EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF PURE AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS Vol. 16, No. 1, 2023, 71-83 ISSN 1307-5543 – ejpam.com Published by New York Business Global A Discrete Predator-prey Model with Allee and Refuge Effect Sinan Kapçak College of Engineering and Technology, American University of the Middle East, Kuwait Abstract. We consider a predator-prey model, where some prey are completely free from preda- tion within a temporal or spacial refuge and the predator population is subject to Allee effect. We study the effect of the presence of refuge and Allee effect on the stability and bifurcation of the system. We investigate the existence and stability of the model as well as the stability region. We also obtain the invariant manifolds of the system. 2020 Mathematics Subject Classifications: 37N25, 37D10, 39A28, 39A30, 39A60 Key Words and Phrases: Allee Effect, Refuge Effect, Invariant Manifolds 1. Introduction In this paper, we investigate a predator-prey model, where some prey are completely free from predation within a temporal or spacial refuge and predator are subject to Allee effect. The most common type of spacial refuge, that we investigate here, takes the form where a constant proportion of the prey population is protected. Some of studies have investigated the influence of prey refuge and concluded that the refuge used by the prey has a stabilizing effect on the predator-prey interaction and also that the prey species can be prevented well from extinction. Some studies on refuge effect can be found in [3, 12, 13]. The Allee effect is characterized by a positive correlation between population size and the mean individual fitness of a population. When the population density is low, the population will experience a reduced overall growth rate, and may increase the risk of extinction. If there are more individuals, population grows more rapidly, and the aggrega- tion can improve the survival rate of individuals. Recently, many studies have been done on predator-prey models with Allee effect. Livadiotis, Assas, Elaydi, Kwessi, Dennis [11] investigated the impact of the Allee effect on the global dynamics of Beddington model. Some other predator-prey studies with/without Allee effect were conducted in [5–7]/[1, 9]. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29020/nybg.ejpam.v16i1.4661 Email address: sinan.kapcak@aum.edu.kw (S. Kapçak) https://www.ejpam.com 71 © 2023 EJPAM All rights reserved. S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 72 Maynard Smith [17] proposed the following predator-prey model: Xt+1 = RXt − R− 1 XE X2 t − CXtYt, Yt+1 = r XE XtYt, (1) where Xt and Yt represent the prey and predator population in year t, respectively. XE is the equilibrium value of Xt in the absence of predator. R and r are maximum reproductive rates of prey and predator, respectively. In [14], Murakami investigates the stability and bifurcation, including Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, of model (1). In this paper, we study model (1) with prey and predator subject to a refuge and Allee effect, respectively. Regarding the refuge effect, we assume the presence of spacial heterogeneity. The refuge model is due to Hassel [3]. In the absence of predator, the growth of the prey population is logistic. The following model is proposed: Xt+1 = R(1− b)Xt − R− 1 XE (1− b)2X2 t +RbXt − (R− 1)b2 XE X2 t − CbXtYt, Yt+1 = rb XE XtYt Yt A+ Yt . (2) In equation (2), the expression (1 − b)Xt is the number of the prey in a protective refuge at time t, 0 < b < 1, which has logistic growth represented by the expression R(1− b)Xt − R−1 XE (1− b)2X2 t . The rest of the prey, bXt, is affected by the predator. The expression RbXt− (R−1)b2 XE X2 t −CbXtYt gives this interaction. We provide support for the stabilizing power of physical refuge. We show that with refuge present, the host and para- sitoid can, apparently, persist together indefinitely. The expression Yt A+Yt is a mate-finding Allee effect on predator. Simplifying equation (2), we obtain the following system: Xt+1 = RXt − R− 1 XE (2b2 − 2b+ 1)X2 t − CbXtYt, Yt+1 = rb XE XtYt Yt A+ Yt . (3) Note that, in equation (3), when b = 1 and A = 0, there is no prey in a protective refuge and no Allee effect. Hence we obtain equation (1) for this particular case. When b = 0, all the prey population is protected and has logistic growth while the predator population extincts in the next generation. S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 73 We apply yt = CbYt and xt = rb XE Xt with α = R, β = 2b2−2b+1 rb , and γ = ACb. Hence we obtain the following system: xt+1 = xt(α− β(α− 1)xt)− xtyt, yt+1 = xty 2 t γ + yt , (4) where α, β > 0 and γ > 0. 2. Existence of the Fixed Points In this section, we analyse the existence of fixed points of discrete system (4). Firstly, we focus on the following isocline equations: x = x(α− β(α− 1)x)− xy, y = xy2 γ + y . (5) 2.1. Extinction and Exclusion Fixed Points In equation (5), if x = 0, we have the extinction fixed point P0 = (0, 0) for any parameter values. If x ̸= 0 and y = 0, we obtain the exclusion fixed point P1 = ( 1β , 0). 2.2. Coexistence Fixed Points If x ̸= 0 and y ̸= 0, the isoclines become y = −β(α− 1)x+ α− 1, y = γ x− 1 . (6) The intersection points of the isoclines in equation (6) give us the candidates for coexistence fixed points which can be found by solving the following quadratic equation: β(α− 1)x2 − (α− 1)(β + 1)x+ (α+ γ − 1) = 0. (7) Note that in order to have a positive fixed point, by the second equation of system (6), it is necessary that x-component of the fixed point is bigger than 1. Therefore, we have a coexistence fixed point if and only if x∗ is a real root of equation (7) and x∗ > 1. The possible roots of the equation (7) are the following: x∗1,2 = (α− 1)(β + 1)± √ ∆ 2β(α− 1) , (8) where ∆ = (α− 1)2(β − 1)2 − 4β(α− 1)γ. In order to have positive fixed points, we must have ∆ ≥ 0 and x∗i > 1 for some i ∈ {1, 2}. Under the condition ∆ > 0, we obtain two S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 74 different scenario: (a) there exist two coexistence fixed points if α > 1 and β < 1. (b) there exists one coexistence fixed point if α < 1. For the case when ∆ = 0, the condition that a coexistence fixed point exists is β < 1. We obtain the following theorem for the condition of existence and the corresponding fixed points of system (4). (a) Fixed points: P0, P1 (b) Fixed points: P0, P1, P + 1 (c) Fixed points: P0, P1, P + 0 (d) Fixed points: P0, P1, P + 2 , P+ 3 Figure 1: Four possible cases for existence of the fixed points. The dashed line is the isocline x = x(α− β(α− 1)x)− xy whereas the solid graph is the isocline y = xy2 γ+y . Theorem 1. The following table gives the existence condition for the fixed points of system (4). S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 75 Fixed Point Condition for Existence P0 = (0, 0) Always exists P1 = ( 1 β , 0 ) Always exists P+ 0 = ( β+1 2β , 2γβ 1−β ) β < 1 and (β − 1)2 = 4βγ α−1 P+ 1 = ( (α−1)(β+1)− √ ∆ 2β(α−1) , −(α−1)(β−1)+ √ ∆ 2 ) α < 1 P+ 2 = ( (α−1)(β+1)+ √ ∆ 2β(α−1) , −(α−1)(β−1)− √ ∆ 2 ) β < 1, α > 1, and (β − 1)2 > 4βγ α−1 P+ 3 = ( (α−1)(β+1)− √ ∆ 2β(α−1) , −(α−1)(β−1)+ √ ∆ 2 ) β < 1, α > 1, and (β − 1)2 > 4βγ α−1 Figure 2: Existence regions for system (4) in α-β plane. Figure 2 represents the existence regions for fixed points in α-β plane. By Theorem 1, extinction fixed point P0 and exclusion fixed point P1 exist for any parameter values. P+ 0 exists only on the borderline of E2 and E3. This is the curve where ∆ = 0. Region E1 is the region for existence of P+ 1 . E2 is the region where ∆ > 0 and we have two distinct positive fixed points P+ 2,3. S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 76 3. Stability Analysis of System (4) In this section, we analyse the stability of system (4). The Jacobian matrix of the system is J(x, y) = ( α− 2β(α− 1)x− y −x y2 γ+y xy(2γ+y) (γ+y)2 ) . 3.1. Stability of the Extinction Fixed Point For the extinction fixed point P0 = (0, 0), the Jacobian matrix J is given by J0 = ( α 0 0 0 ) . The eigenvalues of the matrix are λ1 = α and λ2 = 0. Hence the fixed point P0 is locally asymptotically stable if α < 1. 3.2. Stability of the Exclusion Fixed Point For the exclusion fixed point P1 = ( 1 β , 0 ) , we have the following Jacobian matrix: J1 = ( 2− α − 1 β 0 0 ) . The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are λ1 = 2 − α and λ2 = 0. Hence the fixed point P1 is locally asymptotically stable if 1 < α < 3. 3.3. Stability of the Coexistence Fixed Points By Theorem 1, the coexistence fixed points exist if ∆ ≥ 0. We start with the following case: 3.3.1. Stability of P+ 1 , P+ 2 , and P+ 3 : if ∆ > 0 For the case when ∆ > 0, we investigate three possible fixed points P+ 1 , P+ 2 , P+ 3 . Trace and determinant of the Jacobian matrices J+ 1 , J+ 2 , J+ 3 , respectively, at these fixed points are given by tr(J+ 1,2,3) = 1 2 ( βγ + γ ± √ ∆ α+ γ − 1 − α(β + 1)± √ ∆+ 6 ) , det(J+ 1,2,3) = 1 2 ( βγ + γ ± √ ∆ α+ γ − 1 − α(β + 1)± 3 √ ∆+ 4 ) , S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 77 where ∆ = (α− 1)2(β − 1)2 − 4β(α− 1)γ. We obtained the stability conditions applying the Tr-Det Formula |tr(J)| − 1 < det(J) < 1. Theorem 2. For system (4), i. P+ 1 is unstable. ii. P+ 2 is unstable. iii. P+ 3 is locally asymptotically stable if 2 + 3 √ ∆ < α(α+ β)−K < 6 + 2 √ ∆, where K = βγ+γ− √ ∆ α+γ−1 and ∆ = (α− 1)2(β − 1)2 − 4β(α− 1)γ. Neimark-Sacker Bifurcation Saddle-Node Bifurcation Flip Bifurcation 0 2 4 6 8 10 α 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 β Figure 3: (γ = 0.26) Stability region of coexistence fixed point P+ 3 Figure 3 represents the stability region of the coexistence fixed point P+ 3 in the param- eter plane α-β. Types of bifurcations are also given. In Table 1 and 2, we give several parameter values and corresponding phase diagrams. One can see in the table that the system also exhibits Neimark-Sacker bifurcation (see [4, 8, 10, 15, 16]) for some values of parameters. This is the case when det(J+ 3 ) = 1 and |tr(J+ 3 )| < 2. When the parameter point is in the stability region and close to the Neimark-Sacker borderline, the orbit is spiraling and just after the parameter point (α, β) crosses the N-S curve, orbits converge to a closed invariant curve in the phase diagram. S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 78 Table 1: (γ = 0.26) Stability of the coexistence fixed point. α-β Plane Phase Diagram 3.3.2. Stability of P+ 0 : Non-hyperbolic case or the case ∆ = 0 There is only one positive fixed point when ∆ = 0 and β < 1 by Theorem 1: P+ 0 =( β+1 2β , 2γβ 1−β ) . Applying this point to Jacobian matrix and eliminating γ using the equation ∆ = 0, we obtain J+ 0 = ( 1 2(β − α(β + 1) + 3) −β+1 2β − (α−1)(β−1)β β+1 2 β+1 ) . The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are λ1 = 1 and λ2 = −α(β+1)2+β2+2β+5 2(β+1) . The fixed point P+ 0 is non-hyperbolic. If |λ2| > 1, then it is unstable. If |λ2| < 1, we have to apply the center manifold theory [2]. It is more convenient to make a change of variables in system (4) so we can have a shift from the point P+ 0 to (0, 0). Let u = x− β+1 2β and v = y− 2γβ 1−β . Then the new system S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 79 Table 2: (γ = 0.26) Stability of the coexistence fixed point. α-β Plane Phase Diagram is ut+1 = ( β + 1 2β + ut )( α− (α− 1)β ( β + 1 2β + ut )) − ( β + 1 2β + ut )( 2βγ 1− β + vt ) − β + 1 2β , vt+1 = ( β+1 2β + ut )( 2βγ 1−β + vt )2( 2βγ 1−β + vt ) + γ − 2βγ 1− β . (9) S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 80 The Jacobian matrix of the system (9) at (0, 0) is J̃+ 0 = ( A B C D ) = ( 1 2(β − α(β + 1) + 3) −β+1 2β − (α−1)(β−1)β β+1 2 β+1 ) . Now we can write the equations in system (9) as ut+1 = Aut +Bvt + f̃(ut, vt), vt+1 = Cut +Dvt + g̃(ut, vt), (10) where f̃(ut, vt) and g̃(ut, vt) are the rest of the expressions. Let us assume that the map h, which represents a center manifold, takes the form h(u) = (β − αβ)u+ au2 + bu3 +O(u4), a, b ∈ R. Now we have to compute the constants a and b. The function h must satisfy the center manifold equation h(Au+Bh(u) + f̃(u, h(u)))− Cu−Dh(u)− g̃(u, h(u)) = 0. (11) The Taylor series expansions, at the point u = 0, are evaluated for the equation above. Equating the coefficients of the series and using the equation ∆ = 0, after some manipu- lations, we obtain a = − 4(α− 1)β2 α(β + 1)2 − β2 − 3 b = 16β3 ( α3(β + 1)3 − α2(β + 1)(3β(β + 1) + 4) + α ( 3β ( β2 + β + 1 ) + 7 ) − β3 + β − 4 ) (α(β + 1)2 − β2 − 3)3 . Thus on the center manifold v = h(u) we find the map P (u). Because of the lengthy expressions we omit it here. Calculations show that P ′(0) = 1. Since 0 < β < 1 and |λ2| < 1, we have α > 1 and α(β + 1)2 > β2 + 3. Therefore, P ′′(0) = 4(α− 1)β(β + 1) α(β + 1)2 − β2 − 3 > 0. Hence, for the map P , the origin is semistable from the left. Now, we are going to find the stable manifold, which exists when |λ2| < 1 or −α(β + 1)2 + β2 + 2β + 5 < 2(β + 1). S. Kapcak / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 16 (1) (2023), 71-83 81 Since the stable manifold is tangent to the eigenvector at the point, let us take h(u) = 2(β − 1)β (β + 1)2 u+ au2 + bu3 +O(u4), a, b ∈ R. This map must satisfy the centre manifold equation (11). We calculate map Q on the stable manifold and found that Q′(0) = −α(β + 1)2 + β2 + 2β + 5 2(β + 1) . Because of the long output of the computations we omit them here. Stable Manifold Center M anifold 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 x 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 y Figure 4: (α = 2.75 and β = 0.4) Phase Diagram of system (4) with the invariant manifolds. Stable and centre manifolds are given in the phase diagram in Figure 4 for the case ∆ = 0. The dashed curve is the centre manifold for which the fixed point is semi-stable. The solid curve is the stable manifold. An orbit approaching the fixed point is also shown. 4. Conclusions In this paper, we investigated the stability of a predator-prey model with refuge and Allee effect. 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