	appeal	VERB
aps-84	202	10	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	202	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	202	12	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	202	13	are	be	AUX
aps-84	202	14	simple	simple	ADJ
aps-84	202	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	202	16	there	there	PRON
aps-84	202	17	are	be	VERB
aps-84	202	18	minimal	minimal	ADJ
aps-84	202	19	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	202	20	requirements	requirement	NOUN
aps-84	202	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	203	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	203	2	fact	fact	NOUN
aps-84	203	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	203	4	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	203	5	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	203	6	can	can	AUX
aps-84	203	7	be	be	AUX
aps-84	203	8	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	203	9	from	from	ADP
aps-84	203	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	203	11	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	203	12	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	203	13	as	as	ADP
aps-84	203	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	203	15	remaining	remain	VERB
aps-84	203	16	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	203	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	203	18	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	203	19	once	once	SCONJ
aps-84	203	20	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	203	21	have	have	AUX
aps-84	203	22	been	be	AUX
aps-84	203	23	taken	take	VERB
aps-84	203	24	into	into	ADP
aps-84	203	25	account	account	NOUN
aps-84	203	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	203	27	so	so	CCONJ
aps-84	203	28	no	no	DET
aps-84	203	29	actual	actual	ADJ
aps-84	203	30	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	203	31	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	203	32	are	be	AUX
aps-84	203	33	needed	need	VERB
aps-84	203	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	204	1	however	however	ADV
aps-84	204	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	204	3	there	there	PRON
aps-84	204	4	are	be	VERB
aps-84	204	5	both	both	PRON
aps-84	204	6	conceptual	conceptual	ADJ
aps-84	204	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	204	8	practical	practical	ADJ
aps-84	204	9	limitations	limitation	NOUN
aps-84	204	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	204	11	modelling	model	VERB
aps-84	204	12	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	204	13	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	204	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	205	1	conceptually	conceptually	ADV
aps-84	205	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	205	3	there	there	PRON
aps-84	205	4	is	be	VERB
aps-84	205	5	no	no	DET
aps-84	205	6	actual	actual	ADJ
aps-84	205	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	205	8	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	205	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	205	10	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	205	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	205	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	205	13	only	only	ADV
aps-84	205	14	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	205	15	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	205	16	into	into	ADP
aps-84	205	17	a	a	DET
aps-84	205	18	country	country	NOUN
aps-84	205	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	205	20	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	205	21	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	205	22	out	out	ADP
aps-84	205	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	206	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	206	2	addition	addition	NOUN
aps-84	206	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	206	4	by	by	ADP
aps-84	206	5	using	use	VERB
aps-84	206	6	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	206	7	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	206	8	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	206	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	206	10	we	we	PRON
aps-84	206	11	remove	remove	VERB
aps-84	206	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	206	13	direct	direct	ADJ
aps-84	206	14	relationship	relationship	NOUN
aps-84	206	15	between	between	ADP
aps-84	206	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	206	17	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	206	18	pattern	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	206	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	206	20	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	206	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	206	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	206	23	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	206	24	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	206	25	structure	structure	NOUN
aps-84	206	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	207	1	by	by	ADP
aps-84	207	2	using	use	VERB
aps-84	207	3	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	207	4	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	207	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	207	6	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	207	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	207	8	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	207	9	as	as	ADP
aps-84	207	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	207	11	function	function	NOUN
aps-84	207	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	207	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	207	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	207	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	207	16	at	at	ADP
aps-84	207	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	207	18	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	207	19	in	in	ADP
aps-84	207	20	each	each	DET
aps-84	207	21	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	207	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	207	23	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	207	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	207	25	so	so	SCONJ
aps-84	207	26	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	207	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	207	28	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	207	29	pattern	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	207	30	of	of	ADP
aps-84	207	31	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	207	32	is	be	AUX
aps-84	207	33	influenced	influence	VERB
aps-84	207	34	by	by	ADP
aps-84	207	35	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	207	36	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	207	37	structure	structure	NOUN
aps-84	207	38	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	208	1	from	from	ADP
aps-84	208	2	a	a	DET
aps-84	208	3	practical	practical	ADJ
aps-84	208	4	perspective	perspective	NOUN
aps-84	208	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	208	6	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	208	7	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	208	8	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	208	9	patterns	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	208	10	are	be	AUX
aps-84	208	11	much	much	ADV
aps-84	208	12	more	more	ADV
aps-84	208	13	variable	variable	ADJ
aps-84	208	14	over	over	ADP
aps-84	208	15	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	208	16	than	than	ADP
aps-84	208	17	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	208	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	208	19	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	208	20	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	208	21	patterns	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	208	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	208	23	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	208	24	are	be	AUX
aps-84	208	25	shaped	shape	VERB
aps-84	208	26	by	by	ADP
aps-84	208	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	208	28	relative	relative	ADJ
aps-84	208	29	amounts	amount	NOUN
aps-84	208	30	of	of	ADP
aps-84	208	31	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	208	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	208	33	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	208	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	209	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	209	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	209	3	therefore	therefore	ADV
aps-84	209	4	difficult	difficult	ADJ
aps-84	209	5	to	to	PART
aps-84	209	6	adjust	adjust	VERB
aps-84	209	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	209	8	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	209	9	profile	profile	NOUN
aps-84	209	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	209	11	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	209	12	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	209	13	over	over	ADP
aps-84	209	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	209	15	course	course	NOUN
aps-84	209	16	of	of	ADP
aps-84	209	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	209	18	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	209	19	horizon	horizon	NOUN
aps-84	209	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	209	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	209	22	response	response	NOUN
aps-84	209	23	to	to	ADP
aps-84	209	24	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	209	25	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	209	26	changes	change	NOUN
aps-84	209	27	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	209	28	global	global	ADJ
aps-84	209	29	pandemics	pandemic	NOUN
aps-84	209	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	209	31	for	for	ADP
aps-84	209	32	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	209	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	209	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	210	1	simply	simply	ADV
aps-84	210	2	scaling	scale	VERB
aps-84	210	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	210	4	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	210	5	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	210	6	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	210	7	profile	profile	NOUN
aps-84	210	8	up	up	ADP
aps-84	210	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	210	10	down	down	ADV
aps-84	210	11	is	be	AUX
aps-84	210	12	unlikely	unlikely	ADJ
aps-84	210	13	to	to	PART
aps-84	210	14	give	give	VERB
aps-84	210	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	210	16	realistic	realistic	ADJ
aps-84	210	17	outcome	outcome	NOUN
aps-84	210	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	211	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	211	2	addition	addition	NOUN
aps-84	211	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	211	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	211	5	some	some	DET
aps-84	211	6	extreme	extreme	ADJ
aps-84	211	7	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
aps-84	211	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	211	9	negative	negative	ADJ
aps-84	211	10	net	net	ADJ
aps-84	211	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	211	12	held	hold	VERB
aps-84	211	13	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	211	14	over	over	ADP
aps-84	211	15	long	long	ADJ
aps-84	211	16	periods	period	NOUN
aps-84	211	17	can	can	AUX
aps-84	211	18	yield	yield	VERB
aps-84	211	19	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	211	20	negative	negative	ADJ
aps-84	211	21	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	211	22	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	211	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	212	1	4.6	4.6	NUM
aps-84	212	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	212	3	strengths	strength	NOUN
aps-84	212	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	212	5	weaknesses	weakness	NOUN
aps-84	212	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	212	7	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	212	8	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	212	9	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	212	10	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	212	11	is	be	AUX
aps-84	212	12	widely	widely	ADV
aps-84	212	13	seen	see	VERB
aps-84	212	14	as	as	ADP
aps-84	212	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	212	16	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	212	17	gold	gold	ADJ
aps-84	212	18	standard	standard	NOUN
aps-84	212	19	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	212	20	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	212	21	of	of	ADP
aps-84	212	22	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	212	23	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	212	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	212	25	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	212	26	it	it	PRON
aps-84	212	27	possesses	possess	VERB
aps-84	212	28	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	212	29	excellent	excellent	ADJ
aps-84	212	30	features	feature	NOUN
aps-84	212	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	213	1	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	213	2	it	it	PRON
aps-84	213	3	also	also	ADV
aps-84	213	4	has	have	VERB
aps-84	213	5	some	some	DET
aps-84	213	6	weaknesses	weakness	NOUN
aps-84	213	7	which	which	PRON
aps-84	213	8	are	be	AUX
aps-84	213	9	worth	worth	ADJ
aps-84	213	10	keeping	keep	VERB
aps-84	213	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	213	12	mind	mind	NOUN
aps-84	213	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	214	1	some	some	PRON
aps-84	214	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	214	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	214	4	strengths	strength	NOUN
aps-84	214	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	214	6	weaknesses	weakness	NOUN
aps-84	214	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	214	8	listed	list	VERB
aps-84	214	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	214	10	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	214	11	1	1	NUM
aps-84	214	12	below	below	ADV
aps-84	214	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	214	14	see	see	VERB
aps-84	214	15	also	also	ADV
aps-84	214	16	burch	burch	PROPN
aps-84	214	17	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	214	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	214	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	215	1	90	90	NUM
aps-84	215	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	215	3	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	215	4	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	215	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	215	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	215	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	215	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	215	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	215	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	215	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	215	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	215	13	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	215	14	1	1	NUM
aps-84	215	15	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	215	16	some	some	PRON
aps-84	215	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	215	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	215	19	strengths	strength	NOUN
aps-84	215	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	215	21	weaknesses	weakness	NOUN
aps-84	215	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	215	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	215	24	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	215	25	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	215	26	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	215	27	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	215	28	strengths	strength	NOUN
aps-84	215	29	weaknesses	weaknesse	VERB
aps-84	215	30	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	215	31	representation	representation	NOUN
aps-84	215	32	of	of	ADP
aps-84	215	33	actual	actual	ADJ
aps-84	215	34	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	215	35	processes	process	NOUN
aps-84	215	36	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	216	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	216	2	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	216	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	4	effects	effect	NOUN
aps-84	216	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	216	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	216	7	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	216	8	structure	structure	NOUN
aps-84	216	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	10	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	216	11	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	216	12	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	216	13	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	216	14	assumes	assume	VERB
aps-84	216	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	216	16	homogenous	homogenous	ADJ
aps-84	216	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	216	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	19	with	with	SCONJ
aps-84	216	20	no	no	DET
aps-84	216	21	allowance	allowance	NOUN
aps-84	216	22	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	24	changing	change	VERB
aps-84	216	25	internal	internal	ADJ
aps-84	216	26	composition	composition	NOUN
aps-84	216	27	can	can	AUX
aps-84	216	28	be	be	AUX
aps-84	216	29	accurate	accurate	ADJ
aps-84	216	30	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	216	31	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	216	32	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	216	33	about	about	ADP
aps-84	216	34	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	216	35	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	36	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	216	37	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	38	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	216	39	are	be	AUX
aps-84	216	40	chosen	choose	VERB
aps-84	216	41	can	can	AUX
aps-84	216	42	be	be	AUX
aps-84	216	43	highly	highly	ADV
aps-84	216	44	inaccurate	inaccurate	ADJ
aps-84	216	45	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	216	46	poor	poor	ADJ
aps-84	216	47	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	216	48	about	about	ADP
aps-84	216	49	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	216	50	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	51	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	216	52	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	53	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	216	54	are	be	AUX
aps-84	216	55	chosen	choose	VERB
aps-84	216	56	provides	provide	VERB
aps-84	216	57	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	216	58	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	216	59	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
aps-84	216	60	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	216	61	which	which	PRON
aps-84	216	62	are	be	AUX
aps-84	216	63	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	216	64	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	65	a	a	DET
aps-84	216	66	wide	wide	ADJ
aps-84	216	67	variety	variety	NOUN
aps-84	216	68	of	of	ADP
aps-84	216	69	planning	planning	NOUN
aps-84	216	70	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	71	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	216	72	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	73	budgeting	budgeting	NOUN
aps-84	216	74	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	75	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	76	service	service	NOUN
aps-84	216	77	delivery	delivery	NOUN
aps-84	216	78	purposes	purpose	NOUN
aps-84	216	79	requires	require	VERB
aps-84	216	80	a	a	DET
aps-84	216	81	non	non	ADJ
aps-84	216	82	-	-	ADJ
aps-84	216	83	trivial	trivial	ADJ
aps-84	216	84	amount	amount	NOUN
aps-84	216	85	of	of	ADP
aps-84	216	86	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	216	87	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	216	88	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	216	89	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	90	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	216	91	about	about	ADP
aps-84	216	92	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	216	93	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	216	94	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	95	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	216	96	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	97	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	216	98	are	be	AUX
aps-84	216	99	not	not	PART
aps-84	216	100	intrinsic	intrinsic	ADJ
aps-84	216	101	to	to	ADP
aps-84	216	102	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	103	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	216	104	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	105	have	have	VERB
aps-84	216	106	to	to	PART
aps-84	216	107	be	be	AUX
aps-84	216	108	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	216	109	separately	separately	ADV
aps-84	216	110	provides	provide	VERB
aps-84	216	111	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	112	starting	starting	NOUN
aps-84	216	113	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	216	114	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	115	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	216	116	derived	derive	VERB
aps-84	216	117	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	216	118	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	216	119	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	216	120	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	121	labour	labour	ADJ
aps-84	216	122	force	force	NOUN
aps-84	216	123	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	216	124	living	living	NOUN
aps-84	216	125	arrangement	arrangement	NOUN
aps-84	216	126	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	216	127	school	school	NOUN
aps-84	216	128	enrolments	enrolment	NOUN
aps-84	216	129	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	216	130	lack	lack	NOUN
aps-84	216	131	of	of	ADP
aps-84	216	132	in	in	ADP
aps-84	216	133	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	216	134	built	build	VERB
aps-84	216	135	mechanism	mechanism	NOUN
aps-84	216	136	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	137	ensuring	ensure	VERB
aps-84	216	138	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	216	139	between	between	ADP
aps-84	216	140	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	216	141	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	142	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	216	143	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	216	144	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	216	145	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	146	understanding	understand	VERB
aps-84	216	147	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	216	148	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	216	149	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	216	150	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	216	151	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	152	by	by	ADP
aps-84	216	153	creating	create	VERB
aps-84	216	154	alternative	alternative	ADJ
aps-84	216	155	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	216	156	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
aps-84	216	157	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	216	158	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	216	159	applying	apply	VERB
aps-84	216	160	to	to	ADP
aps-84	216	161	past	past	ADJ
aps-84	216	162	periods	period	NOUN
aps-84	216	163	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	216	164	immigrants	immigrant	NOUN
aps-84	216	165	to	to	ADP
aps-84	216	166	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	167	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	216	168	are	be	AUX
aps-84	216	169	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	216	170	to	to	PART
aps-84	216	171	take	take	VERB
aps-84	216	172	on	on	ADP
aps-84	216	173	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	174	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	216	175	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	216	176	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	216	177	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	216	178	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	216	179	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	216	180	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	216	181	for	for	ADP
aps-84	216	182	the	the	DET
aps-84	216	183	whole	whole	ADJ
aps-84	216	184	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	216	185	simple	simple	ADJ
aps-84	216	186	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
aps-84	216	187	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	217	1	basic	basic	ADJ
aps-84	217	2	versions	version	NOUN
aps-84	217	3	can	can	AUX
aps-84	217	4	be	be	AUX
aps-84	217	5	implemented	implement	VERB
aps-84	217	6	in	in	ADP
aps-84	217	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	217	8	spreadsheet	spreadsheet	NOUN
aps-84	217	9	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	217	10	are	be	AUX
aps-84	217	11	produced	produce	VERB
aps-84	217	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	217	13	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	217	14	only	only	ADV
aps-84	217	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	217	16	rather	rather	ADV
aps-84	217	17	than	than	ADP
aps-84	217	18	men	man	NOUN
aps-84	217	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	217	20	women	woman	NOUN
aps-84	217	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	218	1	4.6	4.6	NUM
aps-84	218	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	219	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	219	2	excel	excel	PROPN
aps-84	219	3	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	219	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	219	5	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	219	6	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	219	7	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	219	8	this	this	DET
aps-84	219	9	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	219	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	219	11	national	national	PROPN
aps-84	219	12	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	219	13	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	219	14	example.xlsx	example.xlsx	PROPN
aps-84	219	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	219	16	contains	contain	VERB
aps-84	219	17	an	an	DET
aps-84	219	18	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	219	19	set	set	VERB
aps-84	219	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	219	21	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	219	22	for	for	ADP
aps-84	219	23	australia	australia	NOUN
aps-84	219	24	using	use	VERB
aps-84	219	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	219	26	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	219	27	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	219	28	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	219	29	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	219	30	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	219	31	presented	present	VERB
aps-84	219	32	above	above	ADV
aps-84	219	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	220	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	220	2	includes	include	VERB
aps-84	220	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	220	4	following	follow	VERB
aps-84	220	5	worksheets	worksheet	NOUN
aps-84	220	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	221	1	notes	note	NOUN
aps-84	221	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	221	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	221	4	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	221	5	introduction	introduction	NOUN
aps-84	221	6	to	to	ADP
aps-84	221	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	221	8	layout	layout	NOUN
aps-84	221	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	221	10	workings	working	NOUN
aps-84	221	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	221	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	221	13	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	221	14	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	221	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	222	1	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
aps-84	222	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	222	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	222	4	jump	jump	VERB
aps-84	222	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	222	6	off	off	ADP
aps-84	222	7	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	222	8	should	should	AUX
aps-84	222	9	be	be	AUX
aps-84	222	10	supplied	supply	VERB
aps-84	222	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	222	12	this	this	DET
aps-84	222	13	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	222	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	223	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	223	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	223	3	this	this	PRON
aps-84	223	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	223	5	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	223	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	223	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	223	8	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	223	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	223	10	placed	place	VERB
aps-84	223	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	224	1	to	to	PART
aps-84	224	2	aid	aid	VERB
aps-84	224	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	224	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	224	5	setting	setting	NOUN
aps-84	224	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	224	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	224	8	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	224	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	224	10	provided	provide	VERB
aps-84	224	11	separately	separately	ADV
aps-84	224	12	for	for	ADP
aps-84	224	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	224	14	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	224	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	224	16	tfr	tfr	NOUN
aps-84	224	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	224	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	224	19	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	224	20	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	224	21	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	224	22	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	224	23	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	224	24	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	224	25	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	224	26	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	224	27	of	of	ADP
aps-84	224	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	224	29	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	225	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	225	2	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	225	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	225	4	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	225	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	225	6	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	225	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	225	8	scaled	scale	VERB
aps-84	225	9	to	to	PART
aps-84	225	10	match	match	VERB
aps-84	225	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	225	12	tfr	tfr	NOUN
aps-84	225	13	further	far	ADV
aps-84	225	14	down	down	ADP
aps-84	225	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	225	16	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	225	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	226	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	226	2	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	226	3	allows	allow	VERB
aps-84	226	4	you	you	PRON
aps-84	226	5	to	to	PART
aps-84	226	6	make	make	VERB
aps-84	226	7	slight	slight	ADJ
aps-84	226	8	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
aps-84	226	9	to	to	ADP
aps-84	226	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	226	11	tfr	tfr	PROPN
aps-84	226	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	226	13	without	without	ADP
aps-84	226	14	having	have	VERB
aps-84	226	15	to	to	PART
aps-84	226	16	recalculate	recalculate	VERB
aps-84	226	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	226	18	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	226	19	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	226	20	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	226	21	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	226	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	227	1	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	227	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	227	3	this	this	PRON
aps-84	227	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	227	5	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	227	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	227	7	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	227	8	1lx	1lx	ADJ
aps-84	227	9	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	227	10	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	227	11	values	value	NOUN
aps-84	227	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	227	13	used	use	VERB
aps-84	227	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	227	15	calculate	calculate	VERB
aps-84	227	16	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	227	17	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	227	18	by	by	ADP
aps-84	227	19	periodcohort	periodcohort	NOUN
aps-84	227	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	227	21	are	be	AUX
aps-84	227	22	placed	place	VERB
aps-84	227	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	228	1	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	228	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	228	3	like	like	ADP
aps-84	228	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	228	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	228	6	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	228	7	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	228	8	are	be	AUX
aps-84	228	9	split	split	VERB
aps-84	228	10	into	into	ADP
aps-84	228	11	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	228	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	228	13	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	228	14	profile	profile	NOUN
aps-84	228	15	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	228	16	to	to	PART
aps-84	228	17	aid	aid	VERB
aps-84	228	18	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	228	19	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	228	20	setting	setting	NOUN
aps-84	228	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	229	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	229	2	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	229	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	229	4	both	both	CCONJ
aps-84	229	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	229	6	annual	annual	ADJ
aps-84	229	7	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	229	8	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	229	9	intake	intake	NOUN
aps-84	229	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	229	11	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	229	12	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	229	13	by	by	ADP
aps-84	229	14	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	229	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	229	16	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	229	17	are	be	AUX
aps-84	229	18	required	require	VERB
aps-84	229	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	230	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	230	2	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	230	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	230	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	230	5	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	230	6	gross	gross	ADJ
aps-84	230	7	migraproduction	migraproduction	NOUN
aps-84	230	8	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	230	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	230	10	gmr	gmr	PROPN
aps-84	230	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	230	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	230	13	rogers	roger	NOUN
aps-84	230	14	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	230	15	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	230	16	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	230	17	1978	1978	NUM
aps-84	230	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	230	19	for	for	ADP
aps-84	230	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	230	21	overall	overall	ADJ
aps-84	230	22	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	230	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	230	24	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	230	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	230	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	230	27	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	230	28	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	230	29	by	by	ADP
aps-84	230	30	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	230	31	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	230	32	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	230	33	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	230	34	are	be	AUX
aps-84	230	35	needed	need	VERB
aps-84	230	36	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	231	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	231	2	gmr	gmr	PROPN
aps-84	231	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	231	4	simply	simply	ADV
aps-84	231	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	231	6	sum	sum	NOUN
aps-84	231	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	231	8	all	all	DET
aps-84	231	9	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	231	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	231	11	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	231	12	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	231	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	231	14	much	much	ADV
aps-84	231	15	like	like	ADP
aps-84	231	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	231	17	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	231	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	231	19	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	231	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	232	1	further	far	ADV
aps-84	232	2	down	down	ADP
aps-84	232	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	232	4	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	232	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	232	6	supplied	supply	VERB
aps-84	232	7	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	232	8	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	232	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	232	10	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	232	11	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	232	12	are	be	AUX
aps-84	232	13	scaled	scale	VERB
aps-84	232	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	232	15	sum	sum	VERB
aps-84	232	16	to	to	ADP
aps-84	232	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	232	18	respectively	respectively	ADV
aps-84	232	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	232	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	232	21	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	232	22	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	232	23	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	232	24	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	232	25	gmr	gmr	PROPN
aps-84	232	26	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	232	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	233	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	233	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	233	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	233	4	5	5	NUM
aps-84	233	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	233	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	233	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	233	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	233	9	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	233	10	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	233	11	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	233	12	91	91	NUM
aps-84	233	13	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	233	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	233	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	233	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	233	17	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	233	18	are	be	AUX
aps-84	233	19	carried	carry	VERB
aps-84	233	20	out	out	ADP
aps-84	233	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	233	22	this	this	DET
aps-84	233	23	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	233	24	using	use	VERB
aps-84	233	25	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	233	26	4	4	NUM
aps-84	233	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	233	28	5	5	NUM
aps-84	233	29	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	233	30	8	8	NUM
aps-84	233	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	234	1	scroll	scroll	NOUN
aps-84	234	2	down	down	ADP
aps-84	234	3	to	to	PART
aps-84	234	4	find	find	VERB
aps-84	234	5	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	234	6	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	234	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	234	8	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	234	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	234	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	234	11	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	234	12	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	234	13	by	by	ADP
aps-84	234	14	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	234	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	234	16	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	234	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	234	18	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	234	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	235	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	235	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	235	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	235	4	final	final	ADJ
aps-84	235	5	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	235	6	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	235	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	235	8	set	set	VERB
aps-84	235	9	out	out	ADP
aps-84	235	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	235	11	this	this	DET
aps-84	235	12	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	235	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	236	1	accountssummary	accountssummary	PROPN
aps-84	236	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	237	1	summary	summary	NOUN
aps-84	237	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	237	3	accounts	account	VERB
aps-84	237	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	237	5	each	each	DET
aps-84	237	6	single	single	ADJ
aps-84	237	7	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	237	8	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	237	9	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	237	10	are	be	AUX
aps-84	237	11	provided	provide	VERB
aps-84	237	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	237	13	this	this	DET
aps-84	237	14	sheet	sheet	NOUN
aps-84	237	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	237	16	start	start	VERB
aps-84	237	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	237	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	237	19	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	237	20	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	237	21	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	237	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	237	23	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	237	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	237	25	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	237	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	237	27	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	237	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	237	29	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	237	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	237	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	237	32	end	end	NOUN
aps-84	237	33	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	237	34	of	of	ADP
aps-84	237	35	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	237	36	interval	interval	NOUN
aps-84	237	37	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	237	38	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	237	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	238	1	5	5	X
aps-84	238	2	.	.	X
aps-84	238	3	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	238	4	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	238	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	238	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	238	7	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	238	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	238	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	238	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	238	11	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	238	12	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	238	13	requires	require	VERB
aps-84	238	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	238	15	following	follow	VERB
aps-84	238	16	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	238	17	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	238	18	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	238	19	•	•	NUM
aps-84	238	20	jump	jump	VERB
aps-84	238	21	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	238	22	off	off	ADP
aps-84	238	23	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	238	24	by	by	ADP
aps-84	238	25	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	238	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	238	27	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	238	28	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	238	29	•	•	ADP
aps-84	238	30	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	238	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	238	32	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	238	33	by	by	ADP
aps-84	238	34	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	238	35	of	of	ADP
aps-84	238	36	mother	mother	NOUN
aps-84	238	37	•	•	ADP
aps-84	238	38	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	238	39	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	238	40	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	238	41	by	by	ADP
aps-84	238	42	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	238	43	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	238	44	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	238	45	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	238	46	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	238	47	•	•	NOUN
aps-84	238	48	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	238	49	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	238	50	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	238	51	by	by	ADP
aps-84	238	52	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	238	53	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	238	54	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	238	55	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	238	56	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	238	57	•	•	NUM
aps-84	238	58	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	238	59	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	238	60	numbers	number	NOUN
aps-84	238	61	by	by	ADP
aps-84	238	62	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	238	63	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	238	64	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	238	65	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	238	66	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	238	67	5.1	5.1	NUM
aps-84	238	68	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	239	1	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	239	2	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	239	3	off	off	ADP
aps-84	239	4	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	239	5	jump	jump	VERB
aps-84	239	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	239	7	off	off	ADP
aps-84	239	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	239	9	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	239	10	by	by	ADP
aps-84	239	11	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	239	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	239	13	single	single	ADJ
aps-84	239	14	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	239	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	239	16	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	239	17	are	be	AUX
aps-84	239	18	needed	need	VERB
aps-84	239	19	to	to	PART
aps-84	239	20	provide	provide	VERB
aps-84	239	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	239	22	starting	starting	NOUN
aps-84	239	23	point	point	NOUN
aps-84	239	24	of	of	ADP
aps-84	239	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	239	26	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	239	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	240	1	ideally	ideally	ADV
aps-84	240	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	240	3	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	240	4	disaggregation	disaggregation	NOUN
aps-84	240	5	would	would	AUX
aps-84	240	6	extend	extend	VERB
aps-84	240	7	up	up	ADP
aps-84	240	8	to	to	ADP
aps-84	240	9	an	an	DET
aps-84	240	10	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	240	11	high	high	ADV
aps-84	240	12	enough	enough	ADV
aps-84	240	13	so	so	SCONJ
aps-84	240	14	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	240	15	there	there	PRON
aps-84	240	16	are	be	VERB
aps-84	240	17	relatively	relatively	ADV
aps-84	240	18	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	240	19	people	people	NOUN
aps-84	240	20	in	in	ADP
aps-84	240	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	240	22	highest	high	ADJ
aps-84	240	23	open	open	ADJ
aps-84	240	24	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	240	25	ended	end	VERB
aps-84	240	26	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	240	27	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	240	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	241	1	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	241	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	241	3	jump	jump	NOUN
aps-84	241	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	241	5	off	off	ADP
aps-84	241	6	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	241	7	would	would	AUX
aps-84	241	8	be	be	AUX
aps-84	241	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	241	10	most	most	ADV
aps-84	241	11	recently	recently	ADV
aps-84	241	12	published	publish	VERB
aps-84	241	13	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	241	14	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	241	15	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	241	16	from	from	ADP
aps-84	241	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	241	18	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	241	19	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	241	20	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	241	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	242	1	5.2	5.2	NUM
aps-84	242	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	242	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	242	4	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	242	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	242	6	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	242	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	242	8	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	242	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	242	10	required	require	VERB
aps-84	242	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	242	12	each	each	DET
aps-84	242	13	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	242	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	242	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	242	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	242	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
aps-84	242	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	243	1	sometimes	sometimes	ADV
aps-84	243	2	agespecific	agespecific	ADJ
aps-84	243	3	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	243	4	are	be	AUX
aps-84	243	5	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	243	6	separately	separately	ADV
aps-84	243	7	from	from	ADP
aps-84	243	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	243	9	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	243	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	243	11	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	243	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	243	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	243	14	then	then	ADV
aps-84	243	15	adjusted	adjust	VERB
aps-84	243	16	to	to	PART
aps-84	243	17	be	be	AUX
aps-84	243	18	consistent	consistent	ADJ
aps-84	243	19	with	with	ADP
aps-84	243	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	243	21	tfr	tfr	PROPN
aps-84	243	22	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	243	23	necessary	necessary	ADJ
aps-84	243	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	244	1	three	three	NUM
aps-84	244	2	broad	broad	ADJ
aps-84	244	3	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	244	4	are	be	AUX
aps-84	244	5	suggested	suggest	VERB
aps-84	244	6	here	here	ADV
aps-84	244	7	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	244	8	1	1	X
aps-84	244	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	244	10	assume	assume	VERB
aps-84	244	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	244	12	average	average	ADJ
aps-84	244	13	tfr	tfr	PROPN
aps-84	244	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	244	15	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	244	16	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	244	17	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	244	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	244	19	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	244	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	244	21	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	244	22	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	244	23	remain	remain	VERB
aps-84	244	24	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	244	25	into	into	ADP
aps-84	244	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	244	27	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	244	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	245	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	245	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	245	3	has	have	AUX
aps-84	245	4	remained	remain	VERB
aps-84	245	5	approximately	approximately	ADV
aps-84	245	6	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	245	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	245	8	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	245	9	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	245	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	245	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	245	12	there	there	PRON
aps-84	245	13	are	be	VERB
aps-84	245	14	no	no	DET
aps-84	245	15	obvious	obvious	ADJ
aps-84	245	16	reasons	reason	NOUN
aps-84	245	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	245	18	assuming	assume	VERB
aps-84	245	19	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	245	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	245	21	this	this	PRON
aps-84	245	22	could	could	AUX
aps-84	245	23	be	be	AUX
aps-84	245	24	a	a	DET
aps-84	245	25	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	245	26	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	245	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	246	1	2	2	X
aps-84	246	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	246	3	use	use	VERB
aps-84	246	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	246	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	246	6	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	246	7	by	by	ADP
aps-84	246	8	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	246	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	246	10	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	246	11	as	as	ADP
aps-84	246	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	246	13	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	246	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	246	15	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	246	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	246	17	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	246	18	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	246	19	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	246	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	246	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	246	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	246	23	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	246	24	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	246	25	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	246	26	division	division	NOUN
aps-84	246	27	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	246	28	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	246	29	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	246	30	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	246	31	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	246	32	researchers	researcher	NOUN
aps-84	246	33	who	who	PRON
aps-84	246	34	have	have	VERB
aps-84	246	35	prepared	prepared	ADJ
aps-84	246	36	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	246	37	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	246	38	make	make	VERB
aps-84	246	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	246	40	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	246	41	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	246	42	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	246	43	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	246	44	mcdonald	mcdonald	NOUN
aps-84	246	45	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	246	46	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	246	47	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	247	1	3	3	X
aps-84	247	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	247	3	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	247	4	your	your	PRON
aps-84	247	5	own	own	ADJ
aps-84	247	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	247	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	248	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	248	2	option	option	NOUN
aps-84	248	3	does	do	AUX
aps-84	248	4	come	come	VERB
aps-84	248	5	with	with	ADP
aps-84	248	6	some	some	DET
aps-84	248	7	challenges	challenge	NOUN
aps-84	248	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	248	9	however	however	ADV
aps-84	248	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	249	1	there	there	PRON
aps-84	249	2	is	be	VERB
aps-84	249	3	no	no	DET
aps-84	249	4	single	single	ADJ
aps-84	249	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	249	6	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	249	7	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	249	8	widely	widely	ADV
aps-84	249	9	regarded	regard	VERB
aps-84	249	10	as	as	ADP
aps-84	249	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	249	12	best	good	ADJ
aps-84	249	13	option	option	NOUN
aps-84	249	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	250	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	250	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	250	3	despite	despite	SCONJ
aps-84	250	4	considerable	considerable	ADJ
aps-84	250	5	amounts	amount	NOUN
aps-84	250	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	250	7	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	250	8	over	over	ADP
aps-84	250	9	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	250	10	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	250	11	to	to	PART
aps-84	250	12	understand	understand	VERB
aps-84	250	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	250	14	better	well	ADV
aps-84	250	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	250	16	it	it	PRON
aps-84	250	17	remains	remain	VERB
aps-84	250	18	notoriously	notoriously	ADV
aps-84	250	19	hard	hard	ADJ
aps-84	250	20	to	to	PART
aps-84	250	21	predict	predict	VERB
aps-84	250	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	251	1	some	some	DET
aps-84	251	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	251	3	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	251	4	are	be	AUX
aps-84	251	5	produced	produce	VERB
aps-84	251	6	from	from	ADP
aps-84	251	7	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
aps-84	251	8	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	251	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	251	10	some	some	PRON
aps-84	251	11	from	from	ADP
aps-84	251	12	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
aps-84	251	13	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	251	14	linked	link	VERB
aps-84	251	15	to	to	ADP
aps-84	251	16	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	251	17	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	251	18	as	as	ADP
aps-84	251	19	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
aps-84	251	20	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	251	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	251	22	some	some	DET
aps-84	251	23	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	251	24	are	be	AUX
aps-84	251	25	created	create	VERB
aps-84	251	26	by	by	ADP
aps-84	251	27	trending	trend	VERB
aps-84	251	28	from	from	ADP
aps-84	251	29	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	251	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	251	31	to	to	ADP
aps-84	251	32	a	a	DET
aps-84	251	33	long	long	ADV
aps-84	251	34	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	251	35	run	run	NOUN
aps-84	251	36	target	target	NOUN
aps-84	251	37	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	251	38	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	251	39	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	251	40	are	be	AUX
aps-84	251	41	based	base	VERB
aps-84	251	42	on	on	ADP
aps-84	251	43	expert	expert	NOUN
aps-84	251	44	opinions	opinion	NOUN
aps-84	251	45	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	252	1	an	an	DET
aps-84	252	2	overview	overview	NOUN
aps-84	252	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	252	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	252	5	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	252	6	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	252	7	used	use	VERB
aps-84	252	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	252	9	practice	practice	NOUN
aps-84	252	10	can	can	AUX
aps-84	252	11	be	be	AUX
aps-84	252	12	found	find	VERB
aps-84	252	13	in	in	ADP
aps-84	252	14	gleditsch	gleditsch	NOUN
aps-84	252	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	252	16	syse	syse	NOUN
aps-84	252	17	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	252	18	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	252	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	252	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	252	21	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	252	22	reviews	review	VERB
aps-84	252	23	92	92	NUM
aps-84	252	24	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	252	25	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	252	26	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	252	27	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	252	28	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	252	29	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	252	30	5	5	NUM
aps-84	252	31	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	252	32	1	1	NUM
aps-84	252	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	252	34	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	252	35	of	of	ADP
aps-84	252	36	the	the	DET
aps-84	252	37	academic	academic	ADJ
aps-84	252	38	literature	literature	NOUN
aps-84	252	39	are	be	AUX
aps-84	252	40	included	include	VERB
aps-84	252	41	in	in	ADP
aps-84	252	42	booth	booth	NOUN
aps-84	252	43	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	252	44	2006	2006	NUM
aps-84	252	45	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	252	46	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	252	47	shang	shang	PROPN
aps-84	252	48	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	252	49	booth	booth	PROPN
aps-84	252	50	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	252	51	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	252	52	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	252	53	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	252	54	hilton	hilton	PROPN
aps-84	252	55	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	252	56	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	252	57	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	253	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	253	2	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	253	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	253	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	253	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	253	6	bohk	bohk	PROPN
aps-84	253	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	253	8	ewald	ewald	PROPN
aps-84	253	9	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	253	10	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	253	11	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	254	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	254	2	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	254	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	254	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	254	5	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	254	6	this	this	DET
aps-84	254	7	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	254	8	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	254	9	focuses	focus	VERB
aps-84	254	10	largely	largely	ADV
aps-84	254	11	on	on	ADP
aps-84	254	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	254	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	254	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	254	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	255	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	255	2	practice	practice	NOUN
aps-84	255	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	255	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	255	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	255	6	are	be	AUX
aps-84	255	7	often	often	ADV
aps-84	255	8	created	create	VERB
aps-84	255	9	by	by	ADP
aps-84	255	10	drawing	draw	VERB
aps-84	255	11	on	on	ADP
aps-84	255	12	a	a	DET
aps-84	255	13	variety	variety	NOUN
aps-84	255	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	255	15	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	255	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	255	17	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	255	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	256	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	256	2	tfr	tfr	PROPN
aps-84	256	3	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	256	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	256	5	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	256	6	in	in	ADP
aps-84	256	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	256	8	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	256	9	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	256	10	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	256	11	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	256	12	this	this	DET
aps-84	256	13	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	256	14	were	be	AUX
aps-84	256	15	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	256	16	qualitatively	qualitatively	ADV
aps-84	256	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	256	18	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	256	19	were	be	AUX
aps-84	256	20	informed	inform	VERB
aps-84	256	21	by	by	ADP
aps-84	256	22	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	256	23	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	256	24	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	256	25	mcdonald	mcdonald	NOUN
aps-84	256	26	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	256	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	256	28	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	256	29	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	256	30	on	on	ADP
aps-84	256	31	the	the	DET
aps-84	256	32	impacts	impact	NOUN
aps-84	256	33	of	of	ADP
aps-84	256	34	major	major	ADJ
aps-84	256	35	economic	economic	ADJ
aps-84	256	36	shocks	shock	NOUN
aps-84	256	37	to	to	ADP
aps-84	256	38	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	256	39	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	256	40	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	256	41	matysiak	matysiak	PROPN
aps-84	256	42	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	256	43	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	256	44	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	256	45	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	256	46	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	256	47	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
aps-84	256	48	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	256	49	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	256	50	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	256	51	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	256	52	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	256	53	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	256	54	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	256	55	the	the	DET
aps-84	256	56	declining	decline	VERB
aps-84	256	57	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	256	58	trend	trend	NOUN
aps-84	256	59	observed	observe	VERB
aps-84	256	60	in	in	ADP
aps-84	256	61	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	256	62	in	in	ADP
aps-84	256	63	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	256	64	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	256	65	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	256	66	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	256	67	2020b	2020b	NUM
aps-84	256	68	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	256	69	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	257	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	257	2	long	long	ADV
aps-84	257	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	257	4	run	run	VERB
aps-84	257	5	tfr	tfr	NOUN
aps-84	257	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	257	7	1.70	1.70	NUM
aps-84	257	8	was	be	AUX
aps-84	257	9	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	257	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	257	11	with	with	ADP
aps-84	257	12	a	a	DET
aps-84	257	13	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	257	14	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	257	15	run	run	NOUN
aps-84	257	16	dip	dip	NOUN
aps-84	257	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	257	18	allow	allow	VERB
aps-84	257	19	for	for	ADP
aps-84	257	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	257	21	economic	economic	ADJ
aps-84	257	22	impacts	impact	NOUN
aps-84	257	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	257	24	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
aps-84	257	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	258	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	258	2	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	258	3	profile	profile	NOUN
aps-84	258	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	258	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	258	6	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	258	7	was	be	AUX
aps-84	258	8	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	258	9	by	by	ADP
aps-84	258	10	extrapolating	extrapolate	VERB
aps-84	258	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	258	12	parameters	parameter	NOUN
aps-84	258	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	258	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	258	15	peristera	peristera	NOUN
aps-84	258	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	258	17	kostaki	kostaki	PROPN
aps-84	258	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	258	19	2007	2007	NUM
aps-84	258	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	258	21	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	258	22	of	of	ADP
aps-84	258	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	258	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	258	25	which	which	PRON
aps-84	258	26	fits	fit	VERB
aps-84	258	27	well	well	ADV
aps-84	258	28	to	to	ADP
aps-84	258	29	the	the	DET
aps-84	258	30	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	258	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	258	32	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	258	33	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	258	34	profile	profile	NOUN
aps-84	258	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	259	1	5.3	5.3	NUM
aps-84	259	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	259	3	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	259	4	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	259	5	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	259	6	by	by	ADP
aps-84	259	7	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	259	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	259	9	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	259	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	259	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	259	12	are	be	AUX
aps-84	259	13	required	require	VERB
aps-84	259	14	for	for	ADP
aps-84	259	15	every	every	DET
aps-84	259	16	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	259	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	259	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	259	19	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	259	20	horizon	horizon	NOUN
aps-84	259	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	260	1	unlike	unlike	ADP
aps-84	260	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	260	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	260	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	260	5	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	260	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	260	7	holding	hold	VERB
aps-84	260	8	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	260	9	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	260	10	into	into	ADP
aps-84	260	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	260	12	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	260	13	is	be	AUX
aps-84	260	14	rarely	rarely	ADV
aps-84	260	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	260	16	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	260	17	choice	choice	NOUN
aps-84	260	18	for	for	ADP
aps-84	260	19	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	260	20	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	260	21	it	it	PRON
aps-84	260	22	tends	tend	VERB
aps-84	260	23	to	to	PART
aps-84	260	24	decline	decline	VERB
aps-84	260	25	over	over	ADP
aps-84	260	26	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	260	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	261	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
aps-84	261	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	261	3	two	two	NUM
aps-84	261	4	broad	broad	ADJ
aps-84	261	5	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	261	6	are	be	AUX
aps-84	261	7	recommended	recommend	VERB
aps-84	261	8	here	here	ADV
aps-84	261	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	262	1	1	1	X
aps-84	262	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	262	3	use	use	NOUN
aps-84	262	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	262	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	262	6	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	262	7	by	by	ADP
aps-84	262	8	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	262	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	262	10	such	such	DET
aps-84	262	11	a	a	DET
aps-84	262	12	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	262	13	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	262	14	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	262	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	263	1	2	2	X
aps-84	263	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	263	3	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	263	4	your	your	PRON
aps-84	263	5	own	own	ADJ
aps-84	263	6	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	263	7	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	263	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	264	1	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	264	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	264	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	264	4	has	have	AUX
aps-84	264	5	received	receive	VERB
aps-84	264	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	264	7	greatest	great	ADJ
aps-84	264	8	amount	amount	NOUN
aps-84	264	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	264	10	attention	attention	NOUN
aps-84	264	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	264	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	264	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	264	14	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	264	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	264	16	there	there	PRON
aps-84	264	17	is	be	VERB
aps-84	264	18	no	no	DET
aps-84	264	19	shortage	shortage	NOUN
aps-84	264	20	of	of	ADP
aps-84	264	21	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	264	22	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	264	23	booth	booth	NOUN
aps-84	264	24	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	264	25	tickle	tickle	NOUN
aps-84	264	26	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	264	27	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	264	28	ediev	ediev	VERB
aps-84	264	29	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	264	30	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	264	31	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
aps-84	264	32	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	264	33	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	264	34	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	264	35	software	software	NOUN
aps-84	264	36	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	264	37	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	264	38	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	264	39	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
aps-84	264	40	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	264	41	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	264	42	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	264	43	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	264	44	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	264	45	sevcikova	sevcikova	X
aps-84	264	46	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	264	47	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	264	48	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	264	49	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	264	50	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	264	51	to	to	PART
aps-84	264	52	choose	choose	VERB
aps-84	264	53	from	from	ADP
aps-84	264	54	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	265	1	generally	generally	ADV
aps-84	265	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	265	3	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	265	4	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	265	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	265	6	fairly	fairly	ADV
aps-84	265	7	stable	stable	ADJ
aps-84	265	8	over	over	ADP
aps-84	265	9	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	265	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	265	11	making	make	VERB
aps-84	265	12	it	it	PRON
aps-84	265	13	easier	easy	ADJ
aps-84	265	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	265	15	forecast	forecast	VERB
aps-84	265	16	than	than	ADP
aps-84	265	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	265	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	265	19	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	265	20	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	265	21	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	265	22	in	in	ADP
aps-84	265	23	some	some	DET
aps-84	265	24	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	265	25	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
aps-84	265	26	has	have	AUX
aps-84	265	27	now	now	ADV
aps-84	265	28	interrupted	interrupt	VERB
aps-84	265	29	those	those	DET
aps-84	265	30	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	265	31	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	265	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	266	1	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	266	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	266	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	266	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	266	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	266	6	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	266	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	266	8	software	software	NOUN
aps-84	266	9	packages	package	NOUN
aps-84	266	10	devised	devise	VERB
aps-84	266	11	over	over	ADP
aps-84	266	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	266	13	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	266	14	couple	couple	NOUN
aps-84	266	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	266	16	decades	decade	NOUN
aps-84	266	17	have	have	AUX
aps-84	266	18	been	be	AUX
aps-84	266	19	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	266	20	to	to	PART
aps-84	266	21	produce	produce	VERB
aps-84	266	22	quite	quite	ADV
aps-84	266	23	accurate	accurate	ADJ
aps-84	266	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	266	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	266	26	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	266	27	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
aps-84	266	28	2016	2016	NUM
aps-84	266	29	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	266	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	267	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	267	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	267	3	assumptions	assumption	VERB
aps-84	267	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	267	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	267	6	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	267	7	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	267	8	accompanying	accompany	VERB
aps-84	267	9	this	this	DET
aps-84	267	10	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	267	11	were	be	AUX
aps-84	267	12	created	create	VERB
aps-84	267	13	using	use	VERB
aps-84	267	14	ediev	ediev	ADV
aps-84	267	15	’s	’s	ADV
aps-84	267	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	267	17	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	267	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	267	19	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
aps-84	267	20	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	267	21	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	267	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	268	1	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	268	2	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	268	3	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	268	4	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	268	5	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	268	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	268	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	268	8	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	268	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	268	10	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	268	11	form	form	NOUN
aps-84	268	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	268	13	were	be	AUX
aps-84	268	14	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	268	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	268	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	268	17	then	then	ADV
aps-84	268	18	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	268	19	tables	table	NOUN
aps-84	268	20	created	create	VERB
aps-84	268	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	269	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	269	2	excel	excel	PROPN
aps-84	269	3	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	269	4	contains	contain	VERB
aps-84	269	5	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	269	6	1lx	1lx	ADJ
aps-84	269	7	values	value	NOUN
aps-84	269	8	which	which	PRON
aps-84	269	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	269	10	used	use	VERB
aps-84	269	11	to	to	PART
aps-84	269	12	calculate	calculate	VERB
aps-84	269	13	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	269	14	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	269	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	269	16	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	269	17	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	269	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	270	1	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	270	2	these	these	DET
aps-84	270	3	values	value	NOUN
aps-84	270	4	comprise	comprise	VERB
aps-84	270	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	6	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	270	7	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	270	8	stationary	stationary	ADJ
aps-84	270	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	270	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	270	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	12	difference	difference	NOUN
aps-84	270	13	between	between	ADP
aps-84	270	14	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	270	15	at	at	ADP
aps-84	270	16	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
aps-84	270	17	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	270	18	can	can	AUX
aps-84	270	19	be	be	AUX
aps-84	270	20	interpreted	interpret	VERB
aps-84	270	21	as	as	ADP
aps-84	270	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	23	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	270	24	of	of	ADP
aps-84	270	25	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	270	26	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	270	27	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	270	28	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	270	29	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	270	30	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	270	31	by	by	ADP
aps-84	270	32	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	33	shaded	shaded	ADJ
aps-84	270	34	parallelogram	parallelogram	NOUN
aps-84	270	35	in	in	ADP
aps-84	270	36	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	37	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	270	38	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	270	39	in	in	ADP
aps-84	270	40	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	270	41	3	3	NUM
aps-84	270	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	270	43	note	note	VERB
aps-84	270	44	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	270	45	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	46	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	270	47	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	270	48	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	270	49	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	270	50	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	270	51	exactly	exactly	ADV
aps-84	270	52	match	match	VERB
aps-84	270	53	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	54	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	270	55	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	270	56	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	270	57	locations	location	NOUN
aps-84	270	58	shown	show	VERB
aps-84	270	59	for	for	ADP
aps-84	270	60	the	the	DET
aps-84	270	61	cohortcomponent	cohortcomponent	NOUN
aps-84	270	62	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	270	63	earlier	early	ADV
aps-84	270	64	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	270	65	middle	middle	NOUN
aps-84	270	66	of	of	ADP
aps-84	270	67	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	270	68	2	2	NUM
aps-84	270	69	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	270	70	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	271	1	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	271	2	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	271	3	are	be	AUX
aps-84	271	4	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	271	5	with	with	ADP
aps-84	271	6	these	these	DET
aps-84	271	7	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	271	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	271	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	10	numerator	numerator	NOUN
aps-84	271	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	271	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	13	mean	mean	NOUN
aps-84	271	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	271	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	16	two	two	NUM
aps-84	271	17	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	271	18	as	as	ADP
aps-84	271	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	20	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	271	21	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	271	22	at	at	ADP
aps-84	271	23	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	271	24	risk	risk	NOUN
aps-84	271	25	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	271	26	𝑑𝑎→𝑎+1	𝑑𝑎→𝑎+1	X
aps-84	271	27	=	=	PUNCT
aps-84	271	28	𝐿𝑥1	𝐿𝑥1	NOUN
aps-84	271	29	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	271	30	𝐿𝑥+11	𝐿𝑥+11	PROPN
aps-84	271	31	1	1	NUM
aps-84	271	32	2	2	NUM
aps-84	271	33	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	271	34	𝐿𝑥1	𝐿𝑥1	VERB
aps-84	271	35	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	271	36	𝐿𝑥+11	𝐿𝑥+11	PROPN
aps-84	271	37	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	271	38	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	271	39	𝑥	𝑥	PROPN
aps-84	271	40	is	be	AUX
aps-84	271	41	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	42	exact	exact	ADJ
aps-84	271	43	starting	starting	NOUN
aps-84	271	44	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	271	45	of	of	ADP
aps-84	271	46	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	271	47	group	group	NOUN
aps-84	271	48	𝑎.	𝑎.	VERB
aps-84	271	49	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	50	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	271	51	subscript	subscript	NOUN
aps-84	271	52	is	be	AUX
aps-84	271	53	omitted	omit	VERB
aps-84	271	54	in	in	ADP
aps-84	271	55	the	the	DET
aps-84	271	56	equation	equation	NOUN
aps-84	271	57	to	to	PART
aps-84	271	58	prevent	prevent	VERB
aps-84	271	59	clutter	clutter	NOUN
aps-84	271	60	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	272	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	272	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	272	3	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	272	4	5	5	NUM
aps-84	272	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	272	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	272	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	272	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	272	9	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	272	10	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	272	11	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	272	12	93	93	NUM
aps-84	272	13			SYM
aps-84	272	14	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	272	15	1lx+1	1lx+1	NUM
aps-84	272	16	1lx	1lx	ADJ
aps-84	272	17	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	272	18	→	→	SYM
aps-84	272	19	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	272	20	3	3	NUM
aps-84	272	21	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	272	22	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	272	23	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	272	24	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	272	25	used	use	VERB
aps-84	272	26	to	to	PART
aps-84	272	27	calculate	calculate	VERB
aps-84	272	28	period	period	NOUN
aps-84	272	29	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	272	30	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	272	31	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	272	32	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	272	33	for	for	ADP
aps-84	272	34	newly	newly	ADV
aps-84	272	35	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	272	36	born	bear	VERB
aps-84	272	37	infants	infant	NOUN
aps-84	272	38	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	272	39	at	at	ADP
aps-84	272	40	the	the	DET
aps-84	272	41	very	very	ADV
aps-84	272	42	highest	high	ADJ
aps-84	272	43	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	272	44	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	272	45	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	272	46	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	272	47	are	be	AUX
aps-84	272	48	calculated	calculate	VERB
aps-84	272	49	slightly	slightly	ADV
aps-84	272	50	differently	differently	ADV
aps-84	272	51	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	272	52	𝑑𝑏→0	𝑑𝑏→0	PROPN
aps-84	272	53	=	=	SYM
aps-84	272	54	𝑙0−	𝑙0−	PROPN
aps-84	272	55	𝐿01	𝐿01	PROPN
aps-84	272	56	1	1	NUM
aps-84	272	57	2	2	NUM
aps-84	272	58	𝐿01	𝐿01	PROPN
aps-84	272	59	𝑑100+→101	𝑑100+→101	PROPN
aps-84	272	60	+	+	NOUN
aps-84	272	61	=	=	SYM
aps-84	272	62	𝐿100∞	𝐿100∞	PROPN
aps-84	272	63	−	−	PROPN
aps-84	272	64	𝐿101∞	𝐿101∞	PROPN
aps-84	272	65	1	1	NUM
aps-84	272	66	2	2	NUM
aps-84	272	67	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	272	68	𝐿100∞	𝐿100∞	PROPN
aps-84	272	69	+	+	CCONJ
aps-84	272	70	𝐿101∞	𝐿101∞	PROPN
aps-84	272	71	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	272	72	where	where	SCONJ
aps-84	272	73	𝑙0	𝑙0	NOUN
aps-84	272	74	=	=	SYM
aps-84	272	75	the	the	DET
aps-84	272	76	radix	radix	NOUN
aps-84	272	77	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	272	78	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	272	79	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	272	80	of	of	ADP
aps-84	272	81	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	272	82	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	272	83	in	in	ADP
aps-84	272	84	the	the	DET
aps-84	272	85	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	272	86	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	272	87	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	272	88	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	273	1	these	these	DET
aps-84	273	2	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	273	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	273	4	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	273	5	exactly	exactly	ADV
aps-84	273	6	match	match	VERB
aps-84	273	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	273	8	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	273	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	273	10	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	273	11	locations	location	NOUN
aps-84	273	12	as	as	SCONJ
aps-84	273	13	indicated	indicate	VERB
aps-84	273	14	for	for	ADP
aps-84	273	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	273	16	youngest	young	ADJ
aps-84	273	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	273	18	oldest	old	ADJ
aps-84	273	19	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	273	20	in	in	ADP
aps-84	273	21	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	273	22	2	2	NUM
aps-84	273	23	.	.	NOUN
aps-84	273	24	5.4	5.4	NUM
aps-84	273	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	274	1	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	274	2	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	274	3	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	274	4	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	274	5	is	be	AUX
aps-84	274	6	hard	hard	ADJ
aps-84	274	7	to	to	PART
aps-84	274	8	forecast	forecast	VERB
aps-84	274	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	275	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	275	2	tends	tend	VERB
aps-84	275	3	to	to	PART
aps-84	275	4	exhibit	exhibit	VERB
aps-84	275	5	quite	quite	ADV
aps-84	275	6	volatile	volatile	ADJ
aps-84	275	7	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	275	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	275	9	volume	volume	NOUN
aps-84	275	10	over	over	ADP
aps-84	275	11	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	275	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	275	13	response	response	NOUN
aps-84	275	14	to	to	ADP
aps-84	275	15	changes	change	NOUN
aps-84	275	16	of	of	ADP
aps-84	275	17	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	275	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	275	19	at	at	ADP
aps-84	275	20	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	275	21	for	for	ADP
aps-84	275	22	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	275	23	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	275	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	275	25	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
aps-84	275	26	conditions	condition	NOUN
aps-84	275	27	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	275	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	275	29	major	major	ADJ
aps-84	275	30	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	275	31	events	event	NOUN
aps-84	275	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	276	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	276	2	for	for	ADP
aps-84	276	3	some	some	DET
aps-84	276	4	countries	country	NOUN
aps-84	276	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	276	6	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	276	7	not	not	PART
aps-84	276	8	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	276	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	276	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	276	11	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	276	12	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	276	13	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	276	14	suffers	suffer	VERB
aps-84	276	15	from	from	ADP
aps-84	276	16	quality	quality	NOUN
aps-84	276	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	276	18	coverage	coverage	NOUN
aps-84	276	19	problems	problem	NOUN
aps-84	276	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	277	1	fortunately	fortunately	ADV
aps-84	277	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	277	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	277	4	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	277	5	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	277	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	277	7	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	277	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	277	9	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	277	10	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	277	11	tend	tend	VERB
aps-84	277	12	to	to	PART
aps-84	277	13	be	be	AUX
aps-84	277	14	far	far	ADV
aps-84	277	15	more	more	ADV
aps-84	277	16	stable	stable	ADJ
aps-84	277	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	278	1	our	our	PRON
aps-84	278	2	suggested	suggest	VERB
aps-84	278	3	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	278	4	to	to	ADP
aps-84	278	5	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	278	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	278	7	are	be	AUX
aps-84	278	8	like	like	ADP
aps-84	278	9	those	those	PRON
aps-84	278	10	for	for	ADP
aps-84	278	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	278	12	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	278	13	1	1	X
aps-84	278	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	278	15	assume	assume	VERB
aps-84	278	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	278	17	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	278	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	278	19	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	278	20	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	278	21	remain	remain	VERB
aps-84	278	22	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	278	23	into	into	ADP
aps-84	278	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	278	25	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	278	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	279	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	279	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	279	3	absence	absence	NOUN
aps-84	279	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	279	5	clear	clear	ADJ
aps-84	279	6	changes	change	NOUN
aps-84	279	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	279	8	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	279	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	279	10	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	279	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	279	12	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	279	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	279	14	this	this	PRON
aps-84	279	15	can	can	AUX
aps-84	279	16	be	be	AUX
aps-84	279	17	a	a	DET
aps-84	279	18	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	279	19	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	279	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	280	1	2	2	X
aps-84	280	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	280	3	use	use	VERB
aps-84	280	4	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	280	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	280	6	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	280	7	by	by	ADP
aps-84	280	8	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	280	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	280	10	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	280	11	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	280	12	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	280	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	280	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	281	1	3	3	X
aps-84	281	2	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	281	3	prepare	prepare	VERB
aps-84	281	4	your	your	PRON
aps-84	281	5	own	own	ADJ
aps-84	281	6	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	281	7	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	281	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	282	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	282	2	can	can	AUX
aps-84	282	3	be	be	AUX
aps-84	282	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	282	5	challenging	challenging	ADJ
aps-84	282	6	task	task	NOUN
aps-84	282	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	283	1	unlike	unlike	ADP
aps-84	283	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	283	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	283	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	283	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	283	6	there	there	PRON
aps-84	283	7	are	be	VERB
aps-84	283	8	relatively	relatively	ADV
aps-84	283	9	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	283	10	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	283	11	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	283	12	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	283	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	283	14	software	software	NOUN
aps-84	283	15	packages	package	NOUN
aps-84	283	16	to	to	PART
aps-84	283	17	choose	choose	VERB
aps-84	283	18	from	from	ADP
aps-84	283	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	283	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	283	21	unfortunately	unfortunately	ADV
aps-84	283	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	283	23	no	no	DET
aps-84	283	24	single	single	ADJ
aps-84	283	25	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	283	26	has	have	AUX
aps-84	283	27	been	be	AUX
aps-84	283	28	found	find	VERB
aps-84	283	29	to	to	PART
aps-84	283	30	produce	produce	VERB
aps-84	283	31	consistently	consistently	ADV
aps-84	283	32	accurate	accurate	ADJ
aps-84	283	33	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	283	34	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	283	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	284	1	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	284	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	284	3	include	include	VERB
aps-84	284	4	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
aps-84	284	5	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	284	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	284	7	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
aps-84	284	8	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	284	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	284	10	trending	trend	VERB
aps-84	284	11	to	to	ADP
aps-84	284	12	a	a	DET
aps-84	284	13	target	target	NOUN
aps-84	284	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	284	15	expert	expert	NOUN
aps-84	284	16	panels	panel	NOUN
aps-84	284	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	284	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	284	19	what	what	PRON
aps-84	284	20	might	might	AUX
aps-84	284	21	best	well	ADV
aps-84	284	22	be	be	AUX
aps-84	284	23	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	284	24	as	as	ADP
aps-84	284	25	a	a	DET
aps-84	284	26	“	"	PUNCT
aps-84	284	27	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
aps-84	284	28	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	284	29	judgement	judgement	NOUN
aps-84	284	30	”	"	PUNCT
aps-84	284	31	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	284	32	that	that	PRON
aps-84	284	33	is	be	AUX
aps-84	284	34	not	not	PART
aps-84	284	35	based	base	VERB
aps-84	284	36	on	on	ADP
aps-84	284	37	any	any	DET
aps-84	284	38	formal	formal	ADJ
aps-84	284	39	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	284	40	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	284	41	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	284	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	285	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	285	2	last	last	ADJ
aps-84	285	3	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	285	4	qualitatively	qualitatively	ADV
aps-84	285	5	takes	take	VERB
aps-84	285	6	into	into	ADP
aps-84	285	7	account	account	NOUN
aps-84	285	8	recent	recent	ADJ
aps-84	285	9	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	285	10	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	285	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	285	12	perceptions	perception	NOUN
aps-84	285	13	of	of	ADP
aps-84	285	14	factors	factor	NOUN
aps-84	285	15	driving	drive	VERB
aps-84	285	16	those	those	DET
aps-84	285	17	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	285	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	285	19	broad	broad	ADJ
aps-84	285	20	economic	economic	ADJ
aps-84	285	21	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	285	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	285	23	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	285	24	influences	influence	NOUN
aps-84	285	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	285	26	including	include	VERB
aps-84	285	27	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	285	28	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	285	29	plans	plan	NOUN
aps-84	285	30	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	285	31	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	285	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	285	33	expert	expert	NOUN
aps-84	285	34	opinions	opinion	NOUN
aps-84	285	35	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	285	36	among	among	ADP
aps-84	285	37	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	285	38	things	thing	NOUN
aps-84	285	39	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	286	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	286	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	286	3	only	only	ADV
aps-84	286	4	loosely	loosely	ADV
aps-84	286	5	connected	connect	VERB
aps-84	286	6	to	to	ADP
aps-84	286	7	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	286	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	286	9	modelling	modelling	NOUN
aps-84	286	10	–	–	PUNCT
aps-84	286	11	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	286	12	that	that	PRON
aps-84	286	13	is	be	AUX
aps-84	286	14	not	not	PART
aps-84	286	15	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
aps-84	286	16	a	a	DET
aps-84	286	17	weakness	weakness	NOUN
aps-84	286	18	given	give	VERB
aps-84	286	19	that	that	DET
aps-84	286	20	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	286	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	286	22	modelling	modelling	NOUN
aps-84	286	23	have	have	AUX
aps-84	286	24	not	not	PART
aps-84	286	25	yet	yet	ADV
aps-84	286	26	delivered	deliver	VERB
aps-84	286	27	a	a	DET
aps-84	286	28	robust	robust	ADJ
aps-84	286	29	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	286	30	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	286	31	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	286	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	287	1	94	94	NUM
aps-84	287	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	287	3	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	287	4	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	287	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	287	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	287	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	287	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	287	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	287	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	287	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	287	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	287	13	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	287	14	a	a	DET
aps-84	287	15	more	more	ADV
aps-84	287	16	formal	formal	ADJ
aps-84	287	17	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	287	18	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	287	19	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	287	20	is	be	AUX
aps-84	287	21	to	to	PART
aps-84	287	22	be	be	AUX
aps-84	287	23	used	use	VERB
aps-84	287	24	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	287	25	what	what	PRON
aps-84	287	26	are	be	AUX
aps-84	287	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	287	28	options	option	NOUN
aps-84	287	29	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	288	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	288	2	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	288	3	examples	example	NOUN
aps-84	288	4	are	be	AUX
aps-84	288	5	given	give	VERB
aps-84	288	6	here	here	ADV
aps-84	288	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	289	1	one	one	NUM
aps-84	289	2	option	option	NOUN
aps-84	289	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	289	4	to	to	PART
aps-84	289	5	apply	apply	VERB
aps-84	289	6	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	289	7	series	series	NOUN
aps-84	289	8	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	289	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
aps-84	289	10	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	289	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	290	1	examples	example	NOUN
aps-84	290	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	290	3	these	these	DET
aps-84	290	4	types	type	NOUN
aps-84	290	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	290	6	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	290	7	can	can	AUX
aps-84	290	8	be	be	AUX
aps-84	290	9	found	find	VERB
aps-84	290	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	290	11	bijak	bijak	PROPN
aps-84	290	12	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	290	13	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	290	14	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	291	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	291	2	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	291	3	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	291	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	291	5	de	de	X
aps-84	291	6	beer	beer	NOUN
aps-84	291	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	291	8	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	291	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	291	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	291	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	291	12	raymer	raymer	NOUN
aps-84	291	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	291	14	wiśniowski	wiśniowski	ADJ
aps-84	291	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	291	16	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	291	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	291	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	292	1	statistics	statistics	PROPN
aps-84	292	2	norway	norway	PROPN
aps-84	292	3	uses	use	VERB
aps-84	292	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	292	5	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	292	6	based	base	VERB
aps-84	292	7	on	on	ADP
aps-84	292	8	neoclassical	neoclassical	ADJ
aps-84	292	9	economic	economic	ADJ
aps-84	292	10	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	292	11	to	to	PART
aps-84	292	12	project	project	VERB
aps-84	292	13	various	various	ADJ
aps-84	292	14	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	292	15	streams	stream	NOUN
aps-84	292	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	292	17	cappelen	cappelen	VERB
aps-84	292	18	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	292	19	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	292	20	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	292	21	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	292	22	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	292	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	293	1	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
aps-84	293	2	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	293	3	include	include	VERB
aps-84	293	4	relative	relative	ADJ
aps-84	293	5	income	income	NOUN
aps-84	293	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	293	7	norwegian	norwegian	ADJ
aps-84	293	8	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
aps-84	293	9	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	293	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	293	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	293	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	293	13	size	size	NOUN
aps-84	293	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	293	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	293	16	migrant	migrant	ADJ
aps-84	293	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	293	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	294	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	294	2	similar	similar	ADJ
aps-84	294	3	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
aps-84	294	4	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	294	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	294	6	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	294	7	has	have	AUX
aps-84	294	8	been	be	AUX
aps-84	294	9	devised	devise	VERB
aps-84	294	10	for	for	ADP
aps-84	294	11	use	use	NOUN
aps-84	294	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	294	13	belgium	belgium	NOUN
aps-84	294	14	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	294	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	294	16	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	294	17	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	294	18	vandresse	vandresse	NOUN
aps-84	294	19	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	294	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	294	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	295	1	another	another	DET
aps-84	295	2	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	295	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	295	4	to	to	PART
aps-84	295	5	engage	engage	VERB
aps-84	295	6	expert	expert	NOUN
aps-84	295	7	panels	panel	NOUN
aps-84	295	8	who	who	PRON
aps-84	295	9	are	be	AUX
aps-84	295	10	actively	actively	ADV
aps-84	295	11	involved	involve	VERB
aps-84	295	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	295	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	295	14	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	295	15	formulation	formulation	NOUN
aps-84	295	16	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	295	17	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	295	18	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	295	19	dion	dion	VERB
aps-84	295	20	et	et	NOUN
aps-84	295	21	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	295	22	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	295	23	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	295	24	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	295	25	lutz	lutz	NOUN
aps-84	295	26	2009	2009	NUM
aps-84	295	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	295	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	296	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	296	2	expert	expert	ADJ
aps-84	296	3	panel	panel	NOUN
aps-84	296	4	considers	consider	VERB
aps-84	296	5	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	296	6	discusses	discuss	VERB
aps-84	296	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	296	8	wide	wide	ADJ
aps-84	296	9	range	range	NOUN
aps-84	296	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	296	11	factors	factor	NOUN
aps-84	296	12	which	which	PRON
aps-84	296	13	might	might	AUX
aps-84	296	14	increase	increase	VERB
aps-84	296	15	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	296	16	decrease	decrease	VERB
aps-84	296	17	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	296	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	296	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	296	20	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	296	21	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	296	22	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	296	23	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	296	24	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	296	25	then	then	ADV
aps-84	296	26	suggests	suggest	VERB
aps-84	296	27	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	296	28	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	296	29	levels	level	NOUN
aps-84	296	30	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	296	31	distributions	distribution	NOUN
aps-84	296	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	297	1	whichever	whichever	PRON
aps-84	297	2	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	297	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	297	4	approaches	approach	NOUN
aps-84	297	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	297	6	selected	select	VERB
aps-84	297	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	297	8	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	297	9	authors	author	NOUN
aps-84	297	10	have	have	AUX
aps-84	297	11	recommended	recommend	VERB
aps-84	297	12	dividing	divide	VERB
aps-84	297	13	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	297	14	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	297	15	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	297	16	into	into	ADP
aps-84	297	17	different	different	ADJ
aps-84	297	18	streams	stream	NOUN
aps-84	297	19	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	297	20	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	297	21	permanent	permanent	ADJ
aps-84	297	22	immigrants	immigrant	NOUN
aps-84	297	23	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	297	24	temporary	temporary	ADJ
aps-84	297	25	workers	worker	NOUN
aps-84	297	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	297	27	foreign	foreign	ADJ
aps-84	297	28	students	student	NOUN
aps-84	297	29	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	297	30	etc	etc	X
aps-84	297	31	.	.	X
aps-84	297	32	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	297	33	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	297	34	creating	create	VERB
aps-84	297	35	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	297	36	by	by	ADP
aps-84	297	37	focusing	focus	VERB
aps-84	297	38	on	on	ADP
aps-84	297	39	the	the	DET
aps-84	297	40	different	different	ADJ
aps-84	297	41	drivers	driver	NOUN
aps-84	297	42	of	of	ADP
aps-84	297	43	those	those	DET
aps-84	297	44	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	297	45	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	297	46	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	297	47	de	de	X
aps-84	297	48	beer	beer	NOUN
aps-84	297	49	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	297	50	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	297	51	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	297	52	2017a	2017a	NUM
aps-84	297	53	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	297	54	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	298	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	298	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	298	3	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	298	4	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	298	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	298	6	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	298	8	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	9	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	298	10	for	for	ADP
aps-84	298	11	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	298	12	were	be	AUX
aps-84	298	13	prepared	prepare	VERB
aps-84	298	14	separately	separately	ADV
aps-84	298	15	for	for	ADP
aps-84	298	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	298	17	headline	headline	NOUN
aps-84	298	18	indicators	indicator	NOUN
aps-84	298	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	298	20	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	298	21	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	22	flows	flow	NOUN
aps-84	298	23	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	298	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	298	25	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	26	gross	gross	ADJ
aps-84	298	27	migraproduction	migraproduction	NOUN
aps-84	298	28	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	298	29	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	298	30	gmr	gmr	PROPN
aps-84	298	31	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	298	32	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	298	33	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	298	34	the	the	DET
aps-84	298	35	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	298	36	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	298	37	of	of	ADP
aps-84	298	38	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	39	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	298	40	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	298	41	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	298	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	299	1	given	give	VERB
aps-84	299	2	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	299	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	299	4	shapes	shape	NOUN
aps-84	299	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	299	6	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	299	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	299	8	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	299	9	rate	rate	NOUN
aps-84	299	10	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	299	11	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	299	12	tend	tend	VERB
aps-84	299	13	to	to	PART
aps-84	299	14	change	change	VERB
aps-84	299	15	slowly	slowly	ADV
aps-84	299	16	over	over	ADP
aps-84	299	17	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	299	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	299	19	they	they	PRON
aps-84	299	20	were	be	AUX
aps-84	299	21	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	299	22	to	to	PART
aps-84	299	23	remain	remain	VERB
aps-84	299	24	unchanged	unchanged	ADJ
aps-84	299	25	in	in	ADP
aps-84	299	26	the	the	DET
aps-84	299	27	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	299	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	300	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	300	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
aps-84	300	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	300	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	300	5	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	300	6	volumes	volume	NOUN
aps-84	300	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	300	8	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	300	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	300	10	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	300	11	can	can	AUX
aps-84	300	12	change	change	VERB
aps-84	300	13	markedly	markedly	ADV
aps-84	300	14	from	from	ADP
aps-84	300	15	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	300	16	to	to	ADP
aps-84	300	17	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	300	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	301	1	given	give	VERB
aps-84	301	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	3	disruption	disruption	NOUN
aps-84	301	4	to	to	ADP
aps-84	301	5	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	301	6	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	301	7	created	create	VERB
aps-84	301	8	by	by	ADP
aps-84	301	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	10	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
aps-84	301	11	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
aps-84	301	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	301	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	14	closure	closure	NOUN
aps-84	301	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	301	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	17	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	301	18	border	border	NOUN
aps-84	301	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	301	20	we	we	PRON
aps-84	301	21	took	take	VERB
aps-84	301	22	note	note	NOUN
aps-84	301	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	301	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	25	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	301	26	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	301	27	flows	flow	VERB
aps-84	301	28	from	from	ADP
aps-84	301	29	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	30	federal	federal	ADJ
aps-84	301	31	government	government	NOUN
aps-84	301	32	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	301	33	centre	centre	NOUN
aps-84	301	34	for	for	ADP
aps-84	301	35	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	301	36	in	in	ADP
aps-84	301	37	formulating	formulate	VERB
aps-84	301	38	our	our	PRON
aps-84	301	39	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	301	40	over	over	ADP
aps-84	301	41	the	the	DET
aps-84	301	42	next	next	ADJ
aps-84	301	43	few	few	ADJ
aps-84	301	44	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	301	45	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	301	46	centre	centre	NOUN
aps-84	301	47	for	for	ADP
aps-84	301	48	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	301	49	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	301	50	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	301	51	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	301	52	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	302	1	a	a	DET
aps-84	302	2	large	large	ADJ
aps-84	302	3	drop	drop	NOUN
aps-84	302	4	in	in	ADP
aps-84	302	5	both	both	DET
aps-84	302	6	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	302	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	302	8	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	302	9	was	be	AUX
aps-84	302	10	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	302	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	302	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	302	13	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	302	14	term	term	NOUN
aps-84	302	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	302	16	reflecting	reflect	VERB
aps-84	302	17	the	the	DET
aps-84	302	18	border	border	NOUN
aps-84	302	19	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
aps-84	302	20	introduced	introduce	VERB
aps-84	302	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	302	22	response	response	NOUN
aps-84	302	23	to	to	ADP
aps-84	302	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	302	25	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
aps-84	302	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	303	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	303	2	further	far	ADV
aps-84	303	3	into	into	ADP
aps-84	303	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	303	5	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	303	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	303	7	we	we	PRON
aps-84	303	8	assumed	assume	VERB
aps-84	303	9	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	303	10	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	303	11	would	would	AUX
aps-84	303	12	resume	resume	VERB
aps-84	303	13	its	its	PRON
aps-84	303	14	long	long	ADV
aps-84	303	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	303	16	run	run	VERB
aps-84	303	17	gradual	gradual	ADJ
aps-84	303	18	upward	upward	ADJ
aps-84	303	19	trend	trend	NOUN
aps-84	303	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	303	21	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	303	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	303	23	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	303	24	gmr	gmr	PROPN
aps-84	303	25	would	would	AUX
aps-84	303	26	return	return	VERB
aps-84	303	27	to	to	ADP
aps-84	303	28	its	its	PRON
aps-84	303	29	previous	previous	ADJ
aps-84	303	30	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	303	31	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	303	32	remain	remain	VERB
aps-84	303	33	constant	constant	ADJ
aps-84	303	34	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	304	1	6	6	X
aps-84	304	2	.	.	X
aps-84	304	3	checking	check	VERB
aps-84	304	4	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	304	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	304	6	final	final	ADJ
aps-84	304	7	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	304	8	of	of	ADP
aps-84	304	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	304	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	304	11	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	304	12	involves	involve	VERB
aps-84	304	13	checking	check	VERB
aps-84	304	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	304	15	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	304	16	output	output	NOUN
aps-84	304	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	304	18	plausibility	plausibility	NOUN
aps-84	304	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	304	20	consistency	consistency	NOUN
aps-84	304	21	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	304	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	304	23	any	any	DET
aps-84	304	24	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	304	25	errors	error	NOUN
aps-84	304	26	with	with	ADP
aps-84	304	27	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	304	28	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	304	29	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	304	30	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	304	31	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	304	32	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	304	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	305	1	this	this	PRON
aps-84	305	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	305	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	305	4	form	form	NOUN
aps-84	305	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	305	6	exploratory	exploratory	ADJ
aps-84	305	7	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	305	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	305	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	305	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	305	11	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	305	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	306	1	what	what	PRON
aps-84	306	2	constitutes	constitute	VERB
aps-84	306	3	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	306	4	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	306	5	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	306	6	is	be	AUX
aps-84	306	7	not	not	PART
aps-84	306	8	easy	easy	ADJ
aps-84	306	9	to	to	PART
aps-84	306	10	define	define	VERB
aps-84	306	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	306	12	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	306	13	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	306	14	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	306	15	should	should	AUX
aps-84	306	16	look	look	VERB
aps-84	306	17	roughly	roughly	ADV
aps-84	306	18	in	in	ADP
aps-84	306	19	line	line	NOUN
aps-84	306	20	with	with	ADP
aps-84	306	21	expectations	expectation	NOUN
aps-84	306	22	given	give	VERB
aps-84	306	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	306	24	chosen	choose	VERB
aps-84	306	25	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	306	26	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	306	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	307	1	checks	check	NOUN
aps-84	307	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	307	3	plausibility	plausibility	NOUN
aps-84	307	4	may	may	AUX
aps-84	307	5	not	not	PART
aps-84	307	6	provide	provide	VERB
aps-84	307	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	307	8	precise	precise	ADJ
aps-84	307	9	answer	answer	NOUN
aps-84	307	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	308	1	instead	instead	ADV
aps-84	308	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	308	3	they	they	PRON
aps-84	308	4	may	may	AUX
aps-84	308	5	only	only	ADV
aps-84	308	6	suggest	suggest	VERB
aps-84	308	7	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	308	8	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	308	9	would	would	AUX
aps-84	308	10	benefit	benefit	VERB
aps-84	308	11	from	from	ADP
aps-84	308	12	some	some	DET
aps-84	308	13	refinement	refinement	NOUN
aps-84	308	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	308	15	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	308	16	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	308	17	certain	certain	ADJ
aps-84	308	18	data	data	NOUN
aps-84	308	19	inputs	input	NOUN
aps-84	308	20	may	may	AUX
aps-84	308	21	need	need	VERB
aps-84	308	22	attention	attention	NOUN
aps-84	308	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	309	1	unfortunately	unfortunately	ADV
aps-84	309	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	309	3	just	just	ADV
aps-84	309	4	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	309	5	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	309	6	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	309	7	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	309	8	does	do	AUX
aps-84	309	9	not	not	PART
aps-84	309	10	mean	mean	VERB
aps-84	309	11	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	309	12	they	they	PRON
aps-84	309	13	will	will	AUX
aps-84	309	14	turn	turn	VERB
aps-84	309	15	out	out	ADP
aps-84	309	16	to	to	PART
aps-84	309	17	be	be	AUX
aps-84	309	18	accurate	accurate	ADJ
aps-84	309	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	309	20	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	309	21	it	it	PRON
aps-84	309	22	should	should	AUX
aps-84	309	23	at	at	ADV
aps-84	309	24	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	309	25	mean	mean	VERB
aps-84	309	26	they	they	PRON
aps-84	309	27	will	will	AUX
aps-84	309	28	be	be	AUX
aps-84	309	29	free	free	ADJ
aps-84	309	30	of	of	ADP
aps-84	309	31	obvious	obvious	ADJ
aps-84	309	32	errors	error	NOUN
aps-84	309	33	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	309	34	unbelievable	unbelievable	ADJ
aps-84	309	35	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	309	36	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	310	1	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	310	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	310	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	311	1	check	check	VERB
aps-84	311	2	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	311	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	311	4	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	311	5	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	311	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	311	7	trend	trend	NOUN
aps-84	311	8	looks	look	VERB
aps-84	311	9	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	311	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	311	11	light	light	NOUN
aps-84	311	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	311	13	historical	historical	ADJ
aps-84	311	14	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	311	15	by	by	ADP
aps-84	311	16	creating	create	VERB
aps-84	311	17	a	a	DET
aps-84	311	18	graph	graph	NOUN
aps-84	311	19	of	of	ADP
aps-84	311	20	past	past	NOUN
aps-84	311	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	311	22	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	311	23	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	311	24	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	311	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	311	26	and/or	and/or	CCONJ
aps-84	311	27	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	311	28	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	311	29	growth	growth	NOUN
aps-84	311	30	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	311	31	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	311	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	312	1	figure	figure	NOUN
aps-84	312	2	4	4	NUM
aps-84	312	3	shows	show	VERB
aps-84	312	4	an	an	DET
aps-84	312	5	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	312	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	313	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	313	2	most	most	ADJ
aps-84	313	3	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
aps-84	313	4	there	there	PRON
aps-84	313	5	should	should	AUX
aps-84	313	6	be	be	AUX
aps-84	313	7	no	no	DET
aps-84	313	8	discontinuity	discontinuity	NOUN
aps-84	313	9	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	313	10	sudden	sudden	ADJ
aps-84	313	11	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	313	12	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	313	13	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	313	14	5	5	NUM
aps-84	313	15	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	313	16	1	1	NUM
aps-84	313	17	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	313	18	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	313	19	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	313	20	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	313	21	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	313	22	95	95	NUM
aps-84	313	23	changes	change	NOUN
aps-84	313	24	in	in	ADP
aps-84	313	25	trend	trend	NOUN
aps-84	313	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	313	27	unless	unless	SCONJ
aps-84	313	28	there	there	PRON
aps-84	313	29	is	be	VERB
aps-84	313	30	clearly	clearly	ADV
aps-84	313	31	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	313	32	reason	reason	NOUN
aps-84	313	33	for	for	ADP
aps-84	313	34	it	it	PRON
aps-84	313	35	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	313	36	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
aps-84	313	37	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	313	38	the	the	DET
aps-84	313	39	impact	impact	NOUN
aps-84	313	40	of	of	ADP
aps-84	313	41	a	a	DET
aps-84	313	42	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
aps-84	313	43	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	313	44	a	a	DET
aps-84	313	45	sudden	sudden	ADJ
aps-84	313	46	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	313	47	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	313	48	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	313	49	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	313	50	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	314	1	figure	figure	VERB
aps-84	314	2	4	4	NUM
aps-84	314	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	314	4	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	314	5	graph	graph	NOUN
aps-84	314	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	314	7	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	314	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	314	9	to	to	PART
aps-84	314	10	check	check	VERB
aps-84	314	11	projection	projection	PROPN
aps-84	314	12	outputs	outputs	PROPN
aps-84	314	13	source	source	NOUN
aps-84	314	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	314	15	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	314	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	314	17	2020a	2020a	NOUN
aps-84	314	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	314	19	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	314	20	authors	author	NOUN
aps-84	314	21	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	314	22	projections	projection	VERB
aps-84	314	23	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	314	24	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	314	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	315	1	do	do	AUX
aps-84	315	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	315	3	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	315	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	315	5	components	component	NOUN
aps-84	315	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	315	7	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	315	8	look	look	VERB
aps-84	315	9	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	315	10	in	in	ADP
aps-84	315	11	light	light	NOUN
aps-84	315	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	315	13	historical	historical	ADJ
aps-84	315	14	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	315	15	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	316	1	again	again	ADV
aps-84	316	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	316	3	it	it	PRON
aps-84	316	4	is	be	AUX
aps-84	316	5	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	316	6	to	to	PART
aps-84	316	7	create	create	VERB
aps-84	316	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	316	9	graph	graph	NOUN
aps-84	316	10	showing	show	VERB
aps-84	316	11	past	past	NOUN
aps-84	316	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	316	13	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	316	14	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	316	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	316	16	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	316	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	316	18	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	316	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	316	20	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	316	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	317	1	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	317	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	317	3	deaths	death	NOUN
aps-84	317	4	normally	normally	ADV
aps-84	317	5	show	show	VERB
aps-84	317	6	relatively	relatively	ADV
aps-84	317	7	smooth	smooth	ADJ
aps-84	317	8	trends	trend	NOUN
aps-84	317	9	over	over	ADP
aps-84	317	10	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	317	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	317	12	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	317	13	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	317	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	317	15	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	317	16	are	be	AUX
aps-84	317	17	often	often	ADV
aps-84	317	18	more	more	ADV
aps-84	317	19	variable	variable	ADJ
aps-84	317	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	318	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	318	2	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	318	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	318	4	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	318	5	structure	structure	NOUN
aps-84	318	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	319	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	319	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	319	3	evolution	evolution	NOUN
aps-84	319	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	319	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	319	6	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	319	7	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	319	8	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	319	9	structure	structure	NOUN
aps-84	319	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	319	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	319	12	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	319	13	look	look	VERB
aps-84	319	14	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	319	15	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	320	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	320	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	320	3	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	320	4	to	to	PART
aps-84	320	5	create	create	VERB
aps-84	320	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	320	7	pyramids	pyramid	NOUN
aps-84	320	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	320	9	or	or	CCONJ
aps-84	320	10	at	at	ADP
aps-84	320	11	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	320	12	line	line	NOUN
aps-84	320	13	graphs	graph	NOUN
aps-84	320	14	of	of	ADP
aps-84	320	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	320	16	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	320	17	by	by	ADP
aps-84	320	18	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	320	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	320	20	over	over	ADP
aps-84	320	21	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	320	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	321	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	321	2	a	a	DET
aps-84	321	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	321	4	has	have	AUX
aps-84	321	5	been	be	AUX
aps-84	321	6	ageing	age	VERB
aps-84	321	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	321	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	321	9	past	past	NOUN
aps-84	321	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	321	11	it	it	PRON
aps-84	321	12	is	be	AUX
aps-84	321	13	likely	likely	ADJ
aps-84	321	14	to	to	PART
aps-84	321	15	continue	continue	VERB
aps-84	321	16	to	to	PART
aps-84	321	17	age	age	VERB
aps-84	321	18	in	in	ADP
aps-84	321	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	321	20	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	321	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	322	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	322	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	322	3	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	322	4	of	of	ADP
aps-84	322	5	0	0	NUM
aps-84	322	6	year	year	NOUN
aps-84	322	7	olds	old	NOUN
aps-84	322	8	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	322	9	consistent	consistent	ADJ
aps-84	322	10	with	with	ADP
aps-84	322	11	the	the	DET
aps-84	322	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	322	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	322	14	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	323	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	323	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	323	3	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	323	4	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	323	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	323	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	323	7	total	total	ADJ
aps-84	323	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	323	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	323	10	males	male	NOUN
aps-84	323	11	per	per	ADP
aps-84	323	12	100	100	NUM
aps-84	323	13	females	female	NOUN
aps-84	323	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	323	15	change	change	NOUN
aps-84	323	16	slowly	slowly	ADV
aps-84	323	17	over	over	ADP
aps-84	323	18	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	323	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	323	20	not	not	PART
aps-84	323	21	differ	differ	VERB
aps-84	323	22	from	from	ADP
aps-84	323	23	the	the	DET
aps-84	323	24	initial	initial	ADJ
aps-84	323	25	value	value	NOUN
aps-84	323	26	too	too	ADV
aps-84	323	27	much	much	ADV
aps-84	323	28	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	324	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	324	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	324	3	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	324	4	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	324	5	by	by	ADP
aps-84	324	6	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	324	7	show	show	VERB
aps-84	324	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	324	9	pattern	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	324	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	324	11	values	value	NOUN
aps-84	324	12	above	above	ADP
aps-84	324	13	100	100	NUM
aps-84	324	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	324	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	324	16	childhood	childhood	NOUN
aps-84	324	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	324	18	younger	young	ADJ
aps-84	324	19	adult	adult	NOUN
aps-84	324	20	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	324	21	followed	follow	VERB
aps-84	324	22	by	by	ADP
aps-84	324	23	declines	decline	NOUN
aps-84	324	24	with	with	ADP
aps-84	324	25	increasing	increase	VERB
aps-84	324	26	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	324	27	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	325	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	325	2	it	it	PRON
aps-84	325	3	change	change	VERB
aps-84	325	4	slowly	slowly	ADV
aps-84	325	5	over	over	ADP
aps-84	325	6	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	325	7	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	326	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	326	2	male	male	ADJ
aps-84	326	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	326	4	female	female	ADJ
aps-84	326	5	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	326	6	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
aps-84	326	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	326	8	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	326	9	to	to	PART
aps-84	326	10	converge	converge	VERB
aps-84	326	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	326	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	326	13	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	326	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	326	15	does	do	AUX
aps-84	326	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	326	17	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	326	18	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	326	19	at	at	ADP
aps-84	326	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	326	21	older	old	ADJ
aps-84	326	22	ages	age	NOUN
aps-84	326	23	increase	increase	VERB
aps-84	326	24	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	327	1	does	do	AUX
aps-84	327	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	327	3	relative	relative	ADJ
aps-84	327	4	size	size	NOUN
aps-84	327	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	327	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	327	7	young	young	ADJ
aps-84	327	8	adult	adult	NOUN
aps-84	327	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	327	10	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	327	11	about	about	ADV
aps-84	327	12	right	right	ADV
aps-84	327	13	when	when	SCONJ
aps-84	327	14	considering	consider	VERB
aps-84	327	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	327	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	327	17	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	327	18	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	328	1	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	328	2	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	328	3	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	328	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	329	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	329	2	can	can	AUX
aps-84	329	3	be	be	AUX
aps-84	329	4	useful	useful	ADJ
aps-84	329	5	to	to	PART
aps-84	329	6	compare	compare	VERB
aps-84	329	7	your	your	PRON
aps-84	329	8	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	329	9	with	with	ADP
aps-84	329	10	those	those	PRON
aps-84	329	11	produced	produce	VERB
aps-84	329	12	by	by	ADP
aps-84	329	13	others	other	NOUN
aps-84	329	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	329	15	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	329	16	as	as	ADP
aps-84	329	17	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	329	18	produced	produce	VERB
aps-84	329	19	by	by	ADP
aps-84	329	20	a	a	DET
aps-84	329	21	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	329	22	statistical	statistical	ADJ
aps-84	329	23	office	office	NOUN
aps-84	329	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	330	1	unless	unless	SCONJ
aps-84	330	2	your	your	PRON
aps-84	330	3	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	330	4	have	have	VERB
aps-84	330	5	radically	radically	ADV
aps-84	330	6	different	different	ADJ
aps-84	330	7	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	330	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	330	9	the	the	DET
aps-84	330	10	broad	broad	ADJ
aps-84	330	11	shape	shape	NOUN
aps-84	330	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	330	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	330	14	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	330	15	is	be	AUX
aps-84	330	16	likely	likely	ADJ
aps-84	330	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	330	18	be	be	AUX
aps-84	330	19	similar	similar	ADJ
aps-84	330	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	330	21	at	at	ADP
aps-84	330	22	least	least	ADJ
aps-84	330	23	in	in	ADP
aps-84	330	24	the	the	DET
aps-84	330	25	initial	initial	ADJ
aps-84	330	26	years	year	NOUN
aps-84	330	27	of	of	ADP
aps-84	330	28	the	the	DET
aps-84	330	29	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	330	30	horizon	horizon	NOUN
aps-84	330	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	331	1	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	331	2	differences	difference	NOUN
aps-84	331	3	with	with	ADP
aps-84	331	4	other	other	ADJ
aps-84	331	5	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	331	6	should	should	AUX
aps-84	331	7	not	not	PART
aps-84	331	8	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
aps-84	331	9	be	be	AUX
aps-84	331	10	interpreted	interpret	VERB
aps-84	331	11	as	as	ADP
aps-84	331	12	problems	problem	NOUN
aps-84	331	13	with	with	ADP
aps-84	331	14	your	your	PRON
aps-84	331	15	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	331	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	332	1	if	if	SCONJ
aps-84	332	2	you	you	PRON
aps-84	332	3	have	have	VERB
aps-84	332	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	332	5	higher	high	ADJ
aps-84	332	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	332	7	assumption	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	332	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	332	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	332	10	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	332	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	332	12	you	you	PRON
aps-84	332	13	would	would	AUX
aps-84	332	14	expect	expect	VERB
aps-84	332	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	332	16	larger	large	ADJ
aps-84	332	17	projected	project	VERB
aps-84	332	18	childhood	childhood	ADJ
aps-84	332	19	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	332	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	333	1	for	for	SCONJ
aps-84	333	2	a	a	DET
aps-84	333	3	more	more	ADV
aps-84	333	4	detailed	detailed	ADJ
aps-84	333	5	checklist	checklist	NOUN
aps-84	333	6	see	see	VERB
aps-84	333	7	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	333	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	333	9	checklist	checklist	NOUN
aps-84	333	10	for	for	ADP
aps-84	333	11	reviewing	review	VERB
aps-84	333	12	draft	draft	NOUN
aps-84	333	13	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	333	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	333	15	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	333	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	333	17	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	333	18	2017b	2017b	NUM
aps-84	333	19	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	333	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	334	1	96	96	NUM
aps-84	334	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	334	3	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	334	4	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	334	5	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	334	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	334	7	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	334	8	5	5	NUM
aps-84	334	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	334	10	1	1	NUM
aps-84	334	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	334	12	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	334	13	7	7	NUM
aps-84	334	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	334	15	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
aps-84	334	16	this	this	DET
aps-84	334	17	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	334	18	has	have	AUX
aps-84	334	19	presented	present	VERB
aps-84	334	20	a	a	DET
aps-84	334	21	brief	brief	ADJ
aps-84	334	22	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	334	23	to	to	ADP
aps-84	334	24	producing	produce	VERB
aps-84	334	25	a	a	DET
aps-84	334	26	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	334	27	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	334	28	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	334	29	with	with	ADP
aps-84	334	30	a	a	DET
aps-84	334	31	cohortcomponent	cohortcomponent	NOUN
aps-84	334	32	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	334	33	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	335	1	several	several	ADJ
aps-84	335	2	stages	stage	NOUN
aps-84	335	3	in	in	ADP
aps-84	335	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	335	5	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	335	6	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	335	7	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	335	8	were	be	AUX
aps-84	335	9	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	335	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	335	11	starting	start	VERB
aps-84	335	12	with	with	ADP
aps-84	335	13	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	335	14	gathering	gathering	NOUN
aps-84	335	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	335	16	assumptions	assumption	VERB
aps-84	335	17	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	335	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	335	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	335	20	finishing	finish	VERB
aps-84	335	21	with	with	ADP
aps-84	335	22	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	335	23	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	335	24	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	335	25	output	output	NOUN
aps-84	335	26	checking	checking	NOUN
aps-84	335	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	336	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	336	2	described	describe	VERB
aps-84	336	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	336	4	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	336	5	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	336	6	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	336	7	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	336	8	from	from	ADP
aps-84	336	9	a	a	DET
aps-84	336	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	336	11	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	336	12	perspective	perspective	NOUN
aps-84	336	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	336	14	which	which	PRON
aps-84	336	15	derives	derive	VERB
aps-84	336	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	336	17	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	336	18	directly	directly	ADV
aps-84	336	19	from	from	ADP
aps-84	336	20	simple	simple	ADJ
aps-84	336	21	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	336	22	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	336	23	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	336	24	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	336	25	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	336	26	equations	equation	NOUN
aps-84	336	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	337	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	337	2	we	we	PRON
aps-84	337	3	created	create	VERB
aps-84	337	4	an	an	DET
aps-84	337	5	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	337	6	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	337	7	to	to	PART
aps-84	337	8	accompany	accompany	VERB
aps-84	337	9	this	this	DET
aps-84	337	10	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	337	11	which	which	PRON
aps-84	337	12	implements	implement	VERB
aps-84	337	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	337	14	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	337	15	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	337	16	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	337	17	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	337	18	for	for	ADP
aps-84	337	19	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	337	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	338	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	338	2	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	338	3	covered	cover	VERB
aps-84	338	4	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	338	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	338	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	338	7	key	key	ADJ
aps-84	338	8	elements	element	NOUN
aps-84	338	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	338	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	338	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	338	12	preparation	preparation	NOUN
aps-84	338	13	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	338	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	338	15	but	but	CCONJ
aps-84	338	16	it	it	PRON
aps-84	338	17	has	have	AUX
aps-84	338	18	not	not	PART
aps-84	338	19	been	be	AUX
aps-84	338	20	possible	possible	ADJ
aps-84	338	21	to	to	PART
aps-84	338	22	discuss	discuss	VERB
aps-84	338	23	all	all	DET
aps-84	338	24	relevant	relevant	ADJ
aps-84	338	25	issues	issue	NOUN
aps-84	338	26	in	in	ADP
aps-84	338	27	one	one	NUM
aps-84	338	28	short	short	ADJ
aps-84	338	29	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	338	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	339	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	339	2	said	say	VERB
aps-84	339	3	little	little	ADJ
aps-84	339	4	about	about	ADP
aps-84	339	5	the	the	DET
aps-84	339	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
aps-84	339	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	339	8	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	339	9	profiles	profile	NOUN
aps-84	339	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	339	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	339	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	339	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	339	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	339	15	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	339	16	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	339	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	339	18	remove	remove	VERB
aps-84	339	19	noise	noise	NOUN
aps-84	339	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	339	21	though	though	SCONJ
aps-84	339	22	noise	noise	NOUN
aps-84	339	23	is	be	AUX
aps-84	339	24	generally	generally	ADV
aps-84	339	25	minimal	minimal	ADJ
aps-84	339	26	at	at	ADP
aps-84	339	27	the	the	DET
aps-84	339	28	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	339	29	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	339	30	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	340	1	this	this	DET
aps-84	340	2	topic	topic	NOUN
aps-84	340	3	is	be	AUX
aps-84	340	4	covered	cover	VERB
aps-84	340	5	by	by	ADP
aps-84	340	6	preston	preston	PROPN
aps-84	340	7	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	340	8	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	340	9	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	341	1	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	341	2	2001	2001	NUM
aps-84	341	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	341	4	chapter	chapter	NOUN
aps-84	341	5	9	9	NUM
aps-84	341	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	341	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	341	8	de	de	X
aps-84	341	9	beer	beer	NOUN
aps-84	341	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	341	11	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	341	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	341	13	2012	2012	NUM
aps-84	341	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	341	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	341	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	341	17	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	341	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	341	19	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	341	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	341	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	342	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	342	2	did	do	AUX
aps-84	342	3	n’t	not	PART
aps-84	342	4	go	go	VERB
aps-84	342	5	into	into	ADP
aps-84	342	6	much	much	ADJ
aps-84	342	7	detail	detail	NOUN
aps-84	342	8	about	about	ADP
aps-84	342	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	342	10	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	342	11	reconciliation	reconciliation	NOUN
aps-84	342	12	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	342	13	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	342	14	discrepancies	discrepancy	NOUN
aps-84	342	15	are	be	AUX
aps-84	342	16	usually	usually	ADV
aps-84	342	17	not	not	PART
aps-84	342	18	a	a	DET
aps-84	342	19	major	major	ADJ
aps-84	342	20	problem	problem	NOUN
aps-84	342	21	at	at	ADP
aps-84	342	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	342	23	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	342	24	scale	scale	NOUN
aps-84	342	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	342	26	nor	nor	CCONJ
aps-84	342	27	did	do	AUX
aps-84	342	28	we	we	PRON
aps-84	342	29	consider	consider	VERB
aps-84	342	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	342	31	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
aps-84	342	32	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	342	33	error	error	NOUN
aps-84	342	34	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	342	35	on	on	ADP
aps-84	342	36	this	this	PRON
aps-84	342	37	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	342	38	see	see	VERB
aps-84	342	39	keilman	keilman	NOUN
aps-84	342	40	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	342	41	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	342	42	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	342	43	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	342	44	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	342	45	for	for	ADP
aps-84	342	46	an	an	DET
aps-84	342	47	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	342	48	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	342	49	of	of	ADP
aps-84	342	50	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
aps-84	342	51	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	342	52	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	342	53	see	see	VERB
aps-84	342	54	bell	bell	PROPN
aps-84	342	55	et	et	PROPN
aps-84	342	56	al	al	PROPN
aps-84	342	57	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	342	58	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	342	59	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	342	60	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	343	1	we	we	PRON
aps-84	343	2	also	also	ADV
aps-84	343	3	did	do	AUX
aps-84	343	4	not	not	PART
aps-84	343	5	cover	cover	VERB
aps-84	343	6	any	any	DET
aps-84	343	7	topics	topic	NOUN
aps-84	343	8	which	which	PRON
aps-84	343	9	become	become	VERB
aps-84	343	10	relevant	relevant	ADJ
aps-84	343	11	once	once	SCONJ
aps-84	343	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	343	13	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	343	14	have	have	AUX
aps-84	343	15	been	be	AUX
aps-84	343	16	finalised	finalise	VERB
aps-84	343	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	343	18	such	such	ADJ
aps-84	343	19	as	as	ADP
aps-84	343	20	the	the	DET
aps-84	343	21	best	good	ADJ
aps-84	343	22	ways	way	NOUN
aps-84	343	23	of	of	ADP
aps-84	343	24	communicating	communicate	VERB
aps-84	343	25	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	343	26	to	to	ADP
aps-84	343	27	stakeholders	stakeholder	NOUN
aps-84	343	28	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	343	29	johnstone	johnstone	PROPN
aps-84	343	30	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	343	31	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	343	32	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	344	1	it	it	PRON
aps-84	344	2	is	be	AUX
aps-84	344	3	important	important	ADJ
aps-84	344	4	to	to	PART
aps-84	344	5	note	note	VERB
aps-84	344	6	that	that	SCONJ
aps-84	344	7	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	344	8	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	344	9	a	a	DET
aps-84	344	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	344	11	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	344	12	may	may	AUX
aps-84	344	13	initially	initially	ADV
aps-84	344	14	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	344	15	like	like	ADP
aps-84	344	16	a	a	DET
aps-84	344	17	mostly	mostly	ADV
aps-84	344	18	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
aps-84	344	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	344	20	objective	objective	ADJ
aps-84	344	21	exercise	exercise	NOUN
aps-84	344	22	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	344	23	there	there	PRON
aps-84	344	24	are	be	VERB
aps-84	344	25	actually	actually	ADV
aps-84	344	26	many	many	ADJ
aps-84	344	27	judgements	judgement	NOUN
aps-84	344	28	which	which	PRON
aps-84	344	29	must	must	AUX
aps-84	344	30	be	be	AUX
aps-84	344	31	made	make	VERB
aps-84	344	32	as	as	ADP
aps-84	344	33	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	344	34	of	of	ADP
aps-84	344	35	the	the	DET
aps-84	344	36	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	344	37	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	345	1	while	while	SCONJ
aps-84	345	2	some	some	PRON
aps-84	345	3	may	may	AUX
aps-84	345	4	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	345	5	like	like	ADP
aps-84	345	6	minor	minor	ADJ
aps-84	345	7	technical	technical	ADJ
aps-84	345	8	decisions	decision	NOUN
aps-84	345	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	345	10	they	they	PRON
aps-84	345	11	require	require	VERB
aps-84	345	12	careful	careful	ADJ
aps-84	345	13	consideration	consideration	NOUN
aps-84	345	14	because	because	SCONJ
aps-84	345	15	they	they	PRON
aps-84	345	16	might	might	AUX
aps-84	345	17	substantially	substantially	ADV
aps-84	345	18	impact	impact	VERB
aps-84	345	19	the	the	DET
aps-84	345	20	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	345	21	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	345	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	346	1	for	for	ADP
aps-84	346	2	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	346	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	346	4	decisions	decision	NOUN
aps-84	346	5	are	be	AUX
aps-84	346	6	made	make	VERB
aps-84	346	7	about	about	ADP
aps-84	346	8	input	input	NOUN
aps-84	346	9	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	346	10	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
aps-84	346	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	346	12	about	about	ADP
aps-84	346	13	which	which	DET
aps-84	346	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	346	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	346	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	346	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	346	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	346	19	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	346	20	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	346	21	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	346	22	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	346	23	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	346	24	to	to	PART
aps-84	346	25	use	use	VERB
aps-84	346	26	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	346	27	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	346	28	whether	whether	SCONJ
aps-84	346	29	the	the	DET
aps-84	346	30	outputs	output	NOUN
aps-84	346	31	seem	seem	VERB
aps-84	346	32	plausible	plausible	ADJ
aps-84	346	33	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	346	34	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
aps-84	346	35	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	347	1	mastering	master	VERB
aps-84	347	2	the	the	DET
aps-84	347	3	calculations	calculation	NOUN
aps-84	347	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	347	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	347	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	347	7	is	be	AUX
aps-84	347	8	relatively	relatively	ADV
aps-84	347	9	easy	easy	ADJ
aps-84	347	10	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	347	11	making	make	VERB
aps-84	347	12	good	good	ADJ
aps-84	347	13	decisions	decision	NOUN
aps-84	347	14	throughout	throughout	ADP
aps-84	347	15	the	the	DET
aps-84	347	16	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	347	17	process	process	NOUN
aps-84	347	18	is	be	AUX
aps-84	347	19	more	more	ADV
aps-84	347	20	challenging	challenging	ADJ
aps-84	347	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	347	22	is	be	AUX
aps-84	347	23	developed	develop	VERB
aps-84	347	24	with	with	ADP
aps-84	347	25	practice	practice	NOUN
aps-84	347	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	348	1	excel	excel	VERB
aps-84	348	2	workbook	workbook	PROPN
aps-84	348	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	348	4	excel	excel	NOUN
aps-84	348	5	workbook	workbook	NOUN
aps-84	348	6	containing	contain	VERB
aps-84	348	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	348	8	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	348	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	348	10	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	348	11	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	348	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	348	13	example	example	NOUN
aps-84	348	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	348	15	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	348	16	for	for	ADP
aps-84	348	17	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	348	18	may	may	AUX
aps-84	348	19	be	be	AUX
aps-84	348	20	downloaded	download	VERB
aps-84	348	21	from	from	ADP
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aps-84	349	2	funding	fund	VERB
aps-84	349	3	support	support	NOUN
aps-84	349	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	349	5	tw	tw	NOUN
aps-84	349	6	from	from	ADP
aps-84	349	7	the	the	DET
aps-84	349	8	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	349	9	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	349	10	council	council	PROPN
aps-84	349	11	centre	centre	NOUN
aps-84	349	12	of	of	ADP
aps-84	349	13	excellence	excellence	PROPN
aps-84	349	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	349	15	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	349	16	ageing	age	VERB
aps-84	349	17	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	349	18	is	be	AUX
aps-84	349	19	gratefully	gratefully	ADV
aps-84	349	20	acknowledged	acknowledge	VERB
aps-84	349	21	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	349	22	project	project	NOUN
aps-84	349	23	number	number	NOUN
aps-84	349	24	ce1101029	ce1101029	PROPN
aps-84	349	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	349	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	350	1	helpful	helpful	ADJ
aps-84	350	2	comments	comment	NOUN
aps-84	350	3	on	on	ADP
aps-84	350	4	an	an	DET
aps-84	350	5	earlier	early	ADJ
aps-84	350	6	draft	draft	NOUN
aps-84	350	7	of	of	ADP
aps-84	350	8	this	this	DET
aps-84	350	9	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	350	10	were	be	AUX
aps-84	350	11	kindly	kindly	ADV
aps-84	350	12	provided	provide	VERB
aps-84	350	13	by	by	ADP
aps-84	350	14	ahana	ahana	PROPN
aps-84	350	15	banerjee	banerjee	PROPN
aps-84	350	16	sen	sen	PROPN
aps-84	350	17	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	350	18	rosabella	rosabella	PROPN
aps-84	350	19	borsellino	borsellino	PROPN
aps-84	350	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	350	21	dagmara	dagmara	PROPN
aps-84	350	22	laukova	laukova	PROPN
aps-84	350	23	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	350	24	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	350	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	350	26	anonymous	anonymous	ADJ
aps-84	350	27	reviewers	reviewer	NOUN
aps-84	350	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	351	1	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.13565222.v3	PROPN
aps-84	351	2	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	351	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	351	4	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	351	5	5	5	NUM
aps-84	351	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	351	7	1	1	NUM
aps-84	351	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	351	9	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	351	10	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	351	11	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	351	12	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	351	13	97	97	NUM
aps-84	351	14	references	reference	NOUN
aps-84	351	15	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	351	16	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	351	17	1999	1999	NUM
aps-84	351	18	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	351	19	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	351	20	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	351	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	351	22	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	351	23	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	351	24	concepts	concept	NOUN
aps-84	351	25	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	351	26	sources	source	NOUN
aps-84	351	27	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	351	28	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	351	29	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	351	30	1999	1999	NUM
aps-84	351	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	352	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	352	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	352	3	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	352	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	353	1	https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3228.0	https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3228.0	AUX
aps-84	353	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	353	3	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	353	4	16	16	NUM
aps-84	353	5	march	march	NOUN
aps-84	353	6	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	353	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	354	1	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	354	2	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	354	3	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	354	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	354	5	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	354	6	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	354	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	354	8	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	354	9	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	355	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	355	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	355	3	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	355	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	356	1	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latestrelease	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latestrelease	PROPN
aps-84	356	2	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	357	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	357	2	16	16	NUM
aps-84	357	3	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	357	4	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	357	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	358	1	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	358	2	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	358	3	2020a	2020a	NOUN
aps-84	358	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	358	5	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	358	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	358	7	state	state	NOUN
aps-84	358	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	358	9	territory	territory	NOUN
aps-84	358	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	358	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	359	1	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territorypopulation/jun-2020	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territorypopulation/jun-2020	PROPN
aps-84	359	2	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	360	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	360	2	17	17	NUM
aps-84	360	3	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	360	4	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	360	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	361	1	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	361	2	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	361	3	2020b	2020b	NUM
aps-84	361	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	361	5	births	birth	NOUN
aps-84	361	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	361	7	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	361	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	361	9	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	361	10	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	361	11	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	361	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	362	1	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/births-australia/latest-release	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/births-australia/latest-release	NOUN
aps-84	362	2	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	362	3	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	362	4	16	16	NUM
aps-84	362	5	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	362	6	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	362	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	363	1	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	363	2	government	government	NOUN
aps-84	363	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	363	4	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	363	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	363	6	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	363	7	intergenerational	intergenerational	ADJ
aps-84	363	8	report	report	NOUN
aps-84	363	9	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	363	10	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	363	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	363	12	2055	2055	NUM
aps-84	363	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	364	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	364	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	364	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	364	4	treasury	treasury	PROPN
aps-84	364	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	365	1	https://treasury.gov.au/publication/2015-igr	https://treasury.gov.au/publication/2015-igr	PROPN
aps-84	365	2	bell	bell	PROPN
aps-84	365	3	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	365	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	365	5	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	365	6	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	365	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	365	8	charles	charles	PROPN
aps-84	365	9	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	365	10	edwards	edwards	PROPN
aps-84	365	11	e	e	PROPN
aps-84	365	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	365	13	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	365	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	365	15	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	365	16	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	365	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	365	18	future	future	NOUN
aps-84	365	19	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	365	20	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
aps-84	365	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	365	22	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
aps-84	365	23	expert	expert	ADJ
aps-84	365	24	judgement	judgement	NOUN
aps-84	365	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	366	1	geographical	geographical	ADJ
aps-84	366	2	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	366	3	49(3	49(3	PROPN
aps-84	366	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	366	5	261	261	NUM
aps-84	366	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	366	7	275	275	NUM
aps-84	366	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	367	1	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-5871.2011.00702.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-5871.2011.00702.x	PROPN
aps-84	367	2	bijak	bijak	PROPN
aps-84	367	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	367	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	367	5	2012	2012	NUM
aps-84	367	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	367	7	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	367	8	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	367	9	in	in	ADP
aps-84	367	10	the	the	DET
aps-84	367	11	uk	uk	PROPN
aps-84	367	12	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	367	13	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	367	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	367	15	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	367	16	methodology	methodology	PROPN
aps-84	367	17	review	review	NOUN
aps-84	367	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	368	1	university	university	NOUN
aps-84	368	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	368	3	southampton	southampton	PROPN
aps-84	368	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	368	5	uk	uk	PROPN
aps-84	368	6	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	368	7	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/population	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/population	NOUN
aps-84	368	8	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	368	9	/	/	SYM
aps-84	368	10	methodologies	methodology	NOUN
aps-84	368	11	/	/	SYM
aps-84	368	12	nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyr	nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyr	PROPN
aps-84	368	13	eview	eview	PROPN
aps-84	368	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	369	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	369	2	22	22	NUM
aps-84	369	3	august	august	PROPN
aps-84	369	4	2013	2013	NUM
aps-84	369	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	370	1	bijak	bijak	PROPN
aps-84	370	2	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	370	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	370	4	disney	disney	PROPN
aps-84	370	5	g	g	NOUN
aps-84	370	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	370	7	findlay	findlay	VERB
aps-84	370	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	370	9	m	m	NOUN
aps-84	370	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	370	11	forster	forster	PROPN
aps-84	370	12	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	370	13	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	370	14	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	370	15	smith	smith	PROPN
aps-84	370	16	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	370	17	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	370	18	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	370	19	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	370	20	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	370	21	wiśniowski	wiśniowski	ADJ
aps-84	370	22	a	a	PRON
aps-84	370	23	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	370	24	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	370	25	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	370	26	assessing	assess	VERB
aps-84	370	27	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	370	28	series	series	NOUN
aps-84	370	29	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	370	30	for	for	ADP
aps-84	370	31	forecasting	forecast	VERB
aps-84	370	32	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	370	33	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	370	34	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	370	35	lessons	lesson	NOUN
aps-84	370	36	from	from	ADP
aps-84	370	37	the	the	DET
aps-84	370	38	united	united	ADJ
aps-84	370	39	kingdom	kingdom	PROPN
aps-84	370	40	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	371	1	journal	journal	PROPN
aps-84	371	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	371	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	371	4	38(5	38(5	NUM
aps-84	371	5	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	371	6	470	470	NUM
aps-84	371	7	-	-	SYM
aps-84	371	8	487	487	NUM
aps-84	371	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	372	1	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2576	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2576	PROPN
aps-84	372	2	bohk	bohk	PROPN
aps-84	372	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	372	4	ewald	ewald	PROPN
aps-84	372	5	c	c	PROPN
aps-84	372	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	372	7	li	li	PROPN
aps-84	372	8	p	p	X
aps-84	372	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	372	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	372	11	myrskylä	myrskylä	NOUN
aps-84	372	12	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	372	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	372	14	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	372	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	372	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	372	17	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
aps-84	372	18	hardly	hardly	ADV
aps-84	372	19	improves	improve	VERB
aps-84	372	20	with	with	ADP
aps-84	372	21	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	372	22	complexity	complexity	NOUN
aps-84	372	23	when	when	SCONJ
aps-84	372	24	completing	complete	VERB
aps-84	372	25	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	372	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	372	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	373	1	proceedings	proceeding	NOUN
aps-84	373	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	373	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	373	4	national	national	PROPN
aps-84	373	5	academy	academy	PROPN
aps-84	373	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	373	7	sciences	sciences	PROPN
aps-84	373	8	115(37	115(37	NUM
aps-84	373	9	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	373	10	9187	9187	NUM
aps-84	373	11	-	-	SYM
aps-84	373	12	9192	9192	NUM
aps-84	373	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	374	1	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115	PROPN
aps-84	374	2	booth	booth	PROPN
aps-84	374	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	374	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	374	5	2006	2006	NUM
aps-84	374	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	374	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	374	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	374	9	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	374	10	1980	1980	NUM
aps-84	374	11	to	to	ADP
aps-84	374	12	2005	2005	NUM
aps-84	374	13	in	in	ADP
aps-84	374	14	review	review	NOUN
aps-84	374	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	375	1	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	375	2	journal	journal	NOUN
aps-84	375	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	375	4	forecasting	forecast	VERB
aps-84	375	5	22(3	22(3	NUM
aps-84	375	6	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	375	7	547	547	NUM
aps-84	375	8	-	-	SYM
aps-84	375	9	581	581	NUM
aps-84	375	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	376	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	NOUN
aps-84	376	2	booth	booth	NOUN
aps-84	376	3	h	h	NOUN
aps-84	376	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	376	5	tickle	tickle	PROPN
aps-84	376	6	l	l	NOUN
aps-84	376	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	376	8	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	376	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	376	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	376	11	modelling	modelling	NOUN
aps-84	376	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	376	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	376	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	376	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	376	16	review	review	NOUN
aps-84	376	17	of	of	ADP
aps-84	376	18	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	376	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	377	1	annals	annal	NOUN
aps-84	377	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	377	3	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
aps-84	377	4	science	science	NOUN
aps-84	377	5	3(1	3(1	NUM
aps-84	377	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	377	7	1	1	NUM
aps-84	377	8	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	377	9	3	3	NUM
aps-84	377	10	-	-	SYM
aps-84	377	11	43	43	NUM
aps-84	377	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	378	1	https://doi.org/10.1017/s1748499500000440	https://doi.org/10.1017/s1748499500000440	NUM
aps-84	378	2	burch	burch	NOUN
aps-84	378	3	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	378	4	k	k	PROPN
aps-84	378	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	378	6	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	378	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	378	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	378	9	cohort	cohort	NOUN
aps-84	378	10	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	378	11	component	component	NOUN
aps-84	378	12	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	378	13	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	378	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	378	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	378	16	strange	strange	ADJ
aps-84	378	17	attractor	attractor	NOUN
aps-84	378	18	for	for	ADP
aps-84	378	19	demographers	demographer	NOUN
aps-84	378	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	379	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	379	2	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	379	3	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	379	4	based	base	VERB
aps-84	379	5	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	379	6	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	379	7	essays	essay	NOUN
aps-84	379	8	on	on	ADP
aps-84	379	9	integrating	integrate	VERB
aps-84	379	10	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	379	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	379	12	technique	technique	NOUN
aps-84	379	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	379	14	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	379	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	380	1	cham	cham	PROPN
aps-84	380	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	380	3	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	380	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	380	5	135	135	NUM
aps-84	380	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	380	7	151	151	NUM
aps-84	380	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	381	1	calot	calot	NOUN
aps-84	381	2	g	g	NOUN
aps-84	381	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	381	4	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	381	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	381	6	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	381	7	techniques	technique	NOUN
aps-84	381	8	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	381	9	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	381	10	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	381	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	382	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	382	2	wright	wright	PROPN
aps-84	382	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	382	4	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	382	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	382	6	ed	ed	NOUN
aps-84	382	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	382	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	383	1	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	383	2	encyclopedia	encyclopedia	NOUN
aps-84	383	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	383	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	383	5	social	social	ADJ
aps-84	383	6	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	383	7	behavioral	behavioral	ADJ
aps-84	383	8	sciences	sciences	PROPN
aps-84	383	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	384	1	second	second	ADJ
aps-84	384	2	edition	edition	NOUN
aps-84	384	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	384	4	volume	volume	NOUN
aps-84	384	5	6	6	NUM
aps-84	384	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	385	1	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
aps-84	385	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	385	3	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
aps-84	385	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	385	5	pp	pp	X
aps-84	385	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	386	1	154	154	NUM
aps-84	386	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	386	3	161	161	NUM
aps-84	386	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	387	1	cappelen	cappelen	VERB
aps-84	387	2	a	a	DET
aps-84	387	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	387	4	skjerpen	skjerpen	PROPN
aps-84	387	5	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	387	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	387	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	387	8	tønnessen	tønnessen	VERB
aps-84	387	9	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	387	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	387	11	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	387	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	387	13	forecasting	forecast	VERB
aps-84	387	14	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	387	15	in	in	ADP
aps-84	387	16	official	official	ADJ
aps-84	387	17	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	387	18	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	387	19	using	use	VERB
aps-84	387	20	an	an	DET
aps-84	387	21	econometric	econometric	ADJ
aps-84	387	22	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	387	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	388	1	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	388	2	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	388	3	review	review	NOUN
aps-84	388	4	49(4	49(4	NOUN
aps-84	388	5	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	388	6	945	945	NUM
aps-84	388	7	-	-	SYM
aps-84	388	8	980	980	NUM
aps-84	388	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	389	1	https://doi.org/10.1111/imre.12092	https://doi.org/10.1111/imre.12092	PROPN
aps-84	389	2	centre	centre	NOUN
aps-84	389	3	for	for	ADP
aps-84	389	4	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	389	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	389	6	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	389	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	389	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	389	9	statement	statement	NOUN
aps-84	389	10	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	389	11	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	389	12	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	389	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	390	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	390	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	390	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	390	4	treasury	treasury	NOUN
aps-84	390	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	391	1	https://population.gov.au/publications/publications-population-statement.html	https://population.gov.au/publications/publications-population-statement.html	PROPN
aps-84	391	2	de	de	PROPN
aps-84	391	3	beer	beer	PROPN
aps-84	391	4	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	391	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	391	6	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	391	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	391	8	forecasting	forecast	VERB
aps-84	391	9	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	391	10	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	391	11	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	391	12	time	time	NOUN
aps-84	391	13	series	series	PROPN
aps-84	391	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	391	15	vs	vs	ADP
aps-84	391	16	argument	argument	NOUN
aps-84	391	17	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	391	18	based	base	VERB
aps-84	391	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	391	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	392	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	392	2	raymer	raymer	PROPN
aps-84	392	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	392	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	392	5	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	392	6	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	392	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	392	8	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	392	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	392	10	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	392	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	392	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	392	13	europe	europe	PROPN
aps-84	392	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	392	15	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	392	16	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	392	17	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	392	18	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	392	19	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	392	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	393	1	chichester	chichester	PROPN
aps-84	393	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	393	3	wiley	wiley	PROPN
aps-84	393	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	393	5	pp	pp	X
aps-84	393	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	394	1	283	283	NUM
aps-84	394	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	394	3	306	306	NUM
aps-84	394	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	395	1	de	de	X
aps-84	395	2	beer	beer	PROPN
aps-84	395	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	395	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	395	5	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	395	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	395	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	395	8	new	new	ADJ
aps-84	395	9	relational	relational	ADJ
aps-84	395	10	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	395	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	395	12	smoothing	smooth	VERB
aps-84	395	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	395	14	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	395	15	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	395	16	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	395	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	395	18	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	395	19	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	395	20	topals	topal	NOUN
aps-84	395	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	396	1	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	396	2	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	396	3	24(18	24(18	NUM
aps-84	396	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	396	5	409	409	NUM
aps-84	396	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	396	7	454	454	NUM
aps-84	396	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	396	9	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.24.18	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.24.18	X
aps-84	397	1	https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3228.0	https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/3228.0	INTJ
aps-84	397	2	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latest-release	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latest-release	INTJ
aps-84	397	3	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latest-release	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/population-projections-australia/latest-release	ADJ
aps-84	397	4	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2020	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2020	NOUN
aps-84	397	5	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2020	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2020	X
aps-84	397	6	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/births-australia/latest-release	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/births-australia/latest-release	NOUN
aps-84	397	7	https://treasury.gov.au/publication/2015-igr	https://treasury.gov.au/publication/2015-igr	NOUN
aps-84	397	8	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-5871.2011.00702.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-5871.2011.00702.x	NOUN
aps-84	397	9	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	PROPN
aps-84	397	10	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	PROPN
aps-84	397	11	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationprojections/methodologies/nationalpopulationprojectionsmigrationassumptionsmethodologyreview	NOUN
aps-84	397	12	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2576	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2576	PROPN
aps-84	397	13	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722364115	NOUN
aps-84	397	14	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	NOUN
aps-84	397	15	https://doi.org/10.1017/s1748499500000440	https://doi.org/10.1017/s1748499500000440	NUM
aps-84	397	16	https://doi.org/10.1111/imre.12092	https://doi.org/10.1111/imre.12092	NOUN
aps-84	397	17	https://population.gov.au/publications/publications-population-statement.html	https://population.gov.au/publications/publications-population-statement.html	PROPN
aps-84	397	18	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.24.18	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.24.18	PROPN
aps-84	397	19	98	98	NUM
aps-84	397	20	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	397	21	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	397	22	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	397	23	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	397	24	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	397	25	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	397	26	5	5	NUM
aps-84	397	27	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	397	28	1	1	NUM
aps-84	397	29	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	397	30	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	397	31	de	de	X
aps-84	397	32	beer	beer	PROPN
aps-84	397	33	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	397	34	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	397	35	2012	2012	NUM
aps-84	397	36	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	397	37	smoothing	smooth	VERB
aps-84	397	38	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	397	39	projecting	project	VERB
aps-84	397	40	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	397	41	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	397	42	specific	specific	ADJ
aps-84	397	43	probabilities	probability	NOUN
aps-84	397	44	of	of	ADP
aps-84	397	45	death	death	NOUN
aps-84	397	46	by	by	ADP
aps-84	397	47	topals	topal	NOUN
aps-84	397	48	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	398	1	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	398	2	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	398	3	27(20	27(20	NUM
aps-84	398	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	398	5	543	543	NUM
aps-84	398	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	398	7	592	592	NUM
aps-84	398	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	399	1	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2012.27.20	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2012.27.20	X
aps-84	399	2	dion	dion	NOUN
aps-84	399	3	p	p	X
aps-84	399	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	399	5	galbraith	galbraith	PROPN
aps-84	399	6	n	n	CCONJ
aps-84	399	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	399	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	399	9	sirag	sirag	PROPN
aps-84	399	10	e	e	PROPN
aps-84	399	11	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	399	12	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	399	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	399	14	using	use	VERB
aps-84	399	15	expert	expert	ADJ
aps-84	399	16	elicitation	elicitation	NOUN
aps-84	399	17	to	to	PART
aps-84	399	18	build	build	VERB
aps-84	399	19	long	long	ADJ
aps-84	399	20	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	399	21	term	term	NOUN
aps-84	399	22	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	399	23	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	399	24	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	400	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	400	2	mazzuco	mazzuco	PROPN
aps-84	400	3	s	s	PROPN
aps-84	400	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	400	5	keilman	keilman	PROPN
aps-84	400	6	n	n	PROPN
aps-84	400	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	400	8	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	400	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	400	10	developments	development	NOUN
aps-84	400	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	400	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	400	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	400	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	401	1	cham	cham	PROPN
aps-84	401	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	401	3	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	401	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	401	5	pp	pp	X
aps-84	401	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	402	1	43	43	NUM
aps-84	402	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	402	3	62	62	NUM
aps-84	402	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	403	1	ediev	ediev	ADV
aps-84	403	2	d	d	X
aps-84	403	3	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	403	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	403	5	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	403	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	403	7	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
aps-84	403	8	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	403	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	403	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	403	11	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	403	12	towards	towards	ADP
aps-84	403	13	a	a	DET
aps-84	403	14	more	more	ADV
aps-84	403	15	consistent	consistent	ADJ
aps-84	403	16	method	method	NOUN
aps-84	403	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	404	1	part	part	NOUN
aps-84	405	1	i	i	PRON
aps-84	405	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	405	3	the	the	DET
aps-84	405	4	central	central	ADJ
aps-84	405	5	scenario	scenario	NOUN
aps-84	405	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	406	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
aps-84	406	2	institute	institute	PROPN
aps-84	406	3	for	for	ADP
aps-84	406	4	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	406	5	working	working	NOUN
aps-84	406	6	paper	paper	PROPN
aps-84	406	7	3/2008	3/2008	PROPN
aps-84	406	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	407	1	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/	PROPN
aps-84	407	2	wp2008_03.pdf	wp2008_03.pdf	PROPN
aps-84	407	3	ediev	ediev	ADV
aps-84	407	4	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	407	5	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	407	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	407	7	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	407	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	407	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	407	10	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	407	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	408	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	408	2	gu	gu	PROPN
aps-84	408	3	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	408	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	408	5	dupre	dupre	PROPN
aps-84	408	6	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	408	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	408	8	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	408	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	408	10	encyclopedia	encyclopedia	NOUN
aps-84	408	11	of	of	ADP
aps-84	408	12	gerontology	gerontology	NOUN
aps-84	408	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	408	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	408	15	aging	aging	NOUN
aps-84	408	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	409	1	cham	cham	PROPN
aps-84	409	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	409	3	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	409	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	409	5	pp	pp	ADP
aps-84	409	6	1	1	NUM
aps-84	409	7	-	-	SYM
aps-84	409	8	9	9	NUM
aps-84	409	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	409	10	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1	PROPN
aps-84	410	1	gleditsch	gleditsch	PROPN
aps-84	410	2	r	r	PROPN
aps-84	410	3	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	410	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	410	5	syse	syse	PROPN
aps-84	410	6	a	a	DET
aps-84	410	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	410	8	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	410	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	410	10	ways	way	NOUN
aps-84	410	11	to	to	PART
aps-84	410	12	project	project	VERB
aps-84	410	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	410	14	in	in	ADP
aps-84	410	15	europe	europe	PROPN
aps-84	410	16	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	410	17	perceptions	perception	NOUN
aps-84	410	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	410	19	current	current	ADJ
aps-84	410	20	practices	practice	NOUN
aps-84	410	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	410	22	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
aps-84	410	23	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	411	1	discussion	discussion	NOUN
aps-84	411	2	papers	paper	NOUN
aps-84	411	3	no	no	INTJ
aps-84	411	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	412	1	929	929	NUM
aps-84	412	2	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	412	3	statistics	statistic	NOUN
aps-84	412	4	norway	norway	PROPN
aps-84	412	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	413	1	https://www.ssb.no/en/forskning/discussion-papers/ways-to-project-fertility-in-europe	https://www.ssb.no/en/forskning/discussion-papers/ways-to-project-fertility-in-europe	NOUN
aps-84	413	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	414	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	414	2	16	16	NUM
aps-84	414	3	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	414	4	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	414	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	415	1	hilton	hilton	PROPN
aps-84	415	2	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	415	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	415	4	dodd	dodd	PROPN
aps-84	415	5	e	e	PROPN
aps-84	415	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	415	7	forster	forster	PROPN
aps-84	415	8	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	415	9	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	415	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	415	11	smith	smith	PROPN
aps-84	415	12	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	415	13	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	415	14	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	415	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	415	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	415	17	bijak	bijak	PROPN
aps-84	415	18	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	415	19	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	415	20	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	415	21	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	415	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	415	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	415	24	using	use	VERB
aps-84	415	25	parametric	parametric	ADJ
aps-84	415	26	mixture	mixture	NOUN
aps-84	415	27	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	415	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	416	1	https://arxiv.org/pdf/1909.09545.pdf	https://arxiv.org/pdf/1909.09545.pdf	PROPN
aps-84	416	2	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	416	3	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	416	4	16	16	NUM
aps-84	416	5	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	416	6	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	416	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	417	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
aps-84	417	2	r	r	PROPN
aps-84	417	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	417	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	417	5	booth	booth	NOUN
aps-84	417	6	h	h	NOUN
aps-84	417	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	417	8	tickle	tickle	NOUN
aps-84	417	9	l	l	NOUN
aps-84	417	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	417	11	maindonald	maindonald	PROPN
aps-84	417	12	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	417	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	417	14	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	417	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	417	16	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	417	17	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	417	18	package	package	NOUN
aps-84	417	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	418	1	https://cran.rproject.org/package=demography	https://cran.rproject.org/package=demography	PRON
aps-84	418	2	johnstone	johnstone	PROPN
aps-84	418	3	k	k	PROPN
aps-84	418	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	418	5	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	418	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	418	7	communicating	communicate	VERB
aps-84	418	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	418	9	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	418	10	to	to	ADP
aps-84	418	11	stakeholders	stakeholder	NOUN
aps-84	418	12	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	418	13	a	a	DET
aps-84	418	14	case	case	NOUN
aps-84	418	15	study	study	NOUN
aps-84	418	16	from	from	ADP
aps-84	418	17	new	new	ADJ
aps-84	418	18	south	south	PROPN
aps-84	418	19	wales	wales	PROPN
aps-84	418	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	419	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	419	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	419	3	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	419	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	419	5	charles	charles	PROPN
aps-84	419	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	419	7	edwards	edwards	PROPN
aps-84	419	8	e	e	PROPN
aps-84	419	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	419	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	419	11	bell	bell	NOUN
aps-84	419	12	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	419	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	419	14	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	419	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	419	16	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	419	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	419	18	planning	planning	NOUN
aps-84	419	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	419	20	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	419	21	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	419	22	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	419	23	case	case	NOUN
aps-84	419	24	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	419	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	420	1	cham	cham	PROPN
aps-84	420	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	420	3	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	420	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	420	5	pp	pp	X
aps-84	420	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	421	1	71	71	NUM
aps-84	421	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	421	3	89	89	NUM
aps-84	421	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	422	1	keilman	keilman	PROPN
aps-84	422	2	n	n	PROPN
aps-84	422	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	422	4	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	422	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	422	6	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
aps-84	422	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	422	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	422	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	423	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
aps-84	423	2	yearbook	yearbook	NOUN
aps-84	423	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	423	4	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	423	5	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	423	6	16	16	NUM
aps-84	423	7	:	:	SYM
aps-84	423	8	111	111	NUM
aps-84	423	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	424	1	https://austriaca.at/0xc1aa5576%200x003a2757.pdf	https://austriaca.at/0xc1aa5576%200x003a2757.pdf	NOUN
aps-84	424	2	keilman	keilman	PROPN
aps-84	424	3	n	n	CCONJ
aps-84	424	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	424	5	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	424	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	424	7	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
aps-84	424	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	424	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	424	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	424	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	424	12	the	the	DET
aps-84	424	13	twenty	twenty	NUM
aps-84	424	14	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	424	15	first	first	ADJ
aps-84	424	16	century	century	NOUN
aps-84	424	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	425	1	annual	annual	ADJ
aps-84	425	2	review	review	NOUN
aps-84	425	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	425	4	resource	resource	NOUN
aps-84	425	5	economics	economic	NOUN
aps-84	425	6	12	12	NUM
aps-84	425	7	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	425	8	449	449	NUM
aps-84	425	9	-	-	SYM
aps-84	425	10	470	470	NUM
aps-84	425	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	426	1	https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-110319-114841	https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-110319-114841	PROPN
aps-84	426	2	kinter	kinter	VERB
aps-84	426	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	426	4	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	426	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	426	6	2004	2004	NUM
aps-84	426	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	426	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	426	9	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	426	10	table	table	NOUN
aps-84	426	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	427	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	427	2	swanson	swanson	PROPN
aps-84	427	3	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	427	4	a	a	PROPN
aps-84	427	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	427	6	ed	ed	NOUN
aps-84	427	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	427	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	428	1	the	the	DET
aps-84	428	2	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	428	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	428	4	materials	material	NOUN
aps-84	428	5	of	of	ADP
aps-84	428	6	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	428	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	429	1	second	second	ADJ
aps-84	429	2	edition	edition	NOUN
aps-84	429	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	430	1	san	san	PROPN
aps-84	430	2	diego	diego	PROPN
aps-84	430	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	430	4	elsevier	elsevier	PROPN
aps-84	430	5	academic	academic	ADJ
aps-84	430	6	press	press	NOUN
aps-84	430	7	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	430	8	pp	pp	X
aps-84	430	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	431	1	301	301	NUM
aps-84	431	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	431	3	340	340	NUM
aps-84	431	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	432	1	keyfitz	keyfitz	PROPN
aps-84	432	2	n	n	PROPN
aps-84	432	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	432	4	caswell	caswell	PROPN
aps-84	432	5	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	432	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	432	7	2005	2005	NUM
aps-84	432	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	432	9	applied	apply	VERB
aps-84	432	10	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
aps-84	432	11	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	432	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	433	1	third	third	PROPN
aps-84	433	2	edition	edition	PROPN
aps-84	433	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	434	1	new	new	PROPN
aps-84	434	2	york	york	PROPN
aps-84	434	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	434	4	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	434	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	435	1	lomax	lomax	PROPN
aps-84	435	2	n	n	PROPN
aps-84	435	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	435	4	wohland	wohland	NOUN
aps-84	435	5	p	p	X
aps-84	435	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	435	7	rees	ree	NOUN
aps-84	435	8	p	p	NOUN
aps-84	435	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	435	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	435	11	norman	norman	PROPN
aps-84	435	12	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	435	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	435	14	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	435	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	435	16	the	the	DET
aps-84	435	17	impacts	impact	NOUN
aps-84	435	18	of	of	ADP
aps-84	435	19	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	435	20	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	435	21	on	on	ADP
aps-84	435	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	435	23	uk	uk	PROPN
aps-84	435	24	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	435	25	ethnic	ethnic	ADJ
aps-84	435	26	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	435	27	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	436	1	journal	journal	NOUN
aps-84	436	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	436	3	ethnic	ethnic	ADJ
aps-84	436	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	436	5	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	436	6	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	436	7	46(1	46(1	PRON
aps-84	436	8	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	436	9	177	177	NUM
aps-84	436	10	-	-	SYM
aps-84	436	11	199	199	NUM
aps-84	436	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	437	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183x.2019.1577726	https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183x.2019.1577726	PROPN
aps-84	437	2	lutz	lutz	PROPN
aps-84	437	3	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	437	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	437	5	2009	2009	NUM
aps-84	437	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	437	7	toward	toward	ADP
aps-84	437	8	a	a	DET
aps-84	437	9	systematic	systematic	ADJ
aps-84	437	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	437	11	argument	argument	NOUN
aps-84	437	12	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	437	13	based	base	VERB
aps-84	437	14	approach	approach	NOUN
aps-84	437	15	to	to	ADP
aps-84	437	16	defining	define	VERB
aps-84	437	17	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
aps-84	437	18	for	for	ADP
aps-84	437	19	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	437	20	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	437	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	438	1	interim	interim	ADJ
aps-84	438	2	report	report	NOUN
aps-84	438	3	ir-09	ir-09	NOUN
aps-84	438	4	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	438	5	037	037	NUM
aps-84	438	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	438	7	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	438	8	institute	institute	NOUN
aps-84	438	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	438	10	applied	apply	VERB
aps-84	438	11	systems	system	NOUN
aps-84	438	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	438	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	438	14	laxenburg	laxenburg	NOUN
aps-84	438	15	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	438	16	austria	austria	PROPN
aps-84	438	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	439	1	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9115/	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9115/	X
aps-84	440	1	matysiak	matysiak	PROPN
aps-84	440	2	a	a	PRON
aps-84	440	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	440	4	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
aps-84	440	5	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	440	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	440	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	440	8	vignoli	vignoli	PROPN
aps-84	440	9	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	440	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	440	11	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	440	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	440	13	the	the	DET
aps-84	440	14	great	great	ADJ
aps-84	440	15	recession	recession	NOUN
aps-84	440	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	440	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	440	18	in	in	ADP
aps-84	440	19	europe	europe	PROPN
aps-84	440	20	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	440	21	a	a	DET
aps-84	440	22	sub	sub	ADJ
aps-84	440	23	-	-	ADJ
aps-84	440	24	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	440	25	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	440	26	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	441	1	european	european	ADJ
aps-84	441	2	journal	journal	PROPN
aps-84	441	3	of	of	ADP
aps-84	441	4	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	441	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	442	1	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-020-09556-y	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-020-09556-y	NOUN
aps-84	442	2	mcdonald	mcdonald	PROPN
aps-84	442	3	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	442	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	442	5	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	442	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	442	7	a	a	DET
aps-84	442	8	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	442	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	442	10	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	442	11	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	442	12	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	442	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	442	14	rates	rate	NOUN
aps-84	442	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	443	1	centre	centre	NOUN
aps-84	443	2	for	for	ADP
aps-84	443	3	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	443	4	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	443	5	paper	paper	NOUN
aps-84	443	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	444	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
aps-84	444	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	444	3	abs	ab	NOUN
aps-84	444	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	444	5	https://population.gov.au/research/research-fertility.html	https://population.gov.au/research/research-fertility.html	PROPN
aps-84	444	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	444	7	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	444	8	16	16	NUM
aps-84	444	9	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	444	10	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	444	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	445	1	peristera	peristera	PROPN
aps-84	445	2	p	p	NOUN
aps-84	445	3	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	445	4	kostaki	kostaki	VERB
aps-84	445	5	a	a	DET
aps-84	445	6	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	445	7	2007	2007	NUM
aps-84	445	8	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	445	9	modeling	model	VERB
aps-84	445	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	445	11	in	in	ADP
aps-84	445	12	modern	modern	ADJ
aps-84	445	13	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	445	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	446	1	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	446	2	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	446	3	16(6	16(6	NUM
aps-84	446	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	446	5	141	141	NUM
aps-84	446	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	446	7	194	194	NUM
aps-84	446	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	447	1	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2007.16.6	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2007.16.6	ADV
aps-84	447	2	pressat	pressat	VERB
aps-84	447	3	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	447	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	447	5	2008	2008	NUM
aps-84	447	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	447	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	447	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	447	9	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	447	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	447	11	on	on	ADP
aps-84	447	12	natality	natality	NOUN
aps-84	447	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	447	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	447	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	447	16	replacement	replacement	NOUN
aps-84	447	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	448	1	new	new	PROPN
aps-84	448	2	brunswick	brunswick	PROPN
aps-84	448	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	448	4	aldine	aldine	PROPN
aps-84	448	5	transaction	transaction	NOUN
aps-84	448	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	449	1	preston	preston	PROPN
aps-84	449	2	s	s	PROPN
aps-84	449	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	449	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	449	5	heuveline	heuveline	NOUN
aps-84	449	6	p	p	NOUN
aps-84	449	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	449	8	guillot	guillot	ADJ
aps-84	449	9	m	m	NOUN
aps-84	449	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	449	11	2001	2001	NUM
aps-84	449	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	449	13	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	449	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	449	15	measuring	measuring	NOUN
aps-84	449	16	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	449	17	modeling	model	VERB
aps-84	449	18	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	449	19	processes	process	NOUN
aps-84	449	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	450	1	oxford	oxford	NOUN
aps-84	450	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	450	3	blackwell	blackwell	PROPN
aps-84	450	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	451	1	rau	rau	PROPN
aps-84	451	2	r	r	PROPN
aps-84	451	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	451	4	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	451	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	451	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	451	7	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	451	8	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	451	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	452	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	452	2	rau	rau	PROPN
aps-84	452	3	r	r	PROPN
aps-84	452	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	452	5	bohk	bohk	ADJ
aps-84	452	6	-	-	PUNCT
aps-84	452	7	ewald	ewald	PROPN
aps-84	452	8	c	c	PROPN
aps-84	452	9	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	452	10	muszyńska	muszyńska	NOUN
aps-84	452	11	m	m	NOUN
aps-84	452	12	m	m	PROPN
aps-84	452	13	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	452	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	452	15	vaupel	vaupel	PROPN
aps-84	452	16	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	452	17	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	452	18	visualizing	visualize	VERB
aps-84	452	19	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	452	20	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
aps-84	452	21	in	in	ADP
aps-84	452	22	the	the	DET
aps-84	452	23	lexis	lexis	NOUN
aps-84	452	24	diagram	diagram	NOUN
aps-84	452	25	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	452	26	cham	cham	PROPN
aps-84	452	27	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	452	28	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	452	29	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	452	30	pp	pp	X
aps-84	452	31	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	453	1	5	5	NUM
aps-84	453	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	453	3	10	10	NUM
aps-84	453	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	454	1	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2012.27.20	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2012.27.20	X
aps-84	454	2	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/wp2008_03.pdf	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/wp2008_03.pdf	NOUN
aps-84	454	3	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/wp2008_03.pdf	https://www.oeaw.ac.at/fileadmin/subsites/institute/vid/pdf/publications/working_papers/wp2008_03.pdf	NOUN
aps-84	454	4	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69892-2_557-1	PUNCT
aps-84	454	5	https://www.ssb.no/en/forskning/discussion-papers/ways-to-project-fertility-in-europe	https://www.ssb.no/en/forskning/discussion-papers/ways-to-project-fertility-in-europe	VERB
aps-84	454	6	https://arxiv.org/pdf/1909.09545.pdf	https://arxiv.org/pdf/1909.09545.pdf	NOUN
aps-84	454	7	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	NOUN
aps-84	454	8	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	NOUN
aps-84	454	9	https://austriaca.at/0xc1aa5576%200x003a2757.pdf	https://austriaca.at/0xc1aa5576%200x003a2757.pdf	NOUN
aps-84	455	1	https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-110319-114841	https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-110319-114841	PROPN
aps-84	455	2	https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183x.2019.1577726	https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183x.2019.1577726	X
aps-84	455	3	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9115/	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9115/	X
aps-84	455	4	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-020-09556-y	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-020-09556-y	PROPN
aps-84	455	5	https://population.gov.au/research/research-fertility.html	https://population.gov.au/research/research-fertility.html	NOUN
aps-84	455	6	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2007.16.6	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2007.16.6	ADJ
aps-84	455	7	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	455	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	455	9	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	455	10	5	5	NUM
aps-84	455	11	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	455	12	1	1	NUM
aps-84	455	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	455	14	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	455	15	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	455	16	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	455	17	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	455	18	99	99	NUM
aps-84	455	19	raymer	raymer	PROPN
aps-84	455	20	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	455	21	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	455	22	wiśniowski	wiśniowski	DET
aps-84	455	23	a	a	DET
aps-84	455	24	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	455	25	2018	2018	NUM
aps-84	455	26	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	455	27	applying	apply	VERB
aps-84	455	28	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	455	29	testing	test	VERB
aps-84	455	30	a	a	DET
aps-84	455	31	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	455	32	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	455	33	for	for	ADP
aps-84	455	34	age	age	NOUN
aps-84	455	35	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	455	36	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	455	37	patterns	pattern	NOUN
aps-84	455	38	of	of	ADP
aps-84	455	39	immigration	immigration	NOUN
aps-84	455	40	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	455	41	emigration	emigration	NOUN
aps-84	455	42	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	456	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	456	2	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	456	3	72(3	72(3	NUM
aps-84	456	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	456	5	339	339	NUM
aps-84	456	6	-	-	SYM
aps-84	456	7	355	355	NUM
aps-84	456	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	457	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2018.1469784	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2018.1469784	NOUN
aps-84	457	2	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	457	3	p	p	X
aps-84	457	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	457	5	1984	1984	NUM
aps-84	457	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	457	7	spatial	spatial	ADJ
aps-84	457	8	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	457	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	457	10	using	use	VERB
aps-84	457	11	movement	movement	NOUN
aps-84	457	12	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	457	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	457	14	accounting	accounting	NOUN
aps-84	457	15	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	457	16	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	457	17	theory	theory	NOUN
aps-84	457	18	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	457	19	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	457	20	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	457	21	the	the	DET
aps-84	457	22	‘	'	PUNCT
aps-84	457	23	move	move	NOUN
aps-84	457	24	’	'	PUNCT
aps-84	457	25	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	457	26	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	457	27	examples	example	NOUN
aps-84	457	28	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	458	1	working	work	VERB
aps-84	458	2	paper	paper	PROPN
aps-84	458	3	404	404	NUM
aps-84	458	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	458	5	school	school	NOUN
aps-84	458	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	458	7	geography	geography	NOUN
aps-84	458	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	458	9	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	458	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	458	11	leeds	leed	NOUN
aps-84	458	12	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	458	13	uk	uk	PROPN
aps-84	458	14	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	458	15	https://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.14084.76169	https://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.14084.76169	PROPN
aps-84	458	16	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	458	17	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	458	18	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	458	19	1985	1985	NUM
aps-84	458	20	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	458	21	does	do	AUX
aps-84	458	22	it	it	PRON
aps-84	458	23	really	really	ADV
aps-84	458	24	matter	matter	VERB
aps-84	458	25	which	which	DET
aps-84	458	26	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	458	27	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	458	28	you	you	PRON
aps-84	458	29	use	use	VERB
aps-84	458	30	in	in	ADP
aps-84	458	31	a	a	DET
aps-84	458	32	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	458	33	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	458	34	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	459	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	459	2	white	white	ADJ
aps-84	459	3	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	459	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	459	5	van	van	PROPN
aps-84	459	6	der	der	NOUN
aps-84	459	7	knaap	knaap	PROPN
aps-84	459	8	b	b	PROPN
aps-84	459	9	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	459	10	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	459	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	459	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	459	13	contemporary	contemporary	ADJ
aps-84	459	14	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	459	15	of	of	ADP
aps-84	459	16	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	459	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	460	1	norwich	norwich	NOUN
aps-84	460	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	460	3	geobooks	geobook	NOUN
aps-84	460	4	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	460	5	pp	pp	ADP
aps-84	460	6	55	55	NUM
aps-84	460	7	-	-	SYM
aps-84	460	8	77	77	NUM
aps-84	460	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	461	1	https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349059242_rees_1985_chapter_8_in_white_and	https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349059242_rees_1985_chapter_8_in_white_and	ADV
aps-84	461	2	_	_	PUNCT
aps-84	462	1	van_der_knaap	van_der_knaap	X
aps-84	462	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	463	1	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	463	2	p	p	X
aps-84	463	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	463	4	1986	1986	NUM
aps-84	463	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	463	6	choices	choice	NOUN
aps-84	463	7	in	in	ADP
aps-84	463	8	the	the	DET
aps-84	463	9	construction	construction	NOUN
aps-84	463	10	of	of	ADP
aps-84	463	11	regional	regional	ADJ
aps-84	463	12	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	463	13	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	463	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	464	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	464	2	woods	wood	NOUN
aps-84	464	3	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	464	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	464	5	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	464	6	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	464	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	464	8	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	464	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	464	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	464	11	structures	structure	NOUN
aps-84	464	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	464	13	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	464	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	465	1	london	london	PROPN
aps-84	465	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	465	3	allen	allen	PROPN
aps-84	465	4	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	465	5	unwin	unwin	PROPN
aps-84	465	6	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	465	7	pp	pp	X
aps-84	465	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	466	1	126	126	NUM
aps-84	466	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	466	3	159	159	NUM
aps-84	466	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	467	1	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	467	2	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	467	3	h	h	NOUN
aps-84	467	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	467	5	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	467	6	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	467	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	467	8	1986	1986	NUM
aps-84	467	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	467	10	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	467	11	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	467	12	accounts	account	NOUN
aps-84	467	13	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	468	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	468	2	rogers	rogers	PROPN
aps-84	468	3	a	a	PROPN
aps-84	468	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	468	5	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	468	6	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	468	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	468	8	eds	ed	NOUN
aps-84	468	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	468	10	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	468	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	468	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	468	13	settlement	settlement	NOUN
aps-84	468	14	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	468	15	a	a	DET
aps-84	468	16	multiregional	multiregional	ADJ
aps-84	468	17	comparative	comparative	ADJ
aps-84	468	18	study	study	NOUN
aps-84	468	19	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	469	1	dordrecht	dordrecht	PROPN
aps-84	469	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	469	3	reidel	reidel	PROPN
aps-84	469	4	press	press	PROPN
aps-84	469	5	;	;	PUNCT
aps-84	469	6	pp	pp	X
aps-84	469	7	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	470	1	19	19	NUM
aps-84	470	2	-	-	SYM
aps-84	470	3	58	58	NUM
aps-84	470	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	471	1	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	471	2	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	471	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	472	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	472	2	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	472	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	472	4	g	g	PROPN
aps-84	472	5	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	472	6	1977	1977	NUM
aps-84	472	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	472	8	spatial	spatial	ADJ
aps-84	472	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	472	10	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	472	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	473	1	london	london	PROPN
aps-84	473	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	473	3	edward	edward	PROPN
aps-84	473	4	arnold	arnold	PROPN
aps-84	473	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	474	1	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	474	2	p	p	X
aps-84	474	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	474	4	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	474	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	474	6	which	which	PRON
aps-84	474	7	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	474	8	models	model	NOUN
aps-84	474	9	should	should	AUX
aps-84	474	10	be	be	AUX
aps-84	474	11	used	use	VERB
aps-84	474	12	in	in	ADP
aps-84	474	13	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	474	14	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	474	15	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	475	1	report	report	NOUN
aps-84	475	2	for	for	ADP
aps-84	475	3	edge	edge	PROPN
aps-84	475	4	analytics	analytics	PROPN
aps-84	475	5	ltd	ltd	PROPN
aps-84	475	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	476	1	school	school	NOUN
aps-84	476	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	476	3	geography	geography	NOUN
aps-84	476	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	476	5	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	476	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	476	7	leeds	leed	NOUN
aps-84	476	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	476	9	uk	uk	PROPN
aps-84	476	10	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	476	11	ritchie	ritchie	PROPN
aps-84	476	12	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	476	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	476	14	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	476	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	476	16	how	how	SCONJ
aps-84	476	17	does	do	AUX
aps-84	476	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	476	19	sex	sex	NOUN
aps-84	476	20	ratio	ratio	NOUN
aps-84	476	21	at	at	ADP
aps-84	476	22	birth	birth	NOUN
aps-84	476	23	vary	vary	VERB
aps-84	476	24	across	across	ADP
aps-84	476	25	the	the	DET
aps-84	476	26	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	476	27	?	?	PUNCT
aps-84	477	1	our	our	PRON
aps-84	477	2	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	477	3	in	in	ADP
aps-84	477	4	data	data	PROPN
aps-84	477	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	478	1	global	global	ADJ
aps-84	478	2	change	change	PROPN
aps-84	478	3	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	478	4	lab	lab	NOUN
aps-84	478	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	479	1	oxford	oxford	NOUN
aps-84	479	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	479	3	oxford	oxford	PROPN
aps-84	479	4	martin	martin	PROPN
aps-84	479	5	school	school	PROPN
aps-84	479	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	480	1	https://ourworldindata.org/sex-ratio-at-birth	https://ourworldindata.org/sex-ratio-at-birth	NOUN
aps-84	480	2	.	.	PROPN
aps-84	481	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	481	2	7	7	NUM
aps-84	481	3	february	february	NOUN
aps-84	481	4	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	481	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	482	1	rogers	rogers	PROPN
aps-84	482	2	a	a	PRON
aps-84	482	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	482	4	racquillet	racquillet	ADJ
aps-84	482	5	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	482	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	482	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	482	8	castro	castro	PROPN
aps-84	482	9	l	l	PROPN
aps-84	482	10	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	482	11	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	482	12	1978	1978	NUM
aps-84	482	13	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	482	14	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	482	15	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	482	16	schedules	schedule	NOUN
aps-84	482	17	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	482	18	their	their	PRON
aps-84	482	19	applications	application	NOUN
aps-84	482	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	483	1	environment	environment	NOUN
aps-84	483	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	483	3	planning	plan	VERB
aps-84	483	4	a	a	DET
aps-84	483	5	10(5	10(5	NUM
aps-84	483	6	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	483	7	475	475	NUM
aps-84	483	8	-	-	SYM
aps-84	483	9	502	502	NUM
aps-84	483	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	484	1	https://doi.org/10.1068/a100475	https://doi.org/10.1068/a100475	NUM
aps-84	484	2	rogers	roger	NOUN
aps-84	484	3	a	a	DET
aps-84	484	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	484	5	1995	1995	NUM
aps-84	484	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	484	7	multiregional	multiregional	ADJ
aps-84	484	8	demography	demography	NOUN
aps-84	484	9	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	484	10	principles	principle	NOUN
aps-84	484	11	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	484	12	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	484	13	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	484	14	extensions	extension	NOUN
aps-84	484	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	485	1	chichester	chichester	PROPN
aps-84	485	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	485	3	wiley	wiley	PROPN
aps-84	485	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	486	1	rowland	rowland	PROPN
aps-84	487	1	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	487	2	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	487	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	487	4	2003	2003	NUM
aps-84	487	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	487	6	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	487	7	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	487	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	487	9	concepts	concept	NOUN
aps-84	487	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	488	1	oxford	oxford	NOUN
aps-84	488	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	488	3	oxford	oxford	PROPN
aps-84	488	4	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	488	5	press	press	NOUN
aps-84	488	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	489	1	sevcikova	sevcikova	PROPN
aps-84	489	2	h	h	NOUN
aps-84	489	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	489	4	raftery	raftery	ADV
aps-84	489	5	a	a	PRON
aps-84	489	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	489	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	489	8	chunn	chunn	PROPN
aps-84	489	9	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	489	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	489	11	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	489	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	489	13	bayeslife	bayeslife	NOUN
aps-84	489	14	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	489	15	package	package	NOUN
aps-84	489	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	490	1	https://cran.rproject.org/package=bayeslife	https://cran.rproject.org/package=bayeslife	PROPN
aps-84	490	2	shang	shang	PROPN
aps-84	490	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	490	4	l	l	PROPN
aps-84	491	1	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	491	2	booth	booth	PROPN
aps-84	491	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	491	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	491	5	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	491	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	491	7	synergy	synergy	NOUN
aps-84	491	8	in	in	ADP
aps-84	491	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	491	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	491	11	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	491	12	improving	improve	VERB
aps-84	491	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
aps-84	491	14	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
aps-84	491	15	through	through	ADP
aps-84	491	16	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	491	17	averaging	averaging	NOUN
aps-84	491	18	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	492	1	genus	genus	NOUN
aps-84	492	2	76:27	76:27	NUM
aps-84	492	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	493	1	https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-020-00099-y	https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-020-00099-y	PROPN
aps-84	493	2	shorter	short	ADJ
aps-84	493	3	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	493	4	c	c	NOUN
aps-84	493	5	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	493	6	sendek	sendek	NOUN
aps-84	493	7	r	r	NOUN
aps-84	493	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	493	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	493	10	bayoumy	bayoumy	PROPN
aps-84	493	11	y	y	PROPN
aps-84	493	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	493	13	1995	1995	NUM
aps-84	493	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	493	15	computational	computational	ADJ
aps-84	493	16	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	493	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	493	18	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	493	19	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	493	20	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	494	1	second	second	ADJ
aps-84	494	2	edition	edition	NOUN
aps-84	494	3	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	495	1	new	new	PROPN
aps-84	495	2	york	york	PROPN
aps-84	495	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	495	4	population	population	PROPN
aps-84	495	5	council	council	PROPN
aps-84	495	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	496	1	sloggett	sloggett	PROPN
aps-84	496	2	a	a	DET
aps-84	496	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	496	4	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	496	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	496	6	life	life	NOUN
aps-84	496	7	tables	table	NOUN
aps-84	496	8	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	496	9	i	i	NOUN
aps-84	496	10	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	496	11	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	496	12	papp101	papp101	PROPN
aps-84	496	13	s07	s07	PROPN
aps-84	496	14	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	496	15	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	497	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	497	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	497	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	497	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	497	5	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	497	6	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	497	7	programmes	programme	NOUN
aps-84	497	8	[	[	X
aps-84	497	9	online	online	ADJ
aps-84	497	10	course	course	NOUN
aps-84	497	11	]	]	PUNCT
aps-84	497	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	498	1	paris	paris	PROPN
aps-84	498	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	498	3	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	498	4	union	union	NOUN
aps-84	498	5	for	for	ADP
aps-84	498	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	498	7	scientific	scientific	ADJ
aps-84	498	8	study	study	NOUN
aps-84	498	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	498	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	498	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	499	1	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s07/papp101_s07_010_010.html	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s07/papp101_s07_010_010.html	PROPN
aps-84	499	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	500	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	500	2	16	16	NUM
aps-84	500	3	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	500	4	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	500	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	501	1	smith	smith	PROPN
aps-84	501	2	s	s	PART
aps-84	501	3	k	k	PROPN
aps-84	501	4	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	501	5	tayman	tayman	ADJ
aps-84	501	6	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	501	7	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	501	8	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	501	9	swanson	swanson	PROPN
aps-84	502	1	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	502	2	a	a	X
aps-84	502	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	502	4	2013	2013	NUM
aps-84	502	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	502	6	a	a	DET
aps-84	502	7	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
aps-84	502	8	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	502	9	guide	guide	NOUN
aps-84	502	10	to	to	ADP
aps-84	502	11	state	state	NOUN
aps-84	502	12	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	502	13	local	local	ADJ
aps-84	502	14	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	502	15	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	502	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	503	1	dordrecht	dordrecht	NOUN
aps-84	503	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	503	3	springer	springer	NOUN
aps-84	503	4	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	504	1	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
aps-84	504	2	t	t	PROPN
aps-84	504	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	504	4	skirbekk	skirbekk	NOUN
aps-84	504	5	v	v	NOUN
aps-84	504	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	504	7	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	504	8	philipov	philipov	PROPN
aps-84	504	9	d	d	PROPN
aps-84	504	10	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	504	11	2011	2011	NUM
aps-84	504	12	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	504	13	economic	economic	ADJ
aps-84	504	14	recession	recession	NOUN
aps-84	504	15	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	504	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
aps-84	504	17	in	in	ADP
aps-84	504	18	the	the	DET
aps-84	504	19	developed	developed	ADJ
aps-84	504	20	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	504	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	505	1	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	505	2	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	505	3	development	development	PROPN
aps-84	505	4	review	review	PROPN
aps-84	505	5	37(2	37(2	PRON
aps-84	505	6	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	505	7	267	267	NUM
aps-84	505	8	-	-	SYM
aps-84	505	9	306	306	NUM
aps-84	505	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	506	1	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.17284457.2011.00411.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.17284457.2011.00411.x	X
aps-84	506	2	stover	stover	PROPN
aps-84	506	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	506	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	506	5	kirmeyer	kirmeyer	NOUN
aps-84	506	6	s	s	PROPN
aps-84	506	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	506	8	2007	2007	NUM
aps-84	506	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	506	10	demproj	demproj	VERB
aps-84	506	11	version	version	NOUN
aps-84	506	12	4	4	NUM
aps-84	506	13	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	506	14	a	a	DET
aps-84	506	15	computer	computer	NOUN
aps-84	506	16	program	program	NOUN
aps-84	506	17	for	for	ADP
aps-84	506	18	making	make	VERB
aps-84	506	19	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	506	20	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	506	21	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	507	1	https://data.unaids.org/pub/manual/2007/demproj_2007_en.pdf	https://data.unaids.org/pub/manual/2007/demproj_2007_en.pdf	VERB
aps-84	507	2	terblanche	terblanche	PROPN
aps-84	507	3	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	507	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	507	5	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	507	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	507	7	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	507	8	estimates	estimate	NOUN
aps-84	507	9	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	507	10	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	507	11	for	for	ADP
aps-84	507	12	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	507	13	’s	’s	PART
aps-84	507	14	very	very	ADV
aps-84	507	15	elderly	elderly	ADJ
aps-84	507	16	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	507	17	at	at	ADP
aps-84	507	18	state	state	NOUN
aps-84	507	19	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	507	20	national	national	ADJ
aps-84	507	21	level	level	NOUN
aps-84	507	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	508	1	phd	phd	NOUN
aps-84	508	2	thesis	thesis	PROPN
aps-84	508	3	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	508	4	the	the	DET
aps-84	508	5	university	university	PROPN
aps-84	508	6	of	of	ADP
aps-84	508	7	queensland	queensland	PROPN
aps-84	508	8	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	508	9	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	508	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	509	1	https://doi.org/10.14264/uql.2015.979	https://doi.org/10.14264/uql.2015.979	AUX
aps-84	509	2	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
aps-84	509	3	w	w	PROPN
aps-84	509	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	509	5	2016	2016	NUM
aps-84	509	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	509	7	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
aps-84	509	8	testing	testing	NOUN
aps-84	509	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	509	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
aps-84	509	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	509	12	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	509	13	for	for	ADP
aps-84	509	14	the	the	DET
aps-84	509	15	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	509	16	of	of	ADP
aps-84	509	17	very	very	ADV
aps-84	509	18	elderly	elderly	ADJ
aps-84	509	19	populations	population	NOUN
aps-84	509	20	in	in	ADP
aps-84	509	21	australia	australia	PROPN
aps-84	509	22	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	510	1	journal	journal	PROPN
aps-84	510	2	of	of	ADP
aps-84	510	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
aps-84	510	4	35(8	35(8	NUM
aps-84	510	5	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	510	6	703	703	NUM
aps-84	510	7	-	-	SYM
aps-84	510	8	717	717	NUM
aps-84	510	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	511	1	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	PROPN
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aps-84	511	9	https://cran.r-project.org/package=bayeslife	https://cran.r-project.org/package=bayeslife	NOUN
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aps-84	511	11	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s07/papp101_s07_010_010.html	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s07/papp101_s07_010_010.html	VERB
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aps-84	511	13	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00411.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00411.x	PRON
aps-84	511	14	https://data.unaids.org/pub/manual/2007/demproj_2007_en.pdf	https://data.unaids.org/pub/manual/2007/demproj_2007_en.pdf	PROPN
aps-84	511	15	https://doi.org/10.14264/uql.2015.979	https://doi.org/10.14264/uql.2015.979	AUX
aps-84	511	16	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	PROPN
aps-84	511	17	100	100	NUM
aps-84	511	18	wilson	wilson	PROPN
aps-84	511	19	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	511	20	rees	rees	PROPN
aps-84	511	21	australian	australian	ADJ
aps-84	511	22	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	511	23	studies	study	NOUN
aps-84	511	24	5	5	NUM
aps-84	511	25	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	511	26	1	1	NUM
aps-84	511	27	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	511	28	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	512	1	timaeus	timaeus	NOUN
aps-84	512	2	i	i	PRON
aps-84	512	3	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	512	4	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	512	5	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	512	6	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	512	7	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	512	8	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	512	9	concepts	concept	NOUN
aps-84	512	10	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	512	11	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	512	12	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	512	13	papp101	papp101	PROPN
aps-84	512	14	s10	s10	PROPN
aps-84	512	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	512	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	513	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	513	2	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	513	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	513	4	for	for	ADP
aps-84	513	5	policy	policy	NOUN
aps-84	513	6	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	513	7	programmes	programme	NOUN
aps-84	513	8	[	[	X
aps-84	513	9	online	online	ADJ
aps-84	513	10	course	course	NOUN
aps-84	513	11	]	]	PUNCT
aps-84	513	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	514	1	paris	paris	PROPN
aps-84	514	2	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	514	3	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	514	4	union	union	NOUN
aps-84	514	5	for	for	ADP
aps-84	514	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	514	7	scientific	scientific	ADJ
aps-84	514	8	study	study	NOUN
aps-84	514	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	514	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	514	11	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	515	1	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s10/papp101_s10_010_010.html	https://papp.iussp.org/sessions/papp101_s10/papp101_s10_010_010.html	PROPN
aps-84	515	2	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	515	3	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	515	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	515	5	1989	1989	NUM
aps-84	515	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	515	7	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	515	8	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	515	9	for	for	ADP
aps-84	515	10	integrating	integrate	VERB
aps-84	515	11	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	515	12	variables	variable	NOUN
aps-84	515	13	into	into	ADP
aps-84	515	14	development	development	NOUN
aps-84	515	15	planning	planning	NOUN
aps-84	515	16	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	516	1	volume	volume	NOUN
aps-84	516	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	516	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	516	4	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	516	5	for	for	ADP
aps-84	516	6	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
aps-84	516	7	planning	planning	NOUN
aps-84	516	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	517	1	module	module	NOUN
aps-84	517	2	1	1	NUM
aps-84	517	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	517	4	conceptual	conceptual	ADJ
aps-84	517	5	issues	issue	NOUN
aps-84	517	6	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	517	7	methods	method	NOUN
aps-84	517	8	for	for	ADP
aps-84	517	9	preparing	prepare	VERB
aps-84	517	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	517	11	projections	projection	NOUN
aps-84	517	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	518	1	new	new	PROPN
aps-84	518	2	york	york	PROPN
aps-84	518	3	:	:	PUNCT
aps-84	518	4	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	518	5	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	518	6	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	519	1	https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/files	https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/files	PROPN
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aps-84	519	3	/	/	SYM
aps-84	519	4	jan	jan	PROPN
aps-84	519	5	/	/	SYM
aps-84	519	6	un_1989_projection_methods_for_integrating_pop_variables_into_dev	un_1989_projection_methods_for_integrating_pop_variables_into_dev	PROPN
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aps-84	519	8	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	520	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	520	2	2	2	NUM
aps-84	520	3	january	january	NOUN
aps-84	520	4	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	520	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	521	1	united	united	PROPN
aps-84	521	2	nations	nations	PROPN
aps-84	521	3	population	population	PROPN
aps-84	521	4	division	division	NOUN
aps-84	521	5	(	(	PUNCT
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aps-84	521	7	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	521	8	world	world	NOUN
aps-84	521	9	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	521	10	prospects	prospect	VERB
aps-84	521	11	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	521	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	522	1	data	datum	NOUN
aps-84	522	2	available	available	ADJ
aps-84	522	3	from	from	ADP
aps-84	522	4	https://population.un.org/wpp/download/standard/population/.	https://population.un.org/wpp/download/standard/population/.	NUM
aps-84	522	5	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	522	6	2	2	NUM
aps-84	522	7	january	january	NOUN
aps-84	522	8	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	522	9	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	523	1	us	us	PROPN
aps-84	523	2	census	census	PROPN
aps-84	523	3	bureau	bureau	PROPN
aps-84	523	4	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	523	5	2019	2019	NUM
aps-84	523	6	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	523	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	523	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
aps-84	523	9	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	523	10	population	population	NOUN
aps-84	523	11	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	523	12	system	system	NOUN
aps-84	523	13	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	523	14	dapps	dapps	NOUN
aps-84	523	15	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	523	16	software	software	NOUN
aps-84	523	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	524	1	https://www.census.gov/data/software/dapps.html	https://www.census.gov/data/software/dapps.html	PROPN
aps-84	524	2	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	525	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	525	2	16	16	NUM
aps-84	525	3	march	march	NOUN
aps-84	525	4	2021	2021	NUM
aps-84	525	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	526	1	vandresse	vandresse	NOUN
aps-84	526	2	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	526	3	2015	2015	NUM
aps-84	526	4	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	526	5	modelling	model	VERB
aps-84	526	6	the	the	DET
aps-84	526	7	future	future	ADJ
aps-84	526	8	evolution	evolution	NOUN
aps-84	526	9	of	of	ADP
aps-84	526	10	international	international	ADJ
aps-84	526	11	migration	migration	NOUN
aps-84	526	12	for	for	ADP
aps-84	526	13	belgium	belgium	NOUN
aps-84	526	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	527	1	working	work	VERB
aps-84	527	2	paper	paper	PROPN
aps-84	527	3	02	02	NUM
aps-84	527	4	-	-	SYM
aps-84	527	5	15	15	NUM
aps-84	527	6	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	527	7	federal	federal	ADJ
aps-84	527	8	planning	planning	PROPN
aps-84	527	9	bureau	bureau	PROPN
aps-84	527	10	,	,	PUNCT
aps-84	527	11	belgium	belgium	PROPN
aps-84	527	12	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	527	13	https://www.plan.be/publications/publication-1435en-modelling_the_future_evolution_of_international_migration_for_belgium	https://www.plan.be/publications/publication-1435en-modelling_the_future_evolution_of_international_migration_for_belgium	PROPN
aps-84	527	14	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	528	1	accessed	access	VERB
aps-84	528	2	16	16	NUM
aps-84	528	3	december	december	PROPN
aps-84	528	4	2020	2020	NUM
aps-84	528	5	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	529	1	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	529	2	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	529	3	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	529	4	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	529	5	drewe	drewe	PROPN
aps-84	529	6	p	p	PROPN
aps-84	529	7	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	529	8	1984	1984	NUM
aps-84	529	9	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	529	10	a	a	DET
aps-84	529	11	multiregional	multiregional	ADJ
aps-84	529	12	model	model	NOUN
aps-84	529	13	for	for	ADP
aps-84	529	14	regional	regional	ADJ
aps-84	529	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	529	16	projection	projection	NOUN
aps-84	529	17	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	530	1	in	in	ADP
aps-84	530	2	heide	heide	PROPN
aps-84	530	3	h	h	PROPN
aps-84	530	4	&	&	CCONJ
aps-84	530	5	willekens	willeken	VERB
aps-84	530	6	f	f	PROPN
aps-84	530	7	j	j	PROPN
aps-84	530	8	(	(	PUNCT
aps-84	530	9	eds	eds	PROPN
aps-84	530	10	.	.	PUNCT
aps-84	530	11	)	)	PUNCT
aps-84	530	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
aps-84	530	13	research	research	NOUN
aps-84	530	14	and	and	CCONJ
aps-84	530	15	spatial	spatial	ADJ
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aps-84	532	2	-	-	PUNCT
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aps-84	537	6	-	-	SYM
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aps-84	541	3	(	(	PUNCT
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aps-84	542	7	-	-	SYM
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aps-84	542	9	.	.	PUNCT
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aps-84	543	17	.	.	PUNCT
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aps-84	544	3	8(2	8(2	NUM
aps-84	544	4	):	):	PUNCT
aps-84	544	5	175	175	NUM
aps-84	544	6	-	-	SYM
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aps-84	544	8	.	.	PUNCT
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aps-84	545	13	(	(	PUNCT
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aps-84	546	9	https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/files/documents/2020/jan/un_1989_projection_methods_for_integrating_pop_variables_into_development_planning_-_module_1.pdf	https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/files/documents/2020/jan/un_1989_projection_methods_for_integrating_pop_variables_into_development_planning_-_module_1.pdf	PROPN
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