EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF PURE AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS 2025, Vol. 18, Issue 2, Article Number 5981 ISSN 1307-5543 – ejpam.com Published by New York Business Global A New Method for Generating Continuous Distributions with Applications Morad Ahmad1,2, Mohammad A. Amleh2,∗ 1 Department of Mathematics, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan 2 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Zarqa University, Zarqa, Jordan Abstract. In this paper, a new modifying method has been introduced by adding an extra param- eter to generate a new family of distributions that has more flexibility and better model fitting. A special case has been considered; the exponential distribution. All the main properties of the new modified exponential distribution are derived, including the CDF, PDF, and quantile function. The maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate unknown parameters. The modified exponential distribution has been applied to two-lifetime data sets to illustrate its efficiency. 2020 Mathematics Subject Classifications: 62E10, 62N02, 62N05 Key Words and Phrases: Reliability function, Maximum likelihood estimation, Exponential distribution 1. Introduction The distribution of random variables is one of the key concepts used in statistics to model and fit data sets. There are several well-known distributions used in the literature. These distributions show strong effectiveness in many situations but fail in other cases. Because of this, more general and flexible distributions have appeared recently by many authors by adding a new parameter to a family of distribution functions to give better fitting for the empirical data. Recently, Ahmad and Asha[1] introduced the exponential reliability method which is a new method for generating a new family of distribution functions. A well-known approach for this purpose is the TX family of distributions, which was suggested by Aljarrah et al. [2]. This work is similar to the beta-normal distribution proposed by Eugene et al. [3]. Other researchers made improvements for classical distributions like the Weibull distribution[4], such as the transmuted modified Weibull distribution [5] and the transmuted inverse Weibull distribution [6]. More details on this context can be found in [7] and [8]. This paper aims to insert a new parameter into a family of distribution functions to produce a new more powerful family that can adjust reliability and has better fit and ∗Corresponding author. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29020/nybg.ejpam.v18i2.5981 Email addresses: m.ahmad@zu.edu.jo (M. Ahmad), malamleh@zu.edu.jo (M. A. Amleh) https://www.ejpam.com 1 Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s). (CC BY-NC 4.0) M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 2 of 16 more flexibility as well as simplicity. This new method is called the alpha-R (α − R) method. The α − R method can be used easily and effectively for data analysis. First, we present the modified family and discuss its main properties. Then, the technique is applied to the exponential distribution. Two data sets are fitted using the classical distributions and the modified exponential distribution using the alpha-R method, we compare them using Akaike’s information criterion [9], the Bayesian information criterion and Kolmogorov-smirnov test. The maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the parameters. All calculations are obtained using R software. 2. The α−R Family The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the α−R family is defined as follows G(y) = 1−R(y)αF (y), y ∈ R, 0 < α ≤ e (1) where F(y) and R(y) are the CDF and reliability function of a baseline distribution, respectively. A new parameter α(0 < α ≤ e) is utilized to extend the use of a random variable Y . It is clear that if α = 1, then G(y) = F (y). The probability density function (PDF) corresponding to (1) is given by: g(y) = f(y)αF (y)[1− (logα)R(y)], y ∈ R, 0 < α ≤ e, (2) where f(y) represents the PDF of a baseline distribution. Further, it can be shown that the hazard rate function of the α−R family is given as z(y) = h(y)[1− (logα)R(y)], y ∈ R, 0 < α ≤ e, (3) where h(y) is the hazard rate function of the original distribution. 3. α−R Exponential Distribution In this section, we present a special case of the α−R family. This special distribution is considered as a generalization of the exponential distribution. Definition 1. A random variable Y is said to have α−R exponential (α−RE) distribution if its CDF is given by: G(y, α, θ) = 1− e−θy × α1−e−θy , y > 0, θ > 0, 0 < α ≤ e (4) The Corresponding PDF of the α−RE distribution is defined as: g(y, α, θ) = θα1−e−θy ( e−θy − logα× e−2θy ) , y > 0, θ > 0, 0 < α ≤ e (5) Plots for the CDF of the α − RE distribution are provided in Figures 1 and 2. In addition, Figures 3 and 4 display the plots of the corresponding PDFs. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 3 of 16 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 y G (y ,α ,θ ) α = 0.5, θ = 0.5 α = 0.5, θ = 2 α = 0.75, θ = 0.5 α = 0.75, θ = 2 Figure 1: The CDF curves of the α−R E distribution for the parameter values θ = 0.5 and θ = 2, and α = 0.5 and α = 0.75 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 y G (y ,α ,θ ) α = 1.5, θ = 0.5 α = 1.5, θ = 2 α = e, θ = 0.5 α = e, θ = 2 Figure 2: The CDF curves of the α−R E distribution for the parameter values θ = 0.5 and θ = 2, and α = 1.5 and α = e M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 4 of 16 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 1 2 3 y g (y ,α ,θ ) α = 0.5, θ = 0.5 α = 0.5, θ = 2 α = 0.75, θ = 0.5 α = 0.75, θ = 2 Figure 3: The PDF curves of the α−RE distribution for the parameter values θ = 0.5 and θ = 2, and α = 0.5 and α = 0.75 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 y g (y ,α ,θ ) α = 1.5, θ = 0.5 α = 1.5, θ = 2 α = e, θ = 0.5 α = e, θ = 2 Figure 4: The PDF curves of the α−RE distribution for the parameter values θ = 0.5 and θ = 2, and α = 1.5 and α = e 4. Statistical Properties of the α−RE distribution In this section, some statistical properties of the α − RE distribution are discussed, including the moments, the quantile function, and the maximum likelihood estimation. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 5 of 16 4.1. Quantile Function If the CDF of a distribution Y is H(y), then q = H−1(p), 0 < p < 1 is the corre- sponding quantile function. Thus, the quantile function of the α − RE distribution can be obtained by solving the equation: −θq − ( 1− e−θq ) logα = log (1− p) , 0 < p < 1, (6) Or equivalently: logαe−u + u− log [α (1− p)] = 0, (7) where u = −θq. Eq.(7) has an analytical solution in terms of the Lambert W function as follows: q(p) = 1 θ [ W ( −(1− p) α logα ) + log [ (1− p) α ]] , 0 < p < 1 (8) where W (.) is the Lambert W function. Here, data from the α−RE distribution can be obtained by applying its quantile function to a sample from a uniform distribution. The median of the α−R E distribution is given by: median = 1 θ [ W ( 1 2α log ( 1 α ) + log ( 1 4α ))] . 4.2. Moments This subsection discusses the computation of the Kth moment of the α − R E distri- bution. The Kth moment about the origin of the proposed model is derived as follows: Mk = θ ∫ ∞ 0 ykα1−e−θy ( e−θy − logα× e−2θy ) dy, = θ [∫ ∞ 0 α1−e−θy e−θyyk dy − logα ∫ ∞ 0 α1−e−θy e−2θyyk dy ] . (9) It is known that the lower incomplete gamma function is given as: γ(x, a) = ∫ x 0 ta−1e−tdt, Consequently, it can be shown that:∫ 1 0 (log t)kta−1e−t dt = ∂k ∂ak γ(1, a). (10) Thus, the first integral (I1) in Eq.(9) can be handled by letting t = e−θy, so we get: I1 = (−1)kα (θ)k+1(logα)k+1 ∫ 1 0 (log t)k e−t dt = (−1)kα (θ logα)k+1 ∂k ∂ak γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=1 (11) M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 6 of 16 Similarly, the second integral (I2) in Eq.(9) can be expressed as: I2 = (−1)kα (θ logα)k+1 ∫ 1 0 t(log t)ke−t dt I2 = (−1)kα (θ logα)k+1 ∂k ∂ak γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=2 (12) Hence, using Eq.s (11) and (12) the kth moment of the α − RE distribution is given by: Mk = (−1)kα θk(logα)k+1 [ ∂k ∂ak γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=1 − (logα) ∂k ∂ak γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=2 ] (13) Therefore, the mean of the α−RE distribution is given by: E(Y ) = (−1)kα θ [ 1 (logα)2 ∂ ∂a γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=1 − 1 logα ∂ ∂a γ(1, a) ∣∣∣ a=2 ] (14) 4.3. Moment Generating Function The moment generating function (MGF) of Y ∼ α−RE(α, θ) is obtained as: M(t) = E(etY ) = θ ∫ ∞ 0 etyα1−e−θy ( e−θy − logα× e−2θy ) dy By letting u = e−θy, we have: M(t) = α  ∫ 1 0 u− t θα−udu︸ ︷︷ ︸ I1 − logα ∫ 1 0 u1− t θα−udu︸ ︷︷ ︸ I2  I1 = 1 (logα)1− t θ γ(logα, 1− t θ ) I2 = 1 (logα)1− t θ ∫ logα 0 u1− t θ e−udu = 1 (logα)1− t θ γ(logα, 2− t θ ) Accordingly, the MGF of the α−R E distribution is given by: M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 7 of 16 M(t) = α (logα)1− t θ γ(logα, 1− t θ )− (logα) t θ γ(logα, 2− t θ ) (15) 4.4. Maximum Likelihood Estimation The foremost method and extensively utilized technique for the purpose of estimating parameters is the maximum likelihood method. In this subsection, we utilize the em- ployment of the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters of the α − RE distribution. Assume that Y1, Y2, ...., Yn is a random sample from α − RE distribution, the corre- sponding likelihood function is: L(α, θ, yi) = θn αn− ∑n i=1 e −θyi · n∏ i=1 ( e−θyi − logα× e−2θyi ) (16) The log-likelihood function is given by: l(α, θ, yi) = n log θ + ( n− n∑ i=1 e−θyi ) logα+ n∑ i=1 log ( e−θyi − logα× e−2θyi ) (17) In order to obtain the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of α and θ, the partial derivatives of l in Eq.(17) are provided: ∂l ∂α = ( n− ∑n i=1 e −θyi ) α + n∑ i=1 e−2θyi α (e−θyi − logα× e−2θyi) (18) ∂l ∂θ = n θ + logα n∑ i=1 yie −θyi + n∑ i=1 −yie −θyi + 2 logα yie −2θyi e−θyi − logα× e−2θyi (19) By equating the non-linear Eq.s (18) and (19) to zero and solving subsequently, we obtain the MLEs of α and θ. In fact, numerical solutions are required to find out such MLEs. Newton-Raphson method via R software can be applied in this context. 5. Simulation Experiment In this section, a simulation experiment is performed to assess the efficiency and preci- sion of the MLEs of the parameters θ and α of the α−RE distribution. First, we generate a random sample Y1, Y2, . . . , Yn from α−RE distribution. Using Eq.(18) and Eq.(19) we compute the estimates. The average bias (AB), and the mean squared error (MSE), of the suggested estimators are used to compare the performance of such estimators. The AB(β̂) of an estimator β̂ of any parameter β indicates the typical disparity between an outcome and its observed counterpart. It quantifies the precision of a model’s predic- M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 8 of 16 tions, with diminished mean bias implying greater proximity between obtained and actual values. AB(β̂) = 1 N N∑ i=1 ( β̂i − β ) , where β̂i is the estimate achieved in iteration i, i = 1, . . . , N . The MSE(β̂) reflects the average squared difference between an estimated value and the actual value of β. Precisely, it measures how accurate a model’s efficiency is. The lower the MSE, the closer the estimated values are to the actual values, and the better the model’s performance, formally MSE(β̂) = 1 N N∑ i=1 ( β̂i − β )2 . A simulation experiment is conducted based on different sample sizes and parameter values. For this, we generate random samples of α − RE distribution by considering the true values of θ and α to be 1.5 and 2, respectively. Samples from α − RE distribution are randomly generated under this setup with 1000 replications of the simulation process. Using these random samples, ABs andMSEs of the estimators are calculated. We propose several sample sizes n = 50, 100, 200, 500, 1000. We display the results in Table 1. Table 1: ABs and MSEs of the parameter estimates when θ = 1.5, α = 2 n AB(θ̂) MSE(θ̂) AB(α̂) MSE(α̂) 50 0.0242 0.0630 0.0417 0.2188 100 0.0191 0.02823 0.0374 0.0904 200 0.0144 0.0133 0.0129 0.0427 500 0.0027 0.0060 0.0053 0.01750 1000 0.0019 0.00297 0.0017 0.0093 It can be observed that the AB(β̂) and MSE(β̂), of the estimators decrease as the sample size increases, which means all estimators tend to the true value of the parameter. 6. Real Data Applications In this section, we examine the adaptability of the new distribution using real-life applications and compare the goodness of fit of the α−RE distribution to other existing distributions. The goodness of fit of the suggested distribution is compared with the following dis- M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 9 of 16 tributions: Two-parameter exponential distribution (Johnson et al.)[10], with PDF: fExp(x) = θe−θ(x−b), x > b, θ > 0. Gamma distribution (Johnson et al.)[10], with PDF: fGam(x) = βαxα−1e−βx Γ(α) , x > 0, α > 0, β > 0. Weibull distribution (Johnson et al.)[10], with PDF: fWei(x) = α β ( x β )α−1 e − ( x β )α , x > 0, α > 0, β > 0. The performance of each model is obtained according to many criteria, including −2 lnL, Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic (KSS), and its corresponding p-value, (Chakravarti et al.)[11], Akaike information criterion (AIC), see (Akaike)[12], and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), (Konishi et al.)[13]. We choose the best model so that it has lower values of −2 lnL, KSS, AIC, and BIC and higher p-value. Here, L represents the likelihood function. The values of KSS,AIC,BIC are given respectively: KSS = sup x|Fn(x)− F0(x)| AIC = −2 lnL+ 2m BIC = −2 lnL+m ln(n) where n is the sample size, m represents the number of parameters, and Fn(x) stands for the empirical distribution function. We consider two data sets that are widely used in the literature for the purpose of fitting new distributions. 6.1. Example 1 We have a dataset that contains information about the lifespan of Kevlar 373/epoxy samples exposed to constant pressure at 90% of their stress capacity until each sample reaches the point of failure. This dataset has been utilized by Abdul-Moniem and Seham [14]. The data is recorded as follows: M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 10 of 16 Example 1 0.0251 0.0886 0.0891 0.2501 0.3113 0.3451 0.4763 0.5650 0.5671 0.6566 0.6748 0.6751 0.6753 0.7696 0.8375 0.8391 0.8425 0.8645 0.8851 0.9113 0.9120 0.9836 1.0483 1.0596 1.0773 1.1733 1.2570 1.2766 1.2985 1.3211 1.3503 1.3551 1.4595 1.4880 1.5728 1.5733 1.7083 1.7263 1.7460 1.7630 1.7746 1.8275 1.8375 1.8503 1.8808 1.8878 1.8881 1.9316 1.9558 2.0048 2.0408 2.0903 2.1093 2.1330 2.2100 2.2460 2.2878 2.3203 2.3470 2.3513 2.4951 2.5260 2.9911 3.0256 3.2678 3.4045 3.4846 3.7433 3.7455 3.9143 4.8073 5.4005 5.4435 5.5295 6.5541 9.0960 The results of −2 lnL, KSS, p− value, AIC, and BIC for α−RE, gamma, weibull, and exponential distributions are given in Table 2. Table 2: −2 lnL, KSS, p− value, AIC, and BIC statistic and the of the fitted distributions Distribution −2 lnL KSS p-value AIC BIC α−RE 242.5566 0.08946 0.5472 246.5567 251.2182 Gamma 244.499 0.09614 0.4554 248.4987 253.1602 Weibull 245.049 0.1101 0.2937 249.0494 253.7109 Exponential 185.3168 0.1663 0.0299 256.2289 258.5594 It can be observed that the α−RE distribution has minimum values of: −2 lnL, KSS, p− value, AIC, and BIC and the largest p − value among all other distribution. Conse- quently, the α−RE distribution is more adequate to fit this real data. Table 3: The Parameter Estimates and Standard Errors of the distributions considered. Distribution Estimates of the parameters Std Error α−RE θ = 0.805 0.0846 α = 2.250 0.2797 Gamma α = 1.6406 0.2439 β = 1.1941 0.2072 Weibull α = 1.3258 0.1138 β = 2.1336 0.1946 Exponential θ = 0.5104 0.0586 In Table 3, we present the MLEs of the parameters of the α − RE and the other existing distributions with their corresponding standard error. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 11 of 16 Figure 5: presents plots of the estimated PDFs with the data set. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 12 of 16 Figure 6: shows the CDFs for the four distribution functions. Figures 5 and 6 display the PDF and the CDF of the α − RE distribution alongside alternative distributions in the first data set, respectively. Based on the plotted data, it is evident that the α − RE distribution provides a superior match to the data compared to other rival distributions. 6.2. Example 2 The second data set represents the survival times of 121 patients suffering from breast cancer collected from a large hospital in a period from 1929-1938 [15]. The times are reported as follows: M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 13 of 16 Example 2 0.3 0.3 4.0 5.0 5.6 6.2 6.3 6.6 6.8 7.4 7.5 8.4 8.4 10.3 11.0 11.8 12.2 12.3 13.5 14.4 14.4 14.8 15.5 15.7 16.2 16.3 16.5 16.8 17.2 17.3 17.5 17.9 19.8 20.4 20.9 21.0 21.0 21.1 23.0 23.4 23.6 24.0 24.0 27.9 28.2 29.1 30.0 31.0 31.0 32.0 35.0 35.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 38.0 38.0 38.0 39.0 39.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 42.0 43.0 43.0 43.0 44.0 45.0 45.0 46.0 46.0 47.0 48.0 49.0 51.0 51.0 51.0 52.0 54.0 55.0 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 61.0 62.0 65.0 65.0 67.0 67.0 68.0 69.0 78.0 80.0 83.0 88.0 89.0 90.0 93.0 96.0 103.0 105.0 109.0 109.0 111.0 115.0 117.0 125.0 126.0 127.0 129.0 129.0 139.0 The results of −2 lnL, KSS, p− value, AIC, and BIC for α−RE, gamma, weibull, and exponential distributions are given in Table 4. Table 4: −2lnL,KSS, p− values,AIC, and BIC statistic and the of the fitted distributions Distribution −2 lnL KSS p− value AIC BIC α−RE 1142.6 0.0577 0.8188 1146.6 1152.2 Gamma 1144.5 0.0805 0.4174 1148.5 1154.1 Weibull 1142.7 0.06762 0.6427 1146.7 1152.3 Exponential 987.6 0.3781 0 982.56 988.15 It can be observed that, the α−RE distribution has minimum values of:−2lnL,KSS,AIC, and BIC and the largest p−value among all other distribution. Consequently, the α−RE distribution is more adequate to fit this real data. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 14 of 16 Table 5: The Parameter Estimates and Standard Errors of the distributions considered. Distribution Estimates of the parameters Std Error α−RE θ = 0.0329 0.0031 α = 2.134 0.265 Gamma α = 1.515 0.177 β = 29.95 4.15 Weibull α = 1.317 0.0951 β = 48.77 3.537 Exponential b = 0.3 0.0586 θ = 22.1 In Table 5, we present the MLEs of the parameters of the α−RE and the other existing distributions with their corresponding standard error. Figure 7: presents plots of the estimated PDFs with the data set. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 15 of 16 Figure 8: shows the CDFs for the four distribution functions. Figures 7 and 8 display the PDF and the CDF of the α − RE distribution alongside alternative distributions in the first data set, respectively. Based on the plotted data, it is evident that the α − RE distribution provides a superior match to the data compared to other rival distributions. Acknowledgements This research was carried out during the first author’s sabbatical leave from The Uni- versity of Jordan to Zarqa University. The authors thank the editor and anonymous reviewers for their comments that helped improve the quality of this work. References [1] M Ahmad and A Asha. Generating new families of distributions using the exponential reliability method. Boletim da Sociedade Paranaense de Matemática, 2024. To be published. [2] M A Aljarrah, C Lee, and F Famoye. On generating tx family of distributions using quantile functions. Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, 1:1–17, 2014. [3] N Eugene, C Lee, and F Famoye. Beta-normal distribution and its applications. Communications in Statistics-Theory and methods, 31:497–512, 2002. M. Ahmad, M. A. Amleh / Eur. J. Pure Appl. Math, 18 (2) (2025), 5981 16 of 16 [4] W Weibull. A statistical distribution function of wide applicability. Journal of applied mechanics, 1951. [5] M S Khan and R King. Transmuted modified weibull distribution: A generalization of the modified weibull probability distribution. European Journal of pure and applied mathematics, 6:66–88, 2013. [6] M S Khan, R King, and I Hudson. Characterizations of the transmuted inverse weibull distribution. Anziam Journal, 55:C197–C217, 2013. [7] M A Amleh and I Al-Freihat. Prediction of new lifetimes of a step-stress test using cumulative exposure model with censored gompertz data. Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing, 13(4):1368–1387, 2024. [8] M Ahmad. Marshall-olkin family of distributions: Additional properties and compar- ative studies. Boletim da Sociedade Paranaense de Matemática, 40, 2022. [9] H Akaike. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE transactions on automatic control, 19:716–723, 1974. [10] N L Johnson, S Kotz, and N Balakrishnan. Continuous univariate distributions, volume 2. John wiley & sons, 1995. [11] I M Chakravarti, R G Laha, and J Roy. Handbook of methods of applied statistics. Wiley New York, 1967. [12] H Akaike. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In Selected papers of hirotugu akaike, pages 199–213. Springer, 1974. [13] S Konishi and G Kitagawa. Information criteria and statistical modeling. Springer Science & Business Media, 2008. [14] IB Abdul-Moniem and M Seham. Transmuted gompertz distribution. Computational and Applied Mathematics Journal, 1:88–96, 2015. [15] E T Lee. Statistical methods for survival data analysis. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 35:123–123, 1986.