www.biomathforum.org/biomath/index.php/biomath ORIGINAL ARTICLE A class of individual–based models Mirosław Lachowicz Institute of Applied Mathematics and Mechanics University of Warsaw Warsaw, Poland M.Lachowicz@mimuw.edu.pl Received: 9 February 2018, accepted: 12 April 2018, published: 15 April 2018 Abstract—We discuss a class of mathematical models of biological systems at microscopic level — i.e. at the level of interacting individuals of a population. The class leads to partially integral stochastic semigroups — [25]. We state general conditions guaranteeing the asymptotic stability. In particular under some rather restrictive assump- tions we observe that any, even non–factorized, initial probability density tends in the evolution to a factorized equilibrium probability density — [16]. We discuss possible applications of the gen- eral theory such as redistribution of individuals — [10], thermal denaturation of DNA [7], and tendon healing process — [11]. Keywords-Individual–based models; Markov jump processes; Integro–differential equations, Stochastic semigroups, Stability. I. MICROSCOPIC SCALE In the present paper we review the general class of individual–based models in Biology developed in Ref. [15] — see also [3], [14], [16] and refer- ences therein. We show that the class corresponds to the partially integral stochastic semigroups and under some more restrictive assumptions leads to the stability result. We discuss possible applica- tions of the general theory such as redistribution of individuals — [10], thermal denaturation of DNA [7], and tendon healing process — [11]. We consider the general equation that defines the evolution of a number N of individuals of biological populations — cf. Refs. [3], [14], [15] and references therein. Each individual n (n ∈ {1, . . . ,N}) is characterized by its inner (micro- scopic ) state un ∈ U , where U is a Borel set in Rd, d ∈ {1, 2, 3, . . .}. The variable un related to the individual n may have various meanings: it may be any vector pa- rameter that characterize an individual biological state of any of the individuals. In particular it may also contain an information of a subpopulation to which the individuals belongs (a discrete compo- nent) — see [3], [14], [15]. In the general setting (U,B,µ) is a σ–finite measure space. In some applications U is a product of a discrete set and a Lebesgue–measurable subset (e.g. a closed bounded interval) in the discrete– continuous picture or a discrete set in the discrete– discrete case and the measure µ is a product of the Copyright: c© 2018 Lachowicz et al. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Citation: Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models, Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 1 of 8 http://www.biomathforum.org/biomath/index.php/biomath https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models counting measure and the counting measure (in the discrete–discrete picture) or the Lebesgue measure (in the discrete–continuous picture). The n1–individual changes its state at random times. We consider the possibility of the following stochastic changes • without interactions, • due to interaction with the n2–individual, n2 ∈{1, . . . ,N}, n2 6= n1 , • due to interaction with the n2 and n3 individ- uals, • ... • due to interaction with n2, n3, ..., nM indi- viduals, where M is an integer 2 ≤ M ≤ N. Consider interactions of the given individual with m− 1 individuals, m = 1, . . . ,M. Assumption 1. The rate of interaction between the individual with state un1 and the individuals with states un2 , ..., unm is given by the measurable function a[m] = a[m](un1, . . . ,unm), such that 0 ≤ a[m](un1,un2, . . . ,unm) ≤ a [m] + , (1) for all un1,un2, . . . ,unm ∈ U , where a [m] + < ∞ is a constant. Assumption 2. The transition into state v of an n1–individual with state un1 , due to the inter- action with individuals of n2,...,nm with states un2 ,...,unm, respectively, is described by the mea- surable function A[m] = A[m] (v; un1, . . . ,unm) ≥ 0 , where∫ U A[m] ( v ; un1,un2, . . . ,unm ) dµ(v) = 1 , (2) for all un1,un2, . . . ,unm ∈ U . The stochastic model (at the microscopic level) is determined by the functions a[m] and A[m]. L (N) 1 is the space equipped with the norm ‖f‖ L (N) 1 =∫ UN ∣∣∣f(u1, . . . ,uN)∣∣∣dµ(u1) . . . dµ(uN ) . If N = 1 we simply write L1. Given N, M, and a[m], A[m], for m = 1, . . . ,M, we consider the stochastic system that is defined by the Markov jump process of N indi- viduals through the following generator Λ acting on densities Λ = Λ+ − Λ− = M∑ m=1 ( Λ[m] + − Λ[m]− ) , Λ[m] +f ( t,u1,u2, ...,uN ) = cN,m ∑ 1≤n1,...,nm≤N ni 6=nj ∀i6=j ∫ U A[m] ( un1 ; v,un2, . . . ,unm ) × a[m] ( v,un2, . . . ,unm ) × f ( t,u1, . . . ,un1−1,v,un1+1, . . . ,uN ) dµ(v) , Λ[m]−f ( t,u1,u2, ...,uN ) = cN,m ∑ 1≤n1,...,nm≤N ni 6=nj ∀i6=j a[m] ( un1,un2, . . . ,unm ) × f ( t,u1, . . . ,uN ) , on UN , where cN,m = 1 (m−1)! ( N m−1) are normaliz- ing constants. Assume that the system is initially distributed according to F ∈ L(N)1 and time evolution is described by the following (linear) equation — the modified Liouville equation , ∂ ∂t f = Λf , ; f ∣∣∣ t=0 = F . (3) with the initial data f ∣∣∣ t=0 = F . (4) We refer here to the Liouville equation in the sense of particle dynamics: Eq. (3) plays a similar role as the Liouville equation in kinetic theory — see Ref. [6] (cf. also [18]). The generator Λ is the difference between the gain term and loss terms Λ = Λ+ − Λ−, where • the gain term Λ+ is a sum of terms describing the changes from state v of n1–individual into un1 due to the interaction with n2, ..., nm individuals with states un2 , ..., unm, respec- tively for 2 ≤ m ≤ M and the term (m = 1) describing the direct changes of state v of n1– individual into un1 without interactions; • the loss term Λ− is a sum of terms describing the changes from state un1 of n1–individual into another state due to the interaction with Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 2 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models n2, ..., nm individuals with states u2, ..., um, respectively for 2 ≤ m ≤ M or without interactions for m = 1. It is easy to see that under Assumptions 1—2 the operator Λ is a bounded in L(N)1 . Thus the Cauchy Problem has the unique solution f(t) = exp ( tΛ ) F (5) in L(N)1 for all t ≥ 0. The solution is nonnegative for nonnegative initial data and the L(N)1 –norm is preserved for any t > 0. Therefore { exp ( tΛ )} t≥0 defines a continuous (linear) semigroup of Markov operators that is a stochastic semigroup in the sense of Ref. [21]. Actually we may note that here we have even a group. In Ref. [15] (see also [14], [3] and the references therein) the limit N → ∞ was studied. Under suitable assumption Eq. (3) results in a nonlin- ear kinetic equation referred to the correspond- ing mesoscopic level. Moreover in various cases macroscopic limits can be obtain. In the next section (Section II) we show that{ exp ( tΛ )} t≥0 is a partially integral stochastic semigroup (see Refs. [26], [25]) and, under some additional assumptions, leads to a stability result. In Section III we review some possible applica- tions. II. ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOUR In order to formulate the time asymptotic result we can refer to the notion of the partially integral stochastic semigroups — see Refs. [26], [25]) — and the Lower Function Theorem by Lasota and Yorke — see [22] (Theorem 2; cf. also Corollary IV.16 in Ref. [28]). Using similar strategy as in Refs. [16] we prove a more general result that may be related to a gen- eral class of microscopic systems in the form given by Eq. (5) under reasonably general Assumptions 1 and 2. Lemma II.1. Let Assumptions 1 and 2 be satis- fied. Assume moreover that a[m] is non–zero, for some m ∈{1, . . . ,M}. Then { exp ( t Λ )} t≥0 is a partially integral stochastic semigroup. Proof: Let Γ be the operator given by ΓF = ΛF + a+F , for F ∈ L(N)1 , where a + = max m=1,...,M a[m]. Then ΓF ≥ Λ+F ≥ max { 0, ΛF } (6) and exp ( t Λ ) F = exp ( −a+ t ) exp ( t Γ ) F , (7) for any probability density F on UN . By Eqs. (6) and (7), for any probability density F on UN , we have exp ( t Λ ) F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ t N N! exp ( −a+ t )( Λ+ )N F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ cN,m(t) ∫ UN k[m] ( u1, . . . ,uN,v1, . . . ,vN ) ×F ( v1, . . . ,vN ) dµ(v1) . . . dµ(vN ) , (8) where cN,m(t) is a constant that depends on m,n and t > 0 and k[m] is a complicated function that depends on A[m] and a[m], k[m] ( u1, . . . ,uN,v1, . . . ,vN ) = = A[m] ( u1; v1,u2, . . .um ) a[m] ( v1,u2, . . .um ) ×A[m] ( u2; v2,u3, . . .um+1 ) a[m] ( v2,u3, . . .um+1 ) × . . . A[m] ( uN ; vN,v1, . . .vm−1 ) ×a[m] ( vN,v1, . . .vm−1 ) . Thus (see [26]) { exp ( t Λ )} t≥0 is a partially integral stochastic semigroup. We note that the above result does not need any additional assumption. The class of partially integral stochastic semigroups is particularly im- portant (see [25], [26], [28]) in the analysis of asymptotic behaviour of stochastic semigroups. To state the asymptotic stability we need however a stronger assumption Theorem II.2. Let Assumptions 1 and 2 be sat- isfied. Additionally, for some m ∈{1, . . . ,M} we assume that a[m] is nonzero, and there exists a measurable nonnegative function h on U such that∫ U h(u) dµ(u) > 0 , (9) Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 3 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models and A[m] ( v,u1, . . . ,um ) a[m] ( u1, . . . ,um ) ≥ h(v) , (10) for any v,u1,u2, . . . ,um ∈ U. Then the stochastic semigroup { exp ( tΛ )} t≥0 is asymptotically stable. Proof: As in the proof of Lemma II.1, for any probability density F on UN , we have exp ( t Λ ) F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ t N N! exp ( −a+t )( Λ+ )N F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ cN,m(t) N∏ i=1 h(ui) × ∫ UN F ( v1, . . . ,vN ) dµ(v1) . . . , dµ(vN ) = cN,m(t) N∏ i=1 h(ui) , (11) where cN,m(t) is a constant that depends on m,n and t > 0. Let t0 > 0 be fixed, e.g. t0 = 1. We have exp ( t Λ ) F = exp ( t0 Λ ) exp ( (t− t0) Λ ) F . By Eq. (11) we obtain exp ( t Λ ) F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ cN,m(t0) N∏ i=1 h(ui) ∥∥∥ exp ((t− t0) Λ)F∥∥∥ L (N) 1 , (12) for t > t0. Keeping in mind that exp ( (t−t0) Λ ) F is a probability density, for each t > t0 we conclude exp ( t Λ ) F ( u1, . . . ,uN ) ≥ `(u1, . . . ,uN ) , (13) where `(u1, . . . ,uN ) = cN,m(t0) N∏ i=1 h(ui) de- pends on N but does not depend on t and F . By Assumptions 1 and 2 it follows that ` ∈ L(N)1 . Moreover by Eq. (9)∫ UN `(u1, . . . ,uN ) dµ(u1) . . . dµ(uN ) > 0 , (14) and ` is a lower function in the sense of Lasota and Yorke [22]. In fact the following condition holds lim t→∞ ∥∥∥( exp(t Λ) F − `)−∥∥∥ L (N) 1 = 0 , for every probability density F , where X− = 0 if X ≥ 0 and X− = −X if X < 0. Thus by the lower function theorem of Lasota and Yorke the semigroup { exp(t Λ) } t≥0 is asymptotically stable. As a by–product of Theorem II.2 we obtain the uniqueness of an equilibrium (stationary) solution corresponding to Eq. (3). The identification of possible equilibrium solutions is an essential step in studying macroscopic limits corresponding to the microscopic models — see [3]. In a particular case referred to a microscopic system in Ref. [16], under some (rather strong) assumption, it is shown that any, even non– factorized, initial probability density tends in the evolution to a factorized equilibrium probability density. Such a situation one can refer to as asymptotic annihilation of initial correlations in the system. On the other hand it was also shown that if the mentioned assumptions are not satisfied — a number of equilibrium states could be large and no annihilation is observed. The possible relationships between micro-, meso- and macro- scales were discussed in Ref. [3] (see also references therein) — Chapter 8 and in particular Subsection 8.3.3. III. APPLICATIONS There are many possible applications of the gen- eral theory presented in section I. The stochastic systems that corresponds at the macroscopic level to standard logistic growth were considered in Ref. [16]. The parameter un, n ∈ {1, 2, . . . ,N}, describing the microscopic (individual) state of n–individual, may be related to its activity (cf. Refs. [4], [3]). The parameter may also describe dominance [13] or social state (c.f. Refs. [1], [5], [9]). The references mentioned above refer to the mesoscopic (kinetic) description whereas Ref. [16] - to microscopic (individual–based) one. Usually the importance of the microscopic ap- proach may be particularly visible in a case when the number of interacting entities of the system is not huge which is typical for biological systems. In such cases the kinetic (mesoscopic) description not always may be properly justified. Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 4 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models A. Redistribution of individuals An application of the general model at the microscopic level of the redistribution of individ- uals in a closed domain featuring, as an example, an elevator — see [10]. The modeling bases on experiments performed in order to elucidate the interactions between pedestrians — see [12] and the references in [10]. In these experiments the inflow of persons into a spatially restricted area, e.g. an elevator, was studied, featuring the process inverse to evacuation. In Ref. [10] an n–th individ- ual, n = 1, . . . ,N, is characterized by its position un. The model and analysis presented in [10] have a preliminary nature and still have to be developed. B. Thermal denaturation of DNA In Ref. [7] some aspects of deoxyribonucleic acid DNA thermal denaturation process (cf. [23], [24], [2]) were considered. Ref. [7] is a continuing the idea of [8] where a preliminary mesoscopic (kinetic) model was discussed. In Ref. [7] a new, more adequate, model that takes into account at the individual (microscopic) level the time evolution of the probability distribution of the state of all hydrogen bonds. Two types of bonds (with two and three hydrogen bonds) and the direct dependence on the temperature are included in the model. The base pairs A–T, C–G are numbered by the discrete variable n ∈ {1, 2, . . . ,N}, and the continuous variable u ∈ [0,∞[ representing the stretching of the distance between the two connected base is used. The variable u is called stretching parameter. Every base pair (’bond’) n is then characterized by the variables un. The discrete variable belongs to one of two subsets of bonds: J2 — two hydro- gen bonds connecting A and T and J3 — three hydrogen bonds connecting C and G J2 ∪J3 = J, J2 ∩J3 = ∅ . According to the biological knowledge it is as- sumed that the three hydrogen bonds are more resistant to heating than the two hydrogen bonds. The probability densities f = f(t,u1, . . . ,uN ) that describe the distribution of the variable u1, . . . ,uN at all bonds is considered. C. Tendon healing process In Ref. [11] a kinetic model of collagen remod- eling occurring in latter stage of tendon healing process was proposed and studied. The model is an integro–differential equation describing the alignment of collagen fibers in a finite time. An important feature of tendon structure is the colla- gen fibers orientation. In the healthy tendon they are aligned. The result of the tendon injury is a disturbance of the parallel structure. The healing process consists in the reconstruction of parallel structure. Scars that may be formed during the healing process cause no proper alignment of col- lagen fibers. One of the most important indicators of the success of the treatment of tendon injury is the degree of alignment of collagen fibers. The model in [11] refers to the function g(t,x,v) that describes a statistical state of col- lagen, i.e. the probability density g = g(t,x,v) to find a collagen fiber at the instant of time t > 0 at point x ∈ D and with orientation v ∈ V, where D, V are domains in Rd. Thus the model has a mesoscopic nature. We consider the following equation ∂ ∂t g(t,x,v) = ∫ V ∫ D ( Tg(y,v; x,w)g(t,x,w) −g(t,x,v)Tg(y,w; x,v) ) dydw, (15) where Tg(y,v; x,w) describes the transition prob- ability from the orientation w ∈ V at x ∈ D to the orientation v ∈ V at x caused by an adaptation to the orientation at y ∈ D. The model bases on a proper choice of the function Tf that in general may depend on both collagen distribution g and tenocytes density c. In Ref. [11] a simplified case of constant (uniform) tenocytes density was considered. A realistic definition is Tg(y,v; x,w) = β(y,v; x,w)g γ(t,y,v) , where γ > 0 describes the strength of influence of collagen fibers from neighborhood on collagen fiber in considered point. The bigger is the γ the stronger the influence is. That choice leads to the Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 5 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models following general class of equations ∂ ∂ t g(t,x,v) =∫ D ∫ V ( β(y,v; x,w) gγ(t,y,v) g(t,x,w) −g(t,x,v)β(y,w; x,v)gγ(t,y,w) ) dydw. (16) The function β(y,v,x,w) is related to the inter- action between the collagen fiber with orientation w at point x with collagen fiber with orientation v located at point y and describes the transition from orientation w to orientation v. In Ref. [11] we show that the solutions may exist globally in time or may blow–up in a finite time depending on initial data. The latter behavior is related to the healing of injury without the scar formation in a finite time: a full alignment of collagen fibers occurs. The approach of [11] may be related to the mesoscopic scale. One may however propose a stochastic individu- ally based (microscopic) model following the idea stated in Section I. The number N may be then related to the number of collagen fibers that are taken into account in the modeling process. The system is described in terms of a Markov jump process and the related linear evolution equations as in Section I. The equation describes the evolu- tion of probability densities, with microscopic rep- resentation of the system of N interacting agents. We consider the interactions of a given agent with γ agents. The system is initially distributed according to the probability density F ∈ L(N)1 . The time evolution is described by Eq. (3) where Λ is the generator that takes the form Λf ( t,x1,v1, . . . ,xN,uN ) = cN,γ ∑ 1≤n1,...,nγ+1≤N ni 6=nj ∀i6=j ( ∫ D×V A ( xn1,vn1 ; y,w,xn2,vn2, . . . ,vnγ+1,vnγ+1 ) ×a ( y,w,xn2,vn2, . . . ,xnγ+1,vnγ+1 ) ×f ( t,x1,v1, . . . ,xn1−1,vn1−1,y,w, xn1+1,vn1+1, . . . ,xN,vN ) dy dw −a ( xn1,vn1, . . . ,xnγ+1,vnγ+1 ) f ( t,x1,v1, . . . ,xN,vN )) . In the limit N → ∞, the (linear) modified Liouville equation (3) yields, [15], [3], a nonlinear integro–differential equation that can be related to the mesoscopic description ∂ ∂t f(t,u) = G[f](t,u) −f(t,u)L[f](t,u) , u = (x,v) ∈ D×V , (17) where G[f] is the gain term , given by G[f](t,x,v) = ∑ {} ∫( D×V )γ+1 A ( x,v; y,w,{x2,v2, . . . ,xγ+1,uγ+1} ) ×a ( y,w,{x2,u2, . . . ,xγ+1,uγ+1} ) ×f(t,y,w)f(t,x2,v2) . . .f(t,xγ+1,vγ+1) dy dw dx2, dv2, . . . dxγ+1, dvγ+1 , and fL[f] is the loss term , defined as L[f](t,x,v) = ∑ {} ∫( D×V )γ a ( x,v,{x2,v2, . . . ,xγ+1,vγ+1}) ×f(t,x2,v2) . . .f(t,xγ+1,vγ+1) ×dx2 dv2 . . . dxγ+1 dvγ+1 , and ∑ {} means the sum over all permutation of variables within {}. It is easy to see that the global (in time) exis- tence and uniqueness of solutions f = f(t) to Eq. (17) in L(1)1 follows. One may now state the theorem (cf. [15], [3]) that defines the links between the solutions to Eq. (3) and to Eq. (17) or, in other words, that defines the transition from the microscopic level to the mesoscopic level. The mathematical properties of Eq. (17) are different than those of Eq. (16). The possible rich behavior of solutions of Eq. (16), see [11], [17], leading to blow–ups in a finite of time are not possible in the case of solutions of Eq. (17). On the other hand in some limit (approximating ”delta –function”) the solutions of Eq. (16) may be approximated by the solutions of Eq. (17). This defines the relationship between a stochastic, individually–based (microscopic) description and Eq. (16). Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 6 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Mirosław Lachowicz, A class of individual–based models A formal series with respect to γ = 1, 2, . . . , results in the following nonlinear kinetic (meso- scopic) equation alternative to Eq. (16) ∂ ∂ t g(t,x,v) =∫ D ∫ V ( β(y,v; x,w) g(t,y,v) 1−g(t,y,v) g(t,x,w) −g(t,x,v) β(y,w; x,v) g(t,y,w) 1−g(t,y,w) ) dy dw. (18) At present, the mathematical theory of Eq. (18) is missing. IV. CONCLUSIONS In Section I we review the general class of microscopic models that are able to describe inter- actions between individuals of a biological popula- tion. The class refers to the stochastic semigroups. In Section II we show the methods that leads to the asymptotic stability under some rather restrictive assumptions. On the other hand the asymptotic behaviour in the general case is still an open prob- lem. The important technical tool could be the fact that the semigroup is partially integral (without any particular additional assumption). This may be treated as a preliminary step towards the de- scription of macroscopic (”hydrodynamic ”) limits that seems to be essential part of the program of giving full description on various scales starting from microscopic, then mesoscopic and finally — macroscopic. In a very simple case considered in [16] — the macroscopic equation was obtain from the mesoscopic equation by the averaging with respect to microscopic variable. In the general case it is far from being solved. Therefore we may believe that the methods of the present paper can indicate the possible further research. In Section III we review some important appli- cations. They show that the general framework is suitable to describe various systems in which the interactions between individuals are essential. We point out some new equations that result in various limits that can be interesting for further mathematical studies. 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Biomath 7 (2018), 1804127, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.127 Page 8 of 8 http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2018.04.12 7 Microscopic scale Asymptotic behaviour Applications Redistribution of individuals Thermal denaturation of DNA Tendon healing process Conclusions References