Date of submission: May 1, 2022; date of acceptance: June 6, 2022. * Contact information (corresponding author): rajesh.desai8@gmail.com, rajesh. desai@nirmauni.ac.in, School of Liberal Studies, Pandit Deendayal Energy University, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India, phone: 8160467579; ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000- 0003-3611-8409. ** Contact information: avaniraval@nirmauni.ac.in, Institute of Management, Nir- ma University, Ahmedabad Gujarat, India, phone: 9375482929; ORCID ID: https://orcid. org/0000-0002-3933-6316. Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting e-ISSN 2300-3065 p-ISSN 2300-12402022, volume 11, issue 3 Desai, R., & Raval, A. (2022). Examining the Relation Between Market Value and CO2 Emission: Study of Indian Firms. Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, 11(3), 9–25, http://dx.doi. org/10.12775/CJFA.2022.011 Rajesh Desai* Pandit Deendayal Energy University avani Raval** Institute of Management, Nirma University examining the Relation between maRket value anD co2 emission: stuDy of inDian fiRms Keywords: market value, CO2 emission, India, sustainability, emerging. J E L Classification: Q51, Q56. Abstract: In the present era, sustainable business practices have become an important metric for measuring the organisational effectiveness. Shareholders have added sus- tainability as an important dimension of firms’ performance and consider it as value relevant for determining the market value of any company. Given the premises, pre- sent study examines the impact of CO2 emission on the market value of the firm (meas- ured by market-to-book value ratio and Tobin’s Q ratio) in the context of a developing country. Current study is based on panel data of 230 firm-year observations collected from the annual report of Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) and annual report of sam- ple companies. Using panel least square regression analysis, the findings indicate sig- nificant adverse impact of CO2 emission on the firm value. In other words, sharehold- Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval1010 ers assign negative value to higher discharge of carbon dioxide and ref lect the same by lowering the market value of shares. Further, the results are checked for robustness us- ing generalised method of moments (GMM) and the conclusions are found coinciding. Present findings have important implications for regulatory authorities, policy makers, and practicing managers. Introduction Introduction Though industrialisation has brought several progressive changes in the evo- lution of human life, one of the most antagonistic effects is the environmental degradation which forced us to think about the success of the current state of world economy. Ecological concerns such as global warming, monsoon irregu- larities, and natural calamities such as f loods and famines are the outcomes of raising emission of carbon and other toxic materials by the industrial and manu- facturing undertakings. However, the global community have started respond- ing to this and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), has initiated to address this issue. In 2005, the Kyoto protocol has been imposed to confine the amount of CO2 discharge to the allowable range for the advanced nations. CO2 discharge is one of the critical determinants of degradation of environment quality and investors and shareholder considered the same as an important issue affecting firm value (Busch & Hoffmann, 2011; Lewandowski, 2017). Cumulative awareness and concern about polluting en- vironment has pressurised companies to reduce their GHG emission (Jeswani, Wehrmeyer & Mulugetta, 2008; Raval, Saxena & Thanki, 2021) and evaluate as well as report opportunities and/or threats arising from climate-change faced by the companies (Matsumura, Prakash & Vera-Muñoz, 2014). This gave rise to a long-standing debate among the organisations as well as researchers about the association between emission level and the firm performance. Till now, sev- eral studies have been conducted on different facets of society, governance and environment along with their possible inf luence on the financial performance (Kleimeier & Viehs, 2016). Primarily, these research inquiries have focused on developed economies (Nishitani & Kokubu, 2012; Ramiah, Martin & Moo- sa, 2013) which have an established legal and institutional framework for dis- closing environmental and emission data. However, this area is underexplored with respect to the emerging countries like India (Aifuwa, 2020). In the given context, present study attempts to provide comprehensive ex- amination of the association between market value of firm and the level of car- Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 1111 bon discharge. Shareholders use the disclosed financial and non-financial data of the company to value its market performance and these disclosures can low- er the asymmetry of information between investors and managers. Further, it eases the forecasting of stock returns and reduces the risk and uncertainty (Poshakwale & Courtis, 2005). Present study uses market-to-book value (MBV) and Tobin’s Q (TQ) ratio to measure the market value of the firm whereas CO2 emission data has been considered as explanatory factor. Besides, firm-specific control variables are also adopted for comprehensive results. The outcomes of research indicate negative and significant impact of carbon emission on both measures of market value of the selected companies. Further, these results are important as they prove that participants of capital market consider pollution disclosure as vital information even in developing countries like India which are not obliged to reduce CO2 discharge. The current investigation adds value to the extant research in three major ways. First, the present study examines the issue in the Indian context which is considered to be one of the fastest growing economies and also holds the fourth position in the global CO2 emission (Kumar & Firoz, 2018). Further, developed and emerging countries have significant structural differences and therefore, the research outcome of the developed countries needs further probing before applying to developing nations. Secondly, the study is based on longitudinal data of seven years (2013–2019) considering the phase-II of Kyoto protocol in- stead of cross-sectional data which provides more robust and reliable results. Third, the robustness of results has been further examined by using general- ised method of moments (GMM) for reliability and validity. Research methodology and the course of research processResearch methodology and the course of research process Present research is aimed to examine the relation between and the effect of CO2 emission on market value of the Indian companies. Like other emerging econo- mies, environmental reporting including carbon emission is not compulsory in India and therefore the sample companies are selected from the annual report of Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) annual reports. Financial and other data has been collected for a reference period of 7 years (2013–2019) considering the second phase of the Kyoto protocol. The study uses Tobin’s Q and MBV ratio to measure the market value whereas log of CO2 emission as independent vari- Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval1212 able. Using multiple and GMM regression analysis, the study concluded signifi- cant negative effect of emission on firm value. Review of literature and hypothesis formulationReview of literature and hypothesis formulation Environmental Disclosure TheoriesEnvironmental Disclosure Theories Environmental disclosures provide vital information for signalling corporate performance and attracting funds as well as to improve goodwill (Verrecchia, 1983). Corporate environmental disclosures are largely governed by two theo- ries named as ‘voluntary disclosure’ (Luo & Tang, 2014) and ‘legitimacy theory’ (Gray, Kouhy & Lavers, 1995). Voluntary disclosure theory depicts that firms with lower level of CO2 emission will be motivated to disclose the same as it enhances their goodwill and the competitive advantage over other companies (Clarkson, Overell & Chapple, 2011). On the contrary, companies with high car- bon emission inclined to avoid disclosing such information and continue them- selves as average performers (Giannarakis, Konteos, Sariannidis & Chaitidis, 2017). Legitimacy theory is built upon the concept of ‘corporate citizenship’, wherein companies disclose non-financial information to legitimise their ac- tivities (Brammer & Pavelin, 2006). According to this approach, companies with high levels of CO2 discharge are anticipated to reveal more information to provoke the increased risk of legality and eventually change the opinion of stake-holders by educating and informing them about the changes in their per- formance and these companies attempts to highlight other accomplishments related to the social cause. Review of empirical studies and development of hypothesisReview of empirical studies and development of hypothesis Past studies focusing on CO2 and firm performance have been differentiated on two major themes, i.e. ‘win-lose’ and ‘win-win’ (Boiral, Henri & Talbot, 2012). According to the win-lose argument, the national obligation to diminish CO2 emission enforces taxes, penalties and legal actions against high emitting com- panies. In other words, endeavours to cut carbon discharge results into unpro- ductive utilisation of resources which adversely affect the relative position of firm compared to competitors (Delmas, Nairn-Birch & Lim, 2015; Wang, Li & Gao, 2014). In disagreement to this, promoters of alternative argument advo- Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 1313 cate that an attempt to lower CO2 discharge brings indirect profit opportunity in form of encouraging innovations that increases revenue or reduces cost (Por- ter & van der Linde, 1995). According to this approach, financial performance of the organisation can be improved by reducing CO2 emission (Dowell, Hart & Yeung, 2000; Boiral et al., 2012; Raval et al., 2021). Past studies from Al-Tuwai- jri, Christensen and Hughes II (2004), Wang et al. (2014), and Kumar and Firoz (2019) have studied the effect of CO2 emission on market value of firm. Howev- er, the findings are found to be contradictory. Further, as pointed by Margolis, Elfenbein and Walsh (2008) and Garcia-Castro, Arino and Canela (2010), find- ings of past research are subject to the measures used for indicating the vari- ables. According to Lee, Park and Klassen (2013), shareholders respond nega- tively to CO2 emission and their findings concluded that high emitting firms will have lower market value. Similar findings are reported by Saka and Oshika (2014) in their research on more than 1000 Japanese firms and concluded ad- verse relation between market price of share and level of CO2 emission. Consid- ering a sample of S&P 500 companies, Matsumura et al. (2014) have indicated that increase in CO2 emission will lead to reduction in price of ordinary shares. Similarly, findings of King and Lenox (2001), Al-Tuwaijri et al. (2004), Ramiah et al., (2013) have also supported negative relation between firms’ level of car- bon emission and market value. Delmas et al. (2015) have analysed the impact of CO2 emission on financial peroformance using cross-sectional data of 1095 US firms. They have divided economic performance as short-term (indicated by ROA) and long-term (indicated by Tobin’s Q ratio) and suggested negative effect of reduction in carbon emission on ROA and positive effect of the same on Q ra- tio. Investment for reducing carbon emission may not yield returns in short-run but capital market participants realise the importance of the same and hence act favourably towards the strategies implemented to reduce GHG and carbon emission in environment (Delmas et al., 2015). It is important here to note that extant literature has also found that negative effect of CO2 can be reduced if the firms discloses the data publicly. As against major past studies, Wang et al. (2014), using tobin’s Q ratio, have found direct relation between the level of CO2 emission and firm value in the Australian context. As pointed earlier, limited studies have explored the relation between CO2 emission and market value of the firm. Ganda and Milondzo (2018), using data of South African companies, have found negative effect of CO2 emission on firm performance. Kumar and Firoz (2019) have studied effect of certified emission reduction announcements on abnormal stock returns using event study meth- Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval1414 odology. They have reported that capital markets do not respond to such an- nouncements significantly and concluded weak effect of emission reduction on stock returns. Therefore, research findings of developing nations are partly congruent with developed ones but still require further empirical evidence to generalise the same. The above discussion signifies the importance of carbon emission and its effect on firm value. Though several studies have attempted to draw meaningful insights, the findings are contradictory and inadequate and hence present study attempts to contribute in this growing pool of knowledge. Based on past empirical results, the study hypothesised that: Hypothesis 1: CO2 emission will have negative impact on firms’ market value. Research methodologyResearch methodology Operationalisation of VariablesOperationalisation of Variables Table 1 summarises the variables considered for study categorised as independ- ent, dependent, and control. The table also describes the concept, formula, and source of including variable. According to Margono and Gantino (2021), the mar- ket value depends on the firm-specific variables such as firm size, leverage and sales growth which are used as control variables along with carbon emission. Table 1. Description of Variables Variables Computation Source Dependent Variable Tobin’s Q ratio (TQ) King & Lenox (2001); Delmas et al. (2015) Market-to-Book Value (MBV) Delmas et al. (2015) Explanatory Variables Carbon Emission (CEM) Log (Carbon Emission) Wang et al. (2014); Delmas et al. (2015) Control Variables Growth (GR) Al-Tuwaijri et al. (2004) Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 1515 Variables Computation Source Size (SZ) Log (Total Assets) Li et al. (2014); Matsumura et al. (2014) Leverage (LV) Giannarakis et al. (2017); Griffin, Lont, & Sun (2017) Capital Intensity (CI) Chithambo & Tauringana (2014); Ganda & Milondzo (2018) S o u r c e : summarised from the review of literature and CMIE database. Sample Selection and Collection of DataSample Selection and Collection of Data Initially, companies that responded to the CDP questionnaire and reported CO2 emission data are considered for sample selection. As CO2 reporting is not man- datory in India, the sample companies are not constant for the study period and hence the obtained data set is an unbalanced panel data. Further, compa- nies that belonged to financial service sector are removed as their regulatory and operational framework differ from non-finance companies (Kumar & Fi- roz, 2018). In addition, companies with insufficient financial data have been further excluded to arrive at final sample. Table 2 presents the year-wise num- ber of sample firms. Table 2. Sample selection Year Companies that disclosed CO2 data Finance companies Companies with incomplete data Sample Firms 2013 35 5 3 27 2014 39 4 4 31 2015 42 5 4 33 2016 44 6 5 33 2017 46 8 6 32 2018 48 8 6 34 2019 55 9 6 40 S o u r c e : author’s calculations. Table 1. Description… Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval1616 Annual reports of CDP have been considered as a source of collecting data of CO2 emission. It is an international not-for-profit institution that collects and summarises the data on carbon and other related toxic emission according to country as well as corporates. Past studies from Wang et al. (2014), Gianna- rakis et al. (2017) have also considered CDP as a trustworthy source for such data. Further, PROWESS database has been utilised for collecting data of firm value as well as other control variables as pointed in above section. Effect of COEffect of CO22 emission on firm value emission on firm value Present study is based on unbalanced panel data of CDP India firms that have disclosed CO2 data through responding CDP questionnaire. Hence, two multi- ple regression model by taking firm value, i.e. Tobin’s Q ratio and MBV as de- pendent variable and emission of CO2 as independent have been formulated. Referring the extant literature, the relation between CO2 and firm value is ex- pected to be negative (Smale, Hartley, Hepburn, Ward & Grubb, 2006; Ramiah et al., 2013; Lee et al., 2013; Delmas et al., 2015) and therefore sign of β1 will be negative. Tobin’s Qt = α + β1 × CO2 Emissiont + β2 × Growtht + β3 × Sizet + β4 × Leveraget + β5 × Capital Intensityt + β6 × Firm Effect + β7 × Year Effect + εt (1) MBVt = α + β1 × CO2 Emissiont + β2 × Growtht + β3 × Sizet + β4 × Leveraget + β5 × Capital Intensityt + β6 × Firm Effect + β7 × Year Effect + εt (2) Where: α = Intercept β1 to β5 = Regression co-efficient ε = Error Term t = Number of Year (2013 to 2019) Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 1717 Further, as the study is based on multiple regression model, there is a possible issue of multicollinearity and autocorrelation which has been tested using Var- iance Inf lation Factor (VIF) and Durbin-Watson (DW) statistics respectively. Besides, corporate finance research may expose to endogeneity issue arising from omitted variables and simultaneity of occurrence. Presently, market val- ue of the firm may affect the level of carbon emission leading to the problem of reverse causality, i.e. simultaneity. Further, firm value is a function of several company specific as well as macro variables and hence there can be possibility of omitted variable bias. To address the same, the regression model indicated above has been recomputed using generalised methods of moments (GMM) es- timation. Data Analysis And ResultsData Analysis And Results Descriptive StatisticsDescriptive Statistics Table 3 portrays the summary of descriptive statistics of the selected compa- nies. First part of table represents the output for MBV and Tobin’s Q ratio. Aver- age (median) values of Tobin’s Q ratio and MBV are 2.4114 (2.0318) and 3.9180 (3.1600) respectively indicating that the selected firms are performing well with respect their market value. However, minimum and maximum values of both measures demonstrate high-degree of variation among the sample com- panies. Further, average CO2 emission for the selected period is more than eight lakh matric tone with a standard deviation of 12.70 lakh matric tone (MT). Higher value of standard deviation as compared to average represents enor- mous level of variations among the selected companies so far as CO2 discharge is concerned. The sample firms have reported a mean (standard deviation) rev- enue growth rate of 10.67 (17.18) percent showing moderate but inconsistent growth. Average value of debt-asset ratio for the sample is 0.3783 that shows higher dependence on owners’ fund instead of debt. Lastly, based on the sum- mary of data, it can be concluded that the sample firms can be characterised as low levered, moderately growing, and medium size companies. Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval1818 Table 3. Descriptive Statistics Obs. Minimum Maximum Mean Median Std. Dev. TQ 230 0.1130 9.8608 2.4114 2.0318 1.9882 MBV 230 0.3400 17.0000 3.9180 3.1600 2.9685 CO2 Emission (in MT) 230 2,517.00 56,093,007.00 8,001,650.00 186,860.00 12,704,512.00 Log (CO2 Emission) 230 1.5315 7.7489 5.2221 4.7994 1.6238 Sales Growth 230 -0.5470 1.7180 0.1067 0.1044 0.1718 Size 230 0.6105 6.5660 4.4790 4.5982 0.8887 Leverage 230 0.0286 0.8587 0.3783 0.3823 0.2198 Capital Intensity 230 0.0000 4.5391 0.1314 0.0596 0.5372 S o u r c e : author’s calculations. Correlation AnalysisCorrelation Analysis The coefficient of correlation depicts how strongly the dependent and inde- pendent variables are related in a linear form. Correlation is an essential condi- tion to be satisfied prior to the implementation of regression model. Output of Pearson correlation has been summarised in table 4. In congruence with King and Lenox (2001), the results indicate a significant negative correlation be- tween CO2 emission and both measures of market value i.e., Tobin’s Q and MBV ratio. With respect to the control variables, firm-size and leverage has been found to be negatively and significantly correlated with market value meas- ures which indicates that shareholders respond adversely to higher debt level. Sales growth was found to have positive correlation with firm value but it lacks statistical significance. Though majority of independent variables are not sig- nificantly correlated, the study adopts variance inf lation factor (VIF) for exam- ining the multicollinearity issue. The highest values of VIF for both regression models (TQ and MBV) are 2.862 and 1.762 respectively. These values are lower than the acceptable value of 10 (Wang et al. 2014; Gujarati, 2003) and therefore, it can be concluded that the regression output will not be affected by multicol- linearity. Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 1919 Table 4. Correlation Matrix TQ MBV CO2 SG Size LEV CI TQ 1.0000 MBV 0.8717** 1.0000 CO2 -0.2052* -0.2410** 1.0000 SG 0.0068 0.1178 -0.2205* 1.0000 Size -0.3037* -0.1750** -0.0967 0.1501 1.0000 LEV -0.4290** -0.1295* 0.3089 -0.1069 -0.1093* 1.0000 CI -0.0753* -0.0617 -0.0572 -0.0300 0.0279 0.0498 1.0000 S o u r c e : author’s calculations. Results of Regression AnalysisResults of Regression Analysis Present study examines the relation between CO2 discharge and firm value. Ta- ble 5 provides the summary output of regression analysis considering TQ and MBV as dependent variables respectively. In line with the conclusion of ‘win- win’ approach, the results indicate significant negative (p – value < 1%) impact of CO2 emission on both measures of firm value. In other words, firms that en- deavour to reduce CO2 levels will be rewarded by increased market value. Past studies from Nishitani and Kokubu (2012), Saka and Oshika (2014), and Delmas et al. (2015) have confirmed the negative effect of CO2 discharge on firm value. Besides, investors value the sustainable environment practices of firms such as carbon manegement of emitting firms and respond positively for such ini- tiatives (Delmas, Etzion & Nairn-Birch, 2013). Negative impact of emission can be explained as government, for reducing carbon emissions, imposes penalties and other taxes on polluting firms and enforces them for making unproduc- tive investments resulting into erosion of their profitability (Ganda & Milondzo, 2018; Wang et al., 2014). Besides CO2 emission, firm size and leverage are found to have significant negative effect on firm value, whereas sales growth and cap- ital intensity are not found to be insignificant. Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval2020 Table 5. Regression Output using panel estimation Variables Expected Relation Tobin’s Q MBV Constant ----- 5.8127** (0.8182) 9.5268** (1.2128) CO2 Emission Negative -0.0170* (0.08348) -0.4083** (0.1237) Sales Growth Positive 0.5056 (0.7587) 1.5813 (1.1246) Size ----- -0.7056*** (0.1441) -0.7227** (0.2136) Leverage Negative -0.4643* (0.6059) -0.9620* (0.8981) Cap. Intensity Negative -0.2135 (0.2143) -0.3125 (0.3177) Firm Effect Yes Yes Year Effect Yes Yes F – Value (Sign. Level) 5.1119 (0.0002) 5.8520 (0.0000) R2 / Adj. R2 0.5325 / 0.4938 0.3526 / 0.3354 Notes: Significant Level *: 5%, **: 1%, ***: 10% S o u r c e : author’s calculations. Result of GMM estimation – Robustness AnalysisResult of GMM estimation – Robustness Analysis As mentioned earlier, the endogeneity problem, in corporate finance research, mainly arises due to simultaneity between independent and dependent var- iable and variables that are omitted. In the present context, the issue of en- dogeneity may affect the conclusion as market value of the firm can inf luence the dependent variables of the model such as CO2 emission. Stating differently, companies with higher market value may not be willing to reduce carbon emis- sion as it may affect their competitive position and later on, financial perfor- mance. To control this issue, GMM estimation has been used to re-compute the model and to assess the robustness of output (Wintoki, Linck & Netter, 2012; Mubeen, Han, Abbas & Hussain, 2020). Table 6 summarises the GMM output as well as Wald χ2 test for checking model significance, the serial correlation test i.e., Arellano-Bond test AR (1) and AR (2), and lastly the Sargan test for overidentifying restrictions. The results of GMM output are in alignment with the first method that ensures robustness of results and the conclusion derived from both the methods are parallel. Examining thE rElation BEtwEEn markEt valuE and CO2 Emission… 2121 Table 6. Regression Output using GMM estimation Variables Expected Relation Tobin’s Q MBV Constant ----- 8.0705 (0.04112)* 3.1051 (1.4079)* CO2 Emission Negative -0.0217 (0.0326)** -0.3983 (0.1087)** Sales Growth Positive 0.3462 (0.0220) 1.4291 (0.7039) Size ---- 0.2364 (0.0096)** 0.2265 (0.3287)*** Leverage Negative -0.3659 (0.0259)** -0.1634 (0.8971)** Cap. Intensity Negative -0.2351 (0.0062) -0.2956 (0.1979) Firm Effect Yes Yes Year Effect Yes Yes Wald – χ2 202.3896** 204.6423** Sargan Test (p-value) 0.4356 0.4943 AR (1) p – value 0.0923 0.0732 AR (2) p – value 0.2956 0.2678 Notes: Significant Level *: 5%, **: 1%, ***: 10% S o u r c e : author’s calculations. Conclusion and implicationsConclusion and implications Sustainable development goals, as prescribed by the United Nations, are high- ly concerned with the environmental impact of business operations, especial- ly emission of CO2. In the given context, present research examines the rela- tion between CO2 emission and market value of the firm. Using unbalanced panel data of Indian firms for a period of seven years (2013–2019), the study analyses the effect of carbon emission on Tobin’s Q ratio and market to book value ratio. Multiple regression along with GMM estimation has been adopted for data analysis. The results indicate strong negative impact of carbon emis- sion on both measures of market value for selected companies. In other words, higher level of emission of CO2 will result into lowering the market value of company. It can be explained as shareholders perceive carbon emission as ad- verse signal and ref lect the same by negative effect on market price of shares. Rajesh Desai, Avani Raval2222 Besides, leverage and asset size are also found to be significant determinants of firm value. Present research findings have important implications for practitioners. First, managers can adopt ‘green’ business practices that assist in reducing carbon discharge. Further, by adopting environment-friendly practices, firm value may be augmented as investors attach positive signal to such announce- ments (Kumar & Firoz, 2019; Smale et al., 2006). Second, as shareholder con- sider emission as important information, firms should disclose their CO2 data publicly so that they can win the trust of investors. Though current research attempts to provide comprehensive view on carbon emission and financial per- formance, few limitations are encountered. First, as emission disclosure norms are not mandatory in India, present research is based on CDP India firms. Sec- ondly, similar research can be conducted using cross-country data to study the difference in the developed and emerging nations. References References Aifuwa, H.O. (2020). Sustainability reporting and firm performance in developing climes: A review of literature. 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