J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 Journal of the Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences Mathematical Models and Comparative Analysis for Rice and Soya Bean Irrigation Crop Water Needs: A Case Study of Bida Basin Niger State, Nigeria A. Abdulrahim, M. D Shehu, E Yisa, Z. A. Ishaq Department of Mathematics, School of Physical Science, Federal University of Technology, Minna, Niger State, Nigeria. Abstract In this manuscript, mathematical models for cropping water need (C.W.N) and the size of land for irrigation (S.L.I) were formulated. The solutions of the models for Crop water need for Soya beans and Rice, and the size of land for irrigation (S.L.I) of the two crops was obtained. We fill the gap by considering the size of the irrigation land which is not considered by the Food and Agriculture Organization (F.A.O). The computational Method of solutions is carried out to get effective results. The climatic data of the study area (Bida Basin) under which our research is based includes: Rainfall, Humidity, Sunshine hours, minimum and maximum temperature, evapotranspiration were secondary data collected from Nigeria Metrological Society (NIMET). We compared the results of CROPWAT 8.0 software developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (F.A. O) and our computational method so that we can arrive at a new finding and better results. The results for the computational method with the size of Land for irrigation shows that there is an increase in crop water need for the crops than the results of CROPWAT 8.0 software developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (F.A. O) in which the size for the land is not considered. We therefore, recommended that the integral calculus can be used to estimate the irregular shape of the size of the land if the land shape is not in rectangular form before solutions are given for accuracy and effective results. DOI:10.46481/jnsps.2021.149 Keywords: Bida Basin, Crop water Coefficient, Evapotranspiration Article History : Received: 01 February 2021 Received in revised form: 01 March 2021 Accepted for publication: 07 June 2021 Published:29 November 2021 c©2021 Journal of the Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences. All rights reserved. Communicated by: O. J. Abimbola 1. Introduction Bida Basin lies in the sedimentary terrain of the middle part of Nigeria. It has an area of coverage of about 27,000 km2. The area falls under the middle climatic belt which is mainly tropi- cal with an average rainfall of about 1250m. We are therefore considering the crop water need of Rice and Soya Bean on the aquifer of two lithological groups: unconfined and semi - con- fined aquifer in our selected study area. Email address: m.shehu@futminna.edu.ng (Z. A. Ishaq) Cropwat 8.0 software is software developed by Food and Agri- cultural Organisation (F.A.O), used to evaluate farmer’s irriga- tions, irrigation practices and to estimate crop performance un- der both rainfall and irrigated condition. Our computational method is used as a tool to solve the models and obtain the so- lutions to get effective results. The weakness of the cropwat 8.0 software developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (F.A.O) is that the irrigator farmers do not know the size of the Land the results of the software is given as the size of land for irrigation (S.L.I) is not considered by the cropwat 8.0 software 354 Abdulrahim et al. / J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 355 and we fill the gap by considering the size of land for irrigation. Many irrigation farmers faced the challenges of what the crop water need of irrigation crops would be before embarking on irrigation water planning. This research aims are to develop a mathematical model for crop water need problems and deter- mine the exact amount of water need for Rice and Soya beans crops by considering the size of the land and shape. Our ob- jective is to use Cropwat 8.0 software developed by the Food and Agricultural Organisation (F.A.O) and our computational method to determine the crop water need of two crops and com- pared the two results to unravel crop water need problems. Irrigated Agriculture in South Africa has not been profitable over the years. Even though, it is the highest user of total con- sumptive water [1]. Its economic returns have not been im- pressive. The sustainable management of irrigation water re- sources is therefore, a necessity. A common procedure for es- timating crop water use is to first determine the daily reference crop Evapotranspiration (ET0) and then multiply it by a spe- cific crop coefficient(Kc), as given by the Food and Agriculture Organisation [2]. [3] determine the crop water requirements for Maize in Ab- shege Woreda, Gurage zone in Ethiopia, they determine crop water requirement which is the major food crop of the area, they used the climatological records of Sunshine, maximum and minimum temperature, humidity and wind speed were used as secondary data. Penman - Monteith method was used and crop water requirement was estimated using CROPWAT 8.0 the results show that a Maize variety with a growing period of 140 days to maturity would require 423 mm depth of water, while 101mm of water would be required as supplementary irrigation. [4] came up with a quantitative analysis of hydraulic interac- tion process in the stream – aquifer systems. It revealed both the theoretical and laboratory tests have demonstrated that, the hydraulic connectedness of the stream aquifer system can reach a critical disconnection state. [5] researched on the crop water requirement for Agriculture in a typical River Basin of India. The results show the crop wa- ter requirements is much below the available rainfall and even available groundwater at various location of the river basin, the crop water requirement is required to be increased by increas- ing the crop production with multiple crops and by using more Agriculture land for crop production. With these, there is a need to develop a Mathematical model for solving crop water need with the specific land size. [6] develop estimating aquifer hydraulic properties in Bida Basin Central Nigeria, using the Empirical method. He determined aquifer properties such as hydraulic conductivity, porosity and effective porosity, and co- efficient of uniformity. [7] the understanding of crop water need becomes necessary, as it enables efficient use of water and bet- ter irrigation practices like scheduling as the supply of water through rainfall is limited in these areas. [8] Carried out a study to determine the crop water need of few selected crops for the commanded area, the outcomes of the study are capable of planners of the water resources for future planning and helps save water in satisfying the crop water need. [9] Cropwat 8.0 software helps irrigator planner in allocating the water resources in the future. 2. Mathematical Model for Crop Water requirement. 2.0.1. Metrological Data To calculate this, the respective climatic data was collected from the Nigeria meteorological station. The data used for ET0 com- putation was the meteorological data obtained from the station; for instance, minimum and maximum temperatures (C), wind speed in km per day, the relative humidity (maximum and min- imum, in %) and the hours of sunshine, and the physical data such as altitude, latitude and longitude. The climatic records obtained were then adjusted into the format accepted by CROP- WAT 8.0. The rainfall data collection was also obtained from the meteorological station. Rainfall records from a range of years (10–15) were collected to allow for a calculation of Crop water need. 2.0.2. Soil Data The data utilized on the soil characteristics were acquired through laboratory soil analyses done on the soil samples collected. Af- ter the collection of all these data, it was entered into the CROP- WAT 8.0 program and saved. Crop and irrigation water needs were then calculated using the model for the majorly observed high - value crops including Rice and Soya Bean. The weakness of the Crop water need developing by the food and Agricultural Organisation (F.O.A) is that the results for the amount of water need for crops are given without the size of the land, thus. The size of land for irrigation have to consider. 2.1. Mathematical Derivation of Reference Crop Water Need. Considering an energy balance at the earth surface equates all incoming and outgoing energy flux. The following governing equation is considered; Rn = H + λE + G (1) Where Rn=energy flux density net incoming radiation (w/m2) H= flux density of latent heat into the air(w/m2) λE= flux density into the water body (w/m2) G = heat flux density into the water body (w/m2) λ= the latent heat of vaporization of water E = the vapour flux density in kg/m2 s Where H = C1 (T s − Ta) ra (2) and λE = C2 (es − ed ) ra (3) where, C1, C2= Constant T s= temperature at a certain height above the surface (k pa) ea= Prevailing vapour pressure at the same height as Ta (k pa) ra= aerodynamic diffusion resistance. Applying the similarity of transport heat and water vapour, we have a Bowen ration yield as; H λE = C1(T s − Ta) C2(es − ed ) (4) 355 Abdulrahim et al. / J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 356 Equation (4) becomes; H λE = γ ( T s − Ta es − ed ) (5) C1 C2 = γ } (6) γ = C pρa λε (7) making C p the subject of the relation in (7) we have: C p = γλε ρa (8) where, ρa = Pa TvkR (9) where, Tkv = the virtual temperature R = specific gas constant ρa = mean air density at constant pressure kgm−3 C p = specific heat at constant pressure mj k/g/ 0C Equation (7) is referred to as Psychometric constant (k pa/oC) In determining the surface Temperature, we considered the Pen- man - Monteith equation which is given as es − ea = ∆(T s − Ta) (10) From equation (10) T s − Ta = es − ea ∆ (11) Substituting equation (11) into equation (5), we have: H λE = γ ∆ ( es − ea es − ed ) (12) Replacing es − eaby es − ed − ea + ed H λE = γ ∆ ( 1 − ea − ed es − ed ) (13) Considering isothermal evaporation λEa given as: λEa = C2 es − ed ra (14) Setting λ = 1in equation (14) ,then Ea = C2 es − ed ra (15) replacing C2 by ερa p in equation (15) we have: Ea = ερa p ( es − ed ra ) (16) Dividing equation (16) by equation (3) we have: Ea E = (ea − ed ) (es − ed ) (17) Substituting equation (17) into equation (12) we have: H λE = γ ∆ ( 1 − Ea E ) (18) Replacing E by ET0in equation (18) and make H the subject of relation, we have: H = λγET0 ∆ ( 1 − Ea ET0 ) (19) Substitute equation (19) for H in equation (1) and simplify, we have: ET0 = 1 λ (Rn − G) ∆ + γEa ∆ + γ (20) where, ET0=open water evaporation rate (kg/m2) ∆= proportionality constant (k pa/oc) Rn= net radiation (J/kg) γ= Psychometric constant (k pa/oc) Ea= isothermal evaporation rate (kg/m2 s) The term 1 λ (Rn−G)∆ ∆+γ in equation (20) is called radiation term The term γEa ∆+γ in equation (20) is called aerodynamic term Substitute equation (7) and (16) into equation (20). Simplifying further to obtain ET0 = 1 λ ( (Rn − G)∆ + C pρa ra (es − ed ) ) (γ + ∆) (21) where, ε= ration of molecular masses of water vapour and dry air (-) pa= density of moist air (kg/m3) ρa= atmospheric pressure (kpa) cp=Specific heat of dry air at constant pressure (J/Kg.k) Considering vapour diffusion rate then equation (16) is express as: Ea = εpa pa . ea − ed ra = εpa pa ea − ed rc = εpa pa e0 − ed rc + ra (22) Then, εpa pa ea − ed ra = εpa pa e0 − ed rc + ra (23) Simplifying equation (23) we have: ea − ed =  e0 − ed1 + rcra  (24) where, Ea= Isothermal evapotranspiration rate from canopy eo= Internal saturated vapour pressure at (cpa) ea= Saturated vapour pressure at the leaf surface ed = Vapour pressure in the external air ra= aerodynamic resistance (s/m) rc= Canopy diffusion resistance (s/m) Substitute equation (24) into equation (20) we have: ET0 = 1 λ ( (Rn − G)∆ + C pρa ra e0 − ed ) ∆ + γ ( 1 + rcra ) (25) 356 Abdulrahim et al. / J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 357 Let γ ( 1 + rc ra ) = γ∗ (26) then equation (25) becomes: ET0 = 1 λ ( (Rn − G)∆ + C pρa ra e0 − ed ) ∆ + γ∗ (27) where, ETo=evaporation rate from dry surface (kg/m2 s) γ∗ = Modified Psychometric constant (k pa/oc) Substitute equations (8) and (9) into equation (27) we have; ET0 = 1 λ ( (Rn − G)∆ + γελ Pa Pa Tvk R ra e0 − ed ) ∆ + γ∗ (28) Simplifying equation (28) we have: ET0 = ( 1 λ (Rn − G)∆ + γε ra Tvk R e0 − ed ) ∆ + γ∗ (29) ra can be expressed as: ra = ln (zm−d)zom ln (zh−d) zoh k2u2 = ln [ 2−0.08 0.01476 ] ln [ 2−0.08 0.001476 ] (0.41)2 u2 = 208 u2 (30) with the following standard values: d = 0.67h, zom = 0.123h, and zov = 0.120m, k = 0.41, h = 0.12. (31) where Z = height at which wind speed is measured (m) d = displacement height (m) zom = roughness length for momentum (m) zov = roughness length for water vapour (m) K = Von Karman Constant equal 0.41 u2= wind speed measure at height (m/s) Tkv =the virtual temperature R =specific gas constant ρa = mean air density at constant pressure kgm−3 C p = specific heat at constant pressure m j kg−1 0C−1 From equation (30) we have: C pρa ra = γε raTvkR = (86400)(0.622)γλ (Ta + 273)(0.287)(208) u2 = γ 900 Ta + 273 u2 (32) with the following standard values: ra = (208)u2, Tvk = (Ta + 273), R = (0.287) (33) From equation (30) we have: 1 λ = 1 2.45 = 0.408 (34) with standard value of λ = 2.45 from equation (27) γ∗ = γ ( 1 + rc ra ) (35) we let, rc = ri LAIactive = 100(0.5)(24)(0.12) = 70sm −1 (36) Substituting equation (31) and (37) into equation (27), we have; γ∗ = γ (1 + 0.34u2) (37) Substitute equation (31), (33), (37) and (38) into equation (30) we have: ET0 = 0.408∆(Rn − G) + γ 900 T a+273 u2(e0 − ed ) ∆ + γ(1 + 0.34u2) (38) 2.2. Mathematical Formulation of Crop Coefficient Considering crop coefficient, we let: Kcb tab= is the value for (Kcb)mid or (Kcb)end Ke = Kr (Kc − Kcb) (39) Simplifying the equation, we have Kc = Ke + Kcb (40) where, Kr = 1 (41) Ke = soil evaporation coefficient Kcb = Basal crop coefficient kc= crop coefficient value of Kc following rain or irrigation Kr = Dimensionless evaporation reduction coefficient depen- dent on the cumulative depth of water depleted (evaporated) from the top so 2.3. Mathematical Formulation of Irrigated Area of Land (Ai) We consider the Area of the irrigated land as a rectangular sur- face; Let L = length of the farm B = Breadth of the farm l = length of the spacing on the farmland b = breadth of the spacing on the farmland The spacing area of the farm land is considered to be; lb = ( LB Pn ) N (42) where, Pn = number of plants on the farmland. N = number of seeds per stand. 357 Abdulrahim et al. / J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 358 Table 1. The comparison of result Cropwat 8.0 software and the computational method for Rice Crops Month ETo(F.A.O) ETo Kc (FAO) Kc ETcwn (FAO) ETcwnMm Ai (F.A.O) Ai Hectares November 4.44 4.92 4.27 3.93 1689 9571 Nill 569 December 4.45 4.32 3.3 3.12 1515 6721 Nill 569 January 4.42 4.25 4.4 3.67 1521 1826 Nill 569 February 4.73 4.21 3.24 3.84 1431 1646 Nill 569 March 5.17 4.08 5.2 1.29 7560 627 Nill 569 Table 2. The comparison of result Cropwat 8.0 software and the computational method for Soya Bean MONTH ET0F.A,O ET0 Kc F.A.O Kc= Kcb + Ke ETcwnF.A.O ETcwn Ai F.A.O Ai November 4.44 4.33 0.8 0.23 19.6 12.7 Nill 569 December 4.45 4.32 2.47 0.3 114.4 128 Nill 569 January 4.42 4.25 3.18 0.82 146.5 347 Nill 569 February 4.73 4.08 1.14 1.64 36.7 666 Nill 569 Also, loss of plants on two adjacent rows is; S = ( L l + B b + I ) N (43) The accurate plant population formula becomes: Pn = ( lb LB ) N + S (44) Substitute (43) into (44) which further simplified to; Pn= ( LB + Lb + lB + lbI lb ) N (45) Furthermore, LB = lbPn − (Lb + lB + lbI) (46) Replacing LBwith Ai; then Ai = lbPn − (Lb + lB + lbI) (47) Where; Ai = irrigated area of land. ETcwn = ET0 × Kc × Ai (48) Where, ETcwn =crop water need ET0 =reference crop evapotranspiration Kc =crop water coefficient Ai =crop irrigated area Combining equation (39), (41) and (48), the crop water need equation becomes; ETcwn = ( 0.408∆(Rn−G)+γ 900 T a+273 u2 (es−ea ) ∆+γ(1+0.34u2 ) ) × (Kcb + Ke) × (lbPn − (Lb + lB + lbI)) (49) 3. Result and Discussion Table 4.1 shows the comparison of the result analysis of the outcome of Cropwat 8.0 Software developed by F.A.O and the computational method for Rice irrigation crop water needs, reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and crop coefficient (Kc) in Bida Basin Irrigation Sites. It is observed from the table that, reference evapotranspiration (ETo) results in computational method is decreasing as the dry season is biting harder, this would en- able the irrigator farmers to know the quantity of water need for crops provided the size of the land is known. while it alter- nates in Cropwat 8.0 Software results developed by F.A.O. the crop coefficient (Kc) results in our computational method main- tains the same behaviour except in March where we have 1.29 (Kc) this is due to the harvesting period which is when crops need little or no water, comparing to Cropwat 8.0 Software de- veloped by F.A.O which is 5.2 (Kc) in march. The crop water needs result in computing method is higher than the Cropwat 8.0 Software developed by F.A.O, this is own to the fact that the quantity of crop water need in each month of the dry season is known to the irrigator farmers within the available land size of 569 hectares Table 4.2 shows the comparison of the result analysis of the outcome of Cropwat 8.0 Software developed by F.A.O and the computational method for Soya Bean irrigation crop water needs, reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and crop coefficient (Kc) in Bida Basin Irrigation Sites. It is observed from the table that the crop (Soya Bean) is grown from November to February which is four months, the crop water need (ETcwn) in our com- putational method is greater than crop water need (ETcwn) in the cropwat 8.0 software, this is own to the fact that the size of the Land for irrigation is considered in the former method. The reference evapotranspiration (ETo) results in our computational method are closer to that of cropwat 8.0 Software results de- veloped by F.A.O. The crop coefficient (Kc) results in our com- putational method maintain the same behaviour which shows that the crops need little or no water during their harvesting pe- riod. The crop water needs result in our computational method is higher than the Cropwat 8.0 Software developed by F.A.O. The challenges of crop water need (ETcwn) faced by the irriga- tor farmers can be unraveled if the size of the land for irrigation and plant population is known. 358 Abdulrahim et al. / J. Nig. Soc. Phys. Sci. 3 (2021) 354–359 359 4. Conclusion The Penman - Monteith Mathematical model for the crop wa- ter need and Mathematical model for the size of land for ir- rigation were solved and the results obtained are compared to CROPWAT 8.0 software results, the climatic data of the study area (Bida Basin) under which our research is based which in- clude: Rainfall, Humidity, minimum and maximum tempera- ture, evapotranspiration were collected from NIMET and used for the both CROPWAT 8.0 software and the computational method so that comparative analysis can be made from the two methods. Our computational method results show that crop wa- ter need for crops can better be estimated if the size of the land for irrigation is considered. The irrigator Farmers can inextri- cably know of the estimated crop water need for a given size of the Land before commencing irrigation exercise. 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