id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentence	flesch	summary	cache	txt
ejpam-3792	Nah, Kyeongah; Chen, Shengyuan; Xiao, Yanyu; Tang, Biao; Bragazzi, Nicola; Heffernan, Jane; Asgary, Ali; Ogden, Nicholas; Wu, Jianhong	Scenario Tree and Adaptive Decision Making on Optimal Type and Timing for Intervention and Social-economic Activity Changes to Manage the COVID-19 Pandemic	2020	20	.pdf	application/pdf	8060	335	56	Taking into account the uncertainties in contact rates during different re-opening phases, we find the optimal timing for the upcoming re-opening phase that maximizes the relaxation of social contacts under uncertainties, while not overwhelming the health system capacity before the arrival of effective therapeutics or vaccines. However, they can be informed by, for example, mathematical modelling studies of historical measures of COVID-19 public health mitigation strategies during different closure stages – bounds of contact rates in the future may be reasonably established in terms of the economic sec- tor and social, economic and health considerations, from which ranges in the timing and magnitude of peak demand of ICU units can be inferred.	cache/ejpam-3792.pdf	txt/ejpam-3792.txt