Banko Janakari, Vol. 9, No. 2 Sharma Chi-square test was employed mainly to determine the significance of the differences but the validation rule often required other tests such as the Fisher’s exact test. Observations “New strategy” : myth or reality The study area is undergoing a rapid socio-economic transformation due to a strong market influence. The following are the major observations that cast doubt over the existence of the ‘new strategy’: 1) Off-farm employment: The out-migration of people, due to the off-farm employment opportunities elsewhere, is rather rare. Self- employment through Betbans (Bamboo-saddler) work, is pursued even by the male members, and therefore contributes substantially to the farm- household income. However, the market alone does not control the adaptation of such works by the households. The Brahmin households differ significantly from the Paharis in self-employment, mainly in the Betbans works. 2) Growing cash crop: Only one household in the study area, was found growing grapes for sell. No other cases of growing cash crops in substantial quantities were reported. However, fruit trees, mainly Choerospondias axillaris are being increasingly planted for cash income. The cereal crops are being still cultivated widely. 3) Reducing number or type of animal: A study at Ghusel on rural transformation from a subsistence to a cash economy reported on the increased pressure on ecosystem for increased supply of fodder and firewood (Bhatt et al., 1994). However, such a trend did not exist in the study area. Only one household was reported raising livestock in larger numbers for cash income. The Brahmins kept cows for subsistence consumption of milk. The rich households, generally keep cows but the poor households mostly the Paharis keep goats. Hence, the caste has a bearing on livestock-type being raised, though statistically not significant, than merely the market signals. Table 1: Purchasing of chemical fertiliser using various sources of income (Pearson’s chi-square value in paranthesis) Source of off-farm income Self em NRs 1000 Salary < NRs 1000 > NRs 1000 Wage income < NRs 100 > NRs 100 < NRs 100 forestry income NRs 100- >NRs300 300 Annual purchase % of households NRs 500 14.3 19.0 16.7 16.6 9.5 2.4 14.3 7.1 12.0 (0,202) (2,625)a (0,454)b (0,675) Farm source of income Cereal crops Tree crops Animal husbandry NRs500 < NRs200 > NRs200 < NRs200 >NRs 200 Annual purchase % o f h o u s e h o l d s NRs 500 4,8 28,6 19,1 14,3 14,3 19,1 (12,218)*** ______________________ (0,467) ______________________ (8,400 c)* a. Fishers exact test; two tailed significance = 0,165; b. Fisher’s exact test; two tailed significance = 0,650; c. Fisher’s exact test: two tailed significance = 0,009; significance level *<0.05 **<0.01 ***<0.001 Table 2: Purchase of chemical fertiliser from total monthly income, wealth class, caste, literacy and land resource _______ perspectives (Pearson's chi-square value within brackets) ___________________________________________________ Monthly income (NRs) Wealth Caste Literacy Land resources (Literate) Khet Bari (ropani) <5000 >5000 Rich Poor No Pahari <2 >2 yes no <4 >4 ____________________________________________ Pahari __________________________________________________________ Annual purchase _____________________________________ % of h o u s e h o l d s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ NRs 500 11.9 21.4 28.6 4.8 21.4 14.3 4.8 28.5 33.4 0 16.7 16.6 missing 2.4 _____________ (7.467)** _____ (10.714)*** ______ (3.385a) ________ (9.355)** ______ (10.714b)** _______ (3.565c) a-Fisher’s exact test; two tailed significance = 0,084 b- Fisher’s exact test; two tailed significance = 0,003 c- Fisher’s exact test; two tailed significance = 0,082 significance level * < .05 ** < .01*** < .001 11 Sharma Banko Janakari, Vol. 9, No. 2 significantly more cash in purchasing chemical fertiliser than those who do not own Kbet. However, having more Bari is not significantly related with the investment on chemical fertiliser on Fisher’s exact test (see Table- 2). 4) Abandoning cultivation of crops that demand high labour inputs: The institutionalisation of voluntary exchange of labour such as Parma, Nogar, etc. is still evident in many parts of Nepal. The Parma is similar to a form of traditional work party or mwethya reported from Machakos District of Kenya, by which a person is called in neighbourhood to help with a special project, such as building a hut (Mortimore et al.y 1995). These indigenous institutions are as much efficient as the government sponsored co-operatives (Messer- schmidt, 1981). Parma and similar arrangement do not incur any direct cash to the employing household. The rich households having substantial cash income are still found abiding by the Parma (see Table- 3). Furthermore, if an institution like Parma is manifested in an area lying so close to the urban Kathmandu, the assumption that the farmers are abandoning cultivation of crops that demand high labour input, is rather difficult to accept. 5) Cash income to purchase chemical fertilisers: The availability of cash definitely encourages investment in chemical fertilisers. However, cash scarcity alone cannot be a determinant of application of organic manure in fields, which is rather highly influenced by the cultural factors. The cash income from all the sources is not equally spent on purchasing chemical fertilisers (Table 1). The households getting substantial incomes from off- farm sources such as self-employment, wage income and community forest income, do not invest much in chemical fertilisers. The non-farm income from salary may be used but is insignificant on the chi- tests. Only the households having income mainly from farm sources such as the cereals and animal husbandry, significantly invest in purchasing the chemical fertiliser. However, the households with a substantial farm income from the tree crops do not purchase it much. Therefore, the assumption that under the marketing influence, use of chemical fertiliser increases and pressure on forest decreases, may not be true. The use of fertiliser and organic manure in fields may also have another dimension, for that reason Table-2 presents the purchase of chemical fertiliser from wealth, caste and literacy perspectives. The rich and more literate households significantly purchase more fertiliser than the poor and less literate households. (The operational definition of literacy is the number of household members having one time access to the formal education.) The Pahari households purchase less chemical fertilisers than the rest, though not in a significant extent. The increased income accruing from self-employment, salary and wage, is not significantly related with the increased purchase of chemical fertiliser, rather it is related to the farm income, wealth class and literacy. Furthermore, the households owning Khet (low land crop field) invest Table 3: The practice of Parma by wealth and caste Fuel for cooking ___________ Wealth class _____ Rich Poor 6) Leav ing marginal land uncultivated: If population growth is the cause of agriculture change, not the result, and that the principle change is the intensification of land use (Boserup, 1965), then the marketing influence should intensify the cultivation resulting into an intensive land use. This idea is traced back to the work of J. H. Thunen, who argues that the intensity of land use diminished away from a market centre (Hall, 1966). It is noted that farmers in the study area are practising multiple cropping of maize with soya bean. They have further intensified land use by planting Chorespondias axillaris on field boundary. __________________________________ % of households _____________________ Caste _____________________ Brahmin Pahari Yes 31 26.2 14.2 42.9 No 19 23.8 26.3 16.6 (0.389) (5.567)* Significance level *<0.05 **<0.01 ***<0.001 ; (Pearson’s chi-square value within brackets). Table 4: Main source of fuel for cooking by wealth and caste % of households Fuel for cooking Wealth class Caste Rich Poor Brahmin Pahari Firewood 32.5 33.3 21.0 47.4 Kerosene 17.5 16.7 13.2 18.4 (0.011) (0.433*) a: Validation rule: Fisher’s exact test (2-tailed significance = 0.714); (Pearson’s chi-square value within brackets). 12 Banko Janakari, Vol. 9, No. 2 Sharma 7) Sending children to school: These days, there is an increasing tendency to send children to schools. However, it is a complex decision process that involves a lot of factors (Foster, 1980; Shrestha, 1984; Kasaju et al.} 1985). The economic calculations alone do not bring the children to schools. The increased opportunities of cash income, in fact, has resulted into early drop-outs of some children from schools as reported elsewhere in the literature (Hunt, 1978; Foster, 1980). Even the free education opportunity is not contributing to reduce the early drop-out of the children from schools. It is widely claimed that with increased cash income, firewood will be either purchased as it will no longer be a free commodity or substituted with kerosene (Malla, 1993). However, it is observed that neither the rich households significantly differ from the poor regarding the use of fuel for cooking nor this difference is evident among the Brahmin and Pahari households (See Table 4). Reflections On one hand, the Government of Nepal is blamed for ignoring the commercial aspects of community forestry (Malla, 1993) while on the other, social forestry is criticised for omitting the subsistence need of the villagers (Monech et al., 1986). The argument for commercialisation of community forestry stems from an unfounded belief that under strong market influence villagers are interested in cash income and not on subsistence living. The assumption that under socio- economic transformation the pressure on the forest decreases, is in fact, only a rosy depiction. The depiction that ‘uncultivated marginal lands, reduction of livestock, stall feeding’ subsequently reduces pressure from common forest (Malla, 1993) may not be true because some of the critical assumptions are unfounded. This study also justifies Foster’s (1980) question regarding the role of economic factors on children’s education. Some poor Brahmin households are sending children to school despite the hardship, whereas some Pahari are retaining children in homes so that they can earn income through Betbans works. Hence, the decision regarding the schooling of children is not determined by the economic factors alone. The increased earning opportunity through Betbans work results into more dropouts of Pahari children from the school and even a free education opportunity is unable to retain them. This finding firmly agrees with observations elsewhere (Hunt, 1978; Foster, 1980) and is in contrast with Malla’s (1993) expectation that an increased cash earning opportunity will place a larger number of children in the school. It is also fallacious that under stronger market influence, the cultivation pattern shifts from the cereal to the cash crop. In principle, this study agrees that with increased cash income, people spend much on purchasing chemical fertilisers. However, saying that “a strong market orientation eventually leads to a reduction of pressure on the forest” is deceptive. It is assumed that under strong market influence, villagers may face acute labour-scarcity and that may encourage for shifting to cash crop (Malla, 1993). However, it is observed that the Parma is institutionalised to cope with labour scarcity during peak agriculture season or under severe cash-scarcity. The rich and poor households do not differ significantly regarding the use of Parma. Nevertheless, the Pahari households differ significantly from the rest. Hence, the existence of such institutions is culturally determined and the market influence may not be decisive. Such institutions may accommodate the scarcity of labour therefore, the so called ‘new strategy’ may not exist. Thus ‘the rosy depiction’ on reducing pressure from the forest (Malla, 1993) is just a mirage. Conclusion The so-called new strategy, supposedly adopted by the villagers in the wake of market influence, is hardly evident. Community forest still plays a significant role in sustaining agriculture in the study area. The socio-economic transformations under increasing influence of the market not necessarily minimise the role of community forest as it still contributes substantially in sustaining the subsistence living. Many households still depend on community forest for basic forest products such as firewood, fodder, grasses, and leaf-litters; therefore commercialisation should be only at an amble pace. Acknowledgements The study, a part of M Sc Thesis entitled “The impact of community forestry on income distribution” and submitted at Wageningen Agricultural University, was funded by a grant from the Netherlands Fellowship Programme with additional suppoit from the NARMSAP. The author would like to thank the Chairman of Kumari Ban FUG Chairman, Mr. B. M. 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