DRIVING FORCES OF INTERNATIONAL PHARMACEUTICAL FIRMS' FDI INTO CHINA Fuming Jiang The Australian National University Canberra, Australia Abstract This paper presents the results ofan exploratory investigation into the factors that drove the internationalpharmaceuticalfirms to makeforeign direct investment (FDI) into the Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry during the period from 1980 to 1998. Research results show that international pharmaceuticalfirms' FDI into China was predominantly motivated by China S specific location factors. China smarket size, with its great potential, played the most important role. The factors of rapid economic development and growth, China s open-door policy, and relatively stable political conditions were also found to be importantfactors. The incentive policies provided by China had limited impact on pharmaceutical firms FD1 decisions. The results suggest that FDI decisions of early entrants who started FD1 before 1992 were more likely to consider the open-door policy as the second most important factor, whereas late entrants whose FDI started since 1992 seemed more likely to consider the Chinese economic development and growth as the second most important factor. The results also suggest that relatively stable political conditions in China have had a stronger positive influence on the FDI decisions ofthe late entrants. Low labor and establishment costs in China as well as cultural relatedfactors were notfound to be significant factors/or international pharmaceutical investors. Introduction China has attracted substantial foreign direct investment (FDI) since the passage ofthe Chinese-Foreign equity joint venture law by the National People's Congress of China in 1979. As shown in Figure 1, the growth trends ofFDI have undergone two major phases. During the period of 1979-1991, the FDI flow into China was slow and the actual investment showed no significant growth ti111991. Beginning with a 25 percent growth in 1991, China has since attracted a greatly increased amount of FDI. A sharp increase (approximately 152 percent over the previous year) occurred in 1992 and an FDI inflow in 1992 (USD 11.007 billion) was just slightly lower than the total FDI (USD 12.103 billion) in the entire first decade (1979-1989). By 1998, this 1992 level was surpassed four times over (SSBPRC, 1988-1999). The country had been second only to USA as the major recipient of FDI from 1993 to 1997 and ranked in the third position in 1998 in the world. During the period 1992 to 1998, China had hosted almost 10 percent 22 Journal ofBusiness Strategies Vol. 22, No. I of the total world FDI inflow in the world and absorbed over 28 percent of the total FOI inflow to developing countries and over 46 percent of total FDI inflow to Asian countries or regions. South East Asian countries or regions attracted about USO 480 billion FDI flows from 1992 to 1998. Approximately 50 percent of this went to China (UN, 1996-1999). Figure 1 FDI Inflow to China (1979-1998) 50 45 40 35 III 30I:: .2 iii 25 .05, t = -0.5822). This may sug- gest that the decisions of the international pharmaceutical firms' FDI into China were determined by a combination of factors. The second level of analysis took consideration of the relatively small sample size used for this research. The Simple Logistic Regression (SLR) technique was used to investigate whether any associations existed between the importance of determinant factors and timing of FDI (Pre-1992 vs. Post-I 992). The SLR is appropriate for a two-by-two table comparison, instead of using Pearson's chi-square test 2• The Pre-1992 period (early entrants) was coded as 'I' and the From-l 992 period (late entrants) was coded as '2'. The outcome of the SLR is shown in Table I and indicates that there was a significant positive relationship between the factor of China sopen-door policy and the timing ofFDI (~ = 1.376; p < 0.05). A significant negative relationship was identified between the factor of China s economic development & growth and the timing of FDI (~ = -2.260; P < 0.01); and a significant negative relationship was shown between the factor of relatively stable political conditions and timing ofFDI (~ = -1.722; p < 0.05). A positive beta (~) indicates a positive relationship between the importance of factors and the timing ofFDI and means the factor was important in Pre-I 992 (early entrants). Conversely, a negative beta (~) indicates a negative relationship Spring 2005 Jiang: Driving Forces 29 between the importance of factors and the timing of FDI and means the factor was important in From-1992 (late entrants). Thus, the results reveal that early entrants viewed China sopen-door policy to be more important than did the late entrants. On the other hand, the late entrants were more likely to consider China s economic development and growth and relatively stable political conditions as important positive factors to their FDI decisions. Figure 2 Exploratory Variables by Frequency of Participating Firms (N = 43) Variables (Factors) China's market size with great potential Rapid economic development & growth China's open-door policy Relatively stable political conditions Incentive policies provided by China Low labor cost in China Low cost of establishment of plant & facility Traditional contacts & linkages Similar culture & language Continuation of previous business Frequency (%) 97.7 67.4 41.9 320 23.0 :::::::sa 7 :::::::sa 7 ::::J 4.7 ::::J 4.7 :::l2.3 o 20 40 60 80 100 Table 1 Simple Logistic Regression by Exploratory Variables Dependent Variable: Timing of FDI (Early Entrants vs. Late Entrants) Variables China's market size with great potential Rapid economic development and growth China's open-door policy Relatively stable political conditions Low cost of establishment of plant & facility Incentive policies provided by China Low labot costs in China Traditional contacts & linkage Similar culture & language Continuation of previous business 6.7162 -2.2600 1.3758 -1.7222 -7.7970 1.2384 1.3120 .5500 .5500 -6.7162 Sig. .8546 .0025** .0390* .0426* .8232 .0980 .3011 .7046 .7046 .8546 * p < .05; ** p < .01; *** p < .001 A positive beta 13 means important in Pre-1992 period for early entrants A negative beta 13 means important in From-I 992 period for late entrants 30 Journal of Business Strategies Conclusion and Discussion Vol. 22, No. 1 The purpose of this research was to examine the determinants of international pharmaceutical firms' FOI into China during the period from 1980 to 1998. It differentiated itself from similar studies on FOI into China by investigating the determinants of international pharmaceutical firms' FDI into the Chinese pharmaceutical industry and the possible changes in importance of determining factors through time. As such, the study advances the understanding ofthe industry specific nature of FDI and the temporal fashion of FOI into China during the different periods. The research results suggest that international pharmaceutical firms' FDI into China was determined predominantly by China's location-specific factors. This finding partially supports Dunning's (1988) eclectic paradigm and Taggart's (1973) three-division theory on multinational pharmaceutical firms' FOI activities. However, it was consistent with most recent studies on multinational firms' decisions to invest in China. The research results reveal that four factors, namely China smarket size with its great potential, rapid economic development and growth, China sopen door policy and relatively stable political conditions have been the major motivations in attracting international pharmaceutical firms' direct investment into the Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry during the period from 1980 to 1998. Incentive policies provided by China had no major impact on firms' FDI decisions. The low labor cost and social-cultural related factors appeared to be insignificant to international pharmaceutical firms' FOI decision into China. Steady GDP growth, increase ofincome per capita, consistent increase of per capita annual expenditure on medicine and medical service, together with over 1.2 billion people make the factor of China's market size with its great potential the most important motivation among the four major factors. The importance of the other three important factors depends on the timing of FDI into China. China sopen-door policy played the second most important role in encouraging international investment particularly during the early stage of China's economic reform and socialism market development. The promulgation ofthe Law ofthe People sRepublic ofChina on Joint Ventures Using Chinese and Foreign Investment in July 1979 was a momentous event in China's opening up of the economy. The gradual implementation of the open door policy represented a breakthrough from the past in China's economic development strategy. The open door policy was a strong signal to the outside world and indicated China's intention to break out of its international isolation and become aggressively involved in the world economic activities after three decades of isolation and central planning of the economic system. The open door policy brought new opportunities for foreign investors who intended to develop business in the Chinese market. The rapid economic development and growth, combined with the relatively stable political conditions in China, has had significant impact on international investors' decisions to make direct investment in the country particularly since 1992. The speeches of China's former leader, Deng Xiaoping, published in 1992, have accelerated the processes of the Chinese economic reform and opening up Spring 2005 Jiang: Driving Forces 31 the economy for foreign investment, which have had positive impact on economic development and political conditions in the country, in tum contributing to the late entrants' FOI decision to invest in China. Economically, China has achieved an average of double-digit growth in GOP during the period 1979-1998 and the growth rate was higher during the From- 1992 period (10.7%) than that in the Pre-1992 period (9.1 %). More importantly, since 1992 the country has achieved economic stability and sustained growth with controlled inflation, this having followed a number of dramatic fluctuations in GOP rates during the Pre-1992 period of its economic reform and development (SSBPRC, 1999). The strong, balanced, economic growth and control of inflation, rather than the attainment of rapid growth at all costs, remain the government's prime objectives (Hatheway, 1998). The country claimed significant success in macroeconomic management with controlled consumer and retail price inflations at 2.8% and 0.8% respectively, in 1997. The central Chinese Government has also successively established and opened a series of 'coastal open areas' and has introduced the policy of 'opening cities on rivers and borders' for foreign investments since 1992. Consequently, 6 port cities on the Yangtze River, as well as 13 inland border cities and capitals of provinces and autonomous regions have been opened and offered preferential policies. These include tax reduction similar to those for coastal open cities and/or special economic zones defined and created by the Chinese Central Government before 1992 to serve as a special channel for China to use foreign investment and to import advanced technology and enter international markets (OFIMFTECPRC, 1995; Li & Li, 1999). Therefore, the rapid economic development and growth, together with the central Chinese government's stronger commitment to the economic reform, have created a more promising market with greater potential and a more favourable investment environment to better facilitate FOI into the country since 1992. A number of recent studies on timing of market entry revealed that the early entrants may have the advantages in market growth (Kalyanaram, et aI., 1995; Vanderwerf& Mahon, 1997; Makadok, 1998; Song, et aI., 1999), pricing strategies (Makadok, 1998), technological leadership, creation ofbuyer switching costs and positive economic benefits (Lieberman & Montgomery, 1998) and development of valuable and non-substitutable resources (Conner, 1991; Makadok, 1998). In the context ofFOI in China, the early movers may outperform the late entrants in market growth and asset efficiency and enjoy the benefit from more pre-emptive market opportunities and business potentials than they would in the home market. In contrast, the early entrants encountered greater risks than the late entrants did in the start-up phase of international expansion. China is an economy in the process of transformation, which could present daunting challenges to the unwary investors (Luo, 1998). Foreign investors, in general, were concerned about China's political instability, especially during the Pre-l 992 period when the 1989 Tiananmen Square incident occurred after a number of failures in the transformation of Chinese leadership. Many foreign investors were unsure of the direction the country was taking. Most complaints from foreign investors 32 Journal ofBusiness Strategies Vol. 22, No. 1 in China in the early stage of economic reform and development related to the uncertainty and opacity of local laws, rules and government policies on FOI (National Council, 1991). The political and social uncertainties arising in the transitional stage often reinforce variations in contextual conditions (Peng & Heath, 1996). In addition, far-reaching changes in industry and market structures in the early stage of structural transformation caused substantial variance in the investment environment that could lead to the instability of foreign invested firms in China (Luo, 1995). The superiority of the advantages to early investor's accrued at the expense of high operational risk in the local environment (Luo, 1998). Therefore, in addition to the possible advantages the early investors might be able to take (as revealed in previous studies), there are a number of possible factors that contributed to the early entrants' decisions on the timing of entry into the Chinese market by the international pharmaceutical firms. First, approximately two-thirds ofthe early investors were from Hong Kong, Taiwan and Japan, who might have a better understanding of the China's overall investment environment and the skills to cope with the uncertainty in the environment. Second, over four- fifths of the early entrants committed a smaller scale of capital investment in the China ventures. Furthermore, the international pharmaceutical firms introduced conventional drug technology, rather than the latest innovative technology, to the Chinese market. This was achieved by transferring the manufactured conventional drugs from the operations in their home countries to the China ventures, then marketing the drugs into the Chinese market. These factors could be viewed as a first step to test the market in the early stage ofFDI activities in China, which brings into line with Williamson's (1985) transaction cost theory suggesting that when uncertainty is high, the firm should minimise its commitment to the environment. Third, the large majority of international pharmaceutical firms formed joint ventures with local Chinese partners. A competent local Chinese partner can assist the ventures in reducing the risks associated with the uncertainty by using their country-specific knowledge. This applies even more so for early entrants since they had a better chance to choose a more competent partner while more alternative partners were still available to them in the early stage of FOI activities. Finally, the early investors concentrated their investments in SEZs or open cities. As Luo (1998) pointed out, ventures located in those open areas are able to foster risk reduction in China. The four attributes deal with investors' capability (local environment know-how) and investment strategies (partner selection, venture location selection within China and scale of investment). This may suggest that, other things being equal, a firm's early entry decision into a politically uncertain international market like China also depends on what the firm can do (capability) and how to do it (investment strategies). Since 1992, a collective leadership rather than a single, predominant leader has governed China. Political stability and economic development and reform have been priority objectives of the central Chinese government. Also since 1992, an upsurge of foreign investment swept across the country and the introduction of foreign investment underwent a new, substantial development, both in breadth Spring 2005 Jiang: Driving Forces 33 and depth. Since then, a legal framework governing foreign investment activities and a market-oriented system has been established. Most notably, China has made significant progress in implementing intellectual property rights regulations, education and enforcement, as international pharmaceutical firms were sensitive to, and concerned about the weak intellectual property rights protection. After a few years ofnegotiation between China and the United States ofAmerica, the two countries signed a bilateral agreement on the protection of intellectual property rights in February 1995 and the agreement inJune 1996 on procedures for ensuring its effective implementation. The economic transition proceeds and the Chinese markets are becoming more and more integrated with the global economy; and the contextual risks and uncertainties have been therefore gradually diminishing over time. Overall, the political environment for international investors has been improved significantly. Outstanding economic performance has provided the late entrants with a relatively stable investment environment for their long-term business development in China. These improvements may also explain in large part why China was more attractive than other nations that also have low labor costs and potential large market size advantages. This study also demonstrated that the incentives provided by the Chinese government would most likely be treated as an additional benefit by most international pharmaceutical firms, rather than a decisive factor on their FDf decisions to China. This finding supports previous studies primarily based on FDI in the USA (Hartman, 1984; Baskin & Gale, 1987; Slemrod, 1990), although contrasts findings ofrecent studies based on FOI in China (Zhang & Yuk, 1998; Li & Li, 1999). This may be because the pharmaceutical industry is more technology- based, rather than a labor-intensive industry. International pharmaceutical firms who invested their capital and technology into China were primarily aiming to access China's potential huge market for their products. Usually, export-oriented FDf have invested mainly in labor-intensive industries. Therefore, the incentives may be significant for export oriented investments in labor-intensive industries in China. For similar reasons, cheap labor, low establishment costs and social cultural related factors would not have significant effects on international pharmaceutical firms' FDI decision into the Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. This finding supports Li and Li's (1999) clarification about the impact of China's low cost oflabor on foreign firms' decision to invest in the country. Limitations and Future Research Directions There are three main limitations in this research. This research suggests that the timing of FDI had significant impacts on FDI determinants. The changes in investment environments and other conditions in China are continuing, as the political/legal and economic reforms in China are still on unfolding. This study was conducted in a particular time period and only gives insights into the situation at that moment in time (1980 to 1998). Second, most of the pharmaceutical companies with foreign investment in China are firms that have investment by 34 Journal of Business Strategies Vol. 22, No. I international non-pharmaceutical firms (CCPIE, 1995; MIMS, 1998). Therefore, further research into FDI of international non-pharmaceutical firms would be expedient and meaningful. 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The economic institutions of capitalism. New York: The Free Press. Wu, Y (1999). FDI and economic growth: an introduction. In Y, Wu (Ed.) Foreign direct investment and economic growth in China. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Yan, Y (2000). International joint ventures in China. New York: Macmillan. Zhang, X., & Yuk, H.P. (1998). Determinants of Hong Kong manufacturing investment in China: A survey. Marketing Intelligence & Planning. 16(4),260-267. Footnote I. A USD20 million investment is usually regarded as a rather small scale of in- vestment for international pharmaceutical firms. 2. Pearson's chi-square test is only appropriate ifthere is sufficient data (Francis, 1999). Pearson's chi-square is equivalent to the simple logistic regression which uses the pooled estimate of the standard error (Christensen, 1997: 27). Logistic regression is relatively free of restrictions, with the capacity to analyse a mix of all types of predictors (continuous, discrete and dichotomous) the variety and complexity of data sets that can be analysed is almost unlimited (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1996: 578). Spring 2005 Jiang: Driving Forces 39 Jiang Fuming is a researcher and lecturer in International Business in the School of Business & Information Management at The Australian National University. He received his Ph.D. in International Business/Strategic Management from The Australian Graduate School of Entrepreneurship at Swinburne University, Australia. His research interests include internationalization strategies ofChinese firms and foreign direct investment strategies of multinational corporations in China and Australia. 40 Journal ofBusiness Strategies Vol. 22, No. 1 Driving Forces of International Pharmaceutical Firms' FDI into China