# bib

id: cord-267030-khzivbzy
author: Jia, Peng
title: Understanding the Epidemic Course in Order to Improve Epidemic Forecasting
date: 2020-10-01
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 1926
sentence: 64
flesch: 35
cache: cache/cord-267030-khzivbzy.txt
txt: txt/cord-267030-khzivbzy.txt
summary:
  Spatial lifecourse epidemiology provides a new perspective to understand the course of epidemics, especially pandemics, and a new toolkit to predict the course of future epidemics on the basis of big data. The advanced spatial and digital technologies provide a new perspective to understand the transmission patterns of epidemics, especially pandemics, and a new toolkit to predict the progression of future epidemics on the basis of big data.


id: cord-222193-0b4o0ccp
author: Saakian, David B.
title: A simple statistical physics model for the epidemic with incubation period
date: 2020-04-13
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2072
sentence: 112
flesch: 57
cache: cache/cord-222193-0b4o0ccp.txt
txt: txt/cord-222193-0b4o0ccp.txt
summary:
  Generally, epidemic models have a higher order of non-linearity than evolutionary models, although there are some similarities between these two classes. We use the proposed model to analyze COVID-19 epidemic data in Armenia.


id: cord-006203-wwpd26bx
author: Nguyen, Vinh-Kim
title: When the world catches cold: Thinking with influenza
date: 2016-02-26
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2275
sentence: 75
flesch: 36
cache: cache/cord-006203-wwpd26bx.txt
txt: txt/cord-006203-wwpd26bx.txt
summary:
  Departing from a concern with the (non-)eventfulness of flu epidemics, what they do and what it takes to make them, Keck engages a wideranging investigation into the origins of the flu that takes us from the French Food Safety Agency to Hong Kong, China, Cambodia and back to the laboratory. Discussing the mass culling of poultry in the context of avian flu epidemics, Buddhist cosmology and Asian politics, Keck skilfully outlines an anthropology of boundaries: that between animal (non-human) and human, between meaning and non-meaning, between production and consumption, between country and city.


id: cord-266898-f00628z4
author: Nikitenkova, S.
date: 2020-06-03
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2822
sentence: 123
flesch: 51
cache: cache/cord-266898-f00628z4.txt
txt: txt/cord-266898-f00628z4.txt
title:
  It's the very time to learn a pandemic lesson: why have predictive techniques been ineffective when describing long-term events?

summary:
  However, it is easier to assume that this unavoidable regular error is due only to the specifics of data monitoring. Processing statistical data of countries that have reached an epidemic peak has shown that this regular monitoring obeys a simple analytical regularity which allows us to answer the question: is this or that country that has already passed the threshold of the epidemic close to its peak or is still far from it? people desire to know about future epidemic events in terms of where, how much and when.


id: cord-283793-ab1msb2m
author: Chanchan, Li
title: Modeling and analysis of epidemic spreading on community network with node's birth and death
date: 2016-10-31
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2812
sentence: 139
flesch: 53
cache: cache/cord-283793-ab1msb2m.txt
txt: txt/cord-283793-ab1msb2m.txt
summary:
  Abstract In this paper, a modified susceptible infected susceptible (SIS) epidemic model is proposed on community structure networks considering birth and death of node. A lot of researchers focus on the study of epidemic spreading on community structure networks.


id: cord-029245-ay15ybcm
author: Davies, Stephen
title: Pandemics and the consequences of COVID‐19
date: 2020-06-29
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3321
sentence: 120
flesch: 56
cache: cache/cord-029245-ay15ybcm.txt
txt: txt/cord-029245-ay15ybcm.txt
summary:
  To that list we should add such things as the nature of modern livestock farming and acute pressure on wildlife habitats, both of which contribute significantly to the appearance of novel pathogens and transmission from animals to humans. Historically, pandemics have played a central part in the emergence of the modern administrative state, through the creation of modern systems of public health in response to major epidemics.


id: cord-103418-deogedac
author: Ochab, J. K.
title: Shift of percolation thresholds for epidemic spread between static and dynamic small-world networks
date: 2010-11-12
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3423
sentence: 144
flesch: 55
cache: cache/cord-103418-deogedac.txt
txt: txt/cord-103418-deogedac.txt
summary:
  For both dynamic and static small-world we observe suppression of the average epidemic size dependence on network size in comparison with finite-size scaling known for regular lattice. The result shows that the behaviour of the epidemic on dynamic network is that of a static small world with the number of shortcuts increased by 20.7 +/- 1.4%, while the overall qualitative behaviour stays the same.


id: cord-019114-934xczf3
author: Zhan, Xiu-Xiu
title: Epidemic dynamics on information-driven adaptive networks
date: 2018-02-16
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4852
sentence: 192
flesch: 40
cache: cache/cord-019114-934xczf3.txt
txt: txt/cord-019114-934xczf3.txt
summary:
  The sensitivity of the edge-breaking probability on epidemic spreading dynamics. Therefore, disease information diffusion may play an important role in the control of the epidemic outbreak, but it is not easy to quantitatively measure the strength of its impact [14] .


id: cord-272744-j4q7pcfa
author: Zhan, Xiu-Xiu
title: Coupling dynamics of epidemic spreading and information diffusion on complex networks
date: 2018-09-01
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4739
sentence: 211
flesch: 44
cache: cache/cord-272744-j4q7pcfa.txt
txt: txt/cord-272744-j4q7pcfa.txt
summary:
  For example, the outbreak of a contagious disease may lead to quick spreading of disease information, through either medias or friends. In some cases, enough behavioral changes would emerge in response to the diffusion of a great deal of disease information so that the severe epidemic would vanish completely, even the epidemic transmission rate was higher than the classical threshold initially


id: cord-131667-zl5txjqx
author: Liu, Junhua
title: EPIC30M: An Epidemics Corpus Of Over 30 Million Relevant Tweets
date: 2020-06-09
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4080
sentence: 187
flesch: 43
cache: cache/cord-131667-zl5txjqx.txt
txt: txt/cord-131667-zl5txjqx.txt
summary:
  In time of crisis caused by epidemics, we realize the necessity of rigorous arrangements, quick responses, credible and updated information during the premature phases of such epidemics [40] . During our other efforts on COVID-19 related work, we discover very little disease related corpora in the literature that are sizable and rich enough to support such cross-epidemic analysis tasks.


id: cord-272031-o2hx667i
author: Carvajal, Ana
title: Porcine epidemic diarrhoea: new insights into an old disease
date: 2015-09-29
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4813
sentence: 190
flesch: 47
cache: cache/cord-272031-o2hx667i.txt
txt: txt/cord-272031-o2hx667i.txt
summary:
  Submit your next manuscript to BioMed Central and take full advantage of: Virus-like particles associated with porcine epidemic diarrhoea A new coronavirus-like particle associated with diarrhoea in swine Update on porcine epidemic diarrhoea Diseases of swine Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus infection: Etiology, epidemiology, pathogenesis and immunoprophylaxis Evaluation of an ELISA for the detection of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in feces of naturally infected pigs Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, rotavirus, porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus, adenovirus and calici-like virus in porcine postweaning diarrhoea in Hungary Transmissible gastroenteritis and porcine epidemic diarrhoea in Britain ELISA detection of group a rotavirus, transmissible gastroenteritis virus and porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in faeces of piglets An ELISA optimized for porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus detection in faeces Epidemic of diarrhoea caused by porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in Italy Porcine epidemic diarrhoea (PED) -Neuausbrüche in deutschen Mastschweinebeständen Comparison of porcine epidemic diarrhoea viruses from Germany and the United States Emergence of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in southern Germany Surveillance and control of PED coronavirus in pig in Italy First case of porcine epidemic diarrhoea (PED) caused by a new variant of PED virus in the Netherlands Complete genome sequence of a porcine epidemic diarrhea virus from a novel outbreak in Belgium Complete Genome Sequence of a Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea S Gene Indel Strain Isolated in France in Study on the culture of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus adapted to fetal porcine intestine primary cell monolayer An outbreak of swine diarrhoea of a new-type associated with coronavirus-like particles in Japan Isolation of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (PEDV) in Korea Porcine epidemic diarrhoea in Trang Province Chinese-like strain of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus Genetic characterization of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (PEDV) isolates from southern Vietnam during 2009-2010 outbreaks Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus: a comprehensive review of molecular epidemiology, diagnosis, and vaccines New variants of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus, China Outbreak of porcine epidemic diarrhoea in suckling piglets Emergence of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in the United States: clinical signs, lesions, and viral genomic sequences Scientific Opinion on porcine epidemic diarrhoea and emerging pig deltacoronavirus Discovery of seven novel mammalian and avian coronaviruses in Deltacoronavirus supports bat coronaviruses as the gene source of Alphacoronavirus and Betacoronavirus and avian coronaviruses as the gene source of Gammacoronavirus and Deltacoronavirus Pathogenicity and pathogenesis of a United States porcine deltacoronavirus cell culture isolate in 5-day-old neonatal piglets Antigenic relationships among porcine epidemic diarrhea virus and transmissible gastroenteritis virus strains Evaluation of a blocking ELISA using monoclonal antibodies for the detection of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus and its antibodies Use of an internal control in a quantitative RT-PCR assay for quantitation of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus shedding in pigs Pathogenesis of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus isolate (US/Iowa/18984/ 2013) in 3-week-old weaned pigs Evaluation of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus transmission and the immune response in growing pigs Multiple factors contribute to persistent porcine epidemic diarrhoea infection in the field: an investigation on porcine epidemic diarrhoea repeated outbreaks in the same Herd Pathology of US porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus strain PC21A Tissue tropism, shedding, carriage, antibody response, and aerosol transmission The spray-drying process is sufficient to inactivate infectious porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in plasma Survivability of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (PEDV) in bovine plasma submitted to spray drying processing and held at different time by temperature storage conditions Investigation into the role of potentially contaminated feed as a source of the first-detected outbreaks of porcine epidemic diarrhoea in Canada Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus RNA present in commercial spray-dried porcine plasma is not infectious to naïve pigs Analysis of spray dried porcine plasma (SDPP) produced in Brazil and western Canada confirm negative porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (PEDV) status of pigs in these regions Experimental infection of pigs with a new porcine enteric coronavirus, CV-777 In situ hybridization for the detection and localization of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in the intestinal tissues from naturally intected piglets Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus infects and replicates in porcine alveolar macrophages Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus variants with high pathogenicity Distinct characteristics and complex evolution of PEDV strains A novel pathogenic mammalian orthoreovirus from diarrheic pigs and swine blood meal in the United States Comparison of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and RT-PCR for the detection of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus Immunohistochemical detection of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus compared to other methods Previous infection of sows with a mild strain of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus confers protection against infection with a severe strain Immunoprophylactic effect of chicken egg yolk immunoglobulin (IgY) against porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) in piglets Isolation of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in porcine cell cultures and experimental infection of pigs of different ages Porcine epidemic diarrhea: a review of current epidemiology and available vaccines Molecular epidemiology of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in China An inactivated vaccine made from a U.S. field isolate of porcine epidemic disease virus is immunogenic in pigs as demonstrated by a dose-titration We gratefully acknowledge the pig farmers and veterinarians, their organisations and the feed companies for their active cooperation in the development of our research.


id: cord-234552-0pbg0ldm
author: Hota, Ashish R.
date: 2020-07-26
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5247
sentence: 278
flesch: 59
cache: cache/cord-234552-0pbg0ldm.txt
txt: txt/cord-234552-0pbg0ldm.txt
title:
  A Generalized SIS Epidemic Model on Temporal Networks with Asymptomatic Carriers and Comments on Decay Ratio

summary:
  Optimal containment of epidemics over temporal activity-driven networks The mathematics of infectious diseases Epidemic processes in complex networks On the dynamics of deterministic epidemic propagation over networks Virus spread in networks Stability of spreading processes over time-varying large-scale networks Epidemic processes over timevarying networks Optimal containment of epidemics in temporal and adaptive networks Temporal network epidemiology Epidemics on dynamic networks Toward epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: A review and open questions Activity driven modeling of time varying networks An analytical framework for the study of epidemic models on activity driven networks On assessing control actions for epidemic models on temporal networks Clinical characteristics of 24 asymptomatic infections with COVID-19 screened among close contacts in Nanjing, China The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the covid-19 outbreak Ebola control: Effect of asymptomatic infection and acquired immunity Public health policy: key: cord-234552-0pbg0ldm authors: Hota, Ashish R.; Gupta, Kavish title: A Generalized SIS Epidemic Model on Temporal Networks with Asymptomatic Carriers and Comments on Decay Ratio date: 2020-07-26 journal: nan DOI: nan sha: doc_id: 234552 cord_uid: 0pbg0ldm We study the class of SIS epidemics on temporal networks and propose a new activity-driven and adaptive epidemic model that captures the impact of asymptomatic and infectious individuals in the network.


id: cord-270679-heg1h19l
author: Ahmad, Munir
title: Perception-based influence factors of intention to adopt COVID-19 epidemic prevention in China
date: 2020-07-27
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4645
sentence: 196
flesch: 39
cache: cache/cord-270679-heg1h19l.txt
txt: txt/cord-270679-heg1h19l.txt
summary:
  The researches investigating the influence factors of epidemic prevention are not only scarce, but also provide a gap in the domain of perception-based influence factors of intention to adopt COVID-19 epidemic prevention. Second, perceived feasibility to adopt epidemic prevention measures was exposed to be the barrier to individuals' intention to adopt epidemic prevention.


id: cord-204796-zy1608lw
author: Nakamura, G.
title: Confinement strategies in a simple SIR model
date: 2020-04-20
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5470
sentence: 235
flesch: 55
cache: cache/cord-204796-zy1608lw.txt
txt: txt/cord-204796-zy1608lw.txt
summary:
  Essai d'une nouvelle analyse de la mortalité causée par la petite vérole, et des avantages de l'inoculation pour la prévenir Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts Contacts in context: large-scale setting-specific social mixing matrices from the BBC Pandemic project The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study Ferguson and the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand Potential Long-Term Intervention Strategies for COVID-19 Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics An application of the theory of probabilities to the study of a priori pathometry Extending the SIR epidemic model The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases Vaccination and the theory of games Exact solutions to a finite-difference model of a nonlinear reaction-advection equation: Implications for numerical analysis Revisiting the Human and Nature Dynamics model Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel CoronavirusInfected Pneumonia Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: Once the model is calibrated we are ready to address the question of population confinement.


id: cord-211611-c9w6235b
author: Cacciapaglia, Giacomo
date: 2020-05-11
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5658
sentence: 239
flesch: 61
cache: cache/cord-211611-c9w6235b.txt
txt: txt/cord-211611-c9w6235b.txt
title:
  Interplay of social distancing and border restrictions for pandemics (COVID-19) via the epidemic Renormalisation Group framework

summary:
  We then use the model to simulate a second wave of epidemic diffusion in a sample of European countries. This framework is the renormalisation group approach [1, 2] , which was successfully employed for epidemic dynamics in [3] .


id: cord-048339-nzh87aux
author: Caley, Peter
title: The Waiting Time for Inter-Country Spread of Pandemic Influenza
date: 2007-01-03
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5747
sentence: 213
flesch: 41
cache: cache/cord-048339-nzh87aux.txt
txt: txt/cord-048339-nzh87aux.txt
summary:
  To this end, countries may consider introducing non-pharmaceutical interventions such as border screening, promoting early presentation of cases among arriving passengers, requiring the use of personal protective equipment during travels (e.g. the wearing of masks), and reducing traveler numbers. We also investigate how the delay is affected by the reproduction number of the emerged strain, early presentation of cases among arriving passengers, and reducing traveler numbers.


id: cord-024683-3v8i39rk
author: Chen, Deng
title: Epilepsy control during an epidemic: emerging approaches and a new management framework
date: 2020-05-12
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5599
sentence: 250
flesch: 44
cache: cache/cord-024683-3v8i39rk.txt
txt: txt/cord-024683-3v8i39rk.txt
summary:
  They may provide reference for epilepsy management Apps to meet different needs. Similar to many other chronic diseases, epilepsy management requires regular follow-up and sustainable medicine supply [7] .


id: cord-028048-0oqv2jom
author: Rguig, Ahmed
title: Establishing seasonal and alert influenza thresholds in Morocco
date: 2020-06-29
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5805
sentence: 243
flesch: 40
cache: cache/cord-028048-0oqv2jom.txt
txt: txt/cord-028048-0oqv2jom.txt
summary:
  While several statistical methods are commonly used, there is no gold standard for calculating influenza epidemic thresholds. Can syndromic thresholds provide early warning of national influenza outbreaks? Methods for monitoring influenza surveillance data A routine tool for detection and assessment of epidemics of influenza-like syndromes in France A statistical algorithm for the early detection of outbreaks of infectious disease Do CuSums have a role in routine communicable disease surveillance?


id: cord-016387-ju4130bq
author: Last, John
title: A Brief History of Advances Toward Health
date: 2005
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5466
sentence: 219
flesch: 49
cache: cache/cord-016387-ju4130bq.txt
txt: txt/cord-016387-ju4130bq.txt
summary:
  Ecological and evolutionary changes in micro-organisms account for the origins of diarrhea , measles, malaria, smallpox, plague, and many other diseases. Many others belong in their company: The great German pathologist Rudolph Virchow recognized that political action as well as rational science are necessary to initiate effective action to control public health problems; Edwin Chadwick and Lemuel Shattuck reported on the appalling sanitary conditions associated with the unacceptably high infant and child death rates that prevailed in 19 th century industrial towns; William Farr established vital statistics in England as a model for other nations to follow.


id: cord-251581-8ubyveyt
author: Szymkowiak, Andrzej
title: In-store epidemic behavior: scale development and validation
date: 2020-05-04
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6042
sentence: 223
flesch: 44
cache: cache/cord-251581-8ubyveyt.txt
txt: txt/cord-251581-8ubyveyt.txt
summary:
  This further indicates a more sophisticated need to measure what areas of consumer behaviors at stores are affected by the epidemic and therefore, the aim of the present study was an attempt to create such a measure. The developed scale can help counteract disinformation and assess consumer behavior compliance and understanding of the official recommendations imposed by governments, enabling more efficient educational efforts.


id: cord-284220-55mckelv
author: batista, m.
date: 2020-09-02
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2211
sentence: 86
flesch: 52
cache: cache/cord-284220-55mckelv.txt
txt: txt/cord-284220-55mckelv.txt
title:
  Estimation of a state of Corona 19 epidemic in August 2020 by multistage logistic model: a case of EU, USA, and World

summary:
  The Lancet A mathematical model for the novel coronavirus epidemic in Wuhan Rational evaluation of various epidemic models based on the COVID-19 data of China. medRxiv Estimating the size of COVID-19 epidemic outbreak A New Adaptive Logistic Model for Epidemics and the Resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States.


id: cord-020544-kc52thr8
author: Bradt, David A.
title: Technical Annexes
date: 2019-12-03
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6172
sentence: 341
flesch: 46
cache: cache/cord-020544-kc52thr8.txt
txt: txt/cord-020544-kc52thr8.txt
summary:
  In some countries, vaccine may also be used with close contacts of sporadic disease cases to prevent secondary cases. An area may be considered cholera-free after 2 incubation periods (total of 10 d) have passed without cholera disease.


id: cord-281437-cb3u1s7s
author: Bedford, Juliet
title: A new twenty-first century science for effective epidemic response
date: 2019-11-06
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6859
sentence: 208
flesch: 33
cache: cache/cord-281437-cb3u1s7s.txt
txt: txt/cord-281437-cb3u1s7s.txt
summary:
  Global rise in human infectious disease outbreaks Pandemics, public health emergencies and antimicrobial resistance -putting the threat in an epidemiologic and risk analysis context How urbanization affects the epidemiology of emerging infectious diseases Microbial Evolution and Co-Adaptation: A Tribute to the Life and Scientific Legacies of Joshua Lederberg Travel, migration and emerging infectious diseases Understanding the link between malaria risk and climate The Ebola outbreak, fragile health systems, and quality as a cure Health inequalities and infectious disease epidemics: a challenge for global health security Historical parallels, Ebola virus disease and cholera: understanding community distrust and social violence with epidemics War and infectious diseases: challenges of the Syrian civil war Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Framework for the Sharing of Influenza Viruses and Access to Vaccines and Other Benefits (WHO How Africa can quell the next disease outbreaks The ability to prevent, detect and respond to any health issues will always depend on the local capacity and although international partners can bring complementary expertise and resources, it is the local capacity that is critical; in this article, the authors argue for national investment in public health, health systems, science and local leadership UN health chief orders probe into misconduct The inverse care law Agenda setting, research questions and funding for biomedical research has historically been led from Northern Hemisphere countries in an unequal Northern-Southern Hemisphere relationship Science granting councils in sub-Saharan Africa: trends and tensions International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies. Although this siloed landscape has brought major advances in global health, it is not fit for the transitional phase of epidemic diseases: rapidly evolving, high-impact events bring together communities, responders and researchers who do not routinely interact.


id: cord-292026-cj43pn0f
author: Moirano, Giovenale
title: Approaches to Daily Monitoring of the SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak in Northern Italy
date: 2020-05-22
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2640
sentence: 90
flesch: 42
cache: cache/cord-292026-cj43pn0f.txt
txt: txt/cord-292026-cj43pn0f.txt
summary:
  It is, however, crucial to monitor the pattern of epidemic growth, whilst incorporating uncertainty, in order to understand the current evolution of the outbreak and provide an early assessment of the potential impact restrictive measures. Taking this into account, forecast models yield a good visual fit to the epidemic curves, and the estimated parameters (Supplementary Material) can be interpreted in terms of describing the epidemic dynamics.


id: cord-015967-kqfyasmu
author: Tagore, Somnath
title: Epidemic Models: Their Spread, Analysis and Invasions in Scale-Free Networks
date: 2015-03-20
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 7930
sentence: 356
flesch: 45
cache: cache/cord-015967-kqfyasmu.txt
txt: txt/cord-015967-kqfyasmu.txt
summary:
  Generally, epidemic models consider contact networks to be static in nature, where all links are existent throughout the infection course. Likewise, for contact networks where the structure is mathematically tractable, a particular critical value of the contagion probability p is existent, an SIS epidemic undergoes a rapid shift from one that terminates out quickly to one that persists for a long time.


id: cord-220618-segffkbn
author: Bonamassa, Ivan
title: Geometric characterization of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic events
date: 2020-07-20
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 8697
sentence: 308
flesch: 40
cache: cache/cord-220618-segffkbn.txt
txt: txt/cord-220618-segffkbn.txt
summary:
  The unprecedented amount of epidemic data collected worldwide on SARS-CoV-2 raises nowadays a unique opportunity to quantify, in a way analogous to other extreme events [1, 2] , the catastrophic impact that a pandemic can have on the globalized world This includes epidemic data describing first-wave events whose fatality rate peak has preceded the infected one, as ob- served e.g. in Brazil, Mexico, United Arab Emirates, Iran ( Fig. 4 ) and few others.


id: cord-298872-gbi74g0n
author: FIORITI, V.
title: Estimating the epidemic growth dynamics within the first week
date: 2020-08-16
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3910
sentence: 157
flesch: 53
cache: cache/cord-298872-gbi74g0n.txt
txt: txt/cord-298872-gbi74g0n.txt
summary:
  If X and Y are Benford sequences, also their sum X + Y is Benford. Given the limited amount of data points, the calculated and the actual Benford distribution will not coincide exactly, thus to characterize the accuracy an appropriate goodness-of-fit (gof) parameter is used.


id: cord-211511-56q57zwc
author: Aiello, Luca Maria
title: How Epidemic Psychology Works on Social Media: Evolution of responses to the COVID-19 pandemic
date: 2020-07-26
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 8762
sentence: 314
flesch: 47
cache: cache/cord-211511-56q57zwc.txt
txt: txt/cord-211511-56q57zwc.txt
summary:
  In our coding exercise, we adhered as much as possible to the description in Strong's paper and obtained a strict partition of keywords across social epidemics. Categories are partitioned in three groups according to the type of social epidemics they model: Fear, Morality, and Action.


id: cord-018151-5su98uan
author: Lynteris, Christos
title: Introduction: Infectious Animals and Epidemic Blame
date: 2019-10-12
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 8568
sentence: 240
flesch: 31
cache: cache/cord-018151-5su98uan.txt
txt: txt/cord-018151-5su98uan.txt
summary:
  Providing original studies of rats, mosquitoes, marmots, dogs and 'bushmeat', which at different points in the history of modern medicine and public health have come to embody social and scientific concerns about infection, this volume aims to elucidate the impact of framing non-human animals as epidemic villains. Underlining the ethical, aesthetic, epistemological and political entanglement of non-human animals with shifting medical perspectives and agendas, ranging from tropical medicine to Global Health, the chapters in this volume come to remind us that, in spite of the rhetoric of One Health and academic evocations of multispecies intimacies, the image and social life of non-human animals as epidemic villains is a constitutive part of modern epidemiology and public health as apparatuses of state and capitalist management.


id: cord-315885-iu5wg5ik
author: Hoang, Hai
date: 2013-12-19
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 1150
sentence: 30
flesch: 29
cache: cache/cord-315885-iu5wg5ik.txt
txt: txt/cord-315885-iu5wg5ik.txt
title:
  Full-Length Genome Sequence of a Plaque-Cloned Virulent Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus Isolate (USA/Iowa/18984/2013) from a Midwestern U.S. Swine Herd

summary:
  Sequence determination of the nucleocapsid protein gene of the porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus confirms that this virus is a coronavirus related to human coronavirus 229E and porcine transmissible gastroenteritis virus Genome organization of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus Sequence analysis of the nucleocapsid protein gene of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus Letter to the editor A new coronavirus-like particle associated with diarrhea in swine Molecular characterization and phylogenetic analysis of membrane protein genes of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus isolates in China Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, rotavirus, porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus, adenovirus and calicilike virus in porcine postweaning diarrhoea in Hungary Epidemic of diarrhoea caused by porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus in Italy An outbreak of swine diarrhea of a new-type associated with coronavirus-like particles in Japan Prevalence of porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus and transmissible gastroenteritis virus infection in Korean pigs Chinese-like strain of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus Emergence of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in the United States: clinical signs, lesions, and viral genomic sequences Multiplex real-time RT-PCR for the simultaneous detection and quantification of transmissible gastroenteritis virus and porcine epidemic diarrhea virus Propagation of the virus of porcine epidemic diarrhea in cell culture Complete genome sequence of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain USA/Colorado/2013 from the United States Porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus: a comprehensive review of molecular epidemiology, diagnosis, and vaccines Origin, evolution, and genotyping of emergent porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strains in the United States Complete genome sequence of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain AJ1102 isolated from a suckling piglet with acute diarrhea in China Complete genome sequence of a Chinese virulent porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain Complete genome sequence of a porcine epidemic diarrhea virus variant Complete genome sequence of a novel porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in south China Phylogenetic analysis of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus field strains prevailing recently in China Complete genome sequence of a recombinant porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain from eastern China Complete genome sequence of a highly prevalent isolate of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in south China Complete genome sequence of a variant porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain isolated in central China Complete genome sequence of novel porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strain GD-1 in China Complete genome sequence of a Vero cell-adapted isolate of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in eastern key: cord-315885-iu5wg5ik authors: Hoang, Hai; Killian, Mary L.; Madson, Darin M.; Arruda, Paulo H. E.; Sun, Dong; Schwartz, Kent J.; Yoon, Kyoungjin J. title: Full-Length Genome Sequence of a Plaque-Cloned Virulent Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus Isolate (USA/Iowa/18984/2013) from a Midwestern U.S. Swine Herd date: 2013-12-19 journal: Genome Announc DOI: 10.1128/genomea.01049-13 sha: doc_id: 315885 cord_uid: iu5wg5ik Porcine epidemic diarrhea (PED) was recognized in U.S. swine for the first time in early 2013.


id: cord-238342-ecuex64m
author: Fong, Simon James
date: 2020-03-22
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 9525
sentence: 386
flesch: 49
cache: cache/cord-238342-ecuex64m.txt
txt: txt/cord-238342-ecuex64m.txt
title:
  Composite Monte Carlo Decision Making under High Uncertainty of Novel Coronavirus Epidemic Using Hybridized Deep Learning and Fuzzy Rule Induction

summary:
  Furthermore, different from other decision rule models, FRI allows some fuzzy relaxation in bracketing the upper and lower bounds, thereby a decision can be made based on the min-max values pertaining to each conditional test (attribute in the data). However, MC model allows decision makers to predict by studying the probabilities of possible outcomes on how the changes impact the effectiveness of the Polish EMS system.


id: cord-024746-ijlnefz3
author: Koher, Andreas
title: Contact-Based Model for Epidemic Spreading on Temporal Networks
date: 2019-08-02
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 9840
sentence: 501
flesch: 52
cache: cache/cord-024746-ijlnefz3.txt
txt: txt/cord-024746-ijlnefz3.txt
summary:
  Our comparison between MC simulations and analytic estimations from the CB and IB models followed a bottom-up approach: We looked at (i) epidemic trajectories of individual nodes, (ii) averaged trajectories given the same outbreak location, and (iii) the final outbreak size for a range of infection probabilities and with random initial condition. Left column [panels (a1)-(c1)]: Time-evolving distribution (linear scale) of cumulatively infected individuals for infection probabilities β ¼ 0.01, 0.02, and 0.1, respectively.


id: cord-283485-xit6najq
author: Van Damme, Wim
title: The COVID-19 pandemic: diverse contexts; different epidemics—how and why?
date: 2020-07-27
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 9634
sentence: 436
flesch: 46
cache: cache/cord-283485-xit6najq.txt
txt: txt/cord-283485-xit6najq.txt
summary:
  Cluster of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) in the French Alps Investigation of a COVID-19 outbreak in Germany resulting from a single travelassociated primary case: a case series A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating personto-person transmission: a study of a family cluster High SARS-CoV-2 attack rate following exposure at a Choir practice Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China Why do some COVID-19 patients infect many others, whereas most don't spread the virus at all? What we already know The available information on SARS-CoV-2 and the spectrum of COVID-19 disease is summarised in tables 6 and 7.


id: cord-027757-zb4wxt85
author: Hardiman, David
title: The Influenza Epidemic of 1918 and the Adivasis of Western India
date: 2012-03-09
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 10221
sentence: 481
flesch: 63
cache: cache/cord-027757-zb4wxt85.txt
txt: txt/cord-027757-zb4wxt85.txt
summary:
  It was commonly believed that epidemic disease was caused by such visitations; Sitala, the smallpox goddess, was the best known, and cholera was known in those parts as 'Marakhi', after a goddess of cholera called Mari Mata. This all left the adivasis of this region particularly vulnerable to epidemic disease.


id: cord-307945-wkz43axo
author: Baud, Grégory
title: Endocrine surgery during and after the Covid-19 epidemic: Expert guidelines in France
date: 2020-04-30
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 2086
sentence: 67
flesch: 26
cache: cache/cord-307945-wkz43axo.txt
txt: txt/cord-307945-wkz43axo.txt
summary:
  Non-suspect goiters responsible for severe compressive symptoms (inspiratory dyspnea due to tracheal compression, dysphagia due to esophageal compression, superior vena cava syndrome due to deep vein compression) must also be scheduled for semi-urgent surgery before the epidemic ends. Four scheduling levels were defined to help prioritize patients (these levels may change according to how the epidemic setting evolves): Urgent surgery that must be carried out as soon as possible because even a short deferral would be life-threatening.


id: cord-020610-hsw7dk4d
author: Thys, Séverine
date: 2019-10-12
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 9758
sentence: 349
flesch: 41
cache: cache/cord-020610-hsw7dk4d.txt
txt: txt/cord-020610-hsw7dk4d.txt
title:
  Contesting the (Super)Natural Origins of Ebola in Macenta, Guinea: Biomedical and Popular Approaches

summary:
  Furthermore, it raises the question of whether there is evidence to indicate and confirm that 'bushmeat'-related information included in public health campaigns in the region actually reduced Ebola transmission. Bulletin de l'Académie vétérinaire de France Inclusivity and the Rogue Bats and the War Against the Invisible Enemy About the natural reservoir for Ebola virus see The Evolution of Ebola Virus:


id: cord-313991-u2rkn5uh
author: Dimaschko, J.
date: 2020-08-16
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3617
sentence: 162
flesch: 53
cache: cache/cord-313991-u2rkn5uh.txt
txt: txt/cord-313991-u2rkn5uh.txt
title:
  Superspreading as a Regular Factor of the COVID-19 Pandemic: II. Quarantine Measures and the Second Wave

summary:
  Since the severity of quarantine can be assessed only by its consequences, it seems reasonable to find a criterion for the possibility of a second wave after quarantine is removed (corresponds to the phase of quarantine D in Fig.3) based on the analysis of the current course of the epidemic, i.e. before the quarantine was lifted (corresponds to the beginning of quarantine phase B and endemic phase C in Fig. 4) . It is shown that, under these assumptions, the relaxation of quarantine measures leads to the resumption of virus circulation among asymptomatic superspreaders.


id: cord-018761-vm86d4mj
author: Bradt, David A.
title: Technical Annexes
date: 2017-11-08
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 10432
sentence: 569
flesch: 48
cache: cache/cord-018761-vm86d4mj.txt
txt: txt/cord-018761-vm86d4mj.txt
summary:
  In some countries, vaccine may also be used with close contacts of sporadic disease cases to prevent secondary cases. Classic biotype caused the 5th and 6th pandemics but little epidemic disease since the 1970s though it still causes cases in India.


id: cord-304925-9gvx3swf
author: Xie, Zhixiang
date: 2020-07-14
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4777
sentence: 139
flesch: 34
cache: cache/cord-304925-9gvx3swf.txt
txt: txt/cord-304925-9gvx3swf.txt
title:
  Spatial and temporal differentiation of COVID-19 epidemic spread in mainland China and its influencing factors

summary:
  Liu et al. (2020c) used the statistical analysis method to analyze the temporal and spatial J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f characteristics and the transmission path of the COVID-19 epidemic in Zhuhai, revealing that the input from the epidemic area and family gatherings were the causes of epidemic spread. (4) In relation to data sources, the data of COVID-19 cases can be obtained very easily; however, there are great difficulties in obtaining environmental and socio-economic data related to the epidemic spread, which is why current researches lag behind in the driving J o u r n a l P r e -p r o o f mechanism of epidemic spread.


id: cord-299846-yx18oyv6
author: Amar, Patrick
title: Pandæsim: An Epidemic Spreading Stochastic Simulator
date: 2020-09-18
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6362
sentence: 277
flesch: 52
cache: cache/cord-299846-yx18oyv6.txt
txt: txt/cord-299846-yx18oyv6.txt
summary:
  A modelling study Transmission interval estimates suggest pre-symptomatic spread of COVID-19 Coronavirus Latest: Scientists Scramble to Study Virus Samples Transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak and effectiveness of government interventions: A data-driven analysis The effectiveness of quarantine and isolation determine the trend of the COVID-19 epidemics in the final phase of the current outbreak in China Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: A modelling study The Behavior of an SIR Epidemic Model with Stochastic Perturbation The long time behavior of DI SIR epidemic model with stochastic perturbation A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with infectious force under intervention strategies A stochastic differential equation SIS epidemic model A multi-regional epidemic model for controlling the spread of Ebola: Awareness, treatment, and travel-blocking optimal control approaches A multi-regions SIRS discrete epidemic model with a travel-blocking vicinity optimal control approach on cells Role of Media and Effects of Infodemics and Escapes in the Spatial Spread of Epidemics: A Stochastic Multi-Region Model with A Study on Herd Immunity of COVID-19 in South Korea: Using a Stochastic Economic-Epidemiological Model Epidemic Spreading in Urban Areas Using Agent-Based Transportation Models An open-data-driven agent-based model to simulate infectious disease outbreaks HSIM: An hybrid stochastic simulation system for systems biology A General Method for Numerically Simulating the Stochastic Time Evolution of Coupled Chemical Reactions Stiffness in stochastic chemically reacting systems: The implicit tau-leaping method Données en Santé Publiques Info Coronavirus Covid 19 Clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 in china Critical Care Utilization for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: Early Experience and Forecast During an Emergency Response Cluster of COVID-19 in northern France: A retrospective closed cohort study The French connection: The first large population-based contact survey in France relevant for the spread of infectious diseases Cmmid Covid-Working Group, Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship Reinfection could not occur in SARS-CoV-2 infected rhesus macaques The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application Serial interval of COVID-19 among publicly reported confirmed cases Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period The stochastic discrete solver (SDS) computes stochastic integer numbers such that, on the long run, they will average to the same values as the continuous solver.


id: cord-307946-1olapsmv
author: Xu, Zhijie
date: 2020-08-31
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4554
sentence: 224
flesch: 41
cache: cache/cord-307946-1olapsmv.txt
txt: txt/cord-307946-1olapsmv.txt
title:
  Primary Care Practitioners’ Barriers to and Experience of COVID-19 Epidemic Control in China: a Qualitative Study

summary:
  To understand PCPs' perceived barriers to and experience of performing their tasks in epidemic control, we recruited frontline PCPs in China and conducted in-depth interviews using a qualitative design. In addition, the frequent modification of guidance regarding epidemic control confused PCPs.


id: cord-335886-m0d72ntg
author: Tomie, Toshihisa
title: Relations of parameters for describing the epidemic of COVID―19 by the Kermack―McKendrick model
date: 2020-03-03
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 1356
sentence: 52
flesch: 54
cache: cache/cord-335886-m0d72ntg.txt
txt: txt/cord-335886-m0d72ntg.txt
summary:
  The Kermack-McKendrick model was proposed as early as 1927, but still, it is the basis of many modified models for describing epidemics. The slower increase and the slower decrease at the skirt of the epidemic could suggest the transmission power β of the virus may change in time, which, we think, is not plausible.


id: cord-347349-caz5fwl1
author: Yu, Xinhua
date: 2020-07-02
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3803
sentence: 140
flesch: 49
cache: cache/cord-347349-caz5fwl1.txt
txt: txt/cord-347349-caz5fwl1.txt
title:
  Distinctive trajectories of COVID-19 epidemic by age and gender: a retrospective modeling of the epidemic in South Korea

summary:
  In summary, in South Korea, and likely in other countries, COVID-19 epidemic processes had distinctive dynamic patterns among age and gender groups. key: cord-347349-caz5fwl1 authors: Yu, Xinhua; Duan, Jiasong; Jiang, Yu; Zhang, Hongmei title: Distinctive trajectories of COVID-19 epidemic by age and gender: a retrospective modeling of the epidemic in South Korea date: 2020-07-02 journal: Int J Infect Dis DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.101 sha: doc_id: 347349 cord_uid: caz5fwl1 OBJECTIVES:


id: cord-295534-bwa4wz94
author: Jung, Kwonil
date: 2015-02-26
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 7095
sentence: 221
flesch: 37
cache: cache/cord-295534-bwa4wz94.txt
txt: txt/cord-295534-bwa4wz94.txt
title:
  Porcine epidemic diarrhea virus infection: Etiology, epidemiology, pathogenesis and immunoprophylaxis

summary:
  The pathogenicity of epidemic PEDV strains is commonly severe, as evidenced by the high mortality of infected nursing piglets. All strains of epidemic PEDV in Europe, Asia and the US are highly enteropathogenic, as evidenced by the high mortality of infected nursing piglets.


id: cord-309359-85xiqz2w
author: Song, Daesub
title: Porcine epidemic diarrhea: a review of current epidemiology and available vaccines
date: 2015-07-29
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5443
sentence: 224
flesch: 47
cache: cache/cord-309359-85xiqz2w.txt
txt: txt/cord-309359-85xiqz2w.txt
summary:
  USlike strain of por cine epidemic diarrhea virus outbreaks in Taiwan Origin, evolu tion, and genotyping of emergent porcine epidemic diar rhea virus strains in the United States PED vaccine gains conditional approval Sci entific opinion on porcine epidemic diarrhoea and emerg ing porcine deltacoronavirus Genetic variabil ity and phylogeny of current Chinese porcine epidemic diarrhea virus strains based on spike, ORF3, and mem brane genes Porcine epidemic diarrhea virus infection: etiology, epidemiology, pathogenesis and immunopro phylaxis The coro navirus spike protein is a class I virus fusion protein: struc tural and functional characterization of the fusion core complex The GPRLQPY motif located at the carboxyterminal of the spike protein induces antibo dies that neutralize porcine epidemic diarrhea virus Identification of the epit ope region capable of inducing neutralizing antibodies against the porcine epidemic diarrhea virus Major recep torbinding and neutralization determinants are located within the same domain of the transmissible gastroenteri tis virus (coronavirus) spike protein Sequence analysis of the partial spike glycoprotein gene of porcine epidemic diar rhea viruses isolated in Korea Cloning and further sequence analysis of the ORF3 gene of wild and attenuatedtype porcine epidemic diarrhea viruses Molecular characteriza tion and phylogenetic analysis of membrane protein genes of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus isolates in China Molecular epidemiology of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in China Isolation and characterization of porcine epidemic diarrhea viruses associated with the 2013 disease outbreak among swine in the United States Evaluation on the efficacy and immunogenicity of recombinant DNA plasmids express ing spike genes from porcine transmissible gastroenteritis virus and porcine epidemic diarrhea virus Complete ge nome sequence of a highly prevalent isolate of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus in South China New variants of porcine epidemic di arrhea virus, China Molecular epidemiology and phylogenetic analysis of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) field isolates in Korea Anti genic structure of the E2 glycoprotein from transmissible gastroenteritis coronavirus Four major antigenic sites of the coronavirus transmissible gas troenteritis virus are located on the aminoterminal half of spike glycoprotein S Bioinformatics insight into the spike glycoprotein gene of field porcine epidemic diarrhea strains during Novel porcine epidemic di arrhea virus variant with large genomic deletion Cell culture isolation and sequence analysis of genetically diverse US porcine epi demic diarrhea virus strains including a novel strain with a large deletion in the spike gene en Republica Dominicana Situacion de la diarrea epidemica porcina en Colombia Direct and rapid detection of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus by RT PCR Rapid diagnosis of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus infection by polymerase chain reaction PEDV leader sequence and junc tion sites Identification and characteriza tion of new and unknown coronaviruses using RTPCR and degenerate primers Differential detection of trans missible gastroenteritis virus and porcine epidemic diar rhea virus by duplex RTPCR Fecal shedding of a highly cellcultureadapted porcine epidemic diarrhea virus af ter oral inoculation in pigs Multiplex reverse transcrip tionPCR for rapid differential detection of porcine epide mic diarrhea virus, transmissible gastroenteritis virus, and porcine group A rotavirus Onestep multiplex RT PCR for detection and subtyping of swine influenza H1, H3, N1, N2 viruses in clinical samples using a dual prim ing oligonucleotide (DPO) system Development of a porcine epidemic diarrhea virus M proteinbased ELISA for virus detection Development of reverse transcription loopme diated isothermal amplification for rapid detection of por cine epidemic diarrhea virus Enteric viral infections of pigs and strategies for in duction of mucosal immunity Protection against rotavirusinduced gastroenteritis in a murine model by passively acquired gastrointestinal but not circulating antibodies Antibody respons es in serum, colostrum, and milk of swine after infection or vaccination with transmissible gastroenteritis virus Isolation of porcine immuno globulins and determination of the immunoglobulin class es of transmissible gastroenteritis viral antibodies


id: cord-289003-vov6o1jx
author: Burdet, C.
date: 2018-02-28
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 8328
sentence: 308
flesch: 44
cache: cache/cord-289003-vov6o1jx.txt
txt: txt/cord-289003-vov6o1jx.txt
title:
  Need for integrative thinking to fight against emerging infectious diseases. Proceedings of the 5th seminar on emerging infectious diseases, March 22, 2016 – current trends and proposals

summary:
  vov6o1jx Abstract We present here the proceedings of the 5th seminar on emerging infectious diseases, held in Paris on March 22nd, 2016, with seven priority proposals that can be outlined as follows: encourage research on the prediction, screening and early detection of new risks of infection; develop research and surveillance concerning transmission of pathogens between animals and humans, with their reinforcement in particular in intertropical areas (“hot-spots”) via public support; pursue aid development and support in these areas of prevention and training for local health personnel, and foster risk awareness in the population; ensure adapted patient care in order to promote adherence to treatment and to epidemic propagation reduction measures; develop greater awareness and better education among politicians and healthcare providers, in order to ensure more adapted response to new types of crises; modify the logic of governance, drawing from all available modes of communication and incorporating new information-sharing tools; develop economic research on the fight against emerging infectious diseases, taking into account specific driving factors in order to create a balance between preventive and curative approaches. Seven priority proposals can be outlined as follows: encourage research on the prediction, screening and early detection of new risks of infection; develop research and surveillance concerning transmission of pathogens between animals and humans, with their reinforcement in particular in intertropical areas (''hot-spots'') thanks to public support; pursue aid development and support in these areas of prevention and training for local health personnel, and to foster risk awareness in the population; ensure adapted patient care in order to promote adherence to treatment and to epidemic propagation reduction measures; develop greater sensitization and training among politicians and healthcare providers, in order to better prepare them to respond to new types of crises; modify the logic of governance, drawing from all available modes of communication and incorporating new information-sharing tools; develop economic research on the fight against EIDs, taking into account specific determining factors in order to create a balance between preventive and treatment approaches.


id: cord-355419-8txtk0b3
author: Feng, Liang
title: Epidemic in networked population with recurrent mobility pattern
date: 2020-06-25
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3357
sentence: 142
flesch: 43
cache: cache/cord-355419-8txtk0b3.txt
txt: txt/cord-355419-8txtk0b3.txt
summary:
  As far as we know, this is the first attempt to analyse epidemic spreading in networked population with human recurrent mobility by using social contacts network among individuals. [5, 6, 22, 24, 25] , i ( t ) consists of two different components where p is the mobility possibility, D i ( t ), C i ( t ) are infection possibilities when agent i stays in social contact network or gets into public places.


id: cord-301463-jzke8fop
author: Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre
title: Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives
date: 2011-02-10
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 7622
sentence: 281
flesch: 39
cache: cache/cord-301463-jzke8fop.txt
txt: txt/cord-301463-jzke8fop.txt
summary:
  Choices about intervention policy will be made early in the epidemic when parameters are uncertain. During the SARS outbreak of 2003, the aim of intervention strategies was to eliminate transmission, not only to mitigate the effects of the epidemic.


id: cord-349421-qzgxe24c
author: Shang, Yilun
title: Modeling epidemic spread with awareness and heterogeneous transmission rates in networks
date: 2013-05-03
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3815
sentence: 180
flesch: 54
cache: cache/cord-349421-qzgxe24c.txt
txt: txt/cord-349421-qzgxe24c.txt
summary:
  The public's response to severe acute respiratory syndrome in Toronto and the United States Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models The impact of information transmission on epidemic outbreaks Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review Towards a characterization of behavior-disease models Risk perception and disease spread on social networks The impact of awareness on epidemic spreading in networks Unexpected epidemic thresholds in heterogeneous networks: the role of disease transmission Infection dynamics on scale-free networks Networks: An Introduction Discrete-time epidemic dynamics with awareness in random networks A critical point for random graphs with a given degree sequence Spread of epidemic disease on networks Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks Mean-field theory of a recurrent epidemiological model A stochastic model for the spread of a sexually transmitted disease which results in a scalefree network Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases Disease spread in small-size directed networks: epidemic threshold, correlation between links to and from nodes, and clustering Epidemic dynamics and endemic states in complex networks Percolation and epidemic thresholds in clustered networks Epidemic threshold and control in a dynamic network Mixed SI(R) epidemic dynamics in random graphs with general degree distributions Responding to global infectious disease outbreaks: lessons from SARS on the role of risk perception, communication and management Pandemic novel 2009 H1N1 influenza: what have we learned? Respir Exploring network structure, dynamics, and function using NetworkX Scale-free networks: a decade and beyond Time-delayed information can induce the periodic outbreaks of infectious diseases The dynamic nature of contact networks in infectious disease epidemiology Risk estimation of infectious diseases determines the effectiveness of the control strategy


id: cord-331771-fhy98qt4
author: Huang, He
title: Modeling the competitive diffusions of rumor and knowledge and the impacts on epidemic spreading
date: 2021-01-01
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6799
sentence: 328
flesch: 48
cache: cache/cord-331771-fhy98qt4.txt
txt: txt/cord-331771-fhy98qt4.txt
summary:
  The impact of information spreading on epidemic vaccination game dynamics in a heterogeneous complex networka theoretical approach A colored mean-field model for analyzing the effects of awareness on epidemic spreading in multiplex networks Collective dynamics of small-world networks Dynamical analysis of rumor spreading model in homogeneous complex networks Stochastic rumours Modeling cyber rumor spreading over mobile social networks: a compartment approach Tips for choosing and using masks to prevent novel coronavirus Specialized zone for rumor-refuting during the 2019-ncov epidemic Dynamical and correlation properties of the internet Immunization of complex networks Rumor spreading model considering forgetting and remembering mechanisms in inhomogeneous networks Rumor spreading model with consideration of forgetting mechanism: a case of online blogging We adopt a two-layer network to model the processes of information diffusion (including rumor diffusion and knowledge diffusion) and epidemic spreading.


id: cord-317939-9x377kdv
author: Fu, You-Lei
date: 2020-09-16
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 7305
sentence: 285
flesch: 41
cache: cache/cord-317939-9x377kdv.txt
txt: txt/cord-317939-9x377kdv.txt
title:
  Fuzzy Logic Programming and Adaptable Design of Medical Products for the COVID-19 Anti-epidemic Normalization

summary:
  Considering the household anti-epidemic status, economic and environmental benefits, the adaptable design method of anti-epidemic products in the vestibule was proposed. Finally, epidemic prevention functions are integrated into houses to extend the usage time and application of anti-epidemic products.


id: cord-318004-r08k40ob
author: Raina MacIntyre, C.
title: Converging and emerging threats to health security
date: 2017-11-27
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6378
sentence: 209
flesch: 29
cache: cache/cord-318004-r08k40ob.txt
txt: txt/cord-318004-r08k40ob.txt
summary:
  These models, combined with robust health data analytics, computational and data visualisation techniques and numerical simulations provide a realistic, rapid real-time assessment of threats to public health security. Tools such as the Grunow and Finke (2002) criteria are not well known in public health and have low sensitivity for detecting unnatural epidemics when tested against historical events (Chen et al. 2017; MacIntyre and Engells 2016) .


id: cord-341187-jqesw4e8
author: Yu, Xinhua
date: 2020-08-27
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 3803
sentence: 162
flesch: 41
cache: cache/cord-341187-jqesw4e8.txt
txt: txt/cord-341187-jqesw4e8.txt
title:
  Modeling Return of the Epidemic: Impact of Population Structure, Asymptomatic Infection, Case Importation and Personal Contacts

summary:
  Then some percent of exposed young people become symptomatic cases ( ), and some become asymptomatic cases ( ). On the other hand, a higher infectivity of asymptomatic cases (e.g., 100% of symptomatic cases) results in a fast developing and narrow epidemic curve which reaches the peak within 60 days.


id: cord-332898-gi23un26
author: Zhou, Lingyun
title: CIRD-F: Spread and Influence of COVID-19 in China
date: 2020-04-07
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 6369
sentence: 287
flesch: 56
cache: cache/cord-332898-gi23un26.txt
txt: txt/cord-332898-gi23un26.txt
summary:
  Novel coronavirus is putting the whole world on alert A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation Outbreak of COVID-19: An urgent need for good science to silence our fears On the design of hyperstable feedback controllers for a class of parameterized nonlinearities: Two application examples for controlling epidemic models Clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 in China Dummy variable regression model and two-stage nested design of agricultural variables A labor capital asset pricing model The mathematical principle of the spread of SARS and its application on forcasting and controlling SARS epidemic A new method for fuzzification of nested dummy variables by fuzzy clustering membership functions and its application in financial economy The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: A descriptive study Transforming clinical data into actionable prognosis models: Machine-learning framework and field-deployable App to predict outcome of Ebola patients Nexuses between economic factors and stock returns in China The relationship between the stock market and the economy: Evidence from Central and Eastern European countries Furthermore, machine learning is also used to conduct epidemic prediction [12] .


id: cord-329256-7njgmdd1
author: Leecaster, Molly
title: Modeling the variations in pediatric respiratory syncytial virus seasonal epidemics
date: 2011-04-21
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 4540
sentence: 197
flesch: 45
cache: cache/cord-329256-7njgmdd1.txt
txt: txt/cord-329256-7njgmdd1.txt
summary:
  The conclusions were that exponential growth was somewhat empirically related to seasonal epidemic characteristics and that variation in epidemic start date as well as the transmission parameter over epidemic years could explain variation in seasonal epidemic size. Three parameters associated with variation across epidemic years were estimated: 1) the temporal offset of the epidemic cycle (α), 2) detection fraction (f), and 3) transmission parameter (β).


id: cord-348658-fz5nfdf9
author: Weiner, Joseph A.
date: 2020-06-04
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 5272
sentence: 252
flesch: 46
cache: cache/cord-348658-fz5nfdf9.txt
txt: txt/cord-348658-fz5nfdf9.txt
title:
  Learning from the past: did experience with previous epidemics help mitigate the impact of COVID-19 among spine surgeons worldwide?

summary:
  Respondents with and without prior epidemic experience (e.g., SARS, H1NI, MERS) were assessed on preparedness and response via univariate and multivariate modeling. There was no difference in access to testing between surgeons with prior epidemic experience and those without epidemic experience (84.5% vs 82.2%, p = 0.440)


id: cord-303030-8unrcb1f
author: Gaeta, Giuseppe
title: Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management
date: 2020-07-16
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 11352
sentence: 385
flesch: 52
cache: cache/cord-303030-8unrcb1f.txt
txt: txt/cord-303030-8unrcb1f.txt
summary:
  SIAM ArXiv: 2003.02062 ; Data Analysis for the COVID-19 early dynamics in Northern Italy A simple SIR model with a large set of asymptomatic infectives A simple SIR model with a large set of asymptomatic infectives How to reduce epidemic peaks keeping under control the time-span of the epidemic Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model Asymptomatic transmission, the achilles heel of current strategies to control covid-19 (Editorial) Presumed asymptomatic carrier transmission of COVID-19 Pre-and asymptomatic individuals contribute up to 80% of COVID-19 transmission Evidence supporting transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 while presymptomatic or asymptomatic Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19 The rate of underascertainment of novel coronavirus (2019-ncov) infection: estimation using japanese passengers data on evacuation flights Estimation of the asymptomatic ratio of novel coronavirus infections (COVID-19) Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the diamond princess cruise ship Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-cov2) We have considered epidemic dynamics as described by mean field models of the SIR type; more specifically, we have first considered the classical Kermack-McKendrick SIR model [1] [2]


id: cord-345567-8d1076ge
author: Ivanov, Dmitry
date: 2020-03-24
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 7370
sentence: 251
flesch: 35
cache: cache/cord-345567-8d1076ge.txt
txt: txt/cord-345567-8d1076ge.txt
title:
  Predicting the impacts of epidemic outbreaks on global supply chains: A simulation-based analysis on the coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) case

summary:
  First, we articulate the specific features that frame epidemic outbreaks as a unique type of SC disruption risks. Once specific case of SC disruptions are the epidemic outbreaks.


id: cord-305327-hayhbs5u
author: Gonzalez, Jean-Paul
title: Global Spread of Hemorrhagic Fever Viruses: Predicting Pandemics
date: 2017-09-19
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 10217
sentence: 383
flesch: 34
cache: cache/cord-305327-hayhbs5u.txt
txt: txt/cord-305327-hayhbs5u.txt
summary:
  The smallpox pandemic of Smallpox: 12,000 years from plagues to eradication: a dermatologic ailment shaping the face of society Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic Dengue, urbanization and globalization: the unholy trinity of the 21st century SARS: an emerging global microbial threat Predicting epidemic risk from past temporal contact data Ebola control: effect of asymptomatic infection and acquired immunity Shedding of Ebola virus in an asymptomatic pregnant woman Understanding the emergence of Ebola virus disease in sierra leone: stalking the virus in the threatening wake of emergence Perspectives on West Africa Ebola virus disease outbreak Aedes alpobictus and the world trade in used tires, 1988-1995: the shape of things to come? Men, primates, and germs: an ongoing affair Seewis virus: phylogeography of a Shrew-Borne hantavirus in Siberia Coevolution of rodent and viruses: arenaviruses and hantaviruses The arenavirus and rodent coevolution process: a global view of a theory Bats worldwide carry hepatitis E virus-related viruses that form a putative novel genus within the family Hepeviridae VHF such as Ebola Virus Disease, Lassa fever, Rift Valley fever, or Marburg virus disease are highly contagious and deadly diseases, with potential to become pandemics.


id: cord-355291-fq0h895i
author: Yasir, Ammar
date: 2020-04-24
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 9059
sentence: 415
flesch: 43
cache: cache/cord-355291-fq0h895i.txt
txt: txt/cord-355291-fq0h895i.txt
title:
  Modeling Impact of Word of Mouth and E-Government on Online Social Presence during COVID-19 Outbreak: A Multi-Mediation Approach

summary:
  In this study, we attempted to identify the role of E-government and COVID-19 word of mouth in terms of their direct impact on online social presence during the outbreak as well as their impacts mediated by epidemic protection and attitudes toward epidemic outbreaks. The study results revealed that the roles of E-government and COVID-19 word of mouth are positively related to online social presence during the outbreak.


id: cord-303651-fkdep6cp
author: Thompson, Robin N.
title: Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies
date: 2020-08-12
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 11573
sentence: 462
flesch: 35
cache: cache/cord-303651-fkdep6cp.txt
txt: txt/cord-303651-fkdep6cp.txt
summary:
  Adjusting COVID-19 deaths to account for reporting delay Using mobility to estimate the transmission intensity of COVID-19 in Italy: a subnational analysis with future scenarios A note on generation times in epidemic models Serial interval of SARS-CoV-2 was shortened over time by nonpharmaceutical interventions Using information theory to optimise epidemic models for real-time prediction and estimation An exact method for quantifying the reliability of end-of-epidemic declarations in real time. The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions Pair approximations for spatial structures? Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries UK Government Office for National Statistics Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study SARS-CoV-2 infection among travelers returning from Wuhan 2020 The probability of detection of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva Mathematics of epidemics on networks: from exact to approximate models Epidemic processes in complex networks A novel field-based approach to validate the use of network models for disease spread between dairy herds Analysis of a stochastic SIR epidemic on a random network incorporating household structure Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures II: comparisons and implications for vaccination Reproductive numbers, epidemic spread and control in a community of households Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures.


id: cord-288342-i37v602u
author: Wang, Zhen
title: Coupled disease–behavior dynamics on complex networks: A review
date: 2015-07-08
extension: .txt
mime: text/plain
words: 15811
sentence: 629
flesch: 34
cache: cache/cord-288342-i37v602u.txt
txt: txt/cord-288342-i37v602u.txt
summary:
  Behavior changes in SIS STD models with selective mixing Infection-age structured epidemic models with behavior change or treatment Coupled contagion dynamics of fear and disease: mathematical and computational explorations On the existence of a threshold for preventive behavioral responses to suppress epidemic spreading Towards a characterization of behavior-disease models The impact of information transmission on epidemic outbreaks Modeling and analysis of effects of awareness programs by media on the spread of infectious diseases Coevolution of pathogens and cultural practices: a new look at behavioral heterogeneity in epidemics Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic A generalization of the Kermack-McKendrick deterministic model The spread of awareness and its impact on epidemic outbreaks Social contact networks and disease eradicability under voluntary vaccination The impact of awareness on epidemic spreading in networks Suppression of epidemic spreading in complex networks by local information based behavioral responses Epidemic spreading with information-driven vaccination Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control Peer pressure is a double-edged sword in vaccination dynamics Imitation dynamics of vaccination behaviour on social networks Insight into the so-called spatial reciprocity Impact of committed individuals on vaccination behavior Wisdom of groups promotes cooperation in evolutionary social dilemmas Braess's paradox in epidemic game: better condition results in less payoff Price of anarchy in transportation networks: efficiency and optimality control Effects of behavioral response and vaccination policy on epidemic spreading-an approach based on evolutionary-game dynamics Modeling the interplay between human behavior and the spread of infectious diseases The impact of imitation on vaccination behavior in social contact networks A computational approach to characterizing the impact of social influence on individuals' vaccination decision making Risk assessment for infectious disease and its impact on voluntary vaccination behavior in social networks Vaccination and public trust: a model for the dissemination of vaccination behavior with external intervention Assessing vaccination sentiments with online social media: implications for infectious disease dynamics and control Erratic flu vaccination emerges from short-sighted behavior in contact networks The dynamics of risk perceptions and precautionary behavior in response to 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza Optimal interdependence between networks for the evolution of cooperation Social factors in epidemiology Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks Globally networked risks and how to respond Eigenvector centrality of nodes in multiplex networks Synchronization of interconnected networks: the role of connector nodes Epidemic spreading on interconnected networks Effects of interconnections on epidemics in network of networks The robustness and restoration of a network of ecological networks Diffusion dynamics on multiplex networks Dynamical interplay between awareness and epidemic spreading in multiplex networks Competing spreading processes on multiplex networks: awareness and epidemics Two-stage effects of awareness cascade on epidemic spreading in multiplex networks Effects of awareness diffusion and self-initiated awareness behavior on epidemic spreading-an approach based on multiplex networks Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics Coupling infectious diseases, human preventive behavior, and networks-a conceptual framework for epidemic modeling Modeling triple-diffusions of infectious diseases, information, and preventive behaviors through a metropolitan social networkan agent-based simulation Influence of breaking the symmetry between disease transmission and information propagation networks on stepwise decisions concerning vaccination Asymmetrically interacting spreading dynamics on complex layered networks Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review Adaptive coevolutionary networks: a review Exact solution for the time evolution of network rewiring models Epidemic reemergence in adaptive complex networks Temporal networks: slowing down diffusion by long lasting interactions Epidemic dynamics on an adaptive network Robust oscillations in sis epidemics on adaptive networks: coarse graining by automated moment closure Fluctuating epidemics on adaptive networks Adaptive networks: coevolution of disease and topology Infection spreading in a population with evolving contacts Contact switching as a control strategy for epidemic outbreaks Susceptible-infected-recovered epidemics in dynamic contact networks Absence of epidemic thresholds in a growing adaptive network Epidemic spreading in evolving networks Enhanced vaccine control of epidemics in adaptive networks Efficient community-based control strategies in adaptive networks Evolutionary dynamics of time-resolved social interactions Random walks on temporal networks Outcome inelasticity and outcome variability in behavior-incidence models: an example from an SIR infection on a dynamic network Exploiting temporal network structures of human interaction to effectively immunize populations Pastor-Satorras R. Immunization strategies for epidemic processes in time-varying contact networks The effect of opinion clustering on disease outbreaks Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity Positive network assortativity of influenza vaccination at a high school: implications for outbreak risk and herd immunity An ongoing multi-state outbreak of measles linked to non-immune anthroposophic communities in Austria Measles outbreak in Switzerland-an update relevant for the European football championship Dynamics and control of diseases in networks with community structure Spreading of sexually transmitted diseases in heterosexual populations Particle swarm optimization with scale-free interactions Modelling dynamical processes in complex socio-technical systems Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks Complex social contagion makes networks more vulnerable to disease outbreaks Traffic-driven epidemic spreading in finite-size scale-free networks Impact of rotavirus vaccination on epidemiological dynamics in England and Wales Epidemiological effects of seasonal oscillations in birth rates Dynamic modeling of vaccinating behavior as a function of individual beliefs Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza a in Southern China Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection The social brain hypothesis Modeling users' activity on Twitter networks: validation of Dunbar's number Reality mining: sensing complex social systems Inferring friendship network structure by using mobile phone data A high-resolution human contact network for infectious disease transmission Dynamics of person-to-person interactions from distributed RFID sensor networks What's in a crowd? Moreover, social contact networks also display small-world properties (i.e., short average path length between any two individuals and strong local clustering tendency), which cannot be well described by regular lattices or random graphs [23] .


