id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentence	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cpos-626	Zakharov, Sergei V.	Three Decades on Russia’s Path of the Second Demographic Transition: How Patterns of Fertility are Changing Under an Unstable Demographic Policy	2024	30	.pdf	application/pdf	13993	618	50	Forecast accuracy hardly improves with method complexity when completing cohort fertility. A2: Key indicators of cohort fertility in Russia: female birth cohorts 1960- 1970 (observed values) and 1975-1990 (expected values) Female birth cohorts 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Cohort total fertility rate (CTFR) by the age of 50 1.85 1.67 1.60 1.62 1.68 1.74 1.62 Contribution of women under 25 and 25 and over to the total cohort fertility: under 25 years old Cumulative fertility rate of age group under 25, CTFR (-25) 1.03 1.04 0.92 0.75 0.64 0.58 0.56 % to CTFR 55.8 62.4 57.3 46.5 37.8 33.5 34.8 25 and over years old Cumulative fertility rate of age group 25 and over, PTFR (25+) 0.82 0.63 0.68 0.87 1.04 1.16 1.05 % to CTFR 44.2 37.6 42.7 53.5 62.2 66.5 65.2 Mean age of women at childbearing, years All births 25.1 24.8 25.5 26.9 27.9 28.2 28.2 First order births 22.9 22.7 22.8 23.6 24.7 25.1 25.4 Indicators estimated on the base of age- and order–specific cohort fertility tables Parity progression ratios for women by the age of 50 First births (PPR 01) 0.949 0.920 0.923 0.883 0.863 0.856 0.790 Second births (PPR 12) 0.695 0.615 0.541 0.582 0.634 0.668 0.667 Third births (PPR 23) 0.253 0.239 0.251 0.286 0.326 0.358 0.396 Fourth births (PPR 34)	cache/cpos-626.pdf	txt/cpos-626.txt