Frontiers in Business, Economics and Management ISSN: 2766-824X | Vol. 20, No. 1, 2025 7 Evaluation of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Logistics Development Level and Suggestions for Improvement Fangyu Zhang * School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China * Corresponding author: Fangyu Zhang Abstract: In view of the accelerated pace of regional integration, the issue of city clusters has increasingly emphasized its importance in economic development. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei City Cluster, as the core of the Capital Economic Circle and the hub of logistics in the north, has seen a remarkable integration process, but the imbalance of logistics development amon g the cities within the cluster and its challenges should not be ignored. Therefore, based on this background, this paper constructs a set of logistics development level assessment system, and analyzes the logistics development status of each city in the Beijing- Tianjin-Hebei city cluster by using principal component analysis. By calculating the composite score, we rank the logistics development level of each city, aiming to accurately identify the problems faced by each city in the field of logistics, and accordingly put forward targeted improvement strategies and enhancement suggestions. Keywords: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei; Logistics Development Level; Principal Component Analysis. 1. Introduction As China's economy moves towards a new stage of high- quality development, the pace of regional economic integration has accelerated significantly, and the construction of urban agglomerations has become an important part of national strategic planning. With the in-depth implementation of the new development pattern of double-cycle, the development strategy of city clusters is not only a key path to strengthen the national economic strength, but also an important driver to promote inter-regional synergy, accelerate the pace of new urbanization and strengthen the construction of ecological civilization. According to the Opinions on Building a New Mechanism for Efficient Regional Coordinated Development issued by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) and the State Council, in the future, China will focus on the core city clusters, including Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Bay Area, Chengdu- Chongqing, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, the Central Plains, and the Central Guanzhong Plain, to promote them to become the engines of the integration of the country's major regional strategies. This strategy aims to strengthen the leading role of central cities, drive the synergistic development of the entire urban agglomeration, thereby realizing in-depth integration and interaction between regions and jointly drawing a new blueprint for synergistic regional development [1]. Among the many challenges to accelerate the "integration" process of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, logistics integration occupies a central position [2]. Logistics industry, as the cornerstone and strategic pillar of the national economy's solid development, has an inestimable value for industrial upgrading and transformation. In the grand blueprint of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei coordinated development, the logistics industry plays a key role in connecting the past and the future, and its efficient operation not only injects a strong impetus to the regional economic growth, but also becomes an effective tool and prerequisite for promoting the coordinated development of the region. A sound and efficient transportation and logistics system is not only the "gas pedal" for regional economic take-off, but also an important means to lead regional harmony and achieve balanced development. Therefore, deepening the process of logistics integration is of far-reaching significance for promoting the comprehensive and coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [3]. This paper focuses on the level of logistics development within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster. By constructing an evaluation index system containing three dimensions, namely, the scale of the logistics industry, the development environment and the potential for development, the level of logistics development of 14 cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei was comprehensively evaluated by using the principal component analysis method. The study finds that there are significant differences in the level of logistics development within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city cluster, with Beijing and Tianjin leading the way and other cities lagging behind. The article puts forward enhancement suggestions such as strengthening policy leadership, improving the core competitiveness of logistics enterprises and introducing high- tech talents to promote the synergistic development of the logistics industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. 2. Literature Review Yue Qi (2019) used gray correlation analysis, entropy weight method, and principal component analysis to comprehensively evaluate the logistics competitiveness in 2011 and 2016, and verified the consistency of the three methods by Kendall synergy coefficient test. Further, systematic cluster analysis was used to divide the logistics competitiveness of each region into three tiers, and the current situation and reasons for changes in the level of logistics development in each region were analyzed [4]. Jiang naturally et al. (2020) studied the logistics development level of 14 port cities in the Yangtze River Delta region in 2017. The study constructed an evaluation index system from four dimensions: logistics operation, infrastructure, urban support, and information technology, and measured the logistics 8 development level score of each city. By analyzing and comparing the measurement results, it reveals the echelon differences, regional characteristics, and problems of logistics development in Yangtze River Delta port cities, and puts forward corresponding policy recommendations [5]. Lun Jiaxing (2022) studied the development level of logistics industry in 31 provinces and cities in China, and conducted a comprehensive evaluation and analysis by constructing an evaluation index system containing four dimensions: logistics resource input, logistics development demand, logistics development benefit and logistics informationization development, and adopting entropy value method and TOPSIS method [6]. Chen Yu (2022) studied the level of logistics development in North China, through the principal component analysis method of logistics development level evaluation indicators for dimensionality reduction processing, and measured the level of logistics development scores of each region, for the quantitative evaluation of the level of logistics development in North China to provide a scientific basis [7]. With the rapid development of China's economy and logistics industry, scholars in China have gradually invested in the study of logistics development level. With the accumulation of research literature on the level of logistics development in urban agglomerations, the imbalance of logistics development within the urban agglomerations has gradually surfaced, but most of the research still tends to focus on the province as a unit to conduct a macroscopic exploration, and rarely focus on the in-depth analysis of the specific city level. To address this research gap, this paper takes a unique approach to assess the logistics development level of each city and quantify it into a comprehensive score by using principal component analysis (PCA) with the help of SPSS software, taking 14 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the perspectives. On this basis, this paper analyzes the problems in the development of logistics in each city, and aims to put forward a series of practical countermeasures. 3. Modeling and Data Description 3.1. Modeling Assuming that there are p indicators in the actual problem we are discussing, we regard these p indicators as p random variables, denoted as X1, X2, ..., Xp, principal component analysis is to transform the problem of these p indicators into a problem of discussing linear combinations of p indicators, and these new indicators F1, F2, ..., Fk (k≤ p), fully reflect the information of the original indicators according to the principle of retaining the main amount of information and are independent of each other. μ: factor loading. F1= μ(11) X1+ μ(21) X(2) +...+μ(p1) Xp F2= μ(12) X1+ μ(22) X(2) +...+μ(p2) Xp F3= μ(13) X1+ μ(23) X(2) +...+μ(p3) Xp ...... Fp= μ(1p) X1+ μ(2p) X(2) +...+μ(pp) Xp 3.2. Data Description 3.2.1. Data sources This paper analyzes the cities involved in Beijing-Tianjin- Hebei based on the cross-section data of 2020, and the relevant data are taken from the 2021 China Statistical Yearbook, Hebei Provincial Statistical Yearbook and Henan Provincial Statistical Yearbook. 3.2.2. Construction of the evaluation index system for the level of logistics development Reasonable indicators are conducive to the construction of the evaluation system for the level of logistics development, and the principles to be followed are as follows: Principle of comprehensiveness: the selected indicators should reflect well the cities involved in the regional integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and the dimensions of the indicators reflecting the level of logistics development should be considered from various aspects when they are selected. Principle of comparability: Although the regional integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is being gradually implemented, there are still great differences in the development of the cities involved in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, for example, Beijing and Tianjin, Beijing does not have water transportation, while Tianjin has very developed water transportation, if water transportation is selected as an evaluation indicator, it will lead to no comparability between Tianjin and other cities involved in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. Therefore, this aspect should be fully considered when selecting indicators. Principle of representativeness: The selected indicators should be representative enough to analyze and judge the problem more accurately. Principle of accessibility: Also known as the principle of operationalization, indicators are selected to ensure that the required data are available [8]. Principle of scientificity: subjectivity should be avoided to ensure that the data are true and reliable. This paper sets up three dimensions of logistics industry scale, logistics industry development environment, logistics industry development potential, and then according to the characteristics of these three dimensions themselves and unfolded to set up nine specific evaluation indicators, respectively, for the number of legal entities in transportation, highway freight volume, the number of employed people, the average wage, GDP per capita, Internet broadband access ports, the total amount of goods imported and exported, investment in fixed assets (excluding farmers) growth over the previous year, and R&D expenditure, and the final evaluation system is shown in Table 1. 9 Table 1. Indicators for evaluating the level of logistics development Level 1 indicators Secondary indicators Nature of the indicator variant Scale of the logistics industry Number of legal entities in transportation (thousands) forward X1 Freight transported by road (one hundred million tons) forward X2 Number of employed persons (10,000) forward X3 Average wage (10,000RMB) forward X4 Logistics Industry Development Environment GDP per capita (10,000RMB) forward X5 Internet broadband access ports (10,000 ports) forward X6 Total import and export of goods (one hundred million yuan) forward X7 Logistics Industry Development Potential Growth in investment in fixed assets (excluding farm households) over the previous year (%) forward X8 R&D expenditure (one hundred million yuan) forward X9 3.2.3. Descriptive statistical analysis Table 2. Analysis of descriptive statistics N minimum maximum average Standard deviation X1: Number of legal entities in transportation (thousands) 14 1.30 20.66 5.3936 5.86306 X2: Freight transported by road (one hundred million tons) 14 .39 5.13 1.9907 1.43788 X3: Number of employed persons (10,000) 14 .38 56.00 6.5206 14.70840 X4: Average wage (10,000RMB) 14 4.70 12.29 7.5064 2.09661 X5: GDP per capita (ten thousand yuan) 14 2.90 16.50 5.8643 3.73128 X6: Internet broadband access ports (10,000 ports) 14 209.20 2084.10 591.6357 508.93079 X7: Total import and export of goods (one hundred million yuan) 14 16.30 23216.00 2503.3000 6257.29577 X8: Growth in investment in 14 -50.80 129.70 14.1857 50.02373 X9: R&D expenditure (one hundred million yuan) 14 6.400 297.400 74.28571 88.240884 Valid N (list status) 14 4. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Logistics Development Level Empirical Analysis 4.1. Empirical Analysis 4.1.1. Data normalization and standardization Since all the indicators selected in this paper are normalized so there is no need to do the normalization process, and in the process of using SPSS software, SPSS can standardize the non-standard data by itself. Therefore, here no longer standardized processing. 4.1.2. KMO test and Bartlett's test of sphericity In order to test the significance and suitability of the data for constructing the evaluation indicators of logistics development level, KMO test and Bartlett's ball test are needed, and the results are shown in Table 3: Table 3. KMO and Bartlett's test KMO and Bartlett's test KMO .720 Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity Approximate chi-square 191.418 Degrees of freedom 36 significance .000 The KMO value is between 0 and 1. The higher the KMO value, the stronger the commonality of the variables and the more appropriate the principal component analysis, the general criteria are as follows: KMO>0.9, very suitable for principal component analysis; 0.8