id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cpos-37	1	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	1	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	1	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	1	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	1	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	1	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	1	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	1	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	1	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	1	12	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	1	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	1	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	1	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	1	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	1	17	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	1	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	1	19	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	1	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	1	21	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	1	22	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	1	23	deschermeier	deschermeier	PROPN
cpos-37	1	24	abstract	abstract	PROPN
cpos-37	1	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	26	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	1	27	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	1	28	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	1	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	1	30	gaining	gain	VERB
cpos-37	1	31	popularity	popularity	NOUN
cpos-37	1	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	1	33	these	these	DET
cpos-37	1	34	times	time	NOUN
cpos-37	1	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	1	36	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	1	37	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	1	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	39	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	1	40	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-37	1	41	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	1	42	the	the	DET
cpos-37	1	43	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	1	44	technique	technique	NOUN
cpos-37	1	45	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	1	46	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	1	47	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	1	48	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	1	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	50	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	1	51	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-37	1	52	important	important	ADJ
cpos-37	1	53	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-37	1	54	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	1	55	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	1	56	the	the	DET
cpos-37	1	57	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	1	58	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	1	59	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-37	1	60	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	1	61	a	a	DET
cpos-37	1	62	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-37	1	63	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	1	64	to	to	PART
cpos-37	1	65	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	1	66	a	a	DET
cpos-37	1	67	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	1	68	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	1	69	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
cpos-37	1	70	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	1	71	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	1	72	allocated	allocate	VERB
cpos-37	1	73	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	3	this	this	DET
cpos-37	2	4	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	2	5	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	2	6	long	long	ADJ
cpos-37	2	7	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	2	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	9	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	2	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	2	11	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	2	12	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	2	13	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	2	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	2	15	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-37	2	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	2	17	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	2	18	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	2	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	2	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	2	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	2	24	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	2	25	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	2	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	28	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	2	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	2	30	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	2	31	not	not	PART
cpos-37	2	32	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	2	33	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	2	34	suffi	suffi	NOUN
cpos-37	2	35	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	2	36	depth	depth	NOUN
cpos-37	2	37	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	2	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	2	39	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	2	40	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	2	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	2	42	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-37	2	43	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	2	44	generally	generally	ADV
cpos-37	2	45	subsumed	subsume	VERB
cpos-37	2	46	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	2	47	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	2	48	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	2	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	3	1	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	3	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	3	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	3	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	3	5	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	3	6	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	3	7	limited	limit	VERB
cpos-37	3	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	3	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	3	10	national	national	ADJ
cpos-37	3	11	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	3	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	4	1	nonetheless	nonetheless	ADV
cpos-37	4	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	4	3	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	4	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	4	5	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	4	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	4	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	4	8	enable	enable	VERB
cpos-37	4	9	us	we	PRON
cpos-37	4	10	to	to	PART
cpos-37	4	11	disaggregate	disaggregate	VERB
cpos-37	4	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	4	13	required	require	VERB
cpos-37	4	14	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	4	15	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	4	16	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	4	17	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	4	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	4	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	4	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	4	21	to	to	PART
cpos-37	4	22	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	4	23	them	they	PRON
cpos-37	4	24	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	4	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	4	26	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	4	27	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	4	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	4	29	a	a	DET
cpos-37	4	30	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	4	31	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	4	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	4	33	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	4	34	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	4	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	4	36	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	4	37	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	4	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	5	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	5	2	essay	essay	NOUN
cpos-37	5	3	presents	present	VERB
cpos-37	5	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	5	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	5	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	5	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	5	8	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	5	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	5	10	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	5	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	5	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	5	13	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	5	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	5	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	5	16	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	5	17	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	5	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	5	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	5	20	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	5	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	5	22	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	5	23	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	5	24	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	5	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	5	26	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	5	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
cpos-37	6	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	3	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	6	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	5	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	6	6	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	6	7	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	6	8	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	9	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	6	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	6	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	6	12	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	13	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	6	14	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	6	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	6	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	6	17	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cpos-37	6	18	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	6	19	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	6	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	6	21	dramatically	dramatically	ADV
cpos-37	6	22	transforming	transform	VERB
cpos-37	6	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	6	24	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	6	25	society	society	NOUN
cpos-37	6	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	6	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	6	28	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	6	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	6	30	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	6	31	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	6	32	old	old	ADJ
cpos-37	6	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	6	34	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	6	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	6	36	gainfully	gainfully	ADV
cpos-37	6	37	employed	employ	VERB
cpos-37	6	38	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	6	39	pensioners	pensioner	NOUN
cpos-37	6	40	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	6	41	shifting	shift	VERB
cpos-37	6	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	6	43	favour	favour	NOUN
cpos-37	6	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	6	45	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	6	46	persons	person	NOUN
cpos-37	6	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	7	1	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	7	2	public	public	ADJ
cpos-37	7	3	debate	debate	NOUN
cpos-37	7	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	7	5	academic	academic	ADJ
cpos-37	7	6	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	7	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	7	8	europe	europe	PROPN
cpos-37	7	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	7	10	largely	largely	ADV
cpos-37	7	11	focused	focus	VERB
cpos-37	7	12	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	7	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	7	14	socio	socio	NOUN
cpos-37	7	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	7	16	political	political	ADJ
cpos-37	7	17	consequences	consequence	NOUN
cpos-37	7	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	7	19	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	7	20	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	7	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	8	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	8	2	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-37	8	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	8	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	8	5	focus	focus	NOUN
cpos-37	8	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	8	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	8	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	8	9	problem	problem	NOUN
cpos-37	8	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	8	11	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	8	12	nancing	nance	VERB
cpos-37	8	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	8	14	statutory	statutory	ADJ
cpos-37	8	15	pension	pension	NOUN
cpos-37	8	16	insurance	insurance	NOUN
cpos-37	8	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	8	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	8	19	led	lead	VERB
cpos-37	8	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	8	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	8	22	negative	negative	ADJ
cpos-37	8	23	sound	sound	NOUN
cpos-37	8	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	8	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	8	26	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	8	27	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	8	28	aging	age	VERB
cpos-37	8	29	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	8	30	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	8	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	1	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	9	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	9	4	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-37	9	5	aspect	aspect	NOUN
cpos-37	9	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	9	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	9	8	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	9	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	9	10	forgotten	forget	VERB
cpos-37	9	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	12	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	9	13	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	9	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	9	15	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	9	16	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	9	17	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	9	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	9	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	9	20	longer	long	ADV
cpos-37	9	21	active	active	ADJ
cpos-37	9	22	lifespan	lifespan	NOUN
cpos-37	9	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	24	schnabel	schnabel	PROPN
cpos-37	9	25	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	9	26	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	9	27	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	9	28	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	9	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	30	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	9	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	9	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	1	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-37	10	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	10	3	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-37	10	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	5	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-37	10	6	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	10	7	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	NOUN
cpos-37	10	8	vol	vol	NOUN
cpos-37	10	9	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	10	10	36	36	NUM
cpos-37	10	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	12	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	10	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	14	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	10	15	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	16	769	769	NUM
cpos-37	10	17	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	10	18	806	806	NUM
cpos-37	10	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	20	date	date	NOUN
cpos-37	10	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	10	22	release	release	NOUN
cpos-37	10	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	10	24	01.11.2012	01.11.2012	NUM
cpos-37	10	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	1	©	©	PROPN
cpos-37	11	2	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	11	3	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-37	11	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	11	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	11	6	research	research	PROPN
cpos-37	11	7	2012	2012	NUM
cpos-37	11	8	url	url	NOUN
cpos-37	11	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	10	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	NOUN
cpos-37	11	11	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	11	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	13	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	ADJ
cpos-37	11	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	15	21en	21en	ADJ
cpos-37	11	16	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-37	11	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	18	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-37	11	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	20	nbn	nbn	PROPN
cpos-37	11	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	22	de	de	ADJ
cpos-37	11	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	24	bib	bib	ADJ
cpos-37	11	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	26	cpos-2011	cpos-2011	VERB
cpos-37	11	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	28	21en4	21en4	NUM
cpos-37	11	29	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	11	30	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	11	31	deschermeier770	deschermeier770	PROPN
cpos-37	11	32	rising	rise	VERB
cpos-37	11	33	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	11	34	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	11	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	36	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	11	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	11	38	above	above	ADJ
cpos-37	11	39	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	40	average	average	NOUN
cpos-37	11	41	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-37	11	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	11	43	the	the	DET
cpos-37	11	44	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	11	45	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	11	46	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	11	47	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	11	48	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	49	along	along	ADP
cpos-37	11	50	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	11	51	continuous	continuous	ADJ
cpos-37	11	52	low	low	ADJ
cpos-37	11	53	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	11	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	55	brings	bring	VERB
cpos-37	11	56	about	about	ADV
cpos-37	11	57	far	far	ADV
cpos-37	11	58	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	11	59	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-37	11	60	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-37	11	61	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	11	62	the	the	DET
cpos-37	11	63	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	11	64	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	11	65	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	12	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-37	12	2	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	12	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	12	4	national	national	ADJ
cpos-37	12	5	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	12	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	12	7	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	12	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	12	9	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-37	12	10	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-37	12	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	12	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	12	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	12	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	12	15	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	12	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	12	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	12	18	coming	come	VERB
cpos-37	12	19	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	12	20	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	12	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	12	22	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	12	23	81	81	NUM
cpos-37	12	24	million	million	NUM
cpos-37	12	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	12	26	approx	approx	PROPN
cpos-37	12	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	13	1	77	77	NUM
cpos-37	13	2	to	to	PART
cpos-37	13	3	79	79	NUM
cpos-37	13	4	million	million	NUM
cpos-37	13	5	inhabitants	inhabitant	NOUN
cpos-37	13	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	1	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	14	3	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	14	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	14	5	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	14	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	14	7	working	work	VERB
cpos-37	14	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	14	9	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	14	10	drop	drop	VERB
cpos-37	14	11	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	14	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	13	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	14	14	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	14	15	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	14	16	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	17	fuchs	fuchs	PROPN
cpos-37	14	18	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	14	19	dörfl	dörfl	ADJ
cpos-37	14	20	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	14	21	2005a	2005a	NUM
cpos-37	14	22	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	14	23	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	14	24	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	25	börsch	börsch	NOUN
cpos-37	14	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	27	supan	supan	NOUN
cpos-37	14	28	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	14	29	wilke	wilke	PROPN
cpos-37	14	30	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	14	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	14	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-37	15	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	15	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	5	coming	come	VERB
cpos-37	15	6	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-37	15	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	8	society	society	NOUN
cpos-37	15	9	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	15	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	15	11	faced	face	VERB
cpos-37	15	12	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	15	13	a	a	DET
cpos-37	15	14	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-37	15	15	macro	macro	ADJ
cpos-37	15	16	-	-	ADJ
cpos-37	15	17	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	15	18	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-37	15	19	transformation	transformation	NOUN
cpos-37	15	20	affecting	affect	VERB
cpos-37	15	21	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	15	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	15	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	24	important	important	ADJ
cpos-37	15	25	markets	market	NOUN
cpos-37	15	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	28	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-37	15	29	market	market	NOUN
cpos-37	15	30	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	15	31	lack	lack	VERB
cpos-37	15	32	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	15	33	workers	worker	NOUN
cpos-37	15	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	36	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	15	37	markets	market	NOUN
cpos-37	15	38	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	15	39	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	15	40	to	to	PART
cpos-37	15	41	adjust	adjust	VERB
cpos-37	15	42	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	15	43	structurally	structurally	ADV
cpos-37	15	44	changed	change	VERB
cpos-37	15	45	consumer	consumer	NOUN
cpos-37	15	46	demands	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	15	47	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	15	48	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	15	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	50	capital	capital	NOUN
cpos-37	15	51	market	market	NOUN
cpos-37	15	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	53	savings	saving	NOUN
cpos-37	15	54	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-37	15	55	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	15	56	the	the	DET
cpos-37	15	57	demand	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	15	58	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	15	59	productive	productive	ADJ
cpos-37	15	60	investments	investment	NOUN
cpos-37	15	61	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	15	62	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	15	63	changing	change	VERB
cpos-37	15	64	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	65	börsch	börsch	NOUN
cpos-37	15	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	67	supan	supan	NOUN
cpos-37	15	68	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	15	69	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	15	70	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	16	1	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	16	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	16	3	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	16	4	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	16	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	16	6	numbers	number	NOUN
cpos-37	16	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	16	8	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	16	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	16	10	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	16	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	16	12	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	16	13	diverge	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	16	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	16	15	a	a	DET
cpos-37	16	16	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	16	17	degree	degree	NOUN
cpos-37	16	18	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	16	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	16	20	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	16	21	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	16	22	conditions	condition	NOUN
cpos-37	16	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	16	24	so	so	SCONJ
cpos-37	16	25	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	16	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	16	27	consequences	consequence	NOUN
cpos-37	16	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	16	29	demand	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	16	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	16	31	goods	good	NOUN
cpos-37	16	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	16	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	16	34	housing	housing	NOUN
cpos-37	16	35	market	market	NOUN
cpos-37	16	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	16	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	16	38	supply	supply	NOUN
cpos-37	16	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	16	40	workers	worker	NOUN
cpos-37	16	41	deviating	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	16	42	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	16	43	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	16	44	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	16	45	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	16	46	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	16	47	result	result	VERB
cpos-37	16	48	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	16	49	a	a	DET
cpos-37	16	50	growing	grow	VERB
cpos-37	16	51	need	need	NOUN
cpos-37	16	52	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	16	53	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	16	54	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	16	55	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	16	56	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	16	57	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
cpos-37	16	58	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-37	16	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	16	60	making	make	VERB
cpos-37	16	61	bases	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	16	62	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	16	63	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	16	64	planning	planning	NOUN
cpos-37	16	65	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	17	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	17	2	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-37	17	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	17	4	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	17	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	17	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	17	7	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	17	8	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	17	9	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	17	10	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	17	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	17	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	17	13	becoming	become	VERB
cpos-37	17	14	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
cpos-37	17	15	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-37	17	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	18	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	18	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	18	3	these	these	DET
cpos-37	18	4	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	18	5	require	require	VERB
cpos-37	18	6	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	18	7	long	long	ADJ
cpos-37	18	8	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	18	9	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	18	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	18	11	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	18	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	18	13	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	18	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	18	15	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	18	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	18	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	18	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	18	19	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	18	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	18	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	18	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	18	23	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	18	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	18	25	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	18	26	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	18	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	18	28	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	18	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	18	30	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	18	31	not	not	PART
cpos-37	18	32	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	18	33	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	18	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	18	35	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	18	36	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	18	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	19	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	19	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	19	3	stochastic	stochastic	NOUN
cpos-37	19	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	19	5	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	19	6	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	19	7	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	19	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	19	9	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-37	19	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	19	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	19	12	national	national	ADJ
cpos-37	19	13	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	19	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	20	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	20	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	20	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	20	4	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	20	5	required	require	VERB
cpos-37	20	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	20	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	20	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	20	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	20	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	20	11	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	20	12	processed	process	VERB
cpos-37	20	13	differently	differently	ADV
cpos-37	20	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	20	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	20	16	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	20	17	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	20	18	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	20	19	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	20	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	20	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	20	22	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	20	23	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	20	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	21	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	21	2	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-37	21	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	21	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	21	5	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	21	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	21	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	21	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	21	9	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	21	10	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	21	11	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	21	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	21	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	21	14	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	21	15	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	21	16	deviates	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	21	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	21	18	making	make	VERB
cpos-37	21	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	21	20	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	21	21	diffi	diffi	PROPN
cpos-37	21	22	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-37	21	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	21	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	21	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	21	26	especially	especially	ADV
cpos-37	21	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	21	28	polycentric	polycentric	ADJ
cpos-37	21	29	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	21	30	areas	area	NOUN
cpos-37	21	31	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	21	32	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	21	33	located	locate	VERB
cpos-37	21	34	across	across	ADP
cpos-37	21	35	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	21	36	state	state	NOUN
cpos-37	21	37	borders	border	NOUN
cpos-37	21	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	22	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	22	2	article	article	NOUN
cpos-37	22	3	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-37	22	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	22	5	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	22	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	22	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	22	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	22	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	22	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	22	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	22	12	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	22	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	22	14	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	22	15	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	22	16	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	22	17	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	22	18	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	22	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	22	20	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	22	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	22	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	22	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	22	24	up	up	ADP
cpos-37	22	25	to	to	PART
cpos-37	22	26	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	22	27	+	+	NUM
cpos-37	22	28	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	22	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	22	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	22	31	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	22	32	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	22	33	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	22	34	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	22	35	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	22	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	23	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	23	2	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	23	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	23	4	situated	situate	VERB
cpos-37	23	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	23	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	23	7	intersection	intersection	NOUN
cpos-37	23	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	23	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	23	10	three	three	NUM
cpos-37	23	11	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	23	12	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	23	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	23	14	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	23	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	23	16	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	23	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	23	18	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	23	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	23	20	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	23	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	23	22	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	23	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	23	24	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	23	25	a	a	DET
cpos-37	23	26	growing	grow	VERB
cpos-37	23	27	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	23	28	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	23	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	1	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	24	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	24	3	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	24	4	hand	hand	NOUN
cpos-37	24	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	6	its	its	PRON
cpos-37	24	7	socio	socio	NOUN
cpos-37	24	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	9	cultural	cultural	ADJ
cpos-37	24	10	connections	connection	NOUN
cpos-37	24	11	reach	reach	VERB
cpos-37	24	12	far	far	ADV
cpos-37	24	13	back	back	ADV
cpos-37	24	14	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	24	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	24	16	past	past	NOUN
cpos-37	24	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	18	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-37	24	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	24	20	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	24	21	formed	form	VERB
cpos-37	24	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	24	23	territorial	territorial	ADJ
cpos-37	24	24	unit	unit	NOUN
cpos-37	24	25	called	call	VERB
cpos-37	24	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	24	27	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	28	electoral	electoral	ADJ
cpos-37	24	29	palatinate	palatinate	NOUN
cpos-37	24	30	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	24	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	1	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	25	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	25	3	other	other	ADJ
cpos-37	25	4	hand	hand	NOUN
cpos-37	25	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	6	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	25	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	25	8	1970s	1970	NOUN
cpos-37	25	9	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	25	10	ties	tie	NOUN
cpos-37	25	11	have	have	AUX
cpos-37	25	12	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-37	25	13	across	across	ADP
cpos-37	25	14	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	25	15	state	state	NOUN
cpos-37	25	16	borders	border	NOUN
cpos-37	25	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	25	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	25	20	associated	associate	VERB
cpos-37	25	21	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	25	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	25	23	initiative	initiative	NOUN
cpos-37	25	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	25	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	25	26	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	27	rhine	rhine	NOUN
cpos-37	25	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	29	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	25	30	triangle	triangle	NOUN
cpos-37	25	31	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	33	lowack	lowack	PROPN
cpos-37	25	34	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	25	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	36	132	132	NUM
cpos-37	25	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	25	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	26	2	three	three	NUM
cpos-37	26	3	centrally	centrally	ADV
cpos-37	26	4	located	locate	VERB
cpos-37	26	5	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	26	6	metropolises	metropolis	NOUN
cpos-37	26	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	26	8	mannheim	mannheim	PROPN
cpos-37	26	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	10	heidelberg	heidelberg	NOUN
cpos-37	26	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	26	12	ludwigshafen	ludwigshafen	NOUN
cpos-37	26	13	shape	shape	NOUN
cpos-37	26	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	26	15	polycentric	polycentric	ADJ
cpos-37	26	16	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	26	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	26	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	26	19	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	26	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	21	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	26	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	26	24	about	about	ADV
cpos-37	26	25	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-37	26	26	million	million	NUM
cpos-37	26	27	inhabitants	inhabitant	NOUN
cpos-37	26	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	29	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	26	30	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	26	31	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	26	32	seventh	seventh	ADV
cpos-37	26	33	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	26	34	largest	large	ADJ
cpos-37	26	35	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	26	36	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	26	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	27	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	27	2	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	27	3	stretches	stretch	VERB
cpos-37	27	4	across	across	ADP
cpos-37	27	5	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	27	6	rural	rural	ADJ
cpos-37	27	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	27	8	urban	urban	ADJ
cpos-37	27	9	districts	district	NOUN
cpos-37	27	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	1	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	28	2	areas	area	NOUN
cpos-37	28	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	28	4	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-37	28	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	6	engines	engine	NOUN
cpos-37	28	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	28	8	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	28	9	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	28	10	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	12	translated	translate	VERB
cpos-37	28	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	28	14	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-37	28	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	16	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	28	17	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	28	18	bauwesen	bauwesen	VERB
cpos-37	28	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	20	raumordnung	raumordnung	VERB
cpos-37	28	21	und	und	VERB
cpos-37	28	22	städtebau	städtebau	NOUN
cpos-37	28	23	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	28	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	28	26	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	28	27	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	28	28	stimuli	stimuli	VERB
cpos-37	28	29	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	28	30	emanate	emanate	VERB
cpos-37	28	31	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	28	32	structurally	structurally	ADV
cpos-37	28	33	weaker	weak	ADJ
cpos-37	28	34	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	28	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	29	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	3	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	29	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	29	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	29	6	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	29	7	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-37	29	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	29	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	29	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	11	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	29	12	compete	compete	VERB
cpos-37	29	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	29	14	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	29	15	another	another	DET
cpos-37	29	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	17	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	29	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	29	19	highly	highly	ADV
cpos-37	29	20	skilled	skilled	ADJ
cpos-37	29	21	workers	worker	NOUN
cpos-37	29	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	23	klein	klein	PROPN
cpos-37	29	24	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	29	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	26	44	44	NUM
cpos-37	29	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	29	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	30	2	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	3	war	war	NOUN
cpos-37	30	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	30	5	talent	talent	NOUN
cpos-37	30	6	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	8	translated	translate	VERB
cpos-37	30	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	30	10	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-37	30	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	12	chambers	chamber	NOUN
cpos-37	30	13	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	30	14	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	30	15	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	30	16	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-37	30	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	18	1	1	X
cpos-37	30	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	20	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	30	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	30	22	signifi	signifi	NOUN
cpos-37	30	23	cance	cance	NOUN
cpos-37	30	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	30	25	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	30	26	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	30	27	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	30	28	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	30	29	help	help	VERB
cpos-37	30	30	to	to	PART
cpos-37	30	31	identify	identify	VERB
cpos-37	30	32	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	30	33	bottlenecks	bottleneck	NOUN
cpos-37	30	34	early	early	ADV
cpos-37	30	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	30	36	enable	enable	VERB
cpos-37	30	37	a	a	DET
cpos-37	30	38	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	30	39	response	response	NOUN
cpos-37	30	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	41	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	30	42	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	30	43	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	30	44	educational	educational	ADJ
cpos-37	30	45	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	30	46	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	30	47	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	30	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	30	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	30	50	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	30	51	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	52	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	30	53	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	30	54	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	30	55	•	•	ADP
cpos-37	30	56	771	771	NUM
cpos-37	30	57	advanced	advanced	ADJ
cpos-37	30	58	training	training	NOUN
cpos-37	30	59	programmes	programme	NOUN
cpos-37	30	60	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	61	gans	gans	PROPN
cpos-37	30	62	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	30	63	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	30	64	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	30	65	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	30	66	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	67	118	118	NUM
cpos-37	30	68	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	30	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	31	2	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	31	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	4	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	31	5	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	31	6	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	31	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	31	8	integrating	integrate	VERB
cpos-37	31	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	31	10	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	31	11	challenges	challenge	NOUN
cpos-37	31	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	31	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	31	14	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	31	15	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cpos-37	31	16	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	31	18	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	31	19	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	20	via	via	ADP
cpos-37	31	21	a	a	DET
cpos-37	31	22	network	network	NOUN
cpos-37	31	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	31	24	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	31	25	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-37	31	26	makers	maker	NOUN
cpos-37	31	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	31	29	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	30	lenkungskreis	lenkungskreis	NOUN
cpos-37	31	31	demographie	demographie	NOUN
cpos-37	31	32	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	34	translated	translate	VERB
cpos-37	31	35	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	31	36	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-37	31	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	38	metropolregion	metropolregion	NOUN
cpos-37	31	39	rhein	rhein	NOUN
cpos-37	31	40	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	41	neckar	neckar	NOUN
cpos-37	31	42	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	31	43	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	44	26	26	NUM
cpos-37	31	45	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	31	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	32	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	32	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	32	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	32	4	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	32	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	32	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	32	7	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	32	8	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-37	32	9	uses	use	VERB
cpos-37	32	10	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	32	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	32	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	32	13	an	an	DET
cpos-37	32	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	32	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	32	16	depth	depth	NOUN
cpos-37	32	17	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	32	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	32	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	32	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	32	21	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	32	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	32	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	32	24	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	32	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	32	26	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	32	27	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	32	28	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	32	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	33	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	33	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	33	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	33	4	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	33	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	33	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	33	7	idea	idea	NOUN
cpos-37	33	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	33	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	33	10	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	33	11	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	33	12	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	33	13	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	33	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	33	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	33	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	33	17	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	33	18	individually	individually	ADV
cpos-37	33	19	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	33	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	33	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	33	22	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	33	23	follows	follow	VERB
cpos-37	33	24	a	a	DET
cpos-37	33	25	measurable	measurable	ADJ
cpos-37	33	26	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	33	27	context	context	NOUN
cpos-37	33	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	34	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	34	2	objective	objective	NOUN
cpos-37	34	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	34	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	34	5	study	study	NOUN
cpos-37	34	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	34	7	to	to	PART
cpos-37	34	8	estimate	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	34	9	these	these	PRON
cpos-37	34	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	34	11	utilise	utilise	VERB
cpos-37	34	12	them	they	PRON
cpos-37	34	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	34	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	34	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	35	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	35	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	35	3	way	way	NOUN
cpos-37	35	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	35	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	35	6	differently	differently	ADV
cpos-37	35	7	structured	structure	VERB
cpos-37	35	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	35	9	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	35	10	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	35	11	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	35	12	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-37	35	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	35	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	35	15	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	35	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	35	17	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	35	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	35	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	35	20	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	35	21	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	35	22	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	35	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	35	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	35	25	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	35	26	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	35	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	35	28	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	35	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	35	30	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	35	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	35	32	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	35	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	35	34	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	35	35	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	35	36	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	35	37	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	35	38	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	35	39	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	35	40	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	35	41	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	35	42	study	study	NOUN
cpos-37	35	43	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	35	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	35	45	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	35	46	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	35	47	a	a	DET
cpos-37	35	48	total	total	ADJ
cpos-37	35	49	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	35	50	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	36	1	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	36	2	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	36	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	36	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	36	5	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	36	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	36	7	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	36	8	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	36	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	36	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	36	11	chapter	chapter	NOUN
cpos-37	36	12	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	36	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	36	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	36	15	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	36	16	reproduce	reproduce	VERB
cpos-37	36	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	36	18	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	36	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	36	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	36	21	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	36	22	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	36	23	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	36	24	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	36	25	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	36	26	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	36	27	precisely	precisely	ADV
cpos-37	36	28	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	36	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	36	30	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	36	31	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	36	32	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	36	33	technique	technique	NOUN
cpos-37	36	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	37	1	chapter	chapter	NOUN
cpos-37	37	2	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	37	3	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	37	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	37	5	advantages	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	37	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	37	7	this	this	DET
cpos-37	37	8	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	37	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	37	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	37	11	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	37	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	37	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	37	14	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	37	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	37	16	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	37	17	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	37	18	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	37	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	37	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	37	21	chapter	chapter	NOUN
cpos-37	37	22	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	37	23	concludes	conclude	VERB
cpos-37	37	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	37	25	an	an	DET
cpos-37	37	26	outlook	outlook	NOUN
cpos-37	37	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	38	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	38	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	38	3	forecasts	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	38	4	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	38	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	38	6	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-37	38	7	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-37	38	8	to	to	PART
cpos-37	38	9	foresee	foresee	VERB
cpos-37	38	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	38	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	38	12	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	38	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	38	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	38	15	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	38	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	38	17	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	38	18	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	38	19	are	be	VERB
cpos-37	38	20	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	38	21	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	38	22	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	38	23	courses	course	NOUN
cpos-37	38	24	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	38	25	could	could	AUX
cpos-37	38	26	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	38	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	39	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	39	2	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-37	39	3	differentiates	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	39	4	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	39	5	methodological	methodological	ADJ
cpos-37	39	6	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	39	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	39	8	dealing	deal	VERB
cpos-37	39	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	39	10	this	this	DET
cpos-37	39	11	challenge	challenge	NOUN
cpos-37	39	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	40	2	traditional	traditional	ADJ
cpos-37	40	3	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	40	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	40	5	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	40	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	40	8	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-37	40	9	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	40	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	40	11	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	40	12	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	40	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	40	14	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	40	15	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-37	40	16	statisticians	statistician	NOUN
cpos-37	40	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	18	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	40	19	portray	portray	VERB
cpos-37	40	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	40	21	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	40	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	40	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	40	24	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	40	25	without	without	ADP
cpos-37	40	26	precise	precise	ADJ
cpos-37	40	27	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	40	28	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	40	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	40	30	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	40	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	40	32	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	40	33	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	40	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	35	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	40	36	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	40	37	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	40	38	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-37	40	39	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	40	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	40	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	40	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	41	1	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	41	2	possibility	possibility	NOUN
cpos-37	41	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	41	4	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	41	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	41	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	41	7	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	41	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	41	9	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
cpos-37	41	10	extrapolation	extrapolation	NOUN
cpos-37	41	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	41	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	41	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	41	14	analyse	analyse	VERB
cpos-37	41	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	41	16	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	41	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	41	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	41	19	past	past	NOUN
cpos-37	41	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	41	21	update	update	VERB
cpos-37	41	22	them	they	PRON
cpos-37	41	23	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	41	24	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-37	41	25	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	41	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	42	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	42	2	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	42	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	42	4	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-37	42	5	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	42	6	might	might	AUX
cpos-37	42	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	42	8	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	42	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	42	10	largescale	largescale	ADJ
cpos-37	42	11	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	42	12	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	42	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	42	14	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	42	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	42	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	42	17	global	global	ADJ
cpos-37	42	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	42	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	42	20	o’neill	o’neill	INTJ
cpos-37	42	21	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	42	22	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	42	23	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	42	24	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	42	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	42	26	207	207	NUM
cpos-37	42	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	42	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	43	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	43	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	43	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	43	4	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	43	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	43	6	less	less	ADV
cpos-37	43	7	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	43	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	43	9	modelling	modelling	NOUN
cpos-37	43	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	43	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	43	12	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	43	13	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	43	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	43	15	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-37	43	16	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	43	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	43	18	marked	mark	VERB
cpos-37	43	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	43	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	43	21	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-37	43	22	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
cpos-37	43	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	43	24	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	43	25	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	43	26	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	43	27	movements	movement	NOUN
cpos-37	43	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	44	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	44	2	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	44	3	to	to	PART
cpos-37	44	4	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	44	5	these	these	DET
cpos-37	44	6	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-37	44	7	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	44	8	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-37	44	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	44	10	conventional	conventional	ADJ
cpos-37	44	11	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	44	12	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	44	13	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	44	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	44	15	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	44	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	44	17	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	44	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	44	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	44	20	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	44	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	44	22	bähr	bähr	NOUN
cpos-37	44	23	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	44	24	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	44	25	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	44	26	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	44	27	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	44	28	327	327	NUM
cpos-37	44	29	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	44	30	bt	bt	NOUN
cpos-37	44	31	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	44	32	bt-1	bt-1	ADP
cpos-37	44	33	+	+	CCONJ
cpos-37	44	34	gt-1,t	gt-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	44	35	st-1,t	st-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	44	36	+	+	CCONJ
cpos-37	44	37	mt-1,t	mt-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	44	38	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	44	39	bt	bt	NOUN
cpos-37	45	1	=	=	VERB
cpos-37	45	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	45	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	45	4	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	45	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	45	6	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	45	7	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	45	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	9	bt-1	bt-1	ADP
cpos-37	45	10	=	=	VERB
cpos-37	45	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	45	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	45	13	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	45	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	45	15	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	45	16	t-1	t-1	PROPN
cpos-37	45	17	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	18	gt-1,t	gt-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	45	19	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	45	20	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	45	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	22	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	45	23	t-1	t-1	PROPN
cpos-37	45	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	45	25	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	45	26	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	27	st-1,t	st-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	45	28	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	45	29	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	45	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	31	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	45	32	t-1	t-1	PROPN
cpos-37	45	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	45	34	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	45	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	45	36	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	45	37	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	45	38	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	45	39	mt-1,t	mt-1,t	NOUN
cpos-37	45	40	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	45	41	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	45	42	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	45	43	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	45	44	t-1	t-1	PROPN
cpos-37	45	45	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	45	46	t.	t.	PROPN
cpos-37	45	47	•	•	PROPN
cpos-37	45	48	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	45	49	deschermeier772	deschermeier772	PROPN
cpos-37	46	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	46	2	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	46	3	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	46	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	46	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	46	6	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	46	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	46	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	46	9	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	46	10	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	46	11	an	an	DET
cpos-37	46	12	initial	initial	ADJ
cpos-37	46	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	46	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	46	15	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	46	16	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	46	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	46	18	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	46	19	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-37	46	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	46	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	46	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	46	25	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	46	26	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	46	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	29	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	46	30	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	46	31	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	46	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	33	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	46	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	46	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	47	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	47	2	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	47	3	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	47	4	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	47	5	differentiates	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	47	6	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	47	7	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	47	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	47	9	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	47	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	47	11	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-37	47	12	views	view	VERB
cpos-37	47	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	47	14	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	47	15	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	47	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	47	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	47	18	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
cpos-37	47	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	48	2	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	48	3	to	to	PART
cpos-37	48	4	make	make	VERB
cpos-37	48	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	48	6	diverse	diverse	ADJ
cpos-37	48	7	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-37	48	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	48	9	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	48	10	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	48	11	visible	visible	ADJ
cpos-37	48	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	48	14	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	48	15	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	48	16	must	must	AUX
cpos-37	48	17	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	48	18	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	48	19	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	48	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	48	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	48	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	23	x	x	SYM
cpos-37	48	24	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	48	25	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	48	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	48	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	29	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	48	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	31	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	33	k-1	k-1	PROPN
cpos-37	48	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	35	k	k	NOUN
cpos-37	48	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	48	38	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	48	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	40	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	48	41	=	=	NOUN
cpos-37	48	42	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	48	43	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	48	44	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	48	45	=	=	NOUN
cpos-37	48	46	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	48	47	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	48	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	48	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	48	50	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	48	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	49	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	2	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	49	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	49	4	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	49	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	49	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	7	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	49	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	49	9	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	49	10	result	result	VERB
cpos-37	49	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	49	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	13	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	49	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	49	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	16	underlying	underlie	VERB
cpos-37	49	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	49	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	49	19	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	49	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	21	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	49	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	49	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	49	24	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-37	49	25	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	49	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	50	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	50	2	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	50	3	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	50	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	50	5	a	a	DET
cpos-37	50	6	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	50	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	50	8	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	50	9	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	50	10	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	50	11	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	50	12	ve	ve	NOUN
cpos-37	50	13	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	50	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	50	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	50	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	50	17	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	50	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	50	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	50	20	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	50	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	50	22	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	50	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	50	24	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	50	25	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	50	26	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	50	27	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	50	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	50	29	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	50	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	50	31	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	50	32	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	50	33	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	50	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	51	3	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	51	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	51	5	formalises	formalise	VERB
cpos-37	51	6	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	51	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	51	8	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	51	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	10	index	index	NOUN
cpos-37	51	11	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	12	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	51	13	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	51	16	a	a	DET
cpos-37	51	17	matrix	matrix	NOUN
cpos-37	51	18	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	51	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	20	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	51	21	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	51	22	tuljapurkar	tuljapurkar	NOUN
cpos-37	51	23	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	51	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	25	1178	1178	NUM
cpos-37	51	26	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	27	respectively	respectively	ADV
cpos-37	51	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	29	pfl	pfl	ADJ
cpos-37	51	30	aumer	aumer	NOUN
cpos-37	51	31	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	51	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	33	136	136	NUM
cpos-37	51	34	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	37	female	female	NOUN
cpos-37	51	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	39	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	51	40	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	41	a	a	DET
cpos-37	51	42	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-37	51	43	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	51	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	45	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	51	46	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	48	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	49	ensuing	ensue	VERB
cpos-37	51	50	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	51	51	t+1	t+1	PROPN
cpos-37	51	52	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	51	53	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	51	54	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	51	55	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	56	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-37	51	57	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	51	58	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	59	a	a	DET
cpos-37	51	60	line	line	NOUN
cpos-37	51	61	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	62	matrix	matrix	NOUN
cpos-37	51	63	ω	ω	PROPN
cpos-37	51	64	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	65	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	51	66	rate	rate	PROPN
cpos-37	51	67	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-37	51	68	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	69	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	51	70	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	51	71	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	51	72	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	51	73	fx	fx	PROPN
cpos-37	51	74	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	75	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	51	76	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	77	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	51	78	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	79	column	column	NOUN
cpos-37	51	80	vector	vector	NOUN
cpos-37	51	81	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	82	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	83	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	51	84	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	51	85	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	51	86	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	51	87	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	51	88	t.	t.	PROPN
cpos-37	51	89	parameter	parameter	PROPN
cpos-37	51	90	v	v	X
cpos-37	51	91	quantifi	quantifi	NOUN
cpos-37	51	92	es	es	ADP
cpos-37	51	93	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	94	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-37	51	95	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	96	newborn	newborn	ADJ
cpos-37	51	97	females	female	NOUN
cpos-37	51	98	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	51	99	αx	αx	X
cpos-37	51	100	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	101	t	t	VERB
cpos-37	51	102	the	the	DET
cpos-37	51	103	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	51	104	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	51	105	survival	survival	NOUN
cpos-37	51	106	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	107	defi	defi	NOUN
cpos-37	51	108	ned	ne	VERB
cpos-37	51	109	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	51	110	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	111	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	51	112	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	51	113	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-37	51	114	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	115	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	51	116	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	51	117	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	52	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	52	2	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	52	3	supplies	supply	VERB
cpos-37	52	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	52	5	vector	vector	NOUN
cpos-37	52	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	52	7	natural	natural	ADJ
cpos-37	52	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	52	9	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	52	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	53	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	53	2	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	53	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	53	4	newborns	newborn	NOUN
cpos-37	53	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	53	6	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	53	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	53	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	53	9	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-37	53	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	53	11	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	53	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	53	13	childbearing	childbeare	VERB
cpos-37	53	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	53	15	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-37	53	16	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	53	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	53	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	53	19	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	53	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	54	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	54	2	value	value	NOUN
cpos-37	54	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	54	4	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	54	5	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	54	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	54	7	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	54	8	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	54	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	54	10	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	54	11	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-37	54	12	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	54	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	54	14	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	54	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	54	16	surviving	survive	VERB
cpos-37	54	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	54	18	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	54	19	rst	rst	NOUN
cpos-37	54	20	six	six	NUM
cpos-37	54	21	months	month	NOUN
cpos-37	54	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	54	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	54	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	54	25	α*,t	α*,t	ADJ
cpos-37	54	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	54	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	55	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	55	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	55	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	55	4	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	55	5	t+1	t+1	PROPN
cpos-37	55	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	55	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	55	8	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	55	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	55	10	adding	add	VERB
cpos-37	55	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	55	12	vector	vector	NOUN
cpos-37	55	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	55	14	natural	natural	ADJ
cpos-37	55	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	55	16	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	55	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	55	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	55	19	vector	vector	NOUN
cpos-37	55	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	55	21	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	55	22	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	55	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	56	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	56	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	56	3	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	56	4	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	56	5	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	56	6	examines	examine	VERB
cpos-37	56	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	56	8	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	56	9	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	56	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	56	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	56	12	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	56	13	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	56	14	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	56	15	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-37	56	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	56	17	differentiates	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	56	18	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	56	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	56	20	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	56	21	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	56	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	56	23	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	56	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	56	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	56	26	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	56	27	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	56	28	precisely	precisely	ADV
cpos-37	56	29	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	56	30	those	those	DET
cpos-37	56	31	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	56	32	uences	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	56	33	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	56	34	affect	affect	VERB
cpos-37	56	35	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	56	36	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	56	37	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	56	38	ranges	range	NOUN
cpos-37	56	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	57	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	57	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	57	4	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	57	5	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	57	6	early	early	ADV
cpos-37	57	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	57	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	57	9	1920s	1920s	NUM
cpos-37	57	10	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	57	11	whelpton	whelpton	PROPN
cpos-37	57	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	13	1928	1928	NUM
cpos-37	57	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	15	to	to	PART
cpos-37	57	16	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	57	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	57	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	57	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	57	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	57	21	united	united	PROPN
cpos-37	57	22	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	57	23	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	57	24	1925	1925	NUM
cpos-37	57	25	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	57	26	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-37	57	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	28	bähr	bähr	PROPN
cpos-37	57	29	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	57	30	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	57	31	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	57	32	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	57	33	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	34	500	500	NUM
cpos-37	57	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	57	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	58	1	today	today	NOUN
cpos-37	58	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	58	3	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	58	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	58	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	58	6	standard	standard	ADJ
cpos-37	58	7	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	58	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	58	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	58	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	58	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	58	12	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	58	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	58	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	58	15	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	58	16	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	58	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	58	18	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	58	19	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	58	20	ces	ces	X
cpos-37	58	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	58	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	58	23	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	58	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	58	25	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	58	26	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	58	27	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	58	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	58	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	59	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	59	2	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	59	3	to	to	PART
cpos-37	59	4	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	59	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	59	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	59	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	59	8	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	59	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	59	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	59	11	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	59	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	59	13	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	59	14	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	59	15	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	59	16	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	59	17	773	773	NUM
cpos-37	59	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	59	19	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	59	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	59	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	59	22	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	59	23	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	59	24	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	59	25	account	account	NOUN
cpos-37	59	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	59	27	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	59	28	progressions	progression	NOUN
cpos-37	59	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	59	30	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	59	31	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	59	32	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	59	33	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	59	34	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	59	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	59	36	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	59	37	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	59	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	60	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	60	2	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	60	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	60	4	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	60	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	60	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	60	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	60	8	1998a	1998a	NUM
cpos-37	60	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	60	10	140	140	NUM
cpos-37	60	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	60	12	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	60	13	include	include	VERB
cpos-37	60	14	an	an	DET
cpos-37	60	15	optimistic	optimistic	ADJ
cpos-37	60	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	60	17	a	a	DET
cpos-37	60	18	neutral	neutral	ADJ
cpos-37	60	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	60	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	60	21	pessimistic	pessimistic	ADJ
cpos-37	60	22	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	60	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	61	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-37	61	2	interpreting	interpret	VERB
cpos-37	61	3	these	these	DET
cpos-37	61	4	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	61	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	61	6	a	a	DET
cpos-37	61	7	frequent	frequent	ADJ
cpos-37	61	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	61	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	61	10	to	to	PART
cpos-37	61	11	interpret	interpret	VERB
cpos-37	61	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	61	13	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	61	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	61	15	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	61	16	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	61	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	61	18	pessimistic	pessimistic	ADJ
cpos-37	61	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	61	20	optimistic	optimistic	ADJ
cpos-37	61	21	progression	progression	NOUN
cpos-37	61	22	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	61	23	a	a	DET
cpos-37	61	24	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-37	61	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	61	26	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	61	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	61	28	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-37	61	29	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-37	61	30	1972	1972	NUM
cpos-37	61	31	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	61	32	353	353	NUM
cpos-37	61	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	61	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	1	combining	combine	VERB
cpos-37	62	2	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	62	3	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	62	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	62	5	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	62	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	62	7	seems	seem	VERB
cpos-37	62	8	unsuitable	unsuitable	ADJ
cpos-37	62	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	10	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	62	11	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	62	12	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	62	13	movements	movement	NOUN
cpos-37	62	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	62	15	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-37	62	16	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	62	17	a	a	DET
cpos-37	62	18	major	major	ADJ
cpos-37	62	19	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-37	62	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	62	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	62	22	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	62	23	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	62	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	25	yet	yet	CCONJ
cpos-37	62	26	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	62	27	affl	affl	NOUN
cpos-37	62	28	icted	icte	VERB
cpos-37	62	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	62	30	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	62	31	great	great	ADJ
cpos-37	62	32	uncertainty.1	uncertainty.1	PROPN
cpos-37	62	33	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-37	62	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	62	35	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	62	36	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-37	62	37	bodies	body	NOUN
cpos-37	62	38	have	have	AUX
cpos-37	62	39	been	be	AUX
cpos-37	62	40	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	62	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	62	42	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	62	43	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	62	44	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	62	45	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	62	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	47	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	62	48	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	62	49	not	not	PART
cpos-37	62	50	unproblematic	unproblematic	ADJ
cpos-37	62	51	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	52	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	62	53	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	62	54	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	55	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	62	56	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	62	57	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	62	58	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	62	59	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	60	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-37	62	61	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	62	62	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	62	63	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	62	64	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	62	65	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	62	66	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	63	1	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	63	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	63	3	exception	exception	NOUN
cpos-37	63	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	63	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	63	6	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	63	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	63	8	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	63	9	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	63	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	63	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	63	12	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	63	13	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	63	14	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	63	15	not	not	PART
cpos-37	63	16	say	say	VERB
cpos-37	63	17	anything	anything	PRON
cpos-37	63	18	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	63	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	63	20	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
cpos-37	63	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	63	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	63	23	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	63	24	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	63	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	64	1	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	64	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	64	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	64	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	64	5	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-37	64	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	64	7	enable	enable	VERB
cpos-37	64	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	64	9	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	64	10	cite	cite	VERB
cpos-37	64	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	64	12	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	64	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	64	14	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	64	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	64	16	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	64	17	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-37	64	18	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	64	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	64	20	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	64	21	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	64	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	64	23	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	64	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	65	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	65	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	65	3	valuable	valuable	ADJ
cpos-37	65	4	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-37	65	5	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	65	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	65	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	65	8	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	65	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	65	10	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-37	65	11	consulting	consulting	NOUN
cpos-37	65	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	1	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	66	2	planners	planner	NOUN
cpos-37	66	3	would	would	AUX
cpos-37	66	4	like	like	VERB
cpos-37	66	5	to	to	PART
cpos-37	66	6	know	know	VERB
cpos-37	66	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	66	9	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-37	66	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	11	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	66	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	66	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	66	14	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	66	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	66	16	most	most	ADV
cpos-37	66	17	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-37	66	18	to	to	PART
cpos-37	66	19	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-37	66	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	66	22	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	66	23	to	to	PART
cpos-37	66	24	avoid	avoid	VERB
cpos-37	66	25	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	26	unpleasant	unpleasant	ADJ
cpos-37	66	27	surprises	surprise	NOUN
cpos-37	66	28	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	66	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	66	30	to	to	PART
cpos-37	66	31	draw	draw	VERB
cpos-37	66	32	up	up	ADP
cpos-37	66	33	more	more	ADJ
cpos-37	66	34	concrete	concrete	ADJ
cpos-37	66	35	plans	plan	NOUN
cpos-37	66	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	67	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	67	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	67	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	67	4	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	67	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	67	6	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	67	7	xed	xed	PROPN
cpos-37	67	8	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	67	9	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	67	10	contradicts	contradict	VERB
cpos-37	67	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	67	12	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	67	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	67	14	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	67	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	68	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	68	2	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	68	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	68	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	68	5	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	68	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	68	7	live	live	ADJ
cpos-37	68	8	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	68	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	68	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	68	11	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	68	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	68	13	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	68	14	set	set	VERB
cpos-37	68	15	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	68	16	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-37	68	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	68	18	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	68	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	68	20	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	68	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	68	22	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	68	23	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	68	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	68	25	completely	completely	ADV
cpos-37	68	26	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	68	27	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	68	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	68	29	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-37	68	30	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-37	68	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	1	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	69	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	69	3	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	69	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	5	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	69	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	7	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	69	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	69	9	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	69	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	11	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	69	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	69	13	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-37	69	14	arithmetic	arithmetic	ADJ
cpos-37	69	15	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	69	16	to	to	PART
cpos-37	69	17	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	69	18	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	69	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	69	20	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	69	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	69	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	69	23	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	69	24	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	69	25	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-37	69	26	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	69	27	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	69	28	xed	xed	PROPN
cpos-37	69	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	30	perfect	perfect	ADJ
cpos-37	69	31	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
cpos-37	69	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	33	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	69	34	a	a	DET
cpos-37	69	35	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	69	36	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-37	69	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	69	38	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	69	39	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	69	40	deviates	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	69	41	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	69	42	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	69	43	a	a	DET
cpos-37	69	44	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	69	45	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	69	46	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	69	47	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	69	48	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	69	49	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	69	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	69	51	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	69	52	spite	spite	NOUN
cpos-37	69	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	69	54	marginal	marginal	ADJ
cpos-37	69	55	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-37	69	56	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	69	57	the	the	DET
cpos-37	69	58	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	69	59	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-37	69	60	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	70	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	70	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	70	3	perfect	perfect	ADJ
cpos-37	70	4	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
cpos-37	70	5	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	70	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	70	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	70	8	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	70	9	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	70	10	results	result	VERB
cpos-37	70	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	70	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	70	13	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-37	70	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	70	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	70	16	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	70	17	made	make	VERB
cpos-37	70	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	71	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	71	2	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	71	3	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	71	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	71	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	71	6	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	71	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	71	8	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-37	71	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	71	10	arises	arise	VERB
cpos-37	71	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	71	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	71	13	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-37	71	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	71	15	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	71	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	71	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	71	18	low	low	ADJ
cpos-37	71	19	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	71	20	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	71	21	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	71	22	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	71	23	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	71	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	72	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	72	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	72	3	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	72	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	72	5	a	a	DET
cpos-37	72	6	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	72	7	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	72	8	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	72	9	implies	imply	VERB
cpos-37	72	10	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	72	11	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	72	12	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	72	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	72	14	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	72	15	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	72	16	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	72	17	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	72	18	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	72	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	72	20	410	410	NUM
cpos-37	72	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	72	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	73	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	73	2	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
cpos-37	73	3	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	73	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	73	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	73	6	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	73	7	produces	produce	VERB
cpos-37	73	8	inconsistencies	inconsistency	NOUN
cpos-37	73	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	73	10	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	73	11	extreme	extreme	ADJ
cpos-37	73	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	73	13	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	73	14	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	73	15	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	73	16	need	need	AUX
cpos-37	73	17	not	not	PART
cpos-37	73	18	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-37	73	19	result	result	VERB
cpos-37	73	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	73	21	extreme	extreme	ADJ
cpos-37	73	22	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	73	23	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	73	24	another	another	DET
cpos-37	73	25	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	73	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	74	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	74	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	74	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	74	4	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	74	5	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	74	6	always	always	ADV
cpos-37	74	7	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
cpos-37	74	8	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	74	9	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	74	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	74	11	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	74	12	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	74	13	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	74	14	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	74	15	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	74	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	74	17	410	410	NUM
cpos-37	74	18	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	74	19	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	74	20	.	.	X
cpos-37	74	21	a	a	DET
cpos-37	74	22	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	74	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	74	24	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	74	25	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	74	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	74	27	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	74	28	.	.	X
cpos-37	74	29	an	an	DET
cpos-37	74	30	a	a	DET
cpos-37	74	31	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	74	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	74	33	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
cpos-37	74	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	74	35	this	this	DET
cpos-37	74	36	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	74	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	75	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-37	75	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	75	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	75	6	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	75	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	75	8	able	able	ADJ
cpos-37	75	9	to	to	PART
cpos-37	75	10	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	75	11	four	four	NUM
cpos-37	75	12	types	type	NOUN
cpos-37	75	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	75	14	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	75	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	75	16	account	account	NOUN
cpos-37	75	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	18	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	75	19	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	75	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	21	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	75	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	75	23	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	75	24	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	75	25	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	75	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	27	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	75	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	75	29	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	75	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	75	31	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	75	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	75	33	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	75	34	components.2	components.2	NOUN
cpos-37	75	35	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	75	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	37	a	a	DET
cpos-37	75	38	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	75	39	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	75	40	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	75	41	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	75	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	75	43	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-37	75	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	45	interested	interested	ADJ
cpos-37	75	46	readers	reader	NOUN
cpos-37	75	47	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	75	48	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-37	75	49	nd	nd	ADV
cpos-37	75	50	a	a	DET
cpos-37	75	51	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	75	52	portrayal	portrayal	NOUN
cpos-37	75	53	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	75	54	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-37	75	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	75	56	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	75	57	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	75	58	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	75	59	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	75	60	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	75	61	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	75	62	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	75	63	rogers	rogers	PROPN
cpos-37	75	64	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	65	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-37	75	66	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	75	67	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	76	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	76	2	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	76	3	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	76	4	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	76	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	76	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	76	7	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	76	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	76	9	412	412	NUM
cpos-37	76	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	76	11	414	414	NUM
cpos-37	76	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	76	13	contains	contain	VERB
cpos-37	76	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	76	15	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	76	16	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-37	76	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	76	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	76	19	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	76	20	types	type	NOUN
cpos-37	76	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	76	22	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	76	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	77	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	77	2	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	77	3	deschermeier774	deschermeier774	PROPN
cpos-37	77	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	77	5	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	77	6	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	77	7	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	77	8	plays	play	VERB
cpos-37	77	9	merely	merely	ADV
cpos-37	77	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	77	11	minor	minor	ADJ
cpos-37	77	12	role	role	NOUN
cpos-37	77	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	77	14	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-37	77	15	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-37	77	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	77	17	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	77	18	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	77	19	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	77	20	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	77	21	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	77	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	77	23	412	412	NUM
cpos-37	77	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	77	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	78	1	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	78	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	78	3	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	78	4	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	78	5	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	78	6	fulfi	fulfi	VERB
cpos-37	78	7	l	l	NOUN
cpos-37	78	8	these	these	DET
cpos-37	78	9	demands	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	78	10	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	78	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	78	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	78	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	78	14	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-37	78	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	78	16	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	78	17	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	78	18	lie	lie	VERB
cpos-37	78	19	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	78	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	78	21	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	78	22	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	78	23	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	78	24	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	78	25	serves	serve	VERB
cpos-37	78	26	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	78	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	78	28	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-37	78	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	78	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	78	31	anticipated	anticipated	ADJ
cpos-37	78	32	precision	precision	NOUN
cpos-37	78	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	1	three	three	NUM
cpos-37	79	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	79	3	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	79	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	79	5	distinguished	distinguish	VERB
cpos-37	79	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	7	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	79	8	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	79	9	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	79	10	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	79	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	12	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	79	13	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	14	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	79	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	79	16	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-37	79	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	79	18	errors•	errors•	ADJ
cpos-37	79	19	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	79	20	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	79	21	expert	expert	ADJ
cpos-37	79	22	groups•	groups•	PROPN
cpos-37	79	23	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	79	24	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	79	25	models•	models•	PROPN
cpos-37	79	26	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	79	27	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	79	28	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-37	79	29	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-37	79	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	31	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	79	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	79	34	stoto	stoto	NOUN
cpos-37	79	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	36	1983	1983	NUM
cpos-37	79	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	79	38	who	who	PRON
cpos-37	79	39	began	begin	VERB
cpos-37	79	40	analysing	analyse	VERB
cpos-37	79	41	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-37	79	42	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	79	43	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	79	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	80	2	comparing	compare	VERB
cpos-37	80	3	earlier	early	ADJ
cpos-37	80	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	80	5	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	80	6	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-37	80	7	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	80	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	80	10	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	80	11	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	80	12	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	80	13	derived	derive	VERB
cpos-37	80	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	80	16	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	80	17	a	a	DET
cpos-37	80	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	80	19	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	80	20	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	80	21	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	80	22	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	80	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	80	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	80	25	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	80	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	27	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	80	28	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	80	29	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	80	30	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	80	31	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	80	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	33	415	415	NUM
cpos-37	80	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	80	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	81	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	3	this	this	DET
cpos-37	81	4	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	81	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	81	6	supplies	supply	VERB
cpos-37	81	7	viable	viable	ADJ
cpos-37	81	8	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	81	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	10	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-37	81	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	81	12	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	81	13	deviations	deviation	NOUN
cpos-37	81	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	81	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	81	16	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	81	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	81	18	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-37	81	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	81	20	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-37	81	21	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-37	81	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	81	23	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-37	81	24	misinterpretations	misinterpretation	NOUN
cpos-37	81	25	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	81	26	apply	apply	VERB
cpos-37	81	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	81	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	81	29	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	81	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	31	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	81	32	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	81	33	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	81	34	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	81	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	36	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	81	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	81	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	82	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	82	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-37	82	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	82	4	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	82	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	82	6	a	a	DET
cpos-37	82	7	few	few	ADJ
cpos-37	82	8	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-37	82	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	82	10	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	82	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	82	12	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	82	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	82	14	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	82	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	82	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	82	17	construction	construction	NOUN
cpos-37	82	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	82	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	82	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	82	21	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	82	22	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	82	23	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	82	24	derived	derive	VERB
cpos-37	82	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	82	26	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	82	27	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	82	28	why	why	SCONJ
cpos-37	82	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	82	30	quality	quality	NOUN
cpos-37	82	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	82	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	82	33	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	82	34	appears	appear	VERB
cpos-37	82	35	questionable	questionable	ADJ
cpos-37	82	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	83	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	83	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	83	3	early	early	ADJ
cpos-37	83	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	83	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	83	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	83	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	83	8	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	83	9	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	83	10	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	83	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	83	12	no	no	ADV
cpos-37	83	13	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-37	83	14	state	state	NOUN
cpos-37	83	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	83	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	83	17	art	art	NOUN
cpos-37	83	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	83	19	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	83	20	must	must	AUX
cpos-37	83	21	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	83	22	classifi	classifi	NOUN
cpos-37	83	23	ed	ed	NOUN
cpos-37	83	24	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	83	25	less	less	ADV
cpos-37	83	26	precise	precise	ADJ
cpos-37	83	27	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	83	28	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	83	29	made	make	VERB
cpos-37	83	30	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	83	31	more	more	ADJ
cpos-37	83	32	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-37	83	33	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	83	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	84	1	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	84	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	84	3	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	84	4	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	84	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	84	6	this	this	DET
cpos-37	84	7	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	84	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	84	9	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	84	10	not	not	PART
cpos-37	84	11	implementable	implementable	ADJ
cpos-37	84	12	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	84	13	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-37	84	14	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-37	84	15	to	to	PART
cpos-37	84	16	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-37	84	17	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	84	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	84	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	84	20	lack	lack	NOUN
cpos-37	84	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	84	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	84	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	1	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	85	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	85	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	85	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	85	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	6	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-37	85	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	8	1998a	1998a	NUM
cpos-37	85	9	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	85	10	b	b	X
cpos-37	85	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	12	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	85	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	85	14	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	85	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	85	16	expert	expert	ADJ
cpos-37	85	17	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	85	18	to	to	PART
cpos-37	85	19	project	project	VERB
cpos-37	85	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	85	21	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	85	22	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	85	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	85	24	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	85	25	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	85	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	27	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	85	28	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	85	29	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	85	30	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	85	31	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-37	85	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	85	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	86	1	an	an	DET
cpos-37	86	2	expert	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	86	3	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	86	4	agrees	agree	VERB
cpos-37	86	5	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	86	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	86	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	86	8	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	86	9	estimate	estimate	NOUN
cpos-37	86	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	86	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	86	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	86	13	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	86	14	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	86	15	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	86	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	87	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	87	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	87	3	next	next	ADJ
cpos-37	87	4	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	87	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	87	6	a	a	DET
cpos-37	87	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	87	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	87	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	87	10	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	87	11	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	87	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	87	13	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	87	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	87	15	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	87	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	87	17	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	87	18	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	87	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	87	20	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cpos-37	87	21	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	87	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	87	23	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	87	24	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	87	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	87	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	87	27	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	87	28	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	87	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	87	30	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	87	31	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	87	32	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	87	33	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	87	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	88	1	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	88	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	88	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	88	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	89	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	89	2	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	89	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	89	4	415	415	NUM
cpos-37	89	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	89	6	speak	speak	VERB
cpos-37	89	7	against	against	ADP
cpos-37	89	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	89	9	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	89	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	89	11	this	this	DET
cpos-37	89	12	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	89	13	citing	cite	VERB
cpos-37	89	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	89	15	even	even	ADV
cpos-37	89	16	experts	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	89	17	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	89	18	not	not	PART
cpos-37	89	19	reliably	reliably	ADV
cpos-37	89	20	differentiate	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	89	21	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	89	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	89	23	95	95	NUM
cpos-37	89	24	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	89	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	89	26	a	a	DET
cpos-37	89	27	99	99	NUM
cpos-37	89	28	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	89	29	confi	confi	NOUN
cpos-37	89	30	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	89	31	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	89	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	90	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	90	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-37	90	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	90	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	90	5	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-37	90	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	90	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	90	8	serial	serial	ADJ
cpos-37	90	9	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	90	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	90	11	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	90	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	90	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	90	14	leads	lead	VERB
cpos-37	90	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	90	16	inconsistent	inconsistent	ADJ
cpos-37	90	17	confi	confi	VERB
cpos-37	90	18	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	90	19	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	90	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	91	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	91	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	91	3	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	91	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	91	5	172	172	NUM
cpos-37	91	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	91	7	discusses	discuss	VERB
cpos-37	91	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	91	9	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	91	10	is	be	VERB
cpos-37	91	11	no	no	DET
cpos-37	91	12	objective	objective	ADJ
cpos-37	91	13	way	way	NOUN
cpos-37	91	14	to	to	PART
cpos-37	91	15	derive	derive	VERB
cpos-37	91	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	91	17	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	91	18	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	91	19	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	91	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	91	21	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	91	22	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	91	23	expert	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	91	24	opinions	opinion	NOUN
cpos-37	91	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	92	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	92	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	92	3	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	92	4	expert	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	92	5	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	92	6	may	may	AUX
cpos-37	92	7	not	not	PART
cpos-37	92	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	92	9	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	92	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	92	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	92	12	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	92	13	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	92	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	92	15	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	92	16	may	may	AUX
cpos-37	92	17	lead	lead	VERB
cpos-37	92	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	92	19	this	this	DET
cpos-37	92	20	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	92	21	being	be	AUX
cpos-37	92	22	impossible	impossible	ADJ
cpos-37	92	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	93	1	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	93	2	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	93	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	93	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	93	5	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	93	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	93	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	93	8	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	93	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	93	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	93	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	93	12	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	93	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	93	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	93	15	past	past	NOUN
cpos-37	93	16	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	93	17	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	93	18	explained	explain	VERB
cpos-37	93	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	93	20	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	93	21	a	a	DET
cpos-37	93	22	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	93	23	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	93	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	93	25	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	93	26	this	this	DET
cpos-37	93	27	context	context	NOUN
cpos-37	93	28	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	93	29	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	93	30	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	93	31	valid	valid	ADJ
cpos-37	93	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	93	33	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	93	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	94	1	probably	probably	ADV
cpos-37	94	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	94	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	94	4	most	most	ADV
cpos-37	94	5	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	94	6	known	know	VERB
cpos-37	94	7	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	94	8	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	94	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	94	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	94	11	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	94	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	94	13	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	94	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	94	15	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	94	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	94	17	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	94	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	94	19	designed	design	VERB
cpos-37	94	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	94	21	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	94	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	94	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	95	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	95	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	95	3	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	95	4	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	95	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	95	6	this	this	DET
cpos-37	95	7	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	95	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	95	9	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	95	10	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	95	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	95	12	estimating	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	95	13	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	95	14	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	95	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	95	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	95	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	95	18	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	95	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	95	20	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	95	21	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	95	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	95	23	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	95	24	matches	match	VERB
cpos-37	95	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	95	26	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	95	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	95	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	95	29	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	95	30	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	95	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	95	32	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	95	33	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	95	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	95	35	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	95	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	95	37	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	95	38	a	a	DET
cpos-37	95	39	second	second	ADJ
cpos-37	95	40	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	95	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	95	42	transfers	transfer	VERB
cpos-37	95	43	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	95	44	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	95	45	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	95	46	the	the	DET
cpos-37	95	47	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	95	48	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	96	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	96	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	96	3	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	96	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	96	5	easy	easy	ADJ
cpos-37	96	6	to	to	PART
cpos-37	96	7	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-37	96	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	96	9	has	have	AUX
cpos-37	96	10	proven	prove	VERB
cpos-37	96	11	fl	fl	PRON
cpos-37	96	12	exible	exible	ADJ
cpos-37	96	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	96	14	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	96	15	has	have	AUX
cpos-37	96	16	been	be	AUX
cpos-37	96	17	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	96	18	adapted	adapt	VERB
cpos-37	96	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	96	20	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-37	96	21	further	far	ADV
cpos-37	96	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	96	23	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	96	24	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	96	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	96	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	97	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	97	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	97	3	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	97	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	97	5	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	97	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	97	7	324	324	X
cpos-37	97	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	97	9	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-37	97	10	an	an	DET
cpos-37	97	11	overview	overview	NOUN
cpos-37	97	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	97	13	other	other	ADJ
cpos-37	97	14	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	97	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	97	16	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	97	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	97	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	97	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	98	1	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	98	2	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	98	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	98	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	98	5	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	98	6	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	98	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	98	8	short	short	ADJ
cpos-37	98	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	98	10	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-37	98	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	98	12	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	98	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	98	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	98	15	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	98	16	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	98	17	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	98	18	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	98	19	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	98	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	98	21	414	414	NUM
cpos-37	98	22	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	98	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	99	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	99	2	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	99	3	span	span	NOUN
cpos-37	99	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	99	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	99	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	99	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	99	8	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	99	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	99	10	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	99	11	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	99	12	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	99	13	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	99	14	775	775	NUM
cpos-37	99	15	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	99	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	99	17	too	too	ADV
cpos-37	99	18	long	long	ADJ
cpos-37	100	1	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	100	2	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	100	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	100	4	unrealistic	unrealistic	ADJ
cpos-37	100	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	100	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	100	7	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	100	8	broad	broad	ADJ
cpos-37	100	9	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	100	10	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	100	11	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	100	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	100	13	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	100	14	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	100	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	100	16	274	274	NUM
cpos-37	100	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	100	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	101	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	101	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-37	101	3	advantages	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	101	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	101	5	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	101	6	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	101	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	101	8	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	101	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	101	10	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	101	11	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	101	12	alternatives	alternative	NOUN
cpos-37	101	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	101	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	101	15	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	101	16	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	101	17	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	101	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	101	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	101	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	101	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	101	22	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	101	23	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	101	24	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	101	25	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	101	26	consistently	consistently	ADV
cpos-37	101	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	101	28	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	101	29	neither	neither	CCONJ
cpos-37	101	30	earlier	early	ADJ
cpos-37	101	31	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	101	32	nor	nor	CCONJ
cpos-37	101	33	expert	expert	ADJ
cpos-37	101	34	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	101	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	102	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	102	2	a	a	DET
cpos-37	102	3	lot	lot	NOUN
cpos-37	102	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	102	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	102	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	102	7	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	102	8	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	102	9	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	102	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	102	11	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	102	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	102	13	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	102	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	102	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	102	16	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	102	17	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	102	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	102	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	102	20	paradigm	paradigm	NOUN
cpos-37	102	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	102	22	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	102	23	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	102	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	102	25	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	102	26	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	102	27	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	102	28	them	they	PRON
cpos-37	102	29	appear	appear	VERB
cpos-37	102	30	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-37	102	31	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	102	32	a	a	DET
cpos-37	102	33	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	102	34	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	102	35	forecast.3	forecast.3	VERB
cpos-37	102	36	this	this	DET
cpos-37	102	37	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	102	38	enables	enable	VERB
cpos-37	102	39	an	an	DET
cpos-37	102	40	effective	effective	ADJ
cpos-37	102	41	disaggregation	disaggregation	NOUN
cpos-37	102	42	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	102	43	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	102	44	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	102	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	103	1	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	103	2	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	103	3	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	103	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	103	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	103	6	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	103	7	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	103	8	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	103	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	103	10	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	103	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	103	12	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	103	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	103	14	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	103	15	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	103	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	103	17	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	103	18	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	103	19	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	103	20	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	104	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	104	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	4	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
cpos-37	104	5	smaller	small	ADJ
cpos-37	104	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	104	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	104	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	104	9	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-37	104	10	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	104	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	12	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	104	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	104	14	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	104	15	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	104	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	17	4953	4953	NUM
cpos-37	104	18	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	19	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	104	20	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	104	21	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	104	22	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	104	23	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	104	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	25	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	104	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	104	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	105	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	105	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	105	3	these	these	DET
cpos-37	105	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	105	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	105	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	105	7	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	105	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	105	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	105	10	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	105	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	105	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	105	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	105	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	105	15	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	105	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	105	17	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	105	18	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	105	19	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	105	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	106	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	106	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	106	3	paradigm	paradigm	NOUN
cpos-37	106	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	106	5	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	106	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	106	7	3.1	3.1	NUM
cpos-37	106	8	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	106	9	idea	idea	NOUN
cpos-37	106	10	an	an	DET
cpos-37	106	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	106	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	106	13	depth	depth	NOUN
cpos-37	106	14	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	106	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	106	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	106	17	impacts	impact	NOUN
cpos-37	106	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	106	19	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	106	20	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	106	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	106	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	106	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	106	24	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	106	25	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	106	26	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	106	27	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	106	28	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	106	29	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	106	30	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	106	31	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	106	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	106	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	106	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	107	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-37	107	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	107	3	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	107	4	situation	situation	NOUN
cpos-37	107	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	107	6	not	not	PART
cpos-37	107	7	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-37	107	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	107	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	107	10	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	107	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	107	12	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	107	13	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	107	14	proves	prove	VERB
cpos-37	107	15	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-37	107	16	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-37	107	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	107	18	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	107	19	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	107	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	107	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	107	22	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	107	23	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	107	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	107	25	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	107	26	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	107	27	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	107	28	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	107	29	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	107	30	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	107	31	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	107	32	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	107	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	107	34	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	107	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	108	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	108	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	108	4	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	108	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	108	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	7	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	8	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	108	9	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	108	10	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	108	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	12	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	13	subsequently	subsequently	ADV
cpos-37	108	14	referred	refer	VERB
cpos-37	108	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	108	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	108	17	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	108	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	108	20	an	an	DET
cpos-37	108	21	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	108	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	108	23	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	108	24	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	108	25	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	108	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	27	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	108	28	joins	join	VERB
cpos-37	108	29	a	a	DET
cpos-37	108	30	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	108	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	108	32	single	single	ADJ
cpos-37	108	33	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	108	34	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	108	35	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	108	36	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-37	108	37	a	a	DET
cpos-37	108	38	connected	connected	ADJ
cpos-37	108	39	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	108	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	41	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	108	42	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	108	43	silverman	silverman	PROPN
cpos-37	108	44	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	108	45	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	46	5822	5822	NUM
cpos-37	108	47	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	108	48	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	109	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	109	2	objective	objective	NOUN
cpos-37	109	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	109	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	109	5	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	109	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	109	7	to	to	PART
cpos-37	109	8	estimate	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	109	9	this	this	DET
cpos-37	109	10	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	109	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	109	12	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	109	13	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	109	14	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	109	15	a	a	DET
cpos-37	109	16	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	109	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	109	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	109	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	110	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	110	2	doing	do	VERB
cpos-37	110	3	so	so	ADV
cpos-37	110	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	110	5	each	each	DET
cpos-37	110	6	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	110	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	110	8	observation	observation	NOUN
cpos-37	110	9	yt(x	yt(x	NOUN
cpos-37	110	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	110	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	110	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	110	13	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	110	14	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	110	15	serves	serve	VERB
cpos-37	110	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	110	17	a	a	DET
cpos-37	110	18	knot	knot	NOUN
cpos-37	110	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	110	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	110	21	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	110	22	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	110	23	st(x	st(x	NOUN
cpos-37	110	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	110	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	111	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-37	111	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	111	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	111	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	111	5	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-37	111	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	111	7	n	n	NUM
cpos-37	111	8	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	111	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	111	10	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	111	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	111	12	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	111	13	are	be	VERB
cpos-37	111	14	n	n	DET
cpos-37	111	15	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	111	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	1	each	each	DET
cpos-37	112	2	observation	observation	NOUN
cpos-37	112	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	112	4	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-37	112	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	112	6	a	a	DET
cpos-37	112	7	measurement	measurement	NOUN
cpos-37	112	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	112	9	εt(x	εt(x	NOUN
cpos-37	112	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	11	resulting	result	VERB
cpos-37	112	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	112	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	112	14	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	112	15	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	112	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	17	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	112	18	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	112	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	20	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	112	21	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	22	yt(x	yt(x	X
cpos-37	112	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	24	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	112	25	st(x)+εt(x	st(x)+εt(x	PROPN
cpos-37	112	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	112	28	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	112	29	to	to	PART
cpos-37	112	30	acquire	acquire	VERB
cpos-37	112	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	112	32	necessary	necessary	ADJ
cpos-37	112	33	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	112	34	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	112	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	112	36	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	112	37	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	112	38	st(x	st(x	NOUN
cpos-37	112	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	40	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	112	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	112	42	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	112	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	112	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	112	45	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	112	46	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	112	47	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	112	48	must	must	AUX
cpos-37	112	49	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	112	50	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
cpos-37	112	51	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	112	52	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	112	53	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	112	54	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	112	55	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	112	56	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	112	57	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	112	58	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	112	59	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	112	60	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	112	61	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	113	1	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	113	2	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-37	113	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	113	4	an	an	DET
cpos-37	113	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	113	6	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	113	7	attempts	attempt	VERB
cpos-37	113	8	to	to	PART
cpos-37	113	9	estimate	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	113	10	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-37	113	11	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-37	113	12	unavailable	unavailable	ADJ
cpos-37	113	13	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-37	113	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	113	15	a	a	DET
cpos-37	113	16	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	113	17	set	set	VERB
cpos-37	113	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	113	19	thereby	thereby	ADV
cpos-37	113	20	eliminate	eliminate	VERB
cpos-37	113	21	any	any	DET
cpos-37	113	22	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	113	23	noise	noise	NOUN
cpos-37	113	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	114	1	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	114	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	114	3	wood	wood	NOUN
cpos-37	114	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	114	5	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	114	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	114	7	27	27	NUM
cpos-37	114	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	114	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	114	10	cubic	cubic	ADJ
cpos-37	114	11	spline	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	114	12	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	114	13	deliver	deliver	VERB
cpos-37	114	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	114	15	best	good	ADJ
cpos-37	114	16	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	114	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	114	18	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	114	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	114	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	115	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	2	medians	median	NOUN
cpos-37	115	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	115	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	5	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	115	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	115	7	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	115	8	form	form	VERB
cpos-37	115	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	10	supporting	support	VERB
cpos-37	115	11	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	115	12	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	115	13	nodes	node	NOUN
cpos-37	115	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	115	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	115	16	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	115	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	18	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	115	19	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-37	115	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	115	21	located	locate	VERB
cpos-37	115	22	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	115	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	24	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-37	115	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	115	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	27	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	115	28	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-37	115	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	115	30	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	115	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	115	32	age=0	age=0	PROPN
cpos-37	115	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	115	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	115	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	36	next	next	ADJ
cpos-37	115	37	node	node	NOUN
cpos-37	115	38	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	115	39	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	40	median	median	ADJ
cpos-37	115	41	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	115	42	interested	interested	ADJ
cpos-37	115	43	readers	reader	NOUN
cpos-37	115	44	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	115	45	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-37	115	46	nd	nd	ADV
cpos-37	115	47	a	a	DET
cpos-37	115	48	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	115	49	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-37	115	50	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	115	51	the	the	DET
cpos-37	115	52	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	115	53	methodological	methodological	ADJ
cpos-37	115	54	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	115	55	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	115	56	o’neill	o’neill	PROPN
cpos-37	115	57	et	et	NOUN
cpos-37	115	58	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	115	59	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	116	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	116	2	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	116	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	116	4	210	210	NUM
cpos-37	116	5	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	116	6	222	222	NUM
cpos-37	116	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	116	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	117	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	117	2	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	117	3	deschermeier776	deschermeier776	PROPN
cpos-37	117	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	117	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	117	6	second	second	ADJ
cpos-37	117	7	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	117	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	117	9	so	so	ADV
cpos-37	117	10	forth	forth	ADV
cpos-37	117	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	118	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	118	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	118	3	nal	nal	ADJ
cpos-37	118	4	node	node	NOUN
cpos-37	118	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	118	6	located	locate	VERB
cpos-37	118	7	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	118	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	118	9	end	end	NOUN
cpos-37	118	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	118	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	118	12	upper	upper	ADJ
cpos-37	118	13	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	118	14	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	118	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	119	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	119	2	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	119	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	119	4	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	119	5	comprising	comprise	VERB
cpos-37	119	6	an	an	DET
cpos-37	119	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	119	8	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	119	9	form	form	VERB
cpos-37	119	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	119	11	section	section	NOUN
cpos-37	119	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	120	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	120	2	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	120	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	120	4	joins	join	VERB
cpos-37	120	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	120	6	nodes	node	NOUN
cpos-37	120	7	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	120	8	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	120	9	cubic	cubic	ADJ
cpos-37	120	10	polynomials	polynomial	NOUN
cpos-37	120	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	120	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	120	13	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	120	14	sections	section	NOUN
cpos-37	120	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	120	16	a	a	DET
cpos-37	120	17	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	120	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	120	19	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	120	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	120	21	always	always	ADV
cpos-37	120	22	differentiable	differentiable	ADJ
cpos-37	120	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	120	24	all	all	DET
cpos-37	120	25	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	120	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	121	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	121	2	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	121	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	121	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	121	5	spline	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	121	6	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	121	7	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-37	121	8	us	we	PRON
cpos-37	121	9	to	to	PART
cpos-37	121	10	read	read	VERB
cpos-37	121	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	121	12	value	value	NOUN
cpos-37	121	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	121	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	121	15	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	121	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	121	17	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	121	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	121	19	each	each	DET
cpos-37	121	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	121	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	121	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	121	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-37	122	2	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	122	3	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	122	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	5	procedure	procedure	NOUN
cpos-37	122	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	122	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	8	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	122	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	122	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	122	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	122	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	122	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	15	median	median	ADJ
cpos-37	122	16	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	122	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	122	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	19	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	122	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	122	21	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	122	22	form	form	VERB
cpos-37	122	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	24	nodes	node	NOUN
cpos-37	122	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	26	squares	square	NOUN
cpos-37	122	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	29	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	122	30	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	122	31	cubic	cubic	ADJ
cpos-37	122	32	splines	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	122	33	run	run	VERB
cpos-37	122	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	122	35	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	122	36	compose	compose	VERB
cpos-37	122	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	122	38	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	122	39	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	122	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	1	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	123	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	123	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	4	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	123	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	123	6	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	123	7	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	123	8	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	123	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	123	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	123	11	n	n	NUM
cpos-37	123	12	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	123	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	123	14	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	123	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	16	underlie	underlie	VERB
cpos-37	123	17	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	123	18	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	123	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	20	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	123	21	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	123	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	123	23	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	123	24	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	123	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	26	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	123	27	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	123	28	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	29	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	123	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	123	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	124	1	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	124	2	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	124	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	124	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	124	5	vertical	vertical	ADJ
cpos-37	124	6	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	124	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	124	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	124	9	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	124	10	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	124	11	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	124	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	125	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-37	125	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	125	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	125	4	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	125	5	amount	amount	NOUN
cpos-37	125	6	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	125	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	125	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	125	9	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	125	10	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	125	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	125	12	not	not	PART
cpos-37	125	13	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-37	125	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	126	1	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	126	2	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	126	3	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	126	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	126	5	horizontal	horizontal	ADJ
cpos-37	126	6	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	126	7	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	126	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	126	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	126	10	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	126	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	126	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	126	13	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	126	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	126	15	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	126	16	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	126	17	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
cpos-37	126	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	126	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	126	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	126	21	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	126	22	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	126	23	a	a	DET
cpos-37	126	24	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	126	25	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	126	26	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	126	27	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	126	28	n	n	NUM
cpos-37	126	29	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	126	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	126	31	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	126	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	127	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	127	2	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-37	127	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	127	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	127	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	127	6	past	past	ADJ
cpos-37	127	7	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-37	127	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	127	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	127	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	127	11	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	127	12	who	who	PRON
cpos-37	127	13	reached	reach	VERB
cpos-37	127	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	127	15	maximum	maximum	NOUN
cpos-37	127	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	127	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	127	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	127	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	127	20	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	127	21	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	127	22	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	127	23	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	127	24	rose	rise	VERB
cpos-37	127	25	continuously	continuously	ADV
cpos-37	127	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	128	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	128	2	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	128	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	128	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	128	5	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	128	6	complicate	complicate	VERB
cpos-37	128	7	modelling	modelling	NOUN
cpos-37	128	8	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	128	9	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	128	10	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	128	11	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	128	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	128	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	128	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	128	15	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	128	16	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	128	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	128	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	128	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	128	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	128	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	128	22	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	128	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	128	24	very	very	ADJ
cpos-37	128	25	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	128	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	129	1	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	129	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	129	3	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	129	4	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	129	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	129	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	129	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	129	8	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	129	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	129	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	129	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	129	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	129	13	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	129	14	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	129	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	129	16	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	129	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	129	18	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	129	19	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	129	20	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	129	21	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	129	22	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	129	23	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	129	24	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	129	25	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	129	26	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	129	27	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	129	28	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	129	29	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	129	30	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	129	31	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	129	32	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	129	33	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	129	34	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	129	35	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	129	36	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	129	37	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	129	38	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	129	39	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	129	40	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	129	41	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	129	42	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	129	43	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	129	44	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	129	45	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	129	46	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	129	47	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	129	48	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	129	49	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	129	50	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	129	51	the	the	DET
cpos-37	129	52	respective	respective	ADJ
cpos-37	129	53	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	129	54	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	129	55	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	129	56	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	129	57	own	own	ADJ
cpos-37	129	58	design	design	NOUN
cpos-37	129	59	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	129	60	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	129	61	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	129	62	the	the	DET
cpos-37	129	63	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	129	64	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	129	65	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	129	66	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	129	67	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	129	68	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	129	69	777	777	NUM
cpos-37	129	70	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	129	71	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	129	72	would	would	AUX
cpos-37	129	73	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	129	74	needed	need	VERB
cpos-37	129	75	to	to	PART
cpos-37	129	76	portray	portray	VERB
cpos-37	129	77	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	129	78	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	129	79	the	the	DET
cpos-37	129	80	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	129	81	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	129	82	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	129	83	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	129	84	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	129	85	adequately	adequately	ADV
cpos-37	129	86	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	130	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	130	3	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	130	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	6	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	130	7	uses	use	VERB
cpos-37	130	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	9	so	so	ADV
cpos-37	130	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	11	called	call	VERB
cpos-37	130	12	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	13	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	130	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	15	warping	warping	NOUN
cpos-37	130	16	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	17	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	130	18	to	to	PART
cpos-37	130	19	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	130	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	21	characteristic	characteristic	ADJ
cpos-37	130	22	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	130	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	130	24	a	a	DET
cpos-37	130	25	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	130	26	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	130	27	a	a	DET
cpos-37	130	28	low	low	ADJ
cpos-37	130	29	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	130	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	130	31	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	130	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	130	33	to	to	PART
cpos-37	130	34	minimise	minimise	VERB
cpos-37	130	35	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	130	36	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	130	37	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	130	38	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	130	39	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	130	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	130	41	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	130	42	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	130	43	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	44	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	130	45	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	130	46	silverman	silverman	PROPN
cpos-37	130	47	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	130	48	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	49	5823	5823	NUM
cpos-37	130	50	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	51	a	a	DET
cpos-37	130	52	linear	linear	ADJ
cpos-37	130	53	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-37	130	54	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	130	55	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	130	56	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	130	57	φk	φk	ADP
cpos-37	130	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	59	k=1	k=1	PROPN
cpos-37	130	60	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	61	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	63	k	k	X
cpos-37	130	64	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	65	corrects	correct	VERB
cpos-37	130	66	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	67	biases	bias	NOUN
cpos-37	130	68	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	69	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	70	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	130	71	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	130	72	contain	contain	VERB
cpos-37	130	73	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	130	74	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	130	75	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	76	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	130	77	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	130	78	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	130	79	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	130	80	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-37	130	81	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	130	82	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	130	83	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	130	84	the	the	DET
cpos-37	130	85	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	130	86	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	130	87	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	131	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	131	2	more	more	ADJ
cpos-37	131	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	131	4	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	131	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	131	6	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	131	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	131	8	the	the	PRON
cpos-37	131	9	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	131	10	fl	fl	NOUN
cpos-37	131	11	exible	exible	ADJ
cpos-37	131	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	131	13	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	131	14	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	131	15	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	131	16	becomes	become	VERB
cpos-37	131	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	132	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	132	2	big	big	ADJ
cpos-37	132	3	challenge	challenge	NOUN
cpos-37	132	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	132	5	keeping	keep	VERB
cpos-37	132	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	132	7	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	132	8	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-37	132	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	132	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	132	11	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	132	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	132	13	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	132	14	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	132	15	low	low	ADV
cpos-37	132	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	133	1	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-37	133	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	133	3	more	more	ADJ
cpos-37	133	4	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	133	5	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	133	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	133	7	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	133	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	133	9	calculating	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	133	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	133	11	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	133	12	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	133	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	133	14	the	the	PRON
cpos-37	133	15	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	133	16	sensitively	sensitively	ADV
cpos-37	133	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	133	18	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	133	19	reacts	react	VERB
cpos-37	133	20	to	to	PART
cpos-37	133	21	measurement	measurement	VERB
cpos-37	133	22	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	133	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	134	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	134	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	134	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	134	4	widespread	widespread	ADJ
cpos-37	134	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	134	6	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	134	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	134	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	134	9	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	134	10	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	134	11	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	134	12	simply	simply	ADV
cpos-37	134	13	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	134	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	134	15	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	134	16	a	a	DET
cpos-37	134	17	principal	principal	ADJ
cpos-37	134	18	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	134	19	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	134	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	134	21	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	134	22	describes	describe	VERB
cpos-37	134	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	134	24	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	134	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	134	26	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	134	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	134	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	134	29	main	main	ADJ
cpos-37	134	30	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	134	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	134	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	134	33	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	134	34	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	134	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	134	36	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	134	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	134	38	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	134	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	135	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	135	2	alignment	alignment	NOUN
cpos-37	135	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	135	4	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	135	5	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	135	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	135	7	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	135	8	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-37	135	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	135	10	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	135	11	called	call	VERB
cpos-37	135	12	registration	registration	NOUN
cpos-37	135	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	135	14	facilitates	facilitate	VERB
cpos-37	135	15	further	further	ADJ
cpos-37	135	16	assessments	assessment	NOUN
cpos-37	135	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	135	18	improves	improve	VERB
cpos-37	135	19	comparability	comparability	NOUN
cpos-37	135	20	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	135	21	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	135	22	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	135	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	135	24	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	135	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	136	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	136	2	remaining	remain	VERB
cpos-37	136	3	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	136	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	136	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	136	6	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	136	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	136	8	merely	merely	ADV
cpos-37	136	9	a	a	DET
cpos-37	136	10	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	136	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	136	12	pure	pure	ADJ
cpos-37	136	13	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	136	14	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	136	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	137	1	3.2	3.2	NUM
cpos-37	137	2	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	137	3	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	137	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	137	5	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	137	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	137	7	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	137	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	137	9	use	use	VERB
cpos-37	137	10	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	137	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	137	12	to	to	PART
cpos-37	137	13	develop	develop	VERB
cpos-37	137	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	137	15	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	137	16	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	137	17	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	137	18	reliably	reliably	ADV
cpos-37	137	19	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	137	20	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	137	21	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	137	22	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	137	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	138	2	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-37	138	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	4	yt(x	yt(x	PROPN
cpos-37	138	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	6	describes	describe	VERB
cpos-37	138	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	138	8	value	value	NOUN
cpos-37	138	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	138	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	138	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	138	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	138	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	138	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	138	15	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	138	17	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	138	18	t.	t.	PROPN
cpos-37	138	19	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	138	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	138	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	138	22	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	138	23	idea	idea	NOUN
cpos-37	138	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	138	25	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	138	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	138	28	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	138	29	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	138	30	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	138	31	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	138	32	a	a	DET
cpos-37	138	33	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	138	34	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	138	35	st(x	st(x	PROPN
cpos-37	138	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	138	38	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	138	39	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	138	40	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-37	138	41	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	138	42	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	138	43	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	138	44	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	138	45	a	a	DET
cpos-37	138	46	discrete	discrete	ADJ
cpos-37	138	47	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	138	48	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	138	49	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	138	50	depending	depend	VERB
cpos-37	138	51	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	138	52	the	the	DET
cpos-37	138	53	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	138	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	139	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	139	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	4	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	139	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	139	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	139	8	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	139	9	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	10	xi	xi	PROPN
cpos-37	139	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	12	yt(xi	yt(xi	PROPN
cpos-37	139	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	14	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	16	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	139	17	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	139	18	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	139	19	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	139	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	21	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	23	n	n	NOUN
cpos-37	139	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	139	25	i	i	NOUN
cpos-37	139	26	=	=	NOUN
cpos-37	139	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	139	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	29	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	31	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	32	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-37	139	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	139	34	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	139	35	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	37	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	139	38	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	39	yt(x	yt(x	X
cpos-37	139	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	41	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	139	42	st(x)+	st(x)+	ADP
cpos-37	139	43	σt(x)εt(x	σt(x)εt(x	PROPN
cpos-37	139	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	139	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	140	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	140	2	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	140	3	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-37	140	4	εt	εt	PRON
cpos-37	140	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	140	6	x	x	PRON
cpos-37	140	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	140	8	independently	independently	ADV
cpos-37	140	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	140	10	identically	identically	ADV
cpos-37	140	11	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	140	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	140	13	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	140	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	140	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	140	16	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	140	17	σt	σt	ADP
cpos-37	140	18	depending	depend	VERB
cpos-37	140	19	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	140	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	140	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	140	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	141	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	141	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	141	3	advisable	advisable	ADJ
cpos-37	141	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	141	5	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-37	141	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	141	7	small	small	ADJ
cpos-37	141	8	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	141	9	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	141	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	141	11	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	141	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	141	13	ranges	range	NOUN
cpos-37	141	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	141	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	141	16	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	141	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	141	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	141	19	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	141	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	141	21	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	141	22	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	141	23	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	141	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	141	25	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	141	26	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	141	27	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	141	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	141	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	141	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	141	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	141	32	measurement	measurement	NOUN
cpos-37	141	33	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	141	34	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	141	35	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	141	36	correspondingly	correspondingly	ADV
cpos-37	141	37	small	small	ADJ
cpos-37	141	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	142	1	not	not	PART
cpos-37	142	2	weighting	weight	VERB
cpos-37	142	3	them	they	PRON
cpos-37	142	4	could	could	AUX
cpos-37	142	5	lead	lead	VERB
cpos-37	142	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	142	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	142	8	impression	impression	NOUN
cpos-37	142	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	142	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	142	11	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	142	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	142	13	these	these	DET
cpos-37	142	14	sections	section	NOUN
cpos-37	142	15	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	142	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	142	17	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	142	18	better	well	ADV
cpos-37	142	19	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	142	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	142	21	other	other	ADJ
cpos-37	142	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	142	23	ranges	range	NOUN
cpos-37	142	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	143	2	modelling	modelling	NOUN
cpos-37	143	3	aims	aim	VERB
cpos-37	143	4	to	to	PART
cpos-37	143	5	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	143	6	yt(x	yt(x	PROPN
cpos-37	143	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	143	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	143	10	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	143	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	143	12	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	143	13	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	143	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	143	15	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	143	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	17	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	143	18	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	143	19	n+1	n+1	PROPN
cpos-37	143	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	21	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	23	n+h	n+h	PRON
cpos-37	143	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	143	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	143	26	all	all	DET
cpos-37	143	27	defi	defi	NOUN
cpos-37	143	28	ned	ned	ADJ
cpos-37	143	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	143	30	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	143	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	144	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	144	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	144	4	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	144	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	144	6	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	144	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	144	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	144	9	attempts	attempt	NOUN
cpos-37	144	10	to	to	PART
cpos-37	144	11	identify	identify	VERB
cpos-37	144	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	144	13	record	record	VERB
cpos-37	144	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	15	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	144	16	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	144	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	144	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	19	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	144	20	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	144	21	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	144	22	sources	source	NOUN
cpos-37	144	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	144	24	measurement	measurement	NOUN
cpos-37	144	25	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	144	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	27	1	1	X
cpos-37	144	28	.	.	X
cpos-37	144	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	144	30	a	a	DET
cpos-37	144	31	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	144	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	144	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	34	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	144	35	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	144	36	desirable	desirable	ADJ
cpos-37	144	37	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	144	38	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	144	39	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	144	40	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	144	41	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	144	42	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	144	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	144	44	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	144	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	144	47	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	144	48	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	144	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	50	only	only	ADJ
cpos-37	144	51	way	way	NOUN
cpos-37	144	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	53	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	144	54	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	144	55	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	144	56	to	to	PART
cpos-37	144	57	make	make	VERB
cpos-37	144	58	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	59	diverse	diverse	ADJ
cpos-37	144	60	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	144	61	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	144	62	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	144	63	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	144	64	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	144	65	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	66	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	144	67	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	144	68	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	144	69	the	the	DET
cpos-37	144	70	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	144	71	visible	visible	ADJ
cpos-37	144	72	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	145	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	145	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	145	3	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	145	4	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	145	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	145	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	145	7	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	145	8	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	145	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	145	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	145	11	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	145	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	146	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	146	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	146	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-37	146	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	146	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	146	6	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	146	7	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	146	8	deschermeier778	deschermeier778	VERB
cpos-37	146	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	146	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	146	11	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	146	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	146	13	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	146	14	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	146	15	non	non	ADJ
cpos-37	146	16	-	-	ADJ
cpos-37	146	17	parametric	parametric	ADJ
cpos-37	146	18	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-37	146	19	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	146	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	146	21	each	each	DET
cpos-37	146	22	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	146	23	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	146	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	146	25	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	146	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	146	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	146	28	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	146	29	to	to	PART
cpos-37	146	30	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	146	31	able	able	ADJ
cpos-37	146	32	to	to	PART
cpos-37	146	33	estimate	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	146	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	146	35	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	146	36	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	146	37	yt	yt	PROPN
cpos-37	146	38	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	146	39	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	146	40	upon	upon	SCONJ
cpos-37	146	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	147	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	147	2	separate	separate	ADJ
cpos-37	147	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	147	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	147	5	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	147	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	147	7	each	each	DET
cpos-37	147	8	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	147	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	147	10	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	147	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	148	1	2	2	X
cpos-37	148	2	.	.	X
cpos-37	148	3	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	148	4	all	all	DET
cpos-37	148	5	main	main	ADJ
cpos-37	148	6	characteristic	characteristic	ADJ
cpos-37	148	7	attributes	attribute	NOUN
cpos-37	148	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	148	9	a	a	DET
cpos-37	148	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	148	11	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	148	12	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	148	13	a	a	DET
cpos-37	148	14	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	148	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	148	16	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	148	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	149	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	149	2	lengthy	lengthy	ADJ
cpos-37	149	3	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	149	4	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	149	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	149	6	needed	need	VERB
cpos-37	149	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	149	8	rarely	rarely	ADV
cpos-37	149	9	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	149	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	149	11	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	149	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	149	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	149	14	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	149	15	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	149	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	149	17	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	149	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	149	19	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	149	20	reforms	reform	NOUN
cpos-37	149	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	149	22	other	other	ADJ
cpos-37	149	23	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
cpos-37	149	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	1	instead	instead	ADV
cpos-37	150	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	150	4	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	150	5	break	break	VERB
cpos-37	150	6	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	150	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	150	8	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	150	9	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	150	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	150	11	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	150	12	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	150	13	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	150	14	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	150	15	elements	element	NOUN
cpos-37	150	16	containing	contain	VERB
cpos-37	150	17	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	150	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	150	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	150	20	main	main	ADJ
cpos-37	150	21	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	150	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	23	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	150	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	25	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	150	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	27	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	150	28	to	to	PART
cpos-37	150	29	do	do	VERB
cpos-37	150	30	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	150	31	a	a	DET
cpos-37	150	32	lesser	less	ADJ
cpos-37	150	33	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	150	34	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	150	35	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	150	36	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	37	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	150	38	μ(x	μ(x	NOUN
cpos-37	150	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	40	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	150	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	150	42	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	150	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	150	44	st(x	st(x	NOUN
cpos-37	150	45	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	46	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	150	47	all	all	DET
cpos-37	150	48	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-37	150	49	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	150	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	51	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	52	φk(x	φk(x	NOUN
cpos-37	150	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	54	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	55	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	150	56	a	a	DET
cpos-37	150	57	set	set	NOUN
cpos-37	150	58	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	150	59	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	150	60	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	150	61	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	150	62	et(x	et(x	NOUN
cpos-37	150	63	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	64	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	150	65	a	a	DET
cpos-37	150	66	normally	normally	ADV
cpos-37	150	67	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	150	68	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	150	69	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	150	70	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	150	71	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	150	72	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	150	73	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	150	74	variance	variance	NOUN
cpos-37	150	75	var(x	var(x	PROPN
cpos-37	150	76	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	150	77	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	151	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	151	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	151	3	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	151	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	151	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	151	6	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	151	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	151	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	151	9	principle	principle	ADJ
cpos-37	151	10	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	151	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	151	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	152	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	152	3	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	152	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	5	essential	essential	ADJ
cpos-37	152	6	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	152	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	152	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	9	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	152	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	152	11	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	152	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	152	13	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	152	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	15	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	152	16	deviating	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	152	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	152	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	152	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	152	20	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	152	21	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	152	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	23	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	152	24	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	152	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	26	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	152	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	152	28	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	152	29	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	152	30	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	152	31	contained	contain	VERB
cpos-37	152	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	152	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	152	34	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	152	35	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	152	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	1	3	3	X
cpos-37	153	2	.	.	X
cpos-37	153	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	153	4	univariate	univariate	ADJ
cpos-37	153	5	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	153	6	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	153	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	153	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	153	9	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	153	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	153	11	every	every	DET
cpos-37	153	12	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	153	13	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	153	14	βt	βt	PROPN
cpos-37	153	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	16	k	k	PROPN
cpos-37	153	17	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	153	18	k	k	PROPN
cpos-37	153	19	=	=	SYM
cpos-37	153	20	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	153	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	22	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	24	k.	k.	PROPN
cpos-37	153	25	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-37	153	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	153	27	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	153	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	29	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	153	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	31	327	327	NUM
cpos-37	153	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	33	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	153	34	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	153	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	153	36	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	153	37	reacts	react	VERB
cpos-37	153	38	insensitively	insensitively	ADV
cpos-37	153	39	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	153	40	the	the	DET
cpos-37	153	41	choice	choice	NOUN
cpos-37	153	42	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	153	43	k	k	NOUN
cpos-37	153	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	153	45	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-37	153	46	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	153	47	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	153	48	a	a	DET
cpos-37	153	49	suffi	suffi	NOUN
cpos-37	153	50	ciently	ciently	ADV
cpos-37	153	51	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	153	52	value	value	NOUN
cpos-37	153	53	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	154	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	154	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	154	3	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	154	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	154	5	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	154	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	154	7	advisable	advisable	ADJ
cpos-37	154	8	to	to	PART
cpos-37	154	9	form	form	VERB
cpos-37	154	10	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	154	11	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	154	12	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	154	13	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	154	14	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	154	15	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	154	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	155	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	155	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	155	3	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	155	4	increases	increase	VERB
cpos-37	155	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	155	6	duration	duration	NOUN
cpos-37	155	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	155	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	155	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	155	10	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	155	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	155	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	155	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	155	14	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	155	15	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	155	16	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	155	17	a	a	DET
cpos-37	155	18	low	low	ADJ
cpos-37	155	19	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
cpos-37	155	20	content	content	NOUN
cpos-37	155	21	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	155	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	155	23	some	some	DET
cpos-37	155	24	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-37	155	25	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-37	155	26	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-37	155	27	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	155	28	impossible	impossible	ADJ
cpos-37	155	29	to	to	PART
cpos-37	155	30	interpret	interpret	VERB
cpos-37	155	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	156	1	4	4	X
cpos-37	156	2	.	.	X
cpos-37	156	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	156	4	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	156	5	caused	cause	VERB
cpos-37	156	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	156	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	156	8	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	156	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	156	10	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	156	11	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	156	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	156	13	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-37	156	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	156	15	chronological	chronological	ADJ
cpos-37	156	16	deviations	deviation	NOUN
cpos-37	156	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	157	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	157	2	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	157	3	βt	βt	PROPN
cpos-37	157	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	157	5	k	k	PROPN
cpos-37	157	6	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	157	7	these	these	DET
cpos-37	157	8	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	157	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	157	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	157	11	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	157	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	157	13	a	a	DET
cpos-37	157	14	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	157	15	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-37	157	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	157	17	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	157	18	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	157	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	157	20	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	157	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	157	22	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	157	23	marks	mark	VERB
cpos-37	157	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	157	25	estimator	estimator	NOUN
cpos-37	157	26	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	157	27	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	157	28	n+h	n+h	NUM
cpos-37	157	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	157	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	158	1	5	5	X
cpos-37	158	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	159	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	2	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	159	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	159	4	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	159	5	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	159	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	159	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	159	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	159	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	11	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	159	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	159	13	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	159	14	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	159	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	159	16	st(x	st(x	PROPN
cpos-37	159	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	159	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	159	19	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	159	20	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	159	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	159	22	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	159	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	159	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	159	26	all	all	DET
cpos-37	159	27	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	159	28	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	159	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	159	30	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	159	31	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	159	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	33	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	159	34	estimators	estimator	NOUN
cpos-37	159	35	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-37	159	36	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	159	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	159	38	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	159	39	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	159	40	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	159	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	160	1	6	6	X
cpos-37	160	2	.	.	X
cpos-37	160	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	160	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	160	5	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	160	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	160	7	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	160	8	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	160	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	160	10	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	160	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	160	12	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	160	13	variances	variance	NOUN
cpos-37	160	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	160	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	160	16	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	160	17	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-37	160	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	160	19	step	step	NOUN
cpos-37	160	20	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	160	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	160	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	161	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	161	2	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	161	3	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	161	4	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	161	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	161	6	valuable	valuable	ADJ
cpos-37	161	7	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-37	161	8	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	161	9	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-37	161	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	161	11	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	161	12	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	161	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	161	14	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	161	15	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-37	161	16	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	161	17	indicating	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	161	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	161	19	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	161	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	161	21	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	161	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	161	23	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	161	24	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	161	25	simply	simply	ADV
cpos-37	161	26	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	161	27	a	a	DET
cpos-37	161	28	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	161	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	161	30	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	161	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	161	32	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	161	33	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	161	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	161	35	this	this	DET
cpos-37	161	36	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	161	37	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	161	38	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	161	39	upon	upon	SCONJ
cpos-37	161	40	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	161	41	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	161	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	161	43	distributions	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	161	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	162	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	162	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	162	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	162	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	162	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	162	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	162	8	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	162	9	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-37	162	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	162	11	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	162	12	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	162	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	162	15	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-37	162	16	against	against	ADP
cpos-37	162	17	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-37	162	18	breaks	break	NOUN
cpos-37	162	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	20	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	162	21	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	162	22	crises	crisis	NOUN
cpos-37	162	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	24	wars	war	NOUN
cpos-37	162	25	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	162	26	disasters	disaster	NOUN
cpos-37	162	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	162	29	supplies	supply	VERB
cpos-37	162	30	a	a	DET
cpos-37	162	31	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	162	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	34	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	162	35	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	162	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	162	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	162	38	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	162	39	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	40	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	162	41	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	162	42	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	162	43	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	162	44	779	779	NUM
cpos-37	162	45	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-37	162	46	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	162	47	enables	enable	VERB
cpos-37	162	48	restrictions,4	restrictions,4	NOUN
cpos-37	162	49	yet	yet	ADV
cpos-37	162	50	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	162	51	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
cpos-37	162	52	useable	useable	ADJ
cpos-37	162	53	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	162	54	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	162	55	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	56	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	162	57	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	162	58	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	162	59	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	163	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	163	2	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-37	163	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	163	4	erbas	erbas	PROPN
cpos-37	163	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	163	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	163	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	164	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	164	2	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	164	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	164	4	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	164	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	164	6	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-37	164	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	164	8	breast	breast	NOUN
cpos-37	164	9	cancer	cancer	NOUN
cpos-37	164	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	164	11	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-37	164	12	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	164	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	165	2	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	165	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	165	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	165	5	generalisation	generalisation	NOUN
cpos-37	165	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	165	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	165	8	groundbreaking	groundbreaking	ADJ
cpos-37	165	9	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	165	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	11	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	165	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	165	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	14	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	165	15	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	165	16	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	165	17	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	165	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	165	20	estimating	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	165	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	165	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	165	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	165	24	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	165	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	26	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	165	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	165	28	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	165	29	enhancements	enhancement	NOUN
cpos-37	165	30	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	165	31	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	165	32	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	165	33	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	165	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	165	35	other	other	ADJ
cpos-37	165	36	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	165	37	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	165	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	165	40	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	165	41	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	165	42	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	165	43	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	44	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	165	45	1993	1993	NUM
cpos-37	165	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	165	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	166	2	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	166	3	idea	idea	NOUN
cpos-37	166	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	166	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	166	6	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	166	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	8	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	166	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	166	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	166	11	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	166	12	refl	refl	PROPN
cpos-37	166	13	ected	ected	ADJ
cpos-37	166	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	166	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	166	16	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	166	17	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	166	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	19	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	166	20	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	166	21	differs	differ	VERB
cpos-37	166	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	166	23	some	some	DET
cpos-37	166	24	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	166	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	166	27	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	166	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	166	29	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	166	30	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	166	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	166	32	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	166	33	did	do	AUX
cpos-37	166	34	not	not	PART
cpos-37	166	35	require	require	VERB
cpos-37	166	36	any	any	DET
cpos-37	166	37	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	166	38	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	166	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	40	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	166	41	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	166	42	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	166	43	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	166	44	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	45	326	326	NUM
cpos-37	166	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	166	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	167	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	167	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	167	3	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	167	4	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	167	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	167	6	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	167	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	167	8	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	167	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	167	10	estimates	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	167	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	167	12	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-37	167	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	167	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	167	15	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	167	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	167	17	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	167	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	167	19	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	167	20	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	167	21	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	167	22	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	167	23	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	167	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	167	25	female	female	NOUN
cpos-37	167	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	167	27	independently	independently	ADV
cpos-37	167	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	167	29	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	167	30	another	another	DET
cpos-37	167	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	168	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	168	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	168	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-37	168	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	168	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	168	6	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	168	7	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	168	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	168	9	both	both	DET
cpos-37	168	10	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	168	11	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-37	168	12	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	168	13	diverge	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	168	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	168	15	a	a	DET
cpos-37	168	16	lengthy	lengthy	ADJ
cpos-37	168	17	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	168	18	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-37	168	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	169	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	169	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	169	3	this	this	DET
cpos-37	169	4	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	169	5	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	169	6	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-37	169	7	not	not	PART
cpos-37	169	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	169	9	explained	explain	VERB
cpos-37	169	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	169	11	founded	found	VERB
cpos-37	169	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	169	13	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	169	14	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	169	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	169	16	diffi	diffi	PROPN
cpos-37	169	17	culty	culty	NOUN
cpos-37	169	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	170	1	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-37	170	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	170	3	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	170	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	170	5	167	167	NUM
cpos-37	170	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	170	7	observes	observe	VERB
cpos-37	170	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	170	9	global	global	ADJ
cpos-37	170	10	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-37	170	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	170	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	170	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	170	14	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	170	15	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	170	16	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	170	17	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	170	18	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-37	170	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	170	20	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	170	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	170	22	sexes	sex	NOUN
cpos-37	170	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	1	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	171	2	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	171	3	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	171	4	up	up	ADP
cpos-37	171	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	171	6	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-37	171	7	model	model	VERB
cpos-37	171	8	this	this	DET
cpos-37	171	9	aspect	aspect	NOUN
cpos-37	171	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	171	11	called	call	VERB
cpos-37	171	12	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	13	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	171	14	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	171	15	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	17	li	li	PROPN
cpos-37	171	18	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	171	19	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	171	20	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	171	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	22	581	581	NUM
cpos-37	171	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	171	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	171	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	171	26	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-37	171	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	172	1	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	172	2	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	172	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	172	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	172	5	way	way	NOUN
cpos-37	172	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	172	7	thinking	thinking	NOUN
cpos-37	172	8	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	172	9	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
cpos-37	172	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	172	11	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	172	12	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-37	172	13	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	172	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	173	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	173	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	173	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	5	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	173	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	173	7	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-37	173	8	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	173	9	methodological	methodological	ADJ
cpos-37	173	10	enhancements	enhancement	NOUN
cpos-37	173	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	173	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	173	13	classical	classical	ADJ
cpos-37	173	14	leecarter	leecarter	NOUN
cpos-37	173	15	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	173	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	173	18	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	173	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	173	20	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	173	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	173	22	nault	nault	PROPN
cpos-37	173	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	24	1993	1993	NUM
cpos-37	173	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	27	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	173	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	29	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	173	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	31	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	173	32	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	173	33	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	173	34	li	li	PROPN
cpos-37	173	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	173	36	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	173	37	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	38	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	173	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	173	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	174	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	174	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	174	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	174	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	175	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	175	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	175	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	175	4	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	175	5	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	175	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	175	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	175	8	enhance	enhance	VERB
cpos-37	175	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	175	10	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	175	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	175	12	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	175	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	175	14	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	175	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	175	16	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	175	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	175	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	175	19	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	175	20	to	to	PART
cpos-37	175	21	avoid	avoid	VERB
cpos-37	175	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	175	23	diverged	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	175	24	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	175	25	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	175	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	175	27	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	175	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	175	29	imprecise	imprecise	ADJ
cpos-37	175	30	estimations	estimation	NOUN
cpos-37	175	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	176	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	176	2	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
cpos-37	176	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	176	4	made	make	VERB
cpos-37	176	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	176	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	176	7	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	176	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	176	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	176	10	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	176	11	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	176	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	176	13	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	176	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	176	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	176	16	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	176	17	remarks	remark	NOUN
cpos-37	176	18	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	176	19	limited	limit	VERB
cpos-37	176	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	176	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	176	22	case	case	NOUN
cpos-37	176	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	176	24	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	176	25	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-37	176	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	177	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	177	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	177	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	177	4	proves	prove	VERB
cpos-37	177	5	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	177	6	fl	fl	ADV
cpos-37	177	7	exible	exible	ADJ
cpos-37	177	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	177	9	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	177	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	177	11	expanded	expand	VERB
cpos-37	177	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	177	13	a	a	DET
cpos-37	177	14	larger	large	ADJ
cpos-37	177	15	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	177	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	177	17	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-37	177	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	178	2	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	178	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	178	4	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	178	5	yt	yt	PROPN
cpos-37	178	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	7	f(x	f(x	PROPN
cpos-37	178	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	178	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	178	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	178	12	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	178	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	178	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	178	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	178	16	a	a	DET
cpos-37	178	17	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	178	18	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	178	19	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	178	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	21	f(x	f(x	PROPN
cpos-37	178	22	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	178	24	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	178	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	178	26	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-37	178	27	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	178	28	an	an	DET
cpos-37	178	29	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	178	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	1	among	among	ADP
cpos-37	179	2	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	179	3	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-37	179	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	179	6	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	179	7	applies	apply	VERB
cpos-37	179	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	179	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	179	10	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	179	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	12	subscript	subscript	PROPN
cpos-37	179	13	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	179	14	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	15	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	179	16	xi	xi	PROPN
cpos-37	179	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	179	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	179	19	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	179	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	179	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	179	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	179	23	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	179	24	i	i	PRON
cpos-37	179	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	26	i	i	NOUN
cpos-37	179	27	=	=	NOUN
cpos-37	179	28	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	179	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	30	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	32	p	p	NOUN
cpos-37	179	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	35	εt(xi	εt(xi	PROPN
cpos-37	179	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	37	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	179	38	an	an	DET
cpos-37	179	39	independent	independent	ADJ
cpos-37	179	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	179	41	identically	identically	ADV
cpos-37	179	42	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	179	43	random	random	ADJ
cpos-37	179	44	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	179	45	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	179	46	σt	σt	ADP
cpos-37	179	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	179	48	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	179	49	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	179	50	a	a	DET
cpos-37	179	51	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	179	52	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	179	53	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	179	54	the	the	DET
cpos-37	179	55	measurement	measurement	NOUN
cpos-37	179	56	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	179	57	vary	vary	VERB
cpos-37	179	58	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	179	59	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	179	60	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	180	1	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	180	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	180	3	exception	exception	NOUN
cpos-37	180	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	180	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	180	6	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
cpos-37	180	7	formulation	formulation	NOUN
cpos-37	180	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	180	9	this	this	DET
cpos-37	180	10	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	180	11	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-37	180	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	180	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	180	14	described	describe	VERB
cpos-37	180	15	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	180	16	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	180	17	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	180	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	180	19	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	180	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	180	21	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	180	22	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	180	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	181	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	181	2	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	181	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	181	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	181	5	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-37	181	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	181	7	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	181	8	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	181	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	181	10	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	181	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	182	1	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	182	2	a	a	DET
cpos-37	182	3	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	182	4	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	182	5	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	182	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	182	7	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	182	8	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	182	9	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-37	182	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	182	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	182	12	geometric	geometric	ADJ
cpos-37	182	13	average	average	NOUN
cpos-37	182	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	182	15	pt	pt	X
cpos-37	182	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	182	17	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	182	18	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	182	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	182	20	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	182	21	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-37	182	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	182	23	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
cpos-37	182	24	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
cpos-37	182	25	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	182	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	182	27	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	182	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	182	29	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	182	30	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	182	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	182	32	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	182	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	182	34	death	death	NOUN
cpos-37	182	35	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-37	182	36	monotonically	monotonically	ADV
cpos-37	182	37	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	182	38	a	a	DET
cpos-37	182	39	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	182	40	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	182	41	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	182	42	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	182	43	integrated	integrate	VERB
cpos-37	182	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	183	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	183	2	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
cpos-37	183	3	employed	employ	VERB
cpos-37	183	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	183	5	this	this	DET
cpos-37	183	6	study	study	NOUN
cpos-37	183	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	183	8	contained	contain	VERB
cpos-37	183	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	183	10	chapter	chapter	NOUN
cpos-37	183	11	4.2	4.2	NUM
cpos-37	183	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	1	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	2	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	184	3	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	184	4	deschermeier780	deschermeier780	PROPN
cpos-37	184	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	184	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	184	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	9	square	square	ADJ
cpos-37	184	10	root	root	NOUN
cpos-37	184	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	184	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	13	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	184	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	15	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	184	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	184	17	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	184	18	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	184	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	21	each	each	PRON
cpos-37	184	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	184	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	24	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	184	25	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	184	26	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-37	184	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	184	28	a	a	DET
cpos-37	184	29	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	184	30	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	184	31	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	184	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	33	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	184	34	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	184	35	m(x	m(x	PROPN
cpos-37	184	36	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	38	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	184	39	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	184	40	describes	describe	VERB
cpos-37	184	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	42	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	184	43	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	44	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	184	45	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	184	46	progression	progression	NOUN
cpos-37	184	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	184	48	a	a	DET
cpos-37	184	49	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	184	50	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	184	51	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	52	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	184	53	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	54	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	184	55	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	184	56	adapts	adapt	VERB
cpos-37	184	57	the	the	DET
cpos-37	184	58	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	184	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	184	60	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	184	61	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	184	62	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	184	63	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	185	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	185	2	are	be	VERB
cpos-37	185	3	hardly	hardly	ADV
cpos-37	185	4	any	any	DET
cpos-37	185	5	corrections	correction	NOUN
cpos-37	185	6	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	185	7	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	185	8	close	close	ADJ
cpos-37	185	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	185	10	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	185	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	185	12	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	185	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	185	14	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	185	15	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	185	16	deviating	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	185	17	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	185	18	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	185	19	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	185	20	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	185	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	185	22	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-37	185	23	c	c	NOUN
cpos-37	185	24	deviations	deviation	NOUN
cpos-37	185	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	185	26	a	a	DET
cpos-37	185	27	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	185	28	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	185	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	185	30	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	185	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	186	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	186	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	186	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	186	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	186	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	186	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	186	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	186	8	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	186	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	186	10	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
cpos-37	186	11	formulation	formulation	NOUN
cpos-37	186	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	186	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	186	14	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	186	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	186	16	pt	pt	PROPN
cpos-37	186	17	becomes	become	VERB
cpos-37	186	18	a	a	DET
cpos-37	186	19	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-37	186	20	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	186	21	a	a	DET
cpos-37	186	22	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-37	186	23	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	186	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	186	25	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	186	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	186	27	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	186	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	186	29	tukey	tukey	PROPN
cpos-37	186	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	186	31	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-37	186	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	186	33	showed	show	VERB
cpos-37	186	34	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	186	35	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	186	36	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	186	37	practically	practically	ADV
cpos-37	186	38	uncorrelated	uncorrelated	ADJ
cpos-37	186	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	187	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	187	2	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	187	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	187	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	187	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	187	6	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	187	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	187	8	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	187	9	underlie	underlie	VERB
cpos-37	187	10	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	187	11	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	187	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	187	13	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	187	14	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	187	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	187	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	187	17	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	187	18	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	187	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	1	to	to	PART
cpos-37	188	2	prevent	prevent	VERB
cpos-37	188	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	188	4	diverged	diverged	ADJ
cpos-37	188	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	188	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	188	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	188	8	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	188	9	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	188	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	11	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	188	12	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	188	13	its	its	PRON
cpos-37	188	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	188	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	16	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	188	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	18	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	188	19	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	188	20	change	change	PROPN
cpos-37	188	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	22	pt	pt	PROPN
cpos-37	188	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	24	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	188	25	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	188	26	portrayed	portray	VERB
cpos-37	188	27	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	188	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	188	29	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	188	30	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	188	31	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	188	32	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	188	33	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	188	34	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	188	35	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	188	36	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	188	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	38	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	188	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	40	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	188	41	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	42	the	the	DET
cpos-37	188	43	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	188	44	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	188	45	φk(x	φk(x	NOUN
cpos-37	188	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	47	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	48	ψl(x	ψl(x	NUM
cpos-37	188	49	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	50	contain	contain	VERB
cpos-37	188	51	the	the	DET
cpos-37	188	52	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	188	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	188	54	pt	pt	PROPN
cpos-37	188	55	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	56	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	188	57	deviating	deviating	NOUN
cpos-37	188	58	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	188	59	the	the	DET
cpos-37	188	60	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	188	61	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	62	μp	μp	NOUN
cpos-37	188	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	188	64	μr	μr	NUM
cpos-37	188	65	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	188	66	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	189	2	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	189	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	189	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	189	5	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	189	6	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	189	7	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	189	8	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	189	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	189	10	shown	show	VERB
cpos-37	189	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	189	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	189	13	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	189	14	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	189	15	βt	βt	VERB
cpos-37	189	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	17	k	k	PROPN
cpos-37	189	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	189	19	γt	γt	PROPN
cpos-37	189	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	21	l.	l.	PROPN
cpos-37	189	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	189	23	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	189	24	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-37	189	25	measure	measure	VERB
cpos-37	189	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	189	27	error	error	NOUN
cpos-37	189	28	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-37	189	29	et(x	et(x	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	189	32	wt(x	wt(x	NUM
cpos-37	189	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	189	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	1	to	to	PART
cpos-37	190	2	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-37	190	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	190	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	190	5	estimators	estimator	NOUN
cpos-37	190	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	190	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	190	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	190	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	190	10	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	190	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	12	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	190	13	do	do	AUX
cpos-37	190	14	not	not	PART
cpos-37	190	15	diverge	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	190	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	190	18	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	190	19	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	190	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	190	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	190	22	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	190	23	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	190	24	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	25	βt	βt	ADP
cpos-37	190	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	27	k	k	NOUN
cpos-37	190	28	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	190	30	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	31	γt	γt	NOUN
cpos-37	190	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	33	l	l	NOUN
cpos-37	190	34	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	190	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	190	36	the	the	DET
cpos-37	190	37	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	190	38	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	190	39	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	190	40	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	190	41	must	must	AUX
cpos-37	190	42	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	190	43	stationary	stationary	ADJ
cpos-37	190	44	processes	process	NOUN
cpos-37	190	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	191	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	191	2	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	191	3	estimators	estimator	NOUN
cpos-37	191	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	191	5	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-37	191	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	191	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	191	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	191	9	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	191	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	192	2	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	192	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	192	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	192	5	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	192	6	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	192	7	n+h	n+h	NUM
cpos-37	192	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	192	9	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	192	10	pt(x	pt(x	NOUN
cpos-37	192	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	192	13	rt(x	rt(x	NOUN
cpos-37	192	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	192	16	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	192	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	192	18	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	192	19	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	192	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	21	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-37	192	22	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	192	23	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	192	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	192	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	192	26	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	192	27	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	192	28	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	192	29	result	result	NOUN
cpos-37	192	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	192	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	192	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	192	34	βn	βn	PROPN
cpos-37	192	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	36	k	k	NOUN
cpos-37	192	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	38	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	192	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	192	40	γn	γn	NOUN
cpos-37	192	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	42	l	l	NOUN
cpos-37	192	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	44	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	192	45	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	192	46	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	192	47	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	192	48	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	192	49	n+h	n+h	NUM
cpos-37	192	50	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	192	51	the	the	DET
cpos-37	192	52	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	192	53	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	192	54	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	55	subscript	subscript	PROPN
cpos-37	192	56	j	j	PROPN
cpos-37	192	57	marks	mark	VERB
cpos-37	192	58	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	59	male	male	NOUN
cpos-37	192	60	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	61	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	192	62	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	63	female	female	NOUN
cpos-37	192	64	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	65	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	66	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	192	67	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	192	68	by:5	by:5	PROPN
cpos-37	192	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	192	70	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	193	1	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	194	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	194	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	194	3	exact	exact	ADJ
cpos-37	194	4	procedure	procedure	NOUN
cpos-37	194	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	194	6	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	194	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	194	8	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	194	9	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	194	10	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	194	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	194	12	found	find	VERB
cpos-37	194	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	194	14	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	194	15	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	194	16	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	194	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	195	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	195	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	195	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	195	4	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	195	5	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	195	6	7	7	NUM
cpos-37	195	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	195	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	195	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	196	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	196	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	196	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	196	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	196	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	196	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	196	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	196	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	196	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	196	10	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	196	11	781	781	NUM
cpos-37	196	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	196	13	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	196	14	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	196	15	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	196	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	196	17	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	196	18	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	196	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	196	20	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	196	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	196	22	shortand	shortand	NOUN
cpos-37	196	23	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-37	196	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	196	25	term	term	NOUN
cpos-37	196	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	196	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	196	28	approx	approx	PROPN
cpos-37	196	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	197	1	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	197	2	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	197	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	197	4	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	197	5	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	197	6	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	197	7	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	197	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	197	9	339	339	NUM
cpos-37	197	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	197	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	198	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	198	2	a	a	DET
cpos-37	198	3	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-37	198	4	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	198	5	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-37	198	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	198	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	198	8	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-37	198	9	decreases	decrease	VERB
cpos-37	198	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	198	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	198	12	width	width	NOUN
cpos-37	198	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	198	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	198	15	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	198	16	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	198	17	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	198	18	increases	increase	VERB
cpos-37	198	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	199	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	199	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	199	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	199	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	199	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	199	6	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	199	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	199	8	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	199	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	199	10	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	199	11	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	199	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	199	13	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	199	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	199	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	199	16	past	past	NOUN
cpos-37	199	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	199	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	199	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	199	20	why	why	SCONJ
cpos-37	199	21	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	199	22	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	199	23	not	not	PART
cpos-37	199	24	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	199	25	a	a	DET
cpos-37	199	26	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	199	27	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	199	28	reversal	reversal	NOUN
cpos-37	199	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	200	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	200	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	200	3	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	200	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	200	5	basically	basically	ADV
cpos-37	200	6	true	true	ADJ
cpos-37	200	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	200	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	200	9	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	200	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	200	11	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	200	12	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	200	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	200	14	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	200	15	no	no	DET
cpos-37	200	16	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	200	17	uence	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	200	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	200	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	200	20	choice	choice	NOUN
cpos-37	200	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	200	22	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	200	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	200	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	200	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	200	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	200	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	200	28	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	200	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	201	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	201	2	a	a	DET
cpos-37	201	3	direct	direct	ADJ
cpos-37	201	4	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-37	201	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	201	6	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-37	201	7	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	201	8	cations	cation	NOUN
cpos-37	201	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	201	10	both	both	DET
cpos-37	201	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	201	12	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	201	13	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-37	201	14	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-37	201	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	201	16	cf	cf	NOUN
cpos-37	201	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	202	1	hyndman/	hyndman/	NUM
cpos-37	202	2	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	202	3	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	202	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	202	5	4953	4953	NUM
cpos-37	202	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	202	7	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	202	8	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	202	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	202	10	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	202	11	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	202	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	202	13	17	17	NUM
cpos-37	202	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	202	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	203	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	203	2	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	203	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	203	4	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	203	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	203	6	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	203	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	203	8	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	203	9	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	203	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	203	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	203	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	203	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	203	14	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	203	15	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	203	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	203	17	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	203	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	203	19	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	203	20	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	203	21	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	203	22	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	204	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	204	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	204	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	204	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	204	5	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	204	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	204	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	204	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	204	9	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	204	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	204	11	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	204	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	204	13	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	204	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	204	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	204	16	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-37	204	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	204	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	204	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	204	20	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	204	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	205	1	both	both	DET
cpos-37	205	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	205	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	205	4	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	205	5	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	205	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	205	7	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	205	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	205	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	205	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	205	11	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	205	12	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	205	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	205	14	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	205	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	205	16	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	205	17	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	205	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	205	19	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	205	20	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	205	21	very	very	ADV
cpos-37	205	22	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-37	205	23	against	against	ADP
cpos-37	205	24	outliers	outlier	NOUN
cpos-37	205	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	205	26	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-37	205	27	breaks	break	NOUN
cpos-37	205	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	206	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	206	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	206	3	an	an	DET
cpos-37	206	4	advantage	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	206	5	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	206	6	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	206	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	206	8	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	206	9	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	206	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	206	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	206	12	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	206	13	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-37	206	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	206	15	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	206	16	reforms	reform	NOUN
cpos-37	206	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	206	18	long	long	ADJ
cpos-37	206	19	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	206	20	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	206	21	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	206	22	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	206	23	not	not	PART
cpos-37	206	24	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	206	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	207	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	207	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-37	207	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	207	4	social	social	ADJ
cpos-37	207	5	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	207	6	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	207	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	207	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	207	9	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	207	10	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	207	11	reversal	reversal	NOUN
cpos-37	207	12	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	207	13	suburbanisation	suburbanisation	NOUN
cpos-37	207	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	207	15	reurbanisation	reurbanisation	NOUN
cpos-37	207	16	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	207	17	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	207	18	indicated	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	207	19	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	207	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	207	21	correspondingly	correspondingly	ADV
cpos-37	207	22	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-37	207	23	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
cpos-37	207	24	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	207	25	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	207	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	207	27	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	207	28	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	207	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	208	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	208	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	208	3	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	208	4	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	208	5	offered	offer	VERB
cpos-37	208	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	208	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	208	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	208	9	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	208	10	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	208	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	208	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	208	13	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	208	14	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	208	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	208	16	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	208	17	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	208	18	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	208	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	208	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	208	21	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	208	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	209	1	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	209	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	209	3	ideas	idea	NOUN
cpos-37	209	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	209	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	209	6	paradigm	paradigm	NOUN
cpos-37	209	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	209	8	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	209	9	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	209	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	209	11	this	this	DET
cpos-37	209	12	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	209	13	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	209	14	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	209	15	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
cpos-37	209	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	209	17	single	single	ADJ
cpos-37	209	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	209	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	209	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	209	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	210	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	210	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	210	3	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	210	4	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	210	5	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-37	210	6	us	we	PRON
cpos-37	210	7	to	to	PART
cpos-37	210	8	model	model	VERB
cpos-37	210	9	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	210	10	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	210	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	210	12	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-37	210	13	breaks	break	NOUN
cpos-37	210	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	210	15	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	210	16	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	210	17	manifested	manifest	VERB
cpos-37	210	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	210	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	210	20	form	form	NOUN
cpos-37	210	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	210	22	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	210	23	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	210	24	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	210	25	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	210	26	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	210	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	210	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	210	29	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	210	30	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	210	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	211	1	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-37	211	2	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	211	3	content	content	NOUN
cpos-37	211	4	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	211	5	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	211	6	interpreted	interpret	VERB
cpos-37	211	7	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	211	8	serve	serve	VERB
cpos-37	211	9	merely	merely	ADV
cpos-37	211	10	to	to	PART
cpos-37	211	11	correct	correct	VERB
cpos-37	211	12	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	211	13	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	211	14	depends	depend	VERB
cpos-37	211	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	211	16	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	211	17	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
cpos-37	211	18	content	content	NOUN
cpos-37	211	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	212	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	212	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	212	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	212	4	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	212	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	212	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	212	7	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	212	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	212	9	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	212	10	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	212	11	area	area	PROPN
cpos-37	212	12	4.1	4.1	NUM
cpos-37	212	13	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	212	14	five	five	NUM
cpos-37	212	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	212	16	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	212	17	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	212	18	uence	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	212	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	212	20	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	212	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	212	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	212	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	212	24	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	212	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	212	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	212	27	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	212	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	212	29	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	212	30	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	212	31	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	212	32	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	212	33	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	212	34	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	212	35	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	212	36	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	212	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	212	38	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	212	39	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	212	40	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	212	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	213	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	213	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	213	3	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	213	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	213	5	formalises	formalise	NOUN
cpos-37	213	6	this	this	DET
cpos-37	213	7	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	213	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	213	9	a	a	DET
cpos-37	213	10	system	system	NOUN
cpos-37	213	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	213	12	equations	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	213	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	213	14	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	213	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	213	16	without	without	ADP
cpos-37	213	17	precisely	precisely	ADV
cpos-37	213	18	specifying	specify	VERB
cpos-37	213	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	213	20	processes	process	NOUN
cpos-37	213	21	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	213	22	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	213	23	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	213	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	214	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	214	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	214	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	214	5	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	214	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	214	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	214	8	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	214	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	214	10	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	214	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	214	12	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	214	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	14	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	214	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	16	340	340	NUM
cpos-37	214	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	19	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	214	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	214	21	diagrammatically	diagrammatically	ADV
cpos-37	214	22	portrayed	portray	VERB
cpos-37	214	23	below	below	ADP
cpos-37	214	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	214	25	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	214	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	215	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	215	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	215	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	216	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	216	2	begins	begin	VERB
cpos-37	216	3	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	216	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	216	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	216	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	216	7	31	31	NUM
cpos-37	216	8	december	december	NOUN
cpos-37	216	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	216	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	216	11	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-37	216	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	216	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	217	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	217	2	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	217	3	movements	movement	NOUN
cpos-37	217	4	do	do	AUX
cpos-37	217	5	not	not	PART
cpos-37	217	6	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-37	217	7	completely	completely	ADV
cpos-37	217	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	217	9	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	217	10	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	217	11	xed	xed	NUM
cpos-37	217	12	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	217	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	217	14	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	217	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	217	16	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-37	217	17	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	217	18	throughout	throughout	ADP
cpos-37	217	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	217	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	217	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	218	1	during	during	ADP
cpos-37	218	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	218	3	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	218	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	218	5	immigrants	immigrant	NOUN
cpos-37	218	6	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	218	7	theoretically	theoretically	ADV
cpos-37	218	8	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	218	9	children	child	NOUN
cpos-37	218	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	218	11	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	218	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	219	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	219	2	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	219	3	takes	take	VERB
cpos-37	219	4	this	this	DET
cpos-37	219	5	aspect	aspect	NOUN
cpos-37	219	6	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	219	7	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-37	219	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	219	9	distributing	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	219	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	219	11	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	219	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	219	13	simulated	simulate	VERB
cpos-37	219	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	219	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	219	16	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	219	17	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	219	18	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	219	19	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	219	20	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-37	219	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	219	22	half	half	NOUN
cpos-37	219	23	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	219	24	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	219	25	january	january	NOUN
cpos-37	219	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	219	27	half	half	NOUN
cpos-37	219	28	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	219	29	31	31	NUM
cpos-37	219	30	december	december	NOUN
cpos-37	219	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	219	32	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	219	33	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	219	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	220	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	220	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	220	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	220	4	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	220	5	june	june	NOUN
cpos-37	220	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	220	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	220	8	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	220	9	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-37	220	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	220	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	220	12	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	220	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	220	14	31	31	NUM
cpos-37	220	15	december	december	NOUN
cpos-37	220	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	220	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	220	18	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-37	220	19	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	220	20	plus	plus	CCONJ
cpos-37	220	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	220	22	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	220	23	rst	rst	NOUN
cpos-37	220	24	half	half	NOUN
cpos-37	220	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	220	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	220	27	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	220	28	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	220	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	221	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	221	2	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	221	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	221	4	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	221	5	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	221	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	221	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	221	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	221	9	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	221	10	june	june	NOUN
cpos-37	221	11	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-37	221	12	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	221	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	221	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	221	15	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	221	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	222	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	222	2	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	222	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	222	4	live	live	ADJ
cpos-37	222	5	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	222	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	222	7	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	222	8	along	along	ADP
cpos-37	222	9	these	these	DET
cpos-37	222	10	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	222	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	222	12	corrected	correct	VERB
cpos-37	222	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	222	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	222	15	infant	infant	NOUN
cpos-37	222	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	222	17	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	222	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	223	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	223	2	newborns	newborn	NOUN
cpos-37	223	3	•	•	ADP
cpos-37	223	4	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	223	5	deschermeier782	deschermeier782	PROPN
cpos-37	223	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	223	7	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	223	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	223	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	223	10	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	223	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	223	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	223	13	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	223	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	223	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	223	16	moving	move	VERB
cpos-37	223	17	average	average	NOUN
cpos-37	223	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	223	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	223	20	past	past	ADJ
cpos-37	223	21	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	223	22	ve	ve	NOUN
cpos-37	223	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	223	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	2	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	224	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	224	4	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	224	5	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	224	6	t+1	t+1	PROPN
cpos-37	224	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	224	8	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	224	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	224	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	224	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	14	end	end	NOUN
cpos-37	224	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	224	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	17	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	224	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	19	31	31	NUM
cpos-37	224	20	december	december	NOUN
cpos-37	224	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	224	23	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	224	24	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	224	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	26	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-37	224	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	224	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	29	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	224	30	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	224	31	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	224	32	june	june	NOUN
cpos-37	224	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	224	34	a	a	DET
cpos-37	224	35	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	224	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	38	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	224	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	224	40	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	41	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-37	224	42	live	live	ADJ
cpos-37	224	43	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	224	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	224	45	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	46	second	second	ADJ
cpos-37	224	47	half	half	NOUN
cpos-37	224	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	224	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	224	50	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	224	51	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	224	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	225	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	225	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	225	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	225	4	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	225	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	225	6	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	225	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	225	8	starting	starting	NOUN
cpos-37	225	9	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	225	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	225	11	calculating	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	225	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	225	13	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-37	225	14	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	225	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	225	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	225	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	225	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	225	19	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	225	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	225	21	passed	pass	VERB
cpos-37	225	22	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	225	23	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	225	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	225	25	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-37	225	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	226	1	unlike	unlike	ADP
cpos-37	226	2	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	226	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	226	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	226	5	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	226	6	project	project	VERB
cpos-37	226	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	226	8	single	single	ADJ
cpos-37	226	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	226	10	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	226	11	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	226	12	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	226	13	each	each	PRON
cpos-37	226	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	226	15	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	226	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	226	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	226	18	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	226	19	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	226	20	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	226	21	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	226	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	226	23	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	226	24	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	226	25	require	require	VERB
cpos-37	226	26	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	226	27	complicated	complicated	ADJ
cpos-37	226	28	simulations	simulation	NOUN
cpos-37	226	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	226	30	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	226	31	each	each	PRON
cpos-37	226	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	226	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	226	34	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	226	35	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	226	36	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	226	37	dispersed	disperse	VERB
cpos-37	226	38	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	226	39	one	one	NUM
cpos-37	226	40	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	226	41	each	each	PRON
cpos-37	226	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	227	1	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	227	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	227	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	227	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	227	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	227	6	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-37	227	7	distributions	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	227	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	227	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	227	10	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	227	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	227	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	227	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	227	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	227	15	predetermined	predetermine	VERB
cpos-37	227	16	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	227	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	227	18	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	227	19	trajectories	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-37	227	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	227	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	227	22	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	227	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	227	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	227	25	simulated	simulate	VERB
cpos-37	227	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	227	27	stored	store	VERB
cpos-37	227	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	227	29	a	a	DET
cpos-37	227	30	database	database	NOUN
cpos-37	227	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	228	2	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	228	3	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	228	4	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	228	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	228	7	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	228	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	228	9	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	228	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	228	11	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-37	228	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	13	ranges	range	VERB
cpos-37	228	14	here	here	ADV
cpos-37	228	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	228	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	17	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	228	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	19	α	α	NOUN
cpos-37	228	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	21	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	228	22	2nd	2nd	ADJ
cpos-37	228	23	percentile	percentile	ADJ
cpos-37	228	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	228	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	26	100+α	100+α	NUM
cpos-37	228	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	28	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	228	29	2nd	2nd	ADJ
cpos-37	228	30	percentile	percentile	ADJ
cpos-37	228	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	32	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-37	228	33	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	228	34	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	228	35	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	228	36	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	228	37	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	38	416	416	NUM
cpos-37	228	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	228	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	229	1	separate	separate	ADJ
cpos-37	229	2	simulations	simulation	NOUN
cpos-37	229	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	229	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	229	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	229	7	section	section	NOUN
cpos-37	229	8	3.2	3.2	NUM
cpos-37	229	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	229	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	229	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	229	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	229	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	15	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	229	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	229	17	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	229	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	229	19	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	229	20	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	229	21	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	229	22	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	229	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	24	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	229	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	229	26	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	229	27	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	229	28	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	229	29	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	229	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	229	31	each	each	DET
cpos-37	229	32	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	229	33	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	229	34	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	229	35	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	229	36	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	229	37	form	form	VERB
cpos-37	229	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	39	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	229	40	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	229	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	229	42	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	229	43	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	229	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	230	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	230	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	230	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	230	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	230	5	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	230	6	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-37	230	7	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	230	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	230	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	230	10	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	230	11	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	230	12	june	june	PROPN
cpos-37	230	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	230	14	cf	cf	NOUN
cpos-37	230	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	230	16	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	230	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	231	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	231	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	231	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	232	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	232	2	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	232	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	232	4	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	232	5	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-37	232	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	232	7	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	232	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	232	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	232	10	poisson	poisson	NOUN
cpos-37	232	11	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	232	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	232	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	232	14	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	232	15	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	232	16	random	random	ADJ
cpos-37	232	17	drawing	drawing	NOUN
cpos-37	232	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	232	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	232	20	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	232	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	232	22	summation	summation	NOUN
cpos-37	232	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	232	24	these	these	DET
cpos-37	232	25	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	232	26	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	232	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	232	28	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-37	232	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	232	30	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	232	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	233	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	233	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	233	3	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	233	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	233	5	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	233	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	233	7	328	328	NUM
cpos-37	233	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	233	9	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-37	233	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	233	11	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-37	233	12	overview	overview	NOUN
cpos-37	233	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	233	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	233	15	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-37	233	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	233	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	233	18	respective	respective	ADJ
cpos-37	233	19	trajectories	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-37	233	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	233	21	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	233	22	integration	integration	NOUN
cpos-37	233	23	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	233	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	233	25	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	233	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	233	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	233	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	234	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	234	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	235	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	3	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	235	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	235	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	235	6	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	235	7	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	235	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	235	9	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	235	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	11	own	own	ADJ
cpos-37	235	12	design	design	NOUN
cpos-37	235	13	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	235	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	235	15	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	235	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	235	17	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	235	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	19	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	235	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	21	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	235	22	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	235	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	235	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	235	25	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	235	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	235	27	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	235	28	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	235	29	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	236	1	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	236	2	783	783	NUM
cpos-37	236	3	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	236	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	236	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	236	6	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	236	7	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	236	8	were	be	AUX
cpos-37	236	9	carried	carry	VERB
cpos-37	236	10	out	out	ADP
cpos-37	236	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	236	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	236	13	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	236	14	program	program	NOUN
cpos-37	236	15	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	236	16	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	236	17	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	236	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	236	19	version	version	NOUN
cpos-37	236	20	2.12.0	2.12.0	NUM
cpos-37	236	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	236	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	237	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	237	2	free	free	ADJ
cpos-37	237	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	237	4	software	software	NOUN
cpos-37	237	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	237	6	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	237	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	237	8	all	all	DET
cpos-37	237	9	prevalent	prevalent	ADJ
cpos-37	237	10	platforms	platform	NOUN
cpos-37	237	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	237	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	237	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	237	14	add	add	VERB
cpos-37	237	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	237	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	237	17	package	package	NOUN
cpos-37	237	18	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	237	19	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-37	237	20	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	237	21	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	237	22	contains	contain	VERB
cpos-37	237	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	237	24	described	describe	VERB
cpos-37	237	25	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	237	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	237	27	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	237	28	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	237	29	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	237	30	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	237	31	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	237	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	237	33	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	237	34	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	237	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	237	36	the	the	DET
cpos-37	237	37	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	237	38	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	237	39	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	237	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	238	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	238	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	238	3	require	require	VERB
cpos-37	238	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	238	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	238	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	238	7	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	238	8	package	package	NOUN
cpos-37	238	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	239	2	total	total	NOUN
cpos-37	239	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	239	4	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	239	5	progressions	progression	NOUN
cpos-37	239	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	239	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	239	8	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	239	9	were	be	AUX
cpos-37	239	10	simulated	simulate	VERB
cpos-37	239	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	239	12	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	239	13	exported	export	VERB
cpos-37	239	14	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	239	15	an	an	DET
cpos-37	239	16	excel	excel	NOUN
cpos-37	239	17	database	database	NOUN
cpos-37	239	18	to	to	PART
cpos-37	239	19	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	239	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	239	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	239	22	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	239	23	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	239	24	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	25	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-37	239	26	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	27	4.2	4.2	NUM
cpos-37	239	28	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	239	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	30	sources	source	NOUN
cpos-37	239	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	239	32	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-37	239	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	239	34	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	239	35	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	239	36	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	239	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	239	38	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	239	39	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	239	40	were	be	AUX
cpos-37	239	41	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-37	239	42	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	239	43	the	the	DET
cpos-37	239	44	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	239	45	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	239	46	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	239	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	239	48	the	the	DET
cpos-37	239	49	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	239	50	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	239	51	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	239	52	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	53	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	239	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	55	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	239	56	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	239	57	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	239	58	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	239	59	palatinate	palatinate	NOUN
cpos-37	239	60	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	240	1	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	240	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	240	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	240	4	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	240	5	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	240	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	240	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	240	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	240	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	240	10	arise	arise	VERB
cpos-37	240	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	240	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	240	13	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-37	240	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	240	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	240	16	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	240	17	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	240	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	240	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	240	20	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	240	21	rural	rural	ADJ
cpos-37	240	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	240	23	urban	urban	ADJ
cpos-37	240	24	districts	district	NOUN
cpos-37	240	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	1	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	241	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	241	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	241	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	241	5	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	241	6	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	241	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	241	8	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	241	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	241	10	live	live	ADJ
cpos-37	241	11	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	241	12	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	241	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	241	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	241	15	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	241	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	241	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	241	18	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-37	241	19	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	20	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	241	21	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	241	22	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	241	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	24	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	241	25	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	241	26	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	241	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	28	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	30	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	241	31	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	241	32	44	44	NUM
cpos-37	241	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	34	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	241	35	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	241	36	49	49	NUM
cpos-37	241	37	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	241	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	242	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	242	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	242	3	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	242	4	do	do	AUX
cpos-37	242	5	not	not	PART
cpos-37	242	6	differentiate	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	242	7	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	242	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	242	9	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	242	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	242	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	242	12	live	live	ADJ
cpos-37	242	13	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	242	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	242	15	we	we	PRON
cpos-37	242	16	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-37	242	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	242	18	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	242	19	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	242	20	females	female	NOUN
cpos-37	242	21	born	bear	VERB
cpos-37	242	22	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	242	23	are	be	VERB
cpos-37	242	24	105	105	NUM
cpos-37	242	25	males	male	NOUN
cpos-37	242	26	born	bear	VERB
cpos-37	242	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	243	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	243	3	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	243	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	243	5	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	243	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	243	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	243	8	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	243	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	243	10	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	243	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	12	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-37	243	13	c	c	NOUN
cpos-37	243	14	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	243	15	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	243	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	243	17	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	243	18	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	19	<	<	X
cpos-37	243	20	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	243	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	22	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	243	23	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	243	24	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	243	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	26	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	243	27	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	243	28	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	243	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	30	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	32	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	243	33	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	243	34	74	74	NUM
cpos-37	243	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	36	75	75	NUM
cpos-37	243	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	243	38	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	243	39	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	243	40	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	243	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	243	42	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	243	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	243	44	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	243	45	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	243	46	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	243	47	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	243	48	the	the	DET
cpos-37	243	49	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
cpos-37	243	50	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	243	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	244	1	both	both	DET
cpos-37	244	2	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	244	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	244	4	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	244	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	244	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	244	7	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	244	8	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	244	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	244	10	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	244	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	245	2	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	245	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	245	4	referenced	reference	VERB
cpos-37	245	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	245	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	245	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	245	8	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	245	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	245	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	245	11	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
cpos-37	245	12	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	245	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	245	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	15	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	245	16	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	245	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	245	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	245	19	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	245	20	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	21	<3	<3	NOUN
cpos-37	245	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	23	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	245	24	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	25	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	245	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	27	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	245	28	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	29	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	245	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	31	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	245	32	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	33	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	245	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	35	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	245	36	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	37	17	17	NUM
cpos-37	245	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	39	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	245	40	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	41	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	245	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	43	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	245	44	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	45	24	24	NUM
cpos-37	245	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	47	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	245	48	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	49	29	29	NUM
cpos-37	245	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	51	…	…	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	53	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	245	54	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	245	55	74	74	NUM
cpos-37	245	56	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	57	75	75	NUM
cpos-37	245	58	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	245	59	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	245	60	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	245	61	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	245	62	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	245	63	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	245	64	order	order	NOUN
cpos-37	245	65	to	to	PART
cpos-37	245	66	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	245	67	the	the	DET
cpos-37	245	68	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	245	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	246	1	calculating	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	246	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	246	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	246	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	246	5	boys	boy	NOUN
cpos-37	246	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	246	7	girls	girl	NOUN
cpos-37	246	8	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	246	9	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	246	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	246	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	246	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	246	13	proved	prove	VERB
cpos-37	246	14	problematic	problematic	ADJ
cpos-37	246	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	246	16	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	246	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	246	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	246	19	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	246	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	246	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	246	22	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	246	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	246	24	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-37	246	25	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	246	26	diverged	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	246	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	247	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	247	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	247	3	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	247	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	247	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	247	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	247	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	247	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	247	9	a	a	DET
cpos-37	247	10	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	247	11	were	be	AUX
cpos-37	247	12	distributed	distribute	VERB
cpos-37	247	13	evenly	evenly	ADV
cpos-37	247	14	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	247	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	247	16	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	247	17	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	247	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	247	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	247	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	247	21	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	247	22	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	247	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	247	24	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	247	25	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	247	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	247	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	247	28	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	247	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	248	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	248	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	248	4	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	248	5	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	248	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	248	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	248	8	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	248	9	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	248	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	248	11	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	248	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	248	13	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	248	14	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	248	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	248	16	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	248	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	248	18	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-37	248	19	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	248	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	248	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	248	22	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	248	23	{	{	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	24	<	<	X
cpos-37	248	25	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	248	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	27	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	248	28	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	248	29	24	24	NUM
cpos-37	248	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	31	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	248	32	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	248	33	29	29	NUM
cpos-37	248	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	35	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	248	36	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	248	37	49	49	NUM
cpos-37	248	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	39	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	248	40	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	248	41	64	64	NUM
cpos-37	248	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	43	65	65	NUM
cpos-37	248	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	248	45	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	248	46	}	}	PUNCT
cpos-37	248	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	249	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	249	2	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	249	3	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	249	4	analyses	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	249	5	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	249	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	249	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	249	8	residual	residual	ADJ
cpos-37	249	9	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	249	10	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	249	11	above	above	ADP
cpos-37	249	12	supplement	supplement	VERB
cpos-37	249	13	these	these	DET
cpos-37	249	14	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	249	15	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	249	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	249	17	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	249	18	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	249	19	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	249	20	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	249	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	250	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	250	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	250	3	these	these	DET
cpos-37	250	4	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	250	5	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-37	250	6	do	do	AUX
cpos-37	250	7	not	not	PART
cpos-37	250	8	fulfi	fulfi	VERB
cpos-37	250	9	l	l	NOUN
cpos-37	250	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	250	11	demands	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	250	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	250	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	250	14	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	250	15	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	250	16	here	here	ADV
cpos-37	250	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	251	1	an	an	DET
cpos-37	251	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	251	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	251	4	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	251	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	251	6	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	251	7	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	251	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	251	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	251	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	251	11	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	251	12	to	to	PART
cpos-37	251	13	base	base	VERB
cpos-37	251	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	251	15	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	251	16	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	251	17	upon	upon	SCONJ
cpos-37	251	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	252	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	252	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	252	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	252	4	median	median	NOUN
cpos-37	252	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	252	6	formed	form	VERB
cpos-37	252	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	252	8	each	each	DET
cpos-37	252	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	252	10	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	252	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	252	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	252	13	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	252	14	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	252	15	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	252	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	252	17	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	252	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	252	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	252	20	node	node	NOUN
cpos-37	252	21	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	252	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	252	23	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	252	24	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	252	25	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	252	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	253	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	253	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	253	4	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	253	5	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-37	253	6	monotonically	monotonically	ADV
cpos-37	253	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	253	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	253	9	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	253	10	threshold	threshold	NOUN
cpos-37	253	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	253	13	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	253	14	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	253	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	253	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	253	17	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-37	253	18	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	253	19	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	253	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	22	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	253	23	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	253	24	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	253	25	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	253	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	27	4945	4945	NUM
cpos-37	253	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	30	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-37	253	31	the	the	PRON
cpos-37	253	32	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	253	33	a	a	DET
cpos-37	253	34	person	person	NOUN
cpos-37	253	35	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	253	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	253	37	the	the	PRON
cpos-37	253	38	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	253	39	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	253	40	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	253	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	253	42	death	death	NOUN
cpos-37	253	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	254	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	254	2	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
cpos-37	254	3	restriction	restriction	NOUN
cpos-37	254	4	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	254	5	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	254	6	integrated	integrate	VERB
cpos-37	254	7	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	254	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	254	9	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-37	254	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	254	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	254	12	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	254	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	254	14	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	254	15	penalised	penalise	VERB
cpos-37	254	16	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	254	17	splines	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	254	18	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	254	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	254	20	wood	wood	NOUN
cpos-37	254	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	254	22	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	254	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	254	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	255	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	255	2	procedure	procedure	NOUN
cpos-37	255	3	reduces	reduce	VERB
cpos-37	255	4	biases	bias	NOUN
cpos-37	255	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	255	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	255	7	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	255	8	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	255	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	255	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	255	11	upper	upper	ADJ
cpos-37	255	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	255	13	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	255	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	256	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	256	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	256	3	same	same	ADJ
cpos-37	256	4	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	256	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	256	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	256	7	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	256	8	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-37	256	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	256	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	256	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	256	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	256	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	256	14	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-37	256	15	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	256	16	concave	concave	NOUN
cpos-37	256	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	256	18	prepared	prepare	VERB
cpos-37	256	19	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	256	20	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	256	21	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	256	22	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	256	23	splines	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	256	24	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	256	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	256	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	256	27	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	256	28	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	256	29	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	256	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	256	31	ng	ng	PROPN
cpos-37	256	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	256	33	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	256	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	256	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	257	1	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	257	2	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	257	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	257	4	not	not	PART
cpos-37	257	5	a	a	DET
cpos-37	257	6	relative	relative	ADJ
cpos-37	257	7	value	value	NOUN
cpos-37	257	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	257	9	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	257	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	257	11	both	both	ADV
cpos-37	257	12	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-37	257	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	257	14	negative	negative	ADJ
cpos-37	257	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	258	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	258	2	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	258	3	locally	locally	ADV
cpos-37	258	4	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
cpos-37	258	5	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	258	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	258	7	carried	carry	VERB
cpos-37	258	8	out	out	ADP
cpos-37	258	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	258	10	moore	moore	PROPN
cpos-37	258	11	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	258	12	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	258	13	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	258	14	1997	1997	NUM
cpos-37	258	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	258	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	258	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	258	18	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-37	258	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	258	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	259	2	three	three	NUM
cpos-37	259	3	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	259	4	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	259	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	259	6	contained	contain	VERB
cpos-37	259	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	259	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	259	9	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	10	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-37	259	11	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	12	package	package	NOUN
cpos-37	259	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	259	14	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	15	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-37	259	16	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	17	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	259	18	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	259	19	deschermeier784	deschermeier784	PROPN
cpos-37	259	20	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-37	259	21	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	259	22	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	259	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	259	24	chronological	chronological	ADJ
cpos-37	259	25	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	259	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	259	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	259	28	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	259	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	30	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	259	31	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	259	32	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	259	33	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	259	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	259	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	259	36	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	259	37	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	259	38	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	259	39	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	259	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	259	41	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	259	42	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	259	43	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	259	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	259	45	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	259	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	259	47	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	259	48	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	49	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	259	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	259	51	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	259	52	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	259	53	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	259	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	260	2	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-37	260	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	260	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	260	5	maximum	maximum	NOUN
cpos-37	260	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	260	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	260	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	260	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	10	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	260	11	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	260	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	260	13	refl	refl	VERB
cpos-37	260	14	ects	ect	VERB
cpos-37	260	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	260	16	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-37	260	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	260	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	260	19	median	median	ADJ
cpos-37	260	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	260	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	260	22	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-37	260	23	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	260	24	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	260	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	260	26	26.9	26.9	NUM
cpos-37	260	27	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	260	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	29	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	260	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	31	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	260	32	29.6	29.6	NUM
cpos-37	260	33	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	260	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	35	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	260	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	260	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	261	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	261	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	261	3	reveals	reveal	VERB
cpos-37	261	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	261	5	advantage	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	261	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	261	7	modelling	modelling	NOUN
cpos-37	261	8	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	261	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	261	10	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	261	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	261	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	261	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	261	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	261	15	empirical	empirical	ADJ
cpos-37	261	16	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	261	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	261	18	a	a	DET
cpos-37	261	19	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	261	20	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	261	21	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	261	22	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	261	23	deviate	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	261	24	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	261	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	261	26	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	261	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	261	28	n	n	NUM
cpos-37	261	29	points	point	NOUN
cpos-37	261	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	261	31	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	261	32	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	261	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	261	34	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	261	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	261	36	this	this	DET
cpos-37	261	37	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	261	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	262	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	262	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	262	3	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-37	262	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	262	5	a	a	DET
cpos-37	262	6	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	262	7	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	262	8	taken	take	VERB
cpos-37	262	9	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	262	10	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-37	262	11	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	262	12	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	262	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	262	14	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	262	15	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	262	16	through	through	ADP
cpos-37	262	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	262	18	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	262	19	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	262	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	262	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	262	22	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	262	23	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	262	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	263	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	263	2	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	263	3	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-37	263	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	263	5	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	263	6	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-37	263	7	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-37	263	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	263	9	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	263	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	263	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	263	12	constantly	constantly	ADV
cpos-37	263	13	rising	rise	VERB
cpos-37	263	14	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	263	15	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	263	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	263	17	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	263	18	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-37	263	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	263	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	263	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	263	22	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	263	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	263	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	263	25	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	263	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	263	27	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	263	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	263	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	263	30	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	263	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	263	32	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	263	33	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	263	34	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	263	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	263	36	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	263	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	264	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	264	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	264	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	265	1	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	265	2	across	across	ADP
cpos-37	265	3	all	all	DET
cpos-37	265	4	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	265	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	265	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	265	7	have	have	VERB
cpos-37	265	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	265	9	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	265	10	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	265	11	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	265	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	265	13	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-37	265	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	265	15	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	265	16	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	265	17	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	265	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	266	1	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	266	2	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	266	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	266	4	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	266	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	266	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	266	7	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	266	8	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-37	266	9	drop	drop	VERB
cpos-37	266	10	equally	equally	ADV
cpos-37	266	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	266	12	both	both	PRON
cpos-37	266	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	267	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	267	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-37	267	3	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-37	267	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	267	5	found	find	VERB
cpos-37	267	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	267	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	267	8	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	267	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	267	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	267	11	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	267	12	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	267	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	267	14	65	65	NUM
cpos-37	267	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	267	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	267	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	267	18	run	run	VERB
cpos-37	267	19	almost	almost	ADV
cpos-37	267	20	linear	linear	ADJ
cpos-37	267	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	267	22	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	267	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	267	24	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	267	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	267	26	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	267	27	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	267	28	a	a	DET
cpos-37	267	29	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-37	267	30	concave	concave	ADJ
cpos-37	267	31	progression	progression	NOUN
cpos-37	267	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	268	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	268	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	268	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	268	4	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	268	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	268	6	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	268	7	differ	differ	VERB
cpos-37	268	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	268	9	most	most	ADJ
cpos-37	268	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	268	11	this	this	DET
cpos-37	268	12	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	268	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	269	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	269	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	269	3	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	269	4	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	269	5	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	269	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	269	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	269	8	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	269	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	269	10	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-37	269	11	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	269	12	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	269	13	converge	converge	VERB
cpos-37	269	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	270	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	270	2	all	all	DET
cpos-37	270	3	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	270	4	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	270	5	75	75	NUM
cpos-37	270	6	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	270	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	270	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	270	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	270	10	logarithmised	logarithmised	ADJ
cpos-37	270	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	270	12	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	270	13	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-37	270	14	could	could	AUX
cpos-37	270	15	not	not	PART
cpos-37	270	16	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	270	17	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	270	18	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	270	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	270	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	270	21	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	270	22	situation	situation	NOUN
cpos-37	270	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	270	24	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	270	25	had	have	VERB
cpos-37	270	26	to	to	PART
cpos-37	270	27	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	270	28	linearly	linearly	ADV
cpos-37	270	29	interpolated	interpolate	VERB
cpos-37	270	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	271	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	271	2	target	target	NOUN
cpos-37	271	3	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	271	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	271	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	271	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	271	7	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	271	8	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	271	9	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	271	10	+	+	NUM
cpos-37	271	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	271	12	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	271	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	271	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	271	15	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	271	16	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	271	17	were	be	AUX
cpos-37	271	18	takfig	takfig	ADJ
cpos-37	271	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	272	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	3	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	272	4	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	272	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	6	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	272	7	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	272	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	272	9	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	272	10	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	272	11	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	272	12	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	272	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	272	14	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	272	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	16	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	272	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	18	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	272	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	272	20	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	272	21	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	272	22	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	272	23	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	272	24	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	272	25	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	272	26	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	272	27	120	120	NUM
cpos-37	272	28	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	272	29	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	272	30	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	272	31	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	272	32	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	272	33	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	272	34	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	272	35	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	272	36	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	272	37	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	272	38	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	272	39	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	272	40	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	272	41	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	272	42	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	272	43	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	272	44	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	272	45	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	272	46	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	272	47	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	272	48	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	49	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	272	50	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	272	51	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	272	52	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	272	53	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	54	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	272	55	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	272	56	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	272	57	b	b	NUM
cpos-37	272	58	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	272	59	splines	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	272	60	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	272	61	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	272	62	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	63	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	272	64	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	272	65	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	272	66	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	272	67	ng	ng	PROPN
cpos-37	272	68	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	69	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	272	70	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	71	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	272	72	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	272	73	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	74	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	272	75	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	272	76	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	77	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	272	78	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	272	79	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	80	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	272	81	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	272	82	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	272	83	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	272	84	the	the	DET
cpos-37	272	85	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	272	86	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	272	87	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	272	88	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	89	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	272	90	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	272	91	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	272	92	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	272	93	rhinelandpalatinate	rhinelandpalatinate	VERB
cpos-37	272	94	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	273	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	273	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	273	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	273	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	273	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	273	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	273	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	273	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	273	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	273	10	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	273	11	785	785	NUM
cpos-37	273	12	en	en	ADV
cpos-37	273	13	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	273	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	273	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	273	16	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-37	273	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	273	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	273	19	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	273	20	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	273	21	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	273	22	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-37	273	23	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	273	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	273	25	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	273	26	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	273	27	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	273	28	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	273	29	59	59	NUM
cpos-37	273	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	273	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	274	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	274	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	274	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	274	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	274	5	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	274	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	274	7	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	274	8	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	274	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	274	10	contained	contain	VERB
cpos-37	274	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	274	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	274	13	upper	upper	ADJ
cpos-37	274	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	274	15	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	274	16	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	274	17	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	274	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	274	19	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	274	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	274	21	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	275	1	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	275	2	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	275	3	underlies	underlie	VERB
cpos-37	275	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	275	5	variety	variety	NOUN
cpos-37	275	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	275	7	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	275	8	uences	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	275	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	275	10	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	275	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	275	12	effective	effective	ADJ
cpos-37	275	13	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-37	275	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	275	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	275	16	respective	respective	ADJ
cpos-37	275	17	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	275	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	275	19	origin	origin	NOUN
cpos-37	275	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	275	21	destination	destination	NOUN
cpos-37	275	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	275	23	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	275	24	lead	lead	VERB
cpos-37	275	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	275	26	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	275	27	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-37	275	28	chronological	chronological	ADJ
cpos-37	275	29	fl	fl	NOUN
cpos-37	275	30	uctuations	uctuation	NOUN
cpos-37	275	31	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	275	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	275	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	275	34	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	275	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	275	36	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	275	37	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	275	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	275	39	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	275	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	276	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	276	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	276	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	277	1	after	after	SCONJ
cpos-37	277	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	277	3	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	277	4	uxes	uxes	PROPN
cpos-37	277	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	277	6	outfl	outfl	ADJ
cpos-37	277	7	uxes	uxe	NOUN
cpos-37	277	8	connected	connect	VERB
cpos-37	277	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	277	10	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	277	11	reunifi	reunifi	NOUN
cpos-37	277	12	cation	cation	NOUN
cpos-37	277	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	277	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	277	15	early	early	ADJ
cpos-37	277	16	1990s	1990	NOUN
cpos-37	277	17	ebbed	ebb	VERB
cpos-37	277	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	277	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	277	20	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	277	21	stabilised	stabilise	VERB
cpos-37	277	22	noticeably	noticeably	ADV
cpos-37	277	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	278	1	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	278	2	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	278	3	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	278	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	278	5	middle	middle	NOUN
cpos-37	278	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	278	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	278	8	1990s	1990s	NUM
cpos-37	278	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	278	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	278	11	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	278	12	surpluses	surplus	NOUN
cpos-37	278	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	278	14	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	278	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	278	16	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	278	17	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	278	18	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	278	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	278	20	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	278	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	278	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	278	23	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	278	24	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	278	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	278	26	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	278	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	278	28	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	278	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	278	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	279	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	279	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	279	3	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	279	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	279	5	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	279	6	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	279	7	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	279	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	279	9	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	279	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	279	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	279	12	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-37	279	13	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	279	14	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	279	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	279	16	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	279	17	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	279	18	migrate	migrate	VERB
cpos-37	279	19	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	279	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	279	21	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	279	22	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	279	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	279	24	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	279	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	280	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	280	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	280	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	280	4	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	280	5	underscores	underscore	VERB
cpos-37	280	6	its	its	PRON
cpos-37	280	7	signifi	signifi	NOUN
cpos-37	280	8	cance	cance	NOUN
cpos-37	280	9	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	280	10	an	an	DET
cpos-37	280	11	educational	educational	ADJ
cpos-37	280	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	280	13	university	university	NOUN
cpos-37	280	14	location	location	NOUN
cpos-37	280	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	281	1	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-37	281	2	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	281	3	losses	loss	NOUN
cpos-37	281	4	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-37	281	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	281	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	281	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	281	8	upper	upper	ADJ
cpos-37	281	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	281	10	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	281	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	282	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	3	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	282	4	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	282	5	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	282	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	282	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	282	8	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	282	9	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	282	10	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	282	11	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	282	12	penalised	penalise	VERB
cpos-37	282	13	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	282	14	splines	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	282	15	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	282	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	282	17	wood	wood	NOUN
cpos-37	282	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	19	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	282	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	282	22	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	282	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	282	24	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	282	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	282	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	282	27	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	282	28	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	282	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	282	30	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	282	31	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	282	32	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	282	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	282	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	282	35	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	282	36	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	282	37	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	282	38	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	39	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	282	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	41	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	282	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	282	43	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	282	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	282	45	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	282	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	283	1	-4.5	-4.5	VERB
cpos-37	283	2	-4.0	-4.0	VERB
cpos-37	283	3	-3.5	-3.5	ADJ
cpos-37	283	4	-3.0	-3.0	PUNCT
cpos-37	283	5	-2.5	-2.5	ADJ
cpos-37	283	6	-2.0	-2.0	ADJ
cpos-37	283	7	-1.5	-1.5	ADJ
cpos-37	283	8	-1.0	-1.0	PROPN
cpos-37	283	9	-0.5	-0.5	PROPN
cpos-37	283	10	0.0	0.0	NUM
cpos-37	283	11	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	283	12	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	283	13	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	283	14	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	283	15	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	283	16	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	283	17	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	283	18	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	283	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	283	20	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	283	21	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	283	22	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	283	23	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	283	24	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	283	25	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	283	26	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	283	27	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	283	28	logarithmized	logarithmized	ADJ
cpos-37	283	29	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	283	30	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	283	31	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	283	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	284	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	284	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	284	3	smoothed	smoothed	ADJ
cpos-37	284	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	284	5	logarithmised	logarithmise	VERB
cpos-37	284	6	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	284	7	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	284	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	284	9	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	284	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	284	11	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	284	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	284	13	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	284	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	284	15	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	284	16	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	284	17	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	284	18	deschermeier786	deschermeier786	PROPN
cpos-37	284	19	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	284	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	285	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	3	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	285	4	differentiated	differentiate	VERB
cpos-37	285	5	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	285	6	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	285	7	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	285	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	285	9	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	285	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	285	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	285	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	285	13	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	285	14	-800	-800	PROPN
cpos-37	285	15	-400	-400	PROPN
cpos-37	285	16	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	285	17	400	400	NUM
cpos-37	285	18	800	800	NUM
cpos-37	285	19	1,200	1,200	NUM
cpos-37	285	20	1,600	1,600	NUM
cpos-37	285	21	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	285	22	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	285	23	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	285	24	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	285	25	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	285	26	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	285	27	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	285	28	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	285	29	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	285	30	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	285	31	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	285	32	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	285	33	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	285	34	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	285	35	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	285	36	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	285	37	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	285	38	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	285	39	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	40	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	285	41	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	285	42	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	285	43	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	285	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	285	45	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	285	46	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	285	47	the	the	DET
cpos-37	285	48	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	285	49	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	285	50	the	the	DET
cpos-37	285	51	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	285	52	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	285	53	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	285	54	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	285	55	the	the	DET
cpos-37	285	56	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	285	57	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	285	58	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	285	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	60	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	285	61	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	62	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	285	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	285	64	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	285	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	285	66	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	285	67	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	286	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	286	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	287	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	3	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	287	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	287	5	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	287	6	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	287	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	8	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-37	287	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	287	10	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	287	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	12	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	287	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	14	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	287	15	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	287	16	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	287	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	287	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	287	19	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	287	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	287	21	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	287	22	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	287	23	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	24	locally	locally	ADV
cpos-37	287	25	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
cpos-37	287	26	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	287	27	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	28	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	287	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	287	30	moore	moore	PROPN
cpos-37	287	31	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	287	32	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	287	33	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	287	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	35	1997	1997	NUM
cpos-37	287	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	287	38	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	287	39	the	the	DET
cpos-37	287	40	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	287	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	287	42	the	the	DET
cpos-37	287	43	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	287	44	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	287	45	the	the	DET
cpos-37	287	46	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	287	47	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	287	48	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	287	49	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	287	50	the	the	DET
cpos-37	287	51	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	287	52	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	287	53	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	287	54	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	55	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	287	56	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	57	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	287	58	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	287	59	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	287	60	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	287	61	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	287	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	288	1	-10,000	-10,000	PROPN
cpos-37	288	2	-5,000	-5,000	PROPN
cpos-37	288	3	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	288	4	5,000	5,000	NUM
cpos-37	288	5	10,000	10,000	NUM
cpos-37	288	6	15,000	15,000	NUM
cpos-37	288	7	20,000	20,000	NUM
cpos-37	288	8	25,000	25,000	NUM
cpos-37	288	9	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-37	288	10	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-37	288	11	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	288	12	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	288	13	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	288	14	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	288	15	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	288	16	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	288	17	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	288	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	288	19	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	288	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	288	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	288	22	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	288	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	288	24	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	288	25	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	288	26	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	288	27	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	288	28	787	787	NUM
cpos-37	288	29	4.3	4.3	NUM
cpos-37	288	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	288	31	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	288	32	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	288	33	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	288	34	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	288	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	288	36	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	288	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	288	38	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	288	39	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	288	40	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	288	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	288	42	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	288	43	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	288	44	consist	consist	NOUN
cpos-37	288	45	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	288	46	29	29	NUM
cpos-37	288	47	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	288	48	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	288	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	288	50	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	288	51	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	288	52	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	288	53	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	288	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	289	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	289	2	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	289	3	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	289	4	k=6	k=6	NOUN
cpos-37	289	5	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	289	6	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	289	7	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	289	8	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	289	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	289	10	this	this	DET
cpos-37	289	11	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	289	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	290	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	290	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	290	3	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	290	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	290	5	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	290	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	290	7	327	327	NUM
cpos-37	290	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	290	9	showed	show	VERB
cpos-37	290	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	290	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	290	12	results	result	NOUN
cpos-37	290	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	290	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	290	15	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	290	16	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	290	17	independent	independent	ADJ
cpos-37	290	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	290	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	290	20	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	290	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	290	22	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	290	23	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	290	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	290	25	k=6	k=6	NOUN
cpos-37	290	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	290	27	suffi	suffi	VERB
cpos-37	290	28	ciently	ciently	ADV
cpos-37	290	29	large	large	ADJ
cpos-37	290	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	291	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	291	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	291	3	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	291	4	encompass	encompass	VERB
cpos-37	291	5	82.7	82.7	NUM
cpos-37	291	6	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	291	8	11.3	11.3	NUM
cpos-37	291	9	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	291	11	3.3	3.3	NUM
cpos-37	291	12	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	291	14	1.9	1.9	NUM
cpos-37	291	15	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	291	17	0.6	0.6	NUM
cpos-37	291	18	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	291	20	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-37	291	21	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	22	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	291	23	99.9	99.9	NUM
cpos-37	291	24	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	291	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	291	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	291	27	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	291	28	deviating	deviate	VERB
cpos-37	291	29	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	291	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	291	31	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	291	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	2	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	292	3	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	292	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	292	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	6	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	292	7	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-37	292	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	292	9	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	292	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	11	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	292	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	13	7	7	X
cpos-37	292	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	15	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	292	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	17	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-37	292	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	292	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	292	21	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	292	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	23	βt.1	βt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	292	24	falls	fall	VERB
cpos-37	292	25	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	292	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	27	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	292	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	292	29	observation	observation	NOUN
cpos-37	292	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	32	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	292	33	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	292	34	strongest	strong	ADJ
cpos-37	292	35	among	among	ADP
cpos-37	292	36	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	292	37	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	292	38	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	292	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	292	40	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	292	41	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	292	42	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	43	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-37	292	44	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-37	292	45	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	292	46	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	292	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	292	48	the	the	DET
cpos-37	292	49	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	292	50	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	292	51	φ1	φ1	PROPN
cpos-37	292	52	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	292	53	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	293	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	293	2	negative	negative	ADJ
cpos-37	293	3	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	293	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	293	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	293	6	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	293	7	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	293	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	293	9	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-37	293	10	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	293	11	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	293	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	293	13	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	293	14	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	293	15	show	show	VERB
cpos-37	293	16	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	293	17	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	293	18	increase	increase	VERB
cpos-37	293	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	293	20	this	this	DET
cpos-37	293	21	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	293	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	293	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	293	24	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	293	25	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	293	26	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	293	27	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	293	28	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-37	293	29	describes	describe	VERB
cpos-37	293	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	293	31	social	social	ADJ
cpos-37	293	32	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	293	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	293	34	shifting	shift	VERB
cpos-37	293	35	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	293	36	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	293	37	a	a	DET
cpos-37	293	38	later	later	ADJ
cpos-37	293	39	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	293	40	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	293	41	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	293	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	294	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	294	2	remaining	remain	VERB
cpos-37	294	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	294	4	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	294	5	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	294	6	a	a	DET
cpos-37	294	7	whole	whole	ADJ
cpos-37	294	8	comprise	comprise	NOUN
cpos-37	294	9	an	an	DET
cpos-37	294	10	insuffi	insuffi	ADJ
cpos-37	294	11	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	294	12	share	share	NOUN
cpos-37	294	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	294	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	294	15	variance	variance	NOUN
cpos-37	294	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	294	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	294	18	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-37	294	19	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	294	20	to	to	PART
cpos-37	294	21	portray	portray	VERB
cpos-37	294	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	294	23	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	294	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	294	25	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	294	26	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	294	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	294	28	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	294	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	294	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	294	31	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	294	32	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	294	33	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	294	34	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	294	35	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	294	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	294	37	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	294	38	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	294	39	not	not	PART
cpos-37	294	40	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-37	294	41	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	294	42	contextual	contextual	ADJ
cpos-37	294	43	interpretation.6	interpretation.6	NOUN
cpos-37	294	44	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	294	45	counteract	counteract	VERB
cpos-37	294	46	systematic	systematic	ADJ
cpos-37	294	47	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	294	48	biases	bias	NOUN
cpos-37	294	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	294	50	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	294	51	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	294	52	caused	cause	VERB
cpos-37	294	53	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	294	54	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
cpos-37	294	55	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	294	56	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	294	57	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	294	58	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	294	59	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	295	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	295	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	295	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	295	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	295	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	295	6	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	295	7	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	295	8	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-37	295	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	295	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	295	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	295	12	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	295	13	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	295	14	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	295	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	295	16	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	295	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	296	1	8)	8)	NUM
cpos-37	296	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	297	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	297	2	maximums	maximum	NOUN
cpos-37	297	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	297	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	297	5	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	297	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	297	7	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	297	8	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	297	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	297	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	297	11	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-37	297	12	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	297	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	297	14	entire	entire	ADJ
cpos-37	297	15	period	period	NOUN
cpos-37	297	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	297	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	297	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	297	19	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-37	297	20	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-37	297	21	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-37	297	22	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	297	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	297	24	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	297	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	297	26	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	297	27	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	297	28	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	297	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	297	30	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	297	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	298	2	average	average	ADJ
cpos-37	298	3	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	298	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	298	5	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-37	298	6	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-37	298	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	298	8	29.85	29.85	NUM
cpos-37	298	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	10	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	298	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	298	13	31.36	31.36	NUM
cpos-37	298	14	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	298	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	16	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	298	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	298	19	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-37	298	20	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	298	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	298	22	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	298	23	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	298	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	298	25	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	298	26	[	[	X
cpos-37	298	27	31.06	31.06	NUM
cpos-37	298	28	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	29	31.65	31.65	NUM
cpos-37	298	30	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	298	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	299	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	299	2	total	total	ADJ
cpos-37	299	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	299	4	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	299	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	299	6	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-37	299	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	299	8	increases	increase	VERB
cpos-37	299	9	con6	con6	PROPN
cpos-37	299	10	all	all	DET
cpos-37	299	11	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	299	12	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	299	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	299	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	299	15	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	299	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	299	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	299	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	299	19	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	299	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	299	21	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	299	22	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	299	23	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	299	24	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	299	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	299	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	299	27	appendix	appendix	NOUN
cpos-37	299	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	300	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	300	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	1	7	7	NUM
cpos-37	301	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	4	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	301	5	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	301	6	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	301	7	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	301	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	301	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	301	11	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	301	12	including	include	VERB
cpos-37	301	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	301	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	301	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	17	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	301	18	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	301	19	βt.1	βt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	301	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	301	21	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	301	22	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	301	23	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	301	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	301	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	26	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	301	27	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	301	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	301	29	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	301	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	31	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	301	32	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	301	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	34	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	301	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	36	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	301	37	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	301	38	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	301	39	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	301	40	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	41	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	301	42	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	301	43	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	44	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	301	45	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	301	46	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	47	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	301	48	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	301	49	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	301	50	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	301	51	the	the	DET
cpos-37	301	52	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	301	53	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	301	54	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	301	55	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	56	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	301	57	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	58	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	301	59	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	301	60	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	301	61	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	301	62	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	301	63	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	302	1	-0.30	-0.30	PROPN
cpos-37	302	2	-0.20	-0.20	NUM
cpos-37	302	3	-0.10	-0.10	NUM
cpos-37	302	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
cpos-37	302	5	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-37	302	6	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-37	302	7	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-37	302	8	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	302	9	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	302	10	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	302	11	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	302	12	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	302	13	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	302	14	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	302	15	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	302	16	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	302	17	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	302	18	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	302	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	302	20	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	302	21	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	302	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	302	23	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	302	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	302	25	-20	-20	NUM
cpos-37	302	26	-15	-15	PUNCT
cpos-37	303	1	-10	-10	PUNCT
cpos-37	303	2	-5	-5	NOUN
cpos-37	304	1	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	304	2	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	304	3	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	304	4	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	304	5	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	304	6	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	304	7	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	304	8	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	304	9	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	304	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	304	11	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	304	12	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	304	13	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	304	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	304	15	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	304	16	•	•	X
cpos-37	304	17	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	304	18	deschermeier788	deschermeier788	PROPN
cpos-37	304	19	sistently	sistently	ADV
cpos-37	304	20	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	304	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	304	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	304	23	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	304	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	305	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-37	305	2	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	305	3	contains	contain	VERB
cpos-37	305	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	305	5	point	point	NOUN
cpos-37	305	6	estimators	estimator	NOUN
cpos-37	305	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	305	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	305	9	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	305	10	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	305	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	305	12	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	305	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	306	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	306	2	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-37	306	3	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	306	4	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	306	5	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-37	306	6	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	306	7	expectations	expectation	NOUN
cpos-37	306	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	306	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	306	10	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	306	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	306	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	306	13	national	national	PROPN
cpos-37	306	14	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	306	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	306	16	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-37	306	17	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	306	18	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	306	19	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	306	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	306	21	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	306	22	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	306	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	306	24	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	306	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	306	26	27	27	NUM
cpos-37	306	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	306	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	307	1	heckman	heckman	PROPN
cpos-37	307	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	307	3	walker	walker	PROPN
cpos-37	307	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	307	5	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	307	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	307	7	cite	cite	VERB
cpos-37	307	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	307	9	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	307	10	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-37	307	11	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	307	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	307	13	childbearing	childbeare	VERB
cpos-37	307	14	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-37	307	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	307	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	307	17	income	income	NOUN
cpos-37	307	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	307	19	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	307	20	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	307	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	307	22	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	307	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	307	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	307	25	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-37	307	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	307	27	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	307	28	to	to	PART
cpos-37	307	29	later	later	ADV
cpos-37	307	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	307	31	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	307	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	308	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	308	2	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	308	3	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
cpos-37	308	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	308	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	308	6	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	308	7	not	not	PART
cpos-37	308	8	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
cpos-37	308	9	enough	enough	ADV
cpos-37	308	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	309	1	ott	ott	PROPN
cpos-37	309	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	309	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	309	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	309	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	309	6	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	309	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	309	8	sketch	sketch	VERB
cpos-37	309	9	out	out	ADP
cpos-37	309	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	309	11	three	three	NUM
cpos-37	309	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	309	13	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-37	309	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	309	15	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	309	16	takes	take	VERB
cpos-37	309	17	children	child	NOUN
cpos-37	309	18	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	309	19	account	account	NOUN
cpos-37	309	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	309	21	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	309	22	planning	plan	VERB
cpos-37	309	23	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	309	24	after	after	ADP
cpos-37	309	25	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-37	309	26	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-37	309	27	vocational	vocational	ADJ
cpos-37	309	28	objectives	objective	NOUN
cpos-37	309	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	310	1	gustaffson	gustaffson	NOUN
cpos-37	310	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	310	3	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	310	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	310	5	bases	base	VERB
cpos-37	310	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	310	7	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-37	310	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	310	9	disadvantages	disadvantage	NOUN
cpos-37	310	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	310	11	motherhood	motherhood	NOUN
cpos-37	310	12	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	310	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	310	14	career	career	NOUN
cpos-37	310	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	310	16	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-37	310	17	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-37	310	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	311	1	börschsupan	börschsupan	NOUN
cpos-37	311	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	311	3	wilke	wilke	PROPN
cpos-37	311	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	311	5	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	311	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	311	7	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-37	311	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	311	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	311	10	emerging	emerge	VERB
cpos-37	311	11	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-37	311	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	311	13	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	311	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	311	15	working	work	VERB
cpos-37	311	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	311	17	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	311	18	lead	lead	VERB
cpos-37	311	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	311	20	a	a	DET
cpos-37	311	21	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-37	311	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	311	23	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	311	24	employment	employment	NOUN
cpos-37	311	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	311	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	311	27	they	they	PRON
cpos-37	311	28	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	311	29	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-37	311	30	approximate	approximate	VERB
cpos-37	311	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	311	32	employment	employment	NOUN
cpos-37	311	33	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-37	311	34	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	311	35	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	311	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	312	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	312	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	312	3	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-37	312	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	312	5	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	312	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	312	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	312	8	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	312	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	312	10	biologically	biologically	ADV
cpos-37	312	11	limited	limited	ADJ
cpos-37	312	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	312	13	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	312	14	must	must	AUX
cpos-37	312	15	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	312	16	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
cpos-37	312	17	made	make	VERB
cpos-37	312	18	up	up	ADP
cpos-37	312	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	312	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	312	21	later	later	ADJ
cpos-37	312	22	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	312	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	312	24	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	312	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	313	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	313	2	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	313	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	313	4	refl	refl	NOUN
cpos-37	313	5	ected	ected	ADJ
cpos-37	313	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	313	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	313	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	313	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	313	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	313	11	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	313	12	shift	shift	VERB
cpos-37	313	13	chronologically	chronologically	ADV
cpos-37	313	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	313	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	313	16	average	average	ADJ
cpos-37	313	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	313	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	313	19	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-37	313	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	313	21	childbirth	childbirth	NOUN
cpos-37	313	22	rises	rise	NOUN
cpos-37	313	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	313	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	313	25	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	313	26	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	313	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	313	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	313	29	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	313	30	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	313	31	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	313	32	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	313	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	1	8	8	NUM
cpos-37	314	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	314	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	314	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	314	7	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	314	8	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	314	9	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	314	10	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	314	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	314	12	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	314	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	14	black	black	NOUN
cpos-37	314	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	314	17	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	314	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	19	grey	grey	PROPN
cpos-37	314	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	21	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	314	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	23	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	314	24	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	314	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	314	26	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	314	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	28	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	314	29	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	314	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	31	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	314	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	33	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	314	34	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	314	35	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	314	36	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	314	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	38	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	314	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	314	40	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	41	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	314	42	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	314	43	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	44	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	314	45	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	314	46	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	314	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	314	48	the	the	DET
cpos-37	314	49	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	314	50	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	314	51	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	314	52	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	53	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	314	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	55	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	314	56	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	314	57	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	314	58	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	59	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	314	60	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	314	61	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	315	1	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	315	2	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	315	3	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	315	4	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	315	5	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	315	6	120	120	NUM
cpos-37	315	7	140	140	NUM
cpos-37	315	8	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	315	9	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	315	10	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	315	11	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	315	12	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	315	13	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	315	14	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	315	15	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	315	16	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	315	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	315	18	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	315	19	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	315	20	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	315	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	315	22	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	315	23	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	315	24	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	315	25	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	315	26	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	315	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	315	28	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	315	29	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	315	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	315	31	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	315	32	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	315	33	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	315	34	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	315	35	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	315	36	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	315	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	315	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	315	39	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	315	40	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	315	41	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	315	42	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	315	43	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	315	44	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	315	45	789	789	NUM
cpos-37	315	46	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-37	315	47	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	315	48	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	316	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	316	2	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	316	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	316	4	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	316	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	316	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	316	7	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	316	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	316	9	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	316	10	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	316	11	contribute	contribute	VERB
cpos-37	316	12	most	most	ADJ
cpos-37	316	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	316	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	316	15	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-37	316	16	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	316	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	316	18	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	316	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	317	1	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	317	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	317	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	318	1	to	to	PART
cpos-37	318	2	prevent	prevent	VERB
cpos-37	318	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	318	5	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	318	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	318	7	diverging	diverge	VERB
cpos-37	318	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	318	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	318	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	318	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	13	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	318	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	318	15	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	318	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	318	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	18	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	318	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	318	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	318	21	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	318	22	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	318	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	318	24	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	318	25	contains	contain	VERB
cpos-37	318	26	six	six	NUM
cpos-37	318	27	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	318	28	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	318	29	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-37	318	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	318	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	32	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	318	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	318	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	35	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	318	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	318	37	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	318	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	318	39	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	318	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	319	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	319	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	319	3	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	319	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	319	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	319	6	geometric	geometric	ADJ
cpos-37	319	7	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	319	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	319	9	both	both	DET
cpos-37	319	10	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	319	11	comprise	comprise	VERB
cpos-37	319	12	96.6	96.6	NUM
cpos-37	319	13	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	319	15	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-37	319	16	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	319	18	1.0	1.0	NUM
cpos-37	319	19	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	319	21	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-37	319	22	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	319	24	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-37	319	25	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	319	27	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-37	319	28	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	319	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	319	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	319	31	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	319	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	319	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	319	34	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-37	319	35	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	319	36	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	319	37	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	319	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	319	39	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	319	40	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	319	41	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	319	42	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	319	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	320	2	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	320	3	cient	cient	VERB
cpos-37	320	4	βt.1	βt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	320	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	320	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	320	7	dominant	dominant	ADJ
cpos-37	320	8	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	320	9	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	320	10	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	320	11	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	320	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	13	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	320	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	15	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	320	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	17	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	320	18	a	a	DET
cpos-37	320	19	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-37	320	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	320	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	320	22	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	320	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	24	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	320	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	320	26	refl	refl	PROPN
cpos-37	320	27	ected	ecte	VERB
cpos-37	320	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	320	29	most	most	ADV
cpos-37	320	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	320	31	infant	infant	NOUN
cpos-37	320	32	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	320	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	34	<	<	X
cpos-37	320	35	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	320	36	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	320	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	320	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	320	39	lessens	lessen	VERB
cpos-37	320	40	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	320	41	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	320	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	321	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	321	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	321	3	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	321	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	321	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	321	6	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	321	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	321	8	comprise	comprise	VERB
cpos-37	321	9	60.2	60.2	NUM
cpos-37	321	10	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	321	12	17.6	17.6	NUM
cpos-37	321	13	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	321	15	10.2	10.2	NUM
cpos-37	321	16	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	321	18	6.8	6.8	NUM
cpos-37	321	19	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	321	21	3.0	3.0	NUM
cpos-37	321	22	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	321	24	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-37	321	25	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	321	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	321	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	321	28	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	321	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	322	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	322	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	322	3	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-37	322	4	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	322	5	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	322	6	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	322	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	322	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	322	9	greatest	great	ADJ
cpos-37	322	10	deviations	deviation	NOUN
cpos-37	322	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	322	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	322	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	322	14	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	322	15	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	322	16	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	322	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	322	18	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	322	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	322	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	322	21	about	about	ADV
cpos-37	322	22	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	322	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	322	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	323	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	323	2	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	323	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	323	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	323	5	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	323	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	323	7	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-37	323	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	323	9	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-37	323	10	fl	fl	PROPN
cpos-37	323	11	uctuations	uctuation	NOUN
cpos-37	323	12	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	323	13	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	323	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	324	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	324	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	324	4	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	324	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	324	6	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	324	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	324	8	consistently	consistently	ADV
cpos-37	324	9	declining	decline	VERB
cpos-37	324	10	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	324	11	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-37	324	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	324	14	slows	slow	VERB
cpos-37	324	15	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	324	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	17	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	324	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	19	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	324	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	324	21	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	324	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	324	23	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	324	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	25	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	324	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	27	11	11	NUM
cpos-37	324	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	324	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	325	2	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	325	3	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	325	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	5	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	325	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	7	12	12	NUM
cpos-37	325	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	325	10	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	325	11	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-37	325	12	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	325	13	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	325	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	325	15	80.55	80.55	NUM
cpos-37	325	16	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	325	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	325	18	lies	lie	NOUN
cpos-37	325	19	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	325	20	the	the	DET
cpos-37	325	21	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	325	22	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	325	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	325	24	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	325	25	[	[	X
cpos-37	325	26	80.26	80.26	NUM
cpos-37	325	27	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	28	80.82	80.82	NUM
cpos-37	325	29	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	31	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	325	32	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	325	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	325	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	325	35	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	325	36	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-37	325	37	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	325	38	78.75	78.75	NUM
cpos-37	325	39	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	325	40	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	325	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	325	42	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	325	43	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	325	44	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	325	45	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	325	46	[	[	X
cpos-37	325	47	78.47	78.47	NUM
cpos-37	325	48	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	49	79.06	79.06	NUM
cpos-37	325	50	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	325	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	326	1	carnes	carne	NOUN
cpos-37	326	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	326	3	olshansky	olshansky	PROPN
cpos-37	326	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	326	5	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	326	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	326	7	377	377	NUM
cpos-37	326	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	326	9	cite	cite	VERB
cpos-37	326	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	326	11	obesity	obesity	NOUN
cpos-37	326	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	326	13	children	child	NOUN
cpos-37	326	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	326	15	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	326	16	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	326	17	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	326	18	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	326	19	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	326	20	new	new	ADJ
cpos-37	326	21	infectious	infectious	ADJ
cpos-37	326	22	diseases	disease	NOUN
cpos-37	326	23	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	326	24	sources	source	NOUN
cpos-37	326	25	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	326	26	could	could	AUX
cpos-37	326	27	possibly	possibly	ADV
cpos-37	326	28	weaken	weaken	VERB
cpos-37	326	29	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	326	30	even	even	ADV
cpos-37	326	31	reverse	reverse	VERB
cpos-37	326	32	this	this	DET
cpos-37	326	33	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	326	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	327	1	these	these	DET
cpos-37	327	2	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	327	3	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	327	4	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	327	5	uences	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	327	6	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	327	7	not	not	PART
cpos-37	327	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	327	9	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	327	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	327	11	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	327	12	included	include	VERB
cpos-37	327	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	327	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	327	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	327	16	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	327	17	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	327	18	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	327	19	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	327	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	327	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	328	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	328	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	1	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	329	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	3	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	329	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	329	5	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	329	6	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	329	7	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	329	8	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	329	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	329	10	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	329	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	329	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	329	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	329	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	329	15	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	329	16	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	329	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	329	18	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	329	19	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	329	20	1,100	1,100	NUM
cpos-37	329	21	1,200	1,200	NUM
cpos-37	329	22	1,300	1,300	NUM
cpos-37	329	23	1,400	1,400	NUM
cpos-37	329	24	1,500	1,500	NUM
cpos-37	329	25	1,600	1,600	NUM
cpos-37	329	26	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	329	27	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	329	28	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	329	29	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	329	30	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	329	31	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	329	32	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	329	33	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	329	34	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	329	35	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	329	36	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	329	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	329	38	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	329	39	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-37	329	40	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	329	41	1,000	1,000	NUM
cpos-37	329	42	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	329	43	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	329	44	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	329	45	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	46	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	329	47	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	329	48	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	329	49	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	329	50	the	the	DET
cpos-37	329	51	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	329	52	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	329	53	the	the	DET
cpos-37	329	54	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	329	55	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	329	56	the	the	DET
cpos-37	329	57	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	329	58	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	329	59	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	329	60	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	329	61	the	the	DET
cpos-37	329	62	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	329	63	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	329	64	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	329	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	66	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	329	67	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	68	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	329	69	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	329	70	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	329	71	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	329	72	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	329	73	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	330	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	330	2	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	330	3	deschermeier790	deschermeier790	PROPN
cpos-37	330	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	330	5	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	330	6	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	330	7	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	330	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	330	9	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	330	10	.	.	NOUN
cpos-37	330	11	5	5	X
cpos-37	330	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	330	13	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	330	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	330	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	330	16	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	330	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	330	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	330	19	two	two	NUM
cpos-37	330	20	genders	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	330	21	run	run	VERB
cpos-37	330	22	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-37	330	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	330	24	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	330	25	justifi	justifi	NOUN
cpos-37	330	26	es	es	VERB
cpos-37	330	27	modelling	modelling	NOUN
cpos-37	330	28	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	330	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	330	30	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	330	31	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	330	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	331	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	331	2	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	331	3	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	331	4	prior	prior	ADV
cpos-37	331	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	331	6	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	331	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	331	8	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-37	331	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	331	10	great	great	ADJ
cpos-37	331	11	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
cpos-37	331	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	331	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	331	14	had	have	VERB
cpos-37	331	15	a	a	DET
cpos-37	331	16	negative	negative	ADJ
cpos-37	331	17	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	331	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	331	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	331	20	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	331	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	331	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	331	23	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-37	331	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	331	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	332	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	332	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	332	3	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-37	332	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	332	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	332	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	332	7	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	332	8	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	332	9	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	332	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	332	11	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	332	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	332	13	included	include	VERB
cpos-37	332	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	332	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	332	16	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	332	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	333	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	333	2	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	333	3	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	333	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	333	5	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	333	6	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	333	7	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	333	8	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	333	9	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	333	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	333	11	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	333	12	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	333	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	333	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	333	15	dominant	dominant	ADJ
cpos-37	333	16	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	333	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	333	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	333	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	333	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	334	3	rst	rst	NOUN
cpos-37	334	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	334	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	6	six	six	NUM
cpos-37	334	7	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	334	8	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	334	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	334	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	11	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	334	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	334	13	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	334	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	15	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	334	16	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	334	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	18	course	course	NOUN
cpos-37	334	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	334	20	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	334	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	22	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	334	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	24	13	13	NUM
cpos-37	334	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	334	27	records	record	VERB
cpos-37	334	28	81.6	81.6	NUM
cpos-37	334	29	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	334	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	32	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	334	33	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	334	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	35	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	334	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	334	38	remainder	remainder	NOUN
cpos-37	334	39	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	334	40	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-37	334	41	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	334	42	10.5	10.5	NUM
cpos-37	334	43	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	45	5.2	5.2	NUM
cpos-37	334	46	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	48	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-37	334	49	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	334	51	0.7	0.7	NUM
cpos-37	334	52	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	53	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	334	54	0.4	0.4	NUM
cpos-37	334	55	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	334	56	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	335	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	335	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	335	3	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	335	4	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	335	5	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	335	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	335	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	335	8	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	335	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	335	10	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	335	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	335	12	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	335	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	335	14	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	335	15	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	335	16	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-37	335	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	335	18	educational	educational	ADJ
cpos-37	335	19	migrants	migrant	NOUN
cpos-37	335	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	335	21	variance	variance	NOUN
cpos-37	335	22	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-37	335	23	53.9	53.9	NUM
cpos-37	335	24	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	335	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	335	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	336	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	336	2	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	336	3	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	336	4	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	336	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	336	6	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	336	7	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	336	8	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	336	9	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	336	10	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	336	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	336	12	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	336	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	336	14	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	336	15	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-37	336	16	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	336	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	336	18	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	336	19	weakened	weaken	VERB
cpos-37	336	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	336	21	even	even	ADV
cpos-37	336	22	reversed	reverse	VERB
cpos-37	336	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	336	24	ensuing	ensue	VERB
cpos-37	336	25	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	336	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	337	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	337	2	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	337	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	1	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	338	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	338	4	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	338	5	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	338	6	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	338	7	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	338	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	338	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	338	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	338	11	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	338	12	including	include	VERB
cpos-37	338	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	338	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	338	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	338	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	338	17	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	338	18	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	338	19	βt.1	βt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	338	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	338	21	γt.1	γt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	338	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	338	23	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	338	24	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	338	25	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	338	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	338	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	338	28	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	338	29	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	338	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	338	31	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	338	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	33	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	338	34	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	338	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	36	-0.05	-0.05	NUM
cpos-37	338	37	0.00	0.00	NUM
cpos-37	338	38	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-37	338	39	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-37	338	40	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-37	338	41	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-37	338	42	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-37	338	43	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	338	44	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	338	45	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	338	46	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	338	47	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	338	48	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	338	49	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	338	50	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	338	51	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	338	52	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	338	53	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	338	54	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	338	55	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	56	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	338	57	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	338	58	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	338	59	-12	-12	NOUN
cpos-37	339	1	-8	-8	NOUN
cpos-37	339	2	-4	-4	NOUN
cpos-37	339	3	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	339	4	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	339	5	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	339	6	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	339	7	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	339	8	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	339	9	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	339	10	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	339	11	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	339	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	339	13	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	339	14	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	339	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	16	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	339	17	-0.1	-0.1	PROPN
cpos-37	339	18	0.0	0.0	NUM
cpos-37	339	19	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-37	339	20	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-37	339	21	0.3	0.3	NUM
cpos-37	339	22	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	339	23	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	339	24	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	339	25	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	339	26	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	339	27	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	339	28	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	339	29	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	339	30	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	339	31	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	339	32	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	339	33	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	339	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	35	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	339	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	37	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	339	38	-1.0	-1.0	PROPN
cpos-37	339	39	-0.5	-0.5	PROPN
cpos-37	339	40	0.0	0.0	NUM
cpos-37	339	41	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-37	339	42	1.0	1.0	NUM
cpos-37	339	43	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	339	44	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	339	45	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	339	46	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	339	47	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	339	48	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	339	49	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	339	50	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	339	51	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	339	52	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	339	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	54	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	339	55	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	339	56	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	57	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	339	58	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	339	59	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	339	60	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	339	61	the	the	DET
cpos-37	339	62	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	339	63	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	339	64	the	the	DET
cpos-37	339	65	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	339	66	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	339	67	the	the	DET
cpos-37	339	68	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	339	69	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	339	70	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	339	71	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	339	72	the	the	DET
cpos-37	339	73	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	339	74	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	339	75	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	339	76	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	77	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	339	78	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	79	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	339	80	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	339	81	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	339	82	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	339	83	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	339	84	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	340	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	340	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	340	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	340	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	340	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	340	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	340	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	340	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	340	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	340	10	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	340	11	791	791	NUM
cpos-37	340	12	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	340	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	1	11	11	NUM
cpos-37	341	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	3	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	341	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	341	5	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	341	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	7	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	341	8	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	341	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	341	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	341	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	341	12	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	341	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	14	black	black	NOUN
cpos-37	341	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	341	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	341	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	341	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	341	20	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	341	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	22	grey	grey	PROPN
cpos-37	341	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	341	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	341	26	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	341	27	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	341	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	341	29	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	341	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	31	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	341	32	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	341	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	34	-4.5	-4.5	VERB
cpos-37	341	35	-4.0	-4.0	VERB
cpos-37	341	36	-3.5	-3.5	ADJ
cpos-37	341	37	-3.0	-3.0	PUNCT
cpos-37	341	38	-2.5	-2.5	ADJ
cpos-37	341	39	-2.0	-2.0	ADJ
cpos-37	341	40	-1.5	-1.5	ADJ
cpos-37	341	41	-1.0	-1.0	PROPN
cpos-37	341	42	-0.5	-0.5	X
cpos-37	341	43	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	341	44	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	341	45	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	341	46	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	341	47	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	341	48	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	341	49	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	341	50	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	341	51	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	341	52	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	341	53	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	341	54	logarithmized	logarithmized	ADJ
cpos-37	341	55	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	341	56	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	341	57	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	341	58	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	341	59	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	341	60	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	341	61	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	341	62	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	341	63	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	341	64	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	341	65	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	341	66	-4.5	-4.5	VERB
cpos-37	342	1	-4.0	-4.0	NOUN
cpos-37	342	2	-3.5	-3.5	ADJ
cpos-37	342	3	-3.0	-3.0	PUNCT
cpos-37	342	4	-2.5	-2.5	ADJ
cpos-37	342	5	-2.0	-2.0	ADJ
cpos-37	342	6	-1.5	-1.5	ADJ
cpos-37	342	7	-1.0	-1.0	PROPN
cpos-37	342	8	-0.5	-0.5	X
cpos-37	342	9	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	342	10	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	342	11	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	342	12	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	342	13	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	342	14	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	342	15	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	342	16	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	342	17	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	342	18	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	342	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	342	20	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	342	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	342	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	342	23	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	342	24	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	342	25	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	342	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	342	27	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	342	28	logarithmized	logarithmized	ADJ
cpos-37	342	29	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	342	30	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	342	31	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	342	32	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	342	33	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	342	34	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	342	35	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	342	36	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	342	37	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	342	38	the	the	DET
cpos-37	342	39	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	342	40	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	342	41	the	the	DET
cpos-37	342	42	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	342	43	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	342	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	342	45	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	342	46	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	342	47	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	342	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	342	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	342	50	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	342	51	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	342	52	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	342	53	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	342	54	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	342	55	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	342	56	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	342	57	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	342	58	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	342	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	342	60	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	342	61	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	343	1	fig	fig	PROPN
cpos-37	343	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	1	12	12	NUM
cpos-37	344	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	3	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	344	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	344	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	344	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	344	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	344	9	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	344	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	11	black	black	ADJ
cpos-37	344	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	344	14	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	344	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	16	grey	grey	PROPN
cpos-37	344	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	344	19	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	344	20	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	344	21	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	344	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	344	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	24	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	344	25	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	344	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	344	27	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	344	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	29	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	344	30	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	344	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	32	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	344	33	72	72	NUM
cpos-37	344	34	74	74	NUM
cpos-37	344	35	76	76	NUM
cpos-37	344	36	78	78	NUM
cpos-37	344	37	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	344	38	82	82	NUM
cpos-37	344	39	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	344	40	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	344	41	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	344	42	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	344	43	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	344	44	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	344	45	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	344	46	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	344	47	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	344	48	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	344	49	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	344	50	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	344	51	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	344	52	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	344	53	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	344	54	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	344	55	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	344	56	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	344	57	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	344	58	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	344	59	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-37	344	60	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	344	61	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	62	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	344	63	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	344	64	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	344	65	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	344	66	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	67	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	344	68	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	344	69	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	70	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	344	71	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	344	72	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	73	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	344	74	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	344	75	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	344	76	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	344	77	the	the	DET
cpos-37	344	78	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	344	79	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	344	80	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	344	81	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	82	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	344	83	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	84	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	344	85	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	344	86	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	344	87	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	344	88	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	344	89	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	345	1	•	•	PROPN
cpos-37	345	2	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	345	3	deschermeier792	deschermeier792	PROPN
cpos-37	345	4	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	345	5	continues	continue	VERB
cpos-37	345	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	345	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	345	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	345	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	345	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	345	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	345	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	345	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	345	14	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	345	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	346	1	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	346	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	346	3	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-37	346	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	346	5	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	346	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	346	7	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	346	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	347	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	347	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	347	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	347	4	values	value	NOUN
cpos-37	347	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	347	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	347	7	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	347	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	347	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	347	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	347	11	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	347	12	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	347	13	18	18	NUM
cpos-37	347	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	347	15	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	347	16	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	347	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	347	18	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	347	19	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-37	347	20	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	347	21	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	347	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	347	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	347	24	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	347	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	347	26	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	347	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	347	28	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	347	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	347	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	348	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	348	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	348	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	348	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	348	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	348	6	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	348	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	348	8	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	348	9	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	348	10	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	348	11	remains	remain	VERB
cpos-37	348	12	an	an	DET
cpos-37	348	13	attractive	attractive	ADJ
cpos-37	348	14	education	education	NOUN
cpos-37	348	15	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	348	16	study	study	NOUN
cpos-37	348	17	location	location	NOUN
cpos-37	348	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	348	19	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	348	20	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	348	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	349	1	nonetheless	nonetheless	ADV
cpos-37	349	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	349	3	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	349	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	349	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	349	6	wide	wide	ADJ
cpos-37	349	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	349	8	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	349	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	349	10	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	349	11	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	349	12	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	349	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	349	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	349	15	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	349	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	349	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	349	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	349	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	349	20	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	349	21	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	349	22	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	349	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	349	24	greatest	great	ADJ
cpos-37	349	25	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	349	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	349	27	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	349	28	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	349	29	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	349	30	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	349	31	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	349	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	350	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	350	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	1	13	13	NUM
cpos-37	351	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	351	4	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	351	5	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-37	351	6	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	351	7	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-37	351	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	351	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	351	10	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	351	11	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	351	12	including	include	VERB
cpos-37	351	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	351	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	351	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	351	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	351	17	coeffi	coeffi	PROPN
cpos-37	351	18	cients	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	351	19	βt.1	βt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	351	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	351	21	γt.1	γt.1	PROPN
cpos-37	351	22	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	351	23	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	351	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	351	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	351	26	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	351	27	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	351	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	351	29	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	351	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	31	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	351	32	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	351	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	34	0.00	0.00	NUM
cpos-37	351	35	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-37	351	36	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-37	351	37	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-37	351	38	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-37	351	39	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-37	351	40	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-37	351	41	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	351	42	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	351	43	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	351	44	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	351	45	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	351	46	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	351	47	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	351	48	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	351	49	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	351	50	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	351	51	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	351	52	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	351	53	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	54	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	351	55	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	351	56	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	352	1	-400	-400	PROPN
cpos-37	352	2	-200	-200	NUM
cpos-37	352	3	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	352	4	200	200	NUM
cpos-37	352	5	400	400	NUM
cpos-37	352	6	600	600	NUM
cpos-37	352	7	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	352	8	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	352	9	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	352	10	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	352	11	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	352	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	352	13	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	352	14	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	352	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	352	16	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	352	17	-0.1	-0.1	PROPN
cpos-37	352	18	0.0	0.0	NUM
cpos-37	352	19	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-37	352	20	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-37	352	21	0.3	0.3	NUM
cpos-37	352	22	0.4	0.4	NUM
cpos-37	352	23	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	352	24	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	352	25	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	352	26	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	352	27	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	352	28	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	352	29	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	352	30	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	352	31	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	352	32	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	352	33	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	352	34	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	352	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	352	36	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	352	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	352	38	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	353	1	-400	-400	PROPN
cpos-37	353	2	-200	-200	NUM
cpos-37	353	3	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	353	4	200	200	NUM
cpos-37	353	5	400	400	NUM
cpos-37	353	6	600	600	NUM
cpos-37	353	7	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	353	8	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	353	9	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	353	10	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-37	353	11	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-37	353	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	353	13	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	353	14	1(x	1(x	NUM
cpos-37	353	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	353	16	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	353	17	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	353	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	353	19	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	353	20	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	353	21	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	353	22	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	353	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	353	24	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	353	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	353	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	353	27	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	353	28	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	353	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	353	30	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	353	31	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	353	32	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	353	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	353	34	the	the	DET
cpos-37	353	35	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	353	36	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	353	37	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	353	38	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	353	39	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	353	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	353	41	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	353	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	353	43	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	353	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	353	45	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	353	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	354	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	354	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	354	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	354	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	354	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	354	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	354	10	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	354	11	793	793	NUM
cpos-37	354	12	4.4	4.4	NUM
cpos-37	354	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	14	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	354	15	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	354	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	354	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	18	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	354	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	20	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	354	21	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	354	22	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	354	23	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	354	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	25	1990s	1990s	NUM
cpos-37	354	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	28	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	354	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	354	30	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	354	31	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	354	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	354	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	34	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	354	35	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	36	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	354	37	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	354	38	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	354	39	has	have	AUX
cpos-37	354	40	been	be	AUX
cpos-37	354	41	growing	grow	VERB
cpos-37	354	42	steadily	steadily	ADV
cpos-37	354	43	due	due	ADP
cpos-37	354	44	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	354	45	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	354	46	gains	gain	NOUN
cpos-37	354	47	caused	cause	VERB
cpos-37	354	48	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	354	49	the	the	DET
cpos-37	354	50	political	political	ADJ
cpos-37	354	51	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	354	52	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	354	53	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	354	54	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	55	reunifi	reunifi	PROPN
cpos-37	354	56	cation	cation	NOUN
cpos-37	354	57	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	58	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	354	59	europe	europe	PROPN
cpos-37	354	60	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	61	immigration	immigration	NOUN
cpos-37	354	62	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	354	63	repatriates	repatriate	NOUN
cpos-37	354	64	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	354	65	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	354	66	origin	origin	NOUN
cpos-37	354	67	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	68	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	69	gans	gan	NOUN
cpos-37	354	70	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	354	71	schmitz	schmitz	PROPN
cpos-37	354	72	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	73	veltin	veltin	PROPN
cpos-37	354	74	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	354	75	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	76	316	316	NUM
cpos-37	354	77	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	354	78	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	355	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	355	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	355	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	355	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	5	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	355	6	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	355	7	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	355	8	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	355	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	355	10	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	355	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	355	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	13	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
cpos-37	355	14	described	describe	VERB
cpos-37	355	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	355	16	section	section	NOUN
cpos-37	355	17	4.1	4.1	NUM
cpos-37	355	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	355	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	20	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	355	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	355	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	23	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-37	355	24	component	component	NOUN
cpos-37	355	25	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	355	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	355	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	28	recorded	recorded	ADJ
cpos-37	355	29	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	355	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	355	31	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-37	355	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	355	33	migrants	migrant	NOUN
cpos-37	355	34	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	355	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	355	36	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	355	37	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	355	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	356	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	356	2	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	356	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	356	4	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	356	5	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-37	356	6	slightly	slightly	ADV
cpos-37	356	7	until	until	ADP
cpos-37	356	8	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-37	356	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	356	10	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	356	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	356	12	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	356	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	356	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	356	15	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	356	16	drop	drop	VERB
cpos-37	356	17	measured	measure	VERB
cpos-37	356	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	356	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	356	20	median	median	NOUN
cpos-37	356	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	356	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	356	23	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cpos-37	356	24	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	356	25	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	356	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	357	1	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	357	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	357	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	357	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	357	5	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	357	6	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	357	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	357	8	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	357	9	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	357	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	357	11	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	357	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	357	13	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	357	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	357	15	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	357	16	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	357	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	357	18	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	357	19	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	357	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	357	21	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	357	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	357	23	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	357	24	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	357	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	358	1	-300	-300	NUM
cpos-37	358	2	-100	-100	NUM
cpos-37	358	3	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	358	4	300	300	NUM
cpos-37	358	5	500	500	NUM
cpos-37	358	6	700	700	NUM
cpos-37	358	7	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	358	8	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	358	9	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	358	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	358	11	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	358	12	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	358	13	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	358	14	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	358	15	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	358	16	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	358	17	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	358	18	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	358	19	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	358	20	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	358	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	358	22	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	358	23	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	358	24	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	358	25	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	358	26	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	359	1	-300	-300	NUM
cpos-37	359	2	-100	-100	NUM
cpos-37	359	3	100	100	NUM
cpos-37	359	4	300	300	NUM
cpos-37	359	5	500	500	NUM
cpos-37	359	6	700	700	NUM
cpos-37	359	7	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	359	8	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	359	9	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	359	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	359	11	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	359	12	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	359	13	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	359	14	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	359	15	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	359	16	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	359	17	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	359	18	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	359	19	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	359	20	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	359	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	359	22	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	359	23	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	359	24	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	359	25	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	359	26	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	359	27	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	359	28	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	359	29	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	359	30	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	359	31	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	359	32	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	359	33	the	the	DET
cpos-37	359	34	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	359	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	359	36	the	the	DET
cpos-37	359	37	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	359	38	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	359	39	the	the	DET
cpos-37	359	40	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	359	41	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	359	42	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	359	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	359	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	359	45	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	359	46	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	359	47	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	359	48	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	359	49	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	359	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	359	51	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	359	52	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	359	53	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	359	54	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	359	55	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	359	56	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	360	1	fig	fig	PROPN
cpos-37	360	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	1	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	361	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	3	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	361	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	361	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	6	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	361	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	361	8	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	361	9	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-37	361	10	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	361	11	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	361	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	361	13	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	361	14	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	361	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	16	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	361	17	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	361	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	361	19	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	361	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	21	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	361	22	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	361	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	24	960,000	960,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	25	980,000	980,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	26	1,000,000	1,000,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	27	1,020,000	1,020,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	28	1,040,000	1,040,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	29	1,060,000	1,060,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	30	1,080,000	1,080,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	31	1,100,000	1,100,000	NUM
cpos-37	361	32	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	361	33	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	361	34	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	361	35	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-37	361	36	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	361	37	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	361	38	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	361	39	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	361	40	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	361	41	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	361	42	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	361	43	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	361	44	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	361	45	time	time	VERB
cpos-37	361	46	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	361	47	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	48	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	361	49	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	361	50	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	361	51	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	361	52	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	53	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	361	54	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	361	55	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	56	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	361	57	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	361	58	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	59	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	361	60	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	361	61	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	361	62	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	361	63	the	the	DET
cpos-37	361	64	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	361	65	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	361	66	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	361	67	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	68	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	361	69	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	70	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	361	71	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	361	72	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	361	73	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	361	74	palatinate	palatinate	NOUN
cpos-37	361	75	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	362	1	960,000	960,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	2	980,000	980,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	3	1,000,000	1,000,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	4	1,020,000	1,020,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	5	1,040,000	1,040,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	6	1,060,000	1,060,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	7	1,080,000	1,080,000	NUM
cpos-37	362	8	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	362	9	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	362	10	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	362	11	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-37	362	12	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	362	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	362	14	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	362	15	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	362	16	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	362	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	362	18	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	362	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	362	20	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	362	21	time	time	VERB
cpos-37	362	22	•	•	ADP
cpos-37	362	23	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	362	24	deschermeier794	deschermeier794	PROPN
cpos-37	362	25	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	362	26	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	362	27	1.0349	1.0349	NUM
cpos-37	362	28	million	million	NUM
cpos-37	362	29	inhabitants	inhabitant	NOUN
cpos-37	362	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	362	31	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	362	32	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-37	362	33	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	362	34	a	a	DET
cpos-37	362	35	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-37	362	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	362	37	2.31	2.31	NUM
cpos-37	362	38	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	362	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	362	40	the	the	DET
cpos-37	362	41	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	362	42	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	362	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	362	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	362	45	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-37	362	46	within	within	ADP
cpos-37	362	47	the	the	DET
cpos-37	362	48	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	362	49	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	362	50	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	362	51	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	362	52	[	[	X
cpos-37	362	53	1.0292	1.0292	NUM
cpos-37	362	54	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	362	55	1.0403	1.0403	NUM
cpos-37	362	56	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	362	57	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	363	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	363	2	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	363	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	363	4	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	363	5	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	363	6	drop	drop	VERB
cpos-37	363	7	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	363	8	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	363	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	363	10	4.45	4.45	NUM
cpos-37	363	11	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-37	363	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	363	13	1.0280	1.0280	NUM
cpos-37	363	14	million	million	NUM
cpos-37	363	15	inhabitants	inhabitant	NOUN
cpos-37	363	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	363	17	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	363	18	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	363	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	363	20	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	363	21	[	[	X
cpos-37	363	22	1.0234	1.0234	NUM
cpos-37	363	23	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	363	24	1.0327	1.0327	NUM
cpos-37	363	25	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	363	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	363	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	364	1	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	364	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	364	3	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	364	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	364	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	364	6	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	364	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	364	8	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	364	9	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-37	364	10	somewhat	somewhat	ADV
cpos-37	364	11	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	364	12	strongly	strongly	ADV
cpos-37	364	13	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	364	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	364	15	male	male	NOUN
cpos-37	364	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	365	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	2	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	365	3	pyramid	pyramid	NOUN
cpos-37	365	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	365	5	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-37	365	6	16	16	NUM
cpos-37	365	7	shows	show	VERB
cpos-37	365	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	9	anticipated	anticipate	VERB
cpos-37	365	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	365	11	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	365	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	365	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	14	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	365	15	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	365	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	365	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	18	last	last	ADJ
cpos-37	365	19	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	365	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	365	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	22	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	365	23	series	series	PROPN
cpos-37	365	24	data	data	PROPN
cpos-37	365	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	365	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	365	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	365	29	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	365	30	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	365	31	the	the	DET
cpos-37	365	32	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	365	33	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	365	34	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	365	35	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	365	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	366	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	366	2	largest	large	ADJ
cpos-37	366	3	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-37	366	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	366	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	366	6	total	total	ADJ
cpos-37	366	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	366	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	366	9	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	366	10	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	366	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	366	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	366	13	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	366	14	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	366	15	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	366	16	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	366	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	1	16	16	NUM
cpos-37	367	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	3	male	male	ADJ
cpos-37	367	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	367	5	female	female	ADJ
cpos-37	367	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	367	7	according	accord	VERB
cpos-37	367	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	367	9	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	367	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	367	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	367	12	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	367	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	14	grey	grey	PROPN
cpos-37	367	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	367	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	18	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-37	367	19	quantile	quantile	NOUN
cpos-37	367	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	367	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	22	simulation	simulation	NOUN
cpos-37	367	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	367	24	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	367	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	26	black	black	NOUN
cpos-37	367	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	367	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	30	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	367	31	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	367	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	367	33	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	367	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	35	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-37	367	36	lines	line	NOUN
cpos-37	367	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	38	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	367	39	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	40	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	367	41	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	367	42	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-37	367	43	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	367	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	45	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	367	46	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	367	47	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	48	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	367	49	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	367	50	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	51	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	367	52	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	367	53	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	367	54	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	367	55	the	the	DET
cpos-37	367	56	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	367	57	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	367	58	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	367	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	60	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	367	61	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	62	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	367	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	367	64	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	367	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	367	66	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	367	67	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	368	1	30,000	30,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	2	20,000	20,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	3	10,000	10,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	4	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	368	5	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	368	6	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	368	7	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	368	8	15	15	NUM
cpos-37	368	9	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	368	10	25	25	NUM
cpos-37	368	11	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	368	12	35	35	NUM
cpos-37	368	13	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	368	14	45	45	NUM
cpos-37	368	15	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	368	16	55	55	NUM
cpos-37	368	17	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	368	18	65	65	NUM
cpos-37	368	19	70	70	NUM
cpos-37	368	20	75	75	NUM
cpos-37	368	21	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	368	22	85	85	NUM
cpos-37	368	23	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	368	24	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	368	25	10,000	10,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	26	20,000	20,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	27	30,000	30,000	NUM
cpos-37	368	28	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	368	29	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	368	30	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	368	31	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	368	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	368	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	368	34	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	368	35	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	368	36	%	%	NOUN
cpos-37	368	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	368	38	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	368	39	men	man	NOUN
cpos-37	368	40	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-37	368	41	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	368	42	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	368	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	368	44	the	the	DET
cpos-37	368	45	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	368	46	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	368	47	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	368	48	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	368	49	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	368	50	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	368	51	795	795	NUM
cpos-37	368	52	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	368	53	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	368	54	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	368	55	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	369	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	369	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	369	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	369	4	lie	lie	VERB
cpos-37	369	5	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-37	369	6	below	below	ADP
cpos-37	369	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	369	8	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	369	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	369	10	maintaining	maintain	VERB
cpos-37	369	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	369	12	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	369	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	369	14	even	even	ADV
cpos-37	369	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	369	16	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-37	369	17	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	369	18	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	369	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	369	20	not	not	PART
cpos-37	369	21	suffi	suffi	NOUN
cpos-37	369	22	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	369	23	to	to	PART
cpos-37	369	24	balance	balance	VERB
cpos-37	369	25	out	out	ADP
cpos-37	369	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	369	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	369	28	surpluses	surplus	NOUN
cpos-37	369	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	370	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	370	2	makes	make	VERB
cpos-37	370	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	370	4	distinct	distinct	ADJ
cpos-37	370	5	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-37	370	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	370	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	370	8	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	370	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	370	10	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	370	11	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	370	12	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	370	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	370	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	370	15	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	370	16	apparent	apparent	ADJ
cpos-37	370	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	371	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	371	2	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	371	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	371	4	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	371	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	371	6	working	work	VERB
cpos-37	371	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	371	8	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	371	9	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	371	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	371	11	decreases	decrease	NOUN
cpos-37	371	12	enormously	enormously	ADV
cpos-37	371	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	371	14	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	371	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	371	16	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	371	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	371	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	371	19	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	371	20	to	to	PART
cpos-37	371	21	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	371	22	65	65	NUM
cpos-37	371	23	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	371	24	olds	old	NOUN
cpos-37	371	25	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	371	26	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-37	371	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	371	28	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	371	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	371	30	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	371	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	371	32	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	371	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	372	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	372	2	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-37	372	3	arises	arise	VERB
cpos-37	372	4	mainly	mainly	ADV
cpos-37	372	5	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	372	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	372	7	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-37	372	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	372	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	372	10	largest	large	ADJ
cpos-37	372	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	372	12	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	372	13	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	372	14	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	372	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	372	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	372	17	older	old	ADJ
cpos-37	372	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	372	19	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	372	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	372	21	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	372	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	373	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	373	3	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	373	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	373	5	greatest	great	ADJ
cpos-37	373	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	373	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	373	9	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	373	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	373	11	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	373	12	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	373	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	373	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	373	15	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	373	16	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	17	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	373	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	373	19	these	these	DET
cpos-37	373	20	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	373	21	come	come	VERB
cpos-37	373	22	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	373	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	24	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	373	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	373	26	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	373	27	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-37	373	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	373	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	30	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	373	31	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	373	32	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	33	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	373	34	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	373	35	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	36	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	373	37	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	373	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	373	39	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	373	40	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	373	41	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	373	42	had	have	AUX
cpos-37	373	43	already	already	ADV
cpos-37	373	44	been	be	AUX
cpos-37	373	45	born	bear	VERB
cpos-37	373	46	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	373	47	the	the	DET
cpos-37	373	48	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	373	49	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-37	373	50	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	373	51	year	year	NOUN
cpos-37	373	52	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	373	53	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	373	54	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	373	55	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	373	56	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	373	57	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	373	58	no	no	ADV
cpos-37	373	59	longer	long	ADV
cpos-37	373	60	a	a	DET
cpos-37	373	61	source	source	NOUN
cpos-37	373	62	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	373	63	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-37	373	64	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-37	373	65	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	374	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	374	2	width	width	NOUN
cpos-37	374	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	374	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	374	5	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-37	374	6	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	374	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	374	8	additionally	additionally	ADV
cpos-37	374	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	374	10	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-37	374	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	374	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	374	13	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-37	374	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	374	15	net	net	ADJ
cpos-37	374	16	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	374	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	374	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	374	19	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	374	20	distinctly	distinctly	ADV
cpos-37	374	21	stabilise	stabilise	VERB
cpos-37	374	22	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	374	23	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	374	24	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	374	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	374	26	cf	cf	NOUN
cpos-37	374	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	374	28	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-37	374	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	375	1	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	375	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	375	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	375	4	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	375	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	375	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	375	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	375	8	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	375	9	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	375	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	375	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	375	12	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	375	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	375	14	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	375	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	375	16	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-37	375	17	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-37	375	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	376	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	376	2	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-37	376	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	376	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	376	5	future	future	NOUN
cpos-37	376	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	376	7	a	a	DET
cpos-37	376	8	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	376	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	376	10	uncertain	uncertain	ADJ
cpos-37	376	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	377	2	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	377	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	377	4	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	377	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	377	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	377	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	377	8	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	377	9	cial	cial	PROPN
cpos-37	377	10	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	377	11	offi	offi	ADP
cpos-37	377	12	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	377	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	377	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	377	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	377	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	377	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	377	18	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	19	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-37	377	20	...	...	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	22	then	then	ADV
cpos-37	377	23	...	...	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	24	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	25	character	character	NOUN
cpos-37	377	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	377	27	whereby	whereby	SCONJ
cpos-37	377	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	377	29	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	377	30	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-37	377	31	develop	develop	VERB
cpos-37	377	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	377	33	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	377	34	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	377	35	across	across	ADP
cpos-37	377	36	predetermined	predetermine	VERB
cpos-37	377	37	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	377	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	378	1	these	these	PRON
cpos-37	378	2	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	378	3	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-37	378	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	378	5	breadth	breadth	NOUN
cpos-37	378	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	378	7	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-37	378	8	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-37	378	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	378	10	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	378	11	without	without	ADP
cpos-37	378	12	making	make	VERB
cpos-37	378	13	statements	statement	NOUN
cpos-37	378	14	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	378	15	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	378	16	incidence	incidence	NOUN
cpos-37	378	17	probabilities	probability	NOUN
cpos-37	378	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	379	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	379	2	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	379	3	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	379	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	379	5	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	379	6	uses	use	VERB
cpos-37	379	7	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	379	8	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	379	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	379	10	to	to	PART
cpos-37	379	11	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-37	379	12	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-37	379	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	379	14	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	379	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	379	16	as	as	ADV
cpos-37	379	17	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	379	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	379	19	a	a	DET
cpos-37	379	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	379	21	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	379	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	379	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	379	24	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	379	25	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-37	379	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	379	27	proves	prove	VERB
cpos-37	379	28	more	more	ADJ
cpos-37	379	29	problem	problem	NOUN
cpos-37	379	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	379	31	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-37	379	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	380	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	380	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	380	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	380	4	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	380	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	380	6	requires	require	VERB
cpos-37	380	7	long	long	ADJ
cpos-37	380	8	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	380	9	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	380	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	380	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	380	12	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	380	13	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	380	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	380	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	380	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	380	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	380	18	over	over	ADP
cpos-37	380	19	all	all	PRON
cpos-37	380	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	380	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	380	22	components	component	NOUN
cpos-37	380	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	380	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	380	25	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	380	26	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	380	27	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-37	380	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	381	1	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	381	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	381	3	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	381	4	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	381	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	381	6	though	though	ADV
cpos-37	381	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	381	8	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	381	9	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	381	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	381	11	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-37	381	12	not	not	PART
cpos-37	381	13	at	at	ADV
cpos-37	381	14	all	all	ADV
cpos-37	381	15	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	381	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	381	17	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	381	18	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	381	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	381	20	rough	rough	ADJ
cpos-37	381	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	381	22	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	381	23	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	381	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	381	25	insuffi	insuffi	ADJ
cpos-37	381	26	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-37	381	27	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-37	381	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	382	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	382	4	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	382	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	382	6	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-37	382	7	ces	ce	NOUN
cpos-37	382	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	382	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	382	10	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-37	382	11	states	state	NOUN
cpos-37	382	12	compile	compile	VERB
cpos-37	382	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	382	14	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-37	382	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	382	16	different	different	ADJ
cpos-37	382	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	382	18	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	382	19	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	20	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
cpos-37	382	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	382	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	382	23	cross	cross	ADJ
cpos-37	382	24	-	-	ADJ
cpos-37	382	25	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	382	26	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	382	27	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	382	28	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	382	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	382	30	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	382	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	32	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	382	33	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	382	34	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	382	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	36	which	which	PRON
cpos-37	382	37	consists	consist	VERB
cpos-37	382	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	382	39	urban	urban	ADJ
cpos-37	382	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	382	41	rural	rural	ADJ
cpos-37	382	42	districts	district	NOUN
cpos-37	382	43	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	382	44	baden	baden	PROPN
cpos-37	382	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	46	wuerttemberg	wuerttemberg	PROPN
cpos-37	382	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	48	hesse	hesse	PROPN
cpos-37	382	49	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	382	50	rhineland	rhineland	PROPN
cpos-37	382	51	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	52	palatinate	palatinate	PROPN
cpos-37	382	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	382	54	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	382	55	such	such	DET
cpos-37	382	56	a	a	DET
cpos-37	382	57	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	382	58	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	382	59	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	382	60	actuality	actuality	NOUN
cpos-37	382	61	impossible	impossible	ADJ
cpos-37	382	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	383	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	383	2	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	383	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	383	4	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	383	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	383	6	proves	prove	VERB
cpos-37	383	7	exceedingly	exceedingly	ADV
cpos-37	383	8	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-37	383	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	383	10	these	these	DET
cpos-37	383	11	problems	problem	NOUN
cpos-37	383	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	383	13	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	383	14	per	per	ADP
cpos-37	383	15	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	383	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	383	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	383	18	grouped	group	VERB
cpos-37	383	19	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	383	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	383	21	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-37	383	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	383	23	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	383	24	context	context	NOUN
cpos-37	383	25	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	383	26	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	383	27	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	383	28	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	383	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	383	30	the	the	DET
cpos-37	383	31	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	383	32	fda	fda	PROPN
cpos-37	383	33	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	383	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	384	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	384	2	this	this	DET
cpos-37	384	3	way	way	NOUN
cpos-37	384	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	384	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	384	6	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-37	384	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	384	8	created	create	VERB
cpos-37	384	9	broken	break	VERB
cpos-37	384	10	down	down	ADP
cpos-37	384	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	384	12	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	384	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	384	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	384	15	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	384	16	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	384	17	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	384	18	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	384	19	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-37	384	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	384	21	cross	cross	ADJ
cpos-37	384	22	-	-	ADJ
cpos-37	384	23	border	border	ADJ
cpos-37	384	24	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	384	25	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	384	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	385	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-37	385	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	385	3	paradigm	paradigm	NOUN
cpos-37	385	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	385	5	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	385	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	385	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	385	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	385	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	385	10	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	385	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	385	12	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	385	13	close	close	ADJ
cpos-37	385	14	data	data	NOUN
cpos-37	385	15	gaps	gap	NOUN
cpos-37	385	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	385	17	secondary	secondary	ADJ
cpos-37	385	18	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-37	385	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	385	20	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	385	21	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	385	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	385	23	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	385	24	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	385	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	385	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	385	27	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-37	385	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	385	29	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	385	30	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-37	385	31	statements	statement	NOUN
cpos-37	385	32	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	385	33	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	385	34	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	385	35	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	385	36	the	the	DET
cpos-37	385	37	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	385	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	385	39	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	385	40	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	385	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	386	1	without	without	ADP
cpos-37	386	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	386	3	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	386	4	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	386	5	chapter	chapter	NOUN
cpos-37	386	6	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	386	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	386	8	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	386	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	386	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	386	11	not	not	PART
cpos-37	386	12	implementable	implementable	ADJ
cpos-37	386	13	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	386	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	386	15	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	386	16	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	386	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	387	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
cpos-37	387	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	387	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	387	4	use	use	NOUN
cpos-37	387	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	387	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	387	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	387	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	387	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	387	10	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	387	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	387	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	387	13	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	387	14	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	387	15	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	387	16	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-37	387	17	more	more	ADV
cpos-37	387	18	valuable	valuable	ADJ
cpos-37	387	19	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-37	387	20	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	387	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	387	22	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	387	23	planners	planner	NOUN
cpos-37	387	24	than	than	ADP
cpos-37	387	25	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	387	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	387	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	388	1	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	388	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	3	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	388	4	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	388	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	388	6	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-37	388	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	388	8	there	there	PRON
cpos-37	388	9	is	be	VERB
cpos-37	388	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	388	11	great	great	ADJ
cpos-37	388	12	need	need	NOUN
cpos-37	388	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	388	14	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	388	15	about	about	ADP
cpos-37	388	16	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	388	17	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	388	18	to	to	PART
cpos-37	388	19	serve	serve	VERB
cpos-37	388	20	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	388	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	22	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	388	23	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-37	388	24	estimat•	estimat•	PROPN
cpos-37	388	25	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	388	26	deschermeier796	deschermeier796	AUX
cpos-37	388	27	ing	e	VERB
cpos-37	388	28	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	29	consequences	consequence	NOUN
cpos-37	388	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	388	31	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	388	32	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	388	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	388	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	388	35	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	388	36	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	388	37	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	38	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-37	388	39	supply	supply	NOUN
cpos-37	388	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	388	41	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	388	42	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	388	43	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	44	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	388	45	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	388	46	the	the	DET
cpos-37	388	47	working	work	VERB
cpos-37	388	48	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	388	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	389	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-37	389	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	389	3	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	389	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	389	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	389	6	serve	serve	VERB
cpos-37	389	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	389	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	389	9	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	389	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	389	11	estimating	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	389	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	389	13	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	389	14	demand	demand	NOUN
cpos-37	389	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	389	16	living	live	VERB
cpos-37	389	17	space	space	NOUN
cpos-37	389	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	390	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	2	application	application	NOUN
cpos-37	390	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	390	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	390	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	390	7	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	390	8	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	390	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	390	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	11	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	390	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	390	13	neckar	neckar	PROPN
cpos-37	390	14	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	390	15	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	390	16	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	390	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	18	consequences	consequence	NOUN
cpos-37	390	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	390	20	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	390	21	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	390	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	390	23	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	24	seventhlargest	seventhlarg	ADJ
cpos-37	390	25	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-37	390	26	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	390	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	390	28	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	390	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	390	30	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	390	31	a	a	DET
cpos-37	390	32	possibility	possibility	NOUN
cpos-37	390	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	390	34	realizing	realize	VERB
cpos-37	390	35	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	390	36	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	390	37	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	390	38	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	390	39	the	the	DET
cpos-37	390	40	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	390	41	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	390	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	391	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-37	391	2	the	the	DET
cpos-37	391	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	391	4	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	391	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	391	6	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-37	391	7	slightly	slightly	ADV
cpos-37	391	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	391	9	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-37	391	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	391	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	391	12	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-37	391	13	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-37	391	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	391	15	the	the	DET
cpos-37	391	16	number	number	NOUN
cpos-37	391	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	391	18	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	391	19	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	391	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	391	21	working	work	VERB
cpos-37	391	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	391	23	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	391	24	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	391	25	years	year	NOUN
cpos-37	391	26	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	391	27	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	391	28	contrasted	contrast	VERB
cpos-37	391	29	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	391	30	a	a	DET
cpos-37	391	31	notable	notable	ADJ
cpos-37	391	32	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-37	391	33	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	391	34	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	391	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	391	36	the	the	DET
cpos-37	391	37	upper	upper	ADJ
cpos-37	391	38	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	391	39	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-37	391	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	391	41	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	391	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	391	43	retirement	retirement	NOUN
cpos-37	391	44	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	391	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	392	1	this	this	DET
cpos-37	392	2	shortage	shortage	NOUN
cpos-37	392	3	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	392	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	392	5	alleviated	alleviate	VERB
cpos-37	392	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	392	7	immigration	immigration	NOUN
cpos-37	392	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	393	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	393	2	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-37	393	3	prerequisite	prerequisite	NOUN
cpos-37	393	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	393	5	this	this	PRON
cpos-37	393	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	393	7	to	to	PART
cpos-37	393	8	recognise	recognise	VERB
cpos-37	393	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	393	10	strengths	strength	NOUN
cpos-37	393	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	393	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	393	13	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	393	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	393	15	to	to	PART
cpos-37	393	16	create	create	VERB
cpos-37	393	17	incentives	incentive	NOUN
cpos-37	393	18	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-37	393	19	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	393	20	people	people	NOUN
cpos-37	393	21	to	to	PART
cpos-37	393	22	move	move	VERB
cpos-37	393	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	393	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	393	25	region	region	NOUN
cpos-37	393	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	393	27	also	also	ADV
cpos-37	393	28	to	to	PART
cpos-37	393	29	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-37	393	30	there	there	ADV
cpos-37	393	31	following	follow	VERB
cpos-37	393	32	their	their	PRON
cpos-37	393	33	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-37	393	34	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	393	35	training	training	NOUN
cpos-37	393	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	394	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	394	2	impacts	impact	NOUN
cpos-37	394	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	394	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	394	5	change	change	NOUN
cpos-37	394	6	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	394	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	394	8	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-37	394	9	noticeable	noticeable	ADJ
cpos-37	394	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	394	11	the	the	DET
cpos-37	394	12	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-37	394	13	market	market	NOUN
cpos-37	394	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	395	1	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	395	2	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	395	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	395	4	competing	compete	VERB
cpos-37	395	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	395	6	young	young	ADJ
cpos-37	395	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	395	8	well	well	ADV
cpos-37	395	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	395	10	educated	educate	VERB
cpos-37	395	11	employees	employee	NOUN
cpos-37	395	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	396	1	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	396	2	need	need	NOUN
cpos-37	396	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	396	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	396	5	will	will	AUX
cpos-37	396	6	result	result	VERB
cpos-37	396	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	396	8	this	this	DET
cpos-37	396	9	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	396	10	war	war	NOUN
cpos-37	396	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	396	12	talent	talent	NOUN
cpos-37	396	13	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	396	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	396	15	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	396	16	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	396	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	396	18	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	396	19	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	396	20	used	use	VERB
cpos-37	396	21	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	396	22	a	a	DET
cpos-37	396	23	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	396	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	396	25	estimating	estimate	VERB
cpos-37	396	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	396	27	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	396	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	396	29	the	the	DET
cpos-37	396	30	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-37	396	31	supply	supply	NOUN
cpos-37	396	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	397	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-37	397	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	397	3	many	many	ADJ
cpos-37	397	4	existing	exist	VERB
cpos-37	397	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	397	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-37	397	7	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	397	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	397	9	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-37	397	10	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	397	11	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-37	397	12	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-37	397	13	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-37	397	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	397	15	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	397	16	things	thing	NOUN
cpos-37	397	17	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	397	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	397	19	employment	employment	NOUN
cpos-37	397	20	market	market	NOUN
cpos-37	397	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	397	22	such	such	ADJ
cpos-37	397	23	as	as	ADP
cpos-37	397	24	the	the	DET
cpos-37	397	25	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
cpos-37	397	26	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	397	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	397	28	underlie	underlie	ADJ
cpos-37	397	29	political	political	ADJ
cpos-37	397	30	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	397	31	uences	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	397	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	397	33	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	397	34	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	397	35	not	not	PART
cpos-37	397	36	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	397	37	readily	readily	ADV
cpos-37	397	38	explained	explain	VERB
cpos-37	397	39	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	397	40	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	397	41	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	397	42	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	397	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	398	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	398	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	398	3	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-37	398	4	essential	essential	ADJ
cpos-37	398	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-37	398	6	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	398	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	398	8	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-37	398	9	that	that	PRON
cpos-37	398	10	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	398	11	take	take	VERB
cpos-37	398	12	these	these	DET
cpos-37	398	13	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-37	398	14	uences	uence	NOUN
cpos-37	398	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-37	398	16	account	account	NOUN
cpos-37	398	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	398	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	398	19	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	398	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	398	21	generating	generate	VERB
cpos-37	398	22	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-37	398	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	398	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	398	25	harmonise	harmonise	VERB
cpos-37	398	26	the	the	DET
cpos-37	398	27	advantages	advantage	NOUN
cpos-37	398	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	398	29	both	both	DET
cpos-37	398	30	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	398	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	399	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	399	2	paradigm	paradigm	NOUN
cpos-37	399	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	399	4	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	399	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	399	6	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	399	7	make	make	VERB
cpos-37	399	8	a	a	DET
cpos-37	399	9	valuable	valuable	ADJ
cpos-37	399	10	contribution	contribution	NOUN
cpos-37	399	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	399	12	this	this	DET
cpos-37	399	13	objective	objective	NOUN
cpos-37	399	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	400	1	references	reference	NOUN
cpos-37	400	2	alho	alho	NOUN
cpos-37	400	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	400	4	juha	juha	PROPN
cpos-37	400	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	400	6	spencer	spencer	PROPN
cpos-37	400	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	400	8	bruce	bruce	PROPN
cpos-37	400	9	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	400	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	400	11	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	400	12	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-37	400	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	400	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	400	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	401	1	new	new	PROPN
cpos-37	401	2	york	york	PROPN
cpos-37	401	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	401	4	springer	springer	NOUN
cpos-37	401	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	1	bähr	bähr	PROPN
cpos-37	402	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	3	jürgen	jürgen	PROPN
cpos-37	402	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	5	jentsch	jentsch	PROPN
cpos-37	402	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	7	christoph	christoph	PROPN
cpos-37	402	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	9	kuls	kul	NOUN
cpos-37	402	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	402	11	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	402	12	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	402	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	403	1	bevölkerungsgeographie	bevölkerungsgeographie	PROPN
cpos-37	403	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	404	1	berlin	berlin	PROPN
cpos-37	404	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	404	3	de	de	ADJ
cpos-37	404	4	gruyter	gruyter	NOUN
cpos-37	404	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	405	1	birg	birg	NOUN
cpos-37	405	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	405	3	herwig	herwig	PROPN
cpos-37	405	4	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	405	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	405	6	grundkurs	grundkur	VERB
cpos-37	405	7	demographie	demographie	NOUN
cpos-37	405	8	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	405	9	dritte	dritte	NOUN
cpos-37	405	10	lektion	lektion	NOUN
cpos-37	405	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	405	12	was	be	AUX
cpos-37	405	13	taugen	taugen	NOUN
cpos-37	405	14	prognosen	prognosen	NOUN
cpos-37	405	15	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	406	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	3	frankfurter	frankfurter	PROPN
cpos-37	406	4	allgemeine	allgemeine	PROPN
cpos-37	406	5	zeitung	zeitung	PROPN
cpos-37	406	6	46	46	NUM
cpos-37	406	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	8	24.02.2005	24.02.2005	NUM
cpos-37	406	9	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	406	10	41	41	NUM
cpos-37	406	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	12	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	406	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	14	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-37	406	15	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	406	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	406	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	406	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	406	20	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-37	406	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	406	22	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	406	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	406	24	review	review	NOUN
cpos-37	406	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	407	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	407	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	407	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	407	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	407	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	407	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	407	7	22,3	22,3	NOUN
cpos-37	407	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	407	9	547	547	NUM
cpos-37	407	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	407	11	581	581	NUM
cpos-37	407	12	[	[	PUNCT
cpos-37	407	13	doi:10.1016	doi:10.1016	X
cpos-37	407	14	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	407	15	j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	PROPN
cpos-37	407	16	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	407	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	408	1	börsch	börsch	PROPN
cpos-37	408	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	408	3	supan	supan	NOUN
cpos-37	408	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	408	5	axel	axel	PROPN
cpos-37	408	6	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	408	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	408	8	gesamtwirtschaftliche	gesamtwirtschaftliche	PROPN
cpos-37	408	9	folgen	folgen	PROPN
cpos-37	408	10	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	408	11	demographischen	demographischen	PROPN
cpos-37	408	12	wandels	wandel	NOUN
cpos-37	408	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	409	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	409	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	409	3	geographische	geographische	NOUN
cpos-37	409	4	rundschau	rundschau	NOUN
cpos-37	409	5	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	409	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	409	7	48	48	NUM
cpos-37	409	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	409	9	52	52	NUM
cpos-37	409	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	410	1	börsch	börsch	NOUN
cpos-37	410	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	410	3	supan	supan	NOUN
cpos-37	410	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	410	5	axel	axel	PROPN
cpos-37	410	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	410	7	wilke	wilke	PROPN
cpos-37	410	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	410	9	christina	christina	PROPN
cpos-37	410	10	benita	benita	PROPN
cpos-37	410	11	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	410	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	411	1	zur	zur	PRON
cpos-37	411	2	mittelund	mittelund	ADV
cpos-37	411	3	langfristigen	langfristigen	PROPN
cpos-37	411	4	entwicklung	entwicklung	PROPN
cpos-37	411	5	der	der	PROPN
cpos-37	411	6	erwerbstätigkeit	erwerbstätigkeit	PROPN
cpos-37	411	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	411	8	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-37	411	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	412	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	3	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-37	412	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	412	5	arbeitsmarktforschung	arbeitsmarktforschung	PROPN
cpos-37	412	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	7	zaf	zaf	PROPN
cpos-37	412	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	9	42,1	42,1	NOUN
cpos-37	412	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	11	29	29	NUM
cpos-37	412	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	412	13	48	48	NUM
cpos-37	412	14	[	[	X
cpos-37	412	15	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	412	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	17	10.1007	10.1007	NUM
cpos-37	412	18	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	412	19	s12651	s12651	NOUN
cpos-37	412	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	21	009	009	NUM
cpos-37	412	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	23	0006	0006	NUM
cpos-37	412	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	412	25	x	x	NOUN
cpos-37	412	26	]	]	X
cpos-37	412	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	413	1	brillinger	brillinger	NOUN
cpos-37	413	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	413	3	david	david	PROPN
cpos-37	413	4	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-37	413	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	413	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	413	7	natural	natural	ADJ
cpos-37	413	8	variability	variability	NOUN
cpos-37	413	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	413	10	vital	vital	ADJ
cpos-37	413	11	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	413	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	413	13	associated	associated	ADJ
cpos-37	413	14	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-37	413	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	414	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	414	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	414	3	biometrics	biometric	NOUN
cpos-37	414	4	42	42	NUM
cpos-37	414	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	414	6	693	693	NUM
cpos-37	414	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	414	8	734	734	NUM
cpos-37	414	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	415	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-37	415	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	415	3	bauwesen	bauwesen	VERB
cpos-37	415	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	415	5	raumordnung	raumordnung	VERB
cpos-37	415	6	und	und	NOUN
cpos-37	415	7	städtebau	städtebau	NOUN
cpos-37	415	8	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	415	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	415	10	raumordnungspolitischer	raumordnungspolitischer	NOUN
cpos-37	415	11	handlungsrahmen	handlungsrahman	NOUN
cpos-37	415	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	416	1	bonn	bonn	PROPN
cpos-37	416	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	417	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	417	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	417	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	417	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	417	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	417	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	417	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	417	10	•	•	NOUN
cpos-37	417	11	797	797	NUM
cpos-37	417	12	büttner	büttner	NOUN
cpos-37	417	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	14	thiess	thiess	NOUN
cpos-37	417	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	16	ebertz	ebertz	NUM
cpos-37	417	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	18	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-37	417	19	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	417	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	417	21	quality	quality	NOUN
cpos-37	417	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	417	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-37	417	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	417	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	417	26	regions	region	NOUN
cpos-37	417	27	results	result	VERB
cpos-37	417	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	417	29	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	417	30	counties	county	NOUN
cpos-37	417	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	418	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	3	annals	annal	NOUN
cpos-37	418	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	418	5	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	418	6	science	science	NOUN
cpos-37	418	7	43,1	43,1	NUM
cpos-37	418	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	9	89	89	NUM
cpos-37	418	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	418	11	112	112	NUM
cpos-37	418	12	[	[	X
cpos-37	418	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	418	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	15	10.1007/	10.1007/	NUM
cpos-37	418	16	s00168	s00168	NOUN
cpos-37	418	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	18	007	007	NUM
cpos-37	418	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	20	0204	0204	NUM
cpos-37	418	21	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	418	22	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	418	23	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	418	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	1	carnes	carnes	PROPN
cpos-37	419	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	3	bruce	bruce	PROPN
cpos-37	419	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	5	olshansky	olshansky	NOUN
cpos-37	419	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	7	jay	jay	PROPN
cpos-37	419	8	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	419	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	10	a	a	DET
cpos-37	419	11	realistic	realistic	ADJ
cpos-37	419	12	view	view	NOUN
cpos-37	419	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	419	14	aging	aging	NOUN
cpos-37	419	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	419	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	419	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	419	18	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	419	19	longevity	longevity	NOUN
cpos-37	419	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	420	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	420	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	420	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	420	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	420	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	420	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-37	420	7	33,2	33,2	NUM
cpos-37	420	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	420	9	367	367	NUM
cpos-37	420	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	420	11	381	381	NUM
cpos-37	420	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	420	13	chambers	chamber	NOUN
cpos-37	420	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	420	15	elizabeth	elizabeth	PROPN
cpos-37	420	16	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	420	17	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	420	18	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	421	1	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-37	421	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	421	3	the	the	DET
cpos-37	421	4	war	war	NOUN
cpos-37	421	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	421	6	talent	talent	NOUN
cpos-37	421	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	422	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	422	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	422	3	mckinsey	mckinsey	NOUN
cpos-37	422	4	quarterly	quarterly	NOUN
cpos-37	422	5	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	422	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	1	[	[	X
cpos-37	423	2	http://	http://	PROPN
cpos-37	423	3	www.executivesondemand.net/managementsourcing/images/stories/artigos_pdf/	www.executivesondemand.net/managementsourcing/images/stories/artigos_pdf/	NOUN
cpos-37	423	4	gestao	gestao	PROPN
cpos-37	423	5	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	423	6	the_war_for_talent.pdf	the_war_for_talent.pdf	NOUN
cpos-37	423	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	8	09.06.2011	09.06.2011	NUM
cpos-37	423	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	10	de	de	PROPN
cpos-37	423	11	jong	jong	PROPN
cpos-37	423	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	13	gordon	gordon	PROPN
cpos-37	423	14	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	423	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	16	expectations	expectation	NOUN
cpos-37	423	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	18	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-37	423	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	423	21	norms	norm	NOUN
cpos-37	423	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	423	23	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	423	24	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-37	423	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	423	26	making	making	NOUN
cpos-37	423	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	424	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	424	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	424	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	424	4	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-37	424	5	54	54	NUM
cpos-37	424	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	425	1	307–319	307–319	NUM
cpos-37	425	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	1	erbas	erbas	PROPN
cpos-37	426	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	3	bircan	bircan	NOUN
cpos-37	426	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	5	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-37	426	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	7	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-37	426	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	9	gertig	gertig	PROPN
cpos-37	426	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	11	dorota	dorota	PROPN
cpos-37	426	12	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	426	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	14	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	426	15	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	426	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	426	17	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	426	18	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	426	19	breast	breast	NOUN
cpos-37	426	20	cancer	cancer	NOUN
cpos-37	426	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	426	22	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	426	23	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	426	24	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	426	25	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	426	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	427	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	427	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	427	3	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-37	427	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	427	5	medicine	medicine	NOUN
cpos-37	427	6	26,2	26,2	PROPN
cpos-37	427	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	427	8	458–470	458–470	NUM
cpos-37	427	9	[	[	X
cpos-37	427	10	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	427	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	427	12	10.1002	10.1002	NUM
cpos-37	427	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	427	14	sim.2306	sim.2306	PROPN
cpos-37	427	15	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	427	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	1	fuchs	fuchs	PROPN
cpos-37	428	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	3	johann	johann	PROPN
cpos-37	428	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	5	dörfl	dörfl	VERB
cpos-37	428	6	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	428	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	8	katrin	katrin	PROPN
cpos-37	428	9	2005a	2005a	NUM
cpos-37	428	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	11	projektion	projektion	PROPN
cpos-37	428	12	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	428	13	erwerbspotenzials	erwerbspotenzial	NOUN
cpos-37	428	14	bis	bis	X
cpos-37	428	15	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-37	428	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	428	17	annahmen	annahman	NOUN
cpos-37	428	18	und	und	VERB
cpos-37	428	19	datengrundlage	datengrundlage	NOUN
cpos-37	428	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	429	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	429	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	429	3	iab	iab	NOUN
cpos-37	429	4	forschungsbericht	forschungsbericht	NOUN
cpos-37	429	5	20/2005	20/2005	PROPN
cpos-37	429	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	430	1	nürnberg	nürnberg	PROPN
cpos-37	430	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	1	iab	iab	PROPN
cpos-37	431	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	3	fuchs	fuchs	PROPN
cpos-37	431	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	5	johann	johann	PROPN
cpos-37	431	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	7	dörfl	dörfl	VERB
cpos-37	431	8	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	431	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	10	katrin	katrin	PROPN
cpos-37	431	11	2005b	2005b	NUM
cpos-37	431	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	13	projektion	projektion	PROPN
cpos-37	431	14	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	431	15	arbeitsangebots	arbeitsangebot	NOUN
cpos-37	431	16	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-37	431	17	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-37	431	18	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	431	19	demographische	demographische	NOUN
cpos-37	431	20	effekte	effekte	ADP
cpos-37	431	21	sind	sind	NOUN
cpos-37	431	22	nicht	nicht	NOUN
cpos-37	431	23	mehr	mehr	NOUN
cpos-37	431	24	zu	zu	NOUN
cpos-37	431	25	bremsen	bremsen	NOUN
cpos-37	431	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	432	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	3	iab	iab	PROPN
cpos-37	432	4	kurzbericht	kurzbericht	PROPN
cpos-37	432	5	11/2005	11/2005	PROPN
cpos-37	432	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	7	nürnberg	nürnberg	PROPN
cpos-37	432	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	9	iab	iab	PROPN
cpos-37	432	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	11	gans	gans	PROPN
cpos-37	432	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	13	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-37	432	14	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	15	schmitz	schmitz	PROPN
cpos-37	432	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	17	veltin	veltin	PROPN
cpos-37	432	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	19	ansgar	ansgar	PROPN
cpos-37	432	20	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	432	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	22	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	432	23	auswirkungen	auswirkungen	PROPN
cpos-37	432	24	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	432	25	demographischen	demographischen	PROPN
cpos-37	432	26	wandels	wandel	NOUN
cpos-37	432	27	auf	auf	PROPN
cpos-37	432	28	den	den	VERB
cpos-37	432	29	agglomerationsraum	agglomerationsraum	ADV
cpos-37	432	30	rhein	rhein	NOUN
cpos-37	432	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	32	neckar	neckar	NOUN
cpos-37	432	33	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	34	ausgewählte	ausgewählte	ADJ
cpos-37	432	35	regionale	regionale	X
cpos-37	432	36	entwicklungsbereiche	entwicklungsbereiche	NOUN
cpos-37	432	37	vor	vor	VERB
cpos-37	432	38	dem	dem	PROPN
cpos-37	432	39	hintergrund	hintergrund	PROPN
cpos-37	432	40	sich	sich	PROPN
cpos-37	432	41	ändernder	ändernder	PROPN
cpos-37	432	42	bevölkerungsund	bevölkerungsund	PROPN
cpos-37	432	43	wirtschaftsstrukturen	wirtschaftsstrukturen	PROPN
cpos-37	432	44	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	432	45	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	46	gans	gan	NOUN
cpos-37	432	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	48	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-37	432	49	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	50	schmitz	schmitz	PROPN
cpos-37	432	51	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	52	veltin	veltin	PROPN
cpos-37	432	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	54	ansgar	ansgar	PROPN
cpos-37	432	55	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	56	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-37	432	57	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	58	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	432	59	demographische	demographische	NOUN
cpos-37	432	60	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-37	432	61	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	432	62	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-37	432	63	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	433	1	folgen	folgen	PROPN
cpos-37	433	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	433	3	städte	städte	VERB
cpos-37	433	4	und	und	ADJ
cpos-37	433	5	regionen	regionen	NOUN
cpos-37	433	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	434	1	räumliche	räumliche	PROPN
cpos-37	434	2	konsequenzen	konsequenzen	PROPN
cpos-37	434	3	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	434	4	demographischen	demographischen	PROPN
cpos-37	434	5	wandels	wandel	NOUN
cpos-37	434	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	434	7	teil	teil	PROPN
cpos-37	434	8	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	434	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	434	10	forschungsund	forschungsund	PROPN
cpos-37	434	11	sitzungsberichte	sitzungsberichte	PROPN
cpos-37	434	12	der	der	PROPN
cpos-37	434	13	arl	arl	PROPN
cpos-37	434	14	226	226	NUM
cpos-37	434	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	435	1	hannover	hannover	PROPN
cpos-37	435	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	435	3	311	311	NUM
cpos-37	435	4	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	435	5	335	335	NUM
cpos-37	435	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	1	gans	gan	NOUN
cpos-37	436	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	3	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-37	436	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	5	schmitz	schmitz	PROPN
cpos-37	436	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	7	veltin	veltin	PROPN
cpos-37	436	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	9	ansgar	ansgar	PROPN
cpos-37	436	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	11	west	west	PROPN
cpos-37	436	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	13	christina	christina	PROPN
cpos-37	436	14	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	436	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	16	bevölkerungsgeographie	bevölkerungsgeographie	PROPN
cpos-37	436	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	18	braunschweig	braunschweig	PROPN
cpos-37	436	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	436	20	westermann	westermann	PROPN
cpos-37	436	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	437	1	gustafsson	gustafsson	PROPN
cpos-37	437	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	437	3	siv	siv	PROPN
cpos-37	437	4	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	437	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	437	6	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-37	437	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	437	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	437	9	motherhood	motherhood	NOUN
cpos-37	437	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	438	1	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
cpos-37	438	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	438	3	empirical	empirical	ADJ
cpos-37	438	4	considerations	consideration	NOUN
cpos-37	438	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	438	6	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-37	438	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	438	8	maternity	maternity	NOUN
cpos-37	438	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	438	10	europe	europe	PROPN
cpos-37	438	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	439	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	439	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	439	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	439	4	economics	economic	NOUN
cpos-37	439	5	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	439	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	439	7	225	225	NUM
cpos-37	439	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	439	9	247	247	NUM
cpos-37	439	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	440	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	3	xuming	xuming	PROPN
cpos-37	440	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	5	ng	ng	PROPN
cpos-37	440	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	7	pin	pin	NOUN
cpos-37	440	8	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	440	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	10	cobs	cob	NOUN
cpos-37	440	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	440	12	qualitatively	qualitatively	ADV
cpos-37	440	13	constrained	constrain	VERB
cpos-37	440	14	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-37	440	15	via	via	ADP
cpos-37	440	16	linear	linear	ADJ
cpos-37	440	17	programming	programming	NOUN
cpos-37	440	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	441	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	441	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	441	3	computational	computational	ADJ
cpos-37	441	4	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-37	441	5	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	441	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	441	7	315–337	315–337	NUM
cpos-37	441	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	1	heckman	heckman	PROPN
cpos-37	442	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	3	james	james	PROPN
cpos-37	442	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	5	walker	walker	PROPN
cpos-37	442	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	7	james	james	PROPN
cpos-37	442	8	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-37	442	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	442	11	relationship	relationship	NOUN
cpos-37	442	12	between	between	ADP
cpos-37	442	13	wages	wage	NOUN
cpos-37	442	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	442	15	income	income	NOUN
cpos-37	442	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	442	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	442	18	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-37	442	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	442	20	spacing	spacing	NOUN
cpos-37	442	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	442	22	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	442	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	442	24	evidence	evidence	NOUN
cpos-37	442	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	442	26	swedish	swedish	ADJ
cpos-37	442	27	longitudinal	longitudinal	ADJ
cpos-37	442	28	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	442	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	443	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	443	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	443	3	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
cpos-37	443	4	58,6	58,6	NUM
cpos-37	443	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	443	6	1411	1411	NUM
cpos-37	443	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	443	8	1441	1441	NUM
cpos-37	443	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	444	1	höhn	höhn	PROPN
cpos-37	444	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	444	3	charlotte	charlotte	PROPN
cpos-37	444	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	444	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	444	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	444	7	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-37	444	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	444	9	mehrsprachiges	mehrsprachige	VERB
cpos-37	444	10	demographisches	demographische	NOUN
cpos-37	444	11	wörterbuch	wörterbuch	PROPN
cpos-37	444	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	445	1	deutschsprachige	deutschsprachige	VERB
cpos-37	445	2	fassung	fassung	NOUN
cpos-37	445	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	446	1	schriftenreihe	schriftenreihe	PROPN
cpos-37	446	2	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	446	3	bundesinstituts	bundesinstituts	PROPN
cpos-37	446	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	446	5	bevölkerungsforschung	bevölkerungsforschung	PROPN
cpos-37	446	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	446	7	sonderband	sonderband	ADP
cpos-37	446	8	16	16	NUM
cpos-37	446	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	447	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-37	447	2	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	447	3	boppard	boppard	PROPN
cpos-37	447	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	447	5	boldt	boldt	PROPN
cpos-37	447	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	1	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-37	448	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	3	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-37	448	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	5	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	448	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	7	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-37	448	8	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	448	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	10	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	448	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	448	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	448	13	using	use	VERB
cpos-37	448	14	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	448	15	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	448	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	448	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	448	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	448	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	448	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	448	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	448	22	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-37	448	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	449	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	449	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	449	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	449	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	449	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	449	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	449	7	24,3	24,3	NOUN
cpos-37	449	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	449	9	323–342	323–342	NUM
cpos-37	449	10	[	[	X
cpos-37	449	11	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	449	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	449	13	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cpos-37	449	14	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	449	15	j.ijforecast.2008.02.009	j.ijforecast.2008.02.009	PROPN
cpos-37	449	16	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	449	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	1	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-37	450	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	3	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-37	450	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	5	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-37	450	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	7	shahid	shahid	NOUN
cpos-37	450	8	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	450	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	10	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-37	450	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	450	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	450	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	450	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	450	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	450	16	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	450	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	450	18	a	a	DET
cpos-37	450	19	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	450	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	450	21	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	450	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	451	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	451	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	451	3	computational	computational	ADJ
cpos-37	451	4	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-37	451	5	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-37	451	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	451	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	451	8	51	51	NUM
cpos-37	451	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	451	10	4942–4956	4942–4956	NUM
cpos-37	451	11	[	[	X
cpos-37	451	12	doi	doi	X
cpos-37	451	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	451	14	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cpos-37	451	15	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	451	16	j.csda.2006.07.028	j.csda.2006.07.028	PROPN
cpos-37	451	17	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	451	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	1	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-37	452	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	3	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-37	452	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	5	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-37	452	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	7	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-37	452	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	9	yasmeen	yasmeen	PROPN
cpos-37	452	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	11	farah	farah	PROPN
cpos-37	452	12	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	452	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	14	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	452	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	452	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	452	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	452	19	product	product	NOUN
cpos-37	452	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	452	21	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-37	452	22	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	452	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	452	24	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	452	25	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	452	26	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	452	27	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	452	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	453	1	ebs	ebs	NOUN
cpos-37	453	2	working	working	NOUN
cpos-37	453	3	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-37	454	1	[	[	X
cpos-37	454	2	http://robjhyndman.com/papers/coherentfdm	http://robjhyndman.com/papers/coherentfdm	NOUN
cpos-37	454	3	]	]	X
cpos-37	454	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	455	2	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	455	3	deschermeier798	deschermeier798	PROPN
cpos-37	455	4	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-37	455	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	6	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-37	455	7	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	8	pham	pham	PROPN
cpos-37	455	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	10	dinh	dinh	PROPN
cpos-37	455	11	quang	quang	PROPN
cpos-37	455	12	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	13	hetland	hetland	NOUN
cpos-37	455	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	15	arve	arve	NOUN
cpos-37	455	16	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-37	455	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	18	why	why	SCONJ
cpos-37	455	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	455	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	455	21	should	should	AUX
cpos-37	455	22	be	be	AUX
cpos-37	455	23	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-37	455	24	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	455	25	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
cpos-37	455	26	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	455	27	the	the	DET
cpos-37	455	28	case	case	NOUN
cpos-37	455	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	455	30	norway	norway	PROPN
cpos-37	455	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	456	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	456	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	456	3	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	456	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	456	5	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	456	6	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	456	7	409–453	409–453	NUM
cpos-37	456	8	[	[	X
cpos-37	456	9	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	456	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	456	11	10.4054	10.4054	NUM
cpos-37	456	12	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	456	13	demres.2002.6.15	demres.2002.6.15	PROPN
cpos-37	456	14	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	456	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	457	1	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-37	457	2	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-37	457	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	457	4	nathan	nathan	PROPN
cpos-37	457	5	1972	1972	NUM
cpos-37	457	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	457	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	457	8	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	457	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	457	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	458	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	458	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	458	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	458	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	458	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	458	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-37	458	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	458	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-37	458	9	67	67	NUM
cpos-37	458	10	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	458	11	347	347	NUM
cpos-37	458	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	458	13	363	363	NUM
cpos-37	458	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	459	1	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-37	459	2	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-37	459	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	459	4	nathan	nathan	PROPN
cpos-37	459	5	1981	1981	NUM
cpos-37	459	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	459	7	the	the	DET
cpos-37	459	8	limits	limit	NOUN
cpos-37	459	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	459	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	459	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	459	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	460	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	460	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	460	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	460	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	460	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	460	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-37	460	7	7,4	7,4	NUM
cpos-37	460	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	460	9	579	579	NUM
cpos-37	460	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	460	11	593	593	NUM
cpos-37	460	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	461	1	klein	klein	PROPN
cpos-37	461	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	461	3	torsten	torsten	PROPN
cpos-37	461	4	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	461	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	462	1	kampf	kampf	NOUN
cpos-37	462	2	um	um	INTJ
cpos-37	462	3	talente	talente	PROPN
cpos-37	462	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	462	5	das	das	PROPN
cpos-37	462	6	kind	kind	ADJ
cpos-37	462	7	ist	ist	NOUN
cpos-37	462	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	462	9	fast	fast	ADV
cpos-37	462	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	462	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	462	12	den	den	PROPN
cpos-37	462	13	brunnen	brunnen	PROPN
cpos-37	462	14	gefallen	gefallen	PROPN
cpos-37	462	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	463	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	463	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	463	3	hr	hr	NOUN
cpos-37	463	4	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-37	463	5	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	463	6	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	463	7	44	44	NUM
cpos-37	463	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	463	9	47	47	NUM
cpos-37	463	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	464	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	464	4	1993	1993	NUM
cpos-37	464	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	6	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-37	464	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	464	8	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	464	9	the	the	DET
cpos-37	464	10	time	time	NOUN
cpos-37	464	11	series	series	NOUN
cpos-37	464	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	464	13	u.s	u.s	PROPN
cpos-37	464	14	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	464	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	464	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	464	18	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-37	464	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	20	range	range	NOUN
cpos-37	464	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	464	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	464	23	ultimate	ultimate	ADJ
cpos-37	464	24	level	level	NOUN
cpos-37	464	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	465	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	465	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	465	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	465	6	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	465	7	9	9	NUM
cpos-37	465	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	9	187–202	187–202	NUM
cpos-37	465	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	465	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	13	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	465	14	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-37	465	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	465	16	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-37	465	17	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	465	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	465	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	465	20	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	465	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	466	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	3	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	466	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	5	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	466	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	7	vaupel	vaupel	PROPN
cpos-37	466	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	9	james	james	PROPN
cpos-37	466	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	11	ahlburg	ahlburg	PROPN
cpos-37	466	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	13	dennis	dennis	PROPN
cpos-37	466	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	15	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-37	466	16	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	466	17	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	466	18	frontiers	frontier	NOUN
cpos-37	466	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	466	20	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	466	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	466	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	467	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	467	2	supplement	supplement	NOUN
cpos-37	467	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	467	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	467	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	467	6	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	467	7	review	review	NOUN
cpos-37	467	8	24	24	NUM
cpos-37	467	9	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	467	10	156	156	NUM
cpos-37	467	11	–	–	SYM
cpos-37	467	12	190	190	NUM
cpos-37	467	13	[	[	X
cpos-37	467	14	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	467	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	467	16	10.2307/2808055	10.2307/2808055	NUM
cpos-37	467	17	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	467	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	468	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	468	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	468	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	468	4	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	468	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	468	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	468	7	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	468	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	468	9	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	468	10	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	468	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	468	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	468	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	468	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	468	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-37	468	16	various	various	ADJ
cpos-37	468	17	extensions	extension	NOUN
cpos-37	468	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	468	19	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-37	468	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	469	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	469	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	469	3	north	north	ADJ
cpos-37	469	4	american	american	ADJ
cpos-37	469	5	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
cpos-37	469	6	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	469	7	4,1	4,1	NUM
cpos-37	469	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	469	9	80–92	80–92	NUM
cpos-37	469	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	470	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	470	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	470	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	470	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	470	5	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	470	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	470	7	lawrence	lawrence	PROPN
cpos-37	470	8	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-37	470	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	470	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-37	470	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	470	12	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	470	13	us	we	PRON
cpos-37	470	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	470	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	471	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	471	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	471	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	471	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	471	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	471	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-37	471	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	471	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-37	471	9	87,419	87,419	NUM
cpos-37	471	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	471	11	659–671	659–671	NUM
cpos-37	471	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	472	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	472	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	472	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	472	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	472	5	nault	nault	NOUN
cpos-37	472	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	472	7	francois	francois	PROPN
cpos-37	472	8	1993	1993	NUM
cpos-37	472	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	472	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-37	472	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	472	12	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	472	13	provincial	provincial	ADJ
cpos-37	472	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	472	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	472	16	canada	canada	PROPN
cpos-37	472	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	473	1	paper	paper	PROPN
cpos-37	473	2	presented	present	VERB
cpos-37	473	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	473	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	473	5	world	world	NOUN
cpos-37	473	6	congress	congress	PROPN
cpos-37	473	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	473	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	473	9	iussp	iussp	PROPN
cpos-37	473	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	473	11	montreal	montreal	PROPN
cpos-37	473	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	473	13	canada	canada	PROPN
cpos-37	473	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	474	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	474	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	5	tuljapurkar	tuljapurkar	PROPN
cpos-37	474	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	7	shripad	shripad	NOUN
cpos-37	474	8	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	474	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	10	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	474	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	474	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	474	13	the	the	DET
cpos-37	474	14	united	united	PROPN
cpos-37	474	15	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	474	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	17	beyond	beyond	ADP
cpos-37	474	18	high	high	ADJ
cpos-37	474	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	20	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-37	474	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	474	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	474	23	low	low	ADJ
cpos-37	474	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	475	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	475	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	475	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	475	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	475	5	american	american	PROPN
cpos-37	475	6	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	475	7	association	association	NOUN
cpos-37	475	8	89,428	89,428	NUM
cpos-37	475	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	475	10	1175	1175	NUM
cpos-37	475	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	475	12	1189	1189	NUM
cpos-37	475	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	1	li	li	PROPN
cpos-37	476	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	3	nan	nan	PROPN
cpos-37	476	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	5	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	476	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	7	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-37	476	8	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	476	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	10	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-37	476	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	476	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-37	476	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	476	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	476	15	group	group	NOUN
cpos-37	476	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	476	17	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-37	476	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	19	an	an	DET
cpos-37	476	20	extension	extension	NOUN
cpos-37	476	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	476	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	476	23	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-37	476	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	476	25	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-37	476	26	method	method	NOUN
cpos-37	476	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	477	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	477	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	477	3	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-37	477	4	42,3	42,3	NOUN
cpos-37	477	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	478	1	575–594	575–594	NUM
cpos-37	478	2	[	[	X
cpos-37	478	3	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	478	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	478	5	10.1353/	10.1353/	NUM
cpos-37	478	6	dem.2005.0021	dem.2005.0021	NOUN
cpos-37	478	7	]	]	X
cpos-37	478	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	479	1	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	479	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	479	3	oliver	oliver	PROPN
cpos-37	479	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	479	5	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	479	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	479	7	frank	frank	PROPN
cpos-37	479	8	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-37	479	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	479	10	stochastische	stochastische	NOUN
cpos-37	479	11	bevölkerungsprognose	bevölkerungsprognose	PROPN
cpos-37	479	12	für	für	INTJ
cpos-37	479	13	westund	westund	VERB
cpos-37	479	14	ostdeutschland	ostdeutschland	PROPN
cpos-37	479	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	480	1	mea	mea	PROPN
cpos-37	480	2	discussion	discussion	PROPN
cpos-37	480	3	paper	paper	PROPN
cpos-37	480	4	41	41	NUM
cpos-37	480	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	1	mannheim	mannheim	PROPN
cpos-37	481	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	3	mea	mea	PROPN
cpos-37	481	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	481	5	lipps	lipps	PROPN
cpos-37	481	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	7	oliver	oliver	PROPN
cpos-37	481	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	9	betz	betz	PROPN
cpos-37	481	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	11	frank	frank	PROPN
cpos-37	481	12	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-37	481	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	14	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-37	481	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	481	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	481	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	481	18	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	481	19	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	481	20	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	481	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	481	22	the	the	DET
cpos-37	481	23	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
cpos-37	481	24	spline	spline	NOUN
cpos-37	481	25	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-37	481	26	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	481	27	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-37	481	28	age	age	NOUN
cpos-37	481	29	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-37	481	30	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	481	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-37	481	32	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-37	481	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	482	1	mea	mea	NOUN
cpos-37	482	2	discussion	discussion	PROPN
cpos-37	482	3	paper	paper	PROPN
cpos-37	482	4	59	59	NUM
cpos-37	482	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	1	mannheim	mannheim	PROPN
cpos-37	483	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	3	mea	mea	PROPN
cpos-37	483	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	483	5	lowack	lowack	PROPN
cpos-37	483	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	7	wolf	wolf	NOUN
cpos-37	483	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	9	rainer	rainer	NOUN
cpos-37	483	10	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-37	483	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	12	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	483	13	europäische	europäische	NOUN
cpos-37	483	14	metropolregion	metropolregion	NOUN
cpos-37	483	15	rhein	rhein	NOUN
cpos-37	483	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	17	neckar	neckar	NOUN
cpos-37	483	18	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	19	auftrag	auftrag	PROPN
cpos-37	483	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	483	21	vision	vision	NOUN
cpos-37	483	22	und	und	NOUN
cpos-37	483	23	umsetzung	umsetzung	NOUN
cpos-37	483	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	484	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	3	uwf	uwf	NOUN
cpos-37	484	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	5	umweltwirtschaftsforum	umweltwirtschaftsforum	NOUN
cpos-37	484	6	15,3	15,3	NUM
cpos-37	484	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	8	130	130	NUM
cpos-37	484	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	484	10	135	135	NUM
cpos-37	484	11	[	[	X
cpos-37	484	12	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	484	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	14	10.1007/	10.1007/	NUM
cpos-37	484	15	s00550	s00550	X
cpos-37	484	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	17	007	007	NUM
cpos-37	484	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	19	0042	0042	NUM
cpos-37	484	20	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	484	21	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	484	22	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	484	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	1	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	485	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	3	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	485	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	5	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	485	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	7	warren	warren	PROPN
cpos-37	485	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	9	scherbov	scherbov	PROPN
cpos-37	485	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	11	sergei	sergei	PROPN
cpos-37	485	12	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-37	485	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	485	14	world	world	NOUN
cpos-37	485	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	485	16	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-37	485	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	485	18	the	the	DET
cpos-37	485	19	21st	21st	ADJ
cpos-37	485	20	century	century	NOUN
cpos-37	485	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	486	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	3	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	486	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	5	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	486	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	7	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-37	486	8	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	486	9	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	10	the	the	DET
cpos-37	486	11	future	future	ADJ
cpos-37	486	12	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	486	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	486	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	486	15	world	world	NOUN
cpos-37	486	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	486	17	what	what	PRON
cpos-37	486	18	can	can	AUX
cpos-37	486	19	we	we	PRON
cpos-37	486	20	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-37	486	21	today	today	NOUN
cpos-37	486	22	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-37	487	1	london	london	PROPN
cpos-37	487	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	487	3	earthscan	earthscan	ADJ
cpos-37	487	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	487	5	361	361	NUM
cpos-37	487	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	487	7	396	396	NUM
cpos-37	487	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	1	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	488	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	3	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	488	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	5	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	488	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	7	warren	warren	PROPN
cpos-37	488	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	9	scherbov	scherbov	PROPN
cpos-37	488	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	11	sergei	sergei	PROPN
cpos-37	488	12	1998a	1998a	NUM
cpos-37	488	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	14	expert	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	488	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	488	16	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	488	17	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-37	488	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	488	19	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	488	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	489	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	489	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	489	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	489	6	review	review	PROPN
cpos-37	489	7	24	24	NUM
cpos-37	489	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	9	supplement	supplement	NOUN
cpos-37	489	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	11	frontiers	frontier	NOUN
cpos-37	489	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	489	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	489	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-37	489	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	16	139	139	NUM
cpos-37	489	17	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	489	18	155	155	NUM
cpos-37	489	19	[	[	X
cpos-37	489	20	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	489	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	22	10.2307/2808054	10.2307/2808054	NUM
cpos-37	489	23	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	489	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	1	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	490	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	3	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	490	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	5	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	490	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	7	warren	warren	PROPN
cpos-37	490	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	9	scherbov	scherbov	PROPN
cpos-37	490	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	11	sergei	sergei	PROPN
cpos-37	490	12	1998b	1998b	NUM
cpos-37	490	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	14	an	an	DET
cpos-37	490	15	expert	expert	NOUN
cpos-37	490	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	17	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	490	18	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-37	490	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	490	20	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-37	490	21	national	national	ADJ
cpos-37	490	22	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	490	23	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	490	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	490	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	490	26	example	example	NOUN
cpos-37	490	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	490	28	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-37	490	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	491	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	491	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	491	3	european	european	ADJ
cpos-37	491	4	journal	journal	PROPN
cpos-37	491	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	491	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	491	7	14	14	NUM
cpos-37	491	8	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	491	9	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	491	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	491	11	17	17	NUM
cpos-37	491	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	1	lutz	lutz	PROPN
cpos-37	492	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	3	wolfgang	wolfgang	PROPN
cpos-37	492	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	5	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	492	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	7	warren	warren	PROPN
cpos-37	492	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	9	scherbov	scherbov	PROPN
cpos-37	492	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	11	sergei	sergei	PROPN
cpos-37	492	12	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	492	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	492	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	492	15	end	end	NOUN
cpos-37	492	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	492	17	world	world	NOUN
cpos-37	492	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	492	19	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-37	492	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	493	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	493	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	493	3	nature	nature	NOUN
cpos-37	493	4	412	412	NUM
cpos-37	493	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	493	6	543	543	NUM
cpos-37	493	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	493	8	545	545	NUM
cpos-37	493	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	494	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	494	2	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	494	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	494	4	the	the	DET
cpos-37	494	5	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	494	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	494	7	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	494	8	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	494	9	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	494	10	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	494	11	799	799	NUM
cpos-37	494	12	metropolregion	metropolregion	NOUN
cpos-37	494	13	rhein	rhein	NOUN
cpos-37	494	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	494	15	neckar	neckar	NOUN
cpos-37	494	16	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-37	494	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	494	18	jahresbericht	jahresbericht	NOUN
cpos-37	494	19	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	494	20	zur	zur	INTJ
cpos-37	494	21	gemeinschaftlichen	gemeinschaftlichen	ADJ
cpos-37	494	22	regionalentwicklung	regionalentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-37	494	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	495	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	495	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	495	3	www.m-r-n.de	www.m-r-n.de	PROPN
cpos-37	495	4	9.2.2012	9.2.2012	NUM
cpos-37	495	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	495	6	url	url	PROPN
cpos-37	495	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	495	8	http://www.m-r-n.com/fi	http://www.m-r-n.com/fi	ADV
cpos-37	495	9	leadmin/	leadmin/	NUM
cpos-37	495	10	pdf	pdf	NOUN
cpos-37	495	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	495	12	downloads	download	NOUN
cpos-37	495	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	495	14	mrn_jahresbericht_2010_01.pdf	mrn_jahresbericht_2010_01.pdf	PROPN
cpos-37	495	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	1	moore	moore	PROPN
cpos-37	496	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	3	andrew	andrew	PROPN
cpos-37	496	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	5	schneider	schneider	PROPN
cpos-37	496	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	7	jeff	jeff	PROPN
cpos-37	496	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	9	deng	deng	PROPN
cpos-37	496	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	11	kang	kang	PROPN
cpos-37	496	12	1997	1997	NUM
cpos-37	496	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	496	14	effi	effi	PROPN
cpos-37	496	15	cient	cient	PROPN
cpos-37	496	16	locally	locally	ADV
cpos-37	496	17	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-37	496	18	polynomial	polynomial	ADJ
cpos-37	496	19	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-37	496	20	predictions	prediction	NOUN
cpos-37	496	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	497	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	3	kaufmann	kaufmann	PROPN
cpos-37	497	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	5	morgan	morgan	PROPN
cpos-37	497	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	7	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-37	497	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	9	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	497	10	proceedings	proceeding	NOUN
cpos-37	497	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	497	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	497	13	fourteenth	fourteenth	ADJ
cpos-37	497	14	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	497	15	conference	conference	NOUN
cpos-37	497	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	497	17	machine	machine	NOUN
cpos-37	497	18	learning	learning	NOUN
cpos-37	497	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	498	1	san	san	PROPN
cpos-37	498	2	francisco	francisco	PROPN
cpos-37	498	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	498	4	ca	ca	PROPN
cpos-37	498	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	498	6	usa	usa	PROPN
cpos-37	498	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	498	8	236	236	NUM
cpos-37	498	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	498	10	244	244	NUM
cpos-37	498	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	499	1	o’neill	o’neill	PROPN
cpos-37	499	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	499	3	brian	brian	PROPN
cpos-37	499	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-37	499	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	499	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	500	1	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	500	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	501	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	501	2	guide	guide	NOUN
cpos-37	501	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	501	4	global	global	ADJ
cpos-37	501	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	501	6	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	501	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	502	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	502	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	502	3	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	502	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	502	5	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	502	6	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	502	7	203	203	NUM
cpos-37	502	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	502	9	288	288	NUM
cpos-37	502	10	[	[	X
cpos-37	502	11	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	502	12	.	.	NOUN
cpos-37	502	13	10.4054	10.4054	NUM
cpos-37	502	14	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	502	15	demres.2001.4.8	demres.2001.4.8	PROPN
cpos-37	502	16	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	502	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	1	ott	ott	PROPN
cpos-37	503	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	3	thomas	thomas	PROPN
cpos-37	503	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	5	schmitz	schmitz	PROPN
cpos-37	503	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	7	veltin	veltin	PROPN
cpos-37	503	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	9	ansgar	ansgar	PROPN
cpos-37	503	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	11	west	west	PROPN
cpos-37	503	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	13	christina	christina	PROPN
cpos-37	503	14	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-37	503	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	16	kinderwunsch	kinderwunsch	PROPN
cpos-37	503	17	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	503	18	immer	immer	NOUN
cpos-37	503	19	später	später	PROPN
cpos-37	503	20	und	und	VERB
cpos-37	503	21	oft	oft	ADV
cpos-37	503	22	unerfüllt	unerfüllt	NOUN
cpos-37	503	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	504	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	3	institut	institut	PROPN
cpos-37	504	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	504	5	länderkunde	länderkunde	PROPN
cpos-37	504	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	7	eds	ed	NOUN
cpos-37	504	8	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	504	9	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	10	nationalatlas	nationalatla	NOUN
cpos-37	504	11	bundesrepublik	bundesrepublik	VERB
cpos-37	504	12	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-37	504	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	14	bd	bd	PROPN
cpos-37	504	15	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	504	16	12	12	NUM
cpos-37	504	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	504	18	leben	leben	NOUN
cpos-37	504	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	504	20	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-37	504	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	505	1	heidelberg	heidelberg	PROPN
cpos-37	505	2	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	505	3	berlin	berlin	PROPN
cpos-37	505	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	505	5	spectrum	spectrum	NOUN
cpos-37	505	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	505	7	48	48	NUM
cpos-37	505	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	505	9	49	49	NUM
cpos-37	505	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	506	1	pfl	pfl	PROPN
cpos-37	506	2	aumer	aumer	PROPN
cpos-37	506	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	506	4	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-37	506	5	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-37	506	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	506	7	confi	confi	VERB
cpos-37	506	8	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-37	506	9	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-37	506	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	506	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	506	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	506	13	based	base	VERB
cpos-37	506	14	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	506	15	monte	monte	PROPN
cpos-37	506	16	carlo	carlo	PROPN
cpos-37	506	17	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-37	506	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	507	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	507	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	507	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	507	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	507	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	507	6	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-37	507	7	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	507	8	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	507	9	135	135	NUM
cpos-37	507	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	507	11	142	142	NUM
cpos-37	507	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	508	1	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	508	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	508	3	jim	jim	PROPN
cpos-37	508	4	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-37	508	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	508	6	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	508	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	508	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	508	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	509	1	url	url	PROPN
cpos-37	509	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	509	3	http://gbi.agrsci.dk/~shd/public/	http://gbi.agrsci.dk/~shd/public/	ADJ
cpos-37	509	4	fda2008	fda2008	NOUN
cpos-37	509	5	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	509	6	fda_sage.pdf	fda_sage.pdf	PROPN
cpos-37	509	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	509	8	31.05.2011	31.05.2011	NUM
cpos-37	509	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	510	1	ramsay	ramsay	PROPN
cpos-37	510	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	510	3	jim	jim	PROPN
cpos-37	510	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	510	5	silverman	silverman	PROPN
cpos-37	510	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	510	7	bernard	bernard	PROPN
cpos-37	510	8	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	510	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	510	10	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-37	510	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	510	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	510	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	511	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	3	smelser	smelser	PROPN
cpos-37	511	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	5	neil	neil	PROPN
cpos-37	511	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	7	baltes	balte	NOUN
cpos-37	511	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	9	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-37	511	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	11	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-37	511	12	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	511	13	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-37	511	14	international	international	ADJ
cpos-37	511	15	encyclopedia	encyclopedia	NOUN
cpos-37	511	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	511	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	511	18	social	social	ADJ
cpos-37	511	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	511	20	behavioral	behavioral	ADJ
cpos-37	511	21	sciences	science	NOUN
cpos-37	511	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	512	1	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
cpos-37	512	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	512	3	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
cpos-37	512	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	512	5	5822	5822	NUM
cpos-37	512	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	512	7	5828	5828	NUM
cpos-37	512	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	513	1	rogers	roger	NOUN
cpos-37	513	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	513	3	andrei	andrei	NOUN
cpos-37	513	4	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-37	513	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	513	6	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-37	513	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	513	8	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	513	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-37	513	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	514	1	beverly	beverly	PROPN
cpos-37	514	2	hills	hills	PROPN
cpos-37	514	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	514	4	sage	sage	NOUN
cpos-37	514	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	1	sanderson	sanderson	PROPN
cpos-37	515	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	3	warren	warren	PROPN
cpos-37	515	4	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-37	515	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	6	predictability	predictability	NOUN
cpos-37	515	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	8	complexity	complexity	NOUN
cpos-37	515	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	515	11	catastrophe	catastrophe	NOUN
cpos-37	515	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	515	13	a	a	DET
cpos-37	515	14	collapsible	collapsible	ADJ
cpos-37	515	15	model	model	NOUN
cpos-37	515	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	515	17	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	515	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	19	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	515	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	515	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	515	22	environmental	environmental	ADJ
cpos-37	515	23	interactions	interaction	NOUN
cpos-37	515	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	516	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	516	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	516	3	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
cpos-37	516	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	516	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-37	516	6	5,3	5,3	NUM
cpos-37	516	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	516	8	259	259	NUM
cpos-37	516	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	516	10	279	279	NUM
cpos-37	516	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	1	schnabel	schnabel	PROPN
cpos-37	517	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	3	sabine	sabine	PROPN
cpos-37	517	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	5	kistowski	kistowski	PROPN
cpos-37	517	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	7	kristin	kristin	PROPN
cpos-37	517	8	von	von	PROPN
cpos-37	517	9	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	10	vaupel	vaupel	PROPN
cpos-37	517	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	12	james	james	PROPN
cpos-37	517	13	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-37	517	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	15	immer	immer	PROPN
cpos-37	517	16	neue	neue	PROPN
cpos-37	517	17	rekorde	rekorde	PROPN
cpos-37	517	18	und	und	VERB
cpos-37	517	19	kein	kein	PROPN
cpos-37	517	20	ende	ende	PROPN
cpos-37	517	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	517	22	sicht	sicht	NOUN
cpos-37	517	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	517	24	der	der	ADJ
cpos-37	517	25	blick	blick	NOUN
cpos-37	517	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	517	27	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	517	28	zukunft	zukunft	PROPN
cpos-37	517	29	lässt	lässt	PROPN
cpos-37	517	30	deutschland	deutschland	PROPN
cpos-37	517	31	grauer	grauer	PROPN
cpos-37	517	32	aussehen	aussehen	PROPN
cpos-37	517	33	als	als	NOUN
cpos-37	517	34	viele	viele	PROPN
cpos-37	517	35	erwarten	erwarten	PROPN
cpos-37	517	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	518	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	518	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	518	3	demografi	demografi	PROPN
cpos-37	518	4	sche	sche	PROPN
cpos-37	518	5	forschung	forschung	PROPN
cpos-37	518	6	aus	aus	PROPN
cpos-37	518	7	erster	erster	PROPN
cpos-37	518	8	hand	hand	PROPN
cpos-37	518	9	2,2	2,2	NUM
cpos-37	518	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	518	11	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	518	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	518	13	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	518	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	518	15	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	518	16	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	518	17	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-37	518	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	519	1	12	12	NUM
cpos-37	519	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	520	1	koordinierte	koordinierte	PROPN
cpos-37	520	2	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-37	520	3	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	520	4	annahmen	annahman	NOUN
cpos-37	520	5	und	und	VERB
cpos-37	520	6	ergebnisse	ergebnisse	NOUN
cpos-37	520	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	521	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-37	521	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	521	3	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	521	4	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	521	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	522	1	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	522	2	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	522	3	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	522	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	522	5	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	522	6	jahrbuch	jahrbuch	PROPN
cpos-37	522	7	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-37	522	8	für	für	NOUN
cpos-37	522	9	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	522	10	bundesrepublik	bundesrepublik	ADJ
cpos-37	522	11	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-37	522	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	523	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-37	523	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	523	3	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-37	523	4	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-37	523	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	524	1	stoto	stoto	PROPN
cpos-37	524	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	524	3	michael	michael	PROPN
cpos-37	524	4	1983	1983	NUM
cpos-37	524	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	524	6	the	the	DET
cpos-37	524	7	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-37	524	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	524	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	524	10	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-37	524	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	525	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	525	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	525	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-37	525	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	525	5	the	the	DET
cpos-37	525	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-37	525	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-37	525	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-37	525	9	78	78	NUM
cpos-37	525	10	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	525	11	13–20	13–20	NUM
cpos-37	525	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	525	13	tukey	tukey	PROPN
cpos-37	525	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	525	15	john	john	PROPN
cpos-37	525	16	wilder	wilder	VERB
cpos-37	525	17	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-37	525	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	525	19	exploratory	exploratory	ADJ
cpos-37	525	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-37	525	21	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-37	525	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	526	1	london	london	PROPN
cpos-37	526	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	526	3	addison	addison	PROPN
cpos-37	526	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	526	5	wesley	wesley	PROPN
cpos-37	526	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	527	1	whelpton	whelpton	PROPN
cpos-37	527	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	527	3	pascal	pascal	ADJ
cpos-37	527	4	1928	1928	NUM
cpos-37	527	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	527	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	527	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	527	8	the	the	DET
cpos-37	527	9	united	united	PROPN
cpos-37	527	10	states	states	PROPN
cpos-37	527	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	527	12	1925	1925	NUM
cpos-37	527	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-37	527	14	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-37	527	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	528	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	528	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	528	3	american	american	ADJ
cpos-37	528	4	journal	journal	PROPN
cpos-37	528	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	528	6	sociology	sociology	NOUN
cpos-37	528	7	34	34	NUM
cpos-37	528	8	:	:	SYM
cpos-37	528	9	253	253	NUM
cpos-37	528	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	528	11	270	270	NUM
cpos-37	528	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	528	13	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-37	528	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	528	15	chris	chris	PROPN
cpos-37	528	16	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-37	528	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	528	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-37	528	19	the	the	DET
cpos-37	528	20	scale	scale	NOUN
cpos-37	528	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	528	22	global	global	ADJ
cpos-37	528	23	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-37	528	24	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-37	528	25	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-37	528	26	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	528	27	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-37	528	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	529	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	529	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	529	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	529	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-37	529	7	27,1	27,1	NUM
cpos-37	529	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	9	155	155	NUM
cpos-37	529	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	529	11	171	171	NUM
cpos-37	529	12	[	[	X
cpos-37	529	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	529	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-37	529	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	529	17	j.1728	j.1728	NOUN
cpos-37	529	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	19	4457.2001.00155.x	4457.2001.00155.x	NOUN
cpos-37	529	20	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	529	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	530	1	wood	wood	PROPN
cpos-37	530	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	530	3	simon	simon	PROPN
cpos-37	530	4	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-37	530	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	530	6	obtaining	obtain	VERB
cpos-37	530	7	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-37	530	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	530	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-37	530	10	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-37	530	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	530	12	structured	structured	ADJ
cpos-37	530	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	530	14	trajectories	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-37	530	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	531	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	3	ecological	ecological	ADJ
cpos-37	531	4	monographs	monograph	NOUN
cpos-37	531	5	64,1	64,1	NOUN
cpos-37	531	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	7	23	23	NUM
cpos-37	531	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	531	9	44	44	NUM
cpos-37	531	10	[	[	X
cpos-37	531	11	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-37	531	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	13	10.2307/2937054	10.2307/2937054	NUM
cpos-37	531	14	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	16	•	•	NUM
cpos-37	531	17	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	531	18	deschermeier800	deschermeier800	PROPN
cpos-37	531	19	translated	translate	VERB
cpos-37	531	20	from	from	ADP
cpos-37	531	21	the	the	DET
cpos-37	531	22	original	original	ADJ
cpos-37	531	23	text	text	NOUN
cpos-37	531	24	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	531	25	the	the	DET
cpos-37	531	26	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	531	27	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-37	531	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	531	29	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	531	30	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	531	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	531	32	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	531	33	information	information	NOUN
cpos-37	531	34	only	only	ADV
cpos-37	531	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	532	1	the	the	DET
cpos-37	532	2	reviewed	review	VERB
cpos-37	532	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-37	532	4	author	author	NOUN
cpos-37	532	5	’s	’s	PART
cpos-37	532	6	authorised	authorise	VERB
cpos-37	532	7	original	original	ADJ
cpos-37	532	8	article	article	NOUN
cpos-37	532	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	532	10	german	german	NOUN
cpos-37	532	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	532	12	available	available	ADJ
cpos-37	532	13	under	under	ADP
cpos-37	532	14	the	the	DET
cpos-37	532	15	title	title	NOUN
cpos-37	532	16	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	532	17	die	die	VERB
cpos-37	532	18	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	ADJ
cpos-37	532	19	der	der	ADJ
cpos-37	532	20	metropolregion	metropolregion	NOUN
cpos-37	532	21	rhein	rhein	NOUN
cpos-37	532	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	532	23	neckar	neckar	NOUN
cpos-37	532	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	1	eine	eine	PROPN
cpos-37	533	2	stochastische	stochastische	PROPN
cpos-37	533	3	bevölkerungsprognose	bevölkerungsprognose	ADV
cpos-37	533	4	auf	auf	PROPN
cpos-37	533	5	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	533	6	des	des	PROPN
cpos-37	533	7	paradigmas	paradigmas	PROPN
cpos-37	533	8	funktionaler	funktionaler	PROPN
cpos-37	533	9	daten	daten	PROPN
cpos-37	533	10	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	12	doi	doi	X
cpos-37	533	13	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	PROPN
cpos-37	533	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	15	21de	21de	NOUN
cpos-37	533	16	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-37	533	17	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-37	533	18	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-37	533	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	20	nbn	nbn	NOUN
cpos-37	533	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	22	de	de	ADJ
cpos-37	533	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	24	bib	bib	ADJ
cpos-37	533	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	26	cpos-2011	cpos-2011	NOUN
cpos-37	533	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	28	21de5	21de5	NOUN
cpos-37	533	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	533	30	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	533	31	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN
cpos-37	533	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	534	1	date	date	NOUN
cpos-37	534	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	534	3	submission	submission	NOUN
cpos-37	534	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	534	5	29.08.2011	29.08.2011	NUM
cpos-37	534	6	date	date	NOUN
cpos-37	534	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	534	8	acceptance	acceptance	NOUN
cpos-37	534	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	534	10	25.04.2012	25.04.2012	NUM
cpos-37	534	11	philipp	philipp	NOUN
cpos-37	534	12	deschermeier	deschermeier	NOUN
cpos-37	534	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	534	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	534	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	535	1	universität	universität	PROPN
cpos-37	535	2	mannheim	mannheim	PROPN
cpos-37	535	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	535	4	lehrstuhl	lehrstuhl	NOUN
cpos-37	535	5	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	535	6	wirtschaftsgeographie	wirtschaftsgeographie	NOUN
cpos-37	535	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	535	8	fakultät	fakultät	PROPN
cpos-37	535	9	für	für	NOUN
cpos-37	535	10	rechtswissenschaft	rechtswissenschaft	VERB
cpos-37	535	11	und	und	NOUN
cpos-37	535	12	volkswirtschaftslehre	volkswirtschaftslehre	NOUN
cpos-37	535	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	536	1	mannheim	mannheim	PROPN
cpos-37	536	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	536	3	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	536	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	537	1	e	e	X
cpos-37	537	2	-	-	NOUN
cpos-37	537	3	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-37	537	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	537	5	philipp.deschermeier@uni-mannheim.de	philipp.deschermeier@uni-mannheim.de	NUM
cpos-37	537	6	url	url	NOUN
cpos-37	537	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	537	8	http://gans.vwl.uni-mannheim.de/1465.0.html	http://gans.vwl.uni-mannheim.de/1465.0.html	NOUN
cpos-37	537	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	537	10	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	537	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	537	12	the	the	DET
cpos-37	537	13	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	537	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	537	15	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	537	16	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	537	17	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	537	18	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	537	19	801	801	NUM
cpos-37	537	20	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	537	21	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	537	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	538	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	538	2	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	538	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	538	4	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	538	5	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	538	6	s	s	VERB
cpos-37	538	7	ix	ix	ADP
cpos-37	538	8	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	538	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	538	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	538	11	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	538	12	un	un	PROPN
cpos-37	538	13	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	538	14	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	538	15	n	n	PROPN
cpos-37	538	16	s	s	PART
cpos-37	538	17	o	o	X
cpos-37	538	18	f	f	X
cpos-37	539	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	539	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	539	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	540	1	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	540	2	ili	ili	PROPN
cpos-37	541	1	ty	ty	INTJ
cpos-37	542	1	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	542	2	o	o	X
cpos-37	543	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	543	2	el	el	PROPN
cpos-37	543	3	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	543	4	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	543	5	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	543	6	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	543	7	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	543	8	0510	0510	NUM
cpos-37	543	9	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	543	10	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-37	543	11	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	543	12	ef	ef	X
cpos-37	543	13	fe	fe	X
cpos-37	544	1	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	544	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	544	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	544	4	ge	ge	NOUN
cpos-37	544	5	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	544	6	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	544	7	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	8	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	544	9	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	544	10	-0.20.00.10.2	-0.20.00.10.2	NOUN
cpos-37	544	11	a	a	DET
cpos-37	544	12	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	544	13	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	544	14	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	544	15	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	544	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	544	17	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	544	18	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	544	19	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	544	20	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	544	21	n	n	ADP
cpos-37	544	22	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	544	23	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	544	24	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	544	25	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	544	26	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	544	27	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	28	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	544	29	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	30	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	544	31	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	32	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	544	33	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	34	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	35	-6	-6	NOUN
cpos-37	544	36	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	544	37	20246	20246	NUM
cpos-37	544	38	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	544	39	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	40	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	544	41	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	544	42	-0.050.050.150.25	-0.050.050.150.25	NUM
cpos-37	544	43	a	a	DET
cpos-37	544	44	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	544	45	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	544	46	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	544	47	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	544	48	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	544	49	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	544	50	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	544	51	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	544	52	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	544	53	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	54	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	544	55	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	56	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	544	57	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	58	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	544	59	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	60	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	61	-2024	-2024	NOUN
cpos-37	544	62	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	544	63	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	64	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	544	65	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	544	66	-0.10.00.10.2	-0.10.00.10.2	PROPN
cpos-37	544	67	a	a	DET
cpos-37	544	68	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	544	69	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	544	70	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	544	71	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	544	72	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	544	73	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	544	74	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	544	75	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	544	76	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	544	77	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	78	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	544	79	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	80	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	544	81	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	82	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	544	83	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	84	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	85	-2	-2	NOUN
cpos-37	544	86	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	544	87	101	101	NUM
cpos-37	544	88	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	544	89	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	90	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	544	91	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	544	92	-0.10.00.10.20.3	-0.10.00.10.20.3	NOUN
cpos-37	544	93	a	a	DET
cpos-37	544	94	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	544	95	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	544	96	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	544	97	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	544	98	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	544	99	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	544	100	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	544	101	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	544	102	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	544	103	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	104	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	544	105	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	544	106	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	544	107	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	108	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	544	109	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	544	110	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	111	-1012	-1012	NOUN
cpos-37	544	112	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	544	113	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	544	114	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	544	115	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	544	116	-0.20.00.20.4	-0.20.00.20.4	NUM
cpos-37	545	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	545	2	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	545	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	545	4	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	545	5	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	545	6	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	545	7	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	545	8	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	545	9	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	545	10	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	545	11	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	545	12	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	545	13	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	545	14	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	545	15	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	545	16	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	545	17	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	545	18	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	545	19	-1.00.00.51.0	-1.00.00.51.0	SYM
cpos-37	545	20	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	545	21	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	545	22	30	30	NUM
cpos-37	545	23	50	50	NUM
cpos-37	545	24	-0.20.00.2	-0.20.00.2	NOUN
cpos-37	545	25	a	a	DET
cpos-37	545	26	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	545	27	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	545	28	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	545	29	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	545	30	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	545	31	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	545	32	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	545	33	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	545	34	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	545	35	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	545	36	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	545	37	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	545	38	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	545	39	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	545	40	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	545	41	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	545	42	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	545	43	-0.20.20.40.6	-0.20.20.40.6	NOUN
cpos-37	545	44	s	s	PART
cpos-37	545	45	o	o	X
cpos-37	545	46	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-37	545	47	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	545	48	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	545	49	a	a	DET
cpos-37	545	50	ut	ut	PROPN
cpos-37	545	51	ho	ho	PROPN
cpos-37	545	52	r	r	PROPN
cpos-37	545	53	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-37	545	54	s	s	PART
cpos-37	545	55	ca	can	AUX
cpos-37	545	56	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-37	545	57	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-37	545	58	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	545	59	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	545	60	n	n	PRON
cpos-37	545	61	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	545	62	n	n	X
cpos-37	545	63	th	th	X
cpos-37	545	64	e	e	X
cpos-37	545	65	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	545	66	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	545	67	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	545	68	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	545	69	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	545	70	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	546	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	546	2	d	d	NOUN
cpos-37	546	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	546	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	546	5	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-37	546	6	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	546	7	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	546	8	th	th	X
cpos-37	546	9	e	e	X
cpos-37	546	10	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	546	11	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	546	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	546	13	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-37	546	14	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	546	15	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	546	16	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-37	546	17	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	546	18	s	s	PART
cpos-37	546	19	o	o	X
cpos-37	546	20	f	f	X
cpos-37	547	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	547	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	547	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	548	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	548	2	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	548	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	548	4	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	548	5	ta	ta	X
cpos-37	548	6	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	548	7	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	548	8	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	548	9	ad	ad	NOUN
cpos-37	548	10	en	en	X
cpos-37	548	11	-w	-w	PROPN
cpos-37	548	12	ue	ue	PROPN
cpos-37	548	13	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	548	14	te	te	PROPN
cpos-37	548	15	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	548	16	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	548	17	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	548	18	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	548	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	548	20	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	548	21	es	es	X
cpos-37	548	22	se	se	X
cpos-37	549	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	549	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-37	549	3	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	549	4	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-37	549	5	ne	ne	PROPN
cpos-37	549	6	la	la	PROPN
cpos-37	549	7	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-37	549	8	-p	-p	PROPN
cpos-37	549	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	549	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	549	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	549	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	549	13	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-37	549	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	549	15	p	p	X
cpos-37	549	16	p	p	X
cpos-37	549	17	en	en	PROPN
cpos-37	549	18	d	d	PROPN
cpos-37	549	19	ix	ix	PROPN
cpos-37	549	20	•	•	PROPN
cpos-37	549	21	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	549	22	deschermeier802	deschermeier802	PROPN
cpos-37	549	23	fi	fi	PROPN
cpos-37	549	24	g	g	PROPN
cpos-37	549	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	550	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	550	2	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	550	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	550	4	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	550	5	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	550	6	s	s	VERB
cpos-37	550	7	ix	ix	ADP
cpos-37	550	8	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	550	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	550	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	550	11	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	550	12	un	un	PROPN
cpos-37	550	13	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	550	14	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	550	15	n	n	PROPN
cpos-37	550	16	s	s	PART
cpos-37	550	17	o	o	X
cpos-37	550	18	f	f	X
cpos-37	551	1	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	552	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	552	2	p	p	PROPN
cpos-37	552	3	ro	ro	INTJ
cpos-37	553	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	553	2	uc	uc	PROPN
cpos-37	553	3	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	553	4	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	553	5	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	553	6	d	d	X
cpos-37	553	7	el	el	PROPN
cpos-37	553	8	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	554	1	n	n	INTJ
cpos-37	554	2	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	554	3	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	555	1	rt	rt	NOUN
cpos-37	555	2	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	555	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	555	4	y	y	PROPN
cpos-37	555	5	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	555	6	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	555	7	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	555	8	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	555	9	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	555	10	-8	-8	NUM
cpos-37	555	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	555	12	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	555	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	555	14	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	555	15	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	555	16	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	555	17	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	555	18	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-37	555	19	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	555	20	ef	ef	X
cpos-37	555	21	fe	fe	X
cpos-37	556	1	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	556	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	556	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	556	4	ge	ge	NOUN
cpos-37	556	5	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	556	6	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	556	7	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	556	8	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	556	9	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	556	10	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	556	11	0.000.100.20	0.000.100.20	NUM
cpos-37	557	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	557	2	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	557	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	557	4	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	557	5	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	557	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	557	7	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	557	8	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	557	9	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	557	10	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	557	11	n	n	ADP
cpos-37	557	12	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	557	13	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	557	14	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	557	15	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	557	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	557	17	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	557	18	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	557	19	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	557	20	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	557	21	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	22	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	557	23	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	24	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	557	25	-202	-202	NUM
cpos-37	557	26	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	557	27	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	28	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	557	29	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	557	30	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	557	31	-0.3	-0.3	NUM
cpos-37	557	32	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	557	33	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-37	557	34	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	557	35	0.10.00.1	0.10.00.1	NOUN
cpos-37	557	36	a	a	DET
cpos-37	557	37	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	557	38	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	557	39	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	557	40	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	557	41	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	557	42	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	557	43	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	557	44	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	557	45	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	557	46	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	557	47	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	557	48	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	557	49	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	557	50	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	51	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	557	52	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	53	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	557	54	-0.40.00.4	-0.40.00.4	NOUN
cpos-37	557	55	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	557	56	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	557	57	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	557	58	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	557	59	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	557	60	-0.10.00.10.2	-0.10.00.10.2	NUM
cpos-37	558	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	558	2	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	558	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	558	4	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	558	5	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	558	6	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	558	7	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	558	8	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	558	9	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	558	10	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	558	11	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	12	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	13	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	14	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	558	15	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	16	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	558	17	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	18	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	558	19	-0.6	-0.6	NOUN
cpos-37	558	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	21	0.20.20.4	0.20.20.4	NOUN
cpos-37	558	22	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	558	23	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	24	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	558	25	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	558	26	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	27	-0.5	-0.5	NUM
cpos-37	558	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	29	0.3	0.3	NUM
cpos-37	558	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	31	0.10.1	0.10.1	NUM
cpos-37	558	32	a	a	DET
cpos-37	558	33	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	558	34	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	558	35	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	558	36	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	558	37	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	558	38	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	558	39	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	558	40	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	558	41	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	558	42	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	43	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	44	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	45	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	558	46	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	47	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	558	48	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	49	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	558	50	-0.20.00.20.4	-0.20.00.20.4	NUM
cpos-37	558	51	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	558	52	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	53	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	558	54	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	558	55	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	56	-0.20	-0.20	NUM
cpos-37	558	57	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	58	0.100.000.10	0.100.000.10	PROPN
cpos-37	558	59	a	a	DET
cpos-37	558	60	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	558	61	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	558	62	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	558	63	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	558	64	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	558	65	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	558	66	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	558	67	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	558	68	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	558	69	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	70	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	71	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	72	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	558	73	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	74	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	558	75	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	76	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	558	77	-0.10.00.10.2	-0.10.00.10.2	NUM
cpos-37	558	78	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	558	79	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	80	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	558	81	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	558	82	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	83	-0.10.10.3	-0.10.10.3	ADP
cpos-37	558	84	a	a	DET
cpos-37	558	85	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	558	86	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	558	87	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	558	88	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	558	89	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	558	90	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	558	91	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	558	92	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	558	93	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	558	94	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	95	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	558	96	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	558	97	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	558	98	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	99	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	558	100	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	558	101	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	558	102	-0.15	-0.15	NUM
cpos-37	558	103	-	-	NOUN
cpos-37	558	104	0.050.05	0.050.05	NOUN
cpos-37	558	105	s	s	PART
cpos-37	558	106	o	o	X
cpos-37	558	107	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-37	558	108	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	558	109	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	110	a	a	DET
cpos-37	558	111	ut	ut	PROPN
cpos-37	558	112	ho	ho	PROPN
cpos-37	558	113	r	r	PROPN
cpos-37	558	114	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-37	558	115	s	s	PART
cpos-37	558	116	ca	can	AUX
cpos-37	558	117	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-37	558	118	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-37	558	119	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	558	120	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	558	121	n	n	PRON
cpos-37	558	122	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	558	123	n	n	X
cpos-37	558	124	th	th	X
cpos-37	558	125	e	e	X
cpos-37	558	126	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	558	127	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	558	128	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	558	129	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	558	130	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	559	1	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	560	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	561	1	d	d	NOUN
cpos-37	561	2	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	561	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	561	4	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-37	561	5	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	561	6	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	561	7	th	th	X
cpos-37	561	8	e	e	X
cpos-37	561	9	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	561	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	561	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	561	12	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-37	561	13	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	561	14	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	561	15	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-37	561	16	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	561	17	s	s	PART
cpos-37	561	18	o	o	X
cpos-37	561	19	f	f	X
cpos-37	562	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	562	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	562	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	563	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	563	2	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	563	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	563	4	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	563	5	ta	ta	X
cpos-37	563	6	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	563	7	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	563	8	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	563	9	ad	ad	NOUN
cpos-37	563	10	en	en	X
cpos-37	563	11	-w	-w	PROPN
cpos-37	563	12	ue	ue	PROPN
cpos-37	563	13	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	563	14	te	te	PROPN
cpos-37	563	15	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	563	16	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	563	17	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	563	18	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	563	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	563	20	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	563	21	es	es	X
cpos-37	563	22	se	se	X
cpos-37	564	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	564	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-37	564	3	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	564	4	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-37	564	5	ne	ne	PROPN
cpos-37	564	6	la	la	PROPN
cpos-37	564	7	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-37	564	8	-p	-p	PROPN
cpos-37	564	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	564	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	564	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	564	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	564	13	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-37	564	14	population	population	PROPN
cpos-37	564	15	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	564	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	564	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	564	18	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	564	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	564	20	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	564	21	metropolitan	metropolitan	ADJ
cpos-37	564	22	area	area	NOUN
cpos-37	564	23	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	564	24	803	803	NUM
cpos-37	564	25	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	564	26	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	564	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	565	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	565	2	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	565	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	565	4	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	565	5	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	565	6	s	s	VERB
cpos-37	565	7	ix	ix	ADP
cpos-37	565	8	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	565	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	565	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	565	11	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	565	12	un	un	PROPN
cpos-37	565	13	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	565	14	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	565	15	n	n	PROPN
cpos-37	565	16	s	s	PART
cpos-37	565	17	o	o	X
cpos-37	565	18	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	566	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	566	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	566	3	r	r	VERB
cpos-37	566	4	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	566	5	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	566	6	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	566	7	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	567	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	567	2	el	el	PROPN
cpos-37	567	3	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	568	1	n	n	INTJ
cpos-37	568	2	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	568	3	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	569	1	rt	rt	NOUN
cpos-37	569	2	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	569	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-37	569	4	y	y	PROPN
cpos-37	569	5	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	569	6	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	569	7	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	569	8	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	569	9	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	569	10	0.00.20.4	0.00.20.4	NOUN
cpos-37	569	11	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	569	12	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-37	569	13	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	569	14	ef	ef	X
cpos-37	569	15	fe	fe	X
cpos-37	570	1	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	570	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	570	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	4	ge	ge	NOUN
cpos-37	570	5	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	570	6	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	7	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	8	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	9	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	10	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	11	-0.050.050.15	-0.050.050.15	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	13	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	14	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	15	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	570	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	570	18	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	570	19	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	570	20	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	570	21	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	570	22	n	n	ADP
cpos-37	570	23	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	24	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	25	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	26	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	570	28	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	29	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	30	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	31	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	32	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	33	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	34	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	35	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	36	-0.6	-0.6	NOUN
cpos-37	570	37	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	38	0.20.20.6	0.20.20.6	NOUN
cpos-37	570	39	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	40	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	41	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	42	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	43	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	44	0.050.150.25	0.050.150.25	NUM
cpos-37	570	45	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	46	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	47	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	48	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	49	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	570	50	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	51	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	52	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	53	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	54	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	570	55	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	56	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	57	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	58	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	59	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	60	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	61	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	62	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	63	-0.4	-0.4	NUM
cpos-37	570	64	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	65	0.20.00.2	0.20.00.2	NOUN
cpos-37	570	66	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	67	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	68	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	69	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	70	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	71	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
cpos-37	570	72	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	73	0.10.1	0.10.1	NUM
cpos-37	570	74	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	75	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	76	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	77	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	78	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	570	79	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	80	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	81	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	82	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	83	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	570	84	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	85	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	86	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	87	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	88	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	89	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	90	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	91	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	92	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
cpos-37	570	93	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	94	0.10.10.3	0.10.10.3	NOUN
cpos-37	570	95	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	96	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	97	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	98	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	99	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	100	-0.20.00.1	-0.20.00.1	NOUN
cpos-37	570	101	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	102	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	103	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	104	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	105	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	570	106	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	107	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	108	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	109	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	110	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	570	111	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	112	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	113	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	114	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	115	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	116	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	117	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	118	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	119	-0.20.00.10.2	-0.20.00.10.2	NOUN
cpos-37	570	120	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	121	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	122	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	123	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	124	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	125	-0.10.00.10.2	-0.10.00.10.2	NUM
cpos-37	570	126	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	127	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	128	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	129	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	130	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	570	131	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	132	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	133	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	134	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	135	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	570	136	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	137	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	138	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	139	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	140	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	141	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	142	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	143	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	144	-0.15	-0.15	NUM
cpos-37	570	145	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	146	0.050.050.15	0.050.050.15	NOUN
cpos-37	570	147	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	570	148	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	149	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	570	150	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	570	151	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	152	-0.8	-0.8	NUM
cpos-37	570	153	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	154	0.40.0	0.40.0	NUM
cpos-37	570	155	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	156	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	570	157	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	570	158	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	570	159	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	570	160	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	570	161	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	570	162	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	570	163	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	570	164	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	570	165	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	166	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	570	167	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	570	168	90	90	NUM
cpos-37	570	169	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	170	00	00	NUM
cpos-37	570	171	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	570	172	10	10	NUM
cpos-37	570	173	-0.100.000.10	-0.100.000.10	SYM
cpos-37	570	174	s	s	PART
cpos-37	570	175	o	o	X
cpos-37	570	176	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-37	570	177	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	570	178	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	179	a	a	DET
cpos-37	570	180	ut	ut	PROPN
cpos-37	570	181	ho	ho	PROPN
cpos-37	570	182	r	r	PROPN
cpos-37	570	183	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-37	570	184	s	s	PART
cpos-37	570	185	ca	can	AUX
cpos-37	570	186	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-37	570	187	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-37	570	188	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	570	189	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	570	190	n	n	PRON
cpos-37	570	191	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	570	192	n	n	X
cpos-37	570	193	th	th	X
cpos-37	570	194	e	e	X
cpos-37	570	195	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	570	196	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	570	197	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	570	198	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	570	199	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	571	1	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	572	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	573	1	d	d	NOUN
cpos-37	573	2	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	573	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	573	4	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-37	573	5	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	573	6	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	573	7	th	th	X
cpos-37	573	8	e	e	X
cpos-37	573	9	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	573	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	573	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	573	12	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-37	573	13	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	573	14	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	573	15	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-37	573	16	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	573	17	s	s	PART
cpos-37	573	18	o	o	X
cpos-37	573	19	f	f	X
cpos-37	574	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	574	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	574	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	575	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	575	2	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	575	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	575	4	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	575	5	ta	ta	X
cpos-37	575	6	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	575	7	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	575	8	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	575	9	ad	ad	NOUN
cpos-37	575	10	en	en	X
cpos-37	575	11	-w	-w	PROPN
cpos-37	575	12	ue	ue	PROPN
cpos-37	575	13	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	575	14	te	te	PROPN
cpos-37	575	15	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	575	16	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	575	17	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	575	18	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	575	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	575	20	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	575	21	es	es	X
cpos-37	575	22	se	se	X
cpos-37	576	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	576	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-37	576	3	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	576	4	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-37	576	5	ne	ne	PROPN
cpos-37	576	6	la	la	PROPN
cpos-37	576	7	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-37	576	8	-p	-p	PROPN
cpos-37	576	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	576	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	576	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	576	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	576	13	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-37	576	14	•	•	PROPN
cpos-37	576	15	philipp	philipp	PROPN
cpos-37	576	16	deschermeier804	deschermeier804	PROPN
cpos-37	576	17	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	576	18	g	g	PROPN
cpos-37	576	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	577	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	577	2	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	577	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	577	4	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	577	5	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	577	6	s	s	VERB
cpos-37	577	7	ix	ix	ADP
cpos-37	577	8	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	577	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	577	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	577	11	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	577	12	un	un	PROPN
cpos-37	577	13	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	577	14	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	577	15	n	n	PROPN
cpos-37	577	16	s	s	PART
cpos-37	577	17	o	o	X
cpos-37	577	18	f	f	X
cpos-37	578	1	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	579	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	579	2	p	p	PROPN
cpos-37	579	3	ro	ro	INTJ
cpos-37	580	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	580	2	uc	uc	PROPN
cpos-37	580	3	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	580	4	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	580	5	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	580	6	d	d	X
cpos-37	580	7	el	el	PROPN
cpos-37	580	8	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	581	1	n	n	INTJ
cpos-37	581	2	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	581	3	ig	ig	INTJ
cpos-37	581	4	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	581	5	tio	tio	NOUN
cpos-37	581	6	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	581	7	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	581	8	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	581	9	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	581	10	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	581	11	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	581	12	050150250	050150250	NUM
cpos-37	581	13	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	581	14	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-37	581	15	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	581	16	ef	ef	X
cpos-37	581	17	fe	fe	X
cpos-37	582	1	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	582	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	582	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	582	4	ge	ge	NOUN
cpos-37	582	5	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	582	6	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	582	7	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	582	8	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	582	9	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	582	10	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	582	11	0.000.100.20	0.000.100.20	NUM
cpos-37	583	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	2	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	4	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	5	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	583	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	583	7	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	583	8	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	583	9	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	583	10	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	583	11	n	n	ADP
cpos-37	583	12	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	13	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	14	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	15	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	583	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	583	17	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	583	18	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	583	19	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	20	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	583	21	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	22	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	583	23	-2000200400	-2000200400	NOUN
cpos-37	583	24	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	583	25	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	26	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	583	27	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	583	28	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	583	29	-0.20.00.10.2	-0.20.00.10.2	NOUN
cpos-37	583	30	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	31	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	32	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	33	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	34	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	583	35	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	36	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	37	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	38	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	583	39	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	583	40	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	583	41	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	583	42	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	43	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	583	44	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	45	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	583	46	-1000100200	-1000100200	PROPN
cpos-37	583	47	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	583	48	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	49	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	583	50	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	583	51	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	583	52	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
cpos-37	583	53	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	583	54	0.10.00.1	0.10.00.1	NOUN
cpos-37	583	55	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	56	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	57	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	58	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	59	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	583	60	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	61	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	62	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	63	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	583	64	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	583	65	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	583	66	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	583	67	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	68	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	583	69	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	70	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	583	71	-100050100	-100050100	NOUN
cpos-37	583	72	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	583	73	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	74	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	583	75	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	583	76	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	583	77	-0.4	-0.4	NUM
cpos-37	583	78	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	583	79	0.20.0	0.20.0	NUM
cpos-37	583	80	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	81	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	82	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	83	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	84	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	583	85	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	86	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	87	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	88	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	583	89	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	583	90	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	583	91	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	583	92	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	93	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	583	94	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	95	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	583	96	-40	-40	NUM
cpos-37	583	97	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	583	98	20020	20020	NUM
cpos-37	583	99	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	583	100	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	101	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	583	102	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	583	103	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	583	104	-0.10.00.10.2	-0.10.00.10.2	NUM
cpos-37	583	105	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	106	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	107	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	108	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	109	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	583	110	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	111	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	112	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	113	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	583	114	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	583	115	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	583	116	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	583	117	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	118	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	583	119	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	120	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	583	121	-20	-20	NUM
cpos-37	583	122	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	583	123	1001020	1001020	NUM
cpos-37	583	124	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	583	125	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	583	126	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	583	127	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	583	128	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	583	129	-0.10.00.10.20.3	-0.10.00.10.20.3	NOUN
cpos-37	583	130	a	a	DET
cpos-37	583	131	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	583	132	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	583	133	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	583	134	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	583	135	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	583	136	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	583	137	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	583	138	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	584	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	584	2	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	584	3	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	584	4	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	584	5	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	584	6	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	584	7	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	584	8	-2001020	-2001020	NOUN
cpos-37	584	9	s	s	PART
cpos-37	584	10	o	o	INTJ
cpos-37	584	11	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-37	584	12	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	584	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	584	14	a	a	DET
cpos-37	584	15	ut	ut	PROPN
cpos-37	584	16	ho	ho	PROPN
cpos-37	584	17	r	r	PROPN
cpos-37	584	18	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-37	584	19	s	s	PART
cpos-37	584	20	ca	can	AUX
cpos-37	584	21	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-37	584	22	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-37	584	23	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	584	24	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	584	25	n	n	PRON
cpos-37	584	26	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	584	27	n	n	X
cpos-37	584	28	th	th	X
cpos-37	584	29	e	e	X
cpos-37	584	30	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	584	31	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	584	32	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	584	33	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	584	34	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	584	35	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	585	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	585	2	d	d	NOUN
cpos-37	585	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	585	4	a	a	DET
cpos-37	585	5	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-37	585	6	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	585	7	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	585	8	th	th	X
cpos-37	585	9	e	e	X
cpos-37	585	10	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	585	11	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	585	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	585	13	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-37	585	14	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	585	15	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	585	16	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-37	585	17	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	585	18	s	s	PART
cpos-37	585	19	o	o	X
cpos-37	585	20	f	f	X
cpos-37	586	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	586	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	586	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	587	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	587	2	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	587	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	587	4	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	587	5	ta	ta	X
cpos-37	587	6	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	587	7	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	587	8	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	587	9	ad	ad	NOUN
cpos-37	587	10	en	en	X
cpos-37	587	11	-w	-w	PROPN
cpos-37	587	12	ue	ue	PROPN
cpos-37	587	13	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	587	14	te	te	PROPN
cpos-37	587	15	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	587	16	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	587	17	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	587	18	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	587	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	587	20	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	587	21	es	es	X
cpos-37	587	22	se	se	X
cpos-37	588	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	588	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-37	588	3	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	588	4	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-37	588	5	ne	ne	PROPN
cpos-37	588	6	la	la	PROPN
cpos-37	588	7	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-37	588	8	-p	-p	PROPN
cpos-37	588	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	588	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	588	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	588	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	588	13	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-37	588	14	population	population	PROPN
cpos-37	588	15	development	development	NOUN
cpos-37	588	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	588	17	the	the	DET
cpos-37	588	18	rhine	rhine	PROPN
cpos-37	588	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	588	20	neckar	neckar	ADJ
cpos-37	588	21	metropolitan	metropolitan	PROPN
cpos-37	588	22	area	area	PROPN
cpos-37	588	23	•	•	ADV
cpos-37	588	24	805	805	NUM
cpos-37	588	25	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-37	588	26	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	588	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	589	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	589	2	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	589	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	589	4	t	t	PROPN
cpos-37	589	5	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	589	6	s	s	VERB
cpos-37	589	7	ix	ix	ADP
cpos-37	589	8	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	589	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	589	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	589	11	f	f	PROPN
cpos-37	589	12	un	un	PROPN
cpos-37	589	13	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	589	14	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	589	15	n	n	PROPN
cpos-37	589	16	s	s	PART
cpos-37	589	17	o	o	X
cpos-37	589	18	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	590	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	590	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	590	3	r	r	VERB
cpos-37	590	4	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	590	5	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	590	6	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	590	7	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	591	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	591	2	el	el	PROPN
cpos-37	591	3	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	591	4	n	n	INTJ
cpos-37	591	5	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	591	6	ig	ig	INTJ
cpos-37	591	7	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	591	8	tio	tio	NOUN
cpos-37	591	9	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	591	10	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	591	11	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	591	12	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	591	13	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	591	14	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	591	15	-80	-80	NOUN
cpos-37	591	16	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	591	17	400	400	NUM
cpos-37	591	18	m	m	NOUN
cpos-37	591	19	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-37	591	20	n	n	ADV
cpos-37	591	21	ef	ef	X
cpos-37	591	22	fe	fe	X
cpos-37	592	1	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	592	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	592	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	592	4	ge	ge	NOUN
cpos-37	592	5	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-37	592	6	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	592	7	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	8	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	592	9	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	592	10	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	592	11	0.000.100.200.30	0.000.100.200.30	NOUN
cpos-37	592	12	a	a	DET
cpos-37	592	13	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	592	14	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	592	15	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	592	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	592	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	592	18	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	592	19	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-37	592	20	ct	ct	PROPN
cpos-37	592	21	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	592	22	n	n	ADP
cpos-37	592	23	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	592	24	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	592	25	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	592	26	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	592	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-37	592	28	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	592	29	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	592	30	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	31	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	592	32	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	33	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	592	34	-100050	-100050	PROPN
cpos-37	592	35	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	592	36	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	37	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	592	38	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	592	39	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	592	40	-0.050.050.15	-0.050.050.15	PUNCT
cpos-37	592	41	a	a	DET
cpos-37	592	42	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	592	43	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	592	44	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	592	45	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	592	46	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	592	47	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	592	48	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	592	49	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	592	50	2	2	NUM
cpos-37	592	51	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	592	52	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	592	53	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	54	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	592	55	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	56	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	592	57	-100	-100	PROPN
cpos-37	592	58	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	592	59	50050	50050	NUM
cpos-37	592	60	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	592	61	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	62	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	592	63	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	592	64	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	592	65	-0.4	-0.4	NUM
cpos-37	592	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	592	67	0.20.00.2	0.20.00.2	NOUN
cpos-37	592	68	a	a	DET
cpos-37	592	69	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	592	70	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	592	71	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	592	72	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	592	73	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	592	74	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	592	75	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	592	76	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	592	77	3	3	NUM
cpos-37	592	78	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	592	79	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	592	80	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	81	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	592	82	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	83	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	592	84	-80	-80	NUM
cpos-37	592	85	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	592	86	40020	40020	NUM
cpos-37	592	87	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	592	88	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	592	89	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	592	90	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	592	91	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	592	92	0.000.100.20	0.000.100.20	NUM
cpos-37	593	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	593	2	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	593	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	593	4	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	593	5	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	593	6	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	593	7	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	593	8	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	593	9	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	593	10	4	4	NUM
cpos-37	593	11	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	593	12	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	593	13	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	14	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	593	15	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	16	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	593	17	-101030	-101030	NOUN
cpos-37	593	18	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	593	19	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	20	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	593	21	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	593	22	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	593	23	-0.25	-0.25	NUM
cpos-37	593	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	593	25	0.100.05	0.100.05	NOUN
cpos-37	593	26	a	a	DET
cpos-37	593	27	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	593	28	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	593	29	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	593	30	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	593	31	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	593	32	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	593	33	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	593	34	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	593	35	5	5	NUM
cpos-37	593	36	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	593	37	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	593	38	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	39	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	593	40	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	41	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	593	42	-15	-15	NUM
cpos-37	593	43	-	-	NOUN
cpos-37	593	44	5515	5515	NUM
cpos-37	593	45	0	0	NUM
cpos-37	593	46	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	47	40	40	NUM
cpos-37	593	48	60	60	NUM
cpos-37	593	49	80	80	NUM
cpos-37	593	50	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
cpos-37	593	51	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	593	52	0.10.1	0.10.1	NUM
cpos-37	593	53	a	a	DET
cpos-37	593	54	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-37	593	55	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-37	593	56	function	function	NOUN
cpos-37	593	57	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	593	58	ti	ti	NOUN
cpos-37	593	59	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	593	60	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	593	61	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-37	593	62	6	6	NUM
cpos-37	593	63	19	19	NUM
cpos-37	593	64	96	96	NUM
cpos-37	593	65	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	66	02	02	NUM
cpos-37	593	67	20	20	NUM
cpos-37	593	68	08	08	NUM
cpos-37	593	69	-6	-6	PROPN
cpos-37	593	70	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	593	71	20246	20246	NUM
cpos-37	593	72	s	s	PART
cpos-37	593	73	o	o	X
cpos-37	593	74	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-37	593	75	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	593	76	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	593	77	a	a	DET
cpos-37	593	78	ut	ut	PROPN
cpos-37	593	79	ho	ho	PROPN
cpos-37	593	80	r	r	PROPN
cpos-37	593	81	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-37	593	82	s	s	PART
cpos-37	593	83	ca	can	AUX
cpos-37	593	84	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-37	593	85	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-37	593	86	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	593	87	io	io	PROPN
cpos-37	593	88	n	n	PRON
cpos-37	593	89	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	593	90	n	n	X
cpos-37	593	91	th	th	X
cpos-37	593	92	e	e	X
cpos-37	593	93	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	593	94	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-37	593	95	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	593	96	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	593	97	f	f	NOUN
cpos-37	594	1	t	t	NOUN
cpos-37	595	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	596	1	d	d	NOUN
cpos-37	596	2	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	596	3	a	a	DET
cpos-37	596	4	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-37	596	5	o	o	NOUN
cpos-37	596	6	m	m	VERB
cpos-37	596	7	th	th	X
cpos-37	596	8	e	e	X
cpos-37	596	9	st	st	PROPN
cpos-37	596	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	596	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-37	596	12	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-37	596	13	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	596	14	o	o	PROPN
cpos-37	596	15	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-37	596	16	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-37	596	17	s	s	PART
cpos-37	596	18	o	o	X
cpos-37	596	19	f	f	X
cpos-37	597	1	t	t	X
cpos-37	597	2	he	he	PRON
cpos-37	597	3	fe	fe	INTJ
cpos-37	598	1	d	d	X
cpos-37	598	2	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	598	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	598	4	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	598	5	ta	ta	X
cpos-37	598	6	te	te	ADP
cpos-37	598	7	s	s	PROPN
cpos-37	598	8	b	b	NOUN
cpos-37	598	9	ad	ad	NOUN
cpos-37	598	10	en	en	X
cpos-37	598	11	-w	-w	PROPN
cpos-37	598	12	ue	ue	PROPN
cpos-37	598	13	rt	rt	PROPN
cpos-37	598	14	te	te	PROPN
cpos-37	598	15	m	m	PROPN
cpos-37	598	16	b	b	PROPN
cpos-37	598	17	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	598	18	g	g	NOUN
cpos-37	598	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-37	598	20	h	h	NOUN
cpos-37	598	21	es	es	X
cpos-37	598	22	se	se	X
cpos-37	599	1	a	a	DET
cpos-37	599	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-37	599	3	r	r	NOUN
cpos-37	599	4	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-37	599	5	ne	ne	PROPN
cpos-37	599	6	la	la	PROPN
cpos-37	599	7	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-37	599	8	-p	-p	PROPN
cpos-37	599	9	al	al	PROPN
cpos-37	599	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	599	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-37	599	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-37	599	13	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-37	599	14	©	©	PROPN
cpos-37	599	15	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	599	16	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-37	599	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	599	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	599	19	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	599	20	2012	2012	NUM
cpos-37	599	21	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	599	22	all	all	DET
cpos-37	599	23	rights	right	NOUN
cpos-37	599	24	reserved	reserve	VERB
cpos-37	599	25	published	publish	VERB
cpos-37	599	26	by	by	ADP
cpos-37	599	27	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	599	28	herausgegeben	herausgegeben	PROPN
cpos-37	599	29	von	von	PROPN
cpos-37	599	30	prof	prof	PROPN
cpos-37	599	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	1	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-37	600	2	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	600	3	norbert	norbert	PROPN
cpos-37	600	4	f.	f.	PROPN
cpos-37	600	5	schneider	schneider	PROPN
cpos-37	600	6	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-37	600	7	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-37	600	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-37	600	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	600	10	research	research	NOUN
cpos-37	600	11	d-65180	d-65180	PROPN
cpos-37	600	12	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-37	600	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	14	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-37	600	15	managing	manage	VERB
cpos-37	600	16	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-37	600	17	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	18	verantwortlicher	verantwortlicher	PROPN
cpos-37	600	19	redakteur	redakteur	PROPN
cpos-37	600	20	frank	frank	PROPN
cpos-37	600	21	swiaczny	swiaczny	PROPN
cpos-37	600	22	editorial	editorial	ADJ
cpos-37	600	23	assistant	assistant	NOUN
cpos-37	600	24	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	25	redaktionsassistenz	redaktionsassistenz	PROPN
cpos-37	600	26	katrin	katrin	PROPN
cpos-37	600	27	schiefer	schiefer	PROPN
cpos-37	600	28	language	language	PROPN
cpos-37	600	29	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-37	600	30	copy	copy	PROPN
cpos-37	600	31	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-37	600	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	33	english	english	PROPN
cpos-37	600	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	35	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	36	lektorat	lektorat	PROPN
cpos-37	600	37	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-37	600	38	übersetzungen	übersetzungen	PROPN
cpos-37	600	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	40	englisch	englisch	ADJ
cpos-37	600	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	42	amelie	amelie	NOUN
cpos-37	600	43	franke	franke	PROPN
cpos-37	600	44	copy	copy	NOUN
cpos-37	600	45	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-37	600	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	47	german	german	ADJ
cpos-37	600	48	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	49	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	50	lektorat	lektorat	NOUN
cpos-37	600	51	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	52	deutsch	deutsch	PROPN
cpos-37	600	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	54	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-37	600	55	.	.	PROPN
cpos-37	600	56	evelyn	evelyn	PROPN
cpos-37	600	57	grünheid	grünheid	PROPN
cpos-37	600	58	layout	layout	PROPN
cpos-37	600	59	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	60	satz	satz	PROPN
cpos-37	600	61	beatriz	beatriz	PROPN
cpos-37	600	62	feiler	feiler	NOUN
cpos-37	600	63	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	64	fuchs	fuchs	ADJ
cpos-37	600	65	e	e	NOUN
cpos-37	600	66	-	-	NOUN
cpos-37	600	67	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-37	600	68	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	69	cpos@destatis.de	cpos@destatis.de	NUM
cpos-37	600	70	scientifi	scientifi	PROPN
cpos-37	600	71	c	c	PROPN
cpos-37	600	72	advisory	advisory	PROPN
cpos-37	600	73	board	board	PROPN
cpos-37	600	74	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	600	75	wissenschaftlicher	wissenschaftlicher	ADJ
cpos-37	600	76	beirat	beirat	PROPN
cpos-37	600	77	jürgen	jürgen	PROPN
cpos-37	600	78	dorbritz	dorbritz	PROPN
cpos-37	600	79	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	80	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-37	600	81	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	82	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-37	600	83	gans	gans	PROPN
cpos-37	600	84	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	600	85	mannheim	mannheim	NOUN
cpos-37	600	86	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	1	johannes	johanne	NOUN
cpos-37	601	2	huinink	huinink	VERB
cpos-37	601	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	4	bremen	breman	NOUN
cpos-37	601	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	6	marc	marc	PROPN
cpos-37	601	7	luy	luy	PROPN
cpos-37	601	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	9	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-37	601	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	11	clara	clara	PROPN
cpos-37	601	12	h.	h.	PROPN
cpos-37	601	13	mulder	mulder	PROPN
cpos-37	601	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	15	groningen	groningen	PROPN
cpos-37	601	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	17	notburga	notburga	NOUN
cpos-37	601	18	ott	ott	PROPN
cpos-37	601	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	20	bochum	bochum	PROPN
cpos-37	601	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	22	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-37	601	23	preisendörfer	preisendörfer	VERB
cpos-37	601	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	25	mainz	mainz	NOUN
cpos-37	601	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	27	board	board	NOUN
cpos-37	601	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-37	601	29	reviewers	reviewer	NOUN
cpos-37	601	30	/	/	SYM
cpos-37	601	31	gutachterbeirat	gutachterbeirat	NOUN
cpos-37	601	32	martin	martin	PROPN
cpos-37	601	33	abraham	abraham	PROPN
cpos-37	601	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	35	erlangen	erlangen	PROPN
cpos-37	601	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	37	laura	laura	PROPN
cpos-37	601	38	bernardi	bernardi	PROPN
cpos-37	601	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	40	lausanne	lausanne	PROPN
cpos-37	601	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	42	hansjörg	hansjörg	NOUN
cpos-37	601	43	bucher	bucher	PROPN
cpos-37	601	44	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	45	bonn	bonn	PROPN
cpos-37	601	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	47	claudia	claudia	PROPN
cpos-37	601	48	diehl	diehl	PROPN
cpos-37	601	49	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	50	göttingen	göttingen	PROPN
cpos-37	601	51	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	52	andreas	andreas	PROPN
cpos-37	601	53	diekmann	diekmann	PROPN
cpos-37	601	54	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	601	55	zürich	zürich	NOUN
cpos-37	601	56	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	1	gabriele	gabriele	PROPN
cpos-37	602	2	doblhammer	doblhammer	PROPN
cpos-37	602	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	4	reiter	reiter	NOUN
cpos-37	602	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	6	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-37	602	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	8	henriette	henriette	PROPN
cpos-37	602	9	engelhardt	engelhardt	PROPN
cpos-37	602	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	11	wölfl	wölfl	PROPN
cpos-37	602	12	er	er	INTJ
cpos-37	602	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	14	bamberg	bamberg	PROPN
cpos-37	602	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	16	e.-jürgen	e.-jürgen	NOUN
cpos-37	602	17	flöthmann	flöthmann	X
cpos-37	602	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	19	bielefeld	bielefeld	PROPN
cpos-37	602	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	21	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-37	602	22	fürnkranz	fürnkranz	PROPN
cpos-37	602	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	24	prskawetz	prskawetz	NOUN
cpos-37	602	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	26	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-37	602	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	28	beat	beat	VERB
cpos-37	602	29	fux	fux	PROPN
cpos-37	602	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	31	zürich	zürich	PROPN
cpos-37	602	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	33	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-37	602	34	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-37	602	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	36	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-37	602	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	38	karsten	karsten	PROPN
cpos-37	602	39	hank	hank	PROPN
cpos-37	602	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	602	41	köln	köln	NOUN
cpos-37	602	42	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	1	sonja	sonja	PROPN
cpos-37	603	2	haug	haug	PROPN
cpos-37	603	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	4	regensburg	regensburg	NOUN
cpos-37	603	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	6	franz	franz	PROPN
cpos-37	603	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	8	josef	josef	PROPN
cpos-37	603	9	kemper	kemper	PROPN
cpos-37	603	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	11	berlin	berlin	PROPN
cpos-37	603	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	13	michaela	michaela	PROPN
cpos-37	603	14	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-37	603	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	16	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-37	603	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	18	aart	aart	PROPN
cpos-37	603	19	c.	c.	PROPN
cpos-37	603	20	liefbroer	liefbroer	PROPN
cpos-37	603	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	22	den	den	PROPN
cpos-37	603	23	haag	haag	PROPN
cpos-37	603	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	25	kurt	kurt	PROPN
cpos-37	603	26	lüscher	lüscher	PROPN
cpos-37	603	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	28	konstanz	konstanz	PROPN
cpos-37	603	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	30	dimiter	dimiter	NOUN
cpos-37	603	31	philipov	philipov	NOUN
cpos-37	603	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	33	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-37	603	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	35	tomáš	tomáš	ADP
cpos-37	603	36	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
cpos-37	603	37	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	38	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-37	603	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	40	heike	heike	PROPN
cpos-37	603	41	trappe	trappe	PROPN
cpos-37	603	42	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	43	rostock	rostock	NOUN
cpos-37	603	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	45	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-37	603	46	population	population	NOUN
cpos-37	603	47	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-37	603	48	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	49	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-37	603	50	für	für	PROPN
cpos-37	603	51	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-37	603	52	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN
cpos-37	603	53	issn	issn	PROPN
cpos-37	603	54	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	55	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-37	603	56	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	603	57	8980	8980	NUM
cpos-37	603	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	59	print	print	NOUN
cpos-37	603	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	61	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	62	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-37	603	63	-	-	SYM
cpos-37	603	64	8999	8999	NUM
cpos-37	603	65	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-37	603	66	internet	internet	NOUN
cpos-37	603	67	)	)	PUNCT