CUBO A Mathematical Journal Vol.10, N o ¯ 03, (145–159). October 2008 Asymptotic Constancy and Stability in Nonautonomous Stochastic Differential Equations John A.D. Appleby∗ School of Mathematical Sciences, Dublin City University, Dublin 9, Ireland email: john.appleby@dcu.ie URL: http://webpages.dcu.ie/~applebyj James P. Gleeson Department of Applied Mathematics, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland email: j.gleeson@ucc.ie and Alexandra Rodkina Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, The University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica email: alexandra.rodkina@uwimona.edu.jm ABSTRACT This paper considers the asymptotic behaviour of a scalar non-autonomous stochastic differential equation which has zero drift, and whose diffusion term is a product of a function of time and space dependent function, and which has zero as a unique ∗The first author is partially supported by an Albert College Fellowship awarded by Dublin City University’s Research Advisory Panel. The third author is supported by the Mona Research Fellowship Programm awarded by the University of the West Indies, Jamaica and by London Mathematical Society 146 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) equilibrium solution. We classify the pathwise limiting behaviour of solutions; solution either tends to a non-trivial, non-equilibrium and random limit, or the solution hits zero in finite time. In the first case, the exact rate of decay can always be computed. These results can be inferred from the square integrability of the time dependent factor, and the asymptotic behaviour of the corresponding autonomous stochastic equation, where the time dependent multiplier is unity. RESUMEN Este art́ıculo considera el comportamiento asintótico de una ecuación diferencial esto- castica escalar no-autónoma la cual tiene cero desviación y cujo término de difusión es un producto de una función de equilibrio. Nosotros clasificamos el comportamiento limite por caminos de las soluciones; la solución atiende a un no equilibrio y ĺımite ran- don no trivial, o la solución encuentra cero en tiempo finito. En el primer caso, las tasas de decaimiento siempre pueden ser calculadas. Estos resultados pueden ser inferidos de la integrabilidad al cuadrado del factor dependiente del tiempo, y el comportamiento asintótico de la correspondiente ecuación estocatica autónoma, donde el multiplicador dependiente del tiempo es la unidad. Key words and phrases: Brownian motion, almost sure asymptotic stability, asymptotic con- stancy, stochastic differential equation, nonautonomous, Feller’s test, explosions. Math. Subj. Class.: 60H10, 93E15. 1 Introduction This note considers the asymptotic behaviour of solutions of the “separable” stochastic differential equation dX(t) = σ(t)g(X(t)) dB(t). (1.1) A solution of this equation with initial condition ξ is denoted by X(·, ξ). It is presumed that zero is a point equilibrium, so X(t, 0) = 0 is a solution of (1.1). A standard deterministic change of time scale reduces this equation to an autonomous equation dX̃(t) = g(X̃(t)) dB̃(t), (1.2) from which it can be shown that the condition that σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R) largely determines whether the solution tends to the equilibrium or to a non–trivial and non–equilibrium limit. Another feature which is examined is the relationship between the process X̃ hitting zero in a finite amount of time, or tending to zero as t → ∞ (in the case when X̃ remains strictly positive) and the corresponding properties of X. As will be seen, a complete picture of the dynamics of (1.1) can be deduced in terms of conditions on g and σ. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 147 Even though the time–change technique employed is well–known, some novel features appear in the analysis. First, we are unaware of an extensive literature concerning the pathwise convergence of solutions of stochastic differential equations to non–equilibrium limits. Second, we determine here sharp upper and lower estimates in terms of the rate at which the noise intensity fades on the almost sure rate of convergence of the solution to this non–equilibrium limit, in the case when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R). This requires a delicate use of the law of the iterated logarithm, partly correcting an error on the asymptotic behaviour of a tail martingale established in [1] and used in [2]. Finally, in the case where σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R), the results here, taken in conjunction with work in [3, 4] would enable exact almost sure rates of convergence to zero of solutions of (1.1) to be established. 2 Existence of solutions In this paper we deal with highly nonlinear stochastic differential equations, SDE, whose solutions can hit zero at finite time, due to the non-Lipshitz behavior of the diffusion coefficients. Moreover, for non-autonomous equations, it is convenient for the completeness of our exposition, to state carefully and to prove an existence result. This result is a corollary of well-known existence result and martingale time changing theorem. Let (Ω, F, (F(t))t≥0, P) be a complete probability space with filtration (F(t))t≥0 satisfying the usual conditions (i.e. it is increasing and right continuous while F(0) contains all P-null sets). Let (B(t))t≥0 be a scalar standard Brownian motion, defined on the probability space (Ω, F, (F(t))t≥0, P). Since we will consider equations with deterministic initial conditions, it is enough to work with the natural filtration of B: that is F(t) ≡ FB(t) where FB(t) = σ(B̃(s) : 0 ≤ s ≤ t). Suppose that the function σ obeys σ ∈ C([0, ∞); R). (2.1) We define the local martingale M = {M (t), 0 ≤ t < ∞, FB(t)} by M (t) = ∫ t 0 σ(s) dB(s), t ≥ 0, (2.2) with square variation 〈M〉 given by 〈M〉(t) = ∫ t 0 σ2(s) ds. Let T ∗ be given by T ∗ = ∫ ∞ 0 σ2(s) ds, (2.3) where we define T ∗ = ∞ if σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R). 148 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Define also, for each 0 ≤ s ≤ T ∗, the FB—stopping time T (s) = inf{t ≥ 0 : 〈M〉(t) ≥ s}. (2.4) By the martingale time change theorem, there exists a standard Brownian motion {B̃(t); 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; G(t)}, such that B̃(s) = M (T (s)), G(s) = FB(T (s)), 0 ≤ s ≤ T ∗, and moreover M (t) = B̃(〈M〉(t)), FB(t) = G(〈M〉(t)), t ≥ 0. In what follows we presume that g : R → R obeys g(0) = 0. (2.5) Since we do not want the equation to have any other equilibria in (0, ∞) we ask that the non– degeneracy condition g(x) > 0, for all x 6= 0, (2.6) also be satisfied. We are now in a position to state an existence result for the solution of the autonomous stochastic differential equation. Proposition 2.1. Suppose that g obeys (2.5) and (2.6) and that there exists a strictly increasing function (2.7a) q : [0, ∞) → [0, ∞) with q(0) = 0 such that ∫ ǫ 0 1 q2(u) du = ∞, for all ǫ > 0, and that g and q both obey |g(x) − g(y)| ≤ q(|x − y|), x, y ∈ R. (2.7b) Then there exists a unique strong non-exploding solution X̃ of dX̃(t) = g(X̃(t)) dB̃(t), t ≥ 0, X(0) = ξ > 0, (2.8) on the complete probability space (Ω, F, (G(t))t≥0, P). This result is a corollary of the result of Yamada and Watanabe (see e.g. [7], Proposition 2.13, page 291, and [7], Theorem 5.4., page 332). The main concern of this paper is the asymptotic behaviour of solutions of the nonautonomous equations dX(t) = σ(t)g(X(t)) dB(t), t ≥ 0, X(0) = ξ > 0. (2.9) Before conducting this asymptotic analysis however, we must verify that this equation has a well- defined solution. This is accomplished by the following result. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 149 Proposition 2.2. Suppose that g and q obey (2.5), (2.6), (2.7a) and (2.7b) and σ obeys (2.1). Then there exists a unique strong non-exploding solution X of (2.9) on the complete probability space (Ω, F, (FB(t))t≥0, P). Proof. By Proposition 2.1, X̃ is the unique strong solution of (2.8). Consider X̃(t) for t ∈ [0, T ∗), where T ∗ is defined as in (2.3), and define X(t) = X̃ ( ∫ t 0 σ2(s)ds ) , t ≥ 0. (2.10) Then, as X̃(s) is G(s)-measurable, X̃(t) is G ( ∫ t 0 σ2(s)ds ) -measurable. But G (〈M〉(t)) = FB(t), so X(t) is FB(t)-measurable. Now, by [7], Proposition 3.4.8, we get for t ≥ 0 ∫ 〈M〉(t) 0 g(X̃(u))dB̃(u) = ∫ t 0 g(X(s))dM (s) = ∫ t 0 σ(s)g(X(s))dB(s), and, therefore, as 〈M〉(t) = ∫ t 0 σ2(s)ds, we get X(t) = X̃ ( ∫ t 0 σ 2(s)ds ) = X̃ (〈M〉(t)) = X̃(0) + ∫ 〈M〉(t) 0 g(X̃(u))dB̃(u) = ξ + ∫ t 0 σ(s)g(X(s))dB(s). Therefore X defined by (2.10) is a strong solution of (2.9) on (Ω, F, (FB(t))t≥0, P). To show uniqueness, suppose that there is another solution of (2.9), Y . Then Ỹ defined by Ỹ (s) = Y (T (s)) obeys (2.8). Hence, as (2.8) has a unique solution, we have Ỹ = X̃, and therefore it follows that Y = X. This completes the proof. In this paper, we choose to write explicitly the dependence of solutions on their initial condi- tions, which are always assumed to be deterministic. Thus, the value at time t ≥ 0 of the process Y with initial condition Y (0) = ξ is denoted by Y (t, ξ). 3 Main result In this section, we state and discuss the main results of the paper concerning the asymptotic behaviour of non–autonomous equation. At the end of the section we present an example of a non– autonomous linear equation which can be analysed without the use of the theorems established here, but whose behaviour illustrates the results proven. As seen in the proof of Proposition 2.2 the non–autonomous equation (2.9) is equivalent to (2.8), under a deterministic time change. However the subject of Proposition 2.2 is the existence 150 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) for non–autonomous equation. The following Proposition by contrust, focusses on the relation between the solutions of the two equations. Proposition 3.1. Let ξ > 0 be deterministic. Suppose that g obeys (2.5), (2.6). Let σ obey (2.1). Suppose that X(·, ξ) is the unique strong solution of (2.9) with X(0, ξ) = ξ. Let T ∗ be given by (2.3), and T be defined by (2.4). (i) If σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), then there exists a standard Brownian motion B̃ = {B̃(t); 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; G(t)} where G(t) = FB(T (t)) and B̃(t) = B(T (t)) such that the process X̃ = {X̃(t); 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; G(t)} defined by X̃(t) = X(T (t)) obeys (2.8). (ii) If σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R), then there exists a standard Brownian motion B̃ = {B̃(t); 0 ≤ t < ∞; G(t)} where G(t) = FB (T (t)) and B̃(t) = B(T (t)) such that the process X̃ = {X̃(t); 0 ≤ t < ∞; G(t)} defined by X̃(t) = X(T (t)) obeys (2.8). Before stating the first result on asymptotic behaviour we present some notation and an important auxiliary result. Suppose that X̃(·, ξ) is the solution of (2.8), where ξ > 0. Define S̃0(ξ) = inf{t ≥ 0 : X̃(t, ξ) = 0}. (3.1) Let us suppose that for δ > 0 we may define the function v : (0, ∞) → (0, ∞) by v(x) = 2 ∫ δ x ∫ δ y dz g2(z) dy, x > 0. (3.2) The following result is due to Feller (see e.g. [7], Theorem 5.5.29, page 348). Proposition 3.2. Let ξ > 0 be deterministic, and X̃(·, ξ) be a strong solution of (2.8). If S̃0(ξ) is as defined in (3.1), then lim t→S̃0(ξ) X̃(t, ξ) = 0, sup 0≤t 0 be deterministic. Suppose that g obeys (2.5), (2.6). Let σ obey (2.1). Suppose that X(·, ξ) is the unique strong solution of (2.9) with X(0, ξ) = ξ. Let v be defined as in (3.2), and suppose that lim x→0+ v(x) = ∞. Then we have the following case distinction: (a) If σ ∈ L2((0, ∞); R), then there exists an almost surely positive and FB(∞)–measurable random variable L = L(ξ, ω) such that lim t→∞ X(t, ξ) = L(ξ) > 0, a.s. (3.4) (b) If σ 6∈ L2((0, ∞); R), then lim t→∞ X(t, ξ) = 0, a.s. and S0(ξ) defined by (3.3) obeys S0(ξ) = ∞, a.s. The proof of this result and proofs of subsequent results in the this section, are postponed to the final section of the paper. When σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R) the rate at which convergence to L(ξ) occurs can be determined exactly. Theorem 3.4. Let ξ > 0 be deterministic. Suppose that g obeys (2.5), (2.6), and let g ∈ C1((0, ∞); (0, ∞)). Let σ obey (2.1) and σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R). Suppose that X(·, ξ) is the unique strong solution of (2.9) with X(0, ξ) = ξ. Let v be defined as in (3.2), and suppose that lim x→0+ v(x) = ∞. Let L(ξ) be the almost surely positive and FB(∞)–measurable random variable defined by (3.4). Then: (i) If σ obeys ∫ ∞ t σ 2(s) ds > 0, for all t ≥ 0, (3.5) then lim sup t→∞ X(t, ξ) − L(ξ) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log (∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds )−1 = g(L(ξ)), a.s., (3.6a) lim inf t→∞ X(t, ξ) − L(ξ) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log (∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds )−1 = −g(L(ξ)), a.s. (3.6b) 152 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) (ii) If σ does not obey (3.5) i.e., if there exists τ ≥ 0 such that ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds = 0 for all t ≥ τ , then X(t, ξ) = X(τ, ξ) = L(ξ), for all t ≥ τ , a.s. Of course, in case (b) in Theorem 3.3, the rate of convergence cannot be so easily computed. However pathwise rates of decay to zero for nonlinear autonomous stochastic differential equations have been found in [3, 4], and could readily be applied here. Finally, the distribution of the random limit L is in principle well–understood, by using the forward Kolmogorov equation for the process X̃. Theorem 3.5. Let ξ > 0 be deterministic. Suppose that g obeys (2.5), (2.6). Let σ obey (2.1) and σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R). Let T ∗ be given by (2.3). Suppose that X(·, ξ) is the unique strong solution of (2.9) with X(0, ξ) = ξ. Let v be defined as in (3.2), and suppose that lim x→0+ v(x) = ∞, and let L(ξ) be the almost surely positive and FB(∞)–measurable random variable defined by (3.4). Then P[L(ξ) ≤ x] = ∫ x 0 Γ(T ∗; y) dy, x ≥ 0, where ∂Γ ∂t (t; y) = 1 2 ∂2 ∂y2 ( g2(y)Γ(t; y) ) , (t, y) ∈ [0, T ∗] × (0, ∞), and Γ(0; y) = δξ(y), y ∈ R, where δξ is the δ-function. The result holds because L(ξ) = limt→T ∗+ X̃(t, ξ) = X̃(T ∗, ξ). Moreover, as X̃ is a diffusion process with known infinitesimal generator and deterministic initial condition ξ, we can deduce its distribution function from the forward Kolmogorov equation, and therefore, the distribution of L(ξ) is also known. It remains merely to classify the behaviour in the case when limx→0 v(x) < ∞. Theorem 3.6. Let ξ > 0 be deterministic. Suppose that g obeys (2.5), (2.6). Let σ obey (2.1). Suppose that X(·, ξ) is the unique strong solution of (2.9) with X(0, ξ) = ξ. Let v be defined as in (3.2), and suppose that lim x→0+ v(x) < ∞. Then we have the following case distinction: (a) If σ ∈ L2((0, ∞); R), then there exists an almost surely positive and FB(∞)–measurable random variable L = L(ξ, ω) such that lim t→∞ X(t, ξ) = L(ξ) > 0, a.s. on {S̃0(ξ) ≥ T ∗}, CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 153 and lim t→S0(ξ) − X(t, ξ) = 0, a.s. on {S̃0(ξ) < T ∗}, where S̃0(ξ) defined by (3.1) and S0(ξ) is defined by (3.3). (b) If σ 6∈ L2((0, ∞); R), then lim t→S0(ξ) − X(t, ξ) = 0, a.s., where S0(ξ) defined by (3.3) obeys S0(ξ) < +∞, a.s. In case (a) the rate of convergence to the non–trivial random limit is the same as given in Theorem 3.4, but only a.s. on the event {S̃0(ξ) > T ∗}. The probability of the event {S̃0(ξ) < T ∗} can be computed for the process X̃ obeying (2.8), by considering the limit P[S̃0(ξ) < T ∗] = lim a→0+ P[S̃a(ξ) < T ∗] where for ξ > a > 0 we define S̃a(ξ) = inf{t ≥ 0 : X̃(t, ξ) = a}. It is possible to compute the moment generating function of S̃a(ξ), λ 7→ E[e −λS̃a(ξ)] for λ ≥ 0, by solving an appropriate Sturm– Liouville problem, from which the probability P[S̃a(ξ) < T ∗] can in principle be determined by inverse transform methods. The interested reader can refer to [6, Chapter 4.11] for further details on computation of the moment generating function. 3.1 An example A simple example of a process which can be analysed completely without appealing to these results (but which is consistent with them) is the unique strong solution of X(t) = ξ + ∫ t 0 σ(s)X(s) dB(s), t ≥ 0, where ξ > 0 and σ ∈ C([0, ∞); R). This equation has explicit solution X(t, ξ) = ξ exp ( ∫ t 0 σ(s) dB(s) − 1 2 ∫ t 0 σ2(s) ds ) , t ≥ 0. Here we identify g(x) = x, x ≥ 0, and have limx→0+ v(x) = ∞. Hence Theorems 3.3, 3.4 and 3.5 can be applied to this stochastic differential equation. In the case when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), the martingale convergence theorem (cf., e.g., [8, Propo- sition IV.1.26]) ensures that limt→∞ ∫ t 0 σ(s) dB(s) exists and is almost surely finite. Therefore, there is an almost surely positive and almost surely finite FB(∞)—measurable random variable L(ξ) given by L(ξ) = ξ exp ( ∫ ∞ 0 σ(s) dB(s) − 1 2 ∫ ∞ 0 σ2(s) ds ) 154 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) such that lim t→∞ X(t, ξ) = L(ξ) > 0, a.s. This chimes with part (a) of Theorem 3.3. In the case when σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R), we have that lim t→∞ ∫ t 0 σ2(s) ds = +∞, lim t→∞ ∫ t 0 σ(s) dB(s) ∫ t 0 σ2(s) ds = 0, a.s. The latter fact resulting from the Strong Law of Large Numbers for martingales (cf., e.g., [8, Exercise V.I.16]). Therefore lim t→∞ 1 ∫ t 0 σ2(s) ds log X(t) = − 1 2 , a.s. Hence limt→∞ X(t, ξ) = 0, a.s., which agrees with part (b) of Theorem 3.3. Moreover, in the case when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), L(ξ) is lognormally distributed; this is obvious by observation of the formula for L(ξ), but can also be confirmed by solving the partial differential equation for the transition density Γ in Theorem 3.5. In the case when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), the rate of convergence in Theorem 3.4 can be obtained, if it is shown that lim sup t→∞ ∫ ∞ t σ(s) dB(s) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log (∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds )−1 = 1, a.s., (3.7a) lim inf t→∞ ∫ ∞ t σ(s) dB(s) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log (∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds )−1 = −1, a.s. (3.7b) This can be established as follows: define T ∗ = ∫ ∞ 0 σ2(s) ds, and let M be the local martingale defined in (2.2), and with square variation 〈M〉. Then, by the martingale time change theorem there exists a Brownian motion B̃ such that M (t) = B̃(〈M〉(t)), 0 ≤ t < ∞. Thus lim sup t→∞ ∫ ∞ t σ(s) dB(s) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log (∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds )−1 = lim sup t→∞ M (∞) − M (t) √ 2(〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) log log (〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) −1 = lim sup t→∞ B̃(〈M〉(∞)) − B̃(〈M〉(t)) √ 2(〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) log log (〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) −1 = lim sup s→T ∗− B̃(T ∗) − B̃(s) √ 2(T ∗ − s) log log(T ∗ − s)−1 = lim sup u→0+ B̃(T ∗) − B̃(T ∗ − u) √ 2u log log(u)−1 = 1, a.s., CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 155 since B̄ defined by B̄(t) = B̃(T ∗) − B̃(T ∗ − t), 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗, is also a standard Brownian motion, and therefore subject to the Law of the Iterated Logarithm. (3.7) was stated in [2], but a proof was not supplied there. A variant of this result is proven in [1] but this proof contains an error as it is incorrectly stated there that ∫ ∞ t X(s) dB(s) = ∫ 1/t 0 1 s X(1/s) dW (s) for a process X ∈ L2([0, ∞); R) a.s., where W is the standard Brownian motion given by W (t) = tB(1/t) for t > 0 and W (0) = 0. 4 Proofs 4.1 Proof of Theorem 3.3 By Proposition 3.2, it follows that limx→0+ v(x) = ∞ implies S̃0(ξ) = +∞, a.s. In case (a), when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), T (s) → ∞ as s → T ∗−. Hence, as X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, T ∗], lim t→∞ X(t) = lim s→T ∗− X(T (s)) = lim s→T ∗− X̃(s) = X̃(T ∗) > 0, a.s., because T ∗ < +∞ = S̃0(ξ), a.s. In case (b), when σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R), T (s) → ∞ as s → ∞. Hence, as X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, ∞), we have S0(ξ) = T (S̃0(ξ)) = +∞, a.s., and lim t→∞ X(t) = lim s→∞ X(T (s)) = lim s→∞ X̃(s) = lim s→S̃0(ξ) X̃(s) = 0, a.s., because S̃0(ξ) = ∞, a.s. 4.2 Proof of Theorem 3.4 The proof of part (ii) is straightforward, because for t ≥ τ we have X(t) = X(τ ) + ∫ t τ σ(s)g(X(s)) dB(s) = X(τ ), as ∫ ∞ τ σ2(s) ds = 0 and the continuity of σ imply that σ(t) = 0 for all t ∈ [τ, ∞). To prove part (i) we proceed as follows. Because σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), and limx→0+ v(x) = ∞, by Proposition 3.1 and Proposition 3.2, the process X̃ = {X(t); 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; G(t)} defined by X̃(t) = X(T (t)) is strictly positive a.s. and obeys X̃(t) = ξ + ∫ t 0 g(X̃(s)) dB̃(s), 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗, 156 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) where T ∗ and T are defined by (2.3) and (2.4). Since g in C1((0, ∞); (0, ∞)) we may define the function h ∈ C2((0, ∞); R) by h(x) = ∫ x 1 1 g(u) du, x ∈ R. Then the process Ỹ = {Ỹ (t); 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; G(t)} defined by Ỹ (t) = h(X̃(t)) is well–defined. Since h ∈ C2((0, ∞); R) and X̃(t) > 0 for all t ∈ [0, T ∗] a.s. Ỹ is an Itô–process, which by Itô’s rule, has decomposition for 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗ given by Ỹ (t) = h(X̃(t)) = h(ξ) + B̃(t) − 1 2 ∫ t 0 g′(X̃(s)) ds. Since X̃ is almost surely positive and continuous, g ∈ C1((0, ∞); (0, ∞)), it follows that lim t→T ∗− 1 T ∗ − t ∫ T ∗ t g′(X̃(s)) ds = g′(X̃(T ∗)), a.s. Therefore lim t→T ∗− 1 √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) ∫ T ∗ t g′(X̃(s)) ds = 0, a.s. Then for t ∈ [0, T ∗] h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) = B̃(T ∗) − B̃(t) − 1 2 ∫ T ∗ t g′(X̃(s)) ds, and lim sup t→T ∗− h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = lim sup t→T ∗− B̃(T ∗) − B̃(t) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = lim sup s→0+ B̃(T ∗) − B̃(T ∗ − s) √ 2s log log(1/s) . Now, because B̄ = {B̄(t) : 0 ≤ t ≤ T ∗; FB̄(t)} defined by B̄(t) = B̃(T ∗) − B̃(T ∗ − t) is a standard Brownian motion, by the Law of the Iterated Logarithm for Brownian motion we have lim sup s→0∗+ B̃(T ∗) − B̃(T ∗ − s) √ 2s log log(1/s) = lim sup s→0∗+ B̄(s) √ 2s log log(1/s) = 1, a.s. Hence lim sup t→T ∗− h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = 1, a.s. Since h is in C1((0, ∞); R) and X̃ has continuous sample paths, we have lim t→T ∗− h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) X̃(T ∗) − X̃(t) = h′(X̃(T ∗)) = 1 g(X̃(T ∗)) , a.s. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 157 Hence lim sup t→T ∗− X̃(T ∗) − X̃(t) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = lim sup t→T ∗− X̃(T ∗) − X̃(t) h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) h(X̃(T ∗)) − h(X̃(t)) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = g(X̃(T ∗)), a.s. Therefore, as T (s) → ∞ as s ↑ T ∗, and 〈M〉(T (s)) = s for s ∈ [0, T ∗], we have lim sup t→∞ L(ξ) − X(t) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log(1/ ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds) = lim sup t→∞ X(∞) − X(t) √ 2(〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) log log(1/〈M〉(∞) − 〈M〉(t)) = lim sup s↑T ∗ X(T (T ∗)) − X(T (s)) √ 2(〈M〉(T (T ∗)) − 〈M〉(T (s))) log log(1/〈M〉(T (T ∗)) − 〈M〉(T (s))) = lim sup s↑T ∗ X̃(T ∗) − X̃(s) √ 2(T ∗ − s) log log(1/(T ∗ − s)) = g(X̃(T ∗)) = g(L(ξ)), a.s. An analogous argument gives lim inf t→T ∗− X̃(T ∗) − X̃(t) √ 2(T ∗ − t) log log(1/(T ∗ − t)) = −g(X̃(T ∗)), a.s., from which we can infer that lim inf t→∞ L(ξ) − X(t) √ 2 ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds log log(1/ ∫ ∞ t σ2(s) ds) = −g(L(ξ)), a.s., as required. 4.3 Proof of Theorem 3.6 By Proposition 3.2, it follows that limx→0+ v(x) < +∞ implies S̃0(ξ) < +∞, a.s. In case (b) when σ 6∈ L2([0, ∞); R), T (s) → ∞ as s → ∞. Hence, as X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, ∞), we have S0(ξ) = T (S̃0(ξ)) < +∞, a.s., and lim s→S0(ξ) − X(s) = lim t→S̃0(ξ) − X(T (t)) = lim t→S̃0(ξ) − X̃(t) = 0, a.s., because S̃0(ξ) < +∞, a.s. 158 John A.D. Appleby et al. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) In case (a) when σ ∈ L2([0, ∞); R), T (s) → ∞ as s → T ∗−. Define the event A = {ω : S̃0(ξ) ≥ T ∗}. Then because X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, T ∗], we have S0(ξ) = T (S̃0(ξ)), and so A = {ω : S̃0(ξ) ≥ T ∗} = {ω : S0(ξ) = +∞}. Clearly, as S̃0(ξ) ≥ T ∗ on A, we have lim t→T ∗− X̃(t) = X̃(T ∗) > 0, a.s. on A. Thus, as X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, T ∗], lim t→∞ X(t) = lim s→T ∗− X(T (s)) = lim s→T ∗− X̃(s) = X̃(T ∗) > 0, a.s. on A. Hence { lim t→∞ X(t, ξ) = L(ξ) > 0, S0(ξ) = +∞ } = {S̃0(ξ) ≥ T ∗}, a.s. On the other hand, consider the event Ā, where Ā = {ω : S̃0(ξ) < T ∗} = {ω : S0(ξ) < +∞}, by virtue of the fact that S0(ξ) = T (S̃0(ξ)) < T (T ∗) = +∞. Then lim t→S̃0(ξ) − X̃(t) = 0, a.s. on Ā. Thus, as X̃(s) = X(T (s)) for s ∈ [0, T ∗], lim t→S0(ξ) − X(t) = lim s→S̃0(ξ) − X(T (s)) = lim s→S̃0(ξ) − X̃(s) = 0, a.s. on Ā. Hence { lim t→S0(ξ) − X(t, ξ) = 0, S0(ξ) < +∞ } = {S̃0(ξ) < T ∗}, a.s. Received: July 2008. Revised: August 2008. References [1] J.A.D. Appleby Almost sure subexponential decay rates of scalar Itô-Volterra equations, Electron. J. Qual. Theory Differ. Equ., Proc. 7th Coll. QTDE, Paper no.1, 1–32, 2004. [2] J.A.D. Appleby and D. Mackey, Almost sure polynomial asymptotic stability of scalar stochastic differential equations with damped stochastic perturbations, Electron. J. Qual. Theory Differ. Equ., Proc. 7th Coll. QTDE, Paper no.2, 1–33, 2004. CUBO 10, 3 (2008) Asymptotic constancy and stability in SDEs 159 [3] J.A.D. Appleby, X. Mao and A. Rodkina, Pathwise superexponential decay rates of solutions of autonomous stochastic differential equations, Stochastics, 77(3), 241–270, 2005. [4] J.A.D. Appleby, A. Rodkina and H. Schurz, Pathwise non-exponential decay rates of solutions of scalar nonlinear stochastic differential equation, Disc. Con. Dynam. Sys. Ser. B., 6(4), 667–696, 2006. [5] N. Ikeda and S. Watanabe, Stochastic Differential Equations and Diffusion Processes, North Holland, New York, 2nd edition, 1981. [6] K. Itô and H.P. McKean, Diffusion processes and their sample paths, Springer, Berlin, 2nd edition, 1974. [7] I. Karatzas and S.E. Shreve, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus, volume 113 of Graduate Texts in Mathematics, Springer, New York, 1991. [8] D. Revuz and M. Yor, Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion. Third edition, Springer, New York, 1999. N13