id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentence	flesch	summary	cache	txt
absel-2282	House, W. C.; Napier, H. S.	Importance Ratings and Operations Data as Predictors of Business Game Performance	1983	3	.pdf	application/pdf	3680	112	44	The average forecasting error for performance measure values is 3.25, considerably less than the average forecasting error of 13.99 for the values based on importance ratings. Y1 = 153.89 – 20.78 (3.33) – 9.70 (4.33) = 153.89 – 69.20 – 42.00 = 42.69 Y2 = 153.89 – 20.78 (4.00) – 9.70 (2.50) = 153.89 – 83.12 – 24.25 = 46.50 Y3 = 153.89 – 20.78 (2.67) – 9.70 (3.67) = 153.89 – 55.48 – 35.60 = 62.80 Y4 = 153.89 – 20.78 (3.00) – 9.70 (3.50) = 153.89 – 63.34 – 33.95 = 57.60 Y5 = 153.89 – 20.78 (3.50) – 9.70 (3.25) = 153.89 – 72.73 – 31.53 = 49.63 6 = 153.89 – 20.78 (4.33) – 9.70 (3.67) = 153.89 – 89.98 – 35.60 = 28.30 Y TABLE VII VALUES OF ACTUAL PERIOD I PERFORMANCE MEASURES TO BE CORRELATED WITH PERIOD II MEASURES X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 Team Net Income/ Sales Return on Assets – 1 Stock Price -1 Sales/ R&D Outlays Return on Assets II Stock Price II 1 11.76 7.51 61.32 12.07 -6.34 38.47 2 0.02 0.99 44.48 18.08 2.99 50.44 3 5.56 5.81 62.77 8.23 14.81 93.69 4 -14.56 -16.51 32.43 N/A -8.12 23.66 5 9.47 1.68 43.44 11.17 5.20 45.83 6 6.72 5.99 68.71 14.14 -10.84 35.52 Multiple Regression Equation SPII = 178.09 – 5.43 X3 - 7.26 X6 + .81 X4 RMUL = .98 Calculation of estimated return on assets: SP1 = 178.09 – 5.43 (11.76) – 7.26 (12.07) + .81 (8.51) = 33.49 SP2 = 178.09 – 5.43 ( 0.02) – 7.26 (18.08) + .81 (0.99) = 47.52 SP3 = 178.09 – 5.43 ( 5.56) – 7.26 ( 8.23) + .81 (5.81) = 92.86 SP4 = cannot be calculated SP5 = 178.09 – 5.43 ( 9.47) – 7.26 (11.17) + .81 (1.68) = 46.94 SP6 = 178.09 – 5.43 ( 6.72) – 7.26 (14.14) + .81 (5.99) = 41.91 ratings and actual performance measures with actual stock prices.	cache/absel-2282.pdf	txt/absel-2282.txt