48 Geospatial modelling of Forest Canopy Density and Landscape Assessment in Omo Biosphere Reserve, South-western Nigeria Z.H. Mshelia1,2, A.I. Bamgboye3, M.A. Onilude4, O.J. Taiwo5 1Institute of Life and Earth Sciences (including Health and Agriculture), Pan African University, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 2Department of Environmental Modelling and Biometrics, Forestry Research institute of Nigeria, Ibadan 3Department of Agricultural and Environmental Engineering, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 4Department of Wood Product Engineering, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 5Department of Geography, University of Ibadan, Nigeria Date Received: 23-04-2021 Date Accepted: 10-12-2021 Abstract Forest has an important role in the global carbon cycle that covers over one-fourth of the world’s geographical area. It is one of the major natural resources and magnificent terrestrial ecosystems of the world. Forest Canopy Density (FCD) is imperative in the assessment of forest status and is a primary indicator of potential management interventions. Landsat images of 1990 and 2018 were used in this study. Remote Sensing has demonstrated to be very cost-effective in mapping and monitoring changes in forests, and other environmental issues. Forest cover change and fragmentation were analysed using FCD and Landscape metrics. The FCD was obtained from the combination of data from the Advance Vegetation Density Index (AVI), Bare Soil Index (BI), and Forest Shadow Index (FSI). Four categories of change were identified in the reserve, no change, growth, degradation and deforestation. There was no change in 222.57 ha (52.98%), growth had 81.54 ha (0.69%), degradation with 116.01 ha (27.61%) and deforestation with the least change with 0.81 ha (0.19%). Degradation with a change rate of 0.97% contributed more in terms of change. There is a slight increase in the values of the three diversity indices (SHDI, SHEI, SIDI) while a high degree of homogeneity is recorded in the no forest class and the three others classes were fragmented. Understanding the dynamics of the forests is important in mitigating climate change and support for biological resources. Keywords: FCD, landscape metrics, deforestation, degradation, fragmentation 1. Introduction The management of forests as carbon reservoirs could support the protection of biological resources such as water, soil, habitat, and raw materials, etc. (Thornley et al., 2000). Forest conservation and sustainable forest management are key in mitigating climate change at all scales. Farming, industrialisation, urbanisation and mining activities have caused the loss of large forest areas resulting in a high rate of deforestation and forest degradation. Forest areas, forest density and greenness of an area are major issues for the ecosystem, biodiversity and so on (Banerjee et al., 2014). Forest maps are an effective tool for identifying the state of forest resources and monitoring ongoing spatial processes in forested landscapes. One of the most important forest properties is the canopy cover and it provides habitats for many animal species (Akike et al., 2016). *Correspondence: zackmshelia@gmail.com © University of Sri Jayewardenepura Mshelia et al. /Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022) 48-66 49 Conventional remote sensing methodology is based on qualitative analysis of information derived from “training areas” (i.e. ground-truth). This has certain disadvantages in terms of the time and cost required for training area establishment, and the accuracy of the results obtained. In response to these problems, a new methodology was developed during ITTO Project PD 32/93 Rev. 2 (F), “Rehabilitation of Logged-over Forests in Asia-Pacific Region, Sub-project III” (Rikimaru et al., 2002). The Forest Canopy Density (FCD) Mapping and monitoring Model utilizes forest canopy density as an essential parameter for the characterization of forest conditions. FCD data indicates the degree of degradation, thereby also indicating the intensity of rehabilitation treatment that may be required (Rikimaru, et al., 2002). Forest cover analysis is the first step in assessing forest fragmentation, as forest cover modifies the fragmentation pattern. There is link between forest fragmentation with forest cover changes (Gupta et al., 2018). Landscapes are spatial entities of the earth’s surface explicitly defined by their structure, function and composition. They are dynamic geographical units composed of various structured elements that interact at different scales and ranges (Rajendran et al., 2015). Unlike traditional the ecosystem concept, the landscape concept focus on spatial heterogeneity and its impact on the ecological processes. The ecological processes that maintain complex landscapes at one scale can be different from other scales. Understanding the dynamism of landscape characteristics is vital for ecological stability and biodiversity conservation (Rajendran et al., 2015). Remote Sensing has demonstrated to be very cost-effective in mapping and monitoring changes in forests, and other environmental issues (Wang et al., 2009). The focus of this study is to access the forest canopy density and landscape pattern of Omo biosphere reserve with specific objectives: (i) to examine the forest cover change between 1990 and 2018 using the forest canopy density model; (ii) to examine the rate of forest cover change; (iii) to analyse the forest landscape characterisation using landscape metric model within the study area. 2. Methodology 2.1 The study area Omo Forest Reserve, which derives its name from River Omo that traverses it, is located between latitudes 6o 42' to 7o 05' N and longitude 4o 12' to 4o 35' E (Figure 1) Ogun state South-western Nigeria. Omo covers about 130 500 ha, which includes a 460 ha Strict Nature Reserve established in 1977 known as Omo Biosphere (Okali and Ola-Adams, 1987). 50 Figure.01. Location of Omo Biosphere Reserve in Omo Forest Reserve South-western Nigeria The climate is tropical and it is characterized by wet (February to November) and dry (December and January) seasons. The temperature ranges between 21-34 °C while the annual rainfall ranges between 150 and 3000 mm (Larinde et al., 2011; Adedeji et al., 2015). 2.2 Data acquisition and analysis Landsat satellite images of 5th January 1990 (Landsat TM) and 19th January 2018 (Landsat 8 OLI) in path 190 and row 55, were acquired from the official website of the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The satellite images obtained were subjected to radiometric calibration to adjust the data for use in quantitative analysis (Agbor et al., 2017). The images used in this study were first converted to Top of Atmosphere (TOA) radiance using equation 1 (Giannini et al., 2015). Mshelia et al. /Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022) 48-66 51 Lλ= ( (LMAXλ-LMINλ) Q CAL λ ) Q CAL +LMINλ (1) The above expression does not consider the atmospheric effects, therefore there is a need to convert images from radiance to reflectance measures, using equation 2 ((Giannini et al, 2015). 2 Esun * r*d E *Cos sz TOA       (2) Figure 02. Flow Chart of the Methodology Landsat ETM 1990 (30m) and Landsat OLI 2018 (30m) Conversion from DN to Radiance and Reflectance Advance Vegetation Index (AVI) Bare Soil Index (BI) Canopy Shadow Index (SI) Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Vegetation Density (VD) Scale Vegetation Index (SVI) Scale Shadow Index (SSI) Forest Canopy Density (%) Land cover Classification map based on density Change Analysis and Landscape metrics computation Accuracy Assessment Projection of Forest cover classes 52 2.2.1. Forest Canopy Density Model The Forest Canopy Density model utilizes forest canopy density as an important parameter for the assessment of forest conditions. This model involves bio-spectral phenomenon modelling and analysis utilizing data derived from four indices (Azizia, 2008 and Akike, 2016): Advanced Vegetation Index (AVI), Bare Soil Index (BI), Shadow Index or Scaled Shadow Index (SI, SSI) and Thermal Index (TI) (Azizia, 2008 and Akike and Samanta, 2016). The four indices were calculated using equations 3 to 8. 2.2.2. Advanced Vegetation Index (AVI) This index was calculated using Equations 3 and 4 (Azizia, 2008 and Akike et al, 2016). 3 B4)}-B4)(B5-1)(65536+ {(B6 = AVI for OLI (Landsat 8) (3) Or 3AVI = {(B5 +1)(256-B3)(B5-B3)} for ETM (Landsat 5 or 7) (4) 2.2.3. Bare Soil Index (BI) BI was calculated using equations 5 and 6 (Akike et al., 2016 and Saei et al., 2000). ( 6 4) ( 5 2) *100 100 ( 6 4) ( 5 2) B B B B BI B B B B         for OLI (Landsat 8) (5) Or ( 5 3) ( 4 1) *100 100 ( 5 3) ( 4 1) B B B B BI B B B B         for ETM (Landsat 5 or 7) (6) 2.2.4. Shadow Index (SI) SI was calculated using equations 7 and 8 3SI = ((65536 +B2) * (65536-B3) * (65536-B4)) for OLI (7) Or 3SI = ((65536 +B1) * (65536-B2) * (65536-B3)) for ETM (8) The source of thermal information is the infrared band of Landsat data (bands 6 and 10). Land Surface Temperature (LST) retrieval was carried out through three phases (Giannini et al., 2015). All the image bands are quantized as 8-bit data except Landsat 8 which is 16 bit, thus; all information is stored in DN which were then converted to radiance with a linear equation (9) given as: Y= mx + b (9) Where: Y=TOAr (Top of Atmosphere) radiance-the radiance measured by the sensor m=Radiance multiplicative value x=Raw band b=Radiance additive value By applying the inverse of the Planck function, thermal bands radiance values were converted to a brightness temperature value using equation 10 (Giannini et al., 2015). This is satellite temperature in Kelvin. Mshelia et al. /Journal of Tropical Forestry and Environment Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022) 48-66 53 2 1 ln 1 k BT k TOAr           (10) Where: BT=º Kelvin TOAr=Top of Atmosphere radiance K1=calibration constant 1 (607.76 for TM), (666.09 for ETM+) and (774.89 for OLI band 10) K2=calibration constant 2 (1260.56 for TM), (1282.71 for ETM+) and (1321.08 for OLI band 10) Surface temperature=BT–273.15 2.2.5. Vegetation density (VD) The principal component analysis was used to calculate the vegetation density (VD) by synthesizing Advanced Vegetation Index with the Bare Soil Index. The value was scaled from 0 to 100%. The 100% shows the area of the high forest while the 0% indicate the areas of no vegetation (Rikimaru, 1996; Saei and Abkar, 2004). 2.2.6. Scaled shadow index (SSI) SSI is was calculated from the Canopy shadow index (SI) by using a linear transformation. The value of SSI was also scaled from 0 to 100%. SSI by 100% responds with the highest possible shadow whereas 0% responds the opposite. SI is important in forestry and crop monitoring because the canopy shadow provides some information on tree and plants arrangement. 2.2.7. Integration process to achieve FCD model Integration of VD and SSI means transformation for forest canopy density value. Both parameters have dimensions and have percentage scale units of density. It is possible to synthesize both indices safely by employing the corresponding scale and unit of each. FCD was calculated using equation 11. . ( * 1) 1FCD SVD SSI   (11) 2.3. Landscape Metrics and Diversity Analysis Several studies in landscape ecology emphasized the use of spatio-temporal satellite data along with landscape metrics in landscape evaluation and policymaking. Remote Sensing data will be primarily utilized to create the necessary database for two time periods, 1990 and 2018. Landscape Metrics and Diversity Analysis. The LecoS plugin in Quantum GIS (QGIS) was used for the land metrics and diversity analysis. The result of the Forest Canopy Density model of 1990 and 2018 was the input images for the analysis. Shannon Diversity Index expresses, Simpson Diversity index and Shannon Evenness Index (Equitability) was used to determining the level of diversity and evenness in the Omo biosphere and the entire reserve. The degree of fragmentation and dominance or homogeneity was examined using the following indices Land Cover, Landscape proportion, Edge length, Number of Patches, Patch Density, Greatest patch area, Landscape division, Effective mesh size and Splitting index. Calculated coefficients can be classified according to the type of evaluated characteristic into categories of indices: of shape, size, diversity, edges and proximity (Stejskalova et al., 2012). Statistically, many of the metrics are correlated and can be depicted in concise form according to the structural characteristics (Rajendran et al, 2015). Table 1 shows the indices, acronyms used and a short description of each indicator. 54 Table 01. Landscape metrics used in the study Metric Abbreviation Description Land Cover LC Equals the number of cells for each class based on a classified land cover matrix. 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