IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

39 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS APPLICATION FOR 

MULTIPLE PURPOSE FOREST RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 

BUDGET ALLOCATION IN DURANGO, MEXICO 

 
Aregai Tecle

1 

Professor, College of Engineering, Forestry and Natural Sciences, 

Northern Arizona University 

Flagstaff, Arizona 

aregai.tecle@nau.edu 

 

Gustavo Perez-Verdin 

Associate Professor, 

Instituto Politecnico Nacional, Sigma 119 

Durango, Mexico 

 

 

ABSTRACT 

 

A very important aspect of natural resources management is determining optimal budget 

allocation to satisfy the needs and aspirations of multiple stakeholders. This is especially 

the case in developing countries like Mexico where budgetary funds are in short supply. 

There has been an increasing debate in Durango, Mexico, for example, about determining 

the most efficient way of allocating a budget for multi-purpose forest management. The 

debate has been triggered by a growing number of interests and stakeholders, which in 

addition to optimal timber production, have the desire to improve environmental 

conditions, water resource development, range and other non-timber resources 

production, and to provide better amenity values and expanded recreational opportunities. 

CONAFOR (COmisión NAcionale FORestal), the Mexican agency in charge of 

allocating funds to promote sustainable forest resources development, has been 

implementing four national programs: developments of forest resources, tree plantations, 

non-timber products, and water resources.  In addition to these programs, the forest 

resources management decision-making process involves four interest groups and six 

management objectives independently connected in a hierarchical framework.  

Accordingly, the most suitable multi-objective/multi-criterion decision-making 

(MODM/MCDM) technique for optimal allocation of scarce budgetary funds among the 

four natural resources development programs is the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP).  

The two programs that receive the most funds are forest resources development and 

water resources/ environmental services development.  In this way, the AHP can be used 

to optimally distribute scarce financial resources among competing programs to improve 

regional economic development and better satisfy the needs of various interest groups.  

                                                           
Acknowledgements: The authors wish to express their gratitude to Dr. Ciro Hernandez-Diaz of 

Silviculture and Wood Research Institute and Ramon Silva-Flores, a resource planner with 

CONAFOR-Durango, for their invaluable help in getting the data used in the pairwise comparison 

matrices and making the CONAFOR budget available. This project was partially funded by the 

state of Arizona’s Prop 301 funding and Mexico's CONACYT. 

 

mailto:aregai.tecle@nau.edu


IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

40 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

 

Keywords: Multi-objective forest management; CONAFOR; forest budget allocation; 

Mexican community forestry; ejido; utility model 

 

 

1. Introduction 

In the past, Mexican forest management decision-makers and consultants focused their 

allocation of funds primarily on agroforestry-related resource management activities.  

The intention was to support forestland farming communities who depended on timber 

production, cattle grazing and crop farming for their livelihood. Recently, however, there 

is a growing interest among stakeholders on improving other land-based goods and 

services such as environmental protection, water production, natural resources 

conservation, as well as promoting biodiversity, and cultural and recreational values. This 

in principle is multi-objective forest resources management. In this regard, the concept of 

multiple-use forestry is being revised by Mexican federal and local governments to more 

efficiently allocate scarce funds. The revision entails adopting a forest resources 

management approach that incorporates the views and aspirations of multiple, some of 

them conflicting, stakeholders. Such stakeholders in a forest ecosystem management may 

include community and individual landowners, the logging industry, wildlife enthusiasts, 

forest-related resources managers, non-government organizations (NGOs), the general 

public, and federal and local institutions (Tecle et al., 1995, 1998; Jenkins, 2005; Niemela 

et al., 2005; Hossain & Robak, 2010).  

 

A considerable portion of the necessary funds for managing Mexican natural resources 

comes from the National Forest Commission (or CONAFOR which stands for its Spanish 

equivalent acronym). CONAFOR is a relatively recent Mexican federal agency created 

by a Presidential Decree on April 4, 2001. Its main objectives are to promote efficient 

forest management and restoration activities and to enforce and monitor sustainable 

forest development policies. To achieve these objectives, CONAFOR has recently been 

engaged in projects that increase forest stock levels. The projects include development of 

plantation forestry and improved management of native forests, improvement of 

landowner’s resource management skills, development of forest system management for 

non-timber products such as resins, oregano and mushrooms, and rewarding landowners 

whose efforts have improved water quality and environmental protection (Perez-Verdin 

et al., 2011).  For instance, recently combined federal and state funds equivalent to US 

$4.1 million were issued in the budget to support 1,200 projects in the state of Durango, 

Mexico (see Figure 1). The aims of the projects were grouped into nine categories: (1) 

managing timber, (2) developing plantation forestry, (3) increasing non-timber products, 

(4) expanding recreational opportunities and ecotourism, (5) protecting water quality and 

quantity, (6) enhancing environmental quality, (7) fostering skilled manpower 

development, (8) providing technical assistance, and (9) reducing operational costs.     

  



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

41 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

 

Figure 1 Location of the State of Durango in Mexico (Rhoda and Burton, 2010) 

Allocating a budget to such a complex problem consisting of different resources with 

non-commensurable values, and involving numerous interested parties some with 

incompatible and conflicting objectives like those stated above is a multi-objective 

problem (Tecle et al., 1995; Zanakis et al., 1995; Schmoldt et al., 2001a, 2001b).  Such a 

problem tends to become more complex as it usually involves evaluating the 

performances of numerous alternative management programs using a set of criteria to 

arrive at the most preferred decision outcome(s) (Tecle & Duckstein, 1994; Duckstein & 

Tecle, 2002; Vaidya & Kumar, 2006). In the problem under study, the alternatives are the 

varying ejido forest management budget allocation levels, and the preferred outcome is 

the most optimal budgetary allocation to achieve the various management objectives that 

can produce the most satisfying mix of forest resources products and services.  

 

In general, there are numerous types of multi-objective/multi-criterion decision-making 

(MODM/MCDM) techniques that have been used to solve various types of multi-

objective problems (Tecle, 1992; Tecle & Duckstein, 1994; Triantaphyllou, 2000; 

Duckstein & Tecle, 2002; Hajkowicz & Higgins, 2006; Vaidya & Kumar, 2006; Moseley 

et al., 2009; Sadeghi et al., 2012; Mardani et al., 2015).  A typology of the many different 

available techniques is summarized in Duckstein and Tecle (1993a), while their solution 

approaches are described in Duckstein and Tecle (1993b).  There are many 

MODM/MCDM techniques that have specifically been used to analyze and solve varying 

types of multi-objective forest resources management problems (Kangas, 1992; Tecle et 

al., 1995, 1998; Kangas et al., 2001; Jenkins, 2005; Krcmar et al., 2005; Niemela et al., 

2005; Phua & Minowa, 2005; Hajkowicz & Higgins, 2006; Balteiro & Romero, 2008; 

Ananda & Herath, 2009; Balteiro et al., 2009; Šporčić et al., 2010; Šporčić, 2012, to 

mention some).  Very few of these problems involve costs and budget allocations in 

multiple objective forest resources management projects; yet, to the best of our 

knowledge, this study is the only one specifically dedicated to optimally allocate scarce 

budgetary funds to a multi-objective community level forest resources management 

Mexico 
 

 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

42 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

(Kangas, 1992; Tecle et al., 1998; Balteiro et al., 2009; Chiou et al., 2009; Poff et al., 

2010, 2012; Bradford & D'Amato, 2012; White & Bordoloi, 2015). 

    

As noted previously, there are numerous multi-criterion decision-making approaches that 

have been used to evaluate and solve various types of multi-objective forest resources 

management problems (Mendoza & Prabhu, 2000; Kangas et al., 2001; Balteiro & 

Romero, 2008; Poff et al., 2010, 2012; Šporčić et al., 2010; Šporčić, 2012; Tecle & 

Jibrin, 2014). However, the formulation of the different parts of the problem in an 

interconnected hierarchical structure makes this particular problem a candidate for 

evaluation using either the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) or the Analytic Network 

Process (ANP). But, since the different levels in an Analytic Network Process show 

interactions and dependence among themselves as described, for example, in Cheng and 

Li (2004), Ozdemir et al. (2011), Thangamani (2012), Sadeghi et al. (2012), Napoli and 

Schilleci (2014), and Saaty (2017), the ANP is excluded in favor of the AHP.  The latter 

is so because the different levels in the budget allocation problem are independent of each 

other to justify and favor the use of the AHP (Leskinen, 2000). The AHP evaluates the 

multi-objective forest resources management budget allocation problem by incorporating 

public values to indicate preferences in the decision making process (Saaty, 1977, 1980, 

1988, 1990; Schmoldt et al., 2001a; Niemela et al., 2005; Proctor, 2005; Saaty & Vargas, 

2006; Ishizaka & Labib, 2011).  Furthermore, we found the AHP to be a relatively simple 

and effective method with an ability to deal with both quantitative and qualitative criteria 

to determine the most efficient budget allocation for the multi-objective ejido forest 

management problem under consideration.  

 

 

2. Problem description  

In the past, Mexican planners and resource managers rarely focused on developing 

strategies that strengthen multiple use and sustainable land resource development 

practices. Hence, federal programs resulted in poor resource management scenarios that 

jeopardized sustainable development, which eventually led to a decrease in resource 

productivity and an increase in environmental degradation as stated herewith. 

  

The lack of a consistent policy to strengthen ejidos [common properties] 

has grave social and economic implications that result in the degradation 

of natural resources, which consequently prevents rural communities 

from making sustainable use of land resources such as forests leading to 

a decreased quality of life. This creates the vicious cycle of degradation, 

poverty and poor quality of life. (Semarnat, 2000, p. 43) 

 

Recent changes have improved the management of natural resources by developing new 

forest policies and their enforcement to promote not only sustainable resource 

management but also improve important environmental services. These in turn have led 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

43 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

to improved research, and more efficient decision-making. Such changes are necessary to 

alleviate the disparities between farmers and forest landowners. Previously, crop farmers 

received a government subsidy to cultivate their lands, while forest landowners did not 

receive any funds to help them improve management of their natural resources; instead, 

they were blamed for the deterioration in land productivity and the poor quality of water 

coming from the forested areas. To ameliorate the situation, the Mexican government 

through CONAFOR has decided to manage the ejido forest system by developing four 

different forest resources/service programs to improve and optimize sustainable forest 

resources productivity. The programs are forest development (FD), plantations 

development (PD), non-timber products development (NTP), and water 

resources/environmental services development (WH). Table 1 shows a one year U.S. $4.1 

million Mexican government budget allocation to these four different forest resources 

management programs.  

 
Table 1 

A one-year federal budget allocation to manage the four forest resources/service 

development programs. 

 

Programs Budget (mill $) % 

Forest development (FD) 2.16 53 

Plantations development (PD) 1.45 35 

Non-timber products development (NTP) 0.49 12 

Water resources/ environmental 

      services development (WH) 

0 

 

0 

Total $4.10 100 

 

The main objectives for developing the four different forest resources /services programs 

are: (1) to promote the sustainability of primarily timber-related products, (2) to improve 

landowner’s resource management skills and (3) to reduce operational costs. Of the four 

programs, forest resources development (FD) was considered the most important one 

receiving the largest share of the budget with the largest number of individual projects 

funded. The plantation development program (PD) was designed to increase forest stocks 

through establishing new commercial plantations, by producing seedlings and reforesting 

burned areas and former agricultural or pasture lands. The non-timber products 

development program (NTP) was not given as much importance as the first two 

programs, and was meant to focus on the production of items such as oregano and 

mushrooms and the development of fisheries and improved ecotourism projects. Though 

these kinds of multiple programs development plans were designed to operate in only six 

wetter and more forested states of Mexico, the state of Durango was included because of 

its enormous potential to generate similar products in its temperate and semi-arid forested 

areas. The fourth program, water resources/ environmental services development (WH), 

was the latest program created by the federal government to protect and enhance amenity 

values, improve water quality and quantity, increase carbon sequestration, promote 

recreation, and reduce the pressure on timber-based products. It was not funded during 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

44 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

the above budget year, but both federal and state authorities expect its importance to 

grow quickly as the public becomes more aware of and familiar with it.  

 

The mandate to develop these programs involves providing monetary resources directly 

to landowners to help them achieve sustainable forest management. The fundamentals of 

these Mexican national programs are fully described in the “2001-2006 National Forest 

Program”.  The main aspects of the program consist of seven national strategies and 14 

objectives which are designed to promote sustainable forest management in Mexico. To 

satisfy the objectives, the four national programs (FD, PD, NTP, and WH) were 

developed as the feasible programs to compete for the limited funds. But, first the 14 

objectives and nine project categories are reduced into six management objectives 

specifically designed to: (1) improve economic benefits, (2) increase water yield, (3) 

increase recreational or other environmental benefits, (4) increase forest stocks, (5) 

reduce operational costs, and (6) increase yield of non-timber products. Note that some 

important biological objectives such as maintaining biodiversity or protecting wildlife 

habitat which are not within CONAFOR’s areas of responsibility are not included in the 

above list. On the other hand, all the interested parties in Durango who are involved in 

multi-purpose forest resources management are considered part of the study.  Those 

parties are grouped into those members of the public or government sector (PUB), 

landowners (LND), those who belong to the private sector (PRV), and members of non-

governmental organizations (NGOs). The latter includes environmental groups and non-

profit forest-interest organizations. Landowners, the most dominant group in Durango, 

consist of both common and private land owners.  The common properties or ejidos are 

collectively owned expanses of land, which occupy up to 70 percent of the forestlands in 

the state of Durango (Alcorn & Toledo, 1998). Thus, the essence of this study is to 

determine the most efficient budgetary distribution among the four national programs in 

ejido forest lands, taking into account the views and aspirations of the four interest 

groups and the achievement of the six forest resources management objectives.  

 

 

3. Methodology 
3.1 The Analytic Hierarchy Process 

Our interest in this paper is to optimally allocate a limited budgetary resource among four 

competing programs to achieve six ejido forest resources management objectives. A 

convenient multi-objective decision-making technique that can handle such a 

hierarchically-structured level of independent elements is the Analytic Hierarchy Process 

(Saaty, 1977, 1980, 1988, 1990, 1997, 2008b).  This is a well-known technique, which 

has been successfully used to solve numerous multi-objective management problems 

(Kangas, 1992, 1994, 1999; Saaty, 2001; Duke & Aull-Hyde, 2002 to mention a few). 

The Analytic Hierarchy Process formulation of a problem involves describing the 

elements in a lower level in terms of some or all of the elements in the next higher level 

of the hierarchy (Saaty, 1980, 1988).  Altogether, the process consists of the following 

steps: (1) describing an overarching objective in terms of an overall and ultimately 

desired direction (e.g. maximizing the overall utility); (2) identifying the interested 

parties, stakeholders, or decision makers involved; (3) defining the specific objectives 

that represent the wishes and aspirations of every interested party (or parties) (e.g. 

maximizing desired objectives, minimizing undesired outcomes and project costs, 

improving economic benefits and environmental conditions,  etc.); and (4) articulating 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

45 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

feasible alternatives that can be used to achieve the desired objectives (Saaty, 1998, 

2008a, 2008b, 2010; Ansah 2015). Criteria and sub-criteria are used to articulate the 

specific objectives in step (3) especially when the objectives represent complex problems 

that need to be expressed in more detailed and ordinal forms (Duckstein & Tecle, 2002).  

 

The theoretical foundation behind the AHP is the utility theory of value.  Zahedi (1987) 

showed that the process of selecting alternatives is consistent with maximizing a decision 

maker’s either single or multi-attribute utility functions (Saaty, 1998, 2003).  Results 

implied that the AHP and the utility maximization process can be combined to solve 

decision problems. The problems can be multi-objective forest resource management 

approaches such as the problem under study that involves multi-attribute utility functions. 

The utility functions are usually described in terms of weights and relative rankings of 

alternatives that can be evaluated using AHP (Saaty & Vargas, 1982; Duke & Aull-Hyde, 

2002; Proctor, 2005; Balteiro & Romero, 2008; Ford et al., 2017).  

 

The overarching objective of this multi-objective forest resources management planning 

problem is maximizing the overall utility U of the system. Such maximization of the 

overall utility occupies the highest level in the hierarchical formulation of an AHP 

approach of solving a multi-objective problem.  A utility model is a mathematical tool 

that describes a problem in terms of features such as goals or objectives that express the 

wishes and aspirations of individuals and/or groups. A very simple utility model can be 

described in terms of the overall utility value U, which is the sum of the products of the 

individual objective weights (ai) and the decision variable Xi.  Algebraically, this can be 

expressed as 

 


i

ii
XaU                                                                                            (1) 

in which i stands for an individual alternative. In a multi-objective problem, the 

alternative that produces the highest utility value becomes the most preferred 

management option (Tecle, 1992; Saaty, 1998, 2003; Tecle et al., 1998; Schmoldt et al., 

2001a; Poff et al., 2012).  

 

The solution process includes arrangement of pairwise comparisons of the relative 

weights of the different objectives. This would allow the decision maker to determine a 

preferred management alternative where the weights represent the decision maker’s 

preference structure on the objectives. Saaty (1988) used weights of 1,3,5,7, and 9 to 

respectively represent equal (or the preference of an objective weighted against itself), 

moderately dominant, strongly dominant, very strongly dominant, and extremely 

dominant of one objective over the other in a pairwise comparison. The weights of 2, 4, 

6, and 8 represent the intermediate values between two consecutive pairs of the above 

values.  Reciprocal values are entered in the transpose position and values between 

integers are permitted when desired. Use of this methodology is based on extensive 

research on the psychology of human preference behavior, which demonstrated that an 

individual cannot simultaneously compare more than five objects fairly and without 

having some confusion (Tversky & Kahneman, 1981; Kangas, 1994; Ford et al., 2017).  

To do a pairwise comparison, the relative weights (importance / preference) of elements 

at each hierarchical level are determined (Saaty, 2001). The analyst uses this to create the 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

46 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

matrix of pairwise comparisons, A, in Equation 2 from which an eigenvector is computed 

(Saaty, 1998, 2003).  

 

A a

w w w w

w w w w

w w w w

ij

n

n

n n

 





















1

1

1

1 2 1

2 1 2

1 2

/ ... /

/ ... /

:

/

:

/

:

                                      (2) 

 

Here aij represents the pairwise comparisons of elements i and j; when i = j, then aij =1.  

The ratio wi/wj is the relative importance or weight of element i over element j, while n is 

the total number of elements being compared. Because the AHP involves subjective 

assignment of values to utilities, the process may lead to some inconsistencies. To deal 

with this problem, Saaty (1980, 2003) proposed an eigenvector method for testing 

inconsistencies. For example, the inconsistency in the matrix A can be estimated using a 

Consistency Index (CI), which can be described in the form of Equation 3, which is 

 

 )1/()( max  nnCI             (3) 

where
m ax

 is the largest eigenvector in matrix A. This value (
m ax

 ) is obtained using 

Equation 4, which involves multiplying the matrix aij by the vector of relative importance 

or weights, wi. 

 

       𝜆𝑚𝑎𝑥   = ∑ ∑ 𝑎𝑖𝑗
𝑗𝑖

𝑤𝑖                                                                                                      (4) 

 

The vector of relative weights, wi, is obtained by first normalizing each column and then 

each row in the matrix A (Saaty, 1988).  Such a matrix has to be estimated for each 

decision variable at all levels of the system. In each level, the eigenvector is scaled to add 

up to one to obtain level-wise priorities. We developed a basic approach using a 

spreadsheet to calculate both the relative weights and the eigenvectors. If the pairwise 

comparisons in the n × n matrix include no inconsistencies, then 
m ax

 = n; otherwise A is 

simply the reciprocal of the matrix (Saaty, 2001). The more consistent the comparisons 

are the closer the value of the computed 
m ax

 becomes to n.  A consistency ratio (CR) 

determined using Equation 5 indicates the coherence of the pairwise comparisons 

(Alonso & Lamata, 2006): 

 

CR = 100 (CI / ACI)                   (5) 

where ACI is the average consistency index for randomly generated comparisons, which 

varies with the size of the developed matrix (Saaty, 1988).  Kangas (1994) considers the 

appropriate value for CR to be 0.10 or less. 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

47 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

 3.2 Data acquisition and problem formulation  

A questionnaire was used to obtain the basic data for this study. Twenty representative 

individuals involved in forest resources management were identified and asked to answer 

an online questionnaire to reveal their personal preferences on the way the budget for 

forest resources management in Durango should be allocated. The identified individuals 

belong to each one of the four interested groups described above.  However, seven of the 

20 refused to participate in the study. Hence, we used only the responses from the 13 

consenting respondents to construct the decision matrix used in the pairwise comparisons 

(see Appendix AI). Of the 13 individuals, four were from the public sector, three were 

landowners, three were members of non-government organizations, and three were from 

the private sector. The questionnaire started with self-identification of the respondents, 

followed by questions on their knowledge of the four national programs and others 

related to the desired management objectives.  

 

To use the information for the intended decision making process, the data were averaged 

and then formulated into a matrix of preferences for each interested party.  This was 

followed by calculating the eigenvectors and determining the consistency indexes to 

check for potential inconsistencies (Saaty, 2003). A similar process was followed for the 

management objectives. But, in this case, we made pairwise comparisons of each 

management objective with each interested party and for which a consistency test was 

also made. The arrangement of the data in the form of a matrix, calculations of the 

eigenvector and consistency indexes, making the pairwise comparisons for alternative 

preferences and arriving at optimal budgetary allocation are done step by step in a 

hierarchical framework.          

 

Formulation of the problem in an AHP framework follows four hierarchical steps (see 

Figure 2).  The first step consists of identifying an overarching objective of the study. 

The purpose is to allocate a one year forest management budget in the state of Durango, 

Mexico to achieve optimal resources productivity.  The second step is to determine the 

relative importance or weights of all interested parties that represent the various resources 

and arrange them as level two in the hierarchically structured framework.  Kangas (1994) 

suggested that the assignments and pairwise comparisons of the weights may be done by 

the office staff administering the resource management since its members may have a 

better understanding of the relative importance of each resource type and the interested 

parties involved (Saaty & Vargas, 1982). As such, pairwise comparisons of the weights 

of the parties and the resources involved were based on personal knowledge of the area 

and the role the interested parties play in the management of natural resources as in 

Proctor (2005). We also considered the scope of the forest law, which gives more 

importance to forest landowners than to any other groups in the management of forest 

resources.  

 

  



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

48 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

 

Figure 2 An AHP flow chart of optimal budget allocation for multi-objective forest  

             resources management in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

The third step consisted of describing the six management objectives and their relative 

weights. The latter came from the responses to the survey questionnaires. The last one in 

the hierarchy, level 4, consists of arranging the national forest resources/service 

development alternative programs. Starting from the bottom, the elements in each level 

are usually linked with the elements in the level above it. However, we also find that not 

every element in a lower level is linked with every element in the level above it.  For 

example, the plantation development program is not linked with the improve economic 

benefits objective in the level above it (see Figure 2).  This usually takes place when an 

element in the lower level is not related to one or more elements in the upper level as 

described in Saaty (1988).  In any case, the hierarchical structure in an AHP links one 

level with the immediate levels above and below it (if there are any), thereby 

mathematically tying the entire decision-making process together (Saaty, 1988, 2010, 

2017).   

 
 

4. Results 

Optimal allocation of the available budget in this study is made by evaluating the four 

national resources development programs with respect to their performances in achieving 

the six desired management objectives. Normally, expert consultants and actual 

management decision-makers are involved in assigning the preference structures or 

weights to the objectives (Saaty & Vargas, 1982; Zanakis et al., 1995; Duckstein & 

Tecle, 2002; Ford et al., 2017).  In this study, the authors first assumed the roles of both 

the expert consultants and the decision-makers and calculate the weights using Kangas’ 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

49 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

(1994) methodology. The matrix of interested parties’ responses and the relative weights 

assigned to each interested party are shown in Appendix AI.  The relative weights are 

0.18 for the public sector (PUB), 0.51 for the landowners (LND), 0.17 for the private 

sector (PRV), and 0.14 for the non-government organizations (NGO).  In this 

arrangement, the relative importance given to landowners is much higher than that 

assigned to the other stakeholders (see the Table in Appendix AI). This makes the values 

of 
m ax

 = 4.25, ACI = 0.90, CI = 0.08, and CR = 0.09.  The CR value here is within the 

standards recommended by Kangas (1994), i.e., CR ≤ 0.1. 

 

The next step consists of determining the relative importance of each objective to the 

various interested parties.  Here, the responses to the questionnaires are first averaged, 

then normalized and arranged in a matrix format to indicate objective-interested party 

relationships as shown in Table 2.  The Table also shows the relative importance of each 

objective where the objective that receives the highest overall weight of 0.97 is 

increasing forest stocks.   

 

Table 2 

Objective values and weights given by each interested party involved in the multi-

objective forest management decision process      

 

Objectives Interested Parties 

 PUB LND PRV NGO Overall 

Weights 

Improving economic benefits 0.10 0.26 0.18 0.09 0   .63 

Increasing water yield 0.25 0.12 0.12 0.24 0   .73 

Increasing recreation or other 

environmental benefits 
0.23 0.07 0.19 0.22 0  .71 

Increasing forest stocks 0.24 0.28 0.24 0.21 0  .97 

Reducing operational costs 0.06 0.18 0.13 0.07 0  .44 

Increasing non-timber products yield 0.12 0.09 0.14 0.17 0  .52 

                                                 m ax  6.50 6.37 6.60 6.16 
 

                                                   CR 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.03  

 

On the other hand, reducing operational costs receives the lowest overall weight of 0.44.  

In a similar manner, the relationships between the four alternative forest resources 

development programs and the desired objectives are given in Table 3.  Using values 

from Table 2, Table 3 and the weights in Appendix AI, the global utility (or budget 

allocation) value with respect to a particular management alternative program is 

determined using Equation 6. 


i

GP 



















)(
6

1

4

1 k

ikjk

j

j
LPMSLPOLPIG                                                 (6) 

 

where GPi is the desired global budgetary ratio (or global utility value) obtained using 

management alternative program i, LPIGj is the specific utility level or relative weight 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

50 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

assigned to interest group j, LPOjk is the local utility or relative weight of objective k 

from the point of view of interest group j, and LPMSik  is the specific utility level or 

relative weight of management alternative i (national program) with respect to objective 

k. Note that a special attention should be paid in determining GPi because all 

management objectives do not have links with all management alternatives.  Hence, there 

are no LPMSik values reported for some of the cells in Table 3.  In such a situation, Saaty 

(1988) recommends to follow a procedure similar to that we have done in this paper.  In 

any case, the sum of all GPi's must be equal to one.   

 

Table 3 

Local priorities of management alternatives (national programs) with respect to decision 

objectives (level 3 to 4) 

 

   Objectives 

  Management alternatives 

      (National Programs)* 
m ax

  CR 
FD PD NTP WH 

Improving economic benefits 0.44 ----- 0.17 0.39 3.03 0.02 

Increasing water yield 0.20 0.20 ------ 0.60 3.00 0.00 

Increasing recreation or other  

      environmental benefits 
0.17 0.39 ------ 0.44 3.03 0.02 

Increasing forest stocks 0.16 0.42 0.14 0.27 4.07 0.03 

Reducing operational costs 0.67 ----- 0.33 ------ 2.00 0.00 

Increasing non-timber products yield 0.30 0.16 0.54 ------ 3.01 0.01 

* Dotted cells represent the management objectives that do not have costs associated 

with a particular national program. 

 

Also, note that Equation 7 is the numerical application of Equation 6 that determines the 

global utility value (0.307) for the forest development program (FD).  

 

GPFD = [0.18 × {(0.10 × 0.44) + (0.25 × 0.20) + (0.23 × 0.17) + (0.24 × 0.16) + (0.06 × 

0.67) + (0.12 × 0.30)}+ 0.51 × {(0.26 × 0.44) + (0.12 × 0.20) + (0.07 × 0.17) + (0.28 × 

0.16) + (0.18 × 0.67) + (0.09 × 0.30)} + 0.17 × {(0.18 × 0.44) + (0.12 × 0.20) + (0.19 × 

0.17) + (0.24 × 0.16) + (0.13 × 0.67) + (0.14 × 0.30)}+ 0.14 × {(0.09 × 0.44) + (0.24 × 

0.20) + (0.22 × 0.17) + (0.21 × 0.16) + (0.07 × 0.67) + (0.17 × 0.30)}] = 0.307         (7)                                                      

 

The global utility values for the other three national resources development programs are 

similarly determined to be 0.214 for PD, 0.177 for NTP, and 0.303 for WH. These show 

that the resource development program with the highest global utility value is forest 

development (FD), very closely followed by water harvesting (WH).  The calculated 

values are based on the wishes and aspirations (or utilities) of representative groups of 

community members (Zanakis et al., 1995; Chiou et al., 2009).  Based on this, the 

government would allocate the budget for forest resources management among the four 

national resources development programs to best achieve the desired management 

objectives.  

 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

51 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

In the past, decisions on budget allocations followed no systematic approach. For 

instance, the available funds for the particular budget year considered in this paper were 

allocated as 53% for forest development, 35% for plantations development, 12% for non-

timber products, and zero to water harvesting. However, if the budget were distributed 

among all four national resources development programs water harvesting and 

environmental service development program would take some part of the budget. Such an 

arrangement would proportionally reduce the funds that would be allocated to forest 

development and the other two programs.  Figure 3 compares this revised budget 

allocation with the actual budget distribution above. The hypothetical allocations of the 

annual budget of $4.10 million among the four resources development programs (FD, 

PD, NTP and WH) for one year were obtained using Equation 6 and in a manner similar 

to the calculation for FD using Equation 7.   

 

 
 

Figure 3 Comparing actual (current) and hypothetical budget allocations to the four 

resources development programs in the state of Durango, Mexico; the actual budget 

allocation does not include funding to the water harvesting program (WH) in the year 

 

 

5. Sensitivity analysis 

An important aspect of any modeling effort is testing the reliability and robustness of the 

model in performing as desired under varying input variables/parameters.  This is 

sensitivity analysis and it can be done by testing the effects of changes in one or more of 

the utilities of the interested parties on the desired budget allocation among the four forest 

resources management programs (see Figure 3).  Performing sensitivity analyses on all 

the decision variables would be repetitive, very tedious, and unnecessarily time 

consuming.  Hence, we only performed a sensitivity analysis on the effect of changes in 

the utilities of one interested party (or decision-maker), the Landowners, on the global 

utility values (see Figure 4). In this analysis, the utilities of the other three decision-

makers are kept constant.    

  

-

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

FD PD NTP WH

Alternatives (National Programs)

M
il
li
o

n
s 

o
f 

D
o

ll
a
rs

..
 

Current Desired



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

52 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

The results of the sensitivity analysis show that the Analytic Hierarchy Process is very 

reliable for optimal budget allocation among the different and competing forest resources 

management programs in Durango, Mexico. This reliability is indicated by the small 

variation in the global utility values of each natural resources development program with 

changes in the landlord's utility values (see Figure 4).  As shown in the figure, the change 

in the global utility value for water harvesting is very little, ranging from 0.350 to 0.370, 

as the landlord's utility value decreases from 0.5 to 0.0.  On the opposite side, when the 

landowner’s utility value is between 0.5 and 1.0, there is a slight rise, from 0.350 to 

0.385, in the global utility for forest development.  Likewise, the global utility values for 

development of plantation and the non-timber products development programs are lower 

than those of the above and do not change significantly with changes in the landlord's 

utility values. Also the basis for providing the necessary budget is related to the land 

tenure system prevailing in the State of Durango, Mexico, where new forest policies are 

formulated to help landowners.  Hence, it makes sense that the preference for budget 

allocation favors landowners, albeit slightly, compared to the other interested parties 

involved.  In spite of the latter, however, there is little or no sensitivity in the derived 

utility levels of the resource development programs with changes in the decision-maker’s 

utility values. Hence, for the little difference observed between the outcomes of the two 

most desirable forest resources management alternatives, forest development and water 

harvesting. 

 

 

 

Figure 4 Effect of changes in landowner’s utility values on global priority values. 

In this test, the utility values of the other interested parties are assumed to be 

equal 

  

To corroborate the sensitivity analysis results, we performed a t-test, along with a test for 

homogeneity of variances, by dividing the landowner’s utility values into two classes: 

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9

Landowners' utility values

G
lo

b
a
l 

p
ri

o
ri

ty
 v

a
lu

e
s
  FD PD NTP WH



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

53 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

those having utility values less than 0.50 as class 1, and those with utility values greater 

than or equal to 0.50 as class 2.  In the process, the four resources development programs 

of FD, PD, NTP and WH are considered to be dependent variables while their utility 

values are classes or factors of independent variables.  In the end, a result of the t-test 

indicates existence of no significant differences between the two classes. This means that 

changing the utility values of landowners does not have a significant effect on the overall 

preference or on the prioritization of one resource development program over the others 

under consideration.  

 

 

6. Conclusions and recommendations 

This study used the multi-criterion decision-making technique, AHP, to optimally 

allocate a scarce forest management budget among the different forest resources 

development programs in the state of Durango, Mexico. We analyzed the attitudes of four 

representative decision-making groups toward an optimal allocation of a scarce budgetary 

fund among four national programs to achieve six management objectives. Two of the 

four programs, forest development and water harvesting/environmental services, received 

the highest budget allocation in accordance with their higher global utility values.  

However, since water harvesting/environment services constitutes a new program, its 

funding has to come by reducing the budgetary share of the other programs, especially 

that of forest development. This should lead to a fair and optimal allocation of the entire 

budget among the four national forest resources management programs in Durango, 

Mexico.  

 

There are at least three major reasons for the need for optimal forest resources 

management budget allocation.  First, since the money comes from taxes, its distribution 

should make it possible to provide the greatest amount of goods and services to the 

largest number of people in the State.  Second, an optimal budgetary distribution process 

can help resources managers put their scarce budgetary funds where they are most needed 

and efficiently used. Third, the developed approach must be a convenient technique for 

simultaneous management of multiple forest resources to achieve multiple objectives as 

in Tecle (1992), Balteiro and Romero (2008), Saaty (2008b), and Perez-Verdin et al. 

(2009). The multi-objective approach is more advantageous than a traditional and 

inefficient, single objective and single resources management approach (Tecle, 2007).  

Using the multi-objective decision-making approach in this study water harvesting and 

environmental services can be handled simultaneously with forest and non-timber 

development programs to benefit not only landowners but the entire ejido community 

who uses the resources as a whole.  Hence, we recommend the use of the AHP not only 

because it enables optimal allocation of scarce resources to do the greatest good for the 

largest number of people, but because it also engenders active participation of the public 

in resolving natural resources management-related conflicts (Balteiro et al., 2009; 

Nordstrom, 2010; Groselj et al., 2016; Nilsson et al., 2016). This is possible because AHP 

is capable of handling numerous types of qualitative as well as quantitative information 

such as ordinal data from public opinions and cardinal and ratio data types generated 

using all sorts of research endeavors (Saaty, 2008a; Šporčić, et al. 2010; Šporčić, 2012).  

One method such as that of Duke and Aull-Hyde (2002), for example, can be used to 

gather a large amount of public opinions.  An additional strength of the AHP is its ability 

to normalize non-commensurable data and express it in the form of ratio scale to make 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

54 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

handling of a complex multiobjective problem analysis easy (Tecle, 1992; Mendoza & 

Prabhu, 2000; Saaty, 2008a). 

 

The AHP is widely used to evaluate and solve many different kinds of multi-objective 

decision problems (Saaty, 1990, 2001, 2008a, 2008b; Schmoldt et al., 2001a, 2001b; 

Duke & Aull-Hyde, 2002; Macharis et al., 2004; Hajkowicz & Higgins, 2006), in 

general, and various types of forest resources management problems such as those in 

Balteiro and Romero (2008), Ananda and Herath (2009), Perez-Verdin et al. (2009, 

2011), Šporčić et al. (2010), Poff et al. (2010, 2012), to mention some. But, to the best of 

our knowledge, this is the first time the AHP has specifically been used to optimally 

distribute scarce budget resources among four ejido-based forest resources management 

programs designed to achieve six objectives of four interested parties.  A sensitivity 

analysis was conducted on the effects of varying the utility values of landowners on the 

global utility values that determined the budget distribution among the four competing 

forest resources management programs. The analysis results show the reliability and 

robustness of the AHP in allocating the budget.    

  

Another benefit of using the AHP is its integrative assessment of numerous interacting 

and at times competing forest resources components.  It takes advantage of not only the 

synergistic relationships among the various components of a multi-objective decision 

problem, but also incorporates the risks and uncertainties inherent in such a complex 

problem to reach a realistic and acceptable decision outcome (Macharis et al., 2004).  

Weights and public preferences are heavily used to hierarchically interconnect various 

decision-makers, their objectives and the different alternative management schemes 

involved. These aspects of the AHP are the reasons for its desirability, wide use and 

success to solve various types of multi-objective forest resources management problems. 

 
 

  



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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ISSN 1936-6744 
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APPENDIX A 

 
AI. Pairwise comparisons (A) of stakeholder’s utilities and vector of weights (w) 

 

 

                                     A                         w 

























12/13/11

213/12/1

3314

124/11

NG

PR

LD

PU

NGPRLDPU

aAw
ik

× 



















14.0

17.0

51.0

18.0

; m ax =4.25; CR=0.09 

 
PU = Public Sector; LD = Landowners;  PR = Private Sector; and NG = Non-government organizations 

 

 
AII. Pairwise comparisons of stakeholders’ management objective values and vector of 

weights 

 

 Public sector preferences  

 EE WY REC FS OPC NTP 

EE 1.00 0.33 0.33 0.33 3.00 1.00 

WY 3.00 1.00 2.00 0.50 3.00 3.00 

REC 3.00 0.50 1.00 2.00 4.00 1.00 

FS 3.00 2.00 0.50 1.00 3.00 2.00 

OPC 0.33 0.33 0.25 0.33 1.00 0.50 

NTP 1.00 0.33 1.00 0.50 2.00 1.00 
 

 

 

×   



























12.0

06.0

24.0

23.0

0.25

0.10

 ; m ax =6.50; CR=0.08 

 

       Landowners preferences    

 EE WY REC FS OPC NTP 

EE 1.00 3.00 3.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 

WY 0.33 1.00 2.00 0.50 0.33 2.00 

REC 0.33 0.50 1.00 0.25 0.33 1.00 

FS 1.00 2.00 4.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 

OPC 0.50 3.00 3.00 0.33 1.00 2.00 

NTP 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 
 

 

 

×   



























09.0

18.0

28.0

07.0

0.12

0.26

 ; m ax =6.37; CR=0.06 

 

     Private Sector preferences   

 EE WY REC FS OPC NTP 

EE 1.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 

WY 0.33 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 

REC 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 3.00 2.00 

FS 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 3.00 1.00 

OPC 2.00 1.00 0.33 0.33 1.00 1.00 

NTP 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 
 

 

 



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

International Journal of the 

Analytic Hierarchy Process 

56 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

 

Non-governmental organizations preferences 

 EE WY REC FS OPC NTP 

EE 1.00 0.33 0.33 0.33 1.00 1.00 

WY 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 

REC 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 1.00 

FS 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.00 

OPC 1.00 0.33 0.25 0.33 1.00 0.33 

NTP 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.00 
 

 

 

×   



























17.0

07.0

21.0

22.0

0.24

0.09

 ; m ax =6.16; CR=0.03 

 
 

EE = Improve economic benefits; WY = Improve water yield; REC = improve recreation/ 

environmental services; FS = Increase forest stocks; OPC = Reduce operational costs; and NTP = 

increase non-timber products yield. 

 

 

 
AIII. Pairwise comparisons of forest resources management programs, and corresponding    

         vector of weights (w) and other parameters related to each objectives. 

 
            

          Improve Economic Benefits 

 

 

 FD NTP WH  w 

FD 1.00 3.00 1.00  0.44 

NTP 0.33 1.00 0.50  0.17 

WH 1.00 2.00 1.00  0.39 

           
m ax

 =3.03; CR=0.02 

    

        Improve Water Yield 

 

 

 FD PD WH w 

FD 1.00 1.00 0.33 0.20 

PD 1.00 1.00 0.33 0.20 

WH 3.00 3.00 1.00 0.60 

   m ax =3.00; CR=0.00 

 

Improve Recreation and 

Environmental Services 

 

 FD PD WH w 

FD 1.00 0.50 0.33 0.17 

PD 2.00 1.00 1.00 0.39 

WH 3.00 1.00 1.00 0.44 

   m ax =3.03; CR=0.02 
   

   

Increase forest stocks 

 

 

 FD PD NTP WH    w 

FD 1.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.16 

PD 2.00 1.00 3.00 2.00 0.42 

NTP 1.00 0.33 1.00 0.50 0.14 

WH 2.00 0.50 2.00 1.00 0.27 

 

   m ax =4.07; CR=0.02 

          Reduce operational costs 

     

   

       m ax =2.00; CR=0.00 

 FD NTP w 

FD 1.00 2.00 0.67 

NTP 0.50 1.00 0.33 

   Increase non-timber products 

 

 

 FD PD NTP w 

FD 1.00 2.00 0.50 0.30 

PD 0.50 1.00 0.33 0.16 

NTP 2.00 3.00 1.00 0.54 

 

      m ax =3.01; CR=0.01 

 

FD = Forest Development; PD = Plantations Development; NTP = Non-timber products; WH = Water Harvesting 

 

 

  



IJAHP Article: Tecle, Perez-Verdin/Analytic Hierarchy Process application for multiple purpose 

forest resources management budget allocation in Durango, Mexico 

 

 

 

 

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Analytic Hierarchy Process 

57 Vol. 10 Issue 1 2018 

ISSN 1936-6744 
https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v10i1.422 

 

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