id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentence	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-132307-bkkzg6h1	Blanco, Natalia	Prospective Prediction of Future SARS-CoV-2 Infections Using Empirical Data on a National Level to Gauge Response Effectiveness	2020-07-06		.txt	text/plain	3762	103	37	The total number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in 28 countries was analyzed and fitted to several simple rate models including the logistic, Gompertz, quadratic, simple square, and simple exponential growth models. While logistic growth models have been widely used to model epidemics 16, 27 , uncertainties in estimates of R0 (and therefore the population carrying capacity NM) make prospective predictions of the course of the epidemic difficult 14, 27 .	cache/cord-132307-bkkzg6h1.txt	txt/cord-132307-bkkzg6h1.txt
