id	sid	eid	entity	type
fsr-3306	1	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	1	2	john m. clinebella	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	3	douglas r. kahlb	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	4	jerry l.	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	5	kenneth w. monfort school	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	6	university of northern colorado	ORG
fsr-3306	1	7	greeley	GPE
fsr-3306	1	8	80639	DATE
fsr-3306	1	9	usa bdepartment	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	10	university of akron	ORG
fsr-3306	1	11	akron	GPE
fsr-3306	1	12	oh 44325-4803	DATE
fsr-3306	1	13	usa cdepartment	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	14	e. c. robins school of business	PERSON
fsr-3306	1	15	university of richmond	ORG
fsr-3306	1	16	richmond	GPE
fsr-3306	1	17	va 23173	DATE
fsr-3306	2	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	3	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	7	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	9	1	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	9	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	9	3	five-year	DATE
fsr-3306	11	1	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	11	2	academy of financial services	ORG
fsr-3306	13	1	kalman	PERSON
fsr-3306	16	1	j. l. stevens	PERSON
fsr-3306	17	1	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	17	2	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	18	1	167–180 1057-0810/17/$	DATE
fsr-3306	18	2	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	20	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	23	1	xiong	PERSON
fsr-3306	23	2	ibbotson	PERSON
fsr-3306	23	3	chen	PERSON
fsr-3306	23	4	2010	DATE
fsr-3306	24	1	1992	DATE
fsr-3306	24	2	50 weakest months	DATE
fsr-3306	27	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	27	2	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	27	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	28	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	29	1	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	29	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	31	1	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	37	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	37	2	january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	37	3	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	38	1	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	41	1	section 2	LAW
fsr-3306	42	1	section 3	LAW
fsr-3306	42	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	43	1	168	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	43	2	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	43	3	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	43	4	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	43	5	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	43	6	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	44	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	44	2	section 4	LAW
fsr-3306	45	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	45	2	section 5	LAW
fsr-3306	47	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	48	1	sharpe	PERSON
fsr-3306	48	2	1975	DATE
fsr-3306	48	3	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	48	4	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	48	5	a good year	DATE
fsr-3306	48	6	a bad year	DATE
fsr-3306	48	7	seven	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	48	8	10	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	49	1	bauer	ORG
fsr-3306	49	2	dahlquist	PERSON
fsr-3306	49	3	2001	DATE
fsr-3306	49	4	66%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	49	5	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	50	1	1970	DATE
fsr-3306	51	1	jung, & klein	ORG
fsr-3306	51	2	2015	DATE
fsr-3306	51	3	glosten, & jagamathan	ORG
fsr-3306	51	4	1989	DATE
fsr-3306	51	5	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	51	6	krueger & kennedy	ORG
fsr-3306	51	7	1990	DATE
fsr-3306	51	8	campbell, andrew, & mckinley	ORG
fsr-3306	51	9	1999	DATE
fsr-3306	51	10	2000	DATE
fsr-3306	52	1	aronson	ORG
fsr-3306	52	2	2006	DATE
fsr-3306	52	3	2003	DATE
fsr-3306	52	4	sullivan	PERSON
fsr-3306	52	5	timmerman, & white	ORG
fsr-3306	52	6	1999	DATE
fsr-3306	53	1	pruitt	PERSON
fsr-3306	53	2	1988	DATE
fsr-3306	53	3	kothari	PERSON
fsr-3306	53	4	1995	DATE
fsr-3306	54	1	overand	ORG
fsr-3306	54	2	1998	DATE
fsr-3306	54	3	2003	DATE
fsr-3306	55	1	kahneman	PERSON
fsr-3306	56	1	campbell	ORG
fsr-3306	56	2	2000	DATE
fsr-3306	56	3	campbell, andrew	ORG
fsr-3306	56	4	mckinley	GPE
fsr-3306	56	5	1999	DATE
fsr-3306	56	6	1998	DATE
fsr-3306	56	7	debont	GPE
fsr-3306	56	8	1985	DATE
fsr-3306	56	9	2000	DATE
fsr-3306	58	1	the late 1990s	DATE
fsr-3306	60	1	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	60	2	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	60	3	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	61	1	167–180 3	DATE
fsr-3306	62	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	62	2	1991	DATE
fsr-3306	62	3	alan greenspan	PERSON
fsr-3306	62	4	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	63	1	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	63	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	63	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	64	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	65	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	66	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	68	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	68	2	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	68	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	70	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	72	1	bodie	GPE
fsr-3306	72	2	kane	PERSON
fsr-3306	72	3	marcus	PERSON
fsr-3306	72	4	2014	DATE
fsr-3306	73	1	429	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	73	2	15	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	73	3	6.67%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	74	1	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	74	2	5%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	74	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	74	4	1.334	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	74	5	1.334).5	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	74	6	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	74	7	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	74	8	2.3%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	74	9	today	DATE
fsr-3306	74	10	3.068%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	74	11	1.334	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	74	12	0.023	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	75	1	32.59	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	76	1	32.59	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	76	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	77	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	78	1	the next period	DATE
fsr-3306	79	1	3.1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	80	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	80	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	83	1	2003	DATE
fsr-3306	84	1	170	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	84	2	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	84	3	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	84	4	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	85	1	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	85	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	86	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	87	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	89	1	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	90	1	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	90	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	91	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	92	1	aguirremalloa, & corres	ORG
fsr-3306	92	2	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	93	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	94	1	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	95	1	3.2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	96	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	96	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	97	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	97	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	97	3	2005	DATE
fsr-3306	97	4	2003	DATE
fsr-3306	97	5	schwartz	GPE
fsr-3306	97	6	1991	DATE
fsr-3306	98	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	100	1	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	100	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	101	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	101	2	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	102	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	104	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	106	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	107	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	108	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	112	1	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	112	2	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	112	3	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	113	1	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	113	2	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	113	3	yields.6 kalman’s	PERSON
fsr-3306	113	4	1960	DATE
fsr-3306	114	1	kalman	PERSON
fsr-3306	116	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	117	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	118	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	118	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	118	3	5	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	119	1	5	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	119	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	121	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	121	2	eqs	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	122	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	122	2	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	124	1	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	124	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	125	1	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	125	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	125	3	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	126	1	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	126	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	127	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	128	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	128	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	128	3	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	128	4	between zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	128	5	eqs	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	129	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	129	2	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	129	3	the cooley-prescott	ORG
fsr-3306	129	4	1973	DATE
fsr-3306	132	1	kahl	PERSON
fsr-3306	132	2	1983	DATE
fsr-3306	132	3	recursive kalman	ORG
fsr-3306	132	4	eqs	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	133	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	133	2	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	134	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	135	1	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	135	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	136	1	5	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	136	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	136	3	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	136	4	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	136	5	10-year	DATE
fsr-3306	136	6	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	136	7	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	136	8	markets.8	PRODUCT
fsr-3306	136	9	172	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	137	1	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	137	2	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	137	3	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	137	4	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	137	5	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	137	6	december 2011	DATE
fsr-3306	137	7	january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	137	8	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	138	1	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	138	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	138	3	four-quarter	DATE
fsr-3306	138	4	linear	ORG
fsr-3306	138	5	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	138	6	1871	DATE
fsr-3306	139	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	140	1	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	140	2	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	142	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	142	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	142	3	eqs	ORG
fsr-3306	143	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	143	2	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	143	3	1871 through 2011	DATE
fsr-3306	144	1	95%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	145	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	145	2	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	145	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	146	1	95%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	146	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	146	3	one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	146	4	the end of wwii	DATE
fsr-3306	147	1	fig	ORG
fsr-3306	148	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	148	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	148	3	1912 to 1954	DATE
fsr-3306	149	1	wwi	GPE
fsr-3306	149	2	wwii	GPE
fsr-3306	149	3	the korean war	EVENT
fsr-3306	150	1	1954	DATE
fsr-3306	151	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	152	1	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	152	2	1988	DATE
fsr-3306	152	3	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	154	1	four	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	155	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	155	2	second	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	155	3	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	156	1	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	157	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	157	2	zero	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	158	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	158	2	kalman	PERSON
fsr-3306	158	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	158	4	95%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	158	5	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	158	6	1871 through 2011	DATE
fsr-3306	159	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	159	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	160	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	160	2	95%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	160	3	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	162	1	1912 to 1954	DATE
fsr-3306	163	1	two	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	163	2	the korean war	EVENT
fsr-3306	164	1	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	164	2	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	164	3	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	164	4	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	165	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	166	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	167	1	4	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	168	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	169	1	1974	DATE
fsr-3306	169	2	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	169	3	the next month	DATE
fsr-3306	169	4	the last month’s	DATE
fsr-3306	173	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	173	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	173	3	1988	DATE
fsr-3306	173	4	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	174	1	1.1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	174	2	just over 0.85	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	176	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	176	2	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	176	3	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	176	4	the 24 years	DATE
fsr-3306	177	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	2	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	177	3	january 1988 through	DATE
fsr-3306	177	4	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	177	5	5,986b 7.088c	DATE
fsr-3306	177	6	17,542a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	7	13,499	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	8	15.985	MONEY
fsr-3306	177	9	2,030a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	10	5,743b 6.801c	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	11	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	177	12	0.001	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	179	1	second	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	181	1	second	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	182	1	fig	ORG
fsr-3306	183	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	183	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	183	3	1988	DATE
fsr-3306	183	4	2011	DATE
fsr-3306	184	1	174	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	184	2	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	184	3	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	184	4	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	184	5	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	184	6	more than 0.15	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	186	1	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	186	2	the late 1940s	DATE
fsr-3306	186	3	early 1950s	DATE
fsr-3306	187	1	6	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	189	1	first	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	189	2	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	189	3	january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	189	4	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	192	1	6.1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	193	1	kalman	PERSON
fsr-3306	193	2	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	193	3	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	193	4	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	193	5	january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	193	6	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	194	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	194	2	shiller	ORG
fsr-3306	195	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	195	2	1	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	196	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	1	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	2	the january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	199	3	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	199	4	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	5	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	6	2,178a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	7	628b 4.5537c	QUANTITY
fsr-3306	199	8	2,842a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	9	6.9568	MONEY
fsr-3306	199	10	2,134a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	11	606b	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	12	2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	199	13	0.001	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	201	1	second	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	203	1	second	ORDINAL
fsr-3306	204	1	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	204	2	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	204	3	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	204	4	167–180 6.2	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	205	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	205	2	month to month	DATE
fsr-3306	206	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	206	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	207	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	211	1	less than one	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	212	1	as many as 12	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	212	2	five-year	DATE
fsr-3306	213	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	215	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	216	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	216	2	1.96%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	216	3	26.23%	PERCENT
fsr-3306	216	4	annual	DATE
fsr-3306	216	5	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	217	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	217	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	218	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	218	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	218	3	0.985	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	219	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	219	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	219	3	1.29	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	219	4	1.113	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	219	5	only 0.902	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	219	6	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	219	7	the holdout period january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	219	8	december 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	219	9	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	220	1	0.0196a	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	220	2	annual	DATE
fsr-3306	221	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	221	2	0.0298	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	221	3	0.0199	MONEY
fsr-3306	221	4	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	221	5	0.360	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	221	6	0.0912	MONEY
fsr-3306	221	7	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	221	8	.902	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	221	9	1.113 1.291e	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	221	10	treasury	ORG
fsr-3306	222	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	223	1	annual	DATE
fsr-3306	224	1	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	224	2	monthly	DATE
fsr-3306	227	1	176	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	227	2	clinebell et al	PERSON
fsr-3306	227	3	26	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	227	4	2017	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	227	5	167–180	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	229	1	pfeifer	PERSON
fsr-3306	229	2	1985	DATE
fsr-3306	230	1	kahneman &	ORG
fsr-3306	230	2	1979	DATE
fsr-3306	235	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	235	2	nofsinger	ORG
fsr-3306	235	3	2013	DATE
fsr-3306	236	1	6.3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	238	1	3	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	238	2	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	238	3	january 2012	DATE
fsr-3306	238	4	december of 2016	DATE
fsr-3306	239	1	1.05	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	239	2	0.95	CARDINAL
fsr-3306	240	1	fed	ORG
fsr-3306	240	2	one	CARDINAL
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