ACRL News Issue (B) of College & Research Libraries Library Manpower Requirem ents Studied The U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics has recently issued a report en­ titled "Library Manpower— a Study of Require­ ments and Supply.” Highlights of the report follow: Employment in libraries is expected to grow more slowly over the 1970-85 period than dur­ ing the decade of the 1960s. The total number of persons in library occupations is projected to rise from about 235,000 in 1970 to 374,000 in 1985. In line with recent trends, employment of library attendants and assistants is expected to rise more sharply than that of librarians, as nonprofessional staff members are assigned in­ creasing responsibility for routine library work. Between 1970 and 1985, total librarian employ­ ment is projected to rise from 115,000 to 167,000, or 41 percent; employment of attend­ ants and assistants is expected to increase from 120,000 to 212,000, or 77 percent. Compared with the rapid expansion which took place in the 1960s—much of it stimulated by unprece­ dented levels of federal support for library ser­ vices—employment growth over the projected period is expected to be much slower. Further­ more, growth is expected to be slowest during the 1970s, with much of the overall 1970-85 in­ crease occurring after 1980. Employment of school librarians is projected to grow from 52,000 in 1970 to nearly 80,000 by 1985. Much of this growth will not occur until the 1980s, when school enrollments are projected to turn sharply upward. Employment of public librarians is projected to rise from 26,500 in 1970 to 33,000 by 1985. Contributing to the relatively slow growth of librarian employment in public libraries is the increasing utilization of paraprofessional per­ sonnel in these libraries. Employment of academic librarians is pro­ jected to rise from 19,000 in 1970 to 27,000 in 1985. Most of this growth will occur during the 1970s, because of rising college-level enroll­ ments. Employment growth in academic li­ braries is expected to come to a virtual halt after 1980, however, because of the anticipated drop in enrollments. Employment of special librarians is projected to rise from 17,000 to 22,500 between 1970 and 1985. The demand for special librarians represents a net reflection of changing occupa­ tional patterns in those industries employing special librarians. The main source of demand for librarians through 1985 will be replacement require­ ments. The number of librarians needed to re­ place those who retire, die, or leave the labor force for other reasons will greatly exceed the number required to fill newly added positions. Over the entire 1970-85 period, replacement needs are expected to account for three out of four job openings for librarians—compared to less than half of the openings in the 1960s. To meet projected requirements for growth and for replacement, job openings for librarians are expected to average 11,200 a year between 1970 and 1985. Based on past patterns of entry into the profession by new bachelor’s and mas­ ter’s library science degree recipients, an esti­ mated 9,000 new graduates are likely to enter the labor force as librarians every year from 1970 to 1985. This means that the number of jobs open to persons other than new graduates is likely to be sharply curtailed. Only 2,200 jobs a year are expected to be available to per­ sons seeking reentry, delayed entry, or transfer to the occupation. While in the 1960-70 period new graduates filled about 40 percent of all openings, they will be available to fill 80 per­ cent of openings created by growth and re­ placement needs in the 1970-85 period. The employment situation for persons other than new graduates is likely to deteriorate according­ ly. Educational requirements for beginning li­ brarians have been upgraded substantially in the past five to ten years. As a result, job pros­ pects in the 1970s and 1980s for entering li­ brarians without the graduate degree in librari- anship appear to be severely limited. Such openings probably will be found, for the most part, in small libraries where the salary level is too low to attract fully trained personnel. Despite the generally tight job market for be­ ginning librarians, demand is expected to re­ main strong over the 1970-85 period for library personnel with certain types of specialized training: community outreach personnel, me- dia/audiovisual specialists, and computer spe­ cialists. B B ACRL Membership March 31, 1974 ........ 11 520 March 31, 1973 ................................. 13,687 March 31, 1972 ................................. 10,395 98