id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
ejpam-796	1	1	european	european	PROPN
ejpam-796	1	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	1	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	1	4	pure	pure	ADJ
ejpam-796	1	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	1	6	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	1	7	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
ejpam-796	1	8	vol	vol	NOUN
ejpam-796	1	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	2	1	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	2	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	2	3	no	no	INTJ
ejpam-796	2	4	.	.	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	5	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	2	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	2	7	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	2	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	2	9	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	2	10	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	2	11	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	2	12	issn	issn	PROPN
ejpam-796	2	13	1307	1307	NUM
ejpam-796	2	14	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	2	15	5543	5543	NUM
ejpam-796	2	16	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	2	17	www.ejpam.com	www.ejpam.com	X
ejpam-796	2	18	special	special	ADJ
ejpam-796	2	19	issue	issue	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	20	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	2	21	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	2	22	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	2	24	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	2	25	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	26	dedicated	dedicate	VERB
ejpam-796	2	27	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	2	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	2	29	memory	memory	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	2	31	prof	prof	NOUN
ejpam-796	2	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	3	1	sir	sir	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	2	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	3	w.j	w.j	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	5	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	3	7	modern	modern	ADJ
ejpam-796	3	8	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	3	9	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	3	10	teaching	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	3	11	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	3	12	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	13	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	14	hendry∗	hendry∗	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	3	16	bent	bent	ADJ
ejpam-796	3	17	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	18	economics	economics	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	19	department	department	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	3	21	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	22	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	3	23	abstract	abstract	NOUN
ejpam-796	3	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	4	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	4	2	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	4	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	4	4	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	4	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	4	6	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	4	7	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	4	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	4	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	4	10	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	4	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	4	12	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	4	13	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	4	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	4	15	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	4	16	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	4	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	4	18	elementary	elementary	NOUN
ejpam-796	4	19	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	4	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	4	21	advanced	advanced	ADJ
ejpam-796	4	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	5	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	5	2	aims	aim	NOUN
ejpam-796	5	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	5	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	5	5	enable	enable	VERB
ejpam-796	5	6	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	5	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	5	8	critically	critically	ADV
ejpam-796	5	9	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-796	5	10	published	publish	VERB
ejpam-796	5	11	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	5	12	studies	study	NOUN
ejpam-796	5	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	5	14	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	5	15	undertake	undertake	VERB
ejpam-796	5	16	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	5	17	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	5	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	5	19	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	5	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	6	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	6	2	unified	unified	ADJ
ejpam-796	6	3	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ejpam-796	6	4	framework	framework	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	6	6	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	6	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	6	8	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	6	10	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	6	11	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	6	13	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	14	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	15	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	6	16	inference	inference	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	6	18	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	6	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	6	21	focusing	focus	VERB
ejpam-796	6	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	6	23	developing	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	6	24	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	6	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	6	26	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	6	27	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	6	28	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	6	30	interesting	interesting	ADJ
ejpam-796	6	31	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	6	32	issues	issue	NOUN
ejpam-796	6	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	7	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	7	2	sequence	sequence	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	7	4	increasingly	increasingly	ADV
ejpam-796	7	5	realistic	realistic	ADJ
ejpam-796	7	6	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	7	8	developed	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	7	9	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	7	10	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-796	7	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	7	12	identically	identically	ADV
ejpam-796	7	13	distributed	distribute	VERB
ejpam-796	7	14	binary	binary	ADJ
ejpam-796	7	15	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	16	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	7	17	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	7	18	selecting	select	VERB
ejpam-796	7	19	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-796	7	20	equations	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	21	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	7	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	7	23	face	face	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	7	25	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-796	7	26	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	27	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	7	28	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	7	29	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	7	30	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	7	31	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	7	32	year	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	33	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	7	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	1	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	8	2	mathematics	mathematic	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	3	subject	subject	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	4	classifications	classification	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	6	62e01	62e01	NUM
ejpam-796	8	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	8	62e07	62e07	NUM
ejpam-796	8	9	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	10	words	word	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	8	12	phrases	phrase	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	14	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	15	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	16	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	17	teaching	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	8	18	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	19	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	20	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	21	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	22	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	23	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	24	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	25	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	26	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	27	preface	preface	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	28	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	8	29	david	david	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	30	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	31	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-796	8	32	my	my	PRON
ejpam-796	8	33	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	34	interchanges	interchange	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	35	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	8	36	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	37	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	8	38	involved	involve	VERB
ejpam-796	8	39	disagreements	disagreement	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	40	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	8	41	modeling	model	VERB
ejpam-796	8	42	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	43	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	44	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	45	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	46	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	47	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	48	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	49	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	8	50	stimulus	stimulus	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	51	led	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	8	52	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	8	53	his	his	PRON
ejpam-796	8	54	famous	famous	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	55	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	56	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	8	57	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	8	58	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	59	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	8	60	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	61	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	62	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	8	63	associated	associated	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	64	developments	development	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	65	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	8	66	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	8	67	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	68	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	69	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	8	70	[	[	X
ejpam-796	8	71	20	20	NUM
ejpam-796	8	72	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	73	34	34	NUM
ejpam-796	8	74	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	75	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	76	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	8	77	http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2003/granger-lecture.pdf	http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2003/granger-lecture.pdf	NOUN
ejpam-796	8	78	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	79	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	8	80	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	8	81	[	[	X
ejpam-796	8	82	13	13	NUM
ejpam-796	8	83	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	84	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	85	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	8	86	[	[	X
ejpam-796	8	87	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	8	88	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	89	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	8	90	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	1	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	9	2	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	9	3	already	already	ADV
ejpam-796	9	4	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	9	5	known	know	VERB
ejpam-796	9	6	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	9	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	9	8	his	his	PRON
ejpam-796	9	9	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	10	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	9	11	causality	causality	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	12	[	[	X
ejpam-796	9	13	12	12	NUM
ejpam-796	9	14	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	16	appraised	appraise	VERB
ejpam-796	9	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	9	18	[	[	X
ejpam-796	9	19	26	26	NUM
ejpam-796	9	20	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	9	23	distinguished	distinguish	VERB
ejpam-796	9	24	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	9	25	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	9	27	[	[	X
ejpam-796	9	28	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	9	29	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	9	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	9	33	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	9	34	re	re	VERB
ejpam-796	9	35	-	-	VERB
ejpam-796	9	36	emphasizing	emphasize	VERB
ejpam-796	9	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	9	38	dangers	danger	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	9	40	applying	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	9	41	static	static	ADJ
ejpam-796	9	42	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	43	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	44	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	9	45	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ejpam-796	9	46	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	47	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	48	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	9	49	[	[	X
ejpam-796	9	50	16	16	NUM
ejpam-796	9	51	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	53	following	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	9	54	pioneering	pioneer	VERB
ejpam-796	9	55	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	9	56	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	9	57	[	[	X
ejpam-796	9	58	38	38	NUM
ejpam-796	9	59	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	60	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	9	61	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	10	1	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	10	2	my	my	PRON
ejpam-796	10	3	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	10	4	visit	visit	NOUN
ejpam-796	10	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	10	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	10	7	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	10	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	10	9	california	california	PROPN
ejpam-796	10	10	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	10	11	san	san	PROPN
ejpam-796	10	12	diego	diego	PROPN
ejpam-796	10	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	10	14	1975	1975	NUM
ejpam-796	10	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	10	16	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	10	17	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	10	18	had	have	AUX
ejpam-796	10	19	moved	move	VERB
ejpam-796	10	20	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	10	21	1974	1974	NUM
ejpam-796	10	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	10	23	our	our	PRON
ejpam-796	10	24	friendship	friendship	NOUN
ejpam-796	10	25	blossomed	blossom	VERB
ejpam-796	10	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	10	27	built	build	VERB
ejpam-796	10	28	around	around	ADP
ejpam-796	10	29	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	10	30	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-796	10	31	∗corresponding	∗corresponding	NOUN
ejpam-796	10	32	author	author	NOUN
ejpam-796	10	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	1	email	email	NOUN
ejpam-796	11	2	address	address	NOUN
ejpam-796	11	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	4	david.hendry@nuffield.ox.ac.uk	david.hendry@nuffield.ox.ac.uk	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	6	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	7	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	9	bent.nielsen@nuffield.ox.ac.uk	bent.nielsen@nuffield.ox.ac.uk	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	11	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	12	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	11	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	11	14	http://www.ejpam.com	http://www.ejpam.com	X
ejpam-796	12	1	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	12	2	c⃝	c⃝	NOUN
ejpam-796	12	3	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	12	4	ejpam	ejpam	VERB
ejpam-796	12	5	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	12	6	rights	right	NOUN
ejpam-796	12	7	reserved	reserve	VERB
ejpam-796	12	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	13	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	13	2	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	13	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	13	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	13	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	13	6	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	13	7	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	13	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	14	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	14	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	14	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	14	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	14	15	348	348	NUM
ejpam-796	14	16	desire	desire	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	14	18	improve	improve	VERB
ejpam-796	14	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	14	20	quality	quality	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	14	22	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	14	23	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	24	building	building	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	26	especially	especially	ADV
ejpam-796	14	27	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	14	28	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	14	29	better	well	ADJ
ejpam-796	14	30	match	match	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	31	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	14	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	14	33	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	14	34	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	35	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	36	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	14	37	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-796	14	38	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	39	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	14	40	doing	do	VERB
ejpam-796	14	41	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	14	42	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	14	43	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	14	44	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	14	45	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	14	46	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	14	47	most	most	ADV
ejpam-796	14	48	successful	successful	ADJ
ejpam-796	14	49	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	50	programmes	programme	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	51	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	14	52	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	54	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	14	55	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	14	56	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	14	57	lasting	last	VERB
ejpam-796	14	58	contribution	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	59	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	60	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	14	61	formal	formal	ADJ
ejpam-796	14	62	obituaries	obituary	NOUN
ejpam-796	14	63	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	64	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	14	65	[	[	X
ejpam-796	14	66	29	29	NUM
ejpam-796	14	67	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	68	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	69	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	14	70	[	[	X
ejpam-796	14	71	28	28	NUM
ejpam-796	14	72	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	14	73	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	14	74	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	15	1	my	my	PRON
ejpam-796	15	2	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	15	3	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	15	4	focused	focus	VERB
ejpam-796	15	5	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	15	6	implementing	implement	VERB
ejpam-796	15	7	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	15	8	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	15	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	15	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	15	11	led	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	15	12	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	15	13	our	our	PRON
ejpam-796	15	14	only	only	ADJ
ejpam-796	15	15	joint	joint	ADJ
ejpam-796	15	16	publication	publication	NOUN
ejpam-796	15	17	[	[	X
ejpam-796	15	18	14	14	NUM
ejpam-796	15	19	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	15	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	15	21	discussing	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	15	22	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	15	23	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	15	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	1	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	16	2	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	16	3	kept	keep	VERB
ejpam-796	16	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	16	5	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	16	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	16	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	9	under	under	ADP
ejpam-796	16	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	16	11	spotlight	spotlight	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	12	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	16	13	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	16	14	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	16	15	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	16	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	16	17	fashion	fashion	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	18	[	[	X
ejpam-796	16	19	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	16	20	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	16	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	22	17	17	NUM
ejpam-796	16	23	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	25	another	another	DET
ejpam-796	16	26	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	27	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	16	28	had	have	VERB
ejpam-796	16	29	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	16	30	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-796	16	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	32	including	include	VERB
ejpam-796	16	33	our	our	PRON
ejpam-796	16	34	accidentally	accidentally	ADV
ejpam-796	16	35	adopting	adopt	VERB
ejpam-796	16	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	16	37	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	16	38	title	title	NOUN
ejpam-796	16	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	16	40	[	[	X
ejpam-796	16	41	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	16	42	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	16	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	16	44	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	17	2	addition	addition	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	3	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	17	4	his	his	PRON
ejpam-796	17	5	astonishing	astonishing	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	6	creativity	creativity	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	17	8	innovative	innovative	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	9	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	11	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	17	12	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	17	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	17	14	master	master	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	17	16	written	write	VERB
ejpam-796	17	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	17	18	presentational	presentational	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	19	clarity	clarity	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	21	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	17	22	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	17	23	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	17	24	shared	share	VERB
ejpam-796	17	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	17	26	desire	desire	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	27	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	17	28	communicate	communicate	VERB
ejpam-796	17	29	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	17	30	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	17	31	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	33	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	17	34	supervised	supervise	VERB
ejpam-796	17	35	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	17	36	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	37	number	number	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	38	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	17	39	successful	successful	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	40	doctoral	doctoral	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	41	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	43	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	17	44	colleagues	colleague	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	45	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	17	46	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	17	47	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	48	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	17	49	wide	wide	ADJ
ejpam-796	17	50	basis	basis	NOUN
ejpam-796	17	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	18	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	2	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	3	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	18	4	follows	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	18	5	develops	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	18	6	modeling	model	VERB
ejpam-796	18	7	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	18	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	10	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	11	domain	domain	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	18	13	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	18	14	major	major	ADJ
ejpam-796	18	15	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	18	17	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	18	18	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	18	19	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	18	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	18	21	teach	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	18	22	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	23	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	18	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	25	next	next	ADJ
ejpam-796	18	26	generation	generation	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	27	could	could	AUX
ejpam-796	18	28	further	far	ADV
ejpam-796	18	29	enhance	enhance	VERB
ejpam-796	18	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	31	quality	quality	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	32	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	18	33	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	18	34	econometrics	econometrics	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	35	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	18	36	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	18	37	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	18	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	39	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	18	40	pressing	pressing	ADJ
ejpam-796	18	41	problems	problem	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	42	facing	face	VERB
ejpam-796	18	43	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	18	44	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-796	18	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	19	1	1	1	X
ejpam-796	19	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	19	3	introduction	introduction	NOUN
ejpam-796	19	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	19	5	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	19	6	six	six	NUM
ejpam-796	19	7	reasons	reason	NOUN
ejpam-796	19	8	why	why	SCONJ
ejpam-796	19	9	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	19	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	19	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	19	12	good	good	ADJ
ejpam-796	19	13	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	19	14	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	19	15	review	review	VERB
ejpam-796	19	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	19	17	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	19	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	19	19	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	19	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	20	1	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	20	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	20	3	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-796	20	4	quarter	quarter	NOUN
ejpam-796	20	5	century	century	NOUN
ejpam-796	20	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	20	7	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	20	8	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	20	9	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	20	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	20	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	20	12	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	20	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	20	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	1	massive	massive	ADJ
ejpam-796	21	2	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	21	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	21	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	21	5	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ejpam-796	21	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	7	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	21	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	21	10	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	21	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	21	12	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	21	13	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	15	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	21	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	21	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	22	1	huge	huge	ADJ
ejpam-796	22	2	improvements	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-796	22	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	22	4	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	22	5	hardware	hardware	NOUN
ejpam-796	22	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	22	7	computational	computational	ADJ
ejpam-796	22	8	methods;†	methods;†	NOUN
ejpam-796	22	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	22	10	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	22	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	22	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	1	improvements	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-796	23	2	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	23	3	software	software	NOUN
ejpam-796	23	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	5	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	23	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	23	8	graphics	graphic	NOUN
ejpam-796	23	9	capabilities	capability	NOUN
ejpam-796	23	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	11	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	23	12	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	23	13	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	23	14	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	23	15	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-796	23	16	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	23	17	impressive	impressive	ADJ
ejpam-796	23	18	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	20	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	23	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	23	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	1	considerable	considerable	ADJ
ejpam-796	24	2	advances	advance	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	24	4	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	5	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	7	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	24	8	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
ejpam-796	24	9	derivations	derivation	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	10	written	write	VERB
ejpam-796	24	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	24	12	blackboards	blackboard	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	14	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	24	15	overheads	overhead	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	16	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	24	17	live	live	VERB
ejpam-796	24	18	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	19	projection	projection	NOUN
ejpam-796	24	20	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	22	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	24	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	24	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	1	few	few	ADJ
ejpam-796	25	2	discussions	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	25	4	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	6	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	25	7	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	25	9	econometrics	econometrics	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	10	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-796	25	11	[	[	X
ejpam-796	25	12	18	18	NUM
ejpam-796	25	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	14	proposed	propose	VERB
ejpam-796	25	15	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	25	16	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	17	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	25	18	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	25	19	pcgive	pcgive	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	20	[	[	X
ejpam-796	25	21	21	21	NUM
ejpam-796	25	22	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	24	describe	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	25	25	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	25	26	history	history	NOUN
ejpam-796	25	27	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	28	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	29	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	30	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	25	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	25	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	26	1	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-796	26	2	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	26	3	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	26	4	teaching	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	26	5	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	27	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	27	2	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	27	3	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-796	27	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	27	5	27	27	NUM
ejpam-796	27	6	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	27	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	27	8	emphasizing	emphasize	VERB
ejpam-796	27	9	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	27	10	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	27	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	28	2	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-796	28	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	28	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	28	5	focus	focus	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	28	7	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	28	8	paper	paper	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	10	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	28	11	every	every	DET
ejpam-796	28	12	student	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	28	14	taught	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	28	15	while	while	SCONJ
ejpam-796	28	16	having	have	VERB
ejpam-796	28	17	continuous	continuous	ADJ
ejpam-796	28	18	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	19	access	access	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	20	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	28	21	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	28	22	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	23	software	software	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	25	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	28	26	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	28	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	28	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	28	29	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	28	30	[	[	X
ejpam-796	28	31	22	22	NUM
ejpam-796	28	32	]	]	X
ejpam-796	28	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	34	within	within	ADP
ejpam-796	28	35	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	28	36	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	28	38	[	[	X
ejpam-796	28	39	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	28	40	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	28	41	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	28	42	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	29	1	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	29	2	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	29	3	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	29	4	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	29	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	29	6	econometrics	econometrics	NOUN
ejpam-796	29	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	29	8	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-796	29	9	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	29	10	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	29	11	levels	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	29	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	29	13	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	29	14	elementary	elementary	ADJ
ejpam-796	29	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	29	16	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	29	17	intermediate	intermediate	ADJ
ejpam-796	29	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	29	19	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	29	20	advanced	advanced	ADJ
ejpam-796	29	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	30	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	30	2	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	30	3	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	30	4	cover	cover	VERB
ejpam-796	30	5	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	30	6	those	those	DET
ejpam-796	30	7	aspects	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	30	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	30	10	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	30	11	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	30	12	briefly	briefly	ADV
ejpam-796	30	13	describe	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	30	14	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	30	15	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	30	16	teach	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	30	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	30	18	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	30	19	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	20	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	30	21	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	30	23	noting	note	VERB
ejpam-796	30	24	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	30	25	tricks	trick	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	26	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	30	27	help	help	AUX
ejpam-796	30	28	retain	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	30	29	student	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	30	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	30	32	before	before	ADP
ejpam-796	30	33	moving	move	VERB
ejpam-796	30	34	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	30	35	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	30	36	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	37	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	38	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	30	39	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	30	40	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	30	41	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	30	42	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	30	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	1	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	31	2	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	3	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	31	4	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	31	5	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	31	6	communicated	communicate	VERB
ejpam-796	31	7	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	31	8	less	less	ADV
ejpam-796	31	9	mathematically	mathematically	ADV
ejpam-796	31	10	oriented	orient	VERB
ejpam-796	31	11	undergraduates	undergraduate	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	13	enabling	enable	VERB
ejpam-796	31	14	them	they	PRON
ejpam-796	31	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	31	16	†these	†these	PROPN
ejpam-796	31	17	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	31	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	31	20	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	22	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	31	23	ongoing	ongoing	ADJ
ejpam-796	31	24	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	31	25	hand	hand	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	26	calculations	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	27	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	31	28	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	31	29	start	start	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	31	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	31	32	1930s	1930	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	34	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	31	35	punched	punched	ADJ
ejpam-796	31	36	card	card	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	37	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	31	38	tapefed	tapefed	ADJ
ejpam-796	31	39	mainframe	mainframe	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	40	computers	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	42	workstations	workstation	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	31	44	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	31	45	powerful	powerful	ADJ
ejpam-796	31	46	pcs	pc	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	47	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	31	48	laptops	laptop	NOUN
ejpam-796	31	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	32	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	32	2	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	32	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	32	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	32	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	32	6	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	32	7	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	32	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	33	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	33	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	33	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	33	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	33	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	33	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	33	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	33	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	33	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	33	15	349	349	NUM
ejpam-796	33	16	progress	progress	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	33	18	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	33	19	year	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	20	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	33	21	introducing	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	33	22	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-796	33	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	24	identically	identically	ADV
ejpam-796	33	25	distributed	distribute	VERB
ejpam-796	33	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	27	iid	iid	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	33	29	binary	binary	ADJ
ejpam-796	33	30	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	31	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	33	32	selecting	select	VERB
ejpam-796	33	33	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-796	33	34	equations	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	35	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	33	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	33	37	face	face	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	38	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	33	39	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-796	33	40	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	33	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	1	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	34	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	34	3	outset	outset	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	5	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	34	6	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-796	34	7	no	no	DET
ejpam-796	34	8	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	34	10	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	34	11	elementary	elementary	ADJ
ejpam-796	34	12	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	34	13	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	15	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	34	16	first	first	ADV
ejpam-796	34	17	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	34	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	34	19	basic	basic	ADJ
ejpam-796	34	20	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	34	22	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	23	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	24	relate	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	34	25	those	those	PRON
ejpam-796	34	26	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	34	27	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	29	focusing	focus	VERB
ejpam-796	34	30	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	34	31	location	location	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	33	spread	spread	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	34	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	34	35	shape	shape	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	36	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	37	turn	turn	VERB
ejpam-796	34	38	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	34	39	elementary	elementary	ADJ
ejpam-796	34	40	notions	notion	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	41	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	34	42	randomness	randomness	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	43	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	34	44	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	34	45	apply	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	34	46	these	these	DET
ejpam-796	34	47	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	48	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	34	49	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	50	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	34	51	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	52	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	34	53	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	34	54	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	34	55	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	35	2	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	35	3	six	six	NUM
ejpam-796	35	4	central	central	ADJ
ejpam-796	35	5	themes	theme	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	7	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	8	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	9	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	10	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	11	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	12	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	13	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	14	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	15	economically	economically	ADV
ejpam-796	35	16	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	35	17	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	35	18	applications	application	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	19	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	20	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	21	mastery	mastery	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	35	23	software	software	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	24	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	35	25	implement	implement	VERB
ejpam-796	35	26	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	35	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	35	28	procedures	procedure	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	29	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	30	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	31	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	35	32	emphasis	emphasis	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	33	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	35	34	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	35	35	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	35	37	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	38	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	39	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	35	40	rigorous	rigorous	ADJ
ejpam-796	35	41	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	42	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	35	43	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	35	44	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	45	findings	finding	NOUN
ejpam-796	35	46	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	35	47	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	1	derivations	derivation	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	2	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	36	3	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	36	4	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	36	5	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	36	6	necessary	necessary	ADJ
ejpam-796	36	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	36	8	clarify	clarify	VERB
ejpam-796	36	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	36	10	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	36	12	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	14	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	16	formulations	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	18	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	36	19	findings	finding	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	36	22	interpretations	interpretation	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	24	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	36	25	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	36	26	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
ejpam-796	36	27	upskill	upskill	ADJ
ejpam-796	36	28	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	29	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-796	36	30	mathematical	mathematical	ADJ
ejpam-796	36	31	competence	competence	NOUN
ejpam-796	36	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	37	1	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	37	2	adopting	adopt	VERB
ejpam-796	37	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	37	4	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-796	37	5	framework	framework	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	37	7	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	37	9	once	once	SCONJ
ejpam-796	37	10	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	37	11	fundamental	fundamental	ADJ
ejpam-796	37	12	idea	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	37	14	fully	fully	ADV
ejpam-796	37	15	understood	understand	VERB
ejpam-796	37	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	37	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	37	18	simplest	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	37	19	iid	iid	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	20	binary	binary	ADJ
ejpam-796	37	21	setting	setting	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	37	23	generalizations	generalization	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	24	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	37	25	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	37	26	complicated	complicated	ADJ
ejpam-796	37	27	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	37	29	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	30	generation	generation	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	31	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-796	37	32	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	37	33	dgps	dgps	PROPN
ejpam-796	37	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	37	35	follow	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	37	36	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	37	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	38	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	38	2	similar	similar	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	3	remark	remark	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	4	applies	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	38	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	38	6	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	7	procedures	procedure	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	38	9	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	38	10	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	38	11	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	12	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	13	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	14	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	38	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	38	16	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	38	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	38	19	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	38	21	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	38	22	though	though	SCONJ
ejpam-796	38	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	38	24	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	25	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	38	26	alter	alter	VERB
ejpam-796	38	27	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	38	28	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	38	29	complicated	complicated	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	38	31	realistic	realistic	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	32	dgps	dgps	PROPN
ejpam-796	38	33	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	38	34	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	35	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	38	37	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	38	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	39	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	38	40	features	feature	NOUN
ejpam-796	38	41	etc	etc	X
ejpam-796	38	42	.	.	X
ejpam-796	39	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	39	2	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	39	3	include	include	VERB
ejpam-796	39	4	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	39	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	39	6	means	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	39	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	39	8	variances	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	39	9	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	39	10	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	39	11	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	39	12	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
ejpam-796	39	13	trends	trend	NOUN
ejpam-796	39	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	39	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	40	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	40	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	40	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	40	4	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	40	5	sections	section	NOUN
ejpam-796	40	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	40	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	40	8	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	40	9	proceed	proceed	VERB
ejpam-796	40	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	40	11	tandem	tandem	PROPN
ejpam-796	40	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	41	1	once	once	ADV
ejpam-796	41	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	41	3	given	give	VERB
ejpam-796	41	4	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	41	5	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	41	6	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	41	7	idea	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	8	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	41	9	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	41	10	introduced	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	41	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	41	12	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	41	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	41	14	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	41	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	41	16	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	41	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	41	18	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	41	19	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	41	20	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	41	21	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	22	class	class	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	23	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	41	24	every	every	DET
ejpam-796	41	25	student	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	26	has	have	VERB
ejpam-796	41	27	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	41	28	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	41	29	workstation	workstation	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	30	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	41	31	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	32	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	41	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	41	34	database	database	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	41	36	software	software	NOUN
ejpam-796	41	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	42	1	sections	section	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	42	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	42	4	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	42	5	describe	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	42	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	42	7	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	42	8	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	9	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	42	10	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	42	12	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	13	respectively	respectively	ADV
ejpam-796	42	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	42	15	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	42	16	§	§	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	17	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	42	18	discusses	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	42	19	regression	regression	VERB
ejpam-796	42	20	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	21	graphically	graphically	ADV
ejpam-796	42	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	42	23	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	42	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	42	25	generic	generic	ADJ
ejpam-796	42	26	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	42	27	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	28	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	42	29	fitting	fitting	ADJ
ejpam-796	42	30	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	42	31	tool	tool	NOUN
ejpam-796	42	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	1	those	those	PRON
ejpam-796	43	2	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	43	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	43	4	scene	scene	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	43	6	introducing	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	43	7	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	43	8	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	43	10	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	43	12	§	§	PROPN
ejpam-796	43	13	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	43	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	15	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	43	16	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	43	17	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-796	43	18	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	43	19	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	20	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	43	21	§	§	PROPN
ejpam-796	43	22	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	43	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	43	25	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	26	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	27	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	43	28	§	§	PROPN
ejpam-796	43	29	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	43	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	31	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	32	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	43	33	notes	note	VERB
ejpam-796	43	34	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	43	35	implications	implication	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	36	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	43	37	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	38	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	39	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	43	40	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-796	43	41	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	43	42	great	great	ADJ
ejpam-796	43	43	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-796	43	44	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	43	45	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	43	46	§	§	PRON
ejpam-796	43	47	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	43	48	concludes	conclude	VERB
ejpam-796	43	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	44	1	2	2	X
ejpam-796	44	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	44	3	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	4	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	44	5	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	44	7	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	44	8	elementary	elementary	ADJ
ejpam-796	44	9	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	44	10	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	44	12	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	44	13	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-796	44	14	binary	binary	ADJ
ejpam-796	44	15	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	44	17	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	44	18	bernoulli	bernoulli	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	19	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	20	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	44	21	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-796	44	22	draws	draw	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	44	24	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	44	25	sex	sex	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	44	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	44	28	child	child	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	29	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	44	30	birth	birth	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	31	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	44	32	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	44	33	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-796	44	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	45	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	45	2	allows	allow	VERB
ejpam-796	45	3	us	we	PRON
ejpam-796	45	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	45	5	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	45	6	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	7	versus	versus	ADP
ejpam-796	45	8	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	9	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	45	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	45	12	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-796	45	13	codify	codify	VERB
ejpam-796	45	14	these	these	DET
ejpam-796	45	15	notions	notion	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	45	17	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	18	functions	function	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	45	20	densities	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	45	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	1	next	next	ADV
ejpam-796	46	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	46	4	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-796	46	5	inference	inference	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	46	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	46	8	bernoulli	bernoulli	PROPN
ejpam-796	46	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	11	discussing	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	46	12	expectations	expectation	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	46	14	variances	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	16	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	46	17	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	46	18	elementary	elementary	ADJ
ejpam-796	46	19	asymptotic	asymptotic	ADJ
ejpam-796	46	20	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	46	23	simplest	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	46	24	law	law	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	46	26	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	46	27	numbers	number	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	28	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	46	29	central	central	ADJ
ejpam-796	46	30	limit	limit	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	31	theorem	theorem	VERB
ejpam-796	46	32	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	46	33	iid	iid	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	34	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	46	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	46	37	inference	inference	NOUN
ejpam-796	46	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	47	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	47	2	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	47	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	47	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	47	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	47	6	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	47	7	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	47	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	48	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	48	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	48	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	48	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	48	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	48	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	48	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	48	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	48	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	48	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	48	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	48	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	48	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	48	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	48	15	350	350	NUM
ejpam-796	49	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	49	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	49	3	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	49	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	49	5	small	small	ADJ
ejpam-796	49	6	generalization	generalization	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	49	8	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-796	49	9	continuous	continuous	ADJ
ejpam-796	49	10	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	49	12	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	49	13	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	49	14	use	use	VERB
ejpam-796	49	15	wages	wage	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	49	17	wi	wi	PROPN
ejpam-796	49	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	49	19	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	49	20	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	49	21	cross	cross	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	22	section	section	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	23	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	49	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	49	25	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-796	49	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	50	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	50	2	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	50	3	thereof	thereof	ADV
ejpam-796	50	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	50	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	50	6	simplest	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	50	7	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	50	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	50	9	merely	merely	ADV
ejpam-796	50	10	wi	wi	PROPN
ejpam-796	50	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	50	12	β	β	PROPN
ejpam-796	51	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	51	2	ui	ui	PROPN
ejpam-796	51	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	51	4	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	51	5	β	β	PROPN
ejpam-796	51	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	51	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	51	8	mean	mean	ADJ
ejpam-796	51	9	wage	wage	NOUN
ejpam-796	51	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	51	11	ui	ui	NOUN
ejpam-796	51	12	characterizes	characterize	VERB
ejpam-796	51	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	51	14	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	51	15	around	around	ADP
ejpam-796	51	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	51	17	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	51	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	52	1	having	having	AUX
ejpam-796	52	2	established	establish	VERB
ejpam-796	52	3	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	52	4	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	52	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	52	6	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	52	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	52	8	treated	treat	VERB
ejpam-796	52	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	52	10	precisely	precisely	ADV
ejpam-796	52	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	52	12	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	52	13	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	52	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	52	15	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	52	16	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	52	17	already	already	ADV
ejpam-796	52	18	familiar	familiar	ADJ
ejpam-796	52	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	53	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	53	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	53	3	building	build	VERB
ejpam-796	53	4	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	53	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	53	6	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	53	7	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	53	9	means	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	10	leads	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	53	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	53	12	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	53	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	53	15	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-796	53	16	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	53	17	logit	logit	VERB
ejpam-796	53	18	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	53	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	53	21	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	53	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	53	23	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	53	24	bivariate	bivariate	VERB
ejpam-796	53	25	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	26	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	53	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	54	1	2.1	2.1	NUM
ejpam-796	54	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	55	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	55	2	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	3	ahead	ahead	ADV
ejpam-796	55	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	55	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	55	6	lectures	lecture	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	55	8	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	55	10	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	55	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	55	12	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	55	13	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-796	55	14	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	55	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	55	17	fulton	fulton	PROPN
ejpam-796	55	18	fish	fish	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	19	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	55	20	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	21	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	55	22	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	55	23	[	[	X
ejpam-796	55	24	11	11	NUM
ejpam-796	55	25	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	55	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	56	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	56	2	natural	natural	ADJ
ejpam-796	56	3	next	next	ADJ
ejpam-796	56	4	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	56	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	56	7	model	model	VERB
ejpam-796	56	8	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	56	10	quantity	quantity	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	11	jointly	jointly	ADV
ejpam-796	56	12	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	56	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	56	14	system	system	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	56	16	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	56	17	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	56	18	simultaneity	simultaneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	56	20	identification	identification	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	56	22	resolved	resolve	VERB
ejpam-796	56	23	using	using	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	24	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	56	25	instruments	instrument	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	26	dummies	dummy	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	27	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	56	28	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	56	29	structural	structural	ADJ
ejpam-796	56	30	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	31	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	56	32	induced	induce	VERB
ejpam-796	56	33	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	56	34	stormy	stormy	ADJ
ejpam-796	56	35	weather	weather	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	36	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	56	37	sea	sea	NOUN
ejpam-796	56	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	57	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	57	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	57	3	system	system	NOUN
ejpam-796	57	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	57	5	over	over	ADV
ejpam-796	57	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	57	7	identified	identify	VERB
ejpam-796	57	8	instrumental	instrumental	ADJ
ejpam-796	57	9	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	57	10	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	57	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	57	12	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-796	57	13	reduced	reduce	VERB
ejpam-796	57	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	57	15	rank	rank	NOUN
ejpam-796	57	16	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	57	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	58	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	58	2	makes	make	VERB
ejpam-796	58	3	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	58	4	easy	easy	ADJ
ejpam-796	58	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	58	6	move	move	VERB
ejpam-796	58	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	58	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	58	9	unit	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	10	roots	root	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	58	12	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	58	13	system	system	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	14	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	58	16	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	58	18	picking	pick	VERB
ejpam-796	58	19	up	up	ADP
ejpam-796	58	20	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	21	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	22	issues	issue	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	23	en	en	ADP
ejpam-796	58	24	route	route	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	58	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	58	27	illustrating	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	58	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	58	29	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	30	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	58	31	monte	monte	PROPN
ejpam-796	58	32	carlo	carlo	PROPN
ejpam-796	58	33	simulation	simulation	PROPN
ejpam-796	58	34	experiments	experiment	NOUN
ejpam-796	58	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	59	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	59	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	59	3	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	59	4	topic	topic	NOUN
ejpam-796	59	5	segues	segue	VERB
ejpam-796	59	6	smoothly	smoothly	ADV
ejpam-796	59	7	into	into	ADP
ejpam-796	59	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	59	9	next	next	ADJ
ejpam-796	59	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	60	1	3	3	X
ejpam-796	60	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	60	3	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	60	4	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	60	5	steps	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	60	6	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
ejpam-796	60	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	60	8	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	60	9	teach	teach	VERB
ejpam-796	60	10	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	60	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	60	12	pcgive	pcgive	VERB
ejpam-796	60	13	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	60	14	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	60	15	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	60	16	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	60	17	conduct	conduct	VERB
ejpam-796	60	18	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	60	19	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	60	20	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	60	21	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-796	60	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	61	1	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	61	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	61	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	61	4	focus	focus	VERB
ejpam-796	61	5	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	61	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	61	7	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	8	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	61	9	class	class	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	10	material	material	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	61	12	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	61	13	moves	move	VERB
ejpam-796	61	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	61	15	parallel	parallel	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	61	17	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	61	18	analyzes	analyze	VERB
ejpam-796	61	19	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	61	20	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	21	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	61	22	year	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	61	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	62	2	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	62	3	collected	collect	VERB
ejpam-796	62	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	62	5	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	6	databank	databank	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	62	8	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	9	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	10	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	11	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	12	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	62	13	1875–2000	1875–2000	NUM
ejpam-796	62	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	15	available	available	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	16	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	62	17	http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8352.html	http://press.princeton.edu/titles/8352.html	PROPN
ejpam-796	62	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	62	21	offer	offer	VERB
ejpam-796	62	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	23	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	25	choice	choice	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	62	27	modeling	model	VERB
ejpam-796	62	28	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	62	29	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	62	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	62	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	32	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	33	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	35	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	36	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	62	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	38	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	39	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	40	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	41	denoted	denote	VERB
ejpam-796	62	42	ur	ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	43	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	44	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	45	gross	gross	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	46	domestic	domestic	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	47	product	product	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	48	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	49	g	g	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	51	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	62	52	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	62	53	lower	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	54	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	55	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	56	letter	letter	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	57	denotes	denote	VERB
ejpam-796	62	58	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	59	log	log	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	60	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	62	61	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	62	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	63	capital	capital	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	64	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	65	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	66	price	price	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	67	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	68	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	69	∆p	∆p	PROPN
ejpam-796	62	70	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	71	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	62	72	p	p	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	73	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	62	74	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	62	75	implicit	implicit	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	76	deflator	deflator	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	77	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	62	78	g	g	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	79	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	80	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	81	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	62	82	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	62	83	wages	wage	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	84	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	85	w	w	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	86	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	62	87	p	p	NOUN
ejpam-796	62	88	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	62	89	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	63	2	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-796	63	3	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	4	chose	choose	VERB
ejpam-796	63	5	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	63	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	7	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	63	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	63	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	63	10	classroom	classroom	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	12	wide	wide	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	13	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	63	15	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	16	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	17	theories	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	63	19	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	20	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	63	21	around	around	ADP
ejpam-796	63	22	supply	supply	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	23	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	63	24	demand	demand	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	25	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	63	26	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	63	27	factor	factor	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	63	29	production	production	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	30	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	31	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	63	32	replete	replete	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	33	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	63	34	ideas	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	35	about	about	ADP
ejpam-796	63	36	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	37	too	too	ADV
ejpam-796	63	38	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	39	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	40	wages	wage	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	41	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	43	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	44	lack	lack	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	45	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	63	46	demand	demand	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	47	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	63	48	labour	labour	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	49	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	51	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	52	technological	technological	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	53	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	54	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	55	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	56	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	57	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	58	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	59	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	60	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	61	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	62	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	63	im)migration	im)migration	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	64	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	65	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	66	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	67	trade	trade	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	68	union	union	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	69	power	power	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	70	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	71	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	72	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	73	overly	overly	ADV
ejpam-796	63	74	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	75	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	76	benefits	benefit	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	77	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	78	etc.–as	etc.–as	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	79	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	63	80	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	63	81	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	63	82	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	63	83	institutions	institution	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	84	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	85	including	include	VERB
ejpam-796	63	86	companies	company	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	87	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	63	88	trade	trade	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	89	unions	union	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	90	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	63	91	governments	government	NOUN
ejpam-796	63	92	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	64	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	64	2	advantage	advantage	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	64	4	such	such	DET
ejpam-796	64	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	64	6	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	64	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	64	8	run	run	VERB
ejpam-796	64	9	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	10	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	64	12	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	64	13	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	64	14	vague	vague	ADJ
ejpam-796	64	15	claims	claim	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	16	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	64	17	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	64	18	rebutted	rebut	VERB
ejpam-796	64	19	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	64	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	64	21	sole	sole	ADJ
ejpam-796	64	22	explanation	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	64	24	albeit	albeit	SCONJ
ejpam-796	64	25	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	64	26	one	one	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	27	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	64	28	never	never	ADV
ejpam-796	64	29	refute	refute	VERB
ejpam-796	64	30	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	64	31	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	64	32	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	64	33	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	64	34	part	part	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	64	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	64	37	story	story	NOUN
ejpam-796	64	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	65	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	65	2	next	next	ADJ
ejpam-796	65	3	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	65	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	65	6	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	65	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	65	8	measurement	measurement	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	65	10	sources	source	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	65	12	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	13	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	65	14	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	65	16	working	work	VERB
ejpam-796	65	17	population	population	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	65	19	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	65	20	get	get	VERB
ejpam-796	65	21	everyone	everyone	PRON
ejpam-796	65	22	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	65	23	graph	graph	VERB
ejpam-796	65	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	65	25	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	65	27	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	65	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	65	29	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	65	30	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	65	31	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	32	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	65	33	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	65	34	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	65	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	66	1	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	66	2	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	66	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	67	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	67	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	67	3	essential	essential	ADJ
ejpam-796	67	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	67	5	carefully	carefully	ADV
ejpam-796	67	6	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	67	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	67	8	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	67	10	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	67	12	considerable	considerable	ADJ
ejpam-796	67	13	detail	detail	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	67	15	covering	cover	VERB
ejpam-796	67	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	67	17	meaning	meaning	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	67	19	axes	axis	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	67	21	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	67	22	units	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	67	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	67	25	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	67	26	data	data	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	27	transforms	transform	VERB
ejpam-796	67	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	67	29	especially	especially	ADV
ejpam-796	67	30	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	67	31	roles	role	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	67	33	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	67	35	logs	log	NOUN
ejpam-796	67	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	1	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	68	2	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	68	3	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	68	4	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	68	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	68	6	salient	salient	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	7	features	feature	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	9	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	68	10	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	68	11	major	major	ADJ
ejpam-796	68	12	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	14	cycles	cycle	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	16	trends	trend	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	68	18	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	20	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	68	21	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	68	22	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	68	23	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	68	24	notion	notion	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	68	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	68	27	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	68	29	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	68	30	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	31	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	68	33	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	68	34	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	68	35	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	68	36	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	68	37	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	68	38	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	68	39	liked	like	VERB
ejpam-796	68	40	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	69	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	69	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	69	3	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	69	4	easy	easy	ADJ
ejpam-796	69	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	69	6	relate	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	69	7	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	69	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	69	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	69	10	student	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	69	11	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-796	69	12	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	69	13	life	life	NOUN
ejpam-796	69	14	prospects	prospect	NOUN
ejpam-796	69	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	69	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	69	17	those	those	PRON
ejpam-796	69	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	69	19	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	69	20	fellow	fellow	ADJ
ejpam-796	69	21	citizens	citizen	NOUN
ejpam-796	69	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	70	1	everyone	everyone	PRON
ejpam-796	70	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	70	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	70	4	class	class	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	70	6	made	make	VERB
ejpam-796	70	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	70	8	make	make	VERB
ejpam-796	70	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	70	10	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-796	70	11	comment	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	70	13	turn	turn	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	14	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	70	15	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	70	16	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	70	17	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	70	18	about	about	ADP
ejpam-796	70	19	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	70	20	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	70	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	70	23	graph	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	70	25	every	every	DET
ejpam-796	70	26	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	70	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	71	1	neverthed	neverthed	PROPN
ejpam-796	71	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	72	1	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	72	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	72	3	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	72	4	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	72	5	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	72	6	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	72	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	73	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	73	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	73	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	73	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	73	15	351	351	NUM
ejpam-796	73	16	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	73	17	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	73	18	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	73	19	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	73	20	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	73	21	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	73	22	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	73	23	0.025	0.025	NUM
ejpam-796	73	24	0.050	0.050	NUM
ejpam-796	73	25	0.075	0.075	NUM
ejpam-796	73	26	0.100	0.100	NUM
ejpam-796	73	27	0.125	0.125	NUM
ejpam-796	73	28	0.150	0.150	NUM
ejpam-796	73	29	ur	ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	31	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	32	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	33	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	73	34	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	73	35	graph	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	73	37	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	73	38	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	39	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	73	40	uk	uk	PROPN
ejpam-796	73	41	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	42	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	73	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	74	1	less	less	ADJ
ejpam-796	74	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	74	3	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	74	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	74	5	usually	usually	ADV
ejpam-796	74	6	several	several	ADJ
ejpam-796	74	7	sessions	session	NOUN
ejpam-796	74	8	before	before	SCONJ
ejpam-796	74	9	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	74	10	learn	learn	VERB
ejpam-796	74	11	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	74	12	mention	mention	VERB
ejpam-796	74	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	74	14	axes	axis	NOUN
ejpam-796	74	15	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-796	74	16	units	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	74	17	first	first	ADV
ejpam-796	74	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	75	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	75	2	aim	aim	VERB
ejpam-796	75	3	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	75	4	produce	produce	VERB
ejpam-796	75	5	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	6	who	who	PRON
ejpam-796	75	7	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	75	8	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	75	9	able	able	ADJ
ejpam-796	75	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	75	11	critically	critically	ADV
ejpam-796	75	12	interpret	interpret	VERB
ejpam-796	75	13	published	publish	VERB
ejpam-796	75	14	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	75	15	findings	finding	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	75	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	75	18	sensibly	sensibly	ADV
ejpam-796	75	19	conduct	conduct	VERB
ejpam-796	75	20	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	75	21	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	75	22	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	75	23	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	75	25	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	75	26	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	75	27	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	75	28	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	75	29	finesse	finesse	VERB
ejpam-796	75	30	difficulties	difficulty	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	31	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	75	32	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	75	33	nonstationarity	nonstationarity	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	34	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	75	35	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	36	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	75	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	76	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	76	2	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	76	3	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	76	4	stationarity	stationarity	NOUN
ejpam-796	76	5	visible	visible	ADJ
ejpam-796	76	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	76	7	whatever	whatever	DET
ejpam-796	76	8	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	76	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	76	10	selected	select	VERB
ejpam-796	76	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	76	12	manifest(e.g	manifest(e.g	PROPN
ejpam-796	76	13	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	76	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	76	15	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	76	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	1	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	77	2	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	4	including	include	VERB
ejpam-796	77	5	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	77	7	means	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	77	9	variances	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	11	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	77	12	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	13	epochs	epoch	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	14	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	77	16	markedly	markedly	ADV
ejpam-796	77	17	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	77	18	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	77	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	77	21	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	77	23	persistence	persistence	NOUN
ejpam-796	77	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	78	1	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	78	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	78	3	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-796	78	4	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-796	78	5	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	78	6	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	78	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	78	8	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ejpam-796	78	9	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	78	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	79	1	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	79	2	adds	add	VERB
ejpam-796	79	3	specific	specific	ADJ
ejpam-796	79	4	details	detail	NOUN
ejpam-796	79	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	79	6	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-796	79	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	79	8	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	79	9	might	might	AUX
ejpam-796	79	10	arise	arise	VERB
ejpam-796	79	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	79	12	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-796	79	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	80	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	80	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	80	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	80	4	detailed	detailed	ADJ
ejpam-796	80	5	knowledge	knowledge	NOUN
ejpam-796	80	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	80	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	80	8	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	80	9	context	context	NOUN
ejpam-796	80	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	80	11	imparted	impart	VERB
ejpam-796	80	12	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	80	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	80	14	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	80	15	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	80	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	80	17	modeling	model	VERB
ejpam-796	80	18	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	80	19	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	80	20	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	80	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	81	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	81	2	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	81	3	serves	serve	VERB
ejpam-796	81	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	81	5	reveal	reveal	VERB
ejpam-796	81	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	81	7	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	81	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	81	10	major	major	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	11	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	81	12	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	81	13	due	due	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	81	15	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	16	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	17	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	81	18	forces	force	NOUN
ejpam-796	81	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	81	20	especially	especially	ADV
ejpam-796	81	21	wars	war	NOUN
ejpam-796	81	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	81	23	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	81	24	aftermaths	aftermath	NOUN
ejpam-796	81	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	1	next	next	ADV
ejpam-796	82	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	82	4	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	82	5	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	82	6	required	require	VERB
ejpam-796	82	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	82	8	calculate	calculate	VERB
ejpam-796	82	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	82	10	differences	difference	NOUN
ejpam-796	82	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	82	12	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	82	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	14	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	82	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	16	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	82	17	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	82	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	19	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	82	20	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	82	21	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	82	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	82	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	82	24	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	83	1	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	83	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	83	3	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	83	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	83	5	plot	plot	VERB
ejpam-796	83	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	83	7	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-796	83	8	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	83	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	83	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	83	11	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	83	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	1	4	4	X
ejpam-796	84	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	84	3	again	again	ADV
ejpam-796	84	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	5	everyone	everyone	PRON
ejpam-796	84	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	84	7	asked	ask	VERB
ejpam-796	84	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	84	9	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	84	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	84	11	hugely	hugely	ADV
ejpam-796	84	12	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	84	13	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	14	look	look	NOUN
ejpam-796	84	15	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	84	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	84	18	graph	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	84	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	20	especially	especially	ADV
ejpam-796	84	21	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	84	22	low	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	84	23	persistence	persistence	NOUN
ejpam-796	84	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	25	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-796	84	26	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	84	27	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	84	28	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	84	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	84	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	84	31	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	84	32	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	84	33	relates	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	84	34	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	84	35	fig	fig	VERB
ejpam-796	84	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	85	1	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	85	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	85	3	including	include	VERB
ejpam-796	85	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	85	5	possibility	possibility	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	85	7	changes	change	VERB
ejpam-796	85	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	85	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	85	10	reliability	reliability	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	85	12	coverage	coverage	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	85	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	85	15	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	16	sources	source	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	17	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	85	18	partly	partly	ADV
ejpam-796	85	19	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	85	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	85	21	apparent	apparent	ADJ
ejpam-796	85	22	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	23	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	85	25	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	85	26	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	85	27	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	85	28	better	well	ADJ
ejpam-796	85	29	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	85	30	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-796	85	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	86	1	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	86	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	86	3	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	86	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	86	5	clearly	clearly	ADV
ejpam-796	86	6	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	86	7	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	86	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	86	9	despite	despite	SCONJ
ejpam-796	86	10	differencing	differencing	NOUN
ejpam-796	86	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	86	12	another	another	DET
ejpam-796	86	13	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	86	14	lesson	lesson	NOUN
ejpam-796	86	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	87	1	3.1	3.1	NUM
ejpam-796	87	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	87	3	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	87	5	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	87	7	further	further	ADJ
ejpam-796	87	8	feature	feature	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	87	10	our	our	PRON
ejpam-796	87	11	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	87	13	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	87	14	relate	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	87	15	distributional	distributional	ADJ
ejpam-796	87	16	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	87	18	model	model	VERB
ejpam-796	87	19	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	87	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	88	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	88	2	basic	basic	ADJ
ejpam-796	88	3	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-796	88	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	88	5	conditioning	condition	VERB
ejpam-796	88	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	88	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	88	8	bivariate	bivariate	ADJ
ejpam-796	88	9	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-796	88	10	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	88	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	88	12	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	88	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	88	14	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	88	15	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	88	16	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	88	17	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-796	88	18	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	88	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	89	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	89	2	turn	turn	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	3	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	89	4	leads	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	89	5	naturally	naturally	ADV
ejpam-796	89	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	89	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	89	8	interpretation	interpretation	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	89	10	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-796	89	11	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	89	13	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	89	14	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	89	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	89	17	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-796	89	18	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	89	19	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	20	design	design	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	89	22	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	89	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	89	25	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	89	26	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	89	27	judge	judge	VERB
ejpam-796	89	28	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	89	29	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	89	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	1	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	90	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	90	4	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	90	5	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	6	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	90	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	90	8	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	90	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	10	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	90	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	13	matching	match	VERB
ejpam-796	90	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	90	15	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	16	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	19	congruence	congruence	PROPN
ejpam-796	90	20	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	21	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	90	22	matching	match	VERB
ejpam-796	90	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	90	24	substantive	substantive	ADJ
ejpam-796	90	25	context	context	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	28	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	29	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	30	valid	valid	ADJ
ejpam-796	90	31	conditioning	conditioning	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	34	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	90	35	encompassing	encompass	VERB
ejpam-796	90	36	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	37	explaining	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	90	38	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	90	39	gestalt	gestalt	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	40	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	90	41	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	42	obtained	obtain	VERB
ejpam-796	90	43	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	90	44	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	90	45	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	46	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	90	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	90	48	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	90	49	phenomena	phenomenon	NOUN
ejpam-796	90	50	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	90	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	91	1	these	these	PRON
ejpam-796	91	2	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	91	3	deliberately	deliberately	ADV
ejpam-796	91	4	introduced	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	91	5	early	early	ADV
ejpam-796	91	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	91	7	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	91	8	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	91	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	91	10	few	few	ADJ
ejpam-796	91	11	features	feature	NOUN
ejpam-796	91	12	need	need	VERB
ejpam-796	91	13	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	91	14	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	91	15	matched	match	VERB
ejpam-796	91	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	91	17	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	91	18	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	91	19	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	91	20	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	91	21	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	91	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	91	23	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	91	24	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	91	25	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	91	26	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	91	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	92	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	92	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	92	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	92	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	92	15	352	352	NUM
ejpam-796	92	16	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	92	17	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	92	18	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	92	19	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	92	20	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	92	21	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	92	22	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	92	23	0.025	0.025	NUM
ejpam-796	92	24	0.050	0.050	NUM
ejpam-796	92	25	0.075	0.075	NUM
ejpam-796	92	26	0.100	0.100	NUM
ejpam-796	92	27	0.125	0.125	NUM
ejpam-796	92	28	0.150	0.150	NUM
ejpam-796	92	29	upward	upward	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	30	mean	mean	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	31	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	92	33	higher	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	34	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	35	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	36	upward	upward	ADV
ejpam-796	92	37	mean	mean	VERB
ejpam-796	92	38	shift→	shift→	NUM
ejpam-796	92	39	downward	downward	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	40	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	41	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	42	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	92	43	dramatically	dramatically	ADV
ejpam-796	92	44	lower	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	45	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	46	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	47	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	48	cycle	cycle	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	49	epoch	epoch	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	50	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	92	51	units	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	52	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	53	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	54	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	55	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	92	56	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	92	57	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	92	58	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	59	about	about	ADP
ejpam-796	92	60	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	61	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	92	62	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	93	1	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	93	2	important	important	ADJ
ejpam-796	93	3	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	93	4	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	93	5	become	become	VERB
ejpam-796	93	6	larger	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	93	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	93	8	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	93	9	complicated	complicated	ADJ
ejpam-796	93	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	93	11	usually	usually	ADV
ejpam-796	93	12	requiring	require	VERB
ejpam-796	93	13	computerbased	computerbase	VERB
ejpam-796	93	14	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	93	15	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	93	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	94	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	94	2	fact	fact	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	94	4	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	94	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	94	6	difficult	difficult	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	94	8	formulate	formulate	VERB
ejpam-796	94	9	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	10	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	11	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	94	13	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	14	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	94	15	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	94	16	ability	ability	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	94	18	fit	fit	VERB
ejpam-796	94	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	94	20	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	21	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	22	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	23	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	94	24	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	94	26	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	27	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	94	28	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	94	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	1	1	1	X
ejpam-796	95	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	3	consequently	consequently	ADV
ejpam-796	95	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	95	6	start	start	VERB
ejpam-796	95	7	down	down	ADP
ejpam-796	95	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	95	9	road	road	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	95	11	linking	link	VERB
ejpam-796	95	12	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	95	14	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	95	16	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	95	17	univariate	univariate	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	18	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	20	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	95	21	postulate	postulate	VERB
ejpam-796	95	22	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	95	23	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	24	golden	golden	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	26	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	27	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	28	explanation	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	95	30	deviations	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	31	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	95	32	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	33	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	95	34	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	95	35	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	36	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	95	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	38	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	95	39	assume	assume	VERB
ejpam-796	95	40	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	95	41	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	95	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	95	43	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	95	44	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	95	45	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	46	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	47	integrated	integrated	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	48	yet	yet	CCONJ
ejpam-796	95	49	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	50	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	51	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	95	52	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	96	2	measure	measure	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	96	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	96	5	steady	steady	ADJ
ejpam-796	96	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	7	state	state	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	8	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	9	determinant	determinant	ADJ
ejpam-796	96	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	96	11	given	give	VERB
ejpam-796	96	12	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	96	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	14	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	96	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	96	16	rl	rl	PROPN
ejpam-796	96	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	18	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	96	19	−∆pt	−∆pt	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	20	−∆gt	−∆gt	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	22	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	96	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	24	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	96	25	rl	rl	X
ejpam-796	96	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	27	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	96	28	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	96	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	96	30	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	96	31	bond	bond	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	32	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	33	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	34	precise	precise	ADJ
ejpam-796	96	35	definitions	definition	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	96	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	96	38	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	39	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	96	40	provided	provide	VERB
ejpam-796	96	41	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	96	42	[	[	X
ejpam-796	96	43	19	19	NUM
ejpam-796	96	44	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	46	who	who	PRON
ejpam-796	96	47	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	96	48	develops	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	96	49	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	96	50	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	96	51	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	96	52	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	96	53	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	54	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	96	55	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	96	56	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	97	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	97	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	97	3	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	97	4	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-796	97	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	97	6	capital	capital	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	7	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	8	rl	rl	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	97	10	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	11	−∆pt	−∆pt	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	12	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	97	13	exceeds	exceed	VERB
ejpam-796	97	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	97	15	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	97	16	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-796	97	17	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	97	18	∆gt	∆gt	NOUN
ejpam-796	97	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	97	20	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	97	21	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	97	22	>	>	X
ejpam-796	97	23	0	0	PUNCT
ejpam-796	98	1	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	98	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	98	3	economy	economy	NOUN
ejpam-796	98	4	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	98	5	slow	slow	VERB
ejpam-796	98	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	98	7	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	98	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	98	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	98	10	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	98	11	rise	rise	VERB
ejpam-796	98	12	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	98	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	98	14	conversely	conversely	ADV
ejpam-796	98	15	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	98	16	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	98	17	<	<	X
ejpam-796	98	18	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-796	98	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	98	20	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	98	21	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	98	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	98	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	98	24	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	98	25	converge	converge	VERB
ejpam-796	98	26	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	98	27	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	98	28	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	98	29	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	98	30	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	98	31	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	98	32	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	98	33	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-796	98	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	1	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	99	2	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	3	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	99	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	99	5	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	99	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	8	1	1	X
ejpam-796	99	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	10	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	99	11	jointly	jointly	ADV
ejpam-796	99	12	determined	determine	VERB
ejpam-796	99	13	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	99	14	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	99	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	16	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	99	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	99	18	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	99	19	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	21	so	so	CCONJ
ejpam-796	99	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	99	23	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-796	99	24	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	25	explanation	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	26	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	27	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	99	28	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	99	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	30	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	99	31	allows	allow	VERB
ejpam-796	99	32	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	99	33	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	99	34	yet	yet	CCONJ
ejpam-796	99	35	viable	viable	ADJ
ejpam-796	99	36	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	37	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	99	38	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	99	39	developed	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	99	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	99	41	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	99	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	99	43	possibility	possibility	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	99	45	later	later	ADJ
ejpam-796	99	46	extension	extension	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	47	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	99	48	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	99	49	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	50	setting	setting	NOUN
ejpam-796	99	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	100	1	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	100	2	ever	ever	ADV
ejpam-796	100	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	100	4	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	100	5	first	first	ADV
ejpam-796	100	6	look	look	VERB
ejpam-796	100	7	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	100	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	100	9	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	100	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	100	11	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	100	12	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	100	13	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	100	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	100	15	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	100	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	1	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	101	2	a	a	PRON
ejpam-796	101	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	101	5	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	101	6	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	101	7	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	9	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	101	10	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-796	101	11	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	101	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	101	13	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	14	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	101	15	ur	ur	VERB
ejpam-796	101	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	17	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	101	18	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	101	19	panel	panel	PROPN
ejpam-796	101	20	b	b	PROPN
ejpam-796	101	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	22	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	101	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	101	24	series	serie	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	25	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	101	26	adjusted	adjust	VERB
ejpam-796	101	27	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	101	28	means	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	29	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	101	30	ranges	range	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	31	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	101	32	maximize	maximize	VERB
ejpam-796	101	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	101	34	visual	visual	ADJ
ejpam-796	101	35	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	101	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	101	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	102	1	4	4	X
ejpam-796	102	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	102	3	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	4	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	5	once	once	SCONJ
ejpam-796	102	6	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	7	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	8	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	102	9	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	102	10	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	102	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	102	12	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	102	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	102	14	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	102	15	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	102	16	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	102	17	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	102	18	scatter	scatter	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	19	plot	plot	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	102	21	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	102	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	102	23	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	102	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	103	1	6a	6a	NOUN
ejpam-796	103	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	104	1	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	104	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	104	3	single	single	ADJ
ejpam-796	104	4	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	104	5	allows	allow	VERB
ejpam-796	104	6	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	104	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	104	8	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	104	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	104	10	slope	slope	NOUN
ejpam-796	104	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	104	12	intercept	intercept	VERB
ejpam-796	104	13	graphically	graphically	ADV
ejpam-796	104	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	105	1	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	105	2	further	further	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	3	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	4	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	105	6	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	7	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	8	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	105	9	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	105	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	106	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	106	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	106	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	106	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	106	15	353	353	NUM
ejpam-796	106	16	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	106	17	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	106	18	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	106	19	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	106	20	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	106	21	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	106	22	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	106	23	0.025	0.025	NUM
ejpam-796	106	24	0.050	0.050	NUM
ejpam-796	106	25	0.075	0.075	NUM
ejpam-796	106	26	0.100	0.100	NUM
ejpam-796	106	27	0.125	0.125	NUM
ejpam-796	106	28	0.150	0.150	NUM
ejpam-796	106	29	upward	upward	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	30	mean	mean	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	31	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	32	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	106	33	higher	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	34	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	35	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	36	upward	upward	ADV
ejpam-796	106	37	mean	mean	VERB
ejpam-796	106	38	shift→	shift→	NUM
ejpam-796	106	39	downward	downward	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	40	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	41	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	42	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	106	43	dramatically	dramatically	ADV
ejpam-796	106	44	lower	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	45	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	46	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	47	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	48	cycle	cycle	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	49	epoch	epoch	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	50	↓	↓	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	51	wwi	wwi	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	52	→	→	SYM
ejpam-796	106	53	←	←	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	54	wwii	wwii	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	55	←	←	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	56	oil	oil	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	57	crisis	crisis	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	58	←postwar	←postwar	NUM
ejpam-796	106	59	crash	crash	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	60	←mrs	←mrs	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	61	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	62	boer	boer	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	63	war	war	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	64	→	→	SYM
ejpam-796	106	65	us	us	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	66	crash	crash	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	67	→	→	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	68	←post−war	←post−war	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	69	reconstruction	reconstruction	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	70	←leave	←leave	NUM
ejpam-796	106	71	erm	erm	PROPN
ejpam-796	106	72	units−rate	units−rate	VERB
ejpam-796	106	73	←leave	←leave	NUM
ejpam-796	106	74	gold	gold	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	75	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-796	106	76	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	77	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	106	78	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	106	79	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	106	80	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	81	about	about	ADP
ejpam-796	106	82	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	83	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	106	84	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	107	1	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	107	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	107	3	projections	projection	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	4	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	107	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	107	6	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	7	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	107	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	107	9	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	107	11	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-796	107	12	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	13	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	107	14	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	107	15	understood	understand	VERB
ejpam-796	107	16	visually	visually	ADV
ejpam-796	107	17	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	107	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	107	19	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	20	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	107	21	minimizes	minimize	VERB
ejpam-796	107	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	107	23	squared	squared	ADJ
ejpam-796	107	24	deviations	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	25	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	107	26	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	107	27	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	107	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	108	1	6b	6b	NOUN
ejpam-796	108	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	109	1	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	109	2	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	109	3	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	109	4	reveal	reveal	VERB
ejpam-796	109	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	109	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	109	7	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	109	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	109	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	109	10	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	109	11	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	109	12	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	109	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	109	14	fine	fine	ADJ
ejpam-796	109	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	109	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	109	17	tails	tail	NOUN
ejpam-796	109	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	109	19	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	109	20	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	109	21	erratic	erratic	ADJ
ejpam-796	109	22	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	109	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	109	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	109	25	middle	middle	NOUN
ejpam-796	109	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	1	having	having	AUX
ejpam-796	110	2	established	establish	VERB
ejpam-796	110	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	110	4	basics	basic	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	110	6	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	110	9	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	110	10	penetrating	penetrating	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	12	moves	move	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	13	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	110	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	110	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	110	16	five	five	NUM
ejpam-796	110	17	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	110	18	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	19	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	110	20	underpin	underpin	VERB
ejpam-796	110	21	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-796	110	22	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	23	interpreted	interpret	VERB
ejpam-796	110	24	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	110	25	conditioning	conditioning	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	110	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	110	28	bivariate	bivariate	ADJ
ejpam-796	110	29	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-796	110	30	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	31	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	32	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	110	33	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	34	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	110	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	110	36	regressor	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	37	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	38	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	110	39	iid	iid	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	40	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	41	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	42	•	•	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	43	normality	normality	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	44	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	45	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	110	46	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-796	110	47	functional	functional	ADJ
ejpam-796	110	48	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	49	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	110	50	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	110	51	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	52	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	110	53	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	111	1	failure	failure	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	2	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	111	3	any	any	PRON
ejpam-796	111	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	111	5	these	these	PRON
ejpam-796	111	6	induces	induce	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	7	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	8	mis	mis	PROPN
ejpam-796	111	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	111	10	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	111	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	111	13	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	14	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	111	16	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	111	17	equivalent	equivalent	ADJ
ejpam-796	111	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	111	19	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	111	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	111	22	corresponding	corresponding	ADJ
ejpam-796	111	23	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	111	24	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	111	25	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	111	26	introduced	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	111	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	112	1	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	112	2	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	112	3	stage	stage	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	112	5	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	112	6	relate	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	112	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	112	8	maths	math	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	9	derivations	derivation	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	10	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	112	11	needed	need	VERB
ejpam-796	112	12	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	112	13	understanding	understand	VERB
ejpam-796	112	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	112	15	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	16	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	112	17	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	112	18	always	always	ADV
ejpam-796	112	19	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	112	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	112	21	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	112	22	basic	basic	ADJ
ejpam-796	112	23	principles	principle	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	24	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	112	25	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	26	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	27	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-796	112	28	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	112	29	putative	putative	ADJ
ejpam-796	112	30	dgp	dgp	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	31	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	112	32	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-796	112	33	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	112	34	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	35	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	112	36	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	112	37	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	38	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	112	40	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	112	41	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	112	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	112	43	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	44	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-796	112	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	113	1	maximize	maximize	VERB
ejpam-796	113	2	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	113	3	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	4	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	113	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	113	6	function	function	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	113	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	113	9	postulated	postulate	VERB
ejpam-796	113	10	parameters	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	113	12	obtaining	obtain	VERB
ejpam-796	113	13	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	113	14	appropriate	appropriate	ADJ
ejpam-796	113	15	statistic	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	16	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	113	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	113	18	score	score	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	19	equation	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	113	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	113	22	derive	derive	VERB
ejpam-796	113	23	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	113	24	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	113	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	114	1	finally	finally	ADV
ejpam-796	114	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	114	3	apply	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	114	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	5	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-796	114	6	method	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	7	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	114	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	9	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	114	11	interpret	interpret	VERB
ejpam-796	114	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	13	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	114	15	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-796	114	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	17	findings	finding	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	18	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	114	19	check	check	VERB
ejpam-796	114	20	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	114	21	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	114	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	23	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	24	matches	match	VERB
ejpam-796	114	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	114	26	assumed	assumed	ADJ
ejpam-796	114	27	dgp	dgp	NOUN
ejpam-796	114	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	115	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	115	2	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	115	3	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	115	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	115	5	just	just	ADV
ejpam-796	115	6	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	115	7	seriatim	seriatim	ADJ
ejpam-796	115	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	115	9	ever	ever	ADV
ejpam-796	115	10	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	115	11	complicated	complicated	ADJ
ejpam-796	115	12	cases	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	115	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	116	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	116	2	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	116	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	116	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	116	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	116	6	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	116	7	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	116	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	117	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	117	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	117	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	117	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	117	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	117	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	117	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	117	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	117	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	117	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	117	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	117	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	117	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	117	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	117	15	354	354	NUM
ejpam-796	117	16	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	117	17	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	117	18	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	117	19	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	117	20	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	117	21	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	117	22	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	118	1	−0.04	−0.04	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	1	−0.02	−0.02	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	2	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	119	3	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	119	4	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	119	5	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	119	6	0.08	0.08	NUM
ejpam-796	119	7	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	119	8	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	9	low	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	119	10	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	11	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-796	119	12	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	119	14	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	119	15	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	119	16	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	119	17	random	random	ADJ
ejpam-796	119	18	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-796	120	1	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	120	2	figure	figure	VERB
ejpam-796	120	3	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	120	4	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	120	5	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	120	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	120	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	120	8	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	120	9	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	120	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	1	4.1	4.1	NUM
ejpam-796	121	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	3	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	4	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	121	5	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	6	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	121	7	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	121	8	parametric	parametric	ADJ
ejpam-796	121	9	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	121	11	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	12	demistify	demistify	VERB
ejpam-796	121	13	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	14	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	15	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	16	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	121	17	just	just	ADV
ejpam-796	121	18	line	line	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	19	fitting	fitting	ADJ
ejpam-796	121	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	21	use	use	VERB
ejpam-796	121	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	121	23	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	24	pen	pen	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	25	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	121	27	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	28	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	121	29	have	have	VERB
ejpam-796	121	30	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	121	31	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	32	write	write	VERB
ejpam-796	121	33	his	his	PRON
ejpam-796	121	34	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	121	35	her	her	PRON
ejpam-796	121	36	name	name	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	37	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	121	38	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	121	39	graph	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	41	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	121	42	run	run	VERB
ejpam-796	121	43	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	121	44	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	45	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	121	46	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	121	47	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	121	48	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	121	49	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	121	50	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	122	1	6c	6c	NOUN
ejpam-796	122	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	123	2	pixels	pixel	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	123	4	mapped	map	VERB
ejpam-796	123	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	123	6	world	world	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	7	coordinates	coordinate	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	9	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	123	10	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	123	11	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	123	12	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	123	13	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	123	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	123	15	graphics	graphic	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	16	editor	editor	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	19	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	123	20	become	become	VERB
ejpam-796	123	21	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	22	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	23	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	123	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	123	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	27	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	123	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	29	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	123	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	31	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	33	space	space	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	123	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	123	36	hence	hence	ADV
ejpam-796	123	37	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	123	38	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	123	39	estimate	estimate	VERB
ejpam-796	123	40	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	123	41	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	42	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	123	43	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	123	44	subset	subset	NOUN
ejpam-796	123	45	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	124	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
ejpam-796	124	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	124	3	projections	projection	NOUN
ejpam-796	124	4	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	124	5	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	124	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	124	7	added	add	VERB
ejpam-796	124	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	124	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	124	10	signature	signature	NOUN
ejpam-796	124	11	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	124	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	125	1	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-796	125	2	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	125	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	125	4	intrigued	intrigue	VERB
ejpam-796	125	5	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	125	6	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	125	7	capability	capability	NOUN
ejpam-796	125	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	125	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	125	10	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	125	11	gain	gain	VERB
ejpam-796	125	12	important	important	ADJ
ejpam-796	125	13	insights	insight	NOUN
ejpam-796	125	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	125	15	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	125	16	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	125	17	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	125	18	being	be	AUX
ejpam-796	125	19	amused	amuse	VERB
ejpam-796	125	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	1	next	next	ADV
ejpam-796	126	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	3	show	show	VERB
ejpam-796	126	4	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	126	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	126	6	join	join	VERB
ejpam-796	126	7	up	up	ADP
ejpam-796	126	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	126	9	original	original	ADJ
ejpam-796	126	10	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	11	points	point	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	126	13	create	create	VERB
ejpam-796	126	14	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	15	phillips	phillip	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	16	’	'	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	17	loops	loop	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	18	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	19	[	[	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	20	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	126	21	33	33	NUM
ejpam-796	126	22	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	126	24	tracing	trace	VERB
ejpam-796	126	25	out	out	ADP
ejpam-796	126	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	126	27	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	28	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	126	29	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	126	30	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	126	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	127	1	6d	6d	NUM
ejpam-796	127	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	128	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	128	2	serves	serve	VERB
ejpam-796	128	3	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	128	4	highlight	highlight	VERB
ejpam-796	128	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	128	6	absence	absence	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	128	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	128	9	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	10	dimension	dimension	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	11	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	128	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	128	13	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	14	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	128	15	far	far	ADV
ejpam-796	128	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	128	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	128	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	128	19	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	128	20	convenient	convenient	ADJ
ejpam-796	128	21	lead	lead	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	22	into	into	ADP
ejpam-796	128	23	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-796	128	24	account	account	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	25	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	128	26	serial	serial	ADJ
ejpam-796	128	27	dependence	dependence	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	28	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	128	29	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	128	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	129	1	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	129	2	routes	route	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	129	4	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-796	129	5	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	129	6	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	129	7	point	point	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	8	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	129	9	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	129	10	could	could	AUX
ejpam-796	129	11	further	far	ADV
ejpam-796	129	12	clarify	clarify	VERB
ejpam-796	129	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	129	14	underlying	underlie	VERB
ejpam-796	129	15	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	129	17	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	129	18	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	129	20	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	129	21	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	129	23	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	129	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	130	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	130	2	illustrate	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	130	3	several	several	ADJ
ejpam-796	130	4	sequential	sequential	ADJ
ejpam-796	130	5	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	130	6	graphically	graphically	ADV
ejpam-796	130	7	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	130	8	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	130	9	leads	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	130	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	130	11	recursive	recursive	ADJ
ejpam-796	130	12	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	130	13	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	130	14	investigating	investigate	VERB
ejpam-796	130	15	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-796	130	16	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	130	17	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	130	18	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	130	19	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	130	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	131	1	7	7	X
ejpam-796	131	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	131	3	alternatively	alternatively	ADV
ejpam-796	131	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	131	5	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	6	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	7	provide	provide	VERB
ejpam-796	131	8	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	131	9	opportunity	opportunity	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	131	11	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	131	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	131	13	basics	basic	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	131	15	latexby	latexby	ADJ
ejpam-796	131	16	naming	naming	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	17	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	131	19	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	131	20	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-796	131	21	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	131	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	131	23	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	24	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	131	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	131	26	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	131	27	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	131	28	writing	write	VERB
ejpam-796	131	29	formulae	formulae	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	30	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	131	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	131	32	figures	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	131	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	132	1	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	132	2	minimal	minimal	ADJ
ejpam-796	132	3	latexskills	latexskill	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	4	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	132	5	prove	prove	VERB
ejpam-796	132	6	invaluable	invaluable	ADJ
ejpam-796	132	7	later	later	ADV
ejpam-796	132	8	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	132	9	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-796	132	10	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	11	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	132	12	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	132	13	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	14	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	132	15	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	132	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	132	18	pasted	paste	VERB
ejpam-796	132	19	directly	directly	ADV
ejpam-796	132	20	into	into	ADP
ejpam-796	132	21	papers	paper	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	132	23	reports	report	NOUN
ejpam-796	132	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	132	25	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	132	26	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	132	27	below	below	ADP
ejpam-796	132	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	132	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	133	1	4.2	4.2	NUM
ejpam-796	133	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	134	1	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	134	2	graphics	graphic	NOUN
ejpam-796	134	3	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	134	4	ease	ease	VERB
ejpam-796	134	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	134	6	visualization	visualization	NOUN
ejpam-796	134	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	134	8	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	134	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	135	1	plotting	plot	VERB
ejpam-796	135	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	135	3	histograms	histogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	135	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	135	5	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	135	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	135	7	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	135	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	135	9	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	135	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	135	11	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	135	12	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	135	13	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	135	14	interpolated	interpolate	VERB
ejpam-796	135	15	densities	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	135	16	yields	yield	VERB
ejpam-796	135	17	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	135	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	136	1	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	136	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	137	1	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	137	2	figures	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	3	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	137	4	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	137	5	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	137	6	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	137	7	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	137	8	nonparametric	nonparametric	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	9	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	137	10	kernel	kernel	PROPN
ejpam-796	137	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	12	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	137	13	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	14	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	137	16	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	137	17	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-796	137	18	described	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	137	19	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	137	20	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	137	21	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	137	22	smoothed	smooth	VERB
ejpam-796	137	23	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	137	24	histogram	histogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	137	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	138	1	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	138	2	importantly	importantly	ADV
ejpam-796	138	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	138	4	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	138	5	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	138	6	emphasize	emphasize	VERB
ejpam-796	138	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	138	8	very	very	ADV
ejpam-796	138	9	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	138	10	features	feature	NOUN
ejpam-796	138	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	138	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	138	13	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	138	14	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	138	15	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	138	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	138	17	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	138	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	138	19	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	138	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	138	21	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	138	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	138	23	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	138	24	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	138	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	139	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	139	2	former	former	ADJ
ejpam-796	139	3	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	139	4	like	like	ADP
ejpam-796	139	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	139	6	uniform	uniform	ADJ
ejpam-796	139	7	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	139	8	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	139	9	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	139	10	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	139	11	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	139	12	roughly	roughly	ADV
ejpam-796	139	13	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-796	139	14	likely	likely	ADJ
ejpam-796	139	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	140	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	140	2	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	140	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	140	4	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	140	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	140	6	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	140	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	140	8	closer	close	ADJ
ejpam-796	140	9	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	140	10	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	140	11	normal	normal	ADJ
ejpam-796	140	12	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	140	13	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	140	14	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ejpam-796	140	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	141	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	141	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	141	3	differencing	difference	VERB
ejpam-796	141	4	alters	alter	VERB
ejpam-796	141	5	distributional	distributional	ADJ
ejpam-796	141	6	shapes	shape	NOUN
ejpam-796	141	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	142	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	142	2	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	142	3	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	142	4	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	142	5	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	142	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	142	7	uncondid	uncondid	NOUN
ejpam-796	142	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	143	1	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	143	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	143	3	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	143	4	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	143	5	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	143	6	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	143	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	144	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	144	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	144	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	144	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	144	15	355	355	NUM
ejpam-796	144	16	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	144	17	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	144	18	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	144	19	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	144	20	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	144	21	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	144	22	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	144	23	−0.1	−0.1	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	24	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	144	25	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	144	26	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	144	27	arl	arl	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	29	t−∆pt	t−∆pt	NUM
ejpam-796	144	30	∆gt	∆gt	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	31	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	144	32	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	144	33	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	144	34	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	144	35	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	144	36	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	144	37	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	144	38	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	144	39	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	144	40	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	144	41	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	144	42	bur	bur	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	44	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	45	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	46	figure	figure	VERB
ejpam-796	144	47	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	144	48	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	49	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	50	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	144	51	rl	rl	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	53	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	54	−∆pt	−∆pt	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	55	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	144	56	∆gt	∆gt	NOUN
ejpam-796	144	57	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	58	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	144	59	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	144	60	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	144	61	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	144	62	dt	dt	INTJ
ejpam-796	144	63	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	145	1	tional	tional	ADJ
ejpam-796	145	2	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	145	4	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	145	6	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	7	versus	versus	ADP
ejpam-796	145	8	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	145	9	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	10	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	145	11	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	145	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	145	13	previous	previous	ADJ
ejpam-796	145	14	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	145	16	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	145	17	panel	panel	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	18	b	b	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	19	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	145	20	plotting	plot	VERB
ejpam-796	145	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	145	22	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	145	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	145	25	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-796	145	26	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	145	27	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	145	29	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	30	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	145	31	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	145	33	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	145	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	146	1	4.3	4.3	NUM
ejpam-796	146	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	146	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	4	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	146	6	randomness	randomness	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	7	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	146	8	last	last	ADJ
ejpam-796	146	9	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	10	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	146	11	serves	serve	VERB
ejpam-796	146	12	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	146	13	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	146	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	146	15	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	146	16	concept	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	146	18	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	146	19	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	20	randomness	randomness	NOUN
ejpam-796	146	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	147	1	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	2	subsumes	subsume	VERB
ejpam-796	147	3	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	147	5	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	147	6	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	147	7	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	147	8	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	147	9	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	147	10	formally	formally	ADV
ejpam-796	147	11	described	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	147	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	147	13	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	147	14	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	147	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	147	16	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	147	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	147	18	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	147	19	correlograms	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	20	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	147	21	correlations	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	22	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	147	23	successively	successively	ADV
ejpam-796	147	24	longer	long	ADV
ejpam-796	147	25	lagged	lag	VERB
ejpam-796	147	26	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	27	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	147	28	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	147	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	148	1	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	148	2	illustrates	illustrate	NOUN
ejpam-796	148	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	149	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	149	2	plots	plot	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	3	reveal	reveal	VERB
ejpam-796	149	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	149	5	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	149	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	149	7	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	149	8	has	have	VERB
ejpam-796	149	9	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	149	10	high	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	149	11	autocorrelations	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	12	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	149	13	indeed	indeed	ADV
ejpam-796	149	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	149	15	successive	successive	ADJ
ejpam-796	149	16	autocorrelations	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	17	almost	almost	ADV
ejpam-796	149	18	lie	lie	VERB
ejpam-796	149	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	149	20	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	149	21	downward	downward	ADJ
ejpam-796	149	22	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-796	149	23	trend	trend	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	24	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	149	25	whereas	whereas	SCONJ
ejpam-796	149	26	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	149	28	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	149	29	has	have	VERB
ejpam-796	149	30	almost	almost	ADV
ejpam-796	149	31	no	no	PRON
ejpam-796	149	32	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	33	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	149	34	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	149	35	lag	lag	NOUN
ejpam-796	149	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	150	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	3	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	150	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	150	5	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	150	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	7	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	150	8	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	150	9	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	10	surprise	surprise	NOUN
ejpam-796	150	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	12	like	like	ADJ
ejpam-796	150	13	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	14	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	150	15	again	again	ADV
ejpam-796	150	16	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	150	17	comparison	comparison	NOUN
ejpam-796	150	18	highlights	highlight	VERB
ejpam-796	150	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	150	20	huge	huge	ADJ
ejpam-796	150	21	difference	difference	NOUN
ejpam-796	150	22	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	150	23	unconditional	unconditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	150	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	150	25	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	150	26	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
ejpam-796	150	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	151	2	turn	turn	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	4	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	151	5	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	151	6	exploit	exploit	VERB
ejpam-796	151	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	151	8	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	151	9	behaviour	behaviour	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	151	11	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	151	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	13	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	151	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	151	15	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	17	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	18	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	151	19	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	151	20	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	22	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	151	23	plotting	plot	VERB
ejpam-796	151	24	ur	ur	PRON
ejpam-796	151	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	26	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	27	against	against	ADP
ejpam-796	151	28	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	151	29	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	151	30	lag	lag	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	31	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	151	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	33	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	151	34	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	151	35	graphically	graphically	ADV
ejpam-796	151	36	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	151	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	151	38	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	39	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	151	40	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	151	41	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	151	42	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	151	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	152	1	10a	10a	NOUN
ejpam-796	152	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	152	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	152	4	panel	panel	NOUN
ejpam-796	152	5	b	b	NOUN
ejpam-796	152	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	152	7	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	152	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	152	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	152	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	152	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	1	4.4	4.4	NUM
ejpam-796	153	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	3	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	153	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	5	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	153	6	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	7	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	153	8	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	153	9	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	153	10	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	153	11	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	153	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	13	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	153	14	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	15	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	153	16	needing	need	VERB
ejpam-796	153	17	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	153	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	153	19	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	153	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	153	22	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	153	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	153	25	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	26	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	153	27	match	match	VERB
ejpam-796	153	28	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
ejpam-796	153	29	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	153	31	terms	term	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	32	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	153	33	dynamics	dynamic	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	35	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	37	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	39	linear	linear	PROPN
ejpam-796	153	40	relations	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	42	etc	etc	X
ejpam-796	153	43	.	.	X
ejpam-796	153	44	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	153	45	otherwise	otherwise	ADV
ejpam-796	153	46	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	153	47	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	153	48	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	153	49	systematic	systematic	ADJ
ejpam-796	153	50	departures	departure	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	51	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	153	52	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	153	53	claimed	claim	VERB
ejpam-796	153	54	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	153	55	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	1	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	154	3	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	154	4	null	null	ADJ
ejpam-796	154	5	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	6	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	154	7	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	154	8	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	154	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	10	albeit	albeit	SCONJ
ejpam-796	154	11	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	154	12	lagrange	lagrange	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	13	multiplier	multiplier	ADV
ejpam-796	154	14	approximate	approximate	ADJ
ejpam-796	154	15	f	f	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	17	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	18	rather	rather	ADV
ejpam-796	154	19	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	154	20	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	21	ratio	ratio	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	23	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	154	24	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	25	•	•	ADV
ejpam-796	154	26	far	far	ADV
ejpam-796	154	27	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	154	28	kth	kth	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	29	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	30	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	31	serial	serial	ADJ
ejpam-796	154	32	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	154	33	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	154	34	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	154	35	[	[	X
ejpam-796	154	36	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	154	37	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	154	38	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	155	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	155	2	32	32	NUM
ejpam-796	155	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	155	4	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	155	5	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	155	6	fhet	fhet	NOUN
ejpam-796	155	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	155	8	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-796	155	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	155	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	155	11	[	[	X
ejpam-796	155	12	37	37	NUM
ejpam-796	155	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	155	14	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	155	15	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	155	16	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	155	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	155	18	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	155	19	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	155	20	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	155	21	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	155	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	156	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	156	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	156	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	156	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	156	15	356	356	NUM
ejpam-796	156	16	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	156	18	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	156	19	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	156	20	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	156	21	−0.2	−0.2	PROPN
ejpam-796	157	1	−0.1	−0.1	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	1	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	158	2	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	158	3	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	158	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	158	5	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	158	6	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	158	7	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	158	8	aur	aur	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	158	10	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	11	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	12	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	158	13	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	158	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	158	15	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	16	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	17	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	158	18	−0.2	−0.2	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	19	−0.1	−0.1	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	20	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	158	21	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	158	22	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	158	23	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	158	24	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	158	25	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	158	26	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	158	27	bur	bur	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	158	29	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	30	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	31	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	158	32	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	158	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	158	34	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	35	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	158	36	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	158	37	−0.2	−0.2	PROPN
ejpam-796	158	38	−0.1	−0.1	PROPN
ejpam-796	159	1	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	159	2	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	159	3	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	159	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	159	5	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	159	6	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	159	7	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	159	8	c	c	NOUN
ejpam-796	159	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	159	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	160	1	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	160	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	160	3	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	160	4	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	160	5	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	160	6	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	160	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	160	8	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	160	9	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	160	10	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	160	11	−0.2	−0.2	PROPN
ejpam-796	160	12	−0.1	−0.1	PROPN
ejpam-796	161	1	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	161	2	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	161	3	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	161	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	161	5	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	161	6	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	161	7	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	161	8	dur	dur	PROPN
ejpam-796	161	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	161	10	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	161	11	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	12	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	13	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	14	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	161	15	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	161	16	scatter	scatter	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	17	plots	plot	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	161	19	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	161	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	161	21	ur	ur	PRON
ejpam-796	161	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	161	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	161	24	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	161	25	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	161	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	1	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	162	2	freset	freset	VERB
ejpam-796	162	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	162	4	functional	functional	ADJ
ejpam-796	162	5	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-796	162	6	following	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	162	7	[	[	X
ejpam-796	162	8	35	35	NUM
ejpam-796	162	9	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	11	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	12	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	162	13	farch	farch	NOUN
ejpam-796	162	14	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	162	15	kth	kth	NOUN
ejpam-796	162	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	17	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-796	162	18	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-796	162	19	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	162	20	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-796	162	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	162	22	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	162	23	[	[	X
ejpam-796	162	24	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	1	]	]	X
ejpam-796	163	2	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	3	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	163	4	fchow	fchow	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	163	6	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	7	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	8	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	163	9	k	k	PROPN
ejpam-796	163	10	periods	period	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	11	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	163	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	163	13	[	[	X
ejpam-796	163	14	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	163	15	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	16	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	163	18	•	•	NUM
ejpam-796	163	19	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	163	20	nd(2	nd(2	PROPN
ejpam-796	163	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	22	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	163	23	normality	normality	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	163	26	chi	chi	ADJ
ejpam-796	163	27	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	28	square	square	ADJ
ejpam-796	163	29	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	163	30	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	31	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	163	32	[	[	X
ejpam-796	163	33	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	163	34	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	163	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	163	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	164	1	below	below	ADP
ejpam-796	164	2	∗	∗	NOUN
ejpam-796	164	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	164	4	∗∗	∗∗	PROPN
ejpam-796	164	5	denote	denote	VERB
ejpam-796	164	6	significant	significant	ADJ
ejpam-796	164	7	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	164	8	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	164	9	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	164	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	164	11	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	164	12	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	164	13	respectively	respectively	ADV
ejpam-796	164	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	165	1	having	having	AUX
ejpam-796	165	2	established	establish	VERB
ejpam-796	165	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	165	4	basics	basic	NOUN
ejpam-796	165	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	165	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	165	7	scene	scene	NOUN
ejpam-796	165	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	165	9	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	165	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	165	11	formal	formal	ADJ
ejpam-796	165	12	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	165	13	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	165	14	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	165	15	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	165	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	1	5	5	X
ejpam-796	166	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	166	3	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	166	4	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	166	5	estimating	estimate	VERB
ejpam-796	166	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	166	7	static	static	ADJ
ejpam-796	166	8	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	166	9	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	166	10	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	11	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	166	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	13	later	later	ADV
ejpam-796	166	14	interpreted	interpret	VERB
ejpam-796	166	15	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	166	16	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	17	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-796	166	18	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	20	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	166	21	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	166	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	23	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	166	24	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	166	25	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-796	167	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	167	2	β1dt	β1dt	PUNCT
ejpam-796	167	3	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	167	4	et	et	NOUN
ejpam-796	167	5	yields	yield	NOUN
ejpam-796	167	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	167	7	bur	bur	PROPN
ejpam-796	167	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	167	9	t	t	X
ejpam-796	167	10	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	167	11	0.050	0.050	NUM
ejpam-796	167	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	167	13	0.003	0.003	NUM
ejpam-796	167	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	168	2	0.345	0.345	NUM
ejpam-796	168	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	4	0.052	0.052	NUM
ejpam-796	168	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	6	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	168	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	8	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	168	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	10	r2	r2	NOUN
ejpam-796	168	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	168	12	0.26	0.26	NUM
ejpam-796	168	13	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	168	14	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	15	0.0315	0.0315	NUM
ejpam-796	168	16	fgum(1,126	fgum(1,126	NOUN
ejpam-796	168	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	168	18	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	169	1	44.64∗∗	44.64∗∗	PROPN
ejpam-796	169	2	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	169	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	169	4	r2	r2	PROPN
ejpam-796	169	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	169	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	169	7	squared	square	VERB
ejpam-796	169	8	multiple	multiple	ADJ
ejpam-796	169	9	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	169	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	169	11	bσ	bσ	PROPN
ejpam-796	169	12	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	169	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	169	14	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	169	15	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-796	169	16	deviation	deviation	NOUN
ejpam-796	169	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	169	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	169	19	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ejpam-796	169	20	standard	standard	ADJ
ejpam-796	169	21	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	169	22	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	169	23	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-796	169	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	169	25	parentheses	parenthesis	NOUN
ejpam-796	169	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	170	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	170	2	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	3	fgum	fgum	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	170	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	170	6	significance	significance	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	170	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	170	9	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	170	10	unrestricted	unrestricted	ADJ
ejpam-796	170	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	170	13	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	170	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	170	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	170	16	joint	joint	ADJ
ejpam-796	170	17	significance	significance	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	170	19	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	170	20	regressors	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	170	22	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	170	24	apart	apart	ADV
ejpam-796	170	25	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	170	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	170	27	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-796	170	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	171	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	171	2	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	3	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-796	171	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	171	5	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	6	rises	rise	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	7	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	171	8	falls	fall	VERB
ejpam-796	171	9	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	171	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	171	11	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	171	12	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	171	13	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	171	14	run	run	VERB
ejpam-796	171	15	interest	interest	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	16	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	17	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	171	18	above	above	ADV
ejpam-796	171	19	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	171	20	below	below	ADP
ejpam-796	171	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	171	22	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	171	23	growth	growth	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	24	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	171	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	171	26	i.e.	i.e.	X
ejpam-796	171	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	171	28	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	171	29	≶	≶	PROPN
ejpam-796	171	30	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	171	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	171	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	172	1	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	172	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	172	3	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	172	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	172	5	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	172	6	tested	test	VERB
ejpam-796	172	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	172	8	yielding	yield	VERB
ejpam-796	172	9	far(2,124	far(2,124	NOUN
ejpam-796	172	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	173	2	180.4∗∗	180.4∗∗	NUM
ejpam-796	173	3	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	4	farch	farch	NOUN
ejpam-796	173	5	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	173	6	229.9∗∗	229.9∗∗	NUM
ejpam-796	173	7	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	8	freset(1,125	freset(1,125	X
ejpam-796	173	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	10	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	173	11	0.33	0.33	NUM
ejpam-796	173	12	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	13	fhet(2,123	fhet(2,123	X
ejpam-796	173	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	173	16	2.62	2.62	NUM
ejpam-796	173	17	;	;	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	18	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	173	19	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	173	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	173	21	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	173	22	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	173	23	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	173	24	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	173	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	174	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	174	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	174	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	174	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	174	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	174	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	174	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	174	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	174	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	174	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	174	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	174	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	174	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	174	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	174	15	357	357	NUM
ejpam-796	175	1	−0.20	−0.20	X
ejpam-796	176	1	−0.15	−0.15	ADP
ejpam-796	176	2	−0.10	−0.10	NOUN
ejpam-796	176	3	−0.05	−0.05	NOUN
ejpam-796	176	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	176	5	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	176	6	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	176	7	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	176	8	0.20	0.20	NUM
ejpam-796	176	9	0.000	0.000	NUM
ejpam-796	176	10	0.025	0.025	NUM
ejpam-796	176	11	0.050	0.050	NUM
ejpam-796	176	12	0.075	0.075	NUM
ejpam-796	176	13	0.100	0.100	NUM
ejpam-796	176	14	0.125	0.125	NUM
ejpam-796	176	15	0.150	0.150	NUM
ejpam-796	176	16	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	176	17	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	176	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	176	19	ur	ur	PRON
ejpam-796	176	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	176	21	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	176	22	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	176	23	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	176	24	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	176	25	t/10	t/10	ADJ
ejpam-796	176	26	subsets	subset	NOUN
ejpam-796	176	27	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	176	28	increasing	increase	VERB
ejpam-796	176	29	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	176	30	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	176	31	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	176	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	177	1	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	177	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	177	3	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	177	4	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	5	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	6	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	7	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	177	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	177	9	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	177	11	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	177	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	177	13	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	177	14	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	177	15	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	177	16	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	177	17	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	177	18	tenth	tenth	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	177	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	177	21	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	177	22	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	178	1	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	178	2	nd(2	nd(2	PROPN
ejpam-796	178	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	178	4	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	179	1	15.0∗∗.	15.0∗∗.	NUM
ejpam-796	179	2	these	these	DET
ejpam-796	179	3	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	179	4	show	show	VERB
ejpam-796	179	5	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	179	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	179	7	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	179	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	179	9	poorly	poorly	ADV
ejpam-796	179	10	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	179	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	1	figure	figure	VERB
ejpam-796	180	2	11	11	NUM
ejpam-796	180	3	records	record	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	180	5	fitted	fit	VERB
ejpam-796	180	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	180	7	actual	actual	ADJ
ejpam-796	180	8	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	10	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	180	11	cross	cross	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	12	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	13	plot	plot	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	180	16	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	17	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	180	18	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	180	19	bσ	bσ	PROPN
ejpam-796	180	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	180	22	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	180	23	histogram	histogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	180	25	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	26	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	180	27	n[0,1	n[0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	28	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	180	30	comparison	comparison	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	180	32	visually	visually	ADV
ejpam-796	180	33	confirming	confirm	VERB
ejpam-796	180	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	180	35	formal	formal	ADJ
ejpam-796	180	36	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	180	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	181	1	once	once	ADV
ejpam-796	181	2	again	again	ADV
ejpam-796	181	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	181	4	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	181	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	181	6	clear	clear	ADJ
ejpam-796	181	7	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	181	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	181	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	181	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	181	11	badly	badly	ADV
ejpam-796	181	12	mis	mis	X
ejpam-796	181	13	-	-	VERB
ejpam-796	181	14	specified	specified	ADJ
ejpam-796	181	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	181	16	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	181	17	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	181	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	181	19	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	181	20	clear	clear	ADJ
ejpam-796	181	21	which	which	DET
ejpam-796	181	22	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	181	23	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	181	24	invalid	invalid	ADJ
ejpam-796	181	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	182	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	182	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	182	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	182	4	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	182	5	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	182	6	successfully	successfully	ADV
ejpam-796	182	7	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	182	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	182	9	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	182	10	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	182	11	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	182	12	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	182	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	183	1	5.1	5.1	NUM
ejpam-796	183	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	1	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	184	2	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-796	184	3	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	184	4	another	another	DET
ejpam-796	184	5	univariate	univariate	ADJ
ejpam-796	184	6	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	184	7	worth	worth	ADJ
ejpam-796	184	8	illustrating	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	184	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	184	10	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	184	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	184	12	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	184	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	14	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	184	15	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	184	16	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	184	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	18	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	184	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	20	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	184	21	ur	ur	VERB
ejpam-796	184	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	23	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	184	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	184	25	γ0	γ0	PROPN
ejpam-796	184	26	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	184	27	γ1ur	γ1ur	X
ejpam-796	184	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	184	29	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	185	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	185	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-796	185	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	186	1	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	186	2	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-796	186	3	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	186	4	implicit	implicit	ADJ
ejpam-796	186	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	186	6	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	186	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	1	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	187	2	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	187	4	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	187	5	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	187	6	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	187	7	related	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	187	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	187	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	187	10	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-796	187	11	graphs	graph	NOUN
ejpam-796	187	12	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	187	13	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	187	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	15	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	187	16	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	17	bur	bur	PROPN
ejpam-796	187	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	19	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	187	20	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	187	21	0.006	0.006	NUM
ejpam-796	187	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	187	23	0.003	0.003	NUM
ejpam-796	187	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	188	2	0.887	0.887	NUM
ejpam-796	188	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	4	0.040	0.040	NUM
ejpam-796	188	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	6	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	188	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	8	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	188	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	10	3	3	X
ejpam-796	188	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	12	r2	r2	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	188	14	0.79	0.79	NUM
ejpam-796	188	15	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	16	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	17	0.017	0.017	NUM
ejpam-796	188	18	fgum(1,126	fgum(1,126	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	20	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	188	21	485.7∗∗	485.7∗∗	NUM
ejpam-796	188	22	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	188	23	nd(2	nd(2	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	25	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	26	33.0∗∗	33.0∗∗	NUM
ejpam-796	188	27	far(2,124	far(2,124	NOUN
ejpam-796	188	28	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	188	29	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	189	1	3.8∗	3.8∗	NUM
ejpam-796	189	2	farch(2,124	farch(2,124	NOUN
ejpam-796	189	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	189	4	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	189	5	0.55	0.55	NUM
ejpam-796	189	6	fhet(2,123	fhet(2,123	NOUN
ejpam-796	189	7	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	189	8	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	189	9	0.42	0.42	NUM
ejpam-796	189	10	freset(1,125	freset(1,125	ADJ
ejpam-796	189	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	189	12	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	190	1	0.01	0.01	NUM
ejpam-796	190	2	most	most	ADJ
ejpam-796	190	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	190	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	190	5	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	7	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	8	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	9	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	190	10	considerably	considerably	ADV
ejpam-796	190	11	improved	improve	VERB
ejpam-796	190	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	13	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	190	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	190	15	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	190	17	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	18	3	3	X
ejpam-796	190	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	20	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	190	21	still	still	ADV
ejpam-796	190	22	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	24	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	190	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	26	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	190	27	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	190	28	obvious	obvious	ADJ
ejpam-796	190	29	outlier	outlier	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	190	31	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	190	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	190	33	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	190	34	fig	fig	NOUN
ejpam-796	190	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	191	1	12(b	12(b	NUM
ejpam-796	191	2	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	191	3	shows	show	NOUN
ejpam-796	191	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	192	2	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	192	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	4	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	5	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	192	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	8	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	192	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	192	11	0.006/(1−	0.006/(1−	NUM
ejpam-796	192	12	0.887	0.887	NUM
ejpam-796	192	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	14	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	192	15	5.3	5.3	NUM
ejpam-796	192	16	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	17	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	18	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	19	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	192	20	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	192	21	close	close	ADJ
ejpam-796	192	22	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	192	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	192	24	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	25	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	192	26	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	27	2)–and	2)–and	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	28	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-796	192	29	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	192	30	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	192	31	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	192	32	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	192	33	fact	fact	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	34	reject	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	192	35	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	192	36	hypothesis	hypothesis	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	37	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	192	38	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	192	39	unit	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	40	root	root	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	42	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	192	43	provides	provide	VERB
ejpam-796	192	44	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	192	45	opportunity	opportunity	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	46	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	192	47	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	192	48	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	192	49	rudiments	rudiment	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	50	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	192	51	stochastic	stochastic	ADJ
ejpam-796	192	52	trends	trend	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	192	54	possibly	possibly	ADV
ejpam-796	192	55	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	192	56	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	192	57	monte	monte	PROPN
ejpam-796	192	58	carlo	carlo	PROPN
ejpam-796	192	59	simulation	simulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	60	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	192	61	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	192	62	null	null	ADJ
ejpam-796	192	63	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	192	64	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	193	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	193	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	193	3	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	193	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	193	5	crunch	crunch	NOUN
ejpam-796	193	6	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	193	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	193	8	having	having	AUX
ejpam-796	193	9	postulated	postulate	VERB
ejpam-796	193	10	our	our	PRON
ejpam-796	193	11	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	193	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	193	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	193	14	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	193	15	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	193	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	193	17	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	193	18	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	193	19	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	193	20	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	193	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	194	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	194	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	194	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	194	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	194	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	194	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	194	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	194	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	194	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	194	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	194	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	194	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	194	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	194	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	194	15	358	358	NUM
ejpam-796	195	1	−0.02	−0.02	ADV
ejpam-796	195	2	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	195	3	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	195	4	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	195	5	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	195	6	0.08	0.08	NUM
ejpam-796	195	7	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	195	8	0.12	0.12	NUM
ejpam-796	195	9	0.14	0.14	NUM
ejpam-796	195	10	0.16	0.16	NUM
ejpam-796	195	11	0.18	0.18	NUM
ejpam-796	195	12	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	195	13	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	195	14	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	195	15	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	195	16	plots	plot	NOUN
ejpam-796	195	17	aur	aur	NOUN
ejpam-796	195	18	−0.06	−0.06	ADP
ejpam-796	196	1	−0.04	−0.04	PROPN
ejpam-796	196	2	−0.02	−0.02	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	3	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	196	4	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	196	5	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	196	6	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	196	7	0.08	0.08	NUM
ejpam-796	196	8	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	196	9	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	196	10	20	20	NUM
ejpam-796	196	11	30	30	NUM
ejpam-796	196	12	40	40	NUM
ejpam-796	196	13	b∆ur	b∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	14	figure	figure	VERB
ejpam-796	196	15	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	196	16	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	196	17	distribution	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	196	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	196	20	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	21	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	22	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	196	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	196	24	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	196	25	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	196	26	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	196	27	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	28	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	196	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	196	30	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	196	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	197	1	dgp	dgp	PROPN
ejpam-796	197	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	197	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	197	4	find	find	VERB
ejpam-796	197	5	strong	strong	ADJ
ejpam-796	197	6	rejection	rejection	NOUN
ejpam-796	197	7	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	197	8	several	several	ADJ
ejpam-796	197	9	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	197	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	197	11	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	197	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	197	13	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	197	14	something	something	PRON
ejpam-796	197	15	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	197	16	gone	go	VERB
ejpam-796	197	17	wrong	wrong	ADJ
ejpam-796	197	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	198	1	multiple	multiple	ADJ
ejpam-796	198	2	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-796	198	3	concepts	concept	NOUN
ejpam-796	198	4	must	must	AUX
ejpam-796	198	5	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	198	6	clarified	clarify	VERB
ejpam-796	198	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	198	8	each	each	DET
ejpam-796	198	9	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	198	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	198	11	derived	derive	VERB
ejpam-796	198	12	under	under	ADP
ejpam-796	198	13	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	198	14	separate	separate	ADJ
ejpam-796	198	15	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-796	198	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	198	17	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	198	18	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-796	198	19	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	198	20	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	198	21	aspects	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	198	22	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	198	23	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	198	24	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	198	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	199	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
ejpam-796	199	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	199	3	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	199	4	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	199	5	mis	mis	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	199	7	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	8	rejections	rejection	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	9	contradict	contradict	VERB
ejpam-796	199	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	199	11	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	12	behind	behind	ADP
ejpam-796	199	13	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	199	14	derivations	derivation	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	15	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	199	16	once	once	SCONJ
ejpam-796	199	17	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	199	18	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	19	rejects	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	199	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	199	21	none	none	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	199	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	199	24	others	other	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	25	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	199	26	trustworthy	trustworthy	ADJ
ejpam-796	199	27	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	199	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	199	29	assumptions	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	30	underlying	underlie	VERB
ejpam-796	199	31	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	199	32	calculation	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-796	199	33	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	199	34	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	199	35	invalidated	invalidated	ADJ
ejpam-796	199	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ejpam-796	200	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	3	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-796	200	4	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	5	correcting	correct	VERB
ejpam-796	200	6	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	7	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	200	8	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	200	9	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	10	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	11	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	200	12	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	200	13	serial	serial	ADJ
ejpam-796	200	14	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	15	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	16	need	need	AUX
ejpam-796	200	17	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	200	18	help	help	VERB
ejpam-796	200	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	20	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	200	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	200	22	source	source	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	23	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	200	24	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	200	25	something	something	PRON
ejpam-796	200	26	else	else	ADV
ejpam-796	200	27	altogether	altogether	ADV
ejpam-796	200	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	200	29	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	200	30	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	200	31	parameter	parameter	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	32	non	non	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	33	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	34	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	35	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	200	36	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	200	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	201	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	201	2	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	201	3	viable	viable	ADJ
ejpam-796	201	4	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	201	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	201	6	clearly	clearly	ADV
ejpam-796	201	7	needed	need	VERB
ejpam-796	201	8	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	201	9	leading	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	201	10	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	201	11	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	201	12	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	201	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	201	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	201	15	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	201	16	...	...	PUNCT
ejpam-796	202	1	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	202	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	203	1	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-796	203	2	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	203	3	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	203	4	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	203	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	203	6	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	203	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	203	8	introduce	introduce	VERB
ejpam-796	203	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	203	10	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-796	203	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	203	12	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	203	13	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	203	14	has	have	VERB
ejpam-796	203	15	regressors	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-796	203	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	17	nesting	nest	VERB
ejpam-796	203	18	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	203	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	20	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	203	21	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	203	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	24	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	203	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	27	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	203	28	ur	ur	VERB
ejpam-796	203	29	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	203	30	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	203	31	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	203	32	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-796	203	33	+	+	PROPN
ejpam-796	203	34	β1dt	β1dt	PUNCT
ejpam-796	204	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	204	2	β2ur	β2ur	PUNCT
ejpam-796	204	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	204	4	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	204	5	+	+	X
ejpam-796	204	6	β3dt−1+υt	β3dt−1+υt	NOUN
ejpam-796	204	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	205	1	estimation	estimation	NOUN
ejpam-796	205	2	delivers	deliver	VERB
ejpam-796	205	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	205	4	bur	bur	PROPN
ejpam-796	205	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	205	6	t	t	X
ejpam-796	205	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	205	8	0.007	0.007	NUM
ejpam-796	205	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	205	10	0.002	0.002	NUM
ejpam-796	205	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	206	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	206	2	0.24	0.24	NUM
ejpam-796	206	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	206	4	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	206	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	206	6	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	207	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	207	2	0.86	0.86	NUM
ejpam-796	207	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	4	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	207	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	6	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	207	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	8	t−1−	t−1−	NUM
ejpam-796	207	9	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	207	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	11	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	207	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	13	dt−1	dt−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	207	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	15	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	207	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	207	17	r2	r2	NOUN
ejpam-796	207	18	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	1	0.88	0.88	NUM
ejpam-796	208	2	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	3	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	4	0.013	0.013	NUM
ejpam-796	208	5	fgum(3,123	fgum(3,123	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	7	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	208	8	308.2∗∗	308.2∗∗	NUM
ejpam-796	208	9	far(2,121	far(2,121	ADV
ejpam-796	208	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	11	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	208	12	2.5	2.5	NUM
ejpam-796	208	13	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	208	14	nd(2	nd(2	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	16	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	208	17	7.2∗	7.2∗	NUM
ejpam-796	208	18	farch(1,121	farch(1,121	NUM
ejpam-796	208	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	20	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	208	21	3.1	3.1	NUM
ejpam-796	208	22	fhet(6,116	fhet(6,116	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	24	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	208	25	4.2∗∗	4.2∗∗	PROPN
ejpam-796	208	26	freset(1,122	freset(1,122	X
ejpam-796	208	27	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	28	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	208	29	4.2∗	4.2∗	NUM
ejpam-796	208	30	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-796	208	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	32	4	4	X
ejpam-796	208	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	34	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	208	35	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	208	36	completely	completely	ADV
ejpam-796	208	37	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	208	38	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	39	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	208	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	41	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	208	42	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	208	43	again	again	ADV
ejpam-796	208	44	much	much	ADV
ejpam-796	208	45	better	well	ADJ
ejpam-796	208	46	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	47	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	208	48	certainly	certainly	ADV
ejpam-796	208	49	dominates	dominate	VERB
ejpam-796	208	50	both	both	DET
ejpam-796	208	51	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-796	208	52	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	54	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	208	55	f	f	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	56	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	57	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	58	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	208	59	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	208	60	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	208	61	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	62	progress	progress	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	63	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	208	64	option	option	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	65	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	208	66	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	208	67	reveal	reveal	VERB
ejpam-796	208	68	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	209	1	while	while	SCONJ
ejpam-796	209	2	illustrating	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	209	3	progressive	progressive	ADJ
ejpam-796	209	4	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	209	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	209	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	209	7	exercise	exercise	NOUN
ejpam-796	209	8	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	209	9	reveals	reveal	VERB
ejpam-796	209	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	209	11	inefficiency	inefficiency	NOUN
ejpam-796	209	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	209	13	commencing	commence	VERB
ejpam-796	209	14	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	209	15	overly	overly	ADV
ejpam-796	209	16	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	209	17	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	209	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	209	19	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	209	20	nothing	nothing	PRON
ejpam-796	209	21	precluded	preclude	VERB
ejpam-796	209	22	commencing	commence	VERB
ejpam-796	209	23	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	209	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	209	25	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	209	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	209	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	1	assuming	assume	VERB
ejpam-796	210	2	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-796	210	3	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	210	4	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	210	5	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	210	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	7	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	210	8	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	210	9	show	show	VERB
ejpam-796	210	10	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	210	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	210	12	unit	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	210	13	root	root	NOUN
ejpam-796	210	14	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	210	15	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	210	16	rejected	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	210	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	210	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	19	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	210	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	22	tur	tur	X
ejpam-796	210	23	=	=	VERB
ejpam-796	210	24	−3.9∗∗	−3.9∗∗	NOUN
ejpam-796	210	25	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	210	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	210	27	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	210	28	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	210	29	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	210	30	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	210	31	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	210	32	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	210	33	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	210	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	211	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	211	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	211	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	211	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	211	15	359	359	NUM
ejpam-796	211	16	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	17	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	211	18	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	211	19	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	211	20	20	20	NUM
ejpam-796	211	21	−1.0	−1.0	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	22	−0.5	−0.5	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	23	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	24	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	211	25	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	26	acf−ur	acf−ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	27	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	28	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	211	29	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	211	30	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	211	31	20	20	NUM
ejpam-796	211	32	−1.0	−1.0	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	33	−0.5	−0.5	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	34	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	35	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	211	36	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	211	37	acf−∆ur	acf−∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	38	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	39	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	211	40	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	41	correlograms	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	42	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	211	43	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	211	44	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	45	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	46	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	47	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	48	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	49	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	211	50	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	211	51	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	52	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	211	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	211	54	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	211	55	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	1	pcgive	pcgive	PROPN
ejpam-796	212	2	unit	unit	NOUN
ejpam-796	212	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	4	root	root	NOUN
ejpam-796	212	5	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	212	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	7	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	212	8	[	[	X
ejpam-796	212	9	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	212	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	11	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	212	12	]	]	NUM
ejpam-796	212	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	212	15	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	213	1	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	213	2	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	213	3	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	213	4	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	213	5	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	6	cointegrated	cointegrate	VERB
ejpam-796	213	7	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	9	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	213	10	co	co	ADJ
ejpam-796	213	11	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	213	12	breaking	breaking	ADJ
ejpam-796	213	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	14	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	213	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	213	16	[	[	X
ejpam-796	213	17	25	25	NUM
ejpam-796	213	18	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	19	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	213	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	1	next	next	ADV
ejpam-796	214	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	214	4	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	214	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	6	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	7	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	8	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	214	9	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	214	10	derived	derive	VERB
ejpam-796	214	11	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	214	12	taking	take	VERB
ejpam-796	214	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	214	14	expected	expect	VERB
ejpam-796	214	15	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	16	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	214	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	214	18	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	19	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	214	20	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	214	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	214	23	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-796	214	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	214	25	levels	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	26	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	214	27	constants	constant	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	28	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	214	29	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	214	30	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	31	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	32	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-796	214	33	β2	β2	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	34	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	35	u∗r	u∗r	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	36	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	214	37	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	38	+	+	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	39	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	40	β1	β1	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	41	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	214	42	β3	β3	ADJ
ejpam-796	214	43	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	44	d∗	d∗	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	46	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	214	47	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	48	u∗r	u∗r	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	49	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	214	50	β0	β0	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	51	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-796	214	52	β2	β2	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	53	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	214	54	β1	β1	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	55	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	214	56	β3	β3	ADJ
ejpam-796	214	57	1−	1−	NUM
ejpam-796	214	58	β2	β2	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	59	d∗	d∗	PROPN
ejpam-796	214	60	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	61	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	214	62	yields	yield	VERB
ejpam-796	214	63	u∗r	u∗r	NUM
ejpam-796	214	64	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	214	65	0.052	0.052	NUM
ejpam-796	214	66	+	+	SYM
ejpam-796	214	67	1.02d∗	1.02d∗	NUM
ejpam-796	214	68	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	214	69	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	214	70	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	214	71	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	214	72	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	73	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	214	74	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	214	75	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	215	2	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ejpam-796	215	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	215	4	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	215	5	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	215	6	unity	unity	NOUN
ejpam-796	215	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	215	8	much	much	ADV
ejpam-796	215	9	larger	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	215	10	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	215	11	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	215	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	215	13	0.35	0.35	NUM
ejpam-796	215	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	215	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	16	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	215	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	19	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	215	20	suggests	suggest	VERB
ejpam-796	215	21	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	215	22	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	215	23	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	24	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	215	25	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	215	26	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	215	27	reaction	reaction	NOUN
ejpam-796	215	28	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	215	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	215	30	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	215	31	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	215	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	216	1	6.1	6.1	NUM
ejpam-796	216	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	216	3	extensions	extension	NOUN
ejpam-796	216	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	216	5	is	be	VERB
ejpam-796	216	6	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	216	7	much	much	ADJ
ejpam-796	216	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	216	9	discuss	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	216	10	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	216	11	ones	one	NOUN
ejpam-796	216	12	desires	desire	NOUN
ejpam-796	216	13	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	216	14	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	216	15	stage	stage	NOUN
ejpam-796	216	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	217	2	example	example	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	217	5	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	217	6	few	few	ADJ
ejpam-796	217	7	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	9	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	217	10	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	217	11	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	217	12	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	217	13	negative	negative	ADJ
ejpam-796	217	14	fitted	fit	VERB
ejpam-796	217	15	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	17	suggesting	suggest	VERB
ejpam-796	217	18	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	217	19	logit	logit	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	20	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	22	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	217	23	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	217	24	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	217	25	attenuate	attenuate	VERB
ejpam-796	217	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	217	27	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	217	28	heteroscedasticity	heteroscedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-796	217	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	217	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	1	challenge	challenge	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	2	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	3	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	218	4	formulate	formulate	VERB
ejpam-796	218	5	alternative	alternative	ADJ
ejpam-796	218	6	explanations	explanation	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	218	9	test	test	VERB
ejpam-796	218	10	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	218	11	proposals	proposal	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	12	against	against	ADP
ejpam-796	218	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	218	14	evidence	evidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	15	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	218	17	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	218	18	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-796	218	19	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	218	20	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	218	21	encompass	encompass	VERB
ejpam-796	218	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	23	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	218	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	218	26	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	218	27	explaining	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	218	28	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	218	29	performance	performance	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	30	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	218	31	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	218	32	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	218	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	219	1	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	219	2	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	219	3	also	also	ADV
ejpam-796	219	4	check	check	VERB
ejpam-796	219	5	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	219	6	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	219	7	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	219	8	formal	formal	ADJ
ejpam-796	219	9	recursive	recursive	ADJ
ejpam-796	219	10	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	219	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	219	12	building	build	VERB
ejpam-796	219	13	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	219	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	219	15	earlier	early	ADJ
ejpam-796	219	16	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	219	17	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	219	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	1	figure	figure	VERB
ejpam-796	220	2	14	14	NUM
ejpam-796	220	3	records	record	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	220	5	outcome	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	220	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	8	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	220	9	):	):	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	10	despite	despite	SCONJ
ejpam-796	220	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	220	12	apparently	apparently	ADV
ejpam-796	220	13	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	14	wandering	wandering	ADJ
ejpam-796	220	15	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	16	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	220	19	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	20	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	21	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	22	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	220	23	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	220	24	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	220	25	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	220	26	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	220	27	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	220	28	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	29	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-796	220	30	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	220	31	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	220	32	do	do	AUX
ejpam-796	220	33	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	220	34	reject	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	220	35	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	221	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	221	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	221	3	surprising	surprising	ADJ
ejpam-796	221	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	221	5	such	such	DET
ejpam-796	221	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	221	7	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	221	8	representation	representation	NOUN
ejpam-796	221	9	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	221	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	221	11	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	221	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	221	13	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	221	14	describe	describe	VERB
ejpam-796	221	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	221	16	four	four	NUM
ejpam-796	221	17	distinct	distinct	ADJ
ejpam-796	221	18	epochs	epoch	NOUN
ejpam-796	221	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	221	20	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	221	21	about	about	ADP
ejpam-796	221	22	equally	equally	ADV
ejpam-796	221	23	accurately	accurately	ADV
ejpam-796	221	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	222	1	7	7	X
ejpam-796	222	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	222	3	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	4	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	5	having	having	AUX
ejpam-796	222	6	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-796	222	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	222	8	dangers	danger	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	222	10	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	222	11	approaches	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	222	13	general	general	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	222	15	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	222	16	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	222	17	specific	specific	ADJ
ejpam-796	222	18	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	19	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	222	20	needs	need	VERB
ejpam-796	222	21	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	222	22	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	222	23	explained	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	222	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	223	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	223	2	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	223	3	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	223	4	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-796	223	5	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	223	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	223	7	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	223	8	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	223	9	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	223	10	know	know	VERB
ejpam-796	223	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	223	12	advance	advance	NOUN
ejpam-796	223	13	which	which	DET
ejpam-796	223	14	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	223	15	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	223	16	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	223	17	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	223	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	223	19	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	223	20	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	223	21	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	223	22	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	223	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	224	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	224	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	224	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	224	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	224	15	360	360	NUM
ejpam-796	224	16	0.01	0.01	NUM
ejpam-796	224	17	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	224	18	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	224	19	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	224	20	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	224	21	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	224	22	0.07	0.07	NUM
ejpam-796	224	23	0.08	0.08	NUM
ejpam-796	224	24	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	224	25	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	224	26	0.11	0.11	NUM
ejpam-796	224	27	0.12	0.12	NUM
ejpam-796	224	28	0.13	0.13	NUM
ejpam-796	224	29	0.14	0.14	NUM
ejpam-796	224	30	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	224	31	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	224	32	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	224	33	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	224	34	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	224	35	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	37	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	38	×	×	PROPN
ejpam-796	224	39	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	224	40	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	224	41	t−1	t−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	224	42	−0.05	−0.05	NOUN
ejpam-796	224	43	−0.04	−0.04	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	1	−0.03	−0.03	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	2	−0.02	−0.02	X
ejpam-796	225	3	−0.01	−0.01	INTJ
ejpam-796	225	4	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	225	5	0.01	0.01	NUM
ejpam-796	225	6	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	225	7	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	225	8	0.04	0.04	NUM
ejpam-796	225	9	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	225	10	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	225	11	0.07	0.07	NUM
ejpam-796	225	12	0.08	0.08	NUM
ejpam-796	225	13	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	225	14	−0.05	−0.05	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	15	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	225	16	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	225	17	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	225	18	b∆ur	b∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	225	20	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	225	21	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	22	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	225	24	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	225	25	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	26	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	225	27	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	225	28	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	29	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	30	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	225	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	225	32	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	225	33	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	225	34	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	225	35	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	36	regressed	regress	VERB
ejpam-796	225	37	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	225	38	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	225	39	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	225	40	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	225	41	lag	lag	NOUN
ejpam-796	225	42	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	226	1	matter	matter	NOUN
ejpam-796	226	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	226	3	some	some	PRON
ejpam-796	226	4	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	226	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	226	6	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	226	7	some	some	PRON
ejpam-796	226	8	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	226	9	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	226	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	226	11	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	226	12	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	226	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	226	14	required	require	VERB
ejpam-796	226	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	227	1	indeed	indeed	ADV
ejpam-796	227	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	227	3	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	227	4	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	5	followed	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	227	6	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	227	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	227	8	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	9	entails	entail	VERB
ejpam-796	227	10	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	227	12	so	so	CCONJ
ejpam-796	227	13	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	227	14	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	227	15	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	227	17	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	227	19	ubiquitous	ubiquitous	ADJ
ejpam-796	227	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	227	21	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	227	22	unwilling	unwilling	ADJ
ejpam-796	227	23	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	24	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	227	25	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	227	26	admit	admit	VERB
ejpam-796	227	27	its	its	PRON
ejpam-796	227	28	existence	existence	NOUN
ejpam-796	227	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	1	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	2	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	4	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	228	6	pandemic	pandemic	ADJ
ejpam-796	228	7	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	8	every	every	DET
ejpam-796	228	9	aspect	aspect	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	228	11	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	228	12	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	228	13	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	14	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	228	15	uncertain	uncertain	ADJ
ejpam-796	228	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	17	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	228	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	19	existence	existence	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	228	21	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	228	22	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	228	23	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	228	25	reality	reality	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	28	viability	viability	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	228	30	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	228	31	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	32	corroborating	corroborating	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	33	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	34	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	228	37	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	38	measurements	measurement	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	39	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	228	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	41	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	42	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	43	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	228	44	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	228	45	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	228	46	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	47	choice	choice	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	48	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	228	49	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	50	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	51	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	228	52	every	every	DET
ejpam-796	228	53	assumption	assumption	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	54	needed	need	VERB
ejpam-796	228	55	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	228	56	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	228	57	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	59	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	228	60	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	228	61	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	62	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	63	constancy	constancy	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	64	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	65	linearity	linearity	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	66	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	228	67	independence	independence	NOUN
ejpam-796	228	68	etc	etc	X
ejpam-796	228	69	.	.	X
ejpam-796	229	1	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	229	2	must	must	AUX
ejpam-796	229	3	confront	confront	VERB
ejpam-796	229	4	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	229	5	issues	issue	NOUN
ejpam-796	229	6	openly	openly	ADV
ejpam-796	229	7	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-796	229	8	graduating	graduate	VERB
ejpam-796	229	9	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	229	10	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	229	11	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	229	12	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	229	13	competent	competent	ADJ
ejpam-796	229	14	practitioners	practitioner	NOUN
ejpam-796	229	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	230	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	230	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	230	3	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-796	230	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	230	5	sketch	sketch	VERB
ejpam-796	230	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	230	7	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	230	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	230	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	230	10	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	230	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	230	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	230	13	simplest	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	230	14	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	230	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	231	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	231	2	use	use	VERB
ejpam-796	231	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	231	4	idea	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	5	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	231	6	choosing	choose	VERB
ejpam-796	231	7	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	231	8	two	two	NUM
ejpam-796	231	9	decisions	decision	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	231	11	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	231	12	keeping	keep	VERB
ejpam-796	231	13	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	231	14	eliminating	eliminate	VERB
ejpam-796	231	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	231	16	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	231	18	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	231	19	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	231	20	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	231	21	two	two	NUM
ejpam-796	231	22	states	state	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	23	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	231	24	nature	nature	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	231	26	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	231	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	231	28	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	29	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	231	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	231	31	fact	fact	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	32	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	231	33	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	231	34	irrelevant	irrelevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	231	35	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	231	36	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	231	37	setting	setting	NOUN
ejpam-796	231	38	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	232	2	mistakes	mistake	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	3	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	232	4	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	5	retain	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	232	6	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	232	7	irrelevant	irrelevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	232	8	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	9	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	232	11	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	12	exclude	exclude	VERB
ejpam-796	232	13	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	232	14	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	232	15	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	16	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	232	18	akin	akin	ADJ
ejpam-796	232	19	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	232	20	probabilities	probability	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	232	22	type	type	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	23	i	i	PROPN
ejpam-796	232	24	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	232	25	ii	ii	PROPN
ejpam-796	232	26	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	232	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	1	consider	consider	VERB
ejpam-796	233	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	233	3	perfectly	perfectly	ADV
ejpam-796	233	4	orthogonal	orthogonal	ADJ
ejpam-796	233	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	6	correctly	correctly	ADV
ejpam-796	233	7	specified	specify	VERB
ejpam-796	233	8	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	10	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	11	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	12	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	13	β1z1,t	β1z1,t	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	14	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	233	15	β2z2,t	β2z2,t	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	16	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	233	17	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	19	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	233	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	21	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	233	22	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	233	23	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	24	have	have	VERB
ejpam-796	233	25	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	233	26	means	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	233	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	28	e[z1,tz2,t	e[z1,tz2,t	PRON
ejpam-796	233	29	]	]	X
ejpam-796	233	30	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	233	31	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	233	32	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	33	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	233	34	βi	βi	PRON
ejpam-796	233	35	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	233	36	constant	constant	ADJ
ejpam-796	233	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	233	38	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	233	39	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	40	∼	∼	VERB
ejpam-796	233	41	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	233	42	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	43	0,σ2	0,σ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	44	ε	ε	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	45	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	233	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	1	denote	denote	VERB
ejpam-796	234	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	234	3	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	5	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	6	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	7	h0	h0	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	9	β	β	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	10	j	j	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	11	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	12	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	234	13	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	234	14	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	15	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	234	18	let	let	VERB
ejpam-796	234	19	cα	cα	PART
ejpam-796	234	20	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	234	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	234	22	desired	desire	VERB
ejpam-796	234	23	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-796	234	24	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	25	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	234	26	retaining	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	234	27	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	234	28	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	234	29	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	234	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	31	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	234	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	234	33	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	234	34	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	35	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	36	≥	≥	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	37	c2	c2	PROPN
ejpam-796	234	38	α	α	PRON
ejpam-796	234	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	235	2	either	either	ADV
ejpam-796	235	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	4	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	235	5	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	235	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	7	β	β	PROPN
ejpam-796	235	8	j	j	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	9	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	10	0	0	PROPN
ejpam-796	235	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	235	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	13	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	235	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	235	17	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	235	19	falsely	falsely	ADV
ejpam-796	235	20	rejecting	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	235	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	235	22	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	23	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	235	24	determined	determine	VERB
ejpam-796	235	25	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	235	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	235	27	choice	choice	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	28	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	235	29	cα	cα	ADP
ejpam-796	235	30	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	235	31	conventionally	conventionally	ADV
ejpam-796	235	32	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	235	33	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	235	34	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	35	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	235	36	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	235	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	236	1	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	236	2	is	be	VERB
ejpam-796	236	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	236	4	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	236	5	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	236	6	chance	chance	NOUN
ejpam-796	236	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	236	8	incorrectly	incorrectly	ADV
ejpam-796	236	9	retaining	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	236	10	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	236	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	236	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	236	13	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	236	14	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	236	15	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	236	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	236	17	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	236	18	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	236	19	negligible	negligible	ADJ
ejpam-796	236	20	probability	probability	NOUN
ejpam-796	236	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	236	22	0.0025	0.0025	NUM
ejpam-796	236	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	236	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	236	25	retaining	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	236	26	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	236	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	1	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	237	2	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	237	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	4	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	237	5	both	both	PRON
ejpam-796	237	6	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	7	β	β	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	8	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	9	̸=	̸=	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	10	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	237	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	237	13	power	power	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	237	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	237	16	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	17	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	18	statistic	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	19	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	237	20	reject	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	237	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	237	22	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	23	depends	depend	VERB
ejpam-796	237	24	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	237	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	237	26	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	237	27	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	237	28	centrality	centrality	ADJ
ejpam-796	237	29	β2	β2	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	30	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	31	/v	/v	PUNCT
ejpam-796	237	32	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	33	bβ	bβ	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	34	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	35	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	36	≃	≃	VERB
ejpam-796	237	37	tβ2	tβ2	NOUN
ejpam-796	237	38	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	39	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-796	237	40	2	2	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	1	z	z	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	2	j	j	NOUN
ejpam-796	238	3	/σ2	/σ2	PUNCT
ejpam-796	238	4	ε	ε	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	5	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	238	6	e[z2	e[z2	X
ejpam-796	238	7	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	238	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	10	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	238	11	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	238	12	σ	σ	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	13	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	238	14	z	z	PROPN
ejpam-796	238	15	j	j	NOUN
ejpam-796	238	16	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	238	17	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	238	18	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	238	19	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	238	20	evaluated	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-796	238	21	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	238	22	simulation	simulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	238	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	239	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	239	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	239	3	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	239	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	239	5	factors	factor	NOUN
ejpam-796	239	6	affecting	affect	VERB
ejpam-796	239	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	239	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	239	9	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	239	10	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	239	11	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	239	12	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	239	13	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	239	14	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	239	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	240	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	240	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	240	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	240	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	240	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	240	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	240	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	240	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	240	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	240	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	240	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	240	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	240	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	240	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	240	15	361	361	NUM
ejpam-796	240	16	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	240	17	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	240	18	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	240	19	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	240	20	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	240	21	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	240	22	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	241	1	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	242	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	2	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	3	ûr	ûr	ADV
ejpam-796	242	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	5	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	6	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	242	7	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	242	8	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	242	9	−1	−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	10	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	242	11	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	242	12	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	242	13	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	242	14	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	242	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	16	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	17	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	242	18	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	19	−3	−3	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	20	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	21	−1	−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	22	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	242	23	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	242	24	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	242	25	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	242	26	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	242	27	0.1	0.1	NUM
ejpam-796	242	28	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	242	29	0.3	0.3	NUM
ejpam-796	242	30	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-796	242	31	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	242	32	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	33	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	242	34	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	242	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	36	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	37	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	38	n(0,1	n(0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	39	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	40	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	242	41	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	242	42	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	242	43	−0.5	−0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	242	44	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	242	45	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	242	46	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	242	47	correlogram	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	48	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	242	49	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	50	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	51	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	52	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	53	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	54	11	11	NUM
ejpam-796	242	55	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	242	56	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	242	57	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	58	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	242	59	ur	ur	PRON
ejpam-796	242	60	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	242	61	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	242	62	outcome	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	63	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	242	64	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	65	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	242	66	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	242	67	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	242	68	place	place	NOUN
ejpam-796	242	69	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	243	1	7.1	7.1	NUM
ejpam-796	243	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	244	1	understanding	understand	VERB
ejpam-796	244	2	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	244	3	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	244	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	244	5	interesting	interesting	ADJ
ejpam-796	244	6	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	244	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	244	8	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	244	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	244	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	244	11	generalizing	generalize	VERB
ejpam-796	244	12	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	244	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	244	14	yt	yt	PROPN
ejpam-796	244	15	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	244	16	n∑	n∑	PROPN
ejpam-796	244	17	i=1	i=1	PROPN
ejpam-796	245	1	βizi	βizi	PROPN
ejpam-796	245	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	245	3	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	246	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	246	2	εt	εt	PROPN
ejpam-796	246	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	246	4	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	246	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	246	6	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	246	7	n	n	PRON
ejpam-796	246	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	246	9	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	246	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	246	11	say	say	INTJ
ejpam-796	246	12	40	40	NUM
ejpam-796	246	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	246	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	1	order	order	VERB
ejpam-796	247	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	247	3	n	n	NUM
ejpam-796	247	4	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	5	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	6	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	7	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	8	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	247	9	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	11	n	n	CCONJ
ejpam-796	247	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	13	≥	≥	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	14	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	16	n+1	n+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	18	≥	≥	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	19	·	·	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	20	·	·	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	21	·	·	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	22	≥	≥	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	23	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	25	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	247	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	28	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	247	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	247	30	cut	cut	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	31	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	32	off	off	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	33	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	247	34	included	include	VERB
ejpam-796	247	35	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	247	36	excluded	exclude	VERB
ejpam-796	247	37	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	38	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	247	39	given	give	VERB
ejpam-796	247	40	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	247	41	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	42	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	43	n	n	CCONJ
ejpam-796	247	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	45	≥	≥	NOUN
ejpam-796	247	46	c2	c2	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	47	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	48	>	>	X
ejpam-796	247	49	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	50	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	51	n−1	n−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	52	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	53	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	247	54	so	so	CCONJ
ejpam-796	247	55	n	n	PRON
ejpam-796	247	56	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	247	57	retained	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	247	58	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	247	59	n	n	PRON
ejpam-796	247	60	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	247	61	n	n	PRON
ejpam-796	247	62	eliminated	eliminate	VERB
ejpam-796	247	63	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	248	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	248	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	248	3	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	248	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	248	5	larger	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	248	6	t2	t2	NOUN
ejpam-796	248	7	values	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	248	8	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	248	9	retained	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	248	10	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	248	11	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-796	248	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	248	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	248	14	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	248	15	others	other	NOUN
ejpam-796	248	16	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	248	17	eliminated	eliminate	VERB
ejpam-796	248	18	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	249	1	importantly	importantly	ADV
ejpam-796	249	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	249	3	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	249	4	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	249	5	decision	decision	NOUN
ejpam-796	249	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	249	7	needed	need	VERB
ejpam-796	249	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	249	9	select	select	VERB
ejpam-796	249	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	249	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	249	12	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	249	13	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	249	14	n	n	NOUN
ejpam-796	249	15	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	249	16	1000	1000	NUM
ejpam-796	249	17	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	249	18	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	249	19	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	249	20	21000	21000	NUM
ejpam-796	249	21	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	249	22	10301	10301	NUM
ejpam-796	249	23	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-796	249	24	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	249	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	1	consequently	consequently	ADV
ejpam-796	250	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	3	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	4	repeated	repeat	VERB
ejpam-796	250	5	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	6	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	7	does	do	AUX
ejpam-796	250	8	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	250	9	occur	occur	VERB
ejpam-796	250	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	11	although	although	SCONJ
ejpam-796	250	12	path	path	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	13	searches	search	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	14	during	during	ADP
ejpam-796	250	15	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	16	reduction	reduction	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	17	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	250	18	give	give	VERB
ejpam-796	250	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	250	20	impression	impression	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	250	22	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	23	repeated	repeat	VERB
ejpam-796	250	24	testing	testing	NOUN
ejpam-796	250	25	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	250	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	251	1	moreover	moreover	ADV
ejpam-796	251	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	251	3	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	251	4	n	n	PRON
ejpam-796	251	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	251	6	large	large	ADJ
ejpam-796	251	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	251	8	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	251	9	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	251	10	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	251	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	251	12	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-796	251	13	false	false	ADJ
ejpam-796	251	14	retention	retention	NOUN
ejpam-796	251	15	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	251	16	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	251	17	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	251	18	irrelevant	irrelevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	251	19	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	251	20	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	251	21	setting	set	VERB
ejpam-796	251	22	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	251	23	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	251	24	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	251	25	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	251	26	n	n	NOUN
ejpam-796	251	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	251	28	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	251	29	αn	αn	NOUN
ejpam-796	252	1	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	252	2	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	252	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	252	4	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	252	5	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	252	6	possible	possible	ADJ
ejpam-796	252	7	cost	cost	NOUN
ejpam-796	252	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	252	9	lower	low	ADJ
ejpam-796	252	10	correct	correct	ADJ
ejpam-796	252	11	retention	retention	NOUN
ejpam-796	252	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	1	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	253	2	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	4	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	253	5	is	be	VERB
ejpam-796	253	6	sampling	sample	VERB
ejpam-796	253	7	uncertainty	uncertainty	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	9	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	253	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	253	11	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	253	12	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	253	13	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	253	14	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	15	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	253	16	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	253	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	253	20	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	253	21	draw	draw	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	22	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	23	those	those	PRON
ejpam-796	253	24	close	close	ADJ
ejpam-796	253	25	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	253	26	c2	c2	PROPN
ejpam-796	253	27	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-796	253	28	could	could	AUX
ejpam-796	253	29	randomly	randomly	ADV
ejpam-796	253	30	lie	lie	VERB
ejpam-796	253	31	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	253	32	either	either	DET
ejpam-796	253	33	side	side	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	34	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	253	35	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	253	36	both	both	CCONJ
ejpam-796	253	37	relevant	relevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	253	38	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	253	39	irrelevant	irrelevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	253	40	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	253	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	254	1	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	254	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	254	3	important	important	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	254	5	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	254	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	254	7	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	8	role	role	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	9	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	254	10	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	11	marginal	marginal	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	12	decisions	decision	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	13	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	254	14	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	15	t2values	t2value	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	16	close	close	ADV
ejpam-796	254	17	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	254	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	254	19	critical	critical	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	20	value	value	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	21	c2	c2	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	22	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	23	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	254	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	254	25	danger	danger	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	26	zone	zone	NOUN
ejpam-796	254	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	254	28	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	254	29	some	some	PRON
ejpam-796	254	30	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	254	31	likely	likely	ADJ
ejpam-796	254	32	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	254	33	arise	arise	VERB
ejpam-796	254	34	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	254	35	chance	chance	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	36	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	37	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	38	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	254	39	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	40	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	41	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	254	42	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	254	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	255	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	255	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	255	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	255	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	255	15	362	362	NUM
ejpam-796	255	16	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	255	17	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	255	18	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	255	19	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	255	20	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	255	21	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	255	22	aur	aur	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	24	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	25	ûr	ûr	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	27	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	28	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	255	29	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	255	30	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	255	31	−2.5	−2.5	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	32	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	33	2.5	2.5	NUM
ejpam-796	255	34	5.0	5.0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	35	b	b	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	36	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	255	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	38	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	39	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	255	40	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	41	−4	−4	X
ejpam-796	255	42	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	43	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	44	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	255	45	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	255	46	6	6	NUM
ejpam-796	255	47	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	255	48	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-796	255	49	0.6	0.6	NUM
ejpam-796	255	50	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	51	c	c	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	52	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	53	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	255	54	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	255	55	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	56	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	57	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	58	n(0,1	n(0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	59	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	60	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	61	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	255	62	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	255	63	−0.5	−0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	255	64	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	65	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	255	66	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	255	67	dcorrelogram	dcorrelogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	68	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	255	69	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	255	70	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	71	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	72	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	73	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	74	12	12	NUM
ejpam-796	255	75	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	76	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	255	77	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	78	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	79	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	255	80	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	255	81	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	255	82	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	255	83	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	255	84	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-796	255	85	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	256	1	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	256	2	irrelevant	irrelevant	ADJ
ejpam-796	256	3	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	256	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	256	5	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	256	6	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	256	7	α	α	PROPN
ejpam-796	256	8	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	256	9	as	as	ADV
ejpam-796	256	10	small	small	ADJ
ejpam-796	256	11	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	256	12	0.001	0.001	NUM
ejpam-796	256	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	257	1	fortunately	fortunately	ADV
ejpam-796	257	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	257	3	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	257	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	257	5	relatively	relatively	ADV
ejpam-796	257	6	easy	easy	ADJ
ejpam-796	257	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	257	8	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	257	9	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	257	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	257	11	bias	bias	VERB
ejpam-796	257	12	correct	correct	VERB
ejpam-796	257	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	257	14	resulting	result	VERB
ejpam-796	257	15	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	257	16	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	257	17	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	257	18	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	257	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	257	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	257	21	why	why	SCONJ
ejpam-796	257	22	doing	do	VERB
ejpam-796	257	23	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	257	24	drives	drive	VERB
ejpam-796	257	25	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	257	26	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	257	27	t2	t2	PROPN
ejpam-796	257	28	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	257	29	just	just	ADV
ejpam-796	257	30	exceeds	exceed	VERB
ejpam-796	257	31	c2	c2	PROPN
ejpam-796	257	32	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	257	33	close	close	ADV
ejpam-796	257	34	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	257	35	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	257	36	[	[	X
ejpam-796	257	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	257	38	e.g.	e.g.	ADV
ejpam-796	257	39	24	24	NUM
ejpam-796	257	40	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	257	41	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	1	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	2	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	258	3	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	258	4	covered	cover	VERB
ejpam-796	258	5	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	258	6	basic	basic	ADJ
ejpam-796	258	7	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	258	9	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	10	[	[	X
ejpam-796	258	11	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	258	12	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	258	13	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	15	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	258	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	17	despite	despite	SCONJ
ejpam-796	258	18	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	258	19	inexperience	inexperience	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	21	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	258	22	start	start	VERB
ejpam-796	258	23	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	258	24	handle	handle	VERB
ejpam-796	258	25	realistically	realistically	ADV
ejpam-796	258	26	complicated	complicate	VERB
ejpam-796	258	27	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	28	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	258	29	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	258	30	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	258	32	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	258	33	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	258	34	led	lead	VERB
ejpam-796	258	35	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	258	36	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	258	37	marked	mark	VERB
ejpam-796	258	38	improvement	improvement	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	39	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	258	40	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	258	41	quality	quality	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	42	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	258	43	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	258	44	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	258	45	work	work	NOUN
ejpam-796	258	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	259	1	nevertheless	nevertheless	ADV
ejpam-796	259	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	259	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	259	4	final	final	ADJ
ejpam-796	259	5	advance	advance	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	6	merits	merit	VERB
ejpam-796	259	7	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	259	9	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	259	10	handling	handle	VERB
ejpam-796	259	11	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-796	259	12	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	13	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	259	14	observations	observation	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	15	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	259	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	259	17	canonical	canonical	ADJ
ejpam-796	259	18	case	case	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	19	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	259	20	impulse	impulse	ADJ
ejpam-796	259	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	259	22	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	23	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	259	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	260	1	7.2	7.2	NUM
ejpam-796	260	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	260	3	impulse	impulse	ADJ
ejpam-796	260	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	260	5	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	6	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	260	8	basic	basic	ADJ
ejpam-796	260	9	idea	idea	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	10	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	260	11	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	260	12	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	260	13	saturate	saturate	VERB
ejpam-796	260	14	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	260	15	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	260	16	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	260	18	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	260	19	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	260	20	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	21	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	22	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	260	23	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	260	24	candidate	candidate	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	25	regressor	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-796	260	26	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	260	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	261	1	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	261	2	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	261	3	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	261	4	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	261	5	simultaneously	simultaneously	ADV
ejpam-796	261	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	261	7	any	any	DET
ejpam-796	261	8	equation	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	261	9	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	261	10	generate	generate	VERB
ejpam-796	261	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	261	12	perfect	perfect	ADJ
ejpam-796	261	13	fit	fit	NOUN
ejpam-796	261	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	261	15	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	261	16	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	261	17	nothing	nothing	PRON
ejpam-796	261	18	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	261	19	learned	learn	VERB
ejpam-796	261	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	1	instead	instead	ADV
ejpam-796	262	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	3	exploiting	exploit	VERB
ejpam-796	262	4	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	262	5	orthogonality	orthogonality	NOUN
ejpam-796	262	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	7	add	add	VERB
ejpam-796	262	8	half	half	DET
ejpam-796	262	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	262	10	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	262	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	12	record	record	VERB
ejpam-796	262	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	262	14	significant	significant	ADJ
ejpam-796	262	15	ones	one	NOUN
ejpam-796	262	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	262	18	remove	remove	VERB
ejpam-796	262	19	them	they	PRON
ejpam-796	262	20	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	21	this	this	DET
ejpam-796	262	22	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	262	23	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	262	24	just	just	ADV
ejpam-796	262	25	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	26	dummying	dummy	VERB
ejpam-796	262	27	out	out	ADP
ejpam-796	262	28	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	29	t/2	t/2	NUM
ejpam-796	262	30	observations	observation	NOUN
ejpam-796	262	31	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	262	32	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	262	33	[	[	X
ejpam-796	262	34	36	36	NUM
ejpam-796	262	35	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	262	36	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	263	1	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	263	2	add	add	VERB
ejpam-796	263	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	263	4	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	263	5	half	half	NOUN
ejpam-796	263	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	263	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	263	8	select	select	VERB
ejpam-796	263	9	again	again	ADV
ejpam-796	263	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	263	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	263	12	finally	finally	ADV
ejpam-796	263	13	combine	combine	VERB
ejpam-796	263	14	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	263	15	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-796	263	16	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	263	17	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	263	18	two	two	NUM
ejpam-796	263	19	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	263	20	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	263	21	select	select	VERB
ejpam-796	263	22	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	263	23	usual	usual	ADJ
ejpam-796	263	24	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	264	2	feasible	feasible	ADJ
ejpam-796	264	3	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
ejpam-796	264	4	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	264	5	discussed	discuss	VERB
ejpam-796	264	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	264	7	[	[	X
ejpam-796	264	8	23	23	NUM
ejpam-796	264	9	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	10	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	264	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	264	12	simple	simple	ADJ
ejpam-796	264	13	location	location	NOUN
ejpam-796	264	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	15	scale	scale	NOUN
ejpam-796	264	16	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	264	17	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	264	18	x	x	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	19	i	i	PRON
ejpam-796	264	20	∼	∼	VERB
ejpam-796	264	21	iid	iid	VERB
ejpam-796	264	22	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	264	23	µ,σ2	µ,σ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	264	24	x	x	SYM
ejpam-796	264	25	�	�	PROPN
ejpam-796	264	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	264	28	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	264	29	extended	extend	VERB
ejpam-796	264	30	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	264	31	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-796	264	32	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-796	264	33	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	264	34	[	[	X
ejpam-796	264	35	31	31	NUM
ejpam-796	264	36	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	264	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	265	1	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	265	2	theorem	theorem	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	3	shows	show	VERB
ejpam-796	265	4	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	265	5	after	after	ADP
ejpam-796	265	6	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	265	8	eµ	eµ	PROPN
ejpam-796	265	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	265	10	unbiased	unbiased	ADJ
ejpam-796	265	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	265	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	265	13	αt	αt	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	14	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	15	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	265	16	retained	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	265	17	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	265	18	chance	chance	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	19	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	265	20	average	average	ADJ
ejpam-796	265	21	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	265	22	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	265	23	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	265	24	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	25	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	26	0.01	0.01	NUM
ejpam-796	265	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	265	28	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	29	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	265	30	100	100	NUM
ejpam-796	265	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	265	32	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	265	33	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	265	34	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	35	will	will	AUX
ejpam-796	265	36	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	265	37	retained	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	265	38	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	265	39	chance	chance	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	40	under	under	ADP
ejpam-796	265	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	265	42	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	43	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	265	44	though	though	SCONJ
ejpam-796	265	45	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	265	46	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	265	47	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-796	265	48	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	49	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	265	50	observations	observation	NOUN
ejpam-796	265	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	266	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	266	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	266	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	266	4	procedure	procedure	NOUN
ejpam-796	266	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	266	6	highly	highly	ADV
ejpam-796	266	7	efficient	efficient	ADJ
ejpam-796	266	8	under	under	ADP
ejpam-796	266	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	266	10	null	null	NOUN
ejpam-796	266	11	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	266	12	there	there	PRON
ejpam-796	266	13	are	be	VERB
ejpam-796	266	14	no	no	DET
ejpam-796	266	15	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	266	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	266	17	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ejpam-796	266	18	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	266	19	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	266	20	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	266	21	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	266	22	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	266	23	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	266	24	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	266	25	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	266	26	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	266	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	267	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	267	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	267	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	267	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	267	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	267	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	267	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	267	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	267	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	267	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	267	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	267	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	267	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	267	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	267	15	363	363	NUM
ejpam-796	267	16	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	267	17	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	267	18	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	267	19	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	267	20	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	267	21	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	267	22	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	268	1	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	269	1	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	2	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	3	ûr	ûr	ADV
ejpam-796	269	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	5	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	6	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	269	7	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	269	8	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	269	9	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	10	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	269	11	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	269	12	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	269	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	14	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	15	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	269	16	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	17	−3	−3	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	18	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	19	−1	−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	20	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	269	21	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	269	22	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	269	23	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	269	24	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	269	25	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	269	26	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-796	269	27	0.6	0.6	NUM
ejpam-796	269	28	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	29	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	269	30	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	269	31	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	32	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	33	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	34	n(0,1	n(0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	35	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	36	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	269	37	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	269	38	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	269	39	−0.5	−0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	269	40	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	269	41	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	269	42	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	269	43	correlogram	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	44	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	269	45	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	46	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	47	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	48	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	49	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	50	13	13	NUM
ejpam-796	269	51	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	52	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	269	53	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	54	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	269	55	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	269	56	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	57	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	269	58	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-796	269	59	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	270	1	contamination	contamination	NOUN
ejpam-796	270	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	271	1	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	2	uses	use	VERB
ejpam-796	271	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	271	4	more	more	ADV
ejpam-796	271	5	sophisticated	sophisticated	ADJ
ejpam-796	271	6	algorithm	algorithm	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	7	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	271	8	just	just	ADV
ejpam-796	271	9	split	split	ADJ
ejpam-796	271	10	halves	half	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	271	12	[	[	X
ejpam-796	271	13	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	271	14	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	271	15	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	271	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	271	17	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	271	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	271	19	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	20	process	process	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	21	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	271	22	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	271	23	illustrated	illustrate	VERB
ejpam-796	271	24	live	live	ADV
ejpam-796	271	25	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	271	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	271	27	classroom	classroom	NOUN
ejpam-796	271	28	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	272	1	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	272	2	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	272	3	start	start	VERB
ejpam-796	272	4	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	272	5	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	272	6	lags	lag	NOUN
ejpam-796	272	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	272	8	both	both	DET
ejpam-796	272	9	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	272	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	272	11	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	272	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	272	13	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	272	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	272	15	set	set	VERB
ejpam-796	272	16	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	272	17	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	272	18	0.0025	0.0025	NUM
ejpam-796	272	19	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	272	20	t	t	NOUN
ejpam-796	272	21	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	272	22	126	126	NUM
ejpam-796	272	23	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	1	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	2	locates	locate	VERB
ejpam-796	273	3	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	273	4	significant	significant	ADJ
ejpam-796	273	5	outliers	outlier	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	7	1879	1879	NUM
ejpam-796	273	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	9	1880	1880	NUM
ejpam-796	273	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	11	1884	1884	NUM
ejpam-796	273	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	13	1908	1908	NUM
ejpam-796	273	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	15	1921	1921	NUM
ejpam-796	273	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	17	1922	1922	NUM
ejpam-796	273	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	19	1930	1930	NUM
ejpam-796	273	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	21	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	273	22	1939	1939	NUM
ejpam-796	273	23	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	273	25	19th	19th	ADJ
ejpam-796	273	26	century	century	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	27	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	28	may	may	AUX
ejpam-796	273	29	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	273	30	due	due	ADJ
ejpam-796	273	31	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	273	32	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	33	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	35	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	273	37	yields	yield	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	38	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	39	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	273	40	reporting	report	VERB
ejpam-796	273	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	273	42	indicators):‡bur	indicators):‡bur	NOUN
ejpam-796	273	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	44	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	273	45	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	273	46	0.004	0.004	NUM
ejpam-796	273	47	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	48	0.0015	0.0015	NUM
ejpam-796	273	49	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	50	+	+	NUM
ejpam-796	273	51	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	273	52	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	53	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	273	54	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	273	55	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	1	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	274	2	1.29	1.29	NUM
ejpam-796	274	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	4	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	274	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	6	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	274	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	8	t−1−	t−1−	NUM
ejpam-796	274	9	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	274	10	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	11	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	274	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	13	dt−1−	dt−1−	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	14	0.39	0.39	NUM
ejpam-796	274	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	16	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	274	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	18	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	274	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	20	t−2	t−2	PROPN
ejpam-796	274	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	22	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	274	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	24	r2	r2	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	25	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	26	0.95	0.95	NUM
ejpam-796	274	27	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	28	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	29	0.008	0.008	NUM
ejpam-796	274	30	far(2,111	far(2,111	PROPN
ejpam-796	274	31	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	32	=	=	PROPN
ejpam-796	274	33	1.59	1.59	NUM
ejpam-796	274	34	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	274	35	nd(2	nd(2	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	36	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	37	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	274	38	7.98∗	7.98∗	NUM
ejpam-796	274	39	farch(1,1249	farch(1,1249	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	40	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	41	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	42	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	274	43	fhet(14,103	fhet(14,103	X
ejpam-796	274	44	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	45	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	46	1.03	1.03	NUM
ejpam-796	274	47	freset(2,111	freset(2,111	NOUN
ejpam-796	274	48	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	274	49	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	275	1	1.41	1.41	NUM
ejpam-796	275	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	275	3	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	275	4	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	275	5	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	275	6	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-796	275	7	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	275	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	275	9	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	275	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	275	11	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	275	12	u∗r	u∗r	X
ejpam-796	275	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	275	14	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	275	15	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	275	16	0.62d∗	0.62d∗	NUM
ejpam-796	275	17	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	275	18	has	have	VERB
ejpam-796	275	19	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	275	20	coefficient	coefficient	NOUN
ejpam-796	275	21	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	275	22	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	275	23	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	275	24	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	275	25	smaller	small	ADJ
ejpam-796	275	26	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	275	27	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	275	28	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	275	29	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	275	30	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	275	31	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	276	1	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	276	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	276	3	no	no	DET
ejpam-796	276	4	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	5	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	276	7	significant	significant	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	8	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	9	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	276	10	normality	normality	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	276	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	276	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	276	14	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	276	16	congruent	congruent	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	276	18	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	19	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	276	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	276	21	excess	excess	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	22	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	276	23	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	276	24	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	25	visible	visible	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	26	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	276	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	276	28	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	276	29	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	276	30	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	277	1	7.3	7.3	NUM
ejpam-796	277	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	278	1	monte	monte	PROPN
ejpam-796	278	2	carlo	carlo	PROPN
ejpam-796	278	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	278	4	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	278	5	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	278	6	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	278	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	278	8	evaluate	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-796	278	9	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	278	10	well	well	ADV
ejpam-796	278	11	such	such	ADJ
ejpam-796	278	12	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	278	13	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	278	14	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	278	15	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	278	16	specific	specific	ADJ
ejpam-796	278	17	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	278	18	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	278	19	works	work	VERB
ejpam-796	278	20	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-796	279	1	everyone	everyone	PRON
ejpam-796	279	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	279	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	279	4	class	class	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	5	generates	generate	VERB
ejpam-796	279	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	279	7	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	279	8	artificial	artificial	ADJ
ejpam-796	279	9	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	10	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	279	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	279	12	same	same	ADJ
ejpam-796	279	13	dgp	dgp	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	279	15	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	279	16	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	279	17	design	design	VERB
ejpam-796	279	18	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	279	19	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	279	20	‡three	‡three	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	21	more	more	ADJ
ejpam-796	279	22	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	23	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	279	24	1887	1887	NUM
ejpam-796	279	25	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	279	26	1910	1910	NUM
ejpam-796	279	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	279	28	1938	1938	NUM
ejpam-796	279	29	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	279	30	retained	retain	VERB
ejpam-796	279	31	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	279	32	α=	α=	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	33	0.01	0.01	NUM
ejpam-796	279	34	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	279	35	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	279	36	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	279	37	similar	similar	ADJ
ejpam-796	279	38	equation	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	279	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	280	1	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	280	2	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	280	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	280	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	280	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	280	6	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	280	7	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	280	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	281	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	281	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	281	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	281	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	281	15	364	364	NUM
ejpam-796	281	16	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	281	17	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	281	18	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	281	19	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	281	20	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	281	21	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	281	22	0.50	0.50	NUM
ejpam-796	281	23	0.75	0.75	NUM
ejpam-796	281	24	1.00	1.00	NUM
ejpam-796	281	25	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	281	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	281	27	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	28	×	×	NOUN
ejpam-796	281	29	±	±	NUM
ejpam-796	281	30	2se	2se	ADJ
ejpam-796	281	31	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	281	32	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	281	33	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	281	34	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	281	35	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	281	36	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	281	37	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	281	38	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	281	39	intercept	intercept	NOUN
ejpam-796	281	40	×	×	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	41	±	±	NUM
ejpam-796	281	42	2se	2se	ADJ
ejpam-796	281	43	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	281	44	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	281	45	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	281	46	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	281	47	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	281	48	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	281	49	0.25	0.25	NUM
ejpam-796	281	50	0.50	0.50	NUM
ejpam-796	281	51	0.75	0.75	NUM
ejpam-796	281	52	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	281	53	×	×	PROPN
ejpam-796	281	54	±	±	NUM
ejpam-796	281	55	2se	2se	ADJ
ejpam-796	281	56	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	281	57	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	281	58	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	281	59	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	281	60	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	281	61	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	282	1	−0.2	−0.2	PROPN
ejpam-796	283	1	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	283	2	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	283	3	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-796	283	4	dt−1	dt−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	283	5	×	×	PROPN
ejpam-796	283	6	±	±	NUM
ejpam-796	283	7	2se	2se	ADJ
ejpam-796	283	8	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	283	9	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	283	10	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	283	11	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	283	12	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	283	13	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	283	14	−0.025	−0.025	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	15	0.000	0.000	NUM
ejpam-796	283	16	0.025	0.025	NUM
ejpam-796	283	17	1−step	1−step	NUM
ejpam-796	283	18	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	19	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	283	20	0±	0±	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	21	2σ̂	2σ̂	ADJ
ejpam-796	283	22	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	283	23	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	283	24	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	283	25	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	283	26	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	283	27	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	283	28	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	283	29	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	283	30	1−step	1−step	NUM
ejpam-796	283	31	chow	chow	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	32	tests	test	VERB
ejpam-796	283	33	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	283	34	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	35	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	283	36	1920	1920	NUM
ejpam-796	283	37	1940	1940	NUM
ejpam-796	283	38	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	283	39	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	283	40	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	283	41	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	283	42	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	283	43	break−point	break−point	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	44	chow	chow	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	45	tests	test	VERB
ejpam-796	283	46	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	283	47	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	48	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	49	14	14	NUM
ejpam-796	283	50	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	283	51	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	283	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	283	53	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	283	54	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	55	recursive	recursive	ADJ
ejpam-796	283	56	output	output	NOUN
ejpam-796	283	57	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	284	1	group	group	NOUN
ejpam-796	284	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	284	3	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	284	4	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	284	5	all	all	PRON
ejpam-796	284	6	apply	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	284	7	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	284	8	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	284	9	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	284	10	own	own	ADJ
ejpam-796	284	11	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	284	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	1	pool	pool	VERB
ejpam-796	285	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	285	3	class	class	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	4	results	result	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	285	6	relate	relate	VERB
ejpam-796	285	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	285	8	outcomes	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	9	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	285	10	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	285	11	above	above	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	12	theoretical	theoretical	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	13	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	14	delete	delete	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	15	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	285	16	keep	keep	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	17	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	18	calculations	calculation	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	19	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	20	then	then	ADV
ejpam-796	285	21	repeat	repeat	VERB
ejpam-796	285	22	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	285	23	looser	loose	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	24	/	/	SYM
ejpam-796	285	25	tighter	tight	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	26	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	27	criteria	criterion	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	28	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	29	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	285	30	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	285	31	without	without	ADP
ejpam-796	285	32	impulse	impulse	ADJ
ejpam-796	285	33	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	34	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	35	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	36	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	285	37	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	285	38	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	285	39	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	285	40	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	41	matches	match	VERB
ejpam-796	285	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	285	43	practice	practice	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	44	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	285	45	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	285	46	works	work	NOUN
ejpam-796	285	47	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	1	7.4	7.4	NUM
ejpam-796	286	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	3	evaluating	evaluate	VERB
ejpam-796	286	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	286	5	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	6	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	286	7	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	286	8	advanced	advanced	ADJ
ejpam-796	286	9	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	11	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	12	issues	issue	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	13	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	286	14	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	286	15	explored	explore	VERB
ejpam-796	286	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	17	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	286	18	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	286	19	impulse	impulse	ADJ
ejpam-796	286	20	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	21	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	22	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	23	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	286	24	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	286	25	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	286	26	marginal	marginal	ADJ
ejpam-796	286	27	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	28	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	286	29	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	286	30	supposedly	supposedly	ADV
ejpam-796	286	31	exogenous	exogenous	ADJ
ejpam-796	286	32	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	286	33	[	[	X
ejpam-796	286	34	see	see	VERB
ejpam-796	286	35	30	30	NUM
ejpam-796	286	36	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	286	37	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	1	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	287	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	3	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	287	4	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	287	5	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	287	6	dt	dt	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	8	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	287	9	develop	develop	VERB
ejpam-796	287	10	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	287	11	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	287	13	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	287	14	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	287	15	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	287	16	lagged	lag	VERB
ejpam-796	287	17	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	18	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	287	19	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	20	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	21	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	22	takes	take	VERB
ejpam-796	287	23	under	under	ADP
ejpam-796	287	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	287	25	minute	minute	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	26	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	287	27	formulation	formulation	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	28	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	287	29	completion	completion	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	30	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	287	31	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	32	say	say	INTJ
ejpam-796	287	33	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	34	α	α	NOUN
ejpam-796	287	35	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	287	36	0.0025	0.0025	NUM
ejpam-796	287	37	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	38	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	287	39	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	287	40	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	41	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	287	42	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	287	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	288	1	dt	dt	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	1	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	2	0.55	0.55	NUM
ejpam-796	289	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	4	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	289	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	6	dt−1	dt−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	7	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	289	8	0.16	0.16	NUM
ejpam-796	289	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	10	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	289	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	12	i1915	i1915	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	13	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	14	0.13	0.13	NUM
ejpam-796	289	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	16	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	289	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	18	i1917	i1917	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	19	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	289	20	0.24	0.24	NUM
ejpam-796	289	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	22	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	289	23	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	24	i1921	i1921	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	25	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-796	289	26	0.12	0.12	NUM
ejpam-796	289	27	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	289	28	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	289	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	290	1	i1926	i1926	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	1	+	+	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	2	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	291	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	4	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	291	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	6	i1931	i1931	ADP
ejpam-796	291	7	−	−	NUM
ejpam-796	291	8	0.14	0.14	NUM
ejpam-796	291	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	10	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	291	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	12	i1940	i1940	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	13	−	−	NUM
ejpam-796	291	14	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	291	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	16	0.03	0.03	NUM
ejpam-796	291	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	18	i1975	i1975	PROPN
ejpam-796	291	19	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	20	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-796	291	21	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	22	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	291	23	0.028	0.028	NUM
ejpam-796	291	24	far(2,116	far(2,116	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	26	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	291	27	1.32	1.32	NUM
ejpam-796	291	28	farch(1,124	farch(1,124	NUM
ejpam-796	291	29	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	30	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	291	31	0.19	0.19	NUM
ejpam-796	291	32	χ2	χ2	PROPN
ejpam-796	291	33	nd(2	nd(2	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	34	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	35	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	291	36	2.20	2.20	NUM
ejpam-796	291	37	fhet(2,116	fhet(2,116	NOUN
ejpam-796	291	38	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	291	39	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	291	40	4.72∗	4.72∗	NUM
ejpam-796	292	1	freset(2,116	freset(2,116	ADP
ejpam-796	292	2	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	292	3	=	=	PUNCT
ejpam-796	293	1	4.52∗	4.52∗	NOUN
ejpam-796	293	2	only	only	ADV
ejpam-796	293	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	293	4	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	293	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	293	6	i1921	i1921	NOUN
ejpam-796	293	7	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	293	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	293	9	common	common	ADJ
ejpam-796	293	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	293	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	293	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	293	13	remainder	remainder	NOUN
ejpam-796	293	14	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	293	15	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	293	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	293	17	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	293	18	must	must	AUX
ejpam-796	293	19	all	all	PRON
ejpam-796	293	20	co	co	VERB
ejpam-796	293	21	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	293	22	break	break	ADJ
ejpam-796	293	23	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	293	24	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	293	25	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	293	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	293	27	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	294	1	all	all	DET
ejpam-796	294	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	294	3	dates	date	NOUN
ejpam-796	294	4	correspond	correspond	VERB
ejpam-796	294	5	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	294	6	recognizable	recognizable	ADJ
ejpam-796	294	7	historical	historical	ADJ
ejpam-796	294	8	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-796	294	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	294	10	albeit	albeit	SCONJ
ejpam-796	294	11	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	294	12	other	other	ADJ
ejpam-796	294	13	important	important	ADJ
ejpam-796	294	14	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	294	15	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	294	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	294	17	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	294	18	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	294	19	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	294	20	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	294	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	295	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	295	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	295	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	295	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	295	15	365	365	NUM
ejpam-796	295	16	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	295	17	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	18	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	19	ûr	ûr	ADV
ejpam-796	295	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	21	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	22	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	295	23	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	295	24	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	295	25	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	295	26	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	295	27	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	295	28	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	295	29	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	295	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	31	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	32	ûr	ûr	ADV
ejpam-796	295	33	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	34	t	t	X
ejpam-796	295	35	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	295	36	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	37	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	38	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	295	39	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	295	40	1900	1900	NUM
ejpam-796	295	41	1950	1950	NUM
ejpam-796	295	42	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	295	43	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	295	44	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	295	45	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	295	46	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	295	47	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	48	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	49	scaled	scale	VERB
ejpam-796	295	50	residuals	residual	NOUN
ejpam-796	295	51	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	295	52	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	53	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	295	54	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	295	55	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	295	56	n(0,1	n(0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	295	57	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	295	58	−4	−4	X
ejpam-796	296	1	−2	−2	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	2	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	296	3	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	296	4	4	4	NUM
ejpam-796	296	5	0.2	0.2	NUM
ejpam-796	296	6	0.4	0.4	NUM
ejpam-796	296	7	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	296	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	9	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	296	10	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	296	11	density	density	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	12	n(0,1	n(0,1	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	14	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	296	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	16	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	296	17	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	296	18	correlogram	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	19	0	0	NUM
ejpam-796	296	20	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	296	21	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	296	22	−0.5	−0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	296	23	0.0	0.0	NUM
ejpam-796	296	24	0.5	0.5	NUM
ejpam-796	296	25	1.0	1.0	NUM
ejpam-796	296	26	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	296	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	28	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	296	29	residual	residual	ADJ
ejpam-796	296	30	correlogram	correlogram	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	31	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	32	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	296	33	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	34	graphical	graphical	ADJ
ejpam-796	296	35	description	description	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	36	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	296	37	final	final	ADJ
ejpam-796	296	38	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	296	39	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	296	40	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	296	41	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	296	42	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	296	43	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	297	1	dates	date	NOUN
ejpam-796	297	2	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	297	3	nor	nor	CCONJ
ejpam-796	297	4	found	find	VERB
ejpam-796	297	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	1	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	298	2	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	298	3	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	298	4	1921	1921	NUM
ejpam-796	298	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	6	one	one	NUM
ejpam-796	298	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	298	8	most	most	ADV
ejpam-796	298	9	eventful	eventful	ADJ
ejpam-796	298	10	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	298	11	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	298	12	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	298	13	uk	uk	PROPN
ejpam-796	298	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	15	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	298	16	0.056	0.056	NUM
ejpam-796	298	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	298	18	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	19	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	298	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	21	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	298	22	against	against	ADP
ejpam-796	298	23	0.24	0.24	NUM
ejpam-796	298	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	298	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	26	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-796	298	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	28	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	298	29	does	do	AUX
ejpam-796	298	30	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	298	31	suggest	suggest	VERB
ejpam-796	298	32	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	298	33	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	298	34	break	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	298	35	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	298	36	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	298	37	latter	latter	ADJ
ejpam-796	298	38	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	298	39	communicated	communicate	VERB
ejpam-796	298	40	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	298	41	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	298	42	former	former	NOUN
ejpam-796	298	43	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	298	44	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	298	45	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	298	46	violate	violate	VERB
ejpam-796	298	47	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	298	48	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	1	adding	add	VERB
ejpam-796	299	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	299	3	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	299	4	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	299	5	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	6	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-796	299	7	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	299	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	9	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	299	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	12	however	however	ADV
ejpam-796	299	13	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	14	delivers	deliver	VERB
ejpam-796	299	15	f(6,107	f(6,107	PROPN
ejpam-796	299	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	17	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	299	18	4.28∗∗	4.28∗∗	NOUN
ejpam-796	299	19	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	299	20	strongly	strongly	ADV
ejpam-796	299	21	rejects	reject	VERB
ejpam-796	299	22	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	299	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	299	24	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	299	25	beyond	beyond	ADP
ejpam-796	299	26	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	299	27	0.0025	0.0025	NUM
ejpam-796	299	28	level	level	NOUN
ejpam-796	299	29	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	299	30	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	299	31	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	299	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	300	2	main	main	ADJ
ejpam-796	300	3	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	4	culprit	culprit	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	5	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	300	7	1975	1975	NUM
ejpam-796	300	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	9	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	300	10	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	300	11	omitted	omit	VERB
ejpam-796	300	12	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	300	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	14	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	300	15	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	16	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	300	17	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	18	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	300	19	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	300	20	induced	induce	VERB
ejpam-796	300	21	failure	failure	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	22	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	300	23	several	several	ADJ
ejpam-796	300	24	diagnostic	diagnostic	ADJ
ejpam-796	300	25	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	26	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	28	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	300	29	interestingly	interestingly	ADV
ejpam-796	300	30	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	31	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	300	32	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	300	33	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	300	34	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	35	solution	solution	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	36	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	300	37	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	300	38	u∗r	u∗r	X
ejpam-796	300	39	=	=	NUM
ejpam-796	300	40	0.042	0.042	NUM
ejpam-796	300	41	+	+	SYM
ejpam-796	300	42	1.02d∗	1.02d∗	NUM
ejpam-796	300	43	so	so	ADV
ejpam-796	300	44	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	300	45	back	back	ADV
ejpam-796	300	46	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	300	47	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	300	48	original	original	NOUN
ejpam-796	300	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	301	1	none	none	NOUN
ejpam-796	301	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	301	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	301	4	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	301	5	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	301	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	301	7	7	7	NUM
ejpam-796	301	8	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	301	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	301	10	significant	significant	ADJ
ejpam-796	301	11	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-796	301	12	added	add	VERB
ejpam-796	301	13	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	301	14	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	301	15	8)	8)	NUM
ejpam-796	301	16	.	.	NOUN
ejpam-796	301	17	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	301	18	.	.	X
ejpam-796	302	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	302	2	first	first	ADV
ejpam-796	302	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	302	4	one	one	PRON
ejpam-796	302	5	must	must	AUX
ejpam-796	302	6	establish	establish	VERB
ejpam-796	302	7	how	how	SCONJ
ejpam-796	302	8	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	302	9	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	302	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	1	given	give	VERB
ejpam-796	303	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	303	3	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	4	equation	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	5	above	above	ADV
ejpam-796	303	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	303	8	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	303	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	10	step	step	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	11	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	13	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	303	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	15	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	303	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	17	dt	dt	PROPN
ejpam-796	303	18	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	303	19	known	know	VERB
ejpam-796	303	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	303	22	past	past	ADJ
ejpam-796	303	23	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	24	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	303	25	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	303	26	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	303	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	28	but	but	CCONJ
ejpam-796	303	29	dt+1	dt+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	303	30	needs	need	VERB
ejpam-796	303	31	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	303	32	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	303	33	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	303	34	if	if	SCONJ
ejpam-796	303	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	36	7	7	X
ejpam-796	303	37	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	38	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	303	39	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	303	40	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	303	41	used	use	VERB
ejpam-796	303	42	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	303	43	bur	bur	NOUN
ejpam-796	303	44	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	303	45	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	303	46	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	304	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	3	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	304	4	system	system	NOUN
ejpam-796	304	5	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	304	6	needed	need	VERB
ejpam-796	304	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	304	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	304	10	easily	easily	ADV
ejpam-796	304	11	understood	understand	VERB
ejpam-796	304	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	304	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	304	14	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	304	15	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	16	stages	stage	NOUN
ejpam-796	304	17	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	304	18	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	304	19	dt+1	dt+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	304	20	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	304	21	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	22	8):bdt+1	8):bdt+1	NOUN
ejpam-796	304	23	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	304	24	0.55	0.55	NUM
ejpam-796	304	25	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	304	26	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	304	27	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	305	1	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	305	2	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	305	3	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	305	4	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	1	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	306	2	use	use	VERB
ejpam-796	306	3	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	306	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	306	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	6	bur	bur	NOUN
ejpam-796	306	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	8	t+1	t+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	306	9	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	306	10	0.004	0.004	NUM
ejpam-796	306	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	12	0.0015	0.0015	NUM
ejpam-796	306	13	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	14	+	+	NUM
ejpam-796	306	15	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	306	16	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	17	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	306	18	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	19	bdt+1	bdt+1	PROPN
ejpam-796	306	20	+	+	NUM
ejpam-796	306	21	1.29	1.29	NUM
ejpam-796	306	22	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	23	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	306	24	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	25	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	306	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	27	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	306	28	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	306	29	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	306	30	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	31	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	306	32	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	306	33	dt	dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	307	1	−	−	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	2	0.39	0.39	NUM
ejpam-796	307	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	4	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	307	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	6	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	307	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	8	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	10	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	307	11	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	12	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	13	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	307	15	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	16	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	17	/	/	PUNCT
ejpam-796	307	18	eur	eur	PROPN
ejpam-796	307	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	1	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	2	pure	pure	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	3	appl	appl	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	5	math	math	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	7	3	3	NUM
ejpam-796	308	8	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	9	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	308	10	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	12	347	347	NUM
ejpam-796	308	13	-	-	SYM
ejpam-796	308	14	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	308	15	366	366	NUM
ejpam-796	308	16	brighter	bright	ADJ
ejpam-796	308	17	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	308	18	rapidly	rapidly	ADV
ejpam-796	308	19	notice	notice	VERB
ejpam-796	308	20	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	308	21	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	308	22	net	net	ADJ
ejpam-796	308	23	effect	effect	NOUN
ejpam-796	308	24	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	308	25	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	26	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	308	27	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	308	28	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	308	29	outcome	outcome	NOUN
ejpam-796	308	30	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	308	31	essentially	essentially	ADV
ejpam-796	308	32	zero	zero	NUM
ejpam-796	308	33	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	308	34	substituting	substitute	VERB
ejpam-796	308	35	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	36	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	308	37	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	38	into	into	ADP
ejpam-796	308	39	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	40	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	308	41	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	42	yields	yield	NOUN
ejpam-796	308	43	0.55×	0.55×	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	44	0.15−	0.15−	PUNCT
ejpam-796	308	45	0.09	0.09	NUM
ejpam-796	308	46	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	308	47	−0.0075	−0.0075	PROPN
ejpam-796	308	48	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	309	1	thus	thus	ADV
ejpam-796	309	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	309	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	309	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	309	5	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	309	6	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	309	7	no	no	ADV
ejpam-796	309	8	better	well	ADJ
ejpam-796	309	9	than	than	ADP
ejpam-796	309	10	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	309	11	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
ejpam-796	309	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	309	13	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	309	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	309	15	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	309	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	1	indeed	indeed	ADV
ejpam-796	310	2	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-796	310	3	selecting	select	VERB
ejpam-796	310	4	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	310	5	autoregression	autoregression	NOUN
ejpam-796	310	6	delivers	deliver	VERB
ejpam-796	310	7	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	8	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	310	9	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	310	10	reported):bur	reported):bur	ADV
ejpam-796	310	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	12	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	310	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	310	14	1.29	1.29	NUM
ejpam-796	310	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	16	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	310	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	18	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	310	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	20	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	310	21	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-796	310	22	0.34	0.34	NUM
ejpam-796	310	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	24	0.06	0.06	NUM
ejpam-796	310	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	26	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	310	27	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	310	28	t−2	t−2	PROPN
ejpam-796	310	29	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	310	30	bσ	bσ	NOUN
ejpam-796	310	31	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	310	32	0.0096	0.0096	NUM
ejpam-796	310	33	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	311	1	this	this	PRON
ejpam-796	311	2	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	311	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	311	4	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	311	5	signpost	signpost	NOUN
ejpam-796	311	6	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	311	7	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	311	8	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	311	9	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	311	10	different	different	ADJ
ejpam-796	311	11	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	311	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	1	that	that	SCONJ
ejpam-796	312	2	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	3	vanishing	vanish	VERB
ejpam-796	312	4	trick	trick	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	5	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	6	~ur	~ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	7	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	8	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	312	9	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-796	312	10	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	11	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-796	312	12	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	312	13	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	312	14	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	312	15	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	312	16	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	17	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	312	18	→	→	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	19	~ur	~ur	X
ejpam-796	312	20	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	312	21	~d	~d	NUM
ejpam-796	312	22	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	23	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	312	24	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-796	312	25	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	26	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-796	312	27	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	312	28	−0.05	−0.05	ADV
ejpam-796	312	29	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	312	30	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	312	31	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	32	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	312	33	→	→	SYM
ejpam-796	312	34	~d	~d	NUM
ejpam-796	312	35	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	36	~ur	~ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	37	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	38	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-796	312	39	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	40	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-796	312	41	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	312	42	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	312	43	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	312	44	0.10	0.10	NUM
ejpam-796	312	45	0.15	0.15	NUM
ejpam-796	312	46	1982	1982	NUM
ejpam-796	312	47	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	312	48	→	→	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	49	~ur	~ur	X
ejpam-796	312	50	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	312	51	~d	~d	NUM
ejpam-796	312	52	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	53	1970	1970	NUM
ejpam-796	312	54	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	55	1990	1990	NUM
ejpam-796	312	56	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	312	57	−0.05	−0.05	ADV
ejpam-796	312	58	0.00	0.00	NUM
ejpam-796	312	59	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	312	60	1982	1982	NUM
ejpam-796	312	61	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	312	62	→	→	SYM
ejpam-796	312	63	~d	~d	NUM
ejpam-796	312	64	d	d	PRON
ejpam-796	312	65	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	66	16	16	NUM
ejpam-796	312	67	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	68	dynamic	dynamic	ADJ
ejpam-796	312	69	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	70	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	312	71	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	72	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	312	73	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	312	74	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	312	75	dt	dt	X
ejpam-796	312	76	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	312	77	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	312	78	�	�	NOUN
ejpam-796	312	79	2001	2001	NUM
ejpam-796	312	80	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	313	1	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	313	2	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	313	3	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	313	4	harder	hard	ADJ
ejpam-796	313	5	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	313	6	spot	spot	VERB
ejpam-796	313	7	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	313	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	313	9	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	10	was	be	AUX
ejpam-796	313	11	expressed	express	VERB
ejpam-796	313	12	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	313	13	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	14	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	313	15	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	16	form	form	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	17	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	313	18	embody	embody	VERB
ejpam-796	313	19	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	313	20	long	long	ADV
ejpam-796	313	21	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	313	22	run	run	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	23	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	313	24	e	e	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	1	=	=	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	2	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	314	3	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	4	0.05−	0.05−	NUM
ejpam-796	314	5	d	d	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	6	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	314	7	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	314	8	variable	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	9	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	10	∆bur	∆bur	NUM
ejpam-796	314	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	12	t	t	PROPN
ejpam-796	314	13	=	=	SYM
ejpam-796	314	14	0.37	0.37	NUM
ejpam-796	314	15	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	16	0.05	0.05	NUM
ejpam-796	314	17	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	18	∆ur	∆ur	NOUN
ejpam-796	314	19	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	20	t−1	t−1	PROPN
ejpam-796	314	21	+	+	CCONJ
ejpam-796	314	22	0.17	0.17	NUM
ejpam-796	314	23	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	24	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	314	25	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	314	26	∆dt	∆dt	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	1	−	−	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	2	0.07	0.07	NUM
ejpam-796	315	3	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	315	4	0.02	0.02	NUM
ejpam-796	315	5	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	315	6	et−1	et−1	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	7	since	since	SCONJ
ejpam-796	315	8	multiple	multiple	ADJ
ejpam-796	315	9	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	10	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	315	11	already	already	ADV
ejpam-796	315	12	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	315	13	encountered	encounter	VERB
ejpam-796	315	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	315	15	it	it	PRON
ejpam-796	315	16	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	315	17	easy	easy	ADJ
ejpam-796	315	18	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	315	19	explain	explain	VERB
ejpam-796	315	20	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	315	21	real	real	ADJ
ejpam-796	315	22	problem	problem	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	23	confronting	confront	VERB
ejpam-796	315	24	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	315	25	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	315	27	namely	namely	ADV
ejpam-796	315	28	breaks	break	NOUN
ejpam-796	315	29	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	316	1	simply	simply	ADV
ejpam-796	316	2	extrapolating	extrapolate	VERB
ejpam-796	316	3	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	316	4	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	316	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	316	6	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	7	estimated	estimate	VERB
ejpam-796	316	8	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	316	10	or	or	CCONJ
ejpam-796	316	11	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	316	12	small	small	ADJ
ejpam-796	316	13	group	group	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	14	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	316	15	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	16	pooled	pool	VERB
ejpam-796	316	17	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	316	18	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	316	19	way	way	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	20	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	316	21	into	into	ADP
ejpam-796	316	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	316	23	future	future	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	24	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	316	25	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	316	26	risky	risky	ADJ
ejpam-796	316	27	strategy	strategy	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	28	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	316	29	processes	process	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	30	where	where	SCONJ
ejpam-796	316	31	location	location	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	32	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	316	33	occur	occur	VERB
ejpam-796	316	34	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	1	here	here	ADV
ejpam-796	317	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	4	key	key	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	5	shift	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	6	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	317	7	be	be	AUX
ejpam-796	317	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	317	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	10	equilibrium	equilibrium	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	11	mean	mean	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	317	13	5	5	NUM
ejpam-796	317	14	%	%	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	15	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	17	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	317	18	that	that	PRON
ejpam-796	317	19	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	317	20	not	not	PART
ejpam-796	317	21	apparently	apparently	ADV
ejpam-796	317	22	occurred	occur	VERB
ejpam-796	317	23	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	317	24	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	25	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	27	despite	despite	SCONJ
ejpam-796	317	28	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	29	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	30	“	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	31	local	local	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	32	mean	mean	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	33	shifts	shift	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	34	”	"	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	35	visible	visible	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	36	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	317	37	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	38	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	317	39	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	40	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	317	41	make	make	VERB
ejpam-796	317	42	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	43	exercise	exercise	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	44	interesting	interesting	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	45	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	46	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	317	47	go	go	VERB
ejpam-796	317	48	back	back	ADV
ejpam-796	317	49	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	317	50	1979	1979	NUM
ejpam-796	317	51	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	317	52	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	53	election	election	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	54	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	317	55	mrs	mrs	PROPN
ejpam-796	317	56	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	317	57	thatcher	thatcher	PROPN
ejpam-796	317	58	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	59	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	317	60	dynamically	dynamically	ADV
ejpam-796	317	61	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	317	62	ur	ur	INTJ
ejpam-796	317	63	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	317	64	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	317	65	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	317	66	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	67	remainder	remainder	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	68	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	317	69	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	317	70	sample	sample	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	71	as	as	SCONJ
ejpam-796	317	72	shown	show	VERB
ejpam-796	317	73	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	317	74	figure	figure	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	75	16	16	NUM
ejpam-796	317	76	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	77	top	top	ADJ
ejpam-796	317	78	row	row	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	79	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	317	80	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	317	81	±2bσ	±2bσ	VERB
ejpam-796	317	82	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	83	fans	fan	NOUN
ejpam-796	317	84	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	318	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	2	367	367	NUM
ejpam-796	318	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	318	4	forecast	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	5	failure	failure	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	6	over	over	ADP
ejpam-796	318	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	318	8	first	first	ADJ
ejpam-796	318	9	few	few	ADJ
ejpam-796	318	10	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	318	12	ur	ur	PROPN
ejpam-796	318	13	is	be	AUX
ejpam-796	318	14	clear	clear	ADJ
ejpam-796	318	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	318	16	associated	associate	VERB
ejpam-796	318	17	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	318	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	318	19	failure	failure	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	20	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	318	21	forecast	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	318	22	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	318	23	jump	jump	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	24	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	318	25	d	d	PROPN
ejpam-796	318	26	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	318	27	following	follow	VERB
ejpam-796	318	28	her	her	PRON
ejpam-796	318	29	major	major	ADJ
ejpam-796	318	30	policy	policy	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	31	changes	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	318	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	319	1	going	go	VERB
ejpam-796	319	2	forward	forward	ADV
ejpam-796	319	3	two	two	NUM
ejpam-796	319	4	years	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	319	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	319	6	repeating	repeat	VERB
ejpam-796	319	7	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	319	8	exercise	exercise	NOUN
ejpam-796	319	9	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	319	10	bottom	bottom	NOUN
ejpam-796	319	11	row	row	NOUN
ejpam-796	319	12	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	319	13	now	now	ADV
ejpam-796	319	14	yields	yield	VERB
ejpam-796	319	15	respectable	respectable	ADJ
ejpam-796	319	16	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	319	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	320	1	9	9	X
ejpam-796	320	2	.	.	X
ejpam-796	320	3	conclusion	conclusion	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	4	computer	computer	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	5	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	320	6	based	base	VERB
ejpam-796	320	7	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	320	9	econometrics	econometrics	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	10	enhances	enhance	VERB
ejpam-796	320	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	320	12	students	student	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	13	’	’	PART
ejpam-796	320	14	skills	skill	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	320	16	so	so	SCONJ
ejpam-796	320	17	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	320	18	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	320	19	progress	progress	VERB
ejpam-796	320	20	from	from	ADP
ejpam-796	320	21	binary	binary	ADJ
ejpam-796	320	22	events	event	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	23	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	320	24	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	320	25	bernoulli	bernoulli	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	26	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	27	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	320	28	independent	independent	ADJ
ejpam-796	320	29	draws	draw	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	30	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	320	31	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	32	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	33	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	320	34	nonstationary	nonstationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	320	35	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	36	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	320	37	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	320	38	year	year	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	39	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	320	40	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	320	41	course	course	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	42	which	which	PRON
ejpam-796	320	43	closely	closely	ADV
ejpam-796	320	44	integrates	integrate	VERB
ejpam-796	320	45	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	46	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	320	47	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	320	48	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	320	49	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	321	1	even	even	ADV
ejpam-796	321	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	321	3	that	that	DET
ejpam-796	321	4	short	short	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	5	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	321	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	321	7	they	they	PRON
ejpam-796	321	8	can	can	AUX
ejpam-796	321	9	learn	learn	VERB
ejpam-796	321	10	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	321	11	build	build	VERB
ejpam-796	321	12	sensible	sensible	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	13	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	14	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	321	15	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	321	16	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	17	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	18	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	19	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	321	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	321	21	aided	aid	VERB
ejpam-796	321	22	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	321	23	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	321	24	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	321	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	322	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	322	2	believe	believe	VERB
ejpam-796	322	3	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	322	4	would	would	AUX
ejpam-796	322	5	have	have	AUX
ejpam-796	322	6	approved	approve	VERB
ejpam-796	322	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	323	1	acknowledgements	acknowledgement	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	2	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	323	3	background	background	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	4	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	5	has	have	AUX
ejpam-796	323	6	been	be	AUX
ejpam-796	323	7	financed	finance	VERB
ejpam-796	323	8	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	323	9	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	323	10	united	united	PROPN
ejpam-796	323	11	kingdom	kingdom	PROPN
ejpam-796	323	12	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	323	13	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	323	14	social	social	ADJ
ejpam-796	323	15	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	16	council	council	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	17	through	through	ADP
ejpam-796	323	18	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	323	19	funding	funding	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	20	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	323	21	res-062	res-062	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	22	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	323	23	23	23	NUM
ejpam-796	323	24	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	323	25	0061	0061	NUM
ejpam-796	323	26	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	323	27	res-000	res-000	NOUN
ejpam-796	323	28	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	323	29	27	27	NUM
ejpam-796	323	30	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	323	31	0179	0179	NUM
ejpam-796	323	32	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	1	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	324	2	are	be	AUX
ejpam-796	324	3	indebted	indebted	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	4	to	to	PART
ejpam-796	324	5	jennifer	jennifer	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	6	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	7	castle	castle	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	9	jurgen	jurgen	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	10	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	11	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	13	vivien	vivien	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	14	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	15	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	16	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	324	17	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	18	helpful	helpful	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	19	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	20	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	324	21	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	324	22	previous	previous	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	23	draft	draft	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	24	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	25	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	324	26	jennie	jennie	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	27	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	324	28	jurgen	jurgen	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	29	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	324	30	many	many	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	31	invaluable	invaluable	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	32	contributions	contribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	33	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	324	34	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	324	35	research	research	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	36	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	324	37	software	software	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	38	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	39	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	324	40	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	324	41	memory	memory	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	42	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	324	43	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	44	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	324	45	’s	’s	PART
ejpam-796	324	46	long	long	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	47	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	324	48	term	term	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	49	creative	creative	ADJ
ejpam-796	324	50	stimulus	stimulus	NOUN
ejpam-796	324	51	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	325	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-796	325	2	[	[	X
ejpam-796	325	3	1	1	NUM
ejpam-796	325	4	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	325	5	a.	a.	NOUN
ejpam-796	325	6	banerjee	banerjee	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	325	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	9	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	10	dolado	dolado	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	325	12	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	13	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	14	galbraith	galbraith	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	325	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	325	17	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	18	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	19	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	325	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	326	1	co	co	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	2	-	-	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	3	integration	integration	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	326	5	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	6	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	326	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	326	9	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	326	10	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	11	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	326	12	non	non	ADJ
ejpam-796	326	13	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	326	14	stationary	stationary	ADJ
ejpam-796	326	15	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	326	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	327	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	327	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	327	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	327	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	327	5	oxford	oxford	NOUN
ejpam-796	327	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	327	7	1993	1993	NUM
ejpam-796	327	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	328	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	328	2	2	2	NUM
ejpam-796	328	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	328	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-796	328	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	328	6	chow	chow	PROPN
ejpam-796	328	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	329	1	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	329	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	329	3	equality	equality	NOUN
ejpam-796	329	4	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	329	5	sets	set	NOUN
ejpam-796	329	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	329	7	coefficients	coefficient	NOUN
ejpam-796	329	8	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	329	9	two	two	NUM
ejpam-796	329	10	linear	linear	ADJ
ejpam-796	329	11	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	329	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	330	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	330	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	330	3	28:591–605	28:591–605	NUM
ejpam-796	330	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	330	5	1960	1960	NUM
ejpam-796	330	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	331	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	331	2	3	3	X
ejpam-796	331	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	331	4	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-796	331	5	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	331	6	clements	clements	PROPN
ejpam-796	331	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	331	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	331	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	331	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	331	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	332	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	332	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	332	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	332	4	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-796	332	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	333	1	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	333	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	333	3	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-796	333	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	333	5	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	333	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	333	7	1998	1998	NUM
ejpam-796	333	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	334	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	334	2	4	4	X
ejpam-796	334	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	334	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	334	5	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	334	6	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	334	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	335	1	autometrics	autometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	335	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	336	1	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	336	2	88–121	88–121	NUM
ejpam-796	336	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	336	4	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	336	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	337	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	337	2	5	5	X
ejpam-796	337	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	337	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	337	5	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	337	6	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	337	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	337	8	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	337	9	hansen	hansen	PROPN
ejpam-796	337	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	338	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	338	2	omnibus	omnibus	ADJ
ejpam-796	338	3	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	338	4	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	338	5	univariate	univariate	ADJ
ejpam-796	338	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	338	7	multivariate	multivariate	NOUN
ejpam-796	338	8	normality	normality	NOUN
ejpam-796	338	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	339	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-796	339	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-796	339	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	339	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	339	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	339	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	339	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	339	8	70:927–939	70:927–939	PROPN
ejpam-796	339	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	339	10	2008	2008	NUM
ejpam-796	339	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	340	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	340	2	6	6	X
ejpam-796	340	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	340	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	5	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	6	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	340	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	340	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	341	1	oxmetrics	oxmetric	NOUN
ejpam-796	341	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	341	3	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	341	4	interface	interface	NOUN
ejpam-796	341	5	to	to	AUX
ejpam-796	341	6	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	341	7	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-796	341	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	342	1	timberlake	timberlake	PROPN
ejpam-796	342	2	consultants	consultants	PROPN
ejpam-796	342	3	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-796	342	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	342	5	london	london	PROPN
ejpam-796	342	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	342	7	6th	6th	ADJ
ejpam-796	342	8	edition	edition	NOUN
ejpam-796	342	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	342	10	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	342	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	343	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	343	2	7	7	X
ejpam-796	343	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	343	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-796	343	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	343	6	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-796	343	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	344	1	autoregressive	autoregressive	ADJ
ejpam-796	344	2	conditional	conditional	ADJ
ejpam-796	344	3	heteroscedasticity	heteroscedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-796	344	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	344	5	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	344	6	estimates	estimate	NOUN
ejpam-796	344	7	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	344	8	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	344	9	variance	variance	NOUN
ejpam-796	344	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	344	11	united	united	PROPN
ejpam-796	344	12	kingdom	kingdom	PROPN
ejpam-796	344	13	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-796	344	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	345	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	345	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	345	3	50:987–1007	50:987–1007	NUM
ejpam-796	345	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	345	5	1982	1982	NUM
ejpam-796	345	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	346	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	346	2	8	8	NUM
ejpam-796	346	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	346	4	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	6	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	346	8	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	9	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	10	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	346	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	346	13	j	j	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	14	-	-	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	15	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	16	richard	richard	PROPN
ejpam-796	346	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	347	1	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	347	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	348	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	348	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	348	3	51	51	NUM
ejpam-796	348	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	348	5	1983	1983	NUM
ejpam-796	348	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	349	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	349	2	9	9	NUM
ejpam-796	349	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	349	4	n.	n.	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	5	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	6	ericsson	ericsson	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	349	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	9	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	10	mackinnon	mackinnon	PROPN
ejpam-796	349	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	350	1	distributions	distribution	NOUN
ejpam-796	350	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	350	3	error	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	350	4	correction	correction	NOUN
ejpam-796	350	5	tests	test	VERB
ejpam-796	350	6	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	350	7	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-796	350	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	351	1	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	351	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	351	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	351	4	5:285–318	5:285–318	NUM
ejpam-796	351	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	351	6	2002	2002	NUM
ejpam-796	351	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	352	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-796	352	2	368	368	NUM
ejpam-796	352	3	[	[	X
ejpam-796	352	4	10	10	NUM
ejpam-796	352	5	]	]	X
ejpam-796	352	6	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-796	352	7	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-796	352	8	godfrey	godfrey	PROPN
ejpam-796	352	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	353	1	testing	test	VERB
ejpam-796	353	2	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	353	3	higher	high	ADJ
ejpam-796	353	4	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	5	serial	serial	ADJ
ejpam-796	353	6	correlation	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	7	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	353	8	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	9	equations	equation	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	10	when	when	SCONJ
ejpam-796	353	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	353	12	regressors	regressor	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	13	include	include	VERB
ejpam-796	353	14	lagged	lag	VERB
ejpam-796	353	15	dependent	dependent	ADJ
ejpam-796	353	16	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	353	17	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	354	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	354	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	354	3	46:1303–1313	46:1303–1313	NUM
ejpam-796	354	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	354	5	1978	1978	NUM
ejpam-796	354	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	355	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	355	2	11	11	NUM
ejpam-796	355	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	355	4	k.	k.	PROPN
ejpam-796	355	5	graddy	graddy	PROPN
ejpam-796	355	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	356	1	testing	test	VERB
ejpam-796	356	2	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	356	3	imperfect	imperfect	ADJ
ejpam-796	356	4	competition	competition	NOUN
ejpam-796	356	5	at	at	ADP
ejpam-796	356	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	356	7	fulton	fulton	PROPN
ejpam-796	356	8	fish	fish	NOUN
ejpam-796	356	9	market	market	NOUN
ejpam-796	356	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	357	1	rand	rand	PROPN
ejpam-796	357	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	357	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	357	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	357	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	357	6	26:75–92	26:75–92	NUM
ejpam-796	357	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	357	8	1995	1995	NUM
ejpam-796	357	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	358	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	358	2	12	12	NUM
ejpam-796	358	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	358	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	358	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	358	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	358	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	358	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	359	1	investigating	investigate	VERB
ejpam-796	359	2	causal	causal	ADJ
ejpam-796	359	3	relations	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	359	4	by	by	ADP
ejpam-796	359	5	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	359	6	models	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	359	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	359	8	cross	cross	ADJ
ejpam-796	359	9	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	359	10	spectral	spectral	ADJ
ejpam-796	359	11	methods	method	NOUN
ejpam-796	359	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	360	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	360	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	360	3	37:424–438	37:424–438	PROPN
ejpam-796	360	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	360	5	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-796	360	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	361	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	361	2	13	13	NUM
ejpam-796	361	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	361	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	361	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	361	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	361	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	361	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	362	1	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	362	2	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	362	4	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	5	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-796	362	6	data	datum	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	362	8	their	their	PRON
ejpam-796	362	9	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	362	11	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	362	12	model	model	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	13	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	362	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	363	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	363	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	363	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	363	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	363	5	16:121–130	16:121–130	NUM
ejpam-796	363	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	363	7	1981	1981	NUM
ejpam-796	363	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	364	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	364	2	14	14	NUM
ejpam-796	364	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	364	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	364	9	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	10	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	11	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	364	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	365	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	365	2	dialogue	dialogue	NOUN
ejpam-796	365	3	concerning	concern	VERB
ejpam-796	365	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	365	5	new	new	ADJ
ejpam-796	365	6	instrument	instrument	NOUN
ejpam-796	365	7	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	365	8	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	365	9	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	365	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	366	1	econometric	econometric	PROPN
ejpam-796	366	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	366	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	366	4	21:278–297	21:278–297	PROPN
ejpam-796	366	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	366	6	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-796	366	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	367	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	367	2	15	15	NUM
ejpam-796	367	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	367	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	367	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-796	367	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	368	1	some	some	DET
ejpam-796	368	2	comments	comment	NOUN
ejpam-796	368	3	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	368	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	368	5	evaluation	evaluation	NOUN
ejpam-796	368	6	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	368	7	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	368	8	forecasts	forecast	NOUN
ejpam-796	368	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	369	1	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	369	2	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	369	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	369	4	5:35–47	5:35–47	NUM
ejpam-796	369	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	369	6	1973	1973	NUM
ejpam-796	369	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	370	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-796	370	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	370	3	t.c	t.c	PROPN
ejpam-796	370	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	370	5	mills	mill	NOUN
ejpam-796	370	6	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	370	7	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-796	370	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	370	9	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	370	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	370	11	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	370	12	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	370	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	371	1	edward	edward	PROPN
ejpam-796	371	2	elgar	elgar	PROPN
ejpam-796	371	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	371	4	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-796	371	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	372	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	372	2	16	16	NUM
ejpam-796	372	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	372	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	372	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-796	372	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	373	1	spurious	spurious	ADJ
ejpam-796	373	2	regressions	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	373	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	373	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	373	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	374	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	374	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	374	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	374	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	374	5	2:111–120	2:111–120	NUM
ejpam-796	374	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	374	7	1974	1974	NUM
ejpam-796	374	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	375	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	375	2	17	17	NUM
ejpam-796	375	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	375	4	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	6	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	375	9	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	10	newbold	newbold	PROPN
ejpam-796	375	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	376	1	forecasting	forecast	VERB
ejpam-796	376	2	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	376	3	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	376	4	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	376	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	377	1	academic	academic	ADJ
ejpam-796	377	2	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	377	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	377	4	new	new	PROPN
ejpam-796	377	5	york	york	PROPN
ejpam-796	377	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	377	7	1977	1977	NUM
ejpam-796	377	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	378	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	378	2	18	18	NUM
ejpam-796	378	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	378	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	378	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	378	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	378	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	379	1	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	379	2	pc	pc	NOUN
ejpam-796	379	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	379	4	give	give	NOUN
ejpam-796	379	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	379	6	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	379	7	teaching	teaching	NOUN
ejpam-796	379	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	380	1	oxford	oxford	ADJ
ejpam-796	380	2	bulletin	bulletin	NOUN
ejpam-796	380	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	380	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	380	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	380	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	380	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	380	8	48:87–98	48:87–98	NUM
ejpam-796	380	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	380	10	1986	1986	NUM
ejpam-796	380	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	381	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	381	2	19	19	NUM
ejpam-796	381	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	381	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	381	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	381	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	381	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	382	1	modelling	model	VERB
ejpam-796	382	2	uk	uk	PROPN
ejpam-796	382	3	inflation	inflation	NOUN
ejpam-796	382	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	382	5	1875–1991	1875–1991	NUM
ejpam-796	382	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	383	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	383	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	383	3	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	383	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	383	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	383	6	16:255–275	16:255–275	NUM
ejpam-796	383	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	383	8	2001	2001	NUM
ejpam-796	383	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	384	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	384	2	20	20	NUM
ejpam-796	384	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	384	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	384	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	384	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	384	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	385	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	385	2	nobel	nobel	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	3	memorial	memorial	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	4	prize	prize	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	5	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	385	6	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	7	w.j	w.j	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	385	9	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	385	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	386	1	scandinavian	scandinavian	ADJ
ejpam-796	386	2	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	386	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	386	4	economics	economic	NOUN
ejpam-796	386	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	386	6	106:187–213	106:187–213	NUM
ejpam-796	386	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	386	8	2004	2004	NUM
ejpam-796	386	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	387	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	387	2	21	21	NUM
ejpam-796	387	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	387	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	387	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	9	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	10	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	387	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	388	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	388	2	impact	impact	NOUN
ejpam-796	388	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	388	4	computational	computational	ADJ
ejpam-796	388	5	tools	tool	NOUN
ejpam-796	388	6	on	on	ADP
ejpam-796	388	7	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	388	8	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	388	9	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	388	10	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	388	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	389	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	389	2	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-796	389	3	coppock	coppock	PROPN
ejpam-796	389	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	389	5	editor	editor	NOUN
ejpam-796	389	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	389	7	information	information	NOUN
ejpam-796	389	8	technology	technology	NOUN
ejpam-796	389	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	389	10	scholarship	scholarship	NOUN
ejpam-796	389	11	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	389	12	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	389	13	257–269	257–269	NUM
ejpam-796	389	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	390	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	390	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	390	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	390	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	390	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	390	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	390	7	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-796	390	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	391	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	391	2	22	22	NUM
ejpam-796	391	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	391	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	391	8	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	9	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	10	doornik	doornik	PROPN
ejpam-796	391	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	392	1	empirical	empirical	ADJ
ejpam-796	392	2	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	392	3	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-796	392	4	using	use	VERB
ejpam-796	392	5	pcgive	pcgive	NOUN
ejpam-796	392	6	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	392	7	volume	volume	NOUN
ejpam-796	392	8	i.	i.	PROPN
ejpam-796	392	9	timberlake	timberlake	PROPN
ejpam-796	392	10	consultants	consultants	PROPN
ejpam-796	392	11	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-796	392	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	392	13	london	london	PROPN
ejpam-796	392	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	392	15	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	392	16	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	393	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	393	2	23	23	NUM
ejpam-796	393	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	393	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	393	8	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	9	johansen	johansen	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	393	11	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	393	12	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	13	santos	santos	PROPN
ejpam-796	393	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	394	1	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	394	2	selection	selection	NOUN
ejpam-796	394	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	394	4	indicators	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	394	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	394	6	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	394	7	fully	fully	ADV
ejpam-796	394	8	saturated	saturate	VERB
ejpam-796	394	9	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	394	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	395	1	computational	computational	ADJ
ejpam-796	395	2	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	395	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	395	4	33:317–335	33:317–335	NUM
ejpam-796	395	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	395	6	2008	2008	NUM
ejpam-796	395	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	396	1	erratum	erratum	PROPN
ejpam-796	396	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	396	3	337–339	337–339	NUM
ejpam-796	396	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	397	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	397	2	24	24	NUM
ejpam-796	397	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	397	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	397	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	397	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	397	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	397	8	h	h	NOUN
ejpam-796	397	9	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	397	10	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-796	397	11	krolzig	krolzig	PROPN
ejpam-796	397	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	398	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	398	2	properties	property	NOUN
ejpam-796	398	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	398	4	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	398	5	gets	get	VERB
ejpam-796	398	6	modelling	modelling	NOUN
ejpam-796	398	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	399	1	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	399	2	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	399	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	399	4	115	115	NUM
ejpam-796	399	5	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	399	6	c32	c32	NOUN
ejpam-796	399	7	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	399	8	c61	c61	ADJ
ejpam-796	399	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	399	10	2005	2005	NUM
ejpam-796	399	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	400	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	400	2	25	25	NUM
ejpam-796	400	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	400	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	400	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	400	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	400	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	400	8	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-796	400	9	massmann	massmann	PROPN
ejpam-796	400	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	401	1	co	co	VERB
ejpam-796	401	2	-	-	ADJ
ejpam-796	401	3	breaking	breaking	ADJ
ejpam-796	401	4	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	401	5	recent	recent	ADJ
ejpam-796	401	6	advances	advance	NOUN
ejpam-796	401	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	401	8	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	401	9	synopsis	synopsis	NOUN
ejpam-796	401	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	401	11	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	401	12	literature	literature	NOUN
ejpam-796	401	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	402	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	402	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	402	3	business	business	NOUN
ejpam-796	402	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	402	5	economic	economic	ADJ
ejpam-796	402	6	statistics	statistic	NOUN
ejpam-796	402	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	402	8	25:33–51	25:33–51	NUM
ejpam-796	402	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	402	10	2007	2007	NUM
ejpam-796	402	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	403	1	references	reference	NOUN
ejpam-796	403	2	369	369	NUM
ejpam-796	404	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	404	2	26	26	NUM
ejpam-796	404	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	404	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	404	8	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	9	e.	e.	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	10	mizon	mizon	PROPN
ejpam-796	404	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	405	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	405	2	pervasiveness	pervasiveness	NOUN
ejpam-796	405	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	405	4	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	405	5	causality	causality	PROPN
ejpam-796	405	6	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	405	7	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	405	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	406	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	406	2	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-796	406	3	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	406	4	engle	engle	PROPN
ejpam-796	406	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	406	6	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	406	7	white	white	PROPN
ejpam-796	406	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	406	9	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-796	406	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	406	11	cointegration	cointegration	NOUN
ejpam-796	406	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	406	13	causality	causality	NOUN
ejpam-796	406	14	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	406	15	forecasting	forecasting	NOUN
ejpam-796	406	16	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	406	17	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	406	18	102–134	102–134	NUM
ejpam-796	406	19	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	407	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	407	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	407	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	407	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	407	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	407	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	407	7	1999	1999	NUM
ejpam-796	407	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	408	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	408	2	27	27	NUM
ejpam-796	408	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	408	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	408	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	408	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	408	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	408	8	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	408	9	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	408	10	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	409	1	econometric	econometric	PROPN
ejpam-796	409	2	modeling	modeling	NOUN
ejpam-796	409	3	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	409	4	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	409	5	likelihood	likelihood	NOUN
ejpam-796	409	6	approach	approach	NOUN
ejpam-796	409	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	410	1	princeton	princeton	PROPN
ejpam-796	410	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	410	3	press	press	PROPN
ejpam-796	410	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	410	5	princeton	princeton	PROPN
ejpam-796	410	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	410	7	2007	2007	NUM
ejpam-796	410	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	411	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	411	2	28	28	NUM
ejpam-796	411	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	411	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	411	8	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	9	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	10	pesaran	pesaran	PROPN
ejpam-796	411	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	412	1	obituary	obituary	PROPN
ejpam-796	412	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	412	3	memory	memory	NOUN
ejpam-796	412	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	412	5	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	412	6	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	412	7	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	412	8	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	412	9	advisory	advisory	ADJ
ejpam-796	412	10	board	board	NOUN
ejpam-796	412	11	member	member	NOUN
ejpam-796	412	12	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	412	13	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	412	14	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	412	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	413	1	journal	journal	PROPN
ejpam-796	413	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	413	3	applied	apply	VERB
ejpam-796	413	4	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	413	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	413	6	24:871–873	24:871–873	NUM
ejpam-796	413	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	413	8	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	413	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	414	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	414	2	29	29	NUM
ejpam-796	414	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	414	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	414	8	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	9	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	10	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	11	phillips	phillips	PROPN
ejpam-796	414	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	415	1	obituary	obituary	PROPN
ejpam-796	415	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	416	1	sir	sir	PROPN
ejpam-796	416	2	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	416	3	w.j	w.j	PROPN
ejpam-796	416	4	.	.	PROPN
ejpam-796	417	1	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	417	2	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	418	1	econometric	econometric	PROPN
ejpam-796	418	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	418	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	418	4	25:1139–1142	25:1139–1142	NUM
ejpam-796	418	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	418	6	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	418	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	419	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	419	2	30	30	NUM
ejpam-796	419	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	419	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	419	5	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	419	6	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	419	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	419	8	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	419	9	santos	santos	PROPN
ejpam-796	419	10	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	420	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	420	2	automatic	automatic	ADJ
ejpam-796	420	3	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	420	4	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	420	5	super	super	ADJ
ejpam-796	420	6	exogeneity	exogeneity	NOUN
ejpam-796	420	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	421	2	m.	m.	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	3	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	4	watson	watson	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	5	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	6	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	7	bollerslev	bollerslev	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	9	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	421	10	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	11	russell	russell	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	13	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	14	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	15	volatility	volatility	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	16	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	421	17	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	18	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-796	421	19	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	20	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	21	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	421	22	164	164	NUM
ejpam-796	421	23	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	421	24	193	193	NUM
ejpam-796	421	25	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	422	1	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	422	2	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	422	3	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	422	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	422	5	oxford	oxford	PROPN
ejpam-796	422	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	422	7	2010	2010	NUM
ejpam-796	422	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	423	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	423	2	31	31	NUM
ejpam-796	423	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	423	4	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-796	423	5	johansen	johansen	PROPN
ejpam-796	423	6	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	423	7	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	423	8	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	423	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	424	1	an	an	DET
ejpam-796	424	2	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	424	4	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	424	5	indicator	indicator	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	6	saturation	saturation	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	7	estimator	estimator	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	8	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	424	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	424	10	robust	robust	ADJ
ejpam-796	424	11	regression	regression	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	12	estimator	estimator	NOUN
ejpam-796	424	13	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	425	1	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	425	2	1–36	1–36	PROPN
ejpam-796	425	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	425	4	2009	2009	NUM
ejpam-796	425	5	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	426	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	426	2	32	32	NUM
ejpam-796	426	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	426	4	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	426	5	nielsen	nielsen	PROPN
ejpam-796	426	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	427	1	order	order	NOUN
ejpam-796	427	2	determination	determination	NOUN
ejpam-796	427	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	427	4	general	general	ADJ
ejpam-796	427	5	vector	vector	NOUN
ejpam-796	427	6	autoregressions	autoregression	NOUN
ejpam-796	427	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	428	1	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	428	2	h.-c	h.-c	PROPN
ejpam-796	428	3	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	429	1	ho	ho	PROPN
ejpam-796	429	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	429	3	c.-k	c.-k	PROPN
ejpam-796	429	4	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	1	ing	ing	ADJ
ejpam-796	430	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	3	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	430	4	t.	t.	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	5	l.	l.	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	6	lai	lai	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	8	editors	editor	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	10	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	11	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	430	13	related	related	ADJ
ejpam-796	430	14	topics	topic	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	15	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	16	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	430	17	memory	memory	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	430	19	ching	ching	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	20	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	21	zong	zong	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	22	wei	wei	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	23	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	430	24	pages	page	NOUN
ejpam-796	430	25	93–112	93–112	PROPN
ejpam-796	430	26	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	431	1	ims	im	NOUN
ejpam-796	431	2	lecture	lecture	NOUN
ejpam-796	431	3	notes	note	NOUN
ejpam-796	431	4	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	431	5	monograph	monograph	NOUN
ejpam-796	431	6	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	431	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	431	8	52	52	NUM
ejpam-796	431	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	431	10	new	new	PROPN
ejpam-796	431	11	york	york	PROPN
ejpam-796	431	12	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	431	13	2006	2006	NUM
ejpam-796	431	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	432	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	432	2	33	33	NUM
ejpam-796	432	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	432	4	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	432	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	432	6	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	432	7	phillips	phillips	PROPN
ejpam-796	432	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	433	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	433	2	relation	relation	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	3	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	433	4	unemployment	unemployment	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	433	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	433	7	rate	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	433	9	change	change	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	10	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	433	11	money	money	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	12	wage	wage	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	13	rates	rate	NOUN
ejpam-796	433	14	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	433	15	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	433	16	united	united	ADJ
ejpam-796	433	17	kingdom	kingdom	PROPN
ejpam-796	433	18	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	433	19	1861–1957	1861–1957	NUM
ejpam-796	433	20	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	1	economica	economica	PROPN
ejpam-796	434	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	3	25:283–299	25:283–299	NUM
ejpam-796	434	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	5	1958	1958	NUM
ejpam-796	434	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	7	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-796	434	8	as	as	ADP
ejpam-796	434	9	pp243–260	pp243–260	NOUN
ejpam-796	434	10	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	434	11	r.	r.	PROPN
ejpam-796	434	12	leeson	leeson	PROPN
ejpam-796	434	13	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	14	ed	ed	NOUN
ejpam-796	434	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	434	16	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	435	1	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	435	2	2000	2000	NUM
ejpam-796	435	3	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	435	4	a.	a.	PROPN
ejpam-796	435	5	w.	w.	PROPN
ejpam-796	435	6	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	435	7	phillips	phillips	PROPN
ejpam-796	435	8	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	435	9	collected	collect	VERB
ejpam-796	435	10	works	work	NOUN
ejpam-796	435	11	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	435	12	contemporary	contemporary	ADJ
ejpam-796	435	13	perspective	perspective	NOUN
ejpam-796	435	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	436	1	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	436	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	436	3	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	436	4	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	436	5	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	436	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	437	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	437	2	34	34	NUM
ejpam-796	437	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	437	4	p.	p.	PROPN
ejpam-796	437	5	c.	c.	PROPN
ejpam-796	437	6	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	437	7	phillips	phillips	PROPN
ejpam-796	437	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	438	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	438	2	et	et	PROPN
ejpam-796	438	3	interview	interview	NOUN
ejpam-796	438	4	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	438	5	professor	professor	PROPN
ejpam-796	438	6	clive	clive	PROPN
ejpam-796	438	7	granger	granger	PROPN
ejpam-796	438	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	439	1	econometric	econometric	PROPN
ejpam-796	439	2	theory	theory	NOUN
ejpam-796	439	3	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	439	4	13:253	13:253	NUM
ejpam-796	439	5	–	–	PUNCT
ejpam-796	439	6	303	303	NUM
ejpam-796	439	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	439	8	1997	1997	NUM
ejpam-796	439	9	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	440	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	440	2	35	35	NUM
ejpam-796	440	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	440	4	j.	j.	PROPN
ejpam-796	440	5	b.	b.	PROPN
ejpam-796	440	6	ramsey	ramsey	PROPN
ejpam-796	440	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	441	1	tests	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	2	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	441	3	specification	specification	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	4	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	5	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	441	6	classical	classical	ADJ
ejpam-796	441	7	linear	linear	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	8	least	least	ADJ
ejpam-796	441	9	squares	square	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	10	regression	regression	VERB
ejpam-796	441	11	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	441	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	442	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	442	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	442	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	442	4	royal	royal	ADJ
ejpam-796	442	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	442	6	society	society	NOUN
ejpam-796	442	7	b	b	PROPN
ejpam-796	442	8	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	442	9	31:350–371	31:350–371	PROPN
ejpam-796	442	10	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	442	11	1969	1969	NUM
ejpam-796	442	12	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	443	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	443	2	36	36	NUM
ejpam-796	443	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	443	4	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	443	5	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-796	443	6	salkever	salkever	PROPN
ejpam-796	443	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	444	1	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	444	2	use	use	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	3	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	444	4	dummy	dummy	ADJ
ejpam-796	444	5	variables	variable	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	6	to	to	ADP
ejpam-796	444	7	compute	compute	VERB
ejpam-796	444	8	predictions	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	444	10	prediction	prediction	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	11	errors	error	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	12	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	444	13	confidence	confidence	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	14	intervals	interval	NOUN
ejpam-796	444	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	445	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	445	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	445	3	econometrics	econometric	NOUN
ejpam-796	445	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	445	5	4:393–397	4:393–397	NOUN
ejpam-796	445	6	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	445	7	1976	1976	NUM
ejpam-796	445	8	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	446	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	446	2	37	37	NUM
ejpam-796	446	3	]	]	X
ejpam-796	446	4	h.	h.	PROPN
ejpam-796	446	5	white	white	PROPN
ejpam-796	446	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	447	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	447	2	heteroskedastic	heteroskedastic	ADJ
ejpam-796	447	3	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	447	4	consistent	consistent	ADJ
ejpam-796	447	5	covariance	covariance	NOUN
ejpam-796	447	6	matrix	matrix	NOUN
ejpam-796	447	7	estimator	estimator	NOUN
ejpam-796	447	8	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	447	9	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	447	10	direct	direct	ADJ
ejpam-796	447	11	test	test	NOUN
ejpam-796	447	12	for	for	ADP
ejpam-796	447	13	heteroskedasticity	heteroskedasticity	NOUN
ejpam-796	447	14	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	448	1	econometrica	econometrica	PROPN
ejpam-796	448	2	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	448	3	48:817–838	48:817–838	NUM
ejpam-796	448	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	448	5	1980	1980	NUM
ejpam-796	448	6	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	449	1	[	[	X
ejpam-796	449	2	38	38	NUM
ejpam-796	449	3	]	]	PUNCT
ejpam-796	449	4	g.	g.	PROPN
ejpam-796	449	5	u.	u.	PROPN
ejpam-796	449	6	yule	yule	PROPN
ejpam-796	449	7	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	450	1	why	why	SCONJ
ejpam-796	450	2	do	do	AUX
ejpam-796	450	3	we	we	PRON
ejpam-796	450	4	sometimes	sometimes	ADV
ejpam-796	450	5	get	get	VERB
ejpam-796	450	6	nonsense	nonsense	NOUN
ejpam-796	450	7	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	450	8	correlations	correlation	NOUN
ejpam-796	450	9	between	between	ADP
ejpam-796	450	10	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	450	11	-	-	PUNCT
ejpam-796	450	12	series	series	NOUN
ejpam-796	450	13	?	?	PUNCT
ejpam-796	451	1	a	a	DET
ejpam-796	451	2	study	study	NOUN
ejpam-796	451	3	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	451	4	sampling	sample	VERB
ejpam-796	451	5	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	451	6	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	451	7	nature	nature	NOUN
ejpam-796	451	8	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	451	9	time	time	NOUN
ejpam-796	451	10	series	series	PROPN
ejpam-796	451	11	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	451	12	with	with	ADP
ejpam-796	451	13	discussion	discussion	NOUN
ejpam-796	451	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	451	15	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	452	1	journal	journal	NOUN
ejpam-796	452	2	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	452	3	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	452	4	royal	royal	ADJ
ejpam-796	452	5	statistical	statistical	ADJ
ejpam-796	452	6	society	society	NOUN
ejpam-796	452	7	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	452	8	89:1–64	89:1–64	NUM
ejpam-796	452	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	452	10	1926	1926	NUM
ejpam-796	452	11	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	1	reprinted	reprint	VERB
ejpam-796	453	2	in	in	ADP
ejpam-796	453	3	hendry	hendry	PROPN
ejpam-796	453	4	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	5	d.	d.	PROPN
ejpam-796	453	6	f.	f.	PROPN
ejpam-796	453	7	and	and	CCONJ
ejpam-796	453	8	morgan	morgan	PROPN
ejpam-796	453	9	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	10	m.	m.	NOUN
ejpam-796	453	11	s.	s.	PROPN
ejpam-796	453	12	(	(	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	13	1995	1995	NUM
ejpam-796	453	14	)	)	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	15	,	,	PUNCT
ejpam-796	453	16	the	the	DET
ejpam-796	453	17	foundations	foundation	NOUN
ejpam-796	453	18	of	of	ADP
ejpam-796	453	19	econometric	econometric	ADJ
ejpam-796	453	20	analysis	analysis	NOUN
ejpam-796	453	21	.	.	PUNCT
ejpam-796	454	1	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	454	2	:	:	PUNCT
ejpam-796	454	3	cambridge	cambridge	PROPN
ejpam-796	454	4	university	university	PROPN
ejpam-796	454	5	press	press	NOUN
ejpam-796	454	6	.	.	PUNCT
