id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
dem-8589	1	1	dem_2015_71to87	dem_2015_71to87	PUNCT
dem-8589	1	2	©	©	PROPN
dem-8589	1	3	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	1	4	nicolaus	nicolaus	PROPN
dem-8589	1	5	copernicus	copernicus	PROPN
dem-8589	1	6	university	university	PROPN
dem-8589	1	7	press	press	NOUN
dem-8589	1	8	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	2	1	all	all	DET
dem-8589	2	2	rights	right	NOUN
dem-8589	2	3	reserved	reserve	VERB
dem-8589	2	4	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	3	1	http://www.dem.umk.pl/dem	http://www.dem.umk.pl/dem	PROPN
dem-8589	4	1	d	d	PUNCT
dem-8589	4	2	y	y	PROPN
dem-8589	4	3	n	n	PROPN
dem-8589	4	4	a	a	PRON
dem-8589	4	5	m	m	VERB
dem-8589	5	1	i	i	NOUN
dem-8589	5	2	c	c	NOUN
dem-8589	5	3	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	5	4	c	c	NOUN
dem-8589	5	5	o	o	X
dem-8589	6	1	n	n	INTJ
dem-8589	6	2	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	6	3	m	m	VERB
dem-8589	7	1	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	7	2	t	t	NOUN
dem-8589	7	3	r	r	NOUN
dem-8589	7	4	i	i	NOUN
dem-8589	7	5	c	c	NOUN
dem-8589	7	6	m	m	VERB
dem-8589	7	7	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	7	8	d	d	X
dem-8589	7	9	e	e	X
dem-8589	7	10	l	l	NOUN
dem-8589	7	11	s	s	X
dem-8589	7	12	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	7	13	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	7	14	http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/dem.2015.004	http://dx.doi.org/10.12775/dem.2015.004	PROPN
dem-8589	7	15	vol	vol	NOUN
dem-8589	7	16	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	8	1	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	8	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	8	3	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	8	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	1	71−87	71−87	NOUN
dem-8589	9	2	submitted	submit	VERB
dem-8589	9	3	october	october	PROPN
dem-8589	9	4	30	30	NUM
dem-8589	9	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	6	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	9	7	issn	issn	X
dem-8589	9	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	9	online	online	ADJ
dem-8589	9	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	11	2450	2450	NUM
dem-8589	9	12	-	-	SYM
dem-8589	9	13	7067	7067	NUM
dem-8589	9	14	accepted	accept	VERB
dem-8589	9	15	december	december	PROPN
dem-8589	9	16	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	9	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	18	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	9	19	issn	issn	X
dem-8589	9	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	21	print	print	NOUN
dem-8589	9	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	23	1234	1234	NUM
dem-8589	9	24	-	-	SYM
dem-8589	9	25	3862	3862	NUM
dem-8589	9	26	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	9	27	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	9	28	*	*	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	29	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	9	30	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	9	31	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	9	32	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	9	33	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	9	34	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	9	35	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	9	36	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	9	37	polish	polish	PROPN
dem-8589	9	38	inflation∗∗	inflation∗∗	VERB
dem-8589	9	39	a	a	DET
dem-8589	9	40	b	b	PROPN
dem-8589	9	41	s	s	ADP
dem-8589	9	42	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	9	43	r	r	NOUN
dem-8589	9	44	a	a	DET
dem-8589	9	45	c	c	NOUN
dem-8589	9	46	t.	t.	NOUN
dem-8589	9	47	the	the	DET
dem-8589	9	48	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	9	49	investigates	investigate	VERB
dem-8589	9	50	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	9	51	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	9	52	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	9	53	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	9	54	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	9	55	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	9	56	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	9	57	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	9	58	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	9	59	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	9	60	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	9	61	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	9	62	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	9	63	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	9	64	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	9	65	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	10	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	10	2	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	10	3	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	10	4	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	10	5	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	10	6	a	a	DET
dem-8589	10	7	restricted	restricted	ADJ
dem-8589	10	8	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	10	9	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	10	10	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	10	11	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	10	12	sets	set	NOUN
dem-8589	10	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	10	14	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	10	15	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	10	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	11	1	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	11	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	11	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	11	4	polish	polish	PROPN
dem-8589	11	5	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	11	6	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	11	7	-	-	PROPN
dem-8589	11	8	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	11	9	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	11	10	m	m	NOUN
dem-8589	11	11	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	11	12	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	11	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	11	14	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	11	15	its	its	PRON
dem-8589	11	16	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	11	17	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	11	18	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	11	19	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	11	20	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	11	21	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	11	22	modelling	modelling	NOUN
dem-8589	11	23	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	11	24	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	11	25	presented	present	VERB
dem-8589	11	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	12	1	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	12	2	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	12	3	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	12	4	shown	show	VERB
dem-8589	12	5	to	to	PART
dem-8589	12	6	improve	improve	VERB
dem-8589	12	7	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	12	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	12	9	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	12	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	12	11	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	12	12	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-8589	12	13	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	12	14	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	12	15	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	12	16	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	12	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	12	18	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	12	19	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	12	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	12	21	relatively	relatively	ADV
dem-8589	12	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	12	23	aggregate	aggregate	VERB
dem-8589	12	24	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	12	25	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	12	26	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	12	27	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	12	28	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	12	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	1	k	k	PROPN
dem-8589	13	2	e	e	PROPN
dem-8589	13	3	y	y	PROPN
dem-8589	13	4	w	w	NOUN
dem-8589	13	5	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	13	6	r	r	NOUN
dem-8589	13	7	d	d	X
dem-8589	13	8	s	s	NOUN
dem-8589	13	9	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	10	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	13	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	12	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	13	13	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	13	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	15	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	13	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	13	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	18	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	13	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	20	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	13	21	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	13	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	13	23	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	13	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	14	1	j	j	PROPN
dem-8589	14	2	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	14	3	l	l	PROPN
dem-8589	14	4	classification	classification	NOUN
dem-8589	14	5	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	14	6	e31	e31	PROPN
dem-8589	14	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	14	8	e37	e37	NOUN
dem-8589	14	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	14	10	c53	c53	NOUN
dem-8589	14	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	14	12	c32	c32	NOUN
dem-8589	14	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	15	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
dem-8589	15	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	15	3	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	15	4	focuses	focus	VERB
dem-8589	15	5	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	15	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	15	7	question	question	NOUN
dem-8589	15	8	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	15	9	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	15	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	15	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	15	12	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	15	13	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	15	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	15	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	15	16	univariate	univariate	ADJ
dem-8589	15	17	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	15	18	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	15	19	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	15	20	improved	improve	VERB
dem-8589	15	21	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	15	22	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	15	23	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	15	24	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	15	25	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-8589	15	26	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	15	27	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	15	28	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	15	29	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	15	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	15	31	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	15	32	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	15	33	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	15	34	generally	generally	ADV
dem-8589	15	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	15	36	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	15	37	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	15	38	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-8589	15	39	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	15	40	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	15	41	accurately	accurately	ADV
dem-8589	15	42	modeled	model	VERB
dem-8589	15	43	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	15	44	the	the	DET
dem-8589	15	45	aggregate	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	15	46	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	15	47	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	15	48	the	the	DET
dem-8589	15	49	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	15	50	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	15	51	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	16	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	16	2	crucial	crucial	ADJ
dem-8589	16	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-8589	16	4	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	16	5	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-8589	16	6	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	16	7	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	16	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	16	9	a	a	DET
dem-8589	16	10	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	16	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	16	12	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	16	13	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	16	14	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	16	15	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	16	16	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	16	17	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	16	18	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	16	19	a	a	DET
dem-8589	16	20	tool	tool	NOUN
dem-8589	16	21	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	16	22	obtaining	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	16	23	the	the	DET
dem-8589	16	24	implied	imply	VERB
dem-8589	16	25	univariate	univariate	ADJ
dem-8589	16	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	16	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	16	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	16	29	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	16	30	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	16	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	17	2	aggregating	aggregate	VERB
dem-8589	17	3	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	17	4	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	17	5	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	17	6	*	*	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	7	correspondence	correspondence	NOUN
dem-8589	17	8	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	17	9	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	10	błażej	błażej	PROPN
dem-8589	17	11	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	17	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	13	cracow	cracow	PROPN
dem-8589	17	14	university	university	PROPN
dem-8589	17	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	17	16	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-8589	17	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	18	chair	chair	NOUN
dem-8589	17	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	17	20	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	17	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	17	22	operations	operation	NOUN
dem-8589	17	23	research	research	NOUN
dem-8589	17	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	25	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	17	26	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	17	27	mail	mail	NOUN
dem-8589	17	28	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	17	29	eomazur@cyfronet.pl	eomazur@cyfronet.pl	PROPN
dem-8589	17	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	18	1	∗∗	∗∗	NOUN
dem-8589	18	2	this	this	DET
dem-8589	18	3	research	research	NOUN
dem-8589	18	4	was	be	AUX
dem-8589	18	5	supported	support	VERB
dem-8589	18	6	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	18	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	18	8	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	18	9	national	national	PROPN
dem-8589	18	10	science	science	PROPN
dem-8589	18	11	center	center	PROPN
dem-8589	18	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	18	13	ncn	ncn	NOUN
dem-8589	18	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	18	15	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	18	16	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	18	17	decision	decision	NOUN
dem-8589	18	18	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	18	19	dec-2013/09	dec-2013/09	PROPN
dem-8589	18	20	/	/	SYM
dem-8589	18	21	b	b	PROPN
dem-8589	18	22	/	/	SYM
dem-8589	18	23	hs4/01945	hs4/01945	SYM
dem-8589	18	24	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	18	25	błażej	błażej	PROPN
dem-8589	19	1	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	19	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	19	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	19	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	19	5	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	19	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	19	7	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	19	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	19	9	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	19	10	72	72	NUM
dem-8589	19	11	sumed	sum	VERB
dem-8589	19	12	to	to	PART
dem-8589	19	13	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	19	14	known	know	VERB
dem-8589	19	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	19	16	fixed	fix	VERB
dem-8589	19	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	20	1	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	20	2	is	be	VERB
dem-8589	20	3	no	no	DET
dem-8589	20	4	direct	direct	ADJ
dem-8589	20	5	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	20	6	necessary	necessary	ADJ
dem-8589	20	7	relationship	relationship	NOUN
dem-8589	20	8	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	20	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	20	10	power	power	NOUN
dem-8589	20	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	20	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	20	13	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	20	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	20	15	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	20	16	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	20	17	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	20	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	20	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	20	20	validity	validity	NOUN
dem-8589	20	21	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	20	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	20	23	implied	imply	VERB
dem-8589	20	24	univariate	univariate	ADJ
dem-8589	20	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	20	26	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	20	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	20	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	20	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	21	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	21	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	21	3	usual	usual	ADJ
dem-8589	21	4	statistical	statistical	ADJ
dem-8589	21	5	procedures	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	21	6	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	21	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	21	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	21	9	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	21	10	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	21	11	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	21	12	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	21	13	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	21	14	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	21	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	21	16	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	21	17	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	21	18	have	have	VERB
dem-8589	21	19	to	to	PART
dem-8589	21	20	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	21	21	adjusted	adjust	VERB
dem-8589	21	22	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	21	23	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	21	24	to	to	PART
dem-8589	21	25	take	take	VERB
dem-8589	21	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	21	27	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	21	28	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	21	29	account	account	NOUN
dem-8589	21	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	22	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	22	2	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
dem-8589	22	3	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	22	4	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	22	5	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	22	6	have	have	AUX
dem-8589	22	7	been	be	AUX
dem-8589	22	8	gaining	gain	VERB
dem-8589	22	9	popularity	popularity	NOUN
dem-8589	22	10	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	22	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	22	12	systematic	systematic	ADJ
dem-8589	22	13	manner	manner	NOUN
dem-8589	22	14	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	22	15	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	22	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	23	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	23	2	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	23	3	events	event	NOUN
dem-8589	23	4	like	like	ADP
dem-8589	23	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	23	6	recent	recent	ADJ
dem-8589	23	7	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	23	8	crisis	crisis	NOUN
dem-8589	23	9	have	have	AUX
dem-8589	23	10	made	make	VERB
dem-8589	23	11	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	23	12	evident	evident	ADJ
dem-8589	23	13	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	23	14	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	23	15	quantification	quantification	NOUN
dem-8589	23	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	23	17	an	an	DET
dem-8589	23	18	inherent	inherent	ADJ
dem-8589	23	19	part	part	NOUN
dem-8589	23	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	23	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	23	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	23	23	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	23	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	24	1	some	some	DET
dem-8589	24	2	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	24	3	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	24	4	seem	seem	VERB
dem-8589	24	5	to	to	PART
dem-8589	24	6	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	24	7	uncomplicated	uncomplicated	ADJ
dem-8589	24	8	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	24	9	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	24	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	24	11	perspective	perspective	NOUN
dem-8589	24	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	24	13	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	24	14	become	become	VERB
dem-8589	24	15	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	24	16	complex	complex	ADJ
dem-8589	24	17	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	24	18	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	24	19	has	have	VERB
dem-8589	24	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	24	21	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	24	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	24	23	perspective	perspective	NOUN
dem-8589	24	24	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	24	25	mind	mind	NOUN
dem-8589	24	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	25	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	25	2	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	25	3	investigates	investigate	VERB
dem-8589	25	4	consequences	consequence	NOUN
dem-8589	25	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	25	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	25	7	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	25	8	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	25	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	25	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	25	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	25	12	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	25	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	25	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	26	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	26	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	26	3	an	an	DET
dem-8589	26	4	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	26	5	perspective	perspective	NOUN
dem-8589	26	6	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	26	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	26	8	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	26	9	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	26	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	26	11	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	26	12	question	question	NOUN
dem-8589	26	13	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	26	14	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	26	15	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
dem-8589	26	16	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	26	17	better	well	ADV
dem-8589	26	18	modeled	model	VERB
dem-8589	26	19	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	26	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	26	21	aggregate	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	26	22	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	26	23	the	the	DET
dem-8589	26	24	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	26	25	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	26	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	26	27	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	26	28	some	some	DET
dem-8589	26	29	specific	specific	ADJ
dem-8589	26	30	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	26	31	classes	class	NOUN
dem-8589	26	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	27	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	27	2	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	27	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	27	4	formal	formal	ADJ
dem-8589	27	5	investigation	investigation	NOUN
dem-8589	27	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	27	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	27	8	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	27	9	mentioned	mention	VERB
dem-8589	27	10	above	above	ADV
dem-8589	27	11	builds	build	VERB
dem-8589	27	12	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	27	13	a	a	DET
dem-8589	27	14	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	27	15	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	27	16	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	27	17	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	27	18	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	27	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	28	1	usage	usage	NOUN
dem-8589	28	2	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	28	3	such	such	ADJ
dem-8589	28	4	relatively	relatively	ADV
dem-8589	28	5	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	28	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	28	7	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	28	8	dictated	dictate	VERB
dem-8589	28	9	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	28	10	complexity	complexity	NOUN
dem-8589	28	11	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	28	12	increases	increase	VERB
dem-8589	28	13	rapidly	rapidly	ADV
dem-8589	28	14	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	28	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	28	16	dimension	dimension	NOUN
dem-8589	28	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	28	18	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-8589	28	19	disaggregation	disaggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	28	20	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	28	21	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	28	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	29	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	29	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	29	3	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	29	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	29	5	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	29	6	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	29	7	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	29	8	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	29	9	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	29	10	interpreted	interpret	VERB
dem-8589	29	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	29	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	29	13	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	29	14	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	29	15	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	29	16	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	29	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	29	18	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	29	19	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	29	20	a	a	DET
dem-8589	29	21	very	very	ADV
dem-8589	29	22	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	29	23	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	29	24	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	29	25	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	29	26	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	29	27	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	29	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	29	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	29	30	numerical	numerical	ADJ
dem-8589	29	31	complexity	complexity	NOUN
dem-8589	29	32	becomes	become	VERB
dem-8589	29	33	quite	quite	ADV
dem-8589	29	34	considerable	considerable	ADJ
dem-8589	29	35	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	29	36	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	29	37	the	the	DET
dem-8589	29	38	relatively	relatively	ADV
dem-8589	29	39	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	29	40	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	29	41	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	29	42	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	29	43	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	29	44	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	29	45	vars	var	NOUN
dem-8589	29	46	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	30	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	30	2	objective	objective	NOUN
dem-8589	30	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	30	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	30	5	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	30	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	30	7	to	to	PART
dem-8589	30	8	investigate	investigate	VERB
dem-8589	30	9	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	30	10	evidence	evidence	NOUN
dem-8589	30	11	supporting	support	VERB
dem-8589	30	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	30	13	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	30	14	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	30	15	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	30	16	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	30	17	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	30	18	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	30	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	30	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	31	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	31	2	application	application	NOUN
dem-8589	31	3	under	under	ADP
dem-8589	31	4	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-8589	31	5	deals	deal	NOUN
dem-8589	31	6	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	31	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	31	8	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	31	9	monthly	monthly	ADJ
dem-8589	31	10	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	31	11	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	31	12	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	31	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	31	14	relative	relative	ADJ
dem-8589	31	15	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	31	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	31	17	previous	previous	ADJ
dem-8589	31	18	month	month	NOUN
dem-8589	31	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	31	20	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	31	21	164	164	NUM
dem-8589	31	22	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	31	23	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	31	24	growth	growth	NOUN
dem-8589	31	25	rates	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	31	26	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	31	27	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	31	28	price	price	NOUN
dem-8589	31	29	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	31	30	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	31	31	indices	index	NOUN
dem-8589	31	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	32	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	32	2	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
dem-8589	32	3	real	real	ADJ
dem-8589	32	4	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	32	5	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	32	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	32	7	experiment	experiment	NOUN
dem-8589	32	8	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	32	9	performed	perform	VERB
dem-8589	32	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	32	11	out	out	ADP
dem-8589	32	12	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	32	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	32	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	32	15	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	32	16	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	32	17	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	32	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	32	19	competing	compete	VERB
dem-8589	32	20	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	32	21	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	32	22	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-8589	32	23	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	32	24	a	a	DET
dem-8589	32	25	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	32	26	window	window	NOUN
dem-8589	32	27	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	32	28	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	32	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	32	30	last	last	ADJ
dem-8589	32	31	44	44	NUM
dem-8589	32	32	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	32	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	33	1	all	all	DET
dem-8589	33	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	33	3	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	33	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	33	5	those	those	PRON
dem-8589	33	6	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-8589	33	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	33	8	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	33	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	33	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	33	11	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	33	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	33	13	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	33	14	show	show	VERB
dem-8589	33	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	33	16	evidence	evidence	NOUN
dem-8589	33	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	33	18	substantial	substantial	ADJ
dem-8589	33	19	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	33	20	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	33	21	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	33	22	a	a	DET
dem-8589	33	23	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	33	24	menu	menu	NOUN
dem-8589	33	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	33	26	competing	compete	VERB
dem-8589	33	27	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	33	28	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	33	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	33	30	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	33	31	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	33	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	34	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	34	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	34	3	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	34	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	34	5	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	34	6	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	34	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	34	8	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	34	9	restricted	restrict	VERB
dem-8589	34	10	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	34	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	34	12	enormous	enormous	ADJ
dem-8589	34	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	34	14	a	a	DET
dem-8589	34	15	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	34	16	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	34	17	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	34	18	was	be	AUX
dem-8589	34	19	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	34	20	to	to	PART
dem-8589	34	21	explore	explore	VERB
dem-8589	34	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	34	23	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	34	24	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	34	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	35	2	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	35	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
dem-8589	35	4	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	35	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	35	6	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	35	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	35	8	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	35	9	vs.	vs.	ADP
dem-8589	35	10	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	35	11	modeling	modeling	NOUN
dem-8589	35	12	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	35	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	35	14	sake	sake	NOUN
dem-8589	35	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	35	16	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	35	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	35	18	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	35	19	not	not	PART
dem-8589	35	20	trivial	trivial	ADJ
dem-8589	35	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	35	22	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
dem-8589	35	23	a	a	DET
dem-8589	35	24	potential	potential	NOUN
dem-8589	35	25	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	35	26	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	35	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	35	28	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	35	29	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	35	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	31	but	but	CCONJ
dem-8589	35	32	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	35	33	requires	require	VERB
dem-8589	35	34	some	some	DET
dem-8589	35	35	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	35	36	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	35	37	promoting	promote	VERB
dem-8589	35	38	parametric	parametric	ADJ
dem-8589	35	39	parsimony	parsimony	NOUN
dem-8589	35	40	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	41	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	35	42	attributing	attribute	VERB
dem-8589	35	43	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	35	44	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	35	45	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	35	46	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-8589	35	47	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	35	48	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	35	49	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	35	50	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	35	51	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	35	52	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	35	53	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	35	54	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	55	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	35	56	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	35	57	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	35	58	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	35	59	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	35	60	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	35	61	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	35	62	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	63	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	35	64	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	65	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	35	66	73	73	NUM
dem-8589	35	67	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	35	68	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	35	69	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	35	70	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	35	71	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	35	72	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	35	73	interpreted	interpret	VERB
dem-8589	35	74	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	35	75	introducing	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	35	76	some	some	DET
dem-8589	35	77	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	35	78	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	35	79	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	35	80	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	35	81	the	the	DET
dem-8589	35	82	overall	overall	ADJ
dem-8589	35	83	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	84	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	35	85	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	35	86	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	35	87	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	36	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	36	2	rest	rest	NOUN
dem-8589	36	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	36	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	36	5	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	36	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	36	7	organized	organize	VERB
dem-8589	36	8	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	36	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	36	10	following	following	ADJ
dem-8589	36	11	way	way	NOUN
dem-8589	36	12	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	36	13	firstly	firstly	ADV
dem-8589	36	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	36	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	36	16	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	36	17	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	36	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	36	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	36	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	36	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	36	22	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	36	23	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	36	24	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	36	25	presented	present	VERB
dem-8589	36	26	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	36	27	a	a	DET
dem-8589	36	28	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	36	29	detailed	detailed	ADJ
dem-8589	36	30	way	way	NOUN
dem-8589	36	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	37	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
dem-8589	37	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	37	3	a	a	DET
dem-8589	37	4	formal	formal	ADJ
dem-8589	37	5	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	37	6	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	37	7	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	37	8	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	37	9	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	37	10	described	describe	VERB
dem-8589	37	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	37	12	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	37	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	37	14	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-8589	37	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	37	16	methodology	methodology	NOUN
dem-8589	37	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	38	1	thirdly	thirdly	ADV
dem-8589	38	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	38	3	methods	method	NOUN
dem-8589	38	4	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	38	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	38	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	38	7	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	38	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	38	9	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	38	10	outlined	outline	VERB
dem-8589	38	11	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	39	1	fourthly	fourthly	ADV
dem-8589	39	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	39	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	39	4	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	39	5	illustration	illustration	NOUN
dem-8589	39	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	39	7	provided	provide	VERB
dem-8589	39	8	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	40	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	40	2	summary	summary	NOUN
dem-8589	40	3	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	40	4	some	some	DET
dem-8589	40	5	remarks	remark	NOUN
dem-8589	40	6	about	about	ADP
dem-8589	40	7	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	40	8	directions	direction	NOUN
dem-8589	40	9	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	40	10	further	further	ADJ
dem-8589	40	11	developments	development	NOUN
dem-8589	40	12	conclude	conclude	VERB
dem-8589	40	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	41	1	1	1	X
dem-8589	41	2	.	.	X
dem-8589	41	3	aggregate	aggregate	VERB
dem-8589	41	4	vs.	vs.	ADP
dem-8589	41	5	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	41	6	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	41	7	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	41	8	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	41	9	a	a	DET
dem-8589	41	10	natural	natural	ADJ
dem-8589	41	11	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	41	12	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	41	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	41	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	41	15	to	to	PART
dem-8589	41	16	use	use	VERB
dem-8589	41	17	a	a	DET
dem-8589	41	18	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	41	19	formulated	formulate	VERB
dem-8589	41	20	directly	directly	ADV
dem-8589	41	21	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	41	22	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	41	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	41	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	41	25	quantity	quantity	NOUN
dem-8589	41	26	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	41	27	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-8589	41	28	itself	itself	PRON
dem-8589	41	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	42	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	42	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	42	3	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	42	4	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	42	5	considers	consider	VERB
dem-8589	42	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	42	7	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	42	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	42	9	e.g.	e.g.	ADJ
dem-8589	42	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	42	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	42	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	42	13	an	an	DET
dem-8589	42	14	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	42	15	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	42	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	42	17	often	often	ADV
dem-8589	42	18	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	42	19	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	42	20	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
dem-8589	42	21	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	42	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	42	23	obtain	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	42	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	42	25	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	42	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	42	27	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	42	28	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	42	29	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	42	30	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	42	31	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	42	32	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	42	33	a	a	DET
dem-8589	42	34	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	42	35	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	42	36	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	42	37	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	42	38	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	42	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	43	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	43	2	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	43	3	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	43	4	seems	seem	VERB
dem-8589	43	5	to	to	PART
dem-8589	43	6	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	43	7	conceptually	conceptually	ADV
dem-8589	43	8	simpler	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	43	9	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	43	10	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	43	11	elegant	elegant	ADJ
dem-8589	43	12	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	44	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	44	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	44	3	due	due	ADP
dem-8589	44	4	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	44	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	44	6	lack	lack	NOUN
dem-8589	44	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	44	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	44	9	dimensionality	dimensionality	NOUN
dem-8589	44	10	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	44	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	44	12	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	44	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	44	14	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	44	15	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	44	16	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	44	17	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	44	18	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	44	19	to	to	PART
dem-8589	44	20	make	make	VERB
dem-8589	44	21	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	44	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	44	23	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	44	24	sophisticated	sophisticated	ADJ
dem-8589	44	25	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	44	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	45	1	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	45	2	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	45	3	have	have	VERB
dem-8589	45	4	a	a	DET
dem-8589	45	5	regularizing	regularizing	NOUN
dem-8589	45	6	impact	impact	NOUN
dem-8589	45	7	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	45	8	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	45	9	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	46	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	46	2	example	example	NOUN
dem-8589	46	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	46	4	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	46	5	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	46	6	expect	expect	VERB
dem-8589	46	7	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	46	8	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	46	9	certain	certain	ADJ
dem-8589	46	10	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	46	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	46	12	assumption	assumption	NOUN
dem-8589	46	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	46	14	say	say	ADJ
dem-8589	46	15	homoscedastic	homoscedastic	ADJ
dem-8589	46	16	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	46	17	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	46	18	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	46	19	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	46	20	likely	likely	ADJ
dem-8589	46	21	to	to	PART
dem-8589	46	22	hold	hold	VERB
dem-8589	46	23	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	46	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	46	25	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	46	26	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	46	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	47	1	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	47	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	47	3	contrary	contrary	NOUN
dem-8589	47	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	47	5	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	47	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	47	7	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	47	8	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	47	9	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	47	10	has	have	VERB
dem-8589	47	11	to	to	PART
dem-8589	47	12	deal	deal	VERB
dem-8589	47	13	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	47	14	increased	increase	VERB
dem-8589	47	15	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NOUN
dem-8589	47	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	48	1	another	another	DET
dem-8589	48	2	issue	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	48	3	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	48	4	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	48	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	48	6	modeling	model	VERB
dem-8589	48	7	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
dem-8589	48	8	across	across	ADP
dem-8589	48	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	48	10	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	48	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	48	12	a	a	DET
dem-8589	48	13	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	48	14	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	48	15	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	48	16	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	48	17	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	48	18	challenging	challenge	VERB
dem-8589	48	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	49	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	49	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	49	3	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	49	4	is	be	VERB
dem-8589	49	5	more	more	ADJ
dem-8589	49	6	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	49	7	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	49	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	49	9	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	49	10	sometimes	sometimes	ADV
dem-8589	49	11	an	an	DET
dem-8589	49	12	expert	expert	ADJ
dem-8589	49	13	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
dem-8589	49	14	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	49	15	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	49	16	utilized	utilize	VERB
dem-8589	49	17	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	49	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	49	19	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	49	20	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	49	21	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	49	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	50	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	50	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	50	3	specific	specific	ADJ
dem-8589	50	4	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	50	5	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	50	6	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	50	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	50	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	50	9	only	only	ADJ
dem-8589	50	10	objective	objective	NOUN
dem-8589	50	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	50	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	50	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	50	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	50	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	50	16	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	50	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	50	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	51	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	51	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	51	3	not	not	PART
dem-8589	51	4	obvious	obvious	ADJ
dem-8589	51	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	51	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	51	7	efforts	effort	NOUN
dem-8589	51	8	made	make	VERB
dem-8589	51	9	to	to	PART
dem-8589	51	10	deal	deal	VERB
dem-8589	51	11	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	51	12	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NOUN
dem-8589	51	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	51	14	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	51	15	modeling	modeling	NOUN
dem-8589	51	16	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	51	17	improve	improve	VERB
dem-8589	51	18	goodness	goodness	NOUN
dem-8589	51	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	51	20	fit	fit	NOUN
dem-8589	51	21	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	51	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	51	23	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	51	24	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	51	25	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	51	26	lead	lead	VERB
dem-8589	51	27	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	51	28	an	an	DET
dem-8589	51	29	improved	improved	ADJ
dem-8589	51	30	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	51	31	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	51	32	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	51	33	the	the	DET
dem-8589	51	34	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	51	35	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	51	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	52	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	52	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	52	3	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	52	4	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	52	5	true	true	ADJ
dem-8589	52	6	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	52	7	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	52	8	has	have	VERB
dem-8589	52	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	52	10	mind	mind	NOUN
dem-8589	52	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	52	12	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	52	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	52	14	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	52	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	53	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	53	2	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	53	3	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	53	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	53	5	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	53	6	to	to	PART
dem-8589	53	7	obtain	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	53	8	a	a	DET
dem-8589	53	9	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	53	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	53	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	53	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	53	13	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	53	14	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	53	15	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	53	16	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	53	17	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	53	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	53	19	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	53	20	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	53	21	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	53	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	53	23	unrelated	unrelated	ADJ
dem-8589	53	24	univariate	univariate	ADJ
dem-8589	53	25	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	53	26	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	53	27	the	the	DET
dem-8589	53	28	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	53	29	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	53	30	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	53	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	54	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	54	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	54	3	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	54	4	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	54	5	makes	make	VERB
dem-8589	54	6	an	an	DET
dem-8589	54	7	attempt	attempt	NOUN
dem-8589	54	8	to	to	PART
dem-8589	54	9	generate	generate	VERB
dem-8589	54	10	a	a	DET
dem-8589	54	11	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	54	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	54	13	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	54	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	54	15	same	same	ADJ
dem-8589	54	16	way	way	NOUN
dem-8589	54	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	54	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	54	19	omitted	omit	VERB
dem-8589	54	20	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	54	21	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	54	22	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	54	23	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	54	24	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	54	25	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	54	26	result	result	VERB
dem-8589	54	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	54	28	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	54	29	misspecification	misspecification	NOUN
dem-8589	54	30	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	54	31	the	the	DET
dem-8589	54	32	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	54	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	54	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	54	35	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	54	36	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	54	37	poor	poor	ADJ
dem-8589	54	38	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	54	39	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	54	40	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	54	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	55	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	55	2	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	56	1	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	56	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	56	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	56	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	56	5	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	56	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	56	7	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	56	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	56	9	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	56	10	74	74	NUM
dem-8589	56	11	tradeoffs	tradeoff	NOUN
dem-8589	56	12	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	56	13	various	various	ADJ
dem-8589	56	14	aspects	aspect	NOUN
dem-8589	56	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	56	16	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NOUN
dem-8589	56	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	56	18	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	56	19	modelling	modelling	NOUN
dem-8589	56	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	56	21	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	56	22	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	56	23	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	56	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	56	25	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	56	26	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	56	27	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	56	28	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	56	29	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	56	30	among	among	ADP
dem-8589	56	31	the	the	DET
dem-8589	56	32	points	point	NOUN
dem-8589	56	33	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	56	34	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-8589	56	35	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	56	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	56	37	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	56	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	57	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	57	2	essential	essential	ADJ
dem-8589	57	3	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	57	4	issue	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	57	5	under	under	ADP
dem-8589	57	6	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-8589	57	7	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	57	8	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	57	9	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	57	10	exist	exist	VERB
dem-8589	57	11	potential	potential	ADJ
dem-8589	57	12	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	57	13	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	57	14	working	work	VERB
dem-8589	57	15	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	57	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	57	17	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	57	18	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	57	19	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	57	20	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	57	21	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	57	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	57	23	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	57	24	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	57	25	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	57	26	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	57	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	58	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	58	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	58	3	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	58	4	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	58	5	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	58	6	interested	interested	ADJ
dem-8589	58	7	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	58	8	verifying	verify	VERB
dem-8589	58	9	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	58	10	what	what	DET
dem-8589	58	11	extent	extent	NOUN
dem-8589	58	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	58	13	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	58	14	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	58	15	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	58	16	deteriorates	deteriorate	VERB
dem-8589	58	17	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	58	18	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	58	19	neglects	neglect	VERB
dem-8589	58	20	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	58	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	58	22	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	58	23	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	58	24	among	among	ADP
dem-8589	58	25	the	the	DET
dem-8589	58	26	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	58	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	58	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	58	29	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	58	30	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	58	31	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	58	32	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	58	33	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	58	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	59	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	59	2	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	59	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	59	4	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	59	5	vs.	vs.	ADP
dem-8589	59	6	aggregate	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	59	7	modeling	modeling	NOUN
dem-8589	59	8	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	59	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	59	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	59	11	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	59	12	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	59	13	focus	focus	NOUN
dem-8589	59	14	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	59	15	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	59	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	59	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	59	18	has	have	AUX
dem-8589	59	19	been	be	AUX
dem-8589	59	20	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	59	21	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	59	22	many	many	ADJ
dem-8589	59	23	authors	author	NOUN
dem-8589	59	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	60	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	60	2	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	60	3	hubrich	hubrich	PROPN
dem-8589	60	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	60	5	2005	2005	NUM
dem-8589	60	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	60	7	considers	consider	VERB
dem-8589	60	8	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-8589	60	9	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	60	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	60	11	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	60	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	60	13	but	but	CCONJ
dem-8589	60	14	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	60	15	not	not	PART
dem-8589	60	16	deal	deal	VERB
dem-8589	60	17	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	60	18	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	60	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	60	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	61	1	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	61	2	a	a	DET
dem-8589	61	3	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	61	4	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	61	5	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	61	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	61	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	61	8	question	question	NOUN
dem-8589	61	9	was	be	AUX
dem-8589	61	10	addressed	address	VERB
dem-8589	61	11	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	61	12	hendry	hendry	PROPN
dem-8589	61	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	61	14	hubrich	hubrich	PROPN
dem-8589	61	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	61	16	2011	2011	NUM
dem-8589	61	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	61	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	1	some	some	DET
dem-8589	62	2	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-8589	62	3	developments	development	NOUN
dem-8589	62	4	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	62	5	related	relate	VERB
dem-8589	62	6	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	62	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	62	8	work	work	NOUN
dem-8589	62	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	62	10	giacomini	giacomini	PROPN
dem-8589	62	11	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	62	12	granger	granger	PROPN
dem-8589	62	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	14	2004	2004	NUM
dem-8589	62	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	16	;	;	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	17	lütkepohl	lütkepohl	NOUN
dem-8589	62	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	19	2009	2009	NUM
dem-8589	62	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	62	21	considers	consider	VERB
dem-8589	62	22	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	62	23	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	62	24	an	an	DET
dem-8589	62	25	interesting	interesting	ADJ
dem-8589	62	26	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	62	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	62	28	disaggregate	disaggregate	PROPN
dem-8589	62	29	dgps	dgps	PROPN
dem-8589	62	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	1	contributions	contribution	NOUN
dem-8589	63	2	involving	involve	VERB
dem-8589	63	3	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	63	4	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	63	5	applications	application	NOUN
dem-8589	63	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	7	especially	especially	ADV
dem-8589	63	8	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	63	9	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	63	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	63	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	12	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	63	13	aron	aron	PROPN
dem-8589	63	14	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	63	15	muellbauer	muellbauer	PROPN
dem-8589	63	16	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	17	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	63	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	20	castle	castle	NOUN
dem-8589	63	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	63	22	hendry	hendry	PROPN
dem-8589	63	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	24	2010	2010	NUM
dem-8589	63	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	26	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	63	27	faust	faust	PROPN
dem-8589	63	28	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	63	29	wright	wright	PROPN
dem-8589	63	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	31	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	63	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	63	33	among	among	ADP
dem-8589	63	34	others	other	NOUN
dem-8589	63	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	64	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	64	2	distinctive	distinctive	ADJ
dem-8589	64	3	features	feature	NOUN
dem-8589	64	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	64	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	64	6	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	64	7	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	64	8	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	64	9	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	64	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	64	11	focus	focus	NOUN
dem-8589	64	12	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	64	13	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	64	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	64	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	64	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	64	17	role	role	NOUN
dem-8589	64	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	64	19	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	64	20	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	64	21	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	64	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	64	23	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	64	24	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	64	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	65	1	2	2	X
dem-8589	65	2	.	.	X
dem-8589	65	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	65	4	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	65	5	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	65	6	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	65	7	to	to	PART
dem-8589	65	8	establish	establish	VERB
dem-8589	65	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	65	10	notation	notation	NOUN
dem-8589	65	11	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	65	12	below	below	ADV
dem-8589	65	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	65	14	some	some	DET
dem-8589	65	15	fairly	fairly	ADV
dem-8589	65	16	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	65	17	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	65	18	concerning	concern	VERB
dem-8589	65	19	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	65	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	65	21	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	65	22	linear	linear	NOUN
dem-8589	65	23	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	65	24	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	65	25	recalled	recall	VERB
dem-8589	65	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	1	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	66	2	a	a	DET
dem-8589	66	3	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	66	4	var(p	var(p	NOUN
dem-8589	66	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	66	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	66	8	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	66	9	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	66	10	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	12	...	...	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	13	11	11	NUM
dem-8589	66	14	tpptt	tpptt	NOUN
dem-8589	66	15	s	s	PART
dem-8589	66	16	t	t	NOUN
dem-8589	66	17	εayayαy	εayayαy	NOUN
dem-8589	66	18	+	+	PROPN
dem-8589	66	19	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	66	20	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	66	21	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	66	22	=	=	X
dem-8589	66	23	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-8589	66	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	26	...	...	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	28	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	66	29	tt	tt	X
dem-8589	66	30	=	=	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	31	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	32	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	66	33	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	34	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	66	35	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	36	ty	ty	PRON
dem-8589	66	37	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	66	38	m	m	ADJ
dem-8589	66	39	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	66	40	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	66	41	row	row	NOUN
dem-8589	66	42	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	66	43	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	44	corresponding	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	66	45	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	66	46	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	66	47	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	66	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	49	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	50	s	s	VERB
dem-8589	66	51	α	α	NOUN
dem-8589	66	52	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	66	53	m	m	NOUN
dem-8589	66	54	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	66	55	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	66	56	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	66	57	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-8589	66	58	intercept	intercept	NOUN
dem-8589	66	59	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	66	60	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	61	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	66	62	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	66	63	ms	ms	PROPN
dem-8589	66	64	unknown	unknown	ADJ
dem-8589	66	65	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	66	66	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	66	67	total	total	NOUN
dem-8589	66	68	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	69	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	66	70	s	s	NOUN
dem-8589	66	71	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	66	72	the	the	DET
dem-8589	66	73	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	66	74	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	66	75	different	different	ADJ
dem-8589	66	76	seasons	season	NOUN
dem-8589	66	77	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	78	1a	1a	NOUN
dem-8589	66	79	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	80	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	81	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	82	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	66	83	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	66	84	mm×	mm×	ADJ
dem-8589	66	85	matrices	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	66	86	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	66	87	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	66	88	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	89	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	66	90	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	66	91	including	include	VERB
dem-8589	66	92	at	at	ADV
dem-8589	66	93	least	least	ADV
dem-8589	66	94	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	66	95	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	66	96	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	66	97	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	66	98	element	element	NOUN
dem-8589	66	99	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	100	{	{	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	101	}	}	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	102	tε	tε	NUM
dem-8589	66	103	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	66	104	a	a	DET
dem-8589	66	105	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	66	106	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	66	107	white	white	ADJ
dem-8589	66	108	noise	noise	NOUN
dem-8589	66	109	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	66	110	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	66	111	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	66	112	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	66	113	.σ	.σ	NOUN
dem-8589	66	114	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-8589	66	115	m	m	VERB
dem-8589	66	116	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	66	117	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	66	118	leads	lead	VERB
dem-8589	66	119	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	66	120	a	a	DET
dem-8589	66	121	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	66	122	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
dem-8589	66	123	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	66	124	ar(p	ar(p	NUM
dem-8589	66	125	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	66	126	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	67	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	3	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	67	4	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	67	5	assumes	assume	VERB
dem-8589	67	6	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	67	7	1a	1a	PROPN
dem-8589	67	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	9	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	11	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	67	12	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	67	13	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	67	14	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	67	15	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	67	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	18	1	1	X
dem-8589	67	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	67	20	describes	describe	VERB
dem-8589	67	21	a	a	DET
dem-8589	67	22	set	set	NOUN
dem-8589	67	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	67	24	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	67	25	unrelated	unrelated	ADJ
dem-8589	67	26	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	67	27	ar(p)-type	ar(p)-type	NOUN
dem-8589	67	28	processes	process	NOUN
dem-8589	67	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	1	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	68	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	68	3	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	68	4	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	68	5	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	68	6	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	68	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	8	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	68	9	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	68	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	68	11	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	68	12	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	68	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	68	14	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	68	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	16	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	68	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	18	71–87	71–87	NOUN
dem-8589	68	19	75	75	NUM
dem-8589	68	20	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-8589	68	21	σ	σ	NOUN
dem-8589	68	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	68	23	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	68	24	positive	positive	ADJ
dem-8589	68	25	definite	definite	ADJ
dem-8589	68	26	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	68	27	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
dem-8589	68	28	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	68	29	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	68	30	1a	1a	NOUN
dem-8589	68	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	32	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	34	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	68	35	to	to	PART
dem-8589	68	36	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	68	37	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	68	38	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	39	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-8589	68	40	containing	contain	VERB
dem-8589	68	41	no	no	DET
dem-8589	68	42	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	68	43	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	68	44	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	45	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	68	46	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	68	47	a	a	DET
dem-8589	68	48	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	68	49	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	68	50	formulation	formulation	NOUN
dem-8589	68	51	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	68	52	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	68	53	ols	ol	NOUN
dem-8589	68	54	estimates	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	68	55	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	68	56	the	the	DET
dem-8589	68	57	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	68	58	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	68	59	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	68	60	mles	mle	NOUN
dem-8589	68	61	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	68	62	thus	thus	ADV
dem-8589	68	63	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	68	64	asymptotically	asymptotically	ADV
dem-8589	68	65	effective	effective	ADJ
dem-8589	68	66	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	69	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	69	4	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	69	5	σ	σ	NOUN
dem-8589	69	6	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	69	7	1a	1a	PROPN
dem-8589	69	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	9	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	11	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	69	12	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	69	13	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	69	14	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	69	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	16	i.e.	i.e.	X
dem-8589	69	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	69	18	set	set	NOUN
dem-8589	69	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	69	20	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
dem-8589	69	21	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	69	22	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	69	23	not	not	PART
dem-8589	69	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	69	25	same	same	ADJ
dem-8589	69	26	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	69	27	all	all	DET
dem-8589	69	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	69	29	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	69	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	32	ols	ol	NOUN
dem-8589	69	33	estimates	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	69	34	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	69	35	no	no	ADV
dem-8589	69	36	longer	long	ADV
dem-8589	69	37	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
dem-8589	69	38	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	69	39	ml	ml	VERB
dem-8589	69	40	estimates	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	69	41	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	42	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	69	43	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	69	44	not	not	PART
dem-8589	69	45	asymptotically	asymptotically	ADV
dem-8589	69	46	efficient	efficient	ADJ
dem-8589	69	47	anymore	anymore	ADV
dem-8589	69	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	69	49	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	1	issues	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	70	2	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	70	3	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	70	4	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	70	5	stationarity	stationarity	ADJ
dem-8589	70	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	7	existence	existence	NOUN
dem-8589	70	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	70	9	unit	unit	NOUN
dem-8589	70	10	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	70	11	explosive	explosive	ADJ
dem-8589	70	12	roots	root	NOUN
dem-8589	70	13	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	70	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	70	15	characteristic	characteristic	ADJ
dem-8589	70	16	polynomial	polynomial	NOUN
dem-8589	70	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	70	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	19	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	70	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	21	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	22	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	70	23	not	not	PART
dem-8589	70	24	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	70	25	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	70	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	70	27	the	the	DET
dem-8589	70	28	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
dem-8589	70	29	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	70	30	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	70	31	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	70	32	to	to	PART
dem-8589	70	33	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	70	34	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	70	35	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	70	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	70	37	sake	sake	NOUN
dem-8589	70	38	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	70	39	simplicity	simplicity	NOUN
dem-8589	70	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	71	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	71	2	initial	initial	ADJ
dem-8589	71	3	conditions	condition	NOUN
dem-8589	71	4	0y	0y	NOUN
dem-8589	71	5	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	71	6	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	71	7	to	to	PART
dem-8589	71	8	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	71	9	fixed	fix	VERB
dem-8589	71	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	71	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	71	12	values	value	NOUN
dem-8589	71	13	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	71	14	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	71	15	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	71	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	71	17	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	71	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	71	19	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	71	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	71	21	further	further	ADJ
dem-8589	71	22	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	71	23	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	71	24	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-8589	71	25	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	71	26	0y	0y	NUM
dem-8589	71	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	72	2	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	72	3	to	to	PART
dem-8589	72	4	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	72	5	asymptotically	asymptotically	ADV
dem-8589	72	6	efficient	efficient	ADJ
dem-8589	72	7	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	72	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	72	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	72	10	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	72	11	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	72	12	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	72	13	special	special	ADJ
dem-8589	72	14	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	72	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	16	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	72	17	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	72	18	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	72	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	72	22	following	follow	VERB
dem-8589	72	23	sur	sur	NOUN
dem-8589	72	24	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	25	type	type	NOUN
dem-8589	72	26	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	72	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	72	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	29	1	1	X
dem-8589	72	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	31	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	72	32	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	72	33	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	35	~~~	~~~	PUNCT
dem-8589	72	36	εβxy	εβxy	X
dem-8589	73	1	+	+	NOUN
dem-8589	73	2	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	73	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	4	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	73	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	6	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	73	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	10	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	73	11	...	...	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	1	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	2	21	21	NUM
dem-8589	74	3	tyyyy	tyyyy	NOUN
dem-8589	74	4	=	=	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	74	6	a	a	DET
dem-8589	74	7	tm	tm	ADJ
dem-8589	74	8	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	74	9	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	74	10	column	column	NOUN
dem-8589	74	11	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	74	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	13	β	β	X
dem-8589	74	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	74	15	a	a	DET
dem-8589	74	16	k	k	ADJ
dem-8589	74	17	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	74	18	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	74	19	column	column	NOUN
dem-8589	74	20	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	74	21	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	74	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	74	23	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	74	24	elements	element	NOUN
dem-8589	74	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	74	26	1a	1a	NOUN
dem-8589	74	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	28	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	30	pa	pa	PROPN
dem-8589	74	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	74	32	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	74	33	α	α	NOUN
dem-8589	74	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	35	…	…	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	38	s	s	VERB
dem-8589	74	39	α	α	NOUN
dem-8589	74	40	x	x	X
dem-8589	74	41	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	42	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	74	43	ktm×	ktm×	PROPN
dem-8589	74	44	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	74	45	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	74	46	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	74	47	rows	row	NOUN
dem-8589	74	48	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	74	49	columns	column	NOUN
dem-8589	74	50	arranged	arrange	VERB
dem-8589	74	51	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	74	52	a	a	DET
dem-8589	74	53	way	way	NOUN
dem-8589	74	54	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	74	55	matches	match	VERB
dem-8589	74	56	the	the	DET
dem-8589	74	57	convention	convention	NOUN
dem-8589	74	58	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	74	59	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	74	60	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	61	~y	~y	NUM
dem-8589	74	62	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	63	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	64	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	74	65	...	...	PUNCT
dem-8589	75	1	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	75	2	21	21	NUM
dem-8589	75	3	tεεεε	tεεεε	NOUN
dem-8589	75	4	=	=	PRON
dem-8589	75	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	75	6	tm	tm	ADJ
dem-8589	75	7	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	75	8	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	75	9	column	column	NOUN
dem-8589	75	10	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	75	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	75	12	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	75	13	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	75	14	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	75	15	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	75	16	zero	zero	NUM
dem-8589	75	17	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	75	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	75	19	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	75	20	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	75	21	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	75	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	75	23	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	75	24	σi	σi	X
dem-8589	75	25	⊗	⊗	PROPN
dem-8589	75	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	1	asymptotically	asymptotically	ADV
dem-8589	76	2	efficient	efficient	ADJ
dem-8589	76	3	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	76	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	76	5	β	β	PROPN
dem-8589	76	6	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	76	7	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	76	8	achieved	achieve	VERB
dem-8589	76	9	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	76	10	means	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	76	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	76	12	a	a	DET
dem-8589	76	13	zellner	zellner	NOUN
dem-8589	76	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	15	type	type	NOUN
dem-8589	76	16	estimator	estimator	NOUN
dem-8589	76	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	76	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	76	19	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	76	20	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	23	[	[	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	24	]	]	X
dem-8589	76	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	28	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	76	29	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	1	~~	~~	NUM
dem-8589	77	2	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	3	~ˆ	~ˆ	NUM
dem-8589	77	4	111	111	NUM
dem-8589	77	5	yσixxσixβς	yσixxσixβς	NOUN
dem-8589	77	6	−−−	−−−	X
dem-8589	77	7	⊗⊗=	⊗⊗=	X
dem-8589	77	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	9	3	3	NUM
dem-8589	77	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	11	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	77	12	σ	σ	NOUN
dem-8589	77	13	replaced	replace	VERB
dem-8589	77	14	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	77	15	its	its	PRON
dem-8589	77	16	consistent	consistent	ADJ
dem-8589	77	17	estimate	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	77	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	19	βs	βs	X
dem-8589	77	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	21	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	77	22	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	77	23	residuals	residual	NOUN
dem-8589	77	24	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	25	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	77	26	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	77	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	77	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	77	29	previous	previous	ADJ
dem-8589	77	30	iteration	iteration	NOUN
dem-8589	77	31	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	77	32	the	the	DET
dem-8589	77	33	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	77	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	35	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	77	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	77	37	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	77	38	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	77	39	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	77	40	iterated	iterate	VERB
dem-8589	77	41	):	):	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	42	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	43	'	'	NUM
dem-8589	77	44	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	77	45	eesβ	eesβ	NOUN
dem-8589	77	46	−=	−=	PROPN
dem-8589	77	47	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	77	48	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	49	4	4	NUM
dem-8589	77	50	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	51	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	77	52	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	77	53	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	77	54	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	77	55	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	77	56	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	77	57	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	58	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	77	59	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	77	60	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	77	61	76	76	NUM
dem-8589	77	62	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	77	63	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	77	64	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	77	65	mt	mt	PROPN
dem-8589	77	66	×	×	PROPN
dem-8589	77	67	-dimensional	-dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	77	68	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	77	69	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	77	70	residuals	residual	NOUN
dem-8589	77	71	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	78	2	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	78	3	to	to	PART
dem-8589	78	4	initialize	initialize	VERB
dem-8589	78	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	78	6	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	78	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	78	9	first	first	ADJ
dem-8589	78	10	estimate	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	78	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	78	12	β	β	X
dem-8589	78	13	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	78	14	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	78	15	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	78	16	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	78	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	19	.~	.~	NOUN
dem-8589	78	20	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	21	~~	~~	NUM
dem-8589	78	22	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	23	~ˆ	~ˆ	NUM
dem-8589	78	24	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	78	25	yxxxβ	yxxxβ	NOUN
dem-8589	78	26	−	−	PROPN
dem-8589	78	27	=	=	NOUN
dem-8589	78	28	ols	ol	NOUN
dem-8589	78	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	78	30	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	78	31	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	78	32	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	78	33	to	to	PART
dem-8589	78	34	stop	stop	VERB
dem-8589	78	35	once	once	ADV
dem-8589	78	36	some	some	DET
dem-8589	78	37	estimate	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	78	38	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	78	39	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	78	40	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	78	41	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	78	42	the	the	DET
dem-8589	78	43	final	final	ADJ
dem-8589	78	44	one	one	NOUN
dem-8589	78	45	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	46	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	78	47	denoted	denote	VERB
dem-8589	78	48	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	78	49	σ̂	σ̂	PROPN
dem-8589	78	50	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	51	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	78	52	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	78	53	β	β	PROPN
dem-8589	78	54	ˆ	ˆ	ADV
dem-8589	78	55	ˆ	ˆ	ADV
dem-8589	78	56	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	78	57	the	the	DET
dem-8589	78	58	final	final	ADJ
dem-8589	78	59	estimate	estimate	NOUN
dem-8589	78	60	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	78	61	β	β	X
dem-8589	78	62	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	63	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	78	64	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	78	65	an	an	DET
dem-8589	78	66	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	78	67	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	78	68	mles	mle	NOUN
dem-8589	78	69	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	78	70	β	β	NOUN
dem-8589	78	71	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	78	72	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	1	3	3	X
dem-8589	79	2	.	.	X
dem-8589	79	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	79	4	methodology	methodology	NOUN
dem-8589	79	5	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	79	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	79	7	purpose	purpose	NOUN
dem-8589	79	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	79	9	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	79	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	11	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	79	12	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	13	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	79	14	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	79	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	16	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	79	17	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	79	18	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	79	19	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	79	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	79	21	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	79	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	79	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	79	24	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	25	1+ty	1+ty	NUM
dem-8589	79	26	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	27	its	its	PRON
dem-8589	79	28	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-8589	79	29	conditional	conditional	ADJ
dem-8589	79	30	expectation	expectation	NOUN
dem-8589	79	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	32	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	79	33	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	79	34	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	79	35	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	79	37	ˆ~ˆ	ˆ~ˆ	VERB
dem-8589	79	38	ˆ	ˆ	ADJ
dem-8589	79	39	'	'	PART
dem-8589	79	40	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	79	41	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	79	42	βxy	βxy	PROPN
dem-8589	79	43	f	f	PROPN
dem-8589	79	44	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	80	1	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	80	2	+	+	CCONJ
dem-8589	80	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	80	4	5	5	NUM
dem-8589	80	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	80	6	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	80	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	1	fx~	fx~	PROPN
dem-8589	81	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	81	3	an	an	DET
dem-8589	81	4	km×	km×	ADJ
dem-8589	81	5	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	81	6	consisting	consist	VERB
dem-8589	81	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	81	8	known	know	VERB
dem-8589	81	9	constants	constant	NOUN
dem-8589	81	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	81	11	lagged	lag	VERB
dem-8589	81	12	values	value	NOUN
dem-8589	81	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	81	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	81	15	dependent	dependent	ADJ
dem-8589	81	16	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	81	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	18	all	all	DET
dem-8589	81	19	these	these	PRON
dem-8589	81	20	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	81	21	readily	readily	ADV
dem-8589	81	22	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	81	23	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	81	24	onestep	onestep	NOUN
dem-8589	81	25	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	26	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	81	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	81	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	30	preserving	preserve	VERB
dem-8589	81	31	the	the	DET
dem-8589	81	32	structure	structure	NOUN
dem-8589	81	33	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	81	34	x	x	X
dem-8589	81	35	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	81	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	82	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	82	3	sake	sake	NOUN
dem-8589	82	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	82	5	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	82	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	82	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	82	9	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	82	10	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	82	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	82	12	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	13	1+ty	1+ty	NUM
dem-8589	82	14	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	82	15	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	82	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	82	17	m	m	ADJ
dem-8589	82	18	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	82	19	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	82	20	gaussian	gaussian	NOUN
dem-8589	82	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	22	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	82	23	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	82	24	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	82	25	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	82	26	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	27	5	5	NUM
dem-8589	82	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	29	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	82	30	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-8589	82	31	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	32	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	82	33	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	82	34	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	82	35	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	82	36	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	37	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	38	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	39	[	[	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	40	]	]	X
dem-8589	82	41	.'~~ˆ	.'~~ˆ	PUNCT
dem-8589	82	42	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	1	~~ˆˆ	~~ˆˆ	ADJ
dem-8589	83	2	11	11	NUM
dem-8589	83	3	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	83	4	ff	ff	NOUN
dem-8589	83	5	tv	tv	NOUN
dem-8589	83	6	xxσixxσy	xxσixxσy	PROPN
dem-8589	83	7	−−	−−	PROPN
dem-8589	83	8	+	+	CCONJ
dem-8589	83	9	⊗+=	⊗+=	PROPN
dem-8589	83	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	11	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	83	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	13	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-8589	83	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	15	a	a	DET
dem-8589	83	16	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	83	17	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	83	18	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	83	19	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	83	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	83	21	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	83	22	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	83	23	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	83	24	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	83	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	26	5	5	NUM
dem-8589	83	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	28	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	83	29	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	30	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	83	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	83	32	respectively	respectively	ADV
dem-8589	83	33	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	83	34	perceived	perceive	VERB
dem-8589	83	35	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	83	36	an	an	DET
dem-8589	83	37	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	83	38	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	83	39	the	the	DET
dem-8589	83	40	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	83	41	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	83	42	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	83	43	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	83	44	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	83	45	diffuse	diffuse	NOUN
dem-8589	83	46	priors	prior	NOUN
dem-8589	83	47	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	84	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	84	2	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	84	3	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	84	4	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	84	5	quite	quite	DET
dem-8589	84	6	a	a	DET
dem-8589	84	7	satisfactory	satisfactory	ADJ
dem-8589	84	8	one	one	NOUN
dem-8589	84	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	84	10	especially	especially	ADV
dem-8589	84	11	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	84	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	84	13	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	84	14	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	84	15	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	84	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	84	17	not	not	PART
dem-8589	84	18	very	very	ADV
dem-8589	84	19	small	small	ADJ
dem-8589	84	20	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	84	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	84	22	prior	prior	ADJ
dem-8589	84	23	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	84	24	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	84	25	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	84	26	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	84	27	not	not	PART
dem-8589	84	28	very	very	ADV
dem-8589	84	29	strong	strong	ADJ
dem-8589	84	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	85	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	85	2	motivation	motivation	NOUN
dem-8589	85	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	85	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	85	5	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	85	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	85	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	85	8	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	85	9	instead	instead	ADV
dem-8589	85	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	85	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	85	12	exact	exact	ADJ
dem-8589	85	13	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	85	14	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	85	15	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	85	16	twofold	twofold	ADJ
dem-8589	85	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	86	1	firstly	firstly	ADV
dem-8589	86	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	86	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	86	4	recursive	recursive	NOUN
dem-8589	86	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	86	6	out	out	ADV
dem-8589	86	7	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	86	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	86	9	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	86	10	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	86	11	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	86	12	experiment	experiment	NOUN
dem-8589	86	13	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	86	14	extensive	extensive	ADJ
dem-8589	86	15	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	86	16	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	86	17	imposes	impose	VERB
dem-8589	86	18	a	a	DET
dem-8589	86	19	considerable	considerable	ADJ
dem-8589	86	20	numerical	numerical	ADJ
dem-8589	86	21	burden	burden	NOUN
dem-8589	86	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	86	23	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	86	24	requires	require	VERB
dem-8589	86	25	some	some	DET
dem-8589	86	26	simplifications	simplification	NOUN
dem-8589	86	27	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	86	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	86	29	feasibility	feasibility	NOUN
dem-8589	86	30	reasons	reason	NOUN
dem-8589	86	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
dem-8589	87	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	3	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	87	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	87	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	87	6	reasons	reason	NOUN
dem-8589	87	7	often	often	ADV
dem-8589	87	8	stated	state	VERB
dem-8589	87	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	87	10	favor	favor	NOUN
dem-8589	87	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	87	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	87	13	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	87	14	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	87	15	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	87	16	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	87	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	87	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	19	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	87	20	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	87	21	continuous	continuous	ADJ
dem-8589	87	22	minnesota	minnesota	NOUN
dem-8589	87	23	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	24	type	type	NOUN
dem-8589	87	25	priors	prior	NOUN
dem-8589	87	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	27	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	87	28	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	87	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	87	30	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	87	31	introduces	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	87	32	some	some	DET
dem-8589	87	33	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	87	34	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	87	35	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	87	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	87	37	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	87	38	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	87	39	beneficial	beneficial	ADJ
dem-8589	87	40	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	87	41	the	the	DET
dem-8589	87	42	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	87	43	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	87	44	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	88	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	88	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	88	3	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	88	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	88	5	counterpart	counterpart	NOUN
dem-8589	88	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	88	7	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	88	8	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	88	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	88	10	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	88	11	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	88	12	described	describe	VERB
dem-8589	88	13	below	below	ADV
dem-8589	88	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	89	2	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	89	3	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	89	4	perceived	perceive	VERB
dem-8589	89	5	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	89	6	analogous	analogous	ADJ
dem-8589	89	7	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	89	8	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	89	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	89	10	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	89	11	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	89	12	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	89	13	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	89	14	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	15	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	89	16	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	89	17	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	89	18	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	89	19	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	89	20	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	89	21	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	89	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	23	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	89	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	25	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	89	26	77	77	NUM
dem-8589	89	27	so	so	ADV
dem-8589	89	28	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	29	called	call	VERB
dem-8589	89	30	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	89	31	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	89	32	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	89	33	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	89	34	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	89	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	36	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	89	37	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	89	38	turn	turn	NOUN
dem-8589	89	39	imposes	impose	VERB
dem-8589	89	40	very	very	ADV
dem-8589	89	41	strong	strong	ADJ
dem-8589	89	42	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	43	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	44	hard	hard	ADJ
dem-8589	89	45	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	46	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	47	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	89	48	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	89	49	means	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	89	50	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	89	51	discrete	discrete	ADJ
dem-8589	89	52	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	89	53	continuous	continuous	ADJ
dem-8589	89	54	prior	prior	ADJ
dem-8589	89	55	distributions	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	89	56	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	90	2	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	90	3	focuses	focus	VERB
dem-8589	90	4	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	90	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	90	6	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	90	7	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	90	8	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	90	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	90	10	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	90	11	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	90	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	13	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-8589	90	14	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	90	15	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	16	hard	hard	ADJ
dem-8589	90	17	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	18	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	90	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	20	without	without	ADP
dem-8589	90	21	imposing	impose	VERB
dem-8589	90	22	any	any	DET
dem-8589	90	23	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	24	soft	soft	ADJ
dem-8589	90	25	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	26	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	90	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	28	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	90	29	usually	usually	ADV
dem-8589	90	30	imply	imply	VERB
dem-8589	90	31	reduction	reduction	NOUN
dem-8589	90	32	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	90	33	the	the	DET
dem-8589	90	34	prior	prior	ADJ
dem-8589	90	35	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-8589	90	36	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	90	37	certain	certain	ADJ
dem-8589	90	38	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	90	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	90	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	91	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	91	2	question	question	NOUN
dem-8589	91	3	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	91	4	imposing	impose	VERB
dem-8589	91	5	additional	additional	ADJ
dem-8589	91	6	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	91	7	soft	soft	ADJ
dem-8589	91	8	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	91	9	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	91	10	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	91	11	improve	improve	VERB
dem-8589	91	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	91	13	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	91	14	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	91	15	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	91	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	91	17	left	leave	VERB
dem-8589	91	18	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	91	19	further	further	ADJ
dem-8589	91	20	research	research	NOUN
dem-8589	91	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	92	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	92	3	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	92	4	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	92	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	92	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	92	7	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	92	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	92	9	interest	interest	NOUN
dem-8589	92	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	11	labeled	label	VERB
dem-8589	92	12	tz	tz	PROPN
dem-8589	92	13	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	92	15	a	a	DET
dem-8589	92	16	linear	linear	ADJ
dem-8589	92	17	combination	combination	NOUN
dem-8589	92	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	92	19	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	92	20	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	92	21	ty	ty	NOUN
dem-8589	92	22	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	92	23	known	know	VERB
dem-8589	92	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	25	fixed	fix	VERB
dem-8589	92	26	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	92	27	tc	tc	INTJ
dem-8589	92	28	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	30	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	31	tttz	tttz	NOUN
dem-8589	92	32	yc=	yc=	NOUN
dem-8589	92	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	34	7	7	NUM
dem-8589	92	35	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	92	36	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	92	37	tc	tc	NOUN
dem-8589	92	38	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	92	39	a	a	DET
dem-8589	92	40	m	m	ADJ
dem-8589	92	41	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	92	42	dimensional	dimensional	ADJ
dem-8589	92	43	row	row	NOUN
dem-8589	92	44	vector	vector	NOUN
dem-8589	92	45	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	92	46	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	92	47	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	93	1	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	93	2	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	93	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	93	4	1+tz	1+tz	PROPN
dem-8589	93	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	93	6	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	93	7	univariate	univariate	ADJ
dem-8589	93	8	gaussian	gaussian	NOUN
dem-8589	93	9	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	93	10	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	93	11	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	93	12	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	93	13	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	93	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	93	15	ˆ~ˆ	ˆ~ˆ	NOUN
dem-8589	93	16	ˆ11	ˆ11	PROPN
dem-8589	93	17	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	93	18	βxc	βxc	PROPN
dem-8589	94	1	f	f	PROPN
dem-8589	94	2	ttz	ttz	PROPN
dem-8589	95	1	+	+	PROPN
dem-8589	95	2	+	+	PROPN
dem-8589	95	3	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	95	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	5	8)	8)	NUM
dem-8589	95	6	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	95	7	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-8589	95	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	95	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	95	10	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	95	11	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	13	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	14	[	[	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	15	]	]	X
dem-8589	95	16	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	17	.'~~ˆ	.'~~ˆ	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	18	'	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	95	19	~~'ˆrâv	~~'ˆrâv	NOUN
dem-8589	96	1	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	96	2	11	11	NUM
dem-8589	96	3	1111	1111	NUM
dem-8589	96	4	+	+	CCONJ
dem-8589	96	5	−−	−−	NOUN
dem-8589	96	6	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	96	7	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	96	8	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	96	9	+	+	NOUN
dem-8589	96	10	⊗+=	⊗+=	NUM
dem-8589	96	11	t	t	NOUN
dem-8589	96	12	ff	ff	NOUN
dem-8589	96	13	ttt	ttt	PROPN
dem-8589	96	14	z	z	PROPN
dem-8589	96	15	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	96	16	cxxσixxccσc	cxxσixxccσc	NOUN
dem-8589	96	17	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	96	18	9	9	X
dem-8589	96	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	96	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	96	21	above	above	ADJ
dem-8589	96	22	formulas	formula	NOUN
dem-8589	96	23	simplify	simplify	VERB
dem-8589	96	24	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	96	25	certain	certain	ADJ
dem-8589	96	26	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	96	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	96	28	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	96	29	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	96	30	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	96	31	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	96	32	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	96	33	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	96	34	to	to	PART
dem-8589	96	35	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	96	36	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	96	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	97	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	97	2	restriction	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	97	3	leads	lead	VERB
dem-8589	97	4	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	97	5	a	a	DET
dem-8589	97	6	considerable	considerable	ADJ
dem-8589	97	7	reduction	reduction	NOUN
dem-8589	97	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	97	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	97	10	numerical	numerical	ADJ
dem-8589	97	11	burden	burden	NOUN
dem-8589	97	12	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	98	1	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	98	2	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	98	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	98	4	its	its	PRON
dem-8589	98	5	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	98	6	consequences	consequence	NOUN
dem-8589	98	7	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	98	8	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	98	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	98	10	great	great	ADJ
dem-8589	98	11	practical	practical	ADJ
dem-8589	98	12	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-8589	98	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	99	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	99	3	obvious	obvious	ADJ
dem-8589	99	4	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	99	5	ex	ex	PRON
dem-8589	99	6	post	post	NOUN
dem-8589	99	7	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	8	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	99	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	99	11	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	99	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	99	13	1+tz	1+tz	PROPN
dem-8589	99	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	99	15	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	99	16	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	99	17	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	99	21	ˆ~'ˆ~'ˆ	ˆ~'ˆ~'ˆ	NOUN
dem-8589	99	22	ˆ11ˆ11111	ˆ11ˆ11111	NOUN
dem-8589	99	23	σς	σς	ADP
dem-8589	99	24	βxycβxcyc	βxycβxcyc	PROPN
dem-8589	100	1	f	f	PROPN
dem-8589	100	2	tt	tt	PROPN
dem-8589	100	3	f	f	PROPN
dem-8589	100	4	ttttt	ttttt	PROPN
dem-8589	100	5	zz	zz	PROPN
dem-8589	100	6	−=−=−	−=−=−	NOUN
dem-8589	101	1	+	+	PROPN
dem-8589	101	2	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	101	3	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	101	4	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	101	5	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	101	6	+	+	ADJ
dem-8589	101	7	+	+	NUM
dem-8589	101	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	101	9	10	10	NUM
dem-8589	101	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	101	11	so	so	SCONJ
dem-8589	101	12	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	101	13	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	101	14	a	a	DET
dem-8589	101	15	linear	linear	ADJ
dem-8589	101	16	combination	combination	NOUN
dem-8589	101	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	101	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	101	19	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	101	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	101	21	1+ty	1+ty	NUM
dem-8589	101	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	102	1	minimization	minimization	NOUN
dem-8589	102	2	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	102	3	ex	ex	PROPN
dem-8589	102	4	ante	ante	NOUN
dem-8589	102	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	102	6	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	102	7	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	102	8	not	not	PART
dem-8589	102	9	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
dem-8589	102	10	require	require	VERB
dem-8589	102	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	102	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	102	13	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	102	14	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	102	15	1+ty	1+ty	NUM
dem-8589	102	16	to	to	PART
dem-8589	102	17	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	102	18	minimized	minimize	VERB
dem-8589	102	19	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	102	20	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	102	21	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	102	22	mean	mean	ADJ
dem-8589	102	23	squared	squared	ADJ
dem-8589	102	24	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	102	25	sense	sense	NOUN
dem-8589	102	26	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	102	27	instance	instance	NOUN
dem-8589	102	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	102	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	103	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	103	2	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	103	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	103	4	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	103	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	103	6	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	103	7	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	103	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	103	9	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	103	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	103	11	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	103	12	just	just	ADV
dem-8589	103	13	cancel	cancel	VERB
dem-8589	103	14	out	out	ADP
dem-8589	103	15	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	103	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	103	17	aggregate	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	103	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	104	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	104	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	104	3	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	104	4	a	a	DET
dem-8589	104	5	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	104	6	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	104	7	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	104	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	104	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	104	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	104	11	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	104	12	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	104	13	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	104	14	application	application	NOUN
dem-8589	104	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	104	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	104	17	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	104	18	directly	directly	ADV
dem-8589	104	19	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	104	20	tz	tz	PROPN
dem-8589	104	21	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	104	22	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	104	23	higher	high	ADJ
dem-8589	104	24	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	104	25	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	104	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	104	27	one	one	NOUN
dem-8589	104	28	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	104	29	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	104	30	implicit	implicit	ADJ
dem-8589	104	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	104	32	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	104	33	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	104	34	the	the	DET
dem-8589	104	35	analogous	analogous	ADJ
dem-8589	104	36	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	104	37	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	104	38	the	the	DET
dem-8589	104	39	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	104	40	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	104	41	ty	ty	INTJ
dem-8589	104	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	105	1	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	106	1	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	106	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	106	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	106	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	106	5	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	106	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	7	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	106	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	9	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	106	10	78	78	NUM
dem-8589	106	11	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	106	12	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	106	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	106	14	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	106	15	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	106	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	17	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	106	18	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	106	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	106	20	course	course	NOUN
dem-8589	106	21	crucial	crucial	ADJ
dem-8589	106	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	106	23	provide	provide	VERB
dem-8589	106	24	adequate	adequate	ADJ
dem-8589	106	25	description	description	NOUN
dem-8589	106	26	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	106	27	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	106	28	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	29	formulas	formula	NOUN
dem-8589	106	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	31	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	106	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	33	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	106	34	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	35	9	9	X
dem-8589	106	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	37	take	take	VERB
dem-8589	106	38	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	106	39	account	account	NOUN
dem-8589	106	40	potential	potential	ADJ
dem-8589	106	41	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	106	42	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	106	43	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	106	44	the	the	DET
dem-8589	106	45	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	106	46	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	106	47	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	48	represented	represent	VERB
dem-8589	106	49	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	106	50	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-8589	106	51	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	106	52	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	53	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	106	54	correlations	correlation	NOUN
dem-8589	106	55	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	106	56	the	the	DET
dem-8589	106	57	joint	joint	ADJ
dem-8589	106	58	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	106	59	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	106	60	the	the	DET
dem-8589	106	61	estimator	estimator	NOUN
dem-8589	106	62	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	106	63	whole	whole	ADJ
dem-8589	106	64	β	β	X
dem-8589	106	65	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	106	66	all	all	DET
dem-8589	106	67	the	the	DET
dem-8589	106	68	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	106	69	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	106	70	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	71	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	106	72	a	a	DET
dem-8589	106	73	joint	joint	ADJ
dem-8589	106	74	posterior	posterior	NOUN
dem-8589	106	75	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	106	76	all	all	DET
dem-8589	106	77	the	the	DET
dem-8589	106	78	structural	structural	ADJ
dem-8589	106	79	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	106	80	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	106	81	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	107	2	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	107	3	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	107	4	no	no	DET
dem-8589	107	5	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	6	limited	limited	ADJ
dem-8589	107	7	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	107	8	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	9	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	107	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	107	11	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	107	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	13	unless	unless	SCONJ
dem-8589	107	14	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	107	15	follows	follow	VERB
dem-8589	107	16	directly	directly	ADV
dem-8589	107	17	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	107	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	107	19	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	107	20	structure	structure	NOUN
dem-8589	107	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	22	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	107	23	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	107	24	a	a	DET
dem-8589	107	25	special	special	ADJ
dem-8589	107	26	case	case	NOUN
dem-8589	107	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	107	28	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	107	29	a	a	DET
dem-8589	107	30	full	full	ADJ
dem-8589	107	31	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	107	32	method	method	NOUN
dem-8589	107	33	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	107	34	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
dem-8589	107	35	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	107	36	a	a	DET
dem-8589	107	37	limited	limited	ADJ
dem-8589	107	38	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	107	39	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	107	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	107	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	108	1	another	another	DET
dem-8589	108	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
dem-8589	108	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	108	4	taking	take	VERB
dem-8589	108	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	108	6	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	108	7	perspective	perspective	NOUN
dem-8589	108	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	108	9	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	108	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
dem-8589	108	11	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	108	12	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	108	13	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	108	14	provides	provide	VERB
dem-8589	108	15	a	a	DET
dem-8589	108	16	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	108	17	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	108	18	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	108	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	108	20	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	108	21	naïve	naïve	ADJ
dem-8589	108	22	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	108	23	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	108	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	108	25	strategy	strategy	NOUN
dem-8589	108	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	108	27	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	108	28	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	108	29	separate	separate	ADJ
dem-8589	108	30	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	108	31	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	108	32	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	108	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	108	34	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	108	35	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	108	36	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-8589	108	37	against	against	ADP
dem-8589	108	38	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	108	39	complicated	complicated	ADJ
dem-8589	108	40	alternatives	alternative	NOUN
dem-8589	108	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	109	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	109	2	crucial	crucial	ADJ
dem-8589	109	3	issue	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	109	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	109	5	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	109	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	109	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	109	8	choice	choice	NOUN
dem-8589	109	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	109	10	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	109	11	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	109	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	109	13	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	109	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	109	15	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	109	16	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	109	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	110	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	110	2	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	110	3	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	110	4	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	110	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	110	6	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	110	7	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	110	8	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	110	9	basic	basic	ADJ
dem-8589	110	10	premises	premise	NOUN
dem-8589	110	11	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	111	1	firstly	firstly	ADV
dem-8589	111	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	111	3	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-8589	111	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	111	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	111	6	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	111	7	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	111	8	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	111	9	emphasized	emphasize	VERB
dem-8589	111	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	112	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	112	2	amounts	amount	VERB
dem-8589	112	3	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	112	4	recognizing	recognize	VERB
dem-8589	112	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	112	6	fact	fact	NOUN
dem-8589	112	7	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	112	8	applying	apply	VERB
dem-8589	112	9	some	some	DET
dem-8589	112	10	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
dem-8589	112	11	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	112	12	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	112	13	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	112	14	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	112	15	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	112	16	procedures	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	112	17	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	112	18	lead	lead	VERB
dem-8589	112	19	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	112	20	huge	huge	ADJ
dem-8589	112	21	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	112	22	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	112	23	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	112	24	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	112	25	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	112	26	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	112	27	a	a	DET
dem-8589	112	28	basic	basic	ADJ
dem-8589	112	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	112	30	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	112	31	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	112	32	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	112	33	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	112	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	113	2	related	related	ADJ
dem-8589	113	3	idea	idea	NOUN
dem-8589	113	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	113	5	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	113	6	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	113	7	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	113	8	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	113	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	10	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	113	11	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	113	12	frühwirth	frühwirth	NOUN
dem-8589	113	13	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	14	schnatter	schnatter	NOUN
dem-8589	113	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	113	16	wagner	wagner	PROPN
dem-8589	113	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	18	2010	2010	NUM
dem-8589	113	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	20	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	113	21	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	113	22	interpreted	interpret	VERB
dem-8589	113	23	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	113	24	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	113	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	113	26	approximating	approximate	VERB
dem-8589	113	27	the	the	DET
dem-8589	113	28	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	113	29	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	113	30	a	a	DET
dem-8589	113	31	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	113	32	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	113	33	pooling	pool	VERB
dem-8589	113	34	experiment	experiment	NOUN
dem-8589	113	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	113	36	dealing	deal	VERB
dem-8589	113	37	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	113	38	the	the	DET
dem-8589	113	39	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	113	40	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	113	41	finding	find	VERB
dem-8589	113	42	the	the	DET
dem-8589	113	43	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-8589	113	44	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	113	45	reducing	reduce	VERB
dem-8589	113	46	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	113	47	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	114	1	introducing	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	114	2	some	some	DET
dem-8589	114	3	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	114	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	114	5	parsimony	parsimony	NOUN
dem-8589	114	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	114	7	particularly	particularly	ADV
dem-8589	114	8	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	114	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	114	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	114	11	case	case	NOUN
dem-8589	114	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	114	13	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	114	14	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	114	15	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	114	16	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	114	17	potentially	potentially	ADV
dem-8589	114	18	heavily	heavily	ADV
dem-8589	114	19	overparametrized	overparametrized	ADJ
dem-8589	114	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	115	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
dem-8589	115	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	115	3	having	have	VERB
dem-8589	115	4	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	115	5	mind	mind	NOUN
dem-8589	115	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	115	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	115	8	pooling	pooling	NOUN
dem-8589	115	9	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	115	10	model	model	VERB
dem-8589	115	11	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	115	12	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	115	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	115	14	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	115	15	seems	seem	VERB
dem-8589	115	16	to	to	PART
dem-8589	115	17	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	115	18	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
dem-8589	115	19	to	to	PART
dem-8589	115	20	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	115	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	115	22	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	115	23	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	115	24	measure	measure	VERB
dem-8589	115	25	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	115	26	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	115	27	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	115	28	respect	respect	NOUN
dem-8589	115	29	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	115	30	tz	tz	PROPN
dem-8589	115	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-8589	116	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	3	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	116	4	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	116	5	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	116	6	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	116	7	estimated	estimate	VERB
dem-8589	116	8	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	116	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	116	10	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	116	11	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	116	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	13	meaning	mean	VERB
dem-8589	116	14	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	116	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	116	16	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	116	17	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	116	18	itself	itself	PRON
dem-8589	116	19	aims	aim	VERB
dem-8589	116	20	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	116	21	optimizing	optimize	VERB
dem-8589	116	22	goodness	goodness	NOUN
dem-8589	116	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	116	24	fit	fit	NOUN
dem-8589	116	25	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	116	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	116	27	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	116	28	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	116	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	116	31	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	116	32	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	116	33	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	34	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	116	35	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	116	36	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	116	37	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	116	38	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	116	39	undertaken	undertake	VERB
dem-8589	116	40	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	116	41	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	116	42	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	116	43	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	116	44	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	116	45	the	the	DET
dem-8589	116	46	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	116	47	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	116	48	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	117	1	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-8589	117	2	issues	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	117	3	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	117	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	117	5	ones	one	NOUN
dem-8589	117	6	presented	present	VERB
dem-8589	117	7	above	above	ADV
dem-8589	117	8	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	117	9	formally	formally	ADV
dem-8589	117	10	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	117	11	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	117	12	lütkepohl	lütkepohl	NOUN
dem-8589	117	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	117	14	2009	2009	NUM
dem-8589	117	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	117	16	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	117	17	a	a	DET
dem-8589	117	18	broader	broad	ADJ
dem-8589	117	19	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	117	20	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	117	21	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	117	22	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	117	23	lütkepohl	lütkepohl	NOUN
dem-8589	117	24	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	117	25	not	not	PART
dem-8589	117	26	attempt	attempt	VERB
dem-8589	117	27	to	to	PART
dem-8589	117	28	introduce	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	117	29	parsimony	parsimony	NOUN
dem-8589	117	30	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	117	31	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	117	32	not	not	PART
dem-8589	117	33	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	117	34	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	117	35	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	117	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	117	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	118	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	118	2	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	118	3	to	to	PART
dem-8589	118	4	describe	describe	VERB
dem-8589	118	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	118	6	above	above	ADJ
dem-8589	118	7	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	118	8	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	118	9	detail	detail	NOUN
dem-8589	118	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	118	11	an	an	DET
dem-8589	118	12	overview	overview	NOUN
dem-8589	118	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	118	14	some	some	DET
dem-8589	118	15	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	118	16	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	118	17	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	118	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	118	19	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	118	20	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	118	21	provided	provide	VERB
dem-8589	118	22	below	below	ADP
dem-8589	118	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	1	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	119	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	119	3	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	119	4	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	119	5	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	119	6	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	119	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	8	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	119	9	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	119	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	119	11	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	119	12	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	119	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	119	14	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	119	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	16	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	119	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	18	71–87	71–87	NOUN
dem-8589	119	19	79	79	NUM
dem-8589	119	20	4	4	NUM
dem-8589	119	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	22	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	119	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	119	24	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	119	25	the	the	DET
dem-8589	119	26	awareness	awareness	NOUN
dem-8589	119	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	119	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	119	29	necessity	necessity	NOUN
dem-8589	119	30	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	119	31	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	119	32	careful	careful	ADJ
dem-8589	119	33	investigation	investigation	NOUN
dem-8589	119	34	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	119	35	the	the	DET
dem-8589	119	36	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	119	37	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	119	38	has	have	AUX
dem-8589	119	39	become	become	VERB
dem-8589	119	40	widespread	widespread	ADJ
dem-8589	119	41	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	119	42	the	the	DET
dem-8589	119	43	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	119	44	literature	literature	NOUN
dem-8589	119	45	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	46	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	119	47	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	119	48	clark	clark	NOUN
dem-8589	119	49	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	119	50	ravazzolo	ravazzolo	NOUN
dem-8589	119	51	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	52	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	119	53	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	119	54	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	120	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	120	2	discussion	discussion	NOUN
dem-8589	120	3	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	120	4	ex	ex	PRON
dem-8589	120	5	ante	ante	NOUN
dem-8589	120	6	predictability	predictability	NOUN
dem-8589	120	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	120	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	120	9	recent	recent	ADJ
dem-8589	120	10	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	120	11	crisis	crisis	NOUN
dem-8589	120	12	has	have	AUX
dem-8589	120	13	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	120	14	contributed	contribute	VERB
dem-8589	120	15	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	120	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	120	17	recognition	recognition	NOUN
dem-8589	120	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	120	19	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-8589	120	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	120	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	120	22	probabilistic	probabilistic	ADJ
dem-8589	120	23	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	120	24	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	120	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	120	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	121	1	tasks	task	NOUN
dem-8589	121	2	such	such	ADJ
dem-8589	121	3	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	121	4	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	121	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	121	6	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-8589	121	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	121	8	extreme	extreme	ADJ
dem-8589	121	9	events	event	NOUN
dem-8589	121	10	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	121	11	no	no	ADV
dem-8589	121	12	longer	long	ADV
dem-8589	121	13	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	121	14	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	121	15	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	121	16	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	121	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	122	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	122	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	122	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	122	4	strand	strand	NOUN
dem-8589	122	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	122	6	research	research	NOUN
dem-8589	122	7	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	122	8	deeply	deeply	ADV
dem-8589	122	9	rooted	root	VERB
dem-8589	122	10	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	122	11	history	history	NOUN
dem-8589	122	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	122	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	122	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
dem-8589	122	15	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	122	16	methods	method	NOUN
dem-8589	122	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	122	18	some	some	PRON
dem-8589	122	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	122	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	122	21	ideas	idea	NOUN
dem-8589	122	22	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	122	23	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	122	24	traced	trace	VERB
dem-8589	122	25	back	back	ADV
dem-8589	122	26	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	122	27	classical	classical	ADJ
dem-8589	122	28	texts	text	NOUN
dem-8589	122	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	123	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	123	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	123	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	123	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	123	5	purpose	purpose	NOUN
dem-8589	123	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	123	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	123	8	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	123	9	just	just	ADV
dem-8589	123	10	a	a	DET
dem-8589	123	11	brief	brief	ADJ
dem-8589	123	12	review	review	NOUN
dem-8589	123	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	123	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	123	15	selected	select	VERB
dem-8589	123	16	techniques	technique	NOUN
dem-8589	123	17	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	123	18	presented	present	VERB
dem-8589	123	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	124	1	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	124	2	ways	way	NOUN
dem-8589	124	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	124	4	reporting	report	VERB
dem-8589	124	5	ex	ex	PRON
dem-8589	124	6	post	post	NOUN
dem-8589	124	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	124	8	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	124	9	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	124	10	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	124	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	124	12	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	124	13	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	124	14	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	124	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	124	16	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	124	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	124	18	mean	mean	ADJ
dem-8589	124	19	absolute	absolute	ADJ
dem-8589	124	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	124	21	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	124	22	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	124	23	root	root	NOUN
dem-8589	124	24	mean	mean	VERB
dem-8589	124	25	squared	square	VERB
dem-8589	124	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	124	27	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	124	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	124	29	rmsfe	rmsfe	PROPN
dem-8589	124	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	124	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	125	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	125	4	concept	concept	NOUN
dem-8589	125	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	125	6	absolute	absolute	ADJ
dem-8589	125	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	125	8	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	125	9	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	125	10	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	125	11	generalized	generalize	VERB
dem-8589	125	12	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	125	13	a	a	DET
dem-8589	125	14	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	125	15	context	context	NOUN
dem-8589	125	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	17	leading	lead	VERB
dem-8589	125	18	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	125	19	so	so	ADV
dem-8589	125	20	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	21	called	call	VERB
dem-8589	125	22	continuous	continuous	ADJ
dem-8589	125	23	ranked	rank	VERB
dem-8589	125	24	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-8589	125	25	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	125	26	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	27	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	125	28	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	125	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	126	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	126	2	generalization	generalization	NOUN
dem-8589	126	3	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	126	4	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	126	5	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	126	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	126	7	fact	fact	NOUN
dem-8589	126	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	126	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	126	10	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	126	11	formula	formula	NOUN
dem-8589	126	12	simplifies	simplifie	NOUN
dem-8589	126	13	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	126	14	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	126	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	126	16	absolute	absolute	ADJ
dem-8589	126	17	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	126	18	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	126	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	126	20	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	126	21	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	126	22	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	126	23	represented	represent	VERB
dem-8589	126	24	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	126	25	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	126	26	mass	mass	PROPN
dem-8589	126	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	127	2	definition	definition	NOUN
dem-8589	127	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	127	4	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	127	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	6	together	together	ADV
dem-8589	127	7	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	127	8	a	a	DET
dem-8589	127	9	closed	closed	ADJ
dem-8589	127	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	11	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	127	12	analytical	analytical	ADJ
dem-8589	127	13	formula	formula	NOUN
dem-8589	127	14	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	127	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	127	16	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	127	17	where	where	SCONJ
dem-8589	127	18	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	127	19	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	127	20	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	127	21	gaussian	gaussian	NOUN
dem-8589	127	22	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	127	23	given	give	VERB
dem-8589	127	24	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	127	25	gneiting	gneiting	NOUN
dem-8589	127	26	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	127	27	raftery	raftery	NOUN
dem-8589	127	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	29	2007	2007	NUM
dem-8589	127	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	31	p.	p.	NOUN
dem-8589	127	32	367	367	NUM
dem-8589	127	33	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	127	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	1	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	128	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	128	3	negatively	negatively	ADV
dem-8589	128	4	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	5	oriented	orient	VERB
dem-8589	128	6	version	version	NOUN
dem-8589	128	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	128	8	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	128	9	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	128	10	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	128	11	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	12	labeled	label	VERB
dem-8589	128	13	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	128	14	*	*	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	15	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	128	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	128	17	authors	author	NOUN
dem-8589	128	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	128	20	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	128	21	takes	take	VERB
dem-8589	128	22	positive	positive	ADJ
dem-8589	128	23	values	value	NOUN
dem-8589	128	24	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	128	25	directly	directly	ADV
dem-8589	128	26	generalizes	generalize	VERB
dem-8589	128	27	absolute	absolute	ADJ
dem-8589	128	28	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	128	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	129	2	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	129	3	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	129	4	distributions	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	129	5	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	129	6	location	location	NOUN
dem-8589	129	7	parameter	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	129	8	corresponding	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	129	9	exactly	exactly	ADV
dem-8589	129	10	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	129	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	129	12	actual	actual	ADJ
dem-8589	129	13	outturn	outturn	NOUN
dem-8589	129	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	15	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	129	16	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	17	intuitively	intuitively	ADV
dem-8589	129	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	19	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	20	a	a	DET
dem-8589	129	21	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	129	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	129	23	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	129	24	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	129	26	will	will	AUX
dem-8589	129	27	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	129	28	higher	high	ADJ
dem-8589	129	29	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	129	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	129	31	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	129	32	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	129	33	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	129	34	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	129	35	dispersed	disperse	VERB
dem-8589	129	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	130	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	130	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	130	3	sake	sake	NOUN
dem-8589	130	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	130	5	ex	ex	ADJ
dem-8589	130	6	post	post	ADJ
dem-8589	130	7	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	130	8	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	130	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	130	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	130	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	130	12	averaged	average	VERB
dem-8589	130	13	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	130	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	130	15	reported	report	VERB
dem-8589	130	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	131	1	another	another	DET
dem-8589	131	2	popular	popular	ADJ
dem-8589	131	3	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-8589	131	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	131	5	so	so	ADV
dem-8589	131	6	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	131	7	called	call	VERB
dem-8589	131	8	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	131	9	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	131	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	131	11	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	131	12	just	just	ADV
dem-8589	131	13	a	a	DET
dem-8589	131	14	logarithm	logarithm	NOUN
dem-8589	131	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	131	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	131	17	value	value	NOUN
dem-8589	131	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	131	19	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-8589	131	20	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	131	21	function	function	NOUN
dem-8589	131	22	corresponding	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	131	23	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	131	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	131	25	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	131	26	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	131	27	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	131	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	131	29	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	131	30	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	131	31	the	the	DET
dem-8589	131	32	actual	actual	ADJ
dem-8589	131	33	outturn	outturn	NOUN
dem-8589	131	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	1	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	132	2	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	3	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	132	4	has	have	VERB
dem-8589	132	5	a	a	DET
dem-8589	132	6	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	132	7	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
dem-8589	132	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	9	because	because	SCONJ
dem-8589	132	10	a	a	DET
dem-8589	132	11	sum	sum	NOUN
dem-8589	132	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	132	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	132	14	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	132	15	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	16	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	132	17	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	18	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	132	19	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	132	20	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	21	scores	score	NOUN
dem-8589	132	22	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	132	23	a	a	DET
dem-8589	132	24	recursive	recursive	ADJ
dem-8589	132	25	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	132	26	experiment	experiment	NOUN
dem-8589	132	27	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	132	28	expanding	expand	VERB
dem-8589	132	29	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	132	30	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	132	31	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	132	32	perceived	perceive	VERB
dem-8589	132	33	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	132	34	related	relate	VERB
dem-8589	132	35	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	132	36	so	so	ADV
dem-8589	132	37	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	38	called	call	VERB
dem-8589	132	39	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	132	40	bayes	bayes	PROPN
dem-8589	132	41	factor	factor	NOUN
dem-8589	132	42	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	43	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	132	44	a	a	DET
dem-8589	132	45	modification	modification	NOUN
dem-8589	132	46	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	132	47	the	the	DET
dem-8589	132	48	bayes	bayes	NOUN
dem-8589	132	49	factor	factor	NOUN
dem-8589	132	50	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	132	51	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	132	52	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	132	53	turn	turn	NOUN
dem-8589	132	54	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	132	55	a	a	DET
dem-8589	132	56	basic	basic	ADJ
dem-8589	132	57	method	method	NOUN
dem-8589	132	58	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	132	59	formal	formal	ADJ
dem-8589	132	60	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	132	61	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	132	62	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	132	63	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	133	1	relative	relative	ADJ
dem-8589	133	2	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	133	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	133	4	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	133	5	measure	measure	NOUN
dem-8589	133	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	133	7	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	133	8	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	133	9	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	133	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	133	11	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	133	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	133	13	bayes	bayes	NOUN
dem-8589	133	14	factor	factor	NOUN
dem-8589	133	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	133	16	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	133	17	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	133	18	to	to	PART
dem-8589	133	19	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	133	20	sensitive	sensitive	ADJ
dem-8589	133	21	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	133	22	tail	tail	NOUN
dem-8589	133	23	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
dem-8589	133	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	134	1	differences	difference	NOUN
dem-8589	134	2	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	134	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	134	4	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	134	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	134	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	134	7	values	value	NOUN
dem-8589	134	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	134	9	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	134	10	pdf	pdf	NOUN
dem-8589	134	11	say	say	VERB
dem-8589	134	12	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	134	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	134	14	three	three	NUM
dem-8589	134	15	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	134	16	four	four	NUM
dem-8589	135	1	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	135	2	deviations	deviation	NOUN
dem-8589	135	3	away	away	ADV
dem-8589	135	4	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	135	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	135	6	mean	mean	NOUN
dem-8589	135	7	do	do	AUX
dem-8589	135	8	not	not	PART
dem-8589	135	9	increase	increase	VERB
dem-8589	135	10	proportionally	proportionally	ADV
dem-8589	135	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	135	12	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	135	13	in	in	SCONJ
dem-8589	135	14	case	case	NOUN
dem-8589	135	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	135	16	mis	mis	PROPN
dem-8589	135	17	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	135	18	predicted	predict	VERB
dem-8589	135	19	outturn	outturn	NOUN
dem-8589	135	20	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	135	21	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	135	22	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	135	23	will	will	AUX
dem-8589	135	24	discriminate	discriminate	VERB
dem-8589	135	25	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	135	26	stronger	strong	ADJ
dem-8589	135	27	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	135	28	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	135	29	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	135	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	136	1	details	detail	NOUN
dem-8589	136	2	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	136	3	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	136	4	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	136	5	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	136	6	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	136	7	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	136	8	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	136	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	136	10	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	136	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	136	12	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	136	13	80	80	NUM
dem-8589	136	14	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	136	15	elaborate	elaborate	ADJ
dem-8589	136	16	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-8589	136	17	justifications	justification	NOUN
dem-8589	136	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	136	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	136	20	above	above	ADJ
dem-8589	136	21	measures	measure	NOUN
dem-8589	136	22	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	136	23	summarized	summarize	VERB
dem-8589	136	24	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	136	25	gneiting	gneite	VERB
dem-8589	136	26	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	136	27	raftery	raftery	NOUN
dem-8589	136	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	136	29	2007	2007	NUM
dem-8589	136	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	136	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	137	1	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	137	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	137	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	137	4	conducted	conduct	VERB
dem-8589	137	5	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	137	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	137	7	intended	intend	VERB
dem-8589	137	8	to	to	PART
dem-8589	137	9	provide	provide	VERB
dem-8589	137	10	an	an	DET
dem-8589	137	11	approximation	approximation	NOUN
dem-8589	137	12	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	137	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	137	14	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	137	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	137	16	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	137	17	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	137	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	137	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	137	20	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	137	21	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	137	22	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	137	23	will	will	AUX
dem-8589	137	24	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	137	25	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	137	26	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	137	27	the	the	DET
dem-8589	137	28	main	main	ADJ
dem-8589	137	29	criterion	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	137	30	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	137	31	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	137	32	the	the	DET
dem-8589	137	33	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	137	34	choice	choice	NOUN
dem-8589	137	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	138	1	5	5	X
dem-8589	138	2	.	.	X
dem-8589	138	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	138	4	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	138	5	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	138	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	138	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	138	8	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	138	9	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	138	10	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	138	11	has	have	VERB
dem-8589	138	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	138	13	advantage	advantage	NOUN
dem-8589	138	14	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	138	15	nesting	nest	VERB
dem-8589	138	16	a	a	DET
dem-8589	138	17	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	138	18	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	138	19	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
dem-8589	138	20	’s	’s	PART
dem-8589	138	21	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	138	22	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	138	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	138	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	138	25	following	follow	VERB
dem-8589	138	26	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	138	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	139	1	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	139	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	139	3	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	139	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	139	5	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	139	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	139	7	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	140	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	140	2	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	140	3	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
dem-8589	140	4	’s	’s	PART
dem-8589	140	5	solution	solution	NOUN
dem-8589	140	6	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	140	7	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	140	8	to	to	PART
dem-8589	140	9	use	use	VERB
dem-8589	140	10	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	140	11	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	140	12	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	140	13	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	140	14	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	140	15	indices	index	NOUN
dem-8589	140	16	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	140	17	apply	apply	VERB
dem-8589	140	18	say	say	INTJ
dem-8589	140	19	ar(p	ar(p	NOUN
dem-8589	140	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	140	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	140	22	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	140	23	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	140	24	each	each	PRON
dem-8589	140	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	140	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	140	27	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	140	28	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	140	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	141	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	141	2	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	141	3	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	141	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	141	5	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	141	6	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	141	7	then	then	ADV
dem-8589	141	8	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	141	9	making	make	VERB
dem-8589	141	10	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	141	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	141	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	141	13	fact	fact	NOUN
dem-8589	141	14	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	141	15	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	141	16	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	141	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	141	18	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	141	19	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	141	20	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	141	21	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	141	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	141	23	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	141	24	index	index	NOUN
dem-8589	141	25	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	141	26	usually	usually	ADV
dem-8589	141	27	known	know	VERB
dem-8589	141	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	142	1	such	such	DET
dem-8589	142	2	an	an	DET
dem-8589	142	3	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	142	4	accounts	account	VERB
dem-8589	142	5	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	142	6	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NOUN
dem-8589	142	7	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	142	8	some	some	DET
dem-8589	142	9	extent	extent	NOUN
dem-8589	142	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	142	11	but	but	CCONJ
dem-8589	142	12	neglects	neglect	VERB
dem-8589	142	13	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	142	14	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	142	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	143	1	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	143	2	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	143	3	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	143	4	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	143	5	chosen	choose	VERB
dem-8589	143	6	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	143	7	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	143	8	say	say	INTJ
dem-8589	143	9	goodness	goodness	NOUN
dem-8589	143	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	143	11	fit	fit	NOUN
dem-8589	143	12	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	143	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	143	14	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	143	15	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	143	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	144	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	144	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	144	3	an	an	DET
dem-8589	144	4	advantage	advantage	NOUN
dem-8589	144	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	144	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	144	7	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	144	8	provided	provide	VERB
dem-8589	144	9	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	144	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	144	11	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	144	12	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	144	13	highlights	highlight	VERB
dem-8589	144	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	144	15	fact	fact	NOUN
dem-8589	144	16	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	144	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	144	18	collection	collection	NOUN
dem-8589	144	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	144	20	such	such	ADJ
dem-8589	144	21	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	144	22	processes	process	NOUN
dem-8589	144	23	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	144	24	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	144	25	perceived	perceive	VERB
dem-8589	144	26	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	144	27	a	a	DET
dem-8589	144	28	single	single	ADJ
dem-8589	144	29	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	144	30	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	144	31	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	144	32	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	144	33	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	144	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	145	1	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	145	2	such	such	DET
dem-8589	145	3	a	a	DET
dem-8589	145	4	perspective	perspective	NOUN
dem-8589	145	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	145	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	145	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	145	8	subaggregates	subaggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	145	9	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	145	10	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	145	11	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-8589	145	12	jointly	jointly	ADV
dem-8589	145	13	rather	rather	ADV
dem-8589	145	14	than	than	ADP
dem-8589	145	15	separately	separately	ADV
dem-8589	145	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	146	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-8589	146	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	146	3	neither	neither	PRON
dem-8589	146	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	146	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	146	6	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	146	7	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	146	8	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	146	9	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	146	10	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	146	11	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
dem-8589	146	12	without	without	ADP
dem-8589	146	13	taking	take	VERB
dem-8589	146	14	actual	actual	ADJ
dem-8589	146	15	combination	combination	NOUN
dem-8589	146	16	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	146	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	146	18	remaining	remain	VERB
dem-8589	146	19	ones	one	NOUN
dem-8589	146	20	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	146	21	account	account	NOUN
dem-8589	146	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	147	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	147	2	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	147	3	course	course	NOUN
dem-8589	147	4	results	result	VERB
dem-8589	147	5	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	147	6	a	a	DET
dem-8589	147	7	big	big	ADJ
dem-8589	147	8	increase	increase	NOUN
dem-8589	147	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	147	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	147	11	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	147	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	147	13	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	147	14	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	147	15	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	147	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	148	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	148	2	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	148	3	makes	make	VERB
dem-8589	148	4	some	some	DET
dem-8589	148	5	generalizations	generalization	NOUN
dem-8589	148	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	148	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	148	8	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	148	9	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	148	10	practitioner	practitioner	NOUN
dem-8589	148	11	’s	’s	PART
dem-8589	148	12	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	148	13	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	148	14	readily	readily	ADV
dem-8589	148	15	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	148	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	149	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	149	2	instance	instance	NOUN
dem-8589	149	3	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	149	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	149	5	easy	easy	ADJ
dem-8589	149	6	to	to	PART
dem-8589	149	7	impose	impose	VERB
dem-8589	149	8	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	149	9	linkages	linkage	NOUN
dem-8589	149	10	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	149	11	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	149	12	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	149	13	allowing	allow	VERB
dem-8589	149	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	149	15	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	149	16	variancecovariance	variancecovariance	NOUN
dem-8589	149	17	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	149	18	to	to	PART
dem-8589	149	19	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	149	20	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	149	21	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	149	22	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	149	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	150	1	another	another	DET
dem-8589	150	2	option	option	NOUN
dem-8589	150	3	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	150	4	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	150	5	to	to	PART
dem-8589	150	6	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	150	7	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	150	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	150	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	150	10	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	150	11	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	150	12	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	150	13	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	150	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	150	15	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	150	16	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	150	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	151	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	151	2	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	151	3	allows	allow	VERB
dem-8589	151	4	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	151	5	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	151	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	151	7	a	a	DET
dem-8589	151	8	broad	broad	ADJ
dem-8589	151	9	menu	menu	NOUN
dem-8589	151	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	151	11	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	151	12	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	151	13	differ	differ	VERB
dem-8589	151	14	substantially	substantially	ADV
dem-8589	151	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	1	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	152	2	end	end	NOUN
dem-8589	152	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	152	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	152	5	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	152	6	spectrum	spectrum	NOUN
dem-8589	152	7	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	152	8	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	152	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	152	10	simplistic	simplistic	ADJ
dem-8589	152	11	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	152	12	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	152	13	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	152	14	processes	process	NOUN
dem-8589	152	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	16	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	152	17	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	152	18	likely	likely	ADJ
dem-8589	152	19	to	to	PART
dem-8589	152	20	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	152	21	too	too	ADV
dem-8589	152	22	restrictive	restrictive	ADJ
dem-8589	152	23	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	25	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
dem-8589	152	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	152	27	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	152	28	end	end	NOUN
dem-8589	152	29	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	152	30	correspond	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	152	31	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	152	32	an	an	DET
dem-8589	152	33	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	152	34	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	152	35	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	152	36	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	37	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	152	38	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	152	39	very	very	ADV
dem-8589	152	40	far	far	ADV
dem-8589	152	41	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	152	42	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	152	43	parsimonious	parsimonious	ADJ
dem-8589	152	44	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	152	45	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	153	2	solution	solution	NOUN
dem-8589	153	3	proposed	propose	VERB
dem-8589	153	4	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	153	5	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	153	6	to	to	PART
dem-8589	153	7	explore	explore	VERB
dem-8589	153	8	options	option	NOUN
dem-8589	153	9	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	153	10	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	153	11	somewhere	somewhere	ADV
dem-8589	153	12	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	153	13	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	153	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	15	meaning	mean	VERB
dem-8589	153	16	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	153	17	these	these	PRON
dem-8589	153	18	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	153	19	less	less	ADV
dem-8589	153	20	restrictive	restrictive	ADJ
dem-8589	153	21	than	than	ADP
dem-8589	153	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	153	23	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	153	24	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	153	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	26	but	but	CCONJ
dem-8589	153	27	introduce	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	153	28	“	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	29	hard	hard	ADJ
dem-8589	153	30	”	"	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	31	shrinkage	shrinkage	NOUN
dem-8589	153	32	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	33	parsimony	parsimony	NOUN
dem-8589	153	34	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	153	35	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	153	36	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	153	37	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	38	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	153	39	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	153	40	full	full	ADJ
dem-8589	153	41	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	153	42	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	153	43	vars	var	NOUN
dem-8589	153	44	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	154	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	154	2	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	154	3	correspond	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	154	4	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	154	5	including	include	VERB
dem-8589	154	6	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	154	7	some	some	DET
dem-8589	154	8	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	154	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	154	10	some	some	DET
dem-8589	154	11	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	154	12	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	154	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	154	14	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	154	15	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	154	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	154	17	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	154	18	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	154	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	1	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	155	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	155	3	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	155	4	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	155	5	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	155	6	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	155	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	8	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	155	9	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	155	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	155	11	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	155	12	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	155	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	155	14	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	155	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	16	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	155	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	18	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	155	19	81	81	NUM
dem-8589	155	20	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	155	21	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	155	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	23	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	155	24	sets	set	NOUN
dem-8589	155	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	155	26	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	155	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	28	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	155	29	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	155	30	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	155	31	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	155	32	the	the	DET
dem-8589	155	33	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	155	34	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-8589	155	35	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	155	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	155	37	aggregate	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	155	38	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	39	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	155	40	measured	measure	VERB
dem-8589	155	41	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	155	42	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	155	43	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	155	44	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	155	45	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	156	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	156	2	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	156	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	156	4	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	156	5	combinations	combination	NOUN
dem-8589	156	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	156	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	156	8	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	156	9	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	156	10	way	way	ADV
dem-8589	156	11	too	too	ADV
dem-8589	156	12	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	156	13	to	to	PART
dem-8589	156	14	allow	allow	VERB
dem-8589	156	15	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	156	16	any	any	DET
dem-8589	156	17	systematic	systematic	ADJ
dem-8589	156	18	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	156	19	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	156	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	157	1	instead	instead	ADV
dem-8589	157	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	157	3	a	a	DET
dem-8589	157	4	random	random	ADJ
dem-8589	157	5	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	157	6	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	157	7	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	157	8	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	157	9	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	157	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	158	1	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	158	2	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	158	3	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	158	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	158	5	not	not	PART
dem-8589	158	6	capable	capable	ADJ
dem-8589	158	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	158	8	achieving	achieve	VERB
dem-8589	158	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	158	10	global	global	ADJ
dem-8589	158	11	optimum	optimum	NOUN
dem-8589	158	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	158	13	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	158	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	158	15	interesting	interesting	ADJ
dem-8589	158	16	to	to	PART
dem-8589	158	17	check	check	VERB
dem-8589	158	18	whether	whether	SCONJ
dem-8589	158	19	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	158	20	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	158	21	find	find	VERB
dem-8589	158	22	a	a	DET
dem-8589	158	23	combination	combination	NOUN
dem-8589	158	24	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	158	25	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	158	26	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	158	27	results	result	VERB
dem-8589	158	28	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	158	29	a	a	DET
dem-8589	158	30	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	158	31	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	158	32	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	158	33	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	158	34	clearly	clearly	ADV
dem-8589	158	35	dominating	dominate	VERB
dem-8589	158	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	158	37	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	158	38	special	special	ADJ
dem-8589	158	39	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	158	40	already	already	ADV
dem-8589	158	41	mentioned	mention	VERB
dem-8589	158	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	159	1	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	159	2	such	such	DET
dem-8589	159	3	a	a	DET
dem-8589	159	4	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	159	5	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	159	6	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	159	7	found	find	VERB
dem-8589	159	8	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	159	9	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
dem-8589	159	10	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	159	11	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	159	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	159	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	159	14	strategy	strategy	NOUN
dem-8589	159	15	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	159	16	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	159	17	empirically	empirically	ADV
dem-8589	159	18	attractive	attractive	ADJ
dem-8589	159	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	159	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	159	21	issue	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	159	22	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	159	23	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	159	24	investigated	investigate	VERB
dem-8589	159	25	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	159	26	more	more	ADJ
dem-8589	159	27	detail	detail	NOUN
dem-8589	159	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	160	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	160	2	objective	objective	NOUN
dem-8589	160	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	160	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	160	5	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	160	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	160	7	to	to	PART
dem-8589	160	8	present	present	VERB
dem-8589	160	9	a	a	DET
dem-8589	160	10	strategy	strategy	NOUN
dem-8589	160	11	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	160	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	160	13	feasible	feasible	ADJ
dem-8589	160	14	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	160	15	more	more	ADJ
dem-8589	160	16	than	than	ADP
dem-8589	160	17	ten	ten	NUM
dem-8589	160	18	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	160	19	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	160	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	161	2	each	each	DET
dem-8589	161	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	161	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	5	a	a	DET
dem-8589	161	6	set	set	NOUN
dem-8589	161	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	161	8	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	161	9	restriction	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	161	10	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	161	11	actually	actually	ADV
dem-8589	161	12	corresponds	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	161	13	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	161	14	some	some	DET
dem-8589	161	15	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	161	16	form	form	NOUN
dem-8589	161	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	161	18	x	x	X
dem-8589	161	19	~	~	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	21	a	a	DET
dem-8589	161	22	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	161	23	experiment	experiment	NOUN
dem-8589	161	24	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	161	25	conducted	conduct	VERB
dem-8589	161	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	27	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	161	28	recursive	recursive	ADJ
dem-8589	161	29	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	161	30	reestimation	reestimation	NOUN
dem-8589	161	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	161	32	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	161	33	step	step	NOUN
dem-8589	161	34	ahead	ahead	ADV
dem-8589	161	35	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	161	36	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	37	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	161	38	the	the	DET
dem-8589	161	39	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	161	40	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	161	41	repetitions	repetition	NOUN
dem-8589	161	42	denoted	denote	VERB
dem-8589	161	43	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	161	44	n	n	PROPN
dem-8589	161	45	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	46	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	161	47	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	161	48	a	a	DET
dem-8589	161	49	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	161	50	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	161	51	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	161	52	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	53	step	step	NOUN
dem-8589	161	54	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	55	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	161	56	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	161	57	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	161	58	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	161	59	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	161	60	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	161	61	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	161	62	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	1	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	162	2	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	162	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	162	4	repeated	repeat	VERB
dem-8589	162	5	out	out	NOUN
dem-8589	162	6	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	162	8	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	9	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	162	10	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	162	11	exercise	exercise	NOUN
dem-8589	162	12	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	162	13	summarized	summarize	VERB
dem-8589	162	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	15	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	162	16	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	162	17	a	a	DET
dem-8589	162	18	sum	sum	NOUN
dem-8589	162	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	162	20	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	162	21	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	22	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	162	23	values	value	NOUN
dem-8589	162	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	162	25	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	162	26	the	the	DET
dem-8589	162	27	best	good	ADJ
dem-8589	162	28	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	162	29	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	162	30	retained	retain	VERB
dem-8589	162	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	163	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	163	2	modification	modification	NOUN
dem-8589	163	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	163	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	163	5	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	163	6	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	163	7	aims	aim	VERB
dem-8589	163	8	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	163	9	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	163	10	pooling	pool	VERB
dem-8589	163	11	instead	instead	ADV
dem-8589	163	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	163	13	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	163	14	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	163	15	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	163	16	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	163	17	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	163	18	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	163	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	163	20	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	163	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	163	22	possibility	possibility	NOUN
dem-8589	163	23	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	163	24	not	not	PART
dem-8589	163	25	explored	explore	VERB
dem-8589	163	26	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	163	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	164	1	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	164	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	164	3	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	164	4	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	164	5	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	164	6	requires	require	VERB
dem-8589	164	7	thousands	thousand	NOUN
dem-8589	164	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	164	9	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	164	10	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	164	11	to	to	PART
dem-8589	164	12	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	164	13	checked	check	VERB
dem-8589	164	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	164	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	164	16	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	164	17	burden	burden	NOUN
dem-8589	164	18	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	164	19	substantial	substantial	ADJ
dem-8589	164	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	165	2	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	165	3	limitations	limitation	NOUN
dem-8589	165	4	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	165	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	165	6	reason	reason	NOUN
dem-8589	165	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	165	8	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	165	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	165	10	attention	attention	NOUN
dem-8589	165	11	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	165	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	165	13	restricted	restrict	VERB
dem-8589	165	14	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	165	15	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	165	16	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	165	17	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	165	18	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	165	19	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	165	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	21	instead	instead	ADV
dem-8589	165	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	165	23	say	say	VERB
dem-8589	165	24	varma	varma	PROPN
dem-8589	165	25	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	165	26	members	member	NOUN
dem-8589	165	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	29	for	for	SCONJ
dem-8589	165	30	analogous	analogous	ADJ
dem-8589	165	31	applications	application	NOUN
dem-8589	165	32	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	165	33	george	george	PROPN
dem-8589	165	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	35	sun	sun	NOUN
dem-8589	165	36	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	165	37	ni	ni	PROPN
dem-8589	165	38	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	39	2008	2008	NUM
dem-8589	165	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	165	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	166	1	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	166	2	more	more	ADJ
dem-8589	166	3	thing	thing	NOUN
dem-8589	166	4	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	166	5	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	166	6	kept	keep	VERB
dem-8589	166	7	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	166	8	mind	mind	NOUN
dem-8589	166	9	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	166	10	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	166	11	n	n	PRON
dem-8589	166	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	166	13	not	not	PART
dem-8589	166	14	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	166	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	166	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	166	17	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	166	18	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	166	19	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	166	20	result	result	VERB
dem-8589	166	21	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	166	22	overfitting	overfitte	VERB
dem-8589	166	23	issues	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	166	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	167	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	167	2	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	167	3	show	show	VERB
dem-8589	167	4	a	a	DET
dem-8589	167	5	spurious	spurious	ADJ
dem-8589	167	6	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	167	7	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	167	8	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	167	9	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	167	10	not	not	PART
dem-8589	167	11	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
dem-8589	167	12	observed	observe	VERB
dem-8589	167	13	out	out	ADP
dem-8589	167	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	167	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	167	16	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	167	17	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	167	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	167	19	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	167	20	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	167	21	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	167	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	167	23	statistical	statistical	ADJ
dem-8589	167	24	noise	noise	NOUN
dem-8589	167	25	to	to	PART
dem-8589	167	26	obtain	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	167	27	perfect	perfect	ADJ
dem-8589	167	28	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	167	29	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	167	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	167	31	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	167	32	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	167	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	168	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	168	2	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	168	3	to	to	PART
dem-8589	168	4	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	168	5	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	168	6	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	168	7	consequences	consequence	NOUN
dem-8589	168	8	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	168	9	depth	depth	NOUN
dem-8589	168	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	168	11	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	168	12	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	168	13	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	168	14	necessary	necessary	ADJ
dem-8589	168	15	to	to	PART
dem-8589	168	16	add	add	VERB
dem-8589	168	17	another	another	DET
dem-8589	168	18	data	data	NOUN
dem-8589	168	19	window	window	NOUN
dem-8589	168	20	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	168	21	which	which	DET
dem-8589	168	22	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	168	23	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	168	24	not	not	PART
dem-8589	168	25	maximized	maximize	VERB
dem-8589	168	26	but	but	CCONJ
dem-8589	168	27	just	just	ADV
dem-8589	168	28	analyzed	analyze	VERB
dem-8589	168	29	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	169	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	169	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	169	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	169	4	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	169	5	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-8589	169	6	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	169	7	series	series	PROPN
dem-8589	169	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	169	9	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	169	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	169	11	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	169	12	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	169	13	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	169	14	not	not	PART
dem-8589	169	15	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	169	16	enough	enough	ADV
dem-8589	169	17	to	to	PART
dem-8589	169	18	do	do	VERB
dem-8589	169	19	so	so	ADV
dem-8589	169	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	170	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	170	2	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	170	3	to	to	PART
dem-8589	170	4	avoid	avoid	VERB
dem-8589	170	5	overfitting	overfitte	VERB
dem-8589	170	6	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	170	7	one	one	PRON
dem-8589	170	8	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	170	9	want	want	VERB
dem-8589	170	10	to	to	PART
dem-8589	170	11	promote	promote	VERB
dem-8589	170	12	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	170	13	parsimony	parsimony	NOUN
dem-8589	170	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	170	15	imposing	impose	VERB
dem-8589	170	16	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
dem-8589	170	17	a	a	DET
dem-8589	170	18	limit	limit	NOUN
dem-8589	170	19	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	170	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	170	21	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	170	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	170	23	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	170	24	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	170	25	zero	zero	ADJ
dem-8589	170	26	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
dem-8589	170	27	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	170	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	170	29	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	170	30	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	170	31	some	some	DET
dem-8589	170	32	penalty	penalty	NOUN
dem-8589	170	33	function	function	NOUN
dem-8589	170	34	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	170	35	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	171	1	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	172	1	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	172	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	172	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	172	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	172	5	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	172	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	172	7	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	172	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	172	9	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	172	10	82	82	NUM
dem-8589	172	11	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	172	12	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	173	1	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	173	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	173	3	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	173	4	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	173	5	polish	polish	PROPN
dem-8589	173	6	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	173	7	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	173	8	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	173	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	173	10	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	173	11	to	to	PART
dem-8589	173	12	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
dem-8589	173	13	practical	practical	ADJ
dem-8589	173	14	applicability	applicability	NOUN
dem-8589	173	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	173	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	173	17	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	173	18	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	173	19	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	173	20	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	173	21	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	173	22	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	173	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	173	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	173	25	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	173	26	an	an	DET
dem-8589	173	27	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	173	28	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	173	29	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	173	30	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	173	31	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	173	32	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	173	33	provided1	provided1	PROPN
dem-8589	173	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	174	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	174	3	makes	make	VERB
dem-8589	174	4	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	174	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	174	6	month	month	NOUN
dem-8589	174	7	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	8	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	174	9	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	10	month	month	NOUN
dem-8589	174	11	cpi	cpi	NOUN
dem-8589	174	12	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	174	13	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	174	14	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	174	15	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	174	16	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-8589	174	17	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	174	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	174	19	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	174	20	2002m01–2015m08	2002m01–2015m08	NUM
dem-8589	174	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	22	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	174	23	t	t	PROPN
dem-8589	174	24	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	174	25	164	164	NUM
dem-8589	174	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	28	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	174	29	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-8589	174	30	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	174	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	174	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	175	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	175	2	last	last	ADJ
dem-8589	175	3	n	n	PROPN
dem-8589	175	4	=	=	SYM
dem-8589	175	5	44	44	NUM
dem-8589	175	6	observations	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	175	7	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	175	8	treated	treat	VERB
dem-8589	175	9	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	175	10	a	a	DET
dem-8589	175	11	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	175	12	window2	window2	NOUN
dem-8589	175	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	176	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	176	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	176	3	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	176	4	to	to	PART
dem-8589	176	5	notice	notice	VERB
dem-8589	176	6	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	176	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	176	8	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	176	9	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	176	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	176	11	quite	quite	ADV
dem-8589	176	12	challenging	challenging	ADJ
dem-8589	176	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	176	14	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	176	15	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	176	16	includes	include	VERB
dem-8589	176	17	a	a	DET
dem-8589	176	18	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	176	19	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	176	20	deflation	deflation	NOUN
dem-8589	176	21	unprecedented	unprecedented	ADJ
dem-8589	176	22	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	176	23	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	176	24	economy	economy	NOUN
dem-8589	176	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	177	1	figure	figure	NOUN
dem-8589	177	2	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	177	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	177	4	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	177	5	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	177	6	-	-	PROPN
dem-8589	177	7	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	177	8	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	177	9	m	m	NOUN
dem-8589	177	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	177	11	rate	rate	NOUN
dem-8589	178	1	[	[	X
dem-8589	178	2	%	%	X
dem-8589	178	3	]	]	PUNCT
dem-8589	178	4	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	178	5	poland	poland	PROPN
dem-8589	178	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	178	7	2000–2015	2000–2015	NUM
dem-8589	178	8	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	178	9	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	178	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	178	11	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	178	12	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	178	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	178	14	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	178	15	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	178	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	178	17	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	178	18	statistical	statistical	ADJ
dem-8589	178	19	office	office	NOUN
dem-8589	178	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	178	21	gus	gus	NOUN
dem-8589	178	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	178	23	reports	report	VERB
dem-8589	178	24	disaggregation	disaggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	178	25	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	178	26	10	10	NUM
dem-8589	178	27	main	main	ADJ
dem-8589	178	28	price	price	NOUN
dem-8589	178	29	groups	group	NOUN
dem-8589	178	30	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	179	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	179	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	179	3	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	179	4	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	179	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	179	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	179	7	components	component	NOUN
dem-8589	179	8	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	179	9	both	both	DET
dem-8589	179	10	energy	energy	NOUN
dem-8589	179	11	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	179	12	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	179	13	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	179	14	energy	energy	ADJ
dem-8589	179	15	prices	price	NOUN
dem-8589	179	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	179	17	an	an	DET
dem-8589	179	18	effort	effort	NOUN
dem-8589	179	19	has	have	AUX
dem-8589	179	20	been	be	AUX
dem-8589	179	21	made	make	VERB
dem-8589	179	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	179	23	separate	separate	VERB
dem-8589	179	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	179	25	price	price	NOUN
dem-8589	179	26	indices	index	NOUN
dem-8589	179	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	180	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	180	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	180	3	housing	housing	NOUN
dem-8589	180	4	expenditures	expenditure	NOUN
dem-8589	180	5	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	180	6	alcoholic	alcoholic	ADJ
dem-8589	180	7	beverages	beverage	NOUN
dem-8589	180	8	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	180	9	tobacco	tobacco	NOUN
dem-8589	180	10	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	180	11	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	180	12	separated	separate	VERB
dem-8589	180	13	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	180	14	food	food	NOUN
dem-8589	180	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	180	16	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	180	17	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	180	18	a	a	DET
dem-8589	180	19	total	total	NOUN
dem-8589	180	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	180	21	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	180	22	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	180	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	181	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	181	2	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	181	3	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	181	4	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	181	5	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	181	6	correspond	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	181	7	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	181	8	a	a	DET
dem-8589	181	9	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	181	10	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	181	11	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	181	12	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	181	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	181	14	having	have	VERB
dem-8589	181	15	extra	extra	ADJ
dem-8589	181	16	196	196	NUM
dem-8589	181	17	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	181	18	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	181	19	each	each	DET
dem-8589	181	20	additional	additional	ADJ
dem-8589	181	21	lag	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	181	22	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	181	23	the	the	DET
dem-8589	181	24	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	181	25	version	version	NOUN
dem-8589	181	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	1	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	182	2	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	182	3	studies	study	NOUN
dem-8589	182	4	examining	examine	VERB
dem-8589	182	5	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-8589	182	6	problems	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	182	7	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	182	8	clark	clark	NOUN
dem-8589	182	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	10	2006	2006	NUM
dem-8589	182	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	13	dees	dee	NOUN
dem-8589	182	14	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	182	15	güntner	güntner	NOUN
dem-8589	182	16	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	17	2014	2014	NUM
dem-8589	182	18	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	20	huwiler	huwiler	NOUN
dem-8589	182	21	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	182	22	kaufmann	kaufmann	PROPN
dem-8589	182	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	24	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	182	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	26	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	182	27	ibarra	ibarra	PROPN
dem-8589	182	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	29	2012	2012	NUM
dem-8589	182	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	32	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	182	33	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	182	34	stock	stock	NOUN
dem-8589	182	35	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	182	36	watson	watson	PROPN
dem-8589	182	37	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	38	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	182	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	182	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	183	1	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	183	2	all	all	DET
dem-8589	183	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	183	4	calculations	calculation	NOUN
dem-8589	183	5	were	be	AUX
dem-8589	183	6	conducted	conduct	VERB
dem-8589	183	7	using	use	VERB
dem-8589	183	8	own	own	ADJ
dem-8589	183	9	routines	routine	NOUN
dem-8589	183	10	written	write	VERB
dem-8589	183	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	183	12	ox	ox	NOUN
dem-8589	183	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	183	14	see	see	VERB
dem-8589	183	15	doornik	doornik	NOUN
dem-8589	183	16	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	183	17	ooms	oom	NOUN
dem-8589	183	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	183	19	2003	2003	NUM
dem-8589	183	20	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	183	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	183	22	details	detail	NOUN
dem-8589	183	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	183	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	183	25	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	183	26	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	183	27	procedure	procedure	NOUN
dem-8589	183	28	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	183	29	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	183	30	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	183	31	author	author	NOUN
dem-8589	183	32	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	183	33	request	request	NOUN
dem-8589	183	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	184	1	-1	-1	INTJ
dem-8589	185	1	-0,5	-0,5	INTJ
dem-8589	185	2	0	0	NUM
dem-8589	186	1	0,5	0,5	NUM
dem-8589	186	2	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	186	3	1,5	1,5	NUM
dem-8589	186	4	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	186	5	2000	2000	NUM
dem-8589	186	6	2002	2002	NUM
dem-8589	186	7	2004	2004	NUM
dem-8589	186	8	2006	2006	NUM
dem-8589	186	9	2008	2008	NUM
dem-8589	186	10	2010	2010	NUM
dem-8589	186	11	2012	2012	NUM
dem-8589	186	12	2014	2014	NUM
dem-8589	186	13	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	186	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	186	15	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	186	16	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	186	17	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	186	18	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	186	19	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	20	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	186	21	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	186	22	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	186	23	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	186	24	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	186	25	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	186	26	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	186	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	28	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	186	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	30	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	186	31	83	83	NUM
dem-8589	186	32	the	the	DET
dem-8589	186	33	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	186	34	exercise	exercise	NOUN
dem-8589	186	35	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	186	36	pseudo	pseudo	NOUN
dem-8589	186	37	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	186	38	real	real	ADJ
dem-8589	186	39	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	186	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	41	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	186	42	means	mean	VERB
dem-8589	186	43	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	186	44	no	no	DET
dem-8589	186	45	revisions	revision	NOUN
dem-8589	186	46	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	186	47	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	186	48	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	186	49	account	account	NOUN
dem-8589	186	50	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	51	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	186	52	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	186	53	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	186	54	the	the	DET
dem-8589	186	55	revisions	revision	NOUN
dem-8589	186	56	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	186	57	rather	rather	ADV
dem-8589	186	58	minor	minor	ADJ
dem-8589	186	59	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	60	occurring	occur	VERB
dem-8589	186	61	once	once	ADV
dem-8589	186	62	a	a	DET
dem-8589	186	63	year	year	NOUN
dem-8589	186	64	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	186	65	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	186	66	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	187	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	187	3	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	187	4	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	187	5	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	187	6	are	be	VERB
dem-8589	187	7	no	no	DET
dem-8589	187	8	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	187	9	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	187	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	11	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	187	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	187	13	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	187	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	187	15	percentage	percentage	NOUN
dem-8589	187	16	m	m	NOUN
dem-8589	187	17	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	187	18	o	o	NOUN
dem-8589	187	19	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	187	20	m	m	NOUN
dem-8589	187	21	change	change	NOUN
dem-8589	187	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	187	23	the	the	DET
dem-8589	187	24	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	187	25	cpi	cpi	NOUN
dem-8589	187	26	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	187	27	equal	equal	ADJ
dem-8589	187	28	to	to	PART
dem-8589	187	29	weighted	weight	VERB
dem-8589	187	30	sum	sum	NOUN
dem-8589	187	31	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	187	32	changes	change	NOUN
dem-8589	187	33	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	187	34	the	the	DET
dem-8589	187	35	sub	sub	ADJ
dem-8589	187	36	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	187	37	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	187	38	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	187	39	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	41	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	187	42	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	187	43	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	187	44	accordance	accordance	NOUN
dem-8589	187	45	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	187	46	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	47	7	7	NUM
dem-8589	187	48	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	187	49	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	188	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	188	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	188	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	188	4	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	188	5	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	188	6	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	188	7	to	to	PART
dem-8589	188	8	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	188	9	known	know	VERB
dem-8589	188	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	188	11	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	188	12	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	188	13	not	not	PART
dem-8589	188	14	always	always	ADV
dem-8589	188	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	188	16	case	case	NOUN
dem-8589	188	17	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	188	18	real	real	ADJ
dem-8589	188	19	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	188	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	188	21	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	188	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	188	23	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	188	24	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	188	25	a	a	DET
dem-8589	188	26	calendar	calendar	NOUN
dem-8589	188	27	year	year	NOUN
dem-8589	188	28	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	188	29	published	publish	VERB
dem-8589	188	30	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	188	31	march	march	PROPN
dem-8589	188	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	189	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	189	2	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	189	3	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	189	4	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	189	5	listed	list	VERB
dem-8589	189	6	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	189	7	table	table	NOUN
dem-8589	189	8	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	189	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	189	10	together	together	ADV
dem-8589	189	11	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	189	12	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	189	13	weights	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	189	14	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	189	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	189	16	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	189	17	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	189	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	1	table	table	NOUN
dem-8589	190	2	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	190	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	4	disaggregate	disaggregate	PROPN
dem-8589	190	5	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	190	6	sub	sub	PROPN
dem-8589	190	7	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	190	8	categories	category	NOUN
dem-8589	190	9	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	190	10	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	190	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	12	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	190	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	190	14	no	no	PROPN
dem-8589	190	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	16	code	code	NOUN
dem-8589	190	17	category	category	NOUN
dem-8589	190	18	label	label	NOUN
dem-8589	190	19	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	190	20	weight	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	190	21	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	190	22	1a	1a	X
dem-8589	190	23	food	food	NOUN
dem-8589	190	24	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	25	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	190	26	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	190	27	alcoholic	alcoholic	ADJ
dem-8589	190	28	beverages	beverage	NOUN
dem-8589	190	29	0.258	0.258	NUM
dem-8589	190	30	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	190	31	1b	1b	NUM
dem-8589	190	32	alcoholic	alcoholic	ADJ
dem-8589	190	33	beverages	beverage	NOUN
dem-8589	190	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	35	tobacco	tobacco	NOUN
dem-8589	190	36	0.060	0.060	NUM
dem-8589	190	37	3	3	NUM
dem-8589	190	38	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	190	39	clothing	clothing	NOUN
dem-8589	190	40	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	41	footwear	footwear	NOUN
dem-8589	190	42	0.052	0.052	NUM
dem-8589	190	43	4	4	NUM
dem-8589	190	44	3a	3a	NUM
dem-8589	190	45	dwelling	dwell	VERB
dem-8589	190	46	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	47	housing	housing	NOUN
dem-8589	190	48	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	49	water	water	NOUN
dem-8589	190	50	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	51	excluding	exclude	VERB
dem-8589	190	52	energy	energy	NOUN
dem-8589	190	53	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	54	0.116	0.116	NUM
dem-8589	190	55	5	5	NUM
dem-8589	190	56	3b	3b	NOUN
dem-8589	190	57	dwelling	dwelling	NOUN
dem-8589	190	58	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	59	electricity	electricity	NOUN
dem-8589	190	60	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	61	gas	gas	NOUN
dem-8589	190	62	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	63	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	190	64	fuels	fuel	NOUN
dem-8589	190	65	0.089	0.089	NUM
dem-8589	190	66	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	190	67	3c	3c	NUM
dem-8589	190	68	dwelling	dwelling	NOUN
dem-8589	190	69	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	70	furnishings	furnishing	NOUN
dem-8589	190	71	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	72	household	household	NOUN
dem-8589	190	73	equipment	equipment	NOUN
dem-8589	190	74	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	75	routine	routine	ADJ
dem-8589	190	76	maintenance	maintenance	NOUN
dem-8589	190	77	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	190	78	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	79	house	house	NOUN
dem-8589	190	80	0.049	0.049	NUM
dem-8589	190	81	7	7	NUM
dem-8589	190	82	4	4	NUM
dem-8589	190	83	health	health	NOUN
dem-8589	190	84	0.050	0.050	NUM
dem-8589	190	85	8	8	NUM
dem-8589	190	86	5a	5a	NUM
dem-8589	190	87	transport	transport	NOUN
dem-8589	190	88	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	89	fuels	fuel	NOUN
dem-8589	190	90	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	190	91	personal	personal	ADJ
dem-8589	190	92	transport	transport	NOUN
dem-8589	190	93	equipment	equipment	NOUN
dem-8589	190	94	0.045	0.045	NUM
dem-8589	190	95	9	9	NUM
dem-8589	190	96	5b	5b	NUM
dem-8589	190	97	transport	transport	NOUN
dem-8589	190	98	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	99	excluding	exclude	VERB
dem-8589	190	100	fuels	fuel	NOUN
dem-8589	190	101	0.044	0.044	NUM
dem-8589	190	102	10	10	NUM
dem-8589	190	103	6	6	NUM
dem-8589	190	104	communication	communication	NOUN
dem-8589	190	105	0.049	0.049	NUM
dem-8589	190	106	11	11	NUM
dem-8589	190	107	7	7	NUM
dem-8589	190	108	recreation	recreation	NOUN
dem-8589	190	109	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	110	culture	culture	NOUN
dem-8589	190	111	0.070	0.070	NUM
dem-8589	190	112	12	12	NUM
dem-8589	190	113	8	8	NUM
dem-8589	190	114	education	education	NOUN
dem-8589	190	115	0.013	0.013	NUM
dem-8589	190	116	13	13	NUM
dem-8589	190	117	9	9	NUM
dem-8589	190	118	restaurants	restaurant	NOUN
dem-8589	190	119	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	120	hotels	hotel	NOUN
dem-8589	190	121	0.052	0.052	NUM
dem-8589	190	122	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	190	123	10	10	NUM
dem-8589	190	124	miscellaneous	miscellaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	190	125	goods	good	NOUN
dem-8589	190	126	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	190	127	services	service	NOUN
dem-8589	190	128	0.053	0.053	NUM
dem-8589	190	129	note	note	NOUN
dem-8589	190	130	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	131	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	132	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	190	133	weight	weight	NOUN
dem-8589	190	134	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	190	135	computed	compute	VERB
dem-8589	190	136	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	190	137	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	190	138	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	190	139	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	140	years	year	NOUN
dem-8589	190	141	included	include	VERB
dem-8589	190	142	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	190	143	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	144	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	190	145	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	146	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	190	147	the	the	DET
dem-8589	190	148	sample	sample	NOUN
dem-8589	190	149	end	end	NOUN
dem-8589	190	150	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	190	151	not	not	PART
dem-8589	190	152	correspond	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	190	153	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	190	154	december	december	PROPN
dem-8589	190	155	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	190	156	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	191	2	benchmark	benchmark	NOUN
dem-8589	191	3	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	191	4	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	191	5	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	191	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	191	7	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	191	8	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	191	9	stationary	stationary	ADJ
dem-8589	191	10	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	191	11	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	191	12	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	191	13	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	191	14	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	191	15	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	191	16	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	191	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	191	18	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	191	19	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	191	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	21	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	191	22	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	191	23	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	191	24	ar(1	ar(1	NOUN
dem-8589	191	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	26	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	191	27	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	191	28	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	191	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	191	30	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	191	31	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	191	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	33	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	191	34	a	a	DET
dem-8589	191	35	result	result	NOUN
dem-8589	191	36	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	191	37	the	the	DET
dem-8589	191	38	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	191	39	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	191	40	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	191	41	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	191	42	ar(p	ar(p	NOUN
dem-8589	191	43	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	44	process	process	NOUN
dem-8589	191	45	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	191	46	the	the	DET
dem-8589	191	47	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	191	48	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	191	49	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	50	resulting	result	VERB
dem-8589	191	51	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	191	52	omission	omission	NOUN
dem-8589	191	53	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	191	54	certain	certain	ADJ
dem-8589	191	55	own	own	ADJ
dem-8589	191	56	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	191	57	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	191	58	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	191	59	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	191	60	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	192	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	192	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	192	3	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	192	4	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	192	5	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	192	6	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	192	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	192	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	192	9	maximum	maximum	ADJ
dem-8589	192	10	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	192	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	192	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
dem-8589	192	13	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	192	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	192	15	limited	limit	VERB
dem-8589	192	16	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	192	17	42	42	NUM
dem-8589	192	18	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	192	19	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	192	20	reflects	reflect	VERB
dem-8589	192	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	192	22	idea	idea	NOUN
dem-8589	192	23	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	192	24	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	192	25	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	192	26	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	192	27	are	be	VERB
dem-8589	192	28	3	3	NUM
dem-8589	192	29	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	192	30	per	per	ADP
dem-8589	192	31	equation	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	192	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	192	33	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	192	34	these	these	PRON
dem-8589	192	35	need	need	AUX
dem-8589	192	36	not	not	PART
dem-8589	192	37	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	192	38	uniformly	uniformly	ADV
dem-8589	192	39	allocated	allocate	VERB
dem-8589	192	40	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	192	41	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	192	42	the	the	DET
dem-8589	192	43	maximum	maximum	ADJ
dem-8589	192	44	lag	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	192	45	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	192	46	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	192	47	set	set	VERB
dem-8589	192	48	to	to	PART
dem-8589	192	49	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	192	50	equal	equal	ADJ
dem-8589	192	51	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	192	52	13	13	NUM
dem-8589	192	53	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	193	1	additional	additional	ADJ
dem-8589	193	2	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	193	3	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	193	4	not	not	PART
dem-8589	193	5	included	include	VERB
dem-8589	193	6	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	193	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	193	8	parameter	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	193	9	count	count	NOUN
dem-8589	193	10	mentioned	mention	VERB
dem-8589	193	11	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	193	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	193	13	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	193	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	193	15	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-8589	193	16	dummy	dummy	ADJ
dem-8589	193	17	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	193	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	193	19	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	193	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	193	21	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	193	22	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	193	23	also	also	ADV
dem-8589	193	24	switches	switch	VERB
dem-8589	193	25	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	193	26	inclusion	inclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	193	27	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	193	28	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	193	29	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	193	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	193	31	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-8589	193	32	dummies	dummy	NOUN
dem-8589	193	33	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	193	34	each	each	DET
dem-8589	193	35	equation	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	193	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	194	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	194	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	194	3	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	194	4	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	194	5	the	the	DET
dem-8589	194	6	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	194	7	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	194	8	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	194	9	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	194	10	options	option	NOUN
dem-8589	194	11	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	194	12	separately	separately	ADV
dem-8589	194	13	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	194	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	195	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	195	3	first	first	ADJ
dem-8589	195	4	version	version	NOUN
dem-8589	195	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	6	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	195	7	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	195	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	195	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	195	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	195	11	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	195	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	13	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	195	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	15	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	195	16	84	84	NUM
dem-8589	195	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	195	18	σ	σ	NOUN
dem-8589	195	19	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	195	20	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	195	21	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	195	22	to	to	PART
dem-8589	195	23	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	195	24	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	195	25	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	26	being	be	AUX
dem-8589	195	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	195	28	course	course	NOUN
dem-8589	195	29	positivedefinite	positivedefinite	ADJ
dem-8589	195	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	195	32	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	195	33	the	the	DET
dem-8589	195	34	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	195	35	version	version	NOUN
dem-8589	195	36	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	195	37	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	195	38	assumed	assume	VERB
dem-8589	195	39	to	to	PART
dem-8589	195	40	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	195	41	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	195	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	196	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	196	2	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	196	3	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	196	4	reported	report	VERB
dem-8589	196	5	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	196	6	table	table	NOUN
dem-8589	196	7	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	196	8	.	.	NUM
dem-8589	196	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	196	10	including	include	VERB
dem-8589	196	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	196	12	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	196	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	196	14	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	196	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	196	16	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	196	17	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	196	18	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	196	19	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	196	20	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	196	21	intercept	intercept	NOUN
dem-8589	196	22	/	/	SYM
dem-8589	196	23	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-8589	196	24	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	196	25	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	196	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	197	2	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	197	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	197	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	197	5	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	197	6	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	197	7	rmsfe	rmsfe	NOUN
dem-8589	197	8	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	197	9	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	197	10	crps	crps	NOUN
dem-8589	197	11	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	12	the	the	PRON
dem-8589	197	13	lower	low	ADJ
dem-8589	197	14	the	the	DET
dem-8589	197	15	better	well	ADJ
dem-8589	197	16	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	17	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	197	18	summed	sum	VERB
dem-8589	197	19	up	up	ADP
dem-8589	197	20	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	21	decimal	decimal	NOUN
dem-8589	197	22	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	23	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	197	24	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	25	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	197	26	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	27	the	the	PRON
dem-8589	197	28	higher	high	ADJ
dem-8589	197	29	the	the	DET
dem-8589	197	30	better	well	ADJ
dem-8589	197	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	197	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	198	1	all	all	DET
dem-8589	198	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	198	3	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	198	4	show	show	VERB
dem-8589	198	5	consistent	consistent	ADJ
dem-8589	198	6	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	198	7	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	198	8	neither	neither	CCONJ
dem-8589	198	9	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	198	10	contradicting	contradict	VERB
dem-8589	198	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	198	12	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	198	13	ones	one	NOUN
dem-8589	198	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	198	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	199	1	table	table	NOUN
dem-8589	199	2	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	199	3	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	199	4	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	199	5	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	199	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	199	7	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	199	8	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	199	9	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	199	10	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	199	11	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	199	12	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	199	13	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	199	14	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	199	15	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	199	16	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	199	17	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	199	18	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	199	19	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	199	20	/	/	SYM
dem-8589	199	21	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	199	22	data	data	NOUN
dem-8589	199	23	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	199	24	σ	σ	PROPN
dem-8589	199	25	st	st	PROPN
dem-8589	199	26	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	199	27	dev	dev	PROPN
dem-8589	199	28	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	200	1	rmsfe	rmsfe	PROPN
dem-8589	200	2	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	200	3	logscore	logscore	PROPN
dem-8589	200	4	no	no	PROPN
dem-8589	200	5	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	1	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	201	2	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	201	3	total	total	VERB
dem-8589	201	4	intercepts	intercept	NOUN
dem-8589	201	5	ar(1	ar(1	PROPN
dem-8589	201	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	7	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	201	8	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	201	9	cpi	cpi	NOUN
dem-8589	201	10	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	11	0.248	0.248	NUM
dem-8589	201	12	0.250	0.250	NUM
dem-8589	201	13	0.142	0.142	NUM
dem-8589	201	14	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	15	0.726	0.726	NUM
dem-8589	201	16	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	201	17	12	12	NUM
dem-8589	201	18	ar(2	ar(2	NOUN
dem-8589	201	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	20	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	201	21	total	total	ADJ
dem-8589	201	22	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	201	23	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	24	0.249	0.249	NUM
dem-8589	201	25	0.249	0.249	NUM
dem-8589	201	26	0.142	0.142	NUM
dem-8589	201	27	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	28	0.657	0.657	NUM
dem-8589	201	29	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	201	30	12	12	NUM
dem-8589	201	31	ar	ar	NOUN
dem-8589	201	32	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	201	33	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	201	34	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	201	35	total	total	NOUN
dem-8589	201	36	cpi	cpi	NOUN
dem-8589	201	37	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	201	38	0.294	0.294	NUM
dem-8589	201	39	0.224	0.224	NUM
dem-8589	201	40	0.129	0.129	NUM
dem-8589	201	41	0.306	0.306	NUM
dem-8589	201	42	7	7	NUM
dem-8589	201	43	1	1	NUM
dem-8589	201	44	var(1	var(1	PROPN
dem-8589	201	45	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	202	1	nd	nd	ADP
dem-8589	202	2	0.268	0.268	NUM
dem-8589	202	3	0.280	0.280	NUM
dem-8589	202	4	0.156	0.156	NUM
dem-8589	202	5	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	202	6	2.283	2.283	NUM
dem-8589	202	7	455	455	NUM
dem-8589	202	8	168	168	NUM
dem-8589	202	9	var(2	var(2	NOUN
dem-8589	202	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	202	11	nd	nd	ADP
dem-8589	202	12	0.280	0.280	NUM
dem-8589	202	13	0.348	0.348	NUM
dem-8589	202	14	0.180	0.180	NUM
dem-8589	202	15	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	202	16	4.949	4.949	NUM
dem-8589	202	17	651	651	NUM
dem-8589	202	18	168	168	NUM
dem-8589	202	19	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	202	20	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	202	21	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	202	22	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	202	23	d	d	X
dem-8589	202	24	0.228	0.228	NUM
dem-8589	202	25	0.174	0.174	NUM
dem-8589	202	26	0.100	0.100	NUM
dem-8589	202	27	5.058	5.058	NUM
dem-8589	202	28	147	147	NUM
dem-8589	202	29	91	91	NUM
dem-8589	202	30	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	202	31	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	202	32	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	202	33	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	202	34	nd	nd	ADP
dem-8589	202	35	0.247	0.247	NUM
dem-8589	202	36	0.187	0.187	NUM
dem-8589	202	37	0.107	0.107	NUM
dem-8589	202	38	3.668	3.668	NUM
dem-8589	202	39	224	224	NUM
dem-8589	202	40	102	102	NUM
dem-8589	202	41	note	note	NOUN
dem-8589	202	42	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	202	43	full	full	ADJ
dem-8589	202	44	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	202	45	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	202	46	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	202	47	available	available	ADJ
dem-8589	202	48	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	202	49	the	the	DET
dem-8589	202	50	author	author	NOUN
dem-8589	202	51	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	202	52	request	request	NOUN
dem-8589	202	53	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	1	verification	verification	NOUN
dem-8589	203	2	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	203	3	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	4	2012m01	2012m01	NUM
dem-8589	203	5	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	6	2015m08	2015m08	NUM
dem-8589	203	7	;	;	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	203	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	203	10	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	203	11	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	203	12	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	13	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	203	14	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	15	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	203	16	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	17	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	203	18	amounts	amount	VERB
dem-8589	203	19	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	203	20	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	203	21	due	due	ADJ
dem-8589	203	22	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	203	23	the	the	DET
dem-8589	203	24	publication	publication	NOUN
dem-8589	203	25	lag	lag	PROPN
dem-8589	203	26	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	203	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	204	1	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	204	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	204	3	continuous	continuous	ADJ
dem-8589	204	4	ranked	rank	VERB
dem-8589	204	5	probability	probability	NOUN
dem-8589	204	6	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	204	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	204	8	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	204	9	averaged	average	VERB
dem-8589	204	10	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	204	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	204	12	realized	realize	VERB
dem-8589	204	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	204	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	204	15	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	204	16	log	log	NOUN
dem-8589	204	17	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	204	18	score	score	NOUN
dem-8589	204	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	204	20	sum	sum	NOUN
dem-8589	204	21	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	204	22	decimal	decimal	ADJ
dem-8589	204	23	logs	log	NOUN
dem-8589	204	24	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	204	25	taken	take	VERB
dem-8589	204	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	1	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	205	2	ar(1	ar(1	PROPN
dem-8589	205	3	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	5	ar(2	ar(2	PROPN
dem-8589	205	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	8	var(1),var(2	var(1),var(2	NOUN
dem-8589	205	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	205	10	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
dem-8589	205	11	dummies	dummy	NOUN
dem-8589	205	12	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	205	13	included	include	VERB
dem-8589	205	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	206	2	second	second	ADJ
dem-8589	206	3	column	column	NOUN
dem-8589	206	4	indicates	indicate	VERB
dem-8589	206	5	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
dem-8589	206	6	regarding	regard	VERB
dem-8589	206	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	206	8	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	206	9	variance	variance	NOUN
dem-8589	206	10	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	11	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	206	12	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	206	13	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	14	relevant	relevant	ADJ
dem-8589	206	15	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	206	16	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	206	17	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	206	18	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	206	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	21	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	206	22	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	23	d	d	NOUN
dem-8589	206	24	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	25	denoting	denote	VERB
dem-8589	206	26	a	a	DET
dem-8589	206	27	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	206	28	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	206	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	30	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
dem-8589	206	31	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	32	nd	nd	PRON
dem-8589	206	33	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	34	denotes	denote	NOUN
dem-8589	206	35	nondiagonal	nondiagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	206	36	one	one	NOUN
dem-8589	206	37	;	;	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	38	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	39	st	st	PROPN
dem-8589	206	40	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	206	41	dev	dev	PROPN
dem-8589	206	42	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	206	43	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	207	1	denotes	denote	VERB
dem-8589	207	2	ex	ex	NOUN
dem-8589	207	3	ante	ante	PROPN
dem-8589	207	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	207	5	error	error	NOUN
dem-8589	207	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	207	7	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	207	8	deviation	deviation	NOUN
dem-8589	207	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	207	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	207	11	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	207	12	distribution	distribution	NOUN
dem-8589	207	13	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	207	14	averaged	average	VERB
dem-8589	207	15	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	207	16	all	all	DET
dem-8589	207	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	207	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	208	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	208	2	column	column	NOUN
dem-8589	208	3	labeled	label	VERB
dem-8589	208	4	‘	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	208	5	intercepts	intercept	NOUN
dem-8589	208	6	’	'	PUNCT
dem-8589	208	7	takes	take	VERB
dem-8589	208	8	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	208	9	account	account	NOUN
dem-8589	208	10	parameters	parameter	NOUN
dem-8589	208	11	corresponding	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	208	12	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	208	13	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
dem-8589	208	14	modelling	modelling	NOUN
dem-8589	208	15	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	208	16	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	208	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	209	1	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	209	2	vars	var	NOUN
dem-8589	209	3	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	209	4	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	209	5	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	209	6	show	show	VERB
dem-8589	209	7	relatively	relatively	ADV
dem-8589	209	8	poor	poor	ADJ
dem-8589	209	9	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	209	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	209	11	deteriorating	deteriorate	VERB
dem-8589	209	12	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	209	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	209	14	number	number	NOUN
dem-8589	209	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	209	16	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	209	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	210	1	ar(1	ar(1	X
dem-8589	210	2	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	210	3	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	210	4	ar(2	ar(2	NOUN
dem-8589	210	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	210	6	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	210	7	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	210	8	similar	similar	ADJ
dem-8589	210	9	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	210	10	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	210	11	ar	ar	NOUN
dem-8589	210	12	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	210	13	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	210	14	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	210	15	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	210	16	clearly	clearly	ADV
dem-8589	210	17	better	well	ADJ
dem-8589	210	18	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	1	poor	poor	ADJ
dem-8589	211	2	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	211	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	211	4	the	the	DET
dem-8589	211	5	ar(1	ar(1	NOUN
dem-8589	211	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	8	ar(2	ar(2	PROPN
dem-8589	211	9	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	11	var(1	var(1	PROPN
dem-8589	211	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	13	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	211	14	var(2	var(2	NOUN
dem-8589	211	15	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	16	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	211	17	results	result	VERB
dem-8589	211	18	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	211	19	restrictive	restrictive	ADJ
dem-8589	211	20	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
dem-8589	211	21	about	about	ADP
dem-8589	211	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	211	23	highest	high	ADJ
dem-8589	211	24	lag	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	211	25	order	order	NOUN
dem-8589	211	26	allowed	allow	VERB
dem-8589	211	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	28	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	211	29	var(2	var(2	NOUN
dem-8589	211	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	31	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	211	32	much	much	ADV
dem-8589	211	33	worse	bad	ADJ
dem-8589	211	34	than	than	ADP
dem-8589	211	35	ar(2	ar(2	NOUN
dem-8589	211	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	211	38	so	so	CCONJ
dem-8589	211	39	the	the	DET
dem-8589	211	40	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	211	41	aspects	aspect	NOUN
dem-8589	211	42	seem	seem	VERB
dem-8589	211	43	to	to	PART
dem-8589	211	44	matter	matter	VERB
dem-8589	211	45	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	211	46	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	211	47	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	212	1	vars	var	NOUN
dem-8589	212	2	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	212	3	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	212	4	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	212	5	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	212	6	clearly	clearly	ADV
dem-8589	212	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	212	8	best	good	ADJ
dem-8589	212	9	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	212	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	212	11	strongly	strongly	ADV
dem-8589	212	12	dominating	dominate	VERB
dem-8589	212	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	212	14	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	212	15	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	212	16	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	212	17	all	all	DET
dem-8589	212	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	212	19	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	212	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	213	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	213	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	213	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	213	4	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	213	5	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-8589	213	6	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	213	7	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	213	8	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	213	9	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	213	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	213	11	getting	get	VERB
dem-8589	213	12	slightly	slightly	ADV
dem-8589	213	13	better	well	ADJ
dem-8589	213	14	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	213	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	214	1	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	214	2	both	both	DET
dem-8589	214	3	cases	case	NOUN
dem-8589	214	4	ex	ex	PRON
dem-8589	214	5	ante	ante	NOUN
dem-8589	214	6	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	214	7	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	214	8	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	214	9	compared	compare	VERB
dem-8589	214	10	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	214	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	214	12	rmsfe	rmsfe	PROPN
dem-8589	214	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	214	14	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-8589	214	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	214	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	214	17	densities	density	NOUN
dem-8589	214	18	seems	seem	VERB
dem-8589	214	19	to	to	PART
dem-8589	214	20	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	214	21	overdispersed	overdisperse	VERB
dem-8589	214	22	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	1	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	215	2	caveat	caveat	NOUN
dem-8589	215	3	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	215	4	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	215	5	mentioned	mention	VERB
dem-8589	215	6	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	215	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	8	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	215	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	215	10	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	215	11	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	215	12	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	215	13	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	215	14	diagonal	diagonal	ADJ
dem-8589	215	15	covariance	covariance	NOUN
dem-8589	215	16	matrix	matrix	NOUN
dem-8589	215	17	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	215	18	shocks	shock	NOUN
dem-8589	215	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	215	20	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	215	21	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	215	22	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	215	23	computationally	computationally	ADV
dem-8589	215	24	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	215	25	demanding	demanding	ADJ
dem-8589	215	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	27	the	the	DET
dem-8589	215	28	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	215	29	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	215	30	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	215	31	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	215	32	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	215	33	less	less	ADV
dem-8589	215	34	efficient	efficient	ADJ
dem-8589	215	35	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	215	36	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	215	37	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	215	38	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	215	39	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	215	40	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	215	41	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	42	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	215	43	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	215	44	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	215	45	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	215	46	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	215	47	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	215	48	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	215	49	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	50	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	215	51	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	215	52	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	215	53	85	85	NUM
dem-8589	215	54	there	there	ADV
dem-8589	215	55	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	216	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	216	2	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	216	3	therefore	therefore	ADV
dem-8589	216	4	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	216	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	216	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	216	7	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	216	8	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	216	9	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	216	10	gets	get	AUX
dem-8589	216	11	trapped	trap	VERB
dem-8589	216	12	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	216	13	a	a	DET
dem-8589	216	14	local	local	ADJ
dem-8589	216	15	optimum	optimum	NOUN
dem-8589	216	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	216	17	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	216	18	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	216	19	not	not	PART
dem-8589	216	20	the	the	DET
dem-8589	216	21	global	global	ADJ
dem-8589	216	22	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	216	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	216	24	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	216	25	the	the	DET
dem-8589	216	26	result	result	NOUN
dem-8589	216	27	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	216	28	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	216	29	somewhat	somewhat	ADV
dem-8589	216	30	improved	improve	VERB
dem-8589	216	31	upon	upon	SCONJ
dem-8589	216	32	a	a	DET
dem-8589	216	33	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	216	34	intensive	intensive	ADJ
dem-8589	216	35	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	216	36	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	216	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	217	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	217	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	217	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	217	4	practical	practical	ADJ
dem-8589	217	5	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	217	6	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	217	7	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	217	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	217	9	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	217	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	217	11	easier	easy	ADJ
dem-8589	217	12	to	to	PART
dem-8589	217	13	find	find	VERB
dem-8589	217	14	a	a	DET
dem-8589	217	15	useful	useful	ADJ
dem-8589	217	16	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	217	17	assuming	assume	VERB
dem-8589	217	18	uncorrelated	uncorrelated	ADJ
dem-8589	217	19	shocks	shock	NOUN
dem-8589	217	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	218	1	such	such	DET
dem-8589	218	2	a	a	DET
dem-8589	218	3	simplification	simplification	NOUN
dem-8589	218	4	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	218	5	quite	quite	ADV
dem-8589	218	6	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	218	7	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	218	8	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	218	9	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	218	10	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	218	11	view	view	NOUN
dem-8589	218	12	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	218	13	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	218	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	219	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	219	2	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	219	3	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	219	4	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	219	5	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	219	6	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	219	7	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	219	8	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	219	9	negligible	negligible	ADJ
dem-8589	219	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	219	11	though	though	SCONJ
dem-8589	219	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	219	13	attention	attention	NOUN
dem-8589	219	14	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	219	15	restricted	restrict	VERB
dem-8589	219	16	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	219	17	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	219	18	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	219	19	period	period	NOUN
dem-8589	219	20	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	219	21	ahead	ahead	NOUN
dem-8589	219	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	219	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	220	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	220	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	220	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	220	4	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	220	5	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	220	6	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	220	7	likely	likely	ADJ
dem-8589	220	8	to	to	PART
dem-8589	220	9	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	220	10	useful	useful	ADJ
dem-8589	220	11	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	220	12	rather	rather	ADV
dem-8589	220	13	short	short	ADJ
dem-8589	220	14	horizons	horizon	NOUN
dem-8589	220	15	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	220	16	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	221	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
dem-8589	221	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	221	3	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	221	4	seems	seem	VERB
dem-8589	221	5	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	221	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	221	7	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	221	8	between	between	ADP
dem-8589	221	9	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	221	10	induced	induce	VERB
dem-8589	221	11	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	221	12	incorporation	incorporation	NOUN
dem-8589	221	13	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	14	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	221	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	16	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	221	17	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	221	18	into	into	ADP
dem-8589	221	19	equations	equation	NOUN
dem-8589	221	20	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	221	21	more	more	ADV
dem-8589	221	22	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	221	23	than	than	ADP
dem-8589	221	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	221	25	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	221	26	represented	represent	VERB
dem-8589	221	27	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	221	28	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	221	29	correlations	correlation	NOUN
dem-8589	221	30	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	31	errors	error	NOUN
dem-8589	221	32	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	221	33	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	221	34	least	least	ADJ
dem-8589	221	35	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	221	36	the	the	DET
dem-8589	221	37	viewpoint	viewpoint	NOUN
dem-8589	221	38	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	39	quality	quality	NOUN
dem-8589	221	40	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	41	the	the	DET
dem-8589	221	42	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	221	43	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	221	44	the	the	DET
dem-8589	221	45	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	221	46	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	221	47	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	221	48	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	222	1	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	222	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	222	3	paper	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	222	4	aims	aim	VERB
dem-8589	222	5	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	222	6	demonstrating	demonstrate	VERB
dem-8589	222	7	potential	potential	ADJ
dem-8589	222	8	gains	gain	NOUN
dem-8589	222	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	222	10	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	222	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	222	12	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	222	13	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	222	14	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	222	15	can	can	AUX
dem-8589	222	16	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	222	17	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	222	18	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	222	19	allowing	allow	VERB
dem-8589	222	20	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	222	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	222	22	use	use	NOUN
dem-8589	222	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	222	24	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	222	25	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	222	26	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	223	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	223	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	223	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	223	4	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	223	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	223	6	reflects	reflect	VERB
dem-8589	223	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	223	8	importance	importance	NOUN
dem-8589	223	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	223	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	223	11	issue	issue	NOUN
dem-8589	223	12	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	223	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
dem-8589	223	14	quantification	quantification	NOUN
dem-8589	223	15	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	223	16	current	current	ADJ
dem-8589	223	17	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	223	18	literature	literature	NOUN
dem-8589	223	19	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	224	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	224	2	explicit	explicit	ADJ
dem-8589	224	3	objective	objective	NOUN
dem-8589	224	4	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	224	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	224	6	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	224	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	224	8	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	224	9	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	224	10	only	only	ADV
dem-8589	224	11	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	224	12	introduced	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	224	13	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	224	14	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	225	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
dem-8589	225	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	225	3	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	225	4	a	a	DET
dem-8589	225	5	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-8589	225	6	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	225	7	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	225	8	view	view	NOUN
dem-8589	225	9	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	225	10	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	225	11	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	225	12	plausible	plausible	ADJ
dem-8589	225	13	to	to	PART
dem-8589	225	14	consider	consider	VERB
dem-8589	225	15	all	all	DET
dem-8589	225	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	225	17	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	225	18	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	225	19	sub	sub	NOUN
dem-8589	225	20	-	-	NOUN
dem-8589	225	21	aggregates	aggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	225	22	jointly	jointly	ADV
dem-8589	225	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	225	24	as	as	ADP
dem-8589	225	25	one	one	NUM
dem-8589	225	26	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	225	27	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	225	28	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	225	29	if	if	SCONJ
dem-8589	225	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	225	31	individual	individual	ADJ
dem-8589	225	32	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	225	33	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	225	34	fully	fully	ADV
dem-8589	225	35	stochastically	stochastically	ADV
dem-8589	225	36	independent	independent	ADJ
dem-8589	225	37	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	225	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	226	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	226	2	comparison	comparison	NOUN
dem-8589	226	3	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	226	4	such	such	ADJ
dem-8589	226	5	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	226	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	226	7	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	226	8	the	the	DET
dem-8589	226	9	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
dem-8589	226	10	sets	set	NOUN
dem-8589	226	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	226	12	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	226	13	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	226	14	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	226	15	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	226	16	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	226	17	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	226	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	226	19	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	226	20	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	226	21	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	226	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	226	23	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	226	24	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	226	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	227	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	227	2	results	result	NOUN
dem-8589	227	3	obtained	obtain	VERB
dem-8589	227	4	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	227	5	polish	polish	PROPN
dem-8589	227	6	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	227	7	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	227	8	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	227	9	confirm	confirm	VERB
dem-8589	227	10	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	227	11	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	227	12	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	227	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	227	14	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	227	15	the	the	DET
dem-8589	227	16	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	227	17	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	227	18	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	227	19	result	result	VERB
dem-8589	227	20	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	227	21	substantial	substantial	ADJ
dem-8589	227	22	improvements	improvement	NOUN
dem-8589	227	23	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	227	24	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	227	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	227	26	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	227	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	227	28	the	the	DET
dem-8589	227	29	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	227	30	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	227	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	228	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	228	2	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	228	3	remains	remain	VERB
dem-8589	228	4	true	true	ADJ
dem-8589	228	5	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	228	6	various	various	ADJ
dem-8589	228	7	criteria	criterion	NOUN
dem-8589	228	8	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	228	9	both	both	DET
dem-8589	228	10	point	point	NOUN
dem-8589	228	11	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	228	12	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	228	13	ex	ex	X
dem-8589	228	14	post	post	PROPN
dem-8589	228	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	228	16	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
dem-8589	228	17	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	229	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	229	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	229	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	229	4	result	result	NOUN
dem-8589	229	5	stems	stem	VERB
dem-8589	229	6	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	229	7	introducing	introduce	VERB
dem-8589	229	8	parsimonyoriented	parsimonyoriente	VERB
dem-8589	229	9	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	229	10	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	229	11	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	230	1	some	some	DET
dem-8589	230	2	cross	cross	ADJ
dem-8589	230	3	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	230	4	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	230	5	dependence	dependence	NOUN
dem-8589	230	6	matters	matter	NOUN
dem-8589	230	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	230	8	as	as	SCONJ
dem-8589	230	9	the	the	DET
dem-8589	230	10	best	good	ADJ
dem-8589	230	11	performing	perform	VERB
dem-8589	230	12	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	230	13	include	include	VERB
dem-8589	230	14	lags	lag	NOUN
dem-8589	230	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	230	16	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	230	17	variables	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	230	18	as	as	ADV
dem-8589	230	19	well	well	ADV
dem-8589	230	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	231	1	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	231	2	the	the	DET
dem-8589	231	3	other	other	ADJ
dem-8589	231	4	hand	hand	NOUN
dem-8589	231	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	231	6	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	231	7	is	be	VERB
dem-8589	231	8	no	no	DET
dem-8589	231	9	evidence	evidence	NOUN
dem-8589	231	10	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	231	11	allowing	allow	VERB
dem-8589	231	12	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	231	13	contemporaneous	contemporaneous	ADJ
dem-8589	231	14	correlations	correlation	NOUN
dem-8589	231	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	231	16	the	the	DET
dem-8589	231	17	shocks	shock	NOUN
dem-8589	231	18	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	231	19	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	231	20	series	series	NOUN
dem-8589	231	21	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	231	22	really	really	ADV
dem-8589	231	23	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	231	24	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	231	25	the	the	DET
dem-8589	231	26	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	231	27	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	231	28	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	231	29	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	231	30	the	the	DET
dem-8589	231	31	case	case	NOUN
dem-8589	231	32	under	under	ADP
dem-8589	231	33	consideration	consideration	NOUN
dem-8589	231	34	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	232	1	there	there	PRON
dem-8589	232	2	are	be	VERB
dem-8589	232	3	many	many	ADJ
dem-8589	232	4	possibilities	possibility	NOUN
dem-8589	232	5	to	to	PART
dem-8589	232	6	extend	extend	VERB
dem-8589	232	7	the	the	DET
dem-8589	232	8	scope	scope	NOUN
dem-8589	232	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	232	10	the	the	DET
dem-8589	232	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	232	12	presented	present	VERB
dem-8589	232	13	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	232	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	232	15	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	232	16	particular	particular	ADJ
dem-8589	232	17	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	232	18	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	232	19	more	more	ADJ
dem-8589	232	20	general	general	ADJ
dem-8589	232	21	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	232	22	classes	class	NOUN
dem-8589	232	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	233	1	besides	besides	SCONJ
dem-8589	233	2	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	233	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	233	4	two	two	NUM
dem-8589	233	5	aspects	aspect	NOUN
dem-8589	233	6	are	be	AUX
dem-8589	233	7	worth	worth	ADJ
dem-8589	233	8	pointing	point	VERB
dem-8589	233	9	out	out	ADP
dem-8589	233	10	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	234	1	błażej	błażej	NOUN
dem-8589	235	1	mazur	mazur	PROPN
dem-8589	235	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	235	3	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	235	4	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	235	5	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	235	6	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	235	7	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	235	8	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	235	9	71–87	71–87	NUM
dem-8589	235	10	86	86	NUM
dem-8589	235	11	firstly	firstly	ADV
dem-8589	235	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	235	13	a	a	DET
dem-8589	235	14	fully	fully	ADV
dem-8589	235	15	consistent	consistent	ADJ
dem-8589	235	16	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-8589	235	17	framework	framework	NOUN
dem-8589	235	18	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	235	19	statistical	statistical	ADJ
dem-8589	235	20	inference	inference	NOUN
dem-8589	235	21	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	235	22	such	such	ADJ
dem-8589	235	23	situations	situation	NOUN
dem-8589	235	24	should	should	AUX
dem-8589	235	25	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	235	26	developed	develop	VERB
dem-8589	235	27	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	236	1	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	236	2	was	be	AUX
dem-8589	236	3	pointed	point	VERB
dem-8589	236	4	out	out	ADP
dem-8589	236	5	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	236	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	236	7	author	author	NOUN
dem-8589	236	8	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	236	9	such	such	DET
dem-8589	236	10	a	a	DET
dem-8589	236	11	development	development	NOUN
dem-8589	236	12	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	236	13	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	236	14	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	236	15	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	236	16	a	a	DET
dem-8589	236	17	reparametrization	reparametrization	NOUN
dem-8589	236	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	236	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	236	20	observation	observation	NOUN
dem-8589	236	21	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	236	22	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	236	23	at	at	ADP
dem-8589	236	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	236	25	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	236	26	level	level	NOUN
dem-8589	236	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	236	28	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	236	29	such	such	DET
dem-8589	236	30	a	a	DET
dem-8589	236	31	way	way	NOUN
dem-8589	236	32	that	that	PRON
dem-8589	236	33	the	the	DET
dem-8589	236	34	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	236	35	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	236	36	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	236	37	explicitly	explicitly	ADV
dem-8589	236	38	considered3	considered3	VERB
dem-8589	236	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	237	1	this	this	PRON
dem-8589	237	2	opens	open	VERB
dem-8589	237	3	possibility	possibility	NOUN
dem-8589	237	4	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	237	5	considering	consider	VERB
dem-8589	237	6	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	237	7	taking	take	VERB
dem-8589	237	8	advantage	advantage	NOUN
dem-8589	237	9	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	237	10	concepts	concept	NOUN
dem-8589	237	11	like	like	ADP
dem-8589	237	12	the	the	DET
dem-8589	237	13	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	237	14	cut	cut	NOUN
dem-8589	237	15	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
dem-8589	238	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	3	the	the	DET
dem-8589	238	4	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	238	5	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	238	6	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
dem-8589	238	7	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	238	8	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	238	9	to	to	PART
dem-8589	238	10	explore	explore	VERB
dem-8589	238	11	the	the	DET
dem-8589	238	12	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	238	13	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	238	14	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	15	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	238	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	17	equivalently	equivalently	ADV
dem-8589	238	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	19	the	the	DET
dem-8589	238	20	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	238	21	containing	contain	VERB
dem-8589	238	22	various	various	ADJ
dem-8589	238	23	sets	set	NOUN
dem-8589	238	24	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	238	25	exclusion	exclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	238	26	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	238	27	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	28	was	be	AUX
dem-8589	238	29	rather	rather	ADV
dem-8589	238	30	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	238	31	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	238	32	heuristic	heuristic	ADJ
dem-8589	238	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	238	34	with	with	ADP
dem-8589	238	35	no	no	DET
dem-8589	238	36	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
dem-8589	238	37	premises	premise	NOUN
dem-8589	238	38	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	238	39	its	its	PRON
dem-8589	238	40	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
dem-8589	238	41	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	239	1	perhaps	perhaps	ADV
dem-8589	239	2	some	some	DET
dem-8589	239	3	solutions	solution	NOUN
dem-8589	239	4	used	use	VERB
dem-8589	239	5	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	239	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	239	7	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	239	8	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	239	9	variable	variable	NOUN
dem-8589	239	10	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	239	11	setup	setup	NOUN
dem-8589	239	12	could	could	AUX
dem-8589	239	13	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	239	14	adopted	adopt	VERB
dem-8589	239	15	to	to	PART
dem-8589	239	16	match	match	VERB
dem-8589	239	17	the	the	DET
dem-8589	239	18	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	239	19	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	239	20	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	239	21	considered	consider	VERB
dem-8589	239	22	here	here	ADV
dem-8589	239	23	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	240	1	the	the	DET
dem-8589	240	2	most	most	ADV
dem-8589	240	3	important	important	ADJ
dem-8589	240	4	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
dem-8589	240	5	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	240	6	the	the	DET
dem-8589	240	7	empirical	empirical	ADJ
dem-8589	240	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	240	9	provided	provide	VERB
dem-8589	240	10	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	240	11	that	that	SCONJ
dem-8589	240	12	even	even	ADV
dem-8589	240	13	within	within	ADP
dem-8589	240	14	quite	quite	DET
dem-8589	240	15	a	a	DET
dem-8589	240	16	simple	simple	ADJ
dem-8589	240	17	class	class	NOUN
dem-8589	240	18	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	240	19	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
dem-8589	240	20	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	240	21	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	240	22	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	240	23	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	240	24	a	a	DET
dem-8589	240	25	substantial	substantial	ADJ
dem-8589	240	26	improvement	improvement	NOUN
dem-8589	240	27	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	240	28	predictive	predictive	ADJ
dem-8589	240	29	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	240	30	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	240	31	over	over	ADP
dem-8589	240	32	the	the	DET
dem-8589	240	33	standard	standard	ADJ
dem-8589	240	34	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
dem-8589	240	35	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	240	36	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	240	37	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	240	38	possible	possible	ADJ
dem-8589	240	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	241	1	however	however	ADV
dem-8589	241	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	241	3	it	it	PRON
dem-8589	241	4	requires	require	VERB
dem-8589	241	5	a	a	DET
dem-8589	241	6	thorough	thorough	ADJ
dem-8589	241	7	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	241	8	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	241	9	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	241	10	terms	term	NOUN
dem-8589	241	11	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	241	12	variable	variable	ADJ
dem-8589	241	13	selection	selection	NOUN
dem-8589	241	14	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	241	15	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	241	16	might	might	AUX
dem-8589	241	17	be	be	AUX
dem-8589	241	18	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	241	19	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	241	20	trivial	trivial	ADJ
dem-8589	241	21	when	when	SCONJ
dem-8589	241	22	the	the	DET
dem-8589	241	23	dimension	dimension	NOUN
dem-8589	241	24	is	be	AUX
dem-8589	241	25	large	large	ADJ
dem-8589	241	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	241	27	which	which	PRON
dem-8589	241	28	corresponds	correspond	VERB
dem-8589	241	29	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	241	30	detailed	detailed	ADJ
dem-8589	241	31	disaggregation	disaggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	241	32	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	1	references	reference	NOUN
dem-8589	242	2	aron	aron	PROPN
dem-8589	242	3	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	4	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	242	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	6	muellbauer	muellbauer	PROPN
dem-8589	242	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	8	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	242	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	10	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	242	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	13	new	new	ADJ
dem-8589	242	14	methods	method	NOUN
dem-8589	242	15	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	242	16	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	242	17	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	242	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	19	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	242	20	to	to	ADP
dem-8589	242	21	the	the	DET
dem-8589	242	22	us	us	PROPN
dem-8589	242	23	*	*	PROPN
dem-8589	242	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	25	oxford	oxford	ADJ
dem-8589	242	26	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
dem-8589	242	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	242	28	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-8589	242	29	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	242	30	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-8589	242	31	75(5	75(5	NUM
dem-8589	242	32	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	34	637–661	637–661	NUM
dem-8589	242	35	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	36	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	242	37	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	242	38	http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2012.00728.x	http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2012.00728.x	NOUN
dem-8589	242	39	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	1	castle	castle	PROPN
dem-8589	243	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	4	l.	l.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
dem-8589	243	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	8	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	9	f.	f.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	10	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	11	2010	2010	NUM
dem-8589	243	12	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	13	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	14	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	243	15	from	from	ADP
dem-8589	243	16	disaggregates	disaggregate	NOUN
dem-8589	243	17	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	243	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	243	19	face	face	NOUN
dem-8589	243	20	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	21	location	location	NOUN
dem-8589	243	22	shifts	shift	NOUN
dem-8589	243	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	24	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	243	25	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	26	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	243	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	28	29(1–2	29(1–2	PROPN
dem-8589	243	29	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	30	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	31	200–214	200–214	NUM
dem-8589	243	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	33	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	243	34	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	35	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.1140	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.1140	PROPN
dem-8589	243	36	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	37	clark	clark	PROPN
dem-8589	243	38	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	39	t.	t.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	40	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	41	2006	2006	NUM
dem-8589	243	42	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	43	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	44	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	243	45	evidence	evidence	NOUN
dem-8589	243	46	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	243	47	the	the	DET
dem-8589	243	48	persistence	persistence	NOUN
dem-8589	243	49	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	50	consumer	consumer	NOUN
dem-8589	243	51	price	price	NOUN
dem-8589	243	52	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	243	53	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	54	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	243	55	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	56	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	243	57	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	243	58	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	59	21(5	21(5	NUM
dem-8589	243	60	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	61	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	62	563–587	563–587	NUM
dem-8589	243	63	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	64	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	243	65	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	66	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.859	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.859	PROPN
dem-8589	243	67	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	68	clark	clark	PROPN
dem-8589	243	69	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	70	t.	t.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	71	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	72	ravazzolo	ravazzolo	PROPN
dem-8589	243	73	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	74	f.	f.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	75	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	76	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	243	77	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	78	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	79	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
dem-8589	243	80	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	243	81	performance	performance	NOUN
dem-8589	243	82	under	under	ADP
dem-8589	243	83	alternative	alternative	ADJ
dem-8589	243	84	specifications	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	243	85	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	86	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	243	87	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	88	varying	vary	VERB
dem-8589	243	89	volatility	volatility	NOUN
dem-8589	243	90	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	91	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	243	92	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	93	applied	apply	VERB
dem-8589	243	94	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	243	95	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	96	30(4	30(4	NUM
dem-8589	243	97	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	98	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	99	551–575	551–575	NUM
dem-8589	243	100	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	101	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	243	102	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	103	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.2379	http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jae.2379	PROPN
dem-8589	243	104	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	105	dees	dees	PROPN
dem-8589	243	106	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	107	s.	s.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	108	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	109	guntner	guntner	NOUN
dem-8589	243	110	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	111	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	112	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	113	2014	2014	NUM
dem-8589	243	114	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	115	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	116	analysing	analyse	VERB
dem-8589	243	117	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	243	118	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	243	119	price	price	NOUN
dem-8589	243	120	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
dem-8589	243	121	across	across	ADP
dem-8589	243	122	euro	euro	NOUN
dem-8589	243	123	area	area	NOUN
dem-8589	243	124	countries	country	NOUN
dem-8589	243	125	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	243	126	sectors	sector	NOUN
dem-8589	243	127	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	128	a	a	DET
dem-8589	243	129	panel	panel	NOUN
dem-8589	243	130	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	243	131	approach	approach	NOUN
dem-8589	243	132	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	133	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-8589	243	134	working	working	NOUN
dem-8589	243	135	papers	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	243	136	2014	2014	NUM
dem-8589	243	137	-	-	SYM
dem-8589	243	138	10	10	NUM
dem-8589	243	139	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	140	department	department	NOUN
dem-8589	243	141	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	142	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-8589	243	143	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	144	johannes	johannes	PROPN
dem-8589	243	145	kepler	kepler	PROPN
dem-8589	243	146	university	university	PROPN
dem-8589	243	147	linz	linz	PROPN
dem-8589	243	148	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	149	austria	austria	PROPN
dem-8589	243	150	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	151	doornik	doornik	PROPN
dem-8589	243	152	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	153	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	154	a.	a.	PROPN
dem-8589	243	155	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	156	ooms	oom	NOUN
dem-8589	243	157	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	158	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-8589	243	159	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	160	2003	2003	NUM
dem-8589	243	161	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	162	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	163	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	243	164	aspects	aspect	NOUN
dem-8589	243	165	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	166	maximum	maximum	ADJ
dem-8589	243	167	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
dem-8589	243	168	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	243	169	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	243	170	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
dem-8589	243	171	fractionally	fractionally	ADV
dem-8589	243	172	integrated	integrate	VERB
dem-8589	243	173	moving	move	VERB
dem-8589	243	174	average	average	ADJ
dem-8589	243	175	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	243	176	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	177	computational	computational	ADJ
dem-8589	243	178	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-8589	243	179	&	&	CCONJ
dem-8589	243	180	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	243	181	analysis	analysis	NOUN
dem-8589	243	182	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	183	42(3	42(3	NUM
dem-8589	243	184	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	185	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	186	333–348	333–348	NUM
dem-8589	243	187	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	188	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	243	189	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	243	190	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-9473(02)00212-8	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0167-9473(02)00212-8	PROPN
dem-8589	243	191	.	.	NOUN
dem-8589	243	192	3	3	NUM
dem-8589	243	193	the	the	DET
dem-8589	243	194	author	author	NOUN
dem-8589	243	195	would	would	AUX
dem-8589	243	196	like	like	VERB
dem-8589	243	197	to	to	PART
dem-8589	243	198	thank	thank	VERB
dem-8589	243	199	jacek	jacek	PROPN
dem-8589	243	200	osiewalski	osiewalski	PROPN
dem-8589	243	201	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	243	202	the	the	DET
dem-8589	243	203	valuable	valuable	ADJ
dem-8589	243	204	suggestion	suggestion	NOUN
dem-8589	243	205	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	1	density	density	NOUN
dem-8589	244	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	244	3	based	base	VERB
dem-8589	244	4	on	on	ADP
dem-8589	244	5	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	244	6	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	244	7	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	8	nowcasting	nowcaste	VERB
dem-8589	244	9	polish	polish	ADJ
dem-8589	244	10	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	244	11	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
dem-8589	244	12	econometric	econometric	ADJ
dem-8589	244	13	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	244	14	15	15	NUM
dem-8589	244	15	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	16	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	244	17	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	18	71–87	71–87	PROPN
dem-8589	244	19	87	87	NUM
dem-8589	244	20	faust	faust	PROPN
dem-8589	244	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	22	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	244	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	24	wright	wright	PROPN
dem-8589	244	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	26	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	244	27	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-8589	244	28	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	29	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	244	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	32	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	244	33	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	244	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	35	in	in	ADP
dem-8589	244	36	elliott	elliott	PROPN
dem-8589	244	37	g.	g.	PROPN
dem-8589	244	38	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	244	39	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
dem-8589	244	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	1	a.	a.	NOUN
dem-8589	245	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	3	eds	eds	PROPN
dem-8589	245	4	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	5	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	7	handbook	handbook	NOUN
dem-8589	245	8	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	245	9	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	245	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	245	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	12	vol	vol	NOUN
dem-8589	245	13	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	14	2a	2a	NUM
dem-8589	245	15	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	16	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
dem-8589	245	17	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	18	north	north	NOUN
dem-8589	245	19	holland	holland	PROPN
dem-8589	245	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	21	doi	doi	PROPN
dem-8589	245	22	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	245	23	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-53683-9.00001-3	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-53683-9.00001-3	PROPN
dem-8589	245	24	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	246	1	frühwirth	frühwirth	NOUN
dem-8589	246	2	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	246	3	schnatter	schnatter	NOUN
dem-8589	246	4	s.	s.	PROPN
dem-8589	246	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	246	6	wagner	wagner	PROPN
dem-8589	246	7	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	1	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	2	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	3	2010	2010	NUM
dem-8589	247	4	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	6	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	247	7	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	247	8	specification	specification	NOUN
dem-8589	247	9	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	247	10	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	247	11	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	247	12	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	247	13	partial	partial	ADJ
dem-8589	247	14	non	non	ADJ
dem-8589	247	15	-	-	ADJ
dem-8589	247	16	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
dem-8589	247	17	state	state	NOUN
dem-8589	247	18	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	247	19	models	model	NOUN
dem-8589	247	20	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	21	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	247	22	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	247	23	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	247	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	25	154	154	NUM
dem-8589	247	26	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	27	85	85	NUM
dem-8589	247	28	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	29	–	–	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	30	100	100	NUM
dem-8589	247	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	32	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	247	33	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	34	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.07.003	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.07.003	PROPN
dem-8589	247	35	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	36	george	george	PROPN
dem-8589	247	37	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	38	e.	e.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	39	i.	i.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	40	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	41	sun	sun	PROPN
dem-8589	247	42	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	43	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	44	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	45	ni	ni	PROPN
dem-8589	247	46	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	47	s.	s.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	48	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	49	2008	2008	NUM
dem-8589	247	50	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	51	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	52	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
dem-8589	247	53	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
dem-8589	247	54	search	search	NOUN
dem-8589	247	55	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	247	56	var	var	NOUN
dem-8589	247	57	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	247	58	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
dem-8589	247	59	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	60	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	247	61	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	247	62	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	247	63	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	64	142(1	142(1	NUM
dem-8589	247	65	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	66	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	67	553–580	553–580	NUM
dem-8589	247	68	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	69	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	247	70	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	71	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.08.017	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.08.017	PROPN
dem-8589	247	72	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	73	giacomini	giacomini	PROPN
dem-8589	247	74	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	75	r.	r.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	76	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	77	granger	granger	PROPN
dem-8589	247	78	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	79	c.	c.	PROPN
dem-8589	247	80	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	81	2004	2004	NUM
dem-8589	247	82	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	83	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	84	aggregation	aggregation	NOUN
dem-8589	247	85	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	247	86	space	space	NOUN
dem-8589	247	87	-	-	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	88	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	247	89	processes	process	NOUN
dem-8589	247	90	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	91	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	247	92	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	247	93	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
dem-8589	247	94	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	95	118(1	118(1	NUM
dem-8589	247	96	-	-	SYM
dem-8589	247	97	2	2	NUM
dem-8589	247	98	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	99	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	100	7–26	7–26	NOUN
dem-8589	247	101	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	247	102	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	247	103	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	248	1	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(03)00132-5	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(03)00132-5	ADJ
dem-8589	248	2	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	1	gneiting	gneiting	NOUN
dem-8589	249	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	3	t.	t.	PROPN
dem-8589	249	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	5	raftery	raftery	ADV
dem-8589	249	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	7	a.	a.	NOUN
dem-8589	249	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	9	2007	2007	NUM
dem-8589	249	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	12	strictly	strictly	ADV
dem-8589	249	13	proper	proper	ADJ
dem-8589	249	14	scoring	scoring	NOUN
dem-8589	249	15	rules	rule	NOUN
dem-8589	249	16	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	17	prediction	prediction	NOUN
dem-8589	249	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	19	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	249	20	estimation	estimation	NOUN
dem-8589	249	21	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	22	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	249	23	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	249	24	the	the	DET
dem-8589	249	25	american	american	PROPN
dem-8589	249	26	statistical	statistical	PROPN
dem-8589	249	27	association	association	PROPN
dem-8589	249	28	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	29	102(477	102(477	NUM
dem-8589	249	30	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	32	359–378	359–378	NUM
dem-8589	249	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	34	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	249	35	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	249	36	http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/016214506000001437	http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/016214506000001437	PROPN
dem-8589	249	37	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	1	hendry	hendry	PROPN
dem-8589	250	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	3	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-8589	250	4	f.	f.	PROPN
dem-8589	250	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	6	hubrich	hubrich	PROPN
dem-8589	250	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	8	k.	k.	PROPN
dem-8589	250	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	10	2011	2011	NUM
dem-8589	250	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	13	combining	combine	VERB
dem-8589	250	14	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	250	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	250	16	or	or	CCONJ
dem-8589	250	17	combining	combine	VERB
dem-8589	250	18	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	250	19	information	information	NOUN
dem-8589	250	20	to	to	PART
dem-8589	250	21	forecast	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	250	22	an	an	DET
dem-8589	250	23	aggregate	aggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	250	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	25	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	250	26	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	250	27	business	business	PROPN
dem-8589	250	28	&	&	CCONJ
dem-8589	250	29	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	250	30	statistics	statistic	NOUN
dem-8589	250	31	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	32	29(2	29(2	NOUN
dem-8589	250	33	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	35	216–227	216–227	NUM
dem-8589	250	36	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	37	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	250	38	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	250	39	http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/jbes.2009.07112	http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/jbes.2009.07112	ADJ
dem-8589	250	40	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	1	hubrich	hubrich	PROPN
dem-8589	251	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	3	k	k	X
dem-8589	251	4	..	..	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	5	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	6	2005	2005	NUM
dem-8589	251	7	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	8	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
dem-8589	251	10	euro	euro	NOUN
dem-8589	251	11	area	area	NOUN
dem-8589	251	12	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	251	13	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	14	does	do	AUX
dem-8589	251	15	aggregating	aggregate	VERB
dem-8589	251	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	251	17	by	by	ADP
dem-8589	251	18	hicp	hicp	PROPN
dem-8589	251	19	component	component	NOUN
dem-8589	251	20	improve	improve	VERB
dem-8589	251	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	251	22	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-8589	251	23	?	?	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	24	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	25	international	international	ADJ
dem-8589	251	26	journal	journal	NOUN
dem-8589	251	27	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	251	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	251	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	30	21(1	21(1	NUM
dem-8589	251	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	32	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	33	119–136	119–136	NUM
dem-8589	251	34	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	35	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	251	36	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	251	37	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.04.005	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2004.04.005	PROPN
dem-8589	251	38	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	1	huwiler	huwiler	PROPN
dem-8589	252	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	3	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-8589	252	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	5	kaufmann	kaufmann	PROPN
dem-8589	252	6	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	7	d.	d.	PROPN
dem-8589	252	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	9	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	252	10	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	12	combining	combine	VERB
dem-8589	252	13	disaggregate	disaggregate	ADJ
dem-8589	252	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	252	15	for	for	ADP
dem-8589	252	16	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	252	17	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	18	the	the	DET
dem-8589	252	19	snb	snb	PROPN
dem-8589	252	20	's	's	PART
dem-8589	252	21	arima	arima	PROPN
dem-8589	252	22	model	model	NOUN
dem-8589	252	23	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	24	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	252	25	studies	study	NOUN
dem-8589	252	26	2013	2013	NUM
dem-8589	252	27	-	-	SYM
dem-8589	252	28	07	07	NUM
dem-8589	252	29	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	252	30	swiss	swiss	ADJ
dem-8589	252	31	national	national	PROPN
dem-8589	252	32	bank	bank	PROPN
dem-8589	252	33	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	1	ibarra	ibarra	PROPN
dem-8589	253	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	3	r.	r.	PROPN
dem-8589	253	4	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	5	2012	2012	NUM
dem-8589	253	6	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	8	do	do	AUX
dem-8589	253	9	disaggregated	disaggregate	VERB
dem-8589	253	10	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	253	11	data	datum	NOUN
dem-8589	253	12	improve	improve	VERB
dem-8589	253	13	the	the	DET
dem-8589	253	14	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
dem-8589	253	15	of	of	ADP
dem-8589	253	16	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	253	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
dem-8589	253	18	?	?	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	19	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	20	economic	economic	ADJ
dem-8589	253	21	modelling	modelling	NOUN
dem-8589	253	22	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	23	29(4	29(4	NOUN
dem-8589	253	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	25	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	26	1305–1313	1305–1313	NUM
dem-8589	253	27	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	28	doi	doi	NOUN
dem-8589	253	29	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	30	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.017	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.017	PROPN
dem-8589	253	31	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	32	lütkepohl	lütkepohl	PROPN
dem-8589	253	33	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	34	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-8589	253	35	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	36	2009	2009	NUM
dem-8589	253	37	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	38	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	39	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
dem-8589	253	40	aggregated	aggregate	VERB
dem-8589	253	41	time	time	NOUN
dem-8589	253	42	series	series	PROPN
dem-8589	253	43	variables	variable	VERB
dem-8589	253	44	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	45	a	a	DET
dem-8589	253	46	survey	survey	NOUN
dem-8589	253	47	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	48	economics	economic	NOUN
dem-8589	253	49	working	work	VERB
dem-8589	253	50	papers	paper	NOUN
dem-8589	253	51	eco2009/17	eco2009/17	ADP
dem-8589	253	52	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	253	53	european	european	PROPN
dem-8589	253	54	university	university	PROPN
dem-8589	253	55	institute	institute	PROPN
dem-8589	253	56	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	1	stock	stock	PROPN
dem-8589	254	2	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	3	j.	j.	PROPN
dem-8589	254	4	h.	h.	PROPN
dem-8589	254	5	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	6	watson	watson	PROPN
dem-8589	254	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	8	m.	m.	NOUN
dem-8589	254	9	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	10	2015	2015	NUM
dem-8589	254	11	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	13	core	core	ADJ
dem-8589	254	14	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	254	15	and	and	CCONJ
dem-8589	254	16	trend	trend	NOUN
dem-8589	254	17	inflation	inflation	NOUN
dem-8589	254	18	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	254	19	nber	nber	PROPN
dem-8589	254	20	working	working	PROPN
dem-8589	254	21	paper	paper	PROPN
dem-8589	254	22	no	no	INTJ
dem-8589	254	23	.	.	PROPN
dem-8589	254	24	21282	21282	NUM
dem-8589	254	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	255	1	własności	własności	PROPN
dem-8589	255	2	rozkładów	rozkładów	PROPN
dem-8589	255	3	predyktywnych	predyktywnych	PROPN
dem-8589	255	4	z	z	PROPN
dem-8589	255	5	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-8589	255	6	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	255	7	danych	danych	PROPN
dem-8589	255	8	zdezagregowanych	zdezagregowanych	PROPN
dem-8589	255	9	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	255	10	prognoza	prognoza	PROPN
dem-8589	255	11	inflacji	inflacji	PROPN
dem-8589	256	1	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	256	2	polsce	polsce	PROPN
dem-8589	256	3	z	z	PROPN
dem-8589	257	1	a	a	DET
dem-8589	257	2	r	r	NOUN
dem-8589	257	3	y	y	PROPN
dem-8589	257	4	s	s	PROPN
dem-8589	257	5	t	t	NOUN
dem-8589	257	6	r	r	NOUN
dem-8589	257	7	e	e	PROPN
dem-8589	257	8	ś	ś	PROPN
dem-8589	257	9	c	c	PROPN
dem-8589	257	10	i.	i.	PROPN
dem-8589	257	11	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	257	12	artykule	artykule	PROPN
dem-8589	257	13	podjęto	podjęto	VERB
dem-8589	257	14	kwestię	kwestię	PROPN
dem-8589	257	15	weryfikacji	weryfikacji	PROPN
dem-8589	257	16	występowania	występowania	PROPN
dem-8589	257	17	korzyści	korzyści	PROPN
dem-8589	257	18	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	257	19	zakresie	zakresie	PROPN
dem-8589	257	20	poprawy	poprawy	PROPN
dem-8589	257	21	jakości	jakości	PROPN
dem-8589	257	22	prognostycznej	prognostycznej	PROPN
dem-8589	257	23	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	257	24	oceniając	oceniając	PROPN
dem-8589	257	25	także	także	PROPN
dem-8589	257	26	trafność	trafność	NOUN
dem-8589	257	27	ex	ex	X
dem-8589	257	28	post	post	PROPN
dem-8589	257	29	rozkładów	rozkładów	PROPN
dem-8589	257	30	prognoz	prognoz	PROPN
dem-8589	257	31	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	257	32	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	257	33	przypadku	przypadku	PROPN
dem-8589	257	34	prognozowania	prognozowania	PROPN
dem-8589	257	35	agregatu	agregatu	VERB
dem-8589	257	36	na	na	AUX
dem-8589	257	37	podstawie	podstawie	PROPN
dem-8589	258	1	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-8589	258	2	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	258	3	danych	danych	PROPN
dem-8589	258	4	zdezagregowanych	zdezagregowanych	PROPN
dem-8589	258	5	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	259	1	problem	problem	NOUN
dem-8589	259	2	ten	ten	NUM
dem-8589	259	3	rozpatrywano	rozpatrywano	NOUN
dem-8589	259	4	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	259	5	ramach	ramach	PROPN
dem-8589	259	6	modelu	modelu	PROPN
dem-8589	259	7	wektorowej	wektorowej	PROPN
dem-8589	259	8	autoregresji	autoregresji	VERB
dem-8589	259	9	z	z	PROPN
dem-8589	259	10	restrykcjami	restrykcjami	PROPN
dem-8589	259	11	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	259	12	przy	przy	PROPN
dem-8589	259	13	czym	czym	PROPN
dem-8589	259	14	alternatywne	alternatywne	PROPN
dem-8589	259	15	specyfikacje	specyfikacje	NOUN
dem-8589	259	16	odpowiadały	odpowiadały	NOUN
dem-8589	259	17	różnym	różnym	NOUN
dem-8589	259	18	układom	układom	ADJ
dem-8589	259	19	restrykcji	restrykcji	NOUN
dem-8589	259	20	zerowych	zerowych	NOUN
dem-8589	259	21	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	260	1	zaprezentowano	zaprezentowano	PROPN
dem-8589	260	2	empiryczną	empiryczną	PROPN
dem-8589	260	3	analizę	analizę	PROPN
dem-8589	260	4	stopy	stopy	VERB
dem-8589	260	5	inflacji	inflacji	PROPN
dem-8589	260	6	cpi	cpi	PROPN
dem-8589	260	7	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	260	8	/	/	PROPN
dem-8589	260	9	m	m	PROPN
dem-8589	260	10	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	260	11	polsce	polsce	NOUN
dem-8589	260	12	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	260	13	rozpatrując	rozpatrując	NOUN
dem-8589	260	14	14	14	NUM
dem-8589	260	15	podkategorii	podkategorii	NOUN
dem-8589	260	16	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	260	17	danych	danych	NOUN
dem-8589	260	18	zdezagregowanych	zdezagregowanych	PROPN
dem-8589	260	19	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	260	20	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	261	1	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-8589	261	2	z	z	PROPN
dem-8589	261	3	restrykcjami	restrykcjami	PROPN
dem-8589	261	4	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	261	5	danych	danych	PROPN
dem-8589	261	6	zdezagregowanych	zdezagregowanych	NOUN
dem-8589	261	7	prowadziły	prowadziły	PROPN
dem-8589	261	8	do	do	VERB
dem-8589	261	9	lepszych	lepszych	PROPN
dem-8589	261	10	prognoz	prognoz	PROPN
dem-8589	261	11	agregatu	agregatu	PROPN
dem-8589	261	12	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	261	13	porównaniu	porównaniu	PROPN
dem-8589	261	14	do	do	AUX
dem-8589	261	15	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-8589	261	16	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	261	17	danych	danych	NOUN
dem-8589	261	18	zagregowanych	zagregowanych	NOUN
dem-8589	262	1	i	i	PRON
dem-8589	262	2	modeli	modeli	VERB
dem-8589	262	3	dla	dla	NOUN
dem-8589	262	4	danych	danych	PROPN
dem-8589	262	5	zdezagregowanych	zdezagregowanych	PROPN
dem-8589	262	6	bez	bez	PROPN
dem-8589	262	7	restrykcji	restrykcji	PROPN
dem-8589	262	8	(	(	PUNCT
dem-8589	262	9	do	do	AUX
dem-8589	262	10	porównania	porównania	NOUN
dem-8589	262	11	prognoz	prognoz	PROPN
dem-8589	262	12	wykorzystano	wykorzystano	PROPN
dem-8589	262	13	kryteria	kryteria	PROPN
dem-8589	262	14	dla	dla	PROPN
dem-8589	262	15	rozkładów	rozkładów	PROPN
dem-8589	262	16	prognoz	prognoz	PROPN
dem-8589	262	17	takie	takie	PROPN
dem-8589	262	18	jak	jak	PROPN
dem-8589	262	19	crps	crps	PROPN
dem-8589	262	20	oraz	oraz	PROPN
dem-8589	262	21	logarytm	logarytm	PROPN
dem-8589	262	22	gęstości	gęstości	PROPN
dem-8589	262	23	predyktywnej	predyktywnej	NOUN
dem-8589	262	24	)	)	PUNCT
dem-8589	262	25	.	.	PUNCT
dem-8589	263	1	s	s	PART
dem-8589	264	1	ł	ł	PROPN
dem-8589	264	2	o	o	X
dem-8589	264	3	w	w	NOUN
dem-8589	264	4	a	a	DET
dem-8589	264	5	k	k	X
dem-8589	264	6	l	l	NOUN
dem-8589	264	7	u	u	NOUN
dem-8589	265	1	c	c	NOUN
dem-8589	265	2	z	z	NOUN
dem-8589	265	3	o	o	X
dem-8589	265	4	w	w	PROPN
dem-8589	266	1	e	e	NOUN
dem-8589	266	2	:	:	PUNCT
dem-8589	266	3	predykcja	predykcja	NOUN
dem-8589	266	4	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	266	5	porównanie	porównanie	PROPN
dem-8589	266	6	modeli	modeli	PROPN
dem-8589	266	7	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	266	8	rozkład	rozkład	NOUN
dem-8589	266	9	predyktywny	predyktywny	NOUN
dem-8589	266	10	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	266	11	inflacja	inflacja	NOUN
dem-8589	266	12	,	,	PUNCT
dem-8589	266	13	modele	modele	PROPN
dem-8589	266	14	var	var	PROPN
dem-8589	266	15	pusta	pusta	PROPN
dem-8589	266	16	strona	strona	PROPN