Microsoft Word - 0381_CET45_021


 

 CCHHEEMMIICCAALL  EENNGGIINNEEEERRIINNGG  TTRRAANNSSAACCTTIIOONNSS  
 

VOL. 45, 2015 

A publication of 

 
The Italian Association 

of Chemical Engineering 

www.aidic.it/cet 
Guest Editors: Petar Sabev Varbanov, Jiří Jaromír Klemeš, Sharifah Rafidah Wan Alwi, Jun Yow Yong, Xia Liu  

Copyright © 2015, AIDIC Servizi S.r.l., 

ISBN 978-88-95608-36-5; ISSN 2283-9216 DOI: 10.3303/CET1545021

 

Please cite this article as: Nemet A., Lee K., Klemeš J.J., Varbanov P.S., Moon I., Kravanja Z., 2015, Safety analysis 

embedded in total site synthesis, Chemical Engineering Transactions, 45, 121-126  DOI:10.3303/CET1545021 

121

Safety Analysis Embedded in Total Site Synthesis 

Andreja Nemeta, Kwanghee Leeb, Jiří J. Klemeša, Petar S. Varbanova,  

Il Moon*b, Zdravko Kravanjac 

aCentre for Process Integration and Intensification – CPI2, University of Pannonia, Veszprém, Hungary 
bProcess System Engineering Laboratory, Dpt of Chemical and Biomolecular Engng, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea 
cFaculty of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, University of Maribor, Maribor, Slovenia 

ilmoon@yonsei.ac.kr 

Decreasing utility consumptions by Total Site (TS) process-to-process Heat Integration can be performed 

via several possible configurations, namely: i) Indirect, via intermediate utility and ii) Direct, by transporting 

either hot or cold process streams from one process to a heat exchanger placed within another process, 

undertaking heat exchange and afterwards returning them to the original process. The indirect heat 

transfer requires more complex network compared to direct, whilst the direct configuration can have safety 

issues. This contribution presents a five-step approach for TS heat exchanger network (HEN) synthesis. 

During the first steps the risk assessment is determined for each possible heat transfer match between 

processes. The matches can be classified by applying a risk-ranking matrix to matches with high, medium 

and low-level risks. In the fifth step synthesis of the Total Site Heat Integration Network is performed by a 

mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model by considering the classifications of the matches 

obtained during the first step. The matches can be assigned as forbidden (high risk), allowed with penalty 

(medium risk) and allowed (low-level risk). The objective of the MINLP model is to maximise the Expected 

Net Present Value of the Total Site. This methodology was tested on an illustrative case study for 

analysing the impact of risk assessment. The obtained TS heat exchanger networks (HENs) by applying 

the described methodology were inherently safer and yet economically viable. 

1. Introduction 

Total Sites Heat Integration can significantly contribute to all three pillars of sustainability - the 

environmental burden can be decreased, the economic efficiency increased, and the social aspect 

improved (Čuček et al., 2015). There are two main approaches for Total Site evaluation (Dhole and 

Linnhoff, 1993).The first is the thermodynamic approach that sets thermodynamically achievable targets at 

a certain minimal temperature difference (e.g. Klemeš, 2013) and a mathematical programming approach, 

where different parts or the whole Total Site Heat Exchanger Network can be optimised, usually by 

applying an economic objective function (e.g. Klemeš and Kravanja, 2013). Whichever approach is applied 

any of them can lead to solutions that can hardly be implemented due to the high risk rate. The public’s 

interest in risk assessment has been continuously increasing over the last three decades as a result of the 

need for obtaining safer and more reliable processes (Marhavilas et al., 2011). Despite great interest in 

risk analysis the majority of scientific publications on risk assessment cover quantitative methods (66 %) 

whilst the qualitative methods are only present as a smaller proportion (28 %) – see Marhavilas et al, 

2011. The majority of work has focused on the risk assessment and analysis method, assuming a retrofit 

of an already existing or designed plant. It is used for identifying places with high risks regarding 

operability requirements. However, the possibility of affecting the inherent safety of a process decreases 

as the decision or investment on design has already been made (Heikkilä, 1999). Risk assessment at an 

early stage of design can have substantial impact on the later operations of processes. Chan et al. (2014) 

combined the inherent safety index with Stream Temperature vs. Enthalpy Plot (STEP) analysis developed 

for HEN design. It is a graphical approach based on a heuristic that can provide a deep understanding of 

the planned HEN. However, it can become too complex for solving larger problems and obtaining solutions 



 

 

122 

can be left to the engineer’s expertise. The framework presented in this work provides a systematic 

procedure for synthesis of a Total Site regarding a wider scope of Heat Integration, including risk 

assessment at an early stage during planning. The acceptable solutions are often trade-offs between low-

risk designs and economic viabilities. Obtaining designs by considering only risk analysis might not be 

implemented due to poor economic performance. In order to evaluate this trade-off during Total Site 

synthesis, the synthesis is performed by adding penalties to heat transfers with high risks by establishing a 

trade-off between risk level and economic performance. 

2. Methodology 

The aim of the developed methodology is to consider safety during the process of obtaining a design for a 

Total Site. For this purpose a five-step approach has been developed in order to obtain a Total Site Heat 

Exchanger Network. An extension of the Grid Diagram (Linnhoff and Flower, 1978) has been used for the 

illustration. The Hu represents the heaters whilst Cu stands for the coolers within the graphical 

presentation (Figure 1). 

a)

b)

c)

Process 1 Process 2

HE 3

Hu2

Cu1

HE 1

Hu1

Pipe 1

Pump 5

Pump 6

Hot process stream

Cold process 
stream

HE 2

Valve 3

Valve 4
Valve 5 Valve 6

Valve 9

Pump 3

Pump 4

Valve 8

Valve 7

Fresh Water

Hu3

IU- water IU- steam

IU- condensate

Valve 2

Pump 2

Pump 1 Valve 1

IU- cond. 
pipe

Preheating
Evaporation Transport steam

Condensation

Transport condensate

Process 1 Process 2

Pipe 1

HE 1

Hu2

Hot process 
stream

Cold process 
stream

Pipe 2

Pump 3

Pump 4

Pump 1 Valve 1

Pump 2Valve 2

Valve 3

Valve 4Valve 5

Trans -Hot 
process stream

Heat exchange

Transport from Process 1 to Process 2

Transport from Process 2 to Process 1

Process 1
Process 2

HE 1

Pipe 1

Cu1 Hot process 
stream

Cold process 
stream

Pipe 2

Pump 3

Pump 4

Valve 1Pump 1

Valve 2 Pump 2

Valve 3
Valve 5Valve 4

Transport from Process 2 to Process 1

Transport from 
Process 1 to Process 2

Heat exchange

Hu1

Cu1

HE- Heat exchanger
IU- Intermediate utility stream
Hu-Heater
Cu-Cooler
Trans-Cold process stream- Transported cold stream in Process 1
Trans-Hot process stream- Transported hot stream in Process 2

Trans -Cold 
process stream

 

Figure 1: TS HEN, when heat transfer configuration is a) Indirect, via intermediate utility, b) Direct, 

transport of cold stream and c) Direct, transport of hot stream heat transfer between different processes 

Step 0: Total Site description. The Total Site identification and breakdown has to be performed before risk 

assessment can be performed. On a Total Site three different configurations of heat transfer are possible: 

i) Indirect, via an intermediate utility (Figure 1a) and direct, by transporting either ii) cold (Figure 1b) or iii) 

hot (Figure 1c) process streams of one process to exchange heat within another process. In the case of 

Indirect heat transfer the whole heat transfer process can be composed of five basic operations: 

preheating, evaporation, transport of steam, condensation and transport of condensate (Figure 1a). In the 

case of direct heat transfers only three operations occur: transport of cold (hot) stream to another process, 

heat exchange, and transport of cold (hot) process back to its original process, as presented in Figure 1b 

(Figure 1c). Moreover, only matches with feasible heat transfer enabled by temperature difference should 

be included in the further steps of evaluation.  

Step 1: Deviations (hazards) identification. The HAZOP (Hazard and Operability study) method is a 

systematic examination of design documents for identifying and documenting hazards through imaginative 

thinking. It is the more systemised qualitative technique enabling thorough identifications of deviations 

(Marhavilas et al, 2011). The specific Guide Words used for Total Site when performing HAZOP analysis 

are presented in Table 1. They could be extended by more deviation parameters; however, this would also 

contribute to the complexities of analysis. In this work the temperature and pressure have not been 

included as parameters. They have rather been treated as a consequence of decreased or no velocity. 

The planned or emergency shutdown of a process can be treated as the consequence of any failure in this 

process; therefore, this case has not been included separately as a parameter.  



 

 

123

Table 1: Guide words for HAZOP analysis used for Total Site  

Parameter  Guide word Deviation caused by 

Flow or velocity More Reduced backpressure, surging, controller failure, valve stuck open 

Less Leakage, partial blockade, fouling, sediment, cavitation, low suction head 

No Clogging, blockage, pump failure, closed stuck valve, leak 

Reverse Valve failure or wrongly inserted, poor isolation, wrong routing, control failure 

Composition Other than Presence of impurities (e.g. air, water, acids, corrosion) 

 Part of Different phases, foaming, change in viscosity or density 

 Contamination Leakage of one media to other 

 

Step 2: Determining frequency and severity of deviation from planned operating conditions. Based on 

Table 1 and Figure 1 the deviation events can be created for each of the heat exchange matches. The 

failure frequency is determined based on historical statistical data (e.g. Flemish government, 2009). It 

should be noted that the pipe failure frequency is determined by considering its length (Flemish 

government, 2009), which is an important aspect in Total Site. The severity of the leakage is determined 

following the guideline set in the so-called “Purple book” (Uijt and Ale, 2005). It suggests the calculation of 

a dimensionless indication number of an installation Ai for a substance i as presented in Eq(1) of an 

installation for substance i: 

( )1 2 3 /i i iA Q Q Q Q G= ⋅ ⋅ ⋅  (1) 

where Qi is the quantity of the substance i present the installation in kg, Q1 the factor for installation type, 

whether process or storage, Q2 the factor for positioning of the installation, Q3 the factor for process 

conditions including the amount of substance during the vapour phase after release based on process 

temperature, atmospheric boiling point, the substance phase and the ambient temperature, and Gi is the 

limit value representing a measure of dangerous properties on both physical properties and the 

toxic/explosive/flammable properties of the substance. Determining the risks at each installation can 

indicate the place/reason for high risks. In the Total Site approach the consequences are not limited only 

to the loss of some of the media but also the missing of the same media in other places can be critical, due 

to uncovered heat demand or excess of heat. For this purpose an indication number Aqi of heat loss or 

heat cumulating within a system due to cold stream loss is determined by applying the same equation 

Eq(1), where the loss presents the amount of heat due media loss within 10 min in pipes and the amount 

of heat present within the mass of media in the heat exchanger. The limiting value is the overall hot or cold 

utility consumption.  

Step 3: Determining the risks of each heat transfer match between processes. The overall risk of one 

match is obtained by the summation of risk over each installation required for the heat transfer. The total 

failure frequency for one heat transfer match can be determined as by the summations of failure 

frequencies of any of the installations involved in the heat transfer. This is done based on the assumptions 

that a failure of one installation would lead to a failure of the overall network. The total risk should be 

obtained in order to gain information regarding the total severity of the consequences of deviations for a 

certain heat transfer between processes. The total severity can then be determined by division of the total 

risk by the total frequency of failure. The distribution between frequency and severity can still be estimated 

by revealing the basic problems within a network leading to risk (Figure 2a).  

Severity

Frequency 

High risk

Acceptable risk

ALARP

Heat transfer matches

Severity

Frequency 

Forbidden 
matches

Allowed matches
-No penalty

Allowed 
matches
-Penalty

Penalty-
to reduce
 frequency

Penalty- 
to reduce severity

ALARP- “as low as reasonably practicable” 

a) b)

 
Figure 2: Presentation of possible heat exchanger match as Severity vs. Frequency a) after risk 

assessment and b) as an input data for TS synthesis 

Step 4: Connection between Risk Assessment and Total Site synthesis. The results obtained by risk 

assessment can be presented as graphical representations Severity versus Frequency (Figure 2a). This 

plot is divided in three regions: i) high risk, ii) ALARP (“as low as reasonably practicable”) and iii) 

acceptable risk. The same regions are taken as a basis for selecting matches during optimisation to be: i) 

forbidden matches, with unacceptable high risks, ii) allowed matches with penalties for medium risks, and 



 

 

124 

iii) allowed matches with acceptable risks. The penalties for medium risk matches are determined as 

investments required to obtain matches with acceptable risks (Figure 2b). The observed matches can then 

be transferred to the acceptable risk region. Three types of investments are possible in order to obtain this: 

i) to decrease frequency, ii) to decrease severity and iii) both simultaneously. The investment to decrease 

frequency can be a selection of different materials for equipment or increased thickness (diameter) of pipe 

etc. Decreasing the severity consequences can be more complex as it mostly depends on the media of the 

process, which would lead to process changes; however, it can be assumed as an investment for 

additional safety equipment for detection, fire safety equipment etc. Only one type of investment is 

assumed, representing the minimal investment for obtaining a network with acceptable risk.  

Step 5: Synthesis of Total Site considering input data obtained in Step 4. For Total Site synthesis a 

stochastic mixed integer nonlinear programming model has been used (Nemet, 2015a; Nemet et al, 

2015b) considering the risk assessment results.  

3. Illustrative case study 

This illustrative case study consisted of Process 1 representing a sulphuric acid production plant and 

Process 2 representing part of a refinery complex. The input data of process streams is presented in Table 

2. The utility and cost data has been taken from Nemet et al. (2015a). The distance between processes is 

assumed to be 2 km.  

Table 2: Input data for process streams of the case study 

Process   Stream Type Tin/°C Tout/°C CP/ kW°C-1 h/kW m-2°C-1 Medium 

Process 1 H1P1 Hot 980 430 20 0.065 Sulphuric acid 

Process 2 C1P2 Cold 210 368 35 0.62 Oil 

 C2P2 Cold  75 95 250 0.5 water 

 

Step 0: All three mechanisms of transfer were considered for the heat transfer between H1P1 and C1P2 

as well as for H1P1 and C2P2 (Figure 1). Accounting for the required temperature difference ∆Tmin = 5 °C 

the maximal possible heat transfers were determined for all possible heat transfer matches (Table 3).  

Step 1: The deviations were determined based on Table 1 for each operation involved in heat transfer, 

namely: heat exchangers, pipes, and pumps. In regard to heat exchangers the shell and tube types and for 

pipes the centrifugal pumps with gaskets were assumed. Process streams, trans-streams at direct heat 

transfer, Fresh W and IU water at indirect heat transfer were all assumed as above ground pipelines, 

whilst Pipe 1 and Pipe 2 at direct heat transfer and IU steam and IU condensate at indirect heat transfer 

were assumed as underground pipelines. The valve failure was unconsidered in this case study. 

Table 3: Maximal possible heat transfer between all possible process-to-process heat transfers  

Match type   Streams involved Intermediate utility level range  ∆Hmax/ kW 

Direct H1P1-C1P2 - 5,530 

 H1P1-C2P2 - 5,000 

Indirect H1P1-C1P2 LPS: 120-148        0 

 H1P1-C2P2 LPS: 120-148 5,000 

Indirect H1P1-C1P2 MPS: 148-208        0 

 H1P1-C2P2 MPS: 148-208 5,000 

Indirect H1P1-C1P2 HPS: 208-252 1,295 

 H1P1-C2P2 HPS: 208-252 5,000 

*At THPS = 252°C and ∆Tmin = 5°C 

Step 2: The failure frequencies were determined for the above listed equipment. The quantity of substance 

present in the installation had to be determined in order to determine the severity of consequences of 

deviations. As the methodology is developed for an early stage design the following simplified correlation 

for quantities were considered in the heat exchanger. The area of heat exchanger AHE could be determined 

from the amount of exchanged heat; overall heat transfer coefficient U and the logarithm mean 

temperature ∆Tln. The correlation between the volume in the tubes and the area could be determined as 

presented in Eq(4) The more common tube diameter sizes are between 19 mm and 25.24 mm (Edwards, 

2008). For a preliminary calculation a 22 mm tube diameter was selected (11 mm radius) for a preliminary 

calculation. 

( )max ln/
HE

A H U T= ∆ ⋅ ∆   (3) 



 

 

125

, 2
,

2 2 2
 

HE tube
HE tube HE

HE

V r l r r
V A

A r l

π

π

⋅ ⋅
= = => = ⋅

⋅ ⋅ ⋅

 
 

(4) 

The mass of content can be determined from the volume by multiplication of the VHE,tube by the density of 

the content. The mass on the shell side can be determined from the mass determined by the ratio between 

mass flow-rate on the tube side and the shell side of the heat exchanger Eq(5). The mass flow-rate is 

determined from the heat transferred within the heat exchanger. Sensible heat is determined from Eq(6). If 

the heat is stored in the form of latent heat (evaporation and condensation of intermediate utility), the mass 

flow-rate is determined as a maximal enthalpy flow divided by the difference between the specific enthalpy 

of steam, and water Eq(7).  
shell shell shell shell

shell tube

tube tube tube tube

m m t m m
m m

m m t m m

⋅
= = => = ⋅

⋅

& & &

& & &

 
 

(5) 

( )
max

/m H cp T= ∆ ⋅ ∆&    (6) 

( ) ( ) ( )( )max( ) /steam steam steam steam water steamm T H T h T h T= ∆ −&    (7) 
The substance has to be selected carefully for flowing into the tube as it can lead to substantially different 

results. In regard to pipes the quantity present is determined as the amount within the pipeline, with the 

length equal to the velocity multiplied by 600 s (Flemish Government, 2009). The mass flow-rate within the 

pipelines is determined from the heat content in the process pipes. Regarding direct heat transfer the 

mass flow-rate can be determined similarly as in Eq(6). For the indirect heat transfer the steam mass-flow 

rate is determined by applying steam tables and maximal possible heat transfer, as presented in Eq(7).  

Step 3 The risk is determined for each deviation separately for all the instruments involved during heat 

transfer covering four major consequences of failure namely toxicity, flammability, explosiveness and 

additionally for heat loss. The overall risk for a certain heat transfer is determined by summation of all the 

risks regarding the equipment involved during heat transfer. The frequency of failure is similarly summed 

up for equipment enabling heat transfer. The average severity is afterwards determined by dividing the 

overall risk by the overall failure frequency. The obtained results are presented in Figure 3. It should be 

noted that indirect heat transfer configuration for same match have similar risks, therefore, they can 

overlap. As can be seen the frequency of the failure is higher in the cases when indirect heat transfer 

configurations are planned. This is expected as more instruments are involved in heat transfer. However, 

the severity of the failure is multiple times higher when direct heat transfer occurs. It is a consequence of 

transporting either sulphur acid or crude between processes. This leads to generally higher risk during 

direct heat transfer.  

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

0 0.02 0.04 0.06

Severity

Frequency

c) 

H1P1-C1P2:C->H

H1P1-C1P2:H->C

0

1

2

3

4

0 0.02 0.04 0.06

Severity

Frequency

d)
H1P1-C2P2:H->C

H1P1-C1P2:H->C

H1P1-C1P2:C->H

H1P1-C2P2:C->H

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 0.02 0.04 0.06

Severity

Frequency

a) H1P1-C2P2:H->C

H1P1-C1P2:H->C

H1P1-C1P2:C->H

H1P1-C2P2:C->H
0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0 0.02 0.04 0.06

Severity

Frequency

b) 
H1P1-C1P2:C->H

H1P1-C1P2:H->C
H1P1-C1P2:HPS

H->C: direct transfer; transport of hot process stream 

to cold process stream

C->H: direct transfer; transport of cold process stream

to hot process stream

HPS: indirect transfer; high pressure steam

 

Figure 3: Overall frequency and severity of a certain heat transfer by considering a) toxicity, b) 

flammability, c) explosiveness and d) heat loss risk assessment.  

Step 4: As can be seen in Figure 3 matches H1P1-C2P2 and H1P1-C1P2 have significant risks for toxicity, 

for direct heat transfer configuration involving heat transport by hot stream. It is a consequence of 

sulphuric acid being the media in hot stream H1P1. The mentioned matches should be forbidden during 

synthesis due to the high severity consequences of failure. The flammability risk and explosiveness risk 

assessment support the decision of forbidding the match between H1P1-C1P2, when cold stream is 

transported to hot stream, as the media is crude oil that is flammable and might become explosive. The 

heat loss risk assessment highlights that match where the hot stream is transported having high risk of 

heat loss.   

Step 5: The results of the synthesis indicated that considering risk can provide different solutions 

compared to those considering only economic criteria. In this particular case, the Expected Net Present 



 

 

126 

Value of network savings was decreased when considering the risk aspect, namely from 13,853 k€ to 

10,831 k€, and the hot utility consumption was increased by 2,369 kW, from 748.5 kW to 3,117.3 kW. 
Process 1Process 2

H1P1

C1P2

C2P2

Preheating

Hu

∆H = 5,781.2 kW∆H_loss =151.8 kW

∆H_loss = 99.4 kW

∆H = 
4,251.5 kW

∆H = 
748.5 kW

∆H = 890.5 kW∆H = 4,328.3 kW

a)

Evaporation

Pinch in 
Process 1

Pinch in 
Process 2

Process 1Process 2

H1P1

C1P2

C2P2

Preheating

Hu

∆H = 1,160.3 kW

∆H = 1,907.6 kW

∆H = 

311.9 kW

∆H =5,090.5 kW

∆H = 2,841.6 kW

∆H_loss = 90.5 kW

∆H_loss = 117.0 kW

∆H = 
5,000 kW

∆H = 
2,724.6 kW

∆H = 
2,805.4 kW

b)

Evaporation

Pinch in 
Process 1

Pinch in 
Process 2

Hu

∆H_loss = 76.8 kW
LPSLPS

LPS

MPS

 

Figure 4: Comparison between solutions obtained considering a) only economic value and b) economic 

value and risk assessment 

4. Conclusions 

A framework has been presented for considering safety analysis during Total Site synthesis. The case 

study indicates that solutions obtained when considering risk aspects can be significantly different 

compared to those obtained without including the safety aspect-significantly safer solutions can thus be 

obtained; however, with considerably higher consumption of external utilities.  

Acknowledgement 

The authors are grateful for the financial support from EC FP7 project FP7-PEOPLE-2011-IRSES “Energy 

Systems Engineering – ESE”, project No. 294987, EC FP7 project ENER/FP7/296003/EFENIS ‘Efficient 

Energy Integrated Solutions for Manufacturing Industries – EFENIS’ and from the Slovenian Research 

Agency (Program No. P2-0032). 

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