id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
elp-2472	1	1	microsoft	microsoft	PROPN
elp-2472	1	2	word	word	PROPN
elp-2472	1	3	elp	elp	PROPN
elp-2472	1	4	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	5	v2n2	v2n2	ADJ
elp-2472	1	6	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	7	p229	p229	NOUN
elp-2472	1	8	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	1	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	10	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	1	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	1	12	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	1	13	issn	issn	VERB
elp-2472	1	14	2576	2576	NUM
elp-2472	1	15	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	1	16	2060	2060	NUM
elp-2472	1	17	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	18	print	print	NOUN
elp-2472	1	19	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	20	issn	issn	PROPN
elp-2472	1	21	2576	2576	NUM
elp-2472	1	22	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	1	23	2052	2052	NUM
elp-2472	1	24	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	25	online	online	ADJ
elp-2472	1	26	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	1	27	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	1	28	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	2	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	2	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	2	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	2	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	2	8	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	VERB
elp-2472	2	9	229	229	NUM
elp-2472	2	10	original	original	ADJ
elp-2472	2	11	paper	paper	NOUN
elp-2472	2	12	an	an	DET
elp-2472	2	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	2	14	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	15	the	the	DET
elp-2472	2	16	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	2	17	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	18	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	19	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	2	20	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	2	21	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	22	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	2	23	the	the	DET
elp-2472	2	24	usa	usa	PROPN
elp-2472	2	25	based	base	VERB
elp-2472	2	26	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	2	27	r	r	PROPN
elp-2472	2	28	language	language	PROPN
elp-2472	2	29	luo	luo	PROPN
elp-2472	2	30	shuang	shuang	PROPN
elp-2472	2	31	-	-	PROPN
elp-2472	2	32	lin1	lin1	PROPN
elp-2472	2	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	34	zhou	zhou	PROPN
elp-2472	2	35	min1	min1	PROPN
elp-2472	2	36	*	*	PROPN
elp-2472	2	37	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	38	tang	tang	PROPN
elp-2472	2	39	chong	chong	PROPN
elp-2472	2	40	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	41	tai2	tai2	PROPN
elp-2472	2	42	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	2	43	school	school	NOUN
elp-2472	2	44	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	45	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	2	46	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	47	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	48	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	49	hunan	hunan	PROPN
elp-2472	2	50	university	university	PROPN
elp-2472	2	51	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	52	technology	technology	NOUN
elp-2472	2	53	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	54	business	business	NOUN
elp-2472	2	55	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	56	hunan	hunan	PROPN
elp-2472	2	57	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	58	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	59	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	2	60	carfax	carfax	NOUN
elp-2472	2	61	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	62	new	new	PROPN
elp-2472	2	63	york	york	PROPN
elp-2472	2	64	20120	20120	NUM
elp-2472	2	65	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	66	usa	usa	PROPN
elp-2472	2	67	*	*	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	68	zhou	zhou	PROPN
elp-2472	2	69	min	min	PROPN
elp-2472	2	70	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	71	school	school	NOUN
elp-2472	2	72	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	73	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	2	74	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	75	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	76	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	77	hunan	hunan	PROPN
elp-2472	2	78	university	university	PROPN
elp-2472	2	79	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	2	80	technology	technology	NOUN
elp-2472	2	81	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	82	business	business	NOUN
elp-2472	2	83	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	84	hunan	hunan	PROPN
elp-2472	2	85	41205	41205	NUM
elp-2472	2	86	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	87	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	88	received	receive	VERB
elp-2472	2	89	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	90	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	2	91	17	17	NUM
elp-2472	2	92	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	93	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	2	94	accepted	accept	VERB
elp-2472	2	95	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	96	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	2	97	25	25	NUM
elp-2472	2	98	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	99	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	2	100	online	online	ADV
elp-2472	2	101	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	2	102	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	103	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	2	104	29	29	NUM
elp-2472	2	105	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	106	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	2	107	doi:10.22158	doi:10.22158	NOUN
elp-2472	2	108	/	/	SYM
elp-2472	2	109	elp.v2n2p229	elp.v2n2p229	PROPN
elp-2472	2	110	url	url	PROPN
elp-2472	2	111	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	112	http://dx.doi.org/10.22158/elp.v2n2p229	http://dx.doi.org/10.22158/elp.v2n2p229	NOUN
elp-2472	2	113	abstract	abstract	ADV
elp-2472	2	114	after	after	SCONJ
elp-2472	2	115	president	president	PROPN
elp-2472	2	116	trump	trump	NOUN
elp-2472	2	117	came	come	VERB
elp-2472	2	118	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	2	119	power	power	NOUN
elp-2472	2	120	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	121	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	2	122	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	2	123	to	to	PART
elp-2472	2	124	change	change	VERB
elp-2472	2	125	the	the	DET
elp-2472	2	126	“	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	127	imbalance	imbalance	NOUN
elp-2472	2	128	”	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	129	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	2	130	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	131	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	132	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	2	133	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	134	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	135	he	he	PRON
elp-2472	2	136	launched	launch	VERB
elp-2472	2	137	a	a	DET
elp-2472	2	138	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	139	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	2	140	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	2	141	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	142	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	143	which	which	PRON
elp-2472	2	144	led	lead	VERB
elp-2472	2	145	to	to	PART
elp-2472	2	146	increase	increase	VERB
elp-2472	2	147	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
elp-2472	2	148	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	2	149	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	2	150	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	2	151	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	2	152	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	2	153	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	2	154	increased	increase	VERB
elp-2472	2	155	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	2	156	volatility	volatility	NOUN
elp-2472	2	157	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	1	based	base	VERB
elp-2472	3	2	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	3	3	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	3	4	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	3	5	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	3	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	7	this	this	DET
elp-2472	3	8	paper	paper	NOUN
elp-2472	3	9	compares	compare	VERB
elp-2472	3	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	3	11	advantages	advantage	NOUN
elp-2472	3	12	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	3	13	disadvantages	disadvantage	NOUN
elp-2472	3	14	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	3	15	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	3	16	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	3	17	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	18	p	p	X
elp-2472	3	19	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	20	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	3	21	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	22	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	3	23	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	24	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	3	25	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	3	26	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	3	27	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	28	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	3	29	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	3	30	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	31	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	3	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	33	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	3	34	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	35	a	a	DET
elp-2472	3	36	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	37	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	3	38	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	3	39	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	3	40	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	3	41	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	3	42	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	3	43	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	3	44	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	3	45	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	3	46	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	3	47	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	3	48	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	3	49	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	3	50	the	the	DET
elp-2472	3	51	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	3	52	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	3	53	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	1	then	then	ADV
elp-2472	4	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	4	4	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	4	5	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	6	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	4	7	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	4	8	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	9	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	4	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	11	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	4	12	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	13	a	a	DET
elp-2472	4	14	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	4	15	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	4	16	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	4	17	selected	select	VERB
elp-2472	4	18	to	to	PART
elp-2472	4	19	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	4	20	the	the	DET
elp-2472	4	21	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	4	22	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	4	23	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	4	24	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	4	25	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	4	26	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	4	27	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	4	28	the	the	DET
elp-2472	4	29	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	4	30	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	4	31	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	4	32	the	the	DET
elp-2472	4	33	months	month	NOUN
elp-2472	4	34	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	4	35	2009	2009	NUM
elp-2472	4	36	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	4	37	2020	2020	NUM
elp-2472	4	38	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	5	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	5	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	5	3	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	5	4	show	show	VERB
elp-2472	5	5	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	5	6	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	5	7	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	5	8	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	5	9	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	5	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	5	11	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	5	12	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	5	13	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	5	14	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	5	15	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	5	16	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	6	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	6	2	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	6	3	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
elp-2472	6	4	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	6	5	smaller	small	ADJ
elp-2472	6	6	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	6	7	that	that	PRON
elp-2472	6	8	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	6	9	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	6	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	6	11	but	but	CCONJ
elp-2472	6	12	the	the	DET
elp-2472	6	13	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	6	14	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	6	15	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	6	16	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	6	17	has	have	AUX
elp-2472	6	18	decreased	decrease	VERB
elp-2472	6	19	significantly	significantly	ADV
elp-2472	6	20	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	7	1	finally	finally	ADV
elp-2472	7	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	7	3	some	some	DET
elp-2472	7	4	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
elp-2472	7	5	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	7	6	put	put	VERB
elp-2472	7	7	forward	forward	ADV
elp-2472	7	8	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
elp-2472	8	2	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	8	3	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	8	4	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	5	p	p	X
elp-2472	8	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	7	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	8	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	9	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	8	10	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	11	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	8	12	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	13	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	8	14	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	15	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	8	16	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	8	17	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	18	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	8	19	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	20	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	8	21	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	22	a	a	DET
elp-2472	8	23	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	24	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	8	25	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	26	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	8	27	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	8	28	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	8	29	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	8	31	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	8	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	33	introduction	introduction	NOUN
elp-2472	8	34	against	against	ADP
elp-2472	8	35	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	36	background	background	NOUN
elp-2472	8	37	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	8	38	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	39	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	8	40	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	8	41	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	8	42	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	8	43	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	8	44	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	45	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	8	46	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	8	47	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	48	some	some	DET
elp-2472	8	49	scholars	scholar	NOUN
elp-2472	8	50	conducted	conduct	VERB
elp-2472	8	51	studies	study	NOUN
elp-2472	8	52	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	8	53	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	54	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	8	55	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	8	56	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	57	development	development	NOUN
elp-2472	8	58	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	8	59	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	8	60	sino	sino	ADJ
elp-2472	8	61	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	62	american	american	ADJ
elp-2472	8	63	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	8	64	through	through	ADP
elp-2472	8	65	cge	cge	PROPN
elp-2472	8	66	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	8	67	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	68	game	game	NOUN
elp-2472	8	69	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	8	70	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	8	71	tv	tv	NOUN
elp-2472	8	72	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	73	stvar	stvar	PROPN
elp-2472	8	74	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	8	75	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	76	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	8	77	the	the	DET
elp-2472	8	78	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	8	79	showed	show	VERB
elp-2472	8	80	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	8	81	bilateral	bilateral	ADJ
elp-2472	8	82	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	8	83	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	8	84	gdp	gdp	NOUN
elp-2472	8	85	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	8	86	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	8	87	social	social	ADJ
elp-2472	8	88	welfare	welfare	NOUN
elp-2472	8	89	would	would	AUX
elp-2472	8	90	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	8	91	affected	affect	VERB
elp-2472	8	92	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	9	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	9	2	recent	recent	ADJ
elp-2472	9	3	years	year	NOUN
elp-2472	9	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	9	5	many	many	ADJ
elp-2472	9	6	scholars	scholar	NOUN
elp-2472	9	7	have	have	AUX
elp-2472	9	8	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	9	9	relevant	relevant	ADJ
elp-2472	9	10	models	model	NOUN
elp-2472	9	11	to	to	PART
elp-2472	9	12	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	9	13	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	9	14	analyze	analyze	VERB
elp-2472	9	15	social	social	ADJ
elp-2472	9	16	phenomena	phenomenon	NOUN
elp-2472	9	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	9	18	industrial	industrial	ADJ
elp-2472	9	19	structure	structure	NOUN
elp-2472	9	20	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	9	21	economic	economic	ADJ
elp-2472	9	22	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	9	23	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	9	24	scientific	scientific	ADJ
elp-2472	9	25	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	9	26	technological	technological	ADJ
elp-2472	9	27	innovation	innovation	NOUN
elp-2472	9	28	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	9	29	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	9	30	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	9	31	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	9	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	10	1	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	10	2	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	10	3	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	10	4	an	an	DET
elp-2472	10	5	open	open	ADJ
elp-2472	10	6	source	source	NOUN
elp-2472	10	7	data	data	NOUN
elp-2472	10	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	10	9	solution	solution	NOUN
elp-2472	10	10	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	10	11	powerful	powerful	ADJ
elp-2472	10	12	statistical	statistical	ADJ
elp-2472	10	13	calculation	calculation	NOUN
elp-2472	10	14	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	10	15	graphic	graphic	ADJ
elp-2472	10	16	display	display	NOUN
elp-2472	10	17	design	design	NOUN
elp-2472	10	18	capabilities	capability	NOUN
elp-2472	10	19	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	11	1	maria	maria	PROPN
elp-2472	11	2	brigida	brigida	PROPN
elp-2472	11	3	ferraro	ferraro	PROPN
elp-2472	11	4	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	11	5	2015	2015	NUM
elp-2472	11	6	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	11	7	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	11	8	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	11	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	11	10	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	11	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	11	12	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	11	13	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	11	14	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	12	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	12	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	12	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	12	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	12	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	12	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	12	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	12	8	230	230	NUM
elp-2472	12	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	12	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	12	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	12	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	12	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	12	14	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	12	15	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	12	16	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	12	17	to	to	PART
elp-2472	12	18	conduct	conduct	VERB
elp-2472	12	19	cluster	cluster	NOUN
elp-2472	12	20	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	12	21	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	12	22	big	big	ADJ
elp-2472	12	23	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	12	24	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	12	25	the	the	DET
elp-2472	12	26	main	main	ADJ
elp-2472	12	27	factors	factor	NOUN
elp-2472	12	28	affecting	affect	VERB
elp-2472	12	29	obesity	obesity	NOUN
elp-2472	12	30	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	13	1	xue	xue	PROPN
elp-2472	13	2	xin	xin	PROPN
elp-2472	13	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	13	4	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	13	5	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	13	6	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	13	7	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	13	8	analyzed	analyze	VERB
elp-2472	13	9	the	the	DET
elp-2472	13	10	exchange	exchange	NOUN
elp-2472	13	11	rate	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	13	12	based	base	VERB
elp-2472	13	13	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	13	14	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	13	15	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	13	16	neural	neural	ADJ
elp-2472	13	17	network	network	NOUN
elp-2472	13	18	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	14	1	wu	wu	PROPN
elp-2472	14	2	mingxin	mingxin	PROPN
elp-2472	14	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	14	4	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	14	5	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	14	6	applied	apply	VERB
elp-2472	14	7	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	14	8	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	14	9	into	into	ADP
elp-2472	14	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	14	11	field	field	NOUN
elp-2472	14	12	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	14	13	auditing	auditing	NOUN
elp-2472	14	14	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	14	15	conducted	conduct	VERB
elp-2472	14	16	big	big	ADJ
elp-2472	14	17	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	14	18	processing	processing	NOUN
elp-2472	14	19	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	14	20	auditing	auditing	NOUN
elp-2472	14	21	finance	finance	NOUN
elp-2472	14	22	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	15	1	zhang	zhang	PROPN
elp-2472	15	2	zhe	zhe	PROPN
elp-2472	15	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	15	4	2013	2013	NUM
elp-2472	15	5	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	15	6	established	establish	VERB
elp-2472	15	7	a	a	DET
elp-2472	15	8	generalized	generalized	ADJ
elp-2472	15	9	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	15	10	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	15	11	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	15	12	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	15	13	a	a	DET
elp-2472	15	14	regression	regression	NOUN
elp-2472	15	15	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	15	16	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	15	17	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	15	18	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	15	19	under	under	ADP
elp-2472	15	20	the	the	DET
elp-2472	15	21	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	15	22	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	15	23	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	15	24	to	to	PART
elp-2472	15	25	forecast	forecast	VERB
elp-2472	15	26	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	15	27	analyze	analyze	VERB
elp-2472	15	28	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	15	29	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	15	30	export	export	PROPN
elp-2472	15	31	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	15	32	volume	volume	NOUN
elp-2472	15	33	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	15	34	tax	tax	NOUN
elp-2472	15	35	revenue	revenue	NOUN
elp-2472	15	36	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	16	1	li	li	PROPN
elp-2472	16	2	ping	ping	PROPN
elp-2472	16	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	16	4	2010	2010	NUM
elp-2472	16	5	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	16	6	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	16	7	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	16	8	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	16	9	statistical	statistical	ADJ
elp-2472	16	10	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	16	11	software	software	NOUN
elp-2472	16	12	to	to	PART
elp-2472	16	13	conduct	conduct	VERB
elp-2472	16	14	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
elp-2472	16	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	16	16	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	16	17	high	high	ADJ
elp-2472	16	18	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	16	19	tech	tech	NOUN
elp-2472	16	20	industry	industry	NOUN
elp-2472	16	21	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	17	2	innovation	innovation	NOUN
elp-2472	17	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	17	4	this	this	DET
elp-2472	17	5	paper	paper	NOUN
elp-2472	17	6	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	17	7	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	17	8	based	base	VERB
elp-2472	17	9	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	17	10	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	17	11	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	17	12	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	17	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	14	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	17	15	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	17	16	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	17	p	p	X
elp-2472	17	18	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	19	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	17	20	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	21	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	17	22	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	23	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	17	24	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	17	25	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	17	26	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	17	27	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	17	28	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	29	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	17	30	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	31	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	17	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	33	a	a	DET
elp-2472	17	34	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	35	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	17	36	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	17	37	applied	apply	VERB
elp-2472	17	38	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	17	39	the	the	DET
elp-2472	17	40	field	field	NOUN
elp-2472	17	41	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	17	42	international	international	ADJ
elp-2472	17	43	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	17	44	to	to	PART
elp-2472	17	45	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	17	46	the	the	DET
elp-2472	17	47	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	17	48	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	49	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	17	50	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	17	51	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	17	52	sino	sino	ADJ
elp-2472	17	53	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	54	american	american	ADJ
elp-2472	17	55	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	17	56	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	17	57	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	58	so	so	SCONJ
elp-2472	17	59	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	17	60	to	to	PART
elp-2472	17	61	study	study	VERB
elp-2472	17	62	the	the	DET
elp-2472	17	63	impact	impact	NOUN
elp-2472	17	64	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	17	65	sino	sino	ADJ
elp-2472	17	66	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	17	67	american	american	ADJ
elp-2472	17	68	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	17	69	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	17	70	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	17	71	provide	provide	VERB
elp-2472	17	72	guidance	guidance	NOUN
elp-2472	17	73	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	17	74	dealing	deal	VERB
elp-2472	17	75	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	17	76	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	17	77	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	17	78	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	18	1	2	2	X
elp-2472	18	2	.	.	X
elp-2472	18	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	18	4	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	18	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	18	6	current	current	ADJ
elp-2472	18	7	situation	situation	NOUN
elp-2472	18	8	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	18	9	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	18	10	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	18	11	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	18	12	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	18	13	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	18	14	to	to	PART
elp-2472	18	15	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	18	16	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	18	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	18	18	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	18	19	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	18	20	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	18	21	seen	see	VERB
elp-2472	18	22	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	18	23	during	during	ADP
elp-2472	18	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	18	25	period	period	NOUN
elp-2472	18	26	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	18	27	2001	2001	NUM
elp-2472	18	28	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	18	29	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	18	30	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	18	31	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	18	32	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	18	33	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	18	34	imports	import	NOUN
elp-2472	18	35	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	18	36	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	18	37	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	18	38	the	the	DET
elp-2472	18	39	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	18	40	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	18	41	showed	show	VERB
elp-2472	18	42	a	a	DET
elp-2472	18	43	steady	steady	ADJ
elp-2472	18	44	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	18	45	every	every	DET
elp-2472	18	46	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	18	47	except	except	SCONJ
elp-2472	18	48	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	18	49	a	a	DET
elp-2472	18	50	decrease	decrease	NOUN
elp-2472	18	51	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	18	52	2009	2009	NUM
elp-2472	18	53	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	18	54	2016	2016	NUM
elp-2472	18	55	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	19	1	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	19	2	has	have	AUX
elp-2472	19	3	always	always	ADV
elp-2472	19	4	maintained	maintain	VERB
elp-2472	19	5	a	a	DET
elp-2472	19	6	large	large	ADJ
elp-2472	19	7	surplus	surplus	NOUN
elp-2472	19	8	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	20	1	except	except	SCONJ
elp-2472	20	2	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	20	3	a	a	DET
elp-2472	20	4	slight	slight	ADJ
elp-2472	20	5	decrease	decrease	NOUN
elp-2472	20	6	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	20	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	20	8	surplus	surplus	NOUN
elp-2472	20	9	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	20	10	2009	2009	NUM
elp-2472	20	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	20	12	the	the	DET
elp-2472	20	13	surplus	surplus	NOUN
elp-2472	20	14	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	20	15	the	the	DET
elp-2472	20	16	other	other	ADJ
elp-2472	20	17	years	year	NOUN
elp-2472	20	18	has	have	AUX
elp-2472	20	19	basically	basically	ADV
elp-2472	20	20	become	become	VERB
elp-2472	20	21	stable	stable	ADJ
elp-2472	20	22	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	1	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	21	2	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	21	3	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	4	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	21	5	imports	import	NOUN
elp-2472	21	6	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	21	7	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	21	8	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	21	9	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	21	10	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	21	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	21	12	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	21	13	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	21	14	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	15	unit	unit	NOUN
elp-2472	21	16	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	17	thousands	thousand	NOUN
elp-2472	21	18	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	21	19	dollars	dollar	NOUN
elp-2472	21	20	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	21	source	source	NOUN
elp-2472	21	22	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	23	“	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	24	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	21	25	statistical	statistical	ADJ
elp-2472	21	26	yearbook	yearbook	NOUN
elp-2472	21	27	”	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	28	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	21	29	“	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	30	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	21	31	customs	customs	PROPN
elp-2472	21	32	statistics	statistic	NOUN
elp-2472	21	33	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	21	34	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	21	35	”	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	21	36	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	22	1	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	22	2	a	a	DET
elp-2472	22	3	long	long	ADJ
elp-2472	22	4	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	22	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	22	6	the	the	DET
elp-2472	22	7	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	22	8	has	have	AUX
elp-2472	22	9	been	be	AUX
elp-2472	22	10	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	22	11	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	22	12	largest	large	ADJ
elp-2472	22	13	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	22	14	market	market	NOUN
elp-2472	22	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	22	16	accounting	account	VERB
elp-2472	22	17	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	22	18	about	about	ADV
elp-2472	22	19	20	20	NUM
elp-2472	22	20	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	22	21	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	22	22	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	22	23	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	22	24	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	22	25	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	23	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	23	2	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	23	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	23	4	the	the	DET
elp-2472	23	5	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	23	6	tariff	tariff	NOUN
elp-2472	23	7	protection	protection	NOUN
elp-2472	23	8	measures	measure	NOUN
elp-2472	23	9	against	against	ADP
elp-2472	23	10	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	23	11	have	have	AUX
elp-2472	23	12	affected	affect	VERB
elp-2472	23	13	the	the	DET
elp-2472	23	14	proportion	proportion	NOUN
elp-2472	23	15	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	23	16	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	23	17	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	23	18	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	23	19	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	23	20	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	23	21	some	some	DET
elp-2472	23	22	extent	extent	NOUN
elp-2472	23	23	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	24	1	however	however	ADV
elp-2472	24	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	24	3	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	24	4	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	24	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	24	6	the	the	DET
elp-2472	24	7	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	24	8	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	24	9	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	24	10	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	24	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	24	12	the	the	DET
elp-2472	24	13	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	24	14	reached	reach	VERB
elp-2472	24	15	us	we	PRON
elp-2472	24	16	$	$	SYM
elp-2472	24	17	63351,941	63351,941	NUM
elp-2472	24	18	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	24	19	an	an	DET
elp-2472	24	20	increase	increase	NOUN
elp-2472	24	21	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	24	22	8.54	8.54	NUM
elp-2472	24	23	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	24	24	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	24	25	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	24	26	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	24	27	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	25	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	25	2	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	25	3	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	25	4	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	25	5	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	25	6	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	25	7	47,8423,17	47,8423,17	NUM
elp-2472	25	8	million	million	NUM
elp-2472	25	9	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	25	10	dollars	dollar	NOUN
elp-2472	25	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	25	12	up	up	ADV
elp-2472	25	13	11.33	11.33	NUM
elp-2472	25	14	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	25	15	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	25	16	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	25	17	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	25	18	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	26	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	26	2	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	26	3	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	26	4	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	26	5	imports	import	NOUN
elp-2472	26	6	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	26	7	us	we	PRON
elp-2472	26	8	$	$	SYM
elp-2472	26	9	155,509,623	155,509,623	NUM
elp-2472	26	10	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	27	1	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	27	2	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	27	3	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	27	4	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	27	5	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	27	6	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	27	7	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	27	8	0.75	0.75	NUM
elp-2472	27	9	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	27	10	;	;	PUNCT
elp-2472	27	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	27	12	surplus	surplus	NOUN
elp-2472	27	13	reached	reach	VERB
elp-2472	27	14	$	$	SYM
elp-2472	27	15	323.32694	323.32694	NUM
elp-2472	27	16	million	million	NUM
elp-2472	27	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	27	18	an	an	DET
elp-2472	27	19	increase	increase	NOUN
elp-2472	27	20	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	27	21	17.24	17.24	NUM
elp-2472	27	22	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	27	23	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	28	1	judging	judge	VERB
elp-2472	28	2	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	28	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	28	4	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	28	5	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	28	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	28	7	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	28	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	28	9	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	28	10	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	28	11	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	29	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	29	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	29	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	29	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	29	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	29	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	29	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	29	8	231	231	NUM
elp-2472	29	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	29	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	29	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	29	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	29	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	29	14	data	data	PROPN
elp-2472	29	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	29	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	29	17	impact	impact	NOUN
elp-2472	29	18	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	29	19	the	the	DET
elp-2472	29	20	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	29	21	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	29	22	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	29	23	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	29	24	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	29	25	the	the	DET
elp-2472	29	26	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	29	27	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	29	28	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	29	29	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	29	30	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	29	31	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	29	32	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	29	33	limited	limited	ADJ
elp-2472	29	34	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	1	3	3	X
elp-2472	30	2	.	.	X
elp-2472	30	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	30	4	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	30	6	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	30	7	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	30	8	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	30	9	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	30	10	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	30	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	12	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	30	13	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	30	14	based	base	VERB
elp-2472	30	15	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	30	16	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	30	17	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	30	18	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	30	19	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	30	20	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	30	21	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	30	22	general	general	PROPN
elp-2472	30	23	administration	administration	PROPN
elp-2472	30	24	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	30	25	customs	custom	NOUN
elp-2472	30	26	issued	issue	VERB
elp-2472	30	27	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	30	28	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	30	29	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	30	30	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	30	31	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	30	32	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	30	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	34	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	35	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	30	36	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	30	37	chinese	chinese	ADJ
elp-2472	30	38	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	30	39	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	30	40	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	41	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	30	42	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	30	43	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	30	44	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	30	45	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	30	46	before	before	ADP
elp-2472	30	47	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	48	after	after	SCONJ
elp-2472	30	49	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	30	50	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	30	51	divided	divide	VERB
elp-2472	30	52	into	into	ADP
elp-2472	30	53	training	training	NOUN
elp-2472	30	54	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	55	testing	testing	NOUN
elp-2472	30	56	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	57	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	58	use	use	VERB
elp-2472	30	59	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	60	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	30	61	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	30	62	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	30	63	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	30	64	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	65	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	30	66	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	67	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	68	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	69	a	a	DET
elp-2472	30	70	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	71	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	30	72	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	73	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	30	74	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	30	75	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	76	p	p	X
elp-2472	30	77	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	78	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	30	79	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	80	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	30	81	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	82	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	30	83	to	to	PART
elp-2472	30	84	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	30	85	respectively	respectively	ADV
elp-2472	30	86	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	87	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	30	88	comparing	compare	VERB
elp-2472	30	89	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	90	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	30	91	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	30	92	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	30	93	two	two	NUM
elp-2472	30	94	models	model	NOUN
elp-2472	30	95	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	30	96	select	select	VERB
elp-2472	30	97	the	the	DET
elp-2472	30	98	best	good	ADJ
elp-2472	30	99	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	30	100	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	30	101	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	31	1	3.1	3.1	NUM
elp-2472	31	2	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	31	3	framework	framework	NOUN
elp-2472	31	4	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	31	5	principles	principle	NOUN
elp-2472	31	6	3.1.1	3.1.1	NUM
elp-2472	31	7	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	31	8	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	31	9	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	31	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	31	11	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	31	12	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	31	13	a	a	DET
elp-2472	31	14	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	31	15	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	31	16	exponential	exponential	NOUN
elp-2472	31	17	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	31	18	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	31	19	the	the	DET
elp-2472	31	20	most	most	ADV
elp-2472	31	21	common	common	ADJ
elp-2472	31	22	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	31	23	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	31	24	to	to	PART
elp-2472	31	25	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	31	26	the	the	DET
elp-2472	31	27	future	future	ADJ
elp-2472	31	28	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	31	29	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	31	30	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	31	31	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	31	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	32	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	32	2	idea	idea	NOUN
elp-2472	32	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	32	4	exponential	exponential	ADJ
elp-2472	32	5	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
elp-2472	32	6	method	method	NOUN
elp-2472	32	7	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	32	8	derived	derive	VERB
elp-2472	32	9	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	32	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	32	11	improvement	improvement	NOUN
elp-2472	32	12	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	32	13	moving	move	VERB
elp-2472	32	14	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	32	15	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	32	16	method	method	NOUN
elp-2472	32	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	32	18	which	which	PRON
elp-2472	32	19	comprehensively	comprehensively	ADV
elp-2472	32	20	uses	use	VERB
elp-2472	32	21	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
elp-2472	32	22	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	32	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	32	24	overall	overall	ADJ
elp-2472	32	25	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	32	26	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	32	27	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
elp-2472	32	28	to	to	PART
elp-2472	32	29	conduct	conduct	VERB
elp-2472	32	30	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	32	31	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	32	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	32	33	but	but	CCONJ
elp-2472	32	34	gives	give	VERB
elp-2472	32	35	more	more	ADJ
elp-2472	32	36	weight	weight	NOUN
elp-2472	32	37	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	32	38	adjacent	adjacent	ADJ
elp-2472	32	39	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	32	40	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	33	1	this	this	DET
elp-2472	33	2	kind	kind	NOUN
elp-2472	33	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	33	4	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	33	5	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	33	6	proved	prove	VERB
elp-2472	33	7	to	to	PART
elp-2472	33	8	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	33	9	good	good	ADJ
elp-2472	33	10	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	33	11	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	33	12	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	33	13	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	33	14	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	33	15	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	33	16	practice	practice	NOUN
elp-2472	33	17	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	34	1	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	34	2	function	function	VERB
elp-2472	34	3	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	34	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	34	5	package	package	NOUN
elp-2472	34	6	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	34	7	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	34	8	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	34	9	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	34	10	fit	fit	VERB
elp-2472	34	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	34	12	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	34	13	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	34	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	1	among	among	ADP
elp-2472	35	2	them	they	PRON
elp-2472	35	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	4	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	35	5	function	function	NOUN
elp-2472	35	6	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	35	7	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	35	8	divided	divide	VERB
elp-2472	35	9	into	into	ADP
elp-2472	35	10	three	three	NUM
elp-2472	35	11	index	index	NOUN
elp-2472	35	12	models	model	NOUN
elp-2472	35	13	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	14	ses	ses	PROPN
elp-2472	35	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	16	holt	holt	PROPN
elp-2472	35	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	18	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	35	19	hw	hw	INTJ
elp-2472	35	20	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	35	21	respectively	respectively	ADV
elp-2472	35	22	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	36	1	ses	ses	PROPN
elp-2472	36	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	36	3	holt	holt	PROPN
elp-2472	36	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	36	5	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	36	6	hw	hw	PROPN
elp-2472	36	7	functions	function	NOUN
elp-2472	36	8	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	36	9	convenient	convenient	ADJ
elp-2472	36	10	packages	package	NOUN
elp-2472	36	11	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	36	12	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	36	13	function	function	NOUN
elp-2472	36	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	36	15	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	36	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	36	17	functions	function	NOUN
elp-2472	36	18	have	have	VERB
elp-2472	36	19	preset	preset	ADJ
elp-2472	36	20	parameter	parameter	NOUN
elp-2472	36	21	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	36	22	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	37	1	after	after	ADP
elp-2472	37	2	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	37	3	input	input	NOUN
elp-2472	37	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	37	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	37	6	best	good	ADJ
elp-2472	37	7	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	37	8	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	37	9	selected	select	VERB
elp-2472	37	10	as	as	ADP
elp-2472	37	11	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	37	12	exponential	exponential	ADJ
elp-2472	37	13	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	37	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	38	1	general	general	ADJ
elp-2472	38	2	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	38	3	function	function	NOUN
elp-2472	38	4	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	38	5	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	38	6	follows	follow	VERB
elp-2472	38	7	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	38	8	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	38	9	1	1	X
elp-2472	38	10	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	38	11	where	where	SCONJ
elp-2472	38	12	ts	ts	ADV
elp-2472	38	13	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	38	14	the	the	DET
elp-2472	38	15	timing	timing	NOUN
elp-2472	38	16	sequence	sequence	NOUN
elp-2472	38	17	to	to	PART
elp-2472	38	18	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	38	19	analyzed	analyze	VERB
elp-2472	38	20	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	38	21	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	38	22	there	there	PRON
elp-2472	38	23	are	be	VERB
elp-2472	38	24	three	three	NUM
elp-2472	38	25	letters	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	38	26	defining	define	VERB
elp-2472	38	27	the	the	DET
elp-2472	38	28	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	38	29	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	39	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	2	first	first	ADJ
elp-2472	39	3	letter	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	39	4	represents	represent	VERB
elp-2472	39	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	6	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	39	7	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	39	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	39	9	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	10	second	second	ADJ
elp-2472	39	11	letter	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	39	12	represents	represent	VERB
elp-2472	39	13	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	14	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	39	15	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	39	16	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	39	17	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	39	18	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	19	third	third	ADJ
elp-2472	39	20	letter	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	39	21	represents	represent	VERB
elp-2472	39	22	the	the	DET
elp-2472	39	23	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	39	24	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	39	25	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	1	optional	optional	ADJ
elp-2472	40	2	letters	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	40	3	include	include	VERB
elp-2472	40	4	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	5	additive	additive	ADJ
elp-2472	40	6	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	40	7	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	8	a	a	NOUN
elp-2472	40	9	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	11	multiply	multiply	NOUN
elp-2472	40	12	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	40	13	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	14	m	m	NOUN
elp-2472	40	15	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	16	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	17	none	none	NOUN
elp-2472	40	18	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	19	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	40	20	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	21	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	22	automatic	automatic	ADJ
elp-2472	40	23	selection	selection	NOUN
elp-2472	40	24	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	25	z	z	NOUN
elp-2472	40	26	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	40	27	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	41	1	3.1.2	3.1.2	NUM
elp-2472	41	2	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	41	3	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	41	4	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	41	5	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	41	6	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	41	7	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
elp-2472	41	8	integrated	integrated	ADJ
elp-2472	41	9	moving	move	VERB
elp-2472	41	10	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	41	11	moving	move	VERB
elp-2472	41	12	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	41	13	mode	mode	NOUN
elp-2472	41	14	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	41	15	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	41	16	a	a	DET
elp-2472	41	17	commonly	commonly	ADV
elp-2472	41	18	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	41	19	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
elp-2472	41	20	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	41	21	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	41	22	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	41	23	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	41	24	high	high	ADJ
elp-2472	41	25	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
elp-2472	41	26	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	41	27	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	41	28	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	41	29	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	41	30	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	41	31	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	42	1	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	42	2	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	42	3	founded	found	VERB
elp-2472	42	4	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	42	5	american	american	PROPN
elp-2472	42	6	statisticians	statisticians	PROPN
elp-2472	42	7	box	box	PROPN
elp-2472	42	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	42	9	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
elp-2472	42	10	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	42	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	42	12	following	following	ADJ
elp-2472	42	13	basic	basic	ADJ
elp-2472	42	14	ideas	idea	NOUN
elp-2472	42	15	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	42	16	some	some	DET
elp-2472	42	17	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	42	18	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	42	19	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	42	20	a	a	DET
elp-2472	42	21	set	set	NOUN
elp-2472	42	22	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	42	23	random	random	ADJ
elp-2472	42	24	variables	variable	NOUN
elp-2472	42	25	dependent	dependent	ADJ
elp-2472	42	26	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	42	27	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	42	28	t	t	PROPN
elp-2472	42	29	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	42	30	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	42	31	the	the	DET
elp-2472	42	32	change	change	NOUN
elp-2472	42	33	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	42	34	the	the	DET
elp-2472	42	35	whole	whole	ADJ
elp-2472	42	36	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	42	37	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	42	38	certain	certain	ADJ
elp-2472	42	39	regularity	regularity	NOUN
elp-2472	42	40	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	43	1	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	43	2	establishing	establish	VERB
elp-2472	43	3	a	a	DET
elp-2472	43	4	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
elp-2472	43	5	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	43	6	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	43	7	analyzing	analyze	VERB
elp-2472	43	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	43	9	studying	studying	NOUN
elp-2472	43	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	43	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	43	12	structure	structure	NOUN
elp-2472	43	13	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	43	14	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	43	15	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	43	16	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	43	17	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	43	18	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	43	19	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	43	20	essentially	essentially	ADV
elp-2472	43	21	understood	understand	VERB
elp-2472	43	22	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	43	23	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	43	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	43	25	most	most	ADV
elp-2472	43	26	effective	effective	ADJ
elp-2472	43	27	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	43	28	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	43	29	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	43	30	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	43	31	obtained	obtain	VERB
elp-2472	43	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	1	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	44	2	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	44	3	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	44	4	made	make	VERB
elp-2472	44	5	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	44	6	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	7	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
elp-2472	44	8	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	44	9	ar	ar	PROPN
elp-2472	44	10	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	11	p	p	NOUN
elp-2472	44	12	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	14	ma	ma	PROPN
elp-2472	44	15	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	16	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	44	17	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	18	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	44	19	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
elp-2472	44	20	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	44	21	poor	poor	ADJ
elp-2472	44	22	score	score	NOUN
elp-2472	44	23	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	24	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	44	25	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	26	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	27	three	three	NUM
elp-2472	44	28	parts	part	NOUN
elp-2472	44	29	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	30	so	so	SCONJ
elp-2472	44	31	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	44	32	half	half	NOUN
elp-2472	44	33	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	34	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	35	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	44	36	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	44	37	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	44	38	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	39	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	44	40	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	41	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	42	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
elp-2472	44	43	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	44	44	moving	move	VERB
elp-2472	44	45	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	44	46	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	44	47	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	48	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	49	process	process	NOUN
elp-2472	44	50	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	51	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	44	52	through	through	ADP
elp-2472	44	53	poor	poor	ADJ
elp-2472	44	54	score	score	NOUN
elp-2472	44	55	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	56	d	d	X
elp-2472	44	57	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	58	let	let	VERB
elp-2472	44	59	originally	originally	ADV
elp-2472	44	60	non	non	ADJ
elp-2472	44	61	-	-	ADJ
elp-2472	44	62	stationary	stationary	ADJ
elp-2472	44	63	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	44	64	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	44	65	become	become	VERB
elp-2472	44	66	stable	stable	ADJ
elp-2472	44	67	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	44	68	improve	improve	VERB
elp-2472	44	69	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	70	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
elp-2472	44	71	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	44	72	the	the	DET
elp-2472	44	73	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
elp-2472	44	74	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	44	75	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	45	2	general	general	ADJ
elp-2472	45	3	expression	expression	NOUN
elp-2472	45	4	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	45	5	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	45	6	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	7	p	p	X
elp-2472	45	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	9	d	d	NOUN
elp-2472	45	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	11	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	45	12	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	13	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	45	14	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	45	15	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	16	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	VERB
elp-2472	45	17	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	45	18	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	45	19	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	45	20	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	45	21	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	45	22	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	45	23	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	46	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	46	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	46	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	46	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	46	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	46	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	46	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	46	8	232	232	NUM
elp-2472	46	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	46	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	46	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	46	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	46	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	47	1	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	2	2	2	X
elp-2472	47	3	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	4	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	47	5	general	general	ADJ
elp-2472	47	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	7	if	if	SCONJ
elp-2472	47	8	the	the	DET
elp-2472	47	9	data	data	NOUN
elp-2472	47	10	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	47	11	a	a	DET
elp-2472	47	12	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	47	13	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	47	14	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	47	15	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	47	16	effects	effect	NOUN
elp-2472	47	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	18	a	a	DET
elp-2472	47	19	product	product	NOUN
elp-2472	47	20	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	47	21	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	47	22	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	47	23	required	require	VERB
elp-2472	47	24	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	47	25	simulation	simulation	NOUN
elp-2472	47	26	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	27	p	p	NOUN
elp-2472	47	28	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	47	29	q	q	NOUN
elp-2472	47	30	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	47	31	the	the	DET
elp-2472	47	32	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	47	33	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	47	34	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	47	35	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
elp-2472	47	36	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	47	37	moving	move	VERB
elp-2472	47	38	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	47	39	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	40	d	d	X
elp-2472	47	41	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	47	42	the	the	DET
elp-2472	47	43	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	47	44	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	47	45	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	47	46	difference	difference	NOUN
elp-2472	47	47	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	47	48	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	47	49	s	s	VERB
elp-2472	47	50	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	47	51	the	the	DET
elp-2472	47	52	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	47	53	cycle	cycle	NOUN
elp-2472	47	54	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	1	3.2	3.2	NUM
elp-2472	48	2	data	data	NOUN
elp-2472	48	3	basis	basis	NOUN
elp-2472	48	4	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	5	monthly	monthly	ADJ
elp-2472	48	6	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	48	7	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	48	9	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	48	10	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	48	11	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	12	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	48	13	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	48	14	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	48	15	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	48	16	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	48	17	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	48	18	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	48	19	the	the	DET
elp-2472	48	20	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	48	21	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	48	22	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	48	23	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	48	24	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	48	25	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	48	26	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	27	unit	unit	NOUN
elp-2472	48	28	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	29	ten	ten	NUM
elp-2472	48	30	thousand	thousand	NUM
elp-2472	48	31	yuan	yuan	NOUN
elp-2472	48	32	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	33	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	48	34	3	3	NUM
elp-2472	48	35	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	48	36	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
elp-2472	48	37	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	48	38	current	current	ADJ
elp-2472	48	39	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	48	40	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	48	41	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	48	42	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	48	43	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	48	44	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	48	45	2019.06	2019.06	NUM
elp-2472	48	46	the	the	DET
elp-2472	48	47	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	48	48	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	48	49	mainly	mainly	ADV
elp-2472	48	50	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	48	51	the	the	DET
elp-2472	48	52	general	general	ADJ
elp-2472	48	53	administration	administration	NOUN
elp-2472	48	54	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	48	55	customs	custom	NOUN
elp-2472	48	56	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	48	57	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	48	58	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	48	59	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	48	60	a	a	DET
elp-2472	48	61	total	total	NOUN
elp-2472	48	62	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	48	63	61	61	NUM
elp-2472	48	64	sample	sample	NOUN
elp-2472	48	65	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	48	66	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	1	using	use	VERB
elp-2472	49	2	software	software	NOUN
elp-2472	49	3	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	49	4	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	49	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	6	make	make	VERB
elp-2472	49	7	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	8	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	49	9	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	49	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	11	horizontal	horizontal	ADJ
elp-2472	49	12	axis	axis	NOUN
elp-2472	49	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	14	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	49	15	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	49	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	17	longitudinal	longitudinal	ADJ
elp-2472	49	18	axis	axis	NOUN
elp-2472	49	19	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	49	20	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	21	sequence	sequence	NOUN
elp-2472	49	22	diagram	diagram	NOUN
elp-2472	49	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	24	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	49	25	shown	show	VERB
elp-2472	49	26	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	27	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	49	28	3	3	NUM
elp-2472	49	29	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	30	march	march	PROPN
elp-2472	49	31	2015	2015	NUM
elp-2472	49	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	33	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	34	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	49	35	2016	2016	NUM
elp-2472	49	36	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	37	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	49	38	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	49	39	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	40	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	41	march	march	PROPN
elp-2472	49	42	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	49	43	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	44	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	49	45	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	49	46	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	49	47	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	48	lowest	low	ADJ
elp-2472	49	49	each	each	DET
elp-2472	49	50	quarter	quarter	NOUN
elp-2472	49	51	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	52	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	53	october	october	PROPN
elp-2472	49	54	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	49	55	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	56	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	57	september	september	PROPN
elp-2472	49	58	2015	2015	NUM
elp-2472	49	59	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	60	december	december	PROPN
elp-2472	49	61	2016	2016	NUM
elp-2472	49	62	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	63	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	49	64	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	49	65	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	66	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	49	67	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	49	68	were	be	AUX
elp-2472	49	69	appeared	appear	VERB
elp-2472	49	70	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	71	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	72	annual	annual	ADJ
elp-2472	49	73	peak	peak	NOUN
elp-2472	49	74	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	75	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	76	whole	whole	NOUN
elp-2472	49	77	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	78	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	49	79	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	49	80	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	49	81	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	49	82	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	83	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	49	84	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	49	85	trade	trade	PROPN
elp-2472	49	86	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	49	87	obvious	obvious	ADJ
elp-2472	49	88	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	49	89	characteristic	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	49	90	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	91	present	present	ADJ
elp-2472	49	92	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	93	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	49	94	cost	cost	NOUN
elp-2472	49	95	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	49	96	the	the	DET
elp-2472	49	97	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	49	98	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	49	99	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
elp-2472	49	100	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	49	101	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	49	102	rising	rise	VERB
elp-2472	49	103	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	49	104	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	49	105	peaked	peak	VERB
elp-2472	49	106	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	49	107	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	49	108	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	49	109	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	49	110	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	49	111	a	a	DET
elp-2472	49	112	six	six	NUM
elp-2472	49	113	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	49	114	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	49	115	high	high	NOUN
elp-2472	49	116	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	1	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	50	2	the	the	DET
elp-2472	50	3	same	same	ADJ
elp-2472	50	4	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	50	5	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	50	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	7	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	50	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	50	9	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	50	10	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	50	11	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	50	12	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	50	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	14	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	50	15	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	50	16	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	50	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	18	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	50	19	233	233	NUM
elp-2472	50	20	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	50	21	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	50	22	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	50	23	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	50	24	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	50	25	time	time	PROPN
elp-2472	50	26	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	27	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	50	28	shown	show	VERB
elp-2472	50	29	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	50	30	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	50	31	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	50	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	33	the	the	DET
elp-2472	50	34	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	50	35	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	50	36	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	50	37	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	50	38	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	50	39	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	50	40	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	50	41	shows	show	VERB
elp-2472	50	42	a	a	DET
elp-2472	50	43	certain	certain	ADJ
elp-2472	50	44	tardiness	tardiness	NOUN
elp-2472	50	45	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	50	46	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
elp-2472	50	47	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	50	48	obvious	obvious	ADJ
elp-2472	50	49	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
elp-2472	50	50	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	51	i.e.	i.e.	X
elp-2472	50	52	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	50	53	non	non	ADJ
elp-2472	50	54	-	-	ADJ
elp-2472	50	55	stationary	stationary	ADJ
elp-2472	50	56	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	51	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
elp-2472	51	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	51	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	51	4	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	51	5	belongs	belong	VERB
elp-2472	51	6	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	51	7	non	non	ADJ
elp-2472	51	8	-	-	ADJ
elp-2472	51	9	stationary	stationary	ADJ
elp-2472	51	10	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	51	11	series	series	NOUN
elp-2472	51	12	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	52	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	52	2	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	52	3	to	to	PART
elp-2472	52	4	eliminate	eliminate	VERB
elp-2472	52	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	52	6	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	52	7	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	52	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	52	9	difference	difference	NOUN
elp-2472	52	10	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	52	11	needed	need	VERB
elp-2472	52	12	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	53	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	53	2	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	53	3	to	to	PART
elp-2472	53	4	eliminate	eliminate	VERB
elp-2472	53	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	53	6	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	53	7	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	53	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	53	9	further	far	ADV
elp-2472	53	10	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	53	11	difference	difference	NOUN
elp-2472	53	12	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	53	13	needed	need	VERB
elp-2472	53	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	54	1	3.3	3.3	NUM
elp-2472	54	2	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	54	3	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	54	4	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	54	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	54	6	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	54	7	order	order	NOUN
elp-2472	54	8	to	to	PART
elp-2472	54	9	more	more	ADV
elp-2472	54	10	directly	directly	ADV
elp-2472	54	11	reflect	reflect	VERB
elp-2472	54	12	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	13	impact	impact	NOUN
elp-2472	54	14	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	54	15	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	54	16	sanctions	sanction	NOUN
elp-2472	54	17	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	54	18	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	54	19	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	54	20	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	54	21	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	54	22	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	54	23	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	24	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	54	25	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	54	26	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	27	two	two	NUM
elp-2472	54	28	years	year	NOUN
elp-2472	54	29	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	54	30	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	54	31	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	54	32	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	54	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	54	34	this	this	DET
elp-2472	54	35	paper	paper	NOUN
elp-2472	54	36	selected	select	VERB
elp-2472	54	37	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	54	38	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	54	39	monthly	monthly	ADJ
elp-2472	54	40	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	54	41	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	54	42	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	54	43	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	54	44	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	54	45	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	54	46	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	54	47	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	54	48	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	54	49	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	54	50	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	54	51	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	54	52	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	54	53	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	54	54	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	54	55	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	54	56	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	54	57	mainly	mainly	ADV
elp-2472	54	58	uses	use	VERB
elp-2472	54	59	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	60	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	54	61	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	54	62	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	54	63	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	54	64	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	54	65	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	54	66	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	54	67	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	54	68	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	54	69	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	54	70	to	to	PART
elp-2472	54	71	determine	determine	VERB
elp-2472	54	72	whether	whether	SCONJ
elp-2472	54	73	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	74	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	54	75	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	54	76	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	54	77	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	54	78	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	54	79	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	54	80	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	54	81	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	82	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	54	83	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	54	84	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	54	85	decrease	decrease	VERB
elp-2472	54	86	significantly	significantly	ADV
elp-2472	54	87	or	or	CCONJ
elp-2472	54	88	increase	increase	VERB
elp-2472	54	89	after	after	SCONJ
elp-2472	54	90	the	the	DET
elp-2472	54	91	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	54	92	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	54	93	imposes	impose	VERB
elp-2472	54	94	sanctions	sanction	NOUN
elp-2472	54	95	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	54	96	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	54	97	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	55	1	3.3.1	3.3.1	NUM
elp-2472	55	2	grouping	group	VERB
elp-2472	55	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	4	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	55	5	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	55	6	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	55	7	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	55	8	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	55	9	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	55	10	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	55	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	12	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	55	13	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	55	14	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	55	15	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	55	16	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	55	17	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	55	18	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	55	19	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	55	20	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	55	21	divided	divide	VERB
elp-2472	55	22	into	into	ADP
elp-2472	55	23	two	two	NUM
elp-2472	55	24	groups	group	NOUN
elp-2472	55	25	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	55	26	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	27	first	first	ADJ
elp-2472	55	28	group	group	NOUN
elp-2472	55	29	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	55	30	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	31	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	55	32	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	55	33	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	55	34	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	55	35	before	before	ADP
elp-2472	55	36	december	december	PROPN
elp-2472	55	37	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	55	38	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	55	39	named	name	VERB
elp-2472	55	40	training	training	NOUN
elp-2472	55	41	;	;	PUNCT
elp-2472	55	42	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	43	second	second	ADJ
elp-2472	55	44	group	group	NOUN
elp-2472	55	45	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	55	46	the	the	DET
elp-2472	55	47	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	55	48	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	55	49	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	55	50	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	55	51	after	after	ADP
elp-2472	55	52	january	january	PROPN
elp-2472	55	53	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	55	54	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	55	55	named	name	VERB
elp-2472	55	56	testing	testing	NOUN
elp-2472	55	57	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	56	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	56	2	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	56	3	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	56	4	january	january	PROPN
elp-2472	56	5	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	56	6	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	56	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	56	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	56	9	when	when	SCONJ
elp-2472	56	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	11	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	56	12	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	56	13	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	56	14	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	56	15	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	56	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	17	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	56	18	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	56	19	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	56	20	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	56	21	its	its	PRON
elp-2472	56	22	peak	peak	NOUN
elp-2472	56	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	56	24	a	a	DET
elp-2472	56	25	division	division	NOUN
elp-2472	56	26	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	56	27	improve	improve	VERB
elp-2472	56	28	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	29	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
elp-2472	56	30	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	56	31	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	32	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	56	33	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	56	34	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	56	35	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	56	36	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	56	37	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	56	38	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	56	39	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	40	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	56	41	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	56	42	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	43	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	56	44	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	56	45	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	56	46	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	56	47	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	56	48	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	56	49	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	56	50	the	the	DET
elp-2472	56	51	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	56	52	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	56	53	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	57	1	3.3.2	3.3.2	NUM
elp-2472	57	2	make	make	VERB
elp-2472	57	3	comparative	comparative	ADJ
elp-2472	57	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	57	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	57	6	degree	degree	NOUN
elp-2472	57	7	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	57	8	fitting	fitting	NOUN
elp-2472	57	9	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	57	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	57	11	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	57	12	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	57	13	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	57	14	determined	determine	VERB
elp-2472	57	15	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	57	16	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	57	17	the	the	DET
elp-2472	57	18	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	57	19	criterion	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	57	20	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	1	several	several	ADJ
elp-2472	58	2	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	3	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	4	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	58	5	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	58	6	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	58	7	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	8	such	such	ADJ
elp-2472	58	9	as	as	ADP
elp-2472	58	10	red	red	ADJ
elp-2472	58	11	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	12	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	14	aic	aic	PROPN
elp-2472	58	15	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	16	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	18	aic	aic	PROPN
elp-2472	58	19	revised	revise	VERB
elp-2472	58	20	aicc	aicc	NOUN
elp-2472	58	21	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	22	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	24	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	58	25	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
elp-2472	58	26	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	27	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	28	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	58	29	bic	bic	PROPN
elp-2472	58	30	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	58	31	criteria	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	58	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	1	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	59	2	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	59	3	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	59	4	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	59	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	6	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	59	7	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	59	8	the	the	DET
elp-2472	59	9	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	59	10	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	59	11	presented	present	VERB
elp-2472	59	12	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	59	13	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	59	14	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	15	the	the	DET
elp-2472	59	16	aic	aic	PROPN
elp-2472	59	17	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	59	18	criterion	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	59	19	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	20	aicc	aicc	NOUN
elp-2472	59	21	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	59	22	criterion	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	59	23	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	24	bic	bic	PROPN
elp-2472	59	25	information	information	NOUN
elp-2472	59	26	criterion	criterion	NOUN
elp-2472	59	27	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	59	28	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	59	29	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	30	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	59	31	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	32	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	34	a	a	DET
elp-2472	59	35	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	36	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	59	37	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	38	the	the	DET
elp-2472	59	39	fitting	fitting	ADJ
elp-2472	59	40	degree	degree	NOUN
elp-2472	59	41	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	59	42	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	59	43	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	59	44	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	59	45	better	well	ADJ
elp-2472	59	46	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	59	47	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	59	48	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	49	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	59	50	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	51	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	52	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	53	a	a	DET
elp-2472	59	54	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	55	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	59	56	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	57	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	59	58	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	59	59	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	60	comparison	comparison	NOUN
elp-2472	59	61	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	59	62	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	59	63	fitting	fitting	ADJ
elp-2472	59	64	degree	degree	NOUN
elp-2472	59	65	aic	aic	PROPN
elp-2472	59	66	aicc	aicc	PROPN
elp-2472	59	67	bic	bic	PROPN
elp-2472	59	68	arima（0,1,1）（0,1,0）[12]model	arima（0,1,1）（0,1,0）[12]model	PROPN
elp-2472	59	69	954.15	954.15	NUM
elp-2472	59	70	954.59	954.59	NUM
elp-2472	59	71	954.59	954.59	NUM
elp-2472	59	72	ets（a	ets（a	NOUN
elp-2472	59	73	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	74	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	75	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	76	a）model	a）model	PROPN
elp-2472	59	77	1405.355	1405.355	NUM
elp-2472	59	78	1423.132	1423.132	NUM
elp-2472	59	79	1431.773	1431.773	NUM
elp-2472	59	80	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	59	81	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	59	82	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	59	83	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	59	84	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	59	85	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	59	86	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	59	87	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	60	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	60	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	60	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	60	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	60	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	60	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	60	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	60	8	234	234	NUM
elp-2472	60	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	60	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	60	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	60	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	60	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	60	14	table	table	PROPN
elp-2472	60	15	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	60	16	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	1	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	61	2	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	3	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	61	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	5	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	61	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	7	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	61	8	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	9	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	10	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	61	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	12	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	61	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	14	0)[12	0)[12	NOUN
elp-2472	61	15	]	]	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	16	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	61	17	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	61	18	correlation	correlation	NOUN
elp-2472	61	19	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	61	20	rmse	rmse	PROPN
elp-2472	61	21	mae	mae	PROPN
elp-2472	61	22	mape	mape	PROPN
elp-2472	61	23	mase	mase	PROPN
elp-2472	61	24	training	training	NOUN
elp-2472	61	25	set	set	VERB
elp-2472	61	26	1508882	1508882	NUM
elp-2472	61	27	1074948	1074948	NUM
elp-2472	61	28	4.997333	4.997333	NUM
elp-2472	61	29	0.5105552	0.5105552	NUM
elp-2472	61	30	test	test	NOUN
elp-2472	61	31	set	set	VERB
elp-2472	61	32	3829596	3829596	NUM
elp-2472	61	33	3321557	3321557	NUM
elp-2472	61	34	14.615813	14.615813	NUM
elp-2472	61	35	1.5775997	1.5775997	NUM
elp-2472	61	36	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	61	37	3	3	NUM
elp-2472	61	38	.	.	X
elp-2472	61	39	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	61	40	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	41	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	61	42	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	43	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	61	44	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	45	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	61	46	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	61	47	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	61	48	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	61	49	correlation	correlation	NOUN
elp-2472	61	50	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	61	51	rmse	rmse	PROPN
elp-2472	61	52	mae	mae	PROPN
elp-2472	61	53	mape	mape	PROPN
elp-2472	61	54	mase	mase	PROPN
elp-2472	61	55	training	training	NOUN
elp-2472	61	56	set	set	NOUN
elp-2472	61	57	1344986	1344986	NUM
elp-2472	61	58	1021103	1021103	NUM
elp-2472	61	59	4.814283	4.814283	NUM
elp-2472	61	60	0.4849811	0.4849811	NUM
elp-2472	61	61	test	test	NOUN
elp-2472	61	62	set	set	VERB
elp-2472	61	63	2304295	2304295	NUM
elp-2472	61	64	1842249	1842249	NUM
elp-2472	62	1	7.454881	7.454881	NUM
elp-2472	62	2	0.8749907	0.8749907	NUM
elp-2472	62	3	rmse	rmse	NOUN
elp-2472	62	4	represents	represent	VERB
elp-2472	62	5	root	root	NOUN
elp-2472	62	6	mean	mean	ADJ
elp-2472	62	7	square	square	NOUN
elp-2472	62	8	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	62	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	62	10	mae	mae	PROPN
elp-2472	62	11	represents	represents	AUX
elp-2472	62	12	mean	mean	VERB
elp-2472	62	13	absolute	absolute	ADJ
elp-2472	62	14	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	62	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	62	16	mape	mape	NOUN
elp-2472	62	17	represents	represents	AUX
elp-2472	62	18	mean	mean	VERB
elp-2472	62	19	absolute	absolute	ADJ
elp-2472	62	20	percentage	percentage	NOUN
elp-2472	62	21	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	62	22	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	62	23	mase	mase	PROPN
elp-2472	62	24	represents	represents	AUX
elp-2472	62	25	mean	mean	VERB
elp-2472	62	26	absolute	absolute	ADJ
elp-2472	62	27	scale	scale	NOUN
elp-2472	62	28	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	62	29	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	1	these	these	DET
elp-2472	63	2	errors	error	NOUN
elp-2472	63	3	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	63	4	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	63	5	to	to	PART
elp-2472	63	6	measure	measure	VERB
elp-2472	63	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	63	8	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	63	9	degree	degree	NOUN
elp-2472	63	10	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	63	11	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	63	12	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	63	13	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	63	14	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	63	15	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	16	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	63	17	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	18	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	63	19	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	20	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	63	21	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	22	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	23	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	63	24	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	25	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	63	26	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	63	27	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	63	28	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	1	[	[	X
elp-2472	64	2	12	12	NUM
elp-2472	64	3	]	]	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	4	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	64	5	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	64	6	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	64	7	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	8	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	64	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	10	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	64	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	12	a	a	DET
elp-2472	64	13	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	64	14	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	64	15	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	1	through	through	ADP
elp-2472	65	2	intuitive	intuitive	ADJ
elp-2472	65	3	comparison	comparison	NOUN
elp-2472	65	4	tables	table	NOUN
elp-2472	65	5	5	5	NUM
elp-2472	65	6	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	7	6	6	NUM
elp-2472	65	8	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	65	9	numerical	numerical	ADJ
elp-2472	65	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	11	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	65	12	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	13	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	65	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	15	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	16	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	17	a	a	DET
elp-2472	65	18	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	19	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	20	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	65	21	far	far	ADV
elp-2472	65	22	less	less	ADJ
elp-2472	65	23	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	65	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	25	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	65	26	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	27	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	28	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	29	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	65	30	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	31	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	65	32	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	33	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	34	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	35	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	36	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	37	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	38	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	65	39	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	40	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	41	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	42	0)[12	0)[12	NOUN
elp-2472	65	43	]	]	X
elp-2472	65	44	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	45	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	46	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	47	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	48	sample	sample	NOUN
elp-2472	65	49	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	65	50	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	51	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	52	average	average	ADJ
elp-2472	65	53	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	65	54	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	55	231.0439665	231.0439665	NUM
elp-2472	65	56	billion	billion	NUM
elp-2472	65	57	yuan	yuan	NOUN
elp-2472	65	58	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	59	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	65	60	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	61	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	65	62	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	63	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	64	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	65	a	a	DET
elp-2472	65	66	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	67	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	68	rmse	rmse	PROPN
elp-2472	65	69	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	70	mae	mae	PROPN
elp-2472	65	71	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	72	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	73	two	two	NUM
elp-2472	65	74	groups	group	NOUN
elp-2472	65	75	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	76	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	65	77	under	under	ADP
elp-2472	65	78	mape	mape	NOUN
elp-2472	65	79	compared	compare	VERB
elp-2472	65	80	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	65	81	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	82	average	average	NOUN
elp-2472	65	83	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	84	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	85	sample	sample	NOUN
elp-2472	65	86	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	65	87	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	65	88	small	small	ADJ
elp-2472	65	89	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	90	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	65	91	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	92	same	same	ADJ
elp-2472	65	93	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	65	94	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	95	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	96	mase	mase	PROPN
elp-2472	65	97	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	65	98	less	less	ADJ
elp-2472	65	99	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	65	100	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	101	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	102	so	so	ADV
elp-2472	65	103	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	65	104	the	the	DET
elp-2472	65	105	angle	angle	NOUN
elp-2472	65	106	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	65	107	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	65	108	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	109	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	65	110	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	111	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	65	112	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	113	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	65	114	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	115	a	a	DET
elp-2472	65	116	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	117	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	118	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	65	119	better	well	ADJ
elp-2472	65	120	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	65	121	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	65	122	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	65	123	arima	arima	NOUN
elp-2472	65	124	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	125	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	65	126	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	127	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	128	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	129	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	130	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	131	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	132	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	65	133	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	134	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	65	135	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	136	0)[12	0)[12	NOUN
elp-2472	65	137	]	]	PUNCT
elp-2472	65	138	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	65	139	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	1	to	to	PART
elp-2472	66	2	sum	sum	VERB
elp-2472	66	3	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	66	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	6	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	66	7	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	8	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	66	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	10	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	66	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	12	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	66	13	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	14	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	15	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	66	16	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	17	0)[12	0)[12	NOUN
elp-2472	66	18	]	]	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	19	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	66	20	compared	compare	VERB
elp-2472	66	21	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	66	22	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	66	23	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	24	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	66	25	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	26	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	66	27	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	28	a	a	DET
elp-2472	66	29	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	30	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	66	31	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	66	32	more	more	ADV
elp-2472	66	33	complex	complex	ADJ
elp-2472	66	34	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	35	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	36	fitting	fitting	ADJ
elp-2472	66	37	degree	degree	NOUN
elp-2472	66	38	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	66	39	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	66	40	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	41	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	66	42	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	43	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	66	44	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	45	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	66	46	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	47	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	48	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	66	49	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	50	0)[12	0)[12	NUM
elp-2472	66	51	]	]	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	52	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	66	53	occupy	occupy	VERB
elp-2472	66	54	a	a	DET
elp-2472	66	55	certain	certain	ADJ
elp-2472	66	56	advantage	advantage	NOUN
elp-2472	66	57	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	58	but	but	CCONJ
elp-2472	66	59	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	66	60	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	61	short	short	ADJ
elp-2472	66	62	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	63	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	66	64	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	66	65	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	66	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	66	67	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	68	case	case	NOUN
elp-2472	66	69	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	66	70	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	66	71	presents	present	VERB
elp-2472	66	72	obvious	obvious	ADJ
elp-2472	66	73	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	66	74	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	75	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	66	76	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	77	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	66	78	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	79	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	66	80	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	81	a	a	DET
elp-2472	66	82	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	83	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	66	84	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	66	85	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	66	86	rate	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	66	87	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	66	88	lower	low	ADJ
elp-2472	66	89	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	90	so	so	ADV
elp-2472	66	91	choose	choose	VERB
elp-2472	66	92	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	93	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	66	94	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	95	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	66	96	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	97	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	66	98	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	99	a	a	DET
elp-2472	66	100	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	66	101	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	66	102	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	66	103	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	104	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	66	105	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	66	106	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	107	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	66	108	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	66	109	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	66	110	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	66	111	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	66	112	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	66	113	the	the	DET
elp-2472	66	114	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	66	115	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	66	116	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	1	3.3.3	3.3.3	NUM
elp-2472	67	2	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	67	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	4	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	67	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	6	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	67	7	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	8	a	a	DET
elp-2472	67	9	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	10	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	67	11	testing	test	VERB
elp-2472	67	12	ljung	ljung	PROPN
elp-2472	67	13	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	14	box	box	NOUN
elp-2472	67	15	test	test	NOUN
elp-2472	67	16	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	67	17	better	well	ADJ
elp-2472	67	18	sample	sample	VERB
elp-2472	67	19	nature	nature	NOUN
elp-2472	67	20	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	21	that	that	ADV
elp-2472	67	22	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	67	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	24	more	more	ADV
elp-2472	67	25	effective	effective	ADJ
elp-2472	67	26	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	67	27	statistical	statistical	ADJ
elp-2472	67	28	sense	sense	NOUN
elp-2472	67	29	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	30	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	67	31	box	box	NOUN
elp-2472	67	32	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	67	33	pierce	pierce	PROPN
elp-2472	67	34	test	test	NOUN
elp-2472	67	35	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	1	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	68	2	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	68	3	ljung	ljung	ADJ
elp-2472	68	4	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	5	box	box	NOUN
elp-2472	68	6	test	test	NOUN
elp-2472	68	7	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	8	under	under	ADP
elp-2472	68	9	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	68	10	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	11	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	68	12	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	13	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	68	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	15	a	a	DET
elp-2472	68	16	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	17	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	68	18	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	19	p	p	NOUN
elp-2472	68	20	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	68	21	value=0.07373>0.05	value=0.07373>0.05	NOUN
elp-2472	68	22	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	69	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
elp-2472	69	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	69	3	there	there	PRON
elp-2472	69	4	is	be	VERB
elp-2472	69	5	no	no	DET
elp-2472	69	6	sufficient	sufficient	ADJ
elp-2472	69	7	reason	reason	NOUN
elp-2472	69	8	to	to	PART
elp-2472	69	9	reject	reject	VERB
elp-2472	69	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	69	11	null	null	ADJ
elp-2472	69	12	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
elp-2472	69	13	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	69	14	the	the	DET
elp-2472	69	15	residuals	residual	NOUN
elp-2472	69	16	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	69	17	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	69	18	considered	consider	VERB
elp-2472	69	19	independent	independent	ADJ
elp-2472	69	20	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	69	21	each	each	DET
elp-2472	69	22	other	other	ADJ
elp-2472	69	23	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	70	1	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	70	2	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	70	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	70	4	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	70	5	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	70	6	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	70	7	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	70	8	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	71	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	71	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	71	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	71	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	71	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	71	8	235	235	NUM
elp-2472	71	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	71	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	71	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	71	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	71	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	71	14	3.3.4	3.3.4	NUM
elp-2472	71	15	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	71	16	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	71	17	figure	figure	VERB
elp-2472	71	18	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	71	19	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	20	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	71	21	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	71	22	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	71	23	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	71	24	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	25	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	71	26	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	27	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	71	28	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	29	a	a	DET
elp-2472	71	30	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	31	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	71	32	—	—	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	33	line	line	NOUN
elp-2472	71	34	graph	graph	NOUN
elp-2472	71	35	run	run	VERB
elp-2472	71	36	the	the	DET
elp-2472	71	37	monthly	monthly	ADJ
elp-2472	71	38	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	71	39	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	71	40	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	71	41	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	71	42	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	71	43	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	71	44	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	71	45	the	the	DET
elp-2472	71	46	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	71	47	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	71	48	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	71	49	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	71	50	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	71	51	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	71	52	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	71	53	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	71	54	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	71	55	the	the	DET
elp-2472	71	56	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	71	57	package	package	NOUN
elp-2472	71	58	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	71	59	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	71	60	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	61	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	71	62	get	get	VERB
elp-2472	71	63	the	the	DET
elp-2472	71	64	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	71	65	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	71	66	line	line	NOUN
elp-2472	71	67	chart	chart	NOUN
elp-2472	71	68	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	71	69	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	71	70	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	71	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	71	72	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	73	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	71	74	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	75	a	a	DET
elp-2472	71	76	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	71	77	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	71	78	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	71	79	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	71	80	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	71	81	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	72	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	72	2	blue	blue	ADJ
elp-2472	72	3	line	line	NOUN
elp-2472	72	4	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	72	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	72	6	point	point	NOUN
elp-2472	72	7	estimate	estimate	NOUN
elp-2472	72	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	72	9	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	72	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	72	11	light	light	ADJ
elp-2472	72	12	gray	gray	ADJ
elp-2472	72	13	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	72	14	dark	dark	ADJ
elp-2472	72	15	gray	gray	ADJ
elp-2472	72	16	areas	area	NOUN
elp-2472	72	17	represent	represent	VERB
elp-2472	72	18	95	95	NUM
elp-2472	72	19	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	72	20	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	72	21	80	80	NUM
elp-2472	72	22	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	72	23	confidence	confidence	NOUN
elp-2472	72	24	intervals	interval	NOUN
elp-2472	72	25	respectively	respectively	ADV
elp-2472	72	26	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	73	1	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	73	2	can	can	AUX
elp-2472	73	3	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	73	4	seen	see	VERB
elp-2472	73	5	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	73	6	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	7	figure	figure	NOUN
elp-2472	73	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	73	9	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	10	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	73	11	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	73	12	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	73	13	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	73	14	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	73	15	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	73	16	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	73	17	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	18	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	73	19	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	73	20	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	73	21	decline	decline	VERB
elp-2472	73	22	significantly	significantly	ADV
elp-2472	73	23	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	73	24	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	73	25	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	73	26	2020	2020	NUM
elp-2472	73	27	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	73	28	roughly	roughly	ADV
elp-2472	73	29	approaching	approach	VERB
elp-2472	73	30	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	31	level	level	NOUN
elp-2472	73	32	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	73	33	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	73	34	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	73	35	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	73	36	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	73	37	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	73	38	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	73	39	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	73	40	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	41	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	73	42	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	73	43	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	73	44	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	73	45	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	73	46	because	because	SCONJ
elp-2472	73	47	the	the	DET
elp-2472	73	48	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	73	49	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	73	50	imposes	impose	VERB
elp-2472	73	51	a	a	DET
elp-2472	73	52	tariff	tariff	NOUN
elp-2472	73	53	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	73	54	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	73	55	to	to	PART
elp-2472	73	56	25	25	NUM
elp-2472	73	57	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	73	58	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	73	59	imports	import	NOUN
elp-2472	73	60	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	73	61	chinese	chinese	ADJ
elp-2472	73	62	products	product	NOUN
elp-2472	73	63	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	74	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	74	2	most	most	ADV
elp-2472	74	3	important	important	ADJ
elp-2472	74	4	thing	thing	NOUN
elp-2472	74	5	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	74	6	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	74	7	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	74	8	may	may	AUX
elp-2472	74	9	change	change	VERB
elp-2472	74	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	74	11	long	long	ADJ
elp-2472	74	12	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	74	13	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	74	14	stable	stable	ADJ
elp-2472	74	15	growth	growth	NOUN
elp-2472	74	16	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	74	17	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	74	18	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	74	19	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	74	20	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	74	21	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	74	22	the	the	DET
elp-2472	74	23	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	74	24	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	74	25	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	75	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	75	2	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	75	3	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	75	4	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	75	5	actual	actual	ADJ
elp-2472	75	6	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	75	7	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	75	8	shown	show	VERB
elp-2472	75	9	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	75	10	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	75	11	7	7	NUM
elp-2472	75	12	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	75	13	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	75	14	8	8	NUM
elp-2472	75	15	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	75	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	75	17	influence	influence	NOUN
elp-2472	75	18	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	75	19	holiday	holiday	NOUN
elp-2472	75	20	factors	factor	NOUN
elp-2472	75	21	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	75	22	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	75	23	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	75	24	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	75	25	obvious	obvious	ADJ
elp-2472	75	26	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	75	27	so	so	CCONJ
elp-2472	75	28	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	75	29	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	75	30	removed	remove	VERB
elp-2472	75	31	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	75	32	the	the	DET
elp-2472	75	33	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	75	34	estimation	estimation	NOUN
elp-2472	75	35	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	75	36	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	76	1	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	76	2	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	76	3	.	.	X
elp-2472	76	4	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	76	5	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	76	6	fitting	fitting	ADJ
elp-2472	76	7	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	76	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	76	9	actual	actual	ADJ
elp-2472	76	10	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	76	11	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	76	12	july	july	PROPN
elp-2472	76	13	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	76	14	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	76	15	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	76	16	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	76	17	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	76	18	the	the	DET
elp-2472	76	19	actual	actual	ADJ
elp-2472	76	20	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	76	21	the	the	DET
elp-2472	76	22	fitting	fitting	ADJ
elp-2472	76	23	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	76	24	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	76	25	rate（%	rate（%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	26	）	）	X
elp-2472	76	27	2018.07	2018.07	NUM
elp-2472	76	28	26766530	26766530	NUM
elp-2472	76	29	26025160	26025160	NUM
elp-2472	76	30	-2.77	-2.77	NUM
elp-2472	76	31	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	32	2018.08	2018.08	NUM
elp-2472	76	33	29481821	29481821	NUM
elp-2472	76	34	27034012	27034012	NUM
elp-2472	76	35	-8.30	-8.30	NOUN
elp-2472	76	36	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	37	2018.09	2018.09	NUM
elp-2472	76	38	31931363	31931363	NUM
elp-2472	76	39	28011028	28011028	NUM
elp-2472	76	40	-12.28	-12.28	NUM
elp-2472	76	41	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	42	2018.10	2018.10	NUM
elp-2472	76	43	29319143	29319143	NUM
elp-2472	76	44	26483546	26483546	NUM
elp-2472	76	45	-9.67	-9.67	NUM
elp-2472	76	46	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	47	2018.11	2018.11	NUM
elp-2472	76	48	31885204	31885204	NUM
elp-2472	76	49	27145170	27145170	NUM
elp-2472	76	50	-14.87	-14.87	PUNCT
elp-2472	76	51	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	76	52	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	NOUN
elp-2472	76	53	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	76	54	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	76	55	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	76	56	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	76	57	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	76	58	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	76	59	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	77	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	77	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	77	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	77	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	77	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	77	8	236	236	NUM
elp-2472	77	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	77	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	77	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	77	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	77	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	77	14	2018.12	2018.12	NUM
elp-2472	77	15	27942025	27942025	NUM
elp-2472	77	16	27339536	27339536	NUM
elp-2472	77	17	-2.16	-2.16	NUM
elp-2472	77	18	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	19	2019.01	2019.01	NUM
elp-2472	77	20	25211055	25211055	NUM
elp-2472	77	21	25973371	25973371	NUM
elp-2472	77	22	3.02	3.02	NUM
elp-2472	77	23	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	24	2019.02	2019.02	NUM
elp-2472	77	25	15481382	15481382	NUM
elp-2472	77	26	19555027	19555027	NUM
elp-2472	77	27	26.31	26.31	NUM
elp-2472	77	28	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	29	2019.03	2019.03	NUM
elp-2472	77	30	21498523	21498523	NUM
elp-2472	77	31	21749741	21749741	NUM
elp-2472	77	32	1.17	1.17	NUM
elp-2472	77	33	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	34	2019.04	2019.04	NUM
elp-2472	77	35	21074682	21074682	NUM
elp-2472	77	36	23838726	23838726	NUM
elp-2472	77	37	13.12	13.12	NUM
elp-2472	77	38	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	39	2019.05	2019.05	NUM
elp-2472	77	40	25296472	25296472	NUM
elp-2472	77	41	25320438	25320438	NUM
elp-2472	77	42	0.09	0.09	NUM
elp-2472	77	43	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	44	2019.06	2019.06	NUM
elp-2472	77	45	26826670	26826670	NUM
elp-2472	77	46	25468902	25468902	NUM
elp-2472	77	47	-5.06	-5.06	NUM
elp-2472	77	48	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	49	mean	mean	NOUN
elp-2472	77	50	absolute	absolute	ADJ
elp-2472	77	51	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	77	52	rate	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	77	53	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	54	except	except	SCONJ
elp-2472	77	55	2019.02	2019.02	NUM
elp-2472	77	56	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	57	6.59	6.59	NUM
elp-2472	77	58	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	59	table	table	NOUN
elp-2472	77	60	5	5	NUM
elp-2472	77	61	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	62	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	77	63	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	77	64	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	77	65	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	77	66	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	67	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	77	68	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	69	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	77	70	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	71	a	a	DET
elp-2472	77	72	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	73	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	77	74	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	77	75	piont	piont	PROPN
elp-2472	77	76	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	77	77	interval	interval	NOUN
elp-2472	77	78	estimate	estimate	NOUN
elp-2472	77	79	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	77	80	80	80	NUM
elp-2472	77	81	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	82	confidence	confidence	NOUN
elp-2472	77	83	level	level	NOUN
elp-2472	77	84	interval	interval	NOUN
elp-2472	77	85	estimate	estimate	NOUN
elp-2472	77	86	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	77	87	95	95	NUM
elp-2472	77	88	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	77	89	confidence	confidence	NOUN
elp-2472	77	90	level	level	NOUN
elp-2472	77	91	2019.07	2019.07	NUM
elp-2472	77	92	26012197	26012197	NUM
elp-2472	77	93	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	94	23621427,28402967	23621427,28402967	NUM
elp-2472	77	95	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	96	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	97	22355830,29668564	22355830,29668564	NUM
elp-2472	77	98	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	99	2019.08	2019.08	NUM
elp-2472	77	100	27496730	27496730	NUM
elp-2472	77	101	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	102	24928483,30064976	24928483,30064976	NOUN
elp-2472	77	103	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	104	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	105	23568936,31424524	23568936,31424524	NUM
elp-2472	77	106	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	107	2019.09	2019.09	NUM
elp-2472	77	108	28874115	28874115	NUM
elp-2472	77	109	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	110	26139887,31608342	26139887,31608342	NUM
elp-2472	77	111	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	112	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	113	24692475,33055755	24692475,33055755	NUM
elp-2472	77	114	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	115	2019.10	2019.10	NUM
elp-2472	77	116	27073494	27073494	NUM
elp-2472	77	117	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	118	24182801,29964188	24182801,29964188	NUM
elp-2472	77	119	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	120	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	121	22652560,31494428	22652560,31494428	X
elp-2472	77	122	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	123	2019.11	2019.11	NUM
elp-2472	77	124	28224219	28224219	NUM
elp-2472	77	125	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	126	25185104,31263333	25185104,31263333	NUM
elp-2472	77	127	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	128	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	129	23576294,32872143	23576294,32872143	NOUN
elp-2472	77	130	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	131	2019.12	2019.12	NUM
elp-2472	77	132	27389672	27389672	NUM
elp-2472	77	133	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	134	24209055,30570290	24209055,30570290	NUM
elp-2472	77	135	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	136	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	137	22525338,32254007	22525338,32254007	NUM
elp-2472	77	138	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	139	2020.01	2020.01	NUM
elp-2472	77	140	25847560	25847560	NUM
elp-2472	77	141	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	142	22531472,29163647	22531472,29163647	NUM
elp-2472	77	143	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	144	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	145	20776042,30919078	20776042,30919078	NUM
elp-2472	77	146	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	147	2020.02	2020.02	NUM
elp-2472	77	148	19773579	19773579	NUM
elp-2472	77	149	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	150	16327343,23219816	16327343,23219816	NUM
elp-2472	77	151	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	152	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	153	14503016,25044143	14503016,25044143	NOUN
elp-2472	77	154	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	155	2020.03	2020.03	NUM
elp-2472	77	156	21224636	21224636	NUM
elp-2472	77	157	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	158	17652990,24796282	17652990,24796282	NUM
elp-2472	77	159	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	160	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	161	15762275,26686997	15762275,26686997	NOUN
elp-2472	77	162	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	163	2020.04	2020.04	NUM
elp-2472	77	164	23540110	23540110	NUM
elp-2472	77	165	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	166	19847311,27232910	19847311,27232910	NUM
elp-2472	77	167	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	168	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	169	17892462,29187759	17892462,29187759	NUM
elp-2472	77	170	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	171	2020.05	2020.05	NUM
elp-2472	77	172	25267428	25267428	NUM
elp-2472	77	173	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	174	21457327,29077530	21457327,29077530	NUM
elp-2472	77	175	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	176	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	177	19440381,31094476	19440381,31094476	NUM
elp-2472	77	178	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	179	2020.06	2020.06	NUM
elp-2472	77	180	25591927	25591927	NUM
elp-2472	77	181	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	182	21667971,29515883	21667971,29515883	NUM
elp-2472	77	183	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	184	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	185	19590754,31593100	19590754,31593100	NUM
elp-2472	77	186	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	77	187	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	77	188	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	1	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	78	2	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	3	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	78	4	results	result	NOUN
elp-2472	78	5	according	accord	VERB
elp-2472	78	6	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	78	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	8	above	above	ADJ
elp-2472	78	9	empirical	empirical	ADJ
elp-2472	78	10	evidence	evidence	NOUN
elp-2472	78	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	78	12	prediction	prediction	NOUN
elp-2472	78	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	14	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	15	summary	summary	NOUN
elp-2472	78	16	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	78	17	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	78	18	are	be	AUX
elp-2472	78	19	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	78	20	follows	follow	VERB
elp-2472	78	21	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	22	first	first	ADV
elp-2472	78	23	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	24	all	all	PRON
elp-2472	78	25	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	26	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	78	27	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	78	28	2014	2014	NUM
elp-2472	78	29	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	78	30	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	78	31	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	78	32	real	real	ADJ
elp-2472	78	33	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	78	34	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	35	months	months	PROPN
elp-2472	78	36	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	78	37	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	78	38	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	78	39	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	78	40	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	41	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	78	42	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	78	43	trade	trade	VERB
elp-2472	78	44	gross	gross	ADJ
elp-2472	78	45	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	78	46	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	47	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	48	current	current	ADJ
elp-2472	78	49	period	period	NOUN
elp-2472	78	50	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	78	51	obvious	obvious	ADJ
elp-2472	78	52	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	78	53	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
elp-2472	78	54	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	55	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	78	56	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	78	57	or	or	CCONJ
elp-2472	78	58	march	march	PROPN
elp-2472	78	59	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	60	each	each	DET
elp-2472	78	61	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	78	62	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	78	63	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	78	64	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	65	lowest	low	ADJ
elp-2472	78	66	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	67	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	68	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	78	69	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	70	mainly	mainly	ADV
elp-2472	78	71	due	due	ADP
elp-2472	78	72	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	78	73	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	74	effect	effect	NOUN
elp-2472	78	75	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	78	76	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	78	77	about	about	ADV
elp-2472	78	78	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	78	79	month	month	NOUN
elp-2472	78	80	every	every	DET
elp-2472	78	81	year	year	NOUN
elp-2472	78	82	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	83	spring	spring	NOUN
elp-2472	78	84	festival	festival	NOUN
elp-2472	78	85	holiday	holiday	NOUN
elp-2472	78	86	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	87	after	after	SCONJ
elp-2472	78	88	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	89	spring	spring	NOUN
elp-2472	78	90	festival	festival	NOUN
elp-2472	78	91	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	78	92	gradually	gradually	ADV
elp-2472	78	93	recover	recover	VERB
elp-2472	78	94	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	78	95	generally	generally	ADV
elp-2472	78	96	around	around	ADP
elp-2472	78	97	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	78	98	reached	reach	VERB
elp-2472	78	99	the	the	DET
elp-2472	78	100	highest	high	ADJ
elp-2472	78	101	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	78	102	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	1	although	although	SCONJ
elp-2472	79	2	there	there	PRON
elp-2472	79	3	were	be	VERB
elp-2472	79	4	frictions	friction	NOUN
elp-2472	79	5	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	79	6	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	79	7	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	79	8	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	9	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	79	10	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	79	11	during	during	ADP
elp-2472	79	12	this	this	DET
elp-2472	79	13	period	period	NOUN
elp-2472	79	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	15	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	79	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	17	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	79	18	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	79	19	frequently	frequently	ADV
elp-2472	79	20	used	use	VERB
elp-2472	79	21	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	22	“	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	23	double	double	ADJ
elp-2472	79	24	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	25	countervailing	countervailing	ADJ
elp-2472	79	26	”	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	27	investigation	investigation	NOUN
elp-2472	79	28	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	29	“	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	30	337	337	NUM
elp-2472	79	31	”	"	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	32	investigation	investigation	NOUN
elp-2472	79	33	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	79	34	technical	technical	ADJ
elp-2472	79	35	barriers	barrier	NOUN
elp-2472	79	36	to	to	PART
elp-2472	79	37	trade	trade	VERB
elp-2472	79	38	to	to	PART
elp-2472	79	39	restrict	restrict	VERB
elp-2472	79	40	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	41	import	import	NOUN
elp-2472	79	42	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	79	43	chinese	chinese	ADJ
elp-2472	79	44	products	product	NOUN
elp-2472	79	45	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	46	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	79	47	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	79	48	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	79	49	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	79	50	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	79	51	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	52	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	79	53	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	79	54	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	79	55	still	still	ADV
elp-2472	79	56	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	79	57	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	58	rise	rise	NOUN
elp-2472	79	59	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	79	60	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	61	whole	whole	NOUN
elp-2472	79	62	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	79	63	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	79	64	the	the	DET
elp-2472	79	65	surplus	surplus	NOUN
elp-2472	79	66	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	79	67	also	also	ADV
elp-2472	79	68	expanding	expand	VERB
elp-2472	79	69	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	80	1	even	even	ADV
elp-2472	80	2	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	80	3	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	80	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	80	5	when	when	SCONJ
elp-2472	80	6	the	the	DET
elp-2472	80	7	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	80	8	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	80	9	started	start	VERB
elp-2472	80	10	a	a	DET
elp-2472	80	11	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	80	12	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	80	13	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	80	14	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	80	15	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	80	16	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	80	17	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	80	18	the	the	DET
elp-2472	80	19	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	80	20	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	80	21	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	PROPN
elp-2472	80	22	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	80	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	80	24	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	80	25	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	80	26	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	80	27	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	80	28	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	81	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	81	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	81	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	81	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	81	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	81	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	81	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	81	8	237	237	NUM
elp-2472	81	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	81	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	81	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	81	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	81	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	81	14	continued	continue	VERB
elp-2472	81	15	to	to	PART
elp-2472	81	16	grow	grow	VERB
elp-2472	81	17	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	1	secondly	secondly	ADV
elp-2472	82	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	3	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	82	4	using	use	VERB
elp-2472	82	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	6	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	82	7	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	82	8	a	a	DET
elp-2472	82	9	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	82	10	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	11	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	82	12	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	13	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	82	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	15	a	a	X
elp-2472	82	16	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	17	it	it	PRON
elp-2472	82	18	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	82	19	concluded	conclude	VERB
elp-2472	82	20	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	82	21	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	22	july	july	PROPN
elp-2472	82	23	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	82	24	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	82	25	june	june	PROPN
elp-2472	82	26	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	82	27	month	month	NOUN
elp-2472	82	28	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	82	29	values	value	NOUN
elp-2472	82	30	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	82	31	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	32	real	real	ADJ
elp-2472	82	33	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	82	34	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	82	35	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	36	mean	mean	ADJ
elp-2472	82	37	absolute	absolute	ADJ
elp-2472	82	38	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	82	39	rate	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	82	40	was	be	AUX
elp-2472	82	41	6.59	6.59	NUM
elp-2472	82	42	%	%	NOUN
elp-2472	82	43	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	44	remove	remove	NOUN
elp-2472	82	45	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	46	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	82	47	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	82	48	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	82	49	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	50	error	error	NOUN
elp-2472	82	51	rate	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	82	52	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	82	53	small	small	ADJ
elp-2472	82	54	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	55	relatively	relatively	ADV
elp-2472	82	56	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	82	57	that	that	PRON
elp-2472	82	58	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	82	59	arima	arima	PROPN
elp-2472	82	60	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	61	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	82	62	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	63	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	82	64	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	65	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	82	66	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	67	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	68	0	0	NUM
elp-2472	82	69	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	70	0)[12	0)[12	NOUN
elp-2472	82	71	]	]	X
elp-2472	82	72	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	82	73	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	74	especially	especially	ADV
elp-2472	82	75	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	82	76	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	77	case	case	NOUN
elp-2472	82	78	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	82	79	data	datum	NOUN
elp-2472	82	80	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	82	81	the	the	DET
elp-2472	82	82	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
elp-2472	82	83	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
elp-2472	82	84	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	85	ets	et	NOUN
elp-2472	82	86	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	87	a	a	PRON
elp-2472	82	88	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	89	n	n	CCONJ
elp-2472	82	90	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	91	a	a	DET
elp-2472	82	92	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	82	93	model	model	NOUN
elp-2472	82	94	to	to	PART
elp-2472	82	95	predict	predict	VERB
elp-2472	82	96	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	82	97	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	82	98	more	more	ADJ
elp-2472	82	99	advantages	advantage	NOUN
elp-2472	82	100	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	83	1	finally	finally	ADV
elp-2472	83	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	83	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	4	peak	peak	NOUN
elp-2472	83	5	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	6	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	8	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	83	9	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	10	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	83	11	november	november	PROPN
elp-2472	83	12	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	83	13	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	83	14	lower	low	ADJ
elp-2472	83	15	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	83	16	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	17	peak	peak	NOUN
elp-2472	83	18	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	19	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	20	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	21	actual	actual	ADJ
elp-2472	83	22	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	23	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	83	24	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	83	25	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	83	26	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	83	27	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	28	minimum	minimum	ADJ
elp-2472	83	29	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	30	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	31	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	32	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	83	33	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	34	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	83	35	february	february	PROPN
elp-2472	83	36	2020	2020	NUM
elp-2472	83	37	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	83	38	higher	high	ADJ
elp-2472	83	39	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	83	40	that	that	PRON
elp-2472	83	41	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	83	42	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	83	43	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	83	44	indicating	indicate	VERB
elp-2472	83	45	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	83	46	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	47	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
elp-2472	83	48	range	range	NOUN
elp-2472	83	49	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	50	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	83	51	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	83	52	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	83	53	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	83	54	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	55	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	83	56	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	83	57	during	during	ADP
elp-2472	83	58	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	59	forecast	forecast	NOUN
elp-2472	83	60	period	period	NOUN
elp-2472	83	61	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	83	62	smaller	small	ADJ
elp-2472	83	63	than	than	ADP
elp-2472	83	64	that	that	PRON
elp-2472	83	65	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	83	66	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	83	67	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	83	68	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	83	69	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	70	total	total	ADJ
elp-2472	83	71	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	83	72	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	73	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	83	74	drops	drop	VERB
elp-2472	83	75	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	83	76	the	the	DET
elp-2472	83	77	level	level	NOUN
elp-2472	83	78	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	83	79	2017	2017	NUM
elp-2472	83	80	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	84	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	84	2	comparison	comparison	NOUN
elp-2472	84	3	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	84	4	the	the	DET
elp-2472	84	5	predicted	predict	VERB
elp-2472	84	6	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	84	7	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	84	8	the	the	DET
elp-2472	84	9	real	real	ADJ
elp-2472	84	10	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	84	11	also	also	ADV
elp-2472	84	12	shows	show	VERB
elp-2472	84	13	that	that	SCONJ
elp-2472	84	14	the	the	DET
elp-2472	84	15	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	84	16	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	84	17	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	84	18	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	84	19	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	84	20	the	the	DET
elp-2472	84	21	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	84	22	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	84	23	has	have	VERB
elp-2472	84	24	little	little	ADJ
elp-2472	84	25	impact	impact	NOUN
elp-2472	84	26	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	84	27	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	84	28	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	1	however	however	ADV
elp-2472	85	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	3	due	due	ADP
elp-2472	85	4	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	85	5	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	6	long	long	ADJ
elp-2472	85	7	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	8	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	85	9	trend	trend	NOUN
elp-2472	85	10	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	85	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	12	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	85	13	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	85	14	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	85	15	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	85	16	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	85	17	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	18	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	85	19	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	85	20	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	21	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	85	22	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	85	23	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	85	24	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	85	25	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	26	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	85	27	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	85	28	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	85	29	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	85	30	restrained	restrain	VERB
elp-2472	85	31	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	85	32	a	a	DET
elp-2472	85	33	certain	certain	ADJ
elp-2472	85	34	extent	extent	NOUN
elp-2472	85	35	during	during	ADP
elp-2472	85	36	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	37	period	period	NOUN
elp-2472	85	38	from	from	ADP
elp-2472	85	39	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	85	40	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	85	41	2020	2020	NUM
elp-2472	85	42	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	43	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	85	44	the	the	DET
elp-2472	85	45	prospect	prospect	NOUN
elp-2472	85	46	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	85	47	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	85	48	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	85	49	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	85	50	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	85	51	is	be	AUX
elp-2472	85	52	not	not	PART
elp-2472	85	53	optimistic	optimistic	ADJ
elp-2472	85	54	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	86	1	5	5	X
elp-2472	86	2	.	.	X
elp-2472	86	3	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
elp-2472	86	4	5.1	5.1	NUM
elp-2472	86	5	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	86	6	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	86	7	continue	continue	VERB
elp-2472	86	8	to	to	PART
elp-2472	86	9	open	open	VERB
elp-2472	86	10	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	86	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	12	expand	expand	VERB
elp-2472	86	13	multilateral	multilateral	ADJ
elp-2472	86	14	economic	economic	ADJ
elp-2472	86	15	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	16	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	86	17	cooperation	cooperation	NOUN
elp-2472	86	18	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	86	19	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	86	20	continue	continue	VERB
elp-2472	86	21	to	to	PART
elp-2472	86	22	open	open	VERB
elp-2472	86	23	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	86	24	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	86	25	the	the	DET
elp-2472	86	26	outside	outside	ADJ
elp-2472	86	27	world	world	NOUN
elp-2472	86	28	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	86	29	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
elp-2472	86	30	the	the	DET
elp-2472	86	31	supply	supply	NOUN
elp-2472	86	32	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	86	33	side	side	NOUN
elp-2472	86	34	structural	structural	ADJ
elp-2472	86	35	reform	reform	NOUN
elp-2472	86	36	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	86	37	foreign	foreign	ADJ
elp-2472	86	38	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	86	39	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	86	40	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	41	improve	improve	VERB
elp-2472	86	42	the	the	DET
elp-2472	86	43	tax	tax	NOUN
elp-2472	86	44	reduction	reduction	NOUN
elp-2472	86	45	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	46	exemption	exemption	NOUN
elp-2472	86	47	policies	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	86	48	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	49	measures	measure	NOUN
elp-2472	86	50	to	to	PART
elp-2472	86	51	support	support	VERB
elp-2472	86	52	small	small	ADJ
elp-2472	86	53	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	86	54	medium	medium	ADJ
elp-2472	86	55	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	86	56	sized	sized	ADJ
elp-2472	86	57	foreign	foreign	ADJ
elp-2472	86	58	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	86	59	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
elp-2472	86	60	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	87	1	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	87	2	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	87	3	promote	promote	VERB
elp-2472	87	4	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	5	development	development	NOUN
elp-2472	87	6	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	87	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	8	one	one	NUM
elp-2472	87	9	belt	belt	NOUN
elp-2472	87	10	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	87	11	one	one	NUM
elp-2472	87	12	road	road	NOUN
elp-2472	87	13	market	market	NOUN
elp-2472	87	14	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	87	15	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	16	construction	construction	NOUN
elp-2472	87	17	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	87	18	bilateral	bilateral	ADJ
elp-2472	87	19	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	87	20	multilateral	multilateral	ADJ
elp-2472	87	21	free	free	ADJ
elp-2472	87	22	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	87	23	areas	area	NOUN
elp-2472	87	24	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	87	25	further	far	ADV
elp-2472	87	26	enhance	enhance	VERB
elp-2472	87	27	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	87	28	facilitation	facilitation	NOUN
elp-2472	87	29	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	87	30	create	create	VERB
elp-2472	87	31	a	a	DET
elp-2472	87	32	favorable	favorable	ADJ
elp-2472	87	33	new	new	ADJ
elp-2472	87	34	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	87	35	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	87	36	opening	opening	NOUN
elp-2472	87	37	up	up	ADP
elp-2472	87	38	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	39	economy	economy	NOUN
elp-2472	87	40	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	87	41	so	so	SCONJ
elp-2472	87	42	as	as	SCONJ
elp-2472	87	43	to	to	PART
elp-2472	87	44	offset	offset	VERB
elp-2472	87	45	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	46	impact	impact	NOUN
elp-2472	87	47	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	87	48	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	49	reduction	reduction	NOUN
elp-2472	87	50	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	87	51	exports	export	NOUN
elp-2472	87	52	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	87	53	the	the	DET
elp-2472	87	54	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	87	55	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	87	56	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	1	5.2	5.2	NUM
elp-2472	88	2	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	88	3	continue	continue	VERB
elp-2472	88	4	to	to	PART
elp-2472	88	5	negotiate	negotiate	VERB
elp-2472	88	6	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	88	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	8	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	88	9	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	88	10	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	88	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	12	basis	basis	NOUN
elp-2472	88	13	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	88	14	ensuring	ensure	VERB
elp-2472	88	15	bottom	bottom	ADJ
elp-2472	88	16	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	17	line	line	NOUN
elp-2472	88	18	thinking	thinking	NOUN
elp-2472	88	19	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	88	20	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	88	21	stick	stick	VERB
elp-2472	88	22	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	88	23	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	24	bottom	bottom	ADJ
elp-2472	88	25	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	26	line	line	NOUN
elp-2472	88	27	principle	principle	NOUN
elp-2472	88	28	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	88	29	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	30	principles	principle	NOUN
elp-2472	88	31	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	88	32	equality	equality	NOUN
elp-2472	88	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	34	justice	justice	NOUN
elp-2472	88	35	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	88	36	mutual	mutual	ADJ
elp-2472	88	37	benefit	benefit	NOUN
elp-2472	88	38	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	88	39	communication	communication	NOUN
elp-2472	88	40	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	88	41	negotiation	negotiation	NOUN
elp-2472	88	42	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	88	43	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	44	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	88	45	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	46	strive	strive	VERB
elp-2472	88	47	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	88	48	an	an	DET
elp-2472	88	49	early	early	ADJ
elp-2472	88	50	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
elp-2472	88	51	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	88	52	an	an	DET
elp-2472	88	53	agreement	agreement	NOUN
elp-2472	88	54	conducive	conducive	ADJ
elp-2472	88	55	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	88	56	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	57	long	long	ADJ
elp-2472	88	58	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	59	term	term	NOUN
elp-2472	88	60	economic	economic	ADJ
elp-2472	88	61	development	development	NOUN
elp-2472	88	62	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	88	63	the	the	DET
elp-2472	88	64	two	two	NUM
elp-2472	88	65	countries	country	NOUN
elp-2472	88	66	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	88	67	avoid	avoid	VERB
elp-2472	88	68	further	further	ADJ
elp-2472	88	69	deterioration	deterioration	NOUN
elp-2472	88	70	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	88	71	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	88	72	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	88	73	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	88	74	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	88	75	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	89	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	2	recent	recent	ADJ
elp-2472	89	3	breakdown	breakdown	NOUN
elp-2472	89	4	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	89	5	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	89	6	talks	talk	NOUN
elp-2472	89	7	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	89	8	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	89	9	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	89	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	11	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	89	12	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	89	13	trump	trump	VERB
elp-2472	89	14	’s	’s	PART
elp-2472	89	15	threat	threat	NOUN
elp-2472	89	16	to	to	PART
elp-2472	89	17	impose	impose	VERB
elp-2472	89	18	additional	additional	ADJ
elp-2472	89	19	tariff	tariff	NOUN
elp-2472	89	20	rates	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	89	21	have	have	AUX
elp-2472	89	22	further	far	ADV
elp-2472	89	23	increased	increase	VERB
elp-2472	89	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	25	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
elp-2472	89	26	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	89	27	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	89	28	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	89	29	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	89	30	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	89	31	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	89	32	which	which	PRON
elp-2472	89	33	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	89	34	also	also	ADV
elp-2472	89	35	seriously	seriously	ADV
elp-2472	89	36	affect	affect	VERB
elp-2472	89	37	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	38	confidence	confidence	NOUN
elp-2472	89	39	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	89	40	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	41	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	89	42	market	market	NOUN
elp-2472	89	43	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	89	44	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	45	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	89	46	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	89	47	the	the	DET
elp-2472	89	48	future	future	NOUN
elp-2472	89	49	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	1	5.3	5.3	NUM
elp-2472	90	2	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	90	3	will	will	AUX
elp-2472	90	4	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
elp-2472	90	5	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
elp-2472	90	6	’	'	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	7	awareness	awareness	NOUN
elp-2472	90	8	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	90	9	risk	risk	NOUN
elp-2472	90	10	prevention	prevention	NOUN
elp-2472	90	11	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	90	12	intellectual	intellectual	ADJ
elp-2472	90	13	property	property	NOUN
elp-2472	90	14	protection	protection	NOUN
elp-2472	90	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	16	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	90	17	foster	foster	VERB
elp-2472	90	18	new	new	ADJ
elp-2472	90	19	international	international	ADJ
elp-2472	90	20	competitive	competitive	ADJ
elp-2472	90	21	advantages	advantage	NOUN
elp-2472	90	22	faced	face	VERB
elp-2472	90	23	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	90	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	90	25	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	90	26	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	90	27	between	between	ADP
elp-2472	90	28	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	90	29	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	90	30	the	the	DET
elp-2472	90	31	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	90	32	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	90	33	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	34	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
elp-2472	90	35	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	90	36	be	be	AUX
elp-2472	90	37	aware	aware	ADJ
elp-2472	90	38	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	90	39	risks	risk	NOUN
elp-2472	90	40	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	41	adjust	adjust	VERB
elp-2472	90	42	their	their	PRON
elp-2472	90	43	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	90	44	markets	market	NOUN
elp-2472	90	45	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	90	46	a	a	DET
elp-2472	90	47	timely	timely	ADJ
elp-2472	90	48	manner	manner	NOUN
elp-2472	90	49	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	90	50	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	90	51	avoid	avoid	VERB
elp-2472	90	52	risks	risk	NOUN
elp-2472	90	53	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	90	54	tariffs	tariff	NOUN
elp-2472	90	55	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	90	56	exchange	exchange	NOUN
elp-2472	90	57	rates	rate	NOUN
elp-2472	90	58	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	91	1	properly	properly	ADV
elp-2472	91	2	handle	handle	VERB
elp-2472	91	3	the	the	DET
elp-2472	91	4	industrial	industrial	ADJ
elp-2472	91	5	cooperation	cooperation	NOUN
elp-2472	91	6	with	with	ADP
elp-2472	91	7	relevant	relevant	ADJ
elp-2472	91	8	american	american	ADJ
elp-2472	91	9	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
elp-2472	91	10	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	92	1	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	92	2	the	the	DET
elp-2472	92	3	same	same	ADJ
elp-2472	92	4	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	92	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	92	6	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	92	7	need	need	VERB
elp-2472	92	8	to	to	PART
elp-2472	92	9	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
elp-2472	92	10	ipr	ipr	PROPN
elp-2472	92	11	protection	protection	NOUN
elp-2472	92	12	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	92	13	create	create	VERB
elp-2472	92	14	a	a	DET
elp-2472	92	15	sound	sound	ADJ
elp-2472	92	16	business	business	NOUN
elp-2472	92	17	environment	environment	NOUN
elp-2472	92	18	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	92	19	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	92	20	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	93	1	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	93	2	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	93	3	encourage	encourage	VERB
elp-2472	93	4	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	93	5	intensify	intensify	VERB
elp-2472	93	6	enterprise	enterprise	NOUN
elp-2472	93	7	innovation	innovation	NOUN
elp-2472	93	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	93	9	improve	improve	VERB
elp-2472	93	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	93	11	structure	structure	NOUN
elp-2472	93	12	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	93	13	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	93	14	products	product	NOUN
elp-2472	93	15	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	93	16	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	93	17	cultivate	cultivate	VERB
elp-2472	93	18	competitive	competitive	ADJ
elp-2472	93	19	advantages	advantage	NOUN
elp-2472	93	20	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	93	21	the	the	DET
elp-2472	93	22	quality	quality	NOUN
elp-2472	93	23	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	93	24	technology	technology	NOUN
elp-2472	93	25	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	93	26	brand	brand	NOUN
elp-2472	93	27	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	93	28	service	service	NOUN
elp-2472	93	29	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	93	30	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	93	31	products	product	NOUN
elp-2472	93	32	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	94	1	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	94	2	particular	particular	ADJ
elp-2472	94	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	94	4	we	we	PRON
elp-2472	94	5	should	should	AUX
elp-2472	94	6	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/elp	VERB
elp-2472	94	7	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	94	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	94	9	law	law	NOUN
elp-2472	94	10	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	94	11	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	94	12	vol	vol	NOUN
elp-2472	94	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	95	1	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	95	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	95	3	no	no	INTJ
elp-2472	95	4	.	.	NOUN
elp-2472	95	5	2	2	NUM
elp-2472	95	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	95	7	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	95	8	238	238	NUM
elp-2472	95	9	published	publish	VERB
elp-2472	95	10	by	by	ADP
elp-2472	95	11	scholink	scholink	PROPN
elp-2472	95	12	inc	inc	PROPN
elp-2472	95	13	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	95	14	avoid	avoid	VERB
elp-2472	95	15	focusing	focus	VERB
elp-2472	95	16	on	on	ADP
elp-2472	95	17	16	16	NUM
elp-2472	95	18	categories	category	NOUN
elp-2472	95	19	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	95	20	products	product	NOUN
elp-2472	95	21	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	95	22	export	export	NOUN
elp-2472	95	23	to	to	ADP
elp-2472	95	24	the	the	DET
elp-2472	95	25	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	95	26	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	95	27	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	95	28	implement	implement	VERB
elp-2472	95	29	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
elp-2472	95	30	strategy	strategy	NOUN
elp-2472	95	31	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	1	references	reference	NOUN
elp-2472	96	2	anthony	anthony	PROPN
elp-2472	96	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	4	w.	w.	PROPN
elp-2472	96	5	c.	c.	PROPN
elp-2472	96	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	7	jim	jim	PROPN
elp-2472	96	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	9	c.	c.	PROPN
elp-2472	96	10	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	11	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	96	12	v.	v.	ADP
elp-2472	96	13	reddy	reddy	PROPN
elp-2472	96	14	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	15	d.	d.	PROPN
elp-2472	96	16	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	17	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	96	18	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	96	19	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	97	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	97	2	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	97	3	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	97	4	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	97	5	trade	trade	PROPN
elp-2472	97	6	war	war	NOUN
elp-2472	97	7	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	97	8	dominance	dominance	NOUN
elp-2472	97	9	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	97	10	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	97	11	or	or	CCONJ
elp-2472	97	12	technology	technology	NOUN
elp-2472	97	13	?	?	PUNCT
elp-2472	98	1	applied	apply	VERB
elp-2472	98	2	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	98	3	letters	letter	NOUN
elp-2472	98	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	98	5	2019	2019	NUM
elp-2472	98	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	98	7	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	98	8	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	98	9	6	6	NUM
elp-2472	98	10	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	99	1	https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646860	https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2019.1646860	PROPN
elp-2472	99	2	box	box	PROPN
elp-2472	99	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	100	1	g.	g.	PROPN
elp-2472	100	2	e.	e.	PROPN
elp-2472	100	3	p.	p.	PROPN
elp-2472	100	4	et	et	PROPN
elp-2472	101	1	al	al	PROPN
elp-2472	101	2	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	101	3	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	101	4	2015	2015	NUM
elp-2472	101	5	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	101	6	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	102	1	time	time	NOUN
elp-2472	102	2	series	series	PROPN
elp-2472	102	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
elp-2472	102	4	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	102	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
elp-2472	102	6	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	102	7	control	control	NOUN
elp-2472	102	8	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	103	1	john	john	PROPN
elp-2472	103	2	wiley	wiley	PROPN
elp-2472	103	3	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	103	4	sons	son	NOUN
elp-2472	103	5	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	1	guijun	guijun	PROPN
elp-2472	104	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	3	l.	l.	PROPN
elp-2472	104	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	5	fei	fei	PROPN
elp-2472	104	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	7	w.	w.	PROPN
elp-2472	104	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	9	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	104	10	jiansuo	jiansuo	PROPN
elp-2472	104	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	12	p.	p.	NOUN
elp-2472	104	13	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	14	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	104	15	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	104	16	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	105	1	global	global	ADJ
elp-2472	105	2	value	value	NOUN
elp-2472	105	3	chain	chain	NOUN
elp-2472	105	4	perspective	perspective	NOUN
elp-2472	105	5	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	105	6	us	we	PRON
elp-2472	105	7	–	–	PUNCT
elp-2472	105	8	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	105	9	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	105	10	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	105	11	employment	employment	NOUN
elp-2472	105	12	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	106	1	world	world	NOUN
elp-2472	106	2	economy	economy	NOUN
elp-2472	106	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	106	4	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	106	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	106	6	41	41	NUM
elp-2472	106	7	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	107	1	hopewell	hopewell	PROPN
elp-2472	107	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	107	3	k.	k.	PROPN
elp-2472	107	4	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	107	5	n.d	n.d	PROPN
elp-2472	107	6	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	107	7	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	107	8	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	108	1	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	108	2	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	108	3	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	108	4	conflict	conflict	NOUN
elp-2472	108	5	in	in	ADP
elp-2472	108	6	global	global	ADJ
elp-2472	108	7	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	108	8	governance	governance	NOUN
elp-2472	108	9	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	108	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	108	11	new	new	ADJ
elp-2472	108	12	politics	politic	NOUN
elp-2472	108	13	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	108	14	agricultural	agricultural	ADJ
elp-2472	108	15	subsidies	subsidy	NOUN
elp-2472	108	16	at	at	ADP
elp-2472	108	17	the	the	DET
elp-2472	108	18	wto	wto	PROPN
elp-2472	108	19	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	109	1	review	review	NOUN
elp-2472	109	2	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	109	3	international	international	ADJ
elp-2472	109	4	political	political	ADJ
elp-2472	109	5	economy	economy	NOUN
elp-2472	109	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	109	7	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	109	8	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	109	9	25	25	NUM
elp-2472	109	10	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	1	hughes	hughes	PROPN
elp-2472	110	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	3	l.	l.	PROPN
elp-2472	110	4	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	5	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	110	6	meckling	meckling	PROPN
elp-2472	110	7	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	8	j.	j.	PROPN
elp-2472	110	9	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	10	n.d	n.d	PROPN
elp-2472	110	11	.	.	PROPN
elp-2472	110	12	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	110	13	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	111	1	the	the	DET
elp-2472	111	2	politics	politic	NOUN
elp-2472	111	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	111	4	renewable	renewable	ADJ
elp-2472	111	5	energy	energy	NOUN
elp-2472	111	6	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	111	7	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	111	8	the	the	DET
elp-2472	111	9	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	111	10	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	111	11	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	111	12	solar	solar	ADJ
elp-2472	111	13	dispute	dispute	NOUN
elp-2472	111	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	112	1	energy	energy	NOUN
elp-2472	112	2	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	112	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	112	4	105	105	NUM
elp-2472	112	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	112	6	256	256	NUM
elp-2472	112	7	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	112	8	262	262	NUM
elp-2472	112	9	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	113	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.044	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.044	PROPN
elp-2472	113	2	ka	ka	PROPN
elp-2472	113	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	113	4	z.	z.	PROPN
elp-2472	113	5	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	113	6	2013	2013	NUM
elp-2472	113	7	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	113	8	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	114	1	high	high	ADJ
elp-2472	114	2	stakes	stake	NOUN
elp-2472	114	3	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	114	4	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	114	5	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	114	6	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	114	7	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	114	8	disputes	dispute	NOUN
elp-2472	114	9	under	under	ADP
elp-2472	114	10	the	the	DET
elp-2472	114	11	world	world	NOUN
elp-2472	114	12	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	114	13	organization	organization	NOUN
elp-2472	114	14	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	114	15	wto	wto	PROPN
elp-2472	114	16	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	114	17	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	115	1	asian	asian	ADJ
elp-2472	115	2	journal	journal	PROPN
elp-2472	115	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	115	4	social	social	ADJ
elp-2472	115	5	science	science	NOUN
elp-2472	115	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	115	7	41(3	41(3	NOUN
elp-2472	115	8	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	115	9	4	4	NUM
elp-2472	115	10	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	115	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	115	12	352	352	NUM
elp-2472	115	13	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	115	14	380	380	NUM
elp-2472	115	15	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	1	https://doi.org/10.1163/15685314-12341309	https://doi.org/10.1163/15685314-12341309	PROPN
elp-2472	116	2	lin	lin	PROPN
elp-2472	116	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	4	j.	j.	PROPN
elp-2472	116	5	y.	y.	PROPN
elp-2472	116	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	7	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	116	8	wang	wang	PROPN
elp-2472	116	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	10	x.	x.	NOUN
elp-2472	116	11	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	12	2018	2018	NUM
elp-2472	116	13	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	116	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	117	1	trump	trump	VERB
elp-2472	117	2	economics	economic	NOUN
elp-2472	117	3	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	117	4	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	117	5	–	–	PUNCT
elp-2472	117	6	us	us	PROPN
elp-2472	117	7	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	117	8	imbalances	imbalance	NOUN
elp-2472	117	9	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	118	1	journal	journal	NOUN
elp-2472	118	2	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	118	3	policy	policy	NOUN
elp-2472	118	4	modeling	modeling	NOUN
elp-2472	118	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	118	6	40(3	40(3	NUM
elp-2472	118	7	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	118	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	118	9	579	579	NUM
elp-2472	118	10	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	118	11	600	600	NUM
elp-2472	118	12	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.03.009	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.03.009	PROPN
elp-2472	119	2	maria	maria	PROPN
elp-2472	119	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	4	b.	b.	PROPN
elp-2472	119	5	f.	f.	PROPN
elp-2472	119	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	7	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	119	8	paolo	paolo	PROPN
elp-2472	119	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	10	g.	g.	PROPN
elp-2472	119	11	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	12	2015	2015	NUM
elp-2472	119	13	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	119	14	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	120	1	a	a	DET
elp-2472	120	2	toolbox	toolbox	NOUN
elp-2472	120	3	for	for	ADP
elp-2472	120	4	fuzzy	fuzzy	ADJ
elp-2472	120	5	clustering	clustering	NOUN
elp-2472	120	6	using	use	VERB
elp-2472	120	7	the	the	DET
elp-2472	120	8	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	120	9	programming	programming	NOUN
elp-2472	120	10	language	language	NOUN
elp-2472	120	11	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	121	1	fuzzy	fuzzy	ADJ
elp-2472	121	2	sets	set	NOUN
elp-2472	121	3	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	121	4	systems	system	NOUN
elp-2472	121	5	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	121	6	279	279	NUM
elp-2472	121	7	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	121	8	1	1	NUM
elp-2472	121	9	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	121	10	16	16	NUM
elp-2472	121	11	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	122	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fss.2015.05.001	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fss.2015.05.001	NOUN
elp-2472	122	2	tung	tung	PROPN
elp-2472	122	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	122	4	r.	r.	PROPN
elp-2472	122	5	l.	l.	PROPN
elp-2472	122	6	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	122	7	1982	1982	NUM
elp-2472	122	8	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	122	9	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	123	1	u.s.-china	u.s.-china	PROPN
elp-2472	123	2	trade	trade	PROPN
elp-2472	123	3	negotiations	negotiation	NOUN
elp-2472	123	4	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	123	5	practices	practice	NOUN
elp-2472	123	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	123	7	procedures	procedure	NOUN
elp-2472	123	8	and	and	CCONJ
elp-2472	123	9	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
elp-2472	123	10	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	124	1	journal	journal	PROPN
elp-2472	124	2	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	124	3	international	international	ADJ
elp-2472	124	4	business	business	NOUN
elp-2472	124	5	studies	study	NOUN
elp-2472	124	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	124	7	13(2	13(2	PROPN
elp-2472	124	8	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	124	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	124	10	25	25	NUM
elp-2472	124	11	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	124	12	37	37	NUM
elp-2472	124	13	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	1	https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490548	https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490548	PROPN
elp-2472	125	2	venables	venables	PROPN
elp-2472	125	3	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	4	w.	w.	PROPN
elp-2472	125	5	n.	n.	PROPN
elp-2472	125	6	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	7	&	&	CCONJ
elp-2472	125	8	smith	smith	PROPN
elp-2472	125	9	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	10	d.	d.	PROPN
elp-2472	125	11	m.	m.	PROPN
elp-2472	125	12	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	13	2006	2006	NUM
elp-2472	125	14	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	125	15	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	126	1	r	r	NOUN
elp-2472	126	2	development	development	NOUN
elp-2472	126	3	core	core	NOUN
elp-2472	126	4	team	team	NOUN
elp-2472	126	5	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	127	1	zeng	zeng	PROPN
elp-2472	127	2	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	127	3	k.	k.	PROPN
elp-2472	127	4	(	(	PUNCT
elp-2472	127	5	2013	2013	NUM
elp-2472	127	6	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	127	7	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	128	1	high	high	ADJ
elp-2472	128	2	stakes	stake	NOUN
elp-2472	128	3	:	:	PUNCT
elp-2472	128	4	united	united	PROPN
elp-2472	128	5	states	states	PROPN
elp-2472	128	6	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	128	7	china	china	PROPN
elp-2472	128	8	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	128	9	disputes	dispute	NOUN
elp-2472	128	10	under	under	ADP
elp-2472	128	11	the	the	DET
elp-2472	128	12	world	world	NOUN
elp-2472	128	13	trade	trade	NOUN
elp-2472	128	14	organization	organization	NOUN
elp-2472	128	15	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	1	international	international	ADJ
elp-2472	129	2	relations	relation	NOUN
elp-2472	129	3	of	of	ADP
elp-2472	129	4	the	the	DET
elp-2472	129	5	asia	asia	PROPN
elp-2472	129	6	-	-	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	7	pacific	pacific	ADJ
elp-2472	129	8	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	9	13(1	13(1	NUM
elp-2472	129	10	)	)	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	11	,	,	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	12	33	33	NUM
elp-2472	129	13	-	-	SYM
elp-2472	129	14	63	63	NUM
elp-2472	129	15	.	.	PUNCT
elp-2472	129	16	https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcs014	https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcs014	NOUN