id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cpos-74	1	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	1	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	1	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	1	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	1	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	1	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	1	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	1	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	10	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	1	11	experience	experience	NOUN
cpos-74	1	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	1	13	opportunities	opportunity	NOUN
cpos-74	1	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	1	15	improvement	improvement	NOUN
cpos-74	1	16	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	1	17	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	1	18	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	1	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	20	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	1	21	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	1	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	23	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	1	24	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	1	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	26	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	1	27	prskawetz	prskawetz	PROPN
cpos-74	1	28	abstract	abstract	PROPN
cpos-74	1	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	1	31	this	this	DET
cpos-74	1	32	article	article	NOUN
cpos-74	1	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	1	35	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	1	36	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	1	37	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	1	38	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	1	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	1	40	the	the	DET
cpos-74	1	41	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	1	42	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	1	43	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	1	44	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	1	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	46	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	1	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	1	48	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	1	49	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	1	50	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	1	51	examined	examine	VERB
cpos-74	1	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	2	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	2	2	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	2	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	2	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	2	5	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-74	2	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	2	7	this	this	DET
cpos-74	2	8	topic	topic	NOUN
cpos-74	2	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	2	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	2	11	history	history	NOUN
cpos-74	2	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	2	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	2	14	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	2	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	2	16	all	all	DET
cpos-74	2	17	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	2	18	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	2	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	3	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	3	2	conclude	conclude	VERB
cpos-74	3	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	3	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	3	5	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	3	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	3	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	3	8	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	3	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	3	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	3	11	persistence	persistence	NOUN
cpos-74	3	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	3	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	3	14	present	present	NOUN
cpos-74	3	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	4	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	4	2	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	4	3	investigate	investigate	VERB
cpos-74	4	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	4	5	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	4	6	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	4	7	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	4	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	4	9	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	4	10	detail	detail	NOUN
cpos-74	4	11	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	4	12	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	4	13	special	special	ADJ
cpos-74	4	14	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	4	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	4	16	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	4	17	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-74	4	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	4	19	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	4	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	4	21	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	4	22	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	4	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	4	24	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	4	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	5	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	5	2	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	5	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	5	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	5	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	5	6	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	5	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	5	8	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	5	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	5	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	5	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	5	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	5	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	5	14	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	5	15	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	5	16	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	5	17	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	5	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	5	19	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	5	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	5	21	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	5	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	5	23	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-74	5	24	to	to	PART
cpos-74	5	25	stop	stop	VERB
cpos-74	5	26	sometime	sometime	ADV
cpos-74	5	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	5	28	upcoming	upcoming	ADJ
cpos-74	5	29	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	5	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	5	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	5	32	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	5	33	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	5	34	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	5	35	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	5	36	contain	contain	VERB
cpos-74	5	37	an	an	DET
cpos-74	5	38	implicit	implicit	ADJ
cpos-74	5	39	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	5	40	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	5	41	the	the	DET
cpos-74	5	42	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	5	43	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	5	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	5	45	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	5	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	6	1	both	both	PRON
cpos-74	6	2	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	6	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	6	4	cohort	cohort	VERB
cpos-74	6	5	perspectives	perspective	NOUN
cpos-74	6	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	6	7	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	6	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	6	9	reveal	reveal	VERB
cpos-74	6	10	this	this	DET
cpos-74	6	11	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	6	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	7	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
cpos-74	7	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	7	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	7	4	suggest	suggest	VERB
cpos-74	7	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	7	6	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	7	7	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	7	8	deal	deal	VERB
cpos-74	7	9	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	7	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	7	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	7	12	prospect	prospect	NOUN
cpos-74	7	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	7	14	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	7	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	7	16	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	7	17	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	7	18	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	7	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	7	20	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	7	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	8	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	8	2	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	8	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	8	4	feeney	feeney	NOUN
cpos-74	8	5	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	8	6	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	8	7	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	8	8	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	8	9	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	8	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	8	11	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	8	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	9	2	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	9	3	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	9	4	examples	example	NOUN
cpos-74	9	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	9	6	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	9	7	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	9	8	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	9	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	10	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	9	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	12	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	9	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	9	15	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	9	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	9	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	9	19	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	9	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	9	21	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	9	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	9	24	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	9	25	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	9	26	such	such	DET
cpos-74	9	27	a	a	DET
cpos-74	9	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	9	29	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	9	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	9	31	some	some	DET
cpos-74	9	32	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	9	33	outperform	outperform	VERB
cpos-74	9	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	9	35	usual	usual	ADJ
cpos-74	9	36	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	9	37	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	9	38	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	9	39	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	9	40	a	a	DET
cpos-74	9	41	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	9	42	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	9	43	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	9	44	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	9	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
cpos-74	10	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	10	4	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	5	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	10	6	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	10	8	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	9	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	10	10	·	·	PUNCT
cpos-74	10	11	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	10	12	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	10	13	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	10	14	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cpos-74	10	15	declining	decline	VERB
cpos-74	10	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	10	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	10	18	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	10	19	to	to	PART
cpos-74	10	20	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	10	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	10	22	key	key	ADJ
cpos-74	10	23	driver	driver	NOUN
cpos-74	10	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	10	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	10	26	aging	aging	NOUN
cpos-74	10	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	10	28	shrinking	shrinking	NOUN
cpos-74	10	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	10	30	a	a	DET
cpos-74	10	31	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	10	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	11	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
cpos-74	11	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	11	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	11	4	key	key	ADJ
cpos-74	11	5	component	component	NOUN
cpos-74	11	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	11	7	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	11	8	composition	composition	NOUN
cpos-74	11	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	11	10	size	size	NOUN
cpos-74	11	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	11	12	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-74	11	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	11	14	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	11	15	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	11	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	11	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	12	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	12	2	object	object	NOUN
cpos-74	12	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	12	4	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	12	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	12	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	12	7	not	not	PART
cpos-74	12	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	12	9	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	12	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	12	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	12	12	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	12	13	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	12	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	12	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	12	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	12	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	13	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	13	2	interest	interest	NOUN
cpos-74	13	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	13	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	13	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	13	6	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	13	7	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	13	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	13	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	13	10	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	13	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	13	12	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	13	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	13	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	13	15	austria	austria	NOUN
cpos-74	13	16	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	13	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	13	18	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	13	19	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	13	20	boom.1	boom.1	PROPN
cpos-74	13	21	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	13	22	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
cpos-74	13	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	13	24	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	13	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	13	26	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	13	27	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	13	28	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	13	29	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	13	30	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	13	31	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	13	32	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	13	33	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	NOUN
cpos-74	13	34	vol	vol	NOUN
cpos-74	13	35	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	14	1	36	36	NUM
cpos-74	14	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	3	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	14	4	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	14	5	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	14	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	7	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	14	8	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	9	661	661	NUM
cpos-74	14	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	14	11	692	692	NUM
cpos-74	14	12	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	13	date	date	NOUN
cpos-74	14	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	14	15	release	release	NOUN
cpos-74	14	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	17	31.05.2012	31.05.2012	NUM
cpos-74	14	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	19	©	©	PROPN
cpos-74	14	20	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	14	21	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	14	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	14	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	14	24	research	research	PROPN
cpos-74	14	25	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	14	26	url	url	NOUN
cpos-74	14	27	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	28	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	NOUN
cpos-74	14	29	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	14	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	31	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	ADJ
cpos-74	14	32	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	33	09en	09en	NOUN
cpos-74	14	34	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-74	14	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	36	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-74	14	37	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	38	nbn	nbn	PROPN
cpos-74	14	39	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	40	de	de	ADJ
cpos-74	14	41	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	42	bib	bib	ADJ
cpos-74	14	43	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	44	cpos-2011	cpos-2011	NOUN
cpos-74	14	45	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	46	09en5	09en5	NOUN
cpos-74	14	47	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	14	48	the	the	DET
cpos-74	14	49	title	title	NOUN
cpos-74	14	50	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	14	51	this	this	DET
cpos-74	14	52	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	14	53	refers	refer	VERB
cpos-74	14	54	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	14	55	the	the	DET
cpos-74	14	56	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	57	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	14	58	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	59	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	14	60	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	14	61	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	14	63	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	14	64	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	14	65	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	14	66	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	14	67	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	14	68	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	14	69	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	14	70	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	14	71	the	the	DET
cpos-74	14	72	whole	whole	ADJ
cpos-74	14	73	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	14	74	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	15	2	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	15	3	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	15	4	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	15	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	6	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	15	7	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	15	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	9	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	15	10	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	15	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	12	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	15	13	prskawetz662	prskawetz662	PROPN
cpos-74	15	14	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	15	15	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	15	16	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	15	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	18	pointed	point	VERB
cpos-74	15	19	out	out	ADP
cpos-74	15	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	15	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	15	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	15	23	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	15	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	15	25	these	these	DET
cpos-74	15	26	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	15	27	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	15	28	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	15	29	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	15	30	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	15	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	15	32	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	15	33	seems	seem	VERB
cpos-74	15	34	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cpos-74	15	35	to	to	PART
cpos-74	15	36	discuss	discuss	VERB
cpos-74	15	37	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	15	38	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	15	39	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cpos-74	15	40	together	together	ADV
cpos-74	15	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	16	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	16	2	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-74	16	3	rst	rst	AUX
cpos-74	16	4	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	16	5	an	an	DET
cpos-74	16	6	overview	overview	NOUN
cpos-74	16	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	16	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	16	9	existing	exist	VERB
cpos-74	16	10	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-74	16	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	16	12	this	this	DET
cpos-74	16	13	topic	topic	NOUN
cpos-74	16	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	16	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	16	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	16	17	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	16	18	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	16	19	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	16	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	16	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	16	22	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	16	23	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	16	24	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	16	25	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	16	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	16	27	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	16	28	four	four	NUM
cpos-74	16	29	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	16	30	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	16	31	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-74	16	32	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	16	33	to	to	PART
cpos-74	16	34	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	16	35	some	some	DET
cpos-74	16	36	generalisations	generalisation	NOUN
cpos-74	16	37	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	16	38	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	16	39	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	16	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	17	1	second	second	ADJ
cpos-74	17	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	17	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	17	4	look	look	VERB
cpos-74	17	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	17	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	17	7	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	17	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	17	9	rationales	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	17	10	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	17	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	17	12	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	17	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	17	14	justify	justify	VERB
cpos-74	17	15	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	17	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	17	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	17	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	17	19	updates	update	NOUN
cpos-74	17	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	17	21	past	past	ADJ
cpos-74	17	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	17	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	18	1	these	these	DET
cpos-74	18	2	range	range	VERB
cpos-74	18	3	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	18	4	an	an	DET
cpos-74	18	5	appeal	appeal	NOUN
cpos-74	18	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	18	7	easterlin	easterlin	PROPN
cpos-74	18	8	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	18	9	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	18	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	18	11	relative	relative	ADJ
cpos-74	18	12	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	18	13	size	size	NOUN
cpos-74	18	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	18	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	18	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	18	17	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	18	18	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	18	19	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	18	20	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	18	21	no	no	DET
cpos-74	18	22	adequate	adequate	ADJ
cpos-74	18	23	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	18	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	19	1	third	third	ADJ
cpos-74	19	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	19	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	19	4	look	look	VERB
cpos-74	19	5	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	19	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	19	7	issue	issue	NOUN
cpos-74	19	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	19	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	19	10	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	19	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	19	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	19	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	19	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	19	15	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-74	19	16	detail	detail	NOUN
cpos-74	19	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	19	18	showing	show	VERB
cpos-74	19	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	19	20	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	19	21	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	19	22	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	19	23	yet	yet	ADV
cpos-74	19	24	to	to	PART
cpos-74	19	25	adopt	adopt	VERB
cpos-74	19	26	a	a	DET
cpos-74	19	27	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	19	28	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	19	29	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	19	30	dealing	deal	VERB
cpos-74	19	31	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	19	32	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	19	33	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	19	34	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	19	35	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	19	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	19	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	19	38	divergence	divergence	NOUN
cpos-74	19	39	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	19	40	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	19	41	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	19	42	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	19	43	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	19	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	20	1	finally	finally	ADV
cpos-74	20	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	20	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	20	4	offer	offer	VERB
cpos-74	20	5	some	some	DET
cpos-74	20	6	observations	observation	NOUN
cpos-74	20	7	comparing	compare	VERB
cpos-74	20	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	20	9	contrasting	contrast	VERB
cpos-74	20	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	20	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	20	12	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	20	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	20	14	date	date	NOUN
cpos-74	20	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	20	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	20	17	making	make	VERB
cpos-74	20	18	some	some	DET
cpos-74	20	19	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
cpos-74	20	20	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	20	21	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	20	22	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-74	20	23	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	20	24	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	20	25	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	20	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	20	27	a	a	DET
cpos-74	20	28	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	20	29	rmer	rmer	PROPN
cpos-74	20	30	scientifi	scientifi	PROPN
cpos-74	20	31	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	20	32	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	20	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	21	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	21	2	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
cpos-74	21	3	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	21	4	not	not	PART
cpos-74	21	5	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-74	21	6	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-74	21	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	21	8	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-74	21	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	21	10	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	21	11	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	21	12	hope	hope	VERB
cpos-74	21	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	21	14	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	21	15	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	21	16	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	21	17	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	21	18	easier	easy	ADJ
cpos-74	21	19	to	to	PART
cpos-74	21	20	understand	understand	VERB
cpos-74	21	21	why	why	SCONJ
cpos-74	21	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	21	23	go	go	VERB
cpos-74	21	24	wrong	wrong	ADJ
cpos-74	21	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	21	26	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	21	27	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	21	28	do	do	VERB
cpos-74	21	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	22	1	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	22	2	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	22	3	aiming	aim	VERB
cpos-74	22	4	to	to	PART
cpos-74	22	5	combine	combine	VERB
cpos-74	22	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	22	7	application	application	NOUN
cpos-74	22	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	22	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	22	10	best	well	ADV
cpos-74	22	11	known	know	VERB
cpos-74	22	12	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	22	13	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	22	14	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	22	15	analyses	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	22	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	22	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	22	18	structural	structural	ADJ
cpos-74	22	19	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-74	22	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	23	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	23	2	advancement	advancement	NOUN
cpos-74	23	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	23	4	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	23	5	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	23	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	23	7	including	include	VERB
cpos-74	23	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	23	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	23	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	23	11	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	23	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	23	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	23	14	a	a	DET
cpos-74	23	15	continuing	continue	VERB
cpos-74	23	16	process	process	NOUN
cpos-74	23	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	24	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	24	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	4	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
cpos-74	24	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	24	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	7	depth	depth	NOUN
cpos-74	24	8	analyses	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	24	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	24	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	24	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	12	social	social	ADJ
cpos-74	24	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	14	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-74	24	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	16	political	political	ADJ
cpos-74	24	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	24	18	cultural	cultural	ADJ
cpos-74	24	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	24	20	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-74	24	21	conditions	condition	NOUN
cpos-74	24	22	shaping	shape	VERB
cpos-74	24	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	24	24	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	24	25	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	24	26	taken	take	VERB
cpos-74	24	27	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	24	28	account	account	NOUN
cpos-74	24	29	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	24	30	defi	defi	PROPN
cpos-74	24	31	ning	ning	PROPN
cpos-74	24	32	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	24	33	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	24	34	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	24	35	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	24	36	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	24	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	25	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	25	2	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	25	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	25	4	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	25	5	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	25	6	to	to	PART
cpos-74	25	7	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-74	25	8	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	25	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	25	10	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	25	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	25	12	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	25	13	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-74	25	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	25	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	25	16	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	25	17	preformed	preform	VERB
cpos-74	25	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	25	19	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	25	20	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	25	21	focusing	focus	VERB
cpos-74	25	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	25	23	this	this	DET
cpos-74	25	24	article	article	NOUN
cpos-74	25	25	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	25	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	25	27	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	25	28	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	25	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	25	30	logic	logic	NOUN
cpos-74	25	31	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	25	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	25	33	the	the	DET
cpos-74	25	34	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	25	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	26	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	26	2	general	general	ADJ
cpos-74	26	3	preliminary	preliminary	ADJ
cpos-74	26	4	remarks	remark	NOUN
cpos-74	26	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	26	6	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-74	26	7	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	26	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	26	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	26	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	26	11	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	26	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	26	13	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	26	14	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	26	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	26	16	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	26	17	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	26	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	26	19	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	26	20	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	26	21	kinds	kind	NOUN
cpos-74	26	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	26	23	exercises	exercise	NOUN
cpos-74	26	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	27	1	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
cpos-74	27	2	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	27	3	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	27	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	27	5	hypothetical	hypothetical	ADJ
cpos-74	27	6	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	27	7	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	27	8	defi	defi	PROPN
cpos-74	27	9	ned	ned	PROPN
cpos-74	27	10	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	27	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	27	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	27	13	try	try	VERB
cpos-74	27	14	to	to	PART
cpos-74	27	15	foresee	foresee	VERB
cpos-74	27	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	27	17	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	27	18	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	27	19	precise	precise	ADJ
cpos-74	27	20	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	27	21	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	27	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	28	2	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	28	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	4	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	28	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	6	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	28	7	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-74	28	8	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-74	28	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	10	1982	1982	NUM
cpos-74	28	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	12	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	28	13	noted	note	VERB
cpos-74	28	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	28	16	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	28	17	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	28	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	28	19	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	28	20	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	28	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	22	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-74	28	23	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	28	24	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	28	25	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	28	26	a	a	DET
cpos-74	28	27	middle	middle	ADJ
cpos-74	28	28	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	28	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	28	30	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	28	31	chosen	choose	VERB
cpos-74	28	32	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	28	33	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	28	34	appear	appear	VERB
cpos-74	28	35	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	28	36	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	28	37	to	to	PART
cpos-74	28	38	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	28	39	the	the	DET
cpos-74	28	40	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	28	41	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cpos-74	28	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	28	43	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	28	44	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	28	45	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	28	46	the	the	DET
cpos-74	28	47	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	28	48	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	29	2	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-74	29	3	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-74	29	4	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-74	29	5	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-74	29	6	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	29	7	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	29	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	29	9	using	use	VERB
cpos-74	29	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	29	11	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	29	12	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-74	29	13	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	29	15	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	29	17	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	18	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	29	19	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	20	interchangeably	interchangeably	ADV
cpos-74	29	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	22	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	29	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	29	24	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	29	25	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	29	26	themselves	themselves	PRON
cpos-74	29	27	often	often	ADV
cpos-74	29	28	restrict	restrict	VERB
cpos-74	29	29	themselves	themselves	PRON
cpos-74	29	30	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	29	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	29	32	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	33	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	29	34	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	29	35	label	label	NOUN
cpos-74	29	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	30	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	30	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	30	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	30	4	this	this	DET
cpos-74	30	5	comment	comment	NOUN
cpos-74	30	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	30	7	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	30	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	30	9	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	30	10	worth	worth	ADJ
cpos-74	30	11	prefacing	preface	VERB
cpos-74	30	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	30	13	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-74	30	14	experience	experience	NOUN
cpos-74	30	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	30	16	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	30	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	30	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	30	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	30	20	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	30	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	30	22	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	30	23	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	30	24	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	30	25	some	some	DET
cpos-74	30	26	general	general	ADJ
cpos-74	30	27	comments	comment	NOUN
cpos-74	30	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	30	29	refl	refl	NOUN
cpos-74	30	30	ections	ection	NOUN
cpos-74	30	31	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	30	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	30	33	literature	literature	NOUN
cpos-74	30	34	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	30	35	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	30	36	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	30	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	31	1	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	31	2	early	early	ADV
cpos-74	31	3	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	31	4	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	31	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	31	6	dorn	dorn	PROPN
cpos-74	31	7	had	have	AUX
cpos-74	31	8	enumerated	enumerate	VERB
cpos-74	31	9	points	point	NOUN
cpos-74	31	10	not	not	PART
cpos-74	31	11	given	give	VERB
cpos-74	31	12	enough	enough	ADJ
cpos-74	31	13	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	31	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	31	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	31	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	31	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	31	18	dorn	dorn	PROPN
cpos-74	31	19	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	31	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	31	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	32	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-74	32	2	noted	note	VERB
cpos-74	32	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	32	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	32	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	32	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	32	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	32	8	single	single	ADJ
cpos-74	32	9	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	32	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	32	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	32	12	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	32	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	32	14	does	do	AUX
cpos-74	32	15	not	not	PART
cpos-74	32	16	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	32	17	suffi	suffi	NOUN
cpos-74	32	18	cient	cient	NOUN
cpos-74	32	19	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	32	20	to	to	PART
cpos-74	32	21	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-74	32	22	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	32	23	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	32	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	33	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	33	2	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	33	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	33	4	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	33	5	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	33	6	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	33	7	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	33	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	33	9	many	many	ADJ
cpos-74	33	10	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	33	11	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	33	12	them	they	PRON
cpos-74	33	13	undue	undue	ADJ
cpos-74	33	14	weight	weight	NOUN
cpos-74	33	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	33	16	especially	especially	ADV
cpos-74	33	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	33	18	a	a	DET
cpos-74	33	19	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	33	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	33	21	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	33	22	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	33	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	34	1	another	another	DET
cpos-74	34	2	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-74	34	3	issue	issue	NOUN
cpos-74	34	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	34	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	34	6	a	a	DET
cpos-74	34	7	long	long	ADV
cpos-74	34	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	34	9	lasting	last	VERB
cpos-74	34	10	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	34	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	34	12	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	34	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	34	14	falling	fall	VERB
cpos-74	34	15	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	34	16	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	34	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	34	18	need	need	AUX
cpos-74	34	19	not	not	PART
cpos-74	34	20	necesfertility	necesfertility	NOUN
cpos-74	34	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	34	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	34	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	34	24	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	34	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	34	26	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	34	27	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	34	28	•	•	NOUN
cpos-74	34	29	663	663	NUM
cpos-74	34	30	sarily	sarily	ADV
cpos-74	34	31	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	34	32	a	a	DET
cpos-74	34	33	continuing	continue	VERB
cpos-74	34	34	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	34	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	35	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	35	2	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	35	3	critical	critical	ADJ
cpos-74	35	4	view	view	NOUN
cpos-74	35	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	35	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	35	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	35	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	35	9	general	general	ADJ
cpos-74	35	10	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	35	11	taken	take	VERB
cpos-74	35	12	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	35	13	hajnal	hajnal	ADJ
cpos-74	35	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	35	15	1955	1955	NUM
cpos-74	35	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	35	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-74	36	2	argues	argue	VERB
cpos-74	36	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	36	4	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	5	much	much	ADJ
cpos-74	36	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	36	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	36	8	elaborate	elaborate	ADJ
cpos-74	36	9	technique	technique	NOUN
cpos-74	36	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	36	11	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	36	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	36	13	expended	expend	VERB
cpos-74	36	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	36	15	vain	vain	ADJ
cpos-74	36	16	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	17	crude	crude	ADJ
cpos-74	36	18	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	36	19	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	36	20	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	36	21	archived	archive	VERB
cpos-74	36	22	equally	equally	ADV
cpos-74	36	23	good	good	ADJ
cpos-74	36	24	results	result	NOUN
cpos-74	36	25	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	27	hajnal	hajnal	PROPN
cpos-74	36	28	1955	1955	NUM
cpos-74	36	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	30	310	310	NUM
cpos-74	36	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	36	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	37	1	instead	instead	ADV
cpos-74	37	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	37	3	improving	improve	VERB
cpos-74	37	4	techniques	technique	NOUN
cpos-74	37	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	37	6	extrapolate	extrapolate	VERB
cpos-74	37	7	agespecifi	agespecifi	PROPN
cpos-74	37	8	c	c	NOUN
cpos-74	37	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	37	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	37	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	37	12	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-74	37	13	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	37	14	include	include	VERB
cpos-74	37	15	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	37	16	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	37	17	affecting	affect	VERB
cpos-74	37	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	37	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	37	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	37	21	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	37	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	38	1	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	38	2	examples	example	NOUN
cpos-74	38	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	38	4	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	38	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	38	6	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	38	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	38	8	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	38	9	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	38	10	found	find	VERB
cpos-74	38	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	38	12	he	he	PRON
cpos-74	38	13	mentions	mention	VERB
cpos-74	38	14	impending	impending	ADJ
cpos-74	38	15	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	38	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	38	17	sex	sex	NOUN
cpos-74	38	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	38	19	ratios	ratio	NOUN
cpos-74	38	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	38	21	imbalances	imbalance	NOUN
cpos-74	38	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	38	23	marriage	marriage	NOUN
cpos-74	38	24	markets	market	NOUN
cpos-74	38	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	38	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	38	27	fl	fl	NUM
cpos-74	38	28	uctuations	uctuation	NOUN
cpos-74	38	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	38	30	distribution	distribution	NOUN
cpos-74	38	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	38	32	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	38	33	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	38	34	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	38	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	39	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	39	2	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	39	3	overview	overview	NOUN
cpos-74	39	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	39	5	techniques	technique	NOUN
cpos-74	39	6	to	to	PART
cpos-74	39	7	project	project	VERB
cpos-74	39	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	39	9	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	39	10	given	give	VERB
cpos-74	39	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	39	12	de	de	X
cpos-74	39	13	beer	beer	NOUN
cpos-74	39	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	39	15	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	39	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	39	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	40	1	he	he	PRON
cpos-74	40	2	concludes	conclude	VERB
cpos-74	40	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	40	4	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	40	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	40	6	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	40	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	40	8	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	40	9	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	40	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	40	11	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	40	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	40	13	essential	essential	ADJ
cpos-74	40	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	40	15	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	40	16	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	40	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	40	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	40	19	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-74	40	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	40	21	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-74	40	22	mothers	mother	NOUN
cpos-74	40	23	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	40	24	coming	coming	ADJ
cpos-74	40	25	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	40	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	40	27	projectable	projectable	ADJ
cpos-74	40	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	40	29	a	a	DET
cpos-74	40	30	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	40	31	degree	degree	NOUN
cpos-74	40	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	40	33	certainty	certainty	NOUN
cpos-74	40	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	41	1	besides	besides	SCONJ
cpos-74	41	2	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	41	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	41	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	41	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	41	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	41	7	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-74	41	8	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	41	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	41	10	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-74	41	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	41	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	41	13	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	41	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	41	15	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	41	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	41	17	these	these	DET
cpos-74	41	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	41	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	41	20	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-74	41	21	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	41	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	41	23	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	41	24	driver	driver	NOUN
cpos-74	41	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	41	26	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	41	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	41	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	41	29	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	41	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	41	31	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	41	32	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	41	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	41	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	41	35	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	41	36	not	not	PART
cpos-74	41	37	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	41	38	excluded	exclude	VERB
cpos-74	41	39	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	41	40	the	the	DET
cpos-74	41	41	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	41	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	42	1	de	de	X
cpos-74	42	2	beer	beer	NOUN
cpos-74	42	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	42	4	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	42	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	42	6	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	42	7	discusses	discuss	VERB
cpos-74	42	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	42	9	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	42	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	42	11	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	42	12	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	42	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	42	14	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	42	15	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	42	16	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	42	17	observations	observation	NOUN
cpos-74	42	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	43	1	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	43	2	observations	observation	NOUN
cpos-74	43	3	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	43	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	43	5	distorted	distort	VERB
cpos-74	43	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	43	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	43	8	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	43	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	43	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	43	11	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	43	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	43	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	43	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	43	15	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-74	43	16	do	do	AUX
cpos-74	43	17	not	not	PART
cpos-74	43	18	always	always	ADV
cpos-74	43	19	lead	lead	VERB
cpos-74	43	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	43	21	plausible	plausible	ADJ
cpos-74	43	22	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	43	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	43	24	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	43	25	size	size	NOUN
cpos-74	43	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	43	27	successive	successive	ADJ
cpos-74	43	28	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	43	29	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	43	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	44	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	44	3	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	44	4	uses	use	VERB
cpos-74	44	5	this	this	DET
cpos-74	44	6	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	44	7	gure	gure	NOUN
cpos-74	44	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	9	completed	complete	VERB
cpos-74	44	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	44	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	44	12	real	real	ADJ
cpos-74	44	13	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	44	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	15	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	44	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	44	17	central	central	ADJ
cpos-74	44	18	variable	variable	NOUN
cpos-74	44	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	20	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	44	21	fi	fi	INTJ
cpos-74	44	22	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	44	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	24	requires	require	VERB
cpos-74	44	25	a	a	DET
cpos-74	44	26	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	44	27	data	data	NOUN
cpos-74	44	28	series	series	NOUN
cpos-74	44	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	44	31	second	second	ADV
cpos-74	44	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	33	disregards	disregard	VERB
cpos-74	44	34	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	44	35	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	44	36	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	44	37	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	44	38	reproductively	reproductively	ADV
cpos-74	44	39	active	active	ADJ
cpos-74	44	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	44	41	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-74	44	42	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	44	43	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	44	44	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	44	45	the	the	DET
cpos-74	44	46	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-74	44	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	44	48	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	44	49	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	44	50	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	44	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	45	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-74	45	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	45	3	de	de	X
cpos-74	45	4	beer	beer	NOUN
cpos-74	45	5	advises	advise	VERB
cpos-74	45	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	45	7	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	45	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	45	9	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	45	10	observations	observation	NOUN
cpos-74	45	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	45	12	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	45	13	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	45	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	45	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	45	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	45	17	cohort	cohort	VERB
cpos-74	45	18	considerations	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	45	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	45	20	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	45	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	45	22	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	45	23	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	45	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	45	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	46	2	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	46	3	extensive	extensive	ADJ
cpos-74	46	4	reviews	review	NOUN
cpos-74	46	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	46	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	46	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	46	8	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	46	9	involving	involve	VERB
cpos-74	46	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	46	11	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	46	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	13	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	46	14	booth	booth	NOUN
cpos-74	46	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	16	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	46	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	46	19	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-74	46	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	46	21	rees	rees	PROPN
cpos-74	46	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	23	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	46	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	46	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	47	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	47	2	a	a	DET
cpos-74	47	3	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	47	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	47	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	47	6	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	47	7	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cpos-74	47	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	47	9	particular	particular	ADJ
cpos-74	47	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	47	11	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	47	12	sorvillo	sorvillo	PROPN
cpos-74	47	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	47	14	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-74	47	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	47	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	48	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	48	2	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	48	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	48	4	summarised	summarise	VERB
cpos-74	48	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	48	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	48	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	48	8	prevalent	prevalent	ADJ
cpos-74	48	9	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	48	10	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	48	11	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	48	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	48	13	post	post	ADJ
cpos-74	48	14	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	48	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	48	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	48	17	transition	transition	NOUN
cpos-74	48	18	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-74	48	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	48	20	north	north	PROPN
cpos-74	48	21	america	america	PROPN
cpos-74	48	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	48	23	europe	europe	PROPN
cpos-74	48	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	48	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	48	26	asia	asia	PROPN
cpos-74	48	27	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	48	28	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	48	29	to	to	PART
cpos-74	48	30	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	48	31	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	48	32	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	48	33	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	48	34	no	no	DET
cpos-74	48	35	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	48	36	toward	toward	ADP
cpos-74	48	37	either	either	CCONJ
cpos-74	48	38	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	48	39	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	48	40	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	48	41	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	48	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	49	1	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	49	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	49	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	49	4	tend	tend	VERB
cpos-74	49	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	49	6	take	take	VERB
cpos-74	49	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	49	8	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	49	9	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	49	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	49	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	49	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	49	13	extrapolate	extrapolate	VERB
cpos-74	49	14	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	49	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	49	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	49	17	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	49	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	50	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	50	2	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	50	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	50	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	50	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	50	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	50	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	50	8	persistence	persistence	NOUN
cpos-74	50	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	50	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	50	11	present	present	NOUN
cpos-74	50	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	51	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	51	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-74	51	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	51	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	51	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	51	6	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	51	7	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-74	51	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	51	9	striking	strike	VERB
cpos-74	51	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	51	11	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	51	12	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	51	13	glance	glance	NOUN
cpos-74	51	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	52	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	52	2	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-74	52	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	52	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	52	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	52	6	question	question	NOUN
cpos-74	52	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	52	8	not	not	PART
cpos-74	52	9	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-74	52	10	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-74	52	11	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	52	12	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-74	52	13	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	52	14	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	52	15	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	52	16	quickly	quickly	ADV
cpos-74	52	17	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	52	18	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	52	19	happen	happen	VERB
cpos-74	52	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	53	1	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	53	2	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	53	3	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-74	53	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	53	5	societies	society	NOUN
cpos-74	53	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	53	7	individuals	individual	NOUN
cpos-74	53	8	clearly	clearly	ADV
cpos-74	53	9	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	53	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	53	11	common	common	ADJ
cpos-74	53	12	aim	aim	NOUN
cpos-74	53	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	53	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	53	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	53	16	marshalling	marshal	VERB
cpos-74	53	17	common	common	ADJ
cpos-74	53	18	resources	resource	NOUN
cpos-74	53	19	toward	toward	ADP
cpos-74	53	20	healthier	healthy	ADJ
cpos-74	53	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	53	22	longer	long	ADJ
cpos-74	53	23	life	life	NOUN
cpos-74	53	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	54	1	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	54	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	54	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	54	4	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	54	5	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	54	6	no	no	DET
cpos-74	54	7	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	54	8	common	common	ADJ
cpos-74	54	9	aim	aim	NOUN
cpos-74	54	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	55	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	55	2	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	55	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	55	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	55	5	people	people	NOUN
cpos-74	55	6	want	want	VERB
cpos-74	55	7	fewer	few	ADJ
cpos-74	55	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	55	9	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	55	10	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	55	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	55	12	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	55	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	55	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	55	15	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	55	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	56	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	56	2	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	56	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	56	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	56	5	conditions	condition	NOUN
cpos-74	56	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	56	7	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	56	8	conducive	conducive	ADJ
cpos-74	56	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	56	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	56	11	less	less	ADJ
cpos-74	56	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	56	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	56	14	having	have	VERB
cpos-74	56	15	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	56	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	56	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	56	18	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	56	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	1	governments	government	NOUN
cpos-74	57	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	3	despite	despite	SCONJ
cpos-74	57	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	5	answering	answer	VERB
cpos-74	57	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	57	7	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	57	8	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	57	9	’	'	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	10	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	57	11	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	57	12	statements	statement	NOUN
cpos-74	57	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	14	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	57	15	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	57	16	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-74	57	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	18	12	12	NUM
cpos-74	57	19	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	20	pursue	pursue	VERB
cpos-74	57	21	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	57	22	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	57	23	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	57	24	not	not	PART
cpos-74	57	25	aimed	aim	VERB
cpos-74	57	26	solely	solely	ADV
cpos-74	57	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	57	28	raising	raise	VERB
cpos-74	57	29	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	57	30	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	57	31	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	57	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	33	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	57	34	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	57	35	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	57	36	many	many	ADJ
cpos-74	57	37	competing	compete	VERB
cpos-74	57	38	goals	goal	NOUN
cpos-74	57	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	40	including	include	VERB
cpos-74	57	41	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-74	57	42	growth	growth	NOUN
cpos-74	57	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	44	reducing	reduce	VERB
cpos-74	57	45	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-74	57	46	inequality	inequality	NOUN
cpos-74	57	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	48	enhancing	enhance	VERB
cpos-74	57	49	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-74	57	50	equality	equality	NOUN
cpos-74	57	51	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	52	improving	improve	VERB
cpos-74	57	53	the	the	DET
cpos-74	57	54	environment	environment	NOUN
cpos-74	57	55	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	56	protecting	protect	VERB
cpos-74	57	57	the	the	DET
cpos-74	57	58	aged	aged	ADJ
cpos-74	57	59	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	60	improving	improve	VERB
cpos-74	57	61	education	education	NOUN
cpos-74	57	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	63	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	57	64	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	57	65	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	57	66	all	all	PRON
cpos-74	57	67	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	57	68	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	57	69	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	57	70	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-74	57	71	bearing	bearing	NOUN
cpos-74	57	72	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	57	73	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	57	74	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	57	75	decisions	decision	NOUN
cpos-74	57	76	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	58	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	58	2	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	58	3	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	58	4	much	much	ADJ
cpos-74	58	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-74	58	6	surrounding	surround	VERB
cpos-74	58	7	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	58	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	58	9	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	58	10	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	58	11	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	58	12	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	58	13	not	not	PART
cpos-74	58	14	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	58	15	confi	confi	ADJ
cpos-74	58	16	dence	dence	NOUN
cpos-74	58	17	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	58	18	state	state	VERB
cpos-74	58	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	58	20	direction	direction	NOUN
cpos-74	58	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	58	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	58	23	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	58	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	59	1	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-74	59	2	failed	fail	VERB
cpos-74	59	3	to	to	PART
cpos-74	59	4	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	59	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	59	6	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	59	7	boom	boom	NOUN
cpos-74	59	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	59	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	59	10	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	59	11	failed	fail	VERB
cpos-74	59	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	59	13	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	59	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	59	15	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	59	16	bust	bust	NOUN
cpos-74	59	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	60	1	no	no	DET
cpos-74	60	2	one	one	NOUN
cpos-74	60	3	saw	see	VERB
cpos-74	60	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	60	5	onset	onset	NOUN
cpos-74	60	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	60	7	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	60	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	60	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	60	10	dramatic	dramatic	ADJ
cpos-74	60	11	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	60	12	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	60	13	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	60	14	•	•	PROPN
cpos-74	60	15	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	60	16	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	60	17	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	60	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	60	19	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	60	20	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	60	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	60	22	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	60	23	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	60	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	60	25	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	60	26	prskawetz664	prskawetz664	PROPN
cpos-74	60	27	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	60	28	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	60	29	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	60	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	60	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	61	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	61	2	some	some	PRON
cpos-74	61	3	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	61	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	61	5	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	61	6	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	61	7	slow	slow	VERB
cpos-74	61	8	someday	someday	ADV
cpos-74	61	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	61	10	no	no	DET
cpos-74	61	11	one	one	NOUN
cpos-74	61	12	knew	know	VERB
cpos-74	61	13	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	61	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	62	2	swiss	swiss	PROPN
cpos-74	62	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	62	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	62	6	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-74	62	7	self	self	NOUN
cpos-74	62	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	9	critical	critical	ADJ
cpos-74	62	10	statement	statement	NOUN
cpos-74	62	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	12	say	say	VERB
cpos-74	62	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	62	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	62	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	62	16	known	known	ADJ
cpos-74	62	17	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	62	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	62	20	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	62	21	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	62	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	62	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	62	24	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	62	25	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	62	26	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	62	27	better	well	ADV
cpos-74	62	28	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	62	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	30	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	62	31	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	62	32	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	62	33	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	62	34	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	62	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	36	32).2	32).2	NUM
cpos-74	62	37	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	62	38	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	62	39	always	always	ADV
cpos-74	62	40	an	an	DET
cpos-74	62	41	uncertain	uncertain	ADJ
cpos-74	62	42	task	task	NOUN
cpos-74	62	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	44	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	62	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	62	46	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	62	47	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	62	48	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	62	49	always	always	ADV
cpos-74	62	50	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	62	51	the	the	DET
cpos-74	62	52	potential	potential	NOUN
cpos-74	62	53	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	62	54	making	make	VERB
cpos-74	62	55	a	a	DET
cpos-74	62	56	wrong	wrong	ADJ
cpos-74	62	57	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-74	62	58	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	63	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	63	2	think	think	VERB
cpos-74	63	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	63	4	question	question	NOUN
cpos-74	63	5	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	63	6	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	63	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	63	8	asked	ask	VERB
cpos-74	63	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	63	10	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	63	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	63	12	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	63	13	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	63	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	63	15	full	full	ADJ
cpos-74	63	16	informative	informative	ADJ
cpos-74	63	17	potential	potential	NOUN
cpos-74	63	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	63	19	contemporary	contemporary	ADJ
cpos-74	63	20	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-74	63	21	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	63	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	63	23	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	63	24	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	63	25	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	63	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	63	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	63	28	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	63	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	63	30	a	a	DET
cpos-74	63	31	set	set	NOUN
cpos-74	63	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	63	33	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	63	34	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-74	63	35	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	63	36	everybody	everybody	PRON
cpos-74	63	37	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	63	38	agree	agree	VERB
cpos-74	63	39	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	63	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	63	41	the	the	DET
cpos-74	63	42	answer	answer	NOUN
cpos-74	63	43	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	63	44	probably	probably	ADV
cpos-74	63	45	yes	yes	INTJ
cpos-74	63	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	64	1	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-74	64	2	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-74	64	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	64	4	1982	1982	NUM
cpos-74	64	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	64	6	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	64	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	64	8	this	this	DET
cpos-74	64	9	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	64	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	64	11	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	64	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	64	13	guided	guide	VERB
cpos-74	64	14	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	64	15	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	64	16	not	not	PART
cpos-74	64	17	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	64	18	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	64	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	64	20	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	64	21	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	64	22	all	all	ADV
cpos-74	64	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	64	24	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	64	25	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	64	26	valid	valid	ADJ
cpos-74	64	27	theories	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	64	28	exist	exist	VERB
cpos-74	64	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	65	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	65	2	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-74	65	3	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	65	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	65	5	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	65	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	65	7	conditional	conditional	ADJ
cpos-74	65	8	on	on	ADV
cpos-74	65	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	65	10	affected	affect	VERB
cpos-74	65	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	65	12	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	65	13	relations	relation	NOUN
cpos-74	65	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	66	1	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-74	66	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	66	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	66	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	66	5	not	not	PART
cpos-74	66	6	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	66	7	to	to	PART
cpos-74	66	8	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	66	9	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
cpos-74	66	10	variables	variable	NOUN
cpos-74	66	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	67	1	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	67	2	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	67	3	these	these	DET
cpos-74	67	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	67	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	67	6	available	available	ADJ
cpos-74	67	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	67	8	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	67	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	67	10	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-74	67	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	67	12	too	too	ADV
cpos-74	67	13	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	67	14	a	a	DET
cpos-74	67	15	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	67	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	67	17	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	67	18	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	67	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	67	20	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	67	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	68	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	68	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	68	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	68	4	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	68	5	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	68	6	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	68	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	68	8	size	size	NOUN
cpos-74	68	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	68	10	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	68	11	ts	ts	NOUN
cpos-74	68	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	68	13	all	all	PRON
cpos-74	68	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	68	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	68	16	aimed	aim	VERB
cpos-74	68	17	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	68	18	a	a	DET
cpos-74	68	19	wide	wide	ADJ
cpos-74	68	20	variety	variety	NOUN
cpos-74	68	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	68	22	users	user	NOUN
cpos-74	68	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	69	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	69	2	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	69	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	69	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	69	5	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	69	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	69	7	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-74	69	8	uence	uence	NOUN
cpos-74	69	9	educational	educational	ADJ
cpos-74	69	10	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	69	11	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-74	69	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	69	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	69	14	next	next	ADJ
cpos-74	69	15	decade	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	69	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	69	17	pension	pension	NOUN
cpos-74	69	18	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	69	19	decisions	decision	NOUN
cpos-74	69	20	going	go	VERB
cpos-74	69	21	forward	forward	ADV
cpos-74	69	22	half	half	DET
cpos-74	69	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	69	24	century	century	NOUN
cpos-74	69	25	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	69	26	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	69	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	70	1	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-74	70	2	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	70	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	70	4	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	70	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	70	6	obviously	obviously	ADV
cpos-74	70	7	need	need	VERB
cpos-74	70	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	70	9	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	70	10	updated	update	VERB
cpos-74	70	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	70	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	70	13	frequent	frequent	ADJ
cpos-74	70	14	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	70	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	70	16	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	70	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	70	18	remarkable	remarkable	ADJ
cpos-74	70	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	70	20	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	70	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	70	22	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	70	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	70	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	70	25	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	70	26	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-74	70	27	updated	update	VERB
cpos-74	70	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	71	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	71	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	71	3	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	71	4	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	71	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	71	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	71	7	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	71	8	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	71	9	ve	ve	NOUN
cpos-74	71	10	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	71	11	apart	apart	ADV
cpos-74	71	12	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	71	13	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	71	14	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	71	15	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	71	16	views	view	NOUN
cpos-74	71	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	71	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	71	19	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	71	20	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	71	21	some	some	DET
cpos-74	71	22	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	71	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	71	24	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-74	71	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	72	2	focus	focus	NOUN
cpos-74	72	3	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	72	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	72	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	72	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	72	7	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	8	middle	middle	ADJ
cpos-74	72	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	72	11	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	12	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	72	13	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	72	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	72	16	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	72	17	opposed	oppose	VERB
cpos-74	72	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	72	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	72	20	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	72	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	72	22	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	72	23	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	72	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	1	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	73	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	73	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	73	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	73	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	73	6	include	include	VERB
cpos-74	73	7	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	8	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
cpos-74	73	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	73	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	73	12	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	73	13	a	a	DET
cpos-74	73	14	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	73	15	series	series	NOUN
cpos-74	73	16	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	73	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	73	18	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-74	73	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	20	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	73	21	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	73	22	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-74	73	23	not	not	PART
cpos-74	73	24	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	73	25	a	a	DET
cpos-74	73	26	central	central	ADJ
cpos-74	73	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	73	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	29	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	73	30	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	73	31	a	a	DET
cpos-74	73	32	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	73	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	73	34	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-74	73	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	73	37	set	set	VERB
cpos-74	73	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	73	39	probabilistically	probabilistically	ADV
cpos-74	73	40	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	73	41	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	73	42	paths	path	NOUN
cpos-74	73	43	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-74	73	44	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	73	45	to	to	PART
cpos-74	73	46	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-74	73	47	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	48	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-74	73	49	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-74	73	50	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	73	51	tuljapurkar	tuljapurkar	NOUN
cpos-74	73	52	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-74	73	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	73	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	74	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	74	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	74	3	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	74	4	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	74	5	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	74	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	74	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	74	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	74	9	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	74	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	74	11	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	74	12	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	74	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	75	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	75	2	now	now	ADV
cpos-74	75	3	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	75	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	75	5	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	75	6	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	75	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	75	8	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	75	9	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	75	10	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-74	75	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	75	12	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	75	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	75	14	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	75	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	75	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	75	17	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	75	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	76	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	76	2	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	76	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	76	4	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	76	5	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	76	6	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	76	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	76	8	west	west	ADJ
cpos-74	76	9	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	76	10	experience	experience	NOUN
cpos-74	76	11	before	before	ADP
cpos-74	76	12	unifi	unifi	NOUN
cpos-74	76	13	cation	cation	NOUN
cpos-74	76	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	77	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	77	2	purposes	purpose	NOUN
cpos-74	77	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	77	4	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-74	77	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	77	6	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	77	7	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	77	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	77	9	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	77	10	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	77	11	versions	version	NOUN
cpos-74	77	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	77	13	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	77	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	77	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	77	16	these	these	DET
cpos-74	77	17	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	77	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	77	19	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-74	77	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	77	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	77	22	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	77	23	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	77	24	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	77	25	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	77	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	77	27	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	77	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	77	29	international	international	ADJ
cpos-74	77	30	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	77	31	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	77	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	77	33	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	77	34	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	77	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	78	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	78	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	78	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	78	4	focus	focus	NOUN
cpos-74	78	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	78	6	this	this	DET
cpos-74	78	7	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	78	8	lies	lie	VERB
cpos-74	78	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	78	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	78	11	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	78	12	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	78	13	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	78	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	78	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	78	16	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	78	17	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	78	18	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	78	19	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	78	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	78	21	greatest	great	ADJ
cpos-74	78	22	insight	insight	NOUN
cpos-74	78	23	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	78	24	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	78	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	78	26	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	78	27	react	react	VERB
cpos-74	78	28	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	78	29	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	78	30	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	78	31	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	78	32	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	78	33	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	78	34	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	78	35	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	78	36	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	78	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	79	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	79	2	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	79	3	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	79	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	79	5	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	79	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	79	7	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	79	8	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	79	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	79	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	79	11	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	79	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	79	13	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	79	14	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	79	15	along	along	ADP
cpos-74	79	16	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	79	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	79	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	79	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	79	20	this	this	DET
cpos-74	79	21	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	79	22	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	79	23	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	79	24	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	79	25	points	point	NOUN
cpos-74	79	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	79	27	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	79	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	80	2	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	80	3	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	80	4	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	80	5	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	6	auf	auf	PROPN
cpos-74	80	7	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	80	8	grundlage	grundlage	NOUN
cpos-74	80	9	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	80	10	zwar	zwar	NOUN
cpos-74	80	11	gewünschten	gewünschten	NOUN
cpos-74	80	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	13	aber	aber	PROPN
cpos-74	80	14	aufgeschobenen	aufgeschobenen	NOUN
cpos-74	80	15	geburten	geburten	NOUN
cpos-74	80	16	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	80	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	80	18	den	den	PROPN
cpos-74	80	19	1970erjahren	1970erjahren	NUM
cpos-74	80	20	geborenen	geborenen	PROPN
cpos-74	80	21	frauen	frauen	PROPN
cpos-74	80	22	war	war	PROPN
cpos-74	80	23	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	80	24	letztere	letztere	PROPN
cpos-74	80	25	zunahme	zunahme	PROPN
cpos-74	80	26	eigentlich	eigentlich	PROPN
cpos-74	80	27	vorhersehbar	vorhersehbar	PROPN
cpos-74	80	28	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	30	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	80	31	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	80	32	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	80	33	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	80	34	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	80	35	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	36	32	32	NUM
cpos-74	80	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	80	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	81	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	81	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	81	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	81	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	81	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	81	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	81	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	81	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	81	9	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	81	10	665	665	NUM
cpos-74	81	11	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-74	81	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	1	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	82	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	3	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	82	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	5	circles	circle	NOUN
cpos-74	82	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	7	vs.	vs.	CCONJ
cpos-74	82	8	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	82	9	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	10	solid	solid	ADJ
cpos-74	82	11	line	line	NOUN
cpos-74	82	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	13	tfrs	tfrs	NOUN
cpos-74	82	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	82	15	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	82	16	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	82	17	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	82	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	82	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	82	20	respective	respective	ADJ
cpos-74	82	21	base	base	NOUN
cpos-74	82	22	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	82	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	82	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	82	25	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	82	26	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	82	27	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	82	28	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	82	29	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	82	30	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	82	31	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	82	32	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-74	82	33	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-74	82	34	2.6	2.6	NUM
cpos-74	82	35	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-74	82	36	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	82	37	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	82	38	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	82	39	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	82	40	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	82	41	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	82	42	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	82	43	2040	2040	NUM
cpos-74	82	44	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	82	45	2060	2060	NUM
cpos-74	82	46	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	82	47	1st	1st	NOUN
cpos-74	82	48	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	49	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	82	50	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	51	2nd	2nd	NOUN
cpos-74	82	52	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	53	1968	1968	NUM
cpos-74	82	54	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	55	3rd	3rd	NOUN
cpos-74	82	56	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	57	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	82	58	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	59	4th	4th	NOUN
cpos-74	82	60	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	61	1972	1972	NUM
cpos-74	82	62	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	63	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	82	64	4th	4th	ADJ
cpos-74	82	65	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	66	1972	1972	NUM
cpos-74	82	67	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	68	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	82	69	6th	6th	NOUN
cpos-74	82	70	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	71	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	82	72	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	73	12th	12th	NOUN
cpos-74	82	74	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	75	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	82	76	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	77	5th	5th	NOUN
cpos-74	82	78	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	79	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	82	80	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	82	81	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	82	82	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-74	82	83	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	82	84	1.7	1.7	NUM
cpos-74	82	85	1.9	1.9	NUM
cpos-74	82	86	2.1	2.1	NUM
cpos-74	82	87	2.3	2.3	NUM
cpos-74	82	88	2.5	2.5	NUM
cpos-74	82	89	2.7	2.7	NUM
cpos-74	82	90	2.9	2.9	NUM
cpos-74	82	91	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	82	92	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-74	82	93	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	82	94	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	82	95	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	82	96	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	82	97	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	82	98	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	82	99	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	82	100	2040	2040	NUM
cpos-74	82	101	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	83	1	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	83	2	projection	projection	PROPN
cpos-74	83	3	1963	1963	NUM
cpos-74	83	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	5	1967	1967	NUM
cpos-74	83	6	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	7	1971	1971	NUM
cpos-74	83	8	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	9	1954	1954	NUM
cpos-74	83	10	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	11	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	83	12	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	13	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-74	83	14	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	15	1958	1958	NUM
cpos-74	83	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	17	1978	1978	NUM
cpos-74	83	18	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	19	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	83	20	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	21	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	83	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	23	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-74	83	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	25	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	83	26	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	83	27	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-74	83	28	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	83	29	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	83	30	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	83	31	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	83	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	33	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	83	34	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	83	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	36	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	83	37	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	83	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	39	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	83	40	prskawetz666	prskawetz666	PROPN
cpos-74	83	41	the	the	DET
cpos-74	83	42	central	central	ADJ
cpos-74	83	43	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	83	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	45	both	both	PRON
cpos-74	83	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	83	47	graphical	graphical	ADJ
cpos-74	83	48	clarity	clarity	NOUN
cpos-74	83	49	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	83	50	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	83	51	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-74	83	52	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	83	53	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	83	54	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	83	55	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	83	56	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	83	57	alternatives	alternative	NOUN
cpos-74	83	58	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	83	59	not	not	PART
cpos-74	83	60	always	always	ADV
cpos-74	83	61	given.3	given.3	VERB
cpos-74	83	62	the	the	DET
cpos-74	83	63	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	83	64	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	83	65	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	83	66	the	the	DET
cpos-74	83	67	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	83	68	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	83	69	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	83	70	transparent	transparent	ADJ
cpos-74	83	71	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	84	1	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	84	2	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	84	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	84	4	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	84	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	84	6	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	84	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	84	8	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	84	9	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	84	10	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	84	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	84	12	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	84	13	a	a	DET
cpos-74	84	14	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	84	15	continuation	continuation	NOUN
cpos-74	84	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	84	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	84	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	84	19	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	84	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	84	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	84	22	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	84	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	84	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	84	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	84	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	85	1	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-74	85	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	85	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	85	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	6	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	85	7	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	85	8	goes	go	VERB
cpos-74	85	9	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	85	10	2.50	2.50	NUM
cpos-74	85	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	85	12	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	85	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	85	14	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	85	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	85	16	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	85	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	85	18	not	not	PART
cpos-74	85	19	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	85	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	21	any	any	DET
cpos-74	85	22	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	85	23	theories	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	85	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	26	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-74	85	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	85	29	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	85	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	85	31	nor	nor	CCONJ
cpos-74	85	32	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	85	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	34	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	85	35	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	85	36	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	85	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	85	38	nor	nor	CCONJ
cpos-74	85	39	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	85	40	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	85	41	insights	insight	NOUN
cpos-74	85	42	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	43	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	85	44	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	85	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	85	46	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	85	47	simply	simply	ADV
cpos-74	85	48	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	85	49	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	50	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	85	51	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	52	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	85	53	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	85	54	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	55	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	85	56	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	85	57	the	the	DET
cpos-74	85	58	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	85	59	fell	fall	VERB
cpos-74	85	60	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	85	61	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	85	62	2.5	2.5	NUM
cpos-74	85	63	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	85	64	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	85	65	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	85	66	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	85	67	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	85	68	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	85	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	86	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	86	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	86	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	86	4	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	86	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	86	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	86	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	86	8	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	86	9	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	86	10	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	86	11	complex	complex	ADJ
cpos-74	86	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	86	13	varied	varied	ADJ
cpos-74	86	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	87	1	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	87	2	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-74	87	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	87	4	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	87	5	followed	follow	VERB
cpos-74	87	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	87	7	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	87	8	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	87	9	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	87	10	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	87	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	87	12	extrapolating	extrapolate	VERB
cpos-74	87	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	87	14	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	87	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	87	16	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	87	17	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	87	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	87	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	87	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	87	21	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	87	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	88	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	88	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	88	3	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	88	4	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-74	88	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	88	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	88	7	austrians	austrians	PROPN
cpos-74	88	8	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	88	9	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	88	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	88	11	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	88	12	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	88	13	monotonic	monotonic	ADJ
cpos-74	88	14	path	path	NOUN
cpos-74	88	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	88	16	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	88	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	88	18	consisting	consist	VERB
cpos-74	88	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	88	20	an	an	DET
cpos-74	88	21	initial	initial	ADJ
cpos-74	88	22	dip	dip	NOUN
cpos-74	88	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	88	24	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	88	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	88	26	followed	follow	VERB
cpos-74	88	27	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	88	28	a	a	DET
cpos-74	88	29	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-74	88	30	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-74	88	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	89	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	89	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	89	3	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	89	4	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	89	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	89	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	89	7	rest	rest	NOUN
cpos-74	89	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	89	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	89	10	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	89	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	89	12	this	this	DET
cpos-74	89	13	strikingly	strikingly	ADV
cpos-74	89	14	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	89	15	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	89	16	monotonic	monotonic	ADJ
cpos-74	89	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	89	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	89	19	a	a	DET
cpos-74	89	20	result	result	NOUN
cpos-74	89	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	89	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	89	23	austrian	austrian	ADJ
cpos-74	89	24	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	89	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	89	26	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	89	27	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	89	28	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	89	29	not	not	PART
cpos-74	89	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	89	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	89	32	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	89	33	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	89	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	89	35	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	89	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	89	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	89	38	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	89	39	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	89	40	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	89	41	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	89	42	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	89	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	90	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	90	2	austrian	austrian	ADJ
cpos-74	90	3	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	90	4	failed	fail	VERB
cpos-74	90	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	90	6	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	90	7	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	90	8	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	90	9	attempt	attempt	NOUN
cpos-74	90	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	90	11	1978	1978	NUM
cpos-74	90	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	90	13	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	90	14	a	a	DET
cpos-74	90	15	rapid	rapid	ADJ
cpos-74	90	16	rebound	rebound	NOUN
cpos-74	90	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	90	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	90	19	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	90	20	a	a	DET
cpos-74	90	21	dozen	dozen	NOUN
cpos-74	90	22	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	90	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	91	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	91	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	91	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	91	4	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-74	91	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	91	6	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	91	7	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	91	8	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-74	91	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	91	10	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	91	11	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	91	12	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-74	91	13	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	91	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	91	15	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	91	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	91	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	91	18	before	before	ADP
cpos-74	91	19	failing	fail	VERB
cpos-74	91	20	to	to	PART
cpos-74	91	21	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	91	22	another	another	DET
cpos-74	91	23	dip	dip	NOUN
cpos-74	91	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	91	25	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	91	26	after	after	ADP
cpos-74	91	27	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	91	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	92	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	92	2	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	92	3	switzerland	switzerland	NOUN
cpos-74	92	4	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	92	5	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	92	6	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	92	7	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	92	8	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	92	9	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-74	92	10	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	92	11	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	92	12	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	92	13	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	92	14	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	92	15	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	92	16	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	92	17	2040	2040	NUM
cpos-74	92	18	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	92	19	2060	2060	NUM
cpos-74	92	20	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	92	21	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	92	22	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	92	23	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	92	24	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	92	25	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	92	26	1991	1991	NUM
cpos-74	92	27	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	92	28	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	92	29	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	92	30	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	92	31	sources	source	NOUN
cpos-74	92	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	92	33	publications	publication	NOUN
cpos-74	92	34	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	92	35	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	92	36	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	92	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	92	38	human	human	ADJ
cpos-74	92	39	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	92	40	database	database	NOUN
cpos-74	92	41	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	93	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	93	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	93	3	gures	gure	NOUN
cpos-74	93	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	93	5	inspired	inspire	VERB
cpos-74	93	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	93	7	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-74	93	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	93	9	1976	1976	NUM
cpos-74	93	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	93	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	93	12	his	his	PRON
cpos-74	93	13	graph	graph	NOUN
cpos-74	93	14	showing	show	VERB
cpos-74	93	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	93	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	93	17	us	us	PROPN
cpos-74	93	18	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	93	19	behaved	behave	VERB
cpos-74	93	20	similarly	similarly	ADV
cpos-74	93	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	94	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	94	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	94	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	94	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	94	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	94	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	94	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	94	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	94	9	•	•	NOUN
cpos-74	94	10	667	667	NUM
cpos-74	94	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	94	12	captured	capture	VERB
cpos-74	94	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	94	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	94	15	some	some	DET
cpos-74	94	16	extent	extent	NOUN
cpos-74	94	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	94	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	94	19	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-74	94	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	94	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	94	22	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	94	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	94	24	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	94	25	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	94	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	95	1	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
cpos-74	95	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	95	3	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-74	95	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	95	5	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	95	6	a	a	DET
cpos-74	95	7	stable	stable	ADJ
cpos-74	95	8	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	95	9	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	95	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	95	11	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	95	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	95	13	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	95	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	95	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	95	16	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	95	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	95	18	rebound	rebound	NOUN
cpos-74	95	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	95	20	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	95	21	0.1	0.1	NUM
cpos-74	95	22	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	95	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	95	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	95	25	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	95	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	95	27	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	95	28	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	95	29	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	95	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	95	31	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	95	32	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	95	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	96	1	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	96	2	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	96	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	96	4	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	96	5	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	96	6	an	an	DET
cpos-74	96	7	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	96	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	96	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	96	10	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	96	11	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	96	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	97	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	97	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	97	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	97	4	1991	1991	NUM
cpos-74	97	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	97	6	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	97	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	97	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	97	9	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	97	10	all	all	PRON
cpos-74	97	11	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	97	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	97	13	rebound	rebound	NOUN
cpos-74	97	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	97	15	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	97	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	97	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	97	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	97	19	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	97	20	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	97	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	97	22	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	97	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	98	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	98	2	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	98	3	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	98	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	98	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	98	6	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	98	7	predicts	predict	VERB
cpos-74	98	8	no	no	DET
cpos-74	98	9	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	98	10	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	98	11	all	all	ADV
cpos-74	98	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	99	1	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	99	2	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	99	3	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	99	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	99	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	99	6	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	99	7	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	99	8	share	share	VERB
cpos-74	99	9	almost	almost	ADV
cpos-74	99	10	identical	identical	ADJ
cpos-74	99	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	99	12	histories	history	NOUN
cpos-74	99	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	99	14	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	99	15	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	99	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	99	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	100	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	100	2	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	100	3	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	100	4	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	100	5	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	100	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	100	7	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	100	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	100	9	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	100	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	100	11	set	set	VERB
cpos-74	100	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	100	13	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-74	100	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	100	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	100	16	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	100	17	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	100	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	100	19	1.40	1.40	NUM
cpos-74	100	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	101	1	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	101	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	101	3	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	101	4	hand	hand	NOUN
cpos-74	101	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	101	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	101	7	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	101	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	101	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	101	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	101	11	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	101	12	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	101	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	102	1	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	102	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	102	3	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	102	4	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	102	5	tried	try	VERB
cpos-74	102	6	to	to	PART
cpos-74	102	7	include	include	VERB
cpos-74	102	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	102	9	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	102	10	recovery	recovery	NOUN
cpos-74	102	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	102	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	102	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	102	14	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	102	15	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	102	16	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	102	17	decidedly	decidedly	ADV
cpos-74	102	18	not	not	PART
cpos-74	102	19	done	do	VERB
cpos-74	102	20	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	102	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	103	2	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	103	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	103	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	103	5	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	103	6	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	103	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	103	9	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	103	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	103	12	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	103	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	103	14	international	international	ADJ
cpos-74	103	15	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	103	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	103	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	103	19	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	103	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	21	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	103	22	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-74	103	23	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-74	103	24	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	103	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	103	26	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	103	27	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	103	28	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	103	29	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	103	30	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	103	31	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	103	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	103	33	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	103	34	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	103	35	consider	consider	VERB
cpos-74	103	36	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	103	37	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	103	38	to	to	PART
cpos-74	103	39	project	project	VERB
cpos-74	103	40	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	103	41	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	103	42	the	the	DET
cpos-74	103	43	following	following	NOUN
cpos-74	103	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	104	2	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	104	3	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	104	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	104	5	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	104	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	7	component	component	NOUN
cpos-74	104	8	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	104	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	10	produced	produce	VERB
cpos-74	104	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	104	12	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	104	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	14	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	104	15	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-74	104	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	104	17	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	104	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	19	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	104	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	104	21	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	104	22	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-74	104	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	105	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	105	2	publication	publication	NOUN
cpos-74	105	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	105	4	revisions	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	105	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	105	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	105	7	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	105	8	follows	follow	VERB
cpos-74	105	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	105	10	biennial	biennial	ADJ
cpos-74	105	11	cycle	cycle	NOUN
cpos-74	105	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	106	1	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	106	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	106	3	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	106	4	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	106	5	publication	publication	NOUN
cpos-74	106	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	106	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	106	8	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	106	9	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	106	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	106	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	106	12	great	great	ADJ
cpos-74	106	13	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	106	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	106	15	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	106	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	106	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	106	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	106	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	106	20	strategy	strategy	NOUN
cpos-74	106	21	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	106	22	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-74	106	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	107	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	107	2	preceding	precede	VERB
cpos-74	107	3	revisions	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	107	4	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	107	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	107	6	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	107	7	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-74	107	8	linear	linear	ADJ
cpos-74	107	9	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	107	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	107	11	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	107	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	107	13	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	107	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	107	15	below	below	ADP
cpos-74	107	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	107	17	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	107	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	107	19	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	107	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	108	1	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	108	2	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	108	3	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	108	4	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	108	5	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	108	6	to	to	PART
cpos-74	108	7	change	change	VERB
cpos-74	108	8	linearly	linearly	ADV
cpos-74	108	9	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	108	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	108	11	quinquennial	quinquennial	ADJ
cpos-74	108	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	108	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	108	14	0.05	0.05	NUM
cpos-74	108	15	to	to	PART
cpos-74	108	16	approach	approach	VERB
cpos-74	108	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	108	18	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	108	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	108	20	1.85	1.85	NUM
cpos-74	108	21	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	108	22	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	108	23	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	108	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	108	25	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	108	26	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	108	27	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	108	28	to	to	PART
cpos-74	108	29	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-74	108	30	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	108	31	after	after	SCONJ
cpos-74	108	32	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	108	33	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	108	34	reached	reach	VERB
cpos-74	108	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	109	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	109	2	procedure	procedure	NOUN
cpos-74	109	3	delivers	deliver	VERB
cpos-74	109	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	109	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	109	6	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	109	7	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	109	8	not	not	PART
cpos-74	109	9	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	109	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	109	11	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	109	12	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	109	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	109	14	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	109	15	had	have	AUX
cpos-74	109	16	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	109	17	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	109	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	109	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	109	20	initial	initial	ADJ
cpos-74	109	21	reasons	reason	NOUN
cpos-74	109	22	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	109	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	109	24	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	109	25	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	109	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	110	1	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	110	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	110	3	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	110	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	110	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	110	6	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	110	7	switched	switch	VERB
cpos-74	110	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	110	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	110	10	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
cpos-74	110	11	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	110	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	110	13	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	110	14	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	110	15	precisely	precisely	ADV
cpos-74	110	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	110	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	110	18	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	110	19	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-74	110	20	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	110	21	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
cpos-74	110	22	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	110	23	series	series	PROPN
cpos-74	110	24	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	110	25	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	110	26	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	110	27	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	110	28	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	110	29	xed	xed	X
cpos-74	110	30	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	110	31	a	a	DET
cpos-74	110	32	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	110	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	110	34	2.1	2.1	NUM
cpos-74	110	35	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	110	36	approximate	approximate	ADJ
cpos-74	110	37	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	110	38	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	110	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	111	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	111	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	111	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	111	5	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	111	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	7	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	111	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	111	9	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	111	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	111	12	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	111	13	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-74	111	14	depend	depend	VERB
cpos-74	111	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	111	16	estimates	estimate	NOUN
cpos-74	111	17	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	111	18	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	111	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	111	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	21	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	111	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	111	23	supposed	suppose	VERB
cpos-74	111	24	to	to	PART
cpos-74	111	25	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	111	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	111	27	trajectory	trajectory	NOUN
cpos-74	111	28	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	111	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	30	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	111	31	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	111	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	111	33	back	back	ADV
cpos-74	111	34	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	111	35	the	the	DET
cpos-74	111	36	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	111	37	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	111	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	112	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	112	2	both	both	DET
cpos-74	112	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	112	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	112	5	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cpos-74	112	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	112	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	112	8	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	112	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	112	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	112	11	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	112	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	112	13	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	112	14	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	112	15	derived	derive	VERB
cpos-74	112	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	112	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	112	18	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	112	19	manner	manner	NOUN
cpos-74	112	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	112	21	half	half	DET
cpos-74	112	22	a	a	DET
cpos-74	112	23	child	child	NOUN
cpos-74	112	24	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	112	25	either	either	CCONJ
cpos-74	112	26	subtracted	subtract	VERB
cpos-74	112	27	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	112	28	added	add	VERB
cpos-74	112	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	112	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	112	31	target	target	NOUN
cpos-74	112	32	value	value	NOUN
cpos-74	112	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	113	2	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	113	3	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-74	113	4	directly	directly	ADV
cpos-74	113	5	address	address	VERB
cpos-74	113	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	113	7	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-74	113	8	uence	uence	NOUN
cpos-74	113	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	113	10	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	113	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	12	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	113	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	113	14	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	113	15	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	113	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	17	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	18	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	113	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	113	20	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	113	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	22	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	113	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	24	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	113	25	pointed	point	VERB
cpos-74	113	26	out	out	ADP
cpos-74	113	27	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	113	28	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	113	29	belowreplacement	belowreplacement	NOUN
cpos-74	113	30	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	113	31	tfrs	tfrs	NOUN
cpos-74	113	32	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	113	33	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	113	34	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	113	35	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	113	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	113	37	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	113	38	tfrs	tfrs	NOUN
cpos-74	113	39	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	113	40	the	the	DET
cpos-74	113	41	currently	currently	ADV
cpos-74	113	42	fertile	fertile	ADJ
cpos-74	113	43	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	113	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	113	45	refl	refl	PROPN
cpos-74	113	46	ecting	ecte	VERB
cpos-74	113	47	a	a	DET
cpos-74	113	48	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	113	49	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	113	50	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	113	51	a	a	DET
cpos-74	113	52	quantum	quantum	ADJ
cpos-74	113	53	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	113	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	114	2	ar(1	ar(1	NOUN
cpos-74	114	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	4	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	114	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	114	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	114	7	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	114	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	114	9	phase	phase	NOUN
cpos-74	114	10	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	114	11	predicts	predict	VERB
cpos-74	114	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	114	13	recovery	recovery	NOUN
cpos-74	114	14	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	114	15	below	below	ADP
cpos-74	114	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	17	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	114	18	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	114	19	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	114	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	21	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	114	22	does	do	VERB
cpos-74	114	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	114	24	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	114	25	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	26	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	114	27	work	work	NOUN
cpos-74	114	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	29	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	114	30	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	114	31	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	114	32	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	114	33	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	114	34	some	some	DET
cpos-74	114	35	extent	extent	NOUN
cpos-74	114	36	capture	capture	VERB
cpos-74	114	37	this	this	DET
cpos-74	114	38	phenomenon	phenomenon	NOUN
cpos-74	114	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	114	40	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	115	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	115	2	raftery	raftery	VERB
cpos-74	115	3	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	115	4	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	115	5	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	115	6	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	115	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	115	8	16	16	NUM
cpos-74	115	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	115	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	116	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	116	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	116	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	116	4	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	116	5	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	116	6	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	116	7	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	116	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	116	9	separate	separate	ADJ
cpos-74	116	10	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	116	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	116	12	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	116	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	116	14	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	116	15	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	116	16	not	not	PART
cpos-74	116	17	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	116	18	compatible	compatible	ADJ
cpos-74	116	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	117	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	117	2	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	117	3	displays	display	VERB
cpos-74	117	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	117	5	latest	late	ADJ
cpos-74	117	6	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	117	7	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	117	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	117	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	117	10	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	117	11	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	117	12	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	117	13	consideration	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	117	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	117	15	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	117	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	117	17	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	117	18	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	117	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	118	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	118	2	underlying	underlying	ADJ
cpos-74	118	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	118	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	118	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	118	6	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	118	7	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	118	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	118	9	all	all	DET
cpos-74	118	10	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	118	11	indicators	indicator	NOUN
cpos-74	118	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	118	13	a	a	DET
cpos-74	118	14	europe	europe	NOUN
cpos-74	118	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	118	16	wide	wide	ADJ
cpos-74	118	17	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	118	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	118	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	118	20	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	118	21	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	118	22	run	run	NOUN
cpos-74	118	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	118	24	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	118	25	2011b	2011b	NUM
cpos-74	118	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	118	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	119	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	119	2	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	119	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	119	4	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	119	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	119	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	119	7	outcome	outcome	NOUN
cpos-74	119	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	119	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	119	10	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	119	11	leads	lead	VERB
cpos-74	119	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	119	13	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	119	14	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	119	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	119	16	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	119	17	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	119	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	119	19	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	119	20	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	119	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	119	22	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	119	23	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	119	24	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	119	25	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	119	26	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	119	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	119	28	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	119	29	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	119	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	119	31	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	119	32	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	119	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	119	34	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	119	35	prskawetz668	prskawetz668	NOUN
cpos-74	119	36	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-74	119	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	1	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	120	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	3	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	120	4	tfrs	tfrs	NOUN
cpos-74	120	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	120	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	7	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	120	8	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	120	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	120	10	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	120	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	120	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	13	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	120	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	15	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	120	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	120	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	18	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	120	19	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	120	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	120	21	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-74	120	22	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	23	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	24	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	25	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	26	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	120	27	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	28	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	29	2.6	2.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	30	2.8	2.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	31	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	32	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	33	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	34	60	60	NUM
cpos-74	120	35	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	36	70	70	NUM
cpos-74	120	37	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	38	80	80	NUM
cpos-74	120	39	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	40	90	90	NUM
cpos-74	120	41	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	42	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	120	43	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	44	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	120	45	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	46	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	47	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	48	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	120	49	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	50	40	40	NUM
cpos-74	120	51	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	52	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	53	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	120	54	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	120	55	medium	medium	PROPN
cpos-74	120	56	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	120	57	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	120	58	agency	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	120	59	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	120	60	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	61	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	62	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	63	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	64	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	120	65	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	66	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	67	2.6	2.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	68	2.8	2.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	69	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	70	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	71	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	72	60	60	NUM
cpos-74	120	73	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	74	70	70	NUM
cpos-74	120	75	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	76	80	80	NUM
cpos-74	120	77	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	78	90	90	NUM
cpos-74	120	79	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	80	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	120	81	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	82	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	120	83	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	84	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	85	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	86	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	120	87	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	88	40	40	NUM
cpos-74	120	89	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	90	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	91	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	120	92	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	120	93	medium	medium	PROPN
cpos-74	120	94	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	120	95	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	120	96	agency	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	120	97	austria	austria	NOUN
cpos-74	120	98	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	99	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	100	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	101	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	102	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	120	103	2.2	2.2	NUM
cpos-74	120	104	2.4	2.4	NUM
cpos-74	120	105	2.6	2.6	NUM
cpos-74	120	106	2.8	2.8	NUM
cpos-74	120	107	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	108	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	109	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	110	60	60	NUM
cpos-74	120	111	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	112	70	70	NUM
cpos-74	120	113	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	114	80	80	NUM
cpos-74	120	115	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	120	116	90	90	NUM
cpos-74	120	117	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	118	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	120	119	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	120	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	120	121	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	122	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	123	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	124	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	120	125	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	126	40	40	NUM
cpos-74	120	127	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	120	128	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	120	129	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	120	130	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	120	131	medium	medium	PROPN
cpos-74	120	132	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	120	133	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	120	134	agency	agency	PROPN
cpos-74	120	135	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	120	136	sources	sources	PROPN
cpos-74	120	137	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	138	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	120	139	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	120	140	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	120	141	division	division	NOUN
cpos-74	120	142	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	120	143	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	144	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	120	145	2011a	2011a	NUM
cpos-74	120	146	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	120	147	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	120	148	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	120	149	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	150	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	120	151	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	152	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	120	153	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	120	154	•	•	ADV
cpos-74	120	155	669	669	NUM
cpos-74	120	156	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	120	157	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	120	158	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	120	159	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	120	160	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	120	161	considerably	considerably	ADV
cpos-74	120	162	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	120	163	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	120	164	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	165	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	120	166	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	120	167	the	the	DET
cpos-74	120	168	un	un	PROPN
cpos-74	120	169	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	121	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	121	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	121	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	121	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	5	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	121	6	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	121	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	121	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	121	9	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	121	10	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	121	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	121	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	13	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	121	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	121	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	16	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	121	17	agency.4	agency.4	PROPN
cpos-74	121	18	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	121	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	20	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	121	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	121	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	121	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	121	24	this	this	DET
cpos-74	121	25	section	section	NOUN
cpos-74	121	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	121	27	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	121	28	recount	recount	VERB
cpos-74	121	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	30	history	history	NOUN
cpos-74	121	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	121	32	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	121	33	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	121	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	121	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	121	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	37	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	121	38	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	121	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	121	40	following	follow	VERB
cpos-74	121	41	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	42	history	history	NOUN
cpos-74	121	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	121	44	the	the	DET
cpos-74	121	45	stated	state	VERB
cpos-74	121	46	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	121	47	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	121	48	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	121	49	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	121	50	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	121	51	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	121	52	evolved	evolve	VERB
cpos-74	121	53	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	121	54	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	121	55	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	122	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	122	2	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	122	3	doing	do	VERB
cpos-74	122	4	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	122	5	exclude	exclude	VERB
cpos-74	122	6	offi	offi	ADP
cpos-74	122	7	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	122	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	122	9	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	122	10	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	122	11	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	122	12	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	122	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	122	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	122	15	sub	sub	ADJ
cpos-74	122	16	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	122	17	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	122	18	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	122	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	123	2	all	all	DET
cpos-74	123	3	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	123	4	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	123	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	123	7	exist	exist	VERB
cpos-74	123	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	123	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	123	10	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	123	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	123	12	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	123	13	states	state	NOUN
cpos-74	123	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	15	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	123	16	cantons	canton	NOUN
cpos-74	123	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	123	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	123	20	coordinated	coordinate	VERB
cpos-74	123	21	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	123	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	123	23	one	one	NOUN
cpos-74	123	24	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	123	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	123	26	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	123	27	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	123	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	29	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	123	30	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	123	31	varying	vary	VERB
cpos-74	123	32	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	123	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	123	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	123	35	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	123	36	parameters	parameter	NOUN
cpos-74	123	37	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	38	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	123	39	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	123	40	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	123	41	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	42	8	8	NUM
cpos-74	123	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	44	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	123	45	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	123	46	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	123	47	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	48	9	9	NUM
cpos-74	123	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	50	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	123	51	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	123	52	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	123	53	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	123	54	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	123	55	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	123	56	1).5	1).5	NUM
cpos-74	123	57	4.1	4.1	NUM
cpos-74	123	58	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	123	59	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	123	60	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	123	61	the	the	DET
cpos-74	123	62	tradition	tradition	NOUN
cpos-74	123	63	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	123	64	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	123	65	goes	go	VERB
cpos-74	123	66	back	back	ADV
cpos-74	123	67	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	123	68	1952	1952	NUM
cpos-74	123	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	124	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	124	2	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	124	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	124	4	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	124	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	124	6	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	124	7	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	124	8	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	124	9	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-74	124	10	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	124	11	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	124	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	124	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	124	14	harmonising	harmonise	VERB
cpos-74	124	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	124	16	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	124	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	124	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	124	19	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	124	20	states	state	NOUN
cpos-74	124	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	124	22	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	124	23	territory	territory	NOUN
cpos-74	124	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	125	1	currently	currently	ADV
cpos-74	125	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	125	3	12th	12th	ADJ
cpos-74	125	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	125	5	latest	late	ADJ
cpos-74	125	6	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	125	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	125	8	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	125	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	125	10	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	125	11	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	125	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	126	2	1st	1st	ADJ
cpos-74	126	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	4	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	126	5	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	126	6	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	126	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	126	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	126	10	2nd	2nd	ADJ
cpos-74	126	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	12	1968	1968	NUM
cpos-74	126	13	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	126	14	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	126	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	16	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	126	17	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	126	18	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	126	19	postulated	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	126	20	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	126	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	126	22	single	single	ADJ
cpos-74	126	23	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	126	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	126	25	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	126	26	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	126	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	126	28	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	126	29	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	126	30	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	126	31	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	126	32	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	126	33	the	the	DET
cpos-74	126	34	entire	entire	ADJ
cpos-74	126	35	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	126	36	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	126	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	127	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	127	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	127	3	did	do	AUX
cpos-74	127	4	not	not	PART
cpos-74	127	5	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
cpos-74	127	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	127	7	sharp	sharp	ADJ
cpos-74	127	8	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	127	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	127	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	127	11	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	127	12	1966	1966	NUM
cpos-74	127	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	128	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	128	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	128	3	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	128	4	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	128	5	noticed	notice	VERB
cpos-74	128	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	128	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	128	8	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	128	9	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	128	10	strongly	strongly	ADV
cpos-74	128	11	overestimated	overestimate	VERB
cpos-74	128	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	128	13	both	both	DET
cpos-74	128	14	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-74	128	15	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	128	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	128	17	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	128	18	did	do	AUX
cpos-74	128	19	n’t	not	PART
cpos-74	128	20	formulate	formulate	VERB
cpos-74	128	21	any	any	DET
cpos-74	128	22	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	128	23	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	128	24	to	to	PART
cpos-74	128	25	assess	assess	VERB
cpos-74	128	26	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	128	27	what	what	DET
cpos-74	128	28	extent	extent	NOUN
cpos-74	128	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	128	30	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	128	31	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	128	32	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	128	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	129	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	129	2	3rd	3rd	ADJ
cpos-74	129	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	129	4	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	129	5	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	129	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	129	7	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-74	129	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	129	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	129	10	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	129	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	129	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	129	13	1969	1969	NUM
cpos-74	129	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	129	15	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	129	16	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	129	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	129	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	129	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	129	20	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	129	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	129	22	proportional	proportional	ADJ
cpos-74	129	23	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	129	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	129	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	129	26	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-74	129	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	129	28	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	129	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	129	30	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	129	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	130	1	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	130	2	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	130	3	onward	onward	NOUN
cpos-74	130	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	130	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	130	6	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	130	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	130	8	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	130	9	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	130	10	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	130	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	131	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	131	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	131	3	acknowledged	acknowledge	VERB
cpos-74	131	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	131	5	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	131	6	had	have	VERB
cpos-74	131	7	little	little	ADJ
cpos-74	131	8	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	131	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	131	10	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	131	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	131	12	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	131	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	131	14	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	131	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	131	16	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	131	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	131	18	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-74	131	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	131	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	131	21	furnish	furnish	VERB
cpos-74	131	22	no	no	DET
cpos-74	131	23	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	131	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	131	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	131	26	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	131	27	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	131	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	131	29	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	131	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	132	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
cpos-74	132	2	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	132	3	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	132	4	acknowledged	acknowledge	VERB
cpos-74	132	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	132	6	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	132	7	must	must	AUX
cpos-74	132	8	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	132	9	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	132	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	132	11	get	get	VERB
cpos-74	132	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	132	13	picture	picture	NOUN
cpos-74	132	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	132	15	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	132	16	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	132	17	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	132	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	133	1	conducting	conduct	VERB
cpos-74	133	2	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	133	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	133	4	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	133	5	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	133	6	intervals	interval	NOUN
cpos-74	133	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	133	8	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-74	133	9	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	133	10	important	important	ADJ
cpos-74	133	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	133	12	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	133	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	133	14	account	account	VERB
cpos-74	133	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	133	16	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	133	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	133	18	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-74	133	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	133	20	kampl	kampl	NOUN
cpos-74	133	21	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	133	22	rückert	rückert	PROPN
cpos-74	133	23	1971	1971	NUM
cpos-74	133	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	133	25	668	668	NUM
cpos-74	133	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	133	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	134	2	4th	4th	ADJ
cpos-74	134	3	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	134	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	134	5	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	134	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	7	1972	1972	NUM
cpos-74	134	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	134	9	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-74	134	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	11	added	add	VERB
cpos-74	134	12	an	an	DET
cpos-74	134	13	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	134	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	134	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	134	16	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	134	17	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	134	18	9	9	NUM
cpos-74	134	19	%	%	NOUN
cpos-74	134	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	134	21	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	134	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	134	23	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	134	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	134	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	134	26	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	134	27	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	134	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	29	bretz	bretz	PROPN
cpos-74	134	30	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	134	31	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	32	257	257	NUM
cpos-74	134	33	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	134	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	135	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	135	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	135	3	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	135	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	135	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	135	6	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	135	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	135	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	135	9	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	135	10	refl	refl	NOUN
cpos-74	135	11	ects	ect	VERB
cpos-74	135	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	135	13	dramatic	dramatic	ADJ
cpos-74	135	14	reduction	reduction	NOUN
cpos-74	135	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	135	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	135	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	135	18	several	several	ADJ
cpos-74	135	19	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	135	20	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	135	21	related	relate	VERB
cpos-74	135	22	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	135	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	135	24	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	135	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	135	26	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	135	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	135	28	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	135	29	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	135	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	135	31	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	135	32	caused	cause	VERB
cpos-74	135	33	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	135	34	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-74	135	35	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	135	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	135	37	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	135	38	planning6	planning6	NOUN
cpos-74	135	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	136	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	136	2	a	a	DET
cpos-74	136	3	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	136	4	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	136	5	description	description	NOUN
cpos-74	136	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	136	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	136	8	methodology	methodology	NOUN
cpos-74	136	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	136	10	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	136	11	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	136	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	136	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	136	14	forthcoming	forthcoming	ADJ
cpos-74	136	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	136	16	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	136	17	not	not	PART
cpos-74	136	18	available	available	ADJ
cpos-74	136	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	136	20	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	136	21	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	136	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	136	23	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	136	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	136	25	publication	publication	NOUN
cpos-74	136	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	136	27	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	136	28	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	136	29	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	136	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	136	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	137	2	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	137	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	137	4	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	137	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	137	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	137	7	sub	sub	ADJ
cpos-74	137	8	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	137	9	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	137	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	137	11	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	137	12	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	137	13	basten	basten	PROPN
cpos-74	137	14	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	137	15	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	137	16	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	137	17	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	137	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	137	19	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	137	20	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	137	21	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	137	22	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	137	23	.	.	NOUN
cpos-74	137	24	6	6	NUM
cpos-74	137	25	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	137	27	den	den	PROPN
cpos-74	137	28	veränderungen	veränderungen	NOUN
cpos-74	137	29	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	137	30	altersspezifi	altersspezifi	VERB
cpos-74	137	31	schen	schen	ADV
cpos-74	137	32	fruchtbarkeitsziffern	fruchtbarkeitsziffern	PROPN
cpos-74	137	33	spiegeln	spiegeln	PROPN
cpos-74	137	34	sich	sich	PROPN
cpos-74	137	35	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	36	sehr	sehr	PROPN
cpos-74	137	37	allgemein	allgemein	ADJ
cpos-74	137	38	formuliert	formuliert	NOUN
cpos-74	137	39	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	40	auswirkungen	auswirkungen	PROPN
cpos-74	137	41	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	137	42	familienplanung	familienplanung	VERB
cpos-74	137	43	wider	wider	ADV
cpos-74	137	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	45	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	47	linke	linke	VERB
cpos-74	137	48	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	137	49	rückert	rückert	NOUN
cpos-74	137	50	1973	1973	NUM
cpos-74	137	51	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	52	83	83	NUM
cpos-74	137	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	54	•	•	NOUN
cpos-74	137	55	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	137	56	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	137	57	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	137	58	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	59	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	137	60	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	137	61	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	62	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	137	63	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	137	64	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	65	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	137	66	prskawetz670	prskawetz670	PROPN
cpos-74	137	67	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	68	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	137	69	narrowed	narrow	VERB
cpos-74	137	70	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	71	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	137	72	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	137	73	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	137	74	a	a	DET
cpos-74	137	75	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	137	76	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	137	77	35	35	NUM
cpos-74	137	78	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	137	79	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	137	80	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	81	1st	1st	NOUN
cpos-74	137	82	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	137	83	less	less	ADJ
cpos-74	137	84	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	137	85	15	15	NUM
cpos-74	137	86	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	137	87	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	137	88	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	89	4th	4th	ADJ
cpos-74	137	90	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	137	91	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	137	92	projection.7	projection.7	NOUN
cpos-74	137	93	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	137	94	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	137	95	underlie	underlie	VERB
cpos-74	137	96	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	97	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	137	98	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	137	99	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	137	100	the	the	DET
cpos-74	137	101	5th	5th	ADJ
cpos-74	137	102	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	137	103	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	137	104	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	137	105	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	106	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	137	107	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	137	108	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	137	109	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	137	110	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	138	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	138	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	138	3	acknowledged	acknowledge	VERB
cpos-74	138	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	138	5	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	138	6	was	be	VERB
cpos-74	138	7	little	little	ADJ
cpos-74	138	8	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	138	9	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	138	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	138	11	determinants	determinant	NOUN
cpos-74	138	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	138	13	individual	individual	ADJ
cpos-74	138	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	138	15	decisions	decision	NOUN
cpos-74	138	16	regarding	regard	VERB
cpos-74	138	17	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	138	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	138	19	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	138	20	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	138	21	spacing	spacing	NOUN
cpos-74	138	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	138	23	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	138	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	139	1	some	some	DET
cpos-74	139	2	examples	example	NOUN
cpos-74	139	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	139	4	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	139	5	deterrents	deterrent	NOUN
cpos-74	139	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	139	7	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	139	8	included	include	VERB
cpos-74	139	9	widespread	widespread	ADJ
cpos-74	139	10	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	139	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	139	12	contraceptives	contraceptive	NOUN
cpos-74	139	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	139	14	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	139	15	attitudes	attitude	NOUN
cpos-74	139	16	toward	toward	ADP
cpos-74	139	17	gender	gender	NOUN
cpos-74	139	18	roles	role	NOUN
cpos-74	139	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	139	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	139	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	139	22	rising	rise	VERB
cpos-74	139	23	proportion	proportion	NOUN
cpos-74	139	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	139	25	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	139	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	139	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	139	28	labour	labour	ADJ
cpos-74	139	29	force	force	NOUN
cpos-74	139	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	140	1	an	an	DET
cpos-74	140	2	economics	economics	NOUN
cpos-74	140	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	140	4	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	140	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	140	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	140	7	explaining	explain	VERB
cpos-74	140	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	140	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	140	10	related	relate	VERB
cpos-74	140	11	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	140	12	suggests	suggest	VERB
cpos-74	140	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	140	14	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-74	140	15	parents	parent	NOUN
cpos-74	140	16	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	140	17	react	react	VERB
cpos-74	140	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	140	19	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	140	20	costs	cost	NOUN
cpos-74	140	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	140	22	childrearing	childrearing	NOUN
cpos-74	140	23	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	140	24	having	have	VERB
cpos-74	140	25	fewer	few	ADJ
cpos-74	140	26	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	140	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	141	1	upon	upon	SCONJ
cpos-74	141	2	these	these	DET
cpos-74	141	3	considerations	consideration	NOUN
cpos-74	141	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	141	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	141	6	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	141	7	concluded	conclude	VERB
cpos-74	141	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	141	9	an	an	DET
cpos-74	141	10	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	141	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	141	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	141	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	141	14	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	141	15	unlikely	unlikely	ADJ
cpos-74	141	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	142	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	142	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	142	3	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	142	4	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	142	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	142	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	142	7	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	142	8	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	142	9	stop	stop	VERB
cpos-74	142	10	around	around	ADP
cpos-74	142	11	1977.8	1977.8	NUM
cpos-74	142	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	142	13	6th	6th	ADJ
cpos-74	142	14	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	142	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	142	16	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	142	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	142	18	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	142	19	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	142	20	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	142	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	142	22	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	142	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	142	24	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	142	25	one	one	NOUN
cpos-74	142	26	conducted	conduct	VERB
cpos-74	142	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	142	28	west	west	PROPN
cpos-74	142	29	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	142	30	alone	alone	ADV
cpos-74	142	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	143	1	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	143	2	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	143	3	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	143	4	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	143	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	143	6	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	143	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	143	8	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	143	9	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	143	10	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	143	11	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	143	12	postulated	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	143	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	144	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	144	3	7th	7th	ADJ
cpos-74	144	4	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	144	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	144	6	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	144	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	8	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	144	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	144	10	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	144	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	13	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	144	14	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	144	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	144	16	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	144	17	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	144	18	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	144	19	after	after	ADP
cpos-74	144	20	reunifi	reunifi	PROPN
cpos-74	144	21	cation	cation	PROPN
cpos-74	144	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	23	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	144	24	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	144	25	separately	separately	ADV
cpos-74	144	26	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	144	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	144	28	both	both	DET
cpos-74	144	29	parts	part	NOUN
cpos-74	144	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	144	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	144	32	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	144	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	34	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	144	35	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	144	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	144	37	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	144	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	39	sommer	sommer	NOUN
cpos-74	144	40	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	144	41	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	42	217	217	NUM
cpos-74	144	43	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	144	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	145	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	145	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	145	3	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-74	145	4	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	145	5	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	145	6	was	be	VERB
cpos-74	145	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	145	8	focus	focus	NOUN
cpos-74	145	9	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	145	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	145	11	speed	speed	NOUN
cpos-74	145	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	145	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	145	14	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	145	15	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	145	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	145	17	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	145	18	parts	part	NOUN
cpos-74	145	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	145	20	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	145	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	1	complete	complete	ADJ
cpos-74	146	2	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	146	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	4	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	146	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	146	7	8th	8th	ADJ
cpos-74	146	8	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	146	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	146	10	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	146	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	12	1993	1993	NUM
cpos-74	146	13	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	146	14	2040	2040	NUM
cpos-74	146	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	16	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	146	17	alternatively	alternatively	ADV
cpos-74	146	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	19	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	146	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	146	22	9th	9th	ADJ
cpos-74	146	23	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	146	24	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	146	25	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	146	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	27	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-74	146	28	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	146	29	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	146	30	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	146	32	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	146	33	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	146	34	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	35	the	the	DET
cpos-74	146	36	10th	10th	ADJ
cpos-74	146	37	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	146	38	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	146	39	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	146	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	41	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-74	146	42	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	146	43	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	146	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	45	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	146	46	functional	functional	ADJ
cpos-74	146	47	estimates	estimate	NOUN
cpos-74	146	48	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	49	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	146	50	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	146	51	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	146	52	did	do	AUX
cpos-74	146	53	converge	converge	VERB
cpos-74	146	54	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	146	55	east	east	PROPN
cpos-74	146	56	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	146	57	west	west	PROPN
cpos-74	146	58	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	146	59	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	146	60	2007.9	2007.9	NUM
cpos-74	146	61	nevertheless	nevertheless	ADV
cpos-74	146	62	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	146	63	all	all	DET
cpos-74	146	64	these	these	DET
cpos-74	146	65	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	146	66	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	146	67	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	146	68	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	146	69	without	without	ADP
cpos-74	146	70	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	146	71	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	146	72	any	any	DET
cpos-74	146	73	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	146	74	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	146	75	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	146	76	the	the	DET
cpos-74	146	77	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	146	78	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	147	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	147	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	147	3	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	147	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	147	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	147	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	147	7	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	147	8	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	147	9	stay	stay	VERB
cpos-74	147	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	147	11	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	147	12	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	147	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	147	14	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	147	15	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	147	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	147	17	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-74	147	18	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	147	19	a	a	DET
cpos-74	147	20	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	147	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	147	22	half	half	DET
cpos-74	147	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	147	24	century	century	NOUN
cpos-74	147	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	148	2	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	148	3	not	not	PART
cpos-74	148	4	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	148	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	148	6	11th	11th	ADJ
cpos-74	148	7	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	148	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	148	9	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	148	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	11	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	148	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	148	13	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	148	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	16	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	148	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	18	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	148	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	148	20	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	148	21	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	148	22	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	148	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	148	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	148	25	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	148	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	148	27	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	148	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	148	29	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	148	30	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	148	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	149	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	149	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	149	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	6	approximate	approximate	ADJ
cpos-74	149	7	stability	stability	NOUN
cpos-74	149	8	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	10	supposes	suppose	VERB
cpos-74	149	11	continuation	continuation	NOUN
cpos-74	149	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	149	13	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	149	14	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	149	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	149	16	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	149	17	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	149	18	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	149	19	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	149	20	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	149	21	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-74	149	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	150	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	150	2	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	150	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	150	4	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	150	5	remains	remain	VERB
cpos-74	150	6	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	150	7	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	150	8	present	present	ADJ
cpos-74	150	9	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	150	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	150	11	nearly	nearly	ADV
cpos-74	150	12	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	150	13	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	150	14	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	150	15	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	150	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	150	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	150	18	average	average	ADJ
cpos-74	150	19	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	150	20	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	150	21	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	150	22	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-74	150	23	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	150	24	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	150	25	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	150	26	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	150	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	151	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	151	2	second	second	ADJ
cpos-74	151	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	151	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	151	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	151	6	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	151	7	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	151	8	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	151	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	151	10	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	151	11	an	an	DET
cpos-74	151	12	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	151	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	151	14	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	151	15	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	151	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	151	17	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	151	18	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	151	19	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	151	20	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	151	21	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	151	22	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-74	151	23	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	151	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	151	25	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-74	151	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	151	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	151	28	average	average	ADJ
cpos-74	151	29	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	151	30	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	151	31	giving	give	VERB
cpos-74	151	32	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	151	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	151	34	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	151	35	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	151	36	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	151	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	152	1	afterwards	afterwards	ADV
cpos-74	152	2	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	152	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	152	4	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-74	152	5	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	152	6	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	152	7	2026	2026	NUM
cpos-74	152	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	152	9	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	152	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	153	2	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	153	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	153	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	5	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	6	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	153	7	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-74	153	8	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	10	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	153	11	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	153	12	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	153	13	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	153	14	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	153	15	gradually	gradually	ADV
cpos-74	153	16	decrease	decrease	VERB
cpos-74	153	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	153	18	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	153	19	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	153	20	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	153	21	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	153	22	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	153	23	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	153	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	153	26	that	that	DET
cpos-74	153	27	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	153	28	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	153	29	average	average	ADJ
cpos-74	153	30	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	153	31	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	153	32	giving	give	VERB
cpos-74	153	33	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	153	34	further	far	ADV
cpos-74	153	35	rises	rise	NOUN
cpos-74	153	36	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	153	37	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	153	38	7	7	NUM
cpos-74	153	39	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	153	40	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	153	41	not	not	PART
cpos-74	153	42	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-74	153	43	nd	nd	ADV
cpos-74	153	44	any	any	DET
cpos-74	153	45	explanation	explanation	NOUN
cpos-74	153	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	153	47	the	the	DET
cpos-74	153	48	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	153	49	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	153	50	reduction	reduction	NOUN
cpos-74	153	51	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	153	52	the	the	DET
cpos-74	153	53	1st	1st	NOUN
cpos-74	153	54	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	153	55	the	the	DET
cpos-74	153	56	2nd	2nd	ADJ
cpos-74	153	57	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	153	58	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	153	59	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	153	60	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	153	61	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	153	62	reduction	reduction	NOUN
cpos-74	153	63	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	153	64	the	the	DET
cpos-74	153	65	3rd	3rd	ADJ
cpos-74	153	66	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	153	67	4th	4th	ADJ
cpos-74	153	68	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	153	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	154	1	8	8	NUM
cpos-74	154	2	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	154	3	die	die	X
cpos-74	154	4	gemachten	gemachten	VERB
cpos-74	154	5	annahmen	annahman	NOUN
cpos-74	154	6	unterstellen	unterstellen	AUX
cpos-74	154	7	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	154	8	ausklingen	ausklingen	PROPN
cpos-74	154	9	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	154	10	geburtenrückgangs	geburtenrückgangs	PROPN
cpos-74	154	11	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-74	154	12	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-74	154	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	3	linke	linke	PROPN
cpos-74	155	4	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	155	5	höhn	höhn	NOUN
cpos-74	155	6	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	155	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	8	795	795	NUM
cpos-74	155	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	10	9	9	NUM
cpos-74	155	11	sommer	sommer	NOUN
cpos-74	155	12	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-74	155	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	14	497	497	NUM
cpos-74	155	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	16	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	155	17	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	155	18	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	155	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	20	9	9	NUM
cpos-74	155	21	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	22	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	155	23	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	155	24	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-74	155	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	26	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	155	27	.	.	X
cpos-74	155	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	155	29	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	155	30	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	155	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	155	32	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	155	33	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	34	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	155	35	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	155	36	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	155	37	671	671	NUM
cpos-74	155	38	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	155	39	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	155	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	41	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	155	42	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	155	43	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	155	44	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	45	8	8	NUM
cpos-74	155	46	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	155	47	11	11	NUM
cpos-74	155	48	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	155	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	156	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	156	2	long	long	ADV
cpos-74	156	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	156	4	run	run	NOUN
cpos-74	156	5	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	156	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	156	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	156	8	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	156	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	156	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	156	11	latest	late	ADJ
cpos-74	156	12	12th	12th	ADJ
cpos-74	156	13	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	156	14	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	156	15	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	156	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	156	17	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	156	18	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	156	19	2060	2060	NUM
cpos-74	156	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	156	21	coincide	coincide	NOUN
cpos-74	156	22	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	156	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	156	24	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	156	25	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	156	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	156	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	156	28	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-74	156	29	11th	11th	ADJ
cpos-74	156	30	coordinated	coordinated	ADJ
cpos-74	156	31	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	156	32	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	156	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	157	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	157	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	157	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	157	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	157	5	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	157	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	157	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	157	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	157	9	state	state	NOUN
cpos-74	157	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	157	11	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	157	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	157	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	157	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	157	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	157	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	157	17	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	157	18	analyses	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	157	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	157	20	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	157	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	157	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	157	23	pötzsch	pötzsch	NOUN
cpos-74	157	24	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	157	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	157	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	158	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	158	2	outcome	outcome	NOUN
cpos-74	158	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	158	4	a	a	DET
cpos-74	158	5	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	158	6	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	158	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	158	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	158	9	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	158	10	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	158	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	158	12	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	158	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	158	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	158	15	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	158	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	158	17	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	158	18	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	158	19	linked	link	VERB
cpos-74	158	20	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	158	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	158	22	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	158	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	158	24	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	158	25	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	158	26	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	158	27	1.66	1.66	NUM
cpos-74	158	28	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	158	29	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	158	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	159	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	159	2	argumentation	argumentation	NOUN
cpos-74	159	3	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	159	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	159	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	159	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	159	7	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	159	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	159	9	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	159	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	159	11	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	159	12	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	159	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	159	14	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	159	15	above	above	ADP
cpos-74	159	16	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	159	17	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	159	18	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	159	19	presumably	presumably	ADV
cpos-74	159	20	not	not	PART
cpos-74	159	21	compensate	compensate	VERB
cpos-74	159	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	159	23	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-74	159	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	159	25	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	159	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	159	27	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	159	28	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	159	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	159	30	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	159	31	below	below	ADP
cpos-74	159	32	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	159	33	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	159	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	160	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	160	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	160	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	160	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	160	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	160	6	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	160	7	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	160	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	160	9	an	an	DET
cpos-74	160	10	potential	potential	ADJ
cpos-74	160	11	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	160	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	160	13	childlessness	childlessness	NOUN
cpos-74	160	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	161	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	161	2	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	161	3	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	161	4	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	161	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	161	6	pötzsch	pötzsch	PROPN
cpos-74	161	7	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	161	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	161	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	162	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
cpos-74	162	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	162	3	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	162	4	produces	produce	VERB
cpos-74	162	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	162	6	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	162	7	regularly	regularly	ADV
cpos-74	162	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	162	9	going	go	VERB
cpos-74	162	10	back	back	ADV
cpos-74	162	11	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	162	12	1953	1953	NUM
cpos-74	162	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	163	1	updates	update	NOUN
cpos-74	163	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	163	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	163	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	163	5	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	163	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	163	7	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-74	163	8	annually	annually	ADV
cpos-74	163	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	163	10	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-74	163	11	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	163	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	163	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	163	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	163	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	163	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	163	17	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	163	18	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	163	19	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	163	20	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	163	21	available	available	ADJ
cpos-74	163	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	164	1	every	every	DET
cpos-74	164	2	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	164	3	to	to	PART
cpos-74	164	4	four	four	NUM
cpos-74	164	5	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	164	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	164	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	164	8	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	164	9	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	164	10	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	164	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	164	12	set	set	VERB
cpos-74	164	13	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	164	14	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	164	15	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	164	16	revisions	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	164	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	164	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	164	19	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	164	20	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	164	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	164	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	164	23	mortality	mortality	NOUN
cpos-74	164	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	164	25	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-74	164	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	165	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	165	2	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-74	165	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	165	4	external	external	ADJ
cpos-74	165	5	experts	expert	NOUN
cpos-74	165	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	165	7	included	include	VERB
cpos-74	165	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	165	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	165	10	assumptionfi	assumptionfi	NOUN
cpos-74	165	11	nding	nding	NOUN
cpos-74	165	12	process	process	NOUN
cpos-74	165	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	165	14	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	165	15	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	165	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	165	17	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	165	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	165	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	1	early	early	ADJ
cpos-74	166	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	166	3	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	166	4	published	publish	VERB
cpos-74	166	5	already	already	ADV
cpos-74	166	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	166	7	1953	1953	NUM
cpos-74	166	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	9	1959	1959	NUM
cpos-74	166	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	11	1964	1964	NUM
cpos-74	166	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	13	1967	1967	NUM
cpos-74	166	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	166	15	1974	1974	NUM
cpos-74	166	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	17	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	166	18	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	166	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	20	273	273	NUM
cpos-74	166	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	166	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	167	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	167	2	these	these	DET
cpos-74	167	3	early	early	ADJ
cpos-74	167	4	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	167	5	no	no	DET
cpos-74	167	6	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	167	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	167	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	167	9	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	167	10	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	167	11	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	167	12	nor	nor	CCONJ
cpos-74	167	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	167	14	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-74	167	15	taken	take	VERB
cpos-74	167	16	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	167	17	account	account	NOUN
cpos-74	167	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	167	19	parizek	parizek	NOUN
cpos-74	167	20	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	167	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	167	22	32	32	NUM
cpos-74	167	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	167	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	168	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-74	168	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	168	3	concentrate	concentrate	VERB
cpos-74	168	4	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	168	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	168	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	168	7	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	168	8	launched	launch	VERB
cpos-74	168	9	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	168	10	1977	1977	NUM
cpos-74	168	11	onwards	onwards	ADV
cpos-74	168	12	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	168	13	these	these	DET
cpos-74	168	14	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	168	15	did	do	AUX
cpos-74	168	16	account	account	VERB
cpos-74	168	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	168	18	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	168	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	168	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	168	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	169	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	169	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	169	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	169	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	169	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	169	6	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	169	7	1978	1978	NUM
cpos-74	169	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	169	9	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	169	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	169	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	169	12	set	set	NOUN
cpos-74	169	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	169	14	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	169	15	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	169	16	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	169	17	introduced	introduce	VERB
cpos-74	169	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	170	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	170	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	170	3	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
cpos-74	170	4	corresponds	correspond	VERB
cpos-74	170	5	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	170	6	a	a	DET
cpos-74	170	7	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	170	8	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	170	9	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	170	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	170	11	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	170	12	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	170	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	170	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	170	15	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	170	16	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	170	17	1.65	1.65	NUM
cpos-74	170	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	170	19	1.78	1.78	NUM
cpos-74	170	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	171	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	171	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	171	3	argue	argue	VERB
cpos-74	171	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	171	5	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	171	6	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	171	7	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	171	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	171	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	171	10	continuation	continuation	NOUN
cpos-74	171	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	171	12	observable	observable	ADJ
cpos-74	171	13	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-74	171	14	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	171	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	171	16	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	171	17	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	171	18	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	171	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	171	20	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	171	21	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-74	171	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	171	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	171	24	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	171	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	171	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	171	27	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	171	28	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	171	29	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	171	30	alternating	alternate	VERB
cpos-74	171	31	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	171	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	171	33	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	171	34	50	50	NUM
cpos-74	171	35	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	171	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	172	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
cpos-74	172	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	172	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	172	4	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	172	5	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	172	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	172	7	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	172	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	172	9	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	172	10	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	172	11	temporary	temporary	ADJ
cpos-74	172	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	172	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	172	14	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	172	15	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	172	16	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	172	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	172	18	an	an	DET
cpos-74	172	19	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	172	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	172	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	172	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	172	23	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	172	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	172	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	172	26	near	near	ADJ
cpos-74	172	27	future.10	future.10	NOUN
cpos-74	172	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	172	29	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	172	30	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	172	31	makes	make	VERB
cpos-74	172	32	an	an	DET
cpos-74	172	33	optimistic	optimistic	ADJ
cpos-74	172	34	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-74	172	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	172	36	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-74	172	37	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	172	38	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	172	39	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	172	40	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	172	41	eventually	eventually	ADV
cpos-74	172	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	1	due	due	ADP
cpos-74	173	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	173	3	this	this	DET
cpos-74	173	4	underlying	underlie	VERB
cpos-74	173	5	concept	concept	NOUN
cpos-74	173	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	173	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	173	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	173	9	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-74	173	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	173	11	fl	fl	NOUN
cpos-74	173	12	uctuations	uctuation	NOUN
cpos-74	173	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	173	15	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	173	16	take	take	VERB
cpos-74	173	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	173	18	possibility	possibility	NOUN
cpos-74	173	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	173	20	another	another	DET
cpos-74	173	21	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	22	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	173	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	24	boom	boom	NOUN
cpos-74	173	25	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	26	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	173	27	account.11	account.11	PROPN
cpos-74	173	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	173	29	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	173	30	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	173	31	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	173	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	173	33	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	34	easterlin	easterlin	PROPN
cpos-74	173	35	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	36	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
cpos-74	173	37	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	38	to	to	PART
cpos-74	173	39	explain	explain	VERB
cpos-74	173	40	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	173	41	a	a	DET
cpos-74	173	42	less	less	ADV
cpos-74	173	43	competitive	competitive	ADJ
cpos-74	173	44	environment	environment	NOUN
cpos-74	173	45	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	173	46	the	the	DET
cpos-74	173	47	smaller	small	ADJ
cpos-74	173	48	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	173	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	50	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-74	173	51	labour	labour	ADJ
cpos-74	173	52	market	market	NOUN
cpos-74	173	53	conditions	condition	NOUN
cpos-74	173	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	173	55	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	173	56	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	173	57	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-74	173	58	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	173	59	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	173	60	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	173	61	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	173	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	174	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	174	2	ac10	ac10	PROPN
cpos-74	174	3	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	174	4	um	um	INTJ
cpos-74	174	5	nicht	nicht	NOUN
cpos-74	174	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	174	7	den	den	PROPN
cpos-74	174	8	fehler	fehler	PROPN
cpos-74	174	9	zu	zu	PROPN
cpos-74	174	10	verfallen	verfallen	PROPN
cpos-74	174	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	174	12	kurzund	kurzund	VERB
cpos-74	174	13	mittelfristige	mittelfristige	ADJ
cpos-74	174	14	entwicklungen	entwicklungen	ADJ
cpos-74	174	15	langfristig	langfristig	PROPN
cpos-74	174	16	fortzuschreiben	fortzuschreiben	NOUN
cpos-74	174	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	174	18	wird	wird	NOUN
cpos-74	174	19	daher	daher	PROPN
cpos-74	174	20	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	174	21	gegenwärtige	gegenwärtige	PROPN
cpos-74	174	22	rückgang	rückgang	PROPN
cpos-74	174	23	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	174	24	fruchtbarkeit	fruchtbarkeit	PROPN
cpos-74	174	25	als	als	VERB
cpos-74	174	26	zeitliche	zeitliche	PROPN
cpos-74	174	27	begrenzt	begrenzt	PROPN
cpos-74	174	28	anzusehen	anzusehen	ADV
cpos-74	174	29	sein	sein	PROPN
cpos-74	174	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	174	31	und	und	VERB
cpos-74	174	32	es	es	DET
cpos-74	174	33	wird	wird	NOUN
cpos-74	174	34	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	174	35	absehbarer	absehbar	ADJ
cpos-74	174	36	zeit	zeit	PROPN
cpos-74	174	37	sogar	sogar	PROPN
cpos-74	174	38	wieder	wieder	PROPN
cpos-74	174	39	mit	mit	VERB
cpos-74	174	40	einem	einem	PROPN
cpos-74	174	41	gewissen	gewissen	PROPN
cpos-74	174	42	anstieg	anstieg	PROPN
cpos-74	174	43	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	174	44	fruchtbarkeit	fruchtbarkeit	PROPN
cpos-74	174	45	zu	zu	NUM
cpos-74	174	46	rechnen	rechnen	NOUN
cpos-74	174	47	sein	sein	PROPN
cpos-74	174	48	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	3	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	175	4	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	175	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	6	279	279	NUM
cpos-74	175	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	8	11	11	NUM
cpos-74	175	9	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	10	es	es	X
cpos-74	175	11	kann	kann	PROPN
cpos-74	175	12	nicht	nicht	PROPN
cpos-74	175	13	nur	nur	VERB
cpos-74	175	14	keineswegs	keinesweg	NOUN
cpos-74	175	15	ausgeschlossen	ausgeschlossen	PROPN
cpos-74	175	16	werden	werden	PROPN
cpos-74	175	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	18	dass	dass	PROPN
cpos-74	175	19	sich	sich	PROPN
cpos-74	175	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	175	21	zukunft	zukunft	PROPN
cpos-74	175	22	abermals	abermal	NOUN
cpos-74	175	23	ein	ein	VERB
cpos-74	175	24	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	25	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	175	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	27	boom	boom	NOUN
cpos-74	175	28	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	29	ereignet	ereignet	NOUN
cpos-74	175	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	31	sondern	sondern	PROPN
cpos-74	175	32	das	das	PROPN
cpos-74	175	33	konzept	konzept	PROPN
cpos-74	175	34	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	175	35	fruchtbarkeitsschwankungen	fruchtbarkeitsschwankungen	PROPN
cpos-74	175	36	legt	legt	VERB
cpos-74	175	37	dies	die	VERB
cpos-74	175	38	sogar	sogar	PROPN
cpos-74	175	39	nahe	nahe	PROPN
cpos-74	175	40	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	175	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	2	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	176	3	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	176	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	5	279	279	NUM
cpos-74	176	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	7	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	176	8	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	176	9	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	176	10	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	176	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	12	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	176	13	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	176	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	15	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	176	16	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	176	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	18	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	176	19	prskawetz672	prskawetz672	PROPN
cpos-74	176	20	cordance	cordance	PROPN
cpos-74	176	21	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	176	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	176	23	concept	concept	NOUN
cpos-74	176	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	176	25	fl	fl	NUM
cpos-74	176	26	uctuation	uctuation	NOUN
cpos-74	176	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	176	28	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	176	29	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	176	30	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	176	31	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	176	32	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	176	33	no	no	DET
cpos-74	176	34	remarkable	remarkable	ADJ
cpos-74	176	35	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	176	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	176	37	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	176	38	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	176	39	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-74	176	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	177	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	177	2	that	that	DET
cpos-74	177	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	177	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	177	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	6	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	177	7	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	177	8	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	177	9	result	result	VERB
cpos-74	177	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	177	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	177	12	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	177	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	177	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	15	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	177	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	177	17	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	177	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	177	19	1.5.12	1.5.12	NUM
cpos-74	177	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	177	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	22	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-74	177	23	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	177	24	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	177	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	177	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	27	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	177	28	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	177	29	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	177	30	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	177	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	177	32	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	177	33	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	177	34	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	177	35	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	177	36	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	177	37	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	177	38	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	177	39	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	177	40	general	general	ADJ
cpos-74	177	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	177	42	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	177	43	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	177	44	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	45	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	177	46	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	177	47	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	48	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	177	49	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	177	50	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	51	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	177	52	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	177	53	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	177	54	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	177	55	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	177	56	extended	extend	VERB
cpos-74	177	57	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	177	58	the	the	DET
cpos-74	177	59	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	177	60	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	177	61	view	view	NOUN
cpos-74	177	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	178	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	178	2	this	this	DET
cpos-74	178	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	178	4	a	a	DET
cpos-74	178	5	fourth	fourth	ADJ
cpos-74	178	6	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	178	7	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	178	8	established	establish	VERB
cpos-74	178	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	178	10	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	178	11	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	178	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	178	13	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	178	14	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	178	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	178	16	entire	entire	ADJ
cpos-74	178	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	178	18	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	178	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	179	2	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	179	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	179	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	179	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	179	6	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	179	7	incorporate	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	179	8	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	179	9	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-74	179	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	11	referring	refer	VERB
cpos-74	179	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	179	13	a	a	DET
cpos-74	179	14	distinct	distinct	ADJ
cpos-74	179	15	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	179	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	179	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	179	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	179	19	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	179	20	6	6	NUM
cpos-74	179	21	%	%	NOUN
cpos-74	179	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	179	23	1983	1983	NUM
cpos-74	179	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	25	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	179	26	reversed	reverse	VERB
cpos-74	179	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	179	28	upswing	upswing	NOUN
cpos-74	179	29	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	179	30	had	have	AUX
cpos-74	179	31	started	start	VERB
cpos-74	179	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	179	33	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	179	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	35	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	179	36	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	179	37	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	38	659	659	NUM
cpos-74	179	39	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	179	40	660	660	NUM
cpos-74	179	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	179	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	180	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	180	2	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	180	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	180	4	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	180	5	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	180	6	launched	launch	VERB
cpos-74	180	7	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	180	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	180	9	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-74	180	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	181	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	181	2	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	181	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	181	4	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	181	5	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-74	181	6	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	181	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	181	8	experts	expert	NOUN
cpos-74	181	9	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	181	10	consulted	consult	VERB
cpos-74	181	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	181	12	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	181	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	181	14	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	181	15	a	a	DET
cpos-74	181	16	representative	representative	ADJ
cpos-74	181	17	picture	picture	NOUN
cpos-74	181	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	181	19	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	181	20	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	181	21	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	181	22	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	181	23	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	181	24	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	181	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	181	26	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	181	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	181	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	182	1	due	due	ADP
cpos-74	182	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	182	3	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	182	4	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	182	5	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	182	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	182	7	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	182	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	182	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	182	10	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	182	11	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	182	12	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	182	13	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-74	182	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	182	15	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	182	16	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	182	17	delayed	delay	VERB
cpos-74	182	18	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	182	19	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	182	20	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	182	21	recouped	recoup	VERB
cpos-74	182	22	later	later	ADV
cpos-74	182	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	182	24	life	life	NOUN
cpos-74	182	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	183	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	2	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
cpos-74	183	3	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	183	4	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	183	5	account	account	VERB
cpos-74	183	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	183	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	8	process	process	NOUN
cpos-74	183	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	10	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	183	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	183	12	related	relate	VERB
cpos-74	183	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	183	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	15	positive	positive	ADJ
cpos-74	183	16	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	183	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	18	young	young	ADJ
cpos-74	183	19	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	183	20	spending	spend	VERB
cpos-74	183	21	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	183	22	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	183	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	183	24	education	education	NOUN
cpos-74	183	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	183	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	183	27	tandem	tandem	NOUN
cpos-74	183	28	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	183	29	an	an	DET
cpos-74	183	30	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	183	31	female	female	ADJ
cpos-74	183	32	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-74	183	33	force	force	NOUN
cpos-74	183	34	participation.13	participation.13	NOUN
cpos-74	183	35	evidence	evidence	NOUN
cpos-74	183	36	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	183	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	38	desired	desire	VERB
cpos-74	183	39	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	183	40	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	41	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	183	42	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	183	43	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	44	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	183	45	microcensus	microcensus	PROPN
cpos-74	183	46	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	183	47	incorporated	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	183	48	to	to	PART
cpos-74	183	49	support	support	VERB
cpos-74	183	50	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	51	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	183	52	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	183	53	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	54	a	a	DET
cpos-74	183	55	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	183	56	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	183	57	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	58	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	183	59	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	183	60	1.45	1.45	NUM
cpos-74	183	61	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	183	62	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-74	183	63	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	183	64	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	183	65	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	183	66	postponed	postpone	VERB
cpos-74	183	67	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	183	68	actually	actually	ADV
cpos-74	183	69	desired	desire	VERB
cpos-74	183	70	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	183	71	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	183	72	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	183	73	realised.14	realised.14	PROPN
cpos-74	183	74	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	183	75	a	a	DET
cpos-74	183	76	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	183	77	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	183	78	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	183	79	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	183	80	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	183	81	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
cpos-74	183	82	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	183	83	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	183	84	the	the	DET
cpos-74	183	85	set	set	NOUN
cpos-74	183	86	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	183	87	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	183	88	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	183	89	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	183	90	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	183	91	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	183	92	abandoned	abandon	VERB
cpos-74	183	93	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	184	1	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	184	2	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	184	3	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	184	4	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	184	5	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	184	6	relatively	relatively	ADV
cpos-74	184	7	stable	stable	ADJ
cpos-74	184	8	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	184	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	184	10	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	184	11	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	184	12	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	184	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	184	14	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	184	15	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	184	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	184	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	184	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	184	19	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	184	20	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	184	21	to	to	PART
cpos-74	184	22	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-74	184	23	stable	stable	ADJ
cpos-74	184	24	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	184	25	a	a	DET
cpos-74	184	26	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	184	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	184	28	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-74	184	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	184	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	184	31	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	184	32	run	run	NOUN
cpos-74	184	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	184	34	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	184	35	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	184	36	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	184	37	635	635	NUM
cpos-74	184	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	184	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	185	1	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	185	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	185	3	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	185	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	185	5	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	185	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	185	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	185	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	185	9	horizon	horizon	PROPN
cpos-74	185	10	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	185	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	185	12	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	185	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	185	14	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	185	15	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	185	16	postulated	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	185	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	185	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	185	19	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	185	20	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	185	21	stabilizing	stabilize	VERB
cpos-74	185	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	185	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	185	24	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	185	25	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	185	26	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	185	27	a	a	DET
cpos-74	185	28	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	185	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	185	30	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	185	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	186	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	186	2	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	186	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	186	4	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	186	5	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	186	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	186	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	186	8	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	186	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	186	10	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-74	186	11	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	186	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	186	13	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	186	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	186	15	1.44	1.44	NUM
cpos-74	186	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	186	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	186	18	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	186	19	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	186	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	186	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	186	22	stable	stable	ADJ
cpos-74	186	23	label	label	NOUN
cpos-74	186	24	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	186	25	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	186	26	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	186	27	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	186	28	explained	explain	VERB
cpos-74	186	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	186	30	recuperation	recuperation	NOUN
cpos-74	186	31	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	186	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	187	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	187	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	187	3	referred	refer	VERB
cpos-74	187	4	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	187	5	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	187	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	187	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	187	8	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-74	187	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	187	10	observing	observe	VERB
cpos-74	187	11	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	187	12	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	187	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	187	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	187	15	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	187	16	clearly	clearly	ADV
cpos-74	187	17	underestimated	underestimate	VERB
cpos-74	187	18	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	187	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	187	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	187	21	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	187	22	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	187	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	187	24	reproductive	reproductive	ADJ
cpos-74	187	25	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	187	26	continued	continue	VERB
cpos-74	187	27	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	187	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	187	29	process	process	NOUN
cpos-74	187	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	187	31	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	187	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	188	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	188	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	188	3	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	188	4	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	188	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	188	6	0.3	0.3	NUM
cpos-74	188	7	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	188	8	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	188	9	added	add	VERB
cpos-74	188	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	188	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	188	12	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	188	13	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	188	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	188	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	188	16	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	188	17	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	188	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	188	19	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	188	20	to	to	PART
cpos-74	188	21	examine	examine	VERB
cpos-74	188	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	188	23	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-74	188	24	uence	uence	NOUN
cpos-74	188	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	188	26	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	188	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	188	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	188	29	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	188	30	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	188	31	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	188	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	188	33	norway	norway	PROPN
cpos-74	188	34	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	188	35	sweden	sweden	NOUN
cpos-74	188	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	189	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	189	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	189	3	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	189	4	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	189	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	189	6	0.3	0.3	NUM
cpos-74	189	7	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	189	8	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	189	9	subtracted	subtract	VERB
cpos-74	189	10	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	189	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	189	12	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	189	13	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	189	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	189	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	189	16	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	189	17	12	12	NUM
cpos-74	189	18	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	189	19	mit	mit	X
cpos-74	189	20	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	189	21	niedrigen	niedrigen	PROPN
cpos-74	189	22	variante	variante	PROPN
cpos-74	189	23	sollte	sollte	PROPN
cpos-74	189	24	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	189	25	tatsache	tatsache	PROPN
cpos-74	189	26	rechnung	rechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	189	27	getragen	getragen	PROPN
cpos-74	189	28	werden	werden	PROPN
cpos-74	189	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	189	30	dass	dass	PROPN
cpos-74	189	31	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	189	32	annahme	annahme	ADJ
cpos-74	189	33	künftiger	künftiger	NOUN
cpos-74	189	34	fruchtbarkeitsschwankungen	fruchtbarkeitsschwankungen	PROPN
cpos-74	189	35	erst	erst	PROPN
cpos-74	189	36	durch	durch	PROPN
cpos-74	189	37	die	die	PROPN
cpos-74	189	38	erfahrung	erfahrung	PROPN
cpos-74	189	39	zweier	zweier	PROPN
cpos-74	189	40	zyklen	zyklen	PROPN
cpos-74	189	41	gestützt	gestützt	PROPN
cpos-74	189	42	ist	ist	PROPN
cpos-74	189	43	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	189	44	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	189	45	ausbleiben	ausbleiben	PROPN
cpos-74	189	46	eines	eine	NOUN
cpos-74	189	47	nennenswerten	nennenswerten	VERB
cpos-74	189	48	und	und	ADJ
cpos-74	189	49	einigermaßen	einigermaßen	NOUN
cpos-74	189	50	dauerhaften	dauerhaften	PROPN
cpos-74	189	51	aufschwungs	aufschwung	NOUN
cpos-74	189	52	durchaus	durchaus	PROPN
cpos-74	189	53	möglich	möglich	PROPN
cpos-74	189	54	ist	ist	PROPN
cpos-74	189	55	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	189	56	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	2	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	190	3	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	190	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	5	279	279	NUM
cpos-74	190	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	7	13	13	NUM
cpos-74	190	8	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	9	längere	längere	NOUN
cpos-74	190	10	schulbildung	schulbildung	VERB
cpos-74	190	11	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	190	12	jungen	jungen	PROPN
cpos-74	190	13	frauen	frauen	PROPN
cpos-74	190	14	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	190	15	damit	damit	PROPN
cpos-74	190	16	späterer	späterer	NOUN
cpos-74	190	17	eintritt	eintritt	PROPN
cpos-74	190	18	ins	ins	PROPN
cpos-74	190	19	berufsleben	berufsleben	PROPN
cpos-74	190	20	sowie	sowie	PROPN
cpos-74	190	21	andererseits	andererseit	NOUN
cpos-74	190	22	auch	auch	ADJ
cpos-74	190	23	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	190	24	höheres	höhere	NOUN
cpos-74	190	25	heiratsalter	heiratsalter	PROPN
cpos-74	190	26	bewirken	bewirken	PROPN
cpos-74	190	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	28	dass	dass	PROPN
cpos-74	190	29	kinderwünsche	kinderwünsche	PROPN
cpos-74	190	30	häufi	häufi	PROPN
cpos-74	190	31	ger	ger	NOUN
cpos-74	190	32	als	als	NOUN
cpos-74	190	33	früher	früher	ADJ
cpos-74	190	34	erst	erst	NOUN
cpos-74	190	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	190	36	höherem	höherem	PROPN
cpos-74	190	37	alter	alter	PROPN
cpos-74	190	38	realisiert	realisiert	PROPN
cpos-74	190	39	werden	werden	NOUN
cpos-74	190	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	190	41	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	191	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	191	2	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	191	3	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	191	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	191	5	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	191	6	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	191	7	14	14	NUM
cpos-74	191	8	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	191	9	gestützt	gestützt	NOUN
cpos-74	191	10	werden	werden	NOUN
cpos-74	191	11	diese	diese	ADJ
cpos-74	191	12	vermutungen	vermutungen	PROPN
cpos-74	191	13	durch	durch	NOUN
cpos-74	191	14	ergebnisse	ergebnisse	PROPN
cpos-74	191	15	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	191	16	mikrozensus	mikrozensus	PROPN
cpos-74	191	17	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	191	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	192	1	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	192	2	hier	hier	PROPN
cpos-74	192	3	von	von	PROPN
cpos-74	192	4	frauen	frauen	PROPN
cpos-74	192	5	angegebenen	angegebenen	PROPN
cpos-74	192	6	kinderwünsche	kinderwünsche	PROPN
cpos-74	192	7	würden	würden	PROPN
cpos-74	192	8	bei	bei	PROPN
cpos-74	192	9	realisierung	realisierung	VERB
cpos-74	192	10	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	192	11	deutlich	deutlich	PROPN
cpos-74	192	12	höheres	höhere	NOUN
cpos-74	192	13	fruchtbarkeitsniveau	fruchtbarkeitsniveau	PROPN
cpos-74	192	14	ergeben	ergeben	PROPN
cpos-74	192	15	als	als	VERB
cpos-74	192	16	das	das	PROPN
cpos-74	192	17	derzeitige	derzeitige	NOUN
cpos-74	192	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	3	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	193	4	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	193	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	6	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	193	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	193	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	193	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	193	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	193	12	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	193	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	14	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	193	15	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	193	16	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	193	17	673	673	NUM
cpos-74	193	18	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	193	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	20	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	193	21	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	193	22	close	close	ADJ
cpos-74	193	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	193	24	those	those	PRON
cpos-74	193	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	193	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	193	27	southern	southern	ADJ
cpos-74	193	28	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	193	29	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	193	30	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	193	31	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	193	32	italy	italy	PROPN
cpos-74	193	33	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	193	34	spain	spain	PROPN
cpos-74	193	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	36	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	193	37	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-74	193	38	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	39	330	330	NUM
cpos-74	193	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	193	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	194	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	194	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	194	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	194	4	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	194	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	194	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	194	7	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	194	8	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	194	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	194	10	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	194	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	194	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	194	13	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	194	14	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	194	15	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	194	16	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	194	17	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	194	18	not	not	PART
cpos-74	194	19	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	194	20	changed	change	VERB
cpos-74	194	21	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	194	22	all	all	ADV
cpos-74	194	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	194	24	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	194	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	194	26	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	194	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	194	28	approaching	approach	VERB
cpos-74	194	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	194	30	target	target	NOUN
cpos-74	194	31	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	194	32	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	194	33	extended	extend	VERB
cpos-74	194	34	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	194	35	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	194	36	instead	instead	ADV
cpos-74	194	37	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	194	38	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	194	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	195	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	195	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	195	3	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	195	4	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	195	5	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	195	6	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	195	7	those	those	PRON
cpos-74	195	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	195	9	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-74	195	10	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	195	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	195	12	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	195	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	195	14	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	195	15	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	195	16	distorting	distort	VERB
cpos-74	195	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	195	18	present	present	ADJ
cpos-74	195	19	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	195	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	195	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	195	22	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	195	23	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	195	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	195	25	697	697	NUM
cpos-74	195	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	195	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	196	1	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-74	196	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	196	3	obtains	obtain	VERB
cpos-74	196	4	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	196	5	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	196	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	196	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	196	8	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
cpos-74	196	9	fashion	fashion	NOUN
cpos-74	196	10	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	196	11	using	use	VERB
cpos-74	196	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	196	13	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	196	14	component	component	NOUN
cpos-74	196	15	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	196	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	196	17	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	196	18	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	196	19	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-74	196	20	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-74	196	21	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	196	22	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	196	23	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	196	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	197	1	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-74	197	2	methodological	methodological	ADJ
cpos-74	197	3	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	197	4	took	take	VERB
cpos-74	197	5	place	place	NOUN
cpos-74	197	6	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	197	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	197	8	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	197	9	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	197	10	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	197	11	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	197	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	197	13	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	197	14	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	197	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	197	16	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	197	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	197	18	migration	migration	NOUN
cpos-74	197	19	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	197	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	198	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	198	2	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	198	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	198	4	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	198	5	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	198	6	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	198	7	taken	take	VERB
cpos-74	198	8	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	198	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	198	10	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-74	198	11	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	198	12	without	without	ADP
cpos-74	198	13	any	any	DET
cpos-74	198	14	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	198	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	199	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	199	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	199	5	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	199	6	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	199	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	8	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-74	199	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	199	10	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	199	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	199	12	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-74	199	13	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	199	14	scheduled	schedule	VERB
cpos-74	199	15	earlier	early	ADV
cpos-74	199	16	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	199	17	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	199	18	instead	instead	ADV
cpos-74	199	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	199	20	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	199	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	22	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	199	23	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	199	24	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	25	977	977	NUM
cpos-74	199	26	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	199	27	978	978	NUM
cpos-74	199	28	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	199	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	200	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	200	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	200	3	following	follow	VERB
cpos-74	200	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	200	5	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	200	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	200	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	200	8	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	200	9	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-74	200	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	200	11	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	200	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	200	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	200	14	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	200	15	once	once	ADV
cpos-74	200	16	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	200	17	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	200	18	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	200	19	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	200	20	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	200	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	201	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	201	2	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	201	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	201	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	201	5	kept	keep	VERB
cpos-74	201	6	a	a	DET
cpos-74	201	7	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	201	8	value	value	NOUN
cpos-74	201	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	201	10	1.40	1.40	NUM
cpos-74	201	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	201	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	201	13	entire	entire	ADJ
cpos-74	201	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	201	15	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	201	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	202	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	202	2	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	202	3	simplifi	simplifi	NOUN
cpos-74	202	4	ed	ed	NOUN
cpos-74	202	5	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	202	6	refers	refer	VERB
cpos-74	202	7	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	202	8	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	202	9	expectations	expectation	NOUN
cpos-74	202	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	202	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	202	12	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	202	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	202	14	neighboring	neighboring	NOUN
cpos-74	202	15	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	202	16	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	202	17	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	202	18	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	202	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	202	20	italy	italy	PROPN
cpos-74	202	21	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	202	22	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	202	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	203	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	203	2	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	203	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	203	4	postulated	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	203	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	203	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	203	7	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	203	8	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	203	9	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	203	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	203	11	1.70	1.70	NUM
cpos-74	203	12	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	203	13	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	203	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	203	15	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	203	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	203	17	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	203	18	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	203	19	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	203	20	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	203	21	resembles	resemble	VERB
cpos-74	203	22	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	203	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	203	24	northern	northern	ADJ
cpos-74	203	25	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	203	26	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	203	27	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	203	28	france	france	PROPN
cpos-74	203	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	204	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	204	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-74	204	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	204	4	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	204	5	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	204	6	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	204	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	204	8	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	204	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	204	10	1.10	1.10	NUM
cpos-74	204	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	204	12	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	204	13	austria	austria	NOUN
cpos-74	204	14	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	204	15	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-74	204	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	204	17	path	path	NOUN
cpos-74	204	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	204	19	lowest	low	ADJ
cpos-74	204	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	204	21	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	204	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	204	23	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	204	24	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	204	25	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	204	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	204	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	204	28	southern	southern	ADJ
cpos-74	204	29	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	204	30	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	204	31	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	204	32	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	204	33	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	204	34	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	204	35	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	204	36	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-74	204	37	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	204	38	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	204	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	204	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	205	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	205	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	205	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	205	4	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	205	5	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	205	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	205	7	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	205	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	205	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	205	10	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	205	11	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	205	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	205	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	205	14	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	205	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	205	16	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	205	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	205	18	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	205	19	a	a	DET
cpos-74	205	20	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	205	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	205	22	1.40	1.40	NUM
cpos-74	205	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	205	24	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	205	25	continue	continue	VERB
cpos-74	205	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	205	27	a	a	DET
cpos-74	205	28	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	205	29	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	205	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	205	31	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	205	32	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	205	33	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	205	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	205	35	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	205	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	205	37	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	205	38	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	205	39	gradually	gradually	ADV
cpos-74	205	40	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	205	41	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	205	42	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-74	205	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	206	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	206	2	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	206	3	note	note	VERB
cpos-74	206	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	206	5	relevance	relevance	NOUN
cpos-74	206	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	206	7	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	206	8	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	206	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	206	10	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	206	11	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	206	12	postponed	postpone	VERB
cpos-74	206	13	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	206	14	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	206	15	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	206	16	partly	partly	ADV
cpos-74	206	17	recouped	recoup	VERB
cpos-74	206	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	206	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	206	20	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	206	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	207	2	such	such	DET
cpos-74	207	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	207	4	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	207	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	207	7	completed	complete	VERB
cpos-74	207	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	207	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	207	10	female	female	ADJ
cpos-74	207	11	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	207	12	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	207	13	arrive	arrive	VERB
cpos-74	207	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	207	15	a	a	DET
cpos-74	207	16	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	207	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	207	18	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	207	19	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	207	20	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	207	21	woman	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	207	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	207	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	207	24	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	207	25	term.15	term.15	NOUN
cpos-74	207	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	207	27	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	207	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	207	29	0.80	0.80	NUM
cpos-74	207	30	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	207	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	207	32	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	207	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	34	1.90	1.90	NUM
cpos-74	207	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	36	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	207	37	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	207	38	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	39	1.10	1.10	NUM
cpos-74	207	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	41	variant	variant	ADJ
cpos-74	207	42	points	point	NOUN
cpos-74	207	43	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	207	44	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-74	207	45	scope	scope	NOUN
cpos-74	207	46	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	207	47	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	207	48	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	207	49	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	207	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	51	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	207	52	contemporary	contemporary	ADJ
cpos-74	207	53	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	207	54	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	207	55	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	207	56	europe	europe	PROPN
cpos-74	207	57	vary	vary	VERB
cpos-74	207	58	greatly	greatly	ADV
cpos-74	207	59	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	207	60	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	207	61	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	207	62	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	207	63	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	64	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	207	65	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	207	66	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	67	975	975	NUM
cpos-74	207	68	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	207	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	208	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	208	2	new	new	ADJ
cpos-74	208	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	208	4	generation	generation	NOUN
cpos-74	208	5	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	208	6	launched	launch	VERB
cpos-74	208	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	208	8	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	208	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	208	10	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	208	11	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	208	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	208	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	208	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	208	15	assumptions	assumption	VERB
cpos-74	208	16	regarding	regard	VERB
cpos-74	208	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	208	18	target	target	NOUN
cpos-74	208	19	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	208	20	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	208	21	not	not	PART
cpos-74	208	22	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	208	23	changed	change	VERB
cpos-74	208	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	209	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-74	209	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	209	3	persistent	persistent	ADJ
cpos-74	209	4	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	209	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	209	6	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-74	209	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	209	8	statistics	statistic	NOUN
cpos-74	209	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	209	10	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	209	11	through	through	ADP
cpos-74	209	12	postulating	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	209	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	209	14	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-74	209	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	209	16	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-74	209	17	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	209	18	narrow	narrow	VERB
cpos-74	209	19	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	209	20	0.20	0.20	NUM
cpos-74	209	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	209	22	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	209	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	209	24	0.17	0.17	NUM
cpos-74	209	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	209	26	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	209	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	209	28	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	209	29	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	209	30	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	209	31	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	209	32	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	209	33	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	209	34	966	966	NUM
cpos-74	209	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	209	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	210	1	15	15	NUM
cpos-74	210	2	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	210	3	unabhängig	unabhängig	PROPN
cpos-74	210	4	von	von	PROPN
cpos-74	210	5	allfälligen	allfälligen	PROPN
cpos-74	210	6	timingeffekten	timingeffekten	PROPN
cpos-74	210	7	bedeutet	bedeutet	NOUN
cpos-74	210	8	ein	ein	AUX
cpos-74	210	9	langfristig	langfristig	PROPN
cpos-74	210	10	stabiles	stabiles	PROPN
cpos-74	210	11	fertilitätsniveau	fertilitätsniveau	PROPN
cpos-74	210	12	von	von	PROPN
cpos-74	210	13	1,50	1,50	PROPN
cpos-74	210	14	kindern	kindern	X
cpos-74	210	15	pro	pro	X
cpos-74	210	16	frau	frau	ADJ
cpos-74	210	17	auch	auch	ADJ
cpos-74	210	18	eine	eine	PROPN
cpos-74	210	19	endgültig	endgültig	NOUN
cpos-74	210	20	erreichte	erreichte	NOUN
cpos-74	210	21	kohortenfertilität	kohortenfertilität	PROPN
cpos-74	210	22	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	210	23	künftig	künftig	PROPN
cpos-74	210	24	ins	ins	PROPN
cpos-74	210	25	elternalter	elternalter	PROPN
cpos-74	210	26	kommenden	kommenden	PROPN
cpos-74	210	27	frauen	frauen	PROPN
cpos-74	210	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	210	29	derselben	derselben	NOUN
cpos-74	210	30	höhe	höhe	NOUN
cpos-74	210	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	3	hanika	hanika	X
cpos-74	211	4	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	211	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	6	975	975	NUM
cpos-74	211	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	8	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	211	9	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	211	10	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	211	11	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	211	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	13	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	211	14	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	211	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	16	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	211	17	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	211	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	211	19	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	211	20	prskawetz674	prskawetz674	PROPN
cpos-74	211	21	4.3	4.3	NUM
cpos-74	211	22	switzerland	switzerland	NOUN
cpos-74	211	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	211	24	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	211	25	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	211	26	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	211	27	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	211	28	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	211	29	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	211	30	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	211	31	conducting	conduct	VERB
cpos-74	211	32	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	211	33	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	211	34	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	211	35	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	211	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	212	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	212	3	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	212	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	212	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	212	7	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	212	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	9	distinguished	distinguish	VERB
cpos-74	212	10	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	212	11	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	212	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	212	13	nonswiss	nonswiss	ADJ
cpos-74	212	14	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	212	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	212	16	offered	offer	VERB
cpos-74	212	17	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	212	18	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	212	19	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	212	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	212	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	212	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	212	23	2025	2025	NUM
cpos-74	212	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	25	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	212	26	a	a	DET
cpos-74	212	27	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	212	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	212	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	212	30	among	among	ADP
cpos-74	212	31	nationalities	nationality	NOUN
cpos-74	212	32	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	33	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	212	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	35	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	212	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	38	medium	medium	NOUN
cpos-74	212	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	40	1.7	1.7	NUM
cpos-74	212	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	212	43	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	212	44	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	45	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	212	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	212	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	213	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	213	2	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	213	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	213	4	revised	revise	VERB
cpos-74	213	5	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	213	6	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	213	7	later	later	ADV
cpos-74	213	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	213	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	213	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	213	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	213	12	assumptions	assumption	VERB
cpos-74	213	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	213	14	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	213	15	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	213	16	turned	turn	VERB
cpos-74	213	17	out	out	ADP
cpos-74	213	18	to	to	PART
cpos-74	213	19	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	213	20	too	too	ADV
cpos-74	213	21	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	213	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	214	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	214	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	214	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	214	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	214	5	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	214	6	postulated	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	214	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	214	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	214	9	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	214	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	214	11	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	214	12	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	214	13	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	214	14	stay	stay	VERB
cpos-74	214	15	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	214	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	214	17	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	214	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	215	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
cpos-74	215	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	215	3	while	while	SCONJ
cpos-74	215	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	215	5	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	215	6	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	215	7	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	215	8	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	215	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	215	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	215	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	215	12	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	215	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	215	14	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	215	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	215	16	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	215	17	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	215	18	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	215	19	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	215	20	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	215	21	converge	converge	VERB
cpos-74	215	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	215	23	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	215	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	215	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	215	26	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	215	27	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	215	28	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	215	29	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	215	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	215	31	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	215	32	foreign	foreign	ADJ
cpos-74	215	33	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	215	34	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	215	35	continue	continue	VERB
cpos-74	215	36	to	to	PART
cpos-74	215	37	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	215	38	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	215	39	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	215	40	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	215	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	215	42	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	215	43	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	215	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	216	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	216	2	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	216	3	gure	gure	NOUN
cpos-74	216	4	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	216	5	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-74	216	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	216	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	216	8	gap	gap	NOUN
cpos-74	216	9	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	216	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	216	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	216	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	216	13	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	216	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	216	15	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	216	16	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	216	17	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	216	18	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	216	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	216	20	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	216	21	pronounced	pronounce	VERB
cpos-74	216	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	217	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	217	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	217	3	1991	1991	NUM
cpos-74	217	4	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	217	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	217	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	217	7	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	217	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	217	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	217	10	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	217	11	began	begin	VERB
cpos-74	217	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	217	13	distinguish	distinguish	VERB
cpos-74	217	14	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	217	15	eu	eu	PROPN
cpos-74	217	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	217	17	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	217	18	eu	eu	PROPN
cpos-74	217	19	nationalities	nationality	NOUN
cpos-74	217	20	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	217	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	217	22	group	group	NOUN
cpos-74	217	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	217	24	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	217	25	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	217	26	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	217	27	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	217	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	218	1	an	an	DET
cpos-74	218	2	interesting	interesting	ADJ
cpos-74	218	3	aspect	aspect	NOUN
cpos-74	218	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	218	5	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	218	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	218	7	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	218	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	218	9	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	218	10	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	218	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	218	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	218	13	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	218	14	prefig	prefig	ADJ
cpos-74	218	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	219	1	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	219	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	219	3	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	219	4	vs.	vs.	ADP
cpos-74	219	5	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	219	6	tfrs	tfrs	NOUN
cpos-74	219	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	219	8	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	219	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	219	10	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	219	11	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	219	12	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	219	13	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	219	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	219	15	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	219	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	219	17	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	219	18	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	219	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	219	20	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	219	21	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	219	22	1.00	1.00	NUM
cpos-74	219	23	1.50	1.50	NUM
cpos-74	219	24	2.00	2.00	NUM
cpos-74	219	25	2.50	2.50	NUM
cpos-74	219	26	3.00	3.00	NUM
cpos-74	219	27	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	28	70	70	NUM
cpos-74	219	29	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	30	75	75	NUM
cpos-74	219	31	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	32	80	80	NUM
cpos-74	219	33	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	34	85	85	NUM
cpos-74	219	35	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	36	90	90	NUM
cpos-74	219	37	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	219	38	95	95	NUM
cpos-74	219	39	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	40	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	219	41	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	42	05	05	NUM
cpos-74	219	43	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	44	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	219	45	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	46	15	15	NUM
cpos-74	219	47	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	48	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	49	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	50	25	25	NUM
cpos-74	219	51	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	219	52	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	219	53	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	219	54	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	219	55	non	non	ADJ
cpos-74	219	56	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	219	57	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	219	58	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	219	59	projection	projection	VERB
cpos-74	219	60	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	219	61	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	219	62	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	219	63	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	219	64	source	source	NOUN
cpos-74	219	65	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	219	66	bfs	bfs	PROPN
cpos-74	219	67	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	219	68	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	219	69	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	219	70	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	219	71	the	the	DET
cpos-74	219	72	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	219	73	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	219	74	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	219	75	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	219	76	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	219	77	675	675	NUM
cpos-74	219	78	sented	sente	VERB
cpos-74	219	79	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	219	80	the	the	DET
cpos-74	219	81	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	219	82	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	220	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	220	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	220	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	220	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	220	5	not	not	PART
cpos-74	220	6	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	220	7	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	220	8	far	far	ADV
cpos-74	220	9	cohort	cohort	VERB
cpos-74	220	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	220	11	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	220	12	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	220	13	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	220	14	integrated	integrate	VERB
cpos-74	220	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	220	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	220	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	220	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	220	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	220	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	221	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	221	2	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	221	3	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cpos-74	221	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	221	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	221	6	result	result	NOUN
cpos-74	221	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	221	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	221	9	fact	fact	NOUN
cpos-74	221	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	221	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	221	12	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	221	13	took	take	VERB
cpos-74	221	14	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	221	15	issues	issue	NOUN
cpos-74	221	16	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	221	17	account	account	NOUN
cpos-74	221	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	222	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	222	2	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	222	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	222	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	222	5	ctfr	ctfr	NOUN
cpos-74	222	6	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	222	7	decreasing	decrease	VERB
cpos-74	222	8	less	less	ADJ
cpos-74	222	9	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	222	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	222	11	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	222	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	222	13	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	222	14	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	222	15	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	222	16	occurring	occur	VERB
cpos-74	222	17	later	later	ADV
cpos-74	222	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	222	19	life	life	NOUN
cpos-74	222	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	1	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	223	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	223	3	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	223	4	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	223	5	no	no	DET
cpos-74	223	6	return	return	NOUN
cpos-74	223	7	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	223	8	replacement	replacement	NOUN
cpos-74	223	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	10	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	223	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	223	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	13	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	223	14	argue	argue	VERB
cpos-74	223	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	223	16	an	an	DET
cpos-74	223	17	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	223	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	223	19	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	223	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	223	21	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	223	22	not	not	PART
cpos-74	223	23	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	223	24	precluded	preclude	VERB
cpos-74	223	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	26	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	223	27	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	223	28	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	223	29	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	223	30	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	223	31	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	223	32	certain	certain	ADJ
cpos-74	223	33	societal	societal	ADJ
cpos-74	223	34	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
cpos-74	223	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	36	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	223	37	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	223	38	work	work	NOUN
cpos-74	223	39	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	223	40	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	223	41	reconciliation	reconciliation	NOUN
cpos-74	223	42	policies.16	policies.16	PROPN
cpos-74	223	43	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	223	44	the	the	DET
cpos-74	223	45	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	223	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	223	47	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	223	48	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	49	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	223	50	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	51	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	223	52	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	223	53	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	223	54	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	55	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	223	56	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	223	57	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	223	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	59	agespecifi	agespecifi	PROPN
cpos-74	223	60	c	c	NOUN
cpos-74	223	61	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	223	62	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	223	63	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	223	64	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	223	65	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-74	223	66	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	223	67	the	the	DET
cpos-74	223	68	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	223	69	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	223	70	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	223	71	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	223	72	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	223	73	upon	upon	SCONJ
cpos-74	223	74	request	request	NOUN
cpos-74	223	75	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	224	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	224	2	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	224	3	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	224	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	224	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	224	6	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	224	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	224	8	projects	project	NOUN
cpos-74	224	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	224	10	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	224	11	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	224	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	224	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	224	14	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	224	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	224	16	1.56	1.56	NUM
cpos-74	224	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	224	18	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	224	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	224	20	remaining	remain	VERB
cpos-74	224	21	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	224	22	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	224	23	2060	2060	NUM
cpos-74	224	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	225	1	summing	sum	VERB
cpos-74	225	2	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	225	3	these	these	DET
cpos-74	225	4	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	225	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	225	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	7	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	225	8	variant	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	225	9	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-74	225	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	225	11	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	225	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	225	13	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	225	14	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	225	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	16	stability	stability	NOUN
cpos-74	225	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	225	18	past	past	ADJ
cpos-74	225	19	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-74	225	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	225	21	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	225	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	225	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	225	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	25	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	225	26	role	role	NOUN
cpos-74	225	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	225	28	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	225	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	225	30	society	society	NOUN
cpos-74	225	31	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	225	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	33	economic	economic	ADJ
cpos-74	225	34	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	225	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	225	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	37	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-74	225	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	225	39	housing	housing	NOUN
cpos-74	225	40	market	market	NOUN
cpos-74	225	41	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	225	42	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	225	43	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	225	44	the	the	DET
cpos-74	225	45	role	role	NOUN
cpos-74	225	46	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	225	47	grandparents	grandparent	NOUN
cpos-74	225	48	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	225	49	assisting	assist	VERB
cpos-74	225	50	childrearing	childrearing	NOUN
cpos-74	225	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	226	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	226	2	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	226	3	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	226	4	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	226	5	an	an	DET
cpos-74	226	6	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	226	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	226	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	226	9	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	226	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	226	11	1.80	1.80	NUM
cpos-74	226	12	before	before	ADP
cpos-74	226	13	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	226	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	227	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	227	2	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	227	3	an	an	DET
cpos-74	227	4	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	227	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	227	6	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	227	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	227	8	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	227	9	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	227	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	227	11	argues	argue	VERB
cpos-74	227	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	227	13	such	such	DET
cpos-74	227	14	an	an	DET
cpos-74	227	15	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	227	16	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	227	17	indicate	indicate	VERB
cpos-74	227	18	a	a	DET
cpos-74	227	19	considerable	considerable	ADJ
cpos-74	227	20	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	227	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	227	22	social	social	ADJ
cpos-74	227	23	norms	norm	NOUN
cpos-74	227	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	227	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	227	26	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	227	27	require	require	VERB
cpos-74	227	28	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	227	29	orientated	orientate	VERB
cpos-74	227	30	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	227	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	228	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	228	2	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	228	3	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	228	4	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	228	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	228	6	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	228	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	228	8	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	228	9	postulates	postulate	VERB
cpos-74	228	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	228	11	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	228	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	228	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	228	14	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	228	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	228	16	1.20	1.20	NUM
cpos-74	228	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	228	18	arguing	argue	VERB
cpos-74	228	19	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	228	20	an	an	DET
cpos-74	228	21	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	228	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	228	23	divorces	divorce	NOUN
cpos-74	228	24	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	228	25	negatively	negatively	ADV
cpos-74	228	26	affect	affect	VERB
cpos-74	228	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	228	28	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	228	29	frame	frame	NOUN
cpos-74	228	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	228	31	reproduction	reproduction	NOUN
cpos-74	228	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	228	33	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	228	34	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	228	35	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	228	36	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	228	37	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-74	228	38	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	228	39	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	228	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	228	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	229	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	229	2	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	229	3	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	229	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	229	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	229	6	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	229	7	run	run	NOUN
cpos-74	229	8	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	229	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	229	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	229	11	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	229	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	229	13	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	229	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	229	15	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	229	16	coincide	coincide	NOUN
cpos-74	229	17	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	229	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	229	19	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	229	20	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	229	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	229	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	229	23	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	229	24	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	229	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	230	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-74	230	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	230	3	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	230	4	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	230	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	230	6	accordance	accordance	NOUN
cpos-74	230	7	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	230	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	230	9	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	230	10	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	230	11	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	230	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	230	13	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	230	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	230	15	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	230	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	230	17	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	230	18	close	close	ADJ
cpos-74	230	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	230	20	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	230	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	230	22	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	230	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	230	24	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	230	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	231	1	interestingly	interestingly	ADV
cpos-74	231	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	231	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	231	4	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	231	5	underlying	underlie	VERB
cpos-74	231	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	231	7	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	231	8	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	231	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	231	10	mainly	mainly	ADV
cpos-74	231	11	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	231	12	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	231	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	231	14	feasibility	feasibility	NOUN
cpos-74	231	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	231	16	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	231	17	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	231	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	231	19	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-74	231	20	market	market	NOUN
cpos-74	231	21	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	231	22	to	to	PART
cpos-74	231	23	ease	ease	VERB
cpos-74	231	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	231	25	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-74	231	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	231	27	motherhood	motherhood	NOUN
cpos-74	231	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	231	29	work	work	NOUN
cpos-74	231	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	231	31	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	231	32	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	231	33	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	231	34	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	231	35	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-74	231	36	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	231	37	11	11	NUM
cpos-74	231	38	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	231	39	12	12	NUM
cpos-74	231	40	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	231	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	232	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	232	2	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	232	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	232	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	232	5	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	232	6	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	232	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	232	8	offers	offer	VERB
cpos-74	232	9	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	232	10	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	232	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	232	12	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	232	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	232	14	reaching	reach	VERB
cpos-74	232	15	a	a	DET
cpos-74	232	16	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	232	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	232	18	1.40	1.40	NUM
cpos-74	232	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	232	20	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	232	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	233	1	unfortunately	unfortunately	ADV
cpos-74	233	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	233	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	233	4	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	233	5	not	not	PART
cpos-74	233	6	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-74	233	7	nd	nd	ADP
cpos-74	233	8	any	any	DET
cpos-74	233	9	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	233	10	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	233	11	argument	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	233	12	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	233	13	explains	explain	VERB
cpos-74	233	14	this	this	DET
cpos-74	233	15	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	233	16	pessimistic	pessimistic	ADJ
cpos-74	233	17	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	233	18	except	except	SCONJ
cpos-74	233	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	233	20	fact	fact	NOUN
cpos-74	233	21	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	233	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	233	23	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	233	24	refer	refer	VERB
cpos-74	233	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	233	26	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	233	27	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	233	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	233	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	233	30	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	233	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	234	1	several	several	ADJ
cpos-74	234	2	hypotheses	hypothesis	NOUN
cpos-74	234	3	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	234	4	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	234	5	put	put	VERB
cpos-74	234	6	forward	forward	ADV
cpos-74	234	7	to	to	PART
cpos-74	234	8	explain	explain	VERB
cpos-74	234	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	234	10	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	234	11	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	234	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	234	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	234	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	234	15	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	234	16	interestingly	interestingly	ADV
cpos-74	234	17	these	these	DET
cpos-74	234	18	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	234	19	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	234	20	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	234	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	234	22	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	234	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	234	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	234	25	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	234	26	eld	eld	NOUN
cpos-74	234	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	234	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	234	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	235	1	according	accord	VERB
cpos-74	235	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	235	3	work	work	NOUN
cpos-74	235	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	235	5	frejka	frejka	NOUN
cpos-74	235	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	235	7	sardon	sardon	PROPN
cpos-74	235	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	235	9	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	235	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	235	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	235	12	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	235	13	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	235	14	stabilise	stabilise	VERB
cpos-74	235	15	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	235	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	235	17	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	235	18	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	235	19	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	235	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	235	21	many	many	ADJ
cpos-74	235	22	western	western	ADJ
cpos-74	235	23	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	235	24	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	235	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	236	1	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	236	2	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	236	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	236	4	childlessness	childlessness	NOUN
cpos-74	236	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	236	6	according	accord	VERB
cpos-74	236	7	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	236	8	wanner	wanner	NOUN
cpos-74	236	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	236	10	fei	fei	PROPN
cpos-74	236	11	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	236	12	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	236	13	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	236	14	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	236	15	occur	occur	VERB
cpos-74	236	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	236	17	all	all	DET
cpos-74	236	18	social	social	ADJ
cpos-74	236	19	groups	group	NOUN
cpos-74	236	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	237	1	immigration	immigration	NOUN
cpos-74	237	2	policy	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	237	3	favors	favor	VERB
cpos-74	237	4	migrants	migrant	NOUN
cpos-74	237	5	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	237	6	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	237	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	237	8	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	237	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	237	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	237	11	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	237	12	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	237	13	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	237	14	integration	integration	NOUN
cpos-74	237	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	237	16	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	237	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	237	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	237	19	labour	labour	ADJ
cpos-74	237	20	force	force	NOUN
cpos-74	237	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	238	1	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	238	2	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	238	3	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	238	4	lagging	lag	VERB
cpos-74	238	5	behind	behind	ADV
cpos-74	238	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	238	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	238	8	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-74	238	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	238	10	16	16	NUM
cpos-74	238	11	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	238	12	unter	unter	ADJ
cpos-74	238	13	bestimmten	bestimmten	NOUN
cpos-74	238	14	kulturellen	kulturellen	VERB
cpos-74	238	15	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	238	16	sozialen	sozialen	ADJ
cpos-74	238	17	bedingungen	bedingungen	NOUN
cpos-74	238	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	238	19	vermehrte	vermehrte	NOUN
cpos-74	238	20	wertschätzung	wertschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	238	21	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	238	22	kindes	kindes	AUX
cpos-74	238	23	und	und	VERB
cpos-74	238	24	der	der	ADJ
cpos-74	238	25	familie	familie	PROPN
cpos-74	238	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	239	1	bessere	bessere	PROPN
cpos-74	239	2	möglichkeiten	möglichkeiten	PROPN
cpos-74	239	3	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	240	1	verbindung	verbindung	PROPN
cpos-74	240	2	von	von	PROPN
cpos-74	240	3	berufstätigkeit	berufstätigkeit	PROPN
cpos-74	240	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	240	5	mutterschaft	mutterschaft	NOUN
cpos-74	240	6	usw	usw	NOUN
cpos-74	240	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	240	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	240	9	ist	ist	VERB
cpos-74	240	10	auch	auch	ADJ
cpos-74	240	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	240	12	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	240	13	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	240	14	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	240	15	erneuter	erneuter	PROPN
cpos-74	240	16	anstieg	anstieg	PROPN
cpos-74	240	17	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	240	18	endgültigen	endgültigen	PROPN
cpos-74	240	19	nachkommenschaft	nachkommenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	240	20	der	der	ADJ
cpos-74	240	21	generationen	generationen	NOUN
cpos-74	240	22	nicht	nicht	NOUN
cpos-74	240	23	auszuschließen	auszuschließen	NOUN
cpos-74	240	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	3	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	241	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	241	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	241	6	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	241	7	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	241	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	9	16	16	NUM
cpos-74	241	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	11	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	241	12	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	241	13	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	241	14	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	241	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	16	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	241	17	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	241	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	19	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	241	20	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	241	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	241	22	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	241	23	prskawetz676	prskawetz676	PROPN
cpos-74	241	24	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	241	25	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	241	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	241	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	241	28	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	241	29	1.2	1.2	NUM
cpos-74	241	30	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	241	31	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	241	32	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	241	33	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	241	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	1	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	242	2	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	242	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	242	4	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	242	5	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	242	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	7	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	242	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	242	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	242	10	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	242	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	242	12	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	242	13	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	242	14	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	242	15	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	242	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	242	17	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	242	18	far	far	ADV
cpos-74	242	19	work	work	NOUN
cpos-74	242	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	21	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	242	22	reconciliation	reconciliation	NOUN
cpos-74	242	23	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	242	24	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	242	25	succeed	succeed	VERB
cpos-74	242	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	27	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	242	28	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	242	29	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	242	30	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	242	31	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	242	32	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	33	16	16	NUM
cpos-74	242	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	242	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	243	1	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	243	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	243	3	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	243	4	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	243	5	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	243	6	underestimated	underestimate	VERB
cpos-74	243	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	243	8	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	243	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	243	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	243	11	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	243	12	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	243	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	243	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	243	15	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	243	16	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	243	17	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	243	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	243	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	243	20	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	243	21	upwards	upwards	ADV
cpos-74	243	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	243	23	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	243	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	243	25	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	243	26	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-74	243	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	243	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	243	29	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	243	30	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	243	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	244	1	due	due	ADP
cpos-74	244	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	244	3	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	244	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	244	5	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	244	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	244	7	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	244	8	argue	argue	VERB
cpos-74	244	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	244	10	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	244	11	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	244	12	changed	change	VERB
cpos-74	244	13	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	244	14	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	244	15	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	244	16	considering	consider	VERB
cpos-74	244	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	244	18	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	244	19	changes.17	changes.17	NOUN
cpos-74	244	20	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	244	21	explain	explain	VERB
cpos-74	244	22	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-74	244	23	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	244	24	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	244	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	244	26	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-74	244	27	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	244	28	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	244	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	244	30	previous	previous	ADJ
cpos-74	244	31	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	244	32	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	244	33	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	244	34	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	244	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	244	36	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	244	37	referring	refer	VERB
cpos-74	244	38	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	244	39	the	the	DET
cpos-74	244	40	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	244	41	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	244	42	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	244	43	childbearing	childbeare	VERB
cpos-74	244	44	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	244	45	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	244	46	born	bear	VERB
cpos-74	244	47	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	244	48	the	the	DET
cpos-74	244	49	1970s	1970	NOUN
cpos-74	244	50	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	245	1	these	these	DET
cpos-74	245	2	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	245	3	postponed	postpone	VERB
cpos-74	245	4	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	245	5	intended	intend	VERB
cpos-74	245	6	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	245	7	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	245	8	led	lead	VERB
cpos-74	245	9	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	245	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	245	11	underestimation	underestimation	NOUN
cpos-74	245	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	245	13	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	245	14	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	245	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	246	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	246	2	authors	author	NOUN
cpos-74	246	3	admit	admit	VERB
cpos-74	246	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	246	5	these	these	DET
cpos-74	246	6	factors	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	246	7	were	be	AUX
cpos-74	246	8	known	know	VERB
cpos-74	246	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	246	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	246	11	considering	consider	VERB
cpos-74	246	12	them	they	PRON
cpos-74	246	13	adequately	adequately	ADV
cpos-74	246	14	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	246	15	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	246	16	led	lead	VERB
cpos-74	246	17	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	246	18	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	246	19	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-74	246	20	predictions	prediction	NOUN
cpos-74	246	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	246	22	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	246	23	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	246	24	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	246	25	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	246	26	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	246	27	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	246	28	32	32	NUM
cpos-74	246	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	246	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	1	interestingly	interestingly	ADV
cpos-74	247	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	247	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	247	5	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	247	6	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	247	7	reference	reference	NOUN
cpos-74	247	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	247	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	247	10	study	study	NOUN
cpos-74	247	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	247	12	schubert	schubert	PROPN
cpos-74	247	13	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	247	14	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	247	15	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	247	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	17	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	247	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	19	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	247	20	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	247	21	found	find	VERB
cpos-74	247	22	arguing	argue	VERB
cpos-74	247	23	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	247	24	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	247	25	nancial	nancial	ADJ
cpos-74	247	26	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	247	27	labour	labour	ADJ
cpos-74	247	28	market	market	NOUN
cpos-74	247	29	uncertainties	uncertainty	NOUN
cpos-74	247	30	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	247	31	induce	induce	VERB
cpos-74	247	32	families	family	NOUN
cpos-74	247	33	to	to	PART
cpos-74	247	34	postpone	postpone	VERB
cpos-74	247	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	247	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	37	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	247	38	the	the	DET
cpos-74	247	39	extreme	extreme	ADJ
cpos-74	247	40	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	247	41	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	247	42	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	247	43	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	247	44	childbearing	childbeare	VERB
cpos-74	247	45	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	247	46	all	all	ADV
cpos-74	247	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	248	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
cpos-74	248	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	248	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	248	4	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	248	5	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	248	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	248	7	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	248	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	248	9	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	248	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	248	11	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	248	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	248	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	248	14	just	just	ADV
cpos-74	248	15	a	a	DET
cpos-74	248	16	sign	sign	NOUN
cpos-74	248	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	248	18	cessation	cessation	NOUN
cpos-74	248	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	248	20	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	248	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	248	22	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	248	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	248	24	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	248	25	not	not	PART
cpos-74	248	26	to	to	PART
cpos-74	248	27	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	248	28	related	relate	VERB
cpos-74	248	29	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	248	30	an	an	DET
cpos-74	248	31	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	248	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	248	33	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	248	34	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	248	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	249	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	249	2	argue	argue	VERB
cpos-74	249	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	249	4	a	a	DET
cpos-74	249	5	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	249	6	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	249	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	249	8	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	249	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	249	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	249	11	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	249	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	249	13	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	249	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	249	15	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	249	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	249	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	249	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	249	19	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-74	249	20	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-74	249	21	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	249	22	not	not	PART
cpos-74	249	23	compensated	compensate	VERB
cpos-74	249	24	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	249	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	249	26	recuperation	recuperation	NOUN
cpos-74	249	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	249	28	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	249	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	249	30	older	old	ADJ
cpos-74	249	31	ages.18	ages.18	NOUN
cpos-74	249	32	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	249	33	references	reference	NOUN
cpos-74	249	34	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	249	35	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	249	36	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	249	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	249	38	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	249	39	role	role	NOUN
cpos-74	249	40	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	249	41	females	female	NOUN
cpos-74	249	42	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	249	43	the	the	DET
cpos-74	249	44	labour	labour	NOUN
cpos-74	249	45	market	market	NOUN
cpos-74	249	46	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	249	47	the	the	DET
cpos-74	249	48	attitude	attitude	NOUN
cpos-74	249	49	towards	towards	ADP
cpos-74	249	50	this	this	DET
cpos-74	249	51	societal	societal	ADJ
cpos-74	249	52	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	249	53	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	249	54	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-74	249	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	249	56	designing	design	VERB
cpos-74	249	57	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	249	58	adapting	adapt	VERB
cpos-74	249	59	family	family	NOUN
cpos-74	249	60	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	249	61	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	250	1	4.4	4.4	NUM
cpos-74	250	2	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-74	250	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	250	4	all	all	DET
cpos-74	250	5	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	250	6	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	250	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	250	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	250	9	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	250	10	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	250	11	good	good	ADJ
cpos-74	250	12	efforts	effort	NOUN
cpos-74	250	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	250	14	explain	explain	VERB
cpos-74	250	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	250	16	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	250	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	250	18	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	250	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	250	20	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	250	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	251	1	to	to	PART
cpos-74	251	2	generalise	generalise	VERB
cpos-74	251	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	251	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	251	5	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	251	6	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	251	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	251	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	251	9	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	251	10	a	a	DET
cpos-74	251	11	persistence	persistence	NOUN
cpos-74	251	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	251	13	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	251	14	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	251	15	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	251	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	251	17	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	251	18	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	251	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	251	20	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	251	21	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	251	22	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	251	23	middle	middle	ADJ
cpos-74	251	24	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	251	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	251	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	251	27	reserving	reserve	VERB
cpos-74	251	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	251	29	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	251	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	251	31	theories	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	251	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	251	33	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	251	34	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	251	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	251	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	251	37	justifi	justifi	NOUN
cpos-74	251	38	cation	cation	NOUN
cpos-74	251	39	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	251	40	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	251	41	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	251	42	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	251	43	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	251	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	252	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	252	2	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	252	3	some	some	DET
cpos-74	252	4	recognition	recognition	NOUN
cpos-74	252	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	252	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	252	7	transient	transient	ADJ
cpos-74	252	8	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	252	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	252	10	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	252	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	252	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	252	13	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	252	14	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	252	15	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	252	16	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	252	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	252	18	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	252	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	252	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	252	21	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	252	22	some	some	DET
cpos-74	252	23	recognition	recognition	NOUN
cpos-74	252	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	252	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	252	26	need	need	NOUN
cpos-74	252	27	to	to	PART
cpos-74	252	28	incorporate	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	252	29	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	252	30	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	252	31	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	252	32	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	252	33	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	252	34	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-74	252	35	pötzsch	pötzsch	NOUN
cpos-74	252	36	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	252	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	252	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	253	1	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
cpos-74	253	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	253	3	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	253	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	253	5	regional	regional	ADJ
cpos-74	253	6	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	253	7	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	253	8	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	253	9	immigration	immigration	NOUN
cpos-74	253	10	status	status	NOUN
cpos-74	253	11	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	253	12	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	253	13	performed	perform	VERB
cpos-74	253	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	253	15	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	253	16	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	253	17	success	success	NOUN
cpos-74	253	18	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	253	19	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	253	20	mixed	mix	VERB
cpos-74	253	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	254	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	254	2	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	254	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	254	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	254	5	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	254	6	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	254	7	east	east	PROPN
cpos-74	254	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	254	9	west	west	PROPN
cpos-74	254	10	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	254	11	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	254	12	accurately	accurately	ADV
cpos-74	254	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	254	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	254	15	second	second	ADJ
cpos-74	254	16	attempt	attempt	NOUN
cpos-74	254	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	254	18	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	254	19	early	early	ADV
cpos-74	254	20	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	254	21	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	254	22	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	254	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	254	24	8th	8th	ADJ
cpos-74	254	25	coordinated	coordinate	VERB
cpos-74	254	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	254	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	254	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	255	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	255	2	efforts	effort	NOUN
cpos-74	255	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	255	4	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	255	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	255	6	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	255	7	17	17	NUM
cpos-74	255	8	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	255	9	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	255	10	wurden	wurden	ADJ
cpos-74	255	11	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	255	12	fruchtbarkeitsziffern	fruchtbarkeitsziffern	PROPN
cpos-74	255	13	unter	unter	PROPN
cpos-74	255	14	berücksichtigung	berücksichtigung	PROPN
cpos-74	255	15	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	255	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	255	17	den	den	PROPN
cpos-74	255	18	letzten	letzten	PROPN
cpos-74	255	19	jahren	jahren	PROPN
cpos-74	255	20	festgestellten	festgestellten	VERB
cpos-74	255	21	entwicklungen	entwicklungen	PROPN
cpos-74	255	22	geändert	geändert	PROPN
cpos-74	255	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	3	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	256	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	256	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	256	6	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	256	7	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	256	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	9	33	33	NUM
cpos-74	256	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	11	18	18	NUM
cpos-74	256	12	„	„	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	13	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	256	14	geburtenrate	geburtenrate	ADJ
cpos-74	256	15	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	256	16	über	über	PROPN
cpos-74	256	17	30	30	NUM
cpos-74	256	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	19	jährigen	jährigen	NOUN
cpos-74	256	20	frauen	frauen	NOUN
cpos-74	256	21	steigt	steigt	PROPN
cpos-74	256	22	zwar	zwar	PROPN
cpos-74	256	23	an	an	PROPN
cpos-74	256	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	25	doch	doch	PROPN
cpos-74	256	26	mit	mit	PROPN
cpos-74	256	27	diesem	diesem	PROPN
cpos-74	256	28	anstieg	anstieg	PROPN
cpos-74	256	29	wird	wird	PROPN
cpos-74	256	30	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	256	31	abnahme	abnahme	ADJ
cpos-74	256	32	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	256	33	geburtenziffer	geburtenziffer	VERB
cpos-74	256	34	ebendieser	ebendieser	PROPN
cpos-74	256	35	frauen	frauen	PROPN
cpos-74	256	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	37	als	als	NOUN
cpos-74	256	38	sie	sie	VERB
cpos-74	256	39	noch	noch	PROPN
cpos-74	256	40	jünger	jünger	PROPN
cpos-74	256	41	waren	waren	PROPN
cpos-74	256	42	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	256	43	nicht	nicht	NOUN
cpos-74	256	44	kompensiert	kompensiert	X
cpos-74	256	45	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	256	46	daraus	daraus	PROPN
cpos-74	256	47	resultiert	resultiert	PROPN
cpos-74	256	48	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	256	49	zahlreiche	zahlreiche	PROPN
cpos-74	256	50	frauengenerationen	frauengenerationen	PROPN
cpos-74	256	51	ein	ein	PROPN
cpos-74	256	52	rückgang	rückgang	PROPN
cpos-74	256	53	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	256	54	endgültigen	endgültigen	PROPN
cpos-74	256	55	nachkommenschaft	nachkommenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	256	56	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	1	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	2	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	3	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	257	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	257	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	257	6	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	257	7	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	257	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	9	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	257	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	257	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	257	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	257	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	257	15	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	257	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	17	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	257	18	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	257	19	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	257	20	677	677	NUM
cpos-74	257	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	257	22	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	257	23	immigration	immigration	NOUN
cpos-74	257	24	status	status	NOUN
cpos-74	257	25	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	257	26	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	257	27	less	less	ADV
cpos-74	257	28	successful	successful	ADJ
cpos-74	257	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	30	native	native	ADJ
cpos-74	257	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	257	32	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	257	33	overestimated	overestimate	VERB
cpos-74	257	34	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	257	35	foreign	foreign	ADJ
cpos-74	257	36	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	257	37	born	bear	VERB
cpos-74	257	38	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	257	39	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	257	40	underestimated	underestimate	VERB
cpos-74	257	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	258	1	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	258	2	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	258	3	fairly	fairly	ADV
cpos-74	258	4	frequent	frequent	ADJ
cpos-74	258	5	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	258	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	258	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	258	8	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	258	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	258	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	258	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	258	12	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	258	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	258	14	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	258	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	259	1	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	259	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	259	3	striking	strike	VERB
cpos-74	259	4	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	259	5	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	259	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	259	7	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	259	8	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	259	9	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	259	10	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	259	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	259	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	259	13	often	often	ADV
cpos-74	259	14	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	259	15	updates	update	NOUN
cpos-74	259	16	not	not	PART
cpos-74	259	17	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	259	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	259	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	259	20	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	259	21	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	259	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	259	23	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	259	24	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	259	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	259	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	259	27	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	259	28	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	259	29	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	259	30	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	259	31	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	259	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	260	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	260	2	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	260	3	decade	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	260	4	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	260	5	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	260	6	a	a	DET
cpos-74	260	7	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	260	8	calm	calm	ADJ
cpos-74	260	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	260	10	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	260	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	260	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	260	13	updates	update	NOUN
cpos-74	260	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	261	1	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	261	2	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	261	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	261	4	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	261	5	remained	remain	VERB
cpos-74	261	6	nearly	nearly	ADV
cpos-74	261	7	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	261	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	261	9	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	261	10	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	261	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	261	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	262	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	262	2	open	open	ADJ
cpos-74	262	3	question	question	NOUN
cpos-74	262	4	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	262	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	262	6	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	262	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	262	8	rises	rise	VERB
cpos-74	262	9	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	262	10	falls	fall	VERB
cpos-74	262	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	262	12	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	262	13	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	262	14	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	262	15	react	react	VERB
cpos-74	262	16	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	263	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	263	2	inconsistent	inconsistent	ADJ
cpos-74	263	3	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	263	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	263	5	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	263	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	263	7	level	level	VERB
cpos-74	263	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	263	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	263	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	263	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	263	12	this	this	DET
cpos-74	263	13	section	section	NOUN
cpos-74	263	14	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	263	15	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-74	263	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	263	17	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	263	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	263	19	stage	stage	NOUN
cpos-74	263	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	263	21	process	process	NOUN
cpos-74	263	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	264	1	first	first	ADV
cpos-74	264	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	264	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	264	4	aim	aim	VERB
cpos-74	264	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	264	6	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
cpos-74	264	7	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	264	8	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	264	9	distortions	distortion	NOUN
cpos-74	264	10	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	264	11	matter	matter	VERB
cpos-74	264	12	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	264	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	264	14	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	264	15	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	264	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	264	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	264	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	264	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	264	20	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	264	21	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	264	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	264	23	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	264	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	264	25	implications	implication	NOUN
cpos-74	264	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	264	27	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	264	28	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	264	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	264	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	264	31	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	264	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	265	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
cpos-74	265	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	265	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	265	4	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	265	5	an	an	DET
cpos-74	265	6	illustrative	illustrative	ADJ
cpos-74	265	7	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	265	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	265	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	265	10	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	265	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	265	12	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	265	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	265	14	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	265	15	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	265	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	265	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	265	18	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	265	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	265	20	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	265	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	265	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	265	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	266	1	thirdly	thirdly	ADV
cpos-74	266	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	266	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	266	4	test	test	VERB
cpos-74	266	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	266	6	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-74	266	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	266	8	such	such	DET
cpos-74	266	9	a	a	DET
cpos-74	266	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	266	11	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	266	12	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-74	266	13	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	266	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	1	5.1	5.1	NUM
cpos-74	267	2	inconsistent	inconsistent	ADJ
cpos-74	267	3	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	267	4	within	within	ADP
cpos-74	267	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	6	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	267	7	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	267	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	267	9	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	267	10	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	267	11	saw	see	VERB
cpos-74	267	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	267	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	14	discussion	discussion	NOUN
cpos-74	267	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	267	16	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	267	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	18	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	267	19	recognise	recognise	VERB
cpos-74	267	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	267	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	22	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	267	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	267	24	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	267	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	267	26	older	old	ADJ
cpos-74	267	27	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-74	267	28	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	267	29	an	an	DET
cpos-74	267	30	important	important	ADJ
cpos-74	267	31	factor	factor	NOUN
cpos-74	267	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	267	33	keeping	keep	VERB
cpos-74	267	34	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	267	35	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	267	36	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	267	37	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	267	38	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	267	39	fertility.19	fertility.19	NOUN
cpos-74	267	40	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	267	41	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	267	42	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	267	43	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	267	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	45	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	46	temporary	temporary	ADJ
cpos-74	267	47	nature	nature	NOUN
cpos-74	267	48	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	267	49	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	267	50	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	51	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	267	52	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	267	53	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	54	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	267	55	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	267	56	mentioned	mention	VERB
cpos-74	267	57	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	58	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	267	59	presumably	presumably	ADV
cpos-74	267	60	provides	provide	VERB
cpos-74	267	61	part	part	NOUN
cpos-74	267	62	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	267	63	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	64	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	267	65	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	267	66	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	267	67	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	267	68	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	69	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	267	70	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	267	71	the	the	DET
cpos-74	267	72	middle	middle	PROPN
cpos-74	267	73	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	267	74	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	267	75	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	267	76	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	267	77	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	267	78	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	267	79	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	267	80	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	267	81	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	267	82	ahead	ahead	ADV
cpos-74	267	83	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	268	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	268	2	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	268	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	268	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	268	5	latest	late	ADJ
cpos-74	268	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	268	7	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	268	8	no	no	DET
cpos-74	268	9	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	268	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	268	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	268	12	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	268	13	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	268	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	268	15	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	268	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	268	17	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	268	18	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	268	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	269	1	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	269	2	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	269	3	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cpos-74	269	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	269	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	269	6	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	269	7	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	269	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	269	9	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	269	10	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-74	269	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	269	12	projection	projection	VERB
cpos-74	269	13	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	269	14	an	an	DET
cpos-74	269	15	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	269	16	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	269	17	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-74	269	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	269	19	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	269	20	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	269	21	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	269	22	childbearing	childbearing	PROPN
cpos-74	269	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	269	24	mac	mac	PROPN
cpos-74	269	25	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	269	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	269	27	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-74	269	28	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	269	29	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	269	30	slows	slow	VERB
cpos-74	269	31	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	269	32	stops	stop	NOUN
cpos-74	269	33	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	269	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	269	35	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	269	36	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	269	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	270	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	270	2	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	270	3	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	270	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	270	5	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	270	6	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	270	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	270	8	a	a	DET
cpos-74	270	9	response	response	NOUN
cpos-74	270	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	270	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	270	12	conventional	conventional	ADJ
cpos-74	270	13	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	270	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	270	15	without	without	ADP
cpos-74	270	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	270	17	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	270	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	270	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	270	20	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	270	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	270	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	270	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	271	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	271	2	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	271	3	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	271	4	a	a	DET
cpos-74	271	5	sudden	sudden	ADJ
cpos-74	271	6	stop	stop	NOUN
cpos-74	271	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	271	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	9	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	271	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	271	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	12	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	271	13	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	271	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	271	15	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	271	16	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	271	17	foreseen	foresee	VERB
cpos-74	271	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	271	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	20	conventional	conventional	ADJ
cpos-74	271	21	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	271	22	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	271	23	immediately	immediately	ADV
cpos-74	271	24	adapt	adapt	VERB
cpos-74	271	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	271	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	27	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	271	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	271	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	30	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	271	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	271	32	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	271	33	one	one	NOUN
cpos-74	271	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	271	35	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	271	36	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	271	37	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	271	38	no	no	DET
cpos-74	271	39	simultaneous	simultaneous	ADJ
cpos-74	271	40	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	271	41	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	271	42	the	the	DET
cpos-74	271	43	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	271	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	271	45	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	271	46	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	271	47	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	271	48	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	271	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	272	2	this	this	DET
cpos-74	272	3	section	section	NOUN
cpos-74	272	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	272	6	use	use	VERB
cpos-74	272	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	272	8	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	272	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	10	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	272	11	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	272	12	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-74	272	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	272	14	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	272	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	272	16	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	272	17	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	18	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	272	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	20	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	272	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	22	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	272	23	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	24	to	to	PART
cpos-74	272	25	look	look	VERB
cpos-74	272	26	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	272	27	these	these	DET
cpos-74	272	28	consistencies	consistency	NOUN
cpos-74	272	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	272	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	272	31	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	272	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	272	33	the	the	DET
cpos-74	272	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	272	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	272	36	all	all	DET
cpos-74	272	37	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	272	38	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	272	39	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	272	40	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	272	41	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	272	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	273	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	273	2	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-74	273	3	nd	nd	INTJ
cpos-74	273	4	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	273	5	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	273	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	273	7	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	273	8	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	273	9	not	not	PART
cpos-74	273	10	refl	refl	NOUN
cpos-74	273	11	ected	ected	ADJ
cpos-74	273	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	273	13	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	273	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	273	15	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	273	16	total	total	NOUN
cpos-74	273	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	273	18	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	273	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	273	20	a	a	DET
cpos-74	273	21	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	273	22	way	way	NOUN
cpos-74	273	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	274	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	274	2	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	274	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	274	4	feeny	feeny	NOUN
cpos-74	274	5	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	274	6	posits	posit	NOUN
cpos-74	274	7	an	an	DET
cpos-74	274	8	underlying	underlying	ADJ
cpos-74	274	9	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	274	10	intensity	intensity	NOUN
cpos-74	274	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	274	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	274	13	tfr*(t	tfr*(t	NOUN
cpos-74	274	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	274	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	274	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	274	17	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	274	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	274	19	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	274	20	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	274	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	1	just	just	ADV
cpos-74	275	2	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	275	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	4	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	275	5	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	275	6	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	275	7	summarises	summarise	NOUN
cpos-74	275	8	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	275	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	275	10	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	275	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	275	12	deeper	deep	ADJ
cpos-74	275	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	275	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	275	15	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	275	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	275	17	recuperation	recuperation	NOUN
cpos-74	275	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	275	19	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	275	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	275	21	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	275	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	23	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	275	24	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	275	25	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	275	26	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	275	27	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	275	28	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
cpos-74	275	29	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	275	30	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	275	31	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	275	32	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	275	33	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	275	34	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	275	35	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	275	36	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	275	37	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	275	38	.	.	NOUN
cpos-74	275	39	•	•	PROPN
cpos-74	275	40	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	275	41	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	275	42	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	275	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	44	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	275	45	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	275	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	47	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	275	48	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	275	49	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	50	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	275	51	prskawetz678	prskawetz678	PROPN
cpos-74	275	52	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	53	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	275	54	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	275	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	275	56	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	57	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	275	58	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	275	59	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	60	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	275	61	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	275	62	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	275	63	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	64	structure	structure	NOUN
cpos-74	275	65	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	275	66	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	67	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	68	tempoadjusted	tempoadjusted	ADJ
cpos-74	275	69	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	275	70	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	275	71	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	275	72	tells	tell	VERB
cpos-74	275	73	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	275	74	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	75	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	275	76	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	275	77	the	the	DET
cpos-74	275	78	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	275	79	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	275	80	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	275	81	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	275	82	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	275	83	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	276	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	276	2	formula	formula	NOUN
cpos-74	276	3	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	276	4	to	to	PART
cpos-74	276	5	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-74	276	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	276	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	276	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	276	9	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	276	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	276	11	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	276	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	276	13	tfr*(t	tfr*(t	NOUN
cpos-74	276	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	1	=	=	SYM
cpos-74	277	2	tfr(t)/	tfr(t)/	NOUN
cpos-74	277	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	277	5	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	6	r(t	r(t	NOUN
cpos-74	277	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	10	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	277	11	r(t	r(t	NOUN
cpos-74	277	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	277	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	277	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	277	15	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	277	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	277	17	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	277	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	277	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	277	20	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	277	21	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	277	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	277	23	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	277	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	278	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	278	2	measure	measure	NOUN
cpos-74	278	3	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	278	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	278	5	applied	apply	VERB
cpos-74	278	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	278	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	278	8	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	278	9	specifi	specifi	NOUN
cpos-74	278	10	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	278	11	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	278	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	278	13	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	278	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	278	15	purpose	purpose	NOUN
cpos-74	278	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	278	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	278	18	all	all	DET
cpos-74	278	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	278	20	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	278	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	278	22	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	278	23	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	278	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	278	25	all	all	DET
cpos-74	278	26	parities	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	278	27	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	278	28	considered	consider	VERB
cpos-74	278	29	together	together	ADV
cpos-74	278	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	1	apart	apart	ADV
cpos-74	279	2	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	279	3	boongaarts	boongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	279	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	5	feeny	feeny	PROPN
cpos-74	279	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	7	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	279	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	10	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	279	11	are	be	VERB
cpos-74	279	12	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	279	13	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	279	14	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	279	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	16	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-74	279	17	ryder	ryder	PROPN
cpos-74	279	18	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	279	19	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	20	kohler	kohler	NOUN
cpos-74	279	21	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	279	22	ortega	ortega	PROPN
cpos-74	279	23	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-74	279	24	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	25	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	279	26	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	279	27	cassidy	cassidy	PROPN
cpos-74	279	28	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	279	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	279	31	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	279	32	try	try	VERB
cpos-74	279	33	to	to	PART
cpos-74	279	34	correct	correct	VERB
cpos-74	279	35	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	279	36	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	279	37	distortions	distortion	NOUN
cpos-74	279	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	1	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	280	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	280	3	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	280	4	reason	reason	NOUN
cpos-74	280	5	why	why	SCONJ
cpos-74	280	6	trained	train	VERB
cpos-74	280	7	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-74	280	8	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	280	9	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	280	10	alarmed	alarmed	ADJ
cpos-74	280	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	280	12	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	280	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	280	14	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	280	15	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	16	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	280	17	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	280	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	19	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	280	20	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	280	21	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	280	22	subject	subject	ADJ
cpos-74	280	23	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	280	24	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-74	280	25	controversy	controversy	NOUN
cpos-74	280	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	27	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
cpos-74	280	28	imhoff	imhoff	ADJ
cpos-74	280	29	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	280	30	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-74	280	31	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	280	32	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	33	kim	kim	PROPN
cpos-74	280	34	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	280	35	schoen	schoen	PROPN
cpos-74	280	36	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	280	37	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	38	schoen	schoen	PROPN
cpos-74	280	39	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-74	280	40	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	41	keilman	keilman	NOUN
cpos-74	280	42	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	280	43	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	44	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	280	45	recommended	recommend	VERB
cpos-74	280	46	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	280	47	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	280	48	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	280	49	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	280	50	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	280	51	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	280	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	1	objections	objection	NOUN
cpos-74	281	2	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	281	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	4	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	281	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	6	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	281	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	281	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	9	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	281	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	281	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	281	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	14	pattern	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	281	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	281	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	281	17	retains	retain	VERB
cpos-74	281	18	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	281	19	shape	shape	NOUN
cpos-74	281	20	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	281	21	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	281	22	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	281	23	moves	move	VERB
cpos-74	281	24	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	281	25	older	old	ADJ
cpos-74	281	26	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	27	younger	young	ADJ
cpos-74	281	28	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-74	281	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	30	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	281	31	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	281	32	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-74	281	33	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	281	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	35	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	281	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	281	37	empirical	empirical	ADJ
cpos-74	281	38	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	281	39	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	281	40	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	41	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	42	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	281	43	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	44	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	281	45	believe	believe	VERB
cpos-74	281	46	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	47	less	less	ADV
cpos-74	281	48	applicable	applicable	ADJ
cpos-74	281	49	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	281	50	forecasts.20	forecasts.20	NOUN
cpos-74	281	51	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	281	52	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	281	53	dealing	deal	VERB
cpos-74	281	54	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	281	55	just	just	ADV
cpos-74	281	56	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	281	57	stylised	stylised	ADJ
cpos-74	281	58	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	281	59	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	60	so	so	ADV
cpos-74	281	61	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	62	difference	difference	NOUN
cpos-74	281	63	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	281	64	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	281	65	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	66	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	281	67	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	281	68	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	69	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	70	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	281	71	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	72	distinction	distinction	NOUN
cpos-74	281	73	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	281	74	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	281	75	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	76	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	281	77	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	281	78	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	281	79	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	80	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	281	81	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	281	82	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	281	83	small	small	ADJ
cpos-74	281	84	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	281	85	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	86	the	the	DET
cpos-74	281	87	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-74	281	88	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	89	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	281	90	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	281	91	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	281	92	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	281	93	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	281	94	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	281	95	less	less	ADV
cpos-74	281	96	interchangeably	interchangeably	ADV
cpos-74	281	97	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	282	1	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-74	282	2	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	282	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	282	4	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	282	5	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	282	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	282	7	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	282	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	282	9	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	282	10	hence	hence	ADV
cpos-74	282	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	282	12	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	282	13	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	282	14	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	282	15	sum	sum	NOUN
cpos-74	282	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	282	17	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	282	18	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	282	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	282	20	a	a	DET
cpos-74	282	21	way	way	NOUN
cpos-74	282	22	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	282	23	prospective	prospective	ADJ
cpos-74	282	24	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	282	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	282	26	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	282	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	282	28	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	282	29	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	282	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	282	31	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	282	32	not	not	PART
cpos-74	282	33	checked	check	VERB
cpos-74	282	34	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	282	35	regard	regard	NOUN
cpos-74	282	36	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	282	37	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	282	38	consistence	consistence	NOUN
cpos-74	282	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	283	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	283	2	usage	usage	NOUN
cpos-74	283	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	283	4	an	an	DET
cpos-74	283	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	283	6	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	283	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	283	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	283	9	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	283	10	like	like	ADP
cpos-74	283	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	283	12	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	283	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	283	14	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	283	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	283	16	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	283	17	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	283	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	283	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	283	20	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-74	283	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	283	22	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-74	283	23	to	to	PART
cpos-74	283	24	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	283	25	both	both	DET
cpos-74	283	26	aspects	aspect	NOUN
cpos-74	283	27	consistently	consistently	ADV
cpos-74	283	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	284	1	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	284	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	284	3	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	284	4	seen	see	VERB
cpos-74	284	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	284	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	284	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	284	8	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	284	9	aim	aim	VERB
cpos-74	284	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	284	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	284	12	use	use	VERB
cpos-74	284	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	284	14	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	284	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	284	16	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	284	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	284	18	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	284	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	284	20	measured	measure	VERB
cpos-74	284	21	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	284	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	284	23	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	284	24	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	284	25	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	284	26	persist	persist	VERB
cpos-74	284	27	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	284	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	284	29	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	284	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	285	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	285	2	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cpos-74	285	3	way	way	NOUN
cpos-74	285	4	to	to	PART
cpos-74	285	5	do	do	VERB
cpos-74	285	6	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	285	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	285	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	285	9	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	285	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	285	11	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	285	12	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	285	13	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	285	14	stay	stay	VERB
cpos-74	285	15	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	285	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	285	17	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	285	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	286	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	286	2	this	this	DET
cpos-74	286	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	286	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	286	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	286	6	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	286	7	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	286	8	need	need	VERB
cpos-74	286	9	to	to	PART
cpos-74	286	10	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	286	11	r(t	r(t	NOUN
cpos-74	286	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	286	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	286	14	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	286	15	to	to	PART
cpos-74	286	16	obtain	obtain	VERB
cpos-74	286	17	an	an	DET
cpos-74	286	18	estimate	estimate	NOUN
cpos-74	286	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	286	20	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	286	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	287	1	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	287	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	287	3	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	287	4	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	287	5	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	287	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	287	7	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	287	8	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	287	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	287	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	287	11	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	287	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	287	13	implicitly	implicitly	ADV
cpos-74	287	14	forecasting	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	287	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	287	16	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	287	17	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	287	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	287	19	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	287	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	288	1	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	288	2	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	288	3	calculate	calculate	VERB
cpos-74	288	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	288	5	pace	pace	NOUN
cpos-74	288	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	288	7	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	288	8	implied	imply	VERB
cpos-74	288	9	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	288	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	288	11	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	288	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	288	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	288	14	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	288	15	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	288	16	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	288	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	288	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	288	19	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	288	20	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	288	21	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	288	22	imply	imply	VERB
cpos-74	288	23	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	288	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	288	25	underlying	underlie	VERB
cpos-74	288	26	intensity	intensity	NOUN
cpos-74	288	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	288	28	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	288	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	288	30	measured	measure	VERB
cpos-74	288	31	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	288	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	288	33	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	288	34	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	288	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	289	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	289	2	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	289	3	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	289	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	289	5	results	result	NOUN
cpos-74	289	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	289	7	such	such	DET
cpos-74	289	8	an	an	DET
cpos-74	289	9	exercise	exercise	NOUN
cpos-74	289	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	289	11	all	all	DET
cpos-74	289	12	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	289	13	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	289	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	290	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	290	2	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	290	3	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	290	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	290	5	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	290	6	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	290	7	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	290	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	290	9	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	290	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	290	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	290	12	labeled	label	VERB
cpos-74	290	13	mac	mac	PROPN
cpos-74	290	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	290	15	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	290	16	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	290	17	read	read	VERB
cpos-74	290	18	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	290	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	290	20	right	right	ADJ
cpos-74	290	21	hand	hand	NOUN
cpos-74	290	22	axis	axis	NOUN
cpos-74	290	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	291	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	291	2	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	291	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	291	4	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	291	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	291	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	291	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	291	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	291	9	shown	show	VERB
cpos-74	291	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	291	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	291	12	solid	solid	ADJ
cpos-74	291	13	line	line	NOUN
cpos-74	291	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	292	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	292	2	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	292	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	292	4	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	292	5	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	292	6	*	*	VERB
cpos-74	292	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	292	8	shown	show	VERB
cpos-74	292	9	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	292	10	dots	dot	NOUN
cpos-74	292	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	292	12	empty	empty	ADJ
cpos-74	292	13	circles	circle	NOUN
cpos-74	292	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	293	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	293	2	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	293	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	293	4	implied	imply	VERB
cpos-74	293	5	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	293	6	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	293	7	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	293	8	*	*	VERB
cpos-74	293	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	293	10	shown	show	VERB
cpos-74	293	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	293	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	293	13	grey	grey	ADJ
cpos-74	293	14	line	line	NOUN
cpos-74	293	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	2	1	1	X
cpos-74	294	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	4	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	294	5	zeng	zeng	NOUN
cpos-74	294	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	294	7	land	land	NOUN
cpos-74	294	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	9	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-74	294	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	11	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	294	12	shown	show	VERB
cpos-74	294	13	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	294	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	294	15	tfr	tfr	NOUN
cpos-74	294	16	corrected	correct	VERB
cpos-74	294	17	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	294	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	294	19	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	294	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	294	21	feeny	feeny	ADJ
cpos-74	294	22	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	294	23	does	do	AUX
cpos-74	294	24	not	not	PART
cpos-74	294	25	differ	differ	VERB
cpos-74	294	26	signifi	signifi	NOUN
cpos-74	294	27	cantly	cantly	ADV
cpos-74	294	28	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	294	29	an	an	DET
cpos-74	294	30	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	294	31	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	294	32	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-74	294	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	294	34	a	a	DET
cpos-74	294	35	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	294	36	annual	annual	ADJ
cpos-74	294	37	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	294	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	294	39	the	the	DET
cpos-74	294	40	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	294	41	schedule	schedule	NOUN
cpos-74	294	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	295	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	295	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	295	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	295	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	295	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	295	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	295	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	295	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	295	9	•	•	NOUN
cpos-74	295	10	679	679	NUM
cpos-74	295	11	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	295	12	g	g	NOUN
cpos-74	295	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	296	1	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	296	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	296	3	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	296	4	ea	ea	ADP
cpos-74	296	5	n	n	CCONJ
cpos-74	296	6	ag	ag	PROPN
cpos-74	296	7	e	e	PROPN
cpos-74	296	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	296	9	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	296	10	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-74	296	11	ld	ld	PROPN
cpos-74	296	12	b	b	PROPN
cpos-74	296	13	ea	ea	ADP
cpos-74	296	14	ri	ri	PROPN
cpos-74	296	15	ng	ng	PROPN
cpos-74	296	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	296	17	t	t	PROPN
cpos-74	296	18	fr	fr	PROPN
cpos-74	297	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	297	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-74	297	3	t	t	NOUN
cpos-74	297	4	em	em	PRON
cpos-74	297	5	p	p	X
cpos-74	297	6	o	o	X
cpos-74	297	7	-a	-a	PROPN
cpos-74	297	8	d	d	PROPN
cpos-74	297	9	ju	ju	PROPN
cpos-74	297	10	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	298	1	ed	ed	PROPN
cpos-74	298	2	t	t	PROPN
cpos-74	299	1	fr	fr	INTJ
cpos-74	300	1	f	f	PROPN
cpos-74	301	1	ro	ro	PROPN
cpos-74	302	1	m	m	PROPN
cpos-74	302	2	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	302	3	99	99	NUM
cpos-74	302	4	0	0	NUM
cpos-74	302	5	o	o	PROPN
cpos-74	302	6	nw	nw	PROPN
cpos-74	302	7	ar	ar	PROPN
cpos-74	302	8	d	d	PROPN
cpos-74	302	9	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	302	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	302	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	302	12	cl	cl	NOUN
cpos-74	302	13	ud	ud	INTJ
cpos-74	302	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	302	15	g	g	NOUN
cpos-74	302	16	th	th	X
cpos-74	302	17	e	e	X
cpos-74	302	18	la	la	X
cpos-74	302	19	te	te	PROPN
cpos-74	302	20	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	302	21	fo	fo	INTJ
cpos-74	302	22	re	re	PROPN
cpos-74	302	23	ca	ca	PROPN
cpos-74	303	1	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	303	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	303	3	s	s	X
cpos-74	303	4	o	o	X
cpos-74	303	5	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-74	303	6	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	303	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	304	1	o	o	X
cpos-74	304	2	w	w	NOUN
cpos-74	304	3	n	n	VERB
cpos-74	304	4	ca	can	AUX
cpos-74	304	5	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-74	304	6	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-74	304	7	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	304	8	io	io	PROPN
cpos-74	304	9	n	n	ADP
cpos-74	304	10	b	b	PROPN
cpos-74	304	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	304	12	ed	ed	PROPN
cpos-74	304	13	o	o	PROPN
cpos-74	304	14	n	n	ADP
cpos-74	304	15	d	d	NOUN
cpos-74	304	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	304	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	304	18	fr	fr	NOUN
cpos-74	304	19	o	o	NOUN
cpos-74	304	20	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	304	21	th	th	X
cpos-74	304	22	e	e	X
cpos-74	304	23	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	304	24	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	304	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	304	26	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-74	304	27	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	304	28	a	a	DET
cpos-74	304	29	ge	ge	PROPN
cpos-74	304	30	nc	nc	PROPN
cpos-74	305	1	ie	ie	PROPN
cpos-74	305	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	305	3	g	g	PROPN
cpos-74	305	4	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	305	5	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	305	6	an	an	DET
cpos-74	305	7	y	y	PROPN
cpos-74	305	8	a	a	DET
cpos-74	305	9	us	us	PROPN
cpos-74	305	10	tr	tr	PROPN
cpos-74	305	11	ia	ia	PROPN
cpos-74	305	12	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	305	13	w	w	PROPN
cpos-74	305	14	itz	itz	PROPN
cpos-74	306	1	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	306	2	la	la	PROPN
cpos-74	306	3	nd	nd	PROPN
cpos-74	306	4	•	•	PROPN
cpos-74	306	5	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	306	6	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	306	7	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	306	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	306	9	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	306	10	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	306	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	306	12	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	306	13	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	306	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	306	15	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	306	16	prskawetz680	prskawetz680	PROPN
cpos-74	306	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	306	18	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	306	19	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	306	20	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	306	21	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	306	22	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	306	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	306	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	306	25	age	age	PROPN
cpos-74	306	26	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	306	27	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	306	28	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	306	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	306	30	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	306	31	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	306	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	306	33	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	306	34	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	306	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	306	36	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	306	37	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	306	38	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	306	39	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	306	40	the	the	DET
cpos-74	306	41	historic	historic	ADJ
cpos-74	306	42	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	306	43	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	306	44	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	306	45	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	306	46	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	306	47	which	which	DET
cpos-74	306	48	point	point	NOUN
cpos-74	306	49	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	306	50	comes	come	VERB
cpos-74	306	51	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	306	52	an	an	DET
cpos-74	306	53	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	306	54	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	307	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	307	4	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	307	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	307	6	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	307	7	produces	produce	VERB
cpos-74	307	8	no	no	DET
cpos-74	307	9	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
cpos-74	307	10	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	307	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	307	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	307	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	307	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	307	15	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	307	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	17	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	307	18	contrary	contrary	ADJ
cpos-74	307	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	307	20	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	307	21	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	307	22	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	307	23	expect	expect	VERB
cpos-74	307	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	307	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	307	26	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	307	27	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	28	feeney	feeney	NOUN
cpos-74	307	29	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	307	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	307	32	contrary	contrary	ADJ
cpos-74	307	33	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	307	34	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	307	35	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	307	36	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	307	37	seen	see	VERB
cpos-74	307	38	happen	happen	VERB
cpos-74	307	39	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	307	40	populations	population	NOUN
cpos-74	307	41	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	307	42	slowing	slow	VERB
cpos-74	307	43	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	307	44	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	307	45	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	307	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	47	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	307	48	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	307	49	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	307	50	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	307	51	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	307	52	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	307	53	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	308	1	accordingly	accordingly	ADV
cpos-74	308	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	308	3	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	308	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	308	5	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	308	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	308	7	implicitly	implicitly	ADV
cpos-74	308	8	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	308	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	308	10	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	308	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	308	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	308	13	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	308	14	2020	2020	NUM
cpos-74	308	15	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	308	16	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	308	17	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	308	18	a	a	DET
cpos-74	308	19	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-74	308	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	308	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	308	22	underlying	underlying	ADJ
cpos-74	308	23	intensity	intensity	NOUN
cpos-74	308	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	308	25	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	308	26	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	308	27	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	308	28	*	*	NUM
cpos-74	308	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	308	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	308	31	nearly	nearly	ADV
cpos-74	308	32	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-74	308	33	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	308	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	309	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	309	2	superfi	superfi	ADJ
cpos-74	309	3	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	309	4	problem	problem	NOUN
cpos-74	309	5	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	309	6	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	309	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	309	8	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	309	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	309	10	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	309	11	happens	happen	VERB
cpos-74	309	12	suddenly	suddenly	ADV
cpos-74	309	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	309	14	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	309	15	seems	seem	VERB
cpos-74	309	16	implausible	implausible	ADJ
cpos-74	309	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	309	18	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	309	19	a	a	DET
cpos-74	309	20	deeper	deep	ADJ
cpos-74	309	21	problem	problem	NOUN
cpos-74	309	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	309	23	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	309	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	309	25	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	309	26	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	309	27	hidden	hide	VERB
cpos-74	309	28	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	309	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	309	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	309	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	310	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	310	2	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	310	3	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	310	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	310	5	disclosed	disclose	VERB
cpos-74	310	6	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	310	7	looking	look	VERB
cpos-74	310	8	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	310	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	310	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	310	11	implied	implied	ADJ
cpos-74	310	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	310	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	310	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	310	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	310	16	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	310	17	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	310	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	310	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	311	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	311	2	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	311	3	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	311	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	311	5	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	311	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	311	7	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	311	8	born	bear	VERB
cpos-74	311	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	311	10	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	311	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	311	12	after	after	ADV
cpos-74	311	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	311	14	all	all	DET
cpos-74	311	15	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	311	16	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	311	17	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	311	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	311	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	311	20	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	311	21	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	311	22	imply	imply	VERB
cpos-74	311	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	311	24	downward	downward	ADJ
cpos-74	311	25	shift	shift	NOUN
cpos-74	311	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	311	27	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	311	28	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	311	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	311	30	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	311	31	0.15	0.15	NUM
cpos-74	311	32	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	311	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	312	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	312	2	contradicts	contradict	VERB
cpos-74	312	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	312	4	argumentation	argumentation	NOUN
cpos-74	312	5	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	312	6	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
cpos-74	312	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	312	8	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	312	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	312	10	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	312	11	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	312	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	312	13	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	312	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	312	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	312	16	sokotka	sokotka	PROPN
cpos-74	312	17	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	312	18	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	312	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	313	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	313	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	313	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	313	4	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	313	5	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	313	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	313	7	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	313	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	313	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	314	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	314	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	314	3	argued	argue	VERB
cpos-74	314	4	there	there	ADV
cpos-74	314	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	314	6	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	314	7	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	314	8	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	314	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	314	10	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	314	11	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	314	12	likely	likely	ADJ
cpos-74	314	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	314	14	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-74	314	15	around	around	ADP
cpos-74	314	16	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	314	17	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	314	18	per	per	ADP
cpos-74	314	19	women	woman	NOUN
cpos-74	314	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	315	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	315	2	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	315	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	315	4	justifi	justifi	NOUN
cpos-74	315	5	cations	cation	NOUN
cpos-74	315	6	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	315	7	provided	provide	VERB
cpos-74	315	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	315	9	this	this	DET
cpos-74	315	10	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	315	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	316	1	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	316	2	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	316	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	316	4	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	316	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	316	6	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	316	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	316	8	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	316	9	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	316	10	bring	bring	VERB
cpos-74	316	11	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	316	12	many	many	ADJ
cpos-74	316	13	arguments	argument	NOUN
cpos-74	316	14	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	316	15	that	that	DET
cpos-74	316	16	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	316	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	316	18	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	316	19	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	316	20	increase	increase	VERB
cpos-74	316	21	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	316	22	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-74	316	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	317	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	317	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	317	3	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	317	4	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	317	5	offi	offi	ADJ
cpos-74	317	6	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	317	7	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	317	8	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	317	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	317	10	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	317	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	317	12	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	317	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	317	14	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	317	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	317	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	317	17	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	317	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	317	19	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	317	20	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	317	21	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	317	22	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	317	23	increase	increase	VERB
cpos-74	317	24	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	317	25	until	until	ADP
cpos-74	317	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	317	27	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	317	28	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	317	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	317	30	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	317	31	remain	remain	VERB
cpos-74	317	32	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	317	33	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	317	34	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	317	35	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	317	36	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	317	37	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	317	38	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	317	39	before	before	SCONJ
cpos-74	317	40	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	317	41	starts	start	VERB
cpos-74	317	42	to	to	PART
cpos-74	317	43	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	317	44	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	317	45	until	until	SCONJ
cpos-74	317	46	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	317	47	reaches	reach	VERB
cpos-74	317	48	a	a	DET
cpos-74	317	49	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	317	50	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	317	51	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	317	52	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	318	1	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-74	318	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	318	3	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-74	318	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	318	5	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	318	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	318	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	318	8	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	318	9	perspective	perspective	PROPN
cpos-74	318	10	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	318	11	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	318	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	318	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	318	14	implicit	implicit	ADJ
cpos-74	318	15	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	318	16	behind	behind	ADP
cpos-74	318	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	318	18	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	318	19	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	318	20	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	318	21	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	318	22	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	318	23	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	318	24	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	318	25	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	318	26	a	a	DET
cpos-74	318	27	substantial	substantial	ADJ
cpos-74	318	28	amount	amount	NOUN
cpos-74	318	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	319	1	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	319	2	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	319	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	319	4	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	319	5	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	319	6	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	319	7	happen	happen	VERB
cpos-74	319	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	319	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	319	10	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	319	11	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	319	12	tfr	tfr	X
cpos-74	319	13	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	319	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	319	15	alternative	alternative	ADJ
cpos-74	319	16	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	319	17	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	319	18	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	319	19	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	319	20	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	319	21	stay	stay	VERB
cpos-74	319	22	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	319	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	319	24	namely	namely	ADV
cpos-74	319	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	319	26	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	319	27	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	319	28	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	319	29	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	319	30	an	an	DET
cpos-74	319	31	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	319	32	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	319	33	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	319	34	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	319	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	319	36	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-74	319	37	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	319	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	320	1	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	320	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	320	3	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	320	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	320	5	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	320	6	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	320	7	discuss	discuss	VERB
cpos-74	320	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	320	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	320	10	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	320	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	320	12	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	320	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	320	14	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	320	15	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	320	16	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	320	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	320	18	suffer	suffer	VERB
cpos-74	320	19	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	320	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	320	21	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	320	22	kind	kind	NOUN
cpos-74	320	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	320	24	inconsistency	inconsistency	NOUN
cpos-74	320	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	321	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	321	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	321	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	321	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	321	5	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	321	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	321	7	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	321	8	slows	slow	VERB
cpos-74	321	9	slightly	slightly	ADV
cpos-74	321	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	321	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	321	12	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-74	321	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	321	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	321	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	321	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	322	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	322	2	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	322	3	some	some	DET
cpos-74	322	4	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	322	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	322	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	322	7	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	322	8	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	322	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	322	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	322	11	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	322	12	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	322	13	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	322	14	this	this	DET
cpos-74	322	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	322	16	implies	imply	VERB
cpos-74	322	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	322	18	slight	slight	ADJ
cpos-74	322	19	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-74	322	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	322	21	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	322	22	a	a	DET
cpos-74	322	23	rise	rise	NOUN
cpos-74	322	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	322	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	322	26	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	322	27	*	*	PROPN
cpos-74	322	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	323	1	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	323	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	323	3	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	323	4	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	323	5	comes	come	VERB
cpos-74	323	6	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	323	7	an	an	DET
cpos-74	323	8	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	323	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	323	10	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	323	11	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	323	12	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	323	13	drops	drop	VERB
cpos-74	323	14	suddenly	suddenly	ADV
cpos-74	323	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	324	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	324	2	swiss	swiss	PROPN
cpos-74	324	3	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	324	4	has	have	VERB
cpos-74	324	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	324	6	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	324	7	issues	issue	NOUN
cpos-74	324	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	324	9	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	324	10	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	324	11	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	324	12	inconsistency	inconsistency	NOUN
cpos-74	324	13	immediately	immediately	ADV
cpos-74	324	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	324	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	324	16	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-74	324	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	324	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	324	19	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	324	20	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	324	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	325	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	325	2	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	325	3	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	325	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	325	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	325	6	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	325	7	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	325	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	325	9	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	325	10	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	325	11	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	325	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	325	13	end	end	VERB
cpos-74	325	14	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	325	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	325	16	beginning	beginning	NOUN
cpos-74	325	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	325	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	325	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	325	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	325	21	so	so	SCONJ
cpos-74	325	22	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	325	23	a	a	DET
cpos-74	325	24	response	response	NOUN
cpos-74	325	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	325	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	325	27	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	325	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	325	29	shall	shall	AUX
cpos-74	325	30	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	325	31	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-74	325	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	325	33	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	325	34	no	no	DET
cpos-74	325	35	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	325	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	325	37	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	325	38	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	325	39	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	325	40	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	325	41	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	326	1	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	326	2	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	326	3	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	326	4	done	do	VERB
cpos-74	326	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	326	6	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	326	7	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	326	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	326	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	326	10	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	326	11	ages	age	NOUN
cpos-74	326	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	326	13	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	326	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	326	15	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	326	16	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	327	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	327	2	minor	minor	ADJ
cpos-74	327	3	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	327	4	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	327	5	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	327	6	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	327	7	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	327	8	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	327	9	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	327	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	327	11	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	327	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	327	13	gradual	gradual	ADJ
cpos-74	327	14	slowing	slowing	NOUN
cpos-74	327	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	327	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	327	17	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	327	18	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	327	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	327	20	childbearing	childbearing	NOUN
cpos-74	327	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	328	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	328	2	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	328	3	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	328	4	least	least	ADJ
cpos-74	328	5	prevent	prevent	VERB
cpos-74	328	6	sudden	sudden	ADJ
cpos-74	328	7	jumps	jump	NOUN
cpos-74	328	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	328	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	328	10	implied	imply	VERB
cpos-74	328	11	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	328	12	*	*	PROPN
cpos-74	328	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	329	1	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	329	2	a	a	DET
cpos-74	329	3	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	329	4	important	important	ADJ
cpos-74	329	5	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	329	6	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	329	7	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	329	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	329	9	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	329	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	329	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	329	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	329	13	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	329	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	329	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	329	16	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-74	329	17	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	329	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	329	19	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	329	20	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	329	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	329	22	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	329	23	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	329	24	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-74	329	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	329	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	329	27	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	329	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	329	29	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	329	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	329	31	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	329	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	330	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	330	2	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	330	3	opinion	opinion	NOUN
cpos-74	330	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	330	5	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	330	6	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	330	7	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	330	8	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	330	9	advantages	advantage	NOUN
cpos-74	330	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	331	1	first	first	ADV
cpos-74	331	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	331	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	331	4	most	most	ADV
cpos-74	331	5	importantly	importantly	ADV
cpos-74	331	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	331	7	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	331	8	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	331	9	encourage	encourage	VERB
cpos-74	331	10	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	331	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	331	12	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	331	13	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	331	14	explicit	explicit	ADJ
cpos-74	331	15	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	331	16	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	331	17	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	331	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	332	2	all	all	DET
cpos-74	332	3	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	332	4	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	332	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	6	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	332	7	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	332	8	become	become	VERB
cpos-74	332	9	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	332	10	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	332	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	332	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	332	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	332	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	332	15	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	332	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	17	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	332	18	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	332	19	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	332	20	681	681	NUM
cpos-74	332	21	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	332	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	332	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	332	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	332	25	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	332	26	a	a	DET
cpos-74	332	27	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	332	28	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	29	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	332	30	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-74	332	31	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	332	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	332	33	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	332	34	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	35	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	332	36	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	332	37	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	332	38	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	332	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	40	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	332	41	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	332	42	this	this	DET
cpos-74	332	43	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	332	44	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	332	45	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	332	46	thought	think	VERB
cpos-74	332	47	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	332	48	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	332	49	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
cpos-74	332	50	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	332	51	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	332	52	a	a	DET
cpos-74	332	53	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	332	54	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	332	55	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	332	56	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-74	332	57	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	332	58	the	the	DET
cpos-74	332	59	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	332	60	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	332	61	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	332	62	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	333	1	second	second	ADJ
cpos-74	333	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	333	3	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	333	4	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	333	5	simplify	simplify	VERB
cpos-74	333	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	333	7	argumentation	argumentation	NOUN
cpos-74	333	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	333	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	333	10	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	333	11	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	333	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	333	13	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	333	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	333	15	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	333	16	diverges	diverge	VERB
cpos-74	333	17	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	333	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	333	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	333	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	334	1	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	334	2	course	course	NOUN
cpos-74	334	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	334	4	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	334	5	want	want	VERB
cpos-74	334	6	to	to	PART
cpos-74	334	7	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	334	8	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-74	334	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	334	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	334	11	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	334	12	prediction	prediction	NOUN
cpos-74	334	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	334	14	inevitably	inevitably	ADV
cpos-74	334	15	a	a	DET
cpos-74	334	16	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	334	17	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	334	18	task	task	NOUN
cpos-74	334	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	334	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	334	21	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	334	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	334	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	334	24	majority	majority	NOUN
cpos-74	334	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	334	26	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	334	27	not	not	PART
cpos-74	334	28	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	334	29	exactly	exactly	ADV
cpos-74	334	30	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-74	334	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	335	1	explicit	explicit	ADJ
cpos-74	335	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	335	3	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	335	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	335	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	335	6	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	335	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	335	8	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	335	9	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	335	10	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	335	11	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-74	335	12	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	335	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	335	14	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	335	15	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	335	16	went	go	VERB
cpos-74	335	17	wrong	wrong	ADJ
cpos-74	335	18	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	335	19	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	335	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	335	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	335	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	335	23	to	to	PART
cpos-74	335	24	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	335	25	adjustments	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	335	26	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	335	27	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
cpos-74	335	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	336	1	finally	finally	ADV
cpos-74	336	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	336	3	an	an	DET
cpos-74	336	4	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	336	5	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	336	6	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	336	7	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	336	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	336	9	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	336	10	*	*	VERB
cpos-74	336	11	over	over	ADP
cpos-74	336	12	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	336	13	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	336	14	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	336	15	easier	easy	ADJ
cpos-74	336	16	to	to	PART
cpos-74	336	17	update	update	VERB
cpos-74	336	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	337	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	337	2	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	337	3	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	337	4	changes	change	VERB
cpos-74	337	5	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	337	6	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	337	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	337	8	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	337	9	another	another	PRON
cpos-74	337	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	337	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	337	12	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	337	13	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	337	14	results	result	NOUN
cpos-74	337	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	337	16	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	337	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	337	18	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-74	337	19	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	337	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	337	21	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	337	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	337	23	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	337	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	337	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	338	1	aiming	aim	VERB
cpos-74	338	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	338	3	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	338	4	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	338	5	*	*	VERB
cpos-74	338	6	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	338	7	alfig	alfig	VERB
cpos-74	338	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	1	5	5	NUM
cpos-74	339	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	3	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	339	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	339	5	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	339	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	7	ctfr	ctfr	PROPN
cpos-74	339	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	339	10	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	339	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	12	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	339	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	339	14	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	339	15	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	339	16	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	339	17	born	bear	VERB
cpos-74	339	18	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	339	19	1955	1955	NUM
cpos-74	339	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	339	21	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	339	22	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	339	23	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	339	24	values	value	NOUN
cpos-74	339	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	339	26	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	339	27	according	accord	VERB
cpos-74	339	28	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	339	29	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	339	30	implied	imply	VERB
cpos-74	339	31	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	339	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	339	33	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	339	34	variants	variant	NOUN
cpos-74	339	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	339	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	339	37	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	339	38	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	339	39	*	*	NOUN
cpos-74	339	40	1.3	1.3	NUM
cpos-74	339	41	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	339	42	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	339	43	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	339	44	1.7	1.7	NUM
cpos-74	339	45	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	339	46	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	47	55	55	NUM
cpos-74	339	48	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	49	60	60	NUM
cpos-74	339	50	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	51	65	65	NUM
cpos-74	339	52	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	53	70	70	NUM
cpos-74	339	54	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	55	75	75	NUM
cpos-74	339	56	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	57	80	80	NUM
cpos-74	339	58	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	59	85	85	NUM
cpos-74	339	60	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	61	90	90	NUM
cpos-74	339	62	19	19	NUM
cpos-74	339	63	95	95	NUM
cpos-74	339	64	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	65	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	339	66	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	67	05	05	NUM
cpos-74	339	68	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	69	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	339	70	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	71	00	00	NUM
cpos-74	339	72	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	73	05	05	NUM
cpos-74	339	74	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	339	75	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	339	76	ctfr	ctfr	PROPN
cpos-74	339	77	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	339	78	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	339	79	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	340	1	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	340	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	340	3	dotted	dotted	ADJ
cpos-74	340	4	line	line	NOUN
cpos-74	340	5	indicates	indicate	VERB
cpos-74	340	6	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	340	7	more	more	ADJ
cpos-74	340	8	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	340	9	about	about	ADV
cpos-74	340	10	20	20	NUM
cpos-74	340	11	%	%	NOUN
cpos-74	340	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	340	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	340	14	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	340	15	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	340	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	340	17	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	340	18	made	make	VERB
cpos-74	340	19	up	up	ADP
cpos-74	340	20	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	340	21	projected	project	VERB
cpos-74	340	22	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	340	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	1	source	source	NOUN
cpos-74	341	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	3	own	own	ADJ
cpos-74	341	4	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-74	341	5	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	341	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	341	7	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	341	8	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	341	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	341	10	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	341	11	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	341	12	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	341	13	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	341	14	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	341	15	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	341	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	17	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	341	18	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	341	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	20	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	341	21	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	341	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	23	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	341	24	prskawetz682	prskawetz682	PROPN
cpos-74	341	25	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	341	26	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	341	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	28	faced	face	VERB
cpos-74	341	29	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	341	30	a	a	DET
cpos-74	341	31	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	341	32	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	33	driven	drive	VERB
cpos-74	341	34	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	341	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	341	36	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	341	37	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	341	38	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	341	39	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	40	to	to	PART
cpos-74	341	41	change	change	VERB
cpos-74	341	42	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	341	43	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	341	44	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	45	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	341	46	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	341	47	without	without	ADP
cpos-74	341	48	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
cpos-74	341	49	changing	change	VERB
cpos-74	341	50	the	the	DET
cpos-74	341	51	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	341	52	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	341	53	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	341	54	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	341	55	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	342	1	5.2	5.2	NUM
cpos-74	342	2	illustrative	illustrative	ADJ
cpos-74	342	3	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	342	4	to	to	PART
cpos-74	342	5	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	342	6	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	342	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	342	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	342	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	342	10	following	following	NOUN
cpos-74	342	11	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	342	12	aim	aim	VERB
cpos-74	342	13	to	to	PART
cpos-74	342	14	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	342	15	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	342	16	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	342	17	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	342	18	include	include	VERB
cpos-74	342	19	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	342	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	342	21	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	342	22	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	342	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	342	24	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	342	25	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	342	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	343	1	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	343	2	an	an	DET
cpos-74	343	3	illustration	illustration	NOUN
cpos-74	343	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	343	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	343	6	present	present	VERB
cpos-74	343	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	343	8	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	343	9	application	application	NOUN
cpos-74	343	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	343	11	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	343	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	343	13	shown	show	VERB
cpos-74	343	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	343	15	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	343	16	6	6	NUM
cpos-74	343	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	344	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	344	2	illustration	illustration	NOUN
cpos-74	344	3	shows	show	VERB
cpos-74	344	4	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	344	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	344	6	combination	combination	NOUN
cpos-74	344	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	344	8	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	344	9	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	344	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	344	11	mean	mean	ADJ
cpos-74	344	12	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	344	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	344	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	344	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	344	16	underlying	underlie	VERB
cpos-74	344	17	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	344	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	344	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	344	20	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	344	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	344	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	344	23	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	344	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	345	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	345	2	all	all	DET
cpos-74	345	3	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	345	4	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	345	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	345	6	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	345	7	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	345	8	complete	complete	ADJ
cpos-74	345	9	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	345	10	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	345	11	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	345	12	comes	come	VERB
cpos-74	345	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	345	14	an	an	DET
cpos-74	345	15	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	345	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	346	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	346	2	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	346	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	346	4	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	346	5	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	346	6	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	346	7	simplifi	simplifi	NOUN
cpos-74	346	8	ed	ed	NOUN
cpos-74	346	9	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	346	10	this	this	DET
cpos-74	346	11	application	application	NOUN
cpos-74	346	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	346	13	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	346	14	to	to	PART
cpos-74	346	15	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	346	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	346	17	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	346	18	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	346	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	347	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	347	2	terms	term	NOUN
cpos-74	347	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	347	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	347	5	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	347	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	347	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	347	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	347	9	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	347	10	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	347	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	347	12	this	this	DET
cpos-74	347	13	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	347	14	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	347	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	347	16	all	all	DET
cpos-74	347	17	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	347	18	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	347	19	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	347	20	come	come	VERB
cpos-74	347	21	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	347	22	an	an	DET
cpos-74	347	23	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	347	24	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	347	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	347	26	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	347	27	date	date	NOUN
cpos-74	347	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	347	29	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	347	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	348	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
cpos-74	348	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	348	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	348	4	all	all	DET
cpos-74	348	5	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	348	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	348	7	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	348	8	continues	continue	VERB
cpos-74	348	9	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	348	10	its	its	PRON
cpos-74	348	11	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	348	12	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	348	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	348	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	348	15	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	348	16	rst	rst	PROPN
cpos-74	348	17	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	348	18	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	348	19	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	348	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	348	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	348	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	349	2	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	349	3	done	do	VERB
cpos-74	349	4	so	so	SCONJ
cpos-74	349	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	349	6	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	349	7	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	349	8	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	349	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	349	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	349	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	349	12	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	349	13	not	not	PART
cpos-74	349	14	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	349	15	an	an	DET
cpos-74	349	16	immediate	immediate	ADJ
cpos-74	349	17	slow	slow	NOUN
cpos-74	349	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	19	down	down	NOUN
cpos-74	349	20	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	349	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	349	22	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	349	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	24	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	349	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	26	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	349	27	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	349	28	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	349	29	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	349	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	349	31	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	32	near	near	ADJ
cpos-74	349	33	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	349	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	349	35	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	350	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	350	2	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	350	3	linear	linear	PROPN
cpos-74	350	4	interpolation	interpolation	NOUN
cpos-74	350	5	to	to	PART
cpos-74	350	6	connect	connect	VERB
cpos-74	350	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	350	8	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	350	9	pace	pace	NOUN
cpos-74	350	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	350	11	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	350	12	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	350	13	a	a	DET
cpos-74	350	14	zero	zero	NUM
cpos-74	350	15	pace	pace	NOUN
cpos-74	350	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	350	17	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	350	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	351	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	351	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
cpos-74	351	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	351	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	351	5	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	351	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	351	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	351	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	351	9	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	351	10	*	*	PUNCT
cpos-74	351	11	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	351	12	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	351	13	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	351	14	to	to	PART
cpos-74	351	15	differ	differ	VERB
cpos-74	351	16	across	across	ADP
cpos-74	351	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	351	18	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	351	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	352	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	352	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	352	3	main	main	ADJ
cpos-74	352	4	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	352	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	352	6	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	352	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	352	8	kept	keep	VERB
cpos-74	352	9	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	352	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	352	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	352	12	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	352	13	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	352	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	352	15	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	352	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	353	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	353	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	353	3	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	353	4	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	353	5	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	353	6	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	353	7	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	353	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	353	9	fall	fall	VERB
cpos-74	353	10	linearly	linearly	ADV
cpos-74	353	11	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	353	12	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	353	13	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	353	14	a	a	DET
cpos-74	353	15	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	353	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	353	17	1.4	1.4	NUM
cpos-74	353	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	353	19	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	353	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	354	1	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	354	2	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	354	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	354	4	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	354	5	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	354	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	354	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	354	8	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	354	9	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	354	10	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	354	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	354	12	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	354	13	linearly	linearly	ADV
cpos-74	354	14	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	354	15	1.8	1.8	NUM
cpos-74	354	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	354	17	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	354	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	355	1	these	these	DET
cpos-74	355	2	differences	difference	NOUN
cpos-74	355	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	355	4	0.2	0.2	NUM
cpos-74	355	5	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	355	6	between	between	ADP
cpos-74	355	7	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
cpos-74	355	8	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	355	9	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	355	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	355	11	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	355	12	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	355	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	355	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	355	15	latest	late	ADJ
cpos-74	355	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	355	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	355	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	355	19	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	355	20	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	355	21	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	355	22	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	355	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	355	24	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	355	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	355	26	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	355	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	355	28	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	355	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	355	30	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	355	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	355	32	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	355	33	higher	high	ADJ
cpos-74	355	34	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	355	35	this	this	DET
cpos-74	355	36	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	355	37	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	355	38	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	355	39	the	the	DET
cpos-74	355	40	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-74	355	41	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	355	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	356	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	356	2	note	note	VERB
cpos-74	356	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	356	4	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	356	5	real	real	ADJ
cpos-74	356	6	applications	application	NOUN
cpos-74	356	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	356	8	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	356	9	might	might	AUX
cpos-74	356	10	want	want	VERB
cpos-74	356	11	to	to	PART
cpos-74	356	12	add	add	VERB
cpos-74	356	13	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	356	14	complexity	complexity	NOUN
cpos-74	356	15	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	356	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	356	17	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	356	18	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	356	19	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	356	20	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-74	356	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	356	22	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	356	23	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	356	24	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	356	25	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	356	26	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	356	27	across	across	ADP
cpos-74	356	28	scenarios	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	356	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	357	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	357	2	important	important	ADJ
cpos-74	357	3	features	feature	NOUN
cpos-74	357	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	357	5	using	use	VERB
cpos-74	357	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	357	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	357	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	357	9	quantum	quantum	ADJ
cpos-74	357	10	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	357	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	357	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	357	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	357	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	357	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	357	16	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	357	17	has	have	VERB
cpos-74	357	18	to	to	PART
cpos-74	357	19	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	357	20	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	357	21	explicit	explicit	ADJ
cpos-74	357	22	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	357	23	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	357	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	357	25	quantum	quantum	ADJ
cpos-74	357	26	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	357	27	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	357	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	358	1	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	358	2	sees	see	VERB
cpos-74	358	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	358	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	358	5	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	358	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	358	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	358	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	9	panel	panel	NOUN
cpos-74	358	10	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	358	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	12	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	358	13	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	358	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	358	15	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	358	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	358	18	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	358	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	358	20	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	358	21	slightly	slightly	ADV
cpos-74	358	22	increasing	increase	VERB
cpos-74	358	23	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	358	24	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	358	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	26	slow	slow	NOUN
cpos-74	358	27	down	down	ADP
cpos-74	358	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	358	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	30	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	358	31	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	358	32	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	358	33	exceeds	exceed	VERB
cpos-74	358	34	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	35	impact	impact	NOUN
cpos-74	358	36	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	358	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	38	predicted	predict	VERB
cpos-74	358	39	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	358	40	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	358	41	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	42	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	358	43	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	358	44	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	358	45	after	after	ADP
cpos-74	358	46	a	a	DET
cpos-74	358	47	few	few	ADJ
cpos-74	358	48	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	358	49	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	358	50	the	the	DET
cpos-74	358	51	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	358	52	horizon	horizon	NOUN
cpos-74	358	53	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	359	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	359	2	consistency	consistency	NOUN
cpos-74	359	3	imposed	impose	VERB
cpos-74	359	4	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	359	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	359	6	tempo	tempo	PROPN
cpos-74	359	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	359	8	quantum	quantum	ADJ
cpos-74	359	9	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	359	10	makes	make	VERB
cpos-74	359	11	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	359	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	359	13	transparent	transparent	ADJ
cpos-74	359	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	360	1	5.3	5.3	NUM
cpos-74	360	2	testing	test	VERB
cpos-74	360	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	360	4	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-74	360	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	360	6	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	360	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	360	8	although	although	SCONJ
cpos-74	360	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	360	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	360	11	taking	take	VERB
cpos-74	360	12	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	360	13	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	360	14	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	360	15	account	account	NOUN
cpos-74	360	16	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	360	17	some	some	DET
cpos-74	360	18	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
cpos-74	360	19	appeal	appeal	NOUN
cpos-74	360	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	360	21	demographers	demographer	NOUN
cpos-74	360	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	360	23	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	360	24	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	360	25	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	360	26	course	course	NOUN
cpos-74	360	27	fair	fair	ADJ
cpos-74	360	28	to	to	PART
cpos-74	360	29	ask	ask	VERB
cpos-74	360	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	360	31	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	360	32	practical	practical	ADJ
cpos-74	360	33	question	question	NOUN
cpos-74	360	34	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	360	35	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-74	360	36	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	360	37	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	360	38	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-74	360	39	the	the	DET
cpos-74	360	40	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-74	360	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	360	42	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	360	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	361	1	before	before	ADP
cpos-74	361	2	presenting	present	VERB
cpos-74	361	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	361	4	historical	historical	ADJ
cpos-74	361	5	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	361	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	361	7	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	361	8	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	361	9	emphasise	emphasise	VERB
cpos-74	361	10	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	361	11	many	many	ADJ
cpos-74	361	12	others	other	NOUN
cpos-74	361	13	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	361	14	already	already	ADV
cpos-74	361	15	said	say	VERB
cpos-74	361	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	362	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	362	2	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	362	3	ups	up	NOUN
cpos-74	362	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	362	5	downs	down	NOUN
cpos-74	362	6	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	362	7	not	not	PART
cpos-74	362	8	ever	ever	ADV
cpos-74	362	9	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	362	10	successfully	successfully	ADV
cpos-74	362	11	forecasted	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	362	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	362	13	so	so	SCONJ
cpos-74	362	14	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	362	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	362	16	best	good	ADJ
cpos-74	362	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	362	18	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	362	19	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	362	20	not	not	PART
cpos-74	362	21	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	362	22	expected	expect	VERB
cpos-74	362	23	to	to	PART
cpos-74	362	24	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	362	25	completely	completely	ADV
cpos-74	362	26	accurate	accurate	ADJ
cpos-74	362	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	363	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	363	2	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
cpos-74	363	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	363	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	363	5	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	363	6	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	363	7	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	363	8	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	363	9	components	component	NOUN
cpos-74	363	10	allows	allow	VERB
cpos-74	363	11	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	363	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	363	13	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	363	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	363	15	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	363	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	363	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	363	18	late	late	ADJ
cpos-74	363	19	1960s	1960	NOUN
cpos-74	363	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	363	21	1970s	1970	NOUN
cpos-74	363	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	363	23	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	363	24	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	363	25	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	363	26	wrong	wrong	ADJ
cpos-74	363	27	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	363	28	one	one	PRON
cpos-74	363	29	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	363	30	not	not	PART
cpos-74	363	31	foresee	foresee	VERB
cpos-74	363	32	a	a	DET
cpos-74	363	33	quantum	quantum	ADJ
cpos-74	363	34	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	363	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	363	36	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	363	37	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	363	38	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	363	39	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	363	40	the	the	DET
cpos-74	363	41	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	363	42	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	363	43	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	363	44	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	363	45	•	•	ADV
cpos-74	363	46	683	683	NUM
cpos-74	363	47	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	363	48	g	g	NOUN
cpos-74	363	49	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	364	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-74	364	2	:	:	SYM
cpos-74	364	3	m	m	AUX
cpos-74	364	4	ea	ea	ADP
cpos-74	364	5	n	n	CCONJ
cpos-74	364	6	ag	ag	PROPN
cpos-74	364	7	e	e	PROPN
cpos-74	364	8	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	364	9	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	364	10	hi	hi	INTJ
cpos-74	364	11	ld	ld	PROPN
cpos-74	364	12	b	b	PROPN
cpos-74	364	13	ea	ea	ADP
cpos-74	364	14	ri	ri	PROPN
cpos-74	364	15	ng	ng	PROPN
cpos-74	364	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	364	17	t	t	PROPN
cpos-74	364	18	fr	fr	PROPN
cpos-74	365	1	a	a	DET
cpos-74	365	2	nd	nd	NOUN
cpos-74	365	3	t	t	NOUN
cpos-74	365	4	em	em	PRON
cpos-74	365	5	p	p	X
cpos-74	365	6	o	o	X
cpos-74	365	7	-a	-a	PROPN
cpos-74	365	8	d	d	PROPN
cpos-74	365	9	ju	ju	PROPN
cpos-74	365	10	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	366	1	ed	ed	PROPN
cpos-74	366	2	t	t	PROPN
cpos-74	367	1	fr	fr	INTJ
cpos-74	368	1	fo	fo	INTJ
cpos-74	368	2	r	r	NOUN
cpos-74	368	3	g	g	PROPN
cpos-74	368	4	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	368	5	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	368	6	an	an	DET
cpos-74	368	7	y	y	NOUN
cpos-74	369	1	fr	fr	INTJ
cpos-74	370	1	o	o	NOUN
cpos-74	370	2	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	370	3	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	370	4	99	99	NUM
cpos-74	370	5	0	0	NUM
cpos-74	370	6	o	o	PROPN
cpos-74	370	7	nw	nw	PROPN
cpos-74	370	8	ar	ar	PROPN
cpos-74	371	1	d	d	PROPN
cpos-74	371	2	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	371	3	w	w	NOUN
cpos-74	371	4	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	371	5	h	h	NOUN
cpos-74	372	1	an	an	PRON
cpos-74	372	2	il	il	PROPN
cpos-74	372	3	lu	lu	PROPN
cpos-74	372	4	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	373	1	ra	ra	PROPN
cpos-74	373	2	tiv	tiv	PROPN
cpos-74	373	3	e	e	PROPN
cpos-74	373	4	fo	fo	ADP
cpos-74	373	5	re	re	VERB
cpos-74	373	6	ca	can	AUX
cpos-74	373	7	st	st	PROPN
cpos-74	374	1	fo	fo	ADP
cpos-74	374	2	r	r	NOUN
cpos-74	374	3	d	d	NOUN
cpos-74	374	4	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	374	5	fe	fe	X
cpos-74	374	6	re	re	X
cpos-74	374	7	n	n	PROPN
cpos-74	374	8	t	t	PROPN
cpos-74	374	9	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	374	10	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	374	11	na	na	X
cpos-74	374	12	ri	ri	PROPN
cpos-74	375	1	o	o	NOUN
cpos-74	375	2	s	s	X
cpos-74	375	3	s	s	X
cpos-74	375	4	o	o	X
cpos-74	375	5	ur	ur	INTJ
cpos-74	375	6	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	375	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	376	1	o	o	X
cpos-74	376	2	w	w	NOUN
cpos-74	376	3	n	n	VERB
cpos-74	376	4	ca	can	AUX
cpos-74	376	5	lc	lc	PROPN
cpos-74	376	6	ul	ul	INTJ
cpos-74	376	7	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	376	8	io	io	PROPN
cpos-74	376	9	n	n	ADP
cpos-74	376	10	b	b	PROPN
cpos-74	376	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	376	12	ed	ed	PROPN
cpos-74	376	13	o	o	PROPN
cpos-74	376	14	n	n	ADP
cpos-74	376	15	d	d	NOUN
cpos-74	376	16	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	376	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	376	18	fe	fe	X
cpos-74	376	19	d	d	X
cpos-74	376	20	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	376	21	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	376	22	s	s	PROPN
cpos-74	376	23	ta	ta	ADP
cpos-74	376	24	tis	tis	PROPN
cpos-74	376	25	tic	tic	ADJ
cpos-74	376	26	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	376	27	o	o	PROPN
cpos-74	377	1	ffi	ffi	PROPN
cpos-74	377	2	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	377	3	g	g	PROPN
cpos-74	377	4	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	377	5	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	377	6	an	an	DET
cpos-74	377	7	y	y	NOUN
cpos-74	377	8	m	m	VERB
cpos-74	377	9	ai	ai	VERB
cpos-74	377	10	n	n	ADV
cpos-74	377	11	h	h	NOUN
cpos-74	378	1	ig	ig	INTJ
cpos-74	378	2	h	h	NOUN
cpos-74	379	1	lo	lo	PROPN
cpos-74	379	2	w	w	PROPN
cpos-74	379	3	•	•	PROPN
cpos-74	379	4	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	379	5	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	379	6	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	379	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	379	8	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	379	9	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	379	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	379	11	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	379	12	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	379	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	379	14	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	379	15	prskawetz684	prskawetz684	PROPN
cpos-74	380	1	whether	whether	SCONJ
cpos-74	380	2	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	380	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	380	4	wrong	wrong	ADJ
cpos-74	380	5	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	380	6	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	380	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	380	8	1990s	1990	NOUN
cpos-74	380	9	one	one	NUM
cpos-74	380	10	did	do	AUX
cpos-74	380	11	not	not	PART
cpos-74	380	12	accurately	accurately	ADV
cpos-74	380	13	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	380	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	380	15	continuation	continuation	NOUN
cpos-74	380	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	380	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	380	18	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	380	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	381	2	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	381	3	to	to	PART
cpos-74	381	4	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
cpos-74	381	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	381	6	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
cpos-74	381	7	a	a	DET
cpos-74	381	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	381	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	381	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	381	11	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	381	12	takes	take	VERB
cpos-74	381	13	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	381	14	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	381	15	account	account	NOUN
cpos-74	381	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	17	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	381	18	compared	compare	VERB
cpos-74	381	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	381	20	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	21	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	381	22	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	381	23	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	381	25	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	381	26	constituted	constitute	VERB
cpos-74	381	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	381	28	vast	vast	ADJ
cpos-74	381	29	majority	majority	NOUN
cpos-74	381	30	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	381	31	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	381	32	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	381	33	against	against	ADP
cpos-74	381	34	a	a	DET
cpos-74	381	35	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	36	gradual	gradual	ADJ
cpos-74	381	37	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	381	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	381	39	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	381	40	effect	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	381	41	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	381	42	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	381	43	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	381	44	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	381	45	7	7	NUM
cpos-74	381	46	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	382	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	382	2	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	382	3	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	382	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	382	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	382	6	netherlands	netherlands	PROPN
cpos-74	382	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	382	8	a	a	DET
cpos-74	382	9	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	382	10	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	382	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	382	12	some	some	DET
cpos-74	382	13	ways	way	NOUN
cpos-74	382	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	382	15	further	far	ADV
cpos-74	382	16	along	along	ADP
cpos-74	382	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	382	18	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	382	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	382	20	transition	transition	NOUN
cpos-74	382	21	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	382	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	382	23	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	382	24	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	382	25	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	382	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	382	27	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	382	28	a	a	DET
cpos-74	382	29	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	382	30	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	382	31	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	382	32	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	382	33	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	382	34	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	382	35	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	382	36	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	382	37	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	382	38	available	available	ADJ
cpos-74	382	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	383	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	383	2	figure	figure	NOUN
cpos-74	383	3	7	7	NUM
cpos-74	383	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	383	5	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	383	6	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	383	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	383	8	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	383	9	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	383	10	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	383	11	black	black	ADJ
cpos-74	383	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	383	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	383	14	estimated	estimate	VERB
cpos-74	383	15	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	383	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	383	17	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	383	18	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	383	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	383	20	grey	grey	ADJ
cpos-74	383	21	dots	dot	NOUN
cpos-74	383	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	384	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	384	2	then	then	ADV
cpos-74	384	3	show	show	VERB
cpos-74	384	4	simulated	simulate	VERB
cpos-74	384	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	384	6	using	use	VERB
cpos-74	384	7	the	the	DET
cpos-74	384	8	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	384	9	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	384	10	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	384	11	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	384	12	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	384	13	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	384	14	gradual	gradual	ADJ
cpos-74	384	15	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	384	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	384	17	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	384	18	effect”.21	effect”.21	PROPN
cpos-74	384	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	384	20	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	384	21	rst	rst	ADJ
cpos-74	384	22	message	message	NOUN
cpos-74	384	23	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	384	24	applies	apply	VERB
cpos-74	384	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	384	26	both	both	DET
cpos-74	384	27	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	384	28	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	384	29	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	384	30	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	384	31	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	384	32	easy	easy	ADJ
cpos-74	384	33	to	to	PART
cpos-74	384	34	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	384	35	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	384	36	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	384	37	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	384	38	remains	remain	VERB
cpos-74	384	39	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	384	40	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	384	41	hard	hard	ADJ
cpos-74	384	42	to	to	PART
cpos-74	384	43	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	384	44	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	384	45	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	384	46	changes	change	VERB
cpos-74	384	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	385	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	385	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	385	3	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	385	4	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	385	5	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	385	6	an	an	DET
cpos-74	385	7	important	important	ADJ
cpos-74	385	8	second	second	ADJ
cpos-74	385	9	message	message	NOUN
cpos-74	385	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	385	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	385	12	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	385	13	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	385	14	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	385	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	385	16	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	385	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	385	18	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	385	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	385	20	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	385	21	tends	tend	VERB
cpos-74	385	22	to	to	PART
cpos-74	385	23	point	point	VERB
cpos-74	385	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	385	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	385	26	right	right	ADJ
cpos-74	385	27	direction	direction	NOUN
cpos-74	385	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	386	1	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	386	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	386	3	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	386	4	boom	boom	NOUN
cpos-74	386	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	386	6	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	386	7	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	386	8	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	386	9	tended	tend	VERB
cpos-74	386	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	386	11	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	386	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	386	13	21	21	NUM
cpos-74	386	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	386	15	reader	reader	NOUN
cpos-74	386	16	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	386	17	keep	keep	VERB
cpos-74	386	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	386	19	mind	mind	NOUN
cpos-74	386	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	386	21	neither	neither	PRON
cpos-74	386	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	386	23	these	these	PRON
cpos-74	386	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	386	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	386	26	actual	actual	ADJ
cpos-74	386	27	offi	offi	ADP
cpos-74	386	28	cial	cial	ADJ
cpos-74	386	29	dutch	dutch	PROPN
cpos-74	386	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	386	31	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	387	1	fig	fig	NOUN
cpos-74	387	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	1	7	7	NUM
cpos-74	388	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	3	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-74	388	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	388	5	a	a	DET
cpos-74	388	6	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	7	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	388	8	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	388	9	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	388	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	388	12	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	13	gradual	gradual	ADJ
cpos-74	388	14	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	388	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	388	16	tempoeffect	tempoeffect	ADJ
cpos-74	388	17	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	388	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	388	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	21	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	388	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	388	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	24	netherlands	netherlands	PROPN
cpos-74	388	25	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	388	26	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	388	27	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	388	28	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	388	29	source	source	NOUN
cpos-74	388	30	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	31	own	own	ADJ
cpos-74	388	32	calculation	calculation	NOUN
cpos-74	388	33	based	base	VERB
cpos-74	388	34	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	388	35	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	388	36	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	388	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	38	human	human	ADJ
cpos-74	388	39	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	388	40	database	database	NOUN
cpos-74	388	41	1.0	1.0	NUM
cpos-74	388	42	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	388	43	2.0	2.0	NUM
cpos-74	388	44	2.5	2.5	NUM
cpos-74	388	45	3.0	3.0	NUM
cpos-74	388	46	3.5	3.5	NUM
cpos-74	388	47	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	388	48	1960	1960	NUM
cpos-74	388	49	1970	1970	NUM
cpos-74	388	50	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	388	51	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	388	52	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	388	53	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	388	54	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	388	55	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	388	56	*	*	PROPN
cpos-74	388	57	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	388	58	projection	projection	PROPN
cpos-74	388	59	tempo	tempo	PROPN
cpos-74	388	60	projection	projection	PROPN
cpos-74	388	61	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	388	62	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	388	63	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	388	64	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	388	65	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	66	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	388	67	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	68	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	388	69	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	388	70	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	388	71	685	685	NUM
cpos-74	388	72	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	388	73	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	388	74	eventually	eventually	ADV
cpos-74	388	75	decline	decline	VERB
cpos-74	388	76	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	77	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	388	78	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	388	79	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	80	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	388	81	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	388	82	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	388	83	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	84	1980s	1980	NOUN
cpos-74	388	85	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	388	86	1990s	1990s	NUM
cpos-74	388	87	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	88	the	the	DET
cpos-74	388	89	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	388	90	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	388	91	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	388	92	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	388	93	tended	tend	VERB
cpos-74	388	94	to	to	PART
cpos-74	388	95	predict	predict	VERB
cpos-74	388	96	an	an	DET
cpos-74	388	97	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	388	98	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	389	1	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	389	2	are	be	VERB
cpos-74	389	3	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	389	4	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	389	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	389	6	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	389	7	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	389	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	389	9	does	do	AUX
cpos-74	389	10	remarkably	remarkably	ADV
cpos-74	389	11	better	well	ADV
cpos-74	389	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	389	13	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	389	14	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	389	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	389	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	389	17	mid-1990s	mid-1990	NOUN
cpos-74	389	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	389	19	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	389	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	389	21	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	389	22	ten	ten	NUM
cpos-74	389	23	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	389	24	later	later	ADV
cpos-74	389	25	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	389	26	nearly	nearly	ADV
cpos-74	389	27	matched	match	VERB
cpos-74	389	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	390	1	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	390	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	390	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	390	4	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	390	5	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	390	6	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	390	7	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	390	8	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	390	9	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	390	10	several	several	ADJ
cpos-74	390	11	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	390	12	earlier	early	ADV
cpos-74	390	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	390	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	390	15	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	390	16	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	390	17	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	390	18	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	390	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	390	20	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	390	21	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	390	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	390	23	overshoots	overshoot	NOUN
cpos-74	390	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	390	25	these	these	DET
cpos-74	390	26	earlier	early	ADJ
cpos-74	390	27	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-74	390	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	391	1	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	391	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	391	3	11	11	NUM
cpos-74	391	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	391	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	391	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	391	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	391	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	391	9	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	391	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	391	11	clearly	clearly	ADV
cpos-74	391	12	does	do	VERB
cpos-74	391	13	better	well	ADV
cpos-74	391	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	391	15	six	six	NUM
cpos-74	391	16	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	391	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	391	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	391	19	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	391	20	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	391	21	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	391	22	does	do	VERB
cpos-74	391	23	better	well	ADV
cpos-74	391	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	391	25	two	two	NUM
cpos-74	391	26	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	391	27	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	391	28	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	391	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	391	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	391	31	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	391	32	essentially	essentially	ADV
cpos-74	391	33	the	the	DET
cpos-74	391	34	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	391	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	391	36	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	391	37	cases	case	NOUN
cpos-74	391	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	392	1	again	again	ADV
cpos-74	392	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	392	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	392	4	offer	offer	VERB
cpos-74	392	5	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	392	6	not	not	PART
cpos-74	392	7	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	392	8	proof	proof	NOUN
cpos-74	392	9	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	392	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	392	11	superiority	superiority	NOUN
cpos-74	392	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	392	13	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	392	14	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	392	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	392	16	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	392	17	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	392	18	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	392	19	an	an	DET
cpos-74	392	20	example	example	NOUN
cpos-74	392	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	392	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	392	23	kinds	kind	NOUN
cpos-74	392	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	392	25	situations	situation	NOUN
cpos-74	392	26	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	392	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	392	28	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	392	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	392	30	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	392	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	392	32	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	392	33	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	392	34	outperformed	outperform	VERB
cpos-74	392	35	the	the	DET
cpos-74	392	36	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	392	37	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	392	38	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	392	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	393	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	393	2	believe	believe	VERB
cpos-74	393	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	393	4	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	393	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	393	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	393	7	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	393	8	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	393	9	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	393	10	resembles	resemble	VERB
cpos-74	393	11	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	393	12	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	393	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	393	14	netherlands	netherlands	PROPN
cpos-74	393	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	393	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	393	17	1990s	1990s	NUM
cpos-74	393	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	393	19	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	393	20	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	393	21	slowed	slow	VERB
cpos-74	393	22	down	down	ADP
cpos-74	393	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	393	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	393	25	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	393	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	393	27	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	393	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	394	1	6	6	NUM
cpos-74	394	2	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	394	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	394	4	this	this	DET
cpos-74	394	5	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	394	6	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	394	7	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	394	8	looked	look	VERB
cpos-74	394	9	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	394	10	the	the	DET
cpos-74	394	11	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	394	12	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	394	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	394	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	394	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	394	16	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	394	17	the	the	DET
cpos-74	394	18	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	394	19	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	394	20	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	394	21	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	394	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	395	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	395	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	395	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	395	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	395	5	history	history	NOUN
cpos-74	395	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	395	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	395	8	showed	show	VERB
cpos-74	395	9	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	395	10	that	that	DET
cpos-74	395	11	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	395	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	395	13	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	395	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	395	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	395	16	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	395	17	all	all	PRON
cpos-74	395	18	follow	follow	VERB
cpos-74	395	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	395	20	same	same	ADJ
cpos-74	395	21	general	general	ADJ
cpos-74	395	22	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	395	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	395	24	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	395	25	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	395	26	recently	recently	ADV
cpos-74	395	27	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	395	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	395	29	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	395	30	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	395	31	continue	continue	VERB
cpos-74	395	32	unchanged	unchanged	ADJ
cpos-74	395	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	396	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	396	2	fi	fi	VERB
cpos-74	397	1	nd	nd	ADV
cpos-74	397	2	this	this	DET
cpos-74	397	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	397	4	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cpos-74	397	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	397	6	since	since	SCONJ
cpos-74	397	7	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	397	8	agree	agree	VERB
cpos-74	397	9	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	397	10	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	397	11	are	be	VERB
cpos-74	397	12	contradictory	contradictory	ADJ
cpos-74	397	13	theories	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	397	14	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	397	15	increase	increase	NOUN
cpos-74	397	16	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	397	17	decrease	decrease	NOUN
cpos-74	397	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	397	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	397	20	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	397	21	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	397	22	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	397	23	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	397	24	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	397	25	to	to	PART
cpos-74	397	26	say	say	VERB
cpos-74	397	27	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	397	28	any	any	DET
cpos-74	397	29	certainty	certainty	NOUN
cpos-74	397	30	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	397	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	397	32	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	397	33	trend	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	397	34	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	397	35	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	397	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	398	1	indeed	indeed	ADV
cpos-74	398	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	398	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	398	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	398	5	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	398	6	given	give	VERB
cpos-74	398	7	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	398	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	398	9	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	398	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	398	11	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	398	12	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	398	13	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	398	14	open	open	ADJ
cpos-74	398	15	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	398	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	398	17	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	398	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	398	19	theory	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	398	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	398	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	398	22	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	398	23	quite	quite	ADV
cpos-74	398	24	open	open	ADJ
cpos-74	398	25	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	398	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	398	27	arbitrariness	arbitrariness	NOUN
cpos-74	398	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	398	29	the	the	DET
cpos-74	398	30	decision	decision	NOUN
cpos-74	398	31	to	to	PART
cpos-74	398	32	project	project	VERB
cpos-74	398	33	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	398	34	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	398	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	398	36	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	398	37	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	398	38	the	the	DET
cpos-74	398	39	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	398	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	399	1	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	399	2	emphasise	emphasise	VERB
cpos-74	399	3	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	399	4	this	this	DET
cpos-74	399	5	kind	kind	NOUN
cpos-74	399	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	399	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	399	8	does	do	AUX
cpos-74	399	9	not	not	PART
cpos-74	399	10	mean	mean	VERB
cpos-74	399	11	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	399	12	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	399	13	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	399	14	a	a	DET
cpos-74	399	15	strong	strong	ADJ
cpos-74	399	16	belief	belief	NOUN
cpos-74	399	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	399	18	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	399	19	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	399	20	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	399	21	rather	rather	ADV
cpos-74	399	22	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	399	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	399	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	399	25	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	399	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	399	27	better	well	ADJ
cpos-74	399	28	alternatives	alternative	NOUN
cpos-74	399	29	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	399	30	this	this	DET
cpos-74	399	31	simple	simple	ADJ
cpos-74	399	32	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	399	33	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	399	34	best	good	ADJ
cpos-74	399	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	1	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	400	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	3	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	400	4	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	400	5	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	400	6	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	400	7	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	400	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	400	9	opportunity	opportunity	NOUN
cpos-74	400	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	400	11	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-74	400	12	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	400	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	400	14	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	400	15	considering	consider	VERB
cpos-74	400	16	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	400	17	carefully	carefully	ADV
cpos-74	400	18	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	400	19	they	they	PRON
cpos-74	400	20	use	use	VERB
cpos-74	400	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	400	22	idea	idea	NOUN
cpos-74	400	23	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	400	24	unchanging	unchange	VERB
cpos-74	400	25	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	400	26	behaviour.22	behaviour.22	NOUN
cpos-74	400	27	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	400	28	the	the	DET
cpos-74	400	29	past	past	NOUN
cpos-74	400	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	31	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	400	32	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	400	33	an	an	DET
cpos-74	400	34	extent	extent	NOUN
cpos-74	400	35	today	today	NOUN
cpos-74	400	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	37	the	the	DET
cpos-74	400	38	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	400	39	’	’	PART
cpos-74	400	40	implementation	implementation	NOUN
cpos-74	400	41	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	400	42	unchanging	unchanging	ADJ
cpos-74	400	43	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
cpos-74	400	44	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	400	45	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	400	46	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	400	47	age	age	NOUN
cpos-74	400	48	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	49	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	400	50	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	400	51	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	400	52	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	400	53	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	400	54	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	400	55	equivalently	equivalently	ADV
cpos-74	400	56	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	400	57	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	400	58	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	401	1	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	401	2	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	401	3	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	401	4	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	401	5	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	401	6	lower	low	ADJ
cpos-74	401	7	than	than	ADP
cpos-74	401	8	cohort	cohort	VERB
cpos-74	401	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	401	10	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	401	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	401	12	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	401	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	401	14	births	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	401	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	401	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	401	17	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	401	18	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	401	19	a	a	DET
cpos-74	401	20	continuation	continuation	NOUN
cpos-74	401	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	401	22	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	401	23	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	401	24	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	401	25	implicitly	implicitly	ADV
cpos-74	401	26	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	401	27	either	either	CCONJ
cpos-74	401	28	that	that	DET
cpos-74	401	29	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	401	30	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	401	31	continue	continue	VERB
cpos-74	401	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	401	33	indefi	indefi	VERB
cpos-74	401	34	nitely	nitely	ADV
cpos-74	401	35	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	401	36	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	401	37	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	401	38	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	401	39	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	401	40	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	401	41	a	a	DET
cpos-74	401	42	drop	drop	NOUN
cpos-74	401	43	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	401	44	the	the	DET
cpos-74	401	45	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	401	46	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	401	47	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	402	1	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	402	2	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	402	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
cpos-74	402	4	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	402	5	an	an	DET
cpos-74	402	6	alternative	alternative	NOUN
cpos-74	402	7	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	402	8	a	a	DET
cpos-74	402	9	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cpos-74	402	10	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	402	11	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	402	12	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	402	13	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	402	14	to	to	PART
cpos-74	402	15	assume	assume	VERB
cpos-74	402	16	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	402	17	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	402	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	402	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	402	20	roughly	roughly	ADV
cpos-74	402	21	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	402	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	402	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	402	24	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	402	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	402	26	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	402	27	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	402	28	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	402	29	comes	come	VERB
cpos-74	402	30	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	402	31	an	an	DET
cpos-74	402	32	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	402	33	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	402	34	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	402	35	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	402	36	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	402	37	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	402	38	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	402	39	to	to	PART
cpos-74	402	40	converge	converge	VERB
cpos-74	402	41	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	402	42	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	402	43	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	402	44	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	402	45	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	403	1	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	403	2	a	a	DET
cpos-74	403	3	classical	classical	ADJ
cpos-74	403	4	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	403	5	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	403	6	this	this	DET
cpos-74	403	7	assumption	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	403	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	403	9	hard	hard	ADJ
cpos-74	403	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	403	11	22	22	NUM
cpos-74	403	12	despite	despite	SCONJ
cpos-74	403	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	403	14	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	403	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	403	16	different	different	ADJ
cpos-74	403	17	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	403	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	403	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	403	20	central	central	ADJ
cpos-74	403	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	403	22	assumes	assume	VERB
cpos-74	403	23	either	either	CCONJ
cpos-74	403	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	403	25	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	403	26	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	403	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	403	28	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	403	29	tfr	tfr	PROPN
cpos-74	403	30	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	403	31	a	a	DET
cpos-74	403	32	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	403	33	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	403	34	close	close	ADJ
cpos-74	403	35	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	403	36	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	403	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	404	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	404	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	404	3	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	404	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	404	5	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	404	6	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	404	7	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	404	8	a	a	DET
cpos-74	404	9	result	result	NOUN
cpos-74	404	10	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	404	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	404	12	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	404	13	analyses	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	404	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	404	15	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	404	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	404	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	404	18	which	which	PRON
cpos-74	404	19	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	404	20	assumed	assume	VERB
cpos-74	404	21	to	to	PART
cpos-74	404	22	change	change	VERB
cpos-74	404	23	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	404	24	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	404	25	pötzsch	pötzsch	NOUN
cpos-74	404	26	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	404	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	404	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	405	2	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	405	3	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	405	4	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	405	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	6	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	405	7	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	405	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	9	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	405	10	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	405	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	12	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	405	13	prskawetz686	prskawetz686	PROPN
cpos-74	405	14	implement	implement	VERB
cpos-74	405	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	16	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	405	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	405	18	pure	pure	ADJ
cpos-74	405	19	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	405	20	approach	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	405	21	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	405	22	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	405	23	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	405	24	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	405	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	26	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	405	27	other	other	ADJ
cpos-74	405	28	shortcomings	shortcoming	NOUN
cpos-74	405	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	30	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	405	31	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	405	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	405	33	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	405	34	mentioned	mention	VERB
cpos-74	405	35	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	405	36	the	the	DET
cpos-74	405	37	introduction	introduction	NOUN
cpos-74	405	38	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	405	39	this	this	DET
cpos-74	405	40	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	405	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	42	have	have	VERB
cpos-74	405	43	to	to	PART
cpos-74	405	44	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	405	45	considered.23	considered.23	PROPN
cpos-74	405	46	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	405	47	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	405	48	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	405	49	suggesting	suggest	VERB
cpos-74	405	50	here	here	ADV
cpos-74	405	51	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	405	52	a	a	DET
cpos-74	405	53	greater	great	ADJ
cpos-74	405	54	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	405	55	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	405	56	a	a	DET
cpos-74	405	57	formal	formal	ADJ
cpos-74	405	58	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	405	59	model	model	NOUN
cpos-74	405	60	to	to	PART
cpos-74	405	61	relate	relate	VERB
cpos-74	405	62	periods	period	NOUN
cpos-74	405	63	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	64	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	405	65	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	405	66	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	405	67	timing	timing	NOUN
cpos-74	405	68	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	405	69	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	406	1	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	406	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	406	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	406	4	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	406	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	406	6	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	406	7	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	406	8	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	406	9	that	that	PRON
cpos-74	406	10	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-74	406	11	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	406	12	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	406	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	406	14	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	406	15	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	406	16	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	406	17	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	406	18	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	406	19	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-74	406	20	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	406	21	to	to	PART
cpos-74	406	22	produce	produce	VERB
cpos-74	406	23	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	406	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	406	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	406	26	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	406	27	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	406	28	explicit	explicit	ADJ
cpos-74	406	29	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	406	30	about	about	ADP
cpos-74	406	31	the	the	DET
cpos-74	406	32	pace	pace	NOUN
cpos-74	406	33	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	406	34	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	406	35	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	406	36	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	406	37	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	406	38	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	406	39	allow	allow	VERB
cpos-74	406	40	them	they	PRON
cpos-74	406	41	adequately	adequately	ADV
cpos-74	406	42	to	to	PART
cpos-74	406	43	incorporate	incorporate	VERB
cpos-74	406	44	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	406	45	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	406	46	the	the	DET
cpos-74	406	47	cohorts	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	406	48	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	406	49	bearing	bear	VERB
cpos-74	406	50	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	406	51	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	407	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	407	2	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	407	3	also	also	ADV
cpos-74	407	4	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	407	5	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	407	6	possible	possible	ADJ
cpos-74	407	7	to	to	PART
cpos-74	407	8	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	407	9	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	407	10	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	407	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	407	12	both	both	CCONJ
cpos-74	407	13	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	407	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	407	15	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	407	16	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	407	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	407	18	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	407	19	required	require	VERB
cpos-74	407	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	407	21	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	407	22	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	407	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	407	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	407	25	the	the	DET
cpos-74	407	26	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	407	27	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	407	28	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	407	29	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	407	30	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	407	31	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	407	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	407	33	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	407	34	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	407	35	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	407	36	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	407	37	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	407	38	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	407	39	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	407	40	need	need	VERB
cpos-74	407	41	to	to	PART
cpos-74	407	42	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	407	43	updated	update	VERB
cpos-74	407	44	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	408	1	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	408	2	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	408	3	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
cpos-74	408	4	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	408	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	408	6	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	408	7	1	1	X
cpos-74	408	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	408	9	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	408	10	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	408	11	continue	continue	VERB
cpos-74	408	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	408	13	make	make	VERB
cpos-74	408	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	408	15	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	408	16	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-74	408	17	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	408	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	408	19	explicit	explicit	ADJ
cpos-74	408	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	409	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	409	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	409	3	helpful	helpful	ADJ
cpos-74	409	4	even	even	ADV
cpos-74	409	5	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	409	6	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	409	7	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	409	8	means	mean	VERB
cpos-74	409	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	409	10	saying	say	VERB
cpos-74	409	11	simply	simply	ADV
cpos-74	409	12	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	409	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	409	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	409	15	absence	absence	NOUN
cpos-74	409	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	409	17	theories	theory	NOUN
cpos-74	409	18	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	409	19	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	409	20	continued	continue	VERB
cpos-74	409	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	409	22	past	past	ADJ
cpos-74	409	23	practice	practice	NOUN
cpos-74	409	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	409	25	assuming	assume	VERB
cpos-74	409	26	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	409	27	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	409	28	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	409	29	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	409	30	the	the	DET
cpos-74	409	31	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	409	32	observed	observe	VERB
cpos-74	409	33	year	year	NOUN
cpos-74	409	34	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	410	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	410	2	2	2	X
cpos-74	410	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	410	4	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	410	5	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	410	6	deal	deal	VERB
cpos-74	410	7	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
cpos-74	410	8	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	410	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	410	10	prospects	prospect	NOUN
cpos-74	410	11	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	410	12	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	410	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	410	14	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	410	15	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	410	16	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	410	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	410	18	levels	level	NOUN
cpos-74	410	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	411	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	411	2	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	411	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	411	4	feeney	feeney	NOUN
cpos-74	411	5	framework	framework	NOUN
cpos-74	411	6	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	411	7	similar	similar	ADJ
cpos-74	411	8	ones	one	NOUN
cpos-74	411	9	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	411	10	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	411	11	used	use	VERB
cpos-74	411	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	412	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	412	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	412	3	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	412	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	412	5	consistent	consistent	ADJ
cpos-74	412	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	413	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	413	2	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	413	3	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	413	4	may	may	AUX
cpos-74	413	5	not	not	PART
cpos-74	413	6	actually	actually	ADV
cpos-74	413	7	change	change	VERB
cpos-74	413	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	413	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	413	10	but	but	CCONJ
cpos-74	413	11	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	413	12	believe	believe	VERB
cpos-74	413	13	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	413	14	will	will	AUX
cpos-74	413	15	give	give	VERB
cpos-74	413	16	them	they	PRON
cpos-74	413	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	413	18	fi	fi	NOUN
cpos-74	413	19	rmer	rmer	NOUN
cpos-74	413	20	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	413	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	414	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	414	2	3	3	X
cpos-74	414	3	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	414	4	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	414	5	should	should	AUX
cpos-74	414	6	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	414	7	reluctant	reluctant	ADJ
cpos-74	414	8	to	to	PART
cpos-74	414	9	change	change	VERB
cpos-74	414	10	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	414	11	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	414	12	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	414	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	414	14	without	without	ADP
cpos-74	414	15	seeing	see	VERB
cpos-74	414	16	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	414	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	414	18	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	414	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	414	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	415	1	another	another	DET
cpos-74	415	2	improvement	improvement	NOUN
cpos-74	415	3	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	415	4	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	415	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	415	6	inclusion	inclusion	NOUN
cpos-74	415	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	415	8	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	415	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	415	10	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	415	11	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	415	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	415	13	analyses	analyse	VERB
cpos-74	415	14	into	into	ADP
cpos-74	415	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	415	16	strategies	strategy	NOUN
cpos-74	415	17	to	to	PART
cpos-74	415	18	forecast	forecast	VERB
cpos-74	415	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	415	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	416	1	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	416	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	416	3	particularly	particularly	ADV
cpos-74	416	4	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-74	416	5	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	416	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	416	7	changes	change	VERB
cpos-74	416	8	dramatically	dramatically	ADV
cpos-74	416	9	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	416	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	416	11	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	416	12	a	a	DET
cpos-74	416	13	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	416	14	boom	boom	NOUN
cpos-74	416	15	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	416	16	baby	baby	NOUN
cpos-74	416	17	bust	bust	NOUN
cpos-74	416	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	416	19	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	416	20	such	such	DET
cpos-74	416	21	a	a	DET
cpos-74	416	22	change	change	NOUN
cpos-74	416	23	usually	usually	ADV
cpos-74	416	24	effects	effect	VERB
cpos-74	416	25	birth	birth	NOUN
cpos-74	416	26	parities	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	416	27	very	very	ADV
cpos-74	416	28	differently	differently	ADV
cpos-74	416	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	416	30	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	416	31	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
cpos-74	416	32	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	416	33	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	416	34	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	416	35	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	416	36	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	416	37	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	416	38	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	416	39	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	416	40	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	416	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	416	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	417	1	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	417	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	417	3	less	less	ADV
cpos-74	417	4	relevant	relevant	ADJ
cpos-74	417	5	when	when	SCONJ
cpos-74	417	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	417	7	changes	change	VERB
cpos-74	417	8	incrementally	incrementally	ADV
cpos-74	417	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	417	10	such	such	ADJ
cpos-74	417	11	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	417	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	417	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	417	14	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	417	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	417	16	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	417	17	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	417	18	experienced	experience	VERB
cpos-74	417	19	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	417	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	417	21	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	417	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	417	23	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	417	24	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	417	25	during	during	ADP
cpos-74	417	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	417	27	last	last	ADJ
cpos-74	417	28	decades	decade	NOUN
cpos-74	417	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	418	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	418	2	addition	addition	NOUN
cpos-74	418	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	418	4	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	418	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	418	6	required	require	VERB
cpos-74	418	7	data	data	NOUN
cpos-74	418	8	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	418	9	often	often	ADV
cpos-74	418	10	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	418	11	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	418	12	to	to	PART
cpos-74	418	13	acquire	acquire	VERB
cpos-74	418	14	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	418	15	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	418	16	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	418	17	case	case	NOUN
cpos-74	418	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	418	19	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	418	20	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	418	21	could	could	AUX
cpos-74	418	22	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	418	23	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	418	24	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	418	25	a	a	DET
cpos-74	418	26	suitable	suitable	ADJ
cpos-74	418	27	state	state	NOUN
cpos-74	418	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	419	1	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	419	2	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	419	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	419	4	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	419	5	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	419	6	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	419	7	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	419	8	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	419	9	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-74	419	10	information	information	NOUN
cpos-74	419	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	419	12	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	419	13	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	419	14	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	419	15	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	419	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	419	17	only	only	ADV
cpos-74	419	18	recently	recently	ADV
cpos-74	419	19	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	419	20	thus	thus	ADV
cpos-74	419	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	419	22	time	time	NOUN
cpos-74	419	23	series	series	NOUN
cpos-74	419	24	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	419	25	not	not	PART
cpos-74	419	26	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	419	27	enough	enough	ADV
cpos-74	419	28	to	to	PART
cpos-74	419	29	base	base	VERB
cpos-74	419	30	reliable	reliable	ADJ
cpos-74	419	31	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	419	32	upon.24	upon.24	NOUN
cpos-74	419	33	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	419	34	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	419	35	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	419	36	remarkably	remarkably	ADV
cpos-74	419	37	diffi	diffi	ADJ
cpos-74	419	38	cult	cult	NOUN
cpos-74	419	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	420	1	no	no	DET
cpos-74	420	2	country	country	NOUN
cpos-74	420	3	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	420	4	succeeded	succeed	VERB
cpos-74	420	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	420	6	predicting	predict	VERB
cpos-74	420	7	future	future	ADJ
cpos-74	420	8	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	420	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	420	10	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	420	11	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	420	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	421	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	421	2	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	421	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	421	4	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	421	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	421	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	421	7	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	421	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	421	9	great	great	ADJ
cpos-74	421	10	care	care	NOUN
cpos-74	421	11	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	421	12	taken	take	VERB
cpos-74	421	13	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	421	14	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	421	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	421	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	422	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	422	2	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	422	3	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	422	4	update	update	VERB
cpos-74	422	5	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	422	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	422	7	frequently	frequently	ADV
cpos-74	422	8	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	422	9	tend	tend	VERB
cpos-74	422	10	to	to	PART
cpos-74	422	11	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	422	12	clear	clear	ADJ
cpos-74	422	13	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	422	14	sound	sound	ADJ
cpos-74	422	15	explanations	explanation	NOUN
cpos-74	422	16	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	422	17	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	422	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	422	19	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
cpos-74	422	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	423	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
cpos-74	423	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	423	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	423	4	constancy	constancy	NOUN
cpos-74	423	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	423	6	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	423	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	423	8	makes	make	VERB
cpos-74	423	9	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	423	10	appear	appear	VERB
cpos-74	423	11	that	that	SCONJ
cpos-74	423	12	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	423	13	have	have	AUX
cpos-74	423	14	improved	improve	VERB
cpos-74	423	15	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	423	16	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
cpos-74	423	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	423	18	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	423	19	years	year	NOUN
cpos-74	423	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	424	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	424	2	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	424	3	view	view	NOUN
cpos-74	424	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	424	5	however	however	ADV
cpos-74	424	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	424	7	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	424	8	is	be	VERB
cpos-74	424	9	still	still	ADV
cpos-74	424	10	room	room	NOUN
cpos-74	424	11	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	424	12	improvement	improvement	NOUN
cpos-74	424	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	425	1	the	the	DET
cpos-74	425	2	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	425	3	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	425	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	425	5	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	425	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	425	7	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	425	8	remained	remain	VERB
cpos-74	425	9	constant	constant	ADJ
cpos-74	425	10	because	because	SCONJ
cpos-74	425	11	the	the	DET
cpos-74	425	12	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	425	13	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	425	14	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	425	15	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	425	16	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	425	17	slightly	slightly	ADV
cpos-74	425	18	declined	decline	VERB
cpos-74	425	19	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	425	20	the	the	DET
cpos-74	425	21	pace	pace	NOUN
cpos-74	425	22	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	425	23	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	425	24	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	425	25	remained	remain	VERB
cpos-74	425	26	stable	stable	ADJ
cpos-74	425	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	1	if	if	SCONJ
cpos-74	426	2	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	426	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	426	4	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	426	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	6	as	as	SCONJ
cpos-74	426	7	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	426	8	happened	happen	VERB
cpos-74	426	9	elsewhere	elsewhere	ADV
cpos-74	426	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	11	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	426	12	slows	slow	VERB
cpos-74	426	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	14	23	23	NUM
cpos-74	426	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	426	16	use	use	NOUN
cpos-74	426	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	426	18	both	both	DET
cpos-74	426	19	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	426	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	426	21	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	426	22	approaches	approach	NOUN
cpos-74	426	23	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	426	24	a	a	DET
cpos-74	426	25	number	number	NOUN
cpos-74	426	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	426	27	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	426	28	agencies	agency	NOUN
cpos-74	426	29	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	426	30	reported	report	VERB
cpos-74	426	31	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	426	32	the	the	DET
cpos-74	426	33	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	426	34	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	426	35	sorvillo	sorvillo	PROPN
cpos-74	426	36	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	37	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-74	426	38	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	426	39	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	427	1	24	24	NUM
cpos-74	427	2	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	427	3	a	a	DET
cpos-74	427	4	more	more	ADV
cpos-74	427	5	detailed	detailed	ADJ
cpos-74	427	6	description	description	NOUN
cpos-74	427	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	427	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	427	9	data	data	NOUN
cpos-74	427	10	situation	situation	NOUN
cpos-74	427	11	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	427	12	all	all	DET
cpos-74	427	13	three	three	NUM
cpos-74	427	14	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	427	15	see	see	VERB
cpos-74	427	16	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	427	17	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	427	18	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	427	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	428	1	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	428	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	428	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	428	4	cpos	cpos	PROPN
cpos-74	428	5	36,2	36,2	PROPN
cpos-74	428	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	428	7	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	428	8	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	428	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	429	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	429	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	429	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	429	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	429	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	429	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	429	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	429	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	429	9	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	429	10	687	687	NUM
cpos-74	429	11	our	our	PRON
cpos-74	429	12	expectation	expectation	NOUN
cpos-74	429	13	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	429	14	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	429	15	for	for	SCONJ
cpos-74	429	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	429	17	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	429	18	to	to	PART
cpos-74	429	19	rise	rise	VERB
cpos-74	429	20	substantially	substantially	ADV
cpos-74	429	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	430	1	current	current	ADJ
cpos-74	430	2	estimates	estimate	NOUN
cpos-74	430	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	430	4	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	430	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	430	6	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	430	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	430	8	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	430	9	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	430	10	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	430	11	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	430	12	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	430	13	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	430	14	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	430	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	430	16	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	430	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	430	18	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	430	19	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	430	20	1.7	1.7	NUM
cpos-74	430	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	430	22	making	make	VERB
cpos-74	430	23	it	it	PRON
cpos-74	430	24	seem	seem	VERB
cpos-74	430	25	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	430	26	us	we	PRON
cpos-74	430	27	that	that	DET
cpos-74	430	28	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	430	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	430	30	range	range	NOUN
cpos-74	430	31	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	430	32	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	430	33	at	at	ADV
cpos-74	430	34	least	least	ADJ
cpos-74	430	35	1.5	1.5	NUM
cpos-74	430	36	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	430	37	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	430	38	perhaps	perhaps	ADV
cpos-74	430	39	1.6	1.6	NUM
cpos-74	430	40	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	430	41	be	be	AUX
cpos-74	430	42	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
cpos-74	430	43	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	431	1	introducing	introduce	VERB
cpos-74	431	2	the	the	DET
cpos-74	431	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	431	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	431	5	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	431	6	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	431	7	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	431	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	431	9	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	431	10	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	431	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	431	12	would	would	AUX
cpos-74	431	13	provide	provide	VERB
cpos-74	431	14	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
cpos-74	431	15	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	431	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	431	17	better	well	ADJ
cpos-74	431	18	basis	basis	NOUN
cpos-74	431	19	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	431	20	deciding	decide	VERB
cpos-74	431	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	431	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	431	23	direction	direction	NOUN
cpos-74	431	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	431	25	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	431	26	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	431	27	the	the	DET
cpos-74	431	28	long	long	ADJ
cpos-74	431	29	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	431	30	as	as	ADV
cpos-74	431	31	well	well	ADV
cpos-74	431	32	as	as	ADP
cpos-74	431	33	giving	give	VERB
cpos-74	431	34	a	a	DET
cpos-74	431	35	rationale	rationale	NOUN
cpos-74	431	36	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	431	37	short	short	ADJ
cpos-74	431	38	term	term	NOUN
cpos-74	431	39	changes	change	NOUN
cpos-74	431	40	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	432	1	acknowledgement	acknowledgement	NOUN
cpos-74	432	2	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	432	3	thank	thank	VERB
cpos-74	432	4	four	four	NUM
cpos-74	432	5	anonymous	anonymous	ADJ
cpos-74	432	6	reviewers	reviewer	NOUN
cpos-74	432	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	432	8	michaela	michaela	PROPN
cpos-74	432	9	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	432	10	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	432	11	colleagues	colleague	NOUN
cpos-74	432	12	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	432	13	the	the	DET
cpos-74	432	14	max	max	PROPN
cpos-74	432	15	planck	planck	PROPN
cpos-74	432	16	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	432	17	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	432	18	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	432	19	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	432	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	432	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	432	22	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-74	432	23	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	432	24	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	432	25	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-74	432	26	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	432	27	their	their	PRON
cpos-74	432	28	critical	critical	ADJ
cpos-74	432	29	comments	comment	NOUN
cpos-74	432	30	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	432	31	earlier	early	ADJ
cpos-74	432	32	versions	version	NOUN
cpos-74	432	33	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	432	34	this	this	DET
cpos-74	432	35	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	432	36	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	1	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	433	2	assistance	assistance	NOUN
cpos-74	433	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	433	4	given	give	VERB
cpos-74	433	5	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	433	6	olga	olga	PROPN
cpos-74	433	7	pötzsch	pötzsch	PROPN
cpos-74	433	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	9	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	433	10	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	433	11	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	433	12	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	433	13	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	433	14	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	16	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	433	17	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	433	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	19	statistics	statistics	PROPN
cpos-74	433	20	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	433	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	23	stéphane	stéphane	PROPN
cpos-74	433	24	cotter	cotter	PROPN
cpos-74	433	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	26	marcel	marcel	PROPN
cpos-74	433	27	heiniger	heiniger	PROPN
cpos-74	433	28	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	29	swiss	swiss	ADJ
cpos-74	433	30	federal	federal	ADJ
cpos-74	433	31	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	433	32	offi	offi	PROPN
cpos-74	433	33	ce	ce	PROPN
cpos-74	433	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	433	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	433	36	marion	marion	PROPN
cpos-74	433	37	burkirmsher	burkirmsher	PROPN
cpos-74	433	38	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	433	39	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	433	40	gratefully	gratefully	ADV
cpos-74	433	41	acknowledged	acknowledge	VERB
cpos-74	433	42	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	434	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	434	2	publication	publication	NOUN
cpos-74	434	3	was	be	AUX
cpos-74	434	4	generated	generate	VERB
cpos-74	434	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	434	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	434	7	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	434	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	434	9	the	the	DET
cpos-74	434	10	interdisciplinary	interdisciplinary	ADJ
cpos-74	434	11	working	working	NOUN
cpos-74	434	12	group	group	NOUN
cpos-74	434	13	future	future	NOUN
cpos-74	434	14	with	with	ADP
cpos-74	434	15	children	child	NOUN
cpos-74	434	16	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	434	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	434	18	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	434	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	434	20	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	434	21	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	434	22	society	society	NOUN
cpos-74	434	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	435	1	this	this	DET
cpos-74	435	2	group	group	NOUN
cpos-74	435	3	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	435	4	been	be	AUX
cpos-74	435	5	jointly	jointly	ADV
cpos-74	435	6	established	establish	VERB
cpos-74	435	7	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	435	8	the	the	DET
cpos-74	435	9	berlin	berlin	PROPN
cpos-74	435	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	435	11	brandenburgische	brandenburgische	PROPN
cpos-74	435	12	akademie	akademie	PROPN
cpos-74	435	13	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	435	14	wissenschaften	wissenschaften	VERB
cpos-74	435	15	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	435	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	435	17	nationale	nationale	PROPN
cpos-74	435	18	akademie	akademie	PROPN
cpos-74	435	19	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	435	20	wissenschaften	wissenschaften	VERB
cpos-74	435	21	leopoldina	leopoldina	PROPN
cpos-74	435	22	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	435	23	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	435	24	funded	fund	VERB
cpos-74	435	25	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	435	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	435	27	jacobs	jacobs	PROPN
cpos-74	435	28	foundation	foundation	PROPN
cpos-74	435	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	1	references	reference	NOUN
cpos-74	436	2	basten	basten	PROPN
cpos-74	436	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	4	stuart	stuart	PROPN
cpos-74	436	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	6	huinink	huinink	ADJ
cpos-74	436	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	8	johannes	johanne	NOUN
cpos-74	436	9	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	10	klüsener	klüsener	ADJ
cpos-74	436	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	12	sebastian	sebastian	NOUN
cpos-74	436	13	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	436	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	15	spatial	spatial	ADJ
cpos-74	436	16	variation	variation	NOUN
cpos-74	436	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	436	18	subnational	subnational	ADJ
cpos-74	436	19	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	436	20	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	436	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	436	22	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	436	23	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	436	24	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	436	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	436	26	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	436	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	437	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	437	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	437	3	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	437	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	437	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	437	6	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	437	7	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	437	8	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	437	9	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	437	10	36,2	36,2	NUM
cpos-74	437	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	437	12	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	438	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	438	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	438	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	438	4	10.4232/10.cpos2011	10.4232/10.cpos2011	NUM
cpos-74	438	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	438	6	08en	08en	NOUN
cpos-74	438	7	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	438	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	439	1	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	439	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	439	3	john	john	PROPN
cpos-74	439	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	439	5	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	439	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	439	7	griffi	griffi	PROPN
cpos-74	439	8	th	th	NUM
cpos-74	439	9	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	439	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	439	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	439	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	439	13	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	439	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	439	15	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	439	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	439	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	439	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	440	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	440	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	440	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	440	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	440	7	24,2	24,2	NOUN
cpos-74	440	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	9	271	271	NUM
cpos-74	440	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	440	11	291	291	NUM
cpos-74	440	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	440	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	440	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-74	440	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	440	17	j.1728	j.1728	NOUN
cpos-74	440	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	19	4457.2000.00560.x	4457.2000.00560.x	NOUN
cpos-74	440	20	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	440	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	1	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	441	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	3	john	john	PROPN
cpos-74	441	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	5	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	441	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	7	griffi	griffi	PROPN
cpos-74	441	8	th	th	NUM
cpos-74	441	9	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	441	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	441	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	441	13	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	441	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	441	15	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	441	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	441	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	441	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	441	19	reply	reply	NOUN
cpos-74	441	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	442	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	442	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	442	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	442	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	442	7	26,3	26,3	NUM
cpos-74	442	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	9	560	560	NUM
cpos-74	442	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	442	11	564	564	NUM
cpos-74	442	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	13	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	442	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	15	john	john	PROPN
cpos-74	442	16	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	17	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	442	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	19	griffi	griffi	PROPN
cpos-74	442	20	th	th	NUM
cpos-74	442	21	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	442	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	23	the	the	DET
cpos-74	442	24	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	442	25	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	442	26	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	442	27	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	442	28	life	life	NOUN
cpos-74	442	29	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	442	30	cycle	cycle	NOUN
cpos-74	442	31	events	event	NOUN
cpos-74	442	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	443	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	3	barbi	barbi	PROPN
cpos-74	443	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	5	elisabetta	elisabetta	PROPN
cpos-74	443	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	7	vaupel	vaupel	PROPN
cpos-74	443	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	9	james	james	PROPN
cpos-74	443	10	w.	w.	PROPN
cpos-74	443	11	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	12	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	443	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	14	john	john	PROPN
cpos-74	443	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	16	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-74	443	17	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	18	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	443	19	how	how	SCONJ
cpos-74	443	20	long	long	ADV
cpos-74	443	21	do	do	AUX
cpos-74	443	22	we	we	PRON
cpos-74	443	23	live	live	VERB
cpos-74	443	24	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	444	1	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	444	2	models	model	NOUN
cpos-74	444	3	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	444	4	refl	refl	NOUN
cpos-74	444	5	ections	ection	NOUN
cpos-74	444	6	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	444	7	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	444	8	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	444	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	445	1	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	445	2	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	445	3	monographs	monograph	NOUN
cpos-74	446	1	29,6	29,6	NOUN
cpos-74	447	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	447	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	447	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	447	4	10.1007/978	10.1007/978	NUM
cpos-74	447	5	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	447	6	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	447	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	447	8	540	540	NUM
cpos-74	447	9	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	447	10	78520	78520	NUM
cpos-74	447	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	447	12	0	0	NUM
cpos-74	447	13	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	447	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	448	1	booth	booth	PROPN
cpos-74	448	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	448	3	heather	heather	PROPN
cpos-74	448	4	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	448	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	448	6	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	448	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	448	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	448	9	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	448	10	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	448	11	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	448	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	448	13	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	448	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	449	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	449	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	449	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-74	449	4	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-74	449	5	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	449	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	449	7	22,3	22,3	NOUN
cpos-74	449	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	449	9	547	547	NUM
cpos-74	449	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	449	11	581	581	NUM
cpos-74	449	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	449	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	449	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	449	15	10.1016	10.1016	NUM
cpos-74	449	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	449	17	j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	j.ijforecast.2006.04.001	PROPN
cpos-74	449	18	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	449	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	450	1	bretz	bretz	PROPN
cpos-74	450	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	450	3	manfred	manfre	VERB
cpos-74	450	4	1986	1986	NUM
cpos-74	450	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	450	6	bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen	bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen	NOUN
cpos-74	450	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	450	8	statistische	statistische	PROPN
cpos-74	450	9	probleme	probleme	PROPN
cpos-74	450	10	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	450	11	grundlagen	grundlagen	NOUN
cpos-74	450	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	451	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	451	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	451	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	451	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	451	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	451	6	4/1986	4/1986	PROPN
cpos-74	451	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	451	8	233	233	NUM
cpos-74	451	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	451	10	260	260	NUM
cpos-74	451	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	452	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-74	452	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	452	3	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	452	4	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	452	5	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	452	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	453	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	453	2	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	453	3	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	453	4	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	453	5	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	453	6	1991–2020	1991–2020	NUM
cpos-74	453	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	454	1	unveröffentlichter	unveröffentlichter	PROPN
cpos-74	454	2	bericht	bericht	PROPN
cpos-74	454	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	455	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-74	455	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	455	3	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	455	4	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	455	5	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-74	455	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	456	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	456	2	zur	zur	NOUN
cpos-74	456	3	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	456	4	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	456	5	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	456	6	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	456	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	456	8	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	456	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	457	1	unveröffentlichter	unveröffentlichter	PROPN
cpos-74	457	2	bericht	bericht	PROPN
cpos-74	457	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	458	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-74	458	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	458	3	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	458	4	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	458	5	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-74	458	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	459	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	459	2	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	459	3	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	459	4	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	459	5	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	459	6	2000–2060	2000–2060	NOUN
cpos-74	459	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	460	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	3	demos	demos	NOUN
cpos-74	460	4	1	1	NUM
cpos-74	460	5	+	+	NOUN
cpos-74	460	6	2/2001	2/2001	NUM
cpos-74	460	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	8	•	•	PROPN
cpos-74	460	9	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	460	10	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	460	11	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	460	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	13	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	460	14	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	460	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	16	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	460	17	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	460	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	460	19	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	460	20	prskawetz688	prskawetz688	PROPN
cpos-74	460	21	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	460	22	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	460	23	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	460	24	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	460	25	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	460	26	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	461	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	461	2	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	461	3	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	461	4	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	461	5	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	461	6	2005–2050	2005–2050	NUM
cpos-74	461	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	462	1	neuchâtel	neuchâtel	PROPN
cpos-74	462	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	463	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-74	463	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	463	3	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	463	4	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	463	5	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	463	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	464	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	464	2	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	464	3	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	464	4	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	464	5	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	464	6	2010–2060	2010–2060	NUM
cpos-74	464	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	465	1	neuchâtel	neuchâtel	PROPN
cpos-74	465	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	466	1	bundesamt	bundesamt	PROPN
cpos-74	466	2	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	466	3	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	466	4	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	466	5	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	466	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	467	1	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	467	2	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	467	3	bfs	bfs	PROPN
cpos-74	467	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	467	5	szenarien	szenarien	PROPN
cpos-74	467	6	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	467	7	kantone	kantone	NOUN
cpos-74	467	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	468	1	neuchâtel.[http://www.bfs.admin.ch	neuchâtel.[http://www.bfs.admin.ch	NOUN
cpos-74	468	2	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	3	bfs	bfs	NOUN
cpos-74	468	4	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	5	portal	portal	ADJ
cpos-74	468	6	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	7	de	de	PROPN
cpos-74	468	8	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	9	index	index	NOUN
cpos-74	468	10	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	11	themen/01/03	themen/01/03	NOUN
cpos-74	468	12	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	13	blank	blank	NOUN
cpos-74	468	14	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	15	key	key	NOUN
cpos-74	468	16	_	_	PUNCT
cpos-74	468	17	kant/01.parsys.33549.downloadlist.31849.downloadfile.tmp	kant/01.parsys.33549.downloadlist.31849.downloadfile.tmp	NOUN
cpos-74	468	18	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	468	19	szenariendesbfsundszenarienderkantone.pdf	szenariendesbfsundszenarienderkantone.pdf	PROPN
cpos-74	468	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	468	21	08.09.2011	08.09.2011	PROPN
cpos-74	468	22	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	468	23	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	469	1	de	de	X
cpos-74	469	2	beer	beer	NOUN
cpos-74	469	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	469	4	joop	joop	PROPN
cpos-74	469	5	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	469	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	469	7	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	469	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	469	9	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	469	10	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	469	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	469	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	469	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	470	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	3	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-74	470	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	5	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-74	470	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	7	cruijsen	cruijsen	PROPN
cpos-74	470	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	9	harri	harri	NOUN
cpos-74	470	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	11	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-74	470	12	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	470	13	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	470	14	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	470	15	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	470	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	470	17	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	470	18	industrialized	industrialized	ADJ
cpos-74	470	19	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	470	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	471	1	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
cpos-74	471	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	471	3	swets	swets	PROPN
cpos-74	471	4	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-74	471	5	zeitlinger	zeitlinger	PROPN
cpos-74	471	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	471	7	27	27	NUM
cpos-74	471	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	471	9	59	59	NUM
cpos-74	471	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	472	1	dorn	dorn	PROPN
cpos-74	472	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	472	3	harold	harold	PROPN
cpos-74	472	4	f.	f.	PROPN
cpos-74	472	5	1950	1950	NUM
cpos-74	472	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	472	7	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
cpos-74	472	8	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	472	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	472	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	472	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	472	12	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	472	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	473	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	473	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	473	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-74	473	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	473	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	473	6	american	american	ADJ
cpos-74	473	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	473	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-74	473	9	45,251	45,251	NUM
cpos-74	473	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	473	11	311	311	NUM
cpos-74	473	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	473	13	334	334	NUM
cpos-74	473	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	474	1	eurostat	eurostat	PROPN
cpos-74	474	2	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	474	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	474	4	europop2010	europop2010	PROPN
cpos-74	474	5	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	474	6	convergence	convergence	NOUN
cpos-74	474	7	scenario	scenario	NOUN
cpos-74	474	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	474	9	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	474	10	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	474	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	475	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	475	2	http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ity_sdds/en/proj_10c_esms.htm	http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ity_sdds/en/proj_10c_esms.htm	X
cpos-74	475	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	475	4	07.09.2011	07.09.2011	NOUN
cpos-74	475	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	475	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	476	1	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	476	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	476	3	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-74	476	4	1979	1979	NUM
cpos-74	476	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	476	6	bevölkerungsprognose	bevölkerungsprognose	ADV
cpos-74	476	7	für	für	NOUN
cpos-74	476	8	österreich	österreich	NOUN
cpos-74	476	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	477	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	477	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	477	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	477	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	477	5	34,6	34,6	NOUN
cpos-74	477	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	477	7	273	273	NUM
cpos-74	477	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	477	9	285	285	NUM
cpos-74	477	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	478	1	findl	findl	ADJ
cpos-74	478	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	478	3	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-74	478	4	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	478	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	478	6	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	478	7	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	478	8	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	479	1	österreichischen	österreichischen	PROPN
cpos-74	479	2	statistischen	statistischen	ADV
cpos-74	479	3	zentralamtes	zentralamte	VERB
cpos-74	479	4	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	479	5	österreich	österreich	PROPN
cpos-74	479	6	1984	1984	NUM
cpos-74	479	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	479	8	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	479	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	480	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	480	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	480	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	480	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	X
cpos-74	480	5	39,11/12	39,11/12	NUM
cpos-74	480	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	480	7	659	659	NUM
cpos-74	480	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	480	9	665	665	NUM
cpos-74	480	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	1	frejka	frejka	NOUN
cpos-74	481	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	3	tomas	toma	NOUN
cpos-74	481	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	5	sardon	sardon	ADJ
cpos-74	481	6	,	,	PUNCT
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cpos-74	481	8	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	9	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-74	481	10	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	481	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	481	13	direction	direction	NOUN
cpos-74	481	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	481	15	contemporary	contemporary	ADJ
cpos-74	481	16	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	481	17	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	481	18	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	481	19	the	the	DET
cpos-74	481	20	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-74	481	21	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	481	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	23	further	further	ADJ
cpos-74	481	24	decline	decline	NOUN
cpos-74	481	25	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	481	26	plateau	plateau	NOUN
cpos-74	481	27	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	481	28	upswing	upswing	NOUN
cpos-74	481	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	482	1	xxv	xxv	PROPN
cpos-74	482	2	iussp	iussp	PROPN
cpos-74	482	3	international	international	ADJ
cpos-74	482	4	conference	conference	NOUN
cpos-74	482	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	482	6	tours	tour	NOUN
cpos-74	482	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	1	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	483	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	3	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	483	4	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	483	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	6	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
cpos-74	483	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	8	tomáš	tomáš	NOUN
cpos-74	483	9	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	10	jasilioniene	jasilioniene	NOUN
cpos-74	483	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	12	aiva	aiva	NOUN
cpos-74	483	13	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	483	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	483	16	end	end	NOUN
cpos-74	483	17	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	483	18	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	19	lowest	low	ADJ
cpos-74	483	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	21	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	483	22	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	483	23	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	483	24	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	484	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	484	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	484	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	484	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	484	7	35,4	35,4	NUM
cpos-74	484	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	9	663	663	NUM
cpos-74	484	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	484	11	699	699	NUM
cpos-74	484	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	484	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	484	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-74	484	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	484	17	j.17284457.2009.00304.x	j.17284457.2009.00304.x	PROPN
cpos-74	484	18	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	20	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	484	21	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	22	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	484	23	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	484	24	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	25	cassidy	cassidy	PROPN
cpos-74	484	26	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	27	thomas	thomas	PROPN
cpos-74	484	28	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	484	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	484	30	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	484	31	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	484	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	484	33	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	484	34	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-74	484	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	485	1	mpidr	mpidr	PROPN
cpos-74	485	2	working	working	PROPN
cpos-74	485	3	paper	paper	PROPN
cpos-74	485	4	wp	wp	PROPN
cpos-74	485	5	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	485	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	485	7	015	015	NUM
cpos-74	485	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	486	1	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-74	486	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	486	3	max	max	PROPN
cpos-74	486	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	486	5	planck	planck	NOUN
cpos-74	486	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	486	7	institut	institut	PROPN
cpos-74	486	8	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	486	9	demografi	demografi	PROPN
cpos-74	486	10	sche	sche	PROPN
cpos-74	486	11	forschung	forschung	PROPN
cpos-74	486	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	487	1	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	487	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	487	3	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	487	4	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	487	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	487	6	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	487	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	487	8	michaela	michaela	PROPN
cpos-74	487	9	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	487	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	487	11	has	have	AUX
cpos-74	487	12	east	east	PROPN
cpos-74	487	13	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	487	14	overtaken	overtaken	PROPN
cpos-74	487	15	west	west	PROPN
cpos-74	487	16	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	487	17	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	488	1	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	488	2	trends	trend	NOUN
cpos-74	488	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	488	4	order	order	NOUN
cpos-74	488	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	488	6	specifi	specifi	PROPN
cpos-74	488	7	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	488	8	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	488	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	489	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	489	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	489	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	489	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	489	7	37,3	37,3	NUM
cpos-74	489	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	9	453	453	NUM
cpos-74	489	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	489	11	472	472	NUM
cpos-74	489	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	489	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	489	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-74	489	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	489	17	j.1728	j.1728	NOUN
cpos-74	489	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	19	4457.2011.00430.x	4457.2011.00430.x	NOUN
cpos-74	489	20	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	489	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	490	1	hajnal	hajnal	PROPN
cpos-74	490	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	490	3	john	john	PROPN
cpos-74	490	4	1955	1955	NUM
cpos-74	490	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	490	6	the	the	DET
cpos-74	490	7	prospects	prospect	NOUN
cpos-74	490	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	490	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	490	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	490	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	491	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-74	491	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	491	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	491	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-74	491	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	491	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-74	491	9	50,270	50,270	NUM
cpos-74	491	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	11	309	309	NUM
cpos-74	491	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	491	13	322	322	NUM
cpos-74	491	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	15	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	491	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	17	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	491	18	1988	1988	NUM
cpos-74	491	19	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	491	20	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	491	21	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	491	22	österreichischen	österreichischen	PROPN
cpos-74	491	23	statistischen	statistischen	ADV
cpos-74	491	24	zentralamtes	zentralamte	VERB
cpos-74	491	25	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	491	26	österreich	österreich	PROPN
cpos-74	491	27	1987	1987	NUM
cpos-74	491	28	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	491	29	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	491	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	492	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	492	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	492	5	43,1	43,1	NUM
cpos-74	492	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	7	4	4	NUM
cpos-74	492	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	492	9	13	13	NUM
cpos-74	492	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	492	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	13	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	492	14	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	492	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	492	16	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	NOUN
cpos-74	492	17	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	492	18	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	492	19	2015	2015	NUM
cpos-74	492	20	des	de	NOUN
cpos-74	492	21	österreichischen	österreichischen	ADV
cpos-74	492	22	statistischen	statistischen	ADV
cpos-74	492	23	zentralamtes	zentralamte	VERB
cpos-74	492	24	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	492	25	österreich	österreich	PROPN
cpos-74	492	26	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	492	27	die	die	PROPN
cpos-74	492	28	bundesländer	bundesländer	PROPN
cpos-74	492	29	sowie	sowie	PROPN
cpos-74	492	30	modellrechnung	modellrechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	492	31	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-74	492	32	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	492	33	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	493	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	493	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	X
cpos-74	493	5	45,9	45,9	NOUN
cpos-74	493	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	7	635	635	NUM
cpos-74	493	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	493	9	648	648	NUM
cpos-74	493	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	493	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	13	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	493	14	1996	1996	NUM
cpos-74	493	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	493	16	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	NOUN
cpos-74	493	17	1995	1995	NUM
cpos-74	493	18	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	493	19	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	493	20	für	für	X
cpos-74	493	21	österreich	österreich	NOUN
cpos-74	493	22	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	493	23	die	die	NOUN
cpos-74	493	24	bundesländer	bundesländer	PROPN
cpos-74	493	25	sowie	sowie	PROPN
cpos-74	493	26	modellrechnung	modellrechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	493	27	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-74	493	28	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	493	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	494	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	494	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	494	5	5/1996	5/1996	PROPN
cpos-74	494	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	7	329	329	NUM
cpos-74	494	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	494	9	341	341	NUM
cpos-74	494	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	494	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	13	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	494	14	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	494	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	494	16	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	NOUN
cpos-74	494	17	1998	1998	NUM
cpos-74	494	18	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	494	19	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	494	20	für	für	NOUN
cpos-74	494	21	österreich	österreich	NOUN
cpos-74	494	22	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	494	23	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	494	24	bundesländer	bundesländer	NOUN
cpos-74	494	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	495	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	495	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	495	5	9/1998	9/1998	X
cpos-74	495	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	7	696	696	NUM
cpos-74	495	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	495	9	708	708	NUM
cpos-74	495	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	495	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	13	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	495	14	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	495	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	495	16	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	495	17	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	495	18	bis	bis	NOUN
cpos-74	495	19	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	495	20	für	für	X
cpos-74	495	21	österreich	österreich	PROPN
cpos-74	495	22	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	495	23	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	495	24	bundesländer	bundesländer	NOUN
cpos-74	495	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	496	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	496	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	496	5	55,12	55,12	NUM
cpos-74	496	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	7	977	977	NUM
cpos-74	496	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	496	9	989	989	NUM
cpos-74	496	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	11	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	496	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	496	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	496	14	the	the	DET
cpos-74	496	15	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	496	16	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	17	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	496	18	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	496	19	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	496	20	689	689	NUM
cpos-74	496	21	hanika	hanika	NOUN
cpos-74	496	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	23	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	496	24	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	496	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	26	zukünftige	zukünftige	PROPN
cpos-74	496	27	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	496	28	österreichs	österreich	VERB
cpos-74	496	29	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	496	30	bis	bis	ADJ
cpos-74	496	31	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	496	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	33	2075	2075	NUM
cpos-74	496	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	496	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	497	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	497	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	NOUN
cpos-74	497	5	11/2005	11/2005	NUM
cpos-74	497	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	7	974	974	NUM
cpos-74	497	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	497	9	985	985	NUM
cpos-74	497	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	497	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	13	alexander	alexander	NOUN
cpos-74	497	14	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	15	lebhart	lebhart	NOUN
cpos-74	497	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	17	gustav	gustav	PROPN
cpos-74	497	18	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	19	marik	marik	PROPN
cpos-74	497	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	21	stephan	stephan	PROPN
cpos-74	497	22	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-74	497	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	24	zukünftige	zukünftige	PROPN
cpos-74	497	25	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	497	26	österreichs	österreich	VERB
cpos-74	497	27	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	497	28	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	497	29	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	30	2075	2075	NUM
cpos-74	497	31	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	497	32	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	498	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	498	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	X
cpos-74	498	5	1/2004	1/2004	NUM
cpos-74	498	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	7	18	18	NUM
cpos-74	498	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	498	9	33	33	NUM
cpos-74	498	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	11	hanika	hanika	PROPN
cpos-74	498	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	13	alexander	alexander	PROPN
cpos-74	498	14	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	15	klotz	klotz	PROPN
cpos-74	498	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	17	johannes	johannes	PROPN
cpos-74	498	18	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	19	marik	marik	PROPN
cpos-74	498	20	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	21	lebeck	lebeck	PROPN
cpos-74	498	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	23	stephan	stephan	PROPN
cpos-74	498	24	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	498	25	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	26	zukünftige	zukünftige	PROPN
cpos-74	498	27	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	498	28	österreichs	österreich	VERB
cpos-74	498	29	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	498	30	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	498	31	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	498	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	33	2075	2075	NUM
cpos-74	498	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	498	35	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	499	1	neue	neue	PROPN
cpos-74	499	2	bevölkerungsprognose	bevölkerungsprognose	ADV
cpos-74	499	3	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	499	4	österreich	österreich	PROPN
cpos-74	499	5	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	499	6	die	die	VERB
cpos-74	499	7	bundesländer	bundesländer	NOUN
cpos-74	499	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	500	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	3	statistische	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	500	4	nachrichten	nachrichten	X
cpos-74	500	5	11/2009	11/2009	NUM
cpos-74	500	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	7	963	963	NUM
cpos-74	500	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	500	9	985	985	NUM
cpos-74	500	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	11	imhoff	imhoff	PROPN
cpos-74	500	12	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	13	evert	evert	PROPN
cpos-74	500	14	van	van	PROPN
cpos-74	500	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	16	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-74	500	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	18	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-74	500	19	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	500	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	21	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	500	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	500	23	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	500	24	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	500	25	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	500	26	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	500	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	500	28	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	500	29	comment	comment	NOUN
cpos-74	500	30	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	501	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	501	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	501	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	501	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	501	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	501	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	501	7	26,3	26,3	NUM
cpos-74	501	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	501	9	549	549	NUM
cpos-74	501	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	501	11	553	553	NUM
cpos-74	501	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	501	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	501	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	501	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-74	501	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	501	17	j.17284457.2000.00549.x	j.17284457.2000.00549.x	NOUN
cpos-74	501	18	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	501	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	502	1	kampl	kampl	NOUN
cpos-74	502	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	502	3	klaus	klaus	PROPN
cpos-74	502	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	502	5	rückert	rückert	NOUN
cpos-74	502	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	502	7	gerd	gerd	PROPN
cpos-74	502	8	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	502	9	1971	1971	NUM
cpos-74	502	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	502	11	voraussichtliche	voraussichtliche	PROPN
cpos-74	502	12	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	502	13	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-74	502	14	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-74	502	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	503	1	ergebnis	ergebnis	PROPN
cpos-74	503	2	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	503	3	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	503	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	503	5	koordinierten	koordinierten	PROPN
cpos-74	503	6	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	503	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	504	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	504	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	504	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	504	6	23/1971	23/1971	NUM
cpos-74	504	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	8	667	667	NUM
cpos-74	504	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	504	10	672	672	NUM
cpos-74	504	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	12	keilman	keilman	PROPN
cpos-74	504	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	14	nico	nico	PROPN
cpos-74	504	15	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	504	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	504	17	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	504	18	translation	translation	NOUN
cpos-74	504	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	505	1	from	from	ADP
cpos-74	505	2	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	505	3	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	505	4	cohort	cohort	VERB
cpos-74	505	5	perspective	perspective	NOUN
cpos-74	505	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	505	7	back	back	ADV
cpos-74	505	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	506	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	3	caselli	caselli	ADV
cpos-74	506	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	5	graziella	graziella	PROPN
cpos-74	506	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	7	vallin	vallin	PROPN
cpos-74	506	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	9	jaques	jaques	PROPN
cpos-74	506	10	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	11	wunsch	wunsch	PROPN
cpos-74	506	12	guillaume	guillaume	PROPN
cpos-74	506	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	14	eds	ed	NOUN
cpos-74	506	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	16	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	17	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-74	506	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	506	19	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	506	20	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	506	21	synthesis	synthesis	NOUN
cpos-74	506	22	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	507	1	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
cpos-74	507	2	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	507	3	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	507	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	507	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	508	1	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
cpos-74	508	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	508	3	215	215	NUM
cpos-74	508	4	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	508	5	225	225	NUM
cpos-74	508	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	509	1	keyfi	keyfi	PROPN
cpos-74	509	2	tz	tz	PROPN
cpos-74	509	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	509	4	nathan	nathan	PROPN
cpos-74	509	5	1982	1982	NUM
cpos-74	509	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	509	7	can	can	AUX
cpos-74	509	8	knowledge	knowledge	VERB
cpos-74	509	9	improve	improve	VERB
cpos-74	509	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	509	11	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	510	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	510	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	510	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	510	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	510	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	510	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	510	7	8,4	8,4	NUM
cpos-74	510	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	510	9	729	729	NUM
cpos-74	510	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	510	11	751	751	NUM
cpos-74	510	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	1	kim	kim	PROPN
cpos-74	511	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	3	young	young	ADJ
cpos-74	511	4	j.	j.	PROPN
cpos-74	511	5	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	6	schoen	schoen	PROPN
cpos-74	511	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	8	robert	robert	PROPN
cpos-74	511	9	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	511	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	11	on	on	ADP
cpos-74	511	12	the	the	DET
cpos-74	511	13	quantum	quantum	NOUN
cpos-74	511	14	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	511	15	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	511	16	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	511	17	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	511	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	19	limits	limit	NOUN
cpos-74	511	20	to	to	ADP
cpos-74	511	21	the	the	DET
cpos-74	511	22	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	511	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	511	24	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	511	25	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
cpos-74	511	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	512	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	512	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	512	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	512	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	512	7	26,3	26,3	NUM
cpos-74	512	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	9	554	554	NUM
cpos-74	512	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	512	11	559	559	NUM
cpos-74	512	12	[	[	X
cpos-74	512	13	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	512	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	15	10.1111	10.1111	NUM
cpos-74	512	16	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	512	17	j.1728	j.1728	NOUN
cpos-74	512	18	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	19	4457.2000.00554.x	4457.2000.00554.x	NUM
cpos-74	512	20	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	512	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	1	kohler	kohler	NOUN
cpos-74	513	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	3	hans	hans	PROPN
cpos-74	513	4	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	5	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-74	513	6	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	7	ortega	ortega	PROPN
cpos-74	513	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	9	josé	josé	PROPN
cpos-74	513	10	a.	a.	PROPN
cpos-74	513	11	2002	2002	NUM
cpos-74	513	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	13	tempo	tempo	NOUN
cpos-74	513	14	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	15	adjusted	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	513	16	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	513	17	parity	parity	NOUN
cpos-74	513	18	progression	progression	NOUN
cpos-74	513	19	measures	measure	NOUN
cpos-74	513	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	513	21	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	513	22	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	513	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	513	24	completed	complete	VERB
cpos-74	513	25	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	513	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	513	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	514	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	514	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	514	3	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	514	4	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	514	5	6,6	6,6	NUM
cpos-74	514	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	514	7	91	91	NUM
cpos-74	514	8	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	514	9	144	144	NUM
cpos-74	515	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	515	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	515	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	515	4	10.4054	10.4054	NUM
cpos-74	515	5	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	515	6	demres.2002.6.6	demres.2002.6.6	NOUN
cpos-74	515	7	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	515	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	1	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	516	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	3	michaela	michaela	PROPN
cpos-74	516	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	5	zeman	zeman	PROPN
cpos-74	516	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	7	kryštof	kryštof	PROPN
cpos-74	516	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	9	burkimsher	burkimsher	NOUN
cpos-74	516	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	11	marion	marion	PROPN
cpos-74	516	12	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	13	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	516	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	15	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	516	16	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	516	17	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	516	19	data	datum	NOUN
cpos-74	516	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	516	21	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	516	22	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	516	23	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	516	24	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	516	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	517	1	what	what	PRON
cpos-74	517	2	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	517	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	517	4	potential	potential	NOUN
cpos-74	517	5	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	518	1	where	where	SCONJ
cpos-74	518	2	are	be	AUX
cpos-74	518	3	the	the	DET
cpos-74	518	4	pitfalls	pitfall	NOUN
cpos-74	518	5	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	519	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	519	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	519	3	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	519	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	519	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	519	6	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	519	7	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	519	8	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	519	9	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	519	10	36,2	36,2	NUM
cpos-74	519	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	519	12	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	520	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	520	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	520	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	4	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	ADJ
cpos-74	520	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	6	06en	06en	NOUN
cpos-74	520	7	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	9	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-74	520	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	11	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-74	520	12	d.	d.	PROPN
cpos-74	520	13	1976	1976	NUM
cpos-74	520	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	520	15	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	520	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	520	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	520	18	the	the	DET
cpos-74	520	19	easterlin	easterlin	PROPN
cpos-74	520	20	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
cpos-74	520	21	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	521	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	521	4	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	521	5	development	development	NOUN
cpos-74	521	6	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	521	7	2	2	NUM
cpos-74	521	8	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	9	459	459	NUM
cpos-74	521	10	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	521	11	468	468	NUM
cpos-74	521	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	13	lee	lee	PROPN
cpos-74	521	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	15	ronald	ronald	PROPN
cpos-74	521	16	d.	d.	PROPN
cpos-74	521	17	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	18	tuljapurkar	tuljapurkar	PROPN
cpos-74	521	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	20	shripad	shripad	NOUN
cpos-74	521	21	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-74	521	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	23	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	521	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	521	25	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	521	26	the	the	DET
cpos-74	521	27	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	521	28	states	states	PROPN
cpos-74	521	29	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	30	beyond	beyond	ADP
cpos-74	521	31	high	high	ADJ
cpos-74	521	32	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	33	medium	medium	ADJ
cpos-74	521	34	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	521	35	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	521	36	low	low	ADJ
cpos-74	521	37	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	522	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	3	journal	journal	NOUN
cpos-74	522	4	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	522	5	the	the	DET
cpos-74	522	6	american	american	PROPN
cpos-74	522	7	statistical	statistical	ADJ
cpos-74	522	8	association	association	NOUN
cpos-74	522	9	89,428	89,428	NUM
cpos-74	522	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	11	1175	1175	NUM
cpos-74	522	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	522	13	1189	1189	NUM
cpos-74	522	14	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	15	linke	linke	PROPN
cpos-74	522	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	17	wilfried	wilfried	PROPN
cpos-74	522	18	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	19	höhn	höhn	PROPN
cpos-74	522	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	21	charlotte	charlotte	PROPN
cpos-74	522	22	1975	1975	NUM
cpos-74	522	23	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	522	24	voraussichtliche	voraussichtliche	PROPN
cpos-74	522	25	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	522	26	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	522	27	1990	1990	NUM
cpos-74	522	28	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	523	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	523	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	523	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	523	6	12/1975	12/1975	NUM
cpos-74	523	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	8	793	793	NUM
cpos-74	523	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	523	10	798	798	NUM
cpos-74	523	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	12	linke	linke	VERB
cpos-74	523	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	14	gerd	gerd	NOUN
cpos-74	523	15	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	16	rückert	rückert	NOUN
cpos-74	523	17	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	18	rüdiger	rüdiger	ADJ
cpos-74	523	19	1973	1973	NUM
cpos-74	523	20	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	21	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	523	22	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	523	23	voraussichtliche	voraussichtliche	PROPN
cpos-74	523	24	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	523	25	bis	bi	VERB
cpos-74	523	26	1985	1985	NUM
cpos-74	523	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	524	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	524	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	524	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	524	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	524	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	525	1	2/1973	2/1973	NUM
cpos-74	525	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	525	3	82	82	NUM
cpos-74	525	4	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	525	5	87	87	NUM
cpos-74	525	6	parizek	parizek	NOUN
cpos-74	525	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	525	8	klara	klara	PROPN
cpos-74	525	9	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	525	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	526	1	ex	ex	ADJ
cpos-74	526	2	-	-	ADJ
cpos-74	526	3	post	post	ADJ
cpos-74	526	4	error	error	NOUN
cpos-74	526	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	526	6	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	526	7	austrian	austrian	ADJ
cpos-74	526	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	526	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
cpos-74	526	10	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	526	11	national	national	ADJ
cpos-74	526	12	level	level	NOUN
cpos-74	526	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	527	1	diplomarbeit	diplomarbeit	PROPN
cpos-74	527	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	528	1	unpublished	unpublished	ADJ
cpos-74	528	2	diploma	diploma	NOUN
cpos-74	528	3	thesis	thesis	NOUN
cpos-74	528	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	529	1	pötzsch	pötzsch	PROPN
cpos-74	529	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	529	3	olga	olga	PROPN
cpos-74	529	4	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	529	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	529	6	annahmen	annahman	NOUN
cpos-74	529	7	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	529	8	geburtenentwicklung	geburtenentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	529	9	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	529	10	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	529	11	12	12	NUM
cpos-74	529	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	530	1	koordinierten	koordinierten	PROPN
cpos-74	530	2	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	530	3	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	531	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	531	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	531	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	531	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	531	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	531	6	01/2010	01/2010	PROPN
cpos-74	531	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	531	8	29	29	NUM
cpos-74	531	9	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	531	10	40	40	NUM
cpos-74	531	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	532	1	raftery	raftery	PROPN
cpos-74	532	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	532	3	adrian	adrian	PROPN
cpos-74	532	4	e.	e.	PROPN
cpos-74	532	5	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	532	6	al	al	PROPN
cpos-74	532	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	532	8	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	532	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	532	10	white	white	ADJ
cpos-74	532	11	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	532	12	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	532	13	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
cpos-74	532	14	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	532	15	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	532	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	532	17	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	532	18	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	532	19	rate	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	532	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	532	21	all	all	DET
cpos-74	532	22	countries	country	NOUN
cpos-74	532	23	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	532	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	532	25	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	532	26	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	532	27	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	532	28	prospects	prospect	NOUN
cpos-74	532	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	533	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	533	2	http://esa.un.org/wpp/documentation/egm-rftf_p16_raftery.pdf	http://esa.un.org/wpp/documentation/egm-rftf_p16_raftery.pdf	NOUN
cpos-74	533	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	533	4	01.09.2011	01.09.2011	NOUN
cpos-74	533	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	533	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	534	1	ryder	ryder	PROPN
cpos-74	534	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	534	3	norman	norman	PROPN
cpos-74	534	4	1980	1980	NUM
cpos-74	534	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	535	1	components	component	NOUN
cpos-74	535	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	535	3	temporal	temporal	ADJ
cpos-74	535	4	variations	variation	NOUN
cpos-74	535	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	535	6	american	american	ADJ
cpos-74	535	7	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	535	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	536	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	536	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	536	3	hiorns	hiorn	NOUN
cpos-74	536	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	536	5	robert	robert	PROPN
cpos-74	536	6	w.	w.	PROPN
cpos-74	536	7	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	536	8	eds	eds	PROPN
cpos-74	536	9	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	536	10	):	):	PUNCT
cpos-74	536	11	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	536	12	patterns	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	536	13	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	536	14	developed	develop	VERB
cpos-74	536	15	societies	society	NOUN
cpos-74	536	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	537	1	london	london	PROPN
cpos-74	537	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	538	1	taylor	taylor	PROPN
cpos-74	538	2	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	538	3	francis	francis	PROPN
cpos-74	538	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	538	5	15	15	NUM
cpos-74	538	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	538	7	54	54	NUM
cpos-74	538	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	1	•	•	NUM
cpos-74	539	2	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	539	3	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	539	4	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	539	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	6	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	539	7	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	539	8	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	9	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	539	10	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	539	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	12	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	539	13	prskawetz690	prskawetz690	PROPN
cpos-74	539	14	schoen	schoen	PROPN
cpos-74	539	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	16	robert	robert	PROPN
cpos-74	539	17	2004	2004	NUM
cpos-74	539	18	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	539	19	timing	time	VERB
cpos-74	539	20	effects	effect	NOUN
cpos-74	539	21	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	539	22	the	the	DET
cpos-74	539	23	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
cpos-74	539	24	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	539	25	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	539	26	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	539	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	540	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	540	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	540	3	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-74	540	4	41,4	41,4	ADV
cpos-74	540	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	540	6	801	801	NUM
cpos-74	540	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	540	8	819	819	NUM
cpos-74	540	9	[	[	X
cpos-74	540	10	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	540	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	540	12	10.1353	10.1353	NUM
cpos-74	540	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	540	14	dem.2004.0036	dem.2004.0036	NOUN
cpos-74	540	15	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	540	16	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	1	schubert	schubert	PROPN
cpos-74	541	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	3	renate	renate	PROPN
cpos-74	541	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	5	steiger	steiger	PROPN
cpos-74	541	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	7	raoul	raoul	PROPN
cpos-74	541	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	9	littmann	littmann	NOUN
cpos-74	541	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	11	wernli	wernli	PROPN
cpos-74	541	12	sabina	sabina	PROPN
cpos-74	541	13	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	541	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	15	kinderwunsch	kinderwunsch	PROPN
cpos-74	541	16	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	541	17	kinderzahl	kinderzahl	NOUN
cpos-74	541	18	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	541	19	determinanten	determinanten	VERB
cpos-74	541	20	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	541	21	geburtenrate	geburtenrate	NOUN
cpos-74	541	22	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	541	23	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	541	24	schweiz	schweiz	PROPN
cpos-74	541	25	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	542	1	soziale	soziale	PROPN
cpos-74	542	2	sicherheit	sicherheit	PROPN
cpos-74	542	3	chss	chss	PROPN
cpos-74	542	4	2/2009	2/2009	NUM
cpos-74	542	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	542	6	bsv	bsv	NOUN
cpos-74	542	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	543	1	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
cpos-74	543	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	543	3	tomáš	tomáš	NOUN
cpos-74	543	4	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	543	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	543	6	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	543	7	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	543	8	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	543	9	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	543	10	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	543	11	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	543	12	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	543	13	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	543	14	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	543	15	there	there	PRON
cpos-74	543	16	a	a	DET
cpos-74	543	17	common	common	ADJ
cpos-74	543	18	pattern	pattern	NOUN
cpos-74	543	19	?	?	PUNCT
cpos-74	544	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	544	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	544	3	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	544	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	544	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	544	6	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	544	7	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	544	8	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	544	9	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	544	10	36,2	36,2	NUM
cpos-74	544	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	544	12	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	545	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	545	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	545	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	545	4	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	NUM
cpos-74	545	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	545	6	12en	12en	NOUN
cpos-74	545	7	]	]	X
cpos-74	545	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	1	sobotka	sobotka	ADJ
cpos-74	546	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	3	tomáš	tomáš	NOUN
cpos-74	546	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	5	zeman	zeman	PROPN
cpos-74	546	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	7	kryštof	kryštof	PROPN
cpos-74	546	8	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	9	lesthaeghe	lesthaeghe	NOUN
cpos-74	546	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	11	ron	ron	PROPN
cpos-74	546	12	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	13	frejka	frejka	PROPN
cpos-74	546	14	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	15	tomas	tomas	PROPN
cpos-74	546	16	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	17	neels	neels	PROPN
cpos-74	546	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	19	karel	karel	PROPN
cpos-74	546	20	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	546	21	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	22	postponement	postponement	NOUN
cpos-74	546	23	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	546	24	recuperation	recuperation	NOUN
cpos-74	546	25	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	546	26	cohort	cohort	NOUN
cpos-74	546	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	546	28	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	29	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	546	30	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	546	31	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	546	32	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	546	33	switzerland	switzerland	PROPN
cpos-74	546	34	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	546	35	a	a	DET
cpos-74	546	36	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	546	37	context	context	NOUN
cpos-74	546	38	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	547	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	547	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	547	3	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	547	4	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	547	5	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	547	6	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	547	7	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	547	8	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	547	9	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	547	10	36,2	36,2	NUM
cpos-74	547	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	547	12	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	548	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	548	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	548	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	548	4	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	10.4232/10.cpos-2011	NUM
cpos-74	548	5	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	548	6	10en	10en	NOUN
cpos-74	548	7	]	]	X
cpos-74	548	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	549	1	sommer	sommer	PROPN
cpos-74	549	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	549	3	bettina	bettina	PROPN
cpos-74	549	4	1992	1992	NUM
cpos-74	549	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	549	6	entwicklung	entwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	549	7	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	549	8	bevölkerung	bevölkerung	AUX
cpos-74	549	9	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	549	10	2030	2030	NUM
cpos-74	549	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	550	1	ergebnis	ergebnis	PROPN
cpos-74	550	2	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	550	3	siebten	siebten	VERB
cpos-74	550	4	koordinierten	koordinierten	NOUN
cpos-74	550	5	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	550	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	551	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	551	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	551	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	551	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	551	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	551	6	4/1992	4/1992	PROPN
cpos-74	551	7	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	551	8	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	551	9	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	551	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	552	1	sommer	sommer	NOUN
cpos-74	552	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	552	3	bettina	bettina	PROPN
cpos-74	552	4	1994	1994	NUM
cpos-74	552	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	552	6	entwicklung	entwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	552	7	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	552	8	bevölkerung	bevölkerung	AUX
cpos-74	552	9	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	552	10	2040	2040	NUM
cpos-74	552	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	553	1	ergebnis	ergebnis	PROPN
cpos-74	553	2	der	der	PROPN
cpos-74	553	3	achten	achten	PROPN
cpos-74	553	4	koordinierten	koordinierten	PROPN
cpos-74	553	5	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	553	6	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	554	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	554	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	554	3	wirtschaft	wirtschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	554	4	und	und	PROPN
cpos-74	554	5	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	554	6	7/1994	7/1994	PROPN
cpos-74	554	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	554	8	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	554	9	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	554	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	555	1	sorvillo	sorvillo	PROPN
cpos-74	555	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	555	3	maria	maria	PROPN
cpos-74	555	4	p.	p.	PROPN
cpos-74	555	5	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-74	555	6	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	556	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	556	2	projections	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	556	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	556	4	an	an	DET
cpos-74	556	5	international	international	ADJ
cpos-74	556	6	comparison	comparison	NOUN
cpos-74	556	7	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	557	1	working	work	VERB
cpos-74	557	2	paper	paper	NOUN
cpos-74	557	3	no	no	INTJ
cpos-74	557	4	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	557	5	29	29	NUM
cpos-74	557	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	557	7	conference	conference	NOUN
cpos-74	557	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	557	9	european	european	ADJ
cpos-74	557	10	statisticans	statistican	NOUN
cpos-74	557	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	558	1	perugia	perugia	PROPN
cpos-74	558	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	558	3	italy	italy	PROPN
cpos-74	558	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	558	5	3	3	NUM
cpos-74	558	6	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	558	7	7	7	NUM
cpos-74	558	8	may	may	PROPN
cpos-74	558	9	1999	1999	NUM
cpos-74	558	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	559	2	http://	http://	PROPN
cpos-74	559	3	www.unece.org/stats/documents/1999/05/projections/29.e.pdf	www.unece.org/stats/documents/1999/05/projections/29.e.pdf	PROPN
cpos-74	559	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	5	03.05.2011	03.05.2011	PROPN
cpos-74	559	6	]	]	X
cpos-74	559	7	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	559	8	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	559	9	2008	2008	NUM
cpos-74	559	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	11	standard	standard	ADJ
cpos-74	559	12	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	13	dokumentation	dokumentation	NOUN
cpos-74	559	14	metainformationen	metainformationen	PROPN
cpos-74	559	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	16	defi	defi	PROPN
cpos-74	559	17	nitionen	nitionen	PROPN
cpos-74	559	18	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	19	erläuterungen	erläuterungen	PROPN
cpos-74	559	20	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	21	methoden	methoden	ADJ
cpos-74	559	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	23	qualität	qualität	NOUN
cpos-74	559	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	559	25	zu	zu	NOUN
cpos-74	559	26	bevölkerungsprognosen	bevölkerungsprognosen	NOUN
cpos-74	559	27	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	560	1	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	560	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	561	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	561	2	http://www.statistik.at/web_de/wcmsprod/groups/gd/documents/stddok/029279.pdf	http://www.statistik.at/web_de/wcmsprod/groups/gd/documents/stddok/029279.pdf	PROPN
cpos-74	561	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	561	4	08.09.2011	08.09.2011	PROPN
cpos-74	561	5	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	561	6	statistik	statistik	PROPN
cpos-74	561	7	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	561	8	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	561	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	561	10	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	bevölkerungsvorausschätzung	PROPN
cpos-74	561	11	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	561	12	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	561	13	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	561	14	sowie	sowie	ADJ
cpos-74	561	15	modellrechnung	modellrechnung	NOUN
cpos-74	561	16	bis	bis	X
cpos-74	561	17	2075	2075	NUM
cpos-74	561	18	für	für	NOUN
cpos-74	561	19	österreich	österreich	NOUN
cpos-74	561	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	562	1	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	562	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	563	1	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	563	2	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	563	3	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-74	563	4	2000	2000	NUM
cpos-74	563	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	564	1	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	564	2	deutschlands	deutschlands	X
cpos-74	564	3	bis	bis	VERB
cpos-74	564	4	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	564	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	565	1	ergebnisse	ergebnisse	PROPN
cpos-74	565	2	der	der	NOUN
cpos-74	565	3	9	9	NUM
cpos-74	565	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	565	5	koordinierten	koordinierten	PROPN
cpos-74	565	6	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	565	7	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	565	8	bundes	bunde	NOUN
cpos-74	565	9	und	und	VERB
cpos-74	565	10	der	der	ADJ
cpos-74	565	11	länder	länder	PROPN
cpos-74	565	12	zur	zur	PROPN
cpos-74	565	13	bevölkerungsentwicklung	bevölkerungsentwicklung	PROPN
cpos-74	565	14	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	566	1	2050.wiesbaden	2050.wiesbaden	INTJ
cpos-74	566	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	566	3	statistisches	statistische	NOUN
cpos-74	566	4	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	566	5	deutschland	deutschland	PROPN
cpos-74	566	6	2003	2003	NUM
cpos-74	566	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	566	8	bevölkerung	bevölkerung	PROPN
cpos-74	566	9	deutschlands	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-74	566	10	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	566	11	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	566	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	567	1	10	10	NUM
cpos-74	567	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	567	3	koordinierte	koordinierte	PROPN
cpos-74	567	4	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	567	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	568	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-74	568	2	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	569	1	statistisches	statistisches	PROPN
cpos-74	569	2	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	569	3	deutschland	deutschland	PROPN
cpos-74	569	4	2006	2006	NUM
cpos-74	569	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	569	6	bevölkerung	bevölkerung	PROPN
cpos-74	569	7	deutschlands	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-74	569	8	bis	bis	PROPN
cpos-74	569	9	2050	2050	NUM
cpos-74	569	10	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	570	1	11	11	NUM
cpos-74	570	2	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	570	3	koordinierte	koordinierte	PROPN
cpos-74	570	4	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	570	5	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	571	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-74	571	2	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	572	1	statistisches	statistisches	PROPN
cpos-74	572	2	bundesamt	bundesamt	VERB
cpos-74	572	3	deutschland	deutschland	NOUN
cpos-74	572	4	2009	2009	NUM
cpos-74	572	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	572	6	bevölkerung	bevölkerung	PROPN
cpos-74	572	7	deutschlands	deutschlands	X
cpos-74	572	8	bis	bis	X
cpos-74	572	9	2060	2060	NUM
cpos-74	572	10	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	572	11	12	12	NUM
cpos-74	572	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	572	13	koordinierte	koordinierte	PROPN
cpos-74	572	14	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	bevölkerungsvorausberechnung	PROPN
cpos-74	572	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	573	1	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-74	573	2	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	574	1	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	574	2	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	574	3	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-74	574	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	574	5	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	574	6	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	574	7	policies	policy	NOUN
cpos-74	574	8	2007	2007	NUM
cpos-74	574	9	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	575	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	575	2	http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wpp2007/publication_index.htm	http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/wpp2007/publication_index.htm	NOUN
cpos-74	575	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	575	4	06.05.2011	06.05.2011	NUM
cpos-74	575	5	]	]	X
cpos-74	575	6	united	united	PROPN
cpos-74	575	7	nations	nations	PROPN
cpos-74	575	8	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	575	9	division	division	NOUN
cpos-74	575	10	2011	2011	NUM
cpos-74	575	11	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	575	12	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	575	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	575	14	prospects	prospect	NOUN
cpos-74	575	15	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	575	16	the	the	DET
cpos-74	575	17	2010	2010	NUM
cpos-74	575	18	revision	revision	NOUN
cpos-74	575	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	576	2	http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/	http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/	NOUN
cpos-74	576	3	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	4	07.09.2011	07.09.2011	SYM
cpos-74	576	5	]	]	X
cpos-74	576	6	wanner	wanner	NOUN
cpos-74	576	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	8	philippe	philippe	PROPN
cpos-74	576	9	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	10	fei	fei	PROPN
cpos-74	576	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	12	peng	peng	PROPN
cpos-74	576	13	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	576	14	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	576	15	facteurs	facteur	VERB
cpos-74	576	16	infl	infl	PROPN
cpos-74	576	17	uençant	uençant	PROPN
cpos-74	576	18	le	le	PROPN
cpos-74	576	19	comportement	comportement	PROPN
cpos-74	576	20	reproductif	reproductif	PROPN
cpos-74	576	21	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	576	22	suissesses	suissesses	PROPN
cpos-74	576	23	et	et	PROPN
cpos-74	576	24	des	des	PROPN
cpos-74	576	25	suisses	suisses	PROPN
cpos-74	576	26	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	577	1	bfs	bfs	PROPN
cpos-74	577	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	577	3	neuchâtel	neuchâtel	PROPN
cpos-74	577	4	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	1	wilson	wilson	PROPN
cpos-74	578	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	3	tom	tom	PROPN
cpos-74	578	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	5	rees	rees	PROPN
cpos-74	578	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	7	phil	phil	NOUN
cpos-74	578	8	2005	2005	NUM
cpos-74	578	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	10	recent	recent	ADJ
cpos-74	578	11	developments	development	NOUN
cpos-74	578	12	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	578	13	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	578	14	projection	projection	NOUN
cpos-74	578	15	methodology	methodology	PROPN
cpos-74	578	16	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	578	17	a	a	DET
cpos-74	578	18	review	review	NOUN
cpos-74	578	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	579	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	3	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	579	4	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	5	space	space	NOUN
cpos-74	579	6	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	579	7	place	place	NOUN
cpos-74	579	8	11,5	11,5	NUM
cpos-74	579	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	10	337	337	NUM
cpos-74	579	11	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	579	12	360	360	NUM
cpos-74	579	13	[	[	X
cpos-74	579	14	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	579	15	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	16	10.1002	10.1002	NUM
cpos-74	579	17	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	579	18	psp.389	psp.389	NOUN
cpos-74	579	19	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	579	20	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	1	zeng	zeng	PROPN
cpos-74	580	2	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	3	yi	yi	PROPN
cpos-74	580	4	;	;	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	5	land	land	NOUN
cpos-74	580	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	7	kenneth	kenneth	PROPN
cpos-74	580	8	c.	c.	PROPN
cpos-74	580	9	2001	2001	NUM
cpos-74	580	10	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	580	12	sensitivity	sensitivity	NOUN
cpos-74	580	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
cpos-74	580	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	580	15	the	the	DET
cpos-74	580	16	bongaarts	bongaart	NOUN
cpos-74	580	17	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	580	18	feeney	feeney	PROPN
cpos-74	580	19	method	method	NOUN
cpos-74	580	20	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	580	21	adjusting	adjust	VERB
cpos-74	580	22	bias	bias	NOUN
cpos-74	580	23	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	580	24	observed	observed	ADJ
cpos-74	580	25	period	period	NOUN
cpos-74	580	26	total	total	ADJ
cpos-74	580	27	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	580	28	rates	rate	NOUN
cpos-74	580	29	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	581	1	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	581	2	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	581	3	demography	demography	NOUN
cpos-74	581	4	38,1	38,1	NOUN
cpos-74	581	5	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	581	6	17	17	NUM
cpos-74	581	7	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	581	8	28	28	NUM
cpos-74	582	1	[	[	X
cpos-74	582	2	doi	doi	NOUN
cpos-74	582	3	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	582	4	10.1353	10.1353	NUM
cpos-74	582	5	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	582	6	dem.2001.0010	dem.2001.0010	NOUN
cpos-74	582	7	]	]	PUNCT
cpos-74	582	8	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	1	fertility	fertility	NOUN
cpos-74	583	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
cpos-74	583	3	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	583	4	the	the	DET
cpos-74	583	5	german	german	NOUN
cpos-74	583	6	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	7	speaking	speak	VERB
cpos-74	583	8	world	world	NOUN
cpos-74	583	9	•	•	ADP
cpos-74	583	10	691	691	NUM
cpos-74	583	11	a	a	DET
cpos-74	583	12	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	583	13	translation	translation	NOUN
cpos-74	583	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	583	15	this	this	PRON
cpos-74	583	16	reviewed	review	VERB
cpos-74	583	17	and	and	CCONJ
cpos-74	583	18	author	author	NOUN
cpos-74	583	19	’s	’s	PART
cpos-74	583	20	authorised	authorise	VERB
cpos-74	583	21	original	original	ADJ
cpos-74	583	22	article	article	NOUN
cpos-74	583	23	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	583	24	the	the	DET
cpos-74	583	25	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	583	26	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	583	27	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	583	28	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	583	29	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	583	30	is	be	AUX
cpos-74	583	31	available	available	ADJ
cpos-74	583	32	under	under	ADP
cpos-74	583	33	the	the	DET
cpos-74	583	34	title	title	NOUN
cpos-74	583	35	“	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	36	fertilitätsprognosen	fertilitätsprognosen	PROPN
cpos-74	583	37	i	i	PROPN
cpos-74	583	38	m	m	PROPN
cpos-74	583	39	deutschsprachigen	deutschsprachigen	PROPN
cpos-74	583	40	raum	raum	NOUN
cpos-74	583	41	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	42	bisherige	bisherige	PROPN
cpos-74	583	43	erfahrungen	erfahrungen	PROPN
cpos-74	583	44	und	und	NOUN
cpos-74	583	45	verbesserungsmöglichkeiten	verbesserungsmöglichkeiten	NOUN
cpos-74	583	46	”	"	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	47	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	48	doi	doi	X
cpos-74	583	49	10.4232/10.cpos-201109de	10.4232/10.cpos-201109de	NUM
cpos-74	583	50	or	or	CCONJ
cpos-74	583	51	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-74	583	52	urn	urn	NOUN
cpos-74	583	53	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	54	nbn	nbn	NOUN
cpos-74	583	55	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	56	de	de	ADJ
cpos-74	583	57	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	58	bib	bib	ADJ
cpos-74	583	59	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	60	cpos-2011	cpos-2011	NOUN
cpos-74	583	61	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	62	09de5	09de5	NOUN
cpos-74	583	63	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	583	64	at	at	ADP
cpos-74	583	65	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	http://www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN
cpos-74	583	66	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	1	date	date	NOUN
cpos-74	584	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	584	3	submission	submission	NOUN
cpos-74	584	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	5	21.02.2011	21.02.2011	NUM
cpos-74	584	6	date	date	NOUN
cpos-74	584	7	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	584	8	acceptance	acceptance	NOUN
cpos-74	584	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	10	31.10.2011	31.10.2011	NUM
cpos-74	584	11	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	584	12	r.	r.	PROPN
cpos-74	584	13	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	584	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	16	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	584	17	felix	felix	PROPN
cpos-74	584	18	rößger	rößger	NOUN
cpos-74	584	19	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	585	1	max	max	PROPN
cpos-74	585	2	planck	planck	PROPN
cpos-74	585	3	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	585	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	585	5	demographic	demographic	ADJ
cpos-74	585	6	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	585	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	585	8	18057	18057	NUM
cpos-74	585	9	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-74	585	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	585	11	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	585	12	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	586	1	e	e	X
cpos-74	586	2	-	-	NOUN
cpos-74	586	3	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-74	586	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	586	5	goldstein@demogr.mpg.de	goldstein@demogr.mpg.de	ADJ
cpos-74	586	6	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	586	7	roessger@demogr.mpg.de	roessger@demogr.mpg.de	NOUN
cpos-74	586	8	url	url	PROPN
cpos-74	586	9	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	586	10	http://www.demogr.mpg.de	http://www.demogr.mpg.de	NUM
cpos-74	586	11	ina	ina	PROPN
cpos-74	586	12	jaschinski	jaschinski	PROPN
cpos-74	586	13	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	587	1	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-74	587	2	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	587	3	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	587	4	demography	demography	PROPN
cpos-74	587	5	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	587	6	austrian	austrian	ADJ
cpos-74	587	7	academy	academy	NOUN
cpos-74	587	8	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	587	9	sciences	sciences	PROPN
cpos-74	587	10	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	587	11	1040	1040	NUM
cpos-74	587	12	vienna	vienna	NOUN
cpos-74	587	13	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	587	14	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	587	15	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	588	1	e	e	X
cpos-74	588	2	-	-	NOUN
cpos-74	588	3	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-74	588	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	588	5	ina.jaschinski@oeaw.ac.at	ina.jaschinski@oeaw.ac.at	PROPN
cpos-74	588	6	url	url	PROPN
cpos-74	588	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	588	8	http://www.oeaw.ac.at	http://www.oeaw.ac.at	PROPN
cpos-74	588	9	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	588	10	prskawetz	prskawetz	PROPN
cpos-74	588	11	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	1	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	589	2	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	589	3	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
cpos-74	589	4	methods	method	NOUN
cpos-74	589	5	in	in	ADP
cpos-74	589	6	economics	economic	NOUN
cpos-74	589	7	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	8	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	589	9	unit	unit	NOUN
cpos-74	589	10	economics	economics	PROPN
cpos-74	589	11	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	12	vienna	vienna	PROPN
cpos-74	589	13	university	university	PROPN
cpos-74	589	14	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	589	15	technology	technology	PROPN
cpos-74	589	16	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	17	tu	tu	PROPN
cpos-74	589	18	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	19	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	20	1040	1040	NUM
cpos-74	589	21	vienna	vienna	NOUN
cpos-74	589	22	,	,	PUNCT
cpos-74	589	23	austria	austria	PROPN
cpos-74	589	24	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	590	1	e	e	X
cpos-74	590	2	-	-	NOUN
cpos-74	590	3	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-74	590	4	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	590	5	afp@econ.tuwien.ac.at	afp@econ.tuwien.ac.at	NUM
cpos-74	590	6	url	url	PROPN
cpos-74	590	7	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	590	8	http://www.econ.tuwien.ac.at	http://www.econ.tuwien.ac.at	PROPN
cpos-74	591	1	©	©	PROPN
cpos-74	591	2	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	591	3	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	591	4	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	591	5	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	591	6	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	591	7	2012	2012	NUM
cpos-74	591	8	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	591	9	all	all	DET
cpos-74	591	10	rights	right	NOUN
cpos-74	591	11	reserved	reserve	VERB
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cpos-74	591	13	by	by	ADP
cpos-74	591	14	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	591	15	herausgegeben	herausgegeben	PROPN
cpos-74	591	16	von	von	PROPN
cpos-74	591	17	prof	prof	PROPN
cpos-74	591	18	.	.	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	1	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-74	592	2	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	592	3	norbert	norbert	PROPN
cpos-74	592	4	f.	f.	PROPN
cpos-74	592	5	schneider	schneider	PROPN
cpos-74	592	6	federal	federal	PROPN
cpos-74	592	7	institute	institute	PROPN
cpos-74	592	8	for	for	ADP
cpos-74	592	9	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	592	10	research	research	NOUN
cpos-74	592	11	d-65180	d-65180	PROPN
cpos-74	592	12	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-74	592	13	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	14	germany	germany	PROPN
cpos-74	592	15	managing	manage	VERB
cpos-74	592	16	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-74	592	17	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	18	verantwortlicher	verantwortlicher	PROPN
cpos-74	592	19	redakteur	redakteur	PROPN
cpos-74	592	20	frank	frank	PROPN
cpos-74	592	21	swiaczny	swiaczny	PROPN
cpos-74	592	22	editorial	editorial	ADJ
cpos-74	592	23	assistant	assistant	NOUN
cpos-74	592	24	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	25	redaktionsassistenz	redaktionsassistenz	PROPN
cpos-74	592	26	katrin	katrin	PROPN
cpos-74	592	27	schiefer	schiefer	PROPN
cpos-74	592	28	language	language	PROPN
cpos-74	592	29	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-74	592	30	copy	copy	PROPN
cpos-74	592	31	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-74	592	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	33	english	english	PROPN
cpos-74	592	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	35	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	36	lektorat	lektorat	PROPN
cpos-74	592	37	&	&	CCONJ
cpos-74	592	38	übersetzungen	übersetzungen	PROPN
cpos-74	592	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	40	englisch	englisch	ADJ
cpos-74	592	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	42	amelie	amelie	NOUN
cpos-74	592	43	franke	franke	PROPN
cpos-74	592	44	copy	copy	NOUN
cpos-74	592	45	editor	editor	NOUN
cpos-74	592	46	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	47	german	german	ADJ
cpos-74	592	48	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	49	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	50	lektorat	lektorat	NOUN
cpos-74	592	51	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	52	deutsch	deutsch	PROPN
cpos-74	592	53	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	54	dr	dr	PROPN
cpos-74	592	55	.	.	PROPN
cpos-74	592	56	evelyn	evelyn	PROPN
cpos-74	592	57	grünheid	grünheid	PROPN
cpos-74	592	58	layout	layout	PROPN
cpos-74	592	59	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	60	satz	satz	PROPN
cpos-74	592	61	beatriz	beatriz	PROPN
cpos-74	592	62	feiler	feiler	NOUN
cpos-74	592	63	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	64	fuchs	fuchs	ADJ
cpos-74	592	65	e	e	NOUN
cpos-74	592	66	-	-	NOUN
cpos-74	592	67	mail	mail	NOUN
cpos-74	592	68	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	69	cpos@destatis.de	cpos@destatis.de	NUM
cpos-74	592	70	scientifi	scientifi	PROPN
cpos-74	592	71	c	c	PROPN
cpos-74	592	72	advisory	advisory	PROPN
cpos-74	592	73	board	board	PROPN
cpos-74	592	74	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	592	75	wissenschaftlicher	wissenschaftlicher	ADJ
cpos-74	592	76	beirat	beirat	PROPN
cpos-74	592	77	jürgen	jürgen	PROPN
cpos-74	592	78	dorbritz	dorbritz	PROPN
cpos-74	592	79	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	80	wiesbaden	wiesbaden	PROPN
cpos-74	592	81	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	82	paul	paul	PROPN
cpos-74	592	83	gans	gans	PROPN
cpos-74	592	84	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	592	85	mannheim	mannheim	NOUN
cpos-74	592	86	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	1	johannes	johanne	NOUN
cpos-74	593	2	huinink	huinink	VERB
cpos-74	593	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	4	bremen	breman	NOUN
cpos-74	593	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	6	marc	marc	PROPN
cpos-74	593	7	luy	luy	PROPN
cpos-74	593	8	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	9	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	593	10	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	11	clara	clara	PROPN
cpos-74	593	12	h.	h.	PROPN
cpos-74	593	13	mulder	mulder	PROPN
cpos-74	593	14	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	15	groningen	groningen	PROPN
cpos-74	593	16	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	17	notburga	notburga	NOUN
cpos-74	593	18	ott	ott	PROPN
cpos-74	593	19	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	20	bochum	bochum	PROPN
cpos-74	593	21	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	22	peter	peter	PROPN
cpos-74	593	23	preisendörfer	preisendörfer	VERB
cpos-74	593	24	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	25	mainz	mainz	NOUN
cpos-74	593	26	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	27	board	board	NOUN
cpos-74	593	28	of	of	ADP
cpos-74	593	29	reviewers	reviewer	NOUN
cpos-74	593	30	/	/	SYM
cpos-74	593	31	gutachterbeirat	gutachterbeirat	NOUN
cpos-74	593	32	martin	martin	PROPN
cpos-74	593	33	abraham	abraham	PROPN
cpos-74	593	34	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	35	erlangen	erlangen	PROPN
cpos-74	593	36	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	37	laura	laura	PROPN
cpos-74	593	38	bernardi	bernardi	PROPN
cpos-74	593	39	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	40	lausanne	lausanne	PROPN
cpos-74	593	41	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	42	hansjörg	hansjörg	NOUN
cpos-74	593	43	bucher	bucher	PROPN
cpos-74	593	44	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	45	bonn	bonn	PROPN
cpos-74	593	46	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	47	claudia	claudia	PROPN
cpos-74	593	48	diehl	diehl	PROPN
cpos-74	593	49	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	50	göttingen	göttingen	PROPN
cpos-74	593	51	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	52	andreas	andreas	PROPN
cpos-74	593	53	diekmann	diekmann	PROPN
cpos-74	593	54	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	593	55	zürich	zürich	NOUN
cpos-74	593	56	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	1	gabriele	gabriele	PROPN
cpos-74	594	2	doblhammer	doblhammer	PROPN
cpos-74	594	3	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	4	reiter	reiter	NOUN
cpos-74	594	5	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	6	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-74	594	7	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	8	henriette	henriette	PROPN
cpos-74	594	9	engelhardt	engelhardt	PROPN
cpos-74	594	10	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	11	wölfl	wölfl	PROPN
cpos-74	594	12	er	er	INTJ
cpos-74	594	13	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	14	bamberg	bamberg	PROPN
cpos-74	594	15	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	16	e.-jürgen	e.-jürgen	NOUN
cpos-74	594	17	flöthmann	flöthmann	X
cpos-74	594	18	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	19	bielefeld	bielefeld	PROPN
cpos-74	594	20	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	21	alexia	alexia	PROPN
cpos-74	594	22	fürnkranz	fürnkranz	PROPN
cpos-74	594	23	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	24	prskawetz	prskawetz	NOUN
cpos-74	594	25	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	26	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	594	27	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	28	beat	beat	VERB
cpos-74	594	29	fux	fux	PROPN
cpos-74	594	30	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	31	zürich	zürich	PROPN
cpos-74	594	32	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	33	joshua	joshua	PROPN
cpos-74	594	34	goldstein	goldstein	PROPN
cpos-74	594	35	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	36	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-74	594	37	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	38	karsten	karsten	PROPN
cpos-74	594	39	hank	hank	PROPN
cpos-74	594	40	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	594	41	köln	köln	NOUN
cpos-74	594	42	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	1	sonja	sonja	PROPN
cpos-74	595	2	haug	haug	PROPN
cpos-74	595	3	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	4	regensburg	regensburg	NOUN
cpos-74	595	5	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	6	franz	franz	PROPN
cpos-74	595	7	-	-	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	8	josef	josef	PROPN
cpos-74	595	9	kemper	kemper	PROPN
cpos-74	595	10	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	11	berlin	berlin	PROPN
cpos-74	595	12	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	13	michaela	michaela	PROPN
cpos-74	595	14	kreyenfeld	kreyenfeld	PROPN
cpos-74	595	15	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	16	rostock	rostock	PROPN
cpos-74	595	17	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	18	aart	aart	PROPN
cpos-74	595	19	c.	c.	PROPN
cpos-74	595	20	liefbroer	liefbroer	PROPN
cpos-74	595	21	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	22	den	den	PROPN
cpos-74	595	23	haag	haag	PROPN
cpos-74	595	24	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	25	kurt	kurt	PROPN
cpos-74	595	26	lüscher	lüscher	PROPN
cpos-74	595	27	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	28	konstanz	konstanz	PROPN
cpos-74	595	29	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	30	dimiter	dimiter	NOUN
cpos-74	595	31	philipov	philipov	NOUN
cpos-74	595	32	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	33	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	595	34	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	35	tomáš	tomáš	ADP
cpos-74	595	36	sobotka	sobotka	PROPN
cpos-74	595	37	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	38	wien	wien	PROPN
cpos-74	595	39	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	40	heike	heike	PROPN
cpos-74	595	41	trappe	trappe	PROPN
cpos-74	595	42	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	43	rostock	rostock	NOUN
cpos-74	595	44	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	45	comparative	comparative	ADJ
cpos-74	595	46	population	population	NOUN
cpos-74	595	47	studies	study	NOUN
cpos-74	595	48	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	49	zeitschrift	zeitschrift	NOUN
cpos-74	595	50	für	für	PROPN
cpos-74	595	51	bevölkerungswissenschaft	bevölkerungswissenschaft	PROPN
cpos-74	595	52	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	www.comparativepopulationstudies.de	PROPN
cpos-74	595	53	issn	issn	PROPN
cpos-74	595	54	:	:	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	55	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-74	595	56	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	595	57	8980	8980	NUM
cpos-74	595	58	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	59	print	print	NOUN
cpos-74	595	60	)	)	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	61	–	–	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	62	1869	1869	NUM
cpos-74	595	63	-	-	SYM
cpos-74	595	64	8999	8999	NUM
cpos-74	595	65	(	(	PUNCT
cpos-74	595	66	internet	internet	NOUN
cpos-74	595	67	)	)	PUNCT