id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentence	flesch	summary	cache	txt
issue-2013	Kushnirenko, Oksana; Gakhovich, Nataliia; Venger, Liliia	STRATEGIC SCENARIOS FOR SUSTAINABLE INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE IN THE POST-WAR PERIOD	2023	11	.pdf	application/pdf	7812	304	31	Taking into account the influence of each of the driving forces of industrial development in the conditions of wartime uncertainty, three scenarios of industrial development were developed: a conditionally positive scenario, in which the economic system will gradually stabilize due to the cessation of hostilities and the recovery of production capacities; a conditionally negative scenario, which will be characterized by the disintegration of the economic system, the destruction of energy infrastructure facilities, where negative trends will dominate; a conditionally neutral (basic) scenario, in which the disintegration of the economic system will not reach extreme levels, and industrial production will develop in areas not covered by hostilities. As the main indicators characterizing the trends of industrial development in Ukraine were chosen those indicators that reflect the efficiency of use of productive forces: indicators of efficiency of industrial production: the specific weight of the volume of sold industrial products in GDP (%); labor productivity – the volume of realized industrial products per person employed (UAH million per 1 person); added value per employee employed in industry, (UAH million per person); capital adequacy – cost of fixed assets per employed person Table 1 Differences between scenarios, forecasts and predictions Scenario Forecast Foresight Probable future Probable future The future is built on the past Based on uncertainty Makes different trends visible Based on higher confidence levels Based on different trends (complex model with increasing number of trends)	cache/issue-2013.pdf	txt/issue-2013.txt