id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
dem-1053	1	1	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	1	2	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	1	3	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	1	4	©	©	PROPN
dem-1053	1	5	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	1	6	nicolaus	nicolaus	PROPN
dem-1053	1	7	copernicus	copernicus	PROPN
dem-1053	1	8	university	university	PROPN
dem-1053	1	9	press	press	NOUN
dem-1053	1	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	2	1	all	all	DET
dem-1053	2	2	rights	right	NOUN
dem-1053	2	3	reserved	reserve	VERB
dem-1053	2	4	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	3	1	http://www.dem.umk.pl/dem	http://www.dem.umk.pl/dem	PROPN
dem-1053	3	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	3	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	3	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	3	5	vol	vol	NOUN
dem-1053	3	6	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	4	1	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	4	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	4	3	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	4	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	4	5	73−87	73−87	NOUN
dem-1053	4	6	submitted	submit	VERB
dem-1053	4	7	october	october	PROPN
dem-1053	4	8	22	22	NUM
dem-1053	4	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	4	10	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	4	11	issn	issn	AUX
dem-1053	4	12	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	4	13	march	march	PROPN
dem-1053	4	14	21	21	NUM
dem-1053	4	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	4	16	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	4	17	1234	1234	NUM
dem-1053	4	18	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	4	19	3862	3862	NUM
dem-1053	4	20	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	4	21	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	4	22	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	4	23	*	*	VERB
dem-1053	4	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	4	25	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	4	26	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	4	27	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	4	28	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	4	29	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	4	30	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	4	31	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	4	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	4	33	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	4	34	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	4	35	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	4	36	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	4	37	the	the	DET
dem-1053	4	38	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	4	39	model	model	VERB
dem-1053	4	40	a	a	DET
dem-1053	4	41	b	b	PROPN
dem-1053	4	42	s	s	ADP
dem-1053	4	43	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	4	44	r	r	NOUN
dem-1053	4	45	a	a	DET
dem-1053	4	46	c	c	NOUN
dem-1053	4	47	t.	t.	NOUN
dem-1053	4	48	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	4	49	the	the	DET
dem-1053	4	50	article	article	NOUN
dem-1053	4	51	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	4	52	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	4	53	for	for	SCONJ
dem-1053	4	54	the	the	DET
dem-1053	4	55	four	four	NUM
dem-1053	4	56	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	4	57	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	4	58	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	4	59	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	4	60	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	4	61	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	4	62	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	5	1	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-1053	5	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	5	3	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	5	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	5	5	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	5	6	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	5	7	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	5	8	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	5	9	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	5	10	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	5	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	5	12	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	5	13	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	5	14	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	5	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	5	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	5	17	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	5	18	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	5	19	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	5	20	conducted	conduct	VERB
dem-1053	5	21	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	5	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	5	23	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-1053	5	24	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	5	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	6	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	6	2	study	study	NOUN
dem-1053	6	3	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	6	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	6	5	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	6	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	6	7	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	6	8	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	6	9	both	both	CCONJ
dem-1053	6	10	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	6	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	6	12	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	6	13	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	6	14	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	6	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	6	16	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	6	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	6	18	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	6	19	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	6	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	7	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	7	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	7	3	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	7	4	version	version	NOUN
dem-1053	7	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	7	6	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	7	7	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	7	8	adequately	adequately	ADV
dem-1053	7	9	describes	describe	VERB
dem-1053	7	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	7	11	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	7	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	7	13	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	7	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	7	15	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	7	16	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	7	17	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	7	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	8	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	8	2	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	8	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	8	4	allows	allow	VERB
dem-1053	8	5	to	to	PART
dem-1053	8	6	obtain	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	8	7	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
dem-1053	8	8	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	8	9	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	8	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	8	11	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	8	12	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	8	13	four	four	NUM
dem-1053	8	14	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	8	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	8	16	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	8	17	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	8	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	9	1	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	9	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	9	3	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	9	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	9	5	domain	domain	NOUN
dem-1053	9	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	9	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	9	8	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	9	9	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	9	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	9	11	more	more	ADJ
dem-1053	9	12	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	9	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	9	14	needed	need	VERB
dem-1053	9	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	9	16	recognising	recognise	VERB
dem-1053	9	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	9	18	symptomatic	symptomatic	ADJ
dem-1053	9	19	properties	property	NOUN
dem-1053	9	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	9	21	various	various	ADJ
dem-1053	9	22	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-1053	9	23	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	9	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	10	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	10	2	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	10	3	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	10	4	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	10	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	10	6	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	10	7	successfully	successfully	ADV
dem-1053	10	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	10	9	advanced	advanced	ADJ
dem-1053	10	10	marked	mark	VERB
dem-1053	10	11	economies	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	10	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	10	13	continues	continue	VERB
dem-1053	10	14	to	to	PART
dem-1053	10	15	alter	alter	VERB
dem-1053	10	16	its	its	PRON
dem-1053	10	17	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
dem-1053	10	18	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	10	19	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	10	20	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	10	21	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	10	22	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	10	23	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	10	24	currently	currently	ADV
dem-1053	10	25	not	not	PART
dem-1053	10	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	10	27	best	well	ADV
dem-1053	10	28	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-1053	10	29	indicator	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	10	30	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-1053	10	31	a	a	DET
dem-1053	10	32	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	10	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	11	1	k	k	PROPN
dem-1053	11	2	e	e	PROPN
dem-1053	11	3	y	y	PROPN
dem-1053	11	4	w	w	NOUN
dem-1053	11	5	o	o	NOUN
dem-1053	11	6	r	r	NOUN
dem-1053	11	7	d	d	NOUN
dem-1053	11	8	s	s	NOUN
dem-1053	11	9	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	11	10	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	11	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	11	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	11	13	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	11	14	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	11	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	11	16	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	11	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	11	18	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	11	19	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	11	20	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	11	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	11	22	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	11	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	11	24	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	11	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	12	1	j	j	PROPN
dem-1053	12	2	e	e	X
dem-1053	12	3	l	l	NOUN
dem-1053	12	4	classification	classification	NOUN
dem-1053	12	5	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	12	6	e32	e32	PROPN
dem-1053	12	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	12	8	e37	e37	NOUN
dem-1053	12	9	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	13	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
dem-1053	13	2	analysts	analyst	NOUN
dem-1053	13	3	often	often	ADV
dem-1053	13	4	emphasise	emphasise	VERB
dem-1053	13	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	13	6	many	many	ADJ
dem-1053	13	7	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	13	8	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	13	9	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	13	10	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	13	11	tend	tend	VERB
dem-1053	13	12	to	to	PART
dem-1053	13	13	behave	behave	VERB
dem-1053	13	14	differently	differently	ADV
dem-1053	13	15	during	during	ADP
dem-1053	13	16	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	13	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	13	18	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	13	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	14	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-1053	14	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	14	3	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	14	4	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	14	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	14	6	wellgrounded	wellgrounde	VERB
dem-1053	14	7	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	14	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	14	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	14	10	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	14	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	14	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	14	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	14	14	describing	describe	VERB
dem-1053	14	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	14	16	formation	formation	NOUN
dem-1053	14	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	14	18	such	such	ADJ
dem-1053	14	19	values	value	NOUN
dem-1053	14	20	change	change	VERB
dem-1053	14	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	15	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	15	2	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	15	3	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	15	4	allow	allow	VERB
dem-1053	15	5	to	to	PART
dem-1053	15	6	test	test	VERB
dem-1053	15	7	such	such	DET
dem-1053	15	8	an	an	DET
dem-1053	15	9	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	15	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	16	1	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	16	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	3	turning	turning	NOUN
dem-1053	16	4	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	16	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	16	6	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
dem-1053	16	7	known	know	VERB
dem-1053	16	8	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	16	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	10	moments	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	16	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	16	12	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	16	13	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	16	14	periods	period	NOUN
dem-1053	16	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	16	16	diversified	diversified	ADJ
dem-1053	16	17	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
dem-1053	16	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	16	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	20	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	16	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	16	22	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	16	23	known	know	VERB
dem-1053	16	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	16	25	then	then	ADV
dem-1053	16	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	27	segment	segment	NOUN
dem-1053	16	28	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	16	29	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	16	30	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	31	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
dem-1053	16	32	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	16	33	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	16	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	35	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	16	36	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	16	37	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	16	38	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	39	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	16	40	variants	variant	NOUN
dem-1053	16	41	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	16	42	the	the	DET
dem-1053	16	43	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
dem-1053	16	44	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	16	45	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	16	46	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	16	47	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	16	48	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	1	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	17	2	researchers	researcher	NOUN
dem-1053	17	3	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	17	4	not	not	PART
dem-1053	17	5	*	*	VERB
dem-1053	17	6	correspondence	correspondence	NOUN
dem-1053	17	7	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	17	8	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	9	milda	milda	ADJ
dem-1053	17	10	burzala	burzala	NOUN
dem-1053	17	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	12	department	department	NOUN
dem-1053	17	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	17	14	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-1053	17	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	16	faculty	faculty	NOUN
dem-1053	17	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	17	18	informatics	informatic	NOUN
dem-1053	17	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	17	20	electronic	electronic	ADJ
dem-1053	17	21	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	17	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	23	poznan	poznan	PROPN
dem-1053	17	24	university	university	PROPN
dem-1053	17	25	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	17	26	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-1053	17	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	28	ul	ul	INTJ
dem-1053	17	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	30	towarowa	towarowa	VERB
dem-1053	17	31	53	53	NUM
dem-1053	17	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	33	61	61	NUM
dem-1053	17	34	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	17	35	896	896	NUM
dem-1053	17	36	poznań	poznań	NOUN
dem-1053	17	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	38	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	17	39	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	40	e	e	NOUN
dem-1053	17	41	-	-	NOUN
dem-1053	17	42	mail	mail	NOUN
dem-1053	17	43	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	44	m.burzala@ue.poznan.pl	m.burzala@ue.poznan.pl	PROPN
dem-1053	17	45	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	17	46	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	17	47	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	17	48	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	17	49	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	17	50	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	17	51	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	17	52	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	53	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	17	54	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	55	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	17	56	74	74	NUM
dem-1053	17	57	agree	agree	VERB
dem-1053	17	58	upon	upon	SCONJ
dem-1053	17	59	a	a	DET
dem-1053	17	60	single	single	ADJ
dem-1053	17	61	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	17	62	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	17	63	establishing	establish	VERB
dem-1053	17	64	such	such	ADJ
dem-1053	17	65	turning	turning	NOUN
dem-1053	17	66	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	17	67	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	68	then	then	ADV
dem-1053	17	69	the	the	DET
dem-1053	17	70	markov	markov	NOUN
dem-1053	17	71	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	72	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	17	73	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	17	74	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	75	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	17	76	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	17	77	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	17	78	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	17	79	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	17	80	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	17	81	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	17	82	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	17	83	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	18	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	18	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	18	3	case	case	NOUN
dem-1053	18	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	18	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	18	6	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	18	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	18	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	18	9	moments	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	18	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	18	11	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	18	12	depend	depend	NOUN
dem-1053	18	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	18	14	among	among	ADP
dem-1053	18	15	others	other	NOUN
dem-1053	18	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	18	17	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	18	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	18	19	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	18	20	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	18	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	18	22	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
dem-1053	18	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	18	24	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	18	25	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	18	26	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	18	27	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	18	28	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-1053	18	29	ratios	ratio	NOUN
dem-1053	18	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	19	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	19	2	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	19	3	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	19	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	19	5	american	american	ADJ
dem-1053	19	6	market	market	NOUN
dem-1053	19	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	19	8	data	datum	NOUN
dem-1053	19	9	provided	provide	VERB
dem-1053	19	10	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	19	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	19	12	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	19	13	concerning	concern	VERB
dem-1053	19	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	19	15	turning	turning	NOUN
dem-1053	19	16	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	19	17	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	19	18	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	19	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	19	20	decline	decline	VERB
dem-1053	19	21	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	19	22	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	19	23	the	the	DET
dem-1053	19	24	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	19	25	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	19	26	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	19	27	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	19	28	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	19	29	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	19	30	the	the	DET
dem-1053	19	31	point	point	NOUN
dem-1053	19	32	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	19	33	reference	reference	NOUN
dem-1053	19	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	20	1	yet	yet	ADV
dem-1053	20	2	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	20	3	many	many	ADJ
dem-1053	20	4	countries	country	NOUN
dem-1053	20	5	there	there	PRON
dem-1053	20	6	is	be	VERB
dem-1053	20	7	no	no	DET
dem-1053	20	8	established	establish	VERB
dem-1053	20	9	system	system	NOUN
dem-1053	20	10	to	to	PART
dem-1053	20	11	indicate	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	20	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	20	13	beginning	beginning	NOUN
dem-1053	20	14	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	20	15	end	end	NOUN
dem-1053	20	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	20	17	a	a	DET
dem-1053	20	18	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	20	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	21	1	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	21	2	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	21	3	why	why	SCONJ
dem-1053	21	4	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	21	5	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	21	6	worthwhile	worthwhile	ADJ
dem-1053	21	7	to	to	PART
dem-1053	21	8	analyse	analyse	VERB
dem-1053	21	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	21	10	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	21	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	21	12	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	21	13	resulting	result	VERB
dem-1053	21	14	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	21	15	various	various	ADJ
dem-1053	21	16	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	21	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	22	1	zarnovitz	zarnovitz	PROPN
dem-1053	22	2	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	22	3	ozyildirim	ozyildirim	NOUN
dem-1053	22	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	22	5	2006	2006	NUM
dem-1053	22	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	22	7	discuss	discuss	VERB
dem-1053	22	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	22	9	influence	influence	NOUN
dem-1053	22	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	22	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	22	12	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	22	13	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	22	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	22	15	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
dem-1053	22	16	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	22	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	22	18	variability	variability	NOUN
dem-1053	22	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	22	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	22	21	course	course	NOUN
dem-1053	22	22	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	22	23	a	a	DET
dem-1053	22	24	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	22	25	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	22	26	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	22	27	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	22	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	23	1	they	they	PRON
dem-1053	23	2	compare	compare	VERB
dem-1053	23	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	23	4	dating	dating	NOUN
dem-1053	23	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	23	6	turning	turn	VERB
dem-1053	23	7	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	23	8	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	23	9	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	23	10	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	23	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	23	12	levels	level	NOUN
dem-1053	23	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	23	14	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	23	15	deviations	deviation	NOUN
dem-1053	23	16	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	23	17	smoothed	smooth	VERB
dem-1053	23	18	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	23	19	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	23	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	24	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	2	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	24	3	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	24	4	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	24	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	6	use	use	NOUN
dem-1053	24	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	24	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	9	pat	pat	NOUN
dem-1053	24	10	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	24	11	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	24	12	very	very	ADV
dem-1053	24	13	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-1053	24	14	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	24	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	16	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	24	17	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	24	18	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	24	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	20	basis	basis	NOUN
dem-1053	24	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	24	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	24	23	hodrickprescott	hodrickprescott	NOUN
dem-1053	24	24	filtering	filtering	NOUN
dem-1053	24	25	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	24	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	24	27	local	local	ADJ
dem-1053	24	28	linear	linear	ADJ
dem-1053	24	29	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	24	30	as	as	ADV
dem-1053	24	31	well	well	ADV
dem-1053	24	32	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	24	33	band	band	NOUN
dem-1053	24	34	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	24	35	pass	pass	NOUN
dem-1053	24	36	filtering	filter	VERB
dem-1053	24	37	method1	method1	PROPN
dem-1053	24	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	25	2	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	25	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	25	5	comparative	comparative	ADJ
dem-1053	25	6	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	25	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	25	8	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	25	9	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	25	10	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	25	11	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	25	12	different	different	ADJ
dem-1053	25	13	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	25	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	15	made	make	VERB
dem-1053	25	16	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	25	17	various	various	ADJ
dem-1053	25	18	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	25	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	20	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	25	21	described	describe	VERB
dem-1053	25	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	23	among	among	ADP
dem-1053	25	24	others	other	NOUN
dem-1053	25	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	26	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	25	27	skrzypczyńska	skrzypczyńska	NOUN
dem-1053	25	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	29	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	25	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	25	32	burzała	burzała	NOUN
dem-1053	25	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	34	after	after	SCONJ
dem-1053	25	35	revives	revive	VERB
dem-1053	25	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	37	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	25	38	press	press	NOUN
dem-1053	25	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	25	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	26	1	this	this	DET
dem-1053	26	2	article	article	NOUN
dem-1053	26	3	presents	present	VERB
dem-1053	26	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	26	5	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-1053	26	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	26	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	26	8	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	26	9	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	26	10	a	a	DET
dem-1053	26	11	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	26	12	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	26	13	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	26	14	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	26	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	26	16	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	26	17	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	26	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	26	19	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	26	20	known	known	ADJ
dem-1053	26	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	26	22	unknown	unknown	ADJ
dem-1053	26	23	switching	switching	NOUN
dem-1053	26	24	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	26	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	27	1	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	27	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	27	3	presents	present	VERB
dem-1053	27	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	27	5	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	27	6	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	27	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	27	8	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	27	9	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	27	10	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	27	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	27	12	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	27	13	allows	allow	VERB
dem-1053	27	14	to	to	PART
dem-1053	27	15	determine	determine	VERB
dem-1053	27	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	27	17	moments	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	27	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	27	19	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	27	20	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	27	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	27	22	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	27	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	27	24	high	high	ADJ
dem-1053	27	25	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	27	26	low	low	ADJ
dem-1053	27	27	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	27	28	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	27	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	28	1	sections	section	NOUN
dem-1053	28	2	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	28	3	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	28	4	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	28	5	describe	describe	VERB
dem-1053	28	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	28	7	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	28	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	28	9	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	28	10	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	28	11	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	28	12	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	28	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	28	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	28	15	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	28	16	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	28	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	28	18	respectively	respectively	ADV
dem-1053	28	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	28	20	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	28	21	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	28	22	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	28	23	to	to	PART
dem-1053	28	24	estimate	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	28	25	the	the	DET
dem-1053	28	26	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	28	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	28	28	a	a	DET
dem-1053	28	29	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	28	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	29	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	29	2	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	29	3	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	29	4	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	29	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	29	6	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-1053	29	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	29	8	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	29	9	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	29	10	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	29	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	29	12	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	29	13	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	29	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	29	15	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	29	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	29	17	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	29	18	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	29	19	described	describe	VERB
dem-1053	29	20	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	29	21	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	29	22	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	29	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	30	1	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	30	2	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	30	3	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	30	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	30	5	summary	summary	NOUN
dem-1053	30	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	30	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	30	8	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	30	9	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	30	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	31	1	1	1	X
dem-1053	31	2	.	.	X
dem-1053	31	3	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	31	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	31	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	31	6	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	31	7	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	31	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	31	9	a	a	DET
dem-1053	31	10	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	31	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	31	12	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	31	13	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	31	14	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	31	15	market	market	NOUN
dem-1053	31	16	economies	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	31	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	31	18	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	31	19	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	31	20	difficult	difficult	ADJ
dem-1053	31	21	to	to	PART
dem-1053	31	22	clearly	clearly	ADV
dem-1053	31	23	determine	determine	VERB
dem-1053	31	24	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	31	25	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	31	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	31	27	observed	observe	VERB
dem-1053	31	28	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	31	29	have	have	AUX
dem-1053	31	30	resulted	result	VERB
dem-1053	31	31	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	31	32	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	31	33	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	31	34	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	31	35	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	31	36	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	31	37	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	31	38	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	31	39	stem	stem	VERB
dem-1053	31	40	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	31	41	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	31	42	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-1053	31	43	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	1	despite	despite	SCONJ
dem-1053	32	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	32	3	many	many	ADJ
dem-1053	32	4	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	32	5	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	32	6	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	32	7	upgraded	upgrade	VERB
dem-1053	32	8	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
dem-1053	32	9	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	32	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	32	12	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	32	13	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	32	14	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	15	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	32	16	’	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	32	18	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	19	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	32	20	’	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	32	21	has	have	AUX
dem-1053	32	22	always	always	ADV
dem-1053	32	23	been	be	AUX
dem-1053	32	24	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	32	25	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	32	26	a	a	DET
dem-1053	32	27	convention	convention	NOUN
dem-1053	32	28	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	32	29	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	32	30	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	32	31	considered	consider	VERB
dem-1053	32	32	somewhat	somewhat	ADV
dem-1053	32	33	artificial	artificial	ADJ
dem-1053	32	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-1053	33	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	3	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	33	4	would	would	AUX
dem-1053	33	5	seem	seem	VERB
dem-1053	33	6	to	to	PART
dem-1053	33	7	make	make	VERB
dem-1053	33	8	sense	sense	NOUN
dem-1053	33	9	to	to	PART
dem-1053	33	10	employ	employ	VERB
dem-1053	33	11	an	an	DET
dem-1053	33	12	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	33	13	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	33	14	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	33	15	an	an	DET
dem-1053	33	16	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	33	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	33	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	33	19	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	33	20	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	33	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	33	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	33	23	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	33	24	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	33	25	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	33	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	33	27	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-1053	33	28	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	33	29	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	33	30	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-1053	33	31	removed	remove	VERB
dem-1053	33	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	33	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	33	34	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	33	35	no	no	DET
dem-1053	33	36	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
dem-1053	33	37	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	33	38	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	33	39	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	33	40	eco	eco	PROPN
dem-1053	33	41	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	33	42	pat	pat	NOUN
dem-1053	33	43	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	44	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	33	45	average	average	ADJ
dem-1053	33	46	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	33	47	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	48	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	33	49	a	a	DET
dem-1053	33	50	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	33	51	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	52	step	step	NOUN
dem-1053	33	53	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-1053	33	54	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	33	55	described	describe	VERB
dem-1053	33	56	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	33	57	boschan	boschan	NOUN
dem-1053	33	58	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	59	ebanks	ebank	VERB
dem-1053	33	60	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	61	1978	1978	NUM
dem-1053	33	62	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	33	63	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	34	1	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	34	2	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	34	3	applied	apply	VERB
dem-1053	34	4	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	34	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	34	6	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	34	7	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	34	8	a	a	DET
dem-1053	34	9	large	large	ADJ
dem-1053	34	10	number	number	NOUN
dem-1053	34	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	34	12	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	34	13	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	34	14	generally	generally	ADV
dem-1053	34	15	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
dem-1053	34	16	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	34	17	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	34	18	terms	term	NOUN
dem-1053	34	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	34	20	timing	timing	NOUN
dem-1053	34	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	34	22	conformity	conformity	NOUN
dem-1053	34	23	to	to	PART
dem-1053	34	24	aggregate	aggregate	VERB
dem-1053	34	25	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	34	26	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	34	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	35	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	35	2	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	35	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	35	4	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	35	5	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	35	6	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	35	7	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	35	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	35	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	35	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	35	11	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	35	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	35	13	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	35	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	35	15	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	35	16	75	75	NUM
dem-1053	35	17	nomic	nomic	ADJ
dem-1053	35	18	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-1053	35	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	36	1	thus	thus	ADV
dem-1053	36	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	36	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	36	4	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	36	5	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	36	6	focused	focus	VERB
dem-1053	36	7	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	36	8	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	36	9	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	36	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	36	11	general	general	ADJ
dem-1053	36	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	36	13	rather	rather	ADV
dem-1053	36	14	than	than	ADP
dem-1053	36	15	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	36	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	36	17	course	course	NOUN
dem-1053	36	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	36	19	a	a	DET
dem-1053	36	20	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	36	21	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	36	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	37	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	37	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	37	3	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-1053	37	4	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	37	5	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	37	6	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	37	7	this	this	DET
dem-1053	37	8	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-1053	37	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	37	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	37	11	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	37	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	37	13	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	37	14	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	37	15	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	37	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	37	17	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	37	18	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	37	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	37	20	total	total	ADJ
dem-1053	37	21	industrial	industrial	ADJ
dem-1053	37	22	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	37	23	sold	sell	VERB
dem-1053	37	24	pr_irt	pr_irt	PROPN
dem-1053	37	25	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	37	26	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	37	27	recorded	record	VERB
dem-1053	37	28	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	37	29	a	a	DET
dem-1053	37	30	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	37	31	basis	basis	NOUN
dem-1053	37	32	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	37	33	january	january	PROPN
dem-1053	37	34	1993	1993	NUM
dem-1053	37	35	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	37	36	march	march	PROPN
dem-1053	37	37	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	37	38	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	37	39	with	with	SCONJ
dem-1053	37	40	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-1053	37	41	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	37	42	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	37	43	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-1053	37	44	removed	remove	VERB
dem-1053	37	45	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	38	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	38	2	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-1053	38	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	38	4	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	38	5	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	38	6	mostly	mostly	ADV
dem-1053	38	7	resulted	result	VERB
dem-1053	38	8	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	38	9	a	a	DET
dem-1053	38	10	larger	large	ADJ
dem-1053	38	11	frequency	frequency	NOUN
dem-1053	38	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	38	13	quotations	quotation	NOUN
dem-1053	38	14	than	than	ADP
dem-1053	38	15	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	38	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	38	17	gnp	gnp	PROPN
dem-1053	38	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	39	1	this	this	DET
dem-1053	39	2	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	39	3	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	39	4	compatible	compatible	ADJ
dem-1053	39	5	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	39	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	39	7	generally	generally	ADV
dem-1053	39	8	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-1053	39	9	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	39	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	39	11	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	39	12	definition	definition	NOUN
dem-1053	39	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	39	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	39	15	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	39	16	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	39	17	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	39	18	commonly	commonly	ADV
dem-1053	39	19	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	39	20	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	39	21	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-1053	39	22	analyses	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	39	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	39	24	mintz	mintz	NOUN
dem-1053	39	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	39	26	1972	1972	NUM
dem-1053	39	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	39	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	40	2	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	40	3	rules	rule	NOUN
dem-1053	40	4	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	40	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	40	6	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	40	7	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	40	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	9	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	40	10	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	40	11	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	40	12	this	this	DET
dem-1053	40	13	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-1053	40	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	15	make	make	VERB
dem-1053	40	16	use	use	NOUN
dem-1053	40	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	40	18	shortand	shortand	NOUN
dem-1053	40	19	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	40	20	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	21	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	40	22	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	40	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	40	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	40	25	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	40	26	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	40	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	28	burzała	burzała	NOUN
dem-1053	40	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	30	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	40	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	40	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	41	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	41	2	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	41	3	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	41	4	pr_irt	pr_irt	NOUN
dem-1053	41	5	measures	measure	VERB
dem-1053	41	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	41	7	change	change	NOUN
dem-1053	41	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	41	9	a	a	DET
dem-1053	41	10	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	41	11	prt	prt	NOUN
dem-1053	41	12	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	41	13	respect	respect	NOUN
dem-1053	41	14	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	41	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	41	16	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
dem-1053	41	17	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	41	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	41	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	41	20	preceding	precede	VERB
dem-1053	41	21	year	year	NOUN
dem-1053	41	22	prt-12	prt-12	NOUN
dem-1053	41	23	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	41	24	constitutes	constitute	VERB
dem-1053	41	25	the	the	DET
dem-1053	41	26	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	41	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	41	28	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	41	29	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	41	30	within	within	ADP
dem-1053	41	31	a	a	DET
dem-1053	41	32	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	41	33	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	41	34	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	41	35	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	41	36	’	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	41	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	42	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	42	2	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	42	3	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	42	4	pr_imt	pr_imt	NOUN
dem-1053	42	5	measures	measure	VERB
dem-1053	42	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	42	7	change	change	NOUN
dem-1053	42	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	42	9	a	a	DET
dem-1053	42	10	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	42	11	prt	prt	NOUN
dem-1053	42	12	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	42	13	respect	respect	NOUN
dem-1053	42	14	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	42	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	42	16	preceding	precede	VERB
dem-1053	42	17	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	42	18	prt-1	prt-1	PUNCT
dem-1053	42	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	42	20	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	42	21	a	a	DET
dem-1053	42	22	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	42	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	42	24	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	42	25	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	42	26	within	within	ADP
dem-1053	42	27	a	a	DET
dem-1053	42	28	short	short	ADJ
dem-1053	42	29	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	42	30	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	42	31	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	42	32	’	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	42	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	43	1	these	these	DET
dem-1053	43	2	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	43	3	represent	represent	VERB
dem-1053	43	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	43	5	following	follow	VERB
dem-1053	43	6	respective	respective	ADJ
dem-1053	43	7	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
dem-1053	43	8	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	43	9	.100_,100	.100_,100	PUNCT
dem-1053	43	10	_	_	NOUN
dem-1053	43	11	112	112	NUM
dem-1053	44	1	⋅=⋅=	⋅=⋅=	PROPN
dem-1053	44	2	−−	−−	PROPN
dem-1053	44	3	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	4	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	5	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	6	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	7	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	8	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	44	9	pr	pr	VERB
dem-1053	44	10	pr	pr	INTJ
dem-1053	44	11	impr	impr	VERB
dem-1053	44	12	pr	pr	VERB
dem-1053	44	13	pr	pr	NOUN
dem-1053	44	14	irpr	irpr	NOUN
dem-1053	44	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	44	16	1	1	X
dem-1053	44	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	44	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	44	19	first	first	ADJ
dem-1053	44	20	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	44	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	44	22	pr_irt	pr_irt	PROPN
dem-1053	44	23	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	44	24	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	44	25	a	a	DET
dem-1053	44	26	reference	reference	NOUN
dem-1053	44	27	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	44	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	44	29	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	44	30	has	have	AUX
dem-1053	44	31	already	already	ADV
dem-1053	44	32	been	be	AUX
dem-1053	44	33	mentioned	mention	VERB
dem-1053	44	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	45	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	45	2	proposal	proposal	NOUN
dem-1053	45	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	45	4	dividing	divide	VERB
dem-1053	45	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	45	6	set	set	NOUN
dem-1053	45	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	45	8	all	all	DET
dem-1053	45	9	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-1053	45	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	45	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	45	12	reference	reference	NOUN
dem-1053	45	13	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	45	14	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	45	15	separable	separable	ADJ
dem-1053	45	16	subsets	subset	NOUN
dem-1053	45	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	45	18	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	45	19	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	45	20	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	45	21	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	45	22	has	have	AUX
dem-1053	45	23	been	be	AUX
dem-1053	45	24	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	45	25	upon	upon	SCONJ
dem-1053	45	26	tests	test	NOUN
dem-1053	45	27	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	45	28	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	45	29	to	to	PART
dem-1053	45	30	determine	determine	VERB
dem-1053	45	31	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-1053	45	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	45	33	short	short	ADJ
dem-1053	45	34	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	45	35	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	45	36	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	45	37	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	45	38	implies	imply	VERB
dem-1053	45	39	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	45	40	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	45	41	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	45	42	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	45	43	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	46	1	depending	depend	VERB
dem-1053	46	2	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	46	3	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-1053	46	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	46	5	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	46	6	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	46	7	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	46	8	above	above	ADP
dem-1053	46	9	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	46	10	below	below	ADP
dem-1053	46	11	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	46	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	46	13	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	46	14	corresponds	correspond	VERB
dem-1053	46	15	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	46	16	a	a	DET
dem-1053	46	17	positive	positive	ADJ
dem-1053	46	18	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	46	19	negative	negative	ADJ
dem-1053	46	20	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	46	21	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	46	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	46	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	46	24	an	an	DET
dem-1053	46	25	observation	observation	NOUN
dem-1053	46	26	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	46	27	classified	classify	VERB
dem-1053	46	28	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	46	29	characteristic	characteristic	ADJ
dem-1053	46	30	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	46	31	a	a	DET
dem-1053	46	32	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	46	33	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	46	34	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	46	35	the	the	DET
dem-1053	46	36	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	46	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	1	this	this	DET
dem-1053	47	2	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	47	3	uses	use	VERB
dem-1053	47	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	47	5	rules	rule	NOUN
dem-1053	47	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	47	7	symbolic	symbolic	ADJ
dem-1053	47	8	taxonomy	taxonomy	NOUN
dem-1053	47	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	47	11	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	47	12	a	a	DET
dem-1053	47	13	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	47	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	15	state	state	NOUN
dem-1053	47	16	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	17	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	47	18	described	describe	VERB
dem-1053	47	19	through	through	ADP
dem-1053	47	20	a	a	DET
dem-1053	47	21	conjunction	conjunction	NOUN
dem-1053	47	22	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	47	23	values	value	NOUN
dem-1053	47	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	47	25	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	47	26	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	47	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	28	gatnar	gatnar	ADJ
dem-1053	47	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	30	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	47	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	47	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	1	these	these	DET
dem-1053	48	2	rules	rule	NOUN
dem-1053	48	3	allow	allow	VERB
dem-1053	48	4	to	to	PART
dem-1053	48	5	distinguish	distinguish	VERB
dem-1053	48	6	four	four	NUM
dem-1053	48	7	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	48	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	48	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	48	10	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	48	11	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	12	burzała	burzała	NOUN
dem-1053	48	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	14	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	48	15	a	a	DET
dem-1053	48	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	17	b	b	NOUN
dem-1053	48	18	):	):	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	19	a	a	PRON
dem-1053	48	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	21	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	48	22	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	23	≥timpr	≥timpr	NOUN
dem-1053	48	24	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	48	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	26	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
dem-1053	48	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	28	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	48	29	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	30	≥tirpr	≥tirpr	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	31	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	32	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	48	33	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	48	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	35	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	48	36	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-1053	48	37	high	high	ADJ
dem-1053	48	38	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	48	39	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	48	40	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	41	conventionally	conventionally	ADV
dem-1053	48	42	called	call	VERB
dem-1053	48	43	the	the	DET
dem-1053	48	44	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	48	45	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	48	46	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	48	47	marked	mark	VERB
dem-1053	48	48	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	48	49	the	the	DET
dem-1053	48	50	code	code	NOUN
dem-1053	48	51	w_im	w_im	NOUN
dem-1053	48	52	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	53	;	;	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	54	b	b	X
dem-1053	48	55	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	56	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	48	57	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	48	58	≥timpr	≥timpr	NOUN
dem-1053	48	59	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	48	60	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	48	61	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	1	<	<	X
dem-1053	49	2	tirpr	tirpr	X
dem-1053	49	3	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	4	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	49	5	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	49	6	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	49	7	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	49	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	9	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	49	10	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-1053	49	11	a	a	DET
dem-1053	49	12	rise	rise	NOUN
dem-1053	49	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	49	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	49	15	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	49	16	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	49	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	49	18	most	most	ADV
dem-1053	49	19	often	often	ADV
dem-1053	49	20	occurs	occur	VERB
dem-1053	49	21	following	follow	VERB
dem-1053	49	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	49	23	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	49	24	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	25	code	code	NOUN
dem-1053	49	26	w_nim	w_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	49	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	28	;	;	PUNCT
dem-1053	49	29	c	c	X
dem-1053	49	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	1	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	50	2	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	3	<	<	X
dem-1053	50	4	timpr	timpr	NOUN
dem-1053	50	5	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	50	6	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	50	7	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	8	<	<	X
dem-1053	50	9	tirpr	tirpr	X
dem-1053	50	10	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	11	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	50	12	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	50	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	14	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	50	15	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-1053	50	16	an	an	DET
dem-1053	50	17	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	50	18	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	50	19	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	20	code	code	NOUN
dem-1053	50	21	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	50	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	23	;	;	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	24	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	50	25	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	50	26	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	50	27	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	50	28	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	50	29	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	50	30	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	50	31	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	32	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	50	33	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	50	34	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	51	1	76	76	NUM
dem-1053	51	2	d	d	NOUN
dem-1053	51	3	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	51	4	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	51	5	_	_	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	1	<	<	X
dem-1053	52	2	timpr	timpr	NOUN
dem-1053	52	3	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	52	4	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	52	5	_	_	PRON
dem-1053	52	6	≥tirpr	≥tirpr	X
dem-1053	52	7	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	8	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	52	9	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	52	10	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	52	11	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	52	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	13	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	52	14	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-1053	52	15	a	a	DET
dem-1053	52	16	dropping	drop	VERB
dem-1053	52	17	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	52	18	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	52	19	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	20	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	52	21	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	52	22	usually	usually	ADV
dem-1053	52	23	a	a	DET
dem-1053	52	24	pre	pre	ADJ
dem-1053	52	25	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	52	26	recession	recession	ADJ
dem-1053	52	27	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	52	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	29	code	code	NOUN
dem-1053	52	30	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	52	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	52	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	53	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	53	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
dem-1053	53	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	53	4	such	such	DET
dem-1053	53	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	53	6	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	53	7	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	53	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	53	9	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	53	10	transitory	transitory	ADJ
dem-1053	53	11	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	53	12	have	have	AUX
dem-1053	53	13	been	be	AUX
dem-1053	53	14	identified	identify	VERB
dem-1053	53	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	53	16	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-1053	53	17	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	53	18	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	53	19	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	53	20	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	53	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	53	22	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	53	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	53	24	itself	itself	PRON
dem-1053	53	25	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	53	26	a	a	DET
dem-1053	53	27	warning	warning	NOUN
dem-1053	53	28	against	against	ADP
dem-1053	53	29	adverse	adverse	ADJ
dem-1053	53	30	change	change	NOUN
dem-1053	53	31	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	53	32	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	53	33	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	53	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	53	35	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	53	36	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	53	37	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	53	38	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	53	39	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	53	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	53	41	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	53	42	indicates	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	53	43	an	an	DET
dem-1053	53	44	improving	improve	VERB
dem-1053	53	45	environment	environment	NOUN
dem-1053	53	46	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	54	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	54	2	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	54	3	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	54	4	decline	decline	VERB
dem-1053	54	5	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	54	6	discerned	discern	VERB
dem-1053	54	7	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	54	8	this	this	DET
dem-1053	54	9	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-1053	54	10	may	may	AUX
dem-1053	54	11	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	54	12	combined	combine	VERB
dem-1053	54	13	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	54	14	a	a	DET
dem-1053	54	15	less	less	ADV
dem-1053	54	16	detailed	detailed	ADJ
dem-1053	54	17	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
dem-1053	54	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	54	19	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	54	20	vs.	vs.	ADP
dem-1053	54	21	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	54	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	54	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	55	1	2	2	X
dem-1053	55	2	.	.	X
dem-1053	55	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	55	4	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	55	5	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	55	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	55	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	55	8	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	55	9	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	55	10	this	this	DET
dem-1053	55	11	case	case	NOUN
dem-1053	55	12	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	55	13	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	55	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	55	15	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
dem-1053	55	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	55	17	certain	certain	ADJ
dem-1053	55	18	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-1053	55	19	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	55	20	changes	change	VERB
dem-1053	55	21	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	55	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	55	23	result	result	NOUN
dem-1053	55	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	55	25	changed	change	VERB
dem-1053	55	26	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	55	27	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	55	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	56	1	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	56	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	56	3	a	a	DET
dem-1053	56	4	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	56	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	56	6	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	56	7	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	56	8	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	56	9	not	not	PART
dem-1053	56	10	directly	directly	ADV
dem-1053	56	11	observable	observable	ADJ
dem-1053	56	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	56	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	56	14	thus	thus	ADV
dem-1053	56	15	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	56	16	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	56	17	difficult	difficult	ADJ
dem-1053	56	18	to	to	PART
dem-1053	56	19	establish	establish	VERB
dem-1053	56	20	which	which	DET
dem-1053	56	21	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	56	22	an	an	DET
dem-1053	56	23	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	56	24	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	56	25	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	56	26	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	56	27	a	a	DET
dem-1053	56	28	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	56	29	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	56	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	57	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	57	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	57	3	terminology	terminology	NOUN
dem-1053	57	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	57	5	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	57	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	57	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	57	8	a	a	DET
dem-1053	57	9	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	57	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	57	11	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	57	12	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	57	13	one	one	NUM
dem-1053	57	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	57	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	57	16	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-1053	57	17	states	state	NOUN
dem-1053	57	18	referred	refer	VERB
dem-1053	57	19	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	57	20	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	57	21	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	57	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	58	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	58	3	original	original	ADJ
dem-1053	58	4	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	58	5	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	58	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	7	1989	1989	NUM
dem-1053	58	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	10	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	58	11	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	58	12	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	58	13	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	58	14	there	there	PRON
dem-1053	58	15	were	be	VERB
dem-1053	58	16	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	58	17	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-1053	58	18	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	58	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	20	s	s	PART
dem-1053	58	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	22	s	s	NOUN
dem-1053	58	23	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	58	24	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	58	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	26	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	58	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	29	corresponding	correspond	VERB
dem-1053	58	30	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	58	31	the	the	DET
dem-1053	58	32	condition	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	58	33	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	58	34	an	an	DET
dem-1053	58	35	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	58	36	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	37	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	58	38	vs.	vs.	ADP
dem-1053	58	39	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	58	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	58	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	59	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	59	2	each	each	DET
dem-1053	59	3	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	59	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	59	5	indicator	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	59	6	values	value	NOUN
dem-1053	59	7	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	59	8	generated	generate	VERB
dem-1053	59	9	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	59	10	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	59	11	separate	separate	ADJ
dem-1053	59	12	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	59	13	independent	independent	ADJ
dem-1053	59	14	processes	process	NOUN
dem-1053	59	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	60	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	60	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	60	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	60	4	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	60	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	60	6	these	these	PRON
dem-1053	60	7	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	60	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	60	9	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-1053	60	10	average	average	ADJ
dem-1053	60	11	processes	process	NOUN
dem-1053	60	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	60	13	ar(4	ar(4	NOUN
dem-1053	60	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	60	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	60	16	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	60	17	quarterly	quarterly	ADJ
dem-1053	60	18	gnp	gnp	PROPN
dem-1053	60	19	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	60	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	1	thus	thus	ADV
dem-1053	61	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	3	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	61	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	61	5	general	general	ADJ
dem-1053	61	6	case	case	NOUN
dem-1053	61	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	11	...	...	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	61	16	21	21	NUM
dem-1053	61	17	2211	2211	NUM
dem-1053	61	18	tsptp	tsptp	NOUN
dem-1053	61	19	ststst	ststst	VERB
dem-1053	61	20	pt	pt	X
dem-1053	61	21	ttt	ttt	PROPN
dem-1053	61	22	y	y	PROPN
dem-1053	61	23	yyy	yyy	PROPN
dem-1053	61	24	εµφ	εµφ	PROPN
dem-1053	61	25	µφµφµ	µφµφµ	PROPN
dem-1053	62	1	+	+	PROPN
dem-1053	62	2	−+	−+	PROPN
dem-1053	62	3	+	+	NOUN
dem-1053	62	4	−+−=−	−+−=−	ADP
dem-1053	62	5	−	−	PROPN
dem-1053	62	6	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	62	7	−	−	PROPN
dem-1053	62	8	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	62	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	62	10	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	62	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	63	1	where	where	SCONJ
dem-1053	63	2	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	63	3	εt	εt	PROPN
dem-1053	63	4	~n(0,σ	~n(0,σ	VERB
dem-1053	63	5	2	2	X
dem-1053	63	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	63	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	63	8	µs	µs	ADP
dem-1053	63	9	denotes	denote	NOUN
dem-1053	63	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	63	11	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	63	12	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	63	13	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	63	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	63	15	s	s	PART
dem-1053	63	16	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	63	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	1	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	64	2	present	present	ADJ
dem-1053	64	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	64	5	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	64	6	switches	switch	NOUN
dem-1053	64	7	resulting	result	VERB
dem-1053	64	8	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	64	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	64	10	changing	change	VERB
dem-1053	64	11	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-1053	64	12	σ2	σ2	NOUN
dem-1053	64	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	14	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	64	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	64	16	average	average	ADJ
dem-1053	64	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	64	18	a	a	DET
dem-1053	64	19	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-1053	64	20	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	64	21	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	64	22	particularly	particularly	ADV
dem-1053	64	23	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	64	24	regard	regard	NOUN
dem-1053	64	25	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	64	26	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	64	27	markets	market	NOUN
dem-1053	64	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	29	doman	doman	PROPN
dem-1053	64	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	31	doman	doman	NOUN
dem-1053	64	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	33	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	64	34	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	64	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	65	1	such	such	DET
dem-1053	65	2	a	a	DET
dem-1053	65	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	65	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	65	5	entailing	entail	VERB
dem-1053	65	6	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	65	7	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	65	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	65	9	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	65	10	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	65	11	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	65	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	65	13	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	65	14	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	65	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-1053	66	2	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	3	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	4	.1,0(~	.1,0(~	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	6	/	/	SYM
dem-1053	66	7	...	...	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	8	/1	/1	NOUN
dem-1053	66	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	10	2222	2222	NUM
dem-1053	66	11	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	66	12	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	66	13	iid	iid	NOUN
dem-1053	66	14	h	h	NOUN
dem-1053	66	15	h	h	PROPN
dem-1053	66	16	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	66	17	sptpstt	sptpstt	PROPN
dem-1053	66	18	ttst	ttst	PROPN
dem-1053	66	19	ptt	ptt	PROPN
dem-1053	66	20	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	66	21	ξ	ξ	PROPN
dem-1053	66	22	σεασεα	σεασεα	PROPN
dem-1053	66	23	ξσε	ξσε	PROPN
dem-1053	66	24	−−	−−	PROPN
dem-1053	66	25	−−	−−	PROPN
dem-1053	66	26	+	+	PROPN
dem-1053	66	27	+	+	ADJ
dem-1053	66	28	+	+	NOUN
dem-1053	66	29	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	66	30	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	66	31	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	32	3	3	X
dem-1053	66	33	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	35	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	66	36	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	66	37	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	66	38	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	66	39	si	si	X
dem-1053	66	40	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	66	41	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	42	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
dem-1053	66	43	moments	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	66	44	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	66	45	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	66	46	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	66	47	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	48	t=1	t=1	PROPN
dem-1053	66	49	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	50	...	...	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	51	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	52	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	66	53	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	54	has	have	VERB
dem-1053	66	55	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	56	markov	markov	NOUN
dem-1053	66	57	property	property	NOUN
dem-1053	66	58	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	59	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-1053	66	60	its	its	PRON
dem-1053	66	61	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	66	62	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	66	63	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	64	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	66	65	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	66	66	t+1	t+1	NUM
dem-1053	66	67	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	68	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-1053	66	69	st+1	st+1	NUM
dem-1053	66	70	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	71	depends	depend	VERB
dem-1053	66	72	only	only	ADV
dem-1053	66	73	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	66	74	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	75	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	66	76	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	66	77	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	78	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	66	79	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	66	80	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	81	rather	rather	ADV
dem-1053	66	82	than	than	ADP
dem-1053	66	83	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	66	84	all	all	DET
dem-1053	66	85	the	the	DET
dem-1053	66	86	preceding	precede	VERB
dem-1053	66	87	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	66	88	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	89	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	66	90	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	66	91	formally	formally	ADV
dem-1053	66	92	formulated	formulate	VERB
dem-1053	66	93	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	66	94	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	95	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	66	96	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	1	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	3	...	...	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	67	7	111	111	NUM
dem-1053	67	8	ijttttt	ijttttt	NOUN
dem-1053	67	9	pisjspksisjsp	pisjspksisjsp	NOUN
dem-1053	68	1	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	68	2	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	68	3	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	68	4	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	68	5	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	68	6	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	68	7	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	68	8	−−+	−−+	PROPN
dem-1053	68	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	68	10	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	68	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	68	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	68	13	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	68	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	68	15	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	68	16	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	68	17	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	68	18	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	68	19	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	68	20	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	68	21	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	68	22	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	68	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	68	24	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	68	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	68	26	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	68	27	77	77	NUM
dem-1053	69	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	69	2	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	69	3	pij	pij	VERB
dem-1053	69	4	denote	denote	VERB
dem-1053	69	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	69	6	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	69	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	69	8	an	an	DET
dem-1053	69	9	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	69	10	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	69	11	switching	switching	NOUN
dem-1053	69	12	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	69	13	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	69	14	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	69	15	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	69	16	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	69	17	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	69	18	these	these	PRON
dem-1053	69	19	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	69	20	unknown	unknown	ADJ
dem-1053	69	21	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	69	22	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	69	23	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	69	24	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	69	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	26	where	where	SCONJ
dem-1053	69	27	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	29	.22	.22	NUM
dem-1053	69	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	33	21	21	NUM
dem-1053	69	34	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	35	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	37	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	69	38	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	69	41	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	69	42	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	1	122	122	NUM
dem-1053	70	2	121	121	NUM
dem-1053	70	3	112	112	NUM
dem-1053	70	4	111	111	NUM
dem-1053	70	5	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	70	6	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	7	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	8	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	9	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	10	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	11	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	12	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	13	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	14	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	70	15	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	70	16	=	=	X
dem-1053	70	17	+	+	X
dem-1053	70	18	+	+	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	19	+	+	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	20	+	+	CCONJ
dem-1053	70	21	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	70	22	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	70	23	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	70	24	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	70	25	sspp	sspp	PROPN
dem-1053	70	26	sspp	sspp	PROPN
dem-1053	70	27	sspp	sspp	PROPN
dem-1053	70	28	sspp	sspp	PROPN
dem-1053	70	29	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	30	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	70	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	32	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	70	33	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	70	34	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-1053	70	35	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	70	36	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	37	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	70	38	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	70	39	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	70	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	42	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	70	43	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	70	44	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-1053	70	45	to	to	PART
dem-1053	70	46	determine	determine	VERB
dem-1053	70	47	the	the	DET
dem-1053	70	48	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
dem-1053	70	49	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	70	50	p(st	p(st	NOUN
dem-1053	70	51	=	=	PROPN
dem-1053	70	52	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	70	53	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	70	54	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	70	55	an	an	DET
dem-1053	70	56	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	70	57	remaining	remain	VERB
dem-1053	70	58	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	70	59	the	the	DET
dem-1053	70	60	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	70	61	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	70	62	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	70	63	an	an	DET
dem-1053	70	64	ith	ith	NOUN
dem-1053	70	65	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	70	66	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	71	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	71	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	71	3	case	case	NOUN
dem-1053	71	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	71	5	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	71	6	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	71	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	71	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	71	9	following	follow	VERB
dem-1053	71	10	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	71	11	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	71	12	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	71	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	72	1	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	72	2	1)2	1)2	NUM
dem-1053	72	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	72	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	72	5	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	72	6	1)1	1)1	NUM
dem-1053	72	7	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	72	8	2211	2211	NUM
dem-1053	72	9	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	72	10	2211	2211	NUM
dem-1053	72	11	22	22	NUM
dem-1053	72	12	pp	pp	ADP
dem-1053	72	13	psp	psp	NOUN
dem-1053	72	14	pp	pp	ADP
dem-1053	72	15	psp	psp	PROPN
dem-1053	72	16	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	72	17	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	72	18	−	−	VERB
dem-1053	73	1	=	=	X
dem-1053	73	2	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	73	3	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	73	4	−	−	X
dem-1053	74	1	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	74	2	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	74	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	4	6	6	NUM
dem-1053	74	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	74	7	inverse	inverse	NOUN
dem-1053	74	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	74	9	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	74	10	p(st	p(st	NOUN
dem-1053	74	11	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	74	12	i	i	NOUN
dem-1053	74	13	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	14	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	74	15	interpreted	interpret	VERB
dem-1053	74	16	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	74	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	74	18	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	74	19	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	74	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	74	21	resumption	resumption	NOUN
dem-1053	74	22	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	74	23	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	74	24	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	74	25	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	29	1	1	X
dem-1053	74	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	31	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	32	isp	isp	X
dem-1053	74	33	imt	imt	PROPN
dem-1053	74	34	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	74	35	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	36	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	74	37	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	38	7	7	NUM
dem-1053	74	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	40	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
dem-1053	74	41	the	the	DET
dem-1053	74	42	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	74	43	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	74	44	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	74	45	remaining	remain	VERB
dem-1053	74	46	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	74	47	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	74	48	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	74	49	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	74	50	provided	provide	VERB
dem-1053	74	51	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	74	52	means	mean	NOUN
dem-1053	74	53	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	74	54	the	the	DET
dem-1053	74	55	dependency	dependency	NOUN
dem-1053	74	56	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	74	57	.1	.1	NUM
dem-1053	74	58	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	74	59	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	74	60	ijii	ijii	NOUN
dem-1053	75	1	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	75	2	pp	pp	VERB
dem-1053	76	1	d	d	NOUN
dem-1053	76	2	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	76	3	−	−	PROPN
dem-1053	77	1	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	77	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	77	3	8)	8)	NUM
dem-1053	77	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	77	5	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	77	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	77	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	77	8	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	77	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	77	10	pij	pij	PROPN
dem-1053	77	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	77	12	µs	µs	ADP
dem-1053	77	13	φi	φi	ADV
dem-1053	77	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	77	15	σs	σs	ADP
dem-1053	77	16	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	77	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	77	18	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	77	19	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	77	20	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	77	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	77	22	maximum	maximum	ADJ
dem-1053	77	23	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-1053	77	24	method2	method2	NOUN
dem-1053	77	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	1	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	78	2	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	78	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	4	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	78	5	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	78	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	7	process	process	NOUN
dem-1053	78	8	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	78	9	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	78	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	11	st	st	PROPN
dem-1053	78	12	=	=	PROPN
dem-1053	78	13	j	j	PROPN
dem-1053	78	14	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	78	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	16	then	then	ADV
dem-1053	78	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	18	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-1053	78	19	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	78	20	density	density	NOUN
dem-1053	78	21	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	78	22	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	78	23	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	24	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	78	25	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-1053	78	26	yt	yt	NOUN
dem-1053	78	27	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	78	28	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	78	29	represented	represent	VERB
dem-1053	78	30	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	78	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	34	1−ψ=	1−ψ=	NUM
dem-1053	78	35	ttt	ttt	PROPN
dem-1053	78	36	jsyf	jsyf	PROPN
dem-1053	78	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	78	38	where	where	SCONJ
dem-1053	78	39	1−ψt	1−ψt	PROPN
dem-1053	78	40	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-1053	78	41	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	42	history	history	NOUN
dem-1053	78	43	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	78	44	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	45	process	process	NOUN
dem-1053	78	46	until	until	ADP
dem-1053	78	47	the	the	DET
dem-1053	78	48	t-1	t-1	PROPN
dem-1053	78	49	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	78	50	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	79	1	even	even	ADV
dem-1053	79	2	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
dem-1053	79	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	79	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	79	5	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	79	6	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	79	7	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	79	8	does	do	AUX
dem-1053	79	9	not	not	PART
dem-1053	79	10	allow	allow	VERB
dem-1053	79	11	to	to	PART
dem-1053	79	12	establish	establish	VERB
dem-1053	79	13	which	which	DET
dem-1053	79	14	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	79	15	a	a	DET
dem-1053	79	16	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	79	17	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	79	18	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	79	19	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	79	20	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	79	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	79	22	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	79	23	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	79	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	1	any	any	DET
dem-1053	80	2	suppositions	supposition	NOUN
dem-1053	80	3	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	80	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	80	5	actual	actual	ADJ
dem-1053	80	6	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	80	7	may	may	AUX
dem-1053	80	8	only	only	ADV
dem-1053	80	9	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	80	10	made	make	VERB
dem-1053	80	11	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	80	12	means	mean	NOUN
dem-1053	80	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	80	14	a	a	DET
dem-1053	80	15	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-1053	80	16	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	80	17	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	21	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	31	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	80	32	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	80	33	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	80	34	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	80	35	∑	∑	PUNCT
dem-1053	80	36	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	80	37	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	80	38	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-1053	80	39	ψ=⋅ψ=	ψ=⋅ψ=	NOUN
dem-1053	80	40	ψ=⋅ψ=	ψ=⋅ψ=	NOUN
dem-1053	81	1	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	81	2	ψ=	ψ=	NOUN
dem-1053	81	3	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	81	4	ttttt	ttttt	VERB
dem-1053	81	5	ttttt	ttttt	NOUN
dem-1053	81	6	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-1053	81	7	ispisyf	ispisyf	PROPN
dem-1053	81	8	jspjsyf	jspjsyf	PROPN
dem-1053	81	9	jsp	jsp	PROPN
dem-1053	81	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	81	11	9	9	NUM
dem-1053	81	12	)	)	SYM
dem-1053	81	13	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	81	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	81	15	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	81	16	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	81	17	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	81	18	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	81	19	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	81	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	81	21	tsm	tsm	NOUN
dem-1053	81	22	programme	programme	NOUN
dem-1053	81	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	82	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	82	2	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-1053	82	3	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-1053	82	4	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	82	5	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	82	6	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	82	7	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	82	8	part	part	NOUN
dem-1053	82	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	82	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	82	11	description	description	NOUN
dem-1053	82	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	82	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	82	14	programme	programme	NOUN
dem-1053	82	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	82	16	davidson	davidson	NOUN
dem-1053	82	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	82	18	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	82	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	82	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	1	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	83	2	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	83	3	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	83	4	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	83	5	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	83	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	83	7	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	83	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	9	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	83	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	11	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	83	12	78	78	NUM
dem-1053	83	13	where	where	SCONJ
dem-1053	83	14	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	15	∑	∑	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	16	−−−	−−−	PROPN
dem-1053	83	17	ψ==ψ=	ψ==ψ=	VERB
dem-1053	83	18	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	83	19	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	83	20	111	111	NUM
dem-1053	83	21	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	83	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	1	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	2	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	4	ttijtt	ttijtt	NOUN
dem-1053	84	5	isppjsp	isppjsp	NOUN
dem-1053	84	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	7	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	84	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	84	10	maximised	maximised	ADJ
dem-1053	84	11	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-1053	84	12	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	84	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	84	14	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	84	15	follows	follow	VERB
dem-1053	84	16	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	17	∑	∑	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	18	∑	∑	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	19	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	20	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	84	21	−−	−−	PROPN
dem-1053	84	22	ψ=⋅ψ==	ψ=⋅ψ==	PROPN
dem-1053	85	1	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	85	2	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	85	3	j	j	PROPN
dem-1053	85	4	ttttt	ttttt	NOUN
dem-1053	85	5	jspjsyfl	jspjsyfl	VERB
dem-1053	85	6	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	85	7	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	85	8	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	85	9	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	85	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	85	11	.(),(log	.(),(log	PUNCT
dem-1053	86	1	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	86	2	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	86	3	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	86	4	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	86	5	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	86	6	not	not	PART
dem-1053	86	7	easy	easy	ADJ
dem-1053	86	8	to	to	PART
dem-1053	86	9	estimate	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	86	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	86	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	86	12	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	86	13	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	86	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	87	1	numerical	numerical	PROPN
dem-1053	87	2	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-1053	87	3	result	result	VERB
dem-1053	87	4	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	87	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	87	6	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	87	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	87	8	local	local	ADJ
dem-1053	87	9	extrema	extrema	NOUN
dem-1053	87	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	87	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	87	12	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
dem-1053	87	13	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-1053	87	14	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	87	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	88	1	this	this	PRON
dem-1053	88	2	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	88	3	why	why	SCONJ
dem-1053	88	4	normally	normally	ADV
dem-1053	88	5	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	88	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	88	7	up	up	ADP
dem-1053	88	8	to	to	PART
dem-1053	88	9	three	three	NUM
dem-1053	88	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	88	11	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	88	12	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	88	13	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	88	14	a	a	DET
dem-1053	88	15	process	process	NOUN
dem-1053	88	16	may	may	AUX
dem-1053	88	17	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	88	18	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	88	19	distinguished	distinguish	VERB
dem-1053	88	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	89	1	3	3	X
dem-1053	89	2	.	.	X
dem-1053	89	3	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	89	4	model	model	VERB
dem-1053	89	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	89	6	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	89	7	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	89	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	89	9	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	89	10	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	89	11	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	89	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	89	13	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	89	14	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	89	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	89	16	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	89	17	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	89	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	89	19	allows	allow	VERB
dem-1053	89	20	to	to	PART
dem-1053	89	21	date	date	VERB
dem-1053	89	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	89	23	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	89	24	periods	period	NOUN
dem-1053	89	25	relating	relate	VERB
dem-1053	89	26	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	89	27	a	a	DET
dem-1053	89	28	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	89	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	1	let	let	VERB
dem-1053	90	2	us	we	PRON
dem-1053	90	3	assume	assume	VERB
dem-1053	90	4	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	90	5	this	this	DET
dem-1053	90	6	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	90	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	90	8	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	90	9	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	90	10	yt	yt	PROPN
dem-1053	90	11	assumes	assume	VERB
dem-1053	90	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	90	13	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	90	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	90	15	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	90	16	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	90	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	90	18	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	90	19	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	90	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	21	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	90	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	90	23	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	90	24	occurs	occur	VERB
dem-1053	90	25	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	90	26	an	an	DET
dem-1053	90	27	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	90	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	29	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	90	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	31	;	;	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	32	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
dem-1053	90	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	90	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	90	35	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	90	36	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	90	37	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	90	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	91	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	91	2	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	91	3	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	91	4	thus	thus	ADV
dem-1053	91	5	defined	define	VERB
dem-1053	91	6	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	91	7	a	a	DET
dem-1053	91	8	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
dem-1053	91	9	binary	binary	ADJ
dem-1053	91	10	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	91	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	91	12	usually	usually	ADV
dem-1053	91	13	modelled	model	VERB
dem-1053	91	14	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	91	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	91	16	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	91	17	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	91	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	92	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	92	4	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	92	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	92	6	qualitative	qualitative	NOUN
dem-1053	92	7	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	92	8	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	92	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	11	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-1053	92	12	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	92	13	pt1	pt1	PROPN
dem-1053	92	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	92	15	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	92	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	92	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	18	first	first	ADJ
dem-1053	92	19	option	option	NOUN
dem-1053	92	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	92	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	22	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	92	23	at	at	ADP
dem-1053	92	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	25	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	92	26	moment	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	92	27	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	92	28	defined	define	VERB
dem-1053	92	29	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	92	30	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	31	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
dem-1053	92	32	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-1053	92	33	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	92	34	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	35	β′xt	β′xt	PROPN
dem-1053	92	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	38	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-1053	92	39	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	42	'	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	43	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	44	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	92	45	ttt	ttt	NUM
dem-1053	92	46	fp	fp	INTJ
dem-1053	92	47	ξ+=	ξ+=	NUM
dem-1053	92	48	xβ	xβ	NOUN
dem-1053	92	49	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	50	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	92	51	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	52	where	where	SCONJ
dem-1053	92	53	xt	xt	PROPN
dem-1053	92	54	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	92	55	a	a	DET
dem-1053	92	56	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-1053	92	57	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	92	58	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
dem-1053	92	59	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	92	60	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	92	61	β	β	X
dem-1053	92	62	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	92	63	the	the	DET
dem-1053	92	64	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	92	65	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-1053	92	66	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	92	67	ξt	ξt	NOUN
dem-1053	92	68	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	92	69	a	a	DET
dem-1053	92	70	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	92	71	disturbance	disturbance	NOUN
dem-1053	92	72	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	93	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	93	2	type	type	NOUN
dem-1053	93	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	93	4	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-1053	93	5	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	93	6	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	93	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	93	8	ξt	ξt	NUM
dem-1053	93	9	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	93	10	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	93	11	generates	generate	VERB
dem-1053	93	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	93	13	type	type	NOUN
dem-1053	93	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	93	15	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	93	16	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	93	17	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-1053	93	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	94	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	94	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	94	3	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	94	4	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	94	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	94	6	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	94	7	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	94	8	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	94	9	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	94	10	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	94	11	pt1	pt1	PROPN
dem-1053	94	12	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	94	13	defined	define	VERB
dem-1053	94	14	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	94	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	94	16	cumulative	cumulative	ADJ
dem-1053	94	17	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-1053	94	18	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	94	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	94	20	a	a	DET
dem-1053	94	21	standardised	standardised	ADJ
dem-1053	94	22	logistic	logistic	ADJ
dem-1053	94	23	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-1053	94	24	ξt	ξt	NOUN
dem-1053	94	25	∼	∼	NOUN
dem-1053	94	26	l(0	l(0	PROPN
dem-1053	94	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	94	28	π2/3	π2/3	NUM
dem-1053	94	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	94	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	95	1	hence	hence	ADV
dem-1053	95	2	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	95	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	95	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	95	5	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	96	1	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	96	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	96	3	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	96	4	'	'	PUNCT
dem-1053	96	5	'	'	NUM
dem-1053	96	6	21	21	NUM
dem-1053	96	7	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	96	8	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	96	9	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	96	10	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	96	11	e	e	X
dem-1053	96	12	dξ	dξ	PROPN
dem-1053	96	13	e	e	X
dem-1053	96	14	ep	ep	PROPN
dem-1053	96	15	tξ	tξ	ADP
dem-1053	96	16	ξ	ξ	PROPN
dem-1053	96	17	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	96	18	xβ	xβ	NOUN
dem-1053	96	19	xβ	xβ	PROPN
dem-1053	96	20	−	−	PROPN
dem-1053	97	1	∞−	∞−	PROPN
dem-1053	97	2	−	−	NOUN
dem-1053	98	1	−	−	PROPN
dem-1053	99	1	+	+	CCONJ
dem-1053	99	2	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	99	3	+	+	NUM
dem-1053	99	4	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	99	5	∫	∫	PROPN
dem-1053	99	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	99	7	13	13	NUM
dem-1053	99	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	99	9	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	99	10	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	99	11	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	99	12	proved	prove	VERB
dem-1053	99	13	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	99	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	99	15	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	99	16	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	99	17	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	99	18	random	random	ADJ
dem-1053	99	19	component	component	NOUN
dem-1053	99	20	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	99	21	heteroscedastic	heteroscedastic	ADJ
dem-1053	99	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	99	23	jajuga	jajuga	PROPN
dem-1053	99	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	99	25	1990	1990	NUM
dem-1053	99	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	99	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	100	1	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	100	2	this	this	DET
dem-1053	100	3	reason	reason	NOUN
dem-1053	100	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	100	5	to	to	PART
dem-1053	100	6	estimate	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	100	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	100	8	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	100	9	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	100	10	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	100	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	100	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	100	13	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	100	14	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	100	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	100	16	utmost	utmost	ADJ
dem-1053	100	17	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	100	18	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	100	19	most	most	ADV
dem-1053	100	20	often	often	ADV
dem-1053	100	21	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	100	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	101	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	101	2	maximised	maximised	ADJ
dem-1053	101	3	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
dem-1053	101	4	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-1053	101	5	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	101	6	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	101	7	provided	provide	VERB
dem-1053	101	8	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	101	9	means	mean	NOUN
dem-1053	101	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	101	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	101	12	dependency	dependency	NOUN
dem-1053	101	13	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	101	14	.lnln	.lnln	X
dem-1053	101	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	101	16	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	101	17	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	101	18	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	101	19	∑∑	∑∑	NOUN
dem-1053	101	20	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	101	21	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	1	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	102	2	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	102	3	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	102	4	t	t	PROPN
dem-1053	102	5	j	j	PROPN
dem-1053	102	6	tjtj	tjtj	NOUN
dem-1053	102	7	*	*	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	8	pyll	pyll	NOUN
dem-1053	102	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	11	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	12	ββ	ββ	INTJ
dem-1053	102	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	14	14	14	NUM
dem-1053	102	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	102	17	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	102	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	102	19	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	102	20	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	102	21	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	102	22	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	102	23	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	102	24	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	102	25	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	102	26	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	102	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	28	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	102	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	30	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	102	31	79	79	NUM
dem-1053	102	32	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	102	33	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	102	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	102	35	uses	use	NOUN
dem-1053	102	36	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	102	37	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	102	38	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	102	39	the	the	DET
dem-1053	102	40	qualitative	qualitative	NOUN
dem-1053	102	41	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	102	42	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	102	43	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	44	the	the	DET
dem-1053	102	45	article	article	NOUN
dem-1053	102	46	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	102	47	estrella	estrella	PROPN
dem-1053	102	48	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	49	mishkin	mishkin	NOUN
dem-1053	102	50	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	51	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	102	52	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	102	53	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	102	54	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	102	55	primary	primary	ADJ
dem-1053	102	56	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-1053	102	57	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	102	58	measuring	measure	VERB
dem-1053	102	59	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	102	60	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	102	61	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	103	1	these	these	DET
dem-1053	103	2	authors	author	NOUN
dem-1053	103	3	tested	test	VERB
dem-1053	103	4	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-1053	103	5	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	103	6	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	103	7	preceded	precede	VERB
dem-1053	103	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	103	9	onset	onset	NOUN
dem-1053	103	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	103	11	an	an	DET
dem-1053	103	12	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	103	13	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	103	14	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	103	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	103	16	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	103	17	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	103	18	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	103	19	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	103	20	a	a	DET
dem-1053	103	21	binary	binary	ADJ
dem-1053	103	22	probit	probit	NOUN
dem-1053	103	23	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	103	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	1	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	104	2	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	104	3	turned	turn	VERB
dem-1053	104	4	out	out	ADP
dem-1053	104	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	7	difference	difference	NOUN
dem-1053	104	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	104	9	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	104	10	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	104	11	applied	apply	VERB
dem-1053	104	12	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	104	13	ten	ten	NUM
dem-1053	104	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	15	year	year	NOUN
dem-1053	104	16	treasury	treasury	NOUN
dem-1053	104	17	notes	note	NOUN
dem-1053	104	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	104	19	three	three	NUM
dem-1053	104	20	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	21	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	104	22	treasury	treasury	NOUN
dem-1053	104	23	bills	bill	NOUN
dem-1053	104	24	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	25	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	26	so	so	ADV
dem-1053	104	27	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	28	called	call	VERB
dem-1053	104	29	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	104	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	31	quite	quite	ADV
dem-1053	104	32	reliably	reliably	ADV
dem-1053	104	33	indicates	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	104	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	35	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	104	36	a	a	DET
dem-1053	104	37	one	one	NUM
dem-1053	104	38	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	39	year	year	NOUN
dem-1053	104	40	advance	advance	NOUN
dem-1053	104	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	42	an	an	DET
dem-1053	104	43	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	104	44	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	104	45	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	104	46	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	47	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	104	48	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	104	49	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	104	50	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	51	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	104	52	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	104	53	carried	carry	VERB
dem-1053	104	54	out	out	ADP
dem-1053	104	55	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	104	56	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	57	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	104	58	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	104	59	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	60	apart	apart	ADV
dem-1053	104	61	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	104	62	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	63	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	104	64	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	104	65	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	104	66	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	67	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	104	68	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	69	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	70	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	71	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	104	72	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	104	73	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	104	74	money	money	NOUN
dem-1053	104	75	supply	supply	NOUN
dem-1053	104	76	m1	m1	PROPN
dem-1053	104	77	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	78	m1_ir	m1_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	104	79	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	80	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	81	m2	m2	PROPN
dem-1053	104	82	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	83	m2_ir	m2_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	104	84	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	85	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	86	m3	m3	PROPN
dem-1053	104	87	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	88	m3_ir	m3_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	104	89	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	90	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	104	91	the	the	DET
dem-1053	104	92	wig	wig	NOUN
dem-1053	104	93	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-1053	104	94	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	95	exchange	exchange	NOUN
dem-1053	104	96	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	104	97	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	98	wig_ir	wig_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	104	99	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	104	100	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	104	101	tested	test	VERB
dem-1053	104	102	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	105	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	105	2	symptoms	symptom	NOUN
dem-1053	105	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	105	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	105	5	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	105	6	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	105	7	chosen	choose	VERB
dem-1053	105	8	according	accord	VERB
dem-1053	105	9	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	105	10	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	105	11	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	105	12	carried	carry	VERB
dem-1053	105	13	out	out	ADP
dem-1053	105	14	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	105	15	this	this	DET
dem-1053	105	16	author	author	NOUN
dem-1053	105	17	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	105	18	an	an	DET
dem-1053	105	19	unpublished	unpublished	ADJ
dem-1053	105	20	phd	phd	NOUN
dem-1053	105	21	thesis	thesis	NOUN
dem-1053	105	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	105	23	burzała	burzała	NOUN
dem-1053	105	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	105	25	2005a	2005a	NUM
dem-1053	105	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	105	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	106	1	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	106	2	should	should	AUX
dem-1053	106	3	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	106	4	emphasised	emphasise	VERB
dem-1053	106	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	106	6	any	any	DET
dem-1053	106	7	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	106	8	set	set	NOUN
dem-1053	106	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	106	10	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	106	11	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	106	12	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	106	13	not	not	PART
dem-1053	106	14	effective	effective	ADJ
dem-1053	106	15	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	106	16	all	all	DET
dem-1053	106	17	countries	country	NOUN
dem-1053	106	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	107	1	a	a	DET
dem-1053	107	2	different	different	ADJ
dem-1053	107	3	set	set	NOUN
dem-1053	107	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	107	5	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	107	6	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	107	7	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	107	8	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	107	9	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	107	10	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	107	11	oecd	oecd	PROPN
dem-1053	107	12	researchers	researcher	NOUN
dem-1053	107	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	107	14	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	107	15	specialists	specialist	NOUN
dem-1053	107	16	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	107	17	germany	germany	PROPN
dem-1053	107	18	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	107	19	japan	japan	PROPN
dem-1053	107	20	use	use	VERB
dem-1053	107	21	yet	yet	ADV
dem-1053	107	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	107	23	different	different	ADJ
dem-1053	107	24	methodology	methodology	NOUN
dem-1053	107	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	108	1	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	108	2	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	108	3	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	108	4	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	108	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	108	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	108	7	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	108	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	108	9	testing	test	VERB
dem-1053	108	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	108	11	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	108	12	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	108	13	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	108	14	still	still	ADV
dem-1053	108	15	being	be	AUX
dem-1053	108	16	improved	improve	VERB
dem-1053	108	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	108	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	108	19	list	list	NOUN
dem-1053	108	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	108	21	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
dem-1053	108	22	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	108	23	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	108	24	being	be	AUX
dem-1053	108	25	expanded	expand	VERB
dem-1053	108	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	109	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	109	2	idea	idea	NOUN
dem-1053	109	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	109	4	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	109	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	109	6	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	109	7	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	109	8	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	109	9	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	109	10	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-1053	109	11	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	109	12	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	109	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	109	14	derived	derive	VERB
dem-1053	109	15	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	109	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	109	17	rational	rational	ADJ
dem-1053	109	18	expectations	expectation	NOUN
dem-1053	109	19	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
dem-1053	109	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	110	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	110	2	a	a	DET
dem-1053	110	3	market	market	NOUN
dem-1053	110	4	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	110	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	110	6	a	a	DET
dem-1053	110	7	negative	negative	ADJ
dem-1053	110	8	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	110	9	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	110	10	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	110	11	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	110	12	one	one	NUM
dem-1053	110	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	110	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	110	15	symptoms	symptom	NOUN
dem-1053	110	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	110	17	a	a	DET
dem-1053	110	18	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	110	19	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	110	20	short	short	ADJ
dem-1053	110	21	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	110	22	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	110	23	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	110	24	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	110	25	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	110	26	higher	high	ADJ
dem-1053	110	27	than	than	ADP
dem-1053	110	28	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	110	29	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	110	30	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	110	31	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	110	32	rates)3	rates)3	VERB
dem-1053	110	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	111	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	111	2	growing	grow	VERB
dem-1053	111	3	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	111	4	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	111	5	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	111	6	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	111	7	stems	stem	VERB
dem-1053	111	8	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	111	9	economists	economist	NOUN
dem-1053	111	10	’	’	PART
dem-1053	111	11	convictions	conviction	NOUN
dem-1053	111	12	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	111	13	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	111	14	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	111	15	have	have	VERB
dem-1053	111	16	an	an	DET
dem-1053	111	17	increasing	increase	VERB
dem-1053	111	18	influence	influence	NOUN
dem-1053	111	19	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	111	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	111	21	real	real	ADJ
dem-1053	111	22	sphere	sphere	NOUN
dem-1053	111	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	111	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	111	25	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	111	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	111	27	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	111	28	thus	thus	ADV
dem-1053	111	29	the	the	DET
dem-1053	111	30	entire	entire	ADJ
dem-1053	111	31	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	111	32	policy	policy	NOUN
dem-1053	111	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	112	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	112	2	meaning	meaning	NOUN
dem-1053	112	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	112	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	112	5	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	112	6	policy	policy	NOUN
dem-1053	112	7	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	112	8	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	112	9	handled	handle	VERB
dem-1053	112	10	appropriately	appropriately	ADV
dem-1053	112	11	results	result	VERB
dem-1053	112	12	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	112	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	112	14	function	function	NOUN
dem-1053	112	15	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	112	16	regulates	regulate	VERB
dem-1053	112	17	both	both	CCONJ
dem-1053	112	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	112	19	money	money	NOUN
dem-1053	112	20	supply	supply	NOUN
dem-1053	112	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	112	22	lending	lending	NOUN
dem-1053	112	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	112	24	order	order	NOUN
dem-1053	112	25	to	to	PART
dem-1053	112	26	maintain	maintain	VERB
dem-1053	112	27	employment	employment	NOUN
dem-1053	112	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	112	29	price	price	NOUN
dem-1053	112	30	stability	stability	NOUN
dem-1053	112	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	112	32	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	112	33	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	112	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	113	2	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-1053	113	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	113	4	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	113	5	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	113	6	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	113	7	analysed	analyse	VERB
dem-1053	113	8	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	113	9	atta	atta	PROPN
dem-1053	113	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	11	mensah	mensah	NOUN
dem-1053	113	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	13	tkacz	tkacz	NOUN
dem-1053	113	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	15	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	113	16	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	18	estrella	estrella	PROPN
dem-1053	113	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	20	hardouvelis	hardouvelis	PROPN
dem-1053	113	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	22	1991	1991	NUM
dem-1053	113	23	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	25	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-1053	113	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	27	watson	watson	PROPN
dem-1053	113	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	29	1993	1993	NUM
dem-1053	113	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	32	wright	wright	PROPN
dem-1053	113	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	34	2006	2006	NUM
dem-1053	113	35	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	37	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	113	38	nyberg	nyberg	PROPN
dem-1053	113	39	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	40	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	113	41	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	113	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	114	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	114	2	purpose	purpose	NOUN
dem-1053	114	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	114	4	this	this	DET
dem-1053	114	5	article	article	NOUN
dem-1053	114	6	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	114	7	not	not	PART
dem-1053	114	8	to	to	PART
dem-1053	114	9	determine	determine	VERB
dem-1053	114	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	114	11	best	good	ADJ
dem-1053	114	12	set	set	NOUN
dem-1053	114	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	114	14	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	114	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	114	16	but	but	CCONJ
dem-1053	114	17	to	to	PART
dem-1053	114	18	check	check	VERB
dem-1053	114	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	114	20	properties	property	NOUN
dem-1053	114	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	114	22	some	some	PRON
dem-1053	114	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	114	24	these	these	DET
dem-1053	114	25	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	114	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	115	1	4	4	X
dem-1053	115	2	.	.	X
dem-1053	115	3	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	115	4	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	115	5	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	115	6	order	order	NOUN
dem-1053	115	7	to	to	PART
dem-1053	115	8	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
dem-1053	115	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	115	10	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	115	11	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	115	12	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	115	13	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	115	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	115	15	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	115	16	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	115	17	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	115	18	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	115	19	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	115	20	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	115	21	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	115	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	115	23	the	the	DET
dem-1053	115	24	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	115	25	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	115	26	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	115	27	the	the	DET
dem-1053	115	28	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	115	29	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	115	30	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	115	31	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	115	32	compared	compare	VERB
dem-1053	115	33	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	115	34	information	information	NOUN
dem-1053	115	35	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	115	36	the	the	DET
dem-1053	115	37	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	115	38	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	115	39	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	115	40	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	115	41	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	115	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	116	1	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	116	2	turned	turn	VERB
dem-1053	116	3	out	out	ADP
dem-1053	116	4	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	116	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	116	6	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	116	7	periods	period	NOUN
dem-1053	116	8	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	116	9	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	116	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	116	11	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	116	12	appear	appear	VERB
dem-1053	116	13	to	to	PART
dem-1053	116	14	show	show	VERB
dem-1053	116	15	high	high	ADJ
dem-1053	116	16	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	116	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	116	18	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	116	19	may	may	AUX
dem-1053	116	20	prove	prove	VERB
dem-1053	116	21	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	116	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	116	23	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	116	24	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	116	25	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	116	26	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	116	27	correct	correct	ADJ
dem-1053	116	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	1	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	117	2	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	117	3	worth	worth	ADJ
dem-1053	117	4	emphasising	emphasise	VERB
dem-1053	117	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	117	6	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	117	7	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	117	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	9	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	117	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	11	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	117	12	imposes	impose	VERB
dem-1053	117	13	additional	additional	ADJ
dem-1053	117	14	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-1053	117	15	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	117	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	17	duration	duration	NOUN
dem-1053	117	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	117	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	20	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	117	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	117	22	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	117	23	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	117	24	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	25	a	a	DET
dem-1053	117	26	minimum	minimum	NOUN
dem-1053	117	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	117	28	6	6	NUM
dem-1053	117	29	months	month	NOUN
dem-1053	117	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	117	32	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	117	33	maintaining	maintain	VERB
dem-1053	117	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	35	growths	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	117	36	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	117	37	declines	decline	VERB
dem-1053	117	38	around	around	ADP
dem-1053	117	39	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	40	turning	turning	NOUN
dem-1053	117	41	points	point	NOUN
dem-1053	117	42	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	117	43	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	117	44	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	45	countries	country	NOUN
dem-1053	117	46	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	117	47	central	central	ADJ
dem-1053	117	48	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	117	49	eastern	eastern	ADJ
dem-1053	117	50	europe	europe	PROPN
dem-1053	117	51	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	52	including	include	VERB
dem-1053	117	53	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	117	54	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	55	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	117	56	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	57	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	117	58	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	117	59	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	117	60	does	do	AUX
dem-1053	117	61	not	not	PART
dem-1053	117	62	fulfil	fulfil	VERB
dem-1053	117	63	the	the	DET
dem-1053	117	64	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	117	65	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	117	66	during	during	ADP
dem-1053	117	67	an	an	DET
dem-1053	117	68	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	117	69	transformation	transformation	NOUN
dem-1053	117	70	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	118	1	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	118	2	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	118	3	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	118	4	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	118	5	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	118	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	118	7	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	118	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	118	9	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	118	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	118	11	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	118	12	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	118	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	118	14	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	118	15	a	a	DET
dem-1053	118	16	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	118	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	118	18	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	118	19	months	month	NOUN
dem-1053	118	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	118	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	119	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	119	2	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	119	3	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	119	4	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	119	5	this	this	DET
dem-1053	119	6	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-1053	119	7	does	do	AUX
dem-1053	119	8	not	not	PART
dem-1053	119	9	take	take	VERB
dem-1053	119	10	such	such	ADJ
dem-1053	119	11	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	119	12	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	119	13	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-1053	119	14	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	119	15	this	this	DET
dem-1053	119	16	version	version	NOUN
dem-1053	119	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	119	18	yet	yet	CCONJ
dem-1053	119	19	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	119	20	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	119	21	easily	easily	ADV
dem-1053	119	22	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	119	23	extend	extend	NOUN
dem-1053	119	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	120	1	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	120	2	0,2	0,2	NUM
dem-1053	120	3	0,4	0,4	NUM
dem-1053	120	4	0,6	0,6	NUM
dem-1053	120	5	0,8	0,8	NUM
dem-1053	120	6	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	120	7	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	8	59	59	NUM
dem-1053	120	9	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	10	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	11	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	12	62	62	NUM
dem-1053	120	13	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	14	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	15	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	16	65	65	NUM
dem-1053	120	17	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	120	18	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	19	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	20	68	68	NUM
dem-1053	120	21	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	22	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	23	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	24	71	71	NUM
dem-1053	120	25	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	26	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	27	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	28	74	74	NUM
dem-1053	120	29	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	30	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	31	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	32	77	77	NUM
dem-1053	120	33	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	34	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	35	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	36	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	120	37	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	38	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	39	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	40	83	83	NUM
dem-1053	120	41	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	42	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	43	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	44	86	86	NUM
dem-1053	120	45	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	46	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	47	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	48	89	89	NUM
dem-1053	120	49	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	50	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	51	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	52	92	92	NUM
dem-1053	120	53	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	54	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	55	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	56	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	120	57	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	58	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	59	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	120	60	98	98	NUM
dem-1053	120	61	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	62	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	63	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	120	64	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	65	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	66	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	67	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	120	68	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	120	69	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	70	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	71	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	120	72	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	120	73	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	74	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	75	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	120	76	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	120	77	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	120	78	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	120	79	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	120	80	85	85	NUM
dem-1053	120	81	90	90	NUM
dem-1053	120	82	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	120	83	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	120	84	105	105	NUM
dem-1053	120	85	110	110	NUM
dem-1053	120	86	115	115	NUM
dem-1053	120	87	nber_rec	nber_rec	DET
dem-1053	120	88	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	120	89	pr_ir	pr_ir	ADV
dem-1053	120	90	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	120	91	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	120	92	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	121	1	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	121	2	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	121	3	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	121	4	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	121	5	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	121	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	121	7	january	january	PROPN
dem-1053	121	8	1959	1959	NUM
dem-1053	121	9	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	121	10	march	march	PROPN
dem-1053	121	11	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	121	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	121	13	base	base	NOUN
dem-1053	121	14	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	121	15	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	121	16	data	data	PROPN
dem-1053	121	17	fundamental	fundamental	ADJ
dem-1053	121	18	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	121	19	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	121	20	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	121	21	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	121	22	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	121	23	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	121	24	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	121	25	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	121	26	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	121	27	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-1053	121	28	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	121	29	the	the	DET
dem-1053	121	30	international	international	ADJ
dem-1053	121	31	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	121	32	fund	fund	NOUN
dem-1053	121	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	121	34	ceic	ceic	VERB
dem-1053	121	35	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	121	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	122	1	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	122	2	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	122	3	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	122	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	122	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	122	6	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	122	7	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	122	8	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	122	9	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	122	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	123	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	123	2	bar	bar	NOUN
dem-1053	123	3	chart	chart	NOUN
dem-1053	123	4	highlights	highlight	VERB
dem-1053	123	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	123	6	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	123	7	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	123	8	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	124	1	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	124	2	0,2	0,2	NUM
dem-1053	124	3	0,4	0,4	NUM
dem-1053	124	4	0,6	0,6	NUM
dem-1053	124	5	0,8	0,8	NUM
dem-1053	124	6	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	124	7	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	8	92	92	NUM
dem-1053	124	9	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	10	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	11	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	12	93	93	NUM
dem-1053	124	13	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	124	14	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	15	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	16	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	124	17	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	18	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	19	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	20	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	124	21	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	22	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	23	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	24	96	96	NUM
dem-1053	124	25	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	124	26	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	27	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	28	97	97	NUM
dem-1053	124	29	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	30	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	31	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	32	98	98	NUM
dem-1053	124	33	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	34	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	35	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	124	36	99	99	NUM
dem-1053	124	37	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	38	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	39	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	124	40	00	00	NUM
dem-1053	124	41	m	m	VERB
dem-1053	124	42	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	43	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	124	44	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	45	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	46	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	47	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	124	48	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	124	49	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	124	50	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	124	51	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	124	52	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	125	1	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	125	2	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	3	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	4	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	125	5	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	6	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	7	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	8	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	125	9	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	10	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	11	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	12	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	125	13	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	14	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	15	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	16	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	125	17	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	18	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	19	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	20	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	125	21	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	22	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	23	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	24	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	125	25	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	26	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	27	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	28	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	125	29	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	30	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	31	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	125	32	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	125	33	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	125	34	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	125	35	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	125	36	85	85	NUM
dem-1053	125	37	90	90	NUM
dem-1053	125	38	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	125	39	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	125	40	105	105	NUM
dem-1053	125	41	110	110	NUM
dem-1053	125	42	115	115	NUM
dem-1053	125	43	120	120	NUM
dem-1053	125	44	125	125	NUM
dem-1053	125	45	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	125	46	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	125	47	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	125	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	125	49	w_im	w_im	NOUN
dem-1053	125	50	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	125	51	w_nim	w_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	125	52	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	125	53	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	125	54	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	1	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	126	2	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	126	3	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	126	4	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	126	5	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	126	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	7	january	january	PROPN
dem-1053	126	8	1993	1993	NUM
dem-1053	126	9	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	126	10	march	march	PROPN
dem-1053	126	11	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	126	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	13	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	126	14	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	126	15	ceic	ceic	VERB
dem-1053	126	16	data	datum	NOUN
dem-1053	126	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	126	18	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	126	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	126	20	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	126	21	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	126	22	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	126	23	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	126	24	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	126	25	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	126	26	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	126	27	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	126	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	29	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	126	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	31	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	126	32	81	81	NUM
dem-1053	126	33	the	the	DET
dem-1053	126	34	regularities	regularity	NOUN
dem-1053	126	35	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	126	36	occur	occur	VERB
dem-1053	126	37	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	126	38	worth	worth	ADJ
dem-1053	126	39	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-1053	126	40	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	41	a	a	DET
dem-1053	126	42	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	126	43	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	126	44	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	126	45	a	a	DET
dem-1053	126	46	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	126	47	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	126	48	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	126	49	always	always	ADV
dem-1053	126	50	preceded	precede	VERB
dem-1053	126	51	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	126	52	a	a	DET
dem-1053	126	53	transitory	transitory	ADJ
dem-1053	126	54	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	126	55	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	126	56	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	126	57	signalises	signalise	VERB
dem-1053	126	58	a	a	DET
dem-1053	126	59	deterioration	deterioration	NOUN
dem-1053	126	60	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	126	61	improvement	improvement	NOUN
dem-1053	126	62	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	126	63	the	the	DET
dem-1053	126	64	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	126	65	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	126	66	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	127	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	127	2	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	127	3	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	127	4	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	127	5	determined	determine	VERB
dem-1053	127	6	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	127	7	such	such	ADJ
dem-1053	127	8	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	127	9	compared	compare	VERB
dem-1053	127	10	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	127	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	127	12	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	127	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	127	14	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	127	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	127	16	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	127	17	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	127	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	127	19	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	127	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	127	21	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	127	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	127	23	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	127	24	definition	definition	NOUN
dem-1053	127	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	127	26	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	127	27	upon	upon	SCONJ
dem-1053	127	28	the	the	DET
dem-1053	127	29	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	127	30	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	127	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	128	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	128	2	results	results	PROPN
dem-1053	128	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	128	4	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	128	5	referred	refer	VERB
dem-1053	128	6	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	128	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	128	8	differences	difference	NOUN
dem-1053	128	9	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	128	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	128	11	gnp	gnp	PROPN
dem-1053	128	12	logarithms	logarithm	NOUN
dem-1053	128	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	129	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	129	2	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	129	3	pattern	pattern	NOUN
dem-1053	129	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	129	5	once	once	ADV
dem-1053	129	6	directly	directly	ADV
dem-1053	129	7	applied	apply	VERB
dem-1053	129	8	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	129	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	129	10	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	129	11	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	129	12	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	129	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	129	14	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	129	15	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	129	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	129	17	has	have	AUX
dem-1053	129	18	not	not	PART
dem-1053	129	19	yielded	yield	VERB
dem-1053	129	20	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
dem-1053	129	21	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	129	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	130	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-1053	130	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	130	3	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	130	4	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	130	5	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	130	6	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	130	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	130	8	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	130	9	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	130	10	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	130	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	130	12	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	130	13	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	130	14	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	130	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	130	16	logarithm	logarithm	NOUN
dem-1053	130	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	130	18	the	the	DET
dem-1053	130	19	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	130	20	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	130	21	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	130	22	pr_irt	pr_irt	PROPN
dem-1053	130	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	130	24	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	130	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	130	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	130	27	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	130	28	recorded	record	VERB
dem-1053	130	29	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	130	30	a	a	DET
dem-1053	130	31	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	130	32	basis	basis	NOUN
dem-1053	130	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	131	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	131	2	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	131	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	131	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	131	5	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	131	6	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	131	7	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	131	8	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	131	9	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	131	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	131	11	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	131	12	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	131	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	132	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	132	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	132	3	construction	construction	NOUN
dem-1053	132	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	132	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	132	6	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	132	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	132	8	describing	describe	VERB
dem-1053	132	9	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	132	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	132	11	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	132	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	132	13	a	a	DET
dem-1053	132	14	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
dem-1053	132	15	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	132	16	applied	apply	VERB
dem-1053	132	17	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	132	18	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	132	19	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	132	20	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	132	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	132	22	dating	dating	NOUN
dem-1053	132	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	132	24	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	132	25	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	132	26	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	132	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	133	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	133	2	tests	test	NOUN
dem-1053	133	3	that	that	PRON
dem-1053	133	4	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	133	5	carried	carry	VERB
dem-1053	133	6	out	out	ADP
dem-1053	133	7	have	have	AUX
dem-1053	133	8	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	133	9	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	133	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	133	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	133	12	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	133	13	takes	take	VERB
dem-1053	133	14	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	133	15	account	account	NOUN
dem-1053	133	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	133	17	first	first	ADJ
dem-1053	133	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	133	19	twelfth	twelfth	ADJ
dem-1053	133	20	lag	lag	NOUN
dem-1053	133	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	133	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	133	23	counterpart	counterpart	NOUN
dem-1053	133	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	133	25	the	the	DET
dem-1053	133	26	shortand	shortand	NOUN
dem-1053	133	27	long	long	ADJ
dem-1053	133	28	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	133	29	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	133	30	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	133	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	133	32	gives	give	VERB
dem-1053	133	33	the	the	DET
dem-1053	133	34	best	good	ADJ
dem-1053	133	35	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	133	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	134	1	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	134	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	134	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	1	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	135	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	135	4	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	135	5	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	135	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	135	7	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-1053	135	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	9	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-1053	135	10	error	error	NOUN
dem-1053	135	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	12	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	135	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	14	transition	transition	NOUN
dem-1053	135	15	φ1	φ1	NOUN
dem-1053	135	16	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	17	0.952	0.952	NUM
dem-1053	135	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	19	0.007	0.007	NUM
dem-1053	135	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	21	p11	p11	NOUN
dem-1053	135	22	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	23	0.920	0.920	NUM
dem-1053	135	24	p12	p12	NOUN
dem-1053	135	25	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	26	0.027	0.027	NUM
dem-1053	135	27	φ12	φ12	NUM
dem-1053	135	28	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	29	0.547	0.547	NUM
dem-1053	135	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	31	0.032	0.032	NUM
dem-1053	135	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	33	p21	p21	NOUN
dem-1053	135	34	=	=	PROPN
dem-1053	135	35	0.079	0.079	NUM
dem-1053	135	36	p22	p22	NOUN
dem-1053	135	37	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	38	0.973	0.973	NUM
dem-1053	135	39	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	135	40	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	135	41	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	135	42	duration	duration	NOUN
dem-1053	135	43	µ1	µ1	PROPN
dem-1053	135	44	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	45	317.204	317.204	NUM
dem-1053	135	46	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	47	6.548	6.548	NUM
dem-1053	135	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	49	d1	d1	NOUN
dem-1053	135	50	=	=	PROPN
dem-1053	135	51	12.577	12.577	NUM
dem-1053	135	52	d22	d22	NOUN
dem-1053	135	53	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	54	36.873	36.873	NUM
dem-1053	135	55	µ2	µ2	NOUN
dem-1053	135	56	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	57	316.875	316.875	NUM
dem-1053	135	58	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	59	6.545	6.545	NUM
dem-1053	135	60	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	61	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
dem-1053	135	62	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	135	63	σ1	σ1	NOUN
dem-1053	135	64	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	65	0.736	0.736	NUM
dem-1053	135	66	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	67	0.052	0.052	NUM
dem-1053	135	68	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	69	p(st	p(st	NOUN
dem-1053	135	70	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	71	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	135	72	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	73	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	74	0.254	0.254	NUM
dem-1053	135	75	p(st	p(st	NOUN
dem-1053	135	76	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	77	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	135	78	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	79	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	80	0.746	0.746	NUM
dem-1053	135	81	σ2	σ2	NOUN
dem-1053	135	82	=	=	SYM
dem-1053	135	83	0.175	0.175	NUM
dem-1053	135	84	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	85	0.011	0.011	NUM
dem-1053	135	86	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	87	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	135	88	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	135	89	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	90	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	135	91	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	135	92	resumption	resumption	VERB
dem-1053	135	93	r2	r2	NOUN
dem-1053	135	94	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	95	0.9829	0.9829	NUM
dem-1053	135	96	mt(1	mt(1	NOUN
dem-1053	135	97	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	98	=	=	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	99	3.932	3.932	NUM
dem-1053	135	100	mt(2	mt(2	NOUN
dem-1053	135	101	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	102	=	=	NOUN
dem-1053	135	103	1.341	1.341	NUM
dem-1053	135	104	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	135	105	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	106	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	135	107	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	135	108	pr_irt	pr_irt	PROPN
dem-1053	135	109	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	110	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	135	111	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	112	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	135	113	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	135	114	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	135	115	the	the	DET
dem-1053	135	116	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	135	117	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	118	the	the	DET
dem-1053	135	119	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	135	120	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	135	121	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	135	122	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	135	123	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	124	rg1_smprobs	rg1_smprobs	PROPN
dem-1053	135	125	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	135	126	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	135	127	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	135	128	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	135	129	fig	fig	NOUN
dem-1053	135	130	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	136	1	3	3	X
dem-1053	136	2	.	.	X
dem-1053	136	3	our	our	PRON
dem-1053	136	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	136	5	implies	imply	VERB
dem-1053	136	6	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	136	7	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	136	8	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	136	9	corresponds	correspond	NOUN
dem-1053	136	10	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	136	11	decreased	decrease	VERB
dem-1053	136	12	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	136	13	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	136	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	137	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	137	2	high	high	ADJ
dem-1053	137	3	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	137	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	137	5	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	137	6	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	137	7	covers	cover	VERB
dem-1053	137	8	not	not	PART
dem-1053	137	9	only	only	ADV
dem-1053	137	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	137	11	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	137	12	periods	period	VERB
dem-1053	137	13	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	137	14	but	but	CCONJ
dem-1053	137	15	also	also	ADV
dem-1053	137	16	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	137	17	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	137	18	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	137	19	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	137	20	periods	period	VERB
dem-1053	137	21	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	137	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	138	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	138	2	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	138	3	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	138	4	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	138	5	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	138	6	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	138	7	usually	usually	ADV
dem-1053	138	8	precedes	precede	VERB
dem-1053	138	9	an	an	DET
dem-1053	138	10	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	138	11	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	138	12	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	139	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	139	2	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	139	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	139	4	june	june	PROPN
dem-1053	139	5	2004	2004	NUM
dem-1053	139	6	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	139	7	may	may	PROPN
dem-1053	139	8	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	139	9	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	139	10	one	one	NUM
dem-1053	139	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	139	12	significant	significant	ADJ
dem-1053	139	13	turbulence	turbulence	NOUN
dem-1053	139	14	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	139	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	139	16	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	139	17	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	139	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	139	19	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	139	20	connected	connect	VERB
dem-1053	139	21	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	139	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	139	23	eu	eu	PROPN
dem-1053	139	24	accession	accession	NOUN
dem-1053	139	25	boom	boom	NOUN
dem-1053	139	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	140	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	140	2	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	140	3	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	140	4	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	140	5	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	140	6	disturbed	disturb	VERB
dem-1053	140	7	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	140	8	a	a	DET
dem-1053	140	9	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	140	10	as	as	ADV
dem-1053	140	11	well	well	ADV
dem-1053	140	12	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	140	13	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	140	14	non	non	ADJ
dem-1053	140	15	-	-	ADJ
dem-1053	140	16	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	140	17	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	140	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	141	1	none	none	NOUN
dem-1053	141	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	141	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	141	4	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-1053	141	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	141	6	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	141	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	141	8	has	have	AUX
dem-1053	141	9	been	be	AUX
dem-1053	141	10	considered	consider	VERB
dem-1053	141	11	a	a	DET
dem-1053	141	12	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	141	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	141	14	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	141	15	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	141	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	142	1	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	142	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	142	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	142	4	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	142	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	142	6	high	high	ADJ
dem-1053	142	7	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	142	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	142	9	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	142	10	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	142	11	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-1053	142	12	can	can	AUX
dem-1053	142	13	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	142	14	observed	observe	VERB
dem-1053	142	15	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	142	16	this	this	DET
dem-1053	142	17	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	142	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	143	1	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-1053	143	2	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	143	3	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	143	4	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	143	5	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	143	6	to	to	PART
dem-1053	143	7	appear	appear	VERB
dem-1053	143	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	143	9	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	143	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	143	11	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	143	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	143	13	its	its	PRON
dem-1053	143	14	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	143	15	exceeding	exceed	VERB
dem-1053	143	16	0.5	0.5	NUM
dem-1053	143	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	143	18	then	then	ADV
dem-1053	143	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	143	20	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	143	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	143	22	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	143	23	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	143	24	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-1053	143	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	1	higher	high	ADJ
dem-1053	144	2	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	144	3	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	144	4	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	144	5	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	144	6	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	144	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	144	8	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-1053	144	9	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	144	10	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	144	11	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	144	12	corresponds	correspond	VERB
dem-1053	144	13	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	144	14	a	a	DET
dem-1053	144	15	combination	combination	NOUN
dem-1053	144	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	144	17	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	144	18	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	144	19	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	144	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	21	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	144	22	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	144	23	both	both	PRON
dem-1053	144	24	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	144	25	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	144	26	proved	prove	VERB
dem-1053	144	27	to	to	PART
dem-1053	144	28	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	144	29	90	90	NUM
dem-1053	144	30	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	144	31	accurate	accurate	ADJ
dem-1053	144	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	33	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	144	34	a	a	DET
dem-1053	144	35	total	total	ADJ
dem-1053	144	36	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	144	37	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	144	38	97	97	NUM
dem-1053	144	39	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	144	40	;	;	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	41	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	144	42	compared	compare	VERB
dem-1053	144	43	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	144	44	the	the	DET
dem-1053	144	45	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	144	46	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	144	47	the	the	DET
dem-1053	144	48	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	144	49	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	144	50	equal	equal	ADJ
dem-1053	144	51	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	144	52	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	144	53	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	144	54	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	55	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	144	56	a	a	DET
dem-1053	144	57	total	total	ADJ
dem-1053	144	58	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	144	59	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	144	60	81	81	NUM
dem-1053	144	61	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	144	62	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	144	63	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	145	1	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	145	2	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	145	3	worth	worth	ADJ
dem-1053	145	4	noting	note	VERB
dem-1053	145	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	145	6	both	both	DET
dem-1053	145	7	regimes	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	145	8	milda	milda	ADJ
dem-1053	145	9	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	145	10	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	145	11	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	145	12	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	145	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	145	14	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	145	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	145	16	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	145	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	145	18	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	145	19	82	82	NUM
dem-1053	145	20	differ	differ	VERB
dem-1053	145	21	insignificantly	insignificantly	ADV
dem-1053	145	22	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	145	23	terms	term	NOUN
dem-1053	145	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	145	25	the	the	DET
dem-1053	145	26	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	145	27	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	145	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	146	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	146	2	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	146	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	146	4	lower	low	ADJ
dem-1053	146	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	146	6	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	146	7	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	146	8	characterised	characterise	VERB
dem-1053	146	9	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	146	10	definitely	definitely	ADV
dem-1053	146	11	higher	high	ADJ
dem-1053	146	12	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-1053	146	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	147	1	both	both	DET
dem-1053	147	2	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	147	3	states	state	NOUN
dem-1053	147	4	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	147	5	relatively	relatively	ADV
dem-1053	147	6	durable	durable	ADJ
dem-1053	147	7	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	147	8	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	147	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	147	10	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	147	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	147	12	remaining	remain	VERB
dem-1053	147	13	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	147	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	147	15	lower	low	ADJ
dem-1053	147	16	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	147	17	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	147	18	equal	equal	ADJ
dem-1053	147	19	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	147	20	0.920	0.920	NUM
dem-1053	147	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	147	22	during	during	ADP
dem-1053	147	23	a	a	DET
dem-1053	147	24	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	147	25	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	147	26	equal	equal	ADJ
dem-1053	147	27	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	147	28	0.973	0.973	NUM
dem-1053	147	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	147	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	147	31	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
dem-1053	147	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	147	33	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	147	34	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	147	35	transition	transition	NOUN
dem-1053	147	36	between	between	ADP
dem-1053	147	37	the	the	DET
dem-1053	147	38	states	state	NOUN
dem-1053	147	39	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	147	40	small	small	ADJ
dem-1053	147	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	148	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	148	2	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	148	3	also	also	ADV
dem-1053	148	4	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	148	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	148	6	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
dem-1053	148	7	probabilities	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	148	8	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	148	9	indicate	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	148	10	a	a	DET
dem-1053	148	11	higher	high	ADJ
dem-1053	148	12	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	148	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	148	14	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	148	15	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-1053	148	16	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	148	17	0.746	0.746	NUM
dem-1053	148	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	148	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	149	1	prosperity	prosperity	NOUN
dem-1053	149	2	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	149	3	also	also	ADV
dem-1053	149	4	characterised	characterise	VERB
dem-1053	149	5	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	149	6	a	a	DET
dem-1053	149	7	longer	long	ADV
dem-1053	149	8	expected	expect	VERB
dem-1053	149	9	duration	duration	NOUN
dem-1053	149	10	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	149	11	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	149	12	c.37	c.37	PROPN
dem-1053	149	13	months	month	NOUN
dem-1053	149	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	149	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	149	16	a	a	DET
dem-1053	149	17	shorter	short	ADJ
dem-1053	149	18	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	149	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	149	20	return	return	NOUN
dem-1053	149	21	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	149	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	149	23	state	state	NOUN
dem-1053	149	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	149	25	lower	low	ADJ
dem-1053	149	26	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	149	27	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	149	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	149	29	c.1.3	c.1.3	PROPN
dem-1053	149	30	months	month	NOUN
dem-1053	149	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	149	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	150	1	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	151	1	0,2	0,2	NUM
dem-1053	151	2	0,4	0,4	NUM
dem-1053	151	3	0,6	0,6	NUM
dem-1053	151	4	0,8	0,8	NUM
dem-1053	151	5	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	151	6	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	7	92	92	NUM
dem-1053	151	8	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	9	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	10	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	11	93	93	NUM
dem-1053	151	12	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	151	13	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	14	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	15	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	151	16	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	17	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	18	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	19	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	151	20	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	21	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	22	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	23	96	96	NUM
dem-1053	151	24	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	151	25	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	26	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	27	97	97	NUM
dem-1053	151	28	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	29	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	30	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	31	98	98	NUM
dem-1053	151	32	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	33	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	34	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	151	35	99	99	NUM
dem-1053	151	36	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	37	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	38	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	151	39	00	00	NUM
dem-1053	151	40	m	m	VERB
dem-1053	151	41	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	42	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	151	43	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	44	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	45	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	46	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	151	47	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	151	48	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	151	49	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	151	50	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	151	51	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	152	1	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	152	2	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	3	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	4	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	152	5	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	6	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	7	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	8	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	152	9	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	10	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	11	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	12	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	152	13	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	14	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	15	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	16	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	152	17	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	18	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	19	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	20	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	152	21	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	22	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	23	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	24	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	152	25	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	26	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	27	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	28	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	152	29	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	30	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	31	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	152	32	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	152	33	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	152	34	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	152	35	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	152	36	90	90	NUM
dem-1053	152	37	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	152	38	110	110	NUM
dem-1053	152	39	120	120	NUM
dem-1053	152	40	130	130	NUM
dem-1053	152	41	rg1_smprobs	rg1_smprob	NOUN
dem-1053	152	42	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	152	43	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	152	44	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	152	45	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	152	46	w_im	w_im	NOUN
dem-1053	153	1	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	153	2	w_nim	w_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	153	3	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	153	4	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	153	5	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	153	6	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	153	7	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	153	8	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	153	9	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	153	10	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	153	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	153	12	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	153	13	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	153	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	153	15	set	set	VERB
dem-1053	153	16	against	against	ADP
dem-1053	153	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	18	background	background	NOUN
dem-1053	153	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	153	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	21	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	153	22	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	153	23	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	153	24	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	153	25	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	153	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	27	second	second	ADJ
dem-1053	153	28	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	153	29	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	153	30	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	153	31	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	32	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	153	33	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	153	34	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	153	35	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	153	36	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	37	moments	moment	NOUN
dem-1053	153	38	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	153	39	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	153	40	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	153	41	the	the	DET
dem-1053	153	42	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	153	43	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	153	44	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	153	45	known	know	VERB
dem-1053	153	46	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	154	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	154	2	qualitative	qualitative	NOUN
dem-1053	154	3	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	154	4	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-1053	154	5	yt	yt	PROPN
dem-1053	154	6	assumes	assume	VERB
dem-1053	154	7	a	a	DET
dem-1053	154	8	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	154	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	154	10	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	154	11	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	154	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	154	13	observation	observation	NOUN
dem-1053	154	14	concerned	concern	VERB
dem-1053	154	15	an	an	DET
dem-1053	154	16	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	154	17	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	154	18	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	154	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	154	20	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
dem-1053	154	21	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	154	22	takes	take	VERB
dem-1053	154	23	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	154	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	154	25	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	154	26	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	154	27	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	154	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	155	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	155	2	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	155	3	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	155	4	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	155	5	to	to	PART
dem-1053	155	6	estimate	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	155	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	155	8	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	155	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	155	10	a	a	DET
dem-1053	155	11	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	155	12	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-1053	155	13	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	155	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	155	15	basis	basis	NOUN
dem-1053	155	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	155	17	values	value	NOUN
dem-1053	155	18	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	155	19	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	155	20	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	155	21	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	155	22	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	155	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	156	1	they	they	PRON
dem-1053	156	2	were	be	AUX
dem-1053	156	3	represented	represent	VERB
dem-1053	156	4	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	156	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	156	7	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	156	8	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	156	9	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	156	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	156	11	change	change	NOUN
dem-1053	156	12	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	156	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	14	exception	exception	NOUN
dem-1053	156	15	being	be	AUX
dem-1053	156	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	17	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	156	18	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	156	19	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	156	20	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	156	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	22	difference	difference	NOUN
dem-1053	156	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	156	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	25	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	156	26	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	156	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	156	28	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	29	ten	ten	NUM
dem-1053	156	30	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	156	31	year	year	NOUN
dem-1053	156	32	treasury	treasury	NOUN
dem-1053	156	33	notes	note	NOUN
dem-1053	156	34	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	156	35	the	the	DET
dem-1053	156	36	three	three	NUM
dem-1053	156	37	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	156	38	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	156	39	treasury	treasury	NOUN
dem-1053	156	40	bills	bill	NOUN
dem-1053	156	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	157	1	should	should	AUX
dem-1053	157	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	157	3	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-1053	157	4	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	157	5	balanced	balance	VERB
dem-1053	157	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	157	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	157	8	number	number	NOUN
dem-1053	157	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	157	10	1s	1s	NUM
dem-1053	157	11	being	be	AUX
dem-1053	157	12	identical	identical	ADJ
dem-1053	157	13	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	157	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	157	15	number	number	NOUN
dem-1053	157	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	157	17	0s	0s	NOUN
dem-1053	157	18	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	157	19	the	the	DET
dem-1053	157	20	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	157	21	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	157	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	157	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	157	24	we	we	PRON
dem-1053	157	25	assume	assume	VERB
dem-1053	157	26	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	157	27	a	a	DET
dem-1053	157	28	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	157	29	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	157	30	to	to	PART
dem-1053	157	31	occur	occur	VERB
dem-1053	157	32	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	157	33	the	the	DET
dem-1053	157	34	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	157	35	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	157	36	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	157	37	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-1053	157	38	exceeds	exceed	NOUN
dem-1053	157	39	0.5	0.5	NUM
dem-1053	157	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	158	1	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	158	2	an	an	DET
dem-1053	158	3	unbalanced	unbalanced	ADJ
dem-1053	158	4	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-1053	158	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	158	6	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	158	7	appeared	appear	VERB
dem-1053	158	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	158	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	158	10	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	158	11	study	study	NOUN
dem-1053	158	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	158	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	158	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	158	15	limit	limit	NOUN
dem-1053	158	16	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	158	17	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	158	18	usually	usually	ADV
dem-1053	158	19	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-1053	158	20	to	to	PART
dem-1053	158	21	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	158	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	158	23	share	share	NOUN
dem-1053	158	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	158	25	1s	1s	NUM
dem-1053	158	26	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	158	27	the	the	DET
dem-1053	158	28	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-1053	158	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	159	1	measures	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	159	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	159	3	fit	fit	NOUN
dem-1053	159	4	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	159	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	159	6	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	159	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	159	8	estimations	estimation	NOUN
dem-1053	159	9	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	159	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	159	11	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	159	12	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	159	13	are	be	AUX
dem-1053	159	14	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	159	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	159	16	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	159	17	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	159	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	160	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	160	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-1053	160	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	160	4	symptomatic	symptomatic	ADJ
dem-1053	160	5	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	160	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	160	7	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	160	8	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	160	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	160	10	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	160	11	determined	determine	VERB
dem-1053	160	12	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	160	13	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	160	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	160	15	maximum	maximum	ADJ
dem-1053	160	16	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	160	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	160	18	mcfadden	mcfadden	PROPN
dem-1053	160	19	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	160	20	r2	r2	PROPN
dem-1053	160	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	160	22	determination	determination	NOUN
dem-1053	160	23	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
dem-1053	160	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	160	25	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	160	26	akaike	akaike	ADJ
dem-1053	160	27	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	160	28	information	information	NOUN
dem-1053	160	29	criterion	criterion	NOUN
dem-1053	160	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	161	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	161	2	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	161	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	161	4	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	161	5	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	161	6	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	161	7	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	161	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	161	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	161	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	161	11	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	161	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	161	13	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	161	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	161	15	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	161	16	83	83	NUM
dem-1053	161	17	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	161	18	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	161	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	161	20	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	161	21	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	161	22	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	161	23	their	their	PRON
dem-1053	161	24	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-1053	161	25	mo	mo	PROPN
dem-1053	161	26	de	de	PROPN
dem-1053	161	27	l	l	PROPN
dem-1053	161	28	va	va	PROPN
dem-1053	161	29	ria	ria	PROPN
dem-1053	161	30	ble	ble	PROPN
dem-1053	161	31	la	la	PROPN
dem-1053	161	32	g	g	PROPN
dem-1053	161	33	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-1053	161	34	ra	ra	PROPN
dem-1053	161	35	me	i	PRON
dem-1053	161	36	ter	ter	NOUN
dem-1053	161	37	es	es	ADP
dem-1053	161	38	tima	tima	PROPN
dem-1053	161	39	te	te	PROPN
dem-1053	161	40	pva	pva	PROPN
dem-1053	161	41	lue	lue	PROPN
dem-1053	161	42	mc	mc	PROPN
dem-1053	161	43	fa	fa	INTJ
dem-1053	161	44	dd	dd	VERB
dem-1053	161	45	en	en	X
dem-1053	161	46	rsq	rsq	PROPN
dem-1053	161	47	ua	ua	PROPN
dem-1053	161	48	re	re	PROPN
dem-1053	161	49	d	d	PROPN
dem-1053	161	50	ak	ak	PROPN
dem-1053	161	51	aik	aik	PROPN
dem-1053	161	52	e	e	PROPN
dem-1053	161	53	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	161	54	nfo	nfo	PROPN
dem-1053	161	55	rm	rm	PROPN
dem-1053	161	56	ati	ati	PROPN
dem-1053	161	57	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	161	58	cri	cri	PROPN
dem-1053	161	59	ter	ter	NOUN
dem-1053	161	60	ion	ion	NOUN
dem-1053	161	61	fr	fr	NOUN
dem-1053	161	62	eq	eq	PROPN
dem-1053	161	63	ue	ue	PROPN
dem-1053	161	64	nc	nc	PROPN
dem-1053	161	65	y	y	PROPN
dem-1053	161	66	o	o	PROPN
dem-1053	162	1	f	f	PROPN
dem-1053	162	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	162	3	s	s	PART
dem-1053	162	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	162	5	e	e	NOUN
dem-1053	162	6	mp	mp	PROPN
dem-1053	162	7	iric	iric	PROPN
dem-1053	162	8	al	al	PROPN
dem-1053	162	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	162	10	ac	ac	PROPN
dem-1053	163	1	cu	cu	PROPN
dem-1053	163	2	ra	ra	PROPN
dem-1053	163	3	cy	cy	INTJ
dem-1053	163	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	163	5	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	163	6	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	163	7	tal	tal	PROPN
dem-1053	163	8	ac	ac	PROPN
dem-1053	163	9	cu	cu	PROPN
dem-1053	163	10	ra	ra	PROPN
dem-1053	163	11	cy	cy	PROPN
dem-1053	163	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	163	13	1s	1s	PROPN
dem-1053	163	14	m1	m1	PROPN
dem-1053	163	15	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	163	16	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	163	17	-0.345	-0.345	NUM
dem-1053	163	18	1.40e-03	1.40e-03	NUM
dem-1053	163	19	0.122	0.122	NUM
dem-1053	163	20	78.36	78.36	NUM
dem-1053	163	21	0.105	0.105	NUM
dem-1053	163	22	76	76	NUM
dem-1053	163	23	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	163	24	54	54	NUM
dem-1053	163	25	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	163	26	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	163	27	-2.771	-2.771	NOUN
dem-1053	163	28	1.88e-11	1.88e-11	NUM
dem-1053	163	29	m1a	m1a	PROPN
dem-1053	163	30	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	163	31	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	163	32	-0.340	-0.340	NUM
dem-1053	163	33	1.89e-02	1.89e-02	NUM
dem-1053	163	34	0.412	0.412	NUM
dem-1053	163	35	55.82	55.82	NUM
dem-1053	163	36	0.099	0.099	NUM
dem-1053	163	37	82	82	NUM
dem-1053	163	38	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	163	39	85	85	NUM
dem-1053	163	40	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	1	pr_ir	pr_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	164	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	164	3	-0.333	-0.333	ADP
dem-1053	164	4	3.00e-04	3.00e-04	NUM
dem-1053	164	5	const	const	X
dem-1053	164	6	30.710	30.710	NUM
dem-1053	164	7	6.00e-04	6.00e-04	NUM
dem-1053	164	8	m2	m2	PROPN
dem-1053	164	9	m1_ir	m1_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	10	7	7	NUM
dem-1053	164	11	-0.105	-0.105	NOUN
dem-1053	164	12	4.40e-03	4.40e-03	NUM
dem-1053	164	13	0.083	0.083	NUM
dem-1053	164	14	97.98	97.98	NUM
dem-1053	164	15	0.105	0.105	NUM
dem-1053	164	16	65	65	NUM
dem-1053	164	17	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	18	44	44	NUM
dem-1053	164	19	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	20	const	const	VERB
dem-1053	164	21	9.647	9.647	NUM
dem-1053	164	22	1.78e-02	1.78e-02	NUM
dem-1053	164	23	m2a	m2a	NOUN
dem-1053	164	24	m1_ir	m1_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	25	7	7	NUM
dem-1053	164	26	-0.06	-0.06	NUM
dem-1053	164	27	1.72e-01	1.72e-01	NUM
dem-1053	164	28	0.322	0.322	NUM
dem-1053	164	29	75.49	75.49	NUM
dem-1053	164	30	0.105	0.105	NUM
dem-1053	164	31	78	78	NUM
dem-1053	164	32	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	33	88	88	NUM
dem-1053	164	34	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	35	pr_ir	pr_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	164	36	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	164	37	-0.269	-0.269	SYM
dem-1053	164	38	4.98e-05	4.98e-05	NUM
dem-1053	164	39	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	164	40	32.07	32.07	NUM
dem-1053	164	41	1.00e-04	1.00e-04	NUM
dem-1053	164	42	m3	m3	PROPN
dem-1053	164	43	m2_ir	m2_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	44	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	164	45	0.077	0.077	NUM
dem-1053	164	46	3.31e-02	3.31e-02	NUM
dem-1053	164	47	0.046	0.046	NUM
dem-1053	164	48	102.44	102.44	NUM
dem-1053	164	49	0.103	0.103	NUM
dem-1053	164	50	63	63	NUM
dem-1053	164	51	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	52	56	56	NUM
dem-1053	164	53	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	54	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	164	55	-11	-11	SYM
dem-1053	164	56	9.00e-03	9.00e-03	NUM
dem-1053	164	57	m3a	m3a	PROPN
dem-1053	164	58	m2_ir	m2_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	59	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	164	60	0.023	0.023	NUM
dem-1053	164	61	6.23e-01	6.23e-01	NUM
dem-1053	164	62	0.309	0.309	NUM
dem-1053	164	63	77.24	77.24	NUM
dem-1053	164	64	0.103	0.103	NUM
dem-1053	164	65	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	164	66	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	67	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	164	68	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	164	69	pr_ir	pr_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	70	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	164	71	-0.267	-0.267	NUM
dem-1053	164	72	4.12e-05	4.12e-05	NUM
dem-1053	164	73	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	164	74	22.481	22.481	NUM
dem-1053	164	75	1.76e-02	1.76e-02	NUM
dem-1053	164	76	m4	m4	PROPN
dem-1053	164	77	m3_ir	m3_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	164	78	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	165	1	0.069	0.069	NUM
dem-1053	165	2	6.08e-02	6.08e-02	NUM
dem-1053	165	3	0.035	0.035	NUM
dem-1053	165	4	103.58	103.58	NUM
dem-1053	165	5	0.103	0.103	NUM
dem-1053	165	6	63	63	NUM
dem-1053	165	7	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	8	63	63	NUM
dem-1053	165	9	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	10	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	165	11	-10.08	-10.08	PROPN
dem-1053	165	12	1.85e-02	1.85e-02	NUM
dem-1053	165	13	m4a	m4a	PROPN
dem-1053	165	14	m3_ir	m3_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	165	15	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	165	16	0.026	0.026	NUM
dem-1053	165	17	5.63e-01	5.63e-01	NUM
dem-1053	165	18	0.280	0.280	NUM
dem-1053	165	19	80.23	80.23	NUM
dem-1053	165	20	0.103	0.103	NUM
dem-1053	165	21	78	78	NUM
dem-1053	165	22	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	23	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	165	24	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	25	pr_ir	pr_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	165	26	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	165	27	-0.254	-0.254	SYM
dem-1053	165	28	3.82e-05	3.82e-05	NUM
dem-1053	165	29	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	165	30	20.914	20.914	NUM
dem-1053	165	31	1.91e-02	1.91e-02	NUM
dem-1053	165	32	m5	m5	NOUN
dem-1053	165	33	wig_ir	wig_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	165	34	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	165	35	-0.058	-0.058	NUM
dem-1053	165	36	5.95e-06	5.95e-06	NUM
dem-1053	165	37	0.312	0.312	NUM
dem-1053	165	38	79.91	79.91	NUM
dem-1053	165	39	0.083	0.083	NUM
dem-1053	165	40	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	165	41	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	42	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	165	43	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	44	const	const	VERB
dem-1053	165	45	2.981	2.981	NUM
dem-1053	165	46	4.20e-03	4.20e-03	NUM
dem-1053	165	47	m5a	m5a	PROPN
dem-1053	165	48	wig_ir	wig_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	165	49	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	165	50	-0.082	-0.082	NUM
dem-1053	165	51	4.20e-03	4.20e-03	NUM
dem-1053	165	52	0.409	0.409	NUM
dem-1053	165	53	70.00	70.00	NUM
dem-1053	165	54	0.087	0.087	NUM
dem-1053	165	55	84	84	NUM
dem-1053	165	56	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	57	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	165	58	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	59	pr_ir	pr_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	165	60	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	165	61	0.017	0.017	NUM
dem-1053	165	62	8.71e-01	8.71e-01	NUM
dem-1053	165	63	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	165	64	3.443	3.443	NUM
dem-1053	165	65	6.96e-01	6.96e-01	NUM
dem-1053	165	66	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	165	67	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	165	68	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	165	69	-0.354	-0.354	NOUN
dem-1053	165	70	1.65e-02	1.65e-02	NUM
dem-1053	165	71	0.462	0.462	NUM
dem-1053	165	72	53.59	53.59	NUM
dem-1053	165	73	0.099	0.099	NUM
dem-1053	165	74	88	88	NUM
dem-1053	165	75	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	76	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	165	77	%	%	NOUN
dem-1053	165	78	m3_ir	m3_ir	PROPN
dem-1053	165	79	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	165	80	0.006	0.006	NUM
dem-1053	165	81	9.59e-01	9.59e-01	NUM
dem-1053	165	82	wig_ir	wig_ir	NOUN
dem-1053	165	83	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	165	84	-0.085	-0.085	NUM
dem-1053	165	85	3.80e-03	3.80e-03	NUM
dem-1053	165	86	const	const	NOUN
dem-1053	165	87	3.811	3.811	NUM
dem-1053	165	88	7.85e-01	7.85e-01	NUM
dem-1053	165	89	taking	take	VERB
dem-1053	165	90	the	the	DET
dem-1053	165	91	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-1053	165	92	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	165	93	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	165	94	account	account	NOUN
dem-1053	165	95	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	165	96	the	the	DET
dem-1053	165	97	wig	wig	NOUN
dem-1053	165	98	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-1053	165	99	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	165	100	exchange	exchange	NOUN
dem-1053	165	101	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	165	102	appears	appear	VERB
dem-1053	165	103	to	to	PART
dem-1053	165	104	have	have	VERB
dem-1053	165	105	the	the	DET
dem-1053	165	106	highest	high	ADJ
dem-1053	165	107	symptomatic	symptomatic	ADJ
dem-1053	165	108	properties	property	NOUN
dem-1053	165	109	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	166	1	unfortunately	unfortunately	ADV
dem-1053	166	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	166	3	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	166	4	a	a	DET
dem-1053	166	5	practical	practical	ADJ
dem-1053	166	6	standpoint	standpoint	NOUN
dem-1053	166	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	166	8	a	a	DET
dem-1053	166	9	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	166	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	166	11	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	166	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-1053	166	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	166	14	too	too	ADV
dem-1053	166	15	short	short	ADJ
dem-1053	166	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	167	1	due	due	ADP
dem-1053	167	2	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	167	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	167	4	length	length	NOUN
dem-1053	167	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	167	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	167	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-1053	167	8	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	167	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	167	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	167	11	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	167	12	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	167	13	spread	spread	VERB
dem-1053	167	14	better	well	ADV
dem-1053	167	15	fits	fit	VERB
dem-1053	167	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	167	17	purpose	purpose	NOUN
dem-1053	167	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	168	1	a	a	DET
dem-1053	168	2	higher	high	ADJ
dem-1053	168	3	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	168	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	168	5	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	168	6	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	168	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	168	8	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	168	9	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	168	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	168	11	given	give	VERB
dem-1053	168	12	a	a	DET
dem-1053	168	13	four	four	NUM
dem-1053	168	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	168	15	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	168	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-1053	168	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	168	18	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	168	19	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-1053	168	20	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	168	21	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	168	22	changes	change	NOUN
dem-1053	168	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	168	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	168	25	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	168	26	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	168	27	money	money	NOUN
dem-1053	168	28	supply	supply	NOUN
dem-1053	168	29	m3	m3	PROPN
dem-1053	168	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	169	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	169	2	all	all	DET
dem-1053	169	3	cases	case	NOUN
dem-1053	169	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	169	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	169	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	169	7	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	169	8	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	169	9	clearly	clearly	ADV
dem-1053	169	10	improved	improve	VERB
dem-1053	169	11	if	if	SCONJ
dem-1053	169	12	a	a	DET
dem-1053	169	13	lagging	lag	VERB
dem-1053	169	14	industrial	industrial	ADJ
dem-1053	169	15	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	169	16	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	169	17	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	169	18	milda	milda	ADJ
dem-1053	169	19	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	169	20	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	169	21	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	169	22	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	169	23	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	169	24	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	169	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	169	26	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	169	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	169	28	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	169	29	84	84	NUM
dem-1053	169	30	added	add	VERB
dem-1053	169	31	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	169	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	169	33	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	169	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	170	1	an	an	DET
dem-1053	170	2	attempt	attempt	NOUN
dem-1053	170	3	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	170	4	also	also	ADV
dem-1053	170	5	made	make	VERB
dem-1053	170	6	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	170	7	this	this	DET
dem-1053	170	8	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	170	9	to	to	PART
dem-1053	170	10	combine	combine	VERB
dem-1053	170	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	170	12	symptomatic	symptomatic	ADJ
dem-1053	170	13	properties	property	NOUN
dem-1053	170	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	170	15	three	three	NUM
dem-1053	170	16	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	170	17	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	170	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	170	19	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-1053	170	20	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	170	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	170	22	money	money	NOUN
dem-1053	170	23	supply	supply	NOUN
dem-1053	170	24	m3	m3	PROPN
dem-1053	170	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	170	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	170	27	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-1053	170	28	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	170	29	exchange	exchange	NOUN
dem-1053	170	30	index	index	NOUN
dem-1053	170	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	170	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	170	33	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	170	34	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	170	35	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	170	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	170	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	171	1	this	this	DET
dem-1053	171	2	latter	latter	ADJ
dem-1053	171	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	171	4	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	171	5	characterised	characterise	VERB
dem-1053	171	6	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	171	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	171	8	highest	high	ADJ
dem-1053	171	9	degree	degree	NOUN
dem-1053	171	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	171	11	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	171	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	171	13	fit	fit	NOUN
dem-1053	171	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	171	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	171	16	lowest	low	ADJ
dem-1053	171	17	akaike	akaike	NOUN
dem-1053	171	18	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	171	19	criterion	criterion	NOUN
dem-1053	171	20	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	171	21	as	as	ADV
dem-1053	171	22	well	well	ADV
dem-1053	171	23	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	171	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	171	25	highest	high	ADJ
dem-1053	171	26	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-1053	171	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	171	28	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	171	29	within	within	ADP
dem-1053	171	30	the	the	DET
dem-1053	171	31	sampling	sample	VERB
dem-1053	171	32	period	period	NOUN
dem-1053	171	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	172	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	172	2	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	172	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	172	4	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	172	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	172	6	a	a	DET
dem-1053	172	7	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	172	8	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	172	9	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	172	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	172	11	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	172	12	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	172	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	172	14	shown	show	VERB
dem-1053	172	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	172	16	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	172	17	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	172	18	.	.	NOUN
dem-1053	172	19	0	0	NUM
dem-1053	173	1	0,2	0,2	NUM
dem-1053	173	2	0,4	0,4	NUM
dem-1053	173	3	0,6	0,6	NUM
dem-1053	173	4	0,8	0,8	NUM
dem-1053	173	5	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	173	6	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	7	92	92	NUM
dem-1053	173	8	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	9	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	173	10	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	11	92	92	NUM
dem-1053	173	12	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	13	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	173	14	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	15	93	93	NUM
dem-1053	173	16	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	17	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	173	18	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	19	94	94	NUM
dem-1053	173	20	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	21	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	173	22	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	23	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	173	24	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	25	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	173	26	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	27	96	96	NUM
dem-1053	173	28	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	29	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	173	30	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	31	97	97	NUM
dem-1053	173	32	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	33	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	173	34	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	35	98	98	NUM
dem-1053	173	36	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	37	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	173	38	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	173	39	99	99	NUM
dem-1053	173	40	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	41	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	173	42	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	43	00	00	NUM
dem-1053	173	44	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	45	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	173	46	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	47	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	173	48	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	49	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	173	50	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	51	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	173	52	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	53	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	173	54	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	55	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	173	56	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	57	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	173	58	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	59	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	173	60	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	61	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	173	62	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	63	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	173	64	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	65	11	11	NUM
dem-1053	173	66	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	67	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	173	68	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	69	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	173	70	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	71	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	173	72	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	73	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	173	74	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	75	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	173	76	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	77	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	173	78	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	79	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	173	80	m	m	NOUN
dem-1053	173	81	07	07	NUM
dem-1053	173	82	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	83	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	173	84	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	85	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	173	86	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	173	87	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	173	88	m	m	NUM
dem-1053	173	89	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	173	90	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	173	91	90	90	NUM
dem-1053	173	92	100	100	NUM
dem-1053	173	93	110	110	NUM
dem-1053	173	94	120	120	NUM
dem-1053	173	95	130	130	NUM
dem-1053	173	96	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	173	97	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	173	98	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	173	99	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	100	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	173	101	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	102	w_im	w_im	NOUN
dem-1053	173	103	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	173	104	w_nim	w_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	173	105	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-1053	173	106	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	173	107	.	.	NOUN
dem-1053	173	108	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	173	109	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	173	110	a	a	DET
dem-1053	173	111	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	173	112	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	173	113	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	173	114	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	115	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	173	116	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	173	117	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	173	118	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	173	119	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	120	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	173	121	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	173	122	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	173	123	poland	poland	NOUN
dem-1053	173	124	summarising	summarise	VERB
dem-1053	173	125	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	126	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	173	127	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	173	128	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	129	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	173	130	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	131	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	132	duration	duration	NOUN
dem-1053	173	133	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	173	134	a	a	DET
dem-1053	173	135	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	173	136	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	173	137	analysed	analyse	VERB
dem-1053	173	138	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	173	139	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	173	140	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	141	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	173	142	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	173	143	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	173	144	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	145	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	146	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	173	147	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	173	148	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	173	149	one	one	NUM
dem-1053	173	150	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	173	151	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	152	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	173	153	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	173	154	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	155	the	the	DET
dem-1053	173	156	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	173	157	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	158	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	173	159	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	173	160	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	173	161	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	174	1	table	table	NOUN
dem-1053	174	2	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	174	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	1	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	175	2	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	175	3	periods	period	NOUN
dem-1053	175	4	beginning	begin	VERB
dem-1053	175	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	175	6	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	175	7	end	end	NOUN
dem-1053	175	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	175	9	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	175	10	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	175	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	12	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	175	13	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	175	14	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	175	15	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	175	16	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	175	17	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	175	18	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	175	19	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	175	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	21	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	175	22	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	175	23	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	175	24	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	175	25	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	175	26	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	175	27	m6	m6	PROPN
dem-1053	175	28	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	175	29	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	30	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	175	31	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	175	32	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	33	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	175	34	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	175	35	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	36	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	175	37	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	175	38	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	39	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	175	40	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	175	41	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	42	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	175	43	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	175	44	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	45	05	05	NUM
dem-1053	175	46	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	175	47	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	48	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	175	49	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	175	50	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	51	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	52	2002	2002	NUM
dem-1053	175	53	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	54	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	175	55	2002	2002	NUM
dem-1053	175	56	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	57	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	175	58	2002	2002	NUM
dem-1053	175	59	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	60	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	175	61	2002	2002	NUM
dem-1053	175	62	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	63	04	04	NUM
dem-1053	175	64	2004	2004	NUM
dem-1053	175	65	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	66	06	06	NUM
dem-1053	175	67	2003	2003	NUM
dem-1053	175	68	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	69	10	10	NUM
dem-1053	175	70	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	175	71	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	72	01	01	NUM
dem-1053	175	73	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	175	74	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	75	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	76	2008	2008	NUM
dem-1053	175	77	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	78	03	03	NUM
dem-1053	175	79	2008	2008	NUM
dem-1053	175	80	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	81	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	175	82	2008	2008	NUM
dem-1053	175	83	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	84	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	85	2008	2008	NUM
dem-1053	175	86	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	87	08	08	NUM
dem-1053	175	88	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	175	89	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	90	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	91	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	175	92	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	93	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	94	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	175	95	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	96	02	02	NUM
dem-1053	175	97	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	175	98	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	175	99	09	09	NUM
dem-1053	175	100	the	the	DET
dem-1053	175	101	classic	classic	ADJ
dem-1053	175	102	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	175	103	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	175	104	additionally	additionally	ADV
dem-1053	175	105	adopted	adopt	VERB
dem-1053	175	106	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	175	107	the	the	DET
dem-1053	175	108	comparisons	comparison	NOUN
dem-1053	175	109	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	110	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	175	111	states	state	VERB
dem-1053	175	112	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	175	113	every	every	DET
dem-1053	175	114	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	175	115	should	should	AUX
dem-1053	175	116	last	last	VERB
dem-1053	175	117	at	at	ADV
dem-1053	175	118	least	least	ADJ
dem-1053	175	119	half	half	DET
dem-1053	175	120	a	a	PRON
dem-1053	175	121	year	year	NOUN
dem-1053	175	122	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	123	bry	bry	NOUN
dem-1053	175	124	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	125	boschan	boschan	NOUN
dem-1053	175	126	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	127	1971	1971	NUM
dem-1053	175	128	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	175	129	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	176	1	this	this	PRON
dem-1053	176	2	allowed	allow	VERB
dem-1053	176	3	us	we	PRON
dem-1053	176	4	to	to	PART
dem-1053	176	5	exclude	exclude	VERB
dem-1053	176	6	short	short	ADJ
dem-1053	176	7	periods	period	NOUN
dem-1053	176	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	176	9	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	176	10	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	176	11	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	176	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	176	13	comparisons	comparison	NOUN
dem-1053	176	14	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	176	15	means	mean	VERB
dem-1053	176	16	that	that	SCONJ
dem-1053	176	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	176	18	rise	rise	NOUN
dem-1053	176	19	or	or	CCONJ
dem-1053	176	20	drop	drop	NOUN
dem-1053	176	21	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	176	22	a	a	DET
dem-1053	176	23	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	176	24	must	must	AUX
dem-1053	176	25	remain	remain	VERB
dem-1053	176	26	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	176	27	both	both	DET
dem-1053	176	28	sides	side	NOUN
dem-1053	176	29	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	176	30	the	the	DET
dem-1053	176	31	turning	turning	NOUN
dem-1053	176	32	point	point	NOUN
dem-1053	176	33	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	176	34	at	at	ADV
dem-1053	176	35	least	least	ADV
dem-1053	176	36	six	six	NUM
dem-1053	176	37	months	month	NOUN
dem-1053	176	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	177	1	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	177	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	177	3	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	177	4	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	177	5	this	this	PRON
dem-1053	177	6	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	177	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	177	8	rise	rise	NOUN
dem-1053	177	9	/	/	SYM
dem-1053	177	10	drop	drop	VERB
dem-1053	177	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	177	12	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	177	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	177	14	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	177	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	177	16	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	177	17	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	177	18	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	177	19	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	177	20	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	177	21	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	177	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	177	23	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	177	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	177	25	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	177	26	85	85	NUM
dem-1053	177	27	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	177	28	the	the	DET
dem-1053	177	29	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	177	30	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	177	31	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	177	32	above	above	ADP
dem-1053	177	33	/	/	SYM
dem-1053	177	34	below	below	ADP
dem-1053	177	35	the	the	DET
dem-1053	177	36	limit	limit	NOUN
dem-1053	177	37	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	177	38	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	177	39	0.5	0.5	NUM
dem-1053	177	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	178	1	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	178	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	178	3	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	178	4	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	178	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	178	6	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	178	7	a	a	DET
dem-1053	178	8	result	result	NOUN
dem-1053	178	9	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	178	10	not	not	PART
dem-1053	178	11	balancing	balance	VERB
dem-1053	178	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	178	13	statistic	statistic	ADJ
dem-1053	178	14	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-1053	178	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	178	16	the	the	DET
dem-1053	178	17	limit	limit	NOUN
dem-1053	178	18	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	178	19	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	178	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	178	21	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-1053	178	22	frequency	frequency	NOUN
dem-1053	178	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	178	24	1s	1s	NUM
dem-1053	178	25	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-1053	178	26	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	178	27	the	the	DET
dem-1053	178	28	qualitative	qualitative	NOUN
dem-1053	178	29	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	178	30	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	178	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	179	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	179	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	179	3	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	179	4	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	179	5	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	179	6	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	179	7	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	179	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	179	9	change	change	NOUN
dem-1053	179	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	179	11	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
dem-1053	179	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	179	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	179	14	annual	annual	ADJ
dem-1053	179	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	179	16	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-1053	179	17	output	output	NOUN
dem-1053	179	18	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	179	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	180	1	all	all	PRON
dem-1053	180	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	180	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	180	4	analysed	analyse	VERB
dem-1053	180	5	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	180	6	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	180	7	show	show	VERB
dem-1053	180	8	significant	significant	ADJ
dem-1053	180	9	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	180	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	180	11	terms	term	NOUN
dem-1053	180	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	180	13	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	180	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	180	15	end	end	NOUN
dem-1053	180	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	180	17	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	180	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	180	19	a	a	DET
dem-1053	180	20	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	180	21	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	180	22	month	month	NOUN
dem-1053	180	23	difference	difference	NOUN
dem-1053	180	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	180	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	181	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	181	2	only	only	ADJ
dem-1053	181	3	exception	exception	NOUN
dem-1053	181	4	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	181	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	181	6	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	181	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	181	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	181	9	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	181	10	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	181	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	181	12	end	end	NOUN
dem-1053	181	13	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	181	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	181	15	last	last	ADJ
dem-1053	181	16	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	181	17	to	to	PART
dem-1053	181	18	be	be	AUX
dem-1053	181	19	later	later	ADV
dem-1053	181	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	182	1	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	182	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	182	3	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	4	dating	dating	NOUN
dem-1053	182	5	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	182	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	7	beginning	beginning	NOUN
dem-1053	182	8	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	182	9	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	182	10	by	by	ADP
dem-1053	182	11	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	12	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	182	13	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	182	14	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	182	15	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	182	16	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	182	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	18	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	182	19	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	182	20	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	21	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	182	22	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	182	23	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	182	24	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	182	25	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	182	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	182	27	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	182	28	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	182	29	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	182	30	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	182	31	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	182	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	182	33	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	182	34	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	182	35	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	182	36	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	182	37	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	182	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	183	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	183	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	3	case	case	NOUN
dem-1053	183	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	183	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	6	last	last	ADJ
dem-1053	183	7	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	183	8	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	183	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	183	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	11	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	183	12	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	183	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	183	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	15	combined	combine	VERB
dem-1053	183	16	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	183	17	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	183	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	183	19	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	183	20	indicate	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	183	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	22	beginning	beginning	NOUN
dem-1053	183	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	183	24	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	183	25	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	183	26	february	february	PROPN
dem-1053	183	27	/	/	SYM
dem-1053	183	28	march	march	PROPN
dem-1053	183	29	2008	2008	NUM
dem-1053	183	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	183	31	while	while	SCONJ
dem-1053	183	32	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	33	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	183	34	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	183	35	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	183	36	the	the	DET
dem-1053	183	37	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	183	38	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	183	39	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	183	40	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	183	41	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	183	42	indicate	indicate	VERB
dem-1053	183	43	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	183	44	as	as	ADV
dem-1053	183	45	late	late	ADV
dem-1053	183	46	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	183	47	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	183	48	august	august	PROPN
dem-1053	183	49	/	/	SYM
dem-1053	183	50	september	september	PROPN
dem-1053	183	51	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	1	yule	yule	PROPN
dem-1053	184	2	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	184	3	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
dem-1053	184	4	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	184	5	association	association	NOUN
dem-1053	184	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	7	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	184	8	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	184	9	chi	chi	ADJ
dem-1053	184	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	11	square	square	ADJ
dem-1053	184	12	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-1053	184	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	14	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	184	15	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	184	16	a	a	DET
dem-1053	184	17	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-1053	184	18	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	184	19	interdependence	interdependence	NOUN
dem-1053	184	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	184	21	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
dem-1053	184	22	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	184	23	measured	measure	VERB
dem-1053	184	24	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	184	25	a	a	DET
dem-1053	184	26	nominal	nominal	ADJ
dem-1053	184	27	scale	scale	NOUN
dem-1053	184	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	29	was	be	AUX
dem-1053	184	30	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	184	31	to	to	PART
dem-1053	184	32	quantitatively	quantitatively	ADV
dem-1053	184	33	estimate	estimate	VERB
dem-1053	184	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	184	35	similarity	similarity	NOUN
dem-1053	184	36	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	184	37	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	184	38	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	39	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	184	40	has	have	VERB
dem-1053	184	41	a	a	DET
dem-1053	184	42	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	184	43	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	184	44	-1	-1	INTJ
dem-1053	184	45	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	184	46	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	184	47	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	184	48	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	185	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	2	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	185	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	5	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	185	6	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	185	7	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
dem-1053	185	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	9	highest	high	ADJ
dem-1053	185	10	level	level	NOUN
dem-1053	185	11	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	12	association	association	NOUN
dem-1053	185	13	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	185	14	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	15	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	185	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	17	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	185	18	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	185	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	20	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	185	21	s_nim	s_nim	PROPN
dem-1053	185	22	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	185	23	s_im	s_im	PROPN
dem-1053	185	24	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	185	25	0.55	0.55	NUM
dem-1053	185	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	185	27	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	185	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	185	29	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	30	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	185	31	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	185	32	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	185	33	demonstrate	demonstrate	VERB
dem-1053	185	34	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	35	highest	high	ADJ
dem-1053	185	36	level	level	NOUN
dem-1053	185	37	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	38	association	association	NOUN
dem-1053	185	39	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	185	40	the	the	DET
dem-1053	185	41	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	185	42	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	185	43	implied	imply	VERB
dem-1053	185	44	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	185	45	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	185	46	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	185	47	0.42	0.42	NUM
dem-1053	185	48	.	.	X
dem-1053	186	1	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	186	2	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	186	3	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
dem-1053	186	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	186	5	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	186	6	conducted	conduct	VERB
dem-1053	186	7	shows	show	VERB
dem-1053	186	8	the	the	DET
dem-1053	186	9	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	186	10	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	186	11	indications	indication	NOUN
dem-1053	186	12	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	186	13	both	both	CCONJ
dem-1053	186	14	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	186	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	186	16	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	186	17	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	186	18	method	method	NOUN
dem-1053	186	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	186	20	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	186	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	186	22	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	186	23	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	186	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	187	1	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	187	2	the	the	DET
dem-1053	187	3	presented	present	VERB
dem-1053	187	4	version	version	NOUN
dem-1053	187	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	187	6	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	187	7	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	187	8	adequately	adequately	ADV
dem-1053	187	9	describes	describe	VERB
dem-1053	187	10	the	the	DET
dem-1053	187	11	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	187	12	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	187	13	occurrence	occurrence	NOUN
dem-1053	187	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	187	15	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	187	16	decline	decline	NOUN
dem-1053	187	17	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	187	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	188	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	188	2	dating	dating	NOUN
dem-1053	188	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	188	4	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	188	5	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	188	6	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-1053	188	7	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	188	8	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	188	9	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	188	10	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	188	11	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-1053	188	12	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	188	13	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-1053	188	14	applications	application	NOUN
dem-1053	188	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	188	16	allows	allow	VERB
dem-1053	188	17	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	188	18	a	a	DET
dem-1053	188	19	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	188	20	into	into	ADP
dem-1053	188	21	four	four	NUM
dem-1053	188	22	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	188	23	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	188	24	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	188	25	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	188	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	188	27	which	which	PRON
dem-1053	188	28	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	188	29	beneficial	beneficial	ADJ
dem-1053	188	30	as	as	SCONJ
dem-1053	188	31	it	it	PRON
dem-1053	188	32	distinguishes	distinguish	VERB
dem-1053	188	33	two	two	NUM
dem-1053	188	34	transitory	transitory	ADJ
dem-1053	188	35	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	188	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	189	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	189	2	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	189	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	189	4	allows	allow	VERB
dem-1053	189	5	to	to	PART
dem-1053	189	6	gain	gain	VERB
dem-1053	189	7	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
dem-1053	189	8	results	result	NOUN
dem-1053	189	9	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	189	10	a	a	DET
dem-1053	189	11	more	more	ADV
dem-1053	189	12	detailed	detailed	ADJ
dem-1053	189	13	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	189	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	189	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	189	16	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	189	17	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	189	18	s_im	s_im	NOUN
dem-1053	189	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	189	20	based	base	VERB
dem-1053	189	21	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	189	22	the	the	DET
dem-1053	189	23	value	value	NOUN
dem-1053	189	24	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	189	25	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	189	26	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	189	27	indices	index	NOUN
dem-1053	189	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	190	1	however	however	ADV
dem-1053	190	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	190	3	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	190	4	the	the	DET
dem-1053	190	5	domain	domain	NOUN
dem-1053	190	6	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	190	7	the	the	DET
dem-1053	190	8	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	190	9	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	190	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	190	11	more	more	ADJ
dem-1053	190	12	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	190	13	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	190	14	needed	need	VERB
dem-1053	190	15	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	190	16	recognising	recognise	VERB
dem-1053	190	17	the	the	DET
dem-1053	190	18	symptomatic	symptomatic	ADJ
dem-1053	190	19	properties	property	NOUN
dem-1053	190	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	190	21	various	various	ADJ
dem-1053	190	22	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-1053	190	23	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	190	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	191	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	191	2	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-1053	191	3	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	191	4	spread	spread	NOUN
dem-1053	191	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	191	6	used	use	VERB
dem-1053	191	7	successfully	successfully	ADV
dem-1053	191	8	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	191	9	advanced	advanced	ADJ
dem-1053	191	10	marked	mark	VERB
dem-1053	191	11	economies	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	191	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	191	13	continues	continue	VERB
dem-1053	191	14	to	to	PART
dem-1053	191	15	alter	alter	VERB
dem-1053	191	16	its	its	PRON
dem-1053	191	17	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
dem-1053	191	18	under	under	ADP
dem-1053	191	19	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	191	20	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	191	21	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	191	22	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	191	23	is	be	AUX
dem-1053	191	24	currently	currently	ADV
dem-1053	191	25	not	not	PART
dem-1053	191	26	the	the	DET
dem-1053	191	27	best	well	ADV
dem-1053	191	28	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-1053	191	29	indicator	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	191	30	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-1053	191	31	a	a	DET
dem-1053	191	32	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	191	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	1	references	reference	NOUN
dem-1053	192	2	amemiya	amemiya	NOUN
dem-1053	192	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	4	t.	t.	PROPN
dem-1053	192	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	6	1981	1981	NUM
dem-1053	192	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	9	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
dem-1053	192	10	response	response	NOUN
dem-1053	192	11	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	192	12	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	13	a	a	DET
dem-1053	192	14	survey	survey	NOUN
dem-1053	192	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	16	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-1053	192	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	192	18	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	192	19	literature	literature	NOUN
dem-1053	192	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	21	19	19	NUM
dem-1053	192	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	192	23	481–536	481–536	NUM
dem-1053	192	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	1	atta	atta	PROPN
dem-1053	193	2	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	3	mensah	mensah	PROPN
dem-1053	193	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	5	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	193	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	7	tkacz	tkacz	NOUN
dem-1053	193	8	g.	g.	PROPN
dem-1053	193	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	10	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	193	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	13	predicting	predict	VERB
dem-1053	193	14	canadian	canadian	ADJ
dem-1053	193	15	recessions	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	193	16	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	193	17	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	193	18	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	193	19	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	20	a	a	DET
dem-1053	193	21	probit	probit	NOUN
dem-1053	193	22	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	193	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	24	department	department	NOUN
dem-1053	193	25	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	193	26	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	193	27	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	193	28	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	193	29	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	193	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	31	bank	bank	PROPN
dem-1053	193	32	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	193	33	canada	canada	PROPN
dem-1053	193	34	working	working	PROPN
dem-1053	193	35	paper	paper	PROPN
dem-1053	193	36	98−5	98−5	NOUN
dem-1053	193	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	193	38	ottawa	ottawa	PROPN
dem-1053	193	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	1	milda	milda	PROPN
dem-1053	194	2	maria	maria	PROPN
dem-1053	194	3	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	194	4	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	194	5	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	194	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	194	7	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	194	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	9	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	194	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	11	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	194	12	86	86	NUM
dem-1053	194	13	barczyk	barczyk	ADJ
dem-1053	194	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	15	r.	r.	PROPN
dem-1053	194	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	17	kowalczyk	kowalczyk	VERB
dem-1053	194	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	19	z.	z.	PROPN
dem-1053	194	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	21	1993	1993	NUM
dem-1053	194	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	24	metody	metody	ADJ
dem-1053	194	25	badania	badania	PROPN
dem-1053	194	26	koniunktury	koniunktury	PROPN
dem-1053	194	27	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	PROPN
dem-1053	194	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	29	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	194	30	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	194	31	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	194	32	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	194	33	condition	condition	NOUN
dem-1053	194	34	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	36	pwn	pwn	PROPN
dem-1053	194	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	38	warszawa	warszawa	NOUN
dem-1053	194	39	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	194	40	poznań	poznań	NOUN
dem-1053	194	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	1	bry	bry	PROPN
dem-1053	195	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	3	g.	g.	PROPN
dem-1053	195	4	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	195	5	boschan	boschan	PROPN
dem-1053	195	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	7	c.	c.	PROPN
dem-1053	195	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	9	1971	1971	NUM
dem-1053	195	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	12	cyclical	cyclical	ADJ
dem-1053	195	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	195	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	195	15	times	times	PROPN
dem-1053	195	16	series	series	PROPN
dem-1053	195	17	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	18	selected	select	VERB
dem-1053	195	19	procedures	procedure	NOUN
dem-1053	195	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	195	21	computer	computer	NOUN
dem-1053	195	22	programs	program	NOUN
dem-1053	195	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	24	technical	technical	ADJ
dem-1053	195	25	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-1053	195	26	20	20	NUM
dem-1053	195	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	28	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	195	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	195	30	new	new	PROPN
dem-1053	195	31	york	york	PROPN
dem-1053	195	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	1	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	196	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	196	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	5	2005a	2005a	NUM
dem-1053	196	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	8	prognozowanie	prognozowanie	NOUN
dem-1053	196	9	aktywności	aktywności	PROPN
dem-1053	196	10	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	VERB
dem-1053	196	11	polski	polski	PROPN
dem-1053	196	12	przy	przy	PROPN
dem-1053	196	13	wykorzystaniu	wykorzystaniu	PROPN
dem-1053	196	14	zagnieżdżonych	zagnieżdżonych	PROPN
dem-1053	196	15	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-1053	196	16	logitowych	logitowych	PROPN
dem-1053	196	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	18	niepublikowana	niepublikowana	PROPN
dem-1053	196	19	praca	praca	PROPN
dem-1053	196	20	doktorska	doktorska	ADJ
dem-1053	196	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	22	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	196	23	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	196	24	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	196	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	196	26	using	use	VERB
dem-1053	196	27	nested	nested	ADJ
dem-1053	196	28	logit	logit	NOUN
dem-1053	196	29	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	196	30	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	31	unpublished	unpublished	ADJ
dem-1053	196	32	phd	phd	NOUN
dem-1053	196	33	thesis	thesis	NOUN
dem-1053	196	34	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	196	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	1	burzała	burzała	NOUN
dem-1053	197	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	197	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	5	2005b	2005b	NUM
dem-1053	197	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	8	kilka	kilka	PROPN
dem-1053	197	9	uwag	uwag	NOUN
dem-1053	197	10	na	na	PROPN
dem-1053	197	11	temat	temat	PROPN
dem-1053	197	12	wyboru	wyboru	PROPN
dem-1053	197	13	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-1053	197	14	dyskretnego	dyskretnego	PROPN
dem-1053	197	15	do	do	VERB
dem-1053	197	16	prognozowania	prognozowania	NOUN
dem-1053	197	17	aktywności	aktywności	PROPN
dem-1053	197	18	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	VERB
dem-1053	197	19	polski	polski	PROPN
dem-1053	197	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	21	a	a	DET
dem-1053	197	22	few	few	ADJ
dem-1053	197	23	comments	comment	NOUN
dem-1053	197	24	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	197	25	choosing	choose	VERB
dem-1053	197	26	discrete	discrete	ADJ
dem-1053	197	27	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	197	28	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	197	29	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	197	30	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	197	31	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	197	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	34	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	197	35	jurek	jurek	PROPN
dem-1053	197	36	w.	w.	PROPN
dem-1053	197	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	38	prace	prace	PROPN
dem-1053	197	39	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	197	40	ekonometrii	ekonometrii	PROPN
dem-1053	197	41	finansowej	finansowej	PROPN
dem-1053	197	42	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	43	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	197	44	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	197	45	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	197	46	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-1053	197	47	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	48	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	49	19–42	19–42	NUM
dem-1053	197	50	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	51	wydawnictwo	wydawnictwo	PROPN
dem-1053	197	52	ae	ae	PROPN
dem-1053	197	53	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	197	54	poznań	poznań	PROPN
dem-1053	197	55	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	1	burzała	burzała	PROPN
dem-1053	198	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	198	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	6	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	198	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	198	9	porównanie	porównanie	NOUN
dem-1053	198	10	faz	faz	PROPN
dem-1053	198	11	aktywności	aktywności	PROPN
dem-1053	198	12	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	PROPN
dem-1053	198	13	uzyskanych	uzyskanych	VERB
dem-1053	198	14	na	na	INTJ
dem-1053	198	15	podstawie	podstawie	NOUN
dem-1053	199	1	filtru	filtru	PROPN
dem-1053	199	2	hodricka	hodricka	PROPN
dem-1053	199	3	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	4	prescotta	prescotta	PROPN
dem-1053	199	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	6	stóp	stóp	NOUN
dem-1053	199	7	wzrostu	wzrostu	PROPN
dem-1053	199	8	oraz	oraz	PROPN
dem-1053	199	9	przełącznikowego	przełącznikowego	PROPN
dem-1053	199	10	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-1053	199	11	hamiltona	hamiltona	PROPN
dem-1053	199	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	13	comparision	comparision	NOUN
dem-1053	199	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	199	15	the	the	DET
dem-1053	199	16	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	199	17	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	199	18	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	199	19	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	199	20	generated	generate	VERB
dem-1053	199	21	from	from	ADP
dem-1053	199	22	hodrick	hodrick	ADJ
dem-1053	199	23	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	24	prescot	prescot	NOUN
dem-1053	199	25	filter	filter	NOUN
dem-1053	199	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	27	smoothed	smooth	VERB
dem-1053	199	28	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	199	29	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-1053	199	30	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	199	31	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	199	32	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	199	33	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	199	34	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	199	35	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	37	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	199	38	appenzeller	appenzeller	PROPN
dem-1053	199	39	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-1053	199	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	41	matematyka	matematyka	ADV
dem-1053	199	42	na	na	ADP
dem-1053	199	43	usługach	usługach	NOUN
dem-1053	199	44	ekonomii	ekonomii	NOUN
dem-1053	199	45	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	46	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
dem-1053	199	47	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	199	48	the	the	DET
dem-1053	199	49	service	service	NOUN
dem-1053	199	50	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	199	51	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-1053	199	52	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	53	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	54	65–77	65–77	PROPN
dem-1053	199	55	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	56	wydawnictwo	wydawnictwo	PROPN
dem-1053	199	57	uep	uep	NOUN
dem-1053	199	58	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	199	59	poznań	poznań	NOUN
dem-1053	199	60	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	200	1	boschan	boschan	PROPN
dem-1053	200	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	200	3	c.	c.	PROPN
dem-1053	200	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	200	5	ebanks	ebanks	PROPN
dem-1053	200	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	200	7	w.w	w.w	PROPN
dem-1053	200	8	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	201	1	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	2	1978	1978	NUM
dem-1053	201	3	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	5	the	the	DET
dem-1053	201	6	phase	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	201	7	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	8	average	average	NOUN
dem-1053	201	9	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	201	10	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	11	a	a	DET
dem-1053	201	12	new	new	ADJ
dem-1053	201	13	way	way	NOUN
dem-1053	201	14	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	201	15	measuring	measure	VERB
dem-1053	201	16	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	201	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	18	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	201	19	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	20	1978	1978	NUM
dem-1053	201	21	proceedings	proceeding	NOUN
dem-1053	201	22	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	201	23	the	the	DET
dem-1053	201	24	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	201	25	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	201	26	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	201	27	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-1053	201	28	section	section	NOUN
dem-1053	201	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	30	american	american	PROPN
dem-1053	201	31	statistical	statistical	PROPN
dem-1053	201	32	association	association	PROPN
dem-1053	201	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	34	washington	washington	PROPN
dem-1053	201	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	36	d.c	d.c	PROPN
dem-1053	201	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	38	cieślak	cieślak	PROPN
dem-1053	201	39	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	40	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	201	41	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	42	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	201	43	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	44	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	45	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	46	red	red	PROPN
dem-1053	201	47	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	201	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	49	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	201	50	prognozowanie	prognozowanie	NOUN
dem-1053	201	51	gospodarcze	gospodarcze	VERB
dem-1053	201	52	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	202	1	metody	metody	ADJ
dem-1053	202	2	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	202	3	zastosowania	zastosowania	PROPN
dem-1053	202	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	202	5	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	202	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	202	7	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	203	1	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	203	2	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	203	3	implementations	implementation	NOUN
dem-1053	203	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	203	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	203	6	pwn	pwn	PROPN
dem-1053	203	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	203	8	warszawa	warszawa	PROPN
dem-1053	203	9	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	1	czerwiński	czerwiński	PROPN
dem-1053	204	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	3	z.	z.	PROPN
dem-1053	204	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	5	2002	2002	NUM
dem-1053	204	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	8	przyczynek	przyczynek	NOUN
dem-1053	204	9	do	do	AUX
dem-1053	204	10	dyskusji	dyskusji	VERB
dem-1053	204	11	nad	nad	ADJ
dem-1053	204	12	problemem	problemem	ADJ
dem-1053	204	13	„	„	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	14	dobrego	dobrego	NOUN
dem-1053	204	15	”	"	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	16	modelu	modelu	NOUN
dem-1053	204	17	ekonometrycznego	ekonometrycznego	NOUN
dem-1053	204	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	19	contribution	contribution	NOUN
dem-1053	204	20	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	204	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	204	22	discussion	discussion	NOUN
dem-1053	204	23	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	204	24	the	the	DET
dem-1053	204	25	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-1053	204	26	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	204	27	“	"	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	28	good	good	ADJ
dem-1053	204	29	”	"	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	30	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	204	31	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	204	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	34	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	204	35	czerwiński	czerwiński	ADJ
dem-1053	204	36	z.	z.	PROPN
dem-1053	204	37	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	38	red	red	PROPN
dem-1053	204	39	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	204	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	42	moje	moje	PROPN
dem-1053	204	43	zmagania	zmagania	PROPN
dem-1053	204	44	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	204	45	ekonomią	ekonomią	PROPN
dem-1053	204	46	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	47	my	my	PRON
dem-1053	204	48	wrestling	wrestling	NOUN
dem-1053	204	49	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	204	50	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	204	51	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	52	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	53	389411	389411	NUM
dem-1053	204	54	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	55	wydawnictwo	wydawnictwo	PROPN
dem-1053	204	56	akademii	akademii	PROPN
dem-1053	204	57	ekonomicznej	ekonomicznej	PROPN
dem-1053	204	58	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	204	59	poznaniu	poznaniu	NOUN
dem-1053	204	60	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	204	61	poznań	poznań	NOUN
dem-1053	204	62	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	1	davidson	davidson	PROPN
dem-1053	205	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	205	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	5	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	205	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	8	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	205	9	series	series	PROPN
dem-1053	205	10	modeling	model	VERB
dem-1053	205	11	version	version	NOUN
dem-1053	205	12	4.32	4.32	NUM
dem-1053	205	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	205	14	university	university	NOUN
dem-1053	205	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	205	16	exeter	exeter	PROPN
dem-1053	205	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	1	doman	doman	PROPN
dem-1053	206	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	206	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	5	doman	doman	PROPN
dem-1053	206	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	7	r.	r.	PROPN
dem-1053	206	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	9	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	206	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	206	12	modelowanie	modelowanie	NOUN
dem-1053	206	13	zmienności	zmienności	PROPN
dem-1053	207	1	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	207	2	ryzyka	ryzyka	VERB
dem-1053	207	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	208	1	metody	metody	ADJ
dem-1053	208	2	ekonometrii	ekonometrii	PROPN
dem-1053	208	3	finansowej	finansowej	PROPN
dem-1053	208	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	208	5	volatility	volatility	NOUN
dem-1053	208	6	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	208	7	risk	risk	NOUN
dem-1053	208	8	modeling	modeling	NOUN
dem-1053	208	9	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	209	1	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	209	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	209	3	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	209	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-1053	209	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	209	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	209	7	oficyna	oficyna	PROPN
dem-1053	209	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	209	9	kraków	kraków	PROPN
dem-1053	209	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	1	estrella	estrella	PROPN
dem-1053	210	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	3	a.	a.	PROPN
dem-1053	210	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	5	hardouvelis	hardouvelis	PROPN
dem-1053	210	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	7	g.	g.	PROPN
dem-1053	210	8	a.	a.	PROPN
dem-1053	210	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	10	1991	1991	NUM
dem-1053	210	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	210	14	term	term	NOUN
dem-1053	210	15	structure	structure	NOUN
dem-1053	210	16	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	210	17	a	a	DET
dem-1053	210	18	predictor	predictor	NOUN
dem-1053	210	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	210	20	real	real	ADJ
dem-1053	210	21	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	210	22	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	210	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	24	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-1053	210	25	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	210	26	finance	finance	NOUN
dem-1053	210	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	28	46	46	NUM
dem-1053	210	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	30	555−576	555−576	NUM
dem-1053	210	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	32	estrella	estrella	PROPN
dem-1053	210	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	34	a.	a.	NOUN
dem-1053	210	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	36	mishkin	mishkin	PROPN
dem-1053	210	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	38	f.s	f.s	PROPN
dem-1053	210	39	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	210	40	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	41	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	210	42	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	43	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	44	predicting	predict	VERB
dem-1053	210	45	u.s	u.s	PROPN
dem-1053	210	46	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	210	47	recessions	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	210	48	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	49	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	210	50	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	210	51	as	as	ADP
dem-1053	210	52	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	210	53	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	210	54	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	55	the	the	DET
dem-1053	210	56	review	review	NOUN
dem-1053	210	57	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	210	58	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-1053	210	59	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	210	60	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-1053	210	61	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	62	80	80	NUM
dem-1053	210	63	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	210	64	45−61	45−61	NOUN
dem-1053	210	65	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	1	gatnar	gatnar	PROPN
dem-1053	211	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	3	e.	e.	PROPN
dem-1053	211	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	5	1998	1998	NUM
dem-1053	211	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	8	symboliczne	symboliczne	X
dem-1053	211	9	metody	metody	ADJ
dem-1053	211	10	klasyfikacji	klasyfikacji	PROPN
dem-1053	211	11	danych	danych	NOUN
dem-1053	211	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	13	symbolic	symbolic	ADJ
dem-1053	211	14	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	211	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	211	16	data	datum	NOUN
dem-1053	211	17	classification	classification	NOUN
dem-1053	211	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	20	pwn	pwn	PROPN
dem-1053	211	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	211	22	warszawa	warszawa	PROPN
dem-1053	211	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	212	1	gruszczyński	gruszczyński	PROPN
dem-1053	212	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	212	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	212	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	212	5	2001	2001	NUM
dem-1053	212	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	212	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	212	8	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-1053	212	9	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	212	10	prognozy	prognozy	PROPN
dem-1053	212	11	zmiennych	zmiennych	PROPN
dem-1053	212	12	jakościowych	jakościowych	PROPN
dem-1053	213	1	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	213	2	finansach	finansach	PROPN
dem-1053	214	1	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	214	2	bankowości	bankowości	VERB
dem-1053	214	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	214	5	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	214	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-1053	214	7	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	214	8	qualitative	qualitative	ADJ
dem-1053	214	9	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	214	10	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	214	11	finances	finance	NOUN
dem-1053	214	12	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	214	13	banking	banking	NOUN
dem-1053	214	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	16	monografie	monografie	NOUN
dem-1053	214	17	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	214	18	opracowania	opracowania	VERB
dem-1053	214	19	490	490	NUM
dem-1053	214	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	21	monographs	monograph	NOUN
dem-1053	214	22	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	214	23	studies	study	NOUN
dem-1053	214	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	26	sgh	sgh	PROPN
dem-1053	214	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	214	28	warszawa	warszawa	PROPN
dem-1053	214	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	1	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	215	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	215	4	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-1053	215	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	6	1989	1989	NUM
dem-1053	215	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	9	a	a	DET
dem-1053	215	10	new	new	ADJ
dem-1053	215	11	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-1053	215	12	to	to	ADP
dem-1053	215	13	the	the	DET
dem-1053	215	14	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	215	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	215	16	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	215	17	nonstationary	nonstationary	ADJ
dem-1053	215	18	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	215	19	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	215	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	215	21	the	the	DET
dem-1053	215	22	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	215	23	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	215	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	25	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
dem-1053	215	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	27	nr	nr	PROPN
dem-1053	215	28	57	57	NUM
dem-1053	215	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	30	357–384	357–384	NUM
dem-1053	215	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	32	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	215	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	34	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	215	35	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-1053	215	36	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	37	2005	2005	NUM
dem-1053	215	38	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	39	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	40	regime	regime	NOUN
dem-1053	215	41	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	42	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	215	43	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	215	44	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	45	department	department	NOUN
dem-1053	215	46	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	215	47	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-1053	215	48	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	49	0508	0508	NUM
dem-1053	215	50	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	51	university	university	NOUN
dem-1053	215	52	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	215	53	california	california	PROPN
dem-1053	215	54	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	215	55	san	san	PROPN
dem-1053	215	56	diego	diego	PROPN
dem-1053	215	57	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	1	jajuga	jajuga	PROPN
dem-1053	216	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	3	k.	k.	PROPN
dem-1053	216	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	5	1990	1990	NUM
dem-1053	216	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	8	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-1053	216	9	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	216	10	dyskretną	dyskretną	PROPN
dem-1053	216	11	zmienną	zmienną	PROPN
dem-1053	216	12	objaśnianą	objaśnianą	PROPN
dem-1053	216	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	14	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	216	15	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	216	16	discrete	discrete	ADJ
dem-1053	216	17	explained	explain	VERB
dem-1053	216	18	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	216	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	21	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	216	22	bartosiewicz	bartosiewicz	PROPN
dem-1053	216	23	st	st	PROPN
dem-1053	216	24	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	216	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	26	ed	ed	NOUN
dem-1053	216	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	30	estymacja	estymacja	PROPN
dem-1053	216	31	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-1053	216	32	ekonometrycznych	ekonometrycznych	PROPN
dem-1053	216	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	34	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-1053	216	35	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	216	36	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	216	37	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	216	38	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	39	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	40	we	we	PRON
dem-1053	216	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	42	warszawa	warszawa	PROPN
dem-1053	216	43	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	44	konopczak	konopczak	PROPN
dem-1053	216	45	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	46	k.	k.	PROPN
dem-1053	216	47	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	48	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	216	49	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	50	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	51	analiza	analiza	NOUN
dem-1053	216	52	zbieżności	zbieżności	PROPN
dem-1053	216	53	cyklu	cyklu	ADJ
dem-1053	216	54	koniunkturalnego	koniunkturalnego	PROPN
dem-1053	216	55	gospodarki	gospodarki	PROPN
dem-1053	216	56	polskiej	polskiej	PROPN
dem-1053	216	57	ze	ze	PROPN
dem-1053	216	58	strefą	strefą	VERB
dem-1053	216	59	euro	euro	NOUN
dem-1053	216	60	na	na	AUX
dem-1053	216	61	tle	tle	VERB
dem-1053	216	62	krajów	krajów	PROPN
dem-1053	216	63	europy	europy	PROPN
dem-1053	216	64	środkowo	środkowo	PROPN
dem-1053	216	65	-	-	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	66	wschodniej	wschodniej	PROPN
dem-1053	216	67	oraz	oraz	PROPN
dem-1053	216	68	państw	państw	PROPN
dem-1053	216	69	członkowskich	członkowskich	VERB
dem-1053	216	70	strefy	strefy	ADJ
dem-1053	216	71	euro	euro	NOUN
dem-1053	216	72	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	73	convergence	convergence	NOUN
dem-1053	216	74	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	216	75	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	216	76	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-1053	216	77	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-1053	216	78	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	216	79	cycle	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	216	80	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	216	81	euro	euro	NOUN
dem-1053	216	82	area	area	NOUN
dem-1053	216	83	against	against	ADP
dem-1053	216	84	the	the	DET
dem-1053	216	85	background	background	NOUN
dem-1053	216	86	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	216	87	middle	middle	PROPN
dem-1053	216	88	east	east	PROPN
dem-1053	216	89	european	european	ADJ
dem-1053	216	90	countries	country	NOUN
dem-1053	216	91	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	216	92	euro	euro	PROPN
dem-1053	216	93	area	area	NOUN
dem-1053	216	94	member	member	NOUN
dem-1053	216	95	states	state	NOUN
dem-1053	216	96	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	97	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	216	98	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	216	99	raport	raport	NOUN
dem-1053	216	100	na	na	X
dem-1053	216	101	temat	temat	PROPN
dem-1053	216	102	pełnego	pełnego	PROPN
dem-1053	216	103	uczestnictwa	uczestnictwa	PROPN
dem-1053	216	104	rzeczypospolitej	rzeczypospolitej	PROPN
dem-1053	216	105	polskiej	polskiej	PROPN
dem-1053	216	106	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	216	107	trzecim	trzecim	PROPN
dem-1053	216	108	etapie	etapie	PROPN
dem-1053	216	109	unii	unii	PROPN
dem-1053	216	110	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	VERB
dem-1053	217	1	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	217	2	walutowej	walutowej	VERB
dem-1053	217	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	217	4	report	report	VERB
dem-1053	217	5	on	on	ADP
dem-1053	217	6	the	the	DET
dem-1053	217	7	polish	polish	PROPN
dem-1053	217	8	republic	republic	NOUN
dem-1053	217	9	full	full	ADJ
dem-1053	217	10	participation	participation	NOUN
dem-1053	217	11	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	217	12	the	the	DET
dem-1053	217	13	third	third	ADJ
dem-1053	217	14	stage	stage	NOUN
dem-1053	217	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	217	16	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	217	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	217	18	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	217	19	union	union	PROPN
dem-1053	217	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	217	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	217	22	nbp	nbp	PROPN
dem-1053	217	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	1	the	the	DET
dem-1053	218	2	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-1053	218	3	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	218	4	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	218	5	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	218	6	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	218	7	…	…	SYM
dem-1053	218	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	218	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	218	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	218	11	12	12	NUM
dem-1053	218	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	13	2012	2012	NUM
dem-1053	218	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	15	73–87	73–87	NUM
dem-1053	218	16	87	87	NUM
dem-1053	218	17	mintz	mintz	NOUN
dem-1053	218	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	19	i.	i.	PROPN
dem-1053	218	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	21	1972	1972	NUM
dem-1053	218	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	24	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	218	25	american	american	ADJ
dem-1053	218	26	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	218	27	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	218	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	29	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	218	30	zarnowotz	zarnowotz	PROPN
dem-1053	218	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	32	victor	victor	PROPN
dem-1053	218	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	34	ed	ed	NOUN
dem-1053	218	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	218	38	39−88	39−88	NOUN
dem-1053	218	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	1	nyberg	nyberg	PROPN
dem-1053	219	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	3	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-1053	219	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	5	2009	2009	NUM
dem-1053	219	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-1053	219	9	probit	probit	NOUN
dem-1053	219	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-1053	219	11	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	219	12	financial	financial	ADJ
dem-1053	219	13	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-1053	219	14	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	219	15	recession	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	219	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	219	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	18	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-1053	219	19	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	219	20	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	219	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	22	29(1−2	29(1−2	PROPN
dem-1053	219	23	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	25	215−230	215−230	X
dem-1053	219	26	.	.	X
dem-1053	219	27	skrzypczyńska	skrzypczyńska	PROPN
dem-1053	219	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	29	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-1053	219	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	31	2011	2011	NUM
dem-1053	219	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	34	pomiar	pomiar	ADJ
dem-1053	219	35	cyklu	cyklu	ADJ
dem-1053	219	36	koniunkturalnego	koniunkturalnego	PROPN
dem-1053	219	37	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	219	38	polsce	polsce	PROPN
dem-1053	219	39	–	–	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	40	analiza	analiza	NOUN
dem-1053	219	41	porównawcza	porównawcza	NOUN
dem-1053	219	42	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	43	measurement	measurement	NOUN
dem-1053	219	44	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	219	45	cykle	cykle	NOUN
dem-1053	219	46	in	in	ADP
dem-1053	219	47	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-1053	219	48	−	−	ADP
dem-1053	219	49	comparative	comparative	ADJ
dem-1053	219	50	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-1053	219	51	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	52	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	53	bank	bank	NOUN
dem-1053	219	54	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	219	55	kredyt	kredyt	VERB
dem-1053	219	56	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	57	42	42	NUM
dem-1053	219	58	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	59	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	219	60	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	61	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	219	62	31	31	NUM
dem-1053	219	63	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	219	64	54	54	NUM
dem-1053	219	65	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	1	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-1053	220	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	220	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	5	watson	watson	PROPN
dem-1053	220	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	7	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	220	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	9	1993	1993	NUM
dem-1053	220	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	12	a	a	DET
dem-1053	220	13	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-1053	220	14	for	for	ADP
dem-1053	220	15	predicting	predict	VERB
dem-1053	220	16	recessions	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	220	17	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	220	18	leading	lead	VERB
dem-1053	220	19	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	220	20	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	21	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-1053	220	22	issues	issue	NOUN
dem-1053	220	23	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	220	24	recent	recent	ADJ
dem-1053	220	25	experience	experience	NOUN
dem-1053	220	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	27	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	220	28	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	220	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	30	indicators	indicator	NOUN
dem-1053	220	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	220	32	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-1053	220	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	34	95	95	NUM
dem-1053	220	35	-	-	SYM
dem-1053	220	36	156	156	NUM
dem-1053	220	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	220	38	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-1053	220	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	1	train	train	PROPN
dem-1053	221	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	3	k.e	k.e	PROPN
dem-1053	221	4	.	.	PROPN
dem-1053	221	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	6	2003	2003	NUM
dem-1053	221	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	9	discrete	discrete	ADJ
dem-1053	221	10	choice	choice	NOUN
dem-1053	221	11	methods	method	NOUN
dem-1053	221	12	with	with	ADP
dem-1053	221	13	simulation	simulation	NOUN
dem-1053	221	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	15	mit	mit	PROPN
dem-1053	221	16	press	press	PROPN
dem-1053	221	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	221	18	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
dem-1053	221	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	1	wright	wright	PROPN
dem-1053	222	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-1053	222	4	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-1053	222	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	6	2006	2006	NUM
dem-1053	222	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	9	the	the	DET
dem-1053	222	10	yield	yield	NOUN
dem-1053	222	11	curve	curve	NOUN
dem-1053	222	12	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	222	13	predicting	predict	VERB
dem-1053	222	14	recessions	recession	NOUN
dem-1053	222	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	16	technical	technical	ADJ
dem-1053	222	17	report	report	NOUN
dem-1053	222	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	19	division	division	NOUN
dem-1053	222	20	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	222	21	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	222	22	affairs	affair	NOUN
dem-1053	222	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	222	24	federal	federal	PROPN
dem-1053	222	25	reserve	reserve	PROPN
dem-1053	222	26	board	board	PROPN
dem-1053	222	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	1	zarnowitz	zarnowitz	PROPN
dem-1053	223	2	v.	v.	PROPN
dem-1053	223	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	4	ozyildirim	ozyildirim	NOUN
dem-1053	223	5	a.	a.	NOUN
dem-1053	223	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	7	2006	2006	NUM
dem-1053	223	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	10	time	time	NOUN
dem-1053	223	11	series	series	NOUN
dem-1053	223	12	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
dem-1053	223	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	223	14	measurement	measurement	NOUN
dem-1053	223	15	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	223	16	business	business	NOUN
dem-1053	223	17	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	223	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	19	trends	trend	NOUN
dem-1053	223	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-1053	223	21	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-1053	223	22	cycles	cycle	NOUN
dem-1053	223	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	24	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-1053	223	25	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	223	26	monetary	monetary	ADJ
dem-1053	223	27	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-1053	223	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	29	53	53	NUM
dem-1053	223	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	31	1717−1739	1717−1739	NUM
dem-1053	223	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	33	federal	federal	PROPN
dem-1053	223	34	reserve	reserve	PROPN
dem-1053	223	35	bank	bank	PROPN
dem-1053	223	36	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	223	37	new	new	PROPN
dem-1053	223	38	york	york	PROPN
dem-1053	223	39	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	40	http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/	http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/	NOUN
dem-1053	223	41	ycfaq.html	ycfaq.html	PROPN
dem-1053	223	42	(	(	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	43	17.08.2011	17.08.2011	NUM
dem-1053	223	44	)	)	PUNCT
dem-1053	223	45	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	224	1	prawdopodobieństwo	prawdopodobieństwo	PROPN
dem-1053	224	2	kryzysu	kryzysu	PROPN
dem-1053	224	3	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	224	4	polsce	polsce	PROPN
dem-1053	224	5	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	224	6	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-1053	224	7	przełącznikowego	przełącznikowego	PROPN
dem-1053	224	8	hamiltona	hamiltona	PROPN
dem-1053	225	1	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	225	2	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-1053	225	3	logitowego	logitowego	PROPN
dem-1053	225	4	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	226	1	a	a	DET
dem-1053	226	2	r	r	NOUN
dem-1053	226	3	y	y	PROPN
dem-1053	226	4	s	s	PROPN
dem-1053	226	5	t	t	NOUN
dem-1053	226	6	r	r	NOUN
dem-1053	226	7	e	e	PROPN
dem-1053	226	8	ś	ś	PROPN
dem-1053	226	9	c	c	PROPN
dem-1053	226	10	i.	i.	PROPN
dem-1053	226	11	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	226	12	wielu	wielu	PROPN
dem-1053	226	13	krajach	krajach	PROPN
dem-1053	226	14	brakuje	brakuje	PROPN
dem-1053	226	15	wypracowanego	wypracowanego	PROPN
dem-1053	226	16	systemu	systemu	PROPN
dem-1053	226	17	oznaczania	oznaczania	PROPN
dem-1053	226	18	początku	początku	PROPN
dem-1053	226	19	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	226	20	końca	końca	PROPN
dem-1053	226	21	kryzysu	kryzysu	PROPN
dem-1053	226	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	227	1	w	w	ADP
dem-1053	227	2	proponowanej	proponowanej	ADJ
dem-1053	227	3	metodzie	metodzie	PROPN
dem-1053	227	4	periodyzacji	periodyzacji	PROPN
dem-1053	227	5	każda	każda	PROPN
dem-1053	227	6	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	227	7	czterech	czterech	NOUN
dem-1053	227	8	faz	faz	PROPN
dem-1053	227	9	aktywności	aktywności	PROPN
dem-1053	227	10	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	VERB
dem-1053	227	11	opisywana	opisywana	PROPN
dem-1053	227	12	jest	jest	PROPN
dem-1053	227	13	przez	przez	PROPN
dem-1053	227	14	koniunkcję	koniunkcję	PROPN
dem-1053	228	1	wartości	wartości	PROPN
dem-1053	228	2	rocznych	rocznych	PROPN
dem-1053	229	1	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	229	2	miesięcznych	miesięcznych	VERB
dem-1053	229	3	indeksów	indeksów	PROPN
dem-1053	229	4	produkcji	produkcji	PROPN
dem-1053	229	5	przemysłowej	przemysłowej	PROPN
dem-1053	229	6	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	230	1	analitycy	analitycy	PROPN
dem-1053	230	2	rynku	rynku	PROPN
dem-1053	230	3	zwracają	zwracają	PROPN
dem-1053	230	4	szczególną	szczególną	PROPN
dem-1053	231	1	uwagę	uwagę	ADV
dem-1053	231	2	na	na	ADP
dem-1053	231	3	zróżnicowanie	zróżnicowanie	PROPN
dem-1053	231	4	zachowania	zachowania	PROPN
dem-1053	231	5	się	się	PROPN
dem-1053	231	6	większości	większości	PROPN
dem-1053	231	7	wskaźników	wskaźników	PROPN
dem-1053	231	8	makroekonomicznych	makroekonomicznych	PROPN
dem-1053	231	9	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	231	10	czasie	czasie	ADJ
dem-1053	231	11	spadków	spadków	NOUN
dem-1053	231	12	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	231	13	długookresowego	długookresowego	VERB
dem-1053	231	14	wzrostu	wzrostu	X
dem-1053	231	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	232	1	w	w	NOUN
dem-1053	232	2	związku	związku	NOUN
dem-1053	232	3	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	232	4	tym	tym	NOUN
dem-1053	232	5	uzasadnione	uzasadnione	NOUN
dem-1053	232	6	jest	jest	NOUN
dem-1053	232	7	założenie	założenie	PROPN
dem-1053	232	8	o	o	PROPN
dem-1053	232	9	zmieniających	zmieniających	NOUN
dem-1053	232	10	się	się	PROPN
dem-1053	232	11	parametrach	parametrach	PROPN
dem-1053	232	12	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-1053	232	13	opisujących	opisujących	PROPN
dem-1053	232	14	kształtowanie	kształtowanie	VERB
dem-1053	232	15	się	się	PROPN
dem-1053	232	16	tych	tych	PROPN
dem-1053	232	17	wielkości	wielkości	NOUN
dem-1053	232	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	233	1	realizację	realizację	PROPN
dem-1053	233	2	takiego	takiego	PROPN
dem-1053	233	3	założenia	założenia	PROPN
dem-1053	233	4	umożliwiają	umożliwiają	PROPN
dem-1053	233	5	zarówno	zarówno	PROPN
dem-1053	233	6	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-1053	233	7	przełącznikowe	przełącznikowe	PROPN
dem-1053	233	8	jak	jak	PROPN
dem-1053	234	1	i	i	PROPN
dem-1053	234	2	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-1053	234	3	logitowe	logitowe	PROPN
dem-1053	234	4	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	235	1	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	235	2	badaniach	badaniach	PROPN
dem-1053	235	3	empirycznych	empirycznych	PROPN
dem-1053	235	4	przeprowadzono	przeprowadzono	PROPN
dem-1053	235	5	porównanie	porównanie	PROPN
dem-1053	235	6	prawdopodobieństwa	prawdopodobieństwa	PROPN
dem-1053	235	7	wystąpienia	wystąpienia	PROPN
dem-1053	235	8	kryzysu	kryzysu	PROPN
dem-1053	235	9	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	235	10	obu	obu	PROPN
dem-1053	235	11	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-1053	235	12	analiza	analiza	PROPN
dem-1053	235	13	wyników	wyników	PROPN
dem-1053	235	14	pokazuje	pokazuje	PROPN
dem-1053	235	15	duże	duże	PROPN
dem-1053	235	16	podobieństwo	podobieństwo	PROPN
dem-1053	235	17	wskazań	wskazań	PROPN
dem-1053	235	18	z	z	PROPN
dem-1053	235	19	zaproponowanej	zaproponowanej	PROPN
dem-1053	236	1	metody	metody	ADJ
dem-1053	236	2	periodyzacji	periodyzacji	NOUN
dem-1053	236	3	i	i	PRON
dem-1053	236	4	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-1053	236	5	hamiltona	hamiltona	PROPN
dem-1053	236	6	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	237	1	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	237	2	hamiltona	hamiltona	PROPN
dem-1053	237	3	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	237	4	prezentowanej	prezentowanej	PROPN
dem-1053	237	5	wersji	wersji	PROPN
dem-1053	237	6	dobrze	dobrze	PROPN
dem-1053	237	7	opisuje	opisuje	PROPN
dem-1053	237	8	prawdopodobieństwo	prawdopodobieństwo	PROPN
dem-1053	237	9	wystąpienia	wystąpienia	PROPN
dem-1053	237	10	dwóch	dwóch	PROPN
dem-1053	237	11	faz	faz	PROPN
dem-1053	237	12	spadkowych	spadkowych	PROPN
dem-1053	237	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	238	1	model	model	PROPN
dem-1053	238	2	logitowy	logitowy	PROPN
dem-1053	238	3	pozwala	pozwala	PROPN
dem-1053	238	4	na	na	PROPN
dem-1053	238	5	uzyskanie	uzyskanie	PROPN
dem-1053	238	6	zadawalających	zadawalających	PROPN
dem-1053	238	7	rezultatów	rezultatów	PROPN
dem-1053	238	8	dla	dla	PROPN
dem-1053	238	9	podziału	podziału	PROPN
dem-1053	238	10	bardziej	bardziej	PROPN
dem-1053	238	11	szczegółowego	szczegółowego	PROPN
dem-1053	238	12	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	239	1	na	na	PART
dem-1053	239	2	gruncie	gruncie	VERB
dem-1053	239	3	gospodarki	gospodarki	PROPN
dem-1053	239	4	polskiej	polskiej	PROPN
dem-1053	239	5	należy	należy	PROPN
dem-1053	239	6	jednak	jednak	PROPN
dem-1053	239	7	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	239	8	dalszym	dalszym	PROPN
dem-1053	239	9	ciągu	ciągu	PROPN
dem-1053	239	10	prowadzić	prowadzić	PROPN
dem-1053	240	1	badania	badania	PROPN
dem-1053	240	2	nad	nad	PROPN
dem-1053	240	3	rozpoznaniem	rozpoznaniem	PROPN
dem-1053	240	4	własności	własności	PROPN
dem-1053	240	5	symptomatycznych	symptomatycznych	PROPN
dem-1053	240	6	różnych	różnych	PROPN
dem-1053	240	7	wskaźników	wskaźników	PROPN
dem-1053	240	8	makroekonomicznych	makroekonomicznych	NOUN
dem-1053	240	9	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	241	1	s	s	PART
dem-1053	241	2	ł	ł	PROPN
dem-1053	241	3	o	o	X
dem-1053	241	4	w	w	NOUN
dem-1053	241	5	a	a	DET
dem-1053	241	6	k	k	X
dem-1053	241	7	l	l	NOUN
dem-1053	241	8	u	u	NOUN
dem-1053	242	1	c	c	NOUN
dem-1053	242	2	z	z	NOUN
dem-1053	242	3	o	o	X
dem-1053	242	4	w	w	PROPN
dem-1053	243	1	e	e	NOUN
dem-1053	243	2	:	:	PUNCT
dem-1053	243	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	243	4	przełącznikowy	przełącznikowy	PROPN
dem-1053	243	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	243	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	243	7	logitowy	logitowy	NOUN
dem-1053	243	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	243	9	periodyzacja	periodyzacja	PROPN
dem-1053	243	10	faz	faz	PROPN
dem-1053	243	11	aktywności	aktywności	PROPN
dem-1053	243	12	gospodarczej	gospodarczej	PROPN
dem-1053	243	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-1053	243	14	prawdopodobieństwo	prawdopodobieństwo	PROPN
dem-1053	243	15	kryzysu	kryzysu	PROPN
dem-1053	243	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	244	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
dem-1053	244	2	1	1	NUM
dem-1053	244	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	245	1	dating	date	VERB
dem-1053	245	2	of	of	ADP
dem-1053	245	3	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-1053	245	4	activity	activity	NOUN
dem-1053	245	5	phases	phase	NOUN
dem-1053	245	6	2	2	NUM
dem-1053	245	7	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	245	8	hamilton	hamilton	PROPN
dem-1053	245	9	’s	’s	PART
dem-1053	245	10	switching	switch	VERB
dem-1053	245	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	245	12	3	3	NUM
dem-1053	245	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	245	14	logit	logit	PROPN
dem-1053	245	15	model	model	NOUN
dem-1053	245	16	4	4	NUM
dem-1053	245	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	245	18	research	research	NOUN
dem-1053	245	19	results	result	VERB
dem-1053	245	20	5	5	NUM
dem-1053	245	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-1053	246	1	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
dem-1053	246	2	references	reference	NOUN