id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
easat-9198	1	1	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	1	2	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	1	3	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	1	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	1	5	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	1	6	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	1	7	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	1	8	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	1	9	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	1	10	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	1	11	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	1	12	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	2	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	2	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	2	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	2	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	2	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	2	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	2	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	2	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	2	10	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	2	11	publisher	publisher	NOUN
easat-9198	2	12	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	2	13	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	2	14	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	2	15	doi	doi	PROPN
easat-9198	2	16	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	2	17	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	2	18	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	2	19	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	2	20	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	2	21	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	2	22	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	2	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	2	24	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	2	25	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	2	26	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	2	27	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	2	28	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	3	1	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	3	2	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	3	3	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	3	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	3	5	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	3	6	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	7	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	3	8	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	3	9	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	3	10	history	history	NOUN
easat-9198	3	11	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	12	received	receive	VERB
easat-9198	3	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	14	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	3	15	june	june	PROPN
easat-9198	3	16	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	3	17	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	18	revised	revise	VERB
easat-9198	3	19	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	20	24	24	NUM
easat-9198	3	21	june	june	PROPN
easat-9198	3	22	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	3	23	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	24	accepted	accept	VERB
easat-9198	3	25	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	26	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	3	27	july	july	NOUN
easat-9198	3	28	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	3	29	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	30	published	publish	VERB
easat-9198	3	31	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	32	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	3	33	august	august	PROPN
easat-9198	3	34	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	3	35	*	*	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	36	correspondence	correspondence	NOUN
easat-9198	3	37	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	38	nwgafsi@imamu.edu.sa	nwgafsi@imamu.edu.sa	PROPN
easat-9198	3	39	predictive	predictive	ADJ
easat-9198	3	40	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	3	41	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	3	42	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	3	43	flows	flow	VERB
easat-9198	3	44	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	45	a	a	DET
easat-9198	3	46	lever	lever	NOUN
easat-9198	3	47	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	3	48	optimizing	optimize	VERB
easat-9198	3	49	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	3	50	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	3	51	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	3	52	adapting	adapt	VERB
easat-9198	3	53	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	3	54	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	3	55	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	3	56	nihel	nihel	PROPN
easat-9198	3	57	ziadi	ziadi	PROPN
easat-9198	3	58	ben	ben	PROPN
easat-9198	3	59	fadhel1	fadhel1	PROPN
easat-9198	3	60	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	61	nesrine	nesrine	ADJ
easat-9198	3	62	gafsi2	gafsi2	NOUN
easat-9198	3	63	*	*	NOUN
easat-9198	3	64	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	65	nidhal	nidhal	NOUN
easat-9198	3	66	ziadi	ziadi	NOUN
easat-9198	3	67	ellouze3	ellouze3	NOUN
easat-9198	3	68	1faculty	1faculty	NUM
easat-9198	3	69	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	3	70	sciences	science	NOUN
easat-9198	3	71	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	3	72	tunis	tunis	NOUN
easat-9198	3	73	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	74	university	university	NOUN
easat-9198	3	75	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	3	76	tunis	tunis	PROPN
easat-9198	3	77	el	el	PROPN
easat-9198	3	78	manar	manar	PROPN
easat-9198	3	79	laboratory	laboratory	PROPN
easat-9198	3	80	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	81	erma	erma	PROPN
easat-9198	3	82	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	83	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	3	84	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	85	nihel.ziadi@fst.utm.tn	nihel.ziadi@fst.utm.tn	PROPN
easat-9198	3	86	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	87	n.z.b.f	n.z.b.f	PROPN
easat-9198	3	88	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	89	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	3	90	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	1	2college	2college	NUM
easat-9198	4	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	4	3	business	business	NOUN
easat-9198	4	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	5	imam	imam	PROPN
easat-9198	4	6	mohammad	mohammad	PROPN
easat-9198	4	7	ibn	ibn	PROPN
easat-9198	4	8	saud	saud	PROPN
easat-9198	4	9	islamic	islamic	PROPN
easat-9198	4	10	university	university	PROPN
easat-9198	4	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	12	imsiu	imsiu	PROPN
easat-9198	4	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	14	riyadh	riyadh	PROPN
easat-9198	4	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	16	saudi	saudi	PROPN
easat-9198	4	17	arabia	arabia	PROPN
easat-9198	4	18	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	19	nwgafsi@imamu.edu.sa	nwgafsi@imamu.edu.sa	PROPN
easat-9198	4	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	21	nesrine.gafsi@gmail.com	nesrine.gafsi@gmail.com	X
easat-9198	4	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	4	23	n.g	n.g	PROPN
easat-9198	4	24	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	4	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	1	3faculty	3faculty	NUM
easat-9198	5	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	5	3	sciences	science	NOUN
easat-9198	5	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	5	5	tunis	tunis	NOUN
easat-9198	5	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	7	university	university	NOUN
easat-9198	5	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	5	9	tunis	tunis	PROPN
easat-9198	5	10	el	el	PROPN
easat-9198	5	11	manar	manar	PROPN
easat-9198	5	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	13	laboratory	laboratory	NOUN
easat-9198	5	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	15	larimraf	larimraf	NOUN
easat-9198	5	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	17	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	5	18	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	19	nidhal.ziadiellouze@fst.utm.tn	nidhal.ziadiellouze@fst.utm.tn	PROPN
easat-9198	5	20	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	21	n.z.e	n.z.e	NOUN
easat-9198	5	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	23	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	5	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	6	1	abstract	abstract	ADV
easat-9198	6	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	6	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	6	4	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	6	5	presents	present	VERB
easat-9198	6	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	6	7	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
easat-9198	6	8	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	6	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	6	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	6	11	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	6	12	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	6	13	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	6	14	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	6	15	flows	flow	NOUN
easat-9198	6	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	6	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	6	18	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	6	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	6	20	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	6	21	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	6	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	6	23	focusing	focus	VERB
easat-9198	6	24	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	6	25	improving	improve	VERB
easat-9198	6	26	predictive	predictive	ADJ
easat-9198	6	27	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	6	28	through	through	ADP
easat-9198	6	29	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	6	30	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	6	31	modeling	modeling	PROPN
easat-9198	6	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	7	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	7	2	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	7	3	began	begin	VERB
easat-9198	7	4	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	7	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	7	6	collection	collection	NOUN
easat-9198	7	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	7	8	preprocessing	preprocessing	NOUN
easat-9198	7	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	7	10	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	7	11	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	7	12	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	7	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	7	14	ensuring	ensure	VERB
easat-9198	7	15	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	7	16	quality	quality	NOUN
easat-9198	7	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	7	18	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	7	19	formatting	formatting	NOUN
easat-9198	7	20	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	7	21	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	7	22	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	7	23	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	7	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	8	1	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	8	2	exploring	explore	VERB
easat-9198	8	3	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	8	4	to	to	PART
easat-9198	8	5	understand	understand	VERB
easat-9198	8	6	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	8	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	8	8	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	8	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	8	10	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	8	11	classical	classical	ADJ
easat-9198	8	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	8	13	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	8	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	8	15	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	8	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	8	17	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	8	18	-	-	NOUN
easat-9198	8	19	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	8	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	8	21	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	8	22	implemented	implement	VERB
easat-9198	8	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	9	1	due	due	ADP
easat-9198	9	2	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	9	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	9	4	absence	absence	NOUN
easat-9198	9	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	9	6	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	9	7	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	9	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	9	9	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	9	10	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	9	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	9	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	9	13	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	9	14	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	9	15	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	9	16	carried	carry	VERB
easat-9198	9	17	out	out	ADP
easat-9198	9	18	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	9	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	9	20	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	9	21	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	9	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	9	23	allowing	allow	VERB
easat-9198	9	24	an	an	DET
easat-9198	9	25	out	out	ADV
easat-9198	9	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	9	27	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	9	28	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	9	29	sample	sample	NOUN
easat-9198	9	30	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	9	31	to	to	PART
easat-9198	9	32	objectively	objectively	ADV
easat-9198	9	33	assess	assess	VERB
easat-9198	9	34	predictive	predictive	ADJ
easat-9198	9	35	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	9	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	1	metrics	metric	NOUN
easat-9198	10	2	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	10	3	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	10	4	mean	mean	NOUN
easat-9198	10	5	absolute	absolute	ADJ
easat-9198	10	6	error	error	NOUN
easat-9198	10	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	8	mae	mae	PROPN
easat-9198	10	9	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	11	root	root	NOUN
easat-9198	10	12	mean	mean	VERB
easat-9198	10	13	squared	square	VERB
easat-9198	10	14	error	error	NOUN
easat-9198	10	15	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	16	rmse	rmse	NOUN
easat-9198	10	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	10	20	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
easat-9198	10	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	10	22	determination	determination	NOUN
easat-9198	10	23	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	24	r²	r²	PROPN
easat-9198	10	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	10	26	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	10	27	calculated	calculate	VERB
easat-9198	10	28	to	to	PART
easat-9198	10	29	compare	compare	VERB
easat-9198	10	30	the	the	DET
easat-9198	10	31	precision	precision	NOUN
easat-9198	10	32	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	10	33	the	the	DET
easat-9198	10	34	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	10	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	11	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	11	2	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	11	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	11	4	demonstrated	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	11	5	superior	superior	ADJ
easat-9198	11	6	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	11	7	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	11	8	lower	low	ADJ
easat-9198	11	9	mae	mae	PROPN
easat-9198	11	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	11	11	rmse	rmse	ADJ
easat-9198	11	12	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	11	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	11	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	11	15	better	well	ADJ
easat-9198	11	16	r²	r²	NOUN
easat-9198	11	17	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	11	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	11	19	suggesting	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	11	20	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	11	21	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	11	22	better	well	ADV
easat-9198	11	23	suited	suited	ADJ
easat-9198	11	24	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	11	25	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	11	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	11	27	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	11	28	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	11	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	11	30	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	11	31	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	11	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	12	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	12	2	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	12	3	also	also	ADV
easat-9198	12	4	discusses	discuss	VERB
easat-9198	12	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	12	6	challenges	challenge	NOUN
easat-9198	12	7	encountered	encounter	VERB
easat-9198	12	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	12	9	including	include	VERB
easat-9198	12	10	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	12	11	frequency	frequency	NOUN
easat-9198	12	12	issues	issue	NOUN
easat-9198	12	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	12	14	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	12	15	parameter	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	12	16	tuning	tuning	NOUN
easat-9198	12	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	13	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	13	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	13	3	provide	provide	VERB
easat-9198	13	4	actionable	actionable	ADJ
easat-9198	13	5	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	13	6	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	13	7	stakeholders	stakeholder	NOUN
easat-9198	13	8	aiming	aim	VERB
easat-9198	13	9	to	to	PART
easat-9198	13	10	optimize	optimize	VERB
easat-9198	13	11	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	13	12	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	13	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	13	14	adapt	adapt	VERB
easat-9198	13	15	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	13	16	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	13	17	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	13	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	14	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	14	2	methodology	methodology	NOUN
easat-9198	14	3	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	14	4	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	14	5	lay	lay	VERB
easat-9198	14	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	14	7	groundwork	groundwork	NOUN
easat-9198	14	8	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	14	9	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	14	10	work	work	NOUN
easat-9198	14	11	integrating	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	14	12	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	14	13	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	14	14	techniques	technique	NOUN
easat-9198	14	15	to	to	PART
easat-9198	14	16	further	far	ADV
easat-9198	14	17	enhance	enhance	VERB
easat-9198	14	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	14	19	capabilities	capability	NOUN
easat-9198	14	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	1	keywords	keyword	NOUN
easat-9198	15	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	3	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	15	4	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	15	5	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	6	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	15	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	15	8	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	9	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	15	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	15	11	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	12	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	15	13	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	14	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	15	15	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	15	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	17	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	15	18	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	15	19	strategy	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	15	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	21	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	15	22	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	15	23	integration	integration	NOUN
easat-9198	15	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	25	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	15	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	15	27	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	15	28	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	15	29	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	30	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	15	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	32	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	15	33	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	15	34	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	15	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	36	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	15	37	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	15	38	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	15	39	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	15	40	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	15	41	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	16	1	1	1	X
easat-9198	16	2	.	.	X
easat-9198	16	3	review	review	VERB
easat-9198	16	4	literature	literature	NOUN
easat-9198	16	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	16	6	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	16	7	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	16	8	plays	play	VERB
easat-9198	16	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	16	10	vital	vital	ADJ
easat-9198	16	11	role	role	NOUN
easat-9198	16	12	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	16	13	guiding	guide	VERB
easat-9198	16	14	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	16	15	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	16	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	16	17	developing	develop	VERB
easat-9198	16	18	targeted	target	VERB
easat-9198	16	19	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	16	20	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	16	21	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	16	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	17	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	17	2	this	this	DET
easat-9198	17	3	context	context	NOUN
easat-9198	17	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	17	5	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	17	6	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	17	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	17	8	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	17	9	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	17	10	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	17	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	17	12	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
easat-9198	17	13	integrated	integrated	ADJ
easat-9198	17	14	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	17	15	average	average	ADJ
easat-9198	17	16	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	17	17	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	17	18	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	17	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	17	20	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	17	21	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	17	22	winters	winters	PROPN
easat-9198	17	23	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	17	24	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	17	25	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	17	26	widely	widely	ADV
easat-9198	17	27	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	17	28	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	17	29	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	17	30	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	17	31	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	17	32	flexibility	flexibility	NOUN
easat-9198	17	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	18	1	nguyen	nguyen	NOUN
easat-9198	18	2	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	18	3	pham	pham	PROPN
easat-9198	19	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	19	2	1	1	X
easat-9198	19	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	19	4	investigated	investigate	VERB
easat-9198	19	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	19	6	application	application	NOUN
easat-9198	19	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	19	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	19	9	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	19	10	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	19	11	to	to	PART
easat-9198	19	12	forecast	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	19	13	vietnam	vietnam	PROPN
easat-9198	19	14	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	19	15	black	black	ADJ
easat-9198	19	16	pepper	pepper	NOUN
easat-9198	19	17	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	19	18	prices	price	NOUN
easat-9198	19	19	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	19	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	19	21	u.s	u.s	PROPN
easat-9198	19	22	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	19	23	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	19	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	20	1	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	20	2	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	20	3	demonstrated	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	20	4	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	20	5	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	20	6	effectiveness	effectiveness	NOUN
easat-9198	20	7	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	20	8	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	20	9	both	both	PRON
easat-9198	20	10	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	20	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	20	12	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	20	13	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	20	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	20	15	providing	provide	VERB
easat-9198	20	16	valuable	valuable	ADJ
easat-9198	20	17	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	20	18	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	20	19	pricing	pricing	NOUN
easat-9198	20	20	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	20	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	20	22	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	20	23	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	20	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	21	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
easat-9198	21	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	21	3	hasibuan	hasibuan	PROPN
easat-9198	21	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	21	5	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	21	6	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	21	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	22	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	22	2	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	22	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	22	4	compared	compare	VERB
easat-9198	22	5	sarima	sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	22	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	22	7	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	22	8	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	22	9	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	22	10	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	22	11	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	22	12	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	22	13	to	to	PART
easat-9198	22	14	forecast	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	22	15	west	west	PROPN
easat-9198	22	16	sumatra	sumatra	PROPN
easat-9198	22	17	’s	’s	PROPN
easat-9198	22	18	export	export	PROPN
easat-9198	22	19	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	22	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	23	1	they	they	PRON
easat-9198	23	2	found	find	VERB
easat-9198	23	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	23	4	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	23	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	23	6	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	23	7	performed	perform	VERB
easat-9198	23	8	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	23	9	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	23	10	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	23	11	datasets	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	23	12	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	23	13	strong	strong	ADJ
easat-9198	23	14	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	23	15	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	23	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	23	17	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	23	18	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	23	19	offered	offer	VERB
easat-9198	23	20	better	well	ADJ
easat-9198	23	21	flexibility	flexibility	NOUN
easat-9198	23	22	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	23	23	longerterm	longerterm	NOUN
easat-9198	23	24	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	23	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	24	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	24	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	24	3	support	support	VERB
easat-9198	24	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	24	5	use	use	NOUN
easat-9198	24	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	24	7	both	both	DET
easat-9198	24	8	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	24	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	24	10	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	24	11	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	24	12	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
easat-9198	24	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	24	14	complex	complex	ADJ
easat-9198	24	15	industrial	industrial	ADJ
easat-9198	24	16	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	24	17	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	24	18	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	24	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	24	20	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	24	21	engineering	engineering	NOUN
easat-9198	24	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	25	1	https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4125-6360	https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4125-6360	NOUN
easat-9198	25	2	https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3915-9396	https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3915-9396	PROPN
easat-9198	25	3	https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1860-4725	https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1860-4725	PROPN
easat-9198	25	4	37	37	NUM
easat-9198	25	5	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	25	6	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	25	7	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	25	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	25	9	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	25	10	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	25	11	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	25	12	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	25	13	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	25	14	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	25	15	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	25	16	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	26	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	26	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	26	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	26	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	26	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	26	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	26	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	26	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	26	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	26	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	26	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	26	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	26	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	26	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	26	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	26	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	26	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	26	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	26	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	26	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	26	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	26	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	26	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	26	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	26	25	gate	gate	VERB
easat-9198	26	26	a	a	DET
easat-9198	26	27	broader	broad	ADJ
easat-9198	26	28	comparative	comparative	ADJ
easat-9198	26	29	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	26	30	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	26	31	ersöz	ersöz	PROPN
easat-9198	26	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	26	33	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	26	34	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	26	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	27	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	27	2	3	3	X
easat-9198	27	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	27	4	analyzed	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	27	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	27	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	27	7	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	27	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	27	9	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	27	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	27	11	holtwinters	holtwinter	NOUN
easat-9198	27	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	27	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	27	14	prophet	prophet	NOUN
easat-9198	27	15	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	27	16	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	27	17	european	european	PROPN
easat-9198	27	18	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
easat-9198	27	19	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	27	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	1	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	28	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	28	3	context	context	NOUN
easat-9198	28	4	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	28	5	health	health	NOUN
easat-9198	28	6	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	7	related	relate	VERB
easat-9198	28	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	28	10	methodology	methodology	NOUN
easat-9198	28	11	revealed	reveal	VERB
easat-9198	28	12	useful	useful	ADJ
easat-9198	28	13	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	28	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	15	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	28	16	performed	perform	VERB
easat-9198	28	17	better	well	ADV
easat-9198	28	18	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	28	19	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	28	20	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	21	dominated	dominate	VERB
easat-9198	28	22	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	28	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	24	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
easat-9198	28	25	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	28	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	27	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	28	28	showed	show	VERB
easat-9198	28	29	strong	strong	ADJ
easat-9198	28	30	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	28	31	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	28	32	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	28	33	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	28	34	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	28	35	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	28	36	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	28	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	29	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	29	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	29	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	29	4	combining	combine	VERB
easat-9198	29	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	29	6	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	29	7	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	29	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	29	9	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	29	10	done	do	VERB
easat-9198	29	11	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	29	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	29	13	present	present	ADJ
easat-9198	29	14	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	29	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	29	16	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	29	17	enhance	enhance	VERB
easat-9198	29	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	29	19	reliability	reliability	NOUN
easat-9198	29	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	30	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	30	2	terms	term	NOUN
easat-9198	30	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	30	4	sectoral	sectoral	ADJ
easat-9198	30	5	relevance	relevance	NOUN
easat-9198	30	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	30	7	kamsyakhan	kamsyakhan	PROPN
easat-9198	30	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	30	9	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	30	10	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	30	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	31	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	31	2	4	4	X
easat-9198	31	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	31	4	developed	develop	VERB
easat-9198	31	5	an	an	DET
easat-9198	31	6	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	31	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	31	8	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	31	9	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	31	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	31	11	forecast	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	31	12	thailand	thailand	PROPN
easat-9198	31	13	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	31	14	automotive	automotive	ADJ
easat-9198	31	15	parts	part	NOUN
easat-9198	31	16	demand	demand	NOUN
easat-9198	31	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	31	18	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	31	19	markets	market	NOUN
easat-9198	31	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	32	1	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	32	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	32	3	emphasized	emphasize	VERB
easat-9198	32	4	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	32	5	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	32	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	32	7	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	32	8	support	support	VERB
easat-9198	32	9	inventory	inventory	NOUN
easat-9198	32	10	control	control	NOUN
easat-9198	32	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	32	12	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	32	13	negotiation	negotiation	NOUN
easat-9198	32	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	32	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	32	16	targeted	target	VERB
easat-9198	32	17	promotional	promotional	ADJ
easat-9198	32	18	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	32	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	33	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
easat-9198	33	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	33	3	santi	santi	PROPN
easat-9198	33	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	33	5	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	33	6	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	33	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	34	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	34	2	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	34	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	34	4	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	34	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	34	6	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	34	7	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	34	8	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	34	9	indonesia	indonesia	PROPN
easat-9198	34	10	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	34	11	oil	oil	NOUN
easat-9198	34	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	34	13	gas	gas	NOUN
easat-9198	34	14	import	import	NOUN
easat-9198	34	15	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	34	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	34	17	highlighting	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	34	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	34	19	need	need	NOUN
easat-9198	34	20	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	34	21	adaptive	adaptive	ADJ
easat-9198	34	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	34	23	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	34	24	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	34	25	account	account	VERB
easat-9198	34	26	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	34	27	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	34	28	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	34	29	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	34	30	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	34	31	influences	influence	NOUN
easat-9198	34	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	35	1	beyond	beyond	ADP
easat-9198	35	2	methodology	methodology	NOUN
easat-9198	35	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	35	4	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	35	5	perspectives	perspective	NOUN
easat-9198	35	6	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	35	7	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
easat-9198	35	8	integrated	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	35	9	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	35	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	35	11	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	35	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	36	1	shevchuk	shevchuk	ADJ
easat-9198	36	2	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	36	3	fedu	fedu	VERB
easat-9198	36	4	lova	lova	PROPN
easat-9198	37	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	37	2	6	6	NUM
easat-9198	37	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	37	4	explored	explore	VERB
easat-9198	37	5	structural	structural	ADJ
easat-9198	37	6	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	37	7	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	37	8	ukraine	ukraine	NOUN
easat-9198	37	9	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	37	10	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	37	11	engineering	engineering	NOUN
easat-9198	37	12	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	37	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	37	14	demonstrating	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	37	15	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	37	16	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	37	17	political	political	ADJ
easat-9198	37	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	37	19	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	37	20	shifts	shift	NOUN
easat-9198	37	21	affect	affect	VERB
easat-9198	37	22	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	37	23	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	37	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	38	1	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	38	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	38	3	underscore	underscore	VERB
easat-9198	38	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	38	5	importance	importance	NOUN
easat-9198	38	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	38	7	aligning	align	VERB
easat-9198	38	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	38	9	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	38	10	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	38	11	adaptive	adaptive	ADJ
easat-9198	38	12	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	38	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	38	14	industrial	industrial	ADJ
easat-9198	38	15	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	38	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	38	17	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	38	18	exposed	expose	VERB
easat-9198	38	19	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	38	20	global	global	ADJ
easat-9198	38	21	volatility	volatility	NOUN
easat-9198	38	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	39	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	39	2	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	39	3	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	39	4	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	39	5	oriented	orient	VERB
easat-9198	39	6	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	39	7	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	39	8	ščeulovs	ščeulovs	NOUN
easat-9198	39	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	39	10	gaile‑sarkane	gaile‑sarkane	PROPN
easat-9198	39	11	[	[	X
easat-9198	39	12	7	7	X
easat-9198	39	13	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	39	14	examined	examine	VERB
easat-9198	39	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	39	16	role	role	NOUN
easat-9198	39	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	39	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	39	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	39	20	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	39	21	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	39	22	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	39	23	supporting	support	VERB
easat-9198	39	24	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	39	25	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	39	26	entry	entry	NOUN
easat-9198	39	27	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	39	28	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	39	29	business	business	NOUN
easat-9198	39	30	development	development	NOUN
easat-9198	39	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	40	1	they	they	PRON
easat-9198	40	2	argued	argue	VERB
easat-9198	40	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	40	4	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	40	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	40	6	empower	empower	NOUN
easat-9198	40	7	firms	firm	NOUN
easat-9198	40	8	to	to	PART
easat-9198	40	9	allocate	allocate	VERB
easat-9198	40	10	resources	resource	NOUN
easat-9198	40	11	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	40	12	efficiently	efficiently	ADV
easat-9198	40	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	40	14	tailor	tailor	NOUN
easat-9198	40	15	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	40	16	campaigns	campaign	NOUN
easat-9198	40	17	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	40	18	specific	specific	ADJ
easat-9198	40	19	regional	regional	ADJ
easat-9198	40	20	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	40	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	40	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	40	23	respond	respond	VERB
easat-9198	40	24	proactively	proactively	ADV
easat-9198	40	25	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	40	26	global	global	ADJ
easat-9198	40	27	demand	demand	NOUN
easat-9198	40	28	shifts	shift	NOUN
easat-9198	40	29	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	41	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	41	2	reinforces	reinforce	VERB
easat-9198	41	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	41	4	added	add	VERB
easat-9198	41	5	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	41	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	41	7	linking	link	VERB
easat-9198	41	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	41	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	41	10	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	41	11	actionable	actionable	ADJ
easat-9198	41	12	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	41	13	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	41	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	41	15	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	41	16	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	41	17	a	a	DET
easat-9198	41	18	central	central	ADJ
easat-9198	41	19	aim	aim	NOUN
easat-9198	41	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	41	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	41	22	present	present	ADJ
easat-9198	41	23	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	41	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	42	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	42	2	summary	summary	NOUN
easat-9198	42	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	42	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	42	5	literature	literature	NOUN
easat-9198	42	6	confirms	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	42	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	42	8	robustness	robustness	NOUN
easat-9198	42	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	42	10	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	42	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	42	12	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	42	13	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	42	14	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	42	15	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	42	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	42	17	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	42	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	42	19	across	across	ADP
easat-9198	42	20	various	various	ADJ
easat-9198	42	21	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	42	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	42	23	contexts	context	NOUN
easat-9198	42	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	43	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
easat-9198	43	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	43	3	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	43	4	highlights	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	43	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	43	6	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	43	7	importance	importance	NOUN
easat-9198	43	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	43	9	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	43	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	43	11	to	to	PART
easat-9198	43	12	guide	guide	VERB
easat-9198	43	13	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	43	14	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	43	15	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	43	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	43	17	optimize	optimize	VERB
easat-9198	43	18	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	43	19	operations	operation	NOUN
easat-9198	43	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	43	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	43	22	respond	respond	VERB
easat-9198	43	23	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	43	24	structural	structural	ADJ
easat-9198	43	25	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	43	26	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	43	27	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	43	28	related	relate	VERB
easat-9198	43	29	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	43	30	challenges	challenge	NOUN
easat-9198	43	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	1	building	build	VERB
easat-9198	44	2	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	44	3	these	these	DET
easat-9198	44	4	contributions	contribution	NOUN
easat-9198	44	5	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	6	this	this	DET
easat-9198	44	7	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	44	8	forecasts	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	44	9	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	44	10	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	44	11	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	44	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	44	13	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	44	14	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	44	15	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	44	16	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	44	17	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	44	18	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	44	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	44	20	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	44	21	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	22	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	44	23	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	44	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	25	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	44	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	44	27	objective	objective	NOUN
easat-9198	44	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	44	29	informing	inform	VERB
easat-9198	44	30	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	44	31	strengthening	strengthen	VERB
easat-9198	44	32	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	44	33	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	44	34	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	44	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	36	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	44	37	this	this	DET
easat-9198	44	38	context	context	NOUN
easat-9198	44	39	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	40	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	44	41	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	44	42	trying	try	VERB
easat-9198	44	43	to	to	PART
easat-9198	44	44	address	address	VERB
easat-9198	44	45	the	the	DET
easat-9198	44	46	following	follow	VERB
easat-9198	44	47	problematic	problematic	NOUN
easat-9198	44	48	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	44	49	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	44	50	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	44	51	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	44	52	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	44	53	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	44	54	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	44	55	the	the	DET
easat-9198	44	56	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	44	57	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	44	58	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	44	59	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	44	60	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	44	61	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	44	62	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	44	63	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	44	64	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	44	65	help	help	VERB
easat-9198	44	66	to	to	PART
easat-9198	44	67	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	44	68	possible	possible	ADJ
easat-9198	44	69	variations	variation	NOUN
easat-9198	44	70	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	44	71	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	44	72	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	44	73	generate	generate	VERB
easat-9198	44	74	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	44	75	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	44	76	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
easat-9198	44	77	to	to	PART
easat-9198	44	78	optimize	optimize	VERB
easat-9198	44	79	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	44	80	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	44	81	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	44	82	?	?	PUNCT
easat-9198	45	1	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	45	2	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	45	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	45	4	literature	literature	PROPN
easat-9198	45	5	review	review	NOUN
easat-9198	45	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	45	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	45	8	propose	propose	VERB
easat-9198	45	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	45	10	following	following	ADJ
easat-9198	45	11	hypotheses	hypothesis	NOUN
easat-9198	45	12	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	45	13	h1	h1	NOUN
easat-9198	45	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	45	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	45	16	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	45	17	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	45	18	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	45	19	outperform	outperform	VERB
easat-9198	45	20	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	45	21	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	45	22	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	45	23	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	45	24	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	45	25	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	45	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	45	27	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	45	28	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	45	29	due	due	ADP
easat-9198	45	30	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	45	31	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	45	32	ability	ability	NOUN
easat-9198	45	33	to	to	PART
easat-9198	45	34	capture	capture	VERB
easat-9198	45	35	complex	complex	ADJ
easat-9198	45	36	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	45	37	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	45	38	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	45	39	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	46	1	h2	h2	NOUN
easat-9198	46	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	46	3	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	46	4	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	46	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	46	6	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	46	7	enable	enable	VERB
easat-9198	46	8	firms	firm	NOUN
easat-9198	46	9	to	to	PART
easat-9198	46	10	implement	implement	VERB
easat-9198	46	11	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	46	12	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	46	13	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	46	14	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	46	15	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	46	16	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	46	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	46	18	methodology	methodology	NOUN
easat-9198	46	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	46	20	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	46	21	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	46	22	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	46	23	this	this	DET
easat-9198	46	24	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	46	25	comes	come	VERB
easat-9198	46	26	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	46	27	the	the	DET
easat-9198	46	28	national	national	PROPN
easat-9198	46	29	institute	institute	PROPN
easat-9198	46	30	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	46	31	statistics	statistics	PROPN
easat-9198	46	32	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	46	33	ins	in	NOUN
easat-9198	46	34	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	46	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	47	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	47	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	47	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	47	4	chronological	chronological	ADJ
easat-9198	47	5	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	47	6	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	47	7	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	47	8	spans	span	VERB
easat-9198	47	9	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	47	10	january	january	PROPN
easat-9198	47	11	2010	2010	NUM
easat-9198	47	12	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	47	13	december	december	PROPN
easat-9198	47	14	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	47	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	47	16	contains	contain	VERB
easat-9198	47	17	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	47	18	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	47	19	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	47	20	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	47	21	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	47	22	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	47	23	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	47	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	47	25	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	47	26	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	47	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	48	2	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	48	3	includes	include	VERB
easat-9198	48	4	four	four	NUM
easat-9198	48	5	main	main	ADJ
easat-9198	48	6	variables	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	48	7	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	48	9	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	48	10	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	11	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	48	12	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	48	13	referring	refer	VERB
easat-9198	48	14	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	48	15	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	48	16	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
easat-9198	48	17	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	48	18	export	export	VERB
easat-9198	48	19	aboard	aboard	ADV
easat-9198	48	20	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	48	21	pay	pay	VERB
easat-9198	48	22	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	48	23	taxes	taxis	NOUN
easat-9198	48	24	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	25	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	48	26	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	48	27	representing	represent	VERB
easat-9198	48	28	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	48	29	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
easat-9198	48	30	operating	operate	VERB
easat-9198	48	31	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	48	32	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	48	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	48	34	exporting	export	VERB
easat-9198	48	35	aboard	aboard	ADV
easat-9198	48	36	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	37	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	48	38	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	48	39	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	40	total	total	ADJ
easat-9198	48	41	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	48	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	48	43	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	48	44	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	48	45	the	the	DET
easat-9198	48	46	sum	sum	NOUN
easat-9198	48	47	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	48	48	both	both	CCONJ
easat-9198	48	49	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	48	50	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	48	51	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	48	52	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	48	53	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	49	1	38	38	NUM
easat-9198	49	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	49	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	49	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	49	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	49	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	49	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	49	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	49	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	49	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	49	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	49	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	49	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	50	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	50	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	50	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	50	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	50	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	50	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	50	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	50	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	50	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	50	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	50	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	50	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	50	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	50	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	50	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	50	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	50	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	50	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	50	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	50	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	50	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	50	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	50	27	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	50	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	29	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	50	30	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	50	31	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	50	32	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	50	33	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	50	34	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	50	35	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	50	36	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	50	37	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	50	38	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	50	39	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	40	2010–2024	2010–2024	NUM
easat-9198	50	41	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	42	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	50	43	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	50	44	type	type	NOUN
easat-9198	50	45	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	46	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	50	47	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	48	offshore	offshore	ADV
easat-9198	50	49	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	50	50	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	50	51	total	total	ADJ
easat-9198	50	52	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	50	53	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	51	1	2.1	2.1	NUM
easat-9198	51	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	51	3	justification	justification	NOUN
easat-9198	51	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	51	5	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	51	6	selection	selection	NOUN
easat-9198	51	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	51	8	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	51	9	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	51	10	chosen	choose	VERB
easat-9198	51	11	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	51	12	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	51	13	compelling	compelling	ADJ
easat-9198	51	14	reasons	reason	NOUN
easat-9198	51	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	1	first	first	ADV
easat-9198	52	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	3	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	52	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	52	5	sourced	source	VERB
easat-9198	52	6	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	52	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	52	8	national	national	PROPN
easat-9198	52	9	institute	institute	PROPN
easat-9198	52	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	52	11	statistics	statistics	PROPN
easat-9198	52	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	13	ins	in	NOUN
easat-9198	52	14	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	16	ensuring	ensure	VERB
easat-9198	52	17	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	52	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	52	19	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	52	20	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	52	21	official	official	ADJ
easat-9198	52	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	23	reliable	reliable	ADJ
easat-9198	52	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	52	25	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	52	26	nationally	nationally	ADV
easat-9198	52	27	representative	representative	NOUN
easat-9198	52	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	1	second	second	ADJ
easat-9198	53	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	53	4	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	53	5	frequency	frequency	NOUN
easat-9198	53	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	53	7	extended	extended	ADJ
easat-9198	53	8	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	53	9	span	span	NOUN
easat-9198	53	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	11	2010–2024	2010–2024	NUM
easat-9198	53	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	13	make	make	VERB
easat-9198	53	14	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	53	15	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	53	16	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	53	17	applying	apply	VERB
easat-9198	53	18	advanced	advanced	ADJ
easat-9198	53	19	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	53	20	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	53	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	53	22	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	53	23	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	53	24	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	53	25	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	53	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	53	27	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	53	28	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	29	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	53	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	53	31	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	53	32	require	require	VERB
easat-9198	53	33	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	53	34	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	53	35	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	53	36	chronological	chronological	ADJ
easat-9198	53	37	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	53	38	to	to	PART
easat-9198	53	39	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	53	40	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	53	41	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	53	42	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	53	43	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	53	44	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	54	1	third	third	ADJ
easat-9198	54	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	54	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	54	4	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	54	5	distinguishes	distinguish	VERB
easat-9198	54	6	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	54	7	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	54	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	54	9	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	54	10	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	54	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	54	12	allowing	allow	VERB
easat-9198	54	13	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	54	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	54	15	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	54	16	nuanced	nuanced	ADJ
easat-9198	54	17	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	54	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	54	19	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	54	20	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	54	21	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	54	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	54	23	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	54	24	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	54	25	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	54	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	55	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	55	2	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	55	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	55	4	detail	detail	NOUN
easat-9198	55	5	supports	support	VERB
easat-9198	55	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	55	7	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	55	8	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	55	9	goal	goal	NOUN
easat-9198	55	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	55	11	generating	generate	VERB
easat-9198	55	12	actionable	actionable	ADJ
easat-9198	55	13	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	55	14	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	55	15	tailored	tailor	VERB
easat-9198	55	16	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	55	17	different	different	ADJ
easat-9198	55	18	types	type	NOUN
easat-9198	55	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	55	20	exporting	export	VERB
easat-9198	55	21	enterprises	enterprise	NOUN
easat-9198	55	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	55	23	domestic	domestic	ADJ
easat-9198	55	24	vs.	vs.	X
easat-9198	55	25	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	55	26	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	55	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	56	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	56	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	56	3	focusing	focus	VERB
easat-9198	56	4	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	56	5	this	this	DET
easat-9198	56	6	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	56	7	aligns	align	VERB
easat-9198	56	8	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	56	9	tunisia	tunisia	NOUN
easat-9198	56	10	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	56	11	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	56	12	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	56	13	goals	goal	NOUN
easat-9198	56	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	56	15	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	56	16	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	56	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	56	18	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	56	19	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	56	20	represent	represent	VERB
easat-9198	56	21	a	a	DET
easat-9198	56	22	key	key	ADJ
easat-9198	56	23	contributor	contributor	NOUN
easat-9198	56	24	to	to	PART
easat-9198	56	25	trade	trade	VERB
easat-9198	56	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	56	27	industrial	industrial	ADJ
easat-9198	56	28	growth	growth	NOUN
easat-9198	56	29	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	56	30	making	make	VERB
easat-9198	56	31	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	56	32	a	a	DET
easat-9198	56	33	relevant	relevant	ADJ
easat-9198	56	34	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	56	35	highimpact	highimpact	NOUN
easat-9198	56	36	area	area	NOUN
easat-9198	56	37	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	56	38	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	56	39	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	56	40	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	56	41	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
easat-9198	56	42	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	57	1	2.2	2.2	NUM
easat-9198	57	2	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	57	3	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	57	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	57	5	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	57	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	57	7	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	57	8	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	57	9	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	57	10	a	a	DET
easat-9198	57	11	sequence	sequence	NOUN
easat-9198	57	12	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	57	13	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
easat-9198	57	14	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	57	15	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	57	16	reflects	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	57	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	57	18	variation	variation	NOUN
easat-9198	57	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	57	20	a	a	DET
easat-9198	57	21	certain	certain	ADJ
easat-9198	57	22	quantity	quantity	NOUN
easat-9198	57	23	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	57	24	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	57	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	57	26	typically	typically	ADV
easat-9198	57	27	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	57	28	to	to	PART
easat-9198	57	29	analyze	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	57	30	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	57	31	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	57	32	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	57	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	57	34	forecast	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	57	35	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	57	36	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	57	37	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	57	38	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	1	2.3	2.3	NUM
easat-9198	58	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	3	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	58	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	58	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	58	6	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	58	7	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	58	8	2.3.1	2.3.1	NUM
easat-9198	58	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	10	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	58	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	58	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	58	13	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	58	14	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	15	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	58	16	movement	movement	NOUN
easat-9198	58	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	58	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	58	19	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	58	20	set	set	VERB
easat-9198	58	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	22	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	58	23	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	58	24	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	58	25	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	58	26	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	58	27	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	58	28	the	the	DET
easat-9198	58	29	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	58	30	indicates	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	58	31	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	58	32	the	the	DET
easat-9198	58	33	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	58	34	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	58	35	increasing	increase	VERB
easat-9198	58	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	37	decreasing	decrease	VERB
easat-9198	58	38	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	58	39	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	58	40	remaining	remain	VERB
easat-9198	58	41	constant	constant	ADJ
easat-9198	58	42	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	59	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	59	2	describes	describe	VERB
easat-9198	59	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	59	4	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	59	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	59	6	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	59	7	elastic	elastic	NOUN
easat-9198	59	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	59	9	39	39	NUM
easat-9198	59	10	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	59	11	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	59	12	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	59	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	59	14	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	59	15	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	59	16	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	59	17	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	59	18	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	59	19	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	59	20	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	59	21	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	60	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	60	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	60	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	60	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	60	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	60	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	60	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	60	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	60	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	60	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	60	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	60	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	60	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	60	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	60	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	60	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	60	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	60	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	60	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	60	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	60	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	60	26	distinguishing	distinguish	VERB
easat-9198	60	27	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	60	28	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	60	29	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	60	30	the	the	DET
easat-9198	60	31	structural	structural	ADJ
easat-9198	60	32	movement	movement	NOUN
easat-9198	60	33	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	60	34	the	the	DET
easat-9198	60	35	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	60	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	37	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	60	38	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	60	39	be	be	VERB
easat-9198	60	40	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	60	41	growth	growth	NOUN
easat-9198	60	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	43	technological	technological	ADJ
easat-9198	60	44	progress	progress	NOUN
easat-9198	60	45	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	60	46	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	60	47	shifts	shift	NOUN
easat-9198	60	48	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	60	49	consumer	consumer	NOUN
easat-9198	60	50	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	60	51	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	61	1	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	61	2	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	61	3	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	61	4	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	61	5	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	61	6	important	important	ADJ
easat-9198	61	7	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	61	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	61	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	61	10	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	61	11	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	61	12	to	to	PART
easat-9198	61	13	allow	allow	VERB
easat-9198	61	14	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	61	15	makers	maker	NOUN
easat-9198	61	16	to	to	PART
easat-9198	61	17	understand	understand	VERB
easat-9198	61	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	61	19	big	big	ADJ
easat-9198	61	20	picture	picture	NOUN
easat-9198	61	21	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	61	22	also	also	ADV
easat-9198	61	23	to	to	PART
easat-9198	61	24	look	look	VERB
easat-9198	61	25	past	past	ADP
easat-9198	61	26	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	61	27	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	61	28	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	61	29	volatility	volatility	NOUN
easat-9198	61	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	62	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	62	2	cycle	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	62	3	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	62	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	62	5	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	62	6	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	62	7	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	62	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	62	9	nonseasonal	nonseasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	62	10	fluctuation	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	62	11	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	62	12	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	62	13	activity	activity	NOUN
easat-9198	62	14	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	62	15	does	do	AUX
easat-9198	62	16	not	not	PART
easat-9198	62	17	follow	follow	VERB
easat-9198	62	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	62	19	fixed	fix	VERB
easat-9198	62	20	calendar	calendar	NOUN
easat-9198	62	21	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	62	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	62	23	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	62	24	last	last	VERB
easat-9198	62	25	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	62	26	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	62	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	62	28	helping	help	VERB
easat-9198	62	29	businesses	business	NOUN
easat-9198	62	30	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
easat-9198	62	31	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	62	32	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	62	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	62	34	plan	plan	VERB
easat-9198	62	35	accordingly	accordingly	ADV
easat-9198	62	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	1	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	63	2	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	63	3	include	include	VERB
easat-9198	63	4	kondratieff	kondratieff	NOUN
easat-9198	63	5	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	63	6	waves	wave	NOUN
easat-9198	63	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	8	40–60	40–60	NUM
easat-9198	63	9	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	63	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	12	kuznets	kuznet	NOUN
easat-9198	63	13	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	63	14	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	15	15–25	15–25	NUM
easat-9198	63	16	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	63	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	19	juglar	juglar	NOUN
easat-9198	63	20	business	business	NOUN
easat-9198	63	21	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	63	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	23	5–11	5–11	NUM
easat-9198	63	24	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	63	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	26	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	27	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	63	28	kitchin	kitchin	PROPN
easat-9198	63	29	minor	minor	ADJ
easat-9198	63	30	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	63	31	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	32	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	63	33	3.3	3.3	NUM
easat-9198	63	34	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	63	35	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	63	37	each	each	PRON
easat-9198	63	38	reflecting	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	63	39	different	different	ADJ
easat-9198	63	40	phases	phase	NOUN
easat-9198	63	41	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	63	42	investment	investment	NOUN
easat-9198	63	43	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	63	44	growth	growth	NOUN
easat-9198	63	45	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	63	46	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	64	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	64	2	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	64	3	provide	provide	VERB
easat-9198	64	4	critical	critical	ADJ
easat-9198	64	5	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	64	6	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	64	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	64	8	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	64	9	environment	environment	NOUN
easat-9198	64	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	64	11	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	64	12	widely	widely	ADV
easat-9198	64	13	studied	study	VERB
easat-9198	64	14	to	to	PART
easat-9198	64	15	improve	improve	VERB
easat-9198	64	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	64	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	64	18	risk	risk	NOUN
easat-9198	64	19	management	management	NOUN
easat-9198	64	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	1	2.4	2.4	NUM
easat-9198	65	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	3	graphical	graphical	ADJ
easat-9198	65	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	65	5	purpose	purpose	NOUN
easat-9198	65	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	65	7	use	use	NOUN
easat-9198	65	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	9	graphical	graphical	ADJ
easat-9198	65	10	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	65	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	65	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	65	13	core	core	NOUN
easat-9198	65	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	65	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	65	16	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	65	17	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	65	18	study	study	PROPN
easat-9198	65	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	20	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	65	21	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	65	22	allows	allow	VERB
easat-9198	65	23	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	65	24	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	65	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	65	26	underlying	underlying	ADJ
easat-9198	65	27	characteristics	characteristic	NOUN
easat-9198	65	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	65	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	65	30	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	65	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	32	including	include	VERB
easat-9198	65	33	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	65	34	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	35	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	65	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	65	37	breaks	break	NOUN
easat-9198	65	38	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	65	39	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	65	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	66	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	66	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	66	3	important	important	ADJ
easat-9198	66	4	to	to	PART
easat-9198	66	5	observe	observe	VERB
easat-9198	66	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	66	7	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	66	8	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	66	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	66	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	66	11	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	66	12	via	via	ADP
easat-9198	66	13	graphical	graphical	ADJ
easat-9198	66	14	display	display	NOUN
easat-9198	66	15	before	before	ADP
easat-9198	66	16	selecting	select	VERB
easat-9198	66	17	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	66	18	fitting	fit	VERB
easat-9198	66	19	a	a	DET
easat-9198	66	20	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	66	21	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	66	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	67	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	67	2	step	step	NOUN
easat-9198	67	3	helps	help	VERB
easat-9198	67	4	guide	guide	VERB
easat-9198	67	5	methodological	methodological	ADJ
easat-9198	67	6	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	67	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	67	8	emphasize	emphasize	VERB
easat-9198	67	9	potential	potential	ADJ
easat-9198	67	10	issues	issue	NOUN
easat-9198	67	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	67	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	67	13	improve	improve	VERB
easat-9198	67	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	67	15	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	67	16	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	67	17	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	67	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	68	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	68	2	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	68	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	68	4	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	68	5	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	68	6	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	68	7	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	68	8	model	model	PROPN
easat-9198	68	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	1	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	69	2	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	69	3	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
easat-9198	69	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	5	to	to	PART
easat-9198	69	6	study	study	VERB
easat-9198	69	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	69	8	structure	structure	NOUN
easat-9198	69	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	69	10	a	a	DET
easat-9198	69	11	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	69	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	69	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	14	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	69	15	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	69	16	important	important	ADJ
easat-9198	69	17	to	to	PART
easat-9198	69	18	know	know	VERB
easat-9198	69	19	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	69	20	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	69	21	main	main	ADJ
easat-9198	69	22	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	69	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	69	24	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	69	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	26	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	69	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	69	29	irregular	irregular	ADJ
easat-9198	69	30	variations	variation	NOUN
easat-9198	69	31	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	69	32	each	each	PRON
easat-9198	69	33	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	69	34	them	they	PRON
easat-9198	69	35	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	69	36	combined	combine	VERB
easat-9198	69	37	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	69	38	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	69	39	this	this	DET
easat-9198	69	40	interaction	interaction	NOUN
easat-9198	69	41	determines	determine	VERB
easat-9198	69	42	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	69	43	the	the	DET
easat-9198	69	44	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	69	45	should	should	AUX
easat-9198	69	46	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	69	47	modeled	model	VERB
easat-9198	69	48	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	69	49	an	an	DET
easat-9198	69	50	additive	additive	ADJ
easat-9198	69	51	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	69	52	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	69	53	a	a	DET
easat-9198	69	54	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	69	55	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	69	56	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	70	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	70	2	our	our	PRON
easat-9198	70	3	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	70	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	70	5	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	70	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	70	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	70	8	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	70	9	use	use	VERB
easat-9198	70	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	70	11	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	70	12	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	70	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	70	14	40	40	NUM
easat-9198	70	15	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	70	16	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	70	17	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	70	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	70	19	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	70	20	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	70	21	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	70	22	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	70	23	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	70	24	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	70	25	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	70	26	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	71	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	71	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	71	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	71	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	71	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	71	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	71	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	71	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	71	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	71	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	71	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	71	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	71	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	71	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	71	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	71	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	71	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	71	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	71	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	71	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	71	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	71	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	71	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	71	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	71	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	72	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	72	2	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	72	3	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
easat-9198	72	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	72	5	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	72	6	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
easat-9198	72	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	72	8	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	72	9	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	72	10	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	72	11	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	72	12	2000	2000	NUM
easat-9198	72	13	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	72	14	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	72	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	73	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	73	2	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	73	3	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	73	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	73	5	broken	break	VERB
easat-9198	73	6	down	down	ADP
easat-9198	73	7	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	73	8	three	three	NUM
easat-9198	73	9	main	main	ADJ
easat-9198	73	10	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	73	11	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	73	12	first	first	ADV
easat-9198	73	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	73	14	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	73	15	is	be	VERB
easat-9198	73	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	73	17	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	73	18	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	73	19	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	73	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	73	21	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	73	22	upward	upward	ADJ
easat-9198	73	23	movement	movement	NOUN
easat-9198	73	24	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	73	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	73	26	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	73	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	73	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	73	29	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	73	30	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	73	31	also	also	ADV
easat-9198	73	32	see	see	VERB
easat-9198	73	33	an	an	DET
easat-9198	73	34	inflection	inflection	NOUN
easat-9198	73	35	point	point	NOUN
easat-9198	73	36	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	73	37	the	the	DET
easat-9198	73	38	2019	2019	NUM
easat-9198	73	39	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	73	40	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	73	41	period	period	NOUN
easat-9198	73	42	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	74	1	next	next	ADV
easat-9198	74	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	74	3	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	74	4	have	have	VERB
easat-9198	74	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	74	6	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	74	7	component	component	NOUN
easat-9198	74	8	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	74	9	captures	capture	VERB
easat-9198	74	10	regular	regular	ADJ
easat-9198	74	11	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	74	12	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	74	13	repeat	repeat	VERB
easat-9198	74	14	each	each	DET
easat-9198	74	15	year	year	NOUN
easat-9198	74	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	75	1	lastly	lastly	ADV
easat-9198	75	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	75	3	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	75	4	is	be	VERB
easat-9198	75	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	75	6	residual	residual	ADJ
easat-9198	75	7	component	component	NOUN
easat-9198	75	8	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	75	9	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	75	10	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	75	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	75	12	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	75	13	variations	variation	NOUN
easat-9198	75	14	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	75	15	do	do	AUX
easat-9198	75	16	not	not	PART
easat-9198	75	17	follow	follow	VERB
easat-9198	75	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	75	19	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	75	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	76	1	3	3	X
easat-9198	76	2	.	.	X
easat-9198	76	3	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	76	4	3.1	3.1	NUM
easat-9198	76	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	77	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	77	2	concepts	concept	NOUN
easat-9198	77	3	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	77	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	77	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	77	6	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	77	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	77	8	making	make	VERB
easat-9198	77	9	projections	projection	NOUN
easat-9198	77	10	about	about	ADP
easat-9198	77	11	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	77	12	events	event	NOUN
easat-9198	77	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	77	14	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	77	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	77	16	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	77	17	actions	action	NOUN
easat-9198	77	18	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	77	19	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	77	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	77	21	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	77	22	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	77	23	past	past	ADJ
easat-9198	77	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	77	25	present	present	ADJ
easat-9198	77	26	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	77	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	78	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	78	3	widely	widely	ADV
easat-9198	78	4	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	78	5	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	78	6	most	most	ADJ
easat-9198	78	7	fields	field	NOUN
easat-9198	78	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	9	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	78	10	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	78	11	economics	economic	NOUN
easat-9198	78	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	13	finance	finance	NOUN
easat-9198	78	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	15	business	business	NOUN
easat-9198	78	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	78	17	supply	supply	NOUN
easat-9198	78	18	chain	chain	NOUN
easat-9198	78	19	management	management	NOUN
easat-9198	78	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	21	to	to	PART
easat-9198	78	22	allow	allow	VERB
easat-9198	78	23	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	78	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	25	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	78	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	27	making	making	NOUN
easat-9198	78	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	78	29	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	78	30	strategy	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	78	31	development	development	NOUN
easat-9198	78	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	79	1	3.1.1	3.1.1	X
easat-9198	79	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	79	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	79	4	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	79	5	naive	naive	ADJ
easat-9198	79	6	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	79	7	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	79	8	simple	simple	ADJ
easat-9198	79	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	79	10	techniques	technique	NOUN
easat-9198	79	11	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	79	12	assume	assume	VERB
easat-9198	79	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	79	14	future	future	NOUN
easat-9198	79	15	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	79	16	mirror	mirror	VERB
easat-9198	79	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	79	18	past	past	NOUN
easat-9198	79	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	79	20	ignoring	ignore	VERB
easat-9198	79	21	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	79	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	79	23	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	79	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	1	examples	example	NOUN
easat-9198	80	2	include	include	VERB
easat-9198	80	3	naive	naive	ADJ
easat-9198	80	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	80	5	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	6	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	80	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	80	8	last	last	ADJ
easat-9198	80	9	observed	observe	VERB
easat-9198	80	10	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	80	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	13	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	80	14	naive	naive	ADJ
easat-9198	80	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	80	16	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	17	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	80	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	80	19	last	last	ADJ
easat-9198	80	20	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	80	21	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	80	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	80	23	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	80	24	season	season	NOUN
easat-9198	80	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	26	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	27	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	80	28	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	80	29	average	average	ADJ
easat-9198	80	30	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	31	predicting	predict	VERB
easat-9198	80	32	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	80	33	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	80	34	the	the	DET
easat-9198	80	35	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	80	36	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	80	37	recent	recent	ADJ
easat-9198	80	38	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	80	39	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	80	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	81	1	figure	figure	VERB
easat-9198	81	2	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	81	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	82	1	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	82	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	82	3	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	82	4	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	82	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	82	6	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	82	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	83	1	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	83	2	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	83	3	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	83	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	83	5	forecast	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	83	6	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	83	7	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	83	8	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	83	9	weighting	weight	VERB
easat-9198	83	10	past	past	ADJ
easat-9198	83	11	observations	observation	NOUN
easat-9198	83	12	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	83	13	exponentially	exponentially	ADV
easat-9198	83	14	decreasing	decrease	VERB
easat-9198	83	15	weights	weight	NOUN
easat-9198	83	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	83	17	giving	give	VERB
easat-9198	83	18	more	more	ADJ
easat-9198	83	19	importance	importance	NOUN
easat-9198	83	20	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	83	21	recent	recent	ADJ
easat-9198	83	22	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	83	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	1	simple	simple	ADJ
easat-9198	84	2	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	84	3	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	84	4	suits	suit	NOUN
easat-9198	84	5	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	84	6	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	84	7	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	84	8	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	84	9	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	84	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	11	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	84	12	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	84	13	linear	linear	ADJ
easat-9198	84	14	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	84	15	extends	extend	VERB
easat-9198	84	16	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	84	17	to	to	PART
easat-9198	84	18	capture	capture	VERB
easat-9198	84	19	linear	linear	ADJ
easat-9198	84	20	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	84	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	84	23	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	84	24	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	25	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	84	26	further	far	ADV
easat-9198	84	27	incorporates	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	84	28	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	84	29	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	84	30	modeling	model	VERB
easat-9198	84	31	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	84	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	33	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	84	34	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	35	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	84	36	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	84	37	41	41	NUM
easat-9198	84	38	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	84	39	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	84	40	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	84	41	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	84	42	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	84	43	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	84	44	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	84	45	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	84	46	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	84	47	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	84	48	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	84	49	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	85	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	85	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	85	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	85	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	85	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	85	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	85	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	85	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	85	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	85	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	85	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	85	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	85	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	85	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	85	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	85	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	85	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	85	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	85	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	85	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	85	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	85	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	85	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	85	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	85	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	85	26	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	85	27	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	85	28	three	three	NUM
easat-9198	85	29	smoothing	smooth	VERB
easat-9198	85	30	parameters	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	85	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	86	2	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	86	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	86	4	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	5	auto	auto	NOUN
easat-9198	86	6	regressive	regressive	ADJ
easat-9198	86	7	integrated	integrated	ADJ
easat-9198	86	8	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	86	9	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	86	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	86	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	86	13	powerful	powerful	ADJ
easat-9198	86	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	86	15	widely	widely	ADV
easat-9198	86	16	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	86	17	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	86	18	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	86	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	86	20	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	86	21	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	86	22	captures	capture	VERB
easat-9198	86	23	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	86	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	86	25	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	86	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	27	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	86	28	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
easat-9198	86	29	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	86	30	combining	combine	VERB
easat-9198	86	31	three	three	NUM
easat-9198	86	32	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	86	33	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	34	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
easat-9198	86	35	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	36	ar	ar	PROPN
easat-9198	86	37	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	38	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	39	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	86	40	average	average	ADJ
easat-9198	86	41	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	42	ma	ma	PROPN
easat-9198	86	43	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	44	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	45	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	86	46	integration	integration	NOUN
easat-9198	86	47	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	48	i	i	NOUN
easat-9198	86	49	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	86	50	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	86	51	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
easat-9198	86	52	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	87	2	models	model	VERB
easat-9198	87	3	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	87	4	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	87	5	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	87	6	past	past	ADJ
easat-9198	87	7	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	87	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	9	past	past	ADJ
easat-9198	87	10	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	87	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	87	13	differencing	difference	VERB
easat-9198	87	14	to	to	PART
easat-9198	87	15	remove	remove	VERB
easat-9198	87	16	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	87	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	18	characterized	characterize	VERB
easat-9198	87	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	87	20	parameters	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	87	21	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	22	p	p	X
easat-9198	87	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	24	d	d	NOUN
easat-9198	87	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	26	q	q	NOUN
easat-9198	87	27	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	87	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	88	1	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	88	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	88	3	especially	especially	ADV
easat-9198	88	4	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	88	5	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	88	6	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	88	7	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	88	8	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	88	9	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	88	10	persistent	persistent	ADJ
easat-9198	88	11	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	88	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	88	13	making	make	VERB
easat-9198	88	14	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	88	15	valuable	valuable	ADJ
easat-9198	88	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	88	17	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	88	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	88	19	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	88	20	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	88	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	89	1	3.2	3.2	NUM
easat-9198	89	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	90	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	90	2	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	90	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	90	4	sarima	sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	90	5	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	90	6	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	90	7	auto	auto	NOUN
easat-9198	90	8	regressive	regressive	ADJ
easat-9198	90	9	integrated	integrated	ADJ
easat-9198	90	10	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	90	11	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	90	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	90	13	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	90	14	an	an	DET
easat-9198	90	15	extension	extension	NOUN
easat-9198	90	16	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	90	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	90	18	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	90	19	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	90	20	designed	design	VERB
easat-9198	90	21	to	to	PART
easat-9198	90	22	handle	handle	VERB
easat-9198	90	23	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	90	24	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	90	25	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	90	26	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	90	27	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	90	28	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	90	29	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	90	30	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	90	31	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	90	32	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
easat-9198	90	33	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	90	34	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	90	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	90	36	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	90	37	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	90	38	average	average	ADJ
easat-9198	90	39	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	90	40	alongside	alongside	ADP
easat-9198	90	41	the	the	DET
easat-9198	90	42	non	non	ADJ
easat-9198	90	43	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	90	44	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	90	45	parts	part	NOUN
easat-9198	90	46	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	91	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	91	2	models	model	VERB
easat-9198	91	3	both	both	CCONJ
easat-9198	91	4	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	91	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	91	6	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	91	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	91	8	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	91	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	91	10	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	91	11	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
easat-9198	91	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	91	13	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	91	14	repeated	repeat	VERB
easat-9198	91	15	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	91	16	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	91	17	fixed	fix	VERB
easat-9198	91	18	periods	period	NOUN
easat-9198	91	19	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	91	20	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	91	21	months	month	NOUN
easat-9198	91	22	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	91	23	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	91	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	1	represented	represent	VERB
easat-9198	92	2	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	92	3	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	92	4	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	5	p	p	X
easat-9198	92	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	7	d	d	NOUN
easat-9198	92	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	9	q	q	NOUN
easat-9198	92	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	12	p	p	X
easat-9198	92	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	14	d	d	NOUN
easat-9198	92	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	16	q	q	X
easat-9198	92	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	18	s	s	X
easat-9198	92	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	92	20	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	92	21	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	92	22	widely	widely	ADV
easat-9198	92	23	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	92	24	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	92	25	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	92	26	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	92	27	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	92	28	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	92	29	exhibiting	exhibit	VERB
easat-9198	92	30	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	92	31	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	92	32	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	92	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	93	1	3.3	3.3	NUM
easat-9198	93	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	93	3	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	93	4	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	93	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	93	6	treatment	treatment	NOUN
easat-9198	93	7	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	93	8	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	93	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	93	10	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	93	11	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	93	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	93	13	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	93	14	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	93	15	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	93	16	severely	severely	ADV
easat-9198	93	17	affected	affect	VERB
easat-9198	93	18	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	93	19	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	93	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	94	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	94	2	increase	increase	VERB
easat-9198	94	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	94	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	94	5	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	94	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	94	7	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	94	8	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	94	9	essential	essential	ADJ
easat-9198	94	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	94	11	recognize	recognize	VERB
easat-9198	94	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	94	13	handle	handle	VERB
easat-9198	94	14	these	these	DET
easat-9198	94	15	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	94	16	properly	properly	ADV
easat-9198	94	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	95	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	95	2	part	part	NOUN
easat-9198	95	3	describes	describe	VERB
easat-9198	95	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	95	5	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	95	6	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	95	7	spotting	spot	VERB
easat-9198	95	8	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	95	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	95	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	95	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	95	12	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	95	13	to	to	PART
easat-9198	95	14	reduce	reduce	VERB
easat-9198	95	15	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	95	16	consequences	consequence	NOUN
easat-9198	95	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	96	1	3.3.1	3.3.1	X
easat-9198	96	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	96	3	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	96	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	96	5	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	96	6	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	96	7	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	96	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	96	9	points	point	NOUN
easat-9198	96	10	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	96	11	significantly	significantly	ADV
easat-9198	96	12	deviate	deviate	VERB
easat-9198	96	13	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	96	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	96	15	typical	typical	ADJ
easat-9198	96	16	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	96	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	96	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	96	19	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	96	20	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	96	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	96	22	caused	cause	VERB
easat-9198	96	23	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	96	24	factors	factor	NOUN
easat-9198	96	25	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	96	26	measurement	measurement	NOUN
easat-9198	96	27	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	96	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	96	29	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	96	30	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	96	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	96	32	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	96	33	external	external	ADJ
easat-9198	96	34	events	event	NOUN
easat-9198	96	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	97	1	one	one	NUM
easat-9198	97	2	common	common	ADJ
easat-9198	97	3	type	type	NOUN
easat-9198	97	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	97	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	97	6	additive	additive	ADJ
easat-9198	97	7	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	97	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	97	9	ao	ao	PROPN
easat-9198	97	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	97	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	97	12	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	97	13	represents	represent	VERB
easat-9198	97	14	isolated	isolated	ADJ
easat-9198	97	15	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	97	16	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	97	17	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	97	18	strikes	strike	NOUN
easat-9198	97	19	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	97	20	extreme	extreme	ADJ
easat-9198	97	21	weather	weather	NOUN
easat-9198	97	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	97	23	usually	usually	ADV
easat-9198	97	24	reflected	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	97	25	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	97	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	97	27	irregular	irregular	ADJ
easat-9198	97	28	component	component	NOUN
easat-9198	97	29	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	97	30	decomposition	decomposition	NOUN
easat-9198	97	31	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	97	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	98	1	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	98	2	shift	shift	NOUN
easat-9198	98	3	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	98	4	ls	ls	PROPN
easat-9198	98	5	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	98	6	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	98	7	a	a	DET
easat-9198	98	8	permanent	permanent	ADJ
easat-9198	98	9	change	change	NOUN
easat-9198	98	10	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	98	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	98	12	mean	mean	ADJ
easat-9198	98	13	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	98	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	98	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	98	16	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	98	17	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	98	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	98	19	often	often	ADV
easat-9198	98	20	caused	cause	VERB
easat-9198	98	21	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	98	22	structural	structural	ADJ
easat-9198	98	23	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	98	24	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	98	25	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	98	26	reclassification	reclassification	NOUN
easat-9198	98	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	99	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	99	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
easat-9198	99	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	99	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	99	5	transitory	transitory	ADJ
easat-9198	99	6	shock	shock	NOUN
easat-9198	99	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	99	8	a	a	DET
easat-9198	99	9	temporary	temporary	ADJ
easat-9198	99	10	disturbance	disturbance	NOUN
easat-9198	99	11	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	99	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	99	13	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	99	14	gradually	gradually	ADV
easat-9198	99	15	returns	return	VERB
easat-9198	99	16	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	99	17	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	99	18	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	99	19	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	99	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	99	21	modeled	model	VERB
easat-9198	99	22	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	99	23	both	both	DET
easat-9198	99	24	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	99	25	magnitude	magnitude	NOUN
easat-9198	99	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	99	27	a	a	DET
easat-9198	99	28	decay	decay	NOUN
easat-9198	99	29	period	period	NOUN
easat-9198	99	30	reflecting	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	99	31	the	the	DET
easat-9198	99	32	fading	fade	VERB
easat-9198	99	33	effect	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	99	34	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	99	35	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	99	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	100	1	3.3.2	3.3.2	NUM
easat-9198	100	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	100	3	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	100	4	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	100	5	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	100	6	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	100	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	100	8	recognizing	recognize	VERB
easat-9198	100	9	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	100	10	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	100	11	differs	differ	VERB
easat-9198	100	12	considerably	considerably	ADV
easat-9198	100	13	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	100	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	100	15	main	main	ADJ
easat-9198	100	16	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	100	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	100	18	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	100	19	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	100	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	1	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	101	2	are	be	VERB
easat-9198	101	3	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	101	4	basic	basic	ADJ
easat-9198	101	5	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	101	6	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	101	7	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	8	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	101	9	inspection	inspection	NOUN
easat-9198	101	10	via	via	ADP
easat-9198	101	11	graphical	graphical	ADJ
easat-9198	101	12	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	101	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	101	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	101	15	tests	test	NOUN
easat-9198	101	16	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	101	17	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	101	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	101	19	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	101	20	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	21	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	101	22	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	101	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	24	the	the	DET
easat-9198	101	25	inter	inter	ADJ
easat-9198	101	26	quartile	quartile	ADJ
easat-9198	101	27	range	range	NOUN
easat-9198	101	28	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	29	iqr	iqr	NOUN
easat-9198	101	30	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	31	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	101	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	101	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	101	34	model	model	VERB
easat-9198	101	35	residual	residual	ADJ
easat-9198	101	36	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	101	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	102	1	42	42	NUM
easat-9198	102	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	102	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	102	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	102	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	102	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	102	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	102	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	102	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	102	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	102	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	102	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	102	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	103	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	103	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	103	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	103	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	103	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	103	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	103	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	103	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	103	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	103	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	103	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	103	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	103	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	103	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	103	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	103	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	103	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	103	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	103	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	103	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	103	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	103	26	3.3.3	3.3.3	PROPN
easat-9198	103	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	28	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	103	29	inspection	inspection	NOUN
easat-9198	103	30	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	103	31	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	103	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	103	33	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	103	34	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	103	35	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	103	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	104	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	104	4	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	104	5	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	104	6	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	104	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	8	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	104	9	upward	upward	ADJ
easat-9198	104	10	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	104	11	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	104	12	total	total	ADJ
easat-9198	104	13	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	104	14	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	104	15	2000	2000	NUM
easat-9198	104	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	104	17	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	104	18	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	104	19	noticeable	noticeable	ADJ
easat-9198	104	20	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	104	21	oscillations	oscillation	NOUN
easat-9198	104	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	23	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	104	24	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	104	25	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	104	26	also	also	ADV
easat-9198	104	27	see	see	VERB
easat-9198	104	28	an	an	DET
easat-9198	104	29	inflection	inflection	NOUN
easat-9198	104	30	point	point	NOUN
easat-9198	104	31	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	104	32	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	33	2019	2019	NUM
easat-9198	104	34	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	104	35	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	104	36	period	period	NOUN
easat-9198	104	37	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	38	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	104	39	a	a	DET
easat-9198	104	40	noticeable	noticeable	ADJ
easat-9198	104	41	change	change	NOUN
easat-9198	104	42	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	104	43	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	44	slope	slope	NOUN
easat-9198	104	45	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	104	46	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	47	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	104	48	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	49	before	before	ADP
easat-9198	104	50	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	104	51	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	52	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	53	slope	slope	NOUN
easat-9198	104	54	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	104	55	positive	positive	ADJ
easat-9198	104	56	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	104	57	steady	steady	ADJ
easat-9198	104	58	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	59	reflecting	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	104	60	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	104	61	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	104	62	growth	growth	NOUN
easat-9198	104	63	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	64	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	104	65	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	104	66	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	67	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	68	curve	curve	NOUN
easat-9198	104	69	flattens	flatten	VERB
easat-9198	104	70	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	71	suggesting	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	104	72	a	a	DET
easat-9198	104	73	slowdown	slowdown	NOUN
easat-9198	104	74	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	104	75	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	104	76	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	104	77	2021	2021	NUM
easat-9198	104	78	the	the	DET
easat-9198	104	79	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	104	80	begins	begin	VERB
easat-9198	104	81	to	to	PART
easat-9198	104	82	rise	rise	VERB
easat-9198	104	83	again	again	ADV
easat-9198	104	84	slightly	slightly	ADV
easat-9198	104	85	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	105	1	likely	likely	ADV
easat-9198	105	2	corresponding	correspond	VERB
easat-9198	105	3	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	105	4	external	external	ADJ
easat-9198	105	5	shocks	shock	NOUN
easat-9198	105	6	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	105	7	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	105	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	105	9	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
easat-9198	105	10	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
easat-9198	105	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	106	1	43	43	NUM
easat-9198	106	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	106	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	106	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	106	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	106	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	106	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	106	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	106	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	106	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	106	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	106	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	106	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	107	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	107	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	107	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	107	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	107	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	107	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	107	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	107	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	107	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	107	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	107	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	107	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	107	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	107	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	107	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	107	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	107	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	107	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	107	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	107	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	107	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	107	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	107	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	107	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	107	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	107	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	107	27	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	107	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	107	29	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	107	30	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	107	31	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	107	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	108	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	108	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	108	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	108	4	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	108	5	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	108	6	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	108	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	108	8	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	108	9	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	108	10	clearly	clearly	ADV
easat-9198	108	11	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	108	12	an	an	DET
easat-9198	108	13	upward	upward	ADJ
easat-9198	108	14	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	108	15	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	108	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	108	17	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	108	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	108	19	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	108	20	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	108	21	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	108	22	levels	level	NOUN
easat-9198	108	23	have	have	AUX
easat-9198	108	24	generally	generally	ADV
easat-9198	108	25	increased	increase	VERB
easat-9198	108	26	since	since	SCONJ
easat-9198	108	27	2000	2000	NUM
easat-9198	108	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	109	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	109	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	109	3	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	109	4	sharp	sharp	ADJ
easat-9198	109	5	peaks	peak	NOUN
easat-9198	109	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	109	7	sudden	sudden	ADJ
easat-9198	109	8	drops	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	109	9	interrupt	interrupt	VERB
easat-9198	109	10	this	this	DET
easat-9198	109	11	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	109	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	109	13	suggesting	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	109	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	109	15	presence	presence	NOUN
easat-9198	109	16	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	109	17	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	109	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	110	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	110	2	example	example	NOUN
easat-9198	110	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	110	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	110	5	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	110	6	drop	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	110	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	110	8	observed	observe	VERB
easat-9198	110	9	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	110	10	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	110	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	110	12	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	110	13	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	110	14	likely	likely	ADV
easat-9198	110	15	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	110	16	attributed	attribute	VERB
easat-9198	110	17	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	110	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	110	19	impact	impact	NOUN
easat-9198	110	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	110	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	110	22	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
easat-9198	110	23	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
easat-9198	110	24	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	110	25	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	110	26	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	110	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	111	1	similarly	similarly	ADV
easat-9198	111	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	111	3	some	some	DET
easat-9198	111	4	unusually	unusually	ADV
easat-9198	111	5	high	high	ADJ
easat-9198	111	6	spikes	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	111	7	appear	appear	VERB
easat-9198	111	8	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	111	9	2010	2010	NUM
easat-9198	111	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	111	11	again	again	ADV
easat-9198	111	12	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	111	13	recent	recent	ADJ
easat-9198	111	14	years	year	NOUN
easat-9198	111	15	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	111	16	2023	2023	NUM
easat-9198	111	17	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	111	18	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	111	19	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	111	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	111	21	deviating	deviate	VERB
easat-9198	111	22	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	111	23	regular	regular	ADJ
easat-9198	111	24	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	111	25	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	111	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	112	1	3.4	3.4	NUM
easat-9198	112	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	112	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	112	4	tests	test	NOUN
easat-9198	112	5	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	112	6	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	112	7	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	112	8	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	112	9	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	112	10	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	112	11	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	112	12	now	now	ADV
easat-9198	112	13	use	use	VERB
easat-9198	112	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	112	15	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	112	16	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	112	17	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	112	18	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	112	19	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	112	20	outlier	outlier	ADJ
easat-9198	112	21	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	112	22	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	112	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	112	24	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	112	25	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	112	26	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	112	27	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	112	28	observe	observe	VERB
easat-9198	112	29	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	112	30	this	this	DET
easat-9198	112	31	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	112	32	proves	prove	VERB
easat-9198	112	33	to	to	PART
easat-9198	112	34	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	112	35	unreliable	unreliable	ADJ
easat-9198	112	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	113	1	44	44	NUM
easat-9198	113	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	113	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	113	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	113	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	113	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	113	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	113	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	113	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	113	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	113	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	113	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	113	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	114	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	114	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	114	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	114	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	114	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	114	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	114	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	114	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	114	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	114	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	114	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	114	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	114	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	114	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	114	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	114	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	114	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	114	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	114	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	114	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	114	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	114	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	114	27	6	6	NUM
easat-9198	114	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	29	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	114	30	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	114	31	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	114	32	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	114	33	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	114	34	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	115	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	115	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	115	3	when	when	SCONJ
easat-9198	115	4	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	115	5	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	115	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	115	7	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	115	8	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	115	9	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	115	10	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	115	11	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	115	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	115	13	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	115	14	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	115	15	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	115	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	115	17	a	a	DET
easat-9198	115	18	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	115	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	115	20	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	115	21	gave	give	VERB
easat-9198	115	22	too	too	ADV
easat-9198	115	23	many	many	ADJ
easat-9198	115	24	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	115	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	115	26	even	even	ADV
easat-9198	115	27	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	115	28	points	point	NOUN
easat-9198	115	29	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	115	30	looked	look	VERB
easat-9198	115	31	normal	normal	ADJ
easat-9198	115	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	116	1	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	116	2	when	when	SCONJ
easat-9198	116	3	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	116	4	increased	increase	VERB
easat-9198	116	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	116	6	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	116	7	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	116	8	2.5	2.5	NUM
easat-9198	116	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	116	10	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	116	11	gave	give	VERB
easat-9198	116	12	no	no	DET
easat-9198	116	13	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	116	14	at	at	ADV
easat-9198	116	15	all	all	ADV
easat-9198	116	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	117	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	117	2	big	big	ADJ
easat-9198	117	3	drop	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	117	4	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	117	5	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	117	6	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	117	7	n’t	not	PART
easat-9198	117	8	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	117	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	117	10	either	either	DET
easat-9198	117	11	case	case	NOUN
easat-9198	117	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	118	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	118	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	118	3	because	because	SCONJ
easat-9198	118	4	increasing	increase	VERB
easat-9198	118	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	118	6	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	118	7	makes	make	VERB
easat-9198	118	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	118	9	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	118	10	stricter	stricter	ADV
easat-9198	118	11	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	118	12	only	only	ADV
easat-9198	118	13	flags	flag	VERB
easat-9198	118	14	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	118	15	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	118	16	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	118	17	very	very	ADV
easat-9198	118	18	far	far	ADV
easat-9198	118	19	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	118	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	118	21	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	118	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	119	1	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	119	2	a	a	DET
easat-9198	119	3	result	result	NOUN
easat-9198	119	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	119	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	119	6	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	119	7	missed	miss	VERB
easat-9198	119	8	important	important	ADJ
easat-9198	119	9	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	119	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	119	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	119	12	not	not	PART
easat-9198	119	13	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	119	14	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	119	15	this	this	DET
easat-9198	119	16	kind	kind	NOUN
easat-9198	119	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	119	18	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	119	19	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	119	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	120	1	3.5	3.5	NUM
easat-9198	120	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	1	iqr	iqr	PROPN
easat-9198	121	2	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	3	inter	inter	ADJ
easat-9198	121	4	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	121	5	quartile	quartile	ADJ
easat-9198	121	6	range	range	NOUN
easat-9198	121	7	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	8	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	121	9	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	121	10	7	7	NUM
easat-9198	121	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	12	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	121	13	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	121	14	iqr	iqr	PROPN
easat-9198	121	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	16	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	121	17	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	18	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	121	19	this	this	DET
easat-9198	121	20	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	121	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	121	23	iqr	iqr	PROPN
easat-9198	121	24	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	121	25	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	121	26	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	121	27	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	121	28	the	the	DET
easat-9198	121	29	standard	standard	ADJ
easat-9198	121	30	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	121	31	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	121	32	-1	-1	PUNCT
easat-9198	121	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	121	34	+1	+1	PROPN
easat-9198	121	35	times	time	NOUN
easat-9198	121	36	the	the	DET
easat-9198	121	37	iqr	iqr	PROPN
easat-9198	121	38	to	to	PART
easat-9198	121	39	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	121	40	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	121	41	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	122	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	122	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	122	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	122	4	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	122	5	only	only	ADV
easat-9198	122	6	identified	identify	VERB
easat-9198	122	7	a	a	DET
easat-9198	122	8	single	single	ADJ
easat-9198	122	9	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	122	10	point	point	NOUN
easat-9198	122	11	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	122	12	an	an	DET
easat-9198	122	13	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	122	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	123	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	123	2	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	123	3	did	do	AUX
easat-9198	123	4	not	not	PART
easat-9198	123	5	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	123	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	123	7	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	123	8	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	123	9	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	123	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	123	11	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	123	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	123	13	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	123	14	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	123	15	crucial	crucial	ADJ
easat-9198	123	16	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	123	17	understanding	understand	VERB
easat-9198	123	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	123	19	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	123	20	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	123	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	124	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	124	2	failure	failure	NOUN
easat-9198	124	3	to	to	PART
easat-9198	124	4	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	124	5	this	this	DET
easat-9198	124	6	key	key	ADJ
easat-9198	124	7	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	124	8	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	124	9	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	124	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	124	11	iqr	iqr	PROPN
easat-9198	124	12	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	124	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	124	14	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	124	15	this	this	DET
easat-9198	124	16	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	124	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	124	18	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	124	19	not	not	PART
easat-9198	124	20	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	124	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	124	22	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	124	23	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	124	24	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	124	25	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	124	26	critical	critical	ADJ
easat-9198	124	27	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	124	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	125	1	given	give	VERB
easat-9198	125	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	125	3	limitations	limitation	NOUN
easat-9198	125	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	125	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	125	6	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	125	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	125	8	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	125	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	125	10	iqr	iqr	NOUN
easat-9198	125	11	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	125	12	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	125	13	detecting	detect	VERB
easat-9198	125	14	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	125	15	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	125	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	125	17	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	125	18	45	45	NUM
easat-9198	125	19	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	125	20	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	125	21	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	125	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	125	23	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	125	24	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	125	25	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	125	26	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	125	27	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	125	28	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	125	29	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	125	30	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	126	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	126	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	126	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	126	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	126	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	126	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	126	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	126	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	126	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	126	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	126	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	126	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	126	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	126	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	126	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	126	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	126	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	126	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	126	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	126	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	126	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	126	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	126	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	126	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	126	25	gate	gate	VERB
easat-9198	126	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	126	27	key	key	ADJ
easat-9198	126	28	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	126	29	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	126	30	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	126	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	126	32	a	a	DET
easat-9198	126	33	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	126	34	robust	robust	ADJ
easat-9198	126	35	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	126	36	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	126	37	required	require	VERB
easat-9198	126	38	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	126	39	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	126	40	identification	identification	NOUN
easat-9198	126	41	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	126	42	influential	influential	ADJ
easat-9198	126	43	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	126	44	points	point	NOUN
easat-9198	126	45	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	127	2	this	this	DET
easat-9198	127	3	regard	regard	NOUN
easat-9198	127	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	5	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	127	6	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	7	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	127	8	auto	auto	NOUN
easat-9198	127	9	regressive	regressive	ADJ
easat-9198	127	10	integrated	integrated	ADJ
easat-9198	127	11	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	127	12	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	127	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	127	16	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	127	17	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	127	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	127	19	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	127	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	127	21	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	127	22	a	a	DET
easat-9198	127	23	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	127	24	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	127	25	tool	tool	NOUN
easat-9198	127	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	128	1	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	128	2	analyzing	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	128	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	128	4	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	128	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	128	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	128	7	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	128	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	128	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	128	10	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	128	11	represent	represent	VERB
easat-9198	128	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	128	13	differences	difference	NOUN
easat-9198	128	14	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	128	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	128	16	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	128	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	128	18	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	128	19	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	128	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	128	21	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	128	22	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	128	23	better	well	ADV
easat-9198	128	24	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	128	25	discrepancies	discrepancy	NOUN
easat-9198	128	26	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	128	27	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	128	28	indicate	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	128	29	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	128	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	129	1	3.6	3.6	NUM
easat-9198	129	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	130	1	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	130	2	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	130	3	to	to	PART
easat-9198	130	4	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	130	5	true	true	ADJ
easat-9198	130	6	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	130	7	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	130	8	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	130	9	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	130	10	data	data	PROPN
easat-9198	130	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	130	12	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	130	13	must	must	AUX
easat-9198	130	14	first	first	ADV
easat-9198	130	15	remove	remove	VERB
easat-9198	130	16	typical	typical	ADJ
easat-9198	130	17	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	130	18	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	130	19	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	130	20	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	130	21	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	130	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	131	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	131	2	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	131	3	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	131	4	effectively	effectively	ADV
easat-9198	131	5	captured	capture	VERB
easat-9198	131	6	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	131	7	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	131	8	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	131	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	132	1	once	once	SCONJ
easat-9198	132	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	3	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	132	4	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	132	5	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	132	6	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	132	7	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	132	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	9	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	132	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	132	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	12	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	132	13	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	132	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	15	difference	difference	NOUN
easat-9198	132	16	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	132	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	18	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	132	19	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	132	20	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	132	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	132	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	23	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	132	24	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	132	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	132	26	represent	represent	VERB
easat-9198	132	27	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	28	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	132	29	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	132	30	the	the	DET
easat-9198	132	31	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	132	32	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	132	33	n’t	not	PART
easat-9198	132	34	predict	predict	VERB
easat-9198	132	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	133	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	133	2	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	133	3	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	133	4	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	133	5	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	133	6	analyzed	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	133	7	to	to	PART
easat-9198	133	8	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	133	9	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	133	10	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	133	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	134	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	134	2	this	this	DET
easat-9198	134	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	134	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	134	5	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	134	6	extract	extract	VERB
easat-9198	134	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	134	8	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	134	9	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	134	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	134	11	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	134	12	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	134	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	134	14	apply	apply	VERB
easat-9198	134	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	134	16	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	134	17	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	134	18	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	134	19	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	134	20	to	to	PART
easat-9198	134	21	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	134	22	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	134	23	deviations	deviation	NOUN
easat-9198	134	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	134	25	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	134	26	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	134	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	134	28	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	134	29	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	134	30	indicate	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	134	31	unusual	unusual	ADJ
easat-9198	134	32	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	134	33	unexpected	unexpected	ADJ
easat-9198	134	34	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	134	35	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	134	36	the	the	DET
easat-9198	134	37	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	134	38	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	135	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	135	2	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	135	3	allow	allow	VERB
easat-9198	135	4	us	we	PRON
easat-9198	135	5	to	to	PART
easat-9198	135	6	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	135	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	135	8	investigate	investigate	VERB
easat-9198	135	9	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	135	10	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	135	11	both	both	DET
easat-9198	135	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	135	13	effectively	effectively	ADV
easat-9198	135	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	136	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	136	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	136	3	to	to	PART
easat-9198	136	4	check	check	VERB
easat-9198	136	5	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	136	6	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	136	7	were	be	VERB
easat-9198	136	8	any	any	DET
easat-9198	136	9	unusual	unusual	ADJ
easat-9198	136	10	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	136	11	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	136	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	136	13	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	136	14	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	136	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	136	16	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	136	17	looked	look	VERB
easat-9198	136	18	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	136	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	136	20	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	136	21	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	136	22	a	a	DET
easat-9198	136	23	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	136	24	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	136	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	137	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	137	2	started	start	VERB
easat-9198	137	3	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	137	4	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	137	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	137	6	auto.arima	auto.arima	PROPN
easat-9198	137	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	137	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	137	9	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	137	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	137	11	automatically	automatically	ADV
easat-9198	137	12	choose	choose	VERB
easat-9198	137	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	137	14	best	good	ADJ
easat-9198	137	15	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	137	16	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	137	17	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	137	18	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	137	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	137	20	exportation	exportation	NOUN
easat-9198	137	21	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	137	22	off	off	ADP
easat-9198	137	23	shore	shore	NOUN
easat-9198	137	24	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	137	25	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	137	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	138	1	once	once	SCONJ
easat-9198	138	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	138	4	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	138	5	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	138	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	138	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	138	8	got	get	VERB
easat-9198	138	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	10	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	138	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	138	12	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	138	13	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	138	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	15	differences	difference	NOUN
easat-9198	138	16	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	138	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	18	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	138	19	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	138	20	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	138	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	22	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	138	23	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	138	24	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	138	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	138	26	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	138	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	139	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	139	2	make	make	VERB
easat-9198	139	3	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	139	4	easier	easy	ADJ
easat-9198	139	5	to	to	PART
easat-9198	139	6	spot	spot	VERB
easat-9198	139	7	unusual	unusual	ADJ
easat-9198	139	8	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	139	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	139	10	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	139	11	calculated	calculate	VERB
easat-9198	139	12	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	139	13	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	139	14	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	139	15	scores	score	NOUN
easat-9198	139	16	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	139	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	139	18	scale	scale	NOUN
easat-9198	139	19	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	139	20	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	139	21	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	139	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	140	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	140	2	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	140	3	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	140	4	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	140	5	tells	tell	VERB
easat-9198	140	6	us	we	PRON
easat-9198	140	7	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	140	8	far	far	ADV
easat-9198	140	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	140	10	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	140	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	140	12	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	140	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	140	14	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	140	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	140	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	140	17	terms	term	NOUN
easat-9198	140	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	140	19	standard	standard	ADJ
easat-9198	140	20	deviations	deviation	NOUN
easat-9198	140	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	141	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	141	2	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	141	3	set	set	VERB
easat-9198	141	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	141	5	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	141	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	141	7	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	141	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	141	9	meaning	mean	VERB
easat-9198	141	10	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	141	11	considered	consider	VERB
easat-9198	141	12	any	any	DET
easat-9198	141	13	residual	residual	ADJ
easat-9198	141	14	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	141	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	141	16	z	z	NOUN
easat-9198	141	17	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	141	18	score	score	NOUN
easat-9198	141	19	higher	high	ADJ
easat-9198	141	20	than	than	ADP
easat-9198	141	21	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	141	22	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	141	23	lower	low	ADJ
easat-9198	141	24	than	than	SCONJ
easat-9198	141	25	-3	-3	PUNCT
easat-9198	141	26	to	to	PART
easat-9198	141	27	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	141	28	an	an	DET
easat-9198	141	29	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	141	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	142	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	142	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	142	3	because	because	SCONJ
easat-9198	142	4	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	142	5	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	142	6	normal	normal	ADJ
easat-9198	142	7	distributions	distribution	NOUN
easat-9198	142	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	142	9	nearly	nearly	ADV
easat-9198	142	10	all	all	PRON
easat-9198	142	11	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	142	12	fall	fall	VERB
easat-9198	142	13	within	within	ADP
easat-9198	142	14	three	three	NUM
easat-9198	142	15	standard	standard	ADJ
easat-9198	142	16	deviations	deviation	NOUN
easat-9198	142	17	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	142	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	142	19	mean	mean	NOUN
easat-9198	142	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	143	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	143	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	143	3	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	143	4	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	143	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	143	6	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	143	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	143	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	143	9	function	function	VERB
easat-9198	143	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	143	11	find	find	VERB
easat-9198	143	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	143	13	positions	position	NOUN
easat-9198	143	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	143	15	these	these	DET
easat-9198	143	16	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	143	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	143	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	143	19	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	143	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	144	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	144	2	helped	help	VERB
easat-9198	144	3	us	we	PRON
easat-9198	144	4	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	144	5	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	144	6	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	144	7	might	might	AUX
easat-9198	144	8	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	144	9	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	144	10	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	144	11	events	event	NOUN
easat-9198	144	12	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	144	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	144	14	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	144	15	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	144	16	n’t	not	PART
easat-9198	144	17	explain	explain	VERB
easat-9198	144	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	145	2	identified	identify	VERB
easat-9198	145	3	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	145	4	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	145	5	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	145	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	145	7	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	145	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	9	including	include	VERB
easat-9198	145	10	those	those	PRON
easat-9198	145	11	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	145	12	indices	index	NOUN
easat-9198	145	13	236	236	NUM
easat-9198	145	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	15	243	243	NUM
easat-9198	145	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	17	244	244	NUM
easat-9198	145	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	19	281	281	NUM
easat-9198	145	20	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	145	21	correspond	correspond	VERB
easat-9198	145	22	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	145	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	145	24	dates	date	NOUN
easat-9198	145	25	2019	2019	NUM
easat-9198	145	26	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	145	27	08	08	NUM
easat-9198	145	28	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	29	01	01	NUM
easat-9198	145	30	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	32	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	33	202003	202003	NUM
easat-9198	145	34	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	35	01","2020	01","2020	NOUN
easat-9198	145	36	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	37	04	04	NUM
easat-9198	145	38	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	39	01	01	NUM
easat-9198	145	40	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	41	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	42	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	43	2023	2023	NUM
easat-9198	145	44	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	145	45	05	05	NUM
easat-9198	145	46	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	47	01	01	NUM
easat-9198	145	48	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	145	49	respectively	respectively	ADV
easat-9198	145	50	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	146	1	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	146	2	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	146	3	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	146	4	do	do	VERB
easat-9198	146	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	146	6	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	146	7	thing	thing	NOUN
easat-9198	146	8	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	146	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	146	10	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	146	11	exportation	exportation	NOUN
easat-9198	146	12	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	146	13	3.6.1	3.6.1	NUM
easat-9198	146	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	147	1	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	147	2	treatment	treatment	NOUN
easat-9198	147	3	once	once	SCONJ
easat-9198	147	4	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	147	5	have	have	AUX
easat-9198	147	6	finished	finish	VERB
easat-9198	147	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	147	8	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	147	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	147	10	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	147	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	147	12	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	147	13	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	147	14	essential	essential	ADJ
easat-9198	147	15	to	to	PART
easat-9198	147	16	treat	treat	VERB
easat-9198	147	17	them	they	PRON
easat-9198	147	18	to	to	PART
easat-9198	147	19	avoid	avoid	VERB
easat-9198	147	20	affecting	affect	VERB
easat-9198	147	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	147	22	quality	quality	NOUN
easat-9198	147	23	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	147	24	the	the	DET
easat-9198	147	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	147	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	148	2	this	this	DET
easat-9198	148	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	148	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	5	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	148	6	focus	focus	VERB
easat-9198	148	7	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	148	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	148	9	exportation	exportation	NOUN
easat-9198	148	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	11	off	off	ADP
easat-9198	148	12	shore	shore	NOUN
easat-9198	148	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	14	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	148	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	148	16	apply	apply	VERB
easat-9198	148	17	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	148	18	treatment	treatment	NOUN
easat-9198	148	19	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	148	20	to	to	PART
easat-9198	148	21	improve	improve	VERB
easat-9198	148	22	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	148	23	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	148	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	148	25	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	148	26	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	148	27	use	use	VERB
easat-9198	148	28	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	148	29	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	148	30	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	31	smoothing	smooth	VERB
easat-9198	148	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	33	explicit	explicit	ADJ
easat-9198	148	34	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	148	35	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	36	indicator	indicator	NOUN
easat-9198	148	37	variable	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	148	38	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	39	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	148	40	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	148	41	post	post	ADJ
easat-9198	148	42	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	148	43	processing	processing	ADJ
easat-9198	148	44	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	148	45	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	149	1	3.6.1.1	3.6.1.1	X
easat-9198	149	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	149	3	smoothing	smooth	VERB
easat-9198	149	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	5	red	red	ADJ
easat-9198	149	6	segments	segment	NOUN
easat-9198	149	7	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	149	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	9	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	149	10	point	point	VERB
easat-9198	149	11	out	out	ADP
easat-9198	149	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	13	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	149	14	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	149	15	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	149	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	149	17	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	149	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	19	blue	blue	ADJ
easat-9198	149	20	line	line	NOUN
easat-9198	149	21	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	149	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	23	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	149	24	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	149	25	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	149	26	local	local	ADJ
easat-9198	149	27	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	149	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	149	29	since	since	SCONJ
easat-9198	149	30	only	only	ADV
easat-9198	149	31	a	a	DET
easat-9198	149	32	few	few	ADJ
easat-9198	149	33	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	149	34	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	149	35	changed	change	VERB
easat-9198	149	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	149	37	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	38	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	149	39	curves	curve	NOUN
easat-9198	149	40	essentially	essentially	ADV
easat-9198	149	41	overlap	overlap	VERB
easat-9198	149	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	149	43	except	except	SCONJ
easat-9198	149	44	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	149	45	the	the	DET
easat-9198	149	46	observed	observed	ADJ
easat-9198	149	47	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	149	48	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	150	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	150	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	150	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	150	4	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	150	5	begins	begin	VERB
easat-9198	150	6	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	150	7	specifying	specify	VERB
easat-9198	150	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	150	9	positions	position	NOUN
easat-9198	150	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	150	11	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	150	12	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	150	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	150	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	150	15	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	150	16	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	150	17	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	150	18	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	150	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	150	20	vector	vector	NOUN
easat-9198	150	21	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	150	22	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	150	23	indices	index	NOUN
easat-9198	150	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	151	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	151	2	preserve	preserve	VERB
easat-9198	151	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	151	4	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	151	5	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	151	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	151	7	a	a	DET
easat-9198	151	8	copy	copy	NOUN
easat-9198	151	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	151	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	151	11	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	151	12	exportation	exportation	NOUN
easat-9198	151	13	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	151	14	offshore	offshore	ADV
easat-9198	151	15	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	151	16	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	151	17	created	create	VERB
easat-9198	151	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	151	19	stored	store	VERB
easat-9198	151	20	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	151	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	151	22	variable	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	151	23	smoothed	smooth	VERB
easat-9198	151	24	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	151	25	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	151	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	152	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	152	2	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	152	3	loop	loop	NOUN
easat-9198	152	4	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	152	5	to	to	PART
easat-9198	152	6	go	go	VERB
easat-9198	152	7	through	through	ADP
easat-9198	152	8	each	each	DET
easat-9198	152	9	number	number	NOUN
easat-9198	152	10	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	152	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	152	12	list	list	NOUN
easat-9198	152	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	152	14	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	152	15	positions	position	NOUN
easat-9198	152	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	153	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	153	2	each	each	DET
easat-9198	153	3	one	one	NOUN
easat-9198	153	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	153	5	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	153	6	checks	check	VERB
easat-9198	153	7	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	153	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	153	9	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	153	10	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	153	11	not	not	PART
easat-9198	153	12	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	153	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	153	14	very	very	ADV
easat-9198	153	15	beginning	beginning	NOUN
easat-9198	153	16	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	153	17	very	very	ADJ
easat-9198	153	18	end	end	NOUN
easat-9198	153	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	153	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	153	21	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	153	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	153	23	because	because	SCONJ
easat-9198	153	24	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	153	25	would	would	AUX
easat-9198	153	26	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	153	27	no	no	DET
easat-9198	153	28	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	153	29	before	before	ADV
easat-9198	153	30	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	153	31	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	153	32	to	to	PART
easat-9198	153	33	use	use	VERB
easat-9198	153	34	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	153	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	154	1	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	154	2	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	154	3	’s	’	VERB
easat-9198	154	4	safe	safe	ADJ
easat-9198	154	5	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	154	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	154	7	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	154	8	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	154	9	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	154	10	replaced	replace	VERB
easat-9198	154	11	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	154	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	154	13	average	average	NOUN
easat-9198	154	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	154	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	154	16	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	154	17	before	before	ADV
easat-9198	154	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	154	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	154	20	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	154	21	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	154	22	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	154	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	155	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	155	2	way	way	NOUN
easat-9198	155	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	155	4	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	155	5	fix	fix	VERB
easat-9198	155	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	155	7	strange	strange	ADJ
easat-9198	155	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	155	9	abnormal	abnormal	ADJ
easat-9198	155	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	155	11	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	155	12	gently	gently	ADV
easat-9198	155	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	155	14	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	155	15	changing	change	VERB
easat-9198	155	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	155	17	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	155	18	shape	shape	NOUN
easat-9198	155	19	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	155	20	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	155	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	155	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	155	23	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	155	24	too	too	ADV
easat-9198	155	25	much	much	ADV
easat-9198	155	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	156	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	156	2	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	156	3	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	156	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	156	5	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	156	6	added	add	VERB
easat-9198	156	7	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	156	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	156	9	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	156	10	under	under	ADP
easat-9198	156	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	156	12	name	name	NOUN
easat-9198	156	13	exportation(offshore)-corrected	exportation(offshore)-correcte	VERB
easat-9198	156	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	157	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	157	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	157	3	both	both	CCONJ
easat-9198	157	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	157	5	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	157	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	157	7	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	157	8	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	157	9	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	157	10	plotted	plot	VERB
easat-9198	157	11	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	157	12	ggplot2	ggplot2	PROPN
easat-9198	157	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	158	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	158	2	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	158	3	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	158	4	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	158	5	shown	show	VERB
easat-9198	158	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	158	7	red	red	ADJ
easat-9198	158	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	158	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	158	10	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	158	11	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	158	12	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	158	13	blue	blue	ADJ
easat-9198	158	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	158	15	allowing	allow	VERB
easat-9198	158	16	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	158	17	a	a	DET
easat-9198	158	18	clear	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	158	19	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	158	20	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	158	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	159	1	46	46	NUM
easat-9198	159	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	159	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	159	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	159	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	159	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	159	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	159	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	159	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	159	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	159	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	159	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	159	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	160	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	160	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	160	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	160	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	160	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	160	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	160	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	160	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	160	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	160	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	160	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	160	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	160	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	160	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	160	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	160	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	160	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	160	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	160	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	160	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	160	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	160	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	1	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	161	2	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	161	3	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	161	4	3.6.1.2	3.6.1.2	NUM
easat-9198	161	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	6	post	post	ADJ
easat-9198	161	7	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	161	8	processing	processing	ADJ
easat-9198	161	9	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	161	10	3.6.1.2.1	3.6.1.2.1	NOUN
easat-9198	161	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	12	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	161	13	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	161	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	161	15	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	161	16	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	17	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	18	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	161	19	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	161	20	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	21	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	161	22	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	23	first	first	ADV
easat-9198	161	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	161	26	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	161	27	creates	create	VERB
easat-9198	161	28	a	a	DET
easat-9198	161	29	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	161	30	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	161	31	object	object	NOUN
easat-9198	161	32	named	name	VERB
easat-9198	161	33	serie	serie	VERB
easat-9198	161	34	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	161	35	the	the	DET
easat-9198	161	36	column	column	NOUN
easat-9198	161	37	exportation	exportation	NOUN
easat-9198	161	38	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	39	off	off	ADP
easat-9198	161	40	shore	shore	NOUN
easat-9198	161	41	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	42	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	161	43	the	the	DET
easat-9198	161	44	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	161	45	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	161	46	specifying	specify	VERB
easat-9198	161	47	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	161	48	the	the	DET
easat-9198	161	49	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	161	50	starts	start	VERB
easat-9198	161	51	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	161	52	january	january	PROPN
easat-9198	161	53	2000	2000	NUM
easat-9198	161	54	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	161	55	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	161	56	frequency	frequency	NOUN
easat-9198	161	57	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	162	1	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	162	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	162	3	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	162	4	plots	plot	VERB
easat-9198	162	5	this	this	DET
easat-9198	162	6	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	162	7	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	162	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	163	1	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	163	2	to	to	PART
easat-9198	163	3	visualize	visualize	VERB
easat-9198	163	4	any	any	DET
easat-9198	163	5	potential	potential	ADJ
easat-9198	163	6	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	163	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	1	next	next	ADV
easat-9198	164	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	164	4	tso	tso	PROPN
easat-9198	164	5	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	6	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	7	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	164	8	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	164	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	164	10	tsoutliers	tsoutlier	NOUN
easat-9198	164	11	package	package	NOUN
easat-9198	164	12	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	164	13	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	164	14	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	164	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	164	16	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	164	17	to	to	PART
easat-9198	164	18	automatically	automatically	ADV
easat-9198	164	19	detect	detect	VERB
easat-9198	164	20	three	three	NUM
easat-9198	164	21	types	type	NOUN
easat-9198	164	22	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	164	23	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	164	24	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	25	additive	additive	ADJ
easat-9198	164	26	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	164	27	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	28	ao	ao	PROPN
easat-9198	164	29	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	164	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	1	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	165	2	shifts	shift	NOUN
easat-9198	165	3	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	4	ls	ls	PROPN
easat-9198	165	5	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	165	8	transient	transient	ADJ
easat-9198	165	9	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	165	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	11	tc	tc	NOUN
easat-9198	165	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	165	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	166	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	166	2	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	166	3	returns	return	VERB
easat-9198	166	4	an	an	DET
easat-9198	166	5	object	object	NOUN
easat-9198	166	6	res	re	NOUN
easat-9198	166	7	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	166	8	contains	contain	VERB
easat-9198	166	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	166	10	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	166	11	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	166	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	166	13	an	an	DET
easat-9198	166	14	adjusted	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	166	15	version	version	NOUN
easat-9198	166	16	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	166	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	166	18	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	166	19	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	166	20	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	166	21	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	166	22	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	166	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	167	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	167	2	adjusted	adjusted	ADJ
easat-9198	167	3	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	167	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	167	5	extracted	extract	VERB
easat-9198	167	6	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	167	7	serie_corrigee	serie_corrigee	PROPN
easat-9198	167	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	168	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	168	2	easier	easy	ADJ
easat-9198	168	3	plotting	plotting	NOUN
easat-9198	168	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	168	5	both	both	CCONJ
easat-9198	168	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	168	7	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	168	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	168	9	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	168	10	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	168	11	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	168	12	combined	combine	VERB
easat-9198	168	13	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	168	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	168	15	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	168	16	frame	frame	NOUN
easat-9198	168	17	df	df	NOUN
easat-9198	168	18	along	along	ADP
easat-9198	168	19	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	168	20	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	168	21	corresponding	correspond	VERB
easat-9198	168	22	dates	date	NOUN
easat-9198	168	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	169	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	169	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	169	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	169	4	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	169	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	169	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	169	7	outlier	outlier	ADJ
easat-9198	169	8	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	169	9	stored	store	VERB
easat-9198	169	10	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	169	11	res	re	NOUN
easat-9198	169	12	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	169	13	printed	print	VERB
easat-9198	169	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	169	15	visually	visually	ADV
easat-9198	169	16	plotted	plot	VERB
easat-9198	169	17	to	to	PART
easat-9198	169	18	provide	provide	VERB
easat-9198	169	19	detailed	detailed	ADJ
easat-9198	169	20	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	169	21	about	about	ADP
easat-9198	169	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	169	23	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	169	24	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	169	25	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	169	26	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	169	27	diagnostics	diagnostic	NOUN
easat-9198	169	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	170	1	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	170	2	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	170	3	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	170	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	170	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	171	1	figure	figure	VERB
easat-9198	171	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	171	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	171	4	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	171	5	correction	correction	NOUN
easat-9198	171	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	171	7	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	171	8	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	171	9	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	171	10	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	171	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	172	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	172	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	172	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	172	4	estimated	estimate	VERB
easat-9198	172	5	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
easat-9198	172	6	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	172	7	all	all	PRON
easat-9198	172	8	statistically	statistically	ADV
easat-9198	172	9	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	172	10	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	173	2	example	example	NOUN
easat-9198	173	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	173	5	ma(1	ma(1	NOUN
easat-9198	173	6	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	7	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
easat-9198	173	8	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	173	9	-0.7636	-0.7636	NOUN
easat-9198	173	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	173	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	173	12	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	173	13	ar(1	ar(1	PROPN
easat-9198	173	14	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	15	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	173	16	0.6679	0.6679	NUM
easat-9198	173	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	18	both	both	CCONJ
easat-9198	173	19	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	173	20	very	very	ADV
easat-9198	173	21	small	small	ADJ
easat-9198	173	22	standard	standard	ADJ
easat-9198	173	23	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	173	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	173	25	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	173	26	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	173	27	estimation	estimation	NOUN
easat-9198	173	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	174	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	174	2	each	each	DET
easat-9198	174	3	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	174	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	174	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	174	6	t	t	NOUN
easat-9198	174	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	174	8	statistic	statistic	NOUN
easat-9198	174	9	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	174	10	provided	provide	VERB
easat-9198	174	11	to	to	PART
easat-9198	174	12	test	test	VERB
easat-9198	174	13	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	174	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	174	15	significance	significance	NOUN
easat-9198	174	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	175	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	175	2	tstatistics	tstatistic	NOUN
easat-9198	175	3	come	come	VERB
easat-9198	175	4	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	175	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	175	6	t	t	NOUN
easat-9198	175	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	175	8	student	student	NOUN
easat-9198	175	9	distribution	distribution	NOUN
easat-9198	175	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	175	11	measure	measure	NOUN
easat-9198	175	12	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	175	13	strongly	strongly	ADV
easat-9198	175	14	each	each	DET
easat-9198	175	15	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	175	16	deviates	deviate	VERB
easat-9198	175	17	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	175	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	175	19	expected	expect	VERB
easat-9198	175	20	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	175	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	175	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	175	23	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	175	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	176	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	176	2	this	this	DET
easat-9198	176	3	case	case	NOUN
easat-9198	176	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	176	5	all	all	DET
easat-9198	176	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	176	7	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	176	8	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	176	9	had	have	AUX
easat-9198	176	10	|t	|t	VERB
easat-9198	176	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	176	12	stat|	stat|	VERB
easat-9198	176	13	>	>	X
easat-9198	176	14	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	176	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	176	16	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	176	17	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	176	18	they	they	PRON
easat-9198	176	19	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	176	20	statistically	statistically	ADV
easat-9198	176	21	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	176	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	176	23	should	should	AUX
easat-9198	176	24	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	176	25	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	176	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	1	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	177	2	example	example	NOUN
easat-9198	177	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	177	5	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	177	6	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	177	7	april	april	PROPN
easat-9198	177	8	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	177	9	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	10	tc	tc	NOUN
easat-9198	177	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	12	had	have	VERB
easat-9198	177	13	a	a	DET
easat-9198	177	14	large	large	ADJ
easat-9198	177	15	negative	negative	ADJ
easat-9198	177	16	effect	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	177	17	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	18	-756.9	-756.9	PROPN
easat-9198	177	19	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	20	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	177	21	a	a	DET
easat-9198	177	22	t	t	NOUN
easat-9198	177	23	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	24	statistic	statistic	NOUN
easat-9198	177	25	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	177	26	-12.079	-12.079	PROPN
easat-9198	177	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	177	28	strongly	strongly	ADV
easat-9198	177	29	confirming	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	177	30	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	177	31	abnormal	abnormal	ADJ
easat-9198	177	32	nature	nature	NOUN
easat-9198	177	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	178	1	47	47	NUM
easat-9198	178	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	178	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	178	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	178	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	178	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	178	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	178	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	178	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	178	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	178	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	178	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	178	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	179	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	179	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	179	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	179	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	179	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	179	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	179	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	179	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	179	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	179	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	179	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	179	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	179	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	179	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	179	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	179	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	179	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	179	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	179	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	179	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	179	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	179	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	179	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	179	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	179	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	179	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	179	27	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	179	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	180	1	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	180	2	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	180	3	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	180	4	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	180	5	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	180	6	marked	mark	VERB
easat-9198	180	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	181	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	181	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	181	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	181	4	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	181	5	presents	present	VERB
easat-9198	181	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	181	7	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	181	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	181	9	an	an	DET
easat-9198	181	10	outlier	outlier	ADJ
easat-9198	181	11	detection	detection	NOUN
easat-9198	181	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	181	13	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
easat-9198	181	14	procedure	procedure	NOUN
easat-9198	181	15	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	181	16	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	181	17	a	a	DET
easat-9198	181	18	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	181	19	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	181	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	181	21	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	181	22	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	181	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	182	2	top	top	ADJ
easat-9198	182	3	panel	panel	NOUN
easat-9198	182	4	compares	compare	VERB
easat-9198	182	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	182	6	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	182	7	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	182	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	182	10	black	black	NOUN
easat-9198	182	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	12	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	182	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	182	14	adjusted	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	182	15	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	182	16	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	182	18	blue	blue	ADJ
easat-9198	182	19	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	21	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	182	22	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	182	23	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	182	24	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	25	marked	mark	VERB
easat-9198	182	26	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	182	27	red	red	ADJ
easat-9198	182	28	dots	dot	NOUN
easat-9198	182	29	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	30	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	182	31	identified	identify	VERB
easat-9198	182	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	182	33	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	182	34	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	182	35	2018	2018	NUM
easat-9198	182	36	onwards	onward	NOUN
easat-9198	182	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	183	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	183	2	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	183	3	correspond	correspond	VERB
easat-9198	183	4	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	183	5	unusual	unusual	ADJ
easat-9198	183	6	deviations	deviation	NOUN
easat-9198	183	7	likely	likely	ADV
easat-9198	183	8	caused	cause	VERB
easat-9198	183	9	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	183	10	external	external	ADJ
easat-9198	183	11	shocks	shock	NOUN
easat-9198	183	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	183	13	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	183	14	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	183	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	183	16	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
easat-9198	183	17	pandemic	pandemic	NOUN
easat-9198	183	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	184	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	184	2	adjusted	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	184	3	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	184	4	smooths	smooth	VERB
easat-9198	184	5	these	these	DET
easat-9198	184	6	anomalies	anomaly	NOUN
easat-9198	184	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	184	8	offering	offer	VERB
easat-9198	184	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	184	10	clearer	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	184	11	view	view	NOUN
easat-9198	184	12	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	184	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	184	14	underlying	underlie	VERB
easat-9198	184	15	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	184	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	184	17	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	184	18	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	184	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	185	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	185	2	bottom	bottom	ADJ
easat-9198	185	3	panel	panel	NOUN
easat-9198	185	4	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
easat-9198	185	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	185	6	magnitude	magnitude	NOUN
easat-9198	185	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	185	8	nature	nature	NOUN
easat-9198	185	9	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	185	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	185	11	outlier	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	185	12	effects	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	185	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	186	2	reveals	reveal	VERB
easat-9198	186	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	186	4	presence	presence	NOUN
easat-9198	186	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	186	6	additive	additive	ADJ
easat-9198	186	7	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	186	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	9	ao	ao	PROPN
easat-9198	186	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	12	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	186	13	represent	represent	VERB
easat-9198	186	14	isolated	isolated	ADJ
easat-9198	186	15	spikes	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	186	16	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	186	17	drops	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	186	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	19	as	as	ADV
easat-9198	186	20	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	186	21	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	186	22	temporary	temporary	ADJ
easat-9198	186	23	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	186	24	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	25	tc	tc	NOUN
easat-9198	186	26	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	186	28	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	186	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	186	30	effect	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	186	31	diminishes	diminish	VERB
easat-9198	186	32	gradually	gradually	ADV
easat-9198	186	33	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	186	34	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	186	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	187	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	187	2	corrections	correction	NOUN
easat-9198	187	3	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	187	4	especially	especially	ADV
easat-9198	187	5	prominent	prominent	ADJ
easat-9198	187	6	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	187	7	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	187	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	187	9	reflecting	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	187	10	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	187	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	187	12	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	187	13	disruptions	disruption	NOUN
easat-9198	187	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	188	1	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	188	2	adjusting	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	188	3	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	188	4	these	these	DET
easat-9198	188	5	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	188	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	188	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	188	8	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	188	9	becomes	become	VERB
easat-9198	188	10	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	188	11	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	188	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	188	13	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	188	14	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	188	15	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	188	16	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	188	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	188	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	188	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	189	1	48	48	NUM
easat-9198	189	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	189	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	189	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	189	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	189	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	189	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	189	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	189	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	189	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	189	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	189	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	189	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	190	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	190	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	190	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	190	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	190	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	190	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	190	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	190	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	190	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	190	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	190	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	190	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	190	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	190	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	190	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	190	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	190	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	190	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	190	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	190	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	190	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	190	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	190	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	190	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	190	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	190	26	3.6.2	3.6.2	PROPN
easat-9198	190	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	190	28	post	post	ADJ
easat-9198	190	29	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	190	30	processing	processing	ADJ
easat-9198	190	31	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	190	32	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	190	33	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	190	34	10	10	NUM
easat-9198	190	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	191	1	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	191	2	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	191	3	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	191	4	post	post	ADJ
easat-9198	191	5	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	191	6	processing	processing	ADJ
easat-9198	191	7	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	191	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	192	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	192	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	192	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	192	4	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	192	5	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	192	6	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	192	7	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	192	8	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	192	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	192	10	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	192	11	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	192	12	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	192	13	auto.arima	auto.arima	PROPN
easat-9198	192	14	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	192	15	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	192	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	193	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	193	2	checkresiduals	checkresidual	NOUN
easat-9198	193	3	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	193	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	193	5	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	193	6	showed	show	VERB
easat-9198	193	7	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	193	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	193	9	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	193	10	looked	look	VERB
easat-9198	193	11	random	random	ADJ
easat-9198	193	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	194	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	194	2	ljung	ljung	PROPN
easat-9198	194	3	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	194	4	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	194	5	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	194	6	checked	check	VERB
easat-9198	194	7	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	194	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	194	9	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	194	10	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	194	11	independent	independent	ADJ
easat-9198	194	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	195	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	195	2	high	high	ADJ
easat-9198	195	3	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	195	4	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	195	5	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	195	6	means	mean	VERB
easat-9198	195	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	195	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	195	9	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	195	10	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	195	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	196	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	196	2	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	196	3	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	196	4	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	196	5	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	196	6	to	to	PART
easat-9198	196	7	check	check	VERB
easat-9198	196	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	196	9	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	196	10	quality	quality	NOUN
easat-9198	196	11	the	the	PRON
easat-9198	196	12	lower	low	ADJ
easat-9198	196	13	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	196	14	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	196	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	196	16	the	the	PRON
easat-9198	196	17	better	well	ADJ
easat-9198	196	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	196	19	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	196	20	fits	fit	VERB
easat-9198	196	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	197	1	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	197	2	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	197	3	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	197	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	197	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	198	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	198	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	198	3	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	198	4	correcting	correct	VERB
easat-9198	198	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	198	6	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	198	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	198	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	198	9	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	198	10	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	198	11	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	198	12	showed	show	VERB
easat-9198	198	13	significantly	significantly	ADV
easat-9198	198	14	improved	improve	VERB
easat-9198	198	15	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	198	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	199	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	199	2	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	199	3	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	199	4	decreased	decrease	VERB
easat-9198	199	5	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	199	6	3701.612	3701.612	NUM
easat-9198	199	7	before	before	ADP
easat-9198	199	8	correction	correction	NOUN
easat-9198	199	9	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	199	10	3517.498	3517.498	PROPN
easat-9198	199	11	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	199	12	correction	correction	NOUN
easat-9198	199	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	199	14	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	199	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	199	16	better	well	ADJ
easat-9198	199	17	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	199	18	fit	fit	NOUN
easat-9198	199	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
easat-9198	200	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	200	4	ljung	ljung	ADJ
easat-9198	200	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	6	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	200	7	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	200	8	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	200	9	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	200	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	200	11	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	200	12	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	200	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	200	14	corrected	correct	VERB
easat-9198	200	15	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	200	16	yielded	yield	VERB
easat-9198	200	17	a	a	DET
easat-9198	200	18	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	200	19	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	20	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	200	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	200	22	0.9189	0.9189	NUM
easat-9198	200	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	24	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	200	25	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	200	26	above	above	ADP
easat-9198	200	27	the	the	DET
easat-9198	200	28	0.05	0.05	NUM
easat-9198	200	29	threshold	threshold	NOUN
easat-9198	200	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	200	31	suggesting	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	200	32	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	200	33	the	the	DET
easat-9198	200	34	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	200	35	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	200	36	statistically	statistically	ADV
easat-9198	200	37	indistinguishable	indistinguishable	ADJ
easat-9198	200	38	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	200	39	white	white	ADJ
easat-9198	200	40	noise	noise	NOUN
easat-9198	200	41	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	201	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	201	2	contrast	contrast	NOUN
easat-9198	201	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	201	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	201	5	initial	initial	ADJ
easat-9198	201	6	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	201	7	had	have	VERB
easat-9198	201	8	a	a	DET
easat-9198	201	9	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	201	10	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	201	11	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	201	12	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	201	13	0.0158	0.0158	NUM
easat-9198	201	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	201	15	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	201	16	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	201	17	residual	residual	ADJ
easat-9198	201	18	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	201	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	202	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	202	2	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	202	3	confirm	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	202	4	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	202	5	detecting	detect	VERB
easat-9198	202	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	202	7	correcting	correct	VERB
easat-9198	202	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	202	9	outliers	outlier	NOUN
easat-9198	202	10	allowed	allow	VERB
easat-9198	202	11	us	we	PRON
easat-9198	202	12	to	to	PART
easat-9198	202	13	obtain	obtain	VERB
easat-9198	202	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	202	15	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	202	16	robust	robust	ADJ
easat-9198	202	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	202	18	reliable	reliable	ADJ
easat-9198	202	19	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	202	20	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	202	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	202	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	203	1	3.7	3.7	NUM
easat-9198	203	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	203	3	preprocessing	preprocessing	NOUN
easat-9198	203	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	203	5	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	203	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	203	7	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	203	8	3.7.1	3.7.1	NUM
easat-9198	203	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	204	1	achieving	achieve	VERB
easat-9198	204	2	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
easat-9198	204	3	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	204	4	definitions	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	204	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	204	6	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	204	7	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	204	8	3.7.1.1	3.7.1.1	NUM
easat-9198	204	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	204	10	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	204	11	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	204	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	204	13	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	204	14	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	204	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	204	16	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	204	17	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	204	18	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	204	19	said	say	VERB
easat-9198	204	20	to	to	PART
easat-9198	204	21	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	204	22	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	204	23	when	when	SCONJ
easat-9198	204	24	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	204	25	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	204	26	properties	property	NOUN
easat-9198	204	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	204	28	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	204	29	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	204	30	mean	mean	ADJ
easat-9198	204	31	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	204	32	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	204	33	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	204	34	remain	remain	VERB
easat-9198	204	35	constant	constant	ADJ
easat-9198	204	36	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	204	37	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	204	38	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	205	1	visually	visually	ADV
easat-9198	205	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	205	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	205	4	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	205	5	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	205	6	exhibits	exhibit	VERB
easat-9198	205	7	no	no	DET
easat-9198	205	8	apparent	apparent	ADJ
easat-9198	205	9	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	205	10	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	205	11	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	205	12	variation	variation	NOUN
easat-9198	205	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	1	3.7.2	3.7.2	X
easat-9198	206	2	.	.	X
easat-9198	206	3	stationnarization	stationnarization	NOUN
easat-9198	206	4	methods	method	VERB
easat-9198	206	5	various	various	ADJ
easat-9198	206	6	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	206	7	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	206	8	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	206	9	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	206	10	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	206	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	12	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	206	13	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	206	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	206	15	properties	property	NOUN
easat-9198	206	16	detected	detect	VERB
easat-9198	206	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	18	to	to	PART
easat-9198	206	19	make	make	VERB
easat-9198	206	20	a	a	DET
easat-9198	206	21	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	206	22	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	206	23	stationary	stationary	NOUN
easat-9198	206	24	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	25	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	206	26	mentioned	mention	VERB
easat-9198	206	27	above	above	ADV
easat-9198	206	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	29	before	before	SCONJ
easat-9198	206	30	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	206	31	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	206	32	build	build	VERB
easat-9198	206	33	a	a	DET
easat-9198	206	34	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	206	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	206	36	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	206	37	must	must	AUX
easat-9198	206	38	ensure	ensure	VERB
easat-9198	206	39	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	206	40	the	the	DET
easat-9198	206	41	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	206	42	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	206	43	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	206	44	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	206	45	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	207	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	207	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	207	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	207	4	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	207	5	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	207	6	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	207	7	to	to	PART
easat-9198	207	8	extract	extract	VERB
easat-9198	207	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	207	10	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	207	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	207	12	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	207	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	207	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	207	15	dickeyfuller	dickeyfuller	NOUN
easat-9198	207	16	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	207	17	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	207	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	207	19	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	207	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	207	21	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	207	22	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	207	23	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	207	24	less	less	ADJ
easat-9198	207	25	than	than	ADP
easat-9198	207	26	0.05	0.05	NUM
easat-9198	207	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	207	28	the	the	DET
easat-9198	207	29	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	207	30	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	207	31	considered	consider	VERB
easat-9198	207	32	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	207	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	208	1	according	accord	VERB
easat-9198	208	2	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	208	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	208	4	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	208	5	provided	provide	VERB
easat-9198	208	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	208	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	208	8	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	208	9	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	208	10	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	208	11	nonstationary	nonstationary	ADJ
easat-9198	208	12	because	because	SCONJ
easat-9198	208	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	208	14	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	208	15	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	208	16	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	208	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	208	18	0.4122	0.4122	NUM
easat-9198	208	19	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	208	20	above	above	ADP
easat-9198	208	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	208	22	0.05	0.05	NUM
easat-9198	208	23	significance	significance	NOUN
easat-9198	208	24	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	208	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	209	1	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	209	2	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	209	3	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	209	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	209	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	210	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	210	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	210	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	210	4	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	210	5	presented	present	VERB
easat-9198	210	6	here	here	ADV
easat-9198	210	7	performs	perform	VERB
easat-9198	210	8	first	first	ADJ
easat-9198	210	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	210	10	order	order	NOUN
easat-9198	210	11	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
easat-9198	210	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	210	13	graphical	graphical	ADJ
easat-9198	210	14	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	210	15	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	210	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	210	17	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	210	18	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	210	19	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	210	20	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	210	21	to	to	PART
easat-9198	210	22	analyze	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	210	23	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	210	24	evolution	evolution	NOUN
easat-9198	210	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	211	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	211	3	second	second	ADJ
easat-9198	211	4	line	line	NOUN
easat-9198	211	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	211	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	211	7	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	211	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	211	10	diff	diff	NOUN
easat-9198	211	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	13	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	211	14	calculates	calculate	VERB
easat-9198	211	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	211	16	simple	simple	ADJ
easat-9198	211	17	differentiation	differentiation	NOUN
easat-9198	211	18	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	19	order	order	NOUN
easat-9198	211	20	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	211	21	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	211	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	212	1	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	212	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	212	3	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	212	4	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	212	5	draws	draw	VERB
easat-9198	212	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	212	7	curve	curve	NOUN
easat-9198	212	8	to	to	PART
easat-9198	212	9	see	see	VERB
easat-9198	212	10	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	212	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	212	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	212	13	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	212	14	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	212	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	213	1	49	49	NUM
easat-9198	213	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	213	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	213	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	213	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	213	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	213	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	213	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	213	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	213	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	213	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	213	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	213	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	214	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	214	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	214	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	214	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	214	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	214	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	214	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	214	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	214	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	214	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	214	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	214	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	214	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	214	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	214	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	214	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	214	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	214	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	214	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	214	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	214	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	214	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	214	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	214	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	214	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	214	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	214	27	11	11	NUM
easat-9198	214	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	215	1	evolution	evolution	NOUN
easat-9198	215	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	215	3	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	215	4	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	215	5	per	per	ADP
easat-9198	215	6	year	year	NOUN
easat-9198	215	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	216	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	3	visually	visually	ADV
easat-9198	216	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	216	6	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	216	7	fluctuates	fluctuate	VERB
easat-9198	216	8	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	216	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	216	10	constant	constant	ADJ
easat-9198	216	11	mean	mean	NOUN
easat-9198	216	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	216	14	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	216	15	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	216	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	216	17	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	216	18	stay	stay	VERB
easat-9198	216	19	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	216	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	216	21	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	216	22	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	216	23	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	216	24	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	216	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	26	close	close	ADV
easat-9198	216	27	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	216	28	zero	zero	NUM
easat-9198	216	29	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	30	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	216	31	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	216	32	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	216	33	the	the	DET
easat-9198	216	34	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	216	35	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	216	36	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	216	37	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	216	38	removing	remove	VERB
easat-9198	216	39	long	long	ADJ
easat-9198	216	40	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	216	41	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	216	42	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	216	43	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	217	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	217	4	amplitude	amplitude	NOUN
easat-9198	217	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	217	6	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	217	7	increases	increase	VERB
easat-9198	217	8	significantly	significantly	ADV
easat-9198	217	9	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	217	10	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	217	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	12	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	217	13	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	217	14	2015	2015	NUM
easat-9198	217	15	onward	onward	NOUN
easat-9198	217	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	17	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	217	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	217	19	presence	presence	NOUN
easat-9198	217	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	217	21	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
easat-9198	217	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	23	non	non	ADJ
easat-9198	217	24	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	217	25	constant	constant	ADJ
easat-9198	217	26	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	217	27	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	217	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	218	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	218	2	means	mean	VERB
easat-9198	218	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	218	4	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	218	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	218	6	mean	mean	ADJ
easat-9198	218	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	218	8	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	218	9	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
easat-9198	218	10	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	218	11	have	have	AUX
easat-9198	218	12	been	be	AUX
easat-9198	218	13	achieved	achieve	VERB
easat-9198	218	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	218	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	218	16	changing	change	VERB
easat-9198	218	17	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	218	18	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	218	19	still	still	ADV
easat-9198	218	20	affect	affect	VERB
easat-9198	218	21	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	218	22	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	218	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	219	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	219	2	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	219	3	cases	case	NOUN
easat-9198	219	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	219	5	additional	additional	ADJ
easat-9198	219	6	transformations	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	219	7	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	219	8	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	219	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	219	10	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	219	11	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	219	12	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	219	13	considered	consider	VERB
easat-9198	219	14	to	to	PART
easat-9198	219	15	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	219	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	219	17	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	219	18	before	before	ADP
easat-9198	219	19	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	219	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	220	1	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	220	2	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	220	3	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	220	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	220	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	221	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	221	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	221	3	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	221	4	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	221	5	this	this	DET
easat-9198	221	6	result	result	NOUN
easat-9198	221	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	221	8	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	221	9	concluded	conclude	VERB
easat-9198	221	10	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	221	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	221	12	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	221	13	order	order	NOUN
easat-9198	221	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	221	15	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	221	16	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	221	17	i	i	PRON
easat-9198	221	18	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	221	19	d)=1	d)=1	NOUN
easat-9198	221	20	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	221	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	221	22	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	221	23	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	221	24	because	because	SCONJ
easat-9198	221	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	221	26	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	221	27	became	become	VERB
easat-9198	221	28	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	221	29	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	221	30	one	one	NUM
easat-9198	221	31	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	221	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	222	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	222	2	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	222	3	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	222	4	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	222	5	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	222	6	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	222	7	to	to	PART
easat-9198	222	8	ensure	ensure	VERB
easat-9198	222	9	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	222	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	222	11	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	222	12	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	222	13	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	222	14	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	222	15	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	222	16	stationary	stationary	ADJ
easat-9198	222	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	1	3.7.3	3.7.3	NUM
easat-9198	223	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	3	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	223	4	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	5	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	223	6	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	223	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	223	8	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	223	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	10	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	223	11	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	223	12	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	223	13	a	a	DET
easat-9198	223	14	method	method	NOUN
easat-9198	223	15	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	223	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	223	17	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	223	18	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	223	19	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	223	20	to	to	PART
easat-9198	223	21	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	223	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	223	23	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	223	24	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	223	25	a	a	DET
easat-9198	223	26	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	223	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	28	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	223	29	when	when	SCONJ
easat-9198	223	30	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	223	31	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	223	32	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
easat-9198	223	33	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	34	i.e.	i.e.	X
easat-9198	223	35	the	the	DET
easat-9198	223	36	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	223	37	varies	vary	VERB
easat-9198	223	38	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	223	39	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	223	40	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	223	41	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	224	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	224	2	makes	make	VERB
easat-9198	224	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	224	4	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	224	5	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	224	6	consistent	consistent	ADJ
easat-9198	224	7	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	224	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	224	9	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
easat-9198	224	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	224	11	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	224	12	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	224	13	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	224	14	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	224	15	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	224	16	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	224	17	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	224	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	225	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	225	2	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	225	3	depends	depend	VERB
easat-9198	225	4	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	225	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	225	6	parameter	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	225	7	λ(lambda	λ(lambda	NOUN
easat-9198	225	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	225	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	225	10	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	225	11	determines	determine	VERB
easat-9198	225	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	225	13	nature	nature	NOUN
easat-9198	225	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	225	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	225	16	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	225	17	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	225	18	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	225	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	225	20	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	225	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	226	1	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	226	2	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	226	3	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	226	4	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	226	5	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	226	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	226	7	practice	practice	NOUN
easat-9198	226	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	226	9	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	226	10	shown	show	VERB
easat-9198	226	11	below	below	ADP
easat-9198	226	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	226	13	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	226	14	obtain	obtain	VERB
easat-9198	226	15	λ=	λ=	NOUN
easat-9198	226	16	0.03	0.03	NUM
easat-9198	226	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	226	18	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	226	19	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	226	20	close	close	ADJ
easat-9198	226	21	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	226	22	0	0	NUM
easat-9198	226	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	227	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	227	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	227	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	227	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	227	5	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
easat-9198	227	6	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	227	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	227	8	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	227	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	228	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	228	2	determine	determine	VERB
easat-9198	228	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	228	4	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	228	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	228	6	λ	λ	NOUN
easat-9198	228	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	228	8	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	228	9	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	228	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	228	11	box	box	PROPN
easat-9198	228	12	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	228	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	1	lambda	lambda	PROPN
easat-9198	229	2	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	3	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	4	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	229	5	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	229	6	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	229	7	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	9	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	229	10	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	229	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	229	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	230	1	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	230	2	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	230	3	ggplot2	ggplot2	PROPN
easat-9198	230	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	230	5	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	230	6	obtained	obtain	VERB
easat-9198	230	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	230	8	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	230	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	230	10	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	230	11	transformed	transform	VERB
easat-9198	230	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	230	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	231	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	231	2	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	231	3	observe	observe	VERB
easat-9198	231	4	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	231	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	231	6	original	original	ADJ
easat-9198	231	7	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	231	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	231	9	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	231	10	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	231	11	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	231	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	231	13	range	range	NOUN
easat-9198	231	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	231	15	hundreds	hundred	NOUN
easat-9198	231	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	231	17	thousands	thousand	NOUN
easat-9198	231	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	231	19	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	231	20	compressed	compress	VERB
easat-9198	231	21	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	231	22	smaller	small	ADJ
easat-9198	231	23	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	231	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	231	25	approximately	approximately	ADV
easat-9198	231	26	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	231	27	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	231	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	231	29	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	231	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	232	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	232	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	232	3	expected	expect	VERB
easat-9198	232	4	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	232	5	cause	cause	VERB
easat-9198	232	6	mathematically	mathematically	ADV
easat-9198	232	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	232	8	since	since	SCONJ
easat-9198	232	9	our	our	PRON
easat-9198	232	10	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	232	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	232	12	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	232	13	lambda	lambda	NOUN
easat-9198	232	14	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	232	15	close	close	ADJ
easat-9198	232	16	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	232	17	0	0	NUM
easat-9198	232	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	232	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	232	20	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	232	21	behaves	behave	VERB
easat-9198	232	22	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	232	23	a	a	DET
easat-9198	232	24	logarithm	logarithm	NOUN
easat-9198	232	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	233	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	233	2	compresses	compress	VERB
easat-9198	233	3	large	large	ADJ
easat-9198	233	4	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	233	5	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	233	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	233	7	50	50	NUM
easat-9198	233	8	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	233	9	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	233	10	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	233	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	233	12	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	233	13	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	233	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	233	15	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	233	16	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	233	17	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	233	18	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	233	19	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	234	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	234	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	234	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	234	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	234	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	234	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	234	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	234	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	234	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	234	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	234	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	234	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	234	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	234	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	234	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	234	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	234	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	234	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	234	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	234	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	234	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	234	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	234	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	234	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	234	25	gate	gate	VERB
easat-9198	234	26	smaller	small	ADJ
easat-9198	234	27	range	range	NOUN
easat-9198	234	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	234	29	explaining	explain	VERB
easat-9198	234	30	why	why	SCONJ
easat-9198	234	31	the	the	DET
easat-9198	234	32	transformed	transform	VERB
easat-9198	234	33	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	234	34	now	now	ADV
easat-9198	234	35	falls	fall	VERB
easat-9198	234	36	approximately	approximately	ADV
easat-9198	234	37	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	234	38	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	234	39	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	234	40	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	234	41	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	235	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	235	2	compression	compression	NOUN
easat-9198	235	3	stabilizes	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	235	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	235	5	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	235	6	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	235	7	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	235	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	235	9	helps	help	VERB
easat-9198	235	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	235	11	meet	meet	VERB
easat-9198	235	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	235	13	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
easat-9198	235	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	235	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	235	16	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	235	17	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	235	18	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	235	19	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	235	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	235	21	making	make	VERB
easat-9198	235	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	235	23	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	235	24	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	235	25	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	235	26	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	235	27	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	235	28	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	235	29	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	236	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	236	2	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	236	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	237	1	boxcox	boxcox	PROPN
easat-9198	237	2	transformed	transform	VERB
easat-9198	237	3	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	237	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	238	1	3.8	3.8	NUM
easat-9198	238	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	239	1	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	239	2	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	239	3	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	239	4	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	239	5	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	239	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	239	7	practice	practice	NOUN
easat-9198	239	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	239	9	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	239	10	following	follow	VERB
easat-9198	239	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	239	12	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	239	13	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	239	14	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	239	15	previously	previously	ADV
easat-9198	239	16	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	239	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	239	18	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	239	19	obtain	obtain	VERB
easat-9198	239	20	λ=	λ=	NOUN
easat-9198	239	21	0.1	0.1	NUM
easat-9198	239	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	239	23	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	239	24	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	239	25	close	close	ADJ
easat-9198	239	26	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	239	27	0	0	NUM
easat-9198	239	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	240	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	240	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	240	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	240	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	240	5	logarithmic	logarithmic	ADJ
easat-9198	240	6	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	240	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	240	8	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	240	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	241	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	241	2	determine	determine	VERB
easat-9198	241	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	241	4	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	241	5	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	241	6	λ	λ	NOUN
easat-9198	241	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	241	8	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	241	9	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	241	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	241	11	box-cox.lambda	box-cox.lambda	NOUN
easat-9198	241	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	241	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	241	14	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	241	15	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	241	16	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	241	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	241	18	obtained	obtain	VERB
easat-9198	241	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	241	20	following	follow	VERB
easat-9198	241	21	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	241	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	242	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	242	2	13	13	NUM
easat-9198	242	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	243	1	boxcox	boxcox	PROPN
easat-9198	243	2	transformed	transform	VERB
easat-9198	243	3	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	243	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	244	1	51	51	NUM
easat-9198	244	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	244	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	244	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	244	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	244	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	244	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	244	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	244	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	244	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	244	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	244	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	244	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	245	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	245	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	245	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	245	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	245	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	245	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	245	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	245	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	245	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	245	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	245	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	245	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	245	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	245	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	245	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	245	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	245	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	245	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	245	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	245	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	245	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	245	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	245	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	245	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	245	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	245	26	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	245	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	245	28	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	245	29	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	245	30	4.1	4.1	NUM
easat-9198	245	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	1	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	246	2	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	3	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	246	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	5	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	246	6	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	246	7	pacf	pacf	PROPN
easat-9198	246	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	9	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	246	10	applying	apply	VERB
easat-9198	246	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	246	12	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	246	13	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	14	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	246	15	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	246	16	to	to	PART
easat-9198	246	17	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	246	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	246	19	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	246	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	246	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	246	22	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	246	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	24	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	246	25	performed	perform	VERB
easat-9198	246	26	a	a	DET
easat-9198	246	27	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	246	28	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	246	29	step	step	NOUN
easat-9198	246	30	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	246	31	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	246	32	to	to	PART
easat-9198	246	33	eliminate	eliminate	VERB
easat-9198	246	34	both	both	DET
easat-9198	246	35	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	246	36	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	246	37	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	246	38	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	246	39	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	1	first	first	ADV
easat-9198	247	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	247	4	simple	simple	ADJ
easat-9198	247	5	difference	difference	NOUN
easat-9198	247	6	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	247	7	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	247	8	to	to	PART
easat-9198	247	9	remove	remove	VERB
easat-9198	247	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	247	11	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	247	12	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	247	13	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	247	14	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	247	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	247	16	diff	diff	NOUN
easat-9198	247	17	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	18	serie	serie	NOUN
easat-9198	247	19	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	20	boxcox	boxcox	PROPN
easat-9198	247	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	22	differences	difference	NOUN
easat-9198	247	23	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	247	24	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	247	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	26	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	247	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	28	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	247	29	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	247	30	a	a	DET
easat-9198	247	31	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	247	32	differencing	differencing	NOUN
easat-9198	247	33	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	247	34	a	a	DET
easat-9198	247	35	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	247	36	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	247	37	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	247	38	to	to	PART
easat-9198	247	39	remove	remove	VERB
easat-9198	247	40	yearly	yearly	ADJ
easat-9198	247	41	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	247	42	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	247	43	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	247	44	diff	diff	NOUN
easat-9198	247	45	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	46	serie	serie	NOUN
easat-9198	247	47	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	48	diff	diff	NOUN
easat-9198	247	49	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	50	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	247	51	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	247	52	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	247	53	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	247	54	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	247	55	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	248	1	once	once	SCONJ
easat-9198	248	2	these	these	DET
easat-9198	248	3	transformations	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	248	4	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	248	5	complete	complete	ADJ
easat-9198	248	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	248	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	248	8	analyzed	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	248	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	248	10	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	248	11	to	to	PART
easat-9198	248	12	ensure	ensure	VERB
easat-9198	248	13	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	248	14	no	no	DET
easat-9198	248	15	residual	residual	ADJ
easat-9198	248	16	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	248	17	remained	remain	VERB
easat-9198	248	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	249	1	figure	figure	VERB
easat-9198	249	2	14	14	NUM
easat-9198	249	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	250	1	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	250	2	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	250	3	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	250	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	250	5	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	250	6	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	250	7	pacf	pacf	PROPN
easat-9198	250	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	250	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	251	2	verification	verification	NOUN
easat-9198	251	3	begins	begin	VERB
easat-9198	251	4	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	251	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	251	6	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	251	7	inspection	inspection	NOUN
easat-9198	251	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	251	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	251	10	differenced	differenced	ADJ
easat-9198	251	11	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	251	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	13	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	251	14	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	251	15	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	251	16	see	see	VERB
easat-9198	251	17	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	251	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	251	19	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	251	20	become	become	VERB
easat-9198	251	21	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	251	22	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	251	23	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	251	24	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	251	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	26	etc	etc	X
easat-9198	251	27	.	.	X
easat-9198	251	28	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	251	29	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	251	30	a	a	DET
easat-9198	251	31	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	251	32	formal	formal	ADJ
easat-9198	251	33	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	251	34	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	251	35	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	251	36	the	the	DET
easat-9198	251	37	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	251	38	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	251	39	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	40	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	251	41	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	42	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	251	43	partial	partial	ADJ
easat-9198	251	44	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	251	45	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	251	46	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	47	pacf	pacf	PROPN
easat-9198	251	48	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	251	49	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	252	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
easat-9198	252	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	253	1	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	253	2	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	253	3	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	253	4	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	253	5	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	253	6	much	much	ADJ
easat-9198	253	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	253	8	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	253	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	253	10	a	a	DET
easat-9198	253	11	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	253	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	253	13	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	253	14	related	relate	VERB
easat-9198	253	15	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	253	16	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	253	17	past	past	ADJ
easat-9198	253	18	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	253	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	254	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	254	2	tells	tell	VERB
easat-9198	254	3	you	you	PRON
easat-9198	254	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	254	5	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	254	6	does	do	AUX
easat-9198	254	7	today	today	NOUN
easat-9198	254	8	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	254	9	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	254	10	look	look	VERB
easat-9198	254	11	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	254	12	last	last	ADJ
easat-9198	254	13	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	254	14	?	?	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	1	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	255	2	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	255	3	months	month	NOUN
easat-9198	255	4	ago	ago	ADV
easat-9198	255	5	?	?	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	6	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	7	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	255	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	255	9	acf	acf	NOUN
easat-9198	255	10	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	255	11	high	high	ADJ
easat-9198	255	12	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	255	13	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	255	14	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	255	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	16	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	255	17	means	mean	VERB
easat-9198	255	18	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	255	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	255	20	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	255	21	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	255	22	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	255	23	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	255	24	repeated	repeat	VERB
easat-9198	255	25	every	every	DET
easat-9198	255	26	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	255	27	months	month	NOUN
easat-9198	255	28	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	29	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	255	30	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	255	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	256	1	52	52	NUM
easat-9198	256	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	256	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	256	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	256	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	256	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	256	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	256	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	256	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	256	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	256	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	256	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	256	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	257	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	257	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	257	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	257	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	257	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	257	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	257	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	257	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	257	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	257	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	257	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	257	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	257	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	257	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	257	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	257	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	257	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	257	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	257	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	257	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	257	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	257	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	257	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	257	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	257	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	257	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	257	27	15	15	NUM
easat-9198	257	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	258	1	acf	acf	NOUN
easat-9198	258	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	258	3	differenced	differenced	ADJ
easat-9198	258	4	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	258	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	259	1	4.3	4.3	NUM
easat-9198	259	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	259	3	pacf	pacf	PROPN
easat-9198	259	4	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	259	5	pacf	pacf	PROPN
easat-9198	259	6	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	259	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	259	8	direct	direct	ADJ
easat-9198	259	9	relationship	relationship	NOUN
easat-9198	259	10	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	259	11	a	a	DET
easat-9198	259	12	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	259	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	259	14	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	259	15	past	past	NOUN
easat-9198	259	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	259	17	removing	remove	VERB
easat-9198	259	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	259	19	influence	influence	NOUN
easat-9198	259	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	259	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	259	22	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	259	23	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	259	24	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	259	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	260	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	260	2	tells	tell	VERB
easat-9198	260	3	you:"is	you:"is	PROPN
easat-9198	260	4	today	today	NOUN
easat-9198	260	5	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	260	6	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	260	7	directly	directly	ADV
easat-9198	260	8	influenced	influence	VERB
easat-9198	260	9	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	260	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	260	11	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	260	12	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	260	13	months	month	NOUN
easat-9198	260	14	ago	ago	ADV
easat-9198	260	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	260	16	even	even	ADV
easat-9198	260	17	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	260	18	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	260	19	ignore	ignore	VERB
easat-9198	260	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	260	21	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	260	22	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	260	23	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	260	24	?	?	PUNCT
easat-9198	260	25	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	260	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	260	27	16	16	NUM
easat-9198	260	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	261	1	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	261	2	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	261	3	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	261	4	pacf	pacf	NOUN
easat-9198	261	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	262	1	53	53	NUM
easat-9198	262	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	262	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	262	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	262	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	262	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	262	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	262	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	262	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	262	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	262	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	262	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	262	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	263	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	263	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	263	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	263	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	263	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	263	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	263	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	263	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	263	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	263	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	263	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	263	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	263	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	263	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	263	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	263	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	263	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	263	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	263	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	263	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	263	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	263	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	263	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	263	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	263	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	263	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	263	27	17	17	NUM
easat-9198	263	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	264	1	pacf	pacf	NOUN
easat-9198	264	2	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	264	3	differenced	differenced	ADJ
easat-9198	264	4	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	264	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	265	1	a	a	DET
easat-9198	265	2	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	265	3	spike	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	265	4	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	265	5	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	265	6	0	0	NUM
easat-9198	265	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	265	8	observed	observe	VERB
easat-9198	265	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	265	10	both	both	DET
easat-9198	265	11	plots	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	265	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	266	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	3	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	266	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	266	5	expected	expect	VERB
easat-9198	266	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	266	7	does	do	AUX
easat-9198	266	8	not	not	PART
easat-9198	266	9	influence	influence	VERB
easat-9198	266	10	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	266	11	selection	selection	NOUN
easat-9198	266	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	13	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	266	14	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	266	15	simply	simply	ADV
easat-9198	266	16	reflects	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	266	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	266	18	perfect	perfect	ADJ
easat-9198	266	19	correlation	correlation	NOUN
easat-9198	266	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	266	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	266	22	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	266	23	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	266	24	itself	itself	PRON
easat-9198	266	25	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	26	i.e.	i.e.	X
easat-9198	266	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	28	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	266	29	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	266	30	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	266	31	0	0	NUM
easat-9198	266	32	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	266	33	always	always	ADV
easat-9198	266	34	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	266	35	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	266	36	definition	definition	NOUN
easat-9198	266	37	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	266	38	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	267	1	therefore	therefore	ADV
easat-9198	267	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	267	3	to	to	PART
easat-9198	267	4	determine	determine	VERB
easat-9198	267	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	267	6	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	267	7	orders	order	NOUN
easat-9198	267	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	267	9	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	267	10	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	267	11	ar	ar	PROPN
easat-9198	267	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	267	13	p	p	X
easat-9198	267	14	):	):	PUNCT
easat-9198	267	15	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	267	16	examine	examine	VERB
easat-9198	267	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	267	18	pacf	pacf	NOUN
easat-9198	267	19	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	267	20	starting	start	VERB
easat-9198	267	21	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	267	22	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	267	23	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	267	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	268	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	268	2	presence	presence	NOUN
easat-9198	268	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	268	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	268	5	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	268	6	spike	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	268	7	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	268	8	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	268	9	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	268	10	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	268	11	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	268	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	268	13	sharp	sharp	ADJ
easat-9198	268	14	drop	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	268	15	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	268	16	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	268	17	an	an	DET
easat-9198	268	18	ar	ar	NOUN
easat-9198	268	19	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	268	20	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	268	21	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	268	22	component	component	NOUN
easat-9198	268	23	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	268	24	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	268	25	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	268	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	269	2	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	269	3	ma	ma	PROPN
easat-9198	269	4	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	5	q	q	NOUN
easat-9198	269	6	):	):	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	269	8	refer	refer	VERB
easat-9198	269	9	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	269	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	269	11	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	269	12	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	269	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	14	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	269	15	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	269	16	autocorrelations	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	269	17	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	269	18	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	269	19	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	269	20	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	269	21	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	269	22	a	a	DET
easat-9198	269	23	rapid	rapid	ADJ
easat-9198	269	24	decline	decline	NOUN
easat-9198	269	25	would	would	AUX
easat-9198	269	26	support	support	VERB
easat-9198	269	27	an	an	DET
easat-9198	269	28	ma	ma	PROPN
easat-9198	269	29	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	30	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	269	31	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	269	32	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	269	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	270	1	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	270	2	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	270	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	270	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	270	5	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	270	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	270	7	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	270	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	270	9	1,1,1	1,1,1	NUM
easat-9198	270	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	270	11	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	270	12	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	270	13	selected	select	VERB
easat-9198	270	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	271	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	271	2	result	result	NOUN
easat-9198	271	3	refers	refer	VERB
easat-9198	271	4	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	271	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	271	6	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	271	7	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	271	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	271	9	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	271	10	applying	apply	VERB
easat-9198	271	11	all	all	DET
easat-9198	271	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	271	13	necessary	necessary	ADJ
easat-9198	271	14	preprocessing	preprocessing	NOUN
easat-9198	271	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	271	16	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
easat-9198	271	17	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	271	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	272	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	272	2	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	272	3	now	now	ADV
easat-9198	272	4	proceed	proceed	VERB
easat-9198	272	5	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	272	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	272	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	272	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	272	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	272	10	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	272	11	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	272	12	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	272	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	273	1	54	54	NUM
easat-9198	273	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	273	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	273	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	273	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	273	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	273	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	273	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	273	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	273	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	273	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	273	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	273	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	274	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	274	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	274	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	274	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	274	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	274	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	274	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	274	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	274	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	274	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	274	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	274	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	274	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	274	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	274	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	274	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	274	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	274	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	274	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	274	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	274	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	274	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	274	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	274	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	274	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	274	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	274	27	18	18	NUM
easat-9198	274	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	274	29	acf	acf	NOUN
easat-9198	274	30	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	274	31	differenced	differenced	ADJ
easat-9198	274	32	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	274	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	275	2	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	275	3	ma	ma	PROPN
easat-9198	275	4	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	5	q	q	NOUN
easat-9198	275	6	):	):	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	7	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	275	8	refer	refer	VERB
easat-9198	275	9	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	275	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	275	11	acf	acf	PROPN
easat-9198	275	12	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	275	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	14	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	275	15	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	275	16	autocorrelations	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	275	17	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	275	18	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	275	19	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	275	20	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	275	21	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	275	22	a	a	DET
easat-9198	275	23	rapid	rapid	ADJ
easat-9198	275	24	decline	decline	NOUN
easat-9198	275	25	would	would	AUX
easat-9198	275	26	support	support	VERB
easat-9198	275	27	an	an	DET
easat-9198	275	28	ma	ma	PROPN
easat-9198	275	29	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	30	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	275	31	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	275	32	term	term	NOUN
easat-9198	275	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	276	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	276	2	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	276	3	19	19	NUM
easat-9198	276	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	276	5	pacf	pacf	NOUN
easat-9198	276	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	276	7	differenced	differenced	ADJ
easat-9198	276	8	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	276	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	277	1	55	55	NUM
easat-9198	277	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	277	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	277	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	277	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	277	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	277	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	277	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	277	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	277	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	277	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	277	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	277	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	278	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	278	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	278	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	278	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	278	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	278	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	278	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	278	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	278	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	278	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	278	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	278	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	278	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	278	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	278	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	278	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	278	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	278	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	278	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	278	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	278	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	278	26	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	278	27	ar	ar	PROPN
easat-9198	278	28	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	29	p	p	X
easat-9198	278	30	):	):	PUNCT
easat-9198	278	31	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	278	32	examine	examine	VERB
easat-9198	278	33	the	the	DET
easat-9198	278	34	pacf	pacf	NOUN
easat-9198	278	35	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	278	36	starting	start	VERB
easat-9198	278	37	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	278	38	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	278	39	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	278	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	279	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	279	2	presence	presence	NOUN
easat-9198	279	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	279	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	279	5	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	279	6	spike	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	279	7	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	279	8	lag	lag	NOUN
easat-9198	279	9	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	279	10	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	279	11	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	279	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	279	13	sharp	sharp	ADJ
easat-9198	279	14	drop	drop	NOUN
easat-9198	279	15	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	279	16	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	279	17	an	an	DET
easat-9198	279	18	ar(1	ar(1	PROPN
easat-9198	279	19	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	279	20	component	component	NOUN
easat-9198	279	21	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	279	22	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	279	23	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	279	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	280	1	4.3.1	4.3.1	X
easat-9198	280	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	281	1	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	281	2	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	281	3	acf	acf	NOUN
easat-9198	281	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	281	5	ljung	ljung	ADJ
easat-9198	281	6	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	281	7	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	281	8	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	281	9	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	281	10	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	281	11	20	20	NUM
easat-9198	281	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	282	1	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	282	2	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	282	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	283	2	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	283	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	283	4	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	5	modele_sarima	modele_sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	283	6	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	7	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	283	8	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	283	9	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	283	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	283	11	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	283	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	14	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	283	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	283	16	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	283	17	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	283	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	283	19	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	283	20	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	283	21	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	283	22	serie_ts	serie_ts	PROPN
easat-9198	283	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	284	2	specified	specify	VERB
easat-9198	284	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	284	4	includes	include	VERB
easat-9198	284	5	nonseasonal	nonseasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	284	6	parameters	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	284	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	8	p=1	p=1	NOUN
easat-9198	284	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	10	d=1	d=1	NOUN
easat-9198	284	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	12	q=1	q=1	NUM
easat-9198	284	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	284	15	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	284	16	parameters	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	284	17	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	18	p=0	p=0	PROPN
easat-9198	284	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	20	d=1	d=1	NOUN
easat-9198	284	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	22	q=1	q=1	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	23	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	24	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	284	25	a	a	DET
easat-9198	284	26	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	284	27	period	period	NOUN
easat-9198	284	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	284	29	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	284	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	284	31	reflecting	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	284	32	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	284	33	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	284	34	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	285	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
easat-9198	285	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	285	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	285	4	boxcox	boxcox	NOUN
easat-9198	285	5	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	285	6	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	285	7	lambda	lambda	NOUN
easat-9198	285	8	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	285	9	boxcox_result	boxcox_result	NOUN
easat-9198	285	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	285	11	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	285	12	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	285	13	to	to	PART
easat-9198	285	14	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	285	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	285	16	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	285	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	285	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	285	19	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	285	20	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	285	21	improve	improve	VERB
easat-9198	285	22	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	285	23	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	285	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	286	2	summary(modele_sarima	summary(modele_sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	286	3	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	4	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	286	5	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	286	6	detailed	detailed	ADJ
easat-9198	286	7	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	286	8	diagnostics	diagnostic	NOUN
easat-9198	286	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	10	including	include	VERB
easat-9198	286	11	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
easat-9198	286	12	estimates	estimate	NOUN
easat-9198	286	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	286	15	significance	significance	NOUN
easat-9198	286	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	286	18	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	286	19	criteria	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	286	20	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	21	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	286	22	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	286	23	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	286	24	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	286	26	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	286	27	help	help	VERB
easat-9198	286	28	assess	assess	VERB
easat-9198	286	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	286	30	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	286	31	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	286	32	fit	fit	NOUN
easat-9198	286	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	287	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	3	checkresiduals(modele_sarima	checkresiduals(modele_sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	287	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	5	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	287	6	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	287	7	to	to	PART
easat-9198	287	8	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
easat-9198	287	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	287	10	quality	quality	NOUN
easat-9198	287	11	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	287	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	287	13	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	287	14	through	through	ADP
easat-9198	287	15	plots	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	287	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	287	17	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	287	18	tests	test	NOUN
easat-9198	287	19	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	20	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	287	21	checks	check	VERB
easat-9198	287	22	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	287	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	287	24	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	287	25	behave	behave	VERB
easat-9198	287	26	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	287	27	white	white	ADJ
easat-9198	287	28	noise	noise	NOUN
easat-9198	287	29	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	30	i.e.	i.e.	X
easat-9198	287	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	32	no	no	DET
easat-9198	287	33	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	287	34	remains	remain	VERB
easat-9198	287	35	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	287	37	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	287	38	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	287	39	essential	essential	ADJ
easat-9198	287	40	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	287	41	confirming	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	287	42	the	the	DET
easat-9198	287	43	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	287	44	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	287	45	validity	validity	NOUN
easat-9198	287	46	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	287	47	predictive	predictive	ADJ
easat-9198	287	48	reliability	reliability	NOUN
easat-9198	287	49	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	288	1	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	288	2	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	288	3	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	288	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	288	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	289	2	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	289	3	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	289	4	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	289	5	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	289	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	289	7	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	289	8	follows	follow	VERB
easat-9198	289	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	289	10	structure	structure	NOUN
easat-9198	289	11	arima(1,1,1)(0,1,1)[8	arima(1,1,1)(0,1,1)[8	VERB
easat-9198	289	12	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	14	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	289	15	both	both	DET
easat-9198	289	16	non	non	ADJ
easat-9198	289	17	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	289	18	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	289	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	289	20	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	289	21	components	component	NOUN
easat-9198	289	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	23	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	289	24	a	a	DET
easat-9198	289	25	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	289	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	27	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	289	28	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	289	29	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	289	30	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	31	lambda	lambda	NOUN
easat-9198	289	32	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	289	33	0.048	0.048	NUM
easat-9198	289	34	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	289	35	to	to	PART
easat-9198	289	36	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	289	37	the	the	DET
easat-9198	289	38	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	289	39	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	290	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	290	2	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	290	3	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	290	4	good	good	ADJ
easat-9198	290	5	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	290	6	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	290	7	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	290	8	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	290	9	criteria	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	290	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	290	11	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	290	12	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	290	13	-217.26	-217.26	PROPN
easat-9198	290	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	290	15	bic	bic	NOUN
easat-9198	290	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	291	1	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	291	2	-202.62	-202.62	PROPN
easat-9198	291	3	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	291	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	291	5	error	error	NOUN
easat-9198	291	6	metrics	metric	NOUN
easat-9198	291	7	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	291	8	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	291	9	rmse	rmse	NOUN
easat-9198	291	10	=	=	SYM
easat-9198	291	11	107.50	107.50	NUM
easat-9198	291	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	291	13	mape	mape	NOUN
easat-9198	291	14	=	=	PUNCT
easat-9198	291	15	8.31	8.31	NUM
easat-9198	291	16	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	291	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	291	18	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	291	19	reasonably	reasonably	ADV
easat-9198	291	20	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	291	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	291	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	292	2	checkresiduals	checkresidual	NOUN
easat-9198	292	3	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	4	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	5	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	292	6	confirms	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	292	7	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	292	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	292	9	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	292	10	behave	behave	VERB
easat-9198	292	11	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	292	12	white	white	ADJ
easat-9198	292	13	noise	noise	NOUN
easat-9198	292	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	292	16	ljung	ljung	ADJ
easat-9198	292	17	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	18	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	292	19	test	test	NOUN
easat-9198	292	20	yields	yield	VERB
easat-9198	292	21	a	a	DET
easat-9198	292	22	p	p	NOUN
easat-9198	292	23	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	24	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	292	25	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	292	26	0.4189	0.4189	NUM
easat-9198	292	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	292	28	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	292	29	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	292	30	greater	great	ADJ
easat-9198	292	31	than	than	ADP
easat-9198	292	32	0.05	0.05	NUM
easat-9198	292	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	293	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	293	2	means	mean	VERB
easat-9198	293	3	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	293	4	is	be	VERB
easat-9198	293	5	no	no	DET
easat-9198	293	6	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	293	7	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	293	8	left	leave	VERB
easat-9198	293	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	293	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	293	11	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	293	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	293	13	suggesting	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	293	14	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	293	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	293	16	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	293	17	fits	fit	VERB
easat-9198	293	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	293	19	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	293	20	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	293	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	293	22	the	the	DET
easat-9198	293	23	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
easat-9198	293	24	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	293	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	293	26	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	293	27	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	293	28	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	293	29	satisfied	satisfied	ADJ
easat-9198	293	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	294	1	56	56	NUM
easat-9198	294	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	294	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	294	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	294	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	294	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	294	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	294	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	294	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	294	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	294	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	294	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	294	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	295	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	295	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	295	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	295	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	295	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	295	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	295	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	295	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	295	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	295	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	295	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	295	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	295	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	295	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	295	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	295	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	295	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	295	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	295	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	295	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	295	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	295	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	295	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	295	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	295	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	295	26	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	295	27	21	21	NUM
easat-9198	295	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	296	1	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
easat-9198	296	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	296	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	296	4	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	296	5	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	296	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	296	7	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	296	8	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	296	9	1,1,1)(0,1,1	1,1,1)(0,1,1	NUM
easat-9198	296	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	296	11	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	296	12	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	296	13	assessing	assess	VERB
easat-9198	296	14	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	296	15	adequacy	adequacy	NOUN
easat-9198	296	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	297	2	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
easat-9198	297	3	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	297	4	helps	help	VERB
easat-9198	297	5	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
easat-9198	297	6	whether	whether	SCONJ
easat-9198	297	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	297	8	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	297	9	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	10	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	297	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	12	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	297	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	297	14	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	297	15	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	16	1,1,1)(0,1,1	1,1,1)(0,1,1	NUM
easat-9198	297	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	18	[	[	X
easat-9198	297	19	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	297	20	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	21	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	297	22	behave	behave	VERB
easat-9198	297	23	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	297	24	random	random	ADJ
easat-9198	297	25	noise	noise	NOUN
easat-9198	297	26	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	297	27	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	297	28	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	297	29	necessary	necessary	ADJ
easat-9198	297	30	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	297	31	a	a	DET
easat-9198	297	32	good	good	ADJ
easat-9198	297	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	297	34	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	297	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	298	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	298	2	top	top	ADJ
easat-9198	298	3	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	298	4	–	–	PUNCT
easat-9198	298	5	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	298	6	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	298	7	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	298	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	298	9	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	298	10	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	298	11	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	298	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	298	13	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	298	14	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	298	15	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	298	16	vary	vary	VERB
easat-9198	298	17	across	across	ADP
easat-9198	298	18	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	298	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	299	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	299	2	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	299	3	seem	seem	VERB
easat-9198	299	4	to	to	PART
easat-9198	299	5	fluctuate	fluctuate	VERB
easat-9198	299	6	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	299	7	zero	zero	NUM
easat-9198	299	8	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	299	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	299	10	clear	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	299	11	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	299	12	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	299	13	repeating	repeating	NOUN
easat-9198	299	14	pattern	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	299	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	299	16	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	299	17	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	299	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	299	19	good	good	ADJ
easat-9198	299	20	sign	sign	NOUN
easat-9198	299	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	300	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	300	2	means	mean	VERB
easat-9198	300	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	300	4	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	300	5	captures	capture	VERB
easat-9198	300	6	most	most	ADJ
easat-9198	300	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	300	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	300	9	structure	structure	NOUN
easat-9198	300	10	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	300	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	300	12	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	300	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	301	1	one	one	NUM
easat-9198	301	2	large	large	ADJ
easat-9198	301	3	spike	spike	NOUN
easat-9198	301	4	appears	appear	VERB
easat-9198	301	5	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	301	6	2020	2020	NUM
easat-9198	301	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	301	8	likely	likely	ADJ
easat-9198	301	9	due	due	ADP
easat-9198	301	10	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	301	11	an	an	DET
easat-9198	301	12	exceptional	exceptional	ADJ
easat-9198	301	13	event	event	NOUN
easat-9198	301	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	301	15	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	301	16	overall	overall	ADV
easat-9198	301	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	301	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	301	19	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	301	20	stay	stay	VERB
easat-9198	301	21	relatively	relatively	ADV
easat-9198	301	22	small	small	ADJ
easat-9198	301	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	302	1	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	302	2	bottom	bottom	NOUN
easat-9198	302	3	left	leave	VERB
easat-9198	302	4	–	–	PUNCT
easat-9198	302	5	acf	acf	NOUN
easat-9198	302	6	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	302	7	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	302	8	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	302	9	):	):	PUNCT
easat-9198	302	10	this	this	DET
easat-9198	302	11	plot	plot	NOUN
easat-9198	302	12	checks	check	NOUN
easat-9198	302	13	if	if	SCONJ
easat-9198	302	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	302	15	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	302	16	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	302	17	correlated	correlate	VERB
easat-9198	302	18	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	302	19	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	302	20	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	303	1	almost	almost	ADV
easat-9198	303	2	all	all	PRON
easat-9198	303	3	bars	bar	NOUN
easat-9198	303	4	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	303	5	within	within	ADP
easat-9198	303	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	303	7	dashed	dash	VERB
easat-9198	303	8	blue	blue	ADJ
easat-9198	303	9	lines	line	NOUN
easat-9198	303	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	303	11	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	303	12	bounds	bound	NOUN
easat-9198	303	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	303	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	303	15	meaning	mean	VERB
easat-9198	303	16	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	303	17	’s	’	VERB
easat-9198	303	18	no	no	DET
easat-9198	303	19	significant	significant	ADJ
easat-9198	303	20	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
easat-9198	303	21	left	leave	VERB
easat-9198	303	22	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	303	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	303	24	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	303	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	304	1	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	304	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	304	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	304	4	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	304	5	has	have	AUX
easat-9198	304	6	successfully	successfully	ADV
easat-9198	304	7	captured	capture	VERB
easat-9198	304	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	304	9	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	304	10	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	304	11	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	304	12	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	304	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	304	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	304	15	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	304	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	305	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	305	2	bottom	bottom	NOUN
easat-9198	305	3	right	right	NOUN
easat-9198	305	4	–	–	PUNCT
easat-9198	305	5	histogram	histogram	NOUN
easat-9198	305	6	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	305	7	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	305	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	305	9	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	305	10	shows	show	VERB
easat-9198	305	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	305	12	distribution	distribution	NOUN
easat-9198	305	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	305	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	305	15	residuals	residual	NOUN
easat-9198	305	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	306	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	306	2	appears	appear	VERB
easat-9198	306	3	roughly	roughly	ADV
easat-9198	306	4	bell	bell	ADV
easat-9198	306	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	306	6	shaped	shape	VERB
easat-9198	306	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	306	8	normal	normal	ADJ
easat-9198	306	9	distribution	distribution	NOUN
easat-9198	306	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	306	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	306	12	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	306	13	most	most	ADJ
easat-9198	306	14	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	306	15	close	close	ADV
easat-9198	306	16	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	306	17	zero	zero	NUM
easat-9198	306	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	307	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	307	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	307	3	what	what	PRON
easat-9198	307	4	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	307	5	expect	expect	VERB
easat-9198	307	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	307	7	a	a	DET
easat-9198	307	8	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	307	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	307	10	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	307	11	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	307	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	307	13	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	307	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	307	15	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	307	16	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	307	17	normally	normally	ADV
easat-9198	307	18	distributed	distribute	VERB
easat-9198	307	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	308	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	308	2	short	short	ADJ
easat-9198	308	3	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	308	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	308	5	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	308	6	fits	fit	VERB
easat-9198	308	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	308	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	308	9	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	308	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	308	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	308	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	308	13	errors	error	NOUN
easat-9198	308	14	look	look	VERB
easat-9198	308	15	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	308	16	random	random	ADJ
easat-9198	308	17	noise	noise	NOUN
easat-9198	308	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	309	1	so	so	ADV
easat-9198	309	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	309	3	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	309	4	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	309	5	safe	safe	ADJ
easat-9198	309	6	to	to	PART
easat-9198	309	7	use	use	VERB
easat-9198	309	8	this	this	DET
easat-9198	309	9	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	309	10	to	to	PART
easat-9198	309	11	make	make	VERB
easat-9198	309	12	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	309	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	310	1	57	57	NUM
easat-9198	310	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	310	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	310	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	310	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	310	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	310	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	310	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	310	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	310	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	310	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	310	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	310	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	311	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	311	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	311	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	311	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	311	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	311	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	311	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	311	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	311	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	311	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	311	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	311	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	311	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	311	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	311	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	311	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	311	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	311	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	311	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	311	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	311	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	311	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	312	1	licensee	licensee	NOUN
easat-9198	312	2	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	312	3	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	312	4	4.3.2	4.3.2	PROPN
easat-9198	312	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	312	6	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	312	7	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	312	8	4.3.2.1	4.3.2.1	PROPN
easat-9198	312	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	313	1	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	313	2	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	313	3	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	313	4	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	313	5	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	313	6	22	22	NUM
easat-9198	313	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	314	1	estimation	estimation	NOUN
easat-9198	314	2	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	314	3	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	314	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	314	5	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	314	6	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	314	7	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	314	8	employing	employ	VERB
easat-9198	314	9	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	314	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	314	11	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	314	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	314	13	generated	generate	VERB
easat-9198	314	14	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	314	15	author	author	NOUN
easat-9198	314	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	314	17	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	314	18	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	314	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	315	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	315	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	315	3	to	to	PART
easat-9198	315	4	identify	identify	VERB
easat-9198	315	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	315	6	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	315	7	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	315	8	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	315	9	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	315	10	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	315	11	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	315	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	315	13	transformed	transform	VERB
easat-9198	315	14	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	315	15	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	315	16	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	315	17	serie_ts	serie_ts	PROPN
easat-9198	315	18	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	315	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	315	20	several	several	ADJ
easat-9198	315	21	candidate	candidate	NOUN
easat-9198	315	22	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	315	23	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	315	24	estimated	estimate	VERB
easat-9198	315	25	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	315	26	different	different	ADJ
easat-9198	315	27	combinations	combination	NOUN
easat-9198	315	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	315	29	non	non	ADJ
easat-9198	315	30	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	315	31	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	315	32	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	315	33	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	315	34	parameters	parameter	NOUN
easat-9198	315	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	316	1	specifically	specifically	ADV
easat-9198	316	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	316	3	four	four	NUM
easat-9198	316	4	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	316	5	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	316	6	fitted	fit	VERB
easat-9198	316	7	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	316	8	arima(1,1,1)(0,1,1	arima(1,1,1)(0,1,1	ADJ
easat-9198	316	9	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	317	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	317	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	317	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	317	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	317	5	arima(2,1,1)(0,1,1	arima(2,1,1)(0,1,1	PROPN
easat-9198	317	6	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	318	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	318	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	318	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	318	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	318	5	arima(1,1,1)(1,1,1	arima(1,1,1)(1,1,1	PROPN
easat-9198	318	6	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	319	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	319	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	319	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	319	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	319	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	319	6	arima(2,1,1)(1,1,1	arima(2,1,1)(1,1,1	NOUN
easat-9198	319	7	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	320	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	320	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	320	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	320	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	320	5	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	320	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	320	7	box	box	NOUN
easat-9198	320	8	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	320	9	cox	cox	PROPN
easat-9198	320	10	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	320	11	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	320	12	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	320	13	to	to	PART
easat-9198	320	14	stabilize	stabilize	VERB
easat-9198	320	15	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	320	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	321	2	selection	selection	NOUN
easat-9198	321	3	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	321	4	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	321	5	guided	guide	VERB
easat-9198	321	6	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	321	7	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	321	8	criteria	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	321	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	10	namely	namely	ADV
easat-9198	321	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	321	12	akaike	akaike	ADJ
easat-9198	321	13	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	321	14	criterion	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	321	15	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	16	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	321	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	321	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	321	20	bayesian	bayesian	ADJ
easat-9198	321	21	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	321	22	criterion	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	321	23	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	24	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	321	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	26	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	321	27	both	both	PRON
easat-9198	321	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	321	29	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	321	30	balance	balance	NOUN
easat-9198	321	31	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	321	32	fit	fit	NOUN
easat-9198	321	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	321	34	complexity	complexity	NOUN
easat-9198	321	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	322	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	322	2	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	322	3	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	322	4	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	322	5	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	322	6	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	322	7	each	each	DET
easat-9198	322	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	322	9	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	322	10	computed	compute	VERB
easat-9198	322	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	322	12	summarized	summarize	VERB
easat-9198	322	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	322	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	322	15	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	322	16	table	table	NOUN
easat-9198	322	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	322	18	allowing	allow	VERB
easat-9198	322	19	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	322	20	an	an	DET
easat-9198	322	21	objective	objective	ADJ
easat-9198	322	22	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	322	23	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	322	24	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	322	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	323	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	323	2	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	323	3	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	323	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	323	5	lowest	low	ADJ
easat-9198	323	6	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	323	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	323	8	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	323	9	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	323	10	considered	consider	VERB
easat-9198	323	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	323	12	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	323	13	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	323	14	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	323	15	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	323	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	323	17	structure	structure	NOUN
easat-9198	323	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	323	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	323	20	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	323	21	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	323	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	323	23	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	323	24	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	323	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	323	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	324	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	324	2	23	23	NUM
easat-9198	324	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	325	1	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	325	2	selection	selection	NOUN
easat-9198	325	3	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	325	4	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	325	5	information	information	NOUN
easat-9198	325	6	criteria	criterion	NOUN
easat-9198	325	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	326	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	326	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	326	3	among	among	ADP
easat-9198	326	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	326	5	four	four	NUM
easat-9198	326	6	candidate	candidate	NOUN
easat-9198	326	7	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	326	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	326	9	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	326	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	326	11	2,1,1)(0,1,1	2,1,1)(0,1,1	NUM
easat-9198	326	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	327	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	327	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	327	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	327	4	achieved	achieve	VERB
easat-9198	327	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	327	6	lowest	low	ADJ
easat-9198	327	7	aic	aic	PROPN
easat-9198	327	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	327	9	bic	bic	PROPN
easat-9198	327	10	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	327	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	327	12	indicating	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	327	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	327	14	best	good	ADJ
easat-9198	327	15	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	327	16	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	327	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	327	18	terms	term	NOUN
easat-9198	327	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	327	20	fit	fit	ADJ
easat-9198	327	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	327	22	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	327	23	simplicity	simplicity	NOUN
easat-9198	327	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	328	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	328	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	328	3	therefore	therefore	ADV
easat-9198	328	4	selected	select	VERB
easat-9198	328	5	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	328	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	328	7	most	most	ADV
easat-9198	328	8	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	328	9	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	328	10	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	328	11	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	328	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	328	13	given	give	VERB
easat-9198	328	14	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	328	15	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	328	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	329	1	58	58	NUM
easat-9198	329	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	329	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	329	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	329	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	329	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	329	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	329	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	329	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	329	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	329	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	329	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	329	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	330	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	330	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	330	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	330	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	330	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	330	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	330	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	330	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	330	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	330	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	330	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	330	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	330	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	330	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	330	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	330	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	330	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	330	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	330	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	330	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	330	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	330	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	330	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	330	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	330	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	330	26	4.4	4.4	NUM
easat-9198	330	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	331	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	331	2	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	331	3	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	331	4	4.4.1	4.4.1	PROPN
easat-9198	331	5	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	332	1	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	332	2	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	332	3	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	332	4	serie	serie	X
easat-9198	332	5	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	332	6	24	24	NUM
easat-9198	332	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	333	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	333	2	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	333	3	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	333	4	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	333	5	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	333	6	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	333	7	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	333	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	333	9	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	333	10	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	333	11	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	333	12	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	333	13	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	333	14	bands	band	NOUN
easat-9198	333	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	334	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	334	4	r	r	NOUN
easat-9198	334	5	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	334	6	used	use	VERB
easat-9198	334	7	applies	apply	VERB
easat-9198	334	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	334	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	334	10	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	11	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	12	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	334	13	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	334	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	334	15	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	334	16	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	334	17	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	18	mod	mod	PROPN
easat-9198	334	19	ele_sarima	ele_sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	334	20	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	21	to	to	PART
easat-9198	334	22	generate	generate	VERB
easat-9198	334	23	a	a	DET
easat-9198	334	24	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	334	25	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	26	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	334	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	334	28	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	29	h=12	h=12	NOUN
easat-9198	334	30	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	334	31	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	334	32	the	the	DET
easat-9198	334	33	year	year	NOUN
easat-9198	334	34	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	334	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	335	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	335	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	335	3	includes	include	VERB
easat-9198	335	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	335	5	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	335	6	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	335	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	335	8	point	point	NOUN
easat-9198	335	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	335	10	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	335	11	as	as	ADV
easat-9198	335	12	well	well	ADV
easat-9198	335	13	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	335	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	335	15	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	335	16	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	335	17	80	80	NUM
easat-9198	335	18	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	335	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	335	20	95	95	NUM
easat-9198	335	21	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	335	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	335	23	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	335	24	represent	represent	VERB
easat-9198	335	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	335	26	range	range	NOUN
easat-9198	335	27	within	within	ADP
easat-9198	335	28	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	335	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	335	30	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	335	31	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	335	32	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	335	33	likely	likely	ADJ
easat-9198	335	34	to	to	PART
easat-9198	335	35	fall	fall	VERB
easat-9198	335	36	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	335	37	a	a	DET
easat-9198	335	38	certain	certain	ADJ
easat-9198	335	39	probability	probability	NOUN
easat-9198	335	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	336	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	336	2	print(forecast_values	print(forecast_value	NOUN
easat-9198	336	3	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	336	4	command	command	NOUN
easat-9198	336	5	displays	display	VERB
easat-9198	336	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	336	7	complete	complete	ADJ
easat-9198	336	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	336	9	object	object	NOUN
easat-9198	336	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	336	11	showing	show	VERB
easat-9198	336	12	both	both	DET
easat-9198	336	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	336	14	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	336	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	336	16	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	336	17	associated	associated	ADJ
easat-9198	336	18	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	336	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	337	1	to	to	PART
easat-9198	337	2	extract	extract	VERB
easat-9198	337	3	only	only	ADV
easat-9198	337	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	337	5	expected	expect	VERB
easat-9198	337	6	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	337	7	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	337	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	337	9	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	337	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	337	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	337	12	code	code	NOUN
easat-9198	337	13	uses	use	VERB
easat-9198	337	14	forecast_values$mean	forecast_values$mean	PROPN
easat-9198	337	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	337	16	stores	store	VERB
easat-9198	337	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	337	18	result	result	NOUN
easat-9198	337	19	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	337	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	337	21	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	337	22	object	object	NOUN
easat-9198	337	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	337	24	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	337	25	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	337	26	then	then	ADV
easat-9198	337	27	printed	print	VERB
easat-9198	337	28	to	to	PART
easat-9198	337	29	display	display	VERB
easat-9198	337	30	a	a	DET
easat-9198	337	31	clean	clean	ADJ
easat-9198	337	32	list	list	NOUN
easat-9198	337	33	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	337	34	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	337	35	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	337	36	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	1	finally	finally	ADV
easat-9198	338	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	338	4	plot(forecast_values	plot(forecast_value	NOUN
easat-9198	338	5	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	6	function	function	NOUN
easat-9198	338	7	generates	generate	VERB
easat-9198	338	8	a	a	DET
easat-9198	338	9	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	338	10	representation	representation	NOUN
easat-9198	338	11	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	338	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	338	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	338	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	15	including	include	VERB
easat-9198	338	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	338	17	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	338	18	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	338	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	338	21	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	338	22	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	338	23	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	338	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	338	25	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	338	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	338	27	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	338	28	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	338	29	represented	represent	VERB
easat-9198	338	30	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	338	31	shaded	shaded	ADJ
easat-9198	338	32	areas	area	NOUN
easat-9198	338	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	339	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	339	2	process	process	NOUN
easat-9198	339	3	allows	allow	VERB
easat-9198	339	4	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	339	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	339	6	clear	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	339	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	339	8	detailed	detailed	ADJ
easat-9198	339	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	339	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	339	11	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	339	12	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	339	13	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	339	14	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	339	15	taking	take	VERB
easat-9198	339	16	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	339	17	account	account	NOUN
easat-9198	339	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	339	19	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	339	20	inherent	inherent	ADJ
easat-9198	339	21	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	339	22	any	any	DET
easat-9198	339	23	prediction	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	339	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	340	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	340	2	25	25	NUM
easat-9198	340	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	341	1	monthly	monthly	ADJ
easat-9198	341	2	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	341	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	341	4	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	341	5	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	341	6	estimates	estimate	NOUN
easat-9198	341	7	&	&	CCONJ
easat-9198	341	8	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	341	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	342	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	3	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	342	4	each	each	DET
easat-9198	342	5	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	342	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	342	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	342	9	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	342	10	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	11	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	342	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	342	13	mean	mean	ADJ
easat-9198	342	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	342	15	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	342	16	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	17	called	call	VERB
easat-9198	342	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	342	19	point	point	NOUN
easat-9198	342	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	342	21	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	23	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	342	24	represents	represent	VERB
easat-9198	342	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	342	26	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	342	27	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	342	28	best	good	ADJ
easat-9198	342	29	estimate	estimate	NOUN
easat-9198	342	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	31	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	342	32	two	two	NUM
easat-9198	342	33	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	342	34	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	342	35	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	36	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	342	37	80	80	NUM
easat-9198	342	38	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	342	39	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	342	40	95	95	NUM
easat-9198	342	41	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	342	42	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	43	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	342	44	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	342	45	reflect	reflect	VERB
easat-9198	342	46	the	the	DET
easat-9198	342	47	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	342	48	around	around	ADP
easat-9198	342	49	the	the	DET
easat-9198	342	50	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	342	51	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	343	1	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	343	2	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	343	3	example	example	NOUN
easat-9198	343	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	343	5	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	343	6	january	january	PROPN
easat-9198	343	7	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	343	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	343	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	343	10	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	343	11	forecasts	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	343	12	approximately	approximately	ADV
easat-9198	343	13	2059.71	2059.71	NUM
easat-9198	343	14	million	million	NUM
easat-9198	343	15	dinars	dinar	NOUN
easat-9198	343	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	343	17	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	343	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	344	1	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	344	2	estimates	estimate	VERB
easat-9198	344	3	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	344	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	344	5	•	•	X
easat-9198	344	6	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	344	7	is	be	VERB
easat-9198	344	8	an	an	DET
easat-9198	344	9	80	80	NUM
easat-9198	344	10	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	344	11	chance	chance	NOUN
easat-9198	344	12	the	the	DET
easat-9198	344	13	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	344	14	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	344	15	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	344	16	fall	fall	VERB
easat-9198	344	17	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	344	18	1786.17	1786.17	NUM
easat-9198	344	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	344	20	2372.84	2372.84	NUM
easat-9198	344	21	million	million	NUM
easat-9198	344	22	59	59	NUM
easat-9198	344	23	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	344	24	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	344	25	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	344	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	344	27	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	344	28	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	344	29	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	344	30	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	344	31	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	344	32	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	344	33	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	344	34	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	345	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	345	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	345	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	345	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	345	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	345	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	345	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	345	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	345	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	345	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	345	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	345	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	345	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	345	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	345	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	345	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	345	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	345	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	345	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	345	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	345	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	345	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	345	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	345	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	345	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	345	26	dinars	dinar	NOUN
easat-9198	345	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	345	28	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	345	29	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	345	30	a	a	DET
easat-9198	345	31	95	95	NUM
easat-9198	345	32	%	%	NOUN
easat-9198	345	33	chance	chance	NOUN
easat-9198	345	34	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	345	35	will	will	AUX
easat-9198	345	36	be	be	AUX
easat-9198	345	37	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	345	38	1655.74	1655.74	NUM
easat-9198	345	39	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	345	40	2556.45	2556.45	NUM
easat-9198	345	41	million	million	NUM
easat-9198	345	42	dinars	dinar	NOUN
easat-9198	345	43	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	346	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	346	2	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	346	3	indicate	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	346	4	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	346	5	while	while	SCONJ
easat-9198	346	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	346	7	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	346	8	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	346	9	a	a	DET
easat-9198	346	10	clear	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	346	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	346	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	346	13	there	there	PRON
easat-9198	346	14	is	be	VERB
easat-9198	346	15	always	always	ADV
easat-9198	346	16	some	some	DET
easat-9198	346	17	degree	degree	NOUN
easat-9198	346	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	346	19	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	346	20	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	346	21	the	the	PRON
easat-9198	346	22	wider	wide	ADJ
easat-9198	346	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	346	24	interval	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	346	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	346	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	346	27	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	346	28	cautious	cautious	ADJ
easat-9198	346	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	346	30	prediction	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	346	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	347	1	overall	overall	ADV
easat-9198	347	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	347	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	347	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	347	5	suggest	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	347	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	347	7	positive	positive	ADJ
easat-9198	347	8	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	347	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	347	10	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	347	11	during	during	ADP
easat-9198	347	12	certain	certain	ADJ
easat-9198	347	13	months	month	NOUN
easat-9198	347	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	347	15	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	347	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	347	17	october	october	PROPN
easat-9198	347	18	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	347	19	november	november	PROPN
easat-9198	347	20	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	347	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	347	22	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	347	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	347	24	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	347	25	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	347	26	exceed	exceed	VERB
easat-9198	347	27	2500	2500	NUM
easat-9198	347	28	million	million	NUM
easat-9198	347	29	dinars	dinar	NOUN
easat-9198	347	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	348	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	348	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	348	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	348	4	relatively	relatively	ADV
easat-9198	348	5	wide	wide	ADJ
easat-9198	348	6	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	348	7	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	348	8	during	during	ADP
easat-9198	348	9	these	these	DET
easat-9198	348	10	periods	period	NOUN
easat-9198	348	11	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	348	12	indicate	indicate	VERB
easat-9198	348	13	increased	increase	VERB
easat-9198	348	14	volatility	volatility	NOUN
easat-9198	348	15	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	348	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
easat-9198	348	17	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	348	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	348	19	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	348	20	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	348	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	349	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	349	2	26	26	NUM
easat-9198	349	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	350	1	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	350	2	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	350	3	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	350	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	350	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	350	6	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	350	7	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	350	8	models(generated	models(generate	VERB
easat-9198	350	9	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	350	10	author	author	NOUN
easat-9198	350	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	350	12	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	350	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	351	1	60	60	NUM
easat-9198	351	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	351	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	351	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	351	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	351	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	351	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	351	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	351	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	351	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	351	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	351	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	351	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	352	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	352	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	352	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	352	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	352	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	352	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	352	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	352	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	352	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	352	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	352	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	352	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	352	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	352	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	352	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	352	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	352	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	352	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	352	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	352	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	352	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	352	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	352	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	352	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	352	25	gate	gate	PROPN
easat-9198	352	26	4.4.2	4.4.2	NUM
easat-9198	352	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	353	1	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	353	2	export	export	PROPN
easat-9198	353	3	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	353	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	353	5	figure	figure	VERB
easat-9198	353	6	27	27	NUM
easat-9198	353	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	354	1	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	354	2	export	export	PROPN
easat-9198	354	3	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	354	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	354	5	forecast	forecast	PROPN
easat-9198	354	6	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	354	7	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	354	8	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	354	9	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	354	10	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	354	11	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	354	12	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	355	1	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	355	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	356	1	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	356	2	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	356	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	356	4	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	356	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	356	6	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	356	7	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	356	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	356	9	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	356	10	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	356	11	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	356	12	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	356	13	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	356	14	to	to	PART
easat-9198	356	15	analyze	analyze	VERB
easat-9198	356	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	356	17	predict	predict	VERB
easat-9198	356	18	their	their	PRON
easat-9198	356	19	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	356	20	evolution	evolution	NOUN
easat-9198	356	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	357	1	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	357	2	preparing	prepare	VERB
easat-9198	357	3	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	357	4	modeling	model	VERB
easat-9198	357	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	357	6	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	357	7	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	357	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	357	9	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	357	10	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	357	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	357	12	we	we	PRON
easat-9198	357	13	generated	generate	VERB
easat-9198	357	14	a	a	DET
easat-9198	357	15	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	357	16	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	357	17	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	357	18	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	357	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	358	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	358	2	table	table	NOUN
easat-9198	358	3	below	below	ADP
easat-9198	358	4	presents	present	VERB
easat-9198	358	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	358	6	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	358	7	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	358	8	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	358	9	along	along	ADP
easat-9198	358	10	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	358	11	confidence	confidence	NOUN
easat-9198	358	12	intervals	interval	NOUN
easat-9198	358	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	358	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	358	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	358	16	graph	graph	NOUN
easat-9198	358	17	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	358	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	358	19	visual	visual	ADJ
easat-9198	358	20	representation	representation	NOUN
easat-9198	358	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	358	22	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	358	23	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	358	24	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	358	25	expected	expect	VERB
easat-9198	358	26	to	to	PART
easat-9198	358	27	change	change	VERB
easat-9198	358	28	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	358	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	358	30	upcoming	upcoming	ADJ
easat-9198	358	31	year	year	NOUN
easat-9198	358	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	359	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	359	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	359	3	helps	help	VERB
easat-9198	359	4	us	we	PRON
easat-9198	359	5	better	well	ADV
easat-9198	359	6	understand	understand	VERB
easat-9198	359	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	359	8	possible	possible	ADJ
easat-9198	359	9	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	359	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	359	11	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	359	12	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	359	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	359	14	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	359	15	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	359	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	359	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	359	18	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	359	19	support	support	VERB
easat-9198	359	20	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	359	21	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	359	22	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	359	23	making	making	NOUN
easat-9198	359	24	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	359	25	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	359	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	359	27	predicted	predict	VERB
easat-9198	359	28	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	359	29	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	359	30	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	359	31	the	the	DET
easat-9198	359	32	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	359	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	360	1	figure	figure	VERB
easat-9198	360	2	28	28	NUM
easat-9198	360	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	361	1	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	361	2	export	export	PROPN
easat-9198	361	3	time	time	PROPN
easat-9198	361	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	361	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	361	6	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	361	7	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	361	8	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	361	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	362	1	61	61	NUM
easat-9198	362	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	362	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	362	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	362	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	362	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	362	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	362	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	362	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	362	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	362	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	362	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	362	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	363	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	363	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	363	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	363	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	363	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	363	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	363	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	363	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	363	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	363	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	363	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	363	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	363	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	363	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	363	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	363	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	363	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	363	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	363	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	363	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	363	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	363	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	363	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	363	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	363	25	gate	gate	VERB
easat-9198	363	26	4.5	4.5	NUM
easat-9198	363	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	364	1	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	364	2	preparation	preparation	NOUN
easat-9198	364	3	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	364	4	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	364	5	4.5.1	4.5.1	NUM
easat-9198	364	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	365	1	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	365	2	loading	loading	NOUN
easat-9198	365	3	&	&	CCONJ
easat-9198	365	4	formatting	format	VERB
easat-9198	365	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	365	6	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	365	7	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	365	8	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	365	9	imported	import	VERB
easat-9198	365	10	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	365	11	python	python	NOUN
easat-9198	365	12	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	365	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	365	14	pandas	panda	NOUN
easat-9198	365	15	library	library	NOUN
easat-9198	365	16	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	366	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	366	2	excel	excel	NOUN
easat-9198	366	3	file	file	NOUN
easat-9198	366	4	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	366	5	read	read	VERB
easat-9198	366	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	366	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	366	8	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	366	9	date	date	NOUN
easat-9198	366	10	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	366	11	column	column	NOUN
easat-9198	366	12	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	366	13	converted	convert	VERB
easat-9198	366	14	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	366	15	a	a	DET
easat-9198	366	16	datetime	datetime	ADJ
easat-9198	366	17	format	format	NOUN
easat-9198	366	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	366	19	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	366	20	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	366	21	crucial	crucial	ADJ
easat-9198	366	22	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	366	23	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	366	24	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	366	25	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	366	26	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	366	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	367	1	setting	set	VERB
easat-9198	367	2	the	the	DET
easat-9198	367	3	date	date	NOUN
easat-9198	367	4	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	367	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	367	6	dataframe	dataframe	ADJ
easat-9198	367	7	index	index	NOUN
easat-9198	367	8	enabled	enable	VERB
easat-9198	367	9	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	367	10	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	367	11	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	367	12	operations	operation	NOUN
easat-9198	367	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	367	14	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	367	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	368	1	4.5.1.1	4.5.1.1	X
easat-9198	368	2	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	368	3	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	368	4	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	368	5	structuring	structure	VERB
easat-9198	368	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	368	7	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	368	8	export_general	export_general	ADJ
easat-9198	368	9	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	368	10	column	column	NOUN
easat-9198	368	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	368	12	representing	represent	VERB
easat-9198	368	13	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	368	14	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	368	15	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	368	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	368	17	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	368	18	isolated	isolate	VERB
easat-9198	368	19	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	368	20	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	368	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	369	1	visualizations	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	369	2	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	369	3	matplotlib	matplotlib	PROPN
easat-9198	369	4	revealed	reveal	VERB
easat-9198	369	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	369	6	overall	overall	ADJ
easat-9198	369	7	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	369	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	369	9	fluctuations	fluctuation	NOUN
easat-9198	369	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	369	11	providing	provide	VERB
easat-9198	369	12	initial	initial	ADJ
easat-9198	369	13	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	369	14	before	before	ADP
easat-9198	369	15	applying	apply	VERB
easat-9198	369	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	369	17	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	369	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	1	4.5.1.2	4.5.1.2	X
easat-9198	370	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	3	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	370	4	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	5	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	370	6	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	370	7	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	370	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	370	9	4.5.1.2.1	4.5.1.2.1	NUM
easat-9198	370	10	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	11	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	370	12	application	application	NOUN
easat-9198	370	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	370	14	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	370	15	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	16	winters	winters	PROPN
easat-9198	370	17	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	370	18	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	19	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	370	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	370	21	statsmodels	statsmodel	NOUN
easat-9198	370	22	library	library	NOUN
easat-9198	370	23	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	24	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	370	25	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	370	26	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	370	27	the	the	DET
easat-9198	370	28	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	29	export_general	export_general	ADJ
easat-9198	370	30	'	'	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	31	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	370	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	33	specifying	specify	VERB
easat-9198	370	34	both	both	DET
easat-9198	370	35	trend	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	370	36	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	370	37	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	370	38	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	370	39	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	370	40	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	370	41	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
easat-9198	370	42	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	370	43	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	370	44	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	370	45	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	370	46	effects	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	370	47	grow	grow	VERB
easat-9198	370	48	over	over	ADP
easat-9198	370	49	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	370	50	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	371	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	371	2	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	371	3	assumed	assume	VERB
easat-9198	371	4	a	a	DET
easat-9198	371	5	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	371	6	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	371	7	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	371	8	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	371	9	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	371	10	annual	annual	ADJ
easat-9198	371	11	cycle	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	371	12	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	371	13	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	372	1	4.5.1.3	4.5.1.3	NUM
easat-9198	372	2	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	372	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	372	4	generation	generation	NOUN
easat-9198	372	5	after	after	ADP
easat-9198	372	6	fitting	fit	VERB
easat-9198	372	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	372	8	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	372	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	372	10	a	a	DET
easat-9198	372	11	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	372	12	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	372	13	month	month	NOUN
easat-9198	372	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	372	15	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	372	16	produced	produce	VERB
easat-9198	372	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	1	visualization	visualization	NOUN
easat-9198	373	2	compared	compare	VERB
easat-9198	373	3	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	373	4	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	373	5	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	373	7	blue	blue	NOUN
easat-9198	373	8	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	9	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	373	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	373	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	373	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	13	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	373	14	red	red	NOUN
easat-9198	373	15	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	373	17	allowing	allow	VERB
easat-9198	373	18	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	373	19	an	an	DET
easat-9198	373	20	intuitive	intuitive	ADJ
easat-9198	373	21	assessment	assessment	NOUN
easat-9198	373	22	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	373	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	373	24	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	373	25	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	373	26	predictive	predictive	ADJ
easat-9198	373	27	behavior	behavior	NOUN
easat-9198	373	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	374	1	4.5.1.4	4.5.1.4	X
easat-9198	374	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	374	3	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	374	4	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	374	5	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	374	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	374	7	same	same	ADJ
easat-9198	374	8	preparation	preparation	NOUN
easat-9198	374	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	374	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	374	11	steps	step	NOUN
easat-9198	374	12	were	be	AUX
easat-9198	374	13	repeated	repeat	VERB
easat-9198	374	14	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	374	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	374	16	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	374	17	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	374	18	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	374	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	374	20	enabling	enable	VERB
easat-9198	374	21	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	374	22	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	374	23	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	374	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	374	25	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	374	26	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	374	27	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	374	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	375	1	4.5.1.5	4.5.1.5	X
easat-9198	375	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	376	1	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	376	2	vs.	vs.	ADP
easat-9198	376	3	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	376	4	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	376	5	winters	winters	PROPN
easat-9198	376	6	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	376	7	model	model	VERB
easat-9198	376	8	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	376	9	4.5.1.5	4.5.1.5	NUM
easat-9198	376	10	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	376	11	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	376	12	.	.	X
easat-9198	376	13	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	376	14	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	376	15	since	since	SCONJ
easat-9198	376	16	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	376	17	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	376	18	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	376	19	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	376	20	unavailable	unavailable	ADJ
easat-9198	376	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	376	22	a	a	DET
easat-9198	376	23	rigorous	rigorous	ADJ
easat-9198	376	24	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	376	25	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	376	26	conducted	conduct	VERB
easat-9198	376	27	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	376	28	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	376	29	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	376	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	376	31	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	376	32	real	real	ADJ
easat-9198	376	33	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	376	34	exist	exist	VERB
easat-9198	376	35	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	377	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	377	2	out	out	ADP
easat-9198	377	3	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	377	4	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	377	5	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	377	6	sample	sample	NOUN
easat-9198	377	7	validation	validation	NOUN
easat-9198	377	8	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	377	9	essential	essential	ADJ
easat-9198	377	10	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	377	11	objectively	objectively	ADV
easat-9198	377	12	assessing	assess	VERB
easat-9198	377	13	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	377	14	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	377	15	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	1	5	5	X
easat-9198	378	2	.	.	X
easat-9198	378	3	results	result	VERB
easat-9198	378	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	378	5	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	378	6	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	378	7	outperformed	outperform	VERB
easat-9198	378	8	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	378	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	10	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	378	11	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	378	12	all	all	DET
easat-9198	378	13	metrics	metric	NOUN
easat-9198	378	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	15	mae	mae	PROPN
easat-9198	378	16	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	17	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	378	18	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	19	28.28	28.28	NUM
easat-9198	378	20	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	21	vs.	vs.	ADP
easat-9198	378	22	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	378	23	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	24	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	378	25	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	26	32.06	32.06	NUM
easat-9198	378	27	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	28	rmse	rmse	NOUN
easat-9198	378	29	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	30	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	378	31	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	32	36.89	36.89	NUM
easat-9198	378	33	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	34	vs.	vs.	ADP
easat-9198	378	35	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	378	36	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	37	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	378	38	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	39	38.94	38.94	NUM
easat-9198	378	40	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	41	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	378	42	demonstrates	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	378	43	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	378	44	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	378	45	superior	superior	ADJ
easat-9198	378	46	ability	ability	NOUN
easat-9198	378	47	to	to	PART
easat-9198	378	48	capture	capture	VERB
easat-9198	378	49	the	the	DET
easat-9198	378	50	variance	variance	NOUN
easat-9198	378	51	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	378	52	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
easat-9198	378	53	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	378	54	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	378	55	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	378	56	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	378	57	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	378	58	at	at	ADP
easat-9198	378	59	least	least	ADJ
easat-9198	378	60	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	378	61	the	the	DET
easat-9198	378	62	tested	test	VERB
easat-9198	378	63	period	period	NOUN
easat-9198	378	64	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	379	1	5.1	5.1	NUM
easat-9198	379	2	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	380	1	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	380	2	implications	implication	NOUN
easat-9198	380	3	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	380	4	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	380	5	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	380	6	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	380	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	380	8	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	380	9	action	action	NOUN
easat-9198	380	10	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	380	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	380	12	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	380	13	a	a	DET
easat-9198	380	14	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	380	15	tool	tool	NOUN
easat-9198	380	16	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	380	17	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	380	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	380	19	empower	empower	NOUN
easat-9198	380	20	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	380	21	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	380	22	makers	maker	NOUN
easat-9198	380	23	to	to	PART
easat-9198	380	24	proactively	proactively	ADV
easat-9198	380	25	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
easat-9198	380	26	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	380	27	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	380	28	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	380	29	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	380	30	position	position	NOUN
easat-9198	380	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	380	32	especially	especially	ADV
easat-9198	380	33	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	380	34	the	the	DET
easat-9198	380	35	electromechanical	electromechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	380	36	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	380	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	381	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	381	2	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	381	3	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	381	4	•	•	ADV
easat-9198	381	5	offshore	offshore	ADV
easat-9198	381	6	vs.	vs.	ADP
easat-9198	381	7	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	381	8	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	381	9	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	381	10	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	381	11	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	381	12	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	381	13	significantly	significantly	ADV
easat-9198	381	14	outpace	outpace	VERB
easat-9198	381	15	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	381	16	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	381	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	381	18	highlighting	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	381	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	381	20	need	need	NOUN
easat-9198	381	21	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	381	22	differentiated	differentiated	ADJ
easat-9198	381	23	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	381	24	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	381	25	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	381	26	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	381	27	standardization	standardization	NOUN
easat-9198	381	28	62	62	NUM
easat-9198	381	29	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	381	30	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	381	31	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	381	32	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	381	33	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	381	34	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	381	35	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	381	36	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	381	37	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	381	38	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	381	39	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	381	40	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	382	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	382	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	382	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	382	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	382	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	382	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	382	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	382	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	382	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	382	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	382	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	382	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	382	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	382	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	382	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	382	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	382	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	382	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	382	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	382	24	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	382	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	382	26	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	382	27	treats	treat	NOUN
easat-9198	382	28	all	all	DET
easat-9198	382	29	markets	market	NOUN
easat-9198	382	30	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	382	31	a	a	DET
easat-9198	382	32	single	single	ADJ
easat-9198	382	33	entity	entity	NOUN
easat-9198	382	34	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	35	suitable	suitable	ADJ
easat-9198	382	36	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	382	37	offshore	offshore	ADJ
easat-9198	382	38	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	382	39	where	where	SCONJ
easat-9198	382	40	clients	client	NOUN
easat-9198	382	41	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	42	often	often	ADV
easat-9198	382	43	industrial	industrial	ADJ
easat-9198	382	44	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	382	45	institutional	institutional	NOUN
easat-9198	382	46	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	382	47	have	have	VERB
easat-9198	382	48	homogenous	homogenous	ADJ
easat-9198	382	49	expectations	expectation	NOUN
easat-9198	382	50	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	383	1	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	383	2	benefits	benefit	NOUN
easat-9198	383	3	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	383	4	cost	cost	NOUN
easat-9198	383	5	reduction	reduction	NOUN
easat-9198	383	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	383	7	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
easat-9198	383	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	383	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	383	10	consistency	consistency	NOUN
easat-9198	383	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	384	2	adaptation	adaptation	NOUN
easat-9198	384	3	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	384	4	adjusts	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	384	5	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	384	6	variables	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	384	7	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	8	product	product	NOUN
easat-9198	384	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	10	packaging	packaging	NOUN
easat-9198	384	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	12	promotion	promotion	NOUN
easat-9198	384	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	14	to	to	PART
easat-9198	384	15	fit	fit	VERB
easat-9198	384	16	local	local	ADJ
easat-9198	384	17	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	384	18	needs	need	NOUN
easat-9198	384	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	384	20	crucial	crucial	ADJ
easat-9198	384	21	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	384	22	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	384	23	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	384	24	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	384	25	diverse	diverse	ADJ
easat-9198	384	26	customer	customer	NOUN
easat-9198	384	27	bases	basis	NOUN
easat-9198	384	28	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	385	1	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	385	2	benefits	benefit	NOUN
easat-9198	385	3	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	385	4	enhanced	enhance	VERB
easat-9198	385	5	customer	customer	NOUN
easat-9198	385	6	satisfaction	satisfaction	NOUN
easat-9198	385	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	385	8	increased	increase	VERB
easat-9198	385	9	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
easat-9198	385	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	385	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	385	12	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	385	13	share	share	NOUN
easat-9198	385	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	386	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	386	2	glocalization	glocalization	NOUN
easat-9198	386	3	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	386	4	combines	combine	VERB
easat-9198	386	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	386	6	standardized	standardized	ADJ
easat-9198	386	7	core	core	NOUN
easat-9198	386	8	product	product	NOUN
easat-9198	386	9	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	386	10	localized	localized	ADJ
easat-9198	386	11	features	feature	NOUN
easat-9198	386	12	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	386	13	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
easat-9198	386	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	386	15	language	language	NOUN
easat-9198	386	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	386	17	packaging	packaging	NOUN
easat-9198	386	18	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	386	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	387	1	▪	▪	ADJ
easat-9198	387	2	balances	balance	NOUN
easat-9198	387	3	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
easat-9198	387	4	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	387	5	local	local	ADJ
easat-9198	387	6	relevance	relevance	NOUN
easat-9198	387	7	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	388	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	388	2	role	role	NOUN
easat-9198	388	3	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	388	4	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
easat-9198	388	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	388	6	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	388	7	institutions	institution	NOUN
easat-9198	388	8	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	388	9	support	support	NOUN
easat-9198	388	10	measures	measure	NOUN
easat-9198	388	11	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	388	12	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	388	13	enhance	enhance	NOUN
easat-9198	388	14	transport	transport	NOUN
easat-9198	388	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	388	16	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	388	17	infrastructure	infrastructure	NOUN
easat-9198	388	18	to	to	PART
easat-9198	388	19	ease	ease	VERB
easat-9198	388	20	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	388	21	logistics	logistic	NOUN
easat-9198	388	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	389	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	389	2	provide	provide	VERB
easat-9198	389	3	educational	educational	ADJ
easat-9198	389	4	resources	resource	NOUN
easat-9198	389	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	389	6	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	389	7	intelligence	intelligence	NOUN
easat-9198	389	8	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	389	9	exporters	exporter	NOUN
easat-9198	389	10	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	390	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	390	2	facilitate	facilitate	VERB
easat-9198	390	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	390	4	selection	selection	NOUN
easat-9198	390	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	390	6	implementation	implementation	NOUN
easat-9198	390	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	390	8	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	390	9	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	390	10	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	390	11	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	391	1	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	391	2	these	these	DET
easat-9198	391	3	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
easat-9198	391	4	align	align	VERB
easat-9198	391	5	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	391	6	recent	recent	ADJ
easat-9198	391	7	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	391	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	391	9	emphasizing	emphasize	VERB
easat-9198	391	10	that	that	DET
easat-9198	391	11	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	391	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	391	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	391	14	combined	combine	VERB
easat-9198	391	15	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	391	16	responsive	responsive	ADJ
easat-9198	391	17	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	391	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	391	19	drives	drive	VERB
easat-9198	391	20	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	391	21	success	success	NOUN
easat-9198	391	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	392	2	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	392	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	4	conclusions	conclusion	NOUN
easat-9198	392	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	392	6	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	392	7	directions	direction	NOUN
easat-9198	392	8	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	392	9	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	392	10	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	392	11	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	12	both	both	DET
easat-9198	392	13	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	392	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	392	15	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	392	16	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	17	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	392	18	effectively	effectively	ADV
easat-9198	392	19	captured	capture	VERB
easat-9198	392	20	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	392	21	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	392	22	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	392	23	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	24	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	392	25	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	392	26	proved	prove	VERB
easat-9198	392	27	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	392	28	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	392	29	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	392	30	this	this	DET
easat-9198	392	31	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	392	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	392	33	confirming	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	392	34	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	392	35	robustness	robustness	NOUN
easat-9198	392	36	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	392	37	complex	complex	ADJ
easat-9198	392	38	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	392	39	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	392	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	393	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	393	2	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	393	3	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	393	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	393	5	reliable	reliable	ADJ
easat-9198	393	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	393	7	inform	inform	VERB
easat-9198	393	8	not	not	PART
easat-9198	393	9	only	only	ADV
easat-9198	393	10	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	393	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	393	12	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	393	13	also	also	ADV
easat-9198	393	14	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	393	15	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	393	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	393	17	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	393	18	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	393	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	393	20	enabling	enable	VERB
easat-9198	393	21	firms	firm	NOUN
easat-9198	393	22	to	to	PART
easat-9198	393	23	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
easat-9198	393	24	demand	demand	NOUN
easat-9198	393	25	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	393	26	optimize	optimize	NOUN
easat-9198	393	27	pricing	pricing	NOUN
easat-9198	393	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	393	29	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	393	30	tailor	tailor	NOUN
easat-9198	393	31	promotional	promotional	ADJ
easat-9198	393	32	campaigns	campaign	NOUN
easat-9198	393	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	394	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	394	2	holistic	holistic	ADJ
easat-9198	394	3	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	394	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	394	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	394	6	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	394	7	bridges	bridge	VERB
easat-9198	394	8	technical	technical	ADJ
easat-9198	394	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	394	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	394	11	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	394	12	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	394	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	394	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	394	15	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	394	16	strategy	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	394	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	394	18	offering	offer	VERB
easat-9198	394	19	a	a	DET
easat-9198	394	20	framework	framework	NOUN
easat-9198	394	21	usable	usable	ADJ
easat-9198	394	22	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	394	23	both	both	DET
easat-9198	394	24	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
easat-9198	394	25	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	394	26	private	private	ADJ
easat-9198	394	27	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	394	28	managers	manager	NOUN
easat-9198	394	29	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	395	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	395	2	limitations	limitation	NOUN
easat-9198	395	3	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	395	4	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	395	5	assumes	assume	VERB
easat-9198	395	6	stable	stable	ADJ
easat-9198	395	7	external	external	ADJ
easat-9198	395	8	conditions	condition	NOUN
easat-9198	395	9	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	395	10	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	395	11	not	not	PART
easat-9198	395	12	account	account	VERB
easat-9198	395	13	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	395	14	geopolitical	geopolitical	ADJ
easat-9198	395	15	shocks	shock	NOUN
easat-9198	395	16	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	395	17	sudden	sudden	ADJ
easat-9198	395	18	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	395	19	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	395	20	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	395	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	396	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	396	2	limited	limit	VERB
easat-9198	396	3	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	396	4	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	396	5	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	396	6	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	396	7	does	do	AUX
easat-9198	396	8	not	not	PART
easat-9198	396	9	integrate	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	396	10	variables	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	396	11	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	396	12	exchange	exchange	NOUN
easat-9198	396	13	rates	rate	NOUN
easat-9198	396	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	396	15	production	production	NOUN
easat-9198	396	16	capacity	capacity	NOUN
easat-9198	396	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	396	18	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	396	19	global	global	ADJ
easat-9198	396	20	competition	competition	NOUN
easat-9198	396	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	397	2	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	397	3	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	397	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	5	•	•	NOUN
easat-9198	397	6	incorporate	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	397	7	advanced	advanced	ADJ
easat-9198	397	8	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	397	9	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	397	10	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	397	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	12	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
easat-9198	397	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	14	lstm	lstm	ADJ
easat-9198	397	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	16	xgboost	xgboost	NUM
easat-9198	397	17	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	397	18	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	398	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	398	2	include	include	VERB
easat-9198	398	3	multi	multi	ADJ
easat-9198	398	4	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	398	5	variable	variable	ADJ
easat-9198	398	6	inputs	input	NOUN
easat-9198	398	7	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	398	8	richer	rich	ADJ
easat-9198	398	9	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	398	10	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	399	1	•	•	NUM
easat-9198	399	2	extend	extend	VERB
easat-9198	399	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	399	4	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	399	5	other	other	ADJ
easat-9198	399	6	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	399	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	399	8	assess	assess	VERB
easat-9198	399	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	399	10	real	real	ADJ
easat-9198	399	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	399	12	world	world	NOUN
easat-9198	399	13	impact	impact	NOUN
easat-9198	399	14	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	399	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	399	16	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	399	17	driven	drive	VERB
easat-9198	399	18	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	399	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	400	1	table	table	NOUN
easat-9198	400	2	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	400	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	400	4	summary	summary	NOUN
easat-9198	400	5	table	table	NOUN
easat-9198	400	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	1	aspect	aspect	PROPN
easat-9198	401	2	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	401	3	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	4	winters	winters	PROPN
easat-9198	401	5	sarima	sarima	PROPN
easat-9198	401	6	/	/	SYM
easat-9198	401	7	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	401	8	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	401	9	implications	implication	NOUN
easat-9198	401	10	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	401	11	captures	capture	VERB
easat-9198	401	12	annual	annual	ADJ
easat-9198	401	13	cycles	cycle	NOUN
easat-9198	401	14	handles	handle	VERB
easat-9198	401	15	complex	complex	ADJ
easat-9198	401	16	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	401	17	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	401	18	enables	enable	VERB
easat-9198	401	19	proactive	proactive	ADJ
easat-9198	401	20	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	401	21	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	401	22	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	23	2024	2024	NUM
easat-9198	401	24	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	25	mae	mae	PROPN
easat-9198	401	26	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	27	32.06	32.06	NUM
easat-9198	401	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	29	rmse	rmse	NOUN
easat-9198	401	30	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	31	38.94	38.94	NUM
easat-9198	401	32	mae	mae	PROPN
easat-9198	401	33	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	34	28.28	28.28	NUM
easat-9198	401	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	36	rmse	rmse	NOUN
easat-9198	401	37	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	38	36.89	36.89	NUM
easat-9198	401	39	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	401	40	recommended	recommend	VERB
easat-9198	401	41	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	401	42	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	401	43	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	401	44	useful	useful	ADJ
easat-9198	401	45	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	401	46	broad	broad	ADJ
easat-9198	401	47	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	401	48	more	more	ADV
easat-9198	401	49	precise	precise	ADJ
easat-9198	401	50	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	401	51	tactical	tactical	ADJ
easat-9198	401	52	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	401	53	supports	support	VERB
easat-9198	401	54	differentiated	differentiated	ADJ
easat-9198	401	55	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	401	56	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	401	57	baseline	baseline	NOUN
easat-9198	401	58	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	401	59	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	401	60	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	61	driven	drive	VERB
easat-9198	401	62	resource	resource	NOUN
easat-9198	401	63	allocation	allocation	NOUN
easat-9198	401	64	informs	inform	VERB
easat-9198	401	65	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	401	66	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	401	67	63	63	NUM
easat-9198	401	68	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	401	69	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	401	70	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	401	71	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	401	72	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	401	73	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	401	74	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	401	75	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	401	76	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	401	77	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	401	78	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	401	79	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	402	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	402	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	402	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	402	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	402	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	402	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	402	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	402	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	402	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	402	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	402	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	402	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	402	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	402	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	402	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	402	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	402	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	402	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	402	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	402	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	402	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	402	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	402	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	402	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	402	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	402	26	5.2	5.2	NUM
easat-9198	402	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	403	1	final	final	ADJ
easat-9198	403	2	takeaway	takeaway	NOUN
easat-9198	403	3	this	this	DET
easat-9198	403	4	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	403	5	highlights	highlight	NOUN
easat-9198	403	6	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	403	7	advanced	advanced	ADJ
easat-9198	403	8	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	403	9	series	series	PROPN
easat-9198	403	10	forecasting	forecasting	PROPN
easat-9198	403	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	403	12	when	when	SCONJ
easat-9198	403	13	integrated	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	403	14	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	403	15	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	403	16	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	403	17	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	403	18	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	403	19	support	support	NOUN
easat-9198	403	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	403	21	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	403	22	significantly	significantly	ADV
easat-9198	403	23	enhance	enhance	VERB
easat-9198	403	24	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	403	25	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	403	26	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	403	27	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
easat-9198	403	28	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	403	29	the	the	DET
easat-9198	403	30	electromechanical	electromechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	403	31	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	403	32	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	404	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	404	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	404	3	advocate	advocate	VERB
easat-9198	404	4	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	404	5	a	a	DET
easat-9198	404	6	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	404	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	404	8	driven	drive	VERB
easat-9198	404	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	404	10	differentiated	differentiated	ADJ
easat-9198	404	11	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	404	12	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	404	13	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	404	14	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	404	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	404	16	underscore	underscore	VERB
easat-9198	404	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	404	18	importance	importance	NOUN
easat-9198	404	19	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	404	20	continuous	continuous	ADJ
easat-9198	404	21	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	404	22	improvement	improvement	NOUN
easat-9198	404	23	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	404	24	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	404	25	adaptation	adaptation	NOUN
easat-9198	404	26	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	404	27	a	a	DET
easat-9198	404	28	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
easat-9198	404	29	global	global	ADJ
easat-9198	404	30	environment	environment	NOUN
easat-9198	404	31	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	405	1	figure	figure	NOUN
easat-9198	405	2	29	29	NUM
easat-9198	405	3	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	406	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	406	2	general	general	ADJ
easat-9198	406	3	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	406	4	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	406	5	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	406	6	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	406	7	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	406	8	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	406	9	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	406	10	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	406	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	406	12	multiplicative	multiplicative	ADJ
easat-9198	406	13	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	406	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	406	15	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	406	16	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	406	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	407	1	6	6	X
easat-9198	407	2	.	.	X
easat-9198	407	3	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
easat-9198	407	4	this	this	DET
easat-9198	407	5	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	407	6	has	have	AUX
easat-9198	407	7	explored	explore	VERB
easat-9198	407	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	407	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	407	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	407	11	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	407	12	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	407	13	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	407	14	electrical	electrical	ADJ
easat-9198	407	15	exports	export	NOUN
easat-9198	407	16	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	407	17	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	407	18	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	407	19	advanced	advanced	ADJ
easat-9198	407	20	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	407	21	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	407	22	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	407	23	specifically	specifically	ADV
easat-9198	407	24	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	407	25	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	407	26	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	407	27	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	407	28	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	407	29	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	407	30	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	408	1	anchored	anchor	VERB
easat-9198	408	2	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	408	3	a	a	DET
easat-9198	408	4	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
easat-9198	408	5	literature	literature	NOUN
easat-9198	408	6	review	review	NOUN
easat-9198	408	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	408	8	guided	guide	VERB
easat-9198	408	9	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	408	10	a	a	DET
easat-9198	408	11	clear	clear	ADJ
easat-9198	408	12	problem	problem	NOUN
easat-9198	408	13	statement	statement	NOUN
easat-9198	408	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	408	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	408	16	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	408	17	addressed	address	VERB
easat-9198	408	18	the	the	DET
easat-9198	408	19	dual	dual	ADJ
easat-9198	408	20	objective	objective	NOUN
easat-9198	408	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	408	22	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
easat-9198	408	23	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	408	24	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	408	25	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	408	26	translating	translate	VERB
easat-9198	408	27	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	408	28	into	into	ADP
easat-9198	408	29	actionable	actionable	ADJ
easat-9198	408	30	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	408	31	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	408	32	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	408	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	409	1	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	409	2	a	a	DET
easat-9198	409	3	data	data	NOUN
easat-9198	409	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	409	5	perspective	perspective	NOUN
easat-9198	409	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	409	7	both	both	PRON
easat-9198	409	8	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	409	9	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	409	10	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	409	11	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	409	12	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	409	13	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	409	14	proved	prove	VERB
easat-9198	409	15	valuable	valuable	ADJ
easat-9198	409	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	409	17	capturing	capture	VERB
easat-9198	409	18	seasonality	seasonality	NOUN
easat-9198	409	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	409	20	trends	trend	NOUN
easat-9198	409	21	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	409	22	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	409	23	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	409	24	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	410	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	410	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	410	3	empirical	empirical	ADJ
easat-9198	410	4	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	410	5	confirmed	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	410	6	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
easat-9198	410	7	h1	h1	NOUN
easat-9198	410	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	410	9	demonstrating	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	410	10	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	410	11	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	410	12	outperformed	outperform	VERB
easat-9198	410	13	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	410	14	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	410	15	winters	winter	NOUN
easat-9198	410	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	410	17	terms	term	NOUN
easat-9198	410	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	410	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	410	20	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
easat-9198	410	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	411	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	411	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	411	3	consistent	consistent	ADJ
easat-9198	411	4	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	411	5	previous	previous	ADJ
easat-9198	411	6	studies	study	NOUN
easat-9198	411	7	nguyen	nguyen	NOUN
easat-9198	411	8	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	411	9	pham	pham	PROPN
easat-9198	412	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	412	2	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	412	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	412	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	412	5	hasibuan	hasibuan	PROPN
easat-9198	412	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	412	7	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	412	8	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	412	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	413	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	413	2	2	2	X
easat-9198	413	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	413	4	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	413	5	highlighted	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	413	6	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	413	7	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	413	8	robustness	robustness	NOUN
easat-9198	413	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	413	10	handling	handle	VERB
easat-9198	413	11	complex	complex	ADJ
easat-9198	413	12	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	413	13	patterns	pattern	NOUN
easat-9198	413	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	413	15	longterm	longterm	NOUN
easat-9198	413	16	dependencies	dependency	NOUN
easat-9198	413	17	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	414	1	beyond	beyond	ADP
easat-9198	414	2	technical	technical	ADJ
easat-9198	414	3	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	414	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	414	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	414	6	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	414	7	validated	validate	VERB
easat-9198	414	8	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
easat-9198	414	9	h2	h2	NOUN
easat-9198	414	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	414	11	emphasizing	emphasize	VERB
easat-9198	414	12	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	414	13	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	414	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	414	15	provides	provide	VERB
easat-9198	414	16	firms	firm	NOUN
easat-9198	414	17	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	414	18	a	a	DET
easat-9198	414	19	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	414	20	tool	tool	NOUN
easat-9198	414	21	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	414	22	optimizing	optimize	VERB
easat-9198	414	23	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	414	24	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	414	25	efforts	effort	NOUN
easat-9198	414	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	415	1	reliable	reliable	ADJ
easat-9198	415	2	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	415	3	predictions	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	415	4	allow	allow	VERB
easat-9198	415	5	companies	company	NOUN
easat-9198	415	6	to	to	PART
easat-9198	415	7	anticipate	anticipate	VERB
easat-9198	415	8	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	415	9	demand	demand	NOUN
easat-9198	415	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	415	11	adjust	adjust	VERB
easat-9198	415	12	pricing	pricing	NOUN
easat-9198	415	13	strategies	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	415	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	415	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	415	16	plan	plan	VERB
easat-9198	415	17	promotional	promotional	ADJ
easat-9198	415	18	campaigns	campaign	NOUN
easat-9198	415	19	tailored	tailor	VERB
easat-9198	415	20	to	to	PART
easat-9198	415	21	target	target	VERB
easat-9198	415	22	regions	region	NOUN
easat-9198	415	23	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	416	1	this	this	PRON
easat-9198	416	2	aligns	align	VERB
easat-9198	416	3	with	with	ADP
easat-9198	416	4	the	the	DET
easat-9198	416	5	managerial	managerial	ADJ
easat-9198	416	6	implications	implication	NOUN
easat-9198	416	7	highlighted	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	416	8	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	416	9	works	work	NOUN
easat-9198	416	10	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	416	11	ščeulovs	ščeulovs	NOUN
easat-9198	416	12	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	416	13	gaile‑sarkane	gaile‑sarkane	PRON
easat-9198	417	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	417	2	7	7	NUM
easat-9198	417	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	417	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	417	5	kamsyakhan	kamsyakhan	PROPN
easat-9198	417	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	417	7	et	et	PROPN
easat-9198	417	8	al	al	PROPN
easat-9198	417	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	418	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	418	2	4	4	X
easat-9198	418	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	418	4	who	who	PRON
easat-9198	418	5	underline	underline	VERB
easat-9198	418	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	418	7	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	418	8	a	a	DET
easat-9198	418	9	cornerstone	cornerstone	NOUN
easat-9198	418	10	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	418	11	effective	effective	ADJ
easat-9198	418	12	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	418	13	management	management	NOUN
easat-9198	418	14	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	419	1	64	64	NUM
easat-9198	419	2	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	419	3	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	419	4	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	419	5	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	419	6	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	419	7	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	419	8	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	419	9	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	419	10	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	419	11	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	419	12	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	419	13	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	420	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	420	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	420	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	420	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	420	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	420	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	420	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	420	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	420	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	420	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	420	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	420	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	420	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	420	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	420	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	420	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	420	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	420	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	420	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	420	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	420	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	420	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	420	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	420	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	420	25	gate	gate	VERB
easat-9198	420	26	the	the	DET
easat-9198	420	27	integration	integration	NOUN
easat-9198	420	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	420	29	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	420	30	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	420	31	managerial	managerial	ADJ
easat-9198	420	32	interpretations	interpretation	NOUN
easat-9198	420	33	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	420	34	a	a	DET
easat-9198	420	35	key	key	ADJ
easat-9198	420	36	contribution	contribution	NOUN
easat-9198	420	37	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	420	38	this	this	DET
easat-9198	420	39	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	420	40	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	421	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	421	2	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	421	3	not	not	PART
easat-9198	421	4	presented	present	VERB
easat-9198	421	5	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	421	6	a	a	DET
easat-9198	421	7	purely	purely	ADV
easat-9198	421	8	statistical	statistical	ADJ
easat-9198	421	9	exercise	exercise	NOUN
easat-9198	421	10	but	but	CCONJ
easat-9198	421	11	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	421	12	a	a	DET
easat-9198	421	13	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	421	14	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	421	15	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	421	16	support	support	NOUN
easat-9198	421	17	system	system	NOUN
easat-9198	421	18	that	that	PRON
easat-9198	421	19	connects	connect	VERB
easat-9198	421	20	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
easat-9198	421	21	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	421	22	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	421	23	firm	firm	ADJ
easat-9198	421	24	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	421	25	level	level	NOUN
easat-9198	421	26	actions	action	NOUN
easat-9198	421	27	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	422	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	422	2	results	result	NOUN
easat-9198	422	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
easat-9198	422	4	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	422	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	422	6	use	use	NOUN
easat-9198	422	7	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	422	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	422	9	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	422	10	tools	tool	NOUN
easat-9198	422	11	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	422	12	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	422	13	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	422	14	inform	inform	VERB
easat-9198	422	15	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	422	16	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	422	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	422	18	improve	improve	VERB
easat-9198	422	19	resource	resource	NOUN
easat-9198	422	20	allocation	allocation	NOUN
easat-9198	422	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	422	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	422	23	strengthen	strengthen	VERB
easat-9198	422	24	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	422	25	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	422	26	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	422	27	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	422	28	position	position	NOUN
easat-9198	422	29	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	422	30	particularly	particularly	ADV
easat-9198	422	31	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	422	32	high	high	ADJ
easat-9198	422	33	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	422	34	potential	potential	ADJ
easat-9198	422	35	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	422	36	like	like	ADP
easat-9198	422	37	electromechanical	electromechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	422	38	industries	industry	NOUN
easat-9198	422	39	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	423	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	423	2	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	423	3	added	add	VERB
easat-9198	423	4	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	423	5	this	this	DET
easat-9198	423	6	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	423	7	lies	lie	VERB
easat-9198	423	8	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	423	9	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	423	10	holistic	holistic	ADJ
easat-9198	423	11	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	423	12	bridging	bridge	VERB
easat-9198	423	13	technical	technical	ADJ
easat-9198	423	14	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	423	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	423	16	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	423	17	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	423	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	423	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	423	20	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	423	21	strategy	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	423	22	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	424	1	compared	compare	VERB
easat-9198	424	2	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	424	3	previous	previous	ADJ
easat-9198	424	4	studies	study	NOUN
easat-9198	424	5	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	424	6	it	it	PRON
easat-9198	424	7	offers	offer	VERB
easat-9198	424	8	an	an	DET
easat-9198	424	9	integrated	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	424	10	framework	framework	NOUN
easat-9198	424	11	adaptable	adaptable	ADJ
easat-9198	424	12	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	424	13	both	both	DET
easat-9198	424	14	policymakers	policymaker	NOUN
easat-9198	424	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	424	16	private	private	ADJ
easat-9198	424	17	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	424	18	managers	manager	NOUN
easat-9198	424	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	425	1	however	however	ADV
easat-9198	425	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	425	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	425	4	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	425	5	faces	face	VERB
easat-9198	425	6	certain	certain	ADJ
easat-9198	425	7	limitations	limitation	NOUN
easat-9198	425	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	426	1	the	the	DET
easat-9198	426	2	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	426	3	assume	assume	VERB
easat-9198	426	4	relative	relative	ADJ
easat-9198	426	5	stability	stability	NOUN
easat-9198	426	6	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	426	7	external	external	ADJ
easat-9198	426	8	conditions	condition	NOUN
easat-9198	426	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	426	10	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	426	11	may	may	AUX
easat-9198	426	12	not	not	PART
easat-9198	426	13	fully	fully	ADV
easat-9198	426	14	capture	capture	VERB
easat-9198	426	15	geopolitical	geopolitical	ADJ
easat-9198	426	16	shocks	shock	NOUN
easat-9198	426	17	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	426	18	abrupt	abrupt	ADJ
easat-9198	426	19	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	426	20	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	426	21	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	427	1	additionally	additionally	ADV
easat-9198	427	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	427	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	427	4	dataset	dataset	NOUN
easat-9198	427	5	was	be	AUX
easat-9198	427	6	limited	limit	VERB
easat-9198	427	7	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	427	8	historical	historical	ADJ
easat-9198	427	9	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	427	10	values	value	NOUN
easat-9198	427	11	without	without	ADP
easat-9198	427	12	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	427	13	variables	variable	NOUN
easat-9198	427	14	such	such	ADJ
easat-9198	427	15	as	as	ADP
easat-9198	427	16	exchange	exchange	NOUN
easat-9198	427	17	rates	rate	NOUN
easat-9198	427	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	427	19	production	production	NOUN
easat-9198	427	20	capacity	capacity	NOUN
easat-9198	427	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	427	22	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	427	23	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	427	24	competition	competition	NOUN
easat-9198	427	25	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	1	looking	look	VERB
easat-9198	428	2	ahead	ahead	ADV
easat-9198	428	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	4	future	future	ADJ
easat-9198	428	5	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	428	6	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	428	7	enhance	enhance	VERB
easat-9198	428	8	the	the	DET
easat-9198	428	9	models	model	NOUN
easat-9198	428	10	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	428	11	incorporating	incorporate	VERB
easat-9198	428	12	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	428	13	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	428	14	approaches	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	428	15	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	16	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
easat-9198	428	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	18	lstm	lstm	ADJ
easat-9198	428	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	20	xgboost	xgboost	ADV
easat-9198	428	21	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	22	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	23	integrating	integrate	VERB
easat-9198	428	24	multi	multi	ADJ
easat-9198	428	25	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	428	26	variable	variable	ADJ
easat-9198	428	27	inputs	input	NOUN
easat-9198	428	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	428	29	or	or	CCONJ
easat-9198	428	30	extending	extend	VERB
easat-9198	428	31	the	the	DET
easat-9198	428	32	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	428	33	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	428	34	other	other	ADJ
easat-9198	428	35	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	428	36	sectors	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	428	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	429	1	furthermore	furthermore	ADV
easat-9198	429	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	429	3	studies	study	NOUN
easat-9198	429	4	could	could	AUX
easat-9198	429	5	assess	assess	VERB
easat-9198	429	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	429	7	impact	impact	NOUN
easat-9198	429	8	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	429	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
easat-9198	429	10	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	429	11	driven	drive	VERB
easat-9198	429	12	decisions	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	429	13	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	429	14	actual	actual	ADJ
easat-9198	429	15	trade	trade	NOUN
easat-9198	429	16	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	429	17	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	429	18	thus	thus	ADV
easat-9198	429	19	closing	close	VERB
easat-9198	429	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	429	21	loop	loop	NOUN
easat-9198	429	22	between	between	ADP
easat-9198	429	23	prediction	prediction	NOUN
easat-9198	429	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	429	25	implementation	implementation	NOUN
easat-9198	429	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	430	1	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	430	2	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
easat-9198	430	3	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	430	4	this	this	DET
easat-9198	430	5	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	430	6	illustrates	illustrate	VERB
easat-9198	430	7	how	how	SCONJ
easat-9198	430	8	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	430	9	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	430	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	430	11	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	430	12	can	can	AUX
easat-9198	430	13	jointly	jointly	ADV
easat-9198	430	14	contribute	contribute	VERB
easat-9198	430	15	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	430	16	national	national	ADJ
easat-9198	430	17	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	430	18	strategy	strategy	NOUN
easat-9198	430	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	430	20	offering	offer	VERB
easat-9198	430	21	both	both	DET
easat-9198	430	22	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
easat-9198	430	23	insights	insight	NOUN
easat-9198	430	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	430	25	practical	practical	ADJ
easat-9198	430	26	tools	tool	NOUN
easat-9198	430	27	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	430	28	boosting	boost	VERB
easat-9198	430	29	tunisia	tunisia	PROPN
easat-9198	430	30	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	430	31	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	430	32	competitiveness	competitiveness	NOUN
easat-9198	430	33	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	431	1	these	these	DET
easat-9198	431	2	findings	finding	NOUN
easat-9198	431	3	are	be	AUX
easat-9198	431	4	corroborated	corroborate	VERB
easat-9198	431	5	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	431	6	more	more	ADJ
easat-9198	431	7	current	current	ADJ
easat-9198	431	8	studies	study	NOUN
easat-9198	431	9	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	431	10	the	the	DET
easat-9198	431	11	literature	literature	NOUN
easat-9198	431	12	highlighting	highlight	VERB
easat-9198	431	13	the	the	DET
easat-9198	431	14	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	431	15	importance	importance	NOUN
easat-9198	431	16	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	431	17	relational	relational	ADJ
easat-9198	431	18	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
easat-9198	431	19	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	431	20	banking	banking	NOUN
easat-9198	431	21	[	[	X
easat-9198	431	22	9	9	X
easat-9198	431	23	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	431	24	the	the	DET
easat-9198	431	25	effects	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	431	26	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	431	27	capital	capital	NOUN
easat-9198	431	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	431	29	liquidity	liquidity	NOUN
easat-9198	431	30	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	431	31	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	431	32	stability	stability	NOUN
easat-9198	432	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	432	2	10	10	NUM
easat-9198	432	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	432	4	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	432	5	the	the	DET
easat-9198	432	6	evolving	evolve	VERB
easat-9198	432	7	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	432	8	development	development	NOUN
easat-9198	432	9	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	432	10	volatility	volatility	NOUN
easat-9198	432	11	nexus	nexus	NOUN
easat-9198	433	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	433	2	11	11	NUM
easat-9198	433	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	433	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	1	further	far	ADV
easat-9198	434	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	3	advanced	advanced	ADJ
easat-9198	434	4	analytical	analytical	ADJ
easat-9198	434	5	techniques	technique	NOUN
easat-9198	434	6	—	—	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	7	i.e.	i.e.	X
easat-9198	434	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	9	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	434	10	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	434	11	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	12	ml	ml	NOUN
easat-9198	434	13	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	14	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	434	15	credit	credit	NOUN
easat-9198	434	16	risk	risk	NOUN
easat-9198	434	17	[	[	X
easat-9198	434	18	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	434	19	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	21	ardl	ardl	NOUN
easat-9198	434	22	modeling	modeling	NOUN
easat-9198	434	23	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	434	24	sustainability	sustainability	NOUN
easat-9198	434	25	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	434	26	oilexporting	oilexporte	VERB
easat-9198	434	27	economies	economy	NOUN
easat-9198	434	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	434	29	ai	ai	NOUN
easat-9198	434	30	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	31	based	base	VERB
easat-9198	434	32	libor	libor	PROPN
easat-9198	434	33	transition	transition	NOUN
easat-9198	434	34	assessments	assessment	NOUN
easat-9198	434	35	[	[	X
easat-9198	434	36	13]—are	13]—are	NUM
easat-9198	434	37	demonstrated	demonstrate	VERB
easat-9198	434	38	to	to	PART
easat-9198	434	39	depict	depict	VERB
easat-9198	434	40	the	the	DET
easat-9198	434	41	modes	mode	NOUN
easat-9198	434	42	through	through	ADP
easat-9198	434	43	which	which	PRON
easat-9198	434	44	data	datum	NOUN
easat-9198	434	45	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	434	46	continues	continue	VERB
easat-9198	434	47	to	to	PART
easat-9198	434	48	remake	remake	VERB
easat-9198	434	49	decision	decision	NOUN
easat-9198	434	50	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	434	51	making	making	NOUN
easat-9198	434	52	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	434	53	marketing	marketing	NOUN
easat-9198	434	54	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	434	55	finance	finance	NOUN
easat-9198	434	56	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	1	transparency	transparency	NOUN
easat-9198	435	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	3	the	the	DET
easat-9198	435	4	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	435	5	confirm	confirm	VERB
easat-9198	435	6	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	435	7	the	the	DET
easat-9198	435	8	manuscript	manuscript	NOUN
easat-9198	435	9	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	435	10	an	an	DET
easat-9198	435	11	honest	honest	ADJ
easat-9198	435	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	13	accurate	accurate	ADJ
easat-9198	435	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	435	16	transparent	transparent	ADJ
easat-9198	435	17	account	account	NOUN
easat-9198	435	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	435	19	the	the	DET
easat-9198	435	20	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	435	21	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	22	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	435	23	no	no	DET
easat-9198	435	24	vital	vital	ADJ
easat-9198	435	25	features	feature	NOUN
easat-9198	435	26	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	435	27	the	the	DET
easat-9198	435	28	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	435	29	have	have	AUX
easat-9198	435	30	been	be	AUX
easat-9198	435	31	omitted	omit	VERB
easat-9198	435	32	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	435	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	435	34	that	that	SCONJ
easat-9198	435	35	any	any	DET
easat-9198	435	36	discrepancies	discrepancy	NOUN
easat-9198	435	37	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	435	38	the	the	DET
easat-9198	435	39	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	435	40	as	as	SCONJ
easat-9198	435	41	planned	plan	VERB
easat-9198	435	42	have	have	AUX
easat-9198	435	43	been	be	AUX
easat-9198	435	44	explained	explain	VERB
easat-9198	435	45	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	436	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	436	2	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	436	3	followed	follow	VERB
easat-9198	436	4	all	all	DET
easat-9198	436	5	ethical	ethical	ADJ
easat-9198	436	6	practices	practice	NOUN
easat-9198	436	7	during	during	ADP
easat-9198	436	8	writing	writing	NOUN
easat-9198	436	9	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	437	1	copyright	copyright	NOUN
easat-9198	437	2	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	437	3	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	437	4	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	437	5	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	437	6	the	the	DET
easat-9198	437	7	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	437	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	1	this	this	DET
easat-9198	438	2	open	open	ADJ
easat-9198	438	3	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	4	access	access	NOUN
easat-9198	438	5	article	article	NOUN
easat-9198	438	6	is	be	AUX
easat-9198	438	7	distributed	distribute	VERB
easat-9198	438	8	under	under	ADP
easat-9198	438	9	the	the	DET
easat-9198	438	10	terms	term	NOUN
easat-9198	438	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	438	12	conditions	condition	NOUN
easat-9198	438	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	438	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	438	15	creative	creative	ADJ
easat-9198	438	16	commons	common	NOUN
easat-9198	438	17	attribution	attribution	NOUN
easat-9198	438	18	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	19	cc	cc	NOUN
easat-9198	438	20	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	438	21	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	22	license	license	NOUN
easat-9198	438	23	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	24	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/	PROPN
easat-9198	438	25	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	438	26	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	1	references	reference	NOUN
easat-9198	439	2	[	[	X
easat-9198	439	3	1	1	X
easat-9198	439	4	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	5	t.	t.	NOUN
easat-9198	439	6	nguyen	nguyen	NOUN
easat-9198	439	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	439	8	t.	t.	PROPN
easat-9198	439	9	pham	pham	PROPN
easat-9198	439	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	11	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	12	application	application	NOUN
easat-9198	439	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	439	14	arima	arima	PROPN
easat-9198	439	15	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	439	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	439	17	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	439	18	vietnam	vietnam	PROPN
easat-9198	439	19	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	439	20	black	black	ADJ
easat-9198	439	21	pepper	pepper	NOUN
easat-9198	439	22	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	439	23	price	price	NOUN
easat-9198	439	24	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	439	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	439	26	u.s	u.s	PROPN
easat-9198	439	27	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	439	28	market	market	NOUN
easat-9198	439	29	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	30	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	31	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	439	32	journal	journal	NOUN
easat-9198	439	33	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	439	34	multidisciplinary	multidisciplinary	ADJ
easat-9198	439	35	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	439	36	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	439	37	growth	growth	NOUN
easat-9198	439	38	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
easat-9198	439	39	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	40	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	439	41	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	439	42	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	439	43	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	44	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	439	45	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	439	46	6	6	NUM
easat-9198	439	47	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	439	48	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	439	49	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	440	1	12–17	12–17	NUM
easat-9198	440	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	440	3	2021	2021	NUM
easat-9198	440	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	441	2	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	441	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	4	l.	l.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	5	h.	h.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	6	hasibuan	hasibuan	PROPN
easat-9198	441	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	8	s.	s.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	9	musthofa	musthofa	PROPN
easat-9198	441	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	11	d.	d.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	12	m.	m.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	13	putri	putri	PROPN
easat-9198	441	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	441	16	m.	m.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	17	jannah	jannah	PROPN
easat-9198	441	18	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	19	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	20	comparison	comparison	NOUN
easat-9198	441	21	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	441	22	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	441	23	time	time	NOUN
easat-9198	441	24	series	series	NOUN
easat-9198	441	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	441	26	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	441	27	sarima	sarima	NOUN
easat-9198	441	28	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	441	29	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	441	30	winter	winter	PROPN
easat-9198	441	31	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	441	32	exponential	exponential	ADJ
easat-9198	441	33	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
easat-9198	441	34	(	(	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	35	case	case	NOUN
easat-9198	441	36	study	study	NOUN
easat-9198	441	37	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	38	west	west	PROPN
easat-9198	441	39	sumatra	sumatra	PROPN
easat-9198	441	40	export	export	PROPN
easat-9198	441	41	data	data	PROPN
easat-9198	441	42	)	)	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	43	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	44	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	45	barekeng	barekeng	NOUN
easat-9198	441	46	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	47	jurnal	jurnal	ADJ
easat-9198	441	48	ilmu	ilmu	PROPN
easat-9198	441	49	matematika	matematika	PROPN
easat-9198	441	50	dan	dan	PROPN
easat-9198	441	51	terapan	terapan	PROPN
easat-9198	441	52	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	53	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	441	54	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	441	55	17	17	NUM
easat-9198	441	56	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	57	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	441	58	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	441	59	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	441	60	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	441	61	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	441	62	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	442	1	1773	1773	NUM
easat-9198	442	2	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	442	3	1784	1784	NUM
easat-9198	442	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	442	5	2023	2023	NUM
easat-9198	442	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	443	2	3	3	X
easat-9198	443	3	]	]	X
easat-9198	443	4	n.	n.	PROPN
easat-9198	443	5	ş	ş	PROPN
easat-9198	443	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	7	ersöz	ersöz	PROPN
easat-9198	443	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	9	p.	p.	PROPN
easat-9198	443	10	güner	güner	NOUN
easat-9198	443	11	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	12	a.	a.	NOUN
easat-9198	443	13	akbaş	akbaş	PROPN
easat-9198	443	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	15	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	443	16	b.	b.	PROPN
easat-9198	443	17	bakir	bakir	PROPN
easat-9198	443	18	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	19	gungor	gungor	ADJ
easat-9198	443	20	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	21	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	22	comparative	comparative	ADJ
easat-9198	443	23	performance	performance	NOUN
easat-9198	443	24	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	443	25	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	443	26	arima	arima	NOUN
easat-9198	443	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	28	prophet	prophet	NOUN
easat-9198	443	29	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	443	30	holt	holt	PROPN
easat-9198	443	31	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	32	winters	winters	PROPN
easat-9198	443	33	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	443	34	methods	method	NOUN
easat-9198	443	35	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	443	36	european	european	PROPN
easat-9198	443	37	covid-19	covid-19	PROPN
easat-9198	443	38	data	data	PROPN
easat-9198	443	39	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	40	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	41	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	443	42	journal	journal	NOUN
easat-9198	443	43	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	443	44	3d	3d	NUM
easat-9198	443	45	printing	printing	NOUN
easat-9198	443	46	technologies	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	443	47	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	443	48	digital	digital	ADJ
easat-9198	443	49	industry	industry	NOUN
easat-9198	443	50	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	51	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	443	52	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	443	53	6	6	NUM
easat-9198	443	54	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	55	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	443	56	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	443	57	3	3	NUM
easat-9198	443	58	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	59	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	443	60	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	61	556	556	NUM
easat-9198	443	62	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	443	63	565	565	NUM
easat-9198	443	64	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	443	65	2022	2022	NUM
easat-9198	443	66	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	444	2	4	4	X
easat-9198	444	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	4	t.	t.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	5	kamsyakhan	kamsyakhan	PROPN
easat-9198	444	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	7	p.	p.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	8	wirotcheewan	wirotcheewan	PROPN
easat-9198	444	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	10	a.	a.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	11	kengpol	kengpol	PROPN
easat-9198	444	12	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	13	k.	k.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	14	ishii	ishii	PROPN
easat-9198	444	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	16	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	444	17	y.	y.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	18	shimada	shimada	PROPN
easat-9198	444	19	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	20	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	21	modelling	modelling	NOUN
easat-9198	444	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	444	23	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	444	24	for	for	ADP
easat-9198	444	25	automotive	automotive	ADJ
easat-9198	444	26	parts	part	NOUN
easat-9198	444	27	demand	demand	NOUN
easat-9198	444	28	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	444	29	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	444	30	markets	market	NOUN
easat-9198	444	31	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	444	32	thailand	thailand	PROPN
easat-9198	444	33	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	34	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	35	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	444	36	journal	journal	NOUN
easat-9198	444	37	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	444	38	innovative	innovative	ADJ
easat-9198	444	39	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	444	40	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	444	41	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	444	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	43	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	444	44	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	444	45	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	444	46	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	47	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	444	48	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	444	49	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	444	50	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	51	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	444	52	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	53	45–52	45–52	NUM
easat-9198	444	54	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	444	55	2022	2022	NUM
easat-9198	444	56	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	445	1	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/	PROPN
easat-9198	445	2	65	65	NUM
easat-9198	445	3	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	445	4	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	445	5	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	445	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	445	7	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	445	8	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	445	9	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	445	10	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	445	11	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	445	12	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	445	13	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	445	14	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	446	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	446	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	446	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	446	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	446	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	446	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	446	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	446	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	446	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	446	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	446	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	446	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	446	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	446	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	446	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	446	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	446	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	446	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	446	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	446	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	446	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	446	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	446	23	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	446	24	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	446	25	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	447	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	447	2	5	5	NUM
easat-9198	447	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	4	v.	v.	CCONJ
easat-9198	447	5	santi	santi	PROPN
easat-9198	447	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	7	r.	r.	PROPN
easat-9198	447	8	wahyu	wahyu	PROPN
easat-9198	447	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	447	11	i.	i.	PROPN
easat-9198	447	12	hadi	hadi	PROPN
easat-9198	447	13	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	14	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	15	forecasting	forecast	VERB
easat-9198	447	16	the	the	DET
easat-9198	447	17	value	value	NOUN
easat-9198	447	18	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	447	19	indonesia	indonesia	PROPN
easat-9198	447	20	’s	’s	PART
easat-9198	447	21	oil	oil	NOUN
easat-9198	447	22	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	447	23	gas	gas	NOUN
easat-9198	447	24	imports	import	NOUN
easat-9198	447	25	using	use	VERB
easat-9198	447	26	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
easat-9198	447	27	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
easat-9198	447	28	integrated	integrated	ADJ
easat-9198	447	29	moving	move	VERB
easat-9198	447	30	average	average	ADJ
easat-9198	447	31	model	model	NOUN
easat-9198	447	32	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	33	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	34	barekeng	barekeng	NOUN
easat-9198	447	35	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	36	jurnal	jurnal	ADJ
easat-9198	447	37	ilmu	ilmu	PROPN
easat-9198	447	38	matematika	matematika	PROPN
easat-9198	447	39	dan	dan	PROPN
easat-9198	447	40	terapan	terapan	PROPN
easat-9198	447	41	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	447	42	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	447	43	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	448	1	17	17	NUM
easat-9198	448	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	448	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	448	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	448	5	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	448	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	448	7	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	448	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	449	1	2047	2047	NUM
easat-9198	449	2	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	449	3	2058	2058	NUM
easat-9198	449	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	449	5	2023	2023	NUM
easat-9198	449	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	1	https://doi.org/10.30598/barekengvol17iss4pp2047-2058	https://doi.org/10.30598/barekengvol17iss4pp2047-2058	NOUN
easat-9198	450	2	[	[	X
easat-9198	450	3	6	6	NUM
easat-9198	450	4	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	5	v.	v.	CCONJ
easat-9198	450	6	shevchuk	shevchuk	PROPN
easat-9198	450	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	450	8	i.	i.	PROPN
easat-9198	450	9	fedulova	fedulova	PROPN
easat-9198	450	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	11	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	12	structural	structural	ADJ
easat-9198	450	13	changes	change	NOUN
easat-9198	450	14	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	450	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	450	16	export	export	NOUN
easat-9198	450	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	450	18	mechanical	mechanical	ADJ
easat-9198	450	19	engineering	engineering	NOUN
easat-9198	450	20	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	450	21	ukraine	ukraine	NOUN
easat-9198	450	22	under	under	ADP
easat-9198	450	23	the	the	DET
easat-9198	450	24	impact	impact	NOUN
easat-9198	450	25	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	450	26	foreign	foreign	ADJ
easat-9198	450	27	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	450	28	policy	policy	NOUN
easat-9198	450	29	transformation	transformation	NOUN
easat-9198	450	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	31	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	32	entrepreneurship	entrepreneurship	NOUN
easat-9198	450	33	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	450	34	sustainability	sustainability	NOUN
easat-9198	450	35	issues	issue	NOUN
easat-9198	450	36	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	37	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	450	38	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	450	39	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	450	40	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	41	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	450	42	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	450	43	4	4	NUM
easat-9198	450	44	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	450	45	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	450	46	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	451	1	525–543	525–543	NUM
easat-9198	451	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	451	3	2021	2021	NUM
easat-9198	451	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	452	2	7	7	X
easat-9198	452	3	]	]	X
easat-9198	452	4	d.	d.	PROPN
easat-9198	452	5	ščeulovs	ščeulovs	PROPN
easat-9198	452	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	452	7	e.	e.	PROPN
easat-9198	452	8	gaile‑sarkane	gaile‑sarkane	PROPN
easat-9198	452	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	10	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	452	12	role	role	NOUN
easat-9198	452	13	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	452	14	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	452	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	452	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	452	17	strategic	strategic	ADJ
easat-9198	452	18	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	452	19	business	business	NOUN
easat-9198	452	20	planning	planning	NOUN
easat-9198	452	21	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	22	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	23	entrepreneurship	entrepreneurship	NOUN
easat-9198	452	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	452	25	sustainability	sustainability	NOUN
easat-9198	452	26	issues	issue	NOUN
easat-9198	452	27	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	28	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	452	29	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	452	30	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	452	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	32	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	452	33	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	452	34	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	452	35	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	452	36	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	452	37	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	453	1	342–354	342–354	NUM
easat-9198	453	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	453	3	2021	2021	NUM
easat-9198	453	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	454	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	454	2	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	454	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	454	4	r.	r.	PROPN
easat-9198	454	5	j.	j.	PROPN
easat-9198	454	6	hyndman	hyndman	PROPN
easat-9198	454	7	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	454	8	g.	g.	PROPN
easat-9198	454	9	athanasopoulos	athanasopoulo	NOUN
easat-9198	454	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	454	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
easat-9198	454	12	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	454	13	principles	principle	NOUN
easat-9198	454	14	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	454	15	practice	practice	NOUN
easat-9198	454	16	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	454	17	2nd	2nd	ADJ
easat-9198	454	18	ed	ed	NOUN
easat-9198	454	19	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	455	1	melbourne	melbourne	PROPN
easat-9198	455	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	455	3	australia	australia	PROPN
easat-9198	455	4	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	455	5	otexts	otext	NOUN
easat-9198	455	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	455	7	2018	2018	NUM
easat-9198	455	8	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	456	2	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	456	3	]	]	SYM
easat-9198	456	4	a.	a.	NOUN
easat-9198	456	5	ziadi	ziadi	PROPN
easat-9198	456	6	ben	ben	PROPN
easat-9198	456	7	fadhel	fadhel	PROPN
easat-9198	456	8	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	9	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	10	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	456	11	the	the	DET
easat-9198	456	12	transactional	transactional	NOUN
easat-9198	456	13	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	456	14	the	the	DET
easat-9198	456	15	relational	relational	NOUN
easat-9198	456	16	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	456	17	the	the	DET
easat-9198	456	18	customer	customer	NOUN
easat-9198	456	19	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	20	supplier	supplier	NOUN
easat-9198	456	21	relationship	relationship	NOUN
easat-9198	456	22	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	23	case	case	NOUN
easat-9198	456	24	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	456	25	the	the	DET
easat-9198	456	26	tunisian	tunisian	ADJ
easat-9198	456	27	banks	bank	NOUN
easat-9198	456	28	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	29	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	30	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	456	31	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	456	32	17	17	NUM
easat-9198	456	33	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	34	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	456	35	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	456	36	1	1	NUM
easat-9198	456	37	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	456	38	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	456	39	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	457	1	44–58	44–58	NOUN
easat-9198	457	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	457	3	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	457	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	458	2	10	10	NUM
easat-9198	458	3	]	]	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	4	m.	m.	NOUN
easat-9198	458	5	mazioud	mazioud	PROPN
easat-9198	458	6	chaabouni	chaabouni	PROPN
easat-9198	458	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	8	h.	h.	PROPN
easat-9198	458	9	zouaoui	zouaoui	PROPN
easat-9198	458	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	458	12	n.	n.	PROPN
easat-9198	458	13	z.	z.	PROPN
easat-9198	458	14	ellouz	ellouz	PROPN
easat-9198	458	15	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	16	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	17	bank	bank	NOUN
easat-9198	458	18	capital	capital	NOUN
easat-9198	458	19	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	458	20	liquidity	liquidity	NOUN
easat-9198	458	21	creation	creation	NOUN
easat-9198	458	22	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	23	new	new	ADJ
easat-9198	458	24	evidence	evidence	NOUN
easat-9198	458	25	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	458	26	a	a	DET
easat-9198	458	27	quantile	quantile	ADJ
easat-9198	458	28	regression	regression	NOUN
easat-9198	458	29	approach	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	458	30	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	31	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	32	managerial	managerial	ADJ
easat-9198	458	33	finance	finance	NOUN
easat-9198	458	34	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	35	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	458	36	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	458	37	44	44	NUM
easat-9198	458	38	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	39	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	458	40	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	458	41	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	458	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	458	43	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	458	44	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	459	1	1382	1382	NUM
easat-9198	459	2	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	459	3	1400	1400	NUM
easat-9198	459	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	459	5	2018	2018	NUM
easat-9198	459	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	460	1	https://doi.org/10.1108/mf-11-2017-0478	https://doi.org/10.1108/mf-11-2017-0478	X
easat-9198	461	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	461	2	11	11	NUM
easat-9198	461	3	]	]	X
easat-9198	461	4	h.	h.	PROPN
easat-9198	461	5	zouaoui	zouaoui	PROPN
easat-9198	461	6	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	7	m.	m.	NOUN
easat-9198	461	8	mazioud	mazioud	PROPN
easat-9198	461	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	10	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	461	11	n.	n.	PROPN
easat-9198	461	12	z.	z.	PROPN
easat-9198	461	13	ellouz	ellouz	PROPN
easat-9198	461	14	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	15	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	16	a	a	DET
easat-9198	461	17	semi	semi	ADJ
easat-9198	461	18	-	-	ADJ
easat-9198	461	19	parametric	parametric	ADJ
easat-9198	461	20	panel	panel	NOUN
easat-9198	461	21	data	data	VERB
easat-9198	461	22	analysis	analysis	NOUN
easat-9198	461	23	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	461	24	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	461	25	development	development	NOUN
easat-9198	461	26	-	-	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	27	economic	economic	ADJ
easat-9198	461	28	volatility	volatility	NOUN
easat-9198	461	29	nexus	nexus	NOUN
easat-9198	461	30	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	461	31	developing	develop	VERB
easat-9198	461	32	countries	country	NOUN
easat-9198	461	33	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	34	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	35	economics	economic	NOUN
easat-9198	461	36	letters	letter	NOUN
easat-9198	461	37	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	461	38	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	461	39	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	462	1	172	172	NUM
easat-9198	462	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	462	3	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	462	4	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	463	1	50	50	NUM
easat-9198	463	2	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	463	3	55	55	NUM
easat-9198	463	4	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	463	5	2018	2018	NUM
easat-9198	463	6	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	1	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.010	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.010	NOUN
easat-9198	464	2	[	[	X
easat-9198	464	3	12	12	NUM
easat-9198	464	4	]	]	X
easat-9198	464	5	n.	n.	PROPN
easat-9198	464	6	gafsi	gafsi	NOUN
easat-9198	464	7	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	8	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	9	machine	machine	NOUN
easat-9198	464	10	learning	learning	NOUN
easat-9198	464	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
easat-9198	464	12	to	to	ADP
easat-9198	464	13	credit	credit	NOUN
easat-9198	464	14	risk	risk	NOUN
easat-9198	464	15	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	16	comparative	comparative	ADJ
easat-9198	464	17	evidence	evidence	NOUN
easat-9198	464	18	from	from	ADP
easat-9198	464	19	participation	participation	NOUN
easat-9198	464	20	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	464	21	conventional	conventional	ADJ
easat-9198	464	22	banks	bank	NOUN
easat-9198	464	23	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	464	24	the	the	DET
easat-9198	464	25	uk	uk	PROPN
easat-9198	464	26	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	27	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	28	journal	journal	NOUN
easat-9198	464	29	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	464	30	risk	risk	NOUN
easat-9198	464	31	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	464	32	financial	financial	ADJ
easat-9198	464	33	management	management	NOUN
easat-9198	464	34	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	35	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	464	36	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	464	37	18	18	NUM
easat-9198	464	38	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	39	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	464	40	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	464	41	7	7	NUM
easat-9198	464	42	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	43	p.	p.	NOUN
easat-9198	464	44	345	345	NUM
easat-9198	464	45	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	464	46	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	464	47	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	465	1	https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070345	https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070345	PROPN
easat-9198	466	1	[	[	X
easat-9198	466	2	13	13	NUM
easat-9198	466	3	]	]	X
easat-9198	466	4	n.	n.	NOUN
easat-9198	466	5	ellouze	ellouze	PROPN
easat-9198	466	6	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	466	7	n.	n.	PROPN
easat-9198	466	8	gafsi	gafsi	PROPN
easat-9198	466	9	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	10	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	11	leveraging	leverage	VERB
easat-9198	466	12	ai	ai	VERB
easat-9198	466	13	to	to	PART
easat-9198	466	14	uncover	uncover	VERB
easat-9198	466	15	the	the	DET
easat-9198	466	16	effects	effect	NOUN
easat-9198	466	17	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	466	18	pivotal	pivotal	ADJ
easat-9198	466	19	moments	moment	NOUN
easat-9198	466	20	in	in	ADP
easat-9198	466	21	the	the	DET
easat-9198	466	22	libor	libor	PROPN
easat-9198	466	23	framework	framework	NOUN
easat-9198	466	24	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	466	25	its	its	PRON
easat-9198	466	26	evolution	evolution	NOUN
easat-9198	466	27	on	on	ADP
easat-9198	466	28	the	the	DET
easat-9198	466	29	banking	banking	NOUN
easat-9198	466	30	sector	sector	NOUN
easat-9198	466	31	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	32	"	"	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	33	international	international	ADJ
easat-9198	466	34	journal	journal	NOUN
easat-9198	466	35	of	of	ADP
easat-9198	466	36	innovative	innovative	ADJ
easat-9198	466	37	research	research	NOUN
easat-9198	466	38	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	466	39	scientific	scientific	ADJ
easat-9198	466	40	studies	study	NOUN
easat-9198	466	41	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	42	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	466	43	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	466	44	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	466	45	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	46	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	466	47	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	466	48	2	2	NUM
easat-9198	466	49	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	50	pp	pp	ADJ
easat-9198	466	51	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	52	886	886	NUM
easat-9198	466	53	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	466	54	896	896	NUM
easat-9198	466	55	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	466	56	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	466	57	.	.	PUNCT
easat-9198	467	1	https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i2.5388	https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i2.5388	PRON
easat-9198	467	2	https://doi.org/10.30598/barekengvol17iss4pp2047-2058	https://doi.org/10.30598/barekengvol17iss4pp2047-2058	NOUN
easat-9198	467	3	https://doi.org/10.1108/mf-11-2017-0478	https://doi.org/10.1108/mf-11-2017-0478	PUNCT
easat-9198	467	4	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.010	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.08.010	NOUN
easat-9198	467	5	https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070345	https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070345	PROPN
easat-9198	467	6	https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i2.5388	https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i2.5388	X
easat-9198	467	7	66	66	NUM
easat-9198	467	8	edelweiss	edelweiss	PROPN
easat-9198	467	9	applied	apply	VERB
easat-9198	467	10	science	science	NOUN
easat-9198	467	11	and	and	CCONJ
easat-9198	467	12	technology	technology	NOUN
easat-9198	467	13	issn	issn	PROPN
easat-9198	467	14	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	467	15	2576	2576	NUM
easat-9198	467	16	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	467	17	8484	8484	NUM
easat-9198	467	18	vol	vol	NOUN
easat-9198	467	19	.	.	PROPN
easat-9198	468	1	9	9	NUM
easat-9198	468	2	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	468	3	no	no	INTJ
easat-9198	468	4	.	.	NOUN
easat-9198	468	5	8	8	NUM
easat-9198	468	6	:	:	SYM
easat-9198	468	7	36	36	NUM
easat-9198	468	8	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	468	9	68	68	NUM
easat-9198	468	10	,	,	PUNCT
easat-9198	468	11	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	468	12	doi	doi	NOUN
easat-9198	468	13	:	:	PUNCT
easat-9198	468	14	10.55214/2576	10.55214/2576	NUM
easat-9198	468	15	-	-	SYM
easat-9198	468	16	8484.v9i8.9198	8484.v9i8.9198	NUM
easat-9198	468	17	©	©	PROPN
easat-9198	468	18	2025	2025	NUM
easat-9198	468	19	by	by	ADP
easat-9198	468	20	the	the	DET
easat-9198	468	21	authors	author	NOUN
easat-9198	468	22	;	;	PUNCT
easat-9198	469	1	licensee	licensee	PROPN
easat-9198	469	2	learning	learn	VERB
easat-9198	469	3	gate	gate	NOUN
easat-9198	469	4	appendix	appendix	NOUN
easat-9198	469	5	1	1	NUM
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easat-9198	472	6	:	:	SYM
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