Jtam.dvi JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED MECHANICS 3, 39, 2001 STOCHASTIC RELIABILITY IN CONTACT PROBLEMS FOR COMPOSITES WITH SPHERICAL PARTICLES Marcin Kamiński Division of Mechanics of Materials, Technical University of Łódź e-mail: marcin@kmm-lx.p.lodz.pl The application of the stochastic perturbation technique in the classical Hertz contact problemof a compositewith spherical particle is presented in the paper. The perturbation approach is used in conjunctionwith the Weibull-Second Order Third Moment (W-SOTM) reliability model in numerical analysis of the composite. All computational experiments are carried out using symbolic computation packageMAPLE, thatmakes it possible to visualize the deterministic sensitivity gradients as well as to show probabilisticmoments of contact stresses. The entire methodology can be applied to analytical solutions of contact problems with a more complicated contact surface geometry and, on the other hand, to com- putational implementation in the Finite or Boundary Element Method programs for simulations of some contact phenomena. Key words: reliability analysis, contact problems, composite materials, stochastic perturbationmethod 1. Introduction Usually, contact problems are formulated for homogeneous bodies, but in general, they are very important for composites as well. Contact stresses can be analyzed in the case of composites reinforced with spherical particles and particles with a more general shape such as ellipsoidal or paraboloidal one, for instance. Moreover, contact problems in composites can be analyzed to simulate delamination effects or interface defects between various components in the laminates andfiber-reinforcedcomposites.As it canbeexpected, contact stresses dependon interrelations betweenmaterial properties of the contacting composite components. The analysis is definitelymore complicated in the case of a randomly definedmaterial and/or geometrical parameters – not only the 540 M.Kamiński expected values, but also higher order probabilistic moments can be decisive for the final results of the contact problem. At the same time, significant progress is being observed in the field of sto- chastic mechanics (see Grigoriu, 2000). Probabilistic numerical experiments with Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) (see Kamiński, 2001; Kleiber and Hien, 1992) and with Stochastic Finite Element Method (SFEM) (see Kleiber and Hien, 1992; Liu et al., 1986) prove that usually the second order perturba- tion analysis is exact enough, while the second probabilisticmoment approach is not satisfactory, considering the fact that in most cases the third order (skewness) parameters differ from 0. Additionally, the stochastic perturba- tion method gives essential computation time savings in comparison with the MCStechnique and the stochastic spectralmodeling (seeGhanemandSpanos, 1992, 1997). Furthermore, even if a Gaussian random variable is very precise- ly digitally simulated, the third order probabilistic moments and coefficients slightly differ from 0. That is why, the SecondOrder ThirdMoment (SOTM) stochastic analysis is proposed below, in addition to the reliability study of contact problems based on the Weibull probability density function (PDF). It should be underlined that the Weibull probability density function is fre- quently used in probabilistic analysis of fracture phenomena in homogeneous structures and composites (see Beyerlein and Phoenix, 1997; Lund, 1998). On the other hand, it is known that the reliability analysis has beenmode- led using the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) and the Second Order Reliability Method (SORM) (see Brandt et al., 1984; Ghanem and Spanos, 1992). These approaches do not enable one to include the influence of the third order probabilistic characteristics, necessary for the Weibull statistics, and that is why the Third Order Reliability Method (TORM) is proposed on the basis of the SOTM stochastic perturbation method. To illustrate the entire approach, the stochastic perturbation reliability analysis of a linear elastic contact is carried out for a composite reinforced with spherical particles. Since the solution for the deterministic problem is knownandhas beenworked out analytically, the probabilistic analysis ismade using symbolic computations package MAPLE (see Char et al., 1992). Com- putations of the reliability limit function and probabilistic moments of the contact stresses as well as some numerical sensitivity studies together with visualization of all computed functions are carried out by the use of this pac- kage. This methodology can be successfully applied to randomization of all contact problems in reliability studies, where contact stresses are described by the closed form equations. Otherwise, computational implementations of theStochasticFinite (seeBuczkowski andKleiber, 1999) orBoundaryElement Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 541 Method (seeBurczyński, 1995) are to bemade in order to get general approxi- mative probabilistic solutions to contact problemsof composites. Furthermore, theW-SOTMnumerical approach to the stochastic reliability, stochastic con- tact modeling and related aspect of analytical computations can be applied and explored in various areas of modern engineering, especially in the field of composite materials (see Fish, 1999). 2. Contact problem of a particle reinforced composite Let us consider a contact phenomenon between two linear elastic isotropic regions characterized by the Young’s moduli E1, E2 and Poisson’s ratios ν1, ν2. Let us assume that the regions have spherical shapes with radii R1 and R2, respectively, and that the contact is considered at the point C, as it is shown in Fig.1. A 3D view of the particle-reinforced composite plane cross-section is shown in Fig.2. Fig. 1. Geometry of contact surface Let us observe that the contact problem is axisymmetric with respect to the vertical axis introduced at the center of a spherical particle and at the bottom of this sphere (Fig.1). It is assumed that there is no pressure between the composite constituents and, therefore, the contact appears only at the point C. The distance between the points on the contacting surfaces and the plane transverse to the vertical axis of both surfaces is assumed to be small and can be described, according to Timoshenko and Goodier (1951), as z2−z1 = r2(R1−R2) 2R1R2 (2.1) 542 M.Kamiński Fig. 2. 3D cross-section view of particle-reinforced composite where r denotes the distance between the points M, N and the symmetry axis introduced at C. If the composite components are loaded by the vertical force P acting along the vertical axis at the point C, then some local strains are induced in the neighborhood of this point. They are a result of the contact phenomenon on a small circular surface (contact area). Assuming that the radii R1 and R2 of the composite constituents are sufficiently greater than the radius of the contact area, then the results of the Bussinesq problem of a linear elastic halfspace loaded by a concentrated force can be adopted here (see Timoshenko and Goodier, 1951). For this purpose let us denote by w1 the vertical displacement induced by the local vertical strain of the point M belonging to the matrix; and by w2 – the corresponding displacement of the point N in the vertical direction. Finally, assuming that the tangential plane at the point C remains unmovable during local compression, the close-up of the two points M and N can be expressed by some real η as η=α− (w1+w2)= r2(R1−R2) 2R1R2 (2.2) If M and N belong to the contact area, their displacements wi for i=1,2 can be written as (see Timoshenko and Goodier, 1951) wi = 1−ν2i πEi ∫∫ q dsdϕ (2.3) which follows the symmetry of the pressure intensity q and the corresponding local strains with respect to the vertical axis at the point C. The integration is carried out over the entire contact surface, therefore (k1+k2) ∫∫ q dsdϕ=α− r2(R1−R2) 2R1R2 (2.4) Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 543 where k1 and k2 can be obtained from Eq. (2.3). Now, we are looking for such an expression for q, so that the above equation could be fulfilled. It can be obtained for the pressure distribution on the contact surface represented by the coordinates of a hemisphere with the radius a constructed on that surface. If q0 is taken as the pressure at the point C, then one can show that ∫ q ds= qo a A (2.5) where A= π a (a2−r2 sin2ϕ) (2.6) what gives π(k1+k2)q0 a π 2 ∫ 0 (a2−r2 sin2ϕ) dϕ=α− r2(R1−R2) 2R1R2 (2.7) Finally, the parameters a and α can be found as a= 3 √ 3π 4 P(k1+k2)R1R2 R1−R2 (2.8) α= 3 √ 9π2 16 P2(k1+k2) 2(R1−R2) R1R2 which gives the maximal pressure on the contact surface q= 3P 2πa2 (2.9) Then, the normal stress can be defined as σz =− a ∫ 0 3qr dr z3(r2+z2) −5 2 = q [ −1+z3(a2+z2) 3 2 ] (2.10) Let us note that the shear stresses are equal to 0, which results from the spherical symmetryof the reinforcingparticle, however in thecase of ellipsoidal reinforcement the shear stresses differ from 0 (see Timoshenko and Goodier, 1951). Themain purpose of further analysis is to determine probabilistic charac- teristics of themaximal contact stresses as well as contact surface geometrical 544 M.Kamiński parameters. Since the spherical particle surrounding thematrix is considered, let us assume that the difference R1−R2 is smaller than R2. This parameter is treated as the input design parameter in further sen- sitivity analysis. The characteristics mentioned above are necessary in final stochastic reliability computations and, considering complexity of equations describing the reliability parameters, the second order stochastic perturbation method is proposed. 3. Stochastic perturbation approach Let H be some Hilbert’s space defined on the domain D with the real values set R. Let (Ω,σ,P) denote the probability space, x∈D and θ ∈ Ω, while Θ : Ω → R. Let us consider the differential operator L(x;θ) defined on the product H×Θ, whose coefficients exhibit random fluctuations with respect to some independent variables. The random coefficients of the diffe- rential operator are restricted to be second order random processes. Then, we illustrate the stochastic second order third central probabilistic moment approach using a solution to the following equation L(x;ω)u(x;ω)= f(x;ω) (3.1) being amathematical description of a physical problem.The randomresponse of the system is denoted here by u(x;ω), while its admissible excitation by f(x;ω). As it is known, analytical solutions to such a class of partial differential equations are available for some specific cases only, and that is why a general methodof extending such solutionswouldbeverypowerful.Variousmathema- tical methods can be proposed here, some of them are listed by Ghanem and Spanos (1997), Kleiber and Hien (1992), however, in this paper, the second order perturbation third central probabilisticmoment approach is applied (see Peng et al., 1998). The second order perturbation follows a traditional appro- ach in this area (and the lack of convergence studieswith respect to theTaylor expansion order). The third probabilistic momentmethod reflects the need of modeling of unsymmetric random variables. Let us denote for this purpose the vector of input random fields by {br(x;ω)} and its probability density by p(br) and p(br,bs) respectively, where r,s= 1,2, ...,R are indices of the random variables. Then, the expec- Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 545 ted value of br is defined as E[br] = +∞ ∫ −∞ brp(br) dbr (3.2) and the covariance as Cov(br,bs)= +∞ ∫ −∞ +∞ ∫ −∞ (br−E[br])(bs−E[bs])p(br,bs) dbrdbs (3.3) Next, the skewness parameter S(ui) is calculated S(u)= 1 σ3(u) +∞ ∫ −∞ (u−E[u])3pR(b) db (3.4) In further applications, the Weibull distribution is used with the probability density function defined as pR =      β λ (x−x λ )β−1 exp [ − (x−x λ )β] for x>x 0 for x 0 lim n→∞ n!nx−1 x(x+1)(x+2)...(x+n−1) for x∈R (4.9) It should bementioned that approach based on the symbolic computations is themost efficientmethodof solving these equations andof computingprobabi- listic parameters of the equivalentWeibull distribution. Finally, the structural reliability index R of the limit function g is calculated from the following formula R(g)= exp [ − ( − x(g) β(g) )λ(g)] (4.10) Values of this index should behave like the classical probability index, i.e. be greater or equal to 0 and less or equal to 1. 550 M.Kamiński 5. Computational experiments Computational experiments are conducted by the use of system MAPLE for symbolic computations (seeChar et al., 1992), where the stochastic second order perturbation method in W-SOTM reliability analysis of contact pro- blems has been implemented. The entire analysis is divided into three groups of essentially various numerical examples: 1. Deterministic analysis and sensitivity study (see Haug et al., 1986) of a contact problemwith respect to the vertical spatial coordinate 2. Numericalmodeling by randomizingmost of the input parameters based on the stochastic second order perturbation 3. Stochastic reliability modeling according to the Weibull Second Order ThirdMoment approach (see Peng et al., 1998). 5.1. Example 1: Deterministic sensitivity of contact problem in a com- posite Deterministic analysis and sensitivity of contact stresses in a two compo- nent composite with spherical particles is verified with respect to the verti- cal spatial coordinate. The following data are adopted for the computational analysis: E2 = 2.0 · 10 9, ν1 = 0.3, ν2 = 0.2, R2 = 0.18, P = 10.0 · 10 5, α=E1/E2 =2.0, β=R1/R2 =1.001−1.01. Fig. 3. Contact stresses in the spherical particle-reinforced composite Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 551 Fig. 4. Sensitivity of contact stresses to vertical spatial coordinate z The computational analysis of the vertical contact stresses and their sen- sitivity gradients dσz/dz with respect to the spatial coordinate is presented in Fig.3 and Fig.4, this coordinate and the radii ratio β are marked on the vertical axes of these figures.We observe that the compressive contact stresses aremost sensitive to the parameter β for its value tending to ∞ (progressive separation of the reinforcing particle from the surroundingmatrix).Moreover, it is visible that the results is quite nonsensitive with respect to the vertical coordinate zwhat cannot bepredicted fromthedefinition of σz, cf Eq.(2.10). One of the main benefits flowing from making use of the package MAPLE is visualization of variations of the stresses and their sensitivity gradients, which can be studied in these figures. 5.2. Example 2: Stochastic modeling of the contact phenomenon All the input parameters of the analyzed contact problem are now treated as random variables: Young’s moduli and Poisson’s ratios of the composite components as well as their radii. The deterministically calculated vertical stresses in the contact area are compared below with the expected values, standard deviations and probabilistic envelope values of the vertical contact stresses for z=0.018 and z=−0.5. The standard deviations of the variables are taken in the range of 10% of the corresponding expectations; all variables are assumed to be uncorrelated. The computed deterministic contact stresses are shown in Fig.5, Fig.9, 552 M.Kamiński Fig. 5. Deterministic contact stresses; z=0.018 Fig. 6. Expected values of contact stresses; z=0.018 Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 553 Fig. 7. Standard deviations of contact stresses; z=0.018 Fig. 8. Probabilistic envelope of contact stresses; z=0.018 554 M.Kamiński Fig. 9. Deterministic contact stresses; z=−0.5 Fig. 10. Expected values of contact stresses; z=−0.5 Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 555 Fig. 11. Standard deviations of contact stresses; z=−0.5 Fig. 12. Probabilistic envelope of contact stresses; z=−0.5 556 M.Kamiński Fig. 13. Deterministic contact stresses; z=−2.0 Fig. 14. Expected values of contact stresses; z=−2.0 Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 557 Fig. 15. Standard deviations of contact stresses; z=−2.0 Fig. 16. Probabilistic envelope of contact stresses; z=−2.0 558 M.Kamiński Fig.13 for the particle center z = 0.018, for some point belonging to the matrix z = −0.5 and z = −2.0, respectively. The expected values of the contact stresses are shown in Fig.6, Fig.10, Fig.14 for the same points, the standarddeviations are shown inFig.7, Fig.11, Fig.15,while the probabilistic envelopes for the surfaces of these stresses are presented in Fig.8, Fig.12 and Fig.16. The vertical contact stresses are marked on the vertical axes; the horizontal axes define the reinforcement ratio of the composite α and the ratio between theparticle and the surroundingmatrix radii β. All the surfaces shown in these figures have the same character and variability with respect to the input parameters α and β, apart from the standard deviations plots. Analyzing Figures 5, 6, 9, 10, 13 and 14, it can be seen that the expected values of the contact stress surfaces are quite close to those obtained from the corresponding deterministic analyses. Essential differences are observed betweenFigures 5-8, 9-12 and13-16, where the probabilistic envelopes of these stresses are shown. These envelopes are determined for a particular z on the basis of the results presented in Figures 6, 7, 10, 11, 14 and 15 as Env ( f(z);z ) =E[f(z);z]−3σ ( f(z);z ) (5.1) Let us note that Eq. (5.1) is frequently used in Stochastic Finite Element computations and stochastic fatigue analysis (see Liu et al., 1986). The values of the probabilistic envelope surfaces are significantly smaller than the corre- sponding values obtained from deterministic analysis, which means that the computational analysis based on the stochastic perturbation in more restric- tive than that of the classical model. The same concerns the corresponding expected values. All the surfaces combined in the probability envelope show that the vertical stresses tend to 0 for the reinforcement ratio approaching 1 and the matrix assuming the radius of the spherical particle. Comparing the deterministic and stochastic results, one can clearly see that the contact stres- ses are most sensitive to the vertical spatial coordinate. Analyzing Figures 5-8, 10-12 and 14-16 in terms of variations of the con- tact stresses with respect to the composite reinforcement ratio, it is observed that the greatest sensitivity appears for α → 1, which means that the gre- atest variations of the examined probabilistic stresses are obtained for the homogeneous contact problem. The sensitivity analysis requires further nu- merical examinations aimed at interrelations between Poisson’s ratios of both composite components. 5.3. Example 3: Reliability analysis for the particle reinforced composite The computational study on structural reliability, proposed in the the- Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 559 oretical considerations, is the main subject of the next example. The set of input data together with their probabilistic characteristics is given in Table 1 for the same composite contact problem as before. The Weibull probability density function (PDF) of the limit function is determined together with its probabilistic moments of up to 3rd order (cf Table 1) obtained from symbolic computational solution to nonlinear equations system (4.8). Table 1.Probabilistic input data for reliability index computations Parameter Value E2 2.0 ·10 6 ν1 0.3 ν2 0.2 R2 1.8 P 5.0 ·102 z −0.018 σ(E2) 0.2 ·10 6 S(E2) 0.0 σ(R2) 0.018 S(R2) 0.0 σall −4.0 ·10 5 α(σall) 10.0 β(σall) 1.01 E[g] −211378.33 σ(g) 38213.61838 (α=0.18) S(g) 5.158577 First, it can be seen that even for a relatively small input coefficient of variation of the input parameters (not greater than 0.1), the randomness level of the output function is about 18% of the relevant expected value. That is why the proposed third moment approach is more accurate for the analyzed contact problem. Furthermore, we observe that even for the input skewnesses equal to 0, the corresponding third order probabilistic characteristics differ from 0, which reflects the differences in algebraic combinations of characteri- stics of lower order, cf Eq. (4.7). In further analysis it is necessary to verify 560 M.Kamiński the sensitivity (both in the deterministic and stochastic context, see Haug et al. (1986), Kleiber and Hien (1992)) of the outputWeibull PDF probabilistic momentswith respect to all inputmechanical and geometrical parameters and their random characteristics. At the same time, the cross-correlation function of the contact stresses Cov(σ(z1),σ(z2)) can be symbolically computed using the programMAPLE. 6. Conclusions • The above presented analysis reveals various sources of randomness and stochasticity in contact problemsof the spherical particle reinforced com- posites. In comparison to the second order second probabilistic moment approach, third order probabilistic moments of both input and output parameters are analyzed. It is demonstrated that even for the skewnesses of the inputs equal to 0, the output third order probabilisticmoments in reliability studies slightly differ from 0. It results from the main idea of the SOTM approach and from the interrelations between probabilistic characteristics of the lower order.Furthermore, it is observed that thede- terministic values of the state functions are quite close to the computed expected values. They are considerably greater and well approximated by their probabilistic envelopes, which confirms the usefulness of these envelopes in various stochastic numerical experiments. • Themost interesting extension of this study would be introducing: – randomness of non-spherical (ellipsoidal) contact surface – more realistic incremental Stochastic Finite or Boundary Element Method (SFEM, see Kamiński (2001), Kleiber and Hien, (1992) or SBEM, see Burczyński (1995), respectively) analysis of nonlinear geometry of the contacting surface, see Buczkowski and Kleiber (1999). • Application of the computational W-SOTM reliability study to various numerical analyses of composites would be interesting, too. Neglecting the relatively simple character of the deterministic contact problem, the geometrical sensitivity of the contact stresses values is decisive for this analysis, both in the deterministic and stochastic cases. Considering the above, one can conclude that the stochastic second order perturbation analysis in conjunction with mathematical symbolic computations is a Stochastic reliability in contact problems... 561 powerful stochastic computational tool. However, the limitations on the input randomness level, typical for such an analysis, must be fulfilled. References 1. Beyerlein I.J., Phoenix S.L., 1997, Statistics of Fracture for an Elastic Notched Composite Lamina Containing Weibull Fibers, Engng. Fract. Mech., 57, 2/3, 267-299 2. Brandt A., Jendo S., Marks W., 1984, Probabilistic Approach to Reliability-BasedOptimum Structural Design,Engng. Trans., 32, 1, 57-74 3. Buczkowski R., Kleiber M., 1999, A Stochastic Model of Rough Surfaces for Finite ElementContactAnalysis,Comput. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engng., 169, 43-59 4. Burczyński T., 1995, Boundary Element Method in Mechanics (in Polish), WNT, Warsaw 5. CharB.W., GeddesK.O., GonnetG.H., LeongB.L.,MonaganM.B., Watt S.M., 1992,First Leaves: ATutorial Introduction toMaple V, Springer- Verlag 6. Fish J., edit., 1999, Computational Advances in Modeling Composites and HeterogeneousMaterials,Comput. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engng., 172 7. GhanemR.G., Spanos P.D., 1997, Spectral Techniques for Stochastic Finite Elements,Arch. Comput. Meth. Engng., 4, 1, 63-100 8. Ghanem R.G., Spanos P.D., 1992, Spectral Stochastic Finite-Element For- mulation for Reliability Analysis, J. Engng. Mech. ASCE, 117, 10, 2351-2372 9. Grigoriu M., 2000, StochasticMechanics, Int. J. Sol. Struct., 37, 197-214 10. Haug E.J., Choi K.K., Komkov V., 1986, Design Sensitivity Analysis of Structural Systems, Ser. Math. Sci. Engng., Academic Press 11. Kamiński M., 2001, Stochastic Second Order Perturbation Approach to the Stress-Based Finite ElementMethod, Int. J. Sol. Struct., 38, 21, 3831-3852 12. Kleiber M., Hien T.D., 1992, Stochastic Finite Element Method, Wiley 13. LiuW.K.,BelytschkoT.,ManiA., 1986,ProbabilisticFinite Elements for Nonlinear Structural Dynamics,Comput. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engng., 56, 61-81 14. LundE., 1998, ShapeOptimizationUsingWeibull Statistics of Brittle Failure, Struct. Optimiz., 15, 208-214 562 M.Kamiński 15. Peng X.Q., Geng L., Liyan W., Liu G.R., Yam K.Y., 1998, A Stochastic FiniteElementMethod forFatigueReliabilityAnalysis ofGearTeethSubjected to Bending,Comput. Mech., 21, 253-261 16. TimoshenkoS.,GoodierS.N., 1951,Theory of Elasticity,McGraw-Hill, Inc. Stochastyczna analiza niezawodności w zagadnieniu kontaktowym kompozytu ze sferycznymi inkluzjami Streszczenie Tematem niniejszej pracy jest zastosowanie stochastycznej metody perturbacji w analizie niezawodności materiałów kompozytowych ze sferycznymi inkluzjami. W analizie tej wykorzystano stochastyczną metodę perturbacji drugiego rzędu uwzględniając momenty probabilistyczne rzędu trzeciego. Zastosowane podejście umożliwiło potraktowanie wybranych parametrów materiałowych i geometrycznych jako zmienne losowe i wyznaczenie wartości oczekiwanych oraz odchyleń standardo- wychnaprężeńkontaktowych.Obliczenianumerycznewykonanoprzypomocyprogra- mu matematycznego do obliczeń symbolicznych MAPLE. Dzięki jego zastosowaniu wykonano wizualizację wybranych elementów losowych, a także gradientów wrażli- wości naprężeń kontaktowych. Zaproponowane w pracy podejście można rozszerzyć na rozwiązania analityczne zagadnień kontaktowych o bardziej skomlikowanej geo- metrii, a także w odpowiednich implementacjach numerycznych Metody Elementów Skończonych lubMetody ElementówBrzegowych. Manuscript received February 8, 2001; accepted for print April 27, 2001