Atlantis Press Journal style


Editor’s Introduction 
 
In risk society, we need more knowledge and innovations to understand complicated questions. In the present issue of 
Journal of Risk analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR), Volume 4, issue 2 (2014), such efforts have been embodied in 
these papers.  

Lotfi A. Zadeh, Creator of Fuzzy Logic, brings us a new concept in his paper “The Crisis of Undercoordination”. He 
views the debt crisis of 2008 as an eruption of the crisis of undercoordination. The paper analyses the crisis of 
undercoordination in democratic societies due to that there is an imbalance between interdependence and 
coordination/regulation.  We believe that the note will become a new masterpiece by Zadeh as his another note “What is 
Soft Computing”, published in 1997. 

In the paper “Multiple Internet of Intelligences for Risk Analysis”, Chongfu Huang designs a multiple Internet of 
Intelligences to process homological information that is employed to answer a question of an insurance company about 
the typhoon dynamic risk in Wenzhou, China. On the website, the fuzzy mathematics method of normal diffusion is 
suggested to transform the summaries into fuzzy sets so that a satisfactory answer to the question is given. 

The third paper “Construction of Dynamic Risk Maps for Large Metropolitan Areas” by E.S. Guryev, L.V. Poluyan and 
S.A. Timashev, describes a methodology used for constructing dynamic risk map for a virtual large “Russian Gotham-
RG” city. The methodology for constructing individual risk maps is an important and useful tool for providing insight 
into every decision made by the decision making persons that govern the large metropolitan areas. 

In the paper “Volatility Forecasting in Financial Risk Management with Statistical Models and ARCH-RBF Neural 
Networks”, Dusan Marcek and Lukas Falat, investigate the volatility dynamics of EUR/GBP currency. This paper 
suggests the ARCH-RBF model that combines information from ARCH with RBF neural network for volatility 
forecasting. It also uses a large number of statistical models as well as different optimization techniques for RBF 
network such as genetic algorithms or clustering. Both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts are evaluated using 
appropriate evaluation measures. 

Milík Tichý discusses risk concepts in paper “Analogies in Entity Risk Mechanics”. He analyses the basic analogies 
between load-subjected structures and hazard-exposed companies. Important analogies can be identified in various 
specific concepts, e.g., in size effect, instability, fatigue, and in many others.  

The last paper“Parts of Speech of AnQuan” by Ming Xu, Zongzhi Wu and Yun Luo is written in Chinese with an English 
abstract. The authors propose a recommendation on revising the parts of speech of AnQuan in the Chinese dictionary, 
namely, increasing the interpretation of AnQuan in case of that it is a noun for the demand of application and research in 
domestic and facilitating international convenient communication and learning. 

Many thanks to referees for their careful reading and commenting, which led our journal to have quality manuscripts. 
And very much thanks to the authors for all their submissions.  

 
Editor-in-Chief 

Chongfu Huang 
Professor, Beijing Normal University 

Email: hchongfu@bnu.edu.cn 
 

Director of Editorial Department 
Junxiang Zhang  

Associate Professor, Huangshan University 
 Email: peonyzjx@126.com 

Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, Vol. 4, No. 2 (June 2014), 58

Published by Atlantis Press 
Copyright: the authors 

58

mailto:hchongfu@bnu.edu.cn