id	sid	eid	entity	type
dem-1058	1	1	11	CARDINAL
dem-1058	1	2	nicolaus copernicus university	ORG
dem-1058	1	3	2011	DATE
dem-1058	1	4	nicolaus copernicus university	ORG
dem-1058	1	5	poland	GPE
dem-1058	2	1	aic	ORG
dem-1058	3	1	three	CARDINAL
dem-1058	4	1	k e y w o r	PERSON
dem-1058	6	1	two	CARDINAL
dem-1058	7	1	first	ORDINAL
dem-1058	9	1	1993	DATE
dem-1058	9	2	deleew, 1998)	ORG
dem-1058	9	3	1976	DATE
dem-1058	11	1	second	ORDINAL
dem-1058	12	1	22	CARDINAL
dem-1058	14	1	2001	DATE
dem-1058	14	2	de luna	PERSON
dem-1058	14	3	skouras	GPE
dem-1058	14	4	2003	DATE
dem-1058	14	5	kunst	GPE
dem-1058	14	6	2003	DATE
dem-1058	17	1	data1	PERSON
dem-1058	17	2	2003	DATE
dem-1058	21	1	aic	ORG
dem-1058	22	1	three	CARDINAL
dem-1058	22	2	poland	GPE
dem-1058	23	1	aic	ORG
dem-1058	23	2	mse	ORG
dem-1058	23	3	mape	ORG
dem-1058	25	1	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	25	2	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	25	3	100+100+10	CARDINAL
dem-1058	25	4	first	ORDINAL
dem-1058	25	5	100	CARDINAL
dem-1058	25	6	1000	CARDINAL
dem-1058	26	1	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	27	1	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	27	2	mse	ORG
dem-1058	27	3	10	CARDINAL
dem-1058	27	4	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	27	5	2003	DATE
dem-1058	28	1	23 1	DATE
dem-1058	29	1	ˆ(l	CARDINAL
dem-1058	30	1	akaike	GPE
dem-1058	30	2	aic	ORG
dem-1058	30	3	2kq	ORG
dem-1058	30	4	schwartz	ORG
dem-1058	30	5	bayes	ORG
dem-1058	30	6	hannan-quinn	ORG
dem-1058	32	1	aicc	PERSON
dem-1058	34	1	1/()1(2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	34	2	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	35	1	aic	ORG
dem-1058	35	2	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	37	1	mae	GPE
dem-1058	37	2	1 2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	37	3	mse	ORG
dem-1058	37	4	t 	ORG
dem-1058	38	1	msermse	NORP
dem-1058	38	2	100	CARDINAL
dem-1058	38	3	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	38	4	mape	ORG
dem-1058	38	5	t 	ORG
dem-1058	39	1	rmse rmse u	ORG
dem-1058	39	2	ˆttt yye	PERSON
dem-1058	40	1	tŷ	GPE
dem-1058	41	1	24	CARDINAL
dem-1058	41	2	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	42	1	armstrong, 2001	ORG
dem-1058	42	2	armstrong, fildes, 1995)	ORG
dem-1058	43	1	mse	ORG
dem-1058	44	1	mse	ORG
dem-1058	45	1	required2	PERSON
dem-1058	45	2	mape	PERSON
dem-1058	45	3	theil	PERSON
dem-1058	46	1	chatfield	ORG
dem-1058	46	2	2000	DATE
dem-1058	49	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	49	2	swanson	PERSON
dem-1058	49	3	1997	DATE
dem-1058	50	1	1986	DATE
dem-1058	51	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	52	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	53	1	2006	DATE
dem-1058	53	2	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	55	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	55	2	first	ORDINAL
dem-1058	55	3	ip̂	ORG
dem-1058	56	1	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	56	2	ip̂	ORG
dem-1058	57	1	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	57	2	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	57	3	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	57	4	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	58	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	58	2	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	61	1	11	CARDINAL
dem-1058	61	2	kahn	PERSON
dem-1058	61	3	1995	DATE
dem-1058	61	4	207	CARDINAL
dem-1058	61	5	us	GPE
dem-1058	61	6	mape	ORG
dem-1058	61	7	52%	PERCENT
dem-1058	61	8	only 10%	PERCENT
dem-1058	61	9	mse	ORG
dem-1058	62	1	25	CARDINAL
dem-1058	63	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	63	2	2)ˆ	CARDINAL
dem-1058	63	3	ˆ	PERSON
dem-1058	63	4	 ii px ˆ	PERSON
dem-1058	63	5	2,1[	CARDINAL
dem-1058	63	6	2003	DATE
dem-1058	64	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	64	2	monthly	DATE
dem-1058	64	3	previous year	DATE
dem-1058	64	4	100	CARDINAL
dem-1058	64	5	pln zl	PERSON
dem-1058	64	6	poland	GPE
dem-1058	64	7	used3	EVENT
dem-1058	64	8	2002:01−2010:12	CARDINAL
dem-1058	64	9	108	CARDINAL
dem-1058	64	10	seasonally	DATE
dem-1058	65	1	trend4	PERSON
dem-1058	66	1	twelfth	ORDINAL
dem-1058	66	2	model5	DATE
dem-1058	67	1	two	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	1	n(s	GPE
dem-1058	68	2	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	3	108	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	4	2010:12	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	5	three	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	6	n(s	GPE
dem-1058	68	7	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	8	60	DATE
dem-1058	68	9	80	DATE
dem-1058	68	10	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	68	11	60	DATE
dem-1058	68	12	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	69	1	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	69	2	poland	GPE
dem-1058	70	1	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	74	1	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	74	2	12	CARDINAL
dem-1058	74	3	monthly	DATE
dem-1058	75	1	26	CARDINAL
dem-1058	75	2	aic	ORG
dem-1058	77	1	aic	ORG
dem-1058	78	1	1−8	CARDINAL
dem-1058	78	2	ape_se(mi)−ape_se(mj	ORG
dem-1058	78	3	ape_ae(mi)−ape_ae(mj	DATE
dem-1058	79	1	second	ORDINAL
dem-1058	79	2	first	ORDINAL
dem-1058	79	3	second	ORDINAL
dem-1058	79	4	first	ORDINAL
dem-1058	79	5	second	ORDINAL
dem-1058	80	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	81	1	at least three	CARDINAL
dem-1058	82	1	1 (row 1	DATE
dem-1058	82	2	aic criterion	ORG
dem-1058	82	3	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	82	4	aic criterion	PERSON
dem-1058	83	1	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	83	2	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	84	1	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	84	2	arima	ORG
dem-1058	84	3	aic	ORG
dem-1058	84	4	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	85	1	1, row 1	DATE
dem-1058	86	1	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	86	2	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	86	3	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	88	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	88	2	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	89	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	89	2	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	89	3	the aic criterion	ORG
dem-1058	90	1	arima	ORG
dem-1058	92	1	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	92	2	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	93	1	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	93	2	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	95	1	3, row 1 and 2	DATE
dem-1058	95	2	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	96	1	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	99	1	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	99	2	1 and	CARDINAL
dem-1058	100	1	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	101	1	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	101	2	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	102	1	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	103	1	poland	GPE
dem-1058	103	2	aic	ORG
dem-1058	104	1	n=80 arima	PERSON
dem-1058	104	2	ar aic ar ar ar ar ar ar bic ar ar ar ar ar ar	PERSON
dem-1058	105	1	arima arima arima ar arima arima	PERSON
dem-1058	105	2	ar arima ar ar arima ar arima	ORG
dem-1058	105	3	aic arima	PERSON
dem-1058	105	4	arima arima	PERSON
dem-1058	105	5	arima bic rw rw rw rw rw	PERSON
dem-1058	105	6	arima rw	PERSON
dem-1058	105	7	arima	ORG
dem-1058	105	8	arima arima	PERSON
dem-1058	105	9	arima arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	105	10	aic ar ar ar	PERSON
dem-1058	105	11	rw ar bic rw rw rw rw rw	PERSON
dem-1058	106	1	rw ar rw rw ar	PERSON
dem-1058	106	2	rw ar ar rw	PERSON
dem-1058	106	3	ar ar mariola	ORG
dem-1058	106	4	28	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	5	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	6	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	7	2011:01−20011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	8	arima ar	ORG
dem-1058	106	9	mse	ORG
dem-1058	106	10	0.34 0.35 0.26	MONEY
dem-1058	106	11	0.58	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	12	1.31	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	13	0.48	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	14	0.46 0.41	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	15	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	16	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	17	2011:01−2011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	18	n=80 arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	106	19	arima ar	ORG
dem-1058	106	20	arima ar	ORG
dem-1058	106	21	mse	ORG
dem-1058	106	22	0.314	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	23	0.265 0.305 0.365 0.276	MONEY
dem-1058	106	24	0.560	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	25	0.552 0.604 0.526 0.545	MONEY
dem-1058	106	26	1.183	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	27	1.000	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	28	1.063	MONEY
dem-1058	106	29	0.443%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	30	0.434%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	31	0.423%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	32	0.453%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	33	0.470%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	34	0.421%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	35	0.444%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	36	0.450%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	37	0.432%	PERCENT
dem-1058	106	38	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	39	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	40	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	106	41	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	42	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	43	1−4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	106	44	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	108	1	2011:01−2011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	108	2	mse	ORG
dem-1058	108	3	mape	ORG
dem-1058	108	4	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	108	5	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	109	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	109	2	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	109	3	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	109	4	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	111	1	poland	GPE
dem-1058	111	2	5−8	CARDINAL
dem-1058	112	1	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	113	1	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	113	2	29	CARDINAL
dem-1058	115	1	6, row 1	DATE
dem-1058	115	2	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	115	3	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	115	4	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	116	1	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	116	2	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	116	3	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	116	4	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	117	1	poland	GPE
dem-1058	118	1	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	118	2	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	118	3	7	CARDINAL
dem-1058	119	1	arima	ORG
dem-1058	119	2	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	119	3	8	CARDINAL
dem-1058	119	4	aic	ORG
dem-1058	119	5	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	119	6	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	120	1	5−6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	120	2	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	121	1	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	122	1	7	CARDINAL
dem-1058	122	2	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	122	3	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	122	4	poland	GPE
dem-1058	122	5	aic	ORG
dem-1058	123	1	n=80 arima	PERSON
dem-1058	123	2	ar aic ar ar ar ar ar ar bic ar ar ar ar ar ar	PERSON
dem-1058	124	1	arima arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	124	2	arima arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	124	3	arima ar arima arima arima ar arima	ORG
dem-1058	124	4	aic arima	PERSON
dem-1058	124	5	arima arima arima arima arima bic arima arima arima	PERSON
dem-1058	124	6	arima	ORG
dem-1058	125	1	arima arima arima arima arima arima	PERSON
dem-1058	125	2	arima arima arima arima arima arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	125	3	aic ar ar ar ar ar ar bic ar ar ar	PERSON
dem-1058	125	4	rw ar ape_se ar ar ar rw ar ar	ORG
dem-1058	125	5	ar ar ar ar ar ar	ORG
dem-1058	125	6	2011:01−2011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	125	7	mse	ORG
dem-1058	125	8	mape	ORG
dem-1058	125	9	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	125	10	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	126	1	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	126	2	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	126	3	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	126	4	30	CARDINAL
dem-1058	127	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	127	2	mape	ORG
dem-1058	127	3	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	128	1	40	CARDINAL
dem-1058	128	2	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	129	1	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	2	2011:01−20011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	3	arima ar	ORG
dem-1058	130	4	2673.30	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	5	2679.50	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	6	3390.70	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	7	0.622 0.624 1.00	MONEY
dem-1058	130	8	2.12 2.03 3.52	CARDINAL
dem-1058	130	9	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	2	2011:01−2011:06	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	3	n=80 arima ar	PERSON
dem-1058	131	4	arima ar	ORG
dem-1058	131	5	arima ar rw	ORG
dem-1058	131	6	2916.6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	7	3386.73	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	8	2697.1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	9	3395.6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	10	0.731 0.727 1.000 0.643 0.715 1.000	MONEY
dem-1058	131	11	0.631 1.00	MONEY
dem-1058	131	12	2.390 2.460 3.510 2.12%	MONEY
dem-1058	131	13	2.210	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	14	3.520	MONEY
dem-1058	131	15	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	131	16	80	CARDINAL
dem-1058	132	1	ar models	ORG
dem-1058	133	1	arima	ORG
dem-1058	133	2	aic criterion	ORG
dem-1058	134	1	poland	GPE
dem-1058	137	1	one	CARDINAL
dem-1058	139	1	31	CARDINAL
dem-1058	139	2	j. s.	PERSON
dem-1058	139	3	2001	DATE
dem-1058	139	4	new york	GPE
dem-1058	140	1	armstrong, j. s.	PERSON
dem-1058	140	2	r.	NORP
dem-1058	140	3	1995	DATE
dem-1058	140	4	14	CARDINAL
dem-1058	140	5	67−71	CARDINAL
dem-1058	141	1	g. e. p.	PERSON
dem-1058	141	2	1976	DATE
dem-1058	141	3	the american association	ORG
dem-1058	141	4	71	DATE
dem-1058	141	5	burnham	ORG
dem-1058	142	1	anderson	PERSON
dem-1058	142	2	d. r.	PERSON
dem-1058	142	3	2002	DATE
dem-1058	143	1	chatfield	PERSON
dem-1058	143	2	2000	DATE
dem-1058	143	3	chapman & hall/crc	ORG
dem-1058	143	4	boca raton-london	GPE
dem-1058	143	5	new york	GPE
dem-1058	144	1	clarke	GPE
dem-1058	144	2	2001	DATE
dem-1058	144	3	the indian journal of statistics	ORG
dem-1058	144	4	63	DATE
dem-1058	144	5	229−249	CARDINAL
dem-1058	144	6	de leeuw	PERSON
dem-1058	144	7	1988	DATE
dem-1058	144	8	t. k. dijkstra	PERSON
dem-1058	144	9	ed	PERSON
dem-1058	144	10	new york	GPE
dem-1058	145	1	dawid	PERSON
dem-1058	145	2	a. p.	PERSON
dem-1058	145	3	1984	DATE
dem-1058	145	4	journal of royal statistical society series	ORG
dem-1058	145	5	147	CARDINAL
dem-1058	145	6	278−292	CARDINAL
dem-1058	145	7	de luna	PERSON
dem-1058	145	8	x.	GPE
dem-1058	145	9	skouras	GPE
dem-1058	145	10	k.	PERSON
dem-1058	145	11	2003	DATE
dem-1058	145	12	scandinavian journal of statistics	ORG
dem-1058	145	13	30	DATE
dem-1058	146	1	kunst	PERSON
dem-1058	146	2	r. m.	PERSON
dem-1058	146	3	2003	DATE
dem-1058	146	4	130	CARDINAL
dem-1058	146	5	1−45	DATE
dem-1058	146	6	department of economics	ORG
dem-1058	146	7	vienna	GPE
dem-1058	147	1	mentzer	PERSON
dem-1058	147	2	j. t.	PERSON
dem-1058	147	3	kahn	ORG
dem-1058	147	4	k. b.	PERSON
dem-1058	147	5	1995	DATE
dem-1058	147	6	14	CARDINAL
dem-1058	147	7	465−476	DATE
dem-1058	147	8	rissanen	PERSON
dem-1058	147	9	j. (	ORG
dem-1058	147	10	1986	DATE
dem-1058	147	11	23a	CARDINAL
dem-1058	147	12	55	CARDINAL
dem-1058	147	13	skouras	PERSON
dem-1058	147	14	dawid	PERSON
dem-1058	147	15	a. p.	PERSON
dem-1058	147	16	1998	DATE
dem-1058	147	17	journal of royal statistical society b	ORG
dem-1058	147	18	60	CARDINAL
dem-1058	147	19	765−780	ORG
dem-1058	147	20	swanson	PERSON
dem-1058	147	21	n. r.	PERSON
dem-1058	147	22	white, h. (1997	ORG
dem-1058	147	23	linear	ORG
dem-1058	147	24	13	CARDINAL
dem-1058	147	25	439−461	DATE
dem-1058	148	1	taub	ORG
dem-1058	148	2	f. b.	PERSON
dem-1058	148	3	1993	DATE
dem-1058	148	4	74	CARDINAL
dem-1058	148	5	1290−1291	CARDINAL
dem-1058	148	6	wagenmaker	ORG
dem-1058	148	7	m. (	PERSON
dem-1058	148	8	2006	DATE
dem-1058	148	9	50	DATE
dem-1058	148	10	kryteria	PERSON
dem-1058	148	11	ś	ORG
dem-1058	148	12	i. celem	PERSON
dem-1058	149	1	prognostycznego na podstawie danych empirycznych	PERSON
dem-1058	149	2	dla polski	ORG
dem-1058	149	3	przy założeniu	ORG
dem-1058	149	4	generującego dane	PERSON
dem-1058	150	1	będzie poświęcona	PERSON
dem-1058	150	2	śledzeniu zmian kryteriów informacyjnych	PERSON
dem-1058	150	3	aic	PERSON
dem-1058	150	4	oraz skumulowanego	PERSON
dem-1058	150	5	dla próby powiększanej iteracyjnie	ORG
dem-1058	150	6	o	DATE
dem-1058	151	1	jedną obserwację	PERSON
dem-1058	152	1	o	DATE
dem-1058	152	2	wpływu wielkości	PERSON
dem-1058	154	1	najlepszego modelu prognostycznego	ORG
dem-1058	154	2	spośród następującego	ORG
dem-1058	155	1	arima	ORG
dem-1058	157	1	ł	ORG
dem-1058	157	2	k l u	ORG
dem-1058	158	1	o	DATE
dem-1058	159	1	kryteria informacyjne	PERSON
dem-1058	159	2	kryteria predykcyjne	PERSON
dem-1058	159	3	skumulowany błąd predykcji	PERSON
dem-1058	160	1	1	CARDINAL
dem-1058	161	1	aic	GPE
dem-1058	161	2	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	161	3	ar	ORG
dem-1058	161	4	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	161	5	poland	GPE
dem-1058	161	6	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	161	7	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	161	8	ar	ORG
dem-1058	161	9	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	161	10	poland	GPE
dem-1058	162	1	3	CARDINAL
dem-1058	163	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	163	2	ar	ORG
dem-1058	163	3	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	163	4	poland	GPE
dem-1058	163	5	4	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	2	ar	ORG
dem-1058	164	3	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	164	4	poland	GPE
dem-1058	164	5	5	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	6	aic criterion	ORG
dem-1058	164	7	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	8	ar	ORG
dem-1058	164	9	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	164	10	poland	GPE
dem-1058	164	11	6	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	12	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	164	13	ar	ORG
dem-1058	164	14	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	164	15	poland	GPE
dem-1058	165	1	7	CARDINAL
dem-1058	166	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	166	2	ar	ORG
dem-1058	166	3	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	166	4	poland	GPE
dem-1058	166	5	8	CARDINAL
dem-1058	168	1	2	CARDINAL
dem-1058	168	2	ar	ORG
dem-1058	168	3	arima	PERSON
dem-1058	168	4	poland	GPE
dem-1058	168	5	piłatowska dem	ORG
dem-1058	168	6	2011	DATE