International Journal of Energetica (IJECA)  

https://www.ijeca.info   

ISSN: 2543-3717 Volume 8. Issue 1. 2023                                                                                                          Page 01-11    

 

 This open access article is licensed under the CC BY-NC license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)                Page 1 

 Predictive Study on the Application of the Soweto Wind Turbine 

Results in the Coastal Region of South Africa 
 

 

T. Sithole
1*

, V.R. Veeredhi
2
,   T.Sithebe

2
 

 
1
Department of Electrical Engineering, University of South Africa, SOUTH AFRICA 

2
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of South Africa, SOUTH AFRICA 

 

 

*Corresponding author E-mail: sitholetshepo7@gmail.com 

 

Abstract – This study evaluates the performance of three wind turbine prototypes 

(Prototypes 1, 2, and 3) in Soweto, South Africa, by analyzing their monthly energy 

generation under different time of day/month conditions. Prototype 3 emerges as the 

most efficient, generating 39.5 W at a wind speed of 1.17 m/s and projecting a 

maximum of 40 kWh per month. Building upon these results, a predictive study 

examines the feasibility of implementing the same technology in coastal regions, 

specifically Gqeberha, where stronger winds prevail. Utilizing empirical data from 

Soweto, the study forecasts an improved energy output of up to 54.3 W at a wind speed 

of 5.16 m/s (18.6 km/h) and up to 100 kWh per month. The findings highlight the 

potential benefits of utilizing wind turbine technology in coastal areas, contributing 

valuable insights to renewable energy system development in similar geographical 

contexts. 

 

Keywords: Predictive study, Coastal regions, Soweto, Port elizabeth result. 

 

 

Received: 10/02/2023 – Revised: 11/03/2023 – Accepted: 03/04/2023 

 

I. Introduction 
 

In the past, South Africa heavily relied on electricity 

generated from fossil fuels like oil and coal, which has 

limited the country's overall electricity supply. However, 

South Africa possesses abundant solar resources, with an 

average of 2,500 hours of sunshine per year and radiation 

levels ranging from 4.5 to 6.6 kWh/m
2
. This places South 

Africa among the top three countries in the world in 

terms of solar potential. Additionally, the country has a 

significant wind power potential, estimated at 67,000 

GW, which proves to be competitive alongside its solar 

potential [1]. 

Wind energy is a viable source of power in regions with 

consistent and strong winds. South Africa's climate offers 

favorable conditions for substantial wind energy 

production, particularly in the coastal regions of the 

Eastern and Western Capes. In 2014, the first major wind 

farm in South Africa began operating, marking a 

significant milestone in the country's wind energy sector.  

 

 

According to the South African Wind Energy 

Association (SAWEA) report, there are currently 33 

wind farms in the country, with 22 fully operational and 

11 under construction [2]. 

Amidst the increasing global demands for 

decarbonization and sustainability, South Africa has 

embraced the proliferation of wind energy. This support 

stems from the recognition of the risks posed by climate 

change to various resources in the country, including 

water security, agriculture, and shorelines. The growing 

renewable power sector not only addresses these 

challenges but also reduces the country's reliance on coal, 

aligning with international policies and lowering the 

demands for coal-related ventures. The impact of wind 

energy spill-overs is particularly evident in the Eastern 

Cape province, which has secured 51% of South Africa's 

wind farm allotments, benefiting the impoverished 

region. Furthermore, major banks have become hesitant 

to provide financial support for coal-related projects, 

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indicating a shift in capital spending towards the 

development of high-tech wind turbines on wind farms 

[3-8]. Moreover,   the   use   of   fossil   fuels in   the 

generation of electricity contributes significantly to 

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions, which further 

contributes to climate change [9, 10].   

According to  [11],  utilizing  renewable  energy  as an  

alternative  energy  source  will  help  reduce  

environmental problems,  essentially  GHG  emissions  

and  air  pollution. 

In this article, presentation will be done on results of the 

7  rotor-blade prototype (Design-3) wind turbine that was 

optimally designed and eventually implemented and 

tested in residential area in Soweto, Johannesburg, South 

Africa. A predictive study will be done using the Design 

3 results to predict the possible implementation of the 

same technology in the high gust area of South Africa.  

 

 

II. Selection of Appropriate Hardware and 

Implementation  

 

In this section, the selection and implementation of the 

required hardware will be discussed. The following 

hardware components were selected: AC-DC inverter, 

anemometer, storage batteries, rotor coupling hub, three-

phase AC permanent magnet generator, battery regulator/ 

charge controller, AC cabling and monitoring devices. . 

 

II.1. Windy Boy Vertiv  Inverter 

 

A Windy boy inverter as in Figure 1, has 93% to 95% 

efficiency [12], and the cost of this electronic device is 

approximately R800.00. It has the ability to protect itself 

from spikes, surges and over voltages. It can be used for 

both off-grid and grid tied applications. 

 

 
Figure. 1. Windy Boy Vertiv Inverter [12] 

 

 

II.2. UT363-B Anemometer 

 

This instrument was acquired to measure wind and 

temperature for the applications at the test household in 

Soweto. The UT363-BT Mini Anemometer is a mini 

wind speed and temperature tester. This lightweight 

device is equipped with the latest magnetic sensing 

technology, and directly displays the airflow speed on an 

LCD screen. Bluetooth function can be added for data 

transfer and analysis by means of the iENV cell phone 

App; this can be downloaded from Google Play or Apple 

Store. The UT363-BT Mini Anemometer was taken for 

calibration at a South African National Accreditation 

System (SANAS) accredited laboratory and this 

calibration cost approximately R550.00. Figure 2 shows 

a UT363-BT Anemometer. 

 
Figure. 2. UT363 Wind Anemometer 

 

II.3. Storage Batteries 

 

Storage of power is an important factor in wind turbine 

use. These battery store the generated energy of the 

turbine, and then the stored energy is sent through an 

electronic regulator to the inverter for output supply. 

Figure 3, illustrates two 12V 100A/h VRLA batteries 

coupled in series, which suited system implementation. 

Each battery cost approximately R850,00. The batteries 

can be connected in series or parallel depending on the 

wind turbine charge controller specification.  

 
Figure. 3. 2x 12V 100 Ah VRLA Batteries coupled to the Soweto SWT   



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II.4. Rotor Coupling hub used for the Soweto project 

 

A rotor hub was purchased from a Chinese supplier and 

this was used to couple the wind turbine blade to the 

generator shaft. The rotor hub is the component that 

usually holds the blades and connects them to the main 

shaft of the wind machine. It is a key component not only 

because it holds the blades in their proper position for 

maximum aerodynamic efficiency, it also rotates to drive 

the generator. Hubs come in many different shapes and 

configurations, mostly dependent on the type of 

generator used and the design of the rotor blades as 

shown in Figure 4. 

 

 
Figure. 4. 7-Blade wind turbine blade hub used for Soweto Project   

 

 

II.5. Three Phase AC Permanent Generator 

 

In  terms  of  the  generators  for  wind-power  

application,  there  are  different  concepts  in  use  today. 

The major distinction among them  is made  between  

fixed  speed  and  variable  speed  wind  turbine 

generators. In the early stage of wind power 

development, fixed-speed wind turbines and induction 

generators were often used.  Figure 5, shows permanent  

magnetic synchronous generators (PMSGs) used for the 

Soweto project. 

 

 
Figure. 5. Soweto’s Three-phase PMSG used.  

 

II.6. Battery Regulator / Charge Controller 

 

The battery regulator/ charge controller essentially forms 

a protection against overcharging a bank of batteries.  It 

also acts as monitoring system when the batteries are 

fully charged; the controller sends a full energy stored 

code from the charge controller to the load [13]. Figure 6, 

shows the charge controller connected to the battery bank 

during testing in Soweto.  

 

 
Figure. 6. Charge controller connected to the batteries during testing in 

Soweto. 

 

 

II.7. AC cabling routing for the Soweto SWT project 

 

The importance of neat cabling in wind turbines should 

be considered when constructing a system. Figureure 7, 

shows a medium AC cable running from the wind turbine 

tower to the charge regulator during testing in Soweto. 

The anticipated current delivery of the cable is a 

maximum of 50 Amps. 

 

 
Figure. 7. Three-phase AC medium cabling routing during testing in 

Soweto 

 

II.8. 7- Designed Rotor blades for prototype 3 

 

In my recent 2022 article [14] showed the blade design 

and optimisation using BEM Theory. Different blade 

design aspects were taken into consideration while 

adapting and developing further blade designs in the 

https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/wind-machines
https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/aerodynamic-efficiency
https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/engineering/rotor-blade


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Soweto project.  

The finished blade designs for Prototype 3 when 

implemented are shown in Figure 8. The design 

procedure and final specifications were further detailed 

in [14].  

 

 
Figure 8. Prototype 3 (design 3) 7- rotor blades for Soweto SWT project 

 

 

II.9. Developed wind turbine tower for the Soweto 

project 

 

Wind turbine towers are usually made out of concrete, 

steel (tubular), or lattice (steel). Their purpose is to create 

balance within the structure of the wind turbine whenever 

there is movement of wind. It is known that the greater 

the height of the wind tower, the better the wind turbine 

will perform. Figure 9, shows a chosen wind turbine 

tower designed for this project. 

 
Figure. 9. Developed steel tower for the Soweto SWT. 

 

II.10. Power Wattmeter and DP-3051 Software package 

 

The power wattmeter was compatible with the DPA-

3051 software package and thus used together. A power 

wattmeter was used to record data and stored in the 

device memory. The DPA-3051 software package was 

used to extract data from the power wattmeter and 

therefore give outcomes of the wind turbine in the form 

of graphing. See Figure 10: 

 
 Figure. 10. Power wattmeter and  DPA -3051 software used for the Soweto 

project. 

 

III. Result and discussion 
 

III.1.  Case study for the Eastern Cape province, South 

Africa 

 

[15] Stated their research problems to be as follows: 

An assessment of generating electricity from wind for six 

sites of the Eastern Cape Province: Gqeberha (PE), 

Queenstown, Fort Beaufort, Makhanda/Grahamstown, 

Graaff Reinet and Bisho. 

The research was done at the Fort Hare University in 

South Africa from June 2014 to December 2014. 

 

III.2. Research methodology used for the Eastern Cape 

province study 

 

The following technique and procedures were used in 

order to accomplish the project [15]: 

The series of five-year wind speed average data (01/2009 

to 12/2013) for 6-Eastern Cape Weather Station were 

acquired at South African Weather Services (SAWS). 

The analysing of data with MATLAB was done with the 

use of a Weibull distribution. 

 

III.3. Results and conclusion obtained for the Eastern 

Cape Province from case study: Reviewed. 

 

Figure 11, shows location of six sites in the Eastern Cape 

Province that research was conducted on. Table 1, shows 

weather station coordinates that were used for Eastern 

Cape case study. Figure 12, shows the variation of wind 

speed per day for Eastern Cape sites from (2009-2013). 

Figure 13, shows the annual Weibull Probability 



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Frequency Density for part of the Eastern Cape for 

period under consideration. 

As depicted in Figure 13, it is the observation of 

variation of wind speed for six Eastern Cape sites from 

2009 to 2013. The respective maxima fluctuate from site 

to site. Most inland sites trends have lower wind speed 

conditions, except Gqeberha (PE) and Bisho, which are 

located very near the coast.  

Moreover, the minimum probability of an event in 

Gqeberha (PE) is 0.13 but the city also has the highest 

wind speed, while Fort Beaufort has the least spread 

among these sites/regions [15]. 

 

 
Figure. 11. Location of six Sites in the Eastern Cape Province [15] 

 

 

Table1.    Weather station coordinates used for Eastern Cape case    study 

[15] 

 
 

 
Figure. 12. Variation of wind speed per day for Eastern Cape sites (2009-

2013) [15] 

 

 
Figure. 13. The annual Weibull Probability Frequency Density for part of 

the Eastern Cape for period under consideration [15] 

 

Therefore, in this study, it was determined to use 

characteristics of P.E (Gqeberha) region in the Eastern 

Cape Province with Soweto’s in order to determine the 

feasibility of implementing the Soweto Technology in 

the coastal region of P.E. 

 

III.4. Predictive study results for soweto and eastern 

cape province regions 

 

It is of major importance that the assessment of wind 

potential is performed correctly. All characteristics must 

be considered as they will impact every aspect of the 

assessment, such as the evaluation of physical 

performance, investment viability and system design.  

Figure 14 illustrates the Unit-T anemometer tool that was 

used in Soweto to measure the effectiveness of wind 

periods for the area. According to [16], this tool is mostly 

used by meteorologists to analyse weather. The device 

has the ability to measure wind speed in (m/s) and (km/h) 

and temperature in (°C) and (°F), with data logging 

capture. It also has the ability to give outputs in the form 

of waveforms for analysis.  

The device has Bluetooth functionality to transfer data to 

the user after measuring wind speed. The portable device 

can be plugged into the wind turbine and allowing 

convenient extraction of data.  

 
Figure 14. Unit-T 363-B Anemometer [16] 



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Table 2, 3 and 4 shows data that was collected for 

Soweto wind measurement effectiveness with the use of 

a Unit-T Bluetooth Anemometer every 24-hour intervals. 

The highest wind power probability as in Figure 15 was 

found to be 2.3 m/s (8.28 km/h) using Soweto data 

recorded in Table 2, 3 & 4 and results were compared to 

that of Statistics of South African weather services. 

 

Table 2.     Phase two of   Soweto Wind Measurement Data 

 
 

 
Figure 15. Probability of wind and normalized wind power for Soweto 

area 

 

Table 3.     Phase three of Soweto Wind Measurement Data. 

 
 



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Table 4.     Phase four of Soweto Wind Measurement Data 

 
 

The average wind speed per year for Gqeberha (PE), as 

determined by Weather Spark [17], is 11.6 mph 

(approximately 5.16m/s). Knowing that Soweto has an 

average wind speed of 2.3 m/s, characteristic variables 

were found as shown in Table 5.  

 

As per my recent article published by ETASR peer 

review open journal (Engineering, Technology and 

Applied Science Research), Titled: Implementation and 

Evaluation of a Low Speed and Self-regulating Small 

Wind Turbine for Urban Areas in South Africa, results 

showed that Prototype 3 with maximum pitch angle of 

12° produced the maximum output power of 39.5 W 

during testing and the maximum power output was 

achieved at average wind speed of 1.17 m/s (4.2 km/h) 

with energy production to generate a maximum 40 kWh 

per month. 

Figure 16, thus shows the predicted power output for 

Prototype 3 (Design 3) when it is applied in the 

Gqeberha (PE) region, assuming that it operates 

continuously. The analysis yields a maximum output 

power of 54.3 W at the average wind speed in Gqeberha.  

  

 
Figure 16. Predicted (output power vs. blade maximum pitch angle as 

derived for Prototype 3 in Gqeberha (PE) region). 

 

       Table 5. Predicted wind speed between Soweto and Gqeberha (PE). 

 
 

Figure 17 shows kWh energy production per month over 

a year, when the Soweto Technology results were 

predicted for Gqeberha (PE)’s wind speed. It can be seen 

that the predicted production of energy per month in 

Figure 17 was positive when compared to energy 

production for the prototype 3 when it was implemented 

in Soweto.  

 

 

 

 

 



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Figure 17. Projected  (kWh production vs. months) for Prototype 3 

when predicted to be applied in the Gqeberha (PE) region. 

 

Scientific research showed that while the minimum 

probability of an event in Gqeberha was 0.13, the city 

also has the highest wind speed [15]. Then the predicted 

annual Probability Density Frequency for Gqeberha (PE) 

and Soweto in Figure 18 shows that Soweto has the 

maximum event probability of 0.16 with least wind 

speed. 

 

 
Figure. 18. The predicted annual probability density frequency for 

Soweto and  Gqeberha (PE) 

 

 Predictive Investment Analysis for the Soweto Wind 

Turbine 

 

An investment analysis for the Soweto project is crucial 

as this will determine the viability of the project in the 

long term. In this section, the lists of materials that will 

be used for this project will be given together with the 

estimated prices. Next, the project viability in terms of 

investment versus profitability and pay-back period of 

the investment will be analysed.  

 

A. Budget for the Soweto project 

Table 6 shows the total wattage that was consumed for 

this project, and Table 7 shows a list of all material that 

were used for this project. The prices of the main 

hardware and electronic devices were taken from the 

internet sources.    The total energy consumption is 2910 

W/day. 

Table 6. Energy consumption of appliances in Soweto 

 
 

However, to calculate the minimum power of a 

generator, it is necessary to add the loss of energy from 

the electrical system; this can be estimated as 10 % of the 

electrical system’s total consumption. [18] Stated that 

electrical energy consumption can be calculated as 

follows: 

                

           

                               (1) 

                 = 2619 W 

 

B. The predicted study of pay-back period and 

profitability for this project 

 

The predicted energy yielded using the Soweto Wind 

Turbine System in kWh will be compared to the energy 

yield of electricity suppliers in South Africa such as 

Eskom and City Power. The conclusion will be given on 

the expediency of this project, based on economic 

considerations. It is already known that the start-up 

investment is R15,600.00 (Table 7).  

 

Table 7. List of materials for the Soweto project. 

 
 

 



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The internal rate of return is given as IRR; to calculate 

the (IRR), total start-up investment (R15,600.00) should 

be included. As shown in Table 7, the life span of a small 

wind turbine will be given as (n) and (r) as rate of 

interest. According [18], the formula to calculate (IRR) 

then becomes: 

 

………………… (2) 

 

 “r” is the rate of average interest of the total start-up 

investment, as shown in Table 7. Therefore, the Soweto 

technology life span is estimated to be 20 years and rate 

of interest to be 7% of the start-up investment. Thus we 

get an Equation (3) as follows: [18] 

    
    

  
 

(      )  

                                (3) 

 

The Capital cost (Cc) for production of energy in (kWh) 

taking into account that (I) is regarded as the Initial 

investment and will be included in the equation of (IRR). 

(CF) is the Capacity Factor and (P) is the minimum 

power generated. Moreover, we will assume that the 

wind functions for 10.5 hours per day. Then (Cc) will be 

calculated as follows in Equation (4): [18]. 

 

           (4) 

 

   
        

     
 (        )  (       )           (5)                             

 

   (
     

    
)(

      

      
)                       (6) 

 

[19] Stated that maintenance is performed to prevent 

failures, that is preventive maintenance or it is for 

correcting a failure event, which is corrective 

maintenance. The importance of Operation and 

Maintenance in wind turbine site is to ensure the Wind 

Turbine Generator (WTG) availability.   When the WTG 

works, there would be possibility of issues such as errors 

/ warning signals which may affects the availability of 

the WTG.Operation and maintenance (O&M) costs make 

up 25-30% of the total costs of a wind turbine. This is 

almost as much as the cost of the wind turbines and about 

as much as the costs of construction and installation.  

According to [20], O&M costs are related to a limited 

number of cost components, and include: (i) Regular 

maintenance (batteries, etc.) (ii) Repairs; (iii) Spare parts 

replacement and (iv) Administration. Thus, for the 

Soweto small wind turbine, if we assume that O&M is 

20% of the initial investment, then Equation (7) will be 

as follows: [18] 

 

     (
     

         
)   

         

                
                    (7)                      

  

Therefore, the cost of power production (R /kWh) is the 

total cost of maintenance and operation plus the cost of 

capital (Cc) as shown in Equation (8): [18] 
     

   
                                    (8) 

 

As per Equation 8, it is seen that the estimated average 

cost to generate 1 kWh was R0.4567 /kWh with the 

Soweto turbine, considering all initial capital outlay 

costs.  

However, according to [21], the average cost of 

generating 1 kWh in South Africa is about R1.85 /kWh + 

15 % tax = R2.13 /kWh for an average household that 

consumes between 100 and 1000 kWh per month, with a 

tariff addition of R5.00 per kWh where 1000 kWh usage 

is exceeded per month.  

 

C. The predicted pay-back of the capital investment 

calculations 

 

The payback period is the time period (generally in 

years) in which a return is required from an investment or 

the amount of time it takes for the positive cash flow to 

exceed the initial investment, without concern for the 

time value of money [22, 23]. 

[18] Further stated that to calculate the AEO = Annual 

energy output (kilowatt-hours/year) use the following 

Equation (9): 

 

AEO = Emean × 365 (where Emean is appliances energy 

consumption shown in Table: 6):  2910 × 365   1062.15 

kWh/yea                                   (9) 

 

Table 8 and 9 [24], was used to analyse the annual 

energy production of selected turbines at the different 

sites and estimate the payback period of the investment. 

The total predicted energy generated per year by means 

of the Soweto technology would be 1062,15 kWh/year. 

Looking at Table 8, under:  region - Northern and site 

location - Johannesburg, it is apparent that the AEO 

calculated would fall under the power category of 

Johannesburg as shown in Table 8. 

 

 

 

 

 



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Table 8. Annual energy production of selected turbines at different sites 

[24]. 

 
 

This project initial plan was to use 500W Wind 

Generator as a departure point, therefore, Table 9,  

further shows that with the range of 300 W-1 kW modern 

designed wind turbine application, the predicted payback 

period would be 16 years if all regular maintenance 

(batteries, etc.), repair, supply of spare parts and 

administration are taken into consideration. 

 

Table 9. Estimated payback period of selected turbines at different sites 

[24] 

 

 

IV. DISCUSSION 
 

• The highest wind power probability derived 

from wind anemometer collected data in Soweto was 

approximately 2.3 m/s, demonstrating that the 

Anemometer was calibrated correctly as compared to 

average wind speed referenced in South African Weather 

Service (SAWS). 

• The results showed that a predictive case study 

which was done for regions in Eastern Cape, specifically 

for the Gqeberha (PE) area, utilizing the empirically 

obtained data in Soweto, projected an energy output of 

up to 54.3 W per wind speed of 5.16 m/s (18.6 km/h) at 

Gqeberha and up to 100 kWh per month production 

energy. 

• A predictive investment analysis to determine 

profitability and viability of prototypes revealed that 

when all initial capital outlay costs and operational costs 

over a 20-year period were considered, the average cost 

of generating 1 kWh was R0.4567 /kWh. This derived 

cost compares extremely favorably with the amount 

charged by electricity companies in South Africa such as 

Eskom and City Power, which is (in 2022) approximately 

R1.85 /kWh + 15% tax = R2.13 /kWh) for an average 

household that consumes between 100 to 1000 kWh per 

month. Moreover, at above 1000 kWh usage, the tariff 

increases to R5.00 per kWh, which then raises the 

anticipated cost savings even further. It was also 

predicted that the payback period for the Soweto project 

to be 16 years. 

• Social and environmental impact of the Soweto 

technology as well as challenges and barriers to its 

widespread adoption can be found in my 2022 article 

[25]. 

 

V. CONCLUSION 
 

 The following are the major conclusions drawn from the 

research: 

1. The benefits of this research was to achieve 

possible application of low-cost small-scale wind turbine 

in South Africa for low wind speed areas, thereby 

providing low-cost electricity to households and 

inhabitants in urban as well as in rural areas for a very 

large region in South Africa. This was achieved by 

developing a test prototype for low wind speed condition 

in Soweto, Johannesburg, South Africa, and Moreover 

prediction case study using Soweto test results were 

shared in number (2). 

2.  A predictive case study for the Eastern Cape, 

focused on the Gqeberha (PE) area, was conducted using 

the empirically obtained data for the Soweto and 

Gqeberha (PE) areas, and it was concluded that it would 

be feasible to implement the Soweto technology in Port 

Elizabeth due to the results emanating presumably from 

the conditions at lower altitude (higher density air), and 

much higher wind speed resources at or near the coastal 

region. 

3. Finally, the predictive case study between 

Soweto and P.E that was carried out contributed to new 

knowledge created within the field of study as it hasn’t 

been done before and it is original. 

 



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Declaration 

 
 The authors declare that they have no known 

financial or non-financial competing interests in any 

material discussed in this paper. 

 The authors declare that this article has not been 

published before and is not in the process of being 

published in any other journal. 

 The authors confirmed that the paper was free of 
plagiarism 

 

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https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/second-winds-technology-gains-ground-in-south-africas
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/second-winds-technology-gains-ground-in-south-africas
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https://upcommons.upc.edu/bitstream/handle/2117/329731/master-thesis-xavier-turc-castell-.pdf
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