id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
ejpam-2949	1	1	european	european	PROPN
ejpam-2949	1	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	1	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	1	4	pure	pure	ADJ
ejpam-2949	1	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	1	6	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	1	7	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	1	8	vol	vol	NOUN
ejpam-2949	1	9	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	1	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	2	3	no	no	INTJ
ejpam-2949	2	4	.	.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	2	5	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	2	7	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	2	9	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	10	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	2	11	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	12	issn	issn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	13	1307	1307	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	14	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	2	15	5543	5543	NUM
ejpam-2949	2	16	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	2	17	www.ejpam.com	www.ejpam.com	X
ejpam-2949	2	18	published	publish	VERB
ejpam-2949	2	19	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	2	20	new	new	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	21	york	york	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	22	business	business	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	23	global	global	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	24	sir	sir	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	25	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	26	w.j	w.j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	2	27	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	3	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	3	2	memorial	memorial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	3	3	special	special	ADJ
ejpam-2949	3	4	issue	issue	NOUN
ejpam-2949	3	5	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	3	6	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	3	7	sir	sir	PROPN
ejpam-2949	3	8	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	3	9	w.j	w.j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	4	2	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	3	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	4	4	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	4	6	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	4	7	michael	michael	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	8	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	9	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	10	icma	icma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	11	centre	centre	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	4	13	henley	henley	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	14	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	15	school	school	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	4	17	university	university	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	4	19	reading	reading	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	4	21	reading	read	VERB
ejpam-2949	4	22	rg6	rg6	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	23	6ba	6ba	NOUN
ejpam-2949	4	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	4	25	uk	uk	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	26	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	27	abstract	abstract	PROPN
ejpam-2949	4	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	5	1	some	some	PRON
ejpam-2949	5	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	5	3	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	5	4	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	5	5	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	5	6	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	5	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	5	8	varied	varied	ADJ
ejpam-2949	5	9	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	5	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	5	11	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	5	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	5	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	5	14	reviewed	review	VERB
ejpam-2949	5	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	6	1	these	these	PRON
ejpam-2949	6	2	include	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	6	3	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	6	5	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	6	6	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	6	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	9	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	6	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	6	12	improving	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	6	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	14	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	6	16	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	6	17	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	6	18	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	6	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	6	21	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	6	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	6	23	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	6	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	6	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	7	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	7	2	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	7	3	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	7	4	some	some	PRON
ejpam-2949	7	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	7	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	7	7	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	7	8	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	7	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	7	10	developments	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	7	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	7	12	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	7	13	areas	area	NOUN
ejpam-2949	7	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	7	15	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	7	16	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	7	17	sought	seek	VERB
ejpam-2949	7	18	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	7	19	generalize	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	7	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	7	21	applicability	applicability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	7	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	7	23	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	7	24	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	7	25	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	7	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	8	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	8	2	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	8	3	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	8	4	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	8	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	8	6	related	related	ADJ
ejpam-2949	8	7	areas	area	NOUN
ejpam-2949	8	8	motivated	motivate	VERB
ejpam-2949	8	9	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	8	10	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	8	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	8	12	part	part	NOUN
ejpam-2949	8	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	8	14	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	8	15	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	8	16	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	8	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	1	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-2949	9	2	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	3	subject	subject	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	4	classifications	classification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	6	62p20	62p20	NUM
ejpam-2949	9	7	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-2949	9	8	words	word	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	9	10	phrases	phrase	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	11	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	12	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	9	13	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	9	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	17	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	19	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	21	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	22	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	23	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	9	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	9	25	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	26	professor	professor	PROPN
ejpam-2949	9	27	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	9	28	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	9	29	published	publish	VERB
ejpam-2949	9	30	extensively	extensively	ADV
ejpam-2949	9	31	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	9	32	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	9	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	10	1	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	10	2	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	10	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	10	5	personal	personal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	10	6	reflection	reflection	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	8	some	some	PRON
ejpam-2949	10	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	10	that	that	DET
ejpam-2949	10	11	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	10	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	10	14	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	10	16	influence	influence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	17	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	10	18	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	10	19	had	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	10	20	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	21	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	23	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	10	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	10	26	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	10	27	development	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	10	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	10	30	subject	subject	NOUN
ejpam-2949	10	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	11	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	11	2	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-2949	11	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	11	4	topics	topic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	11	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	11	6	part	part	NOUN
ejpam-2949	11	7	reflects	reflect	VERB
ejpam-2949	11	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	11	9	author	author	NOUN
ejpam-2949	11	10	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	11	11	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-2949	11	12	interests	interest	NOUN
ejpam-2949	11	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	12	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	12	2	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	12	3	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	12	4	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	12	5	out	out	ADP
ejpam-2949	12	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	12	7	provide	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	12	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	12	9	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	12	10	account	account	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	12	12	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	12	13	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	12	14	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	12	15	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	16	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	12	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	12	19	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	12	20	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	12	21	catalogue	catalogue	VERB
ejpam-2949	12	22	his	his	PRON
ejpam-2949	12	23	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	24	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	25	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	12	26	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	12	27	topic	topic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	12	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	13	1	some	some	PRON
ejpam-2949	13	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	13	3	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	13	4	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	13	5	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	13	6	truly	truly	ADV
ejpam-2949	13	7	ground	ground	NOUN
ejpam-2949	13	8	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	13	9	breaking	breaking	NOUN
ejpam-2949	13	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	14	2	covers	cover	VERB
ejpam-2949	14	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	4	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	14	6	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	7	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	14	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	9	improving	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	14	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	11	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	14	13	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	14	3	3	NUM
ejpam-2949	14	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	17	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	14	19	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	20	4	4	NUM
ejpam-2949	14	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	14	23	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	14	24	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	14	25	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	14	27	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	28	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	14	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	30	email	email	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	31	address	address	NOUN
ejpam-2949	14	32	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	33	m.p.clements@reading.ac.uk	m.p.clements@reading.ac.uk	PROPN
ejpam-2949	14	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	35	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	14	36	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	14	37	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	14	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	14	39	http://www.ejpam.com	http://www.ejpam.com	X
ejpam-2949	15	1	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	15	2	c	c	X
ejpam-2949	15	3	©	©	PROPN
ejpam-2949	15	4	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	15	5	ejpam	ejpam	VERB
ejpam-2949	15	6	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	15	7	rights	right	NOUN
ejpam-2949	15	8	reserved	reserve	VERB
ejpam-2949	15	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	16	1	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	16	2	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	16	3	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	16	4	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	16	5	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	16	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	17	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	18	31	31	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	19	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	22	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	23	barnard	barnard	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	25	1963	1963	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	28	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	29	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	17	30	4	4	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	31	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	17	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	33	pre	pre	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	34	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	35	dates	date	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	17	37	seminal	seminal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	17	38	contribution	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	39	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	17	40	bates	bate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	41	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	17	42	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	17	43	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	44	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	45	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	46	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	47	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	48	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	17	49	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	50	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	17	51	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	17	53	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	17	54	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	17	55	latter	latter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	56	proposed	propose	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	57	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	17	58	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	17	59	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	17	60	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	61	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	17	62	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	63	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-2949	17	64	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	65	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	17	66	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	17	67	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-2949	17	68	quantity	quantity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	69	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	17	70	improve	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	17	71	predictive	predictive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	17	72	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	17	73	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	18	2	4	4	X
ejpam-2949	18	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	4	had	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	18	5	considered	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	18	6	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	18	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	18	8	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	18	9	average	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	18	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	18	12	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	13	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	14	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ejpam-2949	18	15	model	model	PROPN
ejpam-2949	18	16	forecast	forecast	PROPN
ejpam-2949	18	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	18	19	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	18	20	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	18	21	smoothing	smoothing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	22	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	18	26	showing	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	18	27	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	18	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	18	29	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	18	30	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	18	31	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	18	32	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	33	ahead	ahead	ADV
ejpam-2949	18	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	18	36	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	37	airline	airline	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	38	passenger	passenger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	39	miles	mile	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	40	per	per	ADP
ejpam-2949	18	41	month	month	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	42	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	18	43	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	18	44	smaller	small	ADJ
ejpam-2949	18	45	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	46	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	47	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	18	48	either	either	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	18	49	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	50	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	18	51	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	18	52	alone	alone	ADV
ejpam-2949	18	53	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	19	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	19	2	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	19	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	19	4	generalized	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	19	6	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	19	7	average	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	19	9	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	10	convex	convex	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	11	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	19	13	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	19	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	19	15	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	19	16	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	19	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	19	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	19	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	19	21	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	19	22	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	19	24	relative	relative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	19	25	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	26	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	27	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	19	28	each	each	PRON
ejpam-2949	19	29	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	19	30	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	19	31	chosen	choose	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	32	optimally	optimally	ADV
ejpam-2949	19	33	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	19	34	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	19	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	19	36	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	19	37	performance	performance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	38	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	19	39	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	19	40	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	19	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	1	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	20	2	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	20	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	4	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	20	5	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	20	6	are	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	20	7	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	20	8	h	h	ADJ
ejpam-2949	20	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	10	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	20	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	12	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	20	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	20	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	15	f1	f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	20	16	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	20	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	20	18	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	20	19	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	20	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	20	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	20	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	20	23	quantity	quantity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	20	24	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	20	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	1	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	21	5	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	6	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	21	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	8	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	21	9	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	12	errors	error	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	13	eit	eit	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	14	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	15	yt	yt	PRON
ejpam-2949	21	16	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	17	fit	fit	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	19	i	i	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	20	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	21	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	23	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	25	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	26	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	27	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	29	bates	bate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	31	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	33	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	36	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	37	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	21	38	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	39	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	41	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	43	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	45	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	21	46	combined	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	47	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	48	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	49	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	51	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	52	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	53	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	54	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	55	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	56	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	21	57	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	58	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	59	λ)f1	λ)f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	60	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	61	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	62	λf2	λf2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	63	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	64	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	65	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	66	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	67	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	68	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	69	≤	≤	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	70	λ	λ	X
ejpam-2949	21	71	≤	≤	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	72	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	73	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	74	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	75	comprises	comprise	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	76	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	21	77	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	21	78	weighted	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	79	average	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	80	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	81	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	82	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	83	individual	individual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	21	84	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	85	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	86	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	87	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	88	weighting	weighting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	89	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	90	λ	λ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	91	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	92	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	93	selected	select	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	94	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	95	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	96	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	97	relative	relative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	21	98	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	99	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	100	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	101	individual	individual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	21	102	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	103	f1	f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	104	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	105	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	106	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	107	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	108	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	21	109	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	110	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	111	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	112	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	113	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	114	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	115	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	116	denoted	denote	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	117	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	118	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	119	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	120	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	121	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	122	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	123	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	124	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	21	125	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	126	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	127	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	128	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	129	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	130	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	131	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	21	132	combined	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	133	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	134	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	21	135	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	21	136	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	21	137	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	138	e(ε2	e(ε2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	21	139	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	21	140	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	141	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	142	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	21	143	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	21	144	λ)2σ21	λ)2σ21	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	2	λ2σ22	λ2σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	3	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	4	2λ(1−	2λ(1−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	5	λ)ρσ1σ2	λ)ρσ1σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	7	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	22	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	9	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	10	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	12	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	13	denote	denote	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	15	respectively	respectively	ADV
ejpam-2949	22	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	22	18	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	19	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	20	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	22	22	f1	f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	25	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	26	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	29	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	30	denotes	denote	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	22	32	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	33	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	22	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	22	35	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	36	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	37	e1	e1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	38	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	39	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	40	e2	e2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	41	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	22	43	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	22	44	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	45	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	46	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	47	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	22	48	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	22	49	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	50	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	51	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	52	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	53	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	22	54	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	22	55	derived	derive	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	56	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	22	57	choosing	choose	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	58	λ	λ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	59	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	22	60	minimize	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	22	61	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	62	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	22	63	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	64	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	65	i.e.	i.e.	ADV
ejpam-2949	22	66	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	67	λopt	λopt	X
ejpam-2949	22	68	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	69	arg	arg	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	70	min	min	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	71	λ	λ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	72	{	{	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	73	e(ε2	e(ε2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	74	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	75	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	76	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	77	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	78	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	79	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	80	ρσ1σ2	ρσ1σ2	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	22	81	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	22	82	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	22	83	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	84	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	22	85	2ρσ1σ2	2ρσ1σ2	NUM
ejpam-2949	22	86	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	2	3	3	X
ejpam-2949	23	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	23	5	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	23	6	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	23	7	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	23	8	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-2949	23	9	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	23	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	23	11	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	23	12	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	23	13	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	23	14	λopt	λopt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	23	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	23	16	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	23	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	23	18	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	19	e(ε2	e(ε2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	23	20	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	23	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	22	λopt	λopt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	23	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	23	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	24	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	24	2	σ21σ	σ21σ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	25	1	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	25	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	25	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	25	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	25	5	ρ2	ρ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	25	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	25	7	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	25	8	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	26	1	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	26	2	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	26	3	2ρσ1σ2	2ρσ1σ2	NUM
ejpam-2949	26	4	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	26	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	26	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	26	7	necessity	necessity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	26	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	26	9	e(ε2	e(ε2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	26	10	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	26	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	26	12	λopt	λopt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	26	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	26	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	27	1	≤	≤	NUM
ejpam-2949	27	2	min	min	NOUN
ejpam-2949	27	3	{	{	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	27	4	σ21	σ21	PROPN
ejpam-2949	27	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	27	6	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	27	7	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	27	8	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	27	9	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	27	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	28	1	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	28	2	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	28	3	f1	f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	28	5	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	6	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	28	7	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-2949	28	8	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	28	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	28	10	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	28	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	28	12	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	28	13	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	14	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	15	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	16	σ2	σ2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	28	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	29	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	29	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	29	3	e(ε2	e(ε2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	29	4	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	29	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	29	6	λopt	λopt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	29	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	29	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	30	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	30	2	σ2	σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	30	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	30	4	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	30	5	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	30	6	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	30	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	30	8	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	30	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	31	1	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	31	2	that	that	DET
ejpam-2949	31	3	|ρ|	|ρ|	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	4	≤	≤	NUM
ejpam-2949	31	5	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	31	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	31	7	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	31	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	31	9	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	31	10	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	31	11	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	12	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-2949	31	13	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	31	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	31	15	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	31	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	31	18	less	less	ADJ
ejpam-2949	31	19	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	31	20	either	either	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	31	21	individual	individual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	31	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	23	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	31	24	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	31	25	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	31	27	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	31	28	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	31	29	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	31	30	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	31	31	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	31	32	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	31	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	32	1	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	32	2	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	32	3	are	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	32	4	diversification	diversification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	32	5	gains	gain	NOUN
ejpam-2949	32	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	32	7	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	32	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	32	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	32	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	32	11	particular	particular	ADJ
ejpam-2949	32	12	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	32	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	32	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	32	15	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	32	16	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-2949	32	17	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	32	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	32	19	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	32	20	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	32	21	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	32	22	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	32	23	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	32	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	33	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	33	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	33	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	33	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	33	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	33	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	33	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	18	32	32	NUM
ejpam-2949	33	19	unless	unless	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	33	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	33	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	33	22	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	33	23	perfectly	perfectly	ADV
ejpam-2949	33	24	correlated	correlate	VERB
ejpam-2949	33	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	34	1	note	note	VERB
ejpam-2949	34	2	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	34	3	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	34	4	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	34	5	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	34	6	−1	−1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	34	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	34	8	perfect	perfect	ADJ
ejpam-2949	34	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	34	10	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	34	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	35	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	35	2	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	35	4	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	35	5	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	6	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	35	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	35	9	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	35	10	constituent	constituent	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	11	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	12	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	35	14	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	35	16	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	35	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	35	18	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	35	19	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	35	20	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	35	21	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	35	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	35	23	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	35	24	record	record	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	35	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	35	28	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-2949	35	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	1	denoting	denote	VERB
ejpam-2949	36	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	36	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	4	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	36	6	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	36	7	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	8	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	9	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	11	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	13	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	14	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	36	15	e1	e1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	16	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	18	e2	e2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	19	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	21	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	22	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	36	23	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	25	...	...	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	27	n	n	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	36	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	36	30	obvious	obvious	ADJ
ejpam-2949	36	31	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	32	estimator	estimator	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	36	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	36	35	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	36	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	37	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	39	3	3	X
ejpam-2949	36	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	41	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	36	42	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	36	43	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	36	44	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	45	λ̂opt	λ̂opt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	46	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	36	47	∑n	∑n	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	48	t=1	t=1	SYM
ejpam-2949	36	49	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	50	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	51	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	52	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	53	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	54	∑n	∑n	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	55	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	56	e1te2t∑n	e1te2t∑n	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	57	t=1	t=1	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	58	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	59	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	60	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	61	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	62	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	36	63	∑n	∑n	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	64	t=1	t=1	SYM
ejpam-2949	36	65	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	66	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	67	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	68	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	69	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	36	70	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	36	71	∑n	∑n	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	72	t=1	t=1	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	36	73	e1te2	e1te2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	74	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	36	75	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	37	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	37	2	4	4	X
ejpam-2949	37	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	37	4	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	37	5	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	37	6	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	37	7	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	37	8	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	37	9	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	37	10	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	37	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	37	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	37	13	future	future	NOUN
ejpam-2949	37	14	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	37	15	produce	produce	VERB
ejpam-2949	37	16	out	out	ADP
ejpam-2949	37	17	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	37	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	37	19	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	37	20	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	37	21	combined	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	37	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	37	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	38	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	38	2	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	38	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	38	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	38	5	aware	aware	ADJ
ejpam-2949	38	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	38	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	38	8	relative	relative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	38	9	performance	performance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	38	12	component	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	14	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	38	15	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	38	16	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	38	17	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	38	18	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	19	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	38	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	38	22	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	38	23	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	38	24	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	26	ways	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	28	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	38	29	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	30	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	31	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	32	λ̂	λ̂	NUM
ejpam-2949	38	33	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	38	34	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	38	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	38	36	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	38	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	38	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	38	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	39	2	alternative	alternative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	3	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	39	4	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	39	5	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	39	7	estimating	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	39	8	λ	λ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	39	10	via	via	ADP
ejpam-2949	39	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	39	12	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	13	method	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	39	15	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	39	17	ramanathan	ramanathan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	19	1984	1984	NUM
ejpam-2949	39	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	22	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	39	23	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	39	24	64	64	NUM
ejpam-2949	39	25	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	39	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	28	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	39	29	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	39	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	31	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	39	32	ordinary	ordinary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	39	33	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	39	34	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	35	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	39	37	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	39	38	e1	e1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	39	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	39	40	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	39	41	λ(e1	λ(e1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	42	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	43	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	44	e2	e2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	45	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	39	46	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	40	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	40	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	4	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	40	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	6	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	40	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	8	equivalently	equivalently	ADV
ejpam-2949	40	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	10	yt	yt	X
ejpam-2949	40	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	40	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	13	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	40	14	λ)f1	λ)f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	40	15	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	40	16	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	40	17	λf2	λf2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	18	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	19	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	40	20	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	40	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	23	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	40	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	25	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	40	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	27	6	6	X
ejpam-2949	40	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	40	29	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	40	30	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	40	31	immediately	immediately	ADV
ejpam-2949	40	32	apparent	apparent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	40	33	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	40	34	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	40	35	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	40	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	40	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	38	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	39	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	40	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	40	41	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	42	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	40	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	41	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	3	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	41	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	6	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	41	7	equivalently	equivalently	ADV
ejpam-2949	41	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	9	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	41	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	12	implies	imply	VERB
ejpam-2949	41	13	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	41	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	41	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	16	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	41	18	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	41	19	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	41	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	41	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	22	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	41	25	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
ejpam-2949	41	26	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	27	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	41	28	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	41	29	construction	construction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	41	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	42	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-2949	42	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	42	3	εt	εt	PRON
ejpam-2949	42	4	need	need	AUX
ejpam-2949	42	5	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	42	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	42	7	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	42	8	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	42	9	either	either	PRON
ejpam-2949	42	10	f1	f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	42	11	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	42	12	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	42	13	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	42	14	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	42	15	individually	individually	ADV
ejpam-2949	42	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	42	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	42	18	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	42	19	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	42	20	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	42	21	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	42	22	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	42	23	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	42	24	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	42	25	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	42	26	convex	convex	ADJ
ejpam-2949	42	27	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	42	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	43	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	43	2	implicit	implicit	ADJ
ejpam-2949	43	3	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	43	4	behind	behind	ADP
ejpam-2949	43	5	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	43	6	convex	convex	ADJ
ejpam-2949	43	7	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	43	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	43	9	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	43	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	43	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	43	12	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	43	13	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	43	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	43	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	43	16	sense	sense	NOUN
ejpam-2949	43	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	43	18	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	43	19	79	79	NUM
ejpam-2949	43	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	43	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	1	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	2	requires	require	VERB
ejpam-2949	44	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	44	4	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	5	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	6	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	44	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	44	8	β	β	X
ejpam-2949	44	9	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	44	10	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	44	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	44	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	44	13	realization	realization	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	14	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	16	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	17	yt	yt	PRON
ejpam-2949	44	18	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	19	α+βft+εt	α+βft+εt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	21	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	44	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	23	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	44	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	25	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	44	26	23	23	NUM
ejpam-2949	44	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	28	ch	ch	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	29	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	44	30	3	3	NUM
ejpam-2949	44	31	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	32	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	44	33	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	44	34	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	44	37	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	44	38	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	44	39	serves	serve	VERB
ejpam-2949	44	40	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	44	41	sufficient	sufficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	44	42	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	43	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	44	44	unbiasedness	unbiasedness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	44	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	45	2	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	45	3	holds	hold	VERB
ejpam-2949	45	4	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	45	5	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	45	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	45	7	individually	individually	ADV
ejpam-2949	45	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	9	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	45	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	11	yt	yt	X
ejpam-2949	45	12	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	13	fit	fit	ADJ
ejpam-2949	45	14	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	45	15	εit	εit	ADJ
ejpam-2949	45	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	17	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	45	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	19	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	45	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	45	21	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	45	22	warranted	warrant	VERB
ejpam-2949	45	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	1	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	46	2	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
ejpam-2949	46	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	4	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	46	5	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	46	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	46	7	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-2949	46	8	accommodated	accommodate	VERB
ejpam-2949	46	9	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	46	10	including	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	46	11	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	46	12	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	46	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	46	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	15	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	46	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	17	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	46	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	19	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	46	20	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	46	21	e1	e1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	46	22	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	46	23	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	46	24	α+	α+	X
ejpam-2949	46	25	λ(e1	λ(e1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	46	26	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	46	27	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	46	28	e2	e2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	46	29	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	46	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	47	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	3	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	47	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	47	6	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	47	7	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	9	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	10	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	47	11	α+	α+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	13	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	14	λ)f1	λ)f1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	15	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	16	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	17	λf2	λf2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	18	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	20	7	7	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	22	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	47	23	generally	generally	ADV
ejpam-2949	47	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	25	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	26	inefficiency	inefficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	27	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	28	relaxing	relax	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	47	30	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	31	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	47	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	47	33	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	34	weights	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	35	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	36	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	47	37	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	39	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	47	40	advocated	advocate	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	41	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	47	42	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	43	64	64	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	44	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	45	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	46	fct	fct	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	47	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	47	48	α+	α+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	49	β1f1	β1f1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	50	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	51	+	+	X
ejpam-2949	47	52	β2f2	β2f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	53	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	54	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	55	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-2949	47	56	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	47	57	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	58	calculated	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	47	59	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	47	60	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	61	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	62	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	47	63	α+	α+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	47	64	β1f1	β1f1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	65	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	47	66	+	+	X
ejpam-2949	47	67	β2f2	β2f2	X
ejpam-2949	47	68	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	47	69	+	+	X
ejpam-2949	48	1	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	48	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	49	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	49	2	9	9	X
ejpam-2949	49	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	49	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	49	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	49	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	49	7	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	49	8	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	49	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	50	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	18	33	33	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	19	clearly	clearly	ADV
ejpam-2949	50	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	21	7	7	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	50	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	25	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	50	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	27	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	50	28	special	special	ADJ
ejpam-2949	50	29	cases	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	50	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	32	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	34	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	50	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	50	36	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	37	β1	β1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	38	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	50	39	β2	β2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	40	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	41	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	43	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	50	44	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	45	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	50	46	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	47	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	48	β1	β1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	50	49	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	50	50	β2	β2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	50	51	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	50	52	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	50	53	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	50	54	imposed	impose	VERB
ejpam-2949	50	55	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	50	56	respectively	respectively	ADV
ejpam-2949	50	57	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	51	3	actuals	actual	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	6	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	7	nonstationary	nonstationary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	51	8	integrated	integrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	9	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	12	9	9	X
ejpam-2949	51	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	14	could	could	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	16	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	17	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	18	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	51	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	20	predicted	predict	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	21	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	23	rather	rather	ADV
ejpam-2949	51	24	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	51	25	levels	level	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	27	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	28	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	51	30	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	31	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	32	i(0	i(0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	51	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	36	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	51	37	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	38	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	39	have	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	40	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	51	41	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	51	42	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	51	44	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	51	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	51	46	outcome	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	47	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	51	48	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	51	49	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	50	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	51	51	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	52	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	51	53	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	54	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	51	55	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	51	56	invariant	invariant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	51	57	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	51	58	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	51	59	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	51	60	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	52	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	52	2	alternative	alternative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	52	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	52	4	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	52	5	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	52	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	52	7	preferable	preferable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	52	8	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	52	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	52	10	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	52	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	52	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	52	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	52	14	i(1	i(1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	52	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	52	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	52	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	52	18	suggested	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	52	19	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	52	20	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	52	21	44	44	NUM
ejpam-2949	52	22	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	52	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	53	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	53	2	amounts	amount	VERB
ejpam-2949	53	3	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	53	4	regressing	regress	VERB
ejpam-2949	53	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	53	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	53	7	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	53	8	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	53	9	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	53	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	53	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	53	12	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	53	13	competing	compete	VERB
ejpam-2949	53	14	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	53	15	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	53	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	53	17	difference	difference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	53	18	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	53	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	53	20	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	53	21	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	53	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	1	provided	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	54	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	4	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	5	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	54	6	reasonably	reasonably	ADV
ejpam-2949	54	7	well	well	ADV
ejpam-2949	54	8	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	54	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	54	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	12	sense	sense	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	13	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	54	14	both	both	DET
ejpam-2949	54	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	16	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	54	17	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	54	18	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	54	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	20	actuals	actual	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	22	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	54	23	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	54	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	26	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	27	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	54	28	i(0	i(0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	54	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	32	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	54	33	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	54	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	35	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	54	36	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	37	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	54	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	54	39	regressor	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	54	40	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	54	41	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	54	42	i(0	i(0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	54	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	54	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	55	2	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	55	3	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	55	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	55	5	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	55	6	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	8	extensions	extension	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	9	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	55	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	12	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	13	here	here	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	15	including	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	16	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	17	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	18	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	19	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	20	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	21	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	55	22	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	23	estimating	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	24	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	25	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	27	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	29	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	30	33	33	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	31	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	33	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	34	27	27	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	35	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	37	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	38	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	39	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	40	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	55	41	vary	vary	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	42	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	43	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	44	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	45	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	46	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	47	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	48	34	34	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	49	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	51	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	52	75	75	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	53	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	54	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	55	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	56	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	57	32	32	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	58	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	59	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	60	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	61	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	55	62	averaging	averaging	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	63	versus	versus	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	64	estimating	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	55	65	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	66	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	67	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	68	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	69	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	70	76	76	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	71	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	55	72	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	73	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	74	91	91	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	75	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	76	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	77	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	78	46	46	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	79	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	80	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	81	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	82	48	48	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	83	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	84	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	85	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	86	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	87	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	88	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	89	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	90	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	91	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	92	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	93	13	13	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	94	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	95	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	96	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	97	35	35	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	98	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	99	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	100	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	101	78	78	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	102	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	103	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	104	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	105	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	106	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	107	interval	interval	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	108	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	109	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	110	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	111	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	112	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	113	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	114	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	115	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	116	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	117	99	99	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	118	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	119	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	120	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	121	80	80	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	122	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	123	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	124	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	125	20	20	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	126	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	127	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	128	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	55	129	nonlinear	nonlinear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	55	130	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	131	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	132	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	55	133	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	134	via	via	ADP
ejpam-2949	55	135	artificial	artificial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	55	136	neural	neural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	55	137	networks	network	NOUN
ejpam-2949	55	138	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	139	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	55	140	37	37	NUM
ejpam-2949	55	141	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	142	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	55	143	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	1	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	56	2	handbooks	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	56	3	provide	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	56	4	chapters	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	56	5	reviewing	review	VERB
ejpam-2949	56	6	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	56	7	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	56	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	9	including	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	56	10	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	56	11	85	85	NUM
ejpam-2949	56	12	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	14	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	56	15	96	96	NUM
ejpam-2949	56	16	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	18	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	56	19	19	19	NUM
ejpam-2949	56	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	56	22	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	56	23	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	56	24	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	56	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	57	2	notion	notion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	57	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	57	4	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	57	5	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	57	6	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	57	7	developed	develop	VERB
ejpam-2949	57	8	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	57	9	nelson	nelson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	57	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	11	1972	1972	NUM
ejpam-2949	57	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	14	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	57	15	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	57	16	83	83	NUM
ejpam-2949	57	17	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	57	20	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	57	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	57	22	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	57	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	24	1973	1973	NUM
ejpam-2949	57	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	27	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	57	28	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	57	29	58	58	NUM
ejpam-2949	57	30	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	57	32	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	57	33	denote	denote	VERB
ejpam-2949	57	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	57	35	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	57	36	could	could	AUX
ejpam-2949	57	37	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	57	38	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	57	39	made	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	57	40	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	57	41	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	57	42	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	57	43	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	57	44	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	57	45	another	another	DET
ejpam-2949	57	46	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	57	47	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	58	1	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	58	2	precisely	precisely	ADV
ejpam-2949	58	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	58	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	58	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	6	f1	f1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	58	8	said	say	VERB
ejpam-2949	58	9	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	58	10	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	58	11	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	58	12	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	58	13	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	58	14	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	58	16	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	58	17	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	58	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	58	19	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	58	20	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	21	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	58	22	f2	f2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	58	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	58	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	58	25	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	26	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	58	27	f1	f1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	58	28	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	58	29	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	58	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	2	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	4	interpreted	interpret	VERB
ejpam-2949	59	5	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	59	6	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	59	8	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	59	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	59	11	wider	wide	ADJ
ejpam-2949	59	12	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	59	14	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	59	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	16	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	59	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	18	inter	inter	PROPN
ejpam-2949	59	19	alia	alia	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	21	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	22	81	81	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	23	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	25	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	26	82	82	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	27	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	59	29	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	30	72	72	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	31	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	33	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	59	34	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	35	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	59	36	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	59	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	39	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	59	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	41	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	42	45	45	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	43	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	44	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	45	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	46	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	47	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	48	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	59	49	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	59	50	70	70	NUM
ejpam-2949	59	51	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	52	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	59	53	further	further	ADJ
ejpam-2949	59	54	developments	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	55	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	59	56	applications	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	59	57	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	59	58	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	1	finally	finally	ADV
ejpam-2949	60	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	3	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	60	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	5	1989	1989	NUM
ejpam-2949	60	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	8	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	60	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	60	10	51	51	NUM
ejpam-2949	60	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	60	12	considers	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	60	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	60	14	relationship	relationship	NOUN
ejpam-2949	60	15	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	60	16	pooling	pool	VERB
ejpam-2949	60	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	60	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	60	19	pooling	pool	VERB
ejpam-2949	60	20	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	60	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	2	bates	bate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	61	4	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	61	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	6	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	61	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	9	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	10	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	61	11	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	61	12	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	14	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	15	considered	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	16	below	below	ADV
ejpam-2949	61	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	18	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	19	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	61	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	61	21	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	61	22	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	23	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	25	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	61	26	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	27	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	28	assumes	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	29	both	both	DET
ejpam-2949	61	30	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	31	have	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	32	access	access	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	33	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	35	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-2949	61	36	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	37	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	39	just	just	ADV
ejpam-2949	61	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	41	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	42	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	43	question	question	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	44	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	46	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	47	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	48	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	49	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	61	50	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	61	51	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	52	potential	potential	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	53	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	54	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	55	arises	arise	VERB
ejpam-2949	61	56	through	through	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	57	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	61	58	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	59	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	61	60	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-2949	61	61	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	62	specifications	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	61	63	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	62	1	alternatively	alternatively	ADV
ejpam-2949	62	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	62	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	62	4	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	62	5	generic	generic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	62	6	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	62	8	perhaps	perhaps	ADV
ejpam-2949	62	9	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	62	10	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-2949	62	11	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	62	13	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	62	14	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	62	16	have	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	62	17	access	access	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	18	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	62	19	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-2949	62	20	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	21	sets	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	62	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	63	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	63	2	supposes	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	63	3	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	63	4	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	63	5	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	63	6	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	63	7	1	1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	63	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	63	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	63	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	63	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	2	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	3	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	4	access	access	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	64	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	64	7	specific	specific	ADJ
ejpam-2949	64	8	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	9	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	11	ij	ij	INTJ
ejpam-2949	64	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	13	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	64	16	all	all	PRON
ejpam-2949	64	17	share	share	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	64	19	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-2949	64	20	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	22	io	io	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	24	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	25	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	64	26	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	27	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	64	28	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	29	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	30	consists	consist	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	64	32	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	64	33	single	single	ADJ
ejpam-2949	64	34	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	64	37	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	64	38	lags	lag	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	40	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	64	41	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	64	42	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	64	43	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	44	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	64	45	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	46	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	64	47	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	64	48	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	64	49	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	50	at	at	ADV
ejpam-2949	64	51	all	all	PRON
ejpam-2949	64	52	leads	lead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	53	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	64	54	lags	lag	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	55	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	56	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	57	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	64	58	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	64	59	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	64	60	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-2949	64	61	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	64	62	known	know	VERB
ejpam-2949	64	63	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	64	64	all	all	PRON
ejpam-2949	64	65	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	66	ij	ij	INTJ
ejpam-2949	64	67	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	68	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	69	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	64	70	{	{	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	71	xj	xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	72	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	73	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	74	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	75	xj	xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	76	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	77	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	64	78	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	79	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	64	80	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	2	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	4	io	io	PROPN
ejpam-2949	65	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	6	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	65	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	65	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	9	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	65	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	11	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	65	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	65	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	66	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	66	2	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	67	3	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	67	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	5	xj	xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	67	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	7	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	67	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	9	xi	xi	PROPN
ejpam-2949	67	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	67	11	s	s	PART
ejpam-2949	67	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	68	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	68	2	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	68	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	68	4	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	68	5	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	69	1	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	69	2	s	s	VERB
ejpam-2949	69	3	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	69	4	i	i	PRON
ejpam-2949	69	5	6=	6=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	69	6	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	69	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	69	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	69	9	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	69	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	69	11	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	69	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	69	13	xi	xi	PROPN
ejpam-2949	69	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	69	15	s	s	PART
ejpam-2949	69	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	69	17	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	69	18	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	70	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	70	2	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	70	3	i	i	PROPN
ejpam-2949	70	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	5	s	s	PART
ejpam-2949	70	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	70	7	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	70	8	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	70	9	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	70	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	70	11	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	70	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	13	ωt	ωt	ADP
ejpam-2949	70	14	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	70	15	{	{	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	16	i1,t	i1,t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	70	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	18	i2,t	i2,t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	70	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	70	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	2	ij	ij	INTJ
ejpam-2949	71	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	4	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	6	io	io	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	8	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	9	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	11	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	71	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	71	13	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	71	14	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	71	15	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	16	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	17	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	18	forecast	forecast	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	19	takes	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	71	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	71	21	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	22	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	24	yt+1|ωt	yt+1|ωt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	26	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	71	27	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	29	l)xt	l)xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	30	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	71	31	∑j	∑j	ADJ
ejpam-2949	71	32	j=1	j=1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	33	βj	βj	X
ejpam-2949	71	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	35	l)xj	l)xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	37	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	38	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	71	39	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	40	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	71	41	report	report	VERB
ejpam-2949	71	42	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	71	43	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	71	44	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	71	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	46	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	71	47	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	71	48	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	49	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	71	50	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	51	yt+1|ij	yt+1|ij	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	71	53	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	71	54	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	72	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	72	2	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	72	4	l)xt	l)xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	5	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	72	6	βj	βj	X
ejpam-2949	72	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	72	8	l)xj	l)xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	72	10	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	72	11	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	72	12	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	13	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	14	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	72	15	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	72	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	73	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	18	34	34	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	19	faced	face	VERB
ejpam-2949	73	20	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	73	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	73	22	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	73	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	73	27	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-2949	73	28	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	29	weighted	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	73	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	73	31	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	73	32	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	73	33	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	73	34	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	73	35	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	36	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	38	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	39	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	73	40	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	41	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	73	42	l)xt	l)xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	43	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	73	44	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	73	45	j	j	NOUN
ejpam-2949	73	46	j∑	j∑	PROPN
ejpam-2949	73	47	j=1	j=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	1	βj	βj	X
ejpam-2949	74	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	3	l)xj	l)xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	5	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	74	6	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	74	7	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	74	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	74	9	individual	individual	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	10	xj	xj	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	12	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	74	14	weighted	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	74	15	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	16	j−1	j−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	18	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	74	19	opposed	oppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	74	20	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	21	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	74	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	74	24	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	25	pooling	pooling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	74	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	27	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	74	28	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	29	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	74	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	74	33	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	34	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	74	35	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	37	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	39	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	40	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	74	41	approach	approach	VERB
ejpam-2949	74	42	fo	fo	ADP
ejpam-2949	74	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	44	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	45	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	74	46	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	74	47	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	48	yt+1|io	yt+1|io	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	49	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	50	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	51	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	52	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	74	53	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	54	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	74	55	l)xt	l)xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	74	56	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	1	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	75	2	fo	fo	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	4	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	5	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	75	6	available	available	ADJ
ejpam-2949	75	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	8	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	75	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	75	10	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	75	11	jfc	jfc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	13	t+1−	t+1−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	15	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	16	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	75	17	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	75	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	19	fo	fo	NOUN
ejpam-2949	75	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	75	21	t+1	t+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	75	22	matches	match	VERB
ejpam-2949	75	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	75	24	pooling	pooling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	75	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	75	26	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	75	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	76	2	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	76	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	76	4	aggregating	aggregate	VERB
ejpam-2949	76	5	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	76	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	7	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	76	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	9	yt+1|ωt	yt+1|ωt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	76	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	76	13	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	76	14	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	76	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	76	16	aggregating	aggregate	VERB
ejpam-2949	76	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	76	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	19	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	76	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	76	21	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	76	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	77	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	77	2	holds	hold	VERB
ejpam-2949	77	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	77	4	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	77	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	77	6	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	77	7	just	just	ADV
ejpam-2949	77	8	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	77	9	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-2949	77	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	77	11	weighted	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	77	12	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	77	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	78	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	78	2	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-2949	78	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	78	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	78	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	78	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	78	7	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	78	8	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	78	9	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	78	10	use	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	78	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	78	12	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	78	13	efficiently	efficiently	ADV
ejpam-2949	78	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	79	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	79	3	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	79	4	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	5	considered	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	79	6	here	here	ADV
ejpam-2949	79	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	79	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	79	9	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	79	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	79	11	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	13	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	14	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	79	16	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-2949	79	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	18	fo	fo	PROPN
ejpam-2949	79	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	79	20	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	79	21	results	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	79	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	23	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	79	24	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	25	relative	relative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	79	26	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	79	28	pooling	pooling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	79	30	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	79	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	80	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	80	2	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	80	3	now	now	ADV
ejpam-2949	80	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	80	5	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	80	6	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	80	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	80	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	80	9	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	80	10	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	80	11	are	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	80	12	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	80	13	potential	potential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	80	14	predictors	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	80	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	81	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	81	2	92	92	NUM
ejpam-2949	81	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	81	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	81	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	81	6	good	good	ADJ
ejpam-2949	81	7	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	81	9	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	81	10	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	81	12	showing	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	81	13	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	81	14	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	81	16	individually	individually	ADV
ejpam-2949	81	17	unstable	unstable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	81	18	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	19	offer	offer	VERB
ejpam-2949	81	20	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	81	21	improvement	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	81	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	24	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	25	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	81	26	univariate	univariate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	81	27	benchmarks	benchmark	NOUN
ejpam-2949	81	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	82	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	82	2	18	18	NUM
ejpam-2949	82	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	82	4	directly	directly	ADV
ejpam-2949	82	5	compared	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	82	6	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	82	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	82	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	82	9	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	82	10	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	82	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	82	12	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	82	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	1	factor	factor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	2	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	83	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	83	5	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	83	7	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	83	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	83	9	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	10	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	83	11	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	83	12	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	13	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	83	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	83	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	17	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	19	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	83	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	21	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	83	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	23	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	83	24	47	47	NUM
ejpam-2949	83	25	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	83	27	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	83	28	93	93	NUM
ejpam-2949	83	29	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	83	33	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	83	34	31	31	NUM
ejpam-2949	83	35	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	83	36	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	83	37	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	83	38	alternative	alternative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	83	39	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	83	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	84	2	conclude	conclude	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	84	4	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	7	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	8	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	9	i	i	PROPN
ejpam-2949	84	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	84	12	re	re	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	13	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	14	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	16	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	84	17	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	84	18	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	21	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	23	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	84	24	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	25	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	27	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	28	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	29	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	84	30	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	31	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	33	followed	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	34	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	35	ii	ii	PROPN
ejpam-2949	84	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	37	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	84	38	brief	brief	ADJ
ejpam-2949	84	39	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	40	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	41	recent	recent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	84	42	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	43	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	44	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	45	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	84	46	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	84	47	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	48	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	49	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	50	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	84	51	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	84	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	53	going	go	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	54	beyond	beyond	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	55	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	84	56	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	57	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	58	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	59	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	60	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	61	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	62	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	84	63	bates	bate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	84	64	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	84	65	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	84	66	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	67	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	68	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	69	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	70	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	71	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	84	72	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	73	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	74	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	75	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	84	76	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	84	77	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	84	78	ramanathan	ramanathan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	84	79	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	80	1984	1984	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	81	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	82	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	83	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	84	84	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	84	85	64	64	NUM
ejpam-2949	84	86	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	84	87	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	84	88	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	1	2.1	2.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	85	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	4	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	5	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	6	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	85	7	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	85	8	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	9	re	re	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	10	-	-	VERB
ejpam-2949	85	11	visit	visit	VERB
ejpam-2949	85	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	85	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	14	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	15	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	85	17	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	85	18	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	85	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	20	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	21	a1	a1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	23	p.	p.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	24	462	462	NUM
ejpam-2949	85	25	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	85	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	27	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	85	28	considers	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	85	29	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	85	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	85	31	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	85	32	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	33	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	85	35	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	85	36	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	37	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	38	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	85	39	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	85	40	gas	gas	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	85	42	electricity	electricity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	43	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	85	44	water	water	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	45	sector	sector	NOUN
ejpam-2949	85	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	1	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	86	3	records	record	VERB
ejpam-2949	86	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	86	5	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	6	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	86	9	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	10	1948	1948	NUM
ejpam-2949	86	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	12	1965	1965	NUM
ejpam-2949	86	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	14	along	along	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	15	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	17	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	18	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	19	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	86	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	86	21	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	86	22	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	23	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	25	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	26	{	{	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	27	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	28	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	30	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	86	31	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	86	32	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	33	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	86	34	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	35	α+	α+	PRON
ejpam-2949	86	36	βt+	βt+	ADJ
ejpam-2949	86	37	errort	errort	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	39	ln	ln	X
ejpam-2949	86	40	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	41	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	43	=	=	PRON
ejpam-2949	86	44	a+	a+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	86	45	bt+	bt+	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	46	errort	errort	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	47	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	86	48	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	86	49	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	86	50	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	86	51	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	86	52	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	53	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	86	54	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	87	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	87	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	87	3	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	87	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	87	5	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	87	6	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	87	7	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	87	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	87	9	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	87	10	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	87	11	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-2949	87	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	87	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	87	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	87	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	88	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	88	2	1965	1965	NUM
ejpam-2949	88	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	88	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	88	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	88	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	88	7	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	88	8	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	88	9	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	88	10	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	88	11	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	88	12	up	up	ADP
ejpam-2949	88	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	88	14	t−	t−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	88	15	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	88	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	89	2	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	89	3	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	5	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	89	6	clearly	clearly	ADV
ejpam-2949	89	7	superior	superior	ADJ
ejpam-2949	89	8	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	89	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	89	10	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	89	12	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	89	13	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	15	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	89	19	therefore	therefore	ADV
ejpam-2949	89	20	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	89	21	commonly	commonly	ADV
ejpam-2949	89	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	23	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	89	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	25	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	26	measures	measure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	27	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	89	28	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	89	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	89	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	31	root	root	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	89	33	mean	mean	VERB
ejpam-2949	89	34	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	89	35	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	36	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	89	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	90	1	nevertheless	nevertheless	ADV
ejpam-2949	90	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	90	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	90	4	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	90	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	90	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	90	7	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	90	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	90	9	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	90	10	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	90	11	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	90	12	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	90	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	90	14	smaller	small	ADJ
ejpam-2949	90	15	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	90	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	91	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	91	2	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	91	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	91	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	91	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	91	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	91	7	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	91	8	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	91	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	92	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	92	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	92	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	92	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	92	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	92	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	18	35	35	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	19	0.16	0.16	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	20	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	92	22	linear	linear	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	24	results	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	92	25	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	26	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	92	27	combined	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	92	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	29	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	31	78.8	78.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	92	33	compared	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	92	34	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	35	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	92	36	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	37	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	92	39	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	92	40	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	41	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	92	42	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	92	43	84.4	84.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	92	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	93	1	∗	∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	2	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	93	3	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	93	4	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	93	5	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	93	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	7	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	8	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	93	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	93	10	perspective	perspective	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	93	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	93	13	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	93	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	93	16	enunciated	enunciate	VERB
ejpam-2949	93	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	93	18	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	93	19	23	23	NUM
ejpam-2949	93	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	93	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	94	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	94	2	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	94	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	94	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	94	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	94	6	subsequently	subsequently	ADV
ejpam-2949	94	7	refined	refine	VERB
ejpam-2949	94	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	94	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	94	10	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	94	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	94	12	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	94	13	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	94	14	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	94	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	94	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	1	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	95	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	3	replaces	replace	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	95	5	traditional	traditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	6	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	8	i	i	PRON
ejpam-2949	95	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	95	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	12	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	95	13	essentially	essentially	ADV
ejpam-2949	95	14	complete	complete	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	95	16	correctly	correctly	ADV
ejpam-2949	95	17	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	18	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	19	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	95	21	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	23	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	95	25	ii	ii	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	27	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	95	28	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	29	remaining	remain	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	30	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	31	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	95	33	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	34	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	95	35	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	37	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	38	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	95	39	obverses	obverse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	40	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	41	a	a	X
ejpam-2949	95	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	43	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	44	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	95	45	incomplete	incomplete	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	46	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	95	47	incorrect	incorrect	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	48	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	49	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	50	ways	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	51	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	52	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	95	53	b	b	X
ejpam-2949	95	54	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	95	55	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	95	56	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	57	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	95	58	modelled	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	59	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	95	60	typically	typically	ADV
ejpam-2949	95	61	exhibit	exhibit	VERB
ejpam-2949	95	62	evolution	evolution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	63	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	64	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	65	as	as	ADV
ejpam-2949	95	66	well	well	ADV
ejpam-2949	95	67	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	95	68	abrupt	abrupt	ADJ
ejpam-2949	95	69	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	70	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	95	71	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	95	72	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	96	1	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	96	2	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	3	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	96	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	96	5	rationale	rationale	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	96	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	8	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	96	10	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	96	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	96	13	component	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	14	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	15	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	96	16	differentially	differentially	ADV
ejpam-2949	96	17	susceptible	susceptible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	96	18	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	96	19	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	96	20	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	96	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	97	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	2	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	97	5	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	6	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	7	illustration	illustration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	97	9	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	97	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	97	11	evident	evident	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	12	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	97	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	97	14	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	97	15	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	16	absolute	absolute	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	17	increase	increase	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	18	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	97	19	implication	implication	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	97	22	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	23	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	24	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	97	26	inappropriate	inappropriate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	97	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	29	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	97	30	become	become	VERB
ejpam-2949	97	31	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	97	33	positive	positive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	97	34	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	35	around	around	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	36	1961	1961	NUM
ejpam-2949	97	37	onwards	onwards	ADP
ejpam-2949	97	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	1	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	2	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	5	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	6	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	7	generates	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	98	8	negative	negative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	9	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	98	12	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	98	14	seen	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	98	15	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	98	16	work	work	VERB
ejpam-2949	98	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	18	averaging	average	VERB
ejpam-2949	98	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	20	over	over	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	22	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	25	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	98	26	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	27	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	28	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	29	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	30	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	32	under	under	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	33	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	34	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	37	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	98	38	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	39	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	40	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	98	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	98	42	1955	1955	NUM
ejpam-2949	98	43	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	98	44	61	61	NUM
ejpam-2949	98	45	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	98	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	99	1	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	99	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	99	3	component	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	99	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	99	5	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	99	6	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	99	7	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	99	8	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	99	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	100	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	100	2	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	100	4	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	100	6	correcting	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	100	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	100	8	individual	individual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	100	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	100	11	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	100	12	sses	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	100	14	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	100	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	100	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	100	17	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-2949	100	18	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	100	19	columns	column	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	100	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	100	22	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	100	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	101	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	101	2	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	101	4	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	101	6	calculated	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	101	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	8	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	101	9	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	101	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	101	13	sense	sense	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	14	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	101	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	101	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	18	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	19	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	101	20	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	101	21	calculated	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	101	22	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	23	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-2949	101	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	101	25	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	26	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	101	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	30	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	31	up	up	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	32	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	101	33	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	34	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	101	35	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	102	1	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	102	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	103	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	103	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	103	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	103	4	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	103	5	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	103	7	in	in	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	103	8	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	103	9	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	103	10	uses	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	103	11	only	only	ADJ
ejpam-2949	103	12	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	13	available	available	ADJ
ejpam-2949	103	14	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	103	15	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	103	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	17	origin	origin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	103	19	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	103	20	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	103	21	results	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	103	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	103	23	slow	slow	ADJ
ejpam-2949	103	24	adaptation	adaptation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	103	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	103	27	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	28	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	103	29	past	past	VERB
ejpam-2949	103	30	systematic	systematic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	103	31	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	103	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	1	nevertheless	nevertheless	ADV
ejpam-2949	104	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	104	4	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	104	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	104	7	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	8	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	9	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	104	10	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	104	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	104	13	77	77	NUM
ejpam-2949	104	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	15	less	less	ADJ
ejpam-2949	104	16	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	104	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	104	18	combined	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	104	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	20	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	104	22	78.8	78.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	104	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	24	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	104	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	104	26	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	104	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	104	28	0.16	0.16	NUM
ejpam-2949	104	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	104	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	1	any	any	DET
ejpam-2949	105	2	fixed	fix	VERB
ejpam-2949	105	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	4	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	5	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	105	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	105	8	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	10	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	105	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	13	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	105	14	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	105	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	105	17	interval	interval	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	19	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	105	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	21	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	105	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	105	24	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	105	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	105	26	larger	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	105	27	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	28	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	105	29	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	105	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	105	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	105	32	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	105	33	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	34	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	105	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	106	2	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	106	3	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	4	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	106	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	106	6	linear	linear	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	9	after	after	ADP
ejpam-2949	106	10	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	12	correcting	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	106	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	106	15	imposing	impose	VERB
ejpam-2949	106	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	106	17	constraint	constraint	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	18	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	106	19	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	106	20	sum	sum	VERB
ejpam-2949	106	21	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	106	22	unity	unity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	24	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	106	25	−0.22	−0.22	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	106	27	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	106	28	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	106	29	sse	sse	NOUN
ejpam-2949	106	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	106	31	72.61	72.61	NUM
ejpam-2949	106	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	107	1	negative	negative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	107	2	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	107	3	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	107	4	appear	appear	VERB
ejpam-2949	107	5	anomalous	anomalous	ADJ
ejpam-2949	107	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	107	7	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	107	8	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	107	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	107	10	96	96	NUM
ejpam-2949	107	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	107	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	108	2	fixed	fix	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	4	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	5	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	7	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	108	8	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	108	9	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	108	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	11	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	108	12	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	108	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	108	14	calculated	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	15	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	16	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	108	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	108	18	full	full	ADJ
ejpam-2949	108	19	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	108	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	22	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	108	25	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	108	26	noted	note	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	27	above	above	ADV
ejpam-2949	108	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	29	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	108	30	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	108	31	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	32	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	33	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	34	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	108	35	varying	vary	VERB
ejpam-2949	108	36	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	37	schemes	scheme	NOUN
ejpam-2949	108	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	109	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	109	2	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	109	3	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	109	4	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	109	5	extension	extension	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	109	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	109	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	9	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	10	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	11	serves	serve	VERB
ejpam-2949	109	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	109	13	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	109	14	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	109	15	gains	gain	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	16	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	109	17	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	18	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	109	19	result	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	109	20	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	109	21	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	22	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	109	23	manifestly	manifestly	ADV
ejpam-2949	109	24	mis	mis	ADJ
ejpam-2949	109	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	109	26	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	109	27	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	109	28	components	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	109	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	110	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	110	3	consistent	consistent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	110	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	110	6	primacy	primacy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	8	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	9	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	110	10	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	12	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	110	13	factors	factor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	15	causing	cause	VERB
ejpam-2949	110	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	17	failure	failure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	110	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	110	21	closely	closely	ADV
ejpam-2949	110	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	23	related	relate	VERB
ejpam-2949	110	24	effects	effect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	110	27	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	28	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	29	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	31	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	110	32	components	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	33	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	34	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	110	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	36	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	110	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	110	39	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	40	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	41	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	42	taxonomy	taxonomy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	110	43	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	110	44	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	110	45	26	26	NUM
ejpam-2949	110	46	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	47	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	110	48	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	111	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	111	2	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	111	3	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	111	4	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	111	5	again	again	ADV
ejpam-2949	111	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	111	7	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	111	8	3	3	NUM
ejpam-2949	111	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	111	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	111	11	context	context	NOUN
ejpam-2949	111	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	111	13	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	111	14	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	111	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	112	1	2.2	2.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	112	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	1	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	2	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	113	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	5	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	113	7	early	early	ADJ
ejpam-2949	113	8	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	9	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	10	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	11	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	13	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	113	14	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	113	15	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	113	17	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	113	18	64	64	NUM
ejpam-2949	113	19	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	20	assumed	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	21	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	22	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	23	chosen	choose	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	24	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	113	25	minimize	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	26	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	113	27	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	113	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	29	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	30	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	31	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	32	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	33	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	113	36	out	out	ADV
ejpam-2949	113	37	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	38	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	39	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	40	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	41	combi∗the	combi∗the	PRON
ejpam-2949	113	42	numbers	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	43	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	113	44	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	113	45	calculations	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	46	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	47	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	113	48	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	113	49	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	113	51	who	who	PRON
ejpam-2949	113	52	calculate	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	53	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	113	54	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	55	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	113	56	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	57	reported	report	VERB
ejpam-2949	113	58	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	59	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	113	60	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	61	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	113	62	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	113	63	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	113	64	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	113	65	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	114	1	small	small	ADJ
ejpam-2949	114	2	differences	difference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	114	3	relative	relative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	114	4	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	114	5	bates	bate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	114	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	114	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	114	8	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	114	9	figures	figure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	114	10	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	114	11	attributed	attribute	VERB
ejpam-2949	114	12	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	114	13	improved	improved	ADJ
ejpam-2949	114	14	precision	precision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	114	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	115	1	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	115	2	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	115	3	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	115	4	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	115	5	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	115	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	116	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	18	36	36	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	19	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	20	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	21	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	23	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	116	25	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	26	indices	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	28	1950–65	1950–65	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	29	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	116	30	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	31	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	32	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	33	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	34	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	35	linear	linear	VERB
ejpam-2949	116	36	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	116	37	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	38	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	39	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	116	40	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	41	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	42	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	116	43	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	44	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	45	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	116	46	1948	1948	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	47	58.0	58.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	48	1949	1949	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	49	62.0	62.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	50	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	51	67.0	67.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	52	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	53	0.7	0.7	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	54	0.77	0.77	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	55	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	56	0.7	0.7	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	57	1951	1951	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	58	72.0	72.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	59	0.7	0.7	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	60	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	61	0.21	0.21	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	62	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	63	-0.6	-0.6	X
ejpam-2949	116	64	1952	1952	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	65	74.0	74.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	66	-2.5	-2.5	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	67	-3.4	-3.4	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	68	-3.24	-3.24	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	69	-3.3	-3.3	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	70	-3.8	-3.8	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	71	1953	1953	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	72	77.0	77.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	73	-2.2	-2.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	74	-3.3	-3.3	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	75	-3.11	-3.11	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	76	-1.9	-1.9	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	77	-2.4	-2.4	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	78	1954	1954	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	79	84.0	84.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	80	2.1	2.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	81	0.8	0.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	82	0.99	0.99	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	83	2.8	2.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	84	2.2	2.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	85	1955	1955	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	86	88.0	88.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	87	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	88	-0.6	-0.6	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	89	-0.37	-0.37	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	90	1.2	1.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	91	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	92	1956	1956	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	93	92.0	92.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	94	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	95	-1.7	-1.7	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	96	-1.33	-1.33	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	97	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	98	-0.7	-0.7	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	99	1957	1957	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	100	96.0	96.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	101	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	102	-2.5	-2.5	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	103	-2.08	-2.08	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	104	-0.0	-0.0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	105	-1.4	-1.4	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	106	1958	1958	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	107	100.0	100.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	108	-0.2	-0.2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	109	-3.2	-3.2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	110	-2.71	-2.71	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	111	-0.3	-0.3	X
ejpam-2949	116	112	-2.0	-2.0	X
ejpam-2949	116	113	1959	1959	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	114	103.0	103.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	115	-1.3	-1.3	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	116	-4.8	-4.8	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	117	-4.28	-4.28	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	118	-1.4	-1.4	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	119	-3.4	-3.4	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	120	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	121	110.0	110.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	122	1.9	1.9	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	123	-2.1	-2.1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	124	-1.47	-1.47	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	125	2.0	2.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	126	-0.3	-0.3	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	127	1961	1961	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	128	116.0	116.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	129	3.2	3.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	130	-1.4	-1.4	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	131	-0.71	-0.71	PROPN
ejpam-2949	116	132	3.1	3.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	133	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	134	1962	1962	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	135	125.0	125.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	136	7.0	7.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	137	1.8	1.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	138	2.60	2.60	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	139	6.7	6.7	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	140	3.5	3.5	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	141	1963	1963	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	142	133.0	133.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	143	8.8	8.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	144	2.8	2.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	145	3.74	3.74	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	146	8.0	8.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	147	4.3	4.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	148	1964	1964	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	149	137.0	137.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	150	6.1	6.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	151	-0.9	-0.9	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	152	0.26	0.26	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	153	4.7	4.7	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	154	0.3	0.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	155	1965	1965	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	156	145.0	145.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	157	8.0	8.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	158	-0.0	-0.0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	159	1.26	1.26	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	160	6.3	6.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	161	1.1	1.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	162	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	163	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	164	2.1	2.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	165	-1.1	-1.1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	166	-0.6	-0.6	X
ejpam-2949	116	167	1.8	1.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	168	-0.1	-0.1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	169	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	170	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	116	171	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	116	172	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	173	263.3	263.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	174	84.4	84.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	175	78.8	78.8	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	176	211.9	211.9	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	177	77.0	77.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	178	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	116	179	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	180	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	181	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	116	182	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	116	183	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	184	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	185	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	116	186	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	116	187	gas	gas	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	188	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	189	electricity	electricity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	190	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	116	191	water	water	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	192	sector	sector	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	193	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	194	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	116	195	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	116	196	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	197	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	198	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	199	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	200	a1	a1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	201	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	202	p.	p.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	116	203	462	462	NUM
ejpam-2949	116	204	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	116	205	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	117	2	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	4	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	117	5	fixed	fix	VERB
ejpam-2949	117	6	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	8	0.16	0.16	NUM
ejpam-2949	117	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	117	10	0.84	0.84	NUM
ejpam-2949	117	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	117	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	14	uncorrected	uncorrected	ADJ
ejpam-2949	117	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	16	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	117	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	117	18	exponential	exponential	ADJ
ejpam-2949	117	19	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	20	nations	nation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	22	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	23	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	117	24	typically	typically	ADV
ejpam-2949	117	25	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	117	26	assessed	assess	VERB
ejpam-2949	117	27	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	28	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	117	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	32	r)msfe	r)msfe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	117	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	117	35	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	117	36	counterpart	counterpart	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	37	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	117	38	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	117	39	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	117	40	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	117	41	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	42	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	117	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	118	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	118	2	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-2949	118	3	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	118	4	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	118	5	subsequently	subsequently	ADV
ejpam-2949	118	6	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	118	7	generalized	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	118	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	118	9	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	118	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	118	11	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	118	12	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	118	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	118	14	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	118	15	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	118	16	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	118	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	119	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	2	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	3	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	4	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	119	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	7	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	8	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	119	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	11	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	12	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	13	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	14	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	119	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	119	16	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	119	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	119	18	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	119	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	20	higherorder	higherorder	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	21	moments	moment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	25	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	26	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	119	28	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	119	29	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	30	certain	certain	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	31	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	32	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	34	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	38	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	39	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	119	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	42	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	43	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	44	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	45	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	46	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	47	individual	individual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	48	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	49	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	119	50	identical	identical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	51	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	52	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	53	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	119	54	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	119	55	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	56	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	57	weights	weight	VERB
ejpam-2949	119	58	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	59	almost	almost	ADV
ejpam-2949	119	60	all	all	PRON
ejpam-2949	119	61	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	62	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	63	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	119	64	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	65	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	66	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	67	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	68	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	119	69	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	70	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	119	71	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	119	72	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	119	73	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	119	74	differ	differ	VERB
ejpam-2949	119	75	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	1	beginning	begin	VERB
ejpam-2949	120	2	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	120	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	4	joint	joint	ADJ
ejpam-2949	120	5	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	120	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	8	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	120	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	120	10	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	12	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	14	ft	ft	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	16	′	′	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	18	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	120	19	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	120	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	120	21	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	120	22	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	120	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	24	restrictions	restriction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	25	require	require	VERB
ejpam-2949	120	26	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	120	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	28	marginal	marginal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	120	29	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	120	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	33	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	34	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	120	35	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	120	36	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	120	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	38	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	120	39	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	120	40	moments	moment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	120	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	120	43	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	44	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	120	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	121	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	121	2	holds	hold	VERB
ejpam-2949	121	3	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	121	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	121	5	joint	joint	ADJ
ejpam-2949	121	6	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	121	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	121	8	elliptically	elliptically	ADV
ejpam-2949	121	9	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	121	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	121	11	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	121	12	includes	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	121	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	121	14	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	121	15	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	121	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	121	17	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	121	18	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	121	19	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	121	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	121	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	122	1	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	122	2	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	122	3	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	122	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	122	6	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	122	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	122	8	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	9	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	10	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	122	12	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	122	13	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	122	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	122	15	remain	remain	VERB
ejpam-2949	122	16	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	122	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	122	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	122	19	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	122	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	122	21	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	122	22	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	23	differs	differ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	122	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	123	1	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	123	2	understand	understand	VERB
ejpam-2949	123	3	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	123	4	result	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	123	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	123	6	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	123	7	sketch	sketch	VERB
ejpam-2949	123	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	123	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	123	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	123	11	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	123	12	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	123	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	123	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	124	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	124	2	notation	notation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	124	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	124	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	124	5	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	124	6	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	124	7	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	124	8	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	124	9	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	124	10	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	124	11	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	124	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	125	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	18	37	37	NUM
ejpam-2949	125	19	moments	moment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	125	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	125	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	125	22	actuals	actual	NOUN
ejpam-2949	125	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	125	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	125	25	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	125	26	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	125	27	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	125	28	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	29	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	125	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	31	yt	yt	X
ejpam-2949	125	32	ft	ft	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	34	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	36	µy	µy	ADP
ejpam-2949	125	37	µ	µ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	40	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	41	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	125	42	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	43	ft	ft	PROPN
ejpam-2949	125	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	126	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	126	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	126	3	σ2y	σ2y	NOUN
ejpam-2949	126	4	σ′21	σ′21	ADJ
ejpam-2949	126	5	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	126	6	σ22	σ22	PROPN
ejpam-2949	126	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	126	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	127	1	write	write	VERB
ejpam-2949	127	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	127	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	4	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	5	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	6	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	127	7	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	8	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	127	9	yt−β0−β′ft	yt−β0−β′ft	PROPN
ejpam-2949	127	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	127	11	define	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	127	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	127	13	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	14	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	15	vector	vector	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	16	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	127	17	β	β	X
ejpam-2949	127	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	127	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	127	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	127	21	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	127	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	127	24	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	127	25	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	127	26	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	127	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	128	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	128	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	128	3	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	128	5	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	128	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	128	8	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	10	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	11	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	128	12	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	128	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	128	14	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	128	15	µe	µe	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	16	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	128	17	µy	µy	ADP
ejpam-2949	128	18	−	−	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	128	19	β0	β0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	128	20	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	128	21	β′µ	β′µ	X
ejpam-2949	129	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	129	2	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	129	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	129	4	σ2e	σ2e	X
ejpam-2949	129	5	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	129	6	σ2y	σ2y	PROPN
ejpam-2949	129	7	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	129	8	β′σ22β−2β′σ21	β′σ22β−2β′σ21	ADJ
ejpam-2949	129	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	2	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	130	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	4	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	130	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	130	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	130	9	l	l	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	11	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	14	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	130	15	l	l	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	17	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	19	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	130	20	e2	e2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	130	21	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	130	22	gives	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	130	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	130	24	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	130	25	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	130	26	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	130	27	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	28	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	130	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	131	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	131	3	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	131	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	131	5	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	131	6	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	131	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	8	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	131	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	10	β	β	NOUN
ejpam-2949	131	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	131	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	131	15	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	131	16	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	131	17	minimizes	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	131	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	131	19	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	131	20	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	131	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	131	22	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	132	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	132	2	l	l	X
ejpam-2949	132	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	132	4	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	132	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	132	6	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	132	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	132	8	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	132	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	132	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	133	1	min	min	PROPN
ejpam-2949	133	2	β0,β	β0,β	PROPN
ejpam-2949	133	3	∫	∫	PROPN
ejpam-2949	133	4	l	l	PROPN
ejpam-2949	133	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	133	6	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	133	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	133	8	df	df	PROPN
ejpam-2949	133	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	133	10	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	133	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	133	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	134	1	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	134	2	elliptical	elliptical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	134	3	symmetry	symmetry	NOUN
ejpam-2949	134	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	134	5	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	134	6	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	134	7	write	write	VERB
ejpam-2949	134	8	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	135	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	135	2	l	l	X
ejpam-2949	135	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	135	4	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	135	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	135	6	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	136	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	136	2	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	136	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	136	4	µe	µe	ADP
ejpam-2949	136	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	136	6	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	136	7	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	136	8	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	136	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	136	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	1	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	137	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	3	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	137	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	137	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	7	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	137	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	137	10	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	137	11	µe	µe	ADV
ejpam-2949	137	12	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	137	13	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	137	14	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	137	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-2949	138	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	138	3	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	138	4	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	138	5	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	138	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	138	7	minimizing	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	138	8	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	138	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	138	10	l	l	X
ejpam-2949	138	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	12	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	138	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	15	with	with	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	138	16	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	138	17	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	138	18	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	138	19	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	138	20	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	21	∂g	∂g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	138	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	23	µe	µe	ADP
ejpam-2949	138	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	138	25	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	138	26	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	138	27	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	138	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	139	1	∂β0	∂β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	2	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	139	3	∂g	∂g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	139	5	µe	µe	ADP
ejpam-2949	139	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	139	7	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	8	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	139	9	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	139	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	139	11	∂µe	∂µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	12	∂µe	∂µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	13	∂β0	∂β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	139	14	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	139	15	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	139	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	1	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	140	2	∂µe	∂µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	3	∂β0	∂β0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	4	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	140	5	−1	−1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	140	8	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	140	9	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	140	11	β0	β0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	13	β	β	X
ejpam-2949	140	14	∗	∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	15	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	140	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	17	solves	solve	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	18	∂g(µe	∂g(µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	20	σ2	σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	21	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	23	∂µe	∂µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	24	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	25	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	27	β∗0	β∗0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	28	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	140	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	140	30	l	l	PROPN
ejpam-2949	140	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	140	36	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	140	37	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	140	38	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	140	39	generate	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	140	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	140	41	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	140	42	amount	amount	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	43	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	140	44	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	45	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	46	µ∗e	µ∗e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	47	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	48	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	140	49	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	140	50	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	51	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	140	52	l	l	NOUN
ejpam-2949	140	53	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	54	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	55	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	140	56	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	141	2	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	141	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	4	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	5	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	7	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	141	8	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	141	9	l	l	X
ejpam-2949	141	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	11	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	14	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	15	µ2e	µ2e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	16	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	141	17	σ2e	σ2e	X
ejpam-2949	141	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	141	20	∂g(µe	∂g(µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	141	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	22	σ2	σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	23	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	25	∂β0	∂β0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	26	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	141	27	−2µe	−2µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	141	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	29	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	141	30	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	141	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	141	32	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	141	33	amount	amount	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	141	35	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	36	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	141	37	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	141	38	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-2949	141	39	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	141	40	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	41	µ∗e	µ∗e	NUM
ejpam-2949	141	42	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	141	43	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	141	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	141	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	142	1	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	142	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	142	3	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	142	4	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	142	5	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	142	6	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	142	7	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	142	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	142	9	β	β	NOUN
ejpam-2949	142	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	1	∂g	∂g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	143	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	3	µe	µe	ADP
ejpam-2949	143	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	5	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	143	6	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	143	7	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	143	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	9	∂β	∂β	PROPN
ejpam-2949	143	10	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	143	11	∂g	∂g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	143	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	13	µe	µe	ADP
ejpam-2949	143	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	143	15	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	143	16	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	143	17	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	143	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	144	1	∂σ2e	∂σ2e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	144	2	∂σ2e	∂σ2e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	1	∂β	∂β	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	2	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	145	3	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	5	provided	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	145	6	∂g(µe	∂g(µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	8	σ2	σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	145	9	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	145	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	11	∂σ2	∂σ2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	12	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	145	13	6=	6=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	14	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	145	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	16	∂g(µe	∂g(µe	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	18	σ2	σ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	145	19	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	145	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	145	21	∂β	∂β	PROPN
ejpam-2949	145	22	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	145	23	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	146	1	implies	imply	VERB
ejpam-2949	146	2	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	146	3	∂σ2	∂σ2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	146	4	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	146	5	∂β	∂β	PROPN
ejpam-2949	146	6	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	146	7	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	146	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	9	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	146	10	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	146	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	12	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	146	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	15	2σ22β	2σ22β	NUM
ejpam-2949	146	16	∗=	∗=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	17	2σ21	2σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	146	20	β∗	β∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	21	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	22	σ−122	σ−122	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	23	σ21	σ21	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	24	irrespective	irrespective	ADV
ejpam-2949	146	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	146	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	146	27	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	146	29	l	l	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	146	34	matching	match	VERB
ejpam-2949	146	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	146	36	expression	expression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	37	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	146	38	squarederror	squarederror	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	39	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	146	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	1	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	147	2	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	147	3	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	147	4	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	5	remark	remark	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	7	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	147	8	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	147	9	element	element	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	147	11	β∗	β∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	147	13	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	147	14	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	147	15	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	147	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	17	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	18	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	20	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	147	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	147	22	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
ejpam-2949	147	23	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	24	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	147	25	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	147	26	receive	receive	VERB
ejpam-2949	147	27	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	147	28	weight	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	29	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	147	30	any	any	DET
ejpam-2949	147	31	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	147	32	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	33	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	147	35	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	147	36	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	147	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	147	38	stated	state	VERB
ejpam-2949	147	39	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	40	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	147	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	147	42	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	43	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	44	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	45	hold	hold	NOUN
ejpam-2949	147	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	148	1	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	148	2	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	148	3	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	148	4	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	148	5	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	148	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	149	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	149	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	149	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	149	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	149	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	149	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	18	38	38	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	19	3	3	NUM
ejpam-2949	149	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	21	improving	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	23	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	24	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	25	wrote	write	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	26	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	149	27	co	co	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	28	-	-	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	29	authored	author	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	30	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	149	31	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	149	33	papers	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	34	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	149	35	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	36	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	38	indicating	indicate	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	39	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	149	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	149	41	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	149	42	current	current	ADJ
ejpam-2949	149	43	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	44	might	might	AUX
ejpam-2949	149	45	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	149	46	improved	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	47	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	48	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	149	49	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	149	50	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	149	51	technical	technical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	149	52	perspective	perspective	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	149	54	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	149	55	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	149	56	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	57	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	149	58	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	149	59	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	149	60	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	149	61	presented	present	VERB
ejpam-2949	149	62	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	150	2	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	4	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	5	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	150	6	made	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	7	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	150	8	helped	helped	AUX
ejpam-2949	150	9	foster	foster	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	10	marked	mark	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	11	improvements	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	150	14	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	150	19	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	20	research.†	research.†	PROPN
ejpam-2949	150	21	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	22	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	24	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	150	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	150	26	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	150	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	28	1973	1973	NUM
ejpam-2949	150	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	31	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	32	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	150	33	58	58	NUM
ejpam-2949	150	34	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	36	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	150	37	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	150	38	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	39	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	150	40	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	41	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	42	criteria	criterion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	43	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	150	44	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	150	45	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	150	46	monotonic	monotonic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	150	47	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	48	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	49	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	150	50	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	51	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	52	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	54	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	150	55	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	56	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	150	57	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	58	inequality	inequality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	59	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	60	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	61	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	62	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	150	63	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	150	64	u	u	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	65	-statistic	-statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	150	66	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	67	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	150	68	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	150	69	94	94	NUM
ejpam-2949	150	70	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	150	71	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	1	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	151	2	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	3	criticise	criticise	VERB
ejpam-2949	151	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	151	5	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	151	7	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	151	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	151	9	distributional	distributional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	151	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	11	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	13	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	14	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	151	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	151	17	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	151	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	20	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	23	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	151	24	instead	instead	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	151	26	consideration	consideration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	151	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	151	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	30	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	33	especially	especially	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	151	35	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	151	36	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	37	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	38	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	39	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	41	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	42	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	151	43	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	151	44	readily	readily	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	45	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	46	testable	testable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	151	47	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	48	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	151	49	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	50	optimality	optimality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	51	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	52	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	54	unbiasedness	unbiasedness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	55	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	56	serially	serially	ADV
ejpam-2949	151	57	uncorrelatedness	uncorrelatedness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	58	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	59	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	151	60	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	151	61	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	151	62	4.2	4.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	151	63	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	151	64	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	152	2	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	152	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	5	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	152	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	152	7	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	9	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	152	12	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	13	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	14	utility	utility	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	15	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	16	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	17	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	18	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	19	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	152	20	decisions	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	21	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	152	24	basis	basis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	26	those	those	DET
ejpam-2949	152	27	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	29	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	31	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	152	33	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-2949	152	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	35	2000,2000	2000,2000	NUM
ejpam-2949	152	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	37	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	38	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	39	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	152	40	63	63	NUM
ejpam-2949	152	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	42	62	62	NUM
ejpam-2949	152	43	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	45	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	46	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	152	47	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	152	48	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	152	49	4.3	4.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	152	50	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	152	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	153	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	153	3	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	153	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	5	1973,1975	1973,1975	NUM
ejpam-2949	153	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	8	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	153	10	58	58	NUM
ejpam-2949	153	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	12	60	60	NUM
ejpam-2949	153	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	15	suggested	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	16	econometricians	econometrician	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	17	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	153	18	pay	pay	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	19	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	20	attention	attention	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	21	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	22	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	24	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	25	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	27	arguing	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	28	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	153	29	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	30	econometricians	econometrician	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	31	rarely	rarely	ADV
ejpam-2949	153	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	33	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	153	34	ever	ever	ADV
ejpam-2949	153	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	36	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	153	38	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	39	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	40	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	41	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	153	42	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	43	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	44	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	45	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	46	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	47	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	153	48	current	current	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	49	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	153	50	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	51	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	52	....	....	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	53	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	153	54	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	153	55	did	do	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	56	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	153	57	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	153	58	might	might	AUX
ejpam-2949	153	59	learn	learn	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	60	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	153	61	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	62	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	63	valuable	valuable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	64	lessons	lesson	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	65	applicable	applicable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	66	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	153	67	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	153	68	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	153	69	sophisticated	sophisticated	ADJ
ejpam-2949	153	70	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	71	building	building	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	72	exercises	exercise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	153	73	they	they	PRON
ejpam-2949	153	74	attempt	attempt	VERB
ejpam-2949	153	75	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	76	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	77	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	153	78	58	58	NUM
ejpam-2949	153	79	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	80	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	153	81	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	154	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	154	3	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	154	4	sufficient	sufficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	154	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	154	6	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-2949	154	7	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	154	8	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	154	9	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	10	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	154	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	12	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	13	outperform	outperform	VERB
ejpam-2949	154	14	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	15	extrapolative	extrapolative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	154	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	17	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	19	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	154	20	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	22	jenkin	jenkin	PROPN
ejpam-2949	154	23	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	26	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	154	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	154	28	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	154	29	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	30	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	154	31	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	154	32	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	154	33	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	154	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	35	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	154	36	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	154	37	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	154	38	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	39	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	154	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	41	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	154	42	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	43	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	154	44	multivariate	multivariate	VERB
ejpam-2949	154	45	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	46	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	154	47	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	48	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	154	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	155	2	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	155	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	155	4	call	call	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	155	6	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	155	7	stringent	stringent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	155	8	comparators	comparator	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	9	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	155	10	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	11	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	155	12	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	13	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	14	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	155	15	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	16	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-2949	155	17	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	18	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	19	predictors	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	155	22	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	155	23	emphasis	emphasis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	24	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	155	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	155	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	27	embodying	embody	VERB
ejpam-2949	155	28	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	155	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	155	30	useful	useful	ADJ
ejpam-2949	155	31	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	32	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	155	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	155	34	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	35	purely	purely	ADV
ejpam-2949	155	36	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	155	37	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	155	38	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	39	devices	device	NOUN
ejpam-2949	155	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	156	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	156	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	3	argued	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	156	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	156	5	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	6	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	8	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	9	typically	typically	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	10	contain	contain	VERB
ejpam-2949	156	11	extraneous	extraneous	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	156	13	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	14	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	15	numerical	numerical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	16	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	17	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	156	18	could	could	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	19	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	156	20	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	21	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	22	accommodated	accommodate	VERB
ejpam-2949	156	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	156	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	156	25	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	26	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	156	27	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	28	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	156	30	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	156	31	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	156	32	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	33	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	34	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	35	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	36	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	37	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	156	38	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	156	39	advantage	advantage	NOUN
ejpam-2949	156	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	156	41	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	156	42	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	43	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	44	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	45	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	46	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	47	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	156	48	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	156	49	sufficiently	sufficiently	ADV
ejpam-2949	156	50	demanding	demanding	ADJ
ejpam-2949	156	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	2	addition	addition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	4	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	157	6	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	8	1974	1974	NUM
ejpam-2949	157	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	11	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	157	12	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	157	13	59	59	NUM
ejpam-2949	157	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	16	advocated	advocate	VERB
ejpam-2949	157	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	157	18	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	20	differenceddata	differenceddata	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	21	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	22	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	157	23	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	24	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	157	26	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	28	countering	counter	VERB
ejpam-2949	157	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	157	30	finding	finding	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	32	nonsense	nonsense	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	33	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	157	34	spurious	spurious	ADJ
ejpam-2949	157	35	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	36	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	157	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	157	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	157	39	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	40	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	41	jennifer	jennifer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	42	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	43	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	157	44	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	45	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	157	46	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	157	47	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	157	48	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	157	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	158	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	3	implications	implication	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	158	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	158	6	treatment	treatment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	158	8	unit	unit	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	9	roots	root	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	10	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	158	11	subsequently	subsequently	ADV
ejpam-2949	158	12	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	158	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	158	14	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	158	15	43	43	NUM
ejpam-2949	158	16	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	18	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	158	19	21	21	NUM
ejpam-2949	158	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	158	22	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	158	23	38	38	NUM
ejpam-2949	158	24	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	158	26	inter	inter	PROPN
ejpam-2949	158	27	alia	alia	NOUN
ejpam-2949	158	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	159	2	call	call	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	4	greater	great	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	5	emphasis	emphasis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	159	8	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	9	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	10	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	11	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	12	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	159	13	appear	appear	VERB
ejpam-2949	159	14	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	159	15	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	159	16	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	159	17	answered	answer	VERB
ejpam-2949	159	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	19	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	159	20	90	90	NUM
ejpam-2949	159	21	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	159	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	159	25	subsequent	subsequent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	26	popularity	popularity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	28	vector	vector	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	29	autoregressions	autoregression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	159	31	macro	macro	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	32	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	33	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	159	34	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	159	36	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	159	37	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	38	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	159	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	40	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	159	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	42	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	159	43	36	36	NUM
ejpam-2949	159	44	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	159	45	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	159	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	1	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	160	2	20	20	NUM
ejpam-2949	160	3	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	4	later	later	ADV
ejpam-2949	160	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	6	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	160	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	8	1996	1996	NUM
ejpam-2949	160	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	11	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	12	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	160	13	53	53	NUM
ejpam-2949	160	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	16	argued	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	17	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	18	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	160	19	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	160	20	usually	usually	ADV
ejpam-2949	160	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	160	22	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	23	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	24	i	i	PRON
ejpam-2949	160	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	27	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	160	28	published	publish	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	29	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	30	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	160	31	indication	indication	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	160	34	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	36	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	38	ii	ii	PROPN
ejpam-2949	160	39	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	40	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	160	41	was	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	42	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	160	43	recognition	recognition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	160	46	differing	differ	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	47	degrees	degree	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	48	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	49	difficulty	difficulty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	50	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	51	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	52	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-2949	160	53	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	54	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	55	iii	iii	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	56	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	57	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	58	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	59	whether	whether	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	60	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	160	61	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	62	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	160	63	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	160	64	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	65	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	160	66	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	67	iv	iv	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	68	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	160	69	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	160	70	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	71	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	160	72	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	73	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	74	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	75	†we	†we	AUX
ejpam-2949	160	76	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	160	77	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	160	78	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	79	his	his	PRON
ejpam-2949	160	80	recommendations	recommendation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	81	separately	separately	ADV
ejpam-2949	160	82	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	160	83	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	84	5	5	NUM
ejpam-2949	160	85	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	160	86	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	160	87	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	160	88	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	160	89	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	160	90	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	161	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	18	39	39	NUM
ejpam-2949	161	19	revisions	revision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	21	seasonal	seasonal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	161	22	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	24	v	v	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	26	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	161	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	161	29	techniques	technique	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	30	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	161	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	161	33	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	34	made	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	161	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	36	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	161	38	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	39	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	41	vi	vi	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	43	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	44	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	161	45	was	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	161	46	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	161	47	tendency	tendency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	48	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	161	49	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	50	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	161	51	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	52	all	all	PRON
ejpam-2949	161	53	swing	swing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	54	together	together	ADV
ejpam-2949	161	55	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	56	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	57	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	58	vii	vii	PROPN
ejpam-2949	161	59	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	60	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	161	61	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	161	62	tendency	tendency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	63	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	161	64	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	161	65	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	161	66	estimate	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	67	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	161	68	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	162	1	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	162	2	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	162	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	162	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	162	5	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	162	6	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	162	7	substantial	substantial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	162	8	progress	progress	NOUN
ejpam-2949	162	9	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	162	10	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	162	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	162	12	these	these	PRON
ejpam-2949	162	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	2	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	163	5	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	163	6	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	163	7	much	much	ADJ
ejpam-2949	163	8	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	9	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	163	11	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	163	13	representation	representation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	18	i	i	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	21	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	163	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	23	academia	academia	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	163	25	amongst	amongst	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	26	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	27	makers	maker	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	29	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	163	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	31	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	163	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	33	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	163	34	89	89	NUM
ejpam-2949	163	35	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	37	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	163	38	74	74	X
ejpam-2949	163	39	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	40	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	163	41	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	163	42	69	69	NUM
ejpam-2949	163	43	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	163	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	46	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	163	47	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	48	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	49	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	50	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	163	51	effects	effect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	52	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	53	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	54	revisions	revision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	55	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	56	iv	iv	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	57	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	59	facilitated	facilitate	VERB
ejpam-2949	163	60	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	61	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	163	62	availability	availability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	63	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	64	ready	ready	ADV
ejpam-2949	163	65	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	66	made	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	163	67	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	163	68	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	69	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	70	datasets	dataset	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	71	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	72	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	163	73	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	163	74	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	75	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	76	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	163	77	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	78	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	79	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	80	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	81	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	163	82	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	83	chapters	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	163	84	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	163	85	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	163	86	28	28	NUM
ejpam-2949	163	87	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	88	29	29	NUM
ejpam-2949	163	89	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	163	90	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	164	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	164	2	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	164	3	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	164	4	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	164	5	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	164	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	164	8	intersection	intersection	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	164	10	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	164	11	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	164	12	looking	look	VERB
ejpam-2949	164	13	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	164	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	164	15	impact	impact	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	164	17	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	18	revisions	revision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	164	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	21	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	164	22	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	164	23	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	164	24	17	17	NUM
ejpam-2949	164	25	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	164	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	165	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	165	2	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	165	3	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	165	4	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	165	5	considerable	considerable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	165	6	progress	progress	NOUN
ejpam-2949	165	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	165	8	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	165	9	entries	entry	NOUN
ejpam-2949	165	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	165	11	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	165	12	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	165	13	list	list	NOUN
ejpam-2949	165	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	166	2	applauded	applaud	VERB
ejpam-2949	166	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	166	4	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	6	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	166	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	8	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	10	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	166	11	method	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	13	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	15	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	17	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	166	18	putting	put	VERB
ejpam-2949	166	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	166	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	21	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	22	back	back	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	24	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	26	track	track	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	27	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	29	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	166	30	advocated	advocate	VERB
ejpam-2949	166	31	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	32	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	166	33	22	22	NUM
ejpam-2949	166	34	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	166	36	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	166	37	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	166	38	fully	fully	ADV
ejpam-2949	166	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	40	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	166	41	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	166	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	43	ch	ch	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	44	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	166	45	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	166	46	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	47	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	166	48	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	49	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	166	50	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	51	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	166	52	improving	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	166	53	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	54	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	166	55	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	167	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	167	2	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	167	4	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	5	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	167	7	mitigating	mitigate	VERB
ejpam-2949	167	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	167	9	effects	effect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	167	11	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	167	12	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	167	14	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	167	15	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	167	17	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	167	18	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	167	19	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-2949	167	20	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	167	21	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	167	22	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	167	23	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	167	24	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	167	25	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	167	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	1	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	168	3	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	4	assumes	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	5	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	168	7	generated	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	8	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	168	9	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	10	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	168	11	µ+	µ+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	12	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	13	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	168	14	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	15	∼	∼	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	16	n	n	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	168	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	18	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	168	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	20	σ2u	σ2u	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	23	12	12	NUM
ejpam-2949	168	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	168	26	µ	µ	X
ejpam-2949	168	27	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	168	28	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	29	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	168	30	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	168	31	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	168	33	size	size	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	34	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	168	35	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	168	36	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	168	37	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	168	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	168	39	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	168	40	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	41	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	168	42	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	168	43	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	169	1	yt+1|t	yt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	169	2	=	=	PRON
ejpam-2949	169	3	µ̂	µ̂	X
ejpam-2949	169	4	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	169	5	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	169	6	t∑	t∑	X
ejpam-2949	169	7	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	169	8	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	169	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	2	13	13	NUM
ejpam-2949	170	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	4	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	170	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	6	12	12	NUM
ejpam-2949	170	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	170	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	170	10	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	170	11	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	12	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	170	13	generates	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	170	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	170	15	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	17	yt+1|t	yt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	170	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	170	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	170	20	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-2949	170	21	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	170	22	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	24	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	170	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	26	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	170	27	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	170	28	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	170	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	30	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	31	µ.	µ.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	32	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	170	33	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	170	34	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	170	35	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	170	36	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	37	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	39	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	40	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	170	42	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	170	43	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	44	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	45	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	46	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	47	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	170	48	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	49	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	170	50	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	51	addition	addition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	52	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	170	53	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	54	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	55	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	170	56	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	57	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	170	58	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	59	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	170	60	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	61	t1	t1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	170	62	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	63	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	170	64	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	170	65	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	170	66	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	67	generating	generating	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	68	mechanism	mechanism	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	69	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	170	70	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	71	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	170	72	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	170	73	µ+	µ+	X
ejpam-2949	170	74	δ1{t≥t1	δ1{t≥t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	170	75	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	171	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	172	1	ρyt−1	ρyt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	173	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	173	2	εt	εt	INTJ
ejpam-2949	173	3	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	173	4	εt	εt	PRON
ejpam-2949	173	5	∼	∼	VERB
ejpam-2949	173	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	173	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	8	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	10	σ2ε	σ2ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	173	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	14	14	14	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	16	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	173	17	|ρ|	|ρ|	NOUN
ejpam-2949	173	18	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	173	19	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	173	22	1{t≥t1	1{t≥t1	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	23	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	173	25	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	26	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	173	27	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	173	28	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	173	29	t1	t1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	173	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	31	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	173	32	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
ejpam-2949	173	33	1{t≥t1	1{t≥t1	NUM
ejpam-2949	173	34	}	}	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	173	35	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	173	36	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	173	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	174	2	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	174	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	4	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	174	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	6	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	174	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	8	µ+	µ+	X
ejpam-2949	174	9	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	174	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	11	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	13	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	174	14	ρ	ρ	NUM
ejpam-2949	174	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	174	17	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	174	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	19	yt+1	yt+1	X
ejpam-2949	174	20	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	174	21	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	174	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	174	23	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	1	µ+δ+ρyt	µ+δ+ρyt	NUM
ejpam-2949	175	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	3	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	175	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	175	5	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	175	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	7	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	175	8	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	175	9	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	175	10	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	175	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	175	12	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	175	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	175	14	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	15	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	175	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	17	µ̂	µ̂	X
ejpam-2949	175	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	175	19	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	176	1	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	2			PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	3	t1∑	t1∑	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	4	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	5	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	7	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	9	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	176	10	t∑	t∑	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	11	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	12	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	13	t1	t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	14	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	15	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	176	16	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	18	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	20			PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	21	≈	≈	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	22	µ+	µ+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	23	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	24	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	176	25	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	26	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	27	κ	κ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	28	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	29	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	176	30	ρ	ρ	NUM
ejpam-2949	176	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	33	15	15	NUM
ejpam-2949	176	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	35	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	176	36	κ	κ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	37	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	38	t−1t1	t−1t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	176	40	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	176	41	t1	t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	176	42	≤	≤	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	43	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	176	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	177	2	t1	t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	3	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	177	4	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	177	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	6	κ	κ	X
ejpam-2949	177	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	177	8	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	177	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	177	11	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	177	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	13	µ̂	µ̂	X
ejpam-2949	177	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	177	16	µ	µ	X
ejpam-2949	177	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	18	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	177	19	ρ)−1	ρ)−1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	177	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	177	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	177	24	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	177	25	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	26	estimate	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	27	reflects	reflect	VERB
ejpam-2949	177	28	none	none	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	177	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	177	31	changed	change	VERB
ejpam-2949	177	32	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	177	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	178	3	approximation	approximation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	4	sign	sign	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	7	15	15	NUM
ejpam-2949	178	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	9	reflects	reflect	VERB
ejpam-2949	178	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	178	11	fact	fact	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	12	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	178	13	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	14	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	178	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	16	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	178	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	18	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	19	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	178	20	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	178	21	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	178	22	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	178	24	≥	≥	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	25	t1	t1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	27	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	178	28	adjusts	adjust	VERB
ejpam-2949	178	29	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	30	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	32	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	178	33	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	34	14	14	NUM
ejpam-2949	178	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	37	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	178	38	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	178	39	suppress	suppress	VERB
ejpam-2949	178	40	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	178	41	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	42	what	what	PRON
ejpam-2949	178	43	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	178	44	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	178	46	interests	interest	NOUN
ejpam-2949	178	47	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	178	48	simplicitly	simplicitly	ADV
ejpam-2949	178	49	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	178	50	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	1	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	179	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	179	3	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	4	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	5	back	back	ADV
ejpam-2949	179	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	179	7	track	track	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	8	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	9	adds	add	VERB
ejpam-2949	179	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	179	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	179	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	179	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	15	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	16	origin	origin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	17	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	19	ût	ût	ADV
ejpam-2949	179	20	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	21	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	22	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	23	µ̂	µ̂	PRON
ejpam-2949	179	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	179	26	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	179	27	fits	fit	VERB
ejpam-2949	179	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	179	29	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-2949	179	30	observation	observation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	179	31	perfectly	perfectly	ADV
ejpam-2949	179	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	34	yielding	yield	VERB
ejpam-2949	179	35	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	179	36	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	37	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	38	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	39	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	179	40	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	179	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	180	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	18	40	40	NUM
ejpam-2949	180	19	ŷι	ŷι	ADJ
ejpam-2949	180	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	21	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	180	22	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	23	µ̂+	µ̂+	X
ejpam-2949	180	24	ût	ût	ADV
ejpam-2949	180	25	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	180	26	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	180	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	2	16	16	NUM
ejpam-2949	181	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	4	note	note	VERB
ejpam-2949	181	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	181	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	7	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	181	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	9	ŷι	ŷι	NUM
ejpam-2949	181	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	11	t+1	t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	181	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	181	14	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	181	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	16	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	181	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	18	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	181	19	µ+	µ+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	181	20	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	181	21	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	181	22	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	181	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	24	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	181	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	181	26	unconditionally	unconditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	181	27	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	181	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	29	despite	despite	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	181	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	181	31	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	181	32	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	181	33	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	181	34	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	181	35	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	181	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	182	1	further	far	ADV
ejpam-2949	182	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	182	3	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	182	4	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	182	5	ŷι	ŷι	ADJ
ejpam-2949	182	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	182	7	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	182	8	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	182	9	µ+	µ+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	182	10	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	182	11	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	182	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	182	13	ρ−	ρ−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	182	14	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	182	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	182	16	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	183	1	+	+	X
ejpam-2949	183	2	εt+1	εt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	183	3	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	183	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	183	5	ρ−	ρ−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	183	6	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	183	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	183	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	183	9	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	183	10	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	183	11	µ+	µ+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	183	12	δ	δ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	183	13	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	183	14	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	183	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	184	2	εt+1	εt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	184	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	4	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	184	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	184	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	184	7	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	184	8	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	184	9	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	184	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	11	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	184	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	184	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	14	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	184	15	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	17	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	184	18	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	184	19	ŷι	ŷι	NUM
ejpam-2949	184	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	21	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	184	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	184	23	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	184	24	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	185	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	185	2	σ2ε	σ2ε	X
ejpam-2949	185	3	+	+	X
ejpam-2949	185	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	185	5	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	185	6	ρ)2	ρ)2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	185	7	v	v	PROPN
ejpam-2949	185	8	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	185	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	185	10	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	185	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	185	12	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	186	1	2σ2ε	2σ2ε	NUM
ejpam-2949	186	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	187	1	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	187	2	ρ	ρ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	187	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	5	17	17	NUM
ejpam-2949	187	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	7	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	187	8	against	against	ADP
ejpam-2949	187	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	187	10	minimum	minimum	ADJ
ejpam-2949	187	11	obtainable	obtainable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	187	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	13	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	187	14	correct	correct	ADJ
ejpam-2949	187	15	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	187	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	17	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	187	18	known	know	VERB
ejpam-2949	187	19	break	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	187	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	187	22	known	known	ADJ
ejpam-2949	187	23	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	187	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	187	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	187	26	σ2ε	σ2ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	187	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	1	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	2	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	4	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	188	5	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	6	yields	yield	VERB
ejpam-2949	188	7	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	188	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	10	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	11	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	188	12	increase	increase	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	188	15	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	17	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	18	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	19	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	188	20	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	188	21	decreasing	decrease	VERB
ejpam-2949	188	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	23	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	188	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	25	provided	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	188	26	ρ	ρ	PROPN
ejpam-2949	188	27	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	188	28	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	188	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	30	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	188	31	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	188	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	188	34	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	35	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	36	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	188	37	decreasing	decrease	VERB
ejpam-2949	188	38	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	39	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	188	40	degree	degree	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	188	42	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	188	43	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	44	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	188	45	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	188	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	2	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	189	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	4	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	5	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	6	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	189	7	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	189	8	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	189	9	dynamically	dynamically	ADV
ejpam-2949	189	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	11	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	13	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	189	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	189	16	overall	overall	ADJ
ejpam-2949	189	17	efficacy	efficacy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	19	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	20	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	21	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	22	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	24	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	189	25	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	189	26	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	27	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	189	28	rely	rely	VERB
ejpam-2949	189	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	30	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	189	31	favourable	favourable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	189	32	tradeoff	tradeoff	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	33	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	189	34	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	189	35	inflated	inflated	ADJ
ejpam-2949	189	36	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	37	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	38	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	39	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	40	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	189	41	reduced	reduce	VERB
ejpam-2949	189	42	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	43	squared	squared	ADJ
ejpam-2949	189	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	189	45	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	189	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	2	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	5	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	6	index	index	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	7	illustration	illustration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	8	recorded	record	VERB
ejpam-2949	190	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	10	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	11	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	190	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	13	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	190	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	190	15	apparent	apparent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	16	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	190	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	18	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	19	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	20	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	21	generates	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	190	22	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	190	23	sequence	sequence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	25	positive	positive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	26	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	27	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	28	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	30	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	31	half	half	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	34	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	36	even	even	ADV
ejpam-2949	190	37	after	after	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	38	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	39	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	40	correcting	correcting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	41	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	190	43	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	190	44	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	190	45	consistent	consistent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	46	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	47	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	190	48	inappropriate	inappropriate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	49	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	50	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	51	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	52	deterministic	deterministic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	190	53	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	54	andor	andor	VERB
ejpam-2949	190	55	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	190	56	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	57	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	190	58	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	190	59	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	60	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	190	61	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	191	1	either	either	DET
ejpam-2949	191	2	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-2949	191	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	191	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	191	5	above	above	ADJ
ejpam-2949	191	6	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	191	7	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	191	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	191	9	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	191	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	191	11	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	191	12	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	191	13	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	191	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	192	1	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-2949	192	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	192	4	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-2949	192	5	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	6	reduces	reduce	VERB
ejpam-2949	192	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	192	8	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	192	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	192	11	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	192	13	corrected	correct	VERB
ejpam-2949	192	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	192	15	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	17	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	18	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	192	20	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	22	211.9	211.9	NUM
ejpam-2949	192	23	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	192	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	192	26	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	192	27	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	192	28	121.1	121.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	192	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	193	1	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	193	2	strategy	strategy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	193	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	193	4	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	193	5	successful	successful	ADJ
ejpam-2949	193	6	for	for	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	193	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	193	8	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	193	9	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	193	10	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	193	11	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-2949	193	12	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	193	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	193	14	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	193	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	193	16	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	193	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	193	18	increased	increase	VERB
ejpam-2949	193	19	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	193	20	77.0	77.0	NUM
ejpam-2949	193	21	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	193	22	111.4	111.4	NUM
ejpam-2949	193	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	194	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	194	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	3	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	194	4	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	194	5	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	6	do	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	194	7	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	194	8	exhibit	exhibit	VERB
ejpam-2949	194	9	systematic	systematic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	194	10	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	194	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	194	13	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	194	14	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	194	15	therefore	therefore	ADV
ejpam-2949	194	16	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	194	17	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	18	offset	offset	VERB
ejpam-2949	194	19	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	194	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	194	21	higher	high	ADJ
ejpam-2949	194	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	194	24	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	25	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	194	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	195	1	4	4	X
ejpam-2949	195	2	.	.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	195	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	195	4	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	195	5	4.1	4.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	195	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	1	generalized	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	196	2	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	196	4	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	5	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	7	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	196	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	10	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	196	11	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	196	12	49	49	NUM
ejpam-2949	196	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	196	15	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	196	16	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	196	17	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-2949	196	18	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	19	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	196	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	196	21	development	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	196	23	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	196	24	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	25	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	26	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	196	27	generalizes	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	196	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	196	29	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	196	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	31	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	32	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	196	34	classical	classical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	196	35	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	36	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	196	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	197	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	197	2	argued	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	197	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	197	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	5	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	6	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	7	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	197	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	197	10	fields	field	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	12	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	197	14	management	management	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	197	16	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	197	17	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	19	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	20	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	197	21	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	197	22	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	197	23	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	197	24	proportional	proportional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	197	25	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	197	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	197	27	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	197	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	29	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	197	31	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	197	32	cited	cite	VERB
ejpam-2949	197	33	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	197	34	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	197	35	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	197	36	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	197	37	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	197	38	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	197	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	198	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	198	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	198	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	198	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	198	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	198	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	198	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	18	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	198	19	motivating	motivating	NOUN
ejpam-2949	198	20	examples.‡	examples.‡	NOUN
ejpam-2949	198	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	199	2	comes	come	VERB
ejpam-2949	199	3	up	up	ADP
ejpam-2949	199	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	199	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	199	6	practical	practical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	7	recommendation	recommendation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	8	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	9	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	199	11	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	12	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	14	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	16	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	17	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	199	18	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	21	one	one	PRON
ejpam-2949	199	22	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	23	use	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	199	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	199	25	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	26	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	27	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	28	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	29	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	30	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	199	31	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	199	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	33	proceed	proceed	VERB
ejpam-2949	199	34	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	35	one	one	PRON
ejpam-2949	199	36	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	37	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	199	38	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	199	39	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	40	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	41	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	44	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	45	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	46	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	199	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	199	48	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	49	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	50	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	51	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	52	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	53	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	54	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	199	55	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	199	56	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	57	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	58	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	59	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	60	added	add	VERB
ejpam-2949	199	61	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	199	62	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	199	63	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	64	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	65	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	199	66	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	199	67	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	199	68	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	199	69	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	1	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	200	2	precisely	precisely	ADV
ejpam-2949	200	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	4	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	200	5	gaussianity	gaussianity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	200	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	200	9	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	200	10	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	11	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	200	14	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	200	15	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	16	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	17	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	200	18	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	200	19	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	200	20	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	200	21	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	200	22	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	200	23	constitute	constitute	VERB
ejpam-2949	200	24	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	200	25	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	26	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	200	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	200	28	computationally	computationally	ADV
ejpam-2949	200	29	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	200	30	method	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	200	31	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	200	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	201	1	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	201	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	201	3	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	4	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	201	6	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	7	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	8	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	201	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	201	11	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	12	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	13	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	14	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	201	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	201	16	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ejpam-2949	201	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	201	18	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	201	19	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	20	amount	amount	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	21	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	201	22	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	201	23	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	201	24	stage	stage	NOUN
ejpam-2949	201	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	202	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	202	2	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	202	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	202	4	chosen	choose	VERB
ejpam-2949	202	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	202	6	minimize	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	202	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	202	8	sum	sum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	202	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	202	11	losses	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	12	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	202	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	202	14	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	202	16	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	202	17	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	202	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	202	20	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	202	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	202	22	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	202	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	202	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	203	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	203	2	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	203	3	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	203	4	prescriptions	prescription	NOUN
ejpam-2949	203	5	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	203	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	203	7	sensible	sensible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	203	8	even	even	ADV
ejpam-2949	203	9	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	203	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	203	11	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	203	12	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	203	13	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	203	14	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	203	15	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	203	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	204	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	204	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	204	3	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	204	5	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	6	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	7	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	204	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	204	10	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	11	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	12	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	204	13	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	204	14	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
ejpam-2949	204	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	204	16	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	204	17	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	18	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	204	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	204	21	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	22	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	204	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	204	25	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	204	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	204	27	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	204	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	204	30	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	31	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	32	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	33	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	204	34	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	204	35	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	204	36	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	37	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	38	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	204	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	1	building	build	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	2	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	4	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	5	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	7	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	205	8	101	101	NUM
ejpam-2949	205	9	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	11	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	205	12	argues	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	14	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	16	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	17	predictors	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	18	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	205	19	yield	yield	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	20	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	21	approximations	approximation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	23	particularly	particularly	ADV
ejpam-2949	205	24	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	205	25	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	205	26	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	27	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	205	28	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	31	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	34	non	non	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	35	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	36	linearity	linearity	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	37	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	38	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	205	39	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	205	40	interpret	interpret	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	41	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	42	absent	absent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	43	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	46	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	47	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	48	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	49	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	50	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	51	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	52	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	53	sort	sort	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	54	surveyed	survey	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	55	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	56	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	205	57	65	65	NUM
ejpam-2949	205	58	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	59	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	60	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	205	61	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	205	62	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	63	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	205	64	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	65	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	66	timo	timo	PROPN
ejpam-2949	205	67	teräsvirta	teräsvirta	NUM
ejpam-2949	205	68	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	205	69	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	205	70	special	special	ADJ
ejpam-2949	205	71	issue	issue	NOUN
ejpam-2949	205	72	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	205	73	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	206	1	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	206	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	206	3	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	206	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	206	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	206	6	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	206	7	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	206	8	49	49	NUM
ejpam-2949	206	9	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	206	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	206	11	details	detail	VERB
ejpam-2949	206	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	206	13	derivation	derivation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	206	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	206	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	206	16	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	206	17	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	206	18	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	206	19	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	206	20	nonsymmetric	nonsymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	206	21	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-2949	206	22	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	206	23	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	206	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	1	firstly	firstly	ADV
ejpam-2949	207	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	207	4	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	207	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	207	7	notation	notation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	207	9	that	that	DET
ejpam-2949	207	10	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	207	13	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	207	14	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	15	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	17	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	207	18	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	19	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	207	20	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	207	21	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	207	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	207	24	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	207	25	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	207	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	27	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	207	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	207	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	208	4	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	208	5	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	208	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	7	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	208	8	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	208	9	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	208	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	11	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	208	12	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	208	13	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	208	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	15	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	208	16	xt	xt	ADP
ejpam-2949	208	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	18	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	208	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	208	23	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	209	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	209	2	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	210	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	210	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	3	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	210	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	5	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	210	6	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	210	7	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	210	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	10	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	12	18	18	NUM
ejpam-2949	210	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	210	14	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	211	1	∫	∫	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	2	∞	∞	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	3	−∞	−∞	ADP
ejpam-2949	211	4	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	6	x−	x−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	7	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	9	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	11	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	211	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	13	dx	dx	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	15	19	19	NUM
ejpam-2949	211	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	17	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	211	18	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	21	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	211	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	211	23	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	211	24	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	211	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	211	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	211	27	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	28	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	211	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	211	30	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	211	31	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-2949	211	32	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	211	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	211	34	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	211	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	212	2	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	212	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	4	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	212	5	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	212	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	7	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	212	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	9	x	x	NOUN
ejpam-2949	212	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	212	12	x2	x2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	212	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	212	15	writing	write	VERB
ejpam-2949	212	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	17	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	212	18	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	212	19	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	212	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	21	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	212	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	212	23	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	212	24	−m	−m	NOUN
ejpam-2949	212	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	213	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	3	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	213	4	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	5	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	213	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	8	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	213	9	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	213	10	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	213	11	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	13	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	213	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	213	17	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	213	18	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	213	19	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	20	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	21	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	23	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	24	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	25	h)2	h)2	VERB
ejpam-2949	213	26	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	27	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	28	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	29	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	213	31	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	213	32	−m)2	−m)2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	213	33	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	214	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	214	2	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	214	3	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	214	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	214	5	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	214	6	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	214	7	h)2	h)2	VERB
ejpam-2949	214	8	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	1	+	+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	2	2ec	2ec	ADJ
ejpam-2949	215	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	215	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	5	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	215	6	−m	−m	NOUN
ejpam-2949	215	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	9	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	215	10	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	215	11	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	215	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	14	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	15	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	215	16	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	215	18	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	215	19	−m)2	−m)2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	215	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	216	2	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	216	3	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	5	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	216	6	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	7	h)2	h)2	VERB
ejpam-2949	216	8	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	216	11	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-2949	216	12	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	216	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	216	15	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	216	16	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	216	18	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
ejpam-2949	216	19	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	216	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	216	21	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	216	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	23	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	25	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	26	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	216	27	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	216	28	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	216	29	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	30	origin	origin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	31	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	32	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	216	33	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	216	34	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	216	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	216	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	2	expression	expression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	217	4	minimized	minimize	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	5	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	6	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	217	7	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	8	m	m	PROPN
ejpam-2949	217	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	10	showing	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	11	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	217	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	13	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	14	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	217	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	17	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	18	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	19	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	20	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	22	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	23	‡in	‡in	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	25	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	26	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	217	27	bank	bank	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	28	decides	decide	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	29	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	217	30	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	31	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	217	32	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	33	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	217	34	buy	buy	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	35	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	217	36	handle	handle	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	37	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	217	38	current	current	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	39	accounts	account	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	41	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	42	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	217	43	overprediction	overprediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	46	bank	bank	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	47	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	217	48	future	future	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	49	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	50	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	51	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	52	too	too	ADV
ejpam-2949	217	53	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	54	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	217	55	expensive	expensive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	56	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	217	57	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	59	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	217	60	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	217	61	underprediction	underprediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	62	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	217	63	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	64	unable	unable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	65	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	217	66	handle	handle	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	67	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	217	68	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	69	accounts	account	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	70	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	71	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	217	72	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	73	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	74	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	217	75	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	76	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	217	77	reason	reason	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	78	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	217	79	expect	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	217	80	underand	underand	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	81	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	82	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	217	83	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	84	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	217	85	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	217	86	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	87	magnitude	magnitude	NOUN
ejpam-2949	217	88	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	217	89	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	217	90	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-2949	217	91	costly	costly	ADJ
ejpam-2949	217	92	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	218	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	218	2	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	218	3	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	4	concerns	concern	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	218	6	bank	bank	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	7	acting	act	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	8	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	218	9	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	218	10	issuing	issue	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	11	agent	agent	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	12	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	218	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	218	14	share	share	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	15	issue	issue	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	218	17	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	218	18	too	too	ADV
ejpam-2949	218	19	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-2949	218	20	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	218	21	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	22	leaves	leave	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	218	24	bank	bank	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	25	liable	liable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	218	26	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	218	27	purchase	purchase	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	218	29	shares	share	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	30	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	218	31	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	218	32	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-2949	218	33	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	34	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	218	35	too	too	ADV
ejpam-2949	218	36	low	low	ADJ
ejpam-2949	218	37	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	218	38	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	39	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	218	40	reduce	reduce	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	218	42	amount	amount	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	43	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	218	44	money	money	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	45	made	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	46	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	218	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	218	48	issuing	issue	VERB
ejpam-2949	218	49	firm	firm	NOUN
ejpam-2949	218	50	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	219	1	again	again	ADV
ejpam-2949	219	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	219	3	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	219	4	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	219	5	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	219	6	reason	reason	NOUN
ejpam-2949	219	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	219	8	think	think	VERB
ejpam-2949	219	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	219	10	costs	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	219	11	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	219	12	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	219	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	1	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	220	2	examples	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	220	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	220	5	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	7	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	8	situations	situation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	9	costs	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	10	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	220	11	unlikely	unlikely	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	220	13	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	220	14	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	16	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	220	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	18	presumably	presumably	ADV
ejpam-2949	220	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	20	necessarily	necessarily	ADV
ejpam-2949	220	21	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	24	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	220	25	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	220	26	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	220	27	also	also	ADV
ejpam-2949	220	28	aware	aware	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	29	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	220	30	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	31	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	32	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	33	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	34	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	35	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	220	36	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	220	37	rarely	rarely	ADV
ejpam-2949	220	38	available	available	ADJ
ejpam-2949	220	39	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	220	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	1	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	221	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	3	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	221	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	6	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	221	7	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	221	8	52	52	NUM
ejpam-2949	221	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	10	p.651	p.651	NOUN
ejpam-2949	221	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	221	13	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	221	14	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	221	15	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	221	16	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	221	17	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	221	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	222	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	222	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	222	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	222	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	222	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	222	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	222	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	18	42	42	NUM
ejpam-2949	222	19	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	222	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	223	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	223	2	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	223	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	223	4	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	223	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	223	6	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	223	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	223	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	223	9	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	223	10	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	223	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	223	12	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	223	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	223	14	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	223	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	223	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	223	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	224	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	225	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	225	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	225	3	fc	fc	INTJ
ejpam-2949	225	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	225	5	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	225	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	225	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	225	8	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	225	9	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	225	10	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	225	11	m	m	NOUN
ejpam-2949	225	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	226	2	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	226	4	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	226	5	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	226	6	symmetric	symmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	226	7	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	226	8	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	226	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	10	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	226	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	12	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	14	x	x	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	16	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	226	17	ax	ax	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	19	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	226	20	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	226	21	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	23	a	a	PRON
ejpam-2949	226	24	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	226	25	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	26	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	226	27	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	226	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	29	x	x	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	30	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	226	31	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	226	32	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	226	33	bx	bx	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	35	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	226	36	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	226	37	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	226	38	b	b	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	39	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	226	40	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	226	41	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	226	42	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	43	19	19	NUM
ejpam-2949	226	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	45	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	46	obtains	obtain	VERB
ejpam-2949	226	47	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	48	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	49	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	226	50	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	51	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	52	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	53	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	54	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	226	55	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	226	56	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	57	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	226	58	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	227	3	∫	∫	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	4	∞	∞	NUM
ejpam-2949	227	5	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	7	x−	x−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	8	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	10	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	12	x	x	NOUN
ejpam-2949	227	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	14	dx+	dx+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	15	b	b	NOUN
ejpam-2949	227	16	∫	∫	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	17	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	18	−∞	−∞	X
ejpam-2949	227	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	20	x−	x−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	21	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	23	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	25	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	227	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	227	27	dx	dx	PROPN
ejpam-2949	227	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	1	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	228	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	228	3	derivative	derivative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	228	5	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	228	7	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	228	9	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	228	10	implicitly	implicitly	ADV
ejpam-2949	228	11	defines	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	228	12	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	13	via	via	ADP
ejpam-2949	228	14	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	228	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	16	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	18	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	228	19	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	228	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	21	a−	a−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	22	b)−1	b)−1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	24	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	228	25	fc	fc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	228	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	27	x	x	X
ejpam-2949	228	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	29	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	228	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	228	31	c.d.f	c.d.f	NOUN
ejpam-2949	228	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	228	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	228	34	xt+k	xt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	228	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	229	1	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	229	2	gaussianity	gaussianity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	229	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	229	4	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	229	5	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	230	1	m	m	VERB
ejpam-2949	230	2	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-2949	230	3	α	α	NUM
ejpam-2949	230	4	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	230	5	α	α	PRON
ejpam-2949	230	6	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	230	7	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	230	8	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	230	9	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	230	10	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	230	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	230	12	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	230	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	230	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	230	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	230	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	231	1	..	..	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	232	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	232	2	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	232	3	suggestion	suggestion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	232	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	232	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	232	7	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	8	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	232	9	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	232	10	generally	generally	ADV
ejpam-2949	232	11	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	232	12	reasonable	reasonable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	232	13	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	232	14	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	232	15	gaussianity	gaussianity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	16	holds	hold	VERB
ejpam-2949	232	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	232	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	232	19	which	which	DET
ejpam-2949	232	20	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	232	22	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	232	23	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	24	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	232	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	232	26	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	232	27	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	232	28	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	29	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	232	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	232	31	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	232	32	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	232	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	232	34	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	232	35	here	here	ADV
ejpam-2949	232	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	233	2	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	233	3	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	4	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	233	5	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	233	6	extended	extend	VERB
ejpam-2949	233	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	233	8	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	233	9	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	233	10	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	11	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	233	12	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	233	13	conditionallygaussian	conditionallygaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	233	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	15	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	233	16	allow	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	233	17	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	233	18	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	19	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	20	varying	vary	VERB
ejpam-2949	233	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	23	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	24	variances	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	25	instead	instead	ADV
ejpam-2949	233	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	233	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	233	28	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	233	29	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	233	30	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	32	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	233	33	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	233	34	arch	arch	ADJ
ejpam-2949	233	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	233	36	garch	garch	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	37	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	233	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	39	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	233	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	41	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	233	42	42	42	NUM
ejpam-2949	233	43	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	44	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	233	45	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	233	46	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	233	47	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	233	48	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	233	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	234	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	234	2	12	12	NUM
ejpam-2949	234	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	234	4	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	234	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	234	6	allowing	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	234	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	234	8	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	234	10	varying	vary	VERB
ejpam-2949	234	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	234	13	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	14	variances	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	15	gives	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	234	16	rise	rise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	17	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	234	18	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	234	19	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	20	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	234	21	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	234	22	no	no	ADV
ejpam-2949	234	23	longer	long	ADV
ejpam-2949	234	24	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	234	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	234	26	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	234	27	instead	instead	ADV
ejpam-2949	234	28	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	234	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	234	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	234	31	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	32	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	234	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	234	35	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	234	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	1	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	235	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	235	3	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	4	linex	linex	ADJ
ejpam-2949	235	5	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	235	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	235	10	98	98	NUM
ejpam-2949	235	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	13	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	235	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	235	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	235	16	popular	popular	ADJ
ejpam-2949	235	17	choice	choice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	235	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	235	20	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	21	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	235	22	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	235	23	permits	permit	VERB
ejpam-2949	235	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	235	25	closed	closed	ADJ
ejpam-2949	235	26	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	27	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	28	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	235	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	235	31	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	235	32	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	33	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	34	c	c	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	235	36	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	235	37	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	236	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	236	2	b	b	X
ejpam-2949	236	3	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	236	4	exp	exp	NOUN
ejpam-2949	236	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	236	6	aet+k|t	aet+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	236	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	237	1	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	238	1	aet+k|t	aet+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	1	−	−	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	239	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	239	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	239	6	6=	6=	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	7	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	239	9	b	b	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	10	≥	≥	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	11	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	12	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	239	13	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	239	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	239	16	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	17	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	239	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	239	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	239	21	notation	notation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	22	makes	make	VERB
ejpam-2949	239	23	explicit	explicit	ADJ
ejpam-2949	239	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	239	25	target	target	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	26	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	239	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	29	origin	origin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	239	30	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	239	31	t+k	t+k	NUM
ejpam-2949	239	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	239	33	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	239	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	239	35	respectively	respectively	ADV
ejpam-2949	239	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	240	3	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	240	4	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	240	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	240	7	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	8	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	240	10	approximately	approximately	ADV
ejpam-2949	240	11	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	240	12	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	13	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	14	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	240	15	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	240	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	17	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	18	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	19	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	20	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	21	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	240	25	exponential	exponential	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	26	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	27	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	28	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	240	29	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	240	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	32	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	33	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	34	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	35	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	36	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	37	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	39	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	240	40	conversely	conversely	ADV
ejpam-2949	240	41	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	240	42	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	240	43	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	240	44	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	240	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	240	46	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	240	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	240	48	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	240	49	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	240	50	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	240	51	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	240	52	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	240	53	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	240	54	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	1	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	241	2	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	241	3	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	241	4	∼	∼	VERB
ejpam-2949	241	5	n	n	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	241	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	7	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	241	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	9	σ	σ	X
ejpam-2949	241	10	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	241	11	t+k|t	t+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	241	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	14	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	241	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	241	16	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	241	17	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	241	18	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADV
ejpam-2949	241	19	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	241	20	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	241	21	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	241	22	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	241	23	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	241	24	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	25	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	241	26	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	241	27	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	241	28	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	241	29	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	241	30	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	241	31	σ2t+k|t	σ2t+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	241	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	2	20	20	NUM
ejpam-2949	242	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	4	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	242	5	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	6	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	242	7	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	242	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	9	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	242	10	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	242	11	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	242	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	242	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	15	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	242	16	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	242	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	20	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	21	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	22	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	23	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	242	25	2σ	2σ	NUM
ejpam-2949	242	26	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	242	27	t+k|t	t+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	242	28	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	242	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	242	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	32	degree	degree	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	242	34	asymmetry	asymmetry	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	35	a	a	X
ejpam-2949	242	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	38	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	39	horizon	horizon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	242	40	k	k	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	42	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	242	43	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	44	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	242	45	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	46	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	48	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-2949	242	49	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	242	50	through	through	ADP
ejpam-2949	242	51	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	52	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	53	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	242	54	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	242	55	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	56	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	57	σ2t+k|t	σ2t+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	242	58	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	242	59	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	243	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	243	2	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	243	3	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	243	4	setup	setup	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	243	6	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	7	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	243	8	σ2t+k|t	σ2t+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	243	9	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	10	σ2k	σ2k	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	11	gives	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	243	12	rise	rise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	243	14	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	243	15	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	243	16	adjustment	adjustment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	243	18	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	243	19	a	a	PRON
ejpam-2949	243	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	243	21	k	k	NOUN
ejpam-2949	243	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	243	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	244	2	small	small	ADJ
ejpam-2949	244	3	a	a	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	244	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	244	9	approximately	approximately	ADV
ejpam-2949	244	10	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	244	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	12	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	244	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	244	14	taylor	taylor	PROPN
ejpam-2949	244	15	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	16	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	17	expansion	expansion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	244	19	c	c	PROPN
ejpam-2949	244	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	21	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	23	about	about	ADP
ejpam-2949	244	24	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	25	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	26	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	244	27	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	29	c	c	X
ejpam-2949	244	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	31	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	244	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	244	33	'	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	245	1	ba2	ba2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	245	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	245	3	e	e	SYM
ejpam-2949	245	4	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	245	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	245	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	245	7	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	245	8	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADV
ejpam-2949	245	9	→	→	SYM
ejpam-2949	245	10	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	245	11	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	245	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	245	13	degree	degree	NOUN
ejpam-2949	245	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	245	15	asymmetry	asymmetry	NOUN
ejpam-2949	245	16	lessens	lessen	NOUN
ejpam-2949	245	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	246	1	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	246	2	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	246	3	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	246	4	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	246	5	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	246	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	247	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	247	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	247	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	247	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	247	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	247	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	18	43	43	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	19	recently	recently	ADV
ejpam-2949	247	20	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	247	21	87	87	NUM
ejpam-2949	247	22	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	23	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	247	24	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	247	25	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	247	26	essentially	essentially	ADV
ejpam-2949	247	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	247	28	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-2949	247	29	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	30	hold	hold	VERB
ejpam-2949	247	31	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	247	32	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	247	33	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	247	34	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	35	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	247	37	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	247	38	relatively	relatively	ADV
ejpam-2949	247	39	weak	weak	ADJ
ejpam-2949	247	40	conditions	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	41	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	247	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	247	43	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	247	45	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	247	46	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	47	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	48	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	247	49	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	247	50	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	51	generating	generating	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	52	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	247	53	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	248	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	248	2	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	3	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	248	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	248	5	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	6	generating	generating	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	7	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	248	9	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	248	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	248	11	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	248	13	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	248	15	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	248	16	location	location	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	17	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	248	18	scale	scale	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	19	distributed	distributed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	248	21	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	248	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	248	23	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	24	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	25	must	must	AUX
ejpam-2949	248	26	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	248	27	homogeneous	homogeneous	ADJ
ejpam-2949	248	28	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	248	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	248	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	31	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	248	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	249	1	formally	formally	ADV
ejpam-2949	249	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	249	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	249	4	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	249	5	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	249	6	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	249	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	249	8	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-2949	249	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	249	10	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	249	11	need	need	VERB
ejpam-2949	249	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	249	13	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	249	14	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	249	15	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	250	1	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	250	2	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	250	3	∼	∼	VERB
ejpam-2949	250	4	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	6	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	250	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	8	σ	σ	X
ejpam-2949	250	9	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	250	10	t+k|t	t+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	250	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	13	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	250	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	15	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	250	16	above	above	ADV
ejpam-2949	250	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	18	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	19	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	250	20	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	250	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	22	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	250	23	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	250	24	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	250	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	250	27	σ2t+k|t	σ2t+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	250	28	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	250	29	v	v	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	30	ar	ar	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	32	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	250	33	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	250	34	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	250	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	250	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	250	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	250	38	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	39	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	40	satisfies	satisfie	NOUN
ejpam-2949	250	41	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	1	l	l	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	251	4	·	·	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	5	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	251	8	g	g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	10	a)l	a)l	X
ejpam-2949	251	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	12	et+k|t	et+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	15	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	251	16	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	251	17	positive	positive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	251	18	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	19	g	g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	251	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	251	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	251	22	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	251	23	a	a	PRON
ejpam-2949	251	24	6=	6=	NUM
ejpam-2949	251	25	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	251	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	252	2	87	87	NUM
ejpam-2949	252	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	4	proposition	proposition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	252	5	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	252	6	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	7	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	252	8	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	252	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	252	10	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	252	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	252	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	252	13	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	252	14	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	252	15	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	16	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	252	17	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	18	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	252	19	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	252	20	φhσt+k|t	φhσt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	252	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	22	21	21	NUM
ejpam-2949	252	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	24	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	252	25	φh	φh	NOUN
ejpam-2949	252	26	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	252	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	252	28	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-2949	252	29	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	252	30	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	252	31	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	252	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	252	33	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	252	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	252	35	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-2949	252	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	252	37	l.§	l.§	NUM
ejpam-2949	252	38	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	252	39	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	40	21	21	NUM
ejpam-2949	252	41	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	252	42	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	252	43	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	252	44	immediately	immediately	ADV
ejpam-2949	252	45	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	252	46	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	253	1	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	253	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	253	3	yt+k	yt+k	ADV
ejpam-2949	253	4	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	253	5	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADV
ejpam-2949	253	6	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	253	7	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	253	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	254	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	254	2	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	254	3	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	254	4	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	254	5	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	254	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	254	7	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	254	8	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	254	9	φhσt+k|t	φhσt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	254	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	255	1	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	255	2	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	255	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	255	4	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	256	1	−φhσt+k|t	−φhσt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	257	1	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	257	2	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	257	3	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	257	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	257	5	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	257	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	257	7	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	257	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	257	9	biased	biased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	257	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	258	1	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	258	2	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	258	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	258	4	bias	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	258	7	rational	rational	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	8	forecaster	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	9	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	258	10	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	258	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	14	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	15	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	258	17	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	258	18	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	258	19	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	258	20	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	21	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	22	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	23	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	24	known	know	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	25	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	26	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	27	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	258	28	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	258	29	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	30	testing	test	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	31	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	32	rational	rational	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	33	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	34	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	35	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	36	losses	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	37	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	38	running	run	VERB
ejpam-2949	258	39	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	258	40	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	258	41	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	42	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	258	43	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	258	44	et+k|t	et+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	258	45	≡	≡	PROPN
ejpam-2949	258	46	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	258	47	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	1	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	259	2	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	259	3	ζ1σt+k|t	ζ1σt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	259	4	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	259	5	ζ	ζ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	259	6	′2zt	′2zt	VERB
ejpam-2949	259	7	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	259	8	εt+k	εt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	259	10	22	22	NUM
ejpam-2949	259	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	259	12	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	259	13	zt	zt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	259	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	259	16	vector	vector	NOUN
ejpam-2949	259	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	259	18	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	259	19	known	know	VERB
ejpam-2949	259	20	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	259	21	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	259	22	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	259	24	zt	zt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	25	⊂	⊂	PROPN
ejpam-2949	259	26	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	259	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	260	1	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	260	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	260	3	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	260	5	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	260	6	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	260	8	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	260	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	260	11	sense	sense	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	12	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	260	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	14	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	260	15	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	260	16	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	260	17	systematically	systematically	ADV
ejpam-2949	260	18	improved	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	260	19	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	260	20	forecastorigin	forecastorigin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	21	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	22	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	260	23	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	260	24	expect	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	260	25	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	260	26	find	find	VERB
ejpam-2949	260	27	ζ2	ζ2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	260	28	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	260	29	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	260	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	260	31	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	260	32	ζ1	ζ1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	260	33	6=	6=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	260	34	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	261	1	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	261	2	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	261	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	261	4	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	261	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	261	6	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	261	7	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	261	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	261	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	261	10	88	88	NUM
ejpam-2949	261	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	261	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	1	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	2	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	3	has	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	262	4	been	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	262	5	widely	widely	ADV
ejpam-2949	262	6	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	262	9	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	11	contexts	contexts	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	12	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	13	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	262	14	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	15	whether	whether	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	262	16	apparently	apparently	ADV
ejpam-2949	262	17	biased	biased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	262	19	inefficient	inefficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	21	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	262	22	consistent	consistent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	23	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	24	rational	rational	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	25	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	27	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	29	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	262	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	31	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	262	32	39	39	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	34	40	40	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	35	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	37	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	38	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	39	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	262	40	explanation	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	262	43	observed	observe	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	44	dispersion	dispersion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	45	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	46	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	47	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	48	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	49	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	50	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	51	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	52	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	53	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	262	54	degree	degree	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	55	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	56	asymmetry	asymmetry	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	57	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	58	individuals	individual	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	59	’	’	PART
ejpam-2949	262	60	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	61	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	62	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	63	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	64	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	262	65	8	8	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	66	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	67	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	68	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	69	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	262	70	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	71	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	262	72	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	73	explanation	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	74	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	75	apparent	apparent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	76	inconsistencies	inconsistency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	77	between	between	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	78	survey	survey	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	79	respondents	respondent	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	80	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	81	point	point	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	82	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	83	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	262	84	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	85	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	86	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	87	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	262	88	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	89	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	262	90	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	91	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	262	92	15	15	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	93	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	94	16	16	NUM
ejpam-2949	262	95	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	96	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	97	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	262	98	amongst	amongst	ADP
ejpam-2949	262	99	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-2949	262	100	others	other	NOUN
ejpam-2949	262	101	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	263	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	263	2	73	73	NUM
ejpam-2949	263	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	263	4	stress	stress	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	263	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	263	7	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	263	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	263	10	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	263	11	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	12	requires	require	VERB
ejpam-2949	263	13	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	263	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	263	16	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	263	17	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	18	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	263	19	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	263	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	263	21	integration	integration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	263	22	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	263	23	assumed	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	263	24	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	263	25	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	263	26	carried	carry	VERB
ejpam-2949	263	27	out	out	ADP
ejpam-2949	263	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	264	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	264	2	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	264	4	§	§	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	5	homogeneity	homogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	264	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	264	8	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	9	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	10	rules	rule	VERB
ejpam-2949	264	11	out	out	ADP
ejpam-2949	264	12	linex	linex	ADJ
ejpam-2949	264	13	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	264	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	265	2	practical	practical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	3	implication	implication	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	5	adopting	adopt	VERB
ejpam-2949	265	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	7	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	265	8	87	87	NUM
ejpam-2949	265	9	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	10	framework	framework	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	11	rather	rather	ADV
ejpam-2949	265	12	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	13	linex	linex	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	14	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	16	together	together	ADV
ejpam-2949	265	17	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	19	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	20	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	265	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	22	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	23	generating	generating	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	24	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	265	26	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	265	27	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	29	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	30	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	31	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	265	32	obtain	obtain	VERB
ejpam-2949	265	33	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	265	34	expression	expression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	35	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	37	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	38	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	39	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	40	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	265	41	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	265	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	43	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	44	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	45	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	265	46	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	265	47	linearly	linearly	ADV
ejpam-2949	265	48	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	49	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	50	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	51	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	52	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	265	54	rather	rather	ADV
ejpam-2949	265	55	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	265	56	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	265	57	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	265	58	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	265	59	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	266	1	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	266	2	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	266	3	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	266	4	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	266	5	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	266	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	267	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	18	44	44	NUM
ejpam-2949	267	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	267	20	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	267	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	267	22	yt+k|t	yt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	267	23	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	267	24	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	267	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	26	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	27	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	267	28	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	267	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	267	30	requires	require	VERB
ejpam-2949	267	31	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
ejpam-2949	267	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	267	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	267	34	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	267	35	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	267	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	267	37	yt+k	yt+k	PROPN
ejpam-2949	267	38	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	267	39	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	267	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	268	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	268	2	requires	require	VERB
ejpam-2949	268	3	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	268	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	268	5	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	268	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	268	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	268	8	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	268	9	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	268	10	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	268	11	calculated	calculate	VERB
ejpam-2949	268	12	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	268	13	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	268	14	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	268	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	269	3	event	event	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	5	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	269	8	underlying	underlie	VERB
ejpam-2949	269	9	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	11	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	12	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	269	13	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	14	now	now	ADV
ejpam-2949	269	15	outdated	outdated	ADJ
ejpam-2949	269	16	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	17	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	269	18	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	269	19	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	269	20	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	21	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	269	22	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	269	25	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	269	26	create	create	VERB
ejpam-2949	269	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	269	28	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	269	31	robust	robust	ADJ
ejpam-2949	269	32	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	33	devices	device	NOUN
ejpam-2949	269	34	recently	recently	ADV
ejpam-2949	269	35	reviewed	review	VERB
ejpam-2949	269	36	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	269	37	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	269	38	9	9	NUM
ejpam-2949	269	39	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	40	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	269	41	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	269	42	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	269	43	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	269	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
ejpam-2949	270	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	3	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	270	5	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	270	6	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	270	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	9	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	270	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	12	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	270	13	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	270	14	54	54	NUM
ejpam-2949	270	15	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	17	recognized	recognize	VERB
ejpam-2949	270	18	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	270	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	270	20	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	270	21	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	270	23	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	270	24	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	25	only	only	ADV
ejpam-2949	270	26	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	270	27	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	270	28	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	270	29	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	270	30	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	31	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	32	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	33	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	270	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	270	36	outlined	outline	VERB
ejpam-2949	270	37	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	270	38	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	39	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	40	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	270	41	generalized	generalized	ADJ
ejpam-2949	270	42	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	43	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	270	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	1	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	2	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	271	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	4	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	5	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	7	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	271	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	9	straight	straight	ADV
ejpam-2949	271	10	forward	forward	ADV
ejpam-2949	271	11	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	271	12	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	271	13	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	271	14	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	15	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	16	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	17	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	19	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	271	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	271	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	23	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	24	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	26	monotonically	monotonically	ADV
ejpam-2949	271	27	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	28	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	29	decreasing	decrease	VERB
ejpam-2949	271	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	271	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	33	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	35	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	36	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	37	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	38	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	39	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	41	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	271	42	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	271	43	k	k	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	44	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	45	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	46	ahead	ahead	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	47	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	48	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	49	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	50	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	51	written	write	VERB
ejpam-2949	271	52	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	53	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	271	54	moving	move	VERB
ejpam-2949	271	55	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	271	56	average	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	57	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	271	58	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	271	59	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	271	60	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	61	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-2949	271	62	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	271	63	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	272	1	k	k	NOUN
ejpam-2949	273	1	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	273	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	273	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	273	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	273	5	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-2949	273	6	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	273	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	273	8	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	273	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	273	10	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	273	11	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	273	12	serially	serially	ADV
ejpam-2949	273	13	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	273	14	uncorrelated	uncorrelated	ADJ
ejpam-2949	273	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	273	16	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	273	17	alluded	allude	VERB
ejpam-2949	273	18	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	273	19	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	273	20	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	273	21	3	3	NUM
ejpam-2949	273	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	273	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	274	1	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	274	2	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	274	3	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	274	4	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	274	5	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	274	6	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	274	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	274	8	test	test	VERB
ejpam-2949	274	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	274	10	optimality	optimality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	274	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	274	12	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	274	13	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	274	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	275	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-2949	275	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	275	3	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	275	4	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	275	5	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	275	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	275	7	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	275	8	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	275	9	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	275	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	275	11	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	275	12	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	275	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	275	14	these	these	DET
ejpam-2949	275	15	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	275	16	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	275	17	no	no	ADV
ejpam-2949	275	18	longer	long	ADV
ejpam-2949	275	19	apply	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	275	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	1	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	276	2	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	276	3	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	276	6	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	7	4.1	4.1	NUM
ejpam-2949	276	8	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	276	9	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	276	10	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	12	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	276	13	typically	typically	ADV
ejpam-2949	276	14	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	276	15	biased	bias	VERB
ejpam-2949	276	16	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	276	17	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	18	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	19	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	20	equation	equation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	22	20	20	NUM
ejpam-2949	276	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	24	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	276	25	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	276	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	276	27	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	28	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	29	differs	differ	VERB
ejpam-2949	276	30	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	276	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	276	32	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	33	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	276	35	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	36	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	276	37	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	38	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	276	39	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	276	40	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	276	41	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	42	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	276	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	277	1	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	277	3	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	277	4	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	5	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	6	c	c	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	277	8	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	277	10	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	13	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	14	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	15	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	277	17	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	277	18	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	19	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	21	derivative	derivative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	24	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	25	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	26	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	27	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	28	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	30	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	277	32	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	33	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	35	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	36	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	37	corresponding	correspond	VERB
ejpam-2949	277	38	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	277	39	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	277	40	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	277	41	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	277	42	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	278	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	278	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	278	3	straightforward	straightforward	ADJ
ejpam-2949	278	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	278	5	derive	derive	VERB
ejpam-2949	278	6	some	some	PRON
ejpam-2949	278	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	278	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	278	9	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	278	11	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	278	12	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	278	13	generalized	generalized	ADJ
ejpam-2949	278	14	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	15	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	16	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	278	17	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	278	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	278	19	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	278	20	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	278	21	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	22	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	23	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	278	24	defines	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	278	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	278	26	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	278	27	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	278	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	279	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	279	2	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	279	3	predictor	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	279	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	279	5	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	279	6	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	279	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	280	1	arg	arg	NOUN
ejpam-2949	280	2	min	min	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	3	ŷt+1|t	ŷt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	4	c	c	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	280	6	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	280	7	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	8	ŷt+1|t	ŷt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	280	10	dpt+1|t	dpt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	280	12	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	280	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	280	14	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	280	15	pt+1|t	pt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	280	16	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	280	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	280	18	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	280	19	c.d.f	c.d.f	NOUN
ejpam-2949	280	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	281	2	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	281	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	4	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	281	5	condition	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	281	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	281	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	8	c	c	X
ejpam-2949	281	9	′dpt+1|t	′dpt+1|t	VERB
ejpam-2949	281	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	11	yt+1	yt+1	X
ejpam-2949	281	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	13	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	281	14	sets	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	281	15	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	281	16	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	281	17	c	c	NOUN
ejpam-2949	281	18	′	′	NUM
ejpam-2949	282	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	282	2	yt+1	yt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	282	3	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	282	4	ŷt+1|t	ŷt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	282	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	282	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	282	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	282	8	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	282	9	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	282	10	immediately	immediately	ADV
ejpam-2949	282	11	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	282	12	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	282	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	282	14	conditionally	conditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	282	15	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	282	16	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	282	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	282	18	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	282	19	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	282	20	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	282	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	283	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	283	2	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	283	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	283	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	283	5	therefore	therefore	ADV
ejpam-2949	283	6	unconditionally	unconditionally	ADV
ejpam-2949	283	7	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-2949	283	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	283	9	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	283	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	283	11	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	283	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	284	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	284	2	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	284	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ejpam-2949	285	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	3	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	285	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	5	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	285	6	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	285	7	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	285	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	9	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	285	10	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	285	11	implies	imply	VERB
ejpam-2949	285	12	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	285	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	14	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	285	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	285	16	zt+1|twt	zt+1|twt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	285	17	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	285	18	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	285	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	286	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	286	2	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	286	3	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	286	4	wt	wt	VERB
ejpam-2949	286	5	⊂	⊂	PRON
ejpam-2949	286	6	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	286	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	286	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	286	9	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	286	10	generally	generally	ADV
ejpam-2949	286	11	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	286	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	286	13	zt+1|tg(wt	zt+1|tg(wt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	286	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	287	1	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	287	2	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	287	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	2	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	288	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	4	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	288	5	any	any	DET
ejpam-2949	288	6	finite	finite	ADJ
ejpam-2949	288	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	288	8	g	g	PROPN
ejpam-2949	288	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	288	14	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	288	15	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	288	16	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	288	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	288	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	288	19	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	288	20	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	288	21	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	289	1	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	289	2	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	289	3	α+	α+	PRON
ejpam-2949	289	4	βwt	βwt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	290	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	290	2	εt+1	εt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	290	3	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	290	4	optimality	optimality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	290	5	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	290	6	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-2949	290	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	290	8	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	290	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	290	10	β	β	X
ejpam-2949	290	11	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	290	12	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	290	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	291	2	valid	valid	ADJ
ejpam-2949	291	3	choice	choice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	4	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	291	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	6	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	291	7	element	element	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	291	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	10	wt	wt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	291	11	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	291	12	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	291	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	291	14	explanatory	explanatory	ADJ
ejpam-2949	291	15	variable	variable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	291	16	σt+k|t	σt+k|t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	17	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	291	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	291	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	291	20	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	21	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	23	22	22	NUM
ejpam-2949	291	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	26	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	291	27	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	291	29	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	291	30	that	that	DET
ejpam-2949	291	31	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	291	32	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	291	33	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	291	34	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	291	35	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	291	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	292	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	292	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	292	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	292	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	292	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	292	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	292	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	18	45	45	NUM
ejpam-2949	292	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	292	20	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	292	21	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	292	22	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	292	23	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	292	24	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	292	25	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	292	26	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	292	27	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	292	28	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	292	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	293	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	293	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	293	3	switch	switch	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	4	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	293	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	293	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	7	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	293	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	293	10	derivative	derivative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	293	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	293	13	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	14	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	15	allows	allow	VERB
ejpam-2949	293	16	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	293	17	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	293	19	whether	whether	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	293	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	293	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	22	efficiently	efficiently	ADV
ejpam-2949	293	23	uses	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	293	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	293	26	origin	origin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	27	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	293	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	294	1	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	294	2	zt|t−1	zt|t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	294	3	⊂	⊂	PROPN
ejpam-2949	294	4	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	294	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	294	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	294	7	et|t−1	et|t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	294	8	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	294	9	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	294	10	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	294	11	ŷt|t−1	ŷt|t−1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	295	1	⊂	⊂	PRON
ejpam-2949	295	2	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	295	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	295	4	zt+1|t	zt+1|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	295	5	should	should	AUX
ejpam-2949	295	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	295	7	uncorrelated	uncorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	295	8	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	295	9	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	295	10	zt|t−1	zt|t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	295	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	295	12	et|t−1	et|t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	295	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	296	2	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	296	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	296	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	296	5	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	6	generalize	generalize	VERB
ejpam-2949	296	7	beyond	beyond	ADP
ejpam-2949	296	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	296	9	one	one	NUM
ejpam-2949	296	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	11	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	12	horizon	horizon	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	14	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	296	15	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	296	16	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	17	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	296	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	19	zt+k|tg(wt	zt+k|tg(wt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	21	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	296	22	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	296	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	296	25	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	296	26	showing	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	296	27	unbiasedness	unbiasedness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	29	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	296	30	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	296	31	g(wt	g(wt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	33	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	296	34	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	296	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	296	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	38	efficiency	efficiency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	39	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	40	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	296	41	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	296	42	g(wt	g(wt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	296	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	44	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	296	45	ŷt+k|t	ŷt+k|t	ADJ
ejpam-2949	296	46	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	296	47	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	297	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	2	addition	addition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	297	4	zt+k|t	zt+k|t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	297	5	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	297	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	297	7	autocorrelated	autocorrelate	VERB
ejpam-2949	297	8	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	9	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-2949	297	10	up	up	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	12	k	k	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	13	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	297	14	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	297	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	297	16	matching	match	VERB
ejpam-2949	297	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	297	18	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	297	19	result	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	20	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	297	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	23	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	24	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	25	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	297	26	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	297	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	28	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	297	29	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	297	30	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	297	31	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	32	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	297	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	298	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	298	2	86	86	NUM
ejpam-2949	298	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	298	4	provide	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	298	5	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	298	6	extensions	extension	NOUN
ejpam-2949	298	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	298	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	298	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	298	10	3	3	X
ejpam-2949	298	11	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	298	12	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	298	13	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	298	14	application	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	298	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	299	1	4.3	4.3	NUM
ejpam-2949	299	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	300	2	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	4	theoretic	theoretic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	5	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	300	7	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	8	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	9	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	300	11	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-2949	300	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	13	2000,2000	2000,2000	NUM
ejpam-2949	300	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	16	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	17	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	300	18	63	63	NUM
ejpam-2949	300	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	20	62	62	NUM
ejpam-2949	300	21	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	300	24	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	300	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	300	26	machina	machina	PROPN
ejpam-2949	300	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	28	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	300	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	31	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	32	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	300	33	56	56	NUM
ejpam-2949	300	34	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	300	36	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	37	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	38	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	300	40	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	300	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	300	43	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	44	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	300	45	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	46	emanating	emanate	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	47	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	300	48	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	49	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	50	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	300	51	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	300	52	those	those	DET
ejpam-2949	300	53	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	300	54	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	301	2	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	3	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	301	4	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	301	5	56	56	NUM
ejpam-2949	301	6	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	7	reviews	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	8	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-2949	301	9	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	11	dating	date	VERB
ejpam-2949	301	12	back	back	ADV
ejpam-2949	301	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	301	14	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	301	15	95	95	NUM
ejpam-2949	301	16	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	301	19	including	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	301	20	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	21	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	22	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	301	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	24	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	301	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	26	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-2949	301	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	28	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	301	29	100	100	NUM
ejpam-2949	301	30	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	301	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	302	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	302	2	62	62	NUM
ejpam-2949	302	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	302	4	review	review	VERB
ejpam-2949	302	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	302	6	classic	classic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	302	7	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-2949	302	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	302	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	302	10	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	302	11	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	302	12	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	302	13	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	302	14	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	302	15	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	302	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	302	17	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	302	18	establishes	establish	VERB
ejpam-2949	302	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	302	20	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-2949	302	21	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-2949	302	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	303	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	303	2	establishes	establish	VERB
ejpam-2949	303	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	303	4	advantages	advantage	NOUN
ejpam-2949	303	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	303	6	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	303	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	303	8	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	303	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	303	10	theoretic	theoretic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	303	11	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	303	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	304	2	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	3	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	304	4	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	304	6	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	7	t+	t+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	8	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	9	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	304	10	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	11	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	304	12	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	14	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	304	16	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	304	19	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	20	good	good	ADJ
ejpam-2949	304	21	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	23	st+1	st+1	X
ejpam-2949	304	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	304	25	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	304	29	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	304	30	are	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	304	31	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	32	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	304	33	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	34	open	open	ADJ
ejpam-2949	304	35	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	304	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	304	37	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	38	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	39	maker	maker	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	40	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	304	41	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	42	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	304	43	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	304	44	take	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	304	45	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	46	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	47	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	48	yes	yes	INTJ
ejpam-2949	304	49	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	51	indicated	indicate	VERB
ejpam-2949	304	52	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	304	53	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	54	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	304	55	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	56	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	57	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	304	58	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	304	59	decline	decline	VERB
ejpam-2949	304	60	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	304	61	take	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	304	62	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	304	63	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	64	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	65	no	no	INTJ
ejpam-2949	304	66	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	67	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	304	68	yt	yt	X
ejpam-2949	304	69	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	304	70	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	304	71	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	305	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-2949	305	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	305	3	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	305	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	305	5	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	305	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	305	7	advance	advance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	305	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	306	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	306	2	payoff	payoff	NOUN
ejpam-2949	306	3	matrix	matrix	NOUN
ejpam-2949	306	4	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-2949	306	5	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	306	6	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	306	7	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	306	8	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-2949	306	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	306	10	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	306	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	306	12	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	306	13	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	306	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	307	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	307	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	307	3	payoff	payoff	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	4	matrix	matrix	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	307	6	ut+1,by	ut+1,by	PROPN
ejpam-2949	307	7	represents	represent	VERB
ejpam-2949	307	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	307	9	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	10	maker	maker	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	11	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	307	12	utility	utility	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	13	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	307	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	307	15	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	307	16	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	17	occurs	occur	VERB
ejpam-2949	307	18	after	after	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	307	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	307	20	yes	yes	INTJ
ejpam-2949	307	21	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	307	22	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	307	23	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	307	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	307	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	307	26	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	307	27	on	on	ADV
ejpam-2949	307	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	1	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	308	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	4	payoff	payoff	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	5	matrix	matrix	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	308	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	308	8	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	308	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	10	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	12	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	308	13	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	14	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	15	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	16	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	17	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	19	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	21	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	308	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	23	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	308	25	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	308	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	27	good	good	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	29	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	30	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	308	31	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	308	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	33	decisions	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	35	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	308	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	308	37	yes	yes	INTJ
ejpam-2949	309	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	309	2	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	309	3	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	309	4	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	309	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	309	6	ut+1,by	ut+1,by	NOUN
ejpam-2949	310	1	ut+1,gy	ut+1,gy	INTJ
ejpam-2949	310	2	no	no	INTJ
ejpam-2949	310	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	310	4	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	310	5	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	310	6	0	0	X
ejpam-2949	310	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	1	ut+1,bn	ut+1,bn	ADJ
ejpam-2949	311	2	ut+1,gn	ut+1,gn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	311	3	table	table	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	4	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	311	5	reports	report	VERB
ejpam-2949	311	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	311	7	payoffs	payoff	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	9	u	u	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	11	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	311	12	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	311	13	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	15	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	311	16	realized	realize	VERB
ejpam-2949	311	17	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	311	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	21	prior	prior	ADJ
ejpam-2949	311	22	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	311	23	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	24	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	311	25	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	311	26	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	311	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	312	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	312	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	3	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	4	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	312	5	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	6	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	312	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	312	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	312	9	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	312	10	event	event	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	11	occurring	occur	VERB
ejpam-2949	312	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	312	13	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	14	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	15	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	312	16	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	312	17	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	312	18	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	312	19	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	312	20	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	312	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	312	22	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	23	maker	maker	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	312	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	312	26	particular	particular	ADJ
ejpam-2949	312	27	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	28	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	29	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	312	30	determine	determine	VERB
ejpam-2949	312	31	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	312	32	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	312	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	313	1	let	let	VERB
ejpam-2949	313	2	πt+1	πt+1	X
ejpam-2949	313	3	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	313	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	313	5	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-2949	313	6	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	7	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	313	8	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	9	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	313	10	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	313	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	313	12	πt+1	πt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	313	13	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	14	pr	pr	X
ejpam-2949	313	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	313	16	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	17	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	313	18	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	313	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	313	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	313	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	313	22	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	313	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	313	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	25	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	313	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	314	1	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	314	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	314	3	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	314	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	314	5	assumed	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	314	6	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	314	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	314	8	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	314	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	315	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	315	4	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	315	5	utility	utility	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	315	7	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	315	8	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	10	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	315	12	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	315	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	14	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	315	15	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	315	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	315	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	18	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	19	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	315	20	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	315	21	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	315	22	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	23	ut+1,byπ̂t+1	ut+1,byπ̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	315	24	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	315	25	ut+1,gy	ut+1,gy	PROPN
ejpam-2949	315	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	27	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	315	28	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	31	23	23	X
ejpam-2949	315	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	315	33	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	315	34	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	315	35	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	315	36	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	315	37	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	315	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	316	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	316	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	316	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	316	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	316	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	316	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	18	46	46	NUM
ejpam-2949	316	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	316	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	316	21	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	316	22	acting	act	VERB
ejpam-2949	316	23	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	316	24	ut+1,bnπ̂t+1	ut+1,bnπ̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	317	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	317	2	ut+1,gn	ut+1,gn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	317	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	317	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	317	5	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	317	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	317	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	2	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	318	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	318	5	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	318	6	maker	maker	NOUN
ejpam-2949	318	7	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	318	8	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	318	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	318	10	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	318	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	12	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	318	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	318	14	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	318	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	16	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	318	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	18	23	23	NUM
ejpam-2949	318	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	20	exceeds	exceed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	318	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	22	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	318	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	25	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	318	26	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	318	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	28	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	318	29	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	318	30	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	X
ejpam-2949	318	31	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	319	1	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	319	2	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	319	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	319	4	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	319	5	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	319	6	δt+1,g	δt+1,g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	319	7	δt+1,g	δt+1,g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	319	8	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	319	9	δt+1,b	δt+1,b	NOUN
ejpam-2949	319	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	319	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	319	12	δt+1,g	δt+1,g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	319	13	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	320	1	ut+1,gn	ut+1,gn	ADV
ejpam-2949	320	2	−	−	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	321	1	ut+1,gy	ut+1,gy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	321	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	321	3	δt+1,b	δt+1,b	NOUN
ejpam-2949	321	4	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	322	1	ut+1,by	ut+1,by	AUX
ejpam-2949	322	2	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	322	3	ut+1,bn	ut+1,bn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	322	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	323	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	323	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	323	3	assumed	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	323	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	323	5	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	323	6	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	323	7	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	323	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	323	9	because	because	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	323	10	δt+1,b	δt+1,b	NOUN
ejpam-2949	323	11	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	323	12	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	323	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	323	14	δt+1,g	δt+1,g	NOUN
ejpam-2949	323	15	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	323	16	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	323	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	323	18	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-2949	323	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	324	1	uby	uby	X
ejpam-2949	324	2	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	324	3	ubn	ubn	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	4	because	because	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	324	5	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	324	6	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	7	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	324	8	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	324	9	alleviate	alleviate	VERB
ejpam-2949	324	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	324	11	costs	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	12	incurred	incur	VERB
ejpam-2949	324	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	324	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	324	15	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	324	16	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	324	18	having	having	AUX
ejpam-2949	324	19	gritted	grit	VERB
ejpam-2949	324	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	324	21	roads	road	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	22	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	324	23	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	324	24	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	324	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	324	26	frost	frost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	27	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	324	28	reduce	reduce	VERB
ejpam-2949	324	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	324	30	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	324	32	road	road	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	33	traffic	traffic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	34	accidents	accident	NOUN
ejpam-2949	324	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	324	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	325	1	ugn	ugn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	325	2	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	325	3	ugy	ugy	ADJ
ejpam-2949	325	4	because	because	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	325	5	gritting	gritting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	325	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	325	7	costly	costly	ADJ
ejpam-2949	325	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	325	9	unnecessary	unnecessary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	325	10	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	325	11	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	325	12	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	325	13	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	325	14	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	325	15	frost	frost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	325	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	326	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	326	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	326	3	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	326	4	rule	rule	NOUN
ejpam-2949	326	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	326	6	y∗t	y∗t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	326	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	326	8	1(π̂t+1	1(π̂t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	326	9	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	326	10	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	326	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	326	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	327	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	327	3	benefit	benefit	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	4	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	327	5	accrues	accrue	VERB
ejpam-2949	327	6	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	327	7	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	8	t+	t+	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	327	10	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	327	11	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	327	12	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	327	13	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	327	14	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	15	materialises	materialise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	327	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	327	18	action	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	19	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	327	20	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	327	21	period	period	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	22	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	327	23	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	24	υt+1	υt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	327	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	26	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	327	27	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	28	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	327	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	327	30	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	327	31	ut+1,byst+1yt	ut+1,byst+1yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	328	1	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-2949	328	2	ut+1,gy	ut+1,gy	PROPN
ejpam-2949	328	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	328	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	328	5	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	328	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	328	7	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	329	1	+	+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	329	2	ut+1,bnst+1	ut+1,bnst+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	329	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	329	5	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	7	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	329	8	ut+1,gn	ut+1,gn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	329	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	10	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	329	11	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	329	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	14	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	329	15	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	17	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	329	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	329	19	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	329	20	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	21	rule	rule	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	22	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	23	υt+1	υt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	329	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	25	y∗t	y∗t	NUM
ejpam-2949	329	26	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	27	st+1	st+1	X
ejpam-2949	329	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	329	29	=	=	PRON
ejpam-2949	329	30	ut+1,byst+1y	ut+1,byst+1y	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	31	∗	∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	329	32	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	330	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	330	2	ut+1,gy	ut+1,gy	PROPN
ejpam-2949	330	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	330	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	330	5	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	330	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	330	7	y	y	PROPN
ejpam-2949	330	8	∗	∗	NOUN
ejpam-2949	330	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	331	1	+	+	PROPN
ejpam-2949	331	2	ut+1,bnst+1	ut+1,bnst+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	331	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	331	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	331	5	y∗t	y∗t	NUM
ejpam-2949	331	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	332	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	332	2	ut+1,gn	ut+1,gn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	332	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	332	4	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	332	5	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	332	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	332	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	332	8	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	332	9	y∗t	y∗t	NUM
ejpam-2949	332	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	332	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	2	25	25	NUM
ejpam-2949	333	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	4	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	333	5	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	333	6	substitute	substitute	VERB
ejpam-2949	333	7	y∗t	y∗t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	333	8	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	333	9	1(π̂t+1	1(π̂t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	333	10	>	>	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	11	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	333	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	14	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	333	15	obtain	obtain	VERB
ejpam-2949	333	16	υt+1	υt+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	333	17	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	333	18	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	333	19	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	333	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	333	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	333	22	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	333	23	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	333	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	25	υt+1	υt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	333	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	27	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	X
ejpam-2949	333	28	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	29	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	333	30	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	31	υt+1(π̂t+1	υt+1(π̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	333	32	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	33	st+1	st+1	X
ejpam-2949	333	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	333	35	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	1	at+1	at+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	334	2	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-2949	334	3	bt+1(st+1	bt+1(st+1	X
ejpam-2949	334	4	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	334	5	qt+1)1	qt+1)1	NUM
ejpam-2949	334	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	7	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	X
ejpam-2949	334	8	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	334	9	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	334	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	13	26	26	NUM
ejpam-2949	334	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	334	15	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	334	16	at+1	at+1	X
ejpam-2949	334	17	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	334	18	st+1ut+1,bn+(1−st+1)ut+1,gn	st+1ut+1,bn+(1−st+1)ut+1,gn	PROPN
ejpam-2949	334	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	334	20	bt+1	bt+1	X
ejpam-2949	334	21	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	334	22	ut+1,by−ut+1,bn+ut+1,gn−ut+1,gy	ut+1,by−ut+1,bn+ut+1,gn−ut+1,gy	PROPN
ejpam-2949	334	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	1	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	335	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	335	3	part	part	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	335	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	335	6	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	335	7	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	8	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	335	9	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	335	10	at+1	at+1	X
ejpam-2949	335	11	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	335	12	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	335	13	depend	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	335	14	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	335	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	335	16	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	17	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	18	estimate	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	20	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	335	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	22	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	335	23	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	335	24	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	335	25	ignored	ignore	VERB
ejpam-2949	335	26	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	335	27	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	335	28	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	335	29	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	335	30	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	335	31	rival	rival	ADJ
ejpam-2949	335	32	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	33	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	335	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	35	say	say	INTJ
ejpam-2949	335	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	37	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	335	38	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	335	39	π̃t+1	π̃t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	335	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	335	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	336	2	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	336	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	336	4	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	6	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	336	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	336	8	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	10	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	336	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	336	12	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	336	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	14	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	15	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	336	16	υt+1(π̂t+1	υt+1(π̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	17	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	18	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	20	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	336	21	ωt	ωt	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	22	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	336	23	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	336	24	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	336	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	26	at+1	at+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	27	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	336	28	ωt	ωt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	30	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	336	31	bt+1	bt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	33	πt+1	πt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	34	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	35	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	37	1(π̂t+1	1(π̂t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	38	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	336	39	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	41	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	42	27	27	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	44	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	336	45	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	46	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	336	47	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	336	48	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	49	respect	respect	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	50	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	51	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	336	52	true	true	ADJ
ejpam-2949	336	53	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	336	54	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	55	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	56	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	57	st+1	st+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	59	denoted	denote	VERB
ejpam-2949	336	60	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	336	61	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	62	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	63	·	·	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	64	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	336	65	ωt	ωt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	66	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	67	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	68	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	336	69	πt+1	πt+1	X
ejpam-2949	336	70	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	336	71	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	336	72	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	73	st+1	st+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	74	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	336	75	ωt	ωt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	336	76	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	77	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	78	pr	pr	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	79	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	80	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	81	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	336	82	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	83	|	|	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	84	ωt	ωt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	85	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	86	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	87	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	88	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	336	89	πt+1	πt+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	336	90	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	336	91	pr	pr	X
ejpam-2949	336	92	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	336	93	st+1	st+1	X
ejpam-2949	336	94	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	336	95	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	337	1	|	|	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	337	2	ωt	ωt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	337	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	337	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	1	ignoring	ignore	VERB
ejpam-2949	338	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	338	3	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	5	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	7	actions	action	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	9	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	11	27	27	NUM
ejpam-2949	338	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	338	14	part	part	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	338	17	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	338	18	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	338	19	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	20	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	338	21	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-2949	338	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	338	24	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	25	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	26	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	PRON
ejpam-2949	338	27	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	338	28	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	338	29	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	30	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	31	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	338	32	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	338	33	υt+1(π̂t+1	υt+1(π̂t+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	35	st+1	st+1	NOUN
ejpam-2949	338	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	37	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	338	38	ωt	ωt	ADP
ejpam-2949	338	39	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	338	40	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	338	41	bt+1	bt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	42	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	43	πt+1	πt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	44	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	45	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	46	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	47	1(π̂t+1	1(π̂t+1	NUM
ejpam-2949	338	48	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	338	49	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	338	50	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	338	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	339	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	339	2	28	28	NUM
ejpam-2949	339	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	339	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	339	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	339	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	339	7	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	339	8	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	339	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	340	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	340	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	340	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	340	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	340	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	340	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	18	47	47	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	19	suppose	suppose	VERB
ejpam-2949	340	20	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	340	21	have	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	340	22	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	340	23	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	340	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	340	25	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	340	26	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	340	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	340	28	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	340	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	340	30	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	340	31	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	340	32	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	340	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	340	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	341	1	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	2	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	4	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	342	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	342	6	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	342	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	9	28	28	NUM
ejpam-2949	342	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	11	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	342	12	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	342	13	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	14	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	342	15	averaging	average	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	16	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	342	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	342	18	observations	observation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	19	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	342	20	give	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	342	22	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-2949	342	23	realized	realize	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	24	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	342	25	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	26	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	27	υ	υ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	28	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	342	29	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	342	30	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	31	t∑	t∑	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	32	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	33	bt	bt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	35	st	st	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	36	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	37	qt	qt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	39	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	342	40	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	41	π̂t	π̂t	X
ejpam-2949	342	42	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	342	43	qt	qt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	46	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	47	29	29	NUM
ejpam-2949	342	48	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	49	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	342	50	πt+1	πt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	51	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	342	52	replaced	replace	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	53	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	342	54	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	342	55	binary	binary	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	56	indicator	indicator	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	57	st	st	PROPN
ejpam-2949	342	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	342	59	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	60	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	342	61	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	342	62	true	true	ADJ
ejpam-2949	342	63	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	342	64	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	342	65	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	342	66	observed	observe	VERB
ejpam-2949	342	67	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	2	kuipers	kuiper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	3	score	score	VERB
ejpam-2949	343	4	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	5	ks	ks	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	8	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	343	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	11	ks	ks	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	12	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	13	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	343	14	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	343	15	f	f	PROPN
ejpam-2949	343	16	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	343	17	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	20	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	21	hit	hit	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	22	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	23	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	26	proportion	proportion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	29	total	total	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	30	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	32	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	33	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	34	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	343	35	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	36	correctly	correctly	ADV
ejpam-2949	343	37	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	39	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	343	40	f	f	PROPN
ejpam-2949	343	41	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	43	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	44	false	false	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	45	alarm	alarm	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	46	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	47	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	48	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	343	49	defined	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	343	50	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	51	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	52	proportion	proportion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	53	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	54	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	343	55	total	total	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	56	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	57	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	58	good	good	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	59	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	60	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	343	61	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	62	incorrectly	incorrectly	ADV
ejpam-2949	343	63	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	343	64	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	343	65	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	343	66	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	343	67	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	343	68	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	344	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	344	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	344	5	ks	ks	PROPN
ejpam-2949	344	6	statistic	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	7	over	over	ADP
ejpam-2949	344	8	measures	measure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	9	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	344	10	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	344	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	344	12	quadratic	quadratic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	344	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	14	log	log	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	15	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	16	scores	score	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	18	qps	qps	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	20	lps	lps	PROPN
ejpam-2949	344	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	22	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	344	23	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	24	always	always	ADV
ejpam-2949	344	25	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	344	27	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	344	28	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	29	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	344	30	occur	occur	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	32	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	33	always	always	ADV
ejpam-2949	344	34	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	344	36	good	good	ADJ
ejpam-2949	344	37	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	39	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	344	40	score	score	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	41	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	344	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	344	43	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	44	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	344	45	strategies	strategy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	344	46	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	344	47	fare	fare	VERB
ejpam-2949	344	48	well	well	ADV
ejpam-2949	344	49	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	344	50	qps	qps	PROPN
ejpam-2949	344	51	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	344	52	lps	lps	PROPN
ejpam-2949	344	53	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	345	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	345	2	ks	ks	PROPN
ejpam-2949	345	3	evaluates	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	345	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	345	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	345	6	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-2949	345	7	rather	rather	ADV
ejpam-2949	345	8	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	345	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	345	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	345	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	345	12	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	345	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	345	14	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-2949	345	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	346	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	346	2	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	346	3	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	346	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	346	5	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	346	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	346	7	occur	occur	VERB
ejpam-2949	347	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	347	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	347	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	347	4	π̂t+1	π̂t+1	X
ejpam-2949	347	5	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	347	6	qt+1	qt+1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	347	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	347	8	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	348	1	1	1	X
ejpam-2949	348	2	.	.	X
ejpam-2949	348	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	348	4	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	348	5	express	express	VERB
ejpam-2949	348	6	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-2949	348	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	348	8	f	f	NOUN
ejpam-2949	348	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	348	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	11	h	h	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	12	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	13	∑t	∑t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	14	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	15	st1	st1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	17	π̂t	π̂t	X
ejpam-2949	348	18	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	348	19	qt)∑t	qt)∑t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	20	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	21	st	st	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	23	f	f	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	24	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	25	∑t	∑t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	26	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	28	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	348	29	st	st	NOUN
ejpam-2949	348	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	31	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	348	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	33	π̂t	π̂t	X
ejpam-2949	348	34	>	>	X
ejpam-2949	348	35	qt)∑t	qt)∑t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	36	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	37	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	38	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	348	39	st	st	PROPN
ejpam-2949	348	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	348	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	349	2	63	63	NUM
ejpam-2949	349	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	4	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	349	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	349	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	349	7	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	349	8	circumstances	circumstance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	9	ks	ks	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	349	12	nominally	nominally	ADV
ejpam-2949	349	13	purely	purely	ADV
ejpam-2949	349	14	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	15	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	16	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	349	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	349	20	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	21	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	22	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	24	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	349	25	proportional	proportional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	26	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	349	27	each	each	DET
ejpam-2949	349	28	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	30	that	that	ADV
ejpam-2949	349	31	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	349	32	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	33	υ	υ	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	34	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	35	bs	bs	X
ejpam-2949	349	36	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	37	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	349	38	s)ks	s)ks	PROPN
ejpam-2949	349	39	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	349	40	s	s	VERB
ejpam-2949	349	41	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	349	42	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	349	43	∑t	∑t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	349	44	t=1	t=1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	349	45	st	st	PROPN
ejpam-2949	349	46	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	349	48	estimate	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	49	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	349	50	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	349	51	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	52	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	53	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	349	54	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	55	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	349	56	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	349	57	bad	bad	ADJ
ejpam-2949	349	58	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-2949	349	59	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	350	1	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	350	2	obtain	obtain	VERB
ejpam-2949	350	3	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	350	4	expression	expression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	350	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	350	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	350	7	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	350	8	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-2949	350	9	has	have	VERB
ejpam-2949	350	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	350	11	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	350	12	simplified	simplify	VERB
ejpam-2949	350	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	350	14	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-2949	350	15	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	350	16	bt	bt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	350	17	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	350	18	b	b	PROPN
ejpam-2949	350	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	350	20	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	350	21	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	350	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	350	23	qt	qt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	350	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	350	25	q	q	PROPN
ejpam-2949	350	26	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	350	27	s	s	PROPN
ejpam-2949	350	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	351	1	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	351	2	t.	t.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	352	2	14	14	NUM
ejpam-2949	352	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	352	4	discusses	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	352	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	352	6	application	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	352	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	352	9	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	352	11	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	352	12	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	352	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	352	15	uk	uk	PROPN
ejpam-2949	352	16	monetary	monetary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	352	17	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	18	committee	committee	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	19	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	352	20	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	352	22	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	352	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	1	5	5	X
ejpam-2949	353	2	.	.	X
ejpam-2949	353	3	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	353	4	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	353	5	noise	noise	PROPN
ejpam-2949	353	6	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	353	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	8	1983	1983	NUM
ejpam-2949	353	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	11	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	353	12	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	353	13	50	50	NUM
ejpam-2949	353	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	353	16	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	353	17	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	353	18	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	353	19	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	353	20	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	353	21	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	353	22	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	353	23	forecastable	forecastable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	353	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	354	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-2949	354	2	suggested	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	354	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	354	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	354	5	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	354	7	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ejpam-2949	354	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	354	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	354	10	7	7	NUM
ejpam-2949	354	11	]	]	SYM
ejpam-2949	354	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	354	13	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	354	15	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	16	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	17	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	18	might	might	AUX
ejpam-2949	354	19	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	354	20	fully	fully	ADV
ejpam-2949	354	21	exploit	exploit	VERB
ejpam-2949	354	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	354	23	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	354	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	354	26	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	27	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	354	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	355	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	355	2	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	355	4	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	5	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	6	consisted	consist	VERB
ejpam-2949	355	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	355	8	fitting	fit	VERB
ejpam-2949	355	9	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	355	10	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	355	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	355	12	moving	move	VERB
ejpam-2949	355	13	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-2949	355	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	355	15	arma	arma	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	355	17	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	18	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	355	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	355	20	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	21	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	355	22	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	355	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	355	24	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	355	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	355	26	ma	ma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	355	27	lag	lag	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	28	polynomials	polynomial	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	29	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	355	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	355	31	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-2949	355	32	enough	enough	ADJ
ejpam-2949	355	33	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	34	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	355	35	result	result	VERB
ejpam-2949	355	36	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	355	37	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	355	38	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	355	39	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	40	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	41	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	355	42	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	356	1	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	356	2	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	356	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	356	4	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	356	5	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	356	6	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	356	7	εt	εt	X
ejpam-2949	356	8	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	356	9	no	no	DET
ejpam-2949	356	10	discernible	discernible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	356	11	structure	structure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	356	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	356	13	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-2949	356	14	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	356	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	356	16	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	356	17	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	356	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	356	19	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	356	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	356	21	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	356	22	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	356	23	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	356	24	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	356	25	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	356	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	357	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	18	48	48	NUM
ejpam-2949	357	19	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	357	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	21	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	22	|	|	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	23	it−1	it−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	357	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	357	25	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	358	1	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	358	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	3	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	358	4	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	358	5	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	358	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	7	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	358	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	9	yt−1	yt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	358	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	358	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	2	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	359	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	4	equivalently	equivalently	ADV
ejpam-2949	359	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	6	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	359	7	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	9	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	359	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	11	εt−1	εt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	359	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	359	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	1	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	5	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	360	7	partial	partial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	8	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	9	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	10	were	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	360	11	used	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	360	13	identify	identify	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	15	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	18	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	20	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	360	21	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	360	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	24	orders	order	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	27	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	360	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	360	29	ma	ma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	360	30	polynomials	polynomial	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	33	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	360	34	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	360	35	diagnose	diagnose	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	36	any	any	DET
ejpam-2949	360	37	systematic	systematic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	38	patterns	pattern	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	41	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	42	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	360	43	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	44	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	46	so	so	ADV
ejpam-2949	360	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	48	emphasis	emphasis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	49	was	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	360	50	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	51	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	52	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	53	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	54	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	55	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	56	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	57	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	360	58	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	360	59	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	60	any	any	DET
ejpam-2949	360	61	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	62	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	63	modelled	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	64	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	360	65	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	66	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	67	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	68	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	69	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	70	after	after	ADP
ejpam-2949	360	71	fitting	fit	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	72	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	360	73	selected	select	VERB
ejpam-2949	360	74	arma	arma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	360	75	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	360	76	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	361	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	361	2	argued	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	361	3	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	361	4	modelling	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	361	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	361	6	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	361	8	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	9	up	up	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	361	12	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	13	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	14	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	15	may	may	AUX
ejpam-2949	361	16	still	still	ADV
ejpam-2949	361	17	leave	leave	VERB
ejpam-2949	361	18	room	room	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	19	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	20	improvement	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	21	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	22	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	24	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	361	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	361	27	argued	argue	VERB
ejpam-2949	361	28	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	361	30	development	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	361	32	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	33	techniques	technique	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	34	able	able	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	35	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	361	36	detect	detect	VERB
ejpam-2949	361	37	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	38	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	39	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	361	40	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	361	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	362	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	362	2	will	will	AUX
ejpam-2949	362	3	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	362	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	362	5	two	two	NUM
ejpam-2949	362	6	examples	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	362	7	taken	take	VERB
ejpam-2949	362	8	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	362	9	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	362	10	50	50	NUM
ejpam-2949	362	11	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	362	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	363	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	363	2	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	363	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	363	5	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	6	linear	linear	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	7	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	8	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	363	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	363	10	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	363	12	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	363	13	wider	wide	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	14	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	15	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	363	16	than	than	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	363	17	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	363	18	suggested	suggest	VERB
ejpam-2949	363	19	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	363	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	363	21	box	box	PROPN
ejpam-2949	363	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	363	23	jenkins	jenkin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	24	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	25	would	would	AUX
ejpam-2949	363	26	yield	yield	VERB
ejpam-2949	363	27	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	363	28	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	29	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	363	31	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	363	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	363	33	second	second	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	34	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	363	35	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	363	36	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	37	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	363	38	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	363	39	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	40	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	41	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	42	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	43	generating	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	363	44	more	more	ADV
ejpam-2949	363	45	accurate	accurate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	363	46	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	363	47	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	364	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	364	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	364	3	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	364	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	364	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	364	6	variable	variable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	364	7	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	364	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	364	9	generated	generate	VERB
ejpam-2949	364	10	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	364	11	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	364	12	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	364	13	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	364	14	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	365	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	365	2	εt	εt	INTJ
ejpam-2949	365	3	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	365	4	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	365	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	365	6	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	365	7	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	365	8	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	365	9	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	365	10	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	365	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	366	1	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	366	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	366	3	autocovariances	autocovariance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	366	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	366	5	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	366	6	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	366	7	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	366	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	366	9	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	366	10	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	366	11	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	366	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	366	13	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	366	14	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	366	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	367	2	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	367	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	4	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	367	5	cov(yt	cov(yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	367	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	7	yt−1	yt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	367	8	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	9	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	367	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	11	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	367	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	13	yt−1	yt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	367	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	367	16	cov	cov	NOUN
ejpam-2949	367	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	367	18	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	4	xt−2	xt−2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	5	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	6	εt−1	εt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	8	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	368	9	cov	cov	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	11	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	13	xt−2	xt−2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	14	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	15	εt−1	εt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	17	+	+	NUM
ejpam-2949	368	18	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	20	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	22	xt−2	xt−2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	23	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	24	εt−1	εt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	26	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	368	27	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	368	28	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	368	29	because	because	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	30	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	32	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	34	xt−s	xt−s	X
ejpam-2949	368	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	36	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	368	37	cov	cov	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	39	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	41	εt−s	εt−	VERB
ejpam-2949	368	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	43	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	368	44	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	368	45	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	46	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	368	47	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	48	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	49	s	s	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	51	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-2949	368	52	than	than	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	53	s	s	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	54	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	368	55	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	368	56	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	57	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	58	virtue	virtue	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	59	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	60	x	x	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	61	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	62	ε	ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	63	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	368	64	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	368	65	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	66	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	67	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	68	because	because	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	69	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	70	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	71	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	72	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	73	εt−s	εt−s	X
ejpam-2949	368	74	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	75	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	368	76	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	368	77	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	78	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	368	79	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	80	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	81	s	s	VERB
ejpam-2949	368	82	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	83	virtue	virtue	NOUN
ejpam-2949	368	84	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	368	85	x	x	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	368	86	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	368	87	ε	ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	368	88	being	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	368	89	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	368	90	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	369	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ejpam-2949	369	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	369	3	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	369	4	correlations	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	369	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	369	6	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	369	7	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	369	8	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	369	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	369	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	369	11	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	369	12	just	just	ADV
ejpam-2949	369	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	369	14	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-2949	369	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	370	1	next	next	ADV
ejpam-2949	370	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	370	3	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-2949	370	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	370	5	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-2949	370	6	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	370	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	370	8	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	370	9	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	370	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	370	11	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	370	12	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	370	13	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	370	14	includes	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	370	15	xt	xt	ADP
ejpam-2949	370	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	370	17	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	370	18	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	370	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	370	20	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	370	21	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	370	22	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	370	23	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	370	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	370	25	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	370	26	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	370	27	it−1	it−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	370	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	370	29	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	371	1	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	371	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	372	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	372	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	372	3	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	372	4	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	372	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	372	6	yt	yt	INTJ
ejpam-2949	372	7	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	372	8	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	372	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	372	10	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	372	11	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	372	12	it−1))2	it−1))2	X
ejpam-2949	372	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	373	1	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	373	2	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	373	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	373	4	ε2	ε2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	373	5	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	373	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	373	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	374	1	σ2ε	σ2ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	374	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	1	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	375	2	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	375	3	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	375	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	375	5	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	375	6	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	375	9	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	375	10	arma	arma	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	375	13	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	375	14	arma(0	arma(0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	16	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	375	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	19	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-2949	375	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	21	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	375	22	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	375	23	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	375	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	375	25	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	375	26	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	375	27	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	375	28	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	375	29	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	375	30	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	31	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	375	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	376	2	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	376	3	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	376	6	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	7	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	376	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	376	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	376	10	null	null	ADJ
ejpam-2949	376	11	set	set	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	13	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	376	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	15	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	376	16	|	|	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	17	∅	∅	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	19	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	376	20	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	376	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	376	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	376	24	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	26	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	27	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	376	28	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	376	29	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	30	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	376	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	376	32	u2	u2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	376	33	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	376	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	377	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	378	1	σ2ε	σ2ε	PROPN
ejpam-2949	379	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	379	2	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	379	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	379	4	x2t−1	x2t−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	379	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	379	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	380	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	380	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	380	3	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-2949	380	4	arma	arma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	380	5	model	model	PROPN
ejpam-2949	380	6	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	380	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	380	8	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	380	9	inferior	inferior	ADJ
ejpam-2949	380	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	380	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	380	12	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	380	13	which	which	DET
ejpam-2949	380	14	conditions	condition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	380	15	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	380	16	xt−1	xt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	380	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	2	defines	define	VERB
ejpam-2949	381	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	381	4	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	5	usefulness	usefulness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	6	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	381	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	381	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	10	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	11	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	381	12	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	13	r2	r2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	14	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	381	15	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-2949	381	16	v	v	NUM
ejpam-2949	381	17	ar(et	ar(et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	19	v	v	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	20	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	22	yt	yt	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	381	24	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	381	25	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	26	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	27	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	381	28	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-2949	381	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	7	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	12	2017	2017	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	15	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	16	-	-	SYM
ejpam-2949	382	17	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	18	49	49	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	19	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	382	20	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	382	21	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	22	yt	yt	X
ejpam-2949	382	23	−e	−e	NOUN
ejpam-2949	382	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	25	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	26	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	382	27	it−1	it−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	382	31	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	382	32	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	382	33	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	382	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	35	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	36	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	382	37	r2	r2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	382	38	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	382	39	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	41	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	382	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	382	43	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	382	44	r2	r2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	382	45	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	382	46	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	382	47	arma(0	arma(0	NOUN
ejpam-2949	382	48	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	49	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	50	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	382	51	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	382	52	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	382	53	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	383	2	25	25	NUM
ejpam-2949	383	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	4	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	383	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	383	6	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	383	8	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	383	10	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	11	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	383	14	establish	establish	VERB
ejpam-2949	383	15	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	383	16	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	17	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	18	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	19	unambiguously	unambiguously	ADV
ejpam-2949	383	20	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	383	21	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	383	22	worsen	worsen	VERB
ejpam-2949	383	23	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	25	even	even	ADV
ejpam-2949	383	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	383	27	intrinsically	intrinsically	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	28	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	29	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	30	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	31	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	32	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	34	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	383	35	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	383	36	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	37	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	383	38	said	say	VERB
ejpam-2949	383	39	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	383	40	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	383	41	predictable	predictable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	42	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	43	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	383	44	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	383	45	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	46	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	47	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	383	48	it−1	it−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	383	49	differs	differ	VERB
ejpam-2949	383	50	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	383	51	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	383	52	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	383	53	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	383	54	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	383	55	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	384	1	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-2949	384	2	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	384	3	definition	definition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	384	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	384	5	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	384	6	corresponds	correspond	VERB
ejpam-2949	384	7	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	384	8	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	384	9	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	384	10	notion	notion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	384	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	384	12	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	384	13	usefulness	usefulness	NOUN
ejpam-2949	384	14	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	384	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	385	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	385	3	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	385	4	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	6	v	v	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	7	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	9	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	385	12	v	v	NUM
ejpam-2949	385	13	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	15	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	17	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	385	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	385	19	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	385	22	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	385	23	expectation	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	385	26	equal	equal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	385	27	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	385	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	385	29	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	385	30	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	32	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	385	33	e	e	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	34	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	35	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	36	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	385	37	it−1	it−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	39	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	385	40	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	385	41	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	42	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	44	implies	imply	VERB
ejpam-2949	385	45	v	v	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	46	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	47	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	48	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-2949	385	49	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	50	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	385	51	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	385	52	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	53	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	54	yt	yt	INTJ
ejpam-2949	385	55	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	56	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	385	57	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	58	yt	yt	VERB
ejpam-2949	385	59	|	|	ADV
ejpam-2949	385	60	it−1))2	it−1))2	X
ejpam-2949	385	61	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	62	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	63	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	385	64	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	65	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	66	yt	yt	INTJ
ejpam-2949	385	67	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	68	e	e	X
ejpam-2949	385	69	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	70	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	71	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	72	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	73	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	385	74	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	75	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	385	76	v	v	X
ejpam-2949	385	77	ar	ar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	78	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	79	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	385	80	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	385	81	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	386	2	25	25	NUM
ejpam-2949	386	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	4	go	go	VERB
ejpam-2949	386	5	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	386	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	386	7	further	far	ADV
ejpam-2949	386	8	refine	refine	VERB
ejpam-2949	386	9	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	386	10	notions	notion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	386	12	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	386	14	forecastability	forecastability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	15	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	386	16	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	17	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	386	18	mis	mi	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	19	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	20	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-2949	386	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	386	22	there	there	PRON
ejpam-2949	386	23	is	be	VERB
ejpam-2949	386	24	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	386	25	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	386	26	constancy	constancy	ADJ
ejpam-2949	386	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	28	that	that	PRON
ejpam-2949	386	29	is	is	ADV
ejpam-2949	386	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	31	given	give	VERB
ejpam-2949	386	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	386	33	worldview	worldview	NOUN
ejpam-2949	386	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	386	35	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	386	36	23	23	NUM
ejpam-2949	386	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	38	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	386	39	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	386	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	387	2	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	387	3	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	387	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	387	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	387	6	bilinear	bilinear	NOUN
ejpam-2949	387	7	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	387	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	9	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	387	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	387	11	andersen	andersen	PROPN
ejpam-2949	387	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	13	1978	1978	NUM
ejpam-2949	387	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	16	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	387	17	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	387	18	55	55	NUM
ejpam-2949	387	19	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	20	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	21	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	387	22	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	387	23	βyt−2εt−1	βyt−2εt−1	X
ejpam-2949	388	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	388	3	one	one	NOUN
ejpam-2949	388	4	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	388	5	show	show	VERB
ejpam-2949	388	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	7	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	388	8	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	388	9	r2	r2	PROPN
ejpam-2949	388	10	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	388	11	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-2949	388	12	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	388	14	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	388	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	388	16	invertible	invertible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	388	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	388	18	βσε	βσε	VERB
ejpam-2949	388	19	<	<	X
ejpam-2949	388	20	0.707	0.707	NUM
ejpam-2949	388	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	388	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	388	23	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	24	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	25	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	388	26	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	388	27	appears	appear	VERB
ejpam-2949	388	28	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	388	29	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	388	30	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	388	31	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	388	32	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	388	33	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	388	34	forecastable	forecastable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	388	35	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	388	36	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	388	37	linearly	linearly	ADV
ejpam-2949	388	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	389	1	related	related	ADJ
ejpam-2949	389	2	examples	example	NOUN
ejpam-2949	389	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	389	4	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	389	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	389	6	including	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	389	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	389	8	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	389	9	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	389	10	βxt−1yt−1	βxt−1yt−1	PROPN
ejpam-2949	390	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	390	2	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	390	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	390	4	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	390	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	390	6	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	390	7	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	390	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	390	9	ut	ut	PROPN
ejpam-2949	390	10	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	390	11	gaussian	gaussian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	390	12	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	390	13	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	390	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	391	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-2949	391	2	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	391	3	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-2949	391	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	391	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	391	6	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	391	7	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	391	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	391	9	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	391	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	391	11	everywhere	everywhere	ADV
ejpam-2949	391	12	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-2949	391	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	391	14	indicating	indicate	VERB
ejpam-2949	391	15	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	391	16	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	391	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	391	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	391	19	moreover	moreover	ADV
ejpam-2949	391	20	cov	cov	PROPN
ejpam-2949	391	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	391	22	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	391	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	391	24	xt−s	xt−	NOUN
ejpam-2949	391	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	392	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-2949	392	2	0	0	NUM
ejpam-2949	392	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	392	4	all	all	DET
ejpam-2949	392	5	s	s	PROPN
ejpam-2949	392	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	392	7	indicating	indicate	VERB
ejpam-2949	392	8	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	392	9	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	392	10	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	392	11	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	392	12	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	392	13	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	392	14	linearly	linearly	ADV
ejpam-2949	392	15	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	392	16	xt	xt	PROPN
ejpam-2949	392	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	393	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-2949	393	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	393	3	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	393	4	indicated	indicate	VERB
ejpam-2949	393	5	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	393	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	393	7	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	393	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	393	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	393	10	y	y	PROPN
ejpam-2949	393	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	393	12	forecastable	forecastable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	393	13	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	393	14	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-2949	393	15	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-2949	393	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	393	17	y	y	PROPN
ejpam-2949	393	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	393	19	x.	x.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	393	20	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	394	1	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	394	2	teräsvirta	teräsvirta	NUM
ejpam-2949	394	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	4	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	394	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	7	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	394	8	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	394	9	65	65	NUM
ejpam-2949	394	10	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	12	provide	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	394	13	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	394	14	extensive	extensive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	15	treatment	treatment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	394	17	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	18	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	19	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	20	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	394	22	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	394	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	394	25	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	394	26	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	394	27	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	28	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	394	29	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	30	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	31	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	394	32	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	33	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	394	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	394	35	topic	topic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	394	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	394	38	contribution	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	394	39	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	394	40	timo	timo	PROPN
ejpam-2949	394	41	teräsvirta	teräsvirta	PROPN
ejpam-2949	394	42	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	394	43	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	394	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	395	1	further	far	ADV
ejpam-2949	395	2	reading	read	VERB
ejpam-2949	395	3	this	this	DET
ejpam-2949	395	4	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	395	5	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	395	6	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	395	7	aim	aim	VERB
ejpam-2949	395	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	395	9	be	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	395	10	comprehensive	comprehensive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	395	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	396	1	topics	topic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	396	2	which	which	PRON
ejpam-2949	396	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	396	4	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	396	5	covered	cover	VERB
ejpam-2949	396	6	include	include	VERB
ejpam-2949	396	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	396	8	following	following	NOUN
ejpam-2949	396	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	397	2	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	397	4	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	5	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	6	distance	distance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	7	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	8	as	as	ADP
ejpam-2949	397	9	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	397	10	alternative	alternative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	397	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	397	13	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-2949	397	14	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	397	16	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	397	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	18	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	397	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	397	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	397	21	‘	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	22	vertical	vertical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	397	23	distance	distance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	397	24	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	26	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	397	27	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	28	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	397	29	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	397	30	jeon	jeon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	397	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	32	1992,2003	1992,2003	NUM
ejpam-2949	397	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	35	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	397	36	67	67	NUM
ejpam-2949	397	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	38	68	68	NUM
ejpam-2949	397	39	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	397	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	398	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	398	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	398	4	transformed	transform	VERB
ejpam-2949	398	5	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	398	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	398	8	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	398	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	398	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	398	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	12	1976	1976	NUM
ejpam-2949	398	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	15	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	398	16	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	398	17	61	61	NUM
ejpam-2949	398	18	]	]	NUM
ejpam-2949	398	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	398	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	398	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	398	24	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	398	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	26	cox	cox	PROPN
ejpam-2949	398	27	transformation	transformation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	398	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	29	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	398	30	nelson	nelson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	398	31	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	398	32	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	398	33	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	34	1979	1979	NUM
ejpam-2949	398	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	36	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-2949	398	38	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	398	39	84	84	NUM
ejpam-2949	398	40	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	41	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	398	42	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	399	1	finally	finally	ADV
ejpam-2949	399	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	399	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	399	4	have	have	AUX
ejpam-2949	399	5	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	399	6	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-2949	399	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	399	8	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	399	9	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	10	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	399	11	stock	stock	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	12	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	13	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	14	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	399	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	399	17	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	399	18	markets	market	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	19	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	399	21	granger	granger	NOUN
ejpam-2949	399	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	399	23	morgenstern	morgenstern	PROPN
ejpam-2949	399	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	399	25	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-2949	399	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	399	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	400	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	400	2	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	400	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	400	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	400	5	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	400	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	400	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	400	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	400	9	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-2949	400	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	400	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	401	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	401	2	97	97	NUM
ejpam-2949	401	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	401	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	401	5	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	401	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	401	7	1992	1992	NUM
ejpam-2949	401	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	401	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	402	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	402	2	66	66	NUM
ejpam-2949	402	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	402	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	402	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	403	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	403	2	77	77	NUM
ejpam-2949	403	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	403	4	provides	provide	VERB
ejpam-2949	403	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	403	6	readable	readable	ADJ
ejpam-2949	403	7	account	account	NOUN
ejpam-2949	403	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	403	9	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	403	10	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	403	11	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-2949	403	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	403	13	not	not	PART
ejpam-2949	403	14	confined	confine	VERB
ejpam-2949	403	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	403	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	403	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	404	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	2	50	50	NUM
ejpam-2949	404	3	acknowledgements	acknowledgement	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	4	michael	michael	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	5	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	404	7	professor	professor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	9	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	10	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	404	12	icma	icma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	13	centre	centre	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	404	15	henley	henley	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	16	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	17	school	school	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	404	19	university	university	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	21	reading	reading	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	404	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	404	24	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	404	25	associate	associate	ADJ
ejpam-2949	404	26	member	member	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	404	29	institute	institute	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	30	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	31	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-2949	404	32	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	404	33	thinking	thinking	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	34	at	at	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	404	36	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	37	martin	martin	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	38	school	school	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	404	40	university	university	NOUN
ejpam-2949	404	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	404	42	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	404	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	405	1	i	i	PRON
ejpam-2949	405	2	am	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	405	3	grateful	grateful	ADJ
ejpam-2949	405	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-2949	405	5	jennifer	jennifer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	405	6	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	405	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	405	8	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-2949	405	9	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	405	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	405	11	helpful	helpful	ADJ
ejpam-2949	405	12	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	405	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	405	14	suggestions	suggestion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	405	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	406	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	406	2	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	406	3	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	406	4	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	406	5	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	406	6	aiolfi	aiolfi	PROPN
ejpam-2949	406	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	406	8	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	406	9	capistrán	capistrán	PROPN
ejpam-2949	406	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	406	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	406	12	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	406	13	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	406	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	407	1	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	407	2	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	407	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	407	4	chapter	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	407	5	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	407	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	408	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	408	2	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	3	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	4	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	408	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	408	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	408	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	408	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	408	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	408	13	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	408	14	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	408	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	408	16	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	408	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	408	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	408	19	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	408	20	355–388	355–388	NUM
ejpam-2949	408	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	409	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	409	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	409	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	409	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	409	5	2011	2011	NUM
ejpam-2949	409	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	410	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	410	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	410	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	410	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	410	5	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	6	andrews	andrews	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	410	8	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	10	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	11	minford	minford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	410	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	410	14	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	15	riley	riley	PROPN
ejpam-2949	410	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	411	1	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	411	2	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	411	3	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	411	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	411	5	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	411	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	411	7	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	411	8	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	411	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	412	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	412	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	412	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	412	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	412	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	412	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	412	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	412	8	58:279–305	58:279–305	PROPN
ejpam-2949	412	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	412	10	1996	1996	NUM
ejpam-2949	412	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	413	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	413	2	3	3	X
ejpam-2949	413	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	413	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	413	5	artis	artis	PROPN
ejpam-2949	413	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	413	7	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	413	8	marcellino	marcellino	PROPN
ejpam-2949	413	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	414	1	fiscal	fiscal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	414	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	414	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	414	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	414	5	track	track	NOUN
ejpam-2949	414	6	record	record	NOUN
ejpam-2949	414	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	414	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	414	9	imf	imf	PROPN
ejpam-2949	414	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	414	11	oecd	oecd	PROPN
ejpam-2949	414	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	414	13	ec	ec	PROPN
ejpam-2949	414	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	415	1	econometrics	econometrics	PROPN
ejpam-2949	415	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	415	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	415	4	4	4	NUM
ejpam-2949	415	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	415	6	s20	s20	PROPN
ejpam-2949	415	7	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	415	8	s36	s36	NOUN
ejpam-2949	415	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	415	10	2001	2001	NUM
ejpam-2949	415	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	416	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	416	2	4	4	X
ejpam-2949	416	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	416	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	416	5	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	416	6	barnard	barnard	PROPN
ejpam-2949	416	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	417	1	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-2949	417	2	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	417	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	417	4	quality	quality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	417	5	control	control	NOUN
ejpam-2949	417	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	418	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	418	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	418	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	418	4	royal	royal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	418	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	418	6	society	society	NOUN
ejpam-2949	418	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	418	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	418	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	418	10	126:255–259	126:255–259	NUM
ejpam-2949	418	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	418	12	1963	1963	NUM
ejpam-2949	418	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	419	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	419	2	5	5	X
ejpam-2949	419	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	419	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	5	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	6	bates	bates	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	419	8	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	9	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	11	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	419	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	420	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	420	2	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	420	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	420	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	420	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	421	1	operations	operation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	421	2	research	research	VERB
ejpam-2949	421	3	quarterly	quarterly	ADV
ejpam-2949	421	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	421	5	20:451–468	20:451–468	PROPN
ejpam-2949	421	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	421	7	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	421	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	422	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	422	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	422	3	t.c	t.c	PROPN
ejpam-2949	422	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	422	5	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-2949	422	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	422	7	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	422	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	422	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	422	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	422	11	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	422	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	422	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	423	1	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	423	2	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	423	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	423	4	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	423	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	424	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	424	2	6	6	NUM
ejpam-2949	424	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	424	4	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-2949	424	5	bollerslev	bollerslev	NOUN
ejpam-2949	424	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	425	1	generalised	generalise	VERB
ejpam-2949	425	2	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	425	3	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	425	4	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	425	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	426	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	426	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	426	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	426	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	426	5	51:307–327	51:307–327	NUM
ejpam-2949	426	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	426	7	1986	1986	NUM
ejpam-2949	426	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	427	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	427	2	7	7	X
ejpam-2949	427	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	427	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	5	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	6	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	7	box	box	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	427	9	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	10	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	11	jenkins	jenkins	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	427	13	time	time	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	14	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	427	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	427	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	427	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	427	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	427	19	control	control	NOUN
ejpam-2949	427	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	428	1	holden	holden	PROPN
ejpam-2949	428	2	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	428	3	day	day	PROPN
ejpam-2949	428	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	428	5	san	san	PROPN
ejpam-2949	428	6	francisco	francisco	PROPN
ejpam-2949	428	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	428	8	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-2949	428	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	429	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	429	2	8	8	NUM
ejpam-2949	429	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	429	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	429	5	capistrán	capistrán	PROPN
ejpam-2949	429	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	429	7	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	429	8	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	429	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	430	1	disagreement	disagreement	NOUN
ejpam-2949	430	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	430	3	biases	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	430	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	430	5	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	430	6	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	430	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	431	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	431	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	431	3	money	money	NOUN
ejpam-2949	431	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	431	5	credit	credit	NOUN
ejpam-2949	431	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	431	7	banking	banking	NOUN
ejpam-2949	431	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	431	9	41:365–396	41:365–396	NUM
ejpam-2949	431	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	431	11	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-2949	431	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	432	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	432	2	9	9	NUM
ejpam-2949	432	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	432	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	6	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	432	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	10	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	432	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	432	13	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	14	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	15	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	432	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	433	1	robust	robust	ADJ
ejpam-2949	433	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	433	3	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	433	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	433	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	434	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	434	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	434	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	434	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	434	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	434	6	31:99–112	31:99–112	NUM
ejpam-2949	434	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	434	8	2015	2015	NUM
ejpam-2949	434	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	435	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	435	2	10	10	NUM
ejpam-2949	435	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	435	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	6	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	435	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	10	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	435	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	435	13	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	14	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	15	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	435	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	436	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	436	2	overview	overview	NOUN
ejpam-2949	436	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	436	4	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	436	5	facing	face	VERB
ejpam-2949	436	6	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	436	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	437	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	437	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	437	3	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	437	4	cycle	cycle	NOUN
ejpam-2949	437	5	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	437	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	437	7	12(1):3–23	12(1):3–23	NUM
ejpam-2949	437	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	437	9	2016	2016	NUM
ejpam-2949	437	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	438	1	doi	doi	NOUN
ejpam-2949	438	2	10.1007	10.1007	NUM
ejpam-2949	438	3	/	/	SYM
ejpam-2949	438	4	s41549016	s41549016	PROPN
ejpam-2949	438	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	438	6	0005	0005	NUM
ejpam-2949	438	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	438	8	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	438	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	439	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	439	2	11	11	NUM
ejpam-2949	439	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	439	4	y.	y.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	5	y.	y.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	6	chong	chong	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	439	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	439	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	440	1	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	440	2	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	440	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	440	4	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-2949	440	5	macro	macro	ADJ
ejpam-2949	440	6	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	440	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	440	8	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	440	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	441	1	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	441	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	441	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	441	4	studies	study	NOUN
ejpam-2949	441	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	441	6	53:671–690	53:671–690	PROPN
ejpam-2949	441	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	441	8	1986	1986	NUM
ejpam-2949	441	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	442	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	442	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	442	3	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	442	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	442	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	442	6	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	442	7	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	442	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	442	9	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	442	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	442	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	443	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	443	2	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-2949	443	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	443	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	443	5	modelling	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	443	6	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	443	7	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	443	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	444	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	444	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	444	3	clarendon	clarendon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	444	4	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-2949	444	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	445	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	445	2	51	51	NUM
ejpam-2949	445	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	445	4	12	12	NUM
ejpam-2949	445	5	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	445	6	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	445	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	445	8	christoffersen	christoffersen	PROPN
ejpam-2949	445	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	445	10	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	445	11	x.	x.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	445	12	diebold	diebold	VERB
ejpam-2949	445	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	446	1	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	446	2	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	446	3	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	446	4	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	446	5	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	446	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	447	1	econometric	econometric	PROPN
ejpam-2949	447	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	447	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	447	4	13:808–817	13:808–817	PROPN
ejpam-2949	447	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	447	6	1997	1997	NUM
ejpam-2949	447	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	448	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	448	2	13	13	NUM
ejpam-2949	448	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	448	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	5	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	6	clemen	clemen	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	448	8	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	9	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	10	winkler	winkler	PROPN
ejpam-2949	448	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	449	1	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	449	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	449	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	449	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	450	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	450	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	450	3	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	450	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	450	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	450	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	450	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	450	8	4:39–46	4:39–46	NUM
ejpam-2949	450	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	450	10	1986	1986	NUM
ejpam-2949	450	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	451	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	451	2	14	14	NUM
ejpam-2949	451	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	451	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	451	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	451	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	451	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	452	1	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	452	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	452	3	bank	bank	PROPN
ejpam-2949	452	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	452	5	england	england	PROPN
ejpam-2949	452	6	density	density	PROPN
ejpam-2949	452	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	452	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	452	9	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	452	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	453	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	453	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	453	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	453	4	114:844	114:844	NUM
ejpam-2949	453	5	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	453	6	866	866	NUM
ejpam-2949	453	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	453	8	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-2949	453	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	454	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	454	2	15	15	NUM
ejpam-2949	454	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	454	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	454	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	454	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	454	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	455	1	internal	internal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	455	2	consistency	consistency	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	455	4	survey	survey	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	5	respondents	respondent	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	6	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	455	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	455	9	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	10	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	455	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	455	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	455	13	survey	survey	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	455	15	professional	professional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	455	16	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	455	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	456	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	456	2	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	456	3	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	456	4	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	456	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	456	6	n.	n.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	456	7	shephard	shephard	PROPN
ejpam-2949	456	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	456	9	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	456	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	456	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	456	12	methodology	methodology	NOUN
ejpam-2949	456	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	456	14	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	456	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	456	16	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	456	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	457	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	457	2	festschrift	festschrift	NOUN
ejpam-2949	457	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	457	4	honour	honour	NOUN
ejpam-2949	457	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	457	6	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-2949	457	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	457	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	457	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	458	1	chapter	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	458	2	8	8	NUM
ejpam-2949	458	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	458	4	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	458	5	206–226	206–226	NUM
ejpam-2949	458	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	459	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	459	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	459	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	459	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	459	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	459	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	459	7	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-2949	459	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	460	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	460	2	16	16	NUM
ejpam-2949	460	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	460	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	460	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	460	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	460	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	461	1	us	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	461	2	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	461	3	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	461	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	461	5	heterogeneous	heterogeneous	ADJ
ejpam-2949	461	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	461	7	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	461	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	461	9	1968	1968	NUM
ejpam-2949	461	10	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	461	11	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-2949	461	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	462	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	462	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	462	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	462	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	462	5	33(1):1–14	33(1):1–14	NUM
ejpam-2949	462	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	462	7	2014	2014	NUM
ejpam-2949	462	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	463	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	463	2	17	17	NUM
ejpam-2949	463	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	463	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	463	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	463	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	463	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	464	1	assessing	assess	VERB
ejpam-2949	464	2	macro	macro	ADJ
ejpam-2949	464	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	464	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	464	5	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	464	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	464	7	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	464	8	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	464	9	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	464	10	are	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	464	11	subject	subject	ADJ
ejpam-2949	464	12	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	464	13	revision	revision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	464	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	465	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	465	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	465	3	business	business	PROPN
ejpam-2949	465	4	&	&	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	465	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	465	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	465	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	465	8	2015	2015	NUM
ejpam-2949	465	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	466	1	forthcoming	forthcoming	ADJ
ejpam-2949	466	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	467	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	467	2	18	18	NUM
ejpam-2949	467	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	467	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	467	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	467	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	467	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	467	8	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	467	9	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	467	10	galvão	galvão	PROPN
ejpam-2949	467	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	468	1	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	468	2	predictors	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	468	4	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	468	5	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	468	7	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	468	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	468	10	us	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	468	11	recession	recession	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	12	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	468	14	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	15	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-2949	468	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	469	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	469	2	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	3	milas	mila	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	469	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	6	rothman	rothman	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	469	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	469	9	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	10	van	van	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	11	dijk	dijk	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	469	13	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	469	15	nonlinear	nonlinear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	469	16	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	17	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	469	18	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	469	20	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	21	cycles	cycle	NOUN
ejpam-2949	469	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	470	1	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	470	2	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	470	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	470	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	470	5	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	470	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	470	7	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	470	8	55–73	55–73	NUM
ejpam-2949	470	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	471	1	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
ejpam-2949	471	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	471	3	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	471	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	472	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	472	2	19	19	NUM
ejpam-2949	472	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	472	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	472	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	472	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	472	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	472	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	472	9	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	472	10	harvey	harvey	PROPN
ejpam-2949	472	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	473	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	473	2	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	473	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	473	4	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	473	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	474	2	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	474	3	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	474	4	mills	mills	PROPN
ejpam-2949	474	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	474	6	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	474	7	patterson	patterson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	474	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	9	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	11	palgrave	palgrave	ADJ
ejpam-2949	474	12	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	474	14	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	16	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	17	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	474	18	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	19	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	474	20	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	474	22	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	474	23	169–198	169–198	NUM
ejpam-2949	474	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	475	1	palgrave	palgrave	PROPN
ejpam-2949	475	2	macmillan	macmillan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	475	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	475	4	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-2949	475	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	476	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	476	2	20	20	NUM
ejpam-2949	476	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	476	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	476	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	476	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	9	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	10	harvey	harvey	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	476	12	forecast	forecast	PROPN
ejpam-2949	476	13	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	476	14	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	476	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	476	16	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	476	17	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	476	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	477	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	477	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	477	3	applied	applied	ADJ
ejpam-2949	477	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	477	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	477	6	25:1028–1062	25:1028–1062	NUM
ejpam-2949	477	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	477	8	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-2949	477	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	478	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	478	2	21	21	NUM
ejpam-2949	478	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	478	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	478	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	478	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	478	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	478	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	478	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	478	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	478	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	479	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	479	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	479	3	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	479	4	systems	system	NOUN
ejpam-2949	479	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	480	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	480	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	480	3	applied	applied	ADJ
ejpam-2949	480	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	480	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	480	6	10:127–146	10:127–146	PROPN
ejpam-2949	480	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	480	8	1995	1995	NUM
ejpam-2949	480	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	481	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	481	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	481	3	t.c	t.c	PROPN
ejpam-2949	481	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	481	5	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-2949	481	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	481	7	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	481	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	481	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	481	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	481	11	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	481	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	481	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	482	1	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	482	2	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	482	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	482	4	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	482	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	483	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	483	2	22	22	NUM
ejpam-2949	483	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	483	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	483	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	483	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	483	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	483	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	483	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	483	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	483	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	484	1	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-2949	484	2	corrections	correction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	484	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	484	4	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	484	5	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	484	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	485	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	485	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	485	3	applied	applied	ADJ
ejpam-2949	485	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	485	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	485	6	11:475–494	11:475–494	NUM
ejpam-2949	485	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	485	8	1996	1996	NUM
ejpam-2949	485	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	486	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	486	2	23	23	NUM
ejpam-2949	486	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	486	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	486	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	486	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	486	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	486	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	486	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	486	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	486	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	487	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	487	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	487	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	487	4	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	487	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	488	1	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-2949	488	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	488	3	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-2949	488	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	488	5	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-2949	488	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	488	7	1998	1998	NUM
ejpam-2949	488	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	489	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	489	2	marshall	marshall	PROPN
ejpam-2949	489	3	lectures	lecture	VERB
ejpam-2949	489	4	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	489	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	489	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	489	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	490	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	490	2	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	490	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	490	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	490	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	490	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	490	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	490	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	490	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	490	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	490	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	491	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	491	2	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	491	3	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	491	4	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-2949	491	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	491	6	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	491	7	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	491	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	492	1	mit	mit	PROPN
ejpam-2949	492	2	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-2949	492	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	492	4	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-2949	492	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	492	6	mass	mass	PROPN
ejpam-2949	492	7	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	492	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	492	9	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	492	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	493	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	493	2	25	25	NUM
ejpam-2949	493	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	493	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	493	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	493	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	493	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	493	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	493	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	493	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	493	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	494	1	guest	guest	PROPN
ejpam-2949	494	2	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	494	3	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	494	4	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	494	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	494	6	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	494	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	494	8	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	494	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	494	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	495	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	495	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	495	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	495	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	495	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	495	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	495	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	495	8	67:713–753	67:713–753	PROPN
ejpam-2949	495	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	495	10	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-2949	495	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	496	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	496	2	52	52	NUM
ejpam-2949	496	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	496	4	26	26	NUM
ejpam-2949	496	5	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	496	6	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	496	7	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	496	8	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	496	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	496	10	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	496	11	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	496	12	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	496	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	497	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	497	2	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	497	3	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-2949	497	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	498	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	3	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	6	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	7	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	8	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	498	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	498	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	498	12	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	14	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	16	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	498	18	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	498	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	21	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	22	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	498	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	24	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	498	26	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	498	27	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	498	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	498	29	pages	page	VERB
ejpam-2949	498	30	605–657	605–657	NUM
ejpam-2949	498	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	499	1	elsevier	elsevier	PROPN
ejpam-2949	499	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	499	3	horth	horth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	499	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	499	5	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	499	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	499	7	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	499	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	500	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	500	2	27	27	NUM
ejpam-2949	500	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	500	4	n.	n.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	6	coulson	coulson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	500	8	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	10	robins	robins	PROPN
ejpam-2949	500	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	500	12	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	500	13	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	500	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	500	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	500	16	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	500	17	setting	setting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	500	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	501	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	501	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	501	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	501	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	501	5	12:63–68	12:63–68	NUM
ejpam-2949	501	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	501	7	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	501	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	502	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	502	2	28	28	NUM
ejpam-2949	502	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	502	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	502	5	croushore	croushore	PROPN
ejpam-2949	502	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	503	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	503	2	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	503	3	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	503	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	503	5	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	503	6	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	503	7	vintages	vintage	NOUN
ejpam-2949	503	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	503	9	chapter	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	503	10	9	9	NUM
ejpam-2949	503	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	504	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	504	2	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	3	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	4	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	504	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	504	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	504	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	504	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	504	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	504	13	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	504	14	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	504	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	504	16	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	504	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	504	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	504	19	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	504	20	247–267	247–267	NUM
ejpam-2949	504	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	505	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	505	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	505	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	505	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	505	5	2011	2011	NUM
ejpam-2949	505	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	506	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	506	2	29	29	NUM
ejpam-2949	506	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	506	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	506	5	croushore	croushore	PROPN
ejpam-2949	506	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	507	1	frontiers	frontier	NOUN
ejpam-2949	507	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	507	3	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	507	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	507	5	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	507	6	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	507	7	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	507	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	508	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	508	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	508	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	508	4	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	508	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	508	6	49:72–100	49:72–100	NUM
ejpam-2949	508	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	508	8	2011	2011	NUM
ejpam-2949	508	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	509	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	509	2	30	30	NUM
ejpam-2949	509	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	509	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	509	5	croushore	croushore	NOUN
ejpam-2949	509	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	509	7	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	509	8	stark	stark	PROPN
ejpam-2949	509	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	510	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	510	2	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	510	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	510	4	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	510	5	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	510	6	set	set	VERB
ejpam-2949	510	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	510	8	macroeconomists	macroeconomist	NOUN
ejpam-2949	510	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	511	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	511	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	511	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	511	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	511	5	105(1):111–130	105(1):111–130	NUM
ejpam-2949	511	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	511	7	2001	2001	NUM
ejpam-2949	511	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	512	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	512	2	31	31	NUM
ejpam-2949	512	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	512	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	5	de	de	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	6	mol	mol	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	512	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	9	giannone	giannone	NOUN
ejpam-2949	512	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	512	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	512	12	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	13	reichlin	reichlin	PROPN
ejpam-2949	512	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	513	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	2	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	513	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	513	4	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-2949	513	5	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	513	7	predictors	predictor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	513	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	513	10	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	11	shrinkage	shrinkage	VERB
ejpam-2949	513	12	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	513	13	valid	valid	ADJ
ejpam-2949	513	14	alternative	alternative	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	513	16	principal	principal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	513	17	components	component	NOUN
ejpam-2949	513	18	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	514	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	514	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	514	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	514	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	514	5	146(2):318–328	146(2):318–328	NUM
ejpam-2949	514	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	514	7	2008	2008	NUM
ejpam-2949	514	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	515	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	515	2	32	32	NUM
ejpam-2949	515	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	515	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	515	5	deutsch	deutsch	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	515	7	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	8	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	9	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	10	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	515	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	515	13	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	14	teräsvirta	teräsvirta	PROPN
ejpam-2949	515	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	516	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	516	2	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	516	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	516	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	516	5	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	516	6	changing	change	VERB
ejpam-2949	516	7	weights	weight	NOUN
ejpam-2949	516	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	517	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	517	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	517	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	517	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	517	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	517	6	10:47–57	10:47–57	NUM
ejpam-2949	517	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	517	8	1994	1994	NUM
ejpam-2949	517	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	518	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	518	2	33	33	NUM
ejpam-2949	518	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	518	4	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	518	5	x.	x.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	518	6	diebold	diebold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	518	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	519	1	serial	serial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	519	2	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	519	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	519	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	519	5	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	519	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	519	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	519	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	520	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	520	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	520	3	business	business	PROPN
ejpam-2949	520	4	&	&	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	520	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	520	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	520	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	520	8	6:105–111	6:105–111	PROPN
ejpam-2949	520	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	520	10	1988	1988	NUM
ejpam-2949	520	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	521	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	521	2	34	34	NUM
ejpam-2949	521	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	521	4	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	521	5	x.	x.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	521	6	diebold	diebold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	521	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	521	8	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	521	9	pauly	pauly	PROPN
ejpam-2949	521	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	522	1	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	522	2	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-2949	522	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	522	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	522	5	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	522	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	522	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	522	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	523	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	523	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	523	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	523	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	523	5	6:21–40	6:21–40	NUM
ejpam-2949	523	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	523	7	1987	1987	NUM
ejpam-2949	523	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	524	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	524	2	35	35	NUM
ejpam-2949	524	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	524	4	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	524	5	x.	x.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	524	6	diebold	diebold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	524	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	524	8	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	524	9	pauly	pauly	PROPN
ejpam-2949	524	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	525	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	525	2	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-2949	525	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	525	4	prior	prior	ADJ
ejpam-2949	525	5	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-2949	525	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	525	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	525	8	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	525	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	526	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	526	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	526	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	526	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	526	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	526	6	6:503–508	6:503–508	NOUN
ejpam-2949	526	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	526	8	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-2949	526	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	527	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	527	2	36	36	NUM
ejpam-2949	527	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	527	4	t.	t.	X
ejpam-2949	527	5	doan	doan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	527	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	527	7	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	527	8	litterman	litterman	PROPN
ejpam-2949	527	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	527	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	527	11	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	527	12	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	527	13	sims	sim	NOUN
ejpam-2949	527	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	528	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	528	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	528	3	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	528	4	projection	projection	NOUN
ejpam-2949	528	5	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	528	6	realistic	realistic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	528	7	prior	prior	ADJ
ejpam-2949	528	8	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	528	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	529	1	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	529	2	reviews	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	529	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	529	4	3:1–100	3:1–100	NUM
ejpam-2949	529	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	529	6	1984	1984	NUM
ejpam-2949	529	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	530	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	530	2	37	37	NUM
ejpam-2949	530	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	530	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	5	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	6	donaldson	donaldson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	530	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	9	kamstra	kamstra	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	10	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	11	forecast	forecast	PROPN
ejpam-2949	530	12	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	530	13	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	530	14	neural	neural	ADJ
ejpam-2949	530	15	networks	network	NOUN
ejpam-2949	530	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	531	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	531	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	531	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	531	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	531	5	15:49–61	15:49–61	NUM
ejpam-2949	531	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	531	7	1996	1996	NUM
ejpam-2949	531	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	532	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	532	2	38	38	NUM
ejpam-2949	532	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	532	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	532	5	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	532	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	533	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	533	2	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	533	3	trending	trend	VERB
ejpam-2949	533	4	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	533	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	534	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	3	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	6	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	7	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	8	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	534	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	534	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	534	12	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	14	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	16	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	534	18	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	534	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	21	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	22	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	534	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	24	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	534	26	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	27	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	534	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	534	29	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	534	30	555–604	555–604	NUM
ejpam-2949	534	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	535	1	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
ejpam-2949	535	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	535	3	horth	horth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	535	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	535	5	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	535	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	535	7	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	535	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	536	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	536	2	39	39	NUM
ejpam-2949	536	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	536	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	536	5	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	536	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	536	7	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	536	8	komunjer	komunjer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	536	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	536	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	536	11	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	536	12	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	536	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	537	1	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	537	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	537	3	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	537	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	537	5	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	537	6	rationality	rationality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	537	7	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	537	8	flexible	flexible	ADJ
ejpam-2949	537	9	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	537	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	538	1	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	538	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	538	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	538	4	studies	study	NOUN
ejpam-2949	538	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	538	6	72:1107–1125	72:1107–1125	NUM
ejpam-2949	538	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	538	8	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-2949	538	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	539	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	539	2	40	40	NUM
ejpam-2949	539	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	539	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	539	5	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	539	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	539	7	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	539	8	komunjer	komunjer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	539	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	539	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	539	11	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	539	12	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	539	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	540	1	biases	bias	NOUN
ejpam-2949	540	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	540	3	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	540	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	540	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	540	6	irrationality	irrationality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	540	7	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	540	8	asymmetric	asymmetric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	540	9	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	540	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	541	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	541	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	541	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	541	4	european	european	PROPN
ejpam-2949	541	5	economic	economic	PROPN
ejpam-2949	541	6	association	association	PROPN
ejpam-2949	541	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	541	8	6:122–157	6:122–157	PROPN
ejpam-2949	541	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	541	10	2008	2008	NUM
ejpam-2949	541	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	542	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	542	2	53	53	NUM
ejpam-2949	542	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	542	4	41	41	NUM
ejpam-2949	542	5	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	542	6	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	542	7	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	542	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	542	9	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	542	10	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	542	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	543	1	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	543	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	3	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	4	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	543	5	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	543	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	7	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	543	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	10	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	11	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	543	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	544	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	544	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	544	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	544	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	544	5	122:47–79	122:47–79	NUM
ejpam-2949	544	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	544	7	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-2949	544	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	545	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	545	2	42	42	NUM
ejpam-2949	545	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	545	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	545	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	545	6	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	545	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	546	1	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-2949	546	2	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-2949	546	3	heteroscedasticity	heteroscedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-2949	546	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	546	5	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	546	6	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	546	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	546	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	546	9	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	546	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	546	11	united	united	PROPN
ejpam-2949	546	12	kingdom	kingdom	PROPN
ejpam-2949	546	13	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	546	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	547	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-2949	547	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	547	3	50:987–1007	50:987–1007	NUM
ejpam-2949	547	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	547	5	1982	1982	NUM
ejpam-2949	547	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	548	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	548	2	43	43	NUM
ejpam-2949	548	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	548	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	6	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	548	8	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	9	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	10	yoo	yoo	PROPN
ejpam-2949	548	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	549	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	549	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	549	3	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	549	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	549	5	co	co	ADJ
ejpam-2949	549	6	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	549	7	integrated	integrate	VERB
ejpam-2949	549	8	systems	system	NOUN
ejpam-2949	549	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	550	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	550	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	550	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	550	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	550	5	35:143–159	35:143–159	PROPN
ejpam-2949	550	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	550	7	1987	1987	NUM
ejpam-2949	550	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	551	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	551	2	44	44	NUM
ejpam-2949	551	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	551	4	n.	n.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	551	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	551	6	ericsson	ericsson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	551	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	1	parameter	parameter	PROPN
ejpam-2949	552	2	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	4	mean	mean	PROPN
ejpam-2949	552	5	square	square	ADJ
ejpam-2949	552	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	7	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	552	10	measuring	measure	VERB
ejpam-2949	552	11	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	12	performance	performance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	14	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	552	15	exposition	exposition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	17	extensions	extension	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	552	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	552	20	illustration	illustration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	552	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	553	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	553	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	553	3	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	553	4	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	553	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	553	6	14:465–495	14:465–495	NUM
ejpam-2949	553	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	553	8	1992	1992	NUM
ejpam-2949	553	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	554	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	554	2	45	45	NUM
ejpam-2949	554	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	554	4	n.	n.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	554	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	554	6	ericsson	ericsson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	554	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	554	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	554	9	marquez	marquez	PROPN
ejpam-2949	554	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	555	1	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	555	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	555	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	555	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	555	5	u.s	u.s	PROPN
ejpam-2949	555	6	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	555	7	trade	trade	NOUN
ejpam-2949	555	8	balance	balance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	555	9	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	555	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	556	1	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	556	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	556	3	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	556	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	556	5	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	556	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	556	7	75:19–31	75:19–31	PROPN
ejpam-2949	556	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	556	9	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	556	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	557	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	557	2	46	46	NUM
ejpam-2949	557	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	557	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	557	5	fildes	fildes	PROPN
ejpam-2949	557	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	557	7	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	557	8	ord	ord	PROPN
ejpam-2949	557	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	558	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	2	competitions	competition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	3	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	558	4	their	their	PRON
ejpam-2949	558	5	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	558	7	improving	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	558	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	9	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	558	11	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	558	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	559	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	559	2	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	3	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	4	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	559	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	559	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	559	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	559	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	559	12	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	559	13	companion	companion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	559	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	559	15	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	559	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	559	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	559	18	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	559	19	322–353	322–353	NUM
ejpam-2949	559	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	560	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	560	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	560	3	blackwells	blackwell	NOUN
ejpam-2949	560	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	560	5	2002	2002	NUM
ejpam-2949	560	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	561	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	561	2	47	47	NUM
ejpam-2949	561	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	561	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	561	5	forni	forni	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	561	7	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	561	8	hallin	hallin	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	561	10	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	11	lippi	lippi	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	561	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	561	14	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	15	reichlin	reichlin	PROPN
ejpam-2949	561	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	562	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	562	2	generalized	generalized	ADJ
ejpam-2949	562	3	factor	factor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	562	4	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	562	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	562	6	identification	identification	NOUN
ejpam-2949	562	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	562	8	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	562	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	563	1	review	review	NOUN
ejpam-2949	563	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	563	3	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	563	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	563	5	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	563	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	563	7	82:540–554	82:540–554	NUM
ejpam-2949	563	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	563	9	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-2949	563	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	564	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	564	2	48	48	NUM
ejpam-2949	564	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	564	4	v.	v.	ADP
ejpam-2949	564	5	genre	genre	PROPN
ejpam-2949	564	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	564	7	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	564	8	kenny	kenny	PROPN
ejpam-2949	564	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	564	10	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	564	11	meyler	meyler	NOUN
ejpam-2949	564	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	564	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	564	14	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	564	15	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	564	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	565	1	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	565	2	expert	expert	NOUN
ejpam-2949	565	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	565	4	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	565	5	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	565	6	anything	anything	PRON
ejpam-2949	565	7	beat	beat	VERB
ejpam-2949	565	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	565	9	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-2949	565	10	average	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	565	11	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	566	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	566	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	566	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	566	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	566	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	566	6	29(1):108–121	29(1):108–121	PROPN
ejpam-2949	566	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	566	8	2013	2013	NUM
ejpam-2949	566	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	567	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	567	2	49	49	NUM
ejpam-2949	567	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	567	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	567	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	567	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	567	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	567	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	568	1	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	568	2	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	568	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	568	4	generalized	generalized	ADJ
ejpam-2949	568	5	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	568	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	568	7	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	568	8	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	568	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	569	1	operations	operation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	569	2	research	research	VERB
ejpam-2949	569	3	quarterly	quarterly	ADV
ejpam-2949	569	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	569	5	20:199–207	20:199–207	NOUN
ejpam-2949	569	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	569	7	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	569	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	570	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	570	2	50	50	NUM
ejpam-2949	570	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	570	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	570	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	570	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	570	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	570	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	571	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	571	2	white	white	ADJ
ejpam-2949	571	3	noise	noise	NOUN
ejpam-2949	571	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	572	2	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	3	zellner	zellner	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	5	editor	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	7	proceedings	proceeding	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	572	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	572	10	conference	conference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	572	12	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	572	13	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	14	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	572	17	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	572	18	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	20	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	21	308–314	308–314	NUM
ejpam-2949	572	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	23	bureau	bureau	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	572	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	572	26	census	census	NOUN
ejpam-2949	572	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	28	washington	washington	PROPN
ejpam-2949	572	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	30	dc	dc	PROPN
ejpam-2949	572	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	572	32	1983	1983	NUM
ejpam-2949	572	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	573	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	573	2	51	51	NUM
ejpam-2949	573	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	573	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	573	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	573	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	573	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	573	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	574	1	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	574	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	574	3	twenty	twenty	NUM
ejpam-2949	574	4	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-2949	574	5	later	later	ADV
ejpam-2949	574	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	575	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	575	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	575	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	575	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	575	5	8:167–173	8:167–173	NUM
ejpam-2949	575	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	575	7	1989	1989	NUM
ejpam-2949	575	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	576	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	576	2	52	52	NUM
ejpam-2949	576	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	576	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	576	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	576	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	576	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	576	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	577	1	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	577	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	577	3	limitations	limitation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	577	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	577	5	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	577	6	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-2949	577	7	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-2949	577	8	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	577	9	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	577	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	577	11	comment	comment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	577	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	578	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	578	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	578	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	578	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	578	5	12:651–652	12:651–652	PROPN
ejpam-2949	578	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	578	7	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	578	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	579	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	579	2	53	53	NUM
ejpam-2949	579	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	579	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	579	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	579	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	579	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	579	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	580	1	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	580	2	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	580	3	improve	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	580	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	580	5	perceived	perceive	VERB
ejpam-2949	580	6	quality	quality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	580	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	580	8	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	580	9	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	580	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	581	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	581	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	581	3	applied	applied	ADJ
ejpam-2949	581	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	581	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	581	6	11:455–473	11:455–473	NUM
ejpam-2949	581	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	581	8	1996	1996	NUM
ejpam-2949	581	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	582	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	582	2	54	54	NUM
ejpam-2949	582	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	582	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	582	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	582	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	582	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	582	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	583	1	outline	outline	PROPN
ejpam-2949	583	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	583	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	583	4	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	583	5	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	583	6	generalized	generalized	ADJ
ejpam-2949	583	7	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-2949	583	8	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-2949	583	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	584	1	spanish	spanish	ADJ
ejpam-2949	584	2	economic	economic	PROPN
ejpam-2949	584	3	review	review	PROPN
ejpam-2949	584	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	584	5	1:161–173	1:161–173	NUM
ejpam-2949	584	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	584	7	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	584	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	585	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	585	2	55	55	NUM
ejpam-2949	585	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	585	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	585	9	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	10	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	11	andersen	andersen	PROPN
ejpam-2949	585	12	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	586	1	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	586	2	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	586	3	bilinear	bilinear	PROPN
ejpam-2949	586	4	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	586	5	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	586	6	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	586	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	587	1	vandenhoeck	vandenhoeck	NOUN
ejpam-2949	587	2	&	&	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	587	3	ruprecht	ruprecht	PROPN
ejpam-2949	587	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	587	5	göttingen	göttingen	NOUN
ejpam-2949	587	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	587	7	1978	1978	NUM
ejpam-2949	587	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	588	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	588	2	54	54	NUM
ejpam-2949	589	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	589	2	56	56	NUM
ejpam-2949	589	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	589	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	589	9	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	11	machina	machina	PROPN
ejpam-2949	589	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	590	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	590	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	590	3	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	590	4	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	590	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	591	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	3	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	6	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	7	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	8	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	591	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	591	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	591	12	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	14	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	16	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	591	18	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	591	19	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	21	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	22	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	591	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	24	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	591	26	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	27	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	591	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	591	29	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	591	30	81–98	81–98	NUM
ejpam-2949	591	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	592	1	elsevier	elsevier	PROPN
ejpam-2949	592	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	592	3	horth	horth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	592	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	592	5	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	592	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	592	7	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	592	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	593	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	593	2	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	593	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	593	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	593	9	o.	o.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	10	morgenstern	morgenstern	PROPN
ejpam-2949	593	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	594	1	predictability	predictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	594	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	594	3	stock	stock	NOUN
ejpam-2949	594	4	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-2949	594	5	prices	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	594	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	595	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	595	2	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	595	3	heath	heath	PROPN
ejpam-2949	595	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	595	5	company	company	NOUN
ejpam-2949	595	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	595	7	lexington	lexington	PROPN
ejpam-2949	595	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	595	9	massachusetts	massachusetts	PROPN
ejpam-2949	595	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	595	11	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-2949	595	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	596	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	596	2	58	58	NUM
ejpam-2949	596	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	596	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	596	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	596	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	597	1	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	597	2	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	597	3	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	597	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	597	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	597	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	597	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	597	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	597	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	598	1	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-2949	598	2	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	598	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	598	4	5:35–47	5:35–47	NUM
ejpam-2949	598	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	598	6	1973	1973	NUM
ejpam-2949	598	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	599	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	599	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	599	3	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-2949	599	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	599	5	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	599	6	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	599	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	599	8	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	599	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	599	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	600	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	600	2	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	600	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	600	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	600	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	600	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	600	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	601	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	601	2	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	601	3	library	library	NOUN
ejpam-2949	601	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	601	5	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	601	6	writings	writing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	601	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	601	8	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	601	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	602	1	cheltenham	cheltenham	PROPN
ejpam-2949	602	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	602	3	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	602	4	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	602	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	603	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	603	2	59	59	NUM
ejpam-2949	603	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	603	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	603	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	603	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	604	1	spurious	spurious	ADJ
ejpam-2949	604	2	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-2949	604	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	604	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	604	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	605	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	605	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	605	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	605	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	605	5	2:111–120	2:111–120	NUM
ejpam-2949	605	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	605	7	1974	1974	NUM
ejpam-2949	605	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	606	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	606	2	60	60	NUM
ejpam-2949	606	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	606	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	606	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	606	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	607	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	607	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	607	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	607	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	607	5	atheist	atheist	NOUN
ejpam-2949	607	6	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-2949	607	7	viewpoint	viewpoint	NOUN
ejpam-2949	607	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	608	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	608	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	608	3	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	608	4	renton	renton	PROPN
ejpam-2949	608	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	608	6	editor	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	608	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	608	8	modelling	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	608	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	608	10	economy	economy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	608	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	609	1	heinemann	heinemann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	609	2	educational	educational	ADJ
ejpam-2949	609	3	books	book	NOUN
ejpam-2949	609	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	609	5	london	london	PROPN
ejpam-2949	609	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	609	7	1975	1975	NUM
ejpam-2949	609	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	610	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	610	2	61	61	NUM
ejpam-2949	610	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	610	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	610	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	610	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	611	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	611	2	transformed	transform	VERB
ejpam-2949	611	3	series	serie	NOUN
ejpam-2949	611	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	612	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	612	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	612	3	royal	royal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	612	4	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	612	5	society	society	NOUN
ejpam-2949	612	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	612	7	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	612	8	b	b	PROPN
ejpam-2949	612	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	612	10	38:189–203	38:189–203	PROPN
ejpam-2949	612	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	612	12	1976	1976	NUM
ejpam-2949	612	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	613	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	613	2	62	62	NUM
ejpam-2949	613	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	613	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	613	9	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	10	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	11	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-2949	613	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	614	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	614	2	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-2949	614	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	614	4	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	614	5	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	614	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	614	7	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	614	8	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	614	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	615	2	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	3	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	4	chan	chan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	6	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	7	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	8	li	li	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	615	11	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	12	tong	tong	PROPN
ejpam-2949	615	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	14	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	615	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	16	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	615	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	615	18	finance	finance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	615	19	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	20	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	615	21	interface	interface	NOUN
ejpam-2949	615	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	615	23	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	615	24	261–278	261–278	NUM
ejpam-2949	615	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	616	1	london	london	PROPN
ejpam-2949	616	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	616	3	imperial	imperial	ADJ
ejpam-2949	616	4	college	college	NOUN
ejpam-2949	616	5	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	616	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	616	7	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-2949	616	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	617	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	617	2	63	63	NUM
ejpam-2949	617	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	617	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	617	9	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	10	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	11	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-2949	617	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	618	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	618	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	618	3	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	618	4	measures	measure	NOUN
ejpam-2949	618	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	618	6	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	618	7	accuracy	accuracy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	618	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	619	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	619	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	619	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	619	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	619	5	19:537–560	19:537–560	NUM
ejpam-2949	619	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	619	7	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-2949	619	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	620	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	620	2	64	64	NUM
ejpam-2949	620	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	620	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	620	9	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	10	ramanathan	ramanathan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	620	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	621	1	improved	improve	VERB
ejpam-2949	621	2	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	621	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	621	4	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	621	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	621	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	622	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	622	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	622	3	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	622	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	622	5	3:197–204	3:197–204	NUM
ejpam-2949	622	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	622	7	1984	1984	NUM
ejpam-2949	622	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	623	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	623	2	65	65	NUM
ejpam-2949	623	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	623	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	623	9	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	10	teräsvirta	teräsvirta	PROPN
ejpam-2949	623	11	.	.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	623	12	modelling	model	VERB
ejpam-2949	623	13	nonlinear	nonlinear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	623	14	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	623	15	relationships	relationship	NOUN
ejpam-2949	623	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	624	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	624	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	624	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	624	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	624	5	oxford	oxford	NOUN
ejpam-2949	624	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	624	7	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	624	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	625	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	625	2	66	66	NUM
ejpam-2949	625	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	625	4	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	625	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	625	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	625	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	625	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	626	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	626	2	stock	stock	NOUN
ejpam-2949	626	3	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-2949	626	4	proces	proce	NOUN
ejpam-2949	626	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	626	6	lessons	lesson	NOUN
ejpam-2949	626	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	626	8	forecasters	forecaster	NOUN
ejpam-2949	626	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	627	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	627	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	627	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	627	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	627	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	627	6	8:3–13	8:3–13	NUM
ejpam-2949	627	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	627	8	1992	1992	NUM
ejpam-2949	627	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	628	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	628	2	67	67	NUM
ejpam-2949	628	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	628	4	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	628	9	yongil	yongil	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	10	jeon	jeon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	628	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	629	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	629	2	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	629	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	629	4	distance	distance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	629	5	criterion	criterion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	629	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	629	7	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	629	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	629	9	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	629	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	630	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	630	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	630	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	630	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	630	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	630	6	19(2):199–215	19(2):199–215	PROPN
ejpam-2949	630	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	630	8	2003	2003	NUM
ejpam-2949	630	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	631	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	631	2	68	68	NUM
ejpam-2949	631	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	631	4	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	631	9	yongil	yongil	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	10	jeon	jeon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	631	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	632	1	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	632	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	632	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	632	4	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	632	5	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	632	6	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	632	7	distance	distance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	632	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	633	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	633	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	633	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	633	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	633	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	633	6	19(3):339–349	19(3):339–349	PROPN
ejpam-2949	633	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	633	8	2003	2003	NUM
ejpam-2949	633	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	634	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	634	2	69	69	NUM
ejpam-2949	634	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	634	4	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	634	5	haddow	haddow	NOUN
ejpam-2949	634	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	634	7	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	8	hare	hare	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	634	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	11	hooley	hooley	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	634	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	634	14	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	15	shakir	shakir	PROPN
ejpam-2949	634	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	635	1	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	635	2	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	635	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	635	4	what	what	PRON
ejpam-2949	635	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-2949	635	6	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	635	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	635	8	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	635	9	can	can	AUX
ejpam-2949	635	10	we	we	PRON
ejpam-2949	635	11	measure	measure	VERB
ejpam-2949	635	12	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	635	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	635	14	why	why	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	635	15	does	do	AUX
ejpam-2949	635	16	it	it	PRON
ejpam-2949	635	17	matter	matter	VERB
ejpam-2949	635	18	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	636	1	bank	bank	PROPN
ejpam-2949	636	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	636	3	england	england	PROPN
ejpam-2949	636	4	quarterly	quarterly	PROPN
ejpam-2949	636	5	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	636	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	636	7	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	636	8	100–109	100–109	NUM
ejpam-2949	636	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	636	10	2013	2013	NUM
ejpam-2949	636	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	637	1	2013	2013	NUM
ejpam-2949	637	2	q2	q2	NOUN
ejpam-2949	637	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	638	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	638	2	55	55	NUM
ejpam-2949	638	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	638	4	70	70	NUM
ejpam-2949	638	5	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	638	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	7	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	8	harvey	harvey	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	638	10	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	11	leybourne	leybourne	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	638	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	638	14	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	15	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	638	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	639	1	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	639	2	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	639	3	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	639	4	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	639	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	640	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	640	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	640	3	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	640	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	640	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	640	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	640	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	640	8	16:254–259	16:254–259	NUM
ejpam-2949	640	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	640	10	1998	1998	NUM
ejpam-2949	640	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	641	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	641	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	641	3	t.c	t.c	PROPN
ejpam-2949	641	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	641	5	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-2949	641	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	641	7	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	641	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	641	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	641	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	641	11	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	641	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	641	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	642	1	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	642	2	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	642	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	642	4	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	642	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	643	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	643	2	71	71	NUM
ejpam-2949	643	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	643	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	643	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	10	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	643	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	644	1	pooling	pool	VERB
ejpam-2949	644	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	644	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	644	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	645	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	645	2	econometrics	econometrics	NOUN
ejpam-2949	645	3	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	645	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	645	5	7:1–31	7:1–31	PROPN
ejpam-2949	645	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	645	7	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-2949	645	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	646	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	646	2	72	72	NUM
ejpam-2949	646	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	646	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	646	8	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	9	-	-	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	10	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	11	richard	richard	PROPN
ejpam-2949	646	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	647	1	recent	recent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	647	2	developments	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	647	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	647	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	647	5	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-2949	647	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	647	7	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	647	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	648	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	648	2	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	648	3	cornet	cornet	PROPN
ejpam-2949	648	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	648	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	648	6	tulkens	tulkens	PROPN
ejpam-2949	648	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	648	8	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	648	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	648	10	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-2949	648	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	648	12	operations	operation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	648	13	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	648	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	648	15	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	648	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	649	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	649	2	xxth	xxth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	649	3	anniversary	anniversary	NOUN
ejpam-2949	649	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	649	5	core	core	NOUN
ejpam-2949	649	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	649	7	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	649	8	393–440	393–440	NUM
ejpam-2949	649	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	650	1	mit	mit	PROPN
ejpam-2949	650	2	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-2949	650	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	650	4	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-2949	650	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	650	6	ma	ma	PROPN
ejpam-2949	650	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	650	8	1989	1989	NUM
ejpam-2949	650	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	651	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	651	3	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	4	campos	campos	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	6	n.r	n.r	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	7	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	8	ericsson	ericsson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	651	10	d.f	d.f	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	11	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	12	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	14	eds	eds	PROPN
ejpam-2949	651	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	651	18	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-2949	651	19	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	651	20	specific	specific	ADJ
ejpam-2949	651	21	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	651	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	652	1	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	652	2	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	652	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	652	4	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-2949	652	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	653	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	653	2	73	73	NUM
ejpam-2949	653	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	653	4	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	653	8	grayham	grayham	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	9	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	10	mizon	mizon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	653	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	654	1	unpredictability	unpredictability	NOUN
ejpam-2949	654	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	654	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	654	4	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	654	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	654	6	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-2949	654	7	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-2949	654	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	654	9	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	654	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	655	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	655	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	655	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	655	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	655	5	182(1):186–195	182(1):186–195	NUM
ejpam-2949	655	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	655	7	2014	2014	NUM
ejpam-2949	655	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	656	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	656	2	74	74	NUM
ejpam-2949	656	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	656	4	malte	malte	PROPN
ejpam-2949	656	5	knüppel	knüppel	PROPN
ejpam-2949	656	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	657	1	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	657	2	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	657	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	657	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	657	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	657	6	based	base	VERB
ejpam-2949	657	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-2949	657	8	recent	recent	ADJ
ejpam-2949	657	9	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	657	10	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	657	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	658	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	658	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	658	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	658	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	658	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	658	6	30(2):257–267	30(2):257–267	PROPN
ejpam-2949	658	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	658	8	2014	2014	NUM
ejpam-2949	658	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	659	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	659	2	75	75	NUM
ejpam-2949	659	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	659	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	659	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	659	6	lesage	lesage	PROPN
ejpam-2949	659	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	659	8	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	659	9	magura	magura	NOUN
ejpam-2949	659	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	660	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	660	2	mixture	mixture	NOUN
ejpam-2949	660	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	660	4	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	660	5	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	660	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	660	7	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	660	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	660	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	661	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	661	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	661	3	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-2949	661	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	661	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	661	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	661	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	661	8	10:445–452	10:445–452	NOUN
ejpam-2949	661	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	661	10	1992	1992	NUM
ejpam-2949	661	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	662	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	662	2	76	76	NUM
ejpam-2949	662	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	662	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	662	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	662	6	makridakis	makridakis	PROPN
ejpam-2949	662	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	662	8	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	662	9	winkler	winkler	PROPN
ejpam-2949	662	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	663	1	averages	average	NOUN
ejpam-2949	663	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	663	3	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	663	4	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	663	5	some	some	DET
ejpam-2949	663	6	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	663	7	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-2949	663	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	664	1	management	management	NOUN
ejpam-2949	664	2	science	science	NOUN
ejpam-2949	664	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	664	4	29:987–996	29:987–996	PROPN
ejpam-2949	664	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	664	6	1983	1983	NUM
ejpam-2949	664	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	665	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	665	2	77	77	NUM
ejpam-2949	665	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	665	4	terence	terence	PROPN
ejpam-2949	665	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	665	6	mills	mills	PROPN
ejpam-2949	665	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	666	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	666	2	very	very	ADV
ejpam-2949	666	3	british	british	ADJ
ejpam-2949	666	4	affair	affair	PROPN
ejpam-2949	666	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	667	1	six	six	NUM
ejpam-2949	667	2	britons	briton	NOUN
ejpam-2949	667	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	667	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	667	5	development	development	NOUN
ejpam-2949	667	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	667	7	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	667	8	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	667	9	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	667	10	during	during	ADP
ejpam-2949	667	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	667	12	20th	20th	ADJ
ejpam-2949	667	13	century	century	NOUN
ejpam-2949	667	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	668	1	palgrave	palgrave	ADJ
ejpam-2949	668	2	advanced	advanced	ADJ
ejpam-2949	668	3	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	668	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	668	5	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	668	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	669	1	palgrave	palgrave	PROPN
ejpam-2949	669	2	macmillan	macmillan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	669	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	669	4	basingstoke	basingstoke	PROPN
ejpam-2949	669	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	669	6	2013	2013	NUM
ejpam-2949	669	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	670	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	670	2	78	78	NUM
ejpam-2949	670	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	670	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	670	5	min	min	PROPN
ejpam-2949	670	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	670	7	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	670	8	zellner	zellner	NOUN
ejpam-2949	670	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	671	1	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	671	3	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	671	4	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	671	5	bayesian	bayesian	ADJ
ejpam-2949	671	6	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	671	8	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	671	9	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	671	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	12	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	671	13	applications	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	671	15	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	671	16	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	671	17	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	18	rates	rate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	671	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	672	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	672	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	672	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	672	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	672	5	56:89–118	56:89–118	NUM
ejpam-2949	672	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	672	7	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-2949	672	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	673	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	673	2	79	79	NUM
ejpam-2949	673	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	673	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	673	5	mincer	mincer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	673	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	673	7	v.	v.	ADP
ejpam-2949	673	8	zarnowitz	zarnowitz	PROPN
ejpam-2949	673	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	674	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	674	2	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	674	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	674	4	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	674	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	674	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	675	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	675	2	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	675	3	mincer	mincer	PROPN
ejpam-2949	675	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	675	5	editor	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	675	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	675	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	675	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	675	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	675	10	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	675	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	675	12	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	675	13	3–46	3–46	PROPN
ejpam-2949	675	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	676	1	national	national	PROPN
ejpam-2949	676	2	bureau	bureau	PROPN
ejpam-2949	676	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	676	4	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	676	5	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-2949	676	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	676	7	new	new	PROPN
ejpam-2949	676	8	york	york	PROPN
ejpam-2949	676	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	676	10	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-2949	676	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	677	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	677	2	80	80	NUM
ejpam-2949	677	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	677	4	james	james	PROPN
ejpam-2949	677	5	mitchell	mitchell	PROPN
ejpam-2949	677	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	677	7	stephen	stephen	PROPN
ejpam-2949	677	8	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	677	9	hall	hall	PROPN
ejpam-2949	677	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	678	1	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-2949	678	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	678	3	comparing	compare	VERB
ejpam-2949	678	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	678	5	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	678	6	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	7	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	8	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	678	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	678	10	klic	klic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	11	with	with	ADP
ejpam-2949	678	12	an	an	DET
ejpam-2949	678	13	application	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	678	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	678	16	bank	bank	PROPN
ejpam-2949	678	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	678	18	england	england	PROPN
ejpam-2949	678	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	678	20	niesr	niesr	VERB
ejpam-2949	678	21	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	678	22	fan	fan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	678	23	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	678	24	charts	chart	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	678	26	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	678	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	679	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	679	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	679	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	679	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	679	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	679	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	679	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	679	8	67(s1):995	67(s1):995	NUM
ejpam-2949	679	9	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	679	10	1033	1033	NUM
ejpam-2949	679	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	679	12	december	december	PROPN
ejpam-2949	679	13	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-2949	679	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	680	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	680	2	81	81	NUM
ejpam-2949	680	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	680	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	680	5	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	680	6	mizon	mizon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	680	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	681	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	681	2	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	681	3	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	681	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	681	5	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	681	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	682	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	682	2	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	3	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	4	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	682	6	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	8	wallis	wallis	PROPN
ejpam-2949	682	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	682	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	682	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	682	12	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	682	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	682	14	quantitative	quantitative	ADJ
ejpam-2949	682	15	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	682	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	682	17	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	682	18	135–172	135–172	NUM
ejpam-2949	682	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	683	1	basil	basil	PROPN
ejpam-2949	683	2	blackwell	blackwell	PROPN
ejpam-2949	683	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	683	4	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	683	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	683	6	1984	1984	NUM
ejpam-2949	683	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	684	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	684	2	56	56	NUM
ejpam-2949	684	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	684	4	82	82	NUM
ejpam-2949	684	5	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	684	6	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	7	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	8	mizon	mizon	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	684	10	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	11	-	-	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	12	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	13	richard	richard	PROPN
ejpam-2949	684	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	685	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	685	2	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	685	3	principle	principle	NOUN
ejpam-2949	685	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	685	5	its	its	PRON
ejpam-2949	685	6	application	application	NOUN
ejpam-2949	685	7	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	685	8	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-2949	685	9	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-2949	685	10	nested	nested	ADJ
ejpam-2949	685	11	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	685	12	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-2949	685	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	686	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-2949	686	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	686	3	54:657–678	54:657–678	NUM
ejpam-2949	686	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	686	5	1986	1986	NUM
ejpam-2949	686	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	687	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	687	2	83	83	NUM
ejpam-2949	687	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	687	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	687	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	687	6	nelson	nelson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	687	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	688	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	688	2	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	688	3	performance	performance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	688	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	688	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	688	6	frb	frb	PROPN
ejpam-2949	688	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	688	8	mit	mit	VERB
ejpam-2949	688	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	688	10	penn	penn	NOUN
ejpam-2949	688	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	688	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	688	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	688	14	us	us	PROPN
ejpam-2949	688	15	economy	economy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	688	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	689	1	american	american	PROPN
ejpam-2949	689	2	economic	economic	PROPN
ejpam-2949	689	3	review	review	PROPN
ejpam-2949	689	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	689	5	62:902–917	62:902–917	PROPN
ejpam-2949	689	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	689	7	1972	1972	NUM
ejpam-2949	689	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	690	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-2949	690	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	690	3	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-2949	690	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	690	5	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	690	6	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	690	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	690	8	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-2949	690	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	690	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	691	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	691	2	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	691	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	691	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	691	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	691	6	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	691	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	692	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	692	2	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	692	3	library	library	NOUN
ejpam-2949	692	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	692	5	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	692	6	writings	writing	NOUN
ejpam-2949	692	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	692	8	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	692	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	693	1	cheltenham	cheltenham	PROPN
ejpam-2949	693	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	693	3	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-2949	693	4	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-2949	693	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	694	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	694	2	84	84	NUM
ejpam-2949	694	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	694	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	6	nelson	nelson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	694	8	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	9	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	11	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	694	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	695	1	experience	experience	NOUN
ejpam-2949	695	2	using	use	VERB
ejpam-2949	695	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	695	4	box	box	NOUN
ejpam-2949	695	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	695	6	cox	cox	PROPN
ejpam-2949	695	7	transformation	transformation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	695	8	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-2949	695	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	695	10	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	695	11	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	695	12	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-2949	695	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	696	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	696	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	696	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	696	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	696	5	10:57–69	10:57–69	NUM
ejpam-2949	696	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	696	7	1979	1979	NUM
ejpam-2949	696	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	697	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	697	2	85	85	NUM
ejpam-2949	697	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	697	4	p.	p.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	697	5	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-2949	697	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	697	7	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	697	8	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	697	9	harvey	harvey	PROPN
ejpam-2949	697	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	698	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	698	2	combination	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	698	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	698	4	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-2949	698	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	699	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	699	2	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	3	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	4	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	699	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	699	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	699	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	699	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	699	12	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	699	13	companion	companion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	699	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	699	15	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	699	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	699	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	699	18	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	699	19	268–283	268–283	NUM
ejpam-2949	699	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	700	1	oxford	oxford	NOUN
ejpam-2949	700	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	700	3	blackwells	blackwell	NOUN
ejpam-2949	700	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	700	5	2002	2002	NUM
ejpam-2949	700	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	701	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	701	2	86	86	NUM
ejpam-2949	701	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	701	4	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	701	5	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	701	6	patton	patton	PROPN
ejpam-2949	701	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	701	8	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	701	9	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	701	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	702	1	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-2949	702	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	702	3	optimal	optimal	ADJ
ejpam-2949	702	4	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	702	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	703	1	cepr	cepr	ADJ
ejpam-2949	703	2	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	703	3	papers	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	703	4	4037	4037	NUM
ejpam-2949	703	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	703	6	c.e.p.r	c.e.p.r	PROPN
ejpam-2949	703	7	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	703	8	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	703	9	papers	paper	NOUN
ejpam-2949	703	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	703	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	703	12	2003	2003	NUM
ejpam-2949	703	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	704	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	704	2	87	87	NUM
ejpam-2949	704	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	704	4	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	704	5	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	704	6	patton	patton	PROPN
ejpam-2949	704	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	704	8	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	704	9	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	704	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	705	1	testing	test	VERB
ejpam-2949	705	2	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	705	3	optimality	optimality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	705	4	under	under	ADP
ejpam-2949	705	5	unknown	unknown	ADJ
ejpam-2949	705	6	loss	loss	NOUN
ejpam-2949	705	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	706	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	706	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	706	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	706	4	american	american	PROPN
ejpam-2949	706	5	statistical	statistical	PROPN
ejpam-2949	706	6	association	association	PROPN
ejpam-2949	706	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	706	8	102:1172–1184	102:1172–1184	PROPN
ejpam-2949	706	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	706	10	2007	2007	NUM
ejpam-2949	706	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	707	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	707	2	88	88	NUM
ejpam-2949	707	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	707	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	707	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	707	6	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-2949	707	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	707	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	707	9	weale	weale	PROPN
ejpam-2949	707	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	708	1	survey	survey	NOUN
ejpam-2949	708	2	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	708	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	709	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	709	3	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	709	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	5	c.w.j	c.w.j	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	6	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	709	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	709	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	709	10	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	12	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	14	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	709	16	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	709	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	19	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	20	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	709	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	22	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	709	24	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	25	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	709	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	709	27	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	709	28	715–776	715–776	NUM
ejpam-2949	709	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	710	1	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
ejpam-2949	710	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	710	3	horth	horth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	710	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	710	5	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	710	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	710	7	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	710	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	711	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	711	2	89	89	NUM
ejpam-2949	711	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	711	4	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-2949	711	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	711	6	reifschneider	reifschneider	PROPN
ejpam-2949	711	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	711	8	peter	peter	PROPN
ejpam-2949	711	9	tulip	tulip	VERB
ejpam-2949	711	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	712	1	gauging	gauge	VERB
ejpam-2949	712	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	712	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-2949	712	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	712	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	712	6	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	712	7	outlook	outlook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	712	8	from	from	ADP
ejpam-2949	712	9	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-2949	712	10	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	712	11	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-2949	712	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	713	1	finance	finance	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	713	3	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	4	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	5	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	713	7	board	board	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	713	9	governors	governor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	713	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	713	12	federal	federal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	713	13	reserve	reserve	PROPN
ejpam-2949	713	14	system	system	NOUN
ejpam-2949	713	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	713	16	u.s	u.s	PROPN
ejpam-2949	713	17	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	713	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	713	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	713	20	2007	2007	NUM
ejpam-2949	713	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	714	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	714	2	90	90	NUM
ejpam-2949	714	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	714	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	714	5	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	714	6	sims	sim	NOUN
ejpam-2949	714	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	715	1	macroeconomics	macroeconomic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	715	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	715	3	reality	reality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	715	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	716	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-2949	716	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	716	3	48:1–48	48:1–48	NUM
ejpam-2949	716	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	716	5	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-2949	716	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	717	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	717	2	91	91	NUM
ejpam-2949	717	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	717	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	6	stock	stock	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	717	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	9	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	10	watson	watson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	717	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	718	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	718	2	comparison	comparison	NOUN
ejpam-2949	718	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	718	4	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	718	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	718	6	nonlinear	nonlinear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	718	7	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	718	8	for	for	ADP
ejpam-2949	718	9	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-2949	718	10	macroeconomic	macroeconomic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	718	11	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-2949	718	12	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-2949	718	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	719	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	719	2	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	3	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	4	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	719	6	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	7	white	white	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	719	9	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	719	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	719	11	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-2949	719	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	719	13	causality	causality	NOUN
ejpam-2949	719	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	719	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	719	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	719	17	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	719	18	1–44	1–44	PROPN
ejpam-2949	719	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	720	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	720	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	720	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	720	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	720	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	720	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	720	7	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-2949	720	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	721	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	721	2	92	92	NUM
ejpam-2949	721	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	721	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	6	stock	stock	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	721	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	9	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	10	watson	watson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	721	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	722	1	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	2	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	722	4	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	722	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-2949	722	7	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	722	9	asset	asset	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	10	prices	price	NOUN
ejpam-2949	722	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	723	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	723	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	723	3	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	723	4	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-2949	723	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	723	6	41:788–829	41:788–829	PROPN
ejpam-2949	723	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	723	8	2003	2003	NUM
ejpam-2949	723	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	724	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	724	2	93	93	X
ejpam-2949	724	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	724	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	5	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	6	stock	stock	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	724	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	9	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	10	watson	watson	PROPN
ejpam-2949	724	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	725	1	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	725	2	factor	factor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	725	3	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	725	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	726	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	726	2	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	726	3	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	4	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	726	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	7	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	8	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	726	10	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	726	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	726	12	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	726	13	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	726	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	726	15	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	726	16	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	726	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	726	18	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	726	19	35–60	35–60	PROPN
ejpam-2949	726	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	727	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	727	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-2949	727	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-2949	727	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	727	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-2949	727	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	727	7	2011	2011	NUM
ejpam-2949	727	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	728	1	chapter	chapter	NOUN
ejpam-2949	728	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-2949	728	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	729	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	729	2	94	94	X
ejpam-2949	729	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	729	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	729	5	theil	theil	PROPN
ejpam-2949	729	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	730	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	730	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	730	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	730	4	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	730	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	731	1	north	north	NOUN
ejpam-2949	731	2	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	731	3	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	731	4	publishing	publishing	PROPN
ejpam-2949	731	5	company	company	NOUN
ejpam-2949	731	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	731	7	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
ejpam-2949	731	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	731	9	1958	1958	NUM
ejpam-2949	731	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	732	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	732	2	2nd	2nd	PROPN
ejpam-2949	732	3	edition	edition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	732	4	1961	1961	NUM
ejpam-2949	732	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	732	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	733	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	733	2	95	95	NUM
ejpam-2949	733	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	733	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	733	5	theil	theil	PROPN
ejpam-2949	733	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	734	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	734	2	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	734	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	734	4	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-2949	734	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	735	1	north	north	NOUN
ejpam-2949	735	2	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	735	3	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	735	4	publishing	publishing	PROPN
ejpam-2949	735	5	company	company	NOUN
ejpam-2949	735	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	735	7	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
ejpam-2949	735	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	735	9	1961	1961	NUM
ejpam-2949	735	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	736	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	736	2	second	second	ADJ
ejpam-2949	736	3	revised	revise	VERB
ejpam-2949	736	4	edition	edition	NOUN
ejpam-2949	736	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	736	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	737	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-2949	737	2	57	57	NUM
ejpam-2949	737	3	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	737	4	96	96	NUM
ejpam-2949	737	5	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	737	6	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	737	7	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	737	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	738	1	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	738	2	combinations	combination	NOUN
ejpam-2949	738	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	739	2	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	739	3	elliott	elliott	PROPN
ejpam-2949	739	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	5	c.w.j	c.w.j	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	6	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	739	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	739	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	739	10	timmermann	timmermann	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	12	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	14	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	739	16	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	739	17	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	19	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	20	1	1	NUM
ejpam-2949	739	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	22	handbook	handbook	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	739	24	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	25	24	24	NUM
ejpam-2949	739	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	739	27	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	739	28	135–196	135–196	NUM
ejpam-2949	739	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	740	1	elsevier	elsevier	NOUN
ejpam-2949	740	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	740	3	horth	horth	PROPN
ejpam-2949	740	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	740	5	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	740	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	740	7	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-2949	740	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	741	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	741	2	97	97	NUM
ejpam-2949	741	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	741	4	allan	allan	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	5	timmermann	timmermann	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	741	7	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	8	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	9	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	10	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-2949	741	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	742	1	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-2949	742	2	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-2949	742	3	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ejpam-2949	742	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	742	5	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	742	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	743	1	international	international	ADJ
ejpam-2949	743	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-2949	743	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	743	4	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	743	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	743	6	20(1):15–27	20(1):15–27	NUM
ejpam-2949	743	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	743	8	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-2949	743	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	744	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	744	2	98	98	NUM
ejpam-2949	744	3	]	]	X
ejpam-2949	744	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	744	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	744	6	varian	varian	PROPN
ejpam-2949	744	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	745	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	745	2	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	745	3	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-2949	745	4	to	to	ADP
ejpam-2949	745	5	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-2949	745	6	estate	estate	NOUN
ejpam-2949	745	7	assessment	assessment	NOUN
ejpam-2949	745	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	746	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	746	2	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	3	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	4	fienberg	fienberg	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	746	6	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	7	zellner	zellner	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	746	9	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	746	11	studies	study	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	746	13	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	14	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	746	16	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-2949	746	18	honor	honor	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	746	20	leonard	leonard	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	21	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	22	savage	savage	PROPN
ejpam-2949	746	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	746	24	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-2949	746	25	195–208	195–208	NUM
ejpam-2949	746	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	747	1	north	north	PROPN
ejpam-2949	747	2	holland	holland	PROPN
ejpam-2949	747	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	747	4	amsterdam	amsterdam	PROPN
ejpam-2949	747	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	747	6	1975	1975	NUM
ejpam-2949	747	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	748	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	748	2	99	99	NUM
ejpam-2949	748	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	748	4	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	748	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	748	6	wallis	wallis	PROPN
ejpam-2949	748	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	749	1	combining	combine	VERB
ejpam-2949	749	2	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-2949	749	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	749	4	interval	interval	NOUN
ejpam-2949	749	5	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-2949	749	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	749	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-2949	749	8	modest	modest	ADJ
ejpam-2949	749	9	proposal	proposal	NOUN
ejpam-2949	749	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	750	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-2949	750	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-2949	750	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-2949	750	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	750	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	750	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-2949	750	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	750	8	67(s1):983–994	67(s1):983–994	NUM
ejpam-2949	750	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	750	10	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-2949	750	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	751	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	751	2	100	100	NUM
ejpam-2949	751	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	751	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	751	5	west	west	PROPN
ejpam-2949	751	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	751	7	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	751	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	751	9	harrison	harrison	PROPN
ejpam-2949	751	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	752	1	bayesian	bayesian	NOUN
ejpam-2949	752	2	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-2949	752	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	752	4	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-2949	752	5	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-2949	752	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	753	1	springer	springer	NOUN
ejpam-2949	753	2	verlag	verlag	PROPN
ejpam-2949	753	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	753	4	new	new	PROPN
ejpam-2949	753	5	york	york	PROPN
ejpam-2949	753	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	753	7	1989	1989	NUM
ejpam-2949	753	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	754	1	[	[	X
ejpam-2949	754	2	101	101	X
ejpam-2949	754	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	754	4	p.	p.	NOUN
ejpam-2949	754	5	whittle	whittle	VERB
ejpam-2949	754	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	755	1	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-2949	755	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-2949	755	3	regulation	regulation	NOUN
ejpam-2949	755	4	by	by	ADP
ejpam-2949	755	5	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-2949	755	6	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-2949	755	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	755	8	square	square	NOUN
ejpam-2949	755	9	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-2949	755	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	756	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-2949	756	2	van	van	PROPN
ejpam-2949	756	3	nostrand	nostrand	PROPN
ejpam-2949	756	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	756	5	princeton	princeton	PROPN
ejpam-2949	756	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-2949	756	7	1963	1963	NUM
ejpam-2949	756	8	.	.	PUNCT