id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cet-1037	1	1	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	1	2	engineering	engineering	NOUN
cet-1037	1	3	transactions	transaction	NOUN
cet-1037	1	4	vol	vol	NOUN
cet-1037	1	5	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	2	1	62	62	NUM
cet-1037	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	2	3	2017	2017	NUM
cet-1037	2	4	a	a	DET
cet-1037	2	5	publication	publication	NOUN
cet-1037	2	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	2	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	2	8	italian	italian	ADJ
cet-1037	2	9	association	association	NOUN
cet-1037	2	10	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	2	11	chemical	chemical	PROPN
cet-1037	2	12	engineering	engineering	NOUN
cet-1037	2	13	online	online	ADV
cet-1037	2	14	at	at	ADP
cet-1037	2	15	www.aidic.it/cet	www.aidic.it/cet	PROPN
cet-1037	2	16	guest	guest	PROPN
cet-1037	2	17	editors	editor	NOUN
cet-1037	2	18	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	2	19	fei	fei	PROPN
cet-1037	2	20	song	song	PROPN
cet-1037	2	21	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	2	22	haibo	haibo	PROPN
cet-1037	2	23	wang	wang	PROPN
cet-1037	2	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	2	25	fang	fang	PROPN
cet-1037	2	26	he	he	PRON
cet-1037	2	27	copyright	copyright	NOUN
cet-1037	2	28	©	©	PROPN
cet-1037	2	29	2017	2017	NUM
cet-1037	2	30	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	2	31	aidic	aidic	ADJ
cet-1037	2	32	servizi	servizi	PROPN
cet-1037	2	33	s.r.l	s.r.l	PROPN
cet-1037	2	34	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	1	isbn	isbn	ADJ
cet-1037	3	2	978	978	NUM
cet-1037	3	3	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	3	4	88	88	NUM
cet-1037	3	5	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	6	9560860	9560860	NUM
cet-1037	3	7	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	3	8	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	3	9	;	;	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	10	issn	issn	PROPN
cet-1037	3	11	2283	2283	NUM
cet-1037	3	12	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	3	13	9216	9216	NUM
cet-1037	3	14	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	3	15	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	16	ordering	order	VERB
cet-1037	3	17	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	3	18	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	19	chemical	chemical	ADJ
cet-1037	3	20	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	3	21	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	3	22	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	3	23	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	3	24	stability	stability	PROPN
cet-1037	3	25	yali	yali	PROPN
cet-1037	3	26	lia	lia	PROPN
cet-1037	3	27	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	28	bin	bin	PROPN
cet-1037	3	29	liub	liub	PROPN
cet-1037	3	30	ashijiazhuang	ashijiazhuang	PROPN
cet-1037	3	31	institute	institute	PROPN
cet-1037	3	32	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	33	technology(sit	technology(sit	PROPN
cet-1037	3	34	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	35	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	36	shijiazhuang	shijiazhuang	PROPN
cet-1037	3	37	050228	050228	NUM
cet-1037	3	38	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	39	china	china	PROPN
cet-1037	3	40	bbaoding	bbaode	VERB
cet-1037	3	41	university	university	NOUN
cet-1037	3	42	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	43	baoding	baoding	PROPN
cet-1037	3	44	071000	071000	NUM
cet-1037	3	45	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	46	china	china	PROPN
cet-1037	3	47	sjzzhyzzh@163.com	sjzzhyzzh@163.com	PROPN
cet-1037	3	48	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	3	49	the	the	DET
cet-1037	3	50	development	development	NOUN
cet-1037	3	51	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	52	economic	economic	ADJ
cet-1037	3	53	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	3	54	social	social	ADJ
cet-1037	3	55	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	3	56	problems	problem	NOUN
cet-1037	3	57	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	58	the	the	DET
cet-1037	3	59	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	3	60	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	3	61	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	3	62	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	3	63	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	3	64	appear	appear	NOUN
cet-1037	3	65	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	4	1	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
cet-1037	4	2	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	4	3	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	4	4	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	4	5	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	4	6	causes	cause	VERB
cet-1037	4	7	a	a	DET
cet-1037	4	8	huge	huge	ADJ
cet-1037	4	9	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	4	10	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	4	11	factories	factory	NOUN
cet-1037	4	12	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	4	13	consumers	consumer	NOUN
cet-1037	4	14	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	5	1	because	because	SCONJ
cet-1037	5	2	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	5	3	collapse	collapse	NOUN
cet-1037	5	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	5	5	its	its	PRON
cet-1037	5	6	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	5	7	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	5	8	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	5	9	many	many	ADJ
cet-1037	5	10	companies	company	NOUN
cet-1037	5	11	come	come	VERB
cet-1037	5	12	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	5	13	failure	failure	NOUN
cet-1037	5	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	5	15	bankruptcy	bankruptcy	NOUN
cet-1037	5	16	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	6	1	such	such	ADJ
cet-1037	6	2	accidents	accident	NOUN
cet-1037	6	3	take	take	VERB
cet-1037	6	4	severe	severe	ADJ
cet-1037	6	5	harm	harm	NOUN
cet-1037	6	6	not	not	PART
cet-1037	6	7	only	only	ADV
cet-1037	6	8	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	6	9	the	the	DET
cet-1037	6	10	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	6	11	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	6	12	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	6	13	upstream	upstream	ADJ
cet-1037	6	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	6	15	downstream	downstream	ADJ
cet-1037	6	16	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	6	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	6	18	but	but	CCONJ
cet-1037	6	19	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	6	20	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	6	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	6	22	environment	environment	NOUN
cet-1037	6	23	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	6	24	life	life	NOUN
cet-1037	6	25	safety	safety	NOUN
cet-1037	6	26	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	7	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	7	2	always	always	ADV
cet-1037	7	3	brings	bring	VERB
cet-1037	7	4	immeasurable	immeasurable	ADJ
cet-1037	7	5	losses	loss	NOUN
cet-1037	7	6	as	as	ADV
cet-1037	7	7	well	well	ADV
cet-1037	7	8	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cet-1037	8	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	8	4	study	study	NOUN
cet-1037	8	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	8	6	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	8	7	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	8	8	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	8	9	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	8	10	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	8	11	practically	practically	ADV
cet-1037	8	12	significant	significant	ADJ
cet-1037	8	13	to	to	PART
cet-1037	8	14	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
cet-1037	8	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	8	16	safety	safety	NOUN
cet-1037	8	17	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	8	18	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	8	19	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	8	20	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	8	21	operation	operation	NOUN
cet-1037	8	22	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	23	promote	promote	VERB
cet-1037	8	24	the	the	DET
cet-1037	8	25	sustainable	sustainable	ADJ
cet-1037	8	26	development	development	NOUN
cet-1037	8	27	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	8	28	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	8	29	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	8	30	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	8	31	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	32	improve	improve	VERB
cet-1037	8	33	the	the	DET
cet-1037	8	34	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
cet-1037	8	35	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	8	36	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	8	37	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	8	38	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	39	reduce	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	8	40	global	global	ADJ
cet-1037	8	41	energy	energy	NOUN
cet-1037	8	42	consumption	consumption	NOUN
cet-1037	8	43	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	8	44	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	8	45	protect	protect	VERB
cet-1037	8	46	social	social	ADJ
cet-1037	8	47	environment	environment	NOUN
cet-1037	8	48	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	9	1	at	at	ADP
cet-1037	9	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	9	3	same	same	ADJ
cet-1037	9	4	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	9	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	9	6	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
cet-1037	9	7	significance	significance	NOUN
cet-1037	9	8	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	9	9	to	to	PART
cet-1037	9	10	improve	improve	VERB
cet-1037	9	11	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	9	12	perfect	perfect	VERB
cet-1037	9	13	the	the	DET
cet-1037	9	14	theory	theory	NOUN
cet-1037	9	15	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	9	16	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	9	17	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	9	18	management	management	NOUN
cet-1037	9	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	10	1	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	10	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	10	3	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cet-1037	10	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	10	5	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	10	6	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	10	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	10	8	this	this	DET
cet-1037	10	9	paper	paper	NOUN
cet-1037	10	10	analyses	analyse	VERB
cet-1037	10	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	10	12	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	10	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	10	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	10	15	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	10	16	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	10	17	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	10	18	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	10	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	10	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	10	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	10	22	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	10	23	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	10	24	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	10	25	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	11	1	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	11	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	11	3	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	11	4	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	11	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cet-1037	11	6	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	11	7	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	11	8	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	11	9	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	11	10	found	find	VERB
cet-1037	11	11	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	11	12	no	no	ADV
cet-1037	11	13	matter	matter	ADV
cet-1037	11	14	what	what	DET
cet-1037	11	15	kind	kind	NOUN
cet-1037	11	16	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	11	17	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	11	18	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	11	19	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	11	20	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	11	21	choose	choose	VERB
cet-1037	11	22	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	11	23	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	11	24	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	11	25	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	11	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	11	27	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	11	28	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	11	29	its	its	PRON
cet-1037	11	30	own	own	ADJ
cet-1037	11	31	shock	shock	NOUN
cet-1037	11	32	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	11	33	increase	increase	VERB
cet-1037	11	34	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	11	35	the	the	DET
cet-1037	11	36	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	11	37	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	11	38	increasing	increase	VERB
cet-1037	11	39	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	12	1	this	this	PRON
cet-1037	12	2	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	12	3	an	an	DET
cet-1037	12	4	important	important	ADJ
cet-1037	12	5	factor	factor	NOUN
cet-1037	12	6	affecting	affect	VERB
cet-1037	12	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	12	8	size	size	NOUN
cet-1037	12	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	12	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	12	11	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	12	12	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	12	13	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	13	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cet-1037	13	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	13	3	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	13	4	companies	company	NOUN
cet-1037	13	5	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	13	6	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	13	7	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	13	8	should	should	AUX
cet-1037	13	9	optimize	optimize	VERB
cet-1037	13	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	13	11	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	13	12	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	13	13	design	design	NOUN
cet-1037	13	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	13	15	improve	improve	VERB
cet-1037	13	16	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	13	17	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
cet-1037	13	18	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	13	19	enhance	enhance	VERB
cet-1037	13	20	collaboration	collaboration	NOUN
cet-1037	13	21	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	13	22	other	other	ADJ
cet-1037	13	23	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	13	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	13	25	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	13	26	do	do	VERB
cet-1037	13	27	efforts	effort	NOUN
cet-1037	13	28	to	to	PART
cet-1037	13	29	reduce	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	13	30	the	the	DET
cet-1037	13	31	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	13	32	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	13	33	so	so	SCONJ
cet-1037	13	34	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	13	35	to	to	PART
cet-1037	13	36	enhance	enhance	VERB
cet-1037	13	37	the	the	DET
cet-1037	13	38	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	13	39	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	13	40	the	the	DET
cet-1037	13	41	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	13	42	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	13	43	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	14	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	14	2	results	result	NOUN
cet-1037	14	3	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	14	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	14	5	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	14	6	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	14	7	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	14	8	help	help	VERB
cet-1037	14	9	policy	policy	NOUN
cet-1037	14	10	makers	maker	NOUN
cet-1037	14	11	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	14	12	better	well	ADJ
cet-1037	14	13	decision	decision	NOUN
cet-1037	14	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	14	15	as	as	ADV
cet-1037	14	16	well	well	ADV
cet-1037	14	17	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	14	18	provide	provide	VERB
cet-1037	14	19	some	some	DET
cet-1037	14	20	management	management	NOUN
cet-1037	14	21	advice	advice	NOUN
cet-1037	14	22	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	15	1	1	1	X
cet-1037	15	2	.	.	X
cet-1037	15	3	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cet-1037	15	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	15	5	status	status	NOUN
cet-1037	15	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	15	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	15	8	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	15	9	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	15	10	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	15	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	15	12	national	national	ADJ
cet-1037	15	13	economy	economy	NOUN
cet-1037	15	14	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	15	15	very	very	ADV
cet-1037	15	16	important	important	ADJ
cet-1037	15	17	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	16	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	16	2	not	not	PART
cet-1037	16	3	only	only	ADV
cet-1037	16	4	takes	take	VERB
cet-1037	16	5	a	a	DET
cet-1037	16	6	significant	significant	ADJ
cet-1037	16	7	position	position	NOUN
cet-1037	16	8	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	16	9	people	people	NOUN
cet-1037	16	10	's	's	PART
cet-1037	16	11	lives	life	NOUN
cet-1037	16	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	16	13	clothing	clothing	NOUN
cet-1037	16	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	16	15	food	food	NOUN
cet-1037	16	16	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	16	17	transportation	transportation	NOUN
cet-1037	16	18	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	16	19	but	but	CCONJ
cet-1037	16	20	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	16	21	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	16	22	important	important	ADJ
cet-1037	16	23	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	16	24	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	16	25	other	other	ADJ
cet-1037	16	26	high	high	ADJ
cet-1037	16	27	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	16	28	tech	tech	NOUN
cet-1037	16	29	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	16	30	development	development	NOUN
cet-1037	16	31	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	16	32	technological	technological	ADJ
cet-1037	16	33	progress	progress	NOUN
cet-1037	16	34	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	17	1	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	17	2	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	17	3	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	17	4	a	a	DET
cet-1037	17	5	special	special	ADJ
cet-1037	17	6	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	17	7	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	17	8	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	17	9	regarded	regard	VERB
cet-1037	17	10	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	17	11	a	a	DET
cet-1037	17	12	typical	typical	ADJ
cet-1037	17	13	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	17	14	system	system	NOUN
cet-1037	17	15	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	18	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	18	2	production	production	NOUN
cet-1037	18	3	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	18	4	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	18	5	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	18	6	extended	extend	VERB
cet-1037	18	7	deep	deep	ADV
cet-1037	18	8	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	18	9	long	long	ADV
cet-1037	18	10	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	19	1	upstream	upstream	PROPN
cet-1037	19	2	focuses	focus	VERB
cet-1037	19	3	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	19	4	resource	resource	NOUN
cet-1037	19	5	exploration	exploration	NOUN
cet-1037	19	6	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	19	7	development	development	NOUN
cet-1037	19	8	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	19	9	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	19	10	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	19	11	characteristic	characteristic	ADJ
cet-1037	19	12	resource	resource	NOUN
cet-1037	19	13	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	19	14	dependence	dependence	NOUN
cet-1037	19	15	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	19	16	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	20	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	20	2	middle	middle	ADJ
cet-1037	20	3	parts	part	NOUN
cet-1037	20	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	20	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	20	6	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	20	7	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	20	8	mainly	mainly	ADV
cet-1037	20	9	resource	resource	NOUN
cet-1037	20	10	sales	sale	NOUN
cet-1037	20	11	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	20	12	petrochemical	petrochemical	NOUN
cet-1037	20	13	industries	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	20	14	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	21	1	downstream	downstream	ADJ
cet-1037	21	2	products	product	NOUN
cet-1037	21	3	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	21	4	more	more	ADV
cet-1037	21	5	elaborate	elaborate	ADJ
cet-1037	21	6	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	22	1	because	because	SCONJ
cet-1037	22	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	22	3	product	product	NOUN
cet-1037	22	4	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
cet-1037	22	5	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	22	6	obvious	obvious	ADJ
cet-1037	22	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	22	8	the	the	DET
cet-1037	22	9	added	add	VERB
cet-1037	22	10	value	value	NOUN
cet-1037	22	11	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	22	12	products	product	NOUN
cet-1037	22	13	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	22	14	higher	high	ADJ
cet-1037	22	15	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	23	1	because	because	SCONJ
cet-1037	23	2	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	23	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	23	4	diversification	diversification	NOUN
cet-1037	23	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	23	6	materials	material	NOUN
cet-1037	23	7	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	23	8	diversification	diversification	NOUN
cet-1037	23	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	23	10	production	production	NOUN
cet-1037	23	11	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	23	12	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	23	13	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	23	14	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	23	15	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	23	16	many	many	ADJ
cet-1037	23	17	raw	raw	ADJ
cet-1037	23	18	materials	material	NOUN
cet-1037	23	19	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	23	20	supporting	support	VERB
cet-1037	23	21	materials	material	NOUN
cet-1037	23	22	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	23	23	half	half	ADJ
cet-1037	23	24	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	23	25	finished	finish	VERB
cet-1037	23	26	products	product	NOUN
cet-1037	23	27	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	23	28	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	23	29	recycled	recycle	VERB
cet-1037	23	30	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	23	31	various	various	ADJ
cet-1037	23	32	processes	process	NOUN
cet-1037	23	33	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	23	34	products	product	NOUN
cet-1037	23	35	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	23	36	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	23	37	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	23	38	lead	lead	VERB
cet-1037	23	39	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	23	40	high	high	ADJ
cet-1037	23	41	product	product	NOUN
cet-1037	23	42	relevance	relevance	NOUN
cet-1037	23	43	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	24	1	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	24	2	decision	decision	NOUN
cet-1037	24	3	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	24	4	making	making	NOUN
cet-1037	24	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	24	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	24	7	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	24	8	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	24	9	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	24	10	often	often	ADV
cet-1037	24	11	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	24	12	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	24	13	current	current	ADJ
cet-1037	24	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	24	15	past	past	ADJ
cet-1037	24	16	historical	historical	ADJ
cet-1037	24	17	information	information	NOUN
cet-1037	24	18	to	to	PART
cet-1037	24	19	predict	predict	VERB
cet-1037	24	20	future	future	ADJ
cet-1037	24	21	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	24	22	changes	change	NOUN
cet-1037	24	23	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	25	1	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	25	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	25	3	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	25	4	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	25	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	25	6	basic	basic	ADJ
cet-1037	25	7	process	process	NOUN
cet-1037	25	8	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	25	9	enterprise	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	25	10	production	production	NOUN
cet-1037	25	11	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	25	12	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	25	13	planning	planning	NOUN
cet-1037	25	14	control	control	NOUN
cet-1037	25	15	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	25	16	customer	customer	NOUN
cet-1037	25	17	service	service	NOUN
cet-1037	25	18	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	25	19	design	design	NOUN
cet-1037	25	20	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	26	1	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	26	2	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	26	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	26	4	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	26	5	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	26	6	have	have	VERB
cet-1037	26	7	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	26	8	effects	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	26	9	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	26	10	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	26	11	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	26	12	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	26	13	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	26	14	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	26	15	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	26	16	so	so	CCONJ
cet-1037	26	17	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	26	18	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	26	19	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	26	20	important	important	ADJ
cet-1037	26	21	to	to	PART
cet-1037	26	22	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	26	23	the	the	DET
cet-1037	26	24	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	26	25	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	26	26	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	26	27	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	26	28	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	26	29	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	26	30	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	26	31	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	27	1	2	2	X
cet-1037	27	2	.	.	X
cet-1037	27	3	related	relate	VERB
cet-1037	27	4	works	work	NOUN
cet-1037	27	5	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	27	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	27	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	27	8	main	main	ADJ
cet-1037	27	9	indicators	indicator	NOUN
cet-1037	27	10	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	27	11	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	27	12	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	27	13	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	27	14	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	27	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	27	16	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
cet-1037	27	17	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	27	18	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	27	19	quantity	quantity	NOUN
cet-1037	27	20	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	27	21	so	so	SCONJ
cet-1037	27	22	some	some	DET
cet-1037	27	23	scholars	scholar	NOUN
cet-1037	27	24	have	have	AUX
cet-1037	27	25	studied	study	VERB
cet-1037	27	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	27	27	field	field	NOUN
cet-1037	27	28	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	27	29	the	the	DET
cet-1037	27	30	angle	angle	NOUN
cet-1037	27	31	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	27	32	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	27	33	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	27	34	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	1	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	28	2	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	3	10.3303	10.3303	NUM
cet-1037	28	4	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	28	5	cet1762239	cet1762239	NOUN
cet-1037	28	6	please	please	INTJ
cet-1037	28	7	cite	cite	VERB
cet-1037	28	8	this	this	DET
cet-1037	28	9	article	article	NOUN
cet-1037	28	10	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	28	11	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	12	yali	yali	PROPN
cet-1037	28	13	li	li	PROPN
cet-1037	28	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	15	bin	bin	PROPN
cet-1037	28	16	liu	liu	PROPN
cet-1037	28	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	18	2017	2017	NUM
cet-1037	28	19	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	28	21	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	28	22	ordering	order	VERB
cet-1037	28	23	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	28	24	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	28	25	chemical	chemical	ADJ
cet-1037	28	26	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	28	27	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	28	28	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	28	29	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	28	30	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	28	31	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	32	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	28	33	engineering	engineering	NOUN
cet-1037	28	34	transactions	transaction	NOUN
cet-1037	28	35	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	36	62	62	NUM
cet-1037	28	37	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	38	1429	1429	NUM
cet-1037	28	39	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	28	40	1434	1434	NUM
cet-1037	28	41	doi:10.3303	doi:10.3303	NOUN
cet-1037	28	42	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	28	43	cet1762239	cet1762239	PROPN
cet-1037	28	44	1429	1429	NUM
cet-1037	28	45	zhang	zhang	X
cet-1037	28	46	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	47	2006	2006	NUM
cet-1037	28	48	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	49	proves	prove	VERB
cet-1037	28	50	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	28	51	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	28	52	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	28	53	the	the	DET
cet-1037	28	54	maximum	maximum	ADJ
cet-1037	28	55	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	28	56	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	28	57	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	28	58	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	59	a	a	DET
cet-1037	28	60	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	28	61	average	average	ADJ
cet-1037	28	62	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	63	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	28	64	index	index	NOUN
cet-1037	28	65	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	28	66	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	28	67	the	the	DET
cet-1037	28	68	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cet-1037	28	69	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	28	70	square	square	ADJ
cet-1037	28	71	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	28	72	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	28	73	the	the	DET
cet-1037	28	74	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	28	75	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	28	76	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	28	77	bring	bring	VERB
cet-1037	28	78	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	28	79	effects	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	28	80	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	28	81	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	28	82	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	28	83	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	28	84	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	28	85	the	the	DET
cet-1037	28	86	first	first	ADJ
cet-1037	28	87	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	28	88	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	28	89	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
cet-1037	28	90	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	29	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	29	2	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	29	3	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	29	4	proved	prove	VERB
cet-1037	29	5	mathematically	mathematically	ADV
cet-1037	29	6	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	29	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	29	8	literatures	literature	NOUN
cet-1037	29	9	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	29	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	29	11	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	29	12	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	29	13	the	the	DET
cet-1037	29	14	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	29	15	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	29	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	29	17	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	29	18	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	29	19	the	the	DET
cet-1037	29	20	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	29	21	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	29	22	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	29	23	theoretically	theoretically	ADV
cet-1037	29	24	unchanged	unchanged	ADJ
cet-1037	29	25	whatever	whatever	PRON
cet-1037	29	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	29	27	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	29	28	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	29	29	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	29	30	choose	choose	VERB
cet-1037	29	31	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	30	1	however	however	ADV
cet-1037	30	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	30	3	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	30	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	30	5	real	real	ADJ
cet-1037	30	6	world	world	NOUN
cet-1037	30	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	30	8	the	the	DET
cet-1037	30	9	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	30	10	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	30	11	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	30	12	not	not	PART
cet-1037	30	13	predict	predict	VERB
cet-1037	30	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	30	15	exact	exact	ADJ
cet-1037	30	16	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cet-1037	30	17	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	30	18	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	30	19	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	30	20	advance	advance	NOUN
cet-1037	30	21	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	30	22	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	30	23	usually	usually	ADV
cet-1037	30	24	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	30	25	estimates	estimate	VERB
cet-1037	30	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	30	27	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	30	28	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cet-1037	30	29	through	through	ADP
cet-1037	30	30	historical	historical	ADJ
cet-1037	30	31	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	30	32	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	31	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cet-1037	31	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	31	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	31	4	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	31	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	31	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	31	7	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	31	8	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	31	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	31	10	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	31	11	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	31	12	inevitably	inevitably	ADV
cet-1037	31	13	change	change	VERB
cet-1037	31	14	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	31	15	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	31	16	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	31	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	31	18	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	31	19	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	31	20	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	32	1	ma	ma	PROPN
cet-1037	32	2	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	32	3	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	32	4	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	32	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	32	6	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	32	7	2014	2014	NUM
cet-1037	32	8	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	32	9	extends	extend	VERB
cet-1037	32	10	a	a	DET
cet-1037	32	11	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	32	12	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	32	13	two	two	NUM
cet-1037	32	14	retailers	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	32	15	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	32	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	32	17	basis	basis	NOUN
cet-1037	32	18	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	32	19	zhang	zhang	PROPN
cet-1037	32	20	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	32	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	32	22	conducted	conduct	VERB
cet-1037	32	23	similar	similar	ADJ
cet-1037	32	24	studies	study	NOUN
cet-1037	32	25	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	32	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	32	27	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	32	28	predictive	predictive	ADJ
cet-1037	32	29	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	32	30	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	33	1	luong	luong	PROPN
cet-1037	33	2	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	33	3	2007	2007	NUM
cet-1037	33	4	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	33	5	focuses	focus	VERB
cet-1037	33	6	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	33	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	33	8	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	33	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	33	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	33	11	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	33	12	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	33	13	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	33	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	33	15	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
cet-1037	33	16	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cet-1037	33	17	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	33	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	33	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	33	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	33	21	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	33	22	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	33	23	the	the	DET
cet-1037	33	24	least	least	ADJ
cet-1037	33	25	mean	mean	ADJ
cet-1037	33	26	square	square	ADJ
cet-1037	33	27	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	33	28	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	33	29	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	33	30	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	34	1	gilbert	gilbert	PROPN
cet-1037	34	2	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	34	3	2005	2005	NUM
cet-1037	34	4	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	34	5	presents	present	VERB
cet-1037	34	6	a	a	DET
cet-1037	34	7	differential	differential	ADJ
cet-1037	34	8	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
cet-1037	34	9	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	34	10	average	average	ADJ
cet-1037	34	11	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	34	12	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	34	13	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	34	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	34	15	deduces	deduce	VERB
cet-1037	34	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	34	17	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	34	18	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	34	19	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	34	20	the	the	DET
cet-1037	34	21	multi	multi	ADJ
cet-1037	34	22	-	-	ADJ
cet-1037	34	23	level	level	ADJ
cet-1037	34	24	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	34	25	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	34	26	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	34	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	34	28	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cet-1037	34	29	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	34	30	square	square	NOUN
cet-1037	34	31	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	34	32	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	34	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	34	34	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	34	35	the	the	DET
cet-1037	34	36	maximum	maximum	ADJ
cet-1037	34	37	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	34	38	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	34	39	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	34	40	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	34	41	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	35	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	35	2	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	35	3	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	35	4	proved	prove	VERB
cet-1037	35	5	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	35	6	the	the	PRON
cet-1037	35	7	longer	long	ADJ
cet-1037	35	8	the	the	DET
cet-1037	35	9	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	35	10	lead	lead	NOUN
cet-1037	35	11	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	35	12	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	35	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	35	14	the	the	PRON
cet-1037	35	15	greater	great	ADJ
cet-1037	35	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	35	17	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
cet-1037	35	18	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cet-1037	35	19	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	35	20	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	35	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	35	22	the	the	DET
cet-1037	35	23	more	more	ADV
cet-1037	35	24	obvious	obvious	ADJ
cet-1037	35	25	the	the	DET
cet-1037	35	26	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	35	27	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	35	28	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	35	29	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	36	1	meanwhile	meanwhile	ADV
cet-1037	36	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	36	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	36	4	number	number	NOUN
cet-1037	36	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	36	6	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	36	7	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	36	8	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	36	9	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	36	10	whether	whether	SCONJ
cet-1037	36	11	sharing	share	VERB
cet-1037	36	12	information	information	NOUN
cet-1037	36	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	36	14	sale	sale	NOUN
cet-1037	36	15	point	point	NOUN
cet-1037	36	16	or	or	CCONJ
cet-1037	36	17	not	not	PART
cet-1037	36	18	have	have	VERB
cet-1037	36	19	little	little	ADJ
cet-1037	36	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	36	21	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	36	22	the	the	DET
cet-1037	36	23	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	36	24	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	36	25	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	36	26	dejonckheere	dejonckheere	ADV
cet-1037	36	27	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	36	28	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	36	29	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	36	30	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	36	31	2005	2005	NUM
cet-1037	36	32	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	36	33	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	1	alizadeh	alizadeh	NOUN
cet-1037	37	2	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	3	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	37	4	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	5	studies	study	NOUN
cet-1037	37	6	an	an	DET
cet-1037	37	7	actual	actual	ADJ
cet-1037	37	8	four	four	NUM
cet-1037	37	9	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	10	stage	stage	NOUN
cet-1037	37	11	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	37	12	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	37	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	37	15	gets	get	VERB
cet-1037	37	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	37	17	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cet-1037	37	18	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	37	19	the	the	PRON
cet-1037	37	20	greater	great	ADJ
cet-1037	37	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	37	22	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cet-1037	37	23	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cet-1037	37	24	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	37	25	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	37	26	the	the	PRON
cet-1037	37	27	greater	great	ADJ
cet-1037	37	28	the	the	DET
cet-1037	37	29	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	37	30	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	37	31	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	37	32	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	37	33	constantly	constantly	ADV
cet-1037	37	34	adjusting	adjust	VERB
cet-1037	37	35	the	the	DET
cet-1037	37	36	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cet-1037	37	37	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cet-1037	37	38	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	37	39	the	the	DET
cet-1037	37	40	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	37	41	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	37	42	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	37	43	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	38	1	some	some	DET
cet-1037	38	2	scholars	scholar	NOUN
cet-1037	38	3	have	have	AUX
cet-1037	38	4	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	38	5	studied	study	VERB
cet-1037	38	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	38	7	content	content	NOUN
cet-1037	38	8	related	relate	VERB
cet-1037	38	9	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	38	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	38	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	38	12	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	38	13	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	38	14	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	39	1	jaksic	jaksic	PROPN
cet-1037	39	2	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	39	3	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	39	4	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	40	1	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	40	2	2008	2008	NUM
cet-1037	40	3	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	40	4	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	40	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	40	6	effects	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	40	7	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	40	8	multiple	multiple	ADJ
cet-1037	40	9	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	40	10	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	40	11	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	40	12	the	the	DET
cet-1037	40	13	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	40	14	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	40	15	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	40	16	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	40	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	40	18	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	40	19	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	40	20	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	40	21	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	40	22	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	40	23	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	40	24	the	the	DET
cet-1037	40	25	transfer	transfer	NOUN
cet-1037	40	26	function	function	NOUN
cet-1037	40	27	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	40	28	cybernetics	cybernetic	NOUN
cet-1037	40	29	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	41	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	41	2	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	41	3	found	find	VERB
cet-1037	41	4	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	41	5	some	some	PRON
cet-1037	41	6	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	41	7	lead	lead	VERB
cet-1037	41	8	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	41	9	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	41	10	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	41	11	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	41	12	but	but	CCONJ
cet-1037	41	13	some	some	PRON
cet-1037	41	14	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	41	15	weaken	weaken	VERB
cet-1037	41	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	41	17	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	41	18	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
cet-1037	41	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	42	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
cet-1037	42	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	42	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	42	4	choice	choice	NOUN
cet-1037	42	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	42	6	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cet-1037	42	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	42	8	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	42	9	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	42	10	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	42	11	completely	completely	ADV
cet-1037	42	12	eliminate	eliminate	VERB
cet-1037	42	13	the	the	DET
cet-1037	42	14	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	42	15	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	42	16	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	43	1	hussain	hussain	PROPN
cet-1037	43	2	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	43	3	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	43	4	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	43	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	43	6	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	43	7	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	43	8	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	43	9	extend	extend	VERB
cet-1037	43	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	43	11	study	study	NOUN
cet-1037	43	12	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	43	13	zhang	zhang	PROPN
cet-1037	43	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	43	15	reach	reach	VERB
cet-1037	43	16	a	a	DET
cet-1037	43	17	similar	similar	ADJ
cet-1037	43	18	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cet-1037	43	19	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	43	20	the	the	DET
cet-1037	43	21	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	43	22	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	43	23	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	44	1	at	at	ADP
cet-1037	44	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	44	3	same	same	ADJ
cet-1037	44	4	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	44	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	44	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	44	7	concept	concept	NOUN
cet-1037	44	8	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	44	9	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	44	10	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	44	11	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	44	12	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	44	13	proposed	propose	VERB
cet-1037	44	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	44	15	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	44	16	refers	refer	VERB
cet-1037	44	17	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	44	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	44	19	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	44	20	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	44	21	net	net	ADJ
cet-1037	44	22	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	44	23	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	44	24	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	44	25	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	44	26	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	44	27	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	45	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	2	results	result	NOUN
cet-1037	45	3	show	show	VERB
cet-1037	45	4	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	45	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	6	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	45	7	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	45	8	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	45	9	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	45	10	has	have	VERB
cet-1037	45	11	a	a	DET
cet-1037	45	12	higher	high	ADJ
cet-1037	45	13	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	45	14	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	45	15	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	45	16	than	than	ADP
cet-1037	45	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	18	least	least	ADJ
cet-1037	45	19	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	45	20	square	square	ADJ
cet-1037	45	21	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	45	22	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	45	23	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	45	24	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	45	25	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	26	gap	gap	NOUN
cet-1037	45	27	between	between	ADP
cet-1037	45	28	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	29	two	two	NUM
cet-1037	45	30	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	45	31	increases	increase	VERB
cet-1037	45	32	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	45	33	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	34	increase	increase	NOUN
cet-1037	45	35	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	45	36	the	the	DET
cet-1037	45	37	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	45	38	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	45	39	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	46	1	najafi	najafi	VERB
cet-1037	46	2	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	46	3	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	46	4	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	47	1	use	use	VERB
cet-1037	47	2	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	47	3	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	47	4	to	to	PART
cet-1037	47	5	compare	compare	VERB
cet-1037	47	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	47	7	advantages	advantage	NOUN
cet-1037	47	8	among	among	ADP
cet-1037	47	9	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	47	10	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	47	11	average	average	ADJ
cet-1037	47	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	47	13	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	47	14	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	47	15	index	index	NOUN
cet-1037	47	16	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	47	17	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	47	18	linear	linear	ADJ
cet-1037	47	19	regression	regression	NOUN
cet-1037	47	20	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	47	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	47	22	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cet-1037	47	23	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	47	24	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	47	25	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	47	26	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	47	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	47	28	multi	multi	ADJ
cet-1037	47	29	-	-	ADJ
cet-1037	47	30	level	level	ADJ
cet-1037	47	31	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	47	32	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	47	33	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	48	1	however	however	ADV
cet-1037	48	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	48	3	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	48	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	48	5	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	48	6	obeys	obey	VERB
cet-1037	48	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	48	8	normalized	normalize	VERB
cet-1037	48	9	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cet-1037	48	10	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	48	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	48	12	ordering	ordering	NOUN
cet-1037	48	13	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	48	14	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	48	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	48	16	literatures	literature	NOUN
cet-1037	48	17	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	48	18	relatively	relatively	ADV
cet-1037	48	19	simple	simple	ADJ
cet-1037	48	20	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	49	1	its	its	PRON
cet-1037	49	2	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	49	3	quantity	quantity	NOUN
cet-1037	49	4	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	49	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cet-1037	49	6	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	49	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	49	8	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	49	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	49	10	minus	minus	ADP
cet-1037	49	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	49	12	existing	exist	VERB
cet-1037	49	13	stock	stock	NOUN
cet-1037	49	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	49	15	without	without	ADP
cet-1037	49	16	considering	consider	VERB
cet-1037	49	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	49	18	delay	delay	NOUN
cet-1037	49	19	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	49	20	transport	transport	NOUN
cet-1037	49	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	49	22	the	the	DET
cet-1037	49	23	safety	safety	NOUN
cet-1037	49	24	stock	stock	NOUN
cet-1037	49	25	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	1	after	after	ADP
cet-1037	50	2	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	50	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	50	4	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	50	5	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	50	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	50	7	closed	closed	ADJ
cet-1037	50	8	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	9	loop	loop	NOUN
cet-1037	50	10	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	50	11	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	50	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	13	wan	wan	PROPN
cet-1037	50	14	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	50	15	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	50	16	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	50	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	18	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	19	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	50	20	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	50	21	believe	believe	VERB
cet-1037	50	22	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	50	23	reverse	reverse	NOUN
cet-1037	50	24	logistics	logistic	NOUN
cet-1037	50	25	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	50	26	reduce	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	50	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	50	28	forward	forward	ADJ
cet-1037	50	29	logistics	logistic	NOUN
cet-1037	50	30	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	50	31	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	50	32	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	51	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	51	2	predictive	predictive	ADJ
cet-1037	51	3	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	51	4	used	use	VERB
cet-1037	51	5	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	51	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	51	7	literature	literature	NOUN
cet-1037	51	8	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	51	9	an	an	DET
cet-1037	51	10	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	51	11	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	51	12	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	51	13	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	52	1	sun	sun	NOUN
cet-1037	52	2	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	52	3	2013	2013	NUM
cet-1037	52	4	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	52	5	also	also	ADV
cet-1037	52	6	studies	study	VERB
cet-1037	52	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	52	8	effects	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	52	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	52	10	existing	exist	VERB
cet-1037	52	11	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	52	12	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cet-1037	52	13	factors	factor	NOUN
cet-1037	52	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	52	15	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	52	16	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	52	17	transit	transit	NOUN
cet-1037	52	18	inventory	inventory	NOUN
cet-1037	52	19	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cet-1037	52	20	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
cet-1037	52	21	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	52	22	the	the	DET
cet-1037	52	23	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	52	24	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	52	25	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	52	26	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	52	27	an	an	DET
cet-1037	52	28	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	52	29	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	52	30	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	52	31	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	53	1	these	these	DET
cet-1037	53	2	scholars	scholar	NOUN
cet-1037	53	3	mainly	mainly	ADV
cet-1037	53	4	use	use	VERB
cet-1037	53	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	53	6	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	53	7	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cet-1037	53	8	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	53	9	or	or	CCONJ
cet-1037	53	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	53	11	control	control	NOUN
cet-1037	53	12	theory	theory	NOUN
cet-1037	53	13	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cet-1037	53	14	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	53	15	to	to	PART
cet-1037	53	16	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	53	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	53	18	corresponding	correspond	VERB
cet-1037	53	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	53	20	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	53	21	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	53	22	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	53	23	makui	makui	NOUN
cet-1037	53	24	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	53	25	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	53	26	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	53	27	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	53	28	2007	2007	NUM
cet-1037	53	29	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	53	30	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	54	1	they	they	PRON
cet-1037	54	2	basically	basically	ADV
cet-1037	54	3	combine	combine	VERB
cet-1037	54	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	54	5	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	54	6	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	54	7	average	average	ADJ
cet-1037	54	8	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	54	9	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	54	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	54	11	first	first	ADJ
cet-1037	54	12	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	54	13	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	54	14	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	54	15	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	54	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	54	17	independent	independent	ADJ
cet-1037	54	18	normal	normal	ADJ
cet-1037	54	19	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cet-1037	54	20	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	54	21	to	to	PART
cet-1037	54	22	do	do	VERB
cet-1037	54	23	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	54	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	54	25	or	or	CCONJ
cet-1037	54	26	combine	combine	VERB
cet-1037	54	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	54	28	first	first	ADJ
cet-1037	54	29	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	54	30	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	54	31	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	54	32	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	54	33	the	the	DET
cet-1037	54	34	first	first	ADJ
cet-1037	54	35	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	54	36	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	54	37	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
cet-1037	54	38	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	54	39	to	to	PART
cet-1037	54	40	do	do	AUX
cet-1037	54	41	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	54	42	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	55	1	other	other	ADJ
cet-1037	55	2	scholars	scholar	NOUN
cet-1037	55	3	use	use	VERB
cet-1037	55	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	55	5	anchor	anchor	NOUN
cet-1037	55	6	adjusts	adjust	VERB
cet-1037	55	7	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	55	8	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	55	9	to	to	PART
cet-1037	55	10	meet	meet	VERB
cet-1037	55	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	55	12	step	step	NOUN
cet-1037	55	13	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	55	14	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	56	1	scholars	scholar	NOUN
cet-1037	56	2	have	have	AUX
cet-1037	56	3	studied	study	VERB
cet-1037	56	4	many	many	ADJ
cet-1037	56	5	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	56	6	including	include	VERB
cet-1037	56	7	heuristic	heuristic	ADJ
cet-1037	56	8	algorithms	algorithm	NOUN
cet-1037	56	9	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	1	kimbrough	kimbrough	PROPN
cet-1037	57	2	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	57	3	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	57	4	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	57	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	6	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	7	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	57	8	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	9	establish	establish	VERB
cet-1037	57	10	a	a	DET
cet-1037	57	11	multi	multi	ADJ
cet-1037	57	12	-	-	ADJ
cet-1037	57	13	agent	agent	ADJ
cet-1037	57	14	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	57	15	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	57	16	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	57	17	beer	beer	NOUN
cet-1037	57	18	games	game	NOUN
cet-1037	57	19	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	20	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	57	21	combines	combine	VERB
cet-1037	57	22	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	57	23	genetic	genetic	ADJ
cet-1037	57	24	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cet-1037	57	25	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	26	ga	ga	NOUN
cet-1037	57	27	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	57	28	to	to	PART
cet-1037	57	29	arrive	arrive	VERB
cet-1037	57	30	at	at	ADP
cet-1037	57	31	the	the	DET
cet-1037	57	32	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cet-1037	57	33	ordering	ordering	NOUN
cet-1037	57	34	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	57	35	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	57	36	each	each	DET
cet-1037	57	37	firm	firm	NOUN
cet-1037	57	38	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	58	1	then	then	ADV
cet-1037	58	2	he	he	PRON
cet-1037	58	3	confirms	confirm	VERB
cet-1037	58	4	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	58	5	agent	agent	NOUN
cet-1037	58	6	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	58	7	efficiently	efficiently	ADV
cet-1037	58	8	complete	complete	VERB
cet-1037	58	9	the	the	DET
cet-1037	58	10	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cet-1037	58	11	process	process	NOUN
cet-1037	58	12	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	58	13	beer	beer	NOUN
cet-1037	58	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	58	15	reduce	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	58	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	58	17	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	58	18	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	58	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	1	but	but	CCONJ
cet-1037	59	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	59	3	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	59	4	requires	require	VERB
cet-1037	59	5	all	all	DET
cet-1037	59	6	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	59	7	to	to	PART
cet-1037	59	8	share	share	VERB
cet-1037	59	9	full	full	ADJ
cet-1037	59	10	information	information	NOUN
cet-1037	59	11	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	59	12	coordinate	coordinate	VERB
cet-1037	59	13	decision	decision	NOUN
cet-1037	59	14	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	15	making	making	NOUN
cet-1037	59	16	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	59	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	59	18	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	59	19	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	59	20	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	21	mackelprang	mackelprang	PROPN
cet-1037	59	22	et	et	PROPN
cet-1037	59	23	al	al	PROPN
cet-1037	59	24	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	59	25	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	26	2015	2015	NUM
cet-1037	59	27	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	28	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	59	29	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	59	30	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	59	31	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	59	32	not	not	PART
cet-1037	59	33	feasible	feasible	ADJ
cet-1037	59	34	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	59	35	multiparticipants	multiparticipant	NOUN
cet-1037	59	36	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	59	37	more	more	ADV
cet-1037	59	38	realistic	realistic	ADJ
cet-1037	59	39	environment	environment	NOUN
cet-1037	59	40	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	60	1	3	3	X
cet-1037	60	2	.	.	X
cet-1037	60	3	ordering	order	VERB
cet-1037	60	4	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	60	5	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	60	6	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	60	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cet-1037	60	8	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	60	9	this	this	DET
cet-1037	60	10	paper	paper	NOUN
cet-1037	60	11	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	60	12	the	the	DET
cet-1037	60	13	multi	multi	ADJ
cet-1037	60	14	-	-	ADJ
cet-1037	60	15	level	level	ADJ
cet-1037	60	16	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	60	17	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	60	18	node	node	ADJ
cet-1037	60	19	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	60	20	enterprise	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	60	21	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	60	22	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	60	23	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	60	24	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	60	25	established	establish	VERB
cet-1037	60	26	to	to	PART
cet-1037	60	27	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	60	28	the	the	DET
cet-1037	60	29	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	60	30	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	61	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	61	2	boundary	boundary	NOUN
cet-1037	61	3	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	61	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	61	5	system	system	NOUN
cet-1037	61	6	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	61	7	defined	define	VERB
cet-1037	61	8	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	61	9	the	the	DET
cet-1037	61	10	role	role	NOUN
cet-1037	61	11	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	61	12	the	the	DET
cet-1037	61	13	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	61	14	enterprise	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	61	15	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	61	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	61	17	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	61	18	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	61	19	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	61	20	refined	refine	VERB
cet-1037	61	21	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	62	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	2	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	62	3	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	62	4	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	62	5	consists	consist	VERB
cet-1037	62	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	62	7	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	62	8	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	62	9	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	62	10	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	62	11	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	62	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	62	13	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	62	14	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	62	15	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	62	16	one	one	NUM
cet-1037	62	17	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	62	18	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	62	19	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	20	downstream	downstream	NOUN
cet-1037	62	21	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	62	22	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	23	upstream	upstream	NOUN
cet-1037	62	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	62	25	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	62	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	27	terminal	terminal	ADJ
cet-1037	62	28	customer	customer	NOUN
cet-1037	62	29	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	62	30	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	31	external	external	ADJ
cet-1037	62	32	supplier	supplier	NOUN
cet-1037	62	33	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	62	34	the	the	DET
cet-1037	62	35	entity	entity	NOUN
cet-1037	62	36	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	63	1	1430	1430	NUM
cet-1037	63	2	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	63	3	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	63	4	measured	measure	VERB
cet-1037	63	5	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	63	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	63	7	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	63	8	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	63	9	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	1	after	after	ADP
cet-1037	64	2	calculating	calculate	VERB
cet-1037	64	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	64	4	degree	degree	NOUN
cet-1037	64	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	64	6	freedom	freedom	NOUN
cet-1037	64	7	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	64	8	this	this	DET
cet-1037	64	9	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	64	10	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	64	12	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	64	13	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	64	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	64	15	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	64	16	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	64	17	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	64	18	calculated	calculate	VERB
cet-1037	64	19	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	64	20	follows	follow	NOUN
cet-1037	64	21	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	22	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	64	23	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	64	24	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	64	25	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	26	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	27	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	64	28	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	64	29	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	30	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	64	31	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	64	32	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	64	33	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	64	34	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	35	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	36	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	37	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	64	38	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	39	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	64	40	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	41	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	42	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	43	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	44	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	45	u	u	PROPN
cet-1037	64	46	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	64	47	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	64	48	q	q	X
cet-1037	64	49	q	q	X
cet-1037	64	50	t	t	X
cet-1037	64	51	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	65	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	65	2	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	65	3	t	t	VERB
cet-1037	65	4	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	66	1			NOUN
cet-1037	66	2			NUM
cet-1037	67	1			NUM
cet-1037	67	2			PROPN
cet-1037	67	3			PROPN
cet-1037	67	4			PROPN
cet-1037	67	5			PUNCT
cet-1037	67	6			PROPN
cet-1037	67	7			PROPN
cet-1037	67	8			PUNCT
cet-1037	67	9			X
cet-1037	67	10			X
cet-1037	67	11			X
cet-1037	67	12			X
cet-1037	67	13	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	14	1	1	X
cet-1037	67	15	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	16	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	67	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	67	18	above	above	ADJ
cet-1037	67	19	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	67	20	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	21	𝑞𝑡	𝑞𝑡	PRON
cet-1037	67	22	represents	represent	VERB
cet-1037	67	23	the	the	DET
cet-1037	67	24	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	67	25	quantity	quantity	NOUN
cet-1037	67	26	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	67	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	67	28	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	67	29	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	30	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	67	31	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	32	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	67	33	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	67	34	or	or	CCONJ
cet-1037	67	35	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	67	36	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	67	37	𝑡period	𝑡period	NOUN
cet-1037	67	38	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	68	1	𝐼𝑡	𝐼𝑡	ADV
cet-1037	68	2	represents	represent	VERB
cet-1037	68	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	68	4	terminal	terminal	ADJ
cet-1037	68	5	customer	customer	NOUN
cet-1037	68	6	's	's	PART
cet-1037	68	7	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	68	8	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	68	9	the	the	DET
cet-1037	68	10	𝑡period	𝑡period	NOUN
cet-1037	68	11	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	69	1	𝑢	𝑢	PROPN
cet-1037	69	2	represents	represent	VERB
cet-1037	69	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	69	4	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	69	5	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	69	6	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	69	7	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	69	8	the	the	DET
cet-1037	69	9	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	69	10	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	69	11	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cet-1037	69	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	69	13	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	69	14	𝑇represents	𝑇represent	VERB
cet-1037	69	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	69	16	termination	termination	NOUN
cet-1037	69	17	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	69	18	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	69	19	the	the	DET
cet-1037	69	20	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	69	21	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	70	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	70	2	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	70	3	generally	generally	ADV
cet-1037	70	4	necessary	necessary	ADJ
cet-1037	70	5	to	to	PART
cet-1037	70	6	select	select	VERB
cet-1037	70	7	a	a	DET
cet-1037	70	8	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cet-1037	70	9	range𝑢so	range𝑢so	NOUN
cet-1037	70	10	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	70	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	70	12	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	70	13	interval	interval	NOUN
cet-1037	71	1	[	[	X
cet-1037	71	2	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	71	3	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	71	4	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	71	5	]	]	PUNCT
cet-1037	71	6	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	71	7	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cet-1037	71	8	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	71	9	large	large	ADJ
cet-1037	71	10	enough	enough	ADV
cet-1037	71	11	as	as	ADV
cet-1037	71	12	well	well	ADV
cet-1037	71	13	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	71	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	71	15	data	datum	NOUN
cet-1037	71	16	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	71	17	stable	stable	ADJ
cet-1037	71	18	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	71	19	the	the	DET
cet-1037	71	20	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	71	21	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	71	22	[	[	X
cet-1037	71	23	u	u	NOUN
cet-1037	71	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	71	25	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	71	26	]	]	PUNCT
cet-1037	71	27	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	72	1	3.1	3.1	NUM
cet-1037	72	2	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	72	3	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	72	4	average	average	NOUN
cet-1037	72	5	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	72	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	72	7	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	72	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	72	9	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	72	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	72	11	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	72	12	have	have	AUX
cet-1037	72	13	been	be	AUX
cet-1037	72	14	informed	inform	VERB
cet-1037	72	15	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	72	16	the	the	DET
cet-1037	72	17	current	current	ADJ
cet-1037	72	18	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	72	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	73	1	if	if	SCONJ
cet-1037	73	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	73	3	number	number	NOUN
cet-1037	73	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	73	5	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	73	6	averages	average	NOUN
cet-1037	73	7	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	73	8	m	m	PRON
cet-1037	73	9	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	73	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	73	11	participant	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	73	12	predicts	predict	VERB
cet-1037	73	13	the	the	DET
cet-1037	73	14	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	73	15	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	73	16	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	73	17	the	the	DET
cet-1037	73	18	observation	observation	NOUN
cet-1037	73	19	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	73	20	recent	recent	ADJ
cet-1037	73	21	m	m	NOUN
cet-1037	73	22	demands	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	73	23	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	73	24	including	include	VERB
cet-1037	73	25	current	current	ADJ
cet-1037	73	26	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	73	27	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	73	28	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	74	1	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	74	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	74	3	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	74	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	74	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	74	6	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	74	7	'	'	PART
cet-1037	74	8	expectations	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	74	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	74	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	74	11	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	74	12	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	74	13	each	each	DET
cet-1037	74	14	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	74	15	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	74	16	equal	equal	ADJ
cet-1037	74	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	74	18	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	74	19	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	74	20	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	74	21	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	74	22	follows	follow	VERB
cet-1037	74	23	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	74	24	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	74	25	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	74	26	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	74	27	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	74	28	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	74	29	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	74	30	...	...	PUNCT
cet-1037	75	1	m	m	VERB
cet-1037	75	2	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	75	3	t	t	X
cet-1037	76	1	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	76	2	l	l	PROPN
cet-1037	76	3	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	77	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	78	1	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	79	1	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	80	1	d	d	X
cet-1037	80	2	d	d	X
cet-1037	80	3	m	m	VERB
cet-1037	80	4			ADJ
cet-1037	80	5			PROPN
cet-1037	80	6			PROPN
cet-1037	80	7			PUNCT
cet-1037	80	8			CCONJ
cet-1037	80	9			PUNCT
cet-1037	80	10			VERB
cet-1037	80	11			PROPN
cet-1037	81	1			NUM
cet-1037	81	2			NOUN
cet-1037	82	1			PRON
cet-1037	83	1			NOUN
cet-1037	83	2			X
cet-1037	83	3	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	83	4	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	83	5	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	83	6	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	83	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	83	8	above	above	ADJ
cet-1037	83	9	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	83	10	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	83	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	83	12	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	83	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	83	14	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	83	15	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	83	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	83	17	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	83	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	83	19	entire	entire	ADJ
cet-1037	83	20	lead	lead	NOUN
cet-1037	83	21	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	83	22	td	td	NOUN
cet-1037	83	23			PROPN
cet-1037	83	24	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	83	25	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	83	26	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	83	27	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	83	28	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	83	29	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	83	30	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	83	31	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	84	1	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	84	2	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	84	3	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	84	4	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	84	5	m	m	VERB
cet-1037	84	6	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	84	7	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	85	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	85	2	t	t	VERB
cet-1037	86	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	87	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	88	1	i	i	VERB
cet-1037	88	2	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	89	1	d	d	PUNCT
cet-1037	90	1	d	d	X
cet-1037	90	2	d	d	X
cet-1037	90	3	m	m	VERB
cet-1037	90	4			NOUN
cet-1037	90	5			NOUN
cet-1037	90	6			VERB
cet-1037	90	7			VERB
cet-1037	90	8			PROPN
cet-1037	90	9			NUM
cet-1037	90	10			NUM
cet-1037	90	11			X
cet-1037	90	12			X
cet-1037	90	13	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	90	14	3	3	X
cet-1037	90	15	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	90	16	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	90	17	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	90	18	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	90	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	90	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	90	21	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	90	22	l=2	l=2	PUNCT
cet-1037	90	23	times	times	ADP
cet-1037	90	24	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	90	25	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	90	26	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	90	27	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	90	28	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	90	29	1.1573	1.1573	NUM
cet-1037	90	30	1.4493	1.4493	NUM
cet-1037	90	31	1.8844	1.8844	NUM
cet-1037	90	32	2.4150	2.4150	NUM
cet-1037	90	33	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	90	34	1.1117	1.1117	NUM
cet-1037	90	35	1.3223	1.3223	NUM
cet-1037	90	36	1.6648	1.6648	NUM
cet-1037	90	37	2.1313	2.1313	NUM
cet-1037	90	38	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	90	39	1.1907	1.1907	NUM
cet-1037	90	40	1.5149	1.5149	NUM
cet-1037	90	41	1.9504	1.9504	NUM
cet-1037	90	42	2.4017	2.4017	NUM
cet-1037	90	43	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	90	44	1.1700	1.1700	NUM
cet-1037	90	45	1.4872	1.4872	NUM
cet-1037	90	46	1.8718	1.8718	NUM
cet-1037	90	47	2.2802	2.2802	NUM
cet-1037	90	48	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	90	49	1.0932	1.0932	NUM
cet-1037	90	50	1.3589	1.3589	NUM
cet-1037	90	51	1.7468	1.7468	NUM
cet-1037	90	52	2.2524	2.2524	NUM
cet-1037	90	53	6	6	NUM
cet-1037	90	54	1.1561	1.1561	NUM
cet-1037	90	55	1.4570	1.4570	NUM
cet-1037	90	56	1.8968	1.8968	NUM
cet-1037	90	57	2.3784	2.3784	NUM
cet-1037	90	58	7	7	NUM
cet-1037	90	59	1.1659	1.1659	NUM
cet-1037	90	60	1.4269	1.4269	NUM
cet-1037	90	61	1.8070	1.8070	NUM
cet-1037	90	62	2.2908	2.2908	NUM
cet-1037	90	63	8	8	NUM
cet-1037	90	64	1.2110	1.2110	NUM
cet-1037	90	65	1.6067	1.6067	NUM
cet-1037	90	66	2.1368	2.1368	NUM
cet-1037	90	67	2.6786	2.6786	NUM
cet-1037	90	68	9	9	NUM
cet-1037	90	69	1.1782	1.1782	NUM
cet-1037	90	70	1.5312	1.5312	NUM
cet-1037	90	71	1.9994	1.9994	NUM
cet-1037	90	72	2.5521	2.5521	NUM
cet-1037	90	73	10	10	NUM
cet-1037	90	74	1.1159	1.1159	NUM
cet-1037	90	75	1.3702	1.3702	NUM
cet-1037	90	76	1.7558	1.7558	NUM
cet-1037	90	77	2.2240	2.2240	NUM
cet-1037	90	78	11	11	NUM
cet-1037	90	79	1.1735	1.1735	NUM
cet-1037	90	80	1.5323	1.5323	NUM
cet-1037	90	81	2.0569	2.0569	NUM
cet-1037	90	82	2.6443	2.6443	NUM
cet-1037	90	83	12	12	NUM
cet-1037	90	84	1.3728	1.3728	NUM
cet-1037	90	85	2.0200	2.0200	NUM
cet-1037	90	86	2.9888	2.9888	NUM
cet-1037	91	1	4.0150	4.0150	NUM
cet-1037	91	2	13	13	NUM
cet-1037	91	3	1.1523	1.1523	NUM
cet-1037	91	4	1.5084	1.5084	NUM
cet-1037	91	5	1.9753	1.9753	NUM
cet-1037	91	6	2.6334	2.6334	NUM
cet-1037	91	7	14	14	NUM
cet-1037	91	8	1.1304	1.1304	NUM
cet-1037	91	9	1.4023	1.4023	NUM
cet-1037	91	10	1.7891	1.7891	NUM
cet-1037	91	11	2.2806	2.2806	NUM
cet-1037	91	12	15	15	NUM
cet-1037	91	13	1.1090	1.1090	NUM
cet-1037	91	14	1.3543	1.3543	NUM
cet-1037	91	15	1.6913	1.6913	NUM
cet-1037	91	16	2.1429	2.1429	NUM
cet-1037	91	17	16	16	NUM
cet-1037	91	18	1.1185	1.1185	NUM
cet-1037	91	19	1.3551	1.3551	NUM
cet-1037	91	20	1.7179	1.7179	NUM
cet-1037	91	21	2.1625	2.1625	NUM
cet-1037	91	22	17	17	NUM
cet-1037	91	23	1.1519	1.1519	NUM
cet-1037	91	24	1.4368	1.4368	NUM
cet-1037	91	25	1.9012	1.9012	NUM
cet-1037	91	26	2.4870	2.4870	NUM
cet-1037	91	27	18	18	NUM
cet-1037	91	28	1.2884	1.2884	NUM
cet-1037	91	29	1.8407	1.8407	NUM
cet-1037	91	30	2.6786	2.6786	NUM
cet-1037	91	31	3.5947	3.5947	NUM
cet-1037	91	32	19	19	NUM
cet-1037	91	33	1.1589	1.1589	NUM
cet-1037	91	34	1.4821	1.4821	NUM
cet-1037	91	35	1.9444	1.9444	NUM
cet-1037	91	36	2.4471	2.4471	NUM
cet-1037	91	37	20	20	NUM
cet-1037	91	38	1.1717	1.1717	NUM
cet-1037	91	39	1.4794	1.4794	NUM
cet-1037	91	40	1.8863	1.8863	NUM
cet-1037	91	41	2.4521	2.4521	NUM
cet-1037	91	42	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	43	1.1689	1.1689	NUM
cet-1037	91	44	1.4968	1.4968	NUM
cet-1037	91	45	1.9672	1.9672	NUM
cet-1037	91	46	2.5232	2.5232	NUM
cet-1037	91	47	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	91	48	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	49	0.0643	0.0643	NUM
cet-1037	91	50	0.1678	0.1678	NUM
cet-1037	91	51	0.3245	0.3245	NUM
cet-1037	91	52	0.4728	0.4728	NUM
cet-1037	91	53	1431	1431	NUM
cet-1037	91	54	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	91	55	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	91	56	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	91	57	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	91	58	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	91	59	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	91	60	l=3	l=3	ADP
cet-1037	91	61	times	times	PROPN
cet-1037	91	62	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	91	63	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	91	64	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	91	65	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	91	66	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	67	1.3584	1.3584	NUM
cet-1037	91	68	2.3065	2.3065	NUM
cet-1037	91	69	4.4292	4.4292	NUM
cet-1037	91	70	7.0454	7.0454	NUM
cet-1037	91	71	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	91	72	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	73	0.1479	0.1479	NUM
cet-1037	91	74	0.7337	0.7337	NUM
cet-1037	91	75	2.7480	2.7480	NUM
cet-1037	91	76	5.3160	5.3160	NUM
cet-1037	91	77	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	91	78	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	91	79	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	91	80	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	91	81	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	91	82	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	91	83	l=4	l=4	PROPN
cet-1037	91	84	times	times	PROPN
cet-1037	91	85	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	91	86	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	91	87	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	91	88	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	91	89	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	90	1.5930	1.5930	NUM
cet-1037	91	91	3.8848	3.8848	NUM
cet-1037	91	92	12.0073	12.0073	NUM
cet-1037	91	93	25.0813	25.0813	NUM
cet-1037	91	94	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	91	95	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	91	96	0.2239	0.2239	NUM
cet-1037	91	97	1.9289	1.9289	NUM
cet-1037	91	98	10.1549	10.1549	NUM
cet-1037	91	99	22.8596	22.8596	NUM
cet-1037	91	100	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	91	101	analyze	analyze	VERB
cet-1037	91	102	the	the	DET
cet-1037	91	103	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	91	104	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	91	105	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	91	106	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	91	107	𝐿on	𝐿on	PROPN
cet-1037	91	108	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	91	109	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	91	110	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	91	111	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	92	1	assume	assume	VERB
cet-1037	92	2	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	92	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	92	4	values	value	NOUN
cet-1037	92	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	92	6	all	all	DET
cet-1037	92	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	92	8	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	92	9	’	'	PUNCT
cet-1037	92	10	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	92	11	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	92	12	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	92	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	92	14	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	92	15	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	92	16	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	92	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	92	18	respectively	respectively	ADV
cet-1037	92	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	93	1	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	93	2	set	set	VERB
cet-1037	93	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	93	4	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	93	5	stock	stock	NOUN
cet-1037	93	6	amount	amount	NOUN
cet-1037	93	7	ℎ0	ℎ0	PROPN
cet-1037	93	8	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	93	9	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	93	10	corresponding	correspond	VERB
cet-1037	93	11	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	93	12	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	93	13	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	93	14	447,657,866	447,657,866	NUM
cet-1037	93	15	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	94	1	a	a	DET
cet-1037	94	2	total	total	NOUN
cet-1037	94	3	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	94	4	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	94	5	groups	group	NOUN
cet-1037	94	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	94	7	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cet-1037	94	8	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	94	9	to	to	PART
cet-1037	94	10	minimize	minimize	VERB
cet-1037	94	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	94	12	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	94	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	94	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	94	15	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	94	16	value	value	NOUN
cet-1037	94	17	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	94	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	94	19	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	94	20	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	94	21	so	so	SCONJ
cet-1037	94	22	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	94	23	the	the	DET
cet-1037	94	24	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	94	25	tends	tend	VERB
cet-1037	94	26	to	to	PART
cet-1037	94	27	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
cet-1037	94	28	as	as	ADV
cet-1037	94	29	soon	soon	ADV
cet-1037	94	30	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	94	31	possible	possible	ADJ
cet-1037	94	32	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	95	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	95	2	value	value	NOUN
cet-1037	95	3	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	95	4	the	the	DET
cet-1037	95	5	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	95	6	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	95	7	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	95	8	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	95	9	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	95	10	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	95	11	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	95	12	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	95	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	95	14	each	each	DET
cet-1037	95	15	participant	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	95	16	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	95	17	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	95	18	calculated	calculate	VERB
cet-1037	95	19	according	accord	VERB
cet-1037	95	20	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	95	21	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	95	22	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	95	23	1	1	X
cet-1037	95	24	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	95	25	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	95	26	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	95	27	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	95	28	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	95	29	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	95	30	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	95	31	table	table	VERB
cet-1037	95	32	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	95	33	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	96	1	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	96	2	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	96	3	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	96	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	96	5	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	96	6	take	take	VERB
cet-1037	96	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	96	8	results	result	NOUN
cet-1037	96	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	96	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	96	11	first	first	ADJ
cet-1037	96	12	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	96	13	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	96	14	an	an	DET
cet-1037	96	15	example	example	NOUN
cet-1037	96	16	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	97	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	97	2	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	97	3	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	97	4	clearly	clearly	ADV
cet-1037	97	5	seen	see	VERB
cet-1037	97	6	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	97	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	97	8	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	97	9	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	97	10	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	97	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	97	12	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	97	13	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	97	14	increases	increase	NOUN
cet-1037	97	15	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	98	1	retailers	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	98	2	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	98	3	close	close	ADJ
cet-1037	98	4	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	98	5	the	the	DET
cet-1037	98	6	market	market	NOUN
cet-1037	98	7	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	99	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	99	2	volatility	volatility	NOUN
cet-1037	99	3	amplification	amplification	NOUN
cet-1037	99	4	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	99	5	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	99	6	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	99	7	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	99	8	small	small	ADJ
cet-1037	99	9	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	99	10	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	99	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	99	12	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	99	13	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	99	14	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	99	15	only	only	ADV
cet-1037	99	16	1.1573	1.1573	NUM
cet-1037	99	17	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	100	1	but	but	CCONJ
cet-1037	100	2	manufacturers	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	100	3	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	100	4	far	far	ADV
cet-1037	100	5	away	away	ADV
cet-1037	100	6	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	100	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	100	8	terminal	terminal	ADJ
cet-1037	100	9	customer	customer	NOUN
cet-1037	100	10	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	100	11	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	100	12	leads	lead	VERB
cet-1037	100	13	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	100	14	more	more	ADV
cet-1037	100	15	obvious	obvious	ADJ
cet-1037	100	16	amplification	amplification	NOUN
cet-1037	100	17	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	100	18	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	100	19	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	100	20	the	the	DET
cet-1037	100	21	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	100	22	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	100	23	value	value	NOUN
cet-1037	100	24	2.4150	2.4150	NUM
cet-1037	100	25	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	101	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	101	2	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	101	3	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	101	4	orders	order	NOUN
cet-1037	101	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	101	6	between	between	ADP
cet-1037	101	7	each	each	DET
cet-1037	101	8	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	101	9	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	101	10	1.4493	1.4493	NUM
cet-1037	101	11	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	101	12	1.1573	1.1573	NUM
cet-1037	101	13	=	=	SYM
cet-1037	101	14	1.2523	1.2523	NUM
cet-1037	101	15	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	101	16	1.8844	1.8844	NUM
cet-1037	101	17	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	101	18	1.4493	1.4493	NUM
cet-1037	101	19	=	=	SYM
cet-1037	101	20	1.3002	1.3002	NUM
cet-1037	101	21	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	101	22	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	101	23	2.4150	2.4150	NUM
cet-1037	101	24	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	101	25	1.8844	1.8844	NUM
cet-1037	101	26	=	=	SYM
cet-1037	101	27	1.2816	1.2816	NUM
cet-1037	101	28	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	102	1	these	these	DET
cet-1037	102	2	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	102	3	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	102	4	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	102	5	closer	close	ADJ
cet-1037	102	6	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	103	1	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	103	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	3	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	103	4	tables	table	NOUN
cet-1037	103	5	above	above	ADV
cet-1037	103	6	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	103	7	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	103	8	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	103	9	conclude	conclude	VERB
cet-1037	103	10	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	103	11	no	no	ADV
cet-1037	103	12	matter	matter	ADV
cet-1037	103	13	how	how	SCONJ
cet-1037	103	14	much	much	ADJ
cet-1037	103	15	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	103	16	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	103	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	103	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	103	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	103	21	always	always	ADV
cet-1037	103	22	increases	increase	VERB
cet-1037	103	23	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	103	24	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	25	downstream	downstream	NOUN
cet-1037	103	26	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	103	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	28	upstream	upstream	NOUN
cet-1037	103	29	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	103	30	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	31	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	103	32	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	103	33	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	103	34	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	103	35	all	all	DET
cet-1037	103	36	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	37	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	103	38	run	run	NOUN
cet-1037	103	39	times	time	NOUN
cet-1037	103	40	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	103	41	which	which	PRON
cet-1037	103	42	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	103	43	actually	actually	ADV
cet-1037	103	44	determined	determine	VERB
cet-1037	103	45	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	103	46	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	47	inherent	inherent	ADJ
cet-1037	103	48	mechanism	mechanism	NOUN
cet-1037	103	49	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	103	50	the	the	DET
cet-1037	103	51	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	103	52	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	103	53	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	103	54	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	1	3.2	3.2	NUM
cet-1037	104	2	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	104	3	exponential	exponential	NOUN
cet-1037	104	4	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	104	5	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	104	6	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	104	7	forecast	forecast	VERB
cet-1037	104	8	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	104	9	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	10	if	if	SCONJ
cet-1037	104	11	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	104	12	use	use	VERB
cet-1037	104	13	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	104	14	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	104	15	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	104	16	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	104	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	18	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	104	19	the	the	DET
cet-1037	104	20	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cet-1037	104	21	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cet-1037	104	22	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	104	23	β	β	PROPN
cet-1037	104	24	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	104	25	the	the	DET
cet-1037	104	26	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	104	27	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	104	28	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	104	29	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	104	30	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	31	the	the	DET
cet-1037	104	32	demands	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	104	33	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	104	34	each	each	DET
cet-1037	104	35	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	104	36	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	104	37	the	the	DET
cet-1037	104	38	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	104	39	forecast	forecast	VERB
cet-1037	104	40	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	104	41	equal	equal	ADJ
cet-1037	104	42	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	104	43	the	the	DET
cet-1037	104	44	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	104	45	𝑡	𝑡	PROPN
cet-1037	104	46	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	47	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	104	48	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	104	49	follows	follow	VERB
cet-1037	104	50	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	51	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	104	52	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	104	53	...	...	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	54	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	55	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	104	56	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	104	57	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	104	58	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	104	59	l	l	PROPN
cet-1037	104	60	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	104	61	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	104	62	td	td	NOUN
cet-1037	105	1	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	105	2	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	105	3	d	d	X
cet-1037	105	4	d	d	X
cet-1037	105	5	d	d	PRON
cet-1037	105	6			PROPN
cet-1037	105	7			PROPN
cet-1037	105	8			PROPN
cet-1037	105	9			PROPN
cet-1037	105	10			PROPN
cet-1037	105	11			PUNCT
cet-1037	105	12			VERB
cet-1037	105	13			ADV
cet-1037	106	1			NUM
cet-1037	106	2			PRON
cet-1037	106	3			PROPN
cet-1037	106	4			ADJ
cet-1037	106	5			X
cet-1037	106	6	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	7	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	106	8	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	9	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	106	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	106	11	above	above	ADJ
cet-1037	106	12	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	106	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	14	the	the	DET
cet-1037	106	15	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	106	16	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	106	17	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	106	18	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	106	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	106	20	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	106	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	106	22	entire	entire	ADJ
cet-1037	106	23	lead	lead	NOUN
cet-1037	106	24	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	106	25	td	td	NOUN
cet-1037	106	26			PROPN
cet-1037	106	27	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	106	28	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	106	29	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	106	30	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	106	31	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	32	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	106	33	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	34	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	106	35	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	107	1	[	[	PUNCT
cet-1037	107	2	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	107	3	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	107	4	]	]	PUNCT
cet-1037	107	5	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	107	6	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	107	7	t	t	X
cet-1037	108	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	108	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	108	3	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	108	4	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	109	1	i	i	NOUN
cet-1037	109	2	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	110	1	d	d	X
cet-1037	110	2	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	110	3	d	d	X
cet-1037	110	4	d	d	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	5	d	d	PRON
cet-1037	110	6			PROPN
cet-1037	110	7			PROPN
cet-1037	110	8			PROPN
cet-1037	110	9			PROPN
cet-1037	110	10			VERB
cet-1037	110	11			PROPN
cet-1037	110	12			NUM
cet-1037	110	13			NOUN
cet-1037	110	14			PUNCT
cet-1037	110	15			X
cet-1037	110	16	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	17	5	5	X
cet-1037	110	18	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	19	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	110	20	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	110	21	necessary	necessary	ADJ
cet-1037	110	22	to	to	PART
cet-1037	110	23	give	give	VERB
cet-1037	110	24	the	the	DET
cet-1037	110	25	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	110	26	condition	condition	NOUN
cet-1037	110	27	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	110	28	the	the	DET
cet-1037	110	29	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	110	30	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	110	31	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	110	32	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	33	so	so	SCONJ
cet-1037	110	34	the	the	DET
cet-1037	110	35	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	110	36	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	110	37	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	110	38	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	110	39	the	the	DET
cet-1037	110	40	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	110	41	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	110	42	all	all	DET
cet-1037	110	43	historical	historical	ADJ
cet-1037	110	44	requirements	requirement	NOUN
cet-1037	110	45	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	46	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	110	47	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	110	48	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	110	49	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	110	50	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	51	6	6	NUM
cet-1037	110	52	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	110	53	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	111	1	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	111	2	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	111	3	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	111	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	111	5	max	max	PROPN
cet-1037	111	6	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	111	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	111	8	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	112	1	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	112	2	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	113	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	113	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	114	1	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	114	2	d	d	PROPN
cet-1037	114	3	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	114	4	m	m	PROPN
cet-1037	114	5	n	n	PROPN
cet-1037	114	6	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	114	7			PROPN
cet-1037	114	8			VERB
cet-1037	114	9			PROPN
cet-1037	114	10			NUM
cet-1037	114	11			PROPN
cet-1037	114	12	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	114	13	6	6	NUM
cet-1037	114	14	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	114	15	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	114	16	this	this	DET
cet-1037	114	17	research	research	NOUN
cet-1037	114	18	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	114	19	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	114	20	set	set	VERB
cet-1037	114	21	=1/(1+m)=0.095	=1/(1+m)=0.095	NOUN
cet-1037	114	22	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	115	1	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	115	2	analyse	analyse	VERB
cet-1037	115	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	115	4	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	115	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	115	6	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	115	7	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	115	8	𝐿	𝐿	PROPN
cet-1037	115	9	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	115	10	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	115	11	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	115	12	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	115	13	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	116	1	assume	assume	VERB
cet-1037	116	2	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	116	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	116	4	values	value	NOUN
cet-1037	116	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	116	6	all	all	DET
cet-1037	116	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	116	8	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	116	9	’	'	PUNCT
cet-1037	116	10	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	116	11	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	116	12	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	116	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	116	14	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	116	15	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	116	16	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	116	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	116	18	respectively	respectively	ADV
cet-1037	116	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	117	1	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	117	2	set	set	VERB
cet-1037	117	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	117	4	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	117	5	stock	stock	NOUN
cet-1037	117	6	amount	amount	NOUN
cet-1037	117	7	ℎ0	ℎ0	PROPN
cet-1037	117	8	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	117	9	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	117	10	corresponding	correspond	VERB
cet-1037	117	11	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	117	12	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	117	13	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	117	14	447	447	NUM
cet-1037	117	15	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	117	16	657	657	NUM
cet-1037	117	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	117	18	866	866	NUM
cet-1037	117	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	118	1	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	118	2	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	118	3	a	a	DET
cet-1037	118	4	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	118	5	random	random	ADJ
cet-1037	118	6	number	number	NOUN
cet-1037	118	7	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	118	8	seeds	seed	NOUN
cet-1037	118	9	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	118	10	each	each	DET
cet-1037	118	11	times	time	NOUN
cet-1037	118	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	118	13	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	118	14	get	get	VERB
cet-1037	118	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	118	16	mean	mean	ADJ
cet-1037	118	17	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	118	18	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	118	19	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	118	20	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	118	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	118	22	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	118	23	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	118	24	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	118	25	each	each	DET
cet-1037	118	26	participant	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	118	27	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	118	28	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	118	29	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	118	30	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	118	31	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	118	32	.	.	SYM
cet-1037	118	33	1432	1432	NUM
cet-1037	118	34	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	118	35	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	118	36	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	118	37	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	118	38	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	118	39	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	118	40	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	118	41	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	118	42	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	118	43	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	118	44	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	118	45	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	118	46	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	118	47	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	118	48	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	118	49	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	118	50	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	118	51	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	118	52	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	118	53	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	118	54	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	118	55	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	118	56	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	118	57	1.3431	1.3431	NUM
cet-1037	118	58	1.9213	1.9213	NUM
cet-1037	118	59	2.8016	2.8016	NUM
cet-1037	118	60	4.0572	4.0572	NUM
cet-1037	118	61	0.0423	0.0423	NUM
cet-1037	118	62	0.1273	0.1273	NUM
cet-1037	118	63	0.2728	0.2728	NUM
cet-1037	118	64	0.4676	0.4676	NUM
cet-1037	118	65	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	119	1	1.6281	1.6281	NUM
cet-1037	119	2	2.9888	2.9888	NUM
cet-1037	119	3	5.8474	5.8474	NUM
cet-1037	119	4	10.1775	10.1775	NUM
cet-1037	119	5	0.1239	0.1239	NUM
cet-1037	119	6	0.6666	0.6666	NUM
cet-1037	119	7	2.5704	2.5704	NUM
cet-1037	119	8	3.4873	3.4873	NUM
cet-1037	119	9	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	119	10	1.9411	1.9411	NUM
cet-1037	119	11	4.6832	4.6832	NUM
cet-1037	119	12	13.6678	13.6678	NUM
cet-1037	119	13	30.9592	30.9592	NUM
cet-1037	119	14	0.1408	0.1408	NUM
cet-1037	119	15	1.3322	1.3322	NUM
cet-1037	119	16	10.0471	10.0471	NUM
cet-1037	119	17	23.3274	23.3274	NUM
cet-1037	119	18	3.3	3.3	NUM
cet-1037	119	19	minimum	minimum	NOUN
cet-1037	119	20	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	119	21	square	square	NOUN
cet-1037	119	22	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	119	23	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	119	24	use	use	VERB
cet-1037	119	25	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cet-1037	119	26	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	119	27	square	square	NOUN
cet-1037	119	28	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	119	29	to	to	PART
cet-1037	119	30	forecast	forecast	VERB
cet-1037	119	31	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	119	32	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	120	1	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	120	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	120	3	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	120	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	120	5	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	120	6	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	120	7	each	each	DET
cet-1037	120	8	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	120	9	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	120	10	𝐿lead	𝐿lead	PROPN
cet-1037	120	11	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	120	12	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	120	13	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	120	14	as	as	ADP
cet-1037	120	15	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	120	16	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	120	17	7	7	NUM
cet-1037	120	18	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	120	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	1	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	2	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	3	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	4	1,2	1,2	NUM
cet-1037	121	5	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	6	...	...	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	121	8	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	121	9	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	121	10	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	122	1	t	t	X
cet-1037	122	2	t	t	NOUN
cet-1037	123	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	123	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	123	3	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	123	4	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	123	5	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	124	1	d	d	X
cet-1037	124	2	d	d	X
cet-1037	124	3	i	i	NOUN
cet-1037	124	4	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	124	5			NOUN
cet-1037	124	6			NOUN
cet-1037	124	7			ADP
cet-1037	124	8			X
cet-1037	124	9			ADP
cet-1037	124	10			PROPN
cet-1037	124	11			PROPN
cet-1037	124	12			NUM
cet-1037	124	13			PUNCT
cet-1037	124	14			PROPN
cet-1037	124	15			PROPN
cet-1037	124	16			NUM
cet-1037	124	17			ADV
cet-1037	124	18			PROPN
cet-1037	124	19			PROPN
cet-1037	124	20			PROPN
cet-1037	124	21			NOUN
cet-1037	124	22	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	23	7	7	NUM
cet-1037	124	24	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	25	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	124	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	124	27	above	above	ADJ
cet-1037	124	28	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	124	29	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	30	the	the	DET
cet-1037	124	31	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	124	32	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	124	33	total	total	ADJ
cet-1037	124	34	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	124	35	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cet-1037	124	36	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	124	37	the	the	DET
cet-1037	124	38	entire	entire	ADJ
cet-1037	124	39	lead	lead	NOUN
cet-1037	124	40	period	period	NOUN
cet-1037	124	41	td	td	NOUN
cet-1037	124	42			PROPN
cet-1037	124	43	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	124	44	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	124	45	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	124	46	formula	formula	NOUN
cet-1037	124	47	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	48	8)	8)	NUM
cet-1037	124	49	.	.	NOUN
cet-1037	124	50	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	124	51	0	0	NUM
cet-1037	124	52	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	53	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	54	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	55	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	124	56	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	124	57	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	124	58	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	124	59	ll	ll	NOUN
cet-1037	124	60	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	124	61	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	124	62	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	125	1	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	125	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	125	3	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	126	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	126	2	t	t	X
cet-1037	127	1	i	i	PRON
cet-1037	127	2	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	127	3	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	127	4	t	t	PROPN
cet-1037	127	5	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	128	1	d	d	X
cet-1037	128	2	d	d	X
cet-1037	128	3	d	d	X
cet-1037	128	4			NOUN
cet-1037	128	5			NOUN
cet-1037	128	6			ADP
cet-1037	128	7			NOUN
cet-1037	128	8			ADP
cet-1037	128	9			ADP
cet-1037	128	10			X
cet-1037	128	11			NOUN
cet-1037	128	12			PROPN
cet-1037	128	13			PROPN
cet-1037	128	14			PROPN
cet-1037	128	15			PROPN
cet-1037	128	16			PUNCT
cet-1037	128	17			PROPN
cet-1037	128	18			PROPN
cet-1037	128	19			PROPN
cet-1037	128	20			PROPN
cet-1037	128	21			PROPN
cet-1037	128	22			PROPN
cet-1037	128	23			PROPN
cet-1037	128	24			PUNCT
cet-1037	128	25			PROPN
cet-1037	128	26			PROPN
cet-1037	128	27			PROPN
cet-1037	128	28			PROPN
cet-1037	128	29			X
cet-1037	128	30	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	128	31	8)	8)	NUM
cet-1037	128	32	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	128	33	analyse	analyse	VERB
cet-1037	128	34	the	the	DET
cet-1037	128	35	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	128	36	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	128	37	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	128	38	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	128	39	𝐿on	𝐿on	PROPN
cet-1037	128	40	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	128	41	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	128	42	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	128	43	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	129	1	assume	assume	VERB
cet-1037	129	2	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	129	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	129	4	values	value	NOUN
cet-1037	129	5	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	129	6	all	all	DET
cet-1037	129	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	129	8	participants	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	129	9	’	'	PUNCT
cet-1037	129	10	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	129	11	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	129	12	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	129	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	129	14	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	129	15	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	129	16	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	129	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	129	18	respectively	respectively	ADV
cet-1037	129	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	130	1	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	130	2	set	set	VERB
cet-1037	130	3	the	the	DET
cet-1037	130	4	initial	initial	ADJ
cet-1037	130	5	stock	stock	NOUN
cet-1037	130	6	amount	amount	NOUN
cet-1037	130	7	ℎ0	ℎ0	PROPN
cet-1037	130	8	that	that	PRON
cet-1037	130	9	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	130	10	corresponding	correspond	VERB
cet-1037	130	11	to	to	ADP
cet-1037	130	12	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	130	13	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	130	14	447	447	NUM
cet-1037	130	15	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	130	16	657	657	NUM
cet-1037	130	17	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	130	18	866	866	NUM
cet-1037	130	19	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	131	1	by	by	ADP
cet-1037	131	2	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	131	3	a	a	DET
cet-1037	131	4	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	131	5	random	random	ADJ
cet-1037	131	6	number	number	NOUN
cet-1037	131	7	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	131	8	seeds	seed	NOUN
cet-1037	131	9	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	131	10	each	each	DET
cet-1037	131	11	times	time	NOUN
cet-1037	131	12	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	131	13	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	131	14	get	get	VERB
cet-1037	131	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	131	16	mean	mean	ADJ
cet-1037	131	17	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	131	18	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	131	19	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	131	20	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	131	21	the	the	DET
cet-1037	131	22	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	131	23	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	131	24	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	131	25	each	each	DET
cet-1037	131	26	participant	participant	NOUN
cet-1037	131	27	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	131	28	shown	show	VERB
cet-1037	131	29	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	131	30	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	131	31	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	131	32	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	131	33	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	131	34	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	131	35	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	131	36	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	131	37	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	131	38	when	when	SCONJ
cet-1037	131	39	using	use	VERB
cet-1037	131	40	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cet-1037	131	41	mean	mean	ADJ
cet-1037	131	42	square	square	NOUN
cet-1037	131	43	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	131	44	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cet-1037	131	45	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	131	46	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	131	47	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	131	48	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	131	49	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	131	50	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	131	51	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	131	52	retailer	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	131	53	wholesaler	wholesaler	NOUN
cet-1037	131	54	distributor	distributor	NOUN
cet-1037	131	55	manufacturer	manufacturer	NOUN
cet-1037	131	56	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	131	57	1.6625	1.6625	NUM
cet-1037	131	58	2.4128	2.4128	NUM
cet-1037	131	59	3.4964	3.4964	NUM
cet-1037	131	60	5.0666	5.0666	NUM
cet-1037	131	61	0.2098	0.2098	NUM
cet-1037	131	62	0.641	0.641	NUM
cet-1037	131	63	1.3098	1.3098	NUM
cet-1037	131	64	2.5955	2.5955	NUM
cet-1037	131	65	3	3	NUM
cet-1037	131	66	1.9085	1.9085	NUM
cet-1037	131	67	3.5012	3.5012	NUM
cet-1037	131	68	9.1887	9.1887	NUM
cet-1037	131	69	18.1962	18.1962	NUM
cet-1037	131	70	0.3529	0.3529	NUM
cet-1037	131	71	1.5747	1.5747	NUM
cet-1037	131	72	12.7945	12.7945	NUM
cet-1037	131	73	17.6809	17.6809	NUM
cet-1037	131	74	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	131	75	2.1934	2.1934	NUM
cet-1037	131	76	5.586	5.586	NUM
cet-1037	131	77	26.4731	26.4731	NUM
cet-1037	131	78	87.4238	87.4238	NUM
cet-1037	131	79	0.3949	0.3949	NUM
cet-1037	131	80	2.6438	2.6438	NUM
cet-1037	131	81	23.0061	23.0061	NUM
cet-1037	131	82	98.2246	98.2246	NUM
cet-1037	132	1	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	132	2	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	132	3	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	132	4	seen	see	VERB
cet-1037	132	5	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	132	6	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	132	7	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	132	8	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	132	9	table	table	NOUN
cet-1037	132	10	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	132	11	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	132	12	the	the	DET
cet-1037	132	13	mean	mean	ADJ
cet-1037	132	14	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	132	15	standard	standard	ADJ
cet-1037	132	16	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cet-1037	132	17	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	132	18	the	the	DET
cet-1037	132	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	132	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	132	21	increases	increase	VERB
cet-1037	132	22	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	132	23	the	the	DET
cet-1037	132	24	increase	increase	NOUN
cet-1037	132	25	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	132	26	l.	l.	PROPN
cet-1037	132	27	the	the	DET
cet-1037	132	28	rules	rule	NOUN
cet-1037	132	29	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	132	30	changes	change	NOUN
cet-1037	132	31	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	132	32	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	132	33	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	132	34	similar	similar	ADJ
cet-1037	132	35	regardless	regardless	ADV
cet-1037	132	36	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	132	37	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	132	38	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	132	39	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cet-1037	132	40	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	133	1	this	this	DET
cet-1037	133	2	article	article	NOUN
cet-1037	133	3	thinks	think	VERB
cet-1037	133	4	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	133	5	for	for	ADP
cet-1037	133	6	the	the	DET
cet-1037	133	7	various	various	ADJ
cet-1037	133	8	roles	role	NOUN
cet-1037	133	9	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	133	10	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	133	11	industry	industry	NOUN
cet-1037	133	12	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	133	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	133	14	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
cet-1037	133	15	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	133	16	l	l	NOUN
cet-1037	133	17	increasing	increase	VERB
cet-1037	133	18	brings	bring	VERB
cet-1037	133	19	about	about	ADP
cet-1037	133	20	the	the	DET
cet-1037	133	21	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	133	22	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	133	23	increasing	increase	VERB
cet-1037	133	24	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	133	25	significant	significant	ADJ
cet-1037	133	26	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	134	1	4	4	X
cet-1037	134	2	.	.	X
cet-1037	134	3	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cet-1037	134	4	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	134	5	this	this	DET
cet-1037	134	6	paper	paper	NOUN
cet-1037	134	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	134	8	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	134	9	study	study	VERB
cet-1037	134	10	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	134	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	134	12	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	134	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	134	14	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	134	15	different	different	ADJ
cet-1037	134	16	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	134	17	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	134	18	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	134	19	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	134	20	the	the	DET
cet-1037	134	21	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	134	22	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	134	23	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	134	24	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	134	25	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	134	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	134	27	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cet-1037	134	28	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	134	29	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	134	30	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	134	31	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	135	1	the	the	DET
cet-1037	135	2	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	135	3	kinds	kind	NOUN
cet-1037	135	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	135	5	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	135	6	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	135	7	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	135	8	are	be	AUX
cet-1037	135	9	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	135	10	moving	move	VERB
cet-1037	135	11	average	average	ADJ
cet-1037	135	12	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	135	13	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	135	14	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	135	15	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cet-1037	135	16	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cet-1037	135	17	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	135	18	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	135	19	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cet-1037	135	20	mean	mean	NOUN
cet-1037	135	21	square	square	ADJ
cet-1037	135	22	error	error	NOUN
cet-1037	135	23	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	135	24	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	136	1	under	under	ADP
cet-1037	136	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	136	3	condition	condition	NOUN
cet-1037	136	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	136	5	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
cet-1037	136	6	decision	decision	NOUN
cet-1037	136	7	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	136	8	making	making	NOUN
cet-1037	136	9	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	136	10	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	136	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	136	12	recent	recent	ADJ
cet-1037	136	13	observation	observation	NOUN
cet-1037	136	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	136	15	the	the	DET
cet-1037	136	16	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	136	17	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	136	18	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	136	19	multi	multi	ADJ
cet-1037	136	20	-	-	ADJ
cet-1037	136	21	level	level	ADJ
cet-1037	136	22	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	136	23	node	node	NOUN
cet-1037	136	24	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	136	25	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	136	26	simulated	simulate	VERB
cet-1037	136	27	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	137	1	from	from	ADP
cet-1037	137	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	137	3	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cet-1037	137	4	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	137	5	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	137	6	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	137	7	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	137	8	this	this	DET
cet-1037	137	9	paper	paper	NOUN
cet-1037	137	10	analyses	analyse	VERB
cet-1037	137	11	the	the	DET
cet-1037	137	12	influence	influence	NOUN
cet-1037	137	13	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	137	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	137	15	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	137	16	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	137	17	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	137	18	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	137	19	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	137	20	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	137	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	137	22	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	137	23	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	137	24	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	137	25	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	138	1	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	138	2	the	the	DET
cet-1037	138	3	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	138	4	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	138	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cet-1037	138	6	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	138	7	it	it	PRON
cet-1037	138	8	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	138	9	be	be	AUX
cet-1037	138	10	found	find	VERB
cet-1037	138	11	that	that	SCONJ
cet-1037	138	12	no	no	ADV
cet-1037	138	13	matter	matter	ADV
cet-1037	138	14	what	what	DET
cet-1037	138	15	kind	kind	NOUN
cet-1037	138	16	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	138	17	single	single	ADJ
cet-1037	138	18	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cet-1037	138	19	method	method	NOUN
cet-1037	138	20	we	we	PRON
cet-1037	138	21	choose	choose	VERB
cet-1037	138	22	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	138	23	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	138	24	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	138	25	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	138	26	the	the	DET
cet-1037	138	27	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	138	28	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	138	29	its	its	PRON
cet-1037	138	30	own	own	ADJ
cet-1037	138	31	shock	shock	NOUN
cet-1037	138	32	will	will	AUX
cet-1037	138	33	increase	increase	VERB
cet-1037	138	34	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	138	35	the	the	DET
cet-1037	138	36	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	138	37	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	138	38	increasing	increase	VERB
cet-1037	138	39	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	139	1	this	this	PRON
cet-1037	139	2	is	be	AUX
cet-1037	139	3	an	an	DET
cet-1037	139	4	important	important	ADJ
cet-1037	139	5	factor	factor	NOUN
cet-1037	139	6	affecting	affect	VERB
cet-1037	139	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	139	8	size	size	NOUN
cet-1037	139	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	139	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	139	11	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	139	12	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	139	13	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	140	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cet-1037	140	2	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	140	3	chemical	chemical	NOUN
cet-1037	140	4	companies	company	NOUN
cet-1037	140	5	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	140	6	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	140	7	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	140	8	should	should	AUX
cet-1037	140	9	optimize	optimize	VERB
cet-1037	140	10	the	the	DET
cet-1037	140	11	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	140	12	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	140	13	design	design	NOUN
cet-1037	140	14	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	140	15	improve	improve	VERB
cet-1037	140	16	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	140	17	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
cet-1037	140	18	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	140	19	enhance	enhance	VERB
cet-1037	140	20	collaboration	collaboration	NOUN
cet-1037	140	21	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	140	22	other	other	ADJ
cet-1037	140	23	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
cet-1037	140	24	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	140	25	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	140	26	do	do	VERB
cet-1037	140	27	efforts	effort	NOUN
cet-1037	140	28	to	to	PART
cet-1037	140	29	reduce	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	140	30	the	the	DET
cet-1037	140	31	lead	lead	ADJ
cet-1037	140	32	time	time	NOUN
cet-1037	140	33	so	so	SCONJ
cet-1037	140	34	as	as	SCONJ
cet-1037	140	35	to	to	PART
cet-1037	140	36	enhance	enhance	VERB
cet-1037	140	37	the	the	DET
cet-1037	140	38	stability	stability	NOUN
cet-1037	140	39	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	140	40	the	the	DET
cet-1037	140	41	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	140	42	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	140	43	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	1	references	reference	NOUN
cet-1037	141	2	alizadeh	alizadeh	PROPN
cet-1037	141	3	p.	p.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	5	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	141	6	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	8	role	role	NOUN
cet-1037	141	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	10	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cet-1037	141	11	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cet-1037	141	12	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	141	13	reducing	reduce	VERB
cet-1037	141	14	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	15	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	16	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	17	advances	advance	NOUN
cet-1037	141	18	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	141	19	production	production	NOUN
cet-1037	141	20	engineering	engineering	NOUN
cet-1037	141	21	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	22	management	management	NOUN
cet-1037	141	23	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	24	7(3	7(3	NUM
cet-1037	141	25	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	26	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	27	177	177	NUM
cet-1037	141	28	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	29	186	186	NUM
cet-1037	141	30	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	31	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	32	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	33	http://dx.doi.org/10.14743/apem2012.3.140	http://dx.doi.org/10.14743/apem2012.3.140	PROPN
cet-1037	141	34	1433	1433	NUM
cet-1037	141	35	dejonckheere	dejonckheere	ADV
cet-1037	141	36	j.	j.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	37	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	38	disney	disney	PROPN
cet-1037	141	39	s.m	s.m	PROPN
cet-1037	141	40	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	41	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	42	lambrecht	lambrecht	PROPN
cet-1037	141	43	m.r	m.r	PROPN
cet-1037	141	44	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	45	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	46	2003	2003	NUM
cet-1037	141	47	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	48	measuring	measure	VERB
cet-1037	141	49	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	50	avoiding	avoid	VERB
cet-1037	141	51	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	52	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	53	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	54	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	55	a	a	DET
cet-1037	141	56	control	control	NOUN
cet-1037	141	57	theoretic	theoretic	NOUN
cet-1037	141	58	approach	approach	NOUN
cet-1037	141	59	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	60	european	european	PROPN
cet-1037	141	61	journal	journal	PROPN
cet-1037	141	62	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	63	operational	operational	ADJ
cet-1037	141	64	research	research	NOUN
cet-1037	141	65	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	66	147(3	147(3	NUM
cet-1037	141	67	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	68	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	69	567	567	NUM
cet-1037	141	70	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	71	590	590	NUM
cet-1037	141	72	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	73	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	74	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	75	https://doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217(02)00369-7	https://doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217(02)00369-7	PROPN
cet-1037	141	76	gilbert	gilbert	PROPN
cet-1037	141	77	k.	k.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	78	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	79	2005	2005	NUM
cet-1037	141	80	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	81	an	an	DET
cet-1037	141	82	arima	arima	NOUN
cet-1037	141	83	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	84	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	85	model	model	NOUN
cet-1037	141	86	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	87	management	management	NOUN
cet-1037	141	88	science	science	NOUN
cet-1037	141	89	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	90	51(2	51(2	NUM
cet-1037	141	91	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	92	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	93	305	305	NUM
cet-1037	141	94	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	95	310	310	NUM
cet-1037	141	96	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	97	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	98	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	99	10.1287	10.1287	NUM
cet-1037	141	100	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	101	mnsc.1040.0308	mnsc.1040.0308	NOUN
cet-1037	141	102	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	103	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	141	104	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	105	dblp	dblp	PROPN
cet-1037	141	106	hussain	hussain	PROPN
cet-1037	141	107	m.	m.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	108	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	109	shome	shome	PROPN
cet-1037	141	110	a.	a.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	111	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	112	lee	lee	PROPN
cet-1037	141	113	d.m	d.m	PROPN
cet-1037	141	114	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	115	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	116	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	141	117	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	118	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	141	119	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	120	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	141	121	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	141	122	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	141	123	variance	variance	NOUN
cet-1037	141	124	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cet-1037	141	125	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	141	126	order	order	NOUN
cet-1037	141	127	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	128	up	up	ADP
cet-1037	141	129	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	130	to	to	PART
cet-1037	141	131	level	level	NOUN
cet-1037	141	132	policy	policy	NOUN
cet-1037	141	133	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	134	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	135	international	international	ADJ
cet-1037	141	136	journal	journal	NOUN
cet-1037	141	137	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	138	advanced	advanced	ADJ
cet-1037	141	139	manufacturing	manufacturing	NOUN
cet-1037	141	140	technology	technology	NOUN
cet-1037	141	141	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	142	59(1	59(1	NUM
cet-1037	141	143	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	144	4	4	NUM
cet-1037	141	145	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	146	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	147	413	413	NUM
cet-1037	141	148	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	149	420	420	NUM
cet-1037	141	150	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	151	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	152	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	153	10.1007	10.1007	NUM
cet-1037	141	154	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	155	s00170	s00170	PROPN
cet-1037	141	156	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	157	011	011	NUM
cet-1037	141	158	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	159	3485	3485	NUM
cet-1037	141	160	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	161	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	141	162	jakšič	jakšič	NOUN
cet-1037	141	163	m.	m.	NOUN
cet-1037	141	164	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	165	rusjan	rusjan	PROPN
cet-1037	141	166	b.	b.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	167	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	168	2008	2008	NUM
cet-1037	141	169	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	170	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	171	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	172	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	173	replenishment	replenishment	NOUN
cet-1037	141	174	policies	policy	NOUN
cet-1037	141	175	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	141	176	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	177	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	178	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	179	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	180	a	a	DET
cet-1037	141	181	transfer	transfer	NOUN
cet-1037	141	182	function	function	NOUN
cet-1037	141	183	approach	approach	NOUN
cet-1037	141	184	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	185	european	european	PROPN
cet-1037	141	186	journal	journal	PROPN
cet-1037	141	187	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	188	operational	operational	ADJ
cet-1037	141	189	research	research	NOUN
cet-1037	141	190	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	191	184(3	184(3	NUM
cet-1037	141	192	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	193	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	194	946	946	NUM
cet-1037	141	195	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	196	961	961	NUM
cet-1037	141	197	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	198	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	199	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	200	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	141	201	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	202	j.ejor.2006.12.018	j.ejor.2006.12.018	PROPN
cet-1037	141	203	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	204	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	141	205	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	206	dblp	dblp	PROPN
cet-1037	141	207	kimbrough	kimbrough	PROPN
cet-1037	141	208	s.o	s.o	PROPN
cet-1037	141	209	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	210	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	211	wu	wu	PROPN
cet-1037	141	212	d.j	d.j	PROPN
cet-1037	141	213	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	214	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	215	zhong	zhong	PROPN
cet-1037	141	216	f.	f.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	217	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	218	2002	2002	NUM
cet-1037	141	219	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	220	computers	computer	NOUN
cet-1037	141	221	play	play	VERB
cet-1037	141	222	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	223	beer	beer	NOUN
cet-1037	141	224	game	game	NOUN
cet-1037	141	225	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	226	can	can	AUX
cet-1037	141	227	artificial	artificial	ADJ
cet-1037	141	228	agents	agent	NOUN
cet-1037	141	229	manage	manage	VERB
cet-1037	141	230	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	231	chains	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	232	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	233	decision	decision	NOUN
cet-1037	141	234	support	support	NOUN
cet-1037	141	235	systems	system	NOUN
cet-1037	141	236	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	237	33(3	33(3	NOUN
cet-1037	141	238	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	239	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	240	323	323	NUM
cet-1037	141	241	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	242	333	333	NUM
cet-1037	141	243	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	244	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	245	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	246	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	141	247	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	248	s0167	s0167	PROPN
cet-1037	141	249	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	250	9236(02)000192	9236(02)000192	NUM
cet-1037	141	251	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	252	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	141	253	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	254	dblp	dblp	PROPN
cet-1037	141	255	luong	luong	PROPN
cet-1037	141	256	h.t	h.t	PROPN
cet-1037	141	257	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	258	,2007	,2007	PROPN
cet-1037	141	259	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	260	measure	measure	NOUN
cet-1037	141	261	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	262	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	263	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	264	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	141	265	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	266	chains	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	267	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	141	268	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
cet-1037	141	269	demand	demand	NOUN
cet-1037	141	270	process	process	NOUN
cet-1037	141	271	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	272	european	european	PROPN
cet-1037	141	273	journal	journal	PROPN
cet-1037	141	274	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	275	operational	operational	ADJ
cet-1037	141	276	research	research	NOUN
cet-1037	141	277	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	278	180(3	180(3	NUM
cet-1037	141	279	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	280	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	281	1086	1086	NUM
cet-1037	141	282	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	283	1097	1097	NUM
cet-1037	141	284	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	285	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	286	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	287	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	141	288	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	289	j.ejor.2006.02.050	j.ejor.2006.02.050	PROPN
cet-1037	141	290	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	291	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	141	292	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	293	dblp	dblp	PROPN
cet-1037	141	294	mackelprang	mackelprang	PROPN
cet-1037	141	295	a.w	a.w	PROPN
cet-1037	141	296	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	297	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	298	malhotra	malhotra	PROPN
cet-1037	141	299	m.k	m.k	PROPN
cet-1037	141	300	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	301	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	302	2015	2015	NUM
cet-1037	141	303	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	304	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	305	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	141	306	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	307	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	308	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	141	309	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	310	chains	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	311	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	312	performance	performance	NOUN
cet-1037	141	313	pathways	pathway	NOUN
cet-1037	141	314	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	315	control	control	NOUN
cet-1037	141	316	mechanisms	mechanism	NOUN
cet-1037	141	317	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	318	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	319	managerial	managerial	ADJ
cet-1037	141	320	levers	lever	NOUN
cet-1037	141	321	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	322	journal	journal	NOUN
cet-1037	141	323	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	324	operations	operation	NOUN
cet-1037	141	325	management	management	NOUN
cet-1037	141	326	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	327	36	36	NUM
cet-1037	141	328	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	329	15	15	NUM
cet-1037	141	330	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	331	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	332	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	333	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	141	334	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	335	j.jom.2015.02.003	j.jom.2015.02.003	PROPN
cet-1037	141	336	makui	makui	PROPN
cet-1037	141	337	a.	a.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	338	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	339	madadi	madadi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	340	a.	a.	NOUN
cet-1037	141	341	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	342	2007	2007	NUM
cet-1037	141	343	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	344	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	345	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	346	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	347	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	348	lyapunov	lyapunov	ADJ
cet-1037	141	349	exponent	exponent	NOUN
cet-1037	141	350	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	351	applied	apply	VERB
cet-1037	141	352	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
cet-1037	141	353	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	354	computation	computation	NOUN
cet-1037	141	355	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	356	189(1	189(1	NUM
cet-1037	141	357	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	358	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	359	35	35	NUM
cet-1037	141	360	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	361	40	40	NUM
cet-1037	141	362	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	363	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	364	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	365	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	141	366	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	141	367	j.amc.2006.11.069	j.amc.2006.11.069	PROPN
cet-1037	141	368	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	369	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	141	370	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	371	dblp	dblp	PROPN
cet-1037	141	372	ma	ma	PROPN
cet-1037	141	373	j.h	j.h	PROPN
cet-1037	141	374	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	375	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	376	bao	bao	PROPN
cet-1037	141	377	b.s	b.s	PROPN
cet-1037	141	378	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	379	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	380	ma	ma	PROPN
cet-1037	141	381	x.g	x.g	PROPN
cet-1037	141	382	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	383	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	384	2014	2014	NUM
cet-1037	141	385	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	386	inherent	inherent	ADJ
cet-1037	141	387	complexity	complexity	NOUN
cet-1037	141	388	research	research	NOUN
cet-1037	141	389	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	141	390	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	391	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	141	392	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	141	393	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	141	394	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	395	chains	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	396	with	with	ADP
cet-1037	141	397	two	two	NUM
cet-1037	141	398	retailers	retailer	NOUN
cet-1037	141	399	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	400	the	the	DET
cet-1037	141	401	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	141	402	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	141	403	three	three	NUM
cet-1037	141	404	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	141	405	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	141	406	considering	consider	VERB
cet-1037	141	407	market	market	NOUN
cet-1037	141	408	share	share	NOUN
cet-1037	141	409	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	410	abstract	abstract	ADJ
cet-1037	141	411	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	412	applied	apply	VERB
cet-1037	141	413	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cet-1037	141	414	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	415	2014	2014	NUM
cet-1037	141	416	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	417	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	141	418	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	419	13	13	NUM
cet-1037	141	420	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	421	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	141	422	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	423	10.1155/2014/306907	10.1155/2014/306907	NUM
cet-1037	141	424	sun	sun	PROPN
cet-1037	141	425	w.q	w.q	PROPN
cet-1037	141	426	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	141	427	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	428	2013	2013	NUM
cet-1037	141	429	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	430	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	141	431	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	141	432	system	system	NOUN
cet-1037	141	433	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cet-1037	141	434	and	and	CCONJ
cet-1037	141	435	cost	cost	NOUN
cet-1037	141	436	optimization	optimization	NOUN
cet-1037	141	437	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	141	438	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	141	439	apiobpcs	apiobpc	NOUN
cet-1037	141	440	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cet-1037	141	441	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cet-1037	141	442	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	443	industrial	industrial	ADJ
cet-1037	141	444	engineering	engineering	NOUN
cet-1037	141	445	journal	journal	NOUN
cet-1037	141	446	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	447	16(6	16(6	NUM
cet-1037	141	448	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	449	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	141	450	134	134	NUM
cet-1037	141	451	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	141	452	140	140	NUM
cet-1037	141	453	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	1	wan	wan	PROPN
cet-1037	142	2	z.	z.	PROPN
cet-1037	142	3	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	4	li	li	PROPN
cet-1037	142	5	c.	c.	PROPN
cet-1037	142	6	h.b	h.b	PROPN
cet-1037	142	7	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	142	8	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	9	2012	2012	NUM
cet-1037	142	10	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	11	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	142	12	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	142	13	in	in	ADP
cet-1037	142	14	closed	closed	ADJ
cet-1037	142	15	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	16	loop	loop	NOUN
cet-1037	142	17	supply	supply	NOUN
cet-1037	142	18	chain	chain	NOUN
cet-1037	142	19	based	base	VERB
cet-1037	142	20	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	142	21	system	system	NOUN
cet-1037	142	22	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
cet-1037	142	23	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	24	computer	computer	NOUN
cet-1037	142	25	integrated	integrate	VERB
cet-1037	142	26	manufacturing	manufacturing	NOUN
cet-1037	142	27	systems	system	NOUN
cet-1037	142	28	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	29	18	18	NUM
cet-1037	142	30	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	31	5	5	NUM
cet-1037	142	32	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	33	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	142	34	1093	1093	NUM
cet-1037	142	35	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	142	36	1098	1098	NUM
cet-1037	142	37	.	.	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	1	zhang	zhang	PROPN
cet-1037	143	2	x.l	x.l	PROPN
cet-1037	143	3	.	.	PROPN
cet-1037	143	4	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	5	2004	2004	NUM
cet-1037	143	6	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	7	the	the	DET
cet-1037	143	8	impact	impact	NOUN
cet-1037	143	9	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	143	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cet-1037	143	11	methods	method	NOUN
cet-1037	143	12	on	on	ADP
cet-1037	143	13	the	the	DET
cet-1037	143	14	bullwhip	bullwhip	NOUN
cet-1037	143	15	effect	effect	NOUN
cet-1037	143	16	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	17	international	international	ADJ
cet-1037	143	18	journal	journal	NOUN
cet-1037	143	19	of	of	ADP
cet-1037	143	20	production	production	NOUN
cet-1037	143	21	economics	economic	NOUN
cet-1037	143	22	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	23	88	88	NUM
cet-1037	143	24	(	(	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	25	1	1	NUM
cet-1037	143	26	)	)	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	27	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	28	15	15	NUM
cet-1037	143	29	-	-	SYM
cet-1037	143	30	27	27	NUM
cet-1037	143	31	,	,	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	32	doi	doi	NOUN
cet-1037	143	33	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	34	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cet-1037	143	35	/	/	SYM
cet-1037	143	36	s0925	s0925	PROPN
cet-1037	143	37	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	38	5273(03)00128	5273(03)00128	NUM
cet-1037	143	39	-	-	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	40	2	2	NUM
cet-1037	143	41	·	·	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	42	source	source	NOUN
cet-1037	143	43	:	:	PUNCT
cet-1037	143	44	repec	repec	PROPN
cet-1037	143	45	1434	1434	NUM