id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cpos-635	1	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	1	2	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	1	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	4	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	1	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	1	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	1	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	1	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	1	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	1	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	1	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	1	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	1	14	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	1	15	a	a	DET
cpos-635	1	16	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	1	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	18	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	1	19	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	1	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	1	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	1	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	1	23	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	1	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	1	26	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	1	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	1	28	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	1	29	*	*	PROPN
cpos-635	1	30	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	1	31	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	1	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	33	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	1	34	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-635	1	35	abstract	abstract	PROPN
cpos-635	1	36	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	1	37	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	1	38	seeking	seek	VERB
cpos-635	1	39	a	a	DET
cpos-635	1	40	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-635	1	41	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	1	42	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	1	43	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	1	44	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	1	45	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	1	46	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	1	47	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	1	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	1	49	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	1	50	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	1	51	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	1	52	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	1	53	many	many	ADJ
cpos-635	1	54	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-635	1	55	choices	choice	NOUN
cpos-635	1	56	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	1	57	the	the	DET
cpos-635	1	58	large	large	ADJ
cpos-635	1	59	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	1	60	growing	grow	VERB
cpos-635	1	61	academic	academic	ADJ
cpos-635	1	62	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-635	1	63	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	1	64	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	1	65	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	1	66	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	2	1	despite	despite	SCONJ
cpos-635	2	2	this	this	DET
cpos-635	2	3	abundance	abundance	NOUN
cpos-635	2	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	2	5	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	2	6	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	2	7	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	2	8	little	little	ADJ
cpos-635	2	9	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	2	10	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	2	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	2	12	selecting	select	VERB
cpos-635	2	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	2	14	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	2	15	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cpos-635	2	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	2	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	2	18	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	2	19	needs	need	NOUN
cpos-635	2	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	3	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	3	2	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	3	3	evaluates	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	3	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	3	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	3	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	3	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	3	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	3	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	3	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	3	11	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-635	3	12	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	3	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	3	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	3	15	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	3	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	4	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	4	2	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	4	3	includes	include	VERB
cpos-635	4	4	eight	eight	NUM
cpos-635	4	5	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	4	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	4	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	4	8	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	4	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	4	10	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	4	11	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	4	12	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	4	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	4	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	4	15	a	a	DET
cpos-635	4	16	benchmark	benchmark	ADJ
cpos-635	4	17	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	4	18	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	4	19	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	4	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	4	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	4	22	ediev	ediev	NOUN
cpos-635	4	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	4	24	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	4	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	4	26	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	4	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	5	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	5	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	5	3	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	5	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	5	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	5	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	5	7	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	5	8	combinations	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	5	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	5	10	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	5	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	5	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	6	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	6	2	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	6	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	6	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	6	5	preparing	prepare	VERB
cpos-635	6	6	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	6	7	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	6	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	6	9	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	6	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	6	11	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	6	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	6	13	past	past	ADJ
cpos-635	6	14	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	6	15	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	6	16	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	6	17	obtained	obtain	VERB
cpos-635	6	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	6	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	6	20	human	human	ADJ
cpos-635	6	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	6	22	database	database	NOUN
cpos-635	6	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	7	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	7	2	each	each	DET
cpos-635	7	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	7	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	7	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	7	6	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	7	7	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	7	8	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-635	7	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	7	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	7	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	7	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	7	13	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	7	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	7	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	7	16	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	7	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	7	18	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	7	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	7	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	7	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	7	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	7	23	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	7	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	7	25	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	7	26	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	7	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	7	28	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	7	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	7	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	7	31	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	7	32	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	7	33	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	7	34	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	7	35	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	7	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	8	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	8	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	8	3	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	8	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	8	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	8	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	8	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	8	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	8	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	8	10	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	8	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	8	12	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	8	13	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	8	14	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	8	15	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	8	16	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	8	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	8	18	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	8	19	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	8	20	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	8	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	8	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	9	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	9	2	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	9	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	9	4	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	9	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	9	6	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	9	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	9	8	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	9	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	9	10	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	9	11	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	9	12	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	9	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	9	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	9	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	9	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	9	17	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	9	18	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	9	19	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	9	20	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	10	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	10	2	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	10	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	10	4	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	10	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	10	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	10	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	10	8	standout	standout	NOUN
cpos-635	10	9	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	10	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	10	11	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	10	12	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	10	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	10	14	followed	follow	VERB
cpos-635	10	15	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	10	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	10	17	benchmark	benchmark	ADJ
cpos-635	10	18	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	10	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	10	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	11	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	11	2	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	11	3	presents	present	VERB
cpos-635	11	4	a	a	DET
cpos-635	11	5	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
cpos-635	11	6	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	11	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	11	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	11	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	11	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	11	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	11	12	a	a	DET
cpos-635	11	13	variety	variety	NOUN
cpos-635	11	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	11	15	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	11	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	11	17	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	11	18	a	a	DET
cpos-635	11	19	new	new	ADJ
cpos-635	11	20	way	way	NOUN
cpos-635	11	21	to	to	PART
cpos-635	11	22	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	11	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	11	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	11	25	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	11	26	a	a	DET
cpos-635	11	27	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	11	28	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	11	29	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	11	30	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	11	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	12	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	12	2	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-635	12	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	12	4	this	this	DET
cpos-635	12	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	12	6	proves	prove	VERB
cpos-635	12	7	useful	useful	ADJ
cpos-635	12	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	12	9	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	12	10	looking	look	VERB
cpos-635	12	11	to	to	PART
cpos-635	12	12	select	select	VERB
cpos-635	12	13	a	a	DET
cpos-635	12	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	12	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	12	16	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	12	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
cpos-635	13	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	13	4	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	5	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	13	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	13	7	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	13	8	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	9	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	13	10	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	13	11	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	12	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	13	13	·	·	SYM
cpos-635	13	14	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	13	15	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	13	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	13	17	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	13	18	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-635	13	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	13	20	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-635	13	21	vol	vol	NOUN
cpos-635	13	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	23	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	13	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	25	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-635	13	26	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	27	95	95	NUM
cpos-635	13	28	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	13	29	128	128	NUM
cpos-635	13	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	31	date	date	NOUN
cpos-635	13	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	13	33	release	release	NOUN
cpos-635	13	34	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	35	23.06.2025	23.06.2025	NUM
cpos-635	13	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	37	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-635	13	38	institute	institute	NOUN
cpos-635	13	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	13	40	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	13	41	research	research	PROPN
cpos-635	13	42	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-635	13	43	url	url	NOUN
cpos-635	13	44	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	45	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	NOUN
cpos-635	13	46	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-635	13	47	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	48	https://doi.org/10.12765/cpos-2025-07	https://doi.org/10.12765/cpos-2025-07	ADJ
cpos-635	13	49	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-635	13	50	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	51	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-635	13	52	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	53	nbn	nbn	PROPN
cpos-635	13	54	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	55	de	de	ADJ
cpos-635	13	56	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	57	bib	bib	ADJ
cpos-635	13	58	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	59	cpos-2025	cpos-2025	NOUN
cpos-635	13	60	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	61	07en	07en	NOUN
cpos-635	13	62	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-635	13	63	this	this	DET
cpos-635	13	64	article	article	NOUN
cpos-635	13	65	has	have	VERB
cpos-635	13	66	an	an	DET
cpos-635	13	67	online	online	ADJ
cpos-635	13	68	appendix	appendix	NOUN
cpos-635	13	69	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	13	70	supplementary	supplementary	ADJ
cpos-635	13	71	material	material	NOUN
cpos-635	13	72	url	url	NOUN
cpos-635	13	73	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	14	1	https://www	https://www	PROPN
cpos-635	14	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	14	3	comparativepopulationstudies.de/index.php/cpos/article/view/635/435	comparativepopulationstudies.de/index.php/cpos/article/view/635/435	NOUN
cpos-635	14	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	15	1	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN
cpos-635	15	2	https://doi.org/10.12765/cpos-2025-07	https://doi.org/10.12765/cpos-2025-07	PROPN
cpos-635	15	3	•	•	PROPN
cpos-635	15	4	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	15	5	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	15	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	15	7	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	15	8	wilson96	wilson96	NOUN
cpos-635	15	9	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	15	10	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cpos-635	15	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	15	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	15	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	15	14	an	an	DET
cpos-635	15	15	essential	essential	ADJ
cpos-635	15	16	input	input	NOUN
cpos-635	15	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	15	18	any	any	DET
cpos-635	15	19	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	15	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	15	21	component	component	NOUN
cpos-635	15	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	15	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	15	24	a	a	DET
cpos-635	15	25	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	15	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	16	1	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	16	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	16	3	nearly	nearly	ADV
cpos-635	16	4	always	always	ADV
cpos-635	16	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	16	6	main	main	ADJ
cpos-635	16	7	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	16	8	process	process	NOUN
cpos-635	16	9	affecting	affect	VERB
cpos-635	16	10	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	16	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	16	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	16	13	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	16	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	16	15	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	16	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	16	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	16	18	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	16	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	16	20	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-635	16	21	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	16	22	important	important	ADJ
cpos-635	16	23	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	16	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	16	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	16	26	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	16	27	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	16	28	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	16	29	as	as	ADV
cpos-635	16	30	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	16	31	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	16	32	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-635	16	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	16	34	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-635	16	35	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	16	36	those	those	PRON
cpos-635	16	37	related	relate	VERB
cpos-635	16	38	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	16	39	pensions	pension	NOUN
cpos-635	16	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	16	41	health	health	NOUN
cpos-635	16	42	care	care	NOUN
cpos-635	16	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	16	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	16	45	aged	aged	ADJ
cpos-635	16	46	care	care	NOUN
cpos-635	16	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	17	1	an	an	DET
cpos-635	17	2	extensive	extensive	ADJ
cpos-635	17	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	17	4	impressive	impressive	ADJ
cpos-635	17	5	body	body	NOUN
cpos-635	17	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	17	7	academic	academic	ADJ
cpos-635	17	8	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-635	17	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	17	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	17	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	17	12	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	17	13	has	have	AUX
cpos-635	17	14	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	17	15	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-635	17	16	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	17	17	many	many	ADJ
cpos-635	17	18	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-635	17	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	17	20	basellini	basellini	PROPN
cpos-635	17	21	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	17	22	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	17	23	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	17	24	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	17	25	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	17	26	bengtsson	bengtsson	NOUN
cpos-635	17	27	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	17	28	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-635	17	29	2019	2019	NUM
cpos-635	17	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	17	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	18	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	18	2	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	18	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	18	4	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	18	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	18	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	18	7	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-635	18	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	18	9	high	high	ADJ
cpos-635	18	10	quality	quality	NOUN
cpos-635	18	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	18	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	18	13	remains	remain	VERB
cpos-635	18	14	challenging	challenge	VERB
cpos-635	18	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	19	1	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	19	2	an	an	DET
cpos-635	19	3	abundance	abundance	NOUN
cpos-635	19	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	19	5	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	19	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	19	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	19	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	19	9	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	19	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	19	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	19	12	academic	academic	ADJ
cpos-635	19	13	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-635	19	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	19	15	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	19	16	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	19	17	limited	limited	ADJ
cpos-635	19	18	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	19	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	19	20	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	19	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	19	22	which	which	DET
cpos-635	19	23	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	19	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	19	25	tools	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	19	26	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	19	27	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	19	28	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cpos-635	19	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	19	30	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-635	19	31	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	19	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	19	33	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	19	34	generate	generate	VERB
cpos-635	19	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	19	36	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	19	37	plausible	plausible	ADJ
cpos-635	19	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	19	39	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	19	40	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	19	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	1	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	20	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	20	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	20	4	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	20	5	commonly	commonly	ADV
cpos-635	20	6	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	20	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	20	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	20	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	20	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	20	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	20	12	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	20	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	14	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	20	15	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	20	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	17	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	20	18	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	20	19	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	20	20	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-635	20	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	20	24	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	20	25	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	20	26	a	a	DET
cpos-635	20	27	large	large	ADJ
cpos-635	20	28	body	body	NOUN
cpos-635	20	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	20	30	work	work	NOUN
cpos-635	20	31	developing	develop	VERB
cpos-635	20	32	extensions	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	20	33	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	20	34	this	this	DET
cpos-635	20	35	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	20	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	37	basellini	basellini	PROPN
cpos-635	20	38	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	20	39	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	20	40	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	20	41	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	20	42	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	20	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	1	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	21	2	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	21	3	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	21	4	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	21	5	shown	show	VERB
cpos-635	21	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	21	7	these	these	DET
cpos-635	21	8	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	21	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	10	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	21	11	extensions	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	21	12	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	21	13	better	well	ADJ
cpos-635	21	14	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	21	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	21	16	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	21	17	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	21	18	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	21	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	21	20	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	21	21	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	21	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	23	bergeron	bergeron	PROPN
cpos-635	21	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	25	boucher	boucher	PROPN
cpos-635	21	26	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	21	27	kjærgaard	kjærgaard	PROPN
cpos-635	21	28	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	21	29	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	30	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	21	31	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	21	32	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	21	33	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	21	34	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	21	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	21	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	1	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	22	2	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	22	3	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	22	4	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-635	22	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	6	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	22	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	22	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	9	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	22	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	11	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	22	12	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	22	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	22	14	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	22	15	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	22	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	17	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	22	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	22	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	22	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	22	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	22	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	24	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	22	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	26	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	22	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	28	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	22	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	30	osmond	osmond	PROPN
cpos-635	22	31	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-635	22	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	35	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	22	36	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	37	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	22	38	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	39	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	22	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	41	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	22	42	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	43	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	22	44	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	45	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	22	46	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	22	47	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	22	48	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	22	49	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	22	50	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	51	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	52	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	53	renshawhaberman	renshawhaberman	NOUN
cpos-635	22	54	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	22	55	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	56	renshaw	renshaw	NOUN
cpos-635	22	57	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	22	58	haberman	haberman	NOUN
cpos-635	22	59	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	22	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	61	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	62	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	63	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	22	64	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	22	65	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	22	66	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	22	67	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	68	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	22	69	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	70	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	22	71	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	22	72	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	22	73	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	22	74	2013	2013	NUM
cpos-635	22	75	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	77	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	22	78	the	the	DET
cpos-635	22	79	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	22	80	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	22	81	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	82	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	22	83	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	22	84	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	22	85	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	1	devi	devi	PROPN
cpos-635	23	2	fokeer	fokeer	PROPN
cpos-635	23	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	23	4	narsoo	narsoo	ADJ
cpos-635	23	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	6	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	23	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	8	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	23	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	23	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	23	11	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	23	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	23	13	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	23	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	23	15	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	23	16	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	23	17	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	23	18	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-635	23	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	23	20	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	23	21	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	23	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	23	23	renshaw	renshaw	NOUN
cpos-635	23	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	25	haberman	haberman	NOUN
cpos-635	23	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	27	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	23	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	29	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	23	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	23	31	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	23	32	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	23	33	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	23	34	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	23	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	23	36	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	23	37	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	23	38	19	19	NUM
cpos-635	23	39	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	40	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	23	41	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	23	42	olds	old	NOUN
cpos-635	23	43	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	23	44	the	the	DET
cpos-635	23	45	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	23	46	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	23	47	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	23	48	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	23	49	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	23	50	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	23	51	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	23	52	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	23	53	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	24	1	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	24	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	24	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	24	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	24	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	24	6	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-635	24	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	24	8	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	24	9	ten	ten	NUM
cpos-635	24	10	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	24	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	24	12	extensions	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	24	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	24	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	24	15	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	24	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	24	17	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	24	18	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	24	19	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	24	20	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	24	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	24	22	step	step	NOUN
cpos-635	24	23	ahead	ahead	NOUN
cpos-635	24	24	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	24	25	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	24	26	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	24	27	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	24	28	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	24	29	14	14	NUM
cpos-635	24	30	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-635	24	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	25	2	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	25	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	25	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	25	5	weighted	weighted	ADJ
cpos-635	25	6	hyndman	hyndman	ADJ
cpos-635	25	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	8	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-635	25	9	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	25	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	11	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	25	12	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	25	13	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-635	25	14	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-635	25	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	16	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	25	17	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	25	18	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	25	19	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	25	20	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-635	25	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	22	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	25	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	25	24	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	25	25	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	25	26	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	25	27	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	25	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	25	29	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	25	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	25	31	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	25	32	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	25	33	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	25	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	25	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	25	36	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	25	37	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	25	38	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	25	39	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	25	40	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	25	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	42	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
cpos-635	25	43	the	the	DET
cpos-635	25	44	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	25	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	46	miller	miller	PROPN
cpos-635	25	47	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	25	48	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	49	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	25	50	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	25	51	miller	miller	PROPN
cpos-635	25	52	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-635	25	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	25	54	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	25	55	best	well	ADV
cpos-635	25	56	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	25	57	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	25	58	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	25	59	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	25	60	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	25	61	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	25	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	26	2	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-635	26	3	hyndmanullah	hyndmanullah	PROPN
cpos-635	26	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	26	5	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	26	6	best	well	ADV
cpos-635	26	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	26	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	26	9	majority	majority	NOUN
cpos-635	26	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	26	11	datasets	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	26	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	26	13	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	26	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	26	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	16	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	26	17	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	26	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	26	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	20	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	26	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	26	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	26	24	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	26	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	26	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	26	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	26	28	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	26	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	26	30	miller	miller	PROPN
cpos-635	26	31	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	26	32	excelled	excel	VERB
cpos-635	26	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	26	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	26	35	majority	majority	NOUN
cpos-635	26	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	26	37	datasets	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	26	38	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	26	39	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	26	40	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	26	41	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	26	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	27	1	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	27	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	27	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	27	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	28	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	28	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-635	28	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	28	4	suggested	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	28	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	28	6	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-635	28	7	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	28	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	28	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	28	10	weighted	weighted	ADJ
cpos-635	28	11	hyndman	hyndman	ADJ
cpos-635	28	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	28	13	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-635	28	14	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	28	15	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	28	16	linked	link	VERB
cpos-635	28	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	28	18	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	28	19	emphasis	emphasis	NOUN
cpos-635	28	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	28	21	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-635	28	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	28	23	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	28	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	28	25	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	28	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	28	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	29	1	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	29	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	29	3	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	29	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	29	5	investigated	investigate	VERB
cpos-635	29	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	29	7	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	29	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	29	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	29	10	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	29	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	29	12	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	29	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	29	14	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	29	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	29	16	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	29	17	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	29	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	29	19	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	29	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	29	21	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	29	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	29	23	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	29	24	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-635	29	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	29	26	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	29	27	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	29	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	29	29	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	29	30	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	29	31	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	29	32	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	29	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	29	34	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	29	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	30	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	3	li	li	PROPN
cpos-635	30	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	5	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	30	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	7	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	30	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	30	9	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	30	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	30	11	traditional	traditional	ADJ
cpos-635	30	12	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-635	30	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	30	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	15	machine	machine	NOUN
cpos-635	30	16	learning	learning	NOUN
cpos-635	30	17	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	30	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	30	20	combinations	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	30	21	thereof	thereof	ADV
cpos-635	30	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	23	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	30	24	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	30	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	30	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	30	27	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	30	28	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	30	29	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	30	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	30	31	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	30	32	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	30	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	30	34	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	30	35	us	us	PROPN
cpos-635	30	36	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	30	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	31	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	31	2	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	31	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	31	4	a	a	DET
cpos-635	31	5	stacked	stack	VERB
cpos-635	31	6	neural	neural	ADJ
cpos-635	31	7	network	network	NOUN
cpos-635	31	8	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	31	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	31	10	combining	combine	VERB
cpos-635	31	11	a	a	DET
cpos-635	31	12	diverse	diverse	ADJ
cpos-635	31	13	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	31	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	31	15	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	31	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	31	17	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	31	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	31	19	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	31	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	31	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	32	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	32	2	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	32	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	32	4	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	32	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	32	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	32	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	32	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	32	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	32	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	32	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	32	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	32	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	32	14	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	32	15	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	32	16	97	97	NUM
cpos-635	32	17	dowd	dowd	NOUN
cpos-635	32	18	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	32	19	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	32	20	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	32	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	32	22	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-635	32	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	32	24	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	32	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	32	26	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	32	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	32	28	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	32	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	32	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	32	31	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	32	32	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	32	33	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	32	34	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	32	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	32	36	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	32	37	aged	age	VERB
cpos-635	32	38	60	60	NUM
cpos-635	32	39	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	32	40	89	89	NUM
cpos-635	32	41	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	32	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	32	43	england	england	PROPN
cpos-635	32	44	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	32	45	wales	wale	NOUN
cpos-635	32	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	33	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	33	2	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-635	33	3	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	33	4	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	33	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	33	6	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	33	7	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	33	8	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	33	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	33	10	converged	converge	VERB
cpos-635	33	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	33	12	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	33	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	33	14	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	33	15	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	33	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	33	17	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	33	18	decreased	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	33	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	33	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	33	21	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	33	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	33	23	a	a	DET
cpos-635	33	24	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	33	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	33	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	33	27	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	33	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	33	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	33	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	33	31	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-635	33	32	density	density	NOUN
cpos-635	33	33	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	33	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	1	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	34	2	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	34	3	varied	varied	ADJ
cpos-635	34	4	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	34	5	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	34	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	7	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	34	8	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	34	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	34	10	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	34	11	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	34	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	13	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	34	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	15	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	34	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	17	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	34	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	19	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	34	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	34	22	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	34	23	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	34	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	34	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	34	26	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	34	27	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	34	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	34	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	35	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	35	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	35	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	35	4	renshaw	renshaw	PROPN
cpos-635	35	5	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	35	6	haberman	haberman	NOUN
cpos-635	35	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	35	8	showed	show	VERB
cpos-635	35	9	limited	limited	ADJ
cpos-635	35	10	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	35	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	35	12	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	35	13	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	35	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	36	1	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
cpos-635	36	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	36	3	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	36	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	36	5	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-635	36	6	an	an	DET
cpos-635	36	7	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	36	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	36	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	36	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	36	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	36	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	36	13	australians	australian	NOUN
cpos-635	36	14	aged	age	VERB
cpos-635	36	15	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	36	16	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	36	17	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	36	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	36	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	36	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	36	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	36	22	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	36	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	36	24	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	36	25	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	36	26	to	to	PART
cpos-635	36	27	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	36	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	36	29	ediev	ediev	ADJ
cpos-635	36	30	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	36	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	36	32	ediev	ediev	ADV
cpos-635	36	33	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	36	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	36	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	37	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	37	3	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	37	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	37	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	37	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	37	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	8	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	37	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	10	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	37	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	37	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	37	13	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	37	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	15	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	37	16	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	37	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	37	18	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	37	19	extensions	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	37	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	37	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	37	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	37	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	37	25	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	37	26	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	37	27	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	37	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	37	29	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	37	30	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	37	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	37	32	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	37	33	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	37	34	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	37	35	not	not	PART
cpos-635	37	36	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	37	37	as	as	ADV
cpos-635	37	38	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	37	39	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	37	40	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	37	41	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	37	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	37	43	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	37	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	37	45	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	37	46	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	37	47	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	37	48	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	37	49	logged	log	VERB
cpos-635	37	50	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	37	51	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	37	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	38	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	38	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	38	3	this	this	DET
cpos-635	38	4	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	38	5	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	38	6	not	not	PART
cpos-635	38	7	translate	translate	VERB
cpos-635	38	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	38	9	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	38	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	38	11	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	38	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	38	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	38	14	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	38	15	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	38	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	39	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	39	2	summary	summary	NOUN
cpos-635	39	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	39	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	39	5	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-635	39	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	39	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	39	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	39	9	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	39	10	demonstrates	demonstrate	VERB
cpos-635	39	11	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	39	12	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	39	13	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	39	14	vary	vary	VERB
cpos-635	39	15	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	39	16	dataset	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	39	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	39	18	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	39	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	39	20	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	39	21	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	39	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	39	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	39	24	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	39	25	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	39	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	40	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	40	2	discussed	discuss	VERB
cpos-635	40	3	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	40	4	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	40	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	40	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	40	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	41	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	2	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-635	41	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	5	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	41	6	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	41	7	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	41	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	41	9	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	41	10	to	to	PART
cpos-635	41	11	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	41	12	a	a	DET
cpos-635	41	13	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	41	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	41	15	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-635	41	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	17	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	41	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	41	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	20	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	41	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	41	23	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	41	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	25	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	41	26	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	41	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	41	28	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	41	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	41	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	41	31	survival	survival	NOUN
cpos-635	41	32	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	41	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	42	1	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	42	2	typically	typically	ADV
cpos-635	42	3	value	value	VERB
cpos-635	42	4	criteria	criterion	NOUN
cpos-635	42	5	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	42	6	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	42	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	42	8	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	42	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	42	10	ease	ease	NOUN
cpos-635	42	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	42	12	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	42	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	42	14	accessibility	accessibility	NOUN
cpos-635	42	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	42	16	tools	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	42	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	42	18	computational	computational	ADJ
cpos-635	42	19	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
cpos-635	42	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	42	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	42	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	42	23	ability	ability	NOUN
cpos-635	42	24	to	to	PART
cpos-635	42	25	generate	generate	VERB
cpos-635	42	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	42	27	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	42	28	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	42	29	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	42	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	42	31	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	42	32	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	42	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	43	1	ease	ease	NOUN
cpos-635	43	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	43	3	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	43	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	43	5	a	a	DET
cpos-635	43	6	significant	significant	ADJ
cpos-635	43	7	criterion	criterion	NOUN
cpos-635	43	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	43	9	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	43	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	43	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	43	12	a	a	DET
cpos-635	43	13	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	43	14	component	component	NOUN
cpos-635	43	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	43	16	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	43	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	43	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	43	19	availability	availability	NOUN
cpos-635	43	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	43	21	established	establish	VERB
cpos-635	43	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	43	23	validated	validated	ADJ
cpos-635	43	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	43	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	43	26	accessible	accessible	ADJ
cpos-635	43	27	tools	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	43	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	44	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	44	2	focusing	focus	VERB
cpos-635	44	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	44	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	44	5	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	44	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	44	7	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-635	44	8	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	44	9	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	44	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	44	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	44	12	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	44	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	44	14	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	44	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	44	16	this	this	DET
cpos-635	44	17	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	44	18	ensures	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	44	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	44	20	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	44	21	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	44	22	readily	readily	ADV
cpos-635	44	23	adopt	adopt	VERB
cpos-635	44	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	44	25	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	44	26	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	44	27	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	44	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	45	1	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	45	2	tools	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	45	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	45	4	not	not	PART
cpos-635	45	5	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	45	6	user	user	NOUN
cpos-635	45	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	45	8	friendly	friendly	ADJ
cpos-635	45	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	45	10	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	45	11	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	45	12	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	45	13	supported	support	VERB
cpos-635	45	14	within	within	ADP
cpos-635	45	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	45	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	45	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	45	18	community	community	NOUN
cpos-635	45	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	45	20	enhancing	enhance	VERB
cpos-635	45	21	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	45	22	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	45	23	utility	utility	NOUN
cpos-635	45	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	46	1	most	most	ADJ
cpos-635	46	2	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	46	3	focus	focus	VERB
cpos-635	46	4	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	46	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	46	6	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	46	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	46	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	46	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	46	10	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	46	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	46	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	46	13	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	46	14	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	46	15	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	46	16	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	46	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	47	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	47	2	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	47	3	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	47	4	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	47	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	47	6	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	47	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	47	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	47	9	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-635	47	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	47	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	47	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	47	13	production	production	NOUN
cpos-635	47	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	47	15	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	47	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	47	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	47	18	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	47	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	47	20	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	47	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	48	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	48	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	48	3	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	48	4	little	little	ADJ
cpos-635	48	5	work	work	NOUN
cpos-635	48	6	has	have	AUX
cpos-635	48	7	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	48	8	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-635	48	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	48	10	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	48	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	48	12	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	48	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	48	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	48	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	48	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	48	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	48	18	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	48	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	48	20	numbers	number	NOUN
cpos-635	48	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	48	22	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	48	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	48	24	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	48	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	48	26	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	48	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	48	28	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	48	29	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	48	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	49	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	49	2	challenge	challenge	NOUN
cpos-635	49	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	49	4	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	49	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	49	6	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	49	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	49	8	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	49	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	49	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	49	11	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	49	12	exposures	exposure	NOUN
cpos-635	49	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	49	14	unknown	unknown	ADJ
cpos-635	49	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	49	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	49	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	49	18	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-635	49	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	49	20	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	49	21	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-635	49	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	49	23	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	49	24	required	require	VERB
cpos-635	49	25	alongside	alongside	ADP
cpos-635	49	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	49	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	49	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	49	29	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	49	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	50	1	exposures	exposure	NOUN
cpos-635	50	2	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	50	3	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	50	4	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	50	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	50	6	past	past	ADJ
cpos-635	50	7	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	50	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	50	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	50	10	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	50	11	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	50	12	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	50	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	50	14	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-635	50	15	to	to	PART
cpos-635	50	16	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-635	50	17	valuable	valuable	ADJ
cpos-635	50	18	insights	insight	NOUN
cpos-635	50	19	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	50	20	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-635	50	21	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	50	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	50	23	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	50	24	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	50	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	51	1	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-635	51	2	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	51	3	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	51	4	seen	see	VERB
cpos-635	51	5	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-635	51	6	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-635	51	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	51	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	51	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	51	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	51	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	51	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	51	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	51	14	tools	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	51	15	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	51	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	51	17	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	51	18	to	to	PART
cpos-635	51	19	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	51	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	51	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	52	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	52	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	52	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	52	4	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	52	5	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	52	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	52	7	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	52	8	producing	produce	VERB
cpos-635	52	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	52	10	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	52	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	52	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	52	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	52	14	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	52	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	52	16	world	world	NOUN
cpos-635	52	17	settings	setting	NOUN
cpos-635	52	18	remains	remain	VERB
cpos-635	52	19	limited	limited	ADJ
cpos-635	52	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	53	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	53	2	aim	aim	NOUN
cpos-635	53	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	53	4	this	this	DET
cpos-635	53	5	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	53	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	53	7	to	to	PART
cpos-635	53	8	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	53	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	53	10	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	53	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	53	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	53	13	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	53	14	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	53	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	53	16	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	53	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	53	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	53	19	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	53	20	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-635	53	21	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	53	22	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	53	23	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	53	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	53	25	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	53	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	53	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	53	28	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	53	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	53	30	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	53	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	53	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	53	33	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	53	34	combinations	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	53	35	thereof	thereof	ADV
cpos-635	53	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	53	37	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	53	38	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	53	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	53	40	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	53	41	national	national	ADJ
cpos-635	53	42	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	53	43	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	53	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	54	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	54	2	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	54	3	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	54	4	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	54	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	54	6	readily	readily	ADV
cpos-635	54	7	accessible	accessible	ADJ
cpos-635	54	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	54	9	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	54	10	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	54	11	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	54	12	these	these	DET
cpos-635	54	13	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	54	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	54	15	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	54	16	aim	aim	VERB
cpos-635	54	17	to	to	PART
cpos-635	54	18	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-635	54	19	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	54	20	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	54	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	54	22	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	54	23	seeking	seek	VERB
cpos-635	54	24	effective	effective	ADJ
cpos-635	54	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	54	26	implementable	implementable	ADJ
cpos-635	54	27	•	•	X
cpos-635	54	28	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	54	29	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	54	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	54	31	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	54	32	wilson98	wilson98	PROPN
cpos-635	54	33	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	54	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	54	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	55	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	55	2	use	use	VERB
cpos-635	55	3	an	an	DET
cpos-635	55	4	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	55	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	55	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	55	7	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	55	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	55	9	ediev	ediev	PROPN
cpos-635	55	10	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	55	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	55	12	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	55	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	55	14	work	work	NOUN
cpos-635	55	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	55	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	55	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	55	18	benchmark	benchmark	NOUN
cpos-635	55	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	56	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	56	2	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	56	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	56	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	56	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	56	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	56	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	56	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	56	9	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	56	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	56	11	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	56	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	56	13	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	56	14	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	56	15	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	56	16	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	56	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	56	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	56	19	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	56	20	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	56	21	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	56	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	56	23	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	56	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	56	25	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	56	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	57	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	57	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	57	3	develop	develop	VERB
cpos-635	57	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	57	5	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	57	6	a	a	DET
cpos-635	57	7	new	new	ADJ
cpos-635	57	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	57	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	57	10	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	57	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	57	12	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	57	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	57	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	57	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	57	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	57	17	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	57	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	57	19	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	57	20	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	57	21	generated	generate	VERB
cpos-635	57	22	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	57	23	a	a	DET
cpos-635	57	24	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	57	25	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	57	26	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	57	27	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	57	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	57	29	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	57	30	later	later	ADV
cpos-635	57	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	57	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	58	2	summary	summary	NOUN
cpos-635	58	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	58	5	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	58	6	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	58	7	aims	aim	NOUN
cpos-635	58	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	58	9	this	this	DET
cpos-635	58	10	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	58	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	58	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	58	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	14	1	1	X
cpos-635	58	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	16	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	58	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	58	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	58	19	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	58	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	58	21	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	58	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	58	23	up	up	ADP
cpos-635	58	24	to	to	PART
cpos-635	58	25	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	58	26	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	58	27	out	out	ADP
cpos-635	58	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	29	2	2	X
cpos-635	58	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	31	develop	develop	VERB
cpos-635	58	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	58	33	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	58	34	a	a	DET
cpos-635	58	35	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	58	36	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	58	37	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	58	38	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	58	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	58	40	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	58	41	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	58	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	58	43	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	58	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	58	45	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	58	46	numbers	number	NOUN
cpos-635	58	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	58	48	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	58	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	50	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	58	51	3	3	X
cpos-635	58	52	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	58	53	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-635	58	54	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	58	55	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	58	56	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	58	57	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	59	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	59	2	generated	generate	VERB
cpos-635	59	3	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	59	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	59	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	59	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	59	7	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	59	8	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	59	9	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	59	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	59	11	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	59	12	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	59	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	60	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	60	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	60	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	60	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	60	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	60	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	60	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	60	8	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	60	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	60	10	detailed	detail	VERB
cpos-635	60	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	60	12	section	section	NOUN
cpos-635	60	13	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	60	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	60	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	60	16	code	code	NOUN
cpos-635	60	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	60	18	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	60	19	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	60	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	60	21	https://github.com/irigrossman/mortality_projection	https://github.com/irigrossman/mortality_projection	NOUN
cpos-635	60	22	_	_	PRON
cpos-635	60	23	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	60	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	1	section	section	NOUN
cpos-635	61	2	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	61	3	presents	present	VERB
cpos-635	61	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	61	5	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	61	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	61	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	61	8	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	61	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	10	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	61	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	61	12	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	61	13	discussed	discuss	VERB
cpos-635	61	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	61	15	section	section	NOUN
cpos-635	61	16	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	61	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	18	concluding	conclude	VERB
cpos-635	61	19	remarks	remark	NOUN
cpos-635	61	20	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	61	21	made	make	VERB
cpos-635	61	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	61	23	section	section	NOUN
cpos-635	61	24	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	61	25	.	.	SYM
cpos-635	61	26	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	61	27	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	61	28	2.1	2.1	NUM
cpos-635	61	29	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	61	30	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	61	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	32	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	61	33	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	61	34	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	61	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	36	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	61	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	61	39	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	61	40	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	41	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	61	42	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	61	43	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	44	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	61	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	46	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-635	61	47	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	48	exposures	exposure	NOUN
cpos-635	61	49	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	50	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	61	51	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	61	52	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	61	53	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	61	54	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	61	55	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	61	56	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	61	57	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	61	58	1921–2020	1921–2020	NUM
cpos-635	61	59	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	61	60	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	61	61	0–110	0–110	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	62	+	+	CCONJ
cpos-635	61	63	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	61	64	downloaded	download	VERB
cpos-635	61	65	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	61	66	the	the	DET
cpos-635	61	67	human	human	ADJ
cpos-635	61	68	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	61	69	database	database	NOUN
cpos-635	61	70	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	71	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	61	72	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	61	73	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	74	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	61	75	the	the	DET
cpos-635	61	76	hmd.mx	hmd.mx	PROPN
cpos-635	61	77	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	61	78	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	61	79	the	the	DET
cpos-635	61	80	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	61	81	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	61	82	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	61	83	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	84	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	61	85	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	61	86	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	61	87	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	62	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	62	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	62	3	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	62	4	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	62	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	62	6	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-635	62	7	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	62	8	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	62	9	very	very	ADV
cpos-635	62	10	sparse	sparse	ADJ
cpos-635	62	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	62	12	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	62	13	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-635	62	14	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	62	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	62	16	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	62	17	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	62	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	62	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	62	20	above	above	ADV
cpos-635	62	21	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	62	22	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	62	23	+	+	NUM
cpos-635	62	24	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	62	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	62	26	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	62	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	62	28	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	62	29	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-635	62	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	63	1	even	even	ADV
cpos-635	63	2	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	63	3	this	this	DET
cpos-635	63	4	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
cpos-635	63	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	63	6	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	63	7	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	63	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	63	9	oldest	old	ADJ
cpos-635	63	10	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	63	11	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	63	12	atypical	atypical	ADJ
cpos-635	63	13	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	63	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	63	15	small	small	ADJ
cpos-635	63	16	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	63	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	1	atypical	atypical	ADJ
cpos-635	64	2	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	64	3	included	include	VERB
cpos-635	64	4	0s	0	NOUN
cpos-635	64	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	6	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	64	7	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	64	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	64	9	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	64	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	11	infinite	infinite	ADJ
cpos-635	64	12	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	64	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	64	15	undefined	undefined	ADJ
cpos-635	64	16	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	64	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	18	caused	cause	VERB
cpos-635	64	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	64	20	division	division	NOUN
cpos-635	64	21	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	64	22	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	64	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	64	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	65	2	employed	employ	VERB
cpos-635	65	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	65	4	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	65	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	65	6	cleaning	cleaning	NOUN
cpos-635	65	7	procedure	procedure	NOUN
cpos-635	65	8	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	65	9	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	65	10	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	65	11	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	65	12	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	65	13	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	65	14	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	65	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	65	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	65	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	18	0s	0s	NOUN
cpos-635	65	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	20	infinite	infinite	ADJ
cpos-635	65	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	22	missing	missing	ADJ
cpos-635	65	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	65	25	undefined	undefined	ADJ
cpos-635	65	26	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	65	27	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	65	28	replaced	replace	VERB
cpos-635	65	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	65	30	the	the	DET
cpos-635	65	31	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	65	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	65	33	the	the	DET
cpos-635	65	34	surrounding	surround	VERB
cpos-635	65	35	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	65	36	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	65	37	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	65	38	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	65	39	numbers	number	NOUN
cpos-635	65	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	41	up	up	ADP
cpos-635	65	42	to	to	PART
cpos-635	65	43	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	65	44	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	65	45	before	before	ADV
cpos-635	65	46	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	65	47	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	65	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	65	49	up	up	ADP
cpos-635	65	50	to	to	PART
cpos-635	65	51	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	65	52	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	65	53	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	65	54	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	65	55	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-635	65	56	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	57	the	the	DET
cpos-635	65	58	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	65	59	window	window	NOUN
cpos-635	65	60	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	65	61	smaller	small	ADJ
cpos-635	65	62	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	65	63	edge	edge	NOUN
cpos-635	65	64	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-635	65	65	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	65	66	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	1	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	66	2	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	66	3	are	be	VERB
cpos-635	66	4	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	66	5	sophisticated	sophisticated	ADJ
cpos-635	66	6	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	66	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	66	8	anomalous	anomalous	ADJ
cpos-635	66	9	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	66	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	11	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	66	12	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	66	13	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	66	14	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	66	15	within	within	ADP
cpos-635	66	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	66	17	poisson	poisson	NOUN
cpos-635	66	18	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-635	66	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	20	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	66	21	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	66	22	this	this	DET
cpos-635	66	23	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	66	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	66	25	to	to	PART
cpos-635	66	26	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	66	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	66	28	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-635	66	29	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	66	30	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	66	31	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	32	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	66	33	the	the	DET
cpos-635	66	34	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	66	35	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	66	36	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	66	37	handle	handle	VERB
cpos-635	66	38	these	these	DET
cpos-635	66	39	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	66	40	differently	differently	ADV
cpos-635	66	41	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	42	see	see	VERB
cpos-635	66	43	online	online	ADJ
cpos-635	66	44	appendix	appendix	NOUN
cpos-635	66	45	a	a	PRON
cpos-635	66	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	66	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	66	49	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	66	50	wanted	want	VERB
cpos-635	66	51	to	to	PART
cpos-635	66	52	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	66	53	comparability	comparability	NOUN
cpos-635	66	54	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	66	55	all	all	DET
cpos-635	66	56	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	66	57	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	67	1	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	67	2	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	67	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	67	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	67	5	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	67	6	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	67	7	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	67	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	67	9	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	67	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	67	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	67	12	capping	cap	VERB
cpos-635	67	13	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	67	14	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	67	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	67	16	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	67	17	aimed	aim	VERB
cpos-635	67	18	to	to	PART
cpos-635	67	19	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	67	20	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-635	67	21	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	67	22	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	67	23	encountering	encounter	VERB
cpos-635	67	24	extreme	extreme	ADJ
cpos-635	67	25	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	67	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	67	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	67	28	to	to	PART
cpos-635	67	29	support	support	VERB
cpos-635	67	30	interpretability	interpretability	NOUN
cpos-635	67	31	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	67	32	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	67	33	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	67	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	68	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	68	2	cleaned	clean	VERB
cpos-635	68	3	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	68	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	68	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	68	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	68	7	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	68	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	68	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	68	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	68	11	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	68	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	68	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	68	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	1	https://github.com/irigrossman/mortality_projection	https://github.com/irigrossman/mortality_projection	NOUN
cpos-635	69	2	_	_	PRON
cpos-635	69	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	69	4	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	69	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	6	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	69	7	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	69	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	69	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	69	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	69	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	69	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	69	14	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	69	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	69	16	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	69	17	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	69	18	99	99	NUM
cpos-635	69	19	input	input	NOUN
cpos-635	69	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	69	21	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	69	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	69	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	69	24	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	69	25	-	-	NOUN
cpos-635	69	26	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	69	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	28	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	69	29	below	below	ADV
cpos-635	69	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	31	consisted	consist	VERB
cpos-635	69	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	69	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	69	34	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	69	35	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	69	36	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	69	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	69	38	the	the	DET
cpos-635	69	39	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	69	40	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	69	41	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	69	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	43	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	69	44	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	69	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	69	46	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	69	47	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	69	48	net	net	ADJ
cpos-635	69	49	overseas	overseas	ADJ
cpos-635	69	50	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	69	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	70	1	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	70	2	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	70	3	obtained	obtain	VERB
cpos-635	70	4	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	70	5	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	70	6	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	70	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	70	8	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-635	70	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	70	10	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	70	11	2019	2019	NUM
cpos-635	70	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	70	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	70	14	most	most	ADJ
cpos-635	70	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	70	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	70	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	70	18	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	70	19	online	online	ADJ
cpos-635	70	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	70	21	explorer	explorer	PROPN
cpos-635	70	22	tool	tool	PROPN
cpos-635	70	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	70	24	https://	https://	PROPN
cpos-635	70	25	explore.data.abs.gov.au/	explore.data.abs.gov.au/	NOUN
cpos-635	70	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	70	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	70	28	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-635	70	29	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	70	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	71	1	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	71	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	71	3	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	71	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	71	5	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	71	6	net	net	ADJ
cpos-635	71	7	overseas	overseas	ADJ
cpos-635	71	8	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	71	9	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	71	10	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	71	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	71	12	residual	residual	ADJ
cpos-635	71	13	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	71	14	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	71	15	change	change	NOUN
cpos-635	71	16	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	71	17	accounting	account	VERB
cpos-635	71	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	71	19	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	71	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	1	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	72	2	estimates	estimate	NOUN
cpos-635	72	3	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	72	4	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	72	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	72	6	single	single	ADJ
cpos-635	72	7	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	72	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	72	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	72	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	72	11	1971	1971	NUM
cpos-635	72	12	onwards	onward	NOUN
cpos-635	72	13	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	72	14	sourced	source	VERB
cpos-635	72	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	72	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	72	17	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	72	18	publication	publication	NOUN
cpos-635	72	19	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	20	national	national	ADJ
cpos-635	72	21	state	state	NOUN
cpos-635	72	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	72	23	territory	territory	NOUN
cpos-635	72	24	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	72	25	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	27	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	72	28	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	72	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	31	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	72	32	earlier	early	ADJ
cpos-635	72	33	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	72	34	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	72	35	obtained	obtain	VERB
cpos-635	72	36	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	72	37	the	the	DET
cpos-635	72	38	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	72	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	72	40	databank	databank	NOUN
cpos-635	72	41	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	42	smith	smith	PROPN
cpos-635	72	43	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	72	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	72	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	1	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-635	73	2	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	73	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	73	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	73	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	73	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	7	an	an	DET
cpos-635	73	8	overview	overview	NOUN
cpos-635	73	9	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	73	10	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	73	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	73	12	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	73	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	73	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	73	15	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	73	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	17	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	73	18	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	73	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	73	21	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	73	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	23	villegas	villegas	PROPN
cpos-635	73	24	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	73	25	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	73	26	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	73	27	2018	2018	NUM
cpos-635	73	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	29	software	software	NOUN
cpos-635	73	30	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	73	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	73	32	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	73	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	73	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	73	35	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	73	36	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-635	73	37	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	73	38	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	73	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	73	40	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	73	41	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	73	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	1	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	74	2	includes	include	VERB
cpos-635	74	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	74	4	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
cpos-635	74	5	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	74	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	74	7	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	74	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	74	9	support	support	VERB
cpos-635	74	10	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	74	11	handling	handling	NOUN
cpos-635	74	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	13	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	74	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	74	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	16	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	74	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	74	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	74	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	20	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	74	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	74	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	74	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	74	27	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	74	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	29	visualisations	visualisation	NOUN
cpos-635	74	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	74	32	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	74	33	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	74	34	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	74	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	36	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	74	37	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	74	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	74	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	75	1	stmomo	stmomo	PROPN
cpos-635	75	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	75	3	specifically	specifically	ADV
cpos-635	75	4	focused	focus	VERB
cpos-635	75	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	75	6	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	75	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	75	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	75	9	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-635	75	10	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	75	11	to	to	PART
cpos-635	75	12	support	support	VERB
cpos-635	75	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	75	14	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	75	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	75	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	75	17	wide	wide	ADJ
cpos-635	75	18	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	75	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	75	20	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	75	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	75	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	75	23	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	75	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	76	1	both	both	DET
cpos-635	76	2	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	76	3	have	have	VERB
cpos-635	76	4	significant	significant	ADJ
cpos-635	76	5	flexibility	flexibility	NOUN
cpos-635	76	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	76	7	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	76	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	76	9	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	76	10	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	76	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	76	12	configured	configure	VERB
cpos-635	76	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	77	1	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	77	2	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-635	77	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	77	4	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	77	5	use	use	VERB
cpos-635	77	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	77	7	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	77	8	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	77	9	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	77	10	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	77	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	77	12	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	77	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	78	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
cpos-635	78	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	78	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	78	4	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	78	5	custom	custom	NOUN
cpos-635	78	6	code	code	NOUN
cpos-635	78	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	78	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	78	9	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	78	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	78	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	78	12	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	78	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	78	14	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	78	15	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	78	16	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	78	17	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	78	18	a	a	DET
cpos-635	78	19	benchmark	benchmark	NOUN
cpos-635	78	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	79	1	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	79	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	79	3	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	79	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	79	5	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	79	6	depth	depth	NOUN
cpos-635	79	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	79	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	79	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	79	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	79	11	section	section	NOUN
cpos-635	79	12	below	below	ADV
cpos-635	79	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	80	2	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	80	3	nine	nine	NUM
cpos-635	80	4	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	80	5	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	80	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	80	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	10	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	80	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	12	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	80	13	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	14	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	80	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	80	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	80	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	80	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	20	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	80	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	22	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	80	23	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	24	_	_	NOUN
cpos-635	80	25	d	d	NOUN
cpos-635	80	26	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	27	indicating	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	80	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	29	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	80	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	32	a	a	DET
cpos-635	80	33	modified	modify	VERB
cpos-635	80	34	version	version	NOUN
cpos-635	80	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	80	36	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	80	37	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	80	38	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	80	39	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	80	40	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	80	41	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	80	42	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	43	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	80	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	45	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	80	46	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	47	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	48	c	c	X
cpos-635	80	49	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	50	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	80	51	this	this	DET
cpos-635	80	52	modification	modification	NOUN
cpos-635	80	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	55	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	56	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	80	57	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	58	maindonald	maindonald	PROPN
cpos-635	80	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	60	smith	smith	NOUN
cpos-635	80	61	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	80	62	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	80	63	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	64	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	80	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	66	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	80	67	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	68	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	69	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	80	70	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	71	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	72	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	73	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	80	74	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	80	75	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	80	76	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	77	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	78	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	80	79	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	80	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	81	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	82	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	80	83	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	84	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	80	85	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	86	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	80	87	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	80	88	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	89	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	80	90	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	80	91	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	92	lc_s	lc_s	ADV
cpos-635	80	93	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	94	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	80	95	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	96	_	_	PRON
cpos-635	80	97	s	s	NOUN
cpos-635	80	98	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	99	indicating	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	80	100	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	101	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	80	102	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	103	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	104	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	105	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	80	106	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	107	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	80	108	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	109	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	80	110	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	111	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	112	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	80	113	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	114	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	115	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	116	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	80	117	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	118	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	80	119	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	120	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	80	121	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	122	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	123	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	80	124	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	125	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	126	the	the	DET
cpos-635	80	127	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	80	128	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	80	129	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	80	130	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	80	131	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	80	132	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	81	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	81	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	81	3	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-635	81	4	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	81	5	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	81	6	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	81	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	82	1	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	82	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	82	3	these	these	PRON
cpos-635	82	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	82	5	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	82	6	further	far	ADV
cpos-635	82	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	82	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	82	9	following	following	NOUN
cpos-635	82	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	1	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	83	2	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	83	3	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	83	4	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	83	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	83	6	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	83	7	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	83	8	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	83	9	excluded	exclude	VERB
cpos-635	83	10	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	83	11	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	83	12	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	83	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	14	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	83	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	83	16	renshaw	renshaw	NOUN
cpos-635	83	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	83	18	haberman	haberman	NOUN
cpos-635	83	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	20	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	83	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	22	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	83	23	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	83	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	83	25	known	know	VERB
cpos-635	83	26	issues	issue	NOUN
cpos-635	83	27	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	83	28	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	83	29	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	83	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	31	cairns	cairn	NOUN
cpos-635	83	32	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	83	33	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	83	34	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	83	35	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	83	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	83	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	84	2	m6	m6	PROPN
cpos-635	84	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	4	m7	m7	PROPN
cpos-635	84	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	84	7	m8	m8	PROPN
cpos-635	84	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	84	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	84	10	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	84	11	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	84	12	excluded	exclude	VERB
cpos-635	84	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	14	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	84	15	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	84	16	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	84	17	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	84	18	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	84	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	20	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-635	84	21	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	84	22	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	84	23	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	84	24	suited	suit	VERB
cpos-635	84	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	84	26	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	84	27	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	84	28	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-635	84	29	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	84	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	84	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	84	32	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	84	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	84	34	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	84	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	36	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	84	37	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	84	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	84	40	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	84	41	wanted	want	VERB
cpos-635	84	42	to	to	PART
cpos-635	84	43	avoid	avoid	VERB
cpos-635	84	44	an	an	DET
cpos-635	84	45	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	84	46	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	84	47	representation	representation	NOUN
cpos-635	84	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	84	49	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	84	50	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	84	51	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	84	52	not	not	PART
cpos-635	84	53	suited	suit	VERB
cpos-635	84	54	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	84	55	the	the	DET
cpos-635	84	56	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	84	57	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	84	58	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	84	59	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	84	60	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	84	61	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-635	84	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	85	2	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	85	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	85	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	85	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	85	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	7	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	85	8	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-635	85	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	85	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	85	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	85	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	85	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	85	15	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	85	16	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	85	17	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	85	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	85	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	85	20	following	follow	VERB
cpos-635	85	21	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	85	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	23	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	85	24	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	85	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	26	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	85	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	28	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	85	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	30	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	85	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	32	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	85	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	85	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	85	35	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	85	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	86	1	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	86	2	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	86	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	86	4	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	86	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	86	6	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	86	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	86	8	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	86	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	86	10	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	86	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	86	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	86	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	86	14	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	86	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	87	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	87	2	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	87	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	87	4	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	87	5	dataset	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	87	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	87	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	87	8	1921	1921	NUM
cpos-635	87	9	up	up	ADP
cpos-635	87	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	87	11	each	each	DET
cpos-635	87	12	respective	respective	ADJ
cpos-635	87	13	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	87	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	87	15	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	87	16	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	87	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	87	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	87	19	all	all	DET
cpos-635	87	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	87	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	88	1	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	88	2	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	88	3	−	−	NUM
cpos-635	88	4	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	88	5	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	88	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	88	7	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	88	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	88	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	88	10	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	88	11	−	−	PROPN
cpos-635	88	12	automatically	automatically	ADV
cpos-635	88	13	select	select	VERB
cpos-635	88	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	88	15	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	88	16	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	88	17	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	88	18	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	88	19	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	88	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	88	21	https://explore.data.abs.gov.au/	https://explore.data.abs.gov.au/	PROPN
cpos-635	88	22	https://explore.data.abs.gov.au/	https://explore.data.abs.gov.au/	PROPN
cpos-635	88	23	•	•	PROPN
cpos-635	88	24	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	88	25	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	88	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	88	27	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	88	28	wilson100	wilson100	PROPN
cpos-635	88	29	characteristics	characteristics	PROPN
cpos-635	88	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	88	31	resulting	result	VERB
cpos-635	88	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	88	33	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	88	34	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	88	35	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	88	36	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	88	37	vary	vary	VERB
cpos-635	88	38	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	88	39	the	the	DET
cpos-635	88	40	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	88	41	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	88	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	89	1	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	89	2	these	these	DET
cpos-635	89	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	89	4	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-635	89	5	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	89	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	89	7	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-635	89	8	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-635	89	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	89	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	89	11	adaptive	adaptive	ADJ
cpos-635	89	12	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	89	13	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	89	14	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-635	89	15	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	89	16	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	89	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	89	18	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-635	89	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	89	20	those	those	PRON
cpos-635	89	21	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	89	22	a	a	DET
cpos-635	89	23	fixed	fix	VERB
cpos-635	89	24	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	89	25	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	89	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	90	1	2.3	2.3	NUM
cpos-635	90	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	90	3	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	90	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	90	5	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	90	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	90	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	90	8	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	90	9	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	90	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	90	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	90	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	90	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	90	14	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	90	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	90	16	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	90	17	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	90	18	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	90	19	amongst	amongst	ADP
cpos-635	90	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	90	21	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	90	22	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-635	90	23	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	90	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	90	25	producing	produce	VERB
cpos-635	90	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	90	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	90	28	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	90	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	2	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	91	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	91	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	91	5	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	91	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	91	7	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	91	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	9	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-635	91	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	11	involves	involve	VERB
cpos-635	91	12	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-635	91	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	14	log	log	NOUN
cpos-635	91	15	asdr	asdr	INTJ
cpos-635	91	16	m	m	VERB
cpos-635	91	17	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	91	18	a	a	DET
cpos-635	91	19	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	91	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	91	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	91	22	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	91	24	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	91	25	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	91	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	27	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	91	28	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	91	29	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	30	ln[mx	ln[mx	PROPN
cpos-635	91	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	32	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	91	33	]	]	X
cpos-635	91	34	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	35	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	91	36	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	37	ax	ax	NOUN
cpos-635	91	38	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	39	+	+	ADJ
cpos-635	91	40	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	41	bxkt	bxkt	ADJ
cpos-635	91	42	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	43	+	+	PROPN
cpos-635	91	44	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	91	45	εx	εx	NOUN
cpos-635	91	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	47	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	91	48	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	49	right	right	ADJ
cpos-635	91	50	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	51	hand	hand	NOUN
cpos-635	91	52	side	side	NOUN
cpos-635	91	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	91	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	55	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	91	56	features	feature	VERB
cpos-635	91	57	an	an	DET
cpos-635	91	58	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	91	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	60	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	91	61	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-635	91	62	ax	ax	NOUN
cpos-635	91	63	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	64	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	91	65	models	model	VERB
cpos-635	91	66	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	67	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	91	68	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	69	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	91	70	general	general	ADJ
cpos-635	91	71	pattern	pattern	NOUN
cpos-635	91	72	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	91	73	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	91	74	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	75	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	91	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	77	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	91	78	models	model	VERB
cpos-635	91	79	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	80	main	main	ADJ
cpos-635	91	81	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	91	82	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	91	83	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	91	84	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	91	85	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	86	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	91	87	an	an	DET
cpos-635	91	88	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	91	89	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	90	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	91	91	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-635	91	92	bx	bx	NOUN
cpos-635	91	93	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	91	94	modifies	modify	VERB
cpos-635	91	95	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	91	96	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	97	thereby	thereby	ADV
cpos-635	91	98	capturing	capture	VERB
cpos-635	91	99	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-635	91	100	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	101	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	91	102	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	91	103	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	91	104	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	91	105	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	106	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	91	107	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	91	108	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	91	109	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	91	110	less	less	ADJ
cpos-635	91	111	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	91	112	the	the	DET
cpos-635	91	113	main	main	ADJ
cpos-635	91	114	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	91	115	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	116	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	91	117	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	91	118	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	91	119	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	91	120	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-635	91	121	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	91	122	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	92	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	92	2	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	92	3	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	92	4	relates	relate	VERB
cpos-635	92	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	92	6	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	92	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	92	8	varying	vary	VERB
cpos-635	92	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	92	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	92	11	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	92	12	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-635	92	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	92	14	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	92	15	not	not	PART
cpos-635	92	16	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
cpos-635	92	17	captured	capture	VERB
cpos-635	92	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	92	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	92	20	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	92	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	93	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	93	2	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	93	3	benefit	benefit	NOUN
cpos-635	93	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	93	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	93	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	93	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	93	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	93	9	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	93	10	requires	require	VERB
cpos-635	93	11	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	93	12	few	few	ADJ
cpos-635	93	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-635	93	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	94	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	94	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	94	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	94	4	has	have	VERB
cpos-635	94	5	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	94	6	disadvantages	disadvantage	NOUN
cpos-635	94	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	95	1	first	first	ADV
cpos-635	95	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	95	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	95	4	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	95	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	95	6	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	95	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	95	8	does	do	AUX
cpos-635	95	9	not	not	PART
cpos-635	95	10	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	95	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	95	12	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	95	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	95	14	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	95	15	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	95	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	95	17	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	95	18	fit	fit	NOUN
cpos-635	95	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	95	20	datasets	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	95	21	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	95	22	display	display	VERB
cpos-635	95	23	them	they	PRON
cpos-635	95	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	95	25	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	95	26	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	95	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	95	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	96	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
cpos-635	96	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	96	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	96	4	considers	consider	VERB
cpos-635	96	5	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	96	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	96	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	96	8	perfectly	perfectly	ADV
cpos-635	96	9	correlated	correlate	VERB
cpos-635	96	10	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	96	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	96	12	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	96	13	index	index	NOUN
cpos-635	96	14	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-635	96	15	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	96	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	96	17	shared	share	VERB
cpos-635	96	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	96	19	all	all	DET
cpos-635	96	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	96	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	96	22	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	96	23	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	96	24	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	96	25	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	96	26	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-635	96	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	96	28	uniform	uniform	ADJ
cpos-635	96	29	shifts	shift	NOUN
cpos-635	96	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	96	31	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	96	32	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	96	33	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	96	34	to	to	PART
cpos-635	96	35	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	96	36	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	96	37	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	96	38	all	all	DET
cpos-635	96	39	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	96	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	97	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	97	2	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	97	3	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	97	4	versions	version	NOUN
cpos-635	97	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	97	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	97	7	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	97	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	97	9	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	97	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	97	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	97	12	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	97	13	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	97	14	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	97	15	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-635	97	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	97	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	97	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	97	19	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	97	20	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	97	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	98	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	98	2	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	98	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	98	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	98	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	98	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	98	7	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	98	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	98	9	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	98	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	98	11	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	98	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	98	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	98	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	98	15	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	98	16	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	98	17	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	98	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	98	19	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	98	20	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	98	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	98	22	with	with	SCONJ
cpos-635	98	23	max	max	PROPN
cpos-635	98	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	98	25	age	age	PROPN
cpos-635	98	26	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	98	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	98	28	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	98	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	99	2	examined	examine	VERB
cpos-635	99	3	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	99	4	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	99	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	99	6	this	this	DET
cpos-635	99	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	99	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	99	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	11	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	99	12	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	99	13	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	99	14	settings	setting	NOUN
cpos-635	99	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	99	17	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	99	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	19	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	99	20	chooseperiod	chooseperiod	NOUN
cpos-635	99	21	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	99	22	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	99	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	99	24	true	true	ADJ
cpos-635	99	25	to	to	PART
cpos-635	99	26	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	99	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	99	28	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	99	29	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	99	30	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	99	31	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	99	32	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	99	33	bai	bai	PROPN
cpos-635	99	34	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	99	35	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	99	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	99	37	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	99	38	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	99	39	the	the	DET
cpos-635	99	40	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	99	41	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	99	42	the	the	DET
cpos-635	99	43	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	99	44	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	99	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	100	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	100	2	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	100	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	100	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	100	5	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	100	6	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	100	7	sets	set	VERB
cpos-635	100	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	100	9	adjust	adjust	NOUN
cpos-635	100	10	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	100	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	100	12	dt	dt	PROPN
cpos-635	100	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	100	14	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	100	15	scales	scale	VERB
cpos-635	100	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	100	17	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	100	18	component	component	NOUN
cpos-635	100	19	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	100	20	to	to	PART
cpos-635	100	21	match	match	VERB
cpos-635	100	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	100	23	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	100	24	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	100	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	100	26	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	100	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	101	2	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	101	3	function	function	PROPN
cpos-635	101	4	estimates	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	101	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	101	6	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	101	7	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	101	8	singular	singular	ADJ
cpos-635	101	9	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	101	10	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
cpos-635	101	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	12	svd	svd	PROPN
cpos-635	101	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	101	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	101	16	log	log	NOUN
cpos-635	101	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	101	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	101	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	20	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	101	21	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	101	22	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	101	23	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	101	24	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-635	101	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	27	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-635	101	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	101	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	101	30	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	101	31	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	101	32	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	33	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	101	34	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	101	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	36	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	101	37	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	101	38	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	101	39	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-635	101	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	101	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	102	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	102	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	102	3	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	102	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	102	5	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	102	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	102	7	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	102	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	102	9	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	102	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	102	11	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	102	12	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	102	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	102	14	lc_s	lc_s	ADV
cpos-635	102	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	102	16	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	102	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	102	18	lc	lc	NOUN
cpos-635	102	19	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	102	20	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	102	21	preset	preset	ADJ
cpos-635	102	22	defaults	default	NOUN
cpos-635	102	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	103	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	103	2	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	103	3	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	103	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	103	5	fit	fit	ADJ
cpos-635	103	6	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	103	7	to	to	PART
cpos-635	103	8	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	103	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	103	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	103	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	103	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	103	13	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	103	14	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	103	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	104	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	104	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-635	104	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	104	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	104	5	svd	svd	PROPN
cpos-635	104	6	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	104	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	104	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	104	9	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	104	10	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	104	11	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	104	12	employs	employ	VERB
cpos-635	104	13	maximum	maximum	ADJ
cpos-635	104	14	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
cpos-635	104	15	estimation	estimation	NOUN
cpos-635	104	16	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-635	104	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	104	18	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	104	19	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-635	104	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	104	21	poisson	poisson	NOUN
cpos-635	104	22	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	104	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	105	1	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	105	2	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	105	3	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	105	4	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	105	5	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	105	6	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	105	7	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	105	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	105	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	105	10	user	user	NOUN
cpos-635	105	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	105	12	villegas	villegas	PROPN
cpos-635	105	13	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	105	14	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	105	15	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	105	16	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-635	105	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	105	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	106	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	106	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	106	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	106	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	106	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	106	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	106	7	generate	generate	VERB
cpos-635	106	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	106	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	106	10	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-635	106	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	106	12	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	106	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	106	14	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	106	15	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	106	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	106	17	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	106	18	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	106	19	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	106	20	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	106	21	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	106	22	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	106	23	hyndman/	hyndman/	NUM
cpos-635	106	24	khandakar	khandakar	NOUN
cpos-635	106	25	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	106	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	106	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	107	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	107	3	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-635	107	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	107	5	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	107	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	7	maindonald	maindonald	NOUN
cpos-635	107	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	9	smith	smith	NOUN
cpos-635	107	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	11	bms	bms	NOUN
cpos-635	107	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	13	methodology	methodology	NOUN
cpos-635	107	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	15	an	an	DET
cpos-635	107	16	extension	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	107	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	107	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	107	19	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	107	20	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	107	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	107	22	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	107	23	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	107	24	proposed	propose	VERB
cpos-635	107	25	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	107	26	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	107	27	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	107	28	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	107	29	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	108	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	108	2	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-635	108	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	108	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	2	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	109	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	4	1	1	X
cpos-635	109	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	6	a	a	DET
cpos-635	109	7	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	109	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	9	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	109	10	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	109	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	109	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	109	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	109	14	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	109	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	17	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	109	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	109	19	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	109	20	•	•	ADP
cpos-635	109	21	101	101	NUM
cpos-635	109	22	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	109	23	improves	improve	VERB
cpos-635	109	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	25	fit	fit	NOUN
cpos-635	109	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	109	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	28	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	109	29	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	109	30	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	109	31	identifying	identify	VERB
cpos-635	109	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	33	best	well	ADV
cpos-635	109	34	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	35	fitting	fit	VERB
cpos-635	109	36	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	109	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	109	38	adjusting	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	109	39	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	109	40	to	to	PART
cpos-635	109	41	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	109	42	the	the	DET
cpos-635	109	43	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	109	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	109	45	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	109	46	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	109	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	109	48	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	109	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	110	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	110	2	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	110	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	110	4	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	110	5	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	110	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	110	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	110	8	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	110	9	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	110	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	110	11	max.age	max.age	NOUN
cpos-635	110	12	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	110	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	110	14	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	110	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	110	16	keeping	keep	VERB
cpos-635	110	17	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	110	18	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	110	19	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	110	20	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	110	21	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	110	22	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	110	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	111	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	111	2	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	111	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	111	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	111	5	a	a	DET
cpos-635	111	6	wrapper	wrapper	NOUN
cpos-635	111	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	111	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	111	9	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	111	10	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	111	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	111	12	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	111	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	111	14	adjust	adjust	NOUN
cpos-635	111	15	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	111	16	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	111	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	111	18	dxt	dxt	PROPN
cpos-635	111	19	to	to	PART
cpos-635	111	20	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	111	21	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	111	22	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	111	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	111	24	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	111	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	111	26	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	111	27	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	111	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	111	29	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	111	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	112	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	2	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	112	3	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	112	4	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	112	5	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	112	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	7	chooseperiod	chooseperiod	NOUN
cpos-635	112	8	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	112	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	112	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	112	11	true	true	ADJ
cpos-635	112	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	112	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	14	breakmethod	breakmethod	ADJ
cpos-635	112	15	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	112	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	112	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	112	18	determines	determine	VERB
cpos-635	112	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	20	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	112	21	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	112	22	to	to	PART
cpos-635	112	23	determine	determine	VERB
cpos-635	112	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	25	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	112	26	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	112	27	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	112	28	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	112	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	112	30	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	112	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	112	32	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	112	33	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	112	34	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	112	35	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	112	36	the	the	DET
cpos-635	112	37	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	112	38	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	112	39	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	112	40	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	112	41	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	112	42	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	113	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	113	2	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-635	113	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	113	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	114	1	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	114	2	both	both	PRON
cpos-635	114	3	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	114	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	114	5	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	114	6	involve	involve	VERB
cpos-635	114	7	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	114	8	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	114	9	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	114	10	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	114	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	114	12	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	114	13	differ	differ	VERB
cpos-635	114	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	114	15	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	114	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	114	17	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	114	18	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	114	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	114	20	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	114	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	114	22	bai	bai	PROPN
cpos-635	114	23	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	114	24	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	114	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	114	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	114	27	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	114	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	114	29	lca	lca	PROPN
cpos-635	114	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	114	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	114	32	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	114	33	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	114	34	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	114	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	114	36	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	114	37	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	114	38	bms	bms	NOUN
cpos-635	114	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	114	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	115	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
cpos-635	115	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	115	3	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	115	4	adjusts	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	115	5	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	115	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	115	7	match	match	VERB
cpos-635	115	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	115	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	115	10	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	115	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	115	12	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	115	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	115	14	whilst	whilst	ADV
cpos-635	115	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	115	16	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	115	17	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	115	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	115	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	115	20	lc_d	lc_d	ADJ
cpos-635	115	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	115	22	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	115	23	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	115	24	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	115	25	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	115	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	115	27	adjust	adjust	NOUN
cpos-635	115	28	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	115	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	115	30	dt	dt	PROPN
cpos-635	115	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	115	32	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	115	33	kt	kt	NOUN
cpos-635	115	34	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	115	35	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	115	36	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	115	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	116	1	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-635	116	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	116	3	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	116	4	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-635	116	5	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	116	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	116	7	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	116	8	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	116	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	116	10	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	116	11	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	116	12	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	116	13	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	116	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	116	15	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	116	16	are	be	VERB
cpos-635	116	17	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	116	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	116	19	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	116	20	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	116	21	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	116	22	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	116	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	116	24	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	116	25	leads	lead	VERB
cpos-635	116	26	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	116	27	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	116	28	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	116	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	117	1	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-635	117	2	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	117	3	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	117	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	117	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	117	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	117	7	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	117	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	117	9	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	117	10	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	117	11	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	117	12	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	118	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	118	2	2013	2013	NUM
cpos-635	118	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	118	4	creates	create	VERB
cpos-635	118	5	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-635	118	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	118	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	118	8	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-635	118	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	118	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	118	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	118	12	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	118	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	118	14	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	118	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	118	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	118	17	reducing	reduce	VERB
cpos-635	118	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	118	19	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-635	118	20	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	118	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	118	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	118	23	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	118	24	subgroups	subgroup	NOUN
cpos-635	118	25	diverge	diverge	VERB
cpos-635	118	26	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	118	27	each	each	DET
cpos-635	118	28	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	118	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	119	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	119	2	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	119	3	involves	involve	VERB
cpos-635	119	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	119	5	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	119	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	119	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	119	8	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	119	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	119	10	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	119	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	119	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	119	13	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	119	14	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	119	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	119	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	119	17	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-635	119	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	120	2	example	example	NOUN
cpos-635	120	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	4	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	120	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	6	subpopulations	subpopulation	NOUN
cpos-635	120	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	120	8	interest	interest	NOUN
cpos-635	120	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	120	10	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	120	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	120	12	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	120	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	14	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	120	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	120	16	this	this	DET
cpos-635	120	17	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	120	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	20	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	120	21	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	120	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	23	geometric	geometric	ADJ
cpos-635	120	24	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	120	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	120	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	27	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	120	28	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	120	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	120	30	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	120	31	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	120	32	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	120	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	34	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	120	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	36	square	square	ADJ
cpos-635	120	37	root	root	NOUN
cpos-635	120	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	120	39	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	40	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	120	41	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	120	42	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	120	43	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	120	44	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-635	120	45	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	120	46	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	47	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	120	48	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	120	49	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	120	50	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	120	51	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	120	53	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	120	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	55	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	120	56	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	120	57	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	58	square	square	ADJ
cpos-635	120	59	root	root	NOUN
cpos-635	120	60	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	120	61	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	62	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	120	63	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	120	64	the	the	DET
cpos-635	120	65	smoothed	smoothed	ADJ
cpos-635	120	66	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	120	67	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	120	68	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	121	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	121	2	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	121	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	121	4	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	121	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	121	6	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	121	7	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	121	8	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	121	9	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	121	10	series	series	PROPN
cpos-635	121	11	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	121	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	121	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	121	14	decompose	decompose	VERB
cpos-635	121	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	121	16	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	121	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	121	18	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	121	19	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	121	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	121	21	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	121	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	121	23	weighted	weight	VERB
cpos-635	121	24	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-635	121	25	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	121	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	121	27	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	121	28	weights	weight	NOUN
cpos-635	121	29	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	121	30	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	121	31	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	121	32	varying	vary	VERB
cpos-635	121	33	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-635	121	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	122	2	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-635	122	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	122	4	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	122	5	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	122	6	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-635	122	7	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	122	8	arima(p	arima(p	NOUN
cpos-635	122	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	10	q	q	NOUN
cpos-635	122	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	12	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	122	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	122	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	122	15	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	122	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	122	17	arma(p	arma(p	NOUN
cpos-635	122	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	19	q	q	NOUN
cpos-635	122	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	21	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	122	22	arfima(p	arfima(p	ADV
cpos-635	122	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	24	d	d	NOUN
cpos-635	122	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	26	q	q	NOUN
cpos-635	122	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	122	28	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	122	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	122	30	the	the	DET
cpos-635	122	31	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	122	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	123	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	123	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	123	3	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-635	123	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	123	5	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	123	6	multiplied	multiply	VERB
cpos-635	123	7	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	123	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	123	9	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-635	123	10	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	123	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	123	12	thereby	thereby	ADV
cpos-635	123	13	creating	create	VERB
cpos-635	123	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	123	15	curves	curve	NOUN
cpos-635	123	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	123	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	123	18	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	123	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	123	20	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	123	21	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	123	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	123	23	future	future	NOUN
cpos-635	123	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	124	1	each	each	DET
cpos-635	124	2	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
cpos-635	124	3	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	124	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	124	5	contribution	contribution	NOUN
cpos-635	124	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	124	7	a	a	DET
cpos-635	124	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-635	124	9	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	124	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	124	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	124	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	124	13	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	124	14	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	124	15	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	124	16	each	each	DET
cpos-635	124	17	timepoint	timepoint	NOUN
cpos-635	124	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	124	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	124	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	124	21	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	124	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	125	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	125	2	more	more	ADJ
cpos-635	125	3	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-635	125	4	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	125	5	included	include	VERB
cpos-635	125	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	125	7	the	the	PRON
cpos-635	125	8	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	125	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	125	10	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-635	125	11	complexity	complexity	NOUN
cpos-635	125	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	125	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	125	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	125	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	126	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	126	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	126	3	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	126	4	more	more	ADJ
cpos-635	126	5	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-635	126	6	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	126	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	126	8	included	include	VERB
cpos-635	126	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	126	10	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	126	11	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	126	12	a	a	DET
cpos-635	126	13	danger	danger	NOUN
cpos-635	126	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	126	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	126	16	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	126	17	overfitting	overfitte	VERB
cpos-635	126	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	126	19	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	126	20	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	126	21	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	126	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	127	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	127	2	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-635	127	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	127	4	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	127	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	127	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	127	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	127	8	coherentfdm	coherentfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	127	9	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	127	10	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	127	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	127	12	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	127	13	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	127	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	1	2.5	2.5	NUM
cpos-635	128	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	128	3	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	128	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	5	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	128	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	7	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	128	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	128	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	128	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	128	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	12	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	128	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	14	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	128	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	16	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	128	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	128	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	128	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	128	21	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	128	22	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	128	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	128	24	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-635	128	25	agespecific	agespecific	ADJ
cpos-635	128	26	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	128	27	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	128	28	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	128	29	a	a	DET
cpos-635	128	30	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	128	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	128	32	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	128	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	34	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	128	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	128	37	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	128	38	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	128	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	128	40	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	128	41	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	128	42	represented	represent	VERB
cpos-635	128	43	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	128	44	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	45	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	128	46	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	128	47	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	128	48	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	49	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	128	50	wilson102	wilson102	PROPN
cpos-635	128	51	ln[mx	ln[mx	PROPN
cpos-635	128	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	128	53	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	128	54	]	]	X
cpos-635	128	55	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	56	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	128	57	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	58	αx	αx	ADV
cpos-635	128	59	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	60	+	+	ADJ
cpos-635	128	61	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	62	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	128	63	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	64	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	128	65	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	128	66	γt	γt	ADP
cpos-635	128	67	−	−	PROPN
cpos-635	128	68	x	x	SYM
cpos-635	129	1	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	129	2	α	α	NOUN
cpos-635	129	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	129	4	κ	κ	NOUN
cpos-635	129	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	129	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	129	7	γ	γ	PROPN
cpos-635	129	8	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-635	129	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	129	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	129	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	129	12	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	129	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	129	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	129	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	129	16	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	129	17	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	129	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	129	19	logged	logged	ADJ
cpos-635	129	20	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	129	21	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	129	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	130	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	130	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	3	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	130	4	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	130	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	130	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	7	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	130	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	130	9	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	130	10	constraints	constraint	NOUN
cpos-635	130	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	130	12	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	130	13	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	130	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	130	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	16	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	130	17	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	130	18	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	130	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	20	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	130	21	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	130	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	130	23	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	130	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	130	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	26	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	130	27	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	130	28	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	130	29	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	130	30	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	130	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	130	32	no	no	DET
cpos-635	130	33	obvious	obvious	ADJ
cpos-635	130	34	linear	linear	NOUN
cpos-635	130	35	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	130	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	130	37	villegas	villegas	PROPN
cpos-635	130	38	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	130	39	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	130	40	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	130	41	2018	2018	NUM
cpos-635	130	42	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	130	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	130	44	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	130	45	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	130	46	the	the	DET
cpos-635	130	47	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	130	48	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	130	49	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	130	50	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	130	51	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	130	52	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	130	53	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	130	54	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	131	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	131	2	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	131	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	131	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	1	2.6	2.6	NUM
cpos-635	132	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	3	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	132	4	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	132	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	6	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	132	7	mortality	mortality	PROPN
cpos-635	132	8	forecast	forecast	PROPN
cpos-635	132	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	132	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	11	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	132	12	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	132	13	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	132	14	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	132	15	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	132	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	17	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	132	18	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	132	19	expressed	express	VERB
cpos-635	132	20	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	132	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	132	23	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	132	24	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	132	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	27	logit	logit	NOUN
cpos-635	132	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	132	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	132	31	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	132	32	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	132	33	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	132	34	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	132	35	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	132	36	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	37	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	132	38	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	132	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	40	1	1	X
cpos-635	132	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	42	captures	capture	VERB
cpos-635	132	43	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	44	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	132	45	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	132	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	47	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	132	48	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	132	49	general	general	ADJ
cpos-635	132	50	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-635	132	51	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	132	52	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	132	53	occurring	occur	VERB
cpos-635	132	54	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	132	55	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	132	56	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	57	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	132	58	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	132	59	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	132	60	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	61	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	132	62	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	63	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	132	64	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	65	x	x	NOUN
cpos-635	132	66	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	132	67	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	68	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	132	69	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	132	70	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	71	captures	capture	VERB
cpos-635	132	72	the	the	DET
cpos-635	132	73	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	132	74	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	75	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	132	76	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	132	77	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	78	allowing	allow	VERB
cpos-635	132	79	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	132	80	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	81	dependent	dependent	ADJ
cpos-635	132	82	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-635	132	83	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	132	84	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	132	85	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	132	86	to	to	PART
cpos-635	132	87	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	132	88	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	132	89	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	132	90	specific	specific	NOUN
cpos-635	132	91	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	133	1	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	133	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	133	3	x	x	PRON
cpos-635	133	4	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	133	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	133	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	133	7	being	be	AUX
cpos-635	133	8	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	133	9	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	133	10	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	133	11	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	133	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	133	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	133	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	133	15	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	133	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	133	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	133	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	133	19	dataset	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	133	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	133	21	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	133	22	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	133	23	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	133	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	134	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	134	2	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	134	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	134	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	134	5	designed	design	VERB
cpos-635	134	6	primarily	primarily	ADV
cpos-635	134	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	134	8	modelling	model	VERB
cpos-635	134	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	134	10	60	60	NUM
cpos-635	134	11	+	+	NUM
cpos-635	134	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	134	13	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-635	134	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	134	15	relying	rely	VERB
cpos-635	134	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	134	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	134	18	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-635	134	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	134	20	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	134	21	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	134	22	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	134	23	linear	linear	ADJ
cpos-635	134	24	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-635	134	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	134	26	logit	logit	PROPN
cpos-635	134	27	transformed	transform	VERB
cpos-635	134	28	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	134	29	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	134	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	135	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	135	2	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-635	135	3	holds	hold	VERB
cpos-635	135	4	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	135	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	135	6	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	135	7	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	135	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	135	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	135	10	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-635	135	11	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	135	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	136	1	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-635	136	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	136	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	136	4	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-635	136	5	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-635	136	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	136	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	136	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	136	9	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	136	10	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	136	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	136	12	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	136	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	136	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	136	15	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	136	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	136	17	popularity	popularity	NOUN
cpos-635	136	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	136	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	136	20	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	136	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	136	22	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	136	23	felt	feel	VERB
cpos-635	136	24	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	136	25	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	136	26	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	136	27	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cpos-635	136	28	to	to	PART
cpos-635	136	29	include	include	VERB
cpos-635	136	30	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	136	31	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	136	32	part	part	NOUN
cpos-635	136	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	136	34	a	a	DET
cpos-635	136	35	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
cpos-635	136	36	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	136	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	136	38	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	136	39	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	136	40	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	136	41	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	136	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	137	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	137	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	137	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	137	4	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	137	5	need	need	VERB
cpos-635	137	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	137	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	137	8	interpreted	interpret	VERB
cpos-635	137	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	137	10	caution	caution	NOUN
cpos-635	137	11	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	137	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	137	13	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	137	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	137	15	being	be	AUX
cpos-635	137	16	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-635	137	17	outside	outside	ADP
cpos-635	137	18	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	137	19	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	137	20	design	design	NOUN
cpos-635	137	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	138	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
cpos-635	138	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	138	3	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	138	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	138	5	this	this	DET
cpos-635	138	6	application	application	NOUN
cpos-635	138	7	outside	outside	ADP
cpos-635	138	8	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	138	9	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	138	10	design	design	NOUN
cpos-635	138	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	138	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	138	13	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	138	14	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	138	15	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	138	16	excluded	exclude	VERB
cpos-635	138	17	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	138	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	138	19	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	138	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	138	21	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	138	22	below	below	ADV
cpos-635	138	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	139	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	139	2	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	139	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	139	4	typically	typically	ADV
cpos-635	139	5	models	model	VERB
cpos-635	139	6	1qx	1qx	NOUN
cpos-635	139	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	139	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	139	9	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-635	139	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	139	11	someone	someone	PRON
cpos-635	139	12	exactly	exactly	ADV
cpos-635	139	13	x	x	NUM
cpos-635	139	14	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	139	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	139	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	139	17	dying	die	VERB
cpos-635	139	18	before	before	ADP
cpos-635	139	19	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-635	139	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	139	21	x	x	NOUN
cpos-635	139	22	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	139	23	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	139	24	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	139	25	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	139	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	1	conversely	conversely	ADV
cpos-635	140	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	140	4	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	140	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	140	6	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	140	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	140	8	this	this	DET
cpos-635	140	9	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	140	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	140	11	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-635	140	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	140	14	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	140	15	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	140	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	140	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	140	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	140	20	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	140	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	140	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	140	23	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	140	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	140	25	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	140	26	occurring	occur	VERB
cpos-635	140	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	140	28	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	140	29	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	30	during	during	ADP
cpos-635	140	31	a	a	DET
cpos-635	140	32	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	140	33	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	140	34	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	140	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	140	36	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	140	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	140	38	person	person	NOUN
cpos-635	140	39	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	140	40	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	140	41	lived	live	VERB
cpos-635	140	42	during	during	ADP
cpos-635	140	43	that	that	DET
cpos-635	140	44	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	140	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	141	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	141	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	141	3	qx	qx	PROPN
cpos-635	141	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	141	5	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-635	141	6	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	141	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	141	8	converted	convert	VERB
cpos-635	141	9	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	141	10	each	each	DET
cpos-635	141	11	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	141	12	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	141	13	needed	need	VERB
cpos-635	141	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	142	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	142	2	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-635	142	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	142	4	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	142	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	142	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	142	7	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	142	8	define	define	VERB
cpos-635	142	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	142	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	142	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	142	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	142	13	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	142	14	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	142	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	142	16	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	142	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	143	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	143	2	transform	transform	VERB
cpos-635	143	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	143	4	input	input	NOUN
cpos-635	143	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	143	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	143	7	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-635	143	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	143	9	qx	qx	VERB
cpos-635	143	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	143	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	143	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	143	13	central2initial	central2initial	ADJ
cpos-635	143	14	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	143	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	143	16	use	use	VERB
cpos-635	143	17	this	this	DET
cpos-635	143	18	transformed	transform	VERB
cpos-635	143	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	143	20	to	to	PART
cpos-635	143	21	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	143	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	143	23	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	143	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	143	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	144	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	144	2	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	144	3	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	144	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	144	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	144	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	144	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	144	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	144	9	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	144	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	145	2	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	145	3	comparisons	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	145	4	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	145	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	6	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	145	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	145	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	9	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	145	10	convert	convert	VERB
cpos-635	145	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	12	output	output	NOUN
cpos-635	145	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	145	14	mx	mx	PROPN
cpos-635	145	15	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	145	16	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	145	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	145	18	common	common	ADJ
cpos-635	145	19	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-635	145	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	21	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-635	145	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	23	thatcher	thatcher	PROPN
cpos-635	145	24	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	145	25	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	145	26	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	145	27	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-635	145	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	30	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	145	31	approximate	approximate	VERB
cpos-635	145	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	33	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	145	34	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	145	35	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	145	36	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	145	37	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	38	probability	probability	NOUN
cpos-635	145	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	145	40	dying	die	VERB
cpos-635	145	41	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-635	145	42	a	a	DET
cpos-635	145	43	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-635	145	44	hazard	hazard	NOUN
cpos-635	145	45	within	within	ADP
cpos-635	145	46	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	47	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	145	48	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	145	49	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	50	i.e.	i.e.	X
cpos-635	145	51	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	52	exponential	exponential	ADJ
cpos-635	145	53	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-635	145	54	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	55	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	56	2	2	X
cpos-635	145	57	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	58	logit	logit	PROPN
cpos-635	145	59	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	60	𝑞𝑞	𝑞𝑞	PROPN
cpos-635	145	61	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	63	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	64	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	65	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	66	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	67	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	68	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	69	𝑞𝑞	𝑞𝑞	PROPN
cpos-635	145	70	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	71	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	72	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	73	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	145	74	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	75	𝑞𝑞	𝑞𝑞	PROPN
cpos-635	145	76	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	77	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	78	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	79	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	80	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	81	𝜅𝜅	𝜅𝜅	PROPN
cpos-635	145	82	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	83	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	84	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	85	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	86	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	87	𝜅𝜅	𝜅𝜅	PROPN
cpos-635	145	88	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	89	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	90	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	91	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	92	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	93	𝑥𝑥	𝑥𝑥	ADP
cpos-635	145	94	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	95	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	145	96	̅	̅	NOUN
cpos-635	145	97	�	�	NOUN
cpos-635	145	98	𝑥	𝑥	NOUN
cpos-635	145	99	�	�	NOUN
cpos-635	145	100	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	145	101	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	102	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	145	103	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	104	a	a	DET
cpos-635	145	105	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	145	106	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	107	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	145	108	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	145	109	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	145	110	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	145	111	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	145	112	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	145	113	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	114	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	115	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	145	116	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	145	117	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	145	118	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	145	119	103	103	NUM
cpos-635	145	120	mx	mx	NOUN
cpos-635	145	121	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	145	122	≈	≈	PROPN
cpos-635	145	123	-ln(1	-ln(1	NOUN
cpos-635	145	124	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	145	125	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	145	126	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	145	127	qx	qx	NOUN
cpos-635	145	128	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	129	2.7	2.7	NUM
cpos-635	145	130	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	131	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	145	132	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	145	133	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	134	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	145	135	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	145	136	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	145	137	built	build	VERB
cpos-635	145	138	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	145	139	prior	prior	ADJ
cpos-635	145	140	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	145	141	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	145	142	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	145	143	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	144	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	145	145	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	146	goals	goal	NOUN
cpos-635	145	147	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	145	148	building	build	VERB
cpos-635	145	149	a	a	DET
cpos-635	145	150	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	145	151	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	145	152	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	145	153	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	154	able	able	ADJ
cpos-635	145	155	to	to	PART
cpos-635	145	156	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	145	157	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	145	158	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	145	159	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	160	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	145	161	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	145	162	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	145	163	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	164	include	include	VERB
cpos-635	145	165	a	a	DET
cpos-635	145	166	non	non	ADJ
cpos-635	145	167	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	145	168	trivial	trivial	ADJ
cpos-635	145	169	correlation	correlation	NOUN
cpos-635	145	170	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-635	145	171	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	172	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	145	173	model	model	VERB
cpos-635	145	174	the	the	DET
cpos-635	145	175	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	145	176	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	145	177	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	178	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	145	179	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	145	180	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	145	181	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	146	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	146	2	formula	formula	NOUN
cpos-635	146	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	146	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	146	5	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	146	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	146	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	146	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	146	9	ln[mx	ln[mx	X
cpos-635	146	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	146	11	t	t	PROPN
cpos-635	146	12	]	]	X
cpos-635	146	13	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	146	14	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	146	15	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	146	16	αx	αx	ADV
cpos-635	146	17	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	146	18	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	146	19	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	146	20	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	146	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	146	22	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	146	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	146	24	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	147	1	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	147	2	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	147	3	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	147	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	147	5	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	147	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	147	7	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	147	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	147	9	x	x	NOUN
cpos-635	147	10	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	147	11	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	147	12	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	147	13	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	147	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	147	15	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	1	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	148	2	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	3	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	148	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	148	5	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	148	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	148	7	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	148	9	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	148	10	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	11	−	−	ADP
cpos-635	148	12	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	13	x)+	x)+	NUM
cpos-635	148	14	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	15	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	148	16	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	17	γt	γt	NOUN
cpos-635	148	18	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	19	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	148	20	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	148	21	x	x	PUNCT
cpos-635	148	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	148	23	αx	αx	NOUN
cpos-635	148	24	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	148	25	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	148	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	148	27	basic	basic	ADJ
cpos-635	148	28	shape	shape	NOUN
cpos-635	148	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	148	30	the	the	DET
cpos-635	148	31	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	148	32	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	148	33	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	148	34	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	148	35	curve	curve	NOUN
cpos-635	148	36	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	148	37	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	148	38	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	148	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	149	1	kt	kt	PROPN
cpos-635	149	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	149	3	1	1	X
cpos-635	149	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	149	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	149	6	general	general	ADJ
cpos-635	149	7	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-635	149	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	149	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	149	10	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	149	11	affect	affect	VERB
cpos-635	149	12	all	all	DET
cpos-635	149	13	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	149	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	1	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	150	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	3	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	150	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	6	x	x	NOUN
cpos-635	150	7	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	150	8	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	150	9	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	150	10	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	150	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	12	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-635	150	13	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	150	14	dependent	dependent	ADJ
cpos-635	150	15	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-635	150	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	150	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	150	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	150	19	to	to	PART
cpos-635	150	20	vary	vary	VERB
cpos-635	150	21	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	150	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	150	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	150	24	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	150	25	x̄	x̄	PRON
cpos-635	150	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	150	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	150	28	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	150	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	150	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	1	kt	kt	X
cpos-635	151	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	3	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	151	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	5	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	151	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	7	x̄	x̄	NOUN
cpos-635	151	8	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	151	9	−	−	ADP
cpos-635	151	10	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	151	11	x)+	x)+	NUM
cpos-635	151	12	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	151	13	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	151	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	15	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	151	16	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
cpos-635	151	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	151	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	151	19	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	151	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	151	21	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-635	151	22	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	151	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	24	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	151	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	151	26	superscript	superscript	PROPN
cpos-635	151	27	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	28	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	151	29	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	151	30	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	151	31	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	151	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	151	33	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	151	34	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	151	35	applies	apply	VERB
cpos-635	151	36	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	151	37	x	x	PRON
cpos-635	151	38	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	151	39	less	less	ADJ
cpos-635	151	40	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	151	41	the	the	DET
cpos-635	151	42	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	151	43	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	151	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	152	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	152	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	152	3	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	152	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	152	5	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	152	6	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	152	7	γ(t	γ(t	NOUN
cpos-635	152	8	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	152	9	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	152	10	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	152	11	x	x	NOUN
cpos-635	152	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	152	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	153	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	153	2	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-635	153	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	153	4	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	153	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	153	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	153	7	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	153	8	use	use	VERB
cpos-635	153	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	153	10	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	153	11	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	153	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	153	13	first	first	ADV
cpos-635	153	14	define	define	VERB
cpos-635	153	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	153	16	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	153	17	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	153	18	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	153	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	153	20	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	153	21	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	153	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	153	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	153	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	153	25	default	default	NOUN
cpos-635	153	26	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	153	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	154	1	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	154	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	154	3	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	154	4	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	154	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	154	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	154	7	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	154	8	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	154	9	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	154	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	154	11	fit	fit	ADJ
cpos-635	154	12	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	154	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	154	14	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	154	15	use	use	VERB
cpos-635	154	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	154	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	154	18	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	154	19	to	to	PART
cpos-635	154	20	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	154	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	154	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	154	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	155	1	2.8	2.8	NUM
cpos-635	155	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	155	3	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	155	4	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	155	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	155	6	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	155	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	155	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	155	9	ediev	ediev	NOUN
cpos-635	155	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	155	11	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	155	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	155	13	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	155	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	155	15	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	155	16	extrapolates	extrapolate	VERB
cpos-635	155	17	logged	log	VERB
cpos-635	155	18	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	155	19	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	155	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	155	21	applies	apply	VERB
cpos-635	155	22	a	a	DET
cpos-635	155	23	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	155	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	155	25	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	155	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	155	27	constraints	constraint	NOUN
cpos-635	155	28	to	to	PART
cpos-635	155	29	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	155	30	sensible	sensible	ADJ
cpos-635	155	31	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	155	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	156	1	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	156	2	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	156	3	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	156	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	156	5	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	156	6	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-635	156	7	each	each	DET
cpos-635	156	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	156	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	156	10	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	156	11	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	156	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	156	13	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	156	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	156	15	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	156	16	trajectories	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-635	156	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	156	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	156	19	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-635	156	20	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	156	21	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	156	22	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	156	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	157	1	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-635	157	2	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	157	3	bridge	bridge	VERB
cpos-635	157	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	157	5	past	past	ADJ
cpos-635	157	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	157	7	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	157	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	157	9	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	157	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	157	11	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	157	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	158	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	158	2	ediev	ediev	ADJ
cpos-635	158	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	158	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	158	5	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	158	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	158	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	158	8	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	158	9	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	158	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	158	11	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
cpos-635	158	12	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	158	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	158	14	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	158	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	158	16	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	158	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	158	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	158	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	158	20	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	158	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	158	22	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	158	23	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	158	24	very	very	ADV
cpos-635	158	25	elderly	elderly	ADJ
cpos-635	158	26	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	158	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	159	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	159	2	original	original	ADJ
cpos-635	159	3	ediev	ediev	NOUN
cpos-635	159	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	159	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	159	6	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	159	7	deviation	deviation	NOUN
cpos-635	159	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	159	9	determine	determine	VERB
cpos-635	159	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	159	11	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	159	12	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	159	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	159	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	160	1	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
cpos-635	160	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	160	3	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	160	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	160	5	proposed	propose	VERB
cpos-635	160	6	an	an	DET
cpos-635	160	7	ediev	ediev	ADJ
cpos-635	160	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	160	9	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	160	10	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	160	11	identifies	identify	VERB
cpos-635	160	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	160	13	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	160	14	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	160	15	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	160	16	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	160	17	selecting	select	VERB
cpos-635	160	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	160	19	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	160	20	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	160	21	associated	associate	VERB
cpos-635	160	22	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	160	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	160	24	lowest	low	ADJ
cpos-635	160	25	r2	r2	NOUN
cpos-635	160	26	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	160	27	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	160	28	linear	linear	PROPN
cpos-635	160	29	regression	regression	NOUN
cpos-635	160	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	160	31	arguing	argue	VERB
cpos-635	160	32	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	160	33	deviations	deviation	NOUN
cpos-635	160	34	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	160	35	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	160	36	volatile	volatile	ADJ
cpos-635	160	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	160	38	complicating	complicate	VERB
cpos-635	160	39	the	the	DET
cpos-635	160	40	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	160	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	160	42	a	a	DET
cpos-635	160	43	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	160	44	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	160	45	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	160	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	161	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	161	3	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
cpos-635	161	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	5	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	161	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	7	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	161	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	161	10	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	161	11	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	161	12	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	161	13	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	161	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	15	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	161	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	161	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	161	18	r2	r2	PROPN
cpos-635	161	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	161	20	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	161	21	marginally	marginally	ADV
cpos-635	161	22	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	161	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	161	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	161	25	rankings	ranking	NOUN
cpos-635	161	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	162	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	162	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	162	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	162	4	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	162	5	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	162	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	162	7	strongly	strongly	ADV
cpos-635	162	8	influenced	influence	VERB
cpos-635	162	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	162	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	162	11	r2	r2	PROPN
cpos-635	162	12	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	162	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	162	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	162	15	ediev	ediev	ADJ
cpos-635	162	16	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	162	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	163	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	163	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	163	3	incorporates	incorporate	VERB
cpos-635	163	4	important	important	ADJ
cpos-635	163	5	constraints	constraint	NOUN
cpos-635	163	6	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	163	7	reflect	reflect	VERB
cpos-635	163	8	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	163	9	realities	reality	NOUN
cpos-635	163	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	163	11	ensuring	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	163	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	163	13	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	163	14	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	163	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	163	16	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	163	17	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	163	18	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	163	19	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	163	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	163	21	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	163	22	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	163	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	163	24	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	163	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	163	26	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	163	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	163	28	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	163	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	163	30	15	15	NUM
cpos-635	163	31	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	163	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	163	33	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	163	34	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	163	35	not	not	PART
cpos-635	163	36	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	163	37	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	163	38	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-635	163	39	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	163	40	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	163	41	the	the	DET
cpos-635	163	42	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	163	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	163	44	each	each	DET
cpos-635	163	45	successive	successive	ADJ
cpos-635	163	46	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	163	47	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	163	48	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	163	49	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	163	50	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	163	51	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	163	52	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	163	53	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	163	54	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	163	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	163	56	the	the	DET
cpos-635	163	57	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-635	163	58	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	163	59	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	163	60	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	164	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	164	2	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	164	3	aligns	align	VERB
cpos-635	164	4	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	164	5	ediev	ediev	NOUN
cpos-635	164	6	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	164	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	164	8	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	164	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	164	10	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	164	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	164	12	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	164	13	applies	apply	VERB
cpos-635	164	14	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	164	15	to	to	PART
cpos-635	164	16	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	164	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	164	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	164	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	164	20	plausible	plausible	ADJ
cpos-635	164	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	164	22	enhance	enhance	VERB
cpos-635	164	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	164	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	164	25	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	164	26	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	164	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	164	28	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	164	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	164	30	extended	extended	ADJ
cpos-635	164	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	164	32	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	164	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	165	2	brief	brief	ADJ
cpos-635	165	3	description	description	NOUN
cpos-635	165	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	5	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	165	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	8	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	165	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	10	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	165	11	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	165	12	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	165	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	14	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	165	15	wilson104	wilson104	PROPN
cpos-635	165	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	165	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	165	18	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	165	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	165	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	165	21	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	165	22	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	165	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	165	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	165	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	165	26	code	code	NOUN
cpos-635	165	27	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	165	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	165	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	165	30	supplementary	supplementary	ADJ
cpos-635	165	31	materials	material	NOUN
cpos-635	165	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	166	1	1	1	X
cpos-635	166	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	166	3	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	166	4	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-635	166	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	167	1	input	input	NOUN
cpos-635	167	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	167	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	167	4	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	167	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	167	6	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	167	7	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	167	8	extended	extend	VERB
cpos-635	167	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	167	10	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	167	11	110	110	NUM
cpos-635	167	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	168	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	168	2	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	168	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	168	4	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	168	5	110	110	NUM
cpos-635	168	6	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	168	7	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	168	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	168	9	0.8	0.8	NUM
cpos-635	168	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	168	11	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	168	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	168	13	0.9	0.9	NUM
cpos-635	168	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	168	15	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	168	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	168	17	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	168	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	168	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	168	20	twenty	twenty	NUM
cpos-635	168	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	168	22	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	168	23	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	168	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	168	25	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	168	26	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	168	27	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	168	28	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	168	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	168	30	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-635	168	31	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	168	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	169	1	2	2	X
cpos-635	169	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	169	3	linear	linear	NOUN
cpos-635	169	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	169	5	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	169	6	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	169	7	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	169	8	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	169	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	170	1	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	170	2	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	170	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	170	4	logged	log	VERB
cpos-635	170	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	170	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	170	7	linear	linear	NOUN
cpos-635	170	8	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	170	9	fitted	fit	VERB
cpos-635	170	10	to	to	PART
cpos-635	170	11	determine	determine	VERB
cpos-635	170	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	170	13	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	170	14	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	170	15	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	170	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	170	17	each	each	DET
cpos-635	170	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	170	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	170	20	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	170	21	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	170	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	170	23	defined	define	VERB
cpos-635	170	24	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	170	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	170	26	lowest	low	ADJ
cpos-635	170	27	r2	r2	NOUN
cpos-635	170	28	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	170	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	170	30	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	170	31	a	a	DET
cpos-635	170	32	minimum	minimum	ADJ
cpos-635	170	33	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	170	34	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	170	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	170	36	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	170	37	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	170	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	171	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	171	2	intercepts	intercept	NOUN
cpos-635	171	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	171	4	slopes	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	171	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	171	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	171	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	171	8	fitted	fit	VERB
cpos-635	171	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	171	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	171	11	calculated	calculated	ADJ
cpos-635	171	12	optimal	optimal	ADJ
cpos-635	171	13	fitting	fitting	ADJ
cpos-635	171	14	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	171	15	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	171	16	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	171	17	to	to	PART
cpos-635	171	18	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	171	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	171	20	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	171	21	logged	log	VERB
cpos-635	171	22	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	171	23	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	171	24	without	without	ADP
cpos-635	171	25	any	any	DET
cpos-635	171	26	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	171	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	172	1	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	172	2	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	172	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	172	4	heavily	heavily	ADV
cpos-635	172	5	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	172	6	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	172	7	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	172	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	172	9	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	172	10	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	172	11	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-635	172	12	so	so	SCONJ
cpos-635	172	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	172	14	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	172	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	172	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	172	17	15	15	NUM
cpos-635	172	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	172	19	onwards	onwards	ADV
cpos-635	172	20	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	172	21	not	not	PART
cpos-635	172	22	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	172	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	172	24	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-635	172	25	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	172	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	173	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	173	2	heavily	heavily	ADV
cpos-635	173	3	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	173	4	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	173	5	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	173	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	173	7	referred	refer	VERB
cpos-635	173	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	173	9	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	173	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	173	11	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	173	12	long	long	ADV
cpos-635	173	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	173	14	run	run	VERB
cpos-635	173	15	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	173	16	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	173	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	173	18	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	174	1	3	3	X
cpos-635	174	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	174	3	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	174	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	174	5	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	174	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	174	7	slope	slope	VERB
cpos-635	174	8	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	174	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	175	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	175	2	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	175	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	175	4	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	175	5	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	175	6	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	175	7	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	175	8	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	175	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	175	10	avoid	avoid	VERB
cpos-635	175	11	a	a	DET
cpos-635	175	12	bumpy	bumpy	ADJ
cpos-635	175	13	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	175	14	profile	profile	NOUN
cpos-635	175	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	175	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	175	17	final	final	ADJ
cpos-635	175	18	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	175	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	175	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	175	21	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	175	22	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	175	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	176	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	176	2	long	long	ADV
cpos-635	176	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	176	4	run	run	VERB
cpos-635	176	5	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	176	6	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	176	7	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	176	8	trended	trend	VERB
cpos-635	176	9	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	176	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	176	11	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	176	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	176	13	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	176	14	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	176	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	176	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	176	17	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	176	18	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	176	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	177	1	4	4	X
cpos-635	177	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	177	3	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	177	4	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	177	5	adjusted	adjusted	ADJ
cpos-635	177	6	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	177	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	178	1	first	first	ADV
cpos-635	178	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	178	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	178	4	logged	log	VERB
cpos-635	178	5	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	178	6	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	178	7	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	178	8	again	again	ADV
cpos-635	178	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	178	10	this	this	DET
cpos-635	178	11	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	178	12	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	178	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	178	14	logged	logged	ADJ
cpos-635	178	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	178	16	smoothed	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	178	17	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	178	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	178	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	178	20	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	178	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	178	22	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	178	23	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	178	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	178	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	178	26	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	178	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	178	28	smoothed	smoothed	ADJ
cpos-635	178	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	178	30	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	178	31	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	178	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	179	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	179	2	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	179	3	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	179	4	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	179	5	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	179	6	closely	closely	ADV
cpos-635	179	7	aligned	align	VERB
cpos-635	179	8	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	179	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	179	10	long	long	ADV
cpos-635	179	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	179	12	run	run	VERB
cpos-635	179	13	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	179	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	179	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	179	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	179	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	179	18	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	179	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	179	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	180	1	taking	take	VERB
cpos-635	180	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	180	3	exponential	exponential	NOUN
cpos-635	180	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	180	5	these	these	DET
cpos-635	180	6	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	180	7	generated	generate	VERB
cpos-635	180	8	a	a	DET
cpos-635	180	9	set	set	NOUN
cpos-635	180	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	180	11	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	180	12	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	180	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	180	14	incorporated	incorporate	VERB
cpos-635	180	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	180	16	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	180	17	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	180	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	181	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	181	2	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	181	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	181	4	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-635	181	5	transition	transition	NOUN
cpos-635	181	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	181	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	181	8	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	181	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	181	10	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	181	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	181	12	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	181	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	181	14	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	181	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	181	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	181	17	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	181	18	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-635	181	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	181	20	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	181	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	181	22	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	181	23	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	181	24	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-635	181	25	to	to	PART
cpos-635	181	26	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	181	27	align	align	VERB
cpos-635	181	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	181	29	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	181	30	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	181	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	181	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	181	33	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	181	34	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	181	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	182	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	182	2	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	182	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	182	4	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	182	5	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	182	6	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	182	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	182	8	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	182	9	gradually	gradually	ADV
cpos-635	182	10	merged	merge	VERB
cpos-635	182	11	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	182	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	182	13	slope	slope	NOUN
cpos-635	182	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	182	15	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	182	16	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	182	17	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	182	18	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	182	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	182	20	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	182	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	182	22	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	182	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	182	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	183	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	183	2	ensured	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	183	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	183	4	smooth	smooth	ADJ
cpos-635	183	5	transition	transition	NOUN
cpos-635	183	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	183	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	183	8	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	183	9	initial	initial	ADJ
cpos-635	183	10	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	183	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	183	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	183	13	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	183	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	183	15	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	183	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	183	17	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	183	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	183	19	aligning	align	VERB
cpos-635	183	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	183	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	183	22	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	183	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	183	24	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	183	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	183	26	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	183	27	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	183	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	183	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	183	30	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-635	183	31	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	183	32	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	183	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	184	1	5	5	X
cpos-635	184	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	184	3	adjusting	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	184	4	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	184	5	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	184	6	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	184	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	185	1	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	185	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	185	3	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	185	4	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	185	5	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	185	6	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	185	7	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-635	185	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	186	1	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	186	2	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	186	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	186	4	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	186	5	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	186	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	186	7	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	186	8	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	186	9	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	186	10	always	always	ADV
cpos-635	186	11	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	186	12	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	186	13	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	186	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	186	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	186	16	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
cpos-635	186	17	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	186	18	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	186	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	187	1	6	6	X
cpos-635	187	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	187	3	modifying	modify	VERB
cpos-635	187	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	187	5	maximum	maximum	ADJ
cpos-635	187	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	187	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	188	1	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	188	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	188	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	188	4	extended	extend	VERB
cpos-635	188	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	188	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	188	7	110	110	NUM
cpos-635	188	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	188	9	incorporate	incorporate	VERB
cpos-635	188	10	calculated	calculated	ADJ
cpos-635	188	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	188	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	188	13	determined	determine	VERB
cpos-635	188	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	188	15	this	this	DET
cpos-635	188	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	188	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	188	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	188	19	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	188	20	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-635	188	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	188	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	188	23	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	188	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	188	25	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	188	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	188	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	188	28	maximum	maximum	ADJ
cpos-635	188	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	188	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	188	31	this	this	DET
cpos-635	188	32	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	188	33	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	188	34	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	188	35	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	188	36	inconsistencies	inconsistency	NOUN
cpos-635	188	37	beyond	beyond	ADP
cpos-635	188	38	this	this	DET
cpos-635	188	39	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	188	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	189	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	189	2	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	189	3	achieved	achieve	VERB
cpos-635	189	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	189	5	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	189	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	189	7	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	189	8	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	189	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	189	10	aggregate	aggregate	VERB
cpos-635	189	11	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	189	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	189	13	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	189	14	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	189	15	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	189	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	189	17	110	110	NUM
cpos-635	189	18	+	+	CCONJ
cpos-635	189	19	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	189	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	189	21	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	189	22	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	189	23	category	category	NOUN
cpos-635	189	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	190	1	2.9	2.9	NUM
cpos-635	190	2	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	190	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	190	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	190	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	190	6	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	190	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	190	8	this	this	DET
cpos-635	190	9	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	190	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	190	11	known	know	VERB
cpos-635	190	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	190	13	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	190	14	variably	variably	ADV
cpos-635	190	15	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	190	16	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	190	17	datasets	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	190	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	191	1	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	191	2	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	191	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	191	4	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	191	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	191	6	combinations	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	191	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	191	8	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	191	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	191	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	191	11	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	191	12	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	191	13	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	191	14	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-635	191	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	192	1	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	192	2	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	192	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	192	4	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	192	5	not	not	PART
cpos-635	192	6	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-635	192	7	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	192	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	192	9	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	192	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	192	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	192	12	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	192	13	tend	tend	VERB
cpos-635	192	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	192	15	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	192	16	fewer	few	ADJ
cpos-635	192	17	bad	bad	ADJ
cpos-635	192	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	192	19	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	192	20	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	192	21	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	192	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	192	23	a	a	DET
cpos-635	192	24	desirable	desirable	ADJ
cpos-635	192	25	property	property	NOUN
cpos-635	192	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	192	27	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	192	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	192	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	192	30	grossman	grossman	NOUN
cpos-635	192	31	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	192	32	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	192	33	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	192	34	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	192	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	192	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	1	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	193	2	there	there	ADV
cpos-635	193	3	a	a	DET
cpos-635	193	4	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	193	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	6	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	193	7	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	193	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	193	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	193	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	193	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	193	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	193	14	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	193	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	193	16	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	193	17	•	•	ADP
cpos-635	193	18	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	193	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	193	20	many	many	ADJ
cpos-635	193	21	ways	way	NOUN
cpos-635	193	22	to	to	PART
cpos-635	193	23	combine	combine	VERB
cpos-635	193	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	193	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	26	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	193	27	has	have	AUX
cpos-635	193	28	shown	show	VERB
cpos-635	193	29	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	193	30	the	the	DET
cpos-635	193	31	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	193	32	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	193	33	a	a	DET
cpos-635	193	34	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-635	193	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	193	36	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	193	37	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	193	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	39	grossman	grossman	NOUN
cpos-635	193	40	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	193	41	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	193	42	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	193	43	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	193	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	193	45	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	193	46	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	193	47	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-635	193	48	chosen	choose	VERB
cpos-635	193	49	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	193	50	this	this	DET
cpos-635	193	51	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	193	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	194	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	194	2	test	test	VERB
cpos-635	194	3	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	194	4	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	194	5	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	194	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	1	•	•	X
cpos-635	195	2	d	d	X
cpos-635	195	3	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	195	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	5	an	an	DET
cpos-635	195	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	195	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	195	8	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	195	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	195	10	taking	take	VERB
cpos-635	195	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	195	12	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	195	13	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	195	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	195	15	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	195	16	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	195	17	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	195	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	195	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	195	20	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	195	21	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	195	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	23	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	195	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	25	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	195	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	27	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	195	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	195	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	195	30	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	195	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	196	2	s	s	NOUN
cpos-635	196	3	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	196	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	5	an	an	DET
cpos-635	196	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	196	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	196	8	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	196	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	196	10	taking	take	VERB
cpos-635	196	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	196	12	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	196	13	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	196	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	196	15	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	196	16	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	196	17	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	196	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	196	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	196	20	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	196	21	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	196	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	23	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	196	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	25	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	196	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	27	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	196	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	196	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	196	30	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	196	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	197	2	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	197	3	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	197	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	5	an	an	DET
cpos-635	197	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	197	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	197	8	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	197	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	197	10	taking	take	VERB
cpos-635	197	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	197	12	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	197	13	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	197	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	197	15	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	197	16	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	197	17	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	197	18	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	197	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	197	20	this	this	DET
cpos-635	197	21	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	197	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	23	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	197	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	25	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	197	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	27	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	197	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	30	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	197	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	32	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	197	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	34	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	197	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	197	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	197	37	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	197	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	1	2.10	2.10	NUM
cpos-635	198	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	198	3	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	198	4	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	198	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	198	6	each	each	DET
cpos-635	198	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	198	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	198	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	198	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	198	12	each	each	DET
cpos-635	198	13	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	198	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	198	16	following	follow	VERB
cpos-635	198	17	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	198	18	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	198	19	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	198	20	to	to	PART
cpos-635	198	21	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	198	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	198	23	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	198	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	198	25	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	198	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	27	•	•	ADP
cpos-635	198	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	198	29	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	198	30	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	198	31	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	198	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	198	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	198	34	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	198	35	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	198	36	all	all	DET
cpos-635	198	37	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	198	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	39	maed	maed	NOUN
cpos-635	198	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	198	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	2	maed	maed	NOUN
cpos-635	199	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	199	4	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	199	5	y	y	PROPN
cpos-635	199	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	199	7	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	199	8	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	199	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	10	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	199	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	199	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	13	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	199	14	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	199	15	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	199	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	17	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	199	18	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	199	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	20	m	m	NOUN
cpos-635	199	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	199	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	199	25	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	199	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	199	27	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	199	28	y	y	PROPN
cpos-635	199	29	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	199	30	all	all	DET
cpos-635	199	31	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	199	32	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	199	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	34	x	x	X
cpos-635	199	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	37	expressed	express	VERB
cpos-635	199	38	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	199	39	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	40	•	•	ADP
cpos-635	199	41	the	the	DET
cpos-635	199	42	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	199	43	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	199	44	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	199	45	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	199	46	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	199	47	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	199	48	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	199	49	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	199	50	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	199	51	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	199	52	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	199	53	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	199	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	199	55	e0	e0	PROPN
cpos-635	199	56	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	199	57	e65	e65	X
cpos-635	199	58	respectively	respectively	ADV
cpos-635	199	59	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	200	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	200	2	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	200	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	200	4	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	200	5	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	200	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	200	7	lifetable	lifetable	ADJ
cpos-635	200	8	function	function	NOUN
cpos-635	200	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	200	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	200	11	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	200	12	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	200	13	to	to	PART
cpos-635	200	14	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	200	15	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	200	16	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	200	17	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-635	200	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	200	19	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	200	20	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	200	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	200	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	200	23	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	200	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	200	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	200	26	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	200	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	2	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	201	3	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	201	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	201	5	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	201	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	201	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	201	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	201	9	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	201	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	11	aee(0	aee(0	NOUN
cpos-635	201	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	201	15	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	201	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	201	17	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	201	18	7	7	NUM
cpos-635	201	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	20	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	201	21	takes	take	VERB
cpos-635	201	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	23	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	201	24	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	201	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	201	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	27	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	201	28	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	201	29	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	201	30	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	201	31	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	201	32	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	201	33	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	201	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	201	35	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	201	36	y	y	PROPN
cpos-635	201	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	201	38	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	201	39	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	201	40	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	201	41	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	201	42	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	201	43	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	201	44	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	201	45	y.	y.	PROPN
cpos-635	201	46	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	201	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	48	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	201	49	8	8	NUM
cpos-635	201	50	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	201	51	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	52	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	201	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	201	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	55	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	201	56	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	201	57	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	201	58	the	the	DET
cpos-635	201	59	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	201	60	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	201	61	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	201	62	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	201	63	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	201	64	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	201	65	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	66	aee(65	aee(65	PROPN
cpos-635	201	67	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	68	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	201	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	1	e0	e0	PROPN
cpos-635	202	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	202	3	e65	e65	PROPN
cpos-635	202	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	202	5	both	both	PRON
cpos-635	202	6	measured	measure	VERB
cpos-635	202	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	202	8	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	202	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	10	thereby	thereby	ADV
cpos-635	202	11	giving	give	VERB
cpos-635	202	12	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	202	13	an	an	DET
cpos-635	202	14	easy	easy	ADJ
cpos-635	202	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	16	to	to	PART
cpos-635	202	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	18	understand	understand	VERB
cpos-635	202	19	metric	metric	ADJ
cpos-635	202	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	21	aey	aey	PROPN
cpos-635	202	22	e(0	e(0	PROPN
cpos-635	202	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	24	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	202	25	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	202	26	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	202	27	|	|	ADV
cpos-635	202	28	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	202	29	e0,y	e0,y	PROPN
cpos-635	202	30	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	202	31	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	202	32	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	202	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	202	34	e0,y	e0,y	PROPN
cpos-635	202	35	|	|	ADV
cpos-635	202	36	aey	aey	PROPN
cpos-635	202	37	e(65	e(65	NOUN
cpos-635	202	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	202	39	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	203	1	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	203	2	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	203	3	|	|	ADV
cpos-635	203	4	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	203	5	e65,y	e65,y	NOUN
cpos-635	203	6	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	203	7	−	−	PROPN
cpos-635	203	8	 	 	SPACE
cpos-635	203	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	203	10	e65,y	e65,y	VERB
cpos-635	203	11	|	|	ADV
cpos-635	203	12	𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀	𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀	ADJ
cpos-635	203	13	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	14	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	15	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	16	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	203	17	𝑛𝑛	𝑛𝑛	ADP
cpos-635	203	18	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	19	|𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹	|𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹	PROPN
cpos-635	203	20	𝑚𝑚	𝑚𝑚	ADP
cpos-635	203	21	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	23	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	24	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	25	𝑀𝑀𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴	𝑀𝑀𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	203	26	𝑚𝑚	𝑚𝑚	PROPN
cpos-635	203	27	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	29	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	30	|	|	PROPN
cpos-635	203	31	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	32	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	33	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	34	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	203	35	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	203	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	37	6	6	NUM
cpos-635	203	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	40	7	7	NUM
cpos-635	203	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	42	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	43	8)	8)	NUM
cpos-635	203	44	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	203	45	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	203	46	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	203	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	48	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	203	49	wilson106	wilson106	PROPN
cpos-635	203	50	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	203	51	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	203	52	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	203	53	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	203	54	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	203	55	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	203	56	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	203	57	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	203	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	59	apey	apey	VERB
cpos-635	203	60	td	td	NOUN
cpos-635	203	61	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	203	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	204	2	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	204	3	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	204	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	204	5	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	204	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	204	7	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	204	8	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	204	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	10	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	204	11	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	204	12	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	204	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	204	14	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	204	15	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	204	16	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	204	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	18	described	describe	VERB
cpos-635	204	19	below	below	ADV
cpos-635	204	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	22	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	204	23	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	204	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	204	25	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	204	26	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	204	27	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	204	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	204	29	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	204	30	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	204	31	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	204	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	33	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	204	34	9	9	NUM
cpos-635	204	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	204	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	205	2	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	205	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	4	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	205	5	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	205	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	205	7	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	205	8	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-635	205	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	205	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	205	11	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	205	12	change	change	VERB
cpos-635	205	13	significantly	significantly	ADV
cpos-635	205	14	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	205	15	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	205	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	205	18	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	205	19	normalises	normalise	VERB
cpos-635	205	20	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	205	21	relative	relative	ADJ
cpos-635	205	22	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	205	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	205	24	size	size	NOUN
cpos-635	205	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	205	27	each	each	DET
cpos-635	205	28	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	205	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	30	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	205	31	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	205	32	totm	totm	PROPN
cpos-635	205	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	34	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	205	35	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	205	36	the	the	DET
cpos-635	205	37	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	205	38	summed	sum	VERB
cpos-635	205	39	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	205	40	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	205	41	the	the	DET
cpos-635	205	42	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	205	43	sets	set	NOUN
cpos-635	205	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	205	45	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	205	46	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	205	47	the	the	DET
cpos-635	205	48	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	205	49	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	205	50	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	51	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	205	52	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	205	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	205	54	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	205	55	defined	define	VERB
cpos-635	205	56	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	205	57	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	205	58	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	205	59	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	206	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	206	3	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	206	4	a	a	DET
cpos-635	206	5	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	206	6	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	206	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	206	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	206	9	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	206	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	11	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	206	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	13	equation	equation	NOUN
cpos-635	206	14	11	11	NUM
cpos-635	206	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	206	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	206	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	206	20	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	206	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	206	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	206	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	206	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	206	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	206	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	27	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	206	28	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	206	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	206	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	206	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	206	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	206	33	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	206	34	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	206	35	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	206	36	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	206	37	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	206	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	207	1	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	207	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	207	3	m	m	VERB
cpos-635	207	4	denotes	denote	VERB
cpos-635	207	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	207	6	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	207	7	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	207	8	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	207	9	being	be	AUX
cpos-635	207	10	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
cpos-635	207	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	208	1	k	k	PROPN
cpos-635	208	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	208	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	208	4	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	208	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	208	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	208	7	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-635	208	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	208	9	each	each	DET
cpos-635	208	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	208	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	208	12	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	208	13	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	208	14	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	208	15	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-635	208	16	this	this	DET
cpos-635	208	17	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	208	18	to	to	PART
cpos-635	208	19	correspond	correspond	VERB
cpos-635	208	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	208	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	208	22	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	208	23	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	208	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	208	25	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	208	26	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	208	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	208	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	208	29	h	h	NOUN
cpos-635	208	30	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	208	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	208	32	maximum	maximum	PROPN
cpos-635	208	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	208	34	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	208	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	209	1	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	209	2	an	an	DET
cpos-635	209	3	example	example	NOUN
cpos-635	209	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	209	5	let	let	VERB
cpos-635	209	6	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	209	7	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	209	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	209	9	process	process	NOUN
cpos-635	209	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	209	11	calculating	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	209	12	tote(0	tote(0	PROPN
cpos-635	209	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	1	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	210	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	210	4	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	210	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	210	6	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	210	7	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	210	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	210	9	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	210	10	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	210	11	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	210	12	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	210	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	14	e0	e0	PROPN
cpos-635	210	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	210	18	two	two	NUM
cpos-635	210	19	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	210	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	21	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	210	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	210	23	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	210	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	210	25	same	same	ADJ
cpos-635	210	26	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	210	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	210	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	210	29	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	210	30	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	210	31	y1	y1	NOUN
cpos-635	210	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	210	33	y2	y2	NOUN
cpos-635	210	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	211	1	let	let	VERB
cpos-635	211	2	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	211	3	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-635	211	4	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	211	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	211	6	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	7	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	211	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	211	9	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	211	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	211	11	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-635	211	12	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	211	14	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-635	211	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	211	17	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	211	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	211	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	211	21	first	first	ADJ
cpos-635	211	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	211	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	211	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	211	25	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-635	211	26	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	211	28	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	211	29	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	211	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	211	32	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-635	211	33	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	211	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	211	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	211	36	second	second	NOUN
cpos-635	211	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	212	1	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-635	212	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	212	3	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	212	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	212	5	compiling	compile	VERB
cpos-635	212	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	212	7	averaging	average	VERB
cpos-635	212	8	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	212	9	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	212	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	212	11	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	212	12	multiple	multiple	ADJ
cpos-635	212	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	212	14	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	212	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	212	16	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	212	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	212	18	entire	entire	ADJ
cpos-635	212	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	212	20	window	window	NOUN
cpos-635	212	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	212	22	totm	totm	NOUN
cpos-635	212	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	212	24	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	212	25	serve	serve	VERB
cpos-635	212	26	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	212	27	indicators	indicator	NOUN
cpos-635	212	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	212	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	212	30	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	212	31	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	212	32	capacity	capacity	NOUN
cpos-635	212	33	to	to	PART
cpos-635	212	34	generate	generate	VERB
cpos-635	212	35	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	212	36	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	212	37	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	212	38	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	212	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	212	40	under	under	ADP
cpos-635	212	41	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	212	42	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-635	212	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	1	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	2	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	3	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	4	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	5	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	6	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	7	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	8	𝐷𝐷	𝐷𝐷	PROPN
cpos-635	213	9	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	10	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	11	𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴	𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐹𝐹𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	12	𝐷𝐷	𝐷𝐷	PROPN
cpos-635	213	13	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	14	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	15	𝐷𝐷	𝐷𝐷	PROPN
cpos-635	213	16	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	17	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	18	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	19	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	213	20	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	213	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	22	9	9	NUM
cpos-635	213	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	24	𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇	𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇	VERB
cpos-635	213	25	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	26	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	213	28	𝑘𝑘	𝑘𝑘	PROPN
cpos-635	213	29	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	30	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	31	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	32	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	34	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	35	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	36	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	37	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	38	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	39	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	40	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	41	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	42	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	43	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	213	44	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	45	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	213	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	47	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	48	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	49	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	50	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	213	51	𝑘𝑘	𝑘𝑘	PROPN
cpos-635	213	52	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	53	∑	∑	PROPN
cpos-635	213	54	𝐸𝐸	𝐸𝐸	PROPN
cpos-635	213	55	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	56	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	57	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	58	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	59	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	60	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	61	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	62	ℎ	ℎ	PROPN
cpos-635	213	63	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	64	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	65	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	66	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	67	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	213	68	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	69	11	11	NUM
cpos-635	213	70	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	71	𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇	𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇	VERB
cpos-635	213	72	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	73	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	74	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	75	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	76	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	77	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	213	78	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	213	79	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	80	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	81	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-635	213	82	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	83	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-635	213	84	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	85	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	213	86	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	87	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	88	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	89	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-635	213	90	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	91	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	213	92	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	93	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-635	213	94	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	95	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	96	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	97	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	213	98	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	213	99	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	100	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	213	101	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	102	2.7	2.7	NUM
cpos-635	213	103	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	104	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	105	2.85	2.85	NUM
cpos-635	213	106	𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦	𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦	NOUN
cpos-635	213	107	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	213	108	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴	PROPN
cpos-635	213	109	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	110	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	111	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	112	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	113	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	114	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	115	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	116	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	117	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	118	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	119	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	120	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	121	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	122	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	123	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	124	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	125	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	126	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	127	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	128	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	129	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	130	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	131	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	132	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	133	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	134	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	135	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	136	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	137	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	138	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	139	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	213	140	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	141	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	142	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	143	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	144	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	145	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	146	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	147	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	213	148	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	149	0.9	0.9	NUM
cpos-635	213	150	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	151	�	�	PROPN
cpos-635	213	152	0.95	0.95	NUM
cpos-635	213	153	𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦.	𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦.	NOUN
cpos-635	213	154	  	  	SPACE
cpos-635	213	155	a	a	DET
cpos-635	213	156	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	213	157	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	158	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	213	159	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	213	160	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	213	161	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	213	162	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	213	163	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	213	164	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	165	the	the	DET
cpos-635	213	166	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	213	167	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	213	168	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	213	169	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	213	170	107	107	NUM
cpos-635	213	171	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	213	172	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	213	173	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	213	174	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	213	175	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	213	176	a	a	DET
cpos-635	213	177	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	213	178	contribution	contribution	NOUN
cpos-635	213	179	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	213	180	this	this	DET
cpos-635	213	181	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	213	182	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	213	183	the	the	DET
cpos-635	213	184	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cpos-635	213	185	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	213	186	the	the	DET
cpos-635	213	187	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	213	188	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	213	189	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	213	190	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	213	191	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	192	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	213	193	evaluates	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	213	194	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	213	195	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	196	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	213	197	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	213	198	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	213	199	past	past	ADJ
cpos-635	213	200	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	213	201	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	213	202	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	213	203	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	213	204	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	213	205	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	213	206	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	213	207	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	213	208	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	213	209	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	214	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	214	2	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	214	3	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	214	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	214	5	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	214	6	uses	use	VERB
cpos-635	214	7	a	a	DET
cpos-635	214	8	standard	standard	ADJ
cpos-635	214	9	cohortcomponent	cohortcomponent	NOUN
cpos-635	214	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	214	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	214	12	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-635	214	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	214	14	rees	rees	PROPN
cpos-635	214	15	2021	2021	NUM
cpos-635	214	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	214	17	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	214	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	214	19	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	214	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	214	21	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	214	22	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-635	214	23	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	214	24	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	214	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	214	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	214	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	214	28	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	214	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	215	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	215	2	substitution	substitution	NOUN
cpos-635	215	3	isolates	isolate	VERB
cpos-635	215	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	215	5	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	215	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	215	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	215	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	215	9	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	215	10	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	215	11	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	215	12	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	215	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	215	14	allowing	allow	VERB
cpos-635	215	15	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	215	16	to	to	PART
cpos-635	215	17	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	215	18	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	215	19	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	215	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	215	21	a	a	DET
cpos-635	215	22	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	215	23	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	215	24	outcome	outcome	NOUN
cpos-635	215	25	without	without	ADP
cpos-635	215	26	interference	interference	NOUN
cpos-635	215	27	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	215	28	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	215	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	215	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	215	31	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	215	32	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	215	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	216	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	216	2	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	216	3	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	216	4	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	216	5	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	216	6	reflects	reflect	VERB
cpos-635	216	7	this	this	DET
cpos-635	216	8	deliberate	deliberate	ADJ
cpos-635	216	9	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-635	216	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	216	11	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	216	12	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	216	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	216	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	216	15	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	216	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	216	17	distinguishing	distinguish	VERB
cpos-635	216	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	216	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	216	20	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	216	21	a	a	DET
cpos-635	216	22	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	216	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	216	24	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	216	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	217	1	to	to	PART
cpos-635	217	2	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	217	3	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	217	4	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	217	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	217	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	217	7	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	217	8	-	-	NOUN
cpos-635	217	9	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	217	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	217	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	217	12	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	217	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	217	14	combined	combine	VERB
cpos-635	217	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	217	16	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-635	217	17	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	217	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	217	19	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-635	217	20	net	net	ADJ
cpos-635	217	21	overseas	overseas	ADJ
cpos-635	217	22	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	217	23	to	to	PART
cpos-635	217	24	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	217	25	a	a	DET
cpos-635	217	26	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	217	27	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	217	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	218	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	218	2	resulting	result	VERB
cpos-635	218	3	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	218	4	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	218	5	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-635	218	6	what	what	PRON
cpos-635	218	7	would	would	AUX
cpos-635	218	8	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	218	9	occurred	occur	VERB
cpos-635	218	10	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	218	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	218	12	had	have	AUX
cpos-635	218	13	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	218	14	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	218	15	imperfectly	imperfectly	ADV
cpos-635	218	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	218	17	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	218	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	218	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	218	20	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	218	21	had	have	AUX
cpos-635	218	22	remained	remain	VERB
cpos-635	218	23	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	218	24	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-635	218	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	219	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	219	2	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	219	3	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-635	219	4	us	we	PRON
cpos-635	219	5	to	to	PART
cpos-635	219	6	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-635	219	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	219	8	implications	implication	NOUN
cpos-635	219	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	219	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	219	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	219	12	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	219	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	219	14	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	219	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	219	16	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	219	17	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	219	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	219	19	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	219	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	219	21	straightforward	straightforward	ADJ
cpos-635	219	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	219	23	intuitive	intuitive	ADJ
cpos-635	219	24	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	219	25	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	219	26	offers	offer	VERB
cpos-635	219	27	a	a	DET
cpos-635	219	28	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	219	29	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	219	30	tool	tool	NOUN
cpos-635	219	31	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	219	32	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	219	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	219	34	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	219	35	those	those	PRON
cpos-635	219	36	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	219	37	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	219	38	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	219	39	to	to	PART
cpos-635	219	40	inform	inform	VERB
cpos-635	219	41	planning	planning	NOUN
cpos-635	219	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	219	43	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-635	219	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	219	45	making	making	NOUN
cpos-635	219	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	220	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	220	2	linking	link	VERB
cpos-635	220	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	220	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	220	5	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	220	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	220	7	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	220	8	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	220	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	220	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	220	11	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	220	12	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	220	13	projection	projection	ADJ
cpos-635	220	14	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	220	15	highlights	highlight	NOUN
cpos-635	220	16	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	220	17	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-635	220	18	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	220	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	220	20	traditional	traditional	ADJ
cpos-635	220	21	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	220	22	does	do	AUX
cpos-635	220	23	not	not	PART
cpos-635	220	24	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-635	220	25	translate	translate	VERB
cpos-635	220	26	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	220	27	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	220	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	220	29	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	220	30	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	220	31	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
cpos-635	220	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	221	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	221	2	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	221	3	underscores	underscore	VERB
cpos-635	221	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	221	5	importance	importance	NOUN
cpos-635	221	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	221	7	considering	consider	VERB
cpos-635	221	8	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	221	9	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	221	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	221	11	an	an	DET
cpos-635	221	12	independent	independent	ADJ
cpos-635	221	13	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	221	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	221	15	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-635	221	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	221	17	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	221	18	implications	implication	NOUN
cpos-635	221	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	221	20	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	221	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	221	22	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	221	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	222	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	222	2	results	result	VERB
cpos-635	222	3	3.1	3.1	NUM
cpos-635	222	4	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	222	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	222	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	222	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	222	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	222	9	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	222	10	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	222	11	all	all	DET
cpos-635	222	12	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	222	13	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	222	14	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	222	15	presents	present	VERB
cpos-635	222	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	222	17	maed	maed	NOUN
cpos-635	222	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	222	19	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	222	20	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	222	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	222	22	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	222	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	222	24	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	222	25	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	222	26	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	222	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	222	28	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	222	29	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	222	30	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	222	31	presents	present	NOUN
cpos-635	222	32	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
cpos-635	222	33	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	222	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	222	35	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	222	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	223	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	223	2	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	223	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	223	4	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	223	5	were	be	VERB
cpos-635	223	6	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-635	223	7	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	223	8	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	223	9	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	223	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	223	11	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	223	12	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	223	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	224	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	224	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	224	3	focus	focus	VERB
cpos-635	224	4	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	224	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	224	6	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	224	7	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	224	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	224	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	224	10	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	224	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	224	12	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	224	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	224	14	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	224	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	224	16	standout	standout	NOUN
cpos-635	224	17	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	224	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	224	19	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	224	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	224	21	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	224	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	224	23	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	224	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	225	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	225	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	225	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	225	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	225	5	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	225	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	225	7	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	225	8	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	225	9	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	225	10	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	225	11	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	225	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	225	13	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	225	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	225	15	leecarter	leecarter	NOUN
cpos-635	225	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	225	17	had	have	VERB
cpos-635	225	18	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	225	19	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	225	20	overall	overall	ADV
cpos-635	225	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	226	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	226	2	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	226	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	226	4	little	little	ADJ
cpos-635	226	5	separates	separate	VERB
cpos-635	226	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	226	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	226	8	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	226	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	226	10	shorter	short	ADJ
cpos-635	226	11	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	226	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	227	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	227	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	227	3	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	227	4	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	227	5	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	227	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	227	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	227	8	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	227	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	227	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	227	11	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	227	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	227	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	227	14	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	227	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	227	16	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	227	17	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	227	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	227	19	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	227	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	227	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	227	22	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	227	23	ensemble	ensemble	NOUN
cpos-635	227	24	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	227	25	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	227	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	228	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	228	2	latter	latter	ADJ
cpos-635	228	3	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	228	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	228	5	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	228	6	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	228	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	228	8	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	228	9	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	228	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	228	11	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	228	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	228	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	228	14	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	228	15	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	228	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	229	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	229	2	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	229	3	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	229	4	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	229	5	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	229	6	not	not	PART
cpos-635	229	7	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	229	8	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	229	9	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	229	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	229	11	nor	nor	CCONJ
cpos-635	229	12	did	do	VERB
cpos-635	229	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	229	14	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	229	15	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	229	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	229	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	229	18	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	229	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	229	20	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	229	21	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	229	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	229	23	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	229	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	229	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	230	1	figure	figure	VERB
cpos-635	230	2	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	230	3	presents	present	VERB
cpos-635	230	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	230	5	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	230	6	maed	maed	NOUN
cpos-635	230	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	230	8	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	230	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	230	10	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	230	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	230	12	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	230	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	230	14	depicting	depict	VERB
cpos-635	230	15	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	230	16	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	230	17	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	230	18	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	230	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	230	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	230	21	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	230	22	change	change	NOUN
cpos-635	230	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	230	24	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	230	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	230	26	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	230	27	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	230	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	230	29	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	230	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	231	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	231	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	231	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	231	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	231	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	231	6	wilson108	wilson108	PROPN
cpos-635	231	7	tab	tab	PROPN
cpos-635	231	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	232	1	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	232	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	232	3	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	232	4	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	232	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	232	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	232	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	232	8	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	232	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	232	10	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	232	11	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	232	12	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	232	13	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	232	14	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	232	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	232	16	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	232	17	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	232	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	232	19	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	232	20	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	232	21	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	232	22	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	232	23	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	232	24	year	year	VERB
cpos-635	232	25	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	233	1	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	233	2	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	233	3	c	c	PROPN
cpos-635	233	4	fdm	fdm	PROPN
cpos-635	233	5	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	233	6	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	233	7	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	233	8	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	233	9	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	234	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	234	2	s	s	NOUN
cpos-635	234	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	234	4	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	234	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	7	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	8	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	234	9	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	10	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	234	11	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	12	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	13	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	234	14	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	15	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	16	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	17	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	18	0.050	0.050	NUM
cpos-635	234	19	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	234	20	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	21	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	22	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	23	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	234	24	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	25	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	26	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	234	27	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	234	28	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	29	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	30	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	31	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	32	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	33	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	34	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	234	35	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	234	36	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	234	37	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	38	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	39	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	40	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	41	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	42	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	43	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	234	44	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	45	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	46	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	47	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	48	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	49	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	234	50	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	51	0.060	0.060	NUM
cpos-635	234	52	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	234	53	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	234	54	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	55	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	56	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	57	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	58	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	59	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	60	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	61	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	62	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	234	63	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	64	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	65	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	66	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	67	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	68	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	234	69	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	70	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	71	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	72	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	234	73	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	74	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	234	75	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	234	76	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	77	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	78	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	79	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	80	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	81	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	82	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	83	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	234	84	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	85	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	86	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	87	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	88	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	234	89	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	90	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	91	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	92	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	234	93	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	94	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	234	95	0.030	0.030	NUM
cpos-635	234	96	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	234	97	0.064	0.064	NUM
cpos-635	234	98	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	99	0.058	0.058	NUM
cpos-635	234	100	0.051	0.051	NUM
cpos-635	234	101	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	102	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	103	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	104	0.047	0.047	NUM
cpos-635	234	105	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	106	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	107	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	234	108	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	109	0.061	0.061	NUM
cpos-635	234	110	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	234	111	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	234	112	0.047	0.047	NUM
cpos-635	234	113	0.046	0.046	NUM
cpos-635	234	114	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	115	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	116	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	234	117	0.046	0.046	NUM
cpos-635	234	118	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	119	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	120	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	234	121	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	234	122	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	123	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	124	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	125	0.037	0.037	NUM
cpos-635	234	126	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	127	0.030	0.030	NUM
cpos-635	234	128	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	129	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	130	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	131	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	234	132	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	133	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	234	134	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	135	0.093	0.093	NUM
cpos-635	234	136	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	234	137	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	234	138	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	234	139	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	140	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	141	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	142	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	143	0.049	0.049	NUM
cpos-635	234	144	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	145	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	234	146	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	234	147	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	148	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	234	149	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	150	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	151	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	234	152	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	153	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	154	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	155	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	156	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	157	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	158	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	159	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	234	160	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	161	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	234	162	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	163	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	164	0.042	0.042	NUM
cpos-635	234	165	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	234	166	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	167	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	168	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	169	0.038	0.038	NUM
cpos-635	234	170	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	171	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	172	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	234	173	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	174	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	175	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	176	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	234	177	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	178	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	234	179	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	234	180	0.127	0.127	NUM
cpos-635	234	181	0.132	0.132	NUM
cpos-635	234	182	0.064	0.064	NUM
cpos-635	234	183	0.134	0.134	NUM
cpos-635	234	184	0.113	0.113	NUM
cpos-635	234	185	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	186	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	187	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	188	0.108	0.108	NUM
cpos-635	234	189	0.039	0.039	NUM
cpos-635	234	190	0.047	0.047	NUM
cpos-635	234	191	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	234	192	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	193	0.123	0.123	NUM
cpos-635	234	194	0.099	0.099	NUM
cpos-635	234	195	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	234	196	0.097	0.097	NUM
cpos-635	234	197	0.092	0.092	NUM
cpos-635	234	198	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	199	0.032	0.032	NUM
cpos-635	234	200	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	201	0.091	0.091	NUM
cpos-635	234	202	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	203	0.042	0.042	NUM
cpos-635	234	204	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	234	205	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	234	206	0.045	0.045	NUM
cpos-635	234	207	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	234	208	0.032	0.032	NUM
cpos-635	234	209	0.059	0.059	NUM
cpos-635	234	210	0.046	0.046	NUM
cpos-635	234	211	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	234	212	0.049	0.049	NUM
cpos-635	234	213	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	214	0.045	0.045	NUM
cpos-635	234	215	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	234	216	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	234	217	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	234	218	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	219	0.113	0.113	NUM
cpos-635	234	220	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	234	221	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	222	0.043	0.043	NUM
cpos-635	234	223	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	224	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	225	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	226	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	227	0.052	0.052	NUM
cpos-635	234	228	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	229	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	230	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	234	231	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	234	232	0.042	0.042	NUM
cpos-635	234	233	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	234	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	235	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	236	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	234	237	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	238	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	234	239	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	240	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	241	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	234	242	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	234	243	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	234	244	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	245	0.090	0.090	NUM
cpos-635	234	246	0.064	0.064	NUM
cpos-635	234	247	0.040	0.040	NUM
cpos-635	234	248	0.072	0.072	NUM
cpos-635	234	249	0.057	0.057	NUM
cpos-635	234	250	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	251	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	252	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	253	0.063	0.063	NUM
cpos-635	234	254	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	255	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	234	256	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	234	257	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	258	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	259	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	260	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	234	261	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	262	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	234	263	0.056	0.056	NUM
cpos-635	234	264	0.257	0.257	NUM
cpos-635	234	265	0.249	0.249	NUM
cpos-635	234	266	0.117	0.117	NUM
cpos-635	234	267	0.271	0.271	NUM
cpos-635	234	268	0.216	0.216	NUM
cpos-635	234	269	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	234	270	0.078	0.078	NUM
cpos-635	234	271	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	272	0.215	0.215	NUM
cpos-635	234	273	0.080	0.080	NUM
cpos-635	234	274	0.090	0.090	NUM
cpos-635	234	275	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	234	276	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	277	0.199	0.199	NUM
cpos-635	234	278	0.149	0.149	NUM
cpos-635	234	279	0.075	0.075	NUM
cpos-635	234	280	0.156	0.156	NUM
cpos-635	234	281	0.144	0.144	NUM
cpos-635	234	282	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	283	0.069	0.069	NUM
cpos-635	234	284	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	285	0.143	0.143	NUM
cpos-635	234	286	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	234	287	0.062	0.062	NUM
cpos-635	234	288	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	234	289	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	290	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	234	291	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	292	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	293	0.063	0.063	NUM
cpos-635	234	294	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	234	295	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	296	0.063	0.063	NUM
cpos-635	234	297	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	298	0.043	0.043	NUM
cpos-635	234	299	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	300	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	301	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	234	302	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	303	0.165	0.165	NUM
cpos-635	234	304	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	305	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	306	0.065	0.065	NUM
cpos-635	234	307	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	308	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	309	0.046	0.046	NUM
cpos-635	234	310	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	234	311	0.080	0.080	NUM
cpos-635	234	312	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	313	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	234	314	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	234	315	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	234	316	0.057	0.057	NUM
cpos-635	234	317	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	318	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	234	319	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	234	320	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	234	321	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	322	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	323	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	234	324	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	325	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	234	326	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	234	327	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	234	328	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	329	0.144	0.144	NUM
cpos-635	234	330	0.094	0.094	NUM
cpos-635	234	331	0.051	0.051	NUM
cpos-635	234	332	0.117	0.117	NUM
cpos-635	234	333	0.092	0.092	NUM
cpos-635	234	334	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	234	335	0.058	0.058	NUM
cpos-635	234	336	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	337	0.101	0.101	NUM
cpos-635	234	338	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	234	339	0.045	0.045	NUM
cpos-635	234	340	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	234	341	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	342	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	343	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	344	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	234	345	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	346	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	234	347	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	234	348	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	234	349	the	the	DET
cpos-635	234	350	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	234	351	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	352	totd	totd	VERB
cpos-635	234	353	0.674	0.674	NUM
cpos-635	234	354	2.328	2.328	NUM
cpos-635	234	355	1.575	1.575	NUM
cpos-635	234	356	0.968	0.968	NUM
cpos-635	234	357	1.831	1.831	NUM
cpos-635	234	358	1.483	1.483	NUM
cpos-635	234	359	0.565	0.565	NUM
cpos-635	234	360	0.869	0.869	NUM
cpos-635	234	361	0.555	0.555	NUM
cpos-635	234	362	1.621	1.621	NUM
cpos-635	234	363	0.700	0.700	NUM
cpos-635	234	364	0.823	0.823	NUM
cpos-635	234	365	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	234	366	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	367	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	368	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	234	369	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	234	370	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	371	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	234	372	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	234	373	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	234	374	the	the	DET
cpos-635	234	375	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	234	376	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	377	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	234	378	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	234	379	0.078	0.078	NUM
cpos-635	234	380	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	234	381	0.032	0.032	NUM
cpos-635	234	382	0.061	0.061	NUM
cpos-635	234	383	0.049	0.049	NUM
cpos-635	234	384	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	385	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	234	386	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	234	387	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	234	388	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	234	389	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	234	390	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	234	391	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	234	392	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	234	393	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	394	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	234	395	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-635	234	396	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	234	397	the	the	DET
cpos-635	234	398	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	234	399	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	234	400	the	the	DET
cpos-635	234	401	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	234	402	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	234	403	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	234	404	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	234	405	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	234	406	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	234	407	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	234	408	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	1	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	235	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	235	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	235	4	reported	report	VERB
cpos-635	235	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	235	6	1-	1-	PROPN
cpos-635	235	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	8	10-	10-	NUM
cpos-635	235	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	10	20-	20-	PROPN
cpos-635	235	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	235	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	235	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	235	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	235	17	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	235	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	235	20	each	each	DET
cpos-635	235	21	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	235	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	235	23	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	235	24	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	235	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	236	1	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	236	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	236	3	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	236	4	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	236	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	236	6	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	236	7	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	236	8	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	236	9	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	236	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	236	11	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	236	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	236	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	236	14	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	236	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	236	16	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	236	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	237	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	2	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	237	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	237	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	237	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	6	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	237	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	237	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	9	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	237	10	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	237	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	237	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	237	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	237	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	237	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	237	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	237	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	237	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	237	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	21	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	237	22	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	237	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	237	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	237	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	237	26	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	237	27	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	237	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	237	29	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	237	30	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	237	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	238	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	238	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	238	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	238	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	238	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	238	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	238	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	238	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	238	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	238	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	238	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	238	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	238	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	238	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	238	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	238	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	238	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	238	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	238	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	238	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	238	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	238	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	238	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	238	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	238	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	238	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	1	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	239	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	3	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	239	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	5	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	239	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	239	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	239	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	239	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	239	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	239	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	239	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	239	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	239	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	20	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	239	21	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	239	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	23	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	239	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	239	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	239	27	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	239	28	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	239	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	239	30	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	239	31	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	239	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	239	33	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	239	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	239	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	37	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	239	38	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	239	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	239	40	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	42	lc_s	lc_	VERB
cpos-635	239	43	a	a	DET
cpos-635	239	44	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	239	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	46	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	239	47	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	239	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	239	49	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	239	50	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	239	51	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	239	52	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	53	the	the	DET
cpos-635	239	54	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	239	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	239	56	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	239	57	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	239	58	109	109	NUM
cpos-635	239	59	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	60	the	the	DET
cpos-635	239	61	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	239	62	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	239	63	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	239	64	the	the	DET
cpos-635	239	65	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	239	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	67	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	239	68	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	69	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	70	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	239	71	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	72	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	239	73	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	74	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	239	75	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	76	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	239	77	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	78	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	79	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	239	80	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	81	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	239	82	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	83	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	239	84	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	85	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	239	86	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	87	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	88	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	239	89	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	90	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	239	91	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	239	92	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	93	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	239	94	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	95	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	239	96	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	239	97	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	98	s	s	PART
cpos-635	239	99	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	100	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	239	101	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	239	102	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	103	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	239	104	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	239	105	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	239	106	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	239	107	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	240	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	240	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	240	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	240	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	240	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	240	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	240	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	240	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	240	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	240	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	240	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	240	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	241	1	tab	tab	NOUN
cpos-635	241	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	242	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	242	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	242	3	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	242	4	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	242	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	242	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	242	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	242	8	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	242	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	242	10	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	242	11	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	242	12	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	242	13	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	242	14	105	105	NUM
cpos-635	242	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	242	16	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	242	17	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	242	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	242	19	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	242	20	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	242	21	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	242	22	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	242	23	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	242	24	year	year	VERB
cpos-635	242	25	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	242	26	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	243	1	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	243	2	cfdm	cfdm	PROPN
cpos-635	243	3	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	243	4	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	243	5	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	243	6	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	243	7	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	244	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	244	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	244	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	244	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	244	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	244	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	244	10	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	11	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	12	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	13	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	14	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	15	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	16	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	17	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	244	18	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	19	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	20	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	21	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	22	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	244	23	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	24	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	25	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	26	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	27	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	28	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	29	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	30	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	244	31	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	32	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	33	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	34	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	35	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	244	36	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	37	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	38	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	39	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	40	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	41	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	42	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	43	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	244	44	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	45	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	46	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	47	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	48	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	244	49	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	50	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	51	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	52	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	53	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	54	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	55	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	56	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	57	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	58	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	59	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	60	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	61	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	244	62	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	63	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	64	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	65	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	66	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	67	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	68	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	69	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	70	0.005	0.005	NUM
cpos-635	244	71	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	72	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	73	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	74	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	244	75	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	76	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	77	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	78	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	79	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	80	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	81	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	82	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	244	83	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	84	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	85	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	86	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	87	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	244	88	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	89	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	90	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	91	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	244	92	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	244	93	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	244	94	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	244	95	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	244	96	0.072	0.072	NUM
cpos-635	244	97	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	244	98	0.050	0.050	NUM
cpos-635	244	99	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	100	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	101	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	244	102	0.060	0.060	NUM
cpos-635	244	103	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	244	104	0.041	0.041	NUM
cpos-635	244	105	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	244	106	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	107	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	108	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	109	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	110	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	111	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	112	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	113	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	114	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	115	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	116	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	117	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	118	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	244	119	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	120	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	121	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	122	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	123	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	124	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	125	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	126	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	127	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	128	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	129	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	130	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	131	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	244	132	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	133	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	134	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	135	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	136	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	137	0.005	0.005	NUM
cpos-635	244	138	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	139	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	140	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	141	0.006	0.006	NUM
cpos-635	244	142	0.005	0.005	NUM
cpos-635	244	143	0.005	0.005	NUM
cpos-635	244	144	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	244	145	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	146	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	147	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	148	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	149	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	150	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	151	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	152	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	153	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	154	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	155	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	156	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	157	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	244	158	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	159	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	160	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	161	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	244	162	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	163	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	164	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	165	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	166	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	167	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	244	168	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	169	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	170	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	244	171	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	172	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	173	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	174	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	244	175	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	244	176	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	177	0.056	0.056	NUM
cpos-635	244	178	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	244	179	0.092	0.092	NUM
cpos-635	244	180	0.055	0.055	NUM
cpos-635	244	181	0.050	0.050	NUM
cpos-635	244	182	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	183	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	184	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	185	0.068	0.068	NUM
cpos-635	244	186	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	187	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	244	188	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	244	189	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	190	0.038	0.038	NUM
cpos-635	244	191	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	192	0.054	0.054	NUM
cpos-635	244	193	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	244	194	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	195	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	196	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	197	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	198	0.042	0.042	NUM
cpos-635	244	199	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	200	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	201	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	244	202	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	203	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	244	204	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	205	0.030	0.030	NUM
cpos-635	244	206	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	244	207	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	208	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	209	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	244	210	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	211	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	244	212	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	213	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	214	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	244	215	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	216	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	217	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	218	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	219	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	220	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	221	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	222	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	223	0.032	0.032	NUM
cpos-635	244	224	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	225	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	226	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	227	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	244	228	0.009	0.009	NUM
cpos-635	244	229	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	230	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	231	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	232	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	233	0.011	0.011	NUM
cpos-635	244	234	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	235	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	236	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	244	237	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	238	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	239	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	240	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	244	241	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	242	0.029	0.029	NUM
cpos-635	244	243	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	244	0.043	0.043	NUM
cpos-635	244	245	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	244	246	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	247	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	248	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	249	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	250	0.033	0.033	NUM
cpos-635	244	251	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	252	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	253	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	244	254	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	255	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	256	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	257	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	244	258	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	244	259	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	244	260	0.100	0.100	NUM
cpos-635	244	261	0.096	0.096	NUM
cpos-635	244	262	0.163	0.163	NUM
cpos-635	244	263	0.098	0.098	NUM
cpos-635	244	264	0.091	0.091	NUM
cpos-635	244	265	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	266	0.073	0.073	NUM
cpos-635	244	267	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	268	0.120	0.120	NUM
cpos-635	244	269	0.037	0.037	NUM
cpos-635	244	270	0.064	0.064	NUM
cpos-635	244	271	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	244	272	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	273	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	244	274	0.028	0.028	NUM
cpos-635	244	275	0.072	0.072	NUM
cpos-635	244	276	0.041	0.041	NUM
cpos-635	244	277	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	278	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	279	0.043	0.043	NUM
cpos-635	244	280	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	281	0.053	0.053	NUM
cpos-635	244	282	0.003	0.003	NUM
cpos-635	244	283	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	284	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	244	285	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	286	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	244	287	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	288	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	244	289	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	244	290	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	291	0.008	0.008	NUM
cpos-635	244	292	0.044	0.044	NUM
cpos-635	244	293	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	244	294	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	244	295	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	296	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	297	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	244	298	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	299	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	300	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	301	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	302	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	303	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	304	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	244	305	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	244	306	0.039	0.039	NUM
cpos-635	244	307	0.012	0.012	NUM
cpos-635	244	308	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	244	309	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	310	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	244	311	0.007	0.007	NUM
cpos-635	244	312	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	313	0.015	0.015	NUM
cpos-635	244	314	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	315	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	316	0.010	0.010	NUM
cpos-635	244	317	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	318	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	319	0.031	0.031	NUM
cpos-635	244	320	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	321	0.018	0.018	NUM
cpos-635	244	322	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	323	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	244	324	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	325	0.039	0.039	NUM
cpos-635	244	326	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	244	327	0.061	0.061	NUM
cpos-635	244	328	0.040	0.040	NUM
cpos-635	244	329	0.030	0.030	NUM
cpos-635	244	330	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	331	0.043	0.043	NUM
cpos-635	244	332	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	333	0.045	0.045	NUM
cpos-635	244	334	0.019	0.019	NUM
cpos-635	244	335	0.024	0.024	NUM
cpos-635	244	336	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	244	337	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	338	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	244	339	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	244	340	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	244	341	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	342	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	343	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	244	344	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	244	345	the	the	DET
cpos-635	244	346	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	244	347	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	348	totd	totd	NOUN
cpos-635	244	349	0.380	0.380	NUM
cpos-635	244	350	0.758	0.758	NUM
cpos-635	244	351	0.658	0.658	NUM
cpos-635	244	352	1.039	1.039	NUM
cpos-635	244	353	0.768	0.768	NUM
cpos-635	244	354	0.590	0.590	NUM
cpos-635	244	355	0.391	0.391	NUM
cpos-635	244	356	0.644	0.644	NUM
cpos-635	244	357	0.500	0.500	NUM
cpos-635	244	358	0.819	0.819	NUM
cpos-635	244	359	0.410	0.410	NUM
cpos-635	244	360	0.488	0.488	NUM
cpos-635	244	361	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	244	362	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	363	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	244	364	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	244	365	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	244	366	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	367	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	368	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	244	369	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	244	370	the	the	DET
cpos-635	244	371	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	244	372	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	373	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	244	374	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	375	0.025	0.025	NUM
cpos-635	244	376	0.022	0.022	NUM
cpos-635	244	377	0.035	0.035	NUM
cpos-635	244	378	0.026	0.026	NUM
cpos-635	244	379	0.020	0.020	NUM
cpos-635	244	380	0.013	0.013	NUM
cpos-635	244	381	0.021	0.021	NUM
cpos-635	244	382	0.017	0.017	NUM
cpos-635	244	383	0.027	0.027	NUM
cpos-635	244	384	0.014	0.014	NUM
cpos-635	244	385	0.016	0.016	NUM
cpos-635	244	386	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	244	387	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	244	388	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	244	389	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	390	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	244	391	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-635	244	392	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	244	393	the	the	DET
cpos-635	244	394	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	244	395	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	244	396	the	the	DET
cpos-635	244	397	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	244	398	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	244	399	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	244	400	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	244	401	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	244	402	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	244	403	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	244	404	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	1	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	245	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	245	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	245	4	reported	report	VERB
cpos-635	245	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	245	6	1-	1-	PROPN
cpos-635	245	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	8	10-	10-	NUM
cpos-635	245	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	10	20-	20-	PROPN
cpos-635	245	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	245	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	245	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	245	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	245	17	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	245	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	245	20	each	each	DET
cpos-635	245	21	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	245	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	245	23	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	245	24	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	245	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	246	1	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	246	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	246	3	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	246	4	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	246	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	246	6	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	246	7	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	246	8	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	246	9	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	246	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	246	11	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	246	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	246	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	246	14	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	246	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	246	16	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	246	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	247	2	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	247	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	247	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	247	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	247	6	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	247	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	247	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	247	9	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	247	10	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	247	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	247	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	247	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	247	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	247	16	•	•	PROPN
cpos-635	247	17	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	247	18	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	247	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	20	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	247	21	wilson110	wilson110	PROPN
cpos-635	247	22	3.2	3.2	NUM
cpos-635	247	23	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	247	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	247	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	247	26	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	247	27	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	247	28	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	247	29	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	247	30	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-635	247	31	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	247	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	247	33	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	247	34	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	247	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	247	36	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	247	37	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	247	38	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	247	39	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	247	40	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	247	41	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	247	42	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	247	43	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	247	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	45	aee(0	aee(0	NOUN
cpos-635	247	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	48	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	247	49	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	247	50	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	247	51	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	247	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	247	53	respectively	respectively	ADV
cpos-635	247	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	248	1	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	248	2	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	248	3	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	248	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	248	5	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	248	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	248	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	248	8	lefthand	lefthand	NOUN
cpos-635	248	9	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	248	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	248	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	248	12	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-635	248	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	249	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	249	2	aee(0	aee(0	NOUN
cpos-635	249	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	249	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	249	5	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	249	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	249	7	each	each	DET
cpos-635	249	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	249	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	249	10	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	249	11	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	249	12	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	249	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	249	14	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	249	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	249	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	249	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	249	18	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	249	19	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	249	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	250	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	250	2	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	250	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	250	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	250	5	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	250	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	250	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	250	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	250	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	250	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	250	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	250	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	250	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	250	14	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	250	15	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	250	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	250	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	250	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	250	19	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	250	20	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	250	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	250	22	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	250	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	250	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	251	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	251	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	251	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	251	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	251	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	251	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	251	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	251	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	251	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	251	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	251	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	251	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	251	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	251	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	251	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	251	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	251	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	251	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	251	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	251	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	251	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	251	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	251	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	251	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	251	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	251	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	1	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	252	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	3	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	252	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	5	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	252	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	252	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	252	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	252	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	252	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	252	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	252	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	252	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	252	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	20	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	252	21	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	252	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	23	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	252	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	252	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	252	27	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	252	28	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	252	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	252	30	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	252	31	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	252	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	252	33	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	252	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	252	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	37	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	252	38	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	252	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	252	40	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	42	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	252	43	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	44	the	the	DET
cpos-635	252	45	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	252	46	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	252	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	252	48	the	the	DET
cpos-635	252	49	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	252	50	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	51	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	252	52	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	54	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	252	55	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	56	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	252	57	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	58	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	252	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	60	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	252	61	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	63	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	252	64	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	65	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	252	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	67	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	252	68	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	69	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	252	70	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	71	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	72	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	252	73	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	74	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	252	75	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	252	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	77	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	252	78	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	79	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	252	80	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	252	81	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	82	s	s	PART
cpos-635	252	83	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	84	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	252	85	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	252	86	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	87	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	252	88	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	252	89	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	252	90	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	252	91	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	253	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	253	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	253	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	253	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	253	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	253	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	253	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	253	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	253	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	253	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	253	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	253	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	254	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	254	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	255	1	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	255	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	255	3	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	255	4	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	255	5	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	255	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	255	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	255	8	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	255	9	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	255	10	all	all	DET
cpos-635	255	11	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	255	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	255	13	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	255	14	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	255	15	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	255	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	255	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	255	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	255	19	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	255	20	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	256	1	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	256	2	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	256	3	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	256	4	0.04	0.04	NUM
cpos-635	256	5	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-635	256	6	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	256	7	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	256	8	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	256	9	0.09	0.09	NUM
cpos-635	256	10	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	256	11	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	256	12	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	256	13	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	256	14	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	256	15	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	256	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	256	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	256	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	19	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	256	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	21	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	256	22	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	256	23	mae	mae	PROPN
cpos-635	256	24	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	256	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	256	27	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-635	256	28	presents	present	NOUN
cpos-635	256	29	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	256	30	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	256	31	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	256	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	256	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	256	34	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	256	35	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	256	36	all	all	DET
cpos-635	256	37	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	256	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	39	maed	maed	NOUN
cpos-635	256	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	42	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	256	43	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	256	44	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	256	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	256	46	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	256	47	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	256	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	256	49	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	256	50	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	256	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	257	1	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	257	2	bars	bar	NOUN
cpos-635	257	3	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-635	257	4	95	95	NUM
cpos-635	257	5	%	%	NOUN
cpos-635	257	6	confidence	confidence	NOUN
cpos-635	257	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	257	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	257	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	257	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	257	11	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	257	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	258	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	258	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	258	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	258	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	258	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	258	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	258	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	258	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	258	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	258	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	258	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	258	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	259	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	259	2	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	259	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	259	4	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	259	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	259	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	259	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	259	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	259	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	259	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	259	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	259	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	259	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	259	14	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	259	15	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	259	16	111	111	NUM
cpos-635	259	17	tab	tab	NOUN
cpos-635	259	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	260	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	260	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	260	3	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	260	4	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	260	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	260	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	260	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	260	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	260	9	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	260	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	260	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	260	12	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	260	13	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	260	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	260	15	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	260	16	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	260	17	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	260	18	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	260	19	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	260	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	260	21	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	260	22	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	260	23	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	260	24	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	260	25	c	c	PROPN
cpos-635	260	26	fdm	fdm	PROPN
cpos-635	260	27	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	260	28	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	260	29	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	260	30	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	260	31	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	261	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	261	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	261	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	261	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	261	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	261	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	261	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	261	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	261	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	261	10	66.08	66.08	NUM
cpos-635	261	11	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	261	12	0.48	0.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	13	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	261	14	0.85	0.85	NUM
cpos-635	261	15	0.58	0.58	NUM
cpos-635	261	16	0.62	0.62	NUM
cpos-635	261	17	0.74	0.74	NUM
cpos-635	261	18	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	261	19	0.70	0.70	NUM
cpos-635	261	20	0.63	0.63	NUM
cpos-635	261	21	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	261	22	0.67	0.67	NUM
cpos-635	261	23	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	261	24	68.04	68.04	NUM
cpos-635	261	25	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	261	26	0.35	0.35	NUM
cpos-635	261	27	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	261	28	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	261	29	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	261	30	0.09	0.09	NUM
cpos-635	261	31	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	261	32	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	261	33	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	261	34	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	261	35	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	261	36	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-635	261	37	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	261	38	68.25	68.25	NUM
cpos-635	261	39	0.58	0.58	NUM
cpos-635	261	40	1.25	1.25	NUM
cpos-635	261	41	1.43	1.43	NUM
cpos-635	261	42	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	261	43	0.35	0.35	NUM
cpos-635	261	44	0.37	0.37	NUM
cpos-635	261	45	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	261	46	0.87	0.87	NUM
cpos-635	261	47	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	261	48	0.62	0.62	NUM
cpos-635	261	49	0.47	0.47	NUM
cpos-635	261	50	0.63	0.63	NUM
cpos-635	261	51	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	261	52	71.30	71.30	NUM
cpos-635	261	53	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	261	54	1.12	1.12	NUM
cpos-635	261	55	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	261	56	0.45	0.45	NUM
cpos-635	261	57	1.16	1.16	NUM
cpos-635	261	58	0.81	0.81	NUM
cpos-635	261	59	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	261	60	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	261	61	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	261	62	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	261	63	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	261	64	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-635	261	65	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	261	66	74.48	74.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	67	0.77	0.77	NUM
cpos-635	261	68	0.45	0.45	NUM
cpos-635	261	69	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	261	70	0.67	0.67	NUM
cpos-635	261	71	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	261	72	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	261	73	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	261	74	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	261	75	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	261	76	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	261	77	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	261	78	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	261	79	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	261	80	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	261	81	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	261	82	0.53	0.53	NUM
cpos-635	261	83	0.50	0.50	NUM
cpos-635	261	84	0.48	0.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	85	0.52	0.52	NUM
cpos-635	261	86	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	261	87	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	261	88	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	261	89	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	261	90	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	261	91	0.35	0.35	NUM
cpos-635	261	92	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	261	93	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	261	94	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	261	95	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	261	96	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	261	97	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	261	98	67.95	67.95	NUM
cpos-635	261	99	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	261	100	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	261	101	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	261	102	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	261	103	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	261	104	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-635	261	105	0.88	0.88	NUM
cpos-635	261	106	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	261	107	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	261	108	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	261	109	0.50	0.50	NUM
cpos-635	261	110	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	261	111	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	261	112	67.43	67.43	NUM
cpos-635	261	113	1.68	1.68	NUM
cpos-635	261	114	2.00	2.00	NUM
cpos-635	261	115	1.81	1.81	NUM
cpos-635	261	116	1.81	1.81	NUM
cpos-635	261	117	1.55	1.55	NUM
cpos-635	261	118	1.59	1.59	NUM
cpos-635	261	119	2.93	2.93	NUM
cpos-635	261	120	1.12	1.12	NUM
cpos-635	261	121	2.18	2.18	NUM
cpos-635	261	122	1.79	1.79	NUM
cpos-635	261	123	2.21	2.21	NUM
cpos-635	261	124	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	261	125	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	261	126	71.09	71.09	NUM
cpos-635	261	127	2.42	2.42	NUM
cpos-635	261	128	3.26	3.26	NUM
cpos-635	261	129	4.23	4.23	NUM
cpos-635	261	130	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-635	261	131	2.38	2.38	NUM
cpos-635	261	132	2.40	2.40	NUM
cpos-635	261	133	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	261	134	3.27	3.27	NUM
cpos-635	261	135	2.66	2.66	NUM
cpos-635	261	136	2.48	2.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	137	2.20	2.20	NUM
cpos-635	261	138	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	261	139	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	261	140	73.98	73.98	NUM
cpos-635	261	141	1.84	1.84	NUM
cpos-635	261	142	0.91	0.91	NUM
cpos-635	261	143	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-635	261	144	2.19	2.19	NUM
cpos-635	261	145	3.10	3.10	NUM
cpos-635	261	146	2.66	2.66	NUM
cpos-635	261	147	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	261	148	2.10	2.10	NUM
cpos-635	261	149	1.79	1.79	NUM
cpos-635	261	150	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	261	151	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	261	152	1.48	1.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	153	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	261	154	76.95	76.95	NUM
cpos-635	261	155	1.15	1.15	NUM
cpos-635	261	156	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	261	157	0.82	0.82	NUM
cpos-635	261	158	1.73	1.73	NUM
cpos-635	261	159	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	261	160	2.16	2.16	NUM
cpos-635	261	161	0.44	0.44	NUM
cpos-635	261	162	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	261	163	1.89	1.89	NUM
cpos-635	261	164	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	261	165	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	261	166	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	261	167	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	261	168	1.43	1.43	NUM
cpos-635	261	169	1.48	1.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	170	1.79	1.79	NUM
cpos-635	261	171	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-635	261	172	1.46	1.46	NUM
cpos-635	261	173	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-635	261	174	1.27	1.27	NUM
cpos-635	261	175	1.87	1.87	NUM
cpos-635	261	176	1.81	1.81	NUM
cpos-635	261	177	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	261	178	1.63	1.63	NUM
cpos-635	261	179	1.52	1.52	NUM
cpos-635	261	180	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	261	181	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	261	182	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	261	183	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	261	184	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	261	185	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	261	186	67.43	67.43	NUM
cpos-635	261	187	1.68	1.68	NUM
cpos-635	261	188	1.61	1.61	NUM
cpos-635	261	189	0.87	0.87	NUM
cpos-635	261	190	2.59	2.59	NUM
cpos-635	261	191	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	261	192	1.79	1.79	NUM
cpos-635	261	193	3.93	3.93	NUM
cpos-635	261	194	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	261	195	2.56	2.56	NUM
cpos-635	261	196	1.96	1.96	NUM
cpos-635	261	197	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	261	198	2.44	2.44	NUM
cpos-635	261	199	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	261	200	71.09	71.09	NUM
cpos-635	261	201	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	261	202	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	261	203	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	261	204	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	261	205	1.19	1.19	NUM
cpos-635	261	206	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	261	207	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	261	208	2.05	2.05	NUM
cpos-635	261	209	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	261	210	0.79	0.79	NUM
cpos-635	261	211	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-635	261	212	0.22	0.22	NUM
cpos-635	261	213	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	261	214	73.98	73.98	NUM
cpos-635	261	215	4.31	4.31	NUM
cpos-635	261	216	5.38	5.38	NUM
cpos-635	261	217	7.09	7.09	NUM
cpos-635	261	218	3.44	3.44	NUM
cpos-635	261	219	4.53	4.53	NUM
cpos-635	261	220	4.55	4.55	NUM
cpos-635	261	221	2.46	2.46	NUM
cpos-635	261	222	5.81	5.81	NUM
cpos-635	261	223	5.19	5.19	NUM
cpos-635	261	224	4.47	4.47	NUM
cpos-635	261	225	4.12	4.12	NUM
cpos-635	261	226	4.20	4.20	NUM
cpos-635	261	227	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	261	228	76.95	76.95	NUM
cpos-635	261	229	3.68	3.68	NUM
cpos-635	261	230	3.29	3.29	NUM
cpos-635	261	231	3.54	3.54	NUM
cpos-635	261	232	3.95	3.95	NUM
cpos-635	261	233	5.38	5.38	NUM
cpos-635	261	234	4.85	4.85	NUM
cpos-635	261	235	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	261	236	4.60	4.60	NUM
cpos-635	261	237	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	261	238	4.23	4.23	NUM
cpos-635	261	239	3.48	3.48	NUM
cpos-635	261	240	3.30	3.30	NUM
cpos-635	261	241	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	261	242	79.80	79.80	NUM
cpos-635	261	243	1.97	1.97	NUM
cpos-635	261	244	3.12	3.12	NUM
cpos-635	261	245	1.76	1.76	NUM
cpos-635	261	246	2.89	2.89	NUM
cpos-635	261	247	0.77	0.77	NUM
cpos-635	261	248	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	261	249	0.86	0.86	NUM
cpos-635	261	250	4.46	4.46	NUM
cpos-635	261	251	3.89	3.89	NUM
cpos-635	261	252	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	261	253	3.04	3.04	NUM
cpos-635	261	254	2.63	2.63	NUM
cpos-635	261	255	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	262	1	2.47	2.47	NUM
cpos-635	262	2	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	262	3	2.88	2.88	NUM
cpos-635	262	4	2.66	2.66	NUM
cpos-635	262	5	2.71	2.71	NUM
cpos-635	262	6	3.26	3.26	NUM
cpos-635	262	7	2.05	2.05	NUM
cpos-635	262	8	3.44	3.44	NUM
cpos-635	262	9	3.25	3.25	NUM
cpos-635	262	10	2.76	2.76	NUM
cpos-635	262	11	1.63	1.63	NUM
cpos-635	262	12	1.52	1.52	NUM
cpos-635	262	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	262	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	262	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	262	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	262	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	262	18	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	262	19	71.09	71.09	NUM
cpos-635	262	20	0.92	0.92	NUM
cpos-635	262	21	1.15	1.15	NUM
cpos-635	262	22	2.17	2.17	NUM
cpos-635	262	23	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	262	24	1.08	1.08	NUM
cpos-635	262	25	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	262	26	3.00	3.00	NUM
cpos-635	262	27	3.10	3.10	NUM
cpos-635	262	28	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	262	29	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	262	30	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	262	31	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	262	32	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	262	33	73.98	73.98	NUM
cpos-635	262	34	2.51	2.51	NUM
cpos-635	262	35	2.96	2.96	NUM
cpos-635	262	36	3.47	3.47	NUM
cpos-635	262	37	2.13	2.13	NUM
cpos-635	262	38	3.35	3.35	NUM
cpos-635	262	39	3.28	3.28	NUM
cpos-635	262	40	1.31	1.31	NUM
cpos-635	262	41	4.63	4.63	NUM
cpos-635	262	42	3.55	3.55	NUM
cpos-635	262	43	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	262	44	2.08	2.08	NUM
cpos-635	262	45	2.13	2.13	NUM
cpos-635	262	46	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	262	47	76.95	76.95	NUM
cpos-635	262	48	6.43	6.43	NUM
cpos-635	262	49	7.70	7.70	NUM
cpos-635	262	50	10.03	10.03	NUM
cpos-635	262	51	5.38	5.38	NUM
cpos-635	262	52	6.90	6.90	NUM
cpos-635	262	53	6.91	6.91	NUM
cpos-635	262	54	3.37	3.37	NUM
cpos-635	262	55	8.56	8.56	NUM
cpos-635	262	56	8.40	8.40	NUM
cpos-635	262	57	6.68	6.68	NUM
cpos-635	262	58	6.40	6.40	NUM
cpos-635	262	59	6.37	6.37	NUM
cpos-635	262	60	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	262	61	79.80	79.80	NUM
cpos-635	262	62	5.47	5.47	NUM
cpos-635	262	63	5.64	5.64	NUM
cpos-635	262	64	5.38	5.38	NUM
cpos-635	262	65	5.72	5.72	NUM
cpos-635	262	66	7.64	7.64	NUM
cpos-635	262	67	7.02	7.02	NUM
cpos-635	262	68	1.72	1.72	NUM
cpos-635	262	69	7.11	7.11	NUM
cpos-635	262	70	6.39	6.39	NUM
cpos-635	262	71	6.38	6.38	NUM
cpos-635	262	72	5.28	5.28	NUM
cpos-635	262	73	5.13	5.13	NUM
cpos-635	262	74	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	262	75	81.62	81.62	NUM
cpos-635	262	76	1.96	1.96	NUM
cpos-635	262	77	4.13	4.13	NUM
cpos-635	262	78	1.83	1.83	NUM
cpos-635	262	79	3.07	3.07	NUM
cpos-635	262	80	0.54	0.54	NUM
cpos-635	262	81	4.87	4.87	NUM
cpos-635	262	82	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	262	83	5.88	5.88	NUM
cpos-635	262	84	5.03	5.03	NUM
cpos-635	262	85	2.73	2.73	NUM
cpos-635	262	86	3.66	3.66	NUM
cpos-635	262	87	3.09	3.09	NUM
cpos-635	262	88	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	262	89	3.46	3.46	NUM
cpos-635	262	90	4.32	4.32	NUM
cpos-635	262	91	4.57	4.57	NUM
cpos-635	262	92	3.26	3.26	NUM
cpos-635	262	93	3.90	3.90	NUM
cpos-635	262	94	4.61	4.61	NUM
cpos-635	262	95	1.90	1.90	NUM
cpos-635	262	96	5.86	5.86	NUM
cpos-635	262	97	4.73	4.73	NUM
cpos-635	262	98	3.87	3.87	NUM
cpos-635	262	99	3.57	3.57	NUM
cpos-635	262	100	3.35	3.35	NUM
cpos-635	262	101	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	262	102	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	262	103	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	262	104	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	262	105	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	262	106	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	262	107	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	262	108	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	262	109	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	262	110	the	the	DET
cpos-635	262	111	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	262	112	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	262	113	tote(0	tote(0	NUM
cpos-635	262	114	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	262	115	55.0	55.0	NUM
cpos-635	262	116	64.1	64.1	NUM
cpos-635	262	117	68.2	68.2	NUM
cpos-635	262	118	59.4	59.4	NUM
cpos-635	262	119	60.2	60.2	NUM
cpos-635	262	120	72.7	72.7	NUM
cpos-635	262	121	43.0	43.0	NUM
cpos-635	262	122	81.4	81.4	NUM
cpos-635	262	123	73.9	73.9	NUM
cpos-635	262	124	60.7	60.7	NUM
cpos-635	262	125	61.4	61.4	NUM
cpos-635	262	126	57.4	57.4	NUM
cpos-635	262	127	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	262	128	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	262	129	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	262	130	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	262	131	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	262	132	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	262	133	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	262	134	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	262	135	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	262	136	the	the	DET
cpos-635	262	137	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	262	138	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	262	139	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	262	140	1.83	1.83	NUM
cpos-635	262	141	2.14	2.14	NUM
cpos-635	262	142	2.27	2.27	NUM
cpos-635	262	143	1.98	1.98	NUM
cpos-635	262	144	2.01	2.01	NUM
cpos-635	262	145	2.42	2.42	NUM
cpos-635	262	146	1.43	1.43	NUM
cpos-635	262	147	2.71	2.71	NUM
cpos-635	262	148	2.46	2.46	NUM
cpos-635	262	149	2.02	2.02	NUM
cpos-635	262	150	2.05	2.05	NUM
cpos-635	262	151	1.91	1.91	NUM
cpos-635	262	152	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	262	153	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	262	154	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	262	155	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	262	156	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	262	157	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	262	158	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	262	159	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	262	160	the	the	DET
cpos-635	262	161	second	second	ADJ
cpos-635	262	162	column	column	NOUN
cpos-635	262	163	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	262	164	the	the	DET
cpos-635	262	165	left	left	NOUN
cpos-635	262	166	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	263	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	263	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	263	3	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	263	4	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	263	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	263	6	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	263	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	263	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	263	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	263	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	263	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	263	12	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	263	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	263	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	263	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	263	16	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	263	17	cell	cell	NOUN
cpos-635	263	18	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	263	19	show	show	VERB
cpos-635	263	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	263	21	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	263	22	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	263	23	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	263	24	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	263	25	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	263	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	263	27	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	263	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	264	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	264	2	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	264	3	rightmost	rightmost	ADJ
cpos-635	264	4	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	264	5	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	264	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	264	7	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	264	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	264	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	264	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	264	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	264	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	264	13	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	264	14	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	264	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	264	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	264	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	264	18	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	264	19	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	264	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	264	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	264	22	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	264	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	264	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	264	25	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	264	26	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	264	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	264	28	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	264	29	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	264	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	264	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	264	32	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	264	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	265	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	265	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	265	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	265	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	265	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	265	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	265	7	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	265	8	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	265	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	265	10	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	265	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	265	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	265	13	each	each	DET
cpos-635	265	14	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	265	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	265	16	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	265	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	265	18	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	265	19	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	265	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	266	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	2	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	266	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	266	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	266	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	6	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	266	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	266	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	9	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	266	10	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	266	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	266	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	266	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	266	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	266	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	266	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	266	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	266	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	266	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	21	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	266	22	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	266	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	266	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	266	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	266	26	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	266	27	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	266	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	266	29	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	266	30	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	266	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	267	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	267	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	267	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	267	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	267	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	267	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	267	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	267	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	267	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	267	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	267	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	267	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	267	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	267	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	267	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	267	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	267	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	267	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	267	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	267	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	267	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	267	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	267	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	267	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	267	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	267	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	268	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	268	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	268	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	268	6	wilson112	wilson112	PROPN
cpos-635	268	7	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	268	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	9	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	268	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	11	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	268	12	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	268	13	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	15	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	268	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	17	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	268	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	19	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	268	20	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	21	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	268	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	268	23	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	268	24	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	268	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	26	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	268	27	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	268	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	29	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	268	30	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	31	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	268	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	268	33	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	268	34	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	268	35	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	268	36	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	268	37	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	268	38	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	268	39	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	268	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	41	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	268	42	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	43	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	268	44	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	268	45	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	268	46	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	48	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	268	49	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	50	the	the	DET
cpos-635	268	51	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	268	52	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	268	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	268	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	268	55	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	268	56	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	57	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	268	58	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	59	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	60	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	268	61	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	62	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	268	63	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	64	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	268	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	66	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	268	67	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	68	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	69	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	268	70	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	71	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	268	72	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	73	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	268	74	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	75	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	268	76	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	77	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	78	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	268	79	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	80	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	268	81	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	268	82	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	83	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	268	84	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	85	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	268	86	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	268	87	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	88	s	s	PART
cpos-635	268	89	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	90	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	268	91	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	268	92	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	93	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	268	94	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	268	95	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	268	96	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	268	97	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	269	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	269	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	269	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	269	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	269	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	269	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	269	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	269	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	269	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	269	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	269	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	269	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	270	1	tab	tab	NOUN
cpos-635	270	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	271	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	271	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	271	3	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	271	4	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	271	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	271	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	271	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	271	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	271	9	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	271	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	271	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	271	12	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	271	13	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	271	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	271	15	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	271	16	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	271	17	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	271	18	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	271	19	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	271	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	271	21	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	271	22	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	271	23	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	271	24	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	271	25	c	c	PROPN
cpos-635	271	26	fdm	fdm	PROPN
cpos-635	271	27	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	271	28	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	271	29	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	271	30	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	271	31	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	272	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	272	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	272	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	272	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	272	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	272	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	272	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	272	10	71.59	71.59	NUM
cpos-635	272	11	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	272	12	0.37	0.37	NUM
cpos-635	272	13	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	272	14	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	15	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	272	16	0.31	0.31	NUM
cpos-635	272	17	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	272	18	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	272	19	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	20	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	272	21	0.29	0.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	22	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	272	23	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	272	24	74.51	74.51	NUM
cpos-635	272	25	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	272	26	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	272	27	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-635	272	28	0.75	0.75	NUM
cpos-635	272	29	0.56	0.56	NUM
cpos-635	272	30	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	272	31	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	32	0.53	0.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	33	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	272	34	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	35	0.29	0.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	36	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	272	37	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	272	38	74.89	74.89	NUM
cpos-635	272	39	0.42	0.42	NUM
cpos-635	272	40	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	272	41	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	272	42	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	272	43	0.61	0.61	NUM
cpos-635	272	44	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	272	45	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	272	46	0.82	0.82	NUM
cpos-635	272	47	0.53	0.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	48	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	272	49	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	272	50	0.45	0.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	51	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	272	52	78.43	78.43	NUM
cpos-635	272	53	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	272	54	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	272	55	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	272	56	0.86	0.86	NUM
cpos-635	272	57	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	272	58	0.22	0.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	59	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	60	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	272	61	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	62	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	63	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	272	64	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	272	65	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	272	66	80.50	80.50	NUM
cpos-635	272	67	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	272	68	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	272	69	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	272	70	0.51	0.51	NUM
cpos-635	272	71	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	72	0.29	0.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	73	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	74	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	75	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	76	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	77	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	78	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	272	79	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	272	80	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	81	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	272	82	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	83	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	272	84	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	272	85	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	86	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	87	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	272	88	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	89	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	272	90	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	272	91	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	272	92	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	272	93	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	94	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	272	95	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	96	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	272	97	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	272	98	74.05	74.05	NUM
cpos-635	272	99	0.92	0.92	NUM
cpos-635	272	100	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	272	101	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	102	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-635	272	103	0.65	0.65	NUM
cpos-635	272	104	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	272	105	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	106	1.72	1.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	107	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	272	108	1.01	1.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	109	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	110	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	272	111	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	272	112	74.17	74.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	113	1.94	1.94	NUM
cpos-635	272	114	1.85	1.85	NUM
cpos-635	272	115	1.77	1.77	NUM
cpos-635	272	116	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	272	117	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	118	1.24	1.24	NUM
cpos-635	272	119	2.48	2.48	NUM
cpos-635	272	120	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	272	121	2.19	2.19	NUM
cpos-635	272	122	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	123	1.95	1.95	NUM
cpos-635	272	124	1.74	1.74	NUM
cpos-635	272	125	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	272	126	78.22	78.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	127	2.28	2.28	NUM
cpos-635	272	128	2.58	2.58	NUM
cpos-635	272	129	2.71	2.71	NUM
cpos-635	272	130	3.29	3.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	131	2.77	2.77	NUM
cpos-635	272	132	2.70	2.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	133	1.45	1.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	134	3.74	3.74	NUM
cpos-635	272	135	2.08	2.08	NUM
cpos-635	272	136	2.88	2.88	NUM
cpos-635	272	137	2.10	2.10	NUM
cpos-635	272	138	2.36	2.36	NUM
cpos-635	272	139	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	272	140	80.15	80.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	141	0.70	0.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	142	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	143	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	272	144	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	272	145	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	146	0.66	0.66	NUM
cpos-635	272	147	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	148	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	272	149	0.37	0.37	NUM
cpos-635	272	150	0.78	0.78	NUM
cpos-635	272	151	0.09	0.09	NUM
cpos-635	272	152	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	272	153	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	272	154	82.27	82.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	155	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	272	156	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	272	157	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	272	158	1.26	1.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	159	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	160	0.79	0.79	NUM
cpos-635	272	161	0.51	0.51	NUM
cpos-635	272	162	1.47	1.47	NUM
cpos-635	272	163	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	272	164	0.53	0.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	165	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	166	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	167	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	272	168	1.27	1.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	169	1.08	1.08	NUM
cpos-635	272	170	1.12	1.12	NUM
cpos-635	272	171	1.77	1.77	NUM
cpos-635	272	172	0.96	0.96	NUM
cpos-635	272	173	1.20	1.20	NUM
cpos-635	272	174	1.06	1.06	NUM
cpos-635	272	175	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	176	0.95	0.95	NUM
cpos-635	272	177	1.27	1.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	178	0.91	0.91	NUM
cpos-635	272	179	1.12	1.12	NUM
cpos-635	272	180	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	272	181	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	182	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	272	183	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	184	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	272	185	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	272	186	74.17	74.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	187	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	272	188	0.65	0.65	NUM
cpos-635	272	189	0.36	0.36	NUM
cpos-635	272	190	0.79	0.79	NUM
cpos-635	272	191	0.59	0.59	NUM
cpos-635	272	192	0.67	0.67	NUM
cpos-635	272	193	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	272	194	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	195	1.46	1.46	NUM
cpos-635	272	196	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	197	1.45	1.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	198	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	272	199	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	272	200	78.22	78.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	201	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	202	0.95	0.95	NUM
cpos-635	272	203	1.04	1.04	NUM
cpos-635	272	204	2.79	2.79	NUM
cpos-635	272	205	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-635	272	206	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-635	272	207	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	272	208	3.24	3.24	NUM
cpos-635	272	209	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	272	210	1.81	1.81	NUM
cpos-635	272	211	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	272	212	0.64	0.64	NUM
cpos-635	272	213	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	272	214	80.15	80.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	215	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	216	3.39	3.39	NUM
cpos-635	272	217	3.45	3.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	218	4.48	4.48	NUM
cpos-635	272	219	3.57	3.57	NUM
cpos-635	272	220	3.45	3.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	221	0.80	0.80	NUM
cpos-635	272	222	5.36	5.36	NUM
cpos-635	272	223	2.55	2.55	NUM
cpos-635	272	224	3.82	3.82	NUM
cpos-635	272	225	2.38	2.38	NUM
cpos-635	272	226	2.90	2.90	NUM
cpos-635	272	227	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	272	228	82.27	82.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	229	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	230	0.96	0.96	NUM
cpos-635	272	231	0.86	0.86	NUM
cpos-635	272	232	3.49	3.49	NUM
cpos-635	272	233	0.52	0.52	NUM
cpos-635	272	234	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-635	272	235	1.32	1.32	NUM
cpos-635	272	236	2.95	2.95	NUM
cpos-635	272	237	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	272	238	1.75	1.75	NUM
cpos-635	272	239	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	240	1.17	1.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	241	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	272	242	84.20	84.20	NUM
cpos-635	272	243	0.50	0.50	NUM
cpos-635	272	244	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	245	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	272	246	1.90	1.90	NUM
cpos-635	272	247	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	248	1.42	1.42	NUM
cpos-635	272	249	1.30	1.30	NUM
cpos-635	272	250	3.02	3.02	NUM
cpos-635	272	251	0.52	0.52	NUM
cpos-635	272	252	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	272	253	0.37	0.37	NUM
cpos-635	272	254	0.70	0.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	255	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	272	256	1.01	1.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	257	1.42	1.42	NUM
cpos-635	272	258	1.18	1.18	NUM
cpos-635	272	259	2.69	2.69	NUM
cpos-635	272	260	1.32	1.32	NUM
cpos-635	272	261	1.71	1.71	NUM
cpos-635	272	262	1.39	1.39	NUM
cpos-635	272	263	3.22	3.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	264	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	272	265	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	266	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	272	267	1.22	1.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	268	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	272	269	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	270	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	272	271	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	272	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	272	273	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	272	274	78.22	78.22	NUM
cpos-635	272	275	2.85	2.85	NUM
cpos-635	272	276	2.31	2.31	NUM
cpos-635	272	277	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	278	3.92	3.92	NUM
cpos-635	272	279	2.37	2.37	NUM
cpos-635	272	280	2.26	2.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	281	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	282	5.47	5.47	NUM
cpos-635	272	283	1.67	1.67	NUM
cpos-635	272	284	2.88	2.88	NUM
cpos-635	272	285	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	272	286	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	272	287	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	272	288	80.15	80.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	289	0.29	0.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	290	1.83	1.83	NUM
cpos-635	272	291	1.91	1.91	NUM
cpos-635	272	292	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	272	293	2.51	2.51	NUM
cpos-635	272	294	2.32	2.32	NUM
cpos-635	272	295	2.37	2.37	NUM
cpos-635	272	296	4.93	4.93	NUM
cpos-635	272	297	0.61	0.61	NUM
cpos-635	272	298	2.80	2.80	NUM
cpos-635	272	299	0.45	0.45	NUM
cpos-635	272	300	1.17	1.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	301	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	272	302	82.27	82.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	303	3.47	3.47	NUM
cpos-635	272	304	4.53	4.53	NUM
cpos-635	272	305	4.49	4.49	NUM
cpos-635	272	306	5.94	5.94	NUM
cpos-635	272	307	4.70	4.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	308	4.54	4.54	NUM
cpos-635	272	309	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	272	310	7.30	7.30	NUM
cpos-635	272	311	4.50	4.50	NUM
cpos-635	272	312	5.07	5.07	NUM
cpos-635	272	313	3.33	3.33	NUM
cpos-635	272	314	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	272	315	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	272	316	84.20	84.20	NUM
cpos-635	272	317	2.25	2.25	NUM
cpos-635	272	318	1.84	1.84	NUM
cpos-635	272	319	1.30	1.30	NUM
cpos-635	272	320	4.74	4.74	NUM
cpos-635	272	321	0.80	0.80	NUM
cpos-635	272	322	2.26	2.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	323	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	272	324	4.61	4.61	NUM
cpos-635	272	325	1.48	1.48	NUM
cpos-635	272	326	2.62	2.62	NUM
cpos-635	272	327	0.90	0.90	NUM
cpos-635	272	328	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	272	329	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	272	330	85.69	85.69	NUM
cpos-635	272	331	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	272	332	1.57	1.57	NUM
cpos-635	272	333	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	272	334	2.14	2.14	NUM
cpos-635	272	335	0.67	0.67	NUM
cpos-635	272	336	1.72	1.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	337	2.70	2.70	NUM
cpos-635	272	338	4.25	4.25	NUM
cpos-635	272	339	1.67	1.67	NUM
cpos-635	272	340	1.11	1.11	NUM
cpos-635	272	341	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	272	342	0.92	0.92	NUM
cpos-635	272	343	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	272	344	1.82	1.82	NUM
cpos-635	272	345	2.42	2.42	NUM
cpos-635	272	346	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	272	347	4.15	4.15	NUM
cpos-635	272	348	2.21	2.21	NUM
cpos-635	272	349	2.62	2.62	NUM
cpos-635	272	350	1.72	1.72	NUM
cpos-635	272	351	5.31	5.31	NUM
cpos-635	272	352	1.99	1.99	NUM
cpos-635	272	353	2.90	2.90	NUM
cpos-635	272	354	1.27	1.27	NUM
cpos-635	272	355	2.05	2.05	NUM
cpos-635	272	356	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	272	357	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	358	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	272	359	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	272	360	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	272	361	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	272	362	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	363	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	272	364	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	272	365	the	the	DET
cpos-635	272	366	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	272	367	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	272	368	tot	tot	VERB
cpos-635	272	369	31.4	31.4	NUM
cpos-635	272	370	35.2	35.2	NUM
cpos-635	272	371	32.0	32.0	NUM
cpos-635	272	372	67.5	67.5	NUM
cpos-635	272	373	32.0	32.0	NUM
cpos-635	272	374	38.8	38.8	NUM
cpos-635	272	375	33.9	33.9	NUM
cpos-635	272	376	76.8	76.8	NUM
cpos-635	272	377	26.6	26.6	NUM
cpos-635	272	378	42.5	42.5	NUM
cpos-635	272	379	22.2	22.2	NUM
cpos-635	272	380	30.3	30.3	NUM
cpos-635	272	381	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	272	382	1.05	1.05	NUM
cpos-635	272	383	1.17	1.17	NUM
cpos-635	272	384	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	272	385	2.25	2.25	NUM
cpos-635	272	386	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	272	387	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	272	388	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	272	389	2.56	2.56	NUM
cpos-635	272	390	0.89	0.89	NUM
cpos-635	272	391	1.42	1.42	NUM
cpos-635	272	392	0.74	0.74	NUM
cpos-635	272	393	1.01	1.01	NUM
cpos-635	272	394	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	272	395	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	272	396	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	272	397	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	272	398	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	272	399	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	272	400	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	272	401	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	272	402	the	the	DET
cpos-635	272	403	second	second	ADJ
cpos-635	272	404	column	column	NOUN
cpos-635	272	405	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	272	406	the	the	DET
cpos-635	272	407	left	left	NOUN
cpos-635	272	408	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	273	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	273	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	273	3	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	273	4	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	273	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	273	6	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	273	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	273	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	273	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	273	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	273	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	273	12	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	273	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	273	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	273	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	273	16	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	273	17	cell	cell	NOUN
cpos-635	273	18	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	273	19	show	show	VERB
cpos-635	273	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	273	21	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	273	22	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	273	23	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	273	24	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	273	25	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	273	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	273	27	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	273	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	274	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	274	2	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	274	3	rightmost	rightmost	ADJ
cpos-635	274	4	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	274	5	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	274	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	274	7	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	274	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	274	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	274	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	274	11	a	a	DET
cpos-635	274	12	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	274	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	274	14	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	274	15	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	274	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	274	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	274	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	274	19	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	274	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	274	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	274	22	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	274	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	274	24	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	274	25	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	274	26	113	113	NUM
cpos-635	274	27	standout	standout	NOUN
cpos-635	274	28	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	274	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	274	30	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	274	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	274	32	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	274	33	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	274	34	evident	evident	ADJ
cpos-635	274	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	274	36	the	the	DET
cpos-635	274	37	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	274	38	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	274	39	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	274	40	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	274	41	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	274	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	275	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	275	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	275	3	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	275	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	275	5	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	275	6	metric	metric	ADJ
cpos-635	275	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	275	8	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	275	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	275	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	275	11	second	second	ADV
cpos-635	275	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	275	13	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	275	14	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	275	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	275	16	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	275	17	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	275	18	performs	perform	VERB
cpos-635	275	19	reasonably	reasonably	ADV
cpos-635	275	20	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	275	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	276	1	conversely	conversely	ADV
cpos-635	276	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	276	3	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	276	4	performs	perform	VERB
cpos-635	276	5	poorly	poorly	ADV
cpos-635	276	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	277	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	277	2	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	277	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	277	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	277	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	277	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	277	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	277	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	277	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	277	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	277	11	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	277	12	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	277	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	277	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	277	15	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	277	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	277	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	277	18	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	277	19	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	277	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	277	21	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	277	22	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	277	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	277	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	277	25	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	277	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	278	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	278	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	278	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	278	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	278	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	278	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	278	7	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	278	8	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	278	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	278	10	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	278	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	278	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	278	13	each	each	DET
cpos-635	278	14	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	278	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	278	16	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	278	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	278	18	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	278	19	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	278	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	279	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	2	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	279	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	279	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	279	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	6	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	279	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	279	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	9	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	279	10	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	279	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	279	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	279	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	279	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	279	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	279	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	279	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	279	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	279	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	21	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	279	22	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	279	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	279	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	279	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	279	26	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	279	27	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	279	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	279	29	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	279	30	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	279	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	280	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	280	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	280	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	280	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	280	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	280	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	280	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	280	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	280	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	280	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	280	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	280	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	280	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	280	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	280	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	280	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	280	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	280	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	280	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	280	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	280	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	280	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	280	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	280	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	280	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	280	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	1	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	281	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	3	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	281	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	5	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	281	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	281	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	281	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	281	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	281	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	281	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	281	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	281	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	281	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	20	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	281	21	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	281	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	23	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	281	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	281	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	281	27	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	281	28	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	281	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	281	30	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	281	31	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	281	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	281	33	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	281	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	281	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	37	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	281	38	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	281	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	281	40	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	42	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	281	43	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	44	the	the	DET
cpos-635	281	45	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	281	46	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	281	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	281	48	the	the	DET
cpos-635	281	49	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	281	50	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	51	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	281	52	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	54	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	281	55	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	56	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	281	57	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	58	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	281	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	60	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	281	61	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	63	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	281	64	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	65	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	281	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	67	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	281	68	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	69	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	281	70	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	71	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	72	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	281	73	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	74	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	281	75	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	281	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	77	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	281	78	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	79	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	281	80	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	281	81	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	82	s	s	PART
cpos-635	281	83	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	84	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	281	85	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	281	86	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	87	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	281	88	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	281	89	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	281	90	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	281	91	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	282	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	282	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	282	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	282	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	282	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	282	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	282	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	282	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	282	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	282	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	282	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	282	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	283	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	283	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	284	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	3	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	284	4	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	284	5	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	284	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	284	7	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	284	8	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	284	9	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	284	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	284	11	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	284	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	13	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	284	14	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	284	15	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	284	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	284	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	284	19	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	284	20	0.00	0.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	21	0.50	0.50	NUM
cpos-635	284	22	1.00	1.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	23	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-635	284	24	2.00	2.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	25	2.50	2.50	NUM
cpos-635	284	26	3.00	3.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	27	3.50	3.50	NUM
cpos-635	284	28	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	29	4.50	4.50	NUM
cpos-635	284	30	5.00	5.00	NUM
cpos-635	284	31	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	284	32	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	284	33	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	284	34	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	284	35	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	284	36	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	284	37	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	284	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	39	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	284	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	41	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	284	42	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	284	43	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	284	44	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	284	45	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	46	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	284	47	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	48	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	284	49	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	50	this	this	DET
cpos-635	284	51	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-635	284	52	visualises	visualise	VERB
cpos-635	284	53	the	the	DET
cpos-635	284	54	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	284	55	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	284	56	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	284	57	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	284	58	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	284	59	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	284	60	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	284	61	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	284	62	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	284	63	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	64	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	284	65	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	284	66	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	284	67	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	284	68	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	284	69	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	284	70	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	284	71	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	284	72	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	284	73	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	284	74	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	285	1	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	285	2	bars	bar	NOUN
cpos-635	285	3	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-635	285	4	95	95	NUM
cpos-635	285	5	%	%	NOUN
cpos-635	285	6	confidence	confidence	NOUN
cpos-635	285	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	285	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	285	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	285	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	285	11	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	285	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	286	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	286	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	286	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	286	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	286	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	286	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	286	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	286	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	286	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	286	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	286	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	286	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	287	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	287	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	287	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	287	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	287	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	287	6	wilson114	wilson114	PROPN
cpos-635	287	7	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	287	8	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	287	9	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	287	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	287	11	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	287	12	metric	metric	ADJ
cpos-635	287	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	287	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	287	15	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	287	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	287	17	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	287	18	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	287	19	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	287	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	287	21	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	287	22	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	287	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	287	24	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	287	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	287	26	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	287	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	287	28	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	287	29	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	287	30	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	287	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	287	32	worst	bad	ADJ
cpos-635	287	33	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	287	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	288	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	288	2	aee(0	aee(0	NOUN
cpos-635	288	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	288	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	288	5	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	288	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	288	7	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	288	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	288	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	288	10	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	288	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	288	12	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	288	13	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-635	288	14	variance	variance	NOUN
cpos-635	288	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	288	16	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	288	17	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	288	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	288	19	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	288	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	289	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	289	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	289	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	1	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	290	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	290	3	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	290	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	290	5	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	290	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	7	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	290	8	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	290	11	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	290	12	aee(0	aee(0	NOUN
cpos-635	290	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	290	15	a	a	DET
cpos-635	290	16	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	290	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	18	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	290	20	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	290	21	increases	increase	VERB
cpos-635	290	22	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	290	23	1.60	1.60	NUM
cpos-635	290	24	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	290	26	a	a	DET
cpos-635	290	27	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	290	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	29	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	290	31	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	290	32	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	290	33	3.95	3.95	NUM
cpos-635	290	34	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	290	36	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	290	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	290	38	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	290	39	1.20	1.20	NUM
cpos-635	290	40	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	41	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	290	42	a	a	DET
cpos-635	290	43	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	290	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	45	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	46	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	290	47	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	290	48	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	290	49	2.55	2.55	NUM
cpos-635	290	50	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	51	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	290	52	a	a	DET
cpos-635	290	53	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	290	54	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	290	55	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	290	56	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	290	57	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	291	1	3.3	3.3	NUM
cpos-635	291	2	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	291	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	291	4	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	291	5	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	291	6	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	291	7	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	291	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	291	9	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	291	10	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-635	291	11	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	291	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	291	13	6	6	NUM
cpos-635	291	14	present	present	ADJ
cpos-635	291	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	291	16	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	291	17	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	291	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	291	19	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	291	20	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	291	21	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	291	22	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	291	23	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	291	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	291	25	aee(65	aee(65	PROPN
cpos-635	291	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	291	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	291	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	291	29	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	291	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	291	31	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	291	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	1	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	292	2	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	292	3	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	292	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	292	5	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	292	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	292	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	292	8	lefthand	lefthand	NOUN
cpos-635	292	9	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	292	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	292	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	292	13	aee(65	aee(65	PROPN
cpos-635	292	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	292	16	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	292	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	292	18	each	each	DET
cpos-635	292	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	292	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	21	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	292	22	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	292	23	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	292	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	25	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	292	26	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	292	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	292	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	292	29	each	each	DET
cpos-635	292	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	292	31	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	292	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	293	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	293	3	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	293	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	293	5	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	293	6	metric	metric	ADJ
cpos-635	293	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	8	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	293	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	10	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	293	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	12	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	293	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	293	15	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	293	16	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	293	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	293	18	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	293	19	performing	performing	NOUN
cpos-635	293	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	293	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	293	22	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	293	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	24	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	293	25	the	the	DET
cpos-635	293	26	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	293	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	28	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	293	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	30	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	293	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	293	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	293	33	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	293	34	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	293	35	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	293	36	the	the	DET
cpos-635	293	37	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	293	38	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	293	39	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	293	40	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	293	41	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	293	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	294	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	294	2	aee(65	aee(65	PROPN
cpos-635	294	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	294	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	294	5	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	294	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	294	7	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	294	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	294	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	294	10	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	294	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	294	12	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	294	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	295	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	295	2	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	295	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	296	2	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	296	3	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	296	4	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	296	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	296	6	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	296	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	296	8	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	296	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	10	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	296	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	12	increases	increase	NOUN
cpos-635	296	13	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	296	14	0.98	0.98	NUM
cpos-635	296	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	296	18	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	296	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	296	22	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	296	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	296	24	3.16	3.16	NUM
cpos-635	296	25	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	27	a	a	DET
cpos-635	296	28	30year	30year	NUM
cpos-635	296	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	296	30	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	296	31	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	32	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	296	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	296	35	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	296	36	0.85	0.85	NUM
cpos-635	296	37	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	38	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	39	a	a	DET
cpos-635	296	40	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	296	41	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	42	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	43	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	296	44	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	296	45	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	296	46	2.21	2.21	NUM
cpos-635	296	47	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	48	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	49	a	a	DET
cpos-635	296	50	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	296	51	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	296	52	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	296	53	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	296	54	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	296	55	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	296	56	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	297	1	3.4	3.4	NUM
cpos-635	297	2	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	297	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	297	4	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	297	5	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	297	6	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	297	7	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	297	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	297	9	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	297	10	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	297	11	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	297	12	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	297	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	297	14	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	297	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	297	16	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	297	17	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	297	18	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	297	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	297	20	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	297	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	297	22	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	297	23	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	297	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	297	25	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	297	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	297	27	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	297	28	7	7	NUM
cpos-635	297	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	298	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	2	totm	totm	ADJ
cpos-635	298	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	298	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	298	5	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	298	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	298	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	8	bottom	bottom	NOUN
cpos-635	298	9	row	row	NOUN
cpos-635	298	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	298	11	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	298	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	13	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	298	14	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	298	15	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	298	16	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	298	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	18	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	298	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	298	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	298	21	number	number	NOUN
cpos-635	298	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	298	23	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	298	24	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	298	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	298	26	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	298	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	298	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	29	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	298	30	cells	cell	NOUN
cpos-635	298	31	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	298	32	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	298	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	298	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	298	35	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	298	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	299	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	299	2	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	299	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	299	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	299	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	299	6	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	299	7	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	299	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	299	9	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	299	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	299	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	299	12	20and	20and	ADJ
cpos-635	299	13	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	299	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	299	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	299	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	299	17	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	299	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	300	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	300	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	300	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	300	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	300	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	300	6	second	second	ADJ
cpos-635	300	7	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	300	8	performer	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	300	9	according	accord	VERB
cpos-635	300	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	300	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	300	12	totm	totm	ADJ
cpos-635	300	13	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	300	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	301	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	301	3	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	301	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	301	5	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	301	6	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	301	7	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	301	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	301	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	301	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	301	11	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	301	12	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	301	13	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	301	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	301	15	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	301	16	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	301	17	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	301	18	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	301	19	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	301	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	301	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	301	22	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	301	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	24	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	301	25	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	301	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	27	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	301	28	find	find	VERB
cpos-635	301	29	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	301	30	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	301	31	increases	increase	VERB
cpos-635	301	32	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	301	33	1.7	1.7	NUM
cpos-635	301	34	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	301	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	301	36	a	a	DET
cpos-635	301	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	301	38	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	301	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	301	40	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	301	41	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	301	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	43	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	301	44	8.4	8.4	NUM
cpos-635	301	45	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	301	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	301	47	a	a	DET
cpos-635	301	48	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	301	49	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	50	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	301	51	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	301	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	53	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	301	54	12.8	12.8	NUM
cpos-635	301	55	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	301	56	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	301	57	a	a	DET
cpos-635	301	58	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	301	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	60	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	301	61	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	301	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	301	64	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	301	65	17.7	17.7	NUM
cpos-635	301	66	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	301	67	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	301	68	a	a	DET
cpos-635	301	69	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	301	70	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	301	71	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	301	72	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	301	73	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	302	1	3.5	3.5	NUM
cpos-635	302	2	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	302	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	302	4	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	302	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	302	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	302	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	302	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	302	9	asdrs	asdr	VERB
cpos-635	302	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	302	11	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	302	12	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	302	13	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	302	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	302	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	302	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	302	17	asdrs	asdr	VERB
cpos-635	302	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	302	19	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	302	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	302	21	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	302	22	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	302	23	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	302	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	302	25	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	302	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	302	27	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	302	28	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	302	29	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	302	30	reported	report	VERB
cpos-635	302	31	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	302	32	appendices	appendix	NOUN
cpos-635	302	33	b1	b1	NOUN
cpos-635	302	34	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	302	35	b6	b6	NOUN
cpos-635	302	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	1	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	303	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	303	4	average	average	NOUN
cpos-635	303	5	represents	represent	VERB
cpos-635	303	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	303	7	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	303	8	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	303	9	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	303	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	303	11	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	303	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	303	13	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	303	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	303	15	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	303	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	17	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	303	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	303	19	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	303	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	21	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	303	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	23	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	303	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	25	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	303	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	303	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	303	28	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	303	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	304	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	304	2	each	each	DET
cpos-635	304	3	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	304	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	304	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	304	6	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	304	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	304	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	304	9	bolded	bolde	VERB
cpos-635	304	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	304	11	each	each	DET
cpos-635	304	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	304	13	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	304	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	304	15	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	304	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	304	17	worst	bad	ADJ
cpos-635	304	18	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	304	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	304	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	304	21	shown	show	VERB
cpos-635	304	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	304	23	red	red	PROPN
cpos-635	304	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	305	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	305	2	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	305	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	305	4	does	do	AUX
cpos-635	305	5	not	not	PART
cpos-635	305	6	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	305	7	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	305	8	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	305	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	305	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	305	11	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-635	305	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	305	13	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	305	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	305	15	has	have	VERB
cpos-635	305	16	few	few	ADJ
cpos-635	305	17	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	305	18	performances	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	305	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	305	20	any	any	DET
cpos-635	305	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	305	22	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	305	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	305	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	305	25	10and	10and	ADJ
cpos-635	305	26	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	305	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	305	28	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	305	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	305	30	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	305	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	306	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	306	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	306	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	306	4	performs	perform	VERB
cpos-635	306	5	very	very	ADV
cpos-635	306	6	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	306	7	relative	relative	ADJ
cpos-635	306	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	306	9	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	306	10	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	306	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	306	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	306	13	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	306	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	306	15	above	above	ADV
cpos-635	306	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	306	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	306	18	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	306	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	306	20	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	306	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	306	22	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	306	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	307	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	307	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	307	4	performs	perform	VERB
cpos-635	307	5	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	307	6	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	307	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	307	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	307	9	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	307	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	307	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	307	12	10-	10-	PROPN
cpos-635	307	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	14	20-	20-	PROPN
cpos-635	307	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	307	17	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	307	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	19	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	307	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	307	21	a	a	DET
cpos-635	307	22	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	307	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	24	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	307	25	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	307	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	307	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	307	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	307	29	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	307	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	307	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	307	32	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	307	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	307	34	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	307	35	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	307	36	115	115	NUM
cpos-635	307	37	tab	tab	NOUN
cpos-635	307	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	308	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	308	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	308	3	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	308	4	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	308	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	308	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	308	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	308	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	308	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	308	10	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	308	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	308	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	308	13	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	308	14	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	308	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	308	16	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	308	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	308	18	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	308	19	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	308	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	308	21	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	308	22	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	308	23	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	308	24	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	308	25	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	308	26	c	c	PROPN
cpos-635	308	27	fdm	fdm	PROPN
cpos-635	308	28	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	308	29	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	308	30	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	308	31	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	308	32	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	309	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	309	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	309	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	309	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	309	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	309	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	309	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	309	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	309	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	309	10	12.10	12.10	NUM
cpos-635	309	11	0.22	0.22	NUM
cpos-635	309	12	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	309	13	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	309	14	0.31	0.31	NUM
cpos-635	309	15	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	309	16	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	309	17	0.04	0.04	NUM
cpos-635	309	18	1.24	1.24	NUM
cpos-635	309	19	0.10	0.10	NUM
cpos-635	309	20	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	309	21	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	309	22	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	309	23	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	309	24	12.60	12.60	NUM
cpos-635	309	25	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	309	26	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	309	27	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	309	28	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	309	29	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	309	30	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	309	31	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	309	32	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	309	33	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	309	34	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	309	35	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	309	36	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	309	37	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	309	38	12.47	12.47	NUM
cpos-635	309	39	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	309	40	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	309	41	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	309	42	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	309	43	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	309	44	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	309	45	0.61	0.61	NUM
cpos-635	309	46	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	309	47	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	309	48	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	309	49	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	309	50	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	309	51	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	309	52	13.84	13.84	NUM
cpos-635	309	53	0.04	0.04	NUM
cpos-635	309	54	0.78	0.78	NUM
cpos-635	309	55	0.04	0.04	NUM
cpos-635	309	56	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	309	57	1.10	1.10	NUM
cpos-635	309	58	0.85	0.85	NUM
cpos-635	309	59	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	309	60	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	309	61	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	309	62	0.70	0.70	NUM
cpos-635	309	63	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	309	64	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	309	65	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	309	66	15.45	15.45	NUM
cpos-635	309	67	0.47	0.47	NUM
cpos-635	309	68	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	309	69	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	309	70	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	309	71	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	309	72	0.83	0.83	NUM
cpos-635	309	73	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	309	74	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	309	75	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	309	76	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	309	77	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	309	78	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	309	79	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	310	1	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	310	2	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	310	3	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	310	4	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	5	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	310	6	0.46	0.46	NUM
cpos-635	310	7	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	310	8	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	310	9	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	310	10	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	310	11	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	310	12	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	310	13	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	310	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	15	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	310	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	17	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	310	18	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	310	19	12.51	12.51	NUM
cpos-635	310	20	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	21	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	310	22	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	310	23	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	310	24	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	310	25	0.21	0.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	26	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	310	27	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	310	28	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	310	29	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	310	30	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	310	31	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	310	32	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	310	33	11.98	11.98	NUM
cpos-635	310	34	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	310	35	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	310	36	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	310	37	0.56	0.56	NUM
cpos-635	310	38	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	310	39	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	310	40	1.02	1.02	NUM
cpos-635	310	41	0.67	0.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	42	1.15	1.15	NUM
cpos-635	310	43	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	310	44	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	310	45	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	310	46	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	310	47	13.76	13.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	48	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-635	310	49	1.46	1.46	NUM
cpos-635	310	50	1.41	1.41	NUM
cpos-635	310	51	1.10	1.10	NUM
cpos-635	310	52	1.48	1.48	NUM
cpos-635	310	53	1.49	1.49	NUM
cpos-635	310	54	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	55	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-635	310	56	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	310	57	1.35	1.35	NUM
cpos-635	310	58	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	310	59	1.30	1.30	NUM
cpos-635	310	60	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	310	61	15.22	15.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	62	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	310	63	2.03	2.03	NUM
cpos-635	310	64	0.91	0.91	NUM
cpos-635	310	65	1.41	1.41	NUM
cpos-635	310	66	2.39	2.39	NUM
cpos-635	310	67	2.06	2.06	NUM
cpos-635	310	68	0.64	0.64	NUM
cpos-635	310	69	1.37	1.37	NUM
cpos-635	310	70	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	310	71	1.96	1.96	NUM
cpos-635	310	72	1.25	1.25	NUM
cpos-635	310	73	1.22	1.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	74	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	310	75	17.05	17.05	NUM
cpos-635	310	76	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	310	77	1.96	1.96	NUM
cpos-635	310	78	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	310	79	1.15	1.15	NUM
cpos-635	310	80	0.42	0.42	NUM
cpos-635	310	81	2.00	2.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	82	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	310	83	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-635	310	84	1.75	1.75	NUM
cpos-635	310	85	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	86	1.51	1.51	NUM
cpos-635	310	87	1.33	1.33	NUM
cpos-635	310	88	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	310	89	0.85	0.85	NUM
cpos-635	310	90	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	91	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	310	92	0.87	0.87	NUM
cpos-635	310	93	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	310	94	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	310	95	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	310	96	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	310	97	1.04	1.04	NUM
cpos-635	310	98	1.01	1.01	NUM
cpos-635	310	99	1.00	1.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	100	0.94	0.94	NUM
cpos-635	310	101	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	310	102	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	103	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	310	104	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	105	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	310	106	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	310	107	11.98	11.98	NUM
cpos-635	310	108	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	310	109	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	310	110	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-635	310	111	0.77	0.77	NUM
cpos-635	310	112	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	310	113	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	310	114	1.58	1.58	NUM
cpos-635	310	115	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	310	116	0.85	0.85	NUM
cpos-635	310	117	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	310	118	0.90	0.90	NUM
cpos-635	310	119	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	120	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	310	121	13.76	13.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	122	1.00	1.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	123	1.45	1.45	NUM
cpos-635	310	124	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-635	310	125	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	310	126	1.44	1.44	NUM
cpos-635	310	127	1.39	1.39	NUM
cpos-635	310	128	0.66	0.66	NUM
cpos-635	310	129	1.87	1.87	NUM
cpos-635	310	130	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	310	131	1.28	1.28	NUM
cpos-635	310	132	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	310	133	0.52	0.52	NUM
cpos-635	310	134	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	310	135	15.22	15.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	136	2.90	2.90	NUM
cpos-635	310	137	2.94	2.94	NUM
cpos-635	310	138	2.87	2.87	NUM
cpos-635	310	139	2.29	2.29	NUM
cpos-635	310	140	2.97	2.97	NUM
cpos-635	310	141	2.97	2.97	NUM
cpos-635	310	142	1.63	1.63	NUM
cpos-635	310	143	3.84	3.84	NUM
cpos-635	310	144	2.22	2.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	145	2.74	2.74	NUM
cpos-635	310	146	2.29	2.29	NUM
cpos-635	310	147	2.41	2.41	NUM
cpos-635	310	148	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	310	149	17.05	17.05	NUM
cpos-635	310	150	2.26	2.26	NUM
cpos-635	310	151	3.72	3.72	NUM
cpos-635	310	152	2.18	2.18	NUM
cpos-635	310	153	2.85	2.85	NUM
cpos-635	310	154	4.13	4.13	NUM
cpos-635	310	155	3.70	3.70	NUM
cpos-635	310	156	1.33	1.33	NUM
cpos-635	310	157	3.64	3.64	NUM
cpos-635	310	158	2.67	2.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	159	3.59	3.59	NUM
cpos-635	310	160	2.63	2.63	NUM
cpos-635	310	161	2.61	2.61	NUM
cpos-635	310	162	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	310	163	19.01	19.01	NUM
cpos-635	310	164	1.80	1.80	NUM
cpos-635	310	165	3.52	3.52	NUM
cpos-635	310	166	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-635	310	167	2.16	2.16	NUM
cpos-635	310	168	0.99	0.99	NUM
cpos-635	310	169	3.49	3.49	NUM
cpos-635	310	170	1.03	1.03	NUM
cpos-635	310	171	3.87	3.87	NUM
cpos-635	310	172	3.59	3.59	NUM
cpos-635	310	173	2.29	2.29	NUM
cpos-635	310	174	2.82	2.82	NUM
cpos-635	310	175	2.51	2.51	NUM
cpos-635	310	176	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	310	177	1.67	1.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	178	2.38	2.38	NUM
cpos-635	310	179	1.64	1.64	NUM
cpos-635	310	180	1.80	1.80	NUM
cpos-635	310	181	1.96	1.96	NUM
cpos-635	310	182	2.37	2.37	NUM
cpos-635	310	183	1.25	1.25	NUM
cpos-635	310	184	2.79	2.79	NUM
cpos-635	310	185	1.93	1.93	NUM
cpos-635	310	186	2.07	2.07	NUM
cpos-635	310	187	1.76	1.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	188	1.76	1.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	189	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	310	190	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	191	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	310	192	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	193	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	310	194	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	310	195	13.76	13.76	NUM
cpos-635	310	196	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	310	197	1.55	1.55	NUM
cpos-635	310	198	1.83	1.83	NUM
cpos-635	310	199	0.90	0.90	NUM
cpos-635	310	200	1.55	1.55	NUM
cpos-635	310	201	1.49	1.49	NUM
cpos-635	310	202	1.59	1.59	NUM
cpos-635	310	203	3.37	3.37	NUM
cpos-635	310	204	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	310	205	1.34	1.34	NUM
cpos-635	310	206	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	310	207	0.54	0.54	NUM
cpos-635	310	208	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	310	209	15.22	15.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	210	2.22	2.22	NUM
cpos-635	310	211	2.93	2.93	NUM
cpos-635	310	212	3.07	3.07	NUM
cpos-635	310	213	2.13	2.13	NUM
cpos-635	310	214	2.92	2.92	NUM
cpos-635	310	215	2.84	2.84	NUM
cpos-635	310	216	0.89	0.89	NUM
cpos-635	310	217	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	218	0.70	0.70	NUM
cpos-635	310	219	2.67	2.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	220	1.05	1.05	NUM
cpos-635	310	221	1.55	1.55	NUM
cpos-635	310	222	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	310	223	17.05	17.05	NUM
cpos-635	310	224	4.58	4.58	NUM
cpos-635	310	225	4.79	4.79	NUM
cpos-635	310	226	4.70	4.70	NUM
cpos-635	310	227	3.87	3.87	NUM
cpos-635	310	228	4.82	4.82	NUM
cpos-635	310	229	4.82	4.82	NUM
cpos-635	310	230	2.35	2.35	NUM
cpos-635	310	231	6.29	6.29	NUM
cpos-635	310	232	4.36	4.36	NUM
cpos-635	310	233	4.51	4.51	NUM
cpos-635	310	234	3.91	3.91	NUM
cpos-635	310	235	4.04	4.04	NUM
cpos-635	310	236	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	310	237	19.01	19.01	NUM
cpos-635	310	238	3.74	3.74	NUM
cpos-635	310	239	5.54	5.54	NUM
cpos-635	310	240	3.57	3.57	NUM
cpos-635	310	241	4.40	4.40	NUM
cpos-635	310	242	6.00	6.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	243	5.48	5.48	NUM
cpos-635	310	244	1.77	1.77	NUM
cpos-635	310	245	6.00	6.00	NUM
cpos-635	310	246	4.66	4.66	NUM
cpos-635	310	247	5.35	5.35	NUM
cpos-635	310	248	4.13	4.13	NUM
cpos-635	310	249	4.13	4.13	NUM
cpos-635	310	250	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	310	251	20.57	20.57	NUM
cpos-635	310	252	2.27	2.27	NUM
cpos-635	310	253	4.67	4.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	254	2.04	2.04	NUM
cpos-635	310	255	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	310	256	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	310	257	4.57	4.57	NUM
cpos-635	310	258	0.65	0.65	NUM
cpos-635	310	259	5.67	5.67	NUM
cpos-635	310	260	5.21	5.21	NUM
cpos-635	310	261	3.01	3.01	NUM
cpos-635	310	262	3.79	3.79	NUM
cpos-635	310	263	3.33	3.33	NUM
cpos-635	310	264	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	310	265	2.81	2.81	NUM
cpos-635	310	266	3.90	3.90	NUM
cpos-635	310	267	3.04	3.04	NUM
cpos-635	310	268	2.81	2.81	NUM
cpos-635	310	269	3.30	3.30	NUM
cpos-635	310	270	3.84	3.84	NUM
cpos-635	310	271	1.45	1.45	NUM
cpos-635	310	272	5.07	5.07	NUM
cpos-635	310	273	3.03	3.03	NUM
cpos-635	310	274	3.37	3.37	NUM
cpos-635	310	275	2.60	2.60	NUM
cpos-635	310	276	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	310	277	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	310	278	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	279	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	310	280	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	310	281	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	310	282	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	310	283	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	284	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	310	285	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	310	286	the	the	DET
cpos-635	310	287	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	310	288	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	289	tot	tot	VERB
cpos-635	310	290	37.7	37.7	NUM
cpos-635	310	291	55.6	55.6	NUM
cpos-635	310	292	38.5	38.5	NUM
cpos-635	310	293	39.0	39.0	NUM
cpos-635	310	294	45.7	45.7	NUM
cpos-635	310	295	55.4	55.4	NUM
cpos-635	310	296	26.6	26.6	NUM
cpos-635	310	297	65.4	65.4	NUM
cpos-635	310	298	43.0	43.0	NUM
cpos-635	310	299	47.0	47.0	NUM
cpos-635	310	300	39.5	39.5	NUM
cpos-635	310	301	39.0	39.0	NUM
cpos-635	310	302	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	310	303	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	304	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	310	305	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	310	306	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	310	307	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	310	308	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	309	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	310	310	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	310	311	the	the	DET
cpos-635	310	312	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	310	313	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	310	314	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	310	315	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	310	316	1.9	1.9	NUM
cpos-635	310	317	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	310	318	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	310	319	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-635	310	320	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-635	310	321	0.9	0.9	NUM
cpos-635	310	322	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-635	310	323	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-635	310	324	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-635	310	325	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	310	326	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	310	327	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	310	328	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	310	329	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	310	330	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	310	331	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	310	332	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	310	333	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	310	334	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	310	335	the	the	DET
cpos-635	310	336	second	second	ADJ
cpos-635	310	337	column	column	NOUN
cpos-635	310	338	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	310	339	the	the	DET
cpos-635	310	340	left	left	NOUN
cpos-635	310	341	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	311	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	311	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	311	3	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	311	4	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	311	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	311	6	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	311	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	311	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	311	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	311	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	311	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	311	12	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	311	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	311	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	311	15	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	311	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	311	17	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	311	18	cell	cell	NOUN
cpos-635	311	19	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	311	20	show	show	VERB
cpos-635	311	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	311	22	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	311	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	311	24	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	311	25	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	311	26	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	311	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	311	28	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	311	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	312	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	312	2	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	312	3	rightmost	rightmost	ADJ
cpos-635	312	4	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	312	5	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	312	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	312	7	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	312	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	312	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	312	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	312	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	312	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	312	13	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	312	14	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	312	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	312	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	312	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	312	18	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	312	19	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	312	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	312	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	312	22	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	312	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	312	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	312	25	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	312	26	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	312	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	312	28	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	312	29	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	312	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	312	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	312	32	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	312	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	313	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	313	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	313	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	313	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	313	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	313	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	313	7	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	313	8	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	313	9	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	313	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	313	11	each	each	DET
cpos-635	313	12	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	313	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	313	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	313	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	313	16	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	313	17	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	313	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	314	1	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	314	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	314	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	314	4	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	314	5	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	314	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	314	7	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	314	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	314	9	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	314	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	314	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	314	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	314	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	314	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	314	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	314	16	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	314	17	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	314	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	314	19	bottom	bottom	NOUN
cpos-635	314	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	314	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	314	22	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	314	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	315	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	315	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	315	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	315	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	315	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	315	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	315	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	315	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	315	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	315	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	315	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	315	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	315	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	315	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	315	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	315	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	315	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	315	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	315	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	315	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	315	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	315	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	315	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	315	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	315	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	315	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	316	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	316	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	316	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	316	6	wilson116	wilson116	PROPN
cpos-635	316	7	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	316	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	9	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	316	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	11	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	316	12	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	316	13	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	15	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	316	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	17	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	316	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	19	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	316	20	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	21	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	316	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	316	23	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	316	24	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	316	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	26	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	316	27	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	316	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	29	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	316	30	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	31	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	316	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	316	33	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	316	34	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	316	35	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	316	36	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	316	37	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	316	38	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	316	39	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	316	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	41	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	316	42	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	43	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	316	44	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	316	45	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	316	46	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	48	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	316	49	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	50	the	the	DET
cpos-635	316	51	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	316	52	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	316	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	316	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	316	55	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	316	56	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	57	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	316	58	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	59	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	60	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	316	61	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	62	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	316	63	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	64	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	316	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	66	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	316	67	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	68	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	69	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	316	70	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	71	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	316	72	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	73	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	316	74	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	75	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	316	76	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	77	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	78	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	316	79	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	80	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	316	81	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	316	82	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	83	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	316	84	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	85	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	316	86	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	316	87	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	88	s	s	PART
cpos-635	316	89	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	90	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	316	91	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	316	92	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	93	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	316	94	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	316	95	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	316	96	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	316	97	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	317	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	317	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	317	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	317	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	317	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	317	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	317	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	317	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	317	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	317	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	317	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	317	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	318	1	tab	tab	NOUN
cpos-635	318	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	319	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-635	319	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	319	3	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	319	4	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	319	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	319	6	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	319	7	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	319	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	319	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	319	10	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	319	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	319	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	319	13	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	319	14	jump	jump	VERB
cpos-635	319	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	319	16	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	319	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	319	18	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	319	19	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	319	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	319	21	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	319	22	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	319	23	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	319	24	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	319	25	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	319	26	c	c	PROPN
cpos-635	319	27	fdm	fdm	PROPN
cpos-635	319	28	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	319	29	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	319	30	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	319	31	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	319	32	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	320	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	320	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	320	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	320	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	320	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	320	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	320	10	14.66	14.66	NUM
cpos-635	320	11	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	320	12	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	13	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-635	320	14	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	15	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	16	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	17	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	320	18	0.99	0.99	NUM
cpos-635	320	19	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	20	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	320	21	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	320	22	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	23	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	320	24	15.92	15.92	NUM
cpos-635	320	25	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	320	26	0.37	0.37	NUM
cpos-635	320	27	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	320	28	0.54	0.54	NUM
cpos-635	320	29	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	320	30	0.48	0.48	NUM
cpos-635	320	31	0.22	0.22	NUM
cpos-635	320	32	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	33	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	34	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	320	35	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	320	36	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	320	37	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	320	38	16.17	16.17	NUM
cpos-635	320	39	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	40	0.47	0.47	NUM
cpos-635	320	41	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	320	42	0.51	0.51	NUM
cpos-635	320	43	0.53	0.53	NUM
cpos-635	320	44	0.46	0.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	45	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	46	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	320	47	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	320	48	0.50	0.50	NUM
cpos-635	320	49	0.44	0.44	NUM
cpos-635	320	50	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	320	51	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	320	52	18.12	18.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	53	0.13	0.13	NUM
cpos-635	320	54	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	320	55	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	56	0.61	0.61	NUM
cpos-635	320	57	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	58	0.51	0.51	NUM
cpos-635	320	59	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	320	60	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-635	320	61	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	62	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	320	63	0.19	0.19	NUM
cpos-635	320	64	0.23	0.23	NUM
cpos-635	320	65	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	320	66	19.32	19.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	67	0.46	0.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	68	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	69	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	70	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	320	71	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	72	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	320	73	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	320	74	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	320	75	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	320	76	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	320	77	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	320	78	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	320	79	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	320	80	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	320	81	0.31	0.31	NUM
cpos-635	320	82	0.18	0.18	NUM
cpos-635	320	83	0.42	0.42	NUM
cpos-635	320	84	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	320	85	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	320	86	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	320	87	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	320	88	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	89	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	90	0.25	0.25	NUM
cpos-635	320	91	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	320	92	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	320	93	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	94	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	95	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	96	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	320	97	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	320	98	15.76	15.76	NUM
cpos-635	320	99	0.82	0.82	NUM
cpos-635	320	100	0.78	0.78	NUM
cpos-635	320	101	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	320	102	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	320	103	0.80	0.80	NUM
cpos-635	320	104	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	320	105	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	320	106	1.21	1.21	NUM
cpos-635	320	107	0.28	0.28	NUM
cpos-635	320	108	0.94	0.94	NUM
cpos-635	320	109	0.44	0.44	NUM
cpos-635	320	110	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	111	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	320	112	15.71	15.71	NUM
cpos-635	320	113	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	320	114	0.22	0.22	NUM
cpos-635	320	115	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	320	116	0.31	0.31	NUM
cpos-635	320	117	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	320	118	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	119	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	320	120	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	121	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	320	122	0.03	0.03	NUM
cpos-635	320	123	0.75	0.75	NUM
cpos-635	320	124	0.55	0.55	NUM
cpos-635	320	125	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	320	126	18.02	18.02	NUM
cpos-635	320	127	1.54	1.54	NUM
cpos-635	320	128	1.97	1.97	NUM
cpos-635	320	129	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-635	320	130	2.28	2.28	NUM
cpos-635	320	131	2.03	2.03	NUM
cpos-635	320	132	1.93	1.93	NUM
cpos-635	320	133	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-635	320	134	2.63	2.63	NUM
cpos-635	320	135	0.75	0.75	NUM
cpos-635	320	136	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	320	137	1.42	1.42	NUM
cpos-635	320	138	1.63	1.63	NUM
cpos-635	320	139	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	320	140	19.08	19.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	141	0.41	0.41	NUM
cpos-635	320	142	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	143	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	144	1.58	1.58	NUM
cpos-635	320	145	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	320	146	0.81	0.81	NUM
cpos-635	320	147	0.26	0.26	NUM
cpos-635	320	148	1.32	1.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	149	1.14	1.14	NUM
cpos-635	320	150	0.74	0.74	NUM
cpos-635	320	151	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	320	152	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	320	153	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	320	154	20.57	20.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	155	0.56	0.56	NUM
cpos-635	320	156	0.90	0.90	NUM
cpos-635	320	157	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	320	158	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	159	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	320	160	0.94	0.94	NUM
cpos-635	320	161	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	320	162	1.71	1.71	NUM
cpos-635	320	163	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	320	164	0.68	0.68	NUM
cpos-635	320	165	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	166	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	320	167	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	320	168	0.82	0.82	NUM
cpos-635	320	169	0.91	0.91	NUM
cpos-635	320	170	0.62	0.62	NUM
cpos-635	320	171	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	320	172	0.60	0.60	NUM
cpos-635	320	173	0.91	0.91	NUM
cpos-635	320	174	0.61	0.61	NUM
cpos-635	320	175	1.38	1.38	NUM
cpos-635	320	176	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	320	177	0.90	0.90	NUM
cpos-635	320	178	0.56	0.56	NUM
cpos-635	320	179	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	320	180	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	320	181	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	182	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	183	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	184	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	320	185	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	320	186	15.71	15.71	NUM
cpos-635	320	187	0.58	0.58	NUM
cpos-635	320	188	0.48	0.48	NUM
cpos-635	320	189	0.58	0.58	NUM
cpos-635	320	190	1.10	1.10	NUM
cpos-635	320	191	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	320	192	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	320	193	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	320	194	2.20	2.20	NUM
cpos-635	320	195	0.65	0.65	NUM
cpos-635	320	196	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	197	0.35	0.35	NUM
cpos-635	320	198	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	320	199	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	320	200	18.02	18.02	NUM
cpos-635	320	201	0.65	0.65	NUM
cpos-635	320	202	1.68	1.68	NUM
cpos-635	320	203	1.62	1.62	NUM
cpos-635	320	204	2.52	2.52	NUM
cpos-635	320	205	1.92	1.92	NUM
cpos-635	320	206	1.76	1.76	NUM
cpos-635	320	207	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-635	320	208	2.93	2.93	NUM
cpos-635	320	209	0.43	0.43	NUM
cpos-635	320	210	2.04	2.04	NUM
cpos-635	320	211	0.47	0.47	NUM
cpos-635	320	212	0.95	0.95	NUM
cpos-635	320	213	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	320	214	19.08	19.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	215	1.89	1.89	NUM
cpos-635	320	216	2.65	2.65	NUM
cpos-635	320	217	2.32	2.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	218	3.22	3.22	NUM
cpos-635	320	219	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	320	220	2.56	2.56	NUM
cpos-635	320	221	0.88	0.88	NUM
cpos-635	320	222	4.29	4.29	NUM
cpos-635	320	223	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	224	2.87	2.87	NUM
cpos-635	320	225	1.29	1.29	NUM
cpos-635	320	226	1.86	1.86	NUM
cpos-635	320	227	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	320	228	20.57	20.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	229	1.17	1.17	NUM
cpos-635	320	230	1.53	1.53	NUM
cpos-635	320	231	0.39	0.39	NUM
cpos-635	320	232	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	320	233	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-635	320	234	1.58	1.58	NUM
cpos-635	320	235	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	320	236	3.12	3.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	237	1.95	1.95	NUM
cpos-635	320	238	1.59	1.59	NUM
cpos-635	320	239	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	320	240	0.81	0.81	NUM
cpos-635	320	241	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	320	242	21.92	21.92	NUM
cpos-635	320	243	0.63	0.63	NUM
cpos-635	320	244	1.51	1.51	NUM
cpos-635	320	245	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	320	246	1.61	1.61	NUM
cpos-635	320	247	0.07	0.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	248	1.46	1.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	249	0.88	0.88	NUM
cpos-635	320	250	3.23	3.23	NUM
cpos-635	320	251	1.57	1.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	252	1.06	1.06	NUM
cpos-635	320	253	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	320	254	0.42	0.42	NUM
cpos-635	320	255	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	320	256	0.98	0.98	NUM
cpos-635	320	257	1.57	1.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	258	1.03	1.03	NUM
cpos-635	320	259	2.25	2.25	NUM
cpos-635	320	260	1.07	1.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	261	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-635	320	262	0.73	0.73	NUM
cpos-635	320	263	3.15	3.15	NUM
cpos-635	320	264	0.93	0.93	NUM
cpos-635	320	265	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-635	320	266	0.49	0.49	NUM
cpos-635	320	267	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	320	268	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	320	269	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	270	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	271	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	272	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	320	273	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	320	274	18.02	18.02	NUM
cpos-635	320	275	2.70	2.70	NUM
cpos-635	320	276	2.53	2.53	NUM
cpos-635	320	277	2.68	2.68	NUM
cpos-635	320	278	3.30	3.30	NUM
cpos-635	320	279	2.55	2.55	NUM
cpos-635	320	280	2.46	2.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	281	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	320	282	5.38	5.38	NUM
cpos-635	320	283	0.75	0.75	NUM
cpos-635	320	284	2.80	2.80	NUM
cpos-635	320	285	1.05	1.05	NUM
cpos-635	320	286	1.92	1.92	NUM
cpos-635	320	287	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	320	288	19.08	19.08	NUM
cpos-635	320	289	0.78	0.78	NUM
cpos-635	320	290	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	320	291	2.27	2.27	NUM
cpos-635	320	292	3.46	3.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	293	2.61	2.61	NUM
cpos-635	320	294	2.41	2.41	NUM
cpos-635	320	295	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-635	320	296	4.60	4.60	NUM
cpos-635	320	297	0.96	0.96	NUM
cpos-635	320	298	2.82	2.82	NUM
cpos-635	320	299	0.24	0.24	NUM
cpos-635	320	300	1.12	1.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	301	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	320	302	20.57	20.57	NUM
cpos-635	320	303	2.66	2.66	NUM
cpos-635	320	304	3.77	3.77	NUM
cpos-635	320	305	3.30	3.30	NUM
cpos-635	320	306	4.58	4.58	NUM
cpos-635	320	307	3.84	3.84	NUM
cpos-635	320	308	3.64	3.64	NUM
cpos-635	320	309	0.12	0.12	NUM
cpos-635	320	310	6.32	6.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	311	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	320	312	4.07	4.07	NUM
cpos-635	320	313	1.52	1.52	NUM
cpos-635	320	314	2.51	2.51	NUM
cpos-635	320	315	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	320	316	21.92	21.92	NUM
cpos-635	320	317	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-635	320	318	2.25	2.25	NUM
cpos-635	320	319	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	320	3.91	3.91	NUM
cpos-635	320	321	0.33	0.33	NUM
cpos-635	320	322	2.21	2.21	NUM
cpos-635	320	323	1.84	1.84	NUM
cpos-635	320	324	4.73	4.73	NUM
cpos-635	320	325	2.80	2.80	NUM
cpos-635	320	326	2.32	2.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	327	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	328	1.22	1.22	NUM
cpos-635	320	329	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	320	330	23.21	23.21	NUM
cpos-635	320	331	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	320	332	2.09	2.09	NUM
cpos-635	320	333	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	320	334	2.05	2.05	NUM
cpos-635	320	335	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-635	320	336	1.95	1.95	NUM
cpos-635	320	337	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	320	338	4.69	4.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	339	1.98	1.98	NUM
cpos-635	320	340	1.42	1.42	NUM
cpos-635	320	341	0.31	0.31	NUM
cpos-635	320	342	0.52	0.52	NUM
cpos-635	320	343	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	320	344	1.73	1.73	NUM
cpos-635	320	345	2.60	2.60	NUM
cpos-635	320	346	1.85	1.85	NUM
cpos-635	320	347	3.46	3.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	348	1.90	1.90	NUM
cpos-635	320	349	2.53	2.53	NUM
cpos-635	320	350	1.19	1.19	NUM
cpos-635	320	351	5.15	5.15	NUM
cpos-635	320	352	1.32	1.32	NUM
cpos-635	320	353	2.69	2.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	354	0.69	0.69	NUM
cpos-635	320	355	1.46	1.46	NUM
cpos-635	320	356	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	320	357	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	358	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	320	359	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	320	360	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	320	361	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	362	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	363	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	320	364	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	320	365	the	the	DET
cpos-635	320	366	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	320	367	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	368	tot	tot	VERB
cpos-635	320	369	25.9	25.9	NUM
cpos-635	320	370	38.3	38.3	NUM
cpos-635	320	371	26.2	26.2	NUM
cpos-635	320	372	55.1	55.1	NUM
cpos-635	320	373	28.7	28.7	NUM
cpos-635	320	374	38.4	38.4	NUM
cpos-635	320	375	19.6	19.6	NUM
cpos-635	320	376	72.8	72.8	NUM
cpos-635	320	377	25.2	25.2	NUM
cpos-635	320	378	40.2	40.2	NUM
cpos-635	320	379	13.4	13.4	NUM
cpos-635	320	380	22.1	22.1	NUM
cpos-635	320	381	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	320	382	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	383	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	320	384	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	320	385	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	320	386	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	320	387	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	388	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	320	389	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	320	390	the	the	DET
cpos-635	320	391	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	320	392	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	320	393	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	320	394	0.9	0.9	NUM
cpos-635	320	395	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	320	396	0.9	0.9	NUM
cpos-635	320	397	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-635	320	398	1.0	1.0	NUM
cpos-635	320	399	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	320	400	0.7	0.7	NUM
cpos-635	320	401	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-635	320	402	0.8	0.8	NUM
cpos-635	320	403	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-635	320	404	0.4	0.4	NUM
cpos-635	320	405	0.7	0.7	NUM
cpos-635	320	406	a	a	DET
cpos-635	320	407	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	320	408	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	409	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	320	410	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	320	411	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	320	412	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	320	413	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	320	414	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	320	415	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	416	the	the	DET
cpos-635	320	417	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	320	418	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	320	419	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	320	420	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	320	421	117	117	NUM
cpos-635	320	422	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	320	423	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	320	424	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	320	425	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	320	426	expectancies	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	320	427	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	320	428	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	320	429	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	320	430	the	the	DET
cpos-635	320	431	second	second	ADJ
cpos-635	320	432	column	column	NOUN
cpos-635	320	433	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	320	434	the	the	DET
cpos-635	320	435	left	left	NOUN
cpos-635	320	436	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	321	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	321	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	321	3	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	321	4	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	321	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	321	6	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	321	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	321	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	321	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	321	10	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	321	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	321	12	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	321	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	321	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	321	15	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	321	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	321	17	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	321	18	cell	cell	NOUN
cpos-635	321	19	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	321	20	show	show	VERB
cpos-635	321	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	321	22	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	321	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	321	24	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	321	25	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	321	26	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	321	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	321	28	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	321	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	322	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	322	2	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	322	3	rightmost	rightmost	ADJ
cpos-635	322	4	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	322	5	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	322	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	322	7	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	322	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	322	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	322	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	322	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	322	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	322	13	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	322	14	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	322	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	322	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	322	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	322	18	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	322	19	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	322	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	322	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	322	22	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	322	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	322	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	322	25	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	322	26	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	322	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	322	28	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	322	29	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	322	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	322	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	322	32	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	322	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	323	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	323	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	323	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	323	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	323	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	323	6	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	323	7	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	323	8	jumpoff	jumpoff	NOUN
cpos-635	323	9	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	323	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	323	11	each	each	DET
cpos-635	323	12	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	323	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	323	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	323	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	323	16	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	323	17	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	323	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	324	1	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	324	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	324	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	324	4	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	324	5	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	324	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	324	7	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	324	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	324	9	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	324	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	324	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	324	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	324	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	324	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	324	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	324	16	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	324	17	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	324	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	324	19	bottom	bottom	NOUN
cpos-635	324	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	324	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	324	22	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	324	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	325	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	325	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	325	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	325	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	325	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	325	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	325	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	325	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	325	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	325	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	325	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	325	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	325	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	325	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	325	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	325	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	325	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	325	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	325	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	325	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	325	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	325	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	325	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	325	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	325	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	325	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	1	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	326	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	3	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	326	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	5	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	326	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	326	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	326	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	326	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	326	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	326	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	326	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	326	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	326	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	20	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	326	21	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	326	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	23	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	326	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	326	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	326	27	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	326	28	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	326	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	326	30	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	326	31	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	326	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	326	33	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	326	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	326	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	37	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	326	38	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	326	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	326	40	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	42	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	326	43	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	44	the	the	DET
cpos-635	326	45	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	326	46	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	326	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	326	48	the	the	DET
cpos-635	326	49	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	326	50	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	51	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	326	52	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	54	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	326	55	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	56	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	326	57	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	58	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	326	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	60	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	326	61	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	63	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	326	64	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	65	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	326	66	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	67	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	326	68	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	69	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	326	70	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	71	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	72	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	326	73	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	74	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	326	75	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	326	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	77	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	326	78	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	79	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	326	80	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	326	81	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	82	s	s	PART
cpos-635	326	83	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	84	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	326	85	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	326	86	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	87	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	326	88	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	326	89	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	326	90	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	326	91	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	327	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	327	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	327	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	327	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	327	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	327	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	327	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	327	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	327	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	327	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	327	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	327	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	328	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	328	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	329	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	3	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-635	329	4	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	329	5	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	329	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	329	7	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	329	8	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	329	9	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	329	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	329	11	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	329	12	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	329	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	14	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	329	15	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	329	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	329	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	329	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	329	20	horizon	horizon	PROPN
cpos-635	329	21	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	329	22	0.5	0.5	NUM
cpos-635	329	23	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	329	24	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-635	329	25	2	2	NUM
cpos-635	329	26	2.5	2.5	NUM
cpos-635	329	27	3	3	NUM
cpos-635	329	28	3.5	3.5	NUM
cpos-635	329	29	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	329	30	4.5	4.5	NUM
cpos-635	329	31	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	329	32	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	329	33	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	329	34	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	329	35	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	329	36	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	329	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	329	38	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	329	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	40	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	329	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	42	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	329	43	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	329	44	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	329	45	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	329	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	47	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	329	48	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	49	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	329	50	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	51	this	this	DET
cpos-635	329	52	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-635	329	53	visualises	visualise	VERB
cpos-635	329	54	the	the	DET
cpos-635	329	55	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	329	56	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	329	57	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	329	58	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	329	59	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	329	60	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	329	61	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	329	62	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	329	63	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	329	64	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	329	65	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	66	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	329	67	has	have	AUX
cpos-635	329	68	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	329	69	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	329	70	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	329	71	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	329	72	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	329	73	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	329	74	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	329	75	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	329	76	then	then	ADV
cpos-635	329	77	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	329	78	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	329	79	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	330	1	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	330	2	bars	bar	NOUN
cpos-635	330	3	represent	represent	VERB
cpos-635	330	4	95	95	NUM
cpos-635	330	5	%	%	NOUN
cpos-635	330	6	confidence	confidence	NOUN
cpos-635	330	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	330	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	331	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	331	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	331	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	331	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	331	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	331	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	331	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	331	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	331	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	331	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	331	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	331	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	332	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	332	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	332	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	332	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	332	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	332	6	wilson118	wilson118	PROPN
cpos-635	332	7	tab	tab	PROPN
cpos-635	332	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	333	1	7	7	NUM
cpos-635	333	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	333	3	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	333	4	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	333	5	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	333	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	333	7	projected	project	VERB
cpos-635	333	8	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	333	9	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	333	10	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	333	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	333	12	pseudoprojection	pseudoprojection	NOUN
cpos-635	333	13	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	333	14	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	333	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	333	16	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	333	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	333	18	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	333	19	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	333	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	333	21	year	year	VERB
cpos-635	333	22	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	333	23	lc_d	lc_d	VERB
cpos-635	333	24	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	333	25	cfdm	cfdm	PROPN
cpos-635	333	26	bms	bms	PROPN
cpos-635	333	27	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	333	28	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	333	29	cbd	cbd	PROPN
cpos-635	333	30	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	334	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	334	2	s	s	VERB
cpos-635	334	3	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	334	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	334	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	334	9	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	334	10	2.71	2.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	11	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	334	12	2.55	2.55	NUM
cpos-635	334	13	2.50	2.50	NUM
cpos-635	334	14	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	334	15	3.07	3.07	NUM
cpos-635	334	16	3.56	3.56	NUM
cpos-635	334	17	1.40	1.40	NUM
cpos-635	334	18	3.25	3.25	NUM
cpos-635	334	19	2.72	2.72	NUM
cpos-635	334	20	3.29	3.29	NUM
cpos-635	334	21	2.97	2.97	NUM
cpos-635	334	22	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	334	23	0.32	0.32	NUM
cpos-635	334	24	1.15	1.15	NUM
cpos-635	334	25	1.02	1.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	26	2.54	2.54	NUM
cpos-635	334	27	1.71	1.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	28	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	29	2.21	2.21	NUM
cpos-635	334	30	0.06	0.06	NUM
cpos-635	334	31	1.86	1.86	NUM
cpos-635	334	32	1.03	1.03	NUM
cpos-635	334	33	0.94	0.94	NUM
cpos-635	334	34	0.47	0.47	NUM
cpos-635	334	35	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	334	36	0.09	0.09	NUM
cpos-635	334	37	1.41	1.41	NUM
cpos-635	334	38	1.69	1.69	NUM
cpos-635	334	39	0.48	0.48	NUM
cpos-635	334	40	0.08	0.08	NUM
cpos-635	334	41	0.16	0.16	NUM
cpos-635	334	42	0.04	0.04	NUM
cpos-635	334	43	2.45	2.45	NUM
cpos-635	334	44	0.51	0.51	NUM
cpos-635	334	45	0.34	0.34	NUM
cpos-635	334	46	0.11	0.11	NUM
cpos-635	334	47	0.27	0.27	NUM
cpos-635	334	48	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	334	49	0.30	0.30	NUM
cpos-635	334	50	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	51	0.97	0.97	NUM
cpos-635	334	52	4.19	4.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	53	5.84	5.84	NUM
cpos-635	334	54	5.92	5.92	NUM
cpos-635	334	55	2.11	2.11	NUM
cpos-635	334	56	0.38	0.38	NUM
cpos-635	334	57	1.61	1.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	58	3.12	3.12	NUM
cpos-635	334	59	0.74	0.74	NUM
cpos-635	334	60	0.02	0.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	61	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	334	62	4.18	4.18	NUM
cpos-635	334	63	0.84	0.84	NUM
cpos-635	334	64	0.29	0.29	NUM
cpos-635	334	65	3.23	3.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	66	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	67	5.29	5.29	NUM
cpos-635	334	68	0.71	0.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	69	1.87	1.87	NUM
cpos-635	334	70	0.14	0.14	NUM
cpos-635	334	71	1.13	1.13	NUM
cpos-635	334	72	1.58	1.58	NUM
cpos-635	334	73	1.54	1.54	NUM
cpos-635	334	74	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	334	75	1.52	1.52	NUM
cpos-635	334	76	1.39	1.39	NUM
cpos-635	334	77	1.30	1.30	NUM
cpos-635	334	78	2.59	2.59	NUM
cpos-635	334	79	2.23	2.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	80	3.13	3.13	NUM
cpos-635	334	81	1.73	1.73	NUM
cpos-635	334	82	1.23	1.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	83	1.47	1.47	NUM
cpos-635	334	84	1.67	1.67	NUM
cpos-635	334	85	1.33	1.33	NUM
cpos-635	334	86	1.05	1.05	NUM
cpos-635	334	87	10	10	NUM
cpos-635	334	88	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	89	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	90	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	91	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	334	92	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	334	93	1.61	1.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	94	0.76	0.76	NUM
cpos-635	334	95	2.26	2.26	NUM
cpos-635	334	96	1.43	1.43	NUM
cpos-635	334	97	0.72	0.72	NUM
cpos-635	334	98	0.40	0.40	NUM
cpos-635	334	99	5.37	5.37	NUM
cpos-635	334	100	11.39	11.39	NUM
cpos-635	334	101	2.83	2.83	NUM
cpos-635	334	102	0.99	0.99	NUM
cpos-635	334	103	2.56	2.56	NUM
cpos-635	334	104	0.83	0.83	NUM
cpos-635	334	105	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	334	106	8.49	8.49	NUM
cpos-635	334	107	7.85	7.85	NUM
cpos-635	334	108	7.20	7.20	NUM
cpos-635	334	109	4.85	4.85	NUM
cpos-635	334	110	5.56	5.56	NUM
cpos-635	334	111	5.94	5.94	NUM
cpos-635	334	112	15.02	15.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	113	1.51	1.51	NUM
cpos-635	334	114	11.08	11.08	NUM
cpos-635	334	115	6.08	6.08	NUM
cpos-635	334	116	10.57	10.57	NUM
cpos-635	334	117	9.35	9.35	NUM
cpos-635	334	118	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	334	119	16.07	16.07	NUM
cpos-635	334	120	18.95	18.95	NUM
cpos-635	334	121	20.90	20.90	NUM
cpos-635	334	122	16.88	16.88	NUM
cpos-635	334	123	17.51	17.51	NUM
cpos-635	334	124	17.34	17.34	NUM
cpos-635	334	125	7.38	7.38	NUM
cpos-635	334	126	29.65	29.65	NUM
cpos-635	334	127	14.38	14.38	NUM
cpos-635	334	128	17.79	17.79	NUM
cpos-635	334	129	13.16	13.16	NUM
cpos-635	334	130	14.85	14.85	NUM
cpos-635	334	131	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	334	132	6.09	6.09	NUM
cpos-635	334	133	4.20	4.20	NUM
cpos-635	334	134	4.35	4.35	NUM
cpos-635	334	135	12.36	12.36	NUM
cpos-635	334	136	9.17	9.17	NUM
cpos-635	334	137	9.90	9.90	NUM
cpos-635	334	138	3.05	3.05	NUM
cpos-635	334	139	14.40	14.40	NUM
cpos-635	334	140	2.34	2.34	NUM
cpos-635	334	141	8.72	8.72	NUM
cpos-635	334	142	3.29	3.29	NUM
cpos-635	334	143	4.62	4.62	NUM
cpos-635	334	144	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	334	145	5.45	5.45	NUM
cpos-635	334	146	9.13	9.13	NUM
cpos-635	334	147	3.91	3.91	NUM
cpos-635	334	148	11.40	11.40	NUM
cpos-635	334	149	1.02	1.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	150	12.65	12.65	NUM
cpos-635	334	151	0.68	0.68	NUM
cpos-635	334	152	19.64	19.64	NUM
cpos-635	334	153	8.19	8.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	154	7.32	7.32	NUM
cpos-635	334	155	7.37	7.37	NUM
cpos-635	334	156	7.16	7.16	NUM
cpos-635	334	157	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	334	158	7.54	7.54	NUM
cpos-635	334	159	8.18	8.18	NUM
cpos-635	334	160	7.72	7.72	NUM
cpos-635	334	161	9.38	9.38	NUM
cpos-635	334	162	6.80	6.80	NUM
cpos-635	334	163	9.25	9.25	NUM
cpos-635	334	164	6.30	6.30	NUM
cpos-635	334	165	15.32	15.32	NUM
cpos-635	334	166	7.76	7.76	NUM
cpos-635	334	167	8.18	8.18	NUM
cpos-635	334	168	7.39	7.39	NUM
cpos-635	334	169	7.36	7.36	NUM
cpos-635	334	170	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	334	171	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	172	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	173	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	174	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	334	175	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	334	176	4.28	4.28	NUM
cpos-635	334	177	4.84	4.84	NUM
cpos-635	334	178	2.61	2.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	179	4.28	4.28	NUM
cpos-635	334	180	4.89	4.89	NUM
cpos-635	334	181	5.23	5.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	182	17.61	17.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	183	6.04	6.04	NUM
cpos-635	334	184	9.73	9.73	NUM
cpos-635	334	185	4.64	4.64	NUM
cpos-635	334	186	10.64	10.64	NUM
cpos-635	334	187	7.92	7.92	NUM
cpos-635	334	188	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	334	189	7.19	7.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	190	10.52	10.52	NUM
cpos-635	334	191	11.64	11.64	NUM
cpos-635	334	192	12.79	12.79	NUM
cpos-635	334	193	12.63	12.63	NUM
cpos-635	334	194	12.24	12.24	NUM
cpos-635	334	195	7.10	7.10	NUM
cpos-635	334	196	23.80	23.80	NUM
cpos-635	334	197	6.68	6.68	NUM
cpos-635	334	198	12.02	12.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	199	4.52	4.52	NUM
cpos-635	334	200	6.56	6.56	NUM
cpos-635	334	201	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	334	202	16.60	16.60	NUM
cpos-635	334	203	21.21	21.21	NUM
cpos-635	334	204	24.79	24.79	NUM
cpos-635	334	205	18.97	18.97	NUM
cpos-635	334	206	19.74	19.74	NUM
cpos-635	334	207	19.55	19.55	NUM
cpos-635	334	208	1.84	1.84	NUM
cpos-635	334	209	32.20	32.20	NUM
cpos-635	334	210	19.01	19.01	NUM
cpos-635	334	211	20.02	20.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	212	13.97	13.97	NUM
cpos-635	334	213	15.98	15.98	NUM
cpos-635	334	214	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	334	215	17.73	17.73	NUM
cpos-635	334	216	15.79	15.79	NUM
cpos-635	334	217	15.37	15.37	NUM
cpos-635	334	218	23.14	23.14	NUM
cpos-635	334	219	18.89	18.89	NUM
cpos-635	334	220	20.33	20.33	NUM
cpos-635	334	221	0.57	0.57	NUM
cpos-635	334	222	29.15	29.15	NUM
cpos-635	334	223	16.14	16.14	NUM
cpos-635	334	224	19.59	19.59	NUM
cpos-635	334	225	13.15	13.15	NUM
cpos-635	334	226	15.50	15.50	NUM
cpos-635	334	227	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	334	228	5.99	5.99	NUM
cpos-635	334	229	13.57	13.57	NUM
cpos-635	334	230	5.79	5.79	NUM
cpos-635	334	231	13.47	13.47	NUM
cpos-635	334	232	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-635	334	233	16.09	16.09	NUM
cpos-635	334	234	2.60	2.60	NUM
cpos-635	334	235	26.29	26.29	NUM
cpos-635	334	236	15.18	15.18	NUM
cpos-635	334	237	9.89	9.89	NUM
cpos-635	334	238	10.39	10.39	NUM
cpos-635	334	239	9.84	9.84	NUM
cpos-635	334	240	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	334	241	10.36	10.36	NUM
cpos-635	334	242	13.19	13.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	243	12.04	12.04	NUM
cpos-635	334	244	14.53	14.53	NUM
cpos-635	334	245	11.54	11.54	NUM
cpos-635	334	246	14.69	14.69	NUM
cpos-635	334	247	5.94	5.94	NUM
cpos-635	334	248	23.50	23.50	NUM
cpos-635	334	249	13.35	13.35	NUM
cpos-635	334	250	13.23	13.23	NUM
cpos-635	334	251	10.53	10.53	NUM
cpos-635	334	252	11.16	11.16	NUM
cpos-635	334	253	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	334	254	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	255	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	256	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	257	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	334	258	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-635	334	259	13.66	13.66	NUM
cpos-635	334	260	13.67	13.67	NUM
cpos-635	334	261	16.60	16.60	NUM
cpos-635	334	262	14.17	14.17	NUM
cpos-635	334	263	13.62	13.62	NUM
cpos-635	334	264	13.26	13.26	NUM
cpos-635	334	265	10.14	10.14	NUM
cpos-635	334	266	24.98	24.98	NUM
cpos-635	334	267	10.92	10.92	NUM
cpos-635	334	268	13.87	13.87	NUM
cpos-635	334	269	5.61	5.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	270	9.32	9.32	NUM
cpos-635	334	271	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-635	334	272	8.41	8.41	NUM
cpos-635	334	273	13.62	13.62	NUM
cpos-635	334	274	14.98	14.98	NUM
cpos-635	334	275	15.28	15.28	NUM
cpos-635	334	276	15.43	15.43	NUM
cpos-635	334	277	14.94	14.94	NUM
cpos-635	334	278	11.03	11.03	NUM
cpos-635	334	279	25.43	25.43	NUM
cpos-635	334	280	15.37	15.37	NUM
cpos-635	334	281	14.86	14.86	NUM
cpos-635	334	282	7.92	7.92	NUM
cpos-635	334	283	9.68	9.68	NUM
cpos-635	334	284	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-635	334	285	25.14	25.14	NUM
cpos-635	334	286	31.28	31.28	NUM
cpos-635	334	287	36.01	36.01	NUM
cpos-635	334	288	29.05	29.05	NUM
cpos-635	334	289	29.91	29.91	NUM
cpos-635	334	290	29.61	29.61	NUM
cpos-635	334	291	4.00	4.00	NUM
cpos-635	334	292	41.12	41.12	NUM
cpos-635	334	293	38.87	38.87	NUM
cpos-635	334	294	30.17	30.17	NUM
cpos-635	334	295	25.66	25.66	NUM
cpos-635	334	296	26.97	26.97	NUM
cpos-635	334	297	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-635	334	298	20.71	20.71	NUM
cpos-635	334	299	20.00	20.00	NUM
cpos-635	334	300	18.55	18.55	NUM
cpos-635	334	301	25.53	25.53	NUM
cpos-635	334	302	22.05	22.05	NUM
cpos-635	334	303	23.36	23.36	NUM
cpos-635	334	304	3.80	3.80	NUM
cpos-635	334	305	31.12	31.12	NUM
cpos-635	334	306	27.04	27.04	NUM
cpos-635	334	307	22.99	22.99	NUM
cpos-635	334	308	17.42	17.42	NUM
cpos-635	334	309	19.72	19.72	NUM
cpos-635	334	310	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	334	311	3.19	3.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	312	14.19	14.19	NUM
cpos-635	334	313	3.48	3.48	NUM
cpos-635	334	314	11.09	11.09	NUM
cpos-635	334	315	1.31	1.31	NUM
cpos-635	334	316	15.60	15.60	NUM
cpos-635	334	317	9.40	9.40	NUM
cpos-635	334	318	26.12	26.12	NUM
cpos-635	334	319	22.16	22.16	NUM
cpos-635	334	320	8.59	8.59	NUM
cpos-635	334	321	11.38	11.38	NUM
cpos-635	334	322	9.80	9.80	NUM
cpos-635	334	323	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	334	324	14.22	14.22	NUM
cpos-635	334	325	18.55	18.55	NUM
cpos-635	334	326	17.92	17.92	NUM
cpos-635	334	327	19.02	19.02	NUM
cpos-635	334	328	16.46	16.46	NUM
cpos-635	334	329	19.35	19.35	NUM
cpos-635	334	330	7.67	7.67	NUM
cpos-635	334	331	29.75	29.75	NUM
cpos-635	334	332	22.87	22.87	NUM
cpos-635	334	333	18.10	18.10	NUM
cpos-635	334	334	13.60	13.60	NUM
cpos-635	334	335	15.10	15.10	NUM
cpos-635	334	336	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	334	337	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	338	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	334	339	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	334	340	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	334	341	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	342	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	343	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	334	344	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	334	345	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	346	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	334	347	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	348	tot	tot	VERB
cpos-635	334	349	244.5	244.5	NUM
cpos-635	334	350	299.9	299.9	NUM
cpos-635	334	351	284.2	284.2	NUM
cpos-635	334	352	333.3	333.3	NUM
cpos-635	334	353	268.0	268.0	NUM
cpos-635	334	354	336.4	336.4	NUM
cpos-635	334	355	171.7	171.7	NUM
cpos-635	334	356	555.4	555.4	NUM
cpos-635	334	357	311.8	311.8	NUM
cpos-635	334	358	299.1	299.1	NUM
cpos-635	334	359	239.5	239.5	NUM
cpos-635	334	360	251.5	251.5	NUM
cpos-635	334	361	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	334	362	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	363	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	334	364	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	334	365	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	334	366	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	367	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	368	averaged	average	VERB
cpos-635	334	369	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	334	370	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	371	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	334	372	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	373	avm	avm	PROPN
cpos-635	334	374	8.2	8.2	NUM
cpos-635	334	375	10.0	10.0	NUM
cpos-635	334	376	9.5	9.5	NUM
cpos-635	334	377	11.1	11.1	NUM
cpos-635	334	378	8.9	8.9	NUM
cpos-635	334	379	11.2	11.2	NUM
cpos-635	334	380	5.7	5.7	NUM
cpos-635	334	381	18.5	18.5	NUM
cpos-635	334	382	10.4	10.4	NUM
cpos-635	334	383	10.0	10.0	NUM
cpos-635	334	384	8.0	8.0	NUM
cpos-635	334	385	8.4	8.4	NUM
cpos-635	334	386	notes	note	NOUN
cpos-635	334	387	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	388	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	389	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	334	390	rightmost	rightmost	ADJ
cpos-635	334	391	columns	column	NOUN
cpos-635	334	392	present	present	VERB
cpos-635	334	393	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	394	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	334	395	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	334	396	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	334	397	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	334	398	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	334	399	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	334	400	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	334	401	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	402	12	12	NUM
cpos-635	334	403	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	334	404	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	334	405	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	334	406	each	each	PRON
cpos-635	334	407	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	334	408	the	the	DET
cpos-635	334	409	evaluated	evaluated	ADJ
cpos-635	334	410	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	334	411	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	334	412	off	off	NOUN
cpos-635	334	413	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	334	414	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	334	415	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	334	416	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	334	417	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	335	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	335	2	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	335	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	335	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	335	5	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	335	6	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	335	7	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	335	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	335	9	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	335	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	335	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	335	12	each	each	DET
cpos-635	335	13	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	335	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	335	15	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	335	16	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	335	17	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	335	18	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	335	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	336	1	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	336	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	336	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	336	4	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	336	5	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	336	6	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	336	7	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	336	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	336	9	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	336	10	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	336	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	336	12	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	336	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	336	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	336	15	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	336	16	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	336	17	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	336	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	336	19	bottom	bottom	NOUN
cpos-635	336	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	336	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	336	22	table	table	NOUN
cpos-635	336	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	337	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	337	2	av	av	PROPN
cpos-635	337	3	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	337	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	337	5	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	337	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	337	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	337	8	tot	tot	NOUN
cpos-635	337	9	metric	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	337	10	divided	divide	VERB
cpos-635	337	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	337	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	337	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	337	14	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	337	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	337	16	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	337	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	337	18	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	337	19	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	337	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	337	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	337	22	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	337	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	337	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	337	25	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	337	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	1	abbreviations	abbreviation	NOUN
cpos-635	338	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	3	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	338	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	5	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	338	6	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
cpos-635	338	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	338	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	9	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	338	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	11	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	338	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	13	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	338	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	338	15	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	338	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	338	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	338	18	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	338	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	20	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	338	21	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	338	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	23	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	338	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	338	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	338	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	338	27	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	338	28	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	338	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	338	30	automated	automate	VERB
cpos-635	338	31	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	338	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	338	33	selection	selection	NOUN
cpos-635	338	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	338	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	37	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	338	38	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	338	39	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	338	40	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	338	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	42	lc_s	lc_	VERB
cpos-635	338	43	a	a	DET
cpos-635	338	44	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	338	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	46	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	338	47	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	338	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	338	49	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	338	50	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	338	51	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	338	52	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	338	53	the	the	DET
cpos-635	338	54	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	338	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	338	56	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	338	57	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	338	58	119	119	NUM
cpos-635	338	59	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	338	60	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	338	61	both	both	DET
cpos-635	338	62	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	338	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	338	64	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	338	65	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	339	1	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	339	2	performs	perform	VERB
cpos-635	339	3	poorly	poorly	ADV
cpos-635	339	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	339	5	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	339	6	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	339	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	339	8	>	>	NOUN
cpos-635	339	9	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	339	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	339	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	339	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	1	asdrs	asdrs	PROPN
cpos-635	340	2	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	340	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	340	4	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	340	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	340	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	340	8	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	340	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	340	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	340	12	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	340	13	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	340	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	15	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	340	16	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	340	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	340	18	shown	show	VERB
cpos-635	340	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	340	20	figures	figure	NOUN
cpos-635	340	21	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	340	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	23	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	340	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	340	25	6	6	NUM
cpos-635	340	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	340	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	340	28	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	340	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	30	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	340	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	340	33	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	340	34	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	340	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	340	36	respectively	respectively	ADV
cpos-635	340	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	341	1	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	341	2	exhibits	exhibit	VERB
cpos-635	341	3	atypical	atypical	ADJ
cpos-635	341	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	341	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	341	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	341	7	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-635	341	8	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	341	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	341	10	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	341	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	341	12	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	341	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	341	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	342	2	considering	consider	VERB
cpos-635	342	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	342	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	342	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	342	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	342	7	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-635	342	8	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	342	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	10	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	342	11	+	+	NOUN
cpos-635	342	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	14	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	342	15	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-635	342	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	342	17	tables	table	NOUN
cpos-635	342	18	b1	b1	NOUN
cpos-635	342	19	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	20	b6	b6	NOUN
cpos-635	342	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	22	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	342	23	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	342	24	evident	evident	ADJ
cpos-635	342	25	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	342	26	some	some	DET
cpos-635	342	27	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	342	28	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	342	29	more	more	ADJ
cpos-635	342	30	sensible	sensible	ADJ
cpos-635	342	31	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	342	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	342	33	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	342	34	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	342	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	342	36	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	342	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	342	38	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	342	39	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	342	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	343	1	conversely	conversely	ADV
cpos-635	343	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	343	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	343	4	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	343	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	343	6	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	343	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	343	8	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	343	9	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	343	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	343	11	lc_d	lc_d	NUM
cpos-635	343	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	343	13	lc_s	lc_s	NUM
cpos-635	343	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	343	15	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	343	16	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	343	17	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	343	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	343	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	343	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	343	21	highest	high	ADJ
cpos-635	343	22	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	343	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	1	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	344	3	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	344	4	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	344	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	344	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	344	7	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	344	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	9	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	344	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	344	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	12	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	344	13	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	344	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	16	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	344	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	18	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	344	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	344	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	21	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	344	22	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	23	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	344	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	25	blake	blake	PROPN
cpos-635	344	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	27	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	344	28	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	344	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	30	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	344	31	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	32	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	344	33	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	344	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	35	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	344	36	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	37	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	344	38	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	344	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	40	s	s	PART
cpos-635	344	41	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	42	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	344	43	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	344	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	45	u	u	NOUN
cpos-635	344	46	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	344	47	unique	unique	ADJ
cpos-635	344	48	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	344	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	345	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	345	4	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	5	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	345	6	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	345	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	345	8	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	345	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	10	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	345	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	13	abs	ab	VERB
cpos-635	345	14	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	345	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	16	2019	2019	NUM
cpos-635	345	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	18	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	345	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	345	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	345	22	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	345	23	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	345	24	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	345	25	bank	bank	PROPN
cpos-635	345	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	27	smith	smith	PROPN
cpos-635	345	28	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	345	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	345	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	346	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	346	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	347	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	347	4	asdrs	asdr	VERB
cpos-635	347	5	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	347	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	347	7	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	347	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	347	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	347	10	a	a	DET
cpos-635	347	11	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	347	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	13	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	347	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	347	15	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	347	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	17	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	347	18	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	347	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	20	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	347	21	0.000001	0.000001	NUM
cpos-635	347	22	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	347	23	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	347	24	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	347	25	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	347	26	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	347	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	347	28	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	347	29	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	347	30	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	347	31	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	347	32	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	347	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	347	34	female	female	NOUN
cpos-635	347	35	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	347	36	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	347	37	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	347	38	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	347	39	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	347	40	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	347	41	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	347	42	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	347	43	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	347	44	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	347	45	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	347	46	male	male	NOUN
cpos-635	347	47	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	347	48	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	347	49	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	347	50	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	347	51	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	52	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	347	53	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	54	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	347	55	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	347	56	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	347	57	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	347	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	59	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	347	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	347	61	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	348	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	348	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	349	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	349	4	asdrs	asdr	VERB
cpos-635	349	5	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	349	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	349	7	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	349	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	349	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	349	10	a	a	DET
cpos-635	349	11	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	349	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	13	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	349	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	349	15	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	349	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	17	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	349	18	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	349	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	20	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	349	21	0.000001	0.000001	NUM
cpos-635	349	22	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	349	23	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	349	24	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	349	25	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	349	26	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	349	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	349	28	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	349	29	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	349	30	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	349	31	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	349	32	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	349	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	349	34	female	female	NOUN
cpos-635	349	35	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	349	36	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	349	37	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	349	38	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	349	39	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	349	40	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	349	41	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	349	42	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	349	43	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	349	44	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	349	45	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	349	46	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	349	47	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	349	48	cfdmapc	cfdmapc	PROPN
cpos-635	349	49	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	349	50	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	349	51	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	52	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	349	53	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	54	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	349	55	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	349	56	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	349	57	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	349	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	59	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	349	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	349	61	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	350	2	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	350	3	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	350	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	5	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	350	6	wilson120	wilson120	PROPN
cpos-635	350	7	4	4	NUM
cpos-635	350	8	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-635	350	9	4.1	4.1	NUM
cpos-635	350	10	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	350	11	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	350	12	despite	despite	SCONJ
cpos-635	350	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	14	variability	variability	NOUN
cpos-635	350	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	350	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	17	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	350	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	19	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	350	20	were	be	VERB
cpos-635	350	21	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	350	22	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-635	350	23	findings	finding	NOUN
cpos-635	350	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	26	1	1	X
cpos-635	350	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	29	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-635	350	30	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	350	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	350	32	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	33	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	350	34	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	350	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	37	2	2	X
cpos-635	350	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	39	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	40	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	350	41	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	350	42	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	350	43	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	350	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	45	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	350	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	47	3	3	X
cpos-635	350	48	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	350	49	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	50	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	350	51	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	350	52	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	350	53	the	the	DET
cpos-635	350	54	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	350	55	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	350	56	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	350	57	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	350	58	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	350	59	a	a	DET
cpos-635	350	60	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	350	61	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	350	62	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	350	63	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	351	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	351	2	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	351	3	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	351	4	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	351	5	ability	ability	NOUN
cpos-635	351	6	to	to	PART
cpos-635	351	7	capture	capture	VERB
cpos-635	351	8	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	351	9	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	351	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	351	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	351	12	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-635	351	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	351	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	351	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	351	16	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	351	17	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	351	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	351	19	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	351	20	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	351	21	a	a	DET
cpos-635	351	22	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	351	23	factor	factor	NOUN
cpos-635	351	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	351	25	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	351	26	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-635	351	27	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	351	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	351	29	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	351	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	351	31	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	351	32	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	351	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	351	34	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	351	35	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	351	36	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	351	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	1	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	352	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	3	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	352	4	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	352	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	6	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	352	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	352	8	health	health	NOUN
cpos-635	352	9	behaviours	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-635	352	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	11	medical	medical	ADJ
cpos-635	352	12	advancements	advancement	NOUN
cpos-635	352	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	352	15	socio	socio	NOUN
cpos-635	352	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	17	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-635	352	18	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-635	352	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	352	20	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	352	21	important	important	ADJ
cpos-635	352	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	352	23	understanding	understand	VERB
cpos-635	352	24	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	352	25	trajectories	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-635	352	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	353	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	353	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	353	3	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	353	4	become	become	VERB
cpos-635	353	5	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	353	6	pronounced	pronounce	VERB
cpos-635	353	7	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	353	8	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	353	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	353	10	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-635	353	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	353	12	aligning	align	VERB
cpos-635	353	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	353	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	353	15	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	353	16	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	353	17	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	353	18	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
cpos-635	353	19	strengths	strength	NOUN
cpos-635	353	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	354	1	conversely	conversely	ADV
cpos-635	354	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	354	3	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	354	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	354	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	354	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	355	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	355	2	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-635	355	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	355	4	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	355	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	355	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	355	7	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	355	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	355	9	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	355	10	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	355	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	355	12	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	355	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	355	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	355	15	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	355	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	355	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	355	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	355	19	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	355	20	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	355	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	355	22	england	england	PROPN
cpos-635	355	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	355	24	wales	wales	PROPN
cpos-635	355	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	355	26	an	an	DET
cpos-635	355	27	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	355	28	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	355	29	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-635	355	30	the	the	DET
cpos-635	355	31	stability	stability	NOUN
cpos-635	355	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	355	33	the	the	DET
cpos-635	355	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	355	35	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	355	36	shifting	shift	VERB
cpos-635	355	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	355	38	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	355	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	355	40	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	355	41	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	355	42	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	355	43	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	355	44	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-635	355	45	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	355	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	356	1	devi	devi	PROPN
cpos-635	356	2	fokeer	fokeer	PROPN
cpos-635	356	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	356	4	narsoo	narsoo	ADJ
cpos-635	356	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	356	6	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	356	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	356	8	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	356	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	356	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	356	11	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	356	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	356	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	356	14	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	356	15	effective	effective	ADJ
cpos-635	356	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	356	17	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	356	18	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	356	19	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	356	20	19	19	NUM
cpos-635	356	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	356	22	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	356	23	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	356	24	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	356	25	mixed	mix	VERB
cpos-635	356	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	356	27	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	356	28	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	356	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	356	30	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	356	31	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	356	32	ahead	ahead	NOUN
cpos-635	356	33	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	356	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	356	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	357	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-635	357	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	357	5	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	357	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	357	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	8	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	357	9	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	357	10	includes	include	VERB
cpos-635	357	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	357	12	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-635	357	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	14	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	357	15	uses	use	VERB
cpos-635	357	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	357	17	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	357	18	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-635	357	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	357	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	21	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	357	22	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-635	357	23	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	357	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	357	25	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	357	26	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	357	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	28	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	357	29	not	not	PART
cpos-635	357	30	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	357	31	as	as	ADV
cpos-635	357	32	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	357	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	357	34	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	357	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	357	36	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	357	37	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	357	38	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	357	39	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	357	40	the	the	DET
cpos-635	357	41	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	357	42	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	357	43	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	357	44	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	357	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	358	1	specifically	specifically	ADV
cpos-635	358	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	358	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	358	4	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	358	5	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	358	6	struggled	struggle	VERB
cpos-635	358	7	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	358	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	358	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	358	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	358	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	358	12	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	358	13	aged	age	VERB
cpos-635	358	14	22	22	NUM
cpos-635	358	15	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	358	16	58	58	NUM
cpos-635	358	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	358	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	358	19	likely	likely	ADV
cpos-635	358	20	contributed	contribute	VERB
cpos-635	358	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	358	22	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	358	23	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	358	24	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	358	25	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	358	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	358	27	22.9	22.9	NUM
cpos-635	358	28	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	358	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	358	30	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	358	31	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	358	32	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	358	33	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	358	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	358	35	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	358	36	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	358	37	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	358	38	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	358	39	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	358	40	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	358	41	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	358	42	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	358	43	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	358	44	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	358	45	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	358	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	359	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	359	2	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	359	3	aligns	align	VERB
cpos-635	359	4	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	359	5	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-635	359	6	work	work	NOUN
cpos-635	359	7	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	359	8	indicated	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	359	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	359	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	359	11	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	359	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	359	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	359	14	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	359	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	359	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	359	17	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	359	18	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	359	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	359	20	an	an	DET
cpos-635	359	21	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	359	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	359	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	359	24	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	359	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	359	26	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	359	27	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	359	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	359	29	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	359	30	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	359	31	aged	age	VERB
cpos-635	359	32	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	359	33	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	359	34	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	359	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	359	36	terblanche	terblanche	NOUN
cpos-635	359	37	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-635	359	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	359	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	360	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	360	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	360	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	360	4	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	360	5	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	360	6	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	360	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	360	8	linked	link	VERB
cpos-635	360	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	360	10	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	360	11	incorporation	incorporation	NOUN
cpos-635	360	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	360	13	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	360	14	constraints	constraint	NOUN
cpos-635	360	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	360	16	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	360	17	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	360	18	ensuring	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	360	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	360	20	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	360	21	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	360	22	not	not	PART
cpos-635	360	23	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	360	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	360	25	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-635	360	26	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	360	27	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	360	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	360	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	360	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	360	31	15	15	NUM
cpos-635	360	32	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	360	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	360	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	360	35	that	that	DET
cpos-635	360	36	male	male	NOUN
cpos-635	360	37	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	360	38	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-635	360	39	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	360	40	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	360	41	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	360	42	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	360	43	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	360	44	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	360	45	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	360	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	361	1	these	these	PRON
cpos-635	361	2	assumptions	assumption	VERB
cpos-635	361	3	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-635	361	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-635	362	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	362	4	asdrs	asdr	VERB
cpos-635	362	5	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	362	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	362	7	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	362	8	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	362	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	362	10	a	a	DET
cpos-635	362	11	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	362	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	13	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	362	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	362	15	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	362	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	17	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-635	362	18	jump	jump	NOUN
cpos-635	362	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	20	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	362	21	0.000001	0.000001	NUM
cpos-635	362	22	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	362	23	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	362	24	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	362	25	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	362	26	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	362	27	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	362	28	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	362	29	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	362	30	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	362	31	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	362	32	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	362	33	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	362	34	female	female	NOUN
cpos-635	362	35	0.00001	0.00001	NUM
cpos-635	362	36	0.0001	0.0001	NUM
cpos-635	362	37	0.001	0.001	NUM
cpos-635	362	38	0.01	0.01	NUM
cpos-635	362	39	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-635	362	40	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	362	41	0	0	NUM
cpos-635	362	42	50	50	NUM
cpos-635	362	43	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	362	44	150	150	NUM
cpos-635	362	45	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	362	46	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	362	47	male	male	NOUN
cpos-635	362	48	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	362	49	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	362	50	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-635	362	51	source	source	NOUN
cpos-635	362	52	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	53	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	362	54	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	55	calculations	calculation	NOUN
cpos-635	362	56	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	362	57	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	362	58	hmd	hmd	NOUN
cpos-635	362	59	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	60	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	362	61	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	362	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	363	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	363	2	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	363	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	363	4	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	363	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	363	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	363	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	363	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	363	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	363	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	363	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	363	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	363	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	363	14	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	363	15	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	363	16	121	121	NUM
cpos-635	363	17	enhance	enhance	VERB
cpos-635	363	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	363	19	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	363	20	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	363	21	reliability	reliability	NOUN
cpos-635	363	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	363	23	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	363	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	363	25	extended	extended	ADJ
cpos-635	363	26	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	363	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	363	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	363	29	align	align	VERB
cpos-635	363	30	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	363	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	363	32	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	363	33	realities	reality	NOUN
cpos-635	363	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	364	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	364	2	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	364	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	364	4	has	have	AUX
cpos-635	364	5	not	not	PART
cpos-635	364	6	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	364	7	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	364	8	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	364	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	364	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	364	11	rarely	rarely	ADV
cpos-635	364	12	included	include	VERB
cpos-635	364	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	364	14	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	364	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	364	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	364	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	364	18	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	364	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	365	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	365	2	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	365	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	365	4	this	this	DET
cpos-635	365	5	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	365	6	suggest	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	365	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	365	8	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	365	9	would	would	AUX
cpos-635	365	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	365	11	worthwhile	worthwhile	ADJ
cpos-635	365	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	365	13	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	365	14	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	365	15	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	365	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	365	17	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-635	365	18	useful	useful	ADJ
cpos-635	365	19	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	365	20	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	365	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	365	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	366	1	next	next	ADV
cpos-635	366	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	366	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	366	4	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	366	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	366	6	one	one	NUM
cpos-635	366	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	366	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	366	9	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-635	366	10	findings	finding	NOUN
cpos-635	366	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	366	12	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	366	13	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	366	14	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	366	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	366	16	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	366	17	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	366	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	366	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	366	20	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	366	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	366	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	367	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	367	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	367	3	not	not	PART
cpos-635	367	4	unexpected	unexpected	ADJ
cpos-635	367	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	367	6	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	367	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	367	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	367	9	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	367	10	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	367	11	designed	design	VERB
cpos-635	367	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	367	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	367	14	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-635	367	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	367	16	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	367	17	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	367	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	367	19	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-635	367	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	367	21	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	367	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	367	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	367	24	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	367	25	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	367	26	to	to	PART
cpos-635	367	27	fit	fit	VERB
cpos-635	367	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	367	29	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	367	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	367	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	367	32	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	367	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	367	34	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	367	35	the	the	DET
cpos-635	367	36	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	367	37	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	367	38	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	367	39	created	create	VERB
cpos-635	367	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	368	1	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	368	2	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	368	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	368	4	aware	aware	ADJ
cpos-635	368	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	368	6	this	this	DET
cpos-635	368	7	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	368	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	368	9	not	not	PART
cpos-635	368	10	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-635	368	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	368	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	368	13	full	full	ADJ
cpos-635	368	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	368	15	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	368	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	369	1	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-635	369	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	369	3	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	369	4	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	369	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	369	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	369	7	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	369	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	369	9	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	369	10	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	369	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	369	12	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	369	13	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	369	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	369	15	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	369	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	369	17	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	369	18	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	369	19	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	369	20	among	among	ADP
cpos-635	369	21	the	the	DET
cpos-635	369	22	poorest	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	369	23	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	369	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	370	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	370	2	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	370	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	370	4	forecasts	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	370	5	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	370	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	370	7	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	370	8	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	370	9	together	together	ADV
cpos-635	370	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	370	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	370	12	products	product	NOUN
cpos-635	370	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	370	14	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	370	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	371	1	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	371	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	371	3	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	371	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	371	5	generally	generally	ADV
cpos-635	371	6	have	have	VERB
cpos-635	371	7	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	371	8	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	371	9	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	371	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	371	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	371	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	371	13	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	371	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	372	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	372	2	example	example	NOUN
cpos-635	372	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	372	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	372	5	this	this	DET
cpos-635	372	6	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	372	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	372	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	372	9	average	average	ADJ
cpos-635	372	10	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	372	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	372	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	372	13	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	372	14	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	372	15	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	372	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	372	17	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	372	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	372	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	372	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	372	21	30year	30year	NUM
cpos-635	372	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	372	23	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	372	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	372	25	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	372	26	3.27	3.27	NUM
cpos-635	372	27	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	372	28	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	372	29	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	372	30	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-635	372	31	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	372	32	2.39	2.39	NUM
cpos-635	372	33	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	372	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	372	35	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	372	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	373	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	373	2	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	373	3	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	373	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	373	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	373	6	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	373	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	373	8	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	373	9	increase	increase	VERB
cpos-635	373	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	373	11	relative	relative	ADJ
cpos-635	373	12	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-635	373	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	373	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	373	15	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	373	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	373	17	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	373	18	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	373	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	373	20	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	373	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	373	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	374	2	findings	finding	NOUN
cpos-635	374	3	align	align	VERB
cpos-635	374	4	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	374	5	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	374	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	7	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-635	374	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	10	who	who	PRON
cpos-635	374	11	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-635	374	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	374	13	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	374	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	374	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	374	16	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	374	17	like	like	ADP
cpos-635	374	18	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	374	19	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	374	20	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	374	21	less	less	ADV
cpos-635	374	22	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	374	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	374	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	374	25	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-635	374	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	374	28	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	374	29	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	374	30	combined	combine	VERB
cpos-635	374	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	374	32	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	374	33	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	374	34	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	374	35	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	374	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	1	specifically	specifically	ADV
cpos-635	375	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	3	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	375	4	noted	note	VERB
cpos-635	375	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	375	6	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	375	7	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	375	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	375	9	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	375	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	375	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	375	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	375	13	modelled	model	VERB
cpos-635	375	14	together	together	ADV
cpos-635	375	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	375	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	375	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	375	19	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-635	375	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	375	22	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	375	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	24	typically	typically	ADV
cpos-635	375	25	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	375	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	375	27	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	375	28	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	375	29	negatively	negatively	ADV
cpos-635	375	30	influenced	influence	VERB
cpos-635	375	31	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	375	32	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-635	375	33	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	375	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	375	35	highermortality	highermortality	NOUN
cpos-635	375	36	group	group	NOUN
cpos-635	375	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	1	bergeron	bergeron	PROPN
cpos-635	376	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	3	boucher	boucher	PROPN
cpos-635	376	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	376	5	kjærgaard	kjærgaard	PROPN
cpos-635	376	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	7	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	376	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	9	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	376	10	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	376	11	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	376	12	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
cpos-635	376	13	mean	mean	NOUN
cpos-635	376	14	absolute	absolute	ADJ
cpos-635	376	15	percentage	percentage	NOUN
cpos-635	376	16	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	376	17	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	376	18	generally	generally	ADV
cpos-635	376	19	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	376	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	376	21	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	376	22	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	376	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	376	24	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	376	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	376	26	an	an	DET
cpos-635	376	27	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	376	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	376	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	376	30	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	376	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	32	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	376	33	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	376	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	376	35	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	376	36	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-635	376	37	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	376	38	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	376	39	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	376	40	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	376	41	canada	canada	PROPN
cpos-635	376	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	43	denmark	denmark	PROPN
cpos-635	376	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	45	italy	italy	PROPN
cpos-635	376	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	376	47	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	376	48	sweden	sweden	PROPN
cpos-635	376	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	377	1	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	377	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	377	3	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	377	4	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	377	5	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	377	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	377	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	377	8	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	377	9	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	377	10	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	377	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	377	12	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	377	13	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	377	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	377	15	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	377	16	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	377	17	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	377	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	377	19	the	the	DET
cpos-635	377	20	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	377	21	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	377	22	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	377	23	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	377	24	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	377	25	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	377	26	good	good	ADJ
cpos-635	377	27	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	377	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	377	29	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	377	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	377	31	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	377	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	377	33	suggested	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	377	34	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	377	35	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	377	36	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	377	37	a	a	DET
cpos-635	377	38	benchmark	benchmark	NOUN
cpos-635	377	39	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	377	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	378	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	378	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	378	3	important	important	ADJ
cpos-635	378	4	to	to	PART
cpos-635	378	5	note	note	VERB
cpos-635	378	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	378	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	378	8	advantage	advantage	NOUN
cpos-635	378	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	378	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	378	11	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	378	12	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	378	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	378	14	not	not	PART
cpos-635	378	15	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	378	16	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	378	17	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	378	18	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-635	378	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	378	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	378	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	378	22	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-635	378	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	378	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	378	25	creation	creation	NOUN
cpos-635	378	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	378	27	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	378	28	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	378	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	378	30	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	378	31	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	378	32	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	378	33	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	378	34	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	378	35	not	not	PART
cpos-635	378	36	diverge	diverge	VERB
cpos-635	378	37	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	378	38	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	378	39	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	378	40	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	378	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	379	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	379	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	379	3	an	an	DET
cpos-635	379	4	important	important	ADJ
cpos-635	379	5	property	property	NOUN
cpos-635	379	6	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	379	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	379	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	379	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	379	10	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	379	11	need	need	VERB
cpos-635	379	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	379	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	379	14	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	379	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	379	16	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	379	17	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	379	18	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	379	19	even	even	ADV
cpos-635	379	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	379	21	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	379	22	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	379	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	379	24	woods	woods	PROPN
cpos-635	379	25	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	379	26	dunstan	dunstan	NOUN
cpos-635	379	27	2014	2014	NUM
cpos-635	379	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	379	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	380	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	380	2	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-635	380	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	380	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	380	5	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	380	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	380	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	380	8	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	380	9	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	380	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	380	11	mindful	mindful	ADJ
cpos-635	380	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	380	13	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	380	14	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	380	15	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	380	16	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	380	17	poorer	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	380	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	380	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	380	20	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	380	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	381	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	381	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	381	3	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	381	4	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	381	5	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	381	6	aware	aware	ADJ
cpos-635	381	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	381	8	not	not	PART
cpos-635	381	9	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	381	10	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	381	11	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	381	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	381	13	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	381	14	typically	typically	ADV
cpos-635	381	15	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	381	16	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	381	17	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	381	18	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	381	19	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	381	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	381	21	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	381	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	381	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	381	24	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	381	25	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	381	26	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	381	27	generally	generally	ADV
cpos-635	381	28	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	381	29	inaccurate	inaccurate	ADJ
cpos-635	381	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	382	1	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	382	2	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	382	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	382	4	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	382	5	not	not	PART
cpos-635	382	6	always	always	ADV
cpos-635	382	7	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	382	8	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	382	9	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	382	10	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	382	11	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	382	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	382	13	tend	tend	VERB
cpos-635	382	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	382	15	reduce	reduce	VERB
cpos-635	382	16	the	the	DET
cpos-635	382	17	frequency	frequency	NOUN
cpos-635	382	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	382	19	bad	bad	ADJ
cpos-635	382	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	382	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	382	22	grossman	grossman	NOUN
cpos-635	382	23	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	382	24	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	382	25	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	382	26	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	382	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	382	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	383	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	383	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	383	3	li	li	PROPN
cpos-635	383	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	383	5	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	383	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	383	7	found	find	VERB
cpos-635	383	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	383	9	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	383	10	averaging	averaging	NOUN
cpos-635	383	11	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	383	12	not	not	PART
cpos-635	383	13	outperform	outperform	VERB
cpos-635	383	14	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	383	15	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	383	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	383	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	384	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	384	2	this	this	DET
cpos-635	384	3	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	384	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	384	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	384	6	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	384	7	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	384	8	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	384	9	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	384	10	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	384	11	most	most	ADJ
cpos-635	384	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	384	13	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	384	14	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	384	15	constituent	constituent	NOUN
cpos-635	384	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	384	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	385	1	whilst	whilst	SCONJ
cpos-635	385	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	385	3	s	s	NOUN
cpos-635	385	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	385	5	u	u	PRON
cpos-635	385	6	ensembles	ensemble	NOUN
cpos-635	385	7	generally	generally	ADV
cpos-635	385	8	yielded	yield	VERB
cpos-635	385	9	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-635	385	10	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	385	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	385	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	385	13	d	d	PROPN
cpos-635	385	14	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	385	15	did	do	AUX
cpos-635	385	16	not	not	PART
cpos-635	385	17	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	385	18	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	385	19	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	385	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	385	21	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-635	385	22	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	385	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	385	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	385	25	inclusion	inclusion	NOUN
cpos-635	385	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	385	27	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	385	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	385	29	high	high	ADJ
cpos-635	385	30	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	385	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	385	32	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	385	33	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	385	34	the	the	DET
cpos-635	385	35	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	385	36	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	385	37	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	385	38	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	385	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	385	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	386	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	386	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	386	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	386	4	notably	notably	ADV
cpos-635	386	5	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	386	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	386	7	those	those	PRON
cpos-635	386	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	386	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	386	10	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	386	11	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	386	12	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	386	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	386	14	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	386	15	have	have	VERB
cpos-635	386	16	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	386	17	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	386	18	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	386	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	386	20	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	386	21	wilson122	wilson122	PROPN
cpos-635	386	22	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	386	23	identified	identify	VERB
cpos-635	386	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	386	25	removed	remove	VERB
cpos-635	386	26	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	386	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	386	28	ensembles	ensemble	NOUN
cpos-635	386	29	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-635	386	30	a	a	DET
cpos-635	386	31	trimmed	trim	VERB
cpos-635	386	32	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	386	33	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	386	34	had	have	AUX
cpos-635	386	35	been	be	AUX
cpos-635	386	36	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	386	37	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	386	38	see	see	VERB
cpos-635	386	39	rayer	rayer	PROPN
cpos-635	386	40	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	386	41	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	386	42	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	386	43	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	386	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	386	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	387	1	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	387	2	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	387	3	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	387	4	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	387	5	this	this	DET
cpos-635	387	6	accessible	accessible	ADJ
cpos-635	387	7	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	387	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	387	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	387	10	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	387	11	has	have	VERB
cpos-635	387	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	387	13	potential	potential	NOUN
cpos-635	387	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	387	15	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-635	387	16	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	387	17	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	387	18	reliability	reliability	NOUN
cpos-635	387	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	387	20	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	387	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
cpos-635	388	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	388	3	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	388	4	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	388	5	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	388	6	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	388	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	388	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	388	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	388	10	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	388	11	unlike	unlike	ADP
cpos-635	388	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	388	13	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	388	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	15	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	388	16	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	388	17	presented	present	VERB
cpos-635	388	18	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	388	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	388	21	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	388	22	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	388	23	projection	projection	ADJ
cpos-635	388	24	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	388	25	evaluates	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	388	26	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	388	27	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	388	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	29	providing	provide	VERB
cpos-635	388	30	a	a	DET
cpos-635	388	31	single	single	ADJ
cpos-635	388	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	33	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
cpos-635	388	34	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	388	35	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	388	36	connects	connect	VERB
cpos-635	388	37	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	388	38	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	388	39	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	388	40	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	388	41	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	388	42	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	388	43	level	level	NOUN
cpos-635	388	44	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
cpos-635	388	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	389	1	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	389	2	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	389	3	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	389	4	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	389	5	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	389	6	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	389	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	389	8	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	389	9	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	389	10	highlight	highlight	VERB
cpos-635	389	11	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	389	12	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-635	389	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	389	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	389	15	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	389	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	389	17	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	389	18	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	389	19	not	not	PART
cpos-635	389	20	fully	fully	ADV
cpos-635	389	21	capture	capture	VERB
cpos-635	389	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	389	23	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	389	24	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	389	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	389	26	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	389	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	389	28	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	389	29	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	389	30	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	389	31	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	389	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	389	33	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-635	389	34	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	389	35	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	389	36	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	389	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	389	38	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	389	39	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	389	40	vital	vital	ADJ
cpos-635	389	41	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	389	42	planning	plan	VERB
cpos-635	389	43	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	389	44	sectors	sector	NOUN
cpos-635	389	45	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	389	46	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	389	47	healthcare	healthcare	NOUN
cpos-635	389	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	389	49	aged	aged	ADJ
cpos-635	389	50	care	care	NOUN
cpos-635	389	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	390	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	390	2	offering	offer	VERB
cpos-635	390	3	this	this	DET
cpos-635	390	4	broader	broad	ADJ
cpos-635	390	5	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cpos-635	390	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	390	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	390	8	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	390	9	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	390	10	projection	projection	ADJ
cpos-635	390	11	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	390	12	complements	complement	VERB
cpos-635	390	13	traditional	traditional	ADJ
cpos-635	390	14	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	390	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	390	16	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-635	390	17	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	390	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	390	19	actionable	actionable	ADJ
cpos-635	390	20	insights	insight	NOUN
cpos-635	390	21	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	390	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	390	23	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	390	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	390	25	world	world	NOUN
cpos-635	390	26	implications	implication	NOUN
cpos-635	390	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	390	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	390	29	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	390	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	391	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	391	2	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	391	3	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	391	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	391	5	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	391	6	revealed	reveal	VERB
cpos-635	391	7	notable	notable	ADJ
cpos-635	391	8	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	391	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	391	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	391	11	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	391	12	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	391	13	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	391	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	392	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	392	2	example	example	NOUN
cpos-635	392	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	392	4	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	392	5	a	a	DET
cpos-635	392	6	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	392	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	392	8	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	392	9	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	392	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	392	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	392	12	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	392	13	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	392	14	consistently	consistently	ADV
cpos-635	392	15	outperformed	outperform	VERB
cpos-635	392	16	others	other	NOUN
cpos-635	392	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	392	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	392	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	392	20	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	392	21	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	392	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	392	23	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	392	24	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	392	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	392	26	7.7	7.7	NUM
cpos-635	392	27	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	392	28	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	392	29	five	five	NUM
cpos-635	392	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	392	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	393	2	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	393	3	substantially	substantially	ADV
cpos-635	393	4	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-635	393	5	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	393	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	393	7	next	next	ADJ
cpos-635	393	8	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	393	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	393	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	393	12	s	s	X
cpos-635	393	13	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	393	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	15	13.6	13.6	NUM
cpos-635	393	16	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	393	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	393	19	em	em	PRON
cpos-635	393	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	21	14.2	14.2	NUM
cpos-635	393	22	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	393	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	393	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	394	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	394	2	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	394	3	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	394	4	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	394	5	poorly	poorly	ADV
cpos-635	394	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	394	7	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	394	8	a	a	DET
cpos-635	394	9	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-635	394	10	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	394	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	394	12	22.9	22.9	NUM
cpos-635	394	13	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	394	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	394	15	a	a	DET
cpos-635	394	16	result	result	NOUN
cpos-635	394	17	not	not	PART
cpos-635	394	18	immediately	immediately	ADV
cpos-635	394	19	evident	evident	ADJ
cpos-635	394	20	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	394	21	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	394	22	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	394	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	395	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	395	2	instance	instance	NOUN
cpos-635	395	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	395	4	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	395	5	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	395	6	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	395	7	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	395	8	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	395	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	395	10	same	same	ADJ
cpos-635	395	11	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	395	12	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	395	13	comparable	comparable	ADJ
cpos-635	395	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	395	15	better	well	ADV
cpos-635	395	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	395	17	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	395	18	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	395	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	395	20	averaging	average	VERB
cpos-635	395	21	0.036	0.036	NUM
cpos-635	395	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	395	23	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	395	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	395	25	0.023	0.023	NUM
cpos-635	395	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	395	27	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	395	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	395	29	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	395	30	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	395	31	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	395	32	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	395	33	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	395	34	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	395	35	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-635	395	36	unremarkable	unremarkable	ADJ
cpos-635	395	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	396	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	396	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	396	3	online	online	ADJ
cpos-635	396	4	appendix	appendix	ADJ
cpos-635	396	5	b6	b6	NOUN
cpos-635	396	6	reveals	reveal	VERB
cpos-635	396	7	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	396	8	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	396	9	challenges	challenge	NOUN
cpos-635	396	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	396	11	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	396	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	396	13	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	396	14	−	−	VERB
cpos-635	396	15	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	396	16	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	396	17	aged	age	VERB
cpos-635	396	18	22	22	NUM
cpos-635	396	19	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	396	20	58	58	NUM
cpos-635	396	21	−	−	NOUN
cpos-635	396	22	likely	likely	ADV
cpos-635	396	23	contributing	contribute	VERB
cpos-635	396	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	396	25	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	396	26	weaker	weak	ADJ
cpos-635	396	27	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	396	28	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	396	29	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	396	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	397	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	397	2	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
cpos-635	397	3	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	397	4	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	397	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	397	6	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	397	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	397	8	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	397	9	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	397	10	compound	compound	VERB
cpos-635	397	11	to	to	PART
cpos-635	397	12	influence	influence	VERB
cpos-635	397	13	aggregate	aggregate	VERB
cpos-635	397	14	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
cpos-635	397	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	397	16	demonstrating	demonstrate	VERB
cpos-635	397	17	the	the	DET
cpos-635	397	18	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	397	19	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	397	20	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	397	21	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	397	22	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	397	23	ability	ability	NOUN
cpos-635	397	24	to	to	PART
cpos-635	397	25	identify	identify	VERB
cpos-635	397	26	issues	issue	NOUN
cpos-635	397	27	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	397	28	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	397	29	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	397	30	might	might	AUX
cpos-635	397	31	overlook	overlook	VERB
cpos-635	397	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	398	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	398	2	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	398	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	398	4	highlight	highlight	VERB
cpos-635	398	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	398	6	influence	influence	NOUN
cpos-635	398	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	398	8	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	398	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	398	10	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	398	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	398	12	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	398	13	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	398	14	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	398	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	399	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-635	399	2	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	399	3	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	399	4	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	399	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	399	6	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	399	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	399	8	calculated	calculate	VERB
cpos-635	399	9	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-635	399	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	399	11	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	399	12	contributions	contribution	NOUN
cpos-635	399	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	399	14	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	399	15	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	399	16	reflect	reflect	VERB
cpos-635	399	17	underlying	underlying	ADJ
cpos-635	399	18	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	399	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	399	20	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	399	21	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	399	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	399	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	399	24	sizes	size	NOUN
cpos-635	399	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	399	26	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	399	27	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	399	28	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	399	29	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	399	30	typically	typically	ADV
cpos-635	399	31	exhibiting	exhibit	VERB
cpos-635	399	32	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	399	33	variability	variability	NOUN
cpos-635	399	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	400	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	400	2	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	400	3	model	model	PROPN
cpos-635	400	4	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	400	5	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-635	400	6	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	400	7	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	400	8	all	all	DET
cpos-635	400	9	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	400	10	suggests	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	400	11	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	400	12	handles	handle	VERB
cpos-635	400	13	these	these	DET
cpos-635	400	14	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
cpos-635	400	15	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	400	16	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	400	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	400	18	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-635	400	19	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	400	20	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	400	21	high	high	ADJ
cpos-635	400	22	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	400	23	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	400	24	projection	projection	ADJ
cpos-635	400	25	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	400	26	underscore	underscore	VERB
cpos-635	400	27	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	400	28	even	even	ADV
cpos-635	400	29	moderate	moderate	ADJ
cpos-635	400	30	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	400	31	inaccuracies	inaccuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	400	32	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	400	33	key	key	ADJ
cpos-635	400	34	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	400	35	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-635	400	36	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	400	37	cascade	cascade	VERB
cpos-635	400	38	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	400	39	larger	large	ADJ
cpos-635	400	40	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
cpos-635	400	41	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	400	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	401	1	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	401	2	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	401	3	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	401	4	explore	explore	VERB
cpos-635	401	5	applying	apply	VERB
cpos-635	401	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	401	7	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	401	8	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	401	9	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	401	10	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	401	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	401	12	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	401	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	401	14	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	401	15	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-635	401	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	401	17	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	401	18	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	401	19	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-635	401	20	deeper	deep	ADJ
cpos-635	401	21	insights	insight	NOUN
cpos-635	401	22	into	into	ADP
cpos-635	401	23	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	401	24	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	401	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	401	26	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	401	27	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	401	28	propagate	propagate	VERB
cpos-635	401	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	401	30	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	401	31	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	401	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	402	1	such	such	DET
cpos-635	402	2	an	an	DET
cpos-635	402	3	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	402	4	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	402	5	complement	complement	VERB
cpos-635	402	6	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
cpos-635	402	7	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	402	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	402	9	further	far	ADV
cpos-635	402	10	enhance	enhance	VERB
cpos-635	402	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	402	12	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	402	13	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	402	14	value	value	NOUN
cpos-635	402	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	402	16	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	402	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	403	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	403	2	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	403	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	403	4	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	403	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	403	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	403	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	403	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	403	9	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	403	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	403	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	403	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	403	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	403	14	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	403	15	•	•	ADV
cpos-635	403	16	123	123	NUM
cpos-635	403	17	5	5	NUM
cpos-635	403	18	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-635	403	19	this	this	DET
cpos-635	403	20	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	403	21	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	403	22	nine	nine	NUM
cpos-635	403	23	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-635	403	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	403	25	three	three	NUM
cpos-635	403	26	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	403	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	403	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	403	29	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	403	30	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	403	31	producing	produce	VERB
cpos-635	403	32	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	403	33	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	403	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	403	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	403	36	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	403	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	404	1	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	404	2	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	404	3	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	404	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	404	5	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	404	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	404	7	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	404	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	404	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	404	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	404	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	404	12	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	404	13	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	404	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	404	15	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-635	404	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	404	17	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	404	18	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	404	19	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	404	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	404	21	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	404	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	404	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	404	24	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	404	25	numbers	number	NOUN
cpos-635	404	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	404	27	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	404	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	405	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	405	2	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	405	3	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	405	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	405	5	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	405	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	405	7	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	405	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	405	9	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	405	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	405	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	405	12	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	405	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	405	14	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-635	405	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	405	16	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	405	17	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	405	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	406	2	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	406	3	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	406	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	406	5	this	this	DET
cpos-635	406	6	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	406	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	406	8	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	406	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	406	10	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	406	11	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	406	12	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	406	13	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	406	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	15	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	406	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	406	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	406	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	20	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	406	21	offer	offer	VERB
cpos-635	406	22	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-635	406	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	24	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	406	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	26	documented	document	VERB
cpos-635	406	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	406	29	user	user	NOUN
cpos-635	406	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	406	31	friendly	friendly	ADJ
cpos-635	406	32	implementations	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	406	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	407	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	407	2	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	407	3	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	407	4	even	even	ADV
cpos-635	407	5	complex	complex	ADJ
cpos-635	407	6	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	407	7	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	407	8	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	407	9	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	407	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	407	11	cfdm	cfdm	ADJ
cpos-635	407	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	407	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	407	14	readily	readily	ADV
cpos-635	407	15	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-635	407	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	407	17	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	407	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	407	19	world	world	NOUN
cpos-635	407	20	settings	setting	NOUN
cpos-635	407	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	407	22	bridging	bridge	VERB
cpos-635	407	23	the	the	DET
cpos-635	407	24	gap	gap	NOUN
cpos-635	407	25	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	407	26	academic	academic	ADJ
cpos-635	407	27	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	407	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	407	29	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	407	30	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-635	407	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	408	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	408	2	focusing	focus	VERB
cpos-635	408	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	408	4	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	408	5	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	408	6	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	408	7	these	these	DET
cpos-635	408	8	established	establish	VERB
cpos-635	408	9	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	408	10	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	408	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	408	12	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	408	13	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-635	408	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	408	15	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	408	16	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	408	17	supports	support	VERB
cpos-635	408	18	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	408	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	408	20	selecting	select	VERB
cpos-635	408	21	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	408	22	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	408	23	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	408	24	not	not	PART
cpos-635	408	25	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	408	26	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	408	27	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	408	28	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	408	29	accessible	accessible	ADJ
cpos-635	408	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	408	31	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	408	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	409	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	409	2	code	code	NOUN
cpos-635	409	3	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	409	4	to	to	PART
cpos-635	409	5	create	create	VERB
cpos-635	409	6	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	409	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	409	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	409	9	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	409	10	made	make	VERB
cpos-635	409	11	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	409	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	409	13	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	409	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	409	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	409	16	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	409	17	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	409	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	409	19	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	409	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	409	21	not	not	PART
cpos-635	409	22	currently	currently	ADV
cpos-635	409	23	included	include	VERB
cpos-635	409	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	409	25	any	any	PRON
cpos-635	409	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	409	27	the	the	DET
cpos-635	409	28	popular	popular	ADJ
cpos-635	409	29	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	409	30	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	409	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	410	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	410	2	doing	do	VERB
cpos-635	410	3	so	so	ADV
cpos-635	410	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	410	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	410	6	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-635	410	7	to	to	PART
cpos-635	410	8	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-635	410	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	410	10	findings	finding	NOUN
cpos-635	410	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	410	12	this	this	DET
cpos-635	410	13	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	410	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	410	15	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	410	16	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-635	410	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	410	18	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	410	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	411	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	411	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-635	411	3	findings	finding	NOUN
cpos-635	411	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	411	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	411	6	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	411	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	411	8	summarised	summarise	VERB
cpos-635	411	9	here	here	ADV
cpos-635	411	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	411	11	•	•	SCONJ
cpos-635	411	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	411	13	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	411	14	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	411	15	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	411	16	strongly	strongly	ADV
cpos-635	411	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	411	18	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	411	19	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	411	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	411	21	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	411	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	411	23	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	411	24	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-635	411	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	411	26	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	411	27	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	411	28	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	411	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	411	30	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	411	31	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	411	32	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	411	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	411	34	both	both	DET
cpos-635	411	35	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	411	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	411	37	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	411	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	412	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	412	2	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	412	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
cpos-635	412	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	412	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	412	6	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	412	7	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	412	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	412	9	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	412	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	412	11	suited	suit	VERB
cpos-635	412	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	412	13	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	412	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	412	15	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	412	16	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	412	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	412	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	413	1	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	413	2	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	413	3	find	find	VERB
cpos-635	413	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	413	5	apc	apc	PROPN
cpos-635	413	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	413	7	a	a	DET
cpos-635	413	8	useful	useful	ADJ
cpos-635	413	9	option	option	NOUN
cpos-635	413	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	413	11	producing	produce	VERB
cpos-635	413	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	413	13	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	413	14	extended	extended	ADJ
cpos-635	413	15	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	413	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	414	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	414	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	414	3	cbd	cbd	NOUN
cpos-635	414	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	414	5	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	414	6	poorly	poorly	ADV
cpos-635	414	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	414	8	emphasising	emphasise	VERB
cpos-635	414	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	414	10	it	it	PRON
cpos-635	414	11	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	414	12	not	not	PART
cpos-635	414	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	414	14	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	414	15	outside	outside	ADP
cpos-635	414	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	414	17	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	414	18	intended	intend	VERB
cpos-635	414	19	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	414	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	414	21	older	old	ADJ
cpos-635	414	22	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	414	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	415	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	415	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	415	3	inclusion	inclusion	NOUN
cpos-635	415	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	415	5	poor	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	415	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	415	7	appeared	appear	VERB
cpos-635	415	8	to	to	PART
cpos-635	415	9	substantively	substantively	ADV
cpos-635	415	10	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	415	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	415	12	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	415	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	415	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	415	15	ensemble	ensemble	ADJ
cpos-635	415	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	415	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	416	1	further	further	ADJ
cpos-635	416	2	investigation	investigation	NOUN
cpos-635	416	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	416	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	416	5	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	416	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	416	7	trimmed	trim	VERB
cpos-635	416	8	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	416	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	416	10	a	a	DET
cpos-635	416	11	wide	wide	ADJ
cpos-635	416	12	range	range	NOUN
cpos-635	416	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	416	14	base	base	NOUN
cpos-635	416	15	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	416	16	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	416	17	prove	prove	VERB
cpos-635	416	18	useful	useful	ADJ
cpos-635	416	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	417	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	417	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	417	3	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	417	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	417	5	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-635	417	6	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-635	417	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	417	8	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	417	9	all	all	DET
cpos-635	417	10	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	417	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	418	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	418	2	robustness	robustness	NOUN
cpos-635	418	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	418	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	418	5	em	em	PROPN
cpos-635	418	6	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	418	7	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	418	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	418	9	linked	link	VERB
cpos-635	418	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	418	11	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	418	12	incorporation	incorporation	NOUN
cpos-635	418	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	418	14	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	418	15	constraints	constraint	NOUN
cpos-635	418	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	418	17	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	418	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	418	19	ensuring	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	418	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	418	21	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	418	22	do	do	AUX
cpos-635	418	23	not	not	PART
cpos-635	418	24	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-635	418	25	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	418	26	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	418	27	after	after	ADP
cpos-635	418	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	418	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	418	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	418	31	15	15	NUM
cpos-635	418	32	years	year	NOUN
cpos-635	418	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	418	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	418	35	that	that	DET
cpos-635	418	36	male	male	NOUN
cpos-635	418	37	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	418	38	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-635	418	39	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-635	418	40	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	418	41	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	418	42	equal	equal	ADJ
cpos-635	418	43	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	418	44	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	418	45	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	418	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	419	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	419	2	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-635	419	3	enhance	enhance	VERB
cpos-635	419	4	its	its	PRON
cpos-635	419	5	reliability	reliability	NOUN
cpos-635	419	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	419	7	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-635	419	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	419	9	extended	extended	ADJ
cpos-635	419	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	419	11	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	419	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	419	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	419	14	align	align	VERB
cpos-635	419	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	419	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	419	17	realities	reality	NOUN
cpos-635	419	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	420	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	420	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	420	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	420	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	420	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	420	6	tend	tend	VERB
cpos-635	420	7	to	to	PART
cpos-635	420	8	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	420	9	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	420	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	420	11	males	male	NOUN
cpos-635	420	12	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	420	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	420	14	females	female	NOUN
cpos-635	420	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	421	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	421	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	421	3	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	421	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	421	5	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	421	6	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	421	7	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	421	8	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	421	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	421	10	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	421	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	421	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	421	13	together	together	ADV
cpos-635	421	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	421	15	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	421	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	421	17	cfdm	cfdm	NOUN
cpos-635	421	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	421	19	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	421	20	contribute	contribute	VERB
cpos-635	421	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	421	22	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	421	23	poorer	poor	ADJ
cpos-635	421	24	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	421	25	•	•	ADP
cpos-635	421	26	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	421	27	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	421	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	421	29	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	421	30	wilson124	wilson124	PROPN
cpos-635	421	31	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	421	32	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	421	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	421	34	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	421	35	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	421	36	due	due	ADP
cpos-635	421	37	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	421	38	the	the	DET
cpos-635	421	39	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-635	421	40	larger	large	ADJ
cpos-635	421	41	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	421	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	421	43	the	the	DET
cpos-635	421	44	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	421	45	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	421	46	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	421	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	422	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	422	3	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	422	4	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	422	5	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	422	6	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	422	7	revealed	reveal	VERB
cpos-635	422	8	significant	significant	ADJ
cpos-635	422	9	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	422	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	422	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	422	12	error	error	NOUN
cpos-635	422	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	422	14	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	422	15	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	422	16	generated	generate	VERB
cpos-635	422	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	422	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	422	19	best	good	ADJ
cpos-635	422	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	422	21	worst	bad	ADJ
cpos-635	422	22	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	422	23	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	422	24	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	422	25	a	a	DET
cpos-635	422	26	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	422	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	28	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	422	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	422	30	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	422	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	32	7.7	7.7	NUM
cpos-635	422	33	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	422	34	vs	vs	ADP
cpos-635	422	35	29.8	29.8	NUM
cpos-635	422	36	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	422	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	39	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	422	40	the	the	DET
cpos-635	422	41	plat	plat	ADJ
cpos-635	422	42	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	422	43	amongst	amongst	ADP
cpos-635	422	44	the	the	DET
cpos-635	422	45	weaker	weak	ADJ
cpos-635	422	46	performers	performer	NOUN
cpos-635	422	47	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	48	22.9	22.9	NUM
cpos-635	422	49	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	422	50	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	422	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	423	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	423	2	issues	issue	NOUN
cpos-635	423	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	423	4	not	not	PART
cpos-635	423	5	immediately	immediately	ADV
cpos-635	423	6	apparent	apparent	ADJ
cpos-635	423	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	423	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	423	9	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	423	10	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	423	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	423	12	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	423	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	423	14	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	423	15	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	423	16	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-635	423	17	asdr	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	423	18	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	423	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	424	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	424	2	linking	link	VERB
cpos-635	424	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	424	4	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	424	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	424	6	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	424	7	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
cpos-635	424	8	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	424	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	424	10	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	424	11	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	424	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	424	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	424	14	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
cpos-635	424	15	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	424	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	424	17	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	424	18	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	424	19	a	a	DET
cpos-635	424	20	clearer	clear	ADJ
cpos-635	424	21	understanding	understanding	NOUN
cpos-635	424	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	424	23	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	424	24	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	424	25	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	424	26	perform	perform	VERB
cpos-635	424	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	424	28	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	424	29	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-635	424	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	424	31	offering	offer	VERB
cpos-635	424	32	guidance	guidance	NOUN
cpos-635	424	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	424	34	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	424	35	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	424	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	424	37	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-635	424	38	planning	planning	NOUN
cpos-635	424	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	425	1	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	425	2	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	425	3	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	425	4	resulted	result	VERB
cpos-635	425	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	425	6	30	30	NUM
cpos-635	425	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	425	8	year	year	NOUN
cpos-635	425	9	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	425	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	425	11	up	up	ADP
cpos-635	425	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	425	13	20	20	NUM
cpos-635	425	14	percent	percent	NOUN
cpos-635	425	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	425	16	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
cpos-635	425	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	425	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	425	19	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	425	20	deaths	death	NOUN
cpos-635	425	21	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	425	22	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	425	23	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	425	24	the	the	DET
cpos-635	425	25	pseudoprojection	pseudoprojection	NOUN
cpos-635	425	26	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	425	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	426	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	426	2	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-635	426	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	426	4	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-635	426	5	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	426	6	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	426	7	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-635	426	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	426	9	longterm	longterm	ADJ
cpos-635	426	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	426	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	426	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	426	13	even	even	ADV
cpos-635	426	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	426	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	426	16	national	national	ADJ
cpos-635	426	17	level	level	NOUN
cpos-635	426	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	426	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	426	20	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	426	21	significant	significant	ADJ
cpos-635	426	22	discrepancies	discrepancy	NOUN
cpos-635	426	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	426	24	total	total	ADJ
cpos-635	426	25	death	death	NOUN
cpos-635	426	26	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	426	27	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	426	28	have	have	VERB
cpos-635	426	29	significant	significant	ADJ
cpos-635	426	30	impacts	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	426	31	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	426	32	overall	overall	ADJ
cpos-635	426	33	planning	planning	NOUN
cpos-635	426	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	426	35	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-635	426	36	decisions	decision	NOUN
cpos-635	426	37	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	426	38	rely	rely	VERB
cpos-635	426	39	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	426	40	these	these	DET
cpos-635	426	41	figures	figure	NOUN
cpos-635	426	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	427	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	427	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	427	3	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	427	4	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	427	5	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	427	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	427	7	shorter	short	ADJ
cpos-635	427	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	427	9	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	427	10	were	be	AUX
cpos-635	427	11	not	not	PART
cpos-635	427	12	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-635	427	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	427	14	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	427	15	performing	perform	VERB
cpos-635	427	16	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	427	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	427	18	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	427	19	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	427	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	428	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-635	428	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	428	3	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	428	4	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	428	5	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	428	6	little	little	ADJ
cpos-635	428	7	separating	separate	VERB
cpos-635	428	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	428	9	top	top	ADJ
cpos-635	428	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	428	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	428	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	428	13	shorter	short	ADJ
cpos-635	428	14	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	428	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	429	1	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	429	2	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	429	3	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	429	4	become	become	VERB
cpos-635	429	5	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	429	6	evident	evident	ADJ
cpos-635	429	7	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	429	8	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	429	9	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	429	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	430	1	given	give	VERB
cpos-635	430	2	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	430	3	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	430	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	430	5	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	430	6	required	require	VERB
cpos-635	430	7	to	to	PART
cpos-635	430	8	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-635	430	9	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	430	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	430	11	term	term	NOUN
cpos-635	430	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	430	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	430	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	430	15	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-635	430	16	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	430	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	430	18	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-635	430	19	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	430	20	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	430	21	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	430	22	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-635	430	23	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	430	24	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	430	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	430	26	developing	develop	VERB
cpos-635	430	27	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	430	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	430	29	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	430	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	431	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	431	2	are	be	VERB
cpos-635	431	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	431	4	several	several	ADJ
cpos-635	431	5	limitations	limitation	NOUN
cpos-635	431	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-635	431	7	readers	reader	NOUN
cpos-635	431	8	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	431	9	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	431	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	431	11	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	431	12	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
cpos-635	431	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	431	14	the	the	DET
cpos-635	431	15	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	431	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	432	1	first	first	ADV
cpos-635	432	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	432	3	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	432	4	study	study	NOUN
cpos-635	432	5	focused	focus	VERB
cpos-635	432	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	432	7	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	432	8	implementations	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	432	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	432	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	432	11	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	432	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	433	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	433	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	433	3	these	these	DET
cpos-635	433	4	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	433	5	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	433	6	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	433	7	configured	configure	VERB
cpos-635	433	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	433	9	many	many	ADJ
cpos-635	433	10	ways	way	NOUN
cpos-635	433	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	433	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	433	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	433	14	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	433	15	configuration	configuration	NOUN
cpos-635	433	16	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	433	17	impact	impact	VERB
cpos-635	433	18	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	433	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	434	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-635	434	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	434	3	evident	evident	ADJ
cpos-635	434	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	434	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	434	6	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-635	434	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	434	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	434	9	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	434	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	434	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	434	12	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	434	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	434	14	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	434	15	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	434	16	implementations	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	434	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	434	18	the	the	DET
cpos-635	434	19	leecarter	leecarter	NOUN
cpos-635	434	20	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	434	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	434	22	as	as	ADV
cpos-635	434	23	well	well	ADV
cpos-635	434	24	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	434	25	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	434	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	434	27	lc_d	lc_d	ADJ
cpos-635	434	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	434	29	lc_dc	lc_dc	PROPN
cpos-635	434	30	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	434	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	435	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	435	2	endeavoured	endeavour	VERB
cpos-635	435	3	to	to	PART
cpos-635	435	4	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	435	5	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	435	6	‘	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	435	7	off	off	ADP
cpos-635	435	8	the	the	DET
cpos-635	435	9	shelf	shelf	NOUN
cpos-635	435	10	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-635	435	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	435	12	to	to	PART
cpos-635	435	13	establish	establish	VERB
cpos-635	435	14	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	435	15	they	they	PRON
cpos-635	435	16	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-635	435	17	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	435	18	raw	raw	ADJ
cpos-635	435	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	435	20	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	435	21	minimal	minimal	ADJ
cpos-635	435	22	pre	pre	ADJ
cpos-635	435	23	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	435	24	processing	processing	ADJ
cpos-635	435	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	436	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	436	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	436	3	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	436	4	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	436	5	employ	employ	VERB
cpos-635	436	6	additional	additional	ADJ
cpos-635	436	7	techniques	technique	NOUN
cpos-635	436	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	436	9	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	436	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	436	11	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	436	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	436	13	constraining	constrain	VERB
cpos-635	436	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	436	15	alongside	alongside	ADP
cpos-635	436	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	436	17	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	436	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	437	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	437	2	steps	step	NOUN
cpos-635	437	3	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	437	4	influence	influence	VERB
cpos-635	437	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	437	6	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	437	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	437	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	437	9	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	437	10	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	437	11	should	should	AUX
cpos-635	437	12	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	437	13	their	their	PRON
cpos-635	437	14	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-635	437	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	437	16	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	437	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	438	2	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-635	438	3	data	data	NOUN
cpos-635	438	4	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-635	438	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	438	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	7	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	438	8	involved	involve	VERB
cpos-635	438	9	smoothing	smooth	VERB
cpos-635	438	10	over	over	ADP
cpos-635	438	11	zeros	zero	NOUN
cpos-635	438	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	13	nas	nas	PROPN
cpos-635	438	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	438	16	infinite	infinite	ADJ
cpos-635	438	17	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	438	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	438	20	limiting	limit	VERB
cpos-635	438	21	asdrs	asdr	NOUN
cpos-635	438	22	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	438	23	a	a	DET
cpos-635	438	24	maximum	maximum	NOUN
cpos-635	438	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	438	26	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	438	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	438	28	may	may	AUX
cpos-635	438	29	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	438	30	influenced	influence	VERB
cpos-635	438	31	results	result	NOUN
cpos-635	438	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	439	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-635	439	2	the	the	DET
cpos-635	439	3	various	various	ADJ
cpos-635	439	4	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	439	5	implementations	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	439	6	have	have	VERB
cpos-635	439	7	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	439	8	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	439	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	439	10	handling	handle	VERB
cpos-635	439	11	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	439	12	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	439	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	439	14	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-635	439	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	439	16	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	439	17	implemented	implement	VERB
cpos-635	439	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	439	19	stmomo	stmomo	NOUN
cpos-635	439	20	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	439	21	assign	assign	VERB
cpos-635	439	22	zero	zero	NUM
cpos-635	439	23	weights	weight	NOUN
cpos-635	439	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	439	25	non	non	ADJ
cpos-635	439	26	-	-	ADJ
cpos-635	439	27	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-635	439	28	exposures	exposure	NOUN
cpos-635	439	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	439	30	missing	missing	ADJ
cpos-635	439	31	values	value	NOUN
cpos-635	439	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	439	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	439	34	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	439	35	selected	select	VERB
cpos-635	439	36	a	a	DET
cpos-635	439	37	data	data	NOUN
cpos-635	439	38	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-635	439	39	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	439	40	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	439	41	prioritised	prioritise	VERB
cpos-635	439	42	interpretability	interpretability	NOUN
cpos-635	439	43	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	439	44	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-635	439	45	across	across	ADP
cpos-635	439	46	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	439	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	440	1	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	440	2	a	a	DET
cpos-635	440	3	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	440	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	440	5	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	440	6	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	440	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	440	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	440	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	440	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	440	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	440	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	440	13	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	440	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	440	15	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	440	16	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	440	17	125	125	NUM
cpos-635	440	18	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	440	19	could	could	AUX
cpos-635	440	20	explore	explore	VERB
cpos-635	440	21	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-635	440	22	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	440	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	440	24	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	440	25	preparation	preparation	NOUN
cpos-635	440	26	to	to	PART
cpos-635	440	27	further	far	ADV
cpos-635	440	28	refine	refine	VERB
cpos-635	440	29	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	440	30	comparisons	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	440	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	441	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	441	2	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	441	3	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-635	441	4	our	our	PRON
cpos-635	441	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	441	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	441	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	441	8	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	441	9	context	context	NOUN
cpos-635	441	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	442	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	442	2	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	442	3	generalisable	generalisable	ADJ
cpos-635	442	4	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
cpos-635	442	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	442	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	442	7	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	442	8	need	need	VERB
cpos-635	442	9	to	to	PART
cpos-635	442	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-635	442	11	rigorously	rigorously	ADV
cpos-635	442	12	tested	test	VERB
cpos-635	442	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	442	14	long	long	ADJ
cpos-635	442	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	442	16	horizons	horizon	NOUN
cpos-635	442	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	442	18	multiple	multiple	ADJ
cpos-635	442	19	datasets	dataset	NOUN
cpos-635	442	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	443	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	443	2	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
cpos-635	443	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	443	4	the	the	DET
cpos-635	443	5	evaluations	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	443	6	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	443	7	depend	depend	VERB
cpos-635	443	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	443	9	the	the	DET
cpos-635	443	10	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	443	11	chosen	choose	VERB
cpos-635	443	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	443	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	443	14	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	443	15	metrics	metric	NOUN
cpos-635	443	16	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	443	17	support	support	VERB
cpos-635	443	18	different	different	ADJ
cpos-635	443	19	use	use	NOUN
cpos-635	443	20	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-635	443	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	443	22	the	the	DET
cpos-635	443	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	443	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	443	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	444	1	some	some	DET
cpos-635	444	2	users	user	NOUN
cpos-635	444	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	444	4	require	require	VERB
cpos-635	444	5	indicators	indicator	NOUN
cpos-635	444	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	444	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	444	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-635	444	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	444	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-635	444	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	444	12	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-635	444	13	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	444	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	445	1	this	this	DET
cpos-635	445	2	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	445	3	focuses	focus	VERB
cpos-635	445	4	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	445	5	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	445	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	445	7	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	445	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	445	9	which	which	PRON
cpos-635	445	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	445	11	vital	vital	ADJ
cpos-635	445	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	445	13	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	445	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	445	15	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	445	16	further	further	ADJ
cpos-635	445	17	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	445	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-635	445	19	required	require	VERB
cpos-635	445	20	to	to	PART
cpos-635	445	21	address	address	VERB
cpos-635	445	22	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-635	445	23	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-635	445	24	comprehensively	comprehensively	ADV
cpos-635	445	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	445	26	including	include	VERB
cpos-635	445	27	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	445	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	445	29	application	application	NOUN
cpos-635	445	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	445	31	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	445	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	445	33	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-635	445	34	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	445	35	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	445	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	446	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-635	446	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	446	3	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	446	4	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	446	5	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	446	6	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-635	446	7	features	feature	NOUN
cpos-635	446	8	other	other	ADJ
cpos-635	446	9	than	than	ADP
cpos-635	446	10	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	446	11	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-635	446	12	selecting	select	VERB
cpos-635	446	13	a	a	DET
cpos-635	446	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	446	15	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	446	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	447	1	these	these	PRON
cpos-635	447	2	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	447	3	include	include	VERB
cpos-635	447	4	input	input	NOUN
cpos-635	447	5	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	447	6	requirements	requirement	NOUN
cpos-635	447	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	447	8	ease	ease	NOUN
cpos-635	447	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	447	10	application	application	NOUN
cpos-635	447	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	447	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	447	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	447	14	coherence	coherence	NOUN
cpos-635	447	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	447	16	male	male	ADJ
cpos-635	447	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	447	18	female	female	ADJ
cpos-635	447	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	447	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	447	21	amongst	amongst	ADP
cpos-635	447	22	others	other	NOUN
cpos-635	447	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	448	1	these	these	DET
cpos-635	448	2	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	448	3	considerations	consideration	NOUN
cpos-635	448	4	underscore	underscore	VERB
cpos-635	448	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	448	6	importance	importance	NOUN
cpos-635	448	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	448	8	ensuring	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	448	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	448	10	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	448	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	448	12	not	not	PART
cpos-635	448	13	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	448	14	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	448	15	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	448	16	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	448	17	user	user	NOUN
cpos-635	448	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	448	19	friendly	friendly	ADJ
cpos-635	448	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	448	21	fit	fit	ADJ
cpos-635	448	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	448	23	purpose	purpose	NOUN
cpos-635	448	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	449	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-635	449	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	449	3	there	there	PRON
cpos-635	449	4	is	be	VERB
cpos-635	449	5	often	often	ADV
cpos-635	449	6	limited	limited	ADJ
cpos-635	449	7	information	information	NOUN
cpos-635	449	8	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	449	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	449	10	researchers	researcher	NOUN
cpos-635	449	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	449	12	package	package	VERB
cpos-635	449	13	developers	developer	NOUN
cpos-635	449	14	about	about	ADP
cpos-635	449	15	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-635	449	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	449	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	449	18	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	449	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	449	20	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-635	449	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	449	22	which	which	DET
cpos-635	449	23	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-635	449	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	449	25	most	most	ADV
cpos-635	449	26	critical	critical	ADJ
cpos-635	449	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	449	28	users	user	NOUN
cpos-635	449	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	450	1	bridging	bridge	VERB
cpos-635	450	2	this	this	DET
cpos-635	450	3	gap	gap	NOUN
cpos-635	450	4	will	will	AUX
cpos-635	450	5	require	require	VERB
cpos-635	450	6	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-635	450	7	collaboration	collaboration	NOUN
cpos-635	450	8	between	between	ADP
cpos-635	450	9	researchers	researcher	NOUN
cpos-635	450	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	450	11	developers	developer	NOUN
cpos-635	450	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	450	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	450	14	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	450	15	to	to	PART
cpos-635	450	16	ensure	ensure	VERB
cpos-635	450	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	450	18	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	450	19	align	align	VERB
cpos-635	450	20	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	450	21	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	450	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	450	23	world	world	NOUN
cpos-635	450	24	needs	need	NOUN
cpos-635	450	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	451	1	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	451	2	focusing	focus	VERB
cpos-635	451	3	this	this	DET
cpos-635	451	4	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	451	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	451	6	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	451	7	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	451	8	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	451	9	readily	readily	ADV
cpos-635	451	10	available	available	ADJ
cpos-635	451	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	451	12	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-635	451	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	451	14	widely	widely	ADV
cpos-635	451	15	used	use	VERB
cpos-635	451	16	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	451	17	packages	package	NOUN
cpos-635	451	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	451	19	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	451	20	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-635	451	21	to	to	PART
cpos-635	451	22	have	have	AUX
cpos-635	451	23	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	451	24	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	451	25	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	451	26	a	a	DET
cpos-635	451	27	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-635	451	28	resource	resource	NOUN
cpos-635	451	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	451	30	selecting	selecting	NOUN
cpos-635	451	31	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	451	32	that	that	PRON
cpos-635	451	33	are	be	AUX
cpos-635	451	34	not	not	PART
cpos-635	451	35	only	only	ADV
cpos-635	451	36	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-635	451	37	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-635	451	38	also	also	ADV
cpos-635	451	39	accessible	accessible	ADJ
cpos-635	451	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	451	41	adaptable	adaptable	ADJ
cpos-635	451	42	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	451	43	real	real	ADJ
cpos-635	451	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	451	45	world	world	NOUN
cpos-635	451	46	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-635	451	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	452	1	acknowledgments	acknowledgment	NOUN
cpos-635	452	2	this	this	DET
cpos-635	452	3	work	work	NOUN
cpos-635	452	4	was	be	AUX
cpos-635	452	5	supported	support	VERB
cpos-635	452	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-635	452	7	the	the	DET
cpos-635	452	8	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	452	9	government	government	NOUN
cpos-635	452	10	through	through	ADP
cpos-635	452	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	452	12	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	452	13	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	452	14	council	council	PROPN
cpos-635	452	15	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	452	16	linkage	linkage	NOUN
cpos-635	452	17	project	project	NOUN
cpos-635	452	18	funding	funding	NOUN
cpos-635	452	19	scheme	scheme	NOUN
cpos-635	452	20	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	452	21	project	project	NOUN
cpos-635	452	22	lp210200733	lp210200733	ADV
cpos-635	452	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	452	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	453	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-635	453	2	would	would	AUX
cpos-635	453	3	like	like	VERB
cpos-635	453	4	to	to	PART
cpos-635	453	5	thank	thank	VERB
cpos-635	453	6	andres	andres	PROPN
cpos-635	453	7	villegas	villegas	PROPN
cpos-635	453	8	ramirez	ramirez	PROPN
cpos-635	453	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	453	10	his	his	PRON
cpos-635	453	11	help	help	NOUN
cpos-635	453	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	453	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	453	14	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-635	453	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	453	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	453	17	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	453	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	454	1	kim	kim	PROPN
cpos-635	454	2	dunstan	dunstan	PROPN
cpos-635	454	3	kindly	kindly	ADV
cpos-635	454	4	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-635	454	5	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-635	454	6	comments	comment	NOUN
cpos-635	454	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	454	8	a	a	DET
cpos-635	454	9	draft	draft	NOUN
cpos-635	454	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	454	11	the	the	DET
cpos-635	454	12	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	454	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	455	1	all	all	DET
cpos-635	455	2	errors	error	NOUN
cpos-635	455	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	455	4	omissions	omission	NOUN
cpos-635	455	5	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-635	455	6	the	the	DET
cpos-635	455	7	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-635	455	8	’	’	PART
cpos-635	455	9	responsibility	responsibility	NOUN
cpos-635	455	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	456	1	references	reference	NOUN
cpos-635	456	2	abs	ab	VERB
cpos-635	456	3	2019	2019	NUM
cpos-635	456	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	456	5	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-635	456	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	457	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	457	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	457	3	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	457	4	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	457	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	458	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	458	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	458	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	458	5	18.04.2019	18.04.2019	NUM
cpos-635	458	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	459	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	459	2	https://	https://	PROPN
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cpos-635	459	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	459	5	31.10.2023	31.10.2023	NUM
cpos-635	459	6	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	459	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	460	1	abs	ab	NOUN
cpos-635	460	2	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	460	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	460	4	national	national	ADJ
cpos-635	460	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	460	6	state	state	NOUN
cpos-635	460	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	460	8	territory	territory	NOUN
cpos-635	460	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	461	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	461	2	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	461	3	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	461	4	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	461	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	462	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	462	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	462	3	https://www.abs.gov.au/	https://www.abs.gov.au/	PROPN
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cpos-635	462	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	463	2	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-andterritory-population/jun-2023	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-andterritory-population/jun-2023	NOUN
cpos-635	463	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	4	31.10.2023	31.10.2023	NUM
cpos-635	463	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	6	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	7	basellini	basellini	NOUN
cpos-635	463	8	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	463	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	11	camarda	camarda	PROPN
cpos-635	463	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	13	carlo	carlo	PROPN
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cpos-635	463	15	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	463	18	heather	heather	PROPN
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cpos-635	463	20	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	463	24	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	463	26	review	review	NOUN
cpos-635	463	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	463	28	the	the	DET
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cpos-635	463	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	463	31	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	463	32	method	method	NOUN
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cpos-635	463	34	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	463	35	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	463	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	464	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	464	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	464	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-635	464	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	464	5	of	of	ADP
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cpos-635	464	7	39,3	39,3	NUM
cpos-635	464	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	464	9	1033	1033	NUM
cpos-635	464	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	464	11	1049	1049	NUM
cpos-635	464	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.002	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.002	PROPN
cpos-635	465	2	https://www.abs.gov.au/	https://www.abs.gov.au/	PROPN
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cpos-635	465	4	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/historical-population/2016	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/historical-population/2016	PROPN
cpos-635	465	5	https://www.abs.gov.au/	https://www.abs.gov.au/	PROPN
cpos-635	465	6	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	PROPN
cpos-635	465	7	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	PROPN
cpos-635	465	8	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/national-state-and-territory-population/jun-2023	PROPN
cpos-635	465	9	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.002	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.11.002	PROPN
cpos-635	465	10	•	•	PROPN
cpos-635	465	11	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	465	12	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	465	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	14	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-635	465	15	wilson126	wilson126	PROPN
cpos-635	465	16	bengtsson	bengtsson	PROPN
cpos-635	465	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	18	tommy	tommy	NOUN
cpos-635	465	19	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	20	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-635	465	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	22	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-635	465	23	2019	2019	NUM
cpos-635	465	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	465	25	old	old	ADJ
cpos-635	465	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	465	27	new	new	ADJ
cpos-635	465	28	perspectives	perspective	NOUN
cpos-635	465	29	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	465	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	465	31	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	465	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	466	1	cham	cham	PROPN
cpos-635	466	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	466	3	springer	springer	NOUN
cpos-635	466	4	nature	nature	NOUN
cpos-635	466	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	1	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7	PROPN
cpos-635	467	2	bergeron	bergeron	PROPN
cpos-635	467	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	4	boucher	boucher	PROPN
cpos-635	467	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	6	marie	marie	PROPN
cpos-635	467	7	pier	pier	PROPN
cpos-635	467	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	9	kjærgaard	kjærgaard	PROPN
cpos-635	467	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	11	søren	søren	PROPN
cpos-635	467	12	2021	2021	NUM
cpos-635	467	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	467	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	467	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	467	17	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	467	18	65	65	NUM
cpos-635	467	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	467	20	above	above	ADV
cpos-635	467	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	22	an	an	DET
cpos-635	467	23	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	467	24	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	25	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	467	26	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	467	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	467	28	the	the	DET
cpos-635	467	29	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	467	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	467	31	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	467	32	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	467	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	468	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	468	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	468	3	scandinavian	scandinavian	ADJ
cpos-635	468	4	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
cpos-635	468	5	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	468	6	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	468	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	468	8	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	468	9	:	:	SYM
cpos-635	468	10	64	64	NUM
cpos-635	468	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	468	12	79	79	NUM
cpos-635	468	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	469	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2021.1928542	https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2021.1928542	PROPN
cpos-635	469	2	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	469	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	469	4	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	469	5	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-635	469	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	469	7	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	469	8	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	469	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	469	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	469	11	standards	standard	NOUN
cpos-635	469	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	469	13	low	low	ADJ
cpos-635	469	14	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	469	15	serves	serve	VERB
cpos-635	469	16	as	as	ADP
cpos-635	469	17	a	a	DET
cpos-635	469	18	guide	guide	NOUN
cpos-635	469	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	470	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	3	mazzuco	mazzuco	ADJ
cpos-635	470	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	5	stefano	stefano	PROPN
cpos-635	470	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	7	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-635	470	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	9	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-635	470	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	11	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-635	470	12	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	470	13	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-635	470	14	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-635	470	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	470	16	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	470	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	470	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	471	1	the	the	DET
cpos-635	471	2	springer	springer	NOUN
cpos-635	471	3	series	series	NOUN
cpos-635	471	4	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	471	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	471	6	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	471	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	471	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	471	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-635	471	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	472	1	vol	vol	NOUN
cpos-635	472	2	49	49	NUM
cpos-635	472	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	473	1	cham	cham	PROPN
cpos-635	473	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	473	3	springer	springer	NOUN
cpos-635	473	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	473	5	153	153	NUM
cpos-635	473	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	473	7	178	178	NUM
cpos-635	473	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	1	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_8	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_8	PROPN
cpos-635	474	2	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	474	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	4	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	474	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	6	maindonald	maindonald	PROPN
cpos-635	474	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	8	john	john	PROPN
cpos-635	474	9	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	474	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	12	len	len	NOUN
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cpos-635	474	14	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	474	16	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	474	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	474	18	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	474	19	under	under	ADP
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cpos-635	474	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	474	22	variable	variable	ADJ
cpos-635	474	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	474	24	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-635	474	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	475	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	475	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	475	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	475	4	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-635	475	5	56,3	56,3	ADJ
cpos-635	475	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	475	7	325	325	NUM
cpos-635	475	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	475	9	336	336	NUM
cpos-635	475	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	476	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720215935	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720215935	X
cpos-635	476	2	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-635	476	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	476	4	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	476	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	476	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	476	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	476	8	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-635	476	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	476	10	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	476	11	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	476	12	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	476	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	476	14	lca.r	lca.r	PROPN
cpos-635	476	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	477	1	github	github	PROPN
cpos-635	477	2	repository	repository	NOUN
cpos-635	477	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	477	4	robjhyndman/	robjhyndman/	NUM
cpos-635	477	5	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	477	6	[	[	X
cpos-635	477	7	https://github.com/robjhyndman/demography/blob/master/r/lca.r	https://github.com/robjhyndman/demography/blob/master/r/lca.r	NOUN
cpos-635	477	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	477	9	14.04.2025	14.04.2025	NOUN
cpos-635	477	10	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	477	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	478	1	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	478	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	478	3	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	478	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	478	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	478	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	478	7	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	478	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	478	9	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	478	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	478	11	carter	carter	PROPN
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cpos-635	478	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	478	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	478	15	a	a	DET
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cpos-635	478	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	479	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	479	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	5	15	15	NUM
cpos-635	479	6	:	:	SYM
cpos-635	479	7	289	289	NUM
cpos-635	479	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	479	9	310	310	NUM
cpos-635	479	10	.	.	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	17	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	21	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	26	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	29	-	-	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	31	model	model	NOUN
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cpos-635	479	36	parameter	parameter	NOUN
cpos-635	479	37	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-635	479	38	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	479	40	and	and	CCONJ
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cpos-635	479	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	480	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	480	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	480	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	480	5	risk	risk	NOUN
cpos-635	480	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	480	7	insurance	insurance	NOUN
cpos-635	480	8	73,4	73,4	NOUN
cpos-635	480	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	480	10	687	687	NUM
cpos-635	480	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	480	12	718	718	NUM
cpos-635	480	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	480	14	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2006.00195.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2006.00195.x	PROPN
cpos-635	480	15	cairns	cairns	PROPN
cpos-635	480	16	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	480	18	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	480	19	g	g	PROPN
cpos-635	480	20	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	480	21	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	480	22	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	480	23	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	480	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	480	25	a	a	DET
cpos-635	480	26	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
cpos-635	480	27	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	480	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	480	29	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	480	30	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	480	31	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	480	32	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	480	33	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	480	34	from	from	ADP
cpos-635	480	35	england	england	PROPN
cpos-635	480	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	480	37	wales	wales	PROPN
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cpos-635	480	41	states	states	PROPN
cpos-635	480	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	481	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	481	4	american	american	ADJ
cpos-635	481	5	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
cpos-635	481	6	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	481	7	13,1	13,1	NUM
cpos-635	481	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	9	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	481	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	481	11	35	35	NUM
cpos-635	481	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	13	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2009.10597538	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2009.10597538	PROPN
cpos-635	481	14	devi	devi	PROPN
cpos-635	481	15	fokeer	fokeer	NOUN
cpos-635	481	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	17	oopashna	oopashna	NOUN
cpos-635	481	18	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	19	narsoo	narsoo	PROPN
cpos-635	481	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	21	jason	jason	PROPN
cpos-635	481	22	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	481	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	24	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	481	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	481	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	481	27	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	481	28	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	481	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	481	30	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	481	31	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	481	32	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	481	33	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	481	34	an	an	DET
cpos-635	481	35	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-635	481	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	481	37	developed	developed	ADJ
cpos-635	481	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	481	39	developing	develop	VERB
cpos-635	481	40	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-635	481	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	482	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	482	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	482	3	communications	communication	NOUN
cpos-635	482	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	482	5	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-635	482	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	482	7	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	482	8	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-635	482	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	482	10	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	482	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-635	482	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	482	13	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-635	482	14	8,3	8,3	NUM
cpos-635	482	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	482	16	434	434	NUM
cpos-635	482	17	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	482	18	462	462	NUM
cpos-635	482	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	483	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2022.2093294	https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2022.2093294	PROPN
cpos-635	483	2	dowd	dowd	PROPN
cpos-635	483	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	483	4	kevin	kevin	PROPN
cpos-635	483	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	483	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	483	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	483	8	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-635	483	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	483	10	backtesting	backteste	VERB
cpos-635	483	11	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	483	12	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	483	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	483	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	483	15	an	an	DET
cpos-635	483	16	ex	ex	X
cpos-635	483	17	post	post	NOUN
cpos-635	483	18	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	483	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	483	20	multiperiod	multiperiod	NOUN
cpos-635	483	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	483	22	ahead	ahead	NOUN
cpos-635	483	23	density	density	NOUN
cpos-635	483	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	483	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	484	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	484	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	484	3	north	north	ADJ
cpos-635	484	4	american	american	ADJ
cpos-635	484	5	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
cpos-635	484	6	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	484	7	14,3	14,3	NUM
cpos-635	484	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	484	9	281	281	NUM
cpos-635	484	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	484	11	298	298	NUM
cpos-635	484	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	484	13	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2010.10597592	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2010.10597592	PUNCT
cpos-635	485	1	ediev	ediev	ADV
cpos-635	485	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	485	3	dalkhat	dalkhat	DET
cpos-635	485	4	m.	m.	NOUN
cpos-635	485	5	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	485	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	485	7	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
cpos-635	485	8	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	485	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	485	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	485	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	485	12	towards	towards	ADP
cpos-635	485	13	a	a	DET
cpos-635	485	14	more	more	ADV
cpos-635	485	15	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-635	485	16	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	485	17	part	part	NOUN
cpos-635	486	1	i	i	PRON
cpos-635	486	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	486	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	486	4	central	central	ADJ
cpos-635	486	5	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-635	486	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	487	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-635	487	2	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-635	487	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	487	4	demography	demography	PROPN
cpos-635	487	5	working	working	NOUN
cpos-635	487	6	papers	paper	NOUN
cpos-635	487	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	487	8	3/2008	3/2008	PROPN
cpos-635	487	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	488	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-635	488	2	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-635	488	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	488	4	demography	demography	PROPN
cpos-635	488	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	488	6	austrian	austrian	PROPN
cpos-635	488	7	academy	academy	NOUN
cpos-635	488	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	488	9	sciences	sciences	PROPN
cpos-635	488	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	489	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-635	489	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	490	1	grossman	grossman	PROPN
cpos-635	490	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	490	3	irina	irina	PROPN
cpos-635	490	4	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	490	5	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	490	6	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	490	7	2022	2022	NUM
cpos-635	490	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	490	9	can	can	AUX
cpos-635	490	10	machine	machine	NOUN
cpos-635	490	11	learning	learn	VERB
cpos-635	490	12	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-635	490	13	small	small	ADJ
cpos-635	490	14	area	area	NOUN
cpos-635	490	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	490	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	490	17	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-635	491	1	a	a	DET
cpos-635	491	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	491	3	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-635	491	4	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	491	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	492	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	492	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	492	3	computers	computer	NOUN
cpos-635	492	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	492	5	environment	environment	NOUN
cpos-635	492	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	492	7	urban	urban	ADJ
cpos-635	492	8	systems	system	NOUN
cpos-635	492	9	95	95	NUM
cpos-635	492	10	:	:	SYM
cpos-635	492	11	101806	101806	NUM
cpos-635	492	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	493	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2022.101806	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2022.101806	ADJ
cpos-635	493	2	hmd	hmd	PROPN
cpos-635	493	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	493	4	human	human	ADJ
cpos-635	493	5	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	493	6	database	database	NOUN
cpos-635	493	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	493	8	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	493	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	493	10	human	human	ADJ
cpos-635	493	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	493	12	database	database	NOUN
cpos-635	493	13	[	[	X
cpos-635	493	14	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	493	15	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	493	16	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	493	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	1	max	max	PROPN
cpos-635	494	2	planck	planck	PROPN
cpos-635	494	3	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-635	494	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	494	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	494	6	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	494	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	8	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-635	494	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	11	university	university	PROPN
cpos-635	494	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	494	13	california	california	PROPN
cpos-635	494	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	15	berkeley	berkeley	PROPN
cpos-635	494	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	17	usa	usa	PROPN
cpos-635	494	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	494	21	french	french	ADJ
cpos-635	494	22	institute	institute	NOUN
cpos-635	494	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	494	24	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	494	25	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-635	494	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	494	27	france	france	PROPN
cpos-635	494	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	495	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	495	2	www.mortality.org	www.mortality.org	PROPN
cpos-635	495	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	495	4	05.12.2023	05.12.2023	NOUN
cpos-635	495	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	495	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	496	1	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	496	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	496	3	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	496	4	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	496	5	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	496	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	497	1	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	497	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	497	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	497	4	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	497	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	497	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	497	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	497	8	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-635	497	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	497	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	497	11	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	497	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	498	1	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	498	2	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	498	3	version	version	NOUN
cpos-635	498	4	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-635	498	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	499	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	499	2	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	NOUN
cpos-635	499	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	499	4	14.04.2025	14.04.2025	NOUN
cpos-635	499	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	499	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	1	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-635	500	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	3	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	500	4	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	500	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	6	ullah	ullah	PROPN
cpos-635	500	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	8	md	md	PROPN
cpos-635	500	9	shahid	shahid	PROPN
cpos-635	500	10	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-635	500	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	12	robust	robust	ADJ
cpos-635	500	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	500	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	500	15	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	500	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	500	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-635	500	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	500	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	500	20	a	a	DET
cpos-635	500	21	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	500	22	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	500	23	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	500	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	501	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	501	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	501	3	computational	computational	ADJ
cpos-635	501	4	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-635	501	5	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-635	501	6	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	501	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-635	501	8	51,10	51,10	NOUN
cpos-635	501	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	501	10	4942	4942	NUM
cpos-635	501	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	501	12	4956	4956	NUM
cpos-635	501	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	502	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2006.07.028	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2006.07.028	PROPN
cpos-635	502	2	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7	PROPN
cpos-635	502	3	https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2021.1928542	https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2021.1928542	PROPN
cpos-635	502	4	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_8	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_8	PROPN
cpos-635	502	5	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720215935	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324720215935	ADV
cpos-635	502	6	https://github.com/robjhyndman/demography/blob/master/r/lca.r	https://github.com/robjhyndman/demography/blob/master/r/lca.r	PROPN
cpos-635	502	7	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2006.15.9	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2006.15.9	PROPN
cpos-635	502	8	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2006.00195.x	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2006.00195.x	VERB
cpos-635	502	9	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2009.10597538	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2009.10597538	NOUN
cpos-635	502	10	https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2022.2093294	https://doi.org/10.1080/23737484.2022.2093294	NOUN
cpos-635	502	11	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2010.10597592	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2010.10597592	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2022.101806	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2022.101806	NOUN
cpos-635	503	2	http://www.mortality.org	http://www.mortality.org	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	3	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	https://cran.r-project.org/package=demography	NOUN
cpos-635	503	4	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2006.07.028	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2006.07.028	NOUN
cpos-635	503	5	a	a	DET
cpos-635	503	6	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
cpos-635	503	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	8	oriented	orient	VERB
cpos-635	503	9	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
cpos-635	503	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	503	11	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	503	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	503	13	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	503	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	15	the	the	DET
cpos-635	503	16	case	case	NOUN
cpos-635	503	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	503	18	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	503	19	•	•	NOUN
cpos-635	503	20	127	127	NUM
cpos-635	503	21	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	503	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	23	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	503	24	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	503	25	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	26	khandakar	khandakar	PROPN
cpos-635	503	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	28	yeasmin	yeasmin	NOUN
cpos-635	503	29	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-635	503	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	31	automatic	automatic	ADJ
cpos-635	503	32	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	503	33	series	series	PROPN
cpos-635	503	34	forecasting	forecasting	PROPN
cpos-635	503	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	36	the	the	DET
cpos-635	503	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	503	38	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	503	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	503	40	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-635	503	41	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	503	42	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	503	43	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	503	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	503	45	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-635	503	46	software	software	NOUN
cpos-635	503	47	27	27	NUM
cpos-635	503	48	:	:	SYM
cpos-635	503	49	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	503	50	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	503	51	22	22	NUM
cpos-635	503	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	1	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v027.i03	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v027.i03	PROPN
cpos-635	504	2	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
cpos-635	504	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	4	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	504	5	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	504	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	7	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	504	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	9	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	504	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	11	yasmeen	yasmeen	PROPN
cpos-635	504	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	13	farah	farah	PROPN
cpos-635	504	14	2013	2013	NUM
cpos-635	504	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	16	coherent	coherent	ADJ
cpos-635	504	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	504	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	504	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	20	the	the	DET
cpos-635	504	21	product	product	NOUN
cpos-635	504	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	504	23	ratio	ratio	NOUN
cpos-635	504	24	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	504	25	with	with	ADP
cpos-635	504	26	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-635	504	27	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	504	28	series	series	NOUN
cpos-635	504	29	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	504	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	505	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	505	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	505	3	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	505	4	50,1	50,1	ADV
cpos-635	505	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	505	6	261	261	NUM
cpos-635	505	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	505	8	283	283	NUM
cpos-635	505	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	506	1	https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0145-5	https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0145-5	PROPN
cpos-635	506	2	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	506	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	506	4	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	506	5	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	506	6	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	506	7	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	506	8	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	506	9	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	506	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	506	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	506	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	506	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	506	14	functions	function	NOUN
cpos-635	506	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	506	16	time	time	NOUN
cpos-635	506	17	series	series	NOUN
cpos-635	506	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	506	19	linear	linear	PROPN
cpos-635	506	20	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	506	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	507	1	r	r	NOUN
cpos-635	507	2	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	507	3	version	version	NOUN
cpos-635	507	4	8.21	8.21	NUM
cpos-635	507	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	508	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	508	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	508	3	https://cran.r-project.org/.	https://cran.r-project.org/.	PROPN
cpos-635	509	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	509	2	https://cran.r	https://cran.r	NUM
cpos-635	509	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	509	4	project	project	NOUN
cpos-635	509	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	510	1	org	org	ADJ
cpos-635	510	2	/	/	SYM
cpos-635	510	3	package	package	NOUN
cpos-635	510	4	=	=	NOUN
cpos-635	510	5	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	510	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	510	7	05.12.2023	05.12.2023	ADP
cpos-635	510	8	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	510	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	511	1	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	511	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	511	3	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-635	511	4	d.	d.	PROPN
cpos-635	511	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	511	6	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	511	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	511	8	lawrence	lawrence	PROPN
cpos-635	511	9	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-635	511	10	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-635	511	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	511	12	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-635	511	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	511	14	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	511	15	u.s	u.s	PROPN
cpos-635	511	16	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	511	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	511	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	512	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	512	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	512	5	the	the	DET
cpos-635	512	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-635	512	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-635	512	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-635	512	9	87,419	87,419	NUM
cpos-635	512	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	11	659	659	NUM
cpos-635	512	12	-	-	NUM
cpos-635	512	13	671	671	NUM
cpos-635	512	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	15	https://doi.org/10.2307/2290201	https://doi.org/10.2307/2290201	X
cpos-635	512	16	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	512	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	18	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-635	512	19	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	20	miller	miller	PROPN
cpos-635	512	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	22	timothy	timothy	PROPN
cpos-635	512	23	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-635	512	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	25	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
cpos-635	512	26	the	the	DET
cpos-635	512	27	performance	performance	NOUN
cpos-635	512	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	512	29	the	the	DET
cpos-635	512	30	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	512	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	512	32	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	512	33	method	method	NOUN
cpos-635	512	34	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	512	35	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	512	36	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	512	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	513	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	3	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-635	513	4	38,4	38,4	NUM
cpos-635	513	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	6	537	537	NUM
cpos-635	513	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	513	8	549	549	NUM
cpos-635	513	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	10	https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2001.0036	https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2001.0036	PROPN
cpos-635	513	11	li	li	PROPN
cpos-635	513	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	13	jackie	jackie	PROPN
cpos-635	513	14	2023	2023	NUM
cpos-635	513	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	513	16	a	a	DET
cpos-635	513	17	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	513	18	stacking	stack	VERB
cpos-635	513	19	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-635	513	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	513	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	513	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	513	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	514	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	514	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	514	3	north	north	ADJ
cpos-635	514	4	american	american	ADJ
cpos-635	514	5	actuarial	actuarial	ADJ
cpos-635	514	6	journal	journal	PROPN
cpos-635	514	7	27,3	27,3	PROPN
cpos-635	514	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	514	9	530	530	NUM
cpos-635	514	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	514	11	545	545	NUM
cpos-635	514	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	515	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2022.2108453	https://doi.org/10.1080/10920277.2022.2108453	PROPN
cpos-635	515	2	osmond	osmond	PROPN
cpos-635	515	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	515	4	clive	clive	NOUN
cpos-635	515	5	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-635	515	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	515	7	using	use	VERB
cpos-635	515	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	515	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	515	10	period	period	NOUN
cpos-635	515	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	515	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	515	13	models	model	NOUN
cpos-635	515	14	to	to	PART
cpos-635	515	15	estimate	estimate	VERB
cpos-635	515	16	future	future	ADJ
cpos-635	515	17	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	515	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	515	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	516	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	516	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	516	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-635	516	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	516	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	516	6	epidemiology	epidemiology	NOUN
cpos-635	516	7	14,1	14,1	NOUN
cpos-635	516	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	516	9	124	124	NUM
cpos-635	516	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	516	11	129	129	NUM
cpos-635	516	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	517	1	https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/14.1.124	https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/14.1.124	NOUN
cpos-635	517	2	plat	plat	NOUN
cpos-635	517	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	517	4	richard	richard	NOUN
cpos-635	517	5	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	517	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	517	7	on	on	ADP
cpos-635	517	8	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	517	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	517	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-635	517	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	518	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	518	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	518	3	insurance	insurance	NOUN
cpos-635	518	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	518	5	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
cpos-635	518	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	518	7	economics	economic	NOUN
cpos-635	518	8	45,3	45,3	NUM
cpos-635	518	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	518	10	393	393	NUM
cpos-635	518	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	518	12	404	404	NUM
cpos-635	518	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.08.006	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.08.006	ADJ
cpos-635	519	2	rayer	rayer	PROPN
cpos-635	519	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	4	stefan	stefan	PROPN
cpos-635	519	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	6	smith	smith	PROPN
cpos-635	519	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	8	stanley	stanley	PROPN
cpos-635	519	9	k.	k.	PROPN
cpos-635	519	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	11	tayman	tayman	PROPN
cpos-635	519	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	13	jeff	jeff	PROPN
cpos-635	519	14	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	519	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	519	16	empirical	empirical	ADJ
cpos-635	519	17	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-635	519	18	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	519	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	519	20	county	county	NOUN
cpos-635	519	21	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	519	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	519	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	520	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	520	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	520	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	520	6	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-635	520	7	review	review	NOUN
cpos-635	520	8	28	28	NUM
cpos-635	520	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	10	773	773	NUM
cpos-635	520	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	520	12	793	793	NUM
cpos-635	520	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	14	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-009-9128-7	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-009-9128-7	PROPN
cpos-635	520	15	renshaw	renshaw	PROPN
cpos-635	520	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	17	arthur	arthur	PROPN
cpos-635	520	18	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-635	520	19	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	20	haberman	haberman	PROPN
cpos-635	520	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	22	steven	steven	PROPN
cpos-635	520	23	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-635	520	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	25	a	a	DET
cpos-635	520	26	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-635	520	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	28	based	base	VERB
cpos-635	520	29	extension	extension	NOUN
cpos-635	520	30	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	520	31	the	the	DET
cpos-635	520	32	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-635	520	33	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	520	34	carter	carter	PROPN
cpos-635	520	35	model	model	NOUN
cpos-635	520	36	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	520	37	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	520	38	reduction	reduction	NOUN
cpos-635	520	39	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-635	520	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	521	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	521	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	521	3	insurance	insurance	NOUN
cpos-635	521	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	521	5	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
cpos-635	521	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	521	7	economics	economic	NOUN
cpos-635	521	8	38,3	38,3	NUM
cpos-635	521	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	521	10	556	556	NUM
cpos-635	521	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	521	12	570	570	NUM
cpos-635	521	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	522	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.12.001	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.12.001	PROPN
cpos-635	522	2	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	522	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	522	4	han	han	PROPN
cpos-635	522	5	lin	lin	PROPN
cpos-635	522	6	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	522	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	522	8	statistically	statistically	ADV
cpos-635	522	9	tested	test	VERB
cpos-635	522	10	comparisons	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	522	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	522	12	the	the	DET
cpos-635	522	13	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-635	522	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	522	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	522	16	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	522	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	522	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-635	522	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	522	20	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	522	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	522	22	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-635	522	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	522	24	specific	specific	ADJ
cpos-635	522	25	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	522	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	522	27	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	522	28	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	522	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	523	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	523	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	523	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	523	4	studies	study	VERB
cpos-635	523	5	69,3	69,3	NOUN
cpos-635	523	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	523	7	317	317	NUM
cpos-635	523	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	523	9	335	335	NUM
cpos-635	523	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2015.1074268	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2015.1074268	PROPN
cpos-635	524	2	shang	shang	PROPN
cpos-635	524	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	4	han	han	PROPN
cpos-635	524	5	lin	lin	PROPN
cpos-635	524	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	7	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-635	524	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	9	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-635	524	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	11	hyndman	hyndman	NOUN
cpos-635	524	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	13	rob	rob	PROPN
cpos-635	524	14	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-635	524	15	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-635	524	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	17	point	point	NOUN
cpos-635	524	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	524	19	interval	interval	NOUN
cpos-635	524	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-635	524	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	524	22	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	524	23	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-635	524	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	524	25	life	life	NOUN
cpos-635	524	26	expectancy	expectancy	NOUN
cpos-635	524	27	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	524	28	a	a	DET
cpos-635	524	29	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-635	524	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	524	31	ten	ten	NUM
cpos-635	524	32	principal	principal	ADJ
cpos-635	524	33	component	component	NOUN
cpos-635	524	34	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	524	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	525	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	525	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	525	3	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	525	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-635	525	5	25	25	NUM
cpos-635	525	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	525	7	173	173	NUM
cpos-635	525	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	525	9	214	214	NUM
cpos-635	525	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	1	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.25.5	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.25.5	X
cpos-635	526	2	smith	smith	PROPN
cpos-635	526	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	4	leonard	leonard	PROPN
cpos-635	526	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-635	526	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-635	526	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	526	8	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-635	526	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	10	the	the	DET
cpos-635	526	11	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	526	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-635	526	13	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	526	14	bank	bank	NOUN
cpos-635	526	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	16	1901	1901	NUM
cpos-635	526	17	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	526	18	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-635	526	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	20	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	526	21	[	[	X
cpos-635	526	22	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	526	23	set	set	VERB
cpos-635	526	24	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	526	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	527	1	canberra	canberra	PROPN
cpos-635	527	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	527	3	act	act	PROPN
cpos-635	527	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	527	5	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	527	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	527	7	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	527	8	social	social	ADJ
cpos-635	527	9	science	science	NOUN
cpos-635	527	10	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-635	527	11	archive	archive	NOUN
cpos-635	527	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	527	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	527	14	australian	australian	ADJ
cpos-635	527	15	national	national	PROPN
cpos-635	527	16	university	university	PROPN
cpos-635	527	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	528	1	terblanche	terblanche	PROPN
cpos-635	528	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	528	3	wilma	wilma	PROPN
cpos-635	528	4	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-635	528	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	528	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	528	7	estimates	estimate	NOUN
cpos-635	528	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	528	9	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	528	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	528	11	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	528	12	’s	’s	PART
cpos-635	528	13	very	very	ADV
cpos-635	528	14	elderly	elderly	ADJ
cpos-635	528	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-635	528	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-635	528	17	state	state	NOUN
cpos-635	528	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-635	528	19	national	national	ADJ
cpos-635	528	20	level	level	NOUN
cpos-635	529	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	529	2	phd	phd	NOUN
cpos-635	529	3	thesis	thesis	NOUN
cpos-635	529	4	]	]	X
cpos-635	529	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	530	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	530	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	530	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	530	4	university	university	PROPN
cpos-635	530	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	530	6	queensland	queensland	PROPN
cpos-635	530	7	https://	https://	PROPN
cpos-635	530	8	core.ac.uk/	core.ac.uk/	VERB
cpos-635	531	1	[	[	X
cpos-635	531	2	https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/43380972.pdf	https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/43380972.pdf	PROPN
cpos-635	531	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	531	4	03.01.2024	03.01.2024	ADP
cpos-635	531	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	531	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	532	1	terblanche	terblanche	PROPN
cpos-635	532	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	532	3	wilma	wilma	PROPN
cpos-635	532	4	2016	2016	NUM
cpos-635	532	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	532	6	retrospective	retrospective	ADJ
cpos-635	532	7	testing	testing	NOUN
cpos-635	532	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	532	9	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	532	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-635	532	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-635	532	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	532	13	the	the	DET
cpos-635	532	14	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-635	532	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	532	16	very	very	ADV
cpos-635	532	17	elderly	elderly	ADJ
cpos-635	532	18	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-635	532	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	532	20	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	532	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	533	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	533	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	533	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-635	533	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-635	533	5	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-635	533	6	35,8	35,8	NOUN
cpos-635	533	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	533	8	703	703	NUM
cpos-635	533	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	533	10	717	717	NUM
cpos-635	533	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	1	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	PROPN
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cpos-635	534	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	4	a.	a.	PROPN
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cpos-635	534	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	7	kannisto	kannisto	PROPN
cpos-635	534	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	9	väinö	väinö	NOUN
cpos-635	534	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	11	vaupel	vaupel	PROPN
cpos-635	534	12	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	534	16	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	534	18	a	a	DET
cpos-635	534	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	534	20	definitions	definition	NOUN
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cpos-635	534	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	535	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	535	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	535	3	the	the	DET
cpos-635	535	4	force	force	NOUN
cpos-635	535	5	of	of	ADP
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cpos-635	535	7	at	at	ADP
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cpos-635	535	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-635	535	11	120	120	NUM
cpos-635	535	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	536	1	odense	odense	PROPN
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cpos-635	536	4	[	[	X
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cpos-635	536	6	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	536	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	1	villegas	villegas	PROPN
cpos-635	537	2	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	537	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	5	kaishev	kaishev	NOUN
cpos-635	537	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	7	vladimir	vladimir	PROPN
cpos-635	537	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	9	millossovich	millossovich	NOUN
cpos-635	537	10	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	537	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	14	stmomo	stmomo	PROPN
cpos-635	537	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	537	16	an	an	DET
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cpos-635	537	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-635	537	20	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-635	537	21	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-635	537	22	modeling	modeling	NOUN
cpos-635	537	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	538	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	538	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	538	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-635	538	6	software	software	NOUN
cpos-635	538	7	84,3	84,3	NUM
cpos-635	538	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	538	9	1	1	NUM
cpos-635	538	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	538	11	38	38	NUM
cpos-635	538	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	539	1	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v084.i03	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v084.i03	PROPN
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cpos-635	539	3	https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0145-5	https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0145-5	NUM
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cpos-635	539	5	https://cran.r	https://cran.r	ADJ
cpos-635	539	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	539	7	project	project	NOUN
cpos-635	539	8	https://doi.org/10.2307/2290201	https://doi.org/10.2307/2290201	NOUN
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cpos-635	539	13	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-009-9128-7	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-009-9128-7	NUM
cpos-635	539	14	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.12.001	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2005.12.001	NOUN
cpos-635	539	15	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2015.1074268	https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2015.1074268	PROPN
cpos-635	540	1	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.25.5	https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2011.25.5	X
cpos-635	540	2	https://core.ac.uk/	https://core.ac.uk/	VERB
cpos-635	540	3	https://core.ac.uk/	https://core.ac.uk/	PROPN
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cpos-635	540	5	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2404	PROPN
cpos-635	540	6	https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/books/monograph5/appenda.htm	https://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/books/monograph5/appenda.htm	NOUN
cpos-635	541	1	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v084.i03	https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v084.i03	NOUN
cpos-635	542	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-635	542	2	irina	irina	PROPN
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cpos-635	542	4	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	542	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	542	9	andrés	andrés	PROPN
cpos-635	542	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	542	11	millossovich	millossovich	NOUN
cpos-635	542	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-635	542	13	pietro	pietro	PROPN
cpos-635	542	14	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	542	15	kaishev	kaishev	PROPN
cpos-635	542	16	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	543	1	[	[	X
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cpos-635	543	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	544	1	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
cpos-635	544	2	r	r	NOUN
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cpos-635	544	4	network	network	NOUN
cpos-635	544	5	(	(	PUNCT
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cpos-635	544	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	545	1	[	[	X
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cpos-635	545	3	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	545	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-635	545	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	546	1	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-635	546	2	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	546	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	546	5	rees	rees	PROPN
cpos-635	546	6	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	546	8	2021	2021	NUM
cpos-635	546	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	546	10	a	a	DET
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cpos-635	546	13	to	to	ADP
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cpos-635	546	15	a	a	DET
cpos-635	546	16	national	national	ADJ
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cpos-635	547	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	547	2	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	547	6	5,1	5,1	NUM
cpos-635	547	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	547	8	77	77	NUM
cpos-635	547	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	547	10	100	100	NUM
cpos-635	547	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	548	1	https://doi.org/10.37970/aps.v5i1.84	https://doi.org/10.37970/aps.v5i1.84	ADP
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cpos-635	548	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-635	548	6	dunstan	dunstan	PROPN
cpos-635	548	7	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	548	10	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	548	13	in	in	ADP
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cpos-635	549	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-635	549	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	549	3	https://	https://	PROPN
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cpos-635	550	1	[	[	X
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cpos-635	550	3	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	550	5	]	]	PUNCT
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cpos-635	551	1	date	date	NOUN
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cpos-635	551	4	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	551	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	551	10	17.04.2025	17.04.2025	NUM
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cpos-635	551	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	551	16	*	*	PROPN
cpos-635	551	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	551	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	552	1	rmit	rmit	PROPN
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cpos-635	552	3	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	552	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	553	1	australia	australia	PROPN
cpos-635	553	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	554	1	e	e	X
cpos-635	554	2	-	-	NOUN
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cpos-635	554	4	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	554	6	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	554	8	url	url	PROPN
cpos-635	554	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	554	10	https://www.rmit.edu.au/profiles/g/irina-grossman	https://www.rmit.edu.au/profiles/g/irina-grossman	PROPN
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cpos-635	554	12	.	.	PROPN
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cpos-635	554	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	555	1	advanced	advanced	ADJ
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cpos-635	555	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	556	1	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
cpos-635	556	2	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-635	556	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	557	1	e	e	X
cpos-635	557	2	-	-	NOUN
cpos-635	557	3	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-635	557	4	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	557	6	;	;	PUNCT
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cpos-635	557	8	url	url	PROPN
cpos-635	557	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	557	10	https://drtomwilson.com/	https://drtomwilson.com/	PROPN
cpos-635	557	11	https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/stmomo/stmomo.pdf	https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/stmomo/stmomo.pdf	PROPN
cpos-635	557	12	https://doi.org/10.37970/aps.v5i1.84	https://doi.org/10.37970/aps.v5i1.84	PROPN
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cpos-635	557	14	ttps://www.stats.govt.nz/	ttps://www.stats.govt.nz/	PROPN
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cpos-635	557	16	https://www.stats.govt.nz/assets/uploads/research/forecasting-mortality-in-new-zealand-2014/forecasting-mortality-14-01-17feb14.pdf	https://www.stats.govt.nz/assets/uploads/research/forecasting-mortality-in-new-zealand-2014/forecasting-mortality-14-01-17feb14.pdf	PROPN
cpos-635	557	17	https://www.stats.govt.nz/assets/uploads/research/forecasting-mortality-in-new-zealand-2014/forecasting-mortality-14-01-17feb14.pdf	https://www.stats.govt.nz/assets/uploads/research/forecasting-mortality-in-new-zealand-2014/forecasting-mortality-14-01-17feb14.pdf	PROPN
cpos-635	557	18	mailto:irina.grossman@rmit.edu.au	mailto:irina.grossman@rmit.edu.au	PROPN
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cpos-635	557	20	https://www.rmit.edu.au/profiles/g/irina-grossman	https://www.rmit.edu.au/profiles/g/irina-grossman	ADJ
cpos-635	557	21	mailto:tom.demographer@protonmail.com	mailto:tom.demographer@protonmail.com	PROPN
cpos-635	557	22	http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8812-7556	http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8812-7556	PROPN
cpos-635	557	23	https://drtomwilson.com/	https://drtomwilson.com/	PROPN
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cpos-635	557	31	(	(	PUNCT
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cpos-635	557	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	558	1	dr	dr	PROPN
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cpos-635	558	5	prof	prof	PROPN
cpos-635	558	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	1	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-635	559	2	.	.	PROPN
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cpos-635	559	4	trappe	trappe	PROPN
cpos-635	559	5	managing	managing	PROPN
cpos-635	559	6	editor	editor	PROPN
cpos-635	559	7	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-635	559	8	.	.	PROPN
cpos-635	559	9	katrin	katrin	PROPN
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cpos-635	559	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	16	fuchs	fuchs	NOUN
cpos-635	559	17	wiebke	wiebke	PROPN
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cpos-635	559	20	beatriz	beatriz	PROPN
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cpos-635	559	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	23	fuchs	fuchs	ADJ
cpos-635	559	24	e	e	NOUN
cpos-635	559	25	-	-	NOUN
cpos-635	559	26	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-635	559	27	:	:	PUNCT
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cpos-635	559	34	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	35	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-635	559	36	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	559	37	8980	8980	NUM
cpos-635	559	38	(	(	PUNCT
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cpos-635	559	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	41	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	42	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-635	559	43	-	-	SYM
cpos-635	559	44	8999	8999	NUM
cpos-635	559	45	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	46	internet	internet	NOUN
cpos-635	559	47	)	)	PUNCT
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cpos-635	559	56	ridhi	ridhi	PROPN
cpos-635	559	57	kashyap	kashyap	PROPN
cpos-635	559	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	59	oxford	oxford	PROPN
cpos-635	559	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	61	anne	anne	PROPN
cpos-635	559	62	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	63	kristin	kristin	PROPN
cpos-635	559	64	kuhnt	kuhnt	PROPN
cpos-635	559	65	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	66	rostock	rostock	NOUN
cpos-635	559	67	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	68	mathias	mathias	PROPN
cpos-635	559	69	lerch	lerch	PROPN
cpos-635	559	70	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	71	lausanne	lausanne	PROPN
cpos-635	559	72	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	73	eleonora	eleonora	PROPN
cpos-635	559	74	mussino	mussino	PROPN
cpos-635	559	75	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	76	stockholm	stockholm	PROPN
cpos-635	559	77	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	78	natalie	natalie	PROPN
cpos-635	559	79	nitsche	nitsche	PROPN
cpos-635	559	80	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	81	canberra	canberra	PROPN
cpos-635	559	82	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	83	alyson	alyson	PROPN
cpos-635	559	84	van	van	PROPN
cpos-635	559	85	raalte	raalte	PROPN
cpos-635	559	86	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	87	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-635	559	88	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	89	pia	pia	PROPN
cpos-635	559	90	s.	s.	PROPN
cpos-635	559	91	schober	schober	PROPN
cpos-635	559	92	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	93	tübingen	tübingen	PROPN
cpos-635	559	94	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	95	sergi	sergi	PROPN
cpos-635	559	96	vidal	vidal	PROPN
cpos-635	559	97	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	98	barcelona	barcelona	PROPN
cpos-635	559	99	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	100	rainer	rainer	NOUN
cpos-635	559	101	wehrhahn	wehrhahn	NOUN
cpos-635	559	102	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	103	kiel	kiel	PROPN
cpos-635	559	104	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-635	559	105	mailto:cpos@bib.bund.de	mailto:cpos@bib.bund.de	PROPN
cpos-635	559	106	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN