370 Β© 2024 The Author(s). Published by College of Education for Pure Science (Ibn Al-Haitham), University of Baghdad. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License Ibn Al-Haitham Journal for Pure and Applied Sciences Journal homepage: jih.uobaghdad.edu.iq PISSN: 1609-4042, EISSN: 2521-3407 IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) Stability and Bifurcation Analysis of the Impact of Refuge on the Dissolved Oxygen-Plankton Interaction Ahmed Ali1,* , Shireen Jawad2 and Fengde Chen3 1,2Department of Mathematics, College of Science, University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. 3College of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, P.R. China. *Corresponding Author. Received: 21 May 2023 Accepted: 9 July 2023 Published: 20 October 2024 doi.org/10.30526/37.4.3505 Abstract The suggested mathematical model for studying the effect of refuge on the dissolved oxygen in the plankton ecosystem is based on measurements of dissolved oxygen, phytoplankton, and zooplankton populations. The aim of this work is to find out the potential equilibrium and to investigate their behaviour. The study shows that there are three points of equilibrium. The feasibility requirements and stability conditions for all steady states are determined. Using the consumption of oxygen by zooplankton as a bifurcation parameter, we test for the presence of Hopf- bifurcation for the interior equilibrium. It is shown what conditions must be met for stable limit cycles. Finally, a numerical simulation is conducted to back up the analytical findings. It shows when the stability criteria are met, the solution of the proposed system constantly oscillates around the positive stable state. In addition, the solution exhibits limit cycle behaviour for small changes in certain parameters. Keywords: Plankton interaction, Stability analysis, Bifurcation, Dissolved oxygen model. 1. Introduction Much effort has been put into understanding dissolved oxygen dynamics better since they are such a crucial indicator of the health of marine ecosystems [1-3]. Most of the oxygen in the oceans comes from phytoplankton which also serves as the foundation of the marine food chain through their photosynthesis [4]. It’s well knowledge that salinity, temperature, and nutrient availability all play significant roles in determining how much oxygen phytoplankton can create. Additionally, there is a considerable diurnal variation in oxygen generation by phytoplankton. Therefore, the link between phytoplankton and dissolved oxygen is crucial to the existence of organisms. Oxygen production fluctuations can have severe consequences for marine life. [5]. Since oxygen is used by living things for photosynthesis (during the day) and respiration (at night), the amount of oxygen in the water changes day and night. As a result, phytoplankton colonies can serve as reliable markers of ecological status. [6], [7]. Mondal, and his colleague, for instance, have studied how the coupled plankton-oxygen dynamics in the ocean are affected by a low oxygen production rate, which can result in oxygen depletion and species extinction [8]. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://orcid.org/0009-0004-7408-6238 mailto:ahmedali.970q6@gmail.com https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3090-8357 mailto:shireen.jawad@sc.uobaghdad.edu.iq https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3617-5550 mailto:fdchen@263.ne IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 371 Furthermore, the primary objective of the study of theoretical ecology is to identify the various dynamical mechanisms underlying interactions between prey and predator [9-11]. The relationship between phytoplankton and zooplankton is an example of a predator-prey interaction that reveals numerous aspects of marine ecology. Phytoplankton contributes substantially to aquatic ecosystems, including producing vast quantities of oxygen, managing natural resources and water quality, and establishing multiple food webs [12-14]. Plankton dynamics research is a fascinating field of study. Plankton constitutes the building elements of all aquatic food chains, with phytoplankton occupying the first trophic level [15]. Bagheli and Dhar examine the effect of dissolved oxygen on the presence of a planktonic population that interacts. They conclude that Hopf-bifurcation in the interior equilibrium is possible if the phytoplankton growth rate is selected as the bifurcation parameter [16]. The purpose of this research is to examine how the phytoplankton refuge affects the dynamics of the oxygen-plankton model. Some phytoplankton may evade their zooplankton prey by relocating to deeper water column layers. These sediments offer shelter from predators to the prey. Here is how the article is laid out: in Sec. 2, we built the structure of the proposed model. Sec. 3 explains the feasibility requirements and stability conditions for all steady states. The prevalence of Hopf bifurcations is also illustrated in Sec. 4. In Sec. 5. we undertake MATLAB-based numerical simulations to validate the analytical results. 2. Construction of the Model Include Let 𝑒(𝑑) and 𝑣(𝑑) indicate the phytoplankton and zooplankton populations at the time 𝑑, respectively. We assume some phytoplankton populations are safe from zooplankton predation because they can conceal themselves in the ocean’s floor-diverse sediments. These sediments offer refuge from predators to the hunted. 𝑀(𝑑) represents the dissolved oxygen concentration in the marine. Since phytoplankton do photosynthesis throughout the day, they also contribute to atmospheric oxygen production. Several additional factors, such as the respiration of marine organisms, the consumption of oxygen by phytoplankton at night, and the gradual drop in oxygen concentration brought about by chemical reactions in the water, all affect the rate at which oxygen is depleted. The following set of ordinary differential equations serves as the governing structure for the dynamical system of the system (1): 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑑 = π‘Ÿπ‘’ (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’π‘€) βˆ’ 𝛼1𝑒(1 βˆ’ π‘š)𝑣 βˆ’ 𝛿1𝑒, 𝑑𝑣 𝑑𝑑 = 𝛼2𝑒(1 βˆ’π‘š)𝑣 (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) βˆ’ 𝛿2𝑣, 𝑑𝑀 𝑑𝑑 = 𝑠(𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) + 𝑑𝑒 βˆ’ 𝛾𝑀 βˆ’ 𝛾1𝑒𝑀 βˆ’ 𝛾2𝑣𝑀, (1) with the initial conditions 𝑒(0) β‰₯ 0, 𝑣(0) β‰₯ 0 and 𝑀(0) β‰₯ 0. In the first equation of the system (1), π‘Ÿπ‘’ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€) represents the absorption of dissolved oxygen from phytoplankton with the growth rate π‘Ÿ. The maximum growth rate of the phytoplankton population is π‘Ÿ/π‘Ž1 at 𝑀 = 𝑀0. 𝛼1 is the phytoplankton’s capture rate by zooplankton. π‘š ∈ (0,1) is the proportion of protected phytoplankton. (1 βˆ’ π‘š) is the ratio of unprotected phytoplankton devoured by different zooplankton groups. 𝛼2 is the conversion rate from phytoplankton to zooplankton. 𝛿1 and 𝛿2 are the phytoplankton and zooplankton’s natural death rates. π‘Ž1 is the phytoplankton saturation constant. π‘Ž2 is the zooplankton saturation constant. 𝑀0 is the constant concentration of dissolved IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 372 oxygen that comes from external sources. 𝑠 is the replenishment rate of oxygen in marine. 𝑑 is the amount of oxygen produced as a result of the process of photosynthesis carried out by phytoplankton. 𝛾 is the natural depletion rate of oxygen. 𝛾1 is the consumption of oxygen by phytoplankton during the night. 𝛾2 is the consumption of oxygen by zooplankton. The equations of the system (1) are 𝐢1(𝑅+ 3), where 𝑅+ 3 = {(𝑒, 𝑣, 𝑀), 𝑒 β‰₯ 0, 𝑣 β‰₯ 0, 𝑀 β‰₯ 0}. Consequently, they are Lipschitz Ian [17]. Therefore, the system’s (1) solution exists and is unique. 2. Existence of equilibria System (1) has three non-negative steady states, namely 1. 𝑧1 = (0,0, οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½), where οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½ = 𝑠𝑀0 𝑠+𝛾 . 2. 𝑧2 = (οΏ½Μ…οΏ½, 0, οΏ½Μ…οΏ½), where οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ = (𝑠+𝛾)(π‘Ž1𝛿1βˆ’π‘Ÿ) 𝑑𝛿1βˆ’π›Ύ1(𝛿1(π‘Ž1+𝑀0)βˆ’π‘Ÿ) and οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ = π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ π‘Ÿ 𝛿1 , and. Clearly, οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ and οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ are positive if the following condition is satisfied: π‘Ÿ < π‘šπ‘–π‘›. {π‘Ž1𝛿1, 𝛿1(𝑑 βˆ’ 𝛾1(π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0))}. (2) 3. 𝑧3 = (𝑒 βˆ—, π‘£βˆ—, π‘€βˆ—), where 𝑒 = 𝛿2(π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€) (1βˆ’π‘š)[𝛼2βˆ’π‘Ž(π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€)] , 𝑣 = π‘Ÿ 𝛼1(1βˆ’π‘š)(π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€) βˆ’ 𝛿1 𝛼1(1βˆ’π‘š) , and 𝑀 is the root of the following equation: 𝐡0𝑀 3 + 𝐡1𝑀 2 + 𝐡2𝑀 + 𝐡3 = 0, (3) where, 𝐡0 = π‘Žπ›Ό1(1 βˆ’ π‘š)(𝑠 + 𝛾) > 0, 𝐡1 = 𝛼1π‘Žπ‘ π‘€0[2 βˆ’ (1 βˆ’ π‘š)] + 𝑑𝛿2𝛼1 βˆ’ 𝛼1(𝑠 + 𝛾)(𝛼2 βˆ’ π‘Žπ‘Ž2) βˆ’ 𝛼1π‘Žπ›Ύ[π‘Ž1(1 βˆ’ π‘š) βˆ’ 2𝑀0] 𝐡2 = 𝛼1π‘Žπ‘ π‘€0(1 βˆ’ π‘š)(2π‘Ž1 + 3𝑀0) βˆ’ 𝛼1𝑀0(1 βˆ’ π‘š)(𝑠 + 𝛾)[𝛼2 βˆ’ π‘Žπ‘Ž2] βˆ’ 𝑑𝛿2𝛼1π‘Ž1 + 𝛼1(1 βˆ’ π‘š)(𝑠 + 𝛾)[π‘Žπ‘Ž1π‘Ž2 βˆ’ 𝛼2π‘Ž1 + π‘Žπ‘€0 2] + 𝛼1π‘Žπ›Ύπ‘€0(1 βˆ’ π‘š)(π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0) 𝐡3 = 𝛼1𝑠𝑀0(1 βˆ’ π‘š)[𝛼2π‘Ž1 βˆ’ π‘Žπ‘Ž1π‘Ž2 βˆ’ π‘Žπ‘Ž1𝑀0 + 𝛼2𝑀0 βˆ’ π‘Žπ›Ό2𝑀0 βˆ’ π‘Žπ‘€0 2] + 𝑑𝛿2𝛼1[π‘Ž1π‘Ž2 + π‘Ž1𝑀0 + π‘Ž2𝑀0 + 𝑀0 2]. Using Descartes’s rule of sign [15], equation (3) has a unique positive root, say 𝑀 = π‘€βˆ—, if one of the following sets conditions hold: 𝐡1 > 0 and 𝐡3 < 0, 𝐡2 < 0 and 𝐡3 < 0. (4) For π‘’βˆ—and π‘£βˆ—to be positive, the following two conditions must be satisfied: 𝛼2 > π‘Ž(π‘Ž2 +𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀), π‘Ÿ > 𝛿1(π‘Ž1 +𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀). (5) 3. Stability Analysis The feature of the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix 𝐽(𝑒, 𝑣, 𝑀) at an equilibrium point is directly related to the behaviour of the system (1) near an equilibrium. The 𝐽(𝑒, 𝑣, 𝑀) at any point, say (𝑒, 𝑣, 𝑀), can be written as: 𝐽 = [ π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1 +𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) βˆ’ 𝛼1𝑣(1 βˆ’π‘š) βˆ’ 𝛿1 βˆ’π›Ό1𝑒(1 βˆ’ π‘š) π‘Ÿπ‘’ (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) 2 𝛼2𝑣(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) 𝛼2𝑒(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) βˆ’ 𝛿2 𝛼2𝑒(1 βˆ’ π‘š)𝑣 (π‘Ž2 +𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑀) 2 𝑑 βˆ’ 𝛾1𝑀 βˆ’π›Ύ2𝑀 βˆ’(𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1𝑒 + 𝛾2𝑣)] The local stability of system (1) around each equilibrium is: IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 373 1. The Jacobian matrix at 𝑧1 = (0,0, οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) is given as: 𝐽(𝑧1) = [ π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿1 0 0 0 βˆ’π›Ώ2 0 𝑑 βˆ’ 𝛾1οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½ βˆ’π›Ύ2οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½ βˆ’π‘  βˆ’ 𝛾 ] Then, 𝐽(𝑧1) has the eigenvalues πœ†11 = π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿1, πœ†12 = βˆ’π›Ώ2 < 0, and πœ†13 = βˆ’π‘  βˆ’ 𝛾. 𝑧1is a locally asymptotically stable point if and only if π‘Ÿ < 𝛿1(π‘Ž1 +𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ‚οΏ½) (6) 2. The Jacobian matrix at 𝑧2 = (οΏ½Μ…οΏ½, 0, οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) is given as: 𝐽(𝑧2) = [ π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1 +𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿1 βˆ’π›Ό1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1 βˆ’ π‘š) π‘ŸοΏ½Μ…οΏ½ (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) 2 0 𝛼2οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 +𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿2 0 𝑑 βˆ’ 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ βˆ’π›Ύ2οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ βˆ’π‘  βˆ’ 𝛾 βˆ’ 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ ] Then, |𝐽(𝑧2) βˆ’ πΌπœ†| = 0 gives: ( 𝛼2οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿2 βˆ’ πœ†) [πœ† 2 βˆ’ π‘‡π‘Ÿ(𝐽(𝑧2))πœ† + 𝐷𝑒𝑑(𝐽(𝑧2))] The eigenvalues of the above equation can be written as follows πœ†21 = 𝛼2οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿2, π‘‡π‘Ÿ(𝐽(𝑧2)) = π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) βˆ’ 𝛿1 βˆ’ (𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½), 𝐷𝑒𝑑(𝐽(𝑧2)) = 𝛿1(𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) + π‘Ÿπ‘’ Μ… (𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½βˆ’π‘‘) (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) 2 βˆ’ π‘Ÿ(𝑠+𝛾+𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) . Clearly, 𝑧2 is a locally asymptotical stable point if and only if the following conditions are satisfied: 𝛿2 > 𝛼2οΏ½Μ…οΏ½(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) , π‘Ÿ < [𝛿2 + (𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½)](π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½), 𝛿1(𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) + π‘Ÿπ‘’ Μ… (𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½ βˆ’ 𝑑) (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) 2 > π‘Ÿ(𝑠 + 𝛾 + 𝛾1οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ οΏ½Μ…οΏ½) . } (7) 3. The Jacobian matrix at 𝑧3 = (𝑒 βˆ—, π‘£βˆ—, π‘€βˆ—) is given as: 𝐽(𝑧3) = [ π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛿1 βˆ’ 𝛼1𝑣 βˆ—(1 βˆ’ π‘š) βˆ’π›Ό1𝑒 βˆ—(1 βˆ’ π‘š) π‘Ÿπ‘’βˆ— (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 𝛼2𝑣 βˆ—(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—) 0 𝛼2𝑒 βˆ—(1βˆ’π‘š)π‘£βˆ— (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 π‘‘βˆ’π›Ύ1𝑀 βˆ— βˆ’π›Ύ2𝑀 βˆ— βˆ’π‘  βˆ’ 𝛾 βˆ’ 𝛾1𝑒 βˆ— βˆ’ 𝛾2𝑣 βˆ—] = (π‘Žπ‘–π‘—)3Γ—3 (8) So, the characteristic equation of 𝐽(𝑧3) can be written as: πœ†3 + 𝐴1πœ† 2 + 𝐴2πœ† + 𝐴3 = 0, (9) where, 𝐴1 = βˆ’(π‘Ž11 + π‘Ž33), 𝐴2 = βˆ’(π‘Ž13π‘Ž31 + π‘Ž23π‘Ž32 + π‘Ž12π‘Ž21 βˆ’ π‘Ž11π‘Ž33), 𝐴3 = π‘Ž11π‘Ž23π‘Ž32 + π‘Ž12π‘Ž21π‘Ž33 βˆ’ π‘Ž13π‘Ž21π‘Ž32 βˆ’ π‘Ž12π‘Ž23π‘Ž31, βˆ†= 𝐴1𝐴2 βˆ’ 𝐴3 = (π‘Ž11 + π‘Ž33)(π‘Ž13π‘Ž31 βˆ’ π‘Ž11π‘Ž33) + π‘Ž11π‘Ž12π‘Ž21 + π‘Ž23π‘Ž32π‘Ž33 + π‘Ž12π‘Ž23π‘Ž31 + IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 374 π‘Ž13π‘Ž21π‘Ž32. Now, from the Routh-Hurwitz criteria [18], 𝑧3 is a LAS point, under the condition that 𝐴1 > 0, 𝐴3 > 0 and βˆ†> 0. 4. Hop Bifurcation From Theorem 2, the steady state 𝑧3 changes as the parameter 𝛾2 crosses the threshold value 𝛾2 βˆ—, which implies that 𝑧3 may become unstable due to Hopf bifurcation when forced to operate within particular restrictions on its parameters [19-25]. In the case where we use 𝛾2 βˆ— as the bifurcation parameter, the Hopf bifurcation threshold and its conditions are clearly clarified in the following theorem []. Theorem 2. Under the following assumptions 𝐴𝑖 > 0, 𝑖 = 1,2 π‘€βˆ— > π‘£βˆ— 𝛾2 βˆ— > 0 (11) (12) (13) where Ai’s are the coefficients of the characteristic equation given in equation (9) with 𝛾2 = 𝛾2 βˆ— and the formula for 𝛾2 βˆ— is shown in the following proof. Then, there exists a Hopf bifurcation for 𝑧3 at 𝛾2 = 𝛾2 βˆ—. Proof: - The value of the bifurcation parameter can be found if we set 𝐴1(𝛾2 βˆ—)𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝐴3(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 0 in equation (9). This gives: 𝛾2 βˆ— = ( π‘Ž11+π‘Ž33)(π‘Ž13π‘Ž31βˆ’π‘Ž11π‘Ž33)+π‘Ž11π‘Ž12π‘Ž21+π‘Ž12π‘Ž23π‘Ž31) (π‘Ž23π‘Ž33+π‘Ž13π‘Ž21)𝑀 βˆ— . Clearly, 𝛾2 βˆ— > 0 if condition (13) holds. Now, at 𝛾2 = 𝛾2 βˆ—, equation (9) can be written as (πœ† + 𝐴1)(πœ† 2 + 𝐴2) = 0. According to condition (11), the above equation has three roots, a negative root πœ†1 = βˆ’π΄1 and two purely imaginary roots πœ†2,3 = Β±π‘–βˆšπ΄2. In a neighbourhood of 𝛾2 βˆ—, the roots have the following forms: πœ†1 = βˆ’π΄1, πœ†2,3 = 𝜌1(𝛾2) Β± π‘–πœŒ2(𝛾2). Clearly, 𝑅𝑒( πœ†2,3)|𝛾2=𝛾2βˆ— = 𝜌1(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 0 indicates that the first condition for Hopf bifurcation has been met at 𝛾2 = 𝛾2 βˆ—. Now to confirm the transversality condition, we substitute 𝜌1(𝛾2) Β± π‘–πœŒ2(𝛾2) into equation (9) and then compute its derivative with respect to π‘‘βˆ—, 𝛩(𝛾2 βˆ—)πœ“(𝛾2 βˆ—) + 𝛀(𝛾2 βˆ—)πœ™(𝛾2 βˆ—) β‰  0, where the form of 𝛩(𝛾2 βˆ—), πœ“(𝛾2 βˆ—), 𝛀(𝛾2 βˆ—) and πœ™(𝛾2 βˆ—) are πœ“(𝛾2) = 3𝜌1 2(𝛾2) + 2𝐴1(𝛾2)𝜌1(𝛾2) + 𝐴2(𝛾2) βˆ’ 3𝜌2 2(𝛾2), πœ™(𝛾2) = 6𝜌1(𝛾2)𝜌2(𝛾2) + 2𝐴1(𝛾2)𝜌2(𝛾2), 𝛩(𝛾2) = 𝜌1 2(𝛾2)𝐴1 β€²(𝛾2) + 𝐴2 β€²(𝛾2)𝜌1(𝛾2) + 𝐴3 β€²(𝛾2) βˆ’ 𝐴1 β€²(𝛾2)𝜌2 2(𝛾2), 𝛀(𝛾2) = 2𝜌1(𝛾2)𝜌2(𝛾2)𝐴1 β€² (𝛾2) + 𝐴2 β€² (𝛾2)𝜌2(𝛾2). Now at𝛾2 = 𝛾2 βˆ—, substitution 𝜌1 = 0 and 𝜌2 = √𝐴2, into equation (9), the following is obtained: πœ“(𝛾2 βˆ—) = βˆ’2𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—), πœ™(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 2𝐴1(𝛾2 βˆ—)√𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—), 𝛩(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 𝐴3 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝐴1 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—)𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—), 𝛀(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 𝐴2 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—)√𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—), where 𝐴1 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—) = π‘£βˆ—, IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 375 𝐴2 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—) = π‘€βˆ— βˆ’ π‘£βˆ—, 𝐴3 β€² (𝛾2 βˆ—) = βˆ’2π‘€βˆ— βˆ’ π‘£βˆ—. Hence, condition (12) gives 𝛩(𝛾2 βˆ—)πœ“(𝛾2 βˆ—) + 𝛀(𝛾2 βˆ—)πœ™(𝛾2 βˆ—) = 2𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—)[π‘£βˆ— + 2π‘€βˆ— + 2π‘£βˆ—π΄2(𝛾2 βˆ—) + (π‘€βˆ— βˆ’ π‘£βˆ—)2𝐴1(𝛾2 βˆ—)𝐴2(𝛾2 βˆ—)] β‰  0. That means the Hop bifurcation has occurred at 𝛾2 βˆ—. From Theorem 3, the stability condition of the stable limit cycle in 𝑅(𝑒,𝑣,𝑀) 3 is presented using the coefficient of curvature of the limit cycle. For a detailed discussion, we refer to [18]. Theorem 3 The system (1) has a stable limit cycle in 𝑅(𝑒,𝑣,𝑀) 3 , if the following conditions are true: π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 β‰  𝛼2(𝑒1+𝑒 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 . (14) Proof: - by shifting the 𝑧3 = (𝑒 βˆ—, π‘£βˆ—, π‘€βˆ—) to (0, 0, 0) by using the following transformations 𝑒 = 𝑒1 + π‘’βˆ—, 𝑣 = 𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—, 𝑀 = 𝑒3 +𝑀 βˆ—. Then the system (1) becomes: 𝑑𝑒1 𝑑𝑑 = π‘Ÿ(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—) (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑒3 βˆ’ 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛼1(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—)(𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—)(1 βˆ’ π‘š) βˆ’ (𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—)𝛿1 𝑑𝑒2 𝑑𝑑 = 𝛼2(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—)(𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—)(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑒3 βˆ’ 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛿2(𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—) 𝑑𝑒3 𝑑𝑑 = 𝑠[𝑀0 βˆ’ (𝑒3 + 𝑀 βˆ—)] + 𝑑(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛾(𝑒3 + 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛾1(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—)(𝑒3 + 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛾2(𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—)(𝑒3 +𝑀 βˆ—), where the nonlinear part of the above system is presented in the following matrix is β„§ = ( β„§1 β„§2 β„§3 ) = ( π‘Ÿ(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—) (π‘Ž1 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑒3 βˆ’ 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛼1(1 βˆ’ π‘š)𝑒1𝑒2 𝛼2(𝑒1 + 𝑒 βˆ—)(𝑒2 + 𝑣 βˆ—)(1 βˆ’ π‘š) (π‘Ž2 + 𝑀0 βˆ’ 𝑒3 βˆ’ 𝑀 βˆ—) βˆ’π›Ύ1𝑒1𝑒3 βˆ’ 𝛾2𝑒2𝑒3 ) We derive the following characteristic quantities from the nonlinear part: 𝑔20 0 = 1 4 { πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’1 2 βˆ’ πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’2 2 + 2 πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’2 + 𝑖 ( πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’1 2 βˆ’ πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’2 2 βˆ’ 2 πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’2 )} = 1 2 { 𝛼2(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—) βˆ’ 𝛼1(1 βˆ’ π‘š)𝑖}, 𝑔11 0 = 1 4 { πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’1 2 + πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’2 2 + 𝑖 ( πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’1 2 + πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’2 2 )} = 0, 𝐺110 0 = 1 2 { πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’3 + πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’2πœ•π‘’3 + 𝑖 ( πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’3 βˆ’ πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’2πœ•π‘’3 )} = 1 2 { π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 + 𝛼2(𝑒1+𝑒 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 + 𝑖 ( 𝛼2(𝑒2+𝑣 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 )}, 𝐺101 0 = 1 2 { πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’3 βˆ’ πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’2πœ•π‘’3 + 𝑖 ( πœ•2β„§2 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’3 + πœ•2β„§1 πœ•π‘’2πœ•π‘’3 )} = 1 2 { π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 βˆ’ 𝛼2(𝑒1+𝑒 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 + 𝑖 ( 𝛼2(𝑒2+𝑣 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 )}, π‘Š11 0 = βˆ’ 1 4πœ†3(π‘Ž1(π‘˜ βˆ—) ( πœ•2β„§3 πœ•π‘’1 2 + πœ•2β„§3 πœ•π‘’2 2 ) = 0, π‘Š20 0 = βˆ’ 1 4πœ†3(π‘Ž1(π‘˜ βˆ—) ( πœ•2β„§3 πœ•π‘’1 2 + πœ•2β„§3 πœ•π‘’2 2 βˆ’ 2𝑖 πœ•2β„§3 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’2 ) = 0, IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 376 𝐺21 0 = 1 8 { πœ•3β„§1 πœ•π‘’1 3 + πœ•3β„§1 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’2 2 + πœ•3β„§2 πœ•π‘’2 3 + πœ•3β„§2 πœ•π‘’1 2πœ•π‘’2 + 𝑖 ( πœ•3β„§2 πœ•π‘’1 3 + πœ•3β„§2 πœ•π‘’1πœ•π‘’2 2 βˆ’ πœ•3β„§1 πœ•π‘’2 3 βˆ’ πœ•3β„§1 πœ•π‘’1 2πœ•π‘’2 )} = 0, Thus, the coefficient of the curvature of the limit cycle of the DOPZ system (1) is given by 𝜎1 0 = 𝑅𝑒 { 𝑔20 0 𝑔11 0 4 𝑖 + 𝐺110 0 π‘Š11 0 + 𝐺21 0 +𝐺101 0 π‘Š20 0 2 }, 𝜎1 0 = 𝑅𝑒 1 4 { π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 βˆ’ 𝛼2(𝑒1+𝑒 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 + 𝑖 ( 𝛼2(𝑒2+𝑣 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 )} = π‘Ÿ (π‘Ž1+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 βˆ’ 𝛼2(𝑒1+𝑒 βˆ—)(1βˆ’π‘š) (π‘Ž2+𝑀0βˆ’π‘’3βˆ’π‘€ βˆ—)2 . Thus, Condition (14) guarantees that system (1) has a stable limit cycle. 5. Numerical Simulations and Discussion Numerical simulations support our theoretical predictions and reveal the system’s numerous dynamics (1). The ode45 solver was used to find the numerical solution to our system, and all figures were made in MATLAB 2019b. We aim to study the kinetics of dissolved oxygen depletion for the phytoplankton-zooplankton interaction with the following data: π‘Ÿ = 0.35, 𝛼1 = 0.26, 𝛼2 = 0.17, π‘Ž1 = 0.21, π‘Ž2 = 0.21, 𝛿1 = 0.11, 𝛿2 = 0.11,π‘š = 0.25, 𝛾 = 0.21, 𝛾1 = 0.19, 𝛾2 = 0.41,𝑀0 = 3, 𝑠 = 2.86, 𝑑 = 0.41, (15) To examine the effect of varying 𝛾2 (the consumption of oxygen by zooplankton), system (1) has been numerically solved for the data in (15) with different values. It is clear from Figure 1 the solution converges to 𝑧3 for 𝛾2 > 0.22. Further, the solution approaches a periodic behaviour for 𝛾2 ≀ 0.22. The latter result confirms the one obtained in Theorems 2, which establishes the existence of Hopf bifurcation at 𝛾2 = 0.22. Figure 1. Dynamics of the system (1) (a) time series with Ξ³2 = 0.41; (b) phase portrait of (a); (c) time series with Ξ³2 = 0.22; (d) phase portrait of (c). Further, Figure 2 investigates the effect of change in the proportion of protected phytoplankton (π‘š) on the stability properties of the system (1). It shows for π‘š < 0.65, and the solution settles to the IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 377 positive equilibrium point. While for π‘š β‰₯ 0.65, the solution delivers a periodic attractor behaviour. Figure 2. Dynamics of the system (1) (a) time series with π‘š = 0.15; (b) phase portrait of (a); (c) time series with m = 0.65; (d) phase portrait of (c). Further, Figure 3 shows for different values of 𝛾 (the natural depletion rate of oxygen), the solution stabilizes at 𝑧3 for 𝛾 < 0.62. While for 𝛾 β‰₯ 0.62, the solution shows a periodic behaviour. Figure 3. Dynamics of the system (1) (a) time series with Ξ³ = 0.21; (b) phase portrait of (a); (c) time series with Ξ³ = 0.62; (d) phase portrait of (c). Further, Figure 4 investigates the effect of change in the replenishment rate of oxygen in the marine (𝑠) on the stability properties of the system (1). It shows for 𝑠 > 1.85; the solution settles down to 𝑧3. While for 𝑠 ≀ 1.85., the solution shows a periodic behaviour. IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 378 Figure 4. Dynamics of system (1) (a) time series with s=2.86; (b) phase portrait of (a); (c) time series with s=1.85; (d) phase portrait of (c); (e) time series with s=0.44; (f) phase portrait of (e). Now the effect of changing the concentration of dissolved oxygen that comes from several sources (𝑀0) is explored in Figure 5. It shows that the solution settles asymptotically to the, 𝑧3, for 𝑀0 > 2.48. Further, the solution approaches a periodic attractor for 𝑀0 ≀ 2.48. Figure 5. Dynamics of system (1) (a) time series with w0 =3; (b) phase portrait of (a); (c) time series with w0 = 2.48; (d) phase portrait of (c). 6. Conclusion This study modified the dissolved oxygen-plankton model by considering that zooplankton feeds only on the available phytoplankton. The objective is to determine how this type of interaction IHJPAS. 2024, 37(4) 379 impacts the dynamics of an aquatic ecosystem. The system was analyzed theoretically and numerically. The results of the theoretical analysis revealed three stable states. Depending on the conditions, the behaviour of the three constant states was either stable or unstable. The conditions necessary for a Hopf bifurcation around the positive stable state have been identified. Nonetheless, the numerical simulation deduced that system (1) always sways about the positive steady state when the stability criteria are met. 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