Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Volume 22 Nomor 2, Oktober 2021 Article Type: Research Paper Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement of the Manufacturing Industry in Banten Province Diasitta Yusuf ¹, Muhammad Firdaus², and Alla Asmara2 Abstract: Productivity growth needs to be optimized not only to produce quality products, increase exports, and reduce dependence on imports but also to support the performance of the manufacturing sector. This study aims to determine the manufacturing industry map in Banten Province, measure manufacturing industry productivity growth, and analyze the effect of Local Content Requirement (LCR) on manufacturing industry productivity growth from 2005 to 2017 by employing the use of K-Means cluster and panel data regression analysis. For this purpose, Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is the indicator used to measure productivity growth. The LCR is known as the percentage of local raw and auxiliary materials used in the production process. According to K-Means cluster analysis results, industrial companies are grouped into three clusters with different characteristics. The result of panel data regression analysis shows that the TFP of all manufacturing industry sub-sectors has increased and was influenced by LCR, total production, domestic investment, import, and provincial minimum wage. As a result, the government should integrate the LCR and other policies, such as the Indonesian National Standard, to increase productivity growth. Keywords: K-Means Cluster; LCR; Manufacturing Industry; Panel Data; TFP JEL Classification: C38, L60, C33 Introduction The economic structure based on the national long-term development plan from 2005 to 2025 was reinforced by placing the industrial sector as the driving force, supported by the agricultural, marine, and mining (Bappenas, 2007). In the Java Island region, the manufacturing industry sector in West Java, Banten, and Central Java provinces has contributed the most to the value of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) from 2016 to 2018 (Statistics Indonesia, 2019). The contribution of the manufacturing industry sector in Banten Province experienced the most decline with an average of 0.71 percent per year. As a leading sector, the manufacturing industry sector in Banten Province has an important role in shaping the total value of GRDP and its regression has greatly produced an impact to its economy. From 2010 to 2018, the manufacturing industry sector had the most output value compared to other sectors, on average reaching 37.24 percent of the total GRDP of Banten Province with an average growth of 6.04 percent per year. AFFILIATION: 1 Statistics of Bogor Regency, West Java, Indonesia 2 Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Institut Pertanian Bogor, West Java, Indonesia *CORRESPONDENCE: diasitta_yusuf@apps.ipb.ac.id THIS ARTICLE IS AVALILABLE IN: http://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v22i2.11369 CITATION: Yusuf, D., Firdaus, M., & Asmara, A. (2021). Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement of the Manufacturing Industry in Banten Province. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 22(2), 154-169. ARTICLE HISTORY Received: 24 Mar 2021 Revised: 11 July 2021 23 Aug 2021 Accepted: 09 Sep 2021 https://www.scopus.com/authid/detail.uri?authorId=57204838013 https://scholar.google.co.id/citations?user=mIpPIlcAAAAJ&hl=en https://bogorkab.bps.go.id/ https://bogorkab.bps.go.id/ https://ekonomi.ipb.ac.id/ https://ekonomi.ipb.ac.id/ https://ekonomi.ipb.ac.id/ https://ekonomi.ipb.ac.id/ mailto:diasitta_yusuf@apps.ipb.ac.id http://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp/article/view/11369 https://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.18196/jesp.v22i1.7836&domain=pdf https://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.18196/jesp.v22i2.11369&domain=pdf Yusuf, Firdaus, & Asmara Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement … Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 2021 | 155 According to Rahmayani and Sugiyanto (2014), the economic growth of a region is determined by the level of productivity of its production factor components. Productivity means a combination of effectiveness in producing outputs and efficient use of inputs. Productivity measurements can be carried out on each input separately (partial) or all inputs (total). Total productivity measurement is carried out on several inputs by using the Total Factor Productivity (TFP). TFP is an indicator used to measure productivity growth and is part of the output which may not be explained by some of the inputs used in the production process (BPPT, 2012). Analysis of productivity growth in the manufacturing industry sector needs to be carried out to see the sustainability of output growth (Surjaningsih & Permono, 2014) and to identify sources of output growth that will help policymakers identify factors that contribute to industrial development (Mustapha et al., 2013). The manufacturing industry is an economic activity that carries out activities to change a basic good into finished or semi-finished goods, and or goods of less value to goods of higher value. Based on the number of workers, the manufacturing industry sector is divided into four groups: large industry, medium industry, small industry, and home industry (Statistics Indonesia, 2018). From 2010 to 2017 the number of Medium Large Industry (MLI) labor has always increased, but labor productivity has decreased in 2011, 2016, and 2017. A reduction in labor productivity may partially affect total productivity and ultimately affect the contribution of the manufacturing industry sector to the GRDP of Banten Province. Industrial productivity needs to be optimized to produce better quality products, to increase added value and competitiveness. Strategies that can be taken to increase industrial competitiveness are to improve the quality of human resources and provide incentives to industries that can carry out and increase the proportion of raw materials (Nuraini & Setiartiti, 2017). Consequently, this will lead to an increase in exports while reducing dependence on imported products. The changes in exports and imports will affect economic growth in the region through production, consumption, and distribution (Astuti & Ayuningtyas, 2018). The value and growth of export and import of Banten Province are shown in Figure 1. Figure 1 Value and Growth of Export and Import of Banten Province 2010-2017 Source: Statistics Indonesia, 2018 Yusuf, Firdaus, & Asmara Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement … Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 2021 | 156 Based on Figure 1, it may be seen that from 2010 to 2017, the export value of the oil and gas sector has decreased by an average of 0.49 percent per year. Meanwhile, the export value of the non-oil and gas sector has increased. In this case, the average export value of the non-oil and gas sector for agricultural products increased by 48.42 percent, industrial products increased by 6.03 percent, and mining and other products increased by 89.01 percent per year. Furthermore, the import value increased from 2010 to 2017. On average, the import value of consumer goods products increased by 117.53 percent, raw and auxiliary material products increased by 7.37 percent, and capital goods products increased by 8.42 percent per year. Overall, the export value of Banten Province increased by 4.90 percent per year or less than the increase in import value which reached 7.05 percent per year. This means that Banten Province has a fairly high level of dependence on imported products, especially on products of raw and auxiliary materials. One of the government efforts made to increase industrial productivity, increase export, and reduce dependence on imported products at the same time is by establishing a Local Content Requirement (LCR) policy. Based on the Regulation of the Minister of Industry No.16/M-IND/PER/2/2011, LCR is defined as a limit or value that represents the level of local content requirement in a product or service. In the industrial sector, the LCR policy is carried out to strengthen, expand, and deepen the national industrial structure, both to the import substitution industry strategy and the export-oriented industrial strategy. Based on Government Regulation No.29/2018, domestic products that must be used in the procurement of goods and services must have a total LCR value and a Company Benefit Weight (CBW) value of at least 40 percent or an LCR value of at least 25 percent. Research results that related to productivity growth and local component requirement using cluster analysis and panel data were used as reference and comparison to this research. Several previous research on the factors affecting productivity growth has shown different results. The research of Budiwati and Yunanto (2013) shows that the factors that influence the Total Factor Productivity (TFP). are inflation, net export, R&D budgets, and the level of education of workers. On the other hand, Fazri et al. (2018) show that export, foreign investment, and domestic investment affect TFP. Research by De Souza and Da Cunha (2018) shows that productivity decreased in the industrial sector, while productivity increased in the agricultural sector and service sector. Several previous research on the effects and benefits of Local Content Requirement (LCR) policy has shown different results. The research of Negara (2016) shows that there is an effect of imported inputs on the level of productivity, added value, output, exports, and the number of jobs in the manufacturing sector in Indonesia. Kolstad and Kinyondo (2016) shows that the LCR policy has less influence on countries that already have natural resources than countries that have just discovered natural resources (oil). Research by Deringer et al. (2018) shows that the LCR policy in the heavy vehicle industry affects increasing output in Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS). At the same time, the increase in output has an adverse side effect such as changes in prices. Changes in prices will have a greater impact on the overall economic sector than the gains in industrial output in a particular sub- sector. To fill in the gaps from the limitations of previous research, it is needed to conduct research that can see more thoroughly the effect of LCR and other factors on productivity growth. This research will show how the LCR influences the productivity of the Yusuf, Firdaus, & Asmara Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement … Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 2021 | 157 manufacturing industry even at a more specific level, specifically at the sub-sector level of the manufacturing industry. Previous research has discussed the productivity growth of the manufacturing industry and LCR policy separately and has not seen the relationship. In this case, the discussion on the productivity growth of the manufacturing industry focused more at a regional level or on the industrial sector as a whole and was not specific to the industrial sub-sector level. The discussions on LCR policy also focused more on achieving LCR targets in industrial sectors. The novelty in this research is to see how the relationship between LCR policy and manufacturing industry productivity growth at a specific level, namely the manufacturing industry sub-sector. In addition, this study aims to determine how the manufacturing industry maps, measures the manufacturing industry growth and analyze the factors that affect the manufacturing industry productivity growth in Banten Province. The results of this research are expected to give recommendations to the government and business actors to decide the right LCR policy to increase productivity and develop the manufacturing industry sector. Research Method Data Types and Sources The data type used is secondary data with panel data of 836 Medium Large Industry (MLI) from 20 manufacturing industry sub-sectors from 2005 to 2017. The data sources used are from the annual MLI Survey conducted by Statistics Indonesia of Banten Province, and the Ministry of Investment. In this case, data related to output, input, export, import, LCR, and minimum wage were obtained from Statistics Indonesia. Data related to the value of a domestic and foreign investment were obtained from the Ministry of Investment. The data obtained are then selected and adjusted to the research method, resulting in balanced panel data. Research Variable This research used variables which were determined based on the research objectives. The variables used to determine the manufacturing industry map consist of five independent variables, which are output, input which is in the form of capital, labor, and intermediate inputs, and LCR from each MLI. The variables used to measure the manufacturing industry productivity growth consist of one dependent variable and three independent variables. The dependent variable is the output, and the dependent variables are capital, labor force, and intermediate input. The variables used to analyze the effect of LCR and other factors on manufacturing industrial productivity growth consist of one dependent variable and six independent variables. The dependent variable is TFP, and the dependent variables are LCR, total production, domestic investment, foreign investment, export, import, and minimum wage generated by the manufacturing sub-sector. The description of variables is shown in Table 1. Yusuf, Firdaus, & Asmara Productivity Growth and Local Content Requirement … Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 2021 | 158 Table 1 The Description of Variables No. Research Objectives Variables Definition 1 Determine manufacturing industry map Y Output C Capital L Labor Force I Intermediate Input LCR Local Content Requirement 2 Measure manufacturing industry productivity growth Y Output C Capital L Labor Force I Intermediate Input 3 Analyze the effect of Local Content Requirement (LCR) and other factors on manufacturing industry productivity growth TFP Total Factor Productivity LCR Local Content Requirement PROD Total Production DIV Domestic Investment FIV Foreign Investment EXP Export IMP Import PMW Provincial Minimum Wage Source: Statistics Indonesia and Ministry of Investment. Method of Analysis The analytical method used is descriptive and quantitative analysis. Descriptive analysis is used to provide an overview of Medium Large Industry (MLI) based on the manufacturing industry sub-sector. Descriptive analysis was also carried out by looking at the results of cluster analysis to determine the manufacturing industry map, apart from tables and figures. Quantitative analysis used in this research is panel data analysis. Panel data analysis is used to measure manufacturing industry productivity growth and analyze the effect of Local Content Requirement (LCR) and other factors on the manufacturing industry productivity growth in Banten Province. K-Means cluster analysis for the manufacturing industry map The cluster analysis method used is the K-Means cluster method based on the research of Setyaningsih (2012) and Karaca (2018). The clusters produced are groups with a high degree of similarity. Each cluster will contain very similar data. The stages carried out in the K-Means cluster analysis are as follows: (1) Determine the number of clusters to be formed, where the number of clusters must be less than the number of data (k