Implementing Marketing Control with the Web-Based Profitability Analysis Package Page 64 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 IMPLEMENTING MARKETING CONTROL WITH THE WEB-BASED PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS PACKAGE Aspy P. Palia University of Hawaii at Manoa aspy@hawaii.edu Jan De Ryck University of Hawaii at Manoa ryck@hawaii.edu ABSTRACT The Web-based Profitability Analysis Package enables competing participant teams to learn, identify and assess the underlying reasons for profitability or loss of each stra- tegic business unit (SBU) within their brand portfolio dur- ing each decision period. This decision support package (a) extracts and presents the earnings per share of each competing firm as well as the main components of revenues and expenses for each SBU of each of the competing firms from the simulation results, and (b) identifies and flags the antecedents of each determinant of revenues and/or ex- penditures for each SBU. Competing participant teams use this package to exercise marketing control. The package enables users to monitor performance, identify deviations, understand the underlying reasons, take corrective action and thereby exercise marketing control. INTRODUCTION The Profitability Analysis Package is a decision sup- port system that enables competing participant teams in the marketing simulation COMPETE (Faria, 1994, 2006) to learn, identify and assess the underlying reasons for profita- bility or loss of each strategic business unit (SBU) within their brand portfolio during each decision period. SBUs are specific product offerings in specific regions that have specific target markets with specific needs and purchase motivations, a specific set of strategies, facing a specific set of competitors with specific competing strategies. This Excel-based Profitability Analysis Package auto- matically extracts relevant profitability performance data via external links from the Excel-version of the COMPETE simulation results. The Excel-version of the simulation results are generated by the instructor/administrator from the original dos-text based COMPETE simulation results. Later, the Excel-version of the simulation results are up- loaded to the COMPETE Online Decision Entry System (CODES) repository for subsequent access by competing participant teams. Only relevant data on the determinants of sales revenue and expenses are extracted from the simu- lation results. This decision support package saves sub- stantial time needed to identify and enter the relevant data and reduces the potential for data entry error. DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS Several scholars have commented on the value of in- cluding decision support software/systems in computer simulations (Keys and Biggs, 1990; Teach, 1990; Gold and Pray, 1990; Wolfe and Gregg, 1989). In addition, the liter- ature is replete with references to the use and impact of decision support systems with computer simulations (Affisco and Chanin, 1989, 1990; Burns and Bush, 1991; Cannon et al., 1993; Fritzsche et al., 1987; Grove et al., 1986; Halpin, 2006; Honaiser and Sauaia, 2006; Markulis and Strang, 1985; Mitri et al., 1998; Muhs and Callen, 1984; Nulsen et al., 1993, 1994; Palia, 1989, 1991, 2006; Peach, 1996; Schellenberger, 1983; Shane and Bailes, 1986; Sherrell et al., 1986; Wingender and Wurster, 1987; Woodruff, 1992). Decision support systems (DSSs) are defined as …a collection of data, systems, tools, and techniques with sup- porting software and hardware by which an organization gathers and interprets relevant information from business and environment and turns it into a basis for…action (Little, 1979; Burns and Bush, 1991). In addition, they are defined as computer-based information systems that sup- port the process of structuring problems, evaluating alterna- tives, and selecting actions for more effective management (Forgionne, 1988). Further, they are described as the hard- ware and software that permit decision-makers to deal with a specific set of related problems by providing tools that amplify a manager’s judgment (Sprague, 1980). DSSs used with business simulations yield several benefits. These include greater depth of understanding of simulation activity with resulting increase in planning (Keys et al., 1986), in-depth understanding of quantitative techniques as students visualize the results of their applica- tions, sensitivity to weaknesses in techniques used, and experience in capitalizing on their strengths (Fritzche et al., mailto:aspy@hawaii.edu mailto:ryck@hawaii.edu Page 65 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 1987). Other benefits include minimization of paperwork and errors, error-free graphical representation of output, a competitive tool with increasing value as simulation pro- gresses, and potential for participants to create their own DSSs (Burns and Bush, 1991). In addition, DSSs enhance understanding of complex business relationships and pro- vide additional value over time (Halpin, 2006). Further, DSSs provide realism, relevance, literacy, flexibility and opportunity for refinement (Sherrell et al., 1986). Some authors contend that combining an active student generated database in the form of a simulation game with a DSS will result in improved decision making, lead to im- proved pro-active rather than re-active strategic planning, and result in improved simulation game performance and enhanced learning (Muhs and Callen, 1984). Others have reported no support for the premise that DSS usage im- proves small group decision making effectiveness (Affisco and Chanin, 1989), and that DSS usage to support manu- facturing function decisions resulted in decreased manufac- turing costs and increased “earnings/cost of goods sold” ratio in the second year of play (Affisco and Chanin, 1990). Given the inconsistent findings with regard to the effi- cacy of DSSs reported in the literature, does DSS usage increase decision effectiveness and/or enhance learning? One scholar notes that while the DSS assists the decision maker, it does not make decisions, nor can it substitute for intelligent analysis and synthesis (Schellenberger, 1983). In addition, as with other computer-based or experiential learning techniques, the effectiveness of DSSs or the deci- sions made are less important than the insights they gener- ate. The level of insight generated depends heavily on the clear explanation of the purpose, significance, assumptions, usage, and limitations of the DSS and underlying concepts applied, by the instructor. In addition, the level of insight generated depends heavily on the debriefing process used by the instructor to crystallize student learning (Cannon et al., 1993). SIMULATION PERFORMANCE & PROFIT ANALYSIS Several authors have investigated the relationship be- tween game performance and use of DSSs (Keys & Wolfe, 1990) as well as other predictor variables such as (a) past academic performance (GPA) and academic ability of par- ticipants, and degree of planning and formal decision mak- ing by teams (Faria, 2000), (b) GPA and the use of DSSs (Keys and Wolfe, 1990), (c) age, gender, GPA and ex- pected course grade (Badgett, Brenenstuhl & Marshall, 1978), (d) university GPA and academic major (Gosenpud & Washbush, 1991), (e) gender, GPA and course grade (Hornaday, 2001; Hornaday & Wheatley, 1986), (f) gender (Johnson, Johnson & Golden, 1997; Wood, 1987), (g) GPA, previous course grades, and course grade (Lynch and Michael, 1989), with conflicting results. These conflicting results led to the conclusion that no predictor variable con- sistently predicts simulation performance (Gosenpud, 1987). Other authors have discussed the use of simulation profit analysis in advertising (Motes and Woodside, 1979), accounting (Bonczkowski, Gentry & Caldwell, 1979; Brad- ley & Murtuza, 1988; Goosen, 1974, 1990; Leftwich, 1974; Lord, 1975), business ethics (Schumann, Scott and Ander- son, 1994; business management (Millers, 1986), finance (Leftwich, 1974), and production operations and manage- ment (Mukherjee & Wheatley, 1999) courses. The primary purpose of this paper is to present a new user-centered learning tool that provides participant teams the opportunity to assess the profitability of each SBU in their brand portfolio and thereby apply the Iceberg Princi- ple in exercising Marketing Control. MARKETING CONTROL Marketing managers are charged with the responsibil- ity of planning, organizing, implementing, and controlling marketing plans and programs that are designed to achieve a specific set of objectives (Bagozzi et al., 1998; Churchill and Peter, 1995; Kotler, 2003, 1988; Lehman and Winer, 1988; Lilien, 1993; Lilien and Rangaswamy, 2003; McCar- thy and Perreault, 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCarthy, 1996). In performing their responsibilities, marketing man- agers are faced with scarce resources (discretionary market- ing dollars) and unlimited wants to deploy these limited resources (sales force and advertising expenditures) in or- der to achieve their objectives. Consequently, they need to allocate the scarce resources at their disposal both effec- tively and efficiently. The efficient allocation of scarce marketing resources is facilitated through marketing con- trol in order to keep performance in line with objectives. Marketing control involves setting standards, monitor- ing performance, identifying deviations from standards, understanding the underlying reasons for the deviations, and taking corrective action when necessary (Bagozzi, et al., 1998; Churchill and Peter, 1995; Cravens, 2000; Cra- vens et al., 1987; Czinkota and Kotabe, 2001; Dalrymple and Parsons, 1995; Kotler and Keller, 2007; Lamb et al., 2004; Peter and Donnelly, 1994). First, marketing manag- ers decide which aspects of marketing strategy (such as price, salesforce, advertising, quality) to monitor. Next, marketing managers set standards based on objectives in order to monitor and gauge performance. These standards may include sales targets, market share, profit contribution, as well as behavioral standards such as level of customer awareness. Then, marketing managers design feedback mechanisms where useful, relevant and timely information are used to evaluate the effectiveness of marketing activi- ties. They use these feedback mechanisms to interpret the results of marketing programs, identify gaps between ob- jectives and performance, understand the underlying rea- sons for the deviations in performance, and change strategy or tactics to eliminate or reduce the performance gaps. Page 66 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 Marketing managers identify which products’ sales are highest and why, which products are profitable, what is selling where, and how much the marketing process costs. They need to know what’s happening in detail in order to improve the bottom line. Traditional accounting reports such as income statements and balance sheets are too gen- eral to be of much help to marketing managers. For in- stance, a company may be profitable while 80 percent of its business comes from 20 percent of its customers or prod- ucts. The other relatively less profitable 80 percent may remain undetected unless each product, region, or customer segment is analyzed in order to determine its profitability. This 80/20 relationship is fairly common and is often re- ferred to as the 80/20 rule or principle (McCarthy and Per- reault, 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCarthy 1996). Marketing control consists of sales analysis, perfor- mance analysis and marketing cost analysis. Sales analysis involves a detailed breakdown of the company’s sales rec- ords by geographic region, product, package size, customer size, type or class of trade, price or discount class, method of sale (mail, telephone, or direct sales), terms of payment (cash or charge), size of order, and or commission class. The purpose of sales analysis is to keep marketing manag- ers in touch with their markets and to enable them to check their assumptions and hypotheses. Ignoring sales analysis can lead to poor forecasting and consequent poor decisions. Performance analysis identifies exceptions or varia- tions in planned performance. Marketing managers can compare one territory against another, against the same territory’s performance in the previous year, or against ex- pected performance. The purpose of performance analysis is to improve operations by (a) monitoring performance, (b) comparing actual performance with projected performance, (c) identifying deviations (Actual – Projected) in perfor- mance, (d) calculating performance indices (Actual / Pro- jected x 100), (e) understanding the underlying reasons for sub-par performance, and (f) taking corrective action. The salesperson, territory or other factors exhibiting poor per- formance can be identified, analyzed and corrective action taken. Outstanding performance can be analyzed, reasons for success identified, and extrapolated to other salesper- sons, territories or other factors. In addition to sales, other data such as miles traveled, number of calls made, number of orders, or cost of various tasks can be analyzed. Marketing cost analysis (Kerin and Peterson, 2004; McCarthy and Perreault, 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCar- thy, 1996) enables the marketing manager to calculate the profitability of individual profit centers rather than total company profit. Marketing cost analysis involves the con- version of natural accounts based on how the money was actually spent into marketing functional accounts which indicate the function performed through the expenditure of funds (McCarthy and Perreault, 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCarthy, 1996; Pride and Ferrell, 1995). First, natural accounts (such as salaries, depreciation, taxes, advertising and other expenses) in the financial statements (such as income statement and regional income contribution state- ments) are converted to functional accounts which show the purpose for which expenditures are made. Then, the functional accounts are reallocated to customers, market segments, regions or products for which the amounts were spent. This reallocation of functional accounts enables marketing managers to assess the profitability of custom- ers, market segments, territories or products. Marketing cost analysis deals with three broad catego- ries of costs. Direct costs such as salesforce salaries are directly attributable to the performance of marketing func- tions such as selling (a) of a specific product, (b) in a spe- cific region, or (c) to a specific customer. Traceable com- mon costs such as space rental costs for production, storage and selling, can be allocated indirectly, using one or several criteria (such as cost per square foot used for storage) to the functions that they support. Non-traceable common costs such as interest, taxes, and top management salaries, cannot be assigned according to any logical criteria. Hence, they are assignable only on an arbitrary basis (McCarthy and Perreault, 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCarthy, 1996; Pride and Ferrell, 1995). Marketing cost analysis employs either the full-cost approach or the direct-cost approach. The full-cost ap- proach includes direct costs, traceable common costs, and nontraceable common costs. All costs are included to pro- vide an accurate profit picture. Since nontraceable com- mon costs are allocated using arbitrary criteria, different criteria used can yield different results that affect profitabil- ity, promotion potential, and bonuses received. A cost- conscious unit can be adversely affected and discouraged if numerous costs are assigned to it arbitrarily. In order to eliminate such problems, the direct-cost approach, which includes direct costs and traceable common costs but not nontraceable common costs, is used. Yet, critics say that the direct-cost approach is not accurate as it does not in- clude nontraceable common costs (McCarthy and Perreault 1984, 1987; Perreault and McCarthy, 1996; Pride and Fer- rell, 1995). Marketing managers use sales analysis, performance analysis and marketing cost analysis in order to exercise marketing control. They assess the sales, profitability and marketing costs of each SBU in order to improve the bot- tom line. In this regard, they are aware of the significance of both the 80/20 Principle and the Iceberg Principle. THE ICEBERG PRINCIPLE The Iceberg Principle or the 90/10 Principle states that much good information is hidden in summary data (McCarthy and Perreault 1984, 1987; Palia 2007; Perreault and McCarthy, 1996; Pride and Ferrell, 1995). Icebergs reveal only about 10 percent of their mass above water lev- el. The remaining 90 percent is concealed and non- uniformly distributed below water level, and can sink ships such as the Titanic that venture too near. Much business and marketing data exhibit the same Page 67 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 characteristics. While the Income Statement may reflect substantial sales revenue and profits, and/or the Balance Sheet may indicate substantial amounts of cash, invest- ments and retained income, these financial statements may conceal problems in specific SBUs. Based on a review of these financial statements, everything may appear to be calm and peaceful on the surface. Yet, closer analysis may reveal jagged edges in one or more SBUs that can sink the business. While summary data and averages simplify and facilitate understanding, managers need to ensure that data summaries don’t conceal more than they reveal. A seemingly healthy person may suffer from a hidden cancer in the cardiac, circulatory, digestive, lymphatic, nervous or other system that could seriously impair overall long-term health. Similarly, a seemingly healthy business with adequate sales, assets, profits, and cash flow, may suffer from hidden losses or other problems in one or more SBUs that could seriously impair overall long-term perfor- mance. Effective health maintenance requires periodic screen- ing tests in order to determine whether there are any indica- tors of malfunctioning systems. Effective marketing man- agers monitor their results, identify SBUs that exhibit sub- par performance, understand the underlying reasons for sub -par performance, and take corrective action. The Profitability Analysis package Version 2.0 builds on the Proforma Analysis Package (Palia, 2007) and the SBU Analysis Package (Palia, 2009) used in marketing control. Both the Proforma Analysis and SBU Analysis packages focus primarily on intra-firm data on antecedents of sales revenue and expenses to understand the underlying reasons for deviant performance (low overall profit or SBU contribution to margin). The Profitability Analysis pack- age extracts and presents both intra-firm and inter-firm data on each of the antecedents of sales revenue and expenses to help understand the underlying reasons for deviant perfor- mance. THE MARKETING SIMULATION COMPETE COMPETE (Faria, 2006) is a marketing simulation designed to provide students with marketing strategy devel- opment and decision-making experience. Competing stu- dent teams are placed in a complex, dynamic, and uncertain environment. The participants experience the excitement and uncertainty of competitive events and are motivated to be active seekers of knowledge. They learn the need for and usefulness of mastering an underlying set of decision- making principles. Competing student teams plan, implement, and control a marketing program for three high-tech products in three regions Region 1 (R1), Region 2 (R2) and Region 3 (R3) within the United States. These three products are a Total Spectrum Television (TST), a Computerized DVD/Video Editor (CVE) and a Safe Shot Laser (SSL). The features and benefits of each product and the characteristics of con- sumers in each region are described in the student manual. Based on a marketing opportunity analysis, a mission state- ment is generated, specific and measurable company goals are set, and marketing strategies are formulated to achieve these goals. Constant monitoring and analysis of their own and competitive performance helps the teams better under- stand their markets and improve their decisions. Each decision period (quarter), the competing teams make a total of 74 marketing decisions with regard to mar- keting their three brands in the three regional markets. These decisions include nine pricing decisions, nine ship- ment decisions, three sales force size decisions, nine sales force time allocation decisions, one sales force salary deci- sion, one sales force commission decision, twenty-seven advertising media decisions, nine advertising content deci- sions, three quality-improvement R&D decisions, and three cost-reduction R&D decisions. Successful planning, im- plementation, and control of their respective marketing programs require that each company constantly monitor trends in its own and competitive decision variables and resulting performance. The teams use the COMPETE Online Decision Entry System (CODES) (Palia & Mak, 2001; Palia et al., 2000) to enter their decisions, retrieve their results, and download and use a wide array of market- ing dss packages. THE PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS PACKAGE The Web-based Profitability Analysis Package Version 2.0 is accessible online to competing participant teams in the marketing simulation COMPETE. It enables compet- ing participant teams to learn, identify and assess the un- derlying reasons for profitability or loss of each strategic business unit (SBU) within their brand portfolio during each decision period. The competing teams can select the “Show Concerns” option to identify and flag the determi- nants of revenues and/or expenditures for each SBU which are of potential concern. Competing participant teams can use this package to monitor performance, identify devia- tions, understand the underlying reasons, take corrective action and thereby exercise marketing control. The Profitability Analysis package (a) extracts relevant antecedents of the price and quantity components of sales revenue as well as relevant antecedents of the cost of goods sold and operating expense components of total expenses for all five competing teams from the COMPETE results for a specific period, (b) uses the competitor with the high- est earnings per share as the benchmark when comparing each of the relevant antecedents, and (c) and provides the user with the option of flagging each of the antecedents of sales revenue and total expenses that contributed to low profit. The user may show or hide the flagged antecedents that contributed to low profit when compared with the firm with the leading earnings per share, and use other bench- Page 68 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 marks such as average values for each antecedent when analyzing the reasons for low profitability. The Profitability Analysis Package (Workbook) Ver- sion 2.0 is a zipped folder “Profitability Analysis.zip” which consists of an Excel workbook “Profitability Analy- sis.xlsx” (with external links to the COMPETE results (output) file Period.xls) and Period.xls Excel version of sample COMPETE output for a specified period. This Profitability Analysis.xlsx workbook consists of ten work- sheets. The Profit worksheet focuses on Company profit of loss. The other nine worksheets TST Region 1, TST Re- gion 2, TST Regions 3, CVE Region 1, CVE Region 2, EXHIBIT 1 Company Profitability Analysis Worksheet Page 69 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 CVE Region 3, SSL Region 1, SSL Region 2, and SSL Region 3 focus on the specified SBU profit or loss. The Profit worksheet consists of external links to the Excel version of the quarterly COMPETE output file “Period.xls”. This Profit worksheet extracts and displays the company name, company number, and decision period (quarter) number from the Excel version of the COMPETE results file “Period.xls” (see exhibit 1). In order to analyze the price component of total reve- nue, the Profit worksheet extracts, calculates and displays the average Price (for each of the three products TST, CVE, and SSL) for each of the competing firms (see exhib- it 1). Further, in order to calculate and display the Total Revenue of each of the competing firms (at the top of the worksheet), this worksheet extracts and displays, (a) price and (b) quantity sold for each of the nine SBUs for each of the competing firms (see exhibit 2). Next, in order to analyze the antecedents of the quanti- ty sold component of total revenue, the Profit worksheet (see exhibit 1) extracts and displays (a) the average price for each of the three products), (b) total advertising $s, (c) advertising awareness index for each product (available only for company investigated), (d) total salesforce size, (e) salesforce salary, (f) salesforce commission, and (g) quality index for each product, for each of the competing firms. Total expenses consist of cost of goods sold item and operating expenses (see exhibit 1). In order to analyze the antecedents of cost of goods sold, the Profit worksheet ex- tracts and displays (a) unit cost of production for each product, (b) ending inventory for each product, and (c) overtime production for each product only for the company analyzed. Further, in order to analyze the antecedents of operating expenses, this worksheet extracts and displays (a) total advertising $s , and (b) total salesforce size, for each of the competing firms. Information on (a) advertising awareness indices for EXHIBIT 2 Company Profitability Analysis Worksheet Page 70 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 each product, (b) unit cost of production for each product, (c) ending inventory for each product, (d) overtime produc- tion for each product, and (e) total R&D spending are con- sidered confidential to each competing firm, and available only for the company under analysis in the Excel version of the company’s COMPETE results “Period.xls”. These variables are extracted and displayed on the right side and compared with the NAEM (Industry) averages for (a) Ad- vertising Awareness Index by product, and (b) Unit Cost of Production by product, as well as (c) total Industry R&D spending (see exhibit 1) provided in the Excel version of the simulation results “Period.xls”. In addition, the Profit worksheet extracts the price and quantity sold for each of the nine SBUs by company and calculates (a) the sales rev- enue (price x quantity sold) for each SBU by company, (b) the total revenue for all nine SBUs by company, and (c) the average industry price and quantity sold by SBU (see ex- hibit 2). Each of the remaining nine SBU-specific Profit work- sheets, such as TST-Region 1 worksheet consists of exter- nal links to the quarterly COMPETE output file Period.xls. Each of these SBU-specific worksheets extracts and dis- plays the specific SBU antecedents of the price and quanti- ty components of SBU total revenue, and the specific SBU antecedents of the cost of goods sold and operating expense components of total expenses. The layout of the SBU- specific worksheet is similar to the Profit worksheet used to analyze the overall company performance. The industry averages for the SBU-specific (a) price, (b) total advertis- ing, (c) broadcast advertising, (d) print advertising, (e) sales promotion, (f) regional salesforce size, (g) salesforce sala- ry, (h) salesforce commission, and (i) product quality index are calculated and displayed on the right side (see exhibit 3). As with the Profit worksheet, the confidential infor- mation on (a) SBU-specific advertising awareness index, (b) product-specific unit cost of production, (c) SBU- specific ending inventory, (d) SBU-specific overtime pro- duction, and (e) product-specific R&D investment are ex- tracted from “Period.xls” and displayed for the company under analysis on the right side (see exhibit 3). These varia- bles are compared to the NAEM (Industry) averages for (a) Advertising Awareness Index by SBU, (b) unit cost of pro- duction by product, as well as (c) product-specific total EXHIBIT 3 TST – Region 1 Profitability Analysis Worksheet Page 71 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 EXHIBIT 4 Data Extraction Table – Company Profit Worksheet (Revenue Determinants) Account Cell Worksheet (Tab) Page # Account Cell Ref. Company Name A4 from ==> Tltle Title Pg. C15 Company Number A5 from ==> Tltle Title Pg. C14 Period A6 from ==> Tltle Title Pg. C16 TST Price - Company 1 C12 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (D32+G32+J32)/3 TST Price - Company 2 D12 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (D33+G33+J33)/3 TST Price - Company 3 E12 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (D34+G34+J34)/3 TST Price - Company 4 F12 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (D35+G35+J35)/3 TST Price - Company 5 G12 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (D36+G36+J36)/3 CVE Price - Company 1 C13 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (E32+H32+K32)/3 CVE Price - Company 2 D13 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (E33+H33+K32)/3 CVE Price - Company 3 E13 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (E34+H34+K34)/3 CVE Price - Company 4 F13 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (E35+H35+K35)/3 CVE Price - Company 5 G13 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (E36+H36+K36)/3 SSL Price - Company 1 C14 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (F32+I32+L32)/3 SSL Price - Company 2 D14 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (F33+I33+L33)/3 SSL Price - Company 3 E14 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (F34+I34+L34)/3 SSL Price - Company 4 F14 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (F35+I35+L35)/3 SSL Price - Company 5 G14 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Avg. Price = (Reg1+Reg2+Reg3)/3 (F36+I36+L36)/3 Advertisinig $s - Company 1 C20 from ==> Ave Comp., Ad 11 Company 1 Advertising E14 Advertisinig $s - Company 2 D20 from ==> Ave Comp., Ad 11 Company 2 Advertising E15 Advertisinig $s - Company 3 E20 from ==> Ave Comp., Ad 11 Company 3 Advertising E16 Advertisinig $s - Company 4 F20 from ==> Ave Comp., Ad 11 Company 4 Advertising E17 Advertisinig $s - Company 5 G20 from ==> Ave Comp., Ad 11 Company 5 Advertising E18 Ad Awareness - TST - NAEM Indy. Avg. H22 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Indy Ad Awareness Index-TST avg. (D20+D21+D22)/3 Ad Awareness - TST - Company Avg. I22 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Co. Ad Awareness Index-TST avg. (D12+D13+D14)/3 Ad Awareness - CVE - NAEM Indy. Avg. H23 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Indy Ad Awareness Index-CVE avg. (E20+E21+E22)/3 Ad Awareness - CVE - Company Avg. I23 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Co. Ad Awareness Index-CVE avg. (E12+E13+E14)/3 Ad Awareness - SSL - NAEM Indy. Avg. H24 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Indy Ad Awareness Index-SSL avg. (F20+F21+F22)/3 Ad Awareness - SSL - Company Avg. I24 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Co. Ad Awareness Index-SSL avg. (F12+F13+F14)/3 Salesforce # - Company 1 C25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 1 Combined Salesforce G19 Salesforce # - Company 2 D25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 2 Combined Salesforce G20 Salesforce # - Company 3 E25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 3 Combined Salesforce G21 Salesforce # - Company 4 F25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 4 Combined Salesforce G22 Salesforce # - Company 5 G25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 5 Combined Salesforce G23 Salesforce Salary - Company 1 C26 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 1 Salesforce Salary F35 Salesforce Salary - Company 2 D26 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 2 Salesforce Salary F36 Salesforce Salary - Company 3 E26 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 3 Salesforce Salary F37 Salesforce Salary - Company 4 F26 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 4 Salesforce Salary F38 Salesforce Salary - Company 5 G26 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 5 Salesforce Salary F39 Salesforce Commission - Company 1 C27 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 1 Commission Rate E35 Salesforce Commission - Company 2 D27 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 2 Commission Rate E36 Salesforce Commission - Company 3 E27 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 3 Commission Rate E37 Salesforce Commission - Company 4 F27 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 4 Commission Rate E38 Salesforce Commission - Company 5 G27 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 5 Commission Rate E39 Quality TST - Company 1 C29 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 1 TST Quality Index F9 Quality TST - Company 2 D29 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 2 TST Quality Index F10 Quality TST - Company 3 E29 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 3 TST Quality Index F11 Quality TST - Company 4 F29 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 4 TST Quality Index F12 Quality TST - Company 5 G29 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 5 TST Quality Index F13 Quality CVE - Company 1 C30 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 1 CVE Quality Index F14 Quality CVE - Company 2 D30 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 2 CVE Quality Index F15 Quality CVE - Company 3 E30 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 3 CVE Quality Index F16 Quality CVE - Company 4 F30 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 4 CVE Quality Index F17 Quality CVE - Company 5 G30 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 5 CVE Quality Index F18 Quality SSL - Company 1 C31 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 1 SSL Quality Index F19 Quality SSL - Company 2 D31 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 2 SSL Quality Index F20 Quality SSL - Company 3 E31 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 3 SSL Quality Index F21 Quality SSL - Company 4 F31 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 4 SSL Quality Index F22 Quality SSL - Company 5 G31 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Company 5 SSL Quality Index F23 Data Extraction from COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls To Profitability Analysis Worksheet (Revenue Determinants 1) COMPETE Profitability Analysis Worksheet COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls Page 72 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 R&D spending (see exhibit 3). The relevant data are extracted from the COMPETE Results Excel workbook Period.xls to the Profitability Analysis workbook as indicated in the Data Extraction Ta- bles for the Company Profit Worksheet (see exhibits 4 and 5), and each of the SBU-specific Worksheets (see exhibits 6 and 7). In each of the Data Extraction Tables, the Excel worksheet (tab), page number in the Excel-version of the COMPETE results printout, and cell references for each account are shown in the COMPETE Results Workbook table (on the right). The corresponding cell references for each account are shown in the Profit Analysis worksheet table (on the left) in the Data Extraction Tables. For instance, in the Data Extraction Table for the Com- pany Profit Analysis worksheet – Revenue determinants (see exhibit 4), the Advertising $s - Company 1 in a specif- ic period in cell C20 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is extracted from cell E14 in the “Advertising Expenditures By Company (In Millions)” table on the “Ave Comp., Ad” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook Period.xls. Similarly, the Salesforce # – Company 1 in cell C25 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is ex- tracted from cell G19 in the “Salesforce Size By Region By Company” table on the “Salesforce Salaries” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook. In addition, in the Data Extraction Table for the Com- pany Profit Analysis worksheet – Expense determinants (see exhibit 5), the TST Cost of Production for the compa- ny in a specific period in cell I22 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is extracted from cell I10 in the “Product Cost Report” table on the “Quality, Cost, OT, Shipments” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook Period.xls. Similarly, the Company R&D ($000s) – in cell I49 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is ex- tracted from cell G35 on the “USA Income Statement” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook. Further, in the Data Extraction Table for the TST Re- gion 1 Profit Analysis worksheet – Revenue determinants (see exhibit 6), the TST Region 1 Broadcast $s for Compa- ny 1 in cell C16 on the TST Region 1 Profit worksheet in exhibit 3 is extracted from cell E10 in the “Advertising Expenditures By Medium By Product By Region By Com- pany (in Millions)” table on the “Full Ad., Content” work- sheet of the COMPETE results workbook Period.xls. Simi- larly, the TST Region 1 Print $s for Company 2 in cell D17 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is extracted from cell F13 in the “Advertising Expenditures By Medium By Product By Region By Company (in Millions)” table on EXHIBIT 5 Data Extraction Table – Company Profit Worksheet (Expense Determinants) Cost of Production - TST Company I22 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Cost of Production - CVE Company I23 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Cost of Production - SSL Company I24 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Ending Inventory - TST I39 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Ending Inventory - CVE I40 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Ending Inventory - SSL I41 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Overtime Production - TST I43 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Overtime Production - CVE I44 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Overtime Production - SSL I45 from ==> Quality,Cost,OT Ship 7 Operating Expenses Advertising ($mil) - Company 1 C47 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Advertising ($mil) - Company 2 D47 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Advertising ($mil) - Company 3 E47 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Advertising ($mil) - Company 4 F47 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Advertising ($mil) - Company 5 G47 from ==> Forecast, Prices 9 Salesforce # - Company 1 C25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce # - Company 2 D25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce # - Company 3 E25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce # - Company 4 F25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce # - Company 5 G25 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 R&D ($'000s) - Industry Total H49 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 2 17 R&D ($'000s) - Company I49 from ==> USA Income Statement 2 Overall Measure of Profitability Earnings per Share - Company 1 C51 from ==> EPS, Mkt%, SF Activity 8 Earnings per Share - Company 2 D51 from ==> EPS, Mkt%, SF Activity 16 Earnings per Share - Company 3 E51 from ==> EPS, Mkt%, SF Activity 16 Earnings per Share - Company 4 F51 from ==> EPS, Mkt%, SF Activity 16 Page 73 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 EXHIBIT 6 Data Extraction Table – TST Region 1 Profit Worksheet (Revenue Determinants) TST Region 1 Sales Prom. $s - Company 1 C18 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 TST Region 1 Sales Prom. $s - Company 2 D18 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 TST Region 1 Sales Prom. $s - Company 3 E18 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 TST Region 1 Sales Prom. $s - Company 4 F18 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 TST Region 1 Sales Prom. $s - Company 5 G18 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 TST Region 1 Quantity Antecedents TST R1 Ad Awareness NAEM Indy Avg H19 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 TST R1 Ad Awareness Index - Company I19 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 1 16 Region 1 Salesforce # - Company 1 C20 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Region 1 Salesforce # - Company 2 D20 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Region 1 Salesforce # - Company 3 E20 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Region 1 Salesforce # - Company 4 F20 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Region 1 Salesforce # - Company 5 G20 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Salary - Company 1 C21 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Salary - Company 2 D21 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Salary - Company 3 E21 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Salary - Company 4 F21 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Salary - Company 5 G21 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Commission - Company 1 C22 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Commission - Company 2 D22 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Commission - Company 3 E22 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Commission - Company 4 F22 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Salesforce Commission - Company 5 G22 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 TST Quality Index - Company 1 C23 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 TST Quality Index - Company 1 D23 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 TST Quality Index - Company 1 E23 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 TST Quality Index - Company 1 F23 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 TST Quality Index - Company 1 G23 from ==> Quality, Dollar Sales 14 Data Extraction from COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls To Profitability Analysis Workbook (Expense Determinants 1) TST Region 1 Profitability Analysis Worksheet COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls Page 74 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 the “Full Ad., Content” worksheet of the COMPETE re- sults workbook. Lastly, in the Data Extraction Table for the TST Re- gion 1 Profit Analysis worksheet – Expense determinants (see exhibit 7), the TST Region 1 Ending Inventory in cell I26 on the TST Region 1 Profit worksheet in exhibit 3 is extracted from cell I10 in the “Shipments and Inventory By Region By Product” table on the “Quality, Cost, OT, Ship” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook Period.xls. Similarly, the TST Region 1 Overtime Production in cell I28 on the Company Profit worksheet in exhibit 1 is ex- tracted from cell G18 in the “Overtime Production / Ship- ments” table on the “Quality, Cost, OT, Ship” worksheet of the COMPETE results workbook. In summary, the Company Profit Analysis worksheet (see exhibit 1) (a) extracts and presents for all competing firms the Earnings per Share, sales revenue determinants (price, advertising $s and awareness indices, salesforce size, salary, commission, and quality for all companies, (c) calculates, and presents the average Price and Advertising Awareness Index of each of the three products across all three regions for each of the competing firms, and (d) ex- tracts the total Ending Inventory and Overtime Production for each of the three products across all three regions of the company being analyzed. In addition, the Company Profit Analysis Worksheet (a) extracts the price charged and quantity sold for each of the nine SBUs for all competing firms, and (b) calculates and presents the Sales Revenue by SBU by company as well as the total sales revenue for each company (see exhibit 2). Each of the nine SBU-specific profitability worksheets (see exhibit 3) (a) extracts and presents for all competing firms the SBU-specific sales revenue determinants (price, advertising $s and awareness indices, salesforce size, sala- ry, commission, and quality for all companies, (c) calcu- lates, and presents the average Price and Advertising Awareness Index of each of the three products for each of the competing firms, and (d) extracts the SBU-specific Ending Inventory and Overtime Production of the SBU being analyzed. The use of external links ensures relevant data are extracted from relevant sources (statements) in the simulation results and precludes data entry error. The Profitability Analysis Package Version 2.0 enables the competing teams to (a) monitor and identify company and SBU-specific performance, and (b) uncover potential reasons for sub-par performance. The package enables the teams to compare determinants of each of the (a) revenue components (price and quantity sold) and (b) expense com- ponents (cost of goods sold and operating expenses) with selected benchmarks. Each of the determinants can be compared with either (a) the market leader (highest earn- ings per share), (b) the industry average, (c) a direct com- petitor, or (d) other designated benchmarks. A tab labeled “Compete” at the top of each of the Prof- itability Analysis worksheets when selected, enables the user to either highlight or hide concerns (potential causes of poor profitability). This tab was developed using the Cus- tom UI Editor (http://openxmldeveloper.org/blog/b/ openxmldeveloper/archive/2009/08/07/7293.aspx). When the “Show Concerns” button is selected, each of the team’s variables is compared with the market leader based on a set of pre-specified rules (see exhibit 8) and highlighted (shown on a pink background with bold red lettering) when appropriate. The “Hide Concerns” button enables the user to remove the warning flags (highlighted cells) in order to use alternative benchmarks for analysis of sub-par perfor- mance. The concerns (cells) are highlighted when the outcome of a comparison between two values is true. The compari- sons are always done between two values in the same row. EXHIBIT 7 Data Extraction Table – TST Region 1 Profit Worksheet (Expense Determinants) Account Cell Worksheet (Tab) Page # Account Cell Ref. TST Region 1 Cost of Goods Sold TST Cost of Production NAEM Indy Avg H26 from ==> Quality, Cost, OT, Ship 7 NAEM Avg. TST Unit Cost of Production J10 TST Cost of Production - Company I26 from ==> Quality, Cost, OT, Ship 7 Company TST Unit Cost of Production I10 TST Region 1 Ending Inventory I27 from ==> Quality, Cost, OT, Ship 7 Company TST Region 1 Ending Inventory F27 TST Region 1 Overtime Production I28 from ==> Quality, Cost, OT, Ship 7 Company TST Region 1 Overtime Prodn. G18 TST Region 1 Operating Expense TST Region 1 Advertising - Company 1 C30 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 Co. 1 TST R1 (Broadcast + Print + SP) (E10+F10+G10) x !000000 TST Region 1 Advertising - Company 2 D30 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 Co. 2 TST R1 (Broadcast + Print + SP) (E13+F13+G13) x !000000 TST Region 1 Advertising - Company 3 E30 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 Co. 3 TST R1 (Broadcast + Print + SP) (E16+F16+G16) x !000000 TST Region 1 Advertising - Company 4 F30 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 Co. 4 TST R1 (Broadcast + Print + SP) (E19+F19+G19) x !000000 TST Region 1 Advertising - Company 5 G30 from ==> Full Ad., Content 12 Co. 5 TST R1 (Broadcast + Print + SP) (E22+F22+G22) x !000000 Region 1 Salesforce - Company 1 C31 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 1 Regional Salesforce - Reg. 1 D19 Region 1 Salesforce - Company 2 D31 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 2 Regional Salesforce - Reg. 1 D20 Region 1 Salesforce - Company 3 E31 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 3 Regional Salesforce - Reg. 1 D21 Region 1 Salesforce - Company 4 F31 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 4 Regional Salesforce - Reg. 1 D22 Region 1 Salesforce - Company 5 G31 from ==> Salesforce, Salaries 10 Company 5 Regional Salesforce - Reg. 1 D23 TST R&D ($'000s) - NAEM Industry Average H32 from ==> NAEM Bulletin 2 17 NAEM Total Indy R&D ($'000s) - TST D17 TST R&D ($'000s) - Company I32 from ==> USA Income Statement 2 Company R&D ($'000s) - TST G35 Data Extraction from COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls To Profitability Analysis Workbook (Expense Determinants 1) TST Region 1 Profitability Analysis Worksheet COMPETE Results Workbook Period.xls http://openxmldeveloper.org/blog/b/openxmldeveloper/archive/2009/08/07/7293.aspx http://openxmldeveloper.org/blog/b/openxmldeveloper/archive/2009/08/07/7293.aspx Page 75 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 Three types of comparisons are used. The company under scrutiny is compared against either (a) the strongest com- petitor with the highest earnings per share shown at the bottom of the Profit worksheet, (b) the NAEM industry average, or (c) a fixed value (e.g. overtime > 0). A VBA (Visual Basic for Applications) module was developed to encapsulate the logic that implements these row-wise comparisons. Logic that ensures the correct test is applied to each row has been added to each of the ten worksheets (Profit worksheet and nine SBU-specific work- sheets). There is also some logic for each worksheet (Profit and the 9 SBU’s) that ensures the correct test is applied to each row. PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS PACKAGE USE The web-based Profitability Analysis Package Version 2.0 is accessible online to competing participant teams in the marketing simulation COMPETE. The Profitability Analysis Package Version 2.0 is a zipped folder Profitabil- ity Analysis.zip that consists of an Excel workbook file Profitability.xlsx with external links to the Excel version of sample COMPETE results (output) Period.xls for a specific period. The updated Profitability Analysis workbook consists of a Company Profit Analysis worksheet and nine SBU- specific Profit Analysis worksheets. The Company Profit Analysis worksheet (see exhibit 1) is used to monitor and assess company profitability performance relative to com- petitors and to understand the primary reasons for profit or loss during a specific decision period (quarter). The user can compare each of the primary determinants of company sales revenues (such as price, advertising, salesforce size, salary, and commission, and quality relative to the leading firm with the highest earnings per share. In addition, the user can compare each of the primary determinants of com- pany expenses (such as unit cost of production, ending in- ventory, overtime production relative to the industry aver- age extracted from the industry trade association (NAEM) newsletter bulletin in the COMPETE results. Further, the user can compare each of the primary operating expenses (such as advertising expense, salesforce expense, R&D expense) relative to the leading firm with the highest earn- ings per share. The user can use the “Show Concerns” op- tion to highlight (flag) those determinants of company sales revenues and expenses with sub-par performance relative to the leading firm. Alternatively, the user can use the “Hide Concerns” option to revert to the original display in order to compare each of the determinants of company sales rev- enue and expenses with sub-par performance relative to the industry average or a specific competitor. Each of the nine SBU-specific Profit Analysis work- sheets such as TST Region 1 Profit Analysis worksheet (see exhibit 2) can be used in a similar manner to monitor and assess the specific SBU profitability relative to com- petitors and to understand the primary reasons for adequate or inadequate contribution to margin during a specific deci- sion period (quarter). The user can compare each of the primary determinants of SBU-specific sales revenues (such as price, advertising, salesforce size, salary, and commis- sion, and quality relative to the leading firm with the high- est earnings per share. In addition, the user can compare each of the primary determinants of SBU-specific expenses (such as unit cost of production, ending inventory, overtime production relative to the industry average extracted from the industry trade association (NAEM) newsletter bulletin in the COMPETE results. Further, the user can compare each of the primary operating expenses (such as advertising expense by SBU, salesforce expense by region, R&D ex- pense by product) relative to the leading firm with the high- est earnings per share. The user can use the “Show Con- cerns” option to highlight (flag) those determinants of SBU -specific sales revenues and expenses with sub-par perfor- mance relative to the leading firm. Alternatively, the user can use the “Hide Concerns” option to revert to the original display in order to compare each of the determinants of SBU-specific sales revenue and expenses with sub-par per- formance relative to the industry average or a specific com- petitor. PROFITABILTY ANALYSIS PACKAGE PROCESS First, the user downloads and unzips the Profitability Analysis.zip folder for a specific period. Next, the user logs in to CODES and downloads, renames and saves the Excel version of results for a specific decision period (quarter) as Period.xls in the unzipped “C:\Profitability Analysis” directory. Then, the user opens and updates the Profitability.xlsx workbook. Next, the user selects the Profit worksheet to com- mence analysis of the overall company performance. The market leader (company with highest earnings per share) can be identified at the bottom of the Profit worksheet. Then, the user selects the Compete tab at the top of the worksheet. This reveals two buttons “Show Concerns” and “Hide Concerns” at the top left of the worksheet. When the “Show Concerns” button is selected, the user can immedi- ately identify the highlighted cells with potential causes of sub-par profitability relative to the market leader (see ex- hibit 8). These cells are identified and highlighted based on a set of pre-specified rules relative to the market leader with the highest earnings per share (see exhibit 9). When the “Hide Concerns” button is selected, the highlighted cells disappear, enabling the user to analyze sub-par com- pany profit performance using other benchmarks such as a more direct competitor instead of the market leader. For example, the executives of one of the competing participant teams TriniTech (Company 2) have used the Profitability Analysis package to analyze the operations of Page 76 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 their firm during period 6. The Company Profit Analysis worksheet (see exhibit 8) indicates (at the bottom) that their earnings per share of $0.56 are lower than the leading $1.00 earnings per share of the market leader Company 5. When they use the Compete tab to select “Show Con- cerns,” the highlighted cells in red on a pink background indicate potential reasons for their company performance. For instance, when they analyze the determinants of revenue (price and quantity sold) they find that their TST price of $4,490 and CVE price of $443 are lower than the corresponding prices of $4,493 and $444 respectively of the market leader company 2 (see exhibit 8). These lower EXHIBIT 8 Company Profitability Analysis Worksheet with Warning Flags Page 77 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 prices could have yielded lower margins and lower profits, especially if demand for these products is price inelastic. Their advertising awareness index of 101.3 for the CVE is less than the industry average of 102.7. This indicates that there is room for improvement in media choice (broadcast v print v sales promotion) and copy choice (price, quality, features, benefits, warranty/service/repairs) when compared to the industry average. In addition, there salesforce size of 101 is lower than the 112 salesforce size of the market leader. Furthermore, their TST quality index of 102 and CVE quality index of 101 are both lower than the corre- sponding 103 and 102 quality indices of the market leader. In a brief period, they have uncovered the primary reasons for weak sales revenues relative to the leader. On the expense side they find that their unit cost of production for the TST of $3,558.32 and for the CVE of $358.81 both exceed the NAEM Industry Average of $3,556.73 and $358.71 respectively, making them less competitive and reducing their margins. In addition, they find that they have relatively high ending inventories for the CVE of 619 units and for the SSL of 7703 units leading to spoilage, high inventory carrying costs, storage costs and possibly clearance sales at marked down prices. Finally, they have overtime production of 106 units for the CVE and 3,179 units for the SSL as a consequence of poor fore- casting leading to stockouts, lost sales and most important- ly lost customers. The pre-specified rules for the Company Profit Analy- sis worksheet are indicated on the right side (see exhibit 9). The benchmark price (BM) used when the Compete tab is used to select “Show Concerns” is the industry leader Com- pany 5 with the highest earnings per share. Sales revenues are the product of price charge and quantity sold. Assuming an inelastic demand (not neces- sarily true in all instances) for these luxury products, when prices are lower than the benchmark (P < BM), the cells are highlighted to indicate concerns. The antecedents of quan- tity sold (market share) are price, advertising budget, ad- vertising awareness index, salesforce size, salary, commis- sion, and quality. All these determinants have a direct rela- tionship with quantity sold. Accordingly, the cells are highlighted if the values for each of the above variables for the company are less than the corresponding values for the market leader Company 5. The rules are specified on the right. Total expenses consist of cost of goods sold items and operating expenses. The primary determinants of cost of goods sold are the unit cost of production for each of the three products, ending inventory & storage charge, and overtime production. The major operating expenses in- clude advertising, salesforce expense, and R&D expense which can be used to improve quality and lower cost of production. All these determinants have a direct relation- ship either with costs of goods sold or with operating ex- penses. Accordingly, the cells are highlighted if the values for each of the above variables for the company are more than the corresponding values for the market leader Com- pany 5 or the NAEM industry average in the case of unit cost of production. Excessive inventory is flagged when TST inventory exceeds 100 units, CVE inventory exceeds 500 units, and SSL inventory exceeds 1000 units as indicat- ed on the right. Any overtime is considered undesirable as indicated. Later, the user can select one or more of the nine SBU- specific worksheets in order to analyze sub-par profitability (contribution to margin) performance of specific SBUs. The nine SBU-specific worksheets extract SBU-specific data on such variables as SBU price, SBU advertising with breakdowns of broadcast advertising, print advertising, and sales promotion, and regional instead of total salesforce size. In addition, each of the SBU worksheets calculates and displays industry averages for each line item where industry averages are not available from the Excel version of the COMPETE results Period.xls. Once again, the selec- tion of the “Compete” tab followed by the “Show Con- cerns” button enables the user to immediately identify the highlighted cells with potential causes of sub-par profitabil- ity relative to the market leader (see exhibit 10). These cells are identified and highlighted based on a similar set of pre-specified rules relative to the market leader with the highest earnings per share (see exhibit 11). When the “Hide Concerns” button is selected, the user can analyze sub-par SBU profit (contribution to margin) performance using other benchmarks such as a more direct SBU-specific competitor instead of the overall market leader or the calcu- lated and displayed SBU-specific industry averages. For example, the executives of TriniTech (Company 2) have used the Profitability Analysis workbook to analyze the operations of their SBU TST – Region 1 during period 6. The TST – Region 1 Analysis worksheet (see exhibit 10) uses the same benchmark industry leader Company 5 with the leading $1.00 earnings per share identified in the Company Profit worksheet. When they use the Compete tab to select “Show Concerns,” the highlighted cells in red on a pink background indicate potential reasons for their TST – Region 1 performance. For instance, when they analyze the determinants of revenue (price and quantity sold) they find that their TST - Region 1 price of $4,530 is higher than the corresponding TST – Region 1 price of $4,500 of the market leader com- pany 2 (see exhibit 10). This higher price yielded higher margins and profits, especially if demand for these products is price inelastic and hence is not flagged as a determinant of sales revenue. Yet, when analyzing the determinants of quantity sold, this same higher price of $4,530 could have resulted in lower unit sales (all other variables held con- stant) as the COMPETE simulation is based on the rational man model. Their total TST – Region 1 advertising budget of $270,000, Broadcast advertising budget of 110,000, Print advertising budget of $80,000, Sales Promotion budg- et of $80,000 are all less than the corresponding budgets of $330,000, $130,000, $100,000, and $100,000 respectively Page 78 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 EXHIBIT 9 Company Profitability Analysis Worksheet Rules Page 79 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 of the market leader Company 5 (see exhibit 10). Their TST – Region 1 advertising awareness index of 105 is higher than the NAEM TST – Region 1 industry average of 103 and is accordingly not flagged. Their Region 1 salesforce size of 37 is lower than the 45 Region 1 salesforce size of the market leader. Their salesforce salary and commission of $4,000 and 2.8% are the same as or better than the $4,000 salary and 0.3% commission of the market leader company 5 and are not flagged. However, their TST quality index of 102 is lower than the corre- sponding 103 TST quality index of the market leader. Again, they have uncovered the primary reasons for weak TST – Region 1 sales revenues relative to the leader. On the Expense side they find that their unit cost of production for the TST of $3,558.32 exceeds the NAEM Industry Average of $3,556.73, making them less competi- tive and reducing their TST – Region 1 contribution-to- margin. They have no TST – Region 1 ending inventory or stockout concerns, but their company R&D budget exceeds that of the NAEM industry average. While this may result in higher quality, it contributes to total operating expenses and lower profits. The pre-specified rules for the TST – Region 1 Profit Analysis worksheet are indicated on the right side (see ex- hibit 11). The benchmark price (BM) used when the Com- pete tab is used to select “Show Concerns” is once again the industry leader Company 5 with the highest earnings per share. As before all determinants of the quantity sold component of total revenues have a direct relationship with sales revenue except for price. This is due to the rational man model assumption used in the COMPETE simulation. In addition, all the determinants of Total Expenses have a direct relationship either with costs of goods sold or with operating expenses. Accordingly, the cells are highlighted if the values for each of the above variables for the compa- ny are more than the corresponding values for the market leader Company 5 or the NAEM industry average in the case of unit cost of production. Excessive inventory is flagged when TST inventory exceeds 100 units as indicated on the right. Any overtime is considered undesirable and highlighted. Once the reasons for sub-par overall company and SBU-specific performance are recognized, appropriate cor- rective action can be taken to improve performance, there- by operationalizing the Iceberg Principle and exercising marketing control. EXHIBIT 10 TST-Region 1 Profitability Analysis Worksheet with Warning Flags Page 80 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS Company and SBU-specific profitability analysis can help management identify (a) the degree of profitability of the company and each SBU within the brand portfolio, (b) which SBUs within the brand portfolio are not contributing to overall profit, (c) the primary reasons for lack of overall profitability, and (d) the primary reasons for lack of contri- bution to margin of poorly performing SBUs. After they identify relatively unprofitable SBUs, and understand the primary reasons for lack of profitability, marketing manag- ers can use the insight derived to take appropriate correc- tive action. Positive anecdotal student feedback was received from undergraduate students at the end of the Spring 2013 se- mester. Some undergraduate students reported that the decision support packages were very useful and helpful in understanding the determinants of profitability. They indi- cated that the automatic extraction feature saved a “LOT” of time instead of having to type in all the numbers. They hoped it would continue to be used in the future as it defi- nitely made a difference. The Online Profitability Analysis Package has some limitations. First, some of the variables extracted from the COMPETE results are broken down by product (Quality, Cost of Production, R&D expense), other variables are bro- ken down by region (salesforce size), and a few other varia- bles such as salesforce salary and commission are only available company-wide. These data limitations may not accurately reflect the emphasis that management decides to give each of the nine SBUs in their marketing program. In addition, if the firm does not order the necessary market research reports, the required information will be missing and not available for extraction from the Excel version of the COMPETE results Period.xls file. Further, the Profita- bility Analysis Package flags the determinants of sales rev- enue and expenses for both the company and each of the nine SBUs based on comparison with the leading competi- tor with the highest overall earnings per share. However, it is possible for the user to turn off the flags by selecting the “Hide Concerns” option, and compare each antecedent of sales revenue and expense with average company values or EXHIBIT 11 TST-Region 1 Profitability Analysis Worksheet Rules Page 81 - Developments in Business Simulation and Experiential Learning, volume 41, 2014 with a specific selected competitor. In future, it may be possible to provide the user with benchmark options. The user can then select relevant or alternative benchmarks to analyze their own profitability. Despite these limitations, the Profitability Analysis Package is a simple yet powerful web-based user-centered learning tool that extracts relevant data from the simulation results, precludes data entry error, and saves considerable time involved in identifying and entering relevant data. Yet, in order to maximize learning about the Iceberg Prin- ciple and Marketing Control, and actualize the learning potential of the Profitability Analysis Package, the instruc- tor needs to (a) explain the purpose, significance, assump- tions, usage, and limitations of this dss package, (b) require inclusion of a sample analysis in a team report or presenta- tion, and (c) test students on their understanding of the un- derlying concepts at the end of the semester. CONCLUSION The Web-based Profitability Analysis Package is a user-centered learning tool that helps to prepare students for marketing decision-making responsibilities in their fu- ture careers. The package enables users to apply the Ice- berg Principle in Marketing Control and determine whether each SBU in their brand portfolio is contributing to the overall company profit or loss. 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