Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

40 
 

Prediction of Stem Biomass of Pinus caribaea Growing in the  

Low Country Wet Zone of Sri Lanka 
 

S.M.C.U.P. Subasinghe
1*

 and A.M.R. Harpriya
2 

 
1
Department of Forestry and Environmental Science, University of Sri Jayewardenepura,  

Sri Lanka 
2
Divisional Forest Office, Puttlam, Sri Lanka 

 

Date Received: 06-01-2013 Date Accepted: 22-01-2014 

Abstract 

Forests are important ecosystems as they reduce the atmospheric CO2 amounts and 

thereby control the global warming. Estimation of biomass values are vital to determine the 

carbon contents stored in trees. However, biomass estimation is not an easy task as the trees 

should be felled or uprooted which are time consuming and expensive procedures. As a solution 

to this problem, construction of mathematical relationships to predict biomass from easily 

measurable variables can be used. 
 

The present study attempted to construct a mathematical model to predict the stem 

biomass of Pinus caribaea using the data collected from a 26 year old plantation located in 

Yagirala Forest Reserve in the low country wet zone of Sri Lanka. Due to the geographical 

undulations of this forest, two 0.05 ha sample plots were randomly established in each of valley, 

slope and ridge-top areas. In order to construct the model, stem wood density values were 

calculated by using stem core samples extracted at the breast height point. Stem volume was 

estimated for each tree using Newton’s formula and the stem biomass was then estimated by 

converting the weight of the known volume of core samples to the weight of the stem volume. 

Prior to pool the data for model construction, the density variations along the stem and between 

geographical locations were also tested. 
 

It was attempted to predict the biomass using both dbh and tree height. Apart from the 

untransformed variables, four biologically acceptable transformations were also used for model 

construction to obtain the best model. All possible combinations of model structures were fitted 

to the data. The preliminary model selection for further analysis was done based on higher R
2
 

values and compatibility with the biological reality. Out of those preliminary selected models, the 

final selection was done using the average model bias and modeling efficiency quantitatively and 

using standard residual distribution qualitatively. After the final evaluation the following model 

was selected as the best model to use in the field. 
 

                       
 

Keywords: allometric equations, forest biomass, non-destructive sampling, Pinus caribaea 

______________________________________________________________________________ 

                                                 
*
 Correspondence: upuls@sjp.ac.lk 

Tel: +94 112804685 

ISSN 2235-9370 Print/ISSN 2235-9362 Online © University of Sri Jayewardenepura 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

41 
 

1. Introduction 

Global climate change has inspired an increasing interest of scientific and political 

communities in the study of global carbon storage and of the carbon balance (Landsberg et al., 

1995). The estimation of biomass is an essential aspect of studies of carbon storage and carbon 

balance (Xiao & Ceulemans, 2004).  
 

Forests play an important role in global carbon budget as carbon sinks and throughout 

emission of CO2 (Dixon et al., 1994; Sedjo et al., 1997). Carbon is stored in trees as biomass and 

therefore biomass assessments play a major role in determining carbon storage in forests. Forests 

hold two third of terrestrial C and as the forest biomass increase over the time, so does the stock 

of sequestered C in the standing forest and soils. 
 

Estimation of biomass of a sample of trees can be very difficult and expensive. At most, it 

involves felling the trees, excavating their root systems and drying and weighing the biomass. 

Such practices may be impossibly expensive and therefore much attention has been paid to the 

development of techniques to estimate tree biomass from easily measured tree characteristics. 

These techniques, known generally as allometry, involve relationships between tree above-

ground biomass and tree stem diameter and/or height and above-ground biomass (Specht & West, 

2003). In 1994, Niklas said that allometry, relating easily measured variable to other structural 

and functional characteristics, is the most common and reliable method for estimating biomass, 

net primary production, and biogeochemical budgets in forest ecosystems (Gower et al., 1999; 

Wang, 2006). 
 

Mostly allometry employs diameter at breast height (dbh) as the only independent 

variable, and develops an allometric relationship between dbh (Gower et al., 1999). However, 

such models can further be improved by adding one or more additional independent variables. 

Therefore some studies proposed to include tree height as the second predictor (e.g. Wang, 2006). 

The use of allometric relationships yields a non-destructive and indirect measurement of biomass 

compartments, and is often the preferred approach since it is less time consuming and less 

expensive than direct measurements (St. Clair, 1993). In addition to that, such methods prevent 

damaging the forest ecosystems or environment due to felling or excavation of trees. 
 

Among temperate forests, pine stands are considered one of the most productive forests. 

Mean carbon values for pine stands have been reported to range from 3 to 161 t ha
-1

, depending 

on stand age, type and number of carbon pools included in the reported inventory (e.g. Forrest & 

Ovington, 1970; Kinerson et al., 1977; Johnson et al., 2003). 
 

Pinus caribaea was introduced to the wet zone of Sri Lanka in 1970s to rehabilitate the 

degraded lands resultant due to deforestation. The other objectives of planning pines in Sri Lanka 

were to protect the watersheds, control soil erosion, stabilise slopes and to obtain pulp and 

timber.  
 

However, according to Weerawardene et al. (1998), some of the above mentioned 

objectives have not been achieved due to various reasons. One reason was the lack of sufficient 

demand for pine timber and pulp in Sri Lanka due to the low density of wood. The high resin 

content of the wood adversely affects the pulp production and expensive technology should be 

used to remove the resins from the wood. Due to this reason, harvesting schedules were delayed 

probably causing some environmental problems such as over-crowded stands of trees possibly 

lowering the water table excessively reducing the timber quality, creating a dense mat of pine 

leaves on the ground etc. 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

42 
 

 

2. Study Area and Sampling 

The present study was carried out in the 26 year old P. caribaea monoculture plantation 

of the Yagirala Forest Reserve which is situated in the south-western part of the wet zone in Sri 

Lanka. The extent of this forest is 2,000 ha and it is located between N 06
0
20

/

-06
0
22

/

to E 80
0
10

/

-

80
0
12

/

 in Kalutara Administrative District in the low country wet zone. The area receives 4,000 

mm annual rainfall and the mean temperature is about 27-28.5
0
C.  

 

Yagirala Forest Reserve had extensively been subjected to timber harvesting in 1970s. 

Due to this reason, large gaps were created and those were replaced by establishing monoculture 

P. caribaea plantations. Among those pine blocks, a 25 ha P. caribaea block was selected for 

data collection for the present study. This area had an undulating ground with valleys, slopes and 

ridge tops. Although there were no visual growth differences within the selected area, it was 

decided to use stratified random sampling as two 0.05 ha circular sample plots from each of 

valley, slope and ridge top. Thereby six sample plots were used for the data collection. 

 

3. Methodology 

3.1 Theoretical model structure 
 

Stem of living trees grows both horizontally and vertically. Biomass accumulation also 

occurs in trees in both directions. The horizontal growth can be measured by the diameter at 

breast height (dbh) and the vertical growth can be measured by the total tree height. Therefore it 

was assumed that the biomass was a function of both dbh and total height as shown in equation 1. 
 

 biomass = f dbh, total height        (1) 
 

The relationship shown in equation 1 was used to construct a model to predict the main 

stem biomass of P. caribaea in this study. 

 

3.2 Samplings and measurements 

The 25 ha pine block was divided into three strata as valley, mid-slope and ridge based on 

the geographical variations. Two circular sample plots of 0.05 ha were randomly laid in each 

stratum to collect the necessary data. 
 

Dbh and total height of all P. caribaea trees in each sample plot were accurately 

measured using a diameter tape and an altimeter respectively. Newton’s formula was used to 

estimate the precise stem volumes for this study (Philip, 1994; Subasinghe, 1998). In order to 

apply the Newton’s formula, standing trees were divided into sections less than 5 m and base, top 

and mid diameters and length of each section were accurately measured. Spiegal relescope was 

used for diameter measurements and an altimeter was used for length measurements in this 

exercise. Then the volume for each section was separately estimated using Newton’s formula. 

The top most section was assumed as a cone and the volume was estimated accordingly. In order 

to calculate the total stem volume, the section volumes were added together as shown in equation 

2. 

 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

43 
 

fitot
vvV            (2) 

where:     vf = volume of the final section (cone), m
3
 

      vi = volume of the each section, m
3
 

  Vtot = total stem volume, m
3
 

 

3.3 Estimation of stem biomass 

A non-destructive sampling method was used in the present study to estimate the stem 

biomass. The biomass estimation was therefore done by converting a volume and weight 

(density) of a core sample extracted by an increment borer at the breast height point in to the stem 

biomass via stem volume.  
 

The length of the stem core extracted using the increment borer was accurately measured 

in millimetres. Core diameter was measured for randomly selected core samples and the average 

was taken because only one increment borer with one extraction tube was used for the entire 

study. The core samples were oven-dried at 105
0
C for 72 hours and then the weight was 

measured.  

 

3.4 Volume of the core 

Shape of the core sample was cylindrical and therefore the equation 3 was employed to 

estimate the core volume. 
 

 
9

2

104


ld
v

s

s


          (3) 

 where: 

  ds = diameter of the core sample, mm 

    l = length of the core sample, mm 

  vs = volume of the core sample, m
3
 

 

3.5 Estimation of the main stem biomass 

Dry weight of the core sample was measured in grams using an electronic balance. Stem 

biomass, i.e., the dry weight of the stem was calculated by using the equation 4. 
 

 
s

totd

tot
v

Vw
W


          (4) 

 where: 

  Vtot =  total stem volume, m
3
 

    wd = oven dry weight of the core sample, kg 

  Wtot = total biomass of the stem, kg 

 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

44 
 

3.6 Testing the stem density difference of trees growing in different locations 

Although there was no visual growth difference observed in different locations of the 

selected area, the difference of the stem wood density of the trees growing in different locations, 

i.e., valley, slope and ridge top was tested using one-way ANOVA at 95% probability level. 

 

3.7 Determination of stem wood density differences along the main stem 

Apart from the core samples taken at the breast height point, core samples were extracted 

at the mid-length of the stems of four randomly selected trees in each plot. The stem wood 

density was calculated for these core samples taken at the mid-lengths using the method 

described in section 3.3. Finally the density differences between at the breast height point and at 

the mid-length of the stems were tested using one sample t-test at 95% probability level. 

 

3.8 Construction of relationships between biomass and other variables 

Regression analysis was employed to develop the relationship between biomass and the 

selected explanatory variables, i.e., dbh and total height. Apart from the untransformed variables, 

it was decided to use four transformations which are biologically accepted, i.e., logarithmic, 

square root, square and reciprocal to obtain the models with the minimum bias and the highest 

efficiency. Thereby all possible combinations of variables were tested to obtain the best model to 

predict the stem biomass. 
 

Coefficient of determination (R
2
) was initially used to identify the possible candidate 

models. Apart from the accuracy of model fitting, the compatibility with the biological reality 

was tested by employing the following theory (source: Subasinghe, 1998). 
 

If the height of the tree moves to zero (h  0), dbh should be zero (dbh = 0). In this case, 

biomass of the stem should also be zero (Wtot = 0). Therefore the intercept of the selected model 

should be zero or at least it should not be significantly different from zero. Therefore the 

preliminary model selection was based on higher R
2
 values and insignificant intercepts. Then 

they were further tested for the bias and modelling efficiency using the equations 5 and 6 and 

using standard residual distribution. 
 

n

yy
Bias

ii
)ˆ( 


         (5)

 

 where: 

    n = number of data 

  
i

y  = measured biomass used for the model building 

  
i

ŷ  = predicted biomass from the model 
 

2

2

)(

)ˆ(
1

yyi

yy
ME

ii






         (6)

 

 where: 

    ME = modelling efficiency 

      y  = mean measured biomass 

 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

45 
 

4. Results 

4.1 Plot summary 
 

As described in the methodology, six plots were established in the randomly selected 

positions to collect data. The summary of the data is given in Table 1.  

 

Table 1: Summary of the collected data. 
 

Site Plot No No of 
trees 

Mean dbh, 

Cm 

Mean 

height, m 

Mean 

volume, m
3
 

Mean density, 

kgm
-3

 

Valley 

Valley 

1 

2 

34 

22 

19.3 

20.1 

18.2 

20.1 

0.287 

0.306 

549.0 

539.1 

Slope 

Slope 

3 

4 

14 

27 

23.7 

21.2 

23.1 

21.9 

0.457 

0.367 

596.2 

581.2 

Ridge top 

Ridge top 

5 

6 

35 

46 

21.5 

19.9 

20.2 

18.7 

0.351 

0.253 

572.5 

571.6 

 

The visual observations of the mean values appeared to be similar irrespective of the 

location of the plots. However, there was a difference between the numbers of trees in different 

locations. 

 

4.2 Difference of stem wood density of trees growing in different locations 

One-way ANOVA was usd at 95% probability level to investigate the significance of the 

wood density at breast height of the trees growing in different locations. The results were not 

significant and it proved that there was no difference of the stem density of the trees growing in 

different locations (F=2.16 and p=0.061). Due to this reason, it was possible to pool all data for 

model construction. 

 

4.3 Difference of mid-length density and density at the breast height 

According to the results of the two sample t-test, there was no significance difference 

between the stem wood density at the mid-length of the stem and the stem wood density at the 

breast height (t=1.57 and p=0.130). Therefore the density values calculated by using the core 

samples taken at the breast height were used as the wood density of the entire stem of P. 

caribaea. 

 

4.4 Model construction to predict stem biomass from other variables 

Relationships between stem biomass of P. caribaea and other candidate easily measurable 

variables were developed using regression analysis. As mentioned in section 3.8, other than the 

untransformed values, the variables were transformed to four biologically accepted forms. The 

preliminary evaluation of the resultant models was tested using R
2
 and compatibility with 

biological reality as mentioned in section 3.8. The preliminary selected models for further 

analysis are given in Table 2. 
 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

46 
 

All models listed in Table 2 had non-significant intercepts and high R
2
 values. However, 

apart from model 3 and 4, all other models indicated poor or very poor standard residual 

distributions. Both models 3 and 4 of Table 2 had the square root transformed response variable, 

i.e., biomass. Due to the fact that the intercepts of both models were non-significant, it was 

possible to re-fit them to the same data without intercepts. The resultant models are given in 

Table 3. 

 

Table 2: Preliminary selected models for further analysis. 
 

Model No Model R
2
 Residual 

1 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

                                 

                              

                            

                              
                                 
                                    

                                  

84.6 

86.4 

86.2 

86.2 

79.9 

79.6 

80.2 

Poor 

Poor 

Good 

Good 

Very poor 

Very poor 

Very poor 

 

Table 3: Results of the re-fitted models 3 and 4 without intercepts. 
 

New Model 

No 

Old No 

in Table 2 

Model Average 

model bias 

Modelling 

efficiency 

8 

9 

3 

4 
                       

                        

-0.023 

-0.003 

86.0% 

86.0% 

 

According to Table 3, both models had insignificant bias and equally high modelling 

efficiencies. Therefore the selection of the final model was done based on the distribution of 

standard residuals (Fig. 1 and 2). 
 

 

 
 

Fig. 1: Standard residual distribution against the fitted values of model 8 of Table 3. 

 

 

-5.00 

-4.00 

-3.00 

-2.00 

-1.00 

0.00 

1.00 

2.00 

3.00 

4.00 

5.00 

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 

S
ta

n
d

a
rd

 r
e

si
d

u
a

ls
 

Fitted values 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

47 
 

The residual distribution of model 9 of Table 3 (Fig. 2) appeared to be non-random. In 

fact, the residuals spread diagonally from lower left corner of the graph towards to top right 

corner. Such a pattern, however, was not observed in model 8 of Table 3 (Fig. 1) and therefore 

the residuals of model 8 proved random distribution. Therefore based on the standard residual 

analysis, it was decided that the model 8 given in equation 7 as the best one to use in the field. 
 

                             (7) 
 where:  dbh = breast height diameter, cm 

       h = total tree height, m 

      w = biomass of the main stem of P. caribaea, kg 

 

 
 

Fig. 2: Standard residual distribution against the fitted values of model 9 of Table 3. 

 

5. Discussion 

Forests can be considered as carbon sources and sinks. Therefore the management of the 

forests can maintain the global carbon cycle and climate change. According Brown et al., (1992), 

about 50% of the biomass of trees is carbon. However, Subasinghe & Munasinghe (2011) found 

higher carbon percentages than 50% for all above ground components in their study conducted 

for Pinus caribaea growing in the wet zone of Sri Lanka.  
 

The greatest potential for aboveground biomass and carbon storage in forest ecosystems is 

usually found within the tree biomass components (stem, branches, and foliage). Biomass of 

understory and ground vegetation, as well as of dead standing trees and woody debris, may also 

provide a considerable contribution (Peichl & Arain, 2006). However, being a coniferous tree, P. 

caribaea does not produce large branches or a large amount of leaves. Therefore its main stem 

contributes most to the above ground biomass and thereby to the carbon storage. 
 

Apart from aboveground vegetation, belowground tree root biomass, forest floor, and 

mineral soil provide large carbon pools (Johnson et al., 2003; Oliver et al., 2004). However, due 

to an immense effort required in obtaining a precise estimate of tree root biomass, it is often 

neglected or estimated from standard root to shoot ratios (Kurz et al., 1996; Cairns et al., 1997). 
 

-5.00 

-4.00 

-3.00 

-2.00 

-1.00 

0.00 

1.00 

2.00 

3.00 

4.00 

5.00 

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 

S
ta

n
d

a
rd

 r
e

si
d

u
a

ls
 

Fitted values 



Subasinghe & Haripriya/Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 4, No 01 (2014) 40-49 

48 
 

Most forest biomass studies conducted in the past used destructive sampling to analyse 

biomass and/or carbon values of different tree components (e.g., Parde, 1980; Guo et al., 2002; 

Xiao & Ceulemans, 2004; Williams & Gresham, 2006). Use of destructive sampling is not 

possible for the present study due to the difficulty of obtaining selective harvesting approval from 

the government forest plantations. Therefore it used a core sample analysis to estimate the 

biomass of the main stem and therefore much attention has been paid to the development of 

techniques to estimate tree biomass from easily measured tree characteristics. These techniques, 

known generally as allometry, involve relationships between tree above-ground biomass and tree 

stem diameter and/or height and above-ground biomass (Spelcht & West, 2006). 

 

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